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How Will Animals Look 250 Million Years From Now?

angkor writes "'How will Earth look 5 million, 100 million, even 200 million years from now?' Fantasic and fun speculation from Animal Planet. It's the work of Dougal Adams, who started this idea years ago in the out-of-print After Man: A Zoology of the Future."

179 of 406 comments (clear)

  1. like a big mac by ubugly2 · · Score: 2, Funny

    see subject..

  2. My guess: by Valar · · Score: 5, Funny

    I bet they'll still be good eatin'! :}

    1. Re:My guess: by suss · · Score: 5, Funny

      I bet they'll still be good eatin'! :}

      Will probably taste like chicken.

    2. Re:My guess: by DEBEDb · · Score: 2

      Spoken as a meat-eater: if it's gross for you,
      it should be gross for you to imagine someone
      doing this for you, thus, you shouldn't eat
      meat...

      --

      Considered harmful.
    3. Re:My guess: by delstar+dotstar · · Score: 3, Funny
      I had organic, free-range pork sausages once. You could just smell the difference when they were cooking.
      It's true; sausage that's allowed to roam and forage on its own makes for some good eatin'.
    4. Re:My guess: by blakespot · · Score: 3, Funny

      Some animals' evolution is no longer guided by survival values, but rather is guided by how-can-it-best-serve-humans values. ...so you're saying animals will develop smooth, rounded mouths, big ears, and flat-heads?

      --
      -- Heisenberg may have slept here.
      iPod Hacks.com
    5. Re:My guess: by Martin+Blank · · Score: 2

      If a revulsion to the sight or experience of something is a reason to avoid it, many people should never have surgery. I can watch most surgeries, but when the cranial saw starts to bite.... [shudder]

      --
      You can never go home again... but I guess you can shop there.
    6. Re:My guess: by Bicoid · · Score: 2
      I had organic, free-range pork sausages once. You could just smell the difference when they were cooking.


      Organic free-range does not equal wild. It's the sam genetic stock that the feedlots use, it's just kept differently.

      Additionally, free-range animals never want for food and are a lot less susceptible to predators...they get more exercise, but they certainly are not "wild" by any means. Walking around and eating grass during the summer and hay during the winter does not equal running from predators and starving through the winter.
      --
      If not all sentients are human, couldn't it be possible that not all humans are sentient either?
    7. Re:My guess: by GMontag451 · · Score: 2

      Do you pocket mulch as well? (Aren't you glad that someone actually got the reference?)

    8. Re:My guess: by SoupIsGoodFood_42 · · Score: 2
      Organic free-range does not equal wild. It's the sam genetic stock that the feedlots use, it's just kept differently.

      I know that. My point was more the conditions they live in are much better. Anyway, they do taste different. Not as different as wild of course. But still different.

  3. 5 millon years we will be in an ice-age? by garcia · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Apparently in 5 million years the earth will be people-less and in an ice-age covering most of Europe.

    I am still a staunch believer in the fact that "global warming" is something that the Earth will fix on it's own.

    Whether or not we are part of that process is of no concesquence.

    Animal Planet agrees! ;)

    1. Re:5 millon years we will be in an ice-age? by jericho4.0 · · Score: 2

      Great!! Meet me for coffee at the cafe!!

      --
      "A language that doesn't affect the way you think about programming, is not worth knowing" - Alan Perlis
    2. Re:5 millon years we will be in an ice-age? by nomadic · · Score: 5, Funny

      I am still a staunch believer in the fact that "global warming" is something that the Earth will fix on it's own.

      And I am a staunch believer in the fact that the Earth will "fix" global warming by getting rid of us.

    3. Re:5 millon years we will be in an ice-age? by silvaran · · Score: 3, Funny

      That reminds me of George Carlin's take on global warming and petroleum products (plastic) -- their implications. He says, "the Earth created us so we could make plastic! It wants to keep plastic for itself!"

    4. Re:5 millon years we will be in an ice-age? by ndogg · · Score: 2

      If you actually saw any part of the show, you'd know that the writers obviously think that humans will eventually leave earth to colonize other planets.

      --
      // file: mice.h
      #include "frickin_lasers.h"
    5. Re:5 millon years we will be in an ice-age? by juhaz · · Score: 4, Interesting

      I dont think anyone has ever claimed that global warming, or much about anything else we can do, is somehow permanent. And most people agree that we indeed are in the middle of rather short warm period between ice ages, yes, temperatures will go down again.

      Life survives, but any drastic changes are of course going to wreak havoc on all things we are now accustomed to and most depend on, man's position may seem stable, but it's not really very hard to imagine how easily we could be knocked back to stone age. Thus, better be carefully monitoring whichever way change is going, and be damn careful not to accelerate it in any way, and if possible, even try to brake.

    6. Re:5 millon years we will be in an ice-age? by Boss,+Pointy+Haired · · Score: 3, Insightful

      This is why environmentalists make me laugh.

      SAVE THE PLANET!

      Yeah, right, like it's not big enough to look after itself.

    7. Re:5 millon years we will be in an ice-age? by Twirlip+of+the+Mists · · Score: 2

      Mr. Anonymous Coward forgets that the Earth didn't come from the factory with an oxygen atmosphere. Plankton make oxygen from carbon dioxide; carbon dioxide, of course, is produced by the Earth itself in geological processes.

      If it were true that oxygen leaves the Earth's atmosphere-- it's not, in any significant sense-- then the plankton in our oceans would simply replace it, maintaining the equilibrium we've enjoyed for the last billion years or so.

      Mr. Anonymous Coward is evidently an Anonymous Idiot.

      --

      I write in my journal
    8. Re:5 millon years we will be in an ice-age? by robson · · Score: 2

      I am still a staunch believer in the fact that "global warming" is something that the Earth will fix on it's own.

      That's right, but this is precisely the nature of our short-sightedness. When we talk about "saving the environment", we aren't really talking about some idealistic, altruistic agenda. We're talking about protecting the environment in which we live. If the hole in the ozone layer gets big enough, it's not Earth that will be getting skin cancer, it's you and me!

      I'm not a hardcore environmentalist at all, but but I think it's foolish for people to write environmentalists' efforts off because it's all about saving frogs and hugging trees. No. It's about thinking ahead and making sure that we don't ruin the conditions on this globe for our kin.

    9. Re:5 millon years we will be in an ice-age? by Jeremi · · Score: 2
      SAVE THE PLANET! Yeah, right, like it's not big enough to look after itself.


      But are humans smart enough to look after ourselves? Or are we just going to chew through all the available resources, and then die choking in our own wastes? It's not enough for the planet to survive, we want ourselves to survive also.

      --


      I don't care if it's 90,000 hectares. That lake was not my doing.
    10. Re:5 millon years we will be in an ice-age? by juhaz · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Climbing up took us for a long time, but not nearly long enough for that to happen.

      Fossil fuels have been formed in the course of million, not mere thousands of years. I seriously doubt it would take any more than few thousand years to be back at "point zero" (if we even fall further than that) something like middle ages or the roman empire, real civilization but not much in the field of technology.

      And it's not only the fossil fuels, lots of metal ores that are near enough surface and easy enough for such an upstart civilization to access are long gone.

      Plants will continue to grow, etc, and that will keep them alive ... That's of course assuming our way to "greatness" is the only one, us humans are damn resourceful, who knows what kind of premises could science and some kind of technology be found.

    11. Re:5 millon years we will be in an ice-age? by rweir · · Score: 2

      Earth will look after itself. We may not survive the change though.

  4. Interesting! by doughmein_dot_net · · Score: 3, Informative
    Very cool. I have Dougal Adams' orignal book ("After Man") and I thought it was very well done. I was able to find it at a local thrift shop, and it was well worth its purchase price. I recommend interested readers to find a copy of this book if they can.

    I do think he got carried away with the carnivorous monkeys and all that, but it was still an interesting exploration.

    --
    Super ninja monkeys will one day rule the world!
    1. Re:Interesting! by starX · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I'll second that. I must admit it sounded a little presumptuous when they said that squids would take to the land to fill the void. I also have a hard time buying that in 200 Million + some odd hundred thousand years smart calamari will be running the show.

      Of course when you boil it right down, I think it's pretty presumptuous to think you can predict what the future will be like. If we can't even predict what the short term effects of global warming are going to be, how can we determine that squids will become super muscular, grow lungs, and swing through the trees basically acting like modern day monkeys? Some of those beasties would make a nice addition to a Dungeons and Dragons world, but I really don't see how we can even venture a remote guess as to what life will look like in 200 Million years and expect it to be at all accurate.

      Besdies the natural events that could occur that we can't even predict, none of this really takes into account the human factor. I am one of those "the planet's not going any where, we are" people, but we DO have the ability to drastically (some might say "traumatically") alter the environment in a very short amount of time.

      Plus the idea of whats left of my mortal remains being sucked out of the ground to fill the gas tank of some land squids car is just something I would rather not think about :)

    2. Re:Interesting! by CharterTerminal · · Score: 5, Funny

      Truthfully, though, I have nothing but respect for anyone who's willing to go on record as predicting that one day, giant squid will roam the forests.

      (Fortunately it sounds like we have plenty of time to stockpile garlic and olive oil.)

    3. Re:Interesting! by doughmein_dot_net · · Score: 3, Interesting
      To be honest, there didn't seem to be a whole lot of scientific background to the book ("After Man: A Zoology of the Future"); it was more of an exploration of what could and might happen, given the lack of humans and most of the major species that died out or were left neglected by mankind.

      However, it was fairly well-grounded speculation, for the most part. One of the author's main recurring themes was that given the extinction of many larger ungulate herbivores, rodents and rabbits would evolve to fill the niche. He cited that since mankind had a pretty hard time getting rid of rabbits, they should be able to survive and thrive in the future world. So he listed quite a number of rabbit-descended grazers called "rabbucks", who had evolved hooves for running instead of feet for jumping. Much cooler than llamas, I'd say.

      However, some of the animals were pretty ridiculous. One such example was a sloth-descended creature called a "Slobber", which had evolved to feed solely by dripping its long, stringy slobber in front of the mouths of nearby flowers, and waiting for dumb insects to fly into the drool, so it could slurp them up for a snack. The clincher was that its eyes had evolved away, so it was completely blind, crawling through the trees and vines of a jungle with absolutely no vision whatsoever. Sorry, but any smart predator would have made quick and easy meals of these things.

      So, yeah, creative and interesting, but not necessarily realistic. The large, predatory weasels were also really fun to see.

      --
      Super ninja monkeys will one day rule the world!
    4. Re:Interesting! by jericho4.0 · · Score: 2

      If there is a God, He will mod the parent up.

      --
      "A language that doesn't affect the way you think about programming, is not worth knowing" - Alan Perlis
    5. Re:Interesting! by doooras · · Score: 2

      God's an AC, no mod points.

    6. Re:Interesting! by zephc · · Score: 2

      I bought a copy in Booktent Santa Cruz (right after the '89 earthquake), i was in 4th or 5th grade I think, and pushed me in a more scientific direction.

      --
      "I would say that 99 per cent of what my father has written about his own life is false." - L. Ron Hubbard Jr.
    7. Re:Interesting! by Hawthorne01 · · Score: 2

      Yeah, but he did one hell of an fp a long time ago. :)

      --
      "Only two things are infinite, the universe and human stupidity, and I'm not sure about the former."
    8. Re:Interesting! by juhaz · · Score: 2, Informative

      I haven't seen the program, but website linked states that they don't even expect it to be accurate due to chaotical nature of subject at hand and long timeframe. Merely saying that animals like those could _possibly_ evolve based on the scientific data is not claiming to know the future and say that they WILL.

      Just one very small glimpse into one of countless potential futures. Nothing bad in that as long as it's acknowledged instead of 'em trying to claim that this and only this is exactly how it will be.

    9. Re:Interesting! by donnacha · · Score: 4, Informative
      I was able to find it at a local thrift shop
      It is quite hard to get hold of but I run a very small online book business in the UK, PristineBooks.com, and have 20 new copies selling for $27 or £17 or 27 Euros payable via PayPal and including free shipping to anywhere in the world. Next day delivery in the UK, three days to mainland Europe and around one week to the US, Asia and Australia.

      Apologies for the shameless plug but I guessed that the out-of-print status of this book might cause a lot of frustration to anyone who finds this discussion interesting.

      Anyone who's interesting can contact me via the PristineBooks.com site, cheers.

    10. Re:Interesting! by donnacha · · Score: 2


      Whoops, that should have read "Anyone who's interested can contact me".

      Of course, interesting people should also feel free to contact me :)

    11. Re:Interesting! by Twirlip+of+the+Mists · · Score: 2

      I do think he got carried away with the carnivorous monkeys and all that...

      Did you know that many monkeys are actually omnivores? The common chimp, for example, kills and eats colobus monkeys whenever it can.

      --

      I write in my journal
    12. Re:Interesting! by Dyolf+Knip · · Score: 2

      I dug up a copy of it at the library ages ago. It started off very interesting and believable. The predator rats, for instance. But towards the end it got very wierd. The whole Batavia part seemed to be stretching it.

      Or maybe I'm just pissed at the fact that he only included one feline descendant and it ended up in the 'sloth' niche. Which I suppose is kinda appropriate...

      --
      Dyolf Knip
    13. Re:Interesting! by operagost · · Score: 2

      PETA probably doesn't want you to know that.

      --

      Gamingmuseum.com: Give your 3D accelerator a rest.
    14. Re:Interesting! by styrotech · · Score: 2

      Even man has only changed it's basic appearance, not it's over all function. Look how much more man has changed dogs.

      Then again the dog was the first ever animal to be domesticated, and the cat was one of the last. Maybe that has something to do with it

    15. Re:Interesting! by styrotech · · Score: 2

      Compare that to the difference between the mastif and any of those anoying 'pit' dogs (carried in the arm pit by little old ladies).

      Hehe I had visions of what a 'pit' bull would be like :)

      Maybe that's how they'd get one in a china shop? (Score:-1, Lame)

  5. What will animals look like? by telstar · · Score: 5, Funny
  6. This is all very assuming. by packeteer · · Score: 2

    Aren't we going to kill off life on this [planet eventually. I know that even if we manage to not do it soon it would be hard to imagine humans never just saying fuck it and ruining this planet possibly after we have another place to live...

    --
    unzip; strip; touch; finger; mount; fsck; more; yes; unmount; sleep
  7. they say scientists came up with this... by Emmanuel69 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I saw it last night and I have to say that any scientist willing to describe down to the size and weight of an animal 250 million years from now must be smoking something good... It is full of decent CG, some of it's almost worth dealing with the over sensationalization all this 'science' has attached to it. anyone else tired of hearing "the most extreme" attached to whatever they're talking about?

    --
    --- eman I don't know what it does, but I like the blinking lights.
    1. Re:they say scientists came up with this... by Zack · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I'm with ya. Small smart squids living in treetops while large dumb squidb roam the ground. Flying fish called "flish". Please.

      It would have bee better if theyld never made any claims about "scientists" saying these things and letting it just be pure speculation.

      I did dig the squid with the biolumenesence (sp?) to attract its mate as well as lure prey. Too cool

  8. Not all that spectatcualar by G-Spot · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I was watching animal planet's show about this tonight, and was not all that impressed. They seemed to have a lot of information that they could not back up with respect to how evolution would take place, and why for certain species and not others. I found many holes in their "plots", including the fact that they did not account for any technology that humans would leave behind when they left the planet. It was as if they (we)had left and taken all traces of their (our) existence with them...

    1. Re:Not all that spectatcualar by Emmanuel69 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      yeah, and why squids? As well as the running backgroud bit of a human 'probe' sent to view the planet... things like "the probe sends cameras down to see this" and "with the probe's last power it performs one last task" just seemed like a poor attempt at sci-fi... and detracted from the whole squid loving show...

      --
      --- eman I don't know what it does, but I like the blinking lights.
    2. Re:Not all that spectatcualar by jericho4.0 · · Score: 2
      Yeah. My dog is going to continue writing code after I leave for Alpha Centuri :-).

      Seriously, human 'technology' has existed for one thousandth of the time spans being mentioned, and for 99% of that, the tech consisted of rocks.

      Given that by that time there will be new mountain ranges and seas, I don't think laser eye surgery and linux will be a hot topic for cockroaches or squids.

      --
      "A language that doesn't affect the way you think about programming, is not worth knowing" - Alan Perlis
    3. Re:Not all that spectatcualar by Nefrayu · · Score: 2

      They seemed to have a lot of information that they could not back up with respect to how evolution would take place, and why for certain species and not others.
      Dude, what's with this "no evidence for evolution" slant? God's going to do it. After all, the bible mentions floods and drought, but no ice. God's got to be itching to try that one next. Have faith. ;-)

      --
      Friends help you move. Real friends help you move bodies.
    4. Re:Not all that spectatcualar by G-Spot · · Score: 2, Insightful

      ... yet another argument to add to the many that advocate the end of "anonymous coward" postings.

    5. Re:Not all that spectatcualar by flewp · · Score: 2

      I thought the silicon was harvested from Pam Anderson's breasts.

      --
      WWJD.... for a Klondike bar?
  9. Well I know what humans will look like... by dagg · · Score: 4, Funny
    Humans will develop much larger asses so as to no longer need to purchase couches. And wheels. Evolution will finally come up with wheels. Who would have thunk it?

    As for animals, they will be genetically developed to grow human faces and replacement butts. We're already growing human ears on rats, so you just know we're going to be growing full blown cosmetic replacements for every starlet in Hollywood.

    --
    Sex - Find It
    1. Re:Well I know what humans will look like... by Ilan+Volow · · Score: 2

      Humans will develop much larger asses so as to no longer need to purchase couches.

      Donkeys on you can veg out on. Cool. But where would you stick the remote?

      And wheels. Evolution will finally come up with wheels.

      Miguel Icaza's head in a jar finally adds the ultimate feature that Outlook Express doesn't have. Of course, by that time, Microsoft will have added wheels *and* brakes to Outlook Express. The battle for more featureful mail clients will never end.

      As for animals, they will be genetically developed to grow human faces and replacement butts.

      I never thought of Matt Stone and Trey Parker as futurists, but a 4-assed monkey is starting to seem a little less ridiculous.

      We're already growing human ears on rats, so you just know we're going to be growing full blown cosmetic replacements for every starlet in Hollywood.

      But audiences of the future might pay far more to see starlets growing rat ears.

      --
      Ergonomica Auctorita Illico!
  10. Earth has been here a while.... by Rooked_One · · Score: 2, Insightful

    If you think about it, well - just take the dinosaurs. If you never saw their bones, would you have EVER thought something of that magnitude could exist? Probably not - unless you are nostradomous.

    And when you give it more thought, humans could have existed long long ago - after all, it has only taken a half million years for humans to come to be where the dino's had hundreds of millions of years.

    I believe that something really big came across the earths path - beit metor, virus, name your poison - that totally disrupted things on this earth.

    And this will be offtopic, but I also believe there is life on this planet that probably came from others. So with that all said, I don't belive there will be much on this earth that hasn't had a similar clone way back in the past.

    1. Re:Earth has been here a while.... by geek · · Score: 3, Funny

      "And this will be offtopic, but I also believe there is life on this planet that probably came from others. So with that all said, I don't belive there will be much on this earth that hasn't had a similar clone way back in the past."

      Great, now slashdot is being invaded by Raelians. Fuck this, I'm outta here.

  11. I saw it and wasn't impressed... by kakos · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I was sort of expecting them to examine several possibilities for future evolution. Sort of like "This could happen, but this could also happen." Unfortunately, there was none of that. They only had one 'possible' evolution and I was actually somewhat disappointed in the one they presented. It seemed to involve too many squid derivatives, including two land squids. Their explanation how they can be land animals without a skeleton was kind of sketchy, in my opinion.

    It also seemed to think that the same Classes (Amphibian, Fish, etc) would exist 200 million years from now, which seems a bit off.

    Also, the show was filled with horrible names (like the Flish and the Terrabyte).

    1. Re:I saw it and wasn't impressed... by nomadic · · Score: 2

      Their explanation how they can be land animals without a skeleton was kind of sketchy, in my opinion.

      Like slugs, snails, and worms? Land animals, no skeleton, there you go.

      It also seemed to think that the same Classes (Amphibian, Fish, etc) would exist 200 million years from now, which seems a bit off.

      Well, considering both amphibians and fishes have existed far longer than that already, I don't think it's way off.

    2. Re:I saw it and wasn't impressed... by pjt48108 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I was sort of looking forward to this show, and I was also unimpressed. Going into it, however, I was skeptical for a number of reasons.

      First, who is to say what course evolution will take? Kakos' criticism regarding the one 'possible' evolutionary course is well-warranted. Even a cursory review of the evolutionary history laid out in the fossil record shows that evolution moves in fits and starts, and not necessarily headed in one direction. Certainly, evolution at least covers all the bases, in case one chess move doesn't work as expected.

      Second, I felt that too much was made of very few individual species and how they eat each other. Spiders eating the last mammal species. 'Sharkopath' creatures eating giant squid (forget that the largest whales today show battle scars from their assumed feasting on giant squids, showing that there is some fight in squids that might drive that species evolution).

      Third, it took a shallow view of the wide world of animals--the only animals represented were those living within a narrow ecological band, basically several meters above/below ground and below sea level. One was begged to accept that life on Future Earth hinges on 'flish' being blown inland by Super typhoons, to feed 'bumblebeetles' that live for only a matter of hours/days.

      Where were the crustaceans? The plankton? Single-celled life? I'd like to think that the question of possible futures requires a deeper exploration of evolutionary forces, and, as Kakos indicated, a discussion of the many possibilities of evolution, rather than the narrow picture presented.

      A longer, episodic treatment is more appropriate to this subject, and personally, I'd love to see it. First episode: whoops, the Earth gets really cold! Second Episode: Eek, what if it gets really hot? Third episode: Zounds, rebellion of the sea creatures!

      Unfortunately, we'll never see such a treatment. :(

      --
      Mmmmmm... Bold, yet refreshing!
    3. Re:I saw it and wasn't impressed... by jericho4.0 · · Score: 2
      I assume the show was refering to larger derivatives of the squid, which they face the same problem the insects do, namely getting bigger than a baseball.

      From what I understand, an exoskeleton puts an upper limit on size. On the other hand, I don't want to short change calamari's future.

      --
      "A language that doesn't affect the way you think about programming, is not worth knowing" - Alan Perlis
    4. Re:I saw it and wasn't impressed... by forgotmypassword · · Score: 3, Informative

      the exoskeleton is a problem

      but most important is their open circulatory system is not capable of delivering oxygen and removing toxins from a large body

      OTOH squids have some amazingly diverse evolved traits, little would surprise me

    5. Re:I saw it and wasn't impressed... by transiit · · Score: 4, Interesting

      I taped it. I'm watching it in segments because I get too angry at the junk science it's based on.

      My problems:
      Every single animal they had was just a slight modifcation of current specimens. Ok, so maybe things wouldn't change that much for the first part (5 million years), but in 100 million years, the best they could come up with is babookari? (The baboon is allegdly extinct, and that bald, redfaced monkey is all that's left of the primates.)

      Disregarding Cope's rule: The idea is that as things evolve, they get bigger. Bigger animals tend to win fights over mates, get more food, have fewer predators. It just makes sense. The last of the mammals being herded by spiders bigger than it? Nope.

      Disregarding Dollo's law: Evolution is a one-way path. Dinosaurs evolve into birds which evolve into dinosaurs?

      Stupid-ass names: snowstalker. deathgleaner. buttpicker. assgoblin.

      The awful subplot: Humans are gone and are sending probes back to check out the earth (but clearly not recolonizing it, even if it has gotten past any environmental damage and is just chock full of raw natural resources) Don't forget the bad tech.: 95 million years of technological progress, and the new space probe not only is just slightly larger and silver, it also can't operate without first attaching to the ancient probe.

      Just generally weird ideas:
      The spiders are silver to avoid UV radiation.
      The birds are blue to avoid UV radiation.
      The birds sleep in midair.
      One gopher-sized spink is enough to feed an entire flock of deathgleaners.

      Bad writing:
      The deathgleaners (highly evolved bats) exit their cave "like bats out of hell"

      I especially like the egotism that intelligence never really returns to the earth (I've only made it 2/3rds through, so it might).

      -transiit

    6. Re:I saw it and wasn't impressed... by Twirlip+of+the+Mists · · Score: 2

      I assume the show was refering to larger derivatives of the squid, which they face the same problem the insects do, namely getting bigger than a baseball.

      New Zealand's weta is considerably larger than a baseball. In size, anyway; not in mass.

      Those things give me the creeps.

      --

      I write in my journal
    7. Re:I saw it and wasn't impressed... by Jeremi · · Score: 2
      Disregarding Cope's rule: The idea is that as things evolve, they get bigger. Bigger animals tend to win fights over mates, get more food, have fewer predators. It just makes sense.


      Bigger animals are also the first to die out when food gets scarce. If Cope's rule is so valid, why aren't we running away from Brontosauri?


      Disregarding Dollo's law: Evolution is a one-way path. Dinosaurs evolve into birds which evolve into dinosaurs


      Also untrue. Take dolphins. They were once sea creatures, that evolved into land mammals, and then back into sea creatures. Evolution has no "direction", it just finds whatever solution best fits the situation at hand.

      --


      I don't care if it's 90,000 hectares. That lake was not my doing.
    8. Re:I saw it and wasn't impressed... by Bicoid · · Score: 2

      What bugged me is that absolutely none of this seemed to be based on actual biology. a lot of the creatures they created are biologically impossible...period. Sea slugs can't become shark-sized because they inherently lack the circulatory systems to support a large size. They won't replace fish because fish are much more effective at swimming because they have that all-important thing called a notochord (or derivatives thereof) that allows for much faster swimming. Plus, teleost jaws are much more efficient than anything a slug is likely to evolve. The speed, gape, and ability to create suction simply by opening the mouth is unbsurpassed by any other feeding mechanism we've ever seen in any organism, extant or extinct. I would expect to see structural derivatives of a teleost jaw, but realize that teleosts have been the most common active aquatic organism since the Jurassic.

      Similarly, the presence of a supporting endoskeleton has made vertebrates the primary large terrestrial animals since the Carboniferous. Arthropods cannot compete with that because the endoskeleton becomes impossible to support after you reach certain sizes. You simply can't stuff enough muscle into the body and still haveroom for assorted organs AND retain an exoskeleton that will support the animal's weight without cracking as soon as a muscle pulls on it. The limit to arthropod size is really the size of the giant Eurypterids from the Silurian, and those were aquatic. The largest a terrestrial vertebrate can be, it seems, is maybe a foot in length. Any more and it squishes itself under its own weight.

      I don't know if mammals will be around in 250 million years, but with the amount that they've taken over within the last 65 million years, I wouldn't doubt that some derivatives may exist in the future. But fish will CERTAINLY still be around, as will terrestrial vertebrates. They have particular STRUCTURES that make them so successful and will continue to make them successful in the future.

      Also, did anyone else notice that absolutely no attention was paid to plant evolution? Plant evolution is VERY important...inland forests allowed the evolution and diversification of giant land vertebrates such as dinosaurs, flowering plants led to insect evolution, herbivore evolution, and probably contributed to the downfall of dinosaurs. It also opened up whole new niches for animals to adapt into, such as eating fruits, nuts, nectar, etc. Evolution of, say, a plant which releases hydrogen gas into a bladder in the plant and therefore suspends the plant in the stratosphere rather than keeping it rooted in the ground would give rise to not only new niches, but a completely new ecology for organisms to adapt to. Instead, the show acts as if plants remain the same throughout earth's history.
      Frankly, the problem with this and other similar extrapolatory works (which are science-fiction, not science) is that they are generally done by people with little or no knowledge of biology.

      Oh, and After Man was done by Dougal Dixon, not Adams. Just a thought.

      --
      If not all sentients are human, couldn't it be possible that not all humans are sentient either?
    9. Re:I saw it and wasn't impressed... by bryan1945 · · Score: 2

      All I know is that, if meeting an assgoblin, I will run back into my cave.
      I don't care if it is just a grasshopper with an attitude, it's name is enough. (Like you would run away from a "humminbird pecker", even if it breathed fire)

      --
      Vote monkeys into Congress. They are cheaper and more trustworthy.
    10. Re:I saw it and wasn't impressed... by transiit · · Score: 2

      This seems to be a popular reply to that comment, and I'm going to reply to this one because it seems like you are actually care about an answer.

      Cope's rule is basically a rework of the phrase "survival of the fittest". Things that get bigger will tend to survive against other members of the species over mates, territory and food. This sometimes works as a disadvantage, because as things get bigger, they tend to need more food, and thus are more susceptible to climatic changes (and thus more prone to extinction).

      Dollo's law states that evolution can't go backwards. This may or not may be true, but when scientists start calling it a "law" as opposed to a "theory", chances are high that they really believe it (contrast the law of gravity vs. the theory of relativity). As a bit of a disclaimer, let me mention that I'm a computer scientist, not a paleontologist, so whatever interest I have in this is only as a hobby. However, the idea as I understand it is that the traits that keep a species alive are based on the circumstances of the time period in which they live. While coarse fur vs. fine fur may not amount to a hill of beans today, they may eventually lead to survival of a major climatic change a few thousand years down the road.

      What a number of these comments seem to be missing is that evolution isn't linear. There isn't a set number of species which change into different forms. Some of this occurs in parallel. For example, take a group of mice today. Put some of them in one climate. Put the rest in another climate. Pick locations that they can both survive in. Wait a few thousand years. Examine the two groups of mice. Are they the same? Wait a few million years. Are they still the same?

      Now for a bit about homologous traits: Compare a whale flipper and a bat wing. Same basic bone structure. Does this alone mean that the bats left the sea, or that whales used to be able to fly? Probably not. Does this suggest that they might have a common ancestor? Probably.

      With that in mind, what is the rationale for whales ever being land-dwelling? Is it because they are mammals? Could it have been that they just shared a common ancestor with the land-dwelling mammals?

      I'd like to avoid speaking in absolutes on this. What we think we know is based on a horribly incomplete fossil record. I'm still not sold on evolution as the one true explanation, as I still don't think anyone's managed to explain when things stop being chemical goo and when they start being alive (although marsupial vs. placental mammals are still a bit of mystery as well)

      -transiit

  12. Frankly, I didn't like it by Lobsang · · Score: 5, Informative
    First of all, let me state I'm no scientist. But some stuff just doesn't seem reasonable:
    • FLISH (for FLying fISH) - Does it make much sense that an animal that cannot generate its own heat would spend an enourmous amount of calories flying? Also, is there a fish that can fly like a bird these days or any indication in that sense? The contrary is pretty common (penguins, et al).

    • Giant Squid roaming the forests - Owhhh, C'mon! What possible advantage is there in it? They can get all the food they need, without the hassle of vertebrae, in the ocean.

    • Sharks with flashing colors - This one was just too bad! Why would a shark need flashing things on the side of their bodies? According to the program, to "guide the other sharks and hunt in packs". C'mon... We all know light gets filtered rather rapidly by water. Wouldn't sound be a better choice?

    • Chrome Spiders herding the last mammal on earth - Yes, you heard it right. BTW, what's the point in a animal being silver chrome in color? To shine the sunlight and attract the predators?

    I also disliked the concept that most animals will get bigger. That seems contrary to what we've observed in the last million years. Animals like Sharks and Alligators have survived millenia without many changes. What makes one think the radical changes proposed in the program would occur?

    Funny thing is that I had my nephew (11 years old) watching the program with me. He laughed most of the time and thought the ideas were mostly ludicrous. And see, he's 11...
    1. Re:Frankly, I didn't like it by Ojuice · · Score: 5, Interesting

      I whole heartidly agree. Their explanation for why the "smaller" of the two squids was so lame; "naturally squids will move to land to fill the void of humanity". I mean come on, that's the fuzziest logic since producers signed on to film Kangaroo Jack..

    2. Re:Frankly, I didn't like it by protohiro1 · · Score: 4, Insightful
      Well, I would say that based on the animal kingdom now...anything is possible.
      Owhhh, C'mon! What possible advantage is there in it? They can get all the food they need, without the hassle of vertebrae, in the ocean.
      I am trying to craft a response to this, but its difficult. I think you may just fundementaly misunderstand how evolution works. As for the flying fish...there have been flying reptiles. Pteradons. In all likelyhood they were cold blooded as well
      I also disliked the concept that most animals will get bigger. That seems contrary to what we've observed in the last million years.
      Firstly, this is just wrong. There is no "trend" towards smaller creatures. The largest animal ever is actually modern: the blue whale. Secondly, their is no program. Evolution has no goal, it just happens. Any RANDOM mutation which leads to a (even tiny) increase in viable offspring will be selected for. Whether or not there are any "radical changes" proposed for the "program".
      --
      Sig removed because it was obnoxious
    3. Re:Frankly, I didn't like it by nomadic · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Also, is there a fish that can fly like a bird these days or any indication in that sense? The contrary is pretty common (penguins, et al).

      Flying fish. Yes, I have seen them, and they do propel themselves through the air quite impressively.

      According to the program, to "guide the other sharks and hunt in packs". C'mon... We all know light gets filtered rather rapidly by water. Wouldn't sound be a better choice?

      Evolution works with what it's got. Titanium would make a great skeleton, but calcium was the best that natural selection could do.

      He laughed most of the time and thought the ideas were mostly ludicrous.

      Did he laugh through Star Wars and Lord of the Rings too over their implausibility? Nobody involved really thinks this is what life's going to look like 200 million years from now; it's an intellectual exercise.

    4. Re:Frankly, I didn't like it by susano_otter · · Score: 2
      We all know light gets filtered rather rapidly by water. Wouldn't sound be a better choice?

      [nitpick]
      Actually, a wide range of squid and cuttlefish species use rapid color changes to communicate with each other. Visit any aquarium of decent size, or camp the science channels on TV. You're bound to see quite a bit of impressive footage, complete with smarty-man voiceover. Sound may be a better choice, but boy do these squid sure love the color-changing method!
      [/nitpick]

      --

      Any sufficiently well-organized community is indistinguishable from Government.

    5. Re:Frankly, I didn't like it by forgotmypassword · · Score: 2, Informative
      1. yes, there are. there are fish with extended fins that can glide. and squid can propel themseleves as well.
      2. they are very intelligent and can travel on land if needed. They also have very advanced eyes
      3. other sea life does it. some jellyfish and squid. for squid, the changing colors hypnotizes prey.
      4. ???
    6. Re:Frankly, I didn't like it by jericho4.0 · · Score: 2
      Dude. You got a bunch of responses that disagree with you. I don't get it.

      As other posts pointed out, yes there are such things as 'flying fish'. The problem is they don't fly. They glide. This is why you don't see them flitting from tree to tree. Your post pointed out that this would very caloricly expensive for a cold blooded creature.

      Giant squid live in the ocean. They have for a very long time. I'm assuming the show postulated an earth devoid of land fauna, that the squid would be all into exploiting. I don't think so. There would be many reef/shoreline type animals that would be better placed than a creature that evolved to live in the deep ocean.

      Sharks have been what they are for a long time. I don't see any pressure on them to dress up.

      I'm not going to comment on the chrome spider.

      --
      "A language that doesn't affect the way you think about programming, is not worth knowing" - Alan Perlis
    7. Re:Frankly, I didn't like it by kin_korn_karn · · Score: 2

      5. Profit!

    8. Re:Frankly, I didn't like it by dasunt · · Score: 3, Informative

      You might not understand evolution.

      First of all, 200 years is a long time. Look at your ancesters 200 years ago, they weren't winning any prizes.

      Second, once a species becomes successful, it faces competition from itself. One solution to this self-induced competition is to radiate into new niches. Another problem is that climates do change as well, and all of a sudden, the successful forest creature doesn't have a lot of forests to live in. This is why, in relatively recent years (according to how geologists see the world), several purely carnivorous species turned into several species, including grass eaters. Take yourself. You are decended from tree-dwelling primates, which were decended from insect eaters. Just because your ancesters were damn efficient at eating flies all day doesn't mean you do.

      Oh, btw, Dougal Douglas has a book out by the same theme, released 10 or so years ago. Title was "After Man, a Biology of the Future". The book is a little grim though in predicting that the amount of damage humans have done to certain species is irreplaceable, which leads to such things as rats becoming wolflike preditors and rabbits becoming antelopelike creatures.

    9. Re:Frankly, I didn't like it by ndogg · · Score: 2

      FLISH (for FLying fISH) - Does it make much sense that an animal that cannot generate its own heat would spend an enourmous amount of calories flying? Also, is there a fish that can fly like a bird these days or any indication in that sense? The contrary is pretty common (penguins, et al).

      Tsk, tsk! I would have thought that a /. reader would be more informed. How hard would it be to have a fish like that evolve the ability to fly?

      Also, animals getting bigger over time isn't necessarily contrary to what's been observed over the last million years. It's fairly well known that larger animals do have a chance to survive in very hot temperatures. In all reality, though, evolution is rather unpredictable.

      --
      // file: mice.h
      #include "frickin_lasers.h"
    10. Re:Frankly, I didn't like it by Cyclometh · · Score: 2

      The earliest birds (thought to be descended from dinosaurs) very likely started off as gliders. I don't see any particular reason why a fish couldn't evolve into something that could fly.

      After all, if you accept that evolution is what produced us, your ultimate mammalian anscestor is most likely a shrew-like creature from way back in the dim and misty. Hardly an auspicious beginning. Who knew they'd get opposable thumbs? ;)

    11. Re:Frankly, I didn't like it by pi+radians · · Score: 2

      Evolutionarily, my ancesters from 200 years ago are practicatlly identical.

      1802

      Society has drastically changed, true. But as a species and on evolutionary term we are the same animals. It takes tens of thousands of years for any drastic change to occur. And thats still just a maybe.

      --

      sin(6cos(r)+5A)
    12. Re:Frankly, I didn't like it by farnsworth · · Score: 2
      Giant Squid roaming the forests - Owhhh, C'mon! What possible advantage is there in it? They can get all the food they need, without the hassle of vertebrae, in the ocean.

      Dear Admiral Akbar, It's a trap! Stay in the ocean!
      regards...

      --

      There aint no pancake so thin it doesn't have two sides.

    13. Re:Frankly, I didn't like it by Mad+Bad+Rabbit · · Score: 2
      Giant Squid roaming the forests - Owhhh, C'mon! What possible advantage is there in it? They can get all the food they need, without the hassle of vertebrae, in the ocean.

      They supposedly evolved from the earlier swamp-squids (the ones that were trying to avoid being stomped on by the megaturtles). After going to the trouble of evolving lungs, why crawl meekly back into the sea?

      --
      >;k
    14. Re:Frankly, I didn't like it by IIRCAFAIKIANAL · · Score: 2

      I predict that along with the flish there will be mushrooms living in a kingdom with a princess and a pasta eating plumber fighting against giant turtles (wearing punk threads).

      Come to think of it, the giant squid and the chrome spider fits into this too... maybe they were playing super mario sunshine and just ripped it off as a big joke?

      I must have missed the shark though...

      --
      Robots are everywhere, and they eat old people's medicine for fuel.
    15. Re:Frankly, I didn't like it by Lobsang · · Score: 2

      Oh I know about the "Flying Fish" of today.

      They basically glide over some distance. But that's it! They do not fly like birds in the sense we know it. Have you even seen one of those fish? It's quite interesting.

      In the program, they fly like birds! And dive!

    16. Re:Frankly, I didn't like it by bryan1945 · · Score: 2

      Do you have any idea how evolution works? Random mutations which gives cows 4 heads and 26 legs isn't real great. Kinda like flying fish. "Hey, there have been flying reptiles, so flying fish JUST GOTTA BE GOOD!"

      And how does citing one animal (blue whale) disregard a known trend? Dinosaurs big, mammoths big, gorillas big... wait! here's a huge honkin' whale! Umm kay. Let me know when I must serve my master elephant.....

      Egods, the school system IS failing....

      --
      Vote monkeys into Congress. They are cheaper and more trustworthy.
    17. Re:Frankly, I didn't like it by Sloppy · · Score: 2
      I don't see fish with gills making the jump to super efficient lungs starting from gills.
      And yet, something much like that has already happened, ultimately giving rise to the very birds you admire.
      --
      As copyright owner of this comment, I authorize everyone to defeat any technological measure which limits access to it.
  13. My prediction... by bravehamster · · Score: 5, Funny
    Damn dirty apes...with plastic machine guns!


    Also, the platypus evolves to look like a perfectly normal duck.

    --
    ---- El diablo esta en mis pantalones! Mire, mire!
    1. Re:My prediction... by Z4rd0Z · · Score: 2

      Hahahahaha!
      +1 Funny

      --
      You had me at "dicks fuck assholes".
    2. Re:My prediction... by Fjord · · Score: 2

      Mods, this isn't a troll. Duck Bill Platypuses do have poisonous spurs on their legs and you really shouldn't pick them up. In addition to it hurting, the poison can cause necrosis and could lead to whatever it struck being amputated. Not fun at all.

      --
      -no broken link
  14. Thats sort of funny... by trotski · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Life starts in the sea, life emerges from the sea, animals grow really big and most life is reptilian, animals get smaller and become mostly mammals... and thats the story up until now.

    Animal planet is proposing that animals get bigger, turn into reptiles, and finally go back into the sea from wence they came. IS it just me or is that somehow ironic, stange and possibly WRONG.

    I find it hard to believe that life on earth will DE-evolve... thats sort of a depressing thought though isn't it.

    Course what do I know... I'm not a biologist.

    --

    "Entropy is the bad-guy, and he is everywhere"
    1. Re:Thats sort of funny... by geekoid · · Score: 5, Insightful

      It's only 'de-evoltion' to you, but certian perfectly normal for the creature 'de-evolution- has occured.
      It is veryy likelt that humans are just a blip on the scope. We have a tendency to think we're the ultimate creature, or the peak of evolution, when really we are just one of many creature that will exist until the end of time.

      do while not EOT
      Evolve
      loop

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
  15. "After Man" by Zontar+The+Mindless · · Score: 2

    I didn't get to see the show (hopefully they'll run it here in Oz sometime soon), but I used to have the book, and it was very interesting and well thought out. I particularly liked the ground-dwelling descendants of bats and (IIRC) the giant penguins that had evolved to resemble whales. I turned the bat things into AD&D monsters that were among my favourites -- and among those that my players LEAST enjoyed encountering, buahahaha.

    Land-going squids, eh? Cool!

    --
    Il n'y a pas de Planet B.
  16. The New Dinosaurs: An Alternative Evolution by Cordath · · Score: 2, Interesting

    The New Dinosaurs: An Alternative Evolution was another book by Dougal Adams which provided a zoology of an alternate Earth where mammals never evolved past rodents. He painted a picture of Earth's ecology with all the modern niches filled by the decendants of dinosaurs. It even included a chapter which discusses the evolution of a sentient reptilian species.

    Unfortunately, it is also out of print. I have a copy sitting on my shelf next to "After Man". I haven't dusted either off in years, but perhaps it's time.

  17. Easy by geekoid · · Score: 2

    Just ask Marvin.

    --
    The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
  18. The author was Dougal Dixon, not Dougal Adams by doughmein_dot_net · · Score: 2, Informative

    Oops. My mistake.

    --
    Super ninja monkeys will one day rule the world!
  19. a much more relevant question by drDugan · · Score: 3, Interesting

    a much more relevant question:

    will humanity survive another 10,000 years?

    i think not.

    1. Re:a much more relevant question by Mad+Quacker · · Score: 2

      Will it even survive 500 years? Within 200-300 years the planet will be waterless (we'll have it all consumed) unless we come up with a solution or quit doubling in pouplation every few decades.

      Re:a much more relevant question (Score:0)
      by Anonymous Coward on 01-05-03 04:29 AM (#5018778)
      Hahahah... consumed in 200-300 years. Good one.



      "But not a drop to drink". Sound familiar? Fresh water supply is the hidden spectre behind the (coming?) global energy crisis. If we don't manage our population and our needs well, nature will do it for us - but we may not live through it. At least not without returning to cave dwellings, and from our extremely small genetic variance across the globe, I'd say we're on our second chance already. We all descended from just a few 'survivors'

      http://www.renaissancealliance.org/issact/issper s/ ecology/water.htm
      (The world bank knows this)
      --
      "I don't know that atheists should be considered citizens, nor should they be considered patriots." George HW Bush
    2. Re:a much more relevant question by gl4ss · · Score: 2

      but we will hardly _ALL_ die.. after cockroaches humans are just about the most adaptable species on earth(even without high tech).

      as for what comes to water..
      distilling it from seawater is coming cheaper, and those with $ can already use it as means to get fresh water.. theres already has been battles for water supplies(isreal bombed some dams in 1960's that would have kept some water from entering their land). the real problem, like with food, is getting it to where it's needed.

      last summer was the warmest in LOOOOONG time here.
      and this winter looks like to be coldest if this keeps up.

      --
      world was created 5 seconds before this post as it is.
  20. A long time ago, by jericho4.0 · · Score: 2
    A long time ago, I worked in a bookstore, and a customer special ordered an art book entitled 'Zooipedia' or 'Beastapiedia' or some such.

    It was a series of full color plates like you would find in a Victorian biology book decepting an alien flora and fauna. I only had a short look at it, but was impressed, and would like to know the title and author. Anyone know what I'm talking about??

    --
    "A language that doesn't affect the way you think about programming, is not worth knowing" - Alan Perlis
    1. Re:A long time ago, by mahlen · · Score: 3, Interesting
      It's a long shot, but you might be thinking of the "Codex Seraphinianus" by Luigi Serafini, published in the U.S. in 1983. All the text is in some alien language (even the page numbers). Here are some of the images, perhaps they look familiar.

      mahlen

    2. Re:A long time ago, by Russ+Steffen · · Score: 2

      Though the name isn't similar, the book you describe sounds a lot like Expedition by Wanye Douglas Barlowe.

    3. Re:A long time ago, by jericho4.0 · · Score: 2

      That's probably it, it looks much like some of the illustrations I remember. Thanks.

      --
      "A language that doesn't affect the way you think about programming, is not worth knowing" - Alan Perlis
  21. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 2

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  22. One thing they seemed to leave out... by kakos · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I don't ever recall them speaking about dolphins in any respect. Dolphins are believed to be very intelligent (perhaps as intelligent as us). Their intelligence seems to make them a likely candidate for the next civilization, yet there is no mention of them.

    1. Re:One thing they seemed to leave out... by geek · · Score: 2

      Doesn't matter how intelligent they are, if they don't have thumbs they won't be able to do anything. Unless of course they develop phsycic powers.

    2. Re:One thing they seemed to leave out... by jpkunst · · Score: 4, Funny
    3. Re:One thing they seemed to leave out... by Cyclometh · · Score: 2

      I think that in order to evolve into a "civilization" as we understand it, a species would have to be able to produce fire, then machines... Kind of hard to do in an aquatic environment with limited ability to affect it (no opposable thumbs or even digits).

      I'm not saying dolphins aren't smart, but I don't see how they can make the next step up that ladder without leaving the sea. And growing digits of some type.

    4. Re:One thing they seemed to leave out... by NoMoreNicksLeft · · Score: 2

      I'm not entirely convinced that technology has to follow a fire/metallurgy path, to be viable or sophisticated. Was it Harry Harrison's world, where the dinosauroids have an incredibly sophisticated biotechology... they design living things as tools and even computers. The only use of metal by them in the entire book, is where they use a bio-engineered blob to "secrete" a ring of iron around a human specimen's neck. Fire is merely a "dangerous and rare chemical reaction".

      As for "growing digits", I agree somewhat, but do they have to be fingers? An elephants trunk is moderately agile, and certainly there are other possibilities...

    5. Re:One thing they seemed to leave out... by Cyclometh · · Score: 2

      As a fan of Harry Harrison's work (as you seem to be as well), I'd have to say that some of it is fairly fanciful; however, not being a scientist myself, I can't really say if the development of fire is an absolute requirement for sentience.

      But, I did use the word "digits" in place of "fingers", as I agree with you that it wouldn't have to be fingers as we have them, but rather something capable of manipulating the environment in a sophisticated fashion- tentacles or trunks would work as well. re: your comment about elephants, did you know that an elephant can pick up a sewing needle with its trunk? Of course, elephants also mourn their dead and "bury" them, so maybe they're the candidates for the next civilization. :)

  23. In 250 Years... by Quaoar · · Score: 5, Funny

    ...penguins will be able to actually sit down.

    --
    I'll form my OWN solar system! With blackjack! And hookers!
  24. Speculation, not Science by DrLudicrous · · Score: 5, Insightful
    I have not viewed this program, but I did look at the website, and I have seen the commercials. I believe that Animal Planet is a subsidiary of the Discovery Channel, and I am noticing a trend. All of these evolution-related programs on AP and DC are very, very speculative. It is not science. It is a guess, and not necessarily a well-thought out one.

    We are not talking about predicting what kinds of particles will pop out of a high-energy collision of heavy ions, we are talking about what life will look like in 200 million years. The former is good science, the latter is not. Did anyone notice that the DC's productions on Neanderthals, Dinosaurs, and Prehistoric Beasts were full of the exact same type of pseudoscience speculation? Worst of all, they had the animals doing such things as looking at the camera repeatedly, and even spitting out water towards the TV screen!!! I mean, come on! This makes for great ratings (maybe), but pisspoor science, AFAIAC. They had the Neanderthals going around stealing women and raping them without a shred of evidence that such things occurred, save that in our modern human society they do. Baboons that make fish nets? It seems that there is an overanthromorphization of just about every creature that is CG-rendered by these programs.

    Please, when you watch these programs, don't be afraid to enjoy them- but make sure you take them with a grain of salt. To a certain extent, I believe that these programs work against getting the American public to accept evolution as scientists do, instead encouraging misconceptions about basic principles of evolution, as well as providing fodder to anti-evolutionists. Hopefully, in the future, these will be done a bit more professionaly, with less emphasis on the art, and more on the science.

    1. Re:Speculation, not Science by f97tosc · · Score: 2

      Worst of all, they had the animals doing such things as looking at the camera repeatedly, and even spitting out water towards the TV screen!!! I mean, come on! This makes for great ratings (maybe), but pisspoor science, AFAIAC. They had the Neanderthals going around stealing women and raping them without a shred of evidence that such things occurred, save that in our modern human society they do

      Your point has actually been widely discussed in scientific circles, and there are two camps. You are basically presenting the argument of the conservative camp: these shows contain so much speculation that they should not be broadcast to the public.

      I basically belong to the other camp. I think that these shows can generate huge interest in Dinosaurs and Neandertals, and that is a good thing. It bothers me less that the producers take a lot of liberties in making up details beause they don't know how it really was or because they want to make it more interesting. Of course, this assumes that the basics are presented correctly, which they have been in the shows that I have seen.

      Based on what I read in other posts though, this program about future animals seemed to be a bunch of BS.

      Tor

  25. Didnt see it but by geek · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I know that animals on this planet have a 40 million year shelf life with very few exceptions (crocs, cock roaches, turtles etc..).

    After the last E.L.E. that killed off all the dinosaurs the animals that survived tended to shrink in size because of the lack of food. Cock roaches used to be quite large, something the size of say a football. Crocodiles were enormous and so were sea turtles. But since the larger animals require more food, evolution kicked in and the species naturally shrunk for survival.

    Considering the abundance of life on this planet and likewise food. It seems reasonable that species will continue to grow larger, that is unless insects take over which is quite possible considering they out number us greatly and carry some really nasty diseases.

    Humankinds downfall wont be global warming or nuclear war. We will be killed off by the only thing that is higher on the food chain than us, virii. We still can't cure virii, not even the common flu has a cure, and given it's yearly mutation (evolution) there is virtually no hope of curing viruses. We can postpone but not stop them i.e. AIDS. Biowarfare is happening today, but not from Iraq, mother nature has found our supierior.

    We may develop the technology to fight off the bugs, but thats a long shot and could be worse than the buggers themselves. Time will only tell.

    Aditionally, someone correct me if I'm wrong but isn't the moon supposed to leave our orbit in the next 60 thousand years? It's orbit is degenerating at a certain rate, meaning it will eventually leave us altogether. What impact will this have on life here? The moon is responsible for the tides correct?

    1. Re:Didnt see it but by Planesdragon · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Humankinds downfall wont be global warming or nuclear war. We will be killed off by the only thing that is higher on the food chain than us, virii. We still can't cure virii, not even the common flu has a cure, and given it's yearly mutation (evolution) there is virtually no hope of curing viruses. We can postpone but not stop them i.e. AIDS. Biowarfare is happening today, but not from Iraq, mother nature has found our supierior.

      Er, Viri aren't on the food chain. They're a parasitical life form that simply won't survive if they kill off all of the hosts. (And AIDS is a particularly bad example. The "simple" act of killing, neuturing, or ostracizing every HIV+ individual & blood sample would eliminate the virus in a way that, oh, killing TB infections wouldn't.)

      Plus, don't forget that humans aren't the only ones to suffer from virii. EVERY animal has its parasites; we just happen to know more about ours, AND we've got enough tech to beat back even the nastiest of them.

    2. Re:Didnt see it but by geek · · Score: 2

      Well virii do eat us in a way, parasite or no. The fact they are the only bugger son the planet that constantly and consistently kill us is pretty degrading. Tru they wont survive if we don't, but they don't know that. What's to stop the process?

      I didn't forget virii kill other species, mamals in particular. I just see it becoming more of an issue for our species than others, but that may have more to do with human intervention in curing animal disease, or at the least controlling it.

      I don't see AIDS as a bad example considering 80% of the population in Africa is now infected. No one will ever commit genocide by killing off all the AIDS patients, we are far to politically correct these days and neuturing would have no effect on it. Say 100 years from now AIDS becomes air borne? Doubtful but who knows. Doesn't mean a new bugger wont come around either.

      Anyway......... off to form some new conspiracy theories and doomsday predictions.

    3. Re:Didnt see it but by jericho4.0 · · Score: 3, Informative
      I agree with your take on viruses, but also think that us humans special place leads to a greater impact. Namely our medical treatments, lifespans, ease of travel, high density populations, monosourced food, etc.

      BTW, the OED only gives 'viruses' for the plural of 'virus'. this article has far too much information on the subject. :-)

      Going totally off topic, it was funny finding that link on perl.com, knowing Larry Wall's liguistic background. I'll save my opinion on perl for another forum.

      --
      "A language that doesn't affect the way you think about programming, is not worth knowing" - Alan Perlis
    4. Re:Didnt see it but by Galahad2 · · Score: 2

      Tru they [viruses] wont survive if we don't, but they don't know that. What's to stop the process? In one word: evolution. The fact that viruses aren't sentient isn't at all important. No one but humans are sentient: is every species but us just lucky that they don't all decide that it might be fun to stop breathing? Viruses that act in unfit ways, that is, contrary to their survival's best interest, become extinct. It's called "survival of the fittest"; I'm sure you've heard that phrase, but you clearly don't understand it. I don't see AIDS as a bad example considering 80% of the population in Africa is now infected. Uhh... 80%? According to the United Nations AIDs Program, there are 42 million people in the entire world currently infected with Aids. The population of Africa is around 800 million. Even if every single person infected with AIDs in the world happened to live in Africa, only 5% of the population would be infected. Not exactly 80%.

    5. Re:Didnt see it but by cruachan · · Score: 2

      It's effectively impossible to kill off any species by disease. Sure you can make it crash, but once the suseptible population density drops below a level at which infection can be spread efficiently then the disease burns itself out. Lots and lots of example of this from myxomatosis introduced into the australian rabbit population to plague in 13th C europe.

      Species die because their ecological niche dissappears. That can either happen because environment changes - be it from climate change or a passing asteroid :-) - or because they loose when a more efficient competitor takes over their niche.

      The only exceptions I can think of to this are the extinctions of the non-african mega-flaura by ourselves a few hundred thousand years back and similar events since (american carrier pigeon comes to mind). Otherwise, in the long term, disease cannot harm us.

      Ever see the population growth curve for europe since the 10th C? The black death killed between 1/3 and 2/3's of the population but it makes scarcely a dent - population was back to pre-black death levels well within a hundred years

    6. Re:Didnt see it but by shimmin · · Score: 2
      Aditionally, someone correct me if I'm wrong but isn't the moon supposed to leave our orbit in the next 60 thousand years? It's orbit is degenerating at a certain rate, meaning it will eventually leave us altogether. What impact will this have on life here? The moon is responsible for the tides correct?

      No. The moon IS moving away from us, but the energy to push it away comes from a slowing down of the earth's rotation via tides. As it gets further away, the tidal force it exerts shrinks, and shrinks faster than it retreats from the earth, so that even though the moon is moving away, the rate at which it is moving away is constantly decreasing. It will never escape Earth orbit.

    7. Re:Didnt see it but by Dyolf+Knip · · Score: 2
      As I recall, tidal drag slows the planet's rotation down by something like 1/100th of a second every century. We'll have 25-hour days by the 50 megayear mark.

      And yes, the moon is receding, but on time scales way beyond 60k years. It gets around 5 cm further away every year. This in turn affects the tidal drag effect.... basically requires degrees in astrophysics I don't have. Suffice it to say, it'll be _very_ long time (well over a billion years) before the Earth's pull is weak enough that some random perturbation can snatch Luna away.

      Well, we think tides are less important today, now that life is well established, than it was In The Beginning. Also, solar tides are still there, if less powerful. On the one hand, we really can't say for certain. On the other, life on this planet has put up with some very apocalyptic events in the past. I don't see the loss of most tidal effects to cause mass extinctions worse than anything the ecology hasn't already seen.

      --
      Dyolf Knip
    8. Re:Didnt see it but by bryan1945 · · Score: 2

      Didn't really read this post, but I will use all kinds of move inspired acronyms. Like "I Don't Ignore Other Truths", or "Maybe Onions Ran Off Nerds". Or maybe it's just the virii!

      --
      Vote monkeys into Congress. They are cheaper and more trustworthy.
  26. Was I the only one... by dasunt · · Score: 4, Interesting

    ...who looked at the squids and realized that H. P. Lovecraft might have been onto something?

    Only 200 years it takes for death to die.

    1. Re:Was I the only one... by Cyclometh · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Heh. While my wife and I were watching this show, they cut to commercial after showing a short teaser segment of the squids. My wife's comment was something like "So they're saying that Cthulhu gets the planet in 200 million years?"

      My response- "If the stars are right."

      I did find the HPL connection amusing, though.

  27. squid fetish uncovered by Tablizer · · Score: 2, Funny

    It seemed to involve too many squid derivatives, including two land squids.

    The author must have a squid fetish. Will Part 2 have "intelligent" squid that build tools and talk? The author can then use this as an excuse to put on the show he really wants: squid prostitutes, or Hosquid. The only TV sqid I know is Sponge Bob's neighbor. Sounds like a pretty good unexplored niche for news scripts and material to me. "Squid Trek: To slosh where no squid has sloshed before!"

  28. That's easy by core+plexus · · Score: 4, Insightful
    But first, a disclaimer: "Past performance is no assurance of future performance"

    Having said that, consider what organisms have been around for the previous 250 million years, and why:

    Tube worms, mosquitos, reptiles, dragonflies, and my faves, the octopus and cockroach, to name but a few.

    That's how animals will look 250 million years from now.

  29. Hah! by BJH · · Score: 2

    Everybody knows what's coming after us - the Great Race of Yith, inhabiting big beetle bodies.

  30. Totally Disagree by Galahad2 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I totally disagree with your idea that man will be killed off by viruses. At the pace medical technology is advancing today, we will be able to cure any virus-borne disease in no more than one hundred years. If all else fails, we can just use nanomachine virus death squads. Unless mankind loses all of their technology somehow, there is no chance of us being exterminated by a virus. And I can't think of a single feasible way, short of alien invasion, that that could happen. Even global thermonuclear war followed by nuclear winter wouldn't do it: there would be pockets of technology and knowledge held by the (many millions of) survivors.

    And it's not like there are, or can be, incredibly deadly viruses. The worst in the world (arguably) is AIDs, and it is hardly threatening mankind's survival. Far less than one percent are infected and even fewer die from it. Furthermore, no virus will survive if it is really good at killing. Viruses exist not to kill, as you seem to imply, but rather to propagate. Evolutionarily, a virus wants to hurt its host as little as possible. A virus that kills its host super-fast would burn itself out. Why do you think smallpox was so easy to eradicate? It was one of the most deadly viruses known to man, yet it was one of the easiest to kill off. Same with Ebola: it is incredibly lethal and contagious, yet far fewer than one hundred people die from it a year.

    In fact, there's no reason at all that man will ever become extinct. We will eventually colonize other planets and galaxies, exponentially reducing any threat to the species. Our technology will speed evolution up a million fold, eventually making humans effectively immortal. Nothing short of a Borg-like sentient race hell-bent on our destruction (or a planet-killing disaster in the next few hundred years) could kill us off. Sorry, universe, you're stuck with us.

    1. Re:Totally Disagree by jorbettis · · Score: 2
      Both oral and genetal herpes are strains of the herpes simplex virus. The former is HSV1 and the latter is HSV2. Nether are very harmful but HSV2 tends to come out of remission and be bothersome more often. Also, being a VD, it's politically considered to be more of a public health concern. Estimates are that between 50% and 60% of Americans have HSV1 and 20% have HSV2. Both diseases can weaken the immune system when they come out of remission and make the host more supseptable to other disease. Also, because HSV2 can cause open sores on the genitals, it increases the risk of contraction of other VDs, most importantly, AIDS. You are right though, both strains of Herpes Simplex are by themselves quite harmless to their hosts.

      Check out herpes.com for more information.

      --

      Jordan Bettis

      ``Wherever you go, there's another stupid sigfile quote.''
  31. Do I Ever Feel Sheepish... by Galahad2 · · Score: 2

    (Here is the properly formatted comment... what a /. newbie I am)

    Tru they [viruses] wont survive if we don't, but they don't know that. What's to stop the process?

    In one word: evolution. The fact that viruses aren't sentient isn't at all important. No one but humans are sentient: is every species but us just lucky that they don't all decide that it might be fun to stop breathing? Viruses that act in unfit ways, that is, contrary to their survival's best interest, become extinct. It's called "survival of the fittest"; I'm sure you've heard that phrase, but you clearly don't understand it.

    I don't see AIDS as a bad example considering 80% of the population in Africa is now infected.
    Uhh... 80%? According to the United Nations AIDs Program, there are 42 million people in the entire world currently infected with Aids. The population of Africa is around 800 million. Even if every single person infected with AIDs in the world happened to live in Africa, only 5% of the population would be infected. Not exactly 80%.

  32. See Singularity. by cosmosis · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I think the real question is what will we look like in 100 years? Assuming we are able to ride the accelerating technological curve into utopia instead of oblivion, in less than 100 years we are likely going to gain the ability to morph into almost any imaginable shape and/or becoming uploads traversing the universe.

    Planet P Blog - Liberty with Technology.

    1. Re:See Singularity. by Vireo · · Score: 2

      Humanity sure has done some progress in the twentieth century. However, "morphing into any shape" and "uploading ourselves to traverse the universe" in 100 years seems just a little to enthusiastic in my opinion.

      Sure we have "the technology" to go to the Moon, and maybe Mars, right now. But we certainly don't have the will (read economic ressources and interest), and I'd be happily surprised if just a handful of people would reside permanently outside the earth's atmosphere in 100 years. Hey, nobody's got to the moon, which is at our door, since 30 years, and NASA is planning to close the ISS for long stretches of time.

      It is much more likely that in 100 years, most of the world will be at home connected to the Net by VR -- and there play MMORPG games in which we have the ability to morph into almost any imaginable shape and becoming uploads traversing the universe...

    2. Re:See Singularity. by cosmosis · · Score: 2

      Your are right, the brain is not a digital device, but that does not mean that we can take all of its analog-mechanical/neuro-molecular/neurotransmitter functioning and improve on it. In fact, much of the functional at the axonic/dendritic level is a horrible waste of space, so the same processes can be carried out (analog of course) in a much more compact space (at least a 1000 fold decrease in size) - meaning that we can either have an equivalent brain 1000th the size or a brain with 1000 times more capacity (volume) that takes up the same space now. And did I forget to mention that those neurotransmitter processes are complex information pathways - and they can be digitized. This means that along with our 1000x capacity brains, we can have a 10^6 improvement in speed.

      Planet P Blog - Liberty with Technology.

    3. Re:See Singularity. by cosmosis · · Score: 2

      I'm afraid you are mistaken my /. friend. You are forgetting one very important thing:

      Nanotech will bring in the next 10 years - mass produced carbon nanotubes.

      This advance alone will revolution industrial design more than anything in the last 200 years. Among the wonder made feasible and affordable by carbon nanotubes are very cheap access to space with not only very lightweight (read cheap $/lb to orbit), but novel structures like Space Elevators.

      As far as morphing into any shape - disputing this means you also dispute that molecular assemblers are also impossible or at best very difficult in the next century. Do not forget Moores law, and that we can expect computers on the desktop running at Petaflops within 20 years. That kind of computer power will allow us to make incredible strides in protien folding and subsequently molecular manufacturing.

      Planet P Blog - Liberty with Technology.

    4. Re:See Singularity. by toriver · · Score: 2
      morph into almost any imaginable shape and/or becoming uploads traversing the universe

      Ah, I see someone has been watching the could-have-been-last Babylon 5 episode again (The Deconstruction of Falling Stars). Note: That was supposed to be 10 million years into the future.

  33. Works like car models by Gorimek · · Score: 2

    This sounds a lot more like new car models than species evolution.

    Cars usually get bigger, come in more colors, and have more chrome with each new model year, until the model is retired after 10 years.

  34. mmm-mmm-mmm-mm-petroleum by Anonvmous+Coward · · Score: 2

    What will animals look like in 250 million years? Who cares as long as my car runs.

  35. I don't think so, actually. by Staros · · Score: 2, Interesting

    If we look at history, we can clearly observe a pattern of increasing empathy in human behavior. Granted the biggest changes have probably only happened in a few recent centuries, but they have regardless.

    My point being, of course, things like slavery and other sort of inequality between people. These are things that were considered perfectly normal -- surely a slave owner in their time would've answered almost exactly like you did now to a question about what the slaves would be like in millions of year, substituting eating with working, of course.

    These were values of the time only perhaps questioned by a niche group at the time which the majority only ignored or laughed at. Slowly, however, the niche gained momentum, and suddenly you have a vastly different worldview like what we have today, where slavery is a purely negative thing. The Romans used to say that you can't have freedom without slavery; a vastly different interpretation to today's, don't you think?

    My hypothesis would thus be that the niche of animal rights activism today will grow to be a phenomenon supported by the majority. You can already clearly see the change by looking at statistics that show younger generations are adopting vegetarianism, veganism, or any of the many forms of conscious choice to abstain from supporting killing of animals. There's of course no guarantee the change will continue in that direction, but history, I think, shows it will.

    One thing also speaking in favor of this is the fact that just like for inequality of people, there is really no factual explanation for why a human life would be so much more important than the life of an individual of another species, and these tend to lose importance over time, when we move onto a (hopefully) more and more logical and scientific society. The value of human life consideration doesn't follow any logical pattern, i.e. a baby for all practices and purposes is perhaps even less sophisticated than many animals, but it's the potential people see in them that makes them important. On the other hand, a person with serious brain damage can also be on a much lower level than many animals, yet it is only the stamp of "being human" that is enough.

    This logical inconsistency is based on mostly on emotions and beliefs, partly on Biblical tradition, which is not nearly as important in defining society's values anymore as it was before, but also partly just for evolutionary instict to preserve one's own species, and since today the human race is hardly anymore in the danger of extinction, it has begun to fade in importance.

    I'm certainly unable to point a clear timeframe in which a change in these values will occur on a large scale, but the thing I think can be almost said for certain is that it will.

    1. Re:I don't think so, actually. by TygerFish · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Interesting observations, but you might consider alternative explanations for the some of the ways things have turned out.

      1. In a capitalist, industrialized society, slavery is less than useless. A slave's consumption of goods and services is limited by the resources and desires of his/her owner and with few exceptions--most notably, traficking in women in the southern parts of Eastern Europe--it is pretty much absent from anywhere where there is an industrial base.

      2. Sympathy for animals and for one's enemies can be seen as related to the level of material comfort that a society offers.

      Contrast the levels of development.

      Hunter-gatherer societies often revere their pray in religious rites, while Judaism, Islam and Hinduism have extensive rules governing what animals can be eaten (if any) and how the animal is to be slaughtered, dressed and otherwise prepared if its flesh is to be ritually pure.

      The followers of the ancient religions that have survived to the present did not proscribe meat-eating but they did regulate everything that surrounded it--even Hindus can be carnivores.

      It is only now, however, that we find ourselves in societies so rich that they give rise to psychologies where people are so filled with sympathy for animals that they adopt that part of foreign religious traditions.

      --
      To mail me, remove the 'mailno' from my email addy.
      "Yeah. It smells, too..."
    2. Re:I don't think so, actually. by styrotech · · Score: 2

      The Romans used to say that you can't have freedom without slavery; a vastly different interpretation to today's, don't you think?

      Really, I thought it was Nine Inch Nails that said that. Oh well, you learn something new everyday :)

    3. Re:I don't think so, actually. by bryan1945 · · Score: 2

      Nice tirade. PETA representative?

      Slaves, as they are humans, have conciousness (sp?), are self aware, and can demonstrably communicate with other beings.

      (For you non-interacting geeks out there, go watch the Star Trek episode where Data has to prove he's human)

      You are trying to place an artificial constraint on natural behavior. Lions eat lesser animals. Spiders eat insects. Humans eat whatever they want. Food chain, eh? Nice point about the "brain damaged" human- though very few animals are cannibals. Many species will protect "damaged" members, though some will sell them to the highest bidder for obscure dark magic rituals. By the way, I love animals, so you should now go bother dark mages!

      GO! NOW! Rid us of all dark mages! Your calling is awaiting you!

      (F'n crackpot)

      --
      Vote monkeys into Congress. They are cheaper and more trustworthy.
  36. Knock, knock, knock. Who is it? Land squid. by Soporific · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I see sharks becoming land creatures before squid do. And just on a personal level, I can respect a shark taking my place before I can a squid.

    ~S

  37. Sharks by tsa · · Score: 3, Funny

    I bet they say that there will still be sharks waaaaaayy into the future. After all, what would Animal Planet be without sharks?

    --

    -- Cheers!

  38. Not out of print either by jd142 · · Score: 2

    As others have pointed out, the author is Dougal Dixon. And the books aren't out of print either. You can order After Man from here:

    http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/tg/detail/-/03 12 194331/qid=1041771018/sr=8-1/ref=sr_8_1/002-459043 2-5004812?v=glance&s=books&n=507846
    http://www.po wells.com/cgi-bin/biblio?inkey=7-0312 011628-1
    http://www.powells.com/cgi-bin/biblio?in key=7-0312 194331-0
    http://search.barnesandnoble.com/booksea rch/isbnIn quiry.asp?userid=2VCMTHDF9B&isbn=0312194331&it m=3

    All ship in 2-3 days.

    The New Dinosaurs does appear to be out of print, but you can find used copies at:

    http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/tg/detail/-/08 81 623016/qid=1041771301/sr=1-47/ref=sr_1_47/002-4590 432-5004812?v=glance&s=books

    I suspect that while they may have talked to Dougal Dixon at some point, they didn't give him final approval of the the show because of some of the glaring errors (not to mention the stupid voice overs). The biggest error I saw go by was the giant turtle, the Toraton which had splayed out front legs. No animal that big would have a splayed leg arrangement; the legs become pillars directly under the animal. I also had a hard time believing the giant bats could take off from the ground. They would either need to be be redesigned with more pectoral muscles or once they are down have to take off from cliffs to soar. The Flish had the same problem -- the body shaped wasn't right for how the muscles should need to attach.

  39. Evolution requires mutation, not predictable by acroyear · · Score: 5, Interesting
    A comment I left in the "Future Is Wild" boards @ discovery.com:

    That Darwin's theory explains why things are the way they are, with regards to survival, it doesn't explain the HOW, which is mutation. Mutations occur and natural selection drives the duplication of the mutated genes 'til a new species is differentiated from the old.

    However, the nature of how mutations really happen, and how "good" ones that are "prefered" arrive (as we're very keyed in to hating anything "different" ourselves and often shun it in humans or kill it in animals) is what we as humans have not been able to truly see or test. Its hard to test, as mammals have too long a breeding period, and colonial insects (ants and bees) are usually dominated by the queen's genes. Most genes that change behaviours tended to have already been on the planet somewhere, and are only spreading now because we're accidentally spreading them (e.g., "africanized/killer" bees).

    The show did a good job of suggesting what natural selection might do, given a set of mutations over X million years to produce said animals, but the fact is that the mutations themselves are what's utterly unpredictable...and truth be told, rather boring by comparison to the end-results we saw.

    I consider evolution a fact, but not a law in the Newton/Einstein sense, because evolution can't be used to predict the future with any accuracy since evolution doesn't explain mutations; it only relies on them. It would be like trying to use Einstein to predict something in electrons without the use of calculus.
    --
    There's more of my commentary on the show in my journal @ slashdot, most of it influenced by talk from the same boards.

    --
    "But remember, most lynch mobs aren't this nice." (H.Simpson)
    -- Joe
    1. Re:Evolution requires mutation, not predictable by SpinyNorman · · Score: 2

      Mutations are essentially random, and "try" to take DNA in all possible directions. What dictates the directions evolution actually does take therefore isn't these unpredictable (other than being mostly random) mutations, but rather the selection pressures that weeds them out.

      For example, right now the larget selection pressure on cattle is exerted by their predator man (domestic cattle vastly outnumber wild cattle), and the most successful strategy for cattle DNA production in the face of co-evolution with man - odd as it seems - is to make them tastier and meatier to that we breed more of them. The selection pressure on cattle therefore predicts fat tasty cows, regardless of the DNA mutations (natural or man engineered) that take them there.

  40. web site is broken or ./ed by axxackall · · Score: 2

    I don't see any content - only advertisement headers.

    --

    Less is more !
  41. Accuracy may not be the point by jridley · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I haven't seen it yet (forgot about it before, VCR set now), but I see a lot of people complaining that their speculations didn't make much sense.

    I don't think that's the point. If a show like this can get people to think beyond their own lifespans, to think for even a minute that the planet will be here and building strange and wonderful things not only after they're gone but after their SPECIES is gone, that can't be bad.

    I personally can't believe the number of people that I talk to that, when some kind of calamity is talked about, if you say "It may happen in about 1000 years" they say "Well, who the fuck cares then?" - Damn, man, don't you have aspirations for your species?

    The number of people living for themselves, and BARELY even for their children let alone their grandchildren, and fuck all the rest is very disturbing to me. If anyone can introduce even a flicker of a long view to them, more power to them.

    1. Re:Accuracy may not be the point by superyooser · · Score: 2
      I agree that accuracy was probably not the point, but I think the reason for the program is not nearly as altruistic as you propose.

      The major objective is, of course, just to be as entertaining and sensational as possible. Next step: Profit!

      But beyond that, I can't help thinking that the ulterior motive is to advance people's belief in Evolutionism. It insinuatingly purports that we can be so confident in the truth of evolution up to now that we can be so bold as to imagine the effects of ongoing and future evolution and believe that real effects will take place.

      Let's be frank: Widespread belief in evolution is due to its pop culture status. In this day and age, it's fashionable to believe in evolution. Jurassic Park. Barney the purple dinosaur. Dinosaurs and evolution are chic. (I don't believe evolution to be a precondition for dinosaurs (or anything), but the two are tightly intertwined in the popular mind.) That's why the show was aired.

      At best, the show is just capitalism hitching a ride on the evolutionist pop culture science-fiction/fantasy hype. At worst, it's propaganda to further a sociological agenda, which is IMO, one that is destructive to the fundamental values and institutions which have enabled and sustained prosperous, orderly, and enviable civilizations.

    2. Re:Accuracy may not be the point by cje · · Score: 2

      Let's be frank: Widespread belief in evolution is due to its pop culture status.

      No offense intended, but this is one of the most inane things I have read on Slashdot in five years.

      You may want to consider that widespread "belief" in evolution is because it is part of standard biology curriculum all around the world. And it is part of this curriculum because of the weight of the evidence in favor of it, not because the Illuminati, the ACLU, and the homosexuals have a clandestine conspiracy with the Evil Atheist Underground in order to enslave children so that they may be fattened and eaten. (This is extreme hyperbole, of course, but your talk of evolution as "propaganda to further a sociological agenda" is a fine example of fundamentalist paranoia.)

      Here's an honest question for you: There are millions and millions of biologists, zoologists, botanists, paleontologists, etc. all over the world. Biological evolution frames the work that these folks do each and every day. If evolution is as flawed as some of you folks seem to think it is, don't you think that we'd see some major scientific outcry? All that I can see is hemming and hawing from a small but vocal number of "creation scientists", most of whom are from the US, and almost all of whom are Protestant fundamentalists.

      What does this tell you?

      --
      We're going down, in a spiral to the ground
  42. "After Man" was by Dougal Dixon by alanw · · Score: 3, Informative

    The original work was "After Man", "a zoology of the future", by Dougal Dixon, with an introduction by Desmond Morris.

    First published in Great Britain by Granada Publishing, 1981.

    ISBN 0 586 05750 1

  43. Eco commentary sponsored by Captain Planet by Julian+Morrison · · Score: 2

    Ah yes, the obligatory politcally correct "global ecological catastrophe", which in this case drives humans off the planet into space.

    Hmm, come again, it drives the most resourceful species in known existence off a planet, and into space - which has no ecology, period, and is the most hostile location yet known (outside of volcanoes or the deep ocean)? Scared of ice and smog, one retreats into a radiation saturated desert of hard vacuum?

    Eco hippies are so clueless sometimes.

    And even this whole "unable to survive their own pollution" thing is BS. Walk outside and smell the air. 19th century london pea-souper it is not. The environment is getting better, not worse. And even if it were not... We are the only species that lives in the cold core of antartica. We are the only species that has an outpost in orbit. And yet a tad of funky air is supposed to scare us off the planet? Hah, don't make me laugh.

    I suppose it's a cheap way of wishing humans out of the picture, but they could at least have invented something original.

    1. Re:Eco commentary sponsored by Captain Planet by jd142 · · Score: 2
      I suppose it's a cheap way of wishing humans out of the picture

      Yes, it was a non-disturbing way of getting humans out of the picture. In his book, Dixon points out that species have a limited lifespan, and there is no indication that humans are any different. So in his book, we have simply gone extinct, which is very likely to happen within the next million years or so. Perhaps that was too depressing for the Discovery channel.

    2. Re:Eco commentary sponsored by Captain Planet by cruachan · · Score: 2

      We are self aware. That's never happened before in the history of the earth so the same trends about species lifespan don't necessarily apply to us. Knowbody knows.

    3. Re:Eco commentary sponsored by Captain Planet by jd142 · · Score: 2

      Define self aware so I know what you mean by it. I can think of no human behavior or emotion that does not also exist in the "animal world" -- note how everyone always forgets that humans are animals too.

      Apes recognize themselves in mirrors; it's quite fascinating to see footage of them seeing a mirror for the first time and then working out what it is and how to use it. Apes have language and can even be bilingual (ape and something else), they have emotions, they even have pets. There's a very touching story (sure to get a derisive laugh from the jaded slashdot crowd) about how the kitten belonging to Koko the gorilla dies and how she got another one. She even named her pet smoke because it had a gray coat. (Not sure how much human influence there was there.)

      So you tell me what you mean by self aware, and I'll try to think of a couple examples of other species that are also self aware.

    4. Re:Eco commentary sponsored by Captain Planet by cruachan · · Score: 2

      A species deemed 'self-aware' enough not to be subject to the usual evolutionary constraints is defined as a species that is capable of debating if it is subject to the usual evolutionary constraints.

    5. Re:Eco commentary sponsored by Captain Planet by jd142 · · Score: 2

      Ah. So not self-aware in any of the general meanings of the word. I don't think any serious scientists debate whether or not we are subject to evolution. We are. There are no established "evolutionary constraints."

    6. Re:Eco commentary sponsored by Captain Planet by cruachan · · Score: 2

      The original assertion about us being subject to 'evolutionary constraints' was related to the purported observation that most species seem to have a 'lifespan' of 4 million years.

      Personally I don't think that observation is supported by good evidence anyway, but even if it were my comment is simply that because we are self-aware we are not subject to evolutionary pressures in the same way as any other previous species and would not be subject to this species 'lifespan' argument should such a concept exist (which I don't think it does anyway).

      Of course humans are subject to evolution in the same way as any organism, or indeed system, on which natural selection can operate. However as Darwin himself observed, artificial selection operates at a far greater rate than natural selection and can produce results in complete opposition to it - such as a French Poodle :-). Basically things just got complex because we now have to consider the compounded effects of both natural selection and humanity's deliberate actions.

    7. Re:Eco commentary sponsored by Captain Planet by jd142 · · Score: 2

      Evolution does not necessarily come from animals adapting to changing environments. Stating it that way also has the side effect of including an assumption that there's some sort of stimulus/response going on. The environment changes, species change to adapt. That's not what happens. This may happen, and in fact there may be evidence that very drastic environment changes create drastic mutatations, but the emphasis is different.

      What happens is that species are constantly throwing out oddballs or changes to the individuals, in other words mutants. There may exist something in this mutant that increases its ability to produce offspring. If those offspring carry the mutation, and if the environmental factors that enable that mutation to have an increased ability to produce offspring still exists, then the mutation will continue to be passed on. Perhaps, although not necessarily, this will lead to a change in species. It may not.

      Another way in which species can arise are through cultural changes. A subset of a species may develop different mating rituals, meaning that members of that culture are no longer attractive to members of the other culture becuase their mating rituals are too incompatible. Over time, these two cultures may drift far enough apart that 2 species arise.

      A similar split can occur through geographic separation.

      So to say that humans will are not subject to evolutionary forces is to say that there are no cultural differences, that there are no geographic barriers, and that mutations have stopped entirely. All of these are simply false.

      If there were no cultural differences, we would no longer have race problems (yes, I know that these aren't separate species of humans) because we'd all be part African, part Asian and part European. And we'd all look like Dean Cain or whats-his-name from Blackout and XXX.

      There are obvious geographic differences, especially with remote tribes in the Amazon and the south seas.

      And there's no way you can say that mutations don't happen.

  44. How precious by yerricde · · Score: 2

    will humanity survive another 10,000 years?

    H. G. Wells once predicted in The Time Machine that the human and orc races will be present in some form in 800,698 years, except humans will look more like Precious Moments figurines. And unlike in the recent movie, they won't speak English.

    --
    Will I retire or break 10K?
  45. Re:squid fetish uncovered- by Jenova · · Score: 2

    Or have Dr Zoidberg from Futurama as the evolved Squid(with claws)

  46. Mislabling the theory as fact has.. by waltc · · Score: 2

    ...been going on for years. At its heart, really, it's a religious-political issue, as some people find a measure of relief in calling it a "fact" instead of a theory; people don't like uncertainty, even when they're uncertain. I should say "some people" don't like it; others recognize that uncertainty is the foundation on which all real knowledge is built. A few hundred years ago it was also a "fact" that the world was flat. I imagine that there are many so-called "facts" in our current scientific vernacular which will give future citizens quite a chuckle--just as we often chuckle and shake our heads over the antics of past generations. Whatever you do, though--stay aloof from the argument. Zealots on both sides of this issue are voracious.

    1. Re:Mislabling the theory as fact has.. by PenguiN42 · · Score: 2

      Before you say that "evolution" has been mislabeled, you should define what you mean by "evolution." There are many different things it can refer to. For example, if you mean that the genetic distribution of populations changes (and has changed) over time, then evolution *is* a fact.

      Explaining *how* the populations have changed over time, however, would be a theory.

      See http://www.talkorigins.org/faqs/evolution-fact.htm l

      --
      The following sentence is true. The preceding sentence was false.
    2. Re:Mislabling the theory as fact has.. by PenguiN42 · · Score: 2

      (please note that I don't agree with everything mentioned on the evolution-fact.html page. For example, they say that it is a "fact" that all life forms come from previously living forms... but this in itself would make abiogenesis impossible! So yes, some scientists do throw the word "fact" around a bit too lightly)

      --
      The following sentence is true. The preceding sentence was false.
  47. Aargh.. by archnerd · · Score: 2, Funny

    discovery.com wants to set a cookie. Do you want to allow it?

    No, I most certainly do not.

    www.discovery.com wants to set a cookie. Do you want to allow it?

    No, I most certainly do not.

    This page requires flash. Click ok to download the plugin.

    [Cancel].

    Bye.

  48. Re:Not Tasty my friend by Twirlip+of+the+Mists · · Score: 3, Informative

    Compare an American chicken to an Italian (or, more generally, western European) chicken and say that again. European chickens are generally scrawny, tough, gamey birds. American chickens are fatter, and more succulent. This is partly because of different farming methods, but also due to the genetics of the different populations.

    There are other benefits to selective farm breeding. Farm-raised pigs have sweeter, more pleasant flesh than wild pigs, and are virtually free of Trichinella nematodes. Farm-raised veal results in a meat that is simply unavailable in free-range animals. And, of course, farm-raised seafood is almost universally superior to wild seafood.

    --

    I write in my journal
  49. Re:Dougal Adams by Twirlip+of+the+Mists · · Score: 2

    "Say, I wonder if this Homer Nixon is any relation?"

    "I doubt it, sir. They both spell and pronounce their names differently."

    The author of the book was Dougal Dixon. Not Dougal Adams, Douglas Adams, Gomez Adams, or John Astin. Okay?

    --

    I write in my journal
  50. accusations of plagarism by Twirlip+of+the+Mists · · Score: 2

    You guys might be interested to know that the famous illustrator Wayne Douglas Barlowe ("Barlowe's Guide to Extraterrestrials," "Expedition," "Barlowe's Inferno," plus a hell of a lot of book covers you've probably seen) has accused illustrator Dougal Dixon ("After Man," "Man After Man") of plagarism.

    See, after he wrote "After Man," Dixon published a book called "Man After Man" that speculated about how humanity might evolve with genetic engineering and whatnot. Barlowe accused Dixon of plagarizing one of Barlowe's unpublished sketches to use in the book. Barlowe has since published the sketch in one of his books with a note explaining the situation. I don't know if anything legal was ever done on the matter, but I know that Barlowe has a real stick up his ass about Dixon.

    --

    I write in my journal
    1. Re:accusations of plagarism by Twirlip+of+the+Mists · · Score: 2

      no, actually the sketch in his book "The Alien Life of Wayne Barlowe" is a sketch from his own evolved man ideas. No where in the book does it actually say that Dougal Dixon ganked from WDB or vide versa.

      I don't have a citation or anything right now, but the sketch I saw was identical to a drawing that made it into Dixon's book, and it was accompanied by a note from Barlowe stating that the work had been plagarized by another illustrator.

      --

      I write in my journal
  51. AIDS is not a virus! by Svenne · · Score: 2

    Ok, there seems to be some confusion here:

    1. AIDS can not become airborne, because;

    2. AIDS is not a virus, it's a condition. HIV is a virus.

    --

    Slagborr
  52. probably not much different by g4dget · · Score: 2
    At the rate we are going, either there will be a lot of animals left in five million years, or if there are, then we'll probably not be around to see it.

    It's possible that the mass extinction we are causing will cause a diversity of new body plans to spring up. But, more likely, the next 5 million years won't look very different from the last 5 million years, and, for the most part, animals weren't all that different or unusual over that period. The dinosaurs died out 65 million years ago, and, except for their size, even they weren't all that unusual in terms of morphology.

  53. Re:Not Tasty my friend by the+gnat · · Score: 2

    And, of course, farm-raised seafood is almost universally superior to wild seafood.

    My dad works with seafood a lot (in the industrial sense), and he mentioned this issue recently. Farm-raised seafood is typically very consistent, in the respect that every salmon (for instance) tastes very good and nearly exactly the same. However, he also said that the best wild salmon will still taste better- quality control is just much harder. This is in Washington state, and the way the fisheries seem to be going farm-raised is probably the superior alternative for a number of reasons, but it's not necessarily the best fish you can buy.

  54. Brief note about sloths... by amarodeeps · · Score: 2
    ...they are already really slow and therefore one might think easy prey for predators. In fact, it is possible that their slow moving style is a form of defense against eagles and hawks, and they avoid the ground and thereby avoid a lot of predators that way. Their sight isn't particularly saving them from predators. The fact they reside in trees helps (they also are somewhat naturally camouflaged), and they have a powerful jaw and claws that helps them defend against other predators (types of cats mainly, and snakes).

    I don't know if blindness would really do that much one way or the other; they use calls to alert each other of impending danger, they have a keen sense of smell and their methods of defending against predators doesn't really rely upon their speed (nonexistent) or sight (pretty poor). Blindness _may_ not be necessary, but of course it might be going to far to say they would lose it entirely...

  55. Three types by 3ryon · · Score: 2
    There are only three types of animals that will even exist in the next 250 million years:
    • Those that are tasty (because we will breed them for our own ends).
    • Those that aren't tasty, but don't compete with humans for resources (like the creatures that live on volcanic vents at the bottom of the ocean).
    • Those that aren't tasty, but evolve too damn fast for us to exterminate them all (roaches).
  56. Natural or artificial evolution? by SpinyNorman · · Score: 2

    Judging by the last 5 million, I'd expect animals in 5 million years time to look like pretty minor variations on what they do now. Perhaps the most startling change to us will be not so much on appearance but behaviour as some of the other great apes perhaps follow in our footsteps and develop greater intelligence for greater flexibility in the face of habitat destruction (assuming we don't just make them extinct, which of course is much more likely - probably within a few hundred years or less).

    Of course the answer to the question depends on whether we're just talking about wetware evolution, or life in general. Never mind 5 million years, or even a thousand, we should soon see artifical species as a result of robotics/AI, and in 5 million years time these may even have become the dominant type of life outside of critters like plants, bacteria and insects and fish.

  57. Which "scientists" did they talk to? by EvilBuu · · Score: 2

    I watched this on its second and third consecutive showing, and something immediately jumped out at me: in 5 million years, Paris will be an arctic wasteland, the inhabitants of which will be hunted by a creature with NO FAT. Snowstalker is "all bone, muscle, and fur", which means if it doesn't find a meal it metabolises its own muscle and organs and dies. Are there any examples of arctic dwelling mammals (or even non-mammals) today that have less than 30% body fat?

    Also, I think whomever they got to be their evolution "expert" was a big anime fan, as massive, multi-tentacled squid-creatures were featured in every other segment. At least on the Walking with Dinosaurs show on Discovery Channel they had some actual PhD Archaeologists talking about the dominant dino theories.

    --

    Green-voting, republican-registered, socialist-libertarian.
  58. Don't they watch today's nature documentaries? by geekotourist · · Score: 4, Informative
    Because if they'd seen a few more before producing this show they could have made it much better. I was fast forwarding far too many times- it was slow. Now that Tivo believes I am Charles Darwin I have a near infinite supply of "death in the desert- a viper's story" type shows (which I *do* watch, so it's not a bad thing). What a typical nature show has, which the Future is Wild didn't, include:
    • A focus. While they couldn't give us a mother and cubs, they could've given us the evolutionary equivalent. Take a couple of classes or orders and get us to care what happens to them over then next 200 million years. Introduce the squids early on. The only continuity TFIW had was "location of former cities"
    • Drama- rather than suddenly show the last mammal, they should've shown 100 million years of decreasing diversity.
    • Digressions. TFIW had few animals per time zone. If TFIW didn't have the computational budget to animate more they at least could have had more still shots. Documentaries tend to be filled with side loops, constantly showing local diversity- while the predator waits, we take five minutes to check out a cute symbiotic relationship, or a flock of colorful birds, or the prey's prey, or a dung beetle (which also is part of my next point...)
    • Humor. Let's see some baby spiders falling off the web before going into the extinction of mammals next time.
    A few random points relating to other threads in the comments:
    • Flying fish- yes, they do exist, flapping their tiny pectoral fins: check out some of the Amazonian Hatchetfish species.
    • The unlikeliness of X (giant land squid, silver spiders, etc): who'd have predicted what Pikaia-like creatures could lead to over the next 500 million years
    • the diversity of life over the past 500 million years: spend a few hours exploring the Tree of Life Project: after that, none of TFIW speculations seem too weird (although they made some physiological mistakes- as pointed out by others, the giant tortoises's legs don't make sense)
    • Extinct mammals: well, out of all of these all we have left are the birds.
    • Missing signs of humans: I've seen estimates (can't find them right away- one was in Sci-Am I think) that suggest most large-scale signs of humans (buildings, satellites, canals) would be gone within 500,000 years. Even the longest-lasting signs (large concentrations of radioactive elements, space probes, AOL CDs) won't last more than 100-200 million years given subduction, etc).
    1. Re:Don't they watch today's nature documentaries? by bryan1945 · · Score: 2

      So you want a touchy-feely humorous account of how life will be in 250 million years? Take the Cosby Show, add Good Dog University, and sprinkle in some Jerry Springer Show.

      Now you have a suburban family of 6 legged dogs cheating on their wives with she-wolves. Unless all the spiders failed the "Survivor" tryouts, though.

      I just wonder if your life has a laugh track....

      --
      Vote monkeys into Congress. They are cheaper and more trustworthy.
  59. I must say, by Alien+Being · · Score: 2

    for a quarter billion years old, you look marvelous! Absolutely marvelous!

    'nando

  60. incredible optimism by websensei · · Score: 2

    I am surprised to see so many otherwise informed people make such an optimistic assumption; that our species will live another 500 years, let alone 5 million, is in serious doubt.

    No?

    --

    La via sola al paradiso incommincia nel inferno
  61. Re:Hrmf by GMontag451 · · Score: 2

    If it really is the last age of the church, we stand a much better chance now of lasting 250 million years than we ever have in the past.

  62. Totally Disagree too - with you by Kjella · · Score: 2

    And it's not like there are, or can be, incredibly deadly viruses. The worst in the world (arguably) is AIDs, and it is hardly threatening mankind's survival.

    *cough* HIV is rated as level 2/3 on a 1-4 rating, four being the worst.

    "Although HIV is listed as level 3, laboratories engaging in primary isolation and identification may perform these activities in Level 2 laboratories, using Level 3 operational requirements. All research and production activities require Level 3 physical and operational requirements."

    Also, as humanity gets better at bioengineering, we could presumably create viruses far more deadly than the current level 4 viruses, Ebola, Lassa and a few more. Even those would probably kills lots and lots of people if the deadliest variants escaped from isolated areas where it is containable, it burns out as you describe there. But drop it at an international airport and you'll presumably kill more people than the Black Plague and every war since then put together.

    One of the things you miss is co-hosts, they live on in other hosts. The worst strains of Ebola are air-born (not touch, not sexual) and 100% fatal *to humans*. Once you reach critical mass fleeing people will bring the disease everywhere, and unlike the Black Plague people now don't move in ships and horse&buggy, but on international airliners and with cars. Besides, there doesn't have to be a connection between fast and lethal, it could still 100% kill you if it takes a week or a month, and by the time anyone notices just how bad the situation is, it could be around the world already.

    I'd say the world has been pretty lucky as it is. Granted, I don't think any virus could take out 100% of humanity, but I'd be willing to bet on 99%...

    Kjella

    Kjella

    --
    Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
    1. Re:Totally Disagree too - with you by Galahad2 · · Score: 2

      Exactly. You can't take out 100% of humanity. Even 99% would leave us with more than enough to repopulate the planet in a few generations. 99% isn't good enough to exterminate us. I referred to AIDs as the worst because it has killed the most. (I know about influenza; I'm talking about current strains.) Sure, airborn Ebola is 90% fatal, but why doesn't everyone die of it, then? Because its victims die too quickly. Even if it were spread in an airport, lots of people in cities would die, but everyone more than a day's travel away from a city with a major airport wouldn't be infected. You'd need something that is not only deadly and airborn, but also with an asymptomatic contagious stage many months long to do any real damage at all.

    2. Re:Totally Disagree too - with you by bryan1945 · · Score: 2

      Nice sig- if I were you I'd start far away from you, though. There is no strain of virus that is 100% fatal.

      "No connection between fast and lethal" Besides the HIV virus, can you point out one other example?

      *cough*"Also, as humanity gets better at bioengineering, we could presumably create viruses far more deadly than the current level 4 viruses" We are constantly in danger of producing more people that are as stupid as you. I'd give you a level 5.

      --
      Vote monkeys into Congress. They are cheaper and more trustworthy.
  63. Light-hearted fun by Sloppy · · Score: 2
    I finally saw the TV show and liked it.

    The key is, you need to not really think of it as a science show, and just think of it as someone's entertaining creative output. Use some squibbons or swampuses the next time it's your turn to DM.

    --
    As copyright owner of this comment, I authorize everyone to defeat any technological measure which limits access to it.