AMD, Transmeta Edge Up In Market Share
prostoalex writes "The new Mercury Research report on the microprocessor market is out, and it looks like the little guys are gaining ground. AMD now owns 15.7% of the market, instead of 15.6% a year ago, while Transmeta and other manufacturers went from 1.7% to 1.8% in a single year. Intel owns 82.5% of the market instead of 82.8% a year ago. News.com.com also notices: 'The competition between the two companies will shift into high gear over the remainder of the year. On Sept. 23, AMD will release the Athlon64, a new desktop chip that can run 32-bit and 64-bit software.'"
If AMD are releasing thier 64 bit chip early, does intel have any plans to? or are they still insisting that desktop users arent ready for 64 bit chips?
Be you Admins? nay, we are but lusers!
Surely those 0.1% differences are below the threshold of noise in the marketplace, if not in the sampling methodology?
BTW, I thought I had heard on the news that AMD was really hurting these days. Again. Anyone know?
Sheesh, evil *and* a jerk. -- Jade
0.1 of a percentage point? Whats the betting that is *well* inside the bounds of sampling error.
Nothing to see here, move along.
Athletic Scholarships to universities make as much sense as academic scholarships to sports teams.
This increase is tiny - it's not statistically sound. It's smaller then the sampling error.
That said, I've just bought a Dev Kit from Transmeta, and I love it.
I'm not Seth.
This is what gets me about Transmeta, saying that they increase their share when in a category called "other" which increases 0.1% means that Transmeta is up...
How ? Transmeta don't have enough sales to get in a category of their own, they may have DECREASED their marketshare but another minor player could of increased theirs thus making the overall sector go up.
I know that here at Slashdot we must all bow to the altar of Transmeta because their processor approach is all open sourced and they own no patents and follow the OSS way so purely... oh wait they don't ? You mean they do have patents and they don't release their architecture ? Oh it must be because Linux is their primary OS... nope again. No its because they gave Linus a job.
The story here is that Intel remain the massive player, AMD has made some minor in-roads but is still not gaining marketshare in the way they would really like, and that the figures actually represent and quarter on quarter DROP in sales percentage for AMD.
In otherwords a way to say this is that AMD have LOST nearly 1% of share over 3 months which isn't so positive.
But hey, if we can bash Intel and bump Transmeta why let the facts get in the way.
An Eye for an Eye will make the whole world blind - Gandhi
Is not this terrible that 30 years old, not very good architecture now gained a pass into the 21'st century? Was it not enough to extend the 8085 first to 8086, than to 80286, than to 80386 and now to x86-64? When will this end?
As far as I understand, the kind of applications most likely to benefit from going 64-bit are mostly database apps, where access to a 64-bit address space helps when working with huge datasets, and applications doing a lot of integer computations (cryptography?).
Could anyone point out for me a list of benefits for going 64-bit on the "desktop" too?
Regards
Well , it seems that AMD will be doing some serious damage to Intel with it's new Opteron. From what i read the sales haven't yet reached their peak and we might expect a new change to these statistics.
From what i understand AMD is moving very aggressivley right now and Intel has yet to produce a sign of response.
One can not help but wonder what the future will hold....
Slashdot Sig. version 0.1alpha. Use at your own risk.
I guess Intel would increase market share if we get stats on number of transistors sold.
Omnis amans amens
If you rearrange the letters in "amd transmeta athlon", you get "a short talent madman"... And here I though Bill Gates had nothing to do with this.
What about sales volume ?
Why do we only have percentages ?
What does this survey count ?
IT looks like they forgot ARM half a billion units, or Motorola and IBM increased sales of G[345] procs.
This 0,1% increase/decrease is unsignificant and this article is as noisy as these meaningless figures.
Trolling using another account since 2005.
"Floating Point Error found in method to calculate market share." It could happen!
-]Phreak Out[-
I don't see Transmeta and other manufacturers kicking Intel's ass soon because they are targetting a smaller amount of users with their ~1Ghz processors.
Not yet that is.
Going from 1.7% to 1.8% is a 6% increase!
... what's a decade between friends anyway when you celebrate 1% of gained marketshare in 2013.
Is this marketshare in units or dollars? AMD's prices are lower, so they may ship more units per %point than Intel does. Also, Intel may ship the same amount of processors, or even more, but lose a few bucks because people decide against buying bleeding edge and go for celerons etc.
Also, which market are we talking about? XBoxes count, but other console chip manufacuters such as Hitachi are not included. Or maybe they're just too cheap and included in the 'other' category?
Also note that a 0.1%point change doesn't mean anything. 45.63241% of convincing sounding statistics are too accurate to be true (margin of error 41.553%).
You'd be better of just looking at the fundamentals of the companies (or their divisions), like SEC filings, quarterly results etc. If you add up all the numbers of the competitors you've compared, hey presto, you can determine their relative marketshares in the market comprised of their aggregate customerbase.
Lies, damn lies, and then this!
SCO employee? Check out the bounty
If yours have been overheating like this then you've installed it incorrectly, simple as that. The current retail (read, cheap) heatsink/fan combos AMD ship with are already quiet - and plenty of aftermarket quieter ones are available if you want near-silent.
I've had 1700's overclocked to 2200 speeds running in a normal mini tower with only a single case fan to ventilate the case and they typically hit mid-fifties *at the most* under load, well within normal specs. They also work fine up into the 80s if you really want to push them.
If you want to get really paranoid about heat, make sure your case is well vented and stick a zalman flower passive cooler on it.
Wait, what market are we talking about?
Oh, right: "Mercury's numbers include so-called x86 processors shipped for inclusion in desktops, notebooks, servers and Xboxes."
So, these numbers don't tell us anything about the chips in Macs, Suns, SGIs, mainframes, Crays, Playstations, Palms, VCRs, cars, vaccuum cleaners, or toaster ovens. Just that Wintel stuff.
So what alternatives are there to Intel? I'm obviously aware of AMD, but what other contenders are there?
I'd be particularly interested in anything which can provide approximately Athlon XP1800 performance with low heat output and comparable cost, since I'd like to build a PVR which is as silent as possible.
Obviously low noise fans are needed, but I suppose the other alternative is to water cool it.
Donte Alistair Anderson Roberts - hi son!
Karma: Chameleon
Good for sweaty laps and changes of underwear.
Government of the people, by corporate executives, for corporate profits.
Ok, these are, technically, gains in marketshare for AMD and Transmeta, but they're so small that they are statistically insignificant, aren't they? Why is this article not saying that marketshare is more or less stagnant?
You see? You see? Your stupid minds! Stupid! Stupid!
If you do any audio/video editing, 64bits is a godsend.
Consider something relatively simple: transcoding a DV file into an MPEG4 file. For a medium length file you are talking 2-6GB of data.
Now, for a 32 bit program, the programmer must write his code to either a) process the file in a stream, with little or no memory (which means multiple passes over the file with a log file to record frame size data from pass to pass) or must write his code to work through a small window into the file, loading and reloading that window as needed. Neither approach is really friendly to the file system buffer cache.
In a 64 bit addressing system, the programmer can simply mmap() the file into his process memory space, and let the OS's VM system handle faulting the pieces of the file in and out. As a result, the OS's buffer cache logic can better manage what parts of the file are cached. Also, from the programmer's perspective the code gets much simpler (and simpler code is better!) - if he wants to access 2 parts of the file at once (for interframe compression, say), he just has 2 pointers. If he wants to seek forward, he increments a pointer. Simple. Easy.
And lest you say "But that's not something that Joe Average does" - consider the current crop of DV camcorders, DVD burners, and video editing software. Joe Average might not do this yet, but Joe (Average+2*sigma) does, and the threshold is moving downward.
I expect that when 64 bit Macs and 64 bit MacOS become available, the video editing software on the Mac will become the platinum/iridium standard for the industry.
www.eFax.com are spammers
OTOH the low-end sellers (like Via and Transmeta who target set-top and embedded devices) end up underrepresented because their processors are so cheap (or in some cases not even sold at retail).
Now clearly, this is a business report so only those who make big bucks count there. I'm just pointing out that the methodology, by design, ignores trends towards lower-cost pervasive computing.
my current personal system == Athlon 2600 with the retail HSF. Despite living in the south and being in a room where the A/C doesn't circulate well, this thing only runs in the mid 50s. The small builder I work for here deals exclusively in AMD systems (read: no P4s) and I can't remember a system ever coming back due to overheating problems. Like another poster in the thread said, if you're having major heating problems and you're not overclocking, there's something wrong with the way you've installed the parts.
So buy this report IBM & Motorola have a 0% market share because the total adds up to 100. Moto and IBM make LOTS of CPU's for computers OTHER than Apple as well. This is another statistic probably paid for and sponsored by Intel just as the Billionth processor news was.
Yell & scream & rant & rave... it's no use... you need a shaaaave ~ Bugs Bunny
It sucks, but that's the way it is.
In total units sold, by far the biggest selling microprocessors are 8051 derivatives, there are literally billions sold every year. But these aren't 80x86 compatible so they don't even know how to classify these sales.
read the *subject* of this story on slashdot.
How long till "classic x86 DOS" shows up when we search for "emulator" and "romz"? I miss prince of persia...
It might not be noise but based off actual units shipped. Tracked through records. If that is the normal way of doing it there is no statistical noise.
Besides results of much finer accuracy than that are accepted in some fields these days like subatomic physics. No one bats an eye lid at the precision of measurements there!
I think introducing some radically different architecture will never work out (intel kind of proved that), amd is going the right direction innovating inside the box.
You can say that again. What plagued the Itanium CPU was that in order to take full advantage of the CPU you had to essentially write code from scratch, which is an extremely expensive investment, to say the least. It didn't help that the Itanium CPU pricing is somewhere out in the stratospshere, too. =( Small wonder why it took quite a while before the first Linux distributions that support Itanium native mode finally shipped.
With the Athlon 64 CPU, not only can you run current legacy x86 code unmodified, but it's a pretty straightforward step to modify current x86 code to support x86-64 instructions. This is Linux is already running in x86-64 native mode, and don't be surprised that Microsoft will likely have x86-64-native versions of Windows XP Home/Professional and Windows 2003 Server shipping before the end of 2003.
...Transmeta and other manufacturers went from 1.7% to 1.8% in a single year.
In other news, CPUs do not exist outside US. Seriously, wasn't this supposed to be big in Japan?
For Transmeta, that 0.1% increase in market share is a 5% increase in sales. Granted it's only significant because their market share is so small, but they definitely have more reason to celebrate than AMD does.
Free Software: Like love, it grows best when given away.
actually, I have on my desk 4 AMD Thunderbird (950+Mhz) CPUs all dead from heat and all were properly installed with the fans still spinning, one of them was from my personal workstation. I don't know about the XP or later series, but from what i've seen, there's at least SOME credibility to the heat damage argument, also, the famous tom's hardware videos (i'm sure if you look, you'll find them) demonstrate pretty well that amd has a flawed thermal management system compared to the pentium. (even though running a CPU at all deserves the loss of said CPU, dying fans happen every day, and that really just doesn't deserve the loss of a whole CPU.)
Please keep in my that my ADHD keeps me a little scatter brained and I sometimes can't focus long enough to
You make good points about optimization.
But gcc is still what most of us use. Kind of a different application of, "'something that works' is the enemy of 'excellent'" that so often gets applied to X86 and Windows.
The living have better things to do than to continue hating the dead.
The market share is computed on units, not dollars. Intel doesn't get any more of a boost than AMD.
The methodology doesn't ignore any trends -- that's why it's done in units. As mentioned in a previous posting the one-tenth of a percent gain in the "Other" segment was VIA, which is definitely benefiting from the lower-cost computing trend.
The statistics relate to what they are labeled as: x86 CPUs. This isn't a report on PC unit shipments, it's a report on x86 processors.
As an aside, the document these figures are from includes Apple processor shipments as well -- which have been roughly 800K-1.1 million units per quarter since 1995. But the statistics here are x86, and that't not what Apple uses.
I can also assure you that the statistics Mercury produces are far from bought and paid for by Intel. We've documented both Intel and AMD's rising and falling shares for the past 10 years, as well as those of VIA, Transmeta, and a number of now-defunct suppliers. It would take an imaginative conspiracy theory to believe that Intel and AMD coordinated transfer of "sponsorship" to coincide with share changes.
I personally don't care between the AMD and Intel, but if I was Intel I would be a little worried. The Opteron appears to be a good chip (we are getting a dual 244 (1.8GH)processor box in this week), and currently competes against the Xeon. Well from what I can tell it spanks a Xeon in 32 bit Linux server software. Now for us that means that we don't have to purchase a 4X Xeon box for Oracle but can use a 2X Opteron. That saves our company ~$40,000 in software cost!
To me the real question is how fast can AMD clock this thing? Will Intel respond with some good chip? (Xeon 3GH 1MB cache doesn't cut it). How good will AMD64 be for desktop apps? Will Doom3 support AMD64 and if so how much better will it run?
Do I think that Intel should panic? No!!! They can use their "MarketShare" to force motherboard vendors and OEM's not to support AMD, but that will only last so long. But if (and this is a big if) AMD64 is a great chip and can outperform anything Intel has on the desktop side, Intel should worry.
The more I learn about science, the more my faith in God increases.
Hmmm...
Looks to me like all these numbers say is that Intel market share dropped by 0.4% of its total over the last year. That's not much of a loss. AMD's market share went up by one tenth of a percent for a percentage increase of 0.6%. That's not much of a gain. Considering that AMD is supposed to be offering better chips at a more reasonable cost, it seems to me that it must be doing something wrong to have an overall growth that's so lousy. At this rate, it will take over a thousand years for Intel to get to the point where it has less than 50% market share.
I think that AMD makes good procesors -- we have quite a few computers in the office using AMD chips. However, I don't think that they're "gaining ground", and neither did the actual article, which states that AMD "ekes slight gain". The real news of the article is that processor sales in general are picking up, which is probably good news for everyone in the tech industry, right?
Karma: Chevy Kavalierma.
.1% a year. Heh...
At this rate, AMD only needs another 668 years to get to where Intel is right now.
Not bad, at least we're making progress...'gaining ground', as they call it.
Too bad the snails in my backyard even gain ground faster.
$an "amd transmeta athlon"
/usr/games.
This assumes you have an installed. Debian puts it in
I got 1,495,995 combinations! Unfortunately you have to weed through them to see what might make sense:
Rot Manhattan damsel
Damn anal thermostat
Matt marshaled no ant
Toad rant at helmsman
Tenth NASA marmot lad
Now to make sure AMD gets in there:
$an -c amd "amd transmeta athlon"
Re: AMD lost Manhattan
Last 10, AMD Marathon
AMD Earthman lost tan!
No Hamlet rants at AMD
AMD harlots met an ant
Darn, not enough "s"es to make Slashdot anagrams out of that phrase.
In that case, what about Via? I intuit that their admittedly tiny C3 market share has been increasing. I wonder how their numbers compare to Transmeta.
(Trying to pull up Cyrix to see if they still make anything x86, but the page isn't loading.)
One of the biggest problems of porting to another instruction set is that ALL drivers would have to be re-written to get the full potential of the hardware (that is the big deal with AMD64 and Windows 64bit edition). Not that 32 bit drivers do not work on a AMD64 chip, but that it would not work as well. Change that to a completely different instruction set, and you get big problems.
Just look at the Itanium: big, expensive, LOUSY to program for.
I think the PPC and AMD64 will merge sometime down the road, but only when IBM/AMD/Apple is really ready to go against Intel/Microsoft. Remember, neither AMD or IBM even has the fabrication CAPACITY to challenge Intel yet. That's the real reason AMD hasn't gained market share.
[RIAA] says its concern is artists. That's true, in just the sense that a cattle rancher is concerned about its cattle.
You seem to think that the clock speed is a sure way to know a processor's performance; it isn't. If I remember correctly (chip geeks will correct me if I'm wrong), the 2Ghz G5 from Apple is faster than even the faster P4.
Treehugger? Treehugger... Treehugger!
However IBM's recent entry, the PPC970, has radically altered the desktop landscape. The new Apple computers powered with the PPC970 are genuine workstations sold as desktops. The ARS Technica article indicates that the SPEC2000 performance for the PPC970 is 937 and 1051 for integer applications and floating-point applications, respectively. The Athlon64 is a weaker version of the server chip, the Opteron. The PPC970 has about the same performance as the Opteron. (reference: SPEC performance list)Hence, the PPC970 is sure to beat Athlon64 across a broad range of applications.
What is particularly interesting about the PPC970 is that it was designed and built largely without H-1B employees. Both IBM and HP have a policy of not hiring anyone who does not have American citizenship or permanent residence unless that applicant has a Ph.D. Clearly, American companies do not need H-1B employees to produce awesome products.
I was thinking of buying a fast CPU and avoiding having a fan revving at 5000rpm to keep it cool, not overclocking.
Donte Alistair Anderson Roberts - hi son!
Karma: Chameleon
AMD vary the heatsinks/fans quite a bit actually. Currently, anything over a 2.2 has been shipping with really quite nice retail heatsinks/fans - copper-cored, hologram on the fan and they really are pretty quiet...the old green plastic ones were a bit on the unsubtle side but current ones from the last six months are actually very good. there are some excellent aftermarket ones out there, though - personally for really quiet, i'd say either go passive if you can, or if not stick an 80mm fan on there with an 80-60mm adaptor. a larger fan is quieter for the same amount of air moved...
It's funny you should say that, 64-bit processors started to come out about 10 years ago in workstations, and 64-bit UNIX soon followed. Microsoft even had a portable OS back then (NT 3.51) which ran on MIPS and Alpha, as well as intel, but only in 32-bit mode.
Microsoft os only now getting around to producing a 64-bit OS, having killed the nice portability they had built in, so they really limited their choice of processor architectures.
The reason the portability went away was that when NT went from 3.51 to 4.0 the HAL (Hardware Abstraction Layer) went away in the interest of speed. A lot of stuff went in the kernel that shouldn't, with stability problems as a result.
Stick Men
AMD's sponsoring a contest to promote animation and digital short film development for 64-bit. Two grand prize winners get an Athlon64 system, $6,400 and global visibility at AMD's launch events for Athlon64. More info at http://www.amd.com/us-en/0,,3715_9392,00.html?redi r=ANUS01