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Space Elevators Going Up

MikShapi writes "CBC is running a new piece on the Space Elevator. Nothing dramatically new, as we're all still waiting for one of the many Carbon Nanotube research centers to announce they reached the famous 100GPa red line from page 10 of the NIAC Phase 2 Report, thus obtaining 'unobtainium' [pun intended], the material necessary to build the Elevator. The report predicts this will happen during the course of the next two years or so. It's then that the fun really starts - A REAL all-out space race, open to everyone with will and a national budget, winner probably getting to own space [read last paragraph]. In the meanwhile, we can all spread the word, discuss, debate and brainstorm every nook and cranny of the program here on Slashdot, and give Edwards a shoulder by giving the program every bit of mass-exposure we can."

160 of 473 comments (clear)

  1. Top floor.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    Weightlesness, radiation, and hard vacuum.

    1. Re:Top floor.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

      Hello Mr Tyler.. .. going down?

    2. Re:Top floor.. by njcoder · · Score: 5, Funny

      I just wonder if they'll be putting in one of those security cams so that security gaurds can keep themselves entertained watching couples fool around on the over night shift.

    3. Re:Top floor.. by mccoma · · Score: 5, Funny

      heck, I hope someone straps a decent antenna to thing so I get good cell phone reception, like the commercial.

    4. Re:Top floor.. by njcoder · · Score: 4, Funny

      Come to think of it. What's the deal with cables? Cables are absolutely the wrong way to go. I see cables having their purpose though but not how they intend.

      You'd need a very fast way to defy gravity and climb that cable. I say screw the cable. We need bungee cords. it's going to increase the speed at which we can get objects into outer space. Not to mention the revenues stream from all those GenX Addrenalin junkie millionaires out there that would want a ride.

    5. Re:Top floor.. by Exatron · · Score: 4, Funny

      I'm wondering if it wouldn't be easier to build the thing out of upsidaisium.

      --
      "I think so, Brain, but 'instant karma' always gets so lumpy." - Pinky
      "Decepticons FOREVER!!!" - Ravage
    6. Re:Top floor.. by Zork+the+Almighty · · Score: 4, Funny

      Damn it, we just got this thing built and some punk ass kid comes along and pushes all 22,000 buttons!

      --

      In Soviet America the banks rob you!
    7. Re:Top floor.. by notestein · · Score: 4, Funny

      Good God man, this will never work!

      After 63,000 miles of listening to elevator music, everyone will be insane!

    8. Re:Top floor.. by Captain+Splendid · · Score: 2, Funny

      You mean these?

      --
      Linux, you magnificent bastard, I read the fucking manual!
    9. Re:Top floor.. by Phekko · · Score: 2, Insightful

      It WILL be one helluva boring ride, that's for sure. Even if the thingy accelerates to like 2000km/h it'll still take like 50 hours to reach the top. Hope that elevator has a good bathroom and a nice restaurant not to mention a bed innit.

      What kinda pings do you think they'll get from up there by the way?

      --

      Sigs for Nerds. Sigs that Matter.
    10. Re:Top floor.. by chtephan · · Score: 4, Informative

      No, actually the middle floor will have no gravity (geostational orbit).

      The top orbit will have "gravity" in exactly the opposite direction because it's spinning faster than than the required speed to stay in orbit. It has to pull on the cable to keep it from falling down.

      It is somewhat like going through the earth. As deeper you go the gravity will diminish. In the middle of the earth: None. On the other side the gravity will increase again but in the opposite direction.

    11. Re:Top floor.. by Paradise+Pete · · Score: 2, Insightful
      He's modded higher than you, bitch.

      It does not bode well for you if you're measuring your self-worth by how you get modded on slashdot.

  2. Emergency open / close buttons by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    Will they have emergency override controls on the cargo deck? Watch 'Aliens' if you don't understand why this is necessary.

    1. Re:Emergency open / close buttons by kfg · · Score: 5, Funny

      Well damn, talk about serendipity, guess what just came on Encore? And it seems they've lost contact with the colony.

      I wonder if anything bad happened to them?

      KFG

    2. Re:Emergency open / close buttons by shadowbearer · · Score: 2, Funny


      Nah, no way. It's just a transmitter problem. But let's send a full squad of space marines out to make sure, just in case.

      Oh, and Ripley. Let's not forget Ripley. After all, "she saw an alien once"

      SB

      --
      It's old. The more humans I meet, the more I like my cats. At least they are honest.
    3. Re:Emergency open / close buttons by 1u3hr · · Score: 3, Funny

      Open the pod bay doors please, Hal.

  3. Doubtfull by Smitedogg · · Score: 5, Insightful

    A REAL all-out space race, open to everyone with will and a national budget, winner probably getting to own space

    I predict that there will not be a space race, because the cost-benefit isn't acceptable yet. If this technology is only 2 years away (doubtful again), then there would be massive funding to accelerate the program if there was enough interest. Lack of interest now means that there is probably not going to be much interest when the nanotubes arrive.

    Dogg
    1. Re:Doubtfull by houstonbofh · · Score: 5, Insightful

      There will be funding just as soon as it looks like someone else could make it. No one will want to be the president who "Lost space to the Chinese." Embarrassment is a powerful motivator.

    2. Re:Doubtfull by stealth.c · · Score: 5, Informative

      Not two years away. More like fourteen. According to the article, it would be two years away once research has produced the proper technique for creating a cable, and once someone produces 650 tons of the stuff. Earlier in the article he mused that they were 12 years away from such a thing.

    3. Re:Doubtfull by Jeff+DeMaagd · · Score: 4, Interesting

      One thing I really question is the claim that there will be or can be only one final winner in "owning" space. I'm sure there will eventually be wars and such but dominance by one group doesn't mean exclusion of another. There are times where one group in a particular realm is the "king of the hill" but often there is room for other players too, without the help of that "king".

    4. Re:Doubtfull by AndroidCat · · Score: 4, Insightful

      And it would be nice to do a few trials first. Make a bridge out of it, put a few miles of it up in space. See how the stuff lasts over a couple years under various loads and conditions. A space elevator is a very messy thing to have an "oops" with.

      --
      One line blog. I hear that they're called Twitters now.
    5. Re:Doubtfull by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

      I can see the headlines in 2018 already:

      OPENING OF NEW SPACE ELEVATOR ENDS IN FIASCO
      During the official opening of the first space elevator
      a tragedy happened when the president was asked
      to "cut the ribbon". This prematurely destroyed the
      twenty billion dollar project, sending a rock with a
      100,000 km long ribbon attached to it into space.
      Read more on pages 2, 3, 4, 6 and 8.

    6. Re:Doubtfull by Jerf · · Score: 5, Insightful

      If exponential growth predictions hold true, and the "first entity" locked out others from use, then the "first entity" would be a "winner" simply due to taking off too rapidly for others to feasibly catch up. That doesn't make the other entities "losers", except in relative terms; they may always be four years behind but that four years may represent a factor of, oh, as long as we're being fanciful let's say 50.

      However, I think there's a majorly false claim in there, which is that the first owner will lock out everyone else. Obviously, the first order of business when you have a space elevator is to put up more of them, and for a while they may indeed have a monopoly. But given the resources still available on Earth, someone will eventually tender an offer for a fully-completed cable that the first entity can't refuse; no matter how valuable the cable, it is possible to pay the owner off today with $X dollars, which the first entity will (correctly) perceive is more valuable to have it in liquid form, available to then invest back into other things. That price may be sky-high, pun semi-intended, but there are people on Earth who will be able to afford it.

      By buying a completed cable, they can jump-start themselves up, and as more and more entities do this, it'll start looking more even. While the first mover will have a true advantage that may last a very long time, I don't see a situation where they maintain a 20x advantage over everybody in perpetuity; the value proposition of liquidating one of the cables is just too appealing.

      This assumes a capitalistic owner of the first tether, and if the US gets there, the world can for once be glad that we see everything in terms of dollars, sooner or later, because that means that we will indeed have our price (though in the truest capitalistic tradition, it will be all the traffic can bear!). If it's not the US, well, it depends on who gets there first, but even so, it would take a very strong government to turn down the offers it would get... some of which are quite likely to be of the "offer you can't refuse" variety. ("Dear China: We still have nukes. Sincerely, All Nuclear-Capable Countries.") I still can't imagine a plausible long-term scenario where somebody maintains a massive, multiplicitave lead indefinately, though again, serious short- and medium-term advantage do accrue to them. (If nothing else, they'll need to draw on international capital to invest in space itself.)

    7. Re:Doubtfull by znu · · Score: 3, Interesting

      From the other side, the idea that exponential growth will begin immediately after an elevator is constructed is probably total nonsense. There simply won't be that much demand. In a world where cheap access to space doesn't exist, nobody invests in things that demand cheap access to space. Once cheap access to space becomes possible, investment in such things will explode (probably to bubble-like proportions), but it will take years of R&D before the new stuff that will be created will actually be ready to load on an elevator. It takes time to build entire new industries up from essentially nothing.

      In any case, regardless of the economics, there are several countries which will want to have their own space elevators, simply for reasons of national security or prestige. The US would not be at all happy with the idea that China could cut of its reasonably-priced access to space, for instance. So, don't expect anyone to have an elevator monopoly for long.

      --
      This space unintentionally left unblank.
    8. Re:Doubtfull by brandido · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I predict that there will not be a space race, because the cost-benefit isn't acceptable yet. If this technology is only 2 years away (doubtful again), then there would be massive funding to accelerate the program if there was enough interest. Lack of interest now means that there is probably not going to be much interest when the nanotubes arrive.

      One of the interesting points that Dr Edwards makes about the space elevator is the first one to build one has an exponential advantage over followers. This is primarily due to the fact that you can "spawn" off full-sized elevators off an existing one for a fraction of the cost of building a new one. If we don't have the plans and infrastructure in place to build an elevator as soon as it is a viable option, we may as well not even try - someone will have already beat us to the punch.
      --
      First Falcon-1 to orbit, then Falcon-9. Then I can die a happy man.
    9. Re:Doubtfull by brandido · · Score: 3, Informative

      Can you say "bullwhip the size of a planet"? I would NOT want to be beneath the path of that thing if it broke. The tsunamis would be interesting too.

      Actually, there should not be too much of physical backlash or impact from it - the majority of the cable would burn up when entering the atmosphere. The main danger, as covered in the article and Edward's report, would be the danger from inhaling nano-tube particles. Some early results of rats exposed to nanotube inhalation have been pretty negative.
      --
      First Falcon-1 to orbit, then Falcon-9. Then I can die a happy man.
    10. Re:Doubtfull by linoleo · · Score: 3, Informative

      sending a rock with a 100,000 km long ribbon attached to it into space.

      I do appreciate the joke, but if you were to actually cut that ribbon at ground level, all that happens is that the space elevator goes into a slighly elliptical orbit: the cut end of the ribbon ascends a few miles into the atmosphere only to come back down 12 hours later to pretty much the same location, where it can be snagged and re-anchored (same procedure as when the elevator is first lowered from orbit). A mishap for sure, but nothing more.

      --
      Be faithful to your obsessions. Identify them and be faithful to them, let them guide you like a sleepwalker. JG Ballard
    11. Re:Doubtfull by thre5her · · Score: 2, Funny

      Can you explain how this 'centrifugal force' is holding the cable up? I've never heard of such a thing :)

    12. Re:Doubtfull by linoleo · · Score: 3, Interesting

      the idea that exponential growth will begin immediately after an elevator is constructed is probably total nonsense.

      That's correct, because the exponential growth will begin several years *before* the space elevator is operational, as soon as it looks like the project might actually succeed. Do you know how airplanes, satellite launches, RAM, and other items dependent on scarce, expensive manufacturing capabilities are procured? Companies purchase options for these things decades before they actually need them. In fact, much of the manufacturing capacity is *financed* through such options. Why would the space elevator be any different?

      nobody invests in things [that don't exist yet]

      *Investment* is by definition in things that don't exist yet. Otherwise it's called a *purchase*. Investors are very well capable of looking years ahead and weighting risk vs. profit.

      it will take years of R&D before the new stuff that will be created will actually be ready to load on an elevator.

      A communications satellite that goes to GEO by space elevator differs from one that goes to GEO by rocket only insofar as the former has to suffer far less g-forces on ascent and can therefore be built more cheaply.

      The US would not be at all happy with the idea that China could cut of its reasonably-priced access to space, for instance.

      Like they're not at all happy that China could cut off its reasonably-priced access to clothes, shoes, and electronics, for instance?

      --
      Be faithful to your obsessions. Identify them and be faithful to them, let them guide you like a sleepwalker. JG Ballard
    13. Re:Doubtfull by linoleo · · Score: 2, Informative

      One thing I really question is the claim that there will be or can be only one final winner in "owning" space.

      One word for you: Microsoft.

      Not a monopoly cast in stone for all time, but a small player that is in the right place when a major new frontier (with subsequent exponential growth) is opened, can go on to lock competition out of the market for decades. This should be well undertood on slashdot of all places.

      The most economical way by far (factor of 1000 or so) to build the *second* space elevator is to use the first one to lift the components. This provides a very simple way to lock out the competition: refuse to lift their CNT ribbon. Add to that the headstart in the technology and practical experience operating the things, and it looks pretty likely that whoever owns the first space elevator will own all of them for quite a while.

      Actually, an even better analogy than Microsoft are the railroad barons. Do the names Vanderbilt, Carnegie, etc. ring a bell? Most of the "old wealth" in the US is still in the hands of those families whose ancestors controlled for a few decades the only economic means of transport to the American West.

      --
      Be faithful to your obsessions. Identify them and be faithful to them, let them guide you like a sleepwalker. JG Ballard
    14. Re:Doubtfull by Firethorn · · Score: 2, Informative

      The true reason for 'dominance' is the amount of MASS that the space elevator would allow to be lifted. If they devoted some of the lifting capabilities to military use, they'd be able to lift enough kinetic-kill satellites to prevent any other country from building another, as well as being able to kill any launch from space (if they're willing to go that extreme). A little more mass, and they'd be able to strat-nuke any country/area they wanted, for the ultimate in extreme. Military doctrine still holds that holding the high ground is critical to victory. Right now the orbitals are the 'high ground'.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    15. Re:Doubtfull by jafiwam · · Score: 4, Insightful

      If you mean "pretty much in the same place" as in "on the equator" then sure.

      Though the orbit is geosynch, it isn't because of the distance of the center of mass of the thing. It's the distance of the center of mass of the thing while tied to the ground.

      Let it go, and it gets an elipitcal orbit that is NOT geosynch, and the thing comes back from it's elipical orbit somewhere else on the same latitude.

      Next, you are also assuming the thing does not have any "springyness" and bunch up on itself.

      Not a trivial problem.

      I bet you a taco dinner that if the cable gets cut on the ground it never comes back in a way that can be used.

    16. Re:Doubtfull by Idarubicin · · Score: 2, Insightful
      The most economical way by far (factor of 1000 or so) to build the *second* space elevator is to use the first one to lift the components. This provides a very simple way to lock out the competition: refuse to lift their CNT ribbon.

      But a space elevator isn't an operating system or a software suite. It doesn't have to be interoperable with other space elevators in the manner of networked computers. Nor is it like a railway--there are no fixed right-of-ways. There's no limit on the number of tracks to space that can be built. (At least, not that we have to worry about in the next few decades.)

      The owner of the first elevator can prevent other people from building a second elevator for less money than he can by refusing to lift their ribbon...but he can't keep them from doing it for the same price as it cost to put the first one up. You can bet that national governments not on friendly terms with the first owner will immediately band together to invest in their own elevator. Actually, they'll likely start a crash program as soon as it looks like the first elevator might be built. Remember--building the second elevator will be a lot faster and cheaper than building the first one, just because we'll already know not only how to do it, but that it can be done.

      Heck, you never know. Maybe the elevator will be put under the control of an international non-profit organization. Maybe everyone will get along. Maybe the freight charges will be reasonable. Now I'm just dreaming...

      --
      ~Idarubicin
    17. Re:Doubtfull by barawn · · Score: 2, Informative

      No tension eh?

      So the cable stays taught because it has hairspray on it?


      Sigh. I actually thought you might have read something about the space elevator concept.

      The cable stays taut because of gravity. There is no tension between the cable and the ground. There is, in fact, no reason that the cable needs to touch the ground at all.

      The cable remains taut because the center of mass is in geosync, and the inner cable needs to keep up with it - tension.

      Imagine a spacecraft at geosynchronous orbit which extends 1 meter of cable downward, and 1 meter of cable upward. It, of course, stays at geosynch, because its center of mass is still at geosynch. Now have the spacecraft repeat that thousands of times, until the cable reaches near the Earth's surface. That's a space elevator. Don't think of it as interacting with the ground in any way. It isn't.

      Cut it at the bottom, and it goes in orbit.

      I'm sorry, but you're wrong. The cable already is in orbit . Cutting it at the bottom will simply move its center of mass infinitesimally higher, and will simply make it drift to the west very very slowly. Obviously it won't come back to the same place 24 hours later, so that part of the post was completely wrong. But cutting it at the bottom won't do anything. The cable will likely just sit there.

      Ballparking some numbers: if you cut off the bottom 1 km of a 100,000 km cable, that will move the center-of-mass out about 0.001%. The cable's orbit was at a 24 hour orbit, and orbital periods go as proportional to the 3/2s power of the radius, so the period will increase about 0.001% (this is *really* ballparking). This means that the period increases by about one second per revolution. Something at the Earth's surface moves about half a kilometer a second while rotating (40K kilometers in ~ 80K seconds), so this means it moves about half a kilometer per day to the west. This means that it moves about 5 millimeters per second to the west.

      Considering all they need to do is spool out 1km more cable downward, I think they might be able to recover it.

    18. Re:Doubtfull by linoleo · · Score: 2, Informative

      The cable already is in orbit . Cutting it at the bottom will simply move its center of mass infinitesimally higher, and will simply make it drift to the west very very slowly.

      Not quite - it will depend on how the SE is actually being used at the time. Consider: the SE must remain in GEO *when loaded* at the bottom at its maximum payload capacity, or else it would come crashing down. Thus when operating at less than maximum capacity, the anchor must supply the missing mass to balance the SE, so there will be tension at the anchor point. When the ribbon is cut in such a situation, the SE will go into an elliptical orbit.

      If 15 tons of payload are cut off at the anchor, this actually corresponds to the mass of 2'000 km of ribbon. I guess the counterweight at GEO ameliorates this, but I can't calculate by how much. (The very first counterweight can't be too massive since it will have to be lifted by rocket.)

      --
      Be faithful to your obsessions. Identify them and be faithful to them, let them guide you like a sleepwalker. JG Ballard
  4. 100 GPa red line is not enough by zeux · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Getting 100 GPa for carbon nanotubes composite is one thing. Getting 100 GPa on a 100000 kilometers carbon nanotube composite is another.

    I'm more interested in the length of the nanotubes than in their strengh since increasing the strengh is quite easy (basically all we need is to increase the fraction of carbon nanotubes in the composite) compared to increasing the length of the composite.

    1. Re:100 GPa red line is not enough by tehdaemon · · Score: 4, Informative
      Umm, between one and two times* anything above geosync orbit would not ever land. It is possible that up to geosync*2 of it could, the part above geosync could be pulled down by the longer and therefore heaver lower half. If the elevator is longer than that, it would not fall. It would stay in orbit, and actually pull up. (cut it at the bottom and watch it ascend . . )

      *This assumes that each section of the elevator has the same mass as any other equally long section.

      --
      Laws are horrible moral guides, moral guides make even worse laws.
    2. Re:100 GPa red line is not enough by liftwatch · · Score: 5, Informative

      While there is a difference between achieving 100 GPa over very short lengths and over 100,000 kilometers, it's not as much as you might think.

      The longest individual nanotubes we can reliably produce are on the order of a couple of centimeters. But once we have nanotubes on the order of a meter long, they will probably be sufficient to produce a long ribbon with sufficient loading on the nanotubes themselves.

      The limiting factor is not the length of the nanotubes in a composite (beyond a certain point, anyway), but rather how effectively the nanotubes themselves can be made to bear the load. Nanotube exteriors are slippery, like graphite, so the challenge is being able to stick them together in a substrate the transfers load effectively between them.

      For this, a process known as "functionalization" comes into play. This basically means adding small appendages to the nanotubes so that they have more traction within the substrate.

      LiftWatch.org carries regular space-elavator news items. Here are some recent articles on CNT advances:

    3. Re:100 GPa red line is not enough by Moofie · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Building a space elevator from the bottom up would be, IMO, utter madness. Top down is the way to go.

      Think about it: How wide would the base of a tower 30,000 miles tall have to be? Hint: REALLY WIDE. I'd want somebody REALLY smart to tell me that when I got this huge, VERY RIGID, thing all set up, that the tidal forces from the other planets and the sun weren't going to move my counterweight asteroid around very much.

      Tensile load is your friend.

      --
      Why yes, I AM a rocket scientist!
    4. Re:100 GPa red line is not enough by Moofie · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Geosync is approximately 22,241 miles away. Earth's circumference is about 24,000 miles. So, assuming you have a big counterweight asteroid, and not a double-length space elevator, a little less than once. Depending, of course, on where the break occurs.

      The carnage that such an event would wreak absolutely beggars the imagination. Read Kim Stanley Robinson's Red Mars. Skip to the last few chapters if you just want the space elevator stuff.

      --
      Why yes, I AM a rocket scientist!
    5. Re:100 GPa red line is not enough by linoleo · · Score: 3, Informative

      The carnage that such an event would wreak absolutely beggars the imagination.

      The carnage would be non-existent. The proposed ribbon has the approximate shape, weight and composition of carbon paper (remember those?). All but the lowest few km would burn up in the atmosphere. The rest might land on your head with all the force of a fluttering sheet of newspaper.

      Read Kim Stanley Robinson's Red Mars. Skip to the last few chapters if you just want the space elevator stuff.

      The truth doesn't always make good fiction, and good fiction doesn't always tell the truth.

      --
      Be faithful to your obsessions. Identify them and be faithful to them, let them guide you like a sleepwalker. JG Ballard
    6. Re:100 GPa red line is not enough by linoleo · · Score: 3, Informative

      100GPa is only about ten times as strong as good steel.

      You've missed a zero - last time I've checked high-strength steel alloys were below 1 GPa.

      The "cable" is going to have to be pretty substantial.

      You're missing the point: since virtually all the tensile strength is required to support the mass of the ribbon, that ribbon must perforce be both extremely tough *and* extremely light. Plans call for a ribbon weight of only 7.5 grams per meter, which is actually less than a sheet of laser printer paper.

      I think it would hit the ground, relatively intact, at supersonic (but nowhere near asteroid) speeds.

      Nonsense. The proposed ribbon is made of carbon, and thus has the aerodynamic and chemical properties of an extremely long and tough piece of paper. In other words, any pieces accelerated to high speed by orbital dynamics will burn up; any remaining fragments will flutter harmlessly. The only extant concern is the potential release of (potentially carcinogenic) free carbon nanotubes; this needs to be investigated.

      All of which you would already know if you'd bothered to follow the link I provided instead of arguing from ignorance.

      --
      Be faithful to your obsessions. Identify them and be faithful to them, let them guide you like a sleepwalker. JG Ballard
  5. Fwoosh! by Faust7 · · Score: 4, Funny

    "If the whole thing fell somehow like you cut it at the counterweight, cut it way up at the counterweight, it would wrap around the Earth a couple of times," Laubscher says.

    Well, that's fine. Calculate the length of that sucker just right and you've got a quick, exhilarating way to travel from one point on Earth to another.

    1. Re:Fwoosh! by shadowbearer · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Methinks Laubscher has read too much into Kim Stanley Robinson's books.

      Don't get me wrong, they're great SF, but the modern designs for a space elevator don't have much in common with KSR's.

      SB

      --
      It's old. The more humans I meet, the more I like my cats. At least they are honest.
    2. Re:Fwoosh! by Gumshoe · · Score: 2, Funny
      "If the whole thing fell somehow like you cut it at the counterweight, cut it way up at the counterweight, it would wrap around the Earth a couple of times," Laubscher says.
      Well, that's fine. Calculate the length of that sucker just right and you've got a quick, exhilarating way to travel from one point on Earth to another.


      Good point, but in this instance I doubt that any of us are "this tall".
  6. Huh??? by builderbob_nz · · Score: 5, Funny

    thus obtaining 'unobtainium'

    OK for someone who can hardly remember a thing about High Scool Chemistry, Unobtainium, what's that? A new term for good karma?

    --

    Karma? Hey I just call it as I see it.
    1. Re:Huh??? by Dr.+Weasel · · Score: 5, Informative

      Unobtainium is a term for non-existant wonder materials. In this case carbon-nano tubes are unobtainium. As in unobtainable.

    2. Re:Huh??? by zcat_NZ · · Score: 3, Informative

      Unobtainium; A general term for any material that is, for all practical purposes, impossible to obtain!

      --
      455fe10422ca29c4933f95052b792ab2
    3. Re:Huh??? by Brandybuck · · Score: 4, Funny

      Unobtainium; A general term for any material that is, for all practical purposes, impossible to obtain!

      And once it's obtainable, it will retain the name "unobtanium", because administratium will continue to be a necessary component of any NASA project. If you aren't aware, administratium is the only element whose atomic weight increases after fission.

      --
      Don't blame me, I didn't vote for either of them!
  7. Oh, oh yeah? by Faust7 · · Score: 5, Funny

    In the post-9/11 world, the first space elevator, built by the United States, would be a tempting target for terrorism.

    Not if our brand-new Department of Homespace Security has anything to say about it!

    Imagine, if you will, a solid 3D column of security, with an outer edge in the shape of the U.S., starting at the U.S. and extending infinitely into space. I think if we tried, we could even make it glow the whole way. Put a scare into some of those E.T.'s.

    1. Re:Oh, oh yeah? by myowntrueself · · Score: 4, Funny

      That would be fantastic; a wall to keep the yanks out (of the rest of the world)! ;-)

      yeah yeah troll, flamebait, yeah whatever

      --
      In the free world the media isn't government run; the government is media run.
    2. Re:Oh, oh yeah? by Smidge204 · · Score: 2, Funny

      I think a better (and more appropriate) name would be the Department of Homestar Security.

      Do you have what it takes to join the Department of Homestar Security? Will you bring a sack lunch? Do you have the five bucks?!

      =Smidge=

    3. Re:Oh, oh yeah? by dandelion_wine · · Score: 3, Informative

      I don't hear that kind of optimism coming from the scientists.

      Rather, there is talk of an ocean platform where you've got nothing for hundreds of miles, including air traffic. That way there's plenty of chance to intercept anything even remotely heading into the area.

      An aircraft carrier, a sub, and a couple of patrol boats could then do the job.

  8. Put the elevator in Cayambe, Equador by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Almost exactly on the equator and above a lot of the weather.

    1. Re:Put the elevator in Cayambe, Equador by jabberjaw · · Score: 2, Insightful

      If this is soon to become a reality (a large if, see my post below), than every nation on Earth is going to want to host it. Would Equador have enough standing on the world stage to pull this off?

    2. Re:Put the elevator in Cayambe, Equador by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      That peak would be a good spot for the end of a orbital railgun. You might have to decide which would take precedence, the elevator or the drag strip. :)

    3. Re:Put the elevator in Cayambe, Equador by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

      As far as countries on the equator go, Ecuador's competition consists of Colombia, Brazil, Sao Tome & Principe, Gabon, Republic of the Congo, Democratic Republic of the Congo, Uganda, Kenya, Somalia, Maldives, Indonesia and Kiribati. I reckon they've got a shot!

    4. Re:Put the elevator in Cayambe, Equador by brandido · · Score: 3, Informative

      I think one of the places that they are currently considering is just off Perth Australia. I am ont sure about Cayambe, Equador, but they are looking for an Ocean based anchor point for the elevator so that the base can easily be moved to help it dodge satellites and debris. Additionally, it needs to be in a region of low lightning activity and low hurricane/intense winds, as intense weather activity could threaten the elevator, particularly during early phases of it's construction. For some of the criteria that would be used to find a anchor location, check out Edwards report.

      --
      First Falcon-1 to orbit, then Falcon-9. Then I can die a happy man.
  9. Uh.. by hookedup · · Score: 2, Funny

    "At year fifteen the first entity has six cables up including two 106 kg cables, has a manned station at geosynchronous, has recouped much of the construction cost through selling two cables and through hundreds of launches on its eight cables,
    and is beginning construction of a Mars cable"
    There is plans for a mars cable now? Isnt that um, impossible given our orbits in relation to each other?

    1. Re:Uh.. by cnkeller · · Score: 4, Insightful
      Isnt that um, impossible given our orbits in relation to each other?

      Two different elevators guy. One on mars and another on earth. For lauching payloads from both planets. We are going to eventually have to travel home from mars....

      --

      there are no stupid questions, but there are a lot of inquisitive idiots

    2. Re:Uh.. by tuxedobob · · Score: 2, Funny

      I understand Britain tried that once. It's called Australia.

  10. This is good and all....but by ImTwoSlick · · Score: 4, Funny

    It's nice that we're on our way to creating the materials needed for a space elevator, but where are we going to find a big enough rock to attach to the other end?

    1. Re:This is good and all....but by Jeremi · · Score: 4, Informative

      where are we going to find a big enough rock to attach to the other end?

      According to the book, the plan is to send up a rocket with the smallest possible cable. The cable gets lowered to Earth and secured (cable also gets spooled out in the opposite direction, in order to keep the spacecraft in orbit). Then they send up a series of progressively larger robots along the ribbon. Each robot adds more material to the ribbon as it climbs, and when it gets to the top of the ribbon, it stays there to add to the mass of the counterweight. So basically we bootstrap our way up.

      --


      I don't care if it's 90,000 hectares. That lake was not my doing.
  11. Better Space Sation ? by ThomasFlip · · Score: 3, Interesting

    When this technology finally comes into fruition, would it not basically put the ISS out of buisness ? You could basically do all of the things the space station does but also be able to lift and unload new cargo without launching rockets. And if this technology is only 2-3 years away, won't this be ready before the station is even built ?

    --
    If the dollar is an "I owe you nothing", then the Euro is a "Who owes you nothing." - Doug Casey
    1. Re:Better Space Sation ? by DoraLives · · Score: 2, Interesting
      When this technology finally comes into fruition, would it not basically put the ISS out of buisness ?

      One should hope so, shouldn't one?

      --
      Is it fascism yet?
    2. Re:Better Space Sation ? by Honor · · Score: 5, Informative

      The station is not only intended for putting things in orbit or for cargo purposes, but also for experimentation. The space elevator can only get the stuff/people up into space, but without a place to put them they arn't much use. Therefore, the ISS is still just as important as it was before, maybe more so. With the ability to more cheaply and easily get experimentation materials to the station, experimentation in space will become cheaper and more widely available. Perhaps with this new space elevator students can even go beyond the "vomit comet" and actually go into space. One easily accesible space station will inevidabley lead to others, soon.
      With the competition that all of this new technology is/will be producing, a commom point like the ISS is important to unite the major countries.

    3. Re:Better Space Sation ? by some+guy+I+know · · Score: 2, Interesting
      The ISS will almost certainly used to build and maintain it.
      I doubt that very much.
      It's not in a geosynchronous orbit, and it's not in an equatorial orbit.
      The platform from which the cable is lowered to the Earth (and from which the counterweight is "raised" away from the Earth) must be in an equatorial geosynchronous orbit, in order to remain above the same location on Earth at all times.
      Moving the ISS to such an orbit is probably not cost-effective.
      My guess, though, is that the ISS could (and probably will) be used for testing some space elevator concepts, such as doling out long cable, etc.
      --
      Those who sacrifice security to condemn liberty deserve to repeat history or something. - Benjamin Santayana
    4. Re:Better Space Sation ? by Keith+McClary · · Score: 4, Funny

      You could basically do all of the things the space station does

      What does the Space Station do?

    5. Re:Better Space Sation ? by ColaMan · · Score: 3, Informative

      Except of course that the cable is stationary from the surface of the earth all the way up past geosync orbit (30,000k's).

      The ISS however, is moving at about 6-7km/s, in a different orbital inclination, barely a few hundred k's up. Getting material from the elevator to the ISS is going to be rather tricky.

      I hope they've done all the sums involved with regards to moving the base of the cable around a bit, wouldn't want it to get severed by a LEO satellite.

      --

      You are in a twisty maze of processor lines, all alike.
      There is a lot of hype here.
  12. Star Trek... by TheKidWho · · Score: 5, Funny

    Second Floor Scottie!!

  13. What does human advancement require? by ObviousGuy · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Whenever a space story is brought up, some person always brings up the argument that perhaps we should spend money on the poor instead of a useless space elevator (or whatever the space story du jour is). I don't think they are arguing correctly. Space is just as important to human advancement as feeding the hungry, curing chronic diseases, and providing a livable environment is. I don't think you can order these in importance, they are all important.

    But they go hand in hand with each other. Unless we truly believe Matthew 5:5, that the weak will inherit the Earth, it will take a worldwide view of humanity to move us to the next stage of human advancement which is the eventual separation of humans from the Earth and into the galaxy. We can go this alone, leaving the world's poor to their own devices, while the space superpowers leave them behind. However, when the day comes that certain small groups of humanity take to the heavens leaving this world and venturing off into the depths of space, how will history treat those of us living now who failed to hold the hands of those unable to stand with us as we raised humanity to new heights?

    The space elevator is a great achievement. Hopefully we will begin to have a true space-based space program that is not dependent upon sending rockets to the space station. This would be the largest step in the path to Earth separation since the first manned space programs.

    However, taking steps only with our strongest leg means we are still limping. We must strengthen all our limbs as members of the human family, IMO.

    --
    I have been pwned because my /. password was too easy to guess.
    1. Re:What does human advancement require? by homerjfong · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Warren Buffet often argues that since he is more productive than average, it's better for him to put his money to work than donate it to the needy. Once he dies, the argument goes, the money (a greater sum due to compounding) can be distributed. Take any discovery expedition - Columbus, Cortez, Polo - figure the aggregate value gained vs. the actual cost. This is the principle of investment.

    2. Re:What does human advancement require? by Artraze · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Although I agree that the poor and hungry should be helped, humananity doesn't seem mature enough to help them yet. It's too bad really.

      Think of all the fuss made about the outsourcing of jobs. These jobs are a perfect way for Indians to earn money and rise above poverty. That is way people should be helped: give them an oppurtunity. Instead, people (such as prospective presidents) are trying to eliminate this! *sigh*

      Then there is this War on Terror business. Although many people will argue that it was(is) a bad thing, there are many (esp. humanitarian) pluses. Rebuilding provides work and money. Better infrastructure means more jobs/oppurtunities. I just saw a (quick) news report on Afganistan. The US is providing villages with tools for digging wells and improving buildings. *sigh* again. People don't think this is right.

      Spend more on welfare! Now that's a proven program!

    3. Re:What does human advancement require? by 1u3hr · · Score: 5, Insightful
      Whenever a space story is brought up, some person always brings up the argument that perhaps we should spend money on the poor instead of a useless space elevator

      I'm sure that more is spent on any one of: cosmetics, fizzy drinks, cigarettes, SUVs, cocaine. If you're just talking about govt expenditure; at least 100 times as much is spent on the military.

      If access to space is much cheaper, the benefits to the world will be immense; though it'll take a few decades. Even back in the 70s when O'Neill advocated space colonies in the L5 orbits it was possible to make a case. With a much cheaper launch method it becomes compelling.

    4. Re:What does human advancement require? by Goldsmith · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Every stage of major social advancement throughout history has come as a result of increasing opportunity.

      Were it not for exploration and technological advancement, we would almost certainly still be living as serfs to some fuedal lord.

      When the US was founded as a large republic, many people thought it would never make it. The success of representative government has improved the lot of many people, and arguably, the poor of the entire world.

      Now, we are all at a standstill. There is no place for people to go who seek to try something new. There are no experimental governments anymore, and there are no nation-wide experimental social systems. Individuals or small groups fight to improve the world, but there's nothing to be done against the inertia of the status quo. Things will improve, but slowly.

      Space offers that opportunity we need. Naive people see space as a playground for the rich. If we're going to have a playground, we're going to need to build it. The first people who will go permanantly up in a space elevator will be construction workers and engineers.

      When you take into account the resources available, and what it means for an end to mining and power production on earth, you have a pretty powerfull vision.

      It's remarkably short sighted to argue against taking ALL of humanity a step foward because we're not all on equal footing. We NEED to take this step foward, DESPERATELY, in order to help solve poverty, exploitation and many other ills in the world.

    5. Re:What does human advancement require? by solarrhino · · Score: 3, Informative
      Hey, you'll love this. According to NASA's 2005 Budget Request, the FY2004 total was about $15.378 Billion. Whoa, a lot of money, right?

      But according to this 2003 article, "Pet owners are expected to lavish $31.5 billion on their animals" - more than twice that total!

      Hey, you got to take care of your pets and all that - nobody's arguing that. But people have to have a sense of proportion. We spend less on NASA than we spend on dogfood? Then maybe the cost-benefit ratio makes a little more sense.

      --
      "Lord, grant that I may always be right, for Thou knowest that I am hard to turn" -- A Scots-Irish prayer
    6. Re:What does human advancement require? by NoData · · Score: 4, Insightful

      We NEED to take this step foward, DESPERATELY, in order to help solve poverty, exploitation and many other ills in the world.

      With all due respect, I call bullshit. Your arguments and the parent post's arguments are simply so much sentimental claptrap.

      There's so much clamor for 'intellectual honesty' in the current political climate, let's start here.

      Let's call a spade a spade. Space exploration is worthwhile because we, as a society, have decided that the enrichment of human knowledge is a virtue per se. Knowledge for the sake of knowledge. Human endeavor. It needs no other rationalization.

      To say that space exploration is worthwhile because of unrealized, indeterminate side effects that are not the goal or intention of the pursuit, but held up, nevertheless, as some sort of social promisory note is just sophistic rhetoric. Tomorrow, I'll go tell the homeless guy down the street the good news: "Worry not, dear poor person, for we are building a space elevator that will elevate the dignity of all humankind, and so too shall your station rise!" Yes, and then I'll go tell the patients in the oncology ward that we shall cure cancer by building flying cars, for surely some modicum of the technology needed to build a flying car will make cancer fly from the body as well.

      Here's the thing: Multiple fronts. Society proceeds on multiple fronts. We don't stop space exploration because we have sick and poor people. We don't stop researching epilepsy because we have diabetes, stop researching diabetes because we have AIDS, stop researching AIDS because we have cancer, stop researching cancer because middle aged men have erectile dysfunction. What we DO do (giggle) is engage in a torturous debate in resource allocation. In terms of real life application, space exploration is an incredibly expensive, high risk investment with a possibly high payoff potential on a very far time horizon. But in the short term, we learn a lot about how the world works. This does improve the human condition in some abstract sense, but to say that it is a necessary step to curing some of our pressing social ills is disingenuous. The way to address our pressing social ills is to, you know, address our pressing social ills. We just have to figure out how to do that in a responsible way and still leave enough money over for the purer, less immediately tangible pursuits that we collectively value. Doing this factor analysis well is the hallmark of good government.

    7. Re:What does human advancement require? by 1u3hr · · Score: 3, Informative
      Not to diss NASA, but how many people do you know who have benefitted significantly from the space program?

      We've all benefited greatly from weather and telecom satellites.

      Note these are both forms of information -- to get physical goods and energy, it's still much too expensive. Thus a radically cheaper way to get to orbit will make much more possible (solar energy collection, asteroid mining, to pick a couple at random).

    8. Re:What does human advancement require? by MyHair · · Score: 2, Funny

      the weak will inherit the Earth

      Doesn't matter. We'll just beat them up and take it back.

  14. Two books... by Aardpig · · Score: 5, Informative

    The Fountains of Paradise by Arthur C Clarke and Red/Green/Blue Mars by Kim Stanley Robinson. Both discuss the politics and sociology surrounding the construction and use of a space elevator. Good books, well worth a read.

    --
    Tubal-Cain smokes the white owl.
    1. Re:Two books... by raj1v · · Score: 2, Informative

      I think Clarke credits the idea to a Russian scientist at the end of the book. Maybe Tsiolkovsky - see http://science.nasa.gov/headlines/y2000/ast07sep_1 .htm

  15. Well if its built in the US by MajorDick · · Score: 4, Funny

    Look for the AFL/CIO to get in on the act, Can you imagine how much money you could hide/steal/launder on a construction project of this size !

  16. 650 tons of material. by jabberjaw · · Score: 2, Interesting

    In the article they estimate that it would require 650 tons of material. Christ, how many kilograms have we made to date! A two year timeline is unreasonable given our current limitations. Yes, it would be nice if we did have a space elevator, however I do not see it becoming a possibility in this decade. Do we not need more expertise in manufactoring and manipulating these materials? Has anyone made any mathematical models that predict the stress etc... that an elevator would need to undergo?

    1. Re:650 tons of material. by zeux · · Score: 3, Informative

      It's amazing, it reminds me of the Manhattan Project.

      At the time the scientists were looking to get enough Uranium (238) and Plutonium to build the bomb. Everything else around was ready but they were producing only grams of the required materials a week.

      In only 2 years they improved the production quality and quantity dramatically to levels they didn't even dreamed of before.

      That's when they understood that what they though was granted long before (the 'rest' of the engineering needed for the bomb) was the actual hardest part to 'build'.

      Maybe this will happen to the space elevator with the nanotubes.

    2. Re:650 tons of material. by afidel · · Score: 3, Informative

      Well Buckminsterfullerenes were origionally VERY rare and hard to make. Then the carbon arc method using high pressure rare gas atmosphere was developed and suddenly they were abundant. Hell I made such a device for my senior year independant study program in high scholl back in 1996-7. These would typically make a fairly high percentage Buckyballs in the soot but I don't think many buckytubes, I assume they are waiting for a similar process for making buckytubes.

      --
      There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
  17. Bouyant cables! by t0qer · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Dang, over 300,000 geeks on slashdot and i'm the first to say this!

    Why not create a chain of bouyant cables instead of focusing on strong and light ones made from carbon nanotubes??

    1. Re:Bouyant cables! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Bouyant cables, even in the best case, can't get you out of the atmosphere, so maybe 1000 km on the top side. The space cable has to reach geostationary orbit, some 35,785 km out. You lose :)

    2. Re:Bouyant cables! by CheshireCat · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Hrm... it's an intriguing idea, in any case. You could use solar-powered pumps to maintain vacuum in thet floats. You could also arrange for multiple cars, so that one can be stopped partway for routine maintenance, while reduced/delayed service continues to run. There should probably also be an unused float in each set, ready to vacuum itself out and start lifting if one of its mates starts to take on atmosphere. Redundancy is a good idea here, since a failure would be a catastrophe.

      The top portion would still have to support a significant load, but this would allow you to reduce it a bit. You'd also have to consider the materials tradeoff of a stronger stalk vs the rigid floats.

    3. Re:Bouyant cables! by 1u3hr · · Score: 2, Funny

      Ohh Google, can you tell me info about "high altitude balloons"

      And the good lord google said: even my children have flown over 82,000+ miles or 131962.6 kilometers using boyancy, which is way above AC's stated 35,785 km geostationary orbit my child.

      So lord google, what is the altitude for geostationary orbit?

      And the lord google replied: 35,787 km above mean sea level.


      That was 82000 FEET = 15 miles.

  18. This may be the coolest thing I've ever seen by Gavin+Scott · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I was at that NIAC conference a couple years ago when Brad Edwards presented his Phase 2 results and I have to say this was one of the most inspiring things I've ever seen.

    Listening to him go through all the numbers and technical details you're left not only with the amazing scope of the thing but the feeling that, ya know, we might just be able to build this thing!

    G.

  19. Nanotubes made out of carbon by cmason · · Score: 5, Funny
    Just when you think all the great ideas have been thought of, scientists dream up a concept so radical, and so innovative, that you wonder if they've been smoking reefers the size of Yule logs.

    Such is the case with a group of scientists from the National Research Laboratory in Los Alamos, N.M. (''Los Alamos'' is Spanish for ''More than One Alamo''). According to an Associated Press story that I am not making up, these scientists are proposing to build an elevator that would be 62,000 miles high. That's right: 62,000 MILES, which is 32 million stories. At the top would be a revolving restaurant serving what the scientists promise will be ''really mediocre food.''

    - Dave Barry

    --
    "If you are an idealist it doesn't matter what you do or what goes on around you, because it isn't real anyway."-R.P.W.
  20. test planet by way2trivial · · Score: 3, Funny
    would a mars elevator require a longer or shorter ribbon?

    build one there first maybe?

    --
    every day http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Special:Random
  21. Love in an elevator... by blcamp · · Score: 4, Funny


    Can you imagine making love in THAT elevator?

    Talk about Mile High Club...

    --
    The problem with socialism is that they always run out of other people's money. - Margaret Thatcher
  22. don't be so quick... by Goldsmith · · Score: 5, Informative

    I'm a physicist, and I work with carbon nanotubes. In October's Macromolecules, there was a paper put out called "Phase Behavior and Rheology of SWNTs in Superacids". It was done by a huge group of people (for a nanotech paper), including Nobel winner Richard Smalley. A press release about it was posted here somewhere.

    To make a long story short:
    They did it.

    By finding a way to dissolve nanotubes, then slowly concentrating the solutions, they formed a liquid crystal of nanotubes. By extruding this through a syringe, they formed an aligned, macroscopic, nanotube rope.

    I've seen this stuff... somewhere, and it looks just like black string.

    What's left?
    They used tubes grown by high pressure carbon monoxide, which leads to a lot of defects. If they switch to methane, the defects will largely be gone, but the yeild drops.

    They probably need to chemically connect the tubes. You can do that with an electron beam, but that would be a pain industrially. I'm sure there's a way around it.

    I'm sure that same group of people has already figured out many more problems and solutions than I can think of. I havn't seen anything out about the mechanical properties of these ropes yet, but I would expect something within a few months, and I would be surprised if it wasn't amazing.

    I used to be a skeptic when it came to a space elevator, but now...

    1. Re:don't be so quick... by HiroProtagonist · · Score: 4, Informative

      Holy Crap!

      Here's the link to that article you just spoke of:

      Phase Behavior and Rheology of SWNTs in Superacids

      For those of you suspcious of "blind" links:

      http://pubs.acs.org/cgi-bin/sample.cgi/mamobx/2004 /37/i01/html/ma0352328.html

      --
      --Remove chicken to e-mail
    2. Re:don't be so quick... by Compuser · · Score: 2, Insightful

      When you are a scientist, it is always a good idea to
      be a skeptic...
      I'll get excited when they can grow SWNT's of 1 m length
      and demonstrate no defects and high yield. Going from
      1 m to 1000 m is probably not so hard once the earlier
      orders of magnitude are scaled.
      Fundamentally, the reson I am a skeptic is because
      carbon forms bonds too readily so getting all bonds
      to be aligned is hard. We are just now learning how
      to make small single crystal diamonds, HOPG is not
      even available in single crystal form (you always
      see that mosaicity quoted next to samples) and
      carbon nanotubes develop defects if you so much as
      bend them too much (heptagon-heptagon defects IIRC - our group has imaged those with STM). Growing
      single crystals of anything is hard, growing
      large single crystals is ... well, can you give me
      one example of a large (building size) single crystal
      sample (and yes, man-made, not those burnt out stars).

    3. Re:don't be so quick... by liftwatch · · Score: 4, Interesting
      I've seen this stuff... somewhere, and it looks just like black string.

      There are some pictures of real carbon nanotubes in plexiglass containers available here, taken with my crappy digital camera at LiftPort.

      Cool story: at one point some of this material, which looks more or less like soot, spilled onto the flat, seemingly smooth table top. After wiping it off, there was a permanent black smudge left on the table top that no amount of scrubbing would remove... some of the nano-scale CNTs had slipped down into the microscopic grooves and divots on the table surface!

  23. Can Imagine this Erection ! by MajorDick · · Score: 4, Funny

    2 Things, Here in Akron Ohio, the Now home of Televangelist Earnest Angley, the building he now offupies was televangelist Rex Humbards previously, Rex started to build a HUGE Rotating restraunt on a pillar, something along the lines of the "space" needles, He ran out of Money before he could finish, so now at one of the highest points of town, a large white tower stands with no purpose, everyone here calls it Rex's Erection

    A second note that almost killed me with laughter was , well let me start with I used to be in the building trades, one day while at a supply house, a New blue truck pulled up, the sign on the side ? "Short STEEL Erection" I was dying, they specailzed in Steel reinforced concrete. I always love that one I think they were out of Canton OH

  24. Nobody is going to build one of these. by Jartan · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Im constantly amazed how optimistic some people get about a space elevator. The main post and a lot of things other people are saying make it seem like they think technology is the deciding factor in whether or not one will get built. The only reason nobody has really spoken out against the idea is the average person thinks the scientists are smoking some good crack on this one.

    This isn't a harmless piece of cable we're talking about. The real barrier is going to be whether or not it'd be dangerous if it breaks or if it's cut. If it'll burn up and IF the burnt nanotubes aren't dangerous then maybe there will be a snowballs chance in *$#@ that the public will ok such a project. You can be guaranteed that if it's dangerous though that everyone will just assume that it will break or be broken intentionally.

    1. Re:Nobody is going to build one of these. by vix86 · · Score: 3, Informative

      The real barrier is going to be whether or not it'd be dangerous if it breaks or if it's cut.

      I remember reading about this concern somewhere. The idea was that the carbon nanotubes would be stretched almost as thin as paper. Should the ribbon break all that would happen is the ribbion would float back to Earth like paper and no one would get hurt.

    2. Re:Nobody is going to build one of these. by jadel · · Score: 3, Informative

      The now defunct www.highliftsystems.com website had a faq where thay had examined a number of failure modes of a nanotube ribbon space elevator. They had concluded that any fragments entering the earths atmosphere would probably shatter into small pieces rather than coming down in large chunks.
      The figures the article quotes are that the cable would be about 100,000km long, one meter wide and way app. 650 tons, that would mean each square metre would be 6.5 grams, thats about a tenth of the mass per square meter of standard photocopy paper.

    3. Re:Nobody is going to build one of these. by myowntrueself · · Score: 2, Funny

      "would float back to Earth like paper and no one would get hurt."

      Except for the mass injuries from paper cuts.

      --
      In the free world the media isn't government run; the government is media run.
    4. Re:Nobody is going to build one of these. by liftwatch · · Score: 2, Informative

      Check the bottom of this page. Of particular note:

      In any analysis of the environmental impact the possibility of a falling cable and the damage it will cause must be compared to the alternative which is continued use of rockets. During rocket use both pollutants from the burning fuel and from the re-entry of the spent rockets must be considered. For example, each Titan IVB has a dry mass of 65,000 kg, much of which ends up re-entering and burning up in Earth's atmosphere. The Titan IVB also burns roughly 500,000 kg of propellant. Our proposed 20 ton capacity cable has a mass of 750,000 kg. A strictly mass comparison is far from the proper comparison to make but it gives a rough idea of scales of the environmental impacts we need to compare.
    5. Re:Nobody is going to build one of these. by Andrew+Price · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I presented at the 2nd SE conference in Santa Fe last year, offering a different way of constructing it, but my comments apply to Dr Edwards' design too.

      One of the best things about space elevators is that they are inherently much safer than any other method of reaching space. In fact once a couple of them are operating one can use the exponentially increasing payload capability to builds space elevators with any desired safety factor.

      -- Andrew Price

  25. no g-forces _and_ weightlessness? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Interesting

    the top floor would move much faster than the bottom. Don't remember all my freshman physics, but it seems reasonable that to get to the top you have to undergo some serious lateral acceleration.

    You'd also have a hard time interacting with any orbiting satellites (except those in a geo-stationary orbit) because they'd be flying by at 13,000 mph.

    "We have to fix the satellite. Here it comes, I'll grab it with my giant catcher's mitt... WHOA! That almost took my head off! Well, at least it won't come around again for 90 minutes."

    1. Re:no g-forces _and_ weightlessness? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      You do undergo lateral acceleration; the cable exerts lateral forces on you as you go up. Think about it: you start moving 1 Earth circumferences/24 hours at the bottom, and at the top you're moving around 5 Earth circumferences/24 hours. Somehow, while moving up a cable, you've increased your velocity.

      How does this happen? It happens over a very very long piece of string. :) At each point, you don't move much faster or slower than the piece above or below you, so the acceleration is very gradual (they're talking about hours to days to climb these things). The momentum of all the junk at the counterweight takes care of the rest.

      As for catching things in orbit, it's just a matter of falling off at the right point and converting your potential energy to orbital velocity (kinetic energy). While it takes a lot of energy to climb out of a gravity well, you actually have a net gain of energy going down an energy well (although in conventional rockets, the energy is being gained by your reaction mass). That's why you can use little dinky rockets to deorbit a spacecraft; that's the easy part. It's equally easy to use a little less thrust and simply move to a lower orbit.

    2. Re:no g-forces _and_ weightlessness? by liftwatch · · Score: 3, Insightful

      You're right, you would have to do some serious lateral acceleration to get to the top. Luckily, this is spread out over a 1-week climb so the specific impulse required is not too great.

      But actually, the lateral acceleration at the top of the elevator is one of the main selling points. By the time you reach the top of the elevator, you've got enough angular momentum that you can just let go and be thrown to the Moon or Mars for free.

  26. Defects will kill the project by GarbanzoBean · · Score: 3, Interesting

    The strength of the material is controlled by defects. In a petri dish, the carbon nanotubes have no defects, but there is no way they can make a cable that is more than a few cm long without defects. This will make the strength of carbon nano-tube much smaller. In real materials, the reductions is 3 orders of magnitude. So instead of a meter wide cable, they would need a kilometer wide cable.

    1. Re:Defects will kill the project by liftwatch · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I'm pretty sure the 100 GPa rating for a 1 meter wide cable already has a safety factor of 2 built in. If you wanted 3, then you could either go to 10 meters, or wait until you could manufacture a stronger (150 GPa) composite material.

  27. As a structural engineer... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

    ...the 100 GPa number sounds ridiculous.

    For context: the most common type of structural steel currently used has a yield strength of 350 Mpa. 100 GPa is 285 times stronger. And stronger isn't enough, it has to be dependable and resistant to cyclicle loading and fatigue, which isn't easy to quantify, especially under such unusual conditions.

    To suggest that this can be achieved in a couple of years sounds silly to me, considering whatever material used would a lengthy term of testing and a proven track record before sinking billions of dollars into it.

  28. Re:Unobtainium by Brandybuck · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Unless it breaks, it can't tip over. It's like hanging a yoyo from your finger. There's no way the string is going to tip over onto your hand.

    I'm not the least bit concerned about the carbon nanotubules. I'm still trying to figure out how their going to ATTACH the damn thing. All buildings are essentially resting upon the Earth. This thing can't rest, it needs to be attached. For a cable this long, a "stupid hurricane" could set up a vibration is going to build to the point where the whole thing starts "walking" across Columbia.

    --
    Don't blame me, I didn't vote for either of them!
  29. My prediction by Mantorp · · Score: 3, Interesting

    It'll be at least a century before one of these things actually do anything useful.

    1. Re:My prediction by mcrbids · · Score: 4, Insightful

      It'll be at least a century before one of these things actually do anything useful.

      What's sad is that it may well take that long.

      However, the best thing we could do to promote the sky elevator is to develop and build nonotube-based structures here on Earth.

      For example, if you were to rebuild the Golden-gate bridge in San Fransisco with nano-tube cables instead of steel cables, would they even be visible from the shore?

      An impressive, previously infeasible structure, such as a bridge spanning the entrance to the Mediteranean, or across the English Channel would do much to get everybody used to the idea that something like this could, in fact, be done.

      Also, projects like this would give us opportunities to answer questions about its durability, relability and safety in a large number of circumstances.

      Building a space elevator with nanotubes as the first project is fundamentally stupid. Build something more reasonable first!

      --
      I have no problem with your religion until you decide it's reason to deprive others of the truth.
  30. The "weak" will inherit?! by stealth.c · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Actually, common English translations of Matthew 5:5 state that the MEEK shall inherit the Earth. Additionally, the evolution of the english word "meek" since the time of translation makes it an unfit word for the intended meaning.

    A more accurate interpretation suggests that those who inherit the earth are exactly the opposite of weak. Instead, the "meek" originally intended was a word to describe a ready and willing warrior. My university's Bible professor likened it unto the steed of a knight. Eager for battle, ready at a moment's notice to aggressively and unashamedly obey its master. Christ, I think, was referring to those who put intense, unmitigated faith in his Father. That's the sort of "meek" who inherit the earth. [/theology lesson]

    Anyway, I do agree with you that advancing technology like this is not necessarily at the expense of helping the poor. It can actually HELP that endeavor. I am of the personal belief that it shouldn't rest on the government's shoulders to prop up the poor. That's the sort of thing with which the compassionate members of society ought to be busying themselves.
    --

    1. Re:The "weak" will inherit?! by parc · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Instead, the "meek" originally intended was a word to describe a ready and willing warrior.

      Can you give me a reference for this? The OED has no mention of this inversion of meaning. The closest it gets is the primary obsolete meaning, "Gentle, courteous, kind. Of a social superior: merciful, compassionate, indulgent." (see http://dictionary.oed.com, subscription required).

    2. Re:The "weak" will inherit?! by solarrhino · · Score: 3, Informative
      Googling for "Meek definition King james" yields a lot of hits, but I can't find one that says what you say.

      On the contrary, The King James Dictionary on Studylight.org says that meek means "Gentle; tender; free from pride." So does the one at Blue Letter Bible.

      The Greek Concordance with Strong's Numbering says that the word in Matthew 5:5 was originally (in Greek) "praus", which it translates as "mild, i.e. (by implication) humble".

      So in that spirit may I humbly suggest that you or your professor are perhaps mistaken.

      --
      "Lord, grant that I may always be right, for Thou knowest that I am hard to turn" -- A Scots-Irish prayer
  31. Hmm by ShooterNeo · · Score: 4, Insightful

    One question : the basic plan involves transmitting power through microwaves or laser light, enough electric power to provide the kinetic energy difference to actually put a vehicle in orbit. Why not skip the development of unobtainium and skip trying to put a super long and heavy cable in orbit? Just build the power laser facility 10 times over, and build spacecraft that use a block of inert propellant, heated to millions of degrees celcius from pulses from the laser and pulsed such that the shockwave is a planer wave coming away from the spacecraft. So no nozzles, no rocket engines, no pumps, no chemicals, no fuel, no explosives...all the stuff that make spacecraft expensive and dangerous. Just a block of cheapo rock and a spacecraft built like a cheap copy of an Apollo capsule made by the Russians. Would be safer as well, since in-orbit is pretty safe (there are patches to plug small holes), launches no longer can blow up, and reentry is much simpler and less error prone that with a space shuttle. Finally, that kind of laser would make a rather fine weapon, and would help out military applications as well (so could get some of the funds from the U.S. military budget)

    1. Re:Hmm by ShooterNeo · · Score: 2, Interesting

      A soyuz capsule on top of a big piece of rock. Big gyroscopes for stability. Rock turns to plasma from laser heat, explodes in planar shockwave by pulsing laser at correct intervals. Spacecraft rockets in other direction. Same complexity as the crawler, no cable, much cooler takeoff, faster, and can be built starting TODAY, making space travel cheaper (no reason it wouldn't cost any more than the cable plan, probably be cheaper) in just five years.

    2. Re:Hmm by MyHair · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I'm far from an expert on this, but from what I've read:

      Your plan still involves adding tons of mass to the vehicle; it has to lift the entire mass during the portion where gravity is the largest factor. With the elevator the energy is used to turn motors to roll up the ribbon, and there's no propellant mass.

      With your plan, remember that self-propelled launch vehicles are launched orbitally, not vertically. Your energy laser would track a moving tarket, and there would have to be mutliple energy stations for each time the vehicle disappears below the ground station's horizon. With the elevator, there will be some additional tricks in getting it deployed in a vertical manner, but once it's in place gravity and centripetal accelleration will keep it vertical with respect to the ground station, so the energy laser station will never lose line-of-sight with the vehicle as long as it's on the ribbon. I don't know if it's possible to launch a self-propelled vehicle geosynchronously vertically into space, but I suspect it would take a lot more energy--and in your case mass--than an orbital ascent.

      Also, the elevator allows for controlled descent to Earth with no propellant mass needed. No heat shields or drag devices either, but I suspect these would be standard emergency equipment on manned craft.

  32. 1/625 possibility of being destroyed in 2031 by whorfin · · Score: 2, Insightful

    1/625 possibility of 'severe damage' (aka destruction) from the 2031 Leonid Shower is a pretty damn big risk, if you ask me. I imagine that every nation that might get smacked by falling debris would have an objection to this ever going up on this basis alone.

    --
    Laugh while you can, monkey-boy!
    1. Re:1/625 possibility of being destroyed in 2031 by 36526542DD · · Score: 2, Interesting

      To avoid this possibility why not take this approach:

      Instead of a fixed cable that has to support it's own weight, how about a large satellite or space station in geo-syncronous orbit, with 2 cables, one that comes down to earth and one that goes the opposite direction into space as a counter balance.

      Nothing would be permanently attached to earth. Instead the two cables would wind out (like a giant winch) in each direction until the earth-bound cable reaches earth.

      The cable could be wide and flat, like a giant nanotube nylon webbing. Payloads may only be in the thousands of pounds, but that is OK. Even if we could only make a few trips per day it would revolutionize space travel, exploration, and research.

      Larger objects like space ships could be taken up in pieces and assembled in space.

      Best of all, when the 2031 Leonid Meteor Shower (and others like it) arrive the ribbons can be stowed and the satellite could be flown around to the back side of the earth and protected from meteors (if that is even necessary).

      Also, if the cables break they would fall to earh in the general vicinity of the landing base on earth, causing destruction there (like the never ending chain falling on that guy in "Twins") but not wrapping around the earth twice...

      Oh, and when I mentioned the "giant winch" I wasn't talking about your wife. This is slashdot, you don't have a wife. (I was talking about your mother).

    2. Re:1/625 possibility of being destroyed in 2031 by Idarubicin · · Score: 2, Insightful
      Instead of a fixed cable that has to support it's own weight, how about a large satellite or space station in geo-syncronous orbit, with 2 cables, one that comes down to earth and one that goes the opposite direction into space as a counter balance.

      Well, for one thing, that is a cable that has to support its own weight. You're still projecting an elevator cable from geosynchronous orbit down to the surface of the earth--actually, this suggestion just does it twice.

      Not that that is a bad thing in and of itself--if the cables are a sufficient distance apart, the odds that both of them will be taken down by the Leonids should be on the order of (1/625)^2, or less than 1 in a hundred thousand. I'd be inclined to make the first project of each new cable to come online be the construction of another cable. In addition to rapidly increasing our cargo capacity, such a strategy would make the repair and replacement of damaged cables much easier.

      However, winding the cables back up would be a nontrivial task, and very likely impossible*. These aren't going to be ribbons of fixed width, or cylinders of constant diameter. The cable would have to be much thicker near the top--where it would have to support its entire weight--and taper to a very narrow structure at the earth end. Constructing it would be hard enough--reliably winding it in and out...I shudder to think.

      *Okay, not impossible--but the risk of damage to the cables on winding would be greater than the risk of leaving them in place. We've got a cable forty thousand kilometers long. Pull steadily on one end--what happens? You start winding in, and the far end doesn't move. It's forty million meters away--it doesn't know you did anything. The cable stretches. A ripple of tension runs along millions of meters of cable. Eventually, the cable snaps, or you whip the far end toward you waaaay faster than you want to. It's a brutally complex (and probably chaotic) system,and it's a scale of problem we have no experience with. Oh, and while I'm on about this, I should observe that pulling up 650 tons of cable to an unanchored space station could cause some problems, too...if you do it wrong, then you just pull your geosynchronous station down. Oops. Credit to Arthur C. Clarke and The Fountains of Paradise for this observation; any errors in paraphrasing are mine.

      --
      ~Idarubicin
  33. Why individually? by Alizarin+Erythrosin · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Instead of each nation trying to build it in competition, why don't we try to build it all together? Maybe this is the event we need to unite as a world, Star Trek stylee...

    --
    There are only 10 kinds of people in this world... those who understand binary and those who don't
  34. Do your elevator pitch by btempleton · · Score: 4, Insightful

    At least if you found yourself caught with a VC in this elevator, you would finally have time to really pitch your business plan.

    On a serious note, they predict it would be hit, if not moved, by a large space object around once a year. They think they can spot these objects and move it as needed. But what about smaller objects. How much damage will they do? How easily can they be detected? How often will they hit?

    And worse, what about deliberately launched smaller objects, radar-invisible small objects fired by a nation that doesn't want another nation to own space.

    --
    Has it been over a year since you last donated to the Electronic Frontier Foundation
  35. Indistinguisable from Magic by photonX · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Probably preaching to the choir, here, but just in case someone hasn't read it... I found Robert Forward's 'Indistinguisable from Magic' to be a pretty good read. If you like the idea of a space elevator, then you'll love the rotating 'space bolo' version, kind of like a bullroarer on ubersteroids.

    The earlier posts on 'space bungees' might not be so far off the mark after all.

    --
    Anti-gravity? That was *my* little secret! But I never patented it! Boy, was *that* dumb!
  36. Whos paying for this? by zaunuz · · Score: 2, Insightful

    If i was in charge of raising funds, then i'd be damn sure that it worked... one gram of Carbon Nanotube costs around 1500$ to produce.

    "Oops, we just threw 15.000.000$ out of the window, after 10Kg of it disapeared in the mail..."

    On the other hand.. Just because its expencive, it doesnt mean its not worth trying. I assume they keep in mind that a project like this easily can stirr up some anger among the tax-payers, if it fails.

    --
    this is probably the most boring sig in the world
  37. Ridiculous, but plausible... by Goonie · · Score: 4, Insightful
    the 100 GPa number sounds ridiculous.

    For context: the most common type of structural steel currently used has a yield strength of 350 Mpa. 100 GPa is 285 times stronger.

    Yes, it sounds outrageous, but it's theoretically possible to do this with nanotubes, apparently. As I understand it, nobody has actually demonstrated a macroscopic piece of nanotube composite with this kind of strength though.

    To suggest that this can be achieved in a couple of years sounds silly to me, considering whatever material used would a lengthy term of testing and a proven track record before sinking billions of dollars into it.

    True, but the things made possible with such a material would surely attract billions of dollars worth of R&D. Can you imagine what it could do for things like aircraft design?

    --

    Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from a rigged demo
    --Andy Finkel (J. Klass?)
    1. Re:Ridiculous, but plausible... by Alan+Shield · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Can you imagine what it could do for things like aircraft design?

      General Products Hull's here we come!

  38. Economics by bremstrong · · Score: 4, Interesting

    The only problem is that the same nanotube technology that would enable a space elevator will also enable a reusable single-stage-to-orbit spacecraft capable of putting mass into orbit at a much lower cost.

    Just to pick some numbers:

    Space elevator: $5B each, one 4 ton payload per day

    Nanotube composite rocket: $.1B each, one 8 ton payload every two days

    In other words, it will never happen.

    1. Re:Economics by zaxer · · Score: 3, Insightful
      Those numbers, however, are very questionable.

      First of all, I would imagine the $5B stated for the Space elevator includes at least some R&D costs. At $100 million, the nanotube composite rocket contains none - in reality, the cost will be much higher.

      Furthermore, consider the cost of lifting each set of cargo - just like the space shuttle is extremely expensive, the fuel for a nanotube rocket is going to be much more expensive than that of a space elevator, which doesn't need fuel to come with.

      So in reality you have: Space elevator: Maybe $5B, but pay it once and you've got the bulk out of the way.

      Nanotube composite rocket: Billions to start out, >$.1B per rocket (my guess), and millions for each launch. Plus a lot more inspection and stuff.

      Which turns the tables a good bit.

    2. Re:Economics by Moderation+abuser · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Space elevator doesn't need fuel? How do you think things get lifted? Magic? Then you have the interest on the billions in loans, maintenance and repairs to hundreds of km of nanotube ribbon and can you imagine the insurance bill?

      The huge cost of the space shuttle has nothing to do with fuel, it's just NASA. Other countries can lift large payloads for far less. Rockets can be mass produced, space elevators can't.

      --
      Government of the people, by corporate executives, for corporate profits.
    3. Re:Economics by MyHair · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Space elevator doesn't need fuel? How do you think things get lifted? Magic?

      Obviously the space elevator needs energy input and ultimately fuel, but it has two big advantages: 1) It doesn't have to carry its fuel and associated mass in the launch vehicle; 2) It uses friction rather than fluid thrust; I suspect this is much more effient else my car would have air propulsion of some sort.

      They seem to have plans for maintenance and repair by automated crawlers, but obviously it's never been tested with long high-load carbon nanotube ribbons.

      Rockets can be mass produced, space elevators can't.

      The first one can't, but the rest can (theoretically) be manufactured in place by crawlers traversing an existing elevator.

      In cost comparisons in the thread-starting post he neglects to consider at least two things: 1) The cheapening of additional elevators for higher aggregate launch capability at successively lower incremental costs; 2) the ability to slingshot vehicles far into space from the end of the elevator.

  39. A WEEK?! by tuxedobob · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Cripes, these ships are probably going to be pretty small, aren't they? And there won't be much to do? And it's going to take a week?

    I wonder if there's any chance that it could use a maglev system. Japan's at 581kph or so. If you could fly straight up at even 500kph that cuts the trip down to 3 days.

    1. Re:A WEEK?! by jeff+munkyfaces · · Score: 2, Funny

      view's going to be good though.

  40. Re:How would you get the rope up/down. by ryanw · · Score: 2, Funny
    Go to the spacestation and say "it's comin' down catch?
    I think it's something more along the lines of "Repunzal, Repunzal..."
  41. They say that if disaster strikes... by mcharlet · · Score: 2, Informative

    According to page 19 of the report, under the heading of Ribbon Infall,"The raw numbers suggest that the worst case cable infall is not as bad as the best case, nominal operation of current rocket programs."

    Granted, they supply no numbers and they explicitly state that they have done no serious quantitative analysis of this, so I'm curious how they came to his conclusion.

  42. Diameter not proportional to lifting by DoubleReed · · Score: 3, Informative

    The cable is "holding" mostly its own weight. Therefore, if the material is not at the critical strength, the elevator can't be built. (not disagreeing with you about the difference from lab to real life tho)

  43. Conservation of angular momentum is the fatal flaw by jms · · Score: 3, Informative

    There is one problem that doesn't seem to be addressed -- the problem of imparting the necessary angular momentum to the elevator car as it rises.

    As the car rises, from the point of view of the ground, it will appear that the car is dragging the tether westward. As the car continues to rise, the angle of the tether-bend will increase, pulling the base station down into a lower orbit, If the system doesn't "crack the whip" and snap off the sky station, or induce a huge oscillation in the tether/sky station, it will at the very least leave the sky station in a lower orbit, and the tether "slanted" westward. The more mass you send up the tether, the sharper the slant, and the worse the problem becomes.

    The following experiment graphically illustrates the basic problem. The "space elevator" does not behave like an elevator.

    Take a long piece of string or fishing line and tie a medium bolt to the end. Go outside to a large open area. Take a second bolt of similar size, thread it through the line, and hold it in your hand along with the free end of the fishing line. Now start spinning in a circle and let the line play out until the bolt is spinning at the end of the line. For the purposes of this demonstration, you are the earth, the fishing line is the elevator, and the tied bolt is the space anchor. You are looking straight "up" the elevator tether at the space station at the "top". Notice how your hand (the base station on the surface of the earth) is moving fairly slowly (with respect to your torso, the core of the earth), but the bolt at the end of the line (sky station) is whipping around at high speed? This means that the bolt on the end of the string has a lot of angular momentum, and the bolt in your hand has considerably less angular momentum. Now let go of the bolt you are holding while you continue to hold the string. The "elevator car" bolt will proceed to travel "up" the string into space until it comes to a stop at the "space station." However, the bolt will NOT simply rise straight up the line like an elevator car. Instead it will drag the line in the direction opposite to the direction you are rotating, and will "crack the whip" somewhere near the end of the travel. When you are all finished, the line will be oscillating "east to west" (forward/backward) relative to your hand.

    Not what you may have been expecting based on the conceptually flawed "elevator" analogy.

    Now there are limits to this demonstration. For instance, the actual elevator car will be speed controlled, not flying freely like the travelling bolt, and there are massive differences in scale and speed. But even if you solved all the engineering problems you can, the basic problem of conservation of angular momentum remains, and it's a show-stopper.

    The oscillation problem could theoretically be avoided by carefully timing the rise of the elevator car, but the killer is conservation of angular momentum. As the elevator approaches the sky station, it will drag the tether westward and pull the sky station into a lower orbit. It can't help but do it, because as the elevator car reaches the sky station, it is going to have to match speed with the sky station. In order to do this, it will have to "steal" some angular momentum from the sky station, and even in a best-case scenario, where the timing is done absolutely perfectly and no oscillation is induced, the system will balance the equation by dropping the sky station into a lower orbit, and leaving the tether "slanted" westward. Bringing the elevator car back down again (perfectly timed once again to avoid oscillation) would straighten out the tether, but if the purpose of the space elevator is to sling things into space, then it becomes clear that the entire scheme isn't going to work. Any object lifted to the sky station is going to "steal" angular momentum from the sky station, and once you let go of anything, you will never get back that angular momentum, and there will be no way to straighten out the t

  44. Laser propulsion already in progress by anvilmark · · Score: 2, Interesting

    article here

  45. Wrong, according to Strong's Concordance by Valdrax · · Score: 4, Informative

    According to Strong's Concordance, the word in the original Greek is "praus" (latinized spelling) which means mildness of disposition, gentleness of spirit, or meekness. If this page doesn't load, go here, type "meek" into the first line, submit, find Matthew 5:5 and click on the number 4239. This word is close to the modern Greek "praos" which also means "meek."

    In other words, Jesus was saying that the humble and mild-mannered will inherit the Earth. You can find this same word commonly translated as meek in 1st Peter 3:4. Also, if you look at the context of Matthew 5:1-13, the opening of one of Jesus's sermons, it's quite clear that he's saying that rewards await the humble and downtrodden. They "are the salt of the Earth" and there is not an aggressive or angry group among "the poor in spirit," "those who mourn," "the meek," "those who hunger for righteousness," "the merciful," "the pure of heart," or "the peacemakers."

    I'd be very surprised if Strong's Concordance was wrong on the issue given the context and the modern descendant of the word. I'd love to see some evidence for your professor's claims.

    --
    If it's for-profit but free, you're not the customer -- you're the product (e.g., the Slashdot Beta's "audience").
  46. Re:Conservation of angular momentum is the fatal f by The+Master+Control+P · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Not speaking as a physics grad here, and possibly talking out my ass, but I was under the impression that the space end of the tether would be a little outside the balance point, such that (if not for the cable holding it down) it would continually try to fly off into space. Thus, when it's energy was sapped by the launch of a new spacecraft, it would in turn sap the rotational energy of earth to return to it's highest possible orbit.

    There ain't no free ride into space: The elevator will simply replace violently exothermic chemicals with the slow sapping of earth's rotational energy.

  47. Re: Splitting hairs by whorfin · · Score: 3, Informative

    1/625 is not the odds of the thing falling down overall...that's of the odds of it falling down because of the Leonids in 2031. To put it another way, there's a 1/625 chance that it will be destroyed if it is actually in the sky between 6-12 pm November the 17th 2031.

    There's a 1/100,000 chance of being destroyed by the leonids in any one of the 'minor' leonid years. And this is ignoring all of the other mundane risks such as cumulative damage by oxidation and the like.

    None of those mundane (or outlandish) things you mention have anywhere near that kind of risk profile.

    --
    Laugh while you can, monkey-boy!
  48. Re:Conservation of angular momentum is the fatal f by mcrbids · · Score: 2, Insightful

    There is one problem that doesn't seem to be addressed -- the problem of imparting the necessary angular momentum to the elevator car as it rises.

    From which follows two full screens of "sky elevator is falling" whining, ending in this choice quote:

    Any object lifted to the sky station is going to "steal" angular momentum from the sky station, and once you let go of anything, you will never get back that angular momentum, and there will be no way to straighten out the tether again.

    Swing your yo-yo around your body. Then, swing faster. Notice how the yo-yo catches up after a few rotations?

    Funny, isn't it?

    The beanstalk *would* lose some angular momentum as the elevator platform rises to the top. It would tilt to an angle, and lose a bit of altitude. But, the bottom end is tied to the Earth, which would be busy pulling the whole shebang forward, back towards a balance.

    Eventually, the elevator would catch up, just like your yo-yo. There'd be a very real threshold for the amount of angular momentum you could use. Also, that angular momentum would be regained when the elevator car comes back *down*...

    Best bet would be to have two strings, one for cars going up and one for cars going down, say, a thousand miles apart.

    Then, the equations would almost always be nearly matched, and you could start moving several cars a week, instead of just 2 cars a month. You *know* that the weight of a car would be squat compared to the weight of the string itself, so several cars at once should not be a problem.

    I picture X cars climbing, X cars dropping. The two strings would be arched in a giant pointed loop, bowing away from each other.

    Neat, eh?

    --
    I have no problem with your religion until you decide it's reason to deprive others of the truth.
  49. Re:Conservation of angular momentum is the fatal f by jms · · Score: 4, Interesting
    Apparently my objection is unfounded. It has been pointed out to me that the liftport site discusses this issue:
    If you go through the math quantitatively, the angular momentum for the climbers requires a few newtons of force over the one-week travel time, and we do that easily with our many tons of material in the anchor and the counterweight. The additional angular momentum will eventually be recovered from that of the entire Earth.

    The quantities really are tiny, but just to be complete, a climber going up pushes the entire elevator slightly to the east, causing it to lean. However, the ribbon recovers for the same reason that it stays up in the first place. Centripetal acceleration is acting on the counterweight pulling it outward, and the lost angular momentum is replaced very quickly (essentially as fast as it is lost). The ribbon will never lose enough angular momentum to even deflect a single degree, let alone fall. The extra angular momentum is stolen from the Earth's rotation ...


    The site doesn't actually run through the numbers or mention how long this recovery time would be. The logic does make sense -- if the tether becomes slanted relative to the surface of the earth (my objection), then by definition there is a lateral component to the centripetal force on the tether, which should allow the sky station to steal some angular momentum from the earth. at some unspecified rate.

    The site doesn't actually run through the numbers or mention how long this recovery time would be. If any physics mavens are irritated enough by my parent post to actually run the numbers, I'd be genuinely interested in seeing the solution worked out.

  50. I'm tellin ya... by smokin_juan · · Score: 3, Funny

    This thing is going to wick the earth's atmosphere out into space. Then they'll feel stupid.

  51. Static electricity problem by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Didnt NASA experiment using a tether miles and miles long to produce electricity? What if the space elevator generate huge amount of static electricity as the "rope" move through space?

  52. Better Idea??? by Artraze · · Score: 2, Interesting

    It seems to me that attaching a large rope (for lack of a better word) to the moon and letting it 'hang' to Earth would be worth some thought. Because the moon is tidally locked to Earth, the rope would always be facing down. The distance isn't inconcievible (IIRC, twice the length as the elevator). It would be largely ballenced by the opposing gravities, and the part under most stress would be virtually weightless.
    The rope could hang a large distance off the ground, and the space bound object could be raised up to the top of an Earth bound tower, hooked onto the rope, and the it could elevate itsself.

    I don't know if it's feasible, or even a good idea, but it's food for discussion.

  53. Re:Not to be picky or anything... but.... by Aardpig · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Wouldn't that actually be four books?

    Technically, yes. But in a shoot-off between the cheap Merlot I am currently drinking, and the cheap (and obvious) point you are making, YOU LOSE! (in a diplomatic sort of way, not meaning to put you down, you understand, but, like, the Merlot is getting me drunk, what are you doing to help my plight? Savvy?)

    --
    Tubal-Cain smokes the white owl.
  54. Cost by Moderation+abuser · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I predict that a space elevator will make the cost of the lunar landings look like peanuts. I very much doubt it'll happen in our lifetimes.

    NASA is the reason space is expensive. Companies like Starchaser and Scaled Composites are the ones who will make space cheaper and will "own space".

    --
    Government of the people, by corporate executives, for corporate profits.
  55. Cable propagation lessons from the launch loop by klic · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I've fiddled with the math for these kinds of things for decades on an old idea called the "launch loop". The dynamics of long tapered cables are not impossible, but they are nasty. Very long cables are not like a stout rope to a fixed point nearby, they are more like reaction mass that vibrates. Think "Tacoma Narrows Bridge", which fell down because 1930's engineers did not take their differential equations up to 7th order.

    As a climber goes up, the surface anchoring system must pay out more cable to fill in the less tensioned region under the climber, faster and faster as the climber accelerates up the cable, proportional to the speed of the vehicle, total acceleration (including gravity) and inversely proportional to the mass per meter and the square of the propagation velocity of the material.

    This is continuously changing, so forces and velocities at the surface are changing also. The problem is, this is an underconstrained and essentially undamped end-terminated system - as the cable gets very long, you develop big standing wave complexes with only two points (surface and top anchor) to remove or store the energy. Keeping the standing waves from building up is difficult, but not impossible. However, it does add an additional constraint on launch rate; you have to spend a lot of time damping out the waves, even granting that these people are more clever than I am at modelling and removing this energy.

    Tapering of the cables, necessary even with magic nanotube unobtainium, makes the math even more "exciting", with the additional constraint that the through-atmosphere sections, along with the sections that dip into the atmosphere during wave motion, have to be thoroughly protected against atmospheric degradation (hint: C + O2 -> CO2 ). The portions of the system below the Van Allen belt have to be armored against atomic oxygen damage. Atomic oxygen will burn off the leading edge of ISS at rates approaching a millimeter per decade; the space elevator will be stationary in the gas field, but there are still a lot of fast moving oxygen atoms up to, and through, the radiation belt.

    All motor driven systems have limits to their power-to-weight ratio. To get to GEO, we have to add about 60MJ/kg. If we take 33 hours to do so, we need to move an average of 500 watts per kg (total climber weight) through the (photovoltaic or microwave) energy collectors, motors, rollers, etc. For comparison, a 1500 kg sports car with a 300 horsepower gasoline engine uses 150 watts per kg. However, that underestimates the problem. Most of the energy will be added at the beginning of the climb, during the first 10% of the travel distance, as the climber leaves the depths of the gravity well, so expect thousands of kilowatts per kilogram in the power train during this phase. If there are unexpected variations in the power, the change in climbing acceleration will add more ripples to the cable.

    I tried to avoid these problems with the launch loop (see URL below) by keeping the altitude under 100 km and the motors on the surface. Even over those "short" distances, cable propagation issues are problematic. Funny/bad things like lightning, ice buildup, fractally gusty winds, and jittery payload forces require special attention, and all reduce the capacity of the anchoring and stability cables. Everything above the atmosphere is exposed to a steady rain of the garbage that your launch system has accumulated in orbit (it all comes down, eventually). Reentry systems for human payloads (in case of failure) add weight. Problems, problems.

    At the end of the day, though, the killer issue is lack of demand. The launch loop, with about the price as a space elevator (+/- 3dB) and using materials and technologies we have had for two decades, can put 80 tonnes of payload into orbit *per hour*, for less than $10/kg. Unfortunately, nobody wants that much mass in orbit, even at that miniscule price. Perhaps "if you build it, they will come", or perhaps you end up with another white elephant lik

    --
    Keith Lofstrom server-sky.com
    1. Re:Cable propagation lessons from the launch loop by EvilTwinSkippy · · Score: 2, Interesting
      Your analysis of the problem, while thoughtful, sounds much like the arguments for why heavier than aircraft won't fly, steel ships won't float, and supersonic flight is impossible.

      With a properly designed gripping mechanism, movement of the cable is irrelivent. It's not really a "space elevator". It's more like a "space suspension bridge." Bridges move all the time, indeed a healthy bridge moves a few feet at a time. Since the movement is distributed over a distance of several miles, drivers on the bridge don't notice the movement. (The narrow bridge was a combination of being not stiff enough, wide enough to spread the motion across, and exactly the wrong length.)

      One possibility motivation technique is to exploit the vibrations of the cable. You can make a wooden bead "surf" a standing wave along a rope, even against gravity.

      Ok, that's a little far fetched. But so was the idea of wing warping that solved problem of Roll control in aircraft. (Well, until the invention of the flap.)

      --
      "Learning is not compulsory... neither is survival."
      --Dr.W.Edwards Deming
    2. Re:Cable propagation lessons from the launch loop by klic · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Your familiarity with the aircraft roll control invention simplifies my answer. As you know, it was the Wright invention of three axis control, following years of observation and experiment, that solved the real problem of sustained, powered flight. The competition was hung up on more engine power and more complicated (and hard to understand) structures.

      My complaint about the space elevator fans is that they tend to focus on one problem, material strength, to the exclusion of a lot of other issues that they can analyze and in many cases perform experiments to learn about. Cable stability is one such item; having studied it, I can assure you that the problems are not as simple as a "properly designed gripping mechanism". There is no way to hold onto a cable that has fractured because of the accumulation of tension waves, or has caught fire from a lightning strike.

      Most people don't even understand the simple behavior of stress reflection at terminations - cables almost always break at discontinuities, because stress waves double when they reflect off them. A lump of mass attached in any way to a cable is such a discontinuity, and there are at least three of them on a space elevator with a single climber on it. For analytical purposes, something is a lump if it is significantly shorter than the wavelengths in the system. On a >40k km cable, *everything* is a lump.

      This is not an impossible problem to solve. But if you don't think about it, it will bite you, like the aircraft stability problem bit Lilenthal, Langley, and Santos-Dumont. Getting bit during the attempted construction and use of a space elevator would be a terrible waste. On the other hand, the analysis and solution of problems like this leads to those unexpected tangents that produce spectacular new inventions.

      The reason I brought up the Narrows bridge was as an example of something that had all the strength of materials necessary, and was even analyzed for oscillations. However, it was not modelled with sufficient accuracy to find all its resonant modes, especially the nonlinear one that brought it down. Only in the last decade have we developed the mathematical tools to understand the failure analytically; we are still learning things about that bridge.

      With zero experience in undamped, transatmospheric ribbons of combustable material, it behooves us to think and analyze and experiment, to find the real problems and their solutions. This is the triumph of the Wright story. These fellows broke away from the herd and solved the real problems of heavier-than-air flight, relying on experiment, observation, and analysis rather than the pontification of so-called experts.

      The Space Shuttle, the Chinook helicopter, the Iridium phone constellation, and countless other large engineering projects illustrate that we still haven't gotten over our tendency to optimistically ignore the nitpicky real issues in large designs, issues that could be identified and solved with a bit of skepticism applied correctly.

      Low cost access to space is possible, and a worthy goal, but it will not happen until we discover and solve the real problems as opposed to the glamorous ones.

      --
      Keith Lofstrom server-sky.com
  56. Only $5 billion? $500 billion maybe. by Moderation+abuser · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The channel tunnel cost $21 billion and that's just a couple of big holes in the ground. The cost is going to have to be amortized across generations of users. I do agree with your point though.

    More people fly from the UK to the continent these days because it's much cheaper, faster and more flexible.

    --
    Government of the people, by corporate executives, for corporate profits.
  57. Can you say carbon burns on re-entry by MichaelPenne · · Score: 2, Insightful

    its not like we're talking about building it out of iron.

  58. Re:My 2 cents and Rail GUNS. by cdn-programmer · · Score: 2, Insightful

    well - you asked about the wars. You might want to read James Jones works. Do a google search. I read from here to eternity when I was in grade 8 and it had quite an impact on me. If you read the books (best - do this first) then read books like the 20th century march of the dead it might give you some idea of what the war was like and why young men would be willing to throw away their lives.

    Now to the rail guns.

    Please consider the last shuttle disaster. Note that it took place at high elevation.

    Clearly, a projectile launched at the surface must have more kinetic energy than the same projectile at the shuttle's location. Clearly at low elevation the effect of the atmosphere is many many times worse (follows an exponential in fact)

    If the shuttle has a tough time protecting itself against re-entry then imagine the order of magnitude worse problem of gaining orbit from stored kinetic energy.

    -----------

    Any system that is going to work has to feed energy into the launch craft on a more or less linear schedual. Given the ability to get a craft airborne using external energy feeds - then clearly we should be able to sustain the energy flow into the craft and there is a continous energy draw function and a continous energy drain function and a continuous drag/heat function and similar lift functions.

    As a mathematician who has not tried to caclulate a window through these functions... my gut feeling says there is one and it is rather large.

    So you can go to hyper velocities but you must choose a high elevation where you do this - where the air is rather thin.

    Brute force blasting from the surface will gain a melted bullet. But - you might hide a nice little spacecraft in the wake..... agree?

  59. Re:Conservation of angular momentum is the fatal f by cdn-programmer · · Score: 2, Interesting

    no - I didn't read the book. But NASA has been a parasite before... this is how they put many probes into space... its called a "gravitational assist"

  60. Why not skip the war and killing part? by Baron_Yam · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Because there is usually a small percentage of the population with effectively total control of the populace that has no interest in letting the rest of the world help?

    Imagine trying to provide healthcare, education, and the right to walk in sunlight to women of Taliban Afghanistan...

  61. What would the world do without Slashdot? by OnanTheBarbarian · · Score: 2, Funny

    "In the meanwhile, we can all spread the word, discuss, debate and brainstorm every nook and cranny of the program here on Slashdot, and give Edwards a shoulder by giving the program every bit of mass-exposure we can."

    Yes, I imagine that that will make all the difference. In future years, the touchstone of scientific and engineering excellence will be "Was it discussed, debated and brainstormed on Slashdot or not?"

  62. Other applications for access to space by pjkundert · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Material of this strength allows other methods of space access that may be more efficient.

    Tether a platform just a few dozen or hundred kilometers up, supported by rigid hydrogen-filled inflatables. Access it by elevator (but now, the cables can be over-engineered by a factor of 100, for safety). Launch from there, either chemically (standard single stage to orbit), or electrically (linear accelerator). Either way, you are beyond the bulk of the energy stealing atmosphere.

    It is possible to build a linear accelerator several hundred kilometers in length, moored to the platform, that would allow launch of living payloads, because the average acceleration would be survivable.

    --
    -- -pjk Perry Kundert perry@kundert.ca http://kundert.2y.net
  63. "Old Wealth" in the US? by ArsSineArtificio · · Score: 4, Informative
    Most of the "old wealth" in the US is still in the hands of those families whose ancestors controlled for a few decades the only economic means of transport to the American West.


    Have you ever looked through the Forbes 400? "Old money" in the US is largely a myth.

    The ten wealthiest individuals in America are Gates, Buffett, Paul Allen, Larry Ellison, Michael Dell, and the Walton heirs. (Steve Ballmer is 11th, incidentally.) Of these, only the Waltons inherited their money, and that not from some ancient rail baron, but from a self-made man who died in 1992.

    --
    All employees must wash hands before seeking equitable relief.