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MGM Purchase Gives Sony An Edge In Disc Format War

Grump writes "The New York Times reports: 'The purchase of Metro-Goldwyn-Mayer by a group led by Sony will not only give the company an enormous film library but also considerable power in its fight to set the format for the next generation of digital video discs.' The article goes on to suggest that Sony is gearing up for another Betamax-style failure."

62 of 254 comments (clear)

  1. Bad news by mirko · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I do not like the way all of these studios suddenly get aggregated by huge multinational companies...
    If they decide to prevent a movie from reaching the theaters, it begins easier and easier...

    Would "Clerks" still make a success in 2004 ?
    In 10 years, will Fahrenheit 911 sequels ever reach the public ?

    --
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    1. Re:Bad news by Nos. · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Yes, it would. Independat film producers making it to the "big screen" is becoming more common, yes they are using the bigger companies like Tristar, Fox, etc for distribution, but these companies are trying to make money. If they see a movie with lots of potential from an independant (Farenheit 911, The Passion of The Christ) they are not going to turn it down. Controversy for something like a movie just makes it more popular.
      Remeber that old movie, Exit to Eden? It was banned for a while here in Saskatchewan. It just made the movie more popular. It never hit the theatres, but when the ban was lifted and it came to video stores, it was impossible to keep it in stock, and it wasn't a great movie.

    2. Re:Bad news by Chess_the_cat · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I'd be very surprised to learn that movies are still distributed on a physical format in 10 years. Once all media is distributed over networks you won't have to worry about distributors and studios. If the movie is made it'll reach the public somehow.

      --
      Support the First Amendment. Read at -1
    3. Re:Bad news by iamdrscience · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Ah, but this is where digital camcorders come in. They can drastically lighten a movie's budget, making it even easier for a person or small group of people to finance their own film. Yes, some people don't like the results, but the point is they give a workable result and as time goes on, they will only get better.

    4. Re:Bad news by oneiron · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Certainly the infrastructure to do that will be in place, but getting the movie industry to make a complete shift is going to take a little bit longer than 10 years, I think....

    5. Re:Bad news by Portigui · · Score: 5, Informative
      Crap like this wouldn't happen under a Democratic President.
      You're right, major mergers would never happen under a Democratic president. In case those four don't fit your build because they are not entertainment driven, try this one.

      These happen regardless of the president in the office at the time.
    6. Re:Bad news by syrinx · · Score: 3, Funny

      (Superbabies: Baby Geniuses 2). I can see the fucking dollar signs in their eyes for ones that actually made money because people wanted to go see the original!

      Heh... "Moore Bullshit: Fahrenheit 912"

      --
      Quidquid latine dictum sit, altum sonatur.
    7. Re:Bad news by shotfeel · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I'd be very surprised to learn that movies are still distributed on a physical format in 10 years.

      I wouldn't. Considering that broadband use just passed dialup use in the U.S., and IIRC the majority of homes don't have internet access at all (while virtually all have a TV/VCR), I'd be very surprised if physical media isn't still the dominant method of delivery. OTOH the people with the most disposable income to buy movies are most likely to have a broadband connection.

    8. Re:Bad news by afidel · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Ah Grashopper, but the house does not need "Broadband Internet" to get digital distribution. All they need is a cable or satelite connection, a digital cable box with HDD, and a little bit of glue to make video on demand the distribution channel of choice. If the cable/satelite companies get wise they will broker deals to allow you to download and keep a digital copy of a movie. The biggest problem is the studios are probably leary to try cutting out the current middle men without there being a proven market for the new technology as such a switch would probably really honk off companies like BlockBuster and Hollywood Video.

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    9. Re:Bad news by atrizzah · · Score: 2, Insightful

      That's a laugh. Do you think the big time distributers are just going to step aside and let the piles and piles of money whither up after there business model is obsolete?

      Apparantly you haven't been paying attention to the music industry lately.

    10. Re:Bad news by innocent_white_lamb · · Score: 2, Informative

      Remeber that old movie, Exit to Eden? It was banned for a while here in Saskatchewan. It just made the movie more popular. It never hit the theatres

      It certainly DID hit the theatres in Saskatchewan once the ban was lifted. I remember selling tickets to see that and people I've never seen before or since were coming in left and right to watch it! I remember one little old lady tottering in on her cane and asking, "Is this the movie that they banned?" I said, "Yes it is" and she put her money on the counter and said, "Oh good."

      I know of one theatre owner who was orgainizing bus tours to go to Alberta to watch Exit to Eden before the ban was lifted.

      You're right about it being a poor excuse for a movie. Had they left it alone and just slapped an R rating on it the thing would have played for one week in Saskatoon and Regina and quietly disappeared never to be seen again.

      --
      If you're a zombie and you know it, bite your friend!
  2. more and more by sosuke · · Score: 4, Insightful

    it seems like these format wars between companies will end up making the cu lose out, haveing to buy more players, does anyone else think that dvds are just fine? HD content would be nice, but i dont think that its fair to the cu for all of us to have to buy two players, mabye they will make dual format players, and then no one will win or finalize anything, grr

    1. Re:more and more by BlueTooth · · Score: 4, Insightful

      First you say that DVDs are fine. Then you say you want HD. Of course you do. We all know how this works, the tech keeps marching on.

      Format wars are a result of incremental progress. DVDs were so long overdue (i.e. soo much better than VHS) that the battles all occured pre-consumer (and there were many battles, just not much in the way of products produced before these things were resolved). CD audio saw a similar success (DAT doesn't count, its a pro format, which, incidentaly, Betamax has become (or stayed, really))

      Then there was DVD-A vs. SACD...why the format war? Because the industry wasn't dying for an upgrade. Sometimes it makes sense for everyone to just shut up and agree on something rather than trying to get the best possible result. In the case of the next digital video format, there isn't much of a percieved need to improvment. People are buying DVDs in droves. All a studio needs to do to generate some extra cash is release a 30 year old TV show on $50 / season box sets. Early adopters are used to format wars, it comes with the teritory.

      You also mention that we could end up with two standards both of which are supported by all players (a.la DVD(+|-)R[W] ). If that is the final result, who cares? If one studio releases everything on a 16 layered red-laser disc and another releases their stuff on a 2 layered blue-laser disc, but the player you got in your box of Cherios can play both happily, who really gives a crap?

      --
      SPAM
    2. Re:more and more by merlin_jim · · Score: 2, Interesting

      If one studio releases everything on a 16 layered red-laser disc and another releases their stuff on a 2 layered blue-laser disc, but the player you got in your box of Cherios can play both happily, who really gives a crap?

      Hahaha I'm hoping for Blu-Ray for one reason;

      currently blue laser diodes are impossible to find. The one manufacturer that makes them has been holding all of their production capacity for guys like Sony.

      They're apparently very difficult to manufacture. I don't think they're going to be giving any of them away in cheerios boxes for quite some time.

      I will, however, happily buy broken blu-ray players from the local pawn shop to rip out the laser.

      --
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    3. Re:more and more by merlin_jim · · Score: 2, Informative

      Blue LEDs used to be really expensive (they still are, compared to RED or fake Green), but they are still cheap enough to make [your favorite consumer electrics device] look cool.

      I don't care about LEDs. I care about laser diodes. Blues currently can't be bought at any price.

      In fact, there are only two "cost-effective" ways to make a blue laser:

      1. Argon laser. This is pretty inefficient (none of the blue lines of argon are high gain) and costly to manufacture, due to the exotic gases, vacuum equipment, and mirrors involved

      2. Dye laser. There are dyes that will lase in the blue region. Besides being inefficient, building a continuous wave dye laser is a very difficult proposition.

      --
      I am disrespectful to dirt! Can you see that I am serious?!
    4. Re:more and more by blincoln · · Score: 2, Informative

      CD audio saw a similar success (DAT doesn't count, its a pro format, which, incidentaly, Betamax has become (or stayed, really))

      DAT was not originally intended as a pro-audio-only format. It was supposed to replace cassette tapes. However, the recording industry forced the implementation of a serial copy prevention system on the manufacturers, which effectively killed it for home use.

      A related issue was that originally DAT only supported 48KHz mode, which was done intentionally to prevent direct 44.1KHz copies of CDs being made. A lot of people think the additional 3.9KHz is for extra audio quality, but it hardly makes a difference. The entire 22.05 - 44.1KHz range is only an octave.

      Betamax is not, and has never been, a pro format. You are thinking of Betacam, which is a different Sony product.

      --
      "...always new atoms but always doing the same dance, remembering what the dance was yesterday." -Richard Feynman
  3. no, don't do that... by Chuck+Bucket · · Score: 2, Funny

    cause if they don't, there won't be businesses like: Transfer your Betamax Videos to DVD. this way, when we don't have any more IT jobs, we can convert one DVD types to another DVD types...

    CB$#@#$@

  4. Sony vs Microsoft by frankthechicken · · Score: 5, Interesting

    With Microsoft supporting the NEC and Toshiba blue ray format. And Sony, with its huge movie, and technology back up, who is more likely to win the war of the formats?

    Hopefully, the consumers.

  5. Never mind that, what about The Hobbit? by FunWithHeadlines · · Score: 4, Informative
    The sale of MGM was of interest to fans of LOTR since if Time Warner had bought MGM it would have meant a fast track for filming of The Hobbit with Peter Jackson et al. MGM has the filming rights for the story, and New Line (owned by Time Warner) has been trying to negotiate to get the rights to do the film. Had TW bought MGM, presumably this would have smoothed the way for the film to proceed. Now with Sony owning, what is going to happen next? Will they negotiate with TW to work something out that should be quite a lucrative venture? Or will they dig in their heels?

    Geeks everywhere want to know!

  6. Says Who? by justkarl · · Score: 5, Insightful

    "It further tips scales that were already tipped toward Blu-ray," said Ross Rubin, a consumer electronics analyst at the NPD Group.

    I don't know about all of you, but I certainly don't favor expensive new technology to proven successes. DVD may skip a frame now and then, and yes, there's still the chance that the disc may scratch, but for the most part, it's more than value-priced technology. That is, the price is fair given the failure rate.

    1. Re:Says Who? by east+coast · · Score: 2, Insightful

      DVD may skip a frame now and then, and yes, there's still the chance that the disc may scratch, but for the most part, it's more than value-priced technology. That is, the price is fair given the failure rate.

      Sounds like someone talking about records when CDs were new... This is the march of progress and it's also the reason to never buy first generation anything. Let the rich techno-illiterates buy it up to pay for the R&D and once the bugs are worked out you get a better technology at a fair price.

      But with Sony's track record on new tech it does seem like a dismal prospect. Who knows...

      --
      Dedicated Cthulhu Cultist since 4523 BC.
    2. Re:Says Who? by hrm · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Yes, but the capacity on current DVDs is simply not sufficient for HD signals. And HD is where we're headed...

      This is also the reason I favour the Blu-Ray format; it has 25 GB where HD-DVD offers 15 (I think both numbers are per layer, could be wrong).

      Going from 4.5 to 15 per layer does not seem worth the effort, from 4.5 to 25 just might be. Also, I think the HD-DVD camp is making the very common mistake of overestimating *practical* video compression technology. Theoretically 15 GB might just be enough for 3 hours HD movie at 1920x1080i. However, the current DVD market shows most studios can't tell their arse from a good mpeg encoder.

      Video compression is a bit like compiler technology; when Intel launches a new pentium it's like "well it won't work faster than the old one right away, but with a smart compiler it'll really fly"... however, that new compiler never materializes, or simply isn't used by your software vendor. So your shiny new processer won't fly after all.

      Therefore, in CPUs and DVD storage capacity alike, over-engineer where you can! Vote blu-ray.

  7. Once bitten, twice shy by tod_miller · · Score: 4, Funny

    Oh Sony, first betamax, and your memory stick (ok it is cute).

    I wrote you a haiku to make you feel better

    lets buy MGM
    why not it'll be fun, come on
    hail our new disc format

    ok it isn't that good but whatever.

    I can imagine a new Blu-ray player with memory stick input and built in ps3! :-0

    In fact, will PS3 use the new disc format? or PS4?

    I say good luck to em. As long as I can write my XVid movies to 'em :-) :-) :-)

    *come on that is the real need here!*

    --
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    1. Re:Once bitten, twice shy by poot_rootbeer · · Score: 2, Informative

      Oh Sony, first betamax, and your memory stick

      Also their Minidisc, and their SACD...

  8. Sony PlayStation Portable by tepples · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I guess this merger also means we'll see more films than just Columbia Tristar Home Video's limited selection on the UMD format used in Sony's PlayStation Portable handheld system.

  9. Re:should that be... by sifi · · Score: 4, Informative

    DVD officially stands for nothing.

    From wikipedia

    "DVD" was originally an acronym for "digital versatile disc"; some members of the DVD Forum believe that it should stand for "digital video disc", due to the fact that most members of the public believe that DVD does stand for that. Toshiba, which maintains the official DVD Forum site, adheres to the interpretation of "digital versatile disc." The DVD Forum never reached a consensus on the matter, however, and so today the official name of the format is simply "DVD"; the letters do not 'officially' stand for anything.

    So now we know...

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  10. Well... by iamdrscience · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I don't see any reason why this format would be a betamax failure. It seems pretty solid. But yeah, given Sony's record of unsuccessful and barely successful formats, this is probably right.

    Betamax, minidisk, memory stick, atrac3. Arguably SACD as well.

    1. Re:Well... by notanatheist · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Obviously you've never been to Japan where MD still rocks away. I'm actually in the market for a new MD player after sitting on the sidelines for a few years and not using mine. With a massive MD collection and some of the new players offering in excess of 20 hours off a single battery AND FINALLY data storage capabilities. The new HD-MD holds 1GB of data for only a few bucks. Try scratching or dropping an MD. Just pile the little things anywhere you want. Lastly, there are active linux projects for MD support as well.

    2. Re:Well... by rpdillon · · Score: 2, Informative

      I think we can thank Philips for the CD, not Sony. Check the second paragraph from the bottom.

  11. Nothing Compelling by Mr.+Arbusto · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Seriously, people just bought DVD's. Heck, most of my collection is in DVD format. Which is as good as I need and probably as good as it gets for the next 20 years. From DVD there is no real compelling reason for the consumer to upgrade. It is already high digtial, the market already enjoys the Value Added features. Making a release in another format would be like Sony Max all over again.

    1. Re:Nothing Compelling by garcia · · Score: 2, Funny

      Instead of 6 discs per season for tv-shows you'd only need 1. Heck you could press whole series on 1 disc.

      Oh come on... Then I wouldn't get to have a fold out DVD cover with David Hasselhoff showing his chest hair and 80's fro on my Knight Rider DVD season 1 DVD set.

  12. suddenly? by wiredog · · Score: 3, Informative

    MGM bought UA in the 80's. Time bought Warner Brothers a while back too. Nothing sudden about media consolidation.

  13. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  14. Re:Of course none of this will matter unless... by Dynamic1 · · Score: 2, Informative

    What killed the Betamax format was that they were not willing to share to technology with other manufacturers, and that paved the way for the VHS format to dominate the market...shame, I would have rather watched vids on Beta all these years - picture quality far superior than VHS.

  15. far from a failure by Lumpy · · Score: 3, Interesting

    The article goes on to suggest that Sony is gearing up for another Betamax-style failure.

    Betamax was far from a failure. it was better than VHS, a overall better design from the beginning and is still pretty much near the standard today in broadcast (betacam is very much like betamax.)

    They failed because of two tiny points.

    Tape size - not fricking long enough.. they fixed that with a larger format but by that time the damage was done.

    Adoption - VHS was far cheaper to license, so the porn industry latched onto it and ran, thus solidifying the VHS format as the defacto standard.

    --
    Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
    1. Re:far from a failure by Overzeetop · · Score: 2, Interesting

      You're confusing technological failure with product failure. Sony squeezed their golden goose 'til it died. I'd say, in order, the most important parts of a format success are:

      1) Content
      2) Price
      3) Quality

      You've got to be superior beyond belief for (3) to trump (2) or (1). Say, black and white analog vs Hi Def for a 20% premium. HDTV has (3) in spades, but is missing (1) and (2). The adoption is just barely getting off the ground now, as (2) and (1) begin to come into line with NTSC. I believe that, if the government wasn't mandating it, HD would fail. Miserably.

      --
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  16. Re:should that be... by strictfoo · · Score: 3, Insightful

    DVD officially stands for nothing.
    It officially stands for DVD. It really does stand for digital versatile disc. I'm sure the members of the DVD Forum that wanted Video were those only concerned with Video. Therefore, their opinions do not matter.

    From wikipedia
    Wikipedia is not authoritative.
    "WIKIPEDIA MAKES NO GUARANTEE OF VALIDITY."
    "Therefore, please be advised that nothing found here has necessarily been reviewed by professionals who are knowledgeable in the particular areas of expertise necessary to provide you with complete, accurate or reliable information about any subject in Wikipedia"

    So now we (don't) know...

    End of line.

    --
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  17. The succeeding standard will be... by Anonymous+Writer · · Score: 4, Insightful

    ... the first one used to distribute porn! The adult industry has a much greater influence on technology than the industry cares to admit.

  18. If only Sony didn't have such a bad track record by BlueTooth · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Betamax
    Mini Disc
    Memory Stick
    Blu-ray?

    --
    SPAM
  19. Who cares by Alizarin+Erythrosin · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Both formats will probably have a ton of DRM in it anyways. It's all just a money making ploy to get us to buy new "special edition" disc sets... "Now with 15 seconds of additional footage and some interview with one of the extras!" That and new players of course.

    And isn't DVD already in 480p?

    --
    There are only 10 kinds of people in this world... those who understand binary and those who don't
  20. It's Sony, DUH. by brxndxn · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I don't know of any other company that has tried and failed more times to set its own monopoly in some form of media. Any discerning nerd avoids Sony products like the plague because they undoubtedly go against any set standard.

    The ones I know about:
    - betamax
    - mini-disc (though it eventually opened up to other manufacturers after it was old technology)
    - Playstation/Playstation 2 (ya, most video game systems aren't compatible with other manufacturers.. but this is still an example)
    - Memory-stick (wtf.. we have compact flash, smart media, secure digital.. but Sony somehow thinks they'll be the standard)

    I'm sure there's a few I'm forgetting. Sony is a damn frustrating company. If they just adopted and backed a new standard instead of always trying to monopolize, we would have standards adopted significantly faster. Sony is a huge company.

    --
    --- We need more Ron Paul!
  21. Not betamax by samberdoo · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Sony is in a much better position now than they were during the beta/VHS wars. They lost that one because they were much smaller and alone. They now have allies, the playstation is around and Sony owns more music and movies than they did. People are now are used to multiformat players and recorders. I think the trend will continue. Remember beta was a different size and shape, we are dealing with basically the same media with a different format. That being said, I agree that some of these monopolistic trends are bad for the industry. I wonder what format Microsoft will choose for the Xbox 2.

  22. Re:should that be... by BlueTooth · · Score: 2, Funny

    Not to question the great Wikipedia in the sky, but I was under the impression that DVD originally stood for Digital Video Disc, but then everyone was like "no, its more than just video, cuz it will work really nice in computers and stuff" (unlike the hack used to put data on CDs)...and so they want with Digial Versital Disc...

    If it was "Versital" from the start, they should have gone with the gramatically more sensible "Versital Digial Disc"...VDD. Not to be confused with the compeating "Venerial Disease Disc" format.

    --
    SPAM
  23. Sony MGM park? by pavo · · Score: 3, Interesting

    What does this mean to the Disney MGM park? Is Mickey Mouse going to have to carry a walkman now?

    I assume they are going to keep the MGM branding, but has anyone heard anything else about this?

  24. Re:Good News Bad News by clarus · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I don't think this will explode into a Betamax fiasco, but more rather a DVD-R and +R situation. At least from my standpoint, both suck, but I don't really have to worry about them because they've done a good job of making things compatible.

    No one ever believed it was possible untill the Apple superdrive, so maybe they don't think they can make a combined player untill some other high priced company puts one in for "simplicity."

    Or maybe this is just me hoping that the nice new Progressive scan DVD player I just bought isn't worthless

    --clarus

  25. What bad track record? by tepples · · Score: 5, Informative

    PlayStation. PlayStation 2. Compact Disc itself, co-developed with Philips.

    True, Betamax the format is dead, but Betacam the format and Betamax the copyright precedent live on for now.

  26. the problem with sony.. by Suppafly · · Score: 3, Interesting

    .. is that no one wants them to become the standard in any format war.

    Sony would like to set themselves up to be the microsoft of the entertainment world. They consistantly ignore market demands and instead produce devices they want people to have instead of devices that people want to have.

    Honestly, how many people would want a portable music player that plays some format other than mp3? and takes a higher priced, sony only memory card?

  27. Next Generation of DRM by nurb432 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    This is what its really about, the control ..

    Remember this is sony we are talking about..

    --
    ---- Booth was a patriot ----
  28. Really Betamax? by tjansen · · Score: 2, Funny

    Does it have to be a Betamax-style failure? What about a Minidisk-style failure? Or a Memory-Stick-style failure? Or an Attrac3-style failure?

    Sony spent the last 20 years creating redundant formats that nobody wants.

    1. Re:Really Betamax? by fishbowl · · Score: 2, Interesting


      >Does it have to be a Betamax-style failure? What
      >about a Minidisk-style failure? Or a
      >Memory-Stick-style failure? Or an Attrac3-style
      >failure?

      Those are all really successful formats.

      Minidisc is alive and well, as is Sony DAT with ATRAC. Memory stick is doing no worse than any other single memory format. Beta was *THE* pro vidio standard for more than a decade.

      You seem to be measuring failure by what is popular in the consumer world, but you conveniently ignore the pro world when you do that.

      --
      -fb Everything not expressly forbidden is now mandatory.
  29. The Format of the Future by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I think there really should only be one 'format':
    The file. We should be moving to a future where all our music and films live on media with a filesystem.

    So many DVD players today read CD/DVD-ROMs with MP3 files and there are even some now that can read DivX files.

    Of course it won't happen because the big companies want us to keep buying our films and music again and again in new formats. But a file created today can be with us forever. I actually think that's the main reason behind DRM. Not to prevent illegal copying but to wring revenue far into the future by licencing the decoder to hardware manufacturers.

  30. Sony will win the format war by bludstone · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Because the ps3 will have blue-ray.

    Assuming the ps3 follows the popularity of the ps1 and the ps2, a high percentage of households will already have a blue-ray player. (over 50 million ps2s have been sold)

    Frankly, I dont see much advantage of these disks over DVDs, and Ive _got_ an hdtv.

    --

    no .sig
  31. Don't forget video-on-demand by Drunken_Jackass · · Score: 2, Informative

    "Sony also announced yesterday that it had reached an agreement with Comcast to offer Sony and MGM movies over Comcast's video-on-demand systems and on new cable channels that it would form with the Sony group."

    From an article here.

    I don't know about you, but i hardly ever go to the movie store anymore (unless i want to own a DVD). I rent most of my titles from Time Warner's video-on-demand. This agreement opens up that whole distribution channel (no pun intended) for all of those classic MGM titles.

    --
    There are 01 types of people in this world. Those that understand binary, and me.
  32. hey, Blu-ray is Sony's format!!! by mm0mm · · Score: 2, Informative
    hold on, something seems to be wrong here. Check this out. Blu-ray is to be used by Sony, Philips, Pioneer and others, while NEC/Toshiba are planning to use HD DVD, aren't they? You won't find NEC and Toshiba's name on Blu-Ray's official site, as far as I can see.

    And to clarify further, in either case scenario, MS will win because both Next-gen DVD formats will most likely use MS codec.

    At this point, I think HD DVD (by NEC/Toshiba) is a history. And I wouldn't be surprised even if Sony has a second thought on the codec they will use for distribution. I want to see Sony leaving MS or coming up with something other than MS codec.

  33. Speaking as a LA local and film geek... by MsGeek · · Score: 2, Interesting
    It will be good to see the MGM sign on top of the old MGM Studios which is now Sony Pictures Entertainment Culver City. It won't make up for the fact that Sony butchered a lot of the vintage Art Deco buildings on the lot and redid them in an pseudo-Art Deco style, but for tradition's sake being able to call the facilities MGM Studios again is sweet.

    The fact that this means more consolidation of media in the hands of fewer and fewer companies, however, is very, very distressing. http://www.pbs.org/now/politics/mediaconsol.html

    --
    Knowledge is power. Knowledge shared is power multiplied.
  34. Dear Poor Eyesight by DumbSwede · · Score: 3, Informative
    Anyone that thinks DVD is "good enough" is terribly short sighted.

    I would estimate DVD quality to be about 3x VHS (about 2x more pixels, and a much better color space).

    HDTV has 6x as many pixels as DVD, at 2 Mega pixels.

    From my experience with a 10-foot wide projection system (NEC LX135 QXGA) I have at home, anything below DVD is almost unwatchable. DVD looks glorious until you pump a true HDTV signal into the system and then what you have is in many ways better than going to the theater (at least the crappy cineplexes in this town).

    Now you might carp who the hell has 10' wide projection systems to really enjoy this kind of experience. The percentage is small today, but I predict that DLP will cause hi-res projection prices to plummet in the next 2-3 years. Mostly because DLP will experience the same kind of Moore's law improvement as any other type of chip type process, while other methods rely more on bulk size improvements.

    In fact while it has been long to make it out of the Labs, Hi-Res displays will probably be common and affordable in Ultra-HD resolutions in 5 to 10 years time. (over 8 mega pixels) in large sizes.

    I suspect U-HD will be overkill for home, and in most ways exceeds 35mm film quality when you factor in film speed (grainer for faster) and editing and reprocessing (loosing quality at each step). Sure, theoretically 35mm film has 16 Meg pixel, but in practice it is more like 3-6 (not much more than HD). And that's only if you can find a theater that knows how to keep a critical focus, and whose machines don't jitter uncontrollably because they are trying to squeeze the last penny out the damn things before going digital, which they desperately want to avoid as long a possible because first generation equipment is expensive and will suck compared to equipment available in 2-3 years time.

    Even without 10' screens, in 2 or 3 years, WUXGA screens (1920-1200) will be common and affordable in laptops with Blu-Ray and/or HD-DVD built in. The near photographic look will motivate people to upgrade their home viewing experience. One of the biggest reasons for HDTV slow acceptance has been the failure of early systems to actually display the full quality that the standard supports (most systems today advertised as HDTV still don't). That and of course the lack of actual HDTV content to be viewed.

    I suspect I will be one of the ones to say HD is good enough once we really get there. My father has trouble seeing the detail of DVD. So many people don't have the visually acuity to really appreciate the difference. Beyond HD I suspect the majority of people won't really be able to see much of a difference. I'm speaking of REAL HD. 1080p at 60 frames a second is really sweet, but over the air stops just short of this with p at only 24 and 30 fps. My prediction is that eventually 1080p at 60fps will become a standard, one that holds for a couple of decades or more, but we could get stuck at 1080i or 720p, which is a shame because the difference is quite noticeable up to this. Digital photography might still motivate people to buy U-HD projection systems for displaying stills.

    As for me -- GIVE ME BLU-RAY AS SOON AS POSSIBLE!!!
    (while the CRTs hold out on my current system)

  35. Sony and MGM films. by jskline · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Hmmmm...

    The major issue I had with a lot of this is "marketing". They are generally the problem. Marketing is entirely the reason behind the VHS vs Beta war, and to this day, are behind much of the current day issues of products. Quality of an item or service anymore means absolutely nothing. It's all in how you market, and how hard you do it. You can be selling crap-on-a-stick, and people will buy the heck out of it all day long if you market it in the right way.

    The current bit with Sony buying all this is much ado about nothing. Fact is that when DVD's started becoming favor over VHS for rentals and purchase, many companies licensed the material and migrated a good percentage of it to the "current" format(s), such as DVD. We even saw this with Laserdisc's.

    This stuff will more or less be around for quite some time. Maybe not in a format you'd particularly want, but it'll be here.

    Cheers

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  36. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 2, Informative

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  37. Re:should that be... by Ondo · · Score: 2, Informative

    The DVD FAQ agrees with you, Digital Video Disc was the original meaning.

  38. Re:should that be... by sootman · · Score: 2, Informative

    FWIW, I remember Sony's site being one of the first I visited when I got online in 1996, specifically becauseI wanted to see info on the new, upcoming DVD format. At that time, according to them, DVD meant Digital Video Disc. I didn't hear "versatile" until much later.

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  39. Re:So: Blu vs HD vs DVD? by Overzeetop · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Blu-ray is HD. HD-DVD is HD. Blu-ray holds more data, which translates into lower compression rates, assuming the same extras on the disc.

    IF Sony can get blu-ray out the door in a cost-competitive way, there will be no real fight like there was with Betamax/VHS. Sony just needs to get over themselves, and with so many parteners, they pretty much have to. There will be a marginal ($1) difference in production price at production volumes for the new laser wavelength. They're the same size disc, use the same codecs, will likely end up with the same DRM.

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  40. I'm in a bind here by Ann+Coulter · · Score: 2, Funny

    Sony is developing OLEDs. But Sony is also trying to infest the market with DRM technologies. So I bring back an ad hoc poll from a few years ago:

    Today, Sony is

    a) Good
    b) Bad
    c) CowboyNeal

    I choose CowboyNeal.