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Aging Japan Looks to Bots For Care

An anonymous reader writes to mention a Yahoo! news article about robotics in Japan. While many research bots are working on interacting with their environment, some of Japan's commercial robotics are focusing on building bots for elderly care. From the article: "The 100-kilogram (220-pound) robot can also distinguish eight different kinds of smells, can tell which direction a voice is coming from and uses powers of sight to follow a human face. 'In the future, we would like to develop a capacity to detect a human's health condition through his breath,' Mukai said. Japan is bracing for a major increase in needs for elderly care due to a declining birth rate and a population that is among the world's longest living." That sure sounds familiar.

139 comments

  1. Well, obviously... by wesley96 · · Score: 1

    In the future, all that Japan will have left would be Gundams... feh.

    --
    Serving time in Aristotelean prison for violating laws of physics
    1. Re:Well, obviously... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think you mean:

      In Japan only old people use robots.

    2. Re:Well, obviously... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Do you ever not post a story about robots every freaking week? I know the people have a fascination for robotics on this site, but every week? Just a question, not an accusation against /.

    3. Re:Well, obviously... by GrievousMistake · · Score: 1

      Oh, yes! A nation full of old people riding giant robots of mass destruction. SUVs, take a hike!

      --
      In a fair world, refrigerators would make electricity.
  2. Looking for an article by AEton · · Score: 4, Interesting

    There was an older article (six months to a year and a half ago, maybe) about the elderly in Japan turning to robots.

    The article had an especially strong lead paragraph about an immigrant who would never be able to get a job taking care of the elderly because she was a foreigner and because she wasn't a robot; the point of the article was that racism is so strong in Japan that old people actually shy away from a human's touch when the human isn't the right kind, and that they prefer robots. (Well, that was one possible conclusion -- certainly there are others.)

    Does anyone remember seeing this? Any hints on how to track it down?

    --
    We recently had heard in the office over one of the Yellow Machine that's made by Anthology Solutions.
    1. Re:Looking for an article by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Japan’s humanoid robots

      Better than people
      Dec 20th 2005 | TOKYO
      From The Economist print edition

      Why the Japanese want their robots to act more like humans

      HER name is MARIE, and her impressive set of skills comes in handy in a nursing home. MARIE can walk around under her own power. She can distinguish among similar-looking objects, such as different bottles of medicine, and has a delicate enough touch to work with frail patients. MARIE can interpret a range of facial expressions and gestures, and respond in ways that suggest compassion. Although her language skills are not ideal, she can recognise speech and respond clearly. Above all, she is inexpensive. Unfortunately for MARIE, however, she has one glaring trait that makes it hard for Japanese patients to accept her: she is a flesh-and-blood human being from the Philippines. If only she were a robot instead.

      Robots, you see, are wonderful creatures, as many a Japanese will tell you. They are getting more adept all the time, and before too long will be able to do cheaply and easily many tasks that human workers do now. They will care for the sick, collect the rubbish, guard homes and offices, and give directions on the street.

      This is great news in Japan, where the population has peaked, and may have begun shrinking in 2005. With too few young workers supporting an ageing population, somebody--or something--needs to fill the gap, especially since many of Japan’s young people will be needed in science, business and other creative or knowledge-intensive jobs.

      Many workers from low-wage countries are eager to work in Japan. The Philippines, for example, has over 350,000 trained nurses, and has been pleading with Japan--which accepts only a token few--to let more in. Foreign pundits keep telling Japan to do itself a favour and make better use of cheap imported labour. But the consensus among Japanese is that visions of a future in which immigrant workers live harmoniously and unobtrusively in Japan are pure fancy. Making humanoid robots is clearly the simple and practical way to go.

      Japan certainly has the technology. It is already the world leader in making industrial robots, which look nothing like pets or people but increasingly do much of the work in its factories. Japan is also racing far ahead of other countries in developing robots with more human features, or that can interact more easily with people. A government report released this May estimated that the market for “service robots” will reach ¥1.1 trillion ($10 billion) within a decade.

      The country showed off its newest robots at a world exposition this summer in Aichi prefecture. More than 22m visitors came, 95% of them Japanese. The robots stole the show, from the nanny robot that babysits to a Toyota that plays a trumpet. And Japan’s robots do not confine their talents to controlled environments. As they gain skills and confidence, robots such as Sony’s QRIO (pronounced “curio”) and Honda’s ASIMO are venturing to unlikely places. They have attended factory openings, greeted foreign leaders, and rung the opening bell on the New York Stock Exchange. ASIMO can even take the stage to accept awards.

      The friendly face of technology

      So Japan will need workers, and it is learning how to make robots that can do many of their jobs. But the country’s keen interest in robots may also reflect something else: it seems that plenty of Japanese really like dealing with robots.

      Few Japanese have the fear of robots that seems to haunt westerners in seminars and Hollywood films. In western popular culture, robots are often a threat, either because they are manipulated by sinister forces or because something goes horribly wrong with them. By contrast, most Japanese view robots as friendly and benign. Robots like people, and can do good.

      The Japanese are well aware of this cultu

    2. Re:Looking for an article by jbarham · · Score: 4, Informative

      You're probably thinking of this article.

    3. Re:Looking for an article by mlow82 · · Score: 1

      Here you can find the ./ article.

    4. Re:Looking for an article by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      the point of the article was that racism is so strong in Japan that old people actually shy away from a human's touch when the human isn't the right kind

      Keeping foreigners and other races out seems quite logical actually since we are seeing turmoil all over the globe with countries that allow immigration.

    5. Re:Looking for an article by Disavian · · Score: 1

      Too bad that they've cancelled the Aibo, Qrio, and Qualia programs since then.

    6. Re:Looking for an article by binarybum · · Score: 1

      no, no, I think he was looking for this. Must have been an add for it in the economist.

      btw, is anyone suprised that the Japanese are building robots for this purpose? I mean, what aren't the Japanese building robots for?

      --
      ôó
    7. Re:Looking for an article by Laserwulf · · Score: 1

      There was an older article... about the elderly in Japan turning to robots.

      Where's Dr. Who when you need him?

      --
      "Make cyberlove, not cyberwar!" -Khaed(544779)
  3. No money in this research by BadAnalogyGuy · · Score: 4, Interesting

    The problem with this type of research is that the elderly are among the least able to pay for the development in this area. Monies must be siphoned from other profitable medical areas like pediatrics and radiology in order to pay for advancements in elderly and hospice care.

    It makes sense, then, that the guy's name is Mukai. 'Mu' means 'none' or 'no' in Japanese. 'Kai' means 'shell'. So Mr. No Shells can also be read as Mr. No Clams. And if you ain't got no clams, you're one poor dude.

    1. Re:No money in this research by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      your explanation about Dr. Mukai's name is wrong.

      here's Dr. Mukais' webpage, and as you see the his name in Kanji, he is "Muka" "i". The leteral meaning is "approaching" and "well"(water hole). There are many theories about the actual meaning.

      http://www.bmc.riken.jp/~tosh/index.html

    2. Re:No money in this research by patio11 · · Score: 3, Informative
      Oh, the Japanese government is quite happy to throw LOTS of money at this problem. We're spending a couple million of it two floors below me as we speak. If you're ever find yourself in Gifu, drop by and we'll arrange for a demonstration (although, in fairness, the private industry bots kick our tail in every possible way -- my memory is getting a little rusty but I think it was the Honda bot that had our department head very vexed about after he saw it at the Aichi Expo). Our researchers are throwing most of their time at the hardware (cameras, mainly) and image processing algorithms/challenges.

      www.softopia.or.jp , although I don't think you'll find anything interesting about this project in specific if you can't read Japanese. But, anyhow, just trust me, How To Deal With Our Aging Society gets mentioned often enough in seminars here that you'd think it was Dilbertized like "business synergy paradigm" or something.

  4. LMAO by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Built for elderly care and can distinguish smells. Am I the only one that's thinking these things were built to wipe old people's asses?

  5. before you bring out the "racism"... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    I've heard of this before, on /. I suspect, and I recall that the reason put forward for the Japanese preference for robotic workers rather than cheap third world labour was racism.
    Now, I don't know if that's a factor or not (it hasn't seemed to be to me). What I think is a major factor is the fact that Japan is already incredibly crowded, not to mention in an Earthquake/tsunami zone where no-one should be living anyway. So robots aren't a bad idea.

    1. Re:before you bring out the "racism"... by WindBourne · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      It is more likely that Japan is trying to create a new industry. They have done that for quite some time. The xenophboia of Japan is way too overstated. It is akin to saying that Bush (and the gov.) screwed up Katrina response due to N.O. being dominately black. While I do not like Bush/crew, not for a second, I would not believe that.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  6. Pity the US doesn't think so... by dcapel · · Score: 3, Insightful

    We have the problem of people in high places just looking out for themselves -- caring for them won't be their problem; life-extension or other medical advances won't be in developed in time to help them, etc.

    And the sad part is, when younger people get into those places, we will probably do that same thing.

    --
    DYWYPI?
  7. Re:Beowulf Cluster by Dante+Shamest · · Score: 2, Funny

    Hrm, i'd like a Beowulf Cluster of these! What would you do with a Beowulf Cluster of old people?

  8. The price is around 40 million yen I hear by KNicolson · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Versus about 4 million yen for a real live nurse, if only Japan was more accepting of foreign labour to look after all the old folk.

    1. Re:The price is around 40 million yen I hear by Lord+Kano · · Score: 1

      Versus about 4 million yen for a real live nurse, if only Japan was more accepting of foreign labour to look after all the old folk.

      You mean on that overcrowded earthquake prone island?

      LK

      --
      "Hi. This is my friend, Jack Shit, and you don't know him." - Lord Kano
    2. Re:The price is around 40 million yen I hear by Kjella · · Score: 1

      Versus about 4 million yen for a real live nurse, if only Japan was more accepting of foreign labour to look after all the old folk.

      Well, there's Japan and then there's the Japanese old people in question, which don't exactly like it either. There's still a lot of people that remember WWII, and face it - a lot of old people are stuck in the past. If I go to the nearest nursing home I think I can find a lot of attitudes that are out of touch with the average inhabitant. Indecency, sex before marriage, kids before marriage, divorce, sex toys, homosexuality, other religions, immigrants and whatnot. Also many of them aren't good at any other language, and I doubt many foreigners speak perfect Japanese. And while meaning no disrespect, the Japanese culture seem to be rather odd one. Or at least their anime is ;).

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
  9. Avoid the parents. by Neo-Rio-101 · · Score: 5, Interesting

    A Japanese girlfriend of mine has a sick mother who needs constant care all of the time. Nobody is at home to look after her. The father needs to work to pay the bills. She doesn't want to quit her job to stay home to look after her. It is expensive to live in Japan, and it's boring to stay home and look after parents. She doesn't want to do it... in fact none of the family want to do it. She doesn't want to throw her future and career away to do it. Her whole family feels that her mother is a real burden to everyone else, and the whole family wishes that she would just go into a hospital and not be an extra thorn in everyone's lifestyle.

    I just can't help but feel that it's very sad that it comes down to needing a robot, but I guess lifestyles and nuclear families are upsetting Japan's old age care system.

    --
    READY.
    PRINT ""+-0
    1. Re:Avoid the parents. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A Japanese girlfriend of mine has a sick mother who needs constant care all of the time.

      I didn't see that anime. What's the title?

    2. Re:Avoid the parents. by patio11 · · Score: 3, Informative
      Lifestyles and the changing family structure is one part of the consideration... the other is just plain old demographics. Japan is aging, fast. The birthrate is slowing to a crawl. I don't have a copy of the powerpoint slide on me (saw it at our research meeting last week, I work for the gov't here and a lot of the research involves "how to equip society to deal with a lot of aged folks", including a portion of our robot research) at the second but the Ministry of Health & Welfare forcasts 1 out of every 3 Japanese to be over the age of 65 by either 2020 or 2050.

      There is no way you can make one-to-one care work at that proportion. Japan is currently experimenting with a variety of methods for alleviating this: the current profusion of old folks homes, for example, breaks the traditional one-caretaker-who-is-probably-a-daughter-or-inlaw- per-elderly paradigm. Then there are bots and immigration. I guess I benefit rather directly from policies which encourage the later :) But in the end its going to have to be a confluence of efforts.

      Of course, this problem on the societal scale is closely related to the low birthrate (Japan hovers at something like, off the top of my head, 1.1). Yeah. Combine that with an average life expectancy which is the highest in the world and increases every year and demographics sure look like destiny.

    3. Re:Avoid the parents. by killjoe · · Score: 1

      I guess the societal traditions are going to have to change. In the US they would just toss the mother in an old age home and pay through the nose.

      --
      evil is as evil does
    4. Re:Avoid the parents. by Duncan3 · · Score: 1

      s/Japan/American/g

      Just as accurate.

      Eventually, when enough of a population is not working, the society must either collapse (every other time in history) or create technology that's many orders of magnitude cheaper then a human to take care of all the non-working humans.

      So, add up all the kids under 18 not allowed to work, people over 65 also not allowed, people in the 47 year windows between that cannot work for some reason physical, mental, or unemployment. That better be a small fraction of the ones that can work, or your going to get your economic ass kicked.

      --
      - Adam L. Beberg - The Cosm Project - http://www.mithral.com/
    5. Re:Avoid the parents. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      “[N]ot only are the Japanese living longest in the world, they are also living the healthiest. So with longevity come sharply reduced odds of being bedridden for long at the end of your life. Elderly Japanese go in great numbers to pokkuri dera: temples dedicated to the idea of going to sleep never to wake up. That, increasingly, is how the Japanese are dying.”

      [In need of transformation: Workforce forecast, % of total population]

      --

      The grey market

      Hey, big-spender
      Dec 1st 2005 | TOKYO
      From The Economist print edition

      Japan leads the world in developing new products for the elderly

      [Image] Granny’s companion, a Snuggling Ifbot (AFP)

      BY 2015, one in four of all Japanese, or 30m, will be over 65. Already, more than 25,000 Japanese are over 100, and that number is going to rise fast. After all, average life expectancy, now 82, is growing by almost 2.5 years every decade, while Japan’s big baby-boom generation is just about to start moving into retirement. It is all causing a good deal of hand-wringing among policymakers contemplating a growing burden for the state and for a shrinking workforce. But it is also causing a good deal of hand-rubbing among businessmen, who see older Japanese as a source of profit.

      One of the biggest challenges will be providing affordable care for more elderly, including the great majority still able to live at home, but no longer with their children. Bringing in cheaper, foreign nurses and carers is not an option in a political climate that is so averse to immigration (a proposal to allow Filipina nurses and helpers sets the annual quota at no more than 200--though the government was last year happy to grant more than 80,000 “entertainment” visas to young Filipinas). So Japanese businesses, true to form, are developing suitably high-tech responses.

      For instance, one Nagoya-based company, Synclayer, which makes and integrates cable television and local-area networks (LANs), has developed a means for old people still living at home to use a device that takes basic medical measurements, such as blood pressure and temperature, and sends them to a local health database. The medical services can then act if anything seems amiss. Synclayer also makes a sensor that can be placed, on (for example) the fridge door; every time the door is opened, a message is sent over the LAN to the database, and from there health workers or family members can be alerted if there is no fridge-going activity.

      The pioneer in bringing peace of mind to family or neighbours is Zojirushi, Japan’s biggest maker of rice cookers and electric kettles, which in Japan keep water hot all day for tea or miso soup. Zojirushi’s iPot, developed with NTT DoCoMo and Fujitsu, has a wireless device which transmits a message to an NTT server when the water-dispensing button is pressed. Then, twice daily, the usage record is sent to the designated mobile phone or e-mail address of family or friend.

      A lot of work is being done on interactive robots that talk to the elderly. Those on the market now are chiefly for comfort and stimulation: for instance, the Snuggling Ifbot, which lives in an astronaut suit, chats about the weather, sings and plays quiz games. Primo Puel, an interactive doll, has become an unexpected hit with elderly single women: it was originally designed for another group of lonely people, boyfriendless young girls.

      But, increasingly, the development work on robots is designed either to assist the old with physical functions such as bathing or lifting things, or to monitor health and well-being. A government report this year guessed that annual demand for “service robots”, ie, those not used for manufacturing, could top ¥1 trillion ($8.4 billion) by 2015

    6. Re:Avoid the parents. by G-funk · · Score: 1

      Except that America is importing mexicans (and the like) at a rate of knots, but Japan.... Isn't.

      --
      Send lawyers, guns, and money!
    7. Re:Avoid the parents. by UserGoogol · · Score: 1

      I don't find it sad. In the future, absolutely everything will be done by robots anyway. Japan's shrinking birth rates, unwillingness to take care of older generations and irrational fear of foreigners will just allow them to be early adaptors for the future of robotics.

      --
      "Never attribute to malice that which can be adequately explained by stupidity." -- Hanlon's Razor
    8. Re:Avoid the parents. by Bob3141592 · · Score: 1

      A Japanese girlfriend of mine has a sick mother who needs constant care all of the time. Nobody is at home to look after her. The father needs to work to pay the bills. She doesn't want to quit her job to stay home to look after her. It is expensive to live in Japan, and it's boring to stay home and look after parents. She doesn't want to do it... in fact none of the family want to do it. She doesn't want to throw her future and career away to do it. Her whole family feels that her mother is a real burden to everyone else, and the whole family wishes that she would just go into a hospital and not be an extra thorn in everyone's lifestyle.

      Curious, for a country with a history of venerating their ancestors, that living oparents aren't so revered.

      --
      In theory, there's no difference between theory and practice. In practice, there is.
  10. I hate to be pedantic, but... by KNicolson · · Score: 1

    No, that's a lie, I love being pedantic. Anyway, Mr BadAnalogyMan by name, Bad Analogy by nature, his kanji is , not , which is Mr Facing The Well, if we want to try to put an English meaning on it.

    1. Re:I hate to be pedantic, but... by BadAnalogyGuy · · Score: 1

      Details, details.

    2. Re:I hate to be pedantic, but... by BadAnalogyGuy · · Score: 1

      Funny. I posted both the jp page and us page. Damn filter erased the second link!

      http://www.bmc.riken.jp/~RI-MAN/index_jp.html

  11. Teh robots can combine by Nazmun · · Score: 1, Funny

    Obviously i was thinking of the bots. Since it's japan they'll come with a plethora of combat abilities and naturally combine to form a even bigger bot.

    --
    Hmmm... Pie...
  12. The robot has a home page by KNicolson · · Score: 4, Informative

    He's called RI-MAN, Robot Interacting with huMAN. No word on his pushing or shoving capabilities, vis-a-vis a stair-rich environment.

  13. Matrix .2? by Heembo · · Score: 2, Funny

    Sorry man, that just a few steps to close to being used as batteries!

    --
    Horns are really just a broken halo.
    1. Re: Matrix .2? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Thus, did man become the architect of his own demise. But for a time, it was good.

  14. Re:Beowulf Cluster by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    In Japan, robots are only for old people?

  15. Re:Beowulf Cluster by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 1

    They don't have any young people to tear them apart and put them back together. Even the robots are being made by other robots.

  16. Well... by darkmonkeh · · Score: 2

    Although a robot is being built, the developers are still a long way from making a commercially available product. By the time the functionality and usability of the robot is at the standard required, the user's needs may have changed, as will their price range. We're still a long way from seeing robots caring in an everyday household.

  17. In Korea... by traabil · · Score: 0, Redundant

    In Korea, only old people ... wait.

    Sorry

  18. And when robots get smarter... by EmbeddedJanitor · · Score: 1

    will they really want to be shovelling oldie shit and giving sponge baths? Nope they'll go get a better job down at the car factory or sort post or whatever.

    --
    Engineering is the art of compromise.
  19. Time to start up that business by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

    ... Selling Robot Insurance. Because robots steal old people's medications and use it as fuel... and robots are strong...

  20. I for one.... by Whiteox · · Score: 3, Funny

    I for one, welcome our breath-smelling robot overlords!

    --
    Don't be apathetic. Procrastinate!
    1. Re:I for one.... by glowworm · · Score: 1
      From the article... ...building bots for elderly care...The 100-kilogram robot can also distinguish eight different kinds of smells

      Would that would be
      • Urine
      • Boiled Cabbage
      • Moth Balls
      • Lavender
      • Dusty Curtains
      • Stale cigarette smoke
      • Fish
      • and more urine
      --
      Orationem pulchram non habens, scribo ista linea in lingua Latina
  21. Be sure to have Robot Insurance just incase... by Bushido+Hacks · · Score: 4, Funny

    I'm glad I got grandma to sign up for Old Glory Robot Insurance.

    --
    The Rapture is NOT an exit strategy.
  22. We took care of them and did thier work by Timberwolf0122 · · Score: 0, Troll

    and for a while it was good...

    On a side note I think the reason these robots are being developed for the Japanese market is not just down to a reluctance to accept foreign workers but more to do with the fact that elderly japanes people are very light. With a (future) maximum load of 70Kg you'd need an army to care for an obease Seppo* or Europian.


    * Seppo, slang: Seppo->Septic Tank->Yank.

    --
    In the not too distant future, next Sunday A.D.
  23. Xenophobia and Robots by Shihar · · Score: 1

    I think the bigger reason why the US is not pouring money into elderly helping robots is that the US is significantly less xenophobic then Japan. The US is happy to throw open the borders and let cheap labor in. Robots are highly unlikely to be cheaper then Mexican labor any time soon. Japan on the other hand has fanatically strict anti-immigration rules and are extremely xenophobic. Their xenophobia goes double and triple if you are black or another Asian.

    To give you an idea of there level of xenophobia and anti-immigration policies, my dad told me a story about the last time he visited Japan on business. Apparently he was sitting around with Japanese colleagues when the server came over. The Japanese at the table immediately identified her as a non-Japanese. My dad ended up talking to her later on that night and her sad story turns to be that she was the descendent of Koreans - two generations ago. She and her parents were both born in Japan but were still not considered citizens. She had a family line that started in Japan since just before the invention flight, yet she still wasn't considered a citizen.

    To be fair to Japan, they are not the only ones. A lot of Asian nations still have large (but very slowly shrinking) xenophobic population. My girlfriend's mother for instance is from Taiwanese. I love her to death, but when it comes to Japanese and blacks she is racist enough that could easily sit around bullshitting with the worst American racists you can imagine.

    1. Re:Xenophobia and Robots by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, you're wrong. US citizens are just more accustomed to having slaves do their dirty work.

    2. Re:Xenophobia and Robots by DRM_is_Stupid · · Score: 1

      Interesting to note that even though the US has tougher immigration and naturalization policies than Japan (save the dual citizenship thing), and even though most countries with an aging population problem also have a chronic shortfall in geriatric nurses, if a Japanese company works on developing robots, they are suddenly labelled as "xenophobic" by the luddites, who have stereotypes of the Japanese people to back themselves up.

    3. Re:Xenophobia and Robots by DRM_is_Stupid · · Score: 1

      You compare the US and Japan, and wonder why the US isn't spending as much money in research for the elderly. Japan has one of the slowest population growth rates, while the US has a healthy, relatively normal population growth rate. Japan's problem is an increasing elderly population and and a shrinking young population. Given these facts, is the only explanation that you can give why Japan is spending more money in elderly care, is anti-Japanese stereotype? The Korean Japanese are not banned from receiving citizenship. Quite the opposite - often times the government wants them to choose Japanese citizenship, but they want to keep their Korean citizenship for various personal reasons.

    4. Re:Xenophobia and Robots by Shihar · · Score: 1

      Interesting to note that even though the US has tougher immigration and naturalization policies than Japan...

      Bullshit. Look up the word "jus sanguinis". Better yet, let me just tell you what it means.

      Japan is a jus sanguinis state, meaning that it recognizes citizenship by blood, not by birth (as is the case in the United States, Ireland and many other countries). Article 2 provides three situations in which a person can become a Japanese citizen at birth:

      1) When either parent is a Japanese citizen at the time of birth
      2) When the father dies before the birth and is a Japanese citizen at the time of death
      3) When the person is born on Japanese soil and both parents are unknown or stateless
      These rules are very strictly applied, which often creates problems for unmarried non-Japanese mothers. In such cases, unless the Japanese father gives express recognition of paternity before the birth, the child is generally not recognized as a Japanese citizen

      http://en.wikibooks.org/wiki/Japanese_Immigration_ Law

      There is also some more good reading found here:
      http://www.migrationinformation.org/Profiles/displ ay.cfm?id=39

      Japan is better then it was, but that isn't saying much.

    5. Re:Xenophobia and Robots by DRM_is_Stupid · · Score: 1

      Maybe you are an elderly in Japan and can better speak for them than anyone else here. Many of them want to continue their lives in remote villages instead of changing their environment by moving to a nursing home. Frankly, not many people are interested in helping these people even at nursing homes, much less at remote villages. Depending on what comes out of this research, the elderlies may also prefer robots over people for financial and privacy reasons. It may be that this technology will eventually find its ways into fields that are different from its original intended purpose, or it maybe just pork barrel spending. They see a future need, and spending money in research is one of the ways they figured how to spend money today for it. Why spend money into researching anything (i.e. RFID tags) if immigrants can be employed at lower wages? That sounds like a luddite way of thinking. To dismiss this research as simply "xenophobia" is rather delusional.

    6. Re:Xenophobia and Robots by Shihar · · Score: 1

      *Woosh!*

      That is the sound of my point going way over your head.

      To dismiss this research as simply "xenophobia" is rather delusional.

      Try and take a look back at what I wrote. I said that:
      A) Japan is xenophobic compared to the US.
          1) I showed that this is true by giving you links explaing their immigration policies.
      B) This higher level of xenophobia has resulted in more interest in finding ways to reduce the demand for labor that other nations (namely the US) would simply fill with immigrants from poorer nations.

      There are both true statements. Japan has had a near constant labor shortage since the end of World War II. Japan could easily fill their labor shortage by opening up the many poorer nations around them. Japan DOES have a labor shortage problem and Japan COULD fix it by opening up to immigration. The growing size of their already massive retired persons population is simply straining the labor shortages. Japan realizes that they have a demographic problem and Japan does not want to solve it by allowing in influx of immigrants. Japan has in the past and continues to seek methods of automation that allows them to continue operating despite labor shortages. This is a FACT, not a moral judgments.

      Understanding why something happens isn't a moral judgment. In this case, Japan is driven to find solutions to problems that Americans are less worried about because Japan has different demographics and immigration laws.

      I am terribly sorry if my facts offended you, but take a deep breath, stop taking offense, and realize that I was explaining what is motivating them, not passing some sort of judgment on the research.

    7. Re:Xenophobia and Robots by DRM_is_Stupid · · Score: 1

      Any country with a labor shortage problem has some sort of immigration policy that is stricter than free-for-all. The fact that Japan gets picked upon as being xenophobic is based more on stereotype than not. I'm not sure if the US is a good example to compare against, especially after 9-11, with their eye-scanning or fingerprinting or whatever, for all visitors. You can't even fly domestic in the US without a passport now.
      Yeah, the US has dual citizenship and stuff, but what about other Asian countries? China, Indonesia, et al. don't allow dual citizenship either. The countries with people who want to migrate to Japan tend to have stricter immigration laws. And the US also has porous borders with Mexico and Canada, which means their policy should also have to reflect these geographical realities. Maybe comparing Japan with Australia or the UK (no continental borders) could be more interesting, although I don't think such comparisons can change the public view of Japan much. Even US immigration policy is always being criticised by Mexican politicians. It seems that if country A is a popular destination for migrants, there will continuously be a background radiation of immigration policy complaints.

      I think Japan is susceptible to being seen as a 'weird' country, and that people often hyperbolate, over-emphasise, or misunderstand differences. The reason being that after WWII, the occupying powers were tasked with the process of eliminating militarism and ultra-nationalism. In order to do this, they had to psycho-analyse "the Japanese mind" - how can we change the way they think? what's wrong with them? And this sort of attitude still lingers overseas as well as within Japan, since nobody liked the war and it was a big concern for the entire world. In this environment, even somewhat inaccurate or exaggerated theories about Japan tend to be popular.

      You say "near constant labor shortage" since World War II in Japan: however, there was a baby boom during '47-'50 which became a large laber pool for the country. This labor pool is currently in the process of retiring, which is why Japan has a growing elderly population, which only worsens the situation caused by a shrinking child population.

    8. Re:Xenophobia and Robots by DRM_is_Stupid · · Score: 1

      Update: there was also a baby boom during '71-'74. Also in the early 20th cent, quite a large labor population went to Brazil, but that was before WWII so I guess it is not of our concern.

  24. Not for me please... by d474 · · Score: 1

    ...the last thing I want after a long life of working hard is to have "Short Circuit" taking care of me. Funk that, I'll take up skydiving without the parachute, thank you very much.

    --
    Authority questions you. Return the favor.
    1. Re:Not for me please... by Punboy · · Score: 1

      I believe his name was Number Five, as in "Number Five Alive!"

      --
      If you like what I've said here, and want to read more, go to http://www.krillrblog.com
  25. Don't hold your breath........ by ibanez16 · · Score: 1

    I have seen several types of articles on robots for the elderly. One that comes to mind is one that was on here quite a while ago. It was robot that was almost completely mechanical (few electronics) powered by compressed air and controlled wirlessly via a pentium 4. At a price tag of 100k US it was not too expensive concidering nursing homes generally cost more then that per year. This was supposed to be released quite a while ago (2-3 years i thnk) and could vacume and wash dishes as well as other things.... but of course have yet to see anything come of that.
    It looks like they are getting closer, but its hard to say if we will have anything viable on the market anytime soon.

  26. Labor is cheaper by t0qer · · Score: 2, Interesting

    In countries near and around japan labor is cheap, dirt cheap. Philipines, Malaysia, Taiwan, the list can go on. I'd expect this robot to cost no less than 70-80k and would only be for the extremely wealthy %1 of the population.

    For the average japanese joe in thier sunset years, they're more likely to import labor from other countries to work in thier nursing home facilities (why not? We already import Filipino nurses like crazy in california) for the price of 1 robot, you could pay the salary of 4 imported nurses, or a nursing home facility.

    And despite the report saying there is a decline in birth rates, everyone has family to lean on at some point.

    Realistically, would you want to be taken care of a cold, unloving robot that couldn't imagine what I was feeling? What's this thing going to do, detect if I stop breathing and call the coroner? No thanks.

    1. Re:Labor is cheaper by PhotoBoy · · Score: 1

      Given how cold and uncaring I've seen imported labour to be in UK nursing homes I personally would rather be looked after by the robot. Plus it's less embarrassing to get a robot to wipe your arse than ask some nurse to do it.

    2. Re:Labor is cheaper by rollingcalf · · Score: 1

      The trouble is that importing workers isn't so easy because Japan is so restrictive about immigration. They'll let you work for 1-3 years, anything longer than that is extremely difficult to get approval for. And becoming a citizen is just about impossible. Even when you're born in Japan, you aren't automatically a citizen unless your parents are also. So workers will prefer to go elsewhere where they have a realistic chance of being able to settle down with full rights.

      --
      ---------
      There is inferior bacteria on the interior of your posterior.
  27. Screw intelligent robots! by BigBuckHunter · · Score: 1

    Screw intelligent robots! Screw AI in general. We already have it. It's called the human brain. Let's stop working on computer AI (as it applies to inteligent robots) and start figuring some of the following things.

    1: How to stop the brain from degenerating from the age of 30 onwards
    2: How to connect the brain to robotic limbs (direct attach)
    3: How to disconnect the brain from the body (o2 source, nitrition, remove byproducts of metabolism etc)

    Tah-dah, no more old people. Just robotic bodies with human brains. I bet inner-city americans will pimp theirs out with chrome and ground effects.

    BBH

    1. Re:Screw intelligent robots! by Profound · · Score: 4, Insightful

      You need people to get old and die.

      Most people who lived believing that demonic posession rather than germs were responsible for sickness died still believing it. They were just eventually replaced by people whose minds were open to new theories.

      If people don't die die, old (wrong) ideas will never die, and humans will never improve.

    2. Re:Screw intelligent robots! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sure. You'd look exactly the same, except you can only be 4 feet tall. I'm going to be put in a copy of Adrian Barboba, and you will all worship me as the Adrian Barbobot.

    3. Re:Screw intelligent robots! by evilviper · · Score: 1
      If people don't die die, old (wrong) ideas will never die, and humans will never improve.

      I don't believe that at all. The reason "old people" fail to continue learning is precisely because they know they aren't going to live very long.

      If that wasn't the situation, society would change... Right now, it's pretty much expected that you go to school until you're in your 20's, then you NEVER GO AGAIN. That could quite easily be changed, forcing older people to re-learn what they know every few decades, including new, updated theories.

      --
      Slashdot gets worse every day... Pipedot: News for nerds, without the corporate slant
    4. Re:Screw intelligent robots! by Profound · · Score: 1

      There is a difference between not learning (ie not keeping up with new, updated theories) and continuing with your belief and values.

      Most people do not question their values because they have invested too much into them, not because they figure they won't get much out of it as they're due to die soon. Lets think of an example:

      An old preacher retires from the ministry and one day is offered a religious text from a different faith. He declines to read it, saying he is happy believing what he believes. Why?

      a) He knew he'd be dead soon, so even if the book contains the true path, he'd only have a few years to walk it.

      b) He had dedicated his entire life to his religion, and was not receptive to something that tells him he had been wrong all that time.

    5. Re:Screw intelligent robots! by Shajenko42 · · Score: 1

      Well, even if the second was the case, longer life could influence that too. So what if you've dedicated 200 years of your life to something, if you have another 1000 years of healthy life ahead of you? Attribute it to a mislead youth.

    6. Re:Screw intelligent robots! by Knutsi · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Do you really want memories of wars, of terrorising leaders, of the horrors of Facism and Stalinism to die alongside these people? If you've lived through 5 dictatorships, and 5 democracies, you have a better judgement of what is right than if you live healthy for just 65 years, and live half you life wanting change, then half your life regretting it, feeling the old days where better.

      I have a Portuguese girlfriend, and she tells me the young population of Portugal today sometimes says they think they need a "dictator light" to settle things in the country. My girl's father was a resistance memeber back in the 70's, and you cannot belive his horror when he hears this.

      In the same way, when I was in school, I had the honour of doing a project to interview a WW2 veteran. It made a strong impression on me, and I am now working in an academic instutions researching conflict prevention. The veteran is now dead, and I belive I will never be able to transmit the same impression of war to my kids unless I - God forbid - experience it myself.

      I belive one day we will be able to cure the condition known as aging. You don't need people to grow old and die. What a horrid statement... to die may be natural, but to live is a gift unlike any you will ever recive.

      . Knut

      P.s. of course, in the long run you'll need to expand beyond the mother nest to sustain a longer living population, but that is for a different debate. Eternal life has to come with supporting technologies, or it will surely kill the human race in its cradle.

    7. Re:Screw intelligent robots! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      yeah but who listens to old people anyway? right, nobody..

    8. Re:Screw intelligent robots! by evilviper · · Score: 1
      There is a difference between not learning (ie not keeping up with new, updated theories) and continuing with your belief and values.

      A very small difference.

      b) He had dedicated his entire life to his religion, and was not receptive to something that tells him he had been wrong all that time.

      There's a big difference between being wrong all your life, and being wrong for the first 1/3rd of your life, or so... In the former case, your example may hold, but in the latter case, probably not.

      Besides, the actual reason would be some combination of A & B, not either-or.
      --
      Slashdot gets worse every day... Pipedot: News for nerds, without the corporate slant
  28. Re: Bots taking care by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Hmm... it would be intresting to see how robot can cope of changing diapers... :-) I would not like to be the first guinea pig for this experiment.

  29. Obligatory by aaron_ds · · Score: 1

    In Japan, only old people have care-bots.

  30. "eight different kinds of smells" by Dainutehvs · · Score: 1

    We have a project here in Latvia already some time around in wich scientists of Physics institute have developed an electronic sensor - so called "nose" that can distinguish some 10 thousands of smells. http://www.cfi.lu.lv/ http://www.cfi.lu.lv/ionics/CFI_lapai_lat/e-nose.h tm (quite ugly page and latvian only) should i bring those guys in contact .. ummm..

    1. Re:"eight different kinds of smells" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I was gonna ask that too... So it knows when to change the old folk's dirty diapers?

      I'd much rather have a human look after me, but it's not exactly a pleasant job to do...

  31. economic drivers by nickgrieve · · Score: 1

    I wondered what would bring humanoid robots into the mainstream, and this looks like it. As the world, not only Japan, population ages and there are fewer people to provide care, the economic drivers to satisfy demand really kicks in...

    I love the 21st century

  32. It can recognise 8 kinds of smells? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Jeez, I'd hate to be the person working on *that* feature. Slaving away all day to create a robot that can recognise feces, urine, and decomposition... god damn, that would suck.

  33. Not racism, pride by Jotham · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I don't think its so much racism as pride. Which is more preferrable, being able to push a button to raise your bed into a sitting position and then using an assisted walker to make it on your own to the bathroom (for the third time that night), or calling out weakly to your nurse at 4am and hoping they hear you and respond before you wet the bed.

    from the article you wanted (posted above)
    Interacting with other people can be difficult for the Japanese, he says, "because they always have to think about what the other person is feeling, and how what they say will affect the other person." But it is impossible to embarrass a robot, or be embarrassed, by saying the wrong thing.

    The simple truth is you can't be a burden to a machine. Putting it all down to racism is akin to saying that American's elderly is so accustom to thinking of other races as beneath them that they have don't get embarressed by it at all.

  34. What's in a name by FishandChips · · Score: 1

    Bot - probably an unfortunate choice of name considering what caring for the elderly almost always comes to involve.

    --
    Las qué passoun
    tournoun pas maï
  35. Smells by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The 100-kilogram (220-pound) robot can also distinguish eight different kinds of smells

    Once it can distinguish both the smells of urine and faeces what else does it need in order to care for the elderly?

  36. Roujin Z by tekrat · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Anime has already tackled this subject by none other than the creator of the pop-culture anime-film AKIRA.

    Roujin Z ( See http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/630506251X/qid=11 42849877/sr=8-2/ref=pd_bbs_2/103-2542910-4413459?_ encoding=UTF8&v=glance&n=130 ) was an anime film about a computerized hospital bed that is supposed to care for an elderly patient. However, the computer turns out to be a prototype for a battle robot and to top it off, the damn thing takes on the personality of his former wife, and therein starts a chase through Japan, tearing up the countryside, as the bed tries to take the patient on a trip to the beach, one last time.

    Overall, it's a pretty decent film and very amusing as well.

    --
    If telephones are outlawed, then only outlaws will have telephones.
    1. Re:Roujin Z by Supurcell · · Score: 1

      I too thought of the exact same thing when I was reading the summary. About half way through I figured I would make a post about that movie, but my dreams were dashed when I got to the end and actually clicked on one of the links.

  37. But will it eat old people's medicine? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

    An elderly Japanese man wakes up in a small, white, hermetically-sealed room. He's alone, except for a shiny metal robot with red glowing eyes.

    The robot hands him a note, which reads, "Dear Honorable Father: Given the rising cost of healthcare and living, we've decided to have your interned for your own good. The robot will take care of your every bodily need, feed you nutritious OldsterChow(TM) and constantly monitor your lifesigns. Because we don't want you getting sick by being exposed to other ill people or spending hard-earned money on frivolities that are merely fleeting earthly sensations in an already dimming life, you'll have to get used to spending the rest of your days in the safety of this room with the robot as your only companion. We've been told that the robot has a somewhat limited vocabulary. Oh well. Cheers and have a great life!"

    The robot pokes the old man in the ribs and asks in the politest, most formal Japanese, "Honorable sir or madam, have you expired so that I may dispose of the worn-out container of your physical being and relieve your kin or other payees of the burden of having to pay for my services?"

    The man throws the note at the robot and curses profusely. The robot just stands there, unflinching, and after a moment pokes the man and begins reciting again, "Honorable sir or madam, have you expired...."

  38. Ohana means "family" by meburke · · Score: 2, Insightful

    ...and all that crap. All the Japanese, Chinese and Koreans I've ever known from those countries take family obligations and expectations very seriously. (Warning! Gross generalization detected!)

    I find it hard to believe that a culture as deeply grounded in society and family as the Japanese would actually "abandon" their elderly. I'm more inclined to believe that there are simply not enough young bodies to care for the old bodies. Caring for an elderly person who is losing mobility and strength is a lot of work, and it seems the older they get, the more they try to hang on to their independence. Tools that will compensate for the deficiencies of an aging body are a way to allow a person to be independent longer and maintain their dignity. Nursing care is when you have to be given baths, medications, meals and helped to walk or wheel to the bathroom. Independence is being able to dress yourself, go where you want, transport your own groceries, clean your own house, cook your own food and accomplish the tasks that make your life worth living, such as gardening or reading. Reading books might now take a magnifying glass, but the magnifying glass gives you the independence to read the book when and where you want. (The average Japanese living space is crowded with lots of things in too little space. It's a lot like living in a submarine. Things are put away, and many times lots of things must be moved to do ordinary tasks like sewing or ironing. For the elderly, this could present a major problem.)

    The immigration of nursing care is probably acceptable to someone who needs it, but a "companion" from a different culture, who doesn't share your history and doesn't speak your language well, is less desirable than being independent. (I wonder how many of the people who point to the availability of Indonesian and Filipino "care assistants" are the same who bitch because the Dell or HP technical support in Bangalore doesn't meet their standards..!?! Why is not wanting to be touched by a cultural stranger more "racist" than wanting to be able to clearly understand the person at the other end of the tech support phone?)

    Mike Burke

    --
    "The mind works quicker than you think!"
  39. Any international economists in the house? by dalutong · · Score: 1

    It seems for a long time that Japan has been developing the really bleeding-edge, twenty-first century, products and services. Why is America's economy still considered the premier economy of the world? Is it because so many international companies are based on the U.S.? Is it because we have the political clout to set up advantageous-to-us trade deals/relationships?

    Someone let me know. Because I just don't get it.

    --

    What comes first, finding a teacher or becoming a student?
    1. Re:Any international economists in the house? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You kinda get it.
      America's internal market is really really strong.
      Apart from that, many international companies are based on US.
      And following that, the US has a kind of cultural domination over other countries, specially in the Americas (North, Central, South), Europe and Oceania. This cultural domination leads people to consume american products, and so on.
      Sorry for the english mistakes, economics student from Brazil here.

  40. Need. This. Now. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    For a lot of us that have to work elsewhere, away from family that is, sometimes I think the tech is not developing fast enough. Consider this: you want piece of mind, knowing your folks are alright, and that immediate aid and a watchful eye can be available 24/7. (Like the robot won't be on his cellphone dammit.) Sufficiently advanced bots might be able to slow down the onset of Alzheimers by means of intelligent conversation on topics of interest, or hobbies. I just finished re-reading Itsy Bitsy Spider, an SF short by James Patrick Kelly in Year's Best SF 3. Here, the father lives in a retirement suburb and the interesting thing is, the careBot was made in the likeness of the daughter, sort of 'frozen' in time at age 10 or so, the way he would like to remember her.

  41. Re:I am the pusher robot by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
  42. Johnny... by way2trivial · · Score: 1

    Johnny five is alive....

    --
    every day http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Special:Random
  43. In Japan... by JohnCC · · Score: 1

    In Japan, bots play with you.

  44. Meanwhile, at Cyberdyne Systems... by Channard · · Score: 1

    .... a terminator rolls of the destruct line. Equipped with state of the art systems and the ability to kill in a thousand different ways, it has only one mission. To give an old guy an enema.

    1. Re:Meanwhile, at Cyberdyne Systems... by radja · · Score: 1

      that's a very messy way to kill a man...

      --

      No one can understand the truth until he drinks of coffee's frothy goodness.
      --Sheikh Abd-Al-Kadir, 1587
  45. Robots in healthcare? by saxdiva · · Score: 1

    We've got 'em in the USA too, except here they're usually in charge of patient authorizations in managed care plans.

  46. Cue jokes... by Spacejock · · Score: 1

    can also distinguish eight different kinds of smells

    including ex-dogfood?

  47. They don't want to dilute their gene pool by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The most technologically advanced country on the planet, most educated workforce, highest average IQ, clean, virtually crime free ... why would they want to ruin that with 3rd world immigrants? They see the turmoil foreigners cause in the form of the US military base at Okinawa. They can see all the problems in France, Australia, Germany, England with immigration. Xenophobia is completely logical and warranted.

  48. Hmmm... Asimov, anyone? by ursabear · · Score: 1

    Why is it that when I read these things, I Robot comes to mind?

    On another note, it wouldn't be a bad thing to have some facility in older folks' homes that can sense extreme health events. More than the buttons for "I've fallen and can't get up." Something that can sense seizures, heart events, and labored breathing.

    The good news is, that dogs can be trained to "see" many of these types of events, and can help their owner out quite a bit. Dogs have the added benefit of giving their owner companionship. The only shortcoming of the dog caregiver is that they have trouble communicating with the outside world - a bot might be better able to communicate with emergency services or family members.

  49. Today this, tomorrow the psycopathic bed... by dreemernj · · Score: 1
    --
    1 (short ton / firkin) = 89.1432354 slugs / keg
  50. Re:Beowulf Cluster by analog_line · · Score: 1

    Point them at Congress and get something actually done. Nothing scares congress more than angry old people.

  51. Grandma is protected! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Hopefully, most of the elderly in Japan don't live where there are stairs in the house. The consequences could be tragic...

  52. Re:And after all that think like you die off... by vertinox · · Score: 1

    That is awfully shortsighted and I can't help but think that people that think like you will eventually die off and be replaced by people who don't mind people living forever.

    Since, only people who believe that living forever is ok will be around... But seriously people change their mind and what if we still had great minds around today. You are thinking that society improves just by people dying off. Well that is not the case... Society improves by medical, scientific, and technological advancements, not by social doctrines.

    No one had to die for Newton, Shakespeare, (and I would have to say that after Cromwell and the puritans took over after the Elizabethans died off that literature and art pretty much died in England for a time), Mozart, Beethoven, and Einstein to come along.

    It was pure social and economic reasons and not because a turnover in society. People change their mind given enough stimulus and information.

    Hell... Wouldn't it be better if those people were around today? I'm still sure Newton would have loved to have all the tools our scientists have today.

    --
    "I am the king of the Romans, and am superior to rules of grammar!"
    -Sigismund, Holy Roman Emperor (1368-1437)
  53. I find this very odd. by LWATCDR · · Score: 1

    From a few Japanese Americans I have spoken too this is not exactly correct. Some Japanese women are not getting married or are getting married to non-Japanese men because they are EXPECTED to stay home and care for their husbands elderly parents. This not wanting to be a burden thing just doesn't seem to hold much water.
    I wouldn't dismiss the racism part of it so quickly. From what I have experienced many Japanese are still very racist.

    --
    See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
  54. I think Japan is making a mistake. by elucido · · Score: 1

    Japan building robots to take care of the elderly just means less jobs for their youth, which means less incentive to have kids in the first place.

    If Japan is going fully into a robotic society, how exactly is this good in the long term? In the short term sure it seems like it could help the economy but in the long term its just less jobs and a slower economy for Japan. So they could either pay people to take care of the elderly, or build robots. If Japan builds robots, then there will be less service jobs for Japanese workers and more jobs for factory workers in China.

    I think we have to look into the economic risks associated with these decisions, and I don't think Japan is doing a good job improving their economy.

    1. Re:I think Japan is making a mistake. by Sepper · · Score: 1

      Japan building robots to take care of the elderly just means less jobs for their youth, which means less incentive to have kids in the first place.

      You have to problem backward... It's more along the lines of:
      "Japan building robots to take care of the elderly because there is less youth"

      From Wikipedia ( http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/JAPAN ):

      "The Japanese population is rapidly aging, the effect of a post-war baby boom followed by a decrease in births as the country modernized in the latter part of the 20th century (notable aspects including the shift from agricultural to urban lifestyles and the increasing tendency for women to remain in the workplace). Japan has the highest life expectancy in the world (85.2 years for women and 78.3 years for men in 2002 [2]). By 2007, over 20% of the population will be over the age of 65. The changes in the demographic structure have created a number of social issues, particularly a potential decline in the workforce population and increases in the cost of social securities like the public pension plan.

      The population started declining in 2005, as the 1.067 million births were exceeded by the 1.077 million deaths. Assuming current birth and death rates, the 2005 population of 128 million would decline to 100 million in 2050, and to 64 million in 2100. The main problem will be the financial crisis that comes from having a higher and higher dependency ratio (nonworking young and old compared to working ages.) Demographers and government planners are currently in a heated debate over how to cope with this problem.[3]. Immigration and birth incentives are sometimes suggested as a possible solution to provide younger workers to support the nation's aging population. Immigration, however, is not publicly popular as recent increased crime rates are often attributed to foreigners living in Japan."


      Women in Japan increasingly choose to remain active workers (as in having a career) instead of having childrens(or so I heard)...

      --
      I live in Soviet Canuckistan you insensitive clod!
  55. This type of pride is bad for their economy. by elucido · · Score: 1

    I don't think Japan knows it yet, but the only reason the American economy is doing so well is because we actually do have a service economy. Japan is basically going to become a robot society, where everyone has a robot to do all the service jobs, so what exactly will Japanese people do? Expect 20%+ unemployement for the youth if there is any youth, and without massive immigration, their population will continue to decline.

    I honestly don't understand the logic of Japan's economic decisions, I do not understand why the Japanese economists believe it is good to promote robotic technology when their economy is suffering as it is. I don't understand why Japan thinks that promoting robotics will be good for Japan when China will most likely be building these robots. So in general, this looks to be bad for Japan.

    I'm not Japanese, so I guess it does not matter if Japan wants to give up one of it's most profitable industries to robots, but hey, if Japan is aging and not having kids, and eventually robots replace their kids by doing all the neccessary service jobs, then that is ultimately Japan's choice.

    I think in America, while we should have robotics, I wouldnt want a robot to take care of me when I can hire a person. If I'm an old man, unmarried, I'd rather hire a young lady to take care of me than a robot, and if I'm a married man, I'd rather hire the youth in my community to do the job.

  56. Well then its pure stupidity. by elucido · · Score: 1

    If the goal is to create a new industry that is less profitable than the old industry, its basically a stupid idea. Yes robots can be used to help humans take care of the elderly, but in this case they are trying to mass produce andriods to do it. This in my opinion is BAD for the economy, because its basically telling the youth that

    "Hey kids, sons, daughters, we are going to replace you with these andriods"

    I think it's a ridiculously stupid message to send the youth. It's going to drive the youth out of Japan even further, during a time when Japan's population is in decline. It will not create new jobs, and while it may create new money, creating new money or saving money for the elderly is kinda pointless if the money isnt passed down to the youth.

    I may be completely wrong, I'm not an economist, but I think suicide rates in Japan are high enough as it is, and moves like this only encourage it further.

  57. "eight different kinds of smells" by Mikya · · Score: 1

    Are there eight different kinds of feces?

  58. Well yeah, in my opinion this is a huge mistake. by elucido · · Score: 1

    What exactly, are the aging Japanese population going to do? Let robots replace the youth in their society? I just don't get it.

    I understand that perhaps we have an over populated world, but I don't see how building robots actually solves the problem. The more robots you build, the less jobs you have in your community unless your community builds the robots, and I highly doubt that people will buy expensive robots build in Japan when they can buy robots made in China.

    I think sure it's a new industry, but it won't be good for the youth in Japan, and maybe this is fueled by Xenophobia. Maybe Japan decided that instead of inviting immigration, that it is better to just build robots, but if this is the case, that is Japan's option. If Japan wanted youth to take care of the elderly they could open their borders, plenty of Americans would flood into Japan and do the job for less money than a Japanese worker would do it, and plenty of people from China and other places would also do these jobs.

  59. Japan develops technology for technology sake. by elucido · · Score: 1

    America has a stronger economy because we use technology to support and improve our economy. We have super computers calculating for us on industry growth and projections. We have it down to a science, and we have mastered economics. Japan has not mastered the economic fundamentals. Japan's economy right now is not as fast because they don't have immigrants. America has an illegal immigration problem, but in general immigration is neccessary to keep an economy strong.

    I also think that in America, we arent building machines to do work which humans can do better. Robots? How exactly are robots going to replace nurses, and if robots replace nurses, how is it a good thing exactly to replace people with machines? This is a debate America is having. American's therefore are focusing on business and economics to try and figure out the best way to use these machines. In Japan they build the machines and robots first and then deal with the damages to their economy later.

    Robots are good for certain things, but I would not want a robot for a wife/companion. I would not prefer a virtual girlfriend over a real girlfriend. I do not want to play a dating sim over real dating. I think there is a place for the virtual economy and I think the virtual economy will be huge someday, but I don't think the virtual economy should completely replace the traditional economy.

    The only way these robots and this virtual economy will be good, is if people actually as families own patents. Even if people as families own patents, you'll still need to have population growth and immigration just so your money can be worth something. Your money is only worth something if theres many people with less money. If the population doesnt grow at all eventually the economy begins to slow down and stop, as young people won't exist anymore to continue and move the economy forward. I don't think you can expect an 80 year old to be the lead consumer of Japan, and I don't think you can expect an 80 year old to fuel the economy in the future. I also don't expect an 80 year old to buy all the music, movies and so on.

    I think old people have an important function in the economy,but young people have a function too. Young people are the consumers, and old people are the ones who sell the products, over time the young people can take care of the old people and sell services back. This works in the USA, where young people do almost all the retail and service work and old people hold all the positions of power and status. So young college kids will serve you your coffee, and deliver your pizza. In Japan robots will be doing this, so what will young people do?

    This will become a major problem, I'd think Japan could see what is happening in France now, but I guess Japan wants to build robots? Can someone please explain the economic logic in this and please explain how this makes Japans aging society stronger? Otherwise if this is the direction Japan plans to take to their society, you can expect China to start building robots and you can expect America to start creating the AI software along with India. Cheap robots for Japan if that is what Japan wants.

  60. You gotta be kidding me by kuriharu · · Score: 1

    I actually submitted this article on Friday...I guess my write in sucked.

  61. Thats a ridiculous excuse. by elucido · · Score: 1

    All of us have to think about what other people feel about what we say. They say these things as if language were a recent invention and that people in Japan have not mastered it or something? Seriously, I know not everyone has social skills, I'm not a social genius myself, but is it really that difficult to take care of grandpa or grandma? Is it really difficult to have compassion for the elderly?

    Even if you have no compassion and no heart at all, is it really that difficult to accept their money? Why give up enough free jobs to give every student and young person in Japan not only work but a possible mentor, to give it to a robot? This makes the old person in Japan somewhat useless because they have no one to pass their wisdom to. This also makes the young person useless. So you'll have an old person slowly dying in front of a robot who they can't teach anything to, and you'll have young people with no connection to the previous generation. And the reasoning for this is because in Japan people are afraid to hurt each others feelings? They are going to pass up billions of dollars and hundreds of million of jobs over that?

    Meanwhile suicide rates in Japan are among the highest in the world.

  62. So what? by elucido · · Score: 1

    What kind of society is a society in which the elderly and the youth are completely disconnected? I mean how exactly is knowledge going to pass down from generation to generation?

    Racism, as far as racism, this is religion. Racism is simply a religion. It's outdated, because soon we will have the technology to allow mothers to choose the race of their baby. Race is defined by only a few genes, so in the future I expect all of us to be one race.

    It's really simple, if you want to solve racism, then let's decide what the official dominant race should be, if we decide it is to be the aryan race, then the government can decide to either let parents choose the race of their child, or if simply make it illegal to be any race but the dominant race. Suddenly racism is solved.

    I think the issue with robots on the other hand is the next problem of the future, because race does not really matter, its changeable, skin color, hair texture, these are genes which can be shut off. Once robots take over society, there won't be enough jobs anymore for the youth and the old will basically die out.

  63. Aging was not invented yesterday. by elucido · · Score: 1

    Aging has existed since society has existed. How do you deal with an aging society? The youth should get paid to take care of the elderly. Does it really make sense for the youth to create robots to replace themselves?

    If you are really from Japan and involved in this, can you please explain the logic to me on how this benefits the old or the young?

    1. Re:Aging was not invented yesterday. by patio11 · · Score: 1
      Aging has existed since society has existed, but it was accompanied by another human perinneal: the mathematical certainty of early death for the vast majority of the population. Japan has the aging, but not the early death (50% of the girls born today will see their 85th birthday). They've also got a depressed birthrate (off the top of my head, 1.1 -- 2.1 is the replacement rate).

      Yes, "pay the youth to take care of the elderly" sounds great in theory -- but where does their salary come from? From taxes on people who are still building cars, programming PCs, and selling udon, naturally. Here's the rub -- when 33% of your population is above the age of 65 and you've got roughly a quarter of the remainder employed as nurses you won't have enough folks left making cars/PCs/udon to support the level of taxation you need to pay your nurses.

      Thus Japan is searching, with increasing immediacy, for new ways to handle elderly care. Robots are one, increasing immigration or birthrate is another (more kids around today is more workers around 15 years from now, meaning either more taxes or more nurses or both), technological advances for delaying senescence, care paradigms which maximize the elderly-to-nurse ratio (a half hour visit a day in the morning for Mrs. Sakamoto, the 80 year old lady down the street who is pretty competent about handling her own affairs but needs to be reminded to take her medication and to make sure she's still as genki as she's been for the last 20 years, assisted living communities transitioning into old folks homes transitioning into hospitalization, yadda yadda),.

  64. It's not just racism. by elucido · · Score: 1

    I think that America has racism too, but America cares more about the economy than religion. If you look at our religious beliefs, all of these beliefs are ignored if its bad for the economy.

    Race is a religious belief, it's not supported by science, it's a religion. The science basically has found the cure for race, and that cure is stem cell research and genetic engineering. So the arguement that race is preventing Japan from solving it's economic problems, well, if Japan solved it's economic problems the racial problems would solve themselves. It's simple, if you are a Japanese female and pregnant by someone of a different race and you want your child to be Japanese, you simply tell the genes to express the Japanese side and the child will be Japanese. This is what the science says. The religion believe in purity of race, but in reality there is no such thing as pure anything. All races have genes from other races which means anyone from any race can select their race. So Japan's solution would be to simply create the racial engineering industry, in which genetic engineering solves the racial problem. If you want your kid to be Japanese you can select the Japanese genes and activate them. If you want your kid to not have asthma you can shut those genes off, along with disease genes of other sorts, but its somewhat foolish to not reproduce at all in fear of some religious racial impurity. A baby has both sets of genes, the mother and the father, if the mother is Japanese or the father is Japanese, the doctor can tell the genes to choose Japanese expression and the child will be Japanese.

    This also means that if two Japanese people mate, and they decide to design their baby to be aryan, if they have just a few people in their genetic line who were from Europe, this will be possible as well. So the times are changing quickly, and I think racism is a problem which will be solved by the medical and healthcare industry, not by robots. I see robots are making the problem worse, and I see robots as choosing pride over solutions. When pride becomes the problem, it can slow the economy.

  65. It's no myth. by elucido · · Score: 1

    It is basically fact that there is Xenophobia in Japan. There is Xenophobia in America as well.

    I think Xenophobia is not the same thing as racism. A person can be Xenophobic in that they may not trust or like how someone else looks, but racism is a religious belief system. Xenophobia can be removed over time as a person learns more about other people, and this happens when immigration occurs and people are around and have with with many different people. Racism on the other hand never ends because it is a religious belief. No science, no math, no evidence will ever sway a true racist from believing in their beliefs. The science can prove that there is no such thing as race and if someone is a true racist they'll ignore the science and follow what their bible tells them. I think the science says that our racial problems are temporary, and in 100 years we will all be one race. I think basically through science and technology, people will be able to choose the race of their children and in the future the racial problems we have now will be solved through technology. Simple, if someone is born the wrong race in the future, it will be because their parents choose that race. Today, people don't get to choose their race, and that is the difference.

    The same applies to sexuality, if we find out that there is a homosexual gene, and parents decide to give that gene to their child thats the parents fault. The parent would have had the choice in this case to give the child the straight gene. This also applies to diseases, if a parent chooses to, they will be able to shut off genes which cause diseases. This is the future, and it will be here in less than a decade. In 10 years, the racial issues will start to solve themselves as people basically treat race as a medical problem.

    1. Re:It's no myth. by DRM_is_Stupid · · Score: 1

      I agree that there is xenophobia in any large enough population. If you look at any large enough population, you'll see people with all sorts of personalities, including xenophobia - it wouldn't make much sense to disagree with that.

      Equally, it doesn't make any sense to assign a single negative personality (e.g. xenophobia) to a population as large as Japan (127 million+ people). Not only is that woefully inaccurate but in many ways irrational. It's also a very biased perspective to say technological innovation is a sign of social illness.

      Speaking of whether race will merge into one, that may not happen. Just as there are only 4 blood types (A, B, AB, O), there are only 6 shades of skin color. No matter how much the human race has interracial offsprings, unless 5 skin colors somehow go extinct, there will always be a variety. But what is a "race" anyway? Scientists nowadays shy away from racial classification of peoples because of its an inherently inaccurate nature. Instead they describe people by genetic analysis to determine their anthropological roots.

  66. Immigration is the solution. by elucido · · Score: 1

    If Japan actually were more accepting of immigrants, they'd have higher birth rates, and they'd have people to take care of their elderly. The only reason this couldnt work is if the elderly were completely racist and were going to insult the immigrant workers. In that case the robots would be the only option. Under any situation, this looks bad for Japan's national image.

  67. So why do we need humans? by elucido · · Score: 1

    If everything will be done by robots, why do we need people, and what should a young Japanese person reading this think?

    I mean, if robots will replace all young people in Japan, this explain the high suicide rates of young people in Japan, its not a good message to send.

    1. Re:So why do we need humans? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      If everything will be done by robots, why do we need people, and what should a young Japanese person reading this think?

      I mean, if robots will replace all young people in Japan, this explain the high suicide rates of young people in Japan, its not a good message to send.


      Not to be rude, mind you, but think outside of the box here.

      If robots are doing all the work work, the young people of Japan should be free to pursue...anything really. Barring the "lost knowledge" problem (forgetting how to build simple tools without more advanced that came about as a result - ie: if every computer exploded tomorrow, do you have a clue how to build even a 6502 processor?), the real problem with roboticization is the TRANSITION PERIOD.

      If we as a people would act rationally and morally, that wouldn't be an issue. But you know some jackass corporations are going to take and take and take without giving. They'll put all their employees out of work to "cut costs" and probably raise their prices. It'll be a domino effect, as industry after industry collapses. You think the middle class is shrinking now? Hoo boy.

      After an undetermined number of years and untold suffering, we'll/they'll be left with a country of about a million people, clearly divided between the ultra wealthy and the enslaved. It's a tragedy, too, because of what robotic could do for ALL of us if the people in charge had a decent vision for a change.
  68. The One's That... by berenixium · · Score: 1

    Accidentally 'kill' a pensioner are given an Uzi by the U.S. Armed Forces and 're-educated' in the ways of personal care. War-Cry: 'Uzi nine millimetre, ass-holiez!'

  69. And they don't encourage more youth either. by elucido · · Score: 1

    Yeah you can blame problem 2 on problem 1, but problem 2 is still problem 2. You arent solving problem 1 by blaiming it on something else. If there arent enouh youth in Japan you arent encouraging more youth to want to live in Japan when you replace them with robots. I mean what kind of economy can function like this where old people just lay in bed all day while robots take care of them? I mean really, this is just doomed to fail.

  70. Don't these guys watch their own anime by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Bubblegum Crisis comes to mind!!!

    Boomers are bad! (and I don't mean baby boomers although they have their own set of problems.)

  71. What about the Soviet Russia? by Zaatxe · · Score: 1

    In Soviet Russia, you take care of the robots?

    (Sorry to ask, I'm new in these "Soviet Russia" jokes)

    --
    So say we all
  72. Re:And after all that think like you die off... by Profound · · Score: 2, Interesting

    >> Hell... Wouldn't it be better if those people were around today? I'm still sure Newton would have loved to have all the tools our scientists have today.

    Newton probably would have used his clout to condemn Einsteins theory that exposed flaws in his own. That is, if he dragged himself away from searching for bible codes, which is what he spent the last part of his life on.

  73. Social Change in Japan by solferino · · Score: 1
  74. In Soviet Russia by Ohreally_factor · · Score: 1

    Shark jumps YOU!!

    --
    It's not offtopic, dumbass. It's orthogonal.
  75. That is a myth too. by elucido · · Score: 1

    Death has always varied through different tribes, families and societies. Some societies always had low death rates because they didnt have disease, wars, or the kinds of problems that Europe went through during the dark ages. I think that life expectancy changes every generation. I think there could have been times in the past where Japan had an aging population as well, but they were culturally equiped to handle this. Now that they have tried to westernize, they adopted our system but missed out on some of our strengths.

    America likes immigration, always has. Japan dislikes immigration. I look at America and I don't see just one race or just one group, I see people from every country in the world, I look at Japan and I see like a much higher percentage of Japanese. There is also less inter-racial marriages in Japan while in the USA everyone marries everyone, even gays are getting married now. I look at Japan and a lot of aspects of their culture are modern, and then a lot of aspects of their culture just never modernized. The vanity and pride from the traditional periods never went away, so old people feel ashamed at being old and useless and young people feel suicidal if they are unable to get a job. In America it isnt this way, as American's have a very different history, filled with conflict. It's not that Japan is aging too much, nothing wrong with an aging population. The problem is Japan does not fully Americanize. If you are in Japan, by the time you are 80 years old you should have the money to pay someone to take care of you. If the money isnt there, this isnt because the population is too old to take care of itself, this is because culturally Japan never adapted.

    America has this problem too, along with many other problems, but in America we built up nursing homes specifically for the purpose of allowing old people to be taken care of. Also culturally, it is the childrens responsibility to take care of their parents, as most children either pay for the nursing home or let their parents stay in either their home or in a home they pay for. In Japan young people due to culture are so focused on career success that they arent keeping a strong family structure. America has this problem too, but because we've had this problem for a longer period of time we've found some solutions to it.

    Ultimately Japan has to solve this problem, and I don't think robots will work.

    (more kids around today is more workers around 15 years from now, meaning either more taxes or more nurses or both)

    This is another difference between USA and Japan. USA does not support social services. We are not a socialist system. We believe in small efficient government with low taxes. So in our case even if our population increases through the roof we won't raise taxes. Instead we will cut taxes to reward the successful and punish the unsuccessful. I think if Japan were to cut all social programs, the elderly would be able to take care of themselves if they invest. Young people will be able to create jobs for themselves as well as long as these robots don't take over, but I can guarentee you that if Japan builds lots of robots and raises taxes that in the future the economy will be even slower, and the youth will be in a situation very much like the situation in France.

    So ultimately the point I'm making is I think the robot idea has no chance of working and will actually make the problem worse, and the only way to fix this problem is to encourage the elderly to work longer. Elderly can be investors, and the youth can take over.

  76. Roujin Z by cyberbob2010 · · Score: 1

    Is on Anime on Demand right now if anyone is interested :-) (and has comcast's on demand service)....

    --
    We seldom regret saying too little but often regret saying too much.
  77. Re:In Japan...Yes, but in South Korea by chawly · · Score: 1

    What on earth happened to all the jokes about elderly South Koreans and their robot friends ?

    --
    How many beans make five, anyhow ? ... Charles Walmsley
  78. Re:Japan could see what is happening in France by chawly · · Score: 1

    Huh ?

    --
    How many beans make five, anyhow ? ... Charles Walmsley
  79. Live Pigobots by Jimekai · · Score: 1

    A research idea just occured to me to grow an expandable exoskeleton for piglets to adult pigs, much like we wear clothes. The difference is that this exoskeleton provides the pig with human skills and household duties. When the pig is ready to have its body digested it is swapped for a direct brain connection. In this way eventual human uploading suits can be developed without the ethical research problems of calling the direct creation of an ekhuman today, what it really is, which is murder.

    --
    Argumentum ad Probabilitum