Slashdot Mirror


Silicon Valley Firms Having Cash Showers

Carl Bialik from WSJ writes "'The market for high-technology start-up businesses is so intense in Silicon Valley that some companies are being showered with millions of dollars from investors -- without even asking for it,' the Wall Street Journal reports. The home-improvement website Done Right received an email from a well-known investment firm inquiring about putting cash into the company. 'Paul Ryan, Done Right's chief executive officer, says the missive wasn't sent to him or to his executives -- it landed in a general corporate email inbox,' the WSJ reports. 'Mr. Ryan wasn't put off by the impersonal plea: "We're having very good discussions with [the firm] right now," he says, declining to name the potential investor.' The Journal notes that 'pre-emptive' funding is, of course, risky, and harkens back to bubble-year investment trends."

123 comments

  1. Better than other kinds of showers, I suppose by BadAnalogyGuy · · Score: 5, Funny

    Better to be showered in green than in gold.

    1. Re:Better than other kinds of showers, I suppose by CountBrass · · Score: 0, Redundant

      "Insightful"? Perhaps the moderator used that in place of "-1, Eeewww!"?

      --
      Bad analogies are like waxing a monkey with a rainbow.
    2. Re:Better than other kinds of showers, I suppose by pubjames · · Score: 2, Funny

      Oscar Wilde's Party

      Cast:
      TJ: Prince of Wales
      GC: Oscar Wilde
      MP: George Bernard Shaw
      JC: James McNeill Whistler

      JC: Right, Your Majesty is like stream of bats' piss!
      All: Whuh!?
      TJ: What!?
      JC: It was one of Wilde's.
      GC: It certainly was not! It was Shaw's!
      TJ: Well, Mr. Shaw?
      MP: I-I-I merely meant Your Majesty that you shoned like a
      shaft of gold when all around is dirt.
      All: Oooooh...
      TJ: Oh, oh, very witty!
      MP: Right! Your Majesty is like a dose of clap!

    3. Re:Better than other kinds of showers, I suppose by vincnetas · · Score: 1

      I've seen this somewhere before : [Dilbert strip]

    4. Re:Better than other kinds of showers, I suppose by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That sound you just heard was the sonic boom of the parent post going over my head like an SR-71.

    5. Re:Better than other kinds of showers, I suppose by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A Monty Python skit.

    6. Re:Better than other kinds of showers, I suppose by oringo · · Score: 1
      'Paul Ryan, Done Right's chief executive officer, says the missive wasn't sent to him or to his executives -- it landed in a general corporate email inbox,'
      I didn't RTFA, but this makes me wonder...did the email happen to be of an Nigerian origin?
  2. It's actually a pretty good deal by BadAnalogyGuy · · Score: 0

    The investor gets a big bite of the company before the company owner knows the real value of his venture. If even 5% succeed in making an IPO worth 10 fold the investor's buy-in price, the venture capitalists make out like bandits.

    1. Re:It's actually a pretty good deal by CountBrass · · Score: 3, Interesting
      Since when has having remedial level math skills considered "insightful"?

      5% (or 1 in 20) make it giving a 10 fold return = bankruptcy for the venture capitalist.

      Perhaps you should spend more time in your math class and less time karma-whoring here?

      --
      Bad analogies are like waxing a monkey with a rainbow.
    2. Re:It's actually a pretty good deal by Coeurderoy · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Actually the maths are weak but not "really false".
      Typically a VC does not win all or nothing.
      It is more like in 20 deals:
                1 is a big success: *10 and most real (effectivelly freed money) was
                                done here.
                5 deals are huge flop, one of them hurts (it looked good and then failed, so more than seed money was spent).
                10 deals fail and the VC is only recouping 1/3rd of their investment
                4 deals work quite well but not stellar, so the VC gets *2

      At the end the VC gets 30% more per year than what they invested.

    3. Re:It's actually a pretty good deal by BadAnalogyGuy · · Score: 0, Redundant

      It's not a given that the other 19 in 20 will result in 100% loss.

    4. Re:It's actually a pretty good deal by Dhalka226 · · Score: 1
      Since when has having remedial level math skills considered "insightful"?

      You were so quick to insult him that you didn't consider the possibility that not all investments are equal. Why must everybody around here be so quick with the insults? Do they make you feel superior or what?

    5. Re:It's actually a pretty good deal by slashdot.org · · Score: 1

      Since when has having remedial level math skills considered "insightful"?

      Hehe, since when has having mediocre reading skills been considered "interesting"?

      The OP said "If even 5% succeed in making an IPO worth 10 fold the investor's buy-in price".

      He doesn't say that those not making IPO are 100% loss, in fact he doesn't even say that the other 95% are NOT making IPO.

      Instead of your interpretation of the other 95% being a total loss, you could complete his sentence like this: "If even 5% succeed in making an IPO worth 10 fold the investor's buy-in price, and the other 95% succeed in making an IPO worth 9.99 fold the investor's buy-in price ...".

      All I'm saying is if you want to get pedantic, be prepared for getting shit flung back at you.

      (and now you all can complain about my bad spelling, or something).

    6. Re:It's actually a pretty good deal by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      95% * 1000 = 950
      5% * 1000 * 10 = 500

      950 + 500 = 1450

      1450 - 1000 = 450

      450 / 1000 = 45% profit

      Dumbass.

    7. Re:It's actually a pretty good deal by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny
      Why must everybody around here be so quick with the insults? Do they make you feel superior or what?
      Yes, you piece of shit.
    8. Re:It's actually a pretty good deal by Jason1729 · · Score: 1

      Huh?

      The 95% * 1000 = 950 is the amount lost on losing ventures.
      The 5% * 1000 * 10 = 500 is the amount won on winning ventures.

      From that, the rest of your numbers are garbage.

    9. Re:It's actually a pretty good deal by mumblestheclown · · Score: 1

      Wow! You so smart. I say you go found a company. I hear the name "CMGI" is available.

    10. Re:It's actually a pretty good deal by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No.

      95% * 1000 = 950 is the amount invested in the non-winners. If you assume that the average of the non-winners will be within a few points of the sector average, give or take a few percentage points, then it is absolutely valid to just assume a 1:1 ROI as a simple placeholder for an unknown value.

      If he really wanted to be on target, he'd have assumed a +30% ROI for the market performers, since that's about what the YTD for the NASDAQ index is now.

      At 30% upside for the market performers, our theoretical venture capitalist could even stand to take a total drubbing on 50% of the investments and still take home 8 and a half percent at the end of the year.

      Your understanding of how businesses work is what is garbage, not the numbers in the GP's post.

    11. Re:It's actually a pretty good deal by Bastard+of+Subhumani · · Score: 0
      Actually the maths are weak
      Actually maths is singular.
      --
      Only three things are certain; death, taxes, and apocryphal quotations - Ben Franklin.
    12. Re:It's actually a pretty good deal by Coeurderoy · · Score: 1

      Ach Zackel Tzement, Sacreubleu, Himihergottzefix, Non Dikats
      I have been found out, I confess I'm an Eurotrash trying to undermine the US by poisoning the American version of the English Langage.

      But anyway resistance is useless, because we have worse than misspelling and gramatical errors in slashdot:

      The Européans inventented GSM and SMS (short for Silly Misspelled Sentences) and all your children will bow to the superior power of messy Texting.

      --------------
      Ha ha

    13. Re:It's actually a pretty good deal by hey! · · Score: 1

      We don't have enough information to conclude anything, because we don't know the distribution of profitability of the other investments.

      It's also important to consider the advantages a cold-blooded investor has over an entrepreneur. The success of the top 5% is not by any means balanced by the failure of the bottom. Unlike the entrepreneur who has ego tied up the losing enterprise, the venture capitalist can wash his hands of it, effectively limiting his losses, whereas the upside has no limit.

      Then supposing he can dispose of the bulk mediocre performers in a way that he breaks even, he may still have a pretty handsome payday.

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    14. Re:It's actually a pretty good deal by Doc_NH · · Score: 0

      Since when has having remedial level math skills considered "insightful"? 5% (or 1 in 20) make it giving a 10 fold return = bankruptcy for the venture capitalist. Perhaps you should spend more time in your math class and less time karma-whoring here? I thought he was just living up to his name charter: BadAnalogyGuy

      Bad math makes for bad analogies...

      --
      if vegetarians eat vegetables why are cannibals not humanitarians.
    15. Re:It's actually a pretty good deal by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Himihergottzefix? Are you trying to poison the german language as well? This should probably be "Himmelherrgottkruzifix", which has the added bonus of being longer.

    16. Re:It's actually a pretty good deal by Coeurderoy · · Score: 1

      Indeed but then it would be almost Hoch Deutsch instead of South Bavarian, and South Bavarian is obviously a Superior Langage, as explained in Rosendorfer's Königlich bayerisches Sportbrevier (Of wich the Olympic commity ordered 40 000 exemplars for the Munich Olympiad until they actually read the book, at wich time they cancelled the order demonstrating a total lack of humor).

      Cheers

    17. Re:It's actually a pretty good deal by Bastard+of+Subhumani · · Score: 0
      thought he was just living up to his name charter: BadAnalogyGuy
      Saying that BadAnalogyGuy wrote a bad analogy is like saying that a dolphin is a terrible violinist.
      --
      Only three things are certain; death, taxes, and apocryphal quotations - Ben Franklin.
  3. The great thing about reason.... by svunt · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Using pure economic reasoning to guide your decisions does of course leave history, or memory, out of the equation. Something that looked like a good idea and failed can still be a good idea five, ten or twenty years down the track, when you're armed only with analysis and a set of rules. Perhaps one history elective during that MBA would've helped cut down of this sort of tomfoolery.

    1. Re:The great thing about reason.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      You can make money investing in a company that is going to tank. You just have to know when to buy and sell. For many investors it doesn't really matter whether a company that they are investing in actually makes money. Their goal is just to outsmart other investors. Most of the time when someone sells stock, they think they are smarter that you and are going to make money off of you. To be a good investor, you have to prove them wrong. I'm sure every investor hears a voice in the back of their heads talking about the 2000 crash but they also hear another voice that says 'opportunity.'

    2. Re:The great thing about reason.... by susano_otter · · Score: 1

      On the other hand, the years since the dot-com bubble burst have seen a lot of technological and infrastructural advances. There's a lot of e-commerce ideas that were good back then, but lacked some combination of technology, infrastructure, and public awareness to succeed. Many of these ideas are coming to fruition now that the missing pieces--better technology, more bandwidth, larger customer base--have had a chance to get into the puzzle.

      Maybe these MBAs are making these new "money shower" investments based specifically on their understanding of recent history: "That business plan looked good in principle back in 1999, but the infrastructure to make it really work wasn't there back then. Now that the infrastructure is in place, it's looking good in practice, too. Time to invest for real!"

      --

      Any sufficiently well-organized community is indistinguishable from Government.

  4. Great. by NoMoreNicksLeft · · Score: 2, Funny

    Where do I sign up?

    1. Re:Great. by Bob+4knee · · Score: 1
      Where do I sign up?

      Check your spam filter. I get these offers all the time. Some guy in Uganda...

  5. Money money money by FudooMyoo · · Score: 1

    Investors sit in on a meeting at CompuHyperGlobalMeganet.... Client: "I need to upgrade my 28.8 kb connection to a 1.5 MB Fiber-optic T1 LAN. Will you be able to provide an IP router capable of supporting my existing Tolken-Ring Ethernet network?" Me: "Nope. Can I have my money now?" Investor: "Is this bucket big enough for all the cash?" Me: "Can I have a free wheelbarrow? Investor: "OK." Client: "But what about my pictures of Captain Janeway?"

    1. Re:Money money money by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Lame Simpsons ripoff!

    2. Re:Money money money by slashdotmsiriv · · Score: 1

      "...capable of supporting my existing Tolken-Ring Ethernet network?"

      What does Tolkien and Lord of the Rings have to do with all that?

    3. Re:Money money money by ObsessiveMathsFreak · · Score: 1

      What does Tolkien and Lord of the Rings have to do with all that?

      If you had bothered to read the book you would know that the 802.11s specification stipulates petabyte data rates for ring members, but at the cost of a gradual, but inevitable, packet loss as all requests are slowly redirected to the master or "One" ring, which then acts as a sort of lower layer domain controller or DNS.

      Eventually, any and all dns lookups and ip connections, including localhost, are redirected to baraddur.arpa. Or, if Sauron is in a paticularly sadistic mood; myspace.com.

      --
      May the Maths Be with you!
    4. Re:Money money money by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And that my friend was the sound of the joke zipping over your head....

  6. Why not... by William+Robinson · · Score: 3, Interesting
    The question is whether venture capitalists are moving too quickly, funding risky, untested start-up businesses

    Depends upon VC's vision about technology whether it is in phase A or phase C of the famous Hype Cycle

    1. Re:Why not... by thrillseeker · · Score: 1
      The question is whether venture capitalists are moving too quickly, funding risky, untested start-up businesses

      Well ... no shit. Why would any firm with the word "venture" in the name fund a risky untested startup ... insanity, I tell you.

  7. Why don't I get that kind of spam? by Opportunist · · Score: 5, Funny

    All I get is suggestions how to increase my malehood.

    The only ones that deal with money come from widows of late Nigerian presidents. Must be tough to live there when every few days a prez is killed. Kinda makes me want to send our government there, for development aid.

    Whether I'm concerned with their or our well being in doing so, is up to the reader.

    --
    We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    1. Re:Why don't I get that kind of spam? by vidarh · · Score: 1

      Wait... Are you trying to tell me Miriam Abacha e-mailed you too? That lying double crossing old cow...

  8. I have a business that need funding by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Looking for investors, willing to accept any cash amount in suitcase

  9. bubble by wwmedia · · Score: 1

    i offically name this

    "dot com 2.0.... beta..."

    yeah baby! we havent learned anything from previous dot com's

  10. 419 scam? by ItsIllak · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Sounds to me like the CEO is being taken by a 419 variant scam -

    "Hi, we am interesting in investing to your company, the money will arrive from my dead uncles account of [insert country here]. We will just be needing $10k to release those funds please thank you. Did I mention that I am a civil servant..?"

    1. Re:419 scam? by LordSnooty · · Score: 1

      That's what crossed my mind. Unsolicited mail offering cash lands in your inbox? Anyone sane would tell you to ignore, it cannot be anything other than a scam. Why should offers to businesses be any different - no more "legitimate" than the ones I get. And since the authorities are starting to make headway in the fight against 419, it wouldn't be impossible that the fraudsters move onto a new target.

      I'd say that if the CEO gets asked to meet his supposed benefactors at Amsterdam Schiphol Airport, he should start worrying.

    2. Re:419 scam? by alienw · · Score: 1

      Dude, it's not very difficult to tell whether such email is genuine or not. A real VC company is well-known and has a physical location, a website, and people you can talk to and negotiate with. Did you even read the damn article?

    3. Re:419 scam? by LordSnooty · · Score: 1

      Of course not, what do you take me for?

      Remember that 419 dupees often meet "real" people when they get scammed. One guy in a suit looks much like another.

  11. Changes color with age though by EmbeddedJanitor · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Remember dot.bomb a few years back? Stupid people hosing money around. AT the end everyone got burnt. That green shower could turn into a shit shower very quickly.

    --
    Engineering is the art of compromise.
    1. Re:Changes color with age though by aichpvee · · Score: 1

      It's because of the continuing inequity of wealth distribution. If these idiots had less money to throw away on stuff like this and more ordinary people had cash in their pockets the economy would be rocking and everyone would be doing a lot better.

      --
      The Farewell Tour II
    2. Re:Changes color with age though by Omaze · · Score: 4, Informative

      > AT the end everyone got burnt

      Not everyone. Many people knew the game ahead of time and had their exit strategy planned. The CxOs had their business insurance. The investment brokers knew how to sell the funds that would ultimately fail to the less priveleged brokers. In the end the money was raked in by the folks at the top while the losses were lumped onto the insurance companies--who then distributed the losses by raising rates on health, auto, and home insurance.

      --
      The government itself is not stealing your liberties. Their new programs are enabling criminals who will.
    3. Re:Changes color with age though by bumby · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Not everyone. ... who then distributed the losses by raising rates on health, auto, and home insurance.

      And since everyone, as in everybody (or at least almost everybody), pays health, auto and home insurance, everyone got burnt.

      --
      Hey! That's my sig you're smoking there!
    4. Re:Changes color with age though by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Stop making stuff up. Business insurance does not cover bankrupcy or illiquidity. Investment insurance is rare and very expensive and the premiums more than cover any losses. Health insurance and property insurance were not directly affected by the bankrupcy or value crashes of companies. Period.

    5. Re:Changes color with age though by cryfreedomlove · · Score: 1

      Really??

      What kind of business insurance covers bankruptcy?

    6. Re:Changes color with age though by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I couldn't agree more. Wealth is becoming more and more concentrated, and as it does so, the people with the mega-money necessary to do business in this country get more and more batty. Look at somebody like Bill Gates; he'll be keeping jars of urine and nail clippings and living off of chocolate bars before long. Multiply that by hundreds of "eccentric" billionaires and you see why really weird things happen in this country, and all around the world.

    7. Re:Changes color with age though by Omaze · · Score: 1

      I think the better approach is for you to tell me what business insurance does cover... and then I can tell you how the top corporate officers spun the situation to collect.

      --
      The government itself is not stealing your liberties. Their new programs are enabling criminals who will.
  12. About time too.. by onion2k · · Score: 5, Interesting

    I reckon we're at about the right time for internet investments to start up again. Technology has caught up with the ideas. If Google's payment gateway plans live up to the rumours then the possibility of micropayment subscriptions for premium content is very real. Add to that the fact internet users are a much more clued up and savvy bunch with good, fast access and, critically, a willingness to spend money online there's a real opportunity here. The problem however is that investors are buying into (IMHO) the wrong thing. The biggest chunks of capital are going on things like social networking sites .. basically people are buying premium ad space. Online advertising is the old model .. the one that didn't work. It works for Google because they're not in the business of displaying adverts. They sell the distribution. Actually displaying the adverts doesn't yield much profit (a million here or there maybe, but not the hundreds of millions the venture capitalists want). I believe the future is in charging lots of users small sums for things the want .. like iTunes.

    1. Re:About time too.. by fupeg · · Score: 1

      Technology catching up with ideas? Oh please. There's no revolutionary technology out there. You think Google is somehow enabling a micropayment system and calling that a technological breakthrough? First of all, there have been micropayment systems going on for years, just look at iTunes (which makes very little profit, but helps the sale of iPods) or any of its many clones. Even if that wasn't the case, this would hardly be a technological breakthrough. The barriers for this have always been around transaction fees from banks on credit cards. There's nothing technological about that. As for premium content... there's still nobody out there buying it. The content that is "premium" is free peer content like blogs. Online advertising most certainly does work, just ask Yahoo. As for investment in social websites... Not sure what you're talking about there. The big social site out there is MySpace. It was bought last year, there's no VC money going into it.

    2. Re:About time too.. by rabidsquirrelracing · · Score: 1

      I agree with you. I believe that the internet will be many things, and this micro-service/micro-payment will be a significant slice of the internet pie. Whether or not this model will come to represent the majority of internet services remains to be seen. I believe there's room enough in the internet for many different transactional/business models, though. ;^)

    3. Re:About time too.. by ErikZ · · Score: 1

      A dollar for an MP3 isn't a micropayment.

      Micropayments are a quarter, or a nickle charge.

      --
      Democrats or Republicans. They are both taking us to the same place and they are not afraid of us anymore.
    4. Re:About time too.. by rtb61 · · Score: 1
      After the last crash everybody jumped into real estate investment, that boomed as a result and has pretty much hit a flat spot some time back (pretty much around the world), those that have cashed up are now going for a business investment (they are expecting a real estate melt down), get it early, before even more money floods in.

      Winners and losers, the game continues ,losers as always are the ones that comes in late, believing the hype generated by the ones who got in early, even for what are in reality bad investments but the original investors still manager to cash out at a significant profit, while the third of fourth rank get stuck with all the losses (a few years down the track).

      Next year is likley to be a big share market year, as peoples memory fades and the big end of town starts promoting the share market again.

      --
      Chaos - everything, everywhere, everywhen
    5. Re:About time too.. by Bloke+down+the+pub · · Score: 1
      A dollar for an MP3 isn't a micropayment.
      It will be soon.
      --
      It's true I tell you, feller at work's next door neighbour read it in the paper.
    6. Re:About time too.. by Lord_Dweomer · · Score: 1
      "I believe the future is in charging lots of users small sums for things the want .. like iTunes."

      I believe this is the future too, whether or not that is a good thing is another question entirely. For example, EA is selling smaller and smaller expansions for the BF2 series, which I think will ultimately culimate in them selling a weapon pack. Want upgraded weapons? Pay $5.

      Unfortunately, what happens when you can suddenly charge a very small amount for things is that everybody wants to charge for everything. We will witness the same thing that happened when subscriptions became big except on a much more ridiculous scale. Not everything is valuable enough to charge for, and even some things that are valuable enough SHOULDN'T be charged for out of principle.

      I'm just fortunate that I personally have the tech skills necessary to continue getting what I want for free should I need to. Does that make me a pirate? Yes. Now ask me if I give a damn after being bent over by all these companies.

      --
      Buy Steampunk Clothing Online!
  13. What we learnt by EmbeddedJanitor · · Score: 1
    Stupid people throw their money around. This destabilises the industry. A lot of people get hurt.

    About the only people that didn't get hurt were those that were able to get big wads of cash out of the system and into other havens. Don't settle for stock options that are years out. Even if the company is based on a solid business model, dot.bomb collateral damage can still wipe you out. Instead, turn your equity into tangible assets ASAP. Don't piss your money against the wall and sign up for huge expenses. That Hummer will eat your money that you might need to live through some unemployment when the dot.bomb happens again.

    --
    Engineering is the art of compromise.
    1. Re:What we learnt by Omaze · · Score: 1

      > Stupid people throw their money around

      No... stupid people throw other people's money around. Funded mostly by 401(k) funds.

      --
      The government itself is not stealing your liberties. Their new programs are enabling criminals who will.
    2. Re:What we learnt by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Huh? do you even know what a 401(k) is?

    3. Re:What we learnt by Bastard+of+Subhumani · · Score: 0
      stupid people throw other people's money around.
      Wrong. Smart people throw other people's money around. Stupid ones throw their own. No matter whether the market's rising or falling, no matter whether you're selling or buying, the stockbroker always gets his cut.
      --
      Only three things are certain; death, taxes, and apocryphal quotations - Ben Franklin.
    4. Re:What we learnt by aevans · · Score: 1

      ... Instead, turn your equity into tangible assets ASAP... People tried that too. Remember the Great Real Estate Slump of 2006?

  14. With "Web 2.0"... by Bostik · · Score: 4, Funny

    ...we're getting Bubble 2.0 as well.

    It is said that economy works in 7-year cycles. Let me be the first to publicly call this "Hype 2.0"

    --
    There is no such thing as good luck. There is only misfortune and its occasional absence.
    1. Re:With "Web 2.0"... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      It is said that economy works in 7-year cycles.

      I thought that was women.

    2. Re:With "Web 2.0"... by Spacejock · · Score: 1

      Anyone got pets2.com yet? Instant millionaire waiting for that one.

    3. Re:With "Web 2.0"... by Hew · · Score: 1

      Sorry. You're not first. 605 Google hits for "Hype 2.0" so far:

      http://www.google.com/search?hl=en&q=%22hype+2.0%2 2&btnG=Google+Search

      --
      /cj
    4. Re:With "Web 2.0"... by mindaktiviti · · Score: 1

      Your company "Web 2.0" sounds original and promising. Could I invest several million dollars into it?"

    5. Re:With "Web 2.0"... by Bostik · · Score: 1

      Oh.

      Bugger.

      --
      There is no such thing as good luck. There is only misfortune and its occasional absence.
  15. Great by bm_luethke · · Score: 2, Interesting

    We are starting to recover in the smallest markets. We are finally getting rid of the final vestiges of people who were in it totally for the money and salaries are starting to stablise. It takes several years for it to trickle down to us.

    Even then it's tough to get a job if you graduated in the height of the dot com boom and lost your job in the worst of it (especially in small markets like where I live and are in the position I am in - though my personal timing has nothing to do with the .com stuff). Having a second one isn't going to help matters any - I want a moderatly stable job with a decent salary. If you get a .com type of thing save up and don't become greedy, it's not going to last.

    For the sake of the industry I hope not - one would think that people learned in the last one. While it's not so bad on the large stable markets it kills the smaller ones.

    --
    ------- Sorry about the spelling, I suffer from two problems. Dyslexia makes it difficult to spell well, lazy makes it
  16. Fear by PinkyDead · · Score: 2, Interesting

    If you haven't read it - the 80/20 principal is a fascinating book. And one of the conclusions that Koch came to was that capital investors are every day living in great fear that tech innovators, especially in the software development industry will all come to realise that capital investment really isn't the cornerstone of the start-up the way it used to be (like when building cotton raddling factories etc).

    I don't think we are going to see the death throes of the VCs just yet - but there is a certain 'writing on the wall', of which this kind of thing is indicative.

    If you want to know what God thinks of money, look at who he gives it to.

    --
    Genesis 1:32 And God typed :wq!
    1. Re:Fear by Chapter80 · · Score: 1
      If you haven't read it - the 80/20 principal is a fascinating book.

      ... and it sucks if you *have* read it?

  17. Nigerian mail scam by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "The home-improvement website Done Right received an email from a well-known investment firm inquiring about putting cash into the company."

    Sounds like the start of an Nigerian mail scam.

  18. Constrains eventually allow the company to prosper by RunFatBoy.net · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Being showered with money isn't much of a blessing. Before you know the investors are knocking on your door wanting to know where their ROI is, and why you haven't spent the X millions given (apparently spending the money is a sign of progress).

    The money is a burden; a HUGE burden.

    When in this situation, be honest with yourself. What will you spend the money on. If you cite PR, furniture, company stationary, etc, run the other way. If you cite "more employees", triple-check your logic to see if they are really needed before taking the money.

    "Pigs get fatter, hogs get slaughtered."

    -- Jim http://www.runfatboy.net/

  19. Well if I plead here... by solarbob · · Score: 2, Funny

    Dear Mr Nice VC Person,
      Please send all your money to the email address on this post and we will give you lots of love

    Thanks

    Bob

    --
    SolarVPS - Quality Windows and Linux Virtual Servers
    1. Re:Well if I plead here... by mgabrys_sf · · Score: 1

      Minditory Simpsons ref:

      Professor Frink - "Brace yourselves gentlemen. According to the gas hromatograph, the secret ingredient is... Love!? Who's been screwing with this thing?""

  20. Cingely calls it? by _Sprocket_ · · Score: 4, Interesting
    Was Cringely right on this one?

    Right now, there is in the U.S. venture capital community about $25 billion that remains uninvested from funds that will end their lifespans in the next 12-18 months. If the VCs return those funds to investors they'll also have to return $3 billion in already-spent management fees. Alternately, they can invest the money -- even if they invest it in bad deals -- and NOT have to cough-up that $3 billion. So the VCs have to find in the next few months places to throw that $25 billion. They waited this long in hopes that the economy would improve and that technical trends would become clear so they could do their typical lemming-like jump off the same investment cliff as all the other VCs. Well, we're at the edge of the cliff, so get ready for the most furious venture investing cycle in history.
    1. Re:Cingely calls it? by mgabrys_sf · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Bingo - wired was really wrong with their last 2.0 column. They posted the results before the last 2.05 billion figure came out in the Merc's coverage of the fund leaders. The spigots started pouring after google's insane ROI, but given the volume of posts on C-List alone it's just getting started. I'm fielding 2-3 callbacks a week, and I don't even have space for more than one more part-time client.

      I'm hoping that a bubble is somewhat diffused by sane growth that I've seen inside start-ups to date, but if the green pours too much there'll be plenty of nuts to watch roast.

    2. Re:Cingely calls it? by Bloke+down+the+pub · · Score: 1
      $25 billion that remains uninvested from funds that will end their lifespans in the next 12-18 months. If the VCs return those funds to investors they'll also have to return $3 billion in already-spent management fees. Alternately, they can invest the money -- even if they invest it in bad deals -- and NOT have to cough-up that $3 billion.
      Couldn't they just invest the money - in another venture capital fund - and wait till the market picks up? A venture venture capital or a venture capital capital fund (both patented, by the way. By me.).

      Oh, and ... profit!!!!
      --
      It's true I tell you, feller at work's next door neighbour read it in the paper.
    3. Re:Cingely calls it? by brother.sand · · Score: 1

      Just so that searches pick up on this, that's "Cringely" not "Cingely". And yes, I think he totally called it on this one. The companies are getting money out of the blue because they have to spend it or return it.

  21. Cool... by RinzeWind · · Score: 1

    It's the bubble all over again. It's just that now it's "Bubble 2.0 beta" and it uses AJAX.

  22. old news by mgabrys_sf · · Score: 2, Interesting

    The NYT and The Merc both already had coverage last fall of some of the investor fallout from pent-up money combined with low-overhead startups. 2.05 billion was thrown around the Bay Area in quarter of 2005 (representing 40% of nationwide VC spending - NY was 2nd at 12%) but it wasn't easy. Firms in Palo Alto were turning down money offers from longer than lunch hour away commutes - and I've seen VC cold-calls come in at 2 off my contracting clients (seriously).

    But when companies can make do with 250,000 instead of 20 million whatchagonnado?

    This gives me no small measure of hope that something different might be emerging.

    1. Re:old news by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      the merc?

    2. Re:old news by mgabrys_sf · · Score: 1

      Mercury news, but if the Merc had those figures - they would have been vastly more entertaining.

  23. Kent Brockman Says: by dcollins · · Score: 3, Funny

    "Thanks, Mr. Simpson. Because of you, we're all taking golden showers! [offstage laughter] What?"

    --
    We know where leadership by an anti-intellectual "strongman" who scapegoats minorities and likes boisterous rallies goes
    1. Re:Kent Brockman Says: by way2trivial · · Score: 1

      that's MAYOR simpson....

      --
      every day http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Special:Random
    2. Re:Kent Brockman Says: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Heh, I think there were some slot machines named "Golden Shower" in a level in the game Counterstrike.

  24. I get this kind of email all the time by Trisha-Beth · · Score: 1

    Usually from the desk of some African bank manager or lawyer.

    I also get offers to help me ejaculate like a pron star, and drown my girlfriend in .,.&$%*
    NO CARRIER

  25. False story for PR purposes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    He refuses to confirm the investment firm......

    1. Re:False story for PR purposes by thrillseeker · · Score: 1
      He refuses to confirm the investment firm

      Not at all. VC firms desire controlled privacy - they want to be the one to bring others in or bless announcements.

  26. Going in the right direction... by thedletterman · · Score: 1

    I thought I ws riding the train, until you stopped at iTunes and small user-transaction fee models. As the dust settles, the internet will work like radio, the big money will be behind the popular sites, who will use their control over advertising space to lease to other companies, and to promote their own products. The thing is, internet is not 'fixed' like radio. You turn on the radio, and expect music or talk.. what kind of music or talk is at the discretion of the programming director, and fresh content is added daily. Like radio, there is emerging several 'genres' of websites. News, gaming, business, information, application, etc.. Depending on your users to take out a credit card every time you want to make dollar only works if you have a viable product to sell. Television and radio isn't that product.. neither is internet.

    --
    Any fool can criticise, condemn, and complain, and most fools do. - Benjamin Franklin
  27. Like most things by Aceticon · · Score: 2, Informative
    Brought to you by the "i've been thinking about it and it really seems logic" department:


    Return on investment for a VC company is dependant on a probability curve.

    The cumulative profits of the companies in any given sector follow a probability distribution where small number of companies are stars, a small number are total wash-outs and a big number sits somewhere in the middle.

    Depending on the sector (and the status of the overall economy) the curve might me higher or lower with relation with the break-even line (ie the average profit of all companies sits at a higher/lower profit point - or if below the break-even line lower/higher loss point).

    Also, the steepness of the curve might be higher or lower (i.e. more or less companies are at the extremes of the curve than at the center). Investment restricted to younger/non-listed companies probable matches a steeper curve (i.e. more likelly to be a wash-out or the next big thing).

    Since nobody knows beforehand where each companies profit will be in this curve (remember this is a cumulative profit curve - u only know it when u get there), to decrease the investment risk VCs (and any wise investor) always invest in multiple companies (each investment representing a point in the curve). Thus they decrease the risk of doing a single investment which is a total wash-out and loosing it all.

    VCs try to beat the market by:

    • Finding sectors where they expect the curve to be higher (i.e. better average profits) to invest in.
    • Trying to predict which companies will be in the positive part of the curve and invest in them - this consists a lot of experience and guess work.
    • And the major difference between a "real" VCs and an "investment fund", they try to influence the position in the curve on which the companies they invest in will end up in by providing guidance and expertise.


    Still, the returns on investment of a VC are still constrained by that curve - they might get a star, they might get a total wash-out and most of their investment will be in companies that fall in the middle. I dare even say: the less a VC can provide guidance and expertise the more likelly it is that their return on investment will match the average on that sector.
    A VC company whose ROI matches the market average on a sector is little more than an extra expensive fund or index tracker on that sector.
  28. 1999 just sued 2006 by Shohat · · Score: 2, Funny

    It wants it's hype back

  29. A new gambling strategy? by Tijaska · · Score: 2, Funny

    It looks like investors have come up with a new gambling strategy - bubble or quits.

  30. It'll cost you by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ... because there's no such thing as a free cash shower.

  31. Money chasing something safer than RE by boomgopher · · Score: 1

    I'm no economist, but I'd guess that firms/investors are pulling their money out of the shaky real estate market, and back into stocks and tech.

    --
    Your hybrid is not saving the environment. Its purpose is to make you feel good about buying something.
    1. Re:Money chasing something safer than RE by gnuLNX · · Score: 1

      Agreed.
      I am not an economist either, but I am a small investor. My current strategy is to lock in my the equity from my rental house at a fixed rate and move that money to stocks. Risky? yes. Will Work. Hell Yes. Money has to go somewhere. Invest it in a variety of mutual funds some in the states and some over seas. Most of the money in the world is made by significant sums of leverage. The really risky strategy is to fund your online broker with the funds from your house and then trade on full margin on the borrowed funds...you will either be rich on this upturn or you will be dead ass broke...Yippy

      Cheers.

      Oh Buy they way...you are a fool if you take investment advice from someone on slashdot

      --
      what?
  32. Whee! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Party like it's 1999!

  33. Well, if you have some spare... by OverflowingBitBucket · · Score: 1

    *sigh* I love all these stories about money being thrown around to everyone who isn't me. Dammit. ;)

    Hey investor-type people with burning hot cash, I've got a few complete games right here that could use a nice cash injection to get me back on it fulltime, employ a 3D model and texture artist with talent (ie. not me) and drop a few crinkleys into advertising. Just waiting to make you some nice easy money...

    But I suspect I may have to stick to the tried and true, just gradually build my baby up off of part-time work, hope it somehow catches on big-time one day, so forth...

    1. Re:Well, if you have some spare... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "employ a 3D model and texture artist with talent (ie. not me)"

      You're right. Those games are eye-searingly hideous. You should retitle them Hunt the Vomit.

      Hint: If your texture doesn't mean anything, don't add it. All those arbitrary noise and wrinkle textures look organic and disgusting. If you simply *deleted* all your textures, the game would look better. If you added simple jewel-like textures, mostly smooth, it'd be pretty.

      But then, I guess you couldn't show off that you know how to implement bump-mapping. Sigh. Programmers.

    2. Re:Well, if you have some spare... by OverflowingBitBucket · · Score: 1

      Bad troll. *smack*

  34. New Silicon Valley Company by digitaldc · · Score: 1

    NOTICE: I am immediately moving to San Jose, California to start my own IT firm. I have no idea what I will do, but I expect the money to come pouring in. Stay tuned...

    --
    He who knows best knows how little he knows. - Thomas Jefferson
  35. it will never end by jzuska · · Score: 1

    Yaaay, the good times are back and they will never end, Aeron chairs for all!!!!!! /what tech bubble?

  36. Money is OK, but sometimes... by ursabear · · Score: 1

    Receiving funding is pretty wonderful. Especially when you really want to expand what you're doing, or to hire more really smart people.

    But bear something in mind: Investors want something back (profitability, future value, etc. - as well they should), and that something also includes the investor's desire to control the path their investment takes.

    In a similar analogy: I'm independent (read: not able to sell any of my music in amounts larger than one or two) and can make any music I want, on any schedule I want, and I don't have business people deciding anything for me - artistic freedom is fantastic (even if it doesn't cover the costs of instruments or even dinners out with the family). Getting externally-sourced money is great if you can get it, but it isn't a free ride or a free lunch. All investor (or record label) money comes with built-in responsibility and some level of strings attached.

  37. It is a sad day when... by gatkinso · · Score: 1

    ...companies in Silicon Valley interpret SPAM as valid investor interest.

    But then again Mr. Ryan.... my father, the Kinf of Nigeria was improsined. I need to transfer $40,000,000 US out of nation. After examine your credit I have exclusively selected your bank account as trustworthy to move fund.s Please send routing number and account number. For this service you recieve 10 percent bonus....

    --
    I am very small, utmostly microscopic.
  38. "Technology", my ass. by jcr · · Score: 1

    After all this time, why in the hell does the press still insist in pretending that any prat with a web site is a "high-tech" business? We're not talking about technology here at all, we're talking about advertising.

    If VC's were really investing in technology in a big way, that would be a good thing, but they're not.

    -jcr

    --
    The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
  39. Wonderful.... by Capt+James+McCarthy · · Score: 1

    The VC guys acutally believe the Vista Hype.

    --
    There are no loopholes. It's either legal or it's not.
  40. Not quite. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Replace "insurance man" with "working man," who lost both his job and all the money he put (late) into that booming market, and than you'vegot it right.

    But of course, as always, the people at the top made out. When they get fired they get more than a working man will make in a life of being hired. And that is the truth.

    1. Re:Not quite. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That sounds dangerously close to communism, boy.

  41. Recovery hasnt even started in the Midwest. by sethstorm · · Score: 1

    Somehow your message would not be well-received in the Midwest - as recovery hasnt even happened. What you call recovery is all but economic disaster - end a perfectly fine industry or three, keep education costs out of reach, and otherwise turn the area into territory even Boss Tweed couldnt picture having more perfectly.

    Something this deep will unfortunately require the Midwest to benefit in a similar fashion to what the US did for the Dubai ports deal. Except this time, the Midwest is the benefactor, and it's via protected industries and quality education that paves a route towards allowing all, not just the top 2%, true economic prosperity.

    If there is any recovery, it will be when you can go to Michigan or Ohio and not wonder why you feel like you're in [economic] Hell. It will also be when you can get an education without going beyond a 4 digit price tag for 4 years worth- with the selection in the hands of the student, not those who want to build a "Prestige University". It will also be when such education will result in a job that is not at all wage slavery, and that such education can be provided to remove any disadvantage.

    If globalization had effective transitioning plans for the disaffected, you wouldnt need such drastic recovery measures. However, it's too late when it's this far. The damage is done and there is little alternative in the Midwest. What "recovery" may be seen is only class division.

    --
    Twitter supports and protects racists - by smearing their critics with the "Hate Speech" label.
    1. Re:Recovery hasnt even started in the Midwest. by mgabrys_sf · · Score: 1

      Gotta go to where the money is.

      My father was in aerospace and we moved all over the place as jobs migrated from private, miliarty, govt, space, etc. Silicon Valley has one massive caveat that all other startup zones would kill for and that's the VC concentration. For VCs to invest a member of the group generally sits on the board of directors. That means if you're not nearby - you're SOL.

      That's also why "Silicon Alley" only comes in as a distant second in any quarters worth of investment (12% vs 40% in the last quater I took note of the numbers in 2005). It's all well and good to say the internet economy can function anywhere - but you still need to be near the cash.

      I maintained California clients while living in Phoenix after the first meltdown. If I'd lived any further east, I would have been boned. Once I was getting no's to 2 out of 3 new client leads, I moved back and now I'm busier than hell. Cost of living be damned - sometimes you gotta spend money to earn it.

  42. Why Silicon Valley????? by EraserMouseMan · · Score: 1

    Seriously though? Why do you have to have a company based in Silicon Valley????? I guess it's like show biz. If you want to make it you've got to be in Hollywood or NY. I guess you've got to go to where the money is if you want the money to find you.

    1. Re:Why Silicon Valley????? by EmbeddedJanitor · · Score: 1

      There is nothing special in the water in SV that makes people more clever or anything. SV seems to be where tech money goes, so people follow the money. A bit like Hollywood and film making.

      --
      Engineering is the art of compromise.
  43. FINAL WINNING NOTIFICATION by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    the missive wasn't sent to him or to his executives -- it landed in a general corporate email inbox,

    FINAL WINNING NOTIFICATION:
    Dear Lucky Winner,
    RE: BONUS LOTTERY PROMOTION PRIZE AWARDS WINNING
    NOTIFICATION

    We are pleased to notify you the draw (999) of the UK NATIONAL LOTTERY, Online Sweepstakes International Lottery Program held on 18/10/2005 .

    In view of this, your ??5,856,652(Five Million Eight Hundred AND Fifty Six Thousand, Six Hundred and Fifty Two Pounds Sterling) would be released to you by any of our payment offices in Europe.

    CONGRATULATIONS!!!

    At your disposal, we remain.
    Very Truly Yours,

    MRS SCOTT VOKE

  44. Not surprising by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Posting as an AC to protect the innocent... But in the old .COM days, our company received many tens of millions of investment from investors. And guess what: it wasn't wasn't from people whose doors we were beating upon, but from investment firms on the internet who found us there, and thought we fit with their strategy. There's something wonderfully equalizing about the internet, allowing investors to match up with startups that fit well with them. (Not that there weren't some shades of suspicious .COM behaviour after the fact on the investor side, but in general, I like the approach.)

  45. I saw this first hand last week by puzzled · · Score: 1



        I was in San Jose for the VON show last week. I met a VC shopping for used network equipment vendors. Having worked in the aftermarket for a while I'm flat amazed that someone wants to consolidate aftermarket companies.

    --
    I am very easy to get along with, but I don't have time to waste being nice to people who are being stupid. -Theo
  46. e-mails from investors? by heatdeath · · Score: 1

    Were they from Nigeria? Yeah, I got one of those too. =P

    --
    I'm sorry. The number you have reached is imaginary. Please rotate your phone 90 degrees and try again.
  47. From an investor's point of view... by The-Perl-CD-Bookshel · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I am a technology analyist for a hedge fund and I must say that there is a buzz around the "new dot com" companies. However, for the sophisticated/value investor, it is never good enough to simply have a good idea - the company must be ready to capitalize on it. I see at least one company per week that has a brilliant idea but no strategy to make it profitable. The difference between the way I look at a business and the way VC firms look at a company is that they will initially accept poor mangement because they will require oversight and the ability to put some of their own people in place. Some hedge funds do this but they are often not the high-risk/high return types. VC firms (and to a more important degree these days "angel investors") will get into a company for a good idea, a recognizable brand, a value-chain opportunity with other investments or for some more highly speculative reason. VC don't initially chase profits or earnings, they operate mainly outside of the realm of "fundamentals" by looking to capture as much of a company's ideas and future updise while accepting many (oft. deplorable) downside risks. A quick note about hedge funds for people that are quick to label them as horrible groups that short stocks and cause companies to go down in flames: there are firms, like the one I work for, that do not short their investments (we invest with a company for the long-term and often help them with their second and third rounds of fundraising) and many don't get into death spiral warrents that cause companies to dilute their stock over and over (and lose current investors tons of money). Hedge fund is just a generic term for a private investment company - the ones that give "hedge fund" a bad name are a very small minority.

    --
    I don't keep a lid on my coffee so when I walk around I look busy -me
  48. I read that as "crash showers" by SilverJets · · Score: 1

    I guess those come next year.

  49. Strangers with Tasty Candy by goberoi · · Score: 2, Interesting
    There is certainly a lot of hype. Eight weeks ago I and a friend launched our service (http://billmonk.com/), and on the first day were contacted by a prominent VC. Since then, we've spoken to seven more.

    Don't get me wrong. Our product is great, and our users love it - but the attention given to a two-man startup around for such a short period of time was disproportionate to what we had proved to the market at the time.

    We decided to hold off on trading a large amount of equity for a relatively small amount of cash - especially when cash isn't needed to bootstrap a company like ours. In our situation, it makes better sense to seek angel funding before talking to VCs when we need money for growth.

    Although venture capitalists ARE strangers with candy, they're not necessarily evil or stupid. In this current environment where a lot of small companies are flipped, speculation makes financial sense. Given the potential returns, an investment of a million or two is chump change for these firms. For small companies, that's all you need; what's actually more important is that VCs provide all-important media and business contacts. The bottom line is that you should be wary of the candy, but it can help you realize your ideas. If you are motivated, skilled, and have an idea, this is a great time to join the gold rush.