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Toshiba Subsidizes $200/Unit on New HD Player

WestTexasWaltz writes "According to a teardown analysis, Toshiba is losing $200 per unit, of its new HD DVD player, in order to gain some marketshare. Interesting that integrated circuits account for more of the cost than the drive itself. Also, this particular analyst concludes that Blu-ray and HD-DVD will "not be a repeat of VHS vs. Beta" and that a stalemate is the likely outcome."

222 comments

  1. Stalemate means consumers LOSE by SaDan · · Score: 3, Insightful

    What a crock. Thanks, but no thanks, I'll just stick with DVDs until Blu-ray loses this battle and the prices come down on HD-DVDs.

    1. Re:Stalemate means consumers LOSE by Akaihiryuu · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I'm not going to touch either for probably a very long time. I'll *consider* a BD or HD-DVD player once the prices come way down and the movies are playable under Linux with entirely free software. If HD-DVD/Blu-Ray continues being the DRM-encumbered mess that it is, they can keep it and their "high definition" movies...I'm perfectly happy with DVD.

    2. Re:Stalemate means consumers LOSE by FooGoo · · Score: 1

      Troll?
      To me this seems to be a logical thing to do until the execs can remove there heads from their rectum.

      --
      People who bite the hand that feeds them usually lick the boot that kicks them
    3. Re:Stalemate means consumers LOSE by SaDan · · Score: 2, Insightful

      No kidding. I wasn't even thinking of the DRM mess!

      Give it five years, and I can guarantee there won't be a stalemate. Consumers or industry will not want to deal with both, and someone will find a way to make one format rise to the top. Let's home DRM is killed off by then.

    4. Re:Stalemate means consumers LOSE by pete6677 · · Score: 1

      At this rate, Sony is doing everything it can to make sure Blu-Ray loses. Betamax all over again.

    5. Re:Stalemate means consumers LOSE by SaDan · · Score: 1

      I probably got the troll mod from someone chomping at the bit for a new PS3.

      Sony's done enough for us with their root kits and whatnot, I don't need to support their dumb asses in a new format war. I'll gladly wait on the sidelines with DVD for a few years, and wait for the next revision/format to come out if these two can't get traction.

    6. Re:Stalemate means consumers LOSE by alshithead · · Score: 2, Funny

      Damn, where's my BIG butterfly net when I need it. They really need to improve security at mental hospitals. On topic...being an early adopter can be expensive. I'll sit tight and see where this mess is headed before I make a decision.

      --
      I reserve the right to think for myself. Others' opinions are optional. Puppy on lap = typos...not illiteracy.
    7. Re:Stalemate means consumers LOSE by Al+Dimond · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The only difference between these new formats and DVD with respect to DRM is that DVD's DRM has already been broken.

    8. Re:Stalemate means consumers LOSE by AvitarX · · Score: 1

      DVD's limit output to non digital devices?

      I actaully thought DVDs were the opposite and limited it on the digital ones.

      --
      Wow, sent an e-mail as suggested when clicking on "use classic" banner, and got a fast response that addressed my msg
    9. Re:Stalemate means consumers LOSE by Firehed · · Score: 1

      DVDs don't give a crap. Both of the HD formats, when the ICT (image constraint token) is enabled, will be downsampled to 540p or lower over both analog and non-HDCP-compliant digital connections. As far as I know, none of the current releases have the ICT enabled to help ease transitions a bit

      --
      How are sites slashdotted when nobody reads TFAs?
    10. Re:Stalemate means consumers LOSE by AvitarX · · Score: 1

      Is it just the standalone DVD players then?

      Or is it just mine?

      I definatly read in the manual that audio is cut back over digital connections.

      --
      Wow, sent an e-mail as suggested when clicking on "use classic" banner, and got a fast response that addressed my msg
    11. Re:Stalemate means consumers LOSE by lga · · Score: 1

      There are two different formats, DVD Audio, and DVD Video. DVD Audio contains very high quality sound (192KHz/24 bit/lossless compression) and does not allow it to be output over a digital connection at that quality unless it is encrypted. Most DVD Audio players therefore only output DVD Audio over six analogue connectors. DVD Video contains lower quality sound, and does allow a digital output. Confusingly, most DVD Audio disks also contain a Dolby Digital soundtrack in order to also be compatible with DVD Video players, albeit at a lower quality.

  2. All we have to wait for is... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The cheap china manufacturers coming out with units that play both HD-DVD and BluRay discs... and pick up a player cheap at WalMart (or whathaveyou) for $100.

    It's DVD-R and DVD+R all over again. Only with slightly better picture quality, if you have the right setup.

    1. Re:All we have to wait for is... by Abreu · · Score: 1

      Exactly, and even now that the World Cup is driving sales of HD tv screens everywhere, I can hardly see a big difference in image quality... Although the wide screen factor is very useful for football games coverage!

      --
      No sig for the moment.
    2. Re:All we have to wait for is... by pyite · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Okay, if you can hardly see a difference between HDTV and standard TV, something is very very wrong. I'm not sure which part of the flow from reality to your eyes is the problem, but a problem does exist.

      --

      "Nature doesn't care how smart you are. You can still be wrong." - Richard Feynman

    3. Re:All we have to wait for is... by Kagura · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Some people don't have the eyes to distinguish between even 800x600 and 1024x768. Even knowing that, it's still weird to me that people can't perceive jaggies while watching DVDs or slightly sub-standard bitrates during fast motion. I was trying to show my dad the difference between HD and normal TV broadcasts, and it just didn't work for him. It's not that one's eyesight is particularly problematic, but rather that some people just don't analyze video quality as much as others, it would seem.

    4. Re:All we have to wait for is... by computertheque · · Score: 1

      The problem is that a majority of people who buy HDTVs are not viewing HD broadcasts, just stretched SD broadcasts.

    5. Re:All we have to wait for is... by Xymor · · Score: 1

      The difference is damn noticeable when your talking 56"+ TVs. Even 1080i/1080p or 720p/1080p comparisons.

    6. Re:All we have to wait for is... by RonnyJ · · Score: 2, Insightful

      It's not really accurate to say "slightly better picture quality". DVD resolution is 720x480. The highest HD resolution is 1920x1080 or, for less capable HDTVs, 1280x720.

    7. Re:All we have to wait for is... by Abreu · · Score: 1

      Admittedly, I dont have an HDTV set, but every restaurant, bar and coffee shop in my city has bought one to get patrons to watch the World Cup "in High Def." Now, I know that this is not SD stretched because these people also purchased HD cable packages along with the HD screen. The difference is there, but the point is that its not enough for me to go out and spend 6 months wages in Screen, Audio-Video receiver/amp, speakers and HD cable or sattelite package

      The only place where I see a remarkable difference with HD sets is in stores when they are being set to play "demos" usually videos of landscapes and such... Probably when all movies are released with this resolution Ill switch, but thats probably still a couple of years away...

      --
      No sig for the moment.
    8. Re:All we have to wait for is... by Chubby_C · · Score: 1

      some people may also just not find the added cost of equipment and programming is worth the extra money.

      --
      - My question is: Can Slashdot be Slashdotted? -
    9. Re:All we have to wait for is... by multimediavt · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Ummm...no, it's really not like DVD-R and DVD+R. The only difference there is spindle speed, 1.2:1 difference to be exact, DVD+R to DVD-R. The underlying technology and interface are exactly the same beyond that. HD-DVD and Blu-Ray are totally different technologies. HD-DVD uses a standard red laser operating at a much lower wavelength of light, yielding a much larger focal point of light. Blu-Ray uses a blue laser with a higher wavelength and smaller focal point of light. The more highly focused, tighter blue laser can read red laser burned, or imprinted media, but the red laser cannot read the blue laser burned or imprinted media. Beyond the cost for a blue laser system, you then have to support two dual chip sets for processing HD-DVDs and Blu-Ray discs because of the completely different DRM standards being used. And yes, this is hardware decoded in consumer devices so you're talking about quite a cost if you wanted to build custom ASICs to do both in one chipset, in licensing fees alone! So, I really don't see a dual format drive hitting the market any time soon. It would be too costly to build right now. Maybe when one has a clear lead we'll see one, but then it will be too late for one of the formats and you'll be paying a high price so you can play the discs you bought from the losing side.

      I'd say wait for a Blu-Ray enabled PC or laptop to come out, followed by a software decoder for the other format, HD-DVD. I'm sure a computer-based playback device will be fast enough to support an HD-DVD decoder so you could play HD-DVDs on your internal (or external) Blu-Ray drive.

    10. Re:All we have to wait for is... by RzUpAnmsCwrds · · Score: 5, Informative

      Boy, are you misinformed.

      The only difference there is spindle speed, 1.2:1 difference to be exact, DVD+R to DVD-R. The underlying technology and interface are exactly the same beyond that.

      Wrong. There are significant differences in tracking, linking, and error management.

      HD-DVD uses a standard red laser operating at a much lower wavelength of light

      Swing and a miss. Both Bul-ray and HD-DVD use a 405nm blue laser.

      Beyond the cost for a blue laser system, you then have to support two dual chip sets for processing HD-DVDs and Blu-Ray discs because of the completely different DRM standards being used.

      Nope. Both Blu-ray and HD-DVD use AACS.

      And yes, this is hardware decoded in consumer devices so you're talking about quite a cost if you wanted to build custom ASICs to do both in one chipset, in licensing fees alone!

      You clearly don't understand the IC market very well. There are ASICs that handle the vast majority of the needs for a DVD player, including drive servo / spindle control, MPEG2 decoding, multiple different audio formats (MP2/AC3/DTS, often MP3 and WMA as well), video scaling, OSD generation, and, in many cases, even incorporate a microcontroller.

      Extreme integration is very common for a market this size.

    11. Re:All we have to wait for is... by RzUpAnmsCwrds · · Score: 1

      I really don't see a dual format drive hitting the market any time soon

      Oh, by the way, you're already wrong.

      Broadcom Rolls Out Combined HD-DVD, Blu-ray Chip

    12. Re:All we have to wait for is... by Mark+Maughan · · Score: 1

      The only place where I see a remarkable difference with HD sets is in stores when they are being set to play "demos" usually videos of landscapes and such... Probably when all movies are released with this resolution Ill switch, but thats probably still a couple of years away...

      I have HBOHD and ShowtimeHD. All movies are released at that resolution. Hockey games, ~1/2 of american football games, NASCAR games are all at that resolution too. Not sure why the world cup isn't.

      If a movie that I like is scheduled. I set it to record. Transfer it via firewire from my cable box to my computer. Reencode it to MPEG-4. And burn it to a DVD. I can fit 2hrs at almost 1080p (~960) on a single DVD.

    13. Re:All we have to wait for is... by robosmurf · · Score: 1

      Or they live outside the US. The difference in resolution between SD NTSC and 720p HD is rather larger than the difference between SD PAL and 720p HD.

      720p HD does look better than a good PAL DVD, but it's not a huge difference.

    14. Re:All we have to wait for is... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As other people commented, you probably aren't getting true HD content.

      I have an old 20" (viewable) CRT which can do 2048x1536@75hz, and let me tell you that that there is quite a difference between HD and SD. Presently, I'm slightly biased towards 720p instead of 1080i; it is probably the higher frame rate that makes it seem better. I can't comment about 1080p, since there are no 1080p broadcasts, and my h/w is too old to handle a compressed movie.

      As far as football goes, I watch it primarily on Telemundo, since I'm not inclined to fork any money over to cable companies. However, I have seen an HD broadcast via the ABC station, and it is quite good.

      Oh, and by the way, I recently read somewhere that widescreen prices are dropping due to competition, and the fact that the World Cup wasn't quite the boon they were hoping it to be; so, I wouldn't say that the World Cup is driving sales.

    15. Re:All we have to wait for is... by TheNetAvenger · · Score: 1

      The technology IS different; however, to use this as a justification against duality players is not so accurate. Past incorporating dual lasers and a few specifications differences, the 'expense' of the units beyond the lasers is where the differences end.

      Meaning, beyond the the laser technology, the real expense in these units is in the decoding hardware needed (a fairly powerful computer). And since these are 'the same' in terms of needed processing power, down to even the codecs both uniformly support, I can foresee dual units making an impact on the market quite easily.

      I personal think the Blu-Ray specifications as Sony has them now will go the way of the dinosaur, but 'blue-laser' technology will eventually have some use or impact in later years possibly. The problem with blue laser technology now is that is DOES NOT jump red laser technology 'enough' to warrant the costs at this point. If the Blu-Ray was putting a terrabyte on a Disc, as Blue Laser SHOULD be capable of doing in theory, then we would see an easy migration; however, in current form it is too low end for a practical jump in technology.

      Sony has also screwed the Blu-Ray market with their licensing, relunctant to meet DRM standards requests and many other things that will cause them to not be the major player after the initial war is over. Sony Pictures is their Ace in the hole, but it is not big enough to fill the void of the hole Sony itself has created with thumbing their noses to cooperate with the rest of the industry.

    16. Re:All we have to wait for is... by billcopc · · Score: 1

      Sure I can see the improvement in HD, things are clearer, sharper.. but the real question is: does that added detail warrant an investment of several thousand dollars for all-new home theatre equipment ? For me, the answer is no. DVD is good enough. I just don't feel the leap in quality is significant enough. HD is being hyped as the new Jesus of home entertainment, when really the only place where I've seen an eye-opening improvement was HD gaming, because artificially-generated images are one place where higher resolutions yield more convincing results. For everything else, HD is blah.

      I mean seriously, do we really need high-rez Jennifer Aniston movies ? :P

      --
      -Billco, Fnarg.com
    17. Re:All we have to wait for is... by multimediavt · · Score: 1

      Well, I'm glad others found more current and correct information. Now, HD-DVD sucks a little less than I thought. The DRM and Microsoft parts still sucking.

    18. Re:All we have to wait for is... by atomicstrawberry · · Score: 1

      Sony's Blu-Ray licensing explicitly forbids hardware manufactuers from creating hybrid players. If they did it anyway, Sony would cancel their license and blacklist their players on all new BR discs.

  3. Yay by csplinter · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Oh great now there will be two drm laden piece of crap in my living room if I care to watch movies without worrying about the format.

    1. Re:Yay by pete6677 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Just wait 3 months until someone finds a crack, then buy one that lets you be in control of your own products. There has never been an unbreakable DRM scheme and there never will be, until we all have digital eye and ear implants.

    2. Re:Yay by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Isn't the DVD-Audio DRM scheme still uncracked? Of course, that's a niche market, but so are HD-DVD and Blu-Ray right now.

      It's not a matter of breakable DRM schemes; nothing is airtight. It's a matter of incentive and the resources to break a DRM scheme, and without significant market penetration, there is not enough incentive, and there probably won't be in three months, either.

    3. Re:Yay by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "There has never been an unbreakable DRM scheme and there never will be, until we all have digital eye and ear implants."

      Do some research on trusted computing. Breaking copyright protection on software is completely different from breaking copyright protection on a microchip in your device.

  4. Where's the DoJ's Anti-Trust Division? by mosel-saar-ruwer · · Score: 0, Flamebait


    Toshiba is losing $200 per unit, of its new HD DVD player, in order to gain some marketshare.

    I thought it was supposed to be "illegal" to sell a product below cost.

    Or maybe that "law" only applies to Microsoft.

    1. Re:Where's the DoJ's Anti-Trust Division? by mtenhagen · · Score: 2, Insightful

      That law only applies to monopolies abusing there power to gain a monopoly in a different market!

      Oh and it doesnt count anymore if you sponsor the party of the president. (better sponsor both candidates)

      --
      200GB/2TB $7.95 Coupon: SAVE90DOLLAR
    2. Re:Where's the DoJ's Anti-Trust Division? by csplinter · · Score: 2, Informative

      No its called a loss leader, it's a common practice among the likes of walmart, and other large corporations. The supreme court has ruled that loss leaders are not unconstitional, A big mistake if you ask me. Actually many countries allow loss leaders, the most notable example an exception of a democratic nation banning loss leaders is when Germany banned them a few years ago.

    3. Re:Where's the DoJ's Anti-Trust Division? by Otter · · Score: 4, Informative

      It "is", under certain circumstances (overseas dumping, or abuse of a moonoply position), not in general. People here may tell you otherwise, but that's because they're "idiots".

    4. Re:Where's the DoJ's Anti-Trust Division? by Pollardito · · Score: 1

      do they roll up the paddy-wagon everytime you get a free razor in the mail?

  5. region locking and forced content by Speare · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I don't give a rat's ass about HD-DVD or BluRay or any new format... until a player comes out (third-party hacked or not) which overcomes the MPAA's nefarious ideas about region encoding or forced chapters. If you want some market share, grow some balls and deliver a machine that plays the media *I* purchased anytime that *I* want to, without sending a colorectal scan to the governments and corporations of the world. And while you're at it, make false advertising phrases like "Own it on HD-DVD today!" completely off limits.

    --
    [ .sig file not found ]
    1. Re:region locking and forced content by Awptimus+Prime · · Score: 1

      So, you own a DVD player by now, right? It really shouldn't matter as long as you put a disc in and a movie player. Time will pass, prices will eventually drop to $100, and hacks/mods will be abundant. No reason to be the 15th person in the thread to bandwagon on about DRM and region locks. Nobody cares.

    2. Re:region locking and forced content by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No reason to be the 15th person in the thread to bandwagon on about DRM and region locks. Nobody cares.

      The fact that he's "the 15th to bandwagon on about" it suggests that there are quite a few people that do indeed care.

      You can count me as number 16. I want a DVD player that plays what I tell it WHEN I tell it. You can shove your ads most tightly!

    3. Re:region locking and forced content by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There is no region locking in the new formats.

    4. Re:region locking and forced content by benwaggoner · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Both formats use AACS for copy production. In addition, Blu-ray uses BD+ on top of AACS.

    5. Re:region locking and forced content by Traiklin · · Score: 1

      since when?

      blu-ray can play movies from Japan and the USA when it's released in those countrys (Region 1), but neither can play the PAL format (Region 2) or any other country's (Region 3-5)

      as for HD-DVD last I had heard is it was exactly like DVD in everyway just bigger, so we would still have the exact same region codings as we have now.

    6. Re:region locking and forced content by assassinator42 · · Score: 1

      Forced chapters, are they still doing that? I already bought the movie, I don't want to sit through ads. Is there a site that lists all the DVDs with the unskippable ads?

  6. Blu-Ray vs HD-DVD, the winner is... by b1t+r0t · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I predict the winner will be... DVD!

    --

    --
    "Open source is good." - Steve Jobs
    "Open source is evil." - Microsoft
    1. Re:Blu-Ray vs HD-DVD, the winner is... by spun · · Score: 1

      And I predict that the failure of both HD formats will be blamed on pirates. The solution will be to install DRM in a chip in everyone's head, which can also conveniently project commercials into your auditory and optic nerves.

      --
      - None can love freedom heartily, but good men; the rest love not freedom, but license. -- John Milton
    2. Re:Blu-Ray vs HD-DVD, the winner is... by rolfwind · · Score: 1

      I predict the same as you.

      I think the winner will be determined by what ships by default with the most computers, as that is the number one place people currently have the capability to watch HDTV* and so they can burn/back up their data. DVD isn't enough for this purpose anymore, but I think HVD (if it's not vaporware) will provide a bigger capacity at a lower price than Blu-ray/HD-DVD.

      *Nearly every computer monitor had the resolution for ages or at least the last 5-8 years.

    3. Re:Blu-Ray vs HD-DVD, the winner is... by ArchAngelQ · · Score: 1

      Seconded. Widely available, high quality over previous generations with little to none of the degridation issues. I don't know a single person with the setup, or interest in the setup, to do HD video anyway. Why is this even relevant? We've got a depressed economy, now is a stupid time to launch a new media type so soon after DVD has been around. Let alone two compeating ones that have little real technical merit over the other (compaired to DVD). *AND* they've managed to burn the early adopters over the whole HDMI bull crap.

      DVD FTW.

    4. Re:Blu-Ray vs HD-DVD, the winner is... by Tx · · Score: 1

      I think I already have one of those. It takes the most annoying bastard commercials, and repeats the audio ad infinitum, especially when I'm trying to concentrate, until I want to start bashing my head on the wall.

      --
      Oh no... it's the future.
    5. Re:Blu-Ray vs HD-DVD, the winner is... by molarmass192 · · Score: 1

      What? You're trying to say this HD-DVD and BlueRay won't have the same mind blowing suck-cess that DVD-Audio did? Besides, unless you've got 25/20 vision, HDD/BR isn't going to look one iota different to you than DVD on an HD tv.

      --

      Good people do not need laws to tell them to act responsibly, while bad people will find a way around the laws-Plato
    6. Re:Blu-Ray vs HD-DVD, the winner is... by Sonnekki · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Isn't it true that Blu-ray is a readily burnable format?

      If I recall correctly, the data storage is 25 GB per side, whereas HD-DVD is 15 GB. In this respect Blu-ray is a given winner simply because it has more space, say for archival reasons. What would you archive? pr0n!

      But seriously, this will become handy...why were 2 GB HDs and 16 megs of ram good 10 years ago?

      What's it going to be 10 years in the future? 4.2 GB is gonna be tiny!

      In this respect, Blu-ray wins; HOWEVER, the only way these two formats would co-exist is because they cover two completely different areas of data.

    7. Re:Blu-Ray vs HD-DVD, the winner is... by JonathanR · · Score: 1

      I'd counter this by pointing out the ho-hum reception that this high-def stuff is receiving. I mean, we've learned to accept mp3 for audio. DVD is ok for video, mostly, and digital cameras are plateauing at about 8MP, so what other senses do we need all such space for more 0's and 1's?

      Also, given that most processes are IO bound nowdays, simply making storage bigger is only going to make the wait longer.

    8. Re:Blu-Ray vs HD-DVD, the winner is... by bagsc · · Score: 1

      No way, man. DVD will never beat Laserdisc!

      --
      http://www.accountkiller.com/removal-requested
    9. Re:Blu-Ray vs HD-DVD, the winner is... by notyourmom · · Score: 1

      And the loser is... whichever company tries to stop p0rn from being displayed on their medium... which is one of the primary reasons the Betamax failed.

      As with every other technology, P0rn drives the market.

  7. Linux by NutscrapeSucks · · Score: 4, Funny

    I'm suprised that Slashdot hasn't mentioned that these machines use RedHat Linux. Yes, people complain about the boot-up time.

    Since it's a standard Pentium 4 PC design, it seems pretty obvious that the player software will be "liberated" eventually.

    --
    Whenever I hear the word 'Innovation', I reach for my pistol.
    1. Re:Linux by AuMatar · · Score: 1

      Pentium 4? In an embedded product? Yeesh, no wonder they can charge an arm and a leg and still lose money.

      --
      I still have more fans than freaks. WTF is wrong with you people?
    2. Re:Linux by MHolmesIV · · Score: 1

      $500 is an arm and a leg? You need a better ambulance chasing lawyer, I could probably come away with millions for an arm and a leg.

      $500 is pocket change for a brand new technology. I was expecting a minimum $1K pricetag, like the first DVD players.

    3. Re:Linux by flithm · · Score: 1

      It takes a lot of power to decode HD signals. The minimum requirements for 1080p are a 3 GHz P4!

      Yeah an embedded product should be able to do better, but either way it's going to take a lot of cycles.

      My guess is they're just using a P4 for now because there's already x86 -- mmx, sse, sse2, etc, optimized algorithms available. Probably in the future after the format war dies down we'll see custom chips designed specifically for decoding the HD signals, which will drive the price down to a more reasonable level.

      Initial hardware releases are always like that... just push it out, make some bucks off the early adopters, and send the R&D guys back to the lab.

      Ever since I bought myself the one of the first generation Diamond RIO MP3 players I've decided to never again adopt early. It just ain't worth it.

    4. Re:Linux by Wesley+Felter · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Even worse, there is a Broadcom ASIC that performs the actual decoding. The Pentium 4 must just be used for DRM and drawing the menus.

    5. Re:Linux by epp_b · · Score: 0

      I hope Linus decides to use GPL3 for future versions of Linux. Eventually, they'd have to actually develop their own native operating system for their hardware or use Windows. That way, the player and it's associated DRM would never see the light of day or, in the latter case, it would be hackable the day that it does.

    6. Re:Linux by Pulzar · · Score: 1
      Even worse, there is a Broadcom ASIC that performs the actual decoding. The Pentium 4 must just be used for DRM and drawing the menus.


      Decoding is actually not the most difficult task, processing wise, so you're almost correct. Where you really need the processing power is in de-interlacing, scaling, blending between multiple surfaces that these standards define, handling the 2d effects (yes, the menus, but you can also run a full-screen game in one of the surfaces if the DVD author so desired, and you need the processing power to run the Java or iHD software)... Even the high-end graphics cards can't handle all of this load yet.
      --
      Never underestimate the bandwidth of a 747 filled with CD-ROMs.
    7. Re:Linux by LordVader717 · · Score: 1

      Considering it's encoded in 1080p, you wouldn't need deinterlacing, and scaling is performed by the TV anyway.

  8. Hm by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

    So, is the fact that they're massively subsidizing the HD-DVD players a sign of trouble for Toshiba, or like everything else is it only a bad thing when Sony does it?

    Anyway I for one will just sit and wait a few years until Samsung finally gets their way and gets to start making hybrid players that support both HD-DVDs and Blu-Rays. Samsung's said they want to, they're just being held up by consortium politics. I think those consortiums will get a little more lenient once time passes and they realize everyone's still just buying DVDs.

    1. Re:Hm by tktk · · Score: 1

      I think it's because Toshiba's only making players.

      Sony, on the other hand, seems to be betting the entire company. Sony needs to succeed in selling players, selling PS3s, and selling films.

    2. Re:Hm by richdun · · Score: 1

      So, is the fact that they're massively subsidizing the HD-DVD players a sign of trouble for Toshiba, or like everything else is it only a bad thing when Sony does it?

      I'm not sure that Toshiba's subsidies are a bad sign; hardware manufacturers have done this for years to gain marketshare for software, accessories, etc. I think the bad sign is that this week at Best Buy, Blu-Ray 'DVDs' are buy 3, get 1 free.

    3. Re:Hm by ClamIAm · · Score: 1

      is [subsidizing] only a bad thing when Sony does it?

      When did Sony do it? They certainly didn't for the PS1 or PS2.

  9. The best part by sterno · · Score: 2, Insightful

    If that's true what will end up happening is that anybody who makes a player to play both will end up paying twice as much in royalties. Good times.

    --
    This sig has been temporarily disconnected or is no longer in service
    1. Re:The best part by SaDan · · Score: 1

      Twice the royalties, and twice the DRM headache. It may very well be unattractive for anyone to even WANT to develop a dual-format capable player.

    2. Re:The best part by benwaggoner · · Score: 1

      Well the two formats use the same codecs, which is a bunch of the royalties. Really, the biggest difference is in the OPU (the Blu-ray one is more expensive). Making a Blu-ray player hybrid is pretty cheap, so we may see a lot of HD DVD only players, and some hybrid Blu-ray/HD DVD players.

    3. Re:The best part by F�an�ro · · Score: 1

      Not really twice:

      As soon as one format takes a lead and hardware producers are tempted to drop the other one, royalties for that one will magically approach zero.

      Royalties might even end up cheaper overall with two rivaling formats than with one format monopoly.

  10. Anyone planning on buying HD-DVD or Bluray? by Vellmont · · Score: 2

    I don't happen to agree with the analyst that the format war won't be a nightmare. But maybe I'm wrong.

    So, the best test I can come up with is asking early adopters if they plan on buying either player, or if a dual format player if it were available. Slashdot tends to have a lot of early adopters, so how about it? Is anyone chomping at the bit for these things, or will the format war and the "good enough" state of current DVDs relegate this product to the likes of Laserdisc and Sony Minidisc?

    --
    AccountKiller
    1. Re:Anyone planning on buying HD-DVD or Bluray? by JordanL · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I'll have a Blu-ray by proxy, as I'll pick up a PS3.

    2. Re:Anyone planning on buying HD-DVD or Bluray? by interiot · · Score: 1
      Oh, c'mon, that argument is getting so old and tired.

      Saying "DVD is good enough" is the same thing as saying "SD TV is good enough resolution, nobody needs the resolution provided from HDTV".

      But that's dead wrong... consoles have decided that SD is not good enough. OTA TV broadcasts, cable and satellite have decided that SD is not good enough. WM9 and Quicktime have decided that SD is not good enough.

      There's so much HD content available already that eventually, >50% of people will buy an HDTV. And once they buy an HDTV, the association between SD=DVD is pretty clear.

    3. Re:Anyone planning on buying HD-DVD or Bluray? by maximthemagnificent · · Score: 1

      It's "champing at the bit", BTW.

    4. Re:Anyone planning on buying HD-DVD or Bluray? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I bought only the second model of DVD player to become available in my area -- for about $1000 (!). So, I've already been an early adopter. Since then, I've bought a DVD recorder, though not as early in the product cycle.

      I have no interest in buying the current crop of high-definition DVD players -- Blu-ray or HD-DVD. I won't even consider it until: A) it is possible to buy players that will play both formats or, alternatively, one format is clearly winning, B) it is clear that I'll be able to exercise my fair use rights with the content I buy.

      I score it like this:

      format war -
      HD resolution +
      anti-fair-use DRM -
      early adoption - (i.e. extra $$ & bugs)
      hardly any content -
      --
      TOTAL = -3

      Time will fix #4 (or make it irrelevant), but whether or when time will fix #1 and #3 are speculation, and whether this whole thing might flop makes me worry about investing in what little (and more expensive) content there is so far, unless I'm confident I can transcode it (see #3).

      So, I'm in no hurry at all.

    5. Re:Anyone planning on buying HD-DVD or Bluray? by Vellmont · · Score: 1


      OTA TV broadcasts, cable and satellite have decided that SD is not good enough. WM9 and Quicktime have decided that SD is not good enough.

      But have consumers decided that SDTV isn't good enough? I don't see many people buying HDTVs. There's some, but really SDTV is fine for the price HDTVs are going for. DVD is even better resolution than SDTV, so people are really settling for less quality than DVD can offer.

      There's so much HD content available already that eventually, >50% of people will buy an HDTV.

      It hasn't happened yet, and really I don't see many average consumers clamoring for HDTV. Hell, I know a lot of people that put up with crappy reception on normal old analog sets that don't even bother to buy a $20 antenna. Believe it or not people aren't as quality conscious as you are. It's hard enough to get people to realize that pan-and-scan movies lose a lot from letterboxed movies. Expecting them to care about HDTV over SDTV when they don't care about pan-and-scan is a huge leap.

      --
      AccountKiller
    6. Re:Anyone planning on buying HD-DVD or Bluray? by Vellmont · · Score: 1
      Interesting. Sounds like a Google Fight to me!


      Results 1 - 10 of about 451,000 for "chomping at the bit". (0.10 seconds)
      Results 1 - 10 of about 154,000 for "champing at the bit". (0.62 seconds)


      So I'd say Chomping clearly wins, though Champing would certainly be considered correct english.
      --
      AccountKiller
    7. Re:Anyone planning on buying HD-DVD or Bluray? by interiot · · Score: 1

      It's true that HDTV market penetration isn't very big yet (5-10% I think?), but there are two large factors that make HDTV adoption in general inevitable...

      First, a large number of companies have looked at HDTV, and have made the decision to invest R&D money on HDTV projects, because they think that there will be a future market for HD products/content. OTA TV stations have upgraded their equipment to be able to broadcast HD. MS and Sony have spent money making sure their consoles have the horsepower to generate HDTV frames, and the hardware to output it. Satellite TV companies are dedicating sizable chunks of bandwidth to HDTV channels. PVR manufacturers are integrating HD capability in their products (Tivo hasn't yet, but PVRs from satellite/cable companies support HDTV recording). WM9 and Quicktime have upgraded their formats and players to be able to play very high resolution video.

      Second, the fact that all this content is already available in HD makes it increasingly likely that consumers will buy an HDTV eventually. It matters less that prices are somewhat high now. What matters more is that sooner or later, as prices decrease, and available content increases, that when the time comes for a consumer to replace a broken TV, they'll increasingly think about replacing it with an HDTV.

    8. Re:Anyone planning on buying HD-DVD or Bluray? by Pulzar · · Score: 1
      But have consumers decided that SDTV isn't good enough? I don't see many people buying HDTVs.


      It could be just the circles you're moving in... A lot of people I know have some sort of an HDTV (little LCD, a cheap CRT, and some, but not many, have the big-screen kind). Here in Canada, you can get a 27" CRT for $379 (name brand, like Toshiba/Sony), and a 27" wide-screen HDTV for $499. That's a pretty small price difference, and if you're getting this to be your primary TV, I imagine a non-significant number of people select the HD option.

      And, if you need space and want to go with LCD, it's almost impossible to buy an LCD that's not HD!
      --
      Never underestimate the bandwidth of a 747 filled with CD-ROMs.
    9. Re:Anyone planning on buying HD-DVD or Bluray? by Vellmont · · Score: 1

      I guess I don't understand why companies putting a lot of money into something will automatically translate into the public plunking down money and buying it. Iridium sunk TONS of money into satelite based cell phones, but yet they went bankrupt. Sony sunk a ton of cash into betamax, but it tanked.

      I also don't buy into the content availability argument. It's just not true that "if you make it available, people will buy it". That's a terrible terrible mistake for any company to assume. Minidiscs had quite a bit of content available, but they sunk. 8-track tapes had an enormous amount of content, but when was the last time you saw one of those?

      The majority of people will only adopt a new technology if they see a real benefit from it over the old technology, or if there's a minimal price difference. The former isn't really true in my estimation, and the latter isn't going to happen for years to come.

      --
      AccountKiller
    10. Re:Anyone planning on buying HD-DVD or Bluray? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think you might want to check your circles. In the US anyway, only around 17% of the market had HDTV.

      When most people only buy a new TV when the old one breaks, why make an optional leap to an expensive set for service they may or may not be able to get?

      Color TV was a bigger leap over B&W than HD is over standard TV. And it took what... 20 years for most people to switch?

    11. Re:Anyone planning on buying HD-DVD or Bluray? by maximthemagnificent · · Score: 1

      I'll take being right over being popular anyday. Maybe this explains why I have no friends? (:

    12. Re:Anyone planning on buying HD-DVD or Bluray? by Vellmont · · Score: 1

      Except in the case of language being popular is being right. Language isn't a set of rules set down in books. It's a fluid, moving, changing thing defined by the people who use it. Anyone who's studied linguistics or history should know this intuitively.

      --
      AccountKiller
  11. Selling below cost may not be "dumping" by xswl0931 · · Score: 3, Interesting

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dumping_(pricing_poli cy) It's only illegal if they are selling for a substantially lower price in foreign markets compared to domestic markets. So in Japan, if they sold it for $2000 (US), then it would be dumping. Otherwise, all free products would be illegal.

    1. Re:Selling below cost may not be "dumping" by csplinter · · Score: 1, Insightful

      I'm afraid thats not entirely true. Under certain circumstances it is in fact illegal to sell things, domestically, below market value.

  12. Pick A Winner by iridium_ionizer · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I know how a definitive winner could come about. Sometime before Christmas this year, Blockbuster and Netflix and Best Buy get together and agree to evaluate both the HD-DVD and Blue-Ray on terms of quality and price. Then they declare a winner. There is no way in hell either Blue-Ray or HD-DVD would survive if all three of them together said, "We don't want to stock more than one type of hi-def DVD. And this is the type we choose." Whichever they chose would thrive and whichever they dissed would die. Of course the longer they wait, the harder it will be to break the stalemate.

    1. Re:Pick A Winner by AuMatar · · Score: 3, Insightful

      It would be against Best Buys best interest. They can stock both players, and some people will buy both. Then they can make more money later selling combo versions to the same people.

      Blockbuster and Netflix have an interest in seeing one win, but thats because they don't sell hardware, so they only get the negatives of dual inventory, not the profits.

      --
      I still have more fans than freaks. WTF is wrong with you people?
    2. Re:Pick A Winner by bommai · · Score: 1

      Most studios only support one or the other format. Only Universal is HD-DVD only. So, if most movies are available in BD-ROM, then I don't think HD-DVD will win. Also, Netflix is already advertising both HD-DVD and BD-ROM.

    3. Re:Pick A Winner by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm guessing Blockbuster will pick Blu-ray. Then they can stock both movies and games (for the PS3).

    4. Re:Pick A Winner by JDevers · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Even better, wait until the second gen (they will still be FAR from mainstream) and Wal-Mart will start stocking them. They more than likely will only stock one, and that will be the defacto winner. Not just because a lot of people buy consumer electronics at WM, but also because they will more than likely not stock movies in the other format. A huge mass of people will not even know that another standard EXISTS.

    5. Re:Pick A Winner by AuMatar · · Score: 1

      I'm not sure about most studios (other than Sony Pictures) choosing one or the other. They may be supporting one early, but it either shows any market penetration, they'll start putting it out. The two formats have equal DRM, so they don't really care which format people buy. But yeah, I'd be very surprised if any rental company doesn't carry both- it'd be cheaper and easier to only carry one, but not cheaper enough to offset lost sales.

      --
      I still have more fans than freaks. WTF is wrong with you people?
    6. Re:Pick A Winner by csplinter · · Score: 1

      Your ignoring the audiences that will buy both the HD-DVD and BlueRay version of the same movie

    7. Re:Pick A Winner by fermion · · Score: 1
      If best buy is going to pick a machne, they will pick the machine that they get paid extra to sell. Thinking that anyone would sell on the basis of quality is like thinking that best buy reviews the music and movies and only puts the highest quality on prominant display.

      Netflix and blockbuster will choose on the basis of what machines are sold. It does them no good to stock something if only four people have the machine. When the PS3 begins to sell, and blockbuster starts renting the games, it would make sense for them to have the choose the PS3 movies as well. Unless MS gets behind HD 100%, HD is going to have a hard row to hoe.

      --
      "She's a scientist and a lesbian. She's not going to let it slide." Orphan Black
    8. Re:Pick A Winner by dalerb · · Score: 2, Informative

      Netflix already stocks HD-DVD and Blu-Ray discs. You just tell them which format your system supports, and if a movie in your queue is available in that format, that's the disc that will be shipped to you. (Go the the Help Center and search on the keyword "blu-ray".)

    9. Re:Pick A Winner by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's in BlockBuster's and NetFlix's best interests that Blu-Ray wins the format war for the simple reason that the discs are less prone to scratching, which means their inventory will have a longer shelf life.

    10. Re:Pick A Winner by shawngarringer · · Score: 1
      Wal-Mart already carries HD-DVD player online ( http://www.walmart.com/catalog/product.do?product_ id=4790609 ) and the disks are for sale in 2 of the 3 stores within 5 minutes of me. I'd say HD-DVD is off to a good start.

    11. Re:Pick A Winner by xornor · · Score: 1

      You mean retarded people? That's probably ok, retarded people can't afford HD-DVD or BD-ROM.

    12. Re:Pick A Winner by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually I can see Netflix having an interest in seeing an ongoing stalemate: their vastly larger, centralized inventory gives them a relative advantage over local video rental shops, such as the corner Blockbuster. If it gives them a relative advantage, it could help gain market share from the local shops.

      And even local video rental shops may benefit from a stalemate: if there is no clear winner, consumers may be less willing to shell out $20 to own an HD or BR disc, and more inclined to keep renting them until a clear winner emerges. If that takes a few years, that could translate to a few extra years of renting videos.

  13. HD-DVD Target Demographic...Is Where? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Interesting

    The only places HD-DVD are even mentioned anymore are Xbox 360 sites and a few tech sites like this one trying to generate hits in portraying some sort of 'format battle' with BluRay.

    The battle was fought last year. HD-DVD lost badly. The studios have rallied around BluRay. As 1080p TVs fall into the sub-1000 dollar range over the next year there will be a battle between people sticking with the old DVD format. And then life will move on with BluRay until the next standard comes about a few years later.

    1. Re:HD-DVD Target Demographic...Is Where? by ScaryFroMan · · Score: 1

      It's not the studios that matter. It's the customers that matter. Whatever people buy is what's going to win. It just needs to gain enough momentum to get the rest of the studios to jump ship from the other one.

      --
      In Soviet Russia, backwards is everything.
    2. Re:HD-DVD Target Demographic...Is Where? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Interesting? This is more like flamebait. Early reviews are NOT in blu-rays favor. They're using mpeg2 on 25 gig discs (20 gig if some reports are to be believed). Meanwhile HD-DVD is using the far more efficient VC-1 codec on 30 gig discs and the reviewers are much in favor of it early on.

    3. Re:HD-DVD Target Demographic...Is Where? by dfghjk · · Score: 1

      What? HD-DVD lost badly? sub-$1000 1080p TV's? DVD obsolete? BluRay replaced in a few years?

      What are you smoking?

    4. Re:HD-DVD Target Demographic...Is Where? by FSWKU · · Score: 1
      What? HD-DVD lost badly? sub-$1000 1080p TV's? DVD obsolete? BluRay replaced in a few years?

      What are you smoking?

      He's smoking the Blu-Ray crackpipe, of course (this can be used interchangeably with "Sony's Cock")

      Yeah, go ahead and mod me down for that one. But you know someone would have said it eventually...
      --
      "So after all this, you make my case for me. To end this stalemate, you must die..."
  14. Yes, that's correct. by Silent+sound · · Score: 2, Informative

    Predatory pricing is only illegal when it is done to acquire or sustain a monopoly. Toshiba is in no way a legal monopoly, whereas Microsoft is a monopoly and has been legally declared such in court.

    It's kind of like how owning a gun is only illegal when a convicted felon does it. Do you complain about the injustice there?

    Like a gun, it's not predatory pricing itself that's illegal. It's what you do with the predatory pricing that's illegal. Toshiba is in this case not doing anything anything in their action of selling HD-DVD players below cost which qualifies as illegal.

  15. So... by auron_prophecy · · Score: 1

    Exactly what is this a repeat of? Place your votes now! 1. Greedy attempted monopoly verse Greedy attempted monopoly 2. A company actually wanting the end user to get a great product at such a low cost the company itself will lose money on the item. 3. The first wave of Top Level Anti Sony Stop Blue Ray at All Cost Rebels 3. All of the above.

  16. Why would Toshiba do this? by rolfwind · · Score: 2, Informative
    I don't find the rationale. By the time they win, it means the prices will be under $299/199 anyway. They are losing $200 per unit now to make $50 tops per unit later? They'd have to sell 6x as many units then to make it back as profit.

    Since I don't follow Blu-ray vs HD-DVD too closely, is Toshiba the only manufacturer of HD-DVD? What is their incentive for marketshare in this area?

    From the article:
    "It's unusual to find this level of subsidization outside of the video-game console and mobile-phone markets," said Chris Crotty, iSuppli's senior analyst covering the consumer electronics segment.


    I heard that video game consoles being loss leaders was an urban legend, perhaps due to faulty analysis. The companies, especially Nintendo, break even pretty much at time of launch. Or may take a slight loss but nothing like $200 per unit.
    1. Re:Why would Toshiba do this? by jpardey · · Score: 1

      They don't want to lose momentum to Blu-ray. If they can kill off the competitors, it is well worth it. If Blu-Ray takes off, then all the money in prototypes, R&D, promotion, etc is wasted. Even if they don't win totally, they still will make more out of it than they would if HD-DVD dies entirely.

      --
      I have freaks! I did something right...
    2. Re:Why would Toshiba do this? by greg1104 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I heard that video game consoles being loss leaders was an urban legend, perhaps due to faulty analysis.

      This article is an ad for iSuppli Corp and their teardown services. Having read their similar analysis of the XBox 360 and iMac Core Duo, I'm underwhelmed with everything that's come out of them. There's a lot of estimates based on the general going rate for buying things, but I don't see any reason to believe iSuppli has real insight into the part pricing scale a company like Toshiba receives on their purchases. For all we know, Intel is selling them CPUs "at a loss" relative to the going rate for some business purpose none of us have insight into. There's all kinds of deals like that going on behind the scenes of flashy tech stuff, where products are sometimes paid for out of company's advertising budgets rather than their operating ones. What you can be sure of is that none of those companies are worried about keeping iSuppli up to date on how that effects retail pricing.

    3. Re:Why would Toshiba do this? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      What is Toshiba's incentive? Patents. The patent licenses for any technology format that gets a foothold in the mass market are *incredibly* lucrative. Every replicator who makes a DVD today has to pay a fee to patent licensing pools that cover the technology used. Likewise, every replicator who makes an HD DVD today has to pay a fee to license patents held by HD DVD godfathers NEC and Toshiba, and every replicator who makes a Blu-ray Disc has to pay a fee to a consortium that includes Sony and Pioneer, among others. (Or at least they will when all the various issues of patent ownership are settled to The Industry's satisfaction.) Too lazy to look this all up right now, but check out MPEG LA (www.mpegla.com) as an example of a big-time licensor of patents in this arena.

      Patents on CD technology were worth millions (billions?) to Sony and Philips for a long time. They finally ran out in the late 1990s, but up until then everyone who made a CD anywhere in the world had to pay Sony and Philips for the privilege.

      This is also, incidentally, why we have another format war. The stalemate between the two competing formats that eventually became DVD was broken behind the scenes when the companies involved came up with a last-minute compromise that preserved patents from both of the two warring camps in one design. That allowed DVD to launch as a single unified format. Unfortunately, there was no way to reconcile the dramatically different architecture of the Blu-ray Disc with the HD DVD.

    4. Re:Why would Toshiba do this? by jizmonkey · · Score: 1
      If you think iSuppli does a bad job of tear-down you'll need more than idle speculation about how they could be wrong to prove it. (Especially when your argument is, "How do we know it's Toshiba and not Intel that's taking a loss on the CPU?" Please...)

      They actually do a pretty credible job (which is why they stay in business), as opposed to the Merrill Lynch "analyses" that come out every so often with numbers pulled totally out of their asses that don't even cover all the parts. I do recall that iSuppli accounts for monopsony power for things like the flash in the iPods, although I'm not going to claim to be any more than a casual reader of their public reports.

      --
      With great power comes great fan noise.
  17. Wow. Deep thinker. by Dun+Malg · · Score: 2, Funny
    Also, this particular analyst concludes that Blu-ray and HD-DVD will "not be a repeat of VHS vs. Beta" and that a stalemate is the likely outcome."

    Wow, such insight. Given that the reason we had to "choose sides" before was that VHS and Beta were analog systems and were physically incompatible, I don't understand why anyone with half a brain would compare it with this. It seems downright obvious that what we're probably going to end up with is combination HD-DVD and Blu-Ray players. Evidence DVD[-RAM|-R|+R] drives. The only argument left is whose obnoxious DRM is going to ruin the party.

    --
    If a job's not worth doing, it's not worth doing right.
    1. Re:Wow. Deep thinker. by MoxFulder · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Also, this particular analyst concludes that Blu-ray and HD-DVD will "not be a repeat of VHS vs. Beta" and that a stalemate is the likely outcome.

      Yeah, that's just retarded :-) Basically they're saying:

      "History be damned! No one will win *this* format war. The merits of these products are similar, and these things are always won on technological merit."

  18. Odd by aachrisg · · Score: 1

    They cost the optical drive at $200. There are multiple hard-drive or network-based devices available right now, capable of playing HD video that can be bought at retail for substantially less than the manufacturing cost of the toshiba player, after adding $200 for an hd-dvd optical drive. surprising that toshiba wasn't able to match this.

    1. Re:Odd by MHolmesIV · · Score: 1

      You're forgetting that _all_ those devices can do is play a single Hi-def stream. HDDVD requires two simultaneous streams, and an interactivity layer. Also the chip they use for decoding h.264 and VC1 are most certainly not in your sub $200 HD players.

    2. Re:Odd by aachrisg · · Score: 1

      You can buy players for $300-$400 that play back HD WMV9 (i.e. VC1) and H.264 (i.e. mpeg4) with no problem. Two simultaneous streams seem like a probelm though. Though I guess they must be two separate half-bitrate streams, so maybe no problem anyway.

    3. Re:Odd by Wesley+Felter · · Score: 1

      You can buy players for $300-$400 that play back HD WMV9 (i.e. VC1) and H.264 (i.e. mpeg4) with no problem.

      Er, name them. I've been looking for such a box for a long time with no luck.

    4. Re:Odd by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's all the goofy videogame shit they threw into the spec for no good reason.

  19. Wow. Brute force approach. by vadim_t · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Specs: P4, 1GB RAM, 256MB Flash, 32MB MirrorBit Flash. And apparently runs Red Hat.

    Is that overkill or what? Sounds like they don't have all the decoding hardware ready, so they went with that. Otherwise, all decoding could be done on a specifically designed chip, not needing anything as powerful as a P4, and I don't really see what they want that much RAM for. The flash size can probably fit the required parts of the OS without any trimming. Either that, or they've got lots of graphics there.

    1. Re:Wow. Brute force approach. by Danga · · Score: 1

      I don't really see what they want that much RAM for.

      My guess is to cache A LOT of the video in RAM since it will have to be software decoded and it would be quicker that way. There most likely will be a buffer of decoded video as well that is stored in RAM. It still seems like a lot of RAM but it may be necessary for the hack job they put together.

      --
      Hey, there is only one Return and it's not of the King, it's of the Jedi.
  20. Sears HD-DVD by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

    Sears has HD-DVD players for $500. Honestly not that bad, except my DVD player is fine. When I opened the drive, it looked like a DVD. Said it was HD-DVD of course....but the videos playing were Mpeg4 (Mpeg4 on DVD likely).

    Unfortunately Sony is taking too long to deploy Blu-Ray. I seriously think the lesser technology is going to win (once again).

    1. Re:Sears HD-DVD by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What do you mean? It's already been deployed. Early reports are that blu-ray quality sucks. They're using the ancient mpeg2 format on a smaller disc capacity than HD-DVD which uses an mpeg4 based format. HD-DVD discs are dual layered and 30 gig while Blu-Ray are single layered at 25 gig with people saying the early ones are actually only 20 gig. Blu-Ray is in a helluva lot of trouble nonetheless.

    2. Re:Sears HD-DVD by thestappa · · Score: 1

      I don't like this argument. HD-DVD has been out for maybe a month, Blu-ray is out right now so it's not like they are 2 years behind or something. I don't think Blu-ray is late as much as HD-DVD is early. I think that because of all the problems I have read about the players having. Tells me they rushed it.

  21. What argument is there against a Blu-Ray win? by SuperKendall · · Score: 4, Interesting

    What I have not seen so far is any kind of convincing argument that explains why the combination of a Blu-Ray drive in every PS3 along with higher capacities does not mean pretty much an automatic win for Blu-Ray.

    Yes the PS3 is expensive. Put that aside for a second, does anyone doubt that millions will sell in the US alone within months of the launch? That then in turn is a few million consumers that will be able to play Blu-Ray media, and you know Sony is not going to pass up a chance to push Blu-Ray along with the PS3 including some Blu-Ray media in the PS3 box.

    Contrast that against the still very expensive Toshiba player, and less than thirty HD titles. How long will it take to even get 100k units sold?

    Studios would seem to agree with this assesment as there are more studios backing Blu-Ray than HD-DVD.

    On the computer front for storage alone, why would you buy an HD-DVD burner when Blu-Ray discs hold more data, and the blank discs themselves seem to be cheaper (in a Slashdot study of Japanese HD media a few months back the HD-DVD 20GB media was more expensive than Blu-Ray 25GB media).

    I can't see personally how the situation looks anything like a stalemate. It looks like a rout in the making. Would HD-DVD even be around if Microsoft was not still backing it? And would HD-DVD even still be pushed by Microsfot if it was not for HD-DVD using Microsofts own menuing system for movies (for which they would of course collect licencing fees), not to mention Blu-Ray using a menuing system based on a form of Java? Microsoft seems to be backing HD-DVD more out of hubris than anything else.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    1. Re:What argument is there against a Blu-Ray win? by Keeper · · Score: 1

      * People buy a PS3 to play games first and play movies second.
      * Content matters more than format (both in the quality of titles available and the quality of video/audio on said titles)
      * You don't need 25gb to store a hi-def movie using next-gen codecs
      * Toshiba has sold every HD-DVD player that they've brought out over here
      * Commitments from studios matter less than the content actually made available
      * There is no "20gb" HD-DVD disc
      * 2-layer HD-DVD burners are available (30gb), while only single layer bluray burners are available (25gb)
      * Microsoft gets money from both bluray and HD-DVD (their codec is in both standards); they're backing HD-DVD because it has more consumer friendly features than blu-ray (including a mandatory managed copy requirement), is less expensive, and has a better upgrade scenario (HD-DVD on one side, DVD on the other side). To me, these are good reasons to choose HD-DVD over bluray, if I were in a position to care about either format (I don't plan to purchase either in the next 5 years).

    2. Re:What argument is there against a Blu-Ray win? by MHolmesIV · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I don't think 100K units is even remotely a problem.
      If you'll look at the released Blu-ray movies, you'll note that somehow they mostly have fewer features on them than their supposedly smaller DVD counterparts. The released HDDVD's on the other hand, all have at least the same amount, and some of them have movie length added features.

      How could this be? with Blu-ray's huge storage advantage? For that, you need to look closer at what they've actually managed to ship.
      Shipping: HDDVD - 30GB dual layer discs. VC1 and H.264 encoded movies (at about 18Mb). Leaving about 10-15GB free for added features.
      Shipping: Blu-Ray - 25GB single layer discs (They _still_ can't replicate dual layer discs with any meaningful yields) with Mpeg2 encoded movies (at about 25Mb). Leaving only 2-3GB free for specials.

      Even aside from their lackluster video quality inherent in high bandwidth MPEG2, and that Sony has told studios not to use BD-J until at least next year, and that the Samsung player states clearly in it's manual that it cannot play dual layer discs, some people still continue to insist that somehow blu-ray is a better format.

      When you compare it to titles that have embedded video special features, something blu-ray can't do at all. And picture quality that just can't be beat by Mpeg2, you can see why the format hasn't died, even with less support currently (it'll come). Of course, it can't hurt that the studios are getting huge amounts of support and help from Microsoft and Toshiba, while Sony, being Sony is giving them the usual cold shoulder.

    3. Re:What argument is there against a Blu-Ray win? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      does anyone doubt that millions will sell in the US alone within months of the launch?

      Yes. Notice how your whole argument collapses when the PS3 fails miserably? Microsoft has a comparative system that will be 50% cheaper than PS3 when it releases. Very few parents will buy their kids a $600 PS3 for Xmas when the high end Xbox360 costs $300 and has many more games to choose from. The number of adults who buy a PS3 for a cheap Bluray player will be close to the number of adults who bought a PS2 for a cheap DVD player. That number is pretty close to zero. PS3 is a gaming system that will sit in kids bedrooms connected to their crappy non-HD TVs. PS3 will be a success in Japan due to Japanese xenophobia.

    4. Re:What argument is there against a Blu-Ray win? by Jeremy+Erwin · · Score: 1

      and that the Samsung player states clearly in it's manual that it cannot play dual layer discs
      Won't you please quote the relevant section?

    5. Re:What argument is there against a Blu-Ray win? by thestappa · · Score: 1

      I agree. By December of this year there will be 2 million blu-ray players in homes accross the world. Probably somewhere around 500k-750k alone in the US. HD-DVD will not have those kinds of numbers for a long time. By this time next year we will probably be getting close to 10 million PS3's sold. I say this under the premis that Sony has 2mil ready to go at launch and keeps the 2mil a month production schedule.

    6. Re:What argument is there against a Blu-Ray win? by Keeper · · Score: 1

      I suspect the GP is misinterpreting "sides" of a disc for "layers".

      http://downloadcenter.samsung.com/content/UM/20060 6/20060605081322171_P1000_XAA_BK_0602.pdf

      Page 8 of the English manual, in the "Disc Type and Characteristics" section, you'll find a list of disc types the player supports.

      In the first row, support for BD-ROM, BD-RE, and BD-R is listed for "AUDIO+VIDEO", with the disc shape listed as "Single sided".

      In the DVD-VIDEO row, you'll see 4 entries:
      * Single sided (5 inches)
      * Double sided (5 inches)
      * Single sided (3 1/2 inches)
      * Double sided (3 1/2 inches)

    7. Re:What argument is there against a Blu-Ray win? by Keeper · · Score: 1

      The "high end" xbox360 costs $400. The "core" sells for $300.

    8. Re:What argument is there against a Blu-Ray win? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why is it every MS fanboy claims xenophobia? It's like half of the argument. On the PC front, when it's Windows VS Linux, MS fanboys always try to claim that "people just hate Microsoft!" You know (novel concept here, mind you), sometimes people actually have reasons for doing the things they do!

    9. Re:What argument is there against a Blu-Ray win? by evilviper · · Score: 1
      Even aside from their lackluster video quality inherent in high bandwidth MPEG2,

      This is just patently untrue. VC-1 and H.264 don't magically add details you can't see in MPEG-2, or anything of the sort. MPEG-2 will look just as good as newer codecs, as long as you increase the bitrate to compensate. And with 25GB discs, you've got enough space for much-better-than-broadcast-HDTV MPEG-2 video.

      If there's an issue, I suspect it's the audio codec. The Blu-ray case I saw advertised uncompressed multi-channel PCM audio, which would waste a great deal of space, for no advantage over losslessly compressed audio. Plus they're throwing in every other audio track they can find, high-bitrate DTS encoded, every foreign language track they have, in as many channels as possible, etc.

      The rest of your complaints simply seem to be an issue of time. HD-DVD is further along than Blu-ray, and so is slightly ahead at introduction time (though Blu-ray has far more potential than HD-DVD).

      The technology hardly worries me, though. They're both perfectly adequate for what they do, and fairly homogenous. The only question is: who's discs will be cheaper? Whoever gets down to $15 first may well take over, if the other format doesn't match their move immediately.
      --
      Slashdot gets worse every day... Pipedot: News for nerds, without the corporate slant
  22. Toshiba has decided to Win the War by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 3, Insightful

    While Sony, by cramming a $500 to $600 PS3 down our throats, has decided to lose the war.

    It's that simple.

    Look, the major revenue is not the players themselves - it's the licenses for the patents from the manufacturers, the license fees from the people cranking out the discs (HD-DVD or Blu-Ray), the license fees from the music, the movies, the motion ...

    You get the drift.

    You can either play to win - or you can lose and look good doing so.

    --
    -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
  23. Stalemate? by necro81 · · Score: 1
    From the summary:

    Also, this particular analyst concludes that Blu-ray and HD-DVD will "not be a repeat of VHS vs. Beta" and that a stalemate is the likely outcome."


    Stalemate my ass! There can be only one! On the other hand, none of those films have been released in HD-DVD or Blu-Ray yet.
    1. Re:Stalemate? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      On the other hand, none of those films have been released in HD-DVD or Blu-Ray yet.

      Thank God.

  24. Blu-Ray with PS3 by SuperKendall · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I'll probably be getting a PS3 and so will have a Blu-Ray player...

    Having had a taste of HD video (on Dish, which I eventually cancled due to repitition of content) I actually am looking forward to some movies in true HD. Even 720P looks so much nicer than even normal digital cable, you don't need to get a 1080p set for dramatic effect.

    I'm putting off buying the new Star Wars box set until a re-release in a higher definition format.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    1. Re:Blu-Ray with PS3 by rvw14 · · Score: 2, Funny

      I'm putting off buying the new Star Wars box set until a re-release in a higher definition format.

      You mean the version where neither Han, nor Greedo shoot and have a tickle fight instead?

  25. Does that mean sony is making a tidy profit? by Jherek+Carnelian · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Presuming that since HD-DVD and BLU-RAY are roughly equivalent products that players for each have roughly equivalent components does that mean Sony has a $300 profit - a 43% margin (minus whatever the middlemen skim off) on their $1000 BLU-RAY player?

  26. Usefulness by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

    While Sony, by cramming a $500 to $600 PS3 down our throats, has decided to lose the war.

    Except that $500 box can let me play Assassin's Creed, while the Toshiba box lets me see some 30 different HD titles most of which I have already seen.

    Not to mention that I get games with a wider range of textures and environements and content due to the increased storage offered. There is benefit to gamers beyond just beign able to watch movies in HD.

    Your thoughts that Sony has decided to loose the way by offering a box at the same price as the Toshiba player with a lot more functionality and that probably does not take 30 seconds to turn on strikes me as odd.

    Why again am I going to buy a standalone HD player in a market with two formats for the same price as a gaming system I know at least games will be produced on years to come?

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    1. Re:Usefulness by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Dude, for $500, I can play Red Steel and about 15 other games on the Wii, and ignore the format wars until I actually buy an HDTV that's big enough for me to care, in about three years when they'll be selling for $300 on sale. Including the Star Wars game coming out where you battle with light sabers as your Wii controller literally sounds like it is a lightsaber ... or a blaster ...

      Not everyone likes to spend more than $500 on a lark.

      [caveat - I liked the E3 demo so much, I sold my 400 shares of MSFT and bought 500 shares of Nintendo ADR]

      --
      -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
    2. Re:Usefulness by Keeper · · Score: 1

      Perhaps because you want a disc player with a user interface that isn't a pile of turd? Every built-into-a-console dvd player I've ever used has been a piece of junk and has had serious issues with video quality ...

    3. Re:Usefulness by Danga · · Score: 1

      Not to mention that I get games with a wider range of textures and environements and content due to the increased storage offered

      I highly doubt this will be an issue. A dual layer HD-DVD maxes out at 30GB which, yes, is 20 GB less than a dual layer Blu-Ray disc but I highly doubt any games will come close to using that much space with the majority of it taken up by textures and environment details. The only thing that I can think of that would be able to fill that space up rather quickly is HD video clips but if that is the case then remind me not to buy that game since I can't stand video cut scenes and prefer cut scenes that use the game engine. That would just be a worthless waste of space to fill it up with HD video.

      Why again am I going to buy a standalone HD player in a market with two formats for the same price as a gaming system I know at least games will be produced on years to come?

      I do agree with you here. I think most of the people interested in HD video will be somewhat younger and the type who like video games too so it makes sense that they would prefer to pick a system that can be used as both a movie player and game console. This is going to get interesting.

      --
      Hey, there is only one Return and it's not of the King, it's of the Jedi.
  27. The first one that can be copied by The_Sock · · Score: 1

    We all know the first one that can be copied, and that copy played on a player, will be the one that wins out. Pirating will get the players into peoples homes, then people will buy the HD-DVDs or Blu-Ray Discs. It's easy, put out a couple flicks without copy protection, make it so that blu-ray burner can burn them and they'll play, allow HD over component video, and lock everything down in a year when your format has been the winner for some time.

    --
    For a good time call www.sawkie.com
    1. Re:The first one that can be copied by Prof.Phreak · · Score: 1

      ...and lock everything down in a year when your format has been the winner for some time.

      That is so evil it might just work!

      --

      "If anything can go wrong, it will." - Murphy

  28. Good guess by SuperKendall · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Rather than go for market share now (which they can get later this year with the PS3) they have opted to get players into the hands of people for whom $500 or $1000 is not much of a difference, and make some profit in the meantime.

    I honestly cannot see Toshiba grabbing a lot more marketshare with a $500 player than Sony with a $1k player; Given how few titles are out at the moment both are impractical for the average (or even not so average) consumer.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
  29. Stillborn by wirehead_rick · · Score: 1

    Downrezzed analog connections + dynamic revokable viewing rights = dead and unusable technology.

    5 years from today people will say "They actually tried to make a high definition DVD format? What happened?"

    And just to prove my point, anyone of you remember DAT?

    I didn't think so.

    --
    -- Mean People Suck
    1. Re:Stillborn by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      I think a better example is the original DIVX systems, only much more expensive and with DRM.

      I think it is time to refer to regular DVD as "Open DVD" again, and call all current HD-DVD systems "Restricted DVD" or "Encumbered DVD" until a real high-definition DVD that only extends current DVD to higher resolutions is out.

      The most likely winner is the first player system to support higher quality, HD-quality encoding on some type of unencumbered data storage disc, probably as an option in addition to one of the other formats (kind of like DivX (not the one above) on some DVD players now). I'm predicting a "third way". Then, one way or another, people will transcode the Hollywood-supplied, fair-use-destroying DRM format to that other format (e.g., analog hole->computer->"third way" HD DVD). It will ultimately be business as usual for legitimate purchasers as well as the illegal operations. I'm predicting 2 years maximum before this starts to happen, maybe sooner. Either that, or Blu-ray and HD-DVD will be rejected by the consumer entirely, and the studios and manufacturers will realize their mistake and do something more reasonable, but I think the odds of that are low.

      What about the DCMA, you say? That's mainly a USA problem. It won't stop most of the rest of the world, and the attempts to propagate the legislation to other countries have been quite mixed (e.g., in many countries, even if the legislation is introduced in some form, it only applies if the act was illegal in the first place -- fair use is protected), and it will probably be too late.

    2. Re:Stillborn by snuf23 · · Score: 1

      Or does anyone remember DVDA (the audio disc format, not the pron)?
      The real question is - will the average consumer consider the increased resolution to be enough of an improvement to repurchase movies?
      DVDA as a format really only appeals to audiophiles with high quality equipment. The mass market consumer driven product competing with CD players turned out to be MP3 players - which produce lower quality audio. Convenience trumped quality.
      Initially HD-DVD and BluRay as well as HDTV are still priced on the high end. When the prices come down in two years will there be enough interest? I honestly can't see rebuying my DVD collection in high def. Maybe movies that have particularly good cinematography, but I don't think high definition will make Monty Python and the Holy Grail any funnier.

      --
      Sometimes my arms bend back.
    3. Re:Stillborn by dfghjk · · Score: 1

      I remember DAT. A very successful format in pro markets. No one bought it for their homes but not for any reasons you mentioned. CD's worked there.

    4. Re:Stillborn by zlogic · · Score: 1
      And just to prove my point, anyone of you remember DAT?

      I remember seeing DAT players in stores about 10-15 years ago. They were not entirely useless - when burnable CDs didn't exist or cost as much as your house (and computers were expensive, mp3 didn't exist and a 400Mb hard drive was considered enormous), DATs provided you with a way to record digital audio. They also lived their second life when Philips made car audio systems that read digital data recorded on a usual audio cassette.
  30. May not have region locking by SuperKendall · · Score: 2, Interesting

    There was a story some months ago about studios considering dropping region coding for both formats, but I've never seen a followup to see if that's the case.

    One nice thing for those in the US is that even with region coding on, for Blu-Ray Japan and the US are considered to be the same region. Great for games and just as good for anime.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
  31. One year of -$200 for 10+ years of +$50 by Optic7 · · Score: 1

    You can see how they can twist their accountant's arms with those figures, especially when you consider that they would shift much less units in that first -$200 year, than in each of the subsequent 10 years of +$50 due to slow early adoption rates.

  32. Wrong vendors by Alfred,+Lord+Tennyso · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Netflix and Blockbuster deal in discs, not players. Most of the movie studios will be bringing their films out in one format or the other, not both. HD-DVD has Universal; Blu-Ray has 20th Century Fox, MGM, and Sony Pictures. That means for many films, they'll have to stock one format or the other but not both, or not stock the hi-def at all. Which means overall, they have to support both formats, and it's up to their customers to have the right player if they want to see a movie from a studio aligned with one side or the other.

    Three are a few studios, notably Paramount and Warner, that are going to try to do both formats. There, Blockbuster and Netflix may have some say. Netflix has stated that they'll support both formats, but until the actual discs appear I don't know what that means. They're gonna hate buying three copies of movies (HD, Blu, regular DVD), but it sounds like that's what they're gonna do.

    1. Re:Wrong vendors by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The vendor that chooses the next format, more than (IMHO) any three other vendors together, will be Walmart. Right or wrong, their stock choices, should they choose a format, will greatly influence the outcome of this format war. If its anything format wars have taught us is that the ability to sell to the masses is more important than the quality of the media (laserdisc, anyone?).

  33. HD-DVD vs Blueray in the eyes of the public by glitchaesthetic · · Score: 1

    The public knows about HD. HD is very popular amongst the public. High definition video is the main selling point of next-gen discs such as HD-DVD and Blueray. Therefore, HD-DVD is going to win.

  34. Don't Confuse /.'rs with Videophile Early Adopters by bossvader · · Score: 5, Interesting
    I love the ./'rs that say I wont touch it until this that or the other...and/or I am just happy with Plain ole Upconverted DVDs....

    All that proves is that you are NOT a Videophile and are certainly NOT a Audio/Videophile early adopter. The fact is Stores are having a hard time Keeping the Toshiba HD-DVD's on the shelf. People are buying them, and the price support is is helping that I am sure, the price is not too bad the PQ is awesome and they do a heck of a job upconverting. And us Videophiles DO care about SD vs HD. I can't certainly tell and enjoy the difference in PQ betwee SD and HD on my fine display.

  35. Consider the implications of your statements by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

    * People buy a PS3 to play games first and play movies second.

    Agreed. Let's say only 5% of pS3 buyers actually buy Blu-Ray media out of the gate, with 3 million units sold. (a figure I think is terribly underestimated).

    That's still 150k people buying Blu-Ray media!

    Now the other side of the coin you are not thinking of is POTENTIAL market. Marking is all about "what is the size of the potential market I can reach". It's not considering how many PS3 owners are actually buying Blu-Ray discs so much as how many Blu-Ray owners there are total that might be convinced to buy Blu-Ray media. Why would you market to 100k people (or much less depending on how Toshiba sales go) when you have a market of millions you can reach?

    * Content matters more than format (both in the quality of titles available and the quality of video/audio on said titles)

    That is also very true and why the large majority of studio support for Blu-Ray is part of the equation I listed for success.

    * You don't need 25gb to store a hi-def movie using next-gen codecs

    You are not thinking of the many extras that might be included, like many two disc sets collapsing for one - very appealing for those that rent movies as there is no longer a second disc they'll never see.

    * Toshiba has sold every HD-DVD player that they've brought out over here

    Easy in an early market when you have low production rates. There are always early adoptors that will buy in at any price with any number of problems, whcih is why the $1k Sony Blu-Ray player should move pretty well too.

    * Commitments from studios matter less than the content actually made available

    Yes that's true, currently a similar number of titles are avialiable or out very soon for both formats but we'll see what happens later in the year. With more studios behind Blu-Ray we should also see more discs.

    * There is no "20gb" HD-DVD disc
    * 2-layer HD-DVD burners are available (30gb), while only single layer bluray burners are available (25gb)

    Thanks for the correction, not sure where I got the 20GB figure from. Burners are also still too expensive at the moment to really matter but will matter more once costs drop. With Blu-Ray drives being in Every PS3 I believe we'll see unit cost on Blu-Ray players and burners drop faster than with HD-DVD units.

    * Microsoft gets money from both bluray and HD-DVD (their codec is in both standards);

    Yes but they get much more money from HD-DVD because again, the menuing system is licenced from them. That means money for every disc sold vs. every player sold - Microsoft only gets per disc income off discs that actually use the MS codec.

    they're backing HD-DVD because it has more consumer friendly features than blu-ray (including a mandatory managed copy requirement)

    That same requirement is in the Blu-Ray spec. There is absolutley no difference in consumer features, or in codecs supported (as noted even Microsoft's codec is in both players) - heck, they both use AACS for content protection! Note the Toshiba player does not yet support managed copy as studios don't knwo how much freedom they want to allow there. I personally expect managed copy to never come to be on either format thanks to studio paranoia.

    , is less expensive

    What is less expensive? HD-DVD and Blu-Ray discs are selling for the same price on Amazon. As we all know movie prices are totally unrelated to media costs anyway. As noted blank HD-DVD discs cost more than blank Blu-Ray discs.

    The players? The Toshiba is $500, just as the base PS3 will be $500. Anything over $300 or so is kind of the same in terms of marketshare potential.

    , and has a better upgrade scenario (HD-DVD on one side, DVD on the other side).

    We'll see combo players in a few years that do both. I don't see any better upgrade potential with HD-DVD but there is potentially more storage to be had out of Blu-Ray eventually.

    To me, these

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    1. Re:Consider the implications of your statements by Keeper · · Score: 1

      Now the other side of the coin you are not thinking of is POTENTIAL market

      If that were the only factor, UMDs would have taken off.

      You are not thinking of the many extras that might be included, like many two disc sets collapsing for one - very appealing for those that rent movies as there is no longer a second disc they'll never see.

      I don't think you have much of a sense for how much space a hi-def movie requires with next gen codecs; a standard def dvd that normally takes 6gb can be shrunk to 2gb. Hi-def content contains 6x as much data. If you assume that the size of the compressed file increases linearly with the amount of data (which would be a worse case) you're looking at 12gb for a hi-def movie.

      Easy in an early market when you have low production rates. There are always early adoptors that will buy in at any price with any number of problems, whcih is why the $1k Sony Blu-Ray player should move pretty well too.

      I fail to see how that translates to a lack of demand for hd-dvd.

      That is also very true and why the large majority of studio support for Blu-Ray is part of the equation I listed for success.

      Both formats have a good array of major studios on the "supporting" list.

      With Blu-Ray drives being in Every PS3 I believe we'll see unit cost on Blu-Ray players and burners drop faster than with HD-DVD units.

      If Sony were the sole supplier of bluray components, that might be a reasonable supposition.

      Yes but they get much more money from HD-DVD because again, the menuing system is licenced from them. That means money for every disc sold vs. every player sold - Microsoft only gets per disc income off discs that actually use the MS codec.

      "much more"? I doubt it, though if you have any hard details I'd be interested in seeing them. iHD was developed by a group of companies including Microsoft, Disney, and the DVD Forum.

      Regarding codecs, Microsoft gets a piece of the pie for every player sold. Every HD-DVD and BluRay player must obtain a license for VC1 codec, otherwise they aren't compliant players. I do not believe Microsoft gets per disc income, though they do receive income from the authoring tools used to create VC1 content.

      That same requirement is in the Blu-Ray spec.

      Managed copy is a feature provided by AACS, which is used for content protection by both hd-dvd and bluray. The "bit" which enables that functionality is optional on blu-ray discs. It is mandatory on hd-dvd discs.

      What is less expensive? HD-DVD and Blu-Ray discs are selling for the same price on Amazon. As we all know movie prices are totally unrelated to media costs anyway. As noted blank HD-DVD discs cost more than blank Blu-Ray discs.

      The technology required to produce HD-DVD discs and players is less expensive than bluray discs and players. How various companies choose to set retail prices is another story. If the retail prices are the same, companies producing HD-DVD related products are pulling in more money than companies producing bluray products.

      We'll see combo players in a few years that do both.

      It was my understanding that the bluray license explicitely prohibits manufactures from producing a combo bluray+hddvd player. At least that's the reason a Samsung rep gave for the cancellation of their combo player.

      I don't see any better upgrade potential with HD-DVD but

      It allows you to continue purchasing dvd's and have an instant library of hi-def content when you finally purchase a hi-def player.

      but there is potentially more storage to be had out of Blu-Ray eventually.

      The storage isn't necessary for movies.

      So you are claiming HD-DVD is a better buy, but are not actually going to buy a player or media.

      I'm saying from my perspective, if I had to make a purchase, that's the one I'd be looking at. In much the same manner that I'd purchase a Ferrari F430 before getting a Lambo Giardo.

      over a format with theoretical advantages which no-one actually buys!

      I find it hard to justify making such a statement when the manufacturer of said product can't produce enough to keep up with demand.

    2. Re:Consider the implications of your statements by FatherOfONe · · Score: 1

      "If that were the only factor, UMDs would have taken off."

      Unfair comparision. The PSP has sold in the 100k range, yet there will be 6 MILLION PS3's out by next March. The parents post was dead on. In my opinion and most other reasonable people the war is over, and the only issue is "if" downloadable content will make a dent in blu ray.

      "I don't think you have much of a sense for how much space a hi-def movie requires with next gen codecs; a standard def dvd that normally takes 6gb can be shrunk to 2gb. Hi-def content contains 6x as much data. If you assume that the size of the compressed file increases linearly with the amount of data (which would be a worse case) you're looking at 12gb for a hi-def movie.

      So what you are saying is that you will need to compress and degrade the signal more on HD-DVD. Yep we agree. In short Blue Ray can hold at min 5GB more on single layer. 5GB is 5GB, spin it as you want to, but that is like adding another DVD in storage.

      As far as Microsoft goes. Again, as the parent poster mentioned it all comes down to Java. They don't and will never control Java. They hate that. We can argue all day about how much money they get on HD-DVD vs Blu-Ray, but they get control of one format and that isn't Blu-Ray. Not to mention that Blu-Ray gets Java in the living room. That has to scare the crap out of Microsoft.

      It allows you to continue purchasing dvd's and have an instant library of hi-def content when you finally purchase a hi-def player.

      Yeah and the less than 100k people that bought a HD-DVD player didn't have a DVD player also? This is a very small issue. However, your statement is incorrect. There is already a DVD,BluRay burner out there. So this "advantage" isn't there.

      the storage isn't necessary for movies.

      Then again it could be. More storage means less compression. Less compression most of the time means better quality.

      'm saying from my perspective, if I had to make a purchase, that's the one I'd be looking at. In much the same manner that I'd purchase a Ferrari F430 before getting a Lambo Giardo.

      Lets change the analogy a bit. One car is expensive and it run on Disel. The other car is not going to be out for a few months later and it runs on regular gas. Unfortunately this second car is going to initially cost more than the first, but a company is going to release an SUV that also runs on gas and over 100X the people that would buy either car will buy the SUV over the next two years. The market will see this and support gas over disel.

      The war is over BluRay won. You may not like it, but the content providers have spoken, all but one hardware company has spoken, and come November 4 million people will speak.

      You have to admit that it is funny that Microsoft is bitching about Sony bundling a PS3 with BluRay just to have it be the dominate player. Pot meet kettle

      --
      The more I learn about science, the more my faith in God increases.
    3. Re:Consider the implications of your statements by Keeper · · Score: 1

      Unfair comparision. The PSP has sold in the 100k range, yet there will be 6 MILLION PS3's out by next March.

      You might want to doublecheck those sales figures. The PSP hit 10 million units LAST OCTOBER ( http://www.megagames.com/news/html/console/pspsale sfiguresreleased.shtml ). It is a perfectly fair comparison.

      So what you are saying is that you will need to compress and degrade the signal more on HD-DVD.

      Stop putting words in my mouth. I'm saying that, unless you consider DVD video "degraded", that you don't need 25gb of space to store a movie using a next gen codec. If you're using mpeg2 for all your release titles (see current shipping bluray titles) you actually need 24-36gb of storage space (you may also note many reviews complaining about poor quality of the encode and lack of extras on those discs).

      You'll find that the bitrate of the encoded video will be large enough to fill the entire disc, regardless of capacity. With bluray, you're going to see mostly single layer discs holding 25gb of data, with hd-dvd you're going to see mostly dual layer discs holding 30gb of data.

      In short Blue Ray can hold at min 5GB more on single layer.

      Good grief, can you get any facts straight? It's a 10gb difference per layer.

      HD-DVD currently has a 5gb advantage over bluray as they still haven't figured out how to punch out dual layer bluray discs in large quantities.

      As far as Microsoft goes. Again, as the parent poster mentioned it all comes down to Java. They don't and will never control Java. They hate that. We can argue all day about how much money they get on HD-DVD vs Blu-Ray, but they get control of one format and that isn't Blu-Ray. Not to mention that Blu-Ray gets Java in the living room. That has to scare the crap out of Microsoft.

      So your counter to a reasoned well thought out arguement is "Microsoft is teh evil no likey Java". The bozo hat is coming out in a minute here. Microsoft couldn't give a shit about Java on bluray. Java is, for all intensive purposes, dead on Windows, which is the only place it was ever a threat to them. Get over it.

      Yeah and the less than 100k people that bought a HD-DVD player didn't have a DVD player also? This is a very small issue. However, your statement is incorrect. There is already a DVD,BluRay burner out there. So this "advantage" isn't there.

      Were you born stupid or were you dropped on your head as a child? I, as a person currently owning a DVD player, and as a person NOT owning an HD-DVD player, like the thought of buying HD-DVD discs NOW, and playing them in my DVD player NOW. In 4 years, I'd like to be able to take those VERY SAME DISCS, stick them in an HD-DVD player, and watch them in their hi-def glory.

      And wtf does this have to do with a combo dvd/bluray burner?

      Then again it could be. More storage means less compression. Less compression most of the time means better quality.

      You need exponentially more storage to achieve noticable quality improvements. A 10kb jpeg looks noticably better than a 1kb jpg. A 100kb jpeb looks noticably better than a 10kb jpeg. A 1mb jpeg looks noticably better than a 100kb jpeg. Etc. In this case, you would need a 500gb disc to achieve significant quality gains. An additional 20gb isn't enough to yield noticable differences in quality, and that's assuming of course studios even put out discs in that size.

      Lets change the analogy a bit. One car is expensive and it run on Disel. The other car is not going to be out for a few months later and it runs on regular gas. Unfortunately this second car is going to initially cost more than the first, but a company is going to release an SUV that also runs on gas and over 100X the people that would buy either car will buy the SUV over the next two years. The market will see this and support gas over disel.

      Your analogy doesn

  36. Wait and See by rbrander · · Score: 4, Insightful

    My decision was already made the other day, courtesy of Slashdot's story on the first 3 Blu-Ray offerings, of which "50 First Dates" was given as the reason to go HD and see Adam Sandler's every pore. Clearly, these people are not SERIOUS about selling to any but the most fanatic Early Adopters.

    I can wait. Specifically, I can wait until they issue "Apocalypse Now" and other cinematographer's triumphs in 1080p and you can get a large 1080p TV and a player for it (that either plays the winning format, or both formats if the War is protracted) for a total under $1500.

    With DVDs, I note that one can currently get computers (MythTV, etc) that will ignore all the playing restrictions. Here's my "horror" story on that.

    I have a nice Pioneer DVR/DVD player (520H) that never met a DRM instruction it didn't obey slavishly. Not only will it not so much as record from a protected video tape, or tape made from DVD (that THAT, analogue hole) but it won't FFWD during the FBI warning or any of the corporate logos, or *ADS* if they choose to put that rule on their disc. The screen shows "That Operation is Forbidden by This Disc" when you hit the remote button repeatedly while waiting some minutes for your movie to actually start.

    The other day, I popped in a disk while some news was on, and it started loading. Just at that moment, major breaking news hit the TV channel...and the DVD screen started showing the FBI warning. Frantically, I hit the STOP, then the EJECT buttons on the remote. But no, even those just got "That Operation is Forbidden By This Disc". Nothing could make it stop showing the FBI Warning and go back to the TV feed.

    On discs with trailers and ads you can't skip, I've learned to pop in the disc and walk away from the TV for several minutes, because I get so mad if I stay. It's so great to put DVDs in my computer upstairs, where Kaffiene cheerfully skips all that crap and goes right to the movie I paid for, when I hit "go to Menu".

    Maybe the computer world will defeat the DRM on an HD disk enough so that I can be the one to say what the computer is forbidden and allowed to do; that would make me opt in to this new technology, too.

    But for a couple of years, I'm just going to wait and see. See DVDs. With a Linux media-computer that puts me in charge of my own damn living room.

    1. Re:Wait and See by seanadams.com · · Score: 2, Funny

      or tape made from DVD (that THAT, analogue hole) but it

      I believe that that "that" was not that that you intended.

    2. Re:Wait and See by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Check out the opinions of the first BD disks at the AV Science forums. People are uniformly saying that the BD disks are disappointing to awful. It seems that Sony bodged the transfers or something and that they end up looking worse than a good quality up converted DVD.

      I haven't read a post by anyone saying any BluRay disk looks good or even acceptable. Compare that to HD DVD which had some very favorable reviews.

    3. Re:Wait and See by occam · · Score: 1

      It's a little pricey entry level, but I believe you would _love_ a Kaleidescape. It's basically an expandable hard drive based movie and music player, that has a rare blend of high tech wizardry and wizbang fun to use interface. That's really pretty incredible considering it's a niche product. I just heard they're about to update the interface with a radical redesign to improve it.

      Anyway, you can skip FBI warnings, and even splice favorite parts of movies to make a favorites collection using Kaleidescape, among many other things. Unfortunately, it's very powerful and you pay for it ( $5+K I think).

      GLuck.

    4. Re:Wait and See by rbrander · · Score: 1

      Yes, I meant "take THAT", sorry.

      It's not Blu-Ray that's bad, as many posters on that thread pointed out, HD-DVD and Blu-Ray use the same digital file format. The only reason to choose between them is:

      1) higher cost on blu-ray (-)
      2) higher storage on blu-ray (+)
      3) supposedly blu-ray discs harder to scratch. (+)

      Kaleidescape sounds nice, but $5K is ludicrous. You can also do all that with a MythTV box that can be assembled for a quarter that price.

  37. what a crock of shit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    the posters of that article should goto jail for fraud.

    dylan mcgrath is a one eyed sock puppet, and the whole site looks like astro turf now.

    oh sure toshiba is LOSING money so that you can get a new dvd faster.

    ask why would the do this? to get teh standard adopted faster? why they dont own any media companies. would sone do this? no. they would rather let the format die than to give someoen a good deal.

    this gets really fasle when these costs are based on "estimates" why would anyone want to read about some asshole guessing what things cost? newflash: companies do not pay etail for parts, they get things for cheaper than you or i could make them. unless toshibla proveides hard numbers on what they paid, we will enver know, and even then they are probably lying.

    slashdot should really stop posting this kind of shit about how good a new hd player is because it ONLY costs 499 instead of the usual 1000. this is a joke right? dvd players have been ~20 bucks for a long time, who the fuck is gonna buy the extra special super duper model at 25x the price. is it 25x resolution.

    the cat is out of the bag, everyone knows that if a dvd player can be sold profitably for 20 bucks, so can hd dvd and blu ray. and as for the kindnees of a company to help with these costs this is a new form of the most perversive advertising that can be. these are paper losses only--at best. if toshiba really wants to be kind and have their format win, they better start giving these things away like chocolate santas at chritmass, the way cell phone companies do.

    more than ever people are asking whats in it for me? a vauge paper trail that basically comes out like this "well we've never done this before, but the boss has just agreed to knock 200 dollars of the price of that dvd player" just doesnt cut it. if anything it is non existent sales, and the growing layer of dust in the warehouse that has prompted toshiba to take action. note to marketing idiots; there are fewer suckers with money these days, you have already bled most of them dry. you better lower the price to ~20 bucks and fast, before your format starts to look like a loser format, cuz when that happens you wont be able to even give them away.

    1. Re:what a crock of shit by Jeremy+Erwin · · Score: 1

      the posters of that article should goto jail for fraud.

      Hmm. Robert Mugabe, is that you?

      dylan mcgrath is a one eyed sock puppet, and the whole site looks like astro turf now.

      That, sir certainly looks like a fraudulent statement. Perhaps even libelous. Would you like to go to jail?

      ask why would the do this? to get teh standard adopted faster? why they dont own any media companies. would sone do this? no. they would rather let the format die than to give someoen a good deal.

      Toshiba owns many patents on HD-DVD. If the win the format war, they'll make back their initial, ahem, investment, through royalties.

      slashdot should really stop posting this kind of shit about how good a new hd player is because it ONLY costs 499 instead of the usual 1000. this is a joke right? dvd players have been ~20 bucks for a long time, who the fuck is gonna buy the extra special super duper model at 25x the price. is it 25x resolution.

      Would you care to comment on the quality of your $20 player? Is it bug free? Does it need to be jiggled? Does it produce images that even approach film's clarity?

      the cat is out of the bag, everyone knows that if a dvd player can be sold profitably for 20 bucks, so can hd dvd and blu ray. and as for the kindnees of a company to help with these costs this is a new form of the most perversive advertising that can be. these are paper losses only--at best. if toshiba really wants to be kind and have their format win, they better start giving these things away like chocolate santas at chritmass, the way cell phone companies do.

      Mmm, cliched imagery...

      more than ever people are asking whats in it for me? a vauge paper trail that basically comes out like this "well we've never done this before, but the boss has just agreed to knock 200 dollars of the price of that dvd player" just doesnt cut it. if anything it is non existent sales, and the growing layer of dust in the warehouse that has prompted toshiba to take action. note to marketing idiots; there are fewer suckers with money these days, you have already bled most of them dry. you better lower the price to ~20 bucks and fast, before your format starts to look like a loser format, cuz when that happens you wont be able to even give them away.

      MEMO
      To: Marketing
      From: Da Boss

      DIVX may have a future. Certain postings on slashdot have persuaded me that there exists a class of marks ^H^H^H^H^H who believe that the cellular model-- i.e. provide a free phone in return for 24 monthly payments of $39.95-- may be applicable to the DVD market. Given a subsidized player, there may be a market for one time playable discs.

    2. Re:what a crock of shit by WuphonsReach · · Score: 1

      Would you care to comment on the quality of your $20 player? Is it bug free? Does it need to be jiggled? Does it produce images that even approach film's clarity?

      You missed the chance to remind the troll that the first DVD players were $500-$600. (I think I paid a bit over $300 for my first one.)

      $500 for a first generation, early-adopter, gotta-have-the-latest-shiny isn't a bad price point. It's not worth it to me (value) but folks with more disposable income (or less sense) then the rest of us probably think it's a good deal.

      --
      Wolde you bothe eate your cake, and have your cake?
  38. No stalemate by arazor · · Score: 1

    One of these formats will fade away as will regular DVD. My idea is that Hollywood wants stronger and better DRM (for them not us lowly users) which both Blu-Ray and HD DVD have so for that reason alone one of these formats will succeed because they will eventually stop supporting regular DVDs which have been for the most part totally cracked.

  39. No, Stalemate means consumers WIN by RareButSeriousSideEf · · Score: 2, Informative

    Unless the DRM situation with these things changes drastically (for the better, that is), I wish them both death by a thousand stalemates.

    Even if that comes to pass, don't bet on the big players seeing DRM as a major factor in the formats' demise. However, if they watch a boatload of R&D capital go down the drain while outlets of unencumbered content (e.g. mp3tunes.com and emusic.com) gain market share, who knows - perhaps a light could go on somewhere, or perhaps a foundation or open consortium could spawn an *open* storage format & device / communication spec that DRM-bent interests don't control.

    The funding obstacle to this is monumental to be sure, but the most likely way to put a stake in DRM would probably be for an open standard for HDTV devices (storage, communication, playback) to gain traction in consumer devices. Sure, they wouldn't work with HDCP / 5C content, but that's the point. A third of the commercial devices won't interoperate either, given the bugginess of so many implementations. Utopia would be to see something like an EFF branded HD PVR, with open licensed blueprints allowing free manufacture thereupon on the condition that no DRM of any kind be enabled.

    1. Re:No, Stalemate means consumers WIN by Dare+nMc · · Score: 1
      Unless the DRM situation with these things changes drastically (for the better, that is), I wish them both death by a thousand stalemates.

      Is it safe to assume that these players can play non-DRM formated HD movies? In that case the only problem is the MPAA monopoly that will only sell DRM'd movies, ie a non-hardware issue.

      You should be able to download a HD movie from a torrent, and record it to a HD disk, correct? I am guessing you will have to pay-up a second license for a license to encode a disk, that sucks, but thats not DRM right, thats the copyright problem instead.

      I hope someone comes out with a DIVX player with a blue-ray drive. so I can put my entire DIVX movie collection on 5 or 6 Disks. I would be willing to pay $35 for the media, since about 40 hours of DVD quality movies would fit on each. The recorder would need to be under a $1000 before my employer would buy one that I could borrow though.
  40. Got to say by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What ever happened to the anti dumping laws? It used to be against the law to sell below costs. Before some one points out something obvious but inherently wrong, no dumping isn't good for consumers it's bad for them because it's designed to kill the competion and the one with deep pockets always wins. The early adopters may save a few bucks but the end goal is to grab market share so they can control the market. Sadly for some reason the better of the two products generally looses these wars. Everything from NTSC to Beta have been cases of the best coming in second. I'm not 100% sure at this point which is superior but I hate to see corporate dumping deciding instead of the superior product winning out.

    1. Re:Got to say by KitesWorld · · Score: 1

      Dumping is illegal, Loss headers aren't. There's a difference between the two, and you might want to look into them. :P Oh, and so far as Betamax went, the reason Betamax players were more expensive than VCRs were the licensing fees that Sony was charging. It's great to have a superior product, but if your licensing is too expensive or two picky, then you ultimately hurt that product by reducing the potential market for it.

  41. Doing the Math by Moebius+Tripp · · Score: 1

    The reason for the urgency of getting these formats out the door is the reality that they are exactly like DVDs, an intermediate technology with a relatively short life expectancy. As such, it is far better to evaluate the real impact on the market in comparison to alternatives that are available or on the horizon. The question is one of cost. Let us assume the player to be a fixed cost you are willing to bear. This is, after all for an early adopter needing to lead the market. On-going cost of the media itself from what have been able to analyze of approximate file size vs. stated sale price is about $1.25 to $1.40 per gigabyte. (~25GB at a cost of $30+) This price is justified for a product that offers 50% greater resolution (480p vs 720p, note the player will not handle 1080p!)and no HD sound. Compare this to the cost of a hard drive at ~$.35 per gigabyte. I have faith in the market to bring me a better product to my HTPC via bit torrent or some other emerging net technology. This would have been a pitifull attempt by media companies to keep us in a hard copy, easily controllable, DRM locked environment had not Sony taken that one extra step of greedy they have shown in the past and needed to control the format exclusively. What has resulted, as others have said, is a stalemate. The difference is, it simply won't matter since the whole issue will be bypassed by better, more customer friendly technology.

    1. Re:Doing the Math by dfghjk · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Not sure where you get your math, but 720p has 3x the pixel count of 480p, not 1.5x. Furthermore, NTSC DVD is not 480p but rather 480i. 1080i, which the HD-DVD does do, has 6.75x the pixel count of NTSC DVD. Then there's the matter of what equipment is used to produce the content, but why you would choose a lower resolution mode to compare format resolutions I have no idea. Additionally, exactly what is HD sound (wrt video) and do you expect it to be included in your bittorrent downloads? Is current AC3/DTS inadequate or are you just counting bits?

      It's nice that you believe "the market" will deliver a better product to your HTPC but what is "the market" you refer to? Content owners or bootleggers? The motion picture industry wants to sell you DRM'ed discs, not free downloads to your PC.

      Another thing, assuming you pay for the disc OR the download, one benefit of the disc is it ADDS 25GB (in your example) to the capacity of your playback system. With the download, you pay perhaps 1/4 the cost for the HD space as you do for the disc, but the hard drive is not archival media, the download costs of your internet connection aren't included, and you still haven't paid for the movie. I guess your model makes sense if you intend to download for free via bittorrent/p2p, you have broadband, and the opportunity cost of tying up your connection is reasonable.

      Would you be willing to pay $1 per GB for the movie, $0.35 for the non-archival storage space, and a monthly fee for broadband? I'd rather buy the disc and rip it.

  42. Not worth it. Check it out at your local store... by Hamster+Lover · · Score: 2, Informative

    HD-DVD/Blu-ray is just not worth it in my opinion. I have a 50" Sony HDTV and an upconverting DVD player and I am very pleased with the picture. I was at an electronics store watching The Last Samurai on a good sized TV for nearly twenty minutes before a salesman asked me what I thought of the new HD-DVD format. I was completely underwhelmed and didn't even realize I was watching an HD version of the film until the salesman told me. With players that cost C$700 and movies that are over C$35 each it just doesn't make economic sense to me.

    I think both HD-DVD and Blu-ray are a bust.

  43. Hundres of dollars of UI by SuperKendall · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Perhaps because you want a disc player with a user interface that isn't a pile of turd? Every built-into-a-console dvd player I've ever used has been a piece of junk and has had serious issues with video quality ...

    Yes that would be nice, but I can live with a somewhat poorer interface for a savings of hundreds of dollars. I would like a blu-ray or HD-DVD player but I simply cannot justify a standalone unit, while I can justify a Blu-Ray and game console together (especially one that can replace an aging PS2 and also play new games).

    I actually used the PS2 as my only DVD player for about a year before standalone players dropped to the point I was willing to buy one. It was not actually that bad to use after buying the remote.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    1. Re:Hundres of dollars of UI by Keeper · · Score: 2, Insightful

      That's terrific, for you. But not everyone is satisfied with that sort of solution. Which explains why someone would choose a standalone player over a PS3.

    2. Re:Hundres of dollars of UI by Mark+Maughan · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      My PS2 is my only DVD player. (other than my computers) I know alot of people like that. The new slim PS2 even has progressive DVD output.

      I think you are weird.

    3. Re:Hundres of dollars of UI by Keeper · · Score: 1

      I know a lot of people who don't use their PS2 as their only DVD player. I think you're wierd. So where does that leave us, wierdo? :p

  44. NEC drives in Toshiba players? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I've heard, second hand, that some Toshiba HD DVD players actually have NEC drives in them - does this make sense?

  45. Wii looks great as well by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

    I'll proabbly also get a Wii as that expereince looks pretty unqiue as well.

    But once you've seen real HD video on a good screen... well it's worth some bother. And there's nothing wrong with wanting a system with as unique games as the Wii will have along with a system built for sheer graphical power like the PS3.

    $500 is not a lark if you plan to use the system for many years. It's a carefully considered gaming upgrade.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
  46. The one after by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

    No the HD boxed set after where they bundle the Tickle-Me-Greedo version with the orignal to force you to buy both at an inflated cost.

    Or perhaps that will be after the 3-D versions are released in HD... (not kidding).

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
  47. More to game video that cut-scenes by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

    I highly doubt this will be an issue. A dual layer HD-DVD maxes out at 30GB which, yes, is 20 GB less than a dual layer Blu-Ray disc but I highly doubt any games will come close to using that much space with the majority of it taken up by textures and environment details. The only thing that I can think of that would be able to fill that space up rather quickly is HD video clips but if that is the case then remind me not to buy that game since I can't stand video cut scenes and prefer cut scenes that use the game engine. That would just be a worthless waste of space to fill it up with HD video.

    I generally don't like games with a lot of cut-scenes either (or at least prefer in-game cut scenes to preserve continuity of story) but there is one use of video I'm pretty excited about, which is extras.

    Here I am thinking of game making-of videos just like you have special features with movies today. I already have a few DVD's like that that came with extended/limited editions of some games and generally I really find them interesting. I would also be really interested to see games that included "commentary audio" that would be environmentally triggered to have the game director talk about a given moment in the game.

    However all of that is sort of a moot point to argue about in relation to gaming because Microsoft has said no games will be delivered on HD-DVD. Since there are no other game systems even considering an HD-DVD player the argument is more over DVD space for games verses Blu-Ray space for games.

    I do actually think Microsoft will relent however and be forced by studios to support HD-DVD games eventually, and they've backpedaled a bit by saying the could release system updates as required at any time. But at that point (say in about a year) Microsoft may sense a sea change in support and release a 360 with Blu-Ray support (which they have explictly never precluded!).

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
  48. How accurate are their numbers? by kesuki · · Score: 2, Informative

    they seem to be listing the full retail cost for the memory module. Why would toshiba be paying retail price on anything in the unit? wouldn't they be buying wholesale? if all their numbers are off, that's up to a 30% inaccurate estimate for the price of the parts. which takes away most of the 'so called loss lead per unit'

    anyways, they could be taking a loss per unit, but i am really skeptical about the numbers being given in the parent article.

  49. Not always logical... by bossvader · · Score: 1
    No Troll...Serious...

    To respond to you..

    I would add don't confuse logic with passion and hobby, it may not be the logical thing to you...

    but for me and some of my friends with this relatively inexpensive player and a Netflix account I am enjoying my passion and the fruits of HD NOW not 2 years from now, and now is important to me, and the DRM (which I agree is evil/messed up) is not really an issue untill I plan to record/burn etc, and/or run HTPC (no plans right now), so DRM issues are really just a theoretical issue to me at the present. Plus I and other videophiles often just plain ole buy our favorites and or record HD on our DVRs (not as good agreed). So although I am interested in the outcome of HD vs BD and the DRM saga, I am not going to not enjoy what I can now, I will replace the $400 player with a multiplayer when needed.

  50. Quality argument is moot, and you got it wrong too by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

    It's silly to argue about video quality of the two systems when both support the same codecs (Blu-Ray also supports MP4, it just doesn't happen to be the standard movies on that format are mostly going to arrive in). Also people generally really do not care as much about the upper bounds of quality, as witnessed by the acceptance of MP3 and similar formats. Do you think most people are really going to tell the difference between an MPEG-2 and MPEG-4 feed if both are displayed at 1080p? No they are not.

    As for the disc yields yes HD-DVD is a little further along in the release cycle but that means nothing compared to the number of players that are coming. By the time the PS3 is out dual-layer yields will improve and so will content of discs. It simply means I wouldn't by Blu-Ray discs quite yet but then that's true of both systems since it's early in the release cycle for both.

    Also you make the tragic mistake of juding a whole formats video quality based on specific transfers - sure the Fifth Element does not look quite as good as it could (although we have no HD-DVD version to say if that would in fact look any better). But remember that 50 first dates in fact got a thumbs up for video quality so it shows good video is quite possible and not a format limitation. In fact the slightly lower quality transfers you mentioned are hinted at by your own point about dual layer discs not yet being delivered. So just as we ave fifty different DVD versions of the Fifth Element so to shall we see a few passes at the Blu-Ray version. Similarily it's pretty silly to point to reviews of good HD-DVD transfers without a comparison Blu-Ray version of the same movie.

    I'm also not quitre sure where you get the idea Blu-Ray cannot do embedded video as it is quite posisble using the BD-J system (I am curious why you did not provide a link about that being delayed).

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
  51. Wait a sec - your "space advantage" is nil! by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

    I just did a little further reading on blu-ray/hd-dvd movies out today and came across this:

    First Movie Titles and Disc Capacity.
    In a recent column, I observed how much disc space was utilized by eight HD DVD titles. Even though all eight titles relied on the latest video codecs--VC-1 and MPEG-4 AVC, both of which are more efficient encoders than MPEG-2--most of the titles showed signs of pushing HD DVD's capacity limits. The Last Samurai topped out at 27.3GB, Mel Brooks's Blazing Saddles at 25.4GB, The Phantom of the Opera at 24.8GB, Jarhead at 24.7GB, The Bourne Identity at 22.7GB, Serenity at 19.6GB, The Fugitive at 18.2GB, and Doom at 16.5GB. It seems that the first wave of Blu-ray titles are also pushing the space constraints of the format. For now, these titles are limited to 25GB single-layer discs; 50GB dual-layer discs are forthcoming, though. Using Sony's new Vaio AR Premium, a $3500 notebook that includes a Blu-ray Disc burner, I checked out how much disc space Sony's first seven Blu-ray titles (encoded in MPEG-2, and many of them light on extra features) required. The results of this survey were quite telling: The Fifth Element needed 22.8GB; The Terminator, 23GB; House of Flying Daggers, 23.1GB; xXx, 22.3GB; Hitch, 22.9GB; Underworld Evolution, 22.5GB; 50 First Dates, 18.8GB.
    My one takeaway from this random survey of both Blu-ray and HD DVD titles: The physical disc format's capacity is going to be more integral to the future presentation of content than perhaps Hollywood, or even industry observers, originally anticipated.


    So the HD-DVD movies are almost out of space as it is and there seems to be no space savings at all in using MP4 over MP2. And it seems that space is at more of a premium than we had thought, with Blu-Ray having a distinct edge once dual layer discs arrive.

    Also, I could not find any reference to the Samsung player not supporting dual-layer Blu-Ray discs, just that it shouldn't read DVD+ media (though apparently it actually does) and that most launch discs with single layer. Care to point out the review you read that from?

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    1. Re:Wait a sec - your "space advantage" is nil! by Keeper · · Score: 2, Interesting

      So the HD-DVD movies are almost out of space as it is and there seems to be no space savings at all in using MP4 over MP2. And it seems that space is at more of a premium than we had thought, with Blu-Ray having a distinct edge once dual layer discs arrive.

      You're ignoring a few critical details: bitrate and quality.

      If you take a 6gb dvd encoded with mpeg2, you can encode it at the same quality using 2gb of space.

      I could encode a bluray movie in 2gb, but it would look like crap. It in no way means that the new codecs are somehow yielding poorer results than mpeg2. Given two files of equal size, one encoded with mpeg4 or vc1, and one encoded with mpeg2, the mpeg4/vc1 file will be closer to the source material than the mpeg2 file.

      The logical response to your observation is that the final size of the encoded video is being dictated by the total amount of content provided on the disc, not by the amount of space available.

    2. Re:Wait a sec - your "space advantage" is nil! by Abcd1234 · · Score: 1

      Well this is just silly. If I'm creating an HD-DVD disc, I'm going to choose encoding options so that I can get the highest quality possible. So, for HD-DVDs with little extra content, I'll probably choose a higher bitrate, and vice versa. Either way, the ultimate goal will be to use as much of the available disc space as possible, otherwise it's just wasted.

    3. Re:Wait a sec - your "space advantage" is nil! by LordVader717 · · Score: 1

      I don't know about the details of the release and support of double layer Bluray discs, but I've heard talk about triple-layer HDDVD coming soon, pushing it to 45 GB.

      I've heard of research into 4-layer BD-discs, but the question is whether it will ever be released.

      As far as movies go, as you can see, the best current format of 1080p fits comfortably on both discs, and the quality problems are with film transfers and compression codecs.

      More space would only be needed when a new HD-video format comes out, and by then Bluray will be ancient technology.

  52. Plain Old DVD Is Just Fine By Me... by twos · · Score: 1

    Gawd I just got a DVD player that can play Xvid and anything else I can throw at it. I torrent, I burn, I watch. What in the hell do I need and thing else for?

    --
    Phear The Phat Penguin
    1. Re:Plain Old DVD Is Just Fine By Me... by Jackie_Chan_Fan · · Score: 1

      I have this dvd player as well. It is very nice but it does not play all divx.

  53. Re:Quality argument is moot, and you got it wrong by MHolmesIV · · Score: 1

    I, like many consumers, don't _care_ what a system can possibly do. I care about what it does do. So far, Sony is requiring all titles on blu-ray to be released in MPEG2. Even Warner, who we know has VC1 encodes of their movies, because they're released on HDDVD, will be forced to do a MPEG2 encode for the blu-ray version. Why this is I don't know, since the Broadcom chip on the Samsung is quite capable of decoding VC1 and H.264 in real time. If I were a guessing man, I'd be betting it's because they're having trouble getting their H.264 codec performant on the PS3.

    And yes, while it's not strictly kosher comparing different movies picture quality, those reviews were all done by the same person, and he's clearly happier with the PQ on the HDDVD movies. Until Warner starts releasing their movies on Blu-Ray (Which for some reason they haven't done yet, how strange, and even stranger, they have about 20% of the titles planned for blu-ray as they do for HDDVD) we won't be able to do side-by-side comparisons.

    BD-J has not been delayed as such. Studios have just been told not to use it. I know this because I've worked with places doing authoring for both titles. You'll note (or, you won't because nobody seems to have noticed yet) that all the initial Blu-ray titles are BD-MV, which has no animation ability, and only simple menus over video possible.

    Also, I'd love to see an embedded java chip than can process video fast enough to provide a secondary video stream, since the Blu-ray spec has no mandatory second video codec, picture in picture is a pipe dream for them (No one will author to an optional spec component)

    Put it this way, the studios are not happy with the limitations and quality issues they are having to work with to get blu-ray discs out there. In the end, it's not the consumers that get to choose. Whichever format makes the most studios the happiest will win.

    Also it doesn't matter how much the dual layer yields increase if shipped players can't play them. Unless the Samsung somehow can upgrade itself to play double layer discs, it has become the lowest common denominator, and no discs will be released in dual layer until it can.

  54. Re:Don't Confuse /.'rs with Videophile Early Adopt by Tweekster · · Score: 2, Funny

    yep, they sold both copies of the one movie available.

    --
    The phrase "more better" is acceptable English. suck it grammar Nazis
  55. And how is DVD-Audio by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    How is that "uncracked DRM" working out for DVD-Audio?

    DVD-Audio, Minidisc, and HD-DRM are similar in two ways:
      - They are digital formats
      - You can't access the digits
      - the access restriction restricts adoption (and leads to format death hopefully)

  56. Royalties. by WoTG · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Toshiba has a lot of the IP behind HD DVD. They stand to get a few bucks from 10's of millions of (legally licensed) HD DVD player manufactured in the next decade -- but only if HD DVD wins.

    Loosing a few bucks on initial HD DVD shipments is chump change in comparison.

  57. Re:Don't Confuse /.'rs with Videophile Early Adopt by SaDan · · Score: 2, Insightful

    *golf clap*

    Bravo for being one of the schleps who's gotta have the latest toys. I, as a sensible consumer, appreciate the monetary sacrifice you've made so there's one less revision 1 piece of crap on the shelf at Best Buy.

    AVphiles don't go out and blow a wad of cash on unproven junk. They purchase well tested and well thought out hardware so they can enjoy their music/videos without having to worry about upgrading in the next three to six months. If you read anything about that Toshiba Blu-ray player, you'd know it's crap (doesn't even do 1080p).

    Thanks for playing.

  58. Chineese make crap remotes... by cheekyboy · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Why is it that all chineese designed stuff has CRAP remote controls.

    * crap looking designs, made by engineers that probably only have used remotes themselves in the last 5 years, not from 1985 when they were kids. Having
    that indirect experience of good/crap remotes help in design.
    * week IR power, why is it their remotes are so damn week, needing 30deg field or 5ft distance? Do they use crap LEDs or bad software reading it?
    Are their test clients living in closets? Common, get with it, even in 1990 we had sony remotes working at every angle from 30 feet.
    * crap battery covers, that break the clips or come loose. Get a clue designers

    Spend the $40k and get someone in germany to design it. Not your 12 year old 'wizz kid' for $12 and 9 kilos of rice and a PS2

    --
    Liberty freedom are no1, not dicks in suits.
    1. Re:Chineese make crap remotes... by ketamine-bp · · Score: 1

      you may have seen a lot of chinese things which are made cheap and sold cheap.
      these companies listed below has quite a bit of things made well and sold cheap.

      http://www.shanling.com/
      http://www.original-cd.com/
      http://www.zhaolu.com/

      compare these things with those made in europe at the same price level, try it! :)

  59. Re:Don't Confuse /.'rs with Videophile Early Adopt by bossvader · · Score: 1
    Excuse me did I offend your sense of /. pride. I'm glad that I don't meet you feeble definition of a "Sensible" consumer... hmmmm but I wonder if you will go out and by that $500 PS3?

    You obvioubly didn't read my post... I can tell/appreciate the difference in PQ maybe you can't... or its not important

    Why don't you visit avsforum and do a little reading before you say what avfiles do and don't do...

    By the way we are talking about the Toshiba HD-DVD player not a BD Player...

    Oh 1080p is really only useful for large displays viewed within a certain distance, and for most consumers its hype / overkill but of course you know already know that...

    And yes I can spend $400 dollars of disposable income...yes dis-pos-a-ble... as in I can spend it if I want to.... and feel good about it...for me the 400 dollars is no different than what other "Sensible" people go out and spend on there iPods, Treo, Game Consoles etc

    And Yes your are welcome, that I spent my money and made a vote! instead of ineffectivly just whining!

    As to everyone having the HD vs BD thing figured out already, yeah right ...there is good and bad for both.

  60. Re:Don't Confuse /.'rs with Videophile Early Adopt by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    All that proves is that you are NOT a Videophile and are certainly NOT a Audio/Videophile early adopter.

    Ahem, SACD, DVD-A. I bet Audiophile early adopters hurried up to early adopt those, too. Does it matter for the market? Where are those SACDs and DVD-As in the stores? Sorry, but you (and I am an audiophile, too) are not a market big enough to decide, will it survive or it will be another still-born.

  61. Re:Don't Confuse /.'rs with Videophile Early Adopt by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Oh 1080p is really only useful for large displays viewed within a certain distance, and for most consumers its hype / overkill

    I thought you were speaking on behalf of videophiles, not most consumers.

    And you do realise that NOT spending money is also a vote, right?

  62. Incorrect by Nazmun · · Score: 1

    Both hd-dvd and blu-ray use a 405 nm laser which is in the violet/blueish part of the spectrum. I have no idea where you got the rest of your information from.

    Wiki that mentions hd-dvd's laser.
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/HD-DVD

    THe difference between the hd-dvd and blu-ray is not the laser itself but the structure of the disc. Blu-ray allows for more space per layer.

    --
    Hmmm... Pie...
  63. DON'T check out the local store by hockeynut66 · · Score: 1
    local store setups are crap - the westinghouse used for all HD-DVD displays i've seen is one of the poorer sets i've seen. they're also all uncalibrated.

    i've a well calibrated 60" lcd rptv, and i can say that hd-dvd's look stunning, even better than DVHS. DVDs do not cut it anymore. i've also seen an hd-dvd (last samurai in fact) projected at a local theater (about 500"), and it looked as good as film (1080i detractors should also get educated. with 24fps content you will see the exact same image with a 1080i player or a 1080p player. it's called inverse telecine, and TVs have been doing it for ages)

    (for reference, i have a denon 3910 upconverting player, one of the best, and i cannot bear to watch much on it anymore)

    1. Re:DON'T check out the local store by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      (for reference, i have a denon 3910 upconverting player, one of the best, and i cannot bear to watch much on it anymore)


      Exactly why I never wanted to be an audio/videophile. At what point did you cease being able to simply enjoy the movies?
  64. Re:Not worth it. Check it out at your local store. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    of course it looked like cr@p, local stores set it up horribly wrong on tv's incapable of truely resolving all 1920x1080 resolution. believe me, most hdtvs out there are not really fully capable of resolving the full resolution. dvd has 6 times less pixels, that you wouldn't be able to see the difference either means you are blind or the tv/setup is totally wrong. msot of the time these setups won't even bother to set it up on their best tv i bet, just attach it to whatever setup.

  65. I don't want optical media. by Killshot · · Score: 1

    CD's and DVD's take up space, get scratched, and you have to keep them organized.. if you have a large collection it's quite a pain in the ass. I would much rather just have enough bandwidth to have HD movies streamed to me and the ability to save them onto a hard drive.

  66. Re:Quality argument is moot, and you got it wrong by EnglishTim · · Score: 1

    If I were a guessing man, I'd be betting it's because they're having trouble getting their H.264 codec performant on the PS3.

    I'd say that's rather unlikely - I'm quite convinced that the Cell has more than enough grunt to do H.264 decoding.

    It would be interesting to know what the real reason is, though.

  67. SACD for the Playstation 3 by westlake · · Score: 1
    Ahem, SACD, DVD-A. Where are those SACDs and DVD-As in the stores?

    They are sold on-line, through outlets like Amazon.com and Music Direct. You may not have noticed, but SACD is part of the Official PS3 Specs

    Buy Sony's next-gen console, get HD audio and HD video play as a bonus. Works for me.

  68. Re:Not worth it. Check it out at your local store. by evilviper · · Score: 1
    I was completely underwhelmed and didn't even realize I was watching an HD version of the film until the salesman told me.

    If that's true (I don't believe it is) then you are quite simply blind... A problem the rest of the popluation doesn't have, so stop the anti-HD trolling already. And mods should stop giving these idiots points.
    --
    Slashdot gets worse every day... Pipedot: News for nerds, without the corporate slant
  69. Just say no by devious507 · · Score: 1

    Bah, stupid format wars, everyone should just say no and let the damned dual format stuff sit on the shelf and collect dust.

    I refuse to buy something that may or may not be obsolete in a year or two (anyone remember DivX, the pay for play DVD competitor?), glad I didn't buy one of those. The difference is this time there isn't a clear guage which one will win.

    The manufacturers need to grow up and embrase compatability; this goes for all technology companies, why do I need a fifty dollar cable from Motorolla or Kyocera for a cell phone, a mini-usb interface on the phone would have worked just fine, and fits nicly in small packages like phones and cameras.

  70. IC Cost by muckdog · · Score: 1

    Maybe they wouln't need half of those ICs driving up the price if it didn't have fscking DRM!

  71. Re:Don't Confuse /.'rs with Videophile Early Adopt by ClamIAm · · Score: 1

    I love the ./'rs that say I wont touch it until this that or the other [...] All that proves is that you are NOT a Videophile and are certainly NOT a Audio/Videophile early adopter.

    No. Audio/videophiles do not just value a higher-bandwidth signal. Some value things like the freedom to make backups, or the freedom to hook things up they way we want to. Macrovision on VCRs was bad enough.

  72. I'm wondering about the teardown analysis itself by alizard · · Score: 1
    Tearing apart a player, getting every part number off it, and pricing these parts in standard vendor catalogues isn't difficult, it's just tedious.

    However, it makes a big difference if the "per unit" cost is based on 1-100 , 1000-9999 , 10K-99K, or "ask for vendor quote" volume categories. The cost of producing that report would have gone up a hell of a lot if the analyst checked with the vendors on even the big-ticket ICs, let alone every part of the unit.

  73. Re:Don't Confuse /.'rs with Videophile Early Adopt by SaDan · · Score: 1

    Guess I hit a nerve there. Oh, well...

    No, won't be buying a PS3. Don't own a PS2 or PS1 either, I was playing PC games for the most part until I ditched Windows entirely.

    I read your post, and understand what you said. I've seen some real audiophile setups, and can appreciate the amount of disposable income one must dedicate to have a very, very nice audio system. The modifications to some of the homes I've been in are impressive enough without the equipment thrown in the mix.

    BTW, I was talking about the Blu-Ray player, not the HD-DVD player.

    1080p is only useful for large displays? And here you thought you were a videophile. I didn't know liking interlaced video was "in". Or do you prefer just watching 720p?

    I don't know where you got the idea that I was whining, I've been laughing pretty much the whole time I've been reading your posts.