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No Ceasefire in DVD Format Battle

haja writes "The BBC reports that the high definition DVD format war will continue until a winner is declared. There is no sign of the two camps working on a unified format. Some believe the industry at large is being damaged by the war due to consumer confusion. From the article: 'Backers of Blu-ray are bullish and are predicting victory. Blu-ray has more backing from film studios and more makers of the players, but HD-DVD has sold equally well in the first year of release. But the Blu-ray camp believes a library of exclusive titles and the power of PlayStation 3 - which has an in-built Blu-ray player - will see the format pull ahead in the next 12 months. Mike Dunn, president of worldwide home entertainment for 20th Century Fox, said: "I really believe the format war is in its final phase."'"

359 comments

  1. They Can Keep Battling it Out by neoform · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Consumers really don't care at this point.

    Seagate announces Hard Drives will be at 300TB in a few years, what do we even need these formats for? DRM? yaaaaay!

    --
    MABASPLOOM!
    1. Re:They Can Keep Battling it Out by noidentity · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I think it'll be a while until you buy your movies in the store on a dedicated hard drive. Until then, cheap plastic discs are viable.

    2. Re:They Can Keep Battling it Out by Lumpy · · Score: 3, Interesting

      As soon as segate announces that those hard drives will actually last 5+ years then that statement will be relevant.

      As of now hard drives life sucks horribly. At least my DVD's don't crash and take all the data with them like my last 3 Fujitsu, last 2 Western Digital, and last 4 Seagate drives.

      Every drive I have owned above 120gig capacity has not lasted more than 18 moths. this is with cooling fans to keep the insane temperatures down and REALLY GOOD power going to them.

      Hard drive longivity simply sucks right now to the point that I dont trust them to hold data safely for more than 3 months.

      --
      Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
    3. Re:They Can Keep Battling it Out by Bazar · · Score: 2, Informative

      For HD Movies we need another storage medium. Thats where blu-ray and HD-DVD come into play.
      Your not going to get any HD movies on your 300TB drives without them. And if i'm not mistaken, blu-rays didn't even allow you to copy the movies to your HD. That was the biggest reason why microsoft dropped support of blu-ray and shifted to HD-DVD. Because MS wanted people to be able to copy the movies to their HD, as its essential for their media center product lines.

      I'm personally hoping that HD-DVD pulls ahead however. Its slightly less restrictive with DRM then sony's blu-ray (hence the reason ms are supporting it)

      And lets not forget, the entire reason we have this stupid dvd format war, is because Sony pulled out of the HD-DVD consortium to make their own propriety disk format.

      --
      To avoid criticism; Say nothing, Do nothing, Be nothing.
    4. Re:They Can Keep Battling it Out by Mr.+Underbridge · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Seagate announces Hard Drives will be at 300TB in a few years, what do we even need these formats for? DRM? yaaaaay!

      Doesn't matter how big the hard drive is. How is that movie going to get from the publisher, to you, at full resolution, without a removable disk? As has been happening for decades, hard disk capacity is growing faster than communications bandwidth. So great, you can fit a bunch of movies on your hard drive. It'll still take you a day to download the movie. If only there were a way to get the information to you faster? Perhaps something small, and made of plastic...

    5. Re:They Can Keep Battling it Out by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Bluray != Sony, dumbass.. That's like saying HD = MS, also equally dumb. They're some of the players, not the ONLY ones, in both camps.

    6. Re:They Can Keep Battling it Out by Xugumad · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Do you run your PC 24/7? If so, I'd suggest you stop; while some people have strange ideas about hard drives dying faster if they have to spin down/up regularly, for consumer grade hard drives leaving them on is a lot worse for them. This came out back in the days of the IBM Deathstar drives, when IBM was going "But... you're not meant to keep your drives turned on all the time!".

      Oh, if you _do_ need them on all the time, look for something like the Western Digital Caviar special edition drives, which have a 3 year warranty, or SCSI drives, whose warranties go up to 5 years. Standard consumer drives come with a mere 1 year warranty, and there's a good reason why...

    7. Re:They Can Keep Battling it Out by JudicatorX · · Score: 1

      As of now hard drives life sucks horribly. At least my DVD's don't crash and take all the data with them like my last 3 Fujitsu, last 2 Western Digital, and last 4 Seagate drives.

      You mean like how the DVDs scratch? Or the foil surface on the back starts peeling off?

      If you're eating that many hard disks, you might want to invest in a better power supply and a few fans in strategic places.

      --
      "It is a good divine that follows his own instructions" - Portia, The Merchant of Venice
    8. Re:They Can Keep Battling it Out by aplusjimages · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Who says they have to be stored on our harddrives? Look at the xbox360 and what they are doing with TV shows. You can buy the show and store it on your 360 HDD if you want. If you delete it, then you can always download it later. I like the idea that my library is stored online. If my apartment burns down I don't lose it, if I move I don't have to move them, and I don't have to worry about the format war. And you don't have to wait that long to watch them because you can start playing the video after 2 minutes of downloading, so you're watching it as it downloads. Lets just hope they change their movie rental policy to movie purchase.

      Plus you also have other people doing the same, like Sonic Solutions and Apple. Downloadable content will end the HD format war or at least give them a hard slap to the face so that they will move to ending it.

      --
      Can I bum a sig?
    9. Re:They Can Keep Battling it Out by lonechicken · · Score: 1

      You mean like how the DVDs scratch? Or the foil surface on the back starts peeling off? Yeah, but then that's just one movie isn't it? A hard drive if used for the purpose of storing movies would be storing a bunch... and you could potentially lose all of them if the drive crashes.
    10. Re:They Can Keep Battling it Out by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's CDs that have the foil layer on the back of the disc; DVDs have it on the centre layer, so it's not going to "peel off", at least not due to external damage.

      And scratches can be repaired...

    11. Re:They Can Keep Battling it Out by somersault · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Why do I find it difficult to believe that Microsoft would adopt one format because it's 'less restrictive'? They'd probably be more likely to support HD DVD in an attempt to damage PS3 sales?

      --
      which is totally what she said
    12. Re:They Can Keep Battling it Out by neoform · · Score: 1

      Do you think connection speeds are going to remain at their current levels?

      Right now I've got a cable connection that can download at over 1MB/sec .. sure an HD movie might be big, but I could probably download it (buffered) in about an hour.. which is only slightly longer than if i went to the video store and rented it..

      --
      MABASPLOOM!
    13. Re:They Can Keep Battling it Out by Lumpy · · Score: 2, Interesting

      If you're eating that many hard disks, you might want to invest in a better power supply and a few fans in strategic places.

      you mean like I already mentioned in my original post? I have really REALLY good power and cooling on them. and they STILL fail simply because hard drives with capacities above 120Gig are unstable.

      Been there done that, consumer quality drives are really low grade.

      Also as others have mentioned... if I scratch a single DVD, I have a chance at recovering it and then I only lose 1 movie. If my Western digital does the typical "ka-thunk, ka-thunk" on startup EVERYTHING IS LOST because of an engineering flaw with their drives that has been there for almost 10 years now.

      Yes I can get SCSI U320 drives that will last, but nothing in the IDE arena is designed for any longevity. The manufacturers themselves tell us this with the incredibly short warranties.

      --
      Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
    14. Re:They Can Keep Battling it Out by neoform · · Score: 1

      I suppose backing up is out of the question for you?

      I double up all my hard drives specifically for backup/mirroring.

      --
      MABASPLOOM!
    15. Re:They Can Keep Battling it Out by JudicatorX · · Score: 1

      It must be.

      Rsync: it's the poor man's RAID.

      --
      "It is a good divine that follows his own instructions" - Portia, The Merchant of Venice
    16. Re:They Can Keep Battling it Out by JudicatorX · · Score: 2, Interesting

      How do you know your power is really good? Have you tested it? Spending a lot on a power supply is not a guarantee of good power. Might conceivably be your motherboard, too, but that's a long shot.

      I've got lots of counterexamples -- 3 emachines PCs, each about three years old, with 160 GB hardrives, cheapo power supplies and no fans besides the CPU heatsink one. All are running fine. My 2 x 250 Seagate drives at home have been running for close to a year and a half now and are fine.

      I hate to say it, but you must be doing something wrong. How many other people have this problem of hard drives magically dying every few months?

      --
      "It is a good divine that follows his own instructions" - Portia, The Merchant of Venice
    17. Re:They Can Keep Battling it Out by Warlock7 · · Score: 2, Funny

      Until then, buy the insurance and burn it down now so that you can replace all your existing DVDs on BD and HD-DVD! :)

    18. Re:They Can Keep Battling it Out by badasscat · · Score: 2, Informative

      This came out back in the days of the IBM Deathstar drives, when IBM was going "But... you're not meant to keep your drives turned on all the time!".

      Yeah, which they were rightly pilloried for. It's like a store that advertises itself as being open 24 hours... just not in a row.

      The fact is hard drives don't last very long. Or at least, you can't count on them lasting very long - you may get lucky, but most don't make it past ten years, and that's being generous. Meanwhile, none of my DVD's has failed yet or even shown any signs of anything, and I have some of the earliest ever DVD releases, which are ten years old now.

      Of course, HD-DVD and BD are totally different from DVD, and they may not prove to be as robust. But people said the same thing about DVD vs. CD and at least to this point, there seems to be no practical difference. Pressed (as opposed to burned) optical discs will probably always be more reliable than hard drives.

    19. Re:They Can Keep Battling it Out by Penguin's+Advocate · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I don't care much about DRM since 1) I don't buy many movies (not because I steal them, just because I have no interest) and 2) When I do buy movies, I put them in a player, and watch them, and that's it. I want blu-ray to win because it's technically superior. It can store more data, and is more scratch resistant. That's enough for me to support it.

      --
      Frag 'em all...
    20. Re:They Can Keep Battling it Out by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How is that movie going to get from the publisher, to you, at full resolution, without a removable disk?

      Bittorent. Why should that change?

    21. Re:They Can Keep Battling it Out by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      9 hard drives in half that many years - every one of them died and had to be replaced. Luckily only one died so hard I couldn't retrieve anything off of it using low level tools from a boot CD. 3 different cases and power supplies and motherboards. All on different UPS's (1 APC, 1 Belkin, 1 Noma). All of various capacities - two at 80 gig (Both Maxtor), four at 160 gig (WD, and Maxtor), one at 250 gig (WD), one at 300 gig (Maxtor), and one 500 gig just died on me on Saturday after only being in use less than 100 days (can you say at least it's in Warranty period). My house doesn't have odd or strange vibrations, I'm in a quiet suburban area with good power supplied with little fluctuation. All my drives are on 24x7x365 - one PC runs my Asterisk phone server, one PC is a media centre PC running MythTV, and the 3rd is my wife's desktop that she uses occasionally for gaming as well as to store her files on to access from her laptop, etc. Backing up files gets expensive and time consuming - I try to mirror everything between drives on different systems, but it still takes a while to copy 200-220 gigs of stuff around on the LAN. Give me a >300 gig hard drive that lasts like the WD Caviar 8 gig I bought in 1998. It's STILL running my firewall Linux box - 24x7x365 for almost 9 years.

    22. Re:They Can Keep Battling it Out by DRJlaw · · Score: 3, Informative

      Oh, if you _do_ need them on all the time, look for something like the Western Digital Caviar special edition drives, which have a 3 year warranty, or SCSI drives, whose warranties go up to 5 years. Standard consumer drives come with a mere 1 year warranty, and there's a good reason why...

      Source for the last statement?

      Seagate consumer drives come with a mere 5 year warranty, and there's something that directly refutes your point.

    23. Re:They Can Keep Battling it Out by apostrophesemicolon · · Score: 1

      you have to remember, in the US-not to mention the world- the last mile is still a problem.

      What's the percentage of users able to stream in DVD quality movies into their homes?
      and still if many of us get a fast broadband, do we have enough bandwidth to support the huge traffic?

    24. Re:They Can Keep Battling it Out by Daemonstar · · Score: 1

      That's why there are many backup solutions to choose from: tape, external HDD, backup server, CD-R, DVD-R, and disk imaging. With those you can do backups and archives however you need. Pick any one or any combination of those.

      If you can't afford a good backup solution, then I'd suggest doing some financial planning to save up for one; you'll have to deal with the lack of backups for now, but that's just the way things go.

      If you don't have a backup solution, then you either can't afford it right now (see previous sentence for solution) or you are saying your data is expendable.

      --
      I don't reply to Anonymous posts; if you have something to say to me, identify yourself or I won't reply.
    25. Re:They Can Keep Battling it Out by Khuffie · · Score: 1

      Doesn't the fact that you can set your computer to turn off the hard-drive after 30 minutse (or whatever you like) of inactivity negate that problem?

    26. Re:They Can Keep Battling it Out by Afrosheen · · Score: 1

      "And if i'm not mistaken, blu-rays didn't even allow you to copy the movies to your HD."

        You are mistaken. When the PS3 was first released, there was a little tiny hole in the Hypervisor that allowed people installing Linux on the PS3 to rip Blu-ray movies to the hard drive (with a small amount of effort). I think Sony may have patched this hole through a firmware update along the way, but it was possible for a while (if not currently possible).

    27. Re:They Can Keep Battling it Out by Mr.+Underbridge · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Do you think connection speeds are going to remain at their current levels? Right now I've got a cable connection that can download at over 1MB/sec .. sure an HD movie might be big, but I could probably download it (buffered) in about an hour.. which is only slightly longer than if i went to the video store and rented it..

      I think the size of crap people want to download will keep growing faster than connection speeds, as it has done for decades.

      An example: If an HD movie can't fit on a regular DVD, then we're talking about say, 10s of GB for the uncompressed movie. Even at your speeds, we're looking at quite a few hours to download a movie, assuming it comes through uncorrupted. My memories of multi-hour downloads from the BBS days are not good ones. Of course that brings higher compression levels into play, but that would completely defeat the purpose of watching an HD movie in the first place.

      Bottom line is people don't want to put up with that crap. And now there's Netflix to throw into the fray, so one need not actually go to the video store. For such reasons, I really don't see the plastic disc getting obviated by downloading anytime soon. Not to mention the inherent lack of trust in HDDs - if all you're going to do is back the movie up onto a disc anyway, why not just buy the disc in the first place and cut out the HDD middleman?

    28. Re:They Can Keep Battling it Out by Your+Pal+Dave · · Score: 1

      A TiVO's HD runs 24/7 and is in constant use (buffering whatever happens to be on live TV at the time). While I have replaced my tivo's HD a few times since it was bought in 2001, this was to increase capacity, not due to failure. There would be a lot of really pissed off DVR owners if HDs were as unreliable as you imply.

    29. Re:They Can Keep Battling it Out by twistedsymphony · · Score: 2, Informative

      Lets look at that...
      "Holds more data..." yes, per layer, however Current BRDs have 1 layer and just recently came out with dual-layer discs due to tremendous issues they had with the stability of the second layer, single layer discs are 25GB and dual layers are 50GB... there's speculation that they wont go beyond 2 layers due to the problems they experienced with getting to 2 layers, at least not in any reasonable amount of time.
      HD-DVD has been dual-layer from it's release which is 30GB (15GB per layer), before it's release they had a working prototype of 3-layer HD-DVDs capable of 45GB, speculated to be released late 2007. Well at CES they announced that later this year they'll have 3-layer HD-DVDs with 17GB per layer capable of storing 51GB of data, and that they have a high confidence of adding more layers down the road.... so the data storage argument is essentially a wash.


      Now lets look at other factors... since HD-DVD's configuration is very similar to that of DVDs most currently available machines used to press retail DVDs can be re-configured to also press HD-DVDs with a relatively low investment on the part of the manufacturer. BRDs on the other hand require all new machinery which could easily cost a single shop millions to setup. It might not be apparent now, but the down the road the average cost of HD-DVD will drop YEARS sooner then that of BRDs because it wont take them nearly as long to reach the point of return on investment. Not to mention the more apparent short term costs of the players with the BRD players costing on average double that of comparable HD-DVD players.

      Finally I question how much the BRD backers really care about the quality of their releases when so many of the early released were encoded in the archaic Mpeg2 format as opposed to one of the newer and far superior codecs, particularly when you consider they only had single layer discs out at that point. Essentially they just pushed a number of crap quality releases out there for the sake of having releases out there. Some of them were just upscaled transfers from the DVD release and upon review were even found to look WORSE then their DVD brethren. Obviously they're no longer doing that at this point but you have to question their QC for letting something like that happen.

      Personally I don't like either format for the equally restrictive DRM, and requiring me to use an HDCP protected connection (which my home theater equipment doesn't support). Honestly I see the BRD vs. HD-DVD going in one of two direction... either:
      A. It will end up the same way as SACD vs. DVD-A vs. MP3... no one cares about a higher quality disc and would rather have downloadable content that's more versatile.
      B. It will end up the same way as DVD+R vs DVD-R... Dual format players come out and the difference between the two formats will simply become invisible to the consumer.

    30. Re:They Can Keep Battling it Out by greed · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Before going nuts with fancy server-priced hard drives, why not try cooling the things? Check the SMART data for the disk and see what the operating temperature is; try and keep it 35 degC or lower (parameter 194). (I don't have any citations for that; I just have drives that keep working, year after year, running around 30-35 degC.)

      Nothing kills a disk faster than overheating. And it doesn't matter what the warranty is; all a warranty gets you is a replacement. You still have to deal with replacing the dead disk and waiting for the mirror or parity rebuild.

      (Let's put the "inexpensive" back in "redundant array of inexpensive disks".)

    31. Re:They Can Keep Battling it Out by itlurksbeneath · · Score: 1

      It's basic statistics. You can't make a generalization with a data set of only one, two or three data points and most people base their opinions on hard concrete evidence that they have "seen" themselves (which, by some strange conincidence, is usually only a small handfull of data points for the issue at hand).

      For a statement to be stastically relavent you need at least a certian number of data points ('n' generally > 20, if I remember my statistics class correctly). The more data points you have, the more you can reduce the margin of error for the information you're inferring from the data set.

      If you want some real data, go question 100 people that have >160GB drives and ask them how long they have had them or how long they had them before they failed and analyze that, THEN you'll have some good data.

      --
      Have you ever considered piracy? You'd make a wonderful Dread Pirate Roberts.
    32. Re:They Can Keep Battling it Out by Alioth · · Score: 2, Insightful

      When you have many machines you soon find out.

      Maxtor low profile drives in the Hewlett-Packard machines were decidedly unreliable - about 15% failed in less than a year in the network of 80 machines (and these are only 40GB drives). We replaced them with WD and Seagate drives - we've not had a single failure since then. Part of the problem is the design of the cooling in the ultraslim HP machines isn't very good - the drive bay gets very little cooling.

      The trouble is it's a crap shoot. You don't know which drives made when are going to be reliable or unreliable until they've been in the field long enough to find out. It's not just hard drives, either. We also got hit by the capacitor plague. Machines started failing at a very high rate (we went from no failed machines in month 7 to a 50% failure rate in month 8) with some HP workstations. That batch of workstations got completely replaced under warranty - when we inspected the remaining machines we found every single one had bulging and burst capacitors. That particular batch of machines was heading for 100% failure rate. But other batches of HP machines we have just keep going on year after year without a single problem.

      You can't even pin a specific manufacturer. Other Maxtor disks that we have as a group have had an extremely low failure rate - so chances are, if we now abandon Maxtor and, say, exclusively use WD, at some point we'll get a bad batch of disks from WD. With these very large disks, if you have the data to fill them, you're rolling the dice unless you have a way of doing a very good backup.

    33. Re:They Can Keep Battling it Out by Ucklak · · Score: 1

      If your apartment burns down, you still don't lose the data on a hard drive.

      I had to recover data from some hard drives that used the IBM Thinkpads as the terminal for the POS. The restaurant burned down, had to crack open the case to get the hard drives out, put the drives in another machine and got the sales data.

      --
      if you steal from one source, that is plagiarism, if you steal from many, well, that's just research.
    34. Re:They Can Keep Battling it Out by EzraSj · · Score: 1

      I would suggest that you are, perhaps unfortunately, not representative of the majority of consumers. People like having a physical object to hold, to use, to show off in display cases - whatever. Note the (relatively) lackluster success of ebooks, or even the fact that most games are still bought in stores (despite services such as steam which sell them cheaper online).

      The public at large still views 'online' distribution as something intangible, and for the foreseeable future, people will continue to prefer to purchase things which have some physical component, rather than one that is entirely computer based.

      --
      Meta, Meta, Meta
    35. Re:They Can Keep Battling it Out by cayenne8 · · Score: 1
      "Do you run your PC 24/7? If so, I'd suggest you stop; while some people have strange ideas about hard drives dying faster if they have to spin down/up regularly, for consumer grade hard drives leaving them on is a lot worse for them. This came out back in the days of the IBM Deathstar drives, when IBM was going "But... you're not meant to keep your drives turned on all the time!"."

      Wow...I was about to reply to the GP, but, your post caught my eye.

      I've never had a hard drive crash on me....and I have multiple drives, large capacity, and pretty much every box in my house stays on 24/7. Some as servers (web/email), or my media boxes (MythTV)...or just general use boxes.

      Maybe I've been lucky? I dunno.....

      --
      Light travels faster than sound. This is why some people appear bright until you hear them speak.........
    36. Re:They Can Keep Battling it Out by theJML · · Score: 1

      Sounds to me like you have some other issues in your system/house that's causing these errors.

      I have one system I used as a server for 3 years. 24/7 uptime and , running off a SmartUPS 750. It has 4 WD 120GB IDE Drives in it along with plenty of other things, one 120 exhaust fan, a P/S fan and a CPU fan and the mobo is full of PCI cards and anything I could fit in there. No issues, still pluggin' right along. Along with a 15GB WD from 1997 also in a heavily used system.
      With this knowledge, I'd have to say that HD's are pretty resiliant as long as you take care of them properly. For me, it's rare that they fail.

      However... I would Never consider them a replacement for DVD or CD Media. Even laptop drives aren't really made to take the same amount of utter abuse that DVDs can take. as long as you don't scratch them, they'll last a long time (especially the stamped ones) and although I do frequent backups onto tape, I don't trust my important data to be safe until it's backed up on DVD with PAR files on a seperate disc as well.

      But on the same token, I don't really want everything to be online either. I'm sure part of it might be the fact that I like having the liner notes and the physicality of owning a piece of history I can pass to other people if I want... Most of it is that I just don't trust that the connection will be always available. I remember growing up when the cable went out we'd watch movies or play games. If everything is online and the connection drops, then what? Why do I have to depend upon some server I have no control over just to get to what's mine? I guess that's what I believe I'm paying for when I buy a disc. (and no, if the power goes off you're not screwed, that's what generators are for...)

      I'd say that the online venu might be cool with movie rentals, but if I'm going to purchase something, I want to have it avaiable under any circumstances.

      --
      -=JML=-
    37. Re:They Can Keep Battling it Out by Venner · · Score: 1

      >>and I have some of the earliest ever DVD releases, which are ten years old now.

      Man. Has it really been that long? I got my first DVD player in 1997 and...holy crap...you're right.
      Now I'm feeling old.

      --
      A preposition is a terrible thing to end a sentence with.
    38. Re:They Can Keep Battling it Out by aplusjimages · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      I'm just following the model of downloadable music, like iTunes. I'm also looking at YouTube and other video sites. Seems more of what consumers want. Xbox360 is doing surprising well with their downloadable TV shows and movies for rent.

      --
      Can I bum a sig?
    39. Re:They Can Keep Battling it Out by JudicatorX · · Score: 1

      And you're criticising me?

      Note my use of the term 'counterexample'. Hell, my point is better than GGP's complaints from less than your precious 20 data points worth of drives.

      --
      "It is a good divine that follows his own instructions" - Portia, The Merchant of Venice
    40. Re:They Can Keep Battling it Out by Fweeky · · Score: 1

      Seagate have 5 year warranties on all their disks (though I don't know what they're doing with their cheapo brand - Maxtor), and make Near-Line storage drives like the NL35 and the newer NS models with lower projected failure rates for a modest increase in price.

      Your handful of failed disks are insufficient to back up your conclusion. Maybe you've got some environmental problem you haven't noticed, maybe the couriers who have handled your disks are really bad, or maybe you're just unlucky -- with a sample size of 9, you're really not in a position to make claims about hundreds of millions.

    41. Re:They Can Keep Battling it Out by Danse · · Score: 1
      ('n' generally > 20, if I remember my statistics class correctly)

      Actually it should be greater than 30, according to most statistics books. I can throw my own data point in. I've got a 300GB Drive that's been running fine for a year and a half now. Just bought a 500GB drive as well, but I've only had it for about a month. There's just no way that more than a small fraction of >120GB drives die within a matter of a few months. Consumer drives or not, they last a lot longer than that.
      --
      It's not enough to bash in heads, you've got to bash in minds. - Captain Hammer
    42. Re:They Can Keep Battling it Out by monkey_dongle · · Score: 1

      the quality of downloadable material pales in comparison to the quality of either hd-dvd or blu-ray.

      even actual mpeg2 or h264 high definition transport streams captured from hdtv broadcasts are well below the quality of either format in both video and audio.

      that plus the whole ease of use issue and corporate sponsorship will keep one or both of these two formats alive and well for the foreseeable future.

    43. Re:They Can Keep Battling it Out by CK2004PA · · Score: 0

      Explain MP3's ? How about digital pictures ? No one I know of including 70 year olds get filmed developerd (well OK, I still do, but only for astronomy). Everyone who comes to my house and sees TV shows on a Tivo, or my 360, or movies, or pictures or MP3's and sees me using a remote to access everything remotely have about a 10 second period before their jaw hits the floor.

      --
      "I believe today that my conduct is in accordance with the will of the Almighty Creator"-Adolf Hitler or George W Bush?
    44. Re:They Can Keep Battling it Out by jo42 · · Score: 2, Funny

      Must be something about your magnetic personality that keeps kacking yer drives...

    45. Re:They Can Keep Battling it Out by CK2004PA · · Score: 0

      Just like CD's had better sound quality over MP3's ? How about the superior color of film over digital ? Neither stopped the old business model (medium) from going the way of the dodo. Dude, wake up, carrying around 1000 CD's or DVD's is laughable. Don't use the "but HD DVD hold XXX I only need 100 discs for those shows now" BZZZT your own statement of "better quality" means one movie per disc. Just like now.

      --
      "I believe today that my conduct is in accordance with the will of the Almighty Creator"-Adolf Hitler or George W Bush?
    46. Re:They Can Keep Battling it Out by mounthood · · Score: 1
      If my apartment burns down I don't lose it, if I move I don't have to move them, and I don't have to worry about the format war.
      So you mean it will Play. For. Sure. ?
      --
      tomorrow who's gonna fuss
    47. Re:They Can Keep Battling it Out by lonechicken · · Score: 1

      Feh. Backing up's for suckers! Actually, I do but it's less a pain in the ass to exchange for a new DVD than to restore a hard drive and hope the image is really really up to date and hope that everything works. At least for me.

    48. Re:They Can Keep Battling it Out by DAharon · · Score: 1

      I would say that you have been lucky. In the past ten years, I've had four HD's crash, and I'm not rich (ie, I don't buy a lot of computer stuff, or even stuff in general). Thats four HD's out of maybe eight. Am I hard on my HD's? Not really, except maybe for the past four years that I've been running Gentoo (but that's only one drive). Just recently I had a 4.5 year old Western Digital die on me. This was a drive that I ran Windows on for maybe a year, then it just became an archive drive that was often read from, but rarely written to.

    49. Re:They Can Keep Battling it Out by moloko_synthemesc · · Score: 1

      Wrong I had one of those Deathstar drives that died a week after the warranty expired. That was back when I was running Win98, which was of course impossible to keep running 24/7. The system spent almost as much time powered off as on. IBM just made poor quality drives, obviously. It was OEM, so the warranty was only 1 year. Had I bought a 'retail' packaged HD, regardless of make, it would've had a 3-year warranty. They all did back then. HD warranties began dropping a few years ago, but you can still find many brands online with 3-5 year warranties. And these are run-of-the-mill, consumer grade drives. I've had a couple of cheap Maxtors running for 4+ years now, 24/7, not a bit of trouble so far. But they will fail eventually, it's inevitable. Backing up data and having redundancy has always been important, and likely will remain so in reference to magnetic storage of any type, with or without moving parts.

    50. Re:They Can Keep Battling it Out by lp_bugman · · Score: 1

      This i think is what the movie industry actually wants. That's probable ultimately one of the most important "features" of blue ray. Suddenly you cant just download in less than 30 minutes a high quality divx.

      --
      BSD licensed software can't be stolen....
    51. Re:They Can Keep Battling it Out by itlurksbeneath · · Score: 1

      No, I wasn't criticizing you, I was pointing out GGP's generalization was based on a limited data set and your point about questioning his data was valid. Sorry if that didn't come through in the post.

      --
      Have you ever considered piracy? You'd make a wonderful Dread Pirate Roberts.
    52. Re:They Can Keep Battling it Out by Total_Wimp · · Score: 1

      Ok, I'll bite. This one goes to both you and the GP. Warranties will get your money back if something breaks, but it doesn't really say anything about reliability. If I really want to see who's better, I'm going to have to go with vendor reliability stats. If you have independent stats, all the better, but I don't think I've ever personally seen those.

      Vendor MTBF on almost any 3.5" SATA or PATA drive is between 600k and 1.4 million hours. The Annual Failure Rates are between about .3% and .7%. These numbers actually compare very favorably with most any SCSI drive.

      Yes, the best are more reliable with almost a 100% difference in MTBF, but lets look at it from a different angle: Even the worst one is awesome. If you get any of these drives, the MTBF says you should be able to run it 24/7/365 for the entire time you're likely to own it. Even if you're planning on running the drive from the time your kids are born to the time they die, the MTBF on the lowest one suggests you wouldn't see breakage.

      With Annual Failure Rate, most every major manufacturer gives you about a 99.3% to 99.7% chance of your drive surviving any given year. Any drive with either of those stats would be, by definition, very unlikely to fail on any given year. The chance of failure of either drive is roughly that of drawing a straight in a single deal of five card stud (~.4%) once a year. If both pass, the additional chance that the "less reliable" drive will still fail is roughly that of drawing another straight.

      I realize that trust is a bid deal. First off, you have to trust that those numbers are accurate, which is far from a sure thing. I wouldn't fault anyone for following their own gut reputation. But I would think this difference in reliability isn't anywhere big enough get worked up about, and is almost certainly less important than other factors such as cost, speed and capacity.

      TW

    53. Re:They Can Keep Battling it Out by dank+zappingly · · Score: 1

      I don't know where you're getting your information from, but I remember reading that TDK made a 100GB Blu Ray last year. Blu Ray has currently has 50gb discs, the first was Click. So HD-DVD might be able to pull within 5 GB of Blu Ray if they actually release this triple layer disc, current players can read it, and Blu Ray doesn't expand their discs.

    54. Re:They Can Keep Battling it Out by ganjadude · · Score: 1

      you can get a good look at a t bone by stickin your head up a bulls ass but id rather take the butchers word on it.
      point being that a product is only as good as its word. i can shit in a box slap a warranty on it for 10 years, dont make it less of a piece of shit does it?

      --
      have you seen my sig? there are many others like it but none that are the same
    55. Re:They Can Keep Battling it Out by twistedsymphony · · Score: 1

      45GB HD-DVd triple layer - May 2005

      51GB HD-DVD Triple layer @ CES last week

      Or you know you could just searched for it, I figured we'd all been accosted with so much disc format news as of late another couple links weren't really needed.
      You're right that Click was released on dual layer BRD... as I said it wasn't until recently that they released them... Click was released in mid November, I'd say that constitutes "recently".

    56. Re:They Can Keep Battling it Out by Rimbo · · Score: 1

      Such a beast already exists, as the iTunes store.

    57. Re:They Can Keep Battling it Out by metamatic · · Score: 1

      It's easy to work out why Microsoft chose the format they did. Blu-ray uses Java for its interactive menus; HD-DVD uses Windows Media codecs.

      --
      GCHQ Quantum Insert installed. If only our tongues were made of glass, how much more careful we would be when we speak
    58. Re:They Can Keep Battling it Out by donaldm · · Score: 1

      In principle this sounds great until you realise that your provider may not provide a high speed line so down loading could take quite some time and you may be exceeding your bandwidth allowance which may result in increased costs or a slower download. In addition the premium Xbox360 has on a 20GB hard drive which is not that big when you consider the size of High Definition content.

      I am quite sure Microsoft will come out with a larger drive for the Xbox360 but it is going to be an additional cost to you so for the moment they suggest you delete the file since I would be surprised if you can save it to a different device, which then requires you to delete your file only to download it again at additional cost (I hope you don't think your provider will do this for free). Great way to continuously loose money. Of course this is not that different to renting which would most likely have similar costs, but this is your choice, your time, your money.

      At least with buying a DVD, HD-DVD or Bluray disk you effectively own it subject to DRM but at least you can watch it whenever you want by putting the disk in your player, rather than wait for a download. Of course you can loose your physical collection due to fire, flood or theft but that is what home insurance is for.

      --
      There ain't no such thing as proprietary standards only proprietary formats. Standards are by definition open.
    59. Re:They Can Keep Battling it Out by Mr.+Underbridge · · Score: 1

      This i think is what the movie industry actually wants. That's probable ultimately one of the most important "features" of blue ray. Suddenly you cant just download in less than 30 minutes a high quality divx.

      I expect so, and it's something that people haven't really thought much about. But it's a good thing, too. If they know that they need to keep the size of their product bigger than can be readily downloaded, then surely there's some extra quality in those superfluous bits? Higher resolution, lower compression, something?

  2. Release them in numbers, by imdx80 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    All i want is them to release them in numbers so it'll be possible to buy any HD player, in the UK at least.

  3. BLu-ray by jrwr00 · · Score: 1, Funny

    Blu-Ray is my format of choice, It holds ALOT more, and it works with the PS3, thats all i need

    1. Re:BLu-ray by Lumpy · · Score: 2, Insightful

      no it doesn't.

      They still have not solved the dual layer problem. So all Blu-Ray discs right now are single layer and LESS capacity than HD-DVD.

      Until the solve the Dual layer manufacturing problems (hope to by the end of Q1) it's an inferior format to HD-DVD.

      --
      Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
    2. Re:BLu-ray by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Shit, it's July 2006 again.

      They've been selling 50GB BluRay movies for a couple of months now. The problem is well and truly solved. No need for this out of date FUD on Slashdot.

    3. Re:BLu-ray by jrwr00 · · Score: 2, Informative

      They have fixed this almost 6 months ago, 50gb discs are here
      "On November 14, 2006, Fox released their first 50 GB dual-layer Blu-ray Disc title, Kingdom of Heaven: Director's Cut. Other titles, Ice Age: The Meltdown, Fantastic Four and the recent remake of The Omen will be released on the same day and will be using AVC encoding and DTS HD Lossless Master Audio. The first shipments of the PlayStation 3 in the United States included a Blu-ray Disc version of Talladega Nights: The Ballad of Ricky Bobby.[2]"

      From Wikipedia http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Blu_ray#Released_titl es

    4. Re:BLu-ray by Lumpy · · Score: 1

      The recent Industry magazines we get here for Home theater integrators still are saying they still have problems. I will have to dig into this further. Thanks for the update.

      --
      Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
    5. Re:BLu-ray by GeckoX · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Not true, not even close to true.

      Single layer capacity for a Blu-Ray Disc...IE, all currently produced Blu-Ray discs, movies, and PS3 games...is 25GB.

      HD-DVD is only 15. Sure, Dual is 30, but they're not being produced very much either...and that is the absolute max for HD-DVD anyways.

      More than 25GB is not needed at the moment for Blu-Ray, they know this so haven't done anything stupid to try to rush 50GB dual layer discs through manufacturing...there is basically zero demand at the moment. It does indeed work though and will be in mass production when needed.

      FURTHER, Blu-Ray as I'm quite certain you well know is spec'd to handle up to 100GB. In the end, there will be over 3x as much space for data on Blu-Ray as there will be on HD-DVD.

      Argue all you want about which is better or which will win...but from a technical standpoint alone, Blu-Ray wins, hands down. It's just silly to try to argue otherwise because it's just not true. Of course that means just about nothing in terms of which will win out as was proven definitively with VHS vs BETA. Less useful but cheaper will likely win out in the long run.

      --
      No Comment.
    6. Re:BLu-ray by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's not true, actually. 50GB movie discs have been out for a few months now. Don't get people any more confused about HD-DVD/BR than they already are. Hell, I'm still trying to find out what the hell an "ALOT" is!!!

    7. Re:BLu-ray by illeism · · Score: 1

      ..Blu-Ray as I'm quite certain you well know is spec'd to handle up to 100GB
      With that kind of storage they will be able to get entire seasons of tv shows on one or two blu-ray disks... you could get all 6 starwars films on one disk -
      could this be the start of a new trend? get an entire series of movies on one disk? I wouldn't mind having all my star trek movies on 2 or 3 dvd's - I'm pretty sure they won't try to upconvert them (but you never can tell what stupid will do)

      --
      Help test the /. effect at my min
    8. Re:BLu-ray by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      lack of sex -> blue balls
      lack of media -> blu-ray?

    9. Re:BLu-ray by crackspackle · · Score: 1

      This is just my observation, but I've been out looking for a Wii after playing one my niece got for Christmas. After stopping at about 25 stores, I was unable to find one; However, at about ten of the stores I could find a Playstation 3. What's remarkable is a few of the clerks I spoke to told me that Wii's are being delivered faster and in larger quantity that PS3's but they still can't keep them in stock.

      I didn't buy a PS3 because their are no games out that want and I could not justify the cost. It seems others are doing the same, and going for the Wii instead. By the time it is worthwhile to buy as PS3, how many family types will buy one if they already have Wii ? From what I've seen, they're won't be any worthwhile games for almost a year.

      The point is PS3 can't help drive the blu-ray market if they have a limited market themself.

    10. Re:BLu-ray by KDR_11k · · Score: 1

      Don't worry, they'll just make the movies bloat enough that some will take two discs.

      --
      Justice is the sheep getting arrested while an impartial judge declares the vote void.
    11. Re:BLu-ray by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      BD is your format of choice? How about you go to your local electronics store and ask them to play Descent on the $999 BD players, and after the movie doesn't play, i will laugh in your face.

      No standards would definately be my format of choice, if ignorance was bliss.

    12. Re:BLu-ray by Nappa48 · · Score: 1

      Wow thats quite shocking that the magazine never knew about that...
      Then again, it wasn't exactly big news, but if i knew and i barely follow it..mmmyeh. :|

  4. It's quite easy, really. by giorgiofr · · Score: 1, Funny

    No matter what geeks think, the PS3 cannot lose. Therefore BlueRay cannot lose. Can you say "network externalities"?

    --
    Global warming is a cube.
    1. Re:It's quite easy, really. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      So how do you feel about the fact that the PS3 is, in fact, losing right now? They haven't even shipped that many units, yet they're just sitting on the shelves in many stores. Wiis continue to sell out as soon as they arrive.

    2. Re:It's quite easy, really. by qortra · · Score: 2, Informative

      Yes, as the AC said, the PS3 could easily lose.

      More importantly, the PS3 could even win, and blu-ray could still lose. Since when has Sony ever been able to push a format? Heck, even with as popular as the PSP is, they still can't sell UMD media. Why would people pay twice as much for a medium when the existing one meets and exceeds most people's quality standards? (disclaimer: I like HD, but most people are not like me)

      You need to seriously recalibrate your expectations when it comes to new, expensive media (especially media from Sony, which has categorically been able to screw up every format they've ever touched).

    3. Re:It's quite easy, really. by giorgiofr · · Score: 1

      More on that in 12 months... do you really think everything has been said and done by now?

      --
      Global warming is a cube.
    4. Re:It's quite easy, really. by giorgiofr · · Score: 0

      Interesting points but you are not considering a simple fact, and that is that sheeple will simply upgrade from Xbox to the 360 and from the PS2 to the PS3 (the Wii will be a blast and make Nintendo rich(er) but will remain a minor player; besides, it's not even in the same market). The PS2 is *the* console by definition so people will buy the PS3.

      --
      Global warming is a cube.
    5. Re:It's quite easy, really. by Mark+Maughan · · Score: 1
      Since when has Sony ever been able to push a format?

      Both the CD and the DVD had Sony pushing them out of the starting gate.
    6. Re:It's quite easy, really. by Daemonstar · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Serious question: how well does the PS3 play Blu-Ray movies?

      I'm still waiting a while to get a good HDTV, much less a HD player (waiting to see how things play out a little more).

      --
      I don't reply to Anonymous posts; if you have something to say to me, identify yourself or I won't reply.
    7. Re:It's quite easy, really. by Itchyeyes · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I think that it may actually be in Sony's best interest for BluRay to lose this format war. For the last decade Sony's content divisions have been essentially destroying their hardware division from the inside. People once regarded Sony as the default brand to buy when purchasing consumer electronics. Now, anyone who is remotely informed avoids their products like the plague. Sony's insistence on making their hardware and content divisions cooperate has insured that nearly every product they release is crippled right out of the gate with DRM and proprietary formats doomed to obscurity.

      If BluRay succeeds, it will be seen by Sony as a success of this miserable business plan. At that point we can all expect Sony to tread even further down this dead end road. Should BluRay fail however, then maybe, just maybe, Sony will finally realize that their biggest enemy is themselves. Obviously, the failure of BluRay wouldn't necessarily mean that things will get better. If if should succeed though, we can almost be assured that they will get worse.

    8. Re:It's quite easy, really. by qortra · · Score: 1

      You wildly underestimate consumers. In the mid nineties, people didn't largely upgrade from the Super Nintendo (arguably the most popular console of all time by developer commitment) to the N64. They instead went to the PS1 which was, at the time, poised for much better development. And they definitely made the right choice; beyond the N64s superior processing merits, the games were expensive, the cartridge was not large enough to hold FMVs to speak of, and development was difficult.

      besides, it's not even in the same market

      Well, at least you're right about that. The Wii is in the "making money" market, whereas the PS3 is... well, not. You probably meant that they are in different markets because the Wii has inferior graphics; this is just stupid. Games are about fun, not graphics, and the Wii is just more fun.

    9. Re:It's quite easy, really. by kfg · · Score: 1

      Can you say . . .

      Not without having to shoot myself afterwards, for my own good.

      KFG

    10. Re:It's quite easy, really. by qortra · · Score: 1

      Actually, there were two competing formats for DVDs as there are now for its successor. Sony and Philips lost, and ended up agreeing to the other format with one modification.

    11. Re:It's quite easy, really. by RyuuzakiTetsuya · · Score: 1

      3 1/2" floppy.

      Apple was behind it then, and Apple's behind BluRay.

      --
      Non impediti ratione cogitationus.
    12. Re:It's quite easy, really. by thatguywhoiam · · Score: 2, Informative
      More importantly, the PS3 could even win, and blu-ray could still lose. Since when has Sony ever been able to push a format?

      Yes, when have they done that? You must be thinking of all those standards they were a part of that flopped, like 3.5" floppy disks and compact discs.

      Or perhaps you mean minidisc? Not very popular here, but they were definitely around, and in the UK quite pervasive for awhile. They did "win" vs a little thing called DAT, if you recall.

      MemorySticks? All over the place. Particularly in high end cameras and phones.

      Oh yes, speaking of high-end. Betacam SP for broadcast, maybe? DigiBeta? All total failures, right?

      UMDs flopped for movies, but it doesn't matter, that was just a bonus anyways. Its the PSP game format, now just as proprietary as any Gameboy/DS cart.

      As for Blu-Ray, well, in this case we aren't even talking about Sony. There's a few other companies on the Blu-Ray board that have a vested interest in it succeeding - but they are pipsqueaks like Disney, Apple and Sun.

      --
      If Jesus wants me it knows where to find me.
    13. Re:It's quite easy, really. by Thansal · · Score: 2, Interesting
      Interesting points but you are not considering a simple fact, and that is that sheeple will simply upgrade from Xbox to the 360 and from the PS2 to the PS3 (the Wii will be a blast and make Nintendo rich(er) but will remain a minor player; besides, it's not even in the same market). The PS2 is *the* console by definition so people will buy the PS3.


      By that logic the N64 should have trounced the PS, and thus the NGC should have crounced the PS2, Xbox, and DC.

      This time the price and the avaliablity are making people sit back, wait, and evaluate. The reason the PS2 is horribly popular is a few things, however the driving force once all the systems were up and running was the presence of exlusive titles.

      I don't think that any of the 3 systems will tank, however I don't think it is a forgone conclussion this time around.

      1) PS3 Price and avaliablity is cutting into early adopters. The lack of major titles, and a number of companies saying they will nolonger be making PS exclusives. All of this might (can't say 100%) to a lack of games, or a lack of exclusive games.

      2) The 360 already has a decent toehold in the USA (it is still tanking in Japan, however I honestly can't specuilate on the japanese market and how it will effect the systems as I am not familiar enough with it, from here on in, I am reffering to the USA). A number of PS2 owners have already picked up 360s because they want the next gen, but are not willing to wait for the PS3, or pay the price for it. This also gives the 360 a nice room for picking up exclusives (hey, look, our player base is 10X that of the PS3).

      3) Wii. Who farken knows? I think that it will be decently common to see people havign a Wii as well as one of the other 2, plus those poeple that are straped for $$ will be either going for a Wii or a PS2.

      I tihnk that in the USA the 360 will likely trounce the PS3, and the Wii either being a close second, or leading. In Japan, the PS3 will out do the 360, however I think that the Wii will easily outdo the PS3.
      --
      Do Or Do Not, There Is No Spoon, There Is Only Zuul. Everything in the above post is probably opinion.
    14. Re:It's quite easy, really. by jonabbey · · Score: 2, Informative

      As long as you have a television that can accept and (if necessary) do a good job of scaling a 1080i or 1080p signal, the PS3 is the best, and cheapest, Blu-Ray player currently on the market.

      The only things to be aware are that the PS3 doesn't have an IR port, so you'll need to plan on using the wireless game controller to control Blu-Ray playback, or you'll need to spend $30 to get Sony's Bluetooth remote control, which doesn't come with the system.

    15. Re:It's quite easy, really. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There's certainly a brand effect that should help sales somewhat, but : 599 US DOLLARS.

      The PS2 is "the" console due largely to the fact that it's pretty cheap and good value these days, especially if you're into pirating. The PS3 is the polar opposite, both ruinously expensive and with expensive non-piratable games, and confronted by that many average 'casual' gamers are waiting for the price to drop to something affordable - which will take a long time since Sony's already selling them at a loss - or considering the 360 / Wii.

    16. Re:It's quite easy, really. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not quite that simple. The PS3 will *probably* win, but it's highly unlikely that it's ever going to win to the same extent that the PS2 did.

      The PS3 has had a slow start, this is undeniable. Poor launch-titles (only Resistance worth playing, and even that arguably not as good as Gears of War), a hideous price-tag and hyped shortages so severe that many people were put off from even looking have all contributed to a launch that was more of a whimper than a bang. However, with so many of the big franchises still being tied to the PS3, I'd expect to see the picture change once the first round of price cuts hits (and Sony can't afford to wait too long with these).

      The Wii has had a strong launch, thanks to the novelty value and a media hype campaign (willingly bought into by many outlets and grass-roots types who want to play the root-for-the-underdog aspect) that surpasses even the PS2's, but I'd expect to see things plateauing in about 6 months, given that all the classic signs of another Nintendo flop in the same vein as the N64 and Gamecube are on the horizon. A slow schedule of "big" releases from Nintendo and very few AAA titles from 3rd party developers will have the usual effect, plus Nintendo are, for the first time, faced with the prospect of competing from the back of the technological pack, with many Wii launch titles, including Zelda, looking no better than late-era PS2 games.

      More worrying for Sony and Blu-Ray's backers has to be the 360. From a solid but uninspiring start, the 360 has, to my mind, positioned itself as the best of the three machines available right now. Part of this is that its head start over the PS3 and the Wii means that it actually has a good, well-balanced software library available, but it also currently offers the best balance between cost and performance. Unlike the Wii, it actually looks like a next-gen console, but it doesn't cost anything like as much as a PS3.

      Indeed, the thing that should really be worrying Sony is that a 360 Premium Pack and the HD-DVD kit for it still work out significantly cheaper than a PS3. In fact, it works out cheaper than the majority of set-top high definition media players.

      Realistically, at the end of this round of the console wars, I'd expect to see Sony with about a 50% share, MS with about 35% and Nintendo with the rest. This would still represent a big loss for Sony over the previous round, where, by all accounts, the final figures came out at about 70%/16%/14%ish.

      In short, the PS3 *may* help Blu-Ray's cause, but it's by no means the overwhelming factor that you might expect.

    17. Re:It's quite easy, really. by qortra · · Score: 1

      3.5s and CDs, you have a point. However, the rest of the formats that you mentioned are barely successful, and only popular in niche markets. For each of those formats, there was a competitor in the consumer market that was more popular (often far more popular). Their professional formats are not relevant here because those cases are not symmetrical with Blu-Ray (a decidedly consumer-oriented product).

      but they are pipsqueaks like Disney, Apple and Sun.

      You meant this sarcastically, but I find it funny that the best three companies you can come up with have a combined market cap lower than that of Microsoft (who is pushing HD-DVD as I'm sure you know). Truly, they are pipsqueaks! Of course, if I wanted to, I could name another two backing HD-DVD that are larger than any of the three you mentioned. Just to be clear, I don't think HD-DVD will succeed either; I don't care how many companies are behind a format, it won't survive if people don't want it, and obviously, people don't want Blu-Ray.

    18. Re:It's quite easy, really. by Fozzyuw · · Score: 1

      Sony's hardware isn't all that bad. I just got a class action letter in the mail stating I can get my Sony DVD player fixed at their cost for the infamous C:13:00 error... or a $40 coupon for another Sony player.

      I'm debating on getting that DVD player fixed. It was a nice unit, of course, until it broke a year later (just after the warranty coincidently).

      Cheers,
      Fozzy

      --
      "The past was erased, the erasure was forgotten, the lie became truth." ~1984 George Orwell
    19. Re:It's quite easy, really. by porcupine8 · · Score: 1
      I spent my Christmas break with (among other people) my 16-year-old brother and a neverending parade of his 15-18-year-old male friends. These guys have spent the past 3-4 years of their lives playing PS2 and XBox til their eyes bleed, with a little GC thrown in now and then. My brother has long since sold his GC to my sister.

      Number of PS3s among them by New Year's Day: Zero. Number of XBox 360s: One or two. Number of Wiis: 3. All of which were procured by *camping out*, even weeks after launch. They wanted those Wiis. Some of them plan to get PS3s next Christmas, my brother right now doesn't care about the PS3 until they release better games. He does own a PSP, though he doesn't watch movies on it. He asked for UMD movies last year for Christmas, but not this year.

      It's anecdotal, yes, but I'm not seeing these key demographic members herding themselves straight from the PS2 to the PS3. I mostly saw them pretending to bowl, then spending hours and hours on Twilight Princess. The price was a factor, but as my brother had saved enough to get a Wii, extra controller + nunchuk, and two extra games, he could easily have saved a little more and gotten a PS3 instead. But he said it just didn't have any games he was interested in.

      --
      Warning: Apple/Nintendo fangirl. Likes her electronics cute & cuddly. May be rabid.
    20. Re:It's quite easy, really. by (A)*(B)!0_- · · Score: 1
      You can't win the battle in the first month but you sure can lose it. (See history of consoles for examples.)

      Hopefully, the PS3 is on its way to being a footnote. With the attacks on lik-sang.com and the rootkit nonsense, Sony deserves to lose.

    21. Re:It's quite easy, really. by drinkypoo · · Score: 1
      Or perhaps you mean minidisc? Not very popular here, but they were definitely around, and in the UK quite pervasive for awhile. They did "win" vs a little thing called DAT, if you recall.

      Statistically, no one has a minidisc any more. They're almost all in the bottom of someone's crap drawer because the original minidiscs restrict you to copying 1:1, and the NetMD was an overly-restrictive piece of crap. Some people are using it to record music on semi-professionally (there's low-end recording rigs with minidisc) but both DAT (sometimes ADAT) and hard-disk recording are more prevalent.

      The 3.5" floppy disc and compact disc are both good examples of things Sony was involved with. Of course, they are also both examples of technology that provided a significant and obvious benefit to users. 3.5" floppy discs are both more reliable and more dense. Compact discs I need not even go into, we all understand the benefit there. But who benefits from Blu-Ray? Practically no one in the US has an HD display, and the economy is steadily getting worse so barring a gigantic price break in the HD market, I predict that the rate of adoption will be even lower than predicted - and frankly, even the predicted market probably isn't enough to support either format right now.

      Why's that? Because an upsampled DVD looks pretty damned good. Sure you can see some scaling and compression artifacting, but it's not very bad and frankly you typically don't see much of that unless you're dealing with a transcoded DVD. DVDs are also cheap and supported by an absolute assload of players in laptops, SUVs, and every other place. It will be a long, long time before either HD format reaches that kind of ubiquity.

      One last comment:

      As for Blu-Ray, well, in this case we aren't even talking about Sony. There's a few other companies on the Blu-Ray board that have a vested interest in it succeeding - but they are pipsqueaks like Disney, Apple and Sun.

      HwdRFWehrfQWhfqaDFHqahahHAHAHAHAHAHonesones!!!!

      Don't even mention Sun in the same breath with any company not regarding its immediate demise. Sun got into bed with Microsoft some years ago and they've been on their way out since. Novell will be next, but only after Microsoft finishes making Sun their bitch. Can't shake the devil's hand and say you're only kidding...

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    22. Re:It's quite easy, really. by ppz003 · · Score: 1

      Posting to undo mis-mod. Please ignore.

    23. Re:It's quite easy, really. by Itchyeyes · · Score: 1

      That's the thing though. They can still produce great hardware. With a DVD player it's not a problem because DVD is a universal standard. The problem with their hardware comes when they try to tie it to one of their formats or DRM schemes. Think the digital camera that only uses memory stick, the PSP that was really just meant to push UMD, the early MP3 players that were really just ATRAC players, or the whole rootkit debacle. Sony has a consistent track record of creating good hardware and then crippling one feature or another before releasing it to consumers.

      I love my Cybershot, but it drive me nuts that the memory stick pro duo won't fit in my flash card reader. What was so wrong with SD that they couldn't use it? Heck, the whole reason the PS3 is so damned expensive and why you can't find one anywhere is because Sony wants to use it to push yet another format.

    24. Re:It's quite easy, really. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      3) Wii. Who farken knows? I think that it will be decently common to see people havign a Wii as well as one of the other 2, plus those poeple that are straped for $$ will be either going for a Wii or a PS2.


      I think the most important factors for Wii success are people like my father who hasn't been into video games since the 2600 and is now frantically looking for a Wii for himself.

    25. Re:It's quite easy, really. by admerwill · · Score: 1

      Um... how about the... ohh I dont know... The DVD? If you remeber way back when.. the DVD wasnt doing so well.. especialy in Japan.. until the PS2 came out then people baught the PS2 mostly as a cheap DVD player. The same could hold true for this generation of consols .. though there are HD DVD players out that are cheaper then the PS3.. your forgetting that the PS3 is still in its launch cycle, they havnt introduced the first round of price cuts to it yet, and unlike previous years when they realesed low, and found there equipment going for much higher on EBAY there using the echonomics of scale to there advantage, getting the people who are willing to pay out of the way first.. then treating the rest of us later.

    26. Re:It's quite easy, really. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

      They did "win" vs a little thing called DAT, if you recall.

      No I don't recall. What I remember is that the RIAA effectively killed the DAT industry. The RIAA demanded that the US legislature require "copy protection" on all DAT recorders since they would make a "perfect" copy of any audio source. And of course, the US legislature nodded their heads in agreement. Unfortunately, all copy protection schemes proposed ruined the audio quality. An example of one of the schemes was to notch out a certain frequency. If the recorder detected insufficient audio content at that frequency it would refuse to record.

    27. Re:It's quite easy, really. by Mark+Maughan · · Score: 1
      Actually, there were two competing formats for DVDs as there are now for its successor.

      No, there were going to be two competing formats. But the two sides joined together and used Toshiba's disc with Sony & Phillips encoding. This is nothing like the situation today where 2 different formats have actually been released.

      Sony and Philips lost, and ended up agreeing to the other format with one modification.

      Sony and Philips didn't loose, that's your spin. They partnered up with Toshiba to make one superior product instead of two inferior products. It's a win-win situation. If they hadn't partnered up, we would have been stuck with something akin to an SVCD and DVD's that would have required a cartridge.
    28. Re:It's quite easy, really. by Thansal · · Score: 1
      I think the most important factors for Wii success are people like my father who hasn't been into video games since the 2600 and is now frantically looking for a Wii for himself.

      Disclaimer: I am a Nintendo Fanboy, however I tend to be the proof that not all fanboys are mindless.

      I wouldn't say it is the most important, but I would say it is a key facor.

      To me the key things are:
      1) Price. Yah $250 isn't actualy THAT good, however compared to the other 2 it is (especialy with the price of games included). This is part of the reason I would not be suprised to see alot of people with both a 360/ps3 and a Wii.

      2) Pickup and play. The good games are very intuitive and are just straight up pick up and play games.

      3) Envolving. Same deal, you pick up, get right into the acction and start acting like a raving loony.

      4) Fun for all ages. They seem to have managed to make games that gorwnups, kids, hardcore gamers, ex-gamers, etc can all enjoy.

      Yah, I am a nintendo fanboy, but I still don't have a Wii actualy. Why? Still addicted to a number of DS games and CBA to chase down a Wii in my free time that I could spend playing DS games or (more importantly) Spending it with friends/family.
      --
      Do Or Do Not, There Is No Spoon, There Is Only Zuul. Everything in the above post is probably opinion.
    29. Re:It's quite easy, really. by fistfullast33l · · Score: 1

      I've watched a few Blu-ray and DVD movies on my PS3 with no problems. It's really a great player. I don't have an HDTV though, so I can't speak to image quality. The only thing I noticed is that the PS3 does get a bit hot so make sure it's well ventillated and you should be fine. At my parents over Christmas it was out in the open and I never heard the fan but now that I'm home it's in my entertainment center and the fan will go on after an hour or so. I've started leaving the glass door open so the heat will ventillate which has helped quite a bit.

    30. Re:It's quite easy, really. by Fred_A · · Score: 1
      MemorySticks? All over the place. Particularly in high end cameras and phones.
      Huh ? Have you even ever seen a high end camera ? They *all* use Compact Flash cards with SD/MMC starting to gain a little. Absolutely *none* use MemorySticks. Even the Alpha100, Sony's very own high-end (sortof) camera, only half heartedly supports it (you need a CompactFlash adapter).

      *Some* Sony phones use MemorySticks. That's it.

      Nobody uses that braindead format because users don't want to try and figure out the difference between MemoryStick; MemoryStick Duo, MemoryStick Pro, MemoryStick Pro HG, MemoryStick Pro HG-Duo, and whatever other silly variants there are, not to mention the adapters that let some fit into some others.

      Basically unless stuck with a Sony camera that only takes MemorySticks (which in itselft might be ok since they do have some very good cameras), everyone I've see avoids those like the plague. Lots of people even avoid the fairly good Sony hardware just because of that memory format.

      Memory Stick should die.

      It's a shame the minidisk didn't work though, before the CDR took off, it really was better than tapes (if only because of random access goodness). And I have used Betacams for years. Sony and other licenced makes. All very good gear.

      As for the next new and improved CD/DVD format, I have to admit I couldn't care less. As long as the content can be unscrambled and read on my machine or reencoded for my pocket media player, they can store it on crystal-holo-cubes for all I care.
      --

      May contain traces of nut.
      Made from the freshest electrons.
    31. Re:It's quite easy, really. by Chris+Burke · · Score: 1

      Disclaimer: I am a Nintendo Fanboy, however I tend to be the proof that not all fanboys are mindless.

      If, like me, you've been a Nintendo fan since the NES days, then you have by necessity had your fanboism weathered by the harsh winds of reality. You'd have to be a true loony of a fanboy to think not having FFVII on the N64 was a good thing, just as an example.

      That's why I call myself an Nintendo fan, because a fan is someone who likes something and thinks favorably of it, but isn't so out of touch with reality that they can't see or admit to its shortcomings. Whereas a fanboy is someone who's own ego is so wrapped up in whatever it is that they can't even conceive of negative things, and react with hostility to anyone who can as though it were an attack on themselves.

      Case in point: I loved Wind Waker, but I was really dissapointed at the Triforce search quest that they used to pad out the game, which I found painfully boring, though I still recommend finishing it because the final battle with Ganondorf is amazing. I was called a Nintendo hater -- yse, hater -- by a fanboy for having this opinion. Since even the maker of the game admitted that this was a flaw, I can't help but roll my eyes.

      Yah, I am a nintendo fanboy, but I still don't have a Wii actualy. Why? Still addicted to a number of DS games and CBA to chase down a Wii in my free time that I could spend playing DS games or (more importantly) Spending it with friends/family.

      I'll be getting one when I don't have to give a shit about phoning every store in town or getting on notification lists so I can rush down to a store just as the truck arrives in hopes of beating out everyone else doing the same thing. Zelda will be just as cool next month.

      --

      The enemies of Democracy are
    32. Re:It's quite easy, really. by Thansal · · Score: 1

      hehehe, all true points, I screamed bloody murder when I found out Square was moving from Nintendo over to Sony, yet I was still backed the 64, why? loadtimes. That was what always ticked me off in playing the early CD/DVD games, horrible, horrible load times. And yes, Nintendo has made pleanty of mistakes, and I acknowledge them all (including the problems in windwaker).

      But I still consider myself a fanboy, just not a mindless raving loony. Whenever nintendo makes an announcement about something new I always have to find as much info as I can (something I only do for Nintendo and Valve generaly), download the videos of the press conferance, etc etc etc. (And I am still angry about the lack of Smash bros, with Online play, as a launch title).

      --
      Do Or Do Not, There Is No Spoon, There Is Only Zuul. Everything in the above post is probably opinion.
    33. Re:It's quite easy, really. by Chris+Burke · · Score: 1

      That's a pretty delusional list of "successes". UMD is as much a "standard" as GBA carts? MemorySticks are the bastard child of flash memory. Mini-Disc. Oh yeah.

      You can claim the CD as a success, though I attribute most of that to Phillips, but most importantly there was no competing standard for digital music.

      There's a few other companies on the Blu-Ray board that have a vested interest in it succeeding - but they are pipsqueaks like Disney, Apple and Sun.

      Ooh, media giant Sun! But you know there's a difference between supporting a format and being the driving force behind it. You may as well claim that the Coalition of the Willing includes the UK... so it isn't basically the U.S.'s war to win or lose? If Sony dropped out of Blu-Ray, it would die instantly.

      Frankly I think both MS and Sony are delusional if they think they can get a critical mass of people to switch to one of two incompatible next-gen formats from their currently perfectly functional DVDs. "Supports half of new releases" is never going to convince anyone. If Sony doesn't stop preventing dual-format players from being made in their desperate desire to "win" and crush their enemy, then I predict you'll be able to chalk up BluRay -- and HD-DVD as well -- amongst the list of failures.

      --

      The enemies of Democracy are
    34. Re:It's quite easy, really. by hackstraw · · Score: 2, Interesting

      For the last decade Sony's content divisions have been essentially destroying their hardware division from the inside. People once regarded Sony as the default brand to buy when purchasing consumer electronics. Now, anyone who is remotely informed avoids their products like the plague. Sony's insistence on making their hardware and content divisions cooperate has insured that nearly every product they release is crippled right out of the gate with DRM and proprietary formats doomed to obscurity.

      What I don't understand is how an orginization the size of Sony behaves like a psychotic genious?

      Yes, Sony is on my shitlist as well, mostly due to their usability, DRM and other psychosis ridden behaviors, but from a technical POV their proprietary stuff is actually technically sound, but they simply don't seem to want people to use it.

      SDDS is at least as good as DTS for multi-channel sound. Both are better than DD. But Sony doesn't seem to want people to be able to use it, so who cares?

      Although the minidisc may of had its issues, ATRAC, especially ATRAC3 is a good lossy encoder. But who cares? My car stereo has a licensed Sony technology where I can record onto a Sony memory stick via ATRAC3 compression. Its been a while since I read the manual, but all I remember was that the rules and regulations for even testing the recording capabilities of the deck just made it not worth the investment in a memory stick or my time to even test it.

      SACD. Technically the best audio format one can get in their home. Sony doesn't want you to use it though. I had a SACD capable DVD/CD player and a Sony digital receiver. So, to play audio CDs or DVDs I can just put the disk into the player and use the digital out and the receiver will properly decode the signal and enjoy! Well, to enjoy a SACD from a Sony player on a Sony receiver I have to hook up 6 analog cables and hit a special button on the receiver to select the analog cables over the digital ones to play a SACD. Keep in mind that this is a multi-disk player, so when the player switches to or from a SACD disk everything is different although it is coming from the same player. WTF? So, I erroniously bought a SACD at the same time that I bought the SACD player, and haven't even listened to it all the way though. Try explaining to your wife, friend, babysitter, or whever, that the silver disk that looks just like every other CD or DVD but its "better" has to be played a special way from the same player and receiver even though they are all made by the same people.

      WTF?

      It simply does not matter how technologically good or even sufficient something is. If it can't be used or at least used the same way as everything else it simply won't be used. SDDS, ATRAC, SACD are basically worthless technology simply because Sony doesn't want people to use the stuff. The most sucessful is SDDS because they allow some movie theaters/producers to use the format, but Sony simply does not want to play nice with the rest of the 5 billion people on this planet.

    35. Re:It's quite easy, really. by businessnerd · · Score: 1
      Yes, when have they done that?
      You're argument has been countered already by many, but they all seem to forget the finest example of Sony flopping on a media format. Perhaps it was too obvious, but no one should EVER forget the quintessential example of what happens in a format war.

      I am speaking, of course, about Betamax
      --
      "It's not whether you win or lose, it's how drunk you get." -- H. J. Simpson
    36. Re:It's quite easy, really. by Thansal · · Score: 1

      The only cases of PS3s sitting on shelvs that I have seen reported are those of blisterpack bundles that include 5 games (that you might want one of), an extra controler (or 6), a number of useles things (media cards?), and farken "product protection" schemes.

      I am a nintendo fanboy, but I prefer to fight fair. I have yet to see a store that had a stand alone (or reasonably bundled) PS3 sitting on their shelves for longer then a day. (admitedly, thier low shippment numbers still have it at the bottom for units sold, but that is a different matter)

      --
      Do Or Do Not, There Is No Spoon, There Is Only Zuul. Everything in the above post is probably opinion.
    37. Re:It's quite easy, really. by thatguywhoiam · · Score: 1
      Why's that? Because an upsampled DVD looks pretty damned good.

      That's not why. Look, I tend to agree with you. Most people don't complain about their TV picture. But you are making a completely value judgement. Some other nerds, the AV hardcore types, LOVE this stuff. Look at the stereos. And they push they market. I saw a 32" 720p flatscreen LCD on sale yesterday for $700 Canadian. Its coming. And it doesn't even need 'average folks' to push it - these sets will soon be the only thing in stores. Try to buy a black and white TV lately? Anyways, thanks for the reply.

      --
      If Jesus wants me it knows where to find me.
    38. Re:It's quite easy, really. by thatguywhoiam · · Score: 1
      That's a pretty delusional list of "successes". UMD is as much a "standard" as GBA carts?

      Not sure how I can make this clearer: yes. What else can you use a GBA cart for? nothing, games. UMD? Now, nothing, just games. Its a wash. Except the UMDs are much cheaper to make.

      You can claim the CD as a success, though I attribute most of that to Phillips, but most importantly there was no competing standard for digital music.

      Attribute what you like; we were discussing Sony's successes and failures at marketplace standards.

      Ooh, media giant Sun! But you know there's a difference between supporting a format and being the driving force behind it.

      Ok, bad example. (You skipped Disney, conveniently.) Go wiki the Blu Ray consortium, you'll get a better list.

      If Sony dropped out of Blu-Ray, it would die instantly.

      No, it would become yet another game format - this was covered above. Seriously, what are you not getting about that? What could you use those black reverse-spinning PS1 discs for? Did anyone care? No.

      If Sony doesn't stop preventing dual-format players from being made in their desperate desire to "win" and crush their enemy, then I predict you'll be able to chalk up BluRay -- and HD-DVD as well -- amongst the list of failures.

      Sony is simply acting as the point man in this little fight, but I assure you they are hardly alone.

      --
      If Jesus wants me it knows where to find me.
    39. Re:It's quite easy, really. by drinkypoo · · Score: 1
      Some other nerds, the AV hardcore types, LOVE this stuff.

      While this is true, again, they are a statistically insignificant segment of the population.

      I saw a 32" 720p flatscreen LCD on sale yesterday for $700 Canadian. Its coming. And it doesn't even need 'average folks' to push it - these sets will soon be the only thing in stores. Try to buy a black and white TV lately?

      There is a massive investment in the equipment and facilities necessary to make tube TVs and they will continue to milk it until there is no profit left to be made. Given how much cheaper the bargain electronics-brand tube televisions are than the major name brands, I think there is quite a lot of leeway left there.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    40. Re:It's quite easy, really. by Chris+Burke · · Score: 0

      Not sure how I can make this clearer: yes. What else can you use a GBA cart for? nothing, games. UMD? Now, nothing, just games. Its a wash. Except the UMDs are much cheaper to make.

      Exactly, it's a wash. Now let me make my point clearer: "A wash" with something not intended in any way to be a standard media format is not a success at creating a standard media format. They wanted UMD to be a standard media format. It ended up as nothing but a game format for a specific game machine. That equals failure. "As much a standard as GBA carts" is failure because GBA carts are not a standard. GBA carts never wanted to be, so you can't call them a failure. UMD disks? Absolutely a failure.

      Attribute what you like; we were discussing Sony's successes and failures at marketplace standards.

      Yep, and the success of CD occured only when there was no competition, which makes it a rather poor example to analogize to current events.

      But please keep that phrase "marketplace standards" in mind.

      Ok, bad example. (You skipped Disney, conveniently.) Go wiki the Blu Ray consortium, you'll get a better list.

      If Sony dropped BluRay, Disney would switch to HD-DVD. The members of the consortium who are only media providers have no vested interest in BluRay as such, for them it's about business arrangements which were they to fall through has no dramatic impact on them.

      No, it would become yet another game format - this was covered above. Seriously, what are you not getting about that?

      Is Sony interested in BluRay being just YAGF? Does Disney care about YAGF? I thought we were talking about marketplace standards for media formats. "The game format used in the PS3 and no other game consoles" is not a marketplace standard. What are you not getting about that?

      If at the end of the day the only thing you can do with BluRay is play PS3 games, then yes, it failed. It will last for the lifetime of the PS3 and then be replaced by YAGF for PS4. In other words, BluRay will be for the PS3 what N64 carts were for the N64. Are N64 carts a standard media format? No, and they never tried to be. BluRay is trying to be, so if it is not, then it is a failure.

      If you're seriously implying that BluRay being relegated to YAGF status would not be a dramatic failure for Sony and all the movie (as in not games) providers, you're delusional.

      Sony is simply acting as the point man in this little fight, but I assure you they are hardly alone.

      That's nice. They weren't alone on UMD or BetaMax either... until those formats failed, and their supporters jumped ship to the winner.

      --

      The enemies of Democracy are
    41. Re:It's quite easy, really. by thatguywhoiam · · Score: 1
      There is a massive investment in the equipment and facilities necessary to make tube TVs and they will continue to milk it until there is no profit left to be made. Given how much cheaper the bargain electronics-brand tube televisions are than the major name brands, I think there is quite a lot of leeway left there.

      Again, i find myself agreeing with your basic principle - I think we just differ on the speed of the change. I am in a big metro area, perhaps I am biased. Anyways.

      --
      If Jesus wants me it knows where to find me.
    42. Re:It's quite easy, really. by thatguywhoiam · · Score: 1
      Ok, let me apologize, I misread you before.

      We're talking about marketplace successes. I see two here, the media and the games, right? Now, first assertation was that failure of the media part of blu-ray would consitute a huge loss for Sony and I agree there. But would it be a failure of the format, well, not really. Games are a bigger industry than movies or music - perhaps not combined but music is a nonstarter. But it would only be for one platform, the PS3. If that platform is a success anything like the PS2 then the investment in blu-ray from Sony's POV is at least paid for. For Disney and other media companies it would be total failure. In this way, blu-ray could be a failure in the marketplace for movies but still work out (for Sony) if the PS3 itself is successful. That's my position. We could argue about that one for awhile but without knowing exactly what has been spent and what deals are in place its all hand-waving anyways.

      About the UMD:

      They wanted UMD to be a standard media format.

      You know I'm not really so sure they did, despite the stupid name. It seems more like a convenient side-effect of developing the PSP. They never pushed it like MiniDisc, there were no UMD writers or media. And Sony always releases those things traditionally. I think it more likely they made a design decision to use small minidisc-like media for a bunch of internal political and manufacturing reasons. The PSP can deal with downloaded games just fine and they push that, so its obviously not a huge deal.

      Yep, and the success of CD occured only when there was no competition, which makes it a rather poor example to analogize to current events.

      Ok, fair enough.

      The members of the consortium who are only media providers have no vested interest in BluRay as such, for them it's about business arrangements which were they to fall through has no dramatic impact on them.

      Are you sure about that? I'm asking as I actually have no idea what investment is required to be in 'the consortium'.

      Is Sony interested in BluRay being just YAGF? Does Disney care about YAGF?

      I would say yes to both, obviously more Sony. Disney cares like they care about whatever is prevalent.

      If at the end of the day the only thing you can do with BluRay is play PS3 games, then yes, it failed.

      Totally disagree. They have several other ways of leveraging this tech, its not solely for movie distribution.

      Bear with me a sec and I will explain my reasoning.

      When you examine both the technical specifications for HD-DVD and Blu-Ray, as well as the software/codecs they both use, you realize that they are very close. In fact the only discernible difference is that the BDs have a higher density. Both use MPEG-4 containers for video streams, both use a variation of H.264 encoding. Either disc can use either codec, H.264 or MS's VC-1. These two codecs themselves are 95% similar; the only difference being that VC-1 is a little friendlier in terms of playback processing required, and H.264 leans towards quality at the cost of needing higher processing to decode. And the discs themselves are two substrates, 120mm each. Other than the precise optical pickup method they are twins.

      The upshot of this is that it is actually very easy to produce media content for either disc. The conversion is trivial.

      When presented with two disc formats that are basically the same in every way other than the fact that one holds a lot more, what do you think the drift will be?

      Putting all of that aside, Sony also needs a standardized optical HD format for all their other pro video (and audio) gear. DigiBeta doesn't exactly cut it anymore. So there are strategic reasons for offering this. At the end of the day they are a hardware company more than anything else. Schizophrenic hardware company, but nonetheless...

      --
      If Jesus wants me it knows where to find me.
    43. Re:It's quite easy, really. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I have...I've seen 20+ sitting in a cage at Fry's a couple of days before Xmas.

      I asked if they were for sale, they said "yes." I asked if there were bundled, they said "no."

    44. Re:It's quite easy, really. by Gizzmonic · · Score: 1

      The real hardcore AV types are still using CRT, since the color is better and you don't have to worry about the horribly cheap scalers that make fixed-pixel displays look like crap when they're fed SDTV.

      --
      (-1, Raw and Uncut is the only way to read)
    45. Re:It's quite easy, really. by soliptic · · Score: 1
      [Minidiscs]... did "win" vs a little thing called DAT, if you recall.
      I don't recall. In fact, as I recall, they weren't even competing in the same space. Minidiscs were in the "Walkman, but the media has a few advantages over cassette tapes" space. I can't remember anyone walking around with a portable DAT player and in-ear headphones - as far as I remember such a product was never offered. DAT machines, on the other hand, were ubiquitous (and probably still are) in the professional recording studio sector, where the Minidisc (being a lossily compressed format) would never be considered for a split second.
    46. Re:It's quite easy, really. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      you'll need to plan on using the wireless game controller to control Blu-Ray playback, or you'll need to spend $30 to get Sony's Bluetooth remote control

      Aw, $30 for the remote. After spending $70 per game, movie, $300 on the PS3 and $3000 on a HD flat screen, I bloody well can't be bothered to spend another $30 on a remote. I would never spend that much money on something!

    47. Re:It's quite easy, really. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Denial isn't just a river in Egypt. It's been reported in the Japanese and US press along with reports from all the major retailers that the PS3 is in stock and staying that way due to low demand. These are unbundled units. I live in the Bay Area (geek central) and all the stores have stacks of these things clogging the aisles with desperate-looking hand-written signs saying things like "These are in stock now!" and "Free with purchase". Best Buy also said this week that the most RETURNED item this Christmas was the PS3. I guess Joe Sixpack couldn't figure out why his "new fangled Blue Disc Thingy" didn't look any better than DVD when hooked up to his old 19-inch CRT using the supplied composite cable. Sony has a flop of Virtual Boy proportions on its hands.

    48. Re:It's quite easy, really. by HappySqurriel · · Score: 1

      Not quite that simple. The PS3 will *probably* win, but it's highly unlikely that it's ever going to win to the same extent that the PS2 did.

      I think the more appropriate thing to say is the PS3 could possibly win. Currently, the PS3 has been selling at a similar rate to how the Gamecube sold in both North America and Japan; most of this (at the moment) is that the PS3 has had such a limited supply, but the systems are available for purchase from online retailers and the eBay prices were lower than what people expected.

      The PS3 has had a slow start, this is undeniable. Poor launch-titles (only Resistance worth playing, and even that arguably not as good as Gears of War), a hideous price-tag and hyped shortages so severe that many people were put off from even looking have all contributed to a launch that was more of a whimper than a bang. However, with so many of the big franchises still being tied to the PS3, I'd expect to see the picture change once the first round of price cuts hits (and Sony can't afford to wait too long with these).

      The PSP has been on the market for nearly two years and has yet to recieve a price drop in spite of many analysts saying the PSP is in desperate need of a price drop. Sony has never attempted to compete on price, regardless on whether they needed to or not. A lot of the big name titles are likely to get delayed and if (big if) the PS3 sells poorly they will be ported to the XBox 360.

      The Wii has had a strong launch, thanks to the novelty value and a media hype campaign (willingly bought into by many outlets and grass-roots types who want to play the root-for-the-underdog aspect) that surpasses even the PS2's, but I'd expect to see things plateauing in about 6 months, given that all the classic signs of another Nintendo flop in the same vein as the N64 and Gamecube are on the horizon. A slow schedule of "big" releases from Nintendo and very few AAA titles from 3rd party developers will have the usual effect, plus Nintendo are, for the first time, faced with the prospect of competing from the back of the technological pack, with many Wii launch titles, including Zelda, looking no better than late-era PS2 games.

      History tells us that this never happens ... I have never seen a gaming platform sell really well for 6-9 months only to drop off in sales ...

      If the Wii continues to sell well (which it probably will, because the Wii is still sold out everywhere in spite of steady re-supplies and the end of the holiday season) third party developers will support the system. After E3 last year many developers will be demonstrating games for the first time at E3 this year, and with the initial sales of the Wii being so strong their will be tons of announced games as well; I expect that every publisher in the World will be pushing their DS and Wii content at E3.

      Realistically, at the end of this round of the console wars, I'd expect to see Sony with about a 50% share, MS with about 35% and Nintendo with the rest.

      I would say that it is WAY too early to discount Nintendo and Microsoft or to proclaim Sony the Winner; first Sony has to demonstrate that they can lead in sales in any region in the world for any time period (even surpassing the Wii for one week in Japan would do).

    49. Re:It's quite easy, really. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This is sort of a comical Slashdot fantasy, the idea that nobody is buying PS3s. Despite the console's (in my opinion) ridiculous price, and despite scattered anecdotal reports that a pile of them were spotted on the shelf of a shop in West Bumf**k USA, you cannot at this writing buy one online from Amazon, Target, J&R Music World, Costco, or Best Buy -- they are all out of stock. Wal-Mart has a limited supply and will only sell it as part of a $900 bundle. Only Circuit City seems to have them at the moment, probably because everyone hates Circuit "Divx" City. And I'm sure Sony is just crying their eyes out after moving $500 million gross of these units in three weeks.

      As for Nintendo, if they also have a manufacturing problem that keeps their availability even lower than the PS3's, it's just that -- a problem.

    50. Re:It's quite easy, really. by metamatic · · Score: 1

      I went to Best Buy, Target and GameStop looking for a Wii.

      They all had PS3s just sitting there in boxes waiting to be sold.

      The PS3 was in stock at circuitcity.com and bestbuy.com for several days in the last week.

      So yes, I believe there are PS3s sitting around unsold.

      --
      GCHQ Quantum Insert installed. If only our tongues were made of glass, how much more careful we would be when we speak
  5. Until a winner is declared by Rik+Sweeney · · Score: 5, Funny

    the high definition DVD format war will continue until a winner is declared

    Couldn't get more Irish than that could you? Here's another pearl of wisdom:

    Ah, to be sure it'll rain tomorrow unless it doesn't.

    1. Re:Until a winner is declared by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Alternatively "the beatings will continue until morale improves".

      There needn't be a winner in a format war. Remember MiniDisc v Digital Cassette? The winner then was MP3. Remember SACD v DVD-Audio? The winner in that war was, well, nobody really as neither format sells in large quantities.

    2. Re:Until a winner is declared by j00r0m4nc3r · · Score: 1

      Ah, to be sure it'll rain tomorrow unless it doesn't.

      And that rain will make water more wet.

    3. Re:Until a winner is declared by david.given · · Score: 2, Insightful

      There needn't be a winner in a format war. Remember MiniDisc v Digital Cassette? The winner then was MP3. Remember SACD v DVD-Audio? The winner in that war was, well, nobody really as neither format sells in large quantities.

      Personally, I expect the winner is going to be likely to be EVD or FVD, the alternative Asian standards. If HDDVD and Blu-Ray keep faffing around like this, they're going to swamped by a tide of next-generation Asian electronics that will be cheap, flexible and Just Work. Which neither HDDVD or Blu-Ray do, reliably.

    4. Re:Until a winner is declared by Tony+Hoyle · · Score: 1

      I expect the winner to be downloadable and locally stored movies. iTV, Xbox media centre, etc.

      It's a bit of a fringe technology at the moment but I suspect it'll take off in the next few years.

    5. Re:Until a winner is declared by powerlord · · Score: 1

      I'd agree with you, except that the deciding factor is not just price, but content, and right now, I don't see the "Major Movie Studios" lining up to put out their movies on EVD or FVD disks.

      In contrast they are mostly choosing sides on Blu-Ray and HD-DVD.

      As a telling point, Disney has already signed on to the Blu-Ray Bandwagon. Considering Disney's connection to Apple, consider what would happen if apple comes out with an iTV, and it includes a Blu-Ray drive in it so you can also play your Blu-Ray/DVD/CD disks in it?

      If this happens then the war is effectively over (although it may have to play out through attrition).

      --
      This space for rent. All reasonable inquiries will be entertained at proprietors discretion.
  6. Ahh well... by JJC · · Score: 2, Funny

    If only he'd said it was in the "final throes": then we'd have known he was worth taking seriously...

  7. Consumer "confusion"? by noidentity · · Score: 4, Insightful
    Some believe the industry at large is being damaged by the war due to consumer rejection.

    There, corrected that for you.

    1. Re:Consumer "confusion"? by plover · · Score: 1
      Some believe the industry at large is being damaged by the war due to consumer indifference.
      There, corrected that for you.

      There, corrected that correction for you.

      --
      John
    2. Re:Consumer "confusion"? by somersault · · Score: 1

      I'd call it more patience in waiting to see which format has more early adoption suckers latching on, and then the group with the more suckers is declared the winner. Actually maybe that's maybe why it isn't always the technically superior format that wins..

      --
      which is totally what she said
    3. Re:Consumer "confusion"? by Jugalator · · Score: 1

      Indifference? I'd be more than willing to upgrade if I knew which format to bet on, or had dual format burners for a reasonable price out by now. I'm not really indifferent to this technology. I'd perhaps rather call the whole thing "frustrating".

      --
      Beware: In C++, your friends can see your privates!
    4. Re:Consumer "confusion"? by Dogtanian · · Score: 1

      Your personal opinion- that is, a self-selecting, non-randomly-chosen sample of size *1*- is hardly sufficient grounds to rebut a comment about consumer opinion in general.

      --
      "Slashdot - News and Chat Sites Deviant". (Click "homepage" link above for details).
    5. Re:Consumer "confusion"? by GeckoX · · Score: 1

      That depends.

      With DVD, the superior (technically) format won...well, it was really the only format. It was PURELY early adopters and audiophiles that built the viable base for the DVD market to expand from.

      However the last battle before that saw VHS vs BETA. BETA was clearly superior there...but they were both presented to the public at a similar time, VHS was cheaper, and there was not enough of a 'high end' videophile market to wedge BETA in there before VHS took off and became the de-facto standard.

      This time around, it will have just about nothing to do with the superior product unfortunately. There is no outstanding high end feature on one format that doesn't exist on the other and there is no time for the early adopters to shape the market anyways. It's going to come down to availability and price.

      I think Blu-Ray is going to win simply because already it is quite obvious that there are a LOT more movies available for it. Price of Blu-Ray movies is comparable to HD movies...no winner there. Both are priced only about $10 more than their DVD counter-parts. (IE, fairly reasonably attailable. Remember the price of DVD movies for the first couple years they were available?)

      The PS3 will be a bit of a factor here. The 360 will only help drive HD-DVD sales via those gamers that give a hoop. Most won't as the 360 fits so well into the 'game console' mold. The PS3 may though as each owner there automatically has Blu-Ray. Looking at the history there...Sony including a DVD player in the PS2 actually allowed for a HUGE surge in the adoption of DVD's as the standard. DVD's were being adopted already, but it wasn't until the PS2 that people really started dropping VHS en masse and moved over to DVD.

      Sony isn't stupid, but that doesn't always guarantee them a win either.

      --
      No Comment.
    6. Re:Consumer "confusion"? by somersault · · Score: 1

      Well I agree with all of that. I remember we had a Betamax player because we eventually lost a few of our movies, I was really young at the time so I didn't even realise there was more than one format. I think the Betamax tapes were kinda curvy :p . We used to just watch DVDs on our PC until we got our PS2, though we do have some awesome speakers so it wasn't much of a problem. I was planning on buying a PS3, though they don't come out in the UK until March, so I'm not sure what's going to happen now. I'm pretty happy to hear that Blu-ray is winning out on content though, will justify me spending >£400 on a PS3. I've bought a Wii, so if the developers keep developing for both systems and actually make decent use of the Wii's capabilities (both graphically and controller wise), then there's a chance I won't get a PS3... not likely though.

      --
      which is totally what she said
    7. Re:Consumer "confusion"? by drinkypoo · · Score: 1
      Actually maybe that's maybe why it isn't always the technically superior format that wins..

      I don't think that makes much sense... I'd think that most of the early adopters are people with a lot of money, and they would go for the best. There must be some other reason.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    8. Re:Consumer "confusion"? by somersault · · Score: 1

      I'd like to think there's some sarcasm in there, but it almost seems like you're serious. Most expensive != best, witness: Microsoft Windows, iPod, expensive supercars that have poorer build quality than a family car, etc..

      --
      which is totally what she said
    9. Re:Consumer "confusion"? by jumpingfred · · Score: 1

      Beta was not the clearly superior format. You could not record a whole movie on a beta tape when you could record a 2 hour movie on VHS. By the time the 2 hour beta tapes came out the war had been lost.

    10. Re:Consumer "confusion"? by GeckoX · · Score: 1

      From a purely technical standpoint which is what is being discussed, Beta was superior. Much better quality. The point being it didn't matter. Certainly it didn't help any that VHS could hold a whole movie from the get go though.

      --
      No Comment.
  8. Lets not forget... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Bill Gates yesterday on live CNN at CES voiced his backing of HD-DVD. I am pretty sure that Microsoft makes sony look like a joke right now.

    1. Re:Lets not forget... by somersault · · Score: 1

      "I am pretty sure that Microsoft makes sony look like a joke right now."

      How, exactly? They're not really direct competitors anywhere but on the console market, and the 360 had a pretty lukewarm reception from what I recall. The 360 was out first, but it's probably going to be inferior in all ways (depending on whether you call the price being higher as it being inferior). Anyway, just wait until Vista is widely adopted, then you can start laughing at Microsoft again, don't worry.

      --
      which is totally what she said
    2. Re:Lets not forget... by djupedal · · Score: 1

      "Bill Gates yesterday on live CNN at CES voiced his backing of ..."

      The chump also said that the world wants and needs 'variety', claiming that Apple is at a significant disadvantage due to the 'lock-in' as demonstrated by iTS. I want some of what he seems to be smoking...

      BG has never shown much vision in terms of knowing what lies ahead. Note that his book 'The Road Ahead' is now pretty much just a list of things he got wrong back then - and there is nothing now that so much as hints the clown's predictive skills have improved.

      "I am pretty sure that Microsoft makes sony look like a joke right now."

      Both look like jokes and both are fully capable of achieving said status all on their own, without help from the other.

  9. One Word... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    BETAMAX

  10. In other words... by hollismb · · Score: 1

    I'm still not planning on buying either one of those formats. And I'm normally an early adopter. Even if I bought a PS3 (which I'm not planning on) I still can't see myself buying any Blu-Ray discs until this whole format debacle gets settled.

    1. Re:In other words... by Xugumad · · Score: 1

      Agree. Not enough content, too expensive, too high risk, not enough benefit. Frankly at this point I couldn't care if both formats flop and we're stuck with regular DVDs for another 5 years until someone tries HD again. Ideally with less arguing this time.

  11. Was Wondering How Zonk Was Gonna Spin This by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    http://www.engadget.com/2007/01/08/l...ss-conferen ce/

    Blu-ray has 96% of the HD player market in Japan. In terms of Japan the game is already over there.

    Only 4 of the top 20 DVD last year are from HD DVD camp. Almost all the top 20 movies are only available on Blu-ray.

    Understanding and solutions believe Blu-ray will sell more discs.

    Quote:
    BDA has seen a 700% increase in software sales since mind-Nov. with the launch of PS3 and additional Blu-ray devices.
    Top 5 Selling titles to Date in order: Underworld Evolution, Talladega Nights, Fifth Element, Click , Ultraviolet.

    Quote:
    Survey from 10k respondents plan to purchase Blu-ray moves to view on their PS3.
    75% of the respondents plan to use their PS3 as a primary device for watching movies.
    80% of 1 million = an installed base of 800,000.
    Same source estimates that PS3 will far outsell the X-Box Drive.

    Largest variety of movies.
    Largest variety of hardware.
    Only gaming console with built-in HD movie playback.

    Quote:
    Half of the Sony titles will be BD50GB, despite what HD DVD said.

    They will release 18 titles by the end of Feb.
    The Decent was 50GB and is the first with PIP, and has BDJ.
    They announce more titles than we can type, look forward for the press releases, when they are available
    Bob Chapek President of Disney.

    Quote:
    Over 20 Blu-ray titles in the first half of 2007, many world wide.
    Mic makes loud noise, everyone jumps! Bob says "I didn't realize the other side wanted to win that bad" Everyone laughs.
    He goes on to cover the previously announced Blu-ray titles.
    From the fox film exec himself:

    Quote:
    On Dec 20th BD outpaced HD DVD.

    Fox will continue to be aggressive with BDJ.
    7-10 titles per month, most will be 50GB.
    Will continue with day and date releases.
    .

    Quote:
    Sony will target 90-100 titles for 2007.
    Once again there were many movies including Casino Royal which will be AVC encoded. All the big releases from the middle of the year will be AVC.
    Half of the Sony titles will be BD50, despite what HD DVD said.

    Quote:
    When will the format war end?
    If we had a crystal ball we wouldn't need to do press conferences like this. It is a matter of time before the fact that BDA is the winner is evident to everyone.

    I love the fact that a bunch of diehard Microsoft/Xbox fanatics went out and wasted 200 dollars on a giant ugly peripheral for a dead format.

    No matter how much you can't stand that BluRay has won the format war, everyone here on Slashdot has to enjoy the fact that the bitter little fuck Zonk is crying his eyes out over the death of HD-DVD.

    1. Re:Was Wondering How Zonk Was Gonna Spin This by Macthorpe · · Score: 1

      1) Your link is broken,

      2) Your layout stinks and it was only 30 seconds of trying to decipher how to read your shit before I gave up, and

      3) Don't project your bitter disappointment that Zonk rejected your advances onto a DVD format war. It's not healthy.

      --
      "It does not do to leave a live dragon out of your calculations, if you live near him." - Tolkien
    2. Re:Was Wondering How Zonk Was Gonna Spin This by lonechicken · · Score: 1

      Damn it! And Spiderman 3 is going to be a big push for the Blu-ray camp come Christmas season as well.

    3. Re:Was Wondering How Zonk Was Gonna Spin This by YU+Nicks+NE+Way · · Score: 1

      I was wondering when you were going to come back, SonyTroll2K7. Welcome -- glad to see you're still here with your broken formatting and bent truths. I do hope, for the sake of your ego, that you don't extend your historical accuracy going forward; I'm not sure it can stand another complete fiasco like your last few predictions about the PS3.

  12. How can they be that confident? by wbren · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Blu-Ray, from what I see, has a few problems (or HD-DVD several advantages).

    1. Lots of people already have an Xbox 360, so the cost of the HD-DVD addon really doesn't seem so bad, compared to the $600 or $1000+ Blu-Ray players.
    2. I can't think of many Blu-ray movies that I just can't live without. There are loads of HD-DVD movies I would love to own.
    3. The Xbox 360 is a more capable media center device. Since the HD-DVD box is part of the 360, that creates a nice little package.
    4. The name. "What the hell is a 'blue...ray'?" When you say HD-DVD they at the very least have a good idea that it's some type of movie disc.

    I just can't see how Blu-ray hopes to make significant inroads into the HD movie market. Maybe this won't even matter. Maybe we'll all have fiber to the curb in 3 years and will stream HD content from Netflix or something.

    --
    -William Brendel
    1. Re:How can they be that confident? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      you forgot pr0n - that industry has jumped on hd-dvd NOT blue-ray...

      just like they jumped on vhs

    2. Re:How can they be that confident? by cpuh0g · · Score: 3, Informative
      1. Lots of people already have an Xbox 360
      "Lots of people" ?? Gee, that sounds like hard, scientific, evidence. I'm not a Sony defender by any means (still playing my 4 year old PS2 just fine), but to insinuate that XB360/HD-DVD as king's of the hill is a little premature. PS3 has only been available in very limited fashion for about 2 months. XB360 has been out for how a while and still lags behind the old PS2 in sales. The high-end XB360 is $400. Tack on the cost of the HD-DVD and you are probably gonna spend over $600, same as you would for a PS3.

      Neither HD-DVD or Blu-Ray really excite me much now, at least as a video medium. DVDs in progressive scan on a high-quality bigscreen TV look pretty damn good to my tired old eyes. HiDef discs might be nice, but not enough to justify the change, at least not for a couple of years.

    3. Re:How can they be that confident? by Jzor · · Score: 1

      3. The Xbox 360 is a more capable media center device. Since the HD-DVD box is part of the 360, that creates a nice little package.

      Have you even seen a PS3 or the 360 HD-DVD drive? Last I checked, the HD-DVD box was a clunky external component and the PS3 had its Blu-ray drive built in. What else then would make the 360 more capable as a media center?
    4. Re:How can they be that confident? by Jugalator · · Score: 1
      4. The name. "What the hell is a 'blue...ray'?" When you say HD-DVD they at the very least have a good idea that it's some type of movie disc.

      Maybe the Blu-ray alliance should think about calling it BD-ROM more often than e.g. "Blu-ray disc", and when that word is needed, instead refer to it as "BD", as in "BD player". At least that sounds like it could help for some.
      --
      Beware: In C++, your friends can see your privates!
    5. Re:How can they be that confident? by jandrese · · Score: 1

      That also helps them get the porn industry in their pocket. Perhaps they should start building players with Smartmedia slots so we can get BDSM releases?

      --

      I read the internet for the articles.
    6. Re:How can they be that confident? by brouski · · Score: 1

      The software. Can a PS3 stream video from your PC?

      --
      Proud member of the American Non Sequitur Society. We might not make much sense, but boy do we love pizza!
    7. Re:How can they be that confident? by Steve525 · · Score: 1

      1. Lots of people already have an Xbox 360, so the cost of the HD-DVD addon really doesn't seem so bad, compared to the $600 or $1000+ Blu-Ray players.

      Perhaps true, but the reality is a year from now a lot less people will own the HD-DVD add-on then a PS3. Sony will win in a pure numbers game. However, Microsoft may introduce a new premium XBOX360 with the HD-DVD built in, which could keep HD-DVD on top.

      2. I can't think of many Blu-ray movies that I just can't live without. There are loads of HD-DVD movies I would love to own.

      I really haven't paid attention to what's available in each format. Since Sony owns a studio, they can keep those titles exclusive to Blue-Ray. (I don't know if they're doing this or not). The other studios will eventually go where the numbers are, unless they are paid off to do otherwise.

      I do think the combination of Sony forcing the units out there (through the PS3) and forcing exclusives will ultimately doom HD-DVD, unless they can do simliar (by making HD-DVD standard on the XBOX360 and paying off studios for exclusives). Unfortunately, if the formats try to compete by getting exclusives then neither will win for a while, and the consumer looses.

      As a side note, even though I think Blue-ray is better positioned to win the format war, Sony may loose the video game war in the process. By forcing Blue-ray through the PS3, they've made the PS3 way too expensive. A few people might buy the PS3 as a cheap Blue-ray player, but they are probably going loosing more people who aren't goint to buy the PS3 because it's too expensive for video games. After the success of PS1 and PS2, this video game round was Sony's to loose. It's not clear if Microsoft will be able to capitilize on Sony's mistakes. Clearly Nintendo's Wii is doing well, but only time will tell if that takes over the market or competes in a different space.

    8. Re:How can they be that confident? by 91degrees · · Score: 1

      The name. "What the hell is a 'blue...ray'?" When you say HD-DVD they at the very least have a good idea that it's some type of movie disc.

      The flipside is "Blu-Ray" sounds cooler. Right now, the potential marketplace is pretty technically proficient and knew what Blu-Ray was before it came out.

    9. Re:How can they be that confident? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      4. The name. "What the hell is a 'blue...ray'?" When you say HD-DVD they at the very least have a good idea that it's some type of movie disc.

      I'd thought you were joking at first. A technology finally has some real mention of how it works [BLUe-violet laser] in its name, and you can't figure it out? Even my redneck clients know CDs 'n' DVDs use lasers to read their optical media. Sheesh.
    10. Re:How can they be that confident? by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Microsoft has sold 10 million Xbox 360s. Sony has shipped something like 1 Million PS3s and we don't even have sales figures - while probably almost all of them have sold, the market is not as strong as, say, the market for the Wii, even though more of them have been shipped, let alone sold.

      It's not clear that the PS3 has lost yet, but barring them coming out with some games capable of selling a $600 system, it's all but over :P

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    11. Re:How can they be that confident? by ivan256 · · Score: 1

      How did you go from Microsoft having shipped 8 million to them having sold 10 million?

      And you don't have sales figures from either company. You only have shipment figures from both companies.

      Regardless, maybe 80 million consoles will be sold this generation. Maybe. The number of High-def video players is either going to be ten times that, or roughly equal to twice the number of PS3s sold. Since the PS3 is the only system with the drive built in, it will either be the largest factor in the format war (unlikely), or all consoles will be insignificant in the format war (likely).

      The predictions of the Slashdot Games section comments are so myopic it is ridiculous. Try looking at the big picture.

    12. Re:How can they be that confident? by FrostyCoolSlug · · Score: 1

      Yes, but blu-ray just sounds so much cooler.

    13. Re:How can they be that confident? by elrous0 · · Score: 1
      Or allow you to download HD movies and TV shows to the hard drive, play a game, and play an HD-DVD all at the same time?

      -Eric

      --
      SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
    14. Re:How can they be that confident? by elrous0 · · Score: 1
      I would also point out that HD-DVD's are currently CONSIDERABLY cheaper than their Blu-ray counterparts. The average HD-DVD title will run you $20-$25 at Amazon (about the same price that DVD's debuted at in 1997). The average Blu-ray title will run you $25-$30.

      Not a huge discrepancy, but not one to be ignored either.

      -Eric

      --
      SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
    15. Re:How can they be that confident? by c00rdb · · Score: 1

      How can you say "CONSIDERABLY" and "Not a huge discrepancy" both?

    16. Re:How can they be that confident? by fistfullast33l · · Score: 0

      I would also point out that HD-DVD's are currently CONSIDERABLY cheaper than their Blu-ray counterparts. The average HD-DVD title will run you $20-$25 ... The average Blu-ray title will run you $25-$30.

      So $5 to $10 is CONSIDERABLY cheaper? A little exaggeration. Just like the guy above you who said "There are so many HD-DVD movies I want and none on Bluray!!!" I mean, who is really paying attention to the titles anyways? I managed to find a pretty good library of both at Best Buy and basically any movie I don't find in Bluray I can get on DVD or vice versa. At this point, sales figures of HD-DVD and Bluray aren't going to matter because, just as the article points out, everyone is waiting to see who will win the format war.

  13. The dickens, you say! by Rob+T+Firefly · · Score: 2, Funny
    The BBC reports that the high definition DVD format war will continue until a winner is declared.
    Well, duh.
    1. Re:The dickens, you say! by UnknowingFool · · Score: 1

      I say BluRay and HD-DVD fight it out like gentlemen: With two pistols and ten paces.

      --
      Well, there's spam egg sausage and spam, that's not got much spam in it.
    2. Re:The dickens, you say! by thetroll123 · · Score: 1

      As opposed to a ceasefire/co-operation/agreement etc etc. Not all fights play out to the death...

  14. A war worth ignoring by jmagar.com · · Score: 4, Interesting
    Neither format matters any more. Physical media is going to become less and less important as our content is now being delivered over the wire (or wireless). I can't remember the last time I purchased a DVD, or a CD for that matter. I haven't been to a video rental outlet in more than a year, and I don't intend to do so in the future.

    An HD TV set, with a PVR, and digital cable is serving me just fine. On Demand movies in HD 5.1 gets it done for me.

    The only counter argument that nags in the back of my mind is that I borrowed the LOST first and second season DVDs from a friend, and truly enjoyed watching the series on DVD. No Commercials, and three episodes a night really move the plot along. I find it very difficult to stay interested in the show now that I am watching it on a weekly basis, when they happen to bless us with an episode. Too long between important events, and the hook is gone... So the DVDs of Complete seasons may be a better way to enjoy quality TV shows.

    But, I suspect that it won't be long before the LOST series shows up on the On Demand service, just like the fine HBO content... and I can again enjoy three episodes in a sitting.

    1. Re:A war worth ignoring by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Lost is already on iTunes, which is how I watched season 2.

    2. Re:A war worth ignoring by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A war worth ignoring if you have fast and cheap broadband access. I don't. In fact, most people don't.

      It still costs me less to buy 1 DVD per week than to pay for downloading the same movie (even without the DVD extras). The difference is even bigger with high definition movies.

      Besides, the DVD gives me the opportunity to watch the movie again a year later, or to watch the bonus stuff from the "super extended extra special collector edition" whenever I have time, like a few days after watching the movie. Most (legal) movie download services or video-on-demand services charge extra for watching more of a movie later.

    3. Re:A war worth ignoring by Viol8 · · Score: 1

      "Physical media is going to become less and less important as our content is now being delivered over the wire"

      Speak for yourself. Call me old fashioned but I like having physical copies of stuff I've paid for. Renting a car is not the same as owning one even if the end result is the same.

    4. Re:A war worth ignoring by nege · · Score: 1

      For LOST you could use the iTunes store. The episodes are available the day after they air, and I just wait a couple weeks so I can watch a couple in a row. The season pass is usually around 30-50% cheaper than the DVD set. I do the same thing with Battlestar Galactica and it has served me well over the last year. The only issue is that the episodes are 640x480 which bothers some people, I think it looks fine. If you have a regular CRT it will look great, and it is still acceptable on HDTV.

    5. Re:A war worth ignoring by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      I borrowed the LOST first and second season DVDs from a friend, and truly enjoyed watching the series on DVD. No Commercials, and three episodes a night really move the plot along.
      Plot? You mean to tell me that Lost has a plot?
    6. Re:A war worth ignoring by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

      Neither format matters any more. Physical media is going to become less and less important as our content is now being delivered over the wire (or wireless).

      Not true. We still need cheap physical media for backups (no, RAID is not a substitute for backups). Right now, DVD+-R(W) is basically it for smaller-scale backups; one of the HD formats would be very handy for making backups easier: 35+GB instead of 4.4GB.

      I agree about Lost, though. My wife and I rented episodes 1 and 2 on DVD and watched each season in a weekend. Season 3 is really disappointing, because they suddenly stopped after 6 episodes for some stupid reason. As for commercials, we don't watch those because I download the episode on BitTorrent the day after it airs. It's just way too annoying putting up with commercials. These TV show producers should just give up on TV altogether and sell shows on DVD. Broadcast TV is fine for stuff like the news, Judge Judy/Joe/Alex, and talk shows, not for fictional shows or anything of any artistic merit for that matter. TV show producers need to wake up and realize they don't need the broadcast networks any more.

    7. Re:A war worth ignoring by AvenNYC · · Score: 1

      Well, seeing as how I don't use either, nor do I buy DVD's...I'm not sure I'm in the market. But I do do netflix. And netflix offers (for no additional fee) either HD-DVD's or Blu Ray for any title that they're available in. So you don't necessary have ot replace your whole collection (if you have one, I just netflix as I do not watch titles more than once...). That's good times. Who watches DVD's a million times anyway?

  15. Power? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    the power of PlayStation 3

    I keep hearing of this power, but the only powers I have seen so far include:
    The power to make you broke during purchase.
    The power to fill up store shelves due to lack of demand.

    How are either of those going to help Blu-Ray win the war?

  16. Even if the PS3 doesn't do so great... by Mark+Maughan · · Score: 0, Redundant

    ...that will still probably be enough to give Bluray the winning edge.

    I don't think Microsoft's lack of digital video out and an add-on only solution is going to make much of a difference in the format war.

    Can't have your cake and eat it too.

    1. Re:Even if the PS3 doesn't do so great... by Churla · · Score: 1

      As for the lack of a MS digital out on the xbox 360, have you read the specs for the next rev 360 which is in the pipes? You should.

      Check some details here:

      http://www.techeblog.com/index.php/tech-gadget/vid eo-xbox-360-zephyr-gets-hdmi

      --
      I'm a fiscal conservative, it's a pity we don't have a political party anymore
    2. Re:Even if the PS3 doesn't do so great... by the+computer+guy+nex · · Score: 1

      With the 360 you can get HD DVD's for
      How the hell is PS3 giving anything the winning edge?

    3. Re:Even if the PS3 doesn't do so great... by GeckoX · · Score: 0

      My thoughts exactly.

      To the general consumer it basically appears as though there is a next gen format produced by Sony et al, being adopted heavily by the big boys in the movie industry and of course, backed by Sony. 'DRM? What's this DRM?' these consumers say...all they know is that every Sony product they've bought in the past decade has been fully backwards compatible with all their existing media, and will continue to be so.

      Versus...

      Another format that sounds the same as DVD (HD-DVD..yeah I've got DVD's...over 500 of them, been collecting for years)...which is backed by...well...Microsoft and the most visible available implementation is as a total after thought to their current console.

      Your average consumer sees Microsoft in an industry they aren't traditionally involved in playing catchup with the big boys that have been driving this entire industry for decades now.

      --
      No Comment.
    4. Re:Even if the PS3 doesn't do so great... by fistfullast33l · · Score: 1

      Sure, they have new specs for the next 360. However, every current owner isn't going to run out and buy a brand new 360 once they see the next rev is out to consumers. In fact, it probably will piss them off. Obviously those who have been waiting for a digital out will be happy but I think those who really wanted the digital out will be buying the PS3 at this point since it's already readily available (as every PS3 opponent loves to point out) whereas we don't have a solid release date for Zephyr. Plus, there's no indication that an HD-DVD drive will be in that next iteration so you'll still have to drop $200 for an add-on besides the increased price of the next revision.

    5. Re:Even if the PS3 doesn't do so great... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      (Score:0, Uncomfortable Truth)

  17. what format war? by grapeape · · Score: 5, Insightful

    For the vast majority standard DVD's are good enough. I dont know a single person who has gone out to buy either of the new formats. I have one friend with a ps3 and even he hasnt bothered to actually buy a blu-ray disk, he just doesnt care. I know one person who is planning to get one but he is the same idiot that talks about how all his muisc has to be obtained in shorten format and how all home media currently sucks. I think the believes he is impressing someone but most of us that know him just think he's an idiot.

    One argument I hear is that more will adopt when the formats get cheaper, but even if players were $50 like cheap standard DVD's you still have to replace your library to take advantage of it. Maybe im in the minority but the difference isnt great enough to justify replacing a collection of around 700 movies.

    With the consistently plumetting costs of storage I'm leaning towards the idea that both HD-DVD and Blu-Ray both flop as movie standards in favor of video on demand and other downloadable content.

    1. Re:what format war? by Jonny0stars · · Score: 1

      I think the cost will be a very important matter not just for the players but the actual medium its self. This is why my bets are on HD-DVD the consumer does even know what HD is fully so why would they ever want to buy a product which is essentially to them a expensive DVD player no doubt with DVD's twice the cost.

    2. Re:what format war? by Warbrain · · Score: 1

      I agree with you, especially when you consider that most consumers will go 'Blu-Ray?' No way.' because it doesn't have DVD in it's name. HD-DVD has the best odds just because of that.

    3. Re:what format war? by GeckoX · · Score: 1

      Well duhh. How many early adopters do you expect?

      Barely any normal consumer will have or care about this at the moment as to even consider it, one would have to purchase a high def player AND a high def TV. Your average consumer just won't do this. It'll be a good 10 years before the next 'standard' to be found in living rooms is definitive.

      It's not even remotely surprising that you don't know any of the early adopters.

      No one is going to go out and replace 700 movies. (BTW, no one HAS 700 movies in their collection, you are in the minority just in case there was any question about that in your mind)

      HOWEVER, there ARE early adopters, as always. My dad got into DVD movies as an early adopter. Heck, about 5 years after he started buying dvd's, he started giving dvd's away to family members at christmas etc. It was still a few more years before anyone even had players to watch them on!

      Do you know how many people said they'd never stop using VHS since they already had invested in that format? Yeah, how many of them still are today?

      A format will come to the top. Eventually it will be the de-facto standard. Just because it hasn't happened over night doesn't mean it won't happen. History assures you it will.

      --
      No Comment.
    4. Re:what format war? by MeanderingMind · · Score: 1

      I have to agree that eventually one format, the other, or some newer format down the road will win the war, and I agree with you it won't happen overnight.

      However if you look at the statements in the article, especially the one in the summary, and the assertions of posters here you'll find there are a large number of people who think an overnight victory is possible. I believe the GP is mostly a response to all the people who act as though the format war is already decided, or will be shortly.

      --
      Thunderclone: ONE MAN ENTERS! TWO MEN LEAVE! ONE MAN ENTERS! TWO MEN LEAVE!
    5. Re:what format war? by GeckoX · · Score: 0

      On the one hand, it really is already over, and Sony won. The big studios have sided with Blu-Ray for the most part, and more are joining that camp every day. That really seals the deal.

      However, HD won't just go away overnight. Microsoft's pockets are simply too deep. They will do everything they can to make it work and won't stop pouring money into it until there's no carcass left to beat.

      Funny thing is, I bet things would be completely and utterly different if MS had waited and treated HD-DVD as a first rate feature of the 360. I truly believe that relegating it to add-on status sealed the fate of HD before it was even released.

      So yeah, on the one hand, the war is already over. But like the US in NAM, or like the US now in Iraq...you can spend a lot of time propping something up if you're willing to continue pissing money at it.

      --
      No Comment.
    6. Re:what format war? by powerlord · · Score: 1
      Do you know how many people said they'd never stop using VHS since they already had invested in that format? Yeah, how many of them still are today?


      Well ... my wife and I recently got an HDTV. First thing she wanted to do was hook up our old VCR and start watching VHS movies.

      Granted, this was to watch them, and then give them away, but it still made me cringe. On the plus side, it wasn't as bad as I was expecting. While the picture certainly isn't as clear as a DVD or DVR, the picture was much better than it had been on our analog set (for the lightly watched movies).
      --
      This space for rent. All reasonable inquiries will be entertained at proprietors discretion.
    7. Re:what format war? by powerlord · · Score: 1
      However, HD won't just go away overnight. Microsoft's pockets are simply too deep. They will do everything they can to make it work and won't stop pouring money into it until there's no carcass left to beat.


      Considering how much money MS has lost in their Games division that makes the XBox360, this shouldn't be a surprise.
      --
      This space for rent. All reasonable inquiries will be entertained at proprietors discretion.
    8. Re:what format war? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A format will come to the top. Eventually it will be the de-facto standard. Just because it hasn't happened over night doesn't mean it won't happen. History assures you it will.

      Not necessarily...

      SACD (Sony), DVD-A, and its offspring DualDisc are all dead or dying. I would argue that the three formats were DOA, as most consumers have never even heard of them, let alone purchased one or if they have, they don't know it, which could be the case with a DualDisc or SACD.

    9. Re:what format war? by GeckoX · · Score: 1

      Well, the problem with those formats is that they weren't riding the back of anything obviously 'new' from the consumers perspective...they were targetted at being alternatives to existing technologies.

      The only reason there is a format war now is that HD is new, all TV's are moving to HD, and there will be a primary standard format for media to go along with it. SACD, DVD-A etc were all niches.

      --
      No Comment.
    10. Re:what format war? by CFTM · · Score: 1

      The problem with building the HD-DVD player in to the core xbox was it would raise the price of the unit beyond the market threshold. The PS3 ain't selling for shit; the Xbox 360 despite being more expensive sold as many units as the Wii during the Holiday season. You add the HD-DVD player and the price goes up by at least $200 putting it more in line with the PS3.

      In the end, it's all irrelevant with new storage specs and the fact that VOD just makes a lot more sense. Studios may fight it a bit at first but once they realize how much money is to be made through Direct2Drive, Apple Movies etc I think they'll eventually go that route. People are just terrified to change existing business paradigms...

    11. Re:what format war? by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

      No, it's really the same thing.

      Both SACD and DVD-A wanted to replace CDs; who would release a format like that and only want it to stay a product for a small niche market of audiophiles? Don't be silly; of course they wanted widespread adoption.

      But the problem was twofold: there were (sound familiar?) two competing formats, and neither offered any great incentive to upgrade from the current standard. CDs were revolutionary when they came out, and were adopted fairly quickly because of what they offered: portable size, excellent sound quality compared to cassettes or vinyl, limitless lifespan regardless of number of plays, and best of all, convenient usage (you could switch tracks instantly). The only thing DVD-A and SACD offered over CD was slightly better sound quality, which most people can't hear anyway. (After all, most people over 25 are partially deaf in this society because of all the noise.)

      Blu-Ray and HD-DVD is the exact same thing. Regular DVD was a revolutionary advance over VHS: same small, portable size as CD, limitless lifespan regardless of number of plays, excellent video quality (compared to VHS, and better even than standard NTSC TVs can really show), and best of all convenient usage (excellent pausing, can skip to certain places on disc, no rewinding, etc.). The only thing Blu-Ray and HD-DVD offer over DVD is better picture quality, which most people can't see unless they have a huge and expensive high-res TV.

      If the industry had settled on ONE standard, and introduced it 5-10 years later than they did, it probably would have worked.

      Personally, every time I meet someone who talks about buying either Blu-Ray or HD-DVD, I remind them of VHS vs. Beta. It's amazing how their expression instantly changes. That's all it takes to turn them off to the whole thing.

    12. Re:what format war? by GeckoX · · Score: 1

      It's not the same, and you point to why yourself.

      With DVD-A and SACD there was NO perceived benefit by your average consumer, and thus no market. Neither format came out on top as there was simply no market either way. No one cared about a higher definition audio CD. No one needed 'longer' albums.

      However, HD is here to stay. Period. Just about all TV's being pushed Right Now are HD. 5 years from now and that will be the only kind of tv you can buy. There WILL be a standard HD format, that is not questionable. The market is there, it already exists, and it's already ballooning.

      Even if 'most' people can't actually tell the difference...doesn't matter...they 'think' they can. (And there are actually a LOT more than you give credit for that actually CAN tell the difference.)

      If you were right, no one would be buying HD tv's. Fact is, they're selling like hot cakes.

      --
      No Comment.
    13. Re:what format war? by GeckoX · · Score: 1

      You miss the point though. I wasn't suggesting that the xbox 360 needed HD-DVD to succeed as a console. Obviously, it doesn't. What I was suggesting is that if MS wanted HD-DVD to succeed, they needed it to be a core feature of the 360. As is, chances are very very good that even if MS throws millions at it, it will still go the way of Beta. Whether it loses out to VOD or to Blu-Ray is up in the air. (I'd personally suggest that VOD, even if it comes to light, will not pre-empt the existence of a physical HD media. People still want something to hold, feel, collect, whatever. That's not likely to change in the near future.)

      --
      No Comment.
    14. Re:what format war? by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

      You're confusing NTSC and DVD.

      If you were right, no one would be buying HD tv's. Fact is, they're selling like hot cakes.

      They're selling like hotcakes because CRTs are big, ugly, and power-wasting. Everyone wants a big TV, and now that they're (nearly) flat, and not as expensive as they used to be, people are buying them.

      As for resolution, yes, many people do like HD over NTSC, and even better, over VHS (which has about half the resolution of NTSC). However, NTSC, as it's broadcast over-the-air, doesn't have nearly the resolution or quality that DVD has. Older TVs can't even display DVDs at full resolution.

      What's important is the difference between DVD and HD; it's really not that much. People aren't going to want to replace their DVD libraries for a minor improvement.

      Again, this all boils down to a slight quality improvement. SACD/DVD-A sound slightly better than CD; HD-DVD/Blu-Ray look slightly better than DVD. That's not enough for normal people to shell out a lot of cash. Maybe you care about these things, and have the disposable income to replace your library, but most people don't, and don't care that much.

    15. Re:what format war? by GeckoX · · Score: 1

      Dude, I only argue because the Current Market Proves You Wrong. Period.

      There are already HD-DVD and Blu-Ray disks in just about EVERY store that sells media. There was NEVER SACD/DVD-A media available on that scale. There are accessible and affordable HD players. Two of them happen to be tied to two of the most popular game consoles as well.

      You are completely wrong that there is no market for this. Why you keep arguing this when the MARKET ALREADY EXISTS is completely beyond me.

      --
      No Comment.
  18. Name recognition by s31523 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    One thing Blu-Ray might not be counting on is name recognition.

    Right now, if the average Joe walks into an electronics store looking for high definition movie players he/she will see a wall of "Blu-Ray" and "HD-DVD". Most people will see the "HD" and think "yeah, that is what I want, Blu-Ray, what is that? No.. No.. I want high-definition".

    Based on name alone HD has an advantage. Blu-Ray needs some serious marketing because if they rely on the sales person in the electronic store for supplying information they will be hosed!

    1. Re:Name recognition by GeckoX · · Score: 1

      There's more to that though. I've had similar conversations with a lot of people recently...digging at this very thing to try to figure out where the psychology of this battle lies.

      And in general, most of the people I've talked to about this assume that HD-DVD is some stopgap hacked on to DVD technology that isn't really anything new. After all it's just a DVD right? Trying to pull the wool over our eyes by calling it High Def DVD, it's still DVD! But Blu-Ray, that's NEW. That has to be better.

      Then add in that it's basically what clout Microsoft can muster behind HD versus the bulk of the movie industry (More every day since Blu-Ray production concerns have been satiated) backing Blu-Ray.

      Your average person does NOT want to re-purchase all of their DVD's. They just might be interested in upgrading in a 'New and better' technology though.

      Sony's using the term Blu-Ray is not nearly as stupid as most people make it out to be...there's a lot of subtle psychology involved in this whole format war.

      --
      No Comment.
  19. they forgot by mikerubin · · Score: 1

    it is a current format war, in a couple or three years we'll have to go thru all this again (well, not me, there is no media player on my motorcycle)

    --
    I sat down to write a new sig tonight and all I did was make the chair warm.
  20. The war is almost over...?? by EMNDev · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Mike Dunn, president of worldwide home entertainment for 20th Century Fox, said: "I really believe the format war is in its final phase."'"

    The insurgency in Iraq is "in the last throes," Vice President Dick Cheney says. (June 20, 2005)

    Some people clearly can't see the forest through the trees.

    1. Re:The war is almost over...?? by Chris+Burke · · Score: 2, Funny

      Some people clearly can't see the forest through the trees.

      You misspelled "vast ocean of self-delusion thousands of miles away from the forest". :)

      --

      The enemies of Democracy are
  21. Dual-format players by massysett · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I wonder what effect dual format players like this LG player will have? Seems to make the whole war less significant from the consumer's standpoint. I have a DVD +/- RW drive in my PC now, so it doesn't much matter to me which burnable media I buy.

    1. Re:Dual-format players by Bohnanza · · Score: 1

      Yep - with dual-format players the war is over, as there is no longer a battleground to fight over.

      --

      -----

      Sorry, I'm only a 1336 h4x0r.

    2. Re:Dual-format players by Tony+Hoyle · · Score: 1

      I'm surprised that such a device got a license though... both camps have a vested interest in not giving it permission to be produced.

      When the cost of such drives drops then I'll buy a standalone - until then my investment is strictly limited.. $100 for the xbox addon. To pay more at this stage in the game is risking throwing money away.

    3. Re:Dual-format players by elrous0 · · Score: 1
      Considering that unit will retail for about $1200, who is going to buy it? For that price you could buy separate HD-DVD and Blu-ray players. Hell, you could buy a fully tricked-out PS3, Xbox 360, and 360 HD-DVD add-on for that price and be able to play ANYTHING, including games.

      Now, if that unit had debuted at $500, it would be a different story. But $1,200?!?

      -Eric

      --
      SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
  22. In about six months by jimlintott · · Score: 3, Insightful

    In about six months I'm going to visit a local porn shop to see which format they have the most titles in.

    There's your winner!

    1. Re:In about six months by clonmult · · Score: 1

      In prior format wars, porn has been the decider. However, porn has already chosen its next format.

      On-line. Does that count as a winner?

    2. Re:In about six months by ivan256 · · Score: 1

      I'm clairvoyant, so I can tell you what you will see in a porn shop in six months.

      The majority of the titles will be published on........ DVD!

    3. Re:In about six months by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I work part-time in an "Adult Novelty Store" otherwise known as a Porn store. The only movie we have that is close to being next gen is the Pirates! movie and we have had that for almost a year now. It comes on DVD and included in the box is an HD-DVD disc. I have read some various items about whether it is a true HD-DVD disc, but that does not matter.

      I have seen in our books more movies offered in HD-DVD. I have not noticed any Blu-Ray movies listed in the order books, but then I don't look over them too much.

      I think porn will stick with DVD as long as they can. They will use HD-DVD for their high end movies. They already shoot in what they refer to as True HD, but they put it on a DVD. We sell more of the $7.95 and $9.95 DVDs than anything else. Those are basically some random clips thrown together with a theme and run about 4-12 hours total. They even throw in a few scenes from the late 70's and from the 80's that are transferred from tape. The movies that are priced $19.95 and above typically have better quality, or they are 24hour clip movies. The $49.95 movies are very recent movies from the well known studios, and they typically have one or two mega porn stars in the movie to get people to pay the higher price.

      I think HD-DVD will be the choice of porn. Although I think most of their stuff will still be released on DVD, as there is no real visual difference between a DVD and an HD-DVD in regards to a correctly done porn. By correctly, I mean all the lighting is good, the sets are good, everything is high quality, not that "Mr Rogers Neighborhood" backdrops like 20 years ago.

  23. This battle hurts more than anyone knows... by tkrotchko · · Score: 1

    At this point, I'm not going to buy HD-DVD or Blu-Ray until it's clear there's a winner. The player is the easy part; I just don't want to invest a lot of money in content that I'll end up selling for $50 on eBay in 2 years.

    But it gets worse.

    Now that I know there's a "new" format, I'm less willing to buy releases on DVD because of the expectation that a new format will be prominent in 18 months, and I'd rather have the high def version.

    So my response at this point is to slow way down on DVD purchases.

    As a consumer, that's the only sensible thing to do.

    --
    You were mistaken. Which is odd, since memory shouldn't be a problem for you
    1. Re:This battle hurts more than anyone knows... by n6kuy · · Score: 1

      > I'm not going to buy HD-DVD or Blu-Ray until it's clear there's a winner.

      Heh. Reminds me of the AM radio stereo encoding method wars of last century.
      Hopefully this'll turn out better.

      --
      If you disagree with me on social issues, then it's pretty clear that you are a narrow-minded bigot.
    2. Re:This battle hurts more than anyone knows... by oliderid · · Score: 1

      DVD will remain readable by Blue-Ray and HD-DVD reader so why should we slow down on our DVD purchases?

      I still own an old television and I don't plan to buy a flat screen until it breaks.
      So even if I have a High definition DVD reader, I won't notice any change.

      I still buy DVD from time to time 'especially discount on some old and difficult to find movies', but the interesting thing is that I download more and more from the Internet. I simply open a torrent early in the morning over my ADSL and once I'm back in the evening the download is complete. I use my laptop TV output, full screen mode and that's it. I guess it's seriously look like the media centre they are all talking about. The big difference is that it is free, no huge investment and it works already.

      I suspect that this hardware war is a relic from the previous century. It will soon be irrelevant.

    3. Re:This battle hurts more than anyone knows... by MeanderingMind · · Score: 1
      DVD will remain readable by Blue-Ray and HD-DVD reader so why should we slow down on our DVD purchases?


      Because we don't want to buy the same movie twice. The backwards compatability is nice for our current collections, but why keep expanding those when in the near future we'll just have to buy it all again to take advantage of HD?

      For people who aren't rolling in disposable income, it's a lot easier to not buy anything than to fret over buying movies multiple times.
      --
      Thunderclone: ONE MAN ENTERS! TWO MEN LEAVE! ONE MAN ENTERS! TWO MEN LEAVE!
  24. Root kits from Sony by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I'm too afraid of root kits to use anything from Sony

  25. I really don't care... by d3ac0n · · Score: 5, Insightful

    As I won't be getting any HD equipment of any kind any time soon.

    Not because I'm a Luddite, but for two very critical reasons:

    1) It's too damned expensive and I don't have the money to blow on HD toys. Maybe the rest of the world makes over 100K a year and lives in an inexpensive area, but I don't. I have bills to pay, damnit, why the hell would I waste my money on an HD setup?

    2) I have kids. Autisitc kids with a penchant for running up to the T.V. and giving the screen an open-palm slap just because they like the sound. How long do you think a $3000.00 LCD or Plasma is going to last under that kind of punishment? And if I can't expect the T.V. to last, why the heck would I shell out for the player if I can't view all that "HD goodness" on my old 480P NTSC tube T.V.?

    The problem is that the hardware and media guys, in all thier excitement to re-energize the home entertainment market by forcing upgrades, have forgotten that a large percentage of the population either a) just doesn't give a damn, or b) are like me, and can't get an HD setup even if they want to. So really, WHO GIVES A SHIT about HD other than the videophiles with more money than brains? Let THEM buy into all the HD hype, and the rest of us will just wait until the dust settles and we can guy a 27" HD T.V. for the same price that we can buy a 27" regular T.V. today.

    --
    Official Heretic from the "Church of Global Warming". Proven right thanks to whistle blowers. AGW = Flat Earth Theory
    1. Re:I really don't care... by geekoid · · Score: 1

      The population gives a damn about their TV, that's for dure.

      You(and me forthat matter) are not the demographic anymore. People with disposable incomes are there demographic. People with no kids living at home.

      A lot of people are buying HDTV. Sales were up some 30% last year.

      It may not matter in your world, but for most people it does matter. DOn't let it bug you.

      Because it is relevant, I don't even have satalite or bales TV. My kids only watch DVDs.

      This is funny, because we went to my brothers house were they doi have tv. My kids left the room to do something for a minutes and when they returned they wanted to 'Rewind'* it. heh.

      *yeah yeah I know, you don't rewind a DVD. I'm old, sue me.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    2. Re:I really don't care... by d3ac0n · · Score: 3, Interesting

      I'm not entirely disagreeing with you...

      BUT

      You forget that a LARGE percentage of the population (At least in the U.S.) has children and small disposable incomes. Yes, there are plenty in the correct income range that have the disposable incomes to blow on HD equipment, but there are plenty more that don't, and don't want to have to blow the money.

      My kids also watch TONS of DVDs. So many so, that we just had to replace the DVD player AGAIN because the old one wore out with use. (Autistic kids like the familiarity of DVDs, so we watch alot of them) What kind of DVD player did I buy? I bought a $120.00 DVD-VCR combo unit as our VCR was also wearing out. No HD-DVD, no Blu-Ray, just plain old DVD. I go through about one DVD player every 2 years or less because we play so many DVDs.

      I actually use DVD shrink and duplicate all of our DVDs because if I didn't we would be re-buying all of our DVDs each year too because the kids are so rough with them. If you think I'm upset about the cost of the HD players, how do you think I feel about the cost of the HD Burners and the DRM contained on the Discs?

      This whole HD format war debacle has me furious because it's just so damned obvious that the players involved don't give a damn about what the customers want, they just want to line thier pockets at our expense. At some point I'm just going to have to invest in 15 to 20 DVD players and about 300 DVD-R's because the format will go out of style and I won't be able to afford the new equipment anymore.

      I'm just praying that the DVD Shrink people will figure a way around the DRM inherent on the new HD stuff because I need to be able to continue to duplicate my DVDs, as I can't afford to replace 30-40 HD-DVD's or BR-DVD's each year.

      --
      Official Heretic from the "Church of Global Warming". Proven right thanks to whistle blowers. AGW = Flat Earth Theory
    3. Re:I really don't care... by NineNine · · Score: 1

      Well, I don't really care either, but I already have a blu-ray player in my PS3 (which I use as my main DVD player). I guess I'll be buying blue-ray disks when they become available.

    4. Re:I really don't care... by drinkypoo · · Score: 2, Informative
      I have kids. Autisitc kids with a penchant for running up to the T.V. and giving the screen an open-palm slap just because they like the sound. How long do you think a $3000.00 LCD or Plasma is going to last under that kind of punishment? And if I can't expect the T.V. to last, why the heck would I shell out for the player if I can't view all that "HD goodness" on my old 480P NTSC tube T.V.?

      Naturally the solution is to use a projector. If they knock holes in the drywall, at least it's easily patched.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    5. Re:I really don't care... by d3ac0n · · Score: 1

      Actually, that is probably what I'm going to have to do. But it's still at least $1500.00 for an HD projector. I paid under $300.00 for my 27" tube TV 2 years ago. That is really the max I am willing to pay for a comparably sized display. Even then, the LCD's are just too fragile. So it's either pay for something that will be broken in no time, or WAY overpay for a projector.

      Of course, none of that solves the DRM stupidity inherent in HD-DVD and BR-DVD. No matter which way I go, I'm screwed by an industry that's lost it's customer service focus.

      Now, don't get me wrong. I AM a geek, and I would LOVE to have a wall-sized multi-thousand dollar full HD setup with both types of players and a 7.1 surround-sound system with nice big leather la-z-boy chairs to go with it. But that's just not possible for me and many others like me. We're a not-insignificant market segment and we're tired of being ignored.

      --
      Official Heretic from the "Church of Global Warming". Proven right thanks to whistle blowers. AGW = Flat Earth Theory
    6. Re:I really don't care... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Geez, you seem really worked up about this.. I don't care about HD-DVD either, since I'm not going to just go out and plop down money to replace my prefectly good, working TV, nevermind a new player to go w/ it. But technology is going to forge ahead w/ or w/o you and me, and I don't see why you're getting all indignant about it. I doubt inherent support for DVDs will go away in new players should your old one expire and plain ol' DVD players abandoned by the industry. And you can always video cap stuff off of TV and make your own DVDs for next to $0, so you still have many good years w/ your (home-made) DVDs yet. You sound like the sort w/ enough ingenuity to find solutions to this really small problem -- I'm sure you'll be fine w/o HD.

    7. Re:I really don't care... by BoberFett · · Score: 1

      Just a suggestion, but maybe consider getting a big hard drive and ripping all your kids DVDs, then set up a cheap player such as a modded Xbox with XBMC? No more worries with DVDs wearing out.

    8. Re:I really don't care... by zordac · · Score: 1

      While I understand your frustration and anger I cannot help but disagree with you.

      >> It's too damned expensive and I don't have the money to blow on HD toys.

      Then don't buy it. Keep your tube television as long as it works; then replace it. Unless your TV is failing now there is no reason to worry about it.

      Because the industry is pushing HD to people with more disposable income than you have means that when you do finally replace your current TV you will get more for your money. The reality is that SD tube and projection televisions had reached a flat price point about 1995. The biggest tubes topped out at about 36 inches and the price fell to commodity level. There was some fluctuations in price based on features and name brand but by 1995 you could buy the largest tube for $500 and a "top-of-the-line" tube television for $1400. Compare this to the prices when these big tubes first came out. $2800 for a 36 inch unit was not uncommon for quite a while. History will repeat itself and prices on HD will fall to commodity prices. The same thing has happened during every major change in television: Color, Remote Control, Cable, Big Tubes, Flat Tubes, etc.

      In the end the prices come down and everyone gets a better product.

      >> it's just so damned obvious that the players involved don't give a damn about what the customers want, they just want to line thier pockets at our expense

      If the consumers did not want it then they would not buy it. Simple truth. The first HD televisions were super expensive. Obviously some consumers wanted this technology and wanted it bad enough to pay those very high price points or it would have never sold the first one. I paid more for my first DVD player than a 60GB PS3 costs now. I also know three people who just last year paid over $1000 for a Denon DVD player. What the consumer wants is up to the individual consumer.

      As an example: I think that iPods are over-priced pieces of techo-bling. Obviously I am not the average consumer considering that Apple has sold about 100 million iPods. However because Apple has sold so many iPods there are some really nifty pieces of hardware and software available. Consider the entire industry that has grown around that little white gadget and the influence that it has had on other pieces of hardware. In a similar way there is an entire industry growing around HD that, given time, will generate some really cool stuff - heck - you might even like some of it in a few years.

    9. Re:I really don't care... by GWBasic · · Score: 1
      The problem is that the hardware and media guys, in all thier excitement to re-energize the home entertainment market by forcing upgrades, have forgotten that a large percentage of the population either a) just doesn't give a damn, or b) are like me, and can't get an HD setup even if they want to. So really, WHO GIVES A SHIT about HD other than the videophiles with more money than brains? Let THEM buy into all the HD hype, and the rest of us will just wait until the dust settles and we can guy a 27" HD T.V. for the same price that we can buy a 27" regular T.V. today.

      You need to get out more often! When you walk into a store today, the $500-$700 price range is filled with 30-inch HDTV LCDs. Accounting for inflation, that's less then what my family paid for our 27-inch CRT in 1990. If you want a kid-proof tube TV, buy one dirt-cheap now, because they won't be in stores much longer!

      What's really happening with HDTV is that wives are saying to their husbands, "I want one of those TVs on the wall." Husbands then buy a gigantic LCD/Plasma and notice that DVD is fuzzier then broadcast HDTV.

    10. Re:I really don't care... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not to be callous, but... well, you don't represent the typical consumer either. Your children are autistic. While autism is growing in prevalence in the country, it's still a far cry from being normal. Most people aren't going to be in situations where their children are going to destroy every DVD in the house every two weeks, and need replacement on recordable media. Heck, most people aren't going to know how to burn movies to recordable media to begin with.

      While I'm sure it's incredibly frustrating and important to you, you are not the "typical consumer" these companies are targeting, and you shouldn't delude yourself into thinking you are.

      Anyway, I think DVD has a long life ahead of it. I think HD-DVD or Blu-ray will fill the niche laser discs used to, not replace DVD overnight. DVD quality is still good for 99% of what goes out, and HD formats will probably only be adopted at the leading edge for a long, long time. If prices come down, it might make sense for everyone to go HD, but it'll be incremental, not like the shift from VHS to DVD, where just everybody had to have these fancy video disc things.

    11. Re:I really don't care... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      yup, cheap 100 dollar portable player/car systems make dvd very useful for families. hddvd/bluray would require a double buy to retain this functionality. dvds weak drm makes backup easy, and its a big advantage for families once again, letting kids ruin worthless discs instead of the originals. these new formats are locked up so tight they are useless.

    12. Re:I really don't care... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You can get a 30" 1080i tube for ~$500

      It blows my mind how ignorant and luddite Slashdot has become. I need to find another forum for technology.

    13. Re:I really don't care... by Raenex · · Score: 1
      You need to get out more often! When you walk into a store today, the $500-$700 price range is filled with 30-inch HDTV LCDs. Accounting for inflation, that's less then what my family paid for our 27-inch CRT in 1990.

      You need at least a 33" wide screen (16/9) TV to match the size of a 27" standard definition (4/3). By size I mean how big something like a person would appear on the TV. The wider screen gives you more stuff to see at the sides (assuming wide-screen content), but it doesn't make the objects bigger. (Except if you are viewing widescreen content on a 4/3 television with horizontal bars.)

      TV aspect-ratio converter

    14. Re:I really don't care... by GWBasic · · Score: 1
      (Except if you are viewing widescreen content on a 4/3 television with horizontal bars.)

      Which is why I chose to buy a smaller 16x9 TV instead of a larger 4x3; widescreen DVDs end up being bigger and looking better.

    15. Re:I really don't care... by Raenex · · Score: 1

      That's fine, but the average consumer is looking at lots of content designed for 4/3. If you want to claim they can buy a comparable HDTV set to their 27" standard for $500, you should include some caveats.

  26. Perfect for a cage match by jhines · · Score: 1

    Lock the promoters of each side in a single steel cage for a death match, ending only when LG develops their dual format player. Thats what the people really want to see.

    1. Re:Perfect for a cage match by srpatterson · · Score: 1

      Then drop the cage into the mid-pacific while they're all fighting it out.

      --
      -- The Heineken Uncertainty Principle: You can never be sure how many bears you had last night.
    2. Re:Perfect for a cage match by deimios666 · · Score: 1

      LG needs a license to manufacture dual-standard equipment. Sony thus far has a firm grip on Blueray unwilling to let it go. So we probably won't see dual-standard for quite some time.

      --
      I think, therefore you are.
  27. Neither formats are very versatile by acomj · · Score: 1

    I thought about one of these players. Ultimately for me I'm sticking with DVD, mostly because I can rip to watch on my computer when I travel (although they are making that more diffictult, sigh...). I can't watch those high def disks on my computer.

    Now if blu-ray put a "portable" version on the disc I could take with me, like steve jobs suggested....

    1. Re:Neither formats are very versatile by drinkypoo · · Score: 1
      Now if blu-ray put a "portable" version on the disc I could take with me, like steve jobs suggested....

      My understanding is that it's HD-DVD that makes the level of DRM necessary for acceptance for that possible.

      Sony is advertising VAIO laptops with a Blu-Ray reading drive... not that I would ever buy a VAIO.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  28. HD and BlueRay are like Laser Disc by bostonkarl · · Score: 1

    As long as the individual movie prices are high, people wont switch. Yes the picture is better, but not so much so as to justify buying a more expensive disk. VHS vs. Laser Disc. Which one lasted longer in the US (where the disc prices were artifically kept very high).

  29. What about Divx? by tompatman · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I'm wondering if a movie can be compressed into Divx in full HD and fit on a standard DVD? If this could be done couldn't HD players be made much more cheaply? I just had to purchase a new dvd player. I almost bought a Phillips which supports Divx playback via USB hard drive. I do not know if an HD Divx file will be displayed in full HD though.

    Instead I bought a Sony player which upconverts the signal first. It also conditions the signal so that virtually no pixelization can be seen on the TV. The picture on a 46" 720P set is astounding. Really, it looks close to an HD signal and I'm starting to think there isn't very much added value in the hi-def discs.

    1. Re:What about Divx? by Jugalator · · Score: 1
      I'm wondering if a movie can be compressed into Divx in full HD and fit on a standard DVD?


      Star.Wars.Episode.III.Revenge.Of.The.Sith.2005.108 0p.HDTV.x264-ESiR.mkv

      Video: MPEG4 Video (H264) 1920x816 25.00fps [Video] 135min
      Audio: Dolby AC3 48000Hz 6ch [Audio]
      Size: 7.92gb

      ---

      SPIDERMAN 2 -HD-DVD Rip (Xvid)
      HDTV
      1280x720 (16:9), 25fps, XviD MPEG-4 Codec, 4009 kbps
      AC-3, 6 Channels, 448 kbps, 48KHz
      Size: 4420 Mb


      Hmm, sure looks like it, but I'll admit I haven't got any of these two for example to check.
      --
      Beware: In C++, your friends can see your privates!
    2. Re:What about Divx? by Manmademan · · Score: 1
      SPIDERMAN 2 -HD-DVD Rip (Xvid) HDTV 1280x720 (16:9), 25fps, XviD MPEG-4 Codec, 4009 kbps AC-3, 6 Channels, 448 kbps, 48KHz Size: 4420 Mb Hmm, sure looks like it, but I'll admit I haven't got any of these two for example to check.

      Not sure about the first one chief, but the second movie is DEFINITELY fictional. Spiderman is a Sony property, and will NEVER be coming to HD-DVD.

  30. byte != bit by $pearhead · · Score: 1
    Seagate announces Hard Drives will be at 300TB in a few years
    Actually, it was 300 terrabit.
    1. Re:byte != bit by Inner_Child · · Score: 2, Funny
      Actually, it was 300 terrabit.
      Actually, it was 300 terabit.
      --
      Today is red jello day - all workers must eat all of their red jello. Failure to comply will result in five demerits.
    2. Re:byte != bit by KDR_11k · · Score: 1

      Not if your computer has a brain the size of a planet.

      --
      Justice is the sheep getting arrested while an impartial judge declares the vote void.
  31. Blu-ray's big advantage by Burlador · · Score: 1

    The main advantage of Blu-ray is its cooler name. I honestly believe the name is an important factor.

    1. Re:Blu-ray's big advantage by Jugalator · · Score: 1

      I agree, but I can have oversight with that if HVD's enter the market, and cheaply. ;-)

      --
      Beware: In C++, your friends can see your privates!
  32. The PS3 could be a factor by MikeRT · · Score: 1

    If you have an even number of normal DVD players being sold for both formats, but the PS3 does end up selling pretty well, you will end up with the Blu-Ray camp having a much larger installed base than HD-DVD. Personally, I'd be inclined to go for the $200 HD-DVD player for the XBox 360, but I could see the PS3 being the tipping point. In fact, that will probably be the only thing that really pushes Blu-Ray ahead.

  33. I hope the format war continues by DoofusOfDeath · · Score: 5, Interesting

    DRM is a major factor in my disinterest in buying HD-related products, from sets to players to disks. And it's not that I'm generally a scofflaw: I willing pay licensing fees for my music and movies. The reason I avoid DRM-infected products and content is that they don't let me fully exercise my fair-use freedoms (backup, time-shifting, etc.)

    So I'm thrilled that the studios and hardware people are having a rough time of this. I doubt that they'll ever say, "DRM is preventing an resolution to the format wars", but at this point I pretty much just want DRM pushers to suffer.

  34. they're losing money by pr0nbot · · Score: 1

    Multiple formats = fewer economies of scale = higher prices

    Higher prices + confusion = potential buyers deferring purchase

    Deferred purchase = slow market growth + deferred profit

    They must believe that being on the winning side will mean future profits that offset the losses they're making now by not having a single format.

  35. Yeah, this is profoundly dumb. by JayBlalock · · Score: 5, Insightful
    Here's the thing. NEITHER of the high-def formats gives consumers a compelling reason to upgrade their libraries again.

    The reason DVD was huge was not because it was so inherently great as a format. (in fact, it has a number of glaring flaws) It's because it was a huge leap forward over VHS in practically every area. Better picture, better sound, more compact on the shelf, longer run times between disc\tape changes, easy chapter seek, and all those glorious extras for people to play with. There were so many benefits that it was worth it to people to upgrade their libraries.

    But what does HD/BR offer? Better picture, to roughly 10% or 15% of the public. And better sound to an even smaller percentage than that. And that's about it.

    Why in the hell would people pay to re-buy their libraries AGAIN? Especially as it was just in the last couple years that the DVD collection became "complete"? There's just no reason at all. And that's leaving out how, in the grand scheme, increasingly few movies really benefit from high-def. There was little real improvement in your average romantic comedy from VHS to DVD. The shift from DVD to HD produces even less of use. Do you really want to get distracted counting the pores on Meg Ryan's nose?

    Both formats were doomed, from the very outset, to be a specialty niche product, pretty much like Laserdisc. It amazes me that both camps were (apparently) totally blind to this and sunk millions and millions into them anyway. The BEST outcome would have been if the PS3 or 360 became big and people picked up a handful of compatable discs to play in it. (big name titles, like King Kong or such) They're not going to re-buy the library. Ever. Not until a new format offers as much of an improvement over DVD as DVD offered over VHS.

    About the only way the studios might be able to force a format shift would be if they decided to just drop support for basic DVD and swallow the profit losses that would incur. (since it would destroy home video sales for a couple years) But even that might not do the trick. At that point, piracy would start looking like the viable alternative to all but the most steadfast consumer.

    The studios have really painted themselves into a corner, and I'm curious how they're going to get out of it.

    --
    Bush: He's Liberal in all the wrong ways.
    1. Re:Yeah, this is profoundly dumb. by drinkypoo · · Score: 1
      But what does HD/BR offer? Better picture, to roughly 10% or 15% of the public. And better sound to an even smaller percentage than that. And that's about it.

      At least in the US, HD penetration is only theorized to be able to reach 10% by the end of this year. And I doubt it, but it's possible. If it does, it'll be mostly 720p. 1080i/p hardware is still too spendy.

      Why in the hell would people pay to re-buy their libraries AGAIN? Especially as it was just in the last couple years that the DVD collection became "complete"? There's just no reason at all.

      And there's no reason you have to, either. Frankly, I didn't pitch out my tape collection when I got CD. I just used both tapes and CDs until I outgrew the music on the tapes (or they died.) I mostly have DVD movies now, but I didn't ditch my VHS, either. Why would I? I'm not a fucking sheep or a disney-driven lemming.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    2. Re:Yeah, this is profoundly dumb. by JayBlalock · · Score: 1
      I was being extremely liberal in my estimates of who might benefit from this. I was including things like computer setups with high-res monitors.

      But as I said to the other guy, the reason DVD was so huge was convincing people to buy the same movies they owned on DVD. I'm not suggesting that people threw out their VHS collection the moment they got a DVD player... just that, as movies they liked came out on DVD that they previously owned on VHS, they generally bought a new copy. Is this not true for you? When Star Wars or Raiders or whatever came out, did you look at it and say, you know, I'm happy with my VHS copy? I doubt it.

      And that's what made the format successful. It wasn't people buying new releases. It was people re-buying their libraries.

      --
      Bush: He's Liberal in all the wrong ways.
    3. Re:Yeah, this is profoundly dumb. by drinkypoo · · Score: 1
      When Star Wars or Raiders or whatever came out, did you look at it and say, you know, I'm happy with my VHS copy?

      I have not rebought a single movie at full price. I've only repurchased one movie, and then I ended up repurchasing it again on Laserdisc which has superior image quality to most DVDs. (The movie, in case anyone cares, was Strange Days.) I paid full price for it none of those times.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    4. Re:Yeah, this is profoundly dumb. by scharkalvin · · Score: 1

      The only way to force a format switch....
      1: Offer players that will play BOTH current DVD's and the new format.
      2: Price new players at the SAME price point as current DVD players.
      3: discontinue current DVD format.
      4: New format disks sold for same price as current DVD's

      Gee, if I can buy a blue ray or HDDVD for $100 that will continue to play
      the DVD's I now own, plus can buy new releases at the same price I'm paying now
      count me in!

      I expect pigs will fly first though.......

    5. Re:Yeah, this is profoundly dumb. by JayBlalock · · Score: 1

      Then, quite honestly, you are the exception, not the rule.

      --
      Bush: He's Liberal in all the wrong ways.
  36. Sigh. by Mr.+Neutron · · Score: 2, Insightful
    Andy Parsons, chairman of the US Blu-ray Disc Association, said: "It comes down to content and selection of content. No-one is going to buy any player without good array of content."

    It would be nice if it came down to which format was more technically excellent. Yeah, I know, it doesn't work like that. It's sad.

    --
    dinner: it's what's for beer
    1. Re:Sigh. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Andy Parsons, chairman of the US Blu-ray Disc Association, said: "It comes down to content and selection of content. No-one is going to buy any player without good array of content.

      *raises pinky to mouth*

      "...And I will call it the Andy Parsons Project..."

      An on I mus

    2. Re:Sigh. by Chris+Burke · · Score: 3, Insightful

      It would be nice if it came down to which format was more technically excellent. Yeah, I know, it doesn't work like that. It's sad.

      Yeah, I used to feel the same way, that tech never seemed to win because it was better tech but because of externalities. Then I started to realise that those externalities are as much a part of the tech as what I as an engineer geek would call the tech. Is the format that plays only 1/10th of the movies really a better format even if it has higher resolution, better scratch resistance, or whatever else? In a very real and practical sense I'd say no. Just like a "better" Internet with newer routing protocols and every other wiz-bang thing you could improve about the internet wouldn't actually be any "better" if it never connected to more than 100 hosts.

      I feel the same way about software licenses. People say "use whichever is best for the job!" but forget how significant an effect the software license can have on how the software does the job. I learned this the hard way when a very good hspice simulator wasn't up to the task because we didn't have enough licenses to run the simulations we needed in the time frame we needed them.

      It depresses us geeks that our great work can be ruined by an accountant, marketer, or lawyer, but that's just the way it is. The product isn't done until the accountant, marketer, and lawyer get their hands on it -- because without them, it would never be a thing that is sold. I've learned to just accept this as part of engineering.

      --

      The enemies of Democracy are
  37. Reading between the lines by inviolet · · Score: 1
    Mike Dunn, president of worldwide home entertainment for 20th Century Fox, said: "I really believe the format war is in its final phase."'"

    The word 'really' is a subconscious codeword, meaning 'not really'. Likewise the word 'great'.

    It's similar to what's going on when someone uses your first name in a sentence when speaking to you, such as "This amplifier will give you much better performance, Dave."

    So yeah, thanks to Mike Dunn for telegraphing his conviction that the format war is indeed still raging.

    --
    FATMOUSE + YOU = FATMOUSE
  38. Who said you had to rebuy your library? by Fezmid · · Score: 1

    I have an HD-DVD player and I love it, but why does everyone assume you have to replace your whole library with the new format? The HD-DVD player upconverts regular DVDs to look MUCH better than a regular DVD player, so all of the old disks work fine. Buy your new movies as HD-DVDs (with an occasional upgrade if you want -- for example, I rebought Serenity in HD) and you're fine.

    No need to rebuy your whole collection again.

    1. Re:Who said you had to rebuy your library? by JayBlalock · · Score: 1
      Who said you had to rebuy your library? Uh... anyone who wants either format to be successful.

      What do you think made DVD so big? And caused it to explode onto the scene with millions of DVDs sold a month? Hint: It was NOT new releases. People bought DVD players so they could watch their favorite movies, only better.

      If they can't convince people to buy yet another copy of Jaws, the format will fail. Period. It might hang around for years and years, like Laserdisc, catering to a small audience. But it won't be a commerical success and certainly won't be the DVD-successor that the studios want.

      --
      Bush: He's Liberal in all the wrong ways.
    2. Re:Who said you had to rebuy your library? by MyHair · · Score: 1
      The HD-DVD player upconverts regular DVDs to look MUCH better than a regular DVD player, so all of the old disks work fine.

      That's not a feature of the format. They can add that to DVD-format players. One of my players supposedly has upconversion, but in casual viewing I can't tell the difference between it and another progressive scan player, each connected via component cables to a 46" DLP TV.
    3. Re:Who said you had to rebuy your library? by Fezmid · · Score: 1

      I never said it was a feature of the format, but the HD-DVD players all do an awesome job at upconverting, so it's another reason that you don't have to upgrade your curretn DVDs if you don't want to.

  39. Archiving HDTV by Mr.+Neutron · · Score: 1

    I for one would like to be able to take an HDTV recording in its native transport stream format, drop it into a DVD authoring program, and write it to disc for archival. Since 1080p HDTV comes out to something like 7 GB/hr, a 4.7 GB DVD just ain't gonna cut it. Even dual layer is too small.

    --
    dinner: it's what's for beer
    1. Re:Archiving HDTV by AliasTheRoot · · Score: 1

      It depend on how much processing power you have to throw at the compression / uncompression algorithm. You can compress 1080 into way lower than that but it's computationally expensive - particularly for current consumer level set top boxes. There will be a tipping point when silicon brute force combined with network capacity allow for streamed HD content, consigning little plastic disks to the wastebin of history.

  40. Does anyone else see the contradiction? by pandrijeczko · · Score: 2, Insightful
    On one hand we are being told that high definition video on home plasma LCD screens is what the consumer wants (whether it's HD-DVD, Blu-Ray or some other format) - but on the other hand, we're being told that the consumer wants content delivery via the Internet for movies.

    But looking at it another way, if you can get an ADSL connection, then you probably have somewhere between 2-8 MB/s bandwidth at the moment. (Sure, some people can get more than this from cable providers but they're still in a minority.) This means that it probably takes around an hour to download a movie in, say, DivX or Xvid format. In other words, you probably get 720x480 resolution in a file about 1GB size. (Yes, the sums are a very rough estimate.) A DVD will take 4-8 hours, a 30GB HD-DVD over a day. It's therefore safe to assume that, as things stand currently, Internet delivery will be in a compressed format, albeit a DRMed one. Therefore, is the assumption being made by the movie studios that everyone will be buying everything at least *twice*? That is, on disc for the big LCD at home and also downloaded for a PC or handheld player?

    Sure, most of us replaced our vinyl LPs with CDs and our VHS tapes with DVDs - so, yes, we've already bought a lot of the stuff we have at least twice. But getting people to part with their money twice for the same thing at the same time is surely something completely new.

    The point I'm trying to make is that it seems this is as much a battle between disk formats and Internet delivery (in the same way as CDs and MP3/AAC/etc are) as much as it is about Blu-Ray vs HD-DVD.

    I'm actually beginning to wonder if the movie/media/hardware/OS companies are now involved in so many different battles on so many different fronts that they have all completely lost any sort of direction anyway.

    --
    Gentoo Linux - another day, another USE flag.
    1. Re:Does anyone else see the contradiction? by drinkypoo · · Score: 1
      On one hand we are being told that high definition video on home plasma LCD screens is what the consumer wants (whether it's HD-DVD, Blu-Ray or some other format) - but on the other hand, we're being told that the consumer wants content delivery via the Internet for movies.

      Contradiction? I do not think that word means what you think it means. There is however a conflict (the word you thought you were using) between one thing that consumers want, and another thing that consumers want.

      I want HD video, delivered over the internet. Too bad all I can get where I live is satellite and dialup, not that many people in the US have the requisite bandwidth anyway.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    2. Re:Does anyone else see the contradiction? by me_mi_mo · · Score: 1

      if you can get an ADSL connection, then you probably have somewhere between 2-8 MB/s bandwidth at the moment.

      Yes, if by 2-8 MB/s you mean 2-8 Mb/s. My ISP genuinely doesn't know the difference between a 2 Megabit connection and a 2 Megabyte connection (BT Ireland).

    3. Re:Does anyone else see the contradiction? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Where can I get one of these "plasma LCD screens" you speak of?

  41. Remember - No Free markets. by zotz · · Score: 3, Interesting

    "But the Blu-ray camp believes a library of exclusive titles and the power of PlayStation 3 - which has an in-built Blu-ray player - will see the format pull ahead in the next 12 months."

    I keep saying that there are no Free markets when it comes to "goods" protected by copyrights and / or patents.

    This is a good example of people with monopolies in one area trying to leverage that to win in another market.

    "exclusive titles" = copyright monopolies.

    other market = media format / players.

    Yes? No?

    all the best,

    drew

    --
    FreeMusicPush If you want to see more Free Music made, listen to Free
  42. They Can Keep Me Out of It by PopeRatzo · · Score: 2, Funny

    I'm trying to think of something I care about less than the "HD Wars". ...I'll have to get back to you.

    --
    You are welcome on my lawn.
    1. Re:They Can Keep Me Out of It by Dogtanian · · Score: 1

      Yeah? Well what are you going to tell the grandkids when they ask what you did in the Great HD Wars of 2005-2008?

      --
      "Slashdot - News and Chat Sites Deviant". (Click "homepage" link above for details).
    2. Re:They Can Keep Me Out of It by Convector · · Score: 1

      But clearly, you care enough to make a post about not caring about it. ;)

    3. Re:They Can Keep Me Out of It by Thansal · · Score: 1

      Well kids, your gran'pappy wasn' one of them foolish casulties y'all hear 'bout in school. Me? I paly'd i' smart and spent my days flamming BOTH sides on Slashdot. Ahh, good ol' slashdot. This was o'course before the Revoloution, now THAT was an interesting time.....

      --
      Do Or Do Not, There Is No Spoon, There Is Only Zuul. Everything in the above post is probably opinion.
    4. Re:They Can Keep Me Out of It by iocat · · Score: 1

      Ah the rebolution... All them folks said Taco'd be t'first with his back agin the wall didn't figgure on him being the one holding the gun, thet's for damn sure!

      --

      Dude, I think I can see my house from here.

    5. Re:They Can Keep Me Out of It by Citizen+of+Earth · · Score: 1
      But clearly, you care enough to make a post about not caring about it. ;)

      Reminds me of a quotation:

      "Ever notice that even the busiest people are never too busy to tell you just how busy they are."

  43. What is there to watch? by CyberLord+Seven · · Score: 2, Interesting
    Despite the lack of or abundance of features in either format I have to ask an important question: Is there anything good to watch on either format?

    Television shows are OK to watch in Hi-Def. I watch Smallville and (god, I hate to admit it) Enterprise on HD-Net every Monday night but I wouldn't buy either series in DVD format. That means you can forget about me spending extra money for it in either Blu-Ray or HD-DVD, or Total Movie.

    As for movies; movies STINK lately. This is where they could grab me, but they have failed miserably!

    I have a Hi-Def, surround sound set up at home and I like nothing better than to sit on my comfortable couch with a two-liter Dr. Pepper and a bag of microwave popcorn and watch a good movie. I can pause the show when my wife and I want to argue about some plot point, or even return to a previous point in the show to show her just how wrong she is. :)

    Just give me SOMETHING to watch!

    Last year I wanted to see Mission: Impossible and Superman Returns, but having been burned in years past I procrastinated and missed them in the theaters. I rented then on DVD. Boy was I happy I had not wasted time and money trying to see these shows in an expensive theatre setting. And I'll clue you in on something that came to mind while I have been watching movies lately: Hi-Definition does NOT make the shows any better.

    In summary, it doesn't matter which format "wins" if there is nothing to watch.

    There was a good article in the December 10, 2006 New York Times by Richard Siklos entitled "The Hat Trick That Didn't Happen" in which it suggests that interest in Hi-Definition formats is actually declining among the population.

    --
    We have always been at war with Eurasia!
    1. Re:What is there to watch? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Maybe you need to redefine what you think is a good movie. Plenty of good movies came out last year, but if all you're willing to watch is the latest summer action blockbluster (sic) put out by Hollywood (M:I3? SR? are you for real?), then you deserve to be disappointed when it turns out to be completely unsatisfying.

      Heck, I heard Casino Royale wasn't too bad, and there's a classic product of the Hollywood action movie sequel machine right there. Maybe it's not Hollywood that's changed, but you? Maybe you've grown subconsciously tired of pulp, and want to move up to something more fundamentally sophisticated.

  44. In Soviet Russia... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Blu-ray is in-built in you.

  45. Too much too soon. by Amphetam1ne · · Score: 2, Insightful

    It took 5 years to reach a point where everyone had a DVD player in their house. The lifespan of VHS was ~20 years. So DVD gets itself fully established in every home and just 1 year on there's 2 new formats both trying to beat each other down for marketshare. Most consumers are expecting to get another 14 years of life from DVD (and most were told by the sales guys that it would be "The format that's gonna last a lifetime").

    The only way they will get people to stop buying regular DVD's now is to stop making them, and I can see great things happening then. Consumers having become enlightened with the ways of Centralized Media Storage and Network Media Clients, coupled with faster and fatser internet and larger storage capabilities will just move directly to 100% illegal downloading. This will of course cause the colapse of hollywood and see all major movie stars pan-handling in the streets of downtown LA.

    If I had to pick a format, I would make it HDDVD. Remember Sony's history with proprietary audio and video formats? Betamax, Minidisc, Hi-MD, ATRAC3, UMD. You can almost taste the failure.

    --
    I only buy pepper spray that's been tested on anti-vivisectionists.
    1. Re:Too much too soon. by Thanatos69 · · Score: 1

      I remember being reluctant to even going over to dvd... I can't remember why but I just was. Really the only thing that shifted me over was when they started releasing movies for dvd a month or two before they came out on vhs. I was content with vhs at the time but now I really don't want to go back, still do every now and then to watch some older movies that I have mostly because I refuse to just rebuy something with no additional content.

    2. Re:Too much too soon. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If I had to pick a format, I would make it HDDVD. Remember Sony's history with proprietary audio and video formats? Betamax, Minidisc, Hi-MD, ATRAC3, UMD. You can almost taste the failure.

      Yes, the 3.5 diskette and CD were utter failures too. Why does it bother you that some companies try to generate new markets and products, rather than sit back waiting for someone else to do it, then make clones? Don't like something, don't buy it, STFU and move along.

    3. Re:Too much too soon. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Remember Sony's history with proprietary audio and video formats?"

      Eh?
      As if Blu-ray is a Sony format... There is a huge difference between the Blu-ray consortium and and more real proprietary Sony formats such as Mindisk and UMD.

    4. Re:Too much too soon. by moloko_synthemesc · · Score: 1

      DVD might be comparatively short lived due to the push from all directions for the adoption of high def. I recall our own federal government, acting in our best interests as they have for decades, had set a date by which television broadcasts would be exclusively high definition. There was no similar impetus driving consumers to switch to a digital format back in the VHS days.

    5. Re:Too much too soon. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I believe TV broadcasts were mandated to be digital, not HD.

  46. The True End of the Format Wars... by Lord+of+Hyphens · · Score: 1

    ...will be in the throes of nuclear fire, brought on when a Skynet analog comprised of networked PS3s, takes control and launches blue-painted nukes at Redmond. Microsoft retaliates. Millions die.

    --
    "I've spent my whole life figuring out crazy ways to do things. It'll work." -- Montgomery Scott, "Relics"
  47. I don't see how Blue Ray can loose by AftanGustur · · Score: 1


    While the average consumer is holding off buying either a Blue Ray or HD DVD, sony delivers a Blue Ray player with each and every PS3 it sells.
    Although the average gamer might not be interested in buying Blue Ray movies, someone else in his family might (parents ?)

    Also:
    Single layer Blue Ray disk: 25 GB (up to 30 GB in the labs)
    Single Layer HD DVD disk: 15 GB

    the Blue Day disk has 66% more capacity, at dual layer that translates to extra 20 GB per blue ray disk. Now if you were to choose between the standard 4.7 GB DVD or a lesser 3.1 GB drive, which would you buy ?

    --
    echo '[q]sa[ln0=aln80~Psnlbx]16isb572CCB9AE9DB03273snlbxq' |dc
    1. Re:I don't see how Blue Ray can loose by cyclomedia · · Score: 1

      I'll buy whichever player i can get for £39.99 first

      --
      If you don't risk failure you don't risk success.
    2. Re:I don't see how Blue Ray can loose by DesertBlade · · Score: 1

      And we all know that PS3s are selling like hotcakes.

      --
      Half of writing history is hiding the truth.
    3. Re:I don't see how Blue Ray can loose by KirkH · · Score: 1

      Now if you were to choose between the standard 4.7 GB DVD or a lesser 3.1 GB drive, which would you buy ?

      Depends on the price.

    4. Re:I don't see how Blue Ray can loose by HappySqurriel · · Score: 1

      The important thing to consider is that the format that wins will likely be the format which gets the largest content library; one format will likely start gaining a major advantage in this way within 12 or 18 months as it demonstrates that it can sell more content. Now, Sony is betting that the vast numbers of PS3 systems sold will lead to a dramatic advantage in the number of movies released for the Blu-Ray format but this may not be the case.

      Currently, the average number of HD-DVD movies sold per HD-DVD player is standing at 28 (I know, the number surprised me too) and the average number of Blu-Ray discs (including Playstation 3 games) sold per Blu-Ray player is 7; certainly there are more Blu-Ray players currently (about 4 times as many) but they're not selling more Blu-Ray movies. This may change as the PS3 breaks the 5 Million unit sold barrier, but it may not and there is nothing saying that will happen any time soon; it should happen within the next 6 months even if the PS3 is an unpopular system, but nothing is promised at this point in time.

    5. Re:I don't see how Blue Ray can loose by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nafn með rentu

      Do you really think the avarage consumer will care the slightest bit about storage capacity. Go ask Steve next door whether a DVD holds 4,7 (yes a comma you imperial pricks)GB or 4,7 Mb. He won't know and he won't care.

      You see, this isn't about storage at all. This is about storing video content and about price. The only difference between 30GB and 15GB is a directors commentary in friggin' Esperanto and 'funny' takeouts. Neither will matter to anyone with a life.

      We all know the winner of the war between BR and HD-DVD will be DVD... the SD one.

      Both formats suck because of DRM, price, timing and prior competition. Suck badly.

  48. I won't believe, until by Alzheimers · · Score: 1

    I won't believe this format war's over until Howard Stringer makes the announcement from the deck of his yacht, with a big "MISSION ACCOMPLISHED!" sign behind him

  49. HD-DVD is good. by derrickh · · Score: 1

    I just read a bunch of replies telling me how dumb BR and HD-DVD are, or that they're too expensive, DRM sucks, or how its not a big enough leap, yadda yadda yadda. I was about to write a lengthy reply, then I realized that behind me, I have an HDTV playing an HD-DVD of Casablanca and it looks stunning. I'm happy. Thats all that really matters.

    D

  50. No. by stevenvi · · Score: 1

    The newest players take full advantage of MPEG-4 compression. Way back in the day, when the DVD standard was made, all that existed was MPEG-2. Which really really sucks. If your player will play any movie without first downsampling it to the standard TV rate, then you would get HD content, but it would be more compressed than HD-DVD or Blu Ray. Whether or not the difference is noticable is another question.

  51. HD-DVD still considerably cheaper than blu-ray by elrous0 · · Score: 1
    Right now Blu-ray discs are running about $10 more than their HD-DVD counterparts and Blu-ray players run $200+ more than their HD-DVD player counterparts. And both offer the same quality. If blu-ray is going to win, they are going to HAVE to deal with that price discrepancy and come way down.

    -Eric

    --
    SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
    1. Re:HD-DVD still considerably cheaper than blu-ray by Tony+Hoyle · · Score: 1

      It's the race to the get to the impulse buy price. HDDVD is ahead at the moment by a long way (xbox 360 addon is already there but requires an xbox 360 which doesn't totally count).

      IIRC it's around £300 ($500?) that people look at something and are prepared to buy it on impulse. The Wii is selling like hotcakes partly because it launched below that. PS3 isn't available over here. Xbox 360 just got there a few months ago and was the big seller at christmas (just short of the Wii).

      On the HD standalone machine stakes the closest is the HD-E1 currently going at £397 ($766) so another £100 off that to go. Cheapest (well, only) bluray player available is the BD-P1000 going for £797 ($1,536) and has a ways to go before it gets into affordable.

      Another wrinkle is bluray is region locked which supresses its market somewhat over here... most people (even non techie people) know what a region free player is and will get one in preference.

    2. Re:HD-DVD still considerably cheaper than blu-ray by elrous0 · · Score: 1
      I didn't think about region lock and how it could effect Europe. Traditionally, region-free DVD players have been the norm in Europe (facilitating imports from regions with better catalogs, like the U.S. and Canada). If Blu-ray tries to crack down on that, it will put them at a pretty serious disadvantage there (unless the studios plan on stepping up simultaneous releases in all regions).

      -Eric

      --
      SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
  52. HD isn't that expensive.. by cybrthng · · Score: 1

    for 4-600 bucks you can get an LCD TV of 30+ inches that will play HD content, work on your PC and wow your senses.

    More people give a hoot about hd because it is better, its multi-purpose and frankly its long over due.

    I know lots of people with kids (myself included) who make decent salaries but manage to have a nice tv and appreciate it yet - didn't blow 3k as you suggest.

    1. Re:HD isn't that expensive.. by d3ac0n · · Score: 1

      You missed the part about my kids being Autistic. They like to SLAP the T.V. screen because they like the *pong* of the glass. The Tube TV can handle it because the glass is so thick. How do you think a $400.00 LCD is going to react to a good hard slap from a 6 year old? I might as well just roll the $400.00 around some Mary Jane and smoke it. It would make about as much sense as buying an LCD screen TV, and at least I'd get a nice buzz off of it.

      --
      Official Heretic from the "Church of Global Warming". Proven right thanks to whistle blowers. AGW = Flat Earth Theory
    2. Re:HD isn't that expensive.. by Manmademan · · Score: 1

      LCD tv's can be easily mounted on a wall out of the reach of a typical child, and set to the proper angle if you REALLY want one, but are worried about the kids damaging it.

  53. Blu-ray player round up at Sound & Vision by BlueRayMan · · Score: 1

    Check out this writeup praising the PS3 (by a non-gamer at that.) As I recall, he preferred the [HDMI Blu-ray] video quality/playback features of the PS3 over [more expensive] standalone units. He also praises the multimedia (card reader features) and multi-audio format playback options. http://www.soundandvisionmag.com/hd-dvd-bluray/192 7/shootout-3-blu-ray-disc-players-page2.html

    --
    BlueRayMan
  54. on my 32" TV... by night_flyer · · Score: 1

    it doesnt matter, most people dont have a Big Screen TV, and the 480p of a standard DVD on a HDTV is so much of an improvement over 480i on a SDTV that the difference wont matter to Joe 6-pack

    --


    Thanks to file sharing, I purchase more CDs
    Thanks to the RIAA, I buy them used...
    1. Re:on my 32" TV... by mharms1 · · Score: 1

      You are so correct. Throw in a nice upconverting DVD player that plays over an HDMI connection, and the average viewer won't care that it's not true HD. True story: Earlier this year, my father-in-law bought a new Sony CRT HD television. During the Christmas break, I found that he was hooking his DVD player up through 3 other sources using only the composite RCA cables. He loved how his DVD player looked. Until I direct wired the player through the HDMI cables. My father in law thought he had a new TV! This is a guy that has over 800 DVDs! I think he'll be very happy with his new setup.

  55. oh no! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Are you really that eager to see asses with all the hair and pimples on it in high definition? It surely does take perversion to the next level, doesn't it? :-P

  56. Sony as an acronym by A_Non_Moose · · Score: 2, Informative

    Considering it takes so long for anything to exit SONY and not be DOA, well I wonder if it means:

    Selling Only Not Yet.
    Sucks, Only Now Yours.
    Stops On New Years(or 's)
    Slow Ornery Nitwit, Yup.

    True a lot of things took off (minidisk) in some markets, but were so constrained to geographic
    regions it was almost a Pyrric (SP?) victory.

    There's never really been a "Walkman" since the walkman that (coff) walked away from the competition.

    Rootkits and exploding batteries aside, friends with Sony stuff are finding hidden gotchas with alarming
    frequency. Home movies and burned disks that won't play and ask me if I know why.

    My response so far is "It's a Sony, sorry".

    --
    Have you read the moderator guidelines? Well, have you, PUNK? (and I want a Karma: Gnarly option)
    1. Re:Sony as an acronym by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      1) Press Cntrl-T (or Cntrl-N)
      2) Type www.google.com
      3) Press Alt-Tab
      4) Double click on word with questionable spelling
      5) Press Cntrl-C
      6) Press Alt-Tab
      7) Press Cntrl-V
      8) Press Enter
      9) Verify spelling of word
      10) Press Alt-Tab
      11) Conitnue with writing

  57. You forgot by BlueRayMan · · Score: 1

    Brilliant post. Only one thing you failed to mention: HD-DVD has no superhero on their side. (Just please don't visit my blog. ;)

    --
    Back to my PS3 cave (after taking in the Apple announcements: http://www.macrumorslive.com/ )

    --
    BlueRayMan
    1. Re:You forgot by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Are you stupid? Read, and be educated! HD-DVD is backed by Toshiba, NEC, Sanyo, Microsoft, and Intel, and Universal Studios (exclusively).

    2. Re:You forgot by BlueRayMan · · Score: 1

      I'm confused. Do you want me to read wikipedia or be educated?

      Anyway, two can play that game (in fact I think I can win that game)!

      <sarcasm>btw notice my wikipedia link is longer!</sarcasm>

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_corporations_ supporting_Blu-ray

      --
      BlueRayMan
    3. Re:You forgot by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You made the claim that no "superheroes" supported HD-DVD. As I have shown, that claim is incorrect. Microsoft is one big giant superhero who has extra money to throw at people to increase adoption. I don't like them; nobody likes them; but if I wanted a corporation on my side to increase format adoption, I would pick them any day over fucking Sun (why were they even mentioned?) or anybody else.

      BlueRayMan

      Well, at least you're impartial.

  58. Hard Drive premature failure by phoenixwade · · Score: 1

    Every drive I have owned above 120gig capacity has not lasted more than 18 moths. this is with cooling fans to keep the insane temperatures down and REALLY GOOD power going to them.
     
    Hard drive longivity simply sucks right now to the point that I dont trust them to hold data safely for more than 3 months. A little off topic, but if you are killing that many Drives it's not the drive, its either dirty power to the drive, or, far more likely, inadequate heat management (or maybe both).

    I run a small production studio, and have been running several 1TB 4 drive arrays using several different vendors drives for over 3 years. The system is up 24/7, with occasional software upgrade reboots and the like, no issues with any of the drives. However, extraordinary care was taken with heat and power management. My experience is that the new, fast, large format drives run hotter and are subject to heat related failure when extra measures are not taken to deal with the extra heat.

    Repeat after me:
    "Heat is the Enemy, Heat is Evil and must be destroyed"

    (you might want to check on getting those moths out of there too
    --
    A positive attitude may not solve all your problems, but it will annoy enough people to make it worth the effort.
  59. "final phase of the war" by Speare · · Score: 1

    A war is only in its final phase when both sides build their monuments to the dead, and acknowledge the loss incurred upon the survivors.

    --
    [ .sig file not found ]
  60. Not so obvious Mr. gortra by BlueRayMan · · Score: 1

    Your analyses of Apple and Sun are extremely short-sighted and dare I say uninformed. Re: Sony. You didn't mention a certain optical audio connection (prevalent in homes today) which bears the Sony + Philips name. Anyway, it seems inherent in your weak analysis that MERELY a few days into the launch of Blu-ray / PS3 technologies, there are already some "obvious" conclusions to be drawn. If you really could predict the future, you would be wealthier than Microsoft. Perhaps THEN you'd have what it takes to muscle PS3/Blu-ray out of the future. Only time will tell my friend. The market (not you, nor any of these blind, one-sided statements) will decide. For the record, standard def DVDs look great in pseudo HD on the big screen (DVDs are not obsolete--get a nice upconverting, HDMI connected DVD player.) You are correct--it's about what people want. It takes time. Not pundits.

    --
    BlueRayMan
  61. BillG's predictions about speech recognition (fun) by jonasj · · Score: 1
    BG has never shown much vision in terms of knowing what lies ahead.

    No shit. Read this: http://mpt.net.nz/archive/2005/12/30/gates
    --
    You know, Microsoft's street address also says a lot about their mentality.
  62. True. Memstick == bad by BlueRayMan · · Score: 1

    I'm not a total Sony fanboi. But give Blu-ray another look, son. I will shut up after saying this. (It's time to listen to Mr. Jobs.) Blu-ray does matter, Fred. Some day you will buy a Blu-ray disc. Heck, you may even _burn_ one some day. I know it's all too much to think about right now but it's gonna happen some day and (until 50 GB downloads are not an issue for you and "crystal-holo-cubes" become more affordable) there is no point in fighting against Blu-ray. Unless you prefer HD-DVD. But why would you go and do a stupid thing like that??

    --
    BlueRayMan
  63. Battle ? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Why does there need to be a battle ?
    I don't see any digital camera memory card battle. There are lots of memory cards, and no "winner" and who cares?

  64. PS3 Blah, Blah... MS preparing a counter... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Good for all the knobs who believe Sony is going to win pushing the PS3...

    I think the console thing is moot, MS is preparing to update the XBOX 360 with HDMI and other goodies (http://www.xbox-scene.com/xbox1data/sep/EEylpyZkV pwzemjZKk.php). I would be surprised if there where not an XBOX 360 w/ an HD-DVD drive in it retailing for the same price as the PS3 by the time the year is done.

    BTW, I hate both Sony and MS but ATM I think I hate Sony's arrogance more.

  65. HD-DVD sounds better by Dretep · · Score: 2, Funny

    Hence, if I ever make the switch, I will use HD-DVD. I don't like the sounds of Blu-Ray. Sounds like some weapon a super villain would use - in thise case, Sony.

    1. Re:HD-DVD sounds better by pl1ght · · Score: 0

      Buying one over the other due to how it sounds = best decision making evAr.

  66. blu ray already chosen for digital cable, etc. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    blu-ray is already the becoming the standard for digital cable in the US and digital over the air and IPTV in Europe (i.e., being made part of OCAP in US and MHP in Europe). So I think in the end, blu-ray will edge out over HD-DVD. This is not the first time there have been standards battles between M$ (and a few blind followers) and the rest of the industry. Of course independent of the companies involved is the technology and which is better, but in these battles that's usually irrelevant, as it will probably be here as well. The Java technology wired into blu-ray is important for OCAP and MHP, but if HD-DVD were to win out I'm sure they could adapt. It will be interesting to watch nonetheless.

  67. Comparison of # of Titles by Patentmat · · Score: 1

    The Current Score is HD-DVD 211 to Blu Ray's 210. Source: Amazon

  68. Re:True. Memstick == bad by Fred_A · · Score: 1
    Unless you prefer HD-DVD. But why would you go and do a stupid thing like that??
    Because it may become the dominant format on the market, even though it's not the best one available.

    It has been shown time and time again (Amiga, Mac, Beta, V2000, etc.) that having the technologically superior product has absolutely nothing to do with how well it does on the market.

    I'll just use whichever disc format survives after the current mess. Or the best format if they coexist, or a third one if they both die. Whatever. I don't really care.
    --

    May contain traces of nut.
    Made from the freshest electrons.
  69. But the XBOX 360 burns you're out of luck by toy4two · · Score: 1

    I'm sure MS has some DRM to prevent you from downloading your shows again on a new XBOX 360.

    1. Re:But the XBOX 360 burns you're out of luck by aplusjimages · · Score: 1

      No you can actually download it as many times as you want. The reason is because the current 360 HDD is only 20GB, so in order for consumers to keep buying more TV shows, they'll need to delete their old ones. The movies is where I would like to see them change. Currently you can only rent them, not own them.

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  70. Very Important Points by felonious · · Score: 1

    I am applying these points to movies on the two formats....

    1) People say that Sony is responsible for how popular dvd's are and how they made it a successful standard. Their reasoning is that Sony made it affordable to the masses with the PS2. If this was the case then how does that apply to the PS3? $600 or $1000 for the stand alone BR player. I fail to see the correlation.

    2) BR has more storage capability than HD-DVD....BUT, this is a discussion about movies not data storage so it's kind of irrelevant. That being said, yes you can store more "extras" on a BR Disk but this is normally "filler" crap that is watched once, maybe twice. It just reminds me of the quote from Fight Club..."We work jobs we hate to buy shit we don't need. The quote is applicable here because people, here, work these boards to push their views and ideologies on this subject but it's all bullshit, for the most part, and it doesn't matter.

    3) I haven't read anything in this thread about BR disks being more fragile. Is this still the case? I know I read numerous stories about this subject. It had something to do with the data layer being so close to the surface of the disk. There were stories like this when DVD's came out so maybe it's akin to that type of propaganda.

    4) Compare the two formats quality and you'd be hard pressed to see any discernible difference. Actually if you told me you could then I'd have to slap you because there's really no way to honestly say that. I think it'd be more dependent upon the hardware setup, i.e., tv, resolution, cables, etc. 1080i vs 1080p quality is so over-rated and I would equivocate it to the difference between cpus running a few hundred mhz, apart. It's less than trivial and more epeen speak than anything else.

    5) People are people, they will pick sides, and they will make biased arguments from now until the cows(Oprah/Rosie) come home. We all have our personal preferences and no corporate entity will decide for us. It will be the consumers who pick a winner here. I think it will stay split, myself, and that's fine with me. The companies involved need to stop being such pricks and unify the standard or put out a dual format player.

    6) How can anyone say that this fight is in it's final stages? That's just some corporate bullshit meant to convince the uninformed masses. No one has any idea and if they say they do then they are full of shit.

    To sum it up...quality over one another is a non-starter, BR has the edge on storage (big fucking deal, unless I want to watch something like Uwe Bol's boxing matches added on as extra content...fuck that), with MS on the HD-DVD side it really doesn't matter who's on the other side, money wise, most people aren't buying either due to not having the money for an HDTV, 360w/HD-DVD addon, PS3 w/BR, or standalone players-HD-DVD $499/ BR $999. It a niche market and it will stay that way for some time.

    --
    You aren't free to do anything, until you've lost everything.
  71. Re: BLu-ray AND HD-DVD can handle 4 layers... by trdrstv · · Score: 1
    FURTHER, Blu-Ray as I'm quite certain you well know is spec'd to handle up to 100GB.

    If you are going with the 'In theory we got it to work in a lab' scenario where a bluray disk can hold 4 layers then you have to enter in a 4 layer HD-DVD at 60 Gigs. The truth is though at 4 layers of data, there isn't room for ample protection of the disk and they become very easy to damage. Until they come up with a better protective layer, you will see both top out at 2 layers.

    Truth be told, you don't need even 50 gigs, unless you are content to use out-of-date codecs that waste space (like MPEG2) then the more space the better.

  72. Just what we need. Anotther format choice. by Hamoohead · · Score: 1

    Yet another format choice that only iPod fanatics could get excited about. I'm sure Circuit City thought enough people would feel comfortable with server based purchases when it spent millions on the now defunct DIVX DVD. As history showed, though, consumers want to "own" a physical copy of their purchase. The idea that you would have to reverify that you are the legitimate purchaser of content every time you played your disc was not the only thing that turned consumers off. How about portability? Want to play that disc at your friends or relatives house? Not unless you pay again. And then there's the new player required to play the thing. IMHO if MPAA wants to kill sales, then by all means, they should shift distribution to downloadable formats complete with DRM and eliminate those pesky DVDs altogether.

    I remember the VHS-Beta format war and the confusion it created. From a technical standpoint, Beta was better but consumers cared as much about the technical specs in video then as they do digital audio now (mp3's anyone?). Why did VHS win? Simply, they made a bigger cassette. 6 hours vs 4.5 hours max recording time. It all came down to capacity. If DVD had had a rival at its inception, it would not have withstood the battle due to lack of recording capability and we would still be watching our movies on tape. Ditto for CDs.

    Here, we have a repeat of that scenario complete with all the claims of superiority that go along with it, but without any recording capability. The average consumer could give two shits about DRM or the differences in specs or any claims of superiority in formats. We just want the damn thing to work on any device we choose to play it in. And we want to "own" it in physical form. The day I have to download a movie before I can play it or be reliant on a company staying in business and maintaining purchase records to watch a damn movie is the day I sell all of my video gear.

    There is an old addage in the retail world: The confused consumer buys nothing. Most people I know (except one or two hard core videophiles) either don't see or don't care about the increased resolution these formats will bring. DVD looks good enough to them. They already have a DVD player that works and can go to Wal-Mart and buy their movies or rent them from their favorite movie house and be assured that when they get home, they can put it in any DVD player they own and it will play. So let's see. I'm Joe Consumer. I'm presented with a choice. Do I, a)buy a movie in a format unknown to me that may not be available in my chosen format b)download the movie from a video service that is most likely only playable on one device in my home and hope that when my HD crashes the company will still be in business and able to find my purchase records so I can download again (servers do crash, records do get lost) or c)buy a tried and true known physical disc in a format I have been enjoying for years and I know will play? As Mr. Joe, I'll most likely stick with "c" for now.

    --
    "If your parents never had children, chances are you wonât either." -Dick Cavett
  73. There is another possibility by paranode · · Score: 1

    Although that gem seems like stating the obvious, look at DVD+R/W and DVD-R/W... we still have them both and the war's over. Everyone just started supporting them both.

  74. Re:Just what we need. Anotther format choice. by aplusjimages · · Score: 1

    You download the video and you can view it on your console with any profile. In addition, you can download and view any video on another console as long as you're signed in to Xbox Live®with the profile you originally downloaded it with.

    This is from xbox.com. So as long as your family member had a 360 you would be able to download the movies you purchased on their 360.

    --
    Can I bum a sig?
  75. Unified Format by hisstory+student · · Score: 1

    Unified format? It's too late for that. The formats have been in the wild for way too long now. A "unified format" would be a third format, which, if you'll pardon the pun, won't play.

    --
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  76. Re:Just what we need. Anotther format choice. by Hamoohead · · Score: 1

    And this bypasses the need to verify with a subscription service and download content how?

    --
    "If your parents never had children, chances are you wonât either." -Dick Cavett
  77. Re:Just what we need. Anotther format choice. by aplusjimages · · Score: 1

    I don't see a problem in telling the 360 which account the movie is associated with. If I go to a friends house and I want to show a TV show that I bought how else is the 360 going to know which account to download it from?

    --
    Can I bum a sig?
  78. A view into the future by Heddahenrik · · Score: 2, Insightful

    You walk into a shop and buy the new movie Splatter, Blood and Gore XIV. You come home and open the package that contains the official Splatter, Blood and Gore XIV t-shirt, the official Splatter, Blood and Gore XIV puking-bag, a poster, a mini-magazine and something horrible to put on your car. There might be some sort of disk or something in the box, but you give that to the kids.

    But inside the box there is a code that you either type directly into Google or in your device connected to your TV. That will download and install the movie on your harddisk. But if you want to see the movie on the train, you simply download it to the USB-stick and watch it on your 14" pocket-size screen. Who would carry around a huge disk?

    For Splatter, Blood and Gore XV, they are planing to sell the Official Splatter, Blood and Gore XV drink in bars and you will get your favorite gore scene played on the glass while drinking it. Like 99% of the music bands today, selling disks is just not something the movie-company gets any big money from.

  79. I only wanted it for the backups... by josteos · · Score: 1

    At first I was thrilled to hear about the high-capacity DVD-like media formats. Imagine being able to backup 50gb of data onto one disc! Awesome!

    Oh, I knew they would try to fill it with movies & stuff, but really, DVD is pretty damn good. I just couldn't see them replacing DVDs.

    Then I heard about all the mandatory, built-in DRM included with formats. Yay. I saw the HD vs DVD display at Best Buy last year. It had the split-screen, with old-fashioned DVD on the left and HD on the right. And for some reason I just didn't trust that the would really create a HD DVD with an accurate portrayal of DVD quality vs HD, on a disc made to advertise the quality of HD.

    I have a very nice TV; it could display HD formated stuff, but its a few years old now; it may very well be too old to support those restrictions placed by the media companies. Not because it couldn't show the video, or play the pretty sounds, but because the stupid media companies are worried I'm a pirate.

    Well, I've never ripped a DVD or downloaded a movie ISO. But being treated like a pirate makes me think the pirates might not have such a bad idea....

    --
    Save the Music; Save the World at http://www.TuneTriever.com (Our latest Android game)
  80. It's VHS vs Betamax all over again. by Laesic · · Score: 1

    It's really just another VHS vs. Betamax story. Unfortunately the lesser of those 2 won.. (Betamax was the better quality) In regards to Blu-Ray/HD-DVD... the Blu-Ray Association was stating that there are more Blu-Ray players in consumers hands that HD-DVD. Why? Just because 1 million PS3's have been sold. Nice speculation there. Blu-Ray is only winning because Sony is pushing it so hard. Both are equally good formats. Personally I will not buy nor back either format until this stupid war is over. And do we really need HD?! I see nothing wrong with the sound or quality of the existing DVD format. It's funny how people argue and battle over the silliest things.

  81. Seen in the wild by rhombic · · Score: 1

    At the Kansas City Sony store (Country Club Plaza) on Dec. 26th (yes, day after Christmas). One PS3 sitting on the counter, regular list price. Store full of people looking at TVs and cameras, etc, nobody so much as looked at the box while I was there.

    --
    1984 was supposed to be a warning, not an instruction manual.
    1. Re:Seen in the wild by Thansal · · Score: 1

      And I am willing to bet will was sold with in the end of the day.

      the ACs claiming that there are "lots" of non bundled PS3s just sitting on shelves are full of it. I know Frys was having a hard time moving PS3s, but they were bundeling them with like 5 crappy games.

      the PS3 will continue to sell out for some time now, but again, that is in part due to low numbers.

      --
      Do Or Do Not, There Is No Spoon, There Is Only Zuul. Everything in the above post is probably opinion.
    2. Re:Seen in the wild by Dun+Malg · · Score: 1

      And I am willing to bet will was sold with in the end of the day.

      the ACs claiming that there are "lots" of non bundled PS3s just sitting on shelves are full of it. I know Frys was having a hard time moving PS3s, but they were bundeling them with like 5 crappy games.

      the PS3 will continue to sell out for some time now, but again, that is in part due to low numbers. I dunno. I think probably the most illustrative market for these things is eBay. PS3's are going for retail price, if they sell at all. Wii's are still bidding up $75-$100 above retail. Given that more Wii's than PS3s have been manufactured, I think that says something.
      --
      If a job's not worth doing, it's not worth doing right.
  82. Re:BLu-ray games?? by ganjadude · · Score: 1

    I thought PS3 games were NOT on blue ray tech. Unless things changed I thought thats what they said.

    --
    have you seen my sig? there are many others like it but none that are the same
  83. WHO cares! WHO CARES? by AbRASiON · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Seriously!

    I'm a "technodork!" with a fairly decent amount of disposable income and frankly, I couldn't give a hoot about these 2 formats.

    We all got burnt on DVD's for the PC, yes they might be cheap now but the fact of the matter is the DVD format had +R / -R AND RAM!
    It's a disaster, sure it's fixed now and yes prices are finally good but they took longer than they should have, (Dual layer blanks are still overpriced - quite likely due to that screwup)
    We might have had low cost DVD players, burners and blanks faster than we got them - and while it's good now I'm sure some of us have been either burnt, confused or stuck due to that format war, let alone this one where the stakes seem much higher, last round it was only the writable discs which were a mess, at least the ROMs themselves seemed to follow a consistent standard!

    Standards are meant to be there to make things easier for EVERYONE! The consumer, the supplier, etc - if HD-DVD and Blu-Ray can't get their shit together, I'll be damned if I'm joining a camp only to possibly be burnt, plus ultimately it's a damned waste of resources.

    Here's 2 small pieces of information which may or may not be correct which are even FURTHER dilating things and screwing @#%t up for us. (note: I'm not 100% on these but I have heard them 'around' on the web)

    Blu-Ray are having problems getting the second damn layer working properly.
    HD-DVD is looking at getting 17gb on the discs per layer and moving to 3 layer (51gb)

    Now these two, if true are just mind bogglingly retarded! Not only do we have enough trouble with the fact there's not one single standard, they now may be changing / modifying their own standards to fix or add those features,.. can you say WTF?

    I can rant all day, I've done it before on these formats - I'm a bitter little man and ranting is my thing but let me get to something productive for a change.
    DON'T BUY THIS SHIT - don't buy a dual format drive, don't buy a dual format disc, don't buy a single format drive or disc!
    DON'T DO IT.
    FUCK them! - DVD was a perfectly good picture for ALL of us only 18 months ago, on a damn nice TV with a nice player and good cabling, there's nothing wrong with it and there's substantially less copy protection screwing us.

    I for one am going to sit back and wait - until they can offer me a cheap, simple solution which isn't going to burn my wallet,..... and frankly considering how much of a ballsup it is so far, I have serious suspicions that we're not going to see a single, cheap simple solution for many years to come.
    I dread to imagine trying to purchase blanks of these in 12 months "Yeah I need a HD-DVD 1.0 spec 15gb per layer but dual layer blank please" - what the heck!"

    Save yourselves the hassle and the cost and let this stuff fizzle out and heck while you're at it - stop submitting stories about it too, it's just frustrating to read about, let them both wave their dopey flags at each other all day long while I'm sitting at home enjoying regular DVD's, high def is simply not ready yet.

  84. Re:Plays fine, but consumes 210watts to do so by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Well, finding blu-rays worth paying for (beyond the 2 the bundling forced me to buy) is the challenge, but it played XXX perfectly well. The quality of the source certainly matters - some scenes were great, and others looked less so.

    The high power consumption is the primary knock. I suspect the next gen blu-ray and hddvd players are no longer pentium4 in a case type designs and should be more more efficient.

  85. Re:Mythical price difference between media by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    if you think blu-ray disks are $10 more than HD-DVD, you're not really looking.

    Big problem is that the offerings on either are pretty poor, and the new releases lately look much more attractive at $14-16 on DVD.

  86. Media and console markets paralel? by holiggan · · Score: 1
    It's not directly related, but I can see a paralel between the media format and the console market. Paralel as in "they're gonna crash hard!"

    In the the console wars, it seems that Sony and Microsoft are pushing just "bigger, faster, more" poligons/shades/textures/whatever, without any real "value-added" in terms of gameplay. Nintendo is (wisely, I think) playing the "gameplay" card, with some inovations that might make the Wii the real winner of this generation.

    In the media-format wars, it seems that both groups of makers are pushing some "bigger, louder" format, without any real aditional value to the consumer. Like someone mentioned, the DVDs were a huge leap from the VHS, but the new formats aren't just that diferent from the DVDs.

    So all this coupled with the (slowing) CD sales, might triger some serious thinking by the several industries big names... I just hope they don't blame it all on piracy :P

    --
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  87. Re:True. Memstick == bad by metamatic · · Score: 1

    I want HD-DVD to win because Blu-ray has region coding, and HD-DVD doesn't.

    Show me some region free Blu-ray players and I might upgrade from my region free DVD player. Until then, forget about trying to get me to buy Blu-ray.

    --
    GCHQ Quantum Insert installed. If only our tongues were made of glass, how much more careful we would be when we speak
  88. Well I think of it as "truth in advertising" by WebCowboy · · Score: 2, Informative

    People like having a physical object to hold, to use, to show off in display cases - whatever.

    When people buy a DVD they aren't buying a movie--they are putting down $20 or whatever to buy a cheap, over-packaged plastic disc worth a few cents plus a license granting them permission to private, non-commercial exhibition. The only true reason for physical distribution media under such a business model, in the media industry, is that it is the best, most established practical technology right now for distribution. The technological requirement for physical media has unfortunately given the impression to consumers that they "own a movie" (or even a "copy of a movie") when no regular individual has EVER really "owned" a movie (or music, or whatever)--the best you can hope for is a "perpetual rental agreement".

    I think that electronic distribution not only has the potential to make things much more convenient for the consumer, it is also a more true representation of what you are REALLY getting when you purchase media content--the essential product is not (and never has been) a physical thing but rather the right to enjoy (loot at, listen to, etc) multimedia content. The fact that there is no discrete physical item involved in distribution is merely further optimisation (from film to magnetic tape to optical disc to on-line electronic).

    and for the foreseeable future, people will continue to prefer to purchase things which have some physical component, rather than one that is entirely computer based.

    I think most people would LOVE to free up all that shelf space in ther display cases for other, more attractive keepsakes (I know very few examples of videos being "shown off", unless it is, say, the star wars geek who has a rare original Betamax release of the "Star Wars" trilogy still in shrink-wrap or something like that). People, aside from those rare exceptions like the aforementioned one, actually buy DVDs to *watch the movie*. Furthermore, people buy non-tangible things all the time, especially in the form of services and utilities: I buy electricity to light my house, I buy internet connectivity, I purchase securities with my online broker and so on, and in none of those cases am I expecting some fixed, physical object in return (though as the case with media, there is generally some transitory physical manifestation associated with the use of these non-tangible items). Consumers aren't so unsophisticated that they cannot at least recognise that not everything you have to pay for is tangible in nature.

    It looks to me like the lifespan of physical media formats is undergoing geometric decay: 8mm and 16mm Film were the chief consumer distribution formats (mostly in schools but in a few homes too) for, lets say, four decades (1940s to 1970s). Videotape (U-Matic, then Beta and VHS) became widespread in the 1970s and started giving way to DVD in the 1990s--four decades. Standard-definition digital optical media (DVDs) arrived en-force in the late 1990s and are poised to fade in the late 2000s--one decade. It stands to reason that high-definition digital optical media (BD and HD-DVD) could have a five-year lifespan. Beyond that the whole idea of physical media could be obsolete.

    Yes, I know my time frames are perhaps too approximate (small-gauge film existed many years before the 1940s, videotape existed earlier and is still sold today, and so on) but I'm talking about the era of a technology's rise and prominence in the consumer market. Movies will be sold on little plastic discs for a long time to come, but I can't see it being the contemporary distribution method in the 2020s.

    My chief concern is that as technology advances distribution becomes more efficient and less costly, however the big, old media distributors are still big and old and inefficient, and are fighting tooth and nail to maintain and even inflate the prices they make consumers pay for their content, using a combination of legislation (DMCA) and what I call "false innovation"

  89. Plastic disks are obsolete by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I agree with the first post.
    I think plastic disks will go the way of the Dodo soon.
    Optical disks are laughable when 750GB hard drives are in home PCs.

    Also, many people don't care about collecting movies.
    Once I've seen a movie, I'm "done with it", time to delete it.
    There's no point taking up either shelf space or harddrive space with it any more.
    It's just data, so storing it on a non-reusable plastic media is just unnecessary waste/garbage.

  90. Re:True. Memstick == bad by Mark+Maughan · · Score: 1

    Unfortunately RPC is coming to HD-DVD

    http://www.emedialive.com/Articles/ReadArticle.asp x?ArticleID=11877

    If you want an HD-DVD player, then be sure to get one now while it doesn't support RPC. (And don't get one that you plan to firmware update like an Xbox360.)

    That said, at least the US and Japan are in the same region now.

  91. Re:BLu-ray games?? by GeckoX · · Score: 1

    PS3 games absolutely are on Blu-Ray. At least that's what my Resistance, Ridge Racer and Project 8 discs all say on them ;)

    --
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  92. I'd take your bet by rhombic · · Score: 1

    I don't know how long it had been sitting on the counter, but I was in there at 8:30 pm, and the place closed at either 9 or 10, not sure. So I'm guessing there's a fair chance that it didn't sell.

    --
    1984 was supposed to be a warning, not an instruction manual.