Slashdot Mirror


Study Finds P2P Has No Effect on Legal Music Sales

MBrichacek writes "The Journal of Political Economy is running the results of a study into P2P file-sharing, reports Ars Technica. The study has found that, contrary to the claims of the recording industry, there is almost no effect on sales from file-sharing. Using data from several months in 2002, the researchers came to the conclusion that P2P 'affected no more than 0.7% of sales in that timeframe.' 803 million CDs were sold in 2002, according to the study, which was a decrease of about 80 million from the previous year. While the RIAA has been blaming that drop (and the drop in subsequent years) on piracy, given the volume of file-sharing that year the impact from file sharing could not have been more than 6 million albums total. Thus, 74 million unsold CDs from that year are 'without an excuse for sitting on shelves.'"

294 comments

  1. Can't Say I'm Surprised by nickyx · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Is this not what people on slashdot have been saying for years!?

    1. Re:Can't Say I'm Surprised by roderik · · Score: 3, Funny

      Correct

    2. Re:Can't Say I'm Surprised by Yvanhoe · · Score: 2, Insightful

      No, but there bias toward scientific studies and technical fact give most of them a good insight on IT debates.

      --
      The Wise adapts himself to the world. The Fool adapts the world to himself. Therefore, all progress depends on the Fool.
    3. Re:Can't Say I'm Surprised by Goaway · · Score: 1

      Like their spot-on predictions for the success of the iPod?

    4. Re:Can't Say I'm Surprised by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      OF COURSE the discs have an excuse for sitting on the shelves. They cost too much! Especially when they can be mass-produced for something like 50 cents each.

    5. Re:Can't Say I'm Surprised by marcello_dl · · Score: 1

      >Is this not what people on slashdot have been saying for years!?

      Personally, I said I won't be buying new music anymore not to support the labels who terrorize us about P2P.

      I also should have stated sometimes that I believe the labels fear p2p because it's a channel for promotion they can't control as easily as they do for traditional channels.

      --
      ---- MISSING MISCELLANEOUS DATA SEGMENT --- [sigdash] trolololol
  2. The Original Report by eldavojohn · · Score: 5, Informative
    The paper that The Journal of Political Economy is citing is The Effect of File Sharing on Record Sales: An Empirical Analysis[PDF Warning!] which I found hosted on Koleman Strumpf of UNC Chapel Hill's school homepage although it is also available via one of my favorite (though not very comprehensive) research sites, Citeseer.

    Something interesting to note is that this paper is dated March of 2004 (not too new as Ars Technica reported) and it causes me great wonder why I've never come upon this before (or why it's never been cited in the news). I recall reading tons of reports from one of the Associations where piracy is proven to hurt record sales but several years after this one is published, I finally see it.

    For those of you interested in the data, pages 34 on contain some very interesting data whereby downloads are broken down by song, album, country & genre (in case everyone was trying to pin illegal downloads on those damned teeny boppers).

    For those of you who wish to question the sample size, see Section B. "File Sharing Data and Album Sample" of the paper. You will also be interested in reading Appendix A in which they call into question their own sample sizes and weigh in on how accurate they might or might not be. To quote the paper for some more detail on the downloads samples,

    Over the sample period we observe 1.75 million file downloads or roughly ten per minute.10 This is about 0.01% of all the downloads in the world. A significant majority of the downloads were music files. U.S. users accounted for about one third of the downloads (and the data contain about 0.01% of all music downloads by U.S. users).
    To quote the paper on album sales samples,

    The mean of sales for these albums during our observation period is 151,786 copies, ranging from 71 copies to 3.5 million copies.
    Don't kid yourself, this is a difficult study to do. Both the downloads and album sales must be sampled and modeled correctly to draw correct conclusions. In the end, it would be hard to verify/discredit any studies done on this topic since A) consumers are human and therefore erradic & B) macro economics still isn't well understood.

    Now, for those of you who just want the bottom line at the end of the paper,

    We find that file sharing has no statistically significant effect on purchases of the average album in our sample.
    And, from the very end of the paper,

    If we are correct in arguing that downloading has little effect on the production of music, then file sharing probably increases aggregate welfare. Shifts from sales to downloads are simply transfers between firms and consumers. And while we have argued that file sharing imposes little dynamic cost in terms of future production, it has considerably increased the consumption of recorded music. File sharing lowers the price and allows an apparently large pool of individuals to enjoy music. The sheer magnitude of this activity, the billions of tracks which are downloaded each year, suggests the added social welfare from file sharing is likely to be quite high.
    Yeah, that's right, the research concluded that "file sharing probably increases aggregate welfare." I'll bet if we all got drills & augers, we could get that into the brains of the people running the RIAA & MPAA.
    --
    My work here is dung.
    1. Re:The Original Report by Gr8Apes · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Yeah, that's right, the research concluded that "file sharing probably increases aggregate welfare." I'll bet if we all got drills & augers, we could get that into the brains of the people running the RIAA & MPAA. That's been one of the main facets of those opposed to the xxAA camps. However, this study mentions some symptoms without delving into them.

      File sharing enables more acts to be exposed to a larger audience. File sharing is probably hurting radio more than it is artists, as it becomes increasingly difficult to cater to the growing diverse tastes of what used to be their audience. Basically, I pose that file sharing is taking the place of radio to promote artists. Why do I say promote? If you've ever heard an MP3 or other compressed format played at a reasonable or louder volume on quality equipment, you wouldn't be asking.

      Control of musical output is being taken away from large conglomerates, and is actually being put back into the hands of the people. Over the course of the last 20 or so years, the FCC has allowed the independent radio station to become extinct as they were gobbled up mainly by one of 2 corporations: Infinity and ClearChannel. These corporations, namely ClearChannel as I have personally seen them destroy the selection of radio stations in my city, have attempted to create a one size fits all set of stations to pump music and [lack of] talent through to the chumps, um, audience. Via this control, and payola, for which I have no direct proof other than the absolute crap on the radio that has driven away large portions of their audience, they thought they were setup to just print money by promoting talentless acts with crappy contracts that would "sell" just because they promoted them.

      What happened instead is this internet thing and P2P, wherein people started sharing music, music that wasn't promoted, wasn't on the local airwaves, and thus not in the RIAA members's maximized profit model. It got even worse when sites like MySpace (yes, I have to give it some props) started serving as an alternative promotion source for bands.

      So there's much more to P2P and music sales than what these or any statistics show. Falling sales are not related to increased P2P. I'd argue that sales haven't fallen any more than they have explicitly because of P2P. Why? Take a look at the last 6 months of album releases. Can you name more than 2 albums of note? I can't. I haven't seen a single Rock/Alternative/Pop album I wanted in the past 6 months. Is it because there aren't any musicians out there? Naah, it's because tripe has been promoted and is all that's for sale.
      --
      The cesspool just got a check and balance.
    2. Re:The Original Report by Danse · · Score: 1

      File sharing is probably hurting radio more than it is artists, as it becomes increasingly difficult to cater to the growing diverse tastes of what used to be their audience.

      And what's more, they don't even try. For the most part, they simply play what the recording industry pays them to play. This is to further the industry's continuing goal of promoting the hell out of a few artists to create a few bajillion-selling albums instead of getting a wider variety of music out there and making less from each artist. I assume it has to do with retail space concerns, which is just another reason we need to get away from traditional retail models for music. File-sharing has opened up a much larger world of music to many people. I know I've downloaded music from bands I've never heard of many times. Sometimes it's crap, but sometimes it's great. I can't even stand to listen to radio most of the time anymore. It's endlessly repetitive, boring, and annoying.
      --
      It's not enough to bash in heads, you've got to bash in minds. - Captain Hammer
    3. Re:The Original Report by mtutty · · Score: 1

      The 6 million not sold would probably pay the xxAA for the 74 million sitting on the shelves :)

    4. Re:The Original Report by CastrTroy · · Score: 2, Insightful

      A little analogy to help this along. I've met a lot of Americans who say that they like Nickelback. Most people from Canada can't stand Nickelback. And do you know why? Well, Canadian content laws say that a certain percentage of music on the radio has to be from Canadian artists. So, because Nickleback is Canadian, and they are popular, you hear them about once an hour. They get way overplayed, and people stop wanting to listen to it. Even if Nickleback was replace with (insert best band ever), it wouldn't matter, because people would still get tired of hearing the same thing over and over again. I don't think the radio has ever been that good, but once file sharing came along as a way to find new music, the radio lost 98% of any appeal it had.

      --

      Anthropic principle: We see the universe the way it is because if it were different we would not be here to see it.
    5. Re:The Original Report by daem0n1x · · Score: 1

      It is the same here (Portugal). I don't listen to radio anymore because i hate listening to the same half a dozen hits the whole day. But it's not because of protectionism, nobody respects the quotas for national music, 90% of what plays in our radios is anglo-saxon pop/rock.

      If the quotas were enforced it would actually be an opportunity for many national artists that can't pierce through the anglo-saxon corporate machine and the puppet radio stations.

      Not that I don't like anglo-saxon music, but I would like some diversity, and that doesn't happen. The giant multinational record labels are the ones to blame for the assassination of cultural diversity worldwide, because they will promote only those lab-made artists that give them 100% possibilities for success.

      It will only get worse with the time. They are alienating lots of people like me that can't stand all those fashionable pop tunes of the moment. The Internet is a great opportunity for artists that can't make it in this plastic, industrial star-system and also for consumers that are careful about what they listen to.

    6. Re:The Original Report by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nothing will ever replace the feeling of waking up early on a Tuesday, driving to the recrod store(or Best Buy if you're into that), purchasing your favorite artists' new cd, and then sitting in the car rocking it out while you look at the rad liner notes it came with. People like to touch things. Hands down. (...lollerz)

    7. Re:The Original Report by glidermike · · Score: 1

      The real reason the recording industry is against p2p is that they are slowly losing their hold on the artists and the medium to get the music to the consumers.Their biggest fear is the thought of an artist producing his/her own music,(or video) offering it for free over p2p to create interest and a following then going on tour and getting all the money generated for him/herself.No nice little contract for the recording industry where they swallow all profits and the artist starves, no royalties or copyright control for them either.If the music were played on radio ( or other media) royalty payments could go directly to the artist.The industry as a whole can see it's demise if p2p allowed to flourish without opposition.

    8. Re:The Original Report by ubuwalker31 · · Score: 1
      The 2006 Report [pdf warning]

      This is the working paper, so it might not be the final version that was published in the Journal.

    9. Re:The Original Report by freeweed · · Score: 1

      It also helps that they epitomize annoying, whiny rock designed to sell well to 16-year old girls and guys with Camaros on cement blocks sitting in front of their trailer.

      But yeah, there seem to be very few Canadian musicians that stay legitimately popular here - The Guess Who, Bryan Adams, Celine, BNL, even the Hip have all been so overplayed that hardly anyone in Canada actually likes them anymore.

      --
      Endless arguments over trivial contradictions in books written by ignorant savages to explain thunder in the dark.
    10. Re:The Original Report by mrchaotica · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I don't think the radio has ever been that good, but once file sharing came along as a way to find new music, the radio lost 98% of any appeal it had.

      No kidding!

      Q: What's the only advantage radio still has compared to my iPod?

      A: Traffic reports.

      --

      "[Regarding the 'cloud,'] ownership was what made America different than Russia." -- Woz

    11. Re:The Original Report by AllTheGoodNamesWereT · · Score: 1

      The Journal of Political Economy (JPE) is one of the three or four leading academic economics journals in the US (possibly even in the world), and the papers it publishes are extensively peer reviewed prior to publication. (Not to mention the fact that the economics department at the Univ. of Chicago, which publishes the JPE, is well known for its enthusiasm for property rights and markets.) So the appearance of this study in the JPE will give it a lot of credibility with academic economists.

    12. Re:The Original Report by DannyO152 · · Score: 1

      Ah, radio. Before the ClearChannel takeover, one of the disturbing trends were formats delivered by satellite. The long term (1970-present) trend at radio has been to decrease the number of records in heavy to medium rotation (top 40 to top 30 to top 15), to rely more and more on national charts and research and less on local "gut feelings," to increase a rigid enforcement of the format, to be sure that disc jockeys have absolutely no say in the programming, and to reduce the identification of the recordings. If given a few more minutes, I could give more ways in which radio makes it harder for record companies to get people to hear the music which is how they sell records.

      Oh, that the radio stations are also owned by the promoters isn't good.

      You, Mr. or Ms. Record Executive, if you want to sell more records, get more people to hear more music. (And radio is not cooperating with your goal.) Pretty simple test: Will suing p2pers mean somebody new will hear the record you're selling? No. Move on. Will charging the satellite broadcasters, who have looser play-lists and old-school djs who are exposing more than the hot 5, mean your record will get played more or less? Um-hmm. Stop wringing your hands about non-commercial sharing and use all that intelligence to get people to listen.

    13. Re:The Original Report by Gr8Apes · · Score: 1

      You've got that wrong - the radio stations and major record distributors were in cahoots, as they say. (Now, those may not be the same as record companies...) But you have the rest mostly right, with the exception of selling records. They wanted to promote only a few "major" acts, especially ones they had they best contracts with, ie - most profit for them.

      --
      The cesspool just got a check and balance.
    14. Re:The Original Report by MrYotsuya · · Score: 1

      Yeah, that's right, the research concluded that "file sharing probably increases aggregate welfare." I'll bet if we all got drills & augers, we could get that into the brains of the people running the RIAA & MPAA.

      I don't think mere drills and augers will work with them, I think that bunker busters are called for. People can't be made to publicly understand stuff that flies in the face of doctrine or their own interests.

    15. Re:The Original Report by dlanod · · Score: 1

      File sharing enables more acts to be exposed to a larger audience. File sharing is probably hurting radio more than it is artists, as it becomes increasingly difficult to cater to the growing diverse tastes of what used to be their audience. Basically, I pose that file sharing is taking the place of radio to promote artists. Why do I say promote? If you've ever heard an MP3 or other compressed format played at a reasonable or louder volume on quality equipment, you wouldn't be asking. I think this is a key point. I've virtually stopped listening to radio since I've gotten the various generations of MP3 players. I can listen to the songs I want with no ads. Yes, I miss out on new music that I might like but those two are dealbreakers. I've also bought a lot more music since leaving the radio behind because I can listen to whole albums and see whether they are worth the money or whether they only contain one or two listenable songs. To the same point, it's video rentals that suffer from my downloading of movies. If I like a movie I will still buy it, because having it on a DVD is much longer lasting than on my hard drive, not to mention all the bonus extras on the DVD. But I will download that movie instead of the "inconvenience" of driving five minutes to the nearest video rentals store to pay for a movie I may or may not like.

    16. Re:The Original Report by Gr8Apes · · Score: 1

      To the same point, it's video rentals that suffer from my downloading of movies. If I like a movie I will still buy it, because having it on a DVD is much longer lasting than on my hard drive, not to mention all the bonus extras on the DVD. But I will download that movie instead of the "inconvenience" of driving five minutes to the nearest video rentals store to pay for a movie I may or may not like. Well, I'll have to disagree with the rental thing. What's killing Blockbuster is Netflix. For a relatively trivial amount of money a month, I get DVDs delivered to my house of things I (hopefully) am interested in, with almost no effort on my part. I set up a list of things I want to watch, occassionally I add things to the list, and for the most part it's just a nice cycle of disks coming through my mailbox. Downloading a movie requires me to do cabling and such. Not so nice. That could change in the future.

      What has been hurt is my DVD buying habits. Since Netflix, I have probably only bought 5 DVDs in the past 2-3 years. Those are movies that I'm actually interested in seeing more than once (LOTR, Underworld). I don't see that buying habit changing in the future either, even if movies were $5 each on HD/BR. They'd have to come in around $2-3 for me to purchase them, and even then I'd probably just purchase, watch, and trade in 95% of what I watch.
      --
      The cesspool just got a check and balance.
    17. Re:The Original Report by dlanod · · Score: 1

      I should've mentioned that isn't a factor for me - NetFlix doesn't deliver to Australia.

  3. Well, if they haven't lost any money. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    That means they should give back some of the money they've confiscated in lawsuits over their 'losses'.
    As if the world were fair.

  4. Re:How bizarre... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

    I don't know about you, but I like to use P2P to trade pictures of your mother.

    Actually that's a lie. I know you do it, too.

  5. Exactly by omeg · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I never believed that P2P would have a significant effect on the sales of records. Let's face it: most of us will simply go out and buy a record if we really want to have it. If we don't really want to have it, we may still pirate it. But we would definitely not go out and hand over a hunk of cash for it. Most of the music that we warez, I believe, would be the music that we wouldn't otherwise buy. Same goes for movies, games, everything.

    It's easy for the large publishers to complain and act as though their sales are declining due to the increasing amount of P2P networking, but you might as well say that global warming is the cause. Afterall, neither have ever been proven to have a huge effect on record sales...

    1. Re:Exactly by Mad+Dog+Manley · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I believe the reason for CD sales declining is far more simplier than "P2P caused it" or even "all new music sucks". Maybe the real reason is simply that the format is starting to die. I own dozens of CDs but I don't even play them anymore. I play MP3s on my computer or on a portable device (that conveniently connects to my home and car stereo on demand), or the very least listen to the digital radio stations on my digital cable (which also carries 15 local radio stations from the city where I live). 15 songs per cd? That's *so* 90's.

    2. Re:Exactly by tijmentiming · · Score: 1

      I do not agree with you. I download a lot of music which I like. But why do I need a CD of it if I play MP3's only? I haven't bought a CD in three years. However, I download them. But when I really like an artist, I go to the gigs. And afaik they make more money from gigs than from music sells. Dunno for sure.

    3. Re:Exactly by Krakhan · · Score: 1

      You might want to the CD so you can make a high quality copy of it on your computer, say using MP3, OGG/Vorbis, or FLAC compression. That way you don't just get all you can find online from someone who decided "128 kbit/s for every music file ought to be enough for everyone".

      That would be a major motivation to get the music you like, and also being legal.

    4. Re:Exactly by RalphTheWonderLlama · · Score: 1

      I completely agree with this. I have to add that I wouldn't have found so many non-mainstream artists that I have come to love if not for digital music. If I hear one interesting song on tv or in a movie or something and want to learn more about the artist, I'm not going to buy an album on a whim like this to learn more. They wouldn't have gotten my money for that anyway. Thankfully I've been able to listen to many tracks and decide I don't like them or in many cases my interest continues to grow. I haven't always bought the album after this but I just bought Brian Eno's Another Green World and Here Come The Warm Jets because of this. I came across his stuff totally randomly. If not for this I would still have no idea who Brian Eno is. Those albums weren't at Best Buy and they definitely don't play on the radio.

      --
      simple, fast homepage with your links: http://www.ngumbi.com/
    5. Re:Exactly by Robber+Baron · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Another factor is there is more competition for that $20 burning a hole in your pocket. Let's face it: You have more choices now: a $15 CD with one or two good songs (total entertainment duration 10 min), a $20 DVD (total entertainment duration 2+ hours), or you can put a couple of $20s together and by a game and have many many hours of entertainment. Well guess what? More often than not, the lackluster music CD is probably going to lose.

      --

      You're using her as bait, Master!

    6. Re:Exactly by Runefox · · Score: 1

      128kbps is actually plenty in Ogg Vorbis or AACPlus. MP3 not so much so at that bitrate (transparent my ass), though LAME is really good on the highest "quality" settings.

      Also, for high bitrate lossy, I don't think it's possible to beat MPC. I personally use Monkey's Audio for lossless, though, even if there's not much difference between the lossless formats. That said, CD audio might be lossless, but it's usually downsampled from 24-bit to 16-bit, requiring dithering and noise shaping to keep artifacts to a minimum. DVD-audio is better, but still not portable enough. We're in the age of eraser-sized MP3 players; As small as CD's are, they aren't small enough, and uncompressed PCM (Redbook audio/CDDA) is entirely too limiting.

      --
      Screw the rules, I have green hair!
    7. Re:Exactly by mariushm · · Score: 1

      Well, that's not always the case.

      I would probably buy more records that I enjoy if they wouldn't be about 7% of my salary. For example Cafe Del Mar, Buddha Bar, Yanni CDs are about 20-25 dollars. Make them 6-10 dollars and I'll consider buying them more.

      Lots of artists I like are impossible to find in shops in my country, for example artists from Bluefm.net, Soma.fm (Groove Salad) or DI.fm Chillout/Instrumental channels (and NO, Amazon won't ship cd's in any country, and NO, not all countries can pay using Paypal and support artists/online radios)

      I was actually prepared to charge my card and buy some very rare music tracks from Allofmp3.com or whatever that site name is but then I found out about a certain torrent site that hosts FLAC releases and...

      Monthly rent, food, clothes, internet subscriptions that gets extra programming jobs are more important then a piece of plastic to lots of people including me.

      So...

      "most of us will simply go out and buy a record if we really want to have it." - yes, if the price is right and if a shop actually stores the record (lots of shops don't store records unless they sell at least 10 copies in a month. Combine this with high price and ...)
      "If we don't really want to have it, we may still pirate it." - sometimes I hear a record on the radio, hate it, find the album on p2p and love some of the other tracks, sometimes enough to make me search for other albums and recommend the artist to other people...

    8. Re:Exactly by techpawn · · Score: 0

      So, it's like saying P2P is causing a lack of sales in cassette tape and 8 tracks. It's just a media shift that they din't create so they don't know how to control

      --
      Ask not what you can do for your country. Ask what your country did to you
    9. Re:Exactly by Res3000 · · Score: 1

      They seem to miss one thing all the time: They increase the sale with P2P, too!

      Sometimes you hear from a friend or so about that artist, and you go and download one song. If you like it, you go directly to your favourite online store and buy an album of that artist. You would have never bought a CD from that artist if you didn't had the chance to listen to him befor!

      It's time that they get there facts right...

    10. Re:Exactly by Gonarat · · Score: 1

      Don't forget you can also rent movies either from a store or via Netflix. If you rent a movie that sucks, you are only out the amount of the rental, so it is not a big deal. If it is a movie you want to keep, then you can go down to the store and pick it up for around $20. The music industry in their infinite wisdom, got the laws changed to make renting CDs illegal, so that eliminates one way of previewing music. In addition, radio is so lame that it is almost useless for finding new tunes.

      The RIAA keeps shooting themselves in the feet and then wonders why they are hobbling. It is easier to blame P2P then to look themselves in the mirror.

      --
      Beware of Sleestak
    11. Re:Exactly by bberens · · Score: 1

      I agree completely. If I shop around I can get CDRs free after rebate. Wal-Mart sells 100 of them for $25 regular price. Basically I can produce a cd without a flashy case for $0.25 or less. Is the 1-3 songs I'm interested in on any given album worth $14.75? Apparently the music industry suggests that each of those songs is worth about $1 (in the Apple Music Store), which I tend to agree with. So that means that $14.75 - $3(max # of songs I like) = $11.75 for a hard plastic case and some artwork. Frankly my days of giant towers of cd cases are over. I rip them to mp3, back them up, and then discard the packaging. My music cds are stored on the spindle that blank cdrs come on for long term storage. Basically the 'value-add' produced by the recording industry has lost its value. People aren't interested in showing off their giant stack of alphabetized/categorized album cases anymore. I just want the music.

      --
      Check out my lame java blog at www.javachopshop.com
    12. Re:Exactly by jcgf · · Score: 1

      If you rent a movie that sucks, you are only out the amount of the rental, so it is not a big deal. If it is a movie you want to keep, then you can go down to the store and pick it up for around $20.

      Why not just copy the dvd you rented? ;)

    13. Re:Exactly by melikamp · · Score: 1

      I never believed that P2P would have a significant effect on the sales of records.

      P2P + litigation has no effect on the sales, or may be even encouraging sales. P2P without litigation is clearly the end of the publishers. Do a simple mind experiment: if RIAA pledges not to sue P2P users and torrent trackers, the entire music publishing industry will collapse virtually overnight.

      What you are saying has some truth in it though. Many of us will still opt to contribute directly to the musicians, but these will not be "sales of records". To draw a parallel, you do not really "buy software" when you pay $59 for a Slackware DVD. You are donating to the cause because Patrick kicks ass.

    14. Re:Exactly by shelterpaw · · Score: 1, Interesting

      I think this is on the money. I also see a lot of people buying independent label music. Myself, I but a lot of independent music from Europe and elsewhere. I used to waste hours in record stores searching for rare albums, but now I just download them (all paid for as well).

      The only mainstream music I buy now are from major bands like U2 and that doesn't happen often. I can't remember the last time I purchased in a store.

    15. Re:Exactly by nine-times · · Score: 1

      I've wondered if, possibly, our relationship to music has changed. I'm not sure, but your post got me thinking, what if it isn't just the format that is dying?

      It seems like music might be becoming more disposable in general. Maybe people used to "use" music differently, like people used to have their old favorites that they carried throughout their lives, and so it seemed to worthwhile to "buy" a nice copy. But maybe now that isn't the case. Maybe people today, with the excess of information and media at their disposal, just want to be exposed to something catchy a few times, and move on.

      I don't know. You'd have to really study something like that. But it occurred to me that people used to really identify themselves as part of a community based on the music they liked, but now they can form communities over the internet more directly. Music is so available and accessible. You can't get away from it anymore. Real bands are licensing their stuff for commercials now, putting it on TV shows, and you can't go a day without hearing it.

      Maybe all this excess is overload, or maybe it's just making us jaded. Either way, it seems possible to me that we've reached a point where our relationship to music and the role music is playing in our society is different-- and maybe that difference doesn't allow the RIAA to have the business model they want.

      I know it's changed for me, but it might just be because I'm getting old.

    16. Re:Exactly by kurzweilfreak · · Score: 1

      Almost all online retailers and probably most all band websites allow you to preview samples from albums. For free. No rental neede The RIAA is no altruistic group of angels, but there are way too many tired, lame excuses and justifications that do more harm than good and far, far outnumber any honest points.

      --

      kurzweil_freak

      5th Kyu Genbukan Ninpo/KJJR student

      Be the darkness that allows the light to shine.

    17. Re:Exactly by BlackApple · · Score: 1

      I believe that the music industry has definitely been leveraging P2P for their own benefit. I simply can't believe that as much money as the music industry brings in; they do not perform factual studies to prove that piracy is cutting into the bottom line. Truth is it isn't the labels who are indeed doing the suing it is the actual artists. So let's break this down as an example. Your an artist and you finally get that big break of landing a record deal. To cut your album, you require not only studio time, production, and hell of a lot of other fees as well. The label gives you an "advance"(loan) to help offset this, well you take your money and show mama how far you have made it. Mansion, luxury cars, high-end clothes, bling, partying, entourage, and whatever your broke self couldn't buy before. Tabs are starting to be run up against your "advance". So let say you spent a modest 60% because you want that first record to put you on the map. Well, now you have 40% to pay for everything from Dr.Dre to produce a track to a video from Hype Williams. Now, you've managed to stretch your budget into the red or if your lucky break even. So now you have released and album. Your album is doing steady on the charts because you have a hit or two, so you walk into the corporate office of your label and are expecting a big check from them. Instead they give you a bill. What?!! Oh remember that "advance" they gave you, you have to pay that back. Oh and the contract that you didn't read told you that you were getting 3 points of a 100 point system (you get 3% of album sales, the label gets 97% of album sales). That record that you made in between going to Jacob the Jeweler and private plane to South Beach for weekend R & R. only has maybe 5 hit tracks. Meanwhile, the consumer goes to the store and buys it because your first track is pretty fly, so they get it. After listening to your album, the consumer felt that their were 5 songs that he likes and the remaining 15 (8 skits because of that budget issue you ran into) aren't quite as good. So of course the word of mouth is always the strongest in marketing. That consumer tells his friend that you only have a couple of hot tracks. Nowadays with money being tight, consumers are not going to waist it on your sort-of good album. So the social "sharing" starts to happen. Now, your label is starting to scream at you because they want their "advance" money back, so they tell you that people are burning your music. That is why you are making less. So because you owe big, you get YOUR lawyers and sue. The government gets about 50% of the money because it is taxable income. The lawyers just made 20% of the money you brought in from the lawsuit. The label gets about 25% because balance overdue. And you have other bills to pay, remember all that R & R on South Beach. Know you have to hurry up and cut another album because that $10,000 per month mortgage is a monthly bill. I said all this to say isn't this the American way. Everyone makes money off of everyone. When you charge too much for a product that isn't worth the price; history has shown that the consumer figures out a way to offset those high costs to obtain the product they desire. How do they do that, the black market (bootlegging).

    18. Re:Exactly by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      a $15 CD with one or two good songs (total entertainment duration 10 min), a $20 DVD (total entertainment duration 2+ hours)

      That reasoning is utterly bizarre. Do you only listen to your CDs once? The CDs I tend to buy give me hundreds, in some cases probably more than a thousand, hours of "entertainment". Movies, on the other hand, I usually watch no more than once (which, coincidentally, is why I have almost never actually bought a DVD).

    19. Re:Exactly by randomblast · · Score: 2, Informative

      As someone who works in the live music industry, I can tell you that the majority of tours only just break even; the rest of them just don't. Gigs serve to promote the album. Why do you think the Grateful Dead haven't retired yet? Can't put much of a pension aside when you're working to pay for your job.

      --
      ...these aren't my real teeth.
  6. Rubbers too by dotancohen · · Score: 0, Troll

    No shit, Sherlok. Condoms have no effect on birth rates either.

    --
    It is dangerous to be right when the government is wrong.
    1. Re:Rubbers too by AutopsyReport · · Score: 1

      And what brand were your parents using so I can avoid it?

      --

      For he today that sheds his blood with me shall be my brother.

    2. Re:Rubbers too by BigBuckHunter · · Score: 1

      No shit, Sherlok. Condoms have no effect on birth rates either.

      That may be, but they certainly have increased the dirty-sex rate.

      BBH

    3. Re:Rubbers too by TerranFury · · Score: 1

      Dirty sex "probably increases aggregate welfare?"

  7. Re:How bizarre... by jimstapleton · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Well, we can start with everyone who plays WoW... Some people like getting their favorite free *nix distros via P2P. Just like some pirates like getting their free *dows distro via P2P, except the former is legal.

    --
    34486853790
    Connection too slow for X forwarding? Try "ssh -CX user@host"
  8. Blah blah blah. by SatanicPuppy · · Score: 4, Interesting

    If god himself passed down this information on gleaming tablets 20 miles on a side, the RIAA and the MPAA wouldn't believe it for a second. Likewise the reverse; downloaders don't believe that piracy hurts legitimate artists, and they won't no matter what the evidence says.

    Frankly, it's obviously somewhere in the middle. I doubt that p2p does much damage to music sales, but it has to have SOME impact...I mean, when I get some stupid pop song stuck in my head and I download it instead of buying it, that's a few bucks that won't go to the damn RIAA, and I have enough disposable cash that I might have bought it, if I had no other option.

    On the flip side, I tend to download songs off CDs I already own, so I don't have to get out the sharpie to scribble over the stupid data track, so I can rip it. That's the definition of a no damage situation.

    Neither side is ever going to compromise on this; the **AA's are as convinced we're screwing them as we are that they're screwing us. Eventually they'll just wither away and die due to changing distribution models, and that will be the end of that.

    --
    ad logicam Claiming a proposition is false because it was presented as the conclusion of a fallacious argument.
    1. Re:Blah blah blah. by AutopsyReport · · Score: 1

      when I get some stupid pop song stuck in my head and I download it instead of buying it, that's a few bucks that won't go to the damn RIAA

      When you get some stupid pop song stuck in your head, are you really thinking about purchasing the entire CD knowing that the remaining tracks are probably garbage? I doubt it. You downloaded it because you never intended to buy it. And you probably only downloaded the single track, not the entire album. Besides, there's no difference between downloading the song and listening to it on the radio. Either way you are not directly handing money over, but you get the benefit of hearing and keeping the song (if you record to cassette).

      I believe thats the underlying point here. Most music downloading doesn't harm legalized sales because the downloaders weren't likely going to purchase the music anyways, so financially no harm is done.

      --

      For he today that sheds his blood with me shall be my brother.

    2. Re:Blah blah blah. by SatanicPuppy · · Score: 1

      If you read down, I admit that yea, I might buy it. Might not, but I tend to impulse buy music, and have some really embarrassing stuff on CD.

      --
      ad logicam Claiming a proposition is false because it was presented as the conclusion of a fallacious argument.
    3. Re:Blah blah blah. by aussie_a · · Score: 1, Interesting

      downloaders don't believe that piracy hurts legitimate artists Of course it hurts legitimate artists. The people it doesn't hurt are the people's work you're pirating.

      If piracy became impossible tomorrow and ever more then people aren't going to suddenly go to music stores and buy lots of music. Instead they'll find someone who offers them a price they're willing to pay, which will be an indie artist (who may use ads on their website to make money). If they have a choice between the pirated works of the latest RIAA shill or an indie artist whose offering their work for the price of a banner when you go to their website, people will choose the RIAA crap. If however they have a choice between $20 for the latest RIAA shill or an indie artist whose offering their work for the price of a banner when you go to their website, people will be much more likely to choose the indie artist.

      So yes, piracy does hurt legitimate artists. However it doesn't hurt the RIAA's artists.
    4. Re:Blah blah blah. by whisper_jeff · · Score: 0
      "I mean, when I get some stupid pop song stuck in my head and I download it instead of buying it, that's a few bucks that won't go to the damn RIAA, and I have enough disposable cash that I might have bought it, if I had no other option."

      When it comes to stupid pop songs, you always have another option - just turn on the radio and the song will come up in it's high-rotation slot within 30 minutes. Wait another 30 minutes and you'll probably hear the same song again...

    5. Re:Blah blah blah. by Robber+Baron · · Score: 1

      Or maybe I would just say "fuck you all" and pick up my guitar and amuse muself. Or I might just go play outside...

      You have to face the facts: Digital copies made by people who never would have bought the music in the first place have no relevance whatsoever, and do not hurt anyone, be it the RIAA or "indie" musicians. You might as well assume for the sake of this discussion that for all practical purposes, neither the copies, nor the copiers even exist, because the effect they are having is the same as if it would be if there were no file sharers or files to share.

      --

      You're using her as bait, Master!

    6. Re:Blah blah blah. by aussie_a · · Score: 1

      People seek entertainment in one form or another. If they won't go to indie musicians then they'll go to television or they'll go to whores. They'll go somewhere for their entertainment. Very few people are willing to be bored for no reason in particular.

    7. Re:Blah blah blah. by Eivind+Eklund · · Score: 1
      Downloading may have a POSITIVE impact on purchasing, as people that download music get into the habit of getting new music, and they know what the offerings are.

      I personally have never bought anywhere near as much music as when I was downloading like crazy (Napster period), and I've seen the same pattern in others for downloading other things: The people I know that download tons of films also buy a bunch - the guy I know that download most films also has about 2000 legitimately purchased movies.

      Eivind.

      --
      Doubting the existence of evolution is like doubting the existence of China: It just shows that you're uninformed.
    8. Re:Blah blah blah. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Did you say cassette? Are you serious??

      Flock of Seagulls called, they want their hair back!

    9. Re:Blah blah blah. by CastrTroy · · Score: 1

      However, I know people that have never bought a CD in their life, have 8000 songs, and spend over 3 hours a day listening to music? These are people who make more than enough albums to buy a couple albums a month. Are the artists that then listen to getting hurt by them not buying the album. You can argue that well, they weren't going to buy it anyway, but then what would they be listening to? If people spend that much time listening to music, then they should be buying at least some of it. 15 years ago, if you look at someone who like to listen to music, you wouldn't often find anybody who only had tapes they had dubbed off their friends. However, with internet file sharing, there's a lot of people who have never purchased a CD, and who are listening to tons of music. Had they been unable to pirate it, I'm sure they would have bought some, but with the ease of internet file sharing, I'm seeing a lot of people who would be purchasing music purchase none at all.

      --

      Anthropic principle: We see the universe the way it is because if it were different we would not be here to see it.
    10. Re:Blah blah blah. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If god himself passed down this information on gleaming tablets 20 miles on a side, the RIAA and the MPAA wouldn't believe it for a second.

      Of course they would. You actually think they don't know this already?

      DRM, opposition to p2p, etc. aren't about saving sales that they would have had otherwise. They're about using a new excuse to curtail fair use rights and open vast new cash sources through legislation.

      It's too bad you can't go to jail for that sort of thing -- a lot of people have been hurt by the **AA's actions for no good reason.

    11. Re:Blah blah blah. by CastrTroy · · Score: 1

      I probably know just as many people who download tons of music/movies and never buy a single thing. I think that things go both ways, and that some people do buy more because of file sharing, but don't pretend that there isn't a lot of people taking a free ride, downloading everything and buying nothing.

      --

      Anthropic principle: We see the universe the way it is because if it were different we would not be here to see it.
    12. Re:Blah blah blah. by everett · · Score: 1

      Some of us come to slashdot for our entertainment. Kinda sad that reading the thoughts of a bunch of geeks is more entertaining to me than Wolfmother or TV on the Radio or whatever the latest "hot" indie band is. (It's the flaming lips isn't it?)

      --
      Sig withheld to protect the innocent.
    13. Re:Blah blah blah. by Aurisor · · Score: 1

      I hear this argument again and again but I've never found it convincing. You're asserting that the price difference between indie and big-label music would work in the favor of indie labels if people weren't able to download the big-label music for free. Then you go on to assert that the quality of the big-label music is inferior, calling it "RIAA crap" and implying that they are somehow less "legitimate."

      What you don't take into account is that it's just as easy to pirate indie music as riaa music. Furthermore, many indie labels offer free downloads. This means that not only can it all be found on the net for free, there's a larger, legal supply of indie music. If there's more of this music, it's easier to get, and it's free, it should win hands down. In a market with infinite supply and no cost, products should win based entirely on their merit.

      The bottom line is that indie music is just like shareware software or any other kind of amateur work. There are gems but most of it sucks. A few geniuses always end up in the pile but by and large they have the level of popularity they merit.

    14. Re:Blah blah blah. by shawb · · Score: 1

      Piracy may hurt the indie artist more than the big rock star, but the free advertising affect of file sharing helps indie artists more than RIAA divas. Downloading music can show that there is more music out there than what Wal-Mart stocks. You can learn about non-major label artists without the catch-22 of indie record stores not giving the time of day to customers who don't know indie music. It is even a more valuable tool to those communities not large enough to support independent record stores or a college radio station. File sharing gives people a chance to try out a whole new genre of music without spending thousands of dollars finding the one gem in the offal. Face it, about 90% of indie music is crap. It can be difficult to True, 95% of RIAA's products are crap, too... but there are established lines for at least pushing music that is aimed at your general demographic.

      I honestly believe that it's not a loss of customers to downloading free music that the RIAA is interested in. What scares the RIAA is the free advertisement factor. There were five major services RIAA Labels provided: recording, manufacturing of medium, distribution, advertising, and essentially a small business loan to cover the up-front costs.

      For less than $5,000 a dedicated amateur can set up a studio capable of recording a five piece rock band at a quality that meets that of major label sound engineers. True, mixing may take a little longer, but if your not charging the band several hundred dollars an hour, they can afford for the engineer to take their time. Manufacturing of medium is also within the grasp of the dedicated amateur. Another $5,000 can set up a dedicated amateur with equipment for automatic CD duplication, printing a label directly on the cd, and even printing a glossy high color booklet. The facilities to do this have previously been an industrial factory. True, the factory can stamp out CDs cheaper once the volume goes way up (the break even point is around 1,000 cds) but the initial investment in getting a CD replicated (the industrial version) is out of the reach of most independent artists. The initial investment in starting up a CD replication factory was completely out of reach from an amateur, and requires the financial support of a large corporation. Now, anybody with dedication can save up and start their own recording studio and small scale manufacturing setup for less than the cost of a new car. If you include the price of the instruments, amplifiers, etc, a band can be self sufficient for less than the cost of a new Honda Civic. Definitely withing the reach of a gigging band.

      Distribution and advertising are the big advantage that RIAA labels retain. File sharing can replace the distribution and advertising ends of the music business. But how can a band make money when someone is downloading their music? Easy... bands simply don't make money off album sales anymore. CDs are often given away at concerts as a form of advertising (for local acts, anyways.) It's the ticket money and sales of t-shirts and buttons that usually make money for a band. If fans can simply download the music, then the CDs that were given away before can now be sold, albeit at a much lower volume. And I repeat, almost no bands make money from the actual sale of CDs. Especially RIAA label signed artists. The money from CD sales in Sam Goody and Walmart goes to pay the record companies loan to the artist back before anything else. That loan is on services which already had hyperinflated costs. Most bands see CD sales as... advertising for the tour and merchandising.

      That leaves the last major service that major label records perform for bands: that startup loan they give. Now any reasonably dedicated band whose member's have day jobs can afford to save up for recording at an independent local studio and get the CDs duplicated in a manner that sounds and looks professional. The members of the band could even take out small personal loans to build up their own studio, and make

      --
      I'll never make that mistake again, reading the experts' opinions. - Feynman
    15. Re:Blah blah blah. by Robber+Baron · · Score: 1

      but then what would they be listening to? And what pray tell, did all those people do for all those centuries when there was no recorded music available? They must've gone stark raving mad! Not! And what about all those people in third world countries who can't even afford to eat, much less waste money on music?

      That is the mistake that you and others like you (and particularily the crooked bean counters at the RIAA) keep making: That somehow people need to listen to something! Recorded music is nowhere even close to a need...it's something that many people can (and do) do without. Believe it or not, there is a whole world outside of recorded music and many of us could live in it quite happily.
      --

      You're using her as bait, Master!

    16. Re:Blah blah blah. by aussie_a · · Score: 1

      Given equal price points ($0 by choice for indies, $0 by piracy for RIAA rubbish) people will almost always choose the RIAA rubbish. However if given differing price points ($0 for indies, $20 for RIAA rubbish) people will be more likely to select the indie music.

    17. Re:Blah blah blah. by grrrl · · Score: 1

      That's why we need a music store like allofmp3 - make it SO CHEAP to download and PAY for music that you would rather do that than search for a torrent.

    18. Re:Blah blah blah. by Eivind+Eklund · · Score: 1
      Sure, there are people taking a free ride. I never meant to imply otherwise.

      The question is if these are so many that they have a net negative impact. This depend on how many they are, how many buy more, and how much each of the groups would buy without downloading non-licensed content. The best studies I've seen seem to indicate a net positive or net neutral impact; in my opinion, they are not strong enough to fully conclude that it is positive yet, though they hint that way - and there's been no reasonabe study that show the opposite conclusion (decreased sales). So, it's very wrong to conclude "there is obvious loss of sales", as what evidence there is point the other way.

      Eivind.

      --
      Doubting the existence of evolution is like doubting the existence of China: It just shows that you're uninformed.
  9. Is it even worth publiching these things. by MartinG · · Score: 3, Interesting

    The people who base their opinions on available facts have suspected this for years.

    Most people prefer supposition and believing what's "obvious" and they will continue to ignore the facts anyway.

    --
    -- MartinG To mail me: echo kewyjlcxyzvjfxbqwh | tr bcefhjklqvwxyz .@adgimnoprstu
  10. When the going gets tough... by PinkyDead · · Score: 1

    ..the tough find a scapegoat.

    --
    Genesis 1:32 And God typed :wq!
    1. Re:When the going gets tough... by cmorgan47 · · Score: 1

      why did god include the "!"?

      --
      no i have not shot my gun in the air and gone 'Ahh!'
    2. Re:When the going gets tough... by dapsychous · · Score: 2, Funny

      He had accidentally set chmod 511 /earth instead of chmod 711 /earth and had to include the ! to override the write permissions on the planet.

    3. Re:When the going gets tough... by cmorgan47 · · Score: 2, Funny

      gotcha....i assumed that he had, well, "god" rights.
      but i suppose those rights would allow him to create such a situation.....

      could god create a file so locked down that even he couldn't modify it? will now replace the "large rock" zen question.

      --
      no i have not shot my gun in the air and gone 'Ahh!'
    4. Re:When the going gets tough... by dapsychous · · Score: 1
      simple. chattr +i /earth

      <zen>Wow, maybe that explains why he doesn't seem to do much anymore. He locked himself out. Hmmm... </zen>

  11. Try signing real talent by Perl-Pusher · · Score: 0, Troll

    Thus, 74 million unsold CDs from that year are 'without an excuse for sitting on shelves.'"

    Maybe people are tired of being sold mass marketed crap. They should try marketing their music to increase erectile function and virility. That will at least get the Asian market. Rhino horns and shark cartilage are in short supply.

    1. Re:Try signing real talent by ShadoHawk · · Score: 0

      My karma is already in the crapper so I would just like to say that I thought the parrent was funny. ((I don't even know how my karma got where it is.))

  12. Re:How bizarre... by Krakhan · · Score: 1

    I've been using it for downloading videos speed runs at TAS Videos, and it works very well.

  13. American Edit by OriginalArlen · · Score: 1

    If I hadn't heard American Edit, there's not a chance in hell I'd have bought the real American Idiot album on CD. Just my 2e anecdote...

    --

    Everything I needed to know about life, I learnt from Blake's Seven
  14. Hey record companies. by robably · · Score: 5, Funny

    You know what would shift those 74 million unsold CDs? Robot monkeys. A free robot monkey with each CD. Ones wearing little black leather jackets for the rock CDs, pink tutus for girl bands, green hair for punks. You could call them Andy The Happy Robot CD Monkey & His Fab Monkey Pals if you like.

    My pleasure.

    1. Re:Hey record companies. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not robot monkeys... only monkeys, that's it. I want a monkey in a suit with every CD and I am going to buy a lot of CDs'. You see, I want to write a book and I need a lot of monkeys.

      Now, if they could give away a typewriter with every DVD...

    2. Re:Hey record companies. by just_another_sean · · Score: 1

      Question; would this hypothetical monkey be able to get me a beer while I enjoy the latest offerings from the lords of the music industry?

      If so, I'm in, where do I sign up?

      --
      Creationist Textbook Stickers Declared Unconstitutional by CowboyNeal
    3. Re:Hey record companies. by robably · · Score: 1

      Andy the Happy Robot Monkey could get you a beer no problem.

      Enjoying the latest offerings from the music industry... well, you've crossed the line in to fantasy there.

    4. Re:Hey record companies. by just_another_sean · · Score: 1

      Enjoying the latest offerings from the music industry... well, you've crossed the line in to fantasy there.

      Hmmm... I suppose so, I always was a pie-in-the-sky dreamer type.

      --
      Creationist Textbook Stickers Declared Unconstitutional by CowboyNeal
  15. Where is the study on how much CDs suck? by LibertineR · · Score: 4, Interesting
    I dont mean that current music is bad, I'm talking about having to shell out 14-18 dollars for a CD with maybe 2-3 decent song titles. I wonder when anyone is going to take notice on how much Apple is making selling individual song titles?

    The music consumer has wised up, and many of us sample music we are interested in on MP3, WMA, whatever, and find out what is good and what sucks BEFORE spending our money. When I find good music, I generally purchase the CD, but I'll be dammed if I am going to part with money for a disk full of B-sides.

    Record companies got greedy, when they could have made a fortune selling CDs for 7-10 dollars.

    Right fucking NOW, some stupid record exec is reading the report, and in his mind, sees it as another opportunity to RAISE prices.

    Fuck um.

    1. Re:Where is the study on how much CDs suck? by penguin_dance · · Score: 2, Informative

      Now that people can buy individual songs, there's no excuse for a record company or artist to put 2 or 3 good songs and then fill the rest up with crap. And they're slitting their own throats doing so.

      But if the RIAA would get their heads out of their ass and realize that the majority of the population doesn't want to hear the crap they put out they might turn things around. First off they're marketing to the wrong bunch. They're marketing to the decling population of teens to twenties. This worked in the 60s and 70s when the baby boomers were that age. Then they dropped them for the younger market. I would argue that most boomers are unlikely to download warez, would gladly purchase some music they'd like to hear and have the disposable income to do so. Just look at the sales of a release of Beatles No. Ones a few years back. And (get ready for the "old foggie" comment) it doesn't have to be old groups, but groups that can sing, not lipsync for for MTV. (Have you ever thought about how many former #1 selling artists would never have made it on American Idol today because they weren't good looking enough!?) Everything today is either rap or Beyonce. I would really like to find some new artists that I can like consistently, but they're few and far between.

      --
      If you've never been modded as "flamebait" or "troll," you've never tried to argue a minority viewpoint here!
    2. Re:Where is the study on how much CDs suck? by Stanza · · Score: 1


      Not just looking at the cost of CDs, where is the study on how much CDs suck?

      Compare to mp3:

      A 200GB hard disk can hold about the same amount of data as 800 CDs. Now think of how many uncompressed CDs that would be. I don't even use CDs for backing up my hard disk any more (and I'm not talking about my mp3 collection, what about my photos?).

      Audio CDs take up a huge amount of volume for the music you get from one. Audio CDs are prone to scratching. Audio CDs are not as portable as flash drives, or when compared to larger capacity disks, 2.5" hard disks.

      CDs don't suck, in and of themselves, and when they were new flashy technology it was quite nice having that much capacity (I remember backing my hard disk on floppy disks once upon a time, so having CD-Rs was a big step forward). But there is no reason to chain me to what seems like obsolete media.

      So while the record industry offers "boxed sets", it's really several CDs, priced as though each CD were worth $10, when I'd be happier with a whole bunch of mp3s on my hard disk, and I don't have to worry about throwing out the packaging.

      Just some thoughts.

  16. Study is Wrong by phoenixwade · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Filesharing HAS caused a drop in CD sales.

    Because:
      A. File sharing has caused RIAA lawsuits
      B. RIAA lawsuits have pissed off customers
      C. Pissed off customers look for other things to buy instead of CD's.

    A->B->C so A->C

    On a more serious note.... This reminds me of the global warming debate.. First you have those that say it's happening and those that say it isn't. Then enough studies come out that Global warming happening becomes the prevailing idea. So the next debate is Well, humans are causing it/it's natural. and so forth.

    So we've seen the Cd sales are diminishing debate, CD sales ARE going down, now we're looking at why, the debate is File shareing / not file shareing / impact of file shareing.

    I will be quite happy when the debate turns to "Your artists are CRAP, CD sales is dropping because the consumer is moving to buy independent artists' work, where they can find decent music."

    --
    A positive attitude may not solve all your problems, but it will annoy enough people to make it worth the effort.
    1. Re:Study is Wrong by aussie_a · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Also:
          A. File sharing has caused DRM (e.g. rootkits).
          B. DRM pisses off customers.
          C. Pissed off customers look for other things to buy instead of CD's.

    2. Re:Study is Wrong by aadvancedGIR · · Score: 1

      I've just read an article a couples of hours ago saying that the song that Yahoo was selling without DRM seriously outperformed those with DRM.

    3. Re:Study is Wrong by MostAwesomeDude · · Score: 1

      Causality is flawed in most cases. The best thing to do is to look for evidence of NO chain of cause and effect, like this paper does. Otherwise...

      * The Internet is created from ARPA, CERN, and espresso.
      * Universities pick up the Internet.
      * Shawn Fanning gets bored, writes Napster.
      * RIAA shuts down Napster.
      * Nullsoft designs and releases Gnutella.
      * Neo-Modus designs and releases DC.
      * Kazaa is released.
      * Gnutella-style networks evolve into semi-anonymous brightnets.
      * The first open-source darknet client, DC++, matures.
      * Studies correlating the evolution of file-sharing software and copyright infringement appear.
      * (Unrelated origin: Bram Cohen releases Bittorrent's white-paper and the original client/tracker.)
      * RIAA begin filing frivolous lawsuits.
      * Kazaa dies.
      * The Azureus project is founded.

      I do believe that that is an accurate, if somewhat truncated, chain of causes and effects from the beginnings of the Internet to today. If we are to follow that, then we should be blaming Al Gore for inventing the damn tubes in the first place.

      Instead, look to disprove causality. If there is no link between something, it is more significant than if there is a link.

      --
      ~ C.
    4. Re:Study is Wrong by SeaFox · · Score: 1

      Filesharing HAS caused a drop in CD sales.

      Because:
          A. File sharing has caused RIAA lawsuits
          B. RIAA lawsuits have pissed off customers
          C. Pissed off customers look for other things to buy instead of CD's.

      It's also worth noting that people who settle/lose to the RIAA are dead broke and can no long afford to buy music CDs.
  17. Give us something worth buying... by Elbowgeek · · Score: 5, Insightful

    That's the comment I got from various American youths. The music they are interested in has no long term value, unlike the Beatles/Stones/et al. Partly this has to do with the fact that most of modern pop is programmed on a cold computer and utterly devoid of real feeling; I get the feeling that while the kids are diggin' modern music at the same time they are unable to form a true connection to it, in the same way a human can't truly fall in love with a computer, because one knows it's an inanimate object at the end of the day. (And yes, I have read Isaac Asimov's robot story on the subject)

    When I listen to music I'm partly looking to be wowed by the performance of at least some part of the piece. Current electronically generated and produced pop has no real performances to speak of, or if there is one can't be sure whether it's a sample of some old record thrown into the mix.

    The point to all of this is that people now feel no reason to want to own the tracks they think they like (so that they can be listened to years down the road with fond memories) as music has become as commoditized and disposable as Gillette razors - only meant to be used for a certain period of time before being chucked in the bin.

    There's a lot more to the problem of course, but the above does play an important part. The record companies need to produce artists (and they are out there) who produce real music and do it well. Fiddling with MIDI settings all day isn't producing music - it's computer programming.

    Cheers

    --
    Who is this delectable creature with an insatiable love of the dead?
    1. Re:Give us something worth buying... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You do realize you've just completely dismissed multiple genres of music? So anything that involves MIDI (be it MIDI manipulation via something like Max or PD or being played in by a musician) isn't music? I assume you feel similarly about things that are purely DSP and soft-synthesis and sequenced on a computer? What about a real instrument played and then sampled by a musician and resequenced using MIDI or software? Ralf and Florian would be rolling over in their graves right now if they weren't still alive and ruling us all.

    2. Re:Give us something worth buying... by Gibsnag · · Score: 1

      This is true of mainstream pop music. However there is modern music which is real, is written by the people who play it and isn't made on computers. I don't know about the American youth (I'm of the English variety) but there is certainly a modern European Heavy Metal community of reasonable size, and the bands we listen to produce real music which they write themselves with real instruments and put real feelings into. You just have to search around a bit and find some more obscure bands on smaller labels.

      You may or may not like the music but it most certainly isn't pop crap.

    3. Re:Give us something worth buying... by LibertineR · · Score: 1
      Mod parent up.

      You are so right. When I was growing up, we used to argue over who was the best guitarist, drummer, whatever. It wasnt just about the music. Today, I guess you could argue over who is the best sample-stealer, who lip-syncs the best, (sure as fuck aint Beyonce) and who can gyrate best on stage without losing their headset mic? There is very little talent out there to WATCH and inspire.

      You mention Jeff Beck to some teenager today, and they will ask what did he RAP? They would tell you that Billy Cobham is a drum machine. There aint no musicianship approaching Steely Dan anywhere in music today. Even when you have somebody like John Mayer, who can play the crap out of a guitar doing teenage pop for girls (until the last album, I guess) there is no hope.

    4. Re:Give us something worth buying... by LibertineR · · Score: 1
      Howard Jones, is that you?

      Die Bitch, Die!

    5. Re:Give us something worth buying... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think you're putting more weight on the "computer generated"-argument than it holds. There is tons of great music that has been produced through fiddling with MIDI. Just think back, and see if there is a piece of game-music before ca. 1996 (with the arrival of the Playstation) that you like. For me it's the soundtrack of Starfox 64, a wonderful classicaly-inspired soundtrack. All using the soundchip of the Nintendo 64.

      Rather, what I think is the main reason is the practice of over-compression. (Not as in MP3.) Compressing audio takes away dynamic range, and if a song is compressed to as loud as it can get (which seems to be standard practice) it has the effect of tiring out your ears faster. Just open a track from the 60's, 70's or 80's in a waveform editor (like the free and Free Audacity), then open a piece of modern pop-music and compare the waveforms and how high and how often they peak.

    6. Re:Give us something worth buying... by Khabok · · Score: 1

      I dunno about trashing the computers quite so fast... I listen to a good jot of trance, and I have a very strong emotional connection to it. I'll probably be listening to these tracks for years.

      The difference is the way that that computer music is done. The music I listen to has a certain flavour to it that you can't quite put a finger on. Something unique about an individual synth maybe, or the way something is mixed. That's what keeps it seperate from pop: DJs working their own synths and handling all the mix, usually freehand. It puts the human element back into it, knowing that there's some freehand there. It's not just a drum-machine and a lead knocking down the same groove for three minutes.

    7. Re:Give us something worth buying... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Mwhahahaha, this is one of the funniest post I have ever read, anywhere. Oh wait... it has been modded insightful...

      Please, to the poster and the modders, take your heads out of your asses.

    8. Re:Give us something worth buying... by east+coast · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The music they are interested in has no long term value, unlike the Beatles/Stones/et al.

      Come on. The 60s and 70s didn't have fodder music? Please.

      When's the last time you listened to your Soft Machine albums? When's the last time you listened to Wendy Carlos? Or how about Iron Butterfly?

      Every era of music has trash and time washes it away to expose what of value is left. The Beastie Boys are the Rolling Stones of tomorrow. Bands like Iron Butterfly and Canned Heat are only selling on Ryko comps today. In another 20 years we'll be seeing the commercials for comps that have crap on it like "Whoop! There It Is" and "Who Let The Dogs Out" and people who are the same age as you are today are going to buy them and say the same thing about the music of 2027.

      It always bothers me that people claim there is no good music "like the stones" because they can't be bothered to give other music a try. I know if I only listened to my classic rock station the newest good music I would be hearing is The Clash too.

      Fiddling with MIDI settings all day isn't producing music - it's computer programming.

      Really? How about telling that to Tangerine Dream or Kraftwerk or Ash Ra Tempel? This type of thing has been going on for over 30 years, don't act like it's new. And if "fiddling with midi" is all it takes to sell an album you'd be doing it too. Just because a music is made with electronics doesn't make it easy. Granted that doesn't make it good either but there are tons of guys that "just decided to pick up a guitar" too. Some of them did well (like The Ramones and BTO*) and most ended up playing a few gigs for beers. It's really no different.

      * Before anyone bitches, let's at least be honest enough to admit that bands like BTO and Grand Funk were simple "good times" music and not really the height of talent.

      --
      Dedicated Cthulhu Cultist since 4523 BC.
    9. Re:Give us something worth buying... by tygerstripes · · Score: 1
      I agree with a lot of what you say, but I think you're blurring the line between Writing and Producing - as are artists these days!

      There is skill in writing and playing good music, music that gets you, but there's just as much skill in good production. Similarly, you can take the best actors, scripts and sets in the world, but with a crap production a film will be pretty unengaging. With none of the former but great production, it can be an impressively polished but ultimately unimpacting. They'd both be poor films, but in different ways.

      With music, a fantastically written piece played from the heart with skill can grate your nerves when the production is horrible - listen to a great song bootlegged from a pub-gig and you'll see what I mean. You can tell it's a good song, but the production makes it difficult to enjoy. Conversely, half of the top-ten these days seems to be well-polished talentless tripe which you can happily ignore, but won't ever grab you.

      You can argue all day about which is most important, but you may as well ask whether it's your left eye or your right eye that gives you binocular vision. Without either, you can't take advantage of the additional benefits of having both, and the experience is hugely diminished.

      None of the above is in disagreement with what you've said, but I think you're being a little hard on those that can make good music using non-conventional media. There are people and groups that can produce powerful, original, deeply touching music with nothing more than a couple of samples and a computer. They happily blur the line between creation and production (in the musical sense) and end up giving you something that goes up your spine - although they almost always work best in collaboration with an unsynthesised or vocal musician. Lay back and listen to a little Lamb, for example, and you may feel different.


      Then again, maybe you won't. We all have our preferences, and I'd find it just as hard to part with my Lamb and Fila Brazilia albums as my Penguin Cafe Orchestra and Clannad. Different strokes, eh.

      --
      Meta will eat itself
    10. Re:Give us something worth buying... by carpe_noctem · · Score: 1

      Hey old timer, let's slow down and put things in perspective for a bit... :)

      First of all, your observations about electronic music being "cold" and "sterile" are subjective, to say the least. There are plenty of electronic musicians who produce warm, beautiful and emotional music, and plenty who are just writing club hits with no real purpose or meaning. Consider disco -- there are a few disco "classics" that survived the test of time, and lots of crap that just entertained the cokeheads dancing on an illuminated floor. The same obviously exists in electronic music (or any other genre, really).

      The point is, you can't throw out the baby with the bathwater....

      I've heard plenty of Indy rock, emo, and so-called "progressive" rock that was 100% organic in composition and also 100% shit. Most of the "organic" music I've heard recently is quite boring and unemotional without the help of a computer (except for mastering, obviously), but you assume that since it was generated by "natural" instruments with some long-haired idiot in a sweater singing, then it is somehow inherently superior. And while I would agree with you that MIDI programming is closer to computer programming than writing music, you seem to forget that the really talented producers have both skills. Synth programming requires a functional knowledge of synthesis; you're not going to get anywhere in production if you just twiddle knobs randomly all day or stick with the factory presets. A synthesizer is just that; what you actually make it play constitutes the difference. If you had an ear for electronic music (which, no offense, but I suspect you don't), you could hear this difference in the music itself. As for your belief that a truly inspiring or emotional performance isn't possible with electronic music.... sheesh, I'm not going to name-drop on you here, but I have been to many livePA's that have had the same type emotional intensity of a "conventional" band which you might relate to.

      BUT, back to your larger point, the issue of "disposable" music. I must confess, I have thought over this a lot in the last several years. However, I started considering music a "disposable" item with the advent of digital music storage, not electronic music. It actually started happening to me before I was even interested in electronic music as a young punk rocker... I remember at one point deeply cherishing my old-school punk records, bootleg recordings, vintage 60's vinyl, and other such things. Eventually, everything in my collection went digital, as it was simply more convenient. I later sold almost all my records when I moved overseas, as the weight was simply too much, and I ripped all the remaining CD's to MP3. Physical music isn't of much use to me anymore, so I guess that the consequence of this is that the music in my collection becomes more temporary as time passes.

      At first, this process kind of freaked me out, as I saw music becoming a less valuble commodity in my life. However, now I cherish this, because I realized that otherwise I would simply be listening to the same old shit day after day for years on end, and I would stop growing musically in this respect. I don't even bother with gnutella or P2P now; I podcast everything I listen to, and when I'm tired of hearing a track I just fucking delete it. What I value in music is the flow of ideas, and technology is responsible for streamlining this; it has very little to do with the nature of the music itself. As for the emotional value of music; instead of relishing some piece of wax or a plastic disc, I just keep flyers and memories from the good parties that I've been to. My appreciation of music goes beyond buying more boxed sets of crufty rockstars, t-shirts and posters, or whatever else is considered to be the "love" of music.

      Call me "new-fashioned", but I think your view on music is too "old-fashioned". ;) Don't blame electronic music on the consumable nature of music; it's digital storage that has paved this frontier. If you don't dig on electronic music, then that's totally understandable... but don't assume that other people don't get the same type of emotional satisfaction out of it that you do from rock.

      --
      "Quoting famous computer scientists out of context is the root of all evil (or at least most of it) in programming." - K
    11. Re:Give us something worth buying... by bogjobber · · Score: 1
      That's the comment I got from various American youths. The music they are interested in has no long term value, unlike the Beatles/Stones/et al. Partly this has to do with the fact that most of modern pop is programmed on a cold computer and utterly devoid of real feeling; I get the feeling that while the kids are diggin' modern music at the same time they are unable to form a true connection to it, in the same way a human can't truly fall in love with a computer, because one knows it's an inanimate object at the end of the day.

      Or perhaps you're old. Don't get me wrong, I dig the old groups as well, but to claim that music today has no soul is completely false. Rock and roll is still alive and well, if only mostly below the radar. People have been making this argument forever. No hard feelings, you just don't "get it." In the parlance of other times, you're a square. And just because something's produced with a computer doesn't mean it's cold. Remember, guitars and pianos are inanimate objects also.

      Current electronically generated and produced pop has no real performances to speak of, or if there is one can't be sure whether it's a sample of some old record thrown into the mix.

      Most of the Beatles later stuff was meticulously recorded with tons and tons of effects and redubs and a ridiculous amount of editing and shaping. There was little "performance" in that, as well. Whether it's made with electronic instruments shouldn't matter in capturing the feeling of a piece.

      The record companies need to produce artists (and they are out there) who produce real music and do it well.

      Again, the times they are a-changin'. Just because there isn't the large amount of phenomenally successful artists out there being pushed into the mainstream by the record companies as there was in the 60's and 70's (and to a lesser extent 80's and 90's) doesn't mean there isn't music worth listening to. It's there if you're looking for it, it's just not being pushed on you. To give you an example of what I listen to, here's a sampling of some of some current artists I listen to now that have more of a traditional rock/pop approach (all available in your local record store and P2P site of course): The Hold Steady, The Decemberists, Death Cab for Cutie, The Shins, and The Good, the Bad, and the Queen. I definitely listen to more types of music than this (more mainstream and less) but that's a decent sample of some damn good current rock/pop bands.

      Besides, the old bands are still around and making good music. The Who, The Stones, Dylan, Elvis Costello, Jerry Lee Lewis, Elton John, Springsteen, Paul McCartney, and other great old artists have put out good albums lately. You might not even have to get into any new groups to find some great new music. There's a lot of it out there to be found, you just have to look!

    12. Re:Give us something worth buying... by carpe_noctem · · Score: 1

      With music, a fantastically written piece played from the heart with skill can grate your nerves when the production is horrible.

      This is so true.... and also the reason why I can no longer listen to "Für Elise" without thinking of somebody's cell phone going off..

      --
      "Quoting famous computer scientists out of context is the root of all evil (or at least most of it) in programming." - K
    13. Re:Give us something worth buying... by Corporate+Troll · · Score: 1

      Exactly!

      *sigh*

    14. Re:Give us something worth buying... by mrbcs · · Score: 1
      I agree. I started playing drums because of Rush and the Farewell to Kings album. Peart is amazing.

      I wore out 3 sets of their first 3 albums and saw them live twice. I still listen to their old stuff once in a while.

      Ya, that guy on YouTube that can't play but made an interesting video was neat, but I'd never buy an album of his.

      --
      I'm not anti-social, I'm anti-idiot.
    15. Re:Give us something worth buying... by Gr8Apes · · Score: 1

      The Beastie Boys are the Rolling Stones of tomorrow. Please NO!!!!!!

      How about telling that to Tangerine Dream ... When's the last time TD released an album? Force Majeure was the last really good thing I recall from them, and I have it on LP...

      ...The Ramones and BTO... Two more bands that were good, and have lasted. Sedated and Takin' Care of Business both have had commercial play recently.

      You forgot to mention ELO and Nine Inch Nails for other counterparts on MIDI ports and computer programming.... :) Head Like a Hole still rocks and applies, although in a slightly different context today.
      --
      The cesspool just got a check and balance.
    16. Re:Give us something worth buying... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Fiddling with MIDI settings all day isn't performing music - it's computer programming.

      Fixed it for ya.
    17. Re:Give us something worth buying... by dragonsomnolent · · Score: 1

      Let's not forget The Guess Who (Randy Bachman's first band) and probably much better than BTO imho

      --
      I got nuthin
    18. Re:Give us something worth buying... by east+coast · · Score: 1

      When's the last time TD released an album?

      A couple weeks ago, maybe as long as two months. TD is still VERY active. Even that's an understatement.

      Force Majeure was the last really good thing I recall from them, and I have it on LP...

      It's a personal thing. Being a TD fan and within TD fan circles there are a lot of people who'd agree with you that when TD left the Berlin School sound that it was pretty much over for them. I disagree. The early-mid eighties stuff still held a lot of value, the late 80s/early 90s work left a ton to be desired (also their least productive period, oddly enough) but they've since started to move in a few different directions and I'm finding that's while it's a mixed bag it's still worth my time and money. We're never going to see the Froese, Franke, Baumann quality era again but it's still worthwhile. It seems the more core fans are in with me on this opinion as well. To each their own. I'm fairly sure that TD will continue to produce for a while longer even tho Edgar is getting up there in years.

      You forgot to mention ELO and Nine Inch Nails for other counterparts on MIDI ports and computer programming.... :)

      Absolutely. I brought up the bands I did because they were really the front runners of "strong" electronic music. Most people who slag e-music for being too simple or too easy are fast to forget other artists to whom which there is little or no questions of quality but have used e-music to their advantage such as Pink Floyd, Yes, ELP and Alan Parsons Project. It's a shame that people can't look beyond the sequencers and keyboards and see that it still takes a vision and a skill to produce good e-music. The creativity is certainly there and worth at least giving a listen to every now and then.

      It would be like saying that "Neil Young? You mean the feedback guy?". Anyone who's listened to Neil knows it's not that easy to dismiss him.

      --
      Dedicated Cthulhu Cultist since 4523 BC.
    19. Re:Give us something worth buying... by shelterpaw · · Score: 1

      Well I see your point, but you also sound like someone who just doesn't like electronic music. There's plenty of bands out today that don't make their music on a computer. One of the problems is there are so many damn bands and people are always trying to stay ahead of the music curve. If you listen to the radio, they shove the same song down your throat all day long. Some of those songs really suck. I think, as many have said, the record companies have lost focus and are looking for profit rather than quality. There are very good new bands, the record companies just haven't been able to spot talent.

      A lot of people love American Idol and they turn the winners and some losers into pop stars. I've never bought any of the albums, but I know other people do. Is the stuff good? I don't think so, but look it all the money the show is making.

    20. Re:Give us something worth buying... by Dogtanian · · Score: 1

      The Beastie Boys are the Rolling Stones of tomorrow. The Beastie Boys? Eurgh. Started out doing fratboy music (which at least wasn't pretending to be anything more). Then they went along the self-consciously cheesy 70s retro path just when it was coming into vogue. That's when they started getting lauded as creative geniuses and could do no wrong in the eyes of the sheep-like hipster crowd. (You knew a band was becoming successful when the rumours about them signing to the Beastie Boy's oh-so-fashionable "Grand Royal" label in the US).

      But the opinion of a bunch of late-90s Nathan Barley-types means precisely nothing. The Beastie Boys were- and still are- a bunch of overrated white nerds, and I couldn't give a toss about their music.
      --
      "Slashdot - News and Chat Sites Deviant". (Click "homepage" link above for details).
    21. Re:Give us something worth buying... by east+coast · · Score: 1

      The Beastie Boys? Eurgh. Started out doing fratboy music (which at least wasn't pretending to be anything more).

      Actually, they started out doing hardcore punk but go on...

      Then they went along the self-consciously cheesy 70s retro path just when it was coming into vogue.

      Christ, a few videos that had some retro refrence to them and you're ready to write them off. BTW: Those videos were done by Spike Jonez, everything else he was doing at the time had the same feel to it. The BBs probably had little to do with it and even if they did how is that different from the Stones doing their little Disco struts in the 70s? If anything the BBs are falling right in line in with the likes of the Stones and other big names like Elton John. So much for that theory.

      That's when they started getting lauded as creative geniuses and could do no wrong in the eyes of the sheep-like hipster crowd.

      So having a fan base makes the fans sheep? Anywho... strike another point up for the BBs being the next RSs. The Stones put out a bunch of unsellable shit for a few years there and no one but Stones fans bothered to listen. The BBs have a much better track record than the Stones in this area. And you call the fans sheep but at least the BBs weren't riding past glories for some fresh cash. (can anyone say "The Who"?)

      You knew a band was becoming successful when the rumours about them signing to the Beastie Boy's oh-so-fashionable "Grand Royal" label in the US

      What's your point?

      But the opinion of a bunch of late-90s Nathan Barley-types means precisely nothing. The Beastie Boys were- and still are- a bunch of overrated white nerds, and I couldn't give a toss about their music.

      So that's how the BBs are still keeping it going some 20 years later? I "couldn't give a toss" about the Stones, for the most part, either. Does that means the Stones are doomed?

      I hate to break this to you but the Stones, while a banner for everything that is good and right out rock and roll for some, are mostly disliked. That's why they only sell millions of albums instead of billions. A majority of people have never cared for any one band. If half the people who listen to the BBs today continue to listen to them in the future without the BBs ever gaining another fan they'll still be bigger than the Stones.

      Think of it what you will but the days of mega-star bands that go on and on is far from over. The Stones are just the ones that are easy to point out today.

      I know people are going to complain that I'm a BBs apologist or some nonsense. It's certainly not true. While I do own two whole albums by them the fact is that the BBs have changed their style, continued to advance themselves in a relatively stagnant market and maintain a fan base that not many other bands in the last 20 years have. You may still think of them as young snots but the bottom line is that the BBs are now at the legacy stage with a history behind them. Groan if you want but hey, even Meatloaf still tours.

      (And just for the record, I happen to own more of The Who than the Beastie Boys.)

      --
      Dedicated Cthulhu Cultist since 4523 BC.
    22. Re:Give us something worth buying... by Gr8Apes · · Score: 1

      Interesting on TD. Thanks for that.

      On the e-music front, I don't think anyone will argue that NIN was a front-runner. After all, he created a whole new genre. And his music was more "programming" than playing, way back in 88/89. (Not to mention that he provided the music for Quake.... Did you ever wonder about the nail gun?)

      --
      The cesspool just got a check and balance.
    23. Re:Give us something worth buying... by Dogtanian · · Score: 1

      Actually, they started out doing hardcore punk but go on... Okay, so they got commercially successful when they sold out and started doing fratboy music then.

      Christ, a few videos that had some retro refrence to them and you're ready to write them off. You mean the "Sabotage" video? That was okay. I was thinking of the retro-kitsch sound and artwork (cheesy use of analogue synths and vocoder- both of which I love sometimes, but not in the way the BBs used them).

      So having a fan base makes the fans sheep? No, I said it became uber-fashionable to like them in the mid-late 1990s, and it had more to do with them being latched on as "fashionable" by certain types, with lots of other people following. I'm sure there are people who'd be fans anyway.

      The Stones put out a bunch of unsellable shit for a few years there and no one but Stones fans bothered to listen. The BBs have a much better track record than the Stones in this area. And you call the fans sheep but at least the BBs weren't riding past glories for some fresh cash. (can anyone say "The Who"?) I think you've mistaken me for a diehard Stones/Who/whatever fan. I'm not; the Stones today are a tribute act to their earlier selves and little more. But some of the stuff they recorded during the 1960s/early-1970s is (and will continue to be) justifiably remembered.

      (Me:)You knew a band was becoming successful when the rumours about them signing to the Beastie Boy's oh-so-fashionable "Grand Royal" label in the US

      (You:)What's your point? That during a particular period, it was constantly implied that being signed to the Grand Royal record label was an indication of success and fashionability. Not that Grand Royal seemed especially significant, it was always mentioned that it was the BB's label, cool by association.

      I hate to break this to you but the Stones, while a banner for everything that is good and right out rock and roll for some, are mostly disliked. That's why they only sell millions of albums instead of billions. A majority of people have never cared for any one band. If half the people who listen to the BBs today continue to listen to them in the future without the BBs ever gaining another fan they'll still be bigger than the Stones. That's a big if (and your assertion is already questionable). The Stones, regardless of how pointless they are today, have created a legacy that *has* endured. If you're saying that in 20 years time, the BBs will have a greater popular legacy, then... we'll wait and see. I don't think it's at all likely, personally.

      You may still think of them as young snots No, they're all in their forties now, and quite a bit older than me.

      Anyway, I don't doubt that they did some stuff that was okay if you're into that sort of thing, but frankly the gushing praise that accompanied some of their 90s stuff was over the top; they're just not that good.
      --
      "Slashdot - News and Chat Sites Deviant". (Click "homepage" link above for details).
    24. Re:Give us something worth buying... by Hatta · · Score: 1

      The Beastie Boys are the Rolling Stones of tomorrow. Bands like Iron Butterfly and Canned Heat

      Have you ever listened to any Canned Heat other than what's on the radio? They actually produce some
      decent blues, more authentic and , imo, it holds up better than the stones who were pretty overrated
      to begin with. Given that, I'd agree with your comparison of the Beastie Boys to the Rolling Stones,
      both pretty overrated.

      btw, Switched-on Bach is still a good album. Bach is never goes bad.

      I agree with your general premise though. 80% of music is fluff in any time period. Problem is the 20%
      which is good all depends on who you ask.

      --
      Give me Classic Slashdot or give me death!
    25. Re:Give us something worth buying... by east+coast · · Score: 1

      On the e-music front, I don't think anyone will argue that NIN was a front-runner. After all, he created a whole new genre.

      Industrial existed for a while before NIN. Trent had the fortune to bring it to the masses. Rarely do the first people in a genre ever get the credit because it normally takes it a while for it to swing around.

      As for Industrials claims within e-music? Some of it may hold ground but all in all it's still using the same sequencer techniques that had been going on at the early days of Berlin School. Even Berlin School probably can't lay full claim to electronic sequencer technology although it is known that many of the early Krautrockers who stuck around did develop their own technologies or work with those who did because of gaps in the early generations of this technology.

      I guess it could even be argued that player pianos and music boxes are early forerunners to electronic sequencers. It's the same theory just a different platform.

      But if you follow the legacy of Industrial music back you're going to find a rich heritage but where you might draw the line on what is and is not industrial is going to have both followers and detractors. If you want to consider NIN the first industrial band no one can stop you but I lean more towards Skinny Puppy and Ministry and their associated teams at Network Records and Wax Trax Records. That may even be a bit premature but I'm not a big Industrial fan either. I'd recommend finding someone who's spent a lot of time in the Industrial circles if you're really interested in it's history. I was into it for a while in my high school years and still listen to some stuff today but my tastes in this kinda raw e-music area has turned more to noise than industrial.

      There's a ton of stuff going on in early Industrial that's not much different from late 70s/early 80s american punk where labels were less a group of bands recording for the same company but rather the company being composed of artists who worked together on different projects given different names. Labels like Discord and SST Records often had members that floated between bands and sometimes it got to the point where there were less musicians than the number of names they recorded under by using different lineups. Wax Trax, in it's early days, is certainly a testament to this way of doing business as the same core musicians worked on nearly every project.

      It's like a musician by the name of Pete Namlook. He does tons of e-music work with different artists and everything on his label (FAX +49-69/450464) seems to involve him. The man has about 140 releases to his credit but there are so many different project names and line ups it would be enough to keep you on your toes for years on end even as a hardcore e-music fan.

      --
      Dedicated Cthulhu Cultist since 4523 BC.
    26. Re:Give us something worth buying... by east+coast · · Score: 1

      I was thinking of the retro-kitsch sound and artwork (cheesy use of analogue synths and vocoder- both of which I love sometimes, but not in the way the BBs used them).

      How is using it in one fashion any "cheesier" than another? Granted, some things are done for pure camp value. These efforts are normally one notch lower than satire and most are easy to see. I don't see this in the BBs.

      No, I said it became uber-fashionable to like them in the mid-late 1990s, and it had more to do with them being latched on as "fashionable" by certain types, with lots of other people following. I'm sure there are people who'd be fans anyway.

      You can not tell me you don't think this wasn't the same with the Stones. Do you really think all of the Stones popularity was from making the best music at the time and nothing else? Come on, Mick Jagger is an icon not because of his music but because of his "fashion". Not to go as far as to say he was the Marilyn Manson of his day but Mick has a fan appeal all his own aside from his music, the same is partially true of the BBs but no where near the level of Mick. I don't think you'll see this kind of thing out of them.

      I think you've mistaken me for a diehard Stones/Who/whatever fan. I'm not; the Stones today are a tribute act to their earlier selves and little more. But some of the stuff they recorded during the 1960s/early-1970s is (and will continue to be) justifiably remembered.

      Actually, I'm assuming nothing about you. I'm not talk as a fan to a fan here, I'm neither a big Stones or BBs fan. I agree that the Stones have great tracks that are worth listening too (mostly very early Stones for me). The bottom line is that there was a point in the Stones history were they were frankly having problems moving new albums off the shelves. My comment about The Who was, again, not pointed at you but rather a general remark on bands that produce next to nothing in their twilight years but continue to pulling the cash by touring. The BBs don't have enough status for this yet but I'll be highly disappointed if they go this route when they do. I feel that way about any artist I have any respect for.

      Not that Grand Royal seemed especially significant, it was always mentioned that it was the BB's label, cool by association.

      And how does this reflect on the BBs? If people decide to follow them blindly it's not their fault. At least no more than other labels that were being held high at the same time for no real reason such as Maverick or even earlier Tommy Boy and Factory Records.

      The Stones, regardless of how pointless they are today, have created a legacy that *has* endured. If you're saying that in 20 years time, the BBs will have a greater popular legacy, then... we'll wait and see. I don't think it's at all likely, personally.

      Yeah, maybe I'm trying hard to predict the future there but as it stands today the BBs (and actually, I was only using them as an example) probably have the biggest chance out of the music of the past decade or so to come out as a legacy band. Name me others if you disagree? I'm willing to listen but consider that most bands today don't have the history behind them to qualify as a legacy band let alone the fan base... I just don't see many who can do it.

      Anyway, I don't doubt that they did some stuff that was okay if you're into that sort of thing

      See, this is the problem with seeing things like that: "if you're into that sort of thing" is contaminating not only this thread by it also shows how you look at it. This has nothing to do with being a fan, it has to do with the raw numbers and the trends. If I had my way bands like Mission of Burma would be the next Rolling Stones and The Orb would be the next Pink Floyd. But looking at the history and the current listener trends it's just not going to happen. It's not what I want that matters, it's the way things are that matter. Although I will admit that I'm far more interested in what the BBs are

      --
      Dedicated Cthulhu Cultist since 4523 BC.
    27. Re:Give us something worth buying... by Gr8Apes · · Score: 1

      I was more along the lines of Nitzer Ebb or Front 242 way back then, along with some of the British Steel invasion and Punk/Alternative/Post Modern and whatever category Metallica/Megadeath/etc fell into.

      I don't have copies of either Nitzer Ebb or Front 242 anymore, and have forgotten what they sounded like by now. I personally don't think industrial crystalized into someting concrete until NIN brought it "mainstream" (very loose usage for the time). But that's merely my opinion/impression, and my timeframe may have been shifted as location was still key to definitions and exposure at the time, not like today where the internet gives you almost instant access to everything.

      I have trouble visualizing Ministry as "industrial". Maybe I just don't recall their earlier works. It's been a few beers since that time. ;)

      --
      The cesspool just got a check and balance.
    28. Re:Give us something worth buying... by east+coast · · Score: 1

      Have you ever listened to any Canned Heat other than what's on the radio?

      I actually own Canned Heat albums. I own just as much Canned Heat as I do the Beastie Boys, in fact (2 albums each). But, just as another thread that came out of this, it's not a personal opinion type of thing. We're talking about the music business, not who's talented and who's not. This isn't about what deserves more attention but rather who gets it. And if you knew me you'd realize that this has nothing to do with fanboism.

      Given that, I'd agree with your comparison of the Beastie Boys to the Rolling Stones, both pretty overrated.

      I'd disagree if we were talking about their early stuff for both bands. But the Stones endured a much drier period than the BBs ever have. It's another reason I compare the two. But I also see that the BBs are keeping their fanbase fresh and their music is certainly more progressive than most other bands with a 20 year history.

      btw, Switched-on Bach is still a good album. Bach is never goes bad.

      But Wendy Carlos does. Again, I'm not really here to argue who has talent but rather how the market (and time) does change our perspectives on music. Today's music isn't going to be seen the same as it does by today's fans in 20 years.

      There was a point when people raved for Wendy Carlos. I'm sure many people still have their old Switched on Bach album collecting dust. I'm sure many of them have forgotten what attracted them to buy it in the first place.

      Problem is the 20% which is good all depends on who you ask.

      In time that's less of an issue though because blander stuff is shed off like dead skin. I even see it in my own collection; stuff that I thought was fantastic at a time that today I question my judgement on. The market helps determine most of what becomes a classic and it certainly shows in a lot of older music that has gotten played to death on the local classic rock station.

      --
      Dedicated Cthulhu Cultist since 4523 BC.
    29. Re:Give us something worth buying... by Dogtanian · · Score: 1

      Fair reply; I apologise if I mistook you for a rabid (or at least defensive) BBs fan. I'm not convinced that they're going to be as well remembered in 20 years time as the Stones are today, and I honestly don't think that their 90s output was the creative genius it was made out to be. I still believe that there was a lot of media bandwagon jumping there, and the reason I mentioned it is that bands that are applauded because they're fashionable don't always last.

      Another thing is that I don't think that the BBs were ever as big as the Stones (or to give a modern example, U2, not that I'm a big fan of theirs either).

      Anyway, if I'm wrong (or if you are) one of us can come back 20 years later, point fingers and say "I told you so" ;-)

      --
      "Slashdot - News and Chat Sites Deviant". (Click "homepage" link above for details).
    30. Re:Give us something worth buying... by east+coast · · Score: 1

      You mention Jeff Beck to some teenager today, and they will ask what did he RAP?

      Yeah, the key word there is "some". Most people in the masses don't know Jeff Beck from MC Hammer. You've got to draw the line on what you'd expect a non-music lover to know. I doubt that 2% of all people could name any work Jeff Beck has ever done. You'd doubtlessly find more people with some years behind them who would know but some of that comes with musical experience, not just age on it's own.

      It's easy to drop his name among music lovers but he's a hard sell to most guys who just listen to the radio (regardless of format)

      They would tell you that Billy Cobham is a drum machine.

      Again, 98%+ off all people have never heard Cobham or Mahavishnu Orchestra. You're dropping an obscure reference and expecting Joe Sixpack to pick up on it? You're expecting too much out of the wrong crowd.

      There aint no musicianship approaching Steely Dan anywhere in music today.

      Yeah, Steely. Finally we come to a band that I'm fairly confident Joe Sixpack would recognize. Say Fagen or Becker though and you're going to get a blank expression in a lot of cases. It is unfortunate but most people simply don't get into music. That's the bottom line. And I honestly have to disagree with you too. I think that while the guys were meticulous in their writing, performance and production of music I certainly think there are musicians on the same level. You're not going to find it in today's pop radio playlists but by all rights it seems that Steely didn't belong there either. Even Fagen and Becker admit that SD was an anomaly and, for the most part, a million things that went right when anything could have gone wrong.

      But I guess it's what you're into that makes all the difference as far as finding someone what you consider talented on the level of Steely Dan. Scoff if you want but Metheny (IMHO) is one of the best musicians out there and when it comes down to it he could give Steely Dan a run for their money but the musical styles have a wide enough gap in them that it would be hard, if not impossible, not to let personal bias prejudice one's decision.

      --
      Dedicated Cthulhu Cultist since 4523 BC.
  18. Without an excuse... by JoeCommodore · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Thus, 74 million unsold CDs from that year are 'without an excuse for sitting on shelves.

    You mean besides the non-music industry perception that they contain music people are not really interested in or are at a price people are not willing to pay?

    --
    "Enjoy what you're doing! If it becomes drudgery, you're doing it wrong!" - Jim Butterfield
  19. I know the effect it's had on my music purchasing by krunk7 · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Not much.

    I was never a huge music buyer or listener really, mostly I just relied on friends music collections to carry me through. Though I understand how some folks get completely wrapped up in their music collections, for me it was mainly background noise to what I was really focusing on. As such, a 1/2 decent radio station would suffice when no friends with massive music collections were around.

    Since the p2p downloading craze and the direct download craze that led up to it...though my music collection itself has increased quite a bit, my buying patterns are about the same. Essentially, I have my own personal perfect radio station.

    Conversely, I do directly attribute P2P with significantly increasing my spending in one area: live concerts.

    Though my effort/money put toward accruing music hasn't changed at all, my exposure to music has vastly increased with the ease of "collection" that p2p has brought. I've always loved a live show, so much so that it probably explains my aversion to recorded music. I love the little flaws in a live performance that gives the music a personality that is often stripped away by significant remastering at the recording studio.

    Since a show costs anywere from 10-60 dollars and I'm going to more then ever and in genres I never considered before.....I'd say the music industry is profiting form me more then ever.

  20. They're garbage... by faloi · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Thus, 74 million unsold CDs from that year are 'without an excuse for sitting on shelves.

    That's the excuse. Sorry, people are buying less CDs because so many of the new CDs pushed by major labels are cookie-cutter copies of other CD's that sold well. Maybe I'm just getting crotchety in my old age, but all the music *does* sound the same to me.

    --
    "It is a miracle that curiosity survives formal education." -Albert Einstein
  21. Maybe it's because... by slasher999 · · Score: 1

    9 out of 10 CD's the RIAA is likely tracking contain crap for music that no one is interested in listening to, not to mention how overpriced CD's are now. When CD's were introduced they were about $17 each. During their prime the price dropped to $13 or so, now they are on the way back up. The Internet has made more music available to people than was ever available at any traditional "record store", and much of it is truly free. What CD's teens I know are buying are split probably 50-50 new music and music that is 20 or so years old.

    1. Re:Maybe it's because... by cydnub · · Score: 1

      Speaking of price, how often have we seen the soundtrack of a movie costing more than the entire, full length, soundtrack-included movie ? So basically adding the visuals and dialog to the music makes the entire package worth less?

    2. Re:Maybe it's because... by realityfighter · · Score: 1

      No kidding. The bookstore down the street sells books and a music store-quality selection of CDs, but I never buy CDs there. I can buy a good book there for $5-7, but even the bargain bin CDs start at $10. If I want a CD, I go to the used bookstore further down the road, where they sell CDs for $5-7. I do prefer brand new CDs, but I can't bring myself to buy more than one unused CD a year. If CDs were in the same price range as books, I would buy both my books and CDs new.

      Maybe this is why so many people my age are turning back to reading for entertainment. Everything else (except television, and possibly weed) is far more expensive.

      --
      A strain of paranoid prevention can be worse than the disease, whate'er the intention.
  22. Amnesiacs by Morosoph · · Score: 1
    It amazes me how this is news at all. This has been all over Slashdot, and repeatedly referred to. I got into an argument with someone who claimed that because this article was cited by people who pirated, it somehow wasn't valid data (!?) Somehow the oldness of the news also meant that people stopped treating the data as compelling, as if old data loses accuracy. Besides the pro-piracy lobby wanted to say "(intellectual) property is theft", which, you'll have to admit is a lot more dramatic.

    The argument has moved on a little since then, but not a lot. Notably, the music industry "hit back" with a paper called "Piracy on the High 'C's", who's central contention was that students did spend less on music. A barely mentioned acedemic paper that I discovered when researching the issue mayself had a response to that: older people who pirate buy more, and younger people buy less.

    This is probably something to do with income, IMO, together with the effect that nurturing an interest has upon one's purchases. Links and further analysis can be found in a post that I made in an old journal of mine.

    1. Re:Amnesiacs by bennomatic · · Score: 1

      Notably, the music industry "hit back" with a paper called "Piracy on the High 'C's", who's central contention was that students did spend less on music. A barely mentioned acedemic paper that I discovered when researching the issue mayself had a response to that: older people who pirate buy more, and younger people buy less.

      In unrelated news, the Beer Brewers' Association of America (BBAA) announced that there was a correlation between filesharing and a steep drop-off in sales of premium beers. "We are aligning ourselves with the RIAA and the MPAA because it is clear that filesharing has far reaching effects in our economy and must be stopped," announced BBAA chairperson Miranda Stone.

      In other news, the makers of Bud, Miller, Coors, Pabst Blue Ribbon and Mickey's Big Mouth withdrew from the BBAA today, citing record profits. "The recent success of our economy beers is an indicator that our philosophy of supporting classic beer flavor rather than the latest microbrew fads is a successful one. Our rapidly increasing sales in cities, especially where there are universities, indicates that well educated consumers know good beer and good value when they taste it."

      ...

      I know I bought music in college, and making that choice not to buy two cases of Bud (on sale) for the cost of one CD was a difficult one. I'm sure that there are all sorts of unpredictable effects on the market when college students don't have to spend money to get the music they want.

      --
      The CB App. What's your 20?
  23. There is an excuse by Bullfish · · Score: 4, Insightful

    For all the CD's unsold and rotting on the shelves... they are assembly-line crap... like fast food for the masses, it is bland. Pay attention and you will see that a lot of what kids are listening to is... old fogey music! When I was a kid, I would never have listened to my dad's music because ours was so much better. Now, my son and his friends are hitting me up for ACDC, Led Zeppelin and many other old gems... in fact last night I turned him on to... the Cars!

    There is some good indie music out there, but the major companies shun it while pushing out their canned pap. This is what is on the shelves rotting (as it should). No wonder their primary source of funds seems to be lawsuits right now.

    No wonder the Police have chosen to reunite. The rockers with walkers are making a killing because the industry today is creatively bankrupt. Bring on Jagger, the Stones and their musical wheelchairs.

    1. Re:There is an excuse by east+coast · · Score: 2, Insightful

      For all the CD's unsold and rotting on the shelves... they are assembly-line crap...

      I ask you to go look at the charts and see what is selling. While I agree much of it is radio fodder the bottom line is that Justin Timberlake or 50Cent or whomever outsold Pink Floyd last year. Pink Floyd is timeless and will continue to sell long after Timberlake and his ilk are worm food but that still doesn't make it deniable that pop outsells classic rock. The industry had it good when we classic rock fans were busy replacing our wax with CDs, either they don't want to fess upto this truth or they're too stupid to see that the format change was a bubble that was going to bust once guys in their 40s and 50s re-bought their Steely Dan on CD. I know I personally sold a ton of old vinyl to walk out of the local music store with a handful of CDs. Once I replaced most of my LPs my buying went from a floodgate to a trickle. I have over 1300 CDs in my collection, the vast majority of them were bought between 1990 and 1995. Today there are a few new releases that still get me shelling out the dollars but the back catalogs that I don't own I have no intention of buying. And no, I don't download music and play it in heavy rotation. That's not to say I don't sample but the downloads are no replacement from me supporting artists I like.

      in fact last night I turned him on to... the Cars!

      Please, God, NO!!! (I kid, I kid)

      The rockers with walkers are making a killing because the industry today is creatively bankrupt. Bring on Jagger, the Stones and their musical wheelchairs.

      No, these guys are making money from people like us who have the expendable cash that a 15 year old can't swing to see Nelly in concert.

      I'm not that old, 34. When I was a kid in school it was all I could do to collect my change to buy the new Rush album. I went to very few concerts until I became employed. Even in the early days it was mostly cheap punk concerts (5 bucks for 5 bands is a good price for a kid in an old pair of Chucks with beat up skateboard). Since I landed my first real job in 1996 I've seen Rush 13 times before that? only twice. I now have the cash to see them 2-4 times on tour. I love every minute of it but feeding my Rush addiction has less to do with the music of today than my ability to finally be able to pay out to see it. I would have loved to have seen Rush back in the 80s. I just didn't have the funds.

      --
      Dedicated Cthulhu Cultist since 4523 BC.
    2. Re:There is an excuse by Bullfish · · Score: 1

      You raise some good points... and it is true that bubblegum or pop music will outsell the old classics in the short term (the Archies had a number one record once if you want to be a-feared), but the classic rock albums do sell. I think their sales figures might even be higher if my son and others like him didn't just walk over to dad's collection and pull some rips for his player. And at those old rocker concerts, there are not just old farts like us there, lots of young people.

      True too, I was broke as a kid too, but radio was more interesting then... at least it was to me... doesn't seem like they listen to much radio these days. At least it's not as vital as it was back then

      And hey, the Cars were not that bad... and I did turn him on to the Clash too... Also, I didn't sell my vinyl (you heretic!)... I still have a transcriptor turntable and... an original copy of Fly By Night as well as some others...

    3. Re:There is an excuse by Perey · · Score: 1

      "There is an excuse"? Would people stop saying this? Every "excuse" you're coming up with is not an excuse but a reason.

      By "there is no excuse", TFA would appear to be saying, "P2P is not to blame, nor is any other scapegoat 'stealing sales'", rather than saying, "Wow, there's, umm, all these CDs... and there's no reason at all why they're not selling."

      There are many good reasons that may explain why sales are down, including poor quality and inflated prices. This study purports to blow apart an excuse.

    4. Re:There is an excuse by NormalVisual · · Score: 2, Funny

      I would have loved to have seen Rush back in the 80s. I just didn't have the funds.

      I knew that you'd be kinda strapped for cash then, so I went out of my way to see several Rush concerts for your benefit during the mid/late 80's. They kicked ass then, as was to be expected. In particular, the Hampton, VA dates for the Power Windows and Hold Your Fire tours were quite good - Blue Oyster Cult opened the Power Windows concert, and Primus opened for Hold Your Fire.

      --
      Please stand clear of the doors, por favor mantenganse alejado de las puertas
    5. Re:There is an excuse by east+coast · · Score: 1

      I think their sales figures might even be higher if my son and others like him didn't just walk over to dad's collection and pull some rips for his player.

      This is true to a point but if it wasn't for us loyalist fans these kids today may never turn on to classic stuff. It's an odd paradox: either they get it for free from you and maybe fill in a few gaps in your collection with a real honest-to-God CD or they never find out about it and it never sells in the first place. I think the situation is pretty good as it is.

      And at those old rocker concerts, there are not just old farts like us there, lots of young people.

      These kids are mostly brought by their parents at this point. Not to say that don't appreciate the music but 40 bucks for a concert is pretty heavy for a kid stocking shelves at the local grocery store. In my case my parents were big Doo-Wop fans. The closest I would have ever gotten to a Rush concert would be to see the Skyliners at some county fair gig.

      True too, I was broke as a kid too, but radio was more interesting then... at least it was to me... doesn't seem like they listen to much radio these days. At least it's not as vital as it was back then

      Radio was probably more interesting then but that's one reason I praise the internet; music accessibility. Aside from classic rock I'm a big Krautrock/Berlin School Electronic fan. If it was upto the radio I wouldn't be into it at all. If it was upto my local Sam Goody I'd own about 8 Tangerine Dream CDs. I was lucky enough to get along with the owner of a small music store who was willing to order me in stuff (even though he proclaimed it as trash). With the internet I can simply goto Amazon/iTunes/a bands website. I'm no longer limited to the radio rotation only. God forbid too, nothing against LZ but my local stations just seem to "get the Led" out all too often.

      I did turn him on to the Clash too...

      Maybe there's hope for the lad yet. :)

      Also, I didn't sell my vinyl (you heretic)

      Call it what you will but at the time it seemed like the best move to make. While I appreciate the quality of vinyl it doesn't play well in my cars CD player and if the choice comes down to cassette or CD you know which one I'm going to take.

      That and the fact that I would have had to have bought just about every copy of Close To the Edge just to keep a good copy around. Taking care of LPs can only go so far in preserving them. I'm afraid you're involved in a losing battle.

      --
      Dedicated Cthulhu Cultist since 4523 BC.
    6. Re:There is an excuse by east+coast · · Score: 1

      I knew that you'd be kinda strapped for cash then, so I went out of my way to see several Rush concerts for your benefit during the mid/late 80's.

      And you didn't even get me a t-shirt? Man, I've been hosed.

      --
      Dedicated Cthulhu Cultist since 4523 BC.
    7. Re:There is an excuse by subl33t · · Score: 1


      "Blue Oyster Cult opened the Power Windows concert, and Primus opened for Hold Your Fire"

      Oh, you bastard.

    8. Re:There is an excuse by kidcharles · · Score: 1

      What is all this lunatic talk about The Cars sucking? Where is this coming from, some kind of misdirected emotional lashing-out due to a childhood trauma involving automobiles?

      --
      Ceci n'est pas une sig.
    9. Re:There is an excuse by Jarn_Firebrand · · Score: 1

      my son and his friends are hitting me up for ACDC, Led Zeppelin and many other old gems... in fact last night I turned him on to... the Cars!

      Dad, is that you?

    10. Re:There is an excuse by NormalVisual · · Score: 1

      Oh, you bastard.

      That reminds me - Mr. Big opened for the Presto show, IIRC. ;-)

      --
      Please stand clear of the doors, por favor mantenganse alejado de las puertas
    11. Re:There is an excuse by sornord · · Score: 1

      My sons originally were into newer stuff, dominant features of which were rapping/screaming to the exclusion of SINGING, and canned beats instead of musicians playing. As they got into music and learned to play it THEMSELVES, what I hear from their various players changed to considerable amounts of "classic rock": Zep, Hendrix, Yes, et. al. As my youngest son put it: Rap and stuff like that are for people who don't KNOW anything about music. It struck me that they have simply rediscovered and appreciated music that had real people singing and playing real instruments on the recordings, before sampled-and-programmed this and that buried it.

  24. Double edged... by thefirelane · · Score: 1

    contrary to the claims of the recording industry

    Remember, that is also contrary to the claims of almost everyone on slashdot too... So many times I've heard that P2P increases sales. Since everyone has an "I found this band and bought the album" story.

    1. Re:Double edged... by aadvancedGIR · · Score: 1

      To me it, realy worked in both way. I bought many CDs from artists I wouldn't have considered purshassing without a free trial, and almost as often, I could avoid to buy a CD when I discovered that the "artist" could only produce total crap without the backup of the seasoned writers, composers, producers, techies and additional musicians called in to have a semi-decent single (I sometimes however check other works from these backup guys).

      As a french, I'm also faced with a similar issue with TV series: many of them are released in DVD but never broadcast on TV, so downloading the first few episodes is often my only way of knowing if I want to buy them or not.

    2. Re:Double edged... by Asic+Eng · · Score: 1
      Well - the argument in the summary is that P2P can't possibly lose more sales than the number of downloads made. Hence the remaining portion of the decline (74 million CDs) can not be blamed on P2P. This still allows for the possibility that P2P itself generates sales, but that this benefit is offset by other factors (e.g. poor quality and high price). It would theoretically be possible that these other factors cost 90 million in lost sales, while P2P would enable 10 million sales which would otherwise not happen. Using the number of downloads can only put a cap on the possible damage, it can not estimate possible benefits.

      However the linked article mentions additional methods the study uses - it observes times in which downloads are increasing, and finds that CD purchases do not suffer during these periods. Using this they make a stronger claim and state that the net effect of downloading is zero.

  25. Rots Your Brains by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Their record sales plummeted because the music they're selling sucks. And because the music sold before is now available in much greater amounts, whether on "classic" (rock/R&B/80s/oldies) radio, much less destructible (than vinyl/tape) CDs, and even downloads that don't get lost as much.

    The music biz used to be mainly in the business of finding artists coming from the mass of people, trying them out before "focus groups" (live audiences) who selected themselves from the cultural word of mouth, and cultivating them for a decade or more. The artists getting the most continuing investment were those most successful in either a live audience, or record sales even in a regionally highly varied market, feeding back with radio play. A natural coevolution of the artists and the audience, when mediated best by the music biz people engaged into both.

    Now the biz thinks it's smarter than the market. Creating fake "artitst" who are really just spokesmodels in videos for a recorded product tied in with cobranded products like so much anime breakfast cereal. The model is to create as many products that can be most controlled as possible, within a narrow range of those styles best "understood" by the marketers, pushing more money than brains through the network of middleman connections, and maximizing the profit from anything that looks like it's "hitting". Meanwhile, these "smarter than the market" marketers are dumber than ever before, especially about music and the mass of people in the market, because the smarter ones have already fled the sinking ship a decade ago.

    It's like the factory farms that breed mad cow. No wonder the music sounds like a soundtrack to the cows' death dance.

    --

    --
    make install -not war

    1. Re:Rots Your Brains by RyoShin · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Their record sales plummeted because the music they're selling sucks.
      Not only that, but it is now easier than ever for an indie band to get sales and fame. So now the big labels are not able to force their usual 2/3s of the pie on them, since newer bands have a lot more leverage. Observe:

      RIAA company: "We'll distribute your CD and songs on iTunes, but we get 70% of the take."
      New band: "Whatever, I can use something like CDBaby and do the same for only a 20% take."
      RIAA company: "Buh... uh... won't you think of the children? And by that, I mean our children. How will they ever afford a new Hummer?!"

      Songs from (good) indie bands that do a lot of exposure are then picked up by the indie stations, and eventually make their way to the various ClearCrap stations who don't want to lose listeners to the stations that play more than the top 40s.
    2. Re:Rots Your Brains by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'd say it's only a matter of time before we start to see music labels that are completely decoupled from the distribution of media in any form. The majors are just too big to compete in a world where you don't get most of your money from selling people shiny discs with bits on them. What you'd need is a lean organisation that simply worked to find and market talent to a concert going audience, with a much fairer system of profit sharing between the label and the artists. There would definitely be scope for both the artists and the label to make at least a living wage and I'm sure there must be loads of talented, unsigned artists who would gladly give up their day jobs to tour and record if they could. Set the recorded music free on the internet and your distribution costs are pretty much zero. Hell, if there were enough of these labels around I could even see a business for outsourcing the printing of physical media for those who still like thier music the old fashioned way. The trick would be getting the music to it's intended audience but I'd say there is a whole generation of savvy new marketers just waiting out there who would find the idea of stacking the shelves of HMV and paying radio stations payola just plain old fashioned. I can even see a power shift where the radio stations will pay for content to attract advertisers instead of the totally backwards way it works now. Like any business revolution it'll be a mad, chaotic scramble of lots of small players that overtake the dinosaurs, but man, won't we get some great new music out of if?

    3. Re:Rots Your Brains by exp(pi*sqrt(163)) · · Score: 1

      Their record sales plummeted because the music they're selling sucks
      This explanation only has explanatory power if the suckiness of music has increased in parallel with sales plummeting. Seeing as I've heard the same refrain about contemporary music sucking almost continuously since I first heard my parents saying it when I was a kid 30 years ago I don't see any evidence that this is true.

      Ever since the Rolling Stones were created as a "bad boy" alternative to the Beatles the studios have been manufacturing bands.

      --
      Doesn't it make you feel good to know that our freedoms are protected by politicans, lawyers and journalists.
    4. Re:Rots Your Brains by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 1

      If you actually listen to the music we're talking about over the past 100 years, you'll see that it has actually declined in quality steadily as corporate profits and cultural manipulation have been more reliable and widespread. Even though I like the music since the 1940s better than what came before, I can tell that the previous material was generally higher quality.

      Even if you listen to the Stones' first recordings you can see that they created themselves, and rode the labels promo to make their own material. Brian Jones was no one's creation but his own.

      --

      --
      make install -not war

    5. Re:Rots Your Brains by exp(pi*sqrt(163)) · · Score: 1

      If you actually listen to the music we're talking about over the past 100 years...
      Not sure what I'm supposed to be comparing with from 100 years ago. If you're talking about popular folk music then frankly large amounts of it was crap. Just endless recyclings of the previous popular folk song with very little variety and innovation. If you're talking about classical music then I don't think you can make a reasonable comparison with popular music today as these types of music are serving very different needs. Maybe you don't mean 100 years. Maybe you mean 50 years. Maybe it doesn't affect you but it makes me want to scream when I hear the same cliche chord progression yet again from yet another song from the 50s or 60s. I'm not saying that the most popular music of today has any great virtue. Just that there was plenty of crap from the days of yore. And today there is so much variety on offer, and simply so much music on offer, that among all the crap there are plenty of gems for everyone to find for themselves.
      --
      Doesn't it make you feel good to know that our freedoms are protected by politicans, lawyers and journalists.
  26. albums vs. songs by bsomerville · · Score: 4, Insightful

    One possible flaw in the study is that consumers are often not interested in entire albums. If the data is being presented in album units, and most of the download traffic is around popular songs from those albums, that explains some of the discrepancy.

  27. Re:excuse me, but this is plain bullshit by aussie_a · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Well here's a question: was the music industry losing sales at a rate that doesn't correlate to the growth of p2p before p2p became popular? Your rant doesn't answer that question.

  28. Sales are down by night_flyer · · Score: 1

    [ ]Because the Music Sucks
    [ ]Because collectors are mostly done converting their Cassettes to CD format
    [ ]Because the Industry is putting out less music
    [ ]All of the above

    --


    Thanks to file sharing, I purchase more CDs
    Thanks to the RIAA, I buy them used...
    1. Re:Sales are down by east+coast · · Score: 1

      Because collectors are mostly done converting their Cassettes to CD format

      A real collector NEVER buys pre-recorded music on cassette. It was cheaper to buy the LP and a good quality blank cassette and make your own cassette copy while retaining the original quality of wax.

      Even when cassettes were half the price of CDs I never bought cassettes because the quality sucked that bad. Making my own cassette was always a much better deal even though the cost was much higher.

      --
      Dedicated Cthulhu Cultist since 4523 BC.
  29. Just keep saying it... by haplo21112 · · Score: 1

    ...music currently sucks hard. The reason for falling sales figures is because the stuff the they are foisting on us sucks. Stop trying to create music acts out of thin air with payola and hard sell promotion. The music acts that are worth listening to will emerge on thier own and if they are worth listening to, people will gravitate to them. The music will sell and everyone wins. I stopped listening to the radio since even the stations I like (WAAF in Boston for the most part) don't even play the stuff I like anymore.

    --
    Power Corrupts,Absolute Power Corrupts Absolutely, leaving one person(group)in charge is absolutely corrupt.
  30. The premise of the arugment is all wrong... by stubear · · Score: 1

    The CD format isn't going to be here forever. How often do you pull out those 8-tracks or cassette tapes and listen to music? CD will eventually go by the wayside much like these have done. Also note that distribution is the right of the copyright owner. Consider a world without CDs and prolific, legal file sharing. Who's buying music now? MP3 files are free for the taking so why purchase another copy via iTunes? There is no correlation in this study between downloading files and actually going out and purchasing the album. There is some anecdotal evidence that shows some people do in fact purchase a CD after downloading the album but that's all there is. One could just as easily go to their local record store and listen to any album available in the store and purchase it if they liked it. Zune's DRM could make it possible to listen to a song for a couple times and purchase it if they liked it or delete it from their MP3 player if they didn't. By virtue of the fact that neither of these is largely accepted practice, it's far more likely that people "just want shit for free". They view musicians as ultra-rich people with more money then they know what to do with and downloading their music isn't going to hurt them any. Legalizing P2P is going to destroy the market for music sales in a digital world because it's going to make it non-existent.

    1. Re:The premise of the arugment is all wrong... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ...and at one time, because paper was expensive and because of conscious decisions of the powerful, great literature cost a lot of money to take in. Now, I can get the complete works of Shakespeare for about $5 in a used book shop, many great novels at 2 for $1 at Wal-Mart, and free (save the cost of an internet connection) copies of thousands of books from Project Gutenberg without moving my pudgy arse out of my pvc computer chair. And yet, there are more books being written now than ever before, and the book business isn't dying. Now, how does that work? Let's go back a step from marketing and distribution and consider content creation.

      Why do some areas occasionally gain notoriety as cultural meccas, as spawning pools for great advances in music, in literature, in philosophy and so forth? There are various sociopolitical conditions that favor the creation of such a place, but access is the fundamental property that defines those places and makes these things happen. A micro-Renaissance happens when diverse concepts and cultural patterns come together in a place and those involved get the chance to compare their traditional styles to other common styles, to mull it over, and then to synthesize the combination into a new product. Aristotelian rhetoric was one of several products of a whole bunch of Greeks spending a lot of time discussing heavy philosophical matters -- someone had to set some guidelines for discussion, if not outright rules. Getting back to music, jazz formed this way; people combined several basic forms of folk music (blues, ragtime, spirituals, etc.) and created something innovative. The same thing spawned rock and roll. The same origins are present for rap, for country-western, and for waltzes, baroque music, post-modern interpretations, and most anything else you want to consider. Simply put, access and time is all it took to spawn "new stuff."

      You aren't aware of just how right you are about the CD format not being eternal. It's dying quickly, and this time, it isn't just a shift from a breakable, clunky format to a slightly higher fidelity, fewer moving parts format; it's a fundamental shift in the way people appreciate music. Dump your 1980's plodding-progress mindset and get with the program; you're running out of physical-consumption, market drone baby-boomers to overpackage crap for. Music consumers are getting more educated about music. They are getting in touch with the classics AND seeing what is out there in modern interpretations. Hell, if your ilk wasn't staring so hard at store shelves and the Billboard charts, you'd see that a modern Renaissance is upon us. People who never would have thought of sharing their talents with others are emerging from the woodwork and contributing new ideas to the mix; they're forming online communities and making their concepts visible to the world. Myspace is just a big, visible hill on top of the glacier that modern networking has made possible.

      Yes, there are freeloaders. Always will be, always have been. Some people like to sit on a blanket on an earth berm half a mile away from a concert and catch the tunes for free (and drink their own, tasty beverages, damnit!). Others dislike the "record store" experience; IMO, Best Buy is a godawful place to go browse music, as are most of the record chains hidden inside shopping malls. Indie record shops are just a mite rare and have weaker selections anyway.

      Now, let's talk about me as a consumer. If I buy music in hard format, considering my own usage habits, the first thing I do with it is rip it to a portable format and dump it onto my mobile player, which I will listen to at work and in the car. Then, I will put my CD back in its jewel case, and throw it into a dusty pile of crappy, breakable jewel cases and cardboard sleeves I intend to throw at a resale shop sometime soon. Let me be clear on my own behalf: I have no use for CDs. I have no desire for things like CDs. I don't want a high-density disc with music videos on it, A) because I hate music video

  31. Re:How bizarre... by pipatron · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I download a shitload of music and movies. Yet, I buy the music I want. The availability of filesharing has not affected the amount I spend on culture each month. If I bought everything I download, I would probably have to pay some $2000/month.

    When you say Everytime a new study come yet the results differs., take a look at the sources. All independent research has always shown that filesharing has not and does not affect record sales. All information that comes from the record companies says that they do. Who do you trust?

    --
    c++; /* this makes c bigger but returns the old value */
  32. duh! by Grinin · · Score: 1

    If the music industry would put out GOOD music by GOOD artists, than downloading will only help them . The quality of ripped music is terrible, MP3 compression is crap and damaging to the ear... but if the lyrical content is good, the melodies or beats are good, then hearing a crappy MP3 should encourage the end user to buy the music. I know this is the case for me. The same goes for movies. I think the RIAA and MPAA should focus on the quality of their products before pointing the finger at P2P about the lack of music purchasers and movie-goers... also, when times change, the way people spend their money changes as well, and in a world of instant downloads its simply easier to pay $1 and download a song... but if thats the case, it would be nice to not be tied to a specific piece of hardware to hear it.

  33. People by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    There are people in the world who will not buy music if they can download it for free.

    These people naturally assume that everyone else is just like them. They say "why would you buy the cow if you are getting the milk for free? I wouldn't." So they claim that filesharing is the end of music sales.

    The FACT, however, is that there are ALSO people in the world who will buy CDs even though they could download them for free. The reasons vary, but may include a genuine desire to support the artist, a preference for the solid-tangible object to connect them to the artist, a tendency to impulse-buy music while out shopping, and so on. Regardless of the reasons, however, it is undenyable that such people not only exist, but that they are plentiful and that they are still buying.

    The artists, and the market, will do just fine in the face of widespread filesharing. We don't need to destroy personal freedom in the name of protecting the market.

  34. still one good reason to "pirate" a song... by frankie · · Score: 3, Interesting

    If I like a song enough to want a local copy of it, my first step is to check iTunes. Usually I find the song (recent example: Yell Fire by Michael Franti) and its associated album. If I like the other songs enough, I buy the whole thing, otherwise just the one. However...

    If the song is NOT on iTunes (recent example: Justified & Ancient by Tammy & the KLF), I click the icon I keep right next to iTunes... Poisoned. It's exceedingly rare not to find exactly what I want on P2P. As far as I'm concerned, I made a good faith effort to pay for it, and my conscience is clear.

    1. Re:still one good reason to "pirate" a song... by the_arrow · · Score: 1

      Considering that it's the KLF, I think they wouldn't mind you pirating their material.

      --
      / The Arrow
      "How lovely you are. So lovely in my straightjacket..." - Nny
  35. I don't know if you're heard... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "Big retailers like Tower Records going out of business"

    There's this thing, I don't know if you've heard about it? It's called "the internet", and while you may be a bit old and codgery to use it, kids today buy *everything* online.

    Plus, there's this other thing that the record companies do? It's called "screw retailers". Here's how it works:

    1) Charge Tower (and others) > $10/CD wholesale
    2) Tower has to charge $18 to $22 to make it worthwhile.
    3) Meanwhile Sony/BMG is selling direct to consumers this month for $5.33/CD through their record club
    4) Online stores have less overhead, so they sell for $12-14/CD to the consumer
    5) The Internet makes used CD sales viable (I buy most of the CD's I can't get from Sony/BMG this way).

    So you tell me how Tower was going to make a profit when Sony will sell cheaper to the consumer than they will the brick and morter store.

    It's pretty clear you have an old-man's attitude.

    Here's another tip... The phone companies are ripping you off for your wired phone line, too. Dont' think about it too hard. This new fangled stuff might blow your mind.

  36. No excuse? by beerdini · · Score: 1

    While the RIAA has been blaming that drop (and the drop in subsequent years) on piracy, given the volume of file-sharing that year the impact from file sharing could not have been more than 6 million albums total. Thus, 74 million unsold CDs from that year are 'without an excuse for sitting on shelves.' I think being crappy CDs is enough of an excuse

    When I bought CDs it was usually just for 1-2 songs then maybe another 1-2 grew on me, the rest of them I usually skip past. iTunes was great when you could buy the individual tracks, but since one of their last deals, in order to get that 1-2 songs I like they made it so I have to download the entire album. I'm not a big music person either, I can't name you bands and songs, but I know what I like and when they won't easily let me get what I want their way, I'm going to look for another way.
  37. Local music by digitalhermit · · Score: 1

    OK, here's a shameless plug for local talent... There's lots of great music in the clubs, lounges, open mics and hundreds of other venues around your house (unless you live in Antarctica). Here's a couple videos from a local singer that was filmed in Coral Springs, FL just a couple miles from my house:

    Moving On

    Original

  38. Only 6 million??? by kaysan · · Score: 1

    perhaps they only measured broadband activity in and around my desktop... ?

  39. my perspective is... by FudRucker · · Score: 1

    music sales are subject to the same economic highs & lows like anything else, even more so since music and video are (should be) on the lower end of people's priorities since food, shelter, paying the bills and other more important items comes first...

    if the MPAA/RIAA & music/movie industry can not figure this out then they should be going the way of the dinosaur (extinct)...

    --
    Politics is Treachery, Religion is Brainwashing
  40. Re:excuse me, but this is plain bullshit by TommyMc · · Score: 1

    Big retailers like Tower Records going out of business

    I'd heard that Tower records went bust because supermarkets like walmart started cutting prices on popular cd's to the extent that they were actually taking a slight loss, and then to compensate slightly raising the prices (a cent or so) on the high demand, low yield items, like groceries.

    I don't have a source for this because I saw it on the tv. however, it seems to fit with the cd prices i've started to see in UK supermarkets in the last five years. Granted, this new competitor doesn't specifically target Tower records more than any other music vendor, so maybe there was a degree of complexity to their bunkruptcy beyond this, however, if it's true, I'd like to know why they went after the cd industry with such ferocity, as opposed to any other. Maybe it was just the next in a long line.

    Filesharing, iTunes etc. may have come just in the nick of time for those of use that like more variety in music than your next-door neighbour's teenage daughter..

    --
    Stupid people think it's cool. Smart people thinks it's a joke; also cool.
  41. Re:How bizarre... by Yvanhoe · · Score: 1

    I still find difficult to believe that there is less than 1% impact. We all know that the RIAA summon there studies from the outter reach of alternate reality but still, it is hard to admit that piracy and sales are totally decorrelated...

    --
    The Wise adapts himself to the world. The Fool adapts the world to himself. Therefore, all progress depends on the Fool.
  42. What they really fear from piracy by mshurpik · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Apparently what the RIAA fears from piracy is not direct losses. They've been shamelessly inflating those numbers for years. What they fear is that piracy allows users a greater preview, which makes them smarter, which makes them less likely to buy the crap that's on the shelves.

    Back when I was a kid, the way I "found" new bands was to go to the CD store and randomly buy something. Either that, or the radio. Nowadays I'd be ashamed to buy music sight-unseen (that is, unheard) but it used to be normal behavior.

  43. Re:How bizarre... by Grimbleton · · Score: 1, Interesting

    I download unlicensed anime, which is technically not piracy.

  44. Time vs. money by tut21 · · Score: 1

    Filesharing, or tape trading before P2P networks, has always been limited to a specific age range of people whose time is not yet worth the money they save by stealing music. This will be true as long as music isn't free (not something I'm advocating, BTW) so music companies should accept it and move on.

    Bootleg trading, of course, is a different story.

  45. Accessibility of Music by gregtron · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I think one issue everyone's missing is the availability of non-mainstream music to almost anyone with an internet connection. Between Myspace, Wikipedia, affordable broadband, and the increasing hunger for new and exciting things, kids and young adults are finding increasingly numerous places to discover and enjoy music in amounts that they wouldn't have been able to find ten years ago. A lot of what we're seeing is the spreading out of disposable income, and the only people who are pissed about that are the ones who hold the rights to the mass-produced, lowest common denominater type drivel that MTV touts. If anything, we're giving more money and exposure to artists than ever before.

  46. Re:How bizarre... by cloak42 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The difference is that the RIAA and other similar industry reps will tell you that it affects sales for the simple reason that they view every download as a lost sale. What they refuse to admit is that in the vast majority of the cases where a song or album is downloaded, it never would have been a sale in the first place because the person wouldn't have ordinarily bought that album or song. By the RIAA's rationale, people would otherwise be spending hundreds of dollars more per year on music, which we all know is just not true. If there was no means for them to have free music, they would just not listen to as much music. What I never understood was why the RIAA thinks that people listening to less music is a good thing, regardless of the reason.

  47. I don't buy CDs anymore. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I don't buy albums. I buy songs. I'm not going to spend $17 on crap + 2 good tunes. I'd love to buy the 2 good tunes online for $.99 each, but because of DRM restrictions I'm forced to use alternative avenues.

  48. Re:excuse me, but this is plain bullshit by pipatron · · Score: 1

    I don't know what record company you work for, but whatever it is I guess you have access to all the independent research that goes against your claims. If you would actually read some of it, you would see that there are plenty of explanations why filesharing does not affect music sales. No one is saying that there hasn't been a decrease in CD sales.

    If you would read your PR agents post before you posted it on slashdot, you would also notice that the studies that showed that smoking doesn't give you lung cancer was sponsored by the producer of said product. They were of course wrong, as a lot of independent studies shown. In this case, the studies that shows that filesharing is hurting music sales are also sponsored by the producer of the product, and independent studies shows that they are lying. Hopefully, in 50 years from now we will see who was right, and I doubt that it is RIAA, much as is was not the tobacco companies that were right.

    --
    c++; /* this makes c bigger but returns the old value */
  49. The article's "natural experiment" method. by clausen · · Score: 1

    In economics, it's rather difficult to run experiments. For example, we can't ask President Bush to overthrow Saddam Hussein's regime 100 more times so that we can get statistically significant data on its effects on unemployment! The next best thing is to look for "natural experiments" that generate data that is just as good.

    In this case, the authors wanted to experiment with the supply of P2P "servers". If the number of people offering to share P2P songs increases, then they hoped to measure the corresponding decrease in music sales. Naturally, they didn't actually run this experiment -- the RIAA would have objected to the researchers engaging in piracy!

    So, they did the next best thing -- a natural experiment. When German students have their vacation, they share more files. This makes it easier to download songs in the US. They found easier access to P2P file sharing in the US did not cause a large drop in music sales.

    Of course, this natural experiment isn't as good as a real experiment:

    • German vacations aren't randomly assigned -- but the authors argue that since German holidays vary in each state, that there is enough variation to get robust results.
    • The "German vacation" effect on the ease of downloading songs might be too small to measure anything reliably. Germans P2P users supply only one sixth of all songs that US users download. This "experiment" might be akin to doing a drug trial with a very small dose of medicine. In this case, you need to collect a lot of data to reliably measure the effects.
    There are many other concerns discussed in the article. But, this is probably the best evidence we are ever going to get.
  50. I still buy CD's....sort of. by sherpajohn · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I buy about 16 or so CD's a year. Generally 4 batches of 4 or so. But I have to order them online from Europe (psyshop.com in Germany - great folks run it!), since no stores in Canada sell anything from the labels I buy. Now that's not 100% true, there is a couple of artists I listen to (Delerium, Conjure One) that are actually Canadian, and another artist (Toby Marks ala Banco De Gaia) who has distribution here (though I now buy CD's directly from him, get them sooner than waiting for the release).

    I pretty much stopped buying the drivel put out my the major labels in the early 90's, stopped listening to the radio (di.fm FTW!), and most of the concerts I go to are old bands coming back for the umpteenth time - though I did see Coldplay's 2nd tour which was darn good!

    To my mind the music *business* has turned into just that - a machine designed to reap the greatest money from the consumer for the least amount of effort/talent/artistry. There are tons of fantastic artists out there, but the vast majority of them record on little tiny labels (twisted.co.uk, ultimae.com are two that I consider noteworthy).

    I admit to doing a bit of Nabstering in my day, but honestly all I was looking for were extended mixes of 80's tunes that are not available anywhere. I would not even consider pirating/downloading any of the music I listen to all the time if I can buy it on CD.

    --

    Going on means going far
    Going far means returning
    1. Re:I still buy CD's....sort of. by Rocketship+Underpant · · Score: 1

      I'm not sure if this is the best place to post this, but you just listed two of my favourite groups, Sherpajohn -- Conjure One and Delerium. I like Banco de Gaia too. Any chance you can give me more recommendations? :) People with my taste in music are few and far between.

      --
      He who lights his taper at mine, receives light without darkening me.
  51. Re:How bizarre... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ...as for your mother, pictures of her are banned from most P2P site!

  52. This sounds great by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    But just so we're clear.

    I'm still going to be able to download my Spice Girls and Britney Spears music, right?

  53. I am the FLAC-Daddy! by LibertineR · · Score: 1
    I agree with most of what you said, but I dont agree with you on babyboomers not downloading warez. I am in a group of folks sharing high quality FLACs of some of the best stuff out there. Warez is actually keeping music alive for new generations. How many kids can afford the CD Set of Rossini's Barber of Seville with Peters and Merrill? That bitch was $70 at the now-deceased Tower Records.(yeah it hurt so much, I'll never forget) Young people cant afford that stuff, but there are sites where you can get that music and share it with your children and still afford to take them to In and Out Burger.

    You would be shocked to find out how many geezers like me are sucking stuff off torrent sites, that if you could even find it in stores, you might have to choose between CDs or eating.

    1. Re:I am the FLAC-Daddy! by Corporate+Troll · · Score: 1

      Young people cant afford that stuff,

      But they can afford iPods, cellphones, PSPs, Nintendo DS, and I skip the tons of other expensive stuff that I couldn't afford back in the day.

      I'm one of the "old-uns" too, but mainly because I don't download music and don't buy CDs. I consider I have the music I like on CDs, I ripped those and well, that's it. (I'm a guy that spent his first paycheck on buying *all* Pink Floyd CDs that I could get... now that was way more than your meager 70$ example)

    2. Re:I am the FLAC-Daddy! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm pretty sure Ipods, cellphones, PSPs, DS and such are typically purchased by parents (usually as gifts). Well that's what it's like from what I've witnessed. Not that teenagers don't have money to spend on ridiculas stuff like spinners for their ratty honda civic, but often what teens have for disposable income goes for smaller stuff like CDs and games.

    3. Re:I am the FLAC-Daddy! by LibertineR · · Score: 1

      I would have to estimate that maybe 5% of kids 18 and under are buying their own iPods, cellphones, PSPs and Nintendo boxes. This stuff is bought by parents and grand parents for the most part. Kids are spending their money on WEED!

    4. Re:I am the FLAC-Daddy! by Corporate+Troll · · Score: 1

      May be true, but when I was a kid, I asked my parents/grandparents to buy me a CD as a gift. See the difference?

  54. Come to think of it... by Joebert · · Score: 1

    Everyone I know who does file sharing can't afford to buy the albums anyway.

    --
    Wanna fight ? Bend over, stick your head up your ass, and fight for air.
  55. DUH by sudden.zero · · Score: 1

    I have been saying this since the beginning of the whole dirty business! This is very obvious and I don't understand why more judges don't just throw this crap right out the window unless it's a case where the person is pirating music and selling it. Other than that there are very few cases, if any, where an individual downloading music to listen to it is going to hurt the record industry. The reasons are as follows.

    1. A person whom downloads music via PVP, most likely, does not have the money to purchase the music in the first place. Therefore, the music industry never would have gained any profit from them to start with. They will however gain profit from the person still listening to the music because they will introduce their friends (providing they have any) that have money to the music whom will in-turn go out and purchase the music because they like the band and want to support it (providing they are honest)

    2. He or she wants to preview the music before deciding that the band is worth supporting by purchasing their album. In this case if they are honest they will purchase the album later if they decide that they like it.

    3. They don't have a credit card to purchase music over a "legal pay service" because they are too young / their parents won't do it for them etc, etc, etc.

    The list could go on for infinity the only case I see where it may actually hurt the music industry is where a person downloads music and then sells it! All other cases should be thrown out!

  56. Don't buy as much as before by LaoziSailor · · Score: 1

    Over the last 15 years I have significantly reduced my purchasing of music / movies. This is not due to p2p, rather my life is being filed with other things. If anything at all, I have actually bought music that I would otherwise not even have considered.

    --
    ~ Artificial Intelligence is better than none! ~
  57. Re:How bizarre... by inca34 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I didn't see any parading, though I did see evidence that it hurts sales by no more than 0.7%. How does openly discussing causal relationships in economics with respect to P2P hurt the credibility of a /., a news website that's centers a discussion about a topic for us to hash about until we set the facts straight?

    Really, until you actually RTFA and tell me why they're wrong, I'll stick with the only person who has developed a point so far: TFA.

  58. Re:How bizarre... by daem0n1x · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The problem with this study is that it's based on scientific criteria. The RIAA doesn't need science, they won't let reality fool them. They create their own parallel reality first and then base all their assumptions on that. More or less like what TV pundits do.

  59. Re:How bizarre... by Overly+Critical+Guy · · Score: 1, Flamebait

    What they refuse to admit is that in the vast majority of the cases where a song or album is downloaded, it never would have been a sale in the first place because the person wouldn't have ordinarily bought that album or song.

    The fact you don't plan to buy something doesn't mean you're entitled to have it for free. Some people just want to justify music piracy and not paying artists for their work. They want something for free, because they're freeloaders.
    --
    "Sufferin' succotash."
  60. they may be evil, but not idiots. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Now if I had to guess, I'd guess that P2P does hurt a part of the industry. That part being the "throw-away" music. The CD's people normally buy because they are "hot" and getting pumped out of radio stations and MTV like fat kids into a ice cream buffet. The kind of music that has 2 or 3 "singles" on the CD, and 10-12 fillers. The kind of music that 6 months later is "old" and never to be heard again.

    Now rather then having a dusty shelf of these CD's people have a recycle bin full of MP3's they got because it was hot, and got sick of it before buying the CD which they didn't want anyways, because, well, all they would have done with it is play the 2-3 songs that got stuck in there heads because they where getting played constantly.

    Take the Spice Girls, huge band, sold tons of albums, even made a movie. When was the last time you heard a Spice Girls song played anywhere? Now how about a Led Zepplin song? Big difference there.

    But on the other hand, P2P lets people download tons of music, much of which they might normally have not bought, or even heard much of. Perhaps even get hooked on, and buy a CD of. Which is going to help the smaller bands, without the multi-million dollar advertising campaign behind them.

    I know everyone likes to think the RIAA is a bunch of idiots, but they aren't. They got a lot of money, and give it to a lot of smart analysts and lawyers. They have all the fact. They just choose to make use of the facts that support there interests, which is there bottom line, which is maintained not by sales, but by control.

    P2P is not a threat because it hurts total sales, It's because it effects there ability to control the industry, create pop bands that sell regardless of what they sound like, and squash out competition.

    As long as physical media has been the only way that is easy to control. It takes a lot of money to run off enough CD's, or Cassettes, or Records, or even 8-tracks to stock store shelfs, get radios playing them, put out a video, etc. If you wanted any chance of being heard, you needed what they had.

    Now the smaller studios have a chance, grassroots bands have a chance, and the RIAA is not the gatekeepers in the same way. That is what they want to keep. So, before they can let digital music become dominate they need control. Which means controlling who is allowed to sell it, for how much, and what they are allowed to sell. If all music sold becomes DRM based as a requirement and 95% of it through a few large sites, they will have that.

    1. Re:they may be evil, but not idiots. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Now the smaller studios have a chance, grassroots bands have a chance, and the RIAA is not the gatekeepers in the same way."

      Unfortunately not.
      P2P piracy hurts small record companies more than big ones.
      The reasons are that
      (1)the profit margins are so much smaller that you cannot afford to have your CD sales halved by piracy.
      (2)you make you money from selling music, not tour merchandise, paid television and magazine interviews, product promotion etc.
      (3)as the production budgets are much lower, the music does not have the instant aural appeal of major productions, so most people hear it once on MP3 and never buy the CD and listen long enough to appreciate the songs.

      I know this will be an unpopular view here, but I'm seeing small record companies closing all over the place, and the majors sitting pretty.

      "Now rather then having a dusty shelf of these CD's people have a recycle bin full of MP3's they got because it was hot, and got sick of it before buying the CD which they didn't want anyways, because, well, all they would have done with it is play the 2-3 songs that got stuck in there heads because they where getting played constantly."

      Whatever happened to the album as a work of art? Why can't you hear a record as the artist intended?
      Do you ever edit your DVDs down to a couple of scenes because you think they are the best scenes in the film, and the rest are unnecessary?
      Why should musicians be restricted to writing 3:30 pop tunes just because people are too lazy to listen to albums anymore?

  61. Re:How bizarre... by cloak42 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The fact you don't plan to buy something doesn't mean you're entitled to have it for free. Some people just want to justify music piracy and not paying artists for their work. They want something for free, because they're freeloaders. I wasn't making any judgment calls about the legality here. The fact remains that regardless of what the RIAA wants to say, one download does NOT correspond to one lost sale. That's the plain and simple truth, regardless of whether it's right or not.
  62. I agree, but it isn't new by tkrotchko · · Score: 1

    "Creating fake "artitst" who are really just spokesmodels in videos for a recorded product tied in with cobranded products like so much anime breakfast cereal."

    But think about all the boy singing acts in the 50's/60's such as Fabian (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fabian_%28entertaine r%29) These were modestly talented singers who were pushed by the record companies to be stars and sell records to pubescent girls. Or in the 60's all the girl singing groups that came out. Or closer to the present, Brittany (et al).

    The phenomenon is not new.

    The recording industry has always been sleazy. Always some scheme they're hatching, always trying to get copyright law changed to make them more money, from the time they were selling sheet music, piano rolls, edison cylinders, 78's... always something. But I think post WW2 a lot of actual music guys hooked up with the record companies and along with the manufactured acts there was some genuinely good music that achieved a good following throughout the 50's and 60's.

    But the music guys all left the business and what we have now is a bunch of accountants who figured out it's cheaper to push Brittany for 3 albums rather than develop young *talent*.

    I mean, how many groups now disappear after 3 albums? And why is that? The record companies don't want to develop these acts because they're less profitable than the 3-album phenomenon. American Idol is the perfect example of what's wrong with the music business. It's not that the people aren't talented singers, but it fits the model that they want to spend a few months auditioning, pick a winner, and then make a hit record or 3 and then they'll be gone forever. It's okay though because next year's TV show will pick the next "star".

    Do you think Van Morrison could become popular in 2007? I doubt it. I don't think James Brown could make it big in 2007. If the record companies had their way, the beatles would've had 3 albums, and then on with the Stones, 3 records, and then... I dunno... the cowsills.

    But music has a way of renewing itself, with or without the record company's help.

    When Disco crapified popular music, Punk music rose up to push it out, almost like a body manufactures white blood cells to destroy an infection. When 80's AOR became predictable, Grunge rose up to push it out. We're about due for another musical correction. We can only hope.

    --
    You were mistaken. Which is odd, since memory shouldn't be a problem for you
    1. Re:I agree, but it isn't new by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 2, Interesting

      That's mostly true. Except that Fabian and the girl groups were themselves real musicians, if only "modestly talented", who survived the evolutionary pool of "the streets" to get "discovered" (and then promoted, as you say). And then developed - they all were cultivated for years, especially if they had any success, even regional, especially live. And their success was based on their music, even if it was pablum supporting their "image" in teenybopper magazines. Not how photogenic they were on video, even counting "Top 40" TV like American Bandstand, which was just a turning point.

      That changed some in the 1960s, as TV featured more music. But the total amount of TV "bandwidth" was too small to do more than influence the industry, and form a small ghetto of purely TV stars posing as musicians.

      Of course the 1980s changed everything. The record companies were not just a cartel, but owned by very large corporations, typically conglomerates, for synergy. They harnessed 24x7 MTV and a few others to market products with video content more than radio had ever achieved. And they controlled the content to make it safe, harnessing the social/political effects of the music for commerce, rather than the "revolution" (mostly dating preferences) of the previous 30-40 years.

      Disco, Punk, AOR, Grunge and so many other "genres" were created as market segments by the corporations, largely structured by video TV viewership. The only real monkey wrench was rap, which was so cheap to make (trashcan turntables instead of even guitars) and distribute through a new medium of tape: boomboxes and walkmans. By the 1990s record corps had figured out rap audiences, too, so that's corporate and harmless.

      But music is eternal. It's a fundamental way for people to express ourselves, to ourselves and to each other. It's a compulsion for many people to make, regardless of (and, owing to the defects underlying compulsive psychology, often despite) profitability, subsistence or any other rational constraint. Unfortunately, bad music is pretty persistent. But I hope that the decentralized distribution of networks means more people will hear more people like themselves (in at least some sympathetic way) doing it, and more people will be inspired to do it. Which is all that never changes in music, and where the good stuff comes from.

      --

      --
      make install -not war

  63. Re:The Original Report--1 Problem Here by Nom+du+Keyboard · · Score: 1
    Basically, I pose that file sharing is taking the place of radio to promote artists.

    One problem here. To hear an artist on P2P, you need to search for them, either by name, or song title. While this is great to find other artist's covers of a favorite song, a new artist with a new song title doesn't have an easy road to being discovered, downloaded, and listened to.

    Radio, OTOH, will play stuff you never knew existed until you heard it there.

    --
    "It's the height of ridiculousness to say for those 9 lines you get hundreds of millions."
  64. Filesharing INCREASED my music purchases by RyoShin · · Score: 1

    Like many in my age bracket, I was pretty into Napster back before it started getting mainstream press. I think I had, at most, a thousand songs at one point; I saw collections numbering in the 10s of thousands, though, so this isn't an impressive number.

    Before that, I never purchased media myself. I was content to listen to the radio, or the infrequent CD my parents would get as a gift.

    After Napster tanked, I moved with the masses to Kazaa, continuing to expand my music selection. Somewhere around the end of high school, I had a moral attack (like a heart attack, but longer and less painful), and stopped downloading music. I erased most of the songs that I didn't really listen to or like, and the rest I started to replace with actual purchased CDs. I went from buying 2 CDs a year to buying 20.

    However, my music purchases have decreased since then. I buy 5 or 6 albums a year; online music sites such as LAUNCHCast.com allow me to create my own stations with my own preferences. I listen to this most of the time, instead of my own CDs. As well as replacing most of my other music habits, it has also turned me on to new bands and music.

    Music purchases have decreased because average consumers are no longer locked in to buying whatever Target or Best Buy decides to carry in CD form.

  65. Re:How bizarre... by the_womble · · Score: 1

    Not that unlikely because it is a net effect. The lost sales due to people downloading instead of buying gets almost offset by people buying because they have downloaded an mp3 but want decent quality or bought a copy because they heard it because someone else who had downloaded it playing it.

  66. Re:I know the effect it's had on my music purchasi by orielbean · · Score: 1

    Going to the show is better for the venues and for the performers - they get a much larger cut rather than selling albums or tracks. If you love a band, don't worry about buying a disc so much. Go to their show, buy the tickets, buy the merch. That is where they profit.

    Everything else the band does is their loss and exactly how their record companies make back the production budget, the performance budget, and the promotion budget.

    Bands have to sell obscene amounts of albums to break even and make actual cash beyond weekend beer dues. They can achieve the same by aligning with other bands and setting up venue shows with much less effort and promotion, especially with the internet tools out there today.

    And the live show is the true test of a musician - instead of the paid producer with his suite of effects and digital editing to smooth out the rough edges or bad playing.

  67. Re:How bizarre... by green1 · · Score: 1

    >> Of course P2P affects sales.
    but there is a debate about which direction it affects them, some say that P2P causes people to buy less because they can get it for free, some say it causes people to buy more because they are exposed to new music they might not have otherwise heard (or movies seen, etc)
    Would it be that much of a stretch to say that both sides are correct and that the net effect is somewhere close to zero? (or as the article claims, 0.7%)

  68. Why listen to crap? by bill_mcgonigle · · Score: 1

    If we don't really want to have it, we may still pirate it.

    Yeah? Do people really listen to music that's not great? I can't imagine any reason to do that with the amount of great music that can be had.

    After ripping my CD collection and throwing out all the tracks that are just bad, I'm still left with *days* of music. I'd no sooner download a crappy song on p2p than listen to some low-grade track from Tunnel of Love when I can listen to Born to Run again.

    --
    My God, it's Full of Source!
    OUTSIDE_IP=$(dig +short my.ip @outsideip.net)
  69. Re:How bizarre... by abaddononion · · Score: 1

    I dont think that was GP's point. From what I read of his comment, he wasnt defending piracy. He was simply pointing out the bull that the RIAA uses. They say "Piracy is hurting the music industry!" so they can justify going after pirates as "getting back what they deserved". Really, though, the RIAA has just realized that they make lots of easy money with these lawsuits, and probably couldnt care less about piracy, because they know it doesnt really hurt them. In fact, they probably dont WANT piracy to end, because then they could stop suing people for exorbitant amounts of cash.

    The point isnt about whether or not piracy's right or wrong. Heck, if the RIAA was just saying "if you take our music (make no mistake, it's the RIAA's music, not the artists. the artists get pretty much zilch out of all of this), we're going to make you pay for it retroactively", I dont think people would get nearly as up-in-arms about it. It's their whole take on "piracy destroys the world and changes reality! If there was no piracy, we'd all live in a happy paradise and everyone would have what they want and we'd get paid what we deserve!" that pisses everyone off.

    On a side note, not entirely related to this, if I could actually buy albums directly from the artists, in cash, and make sure that they were getting all of the profit off of my sales, Id happily go out and buy music. However, since the recent things Ive heard about how much the RIAA or studios like Sony cuts out of an artist's payment, Ive refused to continue buying music. Did I turn to piracy? No. Actually, I guess Im a bit of a coward when it comes to legal matters, so the RIAA's FUD has worked on me, and I dont pirate music out of fear of them coming for me in the night. Instead, I just listen to the music I already have, or use radio/webcasts. Now here's a question for you... since Ive completely stopped buying music regardless... how has the RIAA benefited from me at all, since they have kept me from pirating? None whatsoever. The fact that I dont pirate doesnt force me to buy music. The fact that most music that comes out these days is crap makes it a lot easier on me, too. Really, they dont make a dime off of me. They dont get my money legally, and they cant take it from me in court. And you know what? That's the absolute last thing the RIAA wants from anyone.

  70. Re:How bizarre... by Pojut · · Score: 1

    Some people just want to justify music piracy and not paying artists for their work.


    You quite obviously have never seen how little an artist makes on an album sale compared to what the record label makes.

    I can assure you that the record label hurts the artist more by essentially taking their creation, owning it, then not paying them dick for it.

    I DO support the artist by buying merchandise, concert tickets, and by referring friends to them which in turn increases their fan base. A larger fan base allows them to get a larger contract.

    Personally, I would rather lost 30 cents times a few thousand if it means I increase my fan base enough to be able to negotiate a contract for basically whatever I want.
  71. Re:Wait! The RIAA misrepresented itself? by abaddononion · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    I dont know why you're modded down. I thought it was a funny comment. I also dont know why your only moderation is -1 Overrated... if I still had mod points, Id mod you up, but I spent my last yesterday.

  72. Re:How bizarre... by green1 · · Score: 1

    >> The fact you don't plan to buy something doesn't mean you're entitled to have it for free.

    That is actually an entirely different argument, but for the sake of this particular study it is actually irrelevant. the study was about whether P2P affected sales, not about whether people downloaded music/movies illegally. These are entirely different unless you believe that every download would have in fact been a sale had the person not been able to download it, as opposed to the more sensible idea that people would not watch/read/listen to as much "stuff" if they had to pay for all of it (who really believes that the 14 year old with several hundred gigs of music and movies would actually have as much were he/she forced to pay for it?). The study sticks to facts, morality and legality are left out of it.

  73. And what if downloaded files weren't used? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I suppose that they only look at downloads here and try to portrait those to the amount of sold records. But what about this scenario, happening on my box several times: I download an mp3 file, I dislike what I hear and immediatly send it back to the depths it came from: /dev/null ?

  74. Why does the RIAA still dominate, then? by bill_mcgonigle · · Score: 2, Interesting

    The music biz used to be mainly in the business of finding artists coming from the mass of people, trying them out before "focus groups" (live audiences) who selected themselves from the cultural word of mouth, and cultivating them for a decade or more. The artists getting the most continuing investment were those most successful in either a live audience, or record sales even in a regionally highly varied market, feeding back with radio play. A natural coevolution of the artists and the audience, when mediated best by the music biz people engaged into both.

    I viscerally want to agree with you on this point, but I'm left wondering - if this is the model for success why isn't it being exploited by entrepreneurs in a capitalistic society? The RIAA labels should go out of business quickly, leaving those following the path to profit as the new kings.

    But that's not happening.

    --
    My God, it's Full of Source!
    OUTSIDE_IP=$(dig +short my.ip @outsideip.net)
    1. Re:Why does the RIAA still dominate, then? by mattpalmer1086 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      It's a model for long term gain, not short term profit. There are still some people and small companies following this model, but I agree they are dying out.

      Market economics will quickly provide competition for short-term profit, but I suspect that markets don't innovate so well when the timescales are longer and the risks appear higher. The established market probably has to collapse in some way first, and some new bottom-up models emerge to fill the gap.

      Sort of like an ecosystem that has ecological niches. You can't compete with the quick creatures that are already established if it takes you longer to get there, even if you would be bigger than them if you were allowed the chance.

    2. Re:Why does the RIAA still dominate, then? by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 2, Interesting

      The RIAA is a cartel. Cartels are anticapitalistic, like monopolies.

      --

      --
      make install -not war

    3. Re:Why does the RIAA still dominate, then? by mikera · · Score: 1

      A properly functioning capitalist society would have a free market where independents aren't locked out of the key distribution channels.....

    4. Re:Why does the RIAA still dominate, then? by bill_mcgonigle · · Score: 1

      A properly functioning capitalist society would have a free market where independents aren't locked out of the key distribution channels.....

      You're right - I didn't know about that. Who does the distributing? I'm not sure why an independent couldn't ship a container truck of CD's to WalMart.

      --
      My God, it's Full of Source!
      OUTSIDE_IP=$(dig +short my.ip @outsideip.net)
  75. The Whole World Isn't Available Online Yet by bill_mcgonigle · · Score: 1

    If the song is NOT on iTunes (recent example: Justified & Ancient by Tammy & the KLF), I click the icon I keep right next to iTunes... Poisoned. It's exceedingly rare not to find exactly what I want on P2P. As far as I'm concerned, I made a good faith effort to pay for it, and my conscience is clear.

    One more click for your icon panel.

    --
    My God, it's Full of Source!
    OUTSIDE_IP=$(dig +short my.ip @outsideip.net)
    1. Re:The Whole World Isn't Available Online Yet by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Thanks, but I already own The White Room (aka Disc 1) from long ago. The original album is also available on iTunes, as are numerous Tammy Wynette albums, so I doubt there are any technical or contractual reasons why J&A isn't. Arista simply didn't bother. I'm not going to jump through hoops for a company that's sitting on its own long tail.

  76. Mode Parent UP! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ...bunch of insensitive clods.

  77. Re:How bizarre... by I'm+Don+Giovanni · · Score: 0, Troll

    I love how slashdotters continue to rationalize their piracy.
    Regardless of the effect, it's still illegal.
    If someone creates media content and offers it to the public for use according to specific terms regarding authorization (which normally means, monetary payment), then you do NOT have the right to make use of said content outside the bounds of those terms. You can rationalize it all you want, "It has no effect on purchases!! It actually INCREASES purchases!!!!11!!!", but it makes no difference. The content creators don't agree, and you have to abide by their terms.

    We wouldn't have to put up with DRM if it weren't for pirates, yet slashdot derides DRM but at the same time condones, or at least excuses, piracy.

    (There's also the subplot: Slashdotters buy into RMS's doctrine that software be "free", so they want to apply that to all IP regardless of the feelings of the creators.)

    --
    -- "I never gave these stories much credence." - HAL 9000
  78. umm by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    guys I think these numbers are completely legit. The point is most people's music libraries would be 1% of their current size because most people have way more p2p music then purchased music. The fact of the matter is, without p2p, people would buy the same amount of music.. their music libraries would just be smaller because no one is going to want to pay for the crap music that they could previously get for free. No. They will just pay for the good music.

  79. Mr Demille. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    As usual same old same old. Anything to back what you all are going to do in it's absence anyway. Anyway here's a question. If someone decides to not become an artist because of rampent piracy? Will that show up in this study? How about people leaving the profession? And as a bonus question, why do people constantly assume that piracy is confined to movies and music?

  80. Music != Business, Music == Industry by TheRistoman · · Score: 1
    This is one of the issues that strikes a major chord with me. That's because it is obvious that the RIAA and the MPAA are using scare tactics and yadda yadda yadda, plenty of people have covered that part thoroughly.

    Why is it that CD sales is the main concern for the RIAA? It's certainly not the only music outlet in the world. Why aren't they going after CD resale shops? Makes more sense to impose a tax on that, but I'm sure it has to do with volume. Not 'what's right' for copyright. Meanwhile American Idol gets more voters than the US President election, and William Hung becomes a national celebrity just because he can't hold a tune any better than the average fire hydrant, while a band like The Arcade Fire sells out five nights in a row in NYC and I can't go because I don't have 150 bucks to drop on a scalped ticket.

    My point is that the real music enthusiast (which, in my opinion should be the main target, not the random sale) doesn't just rely on going to Best Buy to buy CDs. He/She goes to live shows. They look for bootlegged live shows online. They talk to other people about music, try new bands that their friends like. I pirate a fair amount of music, mostly people I have never heard of, or at least people I have heard of but that I'm willing to try, either from friends' recommendations or just random searches. I wouldn't drop 20 bucks on a gamble, not unless it's something like a 5-star Rolling Stone album (cause they're few and far inbetween, and I'd rather take a chance on that). I have bought CDs of people after seeing them live, bands that I had no idea even existed before. Most people really have no interest in going outside the mainstream channels to listen to music. And 95% of the time that's filled with ClearChannel payola crap. Does that account for most of the shared music today? Maybe. I would like to take a bet that someone who buys new Ludacris/Carrie Underwood/Death Cab for Cutie has no idea what BitTorrent is. Some pirated music thrives on advance copies which are solidly grounded on hype (like some band's new release, leaked a month early). BitTorrent, because of its inherent volume, is the only interface that lets music enthusiasts satisfy their natural need for new, good music. I think the RIAA should embrace this model (advance digital copies vs. physical CD), hell they should embrace BitTorrent as their main distribution service... Then they could REALLY track what sells and what doesn't (with seeds/leech ratios) But knowing them they would probably charge the same amount as going out and buying that new My Morning Jacket CD and it would flop badly. I am a firm believer that people that share music online now have no interest in changing their ways just because some important figure tells them too. I know *I* am like that. But I would like to see RIAA realizing that people like me are a potential profit and not soul sworn enemies. A shift towards these new ways would certainly improve their image and probably their sales too. You catch a whole lot more flies with sugar.

    Our networking capabilities today are unparalleled, and it can take 24 hours to destroy or hail a new release. The *AA has somewhat embraced that angle (Snakes on a Plane), but mostly they think they can sell a CD/movie through a single track/reallyreallyfastediting because once you've paid for it then it's your problem to like what you bought or not. That's gonna end, quickly. Adapt or die. Right now it's like watching a newspaper fire their couriers because not enough people buy the paper. It surely can't have anything to do with the content cause it's so great...

    1. Re:Music != Business, Music == Industry by cdrguru · · Score: 1

      The problem is you are describing a business that would be built on "enthusiasts" not a mass market. The reason there is a "music industry" in the US is because it is a mass market today. Lots of stores selling lots of CDs.

      Compare this to the record shop of the 1930s. Very few record players, very few record shops. Record shops had people that knew their music and would go out of the way to get a customer something they wanted - because they had a very limited market. Contrast this today with asking someone at Best Buy about some foreign band and they will look at you as if you are from Mars.

      What piracy is certainly going to do is change the music business away from a mass market, because everyone will have all the free stuff they can handle. You will have collectors and fans that actually go to shows and buy CDs from a few speciality shops who will have dedicated customers. No more mass marketing, no more "record promotion" and probably no more radio airplay.

      Yes, you as an "enthusiast" are a whole different market than the one they are serving today. They don't care about you and never will because their entire business is selling to millions of consumers rather than a few enthusiasts.

  81. I'll tell you what affects my music purchases... by Cius · · Score: 1

    D.R.M. Especially the shoddy piece of code on my new Bond cd that prevents me from legitimately listening to it on my computer. The DVD side of the dual-disc works fine, but the cd side won't even mount (under windows or ubuntu). I hope the RIAA enjoyes the twenty bucks that I spent on it, because they'll have no more of my money.

  82. Re:How bizarre... by BlueCodeWarrior · · Score: 5, Funny

    One might even say that some people think that P2P affects sales, while other people think it effects sales.

  83. The Old and the New by bill_mcgonigle · · Score: 1

    Maybe I'm just getting crotchety in my old age, but all the music *does* sound the same to me.

    Maybe you are getting old. There are many shades of crap currently available on the music store shelves - younger folks can discern these gradations. :)

    Hmmm, looking at my iTunes list I only see 4 new albums I've bought in the past 3 years: Jack Johnson, Green Day, Sting, Jason Miles, though there are plenty of singles by the likes of Nikka Costa, Rock 'n Roll Soldiers, Riddlin' Kids, Scissor Sisters, Diamond Nights, Fountains of Wayne.

    I admit, that's a small number of current artists, but I'm also not listing the dozens of 50's and 60's Jazz albums I've bought over the same period, most of which probably profited the RIAA. It's worth noting there's no hype machine for Miles Davis - if they can't come up with any good new acts, why not promote the catalog?

    --
    My God, it's Full of Source!
    OUTSIDE_IP=$(dig +short my.ip @outsideip.net)
  84. Too true!! And there are other ways they profit!! by bennomatic · · Score: 1
    That's a great point. I wonder how the graphs of game sales track compared to music CD sales. It wouldn't take much growth to find a correlation, considering a game is 3-4x more expensive than a music CD, on average.

    And lets not forget that new consoles are coming out ALL THE TIME! XBox, XBox2, XBox360, PlayStation, PS2, PS3, Nintendo GameCube, DS, DS Lite, Wii.

    And how about other places young-uns are spending their money? Cell phones, text messages... and ring tones. The RIAA is doing fine on licensing ring tones to the phone industry. And of course, when you buy that cool new MP3 player, that's a couple of dozen CDs you can't buy.

    Last, at the same time that pirating has been a growing "problem", lots of services are offering unlimited download subscriptions. I wouldn't subscribe myself, but I wonder how much that "cuts into" CD sales while still padding the bottom line of the RIAA.

    They want to have their cake and eat it too.

    --
    The CB App. What's your 20?
  85. Re:How bizarre... by MobileTatsu-NJG · · Score: 2, Interesting

    "To suggest this to be true is no different than saying P2P doesn't exist."

    I dunno about that. One suggestion is that people are getting music, but they still spend money on it. They could use P2P to discover what they want to get, then go get it. Sounds counter intuitive, but you've got to consider that there's always new music coming out. For example, I discovered the Chemical Brothers through 'piracy'. When they released a new album, I just went out and bought it. I was excited about getting it. Etc.

    That may or may not convince you, that's cool, I understand. Afterall, I'm only giving you anecdotal evidence. I just know that I've spent MORE money since I've had the ability to acquire music/movies on the net than I did before. Sites like YouTube, for example, have kept me interested in entertainment. P2P may get people content for free, but it also keeps their interest alive. I can picture that balancing out. Ask yourself this question: Do you know anybody who exclusively gets content from P2P but never purchases movies or music? Personally, I don't, but I'll concede I'm only a sample of one.

    --

    "I like to lick butts!" by MobileTatsu-NJG (#32700246) (Score:5, Informative)

  86. Re:The Original Report--1 Problem Here by Gr8Apes · · Score: 1

    Basically, I pose that file sharing is taking the place of radio to promote artists.
    One problem here. To hear an artist on P2P, you need to search for them, ...
    Radio, OTOH, will play stuff you never knew existed until you heard it there. You'll note that I delved into MySpace as an example of that functionality further down precisely to address that issue. That's the final piece of the puzzle to complete the removal of the RIAA cartel from factory production and promotion of "music" that they've (d)evolved to.
    --
    The cesspool just got a check and balance.
  87. Ugg by Gr8Apes · · Score: 1

    Nickelback sucks. The only reason some Americans like them is because they're pushed down everyone's throats just as much as, apparently, up in Canada. (There's a reason certain groups refer to people as sheep/flocks/lemmings)

    --
    The cesspool just got a check and balance.
  88. Re:The Original Report--1 Problem Here by greed · · Score: 1

    And, to compete with commercial over-the-air radio, we now also have the two digital satellite radio companies plus an uncounted number of Internet streaming radio channels. The latter providing an amazing diversity of content (and quality).

    Both choices also provide a running display of current artist and song title, something traditional FM is lacking. (There is some sort of data channel on FM now, but I've never seen the stations around here put anything other than their station name out over it. That's the one thing I really don't care about....)

    I did, once, phone a radio station and ask what song just played, but they didn't tell me the right one, so I've never bothered again. (It was a station that liked to tell you what they were going to play, so if you just turned on and liked the song, you'd never know what it was.)

  89. Re:The Original Report--1 Problem Here by Inda · · Score: 1

    "To hear an artist on P2P, you need to search for them, either by name, or song title."

    That's rubbish. There are hundreds of sites that list music in order of date release.

    I have overtaken radio. I get every release in my choosen genre and listen to each one at least once. 99% of the tunes I listen to never get played twice.

    I decide what's what. Music industry, you are redundant.

    --
    This post contains benzene, nitrosamines, formaldehyde and hydrogen cyanide.
  90. Music is free by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I download what I want. I do not pay for it. Why would I when I can get it for free?

    Silly people insist on paying some Russian mobster and thinking this makes it all better. Or, they are paying a pittance to iTunes hoping that some of it filters down to the artist. It doesn't.

    If you keep paying, they will keep charging. People like me will keep downloading for free. Soon, more stuff will be free for the taking. Some people will probably still be paying. Not the smart ones.

  91. Re:How bizarre... by fourchannel · · Score: 1
    Affects is the right word for the sentence.

    But both of these are right, it depends on the context used.

    P2P affected sales.

    P2P had an effect on sales.
    --
    ---FourChannel---
  92. Re:How bizarre... by Dan+Slotman · · Score: 1

    The RIAA looks the answer up in their gut.

  93. This always pissed me off by Sandbags · · Score: 1

    First, these surveys and studies allways look at music sales directly. This is WRONG! We need to look at the habits of the consumer. What has happened to the movie industry for example? Most young people (age 14-35, accounting for way more than 50% of all media purchased) bought a VHS tape every few months and multiple CDs per month looking back 5-7 years. Now, I find people buying DVDs much more often than CDs and multiple reasons for it.

    Another point, ask the average person what they feel about the overall quality of new music today vs 5 years ago. Most will agree that the both number of quality artists and the number of quality tracks per CD has drastically been reduced. At the same time, movie quality has been increasing steadily as evidenced by the number of anual semi-blockbusters ($75 million plus box office gross) increasing steadily and a drastic DVD market and rental service explosion.

    There is also a strong and steady increase in purchased downloadable music, TV, and movie going on. Due mostly to a lack of great album content (few good songs per album) it's better economically speaking to download music. Even at $2 per song, I would (and have) saved money by buying only the songs I like off each album vs even the discounted rate of CDs which can sometimes be found for sub-$10.

    Also add in the MMO phenomenon of subscription gaming either thru game stations or PCs. I spend about $60 per month in my house on subscriptions to games or services I already own, where these used to be free to play games. That $60 used to go to new game/cd/dvd purchases... not any more.

    Take these factors into account, and I'm actually shocked the music industry isn't suffering DRASTIC sales drops, on the order of 30-50% per year over the last 3 years. For sales to be only marginally down is a wonder.

    Lets also look at other factors: Most households used to have 1 game system. Many now have 3 (PC, PS2/3, Xbox). These cost more to maintan and replace and the games cost more too. Some have monthly costs as well as purchase costs (between internet fees and subscriptions). Also media players (i.e. CD/tape players) used to cost $30-50 and could be expected to last a few years each. Now iPods and other media players cost hundreds, and typically have only 18 month lifespans. Cellphones, ring tones, and text messaging anyone?

    Overall summing together game, movie, CD, and online sales together (not to mention certain recent printed book phenomenons and card trading games) the overall $'s per person per month fed into the industry is increasing dramatically each year. CD sales are slipping not because of downloads, but because it's simply loosing market share to other more "valuable" (entertainment per dollar spent) market segments.

    I found back in 2000 my annual entertainment budget (games, music, dvd, movie, phone, equipment, copmputer costs, etc) was about $150 per month (and that includes estimates for regular hardware replacement). Right now, my subscriptions and services alone are in excess of that, before I include hardware or media to use with it (internet, MMO fees, cell, and voip). As a parent, i would have to be drastically reducing what funds are availible to my children. As a 32 year old without kids (one in the oven now...) I can barely afford my regular services. I haven't been to a theatre to see a movie in 3 months, have not bought a DVD since September, and have not bought a CD in 2 years (bought about 25 tracks on iTunes last year though).

    If someone had the incling to simply conduct a survey of total household fluid spending over a 5 year period covering 10,000 or so individuals, these numbers would be obvious.

    The music industry's attempts to lobby that downloads hurt business is completely false. All it's doing is instilling further distrust in the industry, and forcing many new artists to seek nearly equally successful independent labels. If they started signing better artists, producing quality work, and lowered the cost of the media to where it should be (CDs should be about $8.99 each now, not $15) they might experience better results.

    --
    There is no contest in life for which the unprepared have the advantage.
  94. why it's never been cited in the news by nurb432 · · Score: 1

    Beacuse the ones with the most money control the media. And it isnt us consumers.

    --
    ---- Booth was a patriot ----
  95. Boomers still buying by PoconoPCDoctor · · Score: 1

    It's the music, RIAA! I recently bought an album after hearing it on NPR's World Cafe - Nuclear Daydream by Joseph Arthur.

    I never heard of the artist before, but really liked what I heard.

    If I like it, I'll buy it.

    Simple. My collection spans more than 30 years, mostly CD's now, I sold off most of my LP's during a move once (wish I hadn't). I still listen to new music, but the robot playlists of today's radio are not how I find new music. Most artists now have web sites where you can order directly from the artist - eliminating the traditional distrubution channels.

    RIAA - wake up or fade away! Ahh...just go back to sleep, everything will be fine in the morning.

    --
    "Let us raise a standard to which the wise and honest can repair" - George Washington
  96. Another Reason by wtansill · · Score: 1

    for the drop-off might just be the growth of streaming audio stations that cater to niche markets and that allow the listeners in those markets to purchase music from independant labels and musicians that have no RIAA representation. I can tell you for sure that every CD that I've bought over the last five years or so was recorded by an independant artist that was introduced to me by a station on a streaming audio site (I prefer Live365.com but there are others our there), or I've heard the artist perform live at some local venue and then stopped at the CD table after the performance to pick of a few of their recordings. I control what genres and artists I'm interested in, not the "big media" companies. That fact more than anything else is what scares the hell out of them and that is why they have to try to kill P2P at any and all costs.

    --
    The contest for ages has been to rescue liberty from the grasp of executive power. -- Daniel Webster
  97. Re:How bizarre... by The+Great+Pretender · · Score: 1

    The thing that I'm trying to figure out is how did they actually do the math, the article basically says "The study compared the logs of two OpenNAP P2P servers with sales data from Nielsen SoundScan, tracking the effects of 1.75 million songs downloads on 680 different albums sold during that same period.". I can't figure out if the estimated 6 million affected downloaded CDs were from a model based on estimates of the total downloads/average number of songs on the album or the lack of purchasing an album because the person downloads just the songs they like. i.e. The range, at least to me, spans 6 million - 72 million (assuming 12 tracks/per album) downloads. So assuming the most downloads, if everyone downloaded just the one song they liked off the album and then didn't bother following through with the purchase that would be 72 million CDs unsold rather than the 6 million.

    --
    A positive attitude may not solve all your problems, but it will annoy enough people to make it worth the effort.
  98. Re:How bizarre... by markbt73 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    What I never understood was why the RIAA thinks that people listening to less music is a good thing, regardless of the reason.

    Because the RIAA isn't about music. It's about money.

    Artists hate dealing with business. Businesspeople know this, so they'll gladly flock to the "aid" of artists, telling them, "You just go and be artistic. We'll handle the business end for you." The trouble is that this lack of business savvy on the part of the artists attracts the bottom of the business barrel, the least scrupulous, most ambitious, laziest get-rich-quick bastards ever to earn an MBA.

    They don't give two shits if you listen to music. They just want you to buy it, for as much as possible, as many times as possible.

    --
    "Oh boy! Are we going to try something dangerous?"
  99. Re:How bizarre... by Sylvak · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I've done exactly that a few times. Often, if I like one song, I'll download a few others from the cd. If I like what I hear, I'll buy the CD. I guess this buying trend is being completely ignored by MPAA.

    Anyhow, the market has changed, yet the recording industry hasn't. If they don't get their act together, they'll either find themselves without a job, or they'll end up causing a war with all their legal propaganda crap.

  100. Re:How bizarre... by Catil · · Score: 1

    All independent research has always shown that filesharing has not and does not affect record sales. All information that comes from the record companies says that they do. Actually, both could be correct. While the RIAA probably only looks at sales of it's members, indepentent studies are likewise to cover the whole music market, including independent artists. If that were true, then it would be just a shift. People who mostly bought mareketed mainstream before, are now buying independent artits as well. The cause would be indeed P2P, but the internet itself as well because now everybody gets to know artists, who can't afford much or any promotion or a music video, through websites. If it's that easy, then the big labels should just cut down on their marketing in the same line as the decreasing influence of it and the profit stays the same.
  101. Re:How bizarre... by The_Spud · · Score: 1

    I'm curious where you get your information from. Particularly the 30 cents figure.

    The signed artists I have spoken to about this ( at length ) get 50% of the profits from their albums. I work as a sound engineer so probably have more opertunity to speak to artists with record deals than most people.

    Your assertion that piracy somehow helps them negotiate a better contract by increasing their fanbase doesn't really make sense to me. If everyone is downloading the records and not buying them it appears to the record company that they don't have much of a fan base and aren't worth keeping.

    In all your argument just sounds like a wonderful justification for being cheap.

  102. In other news by mapkinase · · Score: 2, Funny

    Study Finds P2P Has No Effect on Legal Music Sales


    The other study Finds Stealing Has No Effect on Wealth of the Riches.
    --
    I do not believe in karma. "Funny"=-6. Do good and forbid evil. Yours, Oft-Offtopic Flamebaiting Troll.
  103. Re:How bizarre... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    effect
    -verb (used with object)
    10. to produce as an effect; bring about; accomplish; make happen: The new machines finally effected the transition to computerized accounting last spring.

  104. Re:How bizarre... by Ciaran_H · · Score: 1

    Actually, both words are correct the way the parent commenter used them; he was referring to the meaning being different.

    "P2P affected sales" means that P2P had an effect on sales, whether good or bad.

    "P2P effected sales" means that P2P *caused* sales. :)

  105. study shows drm hurts sales by blackest_k · · Score: 1

    Ok there isn't such a study yet that I know of, but I believe on average around 3% of music on ipods is from iTunes
    (about 22 tracks).

    DRM is a disincentive to buy music, from itunes to the non audio cd's being passed off as audio cd's DRM is putting people off buying and the price is still a bit too high.
    Pop music should be sold like fast food. lots of it cheap and fast.
    whats a track worth?
    whats your local bar charge per track on the jukebox? That is the kind of price people are willing to pay for music without thinking.

    Thats the kind of model that will work, here within 5 minutes great quality no worries about the RIAA.
    no dodgy tracks that sound great for the first 30 seconds and then flip out. ruining the mood of your party whatever, none of this here you can have whatever you want for x dollars a month providing you keep paying it crap.

    maybe even do free bonus tracks of unknown artists the RIAA cartel can continue its role promoting new artists
    once they are known then they slip into the must pay catagory. They can take out ad space on the online music store highlight new talent...

    quick fast hassle free music will sell by the billions and make 'pirated' copys not worth it. The RIAA can continue to shakedown p2p users upload worthless files as they do today.

    The right price, fast and clean that will ensure a massive boost to download sales. Sure some people will freeload but then they always have. No amount of DRM on legal downloads will stop the same music being available without drm and without cost elsewhere.

  106. Re:The Original Report--1 Problem Here by jp10558 · · Score: 1

    Pandora.

    --
    Opera, Proxomitron-Grypen,GPG 0x0A1C6EE3
  107. Re:How bizarre... by Pojut · · Score: 1

    In all your argument just sounds like a wonderful justification for being cheap.


    No, it's just an opinion. All told, I own roughly 400 retail bought CD's, roughly 600 retail bought DVD's, and somewhere in the neighborhood of around 200 VHS tapes. This doesn't include the 300+ games I have legally purchased for every system from the Commodore 64 all the way to the 360, including PC games.

    I'm not using the standard "they have enough of my money" argument. I'm pointing out the fact that I have no problem spending money on entertainment.

    However, what am I to do when I cannot find a specific movie or album? If I am unable to obtain it legally, but I can find a torrent or something similar...what else am I supposed to do? Don't give me that "well you aren't looking hard enough/in the right places" crap. Some shit you simply just cannot find. (Keep in mind that if I buy it from ebay or someplace similar, the studio/label/etc. have already received the money from the purchase. They do not get a single cent from my transaction with a private seller. Would you consider this stealing? Would buying ANY CD or movie on Ebay from an individual be considered "stealing from the artist" because I didn't buy it new? After all, I am obtaining it from a private seller when I could have just gone to best buy and bought the same thing and the label/studio/artist/whomever could have gotten more money...)

    Moreover, if I have a DVD and it gets ruined for whatever reason (same goes for music CD or game), would you still consider it stealing for me to download it? I don't care if it is against the law or not, what is your PERSONAL opinion? Do you PERSONALLY consider it stealing for me to download something I have already bought?
  108. Re:How bizarre... by mrchaotica · · Score: 1

    No, they're both valid verbs -- "to effect" means "to cause" (strange, yes -- but true). So this:

    One might even say that some people think that P2P affects sales, while other people think it effects sales."

    can be replaced by this:

    One might even say that some people think that P2P [has an effect on] sales, while other people think it [causes] sales.

    without any change in meaning.

    --

    "[Regarding the 'cloud,'] ownership was what made America different than Russia." -- Woz

  109. Re:How bizarre... by mrchaotica · · Score: 1

    They want something for free, because they're freeloaders.

    So what? Even if they are freeloaders, they're still not going to buy the thing, and the RIAA still isn't going to make any money!

    In fact, the only people that could possibly matter to the RIAA are not freeloaders by definition, because they're the only ones with any possibility of buying its products!

    --

    "[Regarding the 'cloud,'] ownership was what made America different than Russia." -- Woz

  110. Re:How bizarre... by Risen888 · · Score: 1

    The content creators don't agree, and you have to abide by their terms.

    You misspelled "lawyers."

    --
    Hey, I finally got my first freak! Took you long enough!
  111. Re:How bizarre... by mrchaotica · · Score: 2, Insightful

    (There's also the subplot: Slashdotters buy into RMS's doctrine that software be "free", so they want to apply that to all IP regardless of the feelings of the creators.)

    And you seem to buy into the RIAA fascists' doctrine that the creators have some kind of God-given Right to profit from their so-called "IP." Here's a news flash: they don't. Copyright only exists "to promote the progress of science and the useful arts," yet it has mutated into an abomination that hinders that progress instead. Therefore, it should be abolished with prejudice.

    Perhaps what's immoral is upholding copyright, not violating it!

    --

    "[Regarding the 'cloud,'] ownership was what made America different than Russia." -- Woz

  112. Right. by chrismgtis · · Score: 1

    We download music online, because it is easily accessible and free. I personally would not pay for 95% of the music I have in MP3 form, so they would never have gotten any money from me in the first place. If I like the music enough, I will buy the CD, but most likely not for $20 a CD, unless it's one of my favorite 2-3 bands. If I had to pay for the rest of the music in my collection, I would do without. Period.

  113. Re:How bizarre... by MysteriousPreacher · · Score: 1

    Not that unlikely because it is a net effect. The lost sales due to people downloading instead of buying gets almost offset by people buying because they have downloaded an mp3 but want decent quality or bought a copy because they heard it because someone else who had downloaded it playing it.

    This is an effect that the record companies would be wise to investigate. From personal experience, I've gone on to buy music from artists that I'd never have heard about if it weren't for people sharing their MP3 collections. It's not a legal justification but if this can be used to drive sales, record companies have a legal obligation to their shareholders to explore this.

    --
    -- Using the preview button since 2005
  114. Re:How bizarre... by The_Spud · · Score: 1

    I'm not using the standard "they have enough of my money" argument. I'm pointing out the fact that I have no problem spending money on entertainment.


    You appeared to be using the standard 'sticking it to the man argument' that by pirating the music
    you are hurting the record companies and not the artist. If that wasn't what you were saying I appologise, however after I pointed out you had completely made up the figures for what artists get for sales you reponded by going off on a totally irrelevant rant about buying second hand cd's.

     

    Moreover, if I have a DVD and it gets ruined for whatever reason (same goes for music CD or game), would you still consider it stealing for me to download it? I don't care if it is against the law or not, what is your PERSONAL opinion? Do you PERSONALLY consider it stealing for me to download something I have already bought?


    Stealing is a wonderfully emotive word that I would to like avoid because I don't think I could face yet another rehash of the bloody it's not theft its copyright infringment boring flamewar we get every time this subject is brought up.

    Do I think downloading in another form something you have already paid for is wrong. Nope, but thats not what was being discussed.

    Do I think that you should pay for the music you enjoy. Yes

    If you don't like the record company the artist has dealt with then do without the music.
  115. Re:How bizarre... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "then you do NOT have the right to make use of said content outside the bounds of those terms. "

    I also don't have the right to cut down a tree, or burn a few gallons of gasoline every day to get to work. I do it anyway.

    My company doesn't have the "right" to put me out of a job just to make more profits, they do it anyway.

    Everybody talks about rights. Talk about what's real. Mercedes charges more for their car than Hyundai. Primarily because the consumer feels they add value. Record companies must be the greediest sumbitches on the planet. It's karma.

    I buy CD's when they're available for around $7 total. Lots of sources for that, both used and new. More than that, I don't buy 'em.

    I try not to listen to them on the radio either. Partly because I don't like Clear Channel, but mostly that I don't have the "right" to listen to something I haven't paid for.

  116. Really? by tkrotchko · · Score: 2, Insightful

    "We wouldn't have to put up with DRM if it weren't for pirates"

    I'm not so sure. CD's are lacking any sort of copy protection or DRM, as were LPs before them.

    The legislation to support DRM was put in place primarily with the DMCA which predates any sort of file sharing on a large scale. My guess is DRM was put in place primarily because of the *fear* of unauthorized file sharing, not from any losses.

    But even if what you're saying is true, what do you propose? If people didn't commit crimes, we wouldn't need the police. If people at healthy, our health care costs would be lower. If people paid more attention on the roads we wouldn't need all those safety features in cars, etc etc.

    But none of those things are true. The record companies can go one of two ways.... they either tighten down restriction on copying even more, or they remove it, lower prices, and go for higher volumes; at least change what they're doing somehow. It will be interesting to see what path they go down and if they fail or succeed.

    --
    You were mistaken. Which is odd, since memory shouldn't be a problem for you
  117. Re:How bizarre... by evilgiu · · Score: 1

    I think the numbers on TFA are very realistic/conceivable. A very important distinction must be made here on by what and how sales are affected. Let me analyse it the way I see it happening here in Brazil.

    First, there is P2P and file-sharing by other means. I do believe that the impact of this would fall into this "under 1%" number. P2P and file-sharing to any worrysome level is dependent on a nice broadband conection, which is not exactly affordable by anyone. Also, there is the "Wow, this stuff I just downloaded is really cool, I'll buy their CD when I see it in the stores" factor. In general, being able to afford that broadband has some bearing upon the person's social status and possible upbringing meaning that they do tend to have some sort of this ethical sense/preocupation. Also, there is a sh*tload of users who view file-sharing as unaccessible magic, as ununderstable as mostly everything computer-related, and also as very dangerous, vis-a-vis the great publicity/impact of the Kazaa experience (virii and malware).

    Second, there is proper piracy, enacted by organized groups, who duplicate copyrighted material to the thousands, and sell it to the general public for a fraction of the "offical" price. THIS is piracy and this will answer for a lot of those 74 million unsold albums. The source for this piracy could be either downloaded files or simply a copy of the officially realeased material, it makes no real difference to think either way (except of course for the "new" trend of 0-day releases, tele-syncs and such in this specific line of commerce). THIS piracy is the one that does the damage, this is the one which puts $2 CDs in the hands of the computer-illiterate, of people who just wouldn't be able to afford them to begin with, and then, of course, of those who come to the "if I can get this cheaper, why not?" conclusion.

    This distinction becomes VERY clear when you move the focus outside the US market, where different social forces/pressures come into play. I do wish we could see that information on industry losses stratified geographically. That would surely give some insight on the issue.

    --
    It's not easy being green.
  118. Re:How bizarre... by syphax · · Score: 1


    This is about the pithiest post I've ever seen on /.

    --
    Simple Unexpected Concrete Credible Emotional Stories
  119. Re:How bizarre... by clark0r · · Score: 1

    I use p2p/newsgroups to download and watch movies. If *I* think it's worth buying, I will buy it so I can watch it time and time again. I don't like the fact that the industries can charge so much for you to watch a film which might be absolutely crap, they are forcing me to pay to see this crap! They might say "that's the point of trailers" but trailers are biased. People will buy good value movies, music and other products regardless of p2p.

  120. I'm SHOCKED! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Next, the MPAA will admit that TV show downloads does not help to decrease viewership and DVD sales.

    In fact, I think it helps INCREASE it. I caught up on Futurama thanks to Usenet when I got into it toward the end of the first season, have since downloaded every episode, then bought the DVD sets, including the extra "Monster Robot Maniac" DVD. Ditto for Stargate; I got into it after it moved from Showtime to Sci-Fi, and am still working on buying the DVD sets.

    I think the reason there has been no net gain in MUSIC sales is twofold:

      - Most of today's music targets the lowest common denominator, and as such the quality suffers. In fact, it sucks. If you invest tens of millions into a few pop acts which you want to go multi-multi platinum, rather than a bunch of really, really good, but not cross-genre bands, you are digging yourself into a rut when people get sick of seeing Britney's mug everywhere

      - Backlash for RIAA's lawsuits. I for one avoid exposure to new music. I shifted my entertainment dollars from buying up to 15 CDs per month to buying 5 to 15 DVDs per month. I do not download music, and my music collection is fairly large because I was buying CDs like mad when Napster let me conveniently try music before buying. I do not expose myself to new music any more because I do not want to be tempted to buy new material from large labels. Oh, I bought a couple of albums in recent years (Pink Floyd's In the Flesh, Gilmour's On Island), and will likely buy anything new The Police produce, but aside from the few bands I follow really closely, I'd just as soon skip it entirely.

    For radio, I listen to talk, classical, and classic rock. I have pretty much all the classic rock one can own on CD (I still buy it, but only USED CDs), and pretty good renditions of standard classical pieces can be had for free from various Creative Commons web sites.

    Fuck the RIAA, and fuck the MPAA.

  121. Re:How bizarre... by nursegirl · · Score: 1

    That's the most brilliant thing I've read all week. Thanks for making my day!

  122. Study Finds P2P Has No Effect on Legal Music Sales by Apoclypse · · Score: 1

    Yeah.......... especially if you have 80 gigs of death metal. :)

  123. I buy very few CDs because... by DimGeo · · Score: 1

    ... I haven't heard of any RIAA publisher publishing what I'm interested in, namely Trance. You can usually get quite a few free downloads off the artists' websites. And that's it. My money is too precious to waste on trash.

  124. Let me SUBSCRIBE to the music... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    How about an open subscription to the entire RIAA catalog...open meaning a spec that can be integrated into any device without royalty...let me subscribe to something like Urge, but play it from my Apple, Linux, or whatever box, a web terminal at the library, my car stereo, home theater, hell, maybe it could be integrated into clock radios using a home server or some such thing to locally store most music...which of cource would be unplayable if you cancel the subscription, but hey, I would gladly pay $10 / month for that, it is less than one mediocre CD...

  125. Re:The Original Report--1 Problem Here by siriuskase · · Score: 1

    Radio, OTOH, will play stuff you never knew existed until you heard it there.

    In theory, yes, but in fact it doesn't. Word of math, or simply selecting at random is best. Or college radio, that still works if you want something a little out of the mainstream.

    --
    If you must moderate, please moderate as irrelevent, not something bad, because I'm sure someone will find this interest
  126. Music sucks now and people don't want to buy it. by ruthzine · · Score: 1

    Music sucks now and people don't want to buy it. So they have to tell their share holders someething

  127. Re:How bizarre... by Hatta · · Score: 1

    I love how slashdotters continue to rationalize their piracy.
    Regardless of the effect, it's still illegal.


    In other news, legality and morality are still unconnected concepts. Film at 11.

    --
    Give me Classic Slashdot or give me death!
  128. Re:excuse me, but this is plain bullshit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I suppose I could google that info, but then people would claim it was jiggered by the music industry to make their point (possibly a valid objection).

    Tower Records used to have a store in downtown Boston, physically comparable to the one in lower Manhattan. They were swamped with customers day and night until they closed in 2002 (some bozo at Tower forgot to renew the lease, so they were outbid for the space). After the usual few months of remodeling, Virgin Megastores opened a very similar store in its place. But their timing was incredibly bad. p2p was now all the rage, and the place was conspicuously empty compared to the old Tower (meanwhile, Tower had relocated about a half mile away and was doing even worse, since their new space had almost no outside foot traffic). They never recaptured Tower's popularity, not even close. Virgin cleared out of there about a few months ago, and a Best Buy is slated to take its place. A third large competitor, HMV, left town years ago. Even if they were all incompetently managed (which I don't believe), wouldn't some other chain run by freshly minted MBA hotshots spring up to take their place? Nobody wants to get into that business now, at least not at that scale.

    I'm not happy. We used to have three big box record store chains and now we have none. Target, Barnes and Noble... what a joke as far as selection is concerned. Yeah Amazon hurt them too, but let's face it... buying pop music is an impulse business. Waiting for packages in the mail is a pain. People would much rather carry the CDs home with them so they could play it that night.

    Mostly I blame p2p.

  129. exactly by zogger · · Score: 1

    I was a constant buyer of pre-recorded entertainment media (starting with 33 and 45 speed LP albums and singles in the 50s and 60s) until I finally just had to acknowledge I was being outright gouged. When I saw CDs being peddled for what cassetes or 8 tracks cost, that was clue enough for me to see they had gone full bore into outright greed and their trying to enforce technological luddism on everyone else in various industries but them. Prices just never dropped adequately as regards technological innovation, and what newer techniques would allow. And then they discovered "new shiny format of the year", wanting you to re-buy the same stuff, plus DRM, plus lobby for the laws to be changed for planned obsoletion. They want locked in price structures from decades ago, even though cost of duplication is absurdly low now.

    I'd pay double manufacturing costs for copies of stuff, that's it, and I don't want weird "protection" BS embedded. If I am paying for music or movies, I don't want extra-value malware with it passing itself off as "protection". The only protection they want is for their wallets and middleman skimming "business".. I am *not* going to pay 20 times manufacturing costs to protect their business models from half a century ago, because they have this economic fetish that they "need" to make so much per unit. That's just nuts, and flies in the face of other manufactured items. And also shows that by and large it is a price fixing cartel, and needs to be broken up. If they can't live on 100% markup, screw 'em! If they can't grok "volume sales", with selling a hella lot more units, albeit with much smaller net per unit, to come up with decent and fair profit for them PLUS happy camper customers, then double screw 'em! And digital downloads, they want to charge near the same as hard copy on pressed disks??? Sorry, that is beyond gouging into engineering/technical insult.

  130. Re:The Original Report--1 Problem Here by hoojus · · Score: 1

    We have a community station that raises revenue by allowing for SMS queries for song and artist. The only problem is that I only listen to the radio in the car and it is illegal (in Australia) to use a phone while driving. This also allows for me to find names of dance music groups and their songs that I like. Being a non-commercial station they also support local talent and allow user feedback of songs via SMS (spin or bin) to select a better playlist. If more radio stations followed this approach then it would definatley increase their appeal to me.

  131. Improper Conflation of Ideals by IBitOBear · · Score: 1

    The thing is, when you shout "it must have SOME impact" you conflate the idea of "impact" with "negative impact", and more-so you conflate "negative impact" for a high profile artist with "negative impact" for all artists, and similarly "negative impact" to a production house with "negative impact" to artists.

    Worse, you conflate "business impact" with, "monetary impact", and with "artistic impact".

    In honest truth there is no reason to even suspect that the net effect of free music on the net is negative at all. It is more likely to add listeners than remove them. It is also almost certain to add musicians (or at least re-mixers).

    I would agree that one near-certain impact will be a reduction in the concentration of money flowing to any one pocket. That is, if there are more artists, and more music is being heard, and the amount of money flowing through the system is constrained by real-world economics involving discretionary income; then it is a systemic certainty that the peak concentration of cash will not be as, well, concentrated.

    On the other hand, the current financial model, in particularly the way the on-air play is sampled to determine who is getting played how often, means that many artists are being undervalued.

    If free music on the internet has no other impact, it will eventually lead to including the music movement metrics of that free movement in the calculation of which artists get paid. The height of super stardom will be somewhat diminished, but the depth of obscurity will be mediated far more fairly. Which will lead to more music, which, even if music quality were a random function, would lead to more "high quality" music.

    Consider the power to tax is the power to destroy. Likewise the power to concentrate is the power to filter. Television programing is "highly concentrated" and the filters suck, so we get "wicked wicked games" instead of "firefly" (in principle) because the filter was essentially one guy with an axe to grind.

    So what is the "artistic impact" of a less concentrated financial flow?
    Is it greater than the "business impact" of a less concentrated flow of control?

    See, its all Apples and Polar-Bears. The comparisons have been deliberately conflated because the people asking the questions are invariably asking the questions in terms of the flow through the tiny opening that leads into _their_ _particular_ pocket.

    So the question, as framed, is invalid. The "values" involved have been confused and improperly combined then artificially separated back into "stock positions".

    That being said, the real questions, IMHO, are things like: is "Illegal Prior Restraint implemented as Unregulated Technologies" (often misspelled 'DRM') going to fail immediately while the cost is bounded, or much later after economies have been trashed and people have been jailed?

    8-)

    --
    Innocent people shouldn't be forced to pay for inferior software development.
    --"Code Complete" Microsoft Press
  132. For those of you who continue to miss the point by Chmcginn · · Score: 1

    but don't pretend that there isn't a lot of people taking a free ride, downloading everything and buying nothing.
    This totally misses the point.

    So let's do a little scenario.

    1.) A million third-world nation kids get the much-touted '$100 laptop.'. Hell, we could make it two million.

    2.) They all get bittorrent.

    3.) They all download every crappy pop, pop R&B, and pop-punk crap you can hear on the radio every day. Let's say 500 songs.

    4.)The RIAA claims there's a billion(!) lost sales, at a dollar a piece.

    5.)The US bombs Kenya, or Thailand, or whoever.

    6.) Okay, 5 was made up. But, seriously...

    Do you see the flaw in this? Sure, there may be a shitload of people who never buy the movies and/or music. But if they wouldn't have bought in the first place, you have copyright infrigement without a loss of sales. It's hard to imagine (at least for the RIAA/MPAA), but a lot of infringement is costing them nothing .

    Now, how to separate the two... that's a question I'll leave for somebody else. But as far as the RIAA/MPAA claims that 'copyright protection must getz better cause we're loosing all our monies!'... Well, a little statistics should be able to put the claim to rest. (Supposing you can find a truly fair study.)

    --
    Have you been touched by his noodly appendage?
  133. What other motivation? by Helsley · · Score: 1

    Suppose that the following statement (as the paper concludes) is true: there is no statistically significant correlation between downloads and sales. If we assume that incompetence is not a valid explanation, what possible reason does the RIAA have for so aggressively going after illicit downloads of music?

  134. Re:How bizarre... by I'm+Don+Giovanni · · Score: 1

    "I love how slashdotters continue to rationalize their piracy.
    Regardless of the effect, it's still illegal."


    In other news, legality and morality are still unconnected concepts. Film at 11.


    So you claim that "piracy" is "illegal" yet is "moral", is that your game?
    OK, please explain how piracy is "moral". If I create content of some kind and offer it to the public for use thru payment, how is it "moral" for you to make use of it without payment? You don't have an inalienable right to use the content, so who are you to use it outside of the terms that I specify?
    You'd be all up in arms if someone used GPL code without abiding by the GPL terms, yet you claim that it's "moral" to pirate? You only have the right to use something for "free" if the provider says so. Period. (notwithstanding a copyright expiring in accordance with copyright law of the day).
    --
    -- "I never gave these stories much credence." - HAL 9000
  135. Money is expensive by Ezzy+Ezbourne · · Score: 1

    It's not the first study that claims and practically proves how irrelevant is to say that uncontrolled file sharing'd cripple the music industry. One of the most relevant studies I have read was in fact issued five years ago already, back in 2002. A former executive of la FNAC (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/FNAC), a French competitor to Virgin Megastores, has announced the results of a study based on their sales for the past 20 years. According to this study, it appeared that the French consumer's average budget dedicated to entertainment (in percentage of their income) hadn't significantly changed for almost all this time lapse, independently of inflation. On the other hand, it appeared clearly that the centers of interests (and cash spending) of the brand's customers had drastically spread between the purchase of DVD's, video games, MP3 players, mobile phones, and surprisingly books. Considering that the boom of the CD sales due to the massive purchase in replacement of phonograph records started to be out of breath in the late 90's, coinciding with the birth of the Napster network and premises of online file sharing, here was an undreamed-of scapegoat. Though similar arguments have been told a countless times, I'd in fact fancy some kind of study that proves the beneficial impact of unlegit music downloading toward shoplifting in record shops. For ages, unemployed teens couldn't afford the money to buy all the music they want right? Stealing a record in a shop *does* cost money to someone, that has nothing to do with the virtual shortfall claimed by the **AA.

  136. Re:The Original Report--1 Problem Here by marcello_dl · · Score: 1

    For your point to stand, you need radios to play unheard music for the sake of discovery, an artistic stance. That happens more easily with internet radios who can better control their costs. So it is an advantage of radio vs downloading after searching by name, not of radio music vs internet music, IMHO.

    --
    ---- MISSING MISCELLANEOUS DATA SEGMENT --- [sigdash] trolololol
  137. Re:How bizarre... by Hatta · · Score: 1

    How exactly is it moral to withhold a good that can be provided at no cost? That's just not right.

    We have the right to do anything we want, so long as it doesn't hurt anyone. Copying bits is
    in no way harmful to anyone. So yes, there is a natural right involved, and copyright infringes
    on it.

    --
    Give me Classic Slashdot or give me death!
  138. Re:How bizarre... by Laogeodritt · · Score: 1

    Um. As you were talking about music CDs, I believe you meant the RIAA. RIAA == Recording Industry Association of America MPAA == Motion Pictures Association of America

  139. Re:How bizarre... by bhiestand · · Score: 1

    effect
    -verb (used with object)
    10. to produce as an effect; bring about; accomplish; make happen: The new machines finally effected the transition to computerized accounting last spring. Yes, effect is also a verb. You should note, however, that its meaning is entirely different as a verb. Look at what you said: "The new machines finally effected the transition to computerized accounting last spring." Note that they didn't affect the transition. They're not talking about the effect of the new machines on the transition. They're saying that the new machines made the transition happen. They effected it.

    When you're talking about cause and effect, the cause is affecting what's happening.
    --
    SWM seeks new sig for a brief fling