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Smithsonian 'Toned Down the Science' In Climate Change Exhibit

An anonymous reader writes "According to an International Herald Tribune article, the Smithsonian pre-emptively toned down the scientific content of a climate change exhibit put into place last year. The changes, including removal of scientist conclusions and muddying of displayed data, were made to ensure that the exhibit would not offend the Congress or the White House. Pressure brought to bear by Institute officials resulted in the resignation of Robert Sullivan, a sixteen year veteran of the organization. 'This is not the first time the Smithsonian has been accused of taking politics into consideration. The congressionally chartered institution scaled down a 1995 exhibit of the restored Enola Gay, the B-29 that dropped the atomic bomb on Hiroshima, after veterans complained it focused too much on the damage and deaths. Amid the oil-drilling debate in 2003, a photo exhibit of Alaska's Arctic National Wildlife Refuge was moved to a less prominent space.'"

372 comments

  1. Overheard at the Smithsonian by grub · · Score: 5, Funny


    Overheard at the Smithsonian:

    Worker: Sir, I have this old display of Noah's Ark you asked for. Where did you want it?
    Curator: Put some dinosaur models on it then set it up in the Geology Wing.
    Worker: Will do, sir. Oh I also changed all the signage in that wing from "millions of years" to "thousands of years".
    Curator: That's what I like: proactive thinking! What about the Adam & Eve diorama?
    Worker: It's where the Galapagos Islands exhibit was, just as you requested.
    Curator: My boy, you have a bright future in science!

    --
    Trolling is a art,
    1. Re:Overheard at the Smithsonian by mibalzonya · · Score: 1

      I was thinking the same thing. Which wing will the creationist/intellegent design exhibit be in?

    2. Re:Overheard at the Smithsonian by elrous0 · · Score: 4, Funny
      Many years ago, when I was studying public history and taking museum courses, we had to read a great story. The story revolved around a newly-hired history museum director who came in and decided to "shake things up" in the local museum. He put "George Washington's Musket" in storage (since it was only legend that George had slept in the town and Washington never even owned a musket, anyway), he put up exhibits dismissing several local favorite legends as hogwash, devoted half the floor space to a "History of Minorities in Our Town" exhibit which explored the town's racist past, and generally pissed off virtually everyone in town. The story ends with the town mayor shooting him with the musket.

      The moral of the story? Piss off the public and they WILL shoot you.

      --
      SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
    3. Re:Overheard at the Smithsonian by deadstatue · · Score: 1

      does anyone else long for a safe to fall from the sky? please before its too unbearable.

    4. Re:Overheard at the Smithsonian by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In the exhibition about the origins of the universe at the Smithsonian, the lights are turned down so low, you'd think that the big bang was a fizzle from the end of god's wand.

    5. Re:Overheard at the Smithsonian by Jeremi · · Score: 4, Insightful
      The moral of the story? Piss off the public and they WILL shoot you.


      Or to put it more elegantly: You shall know the truth, and the truth shall make you mad.

      --


      I don't care if it's 90,000 hectares. That lake was not my doing.
    6. Re:Overheard at the Smithsonian by Gerzel · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      Its own of coarse.

    7. Re:Overheard at the Smithsonian by Skater · · Score: 1

      Ever visit Gettysburg, PA? I've been there numerous times and have seen the electric map presentation probably a dozen times. I'm always struck by how they say, "...and so-and-so was compelled to fall back." They never say, "So-and-so retreated."

      That map is decades old, I think. It's been there for as long as I can remember, and I'm 32. In other words, this type of "toning down" is definitely not a new phenomenon.

    8. Re:Overheard at the Smithsonian by Aqua_boy17 · · Score: 1

      Nice quote. Do I need permission, or can I pirate that as my new sig?

      --
      What if the Hokey Pokey really is what it's all about?
    9. Re:Overheard at the Smithsonian by Intron · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      that's fine.

      --
      Intron: the portion of DNA which expresses nothing useful.
    10. Re:Overheard at the Smithsonian by janeil · · Score: 1
      "Ye shall know the truth, and the truth shall make you mad."

      -Aldous Huxley

      He's dead, so pirate away!

    11. Re:Overheard at the Smithsonian by Merusdraconis · · Score: 1

      I find it appropriate that they'd have to build a new wing to house the intelligent design exhibit, instead of letting it evolve naturally.

  2. They are following the "Golden Rule". by AltGrendel · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Who ever has the gold, makes the rules.

    --
    The simple truth is that interstellar distances will not fit into the human imagination

    - Douglas Adams

    1. Re:They are following the "Golden Rule". by Tatisimo · · Score: 1

      A great funny/insightful/informative comment, and here I am without any mod points.

      --
      Give Kashyyyk back to the Wookies
    2. Re:They are following the "Golden Rule". by sunwukong · · Score: 3, Funny

      You obviously haven't "greased" the right wheels.

    3. Re:They are following the "Golden Rule". by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You obviously haven't "greased" the right wheels. ...or used the right "grease".
    4. Re:They are following the "Golden Rule". by no-body · · Score: 1
      Who ever has the gold, makes the rules.

      And the wimps bend over - why are there so many wimps in this country that all this happens?
      Is it the educational system or the "American Dream" illusion causing to just do what is "necessary" and then it happens for you....
      Something is really off here - on a large scale, on many levels and too many individuals in positions to introduce change are not up for it - they seem to have other priorities - or dreams for that matter!

    5. Re:They are following the "Golden Rule". by jmorris42 · · Score: 1

      > Who ever has the gold, makes the rules.

      Exactly. People here are just shocked, shocked I say, that an arm of an explicitly political[1] organization is influenced by politics. What next, the sad realization that cute kittens KILL? That corporations are amoral, almost by definition? That Mother Nature is a bitch? That Michael Moore is a socialist tool? Hello! reality calling, will you accept the charges?

      [1] The Smithsonian, as even the blurb here on /. notes, is operated directly by Congress. If anyone would care to name a more politically motivated organization I wanna hear about it. Which it must be, btw, any asshat who says otherwise is an ignorant twat.

      --
      Democrat delenda est
  3. science by polar+red · · Score: 1

    As someone with a green heart i ask the public : WHO is subverting the debate ? WHY does Green HAS TO SHOUT so loud ?

    --
    Yes, I'm left. You have a problem with that?
    1. Re:science by elrous0 · · Score: 3, Funny

      An alien with a green heart!! Shoot him!

      --
      SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
    2. Re:science by heinousjay · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Because your message is one of fear. You've got to learn to express things differently because fear only works if you have the might to back things up.

      (Not you specifically.)

      --
      Slashdot - where whining about luck is the new way to make the world you want.
    3. Re:science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Because both sides have abandoned reason and are trying to convince people emotionally (and if you don't think the green side fits this description, feel free to look into how Greenpeace recruits). I don't know if reason and logic can win in politics, but nobody should be surprised that when you completely abandon it then next thing you start to do is scream and throw feces at each other.

    4. Re:science by Karganeth · · Score: 1

      As someone with a green heart i ask the public : WHO is subverting the debate ? WHY does Green HAS TO SHOUT so loud ? Because some don't buy into the media hype.
    5. Re:science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In the modern version: "No Guns, they're kids!"

    6. Re:science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Insightful

      Fucking retard.

    7. Re:science by sammy+baby · · Score: 2, Funny

      Don't take it personally. After first contact, there were a lot of people who didn't trust the Vulcans.

    8. Re:science by mOdQuArK! · · Score: 1

      *snort*

      If they're willing to ignore what every reputable scientist is practically screaming from the rooftops, then they've not only bought into the media hype, but they're dancing like puppets on the strings of the people who don't want the public making decisions based on good science.

    9. Re:science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think it is highly probable that global warming has been and is occurring, but I also realize that the media has hyped things beyond reason. As one example, the media is hyping the rising of sea levels. Is this supported? Not really. The best estimate that the recent IPCC report found was between 1-2 feet total in for the entire 21st century. They also did not see enormous volumes of ice melting on the landmass of Antarctica or Greenland. The media, on the other hand, hypes a 20 ft sea level rise (like Al Gore did in An Inconvenient Truth).

      It is time for people like Al Gore to stop 'quoting' reputable scientists and instead let them talk for themselves. If you want to know what global warming is going to do, read the IPCC report. The media and Al Gore obviously have not so listening to them is a waste of your time.

      You want to know something that has an even more powerful positive feedback cycle than any global warming theory? The media fear sells stories feedback cycle.

    10. Re:science by smittyoneeach · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Yeah, but the power of fear diminishes exponentially over time.
      Thus, showing "An Inconvenient Truth" to high-schoolers four or five times makes them indifferent, or worse, nihilistic.
      Get the kids some exercise, get them playing some sports, get them into photographing nature. Make the bad things seem boring.
      Summary: the positive approach is the better long-term investment, unless you're a shrink or an anti-depressant vendor.

      --
      Get thee glass eyes, and, like a scurvy politician, seem to see things thou dost not.--King Lear
    11. Re:science by JustNiz · · Score: 1, Flamebait

      People themselves are to blame. Actually the most selfish ones who'd rather not face the truth if it means they have to take some responsibility for their own actions.
      Its no coincidence that all the denial is coming from USA, as they are also the worst polluters per capita, and the most ignorant, greedy, self-centred and gluttonous nation in the world. They are also quickly becoming the most hated because of it.

    12. Re:science by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

      but I also realize that the media has hyped things beyond reason.

      A couple of weeks ago, I spoke to a friend of mine who grew up in the Gulf region of Louisiana. He was telling me about how his father, who's a commercial fisherman in the Gulf, and who lives in the Bayou, has been remarking that many parts of Louisiana in which he lives, which were once a mix of swamp, and solid ground, are now open water. The land has just been submerged. It's not there any more (or rather, it's underwater).

      Tens of millions of people who live in coastal areas of the world have already had to move because of the rising sea level.

      As far as I'm concerned, that's how you measure the impact of global warming. Maybe that doesn't mean a lot to you, who lives above your parents' garage, but for a lot of us, it's an important problem that needs immediate attention.
      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    13. Re:science by Belial6 · · Score: 1

      When you define reputable scientist as someone who agrees with your position, then sure they all are in agreement. Of course, I haven't met any 'scientist' that say the earth is doomed. I'm not saying they don't exists. I'm saying that I have not spoken to any. I have met a lot of people who try to brow beat me into believing in their story. Look at you. You too resort to insults to make your point. The fact is that both sides of the debate have politicized the issue to the point that it is impossible for anyone who has not personally done the climate research to come to a reasonable conclusion. Why would a rational person just take your word for it that 'every reputable scientist is practically screaming from the rooftops'.

      Heck, even good advice like, telling them to distance themselves from obvious charlatans like Al Gore, gets accusations of destroying the world with your SUV. This kind of behavior smacks of people who have to argue the emotion rather than the facts.

    14. Re:science by polar+red · · Score: 1

      they have to take some responsibility for their own actions. I think you struck solid gold here. And I think the reason for the succes of religion is exactly the same: people don't want to face responsibility.

      --
      Yes, I'm left. You have a problem with that?
    15. Re:science by ElectricRook · · Score: 1

      Did your friends dad also explain that Louisiana is on a sinking tectonic plate?

      http://geology.com/news/labels/Subsidence.html

      Correlation does not equal causation.

      --
      - High Tech workers, please say NO to Union Carpenters, their Union sees fit to control our compensation.
    16. Re:science by ElectricRook · · Score: 1

      They are also quickly becoming the most hated because of it.

      Oh no, I totally disagree...

      We've been the most hated people in the world retro-active back to the beginning of time.

      The US is full of all the folks who were hated all over the world, and managed to escape their tormentors and gathered in North America.

      Of course the Aboriginal North Americans hated us too. But they did not have sufficient organizational skills and technology to match that of us the hated fugitives.

      But all that hatred has instilled in us a tolerance of each others political or religious sensitivities.

      So we are quite content to be hated by those who hate us. And we are quite content because we share a tolerance of each others views. To behave otherwise (than tolerant), would be well... down-right un-American.

      --
      - High Tech workers, please say NO to Union Carpenters, their Union sees fit to control our compensation.
    17. Re:science by mfrank · · Score: 2, Informative

      That's not being caused by rising sea levels, chief. The Mississippi river is all leveed up and it's not depositing any more sediment onto the delta. The delta's being eaten away by waves. You can blame the Army Corps Of Engineers for that fubar.

    18. Re:science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Because you've been wrong every other time.

    19. Re:science by mOdQuArK! · · Score: 1

      Of course, I haven't met any 'scientist' that say the earth is doomed.

      If you're being honest, I'm sure that you've met a few that are at least willing to say that a large number of humans are probably going to have a hard time though.

      Look at you. You too resort to insults to make your point.

      For this particular discussion, I'm not really trying to make any kind of scientific point one way or another, or even trying to "win" a debate - I'm just expressing my contempt for people who have bought into the carefully-incubated anti-science rhetoric. After ramming my head into brick walls for years trying to argue these issues using logic and facts with friends, family & associates, I've pretty much concluded that most people don't give a damn about that kind of "evidence". They're much happier accepting as true whatever "fact" their favorite talk show host or preacher tells them, because that authority figure is obviously a LOT more informed and honest than any associate the sucker-I mean, the listener might know personally, no matter how much that associate likes to read. (Why yes, I'm feeling somewhat bitter tonight. Why do you ask?)

      For a lot of these subjects, there's no real controversy: it's only some people who don't WANT the general public to come to the obvious conclusion that go out of their way to obfuscate the general agreement by grossly overhyping minor issues. Unfortunately, the general public hasn't been trained enough in critical analysis (and propaganda detection skills) to realize they're being led around like sheep.

      I'll freely admit that both sides of these science "controversies" are using the same sorts of sleazy propaganda tactics to sell their memes. Only ONE of those sides tends to have a huge amount of scientific support behind it, however.

    20. Re:science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Because some don't buy into the media hype

      Nope instead they buy the pseudo-science and bunkum of mockumentaries such as 'The Great Global Warming Swindle.'

    21. Re:science by JustNiz · · Score: 1

      >> We've been the most hated people in the world retro-active back to the beginning of time

      Obviously you're not aware that America was only discovered in 1497.

      >> The US is full of all the folks who were hated all over the world,
      Do you ever stop to wonder why?

      >>Of course the Aboriginal North Americans hated us too.
      Again, do you ever stop to wonder why?

      >> But all that hatred has instilled in us a tolerance of each others political or religious sensitivities.
      Yes of course America in general and George Bush in particular is famous for his gentle kindnesses to Islamic countries.

      >> So we are quite content to be hated by those who hate us.
      Read: We shall remain too selfish to actually think of others.

  4. Conspiracy! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

    OMG Conspiracy! Did you also know Ted Koppel is a robot?

    1. Re:Conspiracy! by Frosty+Piss · · Score: 2

      Did you also know Ted Koppel is a robot?

      Well then submit a story on it. News for nerds, right? Does he run embedded *nix, or that other OS? Can he be hacked to play XBox games? Do tell, do tell...

      --
      If you want news from today, you have to come back tomorrow.
    2. Re:Conspiracy! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      I'm too busy imagining a Beowul cluster of him.

    3. Re:Conspiracy! by PoderOmega · · Score: 1

      Everyone thought that joke was funny when it applied to Dick Clark too, until he had a stroke... I mean hard drive crash.

  5. Money ALWAYS comes with strings attached by elrous0 · · Score: 4, Funny
    Get it from the government, expect to answer to politicians

    Get it from private industry, expect to answer to the CEO and board

    Get it from an individual, expect to answer to him

    Get it from Microsoft, expect to answer to Satan

    --
    SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
    1. Re:Money ALWAYS comes with strings attached by malsdavis · · Score: 5, Insightful

      It's like your typical parent company shareholder override situation:

      The Smithsonian institute are funded by the government of the United States.
      Most of the current Congressmen / Senators / President which make up the government of the United States are funded by the big Oil companies.

      The big Oil companies obviously don't want to see pictures of Climate Change or pictures of the national parks they are in the process of trashing and so get what they see as their subsidiary company to "make the changes".

      Courtesy of United States Inc.

    2. Re:Money ALWAYS comes with strings attached by IgLou · · Score: 2, Funny

      Well I'm going to give my 2 cents on this and in doing so expect to answer to Lord Xenu!!

      All hail lord Xenu!

      --

      Oops, how did this get here?
      09 F9 11 02 9D 74 E3 5B D8 41 56 C5 63 56 88 C0
    3. Re:Money ALWAYS comes with strings attached by Alex+P+Keaton+in+da · · Score: 1

      Keep in mind that Big Oil and "Big Government" have many of the same interests, as gasoline is heavily taxed, and states and the fed make a ton of money from gasoline sales...

      --
      And All I Ask is a Tall Ship And a Star to Steer Her By
    4. Re:Money ALWAYS comes with strings attached by Mockylock · · Score: 1

      That's pretty hilarious, but I don't know what my wife has to do with Microsoft.

      --
      "Please, shut up. Just when I think you can't say anything more stupid, you speak again." -Archie Bunker.
    5. Re:Money ALWAYS comes with strings attached by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Miroslav or the other Dude?

    6. Re:Money ALWAYS comes with strings attached by snarfer · · Score: 1

      "Get it from the government, expect to answer to politicians"

      Answer to the public, actually.

    7. Re:Money ALWAYS comes with strings attached by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 1


      The gas tax is down to 5% in my area because it is a fixed amount that hasn't changed in 20 years.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
  6. Self-policing by PIPBoy3000 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The most troublesome part is that it was Smithsonian's administration that wanted the changes, not people from the US administration.

    There's two kinds of people: those that change their beliefs to fit the facts and those that change the facts to fit their beliefs.

    When you're changing the facts to fit other people's beliefs, well, I guess you get the budget dollars but lose all self-respect.

    1. Re:Self-policing by drinkypoo · · Score: 2, Funny

      The most troublesome part is that it was Smithsonian's administration that wanted the changes, not people from the US administration. There's two kinds of people: those that change their beliefs to fit the facts and those that change the facts to fit their beliefs.

      You are closely akin to the latter, but you are instead making up "facts" to fit your belief.

      For all we know, Bush himself called up and made chimplike screeching noises to the heads of the board of the Smithsonian.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    2. Re:Self-policing by Frosty+Piss · · Score: 1

      The most troublesome part is that it was Smithsonian's administration that wanted the changes...

      They like their jobs. They decided that being asked to quit to "spend more time with family" a la a US Attorney was not the way they wanted to go...

      --
      If you want news from today, you have to come back tomorrow.
    3. Re:Self-policing by Hatta · · Score: 1

      Not that this is anything new. Have you ever been to the Manhattan project museum in Los Alamos? I have never seen a more disgustingly self-congratulatory collection of propaganda trying to pass itself off as educational.

      --
      Give me Classic Slashdot or give me death!
    4. Re:Self-policing by pilgrim23 · · Score: 1

      or to get the grant...

      you forgot the third kind: the one's who go against department politics and end up ASKING for spare change...

      --
      - Minutus cantorum, minutus balorum, minutus carborata descendum pantorum.
    5. Re:Self-policing by flyingsquid · · Score: 5, Interesting
      Until recently, the Smithsonian was headed by Lawrence Small. Small is not a scientist, never has been, and has no scientific background. He was president of Fanny Mae, an organization that itself has a history of distorting the facts to get the answers they like.

      By most accounts, and I've talked with curators at the Smithosonian about this, Small was a terrible leader of the organization. He apparently did bring a lot of money into the organization, but you didn't see any evidence of this behind the scenes at the museum. Instead, he had almost $50,000 spent on furniture for his office, $15,000 spent on the doors at his house, spent $160,000 spent on renovating his office at the Smithsonian castle building, and by using his house to host a few Smithsonian functions, was given $1.15 million dollars in housing allowances. All your tax dollars. Not to mention, his total salary for 2007 was supposed to be $915,000- nearly a million dollars, more than the president and vice president combined. Meanwhile, science seems to have taken a back seat at the Smithsonian, and I suspect the scientists threw a party when he finally resigned. See http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/artic le/2007/03/18/AR2007031801369.html

      But Small is just one symptom of a much larger problem, which is appointing incompetent hacks to important government positions, and pushing politics over facts. This is what happened at FEMA with Heckuvajob Brownie. This is what happened in Iraq, when the White House sent over people who had the proper Republican Party credentials, but not the credentials to do the job; it's one of the major reasons the occupation there has been such a disaster. The problem has been summed up pretty well by the phrase, "the triumph of the hacks over the wonks". See, the wonks are the policy guys, the analytical guys who can analyze the facts and tell you what you need to do in order to achieve a desired outcome. They are the political equivalent of a computer geek, except they write policy instead of code. The hacks are the political guys, the guys who don't give a shit what the facts are, they are only there to push their party agenda. And this administration has favored the hacks over the wonks, so the result is that facts get shoved aside by politics, whether it's climate change, or the debatable effectiveness of "abstinence-only" education, or the infamous case of General Shinseki getting sacked by Rumsfeld after he said we would need several hundred thousand troops to effectively occupy Iraq.

    6. Re:Self-policing by bhima · · Score: 1

      That should be in some sort of book like "Hatta's Famous Quotes"

      --
      Nothing in the world is more dangerous than sincere ignorance and conscientious stupidity.
    7. Re:Self-policing by phaggood · · Score: 1

      The folks at the National Academy of Sciences must be either more politically isolated, or they are so married to their "demon sciences" that they aren't into watering down the truth to save funding - I visited their (admittedly small) museum a few months ago and their climate change display pulled no punches (i.e. "CHANGE OR DIE" was the overriding theme).

    8. Re:Self-policing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      This is what happened in Iraq, when the White House sent over people who had the proper Republican Party credentials, but not the credentials to do the job; it's one of the major reasons the occupation there has been such a disaster.

      Ah, but you're wrong there - Iraq has been an incredible success, and accomplished the real reason Bush and Cheney had for invading in the first place!

      Bush, Cheney, all their friends and all their families made their money in oil. How to better enrich the family coffers? Drive up the price of oil. How better to do that? Destabilize the part of the world with most of the oil.

      Gasoline was a dollar a gallon here when the Oil Barons took over the white house in 2000. I paid $3.36 this morning; I put five bucks in and the "empty" light didn't even go out.

      Mission accomplished.

      -mcgrew

    9. Re:Self-policing by R2.0 · · Score: 1

      Small took over in January 2000, over a year before Bush took ofice.

      Nice try, though.

      --
      "As God is my witness, I thought turkeys could fly." A. Carlson
    10. Re:Self-policing by OriginalArlen · · Score: 1

      One of the problems is that climatology is very, very complicated. I'm a layperson with some science O levels (for kids and non-Brits: exams we used to take at 16) and I'm generally interested in science. I read Scientific American every so often - I used to get it regularly but I just haven't the time these days. I keep up on some particular interests, the usual Slashdot-type areas like cosmology, material science, astronomy etc and some you'll never see here (civil engineering is great!). Anyway I've been interested in climate change for donkey's years, since 87/88 or so at least, when our A level lecturer talked about it (presumably influenced by the landmark Hansen 88 paper.) Anyway someone pointed me at RealClimate.org, and I read all the articles and believe I'm reasonably well informed, but lots of it is still very very complicated. There are so many different processes involved, at so many scales - global, continental / ocean basin scale, right down to atmospheric chemistry at molecular and atomic level. And the statistics - !! Admittedly I'm no mathematician, but I still can't claim to have even a good knowledge of the processes at that (realclimate) level.

      --

      Everything I needed to know about life, I learnt from Blake's Seven
    11. Re:Self-policing by OriginalArlen · · Score: 1
      I saw a report (I think it's today's Guardian in fact?) of a UK diplomat in Washington saying to a journalist that they were just gritting their teeth and trying to get through the rest of the Bush term. Hack asks if they're worried about some of potential issues around some of the current crop of candidates; diplomat shudders visibly and says "Nothing, absolutely nothing, could be worse than what we've got now."

      And he certainly isn't talking from the perspective that what's bad for America is good for the UK -- absolutely the opposite. Thanks to Blair's voluntary suspension of disbelief and following Dubya into Iraq, we've got a (according to MI5) the risk of so-called "Islamist" terrorist attacks to worry about for literally decades, even if we get the hell out of dodge by the end of the year, likely the earliest possible date. Ahhhh, I'm off-topic & ranting. Sorry.

      --

      Everything I needed to know about life, I learnt from Blake's Seven
    12. Re:Self-policing by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      And this administration has favored the hacks over the wonks, so the result is that facts get shoved aside by politics,

      Only a lunatic, or someone supremely ignorant of history, believes that the current Adminstration is unusual in this respect.
    13. Re:Self-policing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      "Only a lunatic, or someone supremely ignorant of history, believes that the current Administration is unusual in this respect."

      So by default we should just allow our politicians to act in this way and force no idea of accountability. I am getting really F***ing tired of people telling me to not blame the current administration for playing politics rather than governing with the people in mind. Should we all roll over and let this continue? Just accept it over and over again? It is people like you that have no counter argument for this incompetence except everyone does it. Not ALL politicians are solely in it for the good of themselves, if you say that is absolutely wrong than we have a HUGE problem. Not only do the politicians act this way, we let them and expect nothing better.

      Expect more and hold them accountable when they don't perform. Thats the way we will see the govt act as they should. WE SHOULD COMPLAIN and not hear the a$$holes that say we shouldn't bitch because everyone does it. Not an excuse. I've even been told that I should go republican because at least they are upfront about their partisanship. Thats bullshit because then you can't hold them accountable for their actions because you accept it. Thats ridiculous!!

      Get a better argument or don't post.

    14. Re:Self-policing by maxume · · Score: 1

      My favorite(lately):

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:Solar_Activity_ Proxies.png

      That page has been linked in comments at real climate:

      http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2005 /07/the-lure-of-solar-forcing/

      (that article addresses the solar flare activity, but not the Be proxy)

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    15. Re:Self-policing by identity0 · · Score: 1

      For all we know, Bush himself called up and made chimplike screeching noises to the heads of the board of the Smithsonian.

      Hahahaha, thanks for making me lol today.

      I guess Clinton would have called them up and talked dirty to them instead?

    16. Re:Self-policing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Normally I don't respond to people with BDS (Bush Derangement Syndrome) but I figured I would just point out that OPEC controls oil prices and no matter how much any president (even the United States President) would want to change the price of oil, they're not going to be able to do much about it.

      Also, oil prices have been rising since 1999 but saw a drastic increase in 2004-2006. Partly due to inflation as oil was behind inflation curve for sometime. As you can see, Oil prices are effected by a large verity of supply/demand and not just the war in Iraq (though, that's not to say there hasn't been a big impact due to it).

      Currently, in the US, we're seeing record high gas prices again, not due to just the price of oil, but due to the US's capacity to refine that oil into gasoline. Here's an article from 2005 about refineries. The interesting thing is, the high gas prices of Hurricane Katrina, etc. where due to the loss of refinement capabilities.

      Barrels of Oil are less than they where a year ago, but prices are higher? Refinement. The real question is, why the F**K isn't the government doing more to increase refinement? The U.S. cannot control oil prices (despite what anyone with BDS thinks, outside of taxes and subsidies), but they can control refinement.

      Of course it's easier to just scream 'Bush' because you're not smart enough to think outside a box.

    17. Re:Self-policing by norton_I · · Score: 1

      While the republicans are currently much more apt to dismiss science that would force them to reevaluate their political positions, there is no party bias in appointing unqualified individuals to scientific posts. For instance, the secretary of energy has a long history of being filled by people with no expertise whatsoever, regardless of the party in the whitehouse. This is because those posts are not visible to the public, and few people even in congress care how well they do, so they are often given out as rewards or favors, with the only consideration being that they are not somehow politically inflamatory enough to fail confirmation.

    18. Re:Self-policing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I missed the part where he specifically excluded Clinton from his complaint about incompetent hacks running the government. Could you point that out for me?

    19. Re:Self-policing by R2.0 · · Score: 1

      Lets see...

      "This is what happened at FEMA with Heckuvajob Brownie."

      "This is what happened in Iraq, when the White House sent over people who had the proper Republican Party credentials, but not the credentials to do the job; it's one of the major reasons the occupation there has been such a disaster."

      "the infamous case of General Shinseki getting sacked by Rumsfeld after he said we would need several hundred thousand troops to effectively occupy Iraq."

      That's most of his last paragraph, with examples all from this administration. He also throws in comments about abstinence only education and controversy over climate change, which are widely viewed as Republican positions. Not a single mention of anything having to do with Clinton or the Democrats. In adition, the whole "wonks are better that hacks" thing I believe is a reference to the Clinton Administration, which was viewed in Washington as "the invasion of the policy wonks".

      Did he specifically exclude Clinton? No. But if I go to the doctor and say "My toe, ankle, calf, knee, thigh, and hip hurt, but my elbow feels fine", he'd be an idiot to start with checking my arms.

      --
      "As God is my witness, I thought turkeys could fly." A. Carlson
    20. Re:Self-policing by Archangel_Azazel · · Score: 1

      Thank you. Thank you Thank you thank you thank you thank you thank you THANK YOU!!!!!!!!!!!!!

      (Gods, did I just praise an AC? ;-) )

      A.A

      --
      Your mind is like a parachute. It works best when it's been opened.
    21. Re:Self-policing by Archangel_Azazel · · Score: 1

      Here's just a smattering of something for you to chew on:

      Exxon made BILLIONS in profits just in a few short months, and they're continuing to do so. Now, maybe my economics are off, but if the price of oil (and by extension gasoline) is NOT dictated by anyone in this country... how the Sam Hell did they "suddenly" start making money hand over fist in a matter of the same time span that we've been getting bent over at the pumps? I mean, it's not like there was an investigation into the gas prices or anything. I'm sure that's SOLELY due to OPEC.

      Get a clue.

      A.A

      --
      Your mind is like a parachute. It works best when it's been opened.
    22. Re:Self-policing by Kinetix303 · · Score: 1

      I take it you've never been to the Richard Nixon Presidential Library?

    23. Re:Self-policing by splutty · · Score: 1

      Demand for oil stays same, or even rises a bit.
      Supply of oil reduces (a lot) due to loss of some key refineries.
      Building new refinery costs up to 10 years.

      Now engage brain and find obvious answer to your question why the oil companies are making so much money. And even if they would want to build refineries with that profit, they don't just 'appear' by pumping a few billion dollars into it. It's not an RTS game.

      --
      Coz eternity my friend, is a long *ing time.
    24. Re:Self-policing by Archangel_Azazel · · Score: 1

      --Supply of oil reduces (a lot) due to loss of some key refineries.--

      loss? Um...how about intentional dismemberment \ shutdown? Yes I know you were talking about the refineries destroyed by Katrina. What you're talking about is akin to DeBeers keeping diamonds off the shelf to artificially inflate the price of them.
      --Now engage brain and find obvious answer to your question why the oil companies are making so much money.--
      Because they are setting up an artificial shortage to keep prices astronomical? or was that not the answer you were looking for?

      A.A

      --
      Your mind is like a parachute. It works best when it's been opened.
  7. PC... by Capt+James+McCarthy · · Score: 3, Funny

    Somehow I never though Science and Political Correctness fit together. If you are dying, does the doctor now tell you "Congratulations, you won't be paying taxes next year."

    --
    There are no loopholes. It's either legal or it's not.
    1. Re:PC... by ubrgeek · · Score: 1

      ... But I expect your bill to be paid before you leave ... *grin*

      --
      Bark less. Wag more.
    2. Re:PC... by RingDev · · Score: 2, Funny

      Wow, I'm going to put that on my grave stone.

      "Ain't paying taxes anymore!"

      -Rick

      --
      "Most people in the U.S. wouldn't know they live in a tyrannical state if it walked up and grabbed their junk." - MyFirs
    3. Re: PC... by Black+Parrot · · Score: 1

      Wow, I'm going to put that on my grave stone.

      "Ain't paying taxes anymore!" Tell them not to carve it until after April 15.
      --
      Sheesh, evil *and* a jerk. -- Jade
  8. The good news is ... by Palmyst · · Score: 5, Funny

    In a hundred years, the Smithsonian will be under water.

    1. Re:The good news is ... by HullBreachOnline.com · · Score: 1

      That's such An Inconvenient Truth.

    2. Re:The good news is ... by jae471 · · Score: 1

      250 years ago, the Smithsonian was under water (or in the middle of a swamp, anyway.)

  9. well by mastershake_phd · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Well maybe the administration isnt responsible for all the stuff that goes on. If the Smithsonian would pre-emptively change how it does things just because it thinks thats whats expected of it, then all you need is the idea that you are going to suppress certain ideas, not actively pursue their suppression.

    1. Re:well by koreth · · Score: 1

      That is, I will add, how most of the press censorship actually works in China. While the Chinese government does jail reporters and forcibly shut down newspapers from time to time, direct action like that is rare. Most of the censorship is self-censorship. The key is that there aren't really any written, official rules about what's acceptable to print, so for lack of any concrete guidelines, publishers tend to err on the side of caution. Much more effective to give people a "forbidden" list of vague generalities than to give them a list of specifics that can be circumvented while still obeying the letter of the law.

  10. Yeah, and there's more ... by iknownuttin · · Score: 3, Funny
    The changes, ... and muddying of displayed data, ...

    By muddying the data, they're inferring that the climate will get wetter and the mud will obfuscate the data. I would love to see the memo that explicitly tells the janitorial staff NOT to clean up the mud off of the data! That would be a smoking gun!

    Fucking Government, they think they outsmart me?!? HA!

    --
    I prefer Flambe as apposed flamebait.
  11. Now hold on here by stratjakt · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    It's pretty common knowledge that the IPCC writes its summary first, then goes looking for "data" that supports it, and ignores all research to the contrary.

    Perhaps that kind of shit doesn't need to be enshrined in the constitution, and perhaps the decisions weren't quite so political. Not everyone thinks doomsday is tomorrow.

    Maybe they're waiting for some more credible proof. Maybe they don't want egg on their face when some of the "OMG 900 foot waves is a-comin tomorrow unless you buy a Prius RIGHT NOW" hysteria is shown to be shit.

    --
    I don't need no instructions to know how to rock!!!!
    1. Re:Now hold on here by 2marcus · · Score: 1

      The IPCC writes its draft report first. Then it writes a summary based on the draft report. In the process of writing the summary, the lead authors (along with government representatives) scrutinize the key statements in the drafts which are going into the summary, and occasionally determine that a given statement is not supported or precisely accurate. So after they publish the summary they go back and make the report consistent. But the key point is that scientists vet all the changes. (Though, if anything, the changes at this point usually make the Summary statement more conservative that the original drafts, so it is kind of ironic that all the people who object to this process are the climate change deniers).

    2. Re:Now hold on here by delt0r · · Score: 1

      But the key point is that scientists vet all the changes. Really? Well it turns out that out of 2500 people that vet the changes, a large number are not even scientist and even less are "climate" scientists, whatever that is. If you don't belive me, get the list and check there backgrounds. Even better read some of there publications in peer reviewed jornals.
      --
      If information wants to be free, why does my internet connection cost so much?
    3. Re:Now hold on here by 2marcus · · Score: 1

      My understanding was that the lead authors have final say on whether a change is acceptable or not. Mind you, the all night sessions just before the release of the summary due to Chinese and US delegates trying to water down some of the conclusions might have lead to lead authors finally giving in from sheer exhaustion, but they do have to give the final ok. See realclimate for a more complete discussion, but this also jibes with what those of my colleagues who were contributors to the IPCC draft chapters have told me...

    4. Re:Now hold on here by delt0r · · Score: 1

      Well I'm living in Vienna where a lot of the UN stuff goes on. Quite a few of my friends work there are quite a few of the academics I know end up working there from time to time (including with the IPCC report). You get to hear a lot of storys about what goes on. The bottom line is that the IPCC report is just another *political* report. Its really nothing more or less. I mean what do statments like "90% proablilitiy that we are the major casue of global warming?" mean. What is the meaning of major? what does 90% mean? If I have 100 earths all with identical CO2 curves etc, ~90 of them will have man casused warming and the others will only have natural warming? These just are not scientific statments, they are political. Everyone picks up on it when the bush Adminsitration issues a report, I really can't see why everyone finds it so hard to see with the IPCC.

      Also I don't see why everyone puts so much faith in realclimate. They have there own agenda and opinins as all scientist do (like myself). Its one side of the story. Scientist disagree all the time on just about everything (yes even the cause of climate change). Yea and I read the peer reviewed climate papers, they give a very different story to the "absolutes" used in the IPCC report or media.

      Just for the record. I do think gloabal warming is real. We (humans) have contributed significalty to the CO2 levels. However I don't think we know enough to even get close to quantify how much of an effect that is compared to natral warming. Even more to the point there are a *lot* of other things we do which may have a bigger effect (deforstation, irrigation etc) at least on local climate. I also support taking mesures to reduce CO2 emmisions, and i can think of least 2 better reasons than the climate.

      --
      If information wants to be free, why does my internet connection cost so much?
    5. Re:Now hold on here by 2marcus · · Score: 1
      There are things I dislike about the IPCC AR4 report (most of my complaints have to do with the design and use of their SRES scenarios) but it really isn't "just another political report". It is a nearly comprehensive gathering of the quality climate science for the past half-decade with fairly good analysis of what conclusions are robust and which are tentative.

      On the uncertainty analysis: attributing a cause with a percentage probability is fairly standard across many scientific fields. Look up Bayesian statistics. There is some subjectivity involved when attempting to synthesize information from a variety of sources: it may be easier to defend a number if it comes from a single model where you can definitively state that a trend is statistically significant to 2 sigma or whatever, but you don't want to depend on a single model, so you do the best you can to make estimates based on all the information available.

      On realclimate: I put faith in realclimate because they have demonstrated a firm grasp of the science, and, in my opinion, a fairly unbiased attitude (recognizing of course that there is no such thing as purely neutral opinion).

      On disagreement among scientists: I also read the peer reviewed climate literature, and even have a few peer reviewed publications to my name. Yes, there is disagreement. No, there aren't absolutes. The IPCC doesn't give absolutes either - why do you think they have ranges and probabilities? The media _really_ doesn't give absolutes, since they have a bad tendency of giving equal weight to two "sides" to the issue when you actually have 95% of the science on one side and 5% on the other.

      I also agree that we have measured warming. Obviously the increase in CO2 is due to anthropogenic emissions. But I think we do have enough evidence to have some confidence in our ranges for numbers like climate sensitivity. I also agree that there are many things we should be doing: reducing deforestation is important for climate reasons and ecosystem reasons. Reducing CO2 emissions is important for reduced ocean acidification as well as global warming. Reducing oil use is important for foreign policy reasons as well as CO2 reasons. Energy efficiency makes sense from an economic standpoint as well as an environmental standpoint. Etc. etc.

    6. Re:Now hold on here by ElectricRook · · Score: 1

      Beware, 2006 is going to be the worst hurricane season ever.

      --
      - High Tech workers, please say NO to Union Carpenters, their Union sees fit to control our compensation.
    7. Re:Now hold on here by delt0r · · Score: 1

      ..but it really isn't "just another political report I think we will just have to aggree to disagre here. In my experiance the UN and things like the IPCC are poltical. In fact its hard to claim that the whole GW debate is anything but political. You tread very carfully when you ask for funding for example. I have seen one atmophearic group lose there funding because they said publicly that there is little *proof* that we are the cause of the warming. (Note: I was there, this is a fact, not something i made up, its why I'm currently in mathmatical biology now!)

      I do find realclimate a bit biased as the are the papers that come out at this point in time. Of course this is nothing new. Most groups of scientists have popular ideas to explain whatever it is we are working on. Probably the most fustrating thing i find is that there is little senistivity anaylis of the models. Many still just use a simple 50 meter surface ocean models and never mention its shortcomming when discusing long term climate predictions. Realclimate doesn't talk about them either. Even the varation of forcing terms, or the lack of climate prediction histroy are simply not discused in enough depth if at all IMO.

      But that fact that we aggree on the action part is the most important point. We should be looking at what to do rather than arguing details we simple can't reliably answer at this point in time. Few of the big GW advocates are that proactive on action. They are proactive by telling others (aka the Government) that they should be doing something. Look at how many people complain when the price of petrol goes up. We folks in the western world love to talk.

      --
      If information wants to be free, why does my internet connection cost so much?
    8. Re:Now hold on here by cbacba · · Score: 1

      Yup, the NHC forecast another good year for them, a bit above average. It's getting so bad it's starting to resemble the mid 20th century. After 2006 turned out to be such a bummer. If we actually get hit with a category 1 over in VA during 2007, it'll be the worst hurricane ever and the worst hurricane season every.

      From a practical consideration, the difference between a good hurricane season and a bad hurricane season is whether a category 3+ hurricane came to a neighborhood near you - or not. Unless you live on a barrier island where there really aren't such things as a good hurricane season.

  12. Lines from the article, with commentary by PHAEDRU5 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    "...the script...was rewritten to minimize and inject more uncertainty into the relationship between global warming and humans..." Imagine that! Uncertainty in science. If you want certainty, get a shaman/priest/rabbi.

    "...officials omitted scientists' interpretation of some research and let visitors draw their own conclusions from the data..." Why would they do that? Don't they know the great unwashed can't be trusted to draw trhe "proper" inferences?!?!!?!!

    "...changes were made for reasons of objectivity. And some scientists who consulted on the project said nothing major was omitted." Speaks for itself, I guess.

    *AND*, despite the summary above, "Sullivan said that to his knowledge, no one in the Bush administration pressured the Smithsonian."

    --
    668: Neighbour of the Beast
    1. Re:Lines from the article, with commentary by RingDev · · Score: 4, Insightful

      "Sullivan said that to his knowledge, no one in the Bush administration pressured the Smithsonian."

      Yeah, and Gonzo can't remember anyone from the White House giving him a list of lawyers to fire. What's your point?

      -Rick

      --
      "Most people in the U.S. wouldn't know they live in a tyrannical state if it walked up and grabbed their junk." - MyFirs
    2. Re:Lines from the article, with commentary by Reality+Master+101 · · Score: 1

      Exactly how I read this story. It seems to me that most of the complaints are not that "science" was removed from the exhibit, but that the exhibit isn't political enough!. They want people manipulated politically using "conclusions" that can't be reasonably drawn.

      --
      Sometimes it's best to just let stupid people be stupid.
    3. Re:Lines from the article, with commentary by Guysmiley777 · · Score: 1

      *AND*, despite the summary above, "Sullivan said that to his knowledge, no one in the Bush administration pressured the Smithsonian."

      Plausible deniability is a great thing as long as everyone keeps their mouths shut.
      --
      Coding with assembly is like playing with Legos. Coding an application in assembly is like building a car with Legos.
    4. Re:Lines from the article, with commentary by sanjacguy · · Score: 1

      "...officials omitted scientists' interpretation of some research and let visitors draw their own conclusions from the data..." Why would they do that? Don't they know the great unwashed can't be trusted to draw trhe "proper" inferences?!?!!?!!

      Hmmm - I dunno. I'd rather see a doctor than a homeless guy if my stomach hurts. I take my car to a mechanic rather than 'the unwashed masses' - although in the case of my mechanic he really is unwashed. If I had the time or inclination to study the climate in vast absorbant detail, I'd draw my own conclusions. As I didn't, I'd rather find people who did all that work and listen to them.

    5. Re:Lines from the article, with commentary by Ambitwistor · · Score: 5, Informative

      "...the script...was rewritten to minimize and inject more uncertainty into the relationship between global warming and humans..." Imagine that! Uncertainty in science. If you want certainty, get a shaman/priest/rabbi.

      Yes, science has uncertainty. The problem is in injecting more uncertainty than the scientific studies originally concluded.

      "...officials omitted scientists' interpretation of some research and let visitors draw their own conclusions from the data..." Why would they do that? Don't they know the great unwashed can't be trusted to draw trhe "proper" inferences?!?!!?!!

      Hell, even other scientists have trouble looking at a graph and drawing conclusions from it, unless they're experts in that specific field. That's why scientific papers and scientific talks have words to go along with all those pretty graphs.

      Look at all of the abuses of science that go on in Slashdot global warming threads when you take away the interpretation.

      Raw data: graph showing CO2 increases following temperature increases, instead of leading them
      Implied conclusion: CO2 doesn't cause temperature increases
      Missing scientific interpretation: temperatures cause CO2 increases, which in turn amplify and prolong the original temperature increase
      Actual scientific conclusion: CO2 does cause temperature increases (and vice versa!)

      Raw data: graph showing CO2 increasing smoothly in the 20th century, but temperatures falling mid-century
      Implied conclusion: CO2 doesn't cause temperature increases
      Missing scientific interpretation: there were non-CO2 cooling effects in the mid-20th century, including heavy air pollution and a brief spike in volcanism
      Actual scientific conclusion: CO2 does cause temperature increases (and other manmade and natural factors also influence the climate)

      Raw data: graph showing temperatures and solar intensity increasing
      Implied conclusion: solar brightening causes global warming
      Missing scientific interpretation: the increase in solar intensity is real but too small to produce the observed warming, and did not increase at a rate similar to the increased rate of late 20th century warming
      Actual scientific conclusion: solar brightening can only account for a small minority of the global warming

      Raw data: graph showing Earth and Pluto temperatures increasing
      Implied conclusion: solar brightening causes global warming everywhere in the solar system
      Missing scientific interpretation: see above, and the fact that Pluto has recently been unusually close to the Sun
      Actual scientific conclusion: solar brightening isn't responsible for global warming on Earth or Pluto

      There is nothing wrong with explaining how scientists interpret data. The data themselves only give part of the picture, especially to non-scientists who don't know as much about the issues.

    6. Re:Lines from the article, with commentary by Kupek · · Score: 1

      No, people have objected because scientific conclusions were removed because they were politically controversial.

    7. Re:Lines from the article, with commentary by UbuntuDupe · · Score: 0, Troll

      Raw data: chaotic historical graphs that show the influence of several non-linear influences.
      Implied conclusion: It's nearly impossible to predict future changes when you have only one test case.
      Missing scientific interpretation: We can handwave away all that uncertainty to get more funding and it's not like any experiment could prove our model wrong.
      Actual scientific conclusion: Incentives matter.

    8. Re:Lines from the article, with commentary by slamb · · Score: 3, Insightful

      There is nothing wrong with explaining how scientists interpret data. The data themselves only give part of the picture, especially to non-scientists who don't know as much about the issues.

      It helps to look at all of the data. In each case you listed, it would be wild speculation at best to reject the "implied conclusion" in favor of the "interpretation", unless you did so based on more "raw data" that you presented. How do you know that CO2 causes additional temperature increases? How do you know there was a brief spike in volcanism? How do you know the increase in solar intensity is insignificant? These are key questions - good scientists don't look at fixed data sets and choose interpretations to rationalize the conclusions they've already made. Instead, they come up with ideas, use them to design calculations/experiments and predictions, carry through, examine the result, and repeat.

      That said, it's unrealistic to expect people to properly analyze all the data on climate change in the half hour or less they spend in the exhibit. The best approach in presenting science to the public is to give people a taste of the process (some evidence with the best present analysis, maybe some history of the field, maybe walk them through devising a simple experiment), an idea of where to learn more (maybe books in the gift shop), and also the result. That result is what most scientists currently believe, with their stated level of confidence. ("Result" isn't quite the right word, since it can change, but it will have to do.)

    9. Re:Lines from the article, with commentary by Ambitwistor · · Score: 1

      Nonlinear != chaotic != unpredictable.

      No one is "handwaving away uncertainty". Just look at the size of the error bars in the IPCC projections! But the existence of uncertainty doesn't mean that "it's nearly impossible to predict future changes". Climate predictions do take nonlinear effects into account, and have shown predictive skill in hindcasting and cross validation studies. The skill gets worse over longer periods of time, which is why the error bars widen, but one can reasonably exclude certain possibilities such as "future warming in the absence of mitigation efforts will be less than one degree".

    10. Re:Lines from the article, with commentary by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      >Raw data: graph showing CO2 increases following temperature increases, >instead of leading them
      >Implied conclusion: CO2 doesn't cause temperature increases
      >Missing scientific interpretation: temperatures cause CO2 increases, which in >turn amplify and prolong the original temperature increase
      >Actual scientific conclusion: CO2 does cause temperature increases (and vice >versa!)

      Real conclusion: There's so much GW karma invested in "CO2 causes warming" that we'll come up with any bullshit to salvage it. There have been no first pass simulations showing that CO2 is a major amplifier. Methane has been the simulators gas of choice (it's an order of magnitude more effective "greenhouse gas' than CO2) for this "amplification" boogyman and it's already been factored in to the all-of-a-sudden discredited theory, All the handwaving in the world isn't going to salvage the "CO2 is a major culprit" theory.

      >Raw data: graph showing CO2 increasing smoothly in the 20th century, but >temperatures falling mid-century
      >Implied conclusion: CO2 doesn't cause temperature increases
      >Missing scientific interpretation: there were non-CO2 cooling effects in the >mid-20th century, including heavy air pollution and a brief spike in volcanism
      >Actual scientific conclusion: CO2 does cause temperature increases (and other >manmade and natural factors also influence the climate)

      Once more into the breech, dear friends. Another hole in the man=CO2=bad ttheory. Problem is, we have no metrics on "heavy air pollution", especially particulate levels, which is what this BS depends on. The simulation can be twisted around to show this, but ony by adding in numbers for particulate levels that are, essentially, plucked out of someones behind. Not the most "scientific" of procedures, shall we say. Volcanism, BTW, ADDS lots of non-man-made CO2, but that part of the data is glossed over, because it also tends to show that CO2 is NOT a major climate modifier.

      >Raw data: graph showing temperatures and solar intensity increasing
      >Implied conclusion: solar brightening causes global warming
      >Missing scientific interpretation: the increase in solar intensity is real >but too small to produce the observed warming, and did not increase at a rate >similar to the increased rate of late 20th century warming
      >Actual scientific conclusion: solar brightening can only account for a small >minority of the global warming

      Left out of the argument: There seems to be a strong correlation between solar wind and cloud formation heights. Lower solar winds (which we have had, along with higher brightness) will cause more lower level cloud formation which retains heat. Again, CO2 has nothing to do with this, nor "brightness"... but solar levels do.

      >Raw data: graph showing Earth and Pluto temperatures increasing
      >Implied conclusion: solar brightening causes global warming everywhere in the >solar system
      >Missing scientific interpretation: see above, and the fact that Pluto has >recently been unusually close to the Sun
      >Actual scientific conclusion: solar brightening isn't responsible for global >warming on Earth or Pluto.

      Haven't heard that argument, so I'll let you slide on it. Still, 3 out of 4 (and whatever happened to the "Mars is warming, too" bit?) of your points are not really slam dunk refutations of the counterargument.

      Sorry, Charlie... but there still IS a lot of uncertainty on AGW.

    11. Re:Lines from the article, with commentary by Ambitwistor · · Score: 1

      There have been no first pass simulations showing that CO2 is a major amplifier. Methane has been the simulators gas of choice (it's an order of magnitude more effective "greenhouse gas' than CO2) for this "amplification" boogyman

      Uh, yeah, that's not even remotely true. CO2 forcings are several times larger than methane (which, while having greater global warming potential than CO2, is present in far smaller amounts).

      Problem is, we have no metrics on "heavy air pollution", especially particulate levels, which is what this BS depends on.

      Also false. There are plenty of estimates of air pollution levels. (The biggest uncertainties are more in how this translates into radiative forcing, not on the actual concentrations themselves.)

      Volcanism, BTW, ADDS lots of non-man-made CO2

      No, volcanic CO2 is about two orders of magnitude smaller than manmade. (Volcanic aerosol emissions, on the other hand, are large for really big eruptions, but they produce short-term cooling, not long-term warming.)

      There seems to be a strong correlation between solar wind and cloud formation heights.

      There have been claims of correlations between cosmic rays and cloud formation, but any putative effect on the climate completely fall apart just when the warming trend becomes strongest (during the last 40 years), as cosmic ray incidence has not undergone a similar change during that period.

  13. Not too surprising by bryan1945 · · Score: 3, Interesting

    It gets massive government funding, so you don't want to piss off the funders. Also, anything that is socially or politically charged is always toned down nowadays in the bigger institutions. You get the occasional out there displays, usually from smaller places trying to make a name for themselves.

    It's like newspaper reporting now- skimp on the facts and give some conclusions, maybe put in a few emotional bits. Good luck trying to find objectivity, anywhere, anymore.

    --
    Vote monkeys into Congress. They are cheaper and more trustworthy.
    1. Re:Not too surprising by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Gets frustrating when I see news like this. We need more then just scientists thinking about issues such as this. Limiting information that may cause someone to think a little deeper and question a little further to not offend someone... sad is all. Seems lots of people choose to turn a blind eye towards issues that don't immediately or directly affect them.

  14. Isolated incident? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I can't watch BBC's Climate Watch in USA as well.

  15. Why Not? by WED+Fan · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Al Gore toned down the science for his film. Or, he substituted science with hype. Even the scientist who accept the man-caused model find Al's wild *ssed misuse of science a little frightening.

    If anyone is going to take it seriously, hyped arguments, with incredibly weak holes are going to drive people away from the true science. When a true scientist says, "Look, I have proof of man-caused climate change", the Gore-Hype-Doom-Weary-Joe-Everybody is going to ignore it.

    Ignore Gore, DiCapprio, Robbins, Madonna, Rosie, etc. and lets get the truth separated from the hype, or it will be ignored.

    --
    Politics is the art of looking for trouble, finding it everywhere, diagnosing it incorrectly and applying the wrong fix.
    1. Re:Why Not? by geekoid · · Score: 1

      people keep sayiong that, yet know one can cite any examples of the bad science.

      OTOH, most people who think that it was bad don't even understand that trees respire.

      So, how about you? do you ahe an example of incorrect science or conclusion based on selective evidence?

      No, I don't think so.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    2. Re:Why Not? by WED+Fan · · Score: 2, Insightful

      How about the UN report, and other NGO's talk about the sea level rising a matter of inches (17 inches approximately) and Gore goes hyperbolic (20 feet)?

      Look, Gore is as good to the environmental movement as Jerry Falwell was to the Christians. Falwell permanently cast the movement as a whacko fringe. Make of point of saying you are a Christian and you will find yourself categorized with Falwell, Robertson, and Reed. Gore is going to make it so that saying you are an environmentalist will put you in the company of wild-eyed-cool-aid drinking nut jobs.

      Soon, serious scientists will eschew the moniker of "environmentalist" and run as fast from the position as possible. The same as liberal church goers are loath to make open declarations of faith for fear of needing to explain that they "are Christian, but not of that ilk."

      --
      Politics is the art of looking for trouble, finding it everywhere, diagnosing it incorrectly and applying the wrong fix.
    3. Re:Why Not? by tomstdenis · · Score: 1

      This is like proving a negative [well sorta]. We're supposed to prove that there is no [significant] connection [that we can or should do anything about] between what we do and how the climate reacts. So instead you people say well if we're wrong disprove it.

      That's like [not exactly but similar] to saying well if you're sure there is no god, go prove it.

      The problem I have with climatologists [???] is that they overlook trivial solutions [or at least steps in the right direction] and go directly for whatever will ensure they get the most hype, audience, and at the end of the day, salary.

      Is it more reasonable to increase mass transit ridership in places where it's lacking, or disallow people owning their own cars? Is it reasonable to fly all over the world for meetings, if you buy carbon credits? etc, etc, etc.

      I for one, would gladly take a bus to work if there was a route that didn't take 50 minutes (it's a 6 minute drive), that is, after the 7 minute walk to the bus stop. Hell, I'd stop going to work everyday if my boss and company let me telecommute.

      But telling people to put more busses in a city is too obvious and tame a suggestion. How can you sell film prints and books if you are suggesting things that are merely common sense?

      Right. I forgot, Al Gore is in it for the world.

      Tom

      --
      Someday, I'll have a real sig.
    4. Re:Why Not? by nine-times · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I think this is very important for people to remember. I forget who said it first, but the fastest way to lose an argument is to exaggerate. Even if you're right, if you're blatantly obvious about exaggerating your own points and failing to acknowledge your opponents points, people won't believe you. Even if you're right.

      When dealing with a topic like global warming, credibility is incredibly important because almost no one (by which I mean among laymen) understands the science. Even relative to other sciences, studying climate and weather is incredibly complex and imprecise. So in order to preserve the credibility of those warning us about global warming-- people, please don't exaggerate. Don't try to convince people of things you yourself don't understand. Don't predict unlikely worst-case scenarios when the likely scenarios are bad enough. Just make honest arguments about only the things you understand, admit to the places where your understanding is unclear, and settle down on the hype.

      If we exercised this sort of restraint, our arguments on a wide variety of subjects would probably be more productive. I say "probably" only because I'm basing this on nothing wider than my own personal experience. When you overstate your points and exaggerate the support for your arguments, you're only giving your opponents ammunition to shoot you down.

    5. Re:Why Not? by Ambitwistor · · Score: 1

      17 inches by the end of the century. And the IPCC report specifically excludes any additional sea level rise due to nonlinear ice dynamics — which has troubled many scientists, since the observed rate of ice melting is greater than any models predict. Melting of Greenland is a slower process that could take centuries, but it could happen we end up stabilizing temperatures at too high of a value.

      That being said, Gore did give the impression that Greenland could melt soon, which is not correct.

    6. Re:Why Not? by Philotic · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Gore has done more for the environmental movement in recent years, especially in terms of global warming, than arguably anyone else. The science in his film is sound, and while he does use the worst case scenario, many more people are aware of the issue because of it. It's not Gore that fosters the image of "wild-eyed-cool-aid drinking nut jobs," but his far right-wing opponents.

      If exaggeration is the quickest way to lose an argument, why do the opponents of global warming continue to hold their ground? They repeat arguments that have been disproved, and slam people like Gore with dismissive rhetoric. How do the minds of reason address that?

    7. Re:Why Not? by drew · · Score: 1

      I can name one. Pine beetles are not an invasive species in North America, and have always been present in large portions of the western US. While it is possible that climate plays a role in the severe outbreaks that we are seeing currently, most people familiar with the situation believe it to be primarily a result of poor forestry management.

      I've also been told that many of his comments regarding the Antarctic ozone hole do not reflect the actual facts, but I don't know much about that area personally.

      That said, the fact that he was willing to so blatantly exaggerate the Pine Beetle problem, which is one of the few topics that he covered that I do know anything about, makes a little suspicious about his willingness to play loose with the facts in the rest of the movie.

      Anyway, where he really lost me was his little tobacco farming anecdote. He talks about knowing what it's like to have to make hard choices because his father decided to stop growing tobacco after his sister died of lung cancer. I certainly respect that decision, but from what little I do know of his family history, I'm not so sure I believe his family was all that dependent on the income that they were making from tobacco. It's a lot easier to quit a job for idealogical reasons when you don't actually need the money. The rest of us generally find it to be more palatable if we have a fallback in place first.

      --
      If I don't put anything here, will anyone recognize me anymore?
    8. Re:Why Not? by WED+Fan · · Score: 1

      Why is it, telling people not to exagerate so that their point may reach the widest possible number of sympathetic ears sends them into an almost apoplectic state in which they further alienate those they wish to convert, and drive away those that would be thier allies?

      Akahige's Rules of Causes

      For every cause, there exists spokespersons who produced more negative images, feelings, press, and other sundry effects regarding the cause.

      The most extreme elements of that cause will tout the same spokesperson(s) as the saviour of the movement.

      The same spokesperson is usually the loudest voice in the room and if not chose as the saviour of the movement, will appoint themselves as such.

      If the saviour of the movement is criticized, questioned, or it appears they are challenged by others, the backers of that saviour will attack, excoriate, deride the perceived attackers.

      Once a Saviour of the Movement has been appointed/annointed the cause becomes religious in nature and has less to do with reason and more to do with jihadist fervor.

      --
      Politics is the art of looking for trouble, finding it everywhere, diagnosing it incorrectly and applying the wrong fix.
    9. Re:Why Not? by drew · · Score: 1

      The science may be sound, but he also uses a lot of hand waving and appeals to emotion that undermine the basic science. I mentioned earlier that, at least on one subject (Pine Beetles) that I have followed with some interest in the past, he goes against actual facts (Pine Beetles are native to the US, while he at least implies if not outright states that they are an invasive species) and scientific consensus (The current outbreak is widely believed to be primarily the result of poor forestry management). It only took one instance of blatant exaggeration to make me skeptical of many of his other examples.

      Indeed if you look around, you can find that he's been called on a lot of them, even by people on his side of the debate. His claims about the spread of malaria have been disputed. There is still a large amount of disagreement about the affect of climate change on hurricanes- as far as I can tell, the consensus seems to lean towards fewer stronger storms, rather than more stronger storms as Gore states. I've also seen claims that the lack of snow atop Kilimanjaro has been due to changes in land use around the mountain rather than climate, as the temperature at the peak has actually decreased. I don't know if this is true, but the more of his claims I find to be exaggerations, the less likely I am to believe the rest of them.

      He also uses a lot of the classic "playing with statistics" tricks, such as charts without scales and scales that don't start at 0, which make me hesitant to give much credence to them, regardless of how sound the science behind them may or may not be.

      --
      If I don't put anything here, will anyone recognize me anymore?
    10. Re:Why Not? by Philotic · · Score: 1

      Interesting point about the pine beetles and malaria, I had not heard any more on the subjects since seeing the film. As for hurricane strength, everything I have ever heard/read has pointed towards stronger hurricanes as sea temperatures rise.

      What this all demonstrates, I suppose, is that there isn't a lot of consensus about much of this, except for the basic global warming science itself. Gore is then presenting the worst case scenario of global warming as if there is consensus, when there is not. Is this the only way to make people listen?

    11. Re:Why Not? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think this is very important for people to remember. I forget who said it first, but the fastest way to lose an argument is to exaggerate. Even if you're right, if you're blatantly obvious about exaggerating your own points and failing to acknowledge your opponents points, people won't believe you. Even if you're right.

      I would like to live in the world you imagine, but it's hard to reconcile that idea with the popularity of "young Earth" creationism. Religion and pseudoscience do what you call the fastest way to lose an argument, yet in the minds of many Americans they haven't lost...

      When you overstate your points and exaggerate the support for your arguments, you're only giving your opponents ammunition to shoot you down.

      I think the key is to not acknowledge (or even realize) that they've shot you down.

    12. Re:Why Not? by niceone · · Score: 1

      I forget who said it first, but the fastest way to lose an argument is to exaggerate

      Aren't you exaggerating a bit there? Wouldn't it be faster to start dribbling and jabbing yourself in the face with a pen? (for instance)

    13. Re:Why Not? by nine-times · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I would like to live in the world you imagine, but it's hard to reconcile that idea with the popularity of "young Earth" creationism. Religion and pseudoscience do what you call the fastest way to lose an argument, yet in the minds of many Americans they haven't lost...

      I don't really want to bring the conversation in this direction, but since you brought it up:

      I think people who get extremely angry about creationists do just the thing I'm talking about when arguing in favor of evolution. They try to argue that the evidence of evolution proves the non-existence of God, they argue as though you cannot doubt a single aspect of current evolutionary theory, they argue that no sane person could believe a god had anything to do with the creation of human beings, and they claim that creationism has been disproved.

      In fact, there are many different theories that all get referred to as "creationism", and most of them have not been disproved because most of them cannot be disproved. This is a sign that the theories are not scientific theories. No one has proven the non-existence of God, and no one will prove or disprove the existence of God, which is a good indication that He is not the subject of science. And, in fact, their are a myriad of ways that a person could believe evolution has taken place, yet also believe God is real, and also believe that God had some part of creating life and creating human beings.

      To go further, I'd say that you are guilty of exaggerating and overstating your case: you imply that religion is inherently faulty and poor grounds for argumentation. However, religion can be relevant in many non-scientific discussions on a wide variety of subjects, but the sort of thinking that goes on in religion is not a good model for scientific investigation. Similarly, the scientific method is a very good model for investigations into scientific subjects, but it falters in some other areas of thought.

      My point is, arguments/discussions can be very helpful to both sides when we shake off our adversarial hostility, quit trying to prove each other "wrong" in order to "win" the argument, and we talk to each other like human beings. If your position is right and your argument is good, you shouldn't need artificial exaggerations to prove your point.

      Even so, it's true that some people will never do this. Some people will continue to make dishonest arguments and some people will fail to listen to even the best and most correct argument. Still, on the whole, there are few advantages in an argument stronger than credibility and correctness. Don't throw them away so easily.

    14. Re:Why Not? by nine-times · · Score: 1

      Depends... I suppose that might be faster if you're trying to argue, "I'm not insane." Of course, the original claim that you're not insane would have probably been an exaggeration, so....

    15. Re:Why Not? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In fact, there are many different theories that all get referred to as "creationism", and most of them have not been disproved because most of them cannot be disproved. This is a sign that the theories are not scientific theories. No one has proven the non-existence of God, and no one will prove or disprove the existence of God, which is a good indication that He is not the subject of science. And, in fact, their are a myriad of ways that a person could believe evolution has taken place, yet also believe God is real, and also believe that God had some part of creating life and creating human beings.

      This is why I mentioned "young Earth" creationism in particular. It has been as thoroughly disproven as anything ever can be, and I have no patience for nihilism.

      To go further, I'd say that you are guilty of exaggerating and overstating your case: you imply that religion is inherently faulty and poor grounds for argumentation.

      I'll be explicit, then: religion is inherently faulty and poor grounds for argumentation. It is based on faith (belief without evidence) and doctrine, by definition unsuitable for reasoned discussion. The "young Earth" creationists show that many hold these beliefs even in areas in which science has presented overwhelming evidence to the contrary.

      However, religion can be relevant in many non-scientific discussions on a wide variety of subjects, but the sort of thinking that goes on in religion is not a good model for scientific investigation.

      What does "relevant" mean? Many religions come with ethical standards, but you don't need religion to have ethics. Knowledge of religion may be useful in discussions of history and regional politics, sure, but what important decisions do you make in your daily life based on believing in one religion vs. another vs. none? I just don't spend much time considering questions to which I'll never find answers. In contrast, I use the scientific method every day to learn more about scientific subjects, and every day I see the value of this knowledge.

      As to your distinction - not all religious people have partitioned the world so neatly into "scientific" and "non-scientific" categories. Many apparently want one belief system (religion) which claims to explain everything, and they're willing to ignore another (science) which has brought evidence and tangible benefits. Yes, that angers me.

    16. Re:Why Not? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well said.

    17. Re:Why Not? by phantomlord · · Score: 1

      What this all demonstrates, I suppose, is that there isn't a lot of consensus about much of this, except for the basic global warming science itself. Gore is then presenting the worst case scenario of global warming as if there is consensus, when there is not. Is this the only way to make people listen?
      The more hyperbolic you get, the more likely you are to make people oppose your position as they find out how much has been exaggerated. Just look at the lead-up to the war in Iraq and the support it had then versus where it is at now. Is a temporary support boost worth losing all of your credibility in the long run?
      --
      Don't leave your mind so open that your brain falls out. Don't close it so much that you cut off the blood.
    18. Re:Why Not? by Philotic · · Score: 1

      Just look at the lead-up to the war in Iraq and the support it had then versus where it is at now. Point taken, but, for example, why do people keep clinging on to the idea that volcanoes emit more CO2 than human activity? Are these exaggerated arguments going to eventually lose steam?
    19. Re:Why Not? by phantomlord · · Score: 1

      Side X says hyperbole A is true and the public finds that it was false, the public turns against side X. Side Y also says that hyperbole B is true and the public finds out that it was false, the public turns against side Y. The public now disbelieves everything side X says as well as everything side Y says, becoming completely cynical to the whole subject and tuning everyone out. How many people actually believe politicians will do what they say they will? Sure, I may vote for someone because what he said was better than his opponent said but in reality, I know that I'll be lucky if he follows through with 10% of his promises. Sure, you'll still have ardent supporters of X and ardent supporters of Y but the majority of people will be pretty apathetic. That's precisely why most politicians won't rail hard in one direction or the other but will try to play the middle. Go hard left and the middle goes (/cough /bullshit). Go hard right and the middle goes (/cough /bullshit). A third party candidate runs and says they aren't like X or Y and almost EVERYONE goes (/cough /bullshit).

      Ultimately, people will go with what least defies their sensibilities. If it seems like volcanoes emit more GHGs than humans, they'll go for that. If it seems like the weather has been off for the last couple years compared to what they remember (even if it is within the normal range of variation), they'll go with that. If you tell people the sea levels will rise by 20 feet over the next 100 years (which they expect to mean 2.4 inches a year), they'll think you're fear-mongering and have no credit when it goes up 1 inch in the next 20 years. If you tell people that humans can have absolutely no affect on the climate, they'll point out that pollution has obvious visible effects (because, of course, a few cigarette butts on road by a stop light means that the environment has changed while they don't understand that environmental change and climate change are totally different beasts) and believe you're just protecting the interests of big business and have no credit.

      If greenies were as smart as they think they are, they wouldn't be going for the hyperbole... instead, they would say things like
      * You should switch to compact fluorescent because it will save you money and the headaches of having to change bulbs.
      * You should better insulate your homes so that they leak less heating/cooling because it will save you money.
      * Instead of buying a new car every 2-4 years. you should keep the vehicle you have because even if a new car is 10% more efficient (number pulled out of my ass), it would take years longer to make up for the pollution caused by the construction of a new vehicle. Bonus: you'll reduce your debt spending and have more money for your family.
      * Use a clothes line whenever possible to dry your laundry. Sure, it is slightly more inconvenient, but you'll save money (it costs about 50 cents for me to dry a load of clothes here).
      * Instead of throwing away used but functional durable goods (clothes, computers, vehicles, appliances, whatever), donate them to goodwill or the salvation army. You'll get a tax write off and help other people. Also, buy from these places and you can get great deals, even on brand name/designer products, saving money.

      What anti-greeny is going to argue with that stuff? It is all common sense, all of it supports the cause, people see immediate personal benefits and they will think "you know, they (the greenies) are right."

      --
      Don't leave your mind so open that your brain falls out. Don't close it so much that you cut off the blood.
    20. Re:Why Not? by drew · · Score: 1

      everything I have ever heard/read has pointed towards stronger hurricanes as sea temperatures rise.


      Reread this statement:
      the consensus seems to lean towards fewer stronger storms, rather than more stronger storms as Gore states.
      --
      If I don't put anything here, will anyone recognize me anymore?
  16. It is a freaking museum by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Funny

    They are always toning down the science for Joe six-pack.

    If they wanted a timely exhibit on climate change, they could randomly assign visitors to either side of an amphitheatre where they would don earplugs before yelling at each other at the top of their lungs while mathematical models that nobody in the room could understand flashed on an IMAX screen.

    1. Re:It is a freaking museum by Miraba · · Score: 1

      IANACSBIRTMED (I am not a climate scientist but I read their manuscripts every day), and your comment made me laugh. Cutting-edge climate science requires more than familiarity with half a dozen subjects; the only way to communicate the complexities to a layman involves a professor waving hands and going "Well, most of the models show something in the range of..."

      (My favorite grudge I've come across was found in one paper, a comment, and a reply to the comment. Two teams of French geologists were trying very hard to call each other morons without actually using that word.)

    2. Re:It is a freaking museum by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If they wanted a timely exhibit on climate change, they could randomly assign visitors to either side of an amphitheatre where they would don earplugs before yelling at each other at the top of their lungs while mathematical models that nobody in the room could understand flashed on an IMAX screen.

      That is BRILLIANT, I'm starting work on my grant application right now!

  17. Common knowledge? On what channel? by benhocking · · Score: 1

    It's pretty common knowledge that the IPCC writes its summary first, then goes looking for "data" that supports it, and ignores all research to the contrary.

    Really? Common knowledge, or something you just made up? Perhaps you're just trying to be funny and I missed it, but your later comments suggest that you were being serious (or have a very dry sense of sarcasm).

    If you're being serious, please provide a source.

    --
    Ben Hocking
    Need a professional organizer?
    1. Re:Common knowledge? On what channel? by stratjakt · · Score: 0

      How about their own website www.ipcc.ch ?

      They don't do "science", they don't do "research", they pick and choose from the body of published papers, and assemble these reports.

      What do you think they do? Look who authored the report. I don't see any scientific credentials there.

      Hell, read the report, or even the summary for lawmakers. See how often the words "could" and "if" are used.

      If monkeys could fly, etc blah blah blah.

      The UN is corrupt from the bottom up, and I don't trust this arm of it. They have an agenda - to "prove" climate change is real.

      --
      I don't need no instructions to know how to rock!!!!
    2. Re:Common knowledge? On what channel? by geekoid · · Score: 1

      Yes, the fact that nations who signed off will be severally hurt by actions taken to help prepare gor global climate change just means they're part of the conspiracy...along with every nation and 99% of the scientists on the earth!

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    3. Re:Common knowledge? On what channel? by IgLou · · Score: 1

      Corrupt is a strong word. Vested interest? Perhaps. Corrupt? That would need to be gauged, let's measure this up against the current US administration because in my mind I have a good idea where they fit in.

      --

      Oops, how did this get here?
      09 F9 11 02 9D 74 E3 5B D8 41 56 C5 63 56 88 C0
    4. Re:Common knowledge? On what channel? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not necessarily the smoking gun you're asking for, but the IPCC's own documentation is the root of this criticism; look on page 4, third paragraph :

      Changes (other than grammatical or minor editorial changes) made after acceptance by the Working Group or the Panel shall be those necessary to ensure consistency with the Summary for Policymakers or the Overview Chapter.

      This undoubtedly stems from Steve McIntyre's comments on the issue on ClimateAudit. The anti-AGWers (might be a little unfair to throw McIntyre in with the general crowd) generally take this comment to mean that "the working group will modify the data to support the conclusion", rather than the slightly more benign "the working group may modify the data to support the conclusion". However, at this point, the working group report has already been accepted, it's not like they start writing it from scratch after the SPM is published. Still, one can hardly argue that this clause is a positive thing for the perceived integrity of the science.

    5. Re:Common knowledge? On what channel? by Ambitwistor · · Score: 2, Informative

      What do you think they do? Look who authored the report. I don't see any scientific credentials there.

      You obviously haven't looked at the report. Check out the SPM drafting authors. Just off the top of my head, I recognize Alley, Hegerl, Joos, Stocker, Stouffer, and Stott ... all well known scientists.

      Hell, read the report, or even the summary for lawmakers. See how often the words "could" and "if" are used.

      Wow, scientists aren't 100% sure what will happen. The United Nations must be corrupt.

    6. Re:Common knowledge? On what channel? by chaboud · · Score: 0, Troll

      That would be great, except that the IPCC has used the names of credible scientists in the past without their permission, or against their objections.

      I'm not fully behind everything in The Great Global Warming Swindle, but I do think it's worth paying some attention to the cautions of Richard Lindzen (Alfred P. Sloan professor of Meteorology at MIT), who has said:

      "In Europe, Henk Tennekes was dismissed as research director of the Royal Dutch Meteorological Society after questioning the scientific underpinnings of global warming. Aksel Winn-Nielsen, former director of the U.N.'s World Meteorological Organization, was tarred by Bert Bolin, first head of the IPCC, as a tool of the coal industry for questioning climate alarmism. Respected Italian professors Alfonso Sutera and Antonio Speranza disappeared from the debate in 1991, apparently losing climate-research funding for raising questions."

      "Picking holes in the IPCC is crucial. The notion that if you're ignorant of something and somebody comes up with a wrong answer, and you have to accept that because you don't have another wrong answer to offer is like faith healing, it's like quackery in medicine - if somebody says you should take jelly beans for cancer and you say that's stupid, and he says, well can you suggest something else and you say, no, does that mean you have to go with jelly beans?"

      When IPCC numbers are at the edge of the error bars, and situations so laughably implausable as the A1FI scenario are treated as genuine risks, you've stepped far from the realm of science. It's okay to worry that we'll make weather a bit more drastic and droughts a bit more painful. It's also okay to say that a lot of data supports a strong correlation between CO2 and increased temperatures. It is not okay to say that we're going to put a large number of cities underwater (as if civil engineers would watch NYC sink) and that we are certain that is all on the back of CO2.

      Alarmists and deniers are all making it more difficult for us to find reasonable solutions, or even predictions...

      It's time to trust that people can understand the small effects of complex systems, and it's time to allow for good science.

    7. Re:Common knowledge? On what channel? by Ambitwistor · · Score: 3, Insightful
      "In Europe, Henk Tennekes was dismissed as research director of the Royal Dutch Meteorological Society after questioning the scientific underpinnings of global warming. Aksel Winn-Nielsen, former director of the U.N.'s World Meteorological Organization, was tarred by Bert Bolin, first head of the IPCC, as a tool of the coal industry for questioning climate alarmism. Respected Italian professors Alfonso Sutera and Antonio Speranza disappeared from the debate in 1991, apparently losing climate-research funding for raising questions."

      Ah, spin. Was Tennekes dismissed for asking uncomfortable questions? There is no evidence of this; as far as I can tell, he simply retired, and most of his public skepticism was after he left. (And even if he was dismissed, what were the circumstances? Was he speaking in an official capacity, or his own? He arguably doesn't have free reign to use his job title to trump up support for a position at odds with his employer.) Was Winn-Nielsen a tool of the coal industry? Did Sutera and Speranza lose funding for raising uncomfortable questions? Or because they were out-competed by other proposals? It's not as if they were blackballed: they're both still publishing, as is Lindzen!

      The notion that if you're ignorant of something and somebody comes up with a wrong answer, and you have to accept that because you don't have another wrong answer to offer is like faith healing

      A straw man. The IPCC does not push such a notion.

      When IPCC numbers are at the edge of the error bars, What IPCC numbers are at the edge of the error bars?

      and situations so laughably implausable as the A1FI scenario are treated as genuine risks, you've stepped far from the realm of science. The SRES emissions scenarios have their flaws, but are not "laughably implausible"; see, e.g., the conclusions of Tol, O'Neill, and van Vuuren (2005). In any case, the A1 scenarios are not believed to be the most likely.

      It is not okay to say that we're going to put a large number of cities underwater

      The IPCC does not say this.

      and that we are certain that is all on the back of CO2.

      Nor this.
    8. Re:Common knowledge? On what channel? by jlehtira · · Score: 1

      It is not okay to say that we're going to put a large number of cities underwater (as if civil engineers would watch NYC sink) and that we are certain that is all on the back of CO2.

      Let me point out that, to my knowledge, IPCC has not said any of those things (I've read the summary and attended a lecture about it, given by one of the scientists behind the report).

      The scientists I work with and listen to on lectures all seem both convinced and rather relaxed about global warming. They're speaking about when the north pole will wholly melt during summer, not if, for example. That doesn't stop them from being optimistic and happy. If somebody's alarmist, it's not the scientists.

      Maybe the alarmists are also funded by oil companies to be that, to discredit the real scientists?

      And perhaps somebody actually was funded by oil companies? Or was dismissed for some other reason?

      And, you should be capable of saying *why* it's stupid to take jelly beans for cancer. In science, I find I'm most of the time either supporting a conclusion or not understanding it. And, if somebody's loudly expressing doubt without an ability to say what exactly he's doubting, it's a good guess that he's not actually understanding the claim and the logic behind it.

      By the way, Lindzen did have valid points in his article in cato.org. The article was written in 1992 though, and the same criticism is not valid against the 15 years of science done afterwards. Do remember that the IPCC reports around '92 did express a lot more uncertainty than they do today, and that's for a reason.

    9. Re:Common knowledge? On what channel? by beyondkaoru · · Score: 1

      thing is, there are some legit claims against the greenhouse effect causing global warming (ie, things not from corporate shills -- friend of a friend of a friend is professor giggengack (spelling?) who pokes holes in the inconvenient truth movie). but, in general, the thing is that we, humans, are more endangering ourselves than the planet. earth and its creatures evolve, they'll be fine. there were times millions of years ago that co2 was way way higher than today (but not necessarily temperature), and the dinosaurs etc were perfectly comfortable.

      anyway, much bigger dangers than global warming are things like how we poison ourselves by dumping chemical crap in unsafe ways, how we let politics (politics between and within corporations as well) get in the way of efficiency, all sorts of stuff. (what the hell happened to electic cars? why are we using hybrids?)

      probably the biggest threat of all is the desire of politicians, corporations, and even much of the general public to not know what's gonna happen ten years, a hundred years, a thousand years in the future.

      --
      the privacy of one's mind is important.
      you do have something to hide.
    10. Re:Common knowledge? On what channel? by Ambitwistor · · Score: 1

      thing is, there are some legit claims against the greenhouse effect causing global warming

      Do tell.

      (ie, things not from corporate shills -- friend of a friend of a friend is professor giggengack (spelling?) who pokes holes in the inconvenient truth movie).

      Pokes holes in a movie, or in actual climate research?

      but, in general, the thing is that we, humans, are more endangering ourselves than the planet. earth and its creatures evolve, they'll be fine.

      No, we're more adaptable than most species. Some will go extinct (many have already; climate change just makes it worse), some won't; we won't.

      (what the hell happened to electic cars? why are we using hybrids?)

      We may get to electric cars, but the infrastructure isn't there. Hybrids are a good transition strategy: get the bugs worked out of cars with batterys, shift toward plug-in hybrid electrics, then towards full electric. But in the meantime, full electric isn't going to help us much in terms of pollution (or CO2), because most electric power is currently generated by fossil fuel burning plants.

    11. Re:Common knowledge? On what channel? by beyondkaoru · · Score: 1


      http://www.sas.upenn.edu/earth/giegenga.html

      hey, i'm not the climatologist, he is; you want to hear what he has to say, go right ahead. his argument was pretty convincing, though i'm not completely convinced. my personal opinion now is that we still shouldn't be producing as much co2 or anything, to be on the safe side.

      as far as the thing about humans vs planet, i meant that more in an overall sense (i referenced dinosaurs...).

      the hybrid thing though; the infrastructure is there -- there are electrical outlets everywhere. furthermore, personal sized engines are much less efficient than ones based on creating electrical energy could be (at least in theory; i don't know about the actual efficiency of coal powerplants, but if i were to build one i'd care about that a lot, and i don't have to facilitate changes in rpm like a car's engine would, even in a hybrid).

      so, even if the electricity is taken from a fossil fuel plant it's not as bad as a hybrid. a hybrid, though, has some of the downsides of an electric car: in the production of batteries there is often pollution, for example. we could say that about pretty much anything, but just wanted to throw that out there, since we could say the same thing about solar panels. ...and i think we all have problems with the use of fossil fuel powerplants anyway. we probably agree there. we should be using, well, pretty much anything else.

      --
      the privacy of one's mind is important.
      you do have something to hide.
    12. Re:Common knowledge? On what channel? by Ambitwistor · · Score: 1

      hey, i'm not the climatologist, he is; you want to hear what he has to say, go right ahead. his argument was pretty convincing, though i'm not completely convinced.

      If you could link to any presentations or essays he has on the subject, it would be helpful. I didn't see anything like that in his publication list.

      the hybrid thing though; the infrastructure is there -- there are electrical outlets everywhere. furthermore, personal sized engines are much less efficient than ones based on creating electrical energy could be (at least in theory; i don't know about the actual efficiency of coal powerplants, but if i were to build one i'd care about that a lot, and i don't have to facilitate changes in rpm like a car's engine would, even in a hybrid).

      There are electrical outlets "everywhere", but not necessarily a sufficient number of them at gas stations, parking lots, etc. And the availability of outlets doesn't mean that all-electric cars are feasible replacements for regular cars. The battery technology isn't quite there yet, IMHO. However, I think there will be a transition towards electric vehicles. It's true that it's more efficient to generate all the power at the central power station instead of in each vehicle via internal combustion. However, there is still the pollution problem from increased power plant emissions. The first thing that needs to be done is to clean up power plants and reduce their CO2 emissions. Only then will be see the most benefit from electric vehicles.

      so, even if the electricity is taken from a fossil fuel plant it's not as bad as a hybrid.

      I think it is worse: an internal combustion engine actually produces less pollution than the equivalent amount of electricity generated by a power plant. (That depends on the pollutant. Engines produce more carbon monoxide and hydrocarbons, but less CO2 and nitrogen and sulfur oxides.)

    13. Re:Common knowledge? On what channel? by beyondkaoru · · Score: 1

      there are some things we can do to clean up fossil fuel powerplants, but it's not as effective as just replacing them with something better. and production of co2 is a fact of combustion; the only thing we could do is make the c into something else, and that takes a lot of effort. we need modern nuclear reactors (they're cleaner too) and more solar/wind/wave powered things.

      after some googling, i found a bit of a something, though i didn't find the presentation i saw.

      http://phillymag.com/articles/science_al_gore_is_a _greenhouse_gasbag

      this article is more an anti-gore thing, but it mentions gieg.

      anyway, battery technology is getting there, and there are some that point to an oil conspiracy... ok whatever. i'll give a link, say i don't necessarily trust it, you decide (i mean, it is the internet).

      http://www.ev1.org/

      it might not be hard for gas stations to set up power outlets that monitor usage, then charge customers who use them. the transition would not be hard for them, though it would require they change their business model perhaps.

      --
      the privacy of one's mind is important.
      you do have something to hide.
    14. Re:Common knowledge? On what channel? by chaboud · · Score: 1

      I'm not saying that the IPCC is saying that our cities will be underwater, but I am saying that political push on the IPCC (Nearly all public research funding is political. If someone disagrees, he is either an idiot or not in research.) is clearly towards affirming significant change as a result of anthropogenic CO2 emissions. The alarmism comes on the heels of that research.

      Show of hands.

      How many of us have heard from researchers who lost funding because they had dire prediction of runaway warming?

      How many of us have heard from researchers who lost funding because they questioned some findings of extreme change?

      Heck, I see at least one in this thread.

      You're wrong about having to say *why* it is stupid to take jelly beans for cancer. If you want me to take jelly beans for cancer, you have to have the data to back it up (though I'd probably take the jelly beans, anyway, as long as it's orally).

      Now, it's worth noting that the depth of the IPCC reports is generally comprehensive and explanatory. The largest problem is that the policy-makers don't read past the IPCC summaries. The time spent on IPCC summaries reflects this, and the end result for people not willing to read is this garbage.

      CO2 almost certainly has a significant impact on global climate, but our research shouldn't need to lead to dramatic changes regarding only CO2. We're trying to turn only the knobs that we feel comfortable twiddling (CO2 emissions). We do this while largely ignoring the knobs that we find it difficult to twiddle (water consumption, regional urbanization, and agricultural development). Where's the funding for research showing that these are not significant causes of climate change? This is what Lindzen was talking about.

      Being a doubter gets me lumped in with deniers, which is why I want the debate to be rooted in science. I think that our focus on CO2 will ultimately overlook other important causes of climate change, and I expect to be doing this again in 30 years. If we are open to answering real questions instead of quick to remove their funding, we're doing real science. Show me that care has been taken to carefully confirm and explore and I'll go along. At this point, I'm not comfortable that this is the case.

    15. Re:Common knowledge? On what channel? by Ambitwistor · · Score: 1
      I think I'm in rough agreement with you about energy issues.

      Regarding the climate, though: no offense, but Giegengack is a better geologist than climatologist.

      As to the specific objections mentioned in that article:

      "For most of Earth history," he says, "the globe has been warmer than it has been for the last 200 years. It has only rarely been cooler." Those cooler periods have meant things like two miles of ice piled over much of what is now North America. Nothing to be nostalgic for. That's a fairly irrelevant statement. Yes, the Earth has been warmer in the past, and yes, the dinosaurs probably loved the tropical climate, but that doesn't mean that we do.

      So Giegengack tells his students they might want to consider that "natural" climatic temperature cycles control carbon dioxide levels, not the other way around. Natural temperature cycles do control carbon dioxide levels. That does not, however, mean that the carbon dioxide levels do not in turn control the temperature cycles. It is a mutual feedback.

      He points out that within his lifetime, there was a three-decade period of unusually low temperatures that culminated in the popular consciousness with the awful winter of 1976-77. If this is supposed to refute global warming, note that said three-decade period was due to heavy levels of air pollution as well as increased volcanism temporarily suppressing the CO2-driven warming. Volcanism has subsided and CO2 emissions have grown faster than pollution levels (indeed, pollution has been slowed).

      Back then, scientists started sounding the alarm about a new ice age. Yeah, a few of them did, and most of them (correctly) concluded that there was insufficient evidence to conclude any such thing. Even the extremists didn't claim that there was an imminent ice age, or that the mid-century cooling was going to cause an ice age.

      "The scientists are mad because they think nobody in Washington is listening to them. So it's all either apocalyptic disaster or conflict of interest." Way to paint an entire community of scientists with a broad brush there. The vast majority of climatologists are not talking about apocalyptic disaster or the end of the human race.

      "We don't know that. We don't know that! We don't know that polar bears haven't drowned in every interglacial period. Nobody was watching them back then." Again, a misguided statement. Whether polar bears have drowned in the past is irrelevant to the question of whether they are drowning now, or are drowning more now than, say, 50 years ago.

      "At the present rate of sea-level rise," Gieg says, "it's going to take 3,500 years to get up there. Yes, but what people are worried about is what happens if the rate increases.

      So if for some reason this warming process that melts ice is cutting loose and accelerating, sea level doesn't know it. On the contrary, sea level is rising faster than is predicted by any climate model, for unknown reasons. This is worrisome.

      And sea level, we think, is the best indicator of global warming." Arguably, global temperatures are the best indicator of global warming, though there are some who vote for ocean heat content, or for sea level rise.

      "See," Gieg says, "the thing he doesn't mention is that there are 2.4 billion people in India and China who have launched a campaign that will increase their energy consumption by a factor of 10. No matter what we do. If we somehow cut our CO2 emissions in half, you wouldn't be able to measure the difference because of the role played by India and China. This assumes that what China and India do is independent of what the US does. In the political reality, there is no way we can convince reluctant developing countries to cut back on their emissions when we ourselves do not.
    16. Re:Common knowledge? On what channel? by beyondkaoru · · Score: 1

      hold on -- ok, it's obvious you know more about this than i do, but you say after one point about the slowly rising sea level that you don't mind its slowness. then right after you say that it's rising faster than anyone predicted; what's going on? (i suppose both could be true, but it seems strange)

      --
      the privacy of one's mind is important.
      you do have something to hide.
    17. Re:Common knowledge? On what channel? by Ambitwistor · · Score: 1

      I didn't say that I don't mind its slowness. I said that the current rate is relatively slow, but there are signs that it is increasing faster than predicted, which leads to the possibility that the rate will accelerate to worrisome levels.

    18. Re:Common knowledge? On what channel? by jlehtira · · Score: 1

      (Nearly all public research funding is political. If someone disagrees, he is either an idiot or not in research.)

      I'm researching the dynamics and development of sea ice. Funding comes from ESA, and so it's from European governments. I fail to notice any political requirements in my work.. =). Besides, I fail to see any possible motivation behind pretending global warming is true.

      You're wrong about having to say *why* it is stupid to take jelly beans for cancer. If you want me to take jelly beans for cancer, you have to have the data to back it up (though I'd probably take the jelly beans, anyway, as long as it's orally).

      How about "there's no known link of any kind between jelly beans and cancer" for an answer? When somebody says that, there's an actual claim and there can be meaningful debate about the truth value of the claim. I don't think one can rely on "common sense" or "intuition" in science. These do vary between people anyway.

      The case with the atmosphere is notably different. We've significantly increased the CO2 content, and there's a well understood mechanism by which CO2 absorbs long-wave radiation. So how exactly would increased CO2 *not* trap energy in our atmosphere? While the greenhouse effect is accepted science, it's futile to criticize it without saying what exactly makes you think it's false or unimportant.

      CO2 almost certainly has a significant impact on global climate, but our research shouldn't need to lead to dramatic changes regarding only CO2. We're trying to turn only the knobs that we feel comfortable twiddling (CO2 emissions). We do this while largely ignoring the knobs that we find it difficult to twiddle (water consumption, regional urbanization, and agricultural development). Where's the funding for research showing that these are not significant causes of climate change? This is what Lindzen was talking about.

      Maybe the public climate discussion is dumbed-down a bit too much, but I'm quite convinced that the scientists are sufficiently researching all the other causes for climate change too. Let me point you to IPCC's scientific summary (pdf), pages 3 and 4. The table on page 4 does give values and error bars for many different causes of warming. It even summarises the level of scientific understanding behind each cause!

      I think the IPCC summary is much better than many people think.

    19. Re:Common knowledge? On what channel? by Ambitwistor · · Score: 1

      How many of us have heard from researchers who lost funding because they had dire prediction of runaway warming?

      How many of us have heard from researchers who lost funding because they questioned some findings of extreme change?

      Heck, I see at least one in this thread. Really? Which Slashdotter in this thread has claimed that they lost research funding for either of those reasons?

      Or did you mean that in this thread we've heard from a Slashdotter (yourself) who quoted a climatologist (Lindzen) as claiming (without evidence) that yet another climatologist lost funding for those reasons?

      What evidence do you have that any climate researcher has lost a research grant for those reasons, other than mere claims? Even good scientists lose funding. There is not a lot of funding to be had in the earth sciences.
    20. Re:Common knowledge? On what channel? by chaboud · · Score: 1

      I was making the point about the second question, as I don't think that funding is lost these days over the first.

      And you can look here.

      The volume of claims from established climatologists would be enough to suggest the politicization of this body of science, but we don't have to. In fact, we can merely look at an older slashdot posting.

      Your game of skipping over genuine concerns and asking for proof that there is no proof is over when you back yourself into a corner like this.

      Now is the time where you shut up and move on.

    21. Re:Common knowledge? On what channel? by Ambitwistor · · Score: 1

      I was making the point about the second question, as I don't think that funding is lost these days over the first. And yet, you fail to make that point, or even support it.

      And you can look here. You claimed that researchers in this very thread have lost funding: "How many of us have heard from researchers who lost funding because they questioned some findings of extreme change? Heck, I see at least one in this thread."

      The link you give is not to any such researcher. It is a link to anonymous hearsay in another thread. In fact, we have not heard from any researchers in this thread. All we have is an unnamed person who claims that an unnamed research group lost funding for unverifiable reasons. That isn't evidence, any more than your claims are. It's even less evidence than your Lindzen quote: at least with that, both the source and the subject are named, even though Lindzen gives no details nor evidence that his claims are true.

      In short, you are simply lying about the support for your claims, trumping them up to appear more valid than they actually are. If an actual climate researcher came into this thread and detailed their denial of funding, that would be a different matter.

      The volume of claims from established climatologists would be enough to suggest the politicization of this body of science, What "volume of claims" is that? From how many "established climatologists"? And what is the evidence that any of these claims are true? You cannot justify your assertions by imagining you have an army of nameless (but assuredly plentiful) supporters. You need actual facts.

      It's very easy to claim victimhood. "Boo hoo, my grant proposal wasn't approved. It can't be because only 30% of funding requests get approved and my proposal just came up lacking — it must be because the ruthless Global Warming Cabal is suppressing my revolutionary findings. The Inquisition is hard at work on my case."

      In fact, you haven't produced any scientist who claims even that much — that their own research lost funding because they questioned the status quo. All you have is people who claim that other researchers were denied funding, for reasons that happen to conform to your ideological preferences. The researchers themselves have said nothing of the sort, nor does anyone have access to the funding rejection letter, nor the opinions of the funding panels.

      Global warming is politically controversial, but there is a big difference between "politically controversial" and "the scientific establishment is suppressing the publication or funding of valid opposing research."

      but we don't have to. In fact, we can merely look at an older slashdot posting. That story also fails to support any claims that any climate scientists have lost funding for questioning some findings of extreme change. It doesn't even concern climate scientists at all, let alone their research; it is about the certification of TV weather personalities. Perhaps somewhere in the comments there may be something relevant to your claim about loss of funding. Would you care to direct me to it?

      Your game of skipping over genuine concerns and asking for proof that there is no proof is over when you back yourself into a corner like this. Snicker. I am in no corner; to the contrary, you failed completely to support any of your claims, and I called you on it. I know it must be embarrassing for you, but don't project your own failures onto me. You're making very serious accusations, which merit correspondingly strong evidence in their favor. I haven't even asked for proof, I've simply asked for supporting evidence. What you've provided doesn't even qualify as circumstantial evidence.

      Now is the time where you shut up and move on. You wish. If you want people to stop calling you on your lies and mistakes, stop making them. Don't go around insisting that others stop correcting them. But hey, if you still want to be schooled in public, go right ahead.
  18. Re:Government funding by grub · · Score: 5, Insightful


    I guess these guys have to be as politically neutral as possible.

    That's crap. Politics has no place in science. "It is difficult to get a man to understand something when his job depends on not understanding it" comes to mind when politics and science meet.

    --
    Trolling is a art,
  19. The motivation is the problem by Sciros · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Whatever changes the Smithsonian makes in the name of giving science exposure, I am fine with. But when they get motivated by politics, and so openly at that, they are compromising everything the Smithsonian stands for!

    Yet another reason I prefer NYC's American Museum of Natural History to its inferior counterpart in D.C.

    And *I* am one of those folks who feels that there is less certainty to the science behind climate change than some researchers (let alone the public) do. So I should be pleased, but I'm not at all. Putting more research up, whether to clarify the picture or to show that most of it is inconclusive, that would be fine. But "toning down" stuff in an unscientific manner (you can "tone down" projections if a statistical analysis makes it appropriate, I suppose) and hiding information is just irresponsible.

    --
    I like basketball!!1!
  20. The Smithsonian Museum of Creationism by gelfling · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    That's going to be next, in the name of 'balance' mind you. Adam and Eve riding their dinosaurs to Church, the whole shebang. Maybe Xenu can get in on it as well.

    1. Re:The Smithsonian Museum of Creationism by Dragoon235 · · Score: 1

      Done already:

      http://www.creationmuseum.org/

      Mind you, that t-rex was a vegetarian, and children had them as pets. The animatronics must prove it...

      don't start me on xenu, you godless heathens. Monkies evolved from the bible!

  21. Re:Government funding by heinousjay · · Score: 1

    Then you'll have to take the people out of science as well, since politics could be summed up as "what happens when two or more people talk."

    --
    Slashdot - where whining about luck is the new way to make the world you want.
  22. Your tinfoil hat is showing.... by PHAEDRU5 · · Score: 0, Troll

    Please tell me some of the other conspiracies from your rich internal life.

    --
    668: Neighbour of the Beast
    1. Re:Your tinfoil hat is showing.... by RingDev · · Score: 1

      No conspiracy, just saying that claiming the Bush Administration had nothing to do with a political decision of a congressionally created group that benefits the current Neo-con line, isn't the most credible thing to say.

      -Rick

      --
      "Most people in the U.S. wouldn't know they live in a tyrannical state if it walked up and grabbed their junk." - MyFirs
    2. Re:Your tinfoil hat is showing.... by jahudabudy · · Score: 2, Funny

      Please tell me some of the other conspiracies from your rich internal life.

      For some reason, this phrase conjured pictures of his spleen plotting against his pancreas...

      --
      ...sometimes, in order to hurt someone very badly, you have to tell that person terrible lies. - PA
  23. Ever visited the Yasukuni shrine's museum? by mi · · Score: 2, Interesting

    You should. Before accusing the US government of polishing up its record, check out what the kind, benign, "Hello Kitty" modern Japan is doing.

    The annexation of Korea? Peaceful merger agreed upon by both countries.

    Colonization (and attempts of same) of the rest of Asia? Defending the fellow Asians from the racist Europeans. (Yes, the same government, that for decades continued to deny citizenship to Koreans in Japan is accusing someone else of "racism")...

    Murder of civilians? Impossible — because Japanese soldiers are the most disciplined in the world (and always have been, you see).

    Every time a Japanese Prime Minister visits the shrine, there are shrieks of him, allegedly, "honoring the war-criminals". That's not true — the handful of criminals there are in a tiny minority among the people, who died furthering the government's conquests without committing any crimes.

    It is the justification for the conquests presented in Yasukuni (and I was only able to see the English versions of them, native versions are, likely, even more extremist), that we should be objecting to...

    --
    In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
    1. Re:Ever visited the Yasukuni shrine's museum? by fbjon · · Score: 1

      Could you please write a few more loaded, biased, statements? Your post isn't quite enough of a straw-man argument as it is.

      --
      True confidence comes not from realising you are as good as your peers, but that your peers are as bad as you are.
    2. Re:Ever visited the Yasukuni shrine's museum? by ProfBooty · · Score: 1

      Actually if you ever do go visit yasukuni, it says precisely that and more. It will show a history of ww2 which is completely different than the one I learned in school . Might be due to the fact of who the financal backers were for the rennovations a few years ago.

      it is a very interesting musuem covering more than just ww2, and quite sad really (there is a large room with small photographs of the war dead covering the walls.

      the below links support the GP's post, infact you will find a copy of the text for the nanking "incident" which leaves out a number of facts.

      http://www.rense.com/general28/tudg.htm

      http://www.tokyonodoko.com/The%20good%20life/Yasuk uni.html

      --
      Bring back the old version of slashdot.
    3. Re:Ever visited the Yasukuni shrine's museum? by renoX · · Score: 1

      [[Every time a Japanese Prime Minister visits the shrine, there are shrieks of him, allegedly, "honoring the war-criminals". That's not true -- the handful of criminals there are in a tiny minority among the people, who died furthering the government's conquests without committing any crimes.]]

      I don't understand this part of your tongue-in-sheek comment.

      I'm not well aware of this shrine (except that they shouldn't have added the known war criminals to this shrine and that they should remove them), but I do hope that among the Japanese soldiers the war-criminals were a minority (*much more* than a handful, but still a significant minority).

      Whether the war was just or not, the soldiers didn't have much a saying in this part, so honouring those soldier (not the war criminals) who died for the country is quite logical IMO..

    4. Re:Ever visited the Yasukuni shrine's museum? by Farmer+Tim · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Before accusing the US government of polishing up its record, check out what the kind, benign, "Hello Kitty" modern Japan is doing.

      Why? What connection is there between how Japan portrays it's military history and whether the Smithsonian's exhibits are correct, other than the word "museum"? Both institutes have a duty to convey accurate information; they both failed to do so, and in my view that makes them both short of the standard.

      And that's the point: if your standard is "not as bad as the other guy", you don't grasp what "standards" are. It doesn't matter whether you have 5 tons of bullshit or 50 tons, it's still bullshit, and attempting to justify one quantity with the other is a slow race to the bottom.

      Defending the fellow Asians from the racist Europeans.

      Pure propaganda to hide the events of 60 years ago. Fortunately, when we torture and kill civilians today, we're "liberating them in the name of democracy", so it's totally different.

      It is the justification for the conquests presented in Yasukuni that we should be objecting to...

      No, we should be objecting to any distortion of facts by anyone at all, regardless of how trivial it may seem (though I'd argue that unbiased presentations about climate change are more important to the future of the world than Japan acknowledging long past war crimes). Since the majority of /. readers live in the US, it is appropriate for them to be concerned about standards in their own community first and foremost.

      --
      Blank until /. makes another boneheaded UI decision.
    5. Re:Ever visited the Yasukuni shrine's museum? by Speedracer1870 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      It seems you are just as arrogant an American as the rest of us.
      I was in Japan last year for about 2 months. Although I've never been to the Yasakuni shrine, I have visited the Hiroshima Peace Memorial with a Japanese friend. The memorial was suprisingly fair to America, and it must be pretty good to convince a republican Marine of this. I spoke at length with my friend about the bomb. She said, "the winners may write history, but the losers also have their story. They both are slanted."
      My point is this: There are things like the Yasakuni shrine all over America. I'm not saying it's right, but they are out there. (read Lies Across America) It is the responsibility of US to teach our children not to take everything the government says as true, lest they become part of the ignorant masses.
      There is a fate even worse than being uneducated. That would be ignorance with an intellectual superiority complex.

    6. Re:Ever visited the Yasukuni shrine's museum? by caranha · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I don't quite understand this post, what has Japan to do with this particular story? There are plenty of biased museums around the world, that is for sure.

      Anyway, while I do find the exhibits in Yasukuni's "museum" sick, there is a glaring difference between it and the Smithsonian:

      Yasukuni is a privately run, privately funded institution - The americans made sure to separate it from the government during the U.S. rule of Japan after the 2nd world war.

      Call it biased - it is, and doesn't hide that - but the japanese taxpayer money does not go into it.

    7. Re:Ever visited the Yasukuni shrine's museum? by mi · · Score: 1

      Why? What connection is there between how Japan portrays it's military history and whether the Smithsonian's exhibits are correct

      Because nobody is perfect — ratings are only meaningful in comparision. Japan today has (among Americans and Europeans anyway) this image of a hardworking benign nation, so comparing its prominent politically-funded museum with America's is quite proper.

      Defending the fellow Asians from the racist Europeans.
      Fortunately, when we torture and kill civilians today, we're "liberating them in the name of democracy", so it's totally different.

      We did not go to Iraq to "torture and kill civilians" — it happened, but it was not the government's real intent. Naive as it may or may not be, we really did (and do) want to make Iraq a democracy. Japan's real intent was to capture the lands and the natural resources (ore, coal, oil, rubber, lumber, etc. — the shrine's museum lists it all in another section).

      So, yes, it is "totally different". In the six weeks of the course of Nanking Massacre alone, Japanese Army has killed above 100000 Chinese non-combatants. But yes, please, do continue comparing it with, what, 50 victims of American troops' deliberate murder or torture (not all of it of civilians even) — keep showing the world how stupid your kind is. So good at seeing the other side, you lose all track of your own...

      ... in the US, it is appropriate for them to be concerned about standards in their own community first and foremost.

      Yes, it is. But before any conclusions are made, it is important to put things into perspective. My post provided just that.

      --
      In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
    8. Re:Ever visited the Yasukuni shrine's museum? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Right--but the biased, insane part of the GGP is that it says we should be objecting to this instead. What the fuck? What ever happened to objecting to it as well?

    9. Re:Ever visited the Yasukuni shrine's museum? by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 1

      I don't quite understand this post, what has Japan to do with this particular story?
      Nothing. It's called the "And you are lynching Negroes" argument, and ranks only slightly higher than "Chewbacca Defense".
    10. Re:Ever visited the Yasukuni shrine's museum? by Farmer+Tim · · Score: 1

      ratings are only meaningful in comparision.

      Utter rubbish; it is entirely possible to set absolute standards (and I seriously hope you aren't responsible for maintaining any potentially deadly machinery or critical infrastructure). Cherry-picking a worse example than the Smithsonian without acknowledging that other museums are far better is actually totally meaningless and irrelevant, unless you're deliberately trying to justify low intellectual standards by means of low intellectual standards.

      We did not go to Iraq to "torture and kill civilians" -- it happened, but it was not the government's real intent.

      Read what I wrote again: I never said we invaded Iraq specifically to kill civilians (a little shy on comprehension skills, I see), though that is the only really predictable consequence of war. What I did say is that whatever justification we have for killing and torturing civilians is an equal moral vacuum to the Japanese's reasoning. The only significant difference is scale; intent makes no difference to the victims, even if it salves your conscience.

      But are you trying to convince me that those "extraordinary renditions" to countries like Uzbekistan, Syria and Egypt that are known to use torture were all unintentional, and Abu Grahib and the ongoing reports of torture by Iraqi police are a coincidence? That would have to be the most logistically complex and consistent series of accidents of all time; a cynic might say it looks more like covert policy.

      Naive as it may or may not be, we really did (and do) want to make Iraq a democracy.

      Mr Pot, meet Mr Kettle. It wasn't "about regime change", it was about those WMDs that were so ready to use that we couldn't wait for the UN to reach a resolution, remember? Except they didn't have WMDs after all (though we did find that mobile hydrogen plant) and the intelligence connecting Saddam with Al Qaeda or Nigerian uranium dealers turned out to be fabricated, and that's when it magically metamorphed into a campaign to spread democracy. This isn't saying Saddam was a nice guy (the ever so predictable hawk straw man), this is saying I'M FUCKING FURIOUS THAT MY GOVERNMENT LIED, as any rational person in a representative democracy should be whenever their government lies about something that has cost many, many lives and over $400,000,000,000 to date with no end in sight.

      Listen to the samples in this SWF from 2004. Three years later has a single one of these quotes been proven accurate?

      http://www.idleworm.com/nws/2004/anthr.shtml

      So who is revising history now? If revisionism is good enough for you on current issues, its good enough for the Japanese view of history, end of argument, you lose.

      Japan's real intent was to capture the lands and the natural resources (ore, coal, oil, rubber, lumber, etc.

      And of course it's just a coincidence that an administration with close ties to the oil industry should choose to exploit the nation's grief and fear over a terrorist attack to invade a militarily impotent but oil rich country with no connection to terrorism at all, then put their select corporate buddies to work fixing the critical infrastructure. Nope, that's not even remotely suspicious, and anyone questioning the motives behind it all is an idiot because we're invariably the good guys, right? Or, just maybe, someone has the flag so far up their ass they can't see what's going on for all the stars.

      In the six weeks of the course of Nanking Massacre alone, Japanese Army has killed above 100000 Chinese non-combatants. But yes, please, do continue comparing it with, what, 50 victims of American troops' deliberate murder or torture (not all of it of civilians even)

      I will, if it helps reinforce my point that selective comparisons are entirely subjective and therefore completely useless, as well as being intellectually dishonest. Not clued in on irony either, are we?

      --
      Blank until /. makes another boneheaded UI decision.
  24. Here's one by benhocking · · Score: 3, Insightful

    First of all, I liked the movie. However, one thing that he did exaggerate (by omission) was his discussion of the 20 foot rise in sea levels. Sure, if either the ice on Greenland or the West Shelf of Antarctica melts, sea levels will rise (at least) 20 feet. If both melt, sea levels will rise 40 feet. Of course, no scientist (that I'm aware of) is predicting either to happen in the next 100 years. So, his facts were right, but the implication (that this would happen reasonably soon if things don't change) is not.

    Global warming is serious and should be addressed in an intelligent, deliberate manner. Over-hyping it is counter-productive.

    --
    Ben Hocking
    Need a professional organizer?
    1. Re:Here's one by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Over-hyping IS counter productive to coming to a consensus on global warming, but why would Al (or any of the other activists) want to hype it so much? The answer is money. He's an opportunist, profiting on hype. Wait, just hear me out.

      I too saw Al's film and like you, I also felt that he exaggerated some of his points. So with questions in my mind, I went to the film's web site to look for some answers, as suggested in the film. What I found was:
      Buy the DVD!
      Now available on DVD.
      Buy the DVD.
      Yes, three times just on the home page. Then I thought following "The Science" link would help me out, but all I found was the same regurgitated alarmist statements that the film was pushing.

      That's when I realized what Al's motives were. If global warming is as much a threat to all of humanity as Al claims, then why isn't he mailing a free DVD to every man, woman and child on this planet? Don't say it can't be done; I used to get discs from AOL all the time.

      BTW, I borrowed the film from my public library, so he didn't get any of my money.

    2. Re:Here's one by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's the West Antarctic Ice Sheet, not shelf. Of the scientists I know, none of them is willing to predict that it will be there in 100 years. They also as you said, won't predict that it will be gone in 100 years. Why? Because scientists hate working in absolutes, like that. A better question is, "How likely is a collapse of one of these great ice sheets?" I think most scientists would agree that the recent UN report is in the right ballpark, but I'm not going to shorten it into hype like you did.

    3. Re:Here's one by meringuoid · · Score: 1
      Sure, if either the ice on Greenland or the West Shelf of Antarctica melts, sea levels will rise (at least) 20 feet. If both melt, sea levels will rise 40 feet. Of course, no scientist (that I'm aware of) is predicting either to happen in the next 100 years. So, his facts were right, but the implication (that this would happen reasonably soon if things don't change) is not.

      You've got to be American, if anything over a hundred years is not 'reasonably soon'. Maybe this is the reason Europeans are more concerned about climate change - it's not all that crap about Americans liking their great big thirsty cars, it's just that they're not used to thinking long-term.

      100 years isn't a very long time. Certainly not when considering the issues we have to deal with here. We're talking about either completely restructuring our economy either to run on totally different fuels or to run on much less energy or both, or we're talking about massive relocations of population as arable territory shifts and lands get flooded, and enormous engineering projects as the world suddenly reaches for textbooks in Dutch about how to build really huge earthworks.

      If you had reason to believe that 200 years from now, all land under ten metres from sea level would be in the drink, you'd better start thinking about how to deal with it right now.

      --
      Real Daleks don't climb stairs - they level the building.
    4. Re:Here's one by Ambitwistor · · Score: 1

      If global warming is as much a threat to all of humanity as Al claims, then why isn't he mailing a free DVD to every man, woman and child on this planet? Don't say it can't be done; I used to get discs from AOL all the time.

      AOL can afford to do that because (a) they're a big company and (b) can recoup the costs of manufacture/mailing using the profits from the new customers they gain from their mass mailing.

      As noted elsewhere, Gore does not profit from the DVD sales.

  25. Toning Down Science or Spin? by rb4havoc · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Honestly, from looking at the article, they were taking out the spin of global warming. For some reason, people act like the conclusions scientists make are golden and shouldn't be questioned, such as global warming. With as long as the Earth has been around (either if you believe millions or thousands of years), the amount of reliable statistical data we have about the Earth's climate is rather wanting and nowhere near enough to form solid conclusions about global warming existing or not. If they really want to push the envelope about it, wait for a few hundred more years to pass and continue to collect data, then you may have enough to possibly reach a definite conclusion. Seriously though, 100-150 years of meteorological data (and the fact that all that data doesn't even represent all the major climate regions of the Earth, especially the arctic regions) is like a grain of sand on the beach and doesn't amount to much at all.

    --
    "There are 10 types of people in this world--Those that understand binary, and those that do not..."
    1. Re:Toning Down Science or Spin? by 192939495969798999 · · Score: 1, Informative

      The people arguing that science is making "golden conclusions" are (shockingly) creationists. They want science to be another belief system, and it's not. If they win their argument, their point then becomes "why would anyone follow a belief system that didn't have a savior?" The whole point is that science is experimental, it was created by people to debunk claims of "mystical powers", by testing those powers. Recent tests of whether or not global warming is happening seem to conclude that we all better learn to swim really soon. You can believe anything you want, but you can also test for gravity, electricity, C-14 radioactive decay, and even global warming and see for yourself.

      --
      stuff |
    2. Re:Toning Down Science or Spin? by Ambitwistor · · Score: 1

      With as long as the Earth has been around (either if you believe millions or thousands of years), the amount of reliable statistical data we have about the Earth's climate is rather wanting and nowhere near enough to form solid conclusions about global warming existing or not.

      You don't need data from millions of years ago to know that the Earth is warming now. All that will tell you is how the Earth has warmed (or cooled) in the past.

      Seriously though, 100-150 years of meteorological data (and the fact that all that data doesn't even represent all the major climate regions of the Earth, especially the arctic regions) is like a grain of sand on the beach and doesn't amount to much at all.

      It doesn't amount to much at all if your goal is to infer the climate at all times over the past billion years. If your goal is to infer the global temperature over the last 100-150 years, yes, it is enough.

    3. Re:Toning Down Science or Spin? by rb4havoc · · Score: 1

      You don't need data from millions of years ago to know that the Earth is warming now. All that will tell you is how the Earth has warmed (or cooled) in the past.

      You can go ahead and make that claim with insufficient evidence, or you can wait and gather more data and validate it or find out there's actually a pattern of continually shifting climate changes. Last time I checked, it wasn't always sunny in one area, or nature wasn't a static beast, so why would you expect the same exact temperature year after year?

      It doesn't amount to much at all if your goal is to infer the climate at all times over the past billion years. If your goal is to infer the global temperature over the last 100-150 years, yes, it is enough.

      But if your ultimate goal is to prove that humans have contributed to global warming, then to present it as fact, you would need sufficient data. Again, since global data would be needed to infer that global warming is occurring, and that data is very spotty over that time period, it's at best an assumption or hypothesis that global warming is occuring and not fact.

      --
      "There are 10 types of people in this world--Those that understand binary, and those that do not..."
    4. Re:Toning Down Science or Spin? by rb4havoc · · Score: 1

      ...And I get modded down to troll. Guess a mod takes Global warming as fact.

      --
      "There are 10 types of people in this world--Those that understand binary, and those that do not..."
    5. Re:Toning Down Science or Spin? by Ambitwistor · · Score: 1

      You can go ahead and make that claim with insufficient evidence, or you can wait and gather more data and validate it or find out there's actually a pattern of continually shifting climate changes. Last time I checked, it wasn't always sunny in one area, or nature wasn't a static beast, so why would you expect the same exact temperature year after year?

      The temperature isn't the same year after year. As I said, you don't need million-year-old temperatures to tell that the Earth is now warming. You're changing the subject to whether the current warming is natural. (You're also confusing interannual variability with long-term climate trends.)

      As for the natural vs. anthropogenic debate, the past climate is only half of the rationale behind anthropogenic global warming. Million-year data is not so relevant (yes, we know it was warmer in the Cretaceous), but for the recent warming, temperature trends over the last few centuries to millennia tell us that the current climate change is both large and rapid compared with natural climate trends. But they're not the only thing that tell us that the current warming is unusual: we can also apply our knowledge of climate physics, and conclude that natural sources of warming are currently not as large as manmade sources. Both paleoclimate and climate physics give independent reasons to attribute the current warming trend to humans.

      But if your ultimate goal is to prove that humans have contributed to global warming, then to present it as fact, you would need sufficient data. Again, since global data would be needed to infer that global warming is occurring, and that data is very spotty over that time period, it's at best an assumption or hypothesis that global warming is occuring and not fact.

      Frankly, global data is not as spotty as you claim, nor is it impossible to reconstruct global temperatures from regional measurements.

    6. Re:Toning Down Science or Spin? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's because Global Warming is a fact- or at least the evidence shows it to be. There's almost no argument denying it from qualified people that are familiar with the subject. All indications are that the average global temperature has risen measurably in the recent past, well over any possible "normal" climatic variation and is continuing to do so.

      The argument is about the underlying cause(s). While there's a good amount of evidence that the cause is caused by human activity- it's the likeliest explanation- it's not yet irrefutably conclusive. It might be a natural climatic shift caused by some as yet unknown reason or natural cause; solar activity, alteration in ocean currents or long term changes in some other causative factor.

      That's where all the disagreement and carrying on comes from, as there's not a lot of informed argument that the average global temperature hasn't increased and an overwhelming amount of evidence that it has. Even those that are skeptical of it being caused by human activity have to grudgingly admit that supporting data from bodies like NASA, ESA, NOAA and almost all other scientific bodies studying meteorological history and the climate make it a given.

      On a more personal note; if I were a betting man, I'd go with the odds that it's human activity that's the underlying cause. It's also one bet I'd be rather happy to lose.

    7. Re:Toning Down Science or Spin? by rb4havoc · · Score: 1

      The temperature isn't the same year after year. As I said, you don't need million-year-old temperatures to tell that the Earth is now warming. You're changing the subject to whether the current warming is natural. (You're also confusing interannual variability with long-term climate trends.)

      As for the natural vs. anthropogenic debate, the past climate is only half of the rationale behind anthropogenic global warming. Million-year data is not so relevant (yes, we know it was warmer in the Cretaceous), but for the recent warming, temperature trends over the last few centuries to millennia tell us that the current climate change is both large and rapid compared with natural climate trends. But they're not the only thing that tell us that the current warming is unusual: we can also apply our knowledge of climate physics, and conclude that natural sources of warming are currently not as large as manmade sources. Both paleoclimate and climate physics give independent reasons to attribute the current warming trend to humans.

      I'm not saying you need a million year record. I'm just saying that speaking in terms of sampling size, you need something a bit more substantial than a .015% sampling size to make a valid conclusion. That's like me going to 8 of my closest friends and asking them how they're going to vote in the upcoming election and determining the results from that. It's too small of a sampling size, and not enough information to make a substantial conclusion. At least in some of these reports, some of the scientists claim at best that these are assumptions and don't try to say that their results are fact or make inferences that their statements can be taken as fact.

      Back to my original statement, gather more information, and then when you get enough information, make your conclusion. Isn't that what the scientific method is all about anyways--making conclusions from substantiated observations, and not assumptions?

      --
      "There are 10 types of people in this world--Those that understand binary, and those that do not..."
    8. Re:Toning Down Science or Spin? by Ambitwistor · · Score: 1

      I'm just saying that speaking in terms of sampling size, you need something a bit more substantial than a .015% sampling size to make a valid conclusion.

      You need a higher sampling size if you want to make a conclusion about all of the climate over the past 1 million years. You don't if you want to make a conclusion about the current climate. In fact, as I noted, you can make a conclusion about the anthropogenic origin of the current warming without any paleoloclimate data at all, just based on historical measurements. The paleo reconstructions help strengthen the case, as the current rate of warming is larger than anything we have evidence for in the past, but do not make or break it. Indeed, even it were conclusively demonstrated that there have been past natural warming events as rapid as the current warming, that still wouldn't change the evidence that current natural forcings are not sufficient to explain the observed warming; it would merely demonstrate that such forcings were sufficient in the past.

      Back to my original statement, gather more information, and then when you get enough information, make your conclusion. Isn't that what the scientific method is all about anyways--making conclusions from substantiated observations, and not assumptions?

      Please, tell me what conclusions regarding global warming are not based on substantiated observations? (And, by the way, all scientific conclusions are based on assumptions, data notwithstanding.)

    9. Re:Toning Down Science or Spin? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm not saying you need a million year record. I'm just saying that speaking in terms of sampling size, you need something a bit more substantial than a .015% sampling size to make a valid conclusion. That's like me going to 8 of my closest friends and asking them how they're going to vote in the upcoming election and determining the results from that. It's too small of a sampling size, and not enough information to make a substantial conclusion.

      Your analogy misses the point. If you ask 8 of your closest friends how they're going to vote in the next election, you have a pretty good estimate of how your closest friends will vote. (Ignore that 8 isn't a large enough number to reach statistical significance; this number of samples needed does not vary with the total population and there are obviously quite a lot of temperature observations, although as you note they are all fairly recent.) What we're interested in is not predicting how the climate will change over the next few millions of years, but how it will change over the next few decades and centuries. We do have enough observations to say something meaningful about this.

      Furthermore, if the models that are currently most trusted in the climate research community are not horrendously wrong, waiting too long for extensive measurements could be catastrophic in the long term. Thus, acting based on fairly strong probabilistic information now may be better than acting on extremely strong probability later. (If you read the IPCC report summary, you'll notice that the conclusions given to the policymakers are framed in terms of probabilities: "very likely", "extremely likely", "likely", and so on.). This isn't just science, it's also risk management. We are part of the system we are investigating, and we have to take that into account.
  26. Hate to be the grammar nazi... by benhocking · · Score: 1

    However, the proper expression is "Ain't paying taxes no more!". You must not be a Southerner.

    --
    Ben Hocking
    Need a professional organizer?
  27. Well waddaya know.... by DiamondGeezer · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    Lets see Slashdot's censorship system work its magic:

    Many leading scientists have come to believe that human activity is contributing to warming of the planet.

    "I see it in some ways as similar to the sort-of debate that has taken place with regard to the science of evolution," said Professor Michael Mann, director of Pennsylvania State University's Earth System Science Center. "Just as I would hope that the Smithsonian would stand firmly behind the science of evolution, it would also be my hope that they would stand firmly behind the science that supports influence on climate. Politically, they may be controversial, but scientifically they are not."


    Would this be the same Michael Mann, author of the incredibly flawed and fraudulent "Mann Hockey Stick" which has been extensively debunked by Steve McIntyre and Ross McKitrick?

    Yes it is.

    So let me guess - they put in the Hockey Stick and then someone pointed out that its a scientific crock of shit. So they hid it behind spaghetti and made it fuzzy like they did in the IPCC 4th Assessment. Would I be close?

    If I was you Dr Mann, I'd be hoping for the fuzzy version because the sharp version is a demonstrated pile of crap.

    Shall we see who is the biggest abuser of censorship? Step right up.

    --
    Tubby or not tubby. Fat is the question
    1. Re:Well waddaya know.... by jamie · · Score: 5, Informative

      Are you guys still spreading misinformation about the hockey stick?!

      It's 2007...

    2. Re:Well waddaya know.... by DiamondGeezer · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      No disinfomation at all. The Mann Hockey Stick remains as devoid of statistical significance as it always has been. It's also not sensitive to the removal of dendroclimatological proxies, especially the bristlecone pines of Colorado, without which it loses its Hockey Stick shape.

      Oh and the others? All of the others have similar negligible statistical significance and nearly all of them use Mann's PC1 as a proxy.

      It ain't just debunked. What we have here is the "walking undead" of climate science.

      --
      Tubby or not tubby. Fat is the question
    3. Re:Well waddaya know.... by 2marcus · · Score: 4, Informative

      Why don't you take a look at the US National Academy Assessment of the hockey-stick cluster of studies rather than relying on climateaudit.org? Though the 4th Assessment Report isn't a bad place to look either. Also, I believe that the hockey stick always came with error bars, and was fairly good for a first pass, and subsequent studies have mostly confirmed Mann's argument that the current global scale warming is likely unprecedented in the past 1000 years.

    4. Re:Well waddaya know.... by Ambitwistor · · Score: 2, Informative

      So let me guess - they put in the Hockey Stick and then someone pointed out that its a scientific crock of shit.

      In point of fact, the independent NAS review panel found that when you correct Mann's hockey stick you get ... a hockey stick: they concluded that the recent warming is a robust feature of the data, although they said the error bars on the earlier reconstructions should be widened. And that doesn't even begin to address all of the other paleoclimate reconstructions by other researchers, using different and independent methods, which also found hockey sticks.

      Skeptics like to hold up Mann (or Hansen, or Gore) as some kind of archetype, who if knocked down would bring down the whole scientific theory of global warming with them, but that is far from true. The scientific case for global warming does not rest on any one individual.

    5. Re:Well waddaya know.... by Red+Flayer · · Score: 2, Informative
      Would that be the same McKitrick whose research is funded by the Fraser Institute, whose main benefactors are the oil and gas industries, particlucarly ExxonMobil, who stipulated that the funds they donate are for research of climate change? FYI, The Fraser Institute has collected over $400k since its inception, and over half that has been from ExxonMobil ($120,000 in 2003-4 alone).

      And the same Stephen McIntyre who holds no advanced degree and has never been published in an ISI peer-reviewed journal?

      So they hid it behind spaghetti and made it fuzzy like they did in the IPCC 4th Assessment. Would I be close?
      No, you wouldn't be close. Further research and sampling will (surprise, surprise) cause people to update their data sets to reflect the further research. The hockey stick model still fits, though possibly not as dramatically as Mann's original model.

      Shall we see who is the biggest abuser of censorship? Step right up.
      Oh, give it a rest. Instead of blaming 'censorship', why don't you blame the weakness of your sources and the fact that your arguments have been debunked multiple times before?
      --
      "Trolls they were, but filled with the evil will of their master: a fell race..." -- J.R.R. Tolkien on Olog-hai
    6. Re:Well waddaya know.... by Red+Flayer · · Score: 1

      It's also not sensitive to the removal of dendroclimatological proxies, especially the bristlecone pines of Colorado, without which it loses its Hockey Stick shape.
      And yet the removal of the bristlecone pines is the main thing that keeps McIntyre & McKintick's analysis from showing the same results as Mann's. So their analysis is not sensitive to the inclusion of the pines.

      The Mann Hockey Stick remains as devoid of statistical significance as it always has been.
      Oh? Please explain how it is statistically insignificant? No one, not even McIntyre & Mckintick, claimed that the findings were statistically insignificant -- they just disputed the data samples and reconstructed the graph according to their own cherry-picked data. Note that even when analyzed over the 1000-year mean, instead of Mann's original 20-year mean, the hockey stick still appears, and is still statistically significant.
      --
      "Trolls they were, but filled with the evil will of their master: a fell race..." -- J.R.R. Tolkien on Olog-hai
    7. Re:Well waddaya know.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Would that be the same McKitrick whose research is funded by the Fraser Institute, whose main benefactors are the oil and gas industries, particlucarly ExxonMobil, who stipulated that the funds they donate are for research of climate change? FYI, The Fraser Institute has collected over $400k since its inception, and over half that has been from ExxonMobil ($120,000 in 2003-4 alone).

      And the same Stephen McIntyre who holds no advanced degree and has never been published in an ISI peer-reviewed journal?
      Ah, ad hominem. My favorite logical fallacy!
    8. Re:Well waddaya know.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And why don't you take a look at what the Wegman panel and the National Research council had to say about Mann's work?

      http://www.uoguelph.ca/~rmckitri/research/WegmanRe port.pdf
      http://www.uoguelph.ca/~rmckitri/research/NRCrepor t.pdf

    9. Re:Well waddaya know.... by DiamondGeezer · · Score: 3, Informative

      And yet the removal of the bristlecone pines is the main thing that keeps McIntyre & McKintick's analysis from showing the same results as Mann's. So their analysis is not sensitive to the inclusion of the pines.

      What ARE you talking about? The HS was replicated by McIntyre. The HS was the result of the massive overweighting of bristlecone pines, a proxy known to be NOT a temperature proxy. McIntyre showed that without the bristlecones, the HS shape disappeared.

      Their analysis should that with or without the bristlecones, the HS failed multiple statistical tests for significance.

      Oh? Please explain how it is statistically insignificant? No one, not even McIntyre & Mckintick, claimed that the findings were statistically insignificant -- they just disputed the data samples and reconstructed the graph according to their own cherry-picked data. Note that even when analyzed over the 1000-year mean, instead of Mann's original 20-year mean, the hockey stick still appears, and is still statistically significant.

      It fails two key tests, R2 and the Durbin-Watson. Both showed zero significance.

      M&M DID claim that the findings were statistically insignificant. And just in case you think its a fluke, a replication by friends of Mann, Wahl and Ammann also showed zero significance for the R2 test.

      The rest of your statements are simply rubbish.

      --
      Tubby or not tubby. Fat is the question
    10. Re:Well waddaya know.... by DiamondGeezer · · Score: 1

      The error bars are simply double the standard deviation, but the error analysis was wrong. Because the R2 metric was zero, the true error bars should be "floor to ceiling" according to testimony given to that same Panel.

      Don't you read ANYTHING or is it just parrotted off RealClimate?

      --
      Tubby or not tubby. Fat is the question
    11. Re:Well waddaya know.... by DiamondGeezer · · Score: 2, Informative

      In point of fact, the independent NAS review panel found that when you correct Mann's hockey stick you get ... a hockey stick: they concluded that the recent warming is a robust feature of the data, although they said the error bars on the earlier reconstructions should be widened. And that doesn't even begin to address all of the other paleoclimate reconstructions by other researchers, using different and independent methods, which also found hockey sticks.

      That Panel also recommended that bristlecones should not be used as they were not a robust temperature proxy - but all of them included Mann's PC1 with its heavy overweighting of bristlecones, as a Proxy. They all failed tests for statistical significance, just like the HS.

      In no sense were the others "independent". They used the same set of proxies over and over again.

      Skeptics like to hold up Mann (or Hansen, or Gore) as some kind of archetype, who if knocked down would bring down the whole scientific theory of global warming with them, but that is far from true. The scientific case for global warming does not rest on any one individual.

      The archetype is the complete lack of ethics by any of them as well as a willingness to exaggerate their asses off. ALl of this has been documented.

      --
      Tubby or not tubby. Fat is the question
    12. Re:Well waddaya know.... by DiamondGeezer · · Score: 1

      Would that be the same McKitrick whose research is funded by the Fraser Institute, whose main benefactors are the oil and gas industries, particlucarly ExxonMobil, who stipulated that the funds they donate are for research of climate change? FYI, The Fraser Institute has collected over $400k since its inception, and over half that has been from ExxonMobil ($120,000 in 2003-4 alone).

      That would be Ross McKitrick , an UNPAID associate for the Fraser Institute.

      But don't let facts get in the way of a good smear and a conspiracy theory to boot. After all if you don't have to smear the man, then you would have to tackle what he said, and that would never do.


      And the same Stephen McIntyre who holds no advanced degree and has never been published in an ISI peer-reviewed journal?


      What about Geophysical Research Letters? Oh shit, it demolishes your smear job. Shame about that.

      No, you wouldn't be close. Further research and sampling will (surprise, surprise) cause people to update their data sets to reflect the further research. The hockey stick model still fits, though possibly not as dramatically as Mann's original model.

      The HS stick model is bad statistics, bad math, and bad data control. All of which has been published in peer-reviewed literature.

      --
      Tubby or not tubby. Fat is the question
    13. Re:Well waddaya know.... by DiamondGeezer · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      As I predicted, censorship is the way to go. Well done those slashdot cowards.

      --
      Tubby or not tubby. Fat is the question
    14. Re:Well waddaya know.... by 2marcus · · Score: 1
      I'm willing to bet money that I've read more of the original literature related to climate change than you have. Admittedly, paleoclimate is not my speciality: however, the impression I've gotten from what I've read, from the portion of the congressional testimony from the NAS report authors that I've listened to, from the talks I've gone to by people who _are_ paleoclimate experts, as well as from reading realclimate, all seem to agree that Mann's work was a good first step, and that the major conclusion of his paper holds up pretty well in subsequent research by other groups (eg, likely unprecedented 20th century warming), though many of them do take issue with his claims about "warmest decade" and "warmest year" because they think that the resolution of the data isn't good enough to pick up short term events.

      On the other hand, I notice that you do seem to like parrotting climate audit...

    15. Re:Well waddaya know.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The reason that reconstuction was called the Hockey Stick was that it showed extremely little variability during 1000-1900 AD, even to the extent of getting rid of the Little Ice Age and the Medieval Warm Period.

      More recent climate reconstructions show that there was a LIA, and all but one have a distinct MWP as well. So yes, the Hockey Stick failed at its purpose, which was to be a accurate reconstruction of global temperatures during 1000-1900 AD.

      Not that this is particularly relevant to man-made climate change, which only really started to get underway in the 20th century...

    16. Re:Well waddaya know.... by DiamondGeezer · · Score: 1

      The reason why those other studies all "back up" the Hockey Stick is caused by the facts that they all use a large number of the same proxies AND use Mann's PC1 as a proxy in its own right, with its massive overweghting of bristlecones intact. Since they use the same linear algebra as well, trained to the instrumental record, then its not surprising that they look similar.

      No you haven't read the NAS Panel - you've parrotted the lies put on RealClimate, not even guessing that the objection made by qualified scientists were all censored.

      If you had read the NAS Panel report, despite its flowerey language and bending over backwards to not reject the Hockey Stick, it upheld every single criticism made by Steve McIntyre: the non-independence of proxies, the inappropriateness of using PCA, the lack of transparency of data and methodology, the failure of the statistical significances, the lack of empirical demonstration that trees respond to temperature in the linear fashion assumed.

      So those "other" studies all use the same flawed proxies, use flawed methodologies, hide their lack of statistical significance, misstate their true error bars ("floor to ceiling") and it doesn't matter because you'll believe every word.

      I'm not parrotting Climate Audit - I've read the very reports that you are too afraid of reading for yourself, like the Wegman Report which called the Hockey Stick simply "Bad Science".

      The correct response would be to dismiss the Hockey Stick and the other iterations and start again, but you're not going to. It's much easier going with the flow of sewage than getting out of it, isn't it?

      --
      Tubby or not tubby. Fat is the question
  28. Just look at this one line from the article by PHAEDRU5 · · Score: 1
    This is a classic:

    In recent months, the White House has been accused of trying to muzzle scientists researching global warming at NASA and other agencies.Now, just *who* is doing the accusing is left out, as is *who* at the White House has the muzzle, as are specific scientists and projects.

    This isn't journalism. This is utterly shameless fear-mongering.
    --
    668: Neighbour of the Beast
    1. Re:Just look at this one line from the article by Ambitwistor · · Score: 1

      Now, just *who* is doing the accusing is left out, as is *who* at the White House has the muzzle, as are specific scientists and projects.

      It may not be great journalism, but that doesn't make it baseless fearmongering either; such stories have made the news in the past (e.g. here). With respect to a few months ago, I think they're referring to a GAO probe. (And, incidentally, it's not uncommon for news articles to refer to past news articles without repeating all the details or even citing them.)

  29. The day will come... by iknownuttin · · Score: 0, Flamebait
    when the US of A seriously lags the rest of the World in science. The US will become an economic backwater, trailing China and India, the EU will continue to grow and Asia will become their main trading partners.

    Then, we as a country, will look around and see how our way of life was destroyed and how poor we have become. The blame will, of course, be placed on others for their "unfair" business practices and their "unAmerican" culture - never will the finger be pointed at the folks who are the actual culprits.

    --
    I prefer Flambe as apposed flamebait.
    1. Re:The day will come... by u-bend · · Score: 1

      For some reason that reminded me of Temple of Doom:
      Mola Ram: The British in India will be slaughtered. Then we will overrun the Moslems. Then the Hebrew god will fall. Then the Christian god will be cast down and forgotten. Soon Kali Ma will rule the world.

      Random little break from the debate. Smirk, even smile a little bit... aaaand back to the flamewar.

      --
      u-bend
    2. Re:The day will come... by iknownuttin · · Score: 1
      aaaand back to the flamewar.

      I liked your comment! I forgot all about that quote...I'll have to see "Temple of Doom" again!

      --
      I prefer Flambe as apposed flamebait.
    3. Re:The day will come... by u-bend · · Score: 1

      Glad to be of service. That movie is great camp fun. Probably has 900K Hindus shaking their heads to this day.

      --
      u-bend
    4. Re:The day will come... by u-bend · · Score: 1

      900 million, that is. Loving the sleep dep.

      --
      u-bend
    5. Re:The day will come... by gardyloo · · Score: 1

      Probably has 900K Hindus shaking their heads to this day. 900K should be enough for anybody.

          (NOT meant in a deprecatory way... at least to Hindus!)
  30. Warming vs CO2 (cause effect)?? by georgep77 · · Score: 1

    Somewhat off topic but has it been decided yet which is the cause and which is the effect. I've read arguments on both sides (higher temps yields higher CO2 and vice versa). What is the consensus on this now? I've been waiting for the next climate change related story to ask this.

    Cheers,
        _GP_

  31. Sorry! by PHAEDRU5 · · Score: 1

    I got the blockquoting wrong on the

    "Now, just *who* is doing the accusing is left out, as is *who* at the White House has the muzzle, as are specific scientists and projects.

    This isn't journalism. This is utterly shameless fear-mongering.This isn't journalism. This is utterly shameless fear-mongering."

    bit.

    --
    668: Neighbour of the Beast
  32. Re:Government funding by Speedracer1870 · · Score: 1

    Really? Politics has always been in science. This is because without politics there is no money for science. Behind every good scientific project is a person kissing some serious @ss to get it funded.

  33. Amphitheatre? This raises the obligatory question by StarfishOne · · Score: 1

    Are you not entertained?!? ;-)
    (note: includes graphical scenery from the movie 'Gladiator')

  34. Here's the order of events for you by benhocking · · Score: 1
    1. Research is done.
    2. Papers are written on it.
    3. Those papers are gathered into a huge report by the IPCC. It's only picking and choosing in the sense that the best research is that which is represented. If you see any other solid evidence, feel free to post it. I am not aware of any peer-reviewed articles written recently that dispute the information in the IPCC.
    4. As part of this process, only the data that the research agrees on makes it into the report. Therefore, the predictions from the IPCC are conservative, and occasionally undershoot the actual data.
    5. One or more summaries of the written report are written. Here is where the politics can get really strong and result in the summary being less dramatic rather than more dramatic. I.e., representatives from countries like the US try to tone down the summary and add uncertainty wherever they can. I suspect some would like to introduce Heisenberg uncertainty if they could.
    6. Someone posts that the summary is written first.
    --
    Ben Hocking
    Need a professional organizer?
    1. Re:Here's the order of events for you by Archangel_Azazel · · Score: 1

      After reading about 80 or so posts on this article, and making some of my own, I was struck by something :

      People have touted that we have crossed over into the "information age". This is where information directly relates to power as land (in the middle ages) and gold / money (more modern eras) have in the past.

      You don't have to lie anymore to confuse the issue. Just get thousands of people each chipping away at a corner of the truth. Instill enough doubt and it will become an unsolvable problem. ....where's my tinfoil...I need a hat :\

      A.A

      --
      Your mind is like a parachute. It works best when it's been opened.
  35. Caught me off guard... by FunWithKnives · · Score: 3, Insightful

    scaled down a 1995 exhibit of the restored Enola Gay, the B-29 that dropped the atomic bomb on Hiroshima, after veterans complained it focused too much on the damage and deaths.

    Exactly what else was that exhibit supposed to focus on? It was a war. Contrary to what our mass media and politicians would like us to believe, people actually do die in war, and it normally doesn't happen as movies and television like to dramatise. That plane dropped an atomic bomb, the first of its kind and one of only two to ever be dropped, that was responsible for the most deaths ever from a single explosive. If it didn't have that distinction, no one would care. It would just be yet another bomber from World War II. Personally, I think the exhibit should have been far more detailed than it was. Maybe a few shots of the barren wasteland that was once Hiroshima, or victims' fucking shadows etched into the sand from the detonation. The after-effects of the radiation, perhaps.

    All exhibits, however, regardless of how important they seem, should be as detailed as possible. We should absolutely strive to put them in the correct context, and present the facts, unabashed, to the best of our knowledge. Kowtowing to any particular group or person does a grave disservice to society as a whole, because it will only result in the dissemination of misinformation, or at the very least only partial information. We can all digest the facts and come to our own conclusions, but the facts themselves are essential to the process.

    --
    "We may face a scorched and lifeless earth, but they're accountable to their shareholders first."
    1. Re:Caught me off guard... by geekoid · · Score: 1

      I don't know this situation, but maybe they failed to mention the million plus that , in all likely hood, would have dies had the bomb not been dropped.

      Or maybe it said:
      "This plane killed children and was flown by killer for killer to kill...orphans."

      I mean, accurate, but not really the point.

      Or maybe it was perfectly balance and some vetrans got a bug up they're but since they are old and believe they will be seeing 'God' soon.

      My point is, these blurbs are alway out of context and we have no idea of knowing any of the truths involved.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    2. Re:Caught me off guard... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Informative

      The problem with your response is that the summary is not wholly accurate. The problem the veterans had with the exhibit is not that it had information on the thousands of deaths and the horror that came later. It was the lack of context. The original script for the exhibit spoke of a crippled japan desperately trying to defend itself against the aggression of the US. The implication also made in the original draft that the Japanese started the war with us due to our own racism was what really set people off. The complaint was not that the US killed people, but the lack of context which when coupled with the description of the Japanese's desperation at the end of the war gave what the veterans groups called a bias. Specifically lines such as "For most Americans it was a war of vengeance. For most Japanese, it was a war to defend their unique culture against Western imperialism." support this point when attached to planned photographs of Japanese religious symbols at ground zero. Not saying that the veterans don't have there own agenda, or that the Smithsonian should kowtow to special interests, but the issue was more complicated then the trite summary given.

      You can find the original scripts, just search for the title "The Crossroads: The End of World War II, the Atomic Bomb, and the Origins of the Cold War"

    3. Re:Caught me off guard... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      One could recount the number of eyes that were rolled at your use of the BOLD tag. That would be accurate as far as it went. I mean, what else is my response supposed to focus on? It is a snarky anonymous response on the internet.

    4. Re:Caught me off guard... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      This is B.S. I remember when this actually occured. This is a qoute from the proposed exhibit: "For most Americans, it was a war of vengeance. For most Japanese, it was a war to defend their unique culture against Western imperialism." It went down hill from there.

      The curators presented Japan as an innocent victim of US aggression. No mention of the Rape of Nanking, the Bataan Death March, Japanese medical experiments on prisoners, or Japanese bio-warefare. Instead, the exhibit dwelt on the Allies blockade of Japan, US internment camps, and the atomic bombing. When criticized for not mentioning the estimates of US and Japanese casualities resulting from an invasion of the Japanese homeland, the currators cited numbers cut by 75% (with no rationale given).

    5. Re:Caught me off guard... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      >When criticized for not mentioning the estimates of US and Japanese casualities resulting from an invasion of the Japanese homeland

      There was never any such thing, so one person's speculation is equivalent to another's.

    6. Re:Caught me off guard... by R2.0 · · Score: 1

      But it wasn't the museum's job to speculate - they could have reported the historical facts.

      How about "Wartime estimates of an invasion of Japan put the number of casualties at X. More recent analysis indicates the number would probably be Y"

      --
      "As God is my witness, I thought turkeys could fly." A. Carlson
    7. Re:Caught me off guard... by elrous0 · · Score: 1
      The original exhibit had a large display showing the devastation, pics of and testimony from survivors, etc. Veterans organizations (veterans who vote and give lots of money to political campaigns) objected strenuously. The director and others foolishly tried to fight it, pissing off the veterans even more. Resignations followed. The design was changed. The final exhibit was basically just a cutaway of the plane itself, with basic information on it.

      Just one of the perils of a public museum that gets government funds and has political appointees. Careful who you piss off.

      --
      SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
    8. Re:Caught me off guard... by amRadioHed · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I don't know this situation, but maybe they failed to mention the million plus that , in all likely hood, would have dies had the bomb not been dropped. That's highly debatable. Japan was already in bad shape and it was likely they were ready to surrender. Maybe the bomb was used was as a show of might to intimidate Russia. That sounds more likely to me than anything having to do with Japan. Someone with a better understanding of US-Russian relations at that point in the war could answer better, I have no idea if future hostilities with Russia where on anyones mind at that point.
      --
      We hope your rules and wisdom choke you / Now we are one in everlasting peace
    9. Re:Caught me off guard... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Dvorak? Is that you?

    10. Re:Caught me off guard... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      P a Y u P 0r t He K iD G et S IT

    11. Re:Caught me off guard... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What else?
      War.
      Be ever shadows.

      All strive unabashed, partial.

    12. Re:Caught me off guard... by Farmer+Tim · · Score: 1

      I don't know this situation, but maybe they failed to mention the million plus that , in all likely hood, would have dies had the bomb not been dropped.

      Theoretical scenarios are not the domain of history museums. It might deserve a passing mention if it was an official estimate of casualties at the time, but otherwise it is a largely irrelevant point of non-data because it didn't happen, so there is no way of verifying whether the esitmate was correct or simply a convenient justification for testing the new super-weapon on a real target (there are ample examples of the US government "fixing" intelligence to suit an agenda over the last century, so why some regard it as an unquestionable paragon of virtue between 1941 and 1945 escapes me).

      Argue the point if you like, but you'd only be giving an example of why museums should stick to the facts and leave out the unverifiable and contentious "what ifs".

      --
      Blank until /. makes another boneheaded UI decision.
  36. Sometimes... by jd · · Score: 4, Insightful
    ...the public damn well should be pissed off. The public has no more of a monopoly on the truth than anyone else, and mythistory can have unexpected and dangerous consequences. Sure, pacifying the public give a nice feel-good glow to life, but it's no different from claiming that we've always been at war with Eurasia.

    Whether the museum curator in the parent posting existed or not, I salute anyone with the guts and gall to question assumptions and place integrity above deceit. And, yes, such people probably will lose jobs and - in rare cases - possibly a whole lot more. History teaches us, however, that in the long run, inaccuracies do get weeded out. Nobody these days uses Geoffrey of Monmouth's History of the British Kings as a textbook, and popular Victorian school texts (which depicted Iron Age Britain as filled with unkempt cave-dwelling barbarians with no language or culture) have been replaced with more reliable and infinitely more believable studies of Celtic life.

    Pissing off the public with the truth is inevitable. It will happen, sooner or later. May as well get it over and done with quickly, even if that carries risk. Life is all about risk - so why not take risks that might make a difference?

    --
    It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
    1. Re:Sometimes... by Profane+MuthaFucka · · Score: 1

      If you get along with everybody you know, you're doing something wrong. It's a badge of honor to be hated by jerks.

      --
      Fascism trolls keeping me up every night. When I starts a preachin', he HITS ME WITH HIS REICH!
    2. Re:Sometimes... by bigdavex · · Score: 4, Insightful

      History teaches us, however, that in the long run, inaccuracies do get weeded out.

      Devil's Advocate:

      How do we know that? Maybe historians of all times view their current generation as most accurate, even if they're really re-writing history less accurately.

      --
      -Dave
    3. Re:Sometimes... by elrous0 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Life is all about risk - so why not take risks that might make a difference?

      Because, with this approach, you WON'T make a difference. There ARE ways to change things more effectively, and without getting fired or shot. The guy who comes in and immediately upsets every applecart will be immediately dismissed as a madman and disposed of.

      The trick is moderation and respect. You don't come in and destroy every icon that the public holds dear. Maybe you quietly change the "This is George Washington's musket" to "Legend has it that this is George Washington's Musket" but you don't just take it down and throw it away. Pissing people off is generally not way to get through to anyone--just a good way to get fired (as the Enola Gay exhibit designers can tell you).

      A museum is NOT the same as the tenured ivory walls of a university. Maybe it SHOULD be, but it most definitely is not. Anyone who thinks this will have a VERY short stay at the Smithsonian or any other public museum, and will influence no one.

      --
      SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
    4. Re:Sometimes... by CuriousMe · · Score: 1

      Just to make sure I understand you, we should be right, just be right a little quieter? That sounds pretty dangerous to me. Where do we draw that line? Do we knowingly display inaccurate information just to appease "the public"?

      Sorry, I'd rather be right and fired, than to help further deception. If we're changing the science we put in museums what hope does "the public" have of ever learning the truth?

    5. Re:Sometimes... by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

      The guy who comes in and immediately upsets every applecart will be immediately dismissed as a madman and disposed of.

      When the applecart is full of lies, the guy who comes in and upsets it is a hero.
      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    6. Re:Sometimes... by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 1

      That was my first thought.

      Heck, I've seen history rewritten in my lifetime. Some things that were "always true" when I was a child is not true now.

      Consider the effect of hard DNA evidence on history and how many guilty verdicts of history have been rewritten alone.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    7. Re:Sometimes... by elrous0 · · Score: 1

      Yes, a dead and quickly forgotten one.

      --
      SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
    8. Re:Sometimes... by elrous0 · · Score: 1

      Do we knowingly display inaccurate information just to appease "the public"?

      Usually it's a sin of omission rather than commission. Take the Enola Gay for example. The final design didn't LIE, it just didn't tell the whole story. A smart exhibit designer would eventually get the whole story in--but over a longer period of time, in small doses. You don't launch the exhibit with "Hey look at our horrid atrocities!" splattered all over it. You start small, then at some point later maybe you add in a short section from a survivor's testimony, then even later you include some small pictures of the devastation. Slowly the whole story emerges and no veteran has a heart attack (or comes after you with a musket) when you cut the ribbon.

      If the original exhibit designers on the Enola Gay exhibit had done it that way originally, then by now (ten years later) most of the whole story would be there, and no one would have gotten fired. Instead they tried it all at once, ensuring that the exhibit will ALWAYS be bland and no one will EVER get the full story from the Smithsonian.

      The hero isn't the guy who sacrifices his life. The hero is the guy who gets the job done.

      --
      SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
    9. Re:Sometimes... by CuriousMe · · Score: 1

      No matter how you slice it, the hero is never the guy who sacrifices everything he believes in to "get the job done."

      Because let's face it, we're not talking about our actual "lives," we're talking about careers. I'd rather get a new job, and career than sell out on such a huge level.

    10. Re:Sometimes... by Archangel_Azazel · · Score: 1

      **WARNING -- You are about to read a rant. The opinions expressed are the author's own. You don't have to believe him, or agree with him, but he would appreciate you taking the time to read them. Thank you. ***

      --The final design didn't LIE, it just didn't tell the whole story.--
      I swear, if I hear this one more time my head is going to short circuit. Maybe it was just the way I was brought up. If you don't tell the truth (the **WHOLE** truth and nothing but the truth even) in court, you are (supposed to be) brought up on what charges? Perjury. Not partial perjury, not reduced perjury..the whole damn charge. Why? Because if you're not letting all the facts be known about something, you're LYING about it. A lie is when you don't tell the WHOLE truth (again, maybe that was just the way I was raised). This nation of lawyer-ese needs to friggin stop. Politicians are especially guilty of this. If you can't tell the fucking truth... keep your damn mouth shut.

      --A smart exhibit designer would eventually get the whole story in--but over a longer period of time, in small doses. You don't launch the exhibit with "Hey look at our horrid atrocities!" splattered all over it.--
      Absolutely not! That would ruin the image people are trying to indoctr..errr...teach our children that slavery didn't exist, and we didn't bomb two cities into rubble. We just relocated them into an ethereal presence is all. If you don't like owning up to your actions....don't do the actions. When did that get so difficult?

      --The hero isn't the guy who sacrifices his life. The hero is the guy who gets the job done.--
      The hero is the guy who stands up for the things that help everyone get along and get things done better. I will never call someone a hero simply because he gets something done. For example, Hitler got a LOT done... funny... I almost never hear him called a hero outside of certain circles.

      English is in a lot of trouble if you ask me. Eventually phrases like "War is Peace" will make sense...hell to some of us they already do.

      *Goes to find his DoubleSpeak(TM) dictionary* /Rant

      A.A

      --
      Your mind is like a parachute. It works best when it's been opened.
    11. Re:Sometimes... by pimpimpim · · Score: 1
      (which depicted Iron Age Britain as filled with unkempt cave-dwelling barbarians with no language or culture)

      In fact, this did happen in Britain, but not until quite some time later on, I think you can more or less guess the start of this period by searching for the screening dates of the first channel 4 documentaries about these inhabitants.

      *ducks*

      --
      molmod.com - computing tips from a molecular modeling
    12. Re:Sometimes... by jd · · Score: 1

      I absolutely hate linking to stores, but I can't find a good review of a book that covers this issue well anywhere else. There are probably much better books out there, but this is the best one I know of.

      --
      It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
    13. Re:Sometimes... by Glock27 · · Score: 1, Flamebait
      You don't launch the exhibit with "Hey look at our horrid atrocities!" splattered all over it.-- Absolutely not! That would ruin the image people are trying to indoctr..errr...teach our children that slavery didn't exist, and we didn't bomb two cities into rubble. We just relocated them into an ethereal presence is all. If you don't like owning up to your actions....don't do the actions. When did that get so difficult?

      Are you somehow implying that bombing Hiroshima and Nagasaki was wrong? If so, you're a fool.

      A country that can't seem to absorb fewer than 4,000 dead today had lost close to half a million people. Anything to reduce US casualties was acceptable. If the Japanese had won, there would have been a never-ending bloodbath, so mercy wasn't a consideration. In any event, ending the war earlier was merciful to both sides in the long run.

      --
      Galileo: "The Earth revolves around the Sun!"
      Score: -1 100% Flamebait
    14. Re:Sometimes... by Mozk · · Score: 1

      Must you invoke Godwin's Law so quickly in the discussion?

      --
      No existe.
    15. Re:Sometimes... by Archangel_Azazel · · Score: 1

      Thank you for the info, I'll look into it!

      A.A

      --
      Your mind is like a parachute. It works best when it's been opened.
    16. Re:Sometimes... by Archangel_Azazel · · Score: 1

      --Are you somehow implying that bombing Hiroshima and Nagasaki was wrong?--
      Yes. Yes I am. In my opinion, exterminating a massive amount of people is wrong. Now, before you go off on some "OMG Ur Anti-UhMeriCan!" rant...Do I think it was wrong? yes. Do I think we had another alternative without sacrificing even MORE lives? *NO*. That's also not the first time someone called me a fool either...*yawns*.

      --Anything to reduce US casualties was acceptable.--
      I have this funny idea that there are a LOT of Japanese (and other nationalities as well) who might argue with that line of logic. Remember : You shouldn't elevate yourself by lowering another.

      --If the Japanese had won, there would have been a never-ending bloodbath, so mercy wasn't a consideration.--
      This country was founded on war. We fought a war to win our 'independence'. We've fought wars against communisum, illiteracy, and drug use. Offhand, in fact, considering human history... I'd say it's been one giant "never-ending bloodbath". Plus that statement makes you look like a prejudiced asshole. Don't present opinion as fact, and (I know I'm going to eat this...*sigh*) if you ever catch me doing it, POLITELY let me know...I know I've done it in the past...and I make every attempt to NOT do that, it annoys me.

      --In any event, ending the war earlier was merciful to both sides in the long run.--

      merciful (mûr's-fl) pronunciation
      adj.

      Full of mercy; compassionate: sought merciful treatment for the captives. See synonyms at humane.

      Logical, I'll give you. Necessary from our standpoint? I'll give you that one too. MERCIFUL?! Burning people's shadows into pavement and modifying their genetics, as well as destroying massive amounts of land is MERCY? Paint me confused.

      A.A

      --
      Your mind is like a parachute. It works best when it's been opened.
    17. Re:Sometimes... by azenpunk · · Score: 1

      but if we rewrite history...wont it stop teaching us that?

    18. Re:Sometimes... by McFadden · · Score: 1

      Ditto. I'll be buying a copy. Looks like a fascinating read.

      Guess I'll have to find somewhere other than Amazon to buy it though.

    19. Re:Sometimes... by rohan972 · · Score: 1

      Logical, I'll give you. Necessary from our standpoint? I'll give you that one too. MERCIFUL?! Burning people's shadows into pavement and modifying their genetics, as well as destroying massive amounts of land is MERCY? Paint me confused.

      I think he means merciful as in killing less people in the long run, not an act of mercy to those people in particular. People may disagree that more people would have died, but it's not an absurd proposition.

    20. Re:Sometimes... by demon+driver · · Score: 1

      It's not him, it's you "invoking" it, only to discredit a perfectly valid and, in its potential to clarify, useful analogy. Just like "Godwin's Law" seems to usually get "applied" these days.

    21. Re:Sometimes... by demon+driver · · Score: 1

      I can't tell for sure what he might be "implying" - what he's expressing, though, is that when broaching the issue at an exhibition, the truth should not become glossed over. Are you, though, by declaring that bombing Hiroshima and Nagasaki was not wrong, implying it was right to hide the gory details from the public?

    22. Re:Sometimes... by dclydew · · Score: 1

      While something may be necessary, it may also be atrocious. Just because our leaders made the decision to drop the bomb (based on what they considered best for our nation), doesn't negate the fact that we killed lots and lots of civilians and left thousands burned and dying of radiation poisoning. There's no such thing as a moral war, though there may be necessary ones.

      --
      Get a life, not a lifestyle. - Hikem Bey
    23. Re:Sometimes... by Darby · · Score: 1

      Are you somehow implying that bombing Hiroshima and Nagasaki was wrong? If so, you're a fool.

      Well, I guess it's a very good thing that he said nothing of the sort, isn't it?
      Heck, there's no possible way to take what he said and interpret it that way.

      He said:
      "If you don't like owning up to your actions....don't do the actions. "
      He did not say doing the actions is wrong. He said lying about it later to avoid honestly addressing it is wrong.

      Now, are you honestly going to own up to your actions in this case?

    24. Re:Sometimes... by Glock27 · · Score: 1
      I can't tell for sure what he might be "implying" - what he's expressing, though, is that when broaching the issue at an exhibition, the truth should not become glossed over. Are you, though, by declaring that bombing Hiroshima and Nagasaki was not wrong, implying it was right to hide the gory details from the public?

      Oh, absolutely not (I'm also well in the minority in advocating lots of uncensored ME war footage on TV - we need to toughen up, not live in ignorance). The public should just be educated as to the facts of the situation. Note that conventional bombing in Germany was more destructive and caused more loss of life than the A-bombs were in Japan...

      For that matter, we should all be thankful for nuclear weapons - do you really think we'd have gone this long without a world war without them?

      --
      Galileo: "The Earth revolves around the Sun!"
      Score: -1 100% Flamebait
    25. Re:Sometimes... by Glock27 · · Score: 1
      Now, are you honestly going to own up to your actions in this case?

      I was mainly objecting to his use of the term "horrid atrocities" to refer to the bombings. That term certainly implied a certain viewpoint on his part and in fact he owned up to exactly that viewpoint.

      They weren't 'atrocities' they were matter of course actions for a total war. If you've seen footage (or seen the statistics) of the Marines going ashore on any island in the Pacific you know why dropping those bombs was a good idea.

      --
      Galileo: "The Earth revolves around the Sun!"
      Score: -1 100% Flamebait
    26. Re:Sometimes... by Glock27 · · Score: 1
      I think he means merciful as in killing less people in the long run, not an act of mercy to those people in particular.

      The 'official' estimate I've seen for Allied losses during a conventional invasion of Japan is one million dead. That doesn't count Japanese military or civilian losses.

      I'm not sure about the exact numbers, but I'm quite sure the total on both sides would have been much higher than the number affected by the A-bombs.

      So yes, merciful.

      --
      Galileo: "The Earth revolves around the Sun!"
      Score: -1 100% Flamebait
    27. Re:Sometimes... by Glock27 · · Score: 1
      While something may be necessary, it may also be atrocious. Just because our leaders made the decision to drop the bomb (based on what they considered best for our nation), doesn't negate the fact that we killed lots and lots of civilians and left thousands burned and dying of radiation poisoning. There's no such thing as a moral war, though there may be necessary ones.

      I disagree. Instead, these were acts that were intended to save lives, and in fact they did exactly that. In this case, the ends absolutely justified the means. My view on this is somewhat colored by the fact that our enemy at the time would have cheerfully killed, enslaved and/or raped every civilian in the United States if given the opportunity.

      Is war nice, fair or pretty? No, and denying those realities is very dangerous.

      As to your statement about 'no moral war', my reply is:
      "War has never solved anything - except oppression, slavery, tyranny, fascism, and communism. Terrorism is a work in progress."

      BTW, better grit your teeth if you're an antiwar type. There are going to be some big (though I doubt nuclear) booms in Iran soon, I'm pretty sure... I hear things are going pretty well with the new 30,000 lb. conventional bunker buster bomb testing.

      --
      Galileo: "The Earth revolves around the Sun!"
      Score: -1 100% Flamebait
  37. Re:Warming vs CO2 (cause effect)?? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    http://environment.newscientist.com/channel/earth/ dn11462

    26 most common climate myths and misconceptions

  38. ITYF by Colin+Smith · · Score: 1

    That they are simply giving their customers what they want.

    Y'know, Americans and all.

    --
    Deleted
  39. Oblig. by StonedYoda47 · · Score: 2, Funny

    7. ????
    8. Profit!

  40. Re:Warming vs CO2 (cause effect)?? by 2marcus · · Score: 2, Informative
    Quick answer:

    Historically (eg, glacial/interglacials): current best theory is that the first mover was orbital variations (Milankovitch cycles) leading to ice sheet retreat. Ice sheet retreat leads to warming. Warming leads to CO2 outgassing from oceans, CH4 being produced from melting permafrost. CH4 and CO2 increases lead to more warming.

    Present-day: CO2 increase is solely due to human activity. This CO2 increase is a priori expected to lead to temperature increases, and the actual temperature increase seems to be largely explained only by human induced atmospheric changes in forcing, if you include feedbacks (increased water vapor, glacial retreat, etc.)

    Long long ago historically there is evidence that we never would have left snowball earth without the CO2 increases caused by volcanic eruptions over hundreds of thousands of years, and no CO2 sink through rock weathering/ocean uptake because everything was covered by ice.

  41. Your tinfoil hat is showing. by PHAEDRU5 · · Score: 0, Redundant

    Please pass on some other conspiracy theories from your rich internal life.

    --
    668: Neighbour of the Beast
  42. Re:Government funding by grub · · Score: 1

    I know (I work at a research lab :)) I was referring to how the data is collated and the results presented. Political perversion of the results shouldn't exist, the funding should come into research with no fear of what answers it may produce.

    --
    Trolling is a art,
  43. This might be a bit off-topic by photomonkey · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I was on assignment in Washington DC for the spring and summer months of 2004. The last time I had been there prior to 2004 was when I was about 8.

    In what time off work I could find, I went to the Smithsonians (except the portrait museum, as it was closed, and the Native American museum, because it had not yet opened), and was rather disappointed by all but one.

    The Air and Space museum, although home to a lot of really cool planes, was filthy. Dust everywhere, stained floors, etc. Also, from what I do remember about my visit now nearly 20 years later, much of the museum's public collection was the same. In fact, I didn't find much to look at there beyond the planes themselves. There were no interesting placards that I can recall, no interesting multimedia, and seemingly no information newer than about 1991.

    The same goes for the American History museum. It seemed very propaganda-y. Major cultural divides throughout US history were glossed over or ignored completely. I remember specifically reading about how something to the effect of "some native peoples were unhappy about the country's expansion across the Great Plains." Yeah, I bet at least a few were unhappy.

    What saddens me the most is that while I was there, the Natural History museum was the best one. Their displays were modernized, they had exhibits about current issues, the IMAX I went to was great, the facility was clean and the placards with the exhibits, although were somewhat simplified, were appropriate for a somewhat educated audience.

    The Smithsonian Institution really is one of America's treasures. When people visit London, they hit the British Museum. In Paris, it's the Louvre. DC has the Smithsonian(s). Those facilities are home to much of the physical historical record of this country. They see millions of visitors per year.

    Why not put politics aside, at least mostly, and let them be run as well as they deserve to be?

    Sadly, I suspect I already know the answer.

    --
    Message contains 1 attachment: spam.gif
    1. Re:This might be a bit off-topic by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      The Air and Space museum, although home to a lot of really cool planes, was filthy. Dust everywhere, stained floors, etc. Also, from what I do remember about my visit now nearly 20 years later, much of the museum's public collection was the same. In fact, I didn't find much to look at there beyond the planes themselves. There were no interesting placards that I can recall, no interesting multimedia, and seemingly no information newer than about 1991.

      The last time I hit the Air and Space museum, it wasn't very dirty at all (unless you are referring to the McDonalds in the museum). However your pointing out of the lack of up to date information is true.

      But there's a very distinct advantage to that.

      I took my g/f on a date to the Air & Space, and I was able to fire off more information and tidbits about the exhibits than the placards could even begin to tell. During the whole time, she was saying how lucky she is to have such a smart and educated guy.

      That's right. A Slashdotter... wooing a female.

      DO NOT RUIN THIS FOR US. It may be our only hope.

  44. Liberal museum by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Wow, sounds like a bunch of liberals trying to hijack the museum to turn it into a political exhibit, and when people are questioning that, they go nuts and cry to sympathetic media like slashdot. Why is this news for nerds? Its not. Slashdot is news for liberals, stuff that must certainly doesn't matter.

    1. Re:Liberal museum by ciggieposeur · · Score: 1

      Wow, sounds like a bunch of liberals trying to hijack the museum to turn it into a political exhibit, and when people are questioning that, they go nuts and cry to sympathetic media like slashdot....

      Reality has a liberal bias.

    2. Re:Liberal museum by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      Please put the Kool-Aid down slowly...

      I'm a conservative. There is absolutely zero link between a conservative ideology and a disbelief in science/global warming. Additionally, there is zero link between conservative ideology and support of the (very anti-conservative) war in Iraq.

      Republicans create a belief system out of a bunch of utterly unrelated ideas (abortion, global warming, gay-bashing, racism, social security 'reform'), then apply the conservative label to it. Then morons who can't think for themselves but who are Republican say, "Gee, not believing in global warming is conservative, and believing in global warming is liberal!" In fact, there are both liberal and conservative ways of seeing both views.

      The truly conservative viewpoint is that it doesn't matter whether global warming is real or not -- we must act as though it is a reality. Why? Because doing so will:
      1) End our oil dependence (our 'addiction,' as chimp in chief says), and therefore mostly removing our active financial support of terrorism.
      2) Ensure that the U.S. is a leader rather than a follower on environmental initiatives. The world -- including the U.S. -- is getting greener, and there's lots of money to be made on environmentalism. We can make some of that money, or we can give it all to those who choose to capitalize on our science (since tech advances tend to come from the U.S.)

      Republicans have consistently proven over the past 25 years that they are not generally conservative. Democrats have proven that they tend to be centrists, rather than liberal. There is nothing conservative about Neo-cons.

    3. Re:Liberal museum by c6gunner · · Score: 1

      Reality has a liberal bias.
      You're kidding, right?
    4. Re:Liberal museum by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      He's not and one would have to agree if forced to view the MSM's reporting on Global Warming as a steady diet like most americans and they will come to these conclusions-

      we are on a verge of an ecological crisis set to happen tomorrow, definitively without a doubt, no kidding, yes were serious

      the sole responsibility for this or blame as I should say is to be assigned to americans, specifically free market pro business capitalist white right wing chrisitan republicans et al "fat cats" since they have supressed the science with their king GWB spearheading the effort and are all engaged in a massive cover up of the evidence and are working undercover to undermine that totally honest and altruisitic world governing body known as the UN

      if we dont change (read stop the republicans) we are all doomed

            Thats the reality that is portrayed every day and every night in the American and Foriegn MSM and all thats missing is Al Qaeda's view on how the Jews and the Crusaders are destroying the earth and I will venture to say its forthcoming, as soon as they get their asses handed back to them.

    5. Re:Liberal museum by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're an asshole, right?

  45. Al Gore's not perfect by benhocking · · Score: 1

    However, before you cynically credit all of his environmental talk to profit-mongering, perhaps you should see where the benefits of his book and movie go to.

    --
    Ben Hocking
    Need a professional organizer?
    1. Re:Al Gore's not perfect by tomstdenis · · Score: 1

      Um like I give a rats ass. Dude is telling us that fuel is limited, that pollution is bad, and we ought to shape up. No shit. I don't need some mansion owning, SUV driving, capitalist pig to tell me that.

      Where are my damn bus routes? Where are the tax breaks for telecommuting? Where are the tariffs on waste production? etc, etc, etc.

      It's one thing to sit there all pretty with a slide show spelling out the obvious. It's another to get real action engaged. And since I caved and bought a car anyways, I don't really care what humanity does. Yipee apathy.

      If Al Gore [or any other liberal hippie] were really a hero, he'd come to Ottawa, and get bus routes to the major tech centres [like Kanata North]. Fight for the little guy [re: me] like a good guy (tm) is supposed to.

      Tom

      --
      Someday, I'll have a real sig.
    2. Re:Al Gore's not perfect by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Just curious, but how often do you go to city council meetings? write to your representative?

      Do you lobby for the things you whine for on slashdot?

      or do you just wish those pinkio-commie-liberals would make a no-good-hippie-get high nanny state to take care of you?
      (pretty unconservative of you)

      bitching to Slashdot isn't generally the best forum for getting a politician's attention.

    3. Re:Al Gore's not perfect by tomstdenis · · Score: 1

      You're right, I don't spend all my time petitioning the government for solutions to problems.

      However, Al Gore [and peeps like him] claim to be "on the ball." It's their job, apparently, to be a champion of change for the climate. Last I checked, doing talks for profit all around the world [further contributing to pollution I might add] is not really change. It's noise.

      You're right though. And frankly I wish I had the time. I keep myself busy with other things [work, music, etc] that I don't have the nights to just waste away at a city meeting hoping I get a chance to address the floor *and* that my suggestions are taking into consideration.

      But I also don't presume to be a champion for the environment either.

      Tom

      --
      Someday, I'll have a real sig.
    4. Re:Al Gore's not perfect by Red+Flayer · · Score: 1

      Last I checked, doing talks for profit all around the world [further contributing to pollution I might add] is not really change. It's noise.
      You are aware, of course, that for people to *want* to do anything, they need to know that something needs to be done, right?

      That as long as people think that climate change is no big deal (or even not happening) that they'll never do anything -- and that even now, a *huge* number of people in North America dont believe in it?

      Would you prefer if the majority of the information we heard about climate change was from the mouthpieces of carbon-releasing industries?

      I don't have the nights to just waste away at a city meeting hoping I get a chance to address the floor *and* that my suggestions are taking into consideration.
      That's probably the least effective way to make an impact. Try sending an email or a fax, it works much better. Not sure how big your municipality is, but I have found it not hard to get the one-on-one attention of my local officials -- I just need to make sure that I can truthfully say I represent the interests of a significant number of voters. Why waste your time at a city meeting when you can directly influence the people who end up making the decisions? When there is a scheduled public debate on whatever item you're concerned about, then you go to the meeting -- and with a little homework beforehand, you can make sure you'll be heard.

      Or, if you feel that's too hard, why not join one of the organizations that promote mass transit?
      --
      "Trolls they were, but filled with the evil will of their master: a fell race..." -- J.R.R. Tolkien on Olog-hai
  46. Why should that excuse anything? by benhocking · · Score: 3, Insightful
    Just because someone else is doing it (even if they're doing it worse), it doesn't make it OK for us to do. What's most puzzling is this comment:

    It is the justification for the conquests presented in Yasukuni (and I was only able to see the English versions of them, native versions are, likely, even more extremist), that we should be objecting to...
    Why can't we object to both?
    --
    Ben Hocking
    Need a professional organizer?
  47. slight correction by tacokill · · Score: 0

    one of only two to ever be dropped....on real, living, people.

    Plenty of bombs were dropped. Just ask the Bimini Islands. In fact, we (Truman) blew one up specifically to show the Japanese what we were capable of. And they still wouldn't surrender.

    I say this because your post reads as if this bombs were some kind of grand surprise we had in our back pockets. It wasn't a surprise, rather, it was developed as a deterrent. Since the Japanese were unmoved by the demonstration of power, they did not take the threat seriously or chose not to respond. That was a major mistake.

    1. Re:slight correction by OwnedByTwoCats · · Score: 2, Informative

      In fact, we (Truman) blew one up specifically to show the Japanese what we were capable of
      Check your facts. Nuclear explosion #1: trinity test site, New Mexico, top secret. Nuclear explosion #2: Hiroshima. #3: Nagasaki. Then came the test shots. The extent to which they were directed at the Soviet Union and China is debatable.
    2. Re:slight correction by amRadioHed · · Score: 1

      You mean Bikini Island? I don't recall any nuclear testing in the Bahamas. And how could the nuclear testing be done as a demonstration for the Japanese? Where they invited to observe the tests? Certainly without any Japanese being invited to observe they would never know about it. If you have some sources I'd be curious, because I have never heard anything about that before.

      --
      We hope your rules and wisdom choke you / Now we are one in everlasting peace
    3. Re:slight correction by Glothar · · Score: 1

      I'll freely accept some education, but I'll admit I'm confused about what you're saying here. Everything I've ever read or heard has said that 'Little Boy' was the first atomic bomb ever detonated. They were so certain that the mechanism would work, they didn't even have a prototype. "Gadget" was the first atomic explosion triggered (aka: The Trinity Test), but it wasn't really a bomb. 'Fat Man' was the second.

      There was no testing. No demonstrations that I've ever heard of. Isn't Bimini in the Caribbean? Why would Japan be paying attention to that? Everything I've ever heard said that Japan had no idea the bombs existed. The Germans didn't even really know about it. Only the Russians were aware of the existence of the working weapons. That was (I've been told) the major reason why the second bomb was dropped. The destruction was so shocking and unbelievable that the Japanese leaders were only coming to terms with the horror of the things when Nagasaki was bombed.

      I'll admit I'm curious to see if I've been confused all this time, but I'm finding this a little hard to believe.

    4. Re:slight correction by Creepy+Crawler · · Score: 0

      Thats because TacoKill or whatever his name is lying.

      Prior to Hiroshima and Nagasaki, the Trinity test was the first and only nuclear detonation. We would have destroyed more cities if we had more material.

      We gave them a warning: "...We call upon the government of Japan to proclaim now the unconditional surrender of all Japanese armed forces, and to provide proper and adequate assurances of their good faith in such action. The alternative for Japan is prompt and utter destruction."

      They ignored it. We bombed them and they surrendered.

      --
  48. Ice melting predictions by benhocking · · Score: 1

    since the observed rate of ice melting is greater than any models predict
    Should read "since the observed rate of ice melting is greater than any models [that fail to take into account imprecise knowledge of how ice rivers act] predict". They knew they were underestimating when they made these predictions, but since they didn't know how to accurately factor in the ice rivers, they chose to go conservative. I know you already know this, but I thought I'd emphasize it, nonetheless. Even so, I don't think anyone's predicting the whole thing will go in the next 100 years, which is why Al Gore's comments were definitely misleading (by error of omission). (If I'm wrong, please provide some evidence - and I freely admit I could be wrong.)
    --
    Ben Hocking
    Need a professional organizer?
    1. Re:Ice melting predictions by Ambitwistor · · Score: 1

      There still aren't any models which "take into account imprecise knowledge of how ice rivers act", so my statement is accurate. Exploring parametric uncertainty is one thing, but arguably none of the models include an adequate representation of the physics to begin with.

  49. Re:Warming vs CO2 (cause effect)?? by Ambitwistor · · Score: 1

    Somewhat off topic but has it been decided yet which is the cause and which is the effect.

    It's both: there is a mutual feedback. CO2 increases cause temperature increases. But temperature increases can also cause CO2 increases (reducing the ocean's capacity to sink CO2), although this takes place on century-to-millennium timescales. In 500-1000 years we should see more natural CO2 in the atmosphere due to the current warming (which in turn is currently due mostly to manmade CO2).

  50. Just to add to that by benhocking · · Score: 1

    Not only is CO2 not outgassing from the oceans this time around, the oceans are actually acting as a carbon sink (i.e., the opposite of outgassing). Although this helps mitigate somewhat the greenhouse gas phenomenon, it results in the acidification of our oceans, as CO2+H20=CH203, AKA carbonic acid. (This effect is also already factored into climate models.)

    --
    Ben Hocking
    Need a professional organizer?
  51. oh yes by Danzigism · · Score: 1

    we mustn't forget that the public isn't capable of handling the truth.. so "offending" the whitehouse is a MUCH higher priority than saving the planet..

    --
    *plays the Apogee theme song music*
  52. Ya, and when the movie "who killed... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ...the electric car" came out the EV1 was moved into storage and a Hummer H1 was put in place.

  53. I just assumed you cared about accuracy by benhocking · · Score: 1

    My bad. When you were made that comment about him doing it to sell books, etc., I assumed you'd appreciate the information.

    Is he a hypocrite? Yes. That doesn't mean he doesn't have a valid point. Don't get angry at him because you don't have good bus routes. Find out who's fault that is and lobby for change.

    If Al Gore [or any other liberal hippie] were really a hero, he'd come to Ottawa, and get bus routes to the major tech centres [like Kanata North]. Fight for the little guy [re: me] like a good guy (tm) is supposed to.

    If the little guy would fight for himself, a lot more could get accomplished. There are far more "little guys" than big ones. Talk to the mayor of Ottawa, or the city council. Make noise. Don't blame Al Gore (or hippies) for it, however. That's silly. :)

    --
    Ben Hocking
    Need a professional organizer?
    1. Re:I just assumed you cared about accuracy by tomstdenis · · Score: 1

      I agree that the common folk should do more. However, my point is, if he were truly some crusader for the little guy getting the message out and fighting the big bad evil system, he'd actually fight a fight or two for the little guy.

      To me, his movies, speeches and other things are nothing more than bullshit posturing. His message may be true, but it's definitely unimportant.

      Tom

      --
      Someday, I'll have a real sig.
  54. I do take your point by PHAEDRU5 · · Score: 1

    That said, there is a difference between, say, a graph of average temperatures or average high and low tides, and sn out-of-context picture of a slowly-dessicating harp seal pup, with those huuuuuuuuuuuuge soulful eyes, or an equally sn out-of-context picture of a polar bear floating on a tiny ice floe, either of them looking directly at the camerman as if to say "Why have you done this to me?"

    --
    668: Neighbour of the Beast
  55. Re:Well done! by RingDev · · Score: 1

    What the crap are you talking about man? Have you been sniffing the moonites again?

    -Rick

    --
    "Most people in the U.S. wouldn't know they live in a tyrannical state if it walked up and grabbed their junk." - MyFirs
  56. Thanks for the thoughtful answer. by PHAEDRU5 · · Score: 1

    Thing is, it works both ways.

    I'll grant you that the US public is largely scientifically illiterate. All the more reason then to be careful not just about graphs and tables of numbers, but also about out-of-context pictures of polar bears on tiny ice floes.

    It's easy to stampeded an uninformed mob. For myself, I see too much faith and too little science in the current "debate," (I mean, Jeeeezus! do you ever listen to the BBC World Service? Oy!) so I'm inclined to be hightly skeptical.

    On this particulat /. entry, my bullshit meter pegged when the summary claimed pressure on the "Global Warming" exhibit from the Congress and Whitehouse, with no support for that statement in the actual article.

    --
    668: Neighbour of the Beast
    1. Re:Thanks for the thoughtful answer. by Ambitwistor · · Score: 1

      I'll grant you that the US public is largely scientifically illiterate. All the more reason then to be careful not just about graphs and tables of numbers, but also about out-of-context pictures of polar bears on tiny ice floes.

      Fine, but the article wasn't about them taking away the heartstring-tugging pictures, it was about doctoring the scientific presentation.

      It's easy to stampeded an uninformed mob. For myself, I see too much faith and too little science in the current "debate,"

      Well, you're welcome to read the scientific studies themselves, not the media or political spin on them. That's what I do.

      On this particulat /. entry, my bullshit meter pegged when the summary claimed pressure on the "Global Warming" exhibit from the Congress and Whitehouse, with no support for that statement in the actual article.

      The summary claimed no such thing. It said that the Smithsonian preemptively made changes, i.e., when no pressure had been applied. They merely feared that they would receive pressure in the future (which may be valid or not).

  57. I knew we'd hear something like this eventually... by PHAEDRU5 · · Score: 1

    There really ought to be a new version of Godwin's law, as regards the current administration and the nutroots crowd.

    --
    668: Neighbour of the Beast
  58. What's a moonite? by PHAEDRU5 · · Score: 1

    I apologize if I took you wrong. On the internet, it's nard to tell who's a nutroot. I refer you, for an example, to the post some places down from here, from a foaming-at-the-mouth type with less than 1% of my wit and charm.

    --
    668: Neighbour of the Beast
    1. Re:What's a moonite? by RingDev · · Score: 1

      Moonites are the characters from a comedy central channel cartoon that were used as a publicity stunt that caused massive problems in Boston due to some people believing it was some type of terrorist communication/attack.

      They have become a cliche of something humorous and non-threatening that has been blown up (in the hype/FUD meaning) in connection to terrorists, conspiracies, and/or threats of violence.

      At least, that's my understanding of 'em.

      The whole point of my original comment though is to say that the Bush Administration has zero credibility and has coerced and covered up others to follow suit. So having someone say that they involved white house politics in a scientific issue and it was not at the behest of the white house is one of two things: 1) Bowing to pressure from the white house and keeping quiet, or 2) A neo-con. In either case, it is not someone I would want to be responsible for the federally funded dissemination and display of our scientific knowledge.

      I don't know what specifically was removed, or what was altered, but I would be very skeptical about the accuracy and totality of the display's statement after the editing. Let it (the original) be peer reviewed and be done it with.

      -Rick

      --
      "Most people in the U.S. wouldn't know they live in a tyrannical state if it walked up and grabbed their junk." - MyFirs
  59. I'm afraid I don't see it. by PHAEDRU5 · · Score: 1

    The summary said:

    "The changes, including removal of scientist conclusions and muddying of displayed data, were made to ensure that the exhibit would not offend the Congress or the White House."

    The article's example about Hiroshma mentions veterans, while the bit on ANWR mentions...nobody in particular.

    In particular there was no mention of preempting anything.

    --
    668: Neighbour of the Beast
    1. Re:I'm afraid I don't see it. by Ambitwistor · · Score: 1

      The summary said:

      "The changes, including removal of scientist conclusions and muddying of displayed data, were made to ensure that the exhibit would not offend the Congress or the White House."


      Yes, and? It did not say there had been any pressure from Congress or the White House.

      In particular there was no mention of preempting anything.

      The very first sentence: "the Smithsonian pre-emptively toned down the scientific content of a climate change exhibit put into place last year".

    2. Re:I'm afraid I don't see it. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Dude, if you don't see that as downright misleading, if not to you then at least to many others (as evidenced by the many posts here bashing congress and the white house over this very issue) then well, you are quite simply a kool-aid drinking useful idiot moron.

  60. Actually, I think we'll see less natural CO2 by benhocking · · Score: 1

    In 500-1000 years we should see more natural CO2 in the atmosphere due to the current warming (which in turn is currently due mostly to manmade CO2).

    Assuming we haven't fixed the problem by then, I believe you would expect to see less natural CO2 in the atmosphere. Our introduction of CO2 into the atmosphere increases its partial pressure. That in turn overcompensates for the oceans' natural inability to hold CO2 as its temperature increases. For a constant partial pressure, the oceans would hold less CO2. However, in this case (with significantly rising partial pressure) they will hold more, and they will therefore absorb natural CO2 (as well as man-made CO2) rather than emit it.

    --
    Ben Hocking
    Need a professional organizer?
    1. Re:Actually, I think we'll see less natural CO2 by Ambitwistor · · Score: 1

      Hmm, I would like to read more about this, if you have references. I recall reading something by Cox which claimed that the ocean would continue losing its ability to sink CO2 for some time to come, but I can't find the reference so I don't know what "some time to come" was.

  61. Again, the talks are not "for profit" by benhocking · · Score: 1

    I'll agree that it'd be better (and provide a stronger message) if provided a telepresence instead of using his jet. However, he does not profit from these talks.

    --
    Ben Hocking
    Need a professional organizer?
  62. News flash! by Bob-taro · · Score: 1

    "Bureaucrats pander to protect funding!", says disgruntled former employee. Details at 10.

    --
    Prov 9:8 Do not rebuke mockers or they will hate you; rebuke the wise and they will love you.
  63. Occam's Razor by PHAEDRU5 · · Score: 1

    Well, ok. Here's the deal, however: once you start multiplying causes, well, you're on your way to some sort of paranoid hell, aren't you?

    I mean, the article cites pressure on other displays from veterans, and...nobody in particular. Later on, there's mention of not wanting to offend unnamed Congress people. *After* a mention that nobody from the White House attempted to influence the display.

    Given the content of the article the summary was, on its face, misleading.

    And what am I supposed to do? Assume "Skull and Bones", or somesuch every time anyone says the White House claims not to be involved?

    Anyway, thanks for the thoguhtful response, and apologies for the initial flamethrowing response.

    --
    668: Neighbour of the Beast
  64. Really Inconvenient Truth: by suitepotato · · Score: 1

    NOT all scientists agree, MANY of those doing the agreeing are doing it with noticeably fudged data and incredibly non-scientific hyperbole loaded with pre-drawn conclusions and political commentary, and there are BILLIONS of dollars at stake and more to the point MASSIVE political power riding on selling the people the idea that we are creating a massive greenhouse effect.

    Point of fact is that we know very damn well that the Earth has been slingshotting back and forth warm to cold long before we existed and will keep doing it and that this warming IS NOT out of keeping with the long term ice and geological records. To buy that we are doing this is to buy that all the previous warm and cold phases either never happened or what caused them is miraculously taking this one off on the bench while we control the weather.

    Utter horseshit in the name of political power for those at the top of the movement.

    --
    If my grammar and spelling are off, I am [distracted/tired/careless] (take your pick)
    1. Re:Really Inconvenient Truth: by Ambitwistor · · Score: 1

      NOT all scientists agree, MANY of those doing the agreeing are doing it with noticeably fudged data and incredibly non-scientific hyperbole loaded with pre-drawn conclusions and political commentary,

      Wow, that's some pretty strong libel there. Care to back up those accusations with facts?

      Point of fact is that we know very damn well that the Earth has been slingshotting back and forth warm to cold long before we existed and will keep doing it and that this warming IS NOT out of keeping with the long term ice and geological records.

      On the contrary, this warming is out of keeping with the paleoclimate records. Or rather: the current rate of warming is unprecedented, and the forecast future amount of warming may well be comparable to or exceed the hottest temperatures in hundreds of thousands of years. The rate of warming is particularly worrisome, as it makes it difficult for economies and ecosystems to adapt.

      To buy that we are doing this is to buy that all the previous warm and cold phases either never happened or what caused them is miraculously taking this one off on the bench while we control the weather.

      It has been naturally warmer and cooler in the past. This does not alter the evidence that the current warming is not natural.

    2. Re:Really Inconvenient Truth: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "NOT all scientists agree, MANY of those doing the agreeing are doing it with noticeably fudged data and incredibly non-scientific hyperbole loaded with pre-drawn conclusions and political commentary..

      Wow, that's some pretty strong libel there. Care to back up those accusations with facts?"

      Why, yes, indeed.

      How about ALL the data and mathematical models the Global Warmers are using? They are all fudged, with arbitary feedback variables inserted to produce the observed results. If you think that that I am not being serious, just look at any one item - say, the Mann Koyoto 'hockey-stick' graph. Look at McIntyre and McKitric's complete demolition of it.

      In particular, look at the proven cherry-picking of bristle-cone pine data to fudge the 'blade' section, and the skewed centre-averaging technique which suppressed MWP variation in the handle. Just look at the maths. Then read both side's attacks on each other in 'Real Climate' and 'Climate Audit' and work out which you believe.

      This is not libel. This is an attempt at doing real science, frustrated by people like you who think that questioning Global Warming figures should be made illegal. Amazingly, people are really saying this! Mann certainly believes that any questioning of his data should be suppressed rather than answered. For that alone he has forfeited any right to be treated as a scientist. Your comment that the rate of change is unprecedented disintegrates once the fudging is removed. And given the arbitary nature of the feedback variables, the forecast data is meaningless.

      Incidentally, getting back to the Smithsonian, I seem to remember that they were only allowed to exhibit the Wright Brothers 'Flyer' so long as they signed a contract to present it as the first aeroplane, and not to investigate, study or support any other claims for prior craft. So the Smithsonian has a long and dishonourable history of allowing politics and personal advantage to influence dispassionate scientific enquiry.

      I expected no less of them when the White House leaned on them. They have a track record of bowing to political pressure and disadvantaging science when required to.

    3. Re:Really Inconvenient Truth: by Ambitwistor · · Score: 1

      How about ALL the data and mathematical models the Global Warmers are using?

      Please, do tell. Describe how ALL data and models used by an entire field of science are "fudged".

      They are all fudged, with arbitary feedback variables inserted to produce the observed results.

      Feedbacks are not "arbitrary", they are real. And yes, you need feedbacks to reproduce observations, because feedbacks exist in the climate and have a large influence on it. If you could explain the observations without feedbacks, it would mean that your model is wrong, because feedbacks exist: warming increases water vapor, water vapor is a greenhouse gas, producing more warming; warming melts ice, which causes the Earth to adsorb more sunlight, producing more warming; increased CO2 levels foster plant growth, which removes CO2 from the atmosphere. There is a complex web of feedbacks, both positive and negative, and feedback from CO2-induced warming produce at least as much additional warming as the CO2 itself does.

      If you think that that I am not being serious, just look at any one item - say, the Mann Koyoto 'hockey-stick' graph.

      You're not being serious, since the Mann "hockey stick graph" has nothing to do with Kyoto, climate models, or feedbacks.

      Look at McIntyre and McKitric's complete demolition of it.

      Gee, maybe you ought to read the review panel studies of Mann's work, which found that (a) there were flaws in Mann's analysis, and (b) when you fix them, you still get a hockey stick. Not to mention all the other analyses which have also produced hockey sticks. And it's not as if the case for global warming rests on any hockey stick graph to begin with.

    4. Re:Really Inconvenient Truth: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You can argue over the accuracy of the data and of the examination and recalculation of the data but one thing remains obvious...

      YOU CANT FUCKING PREDICT THE WEATHER FOR THE NEXT 1, 2, 3, 5 , 7 DAYS TO A DEGREE OF ACCURACY THAT IS USEFUL SO HOW THE FUCK DO YOU SUGGEST THIS SO CALLED "DATA" CHANGES THAT?

      I have news. it doesn't and once again the GW crowd conveniently ignores this and turns it into a left wing political crusade against bush and evil right wing republican free market capitalists...snooze!

    5. Re:Really Inconvenient Truth: by Ambitwistor · · Score: 1

      YOU CANT FUCKING PREDICT THE WEATHER FOR THE NEXT 1, 2, 3, 5 , 7 DAYS TO A DEGREE OF ACCURACY THAT IS USEFUL SO HOW THE FUCK DO YOU SUGGEST THIS SO CALLED "DATA" CHANGES THAT?

      We're not talking about weather prediction, we're talking about climate prediction, which concerns itself only with global, long term averages, not local weather patterns.

  65. Nice by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Then I feel especially honored that you hate me.

    1. Re:Nice by Profane+MuthaFucka · · Score: 1

      Right. I stand for all of the constitution, and the rights of all people to believe as they choose and to be the best people they can be in a cooperative society where abusing the helpless is not tolerated.

      You must obviously believe in hurting everybody around you. Plus, you're a huge coward. And, your name is Pudge, we all know that. You cunt.

      --
      Fascism trolls keeping me up every night. When I starts a preachin', he HITS ME WITH HIS REICH!
  66. You should check your answers... by benhocking · · Score: 1

    He does not receive any revenue from sales of his DVD. One reason he hypes it is because proceeds go to help the cause.

    --
    Ben Hocking
    Need a professional organizer?
  67. Test people on Global Warming! by TheCeltic · · Score: 1
    --
    =-=-=-=-=-=-=-= - The Celtic - =-=-=-=-=-=-=-=
    1. Re:Test people on Global Warming! by Ambitwistor · · Score: 1

      I see your knowledge of climatology is as poor as your knowledge of evolution.

  68. Republicans. Is anyone surprised? by posterlogo · · Score: 1

    In every case the climate change debate has been muddied by political concerns, it was through Republican interests. Is anyone surprised?

  69. bravo! by thegameiam · · Score: 1

    Very well said indeed.

    --
    Need Geek Rock? Try The Franchise!
  70. Exactly the opposite... by PRMan · · Score: 0, Troll

    Any evidence that doesn't fit the millions of years belief system is routinely "lost" or ignored by the Smithsonian. This way of thinking has permeated the Smithsonian (and the scientific community) since the 1890s, and has ended the careers of hundreds of scientists.

    Science is supposed to be about being free to ask (and test) the questions. Why is everybody so afraid of Creationism and Creation Science and Intelligent Design? If they are truly false, just let people run their experiments. In fact, give them some money so they can get it over with already. What's the harm? It will prove itself untrue and go away by itself, right?

    So, tell me, why is it that everyone is so afraid of Creationism and ID? I would imagine that many of you were taught the Bible at a young age and no longer believe it, right? Is it so terrible to know what other people believe? There would be a lot less violence in the world if people understood where other people are coming from. Maybe the experiments they run will help guide science faster toward the truth. Ignoring evidence (a la the ostrich) never helps anyone in any discipline in life.

    I had a High School teacher that made us read The Communist Manifesto by Karl Marx at the height of the Cold War. His reason? Even if we don't agree with Communism, we will be richer for the experience if we understand it. It will help us understand and predict their moves and will ultimately force the end of Communism, since it was untenable as a governmental system (because it assumes the leaders will be altruistic instead of corrupt).

    He was right. I'm glad I read it (and I still don't believe in Communism).

    --
    Peter predicted that you would "deliberately forget" creation 2000 years ago...
    1. Re:Exactly the opposite... by grub · · Score: 1


      Creationism is not science, it's shit.

      The Discovery Institute was started to find some scientific proof of a god. After years of failure they've started attacking science itself. A lengthy but remarkable read is http://www.infidels.org/library/modern/barbara_for rest/wedge.html">The Wedge At Work. It goes into great detail about how creationist nutbars are trying to highjack science classes and the young minds within.

      Believe whatever nutty crap you want to believe, if it can't be backed with facts then it's not science.

      --
      Trolling is a art,
    2. Re:Exactly the opposite... by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

      Why is everybody so afraid of Creationism and Creation Science and Intelligent Design?

      Because whenever baloney pushes out science in the curriculum, it's a bad thing for education. And please don't use the term "Creation Science". If something cannot be tested, it cannot be science. And I don't mean tested now, I mean tested ever.

      Let me ask you this: If tomorrow there was a report of duplicable experimental findings that the Universe was not created by a divine power, would you stop being a Christian? No, you wouldn't , and that's why all this creationism is not and can never be, science. You don't have to worry, though, because no experiment could ever be designed, even in the imagination, that could prove or disprove the existence of God. And ultimately, that's why it can never be considered science.

      My guess is that even if you could understand that simple concept it wouldn't make a difference because you are so afraid of dying that nothing will dislodge your childish view that God is watching you and your soul will live forever.
      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    3. Re:Exactly the opposite... by nicolastheadept · · Score: 1

      Well, it could be tested...



      ... but that would involve a certain amount of time travel.

      --
      09 F9 11 02 9D 74 E3 5B D8 41 56 C5 63 56 88 C0
    4. Re:Exactly the opposite... by Magic5Ball · · Score: 1

      If you're going to attack the fidels, at least give them a fighting chance. All it would take to disprove all that big bang physics stuff is a single act of a god, i.e., the observable creation of another universe or a life form ex nihilo. It's just that the probability of such things happening is rather low.

      But even if we note the creation of new universes by one or more gods, somehow proving that a god created the universe wouldn't help us understand the one we're in, so creation science wouldn't enhance our understanding of our world, nor help us predict what this god thing will do next.

      Dawkins is fun.

      --
      There are 1.1... kinds of people.
    5. Re:Exactly the opposite... by demon+driver · · Score: 1

      ultimately force the end of Communism, since it was untenable as a governmental system (because it assumes the leaders will be altruistic instead of corrupt). You might have read the "manifesto", but you probably didn't read enough about communism. In real communism there's no more need for "leaders". You're right about the corruption, but no country of those claiming to be socialist/communist really was communist; by their structure of economy and state they were state-capitalist. Which was one of the reasons for their demise, because instead of being content with their ability to self-sustenance they unnecessarily engaged in international competition. But the main reason for the economic demise of the Eastern Bloc was, of course, the arms race, which devastated those countries' wealth and finally could not be held up any longer.
  71. Moral of the story? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "A Noble Spirit Embiggens the Smallest Man" - Jebediah Springfield

  72. The Only Science in Global Warming is.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Political Science!

          With liberal eco-alarmist rhetoric at its core.

    Its funny to wacth some /. posters claim the bias is right winged and emanating from Bush's brain with the energy industry running front line defense when the truth is that any respectable scientist worth their salt must simply reject the so called conclusive evidence of human induced global warming.

          There simply is nothing conclusive about the so called evidence, its more circumstancial i.e.- this current uptick in temperatures (if the data is accurate at all to some meaningful degree)just happens to coincide with our so called modern age, yawn.

          I guess when the earth was covered by ocean or evidence of other prehistoric periods of very warm earth history is just the Inconvenient Truth Al Gore and all of his minions conveniently deny many of them /.'ers.

    Drink Up, the Kool Aid's fresh!

    1. Re:The Only Science in Global Warming is.... by wheelgun · · Score: 1

      Yes, it's obviously leftist political bunkum. What saddens me is the negative effect it's going to have on legitimate science for decades to come. When I was a teenager, the idea that people were stupid enough to fall for things like Global Warming was laughable. We all looked back on discredited ideas like phrenology and laughed. We never thought science would hit such a deeply regressive trend again.

  73. You're an imbecile by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "If they're willing to ignore what every reputable scientist is practically screaming from the rooftops, then they've not only bought into the media hype, but they're dancing like puppets on the strings of the people who don't want the public making decisions based on good science."

    The media overwhelmingly favors the idea that global warming is the apocalypse. I don't know why you posted what you posted, but it's pretty clear you're a moron.

  74. Re:Warming vs CO2 (cause effect)?? by georgep77 · · Score: 1

    Nice Link. What I took from this is that it's just a big feedback loop (started by some external factor - solar/orbital what have you). I've read some good articles on either side and was always wondering why this point wasn't discussed further.

    Cheers,
        _GP_

  75. Government Agency Promotes Government Viewpoint by MSTCrow5429 · · Score: 1

    The Smithsonian Institute is part and parcel of the Federal government. Being both funded and managed by the Fed, it is a government agency. That a government agency will generally support the government line, whether factually correct or not, should surprise no one that's paying attention and that has even the most basic familiarity with hierarchal organizations.

    --
    Slashdot: Playing Favorites Since 1997
  76. Poor wording by benhocking · · Score: 1

    I did not mean to imply that your statement was inaccurate. Mainly, I was just trying to emphasize why the models are conservative, and that it was a "known unknown". :)

    --
    Ben Hocking
    Need a professional organizer?
  77. gotta love revisionism by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    my grandfather was a Marine in the Pacific Theater in WWII and more than likely would have been in the ground invasion of japan had it been necessary.

    The original Smithsonian exhibit was a f**king *apology* to the Japanese for the atomic bomb. It wasn't modified by the veterans' groups about deaths, it was about the politically correct BS whitewashing and "blame America" attitude that has been pervading academia for decades.

    I remember the grass roots campaign in copies of Leatherneck (the Marine magazine) and helping my grandfather transcribe his letter of protest to the Smithsonian.

    But then anti-Americanistas and anti administration folks never let a little revision of the real facts get in the way of promoting the economic warfare and classism that 'anthropogenic global warming" truly is.

  78. Sometimes that is correct. by jd · · Score: 1
    You are perfectly correct that there are times that moderation and respect are important, and that barging in like a raging bull is indeed going to get you treated like a lunatic. I know this for a fact, having experienced that reaction more than once by charging in. Moderation and diplomacy can be painfully slow, though - slow enough to put the organization at far greater risk than a change would, in a few cases I've been involved in. Yes, the consequences on those occasions were personally bad, and many times no change resulted, but every so often there is an astonishing success and I've experienced those as well.

    The successes I've experienced, and similar stories described in history, reveal something interesting. Human understanding isn't a continuum, it is quantized. It has to jump the gaps in one go. It has to receive sufficient impetus to make that state change in a single leap. When my efforts were exactly what was needed, the change produced was impressive.

    The failures reveal something else - direct challenges to thinking might sometimes be what is needed, but that isn't even close to being the most common method required. More moderate, respectful methods produce better results far more often. Even when direct challenges work, they might not be the only method that would have produced the desired result.

    Ultimately, though, the methods that work will not be "quiet" in all respects. In their own way, whatever way that is, they must be just as dramatic and just as powerful. There are no half quantum leaps.

    Finally, I'll briefly cover your point that a museum is not the same as a University with life tenure. A museum holds our collective memories of our past. That is its job. It's often used for public amusement, but its primary role is remembering and its secondary role is to educate the present on those memories. It's certainly not there to make money, although many are run that way, and is most definitely not there as a political mouthpiece for any party or organization. Now, I don't know how you best achieve this. The BBC is far more independent, neutral and outspoken than any US media outlet, despite being Government-funded, because of the charter system. However, that's a different scenario operating in a different country with a radically different culture. I don't know how you'd make museums truly free to be honest, in the US, or what the best method of achieving that would be. All I can tell you is that this needs to be the goal and a method needs to be found.

    --
    It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
  79. Depends on what "losing its ability" means by benhocking · · Score: 1

    At a fixed partial pressure, the oceans are definitely losing their ability to sink CO2. However, as we dump more CO2 into the atmosphere, we increase the partial pressure. I'm basing this entirely off of basic chemistry/physics (i.e., I could easily be wrong) and off the fact that CO2 concentrations in the oceans are, in fact, going up. I think it sort of depends on how you look at it. I don't know how much you know about physics, but sometimes the problem seems to change depending on whether you look at it in momentum space or in position space (for example). Of course, the underlying reality hasn't changed at all, just one's definitions of certain terms. OTOH, it's possible that after a certain point (assuming a certain human output of CO2), the temperature change will be great enough that it overshadows the increased partial pressure. If that human output is constant, then I suspect we would eventually reach a new quasi-equilibrium in terms of both CO2 concentrations in the oceans and atmosphere and average temperature.

    The main point, is that I'm pulling this out of my, er, the air, and so I have no references to give you. Take it with a grain of salt as it could surely be wrong. However, I'd like references myself before I'm willing to abandon my personal intuition. :)

    --
    Ben Hocking
    Need a professional organizer?
    1. Re:Depends on what "losing its ability" means by Ambitwistor · · Score: 1

      I know physics (not so much chemistry), but I also know there are plenty of biogeochemical feedbacks involved, so I'd want to find some actual model predictions. As I said, I seem to recall some results to the contrary ... I will try to do some digging later.

  80. yeah buddy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "As far as I'm concerned, that's how you measure the impact of global warming."

    With anecdotal evidence from a fucking swamp rat? Wow, you're pretty fucking dumb.

    1. Re:yeah buddy by Archangel_Azazel · · Score: 1

      I personally wouldn't care WHO it's from. If someone LIVES somewhere, points to a region (you can go get the topographical maps too.) and says that USED to be above water..wtf does it matter who he is or where he lives? Does the info have to come from some guy in a $6000 suit to be the truth???

      B.T.W. Disregarding information simply because you are prejudiced against the source (hence the source of your comment of him being a 'fucking swamp rat') is unwise.

      My 2 cents,
      A.A

      --
      Your mind is like a parachute. It works best when it's been opened.
    2. Re:yeah buddy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I personally wouldn't care WHO it's from. If someone LIVES somewhere, points to a region (you can go get the topographical maps too.) and says that USED to be above water..wtf does it matter who he is or where he lives? Does the info have to come from some guy in a $6000 suit to be the truth???

      No, but a researcher could tell you the reason, and the 'swamp rat' and the '$6000 suit' probably couldn't. In this case, that reason has very little to do with global warming.

  81. It's not about pissing, Its about voting. by Irvu · · Score: 3, Insightful

    When Bush and Congress stand up for their stump speeches and tout how well they've done they feel that its important that we actually believe that, particularly when they say they've done a good job studying global warming because we don't know enough as Bush is wont to say.

    If, however the general public actually learns that the problem is real and hasn't been attacked aggressively then they'll start shopping around for someone else to protect them.

    While historically speaking the comparison to evolution is apt it might be better to compare it with the level of "terrorist threat" or the war with Eurasia. In the former case the issue is one of protection, are we making our "way of life" safer. With the War on Terror(tm) the claim is that Bush and Cronies are fighting the enemy and succeeding (look how many terrorists we have convicted and put behind bars). With Global Warming the claim is that it isn't a problem so they don't have to act on it. In either case the tendency to lash out at those who say that they are doing a bad job with respect to terror (journalists, PBS, research scientists) or global warming (scientists again, schools and museums) is just a natural reaction. Because if they aren't doing a good job they lose the license to give kickbacks and generally ruin things that they now have.

    At the end of the day it is all about power and money.

  82. You're funny. by PHAEDRU5 · · Score: 1

    I think I got the original line from The Simpsons. Your picture fits more with The Family Guy. But I like it.

    --
    668: Neighbour of the Beast
  83. Don't shoot the messenger by benhocking · · Score: 1

    Perhaps it's not your intention, but you're coming off somewhat condescending. Yes, I'm an American, and I'm proud of it. Yes, I realize that 100 years is not a very long time in the grand scheme of things. However, I'm not aware of any scientific articles that project beyond 100 years (which could very well be due to my own ignorance). Perhaps there are some, but most of the global warming discussion centers around the next 100 years. Don't blame me for choosing that time frame, it's the longest one that I'm aware of in the public discourse.

    it's not all that crap about Americans liking their great big thirsty cars

    For the record, my wife and I only own one car between us, and it's a Honda Civic Hybrid. When I drive it, I regularly get 48 mpg - with passengers. Of course, I usually walk into work, so it's rare that I drive it at all.

    100 years isn't a very long time. Certainly not when considering the issues we have to deal with here. We're talking about either completely restructuring our economy either to run on totally different fuels or to run on much less energy or both, or we're talking about massive relocations of population as arable territory shifts and lands get flooded, and enormous engineering projects as the world suddenly reaches for textbooks in Dutch about how to build really huge earthworks.

    If you had reason to believe that 200 years from now, all land under ten metres from sea level would be in the drink, you'd better start thinking about how to deal with it right now.

    Absolutely. However, my impression from the movie is that he was talking about events that would happen in the next 100 years, so that's why I felt it was inaccurate not to be specific about the actual time frame in question. Is it 200 years? My impression was that it was well beyond that, even.

    That said, I absolutely recognize that our country and our culture are not doing their fair share with respect to combating global warming. Insulting us, however, is unlikely to be an effective way of persuading us to change. Challenge us, engage us, and give us time - we are changing, the signs are all around.

    --
    Ben Hocking
    Need a professional organizer?
  84. Relax by dcam · · Score: 1

    This article isn't saying what you think it is saying. They are saying that poor George and the poor Republicans (hi pudge) can't read all that well. All those scientific words just confuse them. The new exhibit tries to simplify things, preferably in terms of pet goats.

    --
    meh
    1. Re:Relax by IHC+Navistar · · Score: 1

      The exhibit is just as politically biased as you are.

      Don't lump all us Republicans into the same whiskey barrel as Duh-bya. If you are going to claim political bias against something, especially one dealing with accuracy like the article, then don't give a biased argument against it.

      Your comment is no more correct than the article: It's biased AND inaccurate.

      --
      Knowing Google's lust for data collection, the Soviet Union is still alive and well inside the psyche of Sergey Brin....
    2. Re:Relax by dcam · · Score: 1

      I was joking.

      Anyway, Duh-bya is the chief representative of your party. If you don't like him, remove him from that position. You are in that whiskey barrel by choice.

      --
      meh
  85. I call BS, even though this will be modded down. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The Clinton administration started politicizing AGW early on. They defunded and ruined the careers of any scientists that did not follow the company line. You liberals love to state how anyone who comes to a different conclusion than the "consensus" must be getting paid by BIG OIL. How about the ones getting funded by BIG GOVERNMENT which is using the whole thing to consolidate more power over individuals and the economy, and to generate more tax money which they can distribute to make more people dependent on them and keep them in power. Bottom line -- I trust BIG OIL far more than BIG GOVERNMENT, especially the ones currently in power in congress and the ONE WORLD GOVERNMENT UN.

  86. Re:I knew we'd hear something like this eventually by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's called the "Hear no Evil" Law. It even has a mascot: It features an elephant stuffing his fingers in his ears and sticking his tongue out.

  87. Re:I knew we'd hear something like this eventually by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    And before someone points out the obvious: Yes, I know elephants do not have fingers. That's why I said mascot. It's a characture.

  88. Re:Government funding by Speedracer1870 · · Score: 1

    I agree, money shouldn't influence results. Yeah, you're right about that one. This is why I prefer to work with bacteria...they never worry about politics :)

  89. so what by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Maybe they toned down the science partly so people could understand it. Regardless, I can't imagine that "ratcheting up" the science is going to change anyone's mind if they aren't already convinced by the evidence. Most likely they aren't scientific thinkers to begin with. Please don't flame me; I'm not out to troll anyone and I'm convinced that global warming is a reality. =)

  90. Might be flamebait by griblik · · Score: 1

    But seriously, the americans amongst us are fucked.

    I have no problem with people disputing "facts" as they're presented; this is the way the civilised world has learnt to look at the options on the table and see which makes most sense in the cold light of day. For example, you might believe in God; I might disagree. We'll have that argument, and you might convert me, I might enlighten you, but either way we should have that debate without fear the that he who comes out on top will fuck over the person whose position doesn't stand up to scrutiny.

    You're reaching the point where you're too scared of the fight to raise your point of view, and that makes your idea of freedom of speech irrelevant. I'm posting this because you might be right, I could be wrong, and I'm waiting to hear your point of view.

    You're free to say what you think. People are starting to not say it if they think the US government won't like it. I can't begin to express how wrong that is.

    --
    Warning: May contain nuts
  91. Washington certainly did own a musket! by sgt_doom · · Score: 1
    Actually, George Washington did own a musket and it is on view at his historic home at Mt. Vernon.

    Sgt_Doom (Sons of the American Revolution)

  92. Anyone defending Bush's policies can enlist or die by FatSean · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    How yah like that one, jerk-face?

    --
    Blar.
  93. And furthermore by sgt_doom · · Score: 1
    If the Smithsonian would pre-emptively change how it does things just because it thinks thats whats expected of it, then all you need is the idea that you are going to suppress certain ideas, not actively pursue their suppression.

    Hmmmm....might that be one of the reasons that newsies have all but given up on reporting any newsworthy items anymore in America - since a number of them ended up in jail - or fired???

    Of course, the other reason being the complete and total corporate/military contractor ownership of the media - and then there's that situation in Oklahoma and Texas when a bunch of newspapers starting criticizing that NAFTA Superhighway and the Macquarie Group (Australian financial group that will operate the toll roads) bought up around 40 small newspapers to stop their stories.

  94. DO NOT WORK AGAINST NATURE by kentsin · · Score: 1

    if it want to be worm or we are making it hot, then

        think a way to live with it

  95. The Really Inconvenient Truth..... by IHC+Navistar · · Score: 1

    Al Gore and Dianne Feinstein have done to science what Jerry Falwell and Pat Robertson have done to religion:

    BASTARDIZE AND PERVERT IT INTO A POLITICAL IDIOLOGY! ----- (Something both should never be!)

    BOTH want money, BOTH want publicity, BOTH want political power, and BOTH think they know ".....what's best for us."

    --
    Knowing Google's lust for data collection, the Soviet Union is still alive and well inside the psyche of Sergey Brin....
  96. What fucking blows me away by theolein · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Here in Europe, where I live, in Africa, where my mother lives, in Australia, where my sister lives, the climate has obviously been changing over the last one and a half decades.

    When I got to Europe in 1986, there was snow in winter on the local hills near to Zurich here in Switzerland so that kids could go skiing almost all winter, and people said they were used to that. Since then, the winters have gotten progressively warmer until there is often no snow on those local hills anymore long enough for more than one or two days of skiing, the whole winter. The summers have been starting earlier and earlier, so that this last April, the warmest EVER in HUMAN MEMORY, I was in a short sleeves in very warm sunny weather. In 2003, Europe had the hottest summer EVER. Last october, was the second hottest EVER recorded. The mountains in the Alps are losing their glaciers VISIBLY, not just in some geeky scientific measurements. The permafrost holding many of the highest together, is melting, causing massive landslides.

    South Africa, where I come from, has gotten progessively warmer and drier in the same time. The high plateau inland down there, which at no point is below 1000 metres above sea level (about 3300 feet for the metrically challenged), didn't used to get much warmer than around 30 degrees Centigrade (86 Fahrenheit) in summer due to the altitude. In the summers now, the temperatures have regularly started to reach 36 degrees centigrade.

    Australia, where my sister lives, is having one of the worst if not the worst drought the country has ever experienced, so much so, that scientists are beginning to think it might actually be a climate shift, i.e. it might be semi permanent.

    What fucking blows me away, when climate change is pretty obvious to the naked, dumbass eye, without needing to see scientific measurements, is that some people are still fucking disputing this. I'm not talking about Greenland or Antarctica or northern Canada, since I don't live there. I'm talking about stuff that I can see. It blows my mind that so many here dispute it. Is there no such obvious change in America? Or is it that Americans spend so much of their lives in air conditioned houses that they don't notice?

    1. Re:What fucking blows me away by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      I'm talking about stuff that I can see. It blows my mind that so many here dispute it. Is there no such obvious change in America?

      Yes, the US has been warming, but the rate of temperature increase in the 48 continguous states of the US has been significantly slower than for Europe. In Alaska it's the reverse situation. And of course in Hawaii the climate continues to be perfect >99% of the time.

      This really does make it harder for people in the US to consider global warming a serious issue. I think the same would be true in Europe (or South Africa) were the positions exchanged.

      Temperatures, 1895-2006.

      Precipitation (for good measure)

  97. What anti-greenie is going to argue with that? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    How about the ones who refuse to see energy waste and the upgrade treadmill mentality as bad things because aggregate economic activity is their only measure of prosperity? All of the suggestions after your first two roughly fit the "the tree-huggers want us to go back to living in caves" meme.

    1. Re:What anti-greenie is going to argue with that? by phantomlord · · Score: 1

      How about the ones who refuse to see energy waste and the upgrade treadmill mentality as bad things because aggregate economic activity is their only measure of prosperity? All of the suggestions after your first two roughly fit the "the tree-huggers want us to go back to living in caves" meme.
      Here's the thing... I'm pretty skeptical about anthropogenic global warming. I personally don't really care whether I put 15 tons or 20 tons of CO2 into the air. What I do care about is saving money where I can because I'm on a limited income. Almost all of my lights are CFL, I drive a 9 year old vehicle which is maintained very well and has cost me about $2200 in parts in all of that time (bought it new), my home is well insulated and I heat it with wood (for an average cost of $300 a YEAR in the Rochester, NY area), I do use the clothes line to save money when I can, etc. Really, I'm acting about as green as someone reasonably can who takes care of a disabled father in a rural area (bonus, I have a nice untreated lawn and a couple dozen trees in my yard) and I don't do it for environmental reasons at all, I do it for economical reasons (which is why I framed the common sense things people can do in economical terms). I know with absolute certainty the effect every decision I make has on my wallet. If you want to try to force me to go greener with extreme measures like doubling the cost of my energy, the reaction isn't going to be "happy joy for the environment," it is going to be "fuck the greeny bastards, I'll (proverbially) rot in hell before I ever support them."
      --
      Don't leave your mind so open that your brain falls out. Don't close it so much that you cut off the blood.
  98. DO NOT WORK AGAINST NATURE by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If your house wants to be on fire, or I set it on fire, then:

    think of a way to live with it.

    Putting out fires is just unnatural.