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Drop in P2P Traffic Attributed To Traffic Shaping

An anonymous reader writes "A new report based on data from 100 US and European ISPs claims P2P traffic has dropped to around 20% of all Internet traffic. This is down from the 40% two years ago (also reported by the same company which sells subscriber traffic management equipment to ISPs). The report goes on to say the drop is likely due to continued, widespread ISP P2P shaping: 'In fact, the P2P daily trend is pretty much completely inverted from daily traffic. In other words, P2P reaches its low at 4pm when web and overall Internet traffic approaches its peak ... trend is highly suggestive of either persistent congestion or, more likely, evidence of widespread provider manipulation of P2P traffic rates.'"

251 comments

  1. Another possible cause by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

    There may be a "market saturation" effect. I know people who were downloading gigabytes a month (maybe a week) of songs and videos, but in the past year or two they have tapered off. They've gotten most of the stuff they've wanted, and now are just listening to and watching it.

    1. Re:Another possible cause by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, but that doesn't take into account the rise in quality. A lot of stuff is 720p and 1080p now.

    2. Re:Another possible cause by negRo_slim · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I know people who were downloading gigabytes a month (maybe a week) of songs and videos, but in the past year or two they have tapered off. They've gotten most of the stuff they've wanted, and now are just listening to and watching it.

      From first hand experience I can agree with that to a degree, however I believe it's a multitude of factors playing out here.Traffic Shaping as well as more aggressive bandwidth caps and the increased availability of residential low priced, low allowance pay per GB plans and perhaps to a lesser to degree more people getting more things done with mobile data plans (iphone, non wifi laptop access). That being said, I've found the speed of my torrents at any time of the day much greater than say a year ago.

      --
      On the Oregon Cost born and raised, On the beach is where I spent most of my days
    3. Re:Another possible cause by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      For most normal users, it's all about convenience.

      I would say that it's probably more due to people shifting towards audio/video streaming sites (such as youtube) when they want to hear the odd music, instead of having to resort to looking for and downloading the whole album via P2P.

      Of course, given this new increased consumption of bandwidth by HTTP video streaming, VoIP, online games (which probably induce congestion during the day)... ISPs prefer to aggressively throttle all P2P traffic, which could also help explain this fact (besides the obvious fact that people seem to be using bandwidth these days for things other than P2P simply due to an increase in the availability of content by other means).

    4. Re:Another possible cause by AmiMoJo · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The reason is obvious - there are now easier ways to get free music. Just go to last.fm or Spotify.

      Finally we are seeing sites that "get it" and can successfully compete with free.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    5. Re:Another possible cause by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Interestingly enough, I discovered a few days ago that my ISP offers access to its own "free unlimited downloads music website" to all their broadband subscribers (without any additional charges), which again suggests that P2P networks are seen as dangerous not because they distribute content for free, but because they are free to distribute without corporate control.

    6. Re:Another possible cause by alx5000 · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Or maybe, like I've done, people are switching back to direct downloading.

      Why waste your time installing and setting up an application (incl. firewall settings), when you can pay 55 euro por a year of rapidshare and download anything from anywhere?

      eMule used to be really popular in Spain, with elinks flooding forums all around. Now it's all rapidshare, megaupload, easyshare...

      --
      My 0.02 cents
    7. Re:Another possible cause by Barny · · Score: 4, Interesting

      You forget to factor in that the vast majority of the "good stuff" is old, so people have now gotten all the "good stuff" and now just trickle download the more rare "new good stuff".

      I think what they should do is dump all the good movies and shit on one server, get it properly sorted, then once people have their huge fucking collection up to date we just RSYNC from there and get the latest, could even mirror it locally on ISPs to save on international bandwidth.

      --
      ...
      /me sighs
    8. Re:Another possible cause by erroneus · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Indeed. Many popular TV series are between seasons right now. This ridiculously long lapse between seasons is utterly destroying me! I have to think and use my mind now and sometimes it hurts!

    9. Re:Another possible cause by Barny · · Score: 4, Funny

      Ahh, I have the answer.

      Head over to thepiratebay.org, grab all of season 1 of Full House.

      This serves 2 purposes.

      1, takes up the all important empty space in both your download queue and in your HDD

      2, gives you something to delete when it comes time to "slim down my collection to save space" and you won't miss it

      Just for the love of satan, don't watch the damn thing :)

      --
      ...
      /me sighs
    10. Re:Another possible cause by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      FM Radio - Try-before-buy for music.
      TV - Well, for me it doesn't work as well as if I've watched it, I am less likely to want to watch it again. But same idea as radio.
      Then I would buy/borrow the CD / DVD etc.


      On the Internet:
      YouTube replaces Radio + TV (to a certain extent, of course).
      P2P and other file sharing sources replaces the CD/DVD :|

    11. Re:Another possible cause by blackraven14250 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Because uTorrent is a no install, 30 seconds to port forward one port program that's completely free? If you have trouble setting up uTorrent, you don't belong here.

    12. Re:Another possible cause by alx5000 · · Score: 2, Informative

      A lot of P2P users out there aren't aware that they're sharing their whole drive, and you want them to know about port forwarding? What about those situations in which you're not in charge of the network?

      The only thing I pointed out is that, from my own experience, I've seen many P2P sites and forums which have left torrents and elinks behind, in favor of file hosting services like Rapidshare.

      Believe it or not, the majority of file sharers don't belong to that elite you seem to be speaking for, and that mambo-jambo about ports and forwards and peers sounds a lot more confusing that "click this link and type those characters into that box" to them. If that's easier for them, they'll just leave, and the drop in P2P traffic due to this will be significantly higher than what you and your computer-savvy friends could provoke if you all stopped torrenting.

      Beside, when I use Rapidshare, I get upwards of 950 kB/s for a single file from the beginning (most of the time; when I don't, I just ask again for the file and that'll change the mirror) on a 320/1000 kbps DSL link. Call me back when you get that on uTorrent, from a single TCP connection that won't saturate a multi-user router like 200+ would.

      --
      My 0.02 cents
    13. Re:Another possible cause by germ!nation · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Could there be anything more middle class than paying to use a service to download things you refuse to pay for?

    14. Re:Another possible cause by MightyYar · · Score: 1

      If you have trouble setting up uTorrent, you don't belong here.

      Most internet users aren't here. Most internet users probably find a direct download to be easier.

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
    15. Re:Another possible cause by alx5000 · · Score: 1

      Seems to be working for these companies I'm talking about, and for some more, like Spotify. Either pay a monthly fee or enjoy the ads, but anyway get access to a huge catalog of content you wouldn't otherwise be purchasing.

      Just like ISPs moved from charging by the minute or the kB to flat-rate, monthly billing.

      --
      My 0.02 cents
    16. Re:Another possible cause by Runaway1956 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      "A lot of P2P users out there aren't aware that they're sharing their whole drive"

      Sorry, that's not a P2P program. That's a trojan. Doesn't matter if the trojan is named eMule, Bearshare, and that the firewall/AV/malware filter accepts it - it's still a trojan.

      We've read about Skype's hidden "features" of recording and forwarding conversations. When configured to do so, that's a trojan.

      By definition, anything that forwards information without the user's informed consent is a trojan.

      --
      "Windows is like the faint smell of piss in a subway: it's there, and there's nothing you can do about it." - Charlie Br
    17. Re:Another possible cause by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why waste your time installing and setting up an application (incl. firewall settings), when you can pay 55 euro por a year of rapidshare and download anything from anywhere?

      because rapidshare will eventually sell you out to the MAFIAA?

    18. Re:Another possible cause by hairyfeet · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Not to mention on the gaming front the modding communities have gotten so good you can make games last for a looooooong time. Hell I am still finding new worlds and ships to play in Freelancer, and that was released....what? 2003? I've found even the games I pick up in the bargain bin have good mods out for them nowadays, and I'm betting there are many like me that are just picking up mods for the games they already have, or in my case actually bought, than bothering getting more games via P2P.

      The system reqs for the latest and greatest are frankly getting ridiculous, and in this dead economy folks aren't spending the big bucks building top o' the line gamer rigs anymore. It is simply easier to go to the modding community and get new missions, levels, weapons, etc for the stuff I already have and know works than to deal with the crappy alpha quality code that passes for game releases nowadays.

      Of course that means that sales will go down, as folks aren't actually buying OR stealing much with the bandwidth caps and the crazy system reqs, but not to worry, I'm sure they'll blame the failure of their next shitty WW2 themed shooter or game which is a "multiplatform" bad port of an X360 game on P2P piracy anyway. It is such a convenient scapegoat that way. Meanwhile I'm downloading another mod for Delta Force Xtreme which I picked up in the bargain bin for $10, which actually turned out to be a fun game once I added a few mods which added better AI and weapon balance. Pretty sad that the modders seem to be better at game balance and design than a lot of game developers out there.

      --
      ACs don't waste your time replying, your posts are never seen by me.
    19. Re:Another possible cause by Hurricane78 · · Score: 1

      And... another step backwards... *great* :/

      First they come up with Torrent, which is a step backward from even eDonkey, which itself got superseded by decentral networks and anonymous networks.
      Now they download from websites again?

      NO! It's just the retards out there who never heard of real file sharing, and therefore can't imagine its advantages.

      But they will soon learn... when rapidfail, megacrapload and easyfail are going to be targeted by the media industry at the exact weak spot that we solved long ago: They are centralized.

      --
      Any sufficiently advanced intelligence is indistinguishable from stupidity.
    20. Re:Another possible cause by TheRaven64 · · Score: 1

      And movies / tv shows. I watch a reasonable amount on iPlayer, and the company I rent DVDs from has also just launched a streaming service (not free, but included in the same monthly subscription I was paying anyway). All of this runs over HTTP. As a result, the amount of HTTP bandwidth I've used has grown hugely; a single TV show over iPlayer uses the same as a lot of casual browsing, especially if you browse with Flash disabled.

      CD and DVD image torrents have probably gone down a fair amount too as bandwidth prices have dropped. I remember getting about 1.5KB/s trying to get a RedHat release on the first day of release on a university Internet connection. Now it's hard to find a mirror for anything I want to download that can't saturate my home link. Given that downloading via HTTP from a mirror is a single click and doesn't tie up my (much more limited) upstream bandwidth, so there's no incentive to prefer BitTorrent unless you're trying to make the point that P2P has legitimate uses.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    21. Re:Another possible cause by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why waste your time installing and setting up an application (incl. firewall settings), when you can pay 55 euro por a year of rapidshare and download anything from anywhere?

      You are asking why do something with technology, just for the sake of technology, when you can choose to not understand said technology and just pay someone else to do everything for you?

      I think you might have stumbled onto the wrong website :P
      This is news for nerds here, not news for the mainstream.

    22. Re:Another possible cause by gbarules2999 · · Score: 1

      "But I don't have anything else to watch!"

      *worried face off into the distance as the music swells, aaaaannd, commercial.*

    23. Re:Another possible cause by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ha! if you're still using torrents YOU don't belong here. Do you still use Kazaa too? :)

    24. Re:Another possible cause by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I doubt DD can saturate my 50mbit pipe.
      (just upgraded!)

      torrents on the other hand, saturate that pipe without breaking a sweat as long as its a relatively new torrent and from my main tracker.

      Chris

    25. Re:Another possible cause by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      lol

    26. Re:Another possible cause by TooMuchToDo · · Score: 1

      Doesn't uTorrent support uPnP so even the port forwarding is handled automatically? I don't know as I'm a Vuze person myself.

    27. Re:Another possible cause by PitaBred · · Score: 1

      But... Bob Saget is God. I suppose you would have to love Satan to not watch his show... ;)

    28. Re:Another possible cause by MBGMorden · · Score: 1

      Technically though the port forwarding part isn't required - it just helps out p2p performance some.

      For the crowd who doesn't want to bother with that, they just download utorrent and use .torrent links just like they were downloading the file.

      --
      "People who think they know everything are very annoying to those of us who do."-Mark Twain
    29. Re:Another possible cause by AceofSpades19 · · Score: 1

      Except for that fact that I can't use most of these sites because I'm a few miles north of the border, so I have to resort to torrenting because these sites are so retarded. IMO, they don't "get it" until you can stream where ever you are

    30. Re:Another possible cause by Omestes · · Score: 1

      To install uTorrent... click the damn .exe.

      To download a torrent, click a single link on a website. On Vista it opens a dialog asking if you want to let it through your firewall, click yes (people are good at that, I hear).

      Done.

      While this might not be as convenient as Rapidshare for smaller files (100Mb), it is much better for larger files which are generally chopped up by Rapidshare uploaders. Downloading a 5 part, 700Mb movie via DD services is a pain in the ass, and takes about as long as getting it via torrent (especially if its well seeded).

      Another problem with Rapidshare like services is you can never tell if the link is still alive, while with torrents you generally know what your getting before you even click the link.

      --
      A patriot must always be ready to defend his country against his government. -edward abbey
    31. Re:Another possible cause by clone53421 · · Score: 1

      SkipScreen works pretty well for RapidShare. I can leave 7 or 8 RS links opened in tabs overnight and in the morning they've all downloaded successfully.

      --
      Alexander Peter Kristopeit bought his basement from his mommy for one dollar.
    32. Re:Another possible cause by BikeHelmet · · Score: 1

      Oh, don't do that. Just go back to watching old shows that ended.

      Stuff like... Jeremiah, The Pretender, or Babylon 5 might keep you amused for a few months. (three quite different kinds of shows)

    33. Re:Another possible cause by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you have trouble setting up uTorrent, you don't belong here.

      I keep trying to run the Install.exe but every time I double click it in Finder, nothing happens. I guess I don't belong here.

    34. Re:Another possible cause by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Don't diss Full House. It keeps predatory pedophiles off the streets for at least 30 minutes a day.

    35. Re:Another possible cause by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      There's more to it than just that.

      I used to use P2P software and I completely stopped. Movies? Most of them not even worth the bandwidth. I also don't have that pressing urge anymore to be the first to see a movie. I can live with being the one who doesn't know it a year from release when it's out on DVD already and I can grab it cheaply, should (big SHOULD) it turn out to be worth a few bucks. I simply don't have the time anymore to go to the movies and find out time and again that I've just been robbed 2+ hours of my life.

      Music? Music is a spur of the moment thing for me. 99% of what I want to hear, I want to hear now, listen to it, then dump it. YouTube and last.fm are perfect for this kind of appetite. If (again, big IF) there should be music that I'd want to take along with me (and I want better audio than a YouTube rip can provide, with most of the music that's currently spewed it doesn't really matter), I buy it somewhere.

      Software? I rarely buy games anymore. When I do, it's usually a Steam grab-pack for 5 bucks that entertains me for a few hours or days. Because most games don't entertain me much longer at full price (or P2Ped) either.

      And for everything else, there's news servers. ;)

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    36. Re:Another possible cause by jesset77 · · Score: 1

      I doubt DD can saturate my 50mbit pipe.

      mod parent up. DD only works optimally when clients have magnitudes slower connections than the server!

      Yeah, I know the initial point of this conversation was "what are the average users doing".. but we've now taken on the dual purpose of "what is the most efficient thing for my non-average self to do?" *shrug*

      Besides which, the "star" network topology represented by direct download is harmful to the internet community. Users are thus encouraged to be "consumers" instead of "participants", with so many negative ideological consequences that I would be belittling the problem if I simply tried to name any subset of them.

      --
      People willing to trade their freedom of expression for temporary entertainment deserve neither and will lose both.
    37. Re:Another possible cause by jesset77 · · Score: 1

      Seems to be working for these companies I'm talking about, and for some more, like Spotify. Either pay a monthly fee or enjoy the ads, but anyway get access to a huge catalog of content you wouldn't otherwise be purchasing.

      Perhaps Spotify, doesn't compute for other services like RapidShare though. You don't get any real ability to use RS until you pay their premium rates for it. Then once you do, any corporation who wishes to harass you for uploading or downloading said data gets your payment details from RS.. a little bit more targeted than the IP from your neighbor's wifi.

      Of course, I say "any corporation who wishes to harass" as opposed to "the victimized owners of a copyright", since we all know that the latter is nothing but a poor, marginal excuse for the primary motivation mentioned in the former.

      --
      People willing to trade their freedom of expression for temporary entertainment deserve neither and will lose both.
    38. Re:Another possible cause by jesset77 · · Score: 1

      You are asking why do something with technology, just for the sake of technology, when you can choose to not understand said technology and just pay someone else to do everything for you?

      To be fair, you've generalized GP's comment into a form that is no longer foolish. The major value of currency is to purchase that which you do not want to render manually.

      Hey, we may be nerds but all of us specialize in something and want nothing to do with specialized responsibilities outside of our chosen bailiwicks. :)

      --
      People willing to trade their freedom of expression for temporary entertainment deserve neither and will lose both.
  2. ISP awareness by GarretSidzaka · · Score: 3, Insightful

    there has to be more to this. obviously the ISP's are very aware of P2P networks. They market this in commercials that say "download music at increased rates!" which are in context about purchasing mp3's but belie the fact that they provide infrastructure to P2P networks, and anti-IP scenes.

    And im not saying that this is a bad thing...

    1. Re:ISP awareness by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Traffic shaping reflects the classic tension between the need to provide a product people want and the imperative to cut costs. ISPs obviously want to be able to offer faster lines than their competitors, but the fact that people who buy those lines do so to _use_ them means that this ends up costing the ISP money.
       
      However, the P2P debate allows ISPs an out of sorts: since the *IAAs have invested so much into the normative debate over software piracy and are currently winning that debate (outside of the /. echo chamber, of course), it offers ISPs a way out from under the costs of what they have agreed to provide. They can simply use the red herring of "piracy == bad" to distract from the fact that they are not providing what they have sold.
       
      Of course, they will soon find that the dividend from this behavior evaporates as all of the competition catches on and does the same thing, then they will be stuck with maintaining a traffic shaping infrastructure long after pirates have subverted it.

    2. Re:ISP awareness by Animaether · · Score: 3, Informative

      tangentially related to your post...

      A major ISP in NL, Ziggo, has changed their commercials from "download movies" to "download movie trailers". I guess they felt pressure somewhere. Which is a bit silly as there -are- movie 'rental' places online where it would definitely be legal to download movies - even if downloading movies wasn't already legal under current law anyway. (distributing is another matter)

    3. Re:ISP awareness by commodore64_love · · Score: 4, Interesting

      You're right. There IS more to this. What has happened over the last two years? People have spent more time downloading videos off hulu.com or youtube.com or other video-sharing sites,

      As a result overall traffic has gone up, while peer-to-peer has remained relatively steady. Therefore P2P has dropped relative to all the other traffic on the web, even though people are still downloading the same amount as always.

      --
      "I disapprove of what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it." - historian Evelyn Beatrice Hall
    4. Re:ISP awareness by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They probably felt the pressure from their own legal people. Getting sued over nonsense is still time consuming and expensive.

    5. Re:ISP awareness by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They market this in commercials that say "download music at increased rates!"

      Do they? Since when are ISP honest and tell the truth? Admitting that they sell music at a higher price? No way!

    6. Re:ISP awareness by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Who would download from Youtube? They can't even encode the HD content right. Not to mention that most Youtube content was probably filmed with a phone and recompressed with Windows Moviemaker before uploading.

    7. Re:ISP awareness by jesset77 · · Score: 1

      They probably felt the pressure from their own legal people. Getting sued over nonsense is still time consuming and expensive.

      Time consuming and expensive enough to be the only real power that Copyright Law really has: fear of enforcement and fear of the messiness of ever even being accused.

      This of course subverts the concept of "innocent until proven guilty", given that the detrimental effect of legal activity against families or small businesses are every bit as financially disastrous as losing a case would be.

      --
      People willing to trade their freedom of expression for temporary entertainment deserve neither and will lose both.
  3. in other news... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

    ... usenet usage has grown to 25% of all internet traffic. people move on (or in this case back) to safer technologies. the xIAA are targeting P2P users, so people move away from P2P.

    what's traffic shaping got to do with it?

    1. Re:in other news... by sgbett · · Score: 4, Funny

      shh you!

      --
      Invaders must die
    2. Re:in other news... by wild_quinine · · Score: 2, Interesting

      the xIAA are targeting P2P users, so people move away from P2P. what's traffic shaping got to do with it?

      All the non-techie people I know continue to use P2P like it was the year 2000. It's only the people who know their oats that use any other services or protocols, and most of those guys switched when Metallica went apeshit at the start of the century.

      Nothing changed over the xIAA lawsuits, as far as I can tell.

    3. Re:in other news... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Can anybody reccomend a good feed? I don't mind paying for quality.

    4. Re:in other news... by Swizec · · Score: 1

      the xIAA are targeting P2P users, so people move away from P2P. what's traffic shaping got to do with it?

      All the non-techie people I know continue to use P2P like it was the year 2000. It's only the people who know their oats that use any other services or protocols, and most of those guys switched when Metallica went apeshit at the start of the century.

      Nothing changed over the xIAA lawsuits, as far as I can tell.

      Or, which is likelier, most peopel just switched to encrypted p2p, which means that even if they know it looks like p2p traffic, they can't sue you over it because it's illegal to prove there was something illegal inside the encrypted traffic.

      Problem solved.

    5. Re:in other news... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      While I doubt that Usenet is what most people use, Usenet that caries binary groups is after all a payed service, the number of free download sites and streaming sites has increased a lot. Why bother with P2P when you can directly stream or download the newest movies with a single click? On top of that this frees you from a lot of possible legal trouble, as you are no longer on uploader.

    6. Re:in other news... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What's sharing?

      Sharing my big list of NZB sites? No, go away, it's not happening, find your own.

      Sharing my upload bandwidth? No, I uploaded gigabytes of the stuff in the nineties at 512kbps, it's now your turn to upload something... once. Do a flood and be done with it. Fill someone's request. Make some extra PARs.

      In fact, stay with your Torrents. It keeps me below the radar.

    7. Re:in other news... by Zackbass · · Score: 3, Informative

      SSH you!

      --
      You gotta find first gear in your giant robot car
    8. Re:in other news... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      To my knowledge most people laughed at Metallica when they went apeshit, as they rose to fame out of tape swap which pretty much what music sharing was before the people had bandwidth.

    9. Re:in other news... by Hurricane78 · · Score: 1

      There's one problem with your "argument": How in the world is Usenet (or any central [web-]site) safer, or in any way better?

      Nope. They are not "moving on". It's the new people. The "September that never ended" kind of folks, who never heard of the reasons for real P2P software.

      But they will go down the drain, as soon as the media industry will notice them. Because they got no decentralization or anything to protect them. One phone call, and they're done.

      And then they will come begging on our doors again, to install the real thing for them.

      I will happily continue to find my rare files on the eDonkey network and the big, popular ones via Torrent.

      --
      Any sufficiently advanced intelligence is indistinguishable from stupidity.
    10. Re:in other news... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I tried to use a net but all the bits kept slipping through.

      I'll grab my coat...

    11. Re:in other news... by zero0ne · · Score: 1

      Bingo, any private tracker worth their salt will require you to force encryption.

      Along with turning off Peer exchange and DHT.

    12. Re:in other news... by Archangel+Michael · · Score: 1

      That sounds like the end of an "In Soviet Russia" Joke

      --
      Agent K: A *person* is smart. People are dumb, stupid, panicky animals, and you know it.
    13. Re:in other news... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ssh: you!: Name or service not known

    14. Re:in other news... by jesset77 · · Score: 1

      Or, which is likelier, most peopel just switched to encrypted p2p, which means that even if they know it looks like p2p traffic, they can't sue you over it because it's illegal to prove there was something illegal inside the encrypted traffic.

      Mod parent up! TFA does a terrible job profiling P2P traffic. They even admit having to infer the traffic volume using some rickety approach or another. How can they claim to extrapolate meaningful statistics about events that purposefully evade detection by using unproven, undocumented measuring techniques? 8I

      --
      People willing to trade their freedom of expression for temporary entertainment deserve neither and will lose both.
  4. I doubt shaping.... by warp_kez · · Score: 1, Redundant

    More likely that mummy and daddy are home, and forcing little Timmy/Tammy to do their homework.

    1. Re:I doubt shaping.... by CarpetShark · · Score: 1

      More likely that mummy and daddy are home, and forcing little Timmy/Tammy to do their homework.

      That explanation I doubt, somehow.

  5. In other news by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    spam increased from 20% to 40%.

  6. Scheduling by Spad · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Much more likely people are rescheduling their P2P downloads to run outside of peak hours. I know my ISP (Virgin Media) throttles connection speeds during peak hours, so I schedule anything I want to download to run outside of those times.

    1. Re:Scheduling by JDeane · · Score: 1

      true also its a pain to surf while some torrent is sucking up all your bandwidth.... reminds me of being back on dial up. Of course some of the better P2P aps self throttle while you surf.

    2. Re:Scheduling by supernova_hq · · Score: 2, Informative

      BINGO!
      When p2p started out, few people understood the benefits of self-throttling during the day. If I let my torrents run during the day, everyone in my house can feel it so I have it throttled down. Then from midnight to 7:00am, it unthrottles and blasts away at full speed.

    3. Re:Scheduling by cherishyou · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      the website looks a lot in disorder ,need improvement http://www.igolfyoo.com/

    4. Re:Scheduling by Gouyoku · · Score: 0

      I find that cFosSpeed helps a lot with this problem.

    5. Re:Scheduling by commodore64_love · · Score: 1

      >>>pain to surf while some torrent is sucking up all your bandwidth.... reminds me of being back on dial up

      All you have to do is dial-down your Torrent software's speed to 60 kilobyte/second. That's what I do which allows me 25 KB/s for browsing.... or about five times faster than dialup.

      --
      "I disapprove of what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it." - historian Evelyn Beatrice Hall
    6. Re:Scheduling by TheKidWho · · Score: 2, Interesting

      60kb/s?? Jeez, I could dial it to 1MB/s and still have bandwidth to spare O_O

    7. Re:Scheduling by commodore64_love · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I'm sure you can but my internet still downloads movies/TV shows faster than I can keep up (in other words my HDD is full), and it only costs $14.99 a month. How much is yours?

      And while we're discussing budgeting here's some other ways I save money:
      - cable TV - $0.00.* I use an antenna instead and get ~35 channels
      - cellphone - $0 a month at 18 cents/minute
      - credit cards - most give1% off; one of them gives 5% for gasoline & food purchases

      *
      * another alternative I've considered is Dish which is only $20/month

      --
      "I disapprove of what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it." - historian Evelyn Beatrice Hall
    8. Re:Scheduling by Runaway1956 · · Score: 1

      15 Euros for cFoss? I'll stick to http://lartc.org/wondershaper/

      Linux gateways make sense because the firewall, the AV, the traffic shaper, everything runs at no monetary cost.

      As someone above pointed out - it's ironic to pay for services and software that enable you to download stuff you aren't willing to pay for......

      --
      "Windows is like the faint smell of piss in a subway: it's there, and there's nothing you can do about it." - Charlie Br
    9. Re:Scheduling by Hurricane78 · · Score: 1

      Schedule? You switch you server OFF?

      What? You don't even have a separate computer for it??

      Please turn in your geek card! Thanks! ;)

      --
      Any sufficiently advanced intelligence is indistinguishable from stupidity.
    10. Re:Scheduling by Runaway1956 · · Score: 1

      WTF do golf and geeks have in common? Thinking here...

      Alright, maybe I've got it. Golfers have this inadequacy thing, which they try to compensate for by hammering their balls as far across a field as possible.

      Geeks don't worry about their inadequacies to much - they just reach in their pockets and fondle their balls.

      Balls. Cherishyou is a golfing geek? hmmmmmmmm Female? Hmmmmmmm Maybe she should hang with a different crowd. Bikers come to mind.

      --
      "Windows is like the faint smell of piss in a subway: it's there, and there's nothing you can do about it." - Charlie Br
    11. Re:Scheduling by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Damn, you're cheap as hell. Watch me as I throw a 10 dollar bill on the ground then trample on it.

    12. Re:Scheduling by Gouyoku · · Score: 0

      Interesting, but would you know about a FOSS solution for Windows? That would be really great.
      Setting up a GNU/Linux gateway for only one computer that is powered off when I'm not using it seems like an overkill.
      If I had a set-up like that I could leave torrents to work at night and and had no need for traffic shaping.
      I wonder after what time such gateway would consume energy worth those 15 euros I've spent on cFos...

      As for the irony - it only works if we label torrent traffic as illegal-only and assume those that download things "for free" will pay for their copy of cFos.

    13. Re:Scheduling by Keynan · · Score: 1

      I'm using Vuze and have been unable to find a way of setting different throttling settings for different times of the day. Is there a good tutorial/plugin for that?

    14. Re:Scheduling by angelbunny · · Score: 1

      Yes there is a good plugin for that.

    15. Re:Scheduling by angelbunny · · Score: 1

      What does rescheduling have to do with total bandwidth used?

      If what you're downloading is 100MB does the file size magically change if you download it in the middle of the night?

      Rescheduling has nothing to do with total bandwidth.

    16. Re:Scheduling by clone53421 · · Score: 1

      Nothing, and GP never claimed it did. Downloading at night still has its advantages:

      You don't get throttled in the daytime, when you want to surf the web for other purposes (and thus everything slows to a crawl because of the one torrent you're downloading).

      You also get better download speeds if the ISP isn't concerned about the nighttime and lifts their throttling during off-hours. A faster download doesn't use less bandwidth; you just get the file sooner.

      Anyway, I rarely download torrents. I find direct downloads to be much less hassle (especially with the SkipScreen extension which makes overnight downloading a breeze from RapidShare).

      --
      Alexander Peter Kristopeit bought his basement from his mommy for one dollar.
  7. Isn't much worth downloading as of late. by r6_jason · · Score: 4, Insightful

    There really hasn't been all that much worth downloading as of late. You can only download the classics so many times, the new content coming out just isn't all that good, be it games, movies or music. I'm sure we'll see a small up tick when the new Star Trek movie hits the underground though.

    1. Re:Isn't much worth downloading as of late. by Fotograf · · Score: 2, Insightful

      that is also a way to fight piracy! Make less and worse stuff. Good point ?IAA!

      --
      God's gift to chicks
    2. Re:Isn't much worth downloading as of late. by zipherx · · Score: 1

      You really have a point, it has been pretty useless lately...

    3. Re:Isn't much worth downloading as of late. by wild_quinine · · Score: 1

      There really hasn't been all that much worth downloading as of late... the new content coming out just isn't all that good, be it games, movies or music.

      Finally, an anti-piracy strategy that might actually have an effect. This could save the industry!

    4. Re:Isn't much worth downloading as of late. by blackraven14250 · · Score: 1

      Very true. Coming from someone who used to download 24/7, there's no reason for me to download 90% of the time anymore. I have most of what I want already, and if something new comes out, then I'll hop back on a torrent. But those days seem to be moving farther and farther apart.

    5. Re:Isn't much worth downloading as of late. by Urza9814 · · Score: 1

      I'm sure we'll see a small up tick when the new Star Trek movie hits the underground though.

      Uhh, it already has. It was on Freenet (0.5) a few months ago.

    6. Re:Isn't much worth downloading as of late. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      While I largely agree re: movies and music, when was this mythical time when games were so much better than now?

      There are loads of awful games being made...but that's just because there are more games being made overall than a couple of decades ago. Of course these days there's probably less game piracy relative to the numbers sold, so I'd expect them to be way behind movies and music in P2P-traffic.

    7. Re:Isn't much worth downloading as of late. by angelbunny · · Score: 1

      Why would you ever watch a telesync? ugg!

  8. Rise in paid downloading? by ElGanzoLoco · · Score: 1

    Or could it also be that paid-for downloads and streaming audio and video have increased, thus decreasing the share of P2P traffic in the total?

    (No I didn't RTFA, it's way too early for that)

    --
    Hello! I'm a disaster waiting to happen!
  9. The only thing killing p2p in the UK is Spotify. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Even my CD collection is gathering dust, finally music streaming that just works.

  10. Poor analysis by Zouden · · Score: 5, Insightful

    "The report goes on to say the drop is likely due to continued, widespread ISP P2P shaping"

    The data allows no such conclusion to be drawn. In fact, since all they've done is compared P2P as a percent of total traffic, it's probably more likely that the total traffic has increased.

    --
    "A week in the lab saves an hour in the library"
    1. Re:Poor analysis by rawls · · Score: 5, Insightful

      The data for this report was taken during week days in July, when most big TV series are on a break (and as a consequence there is a lot less to download).

      Whereas (although I couldn't find anything specifying the actual dates) the data for the study two years ago seems to have been taken earlier in the year.

    2. Re:Poor analysis by JohnnyBGod · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Also, video-sharing sites have had explosive growth in the last two-years, so it's normal that P2P is a smaller percentage of the total, now.

    3. Re:Poor analysis by tepples · · Score: 1

      The data for this report was taken during week days in July, when most big TV series are on a break (and as a consequence there is a lot less to download).

      Screw TV; July is the time for cams and telesyncs of theatrical blockbusters.

    4. Re:Poor analysis by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The bulk of internet users are still in the northern hemisphere too (EU, US, Canada, Japan, S Korea). July is also when colleges are quieter than usual, and people in general aren't doing download activities during the summer (rather go to the beach, etc.).

    5. Re:Poor analysis by commodore64_love · · Score: 0, Troll

      >>>when most big TV series are on a break (and as a consequence there is a lot less to download).

      You have it backwards. Because tv is on hiatus, people are searching sites like nbc.com or hulu.com to catch-up on shows they missed. For example I watched Heroes latest season. That would make the P2P traffic go down relative to these other bandwidth-heavy sites.

      --
      "I disapprove of what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it." - historian Evelyn Beatrice Hall
    6. Re:Poor analysis by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      "...it's probably more likely that the total traffic has increased."

      Traffic shifting from P2P to HTTP:
      People using Hulu and other places
      People using rapidshare type services

      The biggest bandwidth killer I have seen is YouTube.. People playing on there all day long just kills a connection.. Most all torrent clients have encryption on by default and some (uTorrent) are starting to use udp which isnt detected currently has p2p traffic.

      At the moment i am not downloading much either, i typically download TV shows like crazy but most all are on break as another post as pointed out, in a month or so I will be back to normal downloading like crazy again.

  11. Other reading by gmuslera · · Score: 1

    Streaming audio and video implies a lot of traffic, and got more popular since 2 years ago, the shape of traffic could had varied. And some of that streaming could had covered some of the areas where p2p was popular, like series, movies, and music.

  12. The other 80% by KreAture · · Score: 5, Funny

    ...is ofcource spam and porn.

    Can we do traffic-shaping of spam?
    If so I suggest this shedule:
    12pm-8am: 100% drop
    8am-4pm: 100% drop
    4pm-12pm: 100% drop

    1. Re:The other 80% by amias · · Score: 2, Interesting

      i dont know which internet you are surfing but round here its all turned to kittens

      --
      [site]
    2. Re:The other 80% by Dan541 · · Score: 2

      Delete your MX records, I guarantee a 100% drop in spam.

      --
      An SQL query goes to a bar, walks up to a table and asks, "Mind if I join you?"
    3. Re:The other 80% by tepples · · Score: 1

      Can we do traffic-shaping of spam?
      If so I suggest this shedule:
      12pm-8am: 100% drop
      8am-4pm: 100% drop
      4pm-12pm: 100% drop

      Certainly. Ask your e-mail provider about installing blacklists.

    4. Re:The other 80% by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Unless you have an A record for your domain.

    5. Re:The other 80% by Anders · · Score: 1

      Delete your MX records, I guarantee a 100% drop in spam.

      If you don't have an MX record, mail will be sent to your A record.

    6. Re:The other 80% by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Maybe. Some software will resolve the associated A record for domain.com and attempt to connect to port 25 on that if the MX record lookup fails.

    7. Re:The other 80% by Dan541 · · Score: 1

      Well then, you know what to delete next.

      --
      An SQL query goes to a bar, walks up to a table and asks, "Mind if I join you?"
    8. Re:The other 80% by Dan541 · · Score: 1

      I forgot the

      WHOoooOOOoooOOOSH

      --
      An SQL query goes to a bar, walks up to a table and asks, "Mind if I join you?"
    9. Re:The other 80% by clone53421 · · Score: 1

      Why go to all that trouble when you could just unplug the ethernet?

      --
      Alexander Peter Kristopeit bought his basement from his mommy for one dollar.
  13. It'll pick back up again. by shaunol · · Score: 1

    When all the good TV shows start back up again with new seasons around the end of September.
    Probably with some good game and movie releases around the holiday period too.

  14. Non P2P Substitute by zlel · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Personally, while my demand for content has actually changed, I am also preferring streaming video to downloads. While content made available via tube sites are much more closely managed and gets deleted more frequently than before, fresh content goes on them more quickly than before. Watching RAWs has become a great substitute to recording. Quality used to be a bigger factor for me, but now it's more of instant gratification - pretty much like radio. The internet itself is now my library.

    1. Re:Non P2P Substitute by tepples · · Score: 1

      Personally, while my demand for content has actually changed, I am also preferring streaming video to downloads.

      Conversely, people who are away from home more often than not and who can't afford $60 per month for a mobile data plan prefer downloads.

  15. More reasonable explanation by CAIMLAS · · Score: 5, Insightful

    So torrents used to compose 40% of traffic. Now it's 20%. What's changed in the last year?

    * youporn.com and similar sites have popped up where they did not previously.
    * hulu.com now exists.

    That right there could easily cover 90% of people's media interests. Especially now that I'm not really into movies as much as I used to be (they suck more, and TV shows are, in some ways, getting better).

    --
    ~/ssh slashdot.org ssh: connect to host slashdot.org port 22: too many beers
    1. Re:More reasonable explanation by jrhawk42 · · Score: 1

      I agree it's very likely that p2p traffic stayed the same while other internet traffic increased dramatically (especially flash video based traffic).

    2. Re:More reasonable explanation by 4D6963 · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Interesting, my main change in P2P habits is due to the fact that most of the stuff I want is on rapidshare or megaupload, so instead of searching on thepiratebay or eMule (which I hardly use anymore because of that), I search on filestube. I used to download torrents of entire seasons of TV shows, but now all I gotta do is find the episode I want on megaupload, and as soon as it starts downloading I start watching it by opening the .part file with VLC.

      But as for the real cause of the difference between day and night, QoS? Seems obvious.. Nothing necessarily malicious coming from the ISPs, for one thing they're right to have QoS for more time-dependant traffic, and then if you yourself watch YouTube or download some files over HTTP then your P2P traffic is gonna take a hit.

      --
      You just got troll'd!
    3. Re:More reasonable explanation by skastrik · · Score: 1, Insightful

      That right there could easily cover 90% of people's media interests. Especially now that I'm not really into movies as much as I used to be (they suck more, and TV shows are, in some ways, getting better).

      You're getting older.

    4. Re:More reasonable explanation by Sponge+Bath · · Score: 1

      You are only as old as you feel.

    5. Re:More reasonable explanation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, it's you're only as old as the woman you feel.

    6. Re:More reasonable explanation by CAIMLAS · · Score: 1

      Actually, I think torrent bandwidth probably went down as a total, even. Between litigation and all the almost-ad-free TV available online (and porn, don't forget the porn) there's no incentive to wait several hours to several months for a torrent of questionable quality to finish downloading.

      --
      ~/ssh slashdot.org ssh: connect to host slashdot.org port 22: too many beers
    7. Re:More reasonable explanation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This poster is high!
      there is no such thing as rapidshare or magauplaod!
      Now forget you ever read his comment and keep posting about bit torrents.

      P.s you are now banned from rlslog.net

  16. Part 2 of The Internet After Dark by mrbene · · Score: 1
    The rest of the story is here. It includes:

    The answer: long after Exchange and Oracle business traffic slows to a crawl, Internet users turn to the web to surf, watch videos, send IM's and happily try to kill each other.

  17. Usenet was ultimate, but too much spam. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Usenet was the ultimate way to contribute. It got hosed because of spam. Too many douchebags posting penis enlargement ads can ruin anything.

    Usenet is the way bittorrent was meant to be. Bittorrent is like a dynamic Usenet protocol. Will usenet ever die? What's the point when there are only a handfull of news servers that can play nice?

    R.I.P Usenet.

    1. Re:Usenet was ultimate, but too much spam. by amias · · Score: 1

      so you'll be sending me a login to your completely unrestricted NNTP server then ? no ? ok i'll stick with bittorrent then.

      --
      [site]
    2. Re:Usenet was ultimate, but too much spam. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      perfect, we need people like you to act as p2p bait and keep the xIAA away

    3. Re:Usenet was ultimate, but too much spam. by blackraven14250 · · Score: 1

      Yeah, because they're going to sue everyone on p2p. Honestly, even they couldn't afford doing something like that. They would instantly become major douchebags in the eyes of the people (for suing so many), and even the government (for completely backlogging the courts for 5 years). They would bankrupt themselves (since they couldn't collect the majority of their judgments).

  18. Not less traffic, just different pipes by Monolith1 · · Score: 1

    It's because the cool kids are getting back into usenet through SSL pipes, and DDL.

  19. Dissappointed. by jaypaulb · · Score: 1

    The entire /. community and not one single post explaining how to circumvent the shaping. Please help those less technically able amongst you.

    1. Re:Dissappointed. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Move to a country where ISPs don't discriminate its customers.

    2. Re:Dissappointed. by sgbett · · Score: 2, Insightful

      http://www.google.com/search?q=bittorrent+port+80

      Just think if, ISP's are shaping 'p2p' traffic by port and then people use some other port for their p2p traffic, one might see a drop in 'p2p' traffic.

      --
      Invaders must die
    3. Re:Dissappointed. by aXis100 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      ISP arent shaping by port anymore these days - usually it's some other deep inspection techniques. There's no free/easy solution, and if you think you have one, the ISP's will have a countermeasure just as quickly.

    4. Re:Dissappointed. by freddej · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Well, since the report is provided by Arbor, whom bought the DPI vendor Ellacoya some time ago, we can probably pretty safely say that changing the port doesn't matter.

    5. Re:Dissappointed. by sgbett · · Score: 1

      Sorry I am UK so made assumptions based on that - afaik nobody (major) uses Deep packet Inspection here yet. People have been dropping Phorm trials for the hot potato it is.

      Once they do though (I see virgin still seem to be on board, which is worrying to me as cable is the only decent choice in the uk imho) then the users move to the next level (they already know how, but why bother when simple port 80 stuff works for now) ...

      http://www.inputoutput.io/how-to-subvert-deep-packet-inspection-the-right-way/

      I agree the ISP's will react in time, but my money is on the community moving faster than the ISPs. (look at how CSS, AACS and DRM in general is working out...)

      I think the real answer (from ISP's) is legal downloadable media content with a compelling price. Convenience is the huge elephant in the room that media providers seem intent on ignoring. Yes, there will always be freeloaders but there are a huge swathe of people who would quite happily pay for the convenience of not having to trawl binsearch or tpb for the content they want.

      There is a quite significant market in reasonably priced 'authorised' downloadable content (itunes, virgin on demand, sky box office etc) which proves the model works.

      Cost of delivery vs price? The potential margin must be huge. At least comparable to that of physical media. if ISP's cache content locally they are laughing. If I was an ISP with a fat network that already had a content delivery arm (oh yes thats right Virgin) then I would set up my own 'iPlayer' knock off, I know - vPlayer.

      I have a hunch that bandwidth costs (From p2p at least) would be slashed, as everyone would just get the content of your own servers.

      Meh, I'm rambling now.

      --
      Invaders must die
    6. Re:Dissappointed. by sgbett · · Score: 1

      Assuming of course that they haven't just conveniently ignored the port jumpers, so that they can report great numbers to push their 'miraculous-p2p-traffic-reducing' software.

      --
      Invaders must die
    7. Re:Dissappointed. by apoc.famine · · Score: 1

      Not necessarily. At some point, it won't be profitable for them to continue pursuing p2p traffic. If you're doing deep inspection, that takes processor power, and the code to do it. If you're not writing it in house, you're probably licensing that code.
       
      The ISPs will have countermeasures until those cut too deeply into their profit. I don't have a guess at what point that will be, but it logically has to occur at some point down the line.

      --
      Velociraptor = Distiraptor / Timeraptor
  20. No drop by zmooc · · Score: 1

    Bullshit. There is no drop. P2P traffic is still increasing. It's just not increasing as fast as the youtube traffic.

    --
    0x or or snor perron?!
  21. For me... by Idiomatick · · Score: 1

    For me I may have lost a few % of P2P. Main reason being? Streaming video is so damn convenient. I really doubt that this could be attributed to any drop in 'pirating' or w/e the mafiaa is calling it these days. The pirates have just moved on from torrenting. At least for the casual users it is. For me if there is a show I know I want to watch all of then I'll torrent it (scrubs for example). But if I'm just bored and feel like something random I'll try a streaming site.
    Generally speaking, anime works better streaming since you can often find next to perfect quality. Movies streaming I will only rarely bother with. I guess I will use streaming for movies rare enough that it'll look like it takes a month to torrent.

    Also I think average 'light' users of 5years ago are now watching fart videos online and maybe using webcams. Maybe watching porn videos instead of just dling pictures. Pretty sure that demographic is just increasing really fucking fast.

    And to top it off it is an unverified study done by a company selling these tools that they 'proved' work. Sooo, no big surprise there. Not that I want to build a strawman but either they have to get it verified by a 3rd party or release every tiny detail on their method.

    1. Re:For me... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Streaming video is so damn convenient.

      Exactly. Why go through the hassle to download TV series and movies via some p2p network that bogs down your system when you can go to one of the 100s of video sites that host the same material. Sure the quality is worse but the convenience of watching it right when I want to beats almost everything.

      Plus there are dozens of these one click hosters that make pirating stuff so much more convenient than using p2p. As usual the MAFIA didn't keep up with changing times. They still try to put a lid on p2p.

    2. Re:For me... by blackraven14250 · · Score: 1

      Yeah, that's one thing I've been liking about Netflix. Big library of streams included with the subscription.

  22. Re:Rise in First posts attributed to traffic shapi by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Fact is:
    - absolute P2P traffic volume is not dropping, it's just very slowly increasing
    - absolute amount of HTTP traffic nearly doubled since 2007, thanks to major increase in online video and direct download services
    => many people often use DD today instead of P2P for filesharing
    => P2P percentage sharply decreased, not the absolute volume though

  23. NetInst distros by nemesisrocks · · Score: 4, Funny

    The drop in traffic is easy to explain. Most distros nowadays have a NetInst option, where you can download a small CD to boot off, then download only the packages you need.

    All that P2P traffic IS just "Linux ISOs", right?

    1. Re:NetInst distros by AndrewNeo · · Score: 1

      P2P has other legitimate uses! World of Warcraft updates, of course!

    2. Re:NetInst distros by gbarules2999 · · Score: 1

      No, sir, I was just downloading Slackware 13 for the tenth time. I really, really like that operating system.

    3. Re:NetInst distros by Elbart · · Score: 0

      So for you, everything P2P = illegal. Interesting.

    4. Re:NetInst distros by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Linux distros and World of Warcraft updates. Those now number in the gigabyte range per patch too...

  24. What traffic shaping looks like by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
  25. Obvious explanation: encryption by ZakMcRofl · · Score: 4, Informative

    I can't believe that in all those comments nobody mentioned the most likely reason for those numbers:
    Encryption.

    Most of the P2P traffic will be Bittorrent. All popular bittorrent clients allow to use encryption and random ports to prevent traffic shaping. Encrypted torrent traffic can - to my knowledge - not be detected by the ISP and is most likely counted as normal traffic in the mentioned numbers.

    Maybe encryption is not very mainstream yet but the hardcore users will always enabled it (even when their own connection is not limited) because it will result in better speeds. So every encrypted gigabyte they used to download normally affects the numbers twice: it's one less gigabyte of counted P2P traffic and one more gigabyte of counted normal traffic.

    On a sitenote: this is also the solution for those affected by traffic shaping: tell you torrent client to encrypt the traffic at all times and watch your speed go up.

    1. Re:Obvious explanation: encryption by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's very easy to detect encrypted torrents. They still have to run TCP/IP and connect to specific ports. The only part encrypted is the payload. TCP/IP frames remain intact. While deep inspection many not indicate what the traffic is, traffic patterns do, and ISPs have plenty of that kind of data.

    2. Re:Obvious explanation: encryption by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Protocol encryption is just obfuscation, it certainly makes it harder for ISPs but can be detected e.g. with flow analysis. The unfortunate reality is that if encryption becomes the default in all major clients (we're not far from this already?) then they will take countermeasures, if they don't interactive performance on their oversold "up to speed X" network will become terrible.

    3. Re:Obvious explanation: encryption by blackraven14250 · · Score: 1

      There's nothing too specific about my ports. They're up in the 58000 area. I change every few days and keep them above 10000.

    4. Re:Obvious explanation: encryption by BVis · · Score: 1

      if they don't interactive performance on their oversold "up to speed X" network will become terrible.

      Maybe they should stop fucking overselling their bandwidth by 500% or whatever ridiculous number they use.

      Just a thought. Of course, that would make profits go down, so it can never happen, as profits dropping is, in fact, the end of the entire universe.

      --
      Never underestimate the power of stupid people in large groups.
    5. Re:Obvious explanation: encryption by RiotingPacifist · · Score: 2, Interesting

      then they will take countermeasures, if they don't interactive performance on their oversold "up to speed X" network will become terrible.

      they could just get us to play nice and use QOS so we can mark out torrent traffic/large downloads as bulk and our browsing as browsing, I suppose that is traffic shaping, but atm virgin broadband work something like this
      if they catch bittorrent packets or you have encrypted upload's > ~30Kib/s, then they smash users pings up to ~4s
      obviously a lot of pirates are unethical douchebags and will just mark all their packets voip, but providing a way for the rest of us to download nicely (pun intended), will:
      *allow them to keep overselling ridiculously
      *keep most of people happy
      *reduce the amount of data they are traffic analysing (they can just scan for people abusing their QOS and do thorough inspection on them)

      --
      IranAir Flight 655 never forget!
    6. Re:Obvious explanation: encryption by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Encryption works wonders to bypass the filters. It probably also doesn't get taken into effect in these statistics. When P2P became too annoying to run while awake (extremely slow speeds, made the connection barely usable) I discovered the encryption feature. Eventually I tried refusing normal BT connections and only connecting with those using encryption. Then my download speeds became the best I've ever seen, upload % too.

    7. Re:Obvious explanation: encryption by Danathar · · Score: 1

      Not completely true. Some shapers use traffic analysis based on the timing, size of packets and overall analysis of what a particular client is doing. For instance if I see your computer connecting to 200 or 300 different locations in my firewall/router at said Evil(tm) ISP at pretty much at the same time (this is simplistic I know) I might be able to see a pattern that says "Ah HA! P2P torrent!" and throttle traffic.

      It's not perfect and to be sure that type of traffic shaping will get stuff you don't want but most people are surfing the web and would not notice if their web browser session was throttled from say 20Mb/s down to 5 for a period of time (especially if the latency remains within the range it would of been at the higher bandwidth).

    8. Re:Obvious explanation: encryption by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I can't believe that in all those comments nobody mentioned the most likely reason for those numbers:
      Encryption.

      Most of the P2P traffic will be Bittorrent. All popular bittorrent clients allow to use encryption and random ports to prevent traffic shaping. Encrypted torrent traffic can - to my knowledge - not be detected by the ISP and is most likely counted as normal traffic in the mentioned numbers

      IAALISPSNE (I Am A Large ISPs Senior Network Engineer) Encryption can be easily caught and throttled. No one has mentioned this because I assume this is well known. This wiki article is a bit behind the times but we've had boxes in house for the last 18 months+ that can throttle encrypted torrent traffic.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/BitTorrent_protocol_encryption

    9. Re:Obvious explanation: encryption by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Funny, our traffic shaper handles encrypted bit torrent. Although using encryption *does* up the ante you are missing a thing or two.

      First, shuffling ports really doesn't mean much. If I set the traffic shaper to block or limit http traffic it doesn't matter what port it is on (although I can do fun things like allow port 80 and disallow non-port 80 http). Serious traffic shaping allows rules to take ports into account, but rely on protocol detection.

      Second, even if you encrypt everything (not just data, but also the command/control) you *still* have setup the connection. Download wireshark and do a packet capture of connecting to an https server. Notice how the *plain text* protocol is used to negotiate initial setup? This can be detected and decisions made about what to do with the subsequent traffic.

      Third, the real problem with traffic shaping P2P is the use of UDP -- and this is immaterial to whether or not it is encrypted. If you don't understand why this is a problem for a traffic shaper I recommend learning a bit about tcp, udp and then think about the implications. However, our traffic shaper can (albeit less reliably) handle udp as well.

      The article is bs, but encryption is not a get-out-of-jail-free card

    10. Re:Obvious explanation: encryption by TheQuantumShift · · Score: 1

      Until ISP's require a prohibitively expensive "Business Class" account to allow encrypted traffic. They may not be able to see whats in those packets, but the RI/MPAA seeders/leechers will still have your IP and records of what you've downloaded/uploaded. Once a high profile case involving bit-torrent is launched, there will be a full on push for "exposing criminals that try to hide what they're doing" and you'll see the aforementioned limit of encrypted traffic happen. People will bitch and moan about privacy and all that, but they'll continue to just take it. Remember, you may care about Net Neutrality, but the vast majority of people who actually vote (the "Obama's a racist and this country's turning into Russia" crowd) will be scared into submission by evil looking graphics and ominous music on Fox News.

      --

      Shift happens. Fire it up.
  26. Too much of a hassle by tsa · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I hardly use any download 'services' because it's just too much of a hassle for me. First you have to find the files you want. Then you have to click through a whole lot of garbage, and after much downloading and waiting and clicking you find that you have downloaded the Spanish version without subtitles. Or something equally unsatisfying. I'd rather pay for the stuff than go through all that. And I guess more and more people think like that. P2P is a victim of its (not it's!) own success. More and more garbage is put on the web, making it too hard to find the good stuff.

    --

    -- Cheers!

    1. Re:Too much of a hassle by ascendant · · Score: 1

      I love how you think that this is a new thing.
      For any and all types of P2P, especially the illegal kind, this has always been the case. And for all types of P2P, all the people that use it actually have the attention span and patience to filter out the garbage. I myself don't even notice it, it's completely natural.
      It's only your fault that you can't figure out how to use the system.

      --
      Do not attribute to malice that which can be easily explained by incompetence.
    2. Re:Too much of a hassle by Nazmun · · Score: 1

      Dunno, where your goin... it typically takes me about a minute to find a good hd rip of any movie that is out on blu-ray, etc. Just look at the stats of a torrent before you download it and look more closely at what your downloading so you don't get a foreign version of it. It's really not that hard at all.

      --
      Hmmm... Pie...
    3. Re:Too much of a hassle by Inda · · Score: 1

      You're doing it wrong. A little knowledge of the 'scene' goes a long way. A lot of knowledge means you are never disappointed after finding the files you want after less than 3 minutes searching.

      --
      This post contains benzene, nitrosamines, formaldehyde and hydrogen cyanide.
    4. Re:Too much of a hassle by blackraven14250 · · Score: 2, Informative

      If it has any 2-letter block in between periods that isn't "EN", it's not English. I don't know why people don't get that. Or get what TS and CAM mean. Or DivX. Or XviD. In fact, I don't get how people don't get anything about the way the good torrents are labeled.

    5. Re:Too much of a hassle by tsa · · Score: 1

      It could also be that the stuff I want is not popular enough to share, although I can hardly imagine that, considering what can be found online. Indeed I don't have the patience to find what I'm looking for, but I have also the choice between buying and downloading. Many students don't have that of course. If I had the choice between not having it and downloading it, because of the money thing, I would probably spend more time finding the stuff I wanted.

      --

      -- Cheers!

    6. Re:Too much of a hassle by Engeekneer · · Score: 1

      I hardly use any download 'services' because it's just too much of a hassle for me. First you have to find the files you want. Then you have to click through a whole lot of garbage, and after much downloading and waiting and clicking you find that you have downloaded the Spanish version without subtitles. Or something equally unsatisfying. I'd rather pay for the stuff than go through all that. And I guess more and more people think like that. P2P is a victim of its (not it's!) own success. More and more garbage is put on the web, making it too hard to find the good stuff.

      Oh, well, I just bought a Stargate Season 2 as DVDs, except it didn't have english audio as promised, just french, italian and spanish. Please, I would love to pay for contect if there was any other way to buy it. This is the one reason I actually was hopeful for the piratebay purchase. It just *might* have been a place where I could legally get what I want in the format I want.

    7. Re:Too much of a hassle by lattyware · · Score: 1

      I don't know what service you were using, but it sucked.

      --
      -- Lattyware (www.lattyware.co.uk)
    8. Re:Too much of a hassle by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That assumes that the labeling process is done correctly. When you have one of the depressingly common file names that looks similar to "[Rzr]Someshowname_04.mkv", you have no idea what language the subs are.

  27. more like by p2pers by hyperion2010 · · Score: 1

    Traffic shaping by ISPs? I dont think so. When you want your content you want it fast, and serious downloaders have know for years that after hours is when the bandwidth picks up.

  28. Streaming audio and video has taken over by jonwil · · Score: 1

    More people are using streaming audio and video to get their content. Hulu. YouTube. Spotify. Last.FM.

    Me for example, if I want a song, instead of going to p2p, I just go to YouTube or Google and search for it. If its even remotely popular, I am sure someone has uploaded a suitable video with a suitable version of the song as the audio. Then I can use a YouTube downloader to download the video then FFMPEG to convert it to an audio file.

    Great way to find stuff and less likelihood of being sued too (the RIAA seems to be more concerned about uploaders which you dont do when you access YouTube. Plus, all the stuff I download is too obscure for the RIAA to care about :P )

    1. Re:Streaming audio and video has taken over by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you are only downloading, many countries do not really sanction that. It's uploading that gets you into trouble, i.e. P2P.

      Youtube also has the added benefit that many members of the MAFIA are actually putting their material there, so doing that is even totally legit for these instances.

    2. Re:Streaming audio and video has taken over by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      OH GOD MY EYES!

      (or, in this case, my ears)

    3. Re:Streaming audio and video has taken over by SunTzuWarmaster · · Score: 1

      Yea, most users do this.

      Lately, I've just been adding "rapidshare" to the end of a search for any music. It is remarkably successful (and EASIER, and FASTER than your method).

      Why bother torrentting any small (100mb) file?

    4. Re:Streaming audio and video has taken over by Hatta · · Score: 1

      Only works for more popular works. I just tried it, and John Hartford's most famous work Aereo-Plain was readily available on rapidshare. His earlier "The Love Album" was not. Both were on what.cd last time I checked.

      A good private tracker keeps ratio credit somewhat scarce so people are encouraged to upload rarer stuff that wouldn't be there otherwise, and they're encouraged to seed for a long time. This makes it much better for people who are interested in more obscure stuff.

      --
      Give me Classic Slashdot or give me death!
    5. Re:Streaming audio and video has taken over by Hatta · · Score: 1

      Me for example, if I want a song, instead of going to p2p, I just go to YouTube or Google and search for it.

      What if you want an entire album without gaps?

      If its even remotely popular, I am sure someone has uploaded a suitable video with a suitable version of the song as the audio.

      What if it's not remotely popular? What counts as suitable? What sort of compression rate does YouTube use for audio?

      Then I can use a YouTube downloader to download the video then FFMPEG to convert it to an audio file.

      And that's easier than dropping a .torrent into your rtorrent watch directory? Really?

      less likelihood of being sued

      Fair point, but taping something off the radio is about as convenient and probably better quality.

      Plus, all the stuff I download is too obscure for the RIAA to care about :P

      I thought you said it was remotely popular.

      --
      Give me Classic Slashdot or give me death!
    6. Re:Streaming audio and video has taken over by Ash-Fox · · Score: 1

      What sort of compression rate does YouTube use for audio?

      I believe Youtube's latest HD support includes some high quality AAC audio along with video encoded at 1280x720 resolution using the H.264 video codec if the uploaded videos provided a high enough audio and video source to encode from.

      --
      Change is certain; progress is not obligatory.
    7. Re:Streaming audio and video has taken over by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I still don't believe that the whole HD stuff isn't some elaborate hoax on Youtube's part. Whenever I click the HD button, I sit there wondering if image quality actually improved or if it's just a placebo to make you think it did.

      Maybe there's the odd high quality demo video but among the relevant content I have yet to find one.

    8. Re:Streaming audio and video has taken over by clone53421 · · Score: 1

      That's because most of the time the "low" quality version isn't noticeably worse than the original video from the cell phone or digital camera.

      --
      Alexander Peter Kristopeit bought his basement from his mommy for one dollar.
  29. Hurry! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Someone look up the current trend in music sales!!!111

  30. Improper Metrics by RoFLKOPTr · · Score: 1

    Can anybody tell me why they are measuring different types of Internet usage as a percentage of total Internet usage, rather than using an absolute number (say, Gbps)? Of course P2P traffic is going to increase in use at night when you look at the percentages, because P2P downloads (and uploads) are often left running overnight while people are sleeping while the rest of the Internet slows down because it requires direct human interaction. Basically, they are using real graphs conveyed from extremely misleading information to prove their wild point in an extremely sensitive ongoing political debate. Please stop validating the enemy (Comcast, Time Warner, The MAFIAA, etc)'s PR tactics by using them yourself. It is extremely counter-productive.

  31. Internet Prime Time by mbone · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I am involved with an Internet streaming site (AmericaFree.TV) and our traffic patterns follow normal Television "Prime Time" - i.e., traffic peaks at roughly 6:00 PM to Midnight in the evening. This happens in the US, Europe and Asia, and the local time zone pattern looks a lot like the "Consumer-Internet traffic" graph (# 2 in the original article). (Note that all of these graphs do not start at zero traffic, but some higher value, like 50%). In our case (long format video), there appears to be relatively little streaming from at work.

    If you look at Craig Labovitz's previous's post, What Europeans do at Night, it appears that European Internet usage drops quickly after dinner time, but I would interpret these graphs a little differently - European traffic starts dropping at 10;00 PM, while US traffic starts dropping at Midnight. This roughly matches what we see, and also European TV viewing patterns (see pages 22 and 23 of this presenation). Of course, American TV prime time is pretty similar to Europe's. Putting all of this together, I don't think that streaming video is driving the differences seen by Labovitz.

    An interesting corollary of all of this is that there is still substantial bandwidth available for P2P in the hours after midnight. Off-hours P2P use could triple and still not be more than the current day-time use.

  32. Re:Rise in First posts attributed to traffic shapi by Jurily · · Score: 1

    - absolute P2P traffic volume is not dropping, it's just very slowly increasing

    Why is it increasing only very slowly? Have the movies gotten smaller? The games perhaps? The downloaders fewer?

    Or the more likely version, that ISP's are holding them back. I know they do it with me.

  33. Re:Rise in First posts attributed to traffic shapi by master5o1 · · Score: 1

    that ISP's are holding them back.

    = shaping and management.

    --
    signature is pants
  34. Dial-up a decade ago by tepples · · Score: 1

    When p2p started out, few people understood the benefits of self-throttling during the day.

    When p2p first started out a decade ago, a lot of users were still on metered dial-up, and people downloaded singles, not albums. It just wasn't practical for a P2P program to dial the internet, search for a song that may or may not be available at a given moment, download it, and automatically shut down the PPP link.

    1. Re:Dial-up a decade ago by commodore64_love · · Score: 1

      I download over dialup when traveling. It takes about 7 hours per television episode, or 3 episodes per day... just enough to keep me busy after getting back from the job.

      --
      "I disapprove of what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it." - historian Evelyn Beatrice Hall
    2. Re:Dial-up a decade ago by ButtercupSaiyan · · Score: 1

      I'm sorry, but can you explain what your sig means tepples? Is it meant to imply a comparison to other countries or to point out existing solutions?

    3. Re:Dial-up a decade ago by commodore64_love · · Score: 0, Troll

      His sig is meant to say "it's okay to have public options" for healthcare. What he fails to consider is that while people have the option for private school to get a better education, few can afford it because they are burdened with a ~$5000 a year school tax.*

      He also failed to consider that the USPS is a monopoly, not an option, which is what the Uncle Sam healthcare is going to become effective 2013 (according to the Senate bill). Yes if you're a grandma or grandpa you can keep the private plan you've had for years and years, but the rest of us will no longer be able to choose a private insurer.

      *
      * My proposal is that people who send their kids to private or home school, will be exempt from paying the school tax. That way they can have the extra cash needed to choose those options, using their OWN money (not taxpayer money), but are still supporting the local government school after their kid grows up.

      --
      "I disapprove of what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it." - historian Evelyn Beatrice Hall
    4. Re:Dial-up a decade ago by tepples · · Score: 1

      I'll take sig talk to my journal.

    5. Re:Dial-up a decade ago by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      USPS is a monopoly?

      So it is the exclusive commercial means of sending post across the country?
      Or are you implying a UPS/FedEx/DHL/USPS price fixing oligarchy?
      Or is the USPS some sort of board game?

      I do not think monopoly means what you think it means.

    6. Re:Dial-up a decade ago by Andrewkov · · Score: 1

      Wow, that's faster than my "high speed" cable modem. Damn you Rogers Cable!

    7. Re:Dial-up a decade ago by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      This is why I love reading commodore64_love's posts: they offer such a delightfully distorted picture of reality.

      In his world,
      • the USPS is a terrible monopoly, and it's impossible to send post by any other means. In truth, the USPS does have a monopoly on non-urgent mail. However this is very clearly not a problem given the existence of three major competitors in the urgent and large-package markets (not to mention the countless smaller courier companies). Besides, if I really don't want to use the evil government option (oh, sorry "monopoly, not an option") I could send my letter to grandma via UPS ground.
      • the US has excellent broadband penetration and bandwidth. In fact, we compare well to other first world countries and remain in the top group! (lol)
      • public schools should have even more money sucked out of them, dooming them to become little more than "pre-schools for prisoners." In his world, this is entirely acceptable because he saves a few dollars per year that he never saw in his paycheck in the first place. Who cares if those dirty niggers and evil socialist society suffer as long as his precious snowflakes get to live in a bubble.
      • "Uncle Sam"/Obamacare is going to take over the country, shutdown the entire medical industry overnight, and somehow be worse than what we have now where nearly 20% of our GDP is spent on healthcare. In his world, public healthcare should not be an option because it "restricts" "choice," namely it provides an additional option for the uninsured above the existing two: go bankrupt, defaulting on your medical bills and raising the cost for everyone, or decline treatment and live with permanent suffering or die and destroy your family's life and put them on welfare (also raising the cost for everyone). Choice, the American Dream. God Bless America.
    8. Re:Dial-up a decade ago by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      USPS performs far better than UPS. UPS constantly delivers late. USPS often delivers early.

      FedEx compares favorably to the USPS, but is far more expensive.

      If they have a monopoly, it's a monopoly on performance.

    9. Re:Dial-up a decade ago by commodore64_love · · Score: 1

      >>>USPS is a monopoly? So it is the exclusive commercial means of sending post across the country?

      As a matter of fact, yes it is. I get about 5 bills each month from the electric, phone, credit and other companies. I pay them and put them in my mailbox where it's picked up by..... UPS? Nope. FedEx? Nope. The government mail picks it up. Why? Because they have a monopoly over your mailbox, just the same as Comcast (or Cox or Time-Warner) has a monopoly over the cable lines leading to your home.

      Now is that a bad thing? No not in the case of mail because we wouldn't want to have 3 different trucks driving down the street every day to make mail pickup/delivery. It makes more sense to just have 1 truck do all the work, but at the same time we shouldn't call the USPS or Comcast "competitive" when they very clearly have government-granted monopolies.

      I believe in calling a spade a spade, not something else.

      --
      "I disapprove of what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it." - historian Evelyn Beatrice Hall
  35. In AU, we choose shaped plans to avoid bancrupy! by ivi · · Score: 1

    Australia places very low for Internet cost-effectiveness & reach
    - with only costly broadband available to many, even in larger
    cities, such as Adelaide, etc.

    Very FEW ISP plans offer genuinely (ie, unshaped) "unlimited"
    plans, and the ones who do either charge the moon for them
    (ie, if faster than 1.5 Mb/Sec) -or- they have speeds at / under
    the ADSL 1 speed of 1.5 Mb/Sec - ie, too slow to share in a
    larger family or modest university student house.

    International students - even some from wealthy Indian families
    are giving even very fast Big Pond Cable plans Thumbs Down,
    because they do not "shape" after the meager 60 GB data limit
    (which, by the way, counts -both- downloaded -and- uploaded
    data), but "fines" or "penalizes" any use that exceeds their limit
    with a whopping huge Au $ 150 / GB "excess" fee.

    So, while one pays about Au $ 130 / month for the first 60 GB,
    one's 61st (and any thereafter it) -each- cost an extra Au $ 150 !!!

    Coincidentally...

    Telstra Big Pond is mentioned in this Australian program
    which explores Bankruptcy in Australia, eg, for the banc-
    rupcy that followed one of its customers' running up a
    not-so-large bill for Internet services:

          http://mpegmedia.abc.net.au/rn/podcast/2009/08/ats_20090831.mp3

    While I do not condone running up unpayably large bills
    Internet (or other) bills, I consider the fee for "excess"
    data an obsolete holdover from Testra's (perhaps known
    as Telecom, then) earlier days as a undisputed monoply.

    (Now - with well over 90% of Australia's telecommunica-
    tions market, including Internet services - Telstra is just
    the "de facto" monopoly... not a legislated one.)

    I - for one - am obliged to choose a capped Internet plan
    - far slower and limited in allocated - as a hedge against
    the risk of forced bankruptcy, because Australia's ISP's
    have adopted Telstra's still outrageous and presently
    untenable "excess" fees, across its non-capped plans.

    There are many more like me...

    Counterexample: Here's a reason to live in Canberra
                                                                    [ Australia's Moscow in 2009 ]

    Remember when life seemed - by all reports - 'good'
    [only] in USSR-era Moscow - ie, for those permitted
    to live there?

    I am sure that Canberrans - who can pay as about $20 / mon
    for even "unlimited" Off-Peak hours Internet (at 2 Mb/Sec)
    feel well looked-after, perhaps like those Moscovites of
    days gone by...

  36. think again... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Maybe ISP's just think P2P traffic throttled because the P2P-protocols are obfuscated by more and more clients.

  37. When they DPI your shell account too by tepples · · Score: 1

    http://www.inputoutput.io/how-to-subvert-deep-packet-inspection-the-right-way/

    Which requires a subscription to a shell account on a remote server. What provider do you recommend? And what happens when the remote server's ISP is also deep-packet-inspecting?

    I think the real answer (from ISP's) is legal downloadable media content with a compelling price.

    Let me know when I can lawfully download a copy of Song of the South.

  38. Canberra: AUs Moscow in 2009 for Internet service! by ivi · · Score: 1

    In Canberra, ACT only:

    Au $20 buys: ...Unlimited data usage - ie, during off-peak hours ...Reasonable speeds: 2 Mb/Sec (down) / 256 Kb/Sec (up)

    Hey, why should Aussie ISPs be permitted to limit
    their markets to a particular State or Territory, eg ACT,
    in the first place?!?

    (FYI: The ISP is "Velicity Internet"

    and the Plans is "TransACT Big Gig ADSL" )

    We found it using Whirlpool.net.au's Plan Search tool,
    and (later) confirmed its attributes at ISP's web site.

    For anyone wanting essentially unlimited (AH) Internet
    service, Canberra's the place to live...

  39. Re:Rise in First posts attributed to traffic shapi by wisty · · Score: 2, Insightful

    GP says it's increasing slowly because the technophiles already use it, and normal people just go to http://video.baidu.com/

    Also, other big services (like, say, video chat, google maps, etc) are breaking into the mainstream.

    A corollary (sorry, lemma ... my math is weak nowdays) to that argument is that most people don't want to wait for anything on the internet. If it doesn't start playing immediately (i.e. YouTube), nobody who hasn't heard of slashdot will watch it.

  40. Re:Rise in First posts attributed to traffic shapi by blackraven14250 · · Score: 1

    Games have stayed around the same size from year to year. The same has happened with movies and music. Only so much content is produced in a given year. Combined with the entire population that would be willing to download being actively engaged in it already, there won't be much growth.

  41. If quality is what you are after... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Can anybody reccomend a good feed? I don't mind paying for quality.

    ... then you need to check these guys out. Yes sir, the best feeds around.

  42. My ISP by Krneki · · Score: 1, Flamebait

    As today (1.9.2009) my ISP has updated the Internet prices.

    10/10: 14E
    20/20: 28E
    50/50: 30E
    100/10: 20E
    100/100: 40E

    No bandwidth limitation or throttling. Also no P2P related case was seen in a court (yet?).

    I know, it sucks to be in a 3rd world Internet country like USA. I feel your pain. :(

    --
    Love many, trust a few, do harm to none.
  43. Re:The only thing killing p2p in the UK is Spotify by blackraven14250 · · Score: 4, Funny

    You have a CD collection? Someone, help me pull him out of 2000!

  44. Maybe, maybe not by rcasha2 · · Score: 1
    1. ISPs use traffic shaping to slow down P2P downloads
    2. Users find ways to disguise P2P traffic via SSH etc, to prevent traffic shaping
    3. P2P traffic goes up.
    4. ISPs can't see it as P2P traffic, so they think that P2P traffic has gone down.
  45. Or... by whisper_jeff · · Score: 1

    Or it's all an indication that the movies and music being released right now suck and people don't even want to watch or listen for free...

  46. watch streams by l3v1 · · Score: 1

    Funny speculations. What I'd say from my experience is that while I'm in the US, I never torrent any tv series, since I can watch them on the channels' sites or on Hulu. And that's a big one taken away from torrent to stream-based watching. And let's be serious, most of current series aren't that good that anyone (well, not me that's for sure) would want to store and keep them for eternity, so streamed watching is a bless. I'd say if we could access the channels' websites and Hulu from Europe, that would mean a large decrease in traffic. I know it's not just episodes that people are torrenting, still, I'd say it's a fairly large part of it.

    --
    I am putting myself to the fullest possible use, which is all I can think that any conscious entity can ever hope to do.
  47. Re:In AU, we choose shaped plans to avoid bancrupy by courseofhumanevents · · Score: 3, Funny

    Beautiful poem.

    It's rare to find real art like this in a comment form.

  48. Here ya go... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny
  49. Re:Rise in First posts attributed to traffic shapi by sadness203 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Hum, my previous game where 500 mb in size... maybe 1gb. then they got to 2gb then 3, then 5 and now 10gb (or more sometimes but I don't play a lot of game anymore)

    I strongly disagree, games do get bigger, with more texture, more stuff inside, etc.

    Movie and music on the other hand are about the same size. a 5mb mp3 is standard, a 700mb movie too (unless you want a DVDrip with all the (most of the time useless) features)

  50. we just put them on their own subnet by codepunk · · Score: 1

    We just put the p2p users on their own subnet wide open no shaping, then when they max their connections oh well. It keeps he rest of the customers
    happy and the p2p users can fight for their bandwidth. Best of all we don't have to worry about people trying to get around the shaping etc they get
    what they get.

    --


    Got Code?
  51. Just thanks the good people at... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Sandvine - what a great bunch of guys all looking out for the best in humanity!

    Seriously - everybody give them a hand...

  52. Re:Rise in First posts attributed to traffic shapi by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Movie and music on the other hand are about the same size. a 5mb mp3 is standard,

    A 5Mb Mp3 would probably be about 160-192kb/s. Most of the mp3 collections I see are 320kb/s (about 10Mb per track) and there's a lot of flac tracks (about 20Mb) appearing now.

  53. No possibility of bias from *that* source! by Black+Parrot · · Score: 4, Informative

    If I may be allowed to re-order things a bit:

    A new report based on data from 100 US and European ISPs claims P2P traffic has dropped to around 20% of all Internet traffic.

    The report goes on to say the drop is likely due to continued, widespread ISP P2P shaping

    reported by the same company which sells subscriber traffic management equipment to ISPs

    --
    Sheesh, evil *and* a jerk. -- Jade
  54. we accidentally the whole torrent by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The report goes on to say the drop is likely due to continued, widespread ISP P2P shaping:

    nono! we just downloaded everything we want allready.

  55. Re:Rise in First posts attributed to traffic shapi by jonbryce · · Score: 1

    I get most of my videos legally from http://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer or http://www.channel4.com/programmes/4od these days

  56. Re:The only thing killing p2p in the UK is Spotify by smoatigah · · Score: 1

    Actually Spotify is p2p:
    From Wikipedia: "Spotify is a proprietary peer-to-peer[1] music streaming service that allows instant listening to specific tracks or albums with almost no buffering delay."

  57. You would be wrong by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Ppam will drop off quite a lot, but spammers tend to not strictly obey RFC's. They will try delivering mail to machines with lower importance MX records, or with A records unrelated to mail delivery. I speak from the first hand experience of a reformed spammer.

  58. Re:Rise in First posts attributed to traffic shapi by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Fact is:
    => many people often use DD today instead of P2P for filesharing

    What is DD ?

  59. Re:Rise in First posts attributed to traffic shapi by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

    Lots of fun as long as she's got a pretty face.

  60. Re:Rise in First posts attributed to traffic shapi by ScrewMaster · · Score: 1

    Lots of fun as long as she's got a pretty face.

    If she's a DD, then odds are you've never actually seen her face.

    --
    The higher the technology, the sharper that two-edged sword.
  61. Nothing to see her (correct response) by Zoxed · · Score: 1

    To those Slashdotters trying to explain how the report is incorrect/not really a drop/invalid... please be advised that the "correct" response is along the lines of:

    >> Yes, P2P traffic *is* dropping: it is not a problem anymore, piracy is just fading away, nothing to see, everyone please move along.

  62. Why download during the day? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The internet has become a main source of entertainment for my family and friends from watching HD videos on netflix, playing games online, and listening to streaming music. Downloading via P2P simply slows down everything else, and I am a lot more entertained watching an episode of Lost than I am watching the status bar on a download.

  63. Re:Rise in First posts attributed to traffic shapi by Jurily · · Score: 1

    If it doesn't start playing immediately (i.e. YouTube), nobody who hasn't heard of slashdot will watch it.

    Yet the same people will get in a car, go all the way to the mall, and give money just to watch the same movie in a room full of loud people? Am I missing something here?

  64. You *can* detect encrypted bittorrent by jonaskoelker · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Encrypted torrent traffic can - to my knowledge - not be detected by the ISP

    See http://www.shmoocon.org/2007/speakers.html for Rob King and Rohit Dhamankar on "Encrypted Protocol Identification via Statistical Analysis".

    Here's a brief recap: by looking at {mean value, variance} of {packet size, interpacket delays} going {up, down} and packet entropy for a specific flow, you get a point in a nine-dimensional space. Encrypted protocols tend to cluster together.

    So here's the ISP algorithm: Measure a flow, find its nearest cluster, guess that behind the encryption is traffic of the protocol belonging in that cluster. If bittorrent, kill.

    Note that Rob & Dohit don't look at how many simultaneous connections you make. That also tends to give away P2P traffic.

    So the ISP can see you're P2P'ing. They can't detect whether it's illegal, or who should sue you, but they can (probably) see it's bittorrent.

    1. Re:You *can* detect encrypted bittorrent by Abcd1234 · · Score: 1

      So here's the ISP algorithm: Measure a flow, find its nearest cluster, guess that behind the encryption is traffic of the protocol belonging in that cluster. If bittorrent, kill.

      Yes, that's a lovely algorithm. Might even work, too. But do you have *any* evidence that it was used to generate the results of this study? Yeah, didn't think so. In which case, the OP's point is still very much valid.

  65. Re:The only thing killing p2p in the UK is Spotify by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    No he just cant get rid of it. No one wants to buy it :)

  66. Re:Rise in First posts attributed to traffic shapi by Stauken · · Score: 1

    Fact is: 1. The pirate bay was where 90% of people who use torrents go to get 90% of their torrents. 2. Sold to GGX, presented pay for download model, now in limbo 3. ??? 4. Profit (For Anakata). At any rate, the mass exodus of people from the pirate bay also included a wave of people who probably hung up their pirate boots out of fear that the 'protection' afforded by using an overseas torrent site with a history of giving copyright holders the middle finger (and then putting it on public display) is now gone. Personally, I never understood bittorrent anyway. If your data is worth typically sacrificing your network performance for, then I guess that's you.

  67. Flash content such as iPlayer by donstenk · · Score: 1

    In many cases it is probable that it is matter of convenience and availability:
    - I used to download movies and TV episodes until iTunes started carrying them
    - Now the BBC provides a handy iPlayer so I use that

    Ironically I downloaded my first torrent in years to upgrade to Snow Leopard - because it was not available as a download and because in rural Italy, where I live, it takes 2 weeks to get delivered.

    Spot the trend? I am sure there are many more like me in that respect.

    --
    Dennis Onstenk
  68. iMule.i2p by Burz · · Score: 1

    Or it could be that people are shying away from something that is coming under heavy surveillance.

    Lately the free I2P network has seen a lot of new activity on iMule... their anonymized version of eMule. There is also a bittorrent site on there called "thepiratebay.i2p" which looks the same and claims to be adding much of TPB's listings.

    The down side is of course speed and I2P is really only 'convenient' for stuff like mp3 files; otherwise you have to be very patient for 2 hour movie to download.

  69. Re:The only thing killing p2p in the UK is Spotify by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Never heard of it, sorry.

  70. Makes sense based on my usage. by BluePojo · · Score: 1

    It seems to make sense that p2p usage would drop a bit during peak normal usage. I know I turn off my torrents when I am using the internet, especially during games and any time I'm doing a DD. I don't care if my torrents run over night while they're not keeping me from doing things actively.

  71. Re:The only thing killing p2p in the UK is Spotify by TheRaven64 · · Score: 1
    What's wrong with having a CD collection? I still only mainly buy music on CD:
    • It comes with a relatively durable backup copy.
    • It comes in a format which can be easily encoded in the latest and greatest lossy format without transcoding artefacts.
    • It doesn't include any DRM.
    • It provides a trivial way of proving that you paid for it if you're ever on the wrong end of an RIAA-style 'sue people based on almost no evidence' lawsuit.
    • It's generally cheaper than paying for a downloaded version (CDs I buy are usually about £4/album, while iTunes is around double that).

    What other options have all of these advantages? That said, I listen to Radio Paradise about as often as I listen to music I own...

    --
    I am TheRaven on Soylent News
  72. Why not use a shaping defeat service? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Something like superchargemytorrent.com which tunnels all your P2P traffic over
    a proxy running on port 80? To your ISP it looks like web traffic.

  73. Re:Rise in First posts attributed to traffic shapi by acohen1 · · Score: 1

    Agreed with the game sizes and music mostly. Movies I used to get 700MB or 1.4GB rips, then slowly the full dvd-iso at 4.5, now I get the x264 1080P versions which are going anywhere from about the same (4.5) to 12+ GB. That growth seriously outpaces my used of skype, pandora, youtube, hulu, facebook and other media-rich web content that has increased during the same period.

  74. I thought I was missing something, but no. by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

    People, according to recent court cases, AND a recent declaration by the current FCC Chair, traffic shaping is ILLEGAL and will be pursued aggressively by the FCC.

    There is another court case pending about whether the FCC actually has authorization to do that. We shall see. But in the meantime, precedent stands against shaping.

    The problem is that traffic shaping violates the principle of Network Neutrality, which the current administration has vowed (a bit late and so far weakly) to enforce.

  75. Re:Rise in First posts attributed to traffic shapi by Fourier404 · · Score: 1

    Yeah, it's something most Slashdotters haven't heard of called "socializing."

  76. nope by fireylord · · Score: 1

    and since when does sitting in a darkened room whilst watching a film and not talking count as socialising, in fact how much does it differ from your average basement geek?

    1. Re:nope by Omestes · · Score: 1

      You haven't been to a movie lately. The last couple movies I have been to have been absolute hell (excluding a showing of Moon at 11:00 on a Tuesday). I pretty much stopped going to movies because I can't stand the crowd, and the idiots constantly talking, or worse, yelling out blatantly obvious observations as if they were public service announcements ("look! Its Woody Harrilson!"). Of course then you have the people who decided that being glued to a cell phone at all times, discussing their rousing bout of grocery shopping, is socially acceptable.

      And then the families with their damn broods, who somehow decided that little Billy should be allowed to scream whenever he wants, because discipline is a bad word. Generally this is the same family that constantly comments on the action to their children every five minutes, and are too enchanted by this to change their collicy babies damn diapers. This is obviously the same family that took their six year old daughter to an R rated horror movie, expecting it to be family friendly.

      Movies are EXTREMELY social now. Which to me completely defeats the point of seeing them. If I wanted to be social, I could go to my local Irish pub for a quarter of the cost of movie tickets, and if I wanted to actually enjoy a movie I'd watch it in the comfort of my own living room, with my own snacks, and the possibility of drinking beer or wine while watching it.

      Movies are very much a social activity now.

      --
      A patriot must always be ready to defend his country against his government. -edward abbey
  77. anonymous coward by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

    1 reason

    axxo retired :D i just had to

  78. Re:Rise in First posts attributed to traffic shapi by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If your data is worth typically sacrificing your network performance for, then I guess that's you.

    What else are you going to use a network for? Transferring cata? eata? bata?

    No, obviously, you transfer data over a network.

  79. That's just silly.. by msimm · · Score: 1

    Go watch District 9.

    --
    Quack, quack.
  80. Re:Rise in First posts attributed to traffic shapi by clone53421 · · Score: 1

    Direct download, perhaps?

    Rapidshare, megaupload, etc etc etc...

    --
    Alexander Peter Kristopeit bought his basement from his mommy for one dollar.
  81. Re:The only thing killing p2p in the UK is Spotify by blackraven14250 · · Score: 1

    • It comes with a relatively durable backup copy.
    • It comes in a format which can be easily encoded in the latest and greatest lossy format without transcoding artefacts.
    • It doesn't include any DRM.
    • It provides a trivial way of proving that you paid for it if you're ever on the wrong end of an RIAA-style 'sue people based on almost no evidence' lawsuit.
    • It's generally cheaper than paying for a downloaded version (CDs I buy are usually about £4/album, while iTunes is around double that).

    1. I can redownload it off torrents as a flavor of the day lossless after buying it from iTunes, to get my backup copy.

    2. Taken care of by point #1

    3. Taken care of by point #1

    4. iTunes will let you see a list of everything you've purchased. I imagine it wouldn't be hard to print, and it would be very easy for them or the courts to check with iTunes themselves

    5. Crazy European prices. iTunes will be USD $12-20 an album for me, whereas iTunes will be similar at 99c to $1.29 a song.

    6. iTunes has a better selection of non-major label music than any store in my area. (Granted, this is a moot point about 1/3 to half of the time)

    7. iTunes will be a near-instant download, even with the other download going, whereas to get an album from the store I'd have to drive there. (Trivial for me, as I live in a fairly densely populated area near a full mall. Not so trivial for someone out in the middle of nowhere, USA, where the nearest shop can easily be 3-4 hours away. That would make a drive out on release day completely impractical, and you may not get it for 2-3 weeks, which makes my #6 even better. I'd imagine in western Europe you wouldn't have this problem nearly as much.)

  82. So good news for RIAA then ? by daveime · · Score: 1

    If there's been a 20% drop in P2P traffic, that means a 20% drop in the evil pirates arrrr matey, and hence a 20% increase in profits for the RIAA and their scum sucking brethren ? Right, right ?

    It's amazingly quiet over there guys ???

  83. The Plain truth by BlackBloq · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Try getting a legal torrent with a mac or Utorrent without encryption enabled then snap it on... see what happens to speed. The ISP is filtering and some times cutting out traffic all together (regardless of port jumping) (0kbsec). Encryption and signal obfuscaition is the only hope. (Datagrams anyone?)

  84. Re:in other news... iPredator VPN hides P2P ... by vaporland · · Score: 1

    my iPredator VPN account works great with P2P. I run at near maximum speed 90+% of the time and have never had traffic just "stop" like I did using the straight connection.

    The ISP does not see P2P traffic from my connection - its encrypted...

    google.com starts up in swedish, but so what? maybe this is why P2P "traffic" has "fallen off" the radar.

    --
    Ask Me About... The 80's!
  85. Re:The only thing killing p2p in the UK is Spotify by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I'm still in 1993. Tell me, what happens in 2000?!

  86. The End of human Freedom started in the West by Max_W · · Score: 1

    In fact it is shutting down the Internet.

    The Man slows down to a crawl or stops part of your traffic. Automatically, as a matter of course.

    A lot was said about a lack of freedom in, say, China or Russia, but in reality it is the good old West that decided to interfere into private traffic for which people paid, by the way.

    I do not want to discuss the reasons why. We know why - because the movie and music industry was sleeping and cannot even compete with stupid free torrents.

    But it is irrelevant. What important is that it is in the West the large scale mass interference into the private traffic started to occur.

    This is the End of Freedom as we know it. Historians will note this time, around 2008 - 2009, as the beginning of a new Epoch. Similar to the periods of Slavery or Serfdom in Human History. It will be called the period of Controlled Private Information Traffic.

    Like with Slavery and Serfdom there will be numerous wars and revolutions to get rid of this new Evil condition of humanity. But I hope the ideas of Freedom and Liberty will triumph in the end, whatever the cost.

  87. There's a good chance by uninformedLuddite · · Score: 1

    that most P2P is occurring when the criminals are in bed with their teddy bears

    --
    The new right fascists are bilingual. They speak English and Bullshit.
  88. SSL to usenet servers by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Giganews (and others) now offer ssl connections to their usenet servers as well as header compression.

    So, if people are having issues with traffic shaping--or expect they might--they could head over to usenet. And really, for most stuff, usenet is superior to p2p; faster and more reliable downloads; it all seems like the same stuff available also and with retention times nearing or exceedign 1yr...

  89. Re:The only thing killing p2p in the UK is Spotify by VoltageX · · Score: 1

    Yep, and each CD gets ripped to FLAC then put back on the shelf.

    --
    "Anonymous could not immediately be reached for further comment." - International Business Times