Slashdot Mirror


Yellowstone Supervolcano Larger Than First Thought

drewtheman writes "New studies of the plumbing that feeds the Yellowstone supervolcano in Wyoming's Yellowstone National Park shows the plume and the magma chamber under the volcano are larger than first thought and contradicts claims that only shallow hot rock exists. University of Utah research professor of geophysics Robert Smith led four separate studies that verify a plume of hot and molten rock at least 410 miles deep that rises at an angle from the northwest."

451 comments

  1. You think global warming is a problem? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Funny

    Wait until the global cooling due to the super volcano blowing!! Cool!!!

    1. Re:You think global warming is a problem? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How about just the "fiery death of hundreds of millions of people"?

      Of course, by the time this goes bang, the US will hopefully have developed a solar rejuvenator.. i mean volcanic

    2. Re:You think global warming is a problem? by HiThere · · Score: 1

      If that goes off, there are at least two reasons I won't be worrying about global warming anymore.

      --

      I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
    3. Re:You think global warming is a problem? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It is also scientifically provable that your mom just called down the basement stairs. She has to step out for a few hours but there's some nice soup on the stove and your laundry is dry and folded up on your bed.

    4. Re:You think global warming is a problem? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, if you disregard all the facts, make up your own when you want, and remain intent that you can do everything you have been doing and nothing will change, then, yes, global warming can be proved a hoax.

    5. Re:You think global warming is a problem? by citab · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Then why aren't you posting the facts that prove it a hoax? Put up or STFU!

    6. Re:You think global warming is a problem? by mweather · · Score: 1

      If it is a hoax, it would definitely be scientifically provable. Kinda makes you wonder why it hasn't, given all the effort put forth to do so.

    7. Re:You think global warming is a problem? by tuxgeek · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      On a serious side
      I wonder if this magma chamber is part of the chamber under Washington state:
      "studies that verify a plume of hot and molten rock at least 410 miles deep that rises at an angle from the northwest"

      On the not quite so funny side, if this super volcano/magma chamber erupts, the particulate material will add to global cooling. It's already known that most particulate pollution from the industrial nations are slowing the CO warming of the atmosphere by the material shielding some of the solar radiation, thus reducing the run away greenhouse effect caused by industrialization.

      I realize this contradicts what the repubs in congress think, but those jackoffs are either morons or on the payroll of big oil and big coal. I choose to believe the latter

      --
      "Suppose you were an idiot...and suppose you were a member of Congress...but I repeat myself." Mark Twain
    8. Re:You think global warming is a problem? by FatdogHaiku · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      I totally reject your supposition!

      I respectfully submit that "those jackoffs" can indeed be morons AND on the payroll of big oil and big coal simultaneously.

      --
      You have the right to remain sentient. If you give up the right to remain sentient, you will be elected to public office
    9. Re:You think global warming is a problem? by nhytefall · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      I realize this contradicts what the repubs in congress think, but those jackoffs are either morons or on the payroll of big oil and big coal. I choose to believe the latter

      I choose to believe both.

      --
      0100010001101001011001 0100100000011010010110 1110001000000110000100 1000000110011001101001 0111001001100101
    10. Re:You think global warming is a problem? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Was that -1 flamebait (no sense of humor) or -1 flamebait (uncomfortable truth)?

    11. Re:You think global warming is a problem? by tautog · · Score: 1

      I realize this contradicts what the repubs in congress think, but those jackoffs are either morons or on the payroll of big oil and big coal. I choose to believe the latter

      I'm inclined to contend that BOTH are true.

  2. Multitalented! by Just+Some+Guy · · Score: 2, Funny

    University of Utah research professor of geophysics Robert Smith led four separate studies

    Abstract:

    The first time I saw lightning strike, I saw it underground.

    --
    Dewey, what part of this looks like authorities should be involved?
    1. Re:Multitalented! by h4rm0ny · · Score: 1


      Okay, what???

      --

      Aide-toi, le Ciel t'aidera - Jeanne D'Arc.
    2. Re:Multitalented! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I hear he loves cats too.

    3. Re:Multitalented! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Informative

      Robert Smith is the singer of The Cure, "The first time I saw lightning strike, I saw it underground." is a line in a Cure song ("Hot Hot Hot" I believe.)

    4. Re:Multitalented! by mrdoogee · · Score: 1

      I wonder if he fought Mecha-Barbara Streisand while he was doing those studies.

    5. Re:Multitalented! by AnotherUsername · · Score: 1
      --
      I don't like Linux. This doesn't make me a troll.
    6. Re:Multitalented! by xaositects · · Score: 1

      all grey ones

    7. Re:Multitalented! by Gilmoure · · Score: 1

      Ah, one of these popular music bands that can be received on the radio tuning device.

      --
      I drank what? -- Socrates
    8. Re:Multitalented! by jbezorg · · Score: 1

      Ah, one of these popular music bands that can be received on the radio tuning device.

      Residing in the "Where are they now?" file.

      --
      I've lost all my marbles except one & It's fun to test angular & centripetal acceleration in my skull
  3. I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by 3.5+stripes · · Score: 1

    and probably seeing the sun.

    If that goes off, waiting for a world killing asteroid won't be necessary.

    --


    He tried to kill me with a forklift!
    1. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by jameskojiro · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Yellowstone has gone off in the past and it didn't kill off all the large land animals, sure it screwed up North America for a whiel and lowered global temps several degrees, but it isn't the end of the world.

      --
      Tsukasa: All I really want, is to be left alone...
    2. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by 3.5+stripes · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Meh, doesn't have to kill off everything to doom the human race.

      --


      He tried to kill me with a forklift!
    3. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by Rogerborg · · Score: 5, Funny

      In what weird alternative reality is screwing up North America not the end of the world? You're either with us, or with the volcanoes.

      --
      If you were blocking sigs, you wouldn't have to read this.
    4. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by thisnamestoolong · · Score: 1

      People seem to feel that any major setback in our society means that the world and humanity are both done. Even if society totally collapsed, there would be enough information left over for people to rebuild eventually. Sure, things would be a mess for a while. Even if it took a few hundred years for us to bounce back, that would be a tiny blip on geological and historical time. We are social primates that gravitate toward organization, society would rebuild itself eventually as long as there are enough humans left alive to repopulate the Earth. With the amount of places we have to hide and how wily we apes are capable of being (particularly when it comes down to survival), it would take something quite a bit more catastrophic than this to wipe us out. In short, the supervolcano will really suck if it goes off, but it is far from a game ender for us (although it certainly would be curtains for the U.S., the global economy, and western civilization as we know it).

      --
      To the haters: You can't win. If you mod me down, I shall become more powerful than you could possibly imagine
    5. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by localman57 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Even if society totally collapsed, there would be enough information left over for people to rebuild eventually.

      The problem as I see it is that the Earth we've created isn't the Earth it was 100 years ago. Asssume for a moment that the population is reduced to 10% of what it is now. Would there be enough resources to keep all of our nuclear reactors, chemical plants, etc from leaking unprecidented amounts of poison into the environment. While the orignal volcano/virus/starvation/flood/PickYourCatastrophe probably wouldn't finish us off, perhaps the slow rotting of our own creations would.

    6. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ok, I never heard that one before. How long exactly is a whiel?

    7. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      My thoughts exactly. This thing will be taking half of American soil with it. I'm thinking America will look more like Europe afterwards.

    8. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Every time I played Sim Earth and dropped an asteroid/volcano/some other catastrophe on the primate population of my little earth, those damned Ducks rose and took over!

      Man will decline and the Mallards will rule!

    9. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by Lord+Lode · · Score: 1

      So far I don't think we've done or created anything that comes near to the effect of natural disasters such as a volcano or meteor strike or tsuname or... If humans are gone, the nuclear reactors left won't have any significant effect on wildlife I think, other than a few fishes with 3 eyes.

    10. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by thisnamestoolong · · Score: 1

      The amount of poison that all of our chemical plants and reactors would be able to put into the atmosphere is absolutely nothing compared to the Earth's machinery for correcting such things.

      --
      To the haters: You can't win. If you mod me down, I shall become more powerful than you could possibly imagine
    11. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by gmuslera · · Score: 1

      Definately will be the end of the world as we know it, and at a far much larger scale that it happens every second. If you thought that Katrina, 9/11, WWII, black plage or most (all?) events in the written history changed everything, just wait till this happens.

    12. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by mrdoogee · · Score: 1

      Let's send all the volcanoes to secret prisons in eastern Europe. In fact, we'd better pick up the earthquake faults just to be sure. And ban nail clippers again.

    13. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by Wyatt+Earp · · Score: 2, Interesting

      If this went off and killed, say 65% of the North American population (I won't go 90% because not even an all out nuclear exchange with the USSR would have killed 90%). Yes, there would be enough resources to keep things in check.

      Chemical plants aren't the issue, its the nuclear cooling ponds from what I've read and seen on TV. There isn't much around Yellowstone to be consumed by lava, its going to be the ash fall out that is the real killer here. I have faith, the big chemical, nuclear and power companies have alot of plans written up and I believe they'll secure things to their best ability.

      Once the ash falls there will be record agricultural output for years without need of fertilizer, the collapse of the fishing industry will lead to resurgent ocean stocks.

    14. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by thisnamestoolong · · Score: 2, Informative

      From what I hear, life is doing BETTER around Chernobyl than in other comparable, non Nuclear Disaster areas. This is probably due to the lack of humans in the area, but it goes to show how resilient life is -- living things really, really, really want to keep living and will do whatever it takes.

      --
      To the haters: You can't win. If you mod me down, I shall become more powerful than you could possibly imagine
    15. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      if i had mod points, i would have modded you up. I've never thought about that. thanks for making me think.

    16. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by geekoid · · Score: 2, Insightful

      You should stop getting your science facts from news outlets.
      It won't destroy the world, or even come close to killing a significant percentage of people.
      It might kill, maybe, 100 Million people with another 20 million as the results of disruption of service.
      And that's worse case, OMG I can't believe we were this unlucky scenario.

      Unless of course we are bombarded by magic neutrinos from the sun.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    17. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by Monsieur+Canard · · Score: 1

      Eddie Izzard was right!

      --
      He took a duck to the face at 250 knots.
    18. Re: I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by Black+Parrot · · Score: 1

      sure it screwed up North America for a whiel and lowered global temps several degrees, but it isn't the end of the world.

      In fact, it will actually help with the global warming problem!

      --
      Sheesh, evil *and* a jerk. -- Jade
    19. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by wall0159 · · Score: 1

      Well, it sure is good to know that not "all the large land animals" will necessarily be killed off. I think it's a good bet that such an eruption would mean at least the end of human civilisation (if not human extinction).

      But no, the Earth would still keep orbiting the sun, if that comforts you ;-)

    20. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I think it's a good bet that such an eruption would mean at least the end of human civilisation (if not human extinction).

      It won't mean human extinction. Period.

      It may or may not mean the end of human civilization (for the time being). Whether it actually does depends on just how dependent the rest of the world is on the USA. If the collapse of the USA disrupts the rest of civilization enough to bring the whole house of cards crashing down, then civilzation falls.

      If, on the other hand, the world has sufficiently recovered from WW2 that the USA is no longer crucial to civilization (note that "not crucial" is NOT the same as "not important"), then civilization will be damaged, but will recover in a relatively short time (say, 30-50 years, like the recovery from WW2).

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    21. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by Dekker3D · · Score: 1

      about two tiems and a short lol to the moon. more or less.

      *wishes for a +1, weird but amusing*

    22. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yellowstone has gone off in the past and it didn't kill off all the large land animals, sure it screwed up North America for a whiel and lowered global temps several degrees, but it isn't the end of the world.

      solution to global warming?

    23. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by Nadaka · · Score: 1

      It won't end human civilization much less our species. Worst case scenario? Canada and the US are mostly killed off and then taken over by other nations. There are a few years of hardship for the rest of the world, but as a species we will recover. Being one of those Americans, I will personally find it devastating. but hell, I have always dreamed about living in a post apocalyptic wasteland, could be fun.

    24. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by Chyeld · · Score: 2, Interesting
    25. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by mpdolan37 · · Score: 1

      I for one welcome our new volcano overlord

      --
      Facts are useless, they can be used to prove anything.
    26. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The amount of poison that all of our chemical plants and reactors would be able to put into the atmosphere is absolutely nothing compared to the Earth's machinery for correcting such things.

      Unlike say, our lungs and bodies.

    27. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by JDeane · · Score: 2, Interesting

      "Once the ash falls there will be record agricultural output for years without need of fertilizer,"

      The bad part is that for a few years before that happens there will also be record agricultural output... almost non existent.

      The sun being kinda important for crops to grow.

      Might be some problems with cattle too. I hear they like things like grain or corn or grass to eat.... could be a problem for a couple of years.

      The fish might recover after a while, the oceans having there alkalinity levels changed massively after having a billion tons of ash washed into them by the storms... They too would experience very hard times. The sun being blocked for even 1 year would result in massive die offs of fish. I guess algae works off of sunlight too, the smaller fish eat the algae the bigger fish them so the cycle gets broken for a bit.

    28. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by Wyatt+Earp · · Score: 1

      I was thinking longer term. After 60-80% of the northern hemisphere civilization is destroyed.

      I'm not up on what happened to the fish in the Pacific Northwest after Mt St Helens.

    29. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by DragonWriter · · Score: 1

      Yellowstone has gone off in the past and it didn't kill off all the large land animals, sure it screwed up North America for a whiel and lowered global temps several degrees, but it isn't the end of the world.

      Heck, even killing off all the large land animals wouldn't be the end of the world.

      OTOH -- especially given the interdependence of modern economies (and remember, that's not just money but the production and distribution of all kinds of goods) -- even without the global environmental effects, the major regional effects in North America would have fairly significant global consequences. It wouldn't be the end of the world, or even, most likely, of human civilization, but it would probably be the closest thing to it since there was civilization in the first place.

    30. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But it is the end of the world as we know it, and I feeeeeeel fiiiiiiiiine

    31. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by MrMr · · Score: 1

      Well, at least you give us an option; I've heard worse.
      From North America as well.

    32. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by Hurricane78 · · Score: 1

      At least the volcanoes don’t invade us, when there is some resource to exploit...

      --
      Any sufficiently advanced intelligence is indistinguishable from stupidity.
    33. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by Gilmoure · · Score: 1

      Reminds me of H. Beam Piper's vision of the future; North America, Europe and Asia devastated by nuclear exchange, with Argentina and South Africa the two new power houses of the world.

      --
      I drank what? -- Socrates
    34. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by stonewallred · · Score: 2, Funny

      Who cares as long as Bliz keeps the servers up. I never see the sun anyway, and all my food is frozen in my freezer.

    35. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by ravenshrike · · Score: 1

      Well, then there's the fact that without American food stocks and the poor growing seasons immediately following the eruption would cause worldwide famine, at least as things currently stand.

    36. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by aardvarkjoe · · Score: 2, Informative

      Yes, very informative, moderators.

      That must be why millions of people died in India, after an accident at a chemical plant, in the 1980s.

      I think he's probably referring to this accident. According to Wikipedia, the estimates of the death toll seem to range from 15000 to 35000. That's only "millions" in RIAA math.

      Despite our best efforts, man-made disasters are pitiful compared to what nature has managed to do.

      --

      How can we continue to believe in a just universe and freedom to eat crackers if we have no ale?
    37. Re: I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      It may temporarily help with global warming but it won't last that long. The aerosols and SO2 pumped into the atmosphere will have a cooling effect but that probably won't last more than a decade or so. A super volcano eruption may be a case where a volcano actually does pump enough CO2 into the atmosphere to be truly significant in adding to global warming.

    38. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      YEAH! Screw those volcanoes! They are terrorists!

      NUKE THEM! NUKE ALL OF THEM!

    39. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by VenomPhallus · · Score: 1

      Not sure about this. We've depleted a lot of the resources that we used to power our technological leaps; and most certainly the ones that are easily accessible. Without those, it'd be a lot harder to rebuild.

    40. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by clemdoc · · Score: 1

      Millions? I call bullshit. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bhopal#Bhopal_disaster http://lmgtfy.com/?q=bhopal+disaster While the disaster shouldn't be belittled, it isn't helpful to exaggerate this way.

    41. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by BobMcD · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Tambora's 1815 eruption seems to have led to a Little Ice Age. It was a seven on the Volcanic Explosivity Index.

      Yellowstone rates an eight, at ten times the magnitude.

      "A few years" of hardship seems like a really conservative estimate.

    42. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by voidphoenix · · Score: 1

      The ash will sterilize the earth for a while. No crops for years. Look up Pinatubo.

    43. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by RobertM1968 · · Score: 5, Informative

      Actually, that's not quite true. An eruption of the magnitude of some of Yellowstone's earlier ones is believed to be a mass extinction event.

      So, yes, it wont kill off all the large land animals... it will only kill off most of them (studies show figures speculating 70-90%). Sadly, I have yet to see a study that shows how much more of the human population will be killed off by each other in the fight for resources.

      It is also believed that such an eruption will kill off most plant life on the planet, which will then take years to regenerate. While the initial explosion may only kill off millions or hundreds of millions, it is the subsequent damage that will cause the mass extinction event. Once the plantlife near entirely dies out, so do most of the livestock, and thus us (those of us who survive the initial explosion). In addition, our current infrastructure is not designed to filter out the massive amounts of sulfides that will rain into the water for many years... ie: very little drinking water for most. If you have drinking water provided by ground wells in deep aquifers, great! But most drinking water is provided by reservoirs, which will become highly contaminated.

      Keep in mind, Yellowstone has had numerous "violent" (understatement) eruptions... most people forget about the truly "violent" ones such as the one 600,000 years ago.

      Two of Yellowstone's caldera forming eruptions are among the largest eruptions ever known to have occurred on Earth. Smaller eruptions by other volcanoes have accounted for mass extinction events hitting the 65-70% extinction level.

      Most people don't have the slightest clue just how explosive an eruption Yellowstone can have (or has had in the past). A simple look at the geography (or lack thereof) of the region that Yellowstone's caldera sits in and that the hotspot has moved through will reveal this though. As a matter of fact, that lack of geography is what originally led explorers to not notice the massive caldera... it wasnt until one realized that the lack of specific geological features (and realizing the massive lake he was observing were the rest of the geological features) was indeed the volcano itself.

      For instance, what you will find missing along the Yellowstone hotspot's line of travel are... oh, such minor things as... an entire section of the mountain range it sits in.

      Unlike "conventional" volcanoes, Yellowstone does not build mountains... it reduces them to near nothingness, leaving depressions in the earth where they used to exist. The hotspot alone is bigger than some of our smaller states, and the caldera is big enough to fit whole towns and small cities in it - or even decent sized cities/boroughs... like Brooklyn - IN the caldera. 34 MILES by 45 MILES in size... and that doesnt count the hotspot below it which is much more massive - that's just the size of the "opening" created in the last volcanic eruption.

      I guess, technically, you are correct... it wont be the end of the world... but it will be the end of almost all land dwelling life on it. Then again, there are theories that a truly catostrophic eruption may be the end, or close to it, of the world, as the stresses shift the planet's orbit and/or create severe damage to the tectonic plates...

    44. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by sabt-pestnu · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Curiously, I could not locate the paper referred to in the link you pointed out.

      I did find this paper talking about two particular bird species that seemed to avoid nesting in highly contaminated sites, which factor might be reflected in the study your article quoted.

      Your study quoted "some areas with hundreds of animals per square meter, others with none". I can think of examples of both: right on an ant hill; and the middle of an abandoned paved lot. Without actually looking at the study, it's hard to tell if they were playing fair with the numbers. ... and sometimes not even then.

    45. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by maxwell+demon · · Score: 1

      Well, in India there live about 1 billion people. With about 48 deaths per 100 people each year, this means 48 million people dying in India each year. That incident was in December 1984, that is, 25 years ago. Therefore, approximately 1200 million people died after the accident. That's clearly millions. Indeed, more people in India died after the accident than were living there when the accident happened.

      But maybe the "in the 1980s" referred to the date range where the deaths are to be counted, instead of telling approximately when the accident was. In that case, of course only 240 million people died in India after the accident, in the 1980s. But that's still millions.

      He clearly didn't mean that millions died because of the accident, because otherwise he would have written that. :-)

      (Note to humor-impaired readers: Yes, I do know that "died after the accident" usually means "died because of the accident" - no need to correct me.)

      --
      The Tao of math: The numbers you can count are not the real numbers.
    46. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by RobertM1968 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      If this went off and killed, say 65% of the North American population (I won't go 90% because not even an all out nuclear exchange with the USSR would have killed 90%). Yes, there would be enough resources to keep things in check.

      I wonder how correct you are... probably not at all. It's not just the explosion (to which our nukes pale in comparison - I mean, c'mon, really... nukes dont reduce mountains to nothing... Yellowstone has, on more than one occassion, leaving basins and lakes where there were mountains at one time).

      It's much of the other factors that will kill off more than 65% of life worldwide (not just in North America). We've had smaller eruptions by other volcanoes that we are pretty sure have accounted for 65% worldwide extinctions... Yellowstone's previous eruptions make some of those eruptions look like a firecracker.

      Once the ash falls there will be record agricultural output for years without need of fertilizer, the collapse of the fishing industry will lead to resurgent ocean stocks.

      Not quite... the ash (which will fall across the globe, as it has in the past) will contain sulfides, and be falling in acid rain. It will first KILL most of the crops, vegetation and so on, that is on the planet... later, the plantlife will recover, but by then, how many animals (people included) will perish due to no food? Even meat eaters cannot survive when the plants that their meat-creatures eat are all dead - thus causing them to die too.

    47. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by sabt-pestnu · · Score: 1

      They got eaten by scientists after a period of torture.

    48. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by jbengt · · Score: 1

      If Yellowstone blows full on, you're talking smothering ashfalls as far away as Iowa. In addition to many millions dead immediately, agriculture would be devastated throughout the world, and for years in North America. The world hasn't seen anything like it in over 600,000 years. Civilization may recover in a few millenia, but I wouldn't use the term "bounce back".

    49. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by RobertM1968 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Studies, by scientists who have studied Yellowstone for years, disagree. An eruption like the one 640,000 years ago, is expected to be a worldwide mass extinction event. The fallout effects (acid rain, no sunlight for years, etc) are also expected to be quite global. The effect to plant life is expected to be near extinction. The effect to animal life (especially when you realize there is little plant life to sustain the herbivores and omnivores) is thus near extinction.

      Current estimates, by people far more knowlegeable than you or I, range from the 70-90% global mass extinction range.

      Of course, that is assuming another catastrophic eruption. A lesser eruption, like some of Yellowstone's smaller ones, is likely to NOT have such catastrophic effects.

    50. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by Arancaytar · · Score: 3, Funny

      We need to strike preemptively. War On Seismology! Nuke Yellowstone today!

    51. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by Wyatt+Earp · · Score: 1

      My comment about ash fall and crops was based on what happened downwind of St Helens to Idaho grain.

      http://jeq.scijournals.org/cgi/content/abstract/13/1/91

      Looking around, apparently it didn't hurt or help.

    52. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by RobertM1968 · · Score: 2, Informative

      You do realize that at least two of Yellowstone's previous eruptions are more powerful than every nuclear weapon we have times TEN. Or a "measly" 875,000 Megatons...

      Check this out for some great comparisons of the relative power of volcanoes, nukes, bombs, etc...

    53. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by Columcille · · Score: 2, Insightful

      They invade us for territory. Their magma population has grown and they want land to spread. They don't care about resources, per se, but they sure want our land.

      --
      I love my sig.
    54. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by RobertM1968 · · Score: 1

      Except, Yellowstone's eruption was 8,000 times more massive (in terms of ash fall) than Mt St Helens. With a subsequent increase in the amount of acid rain, and thusly also a massive increase in years without a sun. Something Mt St Helens didnt accomplish at all.

      Those are the key differences... near a decade of global winter and day as night, years of acid rain, and global ash fall 8,000 times larger than Mt St Helens.

      And that is the reason why though Mt St Helens may not have made much difference, Yellowstone will. Heck, the expelled content from the initial explosion (not the ash fall from the winds, etc) will cover most of the country.

    55. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      An eruption like the one 640,000 years ago, is expected to be a worldwide mass extinction event.

      Serious question: how come the eruption 640,000 years ago wasn't a mass extinction event? Wasn't the eruption 2.1 million years ago supposed to have been even larger?

    56. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The one problem I foresee is getting back onto the horse as it where.

      By that I mean the raw materials and energy required to kick start production of technology would be very difficult as the very technology to mine for those raw materials requires some in the first place.

      It's not as if coal, iron seams or oil are just bubbling out of the ground in quantity and with the required quality like they where at the start of the industrial revolution.

      *shrugs*

    57. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by clemdoc · · Score: 1

      point taken. however, if we shall continue the interpretation based on the meaning of words - rather than the meaning of phrases in the predominant context of /. - I would argue that 'why' is most definitely a reference to causality. anyway, this is getting way off topic, especially as a discussion caused by a one line AC post.

    58. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by pydev · · Score: 1

      At least the volcanoes don’t invade us, when there is some resource to exploit...

      Unless you're from Iraq or Afghanistan, your comment is rather misplaced.

      If you are from Europe or Asia, you really have no grounds for such comments. You may whine about the Americans, but you have no qualms about reaping the benefits, your countries depend on Middle Eastern oil much more than the US, your countries ship weapons to dictators, and you simply won't invest enough in your own defense.

    59. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

      Reminds me of H. Beam Piper's vision of the future; North America, Europe and Asia devastated by nuclear exchange, with Argentina and South Africa the two new power houses of the world.

      And Australia, mustn't forget them - "the Melbourne Times, formerly of London"....

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    60. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by turbidostato · · Score: 1

      "Even if society totally collapsed, there would be enough information left over for people to rebuild eventually."

      Why the descendants of the event would want or need to?

      While information is a treasure is not the most valuable posession of the human race: it's intelligence. And as long as there are humans over there, their intelligence will be with them. On the other hand, why would somebody want to "rebuild" a failed civilization when they can build a different one anew?

    61. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by Goaway · · Score: 3, Interesting

      For instance, what you will find missing along the Yellowstone hotspot's line of travel are... oh, such minor things as... an entire section of the mountain range it sits in.

      I was wondering if you were exaggerating, so I looked up the map:

      http://maps.google.com/maps?f=q&source=s_q&hl=en&geocode=&q=yellowstone&sll=37.0625,-95.677068&sspn=44.60973,63.28125&ie=UTF8&hq=&hnear=Yellowstone,+Portland,+Multnomah,+Oregon&ll=43.47684,-113.411865&spn=5.133958,7.910156&t=p&z=7

      Yeah, that's just a little bit creepy right there.

      (Compare with http://geodyn.ess.ucla.edu/~hernlund/humphreys-nicemap.jpg)

    62. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by RobertM1968 · · Score: 1

      If memory serves, it was a mass extinction event. As was the Lake Toba eruption - estimated 65%-80% (or far more) mass extinction. It left only a few thousand humans alive worldwide. That was about 60-70,000 years ago.

      ...it had global consequences, killing most humans then alive and creating a population bottleneck in Central Eastern Africa and India that affected the genetic inheritance of all humans today.

      To give you an idea of comparitive eruptive forces/volumes, etc... Toba's eruption was either a VEI7 or VEI8 (some references disagree).

      Both the 2.2 million year ago and 640,000 year ago Yellowstone eruptions were most definitely VEI8, and near the absolute top of the list.

      As a matter of fact, those two Yellowstone eruptions are two of the largest eruptions believed to have ever taken place on Earth.

      The 2.2 million year ago one was the third largest explosive volcanic eruption in Earth's history.

      The one 640,000 years ago created a tuff 590–660 ft thick, that covered half the country. And of course, that doesnt even include later global fallout over the ensuing years.

      It is expected that a similar eruption now would kill virtually all life within a 600+ mile range by just the falling ash, lava flows and the sheer explosive force of the eruption.

      At least, that is what scientists are theorizing.

      The problems are, the last such explosion (Toba) left virtually no one alive to record and analyze the event - assuming they even had enough of a developed written language (if any) and an understanding of geophysics, to make such observations.

      That too (since Yellowstone's last gigantic eruption was 640,000 years ago) is the problem with gathering evidence of that and earlier eruptions.

    63. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by RobertM1968 · · Score: 1

      On a related note, just like Yellowstone's big eruptions, The Toba eruption left nothing, geologically speaking. That is why you cannot find a "Mt Toba" - it is now called "Lake Toba" as the land mass there is no more. It is now a lake 62 miles long and 18 miles wide, and 1,666 ft at its deepest point.

    64. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by RobertM1968 · · Score: 1

      Yeah, scary as all hell, isn't it? A whole chunk of the rockies that simply no longer exists...

      To make it even scarier, you should see "3D" or perspective maps of the area where you can see the height of the surrounding mountain ranges - and the lack thereof where Yellowstone and it's hotspot sits.

      Those two maps make it even scarier, since it shows the missing mountains stretching across states like someone took a massive bulldozer and ripped out a big valley right through the mountain range.

    65. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by Eravnrekaree · · Score: 1

      That is a very good point. I have always wondered about that with Nuclear that if the knowledge was somehow lost regarding the need to proactively contain nuclear waste, this waste could eventually end up causing widespread environmental disaster and actually the DNA destruction of life itself. Nuclear waste, what makes it particularly horrific is the radiation literally blasts DNA to peices, no life will survive that.

      part of the reason the US wanted to store this stuff in a central location was that by putting it all in one spot it is much easier to maintain and monitor, and if it did leak the mess would be centralised at one place. The abondment of the plan to store it there was nothing more than political posturing as it is far more dangerous to leave the stuff where it is now.

    66. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by Govno · · Score: 1

      They got eaten by scientists after a period of torture.

      This made me laugh right out loud. Bravo!

    67. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by steelfood · · Score: 1

      Life will probably continue for a long time as long as the number of people dying and the number of people being created are at an equillibrium. But life as we know it can all disappear in the blink of an eye.

      Humans will probably survive any natural disaster so long as the planet is still around. Humanity may not.

      --
      "If a nation expects to be ignorant and free in a state of civilization, it expects what never was and never will be."
    68. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by RobertM1968 · · Score: 1

      Wow, you could fit a very large portion of the Appalachian Mountain Range in that valley...

    69. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by RobertM1968 · · Score: 1

      Another note on this... 640,000 years ago, humans were confined to a very small area on the other side of the world (Africa) and more likely to survive than now (or than 70,000 years ago, when we had spread out across Europe and Asia). Africa was probably one of the most inhabitable places on Earth when Yellowstone went off 640,000 years ago. Maybe a nice balmy 20-60 degrees... during the "mini" ice age it's eruption created, which scientists theorize lowered the surface temperature 20-30 degrees.

    70. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by Ornedan · · Score: 1

      That is a very good point. I have always wondered about that with Nuclear that if the knowledge was somehow lost regarding the need to proactively contain nuclear waste, this waste could eventually end up causing widespread environmental disaster and actually the DNA destruction of life itself. Nuclear waste, what makes it particularly horrific is the radiation literally blasts DNA to peices, no life will survive that.

      part of the reason the US wanted to store this stuff in a central location was that by putting it all in one spot it is much easier to maintain and monitor, and if it did leak the mess would be centralised at one place. The abondment of the plan to store it there was nothing more than political posturing as it is far more dangerous to leave the stuff where it is now.

      You are so incredibly wrong that it's not really possible to explain to you without taking a few books worth of words. But to start with everything you seem to know about molecular biology, radioactivity and nuclear waste is more or less wrong.

    71. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by steelfood · · Score: 1

      It's about scale, and on the same vein, energy. Humans aren't quite capable of harnessing energies on a global scale. In fact, a good number are quite unable to handle energies greater than what a car would produce. Thus, no human-created disasters can even begin to approach that level. Earthquakes and supervolcanos on the other hand, are of that scale, albeit on the low end.

      Of course, destructive humans can potentially create disasters of that magnitude. But most humans are terribly good at self-preservation, to the point where they won't do such a thing no matter how tempting it might be.

      --
      "If a nation expects to be ignorant and free in a state of civilization, it expects what never was and never will be."
    72. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by Nadaka · · Score: 1

      And humanity survived that pretty easily, didn't we?

    73. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by Chris+Burke · · Score: 3, Funny

      Despite our best efforts, man-made disasters are pitiful compared to what nature has managed to do.

      We can do better! I know we can! We just need the drive and the will.

      --

      The enemies of Democracy are
    74. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by BobMcD · · Score: 1

      Survived, yes, but not easily, per se. Did you know, for example, that the Little Ice Age is why Americans prefer beer to wine? All the grapes died off making wine an expensive import.

      The Yellowstone version will be ten times worse.

      In my mind I'm picturing all of every kind of plant dieing off.

    75. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by MrHanky · · Score: 1

      And you know this because of what? Wishful thinking?

    76. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by element-o.p. · · Score: 1

      You do realize that North America != USA, right?

      --
      MCSE? No, sir...I don't do Windows. Yes, I am an idealist. What's your point?
    77. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by Nadaka · · Score: 1

      Ten times more energetic does not equal ten times worse. There is a 4 dimensional component to the effect of this kind of release. The eruption will take longer, rise higher and cover a wider area. All things considered you are probably looking at about 2 times more effect.

      -In my mind I'm picturing all of every kind of plant dieing off.

      Keep picturing that, it doesn't make it so. The yellow stone super-volcano blows every 650 000 years or so. North America is full plants and animals that have existed here for millions of years. North America will be hard hit, but not destroyed. The rest of the world will continue on as it has for a long time.

    78. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by steelfood · · Score: 1

      I know! We can invade it! They have oil there, right?

      --
      "If a nation expects to be ignorant and free in a state of civilization, it expects what never was and never will be."
    79. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Even if society totally collapsed, there would be enough information left over for people to rebuild eventually.

      Are you sure about that? Let's realize that we have been exploiting the easy resources for several 1,000 years now. Not there aren't a lot left but we have been using increasingly sophisticated (read, technologically advanced) techniques to get at them in the last few hundred years. If we get blasted back to the stone age there aren't likely to be the readily available resources that were there to start-up the bronze age, iron age, etc. We could be stuck in a low tech, subsistence existence forever.

    80. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by budgenator · · Score: 1

      A foot of volcanic ash soaks up a lot of toxic chemicals, so no worries there.

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    81. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by dov_0 · · Score: 1

      Even if an eruption rivaled Krakatoa, we are not really talking about the destruction of a nation. Major emergency, yes. Short term lowering of worldwide temperatures, yes, but loss of a nation? No. Some might even say that the loss of Washington would be a good thing for the USA.

      The major damage would probably be like other volcanic eruptions. Local area earthquakes, pyroclastic flows and general poisonous gas hazards. Larger area inundation with ash, depending on prevailing winds.

      --
      sudo mount --milk --sugar /cup/tea /mouth /etc/init.d/relax start
    82. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by riverat1 · · Score: 2, Funny

      Problem with that is that Yellowstone is a suicide bomber with a deadman switch.

    83. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The ash is like glass. It contaminates open waters with razor sharp particles which when breathed in cause internal bleeding and a cement like mass forming to the lungs, causing death. The Toba eruption about 75000 years ago accumulated about 2 meters of ash to the Indian subcontinent alone. If the possible eruption in Yellowstone is even bigger, the ash cower could be at least 2 meters high at the area of the Great Lakes. The ash would probably make it exceedingly difficult to operate any unshielded machinery as it would block any vent that can be blocked.

    84. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      If India's death rate was 48 per 100 their population would be dropping like a rock.

    85. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by Zagnar · · Score: 1

      Pardon me, but if 48 people out of 100 die each year, that's nearly a %50 death rate. I would expect India to have a very tiny population after a few years.

    86. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      I thought the Toba eruption 75,000 years ago was on a similar scale to a Yellowstone eruption.

    87. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by maxwell+demon · · Score: 1

      Oops, typo. It should have been 48 deaths per 1000 people.

      --
      The Tao of math: The numbers you can count are not the real numbers.
    88. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by Grishnakh · · Score: 4, Informative

      This is exactly right. That's why radon gas, which is radioactive, is so incredibly dangerous: every time it seeps into someone's basement, it literally blasts the occupants' DNA to pieces, though slowly. So instead of whole subdivisions of people dying quickly from this radon gas, they turn into flesh-eating zombies, and infect people in surrounding homes and developments.

      Luckily, our government has been very good at containing these zombie outbreaks, eliminating all the zombies, and keeping the whole thing very quiet to avoid public hysteria. That's why you never hear about it.

      Don't even get me started about the zombism caused by the radiation from dental X-rays. There's a conspiracy by the ADA (American Dental Association) to hide the truth about all the people turned into zombies by dental X-rays.

    89. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by AmigaMMC · · Score: 1
      It's a lot more than that. End of the World? Well, it all depends by the meaning of "end" - it's all relative.

      I live one hour from Yellowstone and studied and always been interested by the geology of this place. Yellowstone's supervolcano has had 3 well known major eruptions, the last one, the Lava Creek eruption (which created the Huckleberry caldera where all of Yellowstone Lake resides, and then some - imagine Mount Vesuvius' caldera with its several hundred yards in diameter versus Yellowstone's caldera with its 45 miles diameter) deposited 3 feet of ashes in Ohio. That was enough to create a nuclear winter around the globe. The next eruption, which in geological times it's due now, might not cause the "end of the world" but sure as hell will make the human race step back to an era before machines.

      On another note there are studies supporting the notions that thousands of life forms went extinct in one of these eruptions. It sure was the end of the world for them.

    90. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by Eravnrekaree · · Score: 1

      could you explain what about it is wrong?

    91. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by Eravnrekaree · · Score: 1

      If it is wrong, why does it cause cancer, birth defects, etc. Are you saying that radioactive materials do not cause birth defects, cancer, etc. Have you seen the recent studies that show CT scans increase cancer risk greatly?

    92. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by amRadioHed · · Score: 1

      You're right but that's not a very convincing example. If having to drink beer instead of wine is a hardship, I can't wait to see what's 10x worse!

      --
      We hope your rules and wisdom choke you / Now we are one in everlasting peace
    93. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by amRadioHed · · Score: 1

      ...but hell, I have always dreamed about living in a post apocalyptic wasteland, could be fun.

      Go for it. Do you have any idea how cheap housing is in Detroit? Mad Max never could have imagined living out the apocalypse in a 3 bedroom house for $10,000.

      --
      We hope your rules and wisdom choke you / Now we are one in everlasting peace
    94. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by amRadioHed · · Score: 1

      Who cares about what happens to the US? The real problem after a super-volcano eruption is the collapse of global agriculture. That is what could easily cause civilization to collapse.

      --
      We hope your rules and wisdom choke you / Now we are one in everlasting peace
    95. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by rhook · · Score: 1

      All that poison came from the earth to begin with, I doubt it would doom the survivors.

    96. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by couchslug · · Score: 1

      "Meh, doesn't have to kill off everything to doom the human race."

      It can kill nearly all humans and not doom the human race.

      --
      "This post is an artistic work of fiction and falsehood. Only a fool would take anything posted here as fact."
    97. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by catmistake · · Score: 1

      That's absurd, and futile. We'll be fine when it blows as long as we develop enough lava vaccine.

    98. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

      Who cares about what happens to the US? The real problem after a super-volcano eruption is the collapse of global agriculture. That is what could easily cause civilization to collapse.

      Last time Yellowstone blew, it didn't cause a Permian-scale extinction event. So there's no special reason to believe it will next time either.

      Which means that global agriculture may be affected, but it likely won't collapse.

      On the other hand, half the USA and a good chunk of Canada is going to be buried in ash. Which means that to the extent that the USA is still crucial to the world's economy (which extent is debatable, but clearly non-zero), the world's economy is going to tank.

      Don't think 2008, think 1929 - a REAL depression.

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    99. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by dryeo · · Score: 1

      I think you misunderstand what a mass extinction event is and how often they happen.
      The last mass-extinction event is considered to be the Cretaceous–Tertiary extinction event which saw the dinosaurs die off. Estimates are 75% of species extinct. Considered to be caused by an asteroid.
      The mass extinctions that are considered to be caused by volcanism all involve massive eruptions, of the type where Yellowstone would be buried. eg eruptions that cover up to 1,500,000 square kilometres and anywhere from 2km to 12km thick. We're talking continent forming eruptions that are easily visible from space like those blue patches on the Moon (Venus has even bigger).
      See http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Extinction_events and http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Flood_basalt

      --
      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inverted_totalitarianism
    100. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by Sabriel · · Score: 1

      Even if an eruption rivaled Krakatoa, we are not really talking about the destruction of a nation.

      You might want to check the VEI link on that page you cite - first section, "Historical Significance".

      Yellowstone's eruptions do not merely rival Krakatoa. They exceed it by two orders of magnitude. There have been no volcanic blasts of comparable size in the past twenty six thousand years of Earth's recorded history. See also this picture and this post's commentary.

    101. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by dov_0 · · Score: 1

      The ash damage still depends on prevailing wind patterns. Seriously though, and this will probably get a troll rating, I don't really think that the majority of the world will really be very upset if the USA snuffs it. I speak with people from all over the world as part of my daily grind and very, very rarely ever find people who support the USA, but a stack of people from many nations who reckon that the US destroyed their country. Oh, we'll see media frenzies and all mouth how horrified we are, then breath a sigh of relief and go back to living life.

      --
      sudo mount --milk --sugar /cup/tea /mouth /etc/init.d/relax start
    102. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by indi0144 · · Score: 1

      I'd say that with half USA nuked out of orbit the world will hopefully try to COOPERATE to speed up reconstruction, meanwhile every country will be so trying to survive to even care about politics or supremacy, obviously there will be wakos and crazy dictators that will lead dumb survivors to fail, But hey! Darwinism will be the everydaymeal then.

      The thing you most fear in case that such tragedy actually happens, is that your country may become "not important"? Because I actually think USA would cease to exist in such event, you may not produce food for decades, Canada and Mexico will be very affected and may not help much. South America will be the same ("ohnoes hard times!" heck we have been living hard shit for ages), Europe will suffer but no critical hit, Asia have shitloads of people, the production facilities and actually brains; Africa? Maybe real state there will take a boom. I really don't know what happens in such situation, my point is: "worrying - you're doing it wrong"

    103. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by indi0144 · · Score: 1

      because I can't grow tomatoes in my underground hydroponic chambers without the explicit consent of some MBA in Ohio?

      I don't get why your priority should be any other than FOOD and a somewhat a healthy shelter.. or moving!, you know, somewhere that is not absolutely and utterly fucked up. Nevermind anyway, if humans FAIL to recover from that, I guess Darwin ideas will outlive his species :) I will personally write in stone those ideas with my last strengths so the new moleman overlords get the facts straight.

    104. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by Sabriel · · Score: 1

      Seriously? You (and those people) underestimate the impact. Severely. Half a continent does not burn without consequences; a superpower does not fall and avoid a power vacuum.

      First, there are over three hundred million people living in the USA (most of them innocent or oblivious of their govt's wrongdoings, for a start sixty million under the age of fourteen). Many would die, many slowly. There would be horrors to match the worst nightmares of WW2.

      Second, the indirect effects on climate, agriculture, finance, industry, politics and war would be felt worldwide. Take war alone: the US MIC may keep many fires lit, but it allows none to spread. The Middle East. India/Pakistan. East Asia. South Asia. Africa. Etcetera. If Yellowstone blew up, I would take no bets on WW3, presuming the world economy didn't crash so badly as to make the Great Depression look like a dimple.

      TLDR: people think the grass is greener on the other side of the fence. If Yellowstone blew, there'd be no grass.

    105. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by dov_0 · · Score: 1

      For most of what you've said, I agree with you. Unfortunately a lot of people don't separate the US people from the US government. The fact that so many Americans actually seem to think that the US is helping the rest of the world and spreading democracy. Many of them even beleive that the USA is a democracy. Well, I guess it is if you have enough money...

      Yes, if Yellowstone blew I'd shed a tear and more than a few for the millions affected. I'd also breath a sigh of relief to see the US gov. gone and dead. Yes, weather patterns would be affected for a few years, but I don't think that the USA really has the impact that you think in the global market anymore. Especially since the latest business, no-one seems to want to deal so much with the Americans anymore and all the while, the US is getting closer and closer to not being able to pay it's debts. That means closer and closer to the US starting another war usually, so it would probably be a great thing for world peace if Yellowstone DID blow.

      --
      sudo mount --milk --sugar /cup/tea /mouth /etc/init.d/relax start
    106. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by True+Grit · · Score: 1

      I thought the Toba eruption 75,000 years ago was on a similar scale to a Yellowstone eruption.

      It was (VEI~=8), and there was actually another one (also VEI~=8) even more 'recent', at ~25,000 years ago, than Toba:

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oruanui_eruption

    107. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by wall0159 · · Score: 1

      "Last time Yellowstone blew, it didn't cause a Permian-scale extinction event"

      The last time Yellowstone blew, there was no species using agriculture to support dense populations. Imagine that the supermarket shelves were empty for 6 months (which isn't very long), and food and fuel distribution broke down. That would probably be enough to introduce anarchy into most countries.

    108. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by wall0159 · · Score: 1

      One more thing ;-)

      "Don't think 2008, think 1929 - a REAL depression."

      I'd be comparing it more to 1300 (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Little_Ice_Age), but probably substantially worse. Btw - I don't live in North America, but think such an eruption would affect the whole world, massively.

    109. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by TheTurtlesMoves · · Score: 1

      Lake Taupo in NZ is also a volcano crater and is a similar size (eye balling in google maps) to lake Yellowstone. It did have a massive explosion but not at the super volcano level like Yellowstone (or so geologist think).

      However there is considerable speculation on just what caused the mass extinction events. Yellowstone is a suggested cause, but is not really universally accepted.

      --
      The Grey Goo disaster happened 3 billion years ago. This rock is covered in self replicating machines!
    110. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by perrin · · Score: 1

      That is way too much hyperbole. None of the recognized mass extinction events were caused by Yellowstone or Toba eruptions. A supervolcanic eruption would be really bad news for humanity, but it would not be a mass extinction event on the scale you are talking about. Such supervolcanic events happen quite frequently, from an evolutionary and geological perspective, with several occurring each million years, while mass extinctions are quite rare.

    111. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by hairyfeet · · Score: 1

      Uhhhh...correct me if I'm wrong, but wouldn't nuclear reactors, if left running without anyone to take care of them, eventually go critical, and thus spread serious amounts of radiation when the top blows like it did in Russia? Or are the auto SCRAM systems built good enough that they would shut themselves down without the need for humans? Because I would think that many nuclear reactors going off and filling the trade winds with radiation would be of the major badness for anybody that was left, considering that Chernobyl fallout reached as far as Ireland.

      And that said, considering how bad this time bomb under Yellowstone would be to our society if it went off, shouldn't we be looking into ways to maybe diffuse it? Maybe allow the pressure to drain slowly, like letting the air out of a tire VS having it blow apart? Of course I didn't see anything on TFA about timelines for possible eruption, and I don't know how good we have gotten at predicting such things so maybe it would be better to not touch it and hope we get better tech down the line.

      --
      ACs don't waste your time replying, your posts are never seen by me.
    112. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1
      You aren't wrong.

      But you are hysterical. In the panicked non-rational way, not the funny way.

      If you've ever traveled in a modern conveyance, you've hurtled head on towards other devices, perhaps at combined speeds of over 140 miles per hour, while traveling with fluids that are so flammable as to be almost explosive. The results of a collision could be horrific. But we all do it without a second thought.

      People will use cell phones glued to their ears for hours a day. But they would quail at the idea of taping a wire to their head that is putting out the same amount of RF power.

      But somehow, some way, it is all worse if it is ionizing radiation.

      People are irrational. They will accept big risks for some things, but not for others. I will die some day. If I reduce the odds that one thing will kill me, all I am doing is raising the odds that other things will kill me. But I will still die. i don't at all expect you to understand that.

      --
      Why is this even on SlashDot?... Why is this even on Slashdot?...Why is this even on Slashdot?
    113. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by DragonWriter · · Score: 1

      [...] especially given the interdependence of modern economies (and remember, that's not just money but the production and distribution of all kinds of goods) -- even without the global environmental effects, the major regional effects in North America would have fairly significant global consequences. It wouldn't be the end of the world, or even, most likely, of human civilization, but it would probably be the closest thing to it since there was civilization in the first place.

      because I can't grow tomatoes in my underground hydroponic chambers without the explicit consent of some MBA in Ohio?

      No, because you can't grow tomatoes in underground hydroponic gardens without a source for grow lamps, electricity or parts/fuel/etc. for your generator, fertilizer, etc.

      And because, even if you could, being able to do subsistence-level food production and the ability to maintain a civilization aren't the same thing.

      I don't get why your priority should be any other than FOOD and a somewhat a healthy shelter..

      I don't get why you think that statement is even relevant to the post you are responding to.

      Nevermind anyway, if humans FAIL to recover from that, I guess Darwin ideas will outlive his species

      I don't think I said that humans would fail to recover. In fact, when I said that it probably wouldn't end civilization, but would probably be the closest thing to it since there has been a civilization to end, I would think that that strongly suggested that I thought humans would recover from it eventually, but that life would suck for pretty much everyone, everywhere for quite a while afterward.

    114. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by CAIMLAS · · Score: 1

      So, yes, it wont kill off all the large land animals... it will only kill off most of them (studies show figures speculating 70-90%). Sadly, I have yet to see a study that shows how much more of the human population will be killed off by each other in the fight for resources.

      Nevermind the number of other mammals which would go extinct in such an event. During the Great Depression, deer (whitetail and mule) almost went extinct due to over-hunting (in North America). If the over-population levels of many mammals were reduced to 30%, with a then-increased fight over the remaining food resources, I suspect that extinction of deer in North America might still come to pass.

      --
      ~/ssh slashdot.org ssh: connect to host slashdot.org port 22: too many beers
    115. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by RobertM1968 · · Score: 1

      While you may not think so, scientist with far more knowledge than us do think so.

      The only difference with Yellowstone is that at it's big eruptions happened when humankind was pretty much confined to one area of Africa.

    116. Re:I'm gonna miss yellowstone.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I love how that comment is marked Informative.

  4. More evidence by For+a+Free+Internet · · Score: 1, Funny

    Save this before it is mysteriously "disapeared" from the Word Wide Web. Haven't I always warned that the Italians were planting Volcanic melten rock underneath our Homeland in order to spread their Italian islamo-communist terror campaign through seismic blackmail?

    --
    UNITE with the Campaign for a Free Internet because today, our future begins with tomorrow!
  5. Is there any way to avoid disaster? by Dripdry · · Score: 2, Interesting

    IF this thing will eventually blow (spewing movie credits all over the northern hemisphere, some might say), is there a way to stop it from happening? Can the volcano be "tapped" to allow the molten rock to ooze out and relieve some of the pressure? Can underground formations be "cracked" with explosives to, perhaps, add additional room underground for all this hot rock?

    While we all go on about climate change, this is something that (from what I understand) could pretty much wipe out North America, and may go off without warning (any help here? I'm not a geologist).

    --
    -
    1. Re:Is there any way to avoid disaster? by gurps_npc · · Score: 5, Informative
      Nope. The energies are so large that we have NO way to tap it. It has more energy than every single power plant on the face of the planet.

      Maybe in 400 to 500 years we will have developed the science. Right now, all we can do is pray.

      --
      excitingthingstodo.blogspot.com
    2. Re:Is there any way to avoid disaster? by Aeros · · Score: 1

      we will have to call in Tommy Lee Jones to stop it. He has experience with this type of natural disaster.

    3. Re:Is there any way to avoid disaster? by gurps_npc · · Score: 5, Informative
      More info. "The Yellowstone Caldera was formed by a massive volcanic explosion some 640,000 years ago that was 2500 times the size of Mount St. Helens. That is about 875000 Megatons (of TNT). This would have caused a mass global die-off as well. "

      A megaton (of TNT) is 4.184 × 1015 joules = 4.184 petajoules . You average Hydrogen bomb has about one megaton. The world has only about 70,000 nuclear bombs (rough estimate, USSR has about 16,000, the USA has about 33,000 - and most are much less powerful than an Hydrogen bomb). So the previous eruption was equal to more than 10 times ALL the existing nuclear bombs.

      --
      excitingthingstodo.blogspot.com
    4. Re:Is there any way to avoid disaster? by Red+Flayer · · Score: 2, Interesting

      My understanding is that it's less likely to go boom than in previous explosions. This is because the hotspot now sits under a much thicker crust (the rocky mountains). But as I saw one geologist quoted, "I wouldn't bet on it either way".

      Maybe there will just be additional pressure built up over more time, with a bigger explosion this time around...

      Anyway, to get back to the idea of pressure being vented... this is currently happening to some extent as fumaroles vent, geysers erupt, hills rise and subside. The question is whether the release of energies is outpaced by the buildup of energy in the system... and the answer is probably no.

      So how would we institute a controlled release of energy? Drill giant holes and pump air through to bleed off heat? If you tap the volcano, considering the pressures involved, you'd likely just precipitate an explosion.

      My suggestion, considering the timescales involved, is to ignore it as anything other than a curiosity. If it blows, put your head between your legs and kiss your ass goodbye. Otherwise, just keep living life.

      --
      "Trolls they were, but filled with the evil will of their master: a fell race..." -- J.R.R. Tolkien on Olog-hai
    5. Re:Is there any way to avoid disaster? by Akaihiryuu · · Score: 2, Informative

      Besides, you know what happens if you try to tap a supervolcano! http://stargate.wikia.com/wiki/Inferno We don't have an Ancient ship to save us from it either.

    6. Re:Is there any way to avoid disaster? by h4rm0ny · · Score: 1


      Now if it were the case that you had to tap away all of that power, then perhaps it can't be done. But presumably, you only have to tap it away as fast as it is accumulating. We don't mind if it is only 100 Somethings away from blowing, if its only accumulating at 0.5 Somethings per day and we can let off that energy at 0.6 Somethings per day.

      Disclaimer: I have no idea what the 'Something's are.

      --

      Aide-toi, le Ciel t'aidera - Jeanne D'Arc.
    7. Re:Is there any way to avoid disaster? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      While we all go on about climate change, this is something that (from what I understand) could pretty much wipe out North America, and may go off without warning (any help here? I'm not a geologist).

      But let's remember the timescale. This doesn't erupt once in every few decades. Or every few centuries. Or every few millenias. Or every few tens of thousands of years (as far as I've understood). There is extremely minimal chance that it would blow when us or our children live. After that... Who knows, maybe WW3 has killed us all off. If not, we might have the technology to handle the problem.

      Sure, we shouldn't leave problems to future generations if we simply can avoid that. However, there is absolutely nothing we can do to this with modern technology. When combined with the fact that it is extremely unlikely to become an issue before technology has advanced well outside the scope of what we can now predict, it's pretty OK to just ignore it.

    8. Re:Is there any way to avoid disaster? by oldspewey · · Score: 1

      Right now, all we can do is pray.

      Tossing a few virgins into the caldera probably wouldn't hurt either.

      --
      If libertarians are so opposed to effective government, why don't they all move to Somalia?
    9. Re:Is there any way to avoid disaster? by gmuslera · · Score: 2

      If this blows, we should run instead. Taking a van with John Cusack as driver will be safe enough, even if we are in right in front of the supervolcano when it explodes.

    10. Re:Is there any way to avoid disaster? by Wyatt+Earp · · Score: 2, Informative

      The US has 9,000 and Russia about 13,000 and about 23,000 total warheads.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_states_with_nuclear_weapons

      Nearly all the US warheads are "hydrogen" bombs, fission-fusion. The most common yield for American bombs is 330-350kt. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thermonuclear_bomb#Hydrogen_bombs

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/W78

      Cruise missile warheads are lower, 10-150kt.

      The US no longer has a 1mt warhead

      Russian warheads are higher yield do to inaccurate missiles, most seem to be 500-600kt.

    11. Re:Is there any way to avoid disaster? by at_slashdot · · Score: 1

      Humans survived the 640,000 years ago eruption, they will survive again... how and in what shape... that's another story...

      --
      "It is our choices, Harry, that show what we truly are, far more than our abilities." -- Prof. Dumbledore
    12. Re:Is there any way to avoid disaster? by geekoid · · Score: 1, Informative

      Wow, never talk about nuclear bombs again. every single 'fact' you have is wrong.
      Hydrogen bombs aren't used any more, most remaining nuclear warheads are over a megaton.

      Plus it doesn't relate in any way to Yellowstone.

      Oh, and the eruption the produced 2500 times Mount St. Helens* was the one from 2.1 million years ago NOT 640,000** years ago.

      * Mount her? I hardly know here.

      ** ought to be enough for anybody.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    13. Re:Is there any way to avoid disaster? by bill_mcgonigle · · Score: 4, Funny

      This is because the hotspot now sits under a much thicker crust (the rocky mountains). But as I saw one geologist quoted, "I wouldn't bet on it either way".

      OK, so I thought I was pretty safe from the Yellowstone Supervolcano where I live, and now you tell me I have to worry about a frikkin Rocky Mountain landing on me?

      --
      My God, it's Full of Source!
      OUTSIDE_IP=$(dig +short my.ip @outsideip.net)
    14. Re:Is there any way to avoid disaster? by damien_kane · · Score: 1

      Right now, all we can do is pray.

      Tossing a few virgins into the caldera probably wouldn't hurt either.

      So i guess, in this case, we should feed the trolls? (to the volcano)

    15. Re:Is there any way to avoid disaster? by geekoid · · Score: 1

      Oh please. There just hasn't been a concerted effort to do so. You don't need to absorb all it's energy at once.

      Of course, when your answer to anything is to pray, then I shouldn't be surprised you don't think it's possible.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    16. Re:Is there any way to avoid disaster? by mpe · · Score: 1

      IF this thing will eventually blow (spewing movie credits all over the northern hemisphere, some might say), is there a way to stop it from happening? Can the volcano be "tapped" to allow the molten rock to ooze out and relieve some of the pressure?

      No, even if it could be done you'd have effectivly created a sizable volcanic erruption. "Oozing" wouldn't work since the flow has to be fast enough that the magma won't cool too much and form a plug.

      Can underground formations be "cracked" with explosives to, perhaps, add additional room underground for all this hot rock?

      Explosives don't magically remove material. If you tried hard enough you could probably produce some more molten rock ("enriched" with some additional uranium and/or plutonium).

    17. Re:Is there any way to avoid disaster? by Waffle+Iron · · Score: 1

      OTOH, the specified 875000 Megatons (3.7e21 joules) is only about 7 years of total human energy consumption at current rates. It would not be inconceivable to tap off that much energy.

      However, I would assume that the total heat energy in the magma dwarfs the amount of energy released in the explosive shock itself. Maybe you'd have to tap off quite a bit more than the explosive power to prevent a magma release. Still, over thousands of years of tapping, it might still make a difference.

    18. Re:Is there any way to avoid disaster? by olsmeister · · Score: 4, Informative

      There has been some evidence that the Toba supervolcano in Indonesia nearly wiped out Homo Sapiens and contributed to a genetic bottleneck.
      http://www.agu.org/pubs/crossref/2009/2008JD011652.shtml
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Toba_catastrophe_theory

    19. Re:Is there any way to avoid disaster? by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

      You average Hydrogen bomb has about one megaton. The world has only about 70,000 nuclear bombs (rough estimate, USSR has about 16,000, the USA has about 33,000 - and most are much less powerful than an Hydrogen bomb).

      The average hydrogen bomb is a lot closer to 250 kt than to 1 Mt, since most of the USA's arsenal (all hydrogen bombs) are below 200 kt.

      Also, I'm curious who you think holds the other 19,000 bombs. Off the top of my head, I can't think of any other nuclear power that has even admitted to 1000 bombs....

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    20. Re:Is there any way to avoid disaster? by FrankSchwab · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Wow, never talk about nuclear bombs again. every single 'fact' you have is wrong.
      According to the CDI: http://www.cdi.org/pdfs/USNuclearArsenal08.pdf most US warheads currently deployed are in the 100-300 KT yield range.

      --
      And the worms ate into his brain.
    21. Re:Is there any way to avoid disaster? by khallow · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Actually, the numbers don't look that bad. If we drained at a rate of a trillion watts (which is roughly the peak generation capacity in the US), that would remove the energy equivalent of a Yellowstone caldera eruption in around a century. Even draining at the rate of a billion watts (which is equivalent to the generation capacity of a nuclear plant) would siphon more energy per unit time than released in the caldera eruptions (and in my view would probably halt them in the long run).

      In turn, a trillion watts is enough to vaporize roughly 440 metric tons of water per second. At a guess, that appears to be more than double the flow rate of the Yellowstone river while it's in Yellowstone. There are other major rivers in the area (particularly the Snake and Madison) and a host of small rivers so we probably could run a system that dumps heat into Yellowstone Lake and vaporizes that much water per second. Now such a system would vastly change the character of the region (thermal features go away, temperature and humidity become much higher,massive industrial infrastructure in place) and lower its value as a wilderness. And to be blunt, it's very likely that the economic value of a relatively pristine wilderness with interesting geological features now is far more than the cost of some calamity a few tens of thousands of years from now.

      Incidentally, Yellowstone Lake has roughly 15 billion metric tons of water. So it would take somewhere around 11 years to completely vaporize that body of water, ignoring replenishment.

    22. Re:Is there any way to avoid disaster? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We are going to die... This time no escape thought. I shall ask my GF to kiss my ass goodbye.

    23. Re:Is there any way to avoid disaster? by seven+of+five · · Score: 1

      Even if you can't use all the energy, there must be some way to bleed it off.

    24. Re:Is there any way to avoid disaster? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, this is slashdot. You came to the right place if you're looking for virgins!

    25. Re:Is there any way to avoid disaster? by mpe · · Score: 1

      My understanding is that it's less likely to go boom than in previous explosions. This is because the hotspot now sits under a much thicker crust (the rocky mountains). But as I saw one geologist quoted, "I wouldn't bet on it either way".

      Until last year people didn't think that volcanos could go "boom" under 4km of water. Until such examples were found under the Artic ocean.

    26. Re:Is there any way to avoid disaster? by Hurricane78 · · Score: 1

      Wouldn’t that mean, that the statement, that all nukes would destroy the whole world were false, or that that explosion destroyed the whole world?

      Seems we exist, hence the second one is a bit unlikely, to put it mildly, ...no?

      --
      Any sufficiently advanced intelligence is indistinguishable from stupidity.
    27. Re:Is there any way to avoid disaster? by Dripdry · · Score: 1

      So what you're saying is that if we tried hard enough, not only would we have a potential bomb the size of Glenn Beck's ego on our hands, but we'd be giving it "nuclear fallout" when it goes off as well?

      --
      -
    28. Re:Is there any way to avoid disaster? by rossdee · · Score: 1

      "Hydrogen bombs aren't used any more,"

      Hydrogen bombs have never been 'used', only tested.
      The only nukes that were used were a uranium fission bomb (on Hiroshima) and a plutonium fission bomb (on Nagasaki).

    29. Re:Is there any way to avoid disaster? by Gilmoure · · Score: 1

      One of the theories as to how explosive eruptions occur is that when pressure is suddenly released over a magma chamber, the dissolved gas within the magma starts bubbling up (open a bottle of pop suddenly) and carries magma up and out.

      Now, for us to try and tap a magma chamber 3-10 miles below ground, we'd likely have to be using some kind of explosive mining technique and when we finally break through to the chamber?

      Kablooie!

      --
      I drank what? -- Socrates
    30. Re:Is there any way to avoid disaster? by hesaigo999ca · · Score: 1

      That's one hell of a zit, if you ask me! Sort of makes me wonder if that supposed asteroid killed of the dinosaurs, maybe it was this perfect volcano???

    31. Re:Is there any way to avoid disaster? by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Not even close with any technology we currently have.

    32. Re:Is there any way to avoid disaster? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Meme density: above average

      Not strong enough to eject the warp core, but definitely getting warm enough to cause concern.

      Sup dawg, I herd u didnt liek forming babby, but I accidentally in your base.

    33. Re:Is there any way to avoid disaster? by BobMcD · · Score: 1

      Humans survived the 640,000 years ago eruption, they will survive again... how and in what shape... that's another story...

      From what I can find, this is incorrect. Homo sapiens had not yet diverged as a species that long ago. It seems it wasn't until at least 100,000 years or so afterwards that this would happen.

      It really ought to stagger you to think of how different that pre-human species was from what we are today. I'd wager that the likelihood of us devolving into a species that can survive without agriculture, medicine, and even shelter is really, really low.

    34. Re:Is there any way to avoid disaster? by voidphoenix · · Score: 1

      We weren't around 640kya, at least, not anatomically modern humans.

    35. Re:Is there any way to avoid disaster? by maxwell+demon · · Score: 2, Funny

      Humans survived the 640,000 years ago eruption, they will survive again... how and in what shape... that's another story...

      No need to survive. 640k years should be enough for anybody. :-)

      --
      The Tao of math: The numbers you can count are not the real numbers.
    36. Re:Is there any way to avoid disaster? by jbengt · · Score: 1

      Modern humans didn't exist 640,000 years ago.
      There is no evidence of humans living in North America until around 14,000 BC (or maybe 40,000 BC, it's hotly debated)
      So your declaration of human survival is not comforting to this resident of North America.

    37. Re:Is there any way to avoid disaster? by at_slashdot · · Score: 1

      No, my point was that whatever human-looking monkey that was exiting at that time (and it existed because Humans and Neanderthals diverged about 500,000 years ago) survived the eruption. So if Neanderthalians survived, the modern humans will probably be able to survive too.

      North Americans are screwed indeed, but what do we care...

      --
      "It is our choices, Harry, that show what we truly are, far more than our abilities." -- Prof. Dumbledore
    38. Re:Is there any way to avoid disaster? by at_slashdot · · Score: 1

      Humans and Neanderthals diverged about 500,000 years ago, so some kind of humanoid existed at that time.

      --
      "It is our choices, Harry, that show what we truly are, far more than our abilities." -- Prof. Dumbledore
    39. Re:Is there any way to avoid disaster? by BobMcD · · Score: 1

      What kind, and how similar to us, today?

    40. Re:Is there any way to avoid disaster? by at_slashdot · · Score: 1

      Why is that important, can't you understand the point? If primitive humans survived is likely that modern people would survive too (except for the people living in N. America)

      --
      "It is our choices, Harry, that show what we truly are, far more than our abilities." -- Prof. Dumbledore
    41. Re:Is there any way to avoid disaster? by BobMcD · · Score: 1

      Primitive humans are better equipped to survive a plunge into the dark ages, are they not?

    42. Re:Is there any way to avoid disaster? by jc42 · · Score: 1

      Even if you can't use all the energy, there must be some way to bleed it off.

      Sure; just turn it into a big geothermal energy farm. Run a bunch of pipes (tubes?;-) down to carry the heat to power generators. The current estimates are that the heat from Yellowstone could pretty much supply electricity equal to the world's current usage for several centuries. Of course, distribution to areas outside North America would be problematic. Also, we don't know how fast the heat sources might be replenished from below, so we really know how many centuries (or millennia) it might last.

      Anyway, this is hardly a radical suggestion. It has been proposed repeatedly over the years. It would have an impact on the local wildlife, of course, which is another resource worth preserving. So we might want to make sure that the impact on the surface ecosystem is minimized. We might just want to restrict it to supplying enough power for North America, and let the people on other continents tap their volcanic areas on their own.

      It probably won't much happen, though, as long as our oil billionaires remain major contributors to political campaigns. ;-)

      If you want to know how to do it, contact the engineers over in Iceland. The Japanese also make and use a lot of geothermal power. Both countries also use their underground magma for direct heating, though that's less practical with Yellowstone due to its distance from population centers.

      An interesting bit of economic trivia is that Iceland is a major supplier of bananas to Europe. They pipe underground steam up into huge greenhouses that are patches of the tropics with 23 hours of daylight in the summer, and the bananas love it.

      Actually, it's not clear that this is a significant drain on the underground heat in Iceland or Japan. They're not using the heat to anything like maximum capacity. Perhaps we should be developing ways to increase the exploitation by orders of magnitude, if we want to seriously effect the danger of a future eruption.

      --
      Those who do study history are doomed to stand helplessly by while everyone else repeats it.
    43. Re:Is there any way to avoid disaster? by jc42 · · Score: 1

      Oops; I accidentally out the word "don't" in the last sentence of the first paragraph. I'll leave it up to the reader to insert it in either of the two places where it'll make sense. ;-)

      --
      Those who do study history are doomed to stand helplessly by while everyone else repeats it.
    44. Re:Is there any way to avoid disaster? by at_slashdot · · Score: 1

      Not really. Of course it would be devastating and millions would die, but don't discount the science, modern tools, and political advancements since 500,000 BC.

      --
      "It is our choices, Harry, that show what we truly are, far more than our abilities." -- Prof. Dumbledore
    45. Re:Is there any way to avoid disaster? by Mr.+Flibble · · Score: 1

      We would not need to constantly feed a river of water into the volcano, while that would work, and all that water would be evaporated.

      If a closed loop system was built - just like any other power plant using heat (as opposed to a dam) driving the turbines will extract heat from the steam and convert it to electricity - the now cooled water can be reintroduced to the volcano to complete the cycle.

      Granted, as you mention, with a trillion watts required, this would require a massive amount of construction and powerplants to be able to handle this load. It would however, be possible to remove the energy and generate power at the same time, as opposed to diverting rivers and wasting the heat as steam to the atmosphere.

      --
      Try to hack my 31337 firewall!
    46. Re:Is there any way to avoid disaster? by RobertM1968 · · Score: 1

      Regardless of his inaccuracies, perceived or real... fact is, every nuclear weapon on the planet barely manage one tenth the destructive force of Yellowstone's 2.2 million or 640,000 year ago eruption.

      Megaton Comparisons

      You will note that the 640,000 year ago eruption was ten times more powerful than all of the world's nukes COMBINED.

    47. Re:Is there any way to avoid disaster? by BobMcD · · Score: 1

      I'm not discounting those things, I'm blaming them. Last time it happened 'humans' knew how to find food that wasn't in a grocery store. I'm uncertain we can even DIGEST what those people ate without becoming violently ill.

    48. Re:Is there any way to avoid disaster? by at_slashdot · · Score: 1

      People have been eating grocery store food for couple of hundreds of years (depending of what populations we talk about) that's not enough time to get "soft" from the evolutionary point of view.

      --
      "It is our choices, Harry, that show what we truly are, far more than our abilities." -- Prof. Dumbledore
    49. Re:Is there any way to avoid disaster? by StoatBringer · · Score: 1
      Right now, all we can do is pray.

      Oh, I'm sure there's an even more futile thing to try. It just might take a bit of research to figure out what.

      --
      Cress, cress, lovely lovely cress
    50. Re:Is there any way to avoid disaster? by Rubinstien · · Score: 1

      A lot of us still do know how to find food that isn't in a grocery store. Don't forget that there are still populations that have had nearly zero contact with the "outside" in both South America and parts of Southeast Asia.

      However, even if that were not the case, as a counterexample I grew up hunting, fishing, trapping, and growing and preparing my own food. I haven't lost those skills, and have passed a few of them down. My 14-year-old daughter keeps begging to go deer hunting with her bow. I told her that if I take her, she has to field dress her own deer and help with the butchering, which she has agreed to. I will probably take her next fall. She can already sharpen knives well enough to shave with, and I've taught her to cook and sew and how to build a fire successfully, etc.

      I believe in knowing as many things as I can, from how to skin a rabbit to quantum mechanics. I grew up in a poor but hard-working family. Those survival skills were just everyday life; any money went to pay for gas, school books, etc. Food came from the river, ponds, woods, or garden and heat came from burning wood, which we spent all summer stacking and storing. I made my first 6-figure income this year and don't *have* to do those kinds of things anymore, but you don't forget your roots -- and I know that I am not the only one with a background like that.

      And, yes, I have eaten things that would probably make *you* sick, but hunger will give you a cast-iron stomach.

    51. Re:Is there any way to avoid disaster? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      OK, so I thought I was pretty safe from the Yellowstone Supervolcano where I live,

      I rather doubt that, unless you live on the moon. ;)

    52. Re:Is there any way to avoid disaster? by Chris+Burke · · Score: 1

      Hydrogen bombs aren't used any more, most remaining nuclear warheads are over a megaton.

      How exactly do you think they're getting yields over 1 MT without a thermonuclear device? Even boosted fission devices have yields under 1 MT.

      --

      The enemies of Democracy are
    53. Re:Is there any way to avoid disaster? by jc42 · · Score: 1

      Humans and Neanderthals diverged about 500,000 years ago, so some kind of humanoid existed at that time.

      What kind, and how similar to us, today?

      FWIW, the conventional "layman" explanation from the paleontologists is that if you could pick up a random Neandert[h]al fellow in your time machine, give him a shave and a haircut, dress him in modern clothes, and drop him down anywhere in Europe, nobody would give him a second glance. Granted, he wouldn't look exactly like the statistically average European, but his features would be within the normal range of variation. This would be especially true in the more northerly parts of Europe, since he would be adapted for a colder climate than what Europe currently has.

      It turns out that much of the public image of the Neanderthals came from "artists' reconstructions" that more or less intentionally exaggerated their features to make them look more ape-like. Back in the 1800s, this was fairly common, and was also routinely done with non-white modern humans. This was basically propaganda to reassure their white viewers that the Europeans were the most advanced, civilized race, and all the rest were little better than animals. This pretty much continues with the Neanderthals, partly because they are no longer around to defend themselves. (Or are they? Perhaps all modern Europeans are .5% Neanderthal. ;-)

      This is all part of the reason for the ongoing discussion of whether H. neanderthalensis was a different species from us. It's true that there are statistical differences between them and us, but the differences are within the normal range of modern Europeans. This could be due to interbreeding, or it could be independent adaptation to European climate conditions. You can't decide from the skeletons. Maybe the traces of preserved DNA will tell us, if we can find enough of them before all of Europe's ice melts away. Or maybe we'll never know. We have found fossils of what look like neander/sapiens hybrids, but they could be "mules", i.e., sterile offspring. The fossil record doesn't preserve that information.

      It sorta like the recent thread on another topic: The best scientific answer is "Well, that's interesting, but further research is clearly needed; can you find some more data that might help us decide?"

      --
      Those who do study history are doomed to stand helplessly by while everyone else repeats it.
    54. Re:Is there any way to avoid disaster? by amRadioHed · · Score: 1

      My understanding is that it's less likely to go boom than in previous explosions. This is because the hotspot now sits under a much thicker crust (the rocky mountains). But as I saw one geologist quoted, "I wouldn't bet on it either way".

      Wouldn't that just delay the eruption, but result in a much larger eruption when it finally goes? And how do we know there wasn't a mountain over the hotspot before previous eruptions?

      --
      We hope your rules and wisdom choke you / Now we are one in everlasting peace
    55. Re:Is there any way to avoid disaster? by gurps_npc · · Score: 1

      Yes it would. There are over 50,000 power plants in the world, there is no way we could afford that kind of drain (and it would be a drain, we could not use more than 0.01% of that energy, as energy does not store or transport easily.) That is way out of line with our current capacity

      --
      excitingthingstodo.blogspot.com
    56. Re:Is there any way to avoid disaster? by Anarchduke · · Score: 1

      Wasn't a supervolcano behind the permian extinction event?
      I seem to recall some theories leaning that way, but I'm feeling too lazy to actually go and research it.

      --
      who prays for Satan? Who in 18 centuries has had the humanity to pray for the 1 sinner that needed it most? ~Mark Twain
    57. Re:Is there any way to avoid disaster? by Anarchduke · · Score: 1

      Actually, you are wrong on that account. Hydrogen bombs are pretty much all we deal with now.

      And you are wrong about the explosion, which did in fact occur 640K years ago.

      Good god, didn't you even verify a single fact before spouting off your reply?

      --
      who prays for Satan? Who in 18 centuries has had the humanity to pray for the 1 sinner that needed it most? ~Mark Twain
    58. Re:Is there any way to avoid disaster? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sorry America, "we"? Would this be the same we that is suffering from climate change induced largely by America? the same America that refuses to do anything useful about the problem they're the biggest contributor too?

      There'd be a certain kind of karma in seeing the US go up in flames over a natural event like this.

      No, the rest of us will stick to going on about climate change, and let you deal with your own problem seeing as we're already dealing with a problem you've largely caused and continue to cause.

      It would be a shame to lose Canada though, we like Canada. I suppose the seals in the north will appreciate the loss of the Canadian population at least however.

    59. Re:Is there any way to avoid disaster? by sjwt · · Score: 1

      Dang! my homebru just blew up agine, I know the problem, im useing cheep easy to blow up plastic bottles, This time I will use Glass, thats thicker and stronger, now I dont need to worry about anyone geting hurt!

      --
      You have 5 Moderator Points!
      Which Helpless Linux zealot/MS basher do you want to mod down today?
    60. Re:Is there any way to avoid disaster? by PingPongBoy · · Score: 1

      IF this thing will eventually blow (spewing movie credits all over the northern hemisphere, some might say), is there a way to stop it from happening? Can the volcano be "tapped" to allow the molten rock to ooze out and relieve some of the pressure?

      Pressure is a function of temperature, but the energy may be diminished by a cooling mechanism. Even removal of a small fraction of the energy might be enough to delay or prevent an eruption.

      The crust of the earth is basically a big blanket that traps the heat, but just as a car engine can be cooled by running a watery coolant through some ducts in the engine block, it is possible to drill a network of ducts parallel to the magma chamber and run water through, and then use the heated water or steam to run turbines.

      There is a tremendous amount of energy in the magma, probably more than mankind has generated artificially, but as we are seeking to reduce emissions while producing energy, here is a huge energy source that is begging to be released. The power that may be extracted likely will have to be at least 10 TW to be meaningful in delaying an eruption. Such a stone would kill another bird: unemployment. Don't like cash for caulkers? How about cash for corkers? for keeping the cork on this bubbly.

      --
      Know your pads. One time pad: good for cryptography. Two timing pad: where to take your mistress.
    61. Re:Is there any way to avoid disaster? by RobertM1968 · · Score: 1

      Really? People from the US cant even drink the water in Mexico without getting violently ill.

      That aside, people today, by and large (with a tiny percentage being the exception) do not know how to do any of the following:

      - Hunt for food

      - Grow crops

      - Butcher a dead animal they just killed

      - Start (much less maintain) a farm

      - Know what plants are edible or inedible (with few plant exceptions like apples, oranges, etc)

      - Know what parts of the animal can be safely eaten

      - Know how to keep food edible without refrigerators

      - Know how long food remains edible without refridgeration

      - Know how to make clothing to protect them from the weather

      - Know how to build shelter or even have given any thought to what natural shelter they can find

      - Know how to start a fire without a lighter or matches (though there are a larger percent who know how to do this)

      - Know how to purify drinking water

      --- Of those few who know that, very very few would know how to remove the acids and other fallout from the water

      - Know how to drill a well into an aquifer to ensure drinkable water

      - Know how to re-propagate plants (and which plants need which method)

      There's the easy list... so, once again, since people of a few hundred years ago know all of this stuff, how is it that we aren't far worse prepared than them?

      On all counts, BobMcD is correct and then some.

    62. Re:Is there any way to avoid disaster? by RobertM1968 · · Score: 1

      Humans survived the 640,000 years ago eruption, they will survive again... how and in what shape... that's another story...

      Yes, every human around back then survived.

      Let me do the math here... hold on, it's tough math... gotta get out the calculator...

      ZERO humans alive minus zero deaths = ZERO humans still.

      So, technically, you are 100% correct - and then some. EVERY human alive back then survived...

      All ZERO of them.

      ;-)

      Anyway, joking and sarcasm aside, humans started around 200,000 years ago... though some scientists think a little earlier. Regardless, the eruption 640,000 years ago happened before human beings existed.

      It also happened on the opposite side of the world from where human beings and their predecessors came into existence.

    63. Re:Is there any way to avoid disaster? by RobertM1968 · · Score: 1

      Even if you can't use all the energy, there must be some way to bleed it off.

      Sure; just turn it into a big geothermal energy farm. Run a bunch of pipes (tubes?;-) down to carry the heat to power generators. The current estimates are that the heat from Yellowstone could pretty much supply electricity equal to the world's current usage for several centuries. Of course, distribution to areas outside North America would be problematic. Also, we don't know how fast the heat sources might be replenished from below, so we really know how many centuries (or millennia) it might last.

      Well, if the plume is connected to the core mantle, as scientists are now speculating, then it will last "forever"

      Of course, (1) it's supposed to take the Earth billions of years naturally to cool, so it is unlikely we could ever cool Yellowstone. (2) Though cooling it's surface may slow things down, it may also create a more massive explosion when it happens, (3) we are ill equipped to deal with that type of magnitude of heat, magma and pressure, and finally (4) cooling the "whole thing" if it does indeed include the core mantle, would be the end of life on Earth anyway.

      I for one vote to leave it alone - at least till we have better technology and an idea of just how deep it is...

    64. Re:Is there any way to avoid disaster? by RobertM1968 · · Score: 1

      That was just tried in a geothermally active area in northern Europe. The person who runs the company is on trial for the damage he caused when it triggered earthquakes... and his project was far less ambitious and on a tiny scale in comparison to what would need to be done at Yellowstone.

      Triggering real earthquakes, much less the type of problems that the far more massive scale attempts needed at Yellowstone would cause, seems an exercise in mass suicide.

    65. Re:Is there any way to avoid disaster? by RobertM1968 · · Score: 1

      Yes there has... on a far smaller scale, and just recently. Triggered earthquakes before they even finished the project.

      Here's one report on why it's a bad idea:
      How Does Geothermal Drilling Trigger Earthquakes?

      Here's what happened when someone tried it anyway...
      BBC News Report

      Markus Haering's company had been working with the authorities in Basel to try to convert the heat in deep-seated rocks into electricity.

      But the project was suspended in 2006 when drilling triggered the quakes.

      Now, that was near a major fault line... so there is some difference. But the Yellowstone Caldera and such are ON a few hundred thousand cubic mile hotspot that may be connected to the Earth's core mantle. And Yellowstone is HIGHLY quake active. More so than many major fault lines. Ya know... only one thousand to two thousand (or even as high as THREE thousand) a year... and recently (like this past December/January) many times more than that.

      Drilling on a restless supervolcano still seems like a bad idea - at least to me.

    66. Re:Is there any way to avoid disaster? by RobertM1968 · · Score: 1

      As Commodore Decker said in Star Trek (The Doomsday Machine):

      "There was... but not anymore!!!"

      Reading some reports indicate that scientists think it obliterated a chunk of the Rockies as the hotspot moved and erupted.

      And contrary to popular belief, it does NOT sit under mountains right now. It sits under plateaus, open plains, and a self made lake.

      Anyway, there are two possibilities... the hotspot conveniently followed a massive empty path through a pre-existing valley in the Rockies - or like many scientists believe, it MADE that path.

      Look at these two maps... note the state borders when you do as they are not centered to match each other. Look at the mountains, and the big valley that sits between the western range and the south-eastern range on the Google Maps one... and match that valley to the other map that shows the path of the hotspot and it's eruptions.

      Oddly enough, the paths match pretty darn well

      Google Maps

      Yellowstone Huckleberry Hotspot Path

      The simple logic of realizing it is unlikely an unthinking thing (North American plate movement) caused a stationary hotspot to follow a pre-defined path (the valley) aside, the fact is, we've found rock dust miles and miles away embedded in the rhiolite (sp?).

      So, like how Mount St Helens destroyed half of it's mountain when it recently exploded with a tiny amount of force in comparison to Yellowstone... it is very likely that the thin plateaus and dirt that sits on Yellowstone wouldnt be blown to smithereens.

  6. Controlled release? by Just+Some+Guy · · Score: 1

    So is it even theoretically possible to, say, dig a big shaft into it to slowly release the pressure under controlled conditions over decades or centuries?

    --
    Dewey, what part of this looks like authorities should be involved?
    1. Re:Controlled release? by Tlosk · · Score: 1

      Theoretically? Yes. Realistically? Not in our lifetime.

    2. Re:Controlled release? by ZeroExistenZ · · Score: 4, Insightful

      So is it even theoretically possible to, say, dig a big shaft into it to slowly release the pressure under controlled conditions over decades or centuries?

      Likely, if you forget about Murphy...

      --
      I think we can keep recursing like this until someone returns 1
    3. Re:Controlled release? by JDeane · · Score: 3, Interesting

      A better solution would be to install several large geothermal power generation plants...

      But this would "ruin" the park.

      Ahh well who wants to save the world and get nearly free electricity out of the deal.

    4. Re:Controlled release? by L4t3r4lu5 · · Score: 4, Funny

      Probably not. Imagine this as being like a new oil well... A real gusher, stuff flies up hundreds of feet into the air.

      Now imagine that oil is hot enough to melt the rock you're standing on, and the machinery you just used to dig the well.

      Oh, and there's 800,000 cubic miles of it. (rounded from D x W x W (410*45*45) from article, not accurate).

      --
      Finally had enough. Come see us over at https://soylentnews.org/
    5. Re:Controlled release? by Aeros · · Score: 5, Insightful

      wouldn't the volcano blowing kinda ruin the park as well? im just sayin..

    6. Re:Controlled release? by JDeane · · Score: 1

      wouldn't the volcano blowing kinda ruin the park as well? im just sayin..

      Yeah I agree with that totally lol

      Personally I think it would be great to stick as many huge geothermal power plants as would fit on the thing and suck as much juice from it as possible.

    7. Re:Controlled release? by corbettw · · Score: 0, Redundant

      But this would "ruin" the park.

      Right. Because the volcano wouldn't do that when it explodes.

      --
      God invented whiskey so the Irish would not rule the world.
    8. Re:Controlled release? by jimbolauski · · Score: 1

      Thank God, the US has developed a device that will penertrate rock, currently we can not reach a depth of 410 miles, but here is a good reason to try and the Russians and Chinese will no be able to bitch.

      --
      Knowledge = Power
      P= W/t
      t=Money
      Money = Work/Knowledge so the less you know the more you make
    9. Re:Controlled release? by Sir_Lewk · · Score: 4, Funny

      Ok, you've convinced me.

      Where do we start the drilling?

      --
      "linux is just DOS with a UNIX like syntax" -- Galactic Dominator (944134)
    10. Re:Controlled release? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Probably not. Imagine this as being like a new oil well... A real gusher, stuff flies up hundreds of feet into the air. Now imagine that oil is hot enough to melt the rock you're standing on, and the machinery you just used to dig the well. Oh, and there's 800,000 cubic miles of it. (rounded from D x W x W (410*45*45) from article, not accurate).

      Drill baby drill.

      S. Palin.

    11. Re:Controlled release? by mpe · · Score: 1

      Personally I think it would be great to stick as many huge geothermal power plants as would fit on the thing and suck as much juice from it as possible.

      Which would only tap a tiny fraction of the energy theer anyway. Whilst an erruption would take out the power plants if it did errupt there probably wouldn't be much further need for them.

    12. Re:Controlled release? by laejoh · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      Shaft!

      Who's the black private dick

      That's a sex machine to all the chicks?

      (Shaft!)

      You're damn right

      Who is the man

      That would risk his neck for his brother man?

      (Shaft!)

      Can ya dig it?

    13. Re:Controlled release? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

      So is it even theoretically possible to, say, dig a big shaft into it to slowly release the pressure under controlled conditions over decades or centuries?

      That approach is specifically contraindicated due to the fact that releasing the pressure is the mechanism that would cause an eruption! The magma under Yellowstone has been slowly absorbing C02 from the surrounding rock for hundreds of thousands of years. The absorbed CO2 is dissolved in the magma in the form of a liquid under very high pressure.

      If the pressure is released the liquid CO2 will become gaseous CO2, taking up dramatically more space and raising the pressure in the magma chamber. As magma and CO2 are expelled through the shaft, the pressure of the magma chamber is lowered further. That, coupled with the pressure waves now cascading through the magma from the area of the first CO2 expansion, causes even more liquid CO2 to become gaseous. The cycle repeats until there is so much pressure on the overlying rock that the volcano explodes.

      So as you can see, drilling a shaft is a Real Bad Idea.

    14. Re:Controlled release? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If the pressure is released the liquid CO2 will become gaseous CO2, taking up dramatically more space and raising the pressure in the magma chamber.

      That's not how pressure works. The CO2 will always have put "out" the same pressure on the magma chamber. Indeed, it was liquid because it was under pressure. But if it was under pressure, so was the magma chamber, by exactly the same amount.

      What you're describing comes close to violating the laws of thermodynamics.

    15. Re:Controlled release? by syrinx · · Score: 1

      If I remember my calculations correctly, drilling a thermal borehole provides 6 energy and 6 minerals per turn. So that would certainly help our production, as long as we can deal with mind worms.

      --
      Quidquid latine dictum sit, altum sonatur.
    16. Re:Controlled release? by Bandman · · Score: 1

      it'll definitely blow that Diet Coke / Mentos video out of the water...

    17. Re:Controlled release? by Gilmoure · · Score: 1

      But only if you've developed ecological engineering. Otherwise, you only get 2-4 energy and minerals.

      --
      I drank what? -- Socrates
    18. Re:Controlled release? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Exactly! But greed makes people stupid.
      Apparently they don't realize how much money they could get out of letting them build reactors.

    19. Re:Controlled release? by Shotgun · · Score: 1

      So, don't drill a hole, drill a plug.

      Force a capped doubled pipe into the ground. The pipe is smaller pipe inside a larger one. You pump liquid sodium, or some other coolant into the inner pipe. The hot liquid,pressurized steam, or other coolant returns through the outer.

      The system is never "unplugged" and the cap is constantly getting thicker as more and more is cooled. One massive headhouse would use lateral drilling to tap the system from outside the park. Just like is done with oil drilling.

      --
      Aah, change is good. -- Rafiki
      Yeah, but it ain't easy. -- Simba
    20. Re:Controlled release? by rcamans · · Score: 1

      Um, if you are suggesting we relieve the pressure of the earth's core through a shaft, I think you are nuts.
      I know of movies about the earth splitting in half, releasing a new moon, etc, based on drilling such a shaft. Sounds like fun to me
      In reality, when we drill for oil, many times the drilling equipment is blown out of the hole by the pressure we hit. Warm oil is not very dangerous. Now if we hit pressurized molten rock, um, um, um, wait a minute, I am trying to picture that... Oh, yeh, we call that kind of thing a VOLCANO. You IDIOT!!!

      --
      wake up and hold your nose
    21. Re:Controlled release? by RobertM1968 · · Score: 1

      So, don't drill a hole, drill a plug.

      Force a capped doubled pipe into the ground. The pipe is smaller pipe inside a larger one. You pump liquid sodium, or some other coolant into the inner pipe. The hot liquid,pressurized steam, or other coolant returns through the outer.

      The system is never "unplugged" and the cap is constantly getting thicker as more and more is cooled. One massive headhouse would use lateral drilling to tap the system from outside the park. Just like is done with oil drilling.

      (1) how many materials do we have that could survive that heat for any length of time?

      (2) how big of a drill bit would we need to release that much pressure in a way that would be safe? One maybe... oh, I dunno... a hundred miles wide? (look up the research scientists have already done - which speculate smaller holes could trigger an eruption as lotsa pressure tries to release itself through a small hole causing the rock above it to fracture and explode).

      So, I doubt a 100 mile wide or even 50 mile wide... by few hundred mile long drill bit and a drill to power it, are in our future plans for Yellowstone.

      Think about a water hose with your finger over it so you have a violent, far flying stream of water... compared to the open hose. Then think about that scenario where the "water hose" has released explosions of "water" that exceed the entire world's nuclear arsenal by a factor of ten.

    22. Re:Controlled release? by Requiem18th · · Score: 1

      Send in the drones!

      --
      But... the future refused to change.
    23. Re:Controlled release? by The_mad_linguist · · Score: 1

      We just need to get together you and six other guys.

      Should we embark with cats, or not?

    24. Re:Controlled release? by rhook · · Score: 1

      Yellowstone does this on its own with all its geysers and gas vents.

    25. Re:Controlled release? by RobertM1968 · · Score: 1

      Here's what happened when a Swiss scientist tried it:

      BBC News

      Now... to try it with something as many times more massive as Yellowstone... well, I hope we've moved to a different planet first...

    26. Re:Controlled release? by JBaustian · · Score: 1

      It is not 800,000 cubic miles of magma. A careful reading of the article suggests that is it only 1-2% magma. Still very dangerous, however, and nothing can be done to prevent an eruption.

    27. Re:Controlled release? by Shotgun · · Score: 1

      (1) how many materials do we have that could survive that heat for any length of time?

      We don't have ANY. But, we don't NEED to withstand that temperature. You actively cool the bit as it progresses.

      (2) how big of a drill bit would we need to release that much pressure in a way that would be safe?

      Poke a pin in a can of warm Pepsi. Don't pull the pin out. Now make the pin the tip of a Peltier cooler which is powerful enough to freeze the liquid it touches.

      Then think about that scenario where the "water hose" has released explosions of "water" that exceed the entire world's nuclear arsenal by a factor of ten.

      But, you don't need to remove ALL that energy. You just have to remove enough to keep it from exceeding the ability of the solid mass above it to keep it in check. Just enough to keep it from going critical. And the energy you do remove can be done over several years, producing useful energy the entire time.

      And there won't have to be just one "water hose". It'll require some infrastructure to remove the electricity produced, but once electricity is being profitably produce companies will rush to sink thousands of pipes.

      --
      Aah, change is good. -- Rafiki
      Yeah, but it ain't easy. -- Simba
    28. Re:Controlled release? by RobertM1968 · · Score: 1

      LoL... I got the reference.

  7. Pretty deep by Eravnrekaree · · Score: 4, Interesting

    That is pretty deep, it extends well below the earths crust which is about 30 miles thick below the continents, so it goes well into the mantle of the earth. This could be a similar hotspot feature to hawaii, however may manifest in a different way on the thicker continental crust compared to the oceanic crust beneath hawaii. Other similar features of this kind are the New England Hotspot which produces a series of volcanos in Quebec which have become series of hills including the one Montreal is named after. That hotspot is now inactive and off the coast of africa (the crust moved, not the hotspot).

    1. Re:Pretty deep by Kingrames · · Score: 1

      Interesting. Makes me wonder if Olympus Mons really is the biggest volcano. I mean, if you looked at it from the side and took into account how deep the source went, instead of just looking at the height measured from the air-exposed base.

      --
      If you can read this, I forgot to post anonymously.
    2. Re:Pretty deep by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The mountain in the middle of the island of Montreal is not and never has been a volcano. It's an igneous intrusion.

    3. Re:Pretty deep by RobertM1968 · · Score: 1

      Super Volcanoes are measured (besides their previous explosive VEI ratings) by the magma pool, surface structures, and the valley they leave.

      Yellowstone's hotspot and explosions have left a valley (a massive missing piece of the Rockies) that would fit most of the Appalachian Mountain Range in. It has literally eradicated a section of the Rockies that large.

      It's hotspot stretches across large areas of multiple states, and it's caldera (the opening from the last eruption) could fit most medium sized and many large sized cities in it.

      Thusly, height of a Super Volcano is never an indication of it's power.

    4. Re:Pretty deep by Duggeek · · Score: 1

      That is pretty deep [...]

      So is Robert Smith.

      --
      This post © Copyrite Duggeek, all rights reversed.
    5. Re:Pretty deep by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      how does the volcano grow.

  8. Release Some Steam by Entropy98 · · Score: 1

    Given that if this thing blows it could do some serious damage to the country, maybe we should start drilling some holes to release some of the pressure. The cheap geothermal energy would be a bonus.

    1. Re:Release Some Steam by geeper · · Score: 1

      Wouldn't that be like sticking a needle in a shaken up can of coke?

      --
      Error reading device 'Signature'. (A)bort, (R)etry, (F)ail?
    2. Re:Release Some Steam by JDeane · · Score: 1

      Its not just our country that would be in ruins. There would be world wide famine and health issues to deal with, possibly plague and a small ice age.

      I think the time line lines up with this thing blowing and the ice ages... (it has blown up several times in the past)

      Very scary no matter where you are living.

    3. Re:Release Some Steam by robert899 · · Score: 1

      Given that if this thing blows it could do some serious damage to the country, maybe we should start drilling some holes to release some of the pressure. The cheap geothermal energy would be a bonus.

      Environmentalists group A won't let you drill.
      Environmentalists group B won't let you string power lines from the geothermal plant.
      They'll keep it tied up in court until North America is buried 10m deep in ash.

    4. Re:Release Some Steam by jim_v2000 · · Score: 4, Interesting

      This thing goes down 410 miles. Geothermal wells go maybe a mile. Even the deepest well in the world is only about 20 miles. I doubt we're going to release any pressure with even our best efforts.

      --
      Don't take life so seriously. No one makes it out alive.
    5. Re:Release Some Steam by corbettw · · Score: 1

      If this thing blows, it wouldn't do "serious" damage to the "country"; it would catastrophic damage to North America, pretty much wiping out some 400 million people within a few hours. The United States, Canada, and Mexico would no longer be going concerns. The resulting power vacuum in world affairs would have dire and impossible to predict results for the rest of the planet (keep in mind that much of the US military would still exist and various admirals and generals might have different ideas of how to proceed with their troops and the nuclear weapons they would now have sole control over). With the loss of New York as a financial center and the US dollar as the global reserve currency, the global economic system would collapse overnight. Oh, and any farmers in the Northern Hemisphere could forget about their crops for a few years, resulting in famine and resource wars in much of the remaining world. It would be pretty much all the bad parts of the bible.

      In short, the Americans, Canadians, and Mexicans who died in the first wave would be the lucky ones.

      --
      God invented whiskey so the Irish would not rule the world.
    6. Re:Release Some Steam by JDeane · · Score: 1

      No pressure released but the heat would be harvested and thus releasing pressure in that way,

      No even if you built 100 power plants on the thing it would not drain it dry (there is a massive amount of energy there) but I think it might delay it a bit.

      Just saying that a delay would be best until we can get off this rock and up our chances a bit lol

    7. Re:Release Some Steam by JDeane · · Score: 1

      So very very true, its always a shame that sometimes we hurt the things we are trying to protect.

    8. Re:Release Some Steam by sexconker · · Score: 1

      With the loss of New York as a financial center and the US dollar as the global reserve currency, the global economic system would collapse overnight.

      I got some news for you, dude...

    9. Re:Release Some Steam by Caffinated · · Score: 1

      Wow, that was quick. Blame "environmentalists" for foiling plans to "release the pressure"? The fact that we don't have anywhere near the technology to impact something of this scale and depth shouldn't matter apparently. Perhaps you need to stop listening to fox"news" so much.

    10. Re:Release Some Steam by mrdoogee · · Score: 3, Funny

      Dr. Peter Venkman: This city is headed for a disaster of biblical proportions.

      Mayor: What do you mean, "biblical"?

      Dr Ray Stantz: What he means is Old Testament, Mr. Mayor, real wrath of God type stuff.

      Dr. Peter Venkman: Exactly.

      Dr Ray Stantz: Fire and brimstone coming down from the skies! Rivers and seas boiling!

      Dr. Egon Spengler: Forty years of darkness! Earthquakes, volcanoes...

      Winston Zeddemore: The dead rising from the grave!

      Dr. Peter Venkman: Human sacrifice, dogs and cats
      living together... mass hysteria!

    11. Re:Release Some Steam by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "No even if you built 100 power plants on the thing it would not drain it dry (there is a massive amount of energy there) but I think it might delay it a bit."

      The question is more how it will explode. Is it catastrophic or some slow bleed that builds up and erupts massively but over an extended time? And do we do more harm by interfering?

      Further, maybe I misunderstand what you mean by power plant, but that suggests we tap the energy for our use as an energy source to drain it. Why would we do that? We should use the energy back on itself to remove more heat faster. If Yellowstone is indeed a massive heat source, you can use that energy (harvesting, passive) to drive deeper and also remove more energy (cool it, active) at other sections.

      In fact, this seems like a pretty neat way to solve our energy issues. The main problem is the lack of materials that can handle that heat and still be driven downward.

    12. Re:Release Some Steam by rahvin112 · · Score: 1

      It would be far far worse. Cooling the mass of magma would release massive quantities of gas. That gas release would be so massive it would trigger an eruption. Only a fool would try to drill directly into a magma pocket.

    13. Re:Release Some Steam by Wyatt+Earp · · Score: 1

      The US nuclear weapons can not be released without authorization from the civilian government. All the "big" systems like ICBMs, SLBMs are locked to that. OK, if Yellowstone cooks off, the ICBMs and half the strategic bombers are lost in the first day or so unless USAF moves them south. The majority of the surviving warheads will be on the Boomers. Some are forward deployed in Europe (like 400) and likely there are some based at Okinawa, Guam, Diego Garcia and of course on the carriers.

      The US Army has no nukes, so the only generals from your scenario with them are Air Force and most of the USAF's arsenal are gone (lost in the silos and tied to B-2, B-52 and B-1s).

      The only military commands I can see being in secure shape are the commands in the Middle East, the US Navy which is forward deployed or underway, Alaska, Hawaii, Korea and Japan.

      I doubt very much there would be a conflict due to power vacuum, there would be civilian chains that survived, even if its the Secretary of Education and the military would be loyal. NORAD would survive for a while, as would command and control centers like Raven Rock.

      The whole planet would be in bad shape, thats for sure. Not sure how much this would spur wars though, regionally, like in the Middle East, I'm sure Israel would be ready to nuke whomever looked like they'd attack and with the exception of Iran, Middle Eastern leadership wants to be nuked.

    14. Re:Release Some Steam by mpe · · Score: 1

      No even if you built 100 power plants on the thing it would not drain it dry (there is a massive amount of energy there) but I think it might delay it a bit.

      What's a "bit", decades, years, months, days, hours, minutes, seconds? Probably makes more sense to build the power plants because you need power plants than the possibility that doing so might delay an erruption.

    15. Re:Release Some Steam by Duradin · · Score: 1

      Even if we converted 100% of the land above it to geothermal power plants it'd be about as effective as throwing a normal ice cube into the Sun.

      Heat is already being released. What do you think powers all the geysers and hot springs Yellowstone is famous for?

    16. Re:Release Some Steam by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    17. Re:Release Some Steam by corbettw · · Score: 1

      The US nuclear weapons can not be released without authorization from the civilian government.

      The safety controls to ensure that are primarily procedural. As anyone here should know, physical access to hardware will allow for overcoming software or policy restrictions.

      The US Army has no nukes.

      Incorrect. They have no strategic nukes, but they do have tactical nukes.

      The only military commands I can see being in secure shape are the commands in the Middle East, the US Navy which is forward deployed or underway, Alaska, Hawaii, Korea and Japan.

      You left out Europe. The commands there have quite a few weapons of their own.

      I doubt very much there would be a conflict due to power vacuum, there would be civilian chains that survived, even if its the Secretary of Education and the military would be loyal. NORAD would survive for a while, as would command and control centers like Raven Rock.

      That's a good point. A Laura Roslyn would almost certainly survive, as the likelihood of at least one Cabinet member being out of the country at any given time is quite high. And you're right that the remaining military would quickly fall in line behind whatever civilian leadership survived. Doing so is so deeply instilled in the American military that to do otherwise is unthinkable.

      That said, the vacuum I was mainly referring to would be the rapid loss of the United States itself. There's no doubt that our empire is falling apart and someone else will take over as the primary nation-state by the end of the century (China is the safest bet at this time, but who knows how things will play out). Without the stabilizing influence of the United States there's no telling how the rest of the world would react. But it's a safe bet that someone, somewhere, would try to take over and that someone else wouldn't like that idea very much at all.

      The main question would be, just how bad would things get in Europe, Russia, and northern China? Because if millions of people start starving in those three regions it's a sure bet their governments would start looking at South America and Africa as potential lifeboats.

      --
      God invented whiskey so the Irish would not rule the world.
    18. Re:Release Some Steam by Gilmoure · · Score: 1

      Would likely be time to transfer military and economic centers to Australia and maybe take over Argentina.

      --
      I drank what? -- Socrates
    19. Re:Release Some Steam by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wow, that was quick. Making a "Fox "News"" joke! Never seen that before. Perhaps you need to stop reading Daily Kos so much.

    20. Re:Release Some Steam by Remus+Shepherd · · Score: 2, Interesting

      With the loss of New York as a financial center

      New York would survive. Estimates are that it would be covered in about 35 cm of ash.

      Here are pictures of two eruptions of the Yellowstone supervolcano: The Huckleberry Ridge Tuff and the Lava Creek Tuff. The areas shown are not wind-blown ash; that's where the pyroclastic ash will reach, at about 200 miles per hour and over 1000 degrees F. You can see that everyone from Nevada to Missouri is dead.

      But New York...eh, they might make it. Poor bastards.

      --
      Genocide Man -- Life is funny. Death is funnier. Mass murder can be hilarious.
    21. Re:Release Some Steam by Wyatt+Earp · · Score: 1

      What tactical nukes does the US Army still have?

      GLCM is gone, Persing II is gone, the Army has no nuclear capable tactical aircraft, so I thought Army and USMC were without nukes.

      I thought I left in the 400 odd devices the US has in mainland Europe, Holland I think they are bunkered in. Of course USAFE still has some nukes in the UK. France and the UK have their own, UKs are all SLBM and France has SLBM and air launched.

    22. Re:Release Some Steam by Wyatt+Earp · · Score: 1

      China, the EU and Russia are all still net importers of food, so I think Brazil, Argentina, Australia would be in good shape. US Navy and air units in places like Guam, Japan would move to bolster Australia, as would UK forces at sea.

      Once the ash stopped, there would be a move by surviving US forces to secure NYC and Fort Knox, thats for sure. Price of oil would collapse, so the OPEC state economies would crash.

    23. Re:Release Some Steam by Gilmoure · · Score: 1

      Ok, I really want to set this up as a Civ/SMAC scenario. Could be fun!

      --
      I drank what? -- Socrates
    24. Re:Release Some Steam by Wyatt+Earp · · Score: 1

      Yea, I was thinking that too, a Civ scenario where in the 2nd or 3rd turn pollution spreads across NA, then Europe, then the tundra spreads.

    25. Re:Release Some Steam by Shotgun · · Score: 1

      We don't have technology to impact a volcano, a large pimple on the face of the Earth, but we have enough power to impact the climate of the ENTIRE Earth. So much power in fact, that world leaders are meeting at this moment to decide how they must control all of us in order to prevent the imminent doom arising from our impact.

      I think you're right, except where you're wrong. We have the ability to impact the workings of the volcano. May not have the political will, as a nation, but we have the ability to impact it at a net profit.

      --
      Aah, change is good. -- Rafiki
      Yeah, but it ain't easy. -- Simba
    26. Re:Release Some Steam by Gilmoure · · Score: 1

      I was thinking of a way to place several geothermal hot spots and then a way of programing in a chance of a super volcano blowing in one of them and wiping out a large radius of growth. I don't know enough about game hacking to do this, though.

      --
      I drank what? -- Socrates
    27. Re:Release Some Steam by doug · · Score: 1

      While you're right about the chaos, I'm not sure that those who die in the first wave would be lucky. War, chaos, famine, disease, and the like are how the human race has lived for most of its history. Sure, more people are alive now, and few alive today have seen anything remotely similar. Compare the centuries with modern comforts to those without. The future would be bleak, and it isn't the world that I want to live in, but I'd rather take my chances there than just plain die. I'll always take a shot and go down fighting rather than give in for no good reason. Perhaps that is just me.

    28. Re:Release Some Steam by RobertM1968 · · Score: 1

      We have the ability to impact the workings of the volcano. May not have the political will, as a nation, but we have the ability to impact it at a net profit.

      Wrong... at least according to any scientist studying this.

      The amount of energy contained in Yellowstone is absurd. A for instance would be it's previous explosion DWARF what we can accomplish. You would need TEN TIMES the entire world's nuclear arsenal to create an equivalent explosion - and then be able to bury those miles deep so the surface and the crust of the Earth is affected.

      No sane scientist wants to touch that thing...

    29. Re:Release Some Steam by JDeane · · Score: 1

      I would think for quite some time actually if it was aggressively pursued.

      The area covered is quite massive and you could pull a lot of power from it.

      No not all at once, but over time it adds up.

      Like that last snow flake that causes the avalanche.

      http://www.ucsusa.org/clean_energy/technology_and_impacts/energy_technologies/how-geothermal-energy-works.html

      Interesting the map they have there, yellow stone is smack dab in the middle of huge red area marked for possible development.

      And besides if you pulled out X Megawatts a day over a 100 year period thats got to be a little bit off the destruction :) at least you could hope lol

    30. Re:Release Some Steam by JDeane · · Score: 1

      The area may be a bit larger then you are thinking.

      http://www.ucsusa.org/clean_energy/technology_and_impacts/energy_technologies/how-geothermal-energy-works.html

      Geysers are great but they do not pull the same amount of energy out of the system as something like a geothermal power plant powering 150,000+ homes.

    31. Re:Release Some Steam by amRadioHed · · Score: 1

      We don't have technology to impact a volcano, a large pimple on the face of the Earth, but we have enough power to impact the climate of the ENTIRE Earth

      No, we don't have the power to impact the Earths climate. That power comes from the Sun. In order to release the CO2 that enables this, of course we have the power for that because burning fuel is an exothermic reaction. We don't use power doing that, we get power from it.

      --
      We hope your rules and wisdom choke you / Now we are one in everlasting peace
    32. Re:Release Some Steam by Eclipse-now · · Score: 1

      I saw it on this movie once. They dug a really deep hole and stuck a nuke in it!!

      I mean, this couldn't have just been a Friday night B-grade Sci-Fi could it??? I mean, it has NEVER been done before... ;-)

    33. Re:Release Some Steam by Shotgun · · Score: 1

      You're talking about the energy contained in the system. We don't need to pull all that out to avoid the volcano explosion scenario. We only need to cool the hotspots enough to keep them sub-critical, and encourage the crust to thicken.

      --
      Aah, change is good. -- Rafiki
      Yeah, but it ain't easy. -- Simba
    34. Re:Release Some Steam by RobertM1968 · · Score: 1

      Actually, I am talking about the explosive force of the last big eruption in comparison to the explosive force of nukes. I am not talking about the energy contained in the system.

      The energy contained in the system is far more vast... and if current speculation and theories are correct (that the system is actually connected to and thus fed by the core mantle itself) then the energy in the system is too vast for me to even speculate about.

      Smith says "it wouldn't surprise me" if the plume extends even deeper, perhaps originating from the core-mantle boundary some 1,800 miles deep. "

      And here is a question... considering the caldera alone is somewhere around 2000 square miles, and the TOP of the hotspot stretches over 7,500 to 10,000 square miles (with hundreds of thousands of cubic miles worth of it stretching downwards - ASSUMING it does not connect to the core mantle - in which case it's enormous.

      So... the question... how do you cool the top of such a hotspot when it is thousands of square miles big?

      Second question... what purpose do you think that will serve with it being fed by at least a few hundred thousand cubic MILES of hotspot below it (and possibly by the core mantle itself)?

      Sorry, I really did spend a lot of time researching it. Scientists in this field think trying to cool it, trying to relieve pressure or anything similar is either useless, senseless and/or very dangerous.

      While you may not agree... I personally choose to believe that the experts in the field... those people who have devoted most of their life to studying this particular volcano, are probably more accurate on the matter than you - hence I side with them.

    35. Re:Release Some Steam by mpe · · Score: 1

      And besides if you pulled out X Megawatts a day over a 100 year period thats got to be a little bit off the destruction :) at least you could hope lol

      That's X*3600*24*365*100 MJ Which comes in at X*3.15E+9 MJ. A super volcano eruption is estimated to be in the 800 GT range which is 8E+8*4.18E+9 or 3.34E+18.
      A 1 Mw powerplant running flat out for a century would take out the energy equivalent of just under 1MT. Even if you are pulling out Gigawatts it isn't going to make much difference.

    36. Re:Release Some Steam by Shotgun · · Score: 1

      While you may not agree... I personally choose to believe that the experts in the field... those people who have devoted most of their life to studying this particular volcano, are probably more accurate on the matter than you - hence I side with them.

      Bono, old chum!!

      But do remember that education is about learning more and more about less and less until you know everything about nothing.

      You're not just "trying to cool it". You're trying to extract the energy from it. At one point, people found a flammable liquid seeping from the ground, and started drilling wells to get at it. Then they began finding lots of other wells. The found underground supplies so vast, it was thought that we could never use it all. We're running out.

      You wouldn't start this project with a pin prick through the weakest point in the fault. You start a well miles away and come at it laterally. Once the well got deep enough to provide commercially viable energy, the advancement rate would become extremely slow. As the energy is tapped off, the rock cools/hardens, and only then would the drill bit advance.

      In 100 years, there would be thousands of pin-prick wells into this hotspot, and the new crisis will have people running to find oil wells before the Yellowstone runs out of heat.

      --
      Aah, change is good. -- Rafiki
      Yeah, but it ain't easy. -- Simba
  9. So many extinction level events yet we linger by assemblerex · · Score: 4, Insightful

    at the precipice of become spacefaring people. Mega volcano? Mega landslide in Hawaii? Defrosting Russian permafrost? Global warming? Comet? Meteor? Gamma ray burst? Solar flare?
    Pick one and we're screwed. Sadly all we care about it the latest trinket to amuse our monkey brains while we imagine we are safe from all danger. somehow. maybe.

    1. Re:So many extinction level events yet we linger by inKubus · · Score: 1

      Bacteria will survive and we'll be back again some other day. The wheel can be a ho, but the world keeps spinning around.

      --
      Cool! Amazing Toys.
    2. Re:So many extinction level events yet we linger by agrif · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Yes.

      People need to realize this right now. What are we still doing here? Doesn't it seem a little stupid to keep all this intelligence on one tiny, tiny planet? We're the only conscious things we know of, but any number of frequent, devastating events could end that forever. You'd think getting off this rock would be humanity's first priority.

    3. Re:So many extinction level events yet we linger by FTWinston · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Well, to pick the most significant one from the OP's list, if there's a GRB that threatens Earth, I'd like to see the spaceship that's gonna take you far enough away to escape its effects.

    4. Re:So many extinction level events yet we linger by thisnamestoolong · · Score: 4, Insightful

      To be fair, most of the things you mentioned would not be extinction level events -- it would take quite a bit to fully extinguish humanity from this planet -- we have more knowledge and technology to help us survive than any other species in history. We can build underground bunkers powered by nuclear reactors and grow plants by the soft glow of UV lamps, for instance. For humans to become extinct, something will have to hit us really hard and really fast. I do agree with your main thesis though -- we need to get our asses into space while we still have the chance. In any of these cases, we would, at best lose hundreds to thousands of years of potential progress. If we had kept up the momentum we had in the 1960's, 2001 would have been a pretty accurate depiction of the year in question, methinks. It's a pity, really.

      --
      To the haters: You can't win. If you mod me down, I shall become more powerful than you could possibly imagine
    5. Re:So many extinction level events yet we linger by danbert8 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I don't know if you've noticed, but we have managed to get off this rock. The problem is finding another rock that we can survive on. So far, even the most catastrophic disaster short of the sun blowing up will still leave the earth more likely to support humans than any other planet (or moon) we've discovered.

      --
      Yes it's an anecdote! Were you expecting original research in a Slashdot comment?
    6. Re:So many extinction level events yet we linger by blind_abraxas · · Score: 1

      at the precipice of become spacefaring people. Mega volcano? Mega landslide in Hawaii? Defrosting Russian permafrost? Global warming? Comet? Meteor? Gamma ray burst? Solar flare?

      Pick one and we're screwed. Sadly all we care about it the latest trinket to amuse our monkey brains while we imagine we are safe from all danger. somehow. maybe.

      Space stations are shiny.

      --
      one two three four five ?!! That's the combination on my luggage!
    7. Re:So many extinction level events yet we linger by dpilot · · Score: 3, Interesting

      In practically anthing shy of an extinction-level event, the biggest danger won't be the event - it'll be ourselves. No doubt enough heavy weapons will survive the event that the next round of major death will be the survivors duking it out. We won't be able to begin the business of survival, let along climbing back, until the heavy weapons are spent, or at least until the long-distance delivery mechanisms are.

      The other thing to realize is that we've used up the easy resources building our civilization. If we destroy our technological base, it'll still be easy getting basics like iron and aluminum, but the only easy petrochemicals will be those in storage tanks. Even peak-oil deniers would agree that the oil that is left requires higher technology than Jed Clampett had, in order to reach it. Climbing back would be a tough process.

      As for other rocks, they may not be as inherently survivable as Earth, even considering a disaster, but presumably the survivor-violence would be removed. The real problem is building a local technology base sufficient to sustain life in a hostile environment, absent help from Earth.

      --
      The living have better things to do than to continue hating the dead.
    8. Re:So many extinction level events yet we linger by assemblerex · · Score: 1

      Except the earth has a shelf life, and the expiration date is approaching.

    9. Re:So many extinction level events yet we linger by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Doesn't it seem a little stupid to keep all this intelligence on one tiny, tiny planet?
      You've answered your own question.

    10. Re:So many extinction level events yet we linger by fmoc-86 · · Score: 1

      Well, something could be back again some other day. But it's very unlikely it's us. That's not how it works: there's no point of convergence, and much less that point is us.

    11. Re:So many extinction level events yet we linger by mlawrence · · Score: 1

      This is probably a good reason we have never encountered any alien civilizations. The probability of being wiped out is very high. If the meteor hadn't hit 65M years ago. dinosaurs would already have colonized a good part of our galaxy.

    12. Re:So many extinction level events yet we linger by gmuslera · · Score: 1

      Probably terraforming another rock will be harder, and will take far more time and resources, than building a self-sustained IIS. Not all needed technology is done yet, but odds that it happens should be bigger.

    13. Re:So many extinction level events yet we linger by assemblerex · · Score: 1

      Oh man how badass, dinos in space...with lasers.

    14. Re:So many extinction level events yet we linger by geckipede · · Score: 2, Informative

      Depending on what type of burst you were dealing with, there might be several worlds in our own solar system that could provide enough shielding. All you need is for it to be rotating slowly enough that you can use the ground beneath your feet as shielding. I'm not sure how long the longest duration gamma ray bursts are, I think it's on a timescale of months. If so you could hide on venus, and for a shorter duration burst, mercury too.

    15. Re:So many extinction level events yet we linger by geckipede · · Score: 1

      Erm... ok, gamma ray bursts last for seconds or minutes, not months. I was thinking of supernovae. Oops.

    16. Re:So many extinction level events yet we linger by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I suspect Douglas Adams got it right -- if we ever do make a concerted effort to evacuate the planet, the ones that will be sent won't be the brains of the society, they'll be the ones that everyone else has secretly been wanting to get rid of.

      Go on.... admit it.... you've been thinking all along that the world could do with fewer telephone sanitisers....

    17. Re:So many extinction level events yet we linger by dnahelicase · · Score: 1

      I'm pretty sure the latest trinket that we are trying to amuse ourselves is also the one that I've picked to screw us...I just don't know how long it'll be before the LHC can create red matter...

    18. Re:So many extinction level events yet we linger by nizo · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Of course one problem is that all of the easily obtainable resources will have already been strip mined by us, so that by the time something crawls back out of the muck it will be considerably harder to advance past the club and stick phase.

    19. Re:So many extinction level events yet we linger by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A single human lifespan, hell even the entire existence of humankind is not even a blip in time. In light of that the events you mentioned are extraordinarily rare. The odds of one of those things happening in your lifetime or even in the next 10,000 years are unimaginably small.

    20. Re:So many extinction level events yet we linger by nizo · · Score: 1

      I dunno... dinosaurs had, what, 165 million years to evolve into something smart, and we evolved from rat sized mammals in "only" 65 million years. I'd wager that part of our brain development was directly influenced by a need to survive major climactic changes/disasters; without the harsh conditions, we very will might not exist at the level of intelligence we have today.

    21. Re:So many extinction level events yet we linger by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      You'd think getting off this rock would be humanity's first priority.

      We can get off this rock, but the technology to get off this rock and survive without continued support from this rock simply doesn't exist and won't for the foreseeable future.

    22. Re:So many extinction level events yet we linger by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      If we had kept up the momentum we had in the 1960's, 2001 would have been a pretty accurate depiction of the year in question, methinks.

      So long as we repeal the laws of economics, sure. Otherwise, no.

    23. Re:So many extinction level events yet we linger by Avalain · · Score: 1

      Well, first of all the only events that you listed which could potentially make the human race extinct is the meteor(ite) and gamma ray burst. All of the other ones will have major consequences but aren't going to destroy human life on the planet.

      the Yellowstone volcano is fascinating; it hasn't exploded for 640000 years and, perhaps coincidentally, it normally erupts every...640000 years. So we're due for another one at anytime. It's pretty scary to think about except that it could be off by 10-20 thousand years. So it could blow up tomorrow (it's already showing warning signs) or it could be another 10000 years. That's about twice as long as all recorded human history which means we'll have plenty of time to "become spacefaring people".

      A large enough impact event could certainly destroy life as we know it. The last one was 65 million years ago (ok, it's up to debate if the K-T was because of a meteorite, but let's say it is for the sake of argument). There is a huge span of time between these events. In fact, it's such a large amount of time hardly anyone can really comprehend how long that really is.

      As for a grb, well, the chances of one originating close enough to us and being pointed in our direction are also very very low. They estimate we should get one once every billion years or so. Again, that is a long time.

      So really, what is the point of living in fear? It may happen tomorrow and we don't have time to do anything about it anyways. In this case hiding in your basement isn't really going to help and neither is any amount of money we spend on space travel. It's more likely that something as monumental as this is going to hit us anywhere between the next 10000 to tens of millions of years from now. Space travel IS advancing, albeit slowly when compared to a normal human lifespan. In 10000 years, though? I think we'll get off the planet in time.

    24. Re:So many extinction level events yet we linger by lewiscr · · Score: 1

      so that by the time something crawls back out of the muck it will be considerably harder to advance past the club and stick phase.

      You're not thinking in the right time spans. Bacteria to Human takes a couple of billion years, give or take. Plenty of time for new mountain ranges to rise and fall, time for continental plates to shift. That will make ore that's currently difficult to access, or currently in the mantle, easily accessible. That's where our current, easy to access, deposits came from.

      If you like Science Fiction, check out Brin's Uplift Saga. The sequel trilogy, the Uplift Triology, goes into more details on how a galaxy spanning civilization can cycle worlds in and out of service, giving evolution time.

      This is a problem for humans that survive the cataclysm. It's not a problem for lower life forms if humans get wiped out.

    25. Re:So many extinction level events yet we linger by Gilmoure · · Score: 1

      Don't forget Pauly Shore.

      --
      I drank what? -- Socrates
    26. Re:So many extinction level events yet we linger by DaveV1.0 · · Score: 1

      You say that like it is some great and terrible loss, but it isn't. Humans, while dominant, are only one of a myriad of species on Earht and have been around for only .1% of Earth's history. The Earth is a planet orbiting a insignificant yellow star, one of billions in its galaxy. That galaxy is one of countless other galaxies in the universe, which itself may be only one of many universes.

      It would suck to be us if it happened, but in the grand scheme of things, if we couldn't save ourselves, it was no great loss.

      --
      There is no "-1 offended" or "-1 you don't agree with me" mod options for a reason.
    27. Re:So many extinction level events yet we linger by kehren77 · · Score: 1

      Except the earth has a shelf life, and the expiration date is approaching.

      Yeah but the expansion of the sun probably won't make life on Earth unsustainable for another billion years or so. Maybe evolution will do better the second time around.

      I'm hoping for duck world next time around. Howard rules!

    28. Re:So many extinction level events yet we linger by izomiac · · Score: 1
      I'm amazed at how our space technology kinda stalled...
      • 1903 - Wright Brothers
      • 1957 - Sputnik
      • 1961 - Yuri Gagarin (first man in space)
      • 1969 - Apollo 11
      • 1971 - First space station
      • 1972 - Pioneer launched (left the solar system in 1983)

      Now it's 37 years later and while we've probed a lot of nearby celestial bodies, where's the self sustaining space station, or manned interplanetary travel? It's like we got bored after 15 years in space and decided it wasn't worth the effort or something. With the recent advances in commercial space flight it wouldn't surprise me if the first large space station more closely resembles an airport or resort hotel than a scientific endeavor.

    29. Re:So many extinction level events yet we linger by Arthur+Grumbine · · Score: 1, Interesting

      So many extinction level events yet we linger at the precipice of become spacefaring people. Mega volcano? Mega landslide in Hawaii? Defrosting Russian permafrost? Global warming? Comet? Meteor? Gamma ray burst? Solar flare?

      Let's take a look at your list:

      1) Mega volcano: There have been a grand total of four VEI 8 (highest level of the Volcanic Explosivity Index) eruptions in the last 640,000 years. That's an average of 1 every 160,000 years. The chance of one occurring in any given century was then 0.0625%. Most importantly - none of these wiped out homo sapiens predecessors back then, and it's absurd to think anything equivalent could now.

      2) Mega landslide in Hawaii/Canary Islands: Could inundate up to 25 kilometers inland from the coast. Massively destructive? No doubt. Global economic collapse/anarchy? Possibly. Extinction of the human race? What are you smoking?!

      3) Defrosting Russian Permafrost/Global Warming: As I couldn't find anything particularly destructive about the defrosting of the Russian permafrost in itself, besides its effect on the warm garments industry, I'm going to assume you're thinking of how it could play a role in fueling global warming. Which also allows us to face the global warming question. Is there any even slightly reputable model that estimates that within the next 200 years this planet will become inhabitable due to global warming? The worst I've ever even heard of, as regards a threat to the existence of our species, is the idea that somehow we'll end up like Venus. If this is even possible, it's not gonna happen overnight, and as the situation actually begins to threaten we'll easily be able to channel our resources and technology into adapting, or developing on off-planet solution. Most likely adapting. Is there the possibility of the loss/adjustment of quality-of-life/lifestyle on major scale? Absolutely. Is there going to be major loss of life? Possibly. Extinction?! No freaking way. Also, global warming isn't an "event" unless you subscribe to the "Day After Tomorrow" hilarity.

      4) Comet/Meteor: Wikipedia says that there have been an estimated 60 objects that have struck the Earth with a diameter greater than 5 kilometers in the last 600 million years. These may have resulted in, at most, all 5 mass-extinctions that have taken place in the last 540 million years, the largest killed off 90% of life on Earth. Note that there is disagreement, and lack of evidence that all these mass extinctions were caused by impact events. Even if you believe that no humans would be resourceful enough to survive such an equivalent event; and that the future impact object would not be detected and prepared for, or even prevented; then the likelihood of us being extinguished in any given millenium is about 1 in 90000, or 0.0011%. Personally, I say that for just this millenium we not freak out about it.

      5) Gamma Ray Burst/Solar flare: I'm pretty sure a GRB is gonna destroy all life wherever it hits, and it's just as likely to hit any other region of space we might be inhabiting. The only way to protect against it would be spread out over enough of an area that no single GRB could destroy us. Fortunately, the likelihood of a GRB or a solar flare powerful enough to destroy all life is even less than the comet/meteor impact event - seeing as how there hasn't been a single event in the last however many hundreds of millions of years it's been since life began on Earth.

      Basically, the gist of all this perspective i

      --
      Now that I think about it, I'm pretty sure everything I just said is completely wrong.
    30. Re:So many extinction level events yet we linger by Mr.+Slippery · · Score: 2, Insightful

      It's like we got bored after 15 years in space and decided it wasn't worth the effort or something.

      It pretty much turned out that, with our current level of technology, it's often not worth the effort to put humans into space. From Sputnik to Apollo, the "space race" was never about science, it was about Cold War propaganda and missile technology.

      At the moment there are precious few reasons to lob a human into orbit to do science, much less to go through the trouble and expense to try to keep one alive for a trip to Luna or Mars. Cheaper and easier to send robotic probes.

      It's going to remain that way until some technological breakthroughs make it easier to put people into orbit and keep them alive up there -- maybe nanotech that enables a space elevator and the construction of habitats, maybe something completely unexpected. Or maybe nothing, and we stay here and focus on making the Earth a safe and pleasant place to live. Or maybe we blow it and die off.

      --
      Tom Swiss | the infamous tms | my blog
      You cannot wash away blood with blood
    31. Re:So many extinction level events yet we linger by danbert8 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Well if you mean the easily accessible resources that the government will let you get at, then yes... There is still plenty of easily accessible oil in places the government won't let us tap (ANWAR, West Coast, etc) and coal will likely be available in very large quantities that can't be used today because of environmental regulations, but in a post-apocalyptic anarchy period, would be burned like there's no tomorrow.

      --
      Yes it's an anecdote! Were you expecting original research in a Slashdot comment?
    32. Re:So many extinction level events yet we linger by Geminii · · Score: 1

      We haven't gotten off this rock in any meaningful numbers. That's like saying a prisoner has gotten out of their cell because a couple of their skin flakes have drifted under the door.

    33. Re:So many extinction level events yet we linger by mpc92 · · Score: 1

      We can build underground bunkers powered by nuclear reactors and grow plants by the soft glow of UV lamps, for instance. For humans to become extinct, something will have to hit us really hard and really fast.

      Of course we can build all of those things, but this is precisely the type of event that would hit really hard and fast. Given that as a species we don't currently have such bolt hole facilities of any significant capacity, even if we were to assume a small number of months of warning and build up time it's highly unlikely we would actually get it done before the big eruption. We simply don't have the global political will to make it happen in that time scale--let alone to get a start now when it's all theoretical (on a human timescale).

    34. Re:So many extinction level events yet we linger by RobertM1968 · · Score: 1

      If Yellowstone erupts - and we do not know what the warning signs truly are (but think we are seeing them), and don't know how long after those signs till it erupts (but it could be next year, 10,000 years from now, or... later today), we would not have the time to build an outhouse, much less bunkers, start underground crops, and have underground nuclear power plants to power it all - much less on the scale needed to prevent mass extinction... (gee, we'd change a 70-90% extinction to a 69-89% extinction).

      So, to summarize, we dont know what timetable we have after we see the warning signs (which many scientists are speculating we are already seeing). So, when do we start this massive construction project that will only save a tiny fraction of life on Earth?

      Just wondering....

    35. Re:So many extinction level events yet we linger by snooo53 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Of course one problem is that all of the easily obtainable resources will have already been strip mined by us, so that by the time something crawls back out of the muck it will be considerably harder to advance past the club and stick phase.

      Assuming a civilization ending destruction occurs, that doesn't necessarily mean all the resources are gone. Instead future generations will be processing garbage from landfills, electronic waste, decrepit buildings, seawater and the like. If anything it seems like they will have a head start with all sorts of processed metal prevalent in cities. Cars, wires, pipes, cans, coins, etc..

      --
      The sending of this message pretty much inconveniences everyone involved.
    36. Re:So many extinction level events yet we linger by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Even peak-oil deniers...

      Are you fucking insane? The use of the "deniers" label has not only gone too far it has trivialized the original use to the point of absurdity. You are talking about an event that has not even happened, that earth's oil won't last forever is mostly understood. That it will - at some point - likely decline is a reasonable hypothesis. Peak oil as a theory is marred with failed predictions and misunderstandings of the market. That it will be right eventually, for a loose, weak definition of "peak", is about as useful as your comments or a broken watch.

    37. Re:So many extinction level events yet we linger by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The problem is finding another rock that we can survive on.

      We could survive on any piece of rock with sane gravity, without any crazy leap of tech or science.

      We just need to take small steps. Establish moon base, find out how to harvest energy and use that to get oxygen and food, etc. Design shields that can withstand the radiation of an athmosphere-less planet, or figure out how to build underground. Experience all the problems and engineer around them.

      Anyway, my point is: there's no challenge in establishing a self-sufficient colony somewhere in the solar system that we, as a race, wouldn't be able to overcome in the foreseeable future.
      And we should be starting yesterday. It's a fucking shame that we don't have by now a permanent moon base.

    38. Re:So many extinction level events yet we linger by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Winger Shibboleth #429: "ANWAR"

      It's ANWR - an abbreviation for the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge. "Anwar" is an Arabic man's name. The only people who write "ANWAR" for ANWR are right wingers who've only heard the abbreviation pronounced as an acronym on talk radio, or those who copy the same. Anyone who writes "ANWAR" for ANWR can be freely dismissed as someone who can't be bothered to read enough to get the name of the place they're talking about correct.

    39. Re:So many extinction level events yet we linger by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      not really. after materials are strip mined, they go somewhere on the surface right? Surely they don't disappear :-P Concrete and steel rubble from buildings is likely a lot richer in iron than many if not all iron ore we have mined and separated from rocks

    40. Re:So many extinction level events yet we linger by khallow · · Score: 1

      gee, we'd change a 70-90% extinction to a 69-89% extinction

      100% death rate is an "extinction". Everything less is not. At a glance, none of the previous Yellowstone caldera eruptions would have been significant enough *in themselves* to cause a 70% death rate in today's population. Sure, if we get more people and a tighter food supply, then such a death rate could happen. But such a death rate now would only be possible due to secondary effects (like nuclear wars, breakdown in society) which are not automatically going to happen.

    41. Re:So many extinction level events yet we linger by khallow · · Score: 2, Interesting

      but this is precisely the type of event that would hit really hard and fast.

      Not really. While a supervolcano is a different beast from a regular volcano, it is worth noting that we have normally have years of warning with respect to regular volcanoes. The real problem is that we don't know the effects of an eruption or the exact timing. So for example, we would know that an eruption is coming, but not whether it'd be like one of the more mundane eruptions of the past few hundred thousand years or a major caldera event.

      even if we were to assume a small number of months of warning and build up time it's highly unlikely we would actually get it done before the big eruption.

      That'd be more than enough time to move people out of the dangerous areas, namely, the central US and Canada.

      We simply don't have the global political will to make it happen in that time scale--let alone to get a start now when it's all theoretical (on a human timescale).

      Even if there is a scenario that requires "underground bunkers" built in a few months, it's silly to think that building a bunker needs global "political will". It's basically digging a big hole and putting the right equipment in there. For example, anyone with an underground mine, a lot of capital, and some non-fossil fuel power source probably has sufficient "global political will".

    42. Re:So many extinction level events yet we linger by BoothbyTCD · · Score: 1

      We do in fact have absolute assloads of easily accessible coal. It is bad from a pollution standpoint, but in a world where it is raining dilute sulfuric acid and ash for a decade or so we won't care much. Coal will suffice for a mid- to late-19th century level of technology within a fairly short period of time. The much greater problm is we will all die of starvation before that.

      --
      snig
    43. Re:So many extinction level events yet we linger by RobertM1968 · · Score: 1

      (1) saying 70% extinction means 70% extinction... not 100%. It is an approved modifier of the word "extinction" whether you agree or not.

      The definition for "extinction event" or "mass extinction event" is as follows:

      An extinction event (also known as: mass extinction; extinction-level event, ELE) is a sharp decrease in the number of species in a relatively short period of time.

      So, sorry to burst your bubble... but you misunderstand the use and/or definition of the terms. Or the dictionaries, scientists and research papers on the subject are wrong.

      I'm more leaning towards you are wrong and they are correct. Sorry.

      (2) We do have a very tight food supply in many countries - some have far less supply than demand and rely on bartering with other nations. As for this country, though we produce enough to feed the whole world, all of those areas will become infertile. The majority of food (plant or animal) producing areas in this country sit quite nicely in the area that will be devastated by a major Yellowstone eruption.

      (3) The fallout and drops in temperature will hamper the entire rest of the world's food production capabilities - after reducing ours to 1/10th of what it is from direct effect.

      (4) Unlike in past similar eruptions (Toba, being the only one), the population of the Earth has increased by a factor of around 7 thousand. For instance, in 70,000BC (around the time of Toba) the world had an estimated less than one million people. The county I live in has 3 times that - Nassau county has 3 times that and could fit in the volcano's caldera (ie: this tiny land area has 3 times the world population during the time Toba went off). Manhattan Island, a mere 15 or so square miles, has over EIGHT times the world's population of that time.

      That means a 20% mass extinction event would lead to around 1.3 BILLION deaths. Today, even a small percentage is a massive amount of people.

      Now, in the US...

      When Yellowstone went off 640,000 years ago, there were ZERO humans affected...

      Why you might ask? Because there were NO humans.

      Mitochondrial DNA and fossil evidence indicates that modern humans originated in Africa about 200,000 years ago.

      Today, such an eruption would mean the US (what's left of it) would have to import all (or to be more accurate, somewhere near 99%) of it's food, and that would be from countries that were also severely effected by the aftereffects.

    44. Re:So many extinction level events yet we linger by khallow · · Score: 1

      (1) saying 70% extinction means 70% extinction... not 100%. It is an approved modifier of the word "extinction" whether you agree or not.

      Ok, if you're claiming that 70% or more species will die from Yellowstone, then that's nonsense. Yellowstone has had somewhere in excess of a hundred caldera eruptions in the past 16 million years. Some of them are probably bigger than what's in the pipeline for next time. Yet we'd have to go back to the end of the Cretaceous with the KT boundary event to see extinctions on the order of 70%.

      If you're claiming that there's a 70% chance of humanity (or for that matter any chance at all) dying from a Yellowstone caldera eruption then that's also nonsense. Anyone not on the North American continent is only going to experience the global effects and they aren't that serious. Merely a significant drop in temperature. All the people living in the tropics are completely unaffected. Sure there's a good chance of a food decline and considerable starvation deaths. But nothing like an extinction level event.

      That means a 20% mass extinction event would lead to around 1.3 BILLION deaths. Today, even a small percentage is a massive amount of people.

      If a supervolcano had a 20% chance of extinction of humans, then it's likely that it kills a lot more than 20% of the human population. This isn't a case where it either kills no one or everyone. Instead, it's likely to kill almost everyone with the survivors having an 80% chance of continuing the human race. If you're claiming that killing 20% of humans is a mass extinction event, well it's not. Let's look again at your definition:

      An extinction event (also known as: mass extinction; extinction-level event, ELE) is a sharp decrease in the number of species in a relatively short period of time.

      20% of humanity is not a species. Even wiping out the human race isn't in itself a mass extinction unless a lot of other species go down as well.

    45. Re:So many extinction level events yet we linger by dpilot · · Score: 1

      When the "event" is done, when the post-event big-weapon wars are done, when the lower-level turf-wars are done, when exhaustion finally settles in, for the size of "society" left, burning coal for a while won't be a problem. As you say, I'd be much more concerned about enough sunlight coming back after the event to restart the food chain.

      --
      The living have better things to do than to continue hating the dead.
    46. Re:So many extinction level events yet we linger by CAIMLAS · · Score: 1

      Yet tomorrow you might die of a heart attack or be hit by a rushed Paki cab driver. Big picture, a mass extinction event matters not at all. You go out one way or another.

      --
      ~/ssh slashdot.org ssh: connect to host slashdot.org port 22: too many beers
    47. Re:So many extinction level events yet we linger by CAIMLAS · · Score: 1

      A radioactive meteor would do the trick. And zombies. Can't forget the zombies.

      --
      ~/ssh slashdot.org ssh: connect to host slashdot.org port 22: too many beers
    48. Re:So many extinction level events yet we linger by RobertM1968 · · Score: 1

      No... scientists are the ones coming up with those figures and disagree with just about everything you said.

      Thus, people far more knowledgeable than you on the subject seem to have come to different conclusions than you. I'm stating I agree with their conclusions and what those are.

      Doesn't matter if you agree or not. Doesn't matter if I do or not. Whatever will happen, will happen. Either they will be correct, and my belief that they are a better authority on the matter than you will be correct - or they will be wrong, my belief in them will have been misplaced, and you will turn out to be correct.

    49. Re:So many extinction level events yet we linger by RobertM1968 · · Score: 1

      Oh, and a PS...

      A species can be hunted to extinction (or brought there through a variety of means) - including humans.

      Now, you are confusing the terms "mass extinction"/"extinction level event" with the term "extinction" as it (extinction) can be applied to an individual species, race, group of species or just about any grouping for that matter.

      A simple for instance is "The sperm whale was hunted to near extinction" - which applies to one species of the whale family of the mammal family.

      You spent a lot of time in the last two posts debating semantics over (a) terms you dont understand the meaning of, and (b) single words you dont understand the meaning of.

    50. Re:So many extinction level events yet we linger by khallow · · Score: 1

      Thus, people far more knowledgeable than you on the subject seem to have come to different conclusions than you. I'm stating I agree with their conclusions and what those are.

      Perhaps you could tell me who these alleged scientists are so I can determine where your error lies? As I said before, there has been no mass extinction on the order of 70% of Earth's species in the past 16 million years. In that same time, there have been more than 100 caldera eruptions just from the Yellowstone hotspot. I don't care if there are genuine scientists claiming that the next big one from Yellowstone is somehow going to be more destructive than the previous 100+. That just means they are wrong.

      Doesn't matter if you agree or not. Doesn't matter if I do or not. Whatever will happen, will happen. Either they will be correct, and my belief that they are a better authority on the matter than you will be correct - or they will be wrong, my belief in them will have been misplaced, and you will turn out to be correct.

      Look we can't magically know the future. But in geology the past is routinely a good guide to the future. I would depend on it before I depend on the alleged statements of scientists whom you have yet to name.

    51. Re:So many extinction level events yet we linger by khallow · · Score: 1
      Please stop wasting my time. Extinction means end of a species or higher taxonomic classification. Informally it can mean the end of any identifiable group (eg, the extinction of the druids in ancient Britain), but that isn't a valid use in biology. Mass extinction means the extinction of a large number of species. Those are the definitions. Your statement continues to not make sense and is not a standard use no matter how much you claim otherwise. Sure it's a semantics issue, but you need to define properly whatever you are trying to say.

      (1) saying 70% extinction means 70% extinction... not 100%. It is an approved modifier of the word "extinction" whether you agree or not.

      What does 70% extinction mean? Do you mean 70% die-off? 70% of species become extinct? And I don't in the least believe that you are using an "approved modifier".

    52. Re:So many extinction level events yet we linger by RobertM1968 · · Score: 1

      Go to Wikipedia, look up Yellowstone Caldera, go to the bottom (dont bother reading the article unless you want to) and click on the research papers listed in the citations.

      Go to YouTube and look up "Yellowstone eruption" and watch the videos that the USGS themselves, including those who work there who are in charge of the Yellowstone project, have had to say.

      Look up Robert Smith's work or Jake Lowenstern's work or Dr Hank Heasler's or Dr Henrietta Cathey or Dr Barbara Nash or their predecessors. I could name a half dozen more if you want...

      Besides the tons of links you can go read from Wikipedia, here's a few more.
      http://www.time.com/time/health/article/0,8599,1869313,00.html
      http://volcanoes.usgs.gov/yvo/figures/fig3.html
      http://dsc.discovery.com/convergence/supervolcano/under/under.html
      http://www.volcano.si.edu/world/volcano.cfm?vnum=1205-01-
      http://eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2007-11/uou-yr103007.php
      http://newswise.com/articles/view/534941/
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Supervolcano
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Volcanic_Explosivity_Index
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/End_Day#Scenarios
      http://www.damninteresting.com/a-big-big-hole-in-the-ground
      http://volcanoes.usgs.gov/yvo/

      That's a tiny fraction of the ones I have read, and doesnt even begin to get into the studies on it by the USGS that I have read.

      I've spent a long time reading and researching this topic for a project I am involved with for one of my jobs.

    53. Re:So many extinction level events yet we linger by RobertM1968 · · Score: 1

      Then buy a dictionary. Or simply look it up. I already provided the definition for mass extinction and extinction level event for you. I even provided a scientifically used sentence for the word "extinction" - so once again, you are correct and the dictionaries and experts are incorrect?

      I'll stop when you do. :-)

    54. Re:So many extinction level events yet we linger by RobertM1968 · · Score: 1

      Perhaps you could tell me who these alleged scientists are so I can determine where your error lies? As I said before, there has been no mass extinction on the order of 70% of Earth's species in the past 16 million years. In that same time, there have been more than 100 caldera eruptions just from the Yellowstone hotspot.

      I can only recall one VEI8 eruption while mankind existed... that was Toba. Responsible for reducing the human race to a few thousand breeding pairs, in what was predicted as a 65-70% extinction of the human race (some scientists think higher) and left genetic markers that we still carry today (beyond me what they mean in that... though I have studied geology, computers and limited engineering, I have not studied genetics).

      This resulted in the world's human population being reduced to 10,000 or even a mere 1,000 breeding pairs, creating a bottleneck in human evolution. The theory was proposed in 1998 by Stanley H. Ambrose of the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign.

      And has since been supported by other scientists. (you can confirm this statement by looking at the research links at the bottom - you will also find the % extinction number in some of those papers):
      -http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lake_Toba

      Mankind, to my knowledge (well, based off the dates of previous eruptions) were not around during Yellowstone's VEI 8 eruptions. They predate man by quite a bit. Hundreds of thousands of years for the most recent.

    55. Re:So many extinction level events yet we linger by RobertM1968 · · Score: 1

      I forgot a few important researchers... you can find the rest on the numerous reports on the USGS site and various university studies. But these are big in their field... Bob Christiansen, Lisa A. Morgan, Henry Heasler and Charles Wicks.

      Bob published (among other various reports) a 90+ page study on Yellowstone. Great reading. Sadly, ALMOST every thing he suspects must happen prior to a massive eruption (first few pages) he indicates are happening (about 2/3 of the way in)... the rest of the things he suspects needs to happen (more earthquake swarms, the hotspot needing to be bigger (which is what this thread is about) and continued refilling of the magma chamber) is all now known to be taking place.

    56. Re:So many extinction level events yet we linger by thisnamestoolong · · Score: 1

      Sorry, but you are simply wrong. Extinction means 100% of a species. If an asteroid hit Earth and left one person alive, we would not be officially extinct until that person died, even though the blast killed off 99.9999999998% of the population. I'm not really sure where you get your definitions from. This is not even to mention the fact that you grossly overestimate the physical damage that Yellowstone will cause -- most of the harm caused by the Yellowstone supervolcano will come from the fact that it will almost certainly collapse the current dominant superpower in the world, which will collapse the worldwide economy and leave a huge power vacuum. Sure, there will be some collateral damage around the globe (lower temperatures, leading to decreased food production, leading to famine), but the rest of the world outside of North America will be largely unaffected.

      --
      To the haters: You can't win. If you mod me down, I shall become more powerful than you could possibly imagine
    57. Re:So many extinction level events yet we linger by khallow · · Score: 1

      Ok, I looked at the definition. I don't know what you think it means, but it means end of a species, not a decline in the population. So not only am I correct, but the dictionary agrees with me.

    58. Re:So many extinction level events yet we linger by khallow · · Score: 1

      Let's start this over again. You made a claim that "much less on the scale needed to prevent mass extinction... (gee, we'd change a 70-90% extinction to a 69-89% extinction)." Apparently, you merely meant that 70-90% of the human population dies off. Where is the evidence for that assertion?

    59. Re:So many extinction level events yet we linger by khallow · · Score: 1

      I can only recall one VEI8 eruption while mankind existed... that was Toba. Responsible for reducing the human race to a few thousand breeding pairs, in what was predicted as a 65-70% extinction of the human race (some scientists think higher) and left genetic markers that we still carry today (beyond me what they mean in that... though I have studied geology, computers and limited engineering, I have not studied genetics).

      Depends on what you mean by "mankind". The genus has been around for about 2 million years. Glancing at Wikipedia, there have been four VEI8 eruptions (perhaps five, if the 2.1 million year old Island Park caldera eruption (just southwest of Yellowstone) eruption occurred while humans were starting out) including one after Toba.

      It's worth noting that the Island Park caldera eruption is almost as big as Toba. So Yellowstone is unusually in that it could be capable of a "large" VEI 8 eruption.

    60. Re:So many extinction level events yet we linger by khallow · · Score: 1

      That's a tiny fraction of the ones I have read, and doesnt even begin to get into the studies on it by the USGS that I have read.

      I've spent a long time reading and researching this topic for a project I am involved with for one of my jobs.

      None of these links back your assertion that 70-90% of Earth's population would die from a Yellowstone caldera eruption (presumably one about the size of a Toba eruption). For example, the ash fall, even if it kills everyone in the US and Canada, would only kill roughly 4% of the world's population.

    61. Re:So many extinction level events yet we linger by RobertM1968 · · Score: 1

      Yeah... two known VEI8 eruptions, and one known VEI7 eruption. (Yellowstone)

    62. Re:So many extinction level events yet we linger by RobertM1968 · · Score: 1

      Read Bob C's or the other's reports on the matter. I provided you over half a dozen (nearer to a dozen) people's names who have written papers on the matter, there are videos from the USGS online if you dont like to read.

      Here's one theory and related events:

      The largest known super volcano is the Siberian Traps in Russia, which had the largest volcanic event in the last 500 million years. The Siberian Traps eruption, which lasted over a million years has been blamed for the Permian-Triassic extinction event. This extinction event occurred 252 million years ago, when 90% of all marine life and 70% of all other life became extinct.

      What most do not realize is the number of these sleeping giants that exist. When someone in the United States hears the word super volcano they think "Yellowstone", but Yellowstone isn't the only monster that exists.

      Evidence shows that when super volcanoes erupt it effects our climate and the environment for many years after. The Toba eruption 74,000 years ago, and the 3 Yellowstone eruptions 2.1 million, 1.3 million and 640,000 years ago have been blamed for causing earths past ice ages.

      You'll find more by reading Bob Christiansen's and team's studies and supplementing that with the new information they've found out recently and the new data from the USGS site.

      I know you want an easy answer, and I am not trying to be difficult... but I'd have to read through as many as a few thousand pages worth of research documents from the USGS teams and other teams to be able to point you to a specific page and document.

      Some of it, btw, was on documentaries on the Science Channel (I think... coulda been Discovery or History as well)... the particular part was the 90% upper range, which was associated with the changes to the tectonic plates and possible shift in Earth's orbit that apparently some scientists think may happen in the next VEI8 eruption. I believe those theories were based off the fact that the plates have moved quite a bit since then, the planet is already experiencing a measurable increased "wobble" and other factors.

      Otherwise, most other scientists who have stated a numerical figure seem to lean towards up to 70%.

    63. Re:So many extinction level events yet we linger by RobertM1968 · · Score: 1

      Oh, I should add, those scientists who speculate the higher numbers do so based not solely on the geological and environmental implications, but also based on how that will affect the society of today.

      As a for instance, in the US, our food production capabilites will be reduced to near nothing (according to them - I havent studied these aspects in depth as an in depth study of them was not required for my work). Bread Basket

      The other "for instances" are based off similar factors as the temperature drop and acid rain impacts worldwide food production in a world that is already overpopulated.

      They also take into account the current populations inability (at large) to survive without modern "conveniences" since most of the population no longer has "hunter/gatherer" skills or even the knowledge of how long food remains edible once gathered via hunting or harvesting - or even the knowledge of how to plant and grow food, butcher animals, what plants are edible and so on.

      Inotherwords, they expect the number to be as high because life at current levels will be unsustainable. These are not factors taken into account in most of the USGS reports, but are by other scientists at various universities and elsewhere (ie: you'd need to also read the reports by scientists in other fields based off the reports from the USGS and others in the Geological field).

      So, there's the base geological information and the predicted aftermaths, and there's the aftermaths predicted by those who look at the societal impacts based off those factors (and others - such as such a situation spawning multiple wars) that cause a divergence in the die off rate expected.

      Some even theorize that in an attempt to live, humans will help run other species to extinction - further hastening our own end.

      Me personally, I don't know. I can only go by what the few hundred reports on the matter indicate - and even those dont agree. Some state millions to hundreds of millions will die... some state billions will die (which brings us to the 70-90% range).

      So again, I honestly don't know which are correct... though the reports and studies with the higher numbers do take into account a greater number of factors (location of the US breadbasket, wars, overpopulation, natural resources and society's mass inability to feed, clothe and shelter themselves).

      My work only required me to find supportable scientific reports by experts in their fields that concluded such, and to be able to disseminate that information to the rest of the team I work with.

    64. Re:So many extinction level events yet we linger by dpilot · · Score: 1

      I wouldn't call ANWR particularly easy to get at. It's not that hard to get with today's technology base, but throw all that away, pretend you're Jed Clampett, and then see how easy it is to get that oil out of the Alaskan wilderness, much less back to where you want to be. I'm not sure what you mean by "West Coast oil", but if it's offshore, that's not going to be easy for a post-technological society, either.

      --
      The living have better things to do than to continue hating the dead.
    65. Re:So many extinction level events yet we linger by khallow · · Score: 1
      Well, thinking about it, I'm backtracking on my argument. I'd have to say that the current global system has never been seriously tested, much less tested on the scale of a large SEI 8 eruption. Hence, it will probably fail. My own reading on the matter indicates to me that almost all agriculture in the Northern hemisphere will stop for at least a year, maybe several years. Some of the lesser effects like acid rain are IMHO overrated. The places most likely to be affected will already be under a significant layer of ash. But that still leaves a huge amount of stratospheric sulfur dioxide and ash to deal with, hence the considerable halt of Northern hemisphere agriculture.

      I think the consequences of such an eruption will depend on both the size of the eruption (a 600 km3 eruption is far less serious than a 2,500 km3 eruption) and the degree of warning we have. For example, even an SEI 8 could be barely managed with 10 years of lead time.

      Incidentally, the Siberian traps are in a completely different league. The volume of lava (at 2.5 million km3) is roughly a thousand times greater than the Island Park caldera eruption and took place over perhaps a million years. That's equivalent to the combined two largest flood basalts in historical times (roughly 30 km3 in Iceland) every 12 years or the volume of a Yellowstone caldera eruption every millennium (though as basalt eruptions, it would have a much weaker though still substantial environmental impact). In comparison, the Yellowstone hotspot might be responsible for the Columbia basalt floods. Collectively, we might be looking at maybe 300,000-500,000 km3 of material over 17 million years.

      The only genuine comparisons to the Siberian traps can be found off of Earth. There are several mares on the Moon (all on the size facing Earth) which are similar in size and Mars has larger volcanism (at a guess, Olympus Mons would be at least 5 million cubic km3 perhaps a lot more, if the weight of the volcano depresses the crust there a lot).

      Some of it, btw, was on documentaries on the Science Channel (I think... coulda been Discovery or History as well)... the particular part was the 90% upper range, which was associated with the changes to the tectonic plates and possible shift in Earth's orbit that apparently some scientists think may happen in the next VEI8 eruption.

      SEI 8's are big, but not that big. Changes in Earth's dynamics probably will be measurable (supposedly the magnitude 9 quake in Indonesia had a measurable effect), but insignificant. A similar thing goes for the techtonics. I think it'd be something like a supertanker at speed running over a small rowboat. Remember that the Yellowstone hotspot has at least a 100 caldera eruptions plus whatever else it does. I doubt there's been much change in the motion of the North American plate as a result of this.

  10. Pressure Release = Bad? by realsilly · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Several have suggested that we try to come up with a way to release pressure from the Super Volcano, but I can't see that helpful. The life of this planet depends upon this changes in the mantel and the crust, and trying to divert what happens in nature may cause larger problems for our population on this planet later. It amazes me that we think as a people that our lives on this planet are somehow more significant than other life forms. Yes we are evolved, and that would lead many to argue this point, but the reality is we are like ant to this planet. We've infested it with our population growths. The planet will do what the planet will do, and we're really just along for the ride.

    I'm not a volcano expert nor am I any renound scientist, I'm an average person looking at the possiblity of life as I know it ceasing to exist. I don't look forward to a massive kill-off of the many life-forms on this planet. I don't, but I do feel that by messing with nature we will cause more problems than if we don't. But hey, this is only my take on the situation described. Meh!

    --
    Life takes interesting turns, but the most interest is when you're off the beaten path.
    1. Re:Pressure Release = Bad? by FTWinston · · Score: 1

      It amazes me that we think as a people that our lives on this planet are somehow more significant than other life forms. Yes we are evolved, and that would lead many to argue this point, but the reality is we are like ant to this planet.

      Thats a bit of an underestimate of our impact on the planet. We've spread across and drastically altered much of its surface far quicker than any other lifeform I can think of. The original oxygen-producing bacteria, mosses, trees, and grass may all have had more significant effects than we have, but we've been rushing to catch up pretty well so far.

      but I do feel that by messing with nature we will cause more problems than if we don't. But hey, this is only my take on the situation described. Meh!

      Well, in the face of extinction, its usually ok (as far as I'm concerned) to mess with stuff you don't understand in the hope of avoiding it. If said extinction is reasonably certain.

    2. Re:Pressure Release = Bad? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So you really think that this mister "nature" has some great project with the world and humans have no parts in it?
      There's any greater hubris sin than thinking the human race is somehow outside the rules, so when something get done by an animal or by simply chance its nature, if it's done by an human it become unnatural?

    3. Re:Pressure Release = Bad? by sznupi · · Score: 2, Interesting

      It amazes me that we think as a people that our lives on this planet are somehow more significant than other life forms.

      How is that amazing? It's perfectly natural for any species to act that way, for one simple reason: those which don't have such trait, don't survive long.

      --
      One that hath name thou can not otter
    4. Re:Pressure Release = Bad? by MozeeToby · · Score: 1

      Are you actually suggesting that given the choice between an explosion 10 times larger than all the worlds nuclear arsenal combined or the possibility that maybe defusing it would cause a problem thousands or millions of years down the road, you would actually choose the civilization ending explosion? Ok, maybe not civilization ending, but it's surely going to kill a good half billion people almost instantly, and another 4 billion on top of that due to food shortages, tidal waves, and warfare (limited resources will always lead to fighting). So yeah, lets worry about soil quality a few million years from now and light it up. By this logic, we should just kill all humans right away, since our negative impact is almost definately greater than a super volcanoes positive one.

    5. Re:Pressure Release = Bad? by mpe · · Score: 1

      Several have suggested that we try to come up with a way to release pressure from the Super Volcano, but I can't see that helpful.

      Any significent change is going to involve dealing with amounts of energy which make nuclear weapons look like toys.

    6. Re:Pressure Release = Bad? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why is this marked "Troll?" OP admits he has no knowledge of the subject and yet remarks,

      I do feel that by messing with nature we will cause more problems than if we don't.

      This unenlightened criticism of science and engineering is at the root of many of our current woes: the uneducated masses feel that what is not "natural" must be bad, while what is "natural" must be good. And so, nuclear energy meets NIMBY activist; genetic modifications that could increase crop yields and decrease our reliance on pesticides meet with anti-GM protestors; children go unvaccinated against simple diseases that should be extinct, because parents mistrust vaccines and doctors. In this case, we have a number of people who suggest that it might be prudent to begin looking for ways to prevent natural disasters, and a poster who is frightened by the unnatural, preferring to succumb to nature than to overcome it.

    7. Re:Pressure Release = Bad? by realsilly · · Score: 1

      You actually think that we could defuse the Super Volcano? Really? How much more of the earth and civilization would we destroy in trying to destroy the population killer. If what I've read is true about Super Volcanoes, we're pretty screwed when it blows it's stack. I'm sure there may be ways of finding a way to diminish damage, then why aren't we doing it on other active volcanoes. The study of Volcanoes is not and exact science, if we were to start now to find ways to diffuse you think that the people of the world would be willing to fund such an effort? Hell the American public can't stomach funding victims of Hurricane Katrina for more than a couple years. Do you really think the world would agree to help pay for the efforts now to defuse the Super Volcano that's in our backyard? Much less, do this for years and years and years? And since Volcanoes are pretty unpredictable for when they will errupt, we really wouldn't know how long it would be before a Super Volcano would errupt. Let's see a bill go before our current Congress, and the House and the freaking Tax Payers to fund the "Defusing" effort now for something that might not take place for another million years.

      I don't want the civilization to end, I kinda dig my place in all of it, but getting this type of effort to start and completion before the big explosion would be like nailing Jello to a tree. Good luck. I say live life and enjoy it.

      --
      Life takes interesting turns, but the most interest is when you're off the beaten path.
    8. Re:Pressure Release = Bad? by Tablizer · · Score: 1

      Plus, we are cuter than cockroaches.....well at least most of us.

    9. Re:Pressure Release = Bad? by Tablizer · · Score: 1

      involve dealing with amounts of energy which make nuclear weapons look like toys

      Too bad we can't tap it as an energy source. That could help solve 3 problems: 1) Energy shortage, 2) Releasing pressure on this Mother of All Zits, and 3) Less oil funding to the not-so-friendly middle east.

    10. Re:Pressure Release = Bad? by Jaysyn · · Score: 1

      Yes Virginia, in our own eyes we are more important than everything else on this planet. This is not rocket science.

      --
      There is a war going on for your mind.
    11. Re:Pressure Release = Bad? by jayme0227 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      It amazes me that we think as a people that our lives on this planet are somehow more significant than other life forms.

      Then it would amaze you that my life is more important than yours, at least to me? I think most people operate under the belief that humans are more important than animals because, well, we evolved.

      Here's my list of most importance:
      Me, my (future)progeny, and my spouse
      My family and friends
      People closely sharing my culture, ideals and/or geographic area
      Human beings in general
      Animals (especially domesticated animals)
      Plants

      Basically, I'm willing to sacrifice the well-being of any item on the list in favor of what is above it. While I try to expand my horizons, it comes down to this: I'm only as generous as my own well-being allows. I don't care one lick about feeding the kids in Africa if I don't have food in my own gut. And I especially don't care about deforestation if I have to worry about a bear wandering into my backyard and eating me.

      Now, I do believe myself to be a relatively enlightened person. I donate to charity, I help others when they need it, and I seek to make the world a better place for those around me. However, I only do so because I can afford it. As long as my needs are met, I have no problem worrying about others. When push comes to shove, however, it all goes back to that list.

      Seeing as you haven't offed yourself yet, I'd bet that it is the same for you. You only worry about our "infestation" on this globe because you can afford to watch the Matrix or read any number of books espousing the same philosophy. I'd be willing to bet that, with a gun against your head, you'd back down. It's just the way we've been programmed by millions of years of evolution.

      --
      But then I realized the cable was blue, so I only gave it one star. I hate blue.
    12. Re:Pressure Release = Bad? by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Only if you're not another cockroach.

    13. Re:Pressure Release = Bad? by myrdos2 · · Score: 1

      I don't look forward to a massive kill-off of the many life-forms on this planet. I don't, but I do feel that by messing with nature we will cause more problems than if we don't.

      So you feel that releasing the pressure slowly would be somehow worse than a massive kill-off of the many life forms on this planet? This seems like a really weak argument to me. I suspect that if humankind were to cause that degree of pollution and climate change, you'd be dead set against it. Just because something is natural doesn't make it better.

    14. Re:Pressure Release = Bad? by Farmer+Tim · · Score: 1

      the uneducated masses feel that what is not "natural" must be bad, while what is "natural" must be good.

      I have a simple solution for this: when someone says that I offer them a nice glass of fresh snake venom.

      --
      Blank until /. makes another boneheaded UI decision.
    15. Re:Pressure Release = Bad? by RobertM1968 · · Score: 1

      It amazes me that we think as a people that our lives on this planet are somehow more significant than other life forms.

      Then it would amaze you that my life is more important than yours, at least to me? I think most people operate under the belief that humans are more important than animals because, well, we evolved.

      Here's my list of most importance: Me, my (future)progeny, and my spouse My family and friends People closely sharing my culture, ideals and/or geographic area Human beings in general Animals (especially domesticated animals) Plants

      The problem with that list (when talking about extinction) is as follows. The last two things on the list are more important than you (or me) - even though most humans wont admit it. Without them, you (and I and everyone else) would die due to hunger.

      Losing either of those two would probably end in the same results. Without plantlife, animal life will soon follow into extinction. Without animal life, a lot of plant will as well (kinda like our current concern about bees dying - and that's just one example).

      I understand your point, but it just doesnt apply to extinction level events - for you to be the most important, plants and animals have to be equally important or of more importance.

    16. Re:Pressure Release = Bad? by RobertM1968 · · Score: 1

      Not just that, but the pressures involved are ridiculous. We'd run a risk of actually starting such an eruption. The hotspot is larger than many states. Dealing with that much pressure, that covers that much distance, would definitely take science on a level greater than what we have.

      A balloon is great at holding air in it until you pop it with a pin and it explodes. Creating a controlled hole, in the Earth's crust, like the opening on the end of a balloon, is beyond our capabilities.

      I'd rather set off every nuke in the world - the explosion would only be a fraction (1/10th) of what Yellowstone has been known to produce.

      Now, maybe if the hot spot wasn't hundreds of miles and covered vast chunks of multiple states... or maybe if Yellowstone's previous eruptions hadn't carved a valley into the Rockies big enough to fit most of the Appalachian Mountains in... then maybe it might be feasible.

    17. Re:Pressure Release = Bad? by Shotgun · · Score: 2, Insightful

      It amazes me that we think as a people that our lives on this planet are somehow more significant than other life forms.

      I'm not that concerned about "our lives on this planet". I'm concerned about MY life on this planet. In fact, I am VERY concerned about MY life on this planet. It is one of my greatest concerns, everything else being in a very far second. Most of the people I've talked with feel the same way.

      We all do agree, though, that your selflessness is very touching.

      --
      Aah, change is good. -- Rafiki
      Yeah, but it ain't easy. -- Simba
    18. Re:Pressure Release = Bad? by Shotgun · · Score: 1

      don't conflate energy and power. Find a way to turn a profit from harnessing the energy there, and the potential bomb will be effectively diffused within a few years.

      --
      Aah, change is good. -- Rafiki
      Yeah, but it ain't easy. -- Simba
  11. When's it going to blow? by BobMcD · · Score: 1

    Not if, but when is it going to blow? That's what matters most. Are we any closer to understanding that?

    1. Re:When's it going to blow? by dk90406 · · Score: 2, Informative
      That is not pridictable with current knowledge and tech. Perhaps next year or perhaps in 100,000 years. Given the periodicity of previous eruptions, I would not expect it to wait 500,000 years. IIRC correctly it is already 100.000 years overdue.

      But it is entirely possible that it won't be a super eruption, but just a smaller blow. These have happened some times within the last 100.000 years.

    2. Re:When's it going to blow? by Troed · · Score: 1

      Maybe.

      There's correlation between deep solar minima and volcanic activity/earthquakes:

      http://articles.adsabs.harvard.edu/full/2003ESASP.535..393S

      We're currently in the deepest solar minima for a century or two, maybe longer:

      http://www.bbc.co.uk/blogs/paulhudson/2009/12/could-the-sun-cast-a-shadow-on.shtml

      Luckily, I live very very far away from Yellowstone myself. You? ;)

    3. Re:When's it going to blow? by funwithBSD · · Score: 4, Interesting

      No one lives far away enough from Yellowstone if there is a supervolcano eruption.

      --
      Never answer an anonymous letter. - Yogi Berra
    4. Re:When's it going to blow? by BobMcD · · Score: 1

      Luckily, I live very very far away from Yellowstone myself. You? ;)

      I'm concerned that none of us are far enough away...

      Tambora's 1815 eruption seems to have led to a Little Ice Age. It was a seven on the Volcanic Explosivity Index.

      Yellowstone rates an eight, at ten times the magnitude.

      I wonder if there's a correlation here? Size of the plume vs the magnitude of the eruption?

    5. Re:When's it going to blow? by BeanThere · · Score: 1

      December 2012 of course.

    6. Re:When's it going to blow? by BobMcD · · Score: 1

      So you're implying that it won't happen at all. That's not true. It has happened before and the geological forces that caused it are still present. It fails logic to assume that it will not happen again in the future.

    7. Re:When's it going to blow? by maxwell+demon · · Score: 1

      I'm concerned that none of us are far enough away...

      I think the people on the ISS are. However, there will not be any new supplies coming from earth afterwards ...

      --
      The Tao of math: The numbers you can count are not the real numbers.
    8. Re:When's it going to blow? by BobMcD · · Score: 1

      Again, not far enough!

    9. Re:When's it going to blow? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Anywhere outside of North America is fine...as long as you have your own bunker, energy generators and food-growing equipment.

    10. Re:When's it going to blow? by kalirion · · Score: 1

      And guns to keep all of the above.

  12. Permian Mass Extinction.... by tjstork · · Score: 1

    Well, that's great. We'll get the CO2 balanced and spend the trillions to do that, deal with overpopulation, and then the Earth will open up a Siberian traps style lava flow and kill 90% of all life on the planet.

    --
    This is my sig.
    1. Re:Permian Mass Extinction.... by geekoid · · Score: 1

      When do you expect 90% of the population to be in N. America?

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    2. Re:Permian Mass Extinction.... by Duradin · · Score: 1

      For something on the scale of that event just being on the planet is sufficient.

      Just google it. Of course looking something up takes time away from being snarky.

    3. Re:Permian Mass Extinction.... by RobertM1968 · · Score: 1

      Duradin is correct. A Yellowstone eruption like 640,000 years ago, or 2.2 million years ago, would be like us exploding ten times every nuclear weapon on the planet.

      I'm no scientist, though to me, that's a mass extinction event on a worldwide scale. And though I am no scientist, they all seem to agree...

  13. Dig? by SmallFurryCreature · · Score: 1

    We can drill 12km down and that is a very small hole indeed, the distances involved here are a bit larger. And that is DRILL, not dig. If you drilled into lava/magma the drillbit would melt, get stuck and the hole be plugged with your drill. Even if could drill a hollow hole, the moment the magma flowed in it would cool and get stuck on its way up. It would be like trying to bleed to dead from a needle puncture. (which doesn't happen by the way, before I start a new internet scare)

    Digging that deep, well there are mines that go down 1km and seems to be the limit for now.

    So no, not really. There might be ways in the future, but for now we just have to hope that future has a change to happen.

    --

    MMO Quests are like orgasms:

    You may solo them, I prefer them in a group.

    1. Re:Dig? by TheLink · · Score: 4, Informative

      You don't have to drill till its hot enough for your drillbit to melt.

      You just have to drill till it's hot enough to turn pressurized water into superheated steam. Then you have a source of energy.

      The other option of course is to drill without a drillbit:

      http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2009/09/090912144809.htm

      --
    2. Re:Dig? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We use heat conditioned sharks with frickin laser beams! Woody Harrelson can provide commentary on progress.. till he gets goosebumps.

    3. Re:Dig? by RobertM1968 · · Score: 1

      You don't have to drill till its hot enough for your drillbit to melt.

      You just have to drill till it's hot enough to turn pressurized water into superheated steam. Then you have a source of energy.

      The other option of course is to drill without a drillbit:

      http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2009/09/090912144809.htm

      Ummm, you do realize, that with Yellowstone, that's called "just below the surface" - as in "gee, look at the pretty surface geysers, where superheated steam flies out all the time..."

      So... that solution seems to be solving nothing, as Yellowstone is already the most geologically active hydrothermal/geothermal area in the country, and one of the largest in the world.

    4. Re:Dig? by RobertM1968 · · Score: 1

      I previously said this in response.

      Ummm, you do realize, that with Yellowstone, that's called "just below the surface" - as in "gee, look at the pretty surface geysers, where superheated steam flies out all the time..."

      So... that solution seems to be solving nothing, as Yellowstone is already the most geologically active hydrothermal/geothermal area in the country, and one of the largest in the world.

      I was in error. Yellowstone is THE MOST hydrothermally/geothermally active area in the WORLD. As a matter of fact, it is more active than every such other area in the world COMBINED.

      So, all of these ideas of tapping it geothermally are really good if it werent for the massive scale of this thing. We could never come close to creating a system that even equalled it's hydrothermal/geothermal system.

  14. No need for elevated alarm... by swanzilla · · Score: 5, Informative

    I did my undergrad approximately an hour from Yellowstone...the big buzz in 2003 was a 100 foot tall "bulge" under Yellowstone Lake. This was dismissed as a not-issue since it was geothermal activity, not volcanic activity. While this finding is volcanic in nature, it hardly makes much of a difference as far as the public safety is concerned. As the article points out, the real mystery lies in the region between 10 and 50 miles below the surface...this has yet to be modeled.

    1. Re:No need for elevated alarm... by SnarfQuest · · Score: 0, Troll

      Getthe GW crowd to help builkd a model. They'll be able to prove that the bulge was caused by SUV's, with an explination that sounds like it came from Star Trek. "It's caused by an isoplaner resonance caused by the molecular disturbance of the tachyon field."

      Just don't ask them for their data or their code. It works like quantum physics: You can either have the results, or you can have the code, but not both.

      --
      Who would win this election: Andrew Weiner vs Andrew Weiner's weiner.
    2. Re:No need for elevated alarm... by mycroft822 · · Score: 1

      I did my undergrad approximately an hour from Yellowstone...

      Go Cats!

    3. Re:No need for elevated alarm... by Chris+Burke · · Score: 1

      So, would you say that the Supervolcano Eruption Threat Level is... Yellow?

      --

      The enemies of Democracy are
    4. Re:No need for elevated alarm... by BobMcD · · Score: 1

      As the article points out, the real mystery lies in the region between 10 and 50 miles below the surface...this has yet to be modeled.

      Just to be 'that guy', let me point out - If this had actually been modeled, and the news were very, very bad, how long would it remain 'yet to be modeled'?

    5. Re:No need for elevated alarm... by dkf · · Score: 1

      Just to be 'that guy', let me point out - If this had actually been modeled, and the news were very, very bad, how long would it remain 'yet to be modeled'?

      Not really. Pretending it doesn't exist won't make it go away. About the best we can hope for is that it won't explode until we're all long gone (on a personal level) so that it's someone else's problem.

      Cheery thought, yes?

      --
      "Little does he know, but there is no 'I' in 'Idiot'!"
  15. And what should we do? by SmallFurryCreature · · Score: 1

    If we had been scared we would still be in our tree screaming "the ground is lava!"

    There are two kinds of monkeys, those that cower and those that say "here kitty kitty" to the tiger... oh and the third is the one who runs the fastest once the tiger pounces. The heroes are the first to land on Omaha, the ones who had sons were in the second wave.

    --

    MMO Quests are like orgasms:

    You may solo them, I prefer them in a group.

    1. Re:And what should we do? by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

      The heroes are the first to land on Omaha, the ones who had sons were in the second wave.

      While I appreciate (and agree with) your point, it should be pointed out that the majority of even the first wave on Omaha survived to reproduce.

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    2. Re:And what should we do? by Like2Byte · · Score: 1

      If we had been scared we would still be in our tree screaming "the ground is lava!"

      What a narrow viewpoint. What makes you think the Earth isn't this proverbial "tree?" There are so many people and world leaders that are not concerned with space travel that it sickens me. Sure, local leaders are concerned with ways of stimulating growth in more modern cultures and others simply content to find enough able-bodied men to find food for their tribesmen - and this is a good thing.

      Someone will have to step up and get us off this tiny little rock of ours. Sadly, there are too many ignorant, influential people in the world that are more concerned with turning a profit than truly helping their fellow man; let alone help the human race.

      At some point we're going to have to broaden our horizons past our narrow viewpoint of our own microcosm and expand it to view the entire human population, as a whole, and understand that all this in-fighting is either killing us or dooming us to our collective demise.

      At some point in our lifetime humans are going to have step out of their own selfish needs and self-consciousness to attend to the continuance of the human race as a whole.

      I remind you of your quote above and close with this: At some point, yes, we looked down at the ground from our trees and say the ground is good. And onward we traveled upon two legs. Now is the time to look back up and find our wings.

    3. Re:And what should we do? by techhead79 · · Score: 1

      You know some might think it a narrow viewpoint that we must leave to survive. What ever happened to digging a hole to survive? Might not be as eventfull but if you established your own ecosystem, just as you would have to in space or on another planet...you could survive just as easily. In fact considering it would take even less energy to create such a structure underground than to blast a much smaller structure into space...

      Or, who said we have to remain human to survive on Earth? I agree...lets get off this planet as soon as we can...but if you're willing to accept that sustaining life here might not be possible in the future....guess you want to be one of the chosen ones to leave right? What about the billions left behind? A mass exodus isn't possible...ensuring the Earth is survivable in any condition is our best option...even if it means converting what we consider survivable.

    4. Re:And what should we do? by True+Grit · · Score: 1

      the ones who had sons were in the second wave.

      Actually, the subsequent waves (starting ~30min after the first) fared no better in most places. It all depended on *where* you landed, whether between the German strongpoints (it was from these in-between points where the breakouts off the beach initially occurred), or directly in front of them (you were in for a very bad several hours - if you lived at all).

  16. This just in... by Mr_Miagi · · Score: 1

    A crazed DJ looking like Woody Harrelson has just confirmed that these findings are fabrications created by the government, man!

  17. Goddamnit Nature! by ZarathustraDK · · Score: 1

    Why did you give America the worlds reset-button?!

    What were you thinking?!?!

    --
    If you quote this signature there'll be 72 copies of Windows ME waiting for you in Heaven.
    1. Re:Goddamnit Nature! by Remus+Shepherd · · Score: 1

      Indonesia has one too. You know, where all the Muslims are.

      The question is who would press theirs first, if they could.

      The third active supervolcano is in New Zealand. Wouldn't it be funny if the kiwis destroyed the world?

      --
      Genocide Man -- Life is funny. Death is funnier. Mass murder can be hilarious.
  18. Re:2012 by j_166 · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    "Is the movie 2012 a documentary ?"

    Yeah, its a depiction of what happens when Palin/Beck win the upcoming election.

  19. In other news.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ...Cheney quietly moves his home away from home...

  20. Coming up... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    LHC Super Black Hole larger than first thought.

  21. Someone write "we are all going to die!" by Snaller · · Score: 4, Insightful

    So I can mod you insightful!

    (Oh wait...)

    --
    If Google really cared they would fix Android Chrome to reflow text, instead of discriminating
    1. Re:Someone write "we are all going to die!" by not-my-real-name · · Score: 1

      We're all going to die!

      (now you can mod me....oh wait)

      --
      un-ALTERED reproduction and dissimination of this IMPORTANT information is ENCOURAGED
  22. Volcanoes do good as well by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This super volcano may be responsible for the rich farm land we have in this country. If it weren't for volcanoes our atmosphere would be much thinner or non existent. We depend on volcanoes even though they do kill.

  23. Deeper by KlaymenDK · · Score: 2, Informative

    Actually, the worlds' deepest mine is just under *4* kilometres deep, so you're off by a bit there. The miners are being extra vigilant for tectonics, and their biggest challenge (apart from fresh air to breathe) is heat coming off the tunnel walls.

    Scary stuff, if you ask me.

  24. Survival is not as simple as that by Kupfernigk · · Score: 1
    My father was in the first wave on Juno, in charge of an LCT. They went in very close to the beach. 50% of them were hit by mines. His group of junior officers were mainly from the same Jewish area of North London. Several of them are still alive.

    The people in the first wave were selected to be the ones who would keep going regardless of what happened around them. They were more likely to respond properly in an emergency. And in the case of my father and his crowd, they were shall we say motivated not to hesitate when firing at Germans. As Max Hastings has pointed out, in traditional wars 90% of soldiers were cannon fodder. They were there to stand around and get shot, acting as a kind of camouflage while the other 10% won the battle. Me, I'm a second wave type.

    --
    From scarped cliff or quarried stone she cries "A thousand types are gone, I care for nothing, no not one."
  25. Explains the "Craters of the Moon" by khallow · · Score: 2, Interesting

    One thing this new extended magma body explains is the vigorous eruptions in the Craters of the Moon region in central Idaho. This is a series of basalt eruptions over the past 14,000 or so years. What's significant about them is that basalt is very hot magma. It demonstrates some sort of relatively quick outlet for hot magma below. Given that the magma plume flattens to the west as it nears the continental crust, these series of eruptions are now explainable as being convenient exits near the western end of the magma plume.

    I wonder if such eruptions help to vent pressure from the underlying magma body postponing a eruption or contrarily are indications of building pressure in the underlying magma body that will only be released with a supervolcano eruption.

    1. Re:Explains the "Craters of the Moon" by steelfood · · Score: 1

      I suspect it had been the former rather than the latter. It may explain why we haven't seen an eruption out of Yellowstone in 640K years. Since the pressure building underneath Yellowstone vented 14K years ago through those holes, it very well might have bought us quite a bit of time--miniscule on a geological scale, but huge in human years. Of course, it'd be impossible to know exactly how much pressure had vented 14K years ago, and if that's enough to completely diffuse a Yellowstone eruption or if it'll delay the eruption by another 400K years.

      However, it's unlikely that they precede an eruption event. If they did, they'd probably still be spewing magma and in increasing frequency, duration, and magnitude, as the next eruption nears. That they've lain dormant for the past 2000 years seems to indicate that they aren't become more active.

      Or, perhaps that could very well be the site of the next supervolcano, while Yellowstone's just the remnants of an old one.

      --
      "If a nation expects to be ignorant and free in a state of civilization, it expects what never was and never will be."
    2. Re:Explains the "Craters of the Moon" by khallow · · Score: 1

      Or, perhaps that could very well be the site of the next supervolcano, while Yellowstone's just the remnants of an old one.

      I gather that basalt flows are far less likely to result in destructive caldera eruptions. They have their own problems (namely, huge quantities of lava combined with a lot of volcanic gasses), but it seems a smoother sort of eruption.

    3. Re:Explains the "Craters of the Moon" by penguinchris · · Score: 1

      Actually, the explanation for Craters of the Moon basalt flows is a bit different, although it is related to the Yellowstone hotspot.

      Hotspots are relatively fixed in the mantle (though there is evidence to suggest that they do actually move) and the crust shifts over them (continental drift) - leaving tracks behind where the hotspot was. Check out this image from the TFA study showing the extent of the plume, and how it drifted through time.

      The Yellowstone hotspot was once underneath Idaho. That was millions of years ago, of course, and your date of the craters of the moon flows (within the past 14,000 years) is correct. While the hotspot didn't cause those eruptions (though it is responsible for most of the Snake River Plain), what it did was heat and weaken the crust, which later thinned and rifted (extension in the Basin and Range). The Craters of the Moon flows are eruptions from the rift, which, though it was helped by it, does not require input from the Yellowstone hotspot to remain hot and rifting.

      I looked through the paper and don't see any evidence to support a present-day connection with Craters of the Moon.

    4. Re:Explains the "Craters of the Moon" by penguinchris · · Score: 1

      To understand basalt flows, look no further than Hawaii - its eruptions are basalt flows. Certainly dangerous if you're close by, but not explosive, as the energy is released more slowly. The formation of Craters of the Moon was likely very similar in style and rate to Hawaii, just on a smaller scale.

      In any case, the location of the hotspot is known - it's still beneath Yellowstone, where the last super-eruption took place, so the idea that Yellowstone is simply the remnant of an old super-eruption is technically correct, but it is also the only possible location for the next one as well (unless we wait a few million years for North America to shift further).

    5. Re:Explains the "Craters of the Moon" by khallow · · Score: 1

      The Craters of the Moon flows are eruptions from the rift, which, though it was helped by it, does not require input from the Yellowstone hotspot to remain hot and rifting.

      That's an interesting opinion. My view is that well, yes, it might require input from the Yellowstone hotspot.

      I looked through the paper and don't see any evidence to support a present-day connection with Craters of the Moon.

      Except that that the plume comes up to Yellowstone and then is dragged out underneath most of the Snake River plateau, including the Craters of the Moon.

      Here's the thing. There are three factors that seem relevant and supporting of my hypothesis here. First, caldera eruptions seem to have ended in the area about 4 million years ago. So where did the residue come from? Did it really stay hot for 4 million years? Second, it is a large volume of hot olivine-bearing basalt. That's a further indication that both the magma was very hot and dry (olivine reacts in the presence of water). The link describes a number of "eruptive episodes" dating back from 2,000 to 8,000 years ago (just the last part of the Craters of the Moon's history). Adding up the estimated volumes, I get roughly 20 cubic km of basalt. That compares to 1,000 cubic km for the last caldera eruption (and subsequent filling of the hole by another 1,000 cubic km). Sounds like a lot less except that the flow rates are near equivalent. If the Crater of the Moon activity had gone on for the last 600,000 years rather than just the 6,000 year period, then it would also yield roughly 2,000 cubic km of material. Third, the current study shows the magma plume not only coming up to Yellowstone, but subsequently being dragged back along the Snake River plateau, including the Craters of the Moon.

      OTOH after Googling around a bit, apparently the basalt flows separate into chemically distinct groups which would be contrary evidence. This link also cites 30 cubic km as the total volume of the flows in question from 15,000 years ago to present (and would, if extended to the past 600,000 years give a flow of 1,200 cubic km, more than enough to fill the caldera, but not as much as the combination of caldera eruption and subsequent fill).

      The point is that we have a significant amount of hot magma, a potential source lying just 30-50 miles below, and the only other explanation requires the magma to stay hot for somewhere around four million years. Chemical composition of the lava indicates that it most likely doesn't have a direct link to the underlying magma body. So an alternate hypothesis is that a similar process exists like what allegedly is occurring at Yellowstone. Bits of the underlying body bubble up and flow to the surface.

  26. What will we develop in 500 years? by starglider29a · · Score: 1
    I'm all about technological advancement. But what KIND of science will we develop in 500 years?
    • Some quantum beam fired from the reflector of a starship which can cause magma to crystallize on cue? (Like Superman's crystals?)
    • some LHC generator which can re-distribute the energy of the magma across several universes?
    • Time travel to go back an stop the Caldera 640KY ago?

    This is not some dark energy thing. This is pretty low science. Heat, energy, melting points, volume. I don't think Moore's Law applies here. Whatever we might develop then should be developed now. Or else, it's just too freaking large scale. Better to develop sensors to monitor, and political alteration beams to figure out how to survive as a race. THAT's a technology which might take 500 years to reach beta.

  27. free electricity. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Hehe I am sure it wouldn't be free once it got to your door. the corporations that love you need to get paid.

  28. Controlled release actually not that implausible by FibreOptix · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I'm not very qualified to talk about this branch of science, but to further the controlled release idea that's been suggested by many users: Most responses have denied it as a possible solution due to the huge depths that these plumes reach. Some people are making a hidden assumption that you'd have to drill to the bottom of the plume. I don't know why. Secondly, from Wikipedia: "Supervolcanoes can occur when magma in the Earth rises into the crust from a hotspot but is unable to break through the crust. Pressure builds in a large and growing magma pool until the crust is unable to contain the pressure." and from the earth's crust article "the oceanic crust is 5 km (3 mi) to 10 km (6 mi) thick[1] and is composed primarily of basalt, diabase, and gabbro. The continental crust is typically from 30 km (20 mi) to 50 km (30 mi) thick, and is mostly composed of slightly less dense rocks than those of the oceanic crust." So, actually, I forget what the quoted number was for the furthest we can currently drill, but with at least a little bit of research it doesn't seem that implausible. Further, just thinking about it a little bit, precipitating a super-eruption by doing this might actually be a real concern but I think it depends on many factors: hole size, number of simultaneous holes, and composition of the plume. If there's anybody that's actually qualified to give advice on this topic, please feel free to correct me.

  29. distinctive volcanic quakes by peter303 · · Score: 1

    Magma motion quakes look like long continuous sine waves. Regular Earthquakes have impulsive starts for each of the elastic wave types.

    1. Re:distinctive volcanic quakes by BobMcD · · Score: 1

      Okay... What does that mean?

    2. Re:distinctive volcanic quakes by maxwell+demon · · Score: 1

      Magma motion sounds great. Regular earthquakes make a lot of noise at first.

      --
      The Tao of math: The numbers you can count are not the real numbers.
  30. First Thought? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    How is this 'larger than first thought?" The first thought was "Let there be light" and that was a biggie

    1. Re:First Thought? by maxwell+demon · · Score: 2, Informative

      No, "Let there be light" was the first sentence spoken. The first thought was: "It's pitch dark here. I'll have to do something so I won't be eaten by a grue."

      --
      The Tao of math: The numbers you can count are not the real numbers.
  31. Awesome! by tekrat · · Score: 1

    Never mind the big rock falling out of the sky. Never mind global warming. Never mind peak oil. Never mind growing hostility between various nuclear powers. Never mind the USA's enormous mind-numbing debt. THIS is what's going to kill us all, and I for one, welcome our new volcanic overlords.

    --
    If telephones are outlawed, then only outlaws will have telephones.
    1. Re:Awesome! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What we have to do is cap the volcano like a fire hydrant, for the meteor's arrival! Just use the volcano's pressure to blast the meteor! It is so simple!

  32. Easy to fix by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Saw this in a movie once.

    1. Call Bruce Willis
    2. give him a nuke.
    3. Get Aeromsmith back together to play a cheesy song
    4. Lunch
    5. Have Willis set off nuke
    5. Profit is in there somewhere maybe commemorative pieces of Willis sold on ebay?
    6. Nap

    Your welcome

  33. Terrorist! by GNUThomson · · Score: 1

    You're either with us, or with the volcanoes.

    Bio and nuke bad guys are so yesterday. He must be new kind of geoterrorist!

    1. Re:Terrorist! by Rogerborg · · Score: 1

      Bio and nuke bad guys are so yesterday. He must be new kind of geoterrorist!

      Terrarist...

      --
      If you were blocking sigs, you wouldn't have to read this.
  34. Tambora by GuanoBoy · · Score: 1

    While a supervolcano explosion would kill hundreds of millions of people, mostly indirectly, it doesn't take such a large eruption to rain on the earth's parade. A Tambora- or Taupo-sized eruption would lower temperatures a few degrees causing famine in the developing world for years and killing millions.

    --
    WWW
  35. Good luck controling 800EJ by marcosdumay · · Score: 1

    That thing is huge, it has enough energy to supply current mankind needs for a few hundred thousand years. How do you propose we deal with the energy? We can't simply let it out.

    Now, the good news is that maybe, if we release just a (relatively) small amount of energy, we may increase the tikness of the crust enough to let it resist the pressure indefinitely, that means, untill some other problem arrives :) The bad news is that if we make enough holes there, we may reduce the crust resistence and make it blow. I have no idea on what is more likely, nor I know if anybody knows it.

    1. Re:Good luck controling 800EJ by FibreOptix · · Score: 1

      Well, the whole purpose of my post was to suggest that maybe a controlled release was actually within the realm of our technical capability, contrary to what most seem to be writing. It's not like I know enough about this to actually try to convince anybody that it's a solution, or of any solution. Since you ask though.... The energy figure you quote... I'm going to assume that it's the energy of a super volcano eruption, so when you say "let it all out" you're assuming that in every drilling scenario results in all the energy of a super eruption being released, which is not true unless the thing blows in every drilling scenario, which we don't know. Now that we're wayyy off into the land of speculation though, I'd think that drilling into magma pools that aren't yet filled would be a good preventative measure. For the already-developed super volcanoes, who knows? Somebody will have to do calculations of the pressure exerted by these pockets, how much pressure that particular area can tolerate, and by how much drilling would weaken it. I would speculate that drilling straight down might not be the best option - maybe we have an advantage in being able to choose the orientation of the drilling line... Who knows though? Like I said, not my area of science and not the intent of my initial post.

    2. Re:Good luck controling 800EJ by marcosdumay · · Score: 1

      Ok, sorry by the delay, I still didn't get used to the new presentarion of comments...

      That energy figure is on TFA as the amount of energy an eruption would release. Anyway, I didn't meant to say that one'd need to let all out, even less that one should let all out on a short time, like an eruption. The poit is that there is way more energy than any man made equipment has ever dealed with, and it does need to be released, somehow, into something. Even if you have to vent just a "small" 1% of it, it is still more than a few thousand years of our current consuption, and you can't release it through thousands of years. If we discover that this beast is going to blow, our only hope is if we need to vend just some 0.0001% (that's 10e-6) of the energy, even then, we'll need a huge share of mankind's GNP just for that.

      About ground stability, as I said, I can say that there is a risk, but I don't know if somebody knows how big it is, or how to minimize it. I guess that if we discover that it is going to blow, that won't be relevant, but while we don't know, we must research both possibilities.

  36. Re:Controlled release actually not that implausibl by Brianwa · · Score: 1

    Even if you managed to drill directly into the magma chamber and create a path for magma to escape, it wouldn't be particularly successful at reducing the risk. According to our current understanding of supervolcanoes, the stuff making up the majority of the chamber is very viscous and with a high gas content - it WILL erupt explosively. If you're lucky, the drill would only produce a St. Helens sized eruption and then stop. That wouldn't take a very significant amount of energy out of the system though.

    Trapped at the bottom of the chamber is very hot and less explosive felsic magma that is coming up from the hotspot below and feeding the whole system with energy. Again assuming the possibility of such a drill, you might be able to drain some of this off from systems outside of the actual caldera (so you don't have the rest of the explosive magma chamber in the way). Super volcanoes tend to do this on their own periodically; it creates massive plains of flood basalt - and as far as I know, still doesn't reduce the changes of a super eruption.

  37. Re:Controlled release actually not that implausibl by gurps_npc · · Score: 3, Interesting
    The problem is not the depth. It is the amount of energy.

    Quite simply, the last super-eruption contained more than 10 times the force of all the nuclear bombs ever created.

    The ENTIRE US consumes about 400 petajoules of energy each year.

    But the Yellowstone explosion that formed the crater used up 3,661,000 petajoules. That's over 9 thousand times the energy. So lets say we really go all out and find a way to safely handle ALL the energy the US normally uses in a year. We drain 400 petajoules each year from yellowstone. Granted, most of that power would be wasted as you lose energy when you transport it long distances, but lets pretend we care more about removing the energy than using it. I doubt we COULD drain that much energy, but lets assume we could.

    So, each year we drain about 1/9000th of the energy. Assuming it is about to blow (as it has been a VERY long time since it has blown), in 4,500 years, we will have halved the size of the explosion.

    --
    excitingthingstodo.blogspot.com
  38. Re:Controlled release actually not that implausibl by FibreOptix · · Score: 1

    You sound like you actually know what you're talking about, so I'm glad you responded. Maybe instead of drilling into these already full chambers, we could somehow spot potential ones and drill them as a preventative measure? Also, I wonder if there's an advantage in being able to choose the orientation of the drilling line. I wonder if it'll be at all possible in the future to create, say for example, a network of channels before finally trying a controlled release. Shouldn't there be some sort of government agency out there asking these questions?

  39. Re:Controlled release actually not that implausibl by FibreOptix · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Well, then it really depends if you're reducing the pressure buildup by drilling into it. The energy figure you're quoting is that of a super eruption, which you'll only have to worry about dissipating if the thing blows. So, when you talk about drilling into it without it blowing and then trying to dissipate all of that energy afterward, I would think that if by drilling into it there's less pressure than before, and it didn't blow before you drilled into it, then you might be in a safer place than before... Again, wild speculation on my part but what the hell, this is slashdot isn't it?

  40. Ironic by chucklebutte · · Score: 0

    As I read this my desktop wallpaper changed into a nuclear explosion / mushroom cloud, go figure lol.

  41. Re:Controlled release actually not that implausibl by Shotgun · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Supervolcanoes can occur when magma in the Earth rises into the crust from a hotspot but is unable to break through the crust

    I think that is the crux of the solution right there. You don't need or even want to concern yourself with the whole area of molten rock that is under Yellowstone. You want to tap into and bleed off energy from the hotspots. Do this using lateral drilling with liquid cooled drillbits. Once you hit molten stuff, you will basically be creating a pipe of hardened magma as you progress through the center of the hotspot. If the surrounding heat threatens to overpower your cooling system, just stop the progression of the drill until the cooling system can make the pipe walls thicker.

    The removed heat can be used to drive turbines to create electricity.

    --
    Aah, change is good. -- Rafiki
    Yeah, but it ain't easy. -- Simba
  42. Re:Controlled release actually not that implausibl by FibreOptix · · Score: 1

    I too was thinking about the possibilities of using the heat as a source of energy.

  43. They're doin' a heck of a job, Brownie. by jeko · · Score: 1

    "I have faith, the big chemical, nuclear and power companies have alot of plans written up and I believe they'll secure things to their best ability."

    Yes, that's exactly what you have, Faith, because that line is the substance of things hoped for, the evidence of things unseen.

    I, on the other hand, have Experience. Because the Universe has a ripping sense of humor, I've lived through two major disasters and gotten to see two others from a hop-skip-and-a-jump away. Not all the grey in my hair comes from age.

    Those "men-in-charge" you're placing such faith in will not only not do the Right Thing, they will almost certainly Make Things Worse.

    --
    He put his boots up on the table and made a face. "The sig," he smirked. "You can waste your life in search of the sig."
  44. Southern Chile, South America farm land for sale by cenc · · Score: 1

    Boy, my rural farm land in Southern Chile sure would go up in value fast if Yellowstone erupted. It is going to go up in value anyway as most of the population of the World lives in Northern hemisphere anyway, and seems hell bent on screwing up that half of the earth sooner or later. Yellowstone would just make it a whole lot sooner.

  45. Re:Controlled release actually not that implausibl by Brianwa · · Score: 1

    Hmm, trying to spot potential new super volcanoes is quite a technological challenge. We only have really rough ideas of what's going on under the surface in even the most closely monitored volcanic situations. We're getting better and better at this as time goes on though.

    The biggest issue is the time scale. A super volcano develops on a geologic time scale; Yellowstone has been active since before our species even existed in its current form. The entire time, it's being constantly fed with a massive amount of heat from the mantle plume/hotspot that's underneath it. What will eventually, on a geologic time scale, cause it to cool down and become dormant, is the movement of the continental plate above the hotspot. It will be cut off from its source of magma and slowly cool into rock. That's probably millions of years in the future though.

    I can think of a single instance where humans were able to bleed off energy in an attempt to manipulate volcanic activity. There was an island near Iceland; an eruption destroyed their city and a lava flow was slowly blocking off their harbor, which would have made the island useless. They got every boat they could and kept a constant flow of sea water on the lava. The flow was already coming to a stop though, so no one really knows how much of an impact they had on the lava. Also consider that the amount of energy within a single lava flow is completely insignificant compared to what's resting in a magma chamber of any size, especially a super volcano.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Heimaey

    If we want to spend resources on reducing the risks of a super eruption, we should work on developing better technology to monitor all the known dangerous areas, and have extensive plans as to how to react to such an eruption.

  46. Fortune by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Wow, the fortune cookie is pretty optimistic today!

    The human race never solves any of its problems. It merely outlives them. -- David Gerrold

  47. Re:Southern Chile, South America farm land for sal by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The presence of totally incurable and deadly Chagas disease throughout that area has always held down land values. Get a cure or a way of eradicating it and your land values will soar. But don't hold your breath. Decades of research has come up with neither a cure nor a cost-effective large-scale method of eradicating the vector. Maybe Bill and Melinda Gates' Foundation will come up with the money to get an answer.

  48. Switching overloards by mjwx · · Score: 1

    In what weird alternative reality is screwing up North America not the end of the world? You're either with us, or with the volcanoes.

    I'm with the volcanoes, they have hot liquid "magma", how are you going to compete with that.

    --
    Calling someone a "hater" only means you can not rationally rebut their argument.
  49. ISS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I wonder what a scientist floating around in the ISS would say if they saw this go down outside the window...

            "Uh - oh...!"

  50. Bro are you kidding me? by TravisO · · Score: 1

    Those new LED TVs from Best Buy are the bawm! Crystal clear 1080p can render 2012 in full accuracy.