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Caltech Makes Flexible, 86% Efficient Solar Arrays

strredwolf writes "Caltech has released a flexible solar array that converts 95% of single-wavelength incandescent light and 86% of all sunlight into electricity. Instead of being flat-panel, they stand thin silicon wires in a plastic substrate that scatters the light onto them. The total composition is 98% plastic, 2% wire — the amount of silicon used is 1/50th that of ordinary panels. So as soon as they can get these to market, solar could be very viable and cheap to produce." Update: 03/01 21:02 GMT by KD : Reader axelrosen points out evidence that the 80%+ efficiency figure is wrong. MIT's Tech Review, in covering the Caltech announcement, says that the new panel's efficiency is in the 15%-20% range — which is competitive with the current state of the art. And the Caltech panel should be far cheaper to manufacture.

439 comments

  1. I think its entirely reasonable to say... by Serilleous · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Holy balls. If this article is spot on, they've doubled the efficiency of the current technology (which converts at about 40%) AND done it in such a way that the stuff is cheaper to manufacture AND made it flexible. This is the sort of thing that can have a real (and probably positive) impact on the world we know. Amazing. The only remaining question (I didn't see anything about it in TFA) is how durable this stuff is compared to the current panels.

    1. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by camperslo · · Score: 5, Interesting

      It sounds like the summary here is overstating the efficiency a bit. The numbers are for the absorption efficiency, not the overall conversion efficiency.

      'The light-trapping limit of a material refers to how much sunlight it is able to absorb. The silicon-wire arrays absorb up to 96 percent of incident sunlight at a single wavelength and 85 percent of total collectible sunlight. "We've surpassed previous optical microstructures developed to trap light,"
      .
      .
      The silicon wire arrays created by Atwater and his colleagues are able to convert between 90 and 100 percent of the photons they absorb into electrons--in technical terms, the wires have a near-perfect internal quantum efficiency. "High absorption plus good conversion makes for a high-quality solar cell," says Atwater. "It's an important advance."'

      It looks like the overall efficiency is still very very high while using minimal resources. This is exactly the kind of innovation the U.S. needs for carbon-friendly jobs.
       

    2. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by polar+red · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I think that even if they only last 10 years at the same price per surface-unit, they'll still be more economically viable, because payback-time gets a lot better.

      --
      Yes, I'm left. You have a problem with that?
    3. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by MattskEE · · Score: 1

      I'd also be very interested to know whether this can be mass produced, and for how much money. They say they are currently working on cells one square centimeter in size.

      They're currently working on scaling it up, but arranging these nanowires in a large array, making the electrical connections, and filling with the polymer and scatterers sounds like it will be hard to mass-produce, even if the materials cost is not as high.

      Still, good for them.

    4. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

      This is exactly the kind of innovation the U.S. needs for carbon-friendly jobs.

      Carbon friendly?! Dude, they are planning to reduce the amount of carbon being released. That's like calling Auschwitz "Jew friendly."

    5. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by vipw · · Score: 5, Informative

      The original article is poorly written. MIT's Technology Review has an article that includes information about efficiency of generating electricity, and it says 15%-20%. http://www.technologyreview.com/energy/24665/?a=f

      So the story is really that there might be a way to make cheaper, flexible solar panels by mixing silicon and polymers.

    6. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

      Actually it's spot-on. See, carbon-friendly means not turning the carbon into carbon dioxide. That is, it means not gassing the carbon. I think you would call not gassing Jews Jew-friendly.

    7. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Don't worry, once your electric company knows you installed them, they'll add an extra fee onto your bill... for not using more of their electricity...

      Believe it.

    8. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

      I saw this posted by grobbo at engadget: http://www.engadget.com/2010/02/28/caltech-gurus-whip-up-highly-efficient-low-cost-flexible-solar/#comments

      Turns out the only benefits to this are the flexibility and low cost (which are good, sure, but not that exciting).
      According to their letter to nature.com this "also may offer increased photovoltaic efficiency", _may_ suggests to me there probably isn't any significant improvement.

      For anyone wondering why high absorption and a high QE don't necessarily result in high energy conversion (like I was a few hours ago) it's because 30% of the photons have insufficient energy to free an electron in silicon, and most of the rest of the photons have more energy than needed to free an electron, so any excess energy beyond that required to free a single electron is wasted as heat.

    9. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by ShakaUVM · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      Holy balls. If this article is spot on, they've doubled the efficiency of the current technology (which converts at about 40%) AND done it in such a way that the stuff is cheaper to manufacture AND made it flexible. This is the sort of thing that can have a real (and probably positive) impact on the world we know. Amazing. The only remaining question (I didn't see anything about it in TFA) is how durable this stuff is compared to the current panels.

      Currently, without subsidies, Solar PV is roughly 20x-100x more expensive than coal or nuclear power. If it is indeed twice as efficient and costs 10% of the current costs to fabricate, then solar might finally become cost competitive.

      If I was Obama, I'd toss a billion or so at this scientist and see if he couldn't get mass production of it up and running.

      I mean, as long as we're spending billionS keeping teachers temporarily employed (because their states can't afford them right now), right?

    10. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by MaskedSlacker · · Score: 1

      Fortunately electric companies are better regulated than the credit card companies. By which of course I mean, regulated at all.

    11. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by zMaile · · Score: 0

      I'm not 100% sure, but if 78% of electrons generate electricity, isn't there still wasted energy before it actually gets to the useful energy stage? i.e. energy in a single visible photon (~700nm if i recall) is significantly higher than the energy required to jump an electron up a state, and that difference in energy is turned into heat. this would have the effect of reducing the overall efficiency to 15% or something that is much lower. Is this true, or am i remembering bits and peices that are all wrong?

    12. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Troll

      I think it'd be perfectly justifiable to fire all the teachers to fund this. Even if it all ended up being hype.

    13. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by Hurricane78 · · Score: 1

      No, the only remaining question is: When, if at all, will it actually come to the market. Meaning when will I be able to go to an electronics shop, grab it with my own hands, buy it, and then use it?

      Until then... anyone can just make up stuff, put it somewhere trustworthy, and then let the trust-relationship-machine do the rest. (Not saying this is the case here. Just opening the mind. :)
      The thing is: I got absolutely zero proof that any of this is not made up. And I don‘t trust “the news” very much. So there is no reason for me to change anything in my life until it’s real.

      --
      Any sufficiently advanced intelligence is indistinguishable from stupidity.
    14. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by gmthor · · Score: 1

      Well, it still has got an insane absorption rate. You could combine this with an under the roof heating system for solar heated water, like it is used already. This actually has a real good efficiency even in the winter.

      --
      How do I uncompress my MD5 archive?
    15. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      Sadly, they haven't. All they have published is that they can absorb light, and convert most of said photons into electricity. The bandgap for silicon is about 1.1ev (1100nm, in the infared), with means you don't absorb any sunlight below 1100nm, and a photon at 1100nm generates the same amount of energy as does a photon at 500nm (which has twice the energy). All of this adds up to a '100% efficient' cell that only converts about 20% of sunlight into usable energy. The paper also notes that they are working on getting the voltage up, due to the 1.1ev bandgap of silicon, a 100% efficiency cell would output 1.1v, and anything less than that you are loosing more efficiency.

      What they did to was find that by building a silicon solar cell upright, and filling in the gaps between the pieces of silicon with a light scattering polymer, they could get away with less silicon. Which is quite an achievement, but hardly worthy of the outrageous claims made by the article.

    16. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by ender06 · · Score: 5, Informative

      There are many different factors that go into making a high efficiency solar cell. You need a front material that has very high transmittance/low reflectance at incident angles, a high absorption semiconductor, a high photon to carrier generation rate, high/easy carrier collection from the semiconductor, and broad spectrum conversion. These silicon-wire arrays appear to have high absorption and high carrier generation, but thats only part of the story. The other issue is that silicon misses out on a fair chunk of the solar spectrum. Anything after 1100nm is not converted, its simply below the bandgap.

      The title of this post and the article is incredibly misleading and very annoying/frustrating to someone who's been working on solar technologies for a while. Don't get me wrong, I think this is a very cool thing, sounds like they have to potential to make very cheap cells, but approach, let alone surpass, current multijunction cells (30-40% eff.) they will not.

      Disclaimer: University of Michigan Solar Car Team alum

    17. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by umghhh · · Score: 2, Interesting

      from what TFA says these new panels can work with dispersed light and that is why it is efficient. This means exact positioning and direct light is not longer a limiting factor. OTOH that these things can be produced & installed cheaply would mean that they do not have to sustain 20years of sun to be economical something that currently used solution requires.

    18. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      nly remaining question (I didn't see anything about it in TFA) is how durable this stuff is compared to the current panels.

      Jeez, What nonsense. The are talking aboutlight absorption, not conversion. They never mention output at all. It is nothing special other than that these meaterials will get even hotter than a normal panel and then what happens to the polymer? Start reading people. Nothing to see here.

    19. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by fm6 · · Score: 2, Informative

      The lowering of cost would actually be the most important impact. Current solar panels would cost too much no matter how efficient they were.

    20. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by BiggerIsBetter · · Score: 1

      For anyone wondering why high absorption and a high QE don't necessarily result in high energy conversion (like I was a few hours ago) it's because 30% of the photons have insufficient energy to free an electron in silicon, and most of the rest of the photons have more energy than needed to free an electron, so any excess energy beyond that required to free a single electron is wasted as heat.

      What if we combined it with something that glowed when heated?

      --
      Forget thrust, drag, lift and weight. Airplanes fly because of money.
    21. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I saw this posted by grobbo at engadget: http://www.engadget.com/2010/02/28/caltech-gurus-whip-up-highly-efficient-low-cost-flexible-solar/#comments

      Turns out the only benefits to this are the flexibility and low cost (which are good, sure, but not that exciting).
      According to their letter to nature.com this "also may offer increased photovoltaic efficiency", _may_ suggests to me there probably isn't any significant improvement.

      For anyone wondering why high absorption and a high QE don't necessarily result in high energy conversion (like I was a few hours ago) it's because 30% of the photons have insufficient energy to free an electron in silicon, and most of the rest of the photons have more energy than needed to free an electron, so any excess energy beyond that required to free a single electron is wasted as heat.

      Goddamn lazy photons

    22. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by maxwell+demon · · Score: 1

      Everything glows when sufficiently heated. Well, unless it disintegrates before it reaches glowing temperature :-)

      --
      The Tao of math: The numbers you can count are not the real numbers.
    23. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you have numbers like 30% for Si semiconductors, cant we change semiconductors to optimize for sunlight spectrum? I am no semiconductors expert, but assuming what you said is correct, one can pick a semiconductor pair maximizing E = integral over spectrum ( [freq > escape_semicond_freq] * X(freq) ) d frq. [] -Iverson notation; X - random variable describing spectrum of sunlight. Or something like that, whatever, point is: make materials in this way, that the escape energy would be high enough to produce high voltage but low enough to capture many photons.
      Does anyone know how close Si is to optimum in this sense? Because I have a feeling that Si is being used mainly because of better availability...

    24. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by TheTurtlesMoves · · Score: 4, Informative

      1 Photon to one electron is only half the story. If the photon has more energy than the electron then there is a loss. The electron has a fixed energy (band gap) and the photons *must* have that much energy or more before it works at all. There are other details too, in silicon its not a direct band gap, so each photon cannot just eject a single electron, it must also emit a phonon (heat). Silicon has a theoretical maximum efficiency (electrical) of about 29-30% IIRC in sunlight (thats at 100% quantum efficiency for all photons at and above the band gap).

      --
      The Grey Goo disaster happened 3 billion years ago. This rock is covered in self replicating machines!
    25. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Do you have an opinion on CSP?

    26. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Unfortunately, it seems the 98% absorption efficiency and high flexibility is in this case beaten by a black plastic bag.

    27. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by jujuchef · · Score: 1
      BP is one of the main funding providers for this research. I would not think for a second that this technology will quickly convert to cheap solar for the masses any time soon.

      Maybe we'll see solar-powered oil drills!

      --
      Truth is realized, not told...
    28. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by John+Hasler · · Score: 1

      It might be possible to combine this high-absorption technology with a high-efficiency one such as multijunction to achieve a high overall conversion efficiency.

      --
      Warning: this article may contain humor, sarcasm, parody, and perhaps even irony. Read at your own risk.
    29. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      The important bit is the tiny amount of semiconductor being used and the sparse matrix. That opens the door to using rarer materials to capture the photons silicon misses and there's so much space in the array mixtures of different nanowires seem very possible. Right now it may indeed just be cheaper but there's plenty of scope for massive efficiency improvements as well.

    30. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by budgenator · · Score: 1

      I think the "show-stopper" is going to be connecting little tiny copper wires to the tiny silicon wires to get the electricity to where it'll do some good without completely FUBARing the optical efficiency; time will tell.

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    31. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by BrentH · · Score: 1

      Exactly. I was furiously searching the paper for numbers for the energie efficiency, but found only a reference to an estimated one (17%). High QE's are nice, but doesn't tell you much about the amount of power you can suck from these babies. The value of the technique seems to be that there's a way to make low cost low efficient panels, as opposed to high cost low efficient or extreme cost average efficient panels.

    32. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by cellurl · · Score: 1

      Sun= 25w/ft^2

    33. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by M.+Baranczak · · Score: 1

      Which is still pretty big news. Right now, the biggest problem with PV panels is the high cost.

    34. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by Drethon · · Score: 1

      Or heat up water and circulate it through a generator... Not sure how much heat is necessary though.

    35. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by FatAlb3rt · · Score: 1

      Flexible solar panels aren't new. So maybe they're just cheaper?

    36. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by landoltjp · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Disclaimer: University of Michigan Solar Car Team alum

      Cool, someone who knows this stuff (I don't). So given the following numbers from TFA:

      The silicon-wire arrays absorb up to 96 percent of incident sunlight at a single wavelength and 85 percent of total collectible sunlight.

      and

      The silicon wire arrays created by Atwater and his colleagues are able to convert between 90 and 100 percent of the photons they absorb into electrons

      and

      High absorption plus good conversion makes for a high-quality solar cell

      And if the current efficiency is around 40%, my two questions are:

      • What kind of absorbtion level (%) and conversion rate (%) is giving us 40% efficiency now?
      • What kind of conversion efficiency can we expect with and absorbtion level 85% and a converion rate of 90-100%?

      In essence, I'm asking:

      • what did it take to get us where we are now re efficiency?
      • what do you expect this new stuff will get us re: efficiency?

      I am an idealist at heart, so the idea of breakthrough efficiency levels in solar energy has my mind running a million "what if"s! I just can't imagine all that would be possible with that type of enery available to us.

    37. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

      Turns out the only benefits to this are the flexibility and low cost (which are good, sure, but not that exciting).

      Actually, low cost is far more exciting than high efficiency. Low cost means it'll be used. A lot. High efficiency plus expensive just means we have a better grade of "no, we can't afford that right now"....

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    38. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by Beezlebub33 · · Score: 1

      It depends on the application. For large scale deployments in the desert, yes, the panel cost is the most important part, since much of the rest can be spread over the entire application. For home / small / remote applications, unfortunately, other costs dominate (mechanical, installation, maintenance). If the panels were free (as in beer), but the costs of a home installation cost $10,000 (what it would cost in my area), it would not be worth it from a purely economic point of view.

      --
      The more people I meet, the better I like my dog.
    39. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by Beezlebub33 · · Score: 2, Informative

      BP is an energy company at this point, not simply an oil company. They have, more than the other huge oil companies, realized that they need to diversify, so they have moved aggressively into natural gas, solar, wind, and geothermal. Yes, they still get most of their money from oil, and will continue to focus on it as long as it is making them money. But they are hedging their bets and putting large amounts of money into research to be well positioned for whatever comes next.

      If a solar solution appears that costs less than oil, they will pour money into it and beat the others to market with it. That's the way that capitalism works.

      --
      The more people I meet, the better I like my dog.
    40. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by fast+turtle · · Score: 1

      I don't give a damn if they even match the current efficiency of high performance multi-junction cells so long as they meet the goal of 1/10th the cost for comparable output. $400 for a 120-160 watt panel would then be $40 - 100, which makes them entirely viable for my needs. The only other issue is how durable will these panels be? 20yr warranties are common on the High End Panels with the Amorphous being in the 10-20 yr range. Cheaper panels can be in the 10yr range but if they get them up to a 20+ lifespan, then I'd be quite willing to invest in an (12) 100 watt panel array as that fully meets my current needs.

      --
      Mod me up/Mod me down: I wont frown as I've no crown
    41. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by ArsonSmith · · Score: 1

      first there is no "break through"

      the "break through" is incremental to the last "break through" that is only 10% of it's way to market, which is only incremental to the previous "break through" that is only 40% of it's way to market, which was incremental to the prior "break through" that is 75% of it's way to market which was incremental to the "break through" coming out tomorrow, which is incremental to the current tech. Comparing this to existing isn't worth it. The tech will constantly improve until it can't any more.

      --
      Paying taxes to buy civilization is like paying a hooker to buy love.
    42. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by Chris+Burke · · Score: 1

      I'm not sure I can agree or disagree until I figure out the ramifications of gassing Jews with Hebrew Dioxide.

      --

      The enemies of Democracy are
    43. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by cromar · · Score: 1

      Very good question. Hopefully someone will provide a meaningful answer...

    44. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by elashish14 · · Score: 1

      They're all lies. Fucking lies.

      Within the principle of detailed balance which considers the solar spectrum and nonradiative emission losses, it's impossible to make solar cells with >86% energy efficiency. Quantum efficiency (electron / photon ratio) != useful energy output.

      Idiot sensationalist summary. Who would really thinkk that all of a sudden we've made solar cells that are twice as efficient? Honestly...

      --
      I have left slashdot and am now on Soylent News. FUCK YOU DICE.
    45. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by Black+Gold+Alchemist · · Score: 1

      I think another show-stopper is going to be making all the little nanowires cheaply and efficiently. It's not the cost of the silicon, it's the purification and manufacturing process - we just increased that here.

      Remember folks - if PV material is more expensive by area than plastic, CPV is better.

      --
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      Virtue is a temptation
      Community is a cartel
    46. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by geekoid · · Score: 1

      Yeah, I notice the distinct lack of how much electricity the sqr Centimeter produces.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    47. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by falconwolf · · Score: 1

      The only remaining question (I didn't see anything about it in TFA) is how durable this stuff is compared to the current panels.

      No, there's another question. That is can these solar arrays be commercially and economically produced? While it sounds good too often hardly anything comes out onto the market when there's an announcement like this.

      Falcon

    48. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by joocemann · · Score: 1

      If you have time will you please reason your claims for me? I would like to know why you feel so confident about the reality of solar that you would say that this new discovery/invention will not surpass the current bests.

    49. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It looks like the overall efficiency is still very very high while using minimal resources. This is exactly the kind of innovation the U.S. needs for carbon-friendly jobs.

      They'll all be made in China. More "efficient" that way...

    50. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by Amouth · · Score: 1

      I think you missed his point

      While this might be amazing effecient for a Silicon cell Silicon has a limited EM absorption range.

      think of all the diffrent wave lenghts of light/em there is - Si can only grab a portion of that and induce a current. what ender06 was saying is that multi junction cells (aka Solar cells with Si and Other methods) are going to beat out Si only cells.

      The other issue is that silicon misses out on a fair chunk of the solar spectrum. Anything after 1100nm is not converted, its simply below the bandgap.

      what ender06 was saying is that multi junction cells (aka Solar cells with Si and Other methods) are going to beat out Si only cells.

      while this will help with the Si style conversion - we still need to figure out ways of getting the rest of that energy

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Solar_irradiance_spectrum_1992.gif

      i'm not sure how much of that Si can capture - it seems that they are slowly coming up with ways of using it to capture more or different parts of that spectrum BUT you will only hit 100% efficient when you can figure out how to grab all of it.

      (if only we could make a black hole and somehow generate energy off the passing light/matter into it j/k maybe :) )

      --
      '...if only "Jumping to a Conclusion" was an event in the Olympics.'
    51. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by ender06 · · Score: 2, Informative

      I don't know exactly what the absorption and conversion rates are with the 40% efficient cells, but its safe to say it's very high. One of the biggest hurdles with solar cells is simply getting the charge out, getting the electrons and holes that are knocked out out of the semiconductor. It plays a very large part as to why current efficiencies are so low.

      To hit 25+% efficient cells, in essence 3 cells were combined to create a multijunction cell that has 3 layers in series. To get to 30+%, refined deposition methods and clever semiconductor tricks were used. To get to 40+%, you need concentrated light and, in some cells, more layers of different materials.

      The journal paper describes a simulated cell with a 14.5% efficiency and that it will compete with crystalline silicon cells - the middle of the pack for silicon efficiency and cost. The big advantage here is that the amount of semiconductor used is very low, which could make these cells very cheap. Another thing to keep in mind is that this method can potentially be applied to other, more efficient technologies, although there will be a few more hurdles should they go that route.

      I very much like the idea of cheap solar cells, but it needs to be clear that this is not an efficiency breakthrough. But let me tell you, as a solar car alum, the idea of even a 40+% efficient non-concentrator cell gets me excited, even though this is not that.

    52. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by Flyin'+Low · · Score: 1

      I wonder if there is some way a fluorescent material could be suspended in the flexible polymer along with the aluminum nanoparticles. That way it would absorb out-of-spectrum light and re-emit it at a usable frequency. Or would the fluorescent light be too weak to even reach the minimum energy to dislodge an electron?

    53. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by Rei · · Score: 1

      Like always, science coverage in the news is done poorly. There's no way to tell just from the article what's really going on. This could just be enhanced absorption for traditional solar cells. On the other hand, it could be nanowire antennae. And the questions you need to ask are dramatically different for each. In the former case, the question is, "What is your conversion efficiency for light that *does* hit?" And in the latter case, the question is, "How have you implemented self-assembled nanoscale rectifiers?"

      Nanoantennae are a very interesting approach to dealing with solar. They can be tuned to absorb ranges of frequencies of radiant energy at extreme efficiency. The downside they've had with them so far is that you get AC in the THz range, which can't be effectively harnessed. So they're working to get self-assembled nanoscale rectifiers in the antennae.

      --
      The only way I would lionize Dick Cheney would be while he was still alive, and it would involve actual lions.
    54. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by ender06 · · Score: 2, Informative

      You touch on another of the ideas that people are working on alongside efforts to make a high efficiency cell. While concentrator systems up cell efficiencies, the convertible spectrum is still limited by the cell. Some researchers, such as those at MIT as published last year, are working with dyes and other materials to re-emit the sunlight at a more cell friendly frequency, although this method too has major losses.

      A second method not often mentioned here is called thermophotovoltaics. The idea is that you use concentrated light to heat up an element that then emits light at a different spectrum. To me, the cool idea about this is that if you can emit at the right range and get really high efficiency cells, somewhere down the line you might be able to replace the steam part of current power plants. Although that goes outside my realm of knowledge.

      The issue with most cells' spectrum is that you need to shift the light up in frequency, not down, which is harder/more expensive. However, it could be useful if you could target the frequency at which the cell is most efficient.

    55. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by falconwolf · · Score: 1

      Which is still pretty big news. Right now, the biggest problem with PV panels is the high cost.

      Yea the upfront costs are higher but over their lifetime they save money and energy. However you can, er could before the economic meltdown, have the cost of a solar energy system rolled into the cost of your house and therefore be part of the mortgage. Because they, solar energy systems, reduce living costs some mortgage lenders gave borrowers larger loans to pay for the systems.

      As I see it because the systems pay for their costs, as to whether a solar energy system is a good buy, "investment", rests on a couple of others considerations. One is will the buyer feel better about it, and is that worth it? Another is whether the opportunity cost, if instead money was invested, is higher or lower. If you don't mind feeding the power company and environmental issues aren't of any concern then would you invest the cost of the solar system into financial instruments and what is the return on them?

      Falcon

    56. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Does it depend on the efficiency of the Jew? And are they flexible?

    57. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by Unequivocal · · Score: 1

      They also made some vague handwaving towards "we need to work on getting the volts up."

    58. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by falconwolf · · Score: 1

      If the panels were free (as in beer), but the costs of a home installation cost $10,000 (what it would cost in my area), it would not be worth it from a purely economic point of view.

      Ah, I smell something potentially good. You may not be interested but for someone with the proclivity and ability to learn that may be a good field to get into. It's one of those "green jobs", installation.

      Falcon

    59. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by Unequivocal · · Score: 1

      It has been and always will be "cost/kilowatt" and depending on the application add "/meter"

      It doesn't matter if a panel is expensive or cheap, it matters if it will deliver a certain number of electrical kilowatts for a particular cost. Of course, with square footage limited by rooftops or other locations, it can't have an efficiency too low..

    60. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by Golddess · · Score: 1

      Apparently mods cannot read, so allow me to explain.

      camperslo makes a comment that this will create carbon-friendly jobs.

      AC interprets "carbon-friendly" to mean setting carbon free, and makes a comment about how setting less carbon free is not carbon friendly. AC compares not freeing carbon to "locking up" (aka, not freeing) Jews.

      M8e points out that we're not reducing the amount of carbon being set free, we're reducing the amount of carbon we're burning, and again compares this to Jews in order to point out that by reducing how much carbon is burned, we are being more friendly to carbon, because being burned hurts!

      Mods, please don't waste your points on me, use them to mod up M8e.

      --
      "I'm not sure I like the fugnutish tone you used in your post!" -RogL (608926)-
    61. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by mattack2 · · Score: 1

      Though I have no citations, and it's only anecdotal, I thought for some people it can be WAY under 20 years for it to be viable. What I remembered was around 7 years in some cases, of course that includes subsidies. The one link I have saved (http://geekpi.com/?p=142) is where someone calculated 14-17 years. I didn't re-read it carefully, but I believe that ignores interest you could have made in the meantime, but ALSO ignores a faster "payback" if other energy costs go up.

    62. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by mattack2 · · Score: 1

      Even if you take high end estimates of 20 years "repayment" time, that's "cost too much"? If one is likely going to live more than 20 more years, isn't it worthwhile to do something that will save you money after that (and possibly before that, if energy costs keep going up)?

      (I know, I did also slightly refute the 20 year estimates in another reply.)

    63. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by hazydave · · Score: 1

      Doubled-plus. Sure, there are 40% efficient solar panels, if you have a satellite or space probe budget. Others are more like 20%, and when you're talking about super cheap panels, 10% is kind of a magic number. On the ground, 20%-ish for conventional or 10%-ish for super-cheap is already on-par, long-term, with other energy sources. If these really achieve 86% efficiency and don't cost a bloody fortune, this is revolutionary. Holy balls indeed!

      --
      -Dave Haynie
    64. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I've read so many pieces of news over so many years claiming that there is a new invention that will revolutionize energy.
      And I've never seen any meaningful energy revolution happen ...

    65. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by Foobar+of+Borg · · Score: 1

      Well, the only question *I* still have is: Can we please start using stuff like this instead of getting our energy from setting things on fire! I mean, call me crazy, but I would think after all this time we could have progressed technology to the point where we don't have to burn something like a bunch of cavemen to get the energy we need for everyday living.

    66. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by atamido · · Score: 1

      Turns out the only benefits to this are the flexibility and low cost (which are good, sure, but not that exciting).

      Actually, low cost is far more exciting than high efficiency. Low cost means it'll be used. A lot. High efficiency plus expensive just means we have a better grade of "no, we can't afford that right now"....

      No kidding. I almost slapped my forehead at the "low cost solar panels aren't exciting" comment. Solar panels are so ridiculously expensive that you'd be lucky to get a return on your investment in 10 years, and that's with government subsidies.

      I was looking for a solar powered exhaust fan for my attic, which is about the simplest solar device you can make (sun hits roof, fan spins). But it was cheaper to buy a fan hooked to the power and let it run for 10 years. Adding a timer would have made it even worse.

    67. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by Foobar+of+Borg · · Score: 1

      Well, that's less about technology and more about people like these and these, among many others.

    68. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by fm6 · · Score: 1

      In other words, you don't understand why people don't want to invest large amounts of money on an uncertain payback that's at least two decades away? Gee, me neither.

    69. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by mattack2 · · Score: 1

      Uncertain? I was referring to *certain* payback in 20 years.. and this article shows it is actually MUCH MUCH lower than that. 1.5 years in some states.

      http://blogs.reuters.com/environment/2009/09/16/new-jersey-has-best-paypack-on-residential-solar-in-us/

    70. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

      It has been and always will be "cost/kilowatt" and depending on the application add "/meter"

      It doesn't matter if a panel is expensive or cheap, it matters if it will deliver a certain number of electrical kilowatts for a particular cost. Of course, with square footage limited by rooftops or other locations, it can't have an efficiency too low..

      Well, yes. If cost is low because we're measuring cost in $/cm^2, then it's pretty much meaningless.

      But, in general, we measure cost in some meaningful way - $/car, $/box of raisin bran, etc. Cost for solar cells ought to be measured in $/m^2 or $/kw output. So if we measure these panels the same way we'd measure any other solar panel, and decide it's much cheaper, that's a good thing.

      It is, in fact, an exciting thing. I'm not going to put solar panels on my roof if it's going to cost me $30k to do it. For $20k, I'll be looking into it seriously. For $10k, I'll be calling an installer tomorrow....

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    71. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by fm6 · · Score: 1

      OK, now you're changing the argument. Certainly if it's that low, our previous discussion is moot.

      But is it that low? The story doesn't "show" anything. It's sloppy reporting that quotes a study by something called Global Solar Center. Which turns out to be a business that sells home solar installations. Not exactly an objective source.

      I've done a little googling and I've found a lot of self-serving "studies" by entities like GSC, whom I would be very reluctant to trust with my money, and not just because of their bogus figures.

      I also found some serious work by people without something to sell: solar power users, electrical engineers, etc. Their estimates of payback range from 10 years to never.

      One other thing: putting solar panels on your roof typically costs something like $50K. (After the cost is offset with tax credits and incentives.) Now if I had that much money and I wanted to bet it on the belief that solar power would eventually be cheaper than the alternatives, I'd invest it in an company that's working on industrial scale solar power. (Several installations are supposed to go online in the next few years.) Less financial risk, more kilowatts per buck, and there's the little detail that manufacturing all those photovoltaic cells has a pretty nasty carbon footprint all its own.

      This new technology might change that. But for now, home solar power does not make financial or ecological sense.

    72. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by mattack2 · · Score: 1

      Again, where are you getting $50K? That's double the figure I see most people use... plus WAY more than the figure, about $7500, quoted in this thread by someone who had done the research.

    73. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by TheTurtlesMoves · · Score: 1

      The difference between the energy in direct light to "indirect" or cloudy day light is a factor of 10x at least. No collector can change that. Your 10kW panels will barely make 1kW on a cloudy day *if you are lucky* and assuming you have the "perfect" collector.

      --
      The Grey Goo disaster happened 3 billion years ago. This rock is covered in self replicating machines!
    74. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by blackest_k · · Score: 1

      you say that , but as I look outside where its currently foggy I know in a few hours it will be sunny.

      Most days have some cloud for some of the day. so while you can't expect full output all the time to say you will get minimal output is just as misleading. Assuming an hour of sun and an hour of cloud and maximum and minimum of 1 and 10 kwh the average over 2 hours is 5.5kwh for your lucky 1kwh production you would need cloud 90% of the time.

    75. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by TheTurtlesMoves · · Score: 1

      And thats not what i said. You are being deliberately obtuse. If its bloody sunny 1 hour out of 2 and you get direct light on your panels then how that frak is anything i said wrong? Here a overcast day means and overcast day. Not cloudy with clear periods. The claim was that these panels would be better and work well in indirect light conditions. Which they won't!

      --
      The Grey Goo disaster happened 3 billion years ago. This rock is covered in self replicating machines!
  2. Efficiency by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This sounds like an incredible breakthrough. I thought that the very best solar cells were at about 40% efficiency. http://www.scientificamerican.com/blog/post.cfm?id=new-solar-cell-efficiency-record-se-2009-08-27

    This article describes ~80%. What am I missing? I can't understand why the article is written as it is if these are really the highest efficiency solar cells ever created.

    1. Re:Efficiency by MaskedSlacker · · Score: 3, Informative

      Collection efficiency (which is what TFA is claiming to be 86%) vs. conversion efficiency (that 40% number you remember) is what you're missing, but from other articles on the technology it appears that the conversion efficiency for these cells should be higher than existing designs:

      The silicon wire arrays created by Atwater and his colleagues are able to convert between 90 and 100 percent of the photons they absorb into electrons--in technical terms, the wires have a near-perfect internal quantum efficiency. "High absorption plus good conversion makes for a high-quality solar cell," says Atwater. "It's an important advance."'

      Which could give them ~78% conversion efficiency, still nearly double over the best cells currently.

    2. Re:Efficiency by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Does converting a photon to an electron mean the full energy was converted to electricity? I think there's something missing about the energy states. Can a high energy photon be converted to a low energy electron but part of the energy lost as heat. I am not a physicist -- hopefully someone will be able to explain this.

      I think it's possible for 100% of photons to be converted to electrons and still have energy wasted as heat. Is that true?

    3. Re:Efficiency by MaskedSlacker · · Score: 1

      The answer to all your questions is yes, however, when the article said 'near perfect quantum efficiency' I took that to imply minimal heat loss in the conversion (but I could be wrong).

  3. Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by Reverse+Gear · · Score: 4, Insightful

    As far as I can figure from the article what is says is 95/86 of the light is absorbed, it doesn't say that all of this light is converted into electricity as is stated here on Slashdot. That is also impressive numbers and very interesting, but my guess is that the efficiency of the solar panel is going to be a lot lower than those numbers posted on the parent, most likely at least a factor 2 lower.

    1. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

      If light is absorbed but not converted to electricity, isn't the panel going to get hot?

    2. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by Random+Data · · Score: 4, Informative

      There was a bit further down that said conversion to electricity was 90-100% of absorption. That means a worst case efficiency of 77% of incident sunlight, which is still a staggering improvement over standard cells. I for one welcome our new silicon-wire overlords.

    3. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by amiga3D · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The problem with current panels isn't the efficiency. More efficiency is welcome but the real problem with solar panels is the cost. It takes too many years to recoup the very heavy initial investment. If the price can be made such that the panels pay for themselves with 2 or 3 years then they make solar power a real alternative to the grid.

    4. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by oddaddresstrap · · Score: 1

      FTFA: "The silicon wire arrays ... are able to convert between 90 and 100 percent of the photons they absorb into electrons--in technical terms, the wires have a near-perfect internal quantum efficiency".

    5. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by worip · · Score: 1
      It sounds as if the cells has a high quantum efficiency as well. From the article:

      The silicon wire arrays created by Atwater and his colleagues are able to convert between 90 and 100 percent of the photons they absorb into electrons—in technical terms, the wires have a near-perfect internal quantum efficiency. "High absorption plus good conversion makes for a high-quality solar cell," says Atwater. "It's an important advance."

      Almost too good to be true, but if it is (and it scales well), invest in some desert land area, because solar has just become viable.

      --
      A picture is worth exactly 1024 words.
    6. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by Entropius · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I don't understand why the break-even time on solar has to be on the order of a handful of years for it to be economically feasible.

      The break-even time for nuclear is over a decade, and it's pretty long for hydro projects too. So why do we insist that solar has to turn a profit Real Quick Now?

    7. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by maxfresh · · Score: 1
      The article adresses that issue up front, stating explicitly that 90-100% of the absorbed light is converted into electricity. From the article:

      Atwater and his colleagues--including Nathan Lewis, the George L. Argyros Professor and professor of chemistry at Caltech, and graduate student Michael Kelzenberg--assessed the performance of these arrays in a paper appearing in the February 14 advance online edition of the journal Nature Materials.

      Atwater notes that the solar cells' enhanced absorption is "useful absorption.".

      "Many materials can absorb light quite well but not generate electricity--like, for instance, black paint," he explains. "What's most important in a solar cell is whether that absorption leads to the creation of charge carriers.".

      The silicon wire arrays created by Atwater and his colleagues are able to convert between 90 and 100 percent of the photons they absorb into electrons--in technical terms, the wires have a near-perfect internal quantum efficiency. "High absorption plus good conversion makes for a high-quality solar cell," says Atwater. "It's an important advance.".

      The key to the success of these solar cells is their silicon wires, each of which, says Atwater, "is independently a high-efficiency, high-quality solar cell." When brought together in an array, however, they're even more effective, because they interact to increase the cell's ability to absorb light..

      So, assuming their worst case figure of 90% efficiency, and 85% absorption, the overall light to electricity conversion efficiency would be ~76.5%

      If this technology scales, and can be manufactured economically, it will be a tremendous breakthrough, which could deliver significant and long lasting benefits for the entire planet.

    8. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by someone1234 · · Score: 5, Funny

      Well, getting hot water out of it is a feature, not a bug.

      --
      Patents Drive Free Software as Hurricanes Drive Construction Industry
    9. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by Calinous · · Score: 5, Insightful

      For appeal to common users, and also for appeal to producers.
            Now, solar is limited by two big things:
      1. total cost (panels are expensive, so few people buy them, so few people produce them, so they are more expensive than it could be)
      2. the Return on Investment is low (extreme cases - 10 years, but typically more than 20).

            If a cheap production method can be devised, this will open the market to many buyers (many people don't even consider buying a $25,000 solar panel system, but will buy in a heart beat a $2,500 solar panel system).
            Also, a cheap production method will allow (hopefully) a quick panel production ramp up)

    10. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Because one of the primary benefits of solar is how easy it is to implement in small installations, such as for a single household. And the economics of those installations are very different from the economics of traditional power plants.

    11. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by Eivind · · Score: 1

      It doesn't have to be 2-3 years, that's nuts (if it was, people would build solar until the price of energy dropped enough that the payback-time rose)

      But it -does- need to be significantly less than the expected lifetime of the panels. Current ones tend to be estimated at 20 years, though local conditions influence it a lot.

      With a payback of 10 years, it'd probably be interesting.

      At the moment though, you typically get around 2% of the purchase-and-installation cost in payback a year, so you'd recoup in 50 years... except they're dead long before and 2% is much too low a profit anyway (you'll get more by putting the money in the bank)

    12. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by ZzzzSleep · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I think it's because solar can be done at a household level, which nuclear and hydro can't. As the break-even time goes down, more homeowners are able to say, "I'll install some of those solar panels", and have the cash back relatively quickly.

    13. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by Kryptonian+Jor-El · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Because I don't pay for the nuclear plant or the hydro dam. However, getting the money together to buy and install the solar panels is all on me, the homeowner

      --
      All your 09 F9 11 02 9D 74 E3 5B D8 41 56 C5 63 56 88 C0 are belong to us
    14. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by TRRosen · · Score: 1

      The article states a quantum efficiency of %90-%100. That is the rate of photons converted to electrons. So you have a high rate of absorption and a high rate of conversion. 77% total efficiently (see below) of course they have only made them 1cm square so far.

    15. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by saodl · · Score: 1
      It's a lot better than that; in fact it sounds like somewhere between 77.4% and 85% to me. They say "up to", so maybe it's less. Lets just call it upwards of 60% or 70%. For a lower cost. That's huge enough that I don't want to trust it, but I sure hope it pans out.

      The article says:

      The silicon-wire arrays absorb up to 96 percent of incident sunlight at a single wavelength and 85 percent of total collectible sunlight.

      and

      The silicon wire arrays created by Atwater and his colleagues are able to convert between 90 and 100 percent of the photons they absorb into electrons—in technical terms, the wires have a near-perfect internal quantum efficiency. "High absorption plus good conversion makes for a high-quality solar cell," says Atwater. "It's an important advance."

    16. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by TRRosen · · Score: 1

      Because most current cells break down and become less efficient over time. eg the don't last forever!

    17. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by Coriolis · · Score: 1

      No, the problem with the current panels is the cost per Kilowatt Hour. If the panels can produce more for the same price, then the payback period is shorter.

      --
      Rgasuya aata! : I have been coding Perl and cannot tell where my fingers are now!
    18. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by MaskedSlacker · · Score: 1

      Hot air. Hot air. Dammit, you missed the obvious joke by 998.7 kg/m^3.

    19. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by aka1nas · · Score: 1

      The problem with current panels isn't the efficiency. More efficiency is welcome but the real problem with solar panels is the cost. It takes too many years to recoup the very heavy initial investment. If the price can be made such that the panels pay for themselves with 2 or 3 years then they make solar power a real alternative to the grid.

      We have relatively cheap panels as well, but their problem is low efficiency. The current higher efficiency panels usually need exotic materials and manufacturing processes. If this new tech can replace both groups of cells, then it would be a huge boon.

    20. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by MaskedSlacker · · Score: 1

      None of what you just said contributed to the conversation in anyway. All you did was repeat the GP's statement of the problem in more detail.

      His point was that nuclear and hydro (and I'll add coal to that list too) power plants take longer to recoup their initial investment, so there's no reason for this to be a problem for solar power other than stupid reporters repeating the myth that it takes to long to pay for itself, and thus people actually believe it.

    21. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by MaskedSlacker · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Because I don't pay for the nuclear plant or the hydro dam

      Yes you do (if you use power from one).

      However, getting the money together to buy and install the solar panels is all on me, the homeowner

      No it's not. I see/hear ads from solar power rental places all the time (on local media no less, but then again it is Los Angeles). They will do the full install at no upfront, then charge you amortized payments--if the payments are less than what you save on electricity (which their ads claim will usually be the case, for what that's worth, I have no idea if that part's true) then they pay for themselves on day one.

    22. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by Entropius · · Score: 1

      I buy things for my household that I expect to keep for many years, like cars and major appliances. Why can't solar power be the same way?

      If a solar installation can repay itself in 15 years, then either buy one or borrow money and then buy one, just like you do with any other big residential purchase.

    23. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by TapeCutter · · Score: 1

      "The break-even time for nuclear is over a decade, and it's pretty long for hydro projects too. So why do we insist that solar has to turn a profit Real Quick Now?

      It's important if you want Joe Home-owner to shell out the initial investment, not so much if it's a corporation setting up a plant to generate hundereds of megawatts. That being said TFA claims this design uses 1/50th the amount of silicon crystal which is the expensive part in existing cells. Not only would it be a lot cheaper to make the new cells but the new cells nearly doubles the efficientcy of existing ones, meaning you only need to buy half as many cells.

      If they can get the up front cost to power a house by solar down to 1/4 - 1/3 of the current price then all of a sudden Joe Home-owner is going to become very interested.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    24. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by profplump · · Score: 4, Informative

      Yes, just like any other dark panel you leave in the sun. Except not as hot, because some of the energy is being exported as electricity. So unless they're flammable at really low temperature we'll probably be okay.

    25. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by barv · · Score: 1

      there are two possible reasons why a 10 year payback period might be too short.
      1) Solar cells cost energy to produce. We would like to get at least as much energy back as we put in.
      2) Solar cells cost money to produce. When the total life energy (KWH) produced is divided into the total cost, we arrive at the cost per KWH. We would like that cost to be lower than the local power utility supply cost.

    26. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by mweather · · Score: 1

      The break-even time for nuclear is over a decade,

      And it gets worse with every plant we build.

    27. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      eg the don't last forever!

      Do you have any other examples?

    28. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by jibjibjib · · Score: 4, Informative

      > up to 96 percent of incident sunlight at a single wavelength and 85 percent of total collectible sunlight. It says "up to". Which means that the worst case could actually be zero and the numbers are actually meaningless. Read more carefully before welcoming your new overlords.

    29. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by Hurricane78 · · Score: 1

      That’s explained trough simple quantum physics and energy preservation. It must go somewhere. It can’t just “vanish”. And since absorption means it gets an electron out of the atom and moving, it is equal to electricity.

      I can only recommend to learn a bit about quantum physics. Not necessarily the math, but the rules/laws of it. Useful and fun. :)

      --
      Any sufficiently advanced intelligence is indistinguishable from stupidity.
    30. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In the same way that a black car gets hot when it absorbs light...

    31. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by vipw · · Score: 1

      They also don't last 500 million years.

    32. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by benjamindees · · Score: 1

      Why can't solar power be the same way?

      You want the real answer? Because you are worth more to the banks as an energy consumer than as an energy producer. So the Federal Reserve will print dollars and give them to the banks in order to invest in energy technologies until they are too expensive for you to afford.

      --
      "I assumed blithely that there were no elves out there in the darkness"
    33. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by proto · · Score: 1

      Something does not add up here. The efficiency record was 40.8% in 2008 (couldn't find the 2009 record). In terms of science, a leap this large can be met with huge skepticism. How does this new method/design compare? Just the facts, thanks in advance.

    34. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by hydromike2 · · Score: 1

      because it is also aimed towards being a consumer product, and on that note, what makes you thinks the average consumer understands what a (shortish)long-term investment is?

    35. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by astar · · Score: 1

      come on, if they did not require a 10 year payback, then someone would expect them to last more than 10-20 years. so strange, comparing solar panels to generation systems that last a long time and actually produce more energy during their life time than it took to build them.

    36. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by jasonq · · Score: 1

      What Calinous is saying (pretty obviously) is that individuals can not buy nuclear/hydro power plants, but they can buy solar panels. More so if they're cheaper.

    37. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by aXis100 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Because unlike nuclear, solar is a system that can be deployed on decentralised on many homes. Expect most poeple dont stay in the one home for 20+ years, so it's very hard to justify the investment.

      If they can get the costs down, more poeple will buy this, just like solar how water and insulation. Not to mention rural/remote and 3rd world installations. The potential market for small systems is huge.

    38. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by vanderbosch · · Score: 1

      I don't understand why the break-even time on solar has to be on the order of a handful of years for it to be economically feasible.

      because often the life span on solar is not that long (relatively).

    39. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by Karma+Bandit · · Score: 1

      No, the worst case is much, much lower. The problem is that there are two different definitions of efficiency going on here. The 90-100% conversion to electricity means that 90-100% of the absorbed photons are turned into single electrons. This does *not* say that 90-100% of the energy in the original photons is converted to energy in the electrons. In fact, just as in all other solar cell devices, the photons initially create fast moving electrons, converting all of their energy. But most of that kinetic energy is lost to heat before the electrons can be extracted from the device and used to do work.

      So, the take-home message is that efficiency can refer to number of converted photons, regardless of how much energy was lost to heat.

    40. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by amiga3D · · Score: 1

      Governments buy hydro and nuclear power systems. Individual homeowners buy solar systems and more would buy them if they were more affordable. It's pretty simple economics really. If I can save money with an outlay of 5 thousand or so I will happily do it. If I have to invest 25 or 30 thousand I'm a lot more reluctant, especially when I have to wait a decade or two to recoup my investment.

    41. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by amiga3D · · Score: 1

      You're idea of relatively cheap isn't cheap. It's cheaper than the exotics but it's nowhere near cheap enough to make solar power viable for the average homeowner.

    42. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by TheTurtlesMoves · · Score: 1

      Its also theoretically impossible with a single band gap material. Silicon is less than the ideal single band gap material, so that makes doubly theoretically impossible.

      --
      The Grey Goo disaster happened 3 billion years ago. This rock is covered in self replicating machines!
    43. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by MobyDisk · · Score: 1

      Solar panels degrade. If they don't pay-off quickly then they may not pay-off at all.

    44. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I believe vertically mounted wind turbines break-even around 3 years. Also, those can be reduced in size to reduce risk... the big problem with wind energy is that it can't be controlled by the government - it's to easy to fully understand and utilize.

    45. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's simple, really. Solar installations aren't cost effective.

      X dollars at 4% interest will beat the shit out of investing X dollars into a solar installation. The value of capital is going to have to drop to near 0 before solar would be a good investment. Don't get me wrong, solar installations can (although just barely) pay for themselves during their operational life, but not with the same return as investing in a bank.

    46. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by hey! · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Hmmm.

      So if financing a nuclear power plant is economically attractive, then so should financing consumer solar panels. In fact if they are lightweight an easy to install, it'd be a lot more feasible to repossess and resell them, although that means you'll probably need to insure them against theft.

      That said, I'd bet the problem is with consumers rather than banks. Most houses wouldn't be able to generate enough power to go off the grid, and the payback time doesn't justify the aggravation of having another household system to manage and the changes to the appearance of the house. I'll bet farmers who use photovoltaics (e.g. vineyards) get loans for their systems like any other kind of equipment.

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    47. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by necro81 · · Score: 2, Informative

      That 90-100% conversion efficiency isn't the whole story, either. That term is what's referred to as quantum efficiency. A shorthand way to think of Q.E. is to consider the probability that an absorbed photon will create an electron-hole pair. But that isn't the same as the electricity harnessed; it is only a pre-requisite.

      The quantum efficiency of existing solar cells is also very high - approaching 100%. But a large fraction of those electron-hole pairs quickly recombine within the semiconductor. In order to create usable electricity, the electron-hole pairs must be separated and collected before they recombine. In a conventional solar cell, the separation is done by the internal semiconductor junction, and the collection is done by the metal electrodes on one or both faces. This team, as far as I can tell from the press release, hasn't published numbers for this step of the process.

      One can make a sort of Drake Equation concerning the conversion of incident photons to usable electricity:

      Number of incident photons above a minimum energy,
      times the percentage of photons that are absorbed by the active area of the solar cell,
      times the percentage that create electron-hole pairs (the quantum efficiency),
      times the percentage of electron-hole pairs that separate and make it to the electrodes before recombining.

      Even then, this product isn't the same as the overall efficiency of the solar cell. That just tells you the conversion of photons to electricity. That's not the same as conversion of sunlight to electrical power. This is because the energy contained within an electron-hole pair is a fixed quantity for a given solar cell construction. Consider three photons: a red photon, a green photon, and a blue photon. The red has the least energy; the blue has the most. Let's say the solar cell's threshold energy is greater than the red photon's. In this case, the red photon will generate no usable electrical energy. The green photon and the blue photon will both create an electron-hole pair. Here is the key point, however: although the blue photon is more energetic, it will create no more useful electrical energy than the green one. The extra energy of the blue photon above and beyond the solar cell's threshold energy is, essentially, wasted. This is a key limiting factor in photovoltaics today. Some folks have gotten around this with multi-junction solar cells, which can tune their (multiple) threshold energies to better utilize the solar spectrum. But these are more exotic than silicon solar cells and find use almost exclusively in space applications (or solar racing vehicles) because of their cost.

      So figuring out the "incident solar power in to useful electrical power out" efficiency of a solar cell is much, much more complicated than just absorbing photons.

      This is not to say that the innovation in the article is worthless. Far from it - it's a pretty neat and new development that will likely have good application. But it isn't the "85% efficient solar power!1!!" that some posters are jumping at.

    48. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by necro81 · · Score: 1

      However, getting the money together to buy and install the solar panels is all on me, the homeowner

      It may be on you to front the money, but a signficant portion of the upfront cost will be subsidized by some combination of:

      Your local utility,
      Your local municipality,
      Your state government,
      Your national government,

      unless you have some philosophical aversion to accepting such subsidies. If you get into a net metering contract with the local utility, you could also say that your neighbors subsidize the cost by paying for your surplus power.

      In reality, this situation of large upfront cost that gets subsidized by other players and paying customers is the same as for a nuclear or hydro plant. The only difference is the scale, and getting your head around being a producer or energy, not merely a consumer.

    49. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by necro81 · · Score: 1

      Conversion of photons to electron-hole pairs (quantum efficiency) is not the same as the creation of useful electricity, nor is the product of absorption and quantum efficiency the same as overall electrical conversion efficiency.

      A further explanation can be found here.

    50. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by necro81 · · Score: 1

      Conversion of photons to electron-hole pairs (quantum efficiency) is not the same as the creation of useful electricity, nor is the product of absorption and quantum efficiency the same as overall electrical conversion efficiency.

      A further explanation can be found here.

    51. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The reason is the panels start to 'degrade' after about 10 years. So after ~25 you have to replace anyway (they are about half effective at this point). So it ends up being a 0 sum game with a high up front cost. So it ends up being just as cost effective to buy from the power company.

      The thing people do not realize is if the power companies have cheap power they may sell it cheaper too. They will have to compete with 'free'.

      So lets say they come up with some wizzy awesome solar panels. Who do you think would be first in line for that tech? If it is cheaper to produce with panels that is the way they will do it. They will also do it on an industrial scale.

      Now my assumptions could be wrong and the power companies could go the other way and jack up the price 'to cover the cost of green power'. In which case buying panels for your house is a hedge against that price creep (at least at current prices).

      There is a reason I buy my power from the power company. They are good at it and I suck at it. It is also a HUGE up front cost to 'go off the grid'. I do not have that money. Then I would have this thing attached to my house that is another possible maintenance problem either with inverters and/or batteries (if you go that way). It probably isnt much of a maintenance thing. But it is one more thing to mess with. Such as having to make sure the panels are clean. I currently do not care if there is dirt on my roof. Until the cost comes WAY down (like 8-10k for 1000-1500kw a month). It is a 'ooo cool' kind of thing.

      Another reason people want quick ROI is some people move around quite a bit. Putting something like that in they want to see the ROI fast before they move out.

      Do I want something like this? Oh hell yeah. Will it ever get to the the 'price of a large home air conditioner'? Probably not.

      Also a power company looks at 30 years for ROI because they expect the plant to last 50-100 years. They want 'free' too...

    52. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by randomencounter · · Score: 1

      Nuclear and hydro are on-demand power generation technologies, solar and wind are as-available power generation technologies so they are more price sensitive.

      --
      Forget diamonds, copyright is forever.
    53. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 2, Informative

      They've already invented inexpensive lightweight solar panals (see Nanosolar).

      As a result, their entire production for the next few years has already been sold to a solar power plant in germany.

      I figure I was blowing $2k for computers every 3 years. If I extend that by a year or two, I get two solar panals and support hardware with the savings. A cost turns into a profit center.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    54. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by swillden · · Score: 1

      If light is absorbed but not converted to electricity, isn't the panel going to get hot?

      Clearly. I wonder if that affects electrical output? I've observed that traditional solar cells produce the highest output when the panels are cool. If these perform the same way, using them to heat water or something else to draw off excess heat might be necessary to achieve maximum electrical generation.

      --
      Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
    55. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As a home owner in California, I have been looking into a solar alternative for a while; I don’t understand where people are getting $25k for a solar install from unless they are going to the home depot for their pricing.
      about 60% of the cost of a solar install now a days is labor; but panel manufacturers have come miles in lowering the difficulty of the install process; Most of the rail locking systems are all snap locks; so if you can hang a shelf you can mount a solar panel; For electrical they all connect to each other via a simple twist lock plug (depending on manufacturer); The only real labor left is the inverter connection to the grid which you can have any electrician do for about $250;
      You can get 20 205w Kyocera panels now for about $10250; there is no sales tax on solar panels in either AZ or CA;
      Brackets and inverter + odds and ends for about 2k;
      So for about 12500 you can have a 4100w grid tie system. Now take in a 30% tax rebate from the government and you are down to $8750; then take another $1.10 per watt (California owners; AZ owners get a better rate; rate is also based on how much you actually produce; for example if your 4100w system produced about 3.3kw then you get 3.3*1.10 = ~$3600;
      So now we are down to $5150.... Yea, $5k is still a lot of money; but the panels add resale value to your home; you will be able to sell power back to the grid for a credit and if you take into account inflation, then your payback period should be about 5 years or less as of today.

    56. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by linuxpyro · · Score: 1

      For a typical residential setting in say the suburbs, this is true. However there are times when things aren't so cut and dry. For instance, with a small power system you can get some backup power when the grid goes down. The ability to communicate and run your refrigerator in, say, a hurricane-induced blackout makes the system more valuable than simply what it can displace from your electric bill each month. A more efficient (and cheaper) technology would make a small solar power backup system closer to a gas generator as far as ease of use and energy density.

      And then of course there are the cases when it's a choice between solar and paying a ton to bring the grid in, in which case quite a few people do find solar (or other small-scale RE) cheaper. In such cases where having the utility poles need to be installed cheaper solar will make the RE option a lot more attractive, spurring early adoption.

      --
      Saying "I'll probably get modded down for this" in a post is the best way to get it modded up.
    57. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by maxfresh · · Score: 1

      I stand corrected. Thanks for that explanation.

    58. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by Simfreak · · Score: 1

      I live in California and have been looking at solar panels for my home for a while now; The whole notion that it costs $25000 is nuts, unless you only shop at home depot or are putting a commercial sized install on your roof; Case Study: 20 Kyocera 205w panels - $12250 Inverter, brackets other hardware - $2500 Total hardware cost $14750 Permits $400 About 50% the cost of solar install is labor, which for the most part can be completely eliminated. Most panel manufacturers noticed this and started to include features that that anyone can install them. For instance, the panels now just 'snap' into place and are connected via a twist lock cable; Twist lock cable connects to inverter. No conduit to run, no knowing your + from your -'s. The only thing you will need someone for is to connect the inverter to the grid, which will cost about $300-400. So now we are at about $15500 (ball parking this one); now the fun part, incentives. 15500 - 30% federate tax rebate. 10850 - 3410 (PGE Solar rebate 1.10 per watt of generation potential (varies pending on house location shade etc; so we will go with a 1kw penalty as an example. (1.1*3100 = 3410) ---------- $7440 So your sunk costs at this point are about $7500; not $25000; your payback based on this will be how much power you actually use. Plus you should factor in +Home resale value, inflation over the next 5+ years, utility rates over the next 5+ years. Either way, you are looking at about a 5-7 year repayment period now a days, vs. the 10-20 it used to be. Plus these are polysilicon cells which have a power generation guarantee for 20 years; after that the cells start to lose efficiency much like a laptop battery until the panel is scrap. Over all useful life of a poly Si panel is about 30-50 years depending on environment.

    59. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The 90%-100% is quantum efficiency. Actual energy efficiency is going to be far lower, because much of the photons are insufficiently energetic to free an electron, and most of the rest are more energetic than required. 100% QE == 100% conversion only when the photon energy is precisely the silicon bandgap energy.

    60. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by geekoid · · Score: 1

      No, it does take a long time to recoup the investment. It's not a myth, it's expensive, even with tax subsidies.

      Large power plants have a long time to recoup, but they have paying customers, and financial teams working with them.

      Don't compare personal finance it industry finance, there not even in the same league.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    61. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by geekoid · · Score: 1

      "I think it's because solar can be done at a household level, which nuclear and hydro can't"
      Sure they can. Your neighbors won't be too thrilled~

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    62. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It says "Of a single wavelength" which is not what sunlight has. Depending on how you look at it, sunlight could be said to have millions of wavelengths, and this is only good at converting ONE, so it's only converting one part in a million. (I don't believe this is the case, but we need more information to be able to tell)

    63. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Solar panels cost more to install than to buy. If someone made easy to install solar panels, that by itself would be a boon.

    64. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      California has a subsidy program in effect... Just don't ask where the money is coming from (and they don't know either).

    65. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by ceoyoyo · · Score: 1

      Because if the solar panels only last for 20 years (optimistically) and it takes 20 years to recoup the cost, you're not getting anywhere. Nuclear plants and hydro dams are built to last a good bit longer than their break even time.

    66. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Having priced many solar systems for my house, I can definitely say solar still takes too long to pay for itself. Manufacturing cost of panels != retail cost of panels. In addition, for most systems, only ~60% of the total cost goes to the panels. The rest of the cost is neatly bundled into inverters, misc. hardware (mounting brackets, conduit, wiring, etc), taxes, labor and any other hidden charges the installer tacks on despite your best attempt at negotiating a fair price.

      A fairly large system (8kw-10kw) is not a DIY project. Small systems (2kw-3kw) are still highly questionable DIY projects. Panels are not lightweight.

    67. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by falconwolf · · Score: 2, Informative

      most poeple dont stay in the one home for 20+ years, so it's very hard to justify the investment.

      Except installed solar increases the value of the house. If you live in a house a few years and have solar panels installed when you move in, when you leave it will be mostly paid for and you get more from the sell. This is even more true in California with it's high electricity costs.

      If they can get the costs down, more poeple will buy this, just like solar how water and insulation.

      Actually of these the first step should be to insulate more, increasing insulation has the quickest payback. And in many places solar thermal or hot water also pays back faster than solar PVs. Solar power may heat water someplace that doesn't get enough sunlight to provide electricity.

      Falcon

    68. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by falconwolf · · Score: 1

      Because if the solar panels only last for 20 years (optimistically) and it takes 20 years to recoup the cost, you're not getting anywhere.

      PVs are warrantied 20, 25, even 30 years yet their payback period can be 7 years. With a payback period of 7 years if your PVs last 30 years you get 23 years of energy free. Well not totally free, maintenance is still needed.

      Nuclear plants and hydro dams are built to last a good bit longer than their break even time.

      They are only built if they are subsidized first. Actually government officials in China, France, India, and Russia not private investors, decide what is built. Nuclear power appeals to state planners, not market actors.

      Falcon

    69. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by atamido · · Score: 1

      Electrical efficiency of most things seems to decrease as heat increases. As these use nano wires, I'd suspect the effect is even worse. Unfortunately most general applications of solar panels aren't ideal for running water through them, so some try different approaches of bypassing or reflecting ranges of light that aren't absorbed well. As this panel seems to work by absorbing as much light as possible, that's not much of an option.

      Of course, if the panel turns out to be 1/50th the cost (2%) of normal panels, then who cares. Cover your roof with them now, and then start thinking about cooling techniques.

    70. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by falconwolf · · Score: 1

      I don't understand why the break-even time on solar has to be on the order of a handful of years for it to be economically feasible.

      because often the life span on solar is not that long (relatively).

      Solar panels are warrantied for 20, 25, even 30 years. With a payback period of 7 years you can replace panels before they fail and still save money.

      Falcon

    71. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by ceoyoyo · · Score: 1

      The poster asked why a 20 year payback period is a problem for PV systems. We're not talking about systems with a payback time of less than 20 years.

      Warranties usually specify that the system will operate at some fraction of it's rated capacity after a certain amount of time. If your PV system is warranted to 80% after 20 years, your profit is going to be quite a bit less than you might hope since it is entirely generated by the less-than-peak-performance you get later in the system's life.

    72. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by falconwolf · · Score: 1

      there are two possible reasons why a 10 year payback period might be too short.

      1) Solar cells cost energy to produce.We would like to get at least as much energy back as we put in.

      The Energy Returned on Energy Invested for Solar PVs is pretty good, the payback period is less than 10 years. A 1977 Solarex study found the payback period for energy was 6.4 years. And panels come with 20, 25, even 30 year warranties.

      2) Solar cells cost money to produce. When the total life energy (KWH) produced is divided into the total cost, we arrive at the cost per KWH. We would like that cost to be lower than the local power utility supply cost.

      Coal and nuclear power plants cost money to build, and without subsidies they may not be built. Want to see something ironic if not tragically funny? Watch and listen as Chevron's CEO agrees to lobby with Sierra Club to end coal subsidies as well as how Rep Edward Markey crows about how "My Climate Bill 'Has Huge Subsidies For Clean Coal! Huge!'" In his speech he also says how much nuclear and other energy industries get. While they get billions of dollars all of the subsidies for geothermal, solar, and wind add up to less than $1 Billion.

      Falcon

    73. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by falconwolf · · Score: 1

      At the moment though, you typically get around 2% of the purchase-and-installation cost in payback a year,

      No, the payback period is about 7 years, that is after 7 years you're getting "free energy".

      Falcon

    74. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by Eivind · · Score: 1

      Yeah. But then you're talking in a certain political climate, not real prices.

      If you purchase solar-panels, at unsubidized market-price, and install them, using standard labor at the normal rate, then sell the electricity generated at the typical spot-price for electricity, then you do not, infact, make a profit.

      Yes, in many jurisdictions there's various subsidies that change this to the point that it can be profitable. But in those cases it's profitable because you get money from the state (in one form or another) and not because the activity as such is profitable.

      It's the same in germany; it's profitable for a home-owner to install solar-cells on his roof. But that's only true because there's a state-guaranteed lowest-price that he gets for the electricity produced, and this price is substantially higher than the real market-value of electricity.

    75. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by falconwolf · · Score: 1

      Yeah. But then you're talking in a certain political climate, not real prices.

      You don't see the real price from the power company either. They are all subsidized. At least in the US, and I'd imagine even more in other countries. Here's where the CEO of Chevron agrees to lobby with Sierra Club to end coal subsidies. And here Rep Edward Markey crows "My Climate Bill 'Has Huge Subsidies For Clean Coal! Huge!'" He doesn't tkl just about coal subsides but subsides for nuclear and other power sources. Coal, corn based ethanol, and nuclear power get billions of dollars in subsidies. Yet if you add up all the subsidies for geothermal, solar, wind, and other alternative/renewable energy sources it doesn't add up to $1 Billion.

      Quite simply coal, nuclear, and other energy sources individually get way more in subsidies than geothermal, solar, wind, and other alternative/renewable energy sources. Without subsides nuclear power plants would not be built, and power from coal would cost way more than it does.

      It's the same in germany; it's profitable for a home-owner to install solar-cells on his roof. But that's only true because there's a state-guaranteed lowest-price that he gets for the electricity produced, and this price is substantially higher than the real market-value of electricity.

      Wow! A quick google and I find this: Breakthrough Deal May Eliminate German Coal Subsidies :
      "After months of negotiations, politicians and leaders from the coal industry reached a breakthrough Sunday night. Government subsidies -- not jobs -- are to be cut back drastically and may be history as early as 2018." Actually that was the first result googling germany coal subsidies. Now let's substitute nuclear for coal... and the first result is Subsidies and Public Support for Energy. It doesn't have much but it does say ways in which nuclear power is assisted. BusinessWeek reports a split in Chancellor Angela Merkel's government about extending the lifespan of nuclear power. Some plants there are approaching the end of their lifespan, so some want to extend the lifespan. One member of the coalition says "The nuclear power plants are designed for 40 years -- not 60, but 40 years".

      It doesn't look like business determines what exists but government in Germany too.

      Falcon

    76. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Oh, stop being pedantic - you know what he was trying to say. There's a very big difference between a $100/mo bill from a nuclear power plant and spending $20k+ all at once on a set of solar panels and batteries that can power your entire home day and night, and that you can't take with you when you move.

    77. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by falconwolf · · Score: 1

      The poster asked why a 20 year payback period is a problem for PV systems. We're not talking about systems with a payback time of less than 20 years.

      The poster exhibited what many others have, the false belief PV systems are too expensive to pay back their cost.

      Warranties usually specify that the system will operate at some fraction of it's rated capacity after a certain amount of time. If your PV system is warranted to 80% after 20 years, your profit is going to be quite a bit less than you might hope since it is entirely generated by the less-than-peak-performance you get later in the system's life.

      That is, er should be, accounted for payback period analysis. Even if not though a lose of 1% a year, your 20% over 20 years, that only extends the payback period. For one at 7 years a loss of efficiency of 1% a year won't even add a year.

      One thing you don't account for though is inflation, higher energy costs reduce the payback period. And energy prices go up all the tyme. And with the prices set by time of use, California electricity prices are higher in the middle of the day than in the morning and at night a grid connected system pays back even faster. PV produce more electricity when it's bright and sunny, precisely when demand and prices is highest. And yes CA does charge more depending on the time of use.

      Falcon

    78. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by Thundersnatch · · Score: 1

      (you'll get more by putting the money in the bank)

      Umm.... not really. Most consumer savings acount now return less than 1%, and the very best are only about 1.5% APR.

      Banks ain't what they used to be.

  4. Meh by zmollusc · · Score: 5, Funny

    All these idiots working on solar panels when what is really needed is overcast panels to get power from gloomy days when you use more light bulbs.

    --
    They whose government reduces their essential liberties for temporary security, receive neither liberty nor security.
    1. Re:Meh by Entropius · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Meanwhile, Germany (where it is always cloudy, and where the government recognizes the need for renewable energy) is pushing solar like crazy, and Arizona (where it is always sunny, and where the governor has no conception of future beyond a few years) is burning coal.

      wtf?

    2. Re:Meh by Jimbookis · · Score: 2, Funny

      Meanwhile, in Australia where there is more sun than you can poke a solar panel at, with regards to pushing solar and renewable, is literally standing around with it's dick in both hands.

    3. Re:Meh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Idiots stating stupid facts about light should go to school. Solar cells do not just absorb and convert visible light, they also convert UV and IR light also (which we cant see) 90% of UV still goes straight through overcast clouds.

    4. Re:Meh by TapeCutter · · Score: 1

      "All these idiots working on solar panels when what is really needed is overcast panels to get power from gloomy days when you use more light bulbs."

      Yeah, but try telling that to those silly Germans.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    5. Re:Meh by religious+freak · · Score: 1

      DAMNIT! I just screwed up my mod on your post (meant to put you as funny, did overrated instead (sorry) ). Posting myself to undo mod. F... that's the second time I've done that...

      --
      If you can read this... 01110101 01110010 00100000 01100001 00100000 01100111 01100101 01100101 01101011
    6. Re:Meh by religious+freak · · Score: 1

      Arizona has a hands off government which doesn't know its asshole from it's eyeball, in my opinion. Nepolitano was slightly less shitty than the current idiot (Brewer seems especially stupid), but I've not been impressed with either party in their ability to attract solar investment.

      City of Phoenix did just pull an impressive deal on some land they own in Buckeye (an old landfill). No cost to taxpayers (only use of the land), but taxpayers see revenue from power that is generated. From what I've seen, it seems like a good move - one of the few in our state.

      --
      If you can read this... 01110101 01110010 00100000 01100001 00100000 01100111 01100101 01100101 01101011
    7. Re:Meh by martinX · · Score: 1

      Only those with dicks. I have considered solar panels - and every time a new company comes up with a new thing about them I consider them again - but the (mainly coal-generated) electricity here is ridiculously cheap when compared to many other countries and so solar doesn't make sense for me even with the economically unsustainable feed-in tariff I could get.

      If I could pay less than 10k and have a 10 year pay back time, then I'd be more likely to get them. As it is, that's still too high for a lot of other people. If solar panels were that cheap and that efficient, it would make sense for a single entity to build arrays of them in Alice Springs or somewhere and reduce installation maintenance cost/panel considerably. The fact that governments keep trying to shift this cost to individual households tells me that it just isn't worth it.

      As for other renewables, we will never have another hydro dam built as long as the ALP is in power at any level of government anywhere within cooee of it. I'd put money on it. Let the Franklin flow ...

      --
      When they came for the communists, I said "He's next door. Take him away. Goddam commies."
    8. Re:Meh by MobyDisk · · Score: 1

      Not sure why this is funny.

      Solar panels do not work as well on overcast days. And yes, people do use more light bulbs on overcast days. Some panels perform well in direct sunlight, but their efficiency drops significantly in indirect or scattered light. When buying solar panels, you have to take into account the angle of the sun, and the kind of sunlight you tend to get in your area, and how long. Some panels have to we connected via diodes because they actually _consume_ energy if there isn't direct sunlight.

      So yes, having panels that operate in nominal conditions, rather than ideal conditions, would help a lot. It would also widen the potential install base to more moderate climates.

    9. Re:Meh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Meanwhile, Germany (where it is always cloudy, and where the government recognizes the need for renewable energy)

      I think you were thinking about the UK, where it is always cloudy.

      Here in Germany there are a lot of sunny days in a year. I know for a fact that the German government (at least, the Saxony-Anhalt one) is pushing wind and biofuel energies (with the help of EU policies).

      I also know that a lot of people in old towns (which are pretty abundant here in Germany) do not like to install solar panels because It would mean doing major modifications to their homes. This last issue is related to the asbestos in some ceilings.

    10. Re:Meh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      On cloudy days my solar panels produce ~20% of a normal sunny day. The reason is ~20% of the light comes from reflected light. I monitor my solar output with a nslug2, and calculate the direct and reflected sunlight and temperatures. What is missing in most discussions of solar cells, is their temperature effect (remember there is ~1KW/m^2 falling on you on a sunny day, and that heat raises the temp. of my panels reducing the output.) By the way, my total electric / gas bill is $150 per year, and although I still find it hard to justify economically (learn to conserve first) this has been a great home engineering / science / computer project. (One could use the internet to monitor someone else's panels.)

    11. Re:Meh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Prescription: people are more concerned when they have it cloudy.

    12. Re:Meh by zmollusc · · Score: 1

      Thanks, but after re-reading, I think i should have said dark panels and night-time as that would have been funnier. The overrated was right.

      --
      They whose government reduces their essential liberties for temporary security, receive neither liberty nor security.
    13. Re:Meh by SleazyRidr · · Score: 1

      I'm not sure which part of Australia you're in, but my parents out west just used the government rebate to put solar panels on their roof for under 1k. They'll pay for themselves in a couple of years. (Cue the libertarian to tell me that they paid for the rest with taxes.)

      In a related topic, I just had the idea that if you could make solar panels solid enough to stand on, you could make flooring out of them, so the light that comes out of your lightbulbs but doesn't land on something you're trying to look at gets 'recycled.' Yes, I know it's probably not practical.

    14. Re:Meh by BlackSash · · Score: 1

      This was mentioned on /. a good while ago: someone already thought of that. :)

      Prototype solar road panel

      Mind, this is (of course) just a prototype. But as all truly innovative technologies it is both absolutely awe-inspiring and very unlikely to be marketed before some big greedy power company comes along and snaps it up.

      A man can dream, though.

      --
      Posting obviously for anonymous reasons.
  5. NOT incandescent light! by scdeimos · · Score: 4, Informative

    It's not incandescent light, it's incident light. sigh.

    1. Re:NOT incandescent light! by Entropius · · Score: 1

      I was about to comment on the absurdity of "single-frequency incident light" until I saw that TFA had it right. I figure this can slip as a typo or brain-o rather than something out of ignorance.

    2. Re:NOT incandescent light! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Which is especially ironic since sunlight is incandescent.

    3. Re:NOT incandescent light! by TandooriC · · Score: 0

      My gawds, I thought I saw indecent light somewhere there. Sigh.

    4. Re:NOT incandescent light! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ahh, I was hoping we'd power the future using lightbulbs

    5. Re:NOT incandescent light! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Thank you!

  6. Will they float? by MillionthMonkey · · Score: 4, Funny

    If we set up solar devices so that they can float in water and function as an interconnected grid, we could drape a network of them over the Pacific Garbage Patch so no one would notice it.

    1. Re:Will they float? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If we set up solar devices so that they can float in water and function as an interconnected grid, we could drape a network of them over the Pacific Garbage Patch so no one would notice it.

      It's actually a government conspiracy to turn the Pacific into a giant polymer solar cell to power their underwater base. Either that or it's the plot of the next X-Files movie.

    2. Re:Will they float? by nacturation · · Score: 1

      But then an oil tanker would accidentally stray off course and cut the power cable with its propellers.

      --
      Want to improve your Karma? Instead of "Post Anonymously", try the "Post Humously" option.
    3. Re:Will they float? by dasdrewid · · Score: 1

      That's...one of the best ideas I've heard lately... *sigh*

      --
      No trespassing. Violators will be shot. Survivors will be shot again.
    4. Re:Will they float? by mdsolar · · Score: 1

      There are parts of the oceans where storms are few and a lot of sunshine is available. This concept looks interesting: http://www.solar-islands.com/

    5. Re:Will they float? by hypergreatthing · · Score: 1

      You know, been thinking about that. Anyone do any sort of calcuations to see how much the great garbage patch absorbs and heats that area of the ocean as compared to the rest of the ocean? Would it account for any climate/el nino effects that seem to occur in that part of the world?

    6. Re:Will they float? by Floritard · · Score: 1

      They don't even need to float. The garbage already floats. They just need to be lightweight.

    7. Re:Will they float? by Beezlebub33 · · Score: 1

      Putting things in sea water is a bitch. They tend to either sink or get salt encrusted or eroded. Unless you have high power density and you are close to the shoreline, maintenance costs will absolutely kill you. They have been working for decades to make maintainable wind turbines and wave energy generators. Putting a diffuse power source like solar on the ocean is a recipe for disaster.

      --
      The more people I meet, the better I like my dog.
    8. Re:Will they float? by MillionthMonkey · · Score: 1

      Just make the bottles and candy wrappers with this 98% plastic solar array, and make them get sticky when exposed to salt. That way they'll clump together into big floating solar power generating islands when they reach the Garbage Patch.

  7. In requires polymer to make... by assemblerex · · Score: 3, Interesting

    so it is still tied to oil. Becoming cheap and widely popular may do more harm than good I fear.

    1. Re:In requires polymer to make... by Serilleous · · Score: 1

      It is tied to oil, but methinks that this probably produces a much better energy per (black stuff consumed / pollutants produced) than most available technology. Certainly not a solution, but definitely an improvement on the current situation.

    2. Re:In requires polymer to make... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Who cares? If we get cheap solar technology we'll have enough energy to make as much oil as we want from carbon dioxide and water.

    3. Re:In requires polymer to make... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I beg to differ. This is exactly what we should be using our oil reserves for: building up a supply of renewable energy. Look at it this way: we can burn our oil; or we can use it to create systems that will generate energy for us, without needing further input of oil.

      I'd dearly love to see us in a world where we no longer need to burn oil or coal for energy, or if we do need to do so, we use oil we've produced ourselves - using only water and carbon dioxide as the essential inputs. On that day, we will have overcome one of the major problems facing our society today.

    4. Re:In requires polymer to make... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Weeeelll, methinks that with the sheer volume of plastic waste produced daily, a few thousand square kilometers won't be a huge deal.

    5. Re:In requires polymer to make... by pushing-robot · · Score: 2, Insightful

      We'll never run out of plastic. Don't forget that "oil" came from biological sources. It'll be more expensive than just pumping the stuff out of the ground, but as long as there is life on Earth we'll be able to produce all the polymers we need.

      --
      How can I believe you when you tell me what I don't want to hear?
    6. Re:In requires polymer to make... by TRRosen · · Score: 1

      you don't need oil to make polymers (its a lot easier though) hell you don't even need oil to make oil.

    7. Re:In requires polymer to make... by MaskedSlacker · · Score: 2, Insightful

      How so? The oil isn't being burned, so it's not ending up in the atmosphere.

      Or do you think oil is evil even when it's locked out of the biosphere?

      Oil isn't bad. The byproducts of burning it are.

      And for that matter, you can produce polymers from bio-oil just as well (though not so cheaply).

    8. Re:In requires polymer to make... by MaskedSlacker · · Score: 1

      Even when there's no life on Earth we'll be able to produce all the polymers we'll need.

    9. Re:In requires polymer to make... by TapeCutter · · Score: 1

      "so it is still tied to oil. Becoming cheap and widely popular may do more harm than good I fear."

      I for one hope this does maximum harm to the wallets of coal luddites such a Senator Inhofe and his corporate pay-masters.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    10. Re:In requires polymer to make... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's what they want to make you believe. The whole green-house topic is a big conspiracy.

      Natural resources are limited. However, conveying reduced consumption of the public just due to the limited nature is doomed to failure. Therefore, a plan was set up to scare people away from using too much.

      Quite funny that the article mentions positively how few silicon it's using. Last time I checked it was still in quite good supply - like sand on a beach.

    11. Re:In requires polymer to make... by MaskedSlacker · · Score: 2, Informative

      Last time I checked you're a blithering idiot who talks out of his ass.

      Does silicon grow on a beach? In a manner of speaking...

      However, the factories that process raw silica into high grade silicon for semi-conductor production are in short supply, and this has driven up the price of silicon. Silica is cheap, and every where. Silicon is manufactured, and currently not cheap (enough for widespread solar panels).

    12. Re:In requires polymer to make... by paul248 · · Score: 2, Funny

      But we won't nee... ohhh.

    13. Re:In requires polymer to make... by error_frey · · Score: 1

      Still, natural reserves of oil (ready to be pumped out of the ground) are not unlimited, and you're not considering the rates of production and consumption of oil, and I bet the latter is far higher than the former.

    14. Re:In requires polymer to make... by jareth-0205 · · Score: 1

      Agreed. Further, we currently need oil because we burn the vase majority of it. Only 6% of oil is used in manufacturing stuff, the rest is burned for energy. The need for oil is not driven by making plastics, it's for generating energy.

    15. Re:In requires polymer to make... by TheTurtlesMoves · · Score: 1

      Anything we do is doing more harm than good!

      Everything.

      Anything.

      incuding posting on /.

      So why are you causing so much harm then! Stop doing everything now!

      --
      The Grey Goo disaster happened 3 billion years ago. This rock is covered in self replicating machines!
    16. Re:In requires polymer to make... by maxwell+demon · · Score: 1

      Until we get global cooling from extracting too much carbon dioxide from the atmosphere. :-)

      --
      The Tao of math: The numbers you can count are not the real numbers.
    17. Re:In requires polymer to make... by EgNagRah · · Score: 0

      I thought hemp was coming back to save the day!

    18. Re:In requires polymer to make... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Uh.... the crude that comes out of the ground gets separated into a number of different grades and types of products. Only a few of which are burned as fuel. Another subset is turned into polymers.

        Plastics are cheap because they are a by-product of making gasoline. I don't think we can simply turn the gasoline part of crude into plastics. As as much as I would love to get away from fossil fuels, I don't see any alternative at all for rocket fuel. So unless you want to abandon space, we're going to keep an oil industry.

    19. Re:In requires polymer to make... by geekoid · · Score: 1

      It's about burning displacement. Once the panel is created, you stop 'burning oil' to produce it and you start offsetting oil/coal production.
      So the question is, how long does it need to operate before it payse for it's self in the terms of CO2 saved.

      Not as long as you think. If I could gt solar shingle at 10 bucks a sqr foot that are 20% more efficient then current technology I wold not need to use any outside electricity during daylight hours. More if I store it for night time use,. natch.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    20. Re:In requires polymer to make... by geekoid · · Score: 1

      I would argue the Silicon is Cheap. What bases are using to compare it's effective value against?

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    21. Re:In requires polymer to make... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I guess the inventor of the periodic table would agree with you. He said, "Burning oil is like burning banknotes."

    22. Re:In requires polymer to make... by repetty · · Score: 1

      "...but as long as there is life on Earth we'll be able to produce all the polymers we [can afford]."

      Corrected.

    23. Re:In requires polymer to make... by Simetrical · · Score: 1

      We'll never run out of plastic. Don't forget that "oil" came from biological sources. It'll be more expensive than just pumping the stuff out of the ground, but as long as there is life on Earth we'll be able to produce all the polymers we need.

      We can also always create gold by nuclear fusion if there's no more to mine. That doesn't mean we'll never run out of gold in a practical sense.

      --
      MediaWiki developer, Total War Center sysadmin
    24. Re:In requires polymer to make... by falconwolf · · Score: 1

      so it is still tied to oil.

      No it's not. Biopolymers are produced by living organisms. The cellulose from trees can be used. The first plastics made were bioplastics from plants. Do you recall the old Cellophane plastic wrap for sandwiches? Made from wood cellulose. Eastman Kodak, the camera company, first used plant based plastic for it's cameras and film. Even today film is sometimes called "Cellulose".

      Plant, cellulose, based plastics only fail by the wayside after DuPont was awarded patents on making plastic from petroleum in the mid 1930s.

      Becoming cheap and widely popular may do more harm than good I fear.

      Now this is a potential problem, forests could be cleared to plant plantations for polymers. However the products are compostable.

      Falcon

    25. Re:In requires polymer to make... by falconwolf · · Score: 1

      We can also always create gold by nuclear fusion if there's no more to mine. That doesn't mean we'll never run out of gold in a practical sense.

      Plastic and polymers were originally made from plants and as long as there are still bushes, trees, and vines growing we can make polymers and plastics from them.

      Falcon

  8. And these are available in stores? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What's that? A concept in search of venture capital? Oh.

  9. Massive typo in summary. by talcite · · Score: 4, Informative
    The solar cells absorb 96% of incident light, not incandescent light.
    From TFA:

    The silicon-wire arrays absorb up to 96 percent of incident sunlight at a single wavelength and 85 percent of total collectible sunlight.

    1. Re:Massive typo in summary. by squizzar · · Score: 5, Funny

      You hook a lightbulb up to a solar panel, and it will keep glowing forever. Obviously this has to be done in a completely sealed box so that none of the light escapes, so you are forbidden from checking that the light is still glowing.

      Some would say it's useless, but it improves the quality of life of physicists' cats quite dramatically.

    2. Re:Massive typo in summary. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Lisa, in this house we obey the laws of thermodynamics!"

  10. 85% of sunlight by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I know this is being picky but the article says 85% of sunlight not 86% as in the summary.

    So what do I win?

  11. So when can I buy those? by Kokuyo · · Score: 1

    That's all I really want to know. If I can put them on my roof for a reasonable price, I'll be one happy wanker, but lab situations just don't necessarily translate so well into real life.

    Not having read the article I don't know whether it was mentioned.

    Assuiming that production of these is not too difficult, this seems like a very good way to produce power for you and at least one neighbour just by tiling one roof (I'm pulling the figures for that calculation out of my ass, so if you want to comment on that don't go physics nazi on my ass, please). Imagine only one third of the homeowners doing this kind of thing, we could probably have ourselves a very decentralized power grid in no time. Especially you in the US should welcome that, seeing as your grid has a lot of problems with delivery today.

    Anyway, I'm really hoping this turns out to be something of real value. It makes me all giddy with anticipation.

    1. Re:So when can I buy those? by Hairy1 · · Score: 1

      Way to early to be talking mass production. But very promising science. If they are right they will be very rich little scientists.

    2. Re:So when can I buy those? by shinzawai · · Score: 1

      With the money you save, perhaps you can pay someone to wank you off! Happy times indeed! (No, I'm not putting my hand up for that job)

  12. Better Article... by benjamindees · · Score: 5, Informative

    http://www.rsc.org/chemistryworld/News/2010/February/14021001.asp

    'We have shown the optical absorption efficiency and charge carrier collection efficiency of a silicon wire array cell is comparable to a conventional silicon cell, but a wire array cell uses up to 100 times less silicon due to enhanced light-trapping effects,' says Atwater. Significantly, the wire arrays absorb infrared light more efficiently that conventional silicon surfaces, further improving the performance of the new device.

    So the gist is that it's more efficient because it converts infrared, uses some type of clear polymer with alumina "reflector particles" in place of 99% of the expensive (doped) silicon, and is flexible and therefore easier to manufacture.

    --
    "I assumed blithely that there were no elves out there in the darkness"
    1. Re:Better Article... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      despite common assumptions, silicon is not all that expensive considering how ridiculously abundant it is. it's definitely not the most expensive part of a solar cell. moreover, the claims that this is flexible and therefore cheaper to manufacture in a roll-to-roll process is thrown around a lot, yet there's no proof that this is cheaper. the infrastructure for wafer growth is there, but not at all for any new process. lastly, as good as their cm-square cell may be (which is far from clear from the article: they say they need to raise open circuit voltage which means it may not be converting energy as efficiently as one would want) when scaled, yield and possibly increased complexity will certainly not make anything cheaper.

      it's always good that people are working on new means of producing energy, but let's not fall for the "they did it in the lab, the world is saved!" type thinking..

    2. Re:Better Article... by nog_lorp · · Score: 1

      You missed the part where parent said "doped", referring to the insanely expensive rare earth metals that are used to create the junctions of current solar panels.

    3. Re:Better Article... by WalksOnDirt · · Score: 1

      Rare earth metals aren't "insanely expensive". They generally cost less than silver, some much less. Their use in solar cells seems mainly to be for frequency shifting of light.

      --
      a,e,i,o,u and sometimes w and y (at be if of up cwm by)
  13. It's plastic ! by Taco+Cowboy · · Score: 1, Interesting

    How durable can this device be? It's made up of 98% plastic.

    --
    Muchas Gracias, Señor Edward Snowden !
    1. Re:It's plastic ! by Kryptonian+Jor-El · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I've never had problems with soda bottles...and thats 100% plastic

      --
      All your 09 F9 11 02 9D 74 E3 5B D8 41 56 C5 63 56 88 C0 are belong to us
    2. Re:It's plastic ! by MaskedSlacker · · Score: 4, Insightful

      You've never left them out in direct sun for ten to twenty years then.

    3. Re:It's plastic ! by Entropius · · Score: 3, Insightful

      There's plastic, and then there's plastic. Some modern plastics are quite durable.

    4. Re:It's plastic ! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As durable as many of the copters flying out there which are made with plastics
      g

    5. Re:It's plastic ! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You've never left them out in direct sun for ten to twenty years then.

      Your car is made from plastic. The inside of it is designed to handle temperature extremes from -50C to 150C as well as constant interaction with people. The outer body of the car is designed to handle 200KPH winds while you're driving as well as shopping carts and other cars impacting it. Plastic will degrade over time, but it is not like your roof has a warranty much longer than 2 decades anyways.

    6. Re:It's plastic ! by OeLeWaPpErKe · · Score: 1

      My roof has been holding for close to 6 decades now.

      Not everything is like the Japanese cars of old you know. Some things are supposed to outlive their warranties.

    7. Re:It's plastic ! by SharpFang · · Score: 4, Funny

      There's plastic, and then there's plastic. Some modern plastics are quite explosive.

      --
      45 5F E1 04 22 CA 29 C4 93 3F 95 05 2B 79 2A B2
    8. Re:It's plastic ! by Enleth · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Ever heard of polycarbonate? They use it to produce composite bulletproof window panes, safety shields for industrial machinery, impact-resistant safety glasses, underwater portholes, etc. It does degrade somewhat under UV light, but then, you can just put an UV filter on top of it, it's not going to be a problem for the panel itself. And there are other transparent plastics with very good properities for this application.

      --
      This is Slashdot. Common sense is futile. You will be modded down.
    9. Re:It's plastic ! by thrawn_aj · · Score: 1

      It does degrade somewhat under UV light, but then, you can just put an UV filter on top of it, it's not going to be a problem for the panel itself.

      Good post, but getting rid of UV also means getting rid of the most energetic light. Wonder if that would dramatically degrade the efficiency? In other words, I just don't know the frequency dependence of the solar conversion in this case so I don't know whether your solution is viable.

      Of course, if the group was clever enough to come up with this stuff in the first place, I'm sure they must have given it some thought. Pretty damn exciting in any case!!

    10. Re:It's plastic ! by samurphy21 · · Score: 1

      Really? You had to take a dig at japanese cars of old when you could have gone with american cars of now?

    11. Re:It's plastic ! by Joce640k · · Score: 1

      If it's really converting 86% of the incident light into electricity then they're going to last quite a bit longer than a soda bottle.

      --
      No sig today...
    12. Re:It's plastic ! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Of course Japanese cars of today are beyond reproach. Right? They've got that whole stop-go thing worked out perfectly.

    13. Re:It's plastic ! by budgenator · · Score: 1

      he said "of old" not currently

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    14. Re:It's plastic ! by tygreen · · Score: 1

      Of course Japanese cars of today are beyond reproach. Right? They've got that whole stop-go thing worked out perfectly.

      have you noticed that all these car problems are with automatic cars? if the car was a manual, the driver would just push the clutch in and poof, the car is no longer accelerating. and people think I'm silly for insisting on a manual transmission car. but to get a manual hybrid, you have to get a used car from 2004-2005 when the last hybrid-manual transmission was made. I haven't looked at the hybrids ford has come out with, though. ------------------ but, in ref to the original topic. I want one of those!

    15. Re:It's plastic ! by mhall119 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Automatic transmissions can be put into Neutral with a small move of the shifter, even while accelerating. This would have the same effect as pressing a clutch in a manual.

      --
      http://www.mhall119.com
    16. Re:It's plastic ! by Andy+Dodd · · Score: 1

      Yeah, there's a common association with "plastic=cheap", however, properly designed plastics can often be the superior choice compared to other materials.

      For example, devices with cases made of ABS plastic have a tendency to just bounce when dropped. If the same object had a metal case, it would dent on impact. Of course, cheaper plastics will just shatter.

      In this case, keep in mind that typically, solar cells are made of glass. A solar cell made from plastic is going to be FAR more impact resistant.

      Another example of "plastic more durable than glass" is polycarbonate lenses for vision correction. These are basically shatterproof, and if you get hit in the lens with a hockey puck, you'll get bruises/cuts on your face around the edge of the lens but your eye will be perfectly safe. I'd probably be missing an eye if I had been wearing "traditional" glass lenses my sophomore year of college thanks to the fact that Harvard students can't grasp simple concepts such as "puck goes in the net, not the opposing team pepband's trombone section".

      --
      retrorocket.o not found, launch anyway?
    17. Re:It's plastic ! by ridgecritter · · Score: 3, Informative

      Yes and no. Yes, UV is the most energetic light, but there isn't much of it in sunlight at the earth's surface. Most of it has been lost to ozone, Rayleigh scattering, etc. There's enough to give you a sunburn, but no, in terms of the actual amount of power in sunlight at the earth's surface, it's less than 5%. Filtering it to zero to obtain much longer PV panel lifetime is generally a net economic benefit in terms of TCO.

    18. Re:It's plastic ! by Firehed · · Score: 1

      By the sounds of it, many recent automatic transmissions basically have the shifter wired up to a bunch of switches rather than anything mechanical. If the acceleration subsystem is having issues, it's entirely possible that the shifting system is as well.

      That said, it's the first thing you should try doing. Probably followed by killing the ignition.

      --
      How are sites slashdotted when nobody reads TFAs?
    19. Re:It's plastic ! by HarvardAce · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      Harvard students can't grasp simple concepts such as "puck goes in the net, not the opposing team pepband's trombone section".

      They were probably tired of scoring so many goals against Cornell, so they wanted to change things up a bit. On a more serious note, where were you sitting that you got struck in the face? If it was at Harvard, the pep band sits off to the side and it would have to be a very random event to have a puck go off into the stands with such force that you couldn't dodge it. Or was this at Cornell or was it before they put nets up behind the goals?

      --
      Note to self: Stop putting jokes in my insightful comments so I can get something other than +1 Funny!
    20. Re:It's plastic ! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      UV breakdown is a bitch!

    21. Re:It's plastic ! by drunkennewfiemidget · · Score: 1

      The cars with the recall still go into neutral just fine. anything you've heard elsewhere is bullshit conjecture.

      Can we get back to the topic at-hand, now please?

      The second I can afford solar power and get my house "off-the-grid", you can bet your ass I'll be there.

      Its current pricetag is simply too heavy for my wallet.

    22. Re:It's plastic ! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

      Eh, plastic is a pretty cool guy. He's quite durable and doesn't afraid of anything.

    23. Re:It's plastic ! by petermgreen · · Score: 1

      it is not like your roof has a warranty much longer than 2 decades anyways.
      warranty != expected lifetime.

      --
      note: i'm known as plugwash most places but i screwd up registering that here somehow in the past and now can't register
    24. Re:It's plastic ! by mhall119 · · Score: 1

      Killing the ignition isn't usually recommended because then you lose power steering and power breaking, which makes controlling your care very difficult at high speeds.

      --
      http://www.mhall119.com
    25. Re:It's plastic ! by damburger · · Score: 1

      "Plastic" is so vague that it is hardly a description. There are plenty of space rated transparent plastics that could be used if the one they currently used is unsuitable (and I consider it quite unlikely they haven't given that space applications are so clear that slashdot users can immediately recognise them).

      If this technology even half lives up to its hype, then its good news for satellites (especially smallers ones such as cubesats). Solar panels just got a whole lot easier to deploy and a fuckton more efficient.

      --
      If we can put a man on the moon, why can't we shoot people for Apollo-related non-sequiturs?
    26. Re:It's plastic ! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And don't forget about Macbook polycarbonate enclosures. Yes, that alone gives you enough karma.

    27. Re:It's plastic ! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Like at Lynah East, the pepbands are up to the sides - the nets are only behind the goals.

      Yeah, McLeod's aim was THAT far off - all the way to the top of section A in Lynah. It was during the pregame warmup period when the band is permitted to play during action on the ice. The puck sailed right through my music holder and into my face.

      Two inches lower and I'd be missing quite a few teeth due to the puck hitting the bell of my instrument and driving the mouthpiece into my face.

      As it is, Cayuga Medical did an awesome job gluing me back up - no scar and I was back for third period. Harvard, of course, lost the game.

    28. Re:It's plastic ! by Falconhell · · Score: 1

      "puck goes in the net, not the opposing team pepband's trombone section".

      Oh I dunno, sounds like a good place for it to me!

      (:

    29. Re:It's plastic ! by samurphy21 · · Score: 1

      but hey, they'll keep going for ever! I never said anything about stopping.

    30. Re:It's plastic ! by irish_spic · · Score: 1

      no, you dolt, it's not the plastic that's explosive; its what they dope it with.

      --
      A truth that's told with bad intent, Beats all the lies you can invent. -- William Blake
  14. So.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Cost efficient solar energy is only now 20 years away!! Hooray!

  15. It's a lie! by dvh.tosomja · · Score: 0

    Efficiency of solar panel is and always was 14 to 17%.
    Every 3 months or so there is a slashdot article claiming breakthrough in efficiency.
    Please stop spreading this meme.
    Thank you.

  16. Plastic? 10 years under the sun? by Taco+Cowboy · · Score: 0

    When was the last time you find any plastic that can last 10 years under the sun?

    --
    Muchas Gracias, Señor Edward Snowden !
    1. Re:Plastic? 10 years under the sun? by Khyber · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Saturn vehicles. Body panels are solid plastic, and I know Saturn has been around since the 90s.

      --
      Still waiting on Serviscope_minor to wake up to fucking reality and realize that Jessica Price isn't going to fuck him.
    2. Re:Plastic? 10 years under the sun? by MaskedSlacker · · Score: 3, Funny

      Yeah, but it has to function after ten years too.

    3. Re:Plastic? 10 years under the sun? by Entropius · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Seconded. I sold a '94 Saturn last year that had been parked in the Arizona sun for many years. (Got rid of it due to multiple electronics failures and an engine oil leak that'd not be worth it to fix). Survived the sunlight just fine.

      And the plastic body panels were GREAT. Lightweight and dent-proof.

    4. Re:Plastic? 10 years under the sun? by Snarf+You · · Score: 4, Funny

      '94 Saturn ... parked in the Arizona sun for many years ... multiple electronics failures ... engine oil leak

      Survived the sunlight just fine

      It sure sounds it.

      *ducks*

    5. Re:Plastic? 10 years under the sun? by TapeCutter · · Score: 3, Informative

      "When was the last time you find any plastic that can last 10 years under the sun?"

      My plastic garbage bins have spent at least a decade out in the Aussie sun. A lot of plastic that you find in throw away stuff these days has been deliberately engineered to be bio-degradeable due to pollution concerns in the 80's. The older non-biodegradable stuff has formed a large "islands" in the North Pacific and North Atlantic.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    6. Re:Plastic? 10 years under the sun? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      You mean like vinyl siding? We also clad window and skylight frames with it. And then there's acrylic and lexan, visible at any general aviation airport, sitting in the sun.

      The problem with plastic is perception. It can be designed to do a whole lot of things really well. Problem is, part of what that means is it can be used to make really cheap shit well, and people start to think plastic means cheap shit.

    7. Re:Plastic? 10 years under the sun? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      PMMA and PET make a good chance. The first optically better, harder surface, the second less brittle.

    8. Re:Plastic? 10 years under the sun? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not all plastic is built to biodegrade, you know

    9. Re:Plastic? 10 years under the sun? by Khyber · · Score: 1

      Plastic functions fine - the rest of the car, I can't testify to. >.>

      --
      Still waiting on Serviscope_minor to wake up to fucking reality and realize that Jessica Price isn't going to fuck him.
    10. Re:Plastic? 10 years under the sun? by jo_ham · · Score: 1

      Oh I don't know... try almost any modern window, car body panels, ductwork etc - anything made of polycarbonate, HDPE, UHMWPE...

      Not all plastics are untreated, basic PVC or supercheap plastic used in drinks bottles.

    11. Re:Plastic? 10 years under the sun? by Divide+By+Zero · · Score: 1

      My 95 Saturn ran fine until some jackass blew a red and totaled it. Old Saturn != New Saturn. Before they got rolled into GM, they were a different car.

      --
      Dare to Hope. Prepare to be Disappointed.
    12. Re:Plastic? 10 years under the sun? by MobyDisk · · Score: 1

      Aren't they painted though? I assume these will be clear.

    13. Re:Plastic? 10 years under the sun? by Khyber · · Score: 1

      To reflect light, they'll likely be some sort of metal-embedded plastic film.

      --
      Still waiting on Serviscope_minor to wake up to fucking reality and realize that Jessica Price isn't going to fuck him.
    14. Re:Plastic? 10 years under the sun? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But
      A) They are not clear, so you have no idea what would have happened if they needed to transmit photons, and
      B) your panels are likely UV protected, which would not be ideal for a solar panel since such high energy photos need to reach the silicon.
      Not really a valid comparison at all (not saying that plastic can't last long, though).

    15. Re:Plastic? 10 years under the sun? by wonkavader · · Score: 1

      Very much agreed. My brother still drives my old Saturn, and gets almost 40 mpg. It's a boring car, and without air conditioning it's like an oven under the sun, but it's efficient, and simple and runs.

    16. Re:Plastic? 10 years under the sun? by Waffle+Iron · · Score: 1

      your panels are likely UV protected, which would not be ideal for a solar panel since such high energy photos need to reach the silicon.

      If UV made a significant fraction of the solar energy spectrum, you'd suffer severe sunburns every time you step outside. As it happens, the peak power of the solar spectrum is in the visible light range, and most UV gets filtered by the atmosphere.

      Moreover, a solar cell usually can't use the extra energy of UV rays, since the energy of each electron generated matches the semiconductor band gap. Any photon energy greater than the band gap is usually wasted as heat.

    17. Re:Plastic? 10 years under the sun? by Andy+Dodd · · Score: 1

      Saturn was always a part of GM, however upon inception they were an "experiment" and effectively an independent unit.

      IMO a successful experiment, I was seriously considering buying a Saturn two years ago until I discovered that their independence was long gone and pretty much their entire vehicle lineup were rebadged Opels. Not especially "bad" but with none of the "good" stuff (like composite body panels) that set them apart in the past.

      I bought a Subaru instead, which has managed to retain quite a few "unique" traits even after 20% ownership by GM and now Toyota.

      --
      retrorocket.o not found, launch anyway?
    18. Re:Plastic? 10 years under the sun? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But the plastic is not exposed to the sun. It has a coating of paint that absorbs the damaging UV.

      I've built a plane that is partially fabric covered. It is just nylon fabric that won't last a year in the sun. It is covered with a paint containing aluminum dust to block UV. Special protections are taken to insure that there are no pinholes to let light through.

    19. Re:Plastic? 10 years under the sun? by geekoid · · Score: 1

      I have had 3 Saturn's, and I am still surprised the 'plastic' panels aren't standard in all cars. My current Saturn is an 01, and when I get washed the panels look new. Still runs great.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    20. Re:Plastic? 10 years under the sun? by falconwolf · · Score: 1

      When was the last time you find any plastic that can last 10 years under the sun?

      My Saturn is almost that old and I found out the body is plastic, at least the fenders are. When I was driving I slipped on ice and into another car. There wasn't a mark on that car but my fender cracked and broke off. "Broke off"? At least if it had been metal I could have pulled out the dent but now the whole fender has to be replaced.

      I've also got other plastic items even older that are still good.

      Falcon

    21. Re:Plastic? 10 years under the sun? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      '94 Saturn ... parked in the Arizona sun for many years ... multiple electronics failures ... engine oil leak
      Survived the sunlight just fine

      Lemme guess, Vampire Cars have been attacking your Cattle Car? You need to paint a SILVER CROSS on the roof

      note: your car will remain sick for a few days if it doesn't DIE then you know the cross kept the Vampire Cars away. If however the electronics keep failing.. e.g. like the gas cap, ashtray, antenna and radio go missing then you know your dealing with the cannibalistic car cult, in which case I suggest you booby trap your car.

    22. Re:Plastic? 10 years under the sun? by falconwolf · · Score: 1

      My current Saturn is an 01, and when I get washed the panels look new. Still runs great.

      My Saturn is a 2000 and while most of the panels are fine a few weeks ago I slipped on ice and slid into another car. We both pulled over and looked at the damage, there was none on the car I hit but the my car's fender cracked and broke off. I bet the body of the car I hit was metal and if mine had been it probably would have been fine too. If not, a dent in metal is easy to pull out but the fender should be replaced because it is plastic. Using twine I tied it up but I'm concerned about the twine breaking then the fender falling down under the tire while driving.

      Falcon

    23. Re:Plastic? 10 years under the sun? by Lorem_Ipsum · · Score: 1

      '94 Saturn ... parked in the Arizona sun for many years ... multiple electronics failures ... engine oil leak

      Survived the sunlight just fine

      It sure sounds it.

      *ducks*

      Not true. It survived the sunlight, but not the owner.

      --
      --- Void where prohibited. Your mileage may vary. ---
    24. Re:Plastic? 10 years under the sun? by hazydave · · Score: 1

      Pond liners are generally made of plastics that can easily 50 years in sun (albeit some of it attenuated by water, in varying degrees). It's a truth that most plastics break down over time in the sun, it's generally a sad thing that many take a good thousand years to do so, even when not engineered for long life in the sun.

      --
      -Dave Haynie
    25. Re:Plastic? 10 years under the sun? by ormondotvos · · Score: 1

      You have a clear plastic Saturn? Are you Wonder Woman?

  17. This is way over-hyped by rkodama · · Score: 4, Informative

    This is interesting work, but it is in a very immature stage of development. They seem to be no where near demonstrating a practical solar cell, and speculated conversion efficiency numbers like 86% are laughable. One of the fundamental limitations of a cell based on Si wires is that the higher a photon's energy is over the bandgap of Si, the more energy is lost as heat. I believe the theoretical maximum conversion efficiency for a Si solar cell is around 30%, and commercially viable cells are limited to around 20% because of practical issues in creating solid state cells such as making electrical contacts to the device, the high cost of making higher efficency (20+%) Si cells. This work doesn't begin to address such issues. I think it is unfortunate that over-hype like this can take luster off of progress in photovoltaics that seems less spectacular but is much closer to practical realization.

    1. Re:This is way over-hyped by thephydes · · Score: 1

      and over-hyping is unusual on slashdot? You must be new here.

    2. Re:This is way over-hyped by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      One of the fundamental limitations of a cell based on Si wires is that the higher a photon's energy is over the bandgap of Si, the more energy is lost as heat.

      I take it that's based on the properties of pure or amorphous Silicon, i.e. having only the surface properties of the Silicon itself. But what if the photon bounces around a bit within a matrix of plasticky bits and shiny baubles before hitting Silicon at the right (lower) energy, as seems to be the case here.. might that not work? Of course it also means losses due to photons at the correct energy being absorbed by the surrounding matrix instead so it's probably difficult to calculate the net effect or to optimize it.

    3. Re:This is way over-hyped by rahvin112 · · Score: 1

      Current maximum demonstrated efficiency is 42.8% percent, this is actual laboratory verified efficiency numbers. Seeing as how you say maximum theoretical is 10% less than demonstrated currently I guess we can just call the rest of your post utter garbage. If you can't do the most basic of fact checking and rely on pulling numbers out of your butt don't bother posting.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solar_cell

    4. Re:This is way over-hyped by Areyoukiddingme · · Score: 1

      The 42.8% efficiency is for gallium arsenide multi-junction cells, not classical doped silicon. The gp quotes silicon.

  18. Is that the right question? by jonaskoelker · · Score: 1

    Will they float?

    Maybe, but what I really want to know: will it blend?

  19. red light by timmarhy · · Score: 3, Interesting
    firstly, kdawson your a tard, they aren't 86% efficent at converting light into electricity, merely at absorbing light. the 2nd warning bell for me is this - "The next steps, Atwater says, are to increase the operating voltage " - this sounds to me like they can't produce any meaningful voltages out of these, which is the exact same fail as every other flexible solar panel ever touted. infact they carely avoid talking about it's electrical output at all in TFA.

    i'd love cheap energy from the sun, but this won't be it.

    --
    If you mod me down, I will become more powerful than you can imagine....
  20. I want to believe it, but.. by nightfire-unique · · Score: 1

    If this is true and accurate, this may be one of the biggest energy science advances since nuclear fission. A >75% efficient solar cell that can be manufactured for, say, $100/kW?

    I want to believe this is true, and commercialization is just around the corner... because if it is, this could solve our coal-power CO2 emissions overnight.

    A 3x4 meter panel of this stuff would run an average North-American home year-round (heating, A/C, hot water), and it sounds like it could cost $1-2k. Even with $5k worth of support hardware (batteries, inverter/charge controller, transfers) this system would pay for itself in under 5 years.

    --
    A government is a body of people notably ungoverned - AC
  21. Predicted photovoltaic efficiency only 14.5% by Animats · · Score: 4, Informative

    Here's the actual scientific paper, "Predicted Efficiency of Si Wire Array Solar Cells". That's by the same authors mentioned in the press release. While the thing does trap most of the light hitting it, only a fraction of the energy in that light is converted to electricity. In fact, this thing is currently less efficient than the better commercial solar cells.

    From the paper: ... simulated photovoltaic efficency of 14.5%. ... Conclusion: ... "Si wire array solar cells have the potential to reach efficiencies competitive with traditional Si crystalline solar cells."

    So, an interesting development, but no big breakthrough. There's a claim that it might be a cheaper way to make solar cells, but everybody who comes up with a new design makes that claim. (Nanosolar comes to mind; their technology is supposed to be cheaper, but so far they've spent half a billion dollars and apparently have only produced sample panels.)

    1. Re:Predicted photovoltaic efficiency only 14.5% by Marcika · · Score: 1

      So, an interesting development, but no big breakthrough. There's a claim that it might be a cheaper way to make solar cells, but everybody who comes up with a new design makes that claim. (Nanosolar comes to mind; their technology is supposed to be cheaper, but so far they've spent half a billion dollars and apparently have only produced sample panels.)

      From Nanosolar's website, it sounds like they've been shipping panels commercially for the last two years, and that they have panel assemblies in both the US and Germany...

    2. Re:Predicted photovoltaic efficiency only 14.5% by TeethWhitener · · Score: 4, Informative
      Minor point, but that's the wrong paper. Here's the paper you want (may require subscription to Nature Methods). You're still correct, by the way. The researchers don't directly state conversion efficiency in their paper. They mention that above-bandgap photon absorption is roughly 85%, which is on par with current commercial PV's. They also mention that the quantum efficiency is 0.89 for the array. Unfortunately, conversion of photoelectrons to actual usable electricity is the main efficiency bottleneck in solar energy. Electron-hole pair recombination and parasitic absorption by impurities, among other things, chew away the efficiency of a solar cell in a hurry.

      The take-home message from the paper, as far as I can tell, is that the researchers showed that one can achieve performance comparable to commercial solar cells by using 1% of the expensive ultrapure silicon used in current PV's.

    3. Re:Predicted photovoltaic efficiency only 14.5% by mdsolar · · Score: 1

      Agreed. Going to higher efficiency requires using multiple materials with different band gaps so far. However, this approach might might be generalized by including wires of other materials in the sparse matrix. Imagine including material with a lower energy band gap. If it is constructed to be reflective above the silicon band gap, then it is like so much more alumina in the fill material for those photons. Conversely, the silicon is transparent for photons below its band gap. So, when finally absorbed, the photons are segregated to their appropriate material. Usually, multi-junction uses the transparency of the high band gap material to pass lower energy photons through to a lower layer. You'd need to work out coatings to make the lower band gap material reflective in this case which is more complex but the reduction in material use might make it worth it.

    4. Re:Predicted photovoltaic efficiency only 14.5% by mdsolar · · Score: 1

      I would add now that in bulk materials there is some efficiency gain from running at higher illumination. In the present approach there is effectively higher illumination because the scattering material acts as a concentrator. Some benefit may carry over.

    5. Re:Predicted photovoltaic efficiency only 14.5% by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Finally the truth is teased from the noise. All a reporter need do now is fact check this, and post it to a real news site - except that now it's not news. Sigh...

    6. Re:Predicted photovoltaic efficiency only 14.5% by Animats · · Score: 2, Insightful

      From Nanosolar's website, it sounds like they've been shipping panels commercially for the last two years, and that they have panel assemblies in both the US and Germany...

      Yes, from Nanosolar's web site, it sounds that way. But as of 2009, "not one Solarply cell has been held yet in the hands of a consumer". There are no reports of actual Nanosolar installations. Supposedly they're building big solar panel installations for utility companies. So where are the announcements from those utility companies? Where are the regulatory filings, the planning documents, and the Google Earth pictures? Installing a big solar farm leaves a public record.

    7. Re:Predicted photovoltaic efficiency only 14.5% by Marcika · · Score: 1
      Why so seriously skeptic?

      - The company is not public, so it's pointless to ask for filings -- their investors are pros and presumably know what they are doing. If/when they do an IPO, there will be filings too.

      - The tech in CIGS is proven (not just by Nanosolar but by other big players who have to be more public such as First Solar), so allegiations of vaporware ring hollow.

      - There are photos and journalist reports of the new German panel factory itself, and those 640MWpeak/year will be going somewhere...

  22. Don't confuse internal quantum yield with external by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The press release specifically says the 90% or so conversion is the internal quantum yield. That means for each for each photon absorbed, 90% of the energy is converted to work. However, this is still a single bandgap material (silicon) and the maximum theoretical external quantum yield for a single bandgap system is 33%. For the 1.12 eV bandgap of silicon, it is 28%. The advantage that Nate and Harry have here is the use of flexible Si based materials, that can use lower quality Si due to the short charge carrier diffusion lengths of the cylindrical system. This represents an inprovement where the cells can be deployed, ie where felxibility is important, and the chance to reduce the cost of the system through less expensive processes for Si manufacture. Now Nate's group is currently working on water splitting with these, using the high aspect ratios to use lower efficiency (and cost) catalysts, and Harry is making radial n-p++ junctions out of these. Neither system is going to rival the external quantum yields of the flat panel Si systems, much less the current photovoltaic champions, the metamorphic triple junctions from Spectrolab, which currently sits at 42.7%, but there is room for cost improvement with this system.

  23. nice try blanco nino by l3iggs · · Score: 5, Insightful

    PhD candidate doing my research in new materials for photovoltaics here.

    I'm sick and tired of all this mis-reporting. These are NOT 86% efficient cells. If they were, (and they were inexpensive) it would be the greatest discovery in 50 years and it would have been all over every newspaper in the world 2 weeks ago when this paper was published.

    They simply absorb 86% of light that hits them. When you say a cell is X% efficient without qualifying it, it's taken to mean power conversion efficiency [PCE] (optical power in/ electrical power out) That and dollars per watt are the numbers that really matter. Read the Nature Materials paper that drove this and you'll see that theory says this design could be up to 17% efficient. That compares unfavorably to mid to high-end commercial cells on the market today.

    I'm not saying that this research is a worthless endeavor, maybe they can hit the maximum theoretically possible PCE and keep the cost down. That might have real-world impact.

    The caltech news brief quotes Atwater (the PI for this research) as saying that the photons are not only absorbed, but they're also convertedto charge carriers (which is a good step). The problem he doesn't mention here is, these charge carriers loose all their energy (voltage) before they exit the cell. Solve that problem and we've got a winner.

    The fundamental issue with nano-structured designs like this is the surface area of the P-N junctions in them. Large surface area means high dark current which means low voltage output. Low voltage output means low PCE. Unfortunately, nothing in this research solves that problem.

    1. Re:nice try blanco nino by malakai · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      Hey Mods, MOD points go THERE ( points up )

    2. Re:nice try blanco nino by DavMz · · Score: 2, Insightful

      All the energy which is not converted into electricity is lost as heat, and this heat should be dissipated somehow, since the efficiency decreases with temperature,right? Can't this "lost" energy be used to heat water up? I think a combination of solar panel and solar water heater would be nice.

    3. Re:nice try blanco nino by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The problem he doesn't mention here is, these charge carriers loose all their energy (voltage) before they exit the cell

      I do not see a problem with that, if the charge carriers release their energy (voltage) it is then just a matter of harvesting it... oh! you meant lose.

      Better stop posting to slashdot and start improving your grammar and spelling for your thesis... you won't get far away if you do not do so.

    4. Re:nice try blanco nino by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Didn't somebody invent junctionless transistors last week?

  24. I can't express how much I want this to work. by jcr · · Score: 1

    86% collection efficiency? Holy cow, that's amazing. Now, if we can just electrolyze water cheaply enough for fuel cells to solve the time-of-use problem, we could free up megatons of metals that currently make up the power grid for other uses.

    -jcr

    --
    The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
  25. conversion effiency by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

    reading these slashdot comments reveals a whole lot of confusion about solar cell efficiency.

    photons with energy less than the bandgap of the conversion material will not be converted to electrons. photons with energy greater than the bandgap will only convert at the bandgap energy. the high effieincy multijunction cells attempt to address this. multi-exciton generation can happen if the photon is several times the bandgap energy, and there is some hope that quantom dot cells will be able to achieve high efficiency this way though the most effienct qd cells currently get like 5% effiency.

    electron-hole recombination happening within the material instead of through the cathode and anode will cause a photon to be released. the higher absorption of the cells in TFA will help keep this photon trapped in the cell, but if it loses energy, it will be less than the bandgap and not be converted again. multijunctions can address this effect somewhat by absorbing the new lower energy photon. high temparature operation also helps increase the likelihood of the electron-hole pair making it to the cathode-anode. the highest effiency cells so far have been achieved by concentrating the lightbeams and then splitting the beams into different colors to be absorbed by different sections.

    if you put panels on your roof and you live in a place with cloud cover then it won't be worth using a heliostat system to track the sun so you will suffer loss of the cosine of the angle between your panel and the sun. without tracking the sun you aren't going to be using rainbox concentrators either so you are necessarily using lower efficiency cells too.

  26. 15-20% efficiency using only 1% of the materials by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Guess someone should try to see what it's like when it uses 6% of the materials then :)

    http://www.technologyreview.com/energy/24665/?a=f

  27. NOT 86% efficient. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    It's EQE is 77-85% (above the band-gap).
    It's IQE is 90-100% (above the band-gap).
    But it's energy conversion is similar to other commercial panels; about 20%.

    High absorption and high QE is not enough to get high conversion rates.
    You still have the band-gap (the minimum frequency which a photon needs to be able to free an electron from silicon) which excludes up to 30% of all photons, and almost all photons above the band-gap which do free an electron have more energy than is necessary to do so, so the excess is wasted as heat.

    Unfortunately the only things to get excited about here are the low cost and flexibility.

  28. because the target consumers are individuals by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    who are not in the business of selling power

  29. Whats the catch? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This is way too good to be true so I'm posting my personal list of typical solar pitfalls previous "solar weasals" have neglected to mention or highlight about their breakthrough technologies. The solar cells are fragile and will only last a short time. They don't cover full spectrum very well for example they may absorb 100% visible but 0% infrared and therefore their effeciency WRT capturing all available energy from the sun while still impressive is cut in half. Use rare exotic materials or are similiarly not suitable for mass production at scale. (IE worthless) The numbers reported only work for concentrated light..IE light that is many hundreds of times brighter than normal sunlight and require solar concentration which implies sun trackers and poor peak conversion effeciencies throughout the cycle of a typical day. Solar cells are not capable of operation at volatges required to produce useful energy or suffer damage..etc when linked in parallel/series groupings needed to produce useful energy. They make subtle factually accurate but weasely misleading claims about effeciency and usefulness most people will fall for. I *HOPE* none of the above apply to the Caltech work. At the very least not day dreaming about changing the world is a positive sign but not speaking directly about conversion effeciencies has certainly raised all kinds of flags in my mind. Its not just what they say...its what they don't say thats often important. I'm still waiting for my surface plasmon powered 500 tetrahertz cell phone CPU that runs for a month at 100% utiliziation between charges.

  30. Buy-out and filing away in 3... 2... 1... by SharpFang · · Score: 0, Troll

    I guess big oil, energy and coal companies are already in talks about take-over on the new startup.
    Just to prevent it from ever entering the market.

    --
    45 5F E1 04 22 CA 29 C4 93 3F 95 05 2B 79 2A B2
    1. Re:Buy-out and filing away in 3... 2... 1... by Slashcrap · · Score: 0, Troll

      I guess big oil, energy and coal companies are already in talks about take-over on the new startup.
      Just to prevent it from ever entering the market.

      Nope, turns out it's just not that good and the Slashdot summary was totally inaccurate. Do you now feel stupid for suggesting that a huge nebulous conspiracy would suppress this? Of course you don't - you're a fucking retard.

      There's not really much else to say about it, although I do feel quite strongly that you should suck my cock at gunpoint at some point in the future, if that kind of scenario could somehow be arranged. Obviously this is more of an aspiration than a concrete plan. I just wanted you to know about it.

    2. Re:Buy-out and filing away in 3... 2... 1... by geekoid · · Score: 1

      Yes, because the last thing they want to do is make money.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    3. Re:Buy-out and filing away in 3... 2... 1... by SharpFang · · Score: 1

      If one $500 panel could deprive them of $10k in electricity bills over 10 years...? The return on investment in solar panels currently is over 3 years, and quite beyond affordable for Joe Average. With this technology it could drop below 6 months, making the tech affordable and saturating the market within some 10 years (because once your roof provides you with all the electricity you need, you don't buy more panels "because you can afford to".) With surplus energy electric cars would become common too.

      Essentially, cheap solar energy plus reasonable energy storage would mean death to the energetic sector.

      --
      45 5F E1 04 22 CA 29 C4 93 3F 95 05 2B 79 2A B2
  31. RAH by symbolset · · Score: 1

    The roads must roll.

    --
    Help stamp out iliturcy.
  32. Yoffi. Now what? by Hemi+Rodner · · Score: 1

    I keep reading hear on wonderful advancements in the field of solar cells. Like the chick who made solar cells with a pizza oven (is she single, btw?).
    But still nothing happens and I can't see people who really deploy solar cells on their roofs - mostly because it takes them 20 years to return the investment (and I think that they die shortly after that)

    When is this going to be a reality?
    Why is this taking so long?

    --
    hemi
    1. Re:Yoffi. Now what? by martinX · · Score: 1

      It takes you 20 years to get your investment back and then you die? Helluva bad deal there. Like a really bad Logan's Run sort of thing...

      --
      When they came for the communists, I said "He's next door. Take him away. Goddam commies."
  33. How black? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    How black would these be? They need to get the absorption up to 99.9% so I can have my car painted that color.

  34. Solar Fur... by tjstork · · Score: 0

    Guess it wouldn't be right to call these things "panels", when they are furry. Dang that's a clever idea.

    --
    This is my sig.
  35. Hybrid Panels by EmagGeek · · Score: 1

    Why keep banging out heads into the PV wall when you can have cheap hybrid panels that convert 75% of incident energy?

    http://www.greenoptimistic.com/2009/04/21/zenithsolar-solar-panels/

    Settle for your 20% PV electricity and focus on capturing waste heat.

  36. Is getting hot a problem? by maroberts · · Score: 1

    Is this a problem? Someone posted a funny reply about getting hot water being a feature not a bug, but if it combines producing electricity with hot water, then it is indeed extremely useful a domestic power AND heating unit.

    Since the unit is plastic, then presumably having water also pumping through it would be simple.

    --

    Donte Alistair Anderson Roberts - hi son!
    Karma: Chameleon

  37. the "amazing solar panel" story is tired by circletimessquare · · Score: 1

    at this rate, i expect a story on slashdot next month (after 5 such stories of this subject matter in the interim) about solar panels that function at 375% efficiency, make you coffee in the morning, and solve the israeli-palestinian conflict on its days off

    --
    intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
    1. Re:the "amazing solar panel" story is tired by geekoid · · Score: 1

      If the invented solar cells that actually converted 80% plus of the energy into electricity, in 10 year the israeli-palestinian conflict would be back to just throwing rocks.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
  38. Junior moment... by gaelfx · · Score: 1

    Ok, I really have to admit that I totally don't understand what the significance of solar panel efficiency actually means, so I wonder if someone can enlighten me as to what exactly it means when a solar panel is X% efficient? Any kind of "for preschoolers" explanation would be greatly appreciated, such as what "100% solar power conversion efficiency" actually would mean and how that imaginative 100% number is actually reached would also be good. Anyone up to explaining that?

    1. Re:Junior moment... by JSBiff · · Score: 1

      Basically, it means, that when the sun is shining on the solar cell, we can say that a certain amount of power, in watts, is hitting the solar cell. Say there is an available 100 Watts of total solar (light) power hitting the cell. If a solar cell is 10 percent efficient, then that means that cell would output 10 Watts of electrical power. If it's 50 percent efficient, it's outputting 50 Watts of power. So, if a solar cell were 100 percent efficient, and 100 watts of power were hitting it, it would generate 100 watts of electrical power.

      Now, you can always increase the amountn of power your cells are 'exposed' to by increaasing the area/size of the solar cell, or by using multiple solar cells connected together, but both approaches increases costs. So, the reason people want more efficient solar cells is that, all else being equal, higher-efficiency == cheaper solar cells (well, cheaper per kiloWatt-hour; of course, all it not always equal - it doesn't do much good to get 2x efficiency at 2x costs).

      So, the 'holy grail' of solar power is a technology that is both relatively cheap per square-meter, and a bit more efficient than current, comparitively priced, offerings.

    2. Re:Junior moment... by Black+Gold+Alchemist · · Score: 1

      A mirror is the holy grail. One cheap solar panel + one mirror + tracking equipment = one expensive solar panel.

      --
      Responsibility is an addiction
      Virtue is a temptation
      Community is a cartel
  39. Godwin's Law! by A+nonymous+Coward · · Score: 1

    But usually Godwin's Law is invoked with a comparison to the Nazi's as evil. Here it's a reference to not-Nazi's as not-evil.

    My brain hurts.

    1. Re:Godwin's Law! by Threni · · Score: 5, Funny

      Talking of Nazis, did you know that every other use of an apostrophe in your first sentence was incorrect?

    2. Re:Godwin's Law! by mhall119 · · Score: 1

      If I had mod points, you would have them all

      --
      http://www.mhall119.com
    3. Re:Godwin's Law! by A+nonymous+Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

      Right you are. Ugh I feel dirty. I thought only morons did that! Maybe it is still true ... maybe I am a half-wit!

    4. Re:Godwin's Law! by Epi-man · · Score: 1

      But usually Godwin's Law is invoked with a comparison to the Nazi's as evil. Here it's a reference to not-Nazi's as not-evil.

      Talking of Nazis, did you know that every other use of an apostrophe in your first sentence was incorrect?

      Huh? Let's see, their other use of an apostrophe:
      Godwin's: Possessive, correct

      Where is the "other use of an apostrophe in your first sentence" that was incorrect?

    5. Re:Godwin's Law! by Jtheletter · · Score: 1

      Where is the "other use of an apostrophe in your first sentence" that was incorrect?

      He said "every other" meaning alternating. The first use you correctly highlighted as possessive and correct. The second use is "Nazi's" the 3rd use is "it's" and the 4th use is again "Nazi's".
      The 2nd and 4th uses (i.e. every other) of an apostrophe to pluralize Nazi are incorrect.

      It's a simple rule, so simple that it's not actually a grammar rule, but here you go: It is NEVER correct to use an apostrophe to pluralize a word.

      --
      -- I'm not a pessimist, I'm a realist. It's not my fault that life sucks so much. --
    6. Re:Godwin's Law! by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      KSK's corollary to Godwin's law: "As an online discussion about Nazis grows longer, the probability of someone pointing out bad grammar approaches 1".

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    7. Re:Godwin's Law! by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      It's a simple rule, so simple that it's not actually a grammar rule, but here you go: It is NEVER correct to use an apostrophe to pluralize a word.

      You are correct. Actual grammar rules sound like this: "A head-final language uses postpositions instead of prepositions." None of this "You are to never split infinitives" or "Don't use no double negatives" crap.

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    8. Re:Godwin's Law! by derGoldstein · · Score: 1

      I may be wrong about this one, but I'm also under the impression that you're not supposed to place a hyphen after "not", but rather after "non". If he wrote "non-Nazi" it would be permisable.

      --
      Entomologically speaking, the spider is not a bug, it's a feature.
    9. Re:Godwin's Law! by derGoldstein · · Score: 2, Funny

      Let's get this over with:
      As any discussion grows longer, the probability of anything being mentioned or pointed out approaches 1. The exception being Soviet Russia, where 1 approaches you.

      --
      Entomologically speaking, the spider is not a bug, it's a feature.
    10. Re:Godwin's Law! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not only are you a half-wit, I'd like to bash your head in and make you a no-wit.

  40. I told you so by kill-1 · · Score: 1

    I commented on the submission yesterday and explained that the summary is wrong. But it seems noone bothered to read it.

  41. Cold fusion, Amazing solar energy, gasoline by mnmlst · · Score: 4, Insightful

    "as soon as they can get these to market, solar could be very viable and cheap to produce." And if a frog had wings his ass wouldn't bump the ground when he hops.

    I appreciate Slashdot acting like an old Popular Mechanics here, but I wouldn't get too excited just yet. As somebody pointed out in another forum, when you compare ethanol with gasoline in terms of efficiency, if all we had was ethanol primarily from "corn" (U.S. term, UK term is "maize") and then someone invented gasoline, we would be raving about the improvement in efficiency and economy. IOW, I will believe cheap, efficient solar power when I see it on the neighbor's roof. Until then, this is one more expensive quest for a pot of gold at the end of a rainbow. In the meantime, we could be practicing more energy efficiency.

    FWIW, I knew W was full of crap with that whole "hydrogen economy" nonsense back around 2005. That was an absurd sop to deflect a little criticism that he was as much a tool of Big Oil as his Old Man. Make note that I served in Iraq during Operation Desert Storm and when it was over, George H.W. Bush was sitting on a 91 percent approval rating based on a war we had to fight to maintain a steady supply of petroleum for the Western Powers and Japan. From the desert, I wrote my Senators and lobbied them to get a bill going to get us to start weaning off Mideast Oil. That S.O.B. Bush didn't raise a finger, nor did our Congress and eventually Western wealth transfer begat Osama Bin Laden, 9/11, Iraq War II, and Afghanistan. Wouldn't you think a 91 percent approval rating might have been enough political capital to change things a little? It may even have made Bush the Elder seem like the President of the U.S.A. instead of President of the New World Order since he rightfully earned a reputation for being allergic to domestic policy. His detachment had a lot to do with getting booted in '92. A review of the stock market back in '90 - '91 reveals that Big Oil shot up and helped a lot of folks in that business recover from the very hard times they went through in the late '80's. Though I was a conservative and a combat veteran, I campaigned for Bill Clinton in '92 as I was so disgusted with Bush the Elder. Still am. God save us from another Bush.

    Most of us know in our heart of hearts that our troops are in Iraq and Afghanistan because of the continued grip the Mideast has on Western economies. In World War II, the U.S. national speed limit was 35 mph and gasoline was rationed with coupons. This was done to make sure the military had plenty of fuel. If some shared sacrifice was called for now, I think most Americans would grumble, but go along with it for the sake of untangling from the Iraq and Afghan Wars. How about bringing back the 55 mph speed limit of the '70's and '80's? What about a tax based on the weight of a vehicle? If we cut back on petroleum use, we help our independence and the environment at the same time. Now that's what I call "conserve-atism".

    If you want to see what needs to be done about our dependence on petroleum, just look for the occasional Charles Krauthammer piece on it. He makes the same recommendations about every 5 years, the centerpiece of which is a flexible tax on gasoline that seeks to wean us off cheap oil while keeping the price of gasoline fairly steady.

    --
    In principio erat Verbum.
    1. Re:Cold fusion, Amazing solar energy, gasoline by theskipper · · Score: 1

      And a PR campaign explaining how much gas is wasted by lead-footing. Accelerating a 2.5 ton mass to 60 mph in 12 seconds instead of 6 would make some difference.

      Especially if the message is coupled with cost savings. Given the current economic mindset, it would probably work pretty well with soccer moms and their Landcruisers.

    2. Re:Cold fusion, Amazing solar energy, gasoline by Black+Gold+Alchemist · · Score: 1

      we could be practicing more energy efficiency.

      It might reduce our oil use. Efficiency would reduce the amount of energy used per unit of economic activity. This would reduce the price of economic activity, so more economic activity would occur. The result would be that more would happen for the same amount of energy, which would be good.

      FWIW, I knew W was full of crap with that whole "hydrogen economy" nonsense back around 2005.

      Not all was lost. In the effort, we (rather inefficiently) learned several things:
      1. Hydrogen is a really, really bad fuel for cars.
      2. Hydrogen can be produced very efficiently from water and sunlight with out solar panels.
      3. Every approach that showed promise for hydrogen actually showed that something else was better (Borohydride).
      4. There are many approaches that lead to the benefits of hydrogen (instant refuel, high energy density by weight, etc) without all the hassle.
      5. Zinc, boron, and aluminium are all really good fuels for cars.

      The problem with the program was that it focused on hydrogen. If it had included aluminium, we would be driving aluminium fuel cell cars right now. The good news is that we learned how to make cheap hydrogen from water. We know that hydrogen + CO2 = gasoline, so we are on the way to a real program for get rid of oil.

      I campaigned for Bill Clinton in '92 as I was so disgusted with Bush the Elder. Still am. God save us from another Bush.

      Amen. The problem is that Obama is a left-wing George Bush. Both were Wall Street candidates, backed by the banksters to help them steal more money from the common person. Did you find it odd that both Obama and Bush got a free pass from the media? That is because the media supports the Wall Street candidate (they are owned by Wall Street).

      In World War II, the U.S. national speed limit was 35 mph...price of gasoline fairly steady.

      Just as long as alternative fuels are exempt from it (including synthetic gasoline).

      --
      Responsibility is an addiction
      Virtue is a temptation
      Community is a cartel
    3. Re:Cold fusion, Amazing solar energy, gasoline by geekoid · · Score: 1

      "Until then, this is one more expensive quest for a pot of gold at the end of a rainbow. In the meantime, we could be practicing more energy efficiency."

      Like we can'tr do both?

      A little short sight there, aren't you?

      Since most of our oil does NOT come from the mid east, and in fact it supplies China with more oil I find it hard to swallow the 'we are there for the oil' conspiracy.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    4. Re:Cold fusion, Amazing solar energy, gasoline by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In World War II, the U.S. national speed limit was 35 mph and gasoline was rationed with coupons. This was done to make sure the military had plenty of fuel.

      Actually, gasoline was rationed during WW2 to conserve RUBBER.

    5. Re:Cold fusion, Amazing solar energy, gasoline by mnmlst · · Score: 1

      I agreed with much of this post but "Bush got a free pass from the media"??? Really? The media gave me the distinct impressions that: 1) We all needed to know Bush was busted for drunk driving about 20 years before the 2000 election and I had to hear this the Saturday before Election Tuesday. 2) Gore had won the state of Florida even though the polls were open in the Panhandle counties for another hour costing W about 10,000 net votes in that strongly conservative part of the state. 3) Fahrenheit 9/11 was a documentary when it was actually full of outright lies and distortions. (I watched that drivel and recognized plenty of the lies.) 4) Dick Cheney was evil incarnate (entirely possible) but they didn't bother to mention that HE MOPPED THE FLOOR with John Edwards in the lone VP debate of 2004 5) Iraq War II was the Vietnam War all over again - on Day 2 of the initial invasion. (That reality came much later as it turns out. The media was just very premature.) 6) Ken Lay, the CEO of Enron was best buddies with W. What ever happened to that one? 7) Newsweek still didn't think Bush was the legitimate president the weekend preceding the 9/11 attack according to their cover story. (Look it up.) 8) Any rational person took Cindy Sheehan seriously. 9) The anti-war movement in America was really against war. The mainstream media in no way, shape, or form gave W a "free pass". W wasn't just the Big Oil president or the Wall Street president, he would seep with anything for enough campaign contributions, making him the perfect politician for our times.

      It now turns out that the "anti-war" movement was really just against Bush. Notice the absence of mass protests as Obama continues Bush's policies, this time with a "surge" in Afghanistan, but the so-called anti-war movement now consists of occasional blog posts as opposed to marches through NYC. When Bush wanted a surge in Iraq, he had to battle with Congress, the media, and "anti-war" protests for months, giving Al Qaeda and Company plenty of time to prepare. Don't tell me with a straight face that the media gave George W. Bush a "free pass" as that is absurd. In contrast, the mainstream media did almost everything conceivably within its power to deliver the White House to Obama in '08 and the Republicans had it coming after the débâcle that was Bush II. How many Time Magazine covers has Obama had since he first announced his candidacy for president in 2005? Hardly anyone batted an eye as Obama sent his surge into Afghanistan. Maybe he could go ahead and annex Haiti while he is at it since the Haitians would be better off and the media and "anti-war" movement wouldn't cause him any trouble.

      I'm sick to death of our hypocritical politicians, Democrat and Republican alike. Like the lawyers they truly are, they can take either side of any argument and push it without a twinge of conscience or consistency. See the amazing flip-flops of both sides depending on whether they were in the majority or minority. Specifically: attitude towards government spending (Pelosi was all about fiscal prudence a few years ago/the GOP were spendthrifts at that time - now it has reversed), attitude about overriding Senate filibusters, attitude about a larger government role in healthcare (Medicare prescription drug benefits were passed in the W years), and so on. It's sickening and their cynicism has made cynics of us all. They will reap a terrible harvest from the ill seeds they have sown. Look for the biggest "throw the bums out" election results in American history this November. This is a golden opportunity to pass term limits for Congress as their favorable poll number is now a mere 11 percent.

      --
      In principio erat Verbum.
    6. Re:Cold fusion, Amazing solar energy, gasoline by mnmlst · · Score: 1

      I grasp that rubber was in short supply as it had to be imported, like silk, which was also in short supply. I would think that less burning of fuel would mean more of it would be available for military use. Don't forget the millions of troops that never left CONUS but were burning plenty of AVGAS and vehicle fuels with all the training that went on during the war. Chicory in coffee fell out of favor because during the war it had to be brought up from South America and they wanted to use that space on the ships for other supplies that were more strategic. When peacetime returned, American consumers were accustomed to coffee without chicory and it now hangs on only in Louisiana.

      --
      In principio erat Verbum.
    7. Re:Cold fusion, Amazing solar energy, gasoline by Black+Gold+Alchemist · · Score: 1

      I agreed with much of this post but "Bush got a free pass from the media"???

      I kind of made a mistake in my previous post when I said "media". I should have said "TV" (although, that is the primary information source for many swing voters). There was some Bush bashing in the media. But look at all the swiftboating, etc. against Kerry. It's really tough to perform an unbiased study of the bias. The real reason is said Obama got a free pass on TV was because I was a Clinton supporter in the last election, and the constant calls of racism, attack after attack, etc. I just could not even stand to go near the TV when it was on. (I went into the other room and read a scientific paper). Compared to what Hillary Clinton got hit with, Bush and Obama got a free pass.

      It now turns out that the "anti-war" movement was really just against Bush.

      The anti-war movement showed me a real split in the democratic party. There are two wings of the democratic party: the urban hippie/yuppie types (Obama voters), and the lower class folks (if your local plumber is a democrat - he's likely one of these folks). I was supposed to be in the Obama voters, but saw through the facade and went for Clinton - I was not old enough to vote, but I campaigned. The problem is that Wall Street needs a candidate who will say - support the bailout (from each according to his ability, to each according to his lack thereof). This election, they knew that people were so fed up with the Bush situation that the republicans were screwed. So they bought a democrat - Obama. The yuppies still haven't figured out that Obama = Bush, so they aren't running the anti-war protests anymore.

      I'm sick to death of our hypocritical politicians, Democrat and Republican alike...Look for the biggest "throw the bums out" election results in American history this November...

      Could not agree more. The only problem I have is who the bums will be replaced with after they are thrown out. I agree about government spending hypocrisy. There are two respectable positions: lower taxes + lower services or higher taxes + higher services. You can agree or disagree with either one, but at least they don't violate the laws of physics. Many people want something for nothing and vote accordingly, so were stuck with a deficit. Bill Clinton actually reduced the deficit - thanks for campaigning for him.

      --
      Responsibility is an addiction
      Virtue is a temptation
      Community is a cartel
    8. Re:Cold fusion, Amazing solar energy, gasoline by falconwolf · · Score: 1

      Since most of our oil does NOT come from the mid east, and in fact it supplies China with more oil I find it hard to swallow the 'we are there for the oil' conspiracy.

      I agree the US doesn't get much oil from the Mideast, the US's biggest supplier of oil is Canada and second is Mexico. However petroleum has a world wide market and if a supplier can get more money from somewhere else, oil will go there.

      Actually that's why nothing was done about the genocide in Darfur, Sudan. Sudan exports a lot of oil to China and China didn't want to risk losing the oil. I don't know if you consider "BusinessWeek" to spread conspiracy theories but here's the article Oil for China, Guns for Darfur. That's the same problem with Iran, Iran supplies China with a lot of gas and China doesn't want to risk losing it. Directly from China, China, Iran sign biggest oil & gas deal. As long as a country supplies what it's supporters want it can get away with murder.

      Falcon

    9. Re:Cold fusion, Amazing solar energy, gasoline by falconwolf · · Score: 1

      It now turns out that the "anti-war" movement was really just against Bush. Notice the absence of mass protests as Obama continues Bush's policies, this time with a "surge" in Afghanistan

      That may be true of some antiwar activists but not all. Iraq was no threat to the US, I'm still waiting to see the WMDs that would create mushroom clouds over US cities.

      Now what most Americans probably don't know is that the US created the conditions for what happened in both Afghanistan and Iraq. When the Soviet Union invaded Afghanistan the US aided and supplied the Mujahideen there. As they say Afghan was the Soviet's Vietnam. But after the Soviets withdrew so did the US. Some of the Mujahideen then became the Taliban while others the Northern Alliance. With Iraq, both Reagan and Bush Sr armed and supported Saddam. In 1988-89 congress debated imposing sanctions on military aid to Saddam after it was confirmed he used WMDs on Kurds, Marsh Arabs, and others in Iraq but both Reagan and Bush SR argued it was against America's interest to cut off aid. Before Saddam ordered the invasion of Kuwait he could do no wrong, but when he did order the invasion Bush turned on him. And why did Saddam order the invasion? Because Kuwait was slant drilling into an Iraqi oil field.

      Don't tell me with a straight face that the media gave George W. Bush a "free pass" as that is absurd.

      What is absurd is to say the media didn't give George W Bush a free pass. I didn't hear one reporter question the existence of those WMDs Bush stood on television claiming Saddam had. After none were found the media didn't bat an eye supporting Bush saying the invasion was about regime change and not about WMDs. Or the invasion of Afghanistan wasn't about capturing bin Laden. Again Bush stood on TV demanding the Taliban turn over bin Laden, "or else". When the Taliban asked for proof bin Laden had anything to do with 911 Bush beat his chest and ordered the invasion of Afghanistan.But when bin Laden wasn't captured the invasion was no longer about that. To deny this is to deny reality.

      I'm sick to death of our hypocritical politicians, Democrat and Republican alike.

      Same here.

      Look for the biggest "throw the bums out" election results in American history this November.

      I wish this were true but I seriously doubt it. Most American voters have short memories as well as suffer from "all of Congress sucks but my reps." I am somewhat hopeful Kennedy's seat going to a Republican means other incumbents, in both parties, will also lose their seats but I doubt it.

      This is a golden opportunity to pass term limits for Congress as their favorable poll number is now a mere 11 percent.

      I don't like what's going on but I don't like term limits either. Instead I propose a Constitutional Amendment like what Texas has. In Texas the legislature only meets in odd numbered years, not every year, and the session only lasts for 140 days. 140 days every other year? Now here's my proposal:
      Amendment 28 - Limiting how long congress can be in session:
      Congress shall only meet in odd numbered years for 3 months. The president can call for a special session but such session shall only deal with a single issue.

      I also propose another amendment, Amendment 29 - Amendment 12 Repealed, how the President is Chosen.
      Each candidate shall run for President in an election with Condorcet or ranked voting. The winner shall be President with the candidate in second place being the Vice President.

      Falcon

    10. Re:Cold fusion, Amazing solar energy, gasoline by mnmlst · · Score: 1
      Kuwait was "slant drilling" into an Iraqi oilfield.

      This justified a complete takeover of the country? FYI, I read the Iraqi military plans for that invasion a few months after it went down (August 1990). D+2 was supposed to have the Iraqi Army in Kuwait City and D+6 was to have the Iraqi Army in the Saudi Arabian port city of Dharhan. How exactly does taking over the Saudi oilfields and major export infrastructure along the Persian Gulf fit with Kuwait's slant drilling? The reason Hussein stopped was the prompt U.S. intervention with USAF F-15's, the insertion of the XVIII Airborne Corps, and the fact that Bush the Elder was taken seriously by Saddam after his recent takedown of the junta in Panama. Saddam Hussein badly miscalculated as did April Glaser, the U.S. diplomat to Iraq at the time, and our policymakers not taking Hussein seriously enough when the NSA satellites recorded the Iraqi tank divisions' pre-invasion dispositions near the Kuwait border. FWIW, the Saudi Army was a bad joke and it was ONLY the U.S. intervention that kept Saddam from grabbing control of a huge percentage of the Mideast Oil exports. He had just beaten Iran, he did get Kuwait, and if he had occupied the entire South/West half of the Persian Gulf, even the U.S. Navy probably could not get oil tankers through to Iran if they wanted to. George H. W. Bush had no choice but to intervene.

      I guess we can agree to disagree about W's "free pass". The media dutifully covered Ari Fleischer and the Pentagon's official statements, but I always seemed to hear them promptly rebutted by the news anchors with "Where are the WMD's? Where are the Thomas Jefferson/Founding Fathers of Iraq?" and so on. In contrast, the current operations in Afghanistan seem to just be "business as usual" even though this campaign is coming from a guy who sounded awfully interested in not doing much more fighting in the Bush Wars. If you don't believe the media is biased, please explain to me why I watched CNN in horror one morning in the weeks soon after McCain tapped Palin as his VP candidate. Palin (who is an idiot I won't be voting for) had just had her disastrous interview in which she said she "could see Russia from her front porch." CNN's morning show (I won't bother with adding the word "news" to that description) prominently featured a "story" about a p0rn0 clip featuring a Palin lookalike stripping as two guys dressed as Russian soldiers prepared for the hand-to-gland combat soon to follow. CNN even had to blur out the nudity of the Palin lookalike. Imagine if they had done something like that with an Obama lookalike. Seriously, try to imagine it. You don't think there is such p0rn out there? You haven't heard a peep about it in the mainstream media and certainly not on CNN's morning show. As "blackgoldalchemist", a Hillary Clinton supporter in 2008 should know, the media completely went for "bros before ho's" in the last presidential election. Palin combined the wrong sex with the wrong viewpoint as far as the mainstream media, (plus she is an idiot) and they were unconscionable in excoriating her. I view her more as Dan Quayle in a skirt, cute, bumbling, and a sop to the social conservatives of the Right.

      I consider myself an extremely well-educated part of the actual conserve-ative wing of the GOP. We are known as "Crunchy Cons" (see book of same name by Rod Dreher who has a Crunchy Con blog as well). We believe in conserving all that is worthy and durable which includes the environment, religious faith, the family, beautiful art and architecture, and the Constitution with its emphasis on limited government and fundamental rights for citizens. This is obviously not without its contradictions, like any other viewpoint, but we certainly shouldn't be mistaken for Rush Limbaugh's "dittoheads". Probably the all-time Crunchy Con President was Teddy Roosevelt.

      --
      In principio erat Verbum.
    11. Re:Cold fusion, Amazing solar energy, gasoline by falconwolf · · Score: 1

      Kuwait was "slant drilling" into an Iraqi oilfield.

      This justified a complete takeover of the country?

      No it doesn't. However it wasn't a matter of imperialism either, like the US did.

      the Saudi Army was a bad joke and it was ONLY the U.S. intervention that kept Saddam from grabbing control of a huge percentage of the Mideast Oil exports.

      If only it were so simple. People, I bet like you, blame Saddam with working with al qaeda and bin Laden yet they offered the Saudis protection against Saddam. Before the US's invasion of Iraq bin Laden told the Iraqis to ride up against both invaders and Saddam, he once said Saddam should be killed. However it's not a stretch to say US support helped Saddam stay in power, throughout the the '80 the US kept on aiding Saddam.

      He had just beaten Iran,

      He beat Iran? HAHA!!! What a joke. In 1987 when the Security Council of the United Nations passed the US-sponsored Resolution 598 Iran had captured Iraqi territory. "Iraq, which had lost important pieces of land over the course of the war, accepted the resolution."

      Ah I see, you're spreading revisionist rhetoric.

      If you don't believe the media is biased

      I didn't say the press wasn't bias, I dare you point out where I did. Or is this more revisionist history? What I did say was that it is absurd is to say the media didn't give George W Bush a free pass. Copy-and-paste easy.

      Falcon

  42. Why break-even time must be short by bradley13 · · Score: 1

    Consider the following reasons:

    • ROI: You want a reasonable return on investment. If you invest $100, how much interest do you require? Keep in mind that - in this kind of investment - you never get your $100 back, so the savings in electricity bills must also repay your principle.
    • Lifetime: solar cells degrade with time. The efficiency of 10-year-old cells is less than that of new cells. Eventually, the cells degrade to the point that they must be replaced. 20 years is a generous lifetime estimate.
    • Maintenance costs. People think solar cells are maintenance free, but the world is not ideal. Water may well intrude, perhaps due to frost. Wiring may need repaired or replaced. Electronic components in the inverter may fail. Etc.

    Here's a quick back-of-the-envelope calculation. First, assume:

    • You are an idealist, and don't want to earn any interest on your investment - you just want your initial investment back, plus any maintenance costs.
    • Maintenance costs run 5% of the intial investment.
    • Array lifetime is 20 years.

    Given all of this, you must recover 10% of the initial cost each year. Electricity costs you $0.20/KWH, you install an array with a maximum output of 10KW. Given seasons, clouds, etc, if you live in a reasonably sunny climate, you might average 60KWH/day, or 22MWH/year. That corresponds to a maximum savings of $4400/year, meaning that you could spend $44,000 for your 10KW solar array. The cheapest manufacturers quote prices in that range (not including installation). Which means that solar power can, just barely, make sense for an idealist.

    Moreover, lots of power companies do not really want to buy your excess power, and certainly not at full retail price. Hence, depending on where you live, there may be additional barriers to overcome.

    --
    Enjoy life! This is not a dress rehearsal.
    1. Re:Why break-even time must be short by mattack2 · · Score: 1

      Why is 20 years generous, when companies give warranties that long?

    2. Re:Why break-even time must be short by falconwolf · · Score: 1

      solar power can, just barely, make sense for an idealist.

      Except the payback period in New Jersey is "1.5 years for residential systems. New York and Delaware are next in line with payback in 3-6 years, and California, Maryland, Massachusetts and Wisconsin all tied for fourth at seven years."

      Falcon

  43. these guys just got death penalty... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    well they sort of signed their own death warrant. no one 'major' will allow this. it and they will be buried like all other interesting projects.
    so enjoy the spotlight... err the spot from laser light :). Ta-Ta.

  44. Today is March 1, not April 1 by peter303 · · Score: 1

    Slashdot editors are snookered again by B.S. press release.

  45. Always beware "Up To" by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 1

    If you'll send me $100, I'll send you up to $200!!!

    --
    She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
  46. from the ignore-kdawson-the-idiot dept. by MrVictor · · Score: 4, Interesting

    The original article is poorly written (no, not even close to 86% you stupid twats) and kdawson is equally foolish for echoing this garbage. This is why this site sucks. Brain-dead slashdot editors, time and time again, post shitty articles that make extraordinary claims which end up being completely false or misleading.

  47. Solar power advancing too rapidly for investment by mathmathrevolution · · Score: 1

    I don't understand why the break-even time on solar has to be on the order of a handful of years for it to be economically feasible.

    The break-even time for nuclear is over a decade, and it's pretty long for hydro projects too. So why do we insist that solar has to turn a profit Real Quick Now?

    Part of the the reason people seek a short break-even time is, incredibly enough, the success of solar research.

    The rapid advancement of any technology always gives an incentive to hold off; I know people who refused to upgrade their computers for several years because price drops or performance increases were always just a few months around the corner. In isolation it may be economically viable to place solar panels on your roof, but the cost per watt of solar power just keeps dropping. It's potentially cheaper, and certainly less risky, to hold off on buying solar panels until the next batch of innovations hit the shelves. One way to mitigate that risk is for solar to turn a faster profit.

  48. Slashdot, pls think of the children. by Ancient_Hacker · · Score: 2, Funny

    Slashdot, please think of the children that will be disappointed by this article.

    Us grownups can see through the PR-speak, but kids can't.

    We can see that this loose talk of high efficiencies is just that-- only part of the story.

    It's swell that these gizmos have a 97% absorption efficiency, but that's only the front end.

    The actual cell, which converts the light to electricity, is no different-- about 16% efficient, due
    to the many mismatches in energy levels and the unavoidable phonon products.

    Plus the business about needing less silicon is not spreadsheet-worthy. The actual bulk silicon is not a large part of the cost.
    Even if they got the silicon usage down to 0%, the cost would not come down very much if at all.

    Also the economic predictions are unrealistic. Nothing that's better has ever sold for less than 5% under the price of the competition. No company can afford to leave money on the table.

    1. Re:Slashdot, pls think of the children. by JSBiff · · Score: 1

      "Nothing that's better has ever sold for less than 5% under the price of the competition."

      That really depends. If something is only a little bit cheaper than the competition, then I agree with you. I also agree that would be true when they first start selling these (because there will likely be more demand than they can satisfy at first, anyhow).

      "No company can afford to leave money on the table."

      I *do* agree with this statement, which is why I don't necessarily agree with the prior thesis. In business, there is a concept of a price/demand curve. Think of it this way: Right now, not many people or companies are buying solar cells to put on the roofs of their houses/buildings. However, I guarantee, that there is some price, below which, every property owner in the world would buy a solar cell and put it on their property to offset the costs of buying electric power from the grid. I suppose that price point would be a function of the average unit cost of buying electricity.

      Right now, solar cells are so expensive, they take something like 15 or 20 years to pay for themselves, so most property owners don't see a big incentive. Lower that price to 10 years or 8 years, or even lower, and suddenly the demand for these things will skyrocket.

      Now, of course, that only is possible if someone does actually come up with an effective solar cell that they can mass produce for something like 1/2 the cost (or maybe less), than their competitors. The reason I say that is only possible is because, in order for the price/demand curve to come out favorably for the company, the increase in sales has to more than offset the loss of marginal profit.

      That is to say, if I'm making X marginal profit selling Y units, then if I reduce the price such that my marginal profit becomes, for example, 1/2X, then I need to sell more than 2Y units to realize an increase in profits from decreasing price.

      The thing is, the solar market hasn't even *begun* to be tapped yet. There's so much 'potential demand', but that potential demand will only become real demand if the prices on solar cells drop more. There is very much a financial incentive for someone to develop a solar cell that they can sell significantly cheaper than the current prices, because there is very low demand for solar cells (compared to what you might *potentially* be able to get, that is, considering that most of the world don't own solar cells yet), but the only reason the demand is low is because the costs are, truly, too high right now - for most people, there's not enough savings vs cost to justify the purchase.

  49. Wings don't help by mdsolar · · Score: 1

    The frog still gets the same effect when hopping. Also, you might want to start crossing cold fusion off the auto-mock list: http://www.lenr-canr.org/acrobat/BarnhartBtechnology.pdf

    1. Re:Wings don't help by Black+Gold+Alchemist · · Score: 1

      Let me know when I can buy a cold fusion generator.

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    2. Re:Wings don't help by mdsolar · · Score: 1

      Might be some time. There do seem to be reproducible effects though.

    3. Re:Wings don't help by mnmlst · · Score: 1

      The points here were: 1) The frog would use the wings to cushion his landing. 2) My neighbor hasn't shown me a cold fusion reactor yet. Count me among those people hoping for cold fusion, solar power, hydrogen technologies, and so on to show enough progress to start moving us past petroleum.

      --
      In principio erat Verbum.
    4. Re:Wings don't help by Black+Gold+Alchemist · · Score: 1

      I wish we could take some heavy duty quantum chromodynamics simulators, and apply them to the problem. If cold fusion is possible, I think it essentially quantum tunnelling through the potential barrier that prevents hydrogen atoms from fusing. Catalysts assist the tunnelling. We could start by figuring out what potential fields would help the atoms fuse, and then work backwards to design a material set-up that would apply the same effect.

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    5. Re:Wings don't help by mdsolar · · Score: 1

      Don't know. could he still play leapfrog?

    6. Re:Wings don't help by mdsolar · · Score: 1

      A friend of mine at NRL thinks it is a lattice effect http://www.lenr-canr.org/acrobat/ChubbSRresonantel.pdf

    7. Re:Wings don't help by Black+Gold+Alchemist · · Score: 1

      That's basically what I meant. I just was showing a possible to calculate the effects, understand them, and design a fusion catalyst.

      Toyota Prii have bumperstickers that says "hybrid - gasoline/electric". It would be a lot of fun to drive an SUV with a bumper sticker says "hybrid - nuclear/electric". You would also have about a million MPG if my math is correct.

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    8. Re:Wings don't help by mdsolar · · Score: 1

      Yes. The explanations though are less developed compared with the experimental evidence.

    9. Re:Wings don't help by Black+Gold+Alchemist · · Score: 1

      I wish I had the math needed to calculate it all out and run the simulators.

      What do you think about "macroscopically catalysed fusion" here:
      1. Hospital neutron beam generator creates neutrons from protons
      2. Neutron beam hits lead atoms
      3. Lead atoms build up into unstable isotopes
      4. Unstable isotopes undergo decay, emitting helium atoms and regenerating the lead
      5. Energy is generated

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    10. Re:Wings don't help by mdsolar · · Score: 1

      That one sounds like it won't work on energy conservation grounds.

    11. Re:Wings don't help by Black+Gold+Alchemist · · Score: 1

      Why won't it?

      1. 4H+ + 4e- + less than 6 MeV energy/neutron -> 4n
      2. Pb 207 + 4n -> Bi 211
      3. Bi 211 -> He + Pb 207 + 24 MeV

      Net reaction:
      4H+ + 4e- -> He

      Hess's law applies to nuclear reactions just as much as chemical reactions. The question is whether we can find a low enough energy for the neutron beam (need 6 MeV per neutron).

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    12. Re:Wings don't help by mdsolar · · Score: 1

      I wasn't thinking. How about pion on deuterium capture for neutrons?

    13. Re:Wings don't help by Black+Gold+Alchemist · · Score: 1

      That might work, but I think most neutron beam generators hit a target (beryllium?) with protons. The target "converts" them into a neutron beam.

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    14. Re:Wings don't help by mdsolar · · Score: 1

      Some also use d-t fusion http://www.sciner.com/Neutron/Neutron_Generators_Basics.htm not sure spallation counts as conversion though. And, you are just shifting the coulomb barrier problem up stream.

    15. Re:Wings don't help by Black+Gold+Alchemist · · Score: 1

      Here's a paper talking about proton beam -> neutron beam conversion. The input proton beams are lower than 2.5 MeV! I wonder what the proton-to-neutron conversion rate is. If it's greater than %50, we have a winner.

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    16. Re:Wings don't help by mdsolar · · Score: 1

      There is some info on deuterium bombardment of Li as well http://www.iop.org/EJ/abstract/0031-9155/23/1/003

    17. Re:Wings don't help by mdsolar · · Score: 1

      I think my AIP Handbook may have a typo. It gives 15 mbarns for the 2200 km/s neutron absorption cross section for Pb-208 but it is doubly magic so 1.5 mbarns might be a better guess. http://hyperphysics.phy-astr.gsu.edu/hbase/nuclear/shell2.html If so, 100 m of travel gives a probability of 0.5 of absorption so our reactor might need a large diameter (20 m or more) to avoid losing too many neutrons. In this situation, neutrons may recross the proton/deuterium target region to a significant degree and so we should think about how the proton/deuterium target may act as a poison if it absorbs neutrons. Indeed, we might prefer deuterium as the projectile because it is less likely to absorb a neutron than a proton is.

      Having a liquid catalyst should keep the lead and bismuth isotopes well mixed.

    18. Re:Wings don't help by Black+Gold+Alchemist · · Score: 1

      Cool. What if we put a neutron moderator in between the beam generator and the target, to slow down the neutrons. I'm not sure what effect this might have on neutron absorption. Is there any place I could find those tables on the web? How would the neutrons recross the starting target - there running along a line, so I don't think they would come back to the starting point. Liquid is a good idea. We want them well mixed. Keep in mind that lead/bismuth was the first system I found that had an alpha decay loop. Others might work better.

      beam generator-----proton->neutron----water---lead/bismuth

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    19. Re:Wings don't help by mdsolar · · Score: 1

      I think the lead acts as its own moderator. The neutrons scatter even it they don't absorb and should become thermal pretty quickly. This is also why they would recross. I was thinking of a large bucket of mostly Pb-208 (rate limiting isotope) with a hole down to the center through which the proton/deuterium beam would pass to hit the target in the center. The Pb-208 cross section may be even small than my last guess: http://pintassilgo2.ipen.br/biblioteca/2009/inac/15187.pdf This source looks modern: http://books.google.com/books?id=f1oahKZsJ2gC&printsec=frontcover&dq=S.+F.+Mughabghab,+Neutron+Cross+Sections.+Neutron+Resonance+parameters+and&source=bl&ots=OcsiQDv4p7&sig=ISUedQtqKTm_cqT_w6yo78ylQxg&hl=en&ei=y8uOS5eOMcri8Qb7rtiBDQ&sa=X&oi=book_result&ct=result&resnum=4&ved=0CBUQ6AEwAw#v=onepage&q=&f=false

    20. Re:Wings don't help by mdsolar · · Score: 1

      Here are some total cross sections for lead isotopes: http://wwwndc.jaea.go.jp/nd2001/proc/pdf/1_0327.pdf Around 11 barns so scattering is much more frequent than absorption I think.

    21. Re:Wings don't help by Black+Gold+Alchemist · · Score: 1

      Ouch. That seems like a problem. I wonder if anything other than lead/bismuth could go through a build up -> alpha decay process.

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    22. Re:Wings don't help by mdsolar · · Score: 1

      I have started to look. Going much heavier seems to run into fissions in the neutron build up path. I'm wondering if there is an eight step path lower down.

      For a random walk for the thermal neutrons, the linear size of the reactor only goes up as one over the square root of the smallest neutron absorption cross section in the chain so we are looking at a square root of three larger than my earlier guess, maybe 35 meters now if that guess was close. The mass of catalyst goes up as the 1.5 power in the inverse cross section. It might not be a bad thing if we consider the catalyst as thermal storage as well. We can provide dispatchable power using the heat capacity as a buffer.

    23. Re:Wings don't help by mdsolar · · Score: 1

      I think atomic mass 211 is going to be the end point of any other chain we find so the one including Pb-208 is going to be it.

      Having the target absorb neutrons probably is not so important for a lithium or beryllium target since it will likely lead to a couple of alphas which is exothermic in a pretty big way. It is what we are trying to do anyway. The target is a consumable.

    24. Re:Wings don't help by mdsolar · · Score: 1

      Here is another chain though it also goes through Pb-208 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/S-process

    25. Re:Wings don't help by mdsolar · · Score: 1

      I realize that my mention of a factor of square root of three increase in size does not make sense unless you take the Pb-208 neutron absorption cross section to be about 0.5 mbarn, three times larger than my original guess. That is coming from here: http://pintassilgo2.ipen.br/biblioteca/2009/inac/15187.pdf Somehow that link did not post before.

  50. This is crap by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Just like clockwork, there's another article on slashdot containing 'if they can get to market, solar panel prices could plummet!', which is nothing more than disingenuous wharrgarble. I see these articles every 2-3 months, and it's still Way Too Friggin' Expensive to pick up solar panels at my local store.

    Call me when a 15 amp @ 14.1v isn't $1000 or higher, and we'll talk.

  51. Degradation affects ROI by Hirsch · · Score: 1

    Solar panels often have a limited return-on-investment because they also have a limited lifespan. The efficiency and energy output of a solar panel declines over time, estimates are often at 1% per year. While nuclear, coal, hydro, and other power generation mechanisms have modular, maintainable, repairable parts, solar panels are usually an all-or-nothing replacement option. So if you invest in solar panels that generate 10 kWh of electricity on a bright shiny day when they are installed, they will probably only generate 8 kWh after 20 years. YMMV, and different manufacturing techniques will produce different results, which can be modeled theoretically, but as every good engineer should consider, the best way to measure degradation is to measure output (for a manufacturing technique, statistical sampling of manufactured batches, etc) for a number of years to determine how much degradation occurs. Solar panel manufacturing is still very much a "wild west" technology, with new innovations coming out faster than hard data on reliability and efficiency, which doesn't make solar any less cool, it just makes it more difficult to accurately estimate ROI or energy savings.

    1. Re:Degradation affects ROI by falconwolf · · Score: 1

      if you invest in solar panels that generate 10 kWh of electricity on a bright shiny day when they are installed, they will probably only generate 8 kWh after 20 years.

      New Jersey Offers Fastest Payback for Solar Systems. "In New Jersey, that wait time is 1.5 years for residential systems. New York and Delaware are next in line with payback in 3-6 years, and California, Maryland, Massachusetts and Wisconsin all tied for fourth at seven years."

      Using 7 years, you can almost buy 3 new panel arrays in 20 years. Or using 13 years you'll be on your second set of panels in 20 years.

      Falcon

  52. How much $ per watt? by Hasai · · Score: 1

    ....That's the only question of interest.

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  53. Currently, without subsidies, by falconwolf · · Score: 1

    Solar PV is roughly 20x-100x more expensive than coal or nuclear power.

    Really? Did you also subtract the subsidies coal and nuclear power get? Yes, they both get subsidized as well.

    If I was Obama, I'd toss a billion or so at this scientist and see if he couldn't get mass production of it up and running.

    Ah if only... If I were President of the USA I'd veto all subsidies and let a freer market pick winners and losers. As it is now venture capitalists have been investing in different technologies for years, from Sergey Brin and Larry Page investing in Nanosolar to Elon Musk, founder of Paypal and CEO of SpaceX, investing in Tesla Motors.

    I mean, as long as we're spending billionS keeping teachers temporarily employed (because their states can't afford them right now), right?

    I hate it that the feds have to give the states the money but it was the feds who mandated a bunch of new regulations with No Child Left Behind and other laws. If the feds stayed within it's Constitutional limits federal taxes could be significantly reduced if not totally eliminate the federal income tax. States and local governments could then raise their own taxes if they so chose to. Of course that's only part of the problem. States like California went on a spending spree during the roaring '90s. Then when the economy tanked they lost a lot of revenue. Then there's CA's teachers unions. Try to fire an underperforming teacher and watch the years speed by before they are fired. About the only way to fight the unions is by allowing school choice with charter and private schools getting matching funding. Then watch as the bad public schools are emptied out so the teachers can be fired.

    Falcon

    1. Re:Currently, without subsidies, by ShakaUVM · · Score: 1

      >>Really? Did you also subtract the subsidies coal and nuclear power get? Yes, they both get subsidized as well.

      Yep. I've done the research on the costs of all power sources, with and without subsidies.

      >>If I were President of the USA I'd veto all subsidies and let a freer market pick winners and losers.

      Fair enough. But if I was Obama (i.e. a radical progressive), then I'd toss a billion dollars at this if the science is good. Would do more than all the money spent on the weatherizing boondoggle.

      >>About the only way to fight the unions is by allowing school choice with charter and private schools getting matching funding.

      Nah. Right to Work states like North Carolina (IIRC) made unionizing in critical sectors outright illegal. So no police unions, firefighter unions, and, yeah, teacher unions. Now getting this to pass in CA is another matter entirely. Arnold tried to break the power of unions back in... 2005? and failed, causing him to backpedal pretty substantially.

    2. Re:Currently, without subsidies, by falconwolf · · Score: 1

      Fair enough. But if I was Obama (i.e. a radical progressive), then I'd toss a billion dollars at this if the science is good. Would do more than all the money spent on the weatherizing boondoggle.

      Actually efficiency/weatherizing has the fastest payback between doing nothing, installing alternative/renewable energy, and efficiency/weatherizing. That is why when people go, build, off the grid the first thing they do is work on efficiency/weatherizing. Doing so can save a bundle of money. According to one graph by the Department of Energy the single largest use of energy in the US home is space heating, at 31%. Tied for number two is water heating and space cooling, at 12%. A properly designed and built building needs little if any heating or cooling.

      >>About the only way to fight the unions is by allowing school choice with charter and private schools getting matching funding.

      Nah. Right to Work states like North Carolina (IIRC) made unionizing in critical sectors outright illegal. So no police unions, firefighter unions, and, yeah, teacher unions.

      Banning unions, which runs afoul of the First Amendment's freedom to assemble, protest, and seek redress, will not improve education. Competition between schools will. Now why is it people complain about competition when it affects their pay but like it when it drives their costs down? People complain about how Walmart drives other businesses out of business but then they're perfectly willing to shop at Walmart and Sam's. People complain about drug prices but how many liked it when Walmart lowered the price of thousands of drugs to $4? So yes, I shop at Walmart and am a member of Sam's Club. What I don't like is that I pay to be a member of Sam's whereas anyone can shop at Walmart yet by company policy Sam's can not offer a lower price on the same item as Walmart does. It only makes it worthwhile because Walmart doesn't offer the same bulk quantities as Sam's.

      I like competition!!!

      Falcon

    3. Re:Currently, without subsidies, by ShakaUVM · · Score: 1

      >>Actually efficiency/weatherizing has the fastest payback between doing nothing, installing alternative/renewable energy, and efficiency/weatherizing.

      If it's a good deal, then people will do it themselves, and we don't need to drop billions into Obama's campaign donors pockets.

      >>Banning unions, which runs afoul of the First Amendment's freedom to assemble, protest, and seek redress, will not improve education.

      You'd be surprised, actually.

    4. Re:Currently, without subsidies, by falconwolf · · Score: 1

      >>Actually efficiency/weatherizing has the fastest payback between doing nothing, installing alternative/renewable energy, and efficiency/weatherizing.

      If it's a good deal, then people will do it themselves, and we don't need to drop billions into Obama's campaign donors pockets.

      It is a good deal but it requires money up front, and in case you haven't heard we're in a recession where millions of people have lost their jobs. No matter how much money something can save it's irresponsible to spend money you don't have. And as I have said all along, including in this post of mine you replied to, I'd get rid of all subsidies. But since it's being done I hope it has the desired effect and creates well paying jobs.

      >>Banning unions, which runs afoul of the First Amendment's freedom to assemble, protest, and seek redress, will not improve education.

      You'd be surprised, actually.

      Yea, let's see how well it has worked. You say North Carolina made teachers unions illegal, let's see how North Carolina's schools are... According to Local School Directory North Carolina ranks below the national average. It has improved since No Child Left Behind but it's still bad, so not allowing teachers unions there doesn't appear to have helped.

      Now do you have facts to share that supports your position that banning unions and not allowing competition makes schools better, or do you only have rhetoric? Oh, wait a minute... maybe you meant I'd be surprised that courts have ruled banning unions isn't unconstitutional. I would not be surprised at all. After all even the US Supreme Court has made rulings I and others consider unconstitutional. For instance the USSC ruled the federal government had the authority to make medical marijuana illegal even though voters in California voted to make it legal. In the Gonzales v. Raich. case the court had to bend over backwards to rule that the interstate commerce clause gave the feds the power to block states' rights. Of the nine members of the court 5 ruled the feds have the power and the other 4 ruled it does not.

      Falcon

    5. Re:Currently, without subsidies, by ShakaUVM · · Score: 1

      >>You say North Carolina made teachers unions illegal, let's see how North Carolina's schools are

      Correlation is not causation.

      And I speak from a more pragmatic point of view (as someone who works with hundreds of teachers every year) - teachers unions are almost entirely counterproductive to the process of education.

  54. question by bussdriver · · Score: 1

    I thought the theoretical limit for solar to electrical conversion was about 40%?

    This 86% inside that 40% limit? I thought they were talking about radiation absorption in which case the power would be much less and the panels would heat up and likely pose another issue (unless you can run water behind them and use it as a heater which is the best use for solar anyhow.)

    What about that new thing I saw on the BBC last year which was working on radio-like antennas for the IR wavelength?? Seemed to me to be a good idea.

  55. I wonder if that affects electrical output? by falconwolf · · Score: 1

    I've observed that traditional solar cells produce the highest output when the panels are cool. If these perform the same way, using them to heat water or something else to draw off excess heat might be necessary to achieve maximum electrical generation.

    Heating water may be a bonus, or, plain and simply better. Solar thermal, hot water, systems work better in some places than PVs do.

    Falcon

  56. payback by falconwolf · · Score: 1

    The problem with current panels isn't the efficiency. More efficiency is welcome but the real problem with solar panels is the cost. It takes too many years to recoup the very heavy initial investment. If the price can be made such that the panels pay for themselves with 2 or 3 years then they make solar power a real alternative to the grid.

    No the initial cost isn't a problem either. The problem is people's expectation. They want it paid off last year. Think the coal or nuclear power plant has been paid off after 10 years? Without subsidies they may never be paid for. Here's an investment opportunity in Southern Africa with a minimum expected payback period of 25 years.

    Falcon

  57. Slashdotted by FLoWCTRL · · Score: 1

    Google cache version: http://bit.ly/ck4eUh

  58. Now, solar is limited by two big things: by falconwolf · · Score: 1

    1. total cost (panels are expensive

    Coal fired and nuclear power plants aren't expensive? Neither coal companies nor the nuclear power industry have their hands out begging for government assistance? Cost Is Chief Barrier to 'Clean Coal' and the Nuclear power industry is Hooked on Subsidies. "Nuclear power appeals to state planners, not market actors."

    2. the Return on Investment is low (extreme cases - 10 years, but typically more than 20).

    The payback period can be much shorter than that. In one survey New Jersey had a payback period of 1.5 years. New York had a payback period of 3 years and Delaware 6 for residential applications.

    Falcon

  59. financiing solar by falconwolf · · Score: 1

    you are worth more to the banks as an energy consumer than as an energy producer.

    Falcon

  60. blackouts by falconwolf · · Score: 1

    The ability to communicate and run your refrigerator in, say, a hurricane-induced blackout makes the system more valuable than simply what it can displace from your electric bill each month.

    The problem with this, islanding, is that it's dangerous to utility workers. If the power from the utility comes out and workers are sent out for repairs they can get electrocuted. To prevent this the inverter has to disconnect from the grid. Grid-tie inverters are made to disconnect and turn off though. So if you still want power then a second inverter, or more, has to be used to connect the storage batteries to the building wiring with that one then feeding the grid-tie inverter.

    A more efficient (and cheaper) technology would make a small solar power backup system closer to a gas generator as far as ease of use and energy density.

    Some people use a small generator as their backup for when there's little sun and or wind. Converting the engine to run on alcohol or biodiesel allows you to make your own fuel for it.

    Falcon

    1. Re:blackouts by linuxpyro · · Score: 1

      I believe that everywhere in the US in order to pass inspection you have to be using UL listed equipment if you want to intertie (IE, run in phase with the grid and sell your extra power back.) All modern inverters built for this have to pass all sorts of anti-islanding tests. In addition to this a lot of areas require a separate, labeled, lockable disconnect so that the utility workers can disconnect your system from the grid.

      You could of course not get the system inspected, but if you purchase a grid interactive inverter in this country from a reputable manufacturer it will still have the anti-islanding protection. (Don't even think of trying to intertie a homebrew inverter.)

      Some inverters can tie to the grid and maintain batteries at the same time, so if the power goes out it just disconnects from the grid. You loose some power charging the batteries, but it's part of the price you pay for the backup power. (Especially since systems without batteries tend to run the DC side at lower voltages.)

      Biodiesel for backup would be pretty cool, especially if you can get grease from a restaurant to use to make it. A lot of people far off the grid will have a generator as backup, but some do without. When you don't have the grid the trick is to watch what your system produces, and adjust your load accordingly.

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    2. Re:blackouts by falconwolf · · Score: 1

      I believe that everywhere in the US in order to pass inspection you have to be using UL listed equipment if you want to intertie (IE, run in phase with the grid and sell your extra power back.) All modern inverters built for this have to pass all sorts of anti-islanding tests. In addition to this a lot of areas require a separate, labeled, lockable disconnect so that the utility workers can disconnect your system from the grid.

      All modern inverters? Or only grid intertie inverters? Ump, something to look into... Ah there are still stand-alone inverters. So just have a stand-alone inverter supplying the building with a intertied inverter connected to the grid.

      Biodiesel for backup would be pretty cool, especially if you can get grease from a restaurant to use to make it. A lot of people far off the grid will have a generator as backup, but some do without. When you don't have the grid the trick is to watch what your system produces, and adjust your load accordingly.

      I don't know about now but at one tyme restaurants had to pay others to haul off the used grease. You're right about having a backup, some people demand it and others adjust. For my own home, I want a backup if not a hybrid system. Ideally I'd have geothermal, solar, wind, and maybe a micro hydro system. Of course such a system would cost a lot. But before I ever get to where I can build my home off the grid I'll log energy usage for at least a year and see where I can be more efficient.

      Falcon

    3. Re:blackouts by linuxpyro · · Score: 1

      All modern inverters? Or only grid intertie inverters? Ump, something to look into... Ah there are still stand-alone inverters. So just have a stand-alone inverter supplying the building with a intertied inverter connected to the grid.

      Sorry, I meant all inverters that are meant to be able to connect to the grid. Meaning inverters that send power to the grid from say solar without a battery, and inverters that can maintain a battery bank. The former shuts off completely, while the latter just disconnects from the grid.

      If you're building a system on grid, it might not be a bad idea actually to go with two systems like you mentioned, from a practicality standpoint. IE, design a small backup system that doesn't interact with the grid, and use it to backup say your refrigerator, computer, ham radio, whatever. (In fact, you could probably use this system as a constant source of DC for things like the router for your Net connection, if you designed it so that you're not draining too much to prevent it from being useful as a backup.) Then you could add on grid connected PV as you like. This would make sense if the grid is very reliable in your area, as once the grid goes down you can't do anything with the intertied system. Then again, if you wanted to back up more of your house and only have one system, you could look into the hybrid inverter (that does both).

      I don't know about now but at one tyme restaurants had to pay others to haul off the used grease. You're right about having a backup, some people demand it and others adjust. For my own home, I want a backup if not a hybrid system. Ideally I'd have geothermal, solar, wind, and maybe a micro hydro system. Of course such a system would cost a lot. But before I ever get to where I can build my home off the grid I'll log energy usage for at least a year and see where I can be more efficient.

      Falcon

      I've heard stories of restaurants dumping their waste grease out in the back, right next to the dumpster. I'm not sure about the laws about that, but I'd imagine if you asked they'd be more than happy to give it to you. They might also be interested in a way to become greener. ;)

      You can start out with a small backup system by picking out a stand-alone inverter and battery bank. That'll act like a big UPS, basically, and you can add a little solar later if you want, or other RE source, whatever. You have the right idea about logging energy usage. Remember that using more efficient appliances will make covering your usage much cheaper.

      If you are looking for off-grid property, you'll really luck out if you can do microhydro. It's the cheapest source, and you get it 24 hrs/day a decent portion of the year (depending on how the stream acts seasonably, obviously). If you get enough flow you'll almost have energy to burn. (And you probably will, since most if not all microhydro plants need a constant load. A lot of people use air and water heaters for this.) If you have a lot of flow you can look for a centrifugal pump from an old industrial site and actually run it backwards for power, Google around, it's been done.

      You can always start small, maybe enough to charge your laptop, and get a little experience. Check out my setup here, not too much going on yet. Once you play with a little, though, the bug bites.

      --
      Saying "I'll probably get modded down for this" in a post is the best way to get it modded up.
    4. Re:blackouts by falconwolf · · Score: 1

      If you're building a system on grid, it might not be a bad idea actually to go with two systems like you mentioned, from a practicality standpoint. IE, design a small backup system that doesn't interact with the grid, and use it to backup say your refrigerator, computer, ham radio, whatever

      I know what you mean. Where I used to live, a house on a dead end road, it wasn't unusual for us to lose power. Sometimes it would only be out seconds or minutes, other tymes it's be out for hours. The power company frequently sent out repairmen but what they really needed was to replace the lines and hardware however they said it was too expensive. I just wonder how much it cost to constantly be sending out repairmen.

      Then you could add on grid connected PV as you like.

      If you already have a connection, that's the way to go. After adding insulation add a panel at a tyme. Some who build off the grid do that too.

      I've heard stories of restaurants dumping their waste grease out in the back, right next to the dumpster. I'm not sure about the laws about that, but I'd imagine if you asked they'd be more than happy to give it to you.

      Over the years I worked in more than one restaurant and they all made 55 gallon drums outside in the back where we had to pour the used grease/oil. Then a service company would come and pick them up, leaving more empty drums.

      If you are looking for off-grid property, you'll really luck out if you can do microhydro.

      It won't be anytime soon before I'm ready to buy some land to build on, actually I don't know if I ever will be in such a position. More than 13 years ago I survived a bad accident and have been on disability since. I was in college when I had the accident. I later started attending college again, but I had to start all over basically. Once I did I could only take a class or two at a tyme but because I wasn't able to afford it I dropped out about 5 years ago. I want to get back into college and I'm looking for financial aid. I'd file for Federal Financial Assistance but my sister handles my finances, she even does my taxes, and has previously refused to fill out the forms for me. I'm hoping I have found some aid on my own though. Americorps' VistaCorp offers aid like the Segal AmeriCorps Education Award. Reading what I could find they require 2000 volunteer hours a year for assistance, 20 hours a week, and I don't know if I can work the 20 hours though. What pisses me is that when I dropped out I only had 2 more classes to finish my Associate Degree.

      You can always start small, maybe enough to charge your laptop, and get a little experience.

      Up above I say I had two more classes to finish my AAAS, or whatever, what I'd like to do is transfer to a university where I was thinking of studying in Electrical/Electronic Engineering as my major subject but I'm not sure. As another possible source of aid, maybe it can be arranged through VistaCorp, I've been thinking about trying to get a "Green Economy" position. Say helping to install alternative energy systems. As I see it that may be great for me, I'll get back into school, will get experience, and can decide if that is what I want to do in university.

      Falcon

    5. Re:blackouts by linuxpyro · · Score: 1

      I know what you mean. Where I used to live, a house on a dead end road, it wasn't unusual for us to lose power. Sometimes it would only be out seconds or minutes, other tymes it's be out for hours. The power company frequently sent out repairmen but what they really needed was to replace the lines and hardware however they said it was too expensive. I just wonder how much it cost to constantly be sending out repairmen.

      That's kind of how it is a block over from where I live, the wiring is older. A friend who lives over there doesn't loose power all the time, but it's more common than where I am.

      If you already have a connection, that's the way to go. After adding insulation add a panel at a tyme. Some who build off the grid do that too.

      RE in general is very expandable. As long as you plan a little in advance you'll have no trouble adding more solar, or whatever.

      Over the years I worked in more than one restaurant and they all made 55 gallon drums outside in the back where we had to pour the used grease/oil. Then a service company would come and pick them up, leaving more empty drums.

      Sounds like there's a lot of potential there.

      It won't be anytime soon before I'm ready to buy some land to build on, actually I don't know if I ever will be in such a position. More than 13 years ago I survived a bad accident and have been on disability since. I was in college when I had the accident. I later started attending college again, but I had to start all over basically. Once I did I could only take a class or two at a tyme but because I wasn't able to afford it I dropped out about 5 years ago. I want to get back into college and I'm looking for financial aid. I'd file for Federal Financial Assistance but my sister handles my finances, she even does my taxes, and has previously refused to fill out the forms for me. I'm hoping I have found some aid on my own though. Americorps' VistaCorp offers aid like the Segal AmeriCorps Education Award. Reading what I could find they require 2000 volunteer hours a year for assistance, 20 hours a week, and I don't know if I can work the 20 hours though. What pisses me is that when I dropped out I only had 2 more classes to finish my Associate Degree.

      Up above I say I had two more classes to finish my AAAS, or whatever, what I'd like to do is transfer to a university where I was thinking of studying in Electrical/Electronic Engineering as my major subject but I'm not sure. As another possible source of aid, maybe it can be arranged through VistaCorp, I've been thinking about trying to get a "Green Economy" position. Say helping to install alternative energy systems. As I see it that may be great for me, I'll get back into school, will get experience, and can decide if that is what I want to do in university.

      Falcon

      Good luck to you! I'm in school right now for Electrical Engineering, and am dreading the fallout from my loans. I'm interested in working in RE somehow as well, not necessarily as an installer but maybe designing components. (I'm actually going to start on a homemade inverter pretty soon, not for intertie of course.) I think there will be a great opportunity for this sort of industry pretty soon, as the cost goes down and more people become aware of just what you can do. Just keep at it, the future will be pretty exciting.

      --
      Saying "I'll probably get modded down for this" in a post is the best way to get it modded up.
  61. electricity here is ridiculously cheap by falconwolf · · Score: 1

    Only because coal is subsidized and it is allowed to pass external costs to others.

    If I could pay less than 10k and have a 10 year pay back time

    You can pay less than that, you may or you may not find it worthwhile though. And today the payback period is less than 10 years. For residential systems New Jersey has a payback period of 1.5 years. "New York and Delaware are next in line with payback in 3-6 years, and California, Maryland, Massachusetts and Wisconsin all tied for fourth at seven years."

    The fact that governments keep trying to shift this cost to individual households tells me that it just isn't worth it.

    First, I'd rather taxpayers be subsidized before megacorporations are. What I really want is for the federal government to stop all subsidies and return the money back to taxpayers. Then allow them to decide what they will pay for themselves. As it is now though your electricity from coal and nuclear power is subsidized. Chevron's CEO agrees to lobby with Sierra Club to end coal subsidies. And here's Rep Edward Markey crowing about how My Climate Bill 'Has Huge Subsidies For Clean Coal! Huge!'. In that speech he lists some of the subsidies large power companies including coal and nuclear power get. It comes to tens of billions of dollars. If however you add up all the subsides geothermal, solar, wind and other alternative and renewable energy sources get, it doesn't add up to $! Billion.

    Fact is is conventional energy sources are massively subsidized with taxpayer money.

    Falcon

    1. Re:electricity here is ridiculously cheap by martinX · · Score: 1

      What I really want is for the federal government to stop all subsidies and return the money back to taxpayers.

      Agreed.

      I don't think our miners are subsidised nearly as much as some proponents of alternative energy make out. We derive a LOT of state (and federal) income from mining, and all that money has to come from somewhere. If everyone is getting subsidies for this that and the other thing, who is paying?

      --
      When they came for the communists, I said "He's next door. Take him away. Goddam commies."
    2. Re:electricity here is ridiculously cheap by falconwolf · · Score: 1

      I don't think our miners are subsidised nearly as much as some proponents of alternative energy make out.

      First, it's not just proponents of alternative energy who say coal is subsidized too much, one of the links I provided was the CEO of an oil company agreeing to campaign with the Sierra Club on reducing if not eliminating coal subsidizes. That was quite clear in the post you just replied to so if you didn't see it then I don't see any reason to continue. If you did see it then you're trolling. Actually that's it, there is no second because either way I'm ending it here.

      Falcon

    3. Re:electricity here is ridiculously cheap by martinX · · Score: 1

      I don't think *our miners* are heavily subsidised, I don't know about your miners.

      I can see a situation where small mines in some countries/states are getting state subsidies to keep running just to keep people in work, but we in Queensland have shitloads of coal. There are no small uneconomical mines operating here. If a mine is uneconomical, they move onto the next whole in the ground.

      I'm not trolling but trying to explain why electricity *here* is relatively cheap and unlikely to be replace by wind/solar/tidal anytime soon. Even nuclear couldn't compete.

      Upon re-viewing the clip, I think he was talking about Big Coal getting free handouts for "clean coal technology" research which is a relatively recent phenomenon.

      --
      When they came for the communists, I said "He's next door. Take him away. Goddam commies."
  62. Solar thermal by falconwolf · · Score: 1

    http://www.greenoptimistic.com/2009/04/21/zenithsolar-solar-panels/

    Solar thermal to heat water as your link bring up has a better payback period than solar PVs do for many people. Of course what has the quickest payback period is increasing insulation.

    Falcon

    1. Re:Solar thermal by EmagGeek · · Score: 1

      Amen to that. I put $400 worth of insulation in my attic last year and cut my heating and cooling effort by 30% - paid for itself in 12 months.

  63. solar payback period by falconwolf · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Right now, solar cells are so expensive, they take something like 15 or 20 years to pay for themselves, so most property owners don't see a big incentive. Lower that price to 10 years or 8 years, or even lower, and suddenly the demand for these things will skyrocket.

    The payback period for solar is already under 10 years. New Jersey has a payback period of 1.5 years, "New York and Delaware are next in line with payback in 3-6 years, and California, Maryland, Massachusetts and Wisconsin all tied for fourth at seven years." Of course, if because of this everybody went out and started buying solar energy systems, the cost could go up, higher demand drive prices up. Then again because of economy of scale and competition prices could go down even more.

    Falcon

  64. This is not a "solar panel"! by rkodama · · Score: 1

    At the risk of beating a dead horse, I take issue with the Update on the post. The researchers have not made a solar panel or a solar cell. They have made a sheet of "photoactive" material and have measured how it absorbs light. The MIT Tech Review article says "Computational models suggest that the material could be used to make solar cells that would convert 15 to 20 percent of the energy in sunlight into electricity". Such models are highly dubious when actual solar cells have not been demonstrated, and major identifiable hurdles need to be crossed before that happens. Although I agree with other posters that it is significant that very little Si is required in this material, it is hard to say much about manufacturing cost either before a working device or device architecture exists.

  65. Nanosolar scam by Animats · · Score: 1

    Why so seriously skeptic?

    Because Nanosolar has supposedly been shipping for three years and there are no visible installations.

    Just because they have pictures of a factory interior doesn't mean they have a factory that delivers working product at the claimed cost. It's all too common to see some minor advance in materials science hyped into something becoming real cheap, real soon now. Most of the roll-to-roll processes for making solar cells don't work.

    Not all of them, though. Uni-Solar Ovonic really does have a working roll to roll process for making flexible solar cells. You can order their products, they have a dealer network, and they have many installations. Nanosolar has none of that. Just hype.

  66. increasing insulation is better by falconwolf · · Score: 1

    Amen to that. I put $400 worth of insulation in my attic last year and cut my heating and cooling effort by 30% - paid for itself in 12 months.

    If only more people knew about it. Of course you run into people like Dick Cheney who said that while conservation might be a "personal virtue," conservation alone was not "a sufficient basis for a sound, comprehensive energy policy." Too many people hear stuff like that and believe it.

    Falcon

    1. Re:increasing insulation is better by EmagGeek · · Score: 1

      Well, "conservation alone" is far from "comprehensive," so what he said is actually very true. It takes a lot more that "conservation alone" to craft a "comprehensive" energy policy.

      A "comprehensive" energy policy addresses conservation, diversification of supply, efficiency, infrastructure, and encourages change of societal habits through taxation and subsidy.

      The Bush energy policy subsidized insulation, efficient windows, efficient HVAC system installation, and many other steps taken to better insulate the home. We already know that better insulation is the best way to reduce energy usage, so I don't see how the Bush administration was wrong on that one. (not speaking to many of its other deplorable policies)

      In addition to my new insulation, I installed a SEER 15 central air (replacing the old SEER 8 unit) and an 87% efficient oil burner (replacing the old one which was making about 67%. Tax credits paid for roughly half of the installation cost. I would not have been able to afford it without them, so at least in my case, the policy worked, and the government got far better bang for its buck that it would have had that money gone into a PV system or Ethanol or whatever, and my bills are amazingly lower than they used to be. I got 30% from the new HVAC and another 30% from the insulation, basically halving my heating and cooling costs overall.

      In any case, what Cheney said (as you quoted it) was absolutely true. "Conservation alone" does not make a "comprehensive" policy. The words "alone" and "comprehensive" basically mean the opposite things in this context.

    2. Re:increasing insulation is better by falconwolf · · Score: 1

      In any case, what Cheney said (as you quoted it) was absolutely true. "Conservation alone" does not make a "comprehensive" policy. The words "alone" and "comprehensive" basically mean the opposite things in this context.

      I don't dispute that but the way conservation was talked about, only environmentalists take conservation seriously. However if it is not considered it doesn't matter what other steps are taken, there is no free energy. That is other than the negawatt there isn't. I don't recall how it went but the survivors of the Great Depression had a good saying about how important conservation was to them.

      Of course Cheney was someone who had more important things to do than serve in the military and possibly get sent to Viet Nam where he could get shot.

      Falcon

    3. Re:increasing insulation is better by EmagGeek · · Score: 1

      I might disagree with you. I think there's a staggering difference between an environmentalist and a conservationist. To me, environmentalists are more political, emotional, and activist than conservationists, who are more scientific, educated, and credible. Both have similar goals, but there is always a smarter way to do things.

      Conservation during the great depression was also different than what conservation is today. I used to speak at length with my grandmother about the Great Depression. She was in her late teens and early twenties and had many memories, diaries, and other honest information about it. Conservation back then meant self-sufficiency as much as it meant anything else.

      Most everyone in her town grew their own food, and people traded what they didn't need for what they did. The official unemployment rate was high, but that's not really because of unemployment. It was largely a small-scale barter society that was under the radar of taxation.

      Today, conservation is about using fewer resources and polluting less. Yesteryear, conservation was much more about conserving the system and the ability to produce in the absence of available capital to finance it, in addition to reducing consumption as much as possible, because everything was finite. The outcomes are similar, but I do see them as different approaches.

    4. Re:increasing insulation is better by falconwolf · · Score: 1

      Conservation during the great depression was also different than what conservation is today. I used to speak at length with my grandmother about the Great Depression. She was in her late teens and early twenties and had many memories, diaries, and other honest information about it. Conservation back then meant self-sufficiency as much as it meant anything else.

      Conservation still means self-sufficiency. Well it used to mean community and neighborliness, swapping what you no longer need for what you do need. With the mobile society we have now it seems you'll find more community feelings online than you do in real life.

      Most everyone in her town grew their own food, and people traded what they didn't need for what they did. The official unemployment rate was high, but that's not really because of unemployment. It was largely a small-scale barter society that was under the radar of taxation.

      Yea, growing up we were able to grow a lot of food in our back yard. Growing up in Florida we could get 2 or 3 harvests a year. Though I live up north now, a day's drive from Ontario, I still love gardening. I'm too impatient though and can hardly wait until I can start working on my garden. So I try to content myself with planning it, what will I grow and how much will I grow. Otherwise I still need to wait until the end of March to start my plants indoors. I keep on wishing I had at least half an acre with a greenhouse. I hope to grow more food this year, what I grew last year I shared with neighbors but there wasn't much. The year before I had enough greens to have salad for lunch every day during the summer but only enough last year for salad a couple of days a week. Other gardeners, home and commercial gardeners, didn't have a good year either. It was dryer, and warmer, than usual.

      Well last year wasn't totally wasted, I was able to increase the fertility of the soil. I hope I get enough herbs, onions, tomatoes, and tomatillos this year to make and can a few gallons of salsa and sauces. I also want to make some jams/preserves and dry some fruits. Another thing I want to do is use some of my peppers to brew some fire breathing beer.

      Now only if I can find a local swap or barter place. Perhaps I can do them at the community gardens in the area, I've been thinking of leasing a plot in one or more gardens to grow more stuff as well.

      Falcon

  67. Watts / Square foot? by EricTheO · · Score: 1

    Efficency is only part of the equation what is the ammount of power produced per square foot?

    --
    -Eric
  68. Correlation is not causation. by falconwolf · · Score: 1

    I speak from a more pragmatic point of view (as someone who works with hundreds of teachers every year) - teachers unions are almost entirely counterproductive to the process of education.

    As you say "Correlation is not causation."

    Falcon

    1. Re:Correlation is not causation. by ShakaUVM · · Score: 1

      >>As you say "Correlation is not causation."

      Direct observation trumps correlation. When I'm trying to give a workshop to improve teachers' technical skills in the educational world, and the union blocks it, that's a direct hit to their ability to teach.

  69. Direct observation trumps correlation. by falconwolf · · Score: 1

    When I'm trying to give a workshop to improve teachers' technical skills in the educational world, and the union blocks it, that's a direct hit to their ability to teach.

    Does that happen everywhere all the tyme, or just in some places? Just because one or two unions may do that does not mean they all do. Nor does it mean they don't want teachers to improve.

    Remember for it to be science it has to have reproducible effects, and if just in one case the effect isn't the same then either the hypothesis predicts it needs to be adjusted to account for different outcomes or it's false. I bet there are plenty of places with teachers' unions who don't have the effects you say, like almost every state that ranks above the below average North Carolina schools.

    Falcon

  70. RE by falconwolf · · Score: 1

    Good luck to you! I'm in school right now for Electrical Engineering, and am dreading the fallout from my loans. I'm interested in working in RE somehow as well, not necessarily as an installer but maybe designing components. (I'm actually going to start on a homemade inverter pretty soon, not for intertie of course.) I think there will be a great opportunity for this sort of industry pretty soon, as the cost goes down and more people become aware of just what you can do. Just keep at it, the future will be pretty exciting.

    Thanks. Years ago my major was Computer Engineering, so if I go with a major study area of Electrical or Electronic Engineering now I'll still study engineering. Thing is is I'll have to retake a number of classes such as chemistry, math, and physics. Of them all I had left to take was Thermodynamics. But because of bad memory I'd have to review if not retake them all. I'd be basically starting all again. As for working in RE many people start out as installers but as they work, and learn, they start designing as well. Going that route you know what can be done, which reminds me of a friend in college. He was a steel worker on skyscrapers before starting college as an Architectural Engineer and he used to say that if someone on a crew of his came up and said they could not be do something in his plans he'd try to do it himself and if he could it then he'd fire that person.

    Just keep at it, the future will be pretty exciting.

    Oh I believe things will be interesting. My problem is that I'm so tired. I've been fighting for a life with meaning for more than 10 years but as I said before I'll tired and don't really have much hope anymore. There are only two things that keep me going, trying. One is, as my therapists have said, stubbornness. I have had therapists and neurologists say I only lived because I was stubborn. The other thing is that although I no longer do I used to believe in reincarnation. Occasionally I'd think of ending the pain and suffering but then think that if reincarnation were true then I'd have to come back and go through it in another life. I know it's not rational or logical but neither one could touch it, the fear.

    Falcon

    1. Re:RE by linuxpyro · · Score: 1

      Thanks. Years ago my major was Computer Engineering, so if I go with a major study area of Electrical or Electronic Engineering now I'll still study engineering. Thing is is I'll have to retake a number of classes such as chemistry, math, and physics. Of them all I had left to take was Thermodynamics. But because of bad memory I'd have to review if not retake them all. I'd be basically starting all again. As for working in RE many people start out as installers but as they work, and learn, they start designing as well.

      Thermodynamics for a CE? I guess it varies by school but I didn't realize many places had that as a requirement (or still did, at least). You might want to look around, you never know what another school might be willing to transfer. If in doubt the professors should be willing to tell you what you really need to know. It seems like the math is what you might want to be most concerned with, but you might be able to review enough of it to do well. Also you might ask if you can sit in on a class.

      Going that route you know what can be done, which reminds me of a friend in college. He was a steel worker on skyscrapers before starting college as an Architectural Engineer and he used to say that if someone on a crew of his came up and said they could not be do something in his plans he'd try to do it himself and if he could it then he'd fire that person.

      Just about every teacher I've had who I consider decent has been very clear in saying that they would never have us do anything they themselves could not do.

      Oh I believe things will be interesting. My problem is that I'm so tired. I've been fighting for a life with meaning for more than 10 years but as I said before I'll tired and don't really have much hope anymore. There are only two things that keep me going, trying. One is, as my therapists have said, stubbornness. I have had therapists and neurologists say I only lived because I was stubborn. The other thing is that although I no longer do I used to believe in reincarnation. Occasionally I'd think of ending the pain and suffering but then think that if reincarnation were true then I'd have to come back and go through it in another life. I know it's not rational or logical but neither one could touch it, the fear.

      Falcon

      Obviously people believe a lot of things. Who knows, maybe we do reincarnate? But the truth is the only thing we can be sure of, the thing we don't need to 'believe' in because we know it, is that we're here - 'I think therefore I am.' There's a time and a place for stubbornness, and I suppose when it comes to something like that.

      --
      Saying "I'll probably get modded down for this" in a post is the best way to get it modded up.
  71. education by falconwolf · · Score: 1

    Thermodynamics for a CE? I guess it varies by school but I didn't realize many places had that as a requirement (or still did, at least). You might want to look around, you never know what another school might be willing to transfer.

    I don't recall if Thermodynamics was required for a CE degree but there was one more physics class that was required. Now I did have all the math classes needed. However because to get a minor in physics I only needed to take 2 more physics classes and the same for math I decided to take those 4 more classes. So I would have ended up with a degree in CE and minors in math and physics.

    Depending on how it's looked at, if I knew in high school what I know now I'd have done better or worse than a major and 2 minors. If I knew then what I know now I'd have done a double major. In high school I wanted to do both computer engineering and a marine science, marine bio or oceanography perhaps. I loved and took classes in both. As part of the marine biology class and club I was in a group of us went to Mote Marine Laboratory on a field trip. Before leaving there a couple of us were pulled aside and asked if we wanted to work there during the summer. We were told that if we did and we wanted to major in a marine science in college they'd help us get in and pay for it. By then I had basically decided I wanted to design computer systems though, so I turned it down.

    Obviously people believe a lot of things. Who knows, maybe we do reincarnate? But the truth is the only thing we can be sure of, the thing we don't need to 'believe' in because we know it, is that we're here - 'I think therefore I am.' There's a time and a place for stubbornness, and I suppose when it comes to something like that.

    Back when, before my accident, spirituality was important to me. Spirituality not religion. And though I still recall what beliefs I had I no longer believe them. As I've said here and other places I am agnostic, "a" without and "gnosis" knowledge. Thing is, with living I always believed and told my family I'd rather be disconnected and have all the lines and tubes pulled so that I'd die if it came to being a vegetable or dying. I don't recall it but one of my sisters' told me that after I came out of the coma I was in in the hospital I screamed at everyone to let me die.

    Falcon

    1. Re:education by linuxpyro · · Score: 1

      I don't recall if Thermodynamics was required for a CE degree but there was one more physics class that was required. Now I did have all the math classes needed. However because to get a minor in physics I only needed to take 2 more physics classes and the same for math I decided to take those 4 more classes. So I would have ended up with a degree in CE and minors in math and physics.

      Depending on how it's looked at, if I knew in high school what I know now I'd have done better or worse than a major and 2 minors. If I knew then what I know now I'd have done a double major. In high school I wanted to do both computer engineering and a marine science, marine bio or oceanography perhaps. I loved and took classes in both. As part of the marine biology class and club I was in a group of us went to Mote Marine Laboratory on a field trip. Before leaving there a couple of us were pulled aside and asked if we wanted to work there during the summer. We were told that if we did and we wanted to major in a marine science in college they'd help us get in and pay for it. By then I had basically decided I wanted to design computer systems though, so I turned it down.

      I considered majoring in music back in high school. I concluded, though that being interested in EE as well I should make that my career path instead. Right now I plan to go for a music minor, though.

      Back when, before my accident, spirituality was important to me. Spirituality not religion. And though I still recall what beliefs I had I no longer believe them. As I've said here and other places I am agnostic, "a" without and "gnosis" knowledge. Thing is, with living I always believed and told my family I'd rather be disconnected and have all the lines and tubes pulled so that I'd die if it came to being a vegetable or dying. I don't recall it but one of my sisters' told me that after I came out of the coma I was in in the hospital I screamed at everyone to let me die.

      Falcon

      It seems that a lot of the people who demand to be allowed to die are the ones who end up making it. :) I agree with you about not wanting to be a vegetable, but I think there's always some hope.

      I guess I would consider myself a religious/spiritual person, though it is my own set of beliefs. I haven't been through what you have, but I could see how you would come to your conclusion. I know my beliefs could possibly be rationalizations, but for now they're what I have in the absence of absolute knowledge.

      --
      Saying "I'll probably get modded down for this" in a post is the best way to get it modded up.