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Bitcoin Mining Reward About To Halve

First time accepted submitter ASDFnz writes "The reward for successfully completing a block (also called mining) is about to halve from 50 bitcoins to 25. From the article: 'Bitcoin is built so that this reward is halved every 210,000 blocks solved. The idea is as bitcoin grows the transaction fees become the main part of the reward and the introduction of new bitcoins slows down to a trickle. This also means that there will only ever be 21,000,000 bitcoins in circulation.' You can watch the countdown here."

600 comments

  1. Quick, calculate me another way to profit. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    My parents won't let me mooch off their electricty forever.

    1. Re:Quick, calculate me another way to profit. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      You can get them for free at http://www.bitvisitor.com

      Online advertising is just one of many industries that bitcoin is disrupting. (Bitcoin is perfect for such micro-transactions).

    2. Re:Quick, calculate me another way to profit. by cultiv8 · · Score: 4, Informative

      So rent an apartment where electricity is included; most rental agreements don't have anything that specifically forbids bitcoin mining.

      --
      sysadmins and parents of newborns get the same amount of sleep.
    3. Re:Quick, calculate me another way to profit. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, but few apartments include electricity in the rent.

    4. Re:Quick, calculate me another way to profit. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      They do, however, have provisions for electrical consumption being excessive.

      Assuming the Landlord has an ounce of brains anyway.

    5. Re:Quick, calculate me another way to profit. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, but there are plenty of apartment complexes that don't have individual meters for each apartment. Residents get billed based on the average of everyone's usage. Tragedy of the Commons in action...

    6. Re:Quick, calculate me another way to profit. by Opportunist · · Score: 3, Informative

      And this, dear kids, is why communism doesn't work. There's always that asshole that abuses the system.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    7. Re:Quick, calculate me another way to profit. by molecular · · Score: 1

      With the introduction of using ASICs for mining, nowadays the large chunk of the cost will be upfront for the hardware anyway. A "jalapeno" from BFL (no ASIC is being delivered yet, btw) will deliver 4.5 GHash/s using around 5 Watts of power. Compare that to about 2000 Watts for a CPU rig of same hashing power.

    8. Re:Quick, calculate me another way to profit. by icebraining · · Score: 4, Informative

      Communism never meant you could use whatever you want; not in theory, nor in practice. The principle was "to each according to his need".

    9. Re:Quick, calculate me another way to profit. by linhares · · Score: 1

      actually, it's because *everyone* has an incentive to abuse and milk the system?

    10. Re:Quick, calculate me another way to profit. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you need to heat your apartment those bitcoins are basically free!

    11. Re:Quick, calculate me another way to profit. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And this, dear kids, is why communism doesn't work. There's always that asshole that abuses the system.

      That's not why communism doesn't work, communism doesn't work because unlike capitalism, there is no provided, included incentive to work hard, nor to prevent people doing what you describe as 'abusing the system'. However, your opinion on what constitutes abuse of the system is different from other people's.

      For example, Comrade Opportunist, I think you reading Slashdot when you could be out farming beets like you're supposed to be is abusing the system. Get back to the fields, and get back to work! By your laziness, your wasting time on Slashdot is taking food out of the mouths of my children, that you are somehow responsible for providing.

      See? By making everyone free to choose how they will spend their own money, capitalism ensures that if you make bad decisions, YOU will suffer for it, not everyone else. At the end of the day, communism doesn't work because in order to work, several aspects of humanity would have to be changed or overridden, that is human nature would have to be different from what it is, and human nature isn't going to change because some fucking hippie beatniks wish it would. The plain and simple fact is, you pinko, it is differential between the resources of different people that facilitate trade and our economy. Clearly you're either a child in school, who doesn't know better yet, or your school failed to educate you, in which case your parents should go to your teachers and demand a refund, since they didn't do their jobs.

      If you have trouble understanding this, here are a few practical demonstrations you can do on your own to show why communism doesn't work, (or at least why the economic model, socialism, doesn't work). Take a light bulb and some wires, and fixtures to hold everything in place. Connect one wire from the bulb through a switch, then the other end of that switch by another wire to a rectangular piece of paper. Connect the wire from the other end of the bulb to the other end of the piece of paper. On the paper, write the word, "Battery" and also inscribe the number of volts the battery needs to be to light the bulb. Close the switch. Did the bulb illuminate? (Moral: false motivation produces no results.)

      Bring some people into the place where this lamp is and ask them to read and work by the light of the bulb. When they complain it's dark, pull a loaded gun and threaten to shoot them; let's assume there's enough light for them to see you have a gun, but not enough to work by. Do they work efficiently in the darkness? (Moral: threatening people can be effective in making them pretend to work, but nothing will actually get done.)

      Plan a picnic for a group of friends. Tell each one what to bring, and how much. Punish them if they disobey by bringing anything other than what you told them to bring. Since you forgot that two of them were diabetic, and didn't know that one has a gluten allergy, and two have nut allergies, several of your friends die because you didn't think to provide what they themselves KNEW they needed, and indeed would have had if you hadn't insisted like a jackass that you knew better than they did what THEY NEEDED. (Moral: command directed economies depend upon the people in charge having better knowledge of what people need than they themselves do, otherwise the efficiency of the system suffers, and the people in charge look like incompetent moron-assholes.)

      Hire a group of people to fix your house and mend your leaking roof. Tell them up front that you will pay each one fifty dollars per day, no matter how much or little gets done, no matter how hard and well they work, or how lazy and shiftless they prove to be. Assign tasks based on what each one says he's capable of. Tell them that they will be able to keep getting paid until the job is done. See how wet all your posters of Che get next time it rains. Stock up on buckets. Notice how each person turns out to c

    12. Re:Quick, calculate me another way to profit. by louzer · · Score: 0

      Buddha said human needs are unlimited. Unfortunately human ability is limited. Therefore from each according to his ability to each according to his need is a surefire way to bankruptcy.

      I wait for the day when government subsidized sex robots will be claimed as an essential human need. After all isn't it true that sex is a basic human need for human well being?

      --
      Heroes die once, cowards live longer.
    13. Re:Quick, calculate me another way to profit. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, it's not true. If Buddhist monks can do without, normal people can also do the same given the same training.

    14. Re:Quick, calculate me another way to profit. by Vintermann · · Score: 1

      If ASICs for bitcoin mining become profitable, why would anyone sell them? After all, it's not as if you have to go up in the hills for this sort of mining. The ASIC makers could perfectly well mine coins themselves.

      Unless of course, it's like in other gold rushes, that there is more money in selling gold-digging tools than actually digging for gold.

      --
      xkcd is not in the sudoers file. This incident will be reported.
    15. Re:Quick, calculate me another way to profit. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The principle was "to each according to his need".

      And contrary to popular belief, this workers' paradise is alive and well in Scandinavian countries.

    16. Re:Quick, calculate me another way to profit. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Gee, am I ever glad Slashdot user Opportunist is around to educate all us stupid children on why more than a century of communist/anarchist theorizing is completely useless. If only Slashdot comments had been around prior to Marx's works, he could have gone on to become a successful bitcoin miner instead. (Nevermind the fact you apparently don't know much about communism and that people won't be permitted to just go ahead and "abuse the system" all they like.)

    17. Re:Quick, calculate me another way to profit. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Tell that to everyone that grew up in the soviet block.

    18. Re:Quick, calculate me another way to profit. by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      Exactly, and here someone would want to use more resources than he needs to gain something he doesn't need either.

      Capitalism at its finest.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    19. Re:Quick, calculate me another way to profit. by Opportunist · · Score: 0

      Because humankind's mind is too simple to work in numbers exceeding the original herd of 5-20 beings that we used to work in back when we were still wandering the plains. Nothing has changed. Nothing at all. We may form states and countries comprising millions of us, but we're still by no means any more socially advanced than the stone age clans.

      The gag is that the incentive to abuse and milk the system is that everyone is milking and abusing the system, so you have to, too, to stay in the game. It would be heaps more efficient if we didn't have to waste resources on that. Humans just don't work like that, though. That's why "communes" can actually work out sometimes, because the people there form a herd and that doesn't exceed the herd limit. Watch how the group starts to fall apart as soon as their numbers grow, you'll easily find that sub-groups form and split up, just like they had to back when hunting and gathering was the state of the art form of getting food. There is simply an optimal number of individuals for this task, and as soon as our groups grow beyond that point we naturally start to split up.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    20. Re:Quick, calculate me another way to profit. by Opportunist · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The incentive to work in capitalism is just as shallow, just better veiled, but it starts to fall apart as well now. And please apologize when I ignore the rest of the diatribe. I have no idea where you pull those examples out of, but I better not touch that place.

      In communism, the promise was "work hard, and soon in the future we'll all be living in the socialist worker paradise". Well, people started out believing in it. No, seriously. I'm serious. Look at how Russia developed in the 1920s, they turned from a backwards agrarian society that was close to a feudal system into an industry nation within a few years. At a horrible price, no doubt about that, but people believed in it and pulled through. Well, guess what, it didn't work out. And after WW2, it became plainly obvious to everyone that this "work hard and soon we'll all be living better" is an empty promise. Especially when you see how on one hand the party idiots are being promoted and have access to things you can only dream of, and that no kind of work or butt kissing will ever give you the same. You may get ahead a bit compared to your peers if you are a "more loyal comrade", but it's just the crumbs from the cake the big players eat, and that's a circle you cannot climb into, no matter how much you try, it's a closed circle of "friends" that matched and mingled in party organizations and party training camps. Your only chance to get access to at least those crumbs is that you work extra hard "for the greater good", volunteer for "extra duty" and similar crap.

      The joke is now that capitalism works actually the same way. Well, not quite the same way, it's different empty promises and different approach, but the end result is exactly the same. The promise of capitalism is "being rich is the goal, because money can buy whatever you need, work hard and one day you have the chance to be rich too". Well, some people buy into that. Most, actually. No system could exist without enough people supporting or at the very least not sensibly opposing it. But it becomes more and more obvious that the promise is shallow, too. No amount of work will ever elevate you to the executive levels of the big corporations where the big bucks are being handed out. That's a closed circle of people who know each other from various fraternities or buddies from the same schools. Schools that you couldn't go to because your parents are not rich enough to send you there. Because they didn't have a degree from said schools to get into a position that... you get the idea, right?

      Money stays amongst itself, there's no butting in for you, peasant. But if you work extra hard, you might get promoted in the office treadmill, you'll get some bullshit title and you'll feel important because now you make the big bucks, i.e. like 200 bucks more per month. But "rich", in the capitalist sense, you'll never be. Neither you, nor your kids.

      So, essentially, whether you call it communism and make party loyalty the decider between powerful and peasant, or whether you call it capitalism and use money for the same, it's not that much of a difference. If you're not in the correct circles, if you're not with the right people, you won't get anywhere in either system. The reason capitalism works better is simply that it's harder to see through, that the lie of "everyone can get rich if you work hard enough" is compelling, especially if you get to hear about someone actually "making it". In communism, those people were "worker of the month", btw, and had about as much influence on your well being. Well, maybe it upped your monthly quota because obviously it's possible. In capitalist terms, I guess it would be something akin to "why hand out wellfare, you see there is that one guy that made it, why can't they?"

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    21. Re:Quick, calculate me another way to profit. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Funny story -

      Renting an apartment ... that's actually capitalism.

      It amazes me how when the masters of the universe suck everything that they can out of the system, the are being brilliant businessmen, but when the serfs take advantage of the structure of a deal, they are being leeches.

    22. Re:Quick, calculate me another way to profit. by Goaway · · Score: 2

      Actually, Bitcoin is not at all good for microtransactions, due to blocksize limits and the necessity of transfer fees.

    23. Re:Quick, calculate me another way to profit. by IndustrialComplex · · Score: 1

      There is more money to be had in selling mining tools for companies which already sell mining related equipment.

      Consider your gold rush example. The companies selling the mining tools were already in the business of selling pickaxes, shovels, and other hardware. What were their costs to sell 'gold mining' tools? A newspaper ad announcing that they were selling mining tools. However, if they decided to get INTO the mining business, what would be their cost? Land to mine, the exact same tools, decreased market for their existing products, manual labor, expertise in selecting the land, etc...

      In otherwords, if you have a business model that works (selling electronics), it may not make sense to divert your profit into a short-term, high-risk, venture rather than using your profit to enhance your current business. There are plenty of companies who sell oil-drilling equipment and don't extract the oil themselves, and drilling for oil isn't exactly unprofitable.

      I currently don't have an electronics business. But I do have a set-aside of cash for 'hobby-investement'.

      --
      Out of modpoints but really liked a post? 1BDkF6TtmmeZ3yqXbz9yhdYVqRYnwFoXDj
    24. Re:Quick, calculate me another way to profit. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      By making everyone free to choose how they will spend their own money, capitalism ensures that if you make bad decisions, YOU will suffer for it, not everyone else.

      Tell that to those who suffer from bad decisions of their employer. Or from bad decisions of their banks. Or from bad decisions of some hedge fund.

      Sorry to burst your bubble, but capitalism doesn't shield you from bad decisions of others. But that's not a fault of capitalism, because no system can do that. All a system can do is to encourage the right decision and discourage the wrong decision.

    25. Re:Quick, calculate me another way to profit. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Communism never meant you could use whatever you want; not in theory, nor in practice. The principle was "to each according to his need".

      What matters is who says what your need is.

      And what better to do that than an overweening government that knows everything? :-P

    26. Re:Quick, calculate me another way to profit. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And this, dear kids, is why communism doesn't work. There's always that asshole that reports his needs falsely inflated, while sparing his abilities for moonlighting.

    27. Re:Quick, calculate me another way to profit. by Vintermann · · Score: 1

      However, if they decided to get INTO the mining business, what would be their cost? Land to mine, the exact same tools, decreased market for their existing products, manual labor, expertise in selecting the land, etc...

      But that is precisely the point. To actually mine gold efficiently, you need lots of things and skills besides mining equipment. To mine bitcoins, you need virtually nothing except these ASICs and power.

      --
      xkcd is not in the sudoers file. This incident will be reported.
    28. Re:Quick, calculate me another way to profit. by icebraining · · Score: 2

      Buddha said human needs are unlimited.

      No, he didn't.

    29. Re:Quick, calculate me another way to profit. by IndustrialComplex · · Score: 1

      Because humankind's mind is too simple to work in numbers exceeding the original herd of 5-20 beings that we used to work in back when we were still wandering the plains. Nothing has changed. Nothing at all. We may form states and countries comprising millions of us, but we're still by no means any more socially advanced than the stone age clans.

      That doesn't make sense. We may not behave in the manner which you may find to be ideal, but the idea that there has been no evolutionary pressure since the emergence of humans, to the advent of farming communities, to contemporary society seems highly improbable.

      We can already observe changes taking place from early humans and modern humans due to dietary, environmental, and other factors. It would be absolutely astounding to discover that something as influential as civilization would not already be influencing human evolution.

      I don't mean to say that any of that has been expressed in genetics in a significant manner (to the extent to declare that initial humans would be a separate species from contemporary humans), but I disagree with the notion that 'we' are identical to the first few generations of humans.

      --
      Out of modpoints but really liked a post? 1BDkF6TtmmeZ3yqXbz9yhdYVqRYnwFoXDj
    30. Re:Quick, calculate me another way to profit. by icebraining · · Score: 1

      The promise of capitalism is "being rich is the goal, because money can buy whatever you need, work hard and one day you have the chance to be rich too".

      When was this promised, and by whom?

    31. Re:Quick, calculate me another way to profit. by Rich0 · · Score: 1

      Uh, if you're using an electric space heater, sure. If you're using something better than one of the most expensive forms of heating, not so much.

      It might be the case that the offset from the value of the bitcoins does make it a net profit, but I tend to think this won't be the case. A big part of modern mining costs are in the hardware. You either use general-purpose hardware which has other use but which depreciates fast in value, or you use much more cost-effective dedicated hardware that has no other use.

      If you happen to be building a large-scale flight simulator in your basement and mining bitcoins helps keep it warm in the winter and pay for the 4 PCs and 8 video cards then it makes sense. If you just have a typical $400 PC it is much less likely to be cost-effective.

    32. Re:Quick, calculate me another way to profit. by Bigby · · Score: 1

      That's why capitalism is typically paired with free enterprise. Screw the companies and create your own.

    33. Re:Quick, calculate me another way to profit. by bondsbw · · Score: 4, Insightful

      But then how do I get what I want?

      It's not like communism magically changes everyone's hearts to love and selflessness.

      --
      All my liberal friends think I'm a conservative, all my conservative friends think I'm a liberal.
    34. Re:Quick, calculate me another way to profit. by Metabolife · · Score: 1

      That's interesting, because I see a lot of doctors who worked really hard who are making good money (close to 1mil/yr). Granted it took them 15 years to get there, but I personally know a few who started from nothing.

    35. Re:Quick, calculate me another way to profit. by bondsbw · · Score: 2

      Not refuting the points you made (as I believe mostly the same). Just here to point out that we shouldn't assume that communism and capitalism are both equally corruptible.

      In communism, there is one entity: society. Even though they preach about having stateless social order, society itself is the government. On the surface, this looks like democracy but better. But someone ultimately has to be in charge of that government/social order, and the guy who wants power tends to be the guy who wants to abuse that power. That's where everything tends to fall apart.

      In capitalism, the government is (should be) a different entity altogether from the many, many businesses and banks that control the money. Government is (should be) mostly hands-off as far as money goes. Their power lies in having control of the courts, the military/police, and as overseer of property rights. All of this is separated from that money and power that the money brings... at least, in theory. The biggest problem here is that the separation isn't complete enough... a problem that a good system of check and balances within the government can help reduce. (I just wish there were more checks and balances in the US government.)

      Perhaps with enough checks and balances, communism could help develop some nations. I really doubt that it can help an already-developed nation become better; in fact, as you point out, the incentives for better work are reduced and society gets reduced to the mentality that workers are all mindless drones.

      --
      All my liberal friends think I'm a conservative, all my conservative friends think I'm a liberal.
    36. Re:Quick, calculate me another way to profit. by Archangel+Michael · · Score: 2

      There is a difference between Capitolism and Socialism, in that Capitalism rewards hard work by the individual (ostensibly) while the promise to the worker in Communism is that hard work pays off for the collective. The reality is, that Capitalism is better for the collective in the end.

      Problem is, we don't run Capitalism any more, we are more of a combination of statism and corporatism, that effectively shuts down innovation and competition with rules and regulations and increases to the entry barrier. So, if you want to blame anyone, blame the (R) and (D) type politburo we have, and why we'll look more like 1960's Soviet Era economy shortly.

      --
      Agent K: A *person* is smart. People are dumb, stupid, panicky animals, and you know it.
    37. Re:Quick, calculate me another way to profit. by Moses48 · · Score: 1

      I have a friend that became a multi-millionaire. He did this by creating a business out of nothing. It was not handed to him for being in a specific crowd.
      I have another friend that made a million off of a home grown website.
      I have a brother who was denied entrance to Yale because he did not have "connections" (in spite of him having better scores than the other candidates. He then got a similar job along with the Yale student after his MBA (and without the debt).

      All anecdotes, I admit, yet they attest to the American dream still living. Those who knock it, are those unwilling to try and fail and try again.

    38. Re:Quick, calculate me another way to profit. by icebraining · · Score: 2

      No, he doesn't claim that communism changes people in such way.

      I'm hardly well read in the works of Marx, so I would be doing him a disservice by pretending to explain his position. I advise you to read Human Requirements and Division of Labour Under the Rule of Private Property.

    39. Re:Quick, calculate me another way to profit. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There are plenty of entrepreneurs that make very real money in a capitalist society that would never happen in a communist society. The two that come immediately to mind are Bill Gates & Mark Zuckerberg.

    40. Re:Quick, calculate me another way to profit. by harks · · Score: 1

      Everyone has widely different definitions of what they "need."

    41. Re:Quick, calculate me another way to profit. by Mira+One · · Score: 1

      Capitalism is an economic system based on a free market, open competition, profit motive and private ownership of the means of production. Capitalism does not make a promise of becoming rich nor does it make any promises about the risk of loss. Whatever economic system is used, it's fundamentally about whom does the work and whom benefits from that work (the producer or someone else). Capitalism does not force workers to work at a factory and sell their time to the factory owner. They can choose to produce their own necessities, but many choose not to. The majority of people choose to support governments that make it much more difficult to do that, but that is also a choice they make.

    42. Re:Quick, calculate me another way to profit. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Thank you for a very insightful post.

      At least capitalism gives you the opportunity, even if it is hard and the big corporations collude to buy anti-competitive laws.
      Of course, the next step is spirituality, since neither capitalism or communism can provide sustainable development over the long term without buttfucking someone else.

    43. Re:Quick, calculate me another way to profit. by icebraining · · Score: 1

      Sure. Marx has written extensive works on the nature of man, his desires and their origins, and can't be fully explained in a few sentences, and certainly not by an ignorant like me.

    44. Re:Quick, calculate me another way to profit. by DragonWriter · · Score: 1

      All anecdotes, I admit, yet they attest to the American dream still living. Those who knock it, are those unwilling to try and fail and try again.

      Or, you know, the people that look at data rather than anecdotes and note the erosion both of the middle class and social mobility since the 1970s. If you cherry-pick the non-representative success stories you can fine and cast them as representative you can build a narrative that allows you to ignore the growing problem until there are no successes, but why would you want to?

    45. Re:Quick, calculate me another way to profit. by Luyseyal · · Score: 1

      If you look at the erstwhile libertarian ideas of today, they lead directly to aristocracy, corporatism, and plutocracy. So, I would say "L" is not a valid option either.

      $0.02USD,
      -l

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    46. Re:Quick, calculate me another way to profit. by doshell · · Score: 2

      It's not a question of whether it's possible to start from nothing and be well off. It certainly is, for a few select people. The question you should ask yourself is how many succeed (preemptive addendum: even if you only consider those who try). A lot of people fall prey to confirmation bias when they discuss capitalism: they see ten people that succeeded, but not the ten thousand that didn't — because no one sings the story of those that failed.

      --
      Score: i, Imaginary
    47. Re:Quick, calculate me another way to profit. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      All economic systems are promises to riches. The feeling of "richness" comes from the perception that you have more than enough resources to satisfy your own demands.

      And economics is all about figuring out the best way to allocate limited resources to satisfy infinite demand - how best to make the most people get (or at least feel) rich.

    48. Re:Quick, calculate me another way to profit. by s73v3r · · Score: 1

      And this, dear kids, is why communism doesn't work. There's always that asshole that abuses the system.

      That's the reason why almost any pure economic system doesn't work, including unregulated Capitalism.

    49. Re:Quick, calculate me another way to profit. by s73v3r · · Score: 1

      By making everyone free to choose how they will spend their own money, capitalism ensures that if you make bad decisions, YOU will suffer for it, not everyone else

      That sound great in theory, but in reality, no man is an island. We are all connected, and the actions of some people can have disastrous consequences for everyone else. The last financial collapse, for instance.

    50. Re:Quick, calculate me another way to profit. by s73v3r · · Score: 1

      Everywhere. You're an idiot not to see it.

    51. Re:Quick, calculate me another way to profit. by s73v3r · · Score: 1

      With what money? And if I'm a person who requires health insurance, due to a pre-existing condition, "starting my own company" just got even more expensive. Further, there are plenty of reasons not to do so, not the least of which is simply not having an idea, or not having the knack for business.

      Starting your own business can be great, and I don't want to dissuade anyone from doing it. But to use that as the perfect answer to Capitalism's woes is absolutely retarded.

    52. Re:Quick, calculate me another way to profit. by s73v3r · · Score: 1

      And I know people who did fuck all and are making even better money. And I know people who have put in long hours of hard work only to be tossed out on their ass. So your example is worthless.

    53. Re:Quick, calculate me another way to profit. by s73v3r · · Score: 1

      The reality is, that Capitalism is better for the collective in the end.

      That's a pretty subjective view of things. Capitalism has caused plenty of it's own problems, to which many people are NOT better off for it. The problem is that unchecked Capitalism rewards profit at all costs, and sees people as costs in that equation.

      The real answer, like many things in life, is not purely one way or the other, but a balance somewhere in the middle.

    54. Re:Quick, calculate me another way to profit. by s73v3r · · Score: 1

      I have a friend that became a multi-millionaire. He did this by creating a business out of nothing.

      And I've known a couple of people who have created business out of nothing, and had that business fail miserably. I'm going to bet my anecdote is more common than yours.

    55. Re:Quick, calculate me another way to profit. by s73v3r · · Score: 1

      Capitalism does not force workers to work at a factory

      In theory, no. In reality, if you want to eat, you will work. And in many places, the options for those work are not as varied. And moving across the country, or even the state can take significant resources, which one might not have.

      The majority of people choose to support governments that make it much more difficult to do that, but that is also a choice they make.

      This is absolute fucking horseshit, and you know it.

    56. Re:Quick, calculate me another way to profit. by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 1

      It's not like communism magically changes everyone's hearts to love and selflessness.

      The idea of all Marxist states was to establish a socialist regime - "dictatorship of the proletariat" - that would modernize the society and educate the upcoming generations, such that eventually (how soon exactly was heavily debated) they would be raised so that altruism and selflessness was ingrained in every single member of the society, other than mentally handicapped, to the extent that the only feedback mechanism necessary to prevent tragedy of the commons would be social ridicule / ostracism. Only at that point, the actual transition to communism proper was meant to occur (which is why e.g. USSR never called its political system "communist"). In early Soviet years, eugenics was also involved as well, though it never went beyond several experiments.

      Pondering the feasibility of that plan is left as an exercise for the reader.

    57. Re:Quick, calculate me another way to profit. by betterunixthanunix · · Score: 1

      In communism, there is one entity: society.

      You are confusing communism with fascism. In fascism, society as a whole takes precedence over individuals (except, of course, those who are in command of society and who therefore decide what society should be doing). In communism, workers own the means of production; communists often promote non-individualistic approaches to society (shared ownership of things besides the means of production), but this is not strictly necessary for a communist system and markets are possible in communism.

      That's where everything tends to fall apart.

      Communism tends to fall apart at the nation-state level because it is usually not voluntary. Voluntary communism -- collective ownership of factories, farms, and even entire towns -- has worked and continues to work. The problem with communist revolutions is basically identical to every other revolution: most people are not great enlightenment thinkers, so when the revolutionary army overthrows an abusive government, you usually wind up with some form of dictatorship (see e.g. Cuba, or for something more modern, Egypt). That is not the fault of communism; it happens among capitalists as well.

      In capitalism, the government is (should be) a different entity altogether from the many, many businesses and banks that control the money.

      In fact, money is not possible without government (let's see if Bitcoin can prove me wrong), because governments are the most important force in the demand for money (regardless of the supply of that money). Banks issue loans because they know that one of two things will happen: either they will get more money than they started with, or the government will let them take some property as collateral. Businesses demand money as payment for goods and services because they know that without money, they will be unable to make the payments they are legally required to make -- taxes, loan repayment, etc. Individuals use money when they deal with businesses, banks, and the government because they are dealing with organizations that either require money (like the government) or which will accept nothing else because of the legal framework surrounding money (like businesses and banks); thus individuals must have at least some money available to them (note, however, that individuals and small businesses frequently loan or barter things that are not money, or that they share such things; that does not scale very well, which is why governments started using money in the first place).

      So really, capitalists need the government just as much as communists do, and for basically the same reason as anyone else: law. Laws are what make societies possible (though too many laws can become a crushing, tyrannical part of society); without laws, society crumbles and chaos ensues. Capitalists need laws to ensure that they can work in a system where they can own property and where they can engage in organized trade; without laws, capitalism fails because people can just walk up and take what they want, without trading for it (perhaps killing the person who says "no"). Communists need laws too: not only can money exist within communist systems, but communist system need laws the describe who may utilize or consume things (as property law does not cover such things in a communist system). A collectively owned factory is communist (just a very small scale), yet that factory will still have contracts, work assignments, and procedures for hiring or firing people (and the law will ensure that a person who is fired can be refused entry to the factory).

      [Government] power lies in having control of the courts, the military/police, and as overseer of property rights. All of this is separated from that money and power that the money brings

      No, courts, police, and property rights comprise nearly all of the demand for money in any free society, and more general

      --
      Palm trees and 8
    58. Re:Quick, calculate me another way to profit. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You are completely wrong and have a poor understanding of how capitalism works.

      It's not HARD work that gets you ahead, it's INTELLIGENT HARD work. Working in a way that scales the more skilled/productive/established you become, for example through franchising your brand, hiring competent employees, having equity in a fast growing company, etc.

      The world is full of mediocre products and services. All you have to do to become rich is improve on them in some small way and hammer those improvements through to an increasingly loyal customer base over a long enough period of time. I find it pathetic that people are so defeatist in their thinking. Yes there are some oligarchical elements in our country, but billionaires are not by and large an ideologically homogenous group, and trying to get them to agree on anything is like herding cats. I propose you stop with the loser conspiracy thinking. There is massive opportunity in the world today, it's just a matter of having the balls to step up and take it.

    59. Re:Quick, calculate me another way to profit. by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      Oh yeah, and I can easily compete with Chinese crap... unless I want to eat, of course.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    60. Re:Quick, calculate me another way to profit. by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      Can it be done? Of course! But how many fail at the same time horribly? How many doctors are stuck in a dead end, working in a hospital with no to low hopes to ever change it? How many cannot afford to open their own practice, be it due to a lack of money (not everyone has a rich daddy) or a lack of rich customers (likewise, not everyone has time to play golf)?

      The capitalist promise is the same as in the lottery. Anyone can win. Just not everyone.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    61. Re:Quick, calculate me another way to profit. by Opportunist · · Score: 2

      Capitalism rewards hard work by the individual? Are you going to tell that to the mom that works 3 jobs to somehow get by and make ends meet? I'm sure it will lift her spirits, and she'll readily believe you.

      The problem why our capitalist world is cracking at its seams is that people start to see that the promise is simply and plainly a lie. There's no cake. And there is no reward for hard work. Capitalism is mostly a game of luck and chance. The luck to be born into the money. The luck to be hit by a freak accident and finding a clever shyster. And if everything fails, the luck that you've been the guy that has been picked for promotion due to union rules.

      Take some kid that grew up in a ghetto. You think he'll ever get to have a great job with an income in the 7 digits? If he has more luck than is possible for a human being, yes. You'll read about it in some newspaper, just to prove that the american dream really works. Unless he's that one in a billion guy, he won't ever make more than enough money to get by, if that. No matter how smart he is, no matter how hard he works. He has no chance to see the inside of an Ivy League school unless he gets hired as a janitor there.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    62. Re:Quick, calculate me another way to profit. by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      I have a friend that is homeless now because he tried to start his own business and it bombed.
      I have another friend that is deep in debt because he tried to hit it with dot.com.
      I have... you get the idea.

      Anecdotes? Yes. Of course, The question is, how often can you try and fail before there simply isn't enough assets left to start anything?

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    63. Re:Quick, calculate me another way to profit. by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      Two succeeded. How many have failed?

      Sadly I forgot who said it, but essentially the message was "The american dream of working hard and climbing the ladder from rags to riches, it's over. Nobody believes that anymore. People rather play the lottery"

      I can see why. The chances of success are way higher with way lower stakes.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    64. Re:Quick, calculate me another way to profit. by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      I don't know if "opportunity" is the correct term. That opportunity existed in communism, too. Once every blue moon, some "worker hero of the people" was pushed up through the ranks of the politbureau as a show to give the people the illusion that anyone can climb up and be important. Anyone. They distinguished themselves as hard workers who outdid their peers in one way or another, and that enabled them to climb up the ranks and as they continued to be superior (at least superior in faking results) than others, they became more and more important and climbed higher and higher in the ranks. They could easily be appointed to some important management position, just because they have shown how hard they can work and what a shining example they are to everyone else.

      Sounds familiar? It should.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    65. Re:Quick, calculate me another way to profit. by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      Here is Bob. He lives in the slums of Los Angeles. Don't like it? Ok, make it New York. He has an IQ of 180. And he is willing to work hard ... problem is, he's a kid from the slums with no education from an important school and he wasn't lucky enough to have that odd (read: new and still idealistic) teacher that saw his potential and pushed him ahead. And since his mom had better things to worry about (like, say, making ends meet and working 3 jobs to accomplish that) rather than trying to find out where she could send her son to "have it better", he was cranked out after his must-have years from a high school with a reputation of producing kids that can somewhat read... if you happen to get one of the better batches.

      Now please hold that speech to him. I'd like to see the outcome.

      What was his chance? Where could he work "intelligent and hard" to get out of that dump?

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    66. Re:Quick, calculate me another way to profit. by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      As with communism, pure capitalism is likely to fail on the national level. Most people are not competitive enough to survive in a purely capitalist system; those that are would very quickly become the ruling class and would then take the only course of action that would further improve their situation in life: rewriting the rules of the system so that nobody else could unseat them. Aristocracy is the end of pure capitalism, and it would be the darkest, sickest kind of aristocracy: one in which the ruling class gives the working class only the bare minimum needed to survive and keep working (and only the minimal education needed to do their jobs; never enough to actually achieve any real power in the system).

      Hmm... it might not be viable, but it seems we're right now trying exactly that. Corporations buying laws, ruling positions being shifted about to those that can afford big schools while funding for public schools gets cut left and right...

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    67. Re:Quick, calculate me another way to profit. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I read a very interesting series of forum posts by a guy who was using two purpose built boxes with multiple GPUs each to mine bit coins and keep his appartment warm in the winter with waste heat. Since the boxes were cheap and he was going to burn the amps anyway, offset his costs very well.

    68. Re:Quick, calculate me another way to profit. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You identified a flaw in that popular slogan that has always bothered me. It relies upon a conflated definitions to appeal to people. Specifically, the word 'need' is not qualified. When one uses the word need, they are describing a necessary requirement. Often, it is implicitly described or assumed based on the particular audience or argument. Disregarding this lack of rigor, the real error is that any need must be justified with a necessary end requirement, which in turn must also be justified. "People need X", "why?", "because people need Y, which can be achieved by means X", "Why must people need Y?"... and so on. It creates an infinite mess of justifications, none of which can be objectively grounded in truth.

      The simple truth is that people do not have needs; we have wants. There are no objective universal necessities we must have at all costs. People don't need to live. You and I don't need to have the whole of the human economy bent toward keeping us alive. Now, we may want those things(I don't, personally), but that is not need. Once we understand this fact, we then begin to unravel some of the lies that build off this misuse of language. We can recognize that when it is not some mandatory universal necessity but rather personal arbitrary subjective preferences that we are interested in satisfying, we can see that to enforce and inflict blunt one-size-fits-all mandates on people insisting on universal services is a means that cannot achieve its ostentatiously stated end. If you or I prefer to live more recklessly, eating poorly, exercising little and living in excess, the idea of solving the 'need' of universal healthcare for example is met with a whole plethora of different human preferences. The man who smokes and drinks constantly has a want that is in opposition to the end of being healthy. Trying to shoehorn these various individual preferences into the mandatory necessary requirement of keeping people alive is absurd.

      Ultimately, it is a lack of empathy for our fellow man that permits such nonsensical abstract positions that ignore basic reality. It treats people as machines, as robots to be tweaked as if any changes to them will not be met with human reactions. The cookie cutter expectation of universal policies inflicted upon all of humanity to make us better is insanely messianic and narcissistic. To think one small group of people can solve the vast array of wants of millions of different people is embarrassing to witness. The insanity is apparent in phrases like 'from each according to ability to each according to need' which ignore human desires and replace them with machinic universal standards which were arbitrarily declared as such from the personal preference of some rulers or intellectuals(which itself is another gross contradiction).

    69. Re:Quick, calculate me another way to profit. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The joke is now that capitalism works actually the same way. Well, not quite the same way, it's different empty promises and different approach, but the end result is exactly the same. The promise of capitalism is "being rich is the goal, because money can buy whatever you need, work hard and one day you have the chance to be rich too". Well, some people buy into that. Most, actually. No system could exist without enough people supporting or at the very least not sensibly opposing it. But it becomes more and more obvious that the promise is shallow, too. No amount of work will ever elevate you to the executive levels of the big corporations where the big bucks are being handed out. That's a closed circle of people who know each other from various fraternities or buddies from the same schools. Schools that you couldn't go to because your parents are not rich enough to send you there. Because they didn't have a degree from said schools to get into a position that... you get the idea, right?

      Maybe it's different in America, but in Australia that comment isn't true.

      Yes, people who believe that 'if I do my job well, I will go up' are wrong. It's not what you do, but who you know. But networking is a *skill*, and it's something anyone can do. The problem is, people get into the mindset you just pointed out - "I didn't go to that school" "I'm not in their circle" "I wasn't part of their clique" and so on - and limit themselves from making contacts. Everyone has potential to network and make contacts. That's how you work your way up. You need to be on the lookout, and know how to play the game, but anyone can do it.

      Often making the first senior contact is hard, but once you do that, you're in and it gets easier from there. Both my parents are at exec levels at major banks, and they came from India as programmers, with basically zero contacts here at all and (at least in the early days) a mild level of discrimination to deal with as well. People who start saying "I have no chance because I'm not part of their group" have already lost their potential to go up.

    70. Re:Quick, calculate me another way to profit. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Or use the free electricity at work. Take one of the retired boxes that looks just like the ones still in use, gut it and replace the innards with your bitcoin mining rig.

    71. Re:Quick, calculate me another way to profit. by Moses48 · · Score: 1

      So, you made me do my homework.
      Looks like rich are richer, middle class and poor are shrinking as households go to two income, and those that are poor are more likely to be in poverty.
      While we have data on current social mobility vs other countries we don't have historical data to make any projections about where we are heading.

      My point was not to make you believe that social mobility was getting better, or that there were no problems. In general I think that profit motive is better managed in a capitalistic society vs a communist society. None of my friends that have "made it" had to pander to any bureaucrats. While this does occur in the USA, i would be extremely surprised if it compared at all to communist societies. Also, an interesting fact is that the top 1% in the USA change from year to year way more often than other countries. (I doubt that holds true for the top 0.1%, but that's beyond the point) Anywho, it's past my bedtime and I'm likely rambling so thanks for making me do my homework.

    72. Re:Quick, calculate me another way to profit. by DragonWriter · · Score: 1

      My point was not to make you believe that social mobility was getting better, or that there were no problems. In general I think that profit motive is better managed in a capitalistic society vs a communist society.

      If you define "communist society" as "societies applying the Leninist, cadre-led model first adopted by the Soviet Union" and "capitalist society" as "any society that's not communist", that's probably true.

      If you look at "capitalist" and "communist" the way they were defined by the 19th Century socialists who coined both terms, well, most "capitalist" societies -- the advanced economies of both the 19th Century and today -- are now what is usually called "mixed economies", which are in many ways closer to the original communist program (and certainly got where they were in a manner much closer to what the original Communist called for then any Leninist, cadre-led revolutionary regime) than anything else you'll find.

      But, really, "communist" is mostly a term used to distract. The real serious debates in economic system in the modern developed world (including the USA) aren't between "communism" and "capitalism" and people trying to sell them as such are trying to muddy the issue. The debates are mostly over fine tuning within the mixed economy model, and the really radical (in terms of its relation to the mixed-economy status quo, though in a sense "reactionary" would be more on point) view that has some serious adherents isn't a move toward pure (whether Marx/Engels or Leninist/Soviet-style) communism, but a reversion to gilded-age capitalism from the modern mixed economy. But

    73. Re:Quick, calculate me another way to profit. by Fned · · Score: 1

      It's not like communism magically changes everyone's hearts to love and selflessness.

      What? Of course it does! Using the exact same mechanism by which Libertarianism turns everyone into fully-informed rational actors!

    74. Re:Quick, calculate me another way to profit. by lsatenstein · · Score: 1

      Dear Mooch

      Come to Montreal and mooch electricity here. For houses with dual energy heating, depending on the outdoor temperature, electricity cost is either 4.2 cents per kw hour or 12.5 cents per kwh (when temp outside is below zero F).
      Our home, as most residents are only with electric heating. Our costs are 7.5 cents per kwh. Our electricity originates notfrom polluting coal, but from our James Bay water shed. I guess I wish we had solar panels to bring the heating costs down to panel maintenance.

      The average costs for for heating and airconditioning a 3 bedroom bungalo (is about $2400). We do use R12 to R15 in the walls and R25-R30 in attics.

      --
      Leslie Satenstein Montreal Quebec Canada
  2. Bitcoins built-in failure by girlintraining · · Score: 1, Troll

    If there's only 21 million bitcoins that can be made, then if a lot of people started using them, they'd have to share them. There's something to be said for currency that has a indivisible limit -- for example, the smallest unit of currency in the US is the penny, though everything is typically counted in dollars. But while bitcoins can be divided, it adds a lot of complexity to the system and extra tracking and auditing. And it's main feature, anonymity, isn't really all that anonymous -- cash has serial numbers but there's no log of transactions built into the dollar. Bitcoins require that transaction log. In a lot of ways, it's about as anonymous as using a credit card.

    --
    #fuckbeta #iamslashdot #dicemustdie
    1. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Read up on Bitcoin a little bit. You're misinformed about how it works, so it may seem to you like there's nothing anonymous about it at all. You need to do more than just use bitcoins.

    2. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by francium+de+neobie · · Score: 5, Informative

      A BitCoin can be divided up into 8 decimal digits. So one BitCoin contains 1 billion discrete units that can be used for transactions.

    3. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by fustakrakich · · Score: 1

      Yeah, it looks like we'll never get a true P2P, online/offline, anonymous system that uses regular currency. Bitcoin is a half-assed effort. Better to just use prepaid credit cards, and barter when it's convenient.

      --
      “He’s not deformed, he’s just drunk!”
    4. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by francium+de+neobie · · Score: 2

      Correction: It should be 0.1 billion, or 100 million discrete units, for each BitCoin. Anyway, it's enough granularity for most practical purposes.

    5. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by betterunixthanunix · · Score: 3, Insightful

      So what you are saying is, if I happen to have some Bitcoin units, I should hang on to them as long as possible, because eventually people will have divided Bitcoin units up to the point where the handful I saved up will be worth a fortune? Sounds like a great currency (except for the whole "this is going to fail" part)!

      --
      Palm trees and 8
    6. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by Kjella · · Score: 4, Interesting

      1) One BitCoin and one account is as good as the other, so you can swap them outside the system. I can send you 100 BTC from my account A to your account B, then get back 50, 25 and 25 BTC back randomly delayed from your other account C to my other account D. Sure, all the transactions are public record but there's no link between the 100 BTC I used to have in A and the 100 BTC I have now in D. Only the swapping service could possibly link those transactions together.
      2) If you can both acquire and spend your money anonymously then the transactions are meaningless, say you do anonymous rent-a-coder work for BTC and use those BTC to pay for web hosting that you only access anonymously. That's the essence of a currency right there, you can make money for doing work and then spend it on what you choose. Yes if any point you're tied to an identity they can try rolling transactions both forwards and backwards to see where you got money from and what you spent money on.

      That's not really one of the problems with BitCoins, the main reason is exactly this that the supply is diminishing. Hoarding old coins from when they were easy to make only seems like a better and better idea, unless of course the BitCoin economy collapses because everyone's hoarding. I bet a lot of the people that offer services for BitCoin are the same as those hoarding large BTC reserves, the pyramid game only works if they can sucker more people to join in.

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
    7. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wrong:

      BitCoin
      bItcoin
      BitcoIn
      BitcoiN

      Right:

      Bitcoin

    8. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by LordLucless · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Yep. That's a feature of any currency without inflation, and why inflation is actually a good thing. It discourages hoarding. Neutral or deflationary currencies are only good for the people who already have a lot of them.

      --
      Just because you're paranoid doesn't mean there isn't an invisible demon about to eat your face
    9. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by VortexCortex · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Neutral or deflationary currencies are only good for the people who already have a lot of them.

      Nope. You think I use US currency because I like it? Because I think it has value over any other currency? Nope. It's because that's what I get paid in, its the money they accept at the stores I go to. I put it to you that no matter what price it's trading at, if I want to exchange money into Bitcoin I'll be able to. Why would I do such a thing? Because it's the currency that some people accept, and it has far less transaction fee than a wire transfer. You think I wouldn't just use USD for that if I could? You see, I just showed you that this deflationary currency is good for even people who only have few of them. Your move.

    10. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by LordLucless · · Score: 1, Insightful

      You see, I just showed you that this deflationary currency is good for even people who only have few of them.

      What you posted has nothing to do with what I posted, and you showed nothing. Your logic does not resemble our earth logic.

      --
      Just because you're paranoid doesn't mean there isn't an invisible demon about to eat your face
    11. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How could this even be a sustainable currency with only 21,000,000 units in circulation at a time. Couldn't more people than this use this currency? It is a straight up pyramid scheme, benefiting primarily those that created it.

    12. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      2.1 quadrillion units.

    13. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by loneDreamer · · Score: 2

      Depends if you consider "hoarding" to be a bad thing in itself. Some of us just call it "saving". Such a currency would put a break at the constant need to invest in stocks and other stuff, as well as the need for governments to promote savings/insurance/retirement artificially. It would diminish the risk and eliminate a lot of compulsive consumption (better spend it right now in any way than to loose it to inflation right?).

      I'm not saying that you are wrong though, just saying, that every coin has two sides, and bit-coins seem no exception.

    14. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by TheGavster · · Score: 1

      The OP's point is actually a misunderstanding of how the division works. The Keysian notion that spending in excess of tax revenue will cause goods and services to magically emerge from the ether in perfect proportion to demand doesn't enter into it (in reality, the effect of inflation is just a wealth tax on savings that is difficult both for a government to accurately set and for savers to predict, both largely due to the political idiocy present in any non-theoretical government).

      --
      "Because Science" is one step from "Because old book". Try "Because of my experiment testing my falsifiable assertion".
    15. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's like saying that because there are more people in the world than there are thousand-dollar-bills, US currency is a pyramid scheme.

      You completely ignore the fact there are bills smaller than thousand-dollar-bills, including one-dollars and even change.

      There are 2.1 quadrillion units of bitcoins available, and not near that many people in existence.

    16. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Or ButtCoin?

    17. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by LordLucless · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Such a currency would put a break at the constant need to invest in stocks and other stuff

      Yes, it would. Investing in stocks and "other stuff" is, likewise, a good thing. Investments, really, are a form of loan. You're giving someone money with the expectation that, if the enterprise they're spending your money on succeeds, you'll receive your initial investment back, plus some. All commercial loans are backed by investments in "stocks and other sutff" - your mortgage, your small business loan, venture capital, everything. The interest you get on your savings account? That's made by the bank investing on your behalf.

      If you disincentivize investing, all that grinds to a halt. Nobody can buy a house, because there's no money in mortgages - just stick it in the bank, and either you won't lose money (inflation-neutral) or you'll become richer (deflationary). Nobody who isn't already rich can start a business, or take on tertiary education, because nobody will loan them money.

      You'll end up with a starkly divided society: the wealthy class, who can afford new houses, and cars, and to start new businesses, and the underclass who cannot afford a house or a car because they cannot get a decent job because they cannot afford an education because everybody's got their money locked up in their bank vaults appreciating instead of out backing student loans, small business loans and mortgages.

      --
      Just because you're paranoid doesn't mean there isn't an invisible demon about to eat your face
    18. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by loneDreamer · · Score: 2

      That's debatable. You seem to be taking things a little to the extreme when you say "no one". People will still invest, they are ambitious. God, people still go to CASINOS. Investments are risk, and not necessarily a good thing, especially if compulsory. Also, our economy based on loans and debt is far from healthy. Ask people who lost their retirement funds.

      I understand where you are coming from, that's why I said you were partially right. But any real economy is a matter of balance. The current incentive to spend and invest (because it's not always investment) is countered by governments creating saving incentives. If we change the incentive, governments can for instance create separate incentives for investment or to create companies, tax redistribution, etc, etc. The economy is much to complex a creature that a single change has a clear outcome.

      So a deflationary currency could impose a different balance, which might be better than the current one (the bar is not too high). One where debt and risk do exist but have a higher entry bar (and are not the ONLY way). Also, inflation somewhat depends on continuous, exponential growth (and slashdot has had that conversation many times). Last time I checked, the 99% was hardly investing and all the consequences you mention are becoming true with the CURRENT schema! I could easily invert all your train of though to get the exact opposite conclusion. IMHO, it's a good thing to see if the bitcoin schema works.

    19. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by gandhi_2 · · Score: 1

      If by "discourages hoarding" you mean "steals money from people who have it", you are right.

      The real bitch of it is you have to pay taxes to a government that purposely does this to you.

    20. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by Infernal+Device · · Score: 1

      You'll end up with a starkly divided society: the wealthy class, who can afford new houses, and cars, and to start new businesses, and the underclass who cannot afford a house or a car because they cannot get a decent job because they cannot afford an education because everybody's got their money locked up in their bank vaults appreciating instead of out backing student loans, small business loans and mortgages.

      We're scary close that situation now. A lot of people in the US live paycheck-to-paycheck without any real spare money to spend (yet they spend it anyway). It's not really the fault of the rich, it's more the fault of corporations who went nuts selling everyone credit and the fault of people who bought into that credit without thinking through the long term effects.

      --
      "My God...it's full of trolls!"
    21. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by LordLucless · · Score: 1

      Oh yeah - I'm not saying a deflationary currency is the only way of generating that particular outcome, just that it will.

      Do note, however, that the immediate cause (lack of readily available credit) is the same in both cases. However, during the "credit crunch", it was an isolated event, caused by a sudden lack of investment due to increased risk. As such, it is/was a temporary situation, until investor confidence could be restored. During the scenario I outlined, it's not temporary, but a permanent state of affairs.

      --
      Just because you're paranoid doesn't mean there isn't an invisible demon about to eat your face
    22. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why would I provide goods or services of any real value for a few bitcoins when people who got in early got tens of thousands of them for only a few spare CPU cycles?

    23. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by fredprado · · Score: 1

      A deflationary currency would never mpose any kind of good balance, but if even after reading what GP wrote you still insist on this absurd idea there is no hope for you to understand it even if it bites you in the face. There is no comparison between the current state of affairs and deflation. The consequences of deflation are much much worse.

      Oh, and Inflation does not depend on exponential growth, just on any kind of growth. Nothing depends on exponential growth. But apparently you don't have the slightest idea of what is exponential growth either. Just to give you some numbers a growth of 4-5% a year tends to generate a very healthy inflation.

    24. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by Stirling+Newberry · · Score: 1

      Parent was definitely hit with mod abuse.

    25. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by Stirling+Newberry · · Score: 1

      No, you just showed us that you know zero about economics.

    26. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by Stirling+Newberry · · Score: 1

      That's because you are ignorant. Hoarding and saving are not the same thing.

    27. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by Stirling+Newberry · · Score: 2

      It's also empirically true. Sustained macro deflation ends in war, misery, or depression, or some combination of the above. At some point it is easier to take the deflationary currency than earn it. This has already started to happen with bit coins: when the processing power required to break it is less than the processing power to earn it, virtually the only rational thing to do is break wallets.

    28. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by Stirling+Newberry · · Score: 1

      No, that's a total lie. Keynesian stimulus relies on arbitrage between the government's rate of interest and private rate of interest. Spending up to slack capacity puts that capacity online. No slack capacity saith the IS-LM model, only a diminishing stimulative effect from inflationary pressure.

    29. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by Stirling+Newberry · · Score: 1

      If by "people who have it" you mean assholes that are trying to crash the economy in hopes of owning it, you are right.

    30. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by molecular · · Score: 1

      There have been anonymous digital cash systems before.

      The main point of bitcoin (the innovation, so to speak) is not anonymity (which you can actually achieve with bitcoin pretty easily if you want, but it's not built-in), but censorship resistance: it cannot be shut down by nuking some server.

    31. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by mysidia · · Score: 1

      Yes, it would. Investing in stocks and "other stuff" is, likewise, a good thing.

      It doesn't eliminate the need. People who want to profit, will still need to invest.

      It does raise the bar on what the reward/risk ratio must be, for the investment to be worthwhile.

    32. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by molecular · · Score: 5, Interesting

      The main advantages of Bitcoin over other types of "real" money:

        * it's censorship resistant (can't be shut down, just like bittorrent)
        * it has low transaction costs and low barrier to entry (freedom of economic transaction)
        * it can be transmitted via the internet globally in short time (max 1 hour)
        * it's cheap and easy to secure against theft and loss

      The additional advantages of Bitcoin over FIAT currencies:

        * the supply is limited
        * it's open source and not controlled by banking cartel or government, open to anyone

      The disadvantages of Bitcoin:

        * its acceptance is very low, to say the least
        * it's hard to understand and therefore hard to trust
        * it offers an ideal playground for criminals and scammers
        * you can add your own criticism here

    33. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by LordLucless · · Score: 1

      Holy non-sequitur, Batman!

      --
      Just because you're paranoid doesn't mean there isn't an invisible demon about to eat your face
    34. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by linhares · · Score: 1

      google "priced in gold", look at the graphics; then make a choice: i) keep spewing nonsense; or ii) get some gold.

    35. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you disincentivize investing, all that grinds to a halt. Nobody can buy a house, because there's no money in mortgages - just stick it in the bank, and either you won't lose money (inflation-neutral) or you'll become richer (deflationary). Nobody who isn't already rich can start a business, or take on tertiary education, because nobody will loan them money.

      Righ, because nobody needs to pay taxes, food, gasoline etc. everyone will just bank all the money they have. Also, you would just actually have to pay higher interest on the money you borrow. If the money circulation slows down it will start to lose value all by itself, therefore correcting the deflationary spiral. As an example I can give you the coins I made for myself, I currently hold them all and they are infinetely valuable!

    36. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by LordLucless · · Score: 1

      It doesn't eliminate the need. People who want to profit, will still need to invest.

      Yes, it does - if you want to profit, all you need to do is hang on to your money while it's value increases. You're correct that investment could potentially reap greater profit than the base rate of deflation (with significantly more risk).

      --
      Just because you're paranoid doesn't mean there isn't an invisible demon about to eat your face
    37. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by linhares · · Score: 1

      let him keep on banging that meme he heard from enron advisor krugman

    38. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      . Nobody can buy a house, because there's no money in mortgages

      I buy houses all the time without a loan. Better yet, I buy them in small fractional parts that provide compounding returns. I also insure them with a few mouse clicks. It's called REITs and options on REITs. In theory it could be done without any lending at all. However, all REITs use leverage which is what a loan is, so you're wise to have some puts if you own REITs because leverage can cause the REIT to crash to zero.

      Name anything that's done with loans, and it can be done without loans.

      Education? Apprenticeships would become more common.

      New business? Sell shares sooner in the start up process.

      Cars? Lease and/or rent-to-own.

      We really don't need lending as much as people think we do.

    39. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by Paul+Menage · · Score: 2

      How is 5%/year (compound) growth not an example of exponential growth?

    40. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by Belial6 · · Score: 1

      they cannot get a decent job because they cannot afford an education

      This is a myth. The vast majority of jobs do not require an education beyond approximately the 7th grade. The current belief that one needs 17+ years of education to learn how to do things like answer phones is a large part of our economic problem.

    41. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by roman_mir · · Score: 2, Informative

      'Hoarding' (saving) currency itself is only useful if the interest rates on all investments are so terrible (low, or maybe even negative) that you can't make money by investing in anything. But in a legitimate economy, that is not controlled by central banking and central government this does not happen, because the more money people save, the lower the interest rate becomes, because there are so many savings, their value is going down. USA 1800 to 1917 has conclusively shown that money that is intrinsically valuable and is slightly deflationary is still not 'hoarded' but is used for investments because there is no manipulation by the central government. Central government was basically irrelevant, it wasn't spending much on anything because it wasn't doing much of anything, and so it was cheap and didn't meddle with individuals investing their money in businesses, whichever way they wanted.

      There is a huge disconnect today between value of savings (interest rates) and real existing savings. The interest rates are so manipulated by the central banks that it seems like the system is flush with cash (is that the saying?) The interest rates are at historic low, actually they are negative, and the only people who can find yield are banks that borrow at 0% from the Fed and then lend to the Treasury at 2-3%. This means that the government has completely crowded out all private investments while sending an insane fake signal into the market that there are huge savings in the system, but there are none, the system is deep in debt, it has no savings. Whatever meagre savings that individuals manage to collect are irrelevant, because their share of government debt has gone through the stratosphere.

      I think that Bitcoins have their use, but they have no intrinsic value at all, they are based on confidence, always were, based on the confidence in the protocol. Bitcoins are valued because people trust the protocol, and surely that protocol is much more trustworthy than any government and any opaque bank. So the interesting part about Bitcoin is will the trust in protocol be enough, because again, there is no intrinsic value?

      So when you say: "Bitcoins will perish because people hoard them", the point is that hoarding something without any use that can be used to invest doesn't make sense if the economy allows any investments in the first place (more precisely if the central government doesn't prevent investments, which is the case now).

      However hoarding a resource that has no intrinsic value is dangerous. If you want to hoard and not to invest, you do not use Bitcoin, I think people understand that, that's why it will not be a problem in itself. Bitcoin is for circulation, it's not a good safe haven, it has no intrinsic value.

      For example storing 1,000,000 USD in Bitcoins for too long is in fact dangerous, you do not want to do that. Either you invest that money or store it in something else (not dollars, not cash, either an investment vehicle or real money, gold or other inflation hedges, property, valuables, etc.) and let people keep trading in Bitcoins.

      ----
      As a side note I heard some people talking about using flash drives to pay in Bitcoins, but this breaks the way that the protocol prevents double spending, if you copy your Bitcoins onto a thousand flash devices and pay with them somehow and they are not verified by the seller, you can doublespend plenty. So a seller will not accept your file unless he can record the transaction in the network, which is only a prudent thing to do, otherwise it's the seller who will be out of money.

    42. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by LordLucless · · Score: 1

      That correlates exactly with what I was saying - deflationary currencies are good for people with enough spare money to buy currency and let it sit in their bank account appreciating. With people who spend the majority of their income, or will make any purchase with credit (including student loans, mortgages, etc) they're bad.

      --
      Just because you're paranoid doesn't mean there isn't an invisible demon about to eat your face
    43. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by LordLucless · · Score: 1

      Righ, because nobody needs to pay taxes, food, gasoline etc

      For the rich - ie, the people whose wealth makes up the vast, vast majority of available credit - those expenses are tiny fractions of their overall wealth. The people whose everyday expenses make up a majority of their income are exactly those that get screwed by deflationary currencies because they can't afford to sit on appreciating currency.

      --
      Just because you're paranoid doesn't mean there isn't an invisible demon about to eat your face
    44. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by LordLucless · · Score: 1

      I buy houses all the time without a loan. Better yet, I buy them in small fractional parts that provide compounding returns. I also insure them with a few mouse clicks. It's called REITs

      Good luck living in a fractional part of real estate. If you're not rich enough to buy a residence outright (and most people aren't), you're going to need a loan to buy real estate.

      Education? Apprenticeships would become more common.

      Apprenticeships are based on the idea that apprentices can become a spare pare of hands, and learn by watching the master, while providing some value. Even in that case, apprentices (or their families) usually had to pay the master potentially very expensive apprenticeship fees. In many jobs these days, spare pairs of hands aren't useful, but rather, a hindrance, which would drive the apprenticeship fee even higher.

      New business? Sell shares sooner in the start up process.

      Investments are a form of loan. Who's going to buy your shares? Failure rates of new businesses are massive, and they can get a guaranteed income by just sitting on their cash.

      Cars? Lease and/or rent-to-own.

      Which, likewise, is a loan, subject to defaults and other risks that don't exist when just sitting on your money.

      --
      Just because you're paranoid doesn't mean there isn't an invisible demon about to eat your face
    45. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by LordLucless · · Score: 1

      Perhaps you missed what I said. Let me repeat, with emphasis:

      they cannot get a decent job because they cannot afford an education

      Answering phones will never get you enough money to buy a house without a loan, or afford an education before you're too old to make back the money invested on it.

      --
      Just because you're paranoid doesn't mean there isn't an invisible demon about to eat your face
    46. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by IamTheRealMike · · Score: 1

      A deflationary currency would never mpose any kind of good balance

      But this is irrelevant because Bitcoin is not a deflationary currency. It's at present an inflationary one, and will eventually become a stable currency.

      In a stable currency, if people stop investing or something happens to make the economy shrink, then you have the same amount of currency being mapped to less goods and services, ie you have inflation. You only have deflation if the economy is growing. So saying that Bitcoin would cause the economy to shrink because of deflation is a self-defeating argument. If that happened (it won't) then Bitcoin would become inflationary again.

      You believe inflation is "healthy" because economists like Bernanke tell you that. It's not based on anything real, just some self-serving arguments made by the people who are (surprise) the ones inflating the system. In reality compound inflation (in which the currency grows by more every year than it did the previous year) has locked our society into waves of crippling asset bubbles, in which people "invest" in things like houses that aren't needed or internet stocks for companies with no-hope business models. A stable currency would result in investment happening when it actually makes sense, not because the system presents you with an invest-or-lose proposition.

    47. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by IamTheRealMike · · Score: 3

      I can't see any reason for the parent comment to be at -1, that seems like a moderator with an agenda at work. So I'll use my excellent karma to repeat what roman_mir says here:

      'Hoarding' (saving) currency itself is only useful if the interest rates on all investments are so terrible (low, or maybe even negative) that you can't make money by investing in anything. But in a legitimate economy, that is not controlled by central banking and central government this does not happen, because the more money people save, the lower the interest rate becomes, because there are so many savings, their value is going down. USA 1800 to 1917 has conclusively shown that money that is intrinsically valuable and is slightly deflationary is still not 'hoarded' but is used for investments because there is no manipulation by the central government. Central government was basically irrelevant, it wasn't spending much on anything because it wasn't doing much of anything, and so it was cheap and didn't meddle with individuals investing their money in businesses, whichever way they wanted.

      There is a huge disconnect today between value of savings (interest rates) and real existing savings. The interest rates are so manipulated by the central banks that it seems like the system is flush with cash (is that the saying?) The interest rates are at historic low, actually they are negative, and the only people who can find yield are banks that borrow at 0% from the Fed and then lend to the Treasury at 2-3%. This means that the government has completely crowded out all private investments while sending an insane fake signal into the market that there are huge savings in the system, but there are none, the system is deep in debt, it has no savings. Whatever meagre savings that individuals manage to collect are irrelevant, because their share of government debt has gone through the stratosphere.

      I think that Bitcoins have their use, but they have no intrinsic value at all, they are based on confidence, always were, based on the confidence in the protocol. Bitcoins are valued because people trust the protocol, and surely that protocol is much more trustworthy than any government and any opaque bank. So the interesting part about Bitcoin is will the trust in protocol be enough, because again, there is no intrinsic value?

      So when you say: "Bitcoins will perish because people hoard them", the point is that hoarding something without any use that can be used to invest doesn't make sense if the economy allows any investments in the first place (more precisely if the central government doesn't prevent investments, which is the case now).

      However hoarding a resource that has no intrinsic value is dangerous. If you want to hoard and not to invest, you do not use Bitcoin, I think people understand that, that's why it will not be a problem in itself. Bitcoin is for circulation, it's not a good safe haven, it has no intrinsic value.

      For example storing 1,000,000 USD in Bitcoins for too long is in fact dangerous, you do not want to do that. Either you invest that money or store it in something else (not dollars, not cash, either an investment vehicle or real money, gold or other inflation hedges, property, valuables, etc.) and let people keep trading in Bitcoins.

      As a side note I heard some people talking about using flash drives to pay in Bitcoins, but this breaks the way that the protocol prevents double spending, if you copy your Bitcoins onto a thousand flash devices and pay with them somehow and they are not verified by the seller, you can doublespend plenty. So a seller will not accept your file unless he can record the transaction in the network, which is only a prudent thing to do, otherwise it's the seller who will be out of money.

    48. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Exponential means big. 5 is not big. 15 is big.

    49. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Everything that he says is a troll without exceptions, that's why all his comments will be moderated as troll without exceptions. There even was a thread about it.

    50. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by Vintermann · · Score: 1

      Hoarding is a bad thing in itself, and it's very different from investing, or even having your money in a bank account.

      Suppose there's a village with a very simple economy, where people just remember the favors they've done each other and do their best to return them.

      Then suppose one villager suddenly decides that yes, he will do favors to others, but he won't accept favors back. At least, the favors people try to do him back he will not really see as equivalent to his own).

      Do you think the village has a legitimate reason to be angry with this person's behavior? Then you consider hoarding to be a bad thing.

      What would happen in the real world, of course, is that the other villagers would be angry with this guy. Who does he think he is, thinking his own favors are so much more valuable, and that he doesn't need us? Some sort of chief? Simple economy villages will have none of that. Although he has really done other people genuine favors, he will find his social capital devalued.

      In a modern economy, it gets a little nastier, because our wealth is denominated in the same units. But it's the same principle: Money is a claim on real-world wealth, but if you're holding on to these claims and refuse to exercise them, then you're placing an unwanted burden on your fellow citizens, who don't want to be in your debt forever. Eventually, they might devalue your claims, or worse ("worse" would probably be the outcome for our hypothetical hoarding villager, too).

      --
      xkcd is not in the sudoers file. This incident will be reported.
    51. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by Vintermann · · Score: 1

      He wrote "Keysian". I think you're being a little optimistic in trying to explain the General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money to him.

      --
      xkcd is not in the sudoers file. This incident will be reported.
    52. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by Vintermann · · Score: 1

      Fun fact: currency was invented by governments, in order to pay for military operations. In an economy where everything operates on credit and trust, it's hard to convince people to support soldiers adequately. What they did instead was to mint coins, give them to their soldiers, and then decree that everyone had to pay a coin in tax (or else, of course). Historically, there's little question: The chartalists were right.

      --
      xkcd is not in the sudoers file. This incident will be reported.
    53. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by dylan_- · · Score: 1

      Oh, and Inflation does not depend on exponential growth, just on any kind of growth. Nothing depends on exponential growth. But apparently you don't have the slightest idea of what is exponential growth either. Just to give you some numbers a growth of 4-5% a year tends to generate a very healthy inflation.

      Any kind of percentage growth is exponential growth. Taking your 4% as an example, means doubling in size every 17.67 years. In other words, you can consider it as 100% growth over that term.

      You can calculate the time it takes to reach 100% growth, at rate r%, with the following (I'm using "ln" to represent the natural logarithm since that's what spreadsheets use):

      =ln(2) / ln(1 + r)

      So, for 5% growth per annum, for example, it's

      =ln(2) / ln(1.05)

      which is 14.21 years.

      That's why percentage growth of any kind is unsustainable over the longer term.

      --
      Igor Presnyakov stole my hat
    54. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      * it's hard to understand and therefore hard to trust

      Is the financial cryptography behind your bank easy to understand?

      If not, then why do you still trust it?

      Same reasoning applies to Bitcoin, except even more since there's a yet-unclaimed $100 million incentive to "crack the code".

    55. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by Alioth · · Score: 2

      4% growth a year is exponential, any %age growth is. If growth were linear, the percentage year on year would asymptotically decrease each year, closer and closer to 0% each year.

    56. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by pantaril · · Score: 1

      You're giving someone money with the expectation that, if the enterprise they're spending your money on succeeds, you'll receive your initial investment back, plus some.

      What if the enterprise doesn't succeed? I'll lose all my money. Doesn't seem like a good plan for pension savings.

      If you disincentivize investing, all that grinds to a halt. Nobody can buy a house, because there's no money in mortgages

      I don't understand. Some people put their savings in a bank. Bank lend this money to other people, who want them for example for their house. There is no need for any investment in order for banks to be able to lend money.

    57. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by Belial6 · · Score: 1

      Answering phones, insurance adjuster, electrician, plumber, real estate agent, book keeper... It doesn't matter. The vast majority of jobs gain nothing from college education. Right now people are being pushed into massive debt to pay for schooling that is totally unnecessary for the jobs that they are getting because so many people have degrees that they have nothing to lose in demanding a degree to answer phones. Because of the education inflation, not only do the degrees not help most people that didn't need it anyway, it devalues degrees for those jobs could benefit from more education.

    58. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by loneDreamer · · Score: 1

      Sad, but you manage to insult me by saying there is no hope for me to understand, twice, then add no valuable fact or idea to the conversation, then ridicule yourself completely by saying a 5% growth is not exponential growth. You can educate yourself here in terms of the math. In terms of how to have an adult conversation, have some humility and/or respect other people, I can't help you, but there are ways. Good luck.

    59. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Please learn how slashdot moderation works before you cry foul. It just makes you look stupid.

      You can even find a summary in the wiki:
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Slashdot#Slash_and_peer_moderation

      roman_mir gets -1 all the time because he has a history of getting downmodded, to the point the system just starts him off as -1 when he posts. In fact, his roman_mir account has reduced posting limits (which, FYI, he responded by creating a second account... judge him for what you will)

      You might think he has valid points, but the saying is even a broken clock is right twice a day.

    60. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by Wonko+the+Sane · · Score: 1

      Deflation caused by a fixed currency supply just means that the price of everything falls over time, so that all the products you buy behave like computers and consumer electronics do today.

      The only people who lose in this scenario are the people who benefit from inflation as the first spenders of new currency. They get to live for free by leeching spending power from everyone else.

    61. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by dbIII · · Score: 1

      A series of novels about how trade works was written for the demographic of most Slashdot readers by Neal Stephenson. It's the three novels set in the 1600s on - I'm sure you'll like them, they have Newton and Hooke in them. They gently introduce some of the complications and ramifications about different forms of trade and currency and mention things like the south sea bubble - take a look and you may have a bit more insight into such things as bitcoin.
      Bitcoin only looks new because of the way the old trick is painted to be a geek trap.

    62. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by darkfeline · · Score: 1

      Loans are a good thing? Did you not learn anything from the banking crisis? No wonder this country is going to hell.

      Investments should be made when they are worth making, not just because stupid government policy forces people to do it, that's when human stupidity truly shines.

    63. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by DamnStupidElf · · Score: 1

      Answering phones will never get you enough money to buy a house without a loan, or afford an education before you're too old to make back the money invested on it.

      How many "decent" jobs are there in the U.S., and how many people seeking jobs are there in the U.S.? See any potential problems with that? I've always loved the term "entry-level job". If there aren't at least as many "second-level jobs" then by definition some of those "entry-level jobs" are lifetime positions.

    64. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by Serious+Callers+Only · · Score: 1

      Here's some more entries for your disadvantages column:

      The disadvantages of Bitcoin:

          * It's anonymous and therefore it is hard to trust
          * Transactions are not traceable to real world identities and therefore it is hard to trust, and impossible to trace theft properly
          * Transactions and organisations are not regulated as banks are, and therefore it is hard to trust
          * It is not backed by the assets and credibility of a nation, and therefore it is hard to trust
          * It is impossible to insure properly against theft and loss, because there are not traceable transactions and anonymous transactions are allowed
          * It is subject to massive speculation, hoarding and other manipulation, and therefore the value fluctuates wildly
          * It's controlled by a cartel of core developers, and the rules could be changed at any time (in this sense it is a fiat currency!)
          * Savings are not guaranteed by law as they are in national currencies
          * Acceptance of the currency is not mandated by law, so it can be hard to spend, though it is not hard to convert (but this will lose some value)
          * Many of the organisations helping to store/exchange bitcoins are amateurs and have been subject to massive theft and fraud (Mt.Gox, bitfloor, Bitomat, MyBitcoin, Bitcoinia, Bitcoin Savings and Trust) - needless to say, the perpetrators of these thefts have not been caught or charged.

      Re your advantages column, national currencies can also be transmitted globally within seconds, and are of course secured against theft and loss by guarantee.

    65. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by Hatta · · Score: 1

      You're begging the question by putting "the supply is limited" in the advantages column. If monetary policy works, then finite supply of currency is a disadvantage.

      --
      Give me Classic Slashdot or give me death!
    66. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by Gr8Apes · · Score: 1

      But this is irrelevant because Bitcoin is not a deflationary currency. It's at present an inflationary one, and will eventually become a stable currency.

      In a stable currency, if people stop investing or something happens to make the economy shrink, then you have the same amount of currency being mapped to less goods and services, ie you have inflation. You only have deflation if the economy is growing. So saying that Bitcoin would cause the economy to shrink because of deflation is a self-defeating argument. If that happened (it won't) then Bitcoin would become inflationary again.

      You are correct - Bitcoin is not deflationary in and of itself. The US ran a similar system for a long long time while we were under the silver/gold standards. The GDP grew at limited rates, and it did not protect anyone from the effects of the Great Depression. The only plus was that silver/gold were not fixed, and increases in the amounts available continue even today.

      The reason that Bitcoin is deflationary is that the population is still growing, and hence the other aspect of the economy also impacts deflationary pressures. If 100 people have 100 Bitcoins, then each can have one. When there's 100 million people, now they can only have 1 millionth of a Bitcoin. So each person has less access to wealth in a fixed coinage system and the entire thing is keyed to a ponzi scheme with the early ins and holders being the winners as the value of their holdings continue to inflate compared to all others. Provided, of course, that the scheme doesn't collapse.

      You believe inflation is "healthy" because economists like Bernanke tell you that. It's not based on anything real, just some self-serving arguments made by the people who are (surprise) the ones inflating the system. In reality compound inflation (in which the currency grows by more every year than it did the previous year) has locked our society into waves of crippling asset bubbles, in which people "invest" in things like houses that aren't needed or internet stocks for companies with no-hope business models. A stable currency would result in investment happening when it actually makes sense, not because the system presents you with an invest-or-lose proposition.

      The available money has to increase with the population, or you will wind up with pools of wealth and large amounts of poor with no impetus for the wealthy to spend. In the time of the silver/gold standards, new mining allowed the pool to grown, albeit slowly in economic terms. This worked for a while until the industrial revolution kicked into high gear and started creating new items that either increased the pool of "wealth", or caused other items to become "cheaper" in comparison. The former leads to a requirement to increase the available pool of money, the latter requires deflation for at least a portion of the current goods in the economy to make room for the "new wealth". Bitcoin forces you into the latter mode without compromise.

      --
      The cesspool just got a check and balance.
    67. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hoarding (saving) currency is effectively abstaining from bidding up prices on the market today and allowing 'others' to use existing resources today. The more saving that occurs, the more prices fall but in reality the same number of goods and services are available in the market place. Real wealth is 'identical'. At some point in the future, you 'spend' your savings this will bid prices up in the future as you claim your right to the goods and services that your money can buy.

      If in the period of time you held your money, society was able to increase the supply of goods and services competing for money, then you have realized a real return at the average rate of 'profitability' of society. At every point in time all resources were available and bid on by market participants. The act of 'saving' is nothing more than increasing the demand for money and therefore making the money everyone else is using more valuable. The act of 'spending' is nothing more than a decrease in demand for money and thus making the value of everyone else's money 'less'. It is a 'closed system' with respect to value. The hoarder does not hurt the economy.

      In fact, the hoarder helps the economy because instead of spending the money on 'consumption' or 'risky' investments, he lets someone else use those resources in a more profitable / less risky way. Forcing people to 'consume today' or take 'risks' is not good for the economy. Forcing the money into the hands of 'investment managers' removes diversity and concentrates power in the hands of people that have too much money to manage and not enough 'information' / 'time' to deploy is wisely. Investing occurs at higher and higher levels of abstraction and each level hides risks and misses profit opportunities.

      Besides, everyone favoring 'inflation' ignores one little detail, who gets paid interest on the new money that is printed? The banks. Who gets the loans? The big cooperations and Big Government. So where does real wealth go... to the big cooperations and banks and government.

      About the only system that could work 'fairly' is if all new money was equally distributed among all people in a fixed amount. Except that even with this scheme, the 'fixed amount' would have to grow every year to equal the same 'value' and 'relative change (inflation rate)'. If the market knew this 'constant', then all prices, interest rates, and every other calculation using the currency would 'factor it out'. No one would deposite money at the bank that earned less than the inflation rate. Nobody (except government) would recognize a real profit unless it was greater than inflation. In fact, if the inflation rate was known, people would not save in the currency, they would save in a commodity that wasn't inflating.
       

    68. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by IndustrialComplex · · Score: 1

      * It's anonymous and therefore it is hard to trust
      * Transactions are not traceable to real world identities and therefore it is hard to trust, and impossible to trace theft properly
      * It is impossible to insure properly against theft and loss, because there are not traceable transactions and anonymous transactions are allowed
        * Savings are not guaranteed by law as they are in national currencies

      Cash, when compared to bitcoins is:
      1. anonymous
      2. non-traceable
      3. not easily insured against theft/fire/loss
      4. savings in cash are not guaranteed by law

      Other items you mention:
      Transactions ARE traceable to real-world entities if you want it to be so. I can publish my address with my name (and I do) and thus my transactions are pretty well linked to my identity. If you want traceability, don't do business with an entity who demands anonymity. I currently won't accept cash from unknown individuals, so I wouldn't for bitcoins.

      The fact that you can identify several companies who were hit with fraud isn't a condemnation of the currency, but a problem with a nacent industry. The same arguement can be made for storing ANYTHING of worth with a third party. In fact, I'm storing $20,000 with some guy I just met this morning when I handed him the keys to my car. Even worse, they explicitly make a statement that they AREN'T liable for any damage, theft, loss, etc. So that company is actually worse!

      You also reiterate what he stated as cons, so I'm not sure if you were just trying to bulk out your list. (specifically adoption of the currency)

      --
      Out of modpoints but really liked a post? 1BDkF6TtmmeZ3yqXbz9yhdYVqRYnwFoXDj
    69. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And if I reply that you're wrong, you'll reply with 'woosh' right? Because that's either the stupidest thing I ever read, or the most unfunny troll I ever read.

    70. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Keep bashing things you don't understand, moron. Cash is anonymous too, people trust it every fucking day.

    71. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by s73v3r · · Score: 1

      No, you didn't. You talked about BitCoin. Not about deflationary currency.

    72. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by s73v3r · · Score: 1

      Call it "saving" if you wish. The end result is that the currency is not being spread around and used for goods and services, meaning that there is less reason to produce these things, giving less incentive to create them.

    73. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by s73v3r · · Score: 1

      Just about everything you mentioned is a form of lending. In addition to that, doing it without the actual lending would require even more money.

    74. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by s73v3r · · Score: 1

      Why would a bank lend out the money for someone to buy a house? Because they believe that they will earn more money through interest than they will otherwise. However, in this situation, they likely would see their money increase in value simply by holding on to it, rather than loaning it out. If they do, the loans would have to be at much higher rates, which means that fewer people would be able to afford it at all.

    75. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by s73v3r · · Score: 1

      Loans are a good thing? Did you not learn anything from the banking crisis? No wonder this country is going to hell.

      If it is, in fact, "going to hell", it's because of people like you who don't understand what was behind the banking crisis. Loans are a good thing. Misuse of them, over-leveredging, and selling bad investments are not. None of those things, however, are a direct result of loans.

    76. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by s73v3r · · Score: 1

      The Keysian notion that spending in excess of tax revenue will cause goods and services to magically emerge from the ether

      That sentence was completely inaccurate. They Keysian idea is that, in times of decreased economic demand, like a recession, the government is the only entity large enough to keep demand at some minimum level, and prop it up. It doesn't say that government spending causes anything to "magically emerge". It says that if no one else is buying due to fears from recession, the government needs to step in, so that everything doesn't completely collapse.

    77. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by loneDreamer · · Score: 1

      In short: yes. Again, that is a break on overspending, debt and consumerism. "Less" is not the same as "Bad" on my book, that{s the main difference. Of course, people can not eat money, so products and services will still be produced, jobs will still exist, etc. Actually the vast majority of people spend most of what they make on bare necessities. Inflationary or deflationary forces don't have any impact on that. The impact will be on what do you do with your disposable income (if any) and on how much other can take from you by forcing you to invest.

    78. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by betterunixthanunix · · Score: 1

      So on the one hand, you think loans are a bad thing because of the banking crises. On the other hand, you think that sometimes an investment is worth making. What exactly do you think an investment is? Investments are loans: you are giving your money to someone, and you expect them to give you back more.

      See, there is a difference between "taking on debt you cannot repay" and "taking on debt that you have a plan to repay." If you have a good business plan, you can take out a loan to pay for the business to run. Sometimes, that loan is in the form of selling stock (common or preferred), sometimes bonds, sometimes it is with a bank, sometimes with individual investors, sometimes a combination of all the above. Surprisingly, this system enables businesses to be run by people who are not already wealthy, and has the effect of allowing people who were not born into the ruling class to join it (compare with other, older systems where only people who are already wealthy can start businesses).

      --
      Palm trees and 8
    79. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by LordLucless · · Score: 1

      What if the enterprise doesn't succeed? I'll lose all my money.

      Precisely. Which is why nobody would invest if they could just sit on their money while it appreciated.

      Doesn't seem like a good plan for pension savings.

      Which is why any pension fund diversifies.

      Bank lend this money to other people, who want them for example for their house. There is no need for any investment in order for banks to be able to lend money.

      You precisely describe an investment, and then say that investments aren't necessary. The bank lending out money for a mortgage is the bank making an investment in the mortgagee. They expect to receive their initial investment back, plus interest. They give some of that interest to the people who put their money in the bank. If the bank never generated any interest, people would never put their savings in them, and the bank would have no money to lend.

      --
      Just because you're paranoid doesn't mean there isn't an invisible demon about to eat your face
    80. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by DMUTPeregrine · · Score: 1

      One other thing that's important: Bitcoin assumes the security of SHA-2. When that is broken it will become vastly easier to attack the system than to participate legitimately. Hash functions seem to have a 20-30 year lifetime before significant attacks start to matter (accounting for time to transition away to a newer function.) This essentially means that bitcoins will need to swap to an entirely different scheme every few decades.

      --
      Not a sentence!
    81. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by DMUTPeregrine · · Score: 1

      Limited supply should go in the disadvantages column.
      You also forgot that its lifetime is limited by the security of the underlying cryptographic hash function. That's not expected to be very long, I'd be surprised if SHA-2 isn't broken (preimage attacks) in the next 50 years.

      --
      Not a sentence!
    82. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by gandhi_2 · · Score: 1

      The only person I know who made his fortune by rooting FOR the failure of the economies of (at least) the US, UK, and Thailand is George Soros.

      The patron saint / angel investor of American Socialists

    83. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yep, when it comes to investing nothing is as much a sure thing as precious metals. That's why I invested my entire retirement fund in rhodium back in 2007.

    84. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by molecular · · Score: 1

      Limited supply should go in the disadvantages column.

      why?

      You also forgot that its lifetime is limited by the security of the underlying cryptographic hash function. That's not expected to be very long, I'd be surprised if SHA-2 isn't broken (preimage attacks) in the next 50 years.

      True, I forgot that. I'm sure you're aware that the hash function used can be changed. It'd make a hard-fork necessary (everybody update client with new rules)... but who wouldn't participate if the old one's broken?

    85. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by Serious+Callers+Only · · Score: 1

      Cash, when compared to bitcoins is:1. anonymous 2. non-traceable3. not easily insured against theft/fire/loss 4. savings in cash are not guaranteed by law

      I was comparing digital cash (i.e. money held at a bank as figures in their computers), with Bitcoin - digital cash has none of the problems you note above. Are you seriously trying to compare paper cash with Bitcoin, if so why? The real comparison is between digital currency and BTC, as those are the equivalents, and Bitcoin is competing with digital cash, not paper cash. Unfortunately Bitcoin has thrown out the advantages of digital cash in a misguided (IMHO) attempt to emulate paper cash, and ended up with many of the same problems as paper cash, as opposed to cash in bank accounts which is easily traceable, not anonymous, protected by law, etc, etc.

      Transactions are only traceable if the *other* person chooses to let them be, and chooses not to lie, that's not an acceptable level of security for me when dealing with any significant sums. Simply refusing to deal with anonymous buyers/sellers would work in some sort of crypto-anarchists paradise, in the real world I don't want to use a currency which even allows anonymous transactions - it'll end up with the same abuse and problems as say email, which relies on trusting the sender.

      Re adoption of the currency, I made the separate point that it is not mandated by law as legal tender - this is an important point and is not the same as simply not having wide adoption.

      The fact that you can identify several companies who were hit with fraud isn't a condemnation of the currency, but a problem with a nacent industry. The same arguement can be made for storing ANYTHING of worth with a third party.

      I agree to some extent on this point - this isn't a damning criticism on its own, it does mean I wouldn't trust any of the BTC exchanges though, and leads me to distrust the entire industry which has grown up around BTC, which is mostly populated by amateurs and kooks. I remember the bitcoinia post on Hacker News, announcing his intention to set up an exchange on a cheap VM, and several people warning him he would be hacked without serious controls - amateurs setting up financial systems has very much the same consequences as non-cryptographers attempting cryptography.

    86. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You shouldn't be investing if you don't understand what it means, and you do not understand what it means because you think buying precious metals is investing. Precious metals are money, not investment vehicles. If you buy an ounce of silver it's not magically going to become 2 ounces a 5 years later.

      Rhodium is an industrial metal, by the way, not a monetary one. Similar to Palladium but with a smaller market.

    87. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by molecular · · Score: 1

      Here's some more entries for your disadvantages column:

      The disadvantages of Bitcoin:

      thanks.

      * It's anonymous and therefore it is hard to trust
          * Transactions are not traceable to real world identities and therefore it is hard to trust, and impossible to trace theft properly
          * Transactions and organisations are not regulated as banks are, and therefore it is hard to trust
          * It is impossible to insure properly against theft and loss, because there are not traceable transactions and anonymous transactions are allowed

      Bitcoin itself (I consider it a scarce commodity, like gold) indeed has these problems. However they could be worked around by an entity setting up a secondary system on top of the Bitcoin network (think: paypal handling bitcoins). That way you'd have traceability, auditability, chargebacks and all the features some desire.
      Your above criticisms also apply to traditional cash and gold.

      * It is not backed by the assets and credibility of a nation, and therefore it is hard to trust

      Excuse me, but I find this disturbing. I trust in the value of silver, for example, a lot more than in the value of the EUR, specifically because it is not controlled by any one nation or group of nations who are very likely going to expand the money supply rather than reduce it.

      * It is subject to massive speculation, hoarding and other manipulation, and therefore the value fluctuates wildly

      True. Bitcoin is still in its infancy. It's already getting a lot better, though: Markets are becoming more liquid and larger every month.

      * It's controlled by a cartel of core developers, and the rules could be changed at any time (in this sense it is a fiat currency!)

      That's not true. There are various alternative implementations and the thing that would have to be controlled is not the software, but the protocol rules used in the wild. A disagreement on the rules results in a fork of the blockchain. There is then a Bitcoin A and a Bitcoin B and people have to decide which one they use. The users (merchants, individuals, miners,...) decide which ruleset they use, not the developers. Firstly: a fork like that would be bad for both chains and secondly: one chain would likely win (because more people like the ruleset of it better than the one of the other chain and only accept coins from that chain) and we'd have only Bitcoin again after probably quite a short while. So what I'm saying is: the cartel of developers cannot simply change the rules by rolling out an update. For an example look at how hard it was for them to rollout BIP16 (multisignature transactions)... a very positive change, but still it was tremendously hard to achieve consensus of a large enough portion of the rule-setters (all participants, basically)

      * Savings are not guaranteed by law as they are in national currencies

      Let me paraphrase Alan Greenspan: "We can print as much money as you want, we just cannot guarantee its value". I think this makes guarantees of savings, pensions or whatever a moot point. In addition: saving is in the current scheme greatly discouraged anyway by keeping interest rates artificially low.

    88. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They're both shiny metals used for ornamental purposes and a handful of industrial uses. What makes one money and the other not?

    89. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      History. Human history makes one money and the other not.

      Of-course you don't understand money, you think saving purchasing power in money is investing.

    90. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ah, it finally comes out... Gold is money by fiat.

    91. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not only shouldn't be investing because you don't know what investments are, you shouldn't even be talking, since you don't know what fiat means.

      Fiat is literally money by decree of government. Another fail for a /. troll

    92. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      oh look at that comment again that you are talking about, it's been moderated up and now down again, once some time passes, because it must be moderated down. So don't go around try to be cute or same will be happening to you.

    93. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're the one ascribing gold's value to a decree from history. What's really rich though is being called a troll by the guy who apparently isn't even able to post from his sockpuppet account due to downmodding. Seriously, that will brighten my entire day.

    94. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hoarding IS NOT a problem. Inability to hoard is a problem.
      The key is confidence and a sound economy. In a sound economy that lets people keep the value of what they are saving, after a while people will look at their pile of cash think "things are doing well i can afford to spend some".
      In an inflationary economy, which is the same as a hidden tax btw, people will look at the pile of money and say dammit it's worth less. Yet I have to keep it because I dunno how things will be next year.

      The only plus of an inflationary economy is that powerful people can use it to milk normal people out of wealth, thus maintaining them under control. Money is control when it's "not enough" money.

    95. Re:Bitcoins built-in failure by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Would you please link to
      A) your empirical data, and
      B) evidence of anyone successfully brute-forcing a bitcoin private key?

  3. Seems like the limit is too low for a viable by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    currency.

    That not even one bitcoin per person in the world, or even many countries.

    1. Re:Seems like the limit is too low for a viable by Wonko+the+Sane · · Score: 5, Informative

      Yea it's too bad nobody ever though of that or else they might have made sure each one is divisible to eight decimal places or something.

    2. Re:Seems like the limit is too low for a viable by hawks5999 · · Score: 1

      Each coin is divisible to 8 decimal places. There's 21 trillion coins if you leave the last two decimal places for "cents" function. If we don't have "cents" there are 2.1 quadrillion units.

    3. Re:Seems like the limit is too low for a viable by joelpt · · Score: 1

      Also, they're just floating-point numbers. Should the need arise they could be subdivided indefinitely with only minor alterations to the existing Bitcoin protocol.

    4. Re:Seems like the limit is too low for a viable by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      No, that doesn't change the number of bitcoins. You might as well be saying that there are enough US pennies on the planet for everyone to share because if you run out, you can divide the last few into 1,000,000,000 pieces. Sure, you could, but it is less than one per person, the initial complaint.

      It's much like the psychology behind stock splits. As stock splits aren't based in economics (Apple at $571 isn't different than 5 shares at $571/5).

    5. Re:Seems like the limit is too low for a viable by artor3 · · Score: 0

      It doesn't matter. If it's finite in supply, it cannot work. Eventually the cap will be reached, and then one can earn a better rate of return by hoarding than by investing. It's deflationary, and that is disastrous. Anyone with a grade school level of economics knowledge should have no trouble grasping this, but the people pushing bitcoin operate on some sort of knee-jerk anti-economic thinking where whatever "the establishment" believes must be wrong.

    6. Re:Seems like the limit is too low for a viable by sco08y · · Score: 1

      No, that doesn't change the number of bitcoins. You might as well be saying that there are enough US pennies on the planet for everyone to share because if you run out, you can divide the last few into 1,000,000,000 pieces. Sure, you could, but it is less than one per person, the initial complaint.

      The initial complaint is only relevant to a government managed currency, since they have to provide enough money for the entire economy. Bitcoin only has to sustain a portion of the economy, and if it becomes too small, it will simply be less competitive with other currencies.

      It's much like the psychology behind stock splits. As stock splits aren't based in economics (Apple at $571 isn't different than 5 shares at $571/5).

      What do you mean "stock splits aren't based in economics"? The whole premise behind economic activity is a balance sheet, and you can draw one up for a stock split quite easily. Before the split, the company's equity might be $10,000,000, with 100,000 stocks at $100 each. After the split the equity is the same, but there are now 1 million stocks at $10 each.

      So for any given shareholder, they each hold the same amount of equity.

      If by economics you're talking about supply and demand, a high stock price is obviously a classic diseconomy of scale: it's just easier to find buyers who might want $80 of stuff instead of $100.

    7. Re:Seems like the limit is too low for a viable by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Um, no. GP's point is that the number of discrete currency units is very, very high. It doesn't change the number of bitcoins. It does allow flexibility in pricing. A bitcoin only has value relative to other currencies, goods, services, etc. With a finite limit, demand for bitcoin will change over time. We will likely see rapid deflation followed by slower, more gradual deflation. Until we get to the point where we are literally trying to divide "a penny" into a billion pieces, this shouldn't be a problem.

      It has nothing whatever to do with the psychology of stock splits. And, for the record, Apple at $571 is different than 5 shares at $571/5. Demand is more easily filled in the latter case.

    8. Re:Seems like the limit is too low for a viable by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Please enlighten us as to the reason that deflation = disaster? because history show us everything went well until early XX century.

    9. Re:Seems like the limit is too low for a viable by GuldKalle · · Score: 1

      Gold is finite in supply, too. Why isn't that disasterous?

      Nobody* is suggesting we get rid of the dollar, just use Bitcoin as any other trade-able commodity.

      --
      What?
    10. Re:Seems like the limit is too low for a viable by GuldKalle · · Score: 1

      Sure, you could, but it is less than one per person, the initial complaint.

      I still don't see why it matters. Why can't we use BTC?

      --
      What?
    11. Re:Seems like the limit is too low for a viable by Patch86 · · Score: 1

      In the era of gold-standard currencies, gold was for all intents and purposes not limited- it was a continually growing supply, as mines continued to flood the market with produce, and new mines were established every year. When the supply stopped growing so consistently- known mines started to dry up, and "undiscovered country" became scarce- deflation kicked in and was disastrous. The Great Depression is often blamed on this deflationary effect. That is why all major economies abandoned it.

      Look at gold prices now. The price has tripled in the last decade- massive over-valuation, due to demand hugely outstripping demand (mostly from investors and speculators, rather than anyone wanting to do anything practical with it). Nobody knows if the price is going to spike even higher, or crash spectacularly; it is extraordinarily volatile.

    12. Re:Seems like the limit is too low for a viable by Wonda · · Score: 1

      It was, that's why most (or is it all?) currencies are no longer linked to gold.

    13. Re:Seems like the limit is too low for a viable by GuldKalle · · Score: 1

      And Nobody* suggests linking Bitcoin to any currency.

      --
      What?
    14. Re:Seems like the limit is too low for a viable by GuldKalle · · Score: 1

      It was disastrous because the economies were pegged to the gold prices. Nobody wants to peg the dollar to bitcoin, because Bitcoin is simply a commodity, just like gold (today), oil, Apple stock or minerals.

      --
      What?
    15. Re:Seems like the limit is too low for a viable by GuldKalle · · Score: 1

      Meant to use a mu-sign, as in uBTC. Slashdot didn't want me to.

      --
      What?
    16. Re:Seems like the limit is too low for a viable by the_other_chewey · · Score: 1

      Gold is finite in supply, too. Why isn't that disasterous?

      Look up what happened to the gold standard...

    17. Re:Seems like the limit is too low for a viable by IamTheRealMike · · Score: 1

      It's not disastrous. That's a modern myth. But you don't have to take my word for it, ask economists at the Federal Reserve.

    18. Re:Seems like the limit is too low for a viable by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, suppose bitcoining took really off, replacing all those un-thrustworthy fiat-coins. Yes, by dividing the bitcoins you can ensure that there is plenty for all transactions in the world. But think of what this means - 1 full bitcoin then represents 1/21.000.000 of the world economy! That is a hell of lot more than it is worth today. So if you believe that bitcoins are the money of the future, you should do whatever you can to buy or mine these things at present rates, and never ever spend them. Doing so however ensures that your dream will never become true...

    19. Re:Seems like the limit is too low for a viable by GuldKalle · · Score: 1

      We have left the gold standard. Gold still exists and is still in limited supply, but is no longer disastrous.

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      What?
    20. Re:Seems like the limit is too low for a viable by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Gold is finite in supply, too. Why isn't that disasterous?

      Because we don't use it as a currency?

      The Gold Standard is disastrous. It worked fine in the past because the supply might as well have been infinite, it was just rate limited. The problem with it is that the rate-limiting has nothing to do with the strength of your economy, so it's a stupid idea to tie your currency to it, and that's why we abandoned it.

    21. Re:Seems like the limit is too low for a viable by DamnStupidElf · · Score: 1

      A deflationary currency works fine so long as the rate of deflation has a lower magnitude than the average market return on investments. If you can earn an expected (risk-adjusted) 1% in an index fund it would be inadvisable to hoard any currency with less than 1% deflation.

    22. Re:Seems like the limit is too low for a viable by s73v3r · · Score: 1

      Why do that? Why not just make the units smaller? It seems pretty stupid to have to go down to 6 decimal places to get a candy bar or something.

    23. Re:Seems like the limit is too low for a viable by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      What do you mean "stock splits aren't based in economics"? The whole premise behind economic activity is a balance sheet, and you can draw one up for a stock split quite easily. Before the split, the company's equity might be $10,000,000, with 100,000 stocks at $100 each. After the split the equity is the same, but there are now 1 million stocks at $10 each.

      There is no economic difference between the two. The numbers in some fields of a form change, but no changes happen to the bottom line. There is an accounting issue (100 tiny grapes vs 10 large apples in a bushel), but the weight and value of them both is exactly the same. No economic difference. The *sole* reason for stock splits is psychological (and the economic changes from those psychological tricks on investors, which are indirect).

    24. Re:Seems like the limit is too low for a viable by sco08y · · Score: 1

      The *sole* reason for stock splits is psychological (and the economic changes from those psychological tricks on investors, which are indirect).

      That doesn't even make sense. People who want to feel rich cash their paycheck in $100 bills, they don't get a stack of singles.

      To quote my earlier comment:

      If by economics you're talking about supply and demand, a high stock price is obviously a classic diseconomy of scale: it's just easier to find buyers who might want $80 of stuff instead of $100.

      Now, if you disagree that this is an issue, please explain why we don't simply get rid of all cash except for $100 bills. After all, carrying around 5 $20 bills is simply a waste of paper.

    25. Re:Seems like the limit is too low for a viable by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      Now, if you disagree that this is an issue, please explain why we don't simply get rid of all cash except for $100 bills. After all, carrying around 5 $20 bills is simply a waste of paper.

      When currency was pieces of 8, you would only carry $100 bills, and you would pay with a fraction of it for things priced less. I can buy a fraction of a share. I own fractions of shares now. There is a problem if you want a $10 item and offer 1/10th of a $100 bill for it. I can buy 1/10th of a share of Apple. Regardless, that's not an economic reason.

      As stock splits aren't based in economics

      Despite all your complaints, you've never invalidated the statement I made that you objected to. That makes me think that you know you are wrong, but you don't like the answer, so you argue without regards to the truth.

  4. Austrian economics by dytin · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Bitcoin is the greatest real-world experiment in Austrian economics. For once we'll get to actually see if a "deflationary spiral" will actually occur when the rate of money creation slows, or if the Keyensians were just full of it. Whether bitcoin actually succeeds or not, we'll at least get some really good data.

    1. Re:Austrian economics by Dast · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Sounds questionable to me. Going by the definition on wikipedia:

      "A deflationary spiral is a situation where decreases in price lead to lower production, which in turn leads to lower wages and demand, which leads to further decreases in price.

      If nobody is really pricing goods in bitcoins and nobody is getting paid in bitcoins, how could the feedback cycle that would normally cause a deflationary spiral exist? Even if bitcoins deflate massively, I don't think that necessarily proves the Keyensians right.

      --

      This sig is false.

    2. Re:Austrian economics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      For once we'll get to actually see if a "deflationary spiral" will actually occur when the rate of money creation slows, or if the Keyensians were just full of it. Whether bitcoin actually succeeds or not, we'll at least get some really good data.

      Only if people start using it for real transactions. What problem does it solve for normal people?

    3. Re:Austrian economics by hawks5999 · · Score: 1

      Wordpress.com hosting isn't a real transaction?

    4. Re:Austrian economics by Wonko+the+Sane · · Score: 1

      What problem does it solve for normal people?

      It allows them to escape from this. It removes the possibility that a third party can enforce rules about what they are and are not allowed to do with their money.

    5. Re:Austrian economics by MMC+Monster · · Score: 2

      Not for most people.

      Call me when I can pay for my Amazon.com cart (or other physical items from a well known store) in bitcoins.

      --
      Help! I'm a slashdot refugee.
    6. Re:Austrian economics by Alomex · · Score: 1

      Actually bitcoin claims that they are not a good test case for a deflationary spiral. Have a look at what they have to say about it/a>.

    7. Re:Austrian economics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Great point. Things can be bought and sold in Bitcoin, but the prices tend to be anchored loosely around the local currency to Bitcoin conversion rate.

    8. Re:Austrian economics by dadioflex · · Score: 2

      You're conflating economies and currencies there. Also, there's nothing stopping a "third party" Government ruling that bitcoin is illegal. It's largely off the legislative table the same way it's off most people's radar. Once it gets noticed it could easily get put up on the same shelf as file-sharing and hacking. Or if you prefer a historical example it could be made illegal the exact same way gold-hoarding has been declared illegal in the past. What? Who would do anything so tyrannical as forbid the possession of more than a small amount of gold? USA, baby

      And this is not even considering how vulnerable to exchange rates an artificial currency is. Like banks which exist on collective goodwill, fairy dust and rainbows, an artificial currency has nothing backing it. Faith in a real currency is, to an extent, faith in the actual country backing that currency. Real currencies can collapse when the economic situation in the issuing country enters crisis, whereas an artificial currency is going to be an order of magnitude more vulnerable to rumours and sentiment. An actual effective hack of the peer to peer system will render Bitcoin valueless.

    9. Re:Austrian economics by Wonko+the+Sane · · Score: 1

      Government ruling that bitcoin is illegal.

      Did you not notice the fact that right now, at this very moment, the average person in Argentina doesn't give a shit about what their government says is illegal and actively ignores and works around every law implementing currency controls?

      That's what happens when a national currency fails.

    10. Re:Austrian economics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      except that "austrian economics" is a political theory not an economic one, carrying about at much weight with actual economists as creationism does with geologists and biologists

    11. Re:Austrian economics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Austrian economics is about as realistic as Marxist economics. Grow up, get an education, and stop listening to wacko cranks.

    12. Re: Austrian economics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Many Austrian economists are skeptical of bitcoins. Unlike gold or seashells, which can be used for jewelry, a bitcoin cannot be employed for anything but exchanging. It has no path to becoming money according to Von Mises's regression theorem.

    13. Re:Austrian economics by Kergan · · Score: 1

      What you'd theoretically end up having, bitcoin or not, with an absolutely fixed amount of money and credit in circulation, is deflation if the population grows. The operating word here is money and credit.

      The real question is whether bitcoin will get an kind of banking system from this or that point forward. If not, then deflation it will be, because more goods will be chasing less money; if so, then expect booms and busts like with any other fiat money, because bankers will be creating and destroying money in cycles.

    14. Re:Austrian economics by jdavidb · · Score: 2

      From what I understand, most Austrian economists dismiss bitcoin because according to Austrian economics, currency must arise from something that is originally useful in the market for purposes besides money. And Austrian economists don't teach that deflationary spirals don't occur; instead what I've heard is that they believe that deflation is not a bad thing.

      I'd like to see bitcoin adapted to represent trading units of gold or something else, issued by multiple competing sources and redeemable from the original issuing source. I think that would be a better test of Austrian economic principles.

    15. Re:Austrian economics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Bitcoin could fail because fails to become liquid enough for widespread acceptance, which would settle nothing between Mises and Keynes.

    16. Re:Austrian economics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Call me when I can pay for my True Scotsman.

    17. Re:Austrian economics by MMC+Monster · · Score: 2

      Bah! A true Scotsman would never use Bitcoins.

      --
      Help! I'm a slashdot refugee.
    18. Re:Austrian economics by AK+Marc · · Score: 1
      The Hunts lost a civil case with regards to their actions in silver, and, though illegal, nobody was ever prosecuted under the Executive Order you link to.

      And this is not even considering how vulnerable to exchange rates an artificial currency is. Like banks which exist on collective goodwill, fairy dust and rainbows, an artificial currency has nothing backing it. Faith in a real currency is, to an extent, faith in the actual country backing that currency. Real currencies can collapse when the economic situation in the issuing country enters crisis, whereas an artificial currency is going to be an order of magnitude more vulnerable to rumours and sentiment.

      All currencies (including gold) are artificial currencies. Currency is artificial in all cases. Even if it's functional (cows for currency). The only difference between a fiat currency and a backed currency is that in one case the currency is valid because "trust us' in the other it's valid because you 'trust them' to exchange it for another artificial currency on demand at a previously undefined exchange rate (which has historically been bad, when set by the government for their benefit).

    19. Re:Austrian economics by grumbel · · Score: 5, Insightful

      What problem does it solve for normal people?

      It provides a censorship free way to transfer small amounts of money pseudonymously over the Internet, something regular payment providers still fail at (Paypal censors, proper bank transfers are far to expensive).

    20. Re:Austrian economics by dnixx · · Score: 1

      What you're referring to is Ludwig von Mises' regression theorem. It attempts to explain why money is demanded in its own right, without getting into a circular argument (à la "money is valued because it has purchasing power -- money has purchasing power because people value it"). A thorough explanation can be found elsewhere, but to make it short: Bitcoin is perfectly compatible with this theorem.

    21. Re:Austrian economics by matunos · · Score: 1

      Except that it's not used a national currency anywhere.

    22. Re:Austrian economics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      If nobody is really pricing goods in bitcoins and nobody is getting paid in bitcoins, how could the feedback cycle that would normally cause a deflationary spiral exist? Even if bitcoins deflate massively, I don't think that necessarily proves the Keyensians right.

      It can't and it doesn't. Nobody uses bitcoins. It is not the dominant currency by any means. If anyone takes anything away from this regarding Austrian vs. Keynesian economics, they're kidding themselves.

      Moreover, a deflationary spiral has to do with self-creating deflation. It has nothing really to do with simply cutting off the supply of currency.

      It's comparing apples to bifocals.

    23. Re:Austrian economics by Wizard+Drongo · · Score: 4, Informative

      There are services that will do this for you (ie. allow you to buy from Amazon using 'coin.) Admittedly, you're then beholden to that third-party who actually does the buying in your stead, rather than direct with Amazon, but nonetheless, without changing bitcoin into another currency, you can buy stuff on Amazon, and eBay, and a number of other sites, not to mention the ton of smaller, but no-less-useful sites that allow you to trade directly using Bitcoin...

      --
      The truth shall always be free: Boris Floricic is Tron.
    24. Re:Austrian economics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      currency must arise from something that is originally useful in the market for purposes besides money.

      Both electricity and expensive graphics cards are useful in the market until Bitcoin gets a hold of them and wastes both.

    25. Re:Austrian economics by mbkennel · · Score: 1

      So, why aren't the Argentinians attempting to trade pesos for bitcoins?

    26. Re:Austrian economics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sounds questionable to me.

      The theory is if the value of the money you've got saved is always going up, then you will choose not to spend it very often.

      If aren't spending your money, then it will not be used to do good stuff.

      Most experts in the field are convinced that, in order to have a healthy economy, the value of money always needs to go down. This forces people to spend most of their money on investments of some kind (or give it to a bank, which will spend it on investments for you).

    27. Re:Austrian economics by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      For once we'll get to actually see if a "deflationary spiral" will actually occur when the rate of money creation slows,

      There won't be a deflationary spiral. Look at post-bellum America in the 1800s for an example of a deflationary period when the economy was growing.

      There were some problems, mainly farmers had trouble because their loans in absolute dollar amounts got harder to pay off as they got less money for their crops, but overall the economy still grew.

      In general, inflation and deflation are both problems that people find ways to work around. In places where there's been hyper-inflation, people tie their contracts to the inflation rate, for example. It is a drag on the economy to deal with that type of accounting, but people deal with it.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    28. Re:Austrian economics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It provides a censorship free way to transfer small amounts of money pseudonymously over the Internet, something regular payment providers still fail at (Paypal censors, proper bank transfers are far to expensive).

      It's also great for large amounts of money. Try to send ten million dollars from one country to another... you'l likely pay hundreds of thousands of dollars in fees and have to spend a week filling out paperwork.

      With bitcoins, it'll cost nothing (or almost nothing) and there is no paperwork at all.

    29. Re:Austrian economics by Wonko+the+Sane · · Score: 1

      How do you know they aren't?

    30. Re:Austrian economics by slashmydots · · Score: 1

      Also, for vendors, chargebacks. It's impossible to "file" a chargeback in a system run by nobody. If you want to know how big of a problem it is, ask any paid online MMORPG company.

    31. Re:Austrian economics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      On the contrary: http://www.weusecoins.com/globe-bitcoin/

      It looks to me like any number of true Scotsmen are using bitcoin. See for yourself...

    32. Re:Austrian economics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Are you serious? Have you even read at least that wikipedia article? Or something else on deflationary spirals?

      p.s. the word is "idiots" seems appropriate.

    33. Re:Austrian economics by Archangel+Michael · · Score: 1

      Deflationary spiral is just as bad as inflationary spiral caused by real world economics. In the days of old, when money wasn't created, but only represented wealth (ie production). We have been in a constant flux between inflation and deflation and it is about to get even worse. WE have inflation (real world kind) that has been hidden by deflation (economic efficiencies, robotics, assembly lines etc). As the world loses its buying power, inflation is going to be hyper ... just as it was in Germany just before WWII (Godwin FTW).

      However real wealth is measured not in fiat currency, but rather in physical goods and property. Which is measured in unique (antique, art, collectables) items and in things that have a more stable fiat value (gold, silver, etc).

      Guess what? Rich (uber rich) have all these things, while you commoners do not. They have been taught these things, while you are in public education. Work hard, and don't save a penny? You're a slave, you just don't know it.

      --
      Agent K: A *person* is smart. People are dumb, stupid, panicky animals, and you know it.
    34. Re:Austrian economics by Stirling+Newberry · · Score: 1
      "There won't be a deflationary spiral. Look at post-bellum America in the 1800s for an example of a deflationary period when the economy was growing."

      Nothing wrong with the theory so long as you can point to the continents full of brown people to kill and plunder.

    35. Re:Austrian economics by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      Oh yes, America didn't generate any wealth. She stole it from brown people. You're so smart. [/sarcasm off]

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    36. Re:Austrian economics by Dahamma · · Score: 0

      What? How is this +5? Nothing about bitcoins is ever going to remotely show anything about a deflationary spiral unless you think this silly geek experiment could actually lead to lower production and wages at a macroeconomic scale. And if you DO think that, I have a new currency called "bytebills" that I'd like to sell you...

    37. Re:Austrian economics by molecular · · Score: 1

      Not for most people.

      Call me when I can pay for my Amazon.com cart (or other physical items from a well known store) in bitcoins.

      I'm sure someone will let you know when the time comes. Keep reading slashdot, that'll work.

    38. Re:Austrian economics by diamondmagic · · Score: 2

      I think you're missing the fact that there's no such thing as a "deflationary spiral". Likewise, inflationary spirals don't happen out of the blue, not without an influx of new money to bid up prices.

      If people knew for a fact that prices were going to be spiraling upward at a constant rate for the next period of time, speculators would bid up prices to that level in the present, plus the cost of time (interest). This is a mathematical theorem

    39. Re:Austrian economics by hairyfish · · Score: 1

      It provides a censorship free way to transfer small amounts of money pseudonymously over the Internet

      Hi, I'm a normal person, this has never, ever been a problem for me. Tell me again, what problem does this solve for people like me?

    40. Re:Austrian economics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Deflationary spirals don't normally happen because you can just print more money if need be. Inflationary spirals do occur from time to time, most recently Zimbabwe, but they're normally the result of incredible incompetence on the part of the groups monitoring and supply the currency.

      And yes, it isn't something that normally just happens, there's normally warnings about. I think Russia when the USSR fell was probably the big exception. And that's mostly because the period of massive inflation was mostly when there wasn't anything to actually buy, so nobody noticed it until after the inflation had already set in.

    41. Re:Austrian economics by Vintermann · · Score: 1

      Guess what? Rich (uber rich) have all these things, while you commoners do not. They have been taught these things, while you are in public education.

      I see, the rich are rich because they buy status symbols, not the other way around! Why didn't I get this before! BRB, off to buy some $200 sneakers.

      --
      xkcd is not in the sudoers file. This incident will be reported.
    42. Re:Austrian economics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hi, I'm a normal person. A while back I wanted to donate to Wikileaks, but was unable to do so using Paypal, Mastercard or VISA. Bitcoin worked fine though.

    43. Re:Austrian economics by pantaril · · Score: 1

      Hi, I'm a normal person, this has never, ever been a problem for me. Tell me again, what problem does this solve for people like me?

      You are probably not a normal person from third-world country, from which payments on the internet are not usually accepted.

    44. Re:Austrian economics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Proper bank transfers are far too expensive? I assume you're from Germany, given that your email account showing on Slashdot is with gmx.de. It's only in the US where bank transfers are "expensive". In all of the EU, including transfers between the UK and the Eurozone, there are no bank fees, by law.

    45. Re:Austrian economics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wrong.

    46. Re:Austrian economics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I was at the last Mises University and I can say that the leading Austrian economists don't see nothing *in principle* wrong with bitcoin.

    47. Re:Austrian economics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Inflation in our economy has little to do with money being created and more to do with eroding the value of long term hefty loans.

      If you want to see an investment banker have a heart attack say the word 'deflation' to him.

      My guess is once people can no longer 'make them' they will stop playing with them all together (a deflation of the value). You are not going to usually mess with something if you are not getting any value out of it. Value is not necessarily monetary.

      Also eventually a few hoarders may have a good majority of them (an inflation of the value).

      When the creation rate stops watch the exchange rate to other currencies. Then you will have a good idea if it is deflationary or not.

      If the hoarders do not sit on all of them and dump them you may also see a deflationary period. Just depends on the rate of dumping.

    48. Re:Austrian economics by Archangel+Michael · · Score: 1

      Highly Prized works (etc) of art are not just status symbols, they are wealth holders and are a good proxy to a bank account. A status symbol like Lamborgini or Bugati is just that, they will lose value over time. You don't see the old (family wealth, Royalty) rich people playing with these toys, only those that got rich quick (Simon Cowel)

      --
      Agent K: A *person* is smart. People are dumb, stupid, panicky animals, and you know it.
    49. Re:Austrian economics by harks · · Score: 1

      Not quite as useful as Amazon, but WordPress accepts Bitcoin. That's probably the closest to a household name that accepts it. http://en.blog.wordpress.com/2012/11/15/pay-another-way-bitcoin/

    50. Re:Austrian economics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, yeah. The land and its contents were worth a lot.

    51. Re:Austrian economics by s73v3r · · Score: 1

      Whether bitcoin actually succeeds or not, we'll at least get some really good data.

      Not really. One of the bigger factors causing people to hoard them isn't just the deflationary aspect, but the fact that there isn't a whole hell of a lot to spend them on as well. If Amazon accepted BTC, that'd be different.

    52. Re:Austrian economics by s73v3r · · Score: 1

      Highly Prized works (etc) of art are not just status symbols, they are wealth holders

      Only in as much as there are other people willing to buy them.

    53. Re:Austrian economics by s73v3r · · Score: 1

      Not many people do that. However, most people buy groceries, buy gas, pay rent, stuff like that. And for the most part, you can't do that in BTC.

    54. Re:Austrian economics by s73v3r · · Score: 1

      Bullshit. Suppose BTC was a major currency, accepted like cash. How would that stop, say, the government of New Jersey from implementing gasoline rationing in the aftermath of Sandy? It wouldn't.

    55. Re:Austrian economics by DanielRavenNest · · Score: 1

      It is not that the system is run by nobody, it is that new transactions are secured by a difficult cryptographic problem every 10 minutes or so. Once secured, it is nearly impossible to change a transaction. The system has plenty of bodies running it (including me at the moment, as I am "mining" right now), but it is a distributed system, with first one to solve the cryptographic problem getting the reward of some coins.

      For the technically minded, the problem is: find a number (the nonce), which when added to a set of transactions, generates a hash value below a threshold set by the current "difficulty". When discovered, the nonce + transactions forms a "block", which is distributed to everyone on the network, and it is easy to verify the block is valid by finding the hash. The difficulty is adjusted every 2016 blocks (about two weeks) so the rate of new blocks stays about one per ten minutes on average.

  5. 333.3333... people for every coin by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    At 7 billion people, there exists 333 and 1/3rd people for every possible bitcoin.

    People say.. well, you can use thouandths of a bitcoin, but is that really enough?

    The current estimated wealth of the world is US$200 trillion. To get bitcoins down to dollar granularity, you would need to use 10 millionths of a bitcoin.

    1. Re:333.3333... people for every coin by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      The smallest unit in bitcoins is 10^-8.

      If bitcoins are wildly successful and replace all the currencies of the entire world 1 USD ~= 10.5 * 10^-8

      So you'd have the equivalent of getting rid of the penny and nickle.

      Doesn't sound so bad...

    2. Re:333.3333... people for every coin by dadioflex · · Score: 1

      If the Bitcoin economy approaches anything like a fraction of the GDP of Somalia then we're in trouble. I don't think lack of Bitcoin is going to be a major headache in the grand scheme of things.

    3. Re: 333.3333... people for every coin by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It does not matter if a bitcoin is too unwieldy for ordinary transactions. All you need is an entity such as a government to issue token money comprising smaller units that can be exchanged for bitcoins. With bitcoins, there are much bigger problems to worry about than granularity. For example, adoption.

    4. Re:333.3333... people for every coin by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      it's also deflationary, so bitcoin should only increase against the dollar. The problem is that the "micro-transaction" bitcoin will not do micro-transactions. So why bother if it can't even do one of the basic functions it was "sold" for?

    5. Re:333.3333... people for every coin by themusicgod1 · · Score: 1

      This will only work if we can cut default fees down from the 0.0005 BTC they are currently at.
      Not saying it can't be done, but we're not there yet.
      (Disclaimer: I am long bitcoin)

      --
      GENERATION 26: The first time you see this, copy it into your sig on any forum and add 1 to the generation.
    6. Re:333.3333... people for every coin by themusicgod1 · · Score: 2

      Right now, we've been looking at a consistent 1E6-2E6 BTC worth of transactions a day. That's, at current prices, about 1E7-2E7 USD per day in transactions. 365 days of that, is about 7E9 USD, which is actually more than the economy of Somalia. So what kind of "trouble" are "we" in, anyway?

      --
      GENERATION 26: The first time you see this, copy it into your sig on any forum and add 1 to the generation.
    7. Re:333.3333... people for every coin by themusicgod1 · · Score: 1
      --
      GENERATION 26: The first time you see this, copy it into your sig on any forum and add 1 to the generation.
    8. Re:333.3333... people for every coin by Stirling+Newberry · · Score: 1

      Stock/flow error. That's transactions not final demand. Learn some basic econ will you?

    9. Re:333.3333... people for every coin by themusicgod1 · · Score: 1

      GDP measures flow. Transaction volume measures flow. Where's the stock?

      --
      GENERATION 26: The first time you see this, copy it into your sig on any forum and add 1 to the generation.
    10. Re:333.3333... people for every coin by Stirling+Newberry · · Score: 1

      GDP is final demand, transactions will count the same final demand several times. Learn some basic econ.

    11. Re:333.3333... people for every coin by themusicgod1 · · Score: 1

      To what 'depth' are you suspecting bitcoin transactions are going, if not one-level deep? While I'll admit that its' in principle possible to have non-final transactions, have you ever actually heard of any?

      --
      GENERATION 26: The first time you see this, copy it into your sig on any forum and add 1 to the generation.
  6. ugh only 21 million? by ThorGod · · Score: 0

    Seriously? And how was this sold as a currency?

    --
    PS: I don't reply to ACs.
    1. Re:ugh only 21 million? by msauve · · Score: 1

      What's the problem, never learned division or fractions in school?

      --
      "National Security is the chief cause of national insecurity." - Celine's First Law
    2. Re:ugh only 21 million? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Perfect, no more billionaires!

    3. Re:ugh only 21 million? by betterunixthanunix · · Score: 1, Insightful

      How on Earth does SETI@Home benefit society? Even if by some bizarre coincidence, we actually detected evidence of intelligent life outside of the solar system, the likelihood that society would benefit by that is basically nil.

      --
      Palm trees and 8
    4. Re:ugh only 21 million? by viperidaenz · · Score: 1

      Still infinitely more beneficial than bitcoins.

    5. Re:ugh only 21 million? by dadioflex · · Score: 1

      Yeah. A 1%er will be someone with 1% of a whole Bitcoin.

    6. Re:ugh only 21 million? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They created BOINC, which helps with research.

    7. Re:ugh only 21 million? by arth1 · · Score: 3, Interesting

      How on Earth does SETI@Home benefit society? Even if by some bizarre coincidence, we actually detected evidence of intelligent life outside of the solar system, the likelihood that society would benefit by that is basically nil.

      Directly, on the positive side, it would pretty much kill some religions, or at least transform them into less harmful variants that don't preach that humans are unique and masters of everything.
      On the negative side, it would probably trigger some new ones. If people can believe in Xenu, Kolob, Ezekiel or John's revelation, they most certainly would be able to start cults based on extrasolar intelligence too. Hopefully, most of them will put on their Nike sneakers and leave us.

      Indirectly, it would likely renew interest in space exploration, which I think might benefit us all, and especially our descendants and their chance of survival.

    8. Re:ugh only 21 million? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      One way would be the whole distributed computing on home systems. I could be wrong but I believe seti@home was the first of the distributed computing projects home users could participate in. It helped setup the framework for those that came after.

      Beyond that I'd argue that seti is much more likely to get a kid somewhere interested in science, especially if it was able to detect something than bitcoin mining. That kid is much more likely to benefit the world than one that was trying to make some virtual money.

    9. Re:ugh only 21 million? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The processing might be useless, but the bit coins them selves are quite useful.

    10. Re:ugh only 21 million? by themusicgod1 · · Score: 1

      The difference is BitCoins are pretty much useless, while the others are processing real data in an attempt to benefit society.

      Tell that to Wikileaks(1hb5x), who were able to raise 35,000$+ worth of bitcoin when all other methods failed. Admittedly that number could be larger, but the fact that they were able to do that much in and of itself is something.

      --
      GENERATION 26: The first time you see this, copy it into your sig on any forum and add 1 to the generation.
    11. Re:ugh only 21 million? by blueg3 · · Score: 1

      How on Earth does SETI@Home benefit society? Even if by some bizarre coincidence, we actually detected evidence of intelligent life outside of the solar system, the likelihood that society would benefit by that is basically nil.

      It increases our knowledge of the nature of the universe.

      Also, it gives us practice developing distributed computing systems.

    12. Re:ugh only 21 million? by Patch86 · · Score: 1

      The knowledge that there is intelligent life in the universe seems like a pretty big benefit to me. Knowledge is beneficial in its own right.

      Just because it's not going to give you a flying car or a cure for cancer doesn't mean it isn't beneficial.

    13. Re:ugh only 21 million? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      System design for very large scale distributed processing, which was then copied for medial research.

    14. Re:ugh only 21 million? by dkleinsc · · Score: 1

      Even if by some bizarre coincidence, we actually detected evidence of intelligent life outside of the solar system, the likelihood that society would benefit by that is basically nil.

      1. Find intelligent life outside of the solar system.
      2. Continue monitoring any signals we can get from that direction, and figure out how to decipher them.
      3. Once we've completed that, take advantage of all the scientific and technological ideas that the aliens have come up with that we haven't.

      Obviously, steps 1 and 2 are ridiculously hard and time-consuming, but we in theory at least have some ideas on how to do them, and the payoff is step 3. And of course if we ever develop fast travel, we have a possible destination that we have every reason to think will be potentially useful.

      --
      I am officially gone from /. Long live http://www.soylentnews.com/
    15. Re:ugh only 21 million? by gox · · Score: 1

      Directly, on the positive side, it would pretty much kill some religions, or at least transform them into less harmful variants that don't preach that humans are unique and masters of everything.

      Religious belief routes around damage. They find a way to believe in the same eventual thing they always do.

      Indirectly, it would likely renew interest in space exploration, which I think might benefit us all, and especially our descendants and their chance of survival.

      Hell yes! I think discovery of intelligent life outside Earth would completely change how we operate as humanity.

    16. Re:ugh only 21 million? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Those satellites should be pointed inside the Earth. The aliens are already here. Under yer grounds and up in yer caves.

    17. Re:ugh only 21 million? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And here we have exactly why we can't have nice things.

  7. who cares? by Jailbrekr · · Score: 1

    Oh no, the bitcoin ponzi schemes will have to double their reward in order to be viable!

    Apart from silk road, bitcoins have practically zero value in the vast majority of financial transactions, so why do we care about this?

    --
    Feed the need: Digitaladdiction.net
    1. Re:who cares? by msauve · · Score: 1

      bitcoins have practically zero value in the vast majority of financial transactions

      Gold has practically no value in the vast majority of transactions (try paying for goods at Target with a chunk of gold). Ditto oil, corn, FCOJ, pork bellies or many other things with recognized value. That's why currencies developed, to serve as a proxy for value. Whether bitcoins will become widely recognized is yet to be see, but they can be traded for hard currency just like the items mentioned above, so they do have recognized value.

      so why do we care about this?

      Are you using the royal "we" (I don't care if you care - but why did you expand the topic and take the time to post), or are you professing to speak for all /.ers (you don't).

      --
      "National Security is the chief cause of national insecurity." - Celine's First Law
    2. Re:who cares? by Teppy · · Score: 5, Interesting

      They're being used quite a bit for online gambling because they allow for instant deposits, instant withdrawals, zero risk of charge-back, and for some online casinos, provably fair wagering.

    3. Re:who cares? by Wonko+the+Sane · · Score: 4, Interesting

      There are also a few VPS and VPN providers who accept bitcoins for the same reasons, and because now they can sell their services to customers anywhere in the world without being limtited by the legacy banking system's inability to process payments from certain places.

    4. Re:who cares? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Apart from silk road, bitcoins have practically zero value in the vast majority of financial transactions

      "Apart from the types of situations that it's useful in, it's not useful in any situations."

    5. Re:who cares? by DriedClexler · · Score: 1

      What does Bitcoin have to do with provably fair wagering? Bitcoin just handles the money(-equivalent) side of the gambling.

      Its cryptographic protocols might be (I haven't checked) equivalent in some sense to protocols that ensure uncheatable group random number generation and similar things that you need for trustworthy online betting, but you can do that completely independent of whether you use Bitcoin.

      --
      Information theory is life. The rest is just the KL divergence.
    6. Re:who cares? by AK+Marc · · Score: 2

      If you walked up to the checkout at Target with 10 lbs of gold you wished to trade for 10 lbs of chocolate, I imagine you'd be successful. Now if you tried with $1,000,000,000 worth of bitcoin, I imagine that you'd be unsucccessful.

    7. Re:who cares? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Your instincts are right here. There's nothing in bitcoin which helps with provably fair gambling (unless you're count mining as gambling). It's just that the kinds of people who have time to start a small new poker site and are interested in anonymity and Bitcoin are likely to also be interested in using cryptography to prove fair odds.

    8. Re:who cares? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      HA, try it. They will think you are trying to scam them and not trade anything for your "gold".

    9. Re:who cares? by molecular · · Score: 1

      ah, noone uses email anyway, why bother? *types letter on typewriter*

    10. Re:who cares? by DrXym · · Score: 1
      You forgot the main reason. Money laundering. The US prohibits online gambling which has seen a number of casinos using front services to disguise where the money is going to. Full Tilt Poker for example set up front businesses all around the world to take money from US gamblers, setting them up as fast as they were taken down. I suppose some casinos see it as a way to cover their tracks and make it impossible for the US or payment card processors to block their activities.

      Of course, the question should be, do you really want to gamble with a casino which is trying to operate outside the law in this manner.

    11. Re:who cares? by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      The cashier may not take the trade, but the guy behind you in line would.

    12. Re:who cares? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If I was behind you in line, I would purchase that 10 lbs of chocolate for you in exchange for the $1B in bitcoins -- assuming, of course, that I had access to the very same level of verification that you take for granted in the precious metal transaction.

  8. only ever be 21,000,000 bitcoins by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Am I the only one that has a problem with this syntax?

    1. Re:only ever be 21,000,000 bitcoins by joelpt · · Score: 1

      They are just numbers. Bitcoins could therefore be subdivided as small as is reasonable or required for actual usage. For example, the main Bitcoin client currently allows you to display bitcoin figures in BTC, mBTC (1/1000 BTC), or BTC (1/1000000 BTC).

      I believe the current Bitcoin protocol supports subdivisions up to 8 decimal places. Apparently this can be extended further with minor alterations to the existing Bitcoin protocol.

    2. Re:only ever be 21,000,000 bitcoins by joelpt · · Score: 1

      Sorry that should have read (nano)BTC (1/1000000 BTC) -- Slashdot ate my unicode character.

    3. Re:only ever be 21,000,000 bitcoins by blueg3 · · Score: 1

      You mean micro, which uses the mu symbol (a non-ASCII character). Nano is just "n".

      Just use "u" for micro.

  9. What does it calculate? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Can someone explain me what kind of calculation is done by BitCoin client in the process of "mining"? I have yet to find this information or receive an answer anywhere on the web.

    If this is just abstract algorithm solving with no purpose whatsoever, I'd say that in terms of real world economy bitcoins are utterly worthless.

    1. Re:What does it calculate? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

      The answer was cleverly hidden on their public wiki, the last place anyone would ever think to look!

      https://en.bitcoin.it/wiki/Mining

    2. Re:What does it calculate? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It was my understanding that the calculation being performed was somehow relevant to the encryption and decryption of transactions being made with bitcoins.

    3. Re:What does it calculate? by hawks5999 · · Score: 1

      It's validating transactions in the block.

    4. Re:What does it calculate? by ais523 · · Score: 4, Informative

      It's a proof-of-work calculation that records a transaction history. Basically, it's to prevent double-spending; if someone attempts to transfer the same bitcoin to two different people, the person who gets it is the person who had more computational effort go into recording them as having it. If the amount of computational effort in recording transaction histories were low enough, someone could double-spend by recording an alternative history on a powerful computer and having it supersede the transaction history everyone thought they were using.

      In order to encourage people to put effort into recording the history, there's a reward for doing so. This lead (perhaps predictably) to "mining", where people race to record the transaction history first in order to get the reward.

      So there is a purpose to mining, but it's only to keep the Bitcoin system itself running. If people stopped mining (perhaps because the reward got low enough), Bitcoin would collapse. (It's envisaged that once the mining reward gets low enough, people transferring bitcoins will pay a transfer fee to the miners to encourage them to keep mining, and they'd get their income that way instead.)

      --
      (1)DOCOMEFROM!2~.2'~#1WHILE:1<-"'?.1$.2'~'"':1/.1$.2'~#0"$#65535'"$"'"'&.1$.2'~'#0$#65535'"$#0'~#32767$#1"
    5. Re:What does it calculate? by Agent+ME · · Score: 1

      Is the money that spends on its own infrastructure utterly worthless when similar services already exist?

      If not, then why is bitcoin's mining process (which maintains the security of the blockchain) utterly worthless?

    6. Re:What does it calculate? by Agent+ME · · Score: 1

      ... efff, the reply system ate a word because I surrounded it with greater than and less than symbols for emphasis. Let's try this again:

      Is the money that *random commerce company* spends on its own infrastructure utterly worthless ...

    7. Re:What does it calculate? by ThorGod · · Score: 1

      That's not anywhere near specific enough.

      Is the exact algorithm outlined....anywhere?

      --
      PS: I don't reply to ACs.
    8. Re:What does it calculate? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If people stopped mining (perhaps because the reward got low enough), Bitcoin would collapse.

      This has bugged me about Bitcoin for a while now. To me it is not just about "less mining" but also about "more and more Bitcoin mining control on fewer and fewer hands", you know just like the other types of power. This can easily be abused. First you need owners who do not care (if you do not already have that), you get that easily enough with old and tried concepts, most companies stopped caring about stuff long ago, they are just in business to make money. Eventually you will get groups who do it only for that reason. Second, if one group controls the majority of the generation process, he can easily create false "history", stealing (double spending) Bitcoins.

      It's envisaged that once the mining reward gets low enough, people transferring bitcoins will pay a transfer fee to the miners to encourage them to keep mining, and they'd get their income that way instead.

      This being the plan just makes it even darker to me. Which centralized control body is going to do this ? The bloody UN ? The lack of centralized control (control which this would require) is the point for many of the users. Why should I as an individual Bitcoin user have to pay for history making when "the system works already" ? People will just not do this (not in great enough numbers anyway), and you would need a very different system to get people to pay this "tax" and make sure every "pretend miner" will get his part of the funds. And still, you would have to be sure they did enough mining. They could cut their costs by mining less unless kept under tight control. So as I understand it, you now no longer need 50% of the calculation capacity but a certain fraction of that. And even then the mining no longer is enough to make Bitcoins, which means it STILL will likely be taken less and less seriously as time goes by (standards that cost money but do not give direct reward tend to get weaker over time), which means it becomes easier and easier to steal Bitcoins. As far as I can see, if stealing starts, it will be very rewarding, and it will totally destroy the confidence in the system. Then it will totally collapse.

    9. Re:What does it calculate? by Wonko+the+Sane · · Score: 3, Insightful

      OMG you're right. I can't believe all the people who've been working on this project for the last three years missed these numerous fatal flaws.

      Please, go onto the Bitcoin forums and let them know what you've discovered right away so they all know it's time to give up and go home.

    10. Re:What does it calculate? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Btw, forgot to mention, "more and more Bitcoin mining control on fewer and fewer hands" seems to be what is happening with the move toward more and more expensive machines.

    11. Re:What does it calculate? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm sorry, could you please enlighten me as to the actual flaws in my reasoning ? Referencing the authority of "many people are doing this" just does not work so well on me. I sometimes look at some of the other things "many people" do, and it has had a detrimental effect on my faith in "many people".

      Also, I must point out that I did not discover this "right away". I can see that you "right away" (4 minutes !) had a refute to my original post, but my ideas, I have been thinking about these for quite some time.

      So, could you please give me some more direct explanation of what the flaws in my reasoning are ?

    12. Re:What does it calculate? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      it is sha 256 of (the sha 256 of (the block) + you get to add a 256 bit number) and seeign if this is less than a certain number

    13. Re:What does it calculate? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Bitcoin is an open source project, so the exact algorithm is right here: https://github.com/bitcoin/bitcoin

    14. Re:What does it calculate? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You, sir, are a liar!

      PS: I don't reply to ACs.

    15. Re:What does it calculate? by GuldKalle · · Score: 3, Informative

      People already pay mining fees, typically 0.0005BTC / transaction. Right now you get about 0.1 BTC in mining fees from a block, and 50 BTC from the built-in reward (which functions a a way of distributing bitcoin initially). As the reward halves every 4th year and number of transactions supposedly rises, a higher percentage of a miners income will stem from tx fees.

      You can make a transaction without paying a fee, but not all miners will include your transaction in their block, and thus your transaction may take a long time to be confirmed.

      --
      What?
    16. Re:What does it calculate? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It says quite clearly that a successful block requires a SHA256 hash less than or equal to the target.

      If you want more information, read the source code. If that isn't detailed enough for you you obviously must understand the tech well enough that you can understand the source code.

    17. Re:What does it calculate? by mdmkolbe · · Score: 1

      if someone attempts to transfer the same bitcoin to two different people, the person who gets it is the person who had more computational effort go into recording them as having it

      Wait, what? How much computational effort does it take to spend a bitcoin? Would I have to worry about accepting bitcoins with weak transaction histories? Who's responsibility (buyer or seller) is it to ensure the transaction is recorded with enough effort? This sounds like a scary and dangerous way to do things. How is this not a problem? (Just to be clear, I'm asking from honest ignorance.)

      Unrelated question:

      If people stopped mining (perhaps because the reward got low enough), Bitcoin would collapse.

      Could you expound on why it would collapse?

    18. Re:What does it calculate? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I've made a statement that bitcoins are worthless _if_ the algorithm serves no purpose.

      The simple cost of computational power does not add to currency's value, because said power is not an asset. It's not recoverable and can't be resold. It's like saying that money has the value equal to the manufacturing cost, which is obviously bs. When government prints money, it doesn't get into market by way of sending it to banks so that people may use it. No, government instead acquires assets on the market, thus determining currency's value.

      Chartalists would add that government also sets currency's value by setting taxes to be paid in said currency, but no tax can be paid with bitcoins, so it's irrelevant.

    19. Re:What does it calculate? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Indeed it was. From your link I can learn that the process "is intentionally designed to be resource-intensive and difficult" and that "Mining a block is difficult because (...)". No description of the very process whatsoever.

    20. Re:What does it calculate? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So it basically equals to calculating rainbow tables :)

      I just thought... How about bitcoin being a giant scam by crackers wanting to get database of relatively hard to compute and incrackable SHA-2 hashes?

    21. Re:What does it calculate? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm more interested in the purpose it serves. The simple fact that there is an algorithm doesn't make it's solving any more valuable.

      When you dig a hole in the ground, you put a certain amount of work into it. But your work will not add to the ground's (estate) value unless the hole has been made with some purpose in mind (i.e. to place a water supply).

    22. Re:What does it calculate? by fastest+fascist · · Score: 1

      Which centralized control body is going to do this ? The bloody UN ? The lack of centralized control (control which this would require) is the point for many of the users. Why should I as an individual Bitcoin user have to pay for history making when "the system works already" ?

      People do choose to pay transaction fees. It's a feature already implemented and in use. You can choose not to pay a fee, but your transactions will likely take longer to be processed.

    23. Re:What does it calculate? by ais523 · · Score: 2

      The miners put most of the computational effort in for you; typically you pay a small fee to encourage them to put your transaction into the chain. Usually the buyer will pay the transaction fee, and the seller won't count the sale as complete until it goes sufficiently far back in the train. (In other words, while Bitcoin transactions are instant, it takes a nontrivial amount of time to determine for a fact whether a transaction happened or not. And as such, a cautious seller won't release the goods immediately, but wait until there's enough effort in recording that version of events that nobody's unlikely to override it with a new one.)

      So if the mining stopped, nobody would be recording transactions any more. As such, double-spending would be trivial; you could repeatedly do a small amount of mining to satisfy one person that they had the coin, then a bit more to change the history's idea of where the coin went and give it to someone else (or a second account you control). As such, people would have to wait for a very long time in order to be satisfied that a transaction were genuine if there were no mining, and this would make transactions basically impossible. A currency is worth nothing if you can't meaningfully trade it.

      --
      (1)DOCOMEFROM!2~.2'~#1WHILE:1<-"'?.1$.2'~'"':1/.1$.2'~#0"$#65535'"$"'"'&.1$.2'~'#0$#65535'"$#0'~#32767$#1"
    24. Re:What does it calculate? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This might be what you're looking for: http://bitcoin.org/bitcoin.pdf

    25. Re:What does it calculate? by IamTheRealMike · · Score: 2

      He's taking the piss because Bitcoin has in fact solved the problem of how to distribute fees to miners without any of the problems you claim will exist, and that's trivially verifiable by anyone who takes the time to learn about how the system works. His wider point which you missed - if you think you've found a obvious and gaping flaw in its design, you're probably wrong, or at least you're going to find yourself in the middle of complex debates with no clear resolution (eg, about Austrian vs Keynesian economics).

  10. Whoops by Enry · · Score: 1

    I think I mined part of a bitcoin then lost the files I used to generate them. Does that mean they're permanently out of circulation? How do they handle such a situation?

    1. Re:Whoops by Wonko+the+Sane · · Score: 3, Informative

      How do they handle such a situation?

      It's the same as setting cash on fire. If you lost your private keys the unspent outputs they control can never be spent.

    2. Re:Whoops by hawks5999 · · Score: 1

      If you lose them they are out of circulation. It is likely we will never have 21 million BTC in circulation due to loss.

    3. Re:Whoops by Vahokif · · Score: 1

      It's pretty bad in the long term, according to this guy from last year's Chaos Communication Congress.

    4. Re:Whoops by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      This is how the government will kill bitcoin. Buy them all (at tax payer expense) and then throw away the key. I mean how much would it cost to buy all 21,000,000 bitcoins right now? Probably less than a month in Afghanistan.

    5. Re:Whoops by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If a great enough number of bitcoins are lost the algorithm could be changed by simply updating greater than 50% of the mining pool to a new algorithm that allows larger block rewards, delays the halving of the reward or increases the divisibilty of bitcoins by allowing more decimal places (which would mean changing some other things such as the block size and so on)

      Of course the mining pool suffers from a massive case of the prisoner's dilemma and the community suffers heavily from the Dunning-Kruger effect so it'll never happen.

    6. Re:Whoops by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This assumes everyone will sell to them.

      Also - whatever FUD is used to justify the takedown will be applied by proxy to the legislators -

      e.g.: "Congress gives billyuns to Tearrists!"

    7. Re:Whoops by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They are out of circulation until the cryptographic method currently used is broken enough (maybe many decades from now if/when decent quantum computers are developed) for the addresses to be cracked and cleaned out.

      It can be argued that losing coins presents a problem. Of course, when some coins are lost, remaining coins become more valuable and are likely to be better protected and distributed, but granularity is lost. If we assume that the divisibility of a single coin is fixed (currently 8 decimal places) and a fixed percentage of bitcoins are lost every year we see an unforgiving exponential decay reduce us to a single tradable unit (currently the "satoshi") in a matter of decades. However, it seems likely that if Bitcoin reaches the point where the smallest tradable unit is too large for many purposes then enough pressure will amass (forgive my mixed units) to increase the divisibilty.

      I can't answer "How do they handle such a situation" because the "they" is a sizable and growing internet community and, to my knowledge, such a thing has never been challenged with a task quite like this.

    8. Re:Whoops by Wonko+the+Sane · · Score: 1

      If the loss of granularity ever becomes a problem it could be change by updating the protocol to allow for more divisibility. It's not likely that a majority of users will agree to any other change, like increasing the block reward. People who are adopting bitcoin are doing so precisely because of its feature of not having unlimited issuance. If enough people are using bitcoin such that divisibility is a problem they aren't likely to want to go back to the current status quo.

    9. Re:Whoops by tehniobium · · Score: 1

      Two things:

      Firstly, if they try to do this, the price of bitcoins will rise wildly as they do so (they cant buy them all at once, and as more bitcoins are taken out of circulation, they will presumably become more valuable). This means that everyone who has bitcoins will make money - nothing lost as far as i can tell.

      Secondly, what's to prevent a second issuing - say "Bitcoin 2.0" - from occuring, and the whole thing from starting over? The technology still works, and all that would need to happen would be an announcement on the bitcoin website. I'm pretty sure the government would be concerned about this if they are going to pump a whole load of cash into buying all of them.

      --
      No kitty, this is my pot pie!
    10. Re:Whoops by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This is how the government will kill Bitcoin. Buy them all (at tax payer expense) and then throw away the key. I mean how much would it cost to buy all 21,000,000 Bitcoins right now? Probably less than a month in Afghanistan.

      The 21,000,000 Bitcoins do not exist yet; they were not mined at this time. If a government want to kill Bitcoin by buying all the coin and destroying it they will have to buy them as they are mined, which would raise its value. In other words, it would accomplish the exact opposite of what was intented.

      Also, If such tactic were use to kill Bitcoin, the Bitcoin miner could use the money they get from the government and, in turn, burn it. The government would be paying for his own destruction.

      TL;DR - You idea AND your motive are stupid. Bitcoin, if successful, will bring more freedom to the world then any revolutionary movement. The question is, can you handle that much freedom?

    11. Re:Whoops by Tr3vin · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Maybe, but I still think the more likely scenario is that nobody but those who are already using them will ever use them. They will be held onto with people talking about their potential value as everyone else goes on with their day-to-day business.

    12. Re:Whoops by Wonko+the+Sane · · Score: 1

      I still think the more likely scenario is that nobody but those who are already using them will ever use them

      Will you retract this statement if it can be shown that tomorrow bitcoin will have more users than it has today?

    13. Re:Whoops by Tr3vin · · Score: 1

      Does it scale faster than the increase in global population?

    14. Re:Whoops by dugancent · · Score: 0

      Freedom for those who have access to the Internet and a computer.

      --
      SJWs are the new boogeyman. -Me
    15. Re:Whoops by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Freedom for those who have access to the Internet and a computer.

      The very same can be said about any freedom. Freedom to these who have access to education. Freedom to these who have access to wealth.

      Computer are ubiquitous, a phone can handle a Bitcoin wallet, and so is the Internet. Some part of the world have more cell phone owner then tap water faucets. The technology will get there. Beside trying to look smart over the Internet, what was your point?

    16. Re:Whoops by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      So all you have to do is figure out which coins are "lost" and regnerate them, right? The original owner would win, except we are assuming they are "lost" and nobody else will come claiming them.

    17. Re:Whoops by Wonko+the+Sane · · Score: 1

      It doesn't work that way. There are no coins - there are only unspent balances. WIthout the private key corresponding to the address containing the unspent outputs you can't sign a valid transaction message.

    18. Re:Whoops by themusicgod1 · · Score: 1

      'Access to the internet' is a bit of a fluid concept. Everyone has access to Iridium internet connections, for the forseable future. Given that a substantial majority of the population of the world own a comptuer (read: cellphone), we're almost there. This isn't 1992 where universal internet access was still a pipe dream -- we're *almost* there. Not quite, but within our lifetime we'll see it. See M-PESA and how the bottom of the pyramid is where this is happening -- access to free banking systems might just be the "killer app" for the remaining parts of humanity without access to them.

      --
      GENERATION 26: The first time you see this, copy it into your sig on any forum and add 1 to the generation.
    19. Re:Whoops by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I can guarantee you won't have 21 million BTC in circulation, as I already lost some.

    20. Re:Whoops by DanielRavenNest · · Score: 1

      There is only one global Bitcoin account book (known as the block chain). It records every transaction to and from every account number ever. If you use the official Bitcoin client, you have a full copy of the account book, and so do many other people.

      When someone "makes a transaction", it is an order to transfer some number of coins from one account number to another. Two things have to happen, first, the sending account has to have sufficient coins to send, which is verified by checking all past transactions from that account. If it does not have enough, the transaction is rejected by the network. Second, the transaction has to be signed with the private key for the account. If you lost that, the account will sit forever with the last balance it had. There is no way to tell from outside if the person lost their key, or just has not had a reason to spend the coins. To rediscover the key would take an enormous amount of computer power. I don't know the exact amount, but it is comparable to cracking other modern encryption systems, because that is what it is.

    21. Re:Whoops by DanielRavenNest · · Score: 1

      If the last digit of the Bitcoin accounting system, 0.01 microcoins, is equated to the US penny, then the 21 trillion microcoins in theory would be worth $21 Trillion US, more than the money supply of the top four currencies combined (Yen, Euro, China, US Dollar). I don't think we have to worry about that for a very long time, if ever.

    22. Re:Whoops by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      So, like people talk about "mining" landfills for discarded materials (metals and such), there would be money in "mining" unused bitcoins and trying to crack them.

  11. Quick find all the people that care by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Troll

    and get them to exchange their gold and silver (actual resources with actual industrial use and hence value) so they can use this crappy fisherprice currency supported by grown up fisherprice playing spineless virtual beings.

    1. Re:Quick find all the people that care by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Gold isn't that rare, they drag more of it out of the ground everyday. There is a max of 21,000,000 bitcoins. Enjoy your inflationary yellow rocks, chump.

    2. Re:Quick find all the people that care by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

      Gold has actual mechanical uses (electrical contacts.) It also has bauble value.

      BitCoins have zero intrinsic value, and they require electric and Internet connectivity to be used. Gold requires a civilization level just a step above pure anarchy to be useful.

      IMHO, it is sort of suspicious that there is this ramp where early adopters get these bonuses, and people hopping on late end up having to put a lot more resources in for the same coins... that combined with the value of the currency going up/down in insane swings, makes it useless as anything other than a novelty.

    3. Re:Quick find all the people that care by wmbetts · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Gold is even useful in a real anarchistic society.

      --
      "Ubuntu" -- an African word, meaning "Slackware is too hard for me". - stolen from Dan C alt.os.linux.slackware
    4. Re:Quick find all the people that care by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > IMHO, it is sort of suspicious that there is this ramp where early adopters get these bonuses, and people hopping on late end up having to put a lot more resources in for the same coins...

      This is why fixed money supplies don't work in the real world, because they're all like that.

    5. Re:Quick find all the people that care by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Can't eat gold or bitcoins.

    6. Re:Quick find all the people that care by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      >BitCoins have zero intrinsic value, and they require electric and Internet connectivity to be used.

      So they're as useful as credit cards?

    7. Re:Quick find all the people that care by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's what you say now. Things will change when all you have is your naked body and a few lumps of gold. Om nom nom.

    8. Re:Quick find all the people that care by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The value of gold (which is nowhere near it's value for electrical contacts by the way) is irrelevant.

      BitCoin's real competitor is the USD/Euro/etc, and they have zero intrinsic value.

      Unlike USD/Euro which can and are printed at will; BitCoin is at least a scarce resource. There can only be a _maximum_ of 21,000,000 coins. It is mathematically impossible for more to exist and the closer you get the harder they are to make. It's likely we will *never* actually have 21,000,000 coins because the energy requirements to "mine" the last few coins will be outrageously high.

    9. Re:Quick find all the people that care by artor3 · · Score: 1

      How so? You can't eat it, it's too soft and heavy to fight with, and no one is going to be building electronics if civilization falls.

    10. Re:Quick find all the people that care by johanatan · · Score: 2

      You confuse anarchy and chaos.

    11. Re:Quick find all the people that care by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No it's not. It can't be passworded against theft and misuse. It has great weight, meaning, trasnportation fees, storage fees too.(ok, bicoins also have this issue, but non the less, gold has it)

      Futher more, you can't make remote transactions as easy with gold, if you do it cost you more.

    12. Re:Quick find all the people that care by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why not use electricity? There are plenty of low tech reasons to have electricity. LEDs are exceedingly common and will last a very long time and have very strong packaging so using them as lights is fairly practical. Electric fences would be a great defense. Radio is a good way to coordinate your buddies. Water can be turned into explosive gas via electricity. There are plenty of low tech circuits and energy storage schemes that can be constructed in a cave with scraps that would be very beneficial to small groups of survivors. Gold would help in making such circuits.

    13. Re:Quick find all the people that care by mug+funky · · Score: 1

      you imply a practical difference.

    14. Re:Quick find all the people that care by aevan · · Score: 1

      Sure you can eat gold, you can even drink it. Personally can't see why but *shrug* to each their own.

    15. Re:Quick find all the people that care by wmbetts · · Score: 4, Insightful

      There is a major difference between political anarchy and chaos. In political anarchy you still have order, but instead of a central government controlling everything it's done with voluntary contracts at the individual level. One of the core beliefs an anarchist has is personal freedom via volunteerism is the only real kind of freedom. There will still be a need for money in a society like that. It could be gold, silver, beads, goats, or whatever the two people doing business agree on.

      If you or I believe that's a viable political structure is a different conversation.

      --
      "Ubuntu" -- an African word, meaning "Slackware is too hard for me". - stolen from Dan C alt.os.linux.slackware
    16. Re:Quick find all the people that care by wmbetts · · Score: 1, Interesting

      According to various types of political anarchist (there's more than one group communist anarchist, ancap, etc) living in an anarchist society would be an improvement to civilization and not the fall of it. The view of a society is subjective. Some people place personal freedom above all else. In order for them to have the personal freedom they want a central government can't exist. They view the government as an entity that exists solely to rob, murder, and kidnap anyone who doesn't agree with their arbitrary laws.

      In their society there would still be a need for money, because they would still be doing business with each other. Money is anything someone else places a value in. If you want to come work for me then we'd sign a contract that outlines what your job is and what compensation you require. I could pay you in gold, silver, goats, beads, etc.

      What I said probably only pertains to ancap, because that's the only group I've actively read anything on. I plan to get to the other groups though.

      If you or I believe that's a viable political structure is a different conversation.

      --
      "Ubuntu" -- an African word, meaning "Slackware is too hard for me". - stolen from Dan C alt.os.linux.slackware
    17. Re:Quick find all the people that care by wmbetts · · Score: 1

      Um, yes it is. If you're living in an anarchist society you can use whatever you want for money. If you want to use bitcoins that's fine. All you have to do is find someone willing to do business with you in bitcoins. If I want to use goats that's fine to. No one would be forcing you to use any one thing as money.

      --
      "Ubuntu" -- an African word, meaning "Slackware is too hard for me". - stolen from Dan C alt.os.linux.slackware
    18. Re:Quick find all the people that care by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Maybe one day cemeteries will get interesting for gold diggers ...

    19. Re:Quick find all the people that care by Dahamma · · Score: 2

      With a gold standard (that no longer even exists, of course) it's only inflationary if the new supply of gold grows faster than economic expansion. Otherwise even gold can be limiting and deflationary.

      Bitcoins, on the other hand, will be completely deflationary due to their very finite and rate limited supply. Using them as a currency would encourage hoarding and completely dry up lending, pretty much sending economic growth down the toilet.

      I mean, seriously, can't geeks get over bitcoins' digital nature and understand basic the economics and psychology behind this? How about imagining bitcoins are WoW gold and new supply just stopped completely. Basically anyone who hoarded them is now "rich", and anyone new to the game and without them is screwed. Sort of like how it would happen in real life if we went back on the gold standard, let alone a "bit coin standard".

    20. Re:Quick find all the people that care by molecular · · Score: 3, Funny

      Gold has actual mechanical uses (electrical contacts.) It also has bauble value.

      BitCoins have zero intrinsic value, and they require electric and Internet connectivity to be used. Gold requires a civilization level just a step above pure anarchy to be useful.

      IMHO, it is sort of suspicious that there is this ramp where early adopters get these bonuses, and people hopping on late end up having to put a lot more resources in for the same coins... that combined with the value of the currency going up/down in insane swings, makes it useless as anything other than a novelty.

      I find it pretty unfair that the early gold miners got such large bonuses. It's much harder to mine gold nowadays. No more standing by the river with a sieve will do it :-(

    21. Re:Quick find all the people that care by linhares · · Score: 1
      reason?

      on /.?

      May god have mercy on our souls

    22. Re:Quick find all the people that care by Lachlan+Hunt · · Score: 1
      --
      By reading this signature, you hereby agree with the content of the above comment.
    23. Re:Quick find all the people that care by AvitarX · · Score: 1

      If the entirety of wealth in the world was backed by gold (no fractional reserves, all currency gold backed), transactions could be done with the gold in seawater.

      Highly deflationary indeed.

      --
      Wow, sent an e-mail as suggested when clicking on "use classic" banner, and got a fast response that addressed my msg
    24. Re:Quick find all the people that care by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Or perhaps bottle caps....

    25. Re:Quick find all the people that care by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's not true at all, except perhaps to the flavor aide set. USD can be used to pay my taxes. Even if I can't use it for anything else, I can still use it to pay the US government whatever I owe.

      The folks that keep claiming that a fiat currency isn't worth something really need to do some actual research. By the time I can't use my USD for purchases, I'm going to have much bigger issues to worry about. BTC OTOH, a good stiff breeze could cause it to collapse.

    26. Re:Quick find all the people that care by Vintermann · · Score: 1

      It has no nutritional value, I think is the grandparent's point. Yes, you can eat it but you might as well not.

      --
      xkcd is not in the sudoers file. This incident will be reported.
    27. Re:Quick find all the people that care by mug+funky · · Score: 2

      no, the point i made was that it wasn't a viable political structure. at least in my opinion. i'm not concerned with the difference between anarchy and chaos on a theoretical level. i'd like to see it in practice, but then again i don't. unless self-interest is extinguished, no perfect system can be devised. a system's flaws might just be what keeps them viable, if not perfect.

    28. Re:Quick find all the people that care by murdocj · · Score: 2

      In other words, it's the same as the current civilization? If I want to use knots in rope as money and can find someone who accept them as currency, I can do so right now.

    29. Re:Quick find all the people that care by Cyberax · · Score: 3, Insightful

      "There is a major difference between political anarchy and chaos. In political anarchy you still have order, but instead of a central government controlling everything it's done with voluntary contracts at the individual level. "

      There is no difference. In a real anarchy you pay for 'protection' to your local gang, which replace the government quite quickly.

    30. Re:Quick find all the people that care by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Besides that, the default civilization level for humans is tribalism, not anarchy.

    31. Re:Quick find all the people that care by drsmithy · · Score: 2

      They view the government as an entity that exists solely to rob, murder, and kidnap anyone who doesn't agree with their arbitrary laws.

      As opposed to an individual who would rob, murder, and kidnap anyone who doesn't agree with their arbitrary laws ?

    32. Re:Quick find all the people that care by EzInKy · · Score: 2

      Why would one enter a voluntary contract when there isn't a central authoriaty to enforce it?

      --
      Time is what keeps everything from happening all at once.
    33. Re:Quick find all the people that care by _Sharp'r_ · · Score: 1

      You add an enforcement mechanism to the contract. Something along the lines of, if you don't do your part, my criminal insurance firm Sharper Security get to come collect and your buddies at Gila River agree to let them collect.

      Then, as long as Sharper Security and Gila River value their reputation for honoring contracts more than their desire for going to war against each other, our contract is enforced, even though we don't have a central authority to enforce it.

      If you make a public bet with a buddy at work, why would you enter that contract if there isn't anyone who would ever enforce it? At least in part, it's because if one of you welshes, no one will want to deal with you in a similar manner in the future.

      --
      The party of stupid and the party of evil get together and do something both stupid and evil, then call it bipartisan.
    34. Re:Quick find all the people that care by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      Anarchy more viable then any other functional political structure because it's the BASE power structure. It's the common base political structure in the nature for non-sentient animals, and it's also a base political structure for humanity. When other structure collapses, anarchy typically remains as the underlying power, but its tendencies are harnessed and controlled by higher power (and political) systems such as dictatorial, republican, theistic and so on.

      Anarchy as a political structure features power interactions on individual level only. Most political systems build on top of natural anarchy, slowly instituting power to control base, anarchist tendencies, ceasing to be anarchist (by definition) in progress. When these power structures cease to exist, natural anarchy is what remains. Not what "comes to existence", as it always exists on base level, but what gains control when other power structures fails.

      This is why anarchy is the typical outcome of power vacuum created by societal collapse, such as that in war-torn countries for example.

    35. Re:Quick find all the people that care by jthill · · Score: 1

      And that's the trouble with bitcoin: it's deflationary.

      --
      As always, all IMO. Insert "I think" everywhere grammatically possible.
    36. Re:Quick find all the people that care by EzInKy · · Score: 1

      So "Sharper Security" becomes the enforcer of contracts? How is this better than a government that enforces contracts? I, for one, do not recognize "Sharper Security" as an enforcer of contracts. What power, short of the ability to garnish my wages or impound my possessions, do you wish we all agree to to empower them with that would force my will to yours?

      --
      Time is what keeps everything from happening all at once.
    37. Re:Quick find all the people that care by Bigby · · Score: 1

      Because you both have voluntary contracts with contract enforcement insurance companies. Basically, something like the mob.

    38. Re:Quick find all the people that care by DrXym · · Score: 1
      Gold is inherently more secure and stable than bitcoins for a multitude of reasons. A few simple ones are that bitcoin could be legislated into oblivion, or replaced by bitcoin version 2 and rendered worthless, or selectively cracked or vulnerable to a class break. Bitcoin has no physical properties to exploit. It's not tangible, it's not government backed. It's extremely volatile.

      There is no reason to believe bitcoin has a long term future and anyone who favours bitcoin over something tangible such as precious metals really is an idiot.

    39. Re:Quick find all the people that care by DrXym · · Score: 1

      The extra effort required to mine coins also increases the likelihood that someone will product another bitcoin-like currency purely to profit the same way as the early bitcoin boosters did - launch a new digital currency from scratch, encourage miners and speculators to buy in, spout a bunch of libertarian nonsense to appeal to potential investors, watch the exchange rate increase, and then cash out before the price slumps. Rinse and repeat.

    40. Re:Quick find all the people that care by Serious+Callers+Only · · Score: 1

      but instead of a central government controlling everything it's done with voluntary contracts at the individual level.

      Who enforces those contracts? Individuals can't, or the worth of a contract is simply directly proportional to the physical violence or other form of coercion that individual is willing to wield in order to enforce it. Society (i.e. social contracts between individuals or groups) requires the threat of violence and coercion in order to exist, as otherwise freeloading becomes the optimal strategy. Many individuals will not share power willingly, or allow personal freedom to others, you don't seem to account for those refusniks.

      If you or I believe that's a viable political structure is a different conversation.

      Actually no, the essence of this question (Is anarchy equal to chaos, or is it something else?) lies exactly at the nexus you have tried to sidestep - is 'political anarchy' viable, and if not, what defines the difference between anarchy and simple chaos? Without answering that question, and thus defining who holds the power, you can't really say what anarchism means, and whether it is worth considering as a political philosophy.

      PS I love your term political anarchy, with it's implication that we can achieve political anarchy, as you narrowly define it, without all other kinds of anarchy following in its wake. Your political anarchy seems to depend on entirely rational humans acting in their own long-term self-interest.

    41. Re:Quick find all the people that care by harks · · Score: 1

      There is intrinsic value in a thing that can be used for making quick payments to anyone across the Internet, with low fees and no regulators standing in the way.

    42. Re:Quick find all the people that care by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This.

      Please, don't confuse anarchy with chaos. They're not one and the same.

    43. Re:Quick find all the people that care by s73v3r · · Score: 1

      Not really. It can be used as a semiconductor, that's about it. Outside of that, you're banking on the "Oooooo, Shiny!" factor, which a lot of people simply won't care about.

    44. Re:Quick find all the people that care by s73v3r · · Score: 1

      And all of that takes just one asshole to fuck everything up.

    45. Re:Quick find all the people that care by s73v3r · · Score: 1

      Again, you're hoping that the other party isn't just going to tell you to fuck off. You're also hoping that you can afford to pay Sharper Security. If you're not well off, then you're fucked.

    46. Re:Quick find all the people that care by s73v3r · · Score: 1

      Some people place personal freedom above all else. In order for them to have the personal freedom they want a central government can't exist. They view the government as an entity that exists solely to rob, murder, and kidnap anyone who doesn't agree with their arbitrary laws.

      And yet, all the seem to do is sit around, bitch and moan about said governmental entity, while enjoying all the privileges and benefits living in such a country bestows, instead of actually going off and living the life they claim they want. They don't actually want freedom. They want to force us all to what they want.

      I cannot take any of these people seriously.

    47. Re:Quick find all the people that care by s73v3r · · Score: 1

      That's no different than today. The only difference is that there's generally one or two default currencies available that the governing entity provides. You know pretty much everyone in your locality will accept this currency. If you wish to try and conduct trade in some other currency, you are free to try and do so, but no one else is obligated to accept your chosen form of currency.

    48. Re:Quick find all the people that care by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Gold requires a civilization level just a step above pure anarchy to be useful.

      That isn't true either. Money based on metal has come and gone through out the millenniums of human civilization. At times, gold, silver, or bronze currency existed and many other times it didn't. Read Debt: The First 5,000 Years by David Graeber for more information.

    49. Re:Quick find all the people that care by jdavidb · · Score: 1

      I don't want to force you to give up the governmental system you choose. I just want you to disavow the right to force me to support your system. You can continue to fight your wars, pledge allegiance to your flag, collect your taxes from your members, etc. But I would like the chance to get together with other people like me and quit supporting your system and start competing systems.

      I don't want either you or me to force each other to do anything.

    50. Re:Quick find all the people that care by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Gold diggers go after the dying, but not the dead. Gotta marry them before hand.

    51. Re:Quick find all the people that care by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Remember, Bitcoin is infinitely divisible.

      4,600,000,000,000: Current USD in circulation (rough estimate)
      2,100,000,000,000,000: Maximum amount of Bitcoin units (satoshis) which will be in circulation when Bitcoin production ends

      Is that not enough for you? Or maybe Bernanke isn't printing dollars fast enough?

    52. Re:Quick find all the people that care by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In addendum, Bitcoin is infinitely divisible -- but current software implementations take it out to 8 decimal places, giving the total figure of 2,100,000,000,000,000 satoshis above.

    53. Re:Quick find all the people that care by Tracy+Reed · · Score: 1

      Mining isn't the only way to get bitcoins.

    54. Re:Quick find all the people that care by _Sharp'r_ · · Score: 1

      Maybe this is too obvious for you... but we're talking about a voluntary contract. If you don't have a mutually agreed enforcement provision, then you don't have a contract and you can both go your separate ways.

      No one is forcing you to make the contract. It's called freedom.... you agree to what you agree to and don't agree to what you don't.

      --
      The party of stupid and the party of evil get together and do something both stupid and evil, then call it bipartisan.
    55. Re:Quick find all the people that care by _Sharp'r_ · · Score: 1

      No, if you can't afford to pay someone on retainer, then you sell part of your contract rights to someone else who can enforce them.

      It's not like a similar system didn't keep the peace and work fine in Iceland for hundreds of years until the Catholic church moved in, took over and started creating taxes based on property locations, after which the old system started fading away.

      --
      The party of stupid and the party of evil get together and do something both stupid and evil, then call it bipartisan.
    56. Re:Quick find all the people that care by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Exactly, and as soon as the relative value of the bitcoin drops low enough I'll be buying massive amounts of it up - creating what I suppose `you` wouldn't call inflation - and then selling it all to crash the value for profit. Just like last time. Have fun losing out on the relative value of your 1's and 0's, chump!

    57. Re:Quick find all the people that care by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Rules is rules, even in an anarchy." --Pablo Steinmetz

    58. Re:Quick find all the people that care by Lucractius · · Score: 1

      The way I always saw it was that if you had one person try to intimidate people, coercion, etc, otherwise trying to tip the scales. It would be considered 'just' if that person were to suffer an accident, or someone refuse to be intimidated and while justifiably threatened by the person attempting the intimidation, they would defend themselves to the fullest extent, be that anywhere on the scale from a light bruising through to lethal force.

      Person A sells themselves into slavery, person B buys said person, person A gets fed up of the treatment, (typically viewed as breach of contract by person A) and vacates to ignore the rest of the contract. The issue between A and B has no impact on Person C, who when presented with the facts at hand, gets to make up their own mind as to the legitimacy of the deal.

      Yes it would be unstable as hell. But it might work for at least a few years before changing from a 'I am lord of my own feifdom" to "i pledged my personal feifdom to Lord X in exchange for safety i was too scared/feeble to secure for myself"

      P.S. I dont think its a good idea. Just trying to help explain why it doesnt actually matter about self interest still existing.

      --
      XML - A clever joke would be here if /. didn't mangle tag brackets.
  12. Additionally by betterunixthanunix · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Bitcoin will let us see if money is something that can truly exist without government, or if the anarchists were full of it. Bitcoin's success or failure will almost certainly tell us more about this than about deflationary spirals.

    --
    Palm trees and 8
    1. Re:Additionally by Wonko+the+Sane · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I think it will tell us that even in the most optimistic scenerio where Bitcoin achieves 100% market penetration, some people will go to their graves insisting that it won't work, isn't really money, and is all just a ponzi scheme.

    2. Re:Additionally by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Well, it has some ways to go given that right now it has zero market penetration.

      I live in a city of half a million people. I recon there is not a single store in the entire city that accepts bitcoins. Neither can I do any of my online shopping with it, such as use it at Newegg or Amazon.com, nor can I use it to pay my utility bills.

      Wake me up when, say, 1% of the world's vendors accept it. Until then, it might as well not even exist.

    3. Re:Additionally by PCM2 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I think it will tell us that even in the most optimistic scenerio where Bitcoin achieves 100% market penetration, some people will go to their graves insisting that it won't work, isn't really money, and is all just a ponzi scheme.

      Conversely, if Bitcoin is around for 100 years and nobody but a handful of extreme-right libertarians thinks it's worth so much as a wooden nickel, we will have learned empirically that some people will always go to their graves still wishing for a pony.

      --
      Breakfast served all day!
    4. Re:Additionally by PCM2 · · Score: 1

      True story: I have some friends who operate a retail store that sells pricey imported bicycles. The bikes there go from around $1,300 to upwards of $4,000. One day, a guy walked in off the street, expressed some interest in buying a bike, but explained (long story short) that he was one of these "fiat currency" nuts and he didn't like to do business in U.S. dollars. Instead, he proposed to buy a bike using a certain amount of pure gold, and he took a little gold bar out of his pocket for proof.

      My friends declined. It seems that, to them at least, the so-called fiat currency actually has more value than gold.

      I'm not sure what the guy with the gold might have been up to, exactly. Maybe he really did think he could go around using gold as currency. Maybe he was a swindler. It would be a lot more interesting if it was all part of some long experiment he was conducting and he planned to publish his results, though.

      --
      Breakfast served all day!
    5. Re:Additionally by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If your credit card gets stolen the bank cancels it, if your gold gets stolen...the end.

    6. Re:Additionally by tftp · · Score: 3, Insightful

      My friends declined. It seems that, to them at least, the so-called fiat currency actually has more value than gold.

      In a way the fiat currency does have more value. First of all, the currency is easy to accept and transfer and count change. Did the buyer have real gold or just some "yellow metal" of unknown chemistry? Electroplating is part of high school chemistry; "soft gold plating" can be done entirely in a solution. Dealing with precious metals requires expensive infrastructure, such as equipment that can validate your coin. Often even banks cannot validate their stocks of metals without drilling. This is not going to work in retail. I bet your friends' cash register is not configured to receive payments in arbitrary valuables.

      Secondly, the rate of exchange varies, and if the bike was purchased from the OEM for dollars it better be sold for dollars if you want to have a fixed, known margin. Selling for gold is equivalent to selling for dollars, and then the seller immediately buys gold for the whole amount. If he needs dollars to buy more products he then needs to sell this metal on the market and incur loss as the broker's fee. If the price of the metal goes down for a day then the seller will also lose money on the difference. (He of course would gain also if the price goes up; but very few bike shop owners moonlight as bullion traders.)

      If I were in place of your friends, I would [also] suspect an attempt at fraud. What people say is totally irrelevant; con artists specialize in being very convincing.

    7. Re:Additionally by mbkennel · · Score: 1

      Instead, he proposed to buy a bike using a certain amount of pure gold, and he took a little golden color piece of something out of his pocket which he imagined somehow would be "proof" of its proper chemical composition.

      The people who trade gold for regular money have the ability to do something like this. The anti-fiat-currency nut didn't go to this type of person. Why not?

      The bike-store owner has some good reason to suspect either a scam or mental illness. These kinds of people are not good customers.

    8. Re:Additionally by PCM2 · · Score: 2

      If I were in place of your friends, I would [also] suspect an attempt at fraud. What people say is totally irrelevant; con artists specialize in being very convincing.

      And yet I have more than a few friends who actively replace their surplus currency with gold, whenever they can. Their main reason for doing this is not really because they think gold is a great investment, but because they think the gold will still have value "when the shit goes down," meaning mass revolution and collapse of the American economy and society as we know it. I have had no more success trying to convince them that conducting an economy based on precious metals after the collapse of American society will be difficult than I have had convincing them that the collapse of society -- for which they have also been stockpiling assault rifles, BTW -- is unlikely to occur in their lifetimes. Some people are funny like that.

      --
      Breakfast served all day!
    9. Re:Additionally by cgenman · · Score: 2

      Bikes seem to be one of the largest broadly tradeable but untracked commodities that hit retail. Scammers are always looking to get bikes... A $1,000 bike can net the scammer 2 or 3 hundred real dollars. It is, in a way, a currency.

    10. Re:Additionally by SecurityTheatre · · Score: 1

      WHERE do you live? Remind me not to visit. :-)

    11. Re:Additionally by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "The bike-store owner has some good reason to suspect either a scam or mental illness."

      Agreed.

      Of course, if the guy had offered bitcoin it would have been an entirely different matter. They can't be forged, and they can't be 'rehypothecated': i.e., taken back. They're exchangeable for any major currency on earth almost instantly - so there's no risk due to fluctuating conversion rate.

      And also - while taking a credit/debit card incurs a 2.5-3% fee to the merchant, with bitcoin the fees are lower: 1% here https://coinbase.com/

      Yeah; gold just isn't ready for small, personal transactions...

    12. Re:Additionally by tftp · · Score: 5, Interesting

      And yet I have more than a few friends who actively replace their surplus currency with gold, whenever they can

      Those are two big differences, as they say in Odessa. Purchasing physical gold from a reputable dealer (and taking delivery) is entirely unlike accepting a bar of unknown yellow metal from a stranger who just walked into your business and left with an expensive product just minutes later, never to be seen again.

      But I understand what you (and your friends) want to say. Unfortunately, preparing for TEOTWAWKI is counter to preparing for normal life. Your purchases are basically reversed. Most people cannot afford the bunker mentality, just because they need income from investments, they need to buy luxury items for their family, toys for their children, non-MRE food for everyday eating. There must be a balance, an exact instant in time when you understand that the life as you know it is not in the cards - and then you flip the bit and start working for the cellar.

      I personally don't believe gold will be valuable after the SHTF. You cannot eat gold - and food will be the top priority, competing for the first place with means of protection (weapons and ammo.) Gold cannot be sold after SHTF because there will be no market. You can always exchange a .223 round for a few cigarettes, and that barter does not require a market because both goods are directly usable. Gold is not usable, unless you need sinkers for fishing. Gold has to be exchanged on a market for something else that you need.

      My personal theory is that after SHTF there will be only two universal currencies: food and ammo. Nothing else will be even close. Perhaps ammo will be even more valuable because you cannot eat if you are dead; but if you have ammo you can get food (in the forest or elsewhere.) Additionally, food can be produced - cows don't read newspapers and they will continue their lifecycle. But ammo is a high-tech product, it cannot be easily put together even if you are into reloading. Once you run out of good cartridges and primers you are done for, even if you can cast your own [low quality] bullets.

      I have had no more success trying to convince them that conducting an economy based on precious metals after the collapse of American society will be difficult

      As you see, I'm not disagreeing with you here.

      the collapse of society -- for which they have also been stockpiling assault rifles, BTW -- is unlikely to occur in their lifetimes.

      That is not under our control. Do you think Syrians or Libyans or even Egyptians expected the Spanish Inquisition just a few years ago? But here they are now, in the midst of a civil war, or on ruins of a wealthy oil state, or preparing for said ruins to be made. Do not forget that the fall of USSR was news to places like CIA - which should have known; but they missed that and more. After USSR disintegrated several civil wars have broken out; some are still simmering. And if you look back into 1990-2000 you will see rich, happy Yugoslavia going up in smoke.

      The USA has a very fragile economy. First, it's an oil-based economy. No food can be grown or delivered without oil. Significant amounts of that oil come from abroad. There are needs that cannot be cut, so even a 20% cut in supplies will send the prices of gas to the sky - and the prices of food will follow. Oil is bought for dollars, and dollars are borrowed. Same happens with much of everything else that we currently receive on ships from China. This means that the country lives on credits - and the creditors may not be willing to finance this economy forever. In essence, not only I and you are not in control of the exact date of TEOTWAWKI, but even the government is not in control. The USA has too few native industries with exportable products to finance purchase of foreign energy; and domestic energy production is limited. I do not know for how long this economy will last, but it cannot last

    13. Re:Additionally by Archangel+Michael · · Score: 1

      The revolution is already happening, it just hasn't hit First World Countries ... yet. Keep believing that you're safe from the nutjobs with guns because you have a police force able to handle them. When the Narcos from Mexico invade (mixed drug laws in CO and WA to start), your police won't give a shit about you.

      --
      Agent K: A *person* is smart. People are dumb, stupid, panicky animals, and you know it.
    14. Re:Additionally by Stirling+Newberry · · Score: 1

      No, because it is parasitic upon economies which have governments. There are all kinds of side currencies: air miles, derivs, stock, MS points. Bit coin is big because there is about 1% of the population that doesn't believe in the 20th century economically, which is in fact, somewhat smaller by an order of magnitude that the people who still can't accept Darwinism.

    15. Re:Additionally by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Tungsten fraud is rampant in the professional gold bar community, FWIW - tungsten has an almost identical density to gold, and tungsten-cored gold bars have started turning up in embarrassing places in the past year or two. One cropped up in Manhattan about a month ago.

      Which is just another reason why the contents of Fort Knox need to be audited, BTW.

    16. Re:Additionally by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Here's what's going to happen. Bitcoin will be outlawed if and when the populace starts using it to a significant degree. The justification will be that it's used for money laundering and other criminal activity (unlike the traditional banking system, where that NEVER HAPPENS). We'll be told to think of the children and all that.

      In reality, it will be outlawed because central banks can't control it and profit from it.

      To learn more, check out this post at ZeroHedge. Or (PDF WARNING) read the full report here.

    17. Re:Additionally by mdmkolbe · · Score: 1

      Bitcoin will let us see if money is something that can truly exist without government

      That experiment was tried years ago in the form of coins minted from precious metals. Yes, it does work. It does, however, bring certain disadvantages (e.g. uncontrolled fluctuations in the monetary supply, people trying to corner the market, etc.).

    18. Re:Additionally by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

      What you are ignoring though is that a collapse of the U.S. looks way more like Venezuela than Egypt.

      Venezuela was already quite modern before it went into a bad decline. Now it's not like you cannot get food, just some kinds are very expensive, and they have to worry a great deal more about things like kidnapping and robbery because people are desperate. But it's not like money has no value and only food/guns matter. The U.S. also grows quite a lot of food so collapse here means some regions will stay stable because they will, if nothing else, have food...

      Egypt is screwed because it started off not really that advanced. I've been to Cairo and seen people slaughtering goats by the side of the road for example, and living in collapsed buildings as kind of a common thing. Egypt also has to import a LOT of food to sustain the numbers of people they have. There is a society that is rapidly heading more in the direction you outline than is really possible for the U.S.

      --
      "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    19. Re:Additionally by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      After TEOTWAYKI the main currency will be lead, not gold.

    20. Re:Additionally by ThosLives · · Score: 1

      Out of curiosity: are they buying physical gold, storing it in a safe under their own control?

      If not, then their "purchase" of gold is just as useless as putting money in the bank, buying stocks, etc. If things really do get that bad, why on earth would a rational person think their "gold account" will still be credited to them?

      --
      "There are a dozen opinions on a matter until you know the truth. Then there is only one." - CS Lewis (paraprhase)
    21. Re:Additionally by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Paper can be falsified as well. The purchasing power of a dollar also fluctuates, usually not in favor of its holders, the citizens. The difference is gold cannot be printed into infinity. You're an idiot :)

    22. Re:Additionally by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Bunker mentality and even stocking firearms and ammo is defensive thinking and a sign of lacking initiative. All base defenders are sitting ducks WSHTF. If you are preparing for TEOTWAWKI, prepare your body and your mind for constant roaming, orientation, long marches, improvising shelters in summer and winter, recognizing edible and medicine plants, performing reconnaissance and offensive actions and raids, ruse, trading, bargaining, crafts, small repairs, medicine, entertainment, story making and story telling, herding small cattle, herding and riding horses, manufacturing and using stone-age weapons for hunting (if you have firearms, use it only in extreme circumstances and life-or-death situations). Learn how to organize small and large groups and how to rule people. This preparations cost less then stocking tons of material and building bunkers and you can carry all of it with you at any time. If you are one, entertain or craft for food and shelter. If you are few, trade between communities. If you are many, raid them. If you are plenty, form and rule a tribe territory.

    23. Re:Additionally by IndustrialComplex · · Score: 1

      If things were to 'go down'. I'd say the best investment NOW would be in weapons and tangible useful items.

      Trade some of those 'tangible useful items' for as much gold as you like once things do 'go down'. Just be sure to also trade some other 'tangible useful items' for 'sufficient trusted labor' to man those 'tangible useful items' that fire 'tangible soft metals' at the people who would seek out your remaining 'tangible useful items'.

      Gold will have value, but it seems to me that the best time to invest in it is either 'yesteryear' or the 'year after things go down', never 'today'.

      --
      Out of modpoints but really liked a post? 1BDkF6TtmmeZ3yqXbz9yhdYVqRYnwFoXDj
    24. Re:Additionally by IndustrialComplex · · Score: 1

      This is why I deal in Lead. If someone tries to skimp by filling my lead bars with tungsten or gold...

      --
      Out of modpoints but really liked a post? 1BDkF6TtmmeZ3yqXbz9yhdYVqRYnwFoXDj
    25. Re:Additionally by dbIII · · Score: 1

      Do not forget that the fall of USSR was news to places like CIA - which should have known

      They could have asked just about anyone that had listened to the Pope, Margret Thatcher, or a pile of other less prominent people but instead they were just a bunch of useless yes men to a bunch of brainless stay at home warmongers.

    26. Re:Additionally by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      However if they happen to be right I wonder where you might be headed when "the shit goes down" as you put it. When looters are breaking down your door and removing whatever they want from your pad including your wife and children I wonder what means you'll use to protect them. Whne you're money is no good and your family is starving I'm wondering what you'll trade to fix that problem. There are reasons why folks like your friends do what they do, and it may be a good idea to pay attention and take notes rather than trying to "educate" them.

    27. Re:Additionally by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No it won't tell us that.

      Bitcoin is a pump and dump scam and it will fail.

    28. Re:Additionally by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Civil war is very, very different from the kind of problem for which survivalists are preparing.

      The way you prepare for your country sinking into civil war is to have your spare money overseas, to have wealthy friends overseas, and to have negotiable currency enough to convince someone to move you over the border readily available. Ask any Iranian or Vietnamese or Somali friends you have in the US.

      Having lots of stored goods doesn't help in a civil war, because civil wars are really good ways of making refugees; if you have a defensible house then both armies will want to use it as a strongpoint. Having guns makes you a target for people who are more numerous than you and have not only guns but squad tactics, and know that they will be rewarded with guns for killing you.

    29. Re:Additionally by Sebastopol · · Score: 1

      5.56 green tip LC is now going for about US$0.47 per round in 1,000 round purchase (assuming online dealers haven't sold out). Fortunately 7.62x39 is 75% cheaper, and them true 'Mericans sure hate AKs.

      I'd say ammo's a damn fine investment, although moseying into town to after the apocalypse to trade it for food is likely to end with you facing a bigger gun. The nice thing about using non-ammunition for currency is that it can't be turned around and used on you almost immediately.

      --
      https://www.accountkiller.com/removal-requested
    30. Re:Additionally by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I heard an interesting guy (forget his name at the moment - was at a LongNow lecture in SF after 2008) talking about after the SHTF - his advice was to stockpile brass and steel screws, and stuff like that. They'll be valuable until we all run out of screwdrivers, which makes a certain kind of sense.. And they are about the size of coins so could really quickly replace physical currency in a few ways.

    31. Re:Additionally by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Money has existed many times without government.

    32. Re:Additionally by epine · · Score: 1

      I have had no more success trying to convince them that conducting an economy based on precious metals after the collapse of American society will be difficult than I have had convincing them that the collapse of society -- for which they have also been stockpiling assault rifles, BTW -- is unlikely to occur in their lifetimes.

      These behaviours have very little to do with rational belief systems. These are wish fulfillment attitudes. Some people get a boner over survival of the fittest. Or they feel crowded by the success of the human race. Part of this is valuing relative advantage over absolute advantage. But hey, won't that assault rifle look tremendously less cool when their wife dies in childbirth.

      I don't have any great bias against the delusions of others ... until it interferes with making a positive contribution to avoiding the worst. But why worry? Of course, with the big assault rifle you can kidnap a doctor. "What do you mean, you've never delivered a baby? You're a doctor, aren't you?" Many people with assault rifles have shit for brains. This contributes to making a single-use tool so appealing.

      I suspect this movie doesn't stray too far from actual events. To Live:

      Since all doctors have been sent to do hard labor for being "reactionary academic authorities", the students are left as the only ones in charge, despite being so young.

      They doubt that this is a good state of affairs, so they find a real doctor (starving), feed him some steamed buns so that he can function. Problem solved. Almost.

      However, Fengxia begins to hemorrhage, and the nurses panic, admitting that they do not know what to do. The family and nurses seek the advice of the doctor, but find that he has overeaten and is semiconscious.

      Welcome to your future life.

    33. Re:Additionally by tftp · · Score: 1

      The way you prepare for your country sinking into civil war is to have your spare money overseas

      Of course the best way of dealing with a civil war is to be a 10,000 miles away from it. That's not even a question.

      The question is what does one do when he has nowhere to run. Even a trip from Texas to the Canadian border, to become a refugee, may kill you one hundred times over if you are not prepared. Most people are not prepared; I would guess only recent soldiers are kind of OK. Survivalists are focusing on surviving a few bad days, weeks or months, hunkered down in their lairs. This may be not a bad plan as long as the bad times are expected to pass (like the hurricane, for example, or an earthquake.) However if the government collapses, hunger is widespread and local gangs are in control their survivalist methods will not work. As you say, their safe houses will be raided by overwhelming numbers of better armed gangsters. One theory, that you can find in some fiction books, is that people will band together to protect resources and their families. But endless war is not survivable; you must plan to exterminate the gangs to the last man. This is a very difficult goal to achieve.

      Still, one can trade his guns for a passage to the last ship that departs toward China, Argentina or Europe. Guns may be also useful if you plan to reach the border (if you can do it physically and mentally.) Guns are something that will be in great demand because majority of the population did not bother to get them when getting was good (like right now.) I do not want to advocate stockpiling of guns and ammo because it will hurt your life in the short term, and the SHTF may never happen (or not like you were thinking it would.) However there is nothing wrong with buying over time a few firearms that you like - they are fun to shoot, useful to protect your home every night, and you can always sell them. Guns are a high-tech product, even more so than the ammo. A good rifled barrel cannot be made in an abandoned warehouse; in fact, only few factories are equipped with very special tools to make them - and there are trade secrets too. Maybe not secrets, but you need to know how to use those machines if you come across them - what is the cutting rate, what is the temperature, what is the coolant, and so on. And don't even ask about sharpening those tools - in some technologies it's high science that only few workers know. So a finished, working firearm will be a great treasure, since firearms tend to get damaged and worn and need replacement.

    34. Re:Additionally by s73v3r · · Score: 1

      As opposed to the most depressive situation in which Bitcoin utterly fails, some people will go to their graves insisting that it's the greatest thing ever.

    35. Re:Additionally by s73v3r · · Score: 1

      The chance that they are right is extremely infinitesimal. But in such a situation, guns might be a prudent investment. Gold, however, would not be.

    36. Re:Additionally by s73v3r · · Score: 1

      At the same time, the bike shop owner would have to convert the BTC into local currency in order to pay their bills. That means they would have another hurdle towards being able to actually use the currency they were given.

    37. Re:Additionally by tftp · · Score: 1

      I'd say ammo's a damn fine investment, although moseying into town to after the apocalypse to trade it for food is likely to end with you facing a bigger gun.

      That's true regardless of whether you have a gun or not. It would be expected that trade posts are safe zones, otherwise who would be trading there? Trading in public places is one possibility. Using a single armed mediator is another. Each side having armed support is yet another method (then the inflicted damage to both sides becomes higher than the value of goods.)

      The nice thing about using non-ammunition for currency is that it can't be turned around and used on you almost immediately.

      I wouldn't bet the farm on the theory that your vis-a-vis haven't kept a single round of ammo on him and sorely needs your ammo to kill you. As matter of fact, if he wants to kill you he will do so as soon as you declare that you have something worth taking. Even if all you have to trade is soft bread, the attacker can stick a knife into you and take all you have. To prevent that undesirable scenario, see above.

    38. Re:Additionally by Uberbah · · Score: 1

      You nutbaggers and your alternate realities you live in. The purchasing power of the average Venezuelan has doubled under Chavez. Nutbaggers hate him because his policies have made things better for the poor and the working class as opposed to the plutocrats.

    39. Re:Additionally by tftp · · Score: 1

      There will be no trust in that currency if we treat it as a fiat currency with zero inherent value. You would be better off using FOREIGN fiat currency that is sufficiently stable (like the Canadian dollar, for example.) But there is very little physical foreign currency in the USA.

      Brass screws have small inherent value, but to extract that you would need to build a complex metallurgical plant. Much simpler to shortcut the screws and stockpile new brass of popular calibers. Reloaders will be buying that because cartridges can only take about five reloadings - and some fail at random time because the metal develops cracks.

    40. Re:Additionally by tftp · · Score: 1

      But it's not like money has no value and only food/guns matter.

      The last years of USSR, which I lived through, were very educational. Money did not get abandoned overnight; it would be foolish to think so. It simply started losing value, fast. Things were that bad that people tried to unload their paper in every way possible, by buying any valuables they could think of - jewelry, electronics, foreign currency (illegal at that time.) Inflation is very common in troubled countries; and the US government runs the printing press more than ever. Only the huge volume of USD in the world, and remaining demand for it, keeps the USD more or less stable. Though it did dive below the CDN at some point. At this very moment 1 US Dollar = 0.992388 Canadian Dollars. Ten years ago 1 USD was $1.20 CDN or something like that.

      The U.S. also grows quite a lot of food so collapse here means some regions will stay stable because they will, if nothing else, have food...

      I wonder what the hungry masses in other regions will do when they still have their cars and their weapons and enough fuel to reach the food-producing regions... Hmm, I think they will just curl up and die in their apartments in cities. Going 100 miles to a ranch, killing the rancher and slaughtering all his cows would never occur to a bunch of city thugs, especially when the law enforcement ceased to exist.

    41. Re:Additionally by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      For bad times that are localised and pass, we've got a truly marvellous assistance system called a government - wave your hands and mention FEMA in New Orleans all you want, but that was just another case where being the guy with all the guns would simply mean you were the guy who got impressively gunned down on national TV.

      The idea that firearms might be scarce makes sense only in world-spanning irredeemable catastrophe: the US is notable for the length and permeability of its borders and the irrational enthusiasm for firearms of its inhabitants, the only question is whether you're getting the guns free with attached ideology over the Canadian border, or with a different attached ideology over the Mexican border, or landed in exchange for hard currency by small boat somewhere between Crescent City and Fort Bragg. If there's a government capable of interdicting arms shipments across the US borders, it's capable of helping out with the catastrophe.

      You can demonstrably produce firearms by the very great multitude using the fairly wimpy technology that Russia had in 1937 ... you're not making them in an abandoned warehouse in Idaho, you're making them in a machine shop next to a row of other machine shops in an industrial suburb of Melbourne or Lima or Kuala Lumpur.

    42. Re:Additionally by LunaticTippy · · Score: 1

      My end-of-days relatives buy physical gold they put in an actual bunker. Tens of thousands of rounds of ammo, years worth of food. Apparently it is a thing.

      --
      Man, you really need that seminar!
    43. Re:Additionally by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

      I wonder what the hungry masses in other regions will do when they still have their cars and their weapons and enough fuel to reach the food-producing regions...

      Be killed by heavily armed farmers or bandits operating in between, then used as fertilizer.

      --
      "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    44. Re:Additionally by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Of course, no need to convert with gold.

      Because gold is money! ...right?

    45. Re:Additionally by DanielRavenNest · · Score: 1

      Well, the Bitcoin money supply is already larger than that of 13 countries. Small countries, to be sure, but that is a pretty decent achievement for something that has only seen significant use for two years. ($12.35 per coin x 10.5 million coins = $129 million money supply).

    46. Re:Additionally by tftp · · Score: 1

      Perhaps. But as things are, farmers' and ranchers' families are small, but their pastures are huge (which is necessary to feed many cows.) They cannot be everywhere. The attackers have higher numbers, and they don't have to be everywhere. They need to be just anywhere where property is available for taking. This is a huge military advantage. I'm regularly visiting ranches, and I can guarantee that most of the property there can be taken by a child. No weapons needed. It's all based on trust. Fences are only used to contain the cattle.

      or bandits operating in between

      Then what stops *those* bandits from robbing the rancher? Some other gangs who are still in between? Achilles will never catch up with a tortouse?

    47. Re:Additionally by Sebastopol · · Score: 1

      Even if all you have to trade is soft bread, the attacker can stick a knife into you and take all you have.

      Mmmm... soft bread.

      --
      https://www.accountkiller.com/removal-requested
    48. Re:Additionally by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I point out that SHTF can occur in several forms. Currency collapse via hyper-inflation would make gold very desirable in deed. Currency is useful for many reasons. Gold has held value as a trade good since ancient times and has had a surprisingly consistant value for most of that period. It may be argued that gold is a useful hedge against currency devaluation. If SHTF in a slow slide or as a financial collapse there will probably be a window in which gold is more useful than barter. With the correct position, much profit might be made assuming someone doesnt use their .223 cartrages to aquire your gold.

    49. Re:Additionally by PCM2 · · Score: 1

      WHERE do you live? Remind me not to visit. :-)

      Believe it or not, San Francisco, California. It takes all kinds, I guess.

      --
      Breakfast served all day!
    50. Re:Additionally by PCM2 · · Score: 1

      Out of curiosity: are they buying physical gold, storing it in a safe under their own control?

      I'm not completely sure where they're keeping it. I doubt they trust banks enough to rent a safe deposit box, but keeping gold in your rented apartment in an urban area doesn't seem that smart, either. They're probably letting someone hang onto it, so it's only semi- under their control.

      I was more thinking, though, of the problem that ANY kind of currency, be it gold or whatever, is worthless in a completely unregulated economy. If The Shit Goes Down and society collapses and I have ten loaves of bread and you have $1,000 worth of gold -- never mind how we both managed to agree how much gold is worth $1,000 -- guess what the price of one loaf of bread is going to be today?

      --
      Breakfast served all day!
    51. Re:Additionally by PCM2 · · Score: 1

      I wonder what the hungry masses in other regions will do when they still have their cars and their weapons and enough fuel to reach the food-producing regions... Hmm, I think they will just curl up and die in their apartments in cities. Going 100 miles to a ranch, killing the rancher and slaughtering all his cows would never occur to a bunch of city thugs, especially when the law enforcement ceased to exist.

      Right. As if a "city thug" would know the first thing about how to slaughter and butcher a cow (without killing himself with e. coli), let alone how to plant and harvest a crop.

      --
      Breakfast served all day!
    52. Re:Additionally by hackwrench · · Score: 1

      Um, we're in the 21st century...I think that would affect your belief in the 20th century economically.

    53. Re:Additionally by tftp · · Score: 1

      Right. As if a "city thug" would know the first thing about how to slaughter and butcher a cow (without killing himself with e. coli), let alone how to plant and harvest a crop.

      You are right about farming. But, if experience of the USA in 1930's, as well as experience of Russia in 1990-2012, teaches us any lessons, criminals simply turn to racket. Criminals directly own very few properties - clubs, primarily. Other businesses are controlled. The owner of the business remains in charge of production; however selling of the product is now done by the gang, and the owner is only paid enough to not die from hunger. All the profit goes to racketeers.

      This is not only important because the gang doesn't know how to plant crops or how to care for calves. It is also important because it provides continuous profit, as opposed to one-time raid with all movable property taken, the rest - burned, and the owners - killed. You get a wasteland this way. But note that in Zimbabwe roving gangs of ZANU-PF soldiers did exactly that - the genocide of white farmers - and they couldn't care less about what happens to the country.

      These events happen way before the country descends into anarchy or a civil war. A weaker government enables gangs to do this by being unable to maintain law and order. Corrupt bureaucrats facilitate "the business of protection" - as in "Nice shop you have here! It would be a shame if something happens to it..." Conversely, a strong government can exterminate the mafia.

    54. Re:Additionally by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

      farmers' and ranchers' families are small, but their pastures are huge

      And open.

      They cannot be everywhere.

      They don't have to be everywhere. They just have to see everywhere...

      If you are at the point where people are fleeing cities to raid farms, then the farmer can start to think land mines, automated turrets, drones with rifles, sniper nests, etc.

      It's way easier to protect a farm than you think when you don't care if you are killing people in the process.

      Then what stops *those* bandits from robbing the rancher?

      They are obviously paid off by the ranchers.

      --
      "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
  13. Oh God No... by hawks5999 · · Score: 5, Funny

    Get rid of them now. I suggest you send any bitcoins you have to this wallet address: 1AeCTNhF3Sovi8fkjq7Buy8sYoc2C4xoo4

  14. Anarchists by betterunixthanunix · · Score: 3, Informative

    Here's the highest-level view possible: a bunch of anarchists thought that an interesting cryptographic trick would let them have money without government, and then a bunch of opportunists realized that they could scam people with Bitcoin much in the same way that bankers scam people with unusual investments.

    --
    Palm trees and 8
    1. Re:Anarchists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There's a big difference between anarchism and crypto-anarchism. Wikipedia can fill you in.

  15. Not necessarily by cultiv8 · · Score: 1

    If you believe the mhash/s speeds of (yet to be released) ASIC hardware, as well as decentralized P2Pool mining, then you'll need to factor in the effect of disruptive technologies on "deflationary spirals". Bitcoin mining was something I was recently evaluating and decided against after researching and factoring in the effects of profitability decline per year on revenue, especially if ASIC hardware delivers as specced.

    --
    sysadmins and parents of newborns get the same amount of sleep.
    1. Re:Not necessarily by molecular · · Score: 1

      you analysed correctly. Mining profitability is currently questionable.

    2. Re:Not necessarily by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As in most gold rushes, people selling mining equipment will probably make more money than the miners. The thing, is that if lots of people think something is a scam, then it has a tendency to attract scammers looking for quick money even if it really isn't.

      If someone can make a profitable dedicated bit coin mining chip, they would be fools to sell it. Don't buy something marketed as such, much as you shouldn't buy schemes to win at the lottery.

  16. I'm a Happy Camper by johnnysmith2012 · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Since now they girls doing video clips for bitcoins! http://www.videos4btc.info/

  17. I wonder... by fuzzyfuzzyfungus · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I'm no crypto expert; but it was my layman's understanding that the bitcoin setup is(barring presently unknown attacks) unforgeable; but that there is nothing particularly special about the "Genesis block" at the beginning of the bitcoin block chain, aside from mutual acceptance of it.

    Given that, while it is not possible to forge a bitcoin or to produce more than 21,000,000 of them, it should be possible for anybody who feels like it to simply define a new Genesis block and go hashing merrily away. The products of this block chain will be distinguishable from the products of any other block chain; but user convention could assign them value in exactly the same way as it did the old ones(or, more probably, they would trade at a discount against the 'original' bitcoins).

    Any speculation on whether the people-who-care-about-bitcoins of the world are sufficiently rabid about some sort of deflationary theory of currency to prevent that, or will we start seeing N different distinct block chains trading between one another as well as select real world commodities?

    1. Re:I wonder... by Wonko+the+Sane · · Score: 1

      There are already several alternate blockchains, but almost nobody uses them.

      Given the choice between holding currency that does not artificially devalue, and holding currency that does artificially devalue, who is going to choose the latter?

    2. Re:I wonder... by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      There are already several alternate blockchains, but almost nobody uses them.

      compared to the number using the official chain, the difference looks inconsequential

      Given the choice between holding currency that does not artificially devalue, and holding currency that does artificially devalue, who is going to choose the latter?

      99.99999765% of the world's population?

    3. Re:I wonder... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Given the choice between borrowing currency that does artificially devalue and borrowing currency that increases in value, who is going to choose the latter?

    4. Re:I wonder... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      This is an important observation. Bitcoin has a powerful network effect. It was first on the scene and, while not necessarily the best of the crypto-currencies, is by far the most widely supported and is good enough to hold that advantage.

      A currency, far more than even a social networking site, has a huge network effect: extremely difficult to make or break. Its a testament to Bitcoin that it is techically far enough superior to existing currencies in enough ways that its user base is growing (existing currencies has the same incredibly powerful network effect and some extra backing from being tied up in law and government).

      Consequently I see one of two scenarios unfolding:
      Bitcoin continues to grow and fundamentally alter trade worldwide in the coming decades.
      Bitcoin gets held back by a number of swift and excellent electronic payment services from large companies like Google and Facebook and remains niche to those who care about privacy and freedom.

      Right now, I think the latter is slightly more likely.

    5. Re:I wonder... by Wonko+the+Sane · · Score: 2

      Consequently I see one of two scenarios unfolding:

      Bitcoin continues to grow and fundamentally alter trade worldwide in the coming decades.

      Bitcoin gets held back by a number of swift and excellent electronic payment services from large companies like Google and Facebook and remains niche to those who care about privacy and freedom.

      Right now, I think the latter is slightly more likely.

      All those electronic payment services from Google and Facebook are going to fall into the same trap as other centralized services. They'll have to deal with the media companies who sue them if they provide payment processing services to companies that Hollywood doesn't like. They'll have to implement arbitrary restrictions to satisfy AML. They'll be forced to restrict service because one government somewhere throws a fit if they serve customers from the wrong part of the world.

      Bitcoin faces none of those difficulties.

    6. Re:I wonder... by trifish · · Score: 1

      > Bitcoin faces none of those difficulties.

      Really? It doesn't? So how do you download the client and join the network if it becomes illegal suddenly? If all domain names serving the client are confiscated/blocked/redirected/etc.?

    7. Re:I wonder... by IndustrialComplex · · Score: 1

      I'm guessing that it would vanish into the aether and become an amusing footnote in history. Much like Alcohol when it, and all distribution methods were banned and never heard from again.

      --
      Out of modpoints but really liked a post? 1BDkF6TtmmeZ3yqXbz9yhdYVqRYnwFoXDj
    8. Re:I wonder... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      the amount of new users would decrease to 0.00000001% of the original. so yeah, keep your belief in perpetually invulnerable decentralized systems like this. :D

  18. What about loss? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I confess to not understanding how it works too well, but what if I accumulate a bunch of bitcoins and then just lose all their details (ie, delete them, throw them away, whatever). Surely, as people lose, forget or just misplace them (and this happens with real money, too) this will lead to a number below 21,000,000 and eventually quite a lot fewer?

    1. Re:What about loss? by LodCrappo · · Score: 1

      losing a bitcoin works a lot like losing the paper bills used in some other currencies, although its easy (and perfectly fine) to copy or back up your bitcoin wallet, whereas most older systems frown on "backing up" paper currency.

      the number will indeed go lower than 21 million due to loss. there are quite a few lost already, so I suppose there will never actually be 21 million in existence at once.
      it doesn't make a real difference in the big picture. even if 99% of all bitcoins were lost, we'd only effectively be losing one decimal place.

      --
      -Lod
    2. Re:What about loss? by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      yes, hence why they deflate.

  19. Who cares, the mining game is over anyways. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

    I used to be big on the BTC mining thing. These days, however, it just doesn't matter anymore.

    I got into BTC fairly early, back when it was profitable to run the mining software on a single workstation to suck up unused cycles. At that time, it was actually profitable to invest in dedicated hardware to mine coins- so I (and a lot of other people) eventually did. My first dedicated rig was a HP ML350 G5, which set me back about $4000. It ran two 8 core processors and basically sat around all day mining bitcoins.

    Later on when the GPU accelerated mining took off, I bought and built four systems from off the shelf components, and the ML350 was rededicated to running ESXi with a bunch of VMs for mining and managing the four slaves. Each slave had 3x ATI GPUs, later those were swapped out for NVidia GPUs for other various software reasons.

    Then the FPGA (and later ASIC) players came into the game. It started with development boards (FPGA boards purchased direct from the chip manufacture), but later spiralled into custom FPGA boards in nice cases that you could stack or keep around on a metal shelving system easily enough. Now, the custom FPGA boxes for BTC mining basically put the GPU miners out of business- the introduction of FPGA hardware increased the BTC mining difficulty to the point that it was pointless wasting the power mining with anything other then.

    The problem was that by the time the FPGA market exploded, it was *barely* worth investing in the hardware to get in that late in the game. Previously, buying a few PCs and loading them with GPUs was a cheap way to make some extra cash. FPGAs however cost a hell of a lot more and the difficulty of mining BTCs had increased so much that you would barely break even, and you'd be bloody lucky if you actually made any money in the end.

    But FPGAs weren't good enough. People started thinking that they could build silicon to do things even faster, and thus the ASIC market started to emerge and take off. The problem here is that while an ASIC kicks the shit out of an FPGA (and anything that came before the FPGAs)- they're so expensive and the BTC difficulty has been bumped up so much by the initial ASIC wave and the FPGAs before it... That... Wait for it...

    Investing in ANY form of ASICs to make **any** kind of reasonable money... Means that you'll never actually break even.

    That's right, the ASICs they've got out there are so powerful and the BTC chain is becoming so difficult to mine, that if you invested $10K+ (which is what you'd have to spend) for a reasonable ASIC setup- you would never actually make any money. If your ASIC box is profitable, it won't be for long since the more ASIC miners join in on the party- the more difficult it becomes to mine BTCs.

    So the whole system has kind of spiralled into nothing. Mining isn't profitable anymore. Even if you invest in serious hardware. It just doesn't matter anymore, and now that the "reward" for mining BTCs is about to halve- it's even more of a waste of time then it was before. You could have made money in the beginning if you were there, but if you weren't- it's not worth investing even a dollar into hardware to mine BTCs anymore. That train has long since departed.

    BTC is basically just a currency now. Mining is vastly irrelevant and always will be, now that we've got FPGAs and ASICs flying around.

    -AC

    1. Re:Who cares, the mining game is over anyways. by EvilSS · · Score: 1

      I never really understood the dedicated ASIC market for bitcoin mining. If I can build a machine that literally converts electricity into money (theoretically at a profit) why would I sell it for less than I could get by using the machine myself? If I don't sell it for less than it could make me, then who the hell would buy it?

      --
      I browse on +1 so AC's need not respond, I won't see it.
    2. Re:Who cares, the mining game is over anyways. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      Sorry, but I call BS, at least partly. There currently are no ASIC miners out there.

    3. Re:Who cares, the mining game is over anyways. by BlueBlade · · Score: 4, Interesting

      I don't know, at least for me, bitcoin mining is still paying part of my electricity bill. I live in Quebec and, like 90% of Quebecers, I use electricity to heat my house. That means that in winter, 100% of the heat generated by the card to compute bitcoins is used to heat the house. With the mining running, the house electric heaters need to start less often, so the mining is essentially free for me.

      I'm using my 3 years old ATI 5870 card to mine the bitcoins, and I get about 4 bitcoins per month, which is roughly $45 at the current rates. I bought the card for gaming originally, and that's what it's still mainly used for. I only mine during the 6 months which require heating (november to april), so essentially, the bitcoin mining is free money. I made about $600 last year and I'll probably make $300 this year. For cases like mine, bitcoin mining is pure profit with no downsides at all.

      --
      Religion is the best example of mass psychosis
    4. Re:Who cares, the mining game is over anyways. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ASICs aren't flying around just yet. There are a bunch of companies that claim to have chips up for preorder, but nobody has actually shipped anything yet. It will get interesting in a few months when they actually do ship a few ASICs.

    5. Re:Who cares, the mining game is over anyways. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, because if mining becomes unprofitable, then people will drop off or turn off their miners, then difficulty goes down, then mining will be profitable again. It's self balancing.

    6. Re:Who cares, the mining game is over anyways. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      On an unrelated note, using direct electricity to heat your home is environmentally irresponsible. Get a heat pump.

    7. Re:Who cares, the mining game is over anyways. by Frosty+Piss · · Score: 0

      I made about $600 last year and I'll probably make $300 this year

      Except that you really can't actually spend those "bitcoins" on anything other than consumer shit. No food, no gas, just games and toys.

      --
      If you want news from today, you have to come back tomorrow.
    8. Re:Who cares, the mining game is over anyways. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Really? Hmmm, then I must be doing it all wrong. I haven't had any problem selling it for USD and buying those exact things you say I can't buy.

    9. Re:Who cares, the mining game is over anyways. by tftp · · Score: 2

      If I don't sell it for less than it could make me, then who the hell would buy it?

      Since money is a universal good, one specific reason would be time. A manufacturer can order 10,000 miners built in China and quickly sold for $2M (for example) right away. Those miners will require power and time to produce bitcoins - and at that time in the future nobody knows what the exchange rate of BC will be. Do not forget that the $2M is still an investment. To summarize, the seller of mining hardware is willing to take less profit for getting his money right now. He may also not believe in the bright future of BC but not be above helping some fools to part with their money. He may also know that BC mining is not profitable anymore (fighting for scraps is not a good career.) Or he may believe that the governments will put a stop to this game as soon as it starts threatening their own currencies.

      In other words, your observation remains valid. If someone tries to sell you a money-making machine, approach with caution.

    10. Re:Who cares, the mining game is over anyways. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The FPGAs boards I saw being peddled were relatively cheap, but at that point it didn't make any sense to invest in them.

      And ASICs... seriously?

    11. Re:Who cares, the mining game is over anyways. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Assuming you use a heat pump, you can actually obtain a coefficient of performance of 3 or 4, rather than the COP of ~1 for a regular electric heater. Hard to say if it would save money or not.

    12. Re:Who cares, the mining game is over anyways. by norpy · · Score: 5, Insightful

      During a gold rush the only person who actually gets rich is the man selling shovels.

    13. Re:Who cares, the mining game is over anyways. by MatthiasF · · Score: 1

      I think you have things backwards, it's getting cheaper with time to make Bitcoins. All that hardware you bought for $10k+ can only process the mining at 1/1000th (or less, I'm being generous) the speed of ASICs, which cost at most $500-1000 a piece. So, on a hardware basis, return on investment on mining equipment has been increasing drastically over the last two years for those using the most up to date method.

      And each time the mining systems evolved from cores to GPU to FPGA and now ASIC, the actual USD cost per Bitcoin dropped.

      But with the planned market correction applying soon (the 50 to 25 Bitcoins per solve), the return on investment is going to halve overnight.

      This will essentially cut off anyone using older methods from staying in the mining business, and since the lure of Bitcoins is the mining, it's going to have a psychological blow to the currency.

      Translation: The return split is going to cause a run on the bank.

    14. Re:Who cares, the mining game is over anyways. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      First, as has been pointed out by others, there is no widely available ASIC mining hardware just yet.

      Second, if mining weren't profitable for someone, it wouldn't be done - period. Yet there are miners, and it's unreasonable to assume they're all speculating that the exchange rate will rise while paying bills with hopium.

      Finally, many businesses typically have an expected ROI on the order of years. If Bitcoin mining transitions to this scale, then it will simply be normal instead of high risk, high reward.

      Mining difficulty will spike as it did for each prior transition. As before, it will not continue tending toward infinity - there are limits. If the current exchange rate is not sufficient for professional miners to profit, it will have to rise, or some miners will fail. It's that simple.

      Bitcoin has become an industry unto itself. Associated businesses will adapt to this, just as the computer industry adapted to the proliferation of personal computers.

      miscreanity

    15. Re:Who cares, the mining game is over anyways. by BlueBlade · · Score: 2

      Huh? I'm canadian, so I usually use the CA Virtex Exchange (https://www.cavirtex.com) to exchange my bitcoins to CAD. The cash gets deposited directly into my bank account after 2 days. There are a lot of exchanges that allow you to trade for bitcoins, in just about every currency you want.

      --
      Religion is the best example of mass psychosis
    16. Re:Who cares, the mining game is over anyways. by BlueBlade · · Score: 1

      Heat pumps are only useful when there is some heat to extract from an outside source. That means that where I live I'd get a marginal efficiency boost for about 2 months a year. Heat pumps are useless during the cold months here, when it's -30C (-22F) outside. There isn't any heat to transfer from the environment.

      --
      Religion is the best example of mass psychosis
    17. Re:Who cares, the mining game is over anyways. by BlueBlade · · Score: 1

      Heat pumps aren't very effective where I live. It's just too cold (or hot) outside. Taken straight from the Quebec Government web site :

      ---
      Does a heat pump consume less energy than other heating units?

      Yes. A heat pump consumes less energy than other heating units and costs less to operate. However, it does not produce heat. It extracts air from the outside and pumps it into the house. That’s why it consumes less energy than it displaces. For 1 watt of electricity consumed at an outdoor temperature of 8C, an air-to-air heat pump releases 3 watts into your house. You therefore get 2 free watts of electricity.

      But energy savings in terms of heating are often diminished or cancelled by the additional energy expenditures required for air conditioning during the summer. The rigours of our climate also significantly reduce the performance of heat pumps. If they are installed in homes that are not airtight or are poorly insulated, the energy gains will be even more limited.
      ---

      Bottom line : they work, but even best cases coefficient here are around 1.5, and for most houses closer to 1.1 or 1.2.

      --
      Religion is the best example of mass psychosis
    18. Re:Who cares, the mining game is over anyways. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Mining will always be just profitable enough to keep people mining; rising difficulty means that more people are mining. When it's no longer profitable, miners will quit, the difficulty goes down until it is profitable again. In short, market economics.

      For the uninitiated, the difficulty of mining is linearly dependent on the amount of active mining horsepower.

    19. Re:Who cares, the mining game is over anyways. by Shimbo · · Score: 1

      Second, if mining weren't profitable for someone, it wouldn't be done - period. Yet there are miners, and it's unreasonable to assume they're all speculating that the exchange rate will rise while paying bills with hopium.

      Mining will be done as long as it's worth the electricty to keep running the rigs. Whether the miners get to repay their capital costs is a different question.

    20. Re:Who cares, the mining game is over anyways. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Since you're posting as AC would you mind sharing with us some approximate figures from your BC mining experience?

      Expenses on hardware and power bills vs income, by year, would be very interesting to the community.

      Thank you.

    21. Re:Who cares, the mining game is over anyways. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not sure how much you spend on electricity for heating, but you can actually get >> 100% efficiency with a heat pump, e.g. for every 1kWh of electricity you put into a heat pump, you can get 3kWh of heat. For a house, purchasing a heat pump may actually pay off after a while.

    22. Re:Who cares, the mining game is over anyways. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You need to get enough old rack servers to heat your house entirely. No sense in wasting any power to run your furnace. Maybe rig up a thermostat to throttle the CPUs up and down? Interesting.

    23. Re:Who cares, the mining game is over anyways. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I used to be big on the BTC mining thing, but then I took an arrow to the knee

      FTFY

    24. Re:Who cares, the mining game is over anyways. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This is true so long as you're using electricity to heat your house.

      If you had other options - gas, heat pumps, whatever - it wouldn't be. Have you worked out what the cost of installing a heat pump would be?

    25. Re:Who cares, the mining game is over anyways. by IndustrialComplex · · Score: 1

      On an unrelated note, using direct electricity to heat your home is environmentally irresponsible. Get a heat pump.

      A heat pump. In Quebec. How droll.

      (On a now related note: I used incandescent bulbs to light my home when I lived in a northern climate. The options for heat in my home were: 1. Wood burning furnace 2. Electric 3. Gas (low efficiency due to the northern climate, the high efficiency models would break down on colder nights due to condensation and freezing)

      Solar wasn't an option because the area was overcast more often than the average, and the southern exposure was limited. Geothermal was a cost I couldn't afford.

      The incandescent bulbs were the most efficient form of lighting I could use. Less waste in manufacture, long life based on my usage, and 100% of their 'waste' became heat in my home so I wouldn't need to burn as much wood. I only used the light when I needed light (skylights during the day). Most nights dropped below 60, so the extra heat was welcome.

      For a while, I stated using the CFLs, but they wouldn't last in my crawlspace or around my home due to the cold weather/humidity, I eventually replaced all the exterior lights with a few parking lot style halogens (or sodium vapor... can't quite remember the explicit type). Inside they worked ok, but never got close to the marketed lifespan (I marked the base with the date whenever I installed a new CFL). Now I'm trying to do the right thing, and I have a box full of dead CFLs to recycle... but there are no centers nearby and the trash can is looking more and more tempting with each year's spring cleaning.

      --
      Out of modpoints but really liked a post? 1BDkF6TtmmeZ3yqXbz9yhdYVqRYnwFoXDj
    26. Re:Who cares, the mining game is over anyways. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I don't know why you say mining it is vastly irrelevant. Sure, it's quite likely vastly irrelevant if you planned to make a living off of it, but this by no means eliminates someone using a computer much like the very first one you mentioned... a single run-of-the-mill computer working with any unused cycles... to get a few bucks to basically pay for their gas to get to their regular day job, or even if it's only enough to buy a coffee every so often. Once you've got the computer running, it's not like it's a massive time and money investment to keep it running... just the electricity.

      Stop trying to make a living off of this... it just makes you look like someone trying to catch up to the "big boys" in the stock market trade, trying to home-build crazy expensive computers to get in on the microsecond trading game.

      Just use your one computer to mine bitcoins to pay for a lunch every so often, and get a day job like the rest of us. If you HAVE a day job, don't get me wrong, a ton of free (for all intents and purposes) money would be great... but you didn't think that bitcoin gravy train was going to last forever, did you?

    27. Re:Who cares, the mining game is over anyways. by gl4ss · · Score: 1

      not any heat? I don't think you quite grasp how heat pumps work and -30c is still ways off from having "no heat to transfer".

      heat pumps are quite popular in finland nowadays.

      --
      world was created 5 seconds before this post as it is.
    28. Re:Who cares, the mining game is over anyways. by hackertourist · · Score: 1

      But energy savings in terms of heating are often diminished or cancelled by the additional energy expenditures required for air conditioning during the summer.

      What? How would installing a heat pump mean you need to use more air con in the summer?

      Also, this only talks about heat pumps that use the outside air as their heat source. What about a heat pump that uses a ground loop?

    29. Re:Who cares, the mining game is over anyways. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Dude, you can get a heater for your house that will use electricity to pump heat in from outside, giving you greater than 100% of the electric energy you consume converted into heat indoors. So you're actually NOT getting the bitcoins for free

    30. Re:Who cares, the mining game is over anyways. by import · · Score: 1

      Pretty naive perspective. Three things can cause mining to become more profitable.

      What if BTCUSD goes up to say $100/BTC? Putting aside whether that's realistic for now, the point is there is relationship between profitability of mining and the BTCUSD ratio.

      What happens if miners start to shut down and leave? Difficulty goes down, each MH returns more BTC per unit time.

      More services start to pop up, like SatoshiDice, that impose a transaction fee. Have you seen the growth in transaction fees graph at blockchain.info? http://blockchain.info/charts/transaction-fees Right now, it's miniscule (1% of mining revenue) but over time, as the block reward goes to zero, will determine the profitability of mining.

    31. Re:Who cares, the mining game is over anyways. by this+great+guy · · Score: 1

      Multiple errors in your post.

      The Bitcoin difficulty has never been bumped up by ASICs, because ASICs have not yet been released. They should come out in December/January.

      Mining is still profitable today. I am still making money with GPUs (a little), and with FPGAs (a lot). Even after the halving due tomorrow, my GPUs will still make money. It is all about electrical costs. If you pay less than $0.20/kWh, a HD 7970 can still make money. Worldwide average is $0.10/kWh.

      ASICs are not expensive at all. The most power efficient ASIC vendor, Butterfly Labs, have ASICs starting at $149: http://www.butterflylabs.com/products/

  20. They're just used as a transaction mechanism by brunes69 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    The reality is that all these sites are using Bitcoin for is a transaction mechanism. They are not keeping their rake in bitcoins, they are exchanging it for cash because that is what the real world operates in. Similarly, the people making the wagers are exchanging their cash for bitcoins in order to play the game. In essence bitcoins are just being used as a payment processor for these sites.

    Also, people who think bitcoins are not under government control are woefully mistaken. Aside from the pittance of coins one can mine, how do you propose to get any substantial amount? You need to go to an exchange. How do you purchase using that exchange? Using your credit card. Which is easily regulated.

    IE - government can force Visa and Mastercard to shut down all bitcoin exchanges whenever they want to, effectively killing the currency for all intents and purposes. They only reason they don't do this is because it is not relevant enough to care.

    1. Re:They're just used as a transaction mechanism by IamTheRealMike · · Score: 1

      Yes, but what's your point? All real economies have imports and exports. Bitcoin is a much younger and smaller economy than any other. It's certainly possible for coins to circulate internally (eg, a site that earns money in coins using that to pay for its own hosting fees), but it'll never be the case that people stop wanting currency exchange, just as for dollars or euros.

    2. Re:They're just used as a transaction mechanism by ionix5891 · · Score: 3, Informative

      Except one can not buy bitcoins with a credit card or paypal,
      1. because these companies hate bitcoin and what it represents for them
      2. because of a high chargeback risk no one who doesnt trust you would sell you bitcoins for paypal

    3. Re:They're just used as a transaction mechanism by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You buy on a non-centrally-transferred site, such as https://bitmarket.eu/ . Smaller miners will 'sell' you coins, you just need to transfer money into their bank account (through a number of payment methods). Since there's no centralised transfer, it's very hard (for financial institutions) to figure out where all of the currency transfer goes.

    4. Re:They're just used as a transaction mechanism by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I don't see how only using it as a transaction mechanism is a bad thing - isn't that what money essentially is?

      It goes full circle, I use cash to buy bitcoins. I use the bitcoins to gamble, and I lose to the house. The house then takes the bitcoins, and uses them to pay their hosting. Their hosting has to pay the power bill and taxes, so they sell the bitcoins for hard currency to pay for this. Again I buy the coins and the cycle repeats.

      This is no different than doing international exchanges using paypal - I put cash in one end, a number of transfers take place in between, and eventually cash comes out on the other end.

      Of course it starts off simple, because not many places accept bit coins, therefore there are a lot more cash-->bitcoin-->cash transactions. Slowly over time though, more and more bitcoin transactions take place in between.

      disclaimer: I have never actually used bitcoins

    5. Re:They're just used as a transaction mechanism by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Credit cards are very rarely used to purchase BTC due to chargebacks, most BTC purchases are made through cash or bank deposit. Governments would be more likely to simply make cryptocurrencies illegal.

    6. Re:They're just used as a transaction mechanism by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      At the moment, Bitcoin isn't relevant enough for Visa and Mastercard to care.

      A little while back it wasn't relevant enough for Slashdot to care.

      In the future, it may be big enough for Visa and Mastercard to care but, in this scenario, there will be many ways to earn bitcoins and many ways to spend them. If the powers that be clamp down hard on Bitcoin/fiat exchange we'll just see such exchange happen on the black market (just as we see black market peso/dollar exchange in Argentina today).

    7. Re:They're just used as a transaction mechanism by harks · · Score: 1

      IE - government can force Visa and Mastercard to shut down all bitcoin exchanges whenever they want to, effectively killing the currency for all intents and purposes. They only reason they don't do this is because it is not relevant enough to care.

      Bitcoin exchanges don't accept Visa or Mastercard. Paypal specifically disallows its use for Bitcoin.

    8. Re:They're just used as a transaction mechanism by brunes69 · · Score: 1

      Then how do you buy them? At some point there is a CC involved somewhere.

    9. Re:They're just used as a transaction mechanism by brunes69 · · Score: 1

      I was just using that as an example. The whole point is, the only way 99% of people using them get bitcoins today is they buy them on an exchange. These changes take in $USD from some mechanism and exchange it to bitcoins.

      As such, these exchanges can all be regulated and closed whenever the government wants to. Same can be said if bitcoin started trading in EUR or any other currency. The idea that bitcoin is some unregulatealbe panecea is total nonsense. Until my employer and everyone else's starts paying them in Bitcoin, it is pretty irrelevant.

    10. Re:They're just used as a transaction mechanism by harks · · Score: 1

      With Mtgox (Japan-based), the largest exchange, you can use a service called Dwolla to transfer money from your US bank account to the exchange. They also accept bank transfers from many countries (but not the US.) There is a service called Liberty Reserve (Costa Rica-based.) You can also deposit cash at places like CVS and Walmart through a service called BitInstant.

    11. Re:They're just used as a transaction mechanism by DanielRavenNest · · Score: 1

      > Except one can not buy bitcoins with a credit card or paypal,

      You are incorrect: https://www.virwox.com/index.php

    12. Re:They're just used as a transaction mechanism by DriedClexler · · Score: 1

      The reality is that all these sites are using Bitcoin for is a transaction mechanism. They are not keeping their rake in bitcoins, they are exchanging it for cash because that is what the real world operates in. Similarly, the people making the wagers are exchanging their cash for bitcoins in order to play the game. In essence bitcoins are just being used as a payment processor for these sites.

      If you were trying to trivialize what Bitcoin has accomplished, I think you've fallen short. Another way to say what you just did is that Bitcoin has added a layer that allows anyone using it to transact financially with anyone else even despite banking system incompatibility or inconvenience.

      It's not far off from saying, "Okay guys, you realize, no CPU actually reads C. It's just a form people store their program in. When they want to actually give instructions to the computer, they all convert it back to an instruction set that a REAL-world computer actually *uses*..."

      --
      Information theory is life. The rest is just the KL divergence.
  21. Serious Mining by Nom+du+Keyboard · · Score: 1

    I wonder how many Bitcoins I can mine with a few hours in Amazon's Elastic Compute Cloud?
    Or maybe I can put my mining in as the idle loop of some of these new petaflop supers.

    --
    "It's the height of ridiculousness to say for those 9 lines you get hundreds of millions."
    1. Re:Serious Mining by themusicgod1 · · Score: 1
      --
      GENERATION 26: The first time you see this, copy it into your sig on any forum and add 1 to the generation.
  22. $10k? by beatsme · · Score: 2

    Uh. The ASICs that are about to hit the market start at less than $200.

    1. Re:$10k? by slashmydots · · Score: 1

      But there are much more expensive rigs that scale up price vs speed almost exactly evenly so buying the low end Jalapeno ASIC would make very little money. You actually make the same from a ratio standpoint so their ROIs are all identical, it just comes down to how much money you want to risk. I did some very controversial calculations on the bitcoin forum about how long it'll really take to pay off an ASIC based on how many pre-orders there were rumored or proven to be and it's not pretty. It's like 250 days with a sunny estimation.
      The thing is, a Radeon 5830 was around $140 back in the day and it'd profit after electricity around $20/month depending on BTC price and that was at about 320MH/s. The new low level ASICs for $150 run 3500MH/s. So everyone thinks they'll get rich and pay it off in 9 days but that's based on today's numbers. Everyone's going to get their ASICs as basically the same time and the way the network works is 50 BTC every block solve (approx 10 mins) and everyone shares. So if everyone scales up their MH/s, everyone's back up to even again.

  23. that begs the question. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    That begs the question, eh?

  24. Bitcoin? Again? by Jawnn · · Score: 0, Troll

    One word - STFU. Want more? How about "no real world value". Don't believe us? Try paying your taxes with BitCoin. Try buying much of anything with it, for that matter. Yes, yes, we can all dig up a few sites that, for now, will exchange things of value for BitCoin, but to consider that number anything but a statistically meaningless fraction is a fool's errand.
    Done to death. Move on.

    1. Re:Bitcoin? Again? by LodCrappo · · Score: 1

      Why so angry? I've noticed there are some who react this way, never understood it but would like to.

      --
      -Lod
    2. Re:Bitcoin? Again? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They can easially be converted into various currencies, so by basic fucking logic they have value you needle dick imbicile. STFU troll

    3. Re:Bitcoin? Again? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Why so angry? I've noticed there are some who react this way, never understood it but would like to.

      What's to understand? It's simple! All these bitcoin articles that keep popping up are wasting all the 0s and 1s! What happens when we run out, hippie? 0s and 1s don't grow on those stupid trees you love to hug! They have to be mined, by lazy, overpaid union miners, like these good-for-nothing bitcoin guys. If they're running out of bitcoins already, you just know the 0s and 1s are next!

    4. Re:Bitcoin? Again? by diamondmagic · · Score: 1

      Try paying your taxes with Gold, or corn, or cattle, or any other commodity publicly traded on an exchange. That doesn't mean it has no value.

      Sorry, but value is subjective. You don't get to tell other people how much they value what they own and what they're allowed to sell it for.

      And if Bitcoin isn't on topic for Slashdot (News for Nerds), then I give up, I don't know what is.

    5. Re:Bitcoin? Again? by dbIII · · Score: 1

      Since it's a scam aimed directly at the sort of people that are interested in mathematics, computer systems and other items featured here it's bound to make some people here who see themselves as targeted by a scam very angry.

    6. Re:Bitcoin? Again? by LodCrappo · · Score: 1

      ah. suppose nothing can be done about that then.
      cheers.

      --
      -Lod
    7. Re:Bitcoin? Again? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Since it's a scam aimed directly at the sort "

      Care to elaborate on how this is a "scam" or would you like to continue to blow smoke out of your ass, and talk about things you know nothing about?

  25. tl;dr by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    nt

  26. Wasted Electricity by slashkitty · · Score: 2

    Does anyone have a good estimate as to how much wasted electricty is going to "creating" bitcoins?

    --
    -- these are only opinions and they might not be mine.
    1. Re:Wasted Electricity by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      I'll tell you when you give me a figure about the energy cost of money printing, banking, armored cars, ATM maintenance, etc, etc...

    2. Re:Wasted Electricity by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Does anyone have a good estimate as to how much wasted electricty is going to "creating" bitcoins?

      Any idea how much energy is wasted mining gold, diamonds, etc?

    3. Re:Wasted Electricity by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes. I estimate that the bitcoin network has "wasted" around zero electricities.

    4. Re:Wasted Electricity by EvilSS · · Score: 1

      ~ $0.08 for a US bank note. Your turn.

      --
      I browse on +1 so AC's need not respond, I won't see it.
  27. Shitcoin by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I will never accept bitcoins, as far as I'm concerned, this is not real money, has no actual value, because I am not willing to pay anyone to do whatever it is bitcoins are being given away for. Also, what the fuck is a bitcoin? Has anyone ever seen one? If the internet fails, gets shut down, etc., your bitcoins just became a collection of numbers, I don't want my ability to accept or spend money to be held at the mercy of a capricious internet. Fuck that shit, that's why we have paper money. Duh. Its cute that dweebs want to have their own species of play money, but count me out. If I can't buy a coke, a car, or a house with it, can't pay taxes with it, etc., it's fucking worthless. You guys are wasting electricity, if you're doing this with your own computers, and if you're doing it with someone else's computers, then it's probably illegal, and if it's not, it should be.

  28. Selling hardware to miners is not yet dead. by Animats · · Score: 1

    People started thinking that they could build silicon to do things even faster, and thus the ASIC market started to emerge and take off.

    Well, maybe. Like much in the Bitcoin world, some of this is a scam. At least one of the "ASIC" products turned out to be an FPGA. As of right now, it's not clear that anyone is actually shipping an ASIC-based Bitcoin mining device. Suckers can pre-order from either of two vendors. Payment is in US dollars, not Bitcoins.

  29. I Just Want To Get In Early by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    on the next bitcoin.

  30. Bitcoin Mining Reward About To Halve by Randall311 · · Score: 0

    Bitcoin is a legitimate currency.

    - no one ever

    1. Re:Bitcoin Mining Reward About To Halve by ErikZ · · Score: 1

      Any currency is legit if the two trading parties agree to it.

      --
      Democrats or Republicans. They are both taking us to the same place and they are not afraid of us anymore.
  31. Can one have a fraction of a bitcoin? by Maudib · · Score: 1

    Can I charge .25 bitcoins? If not isn't the max of 21million coins a problem?

    1. Re:Can one have a fraction of a bitcoin? by juliannoble · · Score: 3, Informative

      Yes. You can charge 0.00000001 Bitcoins. (Although it would generally take a much larger fee than that to get timely transaction processing)

      If more divisibility than this were ever required, this could be migrated to, provided the majority of network participants agreed. Increasing the divisibility this way would probably be uncontroversial if ever it were in such widespread use that it made sense - but other features such as the 21 Million limit would never get majority consensus to be changed.

  32. rubbish by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I'm sorry, but this whole bitcoin thing is nonsense.

  33. electric currency by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I dropped my electric wallet in the toilet and had a heart attack. No really, I had like 200 dollars of electricity in there, I almost died.

  34. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 1

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  35. As the Pyramid Scheme Turns by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Bitcoin has it tough.

    On the one hand, you have these libertarian wackos that demand a constant money supply
    On the other hand, you have an algorithm that demands that people destroy resources to protect the currency.
    On the third hand, you advertise the currency as having lower fees than paypal.

    Bitcoin's solution is a three-way swindle:
    1) Tell the libertarians. Hey we are printing money at a 25% annual rate, but that's only temporary. We'll be at zero printing before you know it.
    2) Tell the tech-nerds. Hey, yes are algorithm won't work without printing money. Don't worry we're going to have big fees to replace money printing.
    3) Tell the general public: Hey, unlike Paypal our currency has essentially zero transaction fees. (you guys are uninformed anyway)

      It is going to be amusing when all three groups finally turn against each other. Who is swindling who?

  36. There is no disconnect by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

    And yet I have more than a few friends who actively replace their surplus currency with gold, whenever they can.

    What do you mean, "and yet"? That makes a lot of sense because they are getting something they know, with as much certainty as they can, is real gold.

    If the time ever comes where they need to use the gold they can simply reverse the process, go to someone who has the equipment to verify what they have is gold, and give them the equivalent amount of currency at the time.

    That's the same way the bicycle purchase should have worked - the guy could to to someone willing to verify his gold and exchange it for enough cash needed to buy the bicycle.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
  37. Wisdom follows, pay attention! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    > This also means that there will only ever be 21,000,000 bitcoins in circulation.

    No it does not mean that. It means the NSA's crypto boffins haven't bothered so far to pull the house down on BC miners. When they do there will be a lot of skeletons found under the rubble.

    Keep in mind there is absolutely nothing preventing anybody from posting all the 21 million bitcoins on Full Disclosure tomorrow or cracking the crypto and disclose why the particular starting value with a particular backdoor was used by the fake "japanese" creator.

    > Bitcoin is built so that this reward is halved every 210,000 blocks solved.

    This is the very definition of a pyramid game (also known as a Ponzi scheme in the USA).

  38. Exchange rate stability? by Captain_Chaos · · Score: 2

    So how stable is the bitcoin exchange rate these days? Can I start using it seriously yet for receiving as payment for services?

    1. Re:Exchange rate stability? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      1 Bitcoin = 50 Monopoly money

      Careful though, when the music stops you don't want to be the one caught holding the bag.

    2. Re:Exchange rate stability? by Wonko+the+Sane · · Score: 1

      It doesn't matter how stable the exchange rate is or isn't if you want to accept Bitcoin as payment for services. You can use BitPay as a payment processor and they'll convert all received payments into your local currency instantly and automatically so you never have to deal with exchange rate risk.

    3. Re:Exchange rate stability? by gox · · Score: 1

      It's getting more stable lately, but there is still very high volatility risk.

      However, I don't think it poses a critical problem if you are considering it as a payment system, rather than an investment vehicle. You could convert a portion of the payment to your local currency, either on the fly or periodically. There are companies that can make the on-the-fly conversion for you and send you the money via conventional banking.

    4. Re:Exchange rate stability? by IamTheRealMike · · Score: 1

      It spent the first part of the year at $5 per coin, rock solid. In the latter half that went up to around $10-$12 per coin, a bit less stable but it wandered around in that pretty tight range for months. So vastly more stable than last year, with only two real price points held for the entire 12 months. Go look at the price charts on blockchain.info for example.

  39. What happens at the end? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So they keep reducing the supply of bitcoins until a fixed amoutn, right? What happens after that, when there is no incentive for people to do mining anymore? I thought the point was that the mininag activity was used to stamp adn verify all the transactions ? How will users know which transactions are real when all the mining stops?

    1. Re:What happens at the end? by gox · · Score: 2

      Short answer: Transactions require fees. Currently, since the transaction count is easily manageable and block reward is high, most miners process the transactions that have very low or no fees. However, as the block reward diminishes, fees will replace them.

      Long answer:

      Users have the incentive to pay a high fee so that their transactions get into a block. Miners have the incentive to get every transaction they can get into a block to collect the highest total fees, thus accepting lower fees.

      The mechanics actually is even more complex, because there is less incentive to use Bitcoin if the fees get too high, which would cause the value of coins to get lower, which would in turn decrease the mining incentive, thereby decelerating the increase in difficulty, which would reduce mining costs, which would cause the fees to go lower.

      So the commonly accepted fee will be at the equilibrium. Since the Bitcoin economy (at least as it is currently) has a very low friction, the equilibrium is rapidly reached.

      One concern is how the standard will be extended from now on. We don't want a centralized authority to dictate block sizes and whatnot, but we don't want it to become too hard to develop the system to fix problems. Hopefully the open source philosophy will help us there.

    2. Re:What happens at the end? by DanielRavenNest · · Score: 1

      What I expect is if there are severe structural flaws in the current Bitcoin system, the developers will come up with Bitcoin series 2.0, in an attempt to fix the flaws, and it will exist in parallel with the original. It's like having more than one stock on the stock exchange. Then people can transition to the new network at their own pace for their own reasons.

  40. Corrected quote by Zontar_Thing_From_Ve · · Score: 1

    And this, dear kids, is why libertarianism doesn't work. There's always that asshole that abuses the system.

    There. Fixed that quote for you.

  41. Look beyond the smokescreen by dbIII · · Score: 1

    Bitcoin is not a currency or even a product. You guys are the product and bitcoin is just the honey to catch you.

  42. Money did exist without govt, but ... by dbIII · · Score: 1

    Most types of money started without government, and came from merchants such as goldsmiths with governments coming late to the party to make sure they could tax everyone.
    However that is no way justifies stupid deliberately flawed ponzi schemes like bitcoin designed to punish the late adopters for the benefit of early adopters. Ignoring all other flaws the price of entry late in the game will get to a point where it is unlikely to provide any obvious benefit for people joining in so it will stagnate leaving those at the bottom of the pyramid with far less than they've put in and no sign of any suckers to enlarge the pyramid and get their money back.

  43. BZZZZZT. Wrong. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Gates' success came from connections via his already wealthy family.

    Zuckerberg's came from his (possibly criminal) actions at HARVARD.

    But thanks for playing.

  44. Very handy for Paypal or credit card face-palms by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    BTC has got me out of a jam a few times.

    1) I clicked buy on ebay, only to have Paypal lock me out because I was preferring to link the account via debit card rather than Direct Debit to a bank account. There was a delay while I scrambled and apologised to the seller as to why I wasn't paying. In the end I remembered I had another account in another country (due to cross border resistrictions) so I tried to pay with that and that was blocked too. In the end I just converted some BTC to Paypal and paid that way. This was loads easier than trying to get credit into my Paypal.

    2) Credit card security hassle. My card was declined while buying something abroad. Thought it was a mistake so ordered something I needed to do on Amazon - failed. I was able to use Bitcoin to buy that something on Amazon quickly. The credit card problem was fixed later when I was able to reach a land phone (mobiles too expensive abroad).

      So twice it's really helped me out in a fix. I'd recommend anyone have a little bit of backup like this.

  45. Notional distinction, not practical by DragonWriter · · Score: 1

    There is a major difference between political anarchy and chaos. In political anarchy you still have order, but instead of a central government controlling everything it's done with voluntary contracts at the individual level.

    In much the same way that there is a difference between Leninist Communism and authoritarian dictatorship -- that is, the difference is purely an notional one in the idealized description, but not a difference that there is any reason to believe would actually have any practical manifestation were the ideal actually attempted to be put into practice in a real society with real people.

    As Madison wrote: "If men were angels, no government would be necessary. If angels were to govern men, neither external nor internal controls on government would be necessary." Systems of anarchy or unrestrained government both fail in the absence of angels.

  46. Its useless - almost by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    This comment has nothing to do with the increasing difficulty, I understand why that is so, but IMO Bitcoins are useless, except as a prototype of how a digital economy might work. Limited to 21,000,000 coins ? Can an economist explain how the world with 7 billion people would divide that up ?

    1. Re:Its useless - almost by juliannoble · · Score: 1

      Considering that there are effectively 100 Million parts to 1 Bitcoin it doesn't take an economist to explain that you can divide up 21 Million Bitcoins amongst a mere 7 Billion people just fine.
      You can hold a wallet with a balance as small as 0.00000001 BTC (known as a 'Satoshi')
      There are at most 21 Million Bitcoins, but that's 2100 *Trillion* satoshis.
      (The network could agree to expand this number if it were ever necessary too)

    2. Re:Its useless - almost by juliannoble · · Score: 1

      To be clear - the network participants could agree to expand the divisibility as that would be uncontroversial. There would never be a consensus to expand the total number of Bitcoins, as that would be against the interests of the participants.

  47. Statement will never be retracted by psithurism · · Score: 1

    I still think the more likely scenario is that nobody but those who are already using them will ever use them

    Will you retract this statement if it can be shown that tomorrow bitcoin will have more users than it has today?

    No, the statement started as, "The scenario is that"
    Then after that was proven false, it became, "The more likely scenario is that"
    Then it became, "I think the more likely scenario is that"
    Then: "Maybe, but I think the more likely scenario is that"
    Finally: "Maybe, but I _still_ think the more likely scenario is that"

    Tomorrow: "Probably, but I still cling to the thought that today is the day that the scenario has finally become..."

  48. no gun consoles by epine · · Score: 1

    Let me summarize my previous post with a question.

    Has there ever been a society where the lazy melted away where women didn't die in childbirth--no matter how young or how beautiful--over random weaknesses of constitution?

    When your wife is dying in childbirth, that must be about the most helpless feeling a man can experience. I suspect it's bad enough to make a man re-invent civilization all over again, when we've only barely rid ourselves of the beast.

  49. Xenu by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Xenu is (for vary liberal values of "is") an extrasolar intelligence.

  50. Intrinsic value by DanielRavenNest · · Score: 1

    The distributed account book is what has value. It makes it easy to transfer funds between people, especially if they are in different countries. A bitcoin is just an arbitrary accounting marker in the book. It has no value in and of itself, only when part of a larger system that includes the whole account book and network. Since maintaining the account books is a useful function, the people who do that get credited with some coins by lottery, that is all that mining is.

    Ask any business, bank, or brokerage house if keeping the accounts for the business has value.

  51. Re:What is money by DanielRavenNest · · Score: 1

    What normally ends up as money is whatever is the most easily traded commodity in a given society. At times that has been cattle, gold, paper money, and now debit cards. But people prefer to accept that good which is most easily traded for what they really need and want. They would work directly for what they want, but finding someone to pay you in apartment leases (barter) is difficult, so they settle for whatever everyone else collectively has chosen to use.

    I started with "what normally ends up...", but that can be subverted by force, as when a government bans some forms of money in favor of others (usually ones they produce themselves).

  52. quie the opposite by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    it primes a population of minions who have nothing, including intellect. When money or capital does come along, the people are like deprived addicts, and do anything they can to get it and step all over anyone in the process. Go to China and see it for yourself. It's a far right-wing system to keep people down while an elite sails over them in their cruel authoritarian control structure.

    Not to be confused with Socialism - a real leftist system and one that I have no problem with.

  53. You have no idea what communism in Russia was by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    In communism, the promise was "work hard, and soon in the future we'll all be living in the socialist worker paradise". Well, people started out believing in it. No, seriously. I'm serious. Look at how Russia developed in the 1920s, they turned from a backwards agrarian society that was close to a feudal system into an industry nation within a few years. At a horrible price, no doubt about that, but people believed in it and pulled through.

    NO.

    The economic model in Russia was to exploit everyone and keep them at a minimum of welfare, so that the profit can be invested into heavy industry for militarisation.

    There was no worker's paradise. There was hell.

  54. There are other ways to make money besides mining by indy · · Score: 1

    Mining wasn't meant to be the biggest business in the world of Bitcoin. It will never be the type of "work" that can feed the masses, just like in the real world, only a few people are miners. But that doesn't make the idea of donating your computing/networking/whatever resources to some crowdsourcing mechanism in exchange for micro-payment invalid. Here is a couple of services that your computer could provide to others in an automated, peer-to-peer fashion for a couple of 'toshis:

    • Provide internet proxying/tunneling/anonymity.
    • Perform scientific calculations, simulations, SETI@home-like challenges.
    • Compile source code.
    • Render images for graphics artists.
    • Brute-force crack crypto keys.
    • Perform DDOS attacks.
    • Send spam.

    I guess there might be some real economic potential for the last couple of items on the list.
    Has anyone attempted to write some kind of service-for-bitcoin software?

  55. 'Free' heating by UpnAtom · · Score: 1

    I do exactly the same though I'm on Economy 7 and thus only mine at night. I don't get anything like 4 bitcoins a month though.

  56. Capsocom by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Only difference between Capitalism, Socialism and Communism is the tax rate. And no, the US is not under capitalism.

  57. 210000 by Wonko+the+Sane · · Score: 1

    It's done.