Slashdot Mirror


Bitcoin Tops $1,000 For the First Time

An anonymous reader writes with this bit from The Next Web "Bitcoin hit a new milestone today, passing the $1,000 mark for the first time. The virtual currency is currently trading above the four-digit figure, with its highest at $1,030 on Mt. Gox, one of the largest exchanges. Last week, Bitcoin's high for the day was $632. That means its trading value has surged 62.83 percent in a week, assuming we're looking at just its high points. That figure could of course rise even further if Bitcoin continues to push further up throughout the day."

371 comments

  1. Sell now. by Frosty+Piss · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The price may go up a little more, but all indications are sell now before the crash.

    --
    If you want news from today, you have to come back tomorrow.
    1. Re:Sell now. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

      Nonsense, it'll keep skyrocketing in perpetuity! Adios Beanie Babies, daddy found himself a new gravy train. Choo choo!

    2. Re:Sell now. by Ralph+Wiggam · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Tons of people said that when the price spiked from $4 to $20.

    3. Re:Sell now. by Njovich · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Great! Lets do a 100 dollar bet: if the price at January 1st is lower than now I pay you $100, otherwise you pay me $100. You're in?

    4. Re:Sell now. by CanHasDIY · · Score: 5, Insightful

      The price may go up a little more, but all indications are sell now to kickstart the crash.

      FTFY.

      Most market crashes are triggered by large sell-offs; by imploring people to sell, sell, sell, you're doing your part to make the prophecy self-fulfilling.

      --
      An enigma, wrapped in a riddle, shrouded in bacon and cheese
    5. Re:Sell now. by bob_super · · Score: 1

      As long as you sell first...

    6. Re:Sell now. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What exactly are these indications?

    7. Re:Sell now. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      'S alright.

      You can then buy, buy, buy some more with your profits to amend for your sell, sell, sell (and wait for next peak).

    8. Re:Sell now. by CanHasDIY · · Score: 3, Funny

      Hey, shut up, man, I'm trying to give myself an edge over these suckers!

      Er, I mean... Ah... pay no attention to the man behind the curtain! Sell bad!

      --
      An enigma, wrapped in a riddle, shrouded in bacon and cheese
    9. Re:Sell now. by rasmusbr · · Score: 2

      Tons of people said that when the price spiked from $4 to $20.

      The grandparent didn't specify, but I think he's talking about day trading. If you sell now at $1000 and buy back at $500 you'll have doubled the amount of Bitcoin that you own, assuming it falls down to $500 and assuming you have the nerve and patience to wait for it.

    10. Re:Sell now. by aliquis · · Score: 1

      lol @ 5 insightful.

      Sure no (?) parabolic prize moves really continue into infinity, last time it stopped at $200 and fell back to $50. But the people who kept are at a pretty good position now. Frosty piss won't be able to tell the peak and the bottom (not that you have to to make it worth while but chances are you're not successful anyway. I can't see ask and bid price on mtgox so I don't know how large the spreads are either.

    11. Re:Sell now. by aliquis · · Score: 1

      They may have been right, in some time frame. (or they wasn't.)

    12. Re:Sell now. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      For bitcoin the exchanges share the entire orderbook:
      http://btccharts.com/

    13. Re:Sell now. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Tons of people said that when the price spiked from $4 to $20.

      Many people fail to realize just how many fools there are.

    14. Re:Sell now. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      How the fuck is this a "Troll"? This moderator abuse gets worse every day.

    15. Re:Sell now. by iluvcapra · · Score: 2

      I sold when it broke $150 earlier this year. Then I bought back in at $70, and sold earlier this week at $800. When you're up over 1000% in 6 months you don't tempt fate.

      --
      Don't blame me, I voted for Baltar.
    16. Re:Sell now. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Good investments occur when you invest when the economy is bad, and then you make money when the value goes up when the economy improves. On the other hand, alternative currencies become popular during downturns of economies. They disappear after. Hence, exciting, but bad investment -- just another sign that the economy is not doing so hot right now.

    17. Re:Sell now. by iluvcapra · · Score: 2

      One thing that would probably do a lot to tamp down volatility would be a deep BTC options market, where you could make bets like this on a regularized basis.

      --
      Don't blame me, I voted for Baltar.
    18. Re:Sell now. by jythie · · Score: 1

      well, some markets already have mechanisms for short selling BTC, though it is debatable if any particular trader or exchange (esp ones outside the US) will actually honor the contracts.

    19. Re:Sell now. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Correct, but that also identifies the single biggest risk in the Bitcoin market: "Old bitcoins". At the current valuation, the existing Bitcoins amount to 10 billion USD. You see the comments "why didn't I buy Bitcoins when they were cheap?", but there are people who did, and they can send the value of Bitcoins crashing anytime. Some of the biggest winners of the Bitcoin craze are completely incognito. Who knows their motives?

    20. Re:Sell now. by Frosty+Piss · · Score: 0

      How the fuck is this a "Troll"? This moderator abuse gets worse every day.

      It's called an "opinion", look it up.

      There are a number of ways to "abuse" the moderation system here, but expressing one's opinion through moderation is not one of them.

      Since it would be almost impossible to take the parent up on this offer, what would you call it?

      By the way, Anonymous Coward , as I type this, the parent post is no longer moderated as "Troll".

      --
      If you want news from today, you have to come back tomorrow.
    21. Re:Sell now. by Ralph+Wiggam · · Score: 2

      Typically, people who make completely incorrect predictions are considered the fools.

    22. Re:Sell now. by slashmydots · · Score: 1

      Actually, MTGox lets you set price selling triggers where if the price drops to a price, then you sell it. So you can basically say if the price drops 10%, sell everything. You have to use a scripted bot or something for that feature but they do it. Then you'll never be too far off from whatever it peaks at. Of course, if there's a giant sell offer and no matching buy offers, it will whiz past your sell offer like lightning :-P It DEFINITELY is going to crash back down to $200-500 though.

    23. Re:Sell now. by mlts · · Score: 1

      On the other hand, people are putting legitimate value into BitCoins. In the past, it was mainly miners who took computing power and electricity to create the currency. Now that mining is out of the hands of all but the massive ASIC machines, BitCoins are getting actual value as units of currency are exchanged for dollars, or oather material goods.

      Does this mean BitCoins will stay up there? Who knows. What separates BitCoins from Beenz is the grassroots support for them (astroturfed or otherwise... who knows.) BitCoins are viewed as new and cool by the press, from a homeless person clicking on ads on Android to get BitCoins to pay for stuff to ransomware using BitCoins as the method of payment. So, they are very popular right now. Will it be a bubble like old dot-com stocks, or will it stay high like Apple? Who knows.

    24. Re:Sell now. by Joce640k · · Score: 1

      Who knows their motives?

      They call it "pump and dump" when they do that to the fools.

      --
      No sig today...
    25. Re:Sell now. by iluvcapra · · Score: 2

      I used the word "deep" and meant it.

      --
      Don't blame me, I voted for Baltar.
    26. Re:Sell now. by Joce640k · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The entire history of investing.

      --
      No sig today...
    27. Re:Sell now. by freeze128 · · Score: 1

      I don't get it.

      For someone to SELL bitcoins, wouldn't someone else need to be BUYING them?

    28. Re:Sell now. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Brilliant idea, do it, do it now, make it crrraaassssh, I want in on iiiit.

      But really, anyone selling everything is moronic.
      It isn't going to hit 0 worth in a night, it isn't going to hit 0 worth even if it was completely ripped open with exploits out the ass.
      Sell anywhere between 1/4 and 3/4s of whatever you have depending on how comfortable you feel. Never below. It could easily explode well beyond whatever possible crash could happen, but it might not.
      And considering the exchanges, would you really want to possibly waste time trying to rebuy cheap buttcoins if they are overloaded? Exactly, you will already still HAVE some sitting there. (will not apply if you were a moron that bought high at a very well known bubble curve... especially after taking out a $100k loan for it...)

    29. Re:Sell now. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nah mate. I just bought myself a new computer, monitor and a year worth of VPS and a domain name with bitcoin.
      This is the new bitcoin economy and it ain't goin nowhere mate.
      You can take your buy and hold, non commerce development mentality and stuff it.
      Spend some coin.

    30. Re:Sell now. by LF11 · · Score: 1

      Waiting for bitcoin to drop is a dangerous game.

      I can't tell you how many people I've heard say, "I'll buy when it drops back to $30....$50....$100...$300..." In a few day, I'll be hearing it about $1,000. "I shoulda bought when it dropped below $1,000 just before Thanksgiving!"

    31. Re:Sell now. by Pinky's+Brain · · Score: 1

      When the knife falls there won't necessarily be enough bids ... a limit order is not a dependable hedge.

    32. Re:Sell now. by Algae_94 · · Score: 1

      Way to be helpful. The entire history of investing? Are you implying that any investment that goes up this fast, or hits $1000 is going to crash? I'd still like to hear at least one specific indication that a crash is imminent. I'm not taking a side, until I see some of these indications.

    33. Re:Sell now. by alexander_686 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Read up on “Short Selling” in the stock market.

      What you do is borrow BitCoins from party A, exchanging your cash for their BitCcoins. Then sell those BitCoins for cash to party B. You now owe BitCoins and own cash. When BitCoins crash you buy back those BitCoins at a lower price to satisfy your loan to Party A.

      There are people who claim that short selling can drive the price down. I don’t think you can. Or rather, a very large group can temporally drive the price down by short selling. But in the long run it balances out - as you said for every short seller there is a long buyer. So I don’t give the OP much credence. But then again I think he was trying to make a joke.

      A word of warning - there is a old saying that the markets can stay rational longer then you can stay solvent.

    34. Re:Sell now. by aminorex · · Score: 1, Interesting

      There will undoubtedly be many more crashes before bitcoin price achieves parity with its fundamental economic value. I hope to buy many bitcoins at a severe discount during those crashes.

      The fundamental value of bitcoin is determined by Fisher's quantity theory of money, PQ=MV. This is not an economic hypothesis. It is no less certain than the analogous law of physics, the ideal gas law. MV = 90,000,000. A very pessimistic estimate of PQ would include 50% of international remittances and 50% of the black market globally, which yields a figure in excess of 1 trillion USD. Do the math. Discount this future attractor value by 2 factors: 1) a risk-free interest rate, and 2) the distribution of estimate error.

      I will sell bitcoin when the price meets or exceeds its discounted fundamental future fair value. I do not expect this to occur for at least 5 years.

      --
      -I like my women like I like my tea: green-
    35. Re:Sell now. by aminorex · · Score: 1

      And yes, I am wealthy due to estimating the future fair value of bitcoin. I expect to become much, much wealthier than I am now. Crashes will not change that. Only a fundamental technological change which invalidates the value-add provided by the cryptographically secured counterparty-risk-free global ledger will change that.

      --
      -I like my women like I like my tea: green-
    36. Re:Sell now. by aminorex · · Score: 1

      Or you could buy 2 bitcoin and short 1. if you're wrong, you win when the price rises 50%. If you're right, you can buy 1.5 when the price drops 50%. rinse, repeat. Same thing works in any volatile market. Just don't get margin called and you are golden.

      --
      -I like my women like I like my tea: green-
    37. Re:Sell now. by DanielRavenNest · · Score: 1

      Yes, obviously. At the moment the buyers are from China, as evidenced by BTC China becoming the largest volume exchange. Since there are hardly any places to spend bitcoins at the consumer level in China yet, the assumption is they are being bought to get around currency controls. So the users would be business or corrupt Party officials.

    38. Re:Sell now. by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 2

      Many people fail to realize just how many fools there are.

      I bought at $7. They are now worth $1000. Should I feel foolish?

    39. Re:Sell now. by michelcolman · · Score: 1

      Or you could just buy one bitcoin and have exactly the same profit/loss.

    40. Re:Sell now. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      ...opinion through moderation is not one of them.

      How should I spend my moderation points?

      Concentrate more on promoting than on demoting. Try to be impartial about this; simply disagreeing with a comment is not a valid reason to mark it down. The goal here is to share ideas, to sift through the haystack and find needles, and to keep spammers and griefers in check.

    41. Re:Sell now. by chfriley · · Score: 1

      This sounds like a copy and paste from 2011 on Slashdot.org. It is a good thing that people listened and didn't buy in at $1 or $3 or $0.10. ;-)

    42. Re:Sell now. by XcepticZP · · Score: 1

      Just the act of putting your coins on the market is enough. No need for there to be a willing buyer. In fact, the lack of a buyer plays an even bigger role in what precipitates the "crashing". So what ends up happening is you keep lowering your "price" in an attempt to lure a buyer. Now imagine that across the market with all the other investors being told to "sell now while it's hot".

    43. Re:Sell now. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      > Tons of people said that when the price spiked from $4 to $20.

      And they're not wrong. BTC can easily get exposed as a scam and drop much lower than that. Just because something that will happen hasn't happened yet doesn't mean that it won't happen. The BTC fanbois are so illogical.

      I still can't believe so many people are willingly participating in a scam. Amway and other ponzi schemes like it are one thing since you can make real money from them, but giving money a site made to trade toys for children (Magic the Gathering) is ridiculous. Why are people so stupid?

    44. Re:Sell now. by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 1

      The entire history of investing.

      In the entire history of investing, there has never been anything like bitcoin before.
      During the Tulip Mania, people could grow more tulips, deflating the bubble.
      In a Ponzi Scheme, the organizing entity has control, and it collapses when it stops growing.
      During commodity bubbles, more of the commodity can be produced, driving the price back down.
      If the commodity is a precious metal, more can be mined.
      Bitcoin is not analogous to any of these situations. So history really isn't a good guide.

    45. Re:Sell now. by O('_')O_Bush · · Score: 1

      "A very pessimistic estimate... 50% of the black market globally"

      You mean 50% of the black market in internet sales that deal in bitcoins.

      The vast majority of that 1 trillion USD is in drug smuggling and dealing, which I am quite certain that a business that deals in briefcases of cash and in-person cash transition will not be trading in a crypto-currency for decades.

      --
      while(1) attack(People.Sandy);
    46. Re:Sell now. by O('_')O_Bush · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Tons of people said that in 2006 with their house value.

      --
      while(1) attack(People.Sandy);
    47. Re:Sell now. by O('_')O_Bush · · Score: 1

      " Now that mining is out of the hands of all but the massive ASIC machines,"

      I think you mean botnets. There are huge numbers of BTC being generated for 'free' to the producer. And yes, as BTC speculation is going wild, people are forking out real dollars for them and will until they crash.

      ASIC machines are only the most efficient way for the law abiding public to generate them.

      --
      while(1) attack(People.Sandy);
    48. Re:Sell now. by O('_')O_Bush · · Score: 1

      http://i2.cdn.turner.com/money/dam/assets/130404044816-chart-bitcoin-value-april-2013-614xa.png

      Look. That was back in April, it is 10x that now. The value of the BTC market as a currency hasn't gone up 50x in the past year, it only has as a speculative instrument. Usually crashes happen near 'milestone' amounts when people set values in their mind when they want to cash out.

      Or you can imagine them going up to 10,000/BTC and becoming worth as much as Apple's entire revenue (revenue mind you, not profit) stream and have legitimate uses such as....

      --
      while(1) attack(People.Sandy);
    49. Re:Sell now. by Pope · · Score: 1

      Just don't get margin called and you are golden.

      And when you do get margin called, you're fucked.

      Don't play more than you're willing to risk if it tanks completely.

      --
      It doesn't mean much now, it's built for the future.
    50. Re:Sell now. by Pope · · Score: 2

      I bought at $7. They are now worth $1000. Should I feel foolish?

      Yes. You should've bought when they were $0.01.

      --
      It doesn't mean much now, it's built for the future.
    51. Re:Sell now. by aminorex · · Score: 1

      No, I mean things like oil embargoes, laundering the proceeds of corruption in the Chinese cadres, moving off-shore funds between tax-free jurisdictions, &c.

      --
      -I like my women like I like my tea: green-
    52. Re:Sell now. by aminorex · · Score: 1

      Selling bitcoin now isn't tempting fate so much as cutting off your nose to spite your face.

      --
      -I like my women like I like my tea: green-
    53. Re:Sell now. by aminorex · · Score: 1

      bitfinex is a very good venue. there are many dodgy operators in the cryptocurrency world, but also several very excellent and honorable ones.

      --
      -I like my women like I like my tea: green-
    54. Re:Sell now. by aminorex · · Score: 1

      Why do you say the value has not gone up 50x? I think the value is much higher, but the market is attempting to adjust to rational value. This is slow because most punters in the game now are not rational, but that is changing, as financial professionals get in the game.

      --
      -I like my women like I like my tea: green-
    55. Re:Sell now. by khallow · · Score: 3, Funny

      Selling bitcoin now isn't tempting fate so much as cutting off your nose to spite your face.

      At a sudden $1000 per bitcoin, that's a really generous return on spite.

    56. Re:Sell now. by freeze128 · · Score: 1

      Well, that's just the thing now, isn't it? Bitcoins are not shares of stock. They are currency. If I do as you say, and "borrow" bitcoins from party A, in exchange for cash, I haven't "borrowed" anything. I purchased the bitcoins (or rather exchanged US dollars for the same value of bitcoins). Transaction finished. There are a finite number of bitcoins, which is written into the code. It's not like some IPO that comes up with an arbitrary number of shares. What I do with *MY* bitcoins after that is my own business, but the transaction has already occurred. Now, is that transaction a "BUY" (because I bought them) or a "SELL" (because you sell them to me)?

      I submit that it is neither. It's an even EXCHANGE (which, not ironically, is what mtgox is... an EXCHANGE).

    57. Re:Sell now. by lgw · · Score: 1

      Are there any investment vehicles for Btc yet (like a Btc ETF)? Or is it all just keep it in a wallet still?

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    58. Re:Sell now. by lgw · · Score: 1

      You really think people are using bitcoin for that? Well, perhaps that's ramping up and pushing the value.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    59. Re:Sell now. by lgw · · Score: 2

      Borrowing shares is a thing because actual (naked) short selling of stocks is illegal. Is there some market where you can short bitcoin? It won't surprise me when bitcoin speculation markets spring up with none of the lessons learned and protections of real exchanges.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    60. Re:Sell now. by lgw · · Score: 4, Informative

      "In the entire history of investing, there has never been anything like X before."

      This was said in earnest in every single past bubble. Bitcoin's future is entirely determined by fashion - as it becomes more fashionable, price will go up, if people drop it like last-years boy band, it can go to 0.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    61. Re:Sell now. by ultranova · · Score: 4, Insightful

      And when you do get margin called, you're fucked.

      Don't play more than you're willing to risk if it tanks completely.

      Better yet: stick to buying and selling. Leave derivatives to the professionals. Even they trip up on them, as the financial crisis shows, but they'll also get bailed out while you won't.

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

    62. Re:Sell now. by ILongForDarkness · · Score: 0

      You really think bitcoin is worth half of all transactions globally? Really? If nothing else supply will be an issue: there just isn't enough of them to provide enough increments of value to support the wider economy. $1000 coins are great until you are trying to get on a bus with it or are one of the 2B or so people that make less than that in a year.

    63. Re:Sell now. by alexander_686 · · Score: 3, Informative

      One can as easily short currency as one can short stock. Or wheat, bonds, etc. I suggested looking up stocks because there is more and clearer information out there then on bonds. Let me see if I can make my point clearer. Remember, I am only going through the mechanics of a short sale.

      Example #1: I sell 1 BitCoin for $1,000. This is your example. It assumes you have $1,000 and are interested in a finial sale.

      Example #2: I borrow 1 BitCoin today from Party A and promise to pay back the 1 BitCoin plus interest sometime in the future. Party A does not trust me and asks for collateral so I post the $1,000 as collateral plus some extra amount as a buffer. I then sell the borrowed BitCoin for $1,000 to Party B. Under this scenario we don’t have to assume I have $1,000. Maybe I only have $5 or $10.

      And I am not sure what technical point you are making. Yes, the number of shares sold in a IPO is arbitrary. So was the choice for the number of BitCoins.

      As long as I can borrow BitCoins I can short BitCoins.

    64. Re:Sell now. by ultranova · · Score: 1

      well, some markets already have mechanisms for short selling BTC, though it is debatable if any particular trader or exchange (esp ones outside the US) will actually honor the contracts.

      Doesn't the Bitcoin protocol itself support contracts? Could it be adapted to these kinds of bets - both parties transfer their stakes to the betting pool, a Bitcoin price oracle decides which one the pool is transferred to?

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

    65. Re:Sell now. by tempest69 · · Score: 1

      Bitcoins can be broken down to very small values. Allowing a bitcoin to inflate to a crazy value without impacting spend-ability..

    66. Re:Sell now. by ultranova · · Score: 1

      Sure no (?) parabolic prize moves really continue into infinity, last time it stopped at $200 and fell back to $50.

      True, but what's driving Bitcoin price is the ongoing adoption and integration into the wider (world) economy. Speculation causes bubbles, which burst, but after each crash the price settles on a higher level than before. And since Bitcoin economy is still so small compared to the world economy, it could easily grow a thousandfold before reaching its "natural" level, whatever that is.

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

    67. Re:Sell now. by SQLGuru · · Score: 1

      I am curious how much of today's price increase is due to the loss of $7.5M in BitCoin due to some one tossing a hard drive. That effectively dropped the supply from the max by some decent number......was this spike really just re-valuing the current outstanding balance? (I don't know, I haven't really done the math.)

    68. Re:Sell now. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Please send bitcoins to 1Gjhxkr27QahHfLQveG99WAqQkQ356Xvou. Thank you.

    69. Re:Sell now. by ArcadeMan · · Score: 2

      I'll buy your $7 bitcoins for $14. Double your investment!

    70. Re:Sell now. by organgtool · · Score: 2

      Most market crashes are triggered by large sell-offs

      And many run-ups are triggered by large buy orders from influential investors - that's how the market works. It's a zero sum game driven by a herd mentality in which everyone tries to guess when the herd will stop moving or start moving in the other direction. The market commonly fulfills it's own prophecies because the few influential people making the prophecies are always one step ahead of the herd.

    71. Re:Sell now. by Xylantiel · · Score: 2

      My question is why would the black market settle on a currency in which all transactions are public record? At some point, after enough busts, the black market people will figure out that bitcoin is the opposite of anonymous. Its enough to make you wonder if it was invented by the NSA.

      Of course this doesn't prevent its use as a speculative investment item in the mean time. Funny that something can have value because it is a high-risk investment and for no other reason.

      Though it sounds like the current bubble is being driven by Chinese evading their government's currency controls, which I gather could be stopped at any moment by the Chinese government. Presumably when that happens it will be the first big crash of bitcoin.

    72. Re:Sell now. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      a) It wasn't, the trend was going there for days
      b) 7500BTC is 0.06% of current BTC in circulation (~12M)
      c) It's "alleged loss of 7500BTC", not "loss of $7.5M in BitCoin" - after reading this tweet by the guy who "lost" them it just sounds like a BTC equivalent of Nigerian Prince.

    73. Re:Sell now. by aliquis · · Score: 1

      I guess one argument which can be done against it is that the supposed advantage of lower transaction fees isn't really working currently since people will exchange other currencies to bitcoins at a cost, because in the end people want something else than bitcoins (including items and services.)

      Then again those fees has easily paid for themselves for now ..

      Beyond that I guess one can look at each currency of it's own, I don't know what I'd really want there. I don't agree with that people should be rich from producing nothing (=just holding money (then again I guess you could argue one should become richer because one could had put the money into work oneself doing something useful with them unless one lend them to someone else)) at least.

      As far as transaction costs goes I suppose banks could try to compete in that area if they wanted to. Guess nothing say it should be super expensive (relative) with other kinds of money, then again I don't see how they would want to lower prices at the moment.

    74. Re:Sell now. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It has the potential to go up to 20-50K USD per BTC (within the next 4-5 years), because of the further adoption and its predetermined scarcity, 1K is just the start. Of course, when BTC shows technical weakness, it will fall quickly again. Best for BTC would be to stay stable or grow slowly, but this period might be reached in 2-3 years: many BTC holders, using BTC to trade and not hoarde/speculate.

    75. Re:Sell now. by Joce640k · · Score: 2

      In the entire history of investing, there has never been anything like bitcoin before.

      That's *exactly* what they said about the tech bubble. Down to the very word. It was a "whole new economy"...and guess what?

      --
      No sig today...
    76. Re:Sell now. by fastest+fascist · · Score: 1

      It's not impossible at all. You could escrow some bitcoins with a reputable escrow operator, for instance...

    77. Re:Sell now. by ADRA · · Score: 0

      Pfft, call me back when it hits 3 million.

      --
      Bye!
    78. Re:Sell now. by CanHasDIY · · Score: 1

      So, less the blind leading the blind, and more the evil leading the stupid.

      Somehow I don't find that all too reassuring...

      --
      An enigma, wrapped in a riddle, shrouded in bacon and cheese
    79. Re:Sell now. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Who would be crazy enough to buy bitcoins at that price anyway ?!?! Even though they worth $1,000USD, they're stuck with them...

    80. Re: Sell now. by tesdaburys · · Score: 1

      Plus500

    81. Re:Sell now. by skirhir · · Score: 1

      May I ask, who are these 'people' wiling to try luck with a 1000 bucks virtual comodity... Who are these newcommers pushing the price up?

    82. Re:Sell now. by Dr.+Evil · · Score: 2

      It's not a scam, but it's not clear what it is.

      The coins are behaving like a genuine new commodity with some amazing properties.

      It's excellent for moving money between countries. It's stunningly good for microtransactions. It's very difficult to control companies which accept it. Those three properties alone give it a real value.

      As a transactional currency, you could calculate a fundamental value as the volume of bitcoins in flux over a 45 minute interval. I.e., if I want to spend $10 on an e-book on the other side of the world, it takes 15 minutes for me to buy the coins, 15 minutes to transfer the coins and 15 minutes for the recipient to sell the coins. Those $10 are in the system and staying in the system for that period of time.

      For microtransactions, you can buy objects or be paid for objects in tiny fractions of currency. This means you can charge for reading articles or watching programs without all the money going to the credit card companies or having to pay for a monthly subscription. Nothing else does this and it increases the volume of transactions, or currency in the system.

      It can't be interfered with easily, so accounts which could normally be frozen could be stashed in Bitcoins and still retrieved anywhere in the world.

      That stuff alone gives the coins *real* value. How much of hte $1000 valuation is "real" is unknown, but the rise from $0 to $1 is far more interesting than the rise from $1 to $1000. The fact that somebody might have owned it once at $1 doesn't matter. The coins aren't real and it's not clear what exactly is driving the market for them.

    83. Re:Sell now. by alexander_686 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      What about the housing bubble? The value of land soared then fell – and they are not making any new land.

      There are lots of bubbles that have formed where the assets are fixed. The South Sea Bubble where the number of shares was fixed. Limited edition pound puppies. The Nifty 50.

      Or maybe the Hunt Brothers trying to corner the silver market. Could more silver be produced? Opening a new mine takes 10 years and would only add a very small fraction to the total supply of silver. Most mining of precious metals have almost zero effect on the overall supply. The last time a gold find had an impact on the price of gold was, IIRC, 1890 in South Africa.

      I could go on.

      No, it is a bubble when the price of a thing because disassociated with the intrinsic value of a thing and BitCoin has no intrinsic value. Of course, no money has any intrinsic value because it is the yardstick by which things are measured. You can only get relative measures, BitCoin vs. USD vs. Gold.

      So I might point to Shiller’s checklist for bubbles. (He won the Nobel Prize for his work with bubbles.)

      Check and Bingo - “New era” theories to justify unprecedented price increases
      Check - Sharp increases in the price of an asset like real estate or dot-com shares
      Check - Great public excitement about said increases
      Check -An accompanying media frenzy
      Check - Stories of people earning a lot of money, causing envy among people who aren’t
      Check - Growing interest in the asset class among the general public
      No Check - A decline in lending standards

    84. Re:Sell now. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You really think bitcoin is worth half of all transactions globally? Really? If nothing else supply will be an issue: there just isn't enough of them to provide enough increments of value to support the wider economy. $1000 coins are great until you are trying to get on a bus with it or are one of the 2B or so people that make less than that in a year.

      You would get kicked off the bus trying to pay with a $20 bill just the same.
      Stop pretending denominations less than a $20 bill, or less than 1 bitcoin, don't exist.

      If 2^128 times 2^64 isn't enough increments of value for you, I must seriously question your use of USD considering the number of all bills and coins in circulation is only the smallest fraction of the number of divisions of a bitcoin, you only look like a hypocrite using it.

      "Ohh woe is me, one billion isn't enough for my tastes! That's why I use this other thing that only has ten. Because ten is so much larger than a billion!!"

    85. Re:Sell now. by lgw · · Score: 1

      My blind guess is people using it to transfer funds illegally. You don't really care what it's worth if you only need it for a couple of hours, but the amounts could be so high that it's causing a demand spike.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    86. Re: Sell now. by lgw · · Score: 1

      What is Plus500, an exchange? It doesn't seem to be legal in the US. What's I'd like to see is something you can buy through a broker, like the gold ETFs.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    87. Re:Sell now. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      markets can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent.

      FTFY.

    88. Re:Sell now. by bondsbw · · Score: 1

      You really should have bet that as 0.1 BTC.

      --
      All my liberal friends think I'm a conservative, all my conservative friends think I'm a liberal.
    89. Re:Sell now. by lee1026 · · Score: 2

      So what is V? For something like bitcoin, it is entirely plausible that it will end up being extremely fast (average stay of 1 hour in someone's hands). If that is true, the "market cap" of bitcoins will be on the order of less then a billion, which means that it is already overpriced.

      Of course, neither one of us knows how big V is....

    90. Re: Sell now. by ceoyoyo · · Score: 1

      That's part of the problem. People are putting real value into the bitcoin market, value that the holders of old coins can come and claim whenever they feel like it. If any significant amount of old coins are cashed in, it's going to cause the mother of all crashes.

      AFTER that happens, bitcoin might be a reasonably stable currency to do things with. It depends on whether the cashing in kills it or not.

    91. Re: Sell now. by myowntrueself · · Score: 3, Interesting

      That's part of the problem. People are putting real value into the bitcoin market, value that the holders of old coins can come and claim whenever they feel like it. If any significant amount of old coins are cashed in, it's going to cause the mother of all crashes.

      AFTER that happens, bitcoin might be a reasonably stable currency to do things with. It depends on whether the cashing in kills it or not.

      If 10 people with 1000 bitcoins each now went to MtGoX and wanted to cash in their bitcoins, what would that do to MtGoX? I think they'd be fucked.

      Seriously, this is empty speculation and there isn't the actual money invested in bitcoins to support this increase in face value. The system is fucked. Theres no way the bitcoins in circulation today could actually be cashed in for actual money.

      --
      In the free world the media isn't government run; the government is media run.
    92. Re:Sell now. by m.dillon · · Score: 1

      This mechanism is no guarantee that the seller will actually get the price they programmed in. In a crash there is not likely going to be a buyer at or above the programmed-in price and the seller can't force counter-parties to buy BTC (or anything) at the desired price.

      In fact this mechanism exists in the real stock market and is manipulated all the time by contrived flash crashes to force those sell points to get hit. Since the price crashes through the sell levels so quickly there are no buyers at those prices and the sales wind up going at the market and forcing the stock down even more. Even worse, enough people using this sort of mechanism can CAUSE computer-driven crashes and lose their shirts in the process.

      Unlike something like Bitcoin, stocks actually do have a real intrinsic value (even if investors can't calculate it with any accuracy). Which means that you can't sell a stock into oblivion and expect it to stay there very long. In the case of flash crashes, sometimes seconds, up to a few minutes at best. People who use these sorts of orders can wind up with sold positions and a stock price that has recovered before they can react and then they are screwed.

      -Matt

    93. Re:Sell now. by myowntrueself · · Score: 1

      A word of warning - there is a old saying that the markets can stay rational longer then you can stay solvent.

      This. I think bitcoins have passed this point.

      I'd love to see lots of people right now going and selling bitcoins to get real money (that they can use to, oh I don't know, buy a house?)

      --
      In the free world the media isn't government run; the government is media run.
    94. Re:Sell now. by myowntrueself · · Score: 1

      Why do you say the value has not gone up 50x? I think the value is much higher, but the market is attempting to adjust to rational value. This is slow because most punters in the game now are not rational, but that is changing, as financial professionals get in the game.

      Financial professionals are rational these days? Did they get brain transplants or something?

      --
      In the free world the media isn't government run; the government is media run.
    95. Re:Sell now. by Ash-Fox · · Score: 1

      Nah mate. I just bought myself a new computer, monitor and a year worth of VPS and a domain name with bitcoin.

      Show me in the block chain where this happened.

      --
      Change is certain; progress is not obligatory.
    96. Re:Sell now. by myowntrueself · · Score: 1

      lol @ 5 insightful.

      Sure no (?) parabolic prize moves really continue into infinity, last time it stopped at $200 and fell back to $50. But the people who kept are at a pretty good position now.

      They aren't in that good a position because I bet they can't actually cash in their bitcoins for actual cash (that they can use to buy a house with).

      Go ahead and try to sell 1000 bitcoins today for US$

      100 people do that and *poof* its all fucked.

      --
      In the free world the media isn't government run; the government is media run.
    97. Re:Sell now. by myowntrueself · · Score: 1

      My guess is that the more it costs to buy a bitcoin the more reluctant people will be to 'invest' in them. If that happens then people trying to sell their $1000 bitcoins are going to be shit out of luck and they will realise the bitcoins aren't actually worth $1000, people just *pretend* they are.

      --
      In the free world the media isn't government run; the government is media run.
    98. Re:Sell now. by myowntrueself · · Score: 1

      Actually, MTGox lets you set price selling triggers where if the price drops to a price, then you sell it. So you can basically say if the price drops 10%, sell everything. You have to use a scripted bot or something for that feature but they do it. Then you'll never be too far off from whatever it peaks at. Of course, if there's a giant sell offer and no matching buy offers, it will whiz past your sell offer like lightning :-P It DEFINITELY is going to crash back down to $200-500 though.

      who the fuck is going to buy them? You'd be crazy to buy bitcoins now.

      --
      In the free world the media isn't government run; the government is media run.
    99. Re: Sell now. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Impossible. BitCoins has too much intrinsic value for this to happen these days now that China is using it. The USD will collapse before BitCoin goes back under four digits.

    100. Re:Sell now. by aliquis · · Score: 1

      Sure they are.

      As for the later how many do you think got a million+ dollar in bitcoins? Is there even 100 people who have that?

    101. Re:Sell now. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, sell them to me. I can't wait to part with $1000 - almost an ounce of gold - to buy shit coins that can't be used to buy toilet roll (literally)

    102. Re:Sell now. by Yvanhoe · · Score: 1

      I did that when it peaked at 30$ and sold the 50 bitcoins I owned. I felt smart when the crash happened a few weeks later. I now regret this move deeply.

      --
      The Wise adapts himself to the world. The Fool adapts the world to himself. Therefore, all progress depends on the Fool.
    103. Re:Sell now. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I've a better idea. if the price at January 1st is lower than now, you pay me $1. If it's higher, I pay you 1,000,000 pixie fair btc's.

    104. Re:Sell now. by Capsaicin · · Score: 1

      Are there any investment vehicles for Btc yet (like a Btc ETF)? Or is it all just keep it in a wallet still?

      I've heard a USD/XBT pair is available for trading on FX markets. Don't quote me on that one though.

      --
      Better to be despised for too anxious apprehensions, than ruined by too confident a security. --Edmund Burke
    105. Re:Sell now. by WWJohnBrowningDo · · Score: 0

      You obiously don't know how shorting works then.

      If you buy 2 bitcoins and short 1, and bitcoin falls to $0 tomorrow, you'll still have $1000.

      If you buy 1 bitcoin, and bitcoin falls to $0 tomorrow, you'll have $0.

    106. Re:Sell now. by alexander_686 · · Score: 1

      Good catch. I did drop the "ir" from the quote. My bad.

    107. Re:Sell now. by Capsaicin · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I bought at $7. They are now worth $1000. Should I feel foolish?

      No, you should fee lucky. Have you made any profit yet?

      --
      Better to be despised for too anxious apprehensions, than ruined by too confident a security. --Edmund Burke
    108. Re:Sell now. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Selling bitcoin now isn't tempting fate so much as cutting off your nose to spite your face.

      Selling bitcoin now is taking a profit. There's nothing wrong with trading profitably.

    109. Re:Sell now. by Mathinker · · Score: 2

      > It's stunningly good for microtransactions.

      My understanding of the situation is that in the long term (because of the cap on the total amount of bitcoin), there is a limit to how small bitcoin microtransactions can be (and still be practical), because transaction fees for mining blocks will need to replace the current incentive to mine (which is the production of new bitcoin).

      Am I wrong?

    110. Re:Sell now. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The price may go up a little more, but all indications are sell now before the crash.

      We heard the same thing when the S&P 500 hit 1000 a few years ago, and then when it hit 1100, 1200, 1300, 1400, 1500, 1600, 1700, and now 1800...

    111. Re:Sell now. by Mathinker · · Score: 1

      > Since it would be almost impossible to take the parent up on this offer, what would you call it?

      No, once the "contracts" part of bitcoin reaches adoption, it should be trivial... I think.

    112. Re:Sell now. by Mathinker · · Score: 1

      Ooops. Just not in USD... ouch.. .need coffee....

    113. Re:Sell now. by Mathinker · · Score: 1

      I posted something similar, but wish I could have retracted it... since the bet, as stated, is in USD. AFAIK, the contracts part of bitcoin can only manipulate bitcoin.

    114. Re: Sell now. by Bram+Stolk · · Score: 1

      If 10 people with 1000 bitcoins each now went to MtGoX and wanted to cash in their bitcoins, what would that do to MtGoX? I think they'd be fucked.

      Seriously, this is empty speculation and there isn't the actual money invested in bitcoins to support this increase in face value. The system is fucked. Theres no way the bitcoins in circulation today could actually be cashed in for actual money.

      Due to the open nature of the bid book at MtGox, you can see EXACTLY what happens at a sell of 10k btc.
      http://mtgoxlive.com/orders

      At the time of writing, it would drive down the price to $800,- roughly.

      --
      Bram Stolk http://stolk.org/tlctc/
    115. Re:Sell now. by michelcolman · · Score: 3, Informative

      You obviously suck at math, then.

      If you have $2000 and can buy bitcoins at $1000:

      1. Buy 2 bitcoins (spending $2000), short one, bitcoin drops to zero: you have $1000 (gain from the short)
      2. Buy 1 bitcoin (only spending $1000), bitcoin drops to zero: you still have $1000 (saved from the start)

      How on earth did you expect to make more money by shorting something while being long on the same thing, rather than directly selling what you have?

    116. Re:Sell now. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, that's how markets work. You can't pick and choose the parts of a market you want. Part of a market is the fact people talk about it on other forums.

      At least he's giving good advice.

    117. Re:Sell now. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So how do you get MV = 90,000,000? Peak output volume over all time is about 6,000,000 BTC/day [http://blockchain.info/charts/output-volume]. Average output volume is floating around the million mark.

      Accepting the assumption that PQ might become 1 trillion USD per year, that's 3 billion per day, or 3 million BTC/day with BTC at $1,000.

      Unfortunately the output volume includes the giving of change. They estimate the volume without this [http://blockchain.info/charts/estimated-transaction-volume] and it's about 650,000 peak, 200,000 average.

      Using these figures:

      OV 3M - BTC = $500
      OV 1M - BTC = $3,000
      OV 650K - BTC = $5,000
      OV 200K - BTC = $15,000

      But I see a problem here. As PQ rises, so does MV (clearly). You seem to be assuming output volume stays the same, therefore the price of BTC goes up. But clearly the output volumes today don't represent the output volumes at $1T/year - as the market grows, more money will move. The value of BTC could stay the same, volumes can rise, and the whole thing matches up. Or the value of BTC could fall, volumes could rise even more, and the whole thing still equates.

      In other words, this analysis tells you nothing about the dollar price of BTC in the future, even under your "pessimistic" assumptions. All it tells you is the product of volume and BTC price necessary to serve a market worth $1T/year:

      PQ = dollar value per day / BTC value in dollars = BTC spent/day
      MV = BTC moved per day

      BTC moved per day * BTC value in dollars = dollars spent/day

      Assuming the RHS is constant, this is not useful.

    118. Re:Sell now. by WWJohnBrowningDo · · Score: 1

      You're right. My apolgies. Terrible mistake on my part.

    119. Re:Sell now. by jeremyp · · Score: 1

      Well, that's just the thing now, isn't it? Bitcoins are not shares of stock. They are currency. If I do as you say, and "borrow" bitcoins from party A, in exchange for cash

      That bit in the parent is wrong. When you borrow the bitcoins, you don't give party A any cash, or at most you give them a fee for renting the bitcoins.

      --
      All I want is a secure system where it's easy to do anything I want. Is that too much to ask ~~ Randall Munroe
    120. Re:Sell now. by Khalid · · Score: 1

      >Though it sounds like the current bubble is being driven by
      >Chinese evading their government's currency controls, which I
      >gather could be stopped at any moment by the Chinese
      >government. Presumably when that happens it will be the first big >crash of bitcoin.

      This is a very intersting point of view. Living in a country with a non convertible money, and where it's somehow difficult to buy officially convertible currency (Dollar, Euro etc.) while not so difficult in the black market. I have always thought that Bitcoin is a very intersting and convenient way to transfer money abroad in an electronic and anonymous way and at a very low rates. So maybe Bitcoin will be tight in the future, to a certain degree, to mony transfer regulations in countries with non convertible or with special regulations money like China, India, Brasil etc. and most thirld word countries.

    121. Re:Sell now. by ILongForDarkness · · Score: 1

      How does that work? Does the exchange track fractional bitcoins and which underlying bitcoin they come from?

    122. Re:Sell now. by ILongForDarkness · · Score: 1

      1) I only use USD as toilet paper: there are other countries that use the term dollar.
      2) There are only 12M bitcoins in circulation. Your example is equivalent to quoting the number of bills possible if you printed on paper generated from all the trees. What really matters is what is in circulation and how quickly that number can be changed as more people adopt it/inflation/some failing banks need it more than you/ whatever.

    123. Re:Sell now. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A friend,believes Bitcoin is worthless, so I bet him one Bitcoin that it will still have value a year from now.

    124. Re: Sell now. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Satoshi?

    125. Re:Sell now. by spiralx · · Score: 1

      Half of all of the gold in the world was mined after 1969. I wouldn't be surprised if it was similar for silver. And while that obviously hasn't affected the price massively, the supply of gold is increasing rapidly - which I would say indicates the price has nothing to do with supply or utility.

    126. Re:Sell now. by alexander_686 · · Score: 1

      Can I get a source on that? I have not found that out in my research but I am always out there looking for new sources.

    127. Re:Sell now. by spiralx · · Score: 1

      It surprised me to be honest - here is the page I saw, and it's 1967, not 1969.This article backs up the data and discusses the gold supply in general - it does seem as though most people assume that gold mining is much less prevalent than it actually is.

    128. Re:Sell now. by alexander_686 · · Score: 1

      First, you may want to dig into Goldsheet’s primary source, the U.S. Geological Survey. I found that more interesting. If you look you can see gold production has been basically constant even as gold prices shot up so I will stand by my point that production has a low impact on the price and price has a low impact on production.

      http://minerals.usgs.gov/ds/2005/140/

      Secondly, you might want to dig into them a bit more. They are not that solid – which is partly the nature of the beast. Getting good numbers are hard.

      Goldsheet says that ½ of the gold mined was after 1969 when the starting point is 1900. Another way of putting that is that in the 110 year history half of the gold produced was mined in the last half. (well, third). That is not exactly a compelling case. There is a factoid rattling in the back of my brain that says more than half of the gold in existence today was mined before 1900 but I can’t remember where that is but there is a 2000 year period where a lot of gold was mined.

      I though the second article you pointed to was more interesting. It was interesting how the author pulled apart gold mining, recycling, and reserve sales. However, I came away that the author’s impressions was that it was the demand side (i.e. buyers) that determined the price, not the supply side. Or did you get something different?

    129. Re:Sell now. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I bought at $7. They are now worth $1000. Should I feel foolish?

      Possibly, though fairly unlikely.

      Did you buy back then, only a little bit ("mad money" basically) or mostly for purposes of spending right away (e.g. omgwtfnzbs)? If so, then we know for sure that you're not a fool, and the questions are over. (Though if you spent a lot, then you might feel foolish for not holding on it it, but that's a foolish attitude. You already got what you wanted, so there's just no way you lost.)

      OTOH, if you bought as an investment, and put significant money into it, then it's hard to be sure without checking out a few more things.

      Pop quiz: How much energy did it take to mine a Bitcoin back then and now, at the difficulty and with the latest dedicated hardware, at each of those two times (when you bought, vs now)? How much do those two energy amounts cost, in dollars? If you don't know the answer, then it's very hard to believe that you have any idea what you're doing, and your "fool sense" ought to be tingling. Assuming you know the answer, move on.

      Do you have an opinion of what $/BTC ratio should be? You don't have to share your number, just tell us if you have one in mind, and have justifications for believing your number is fairly accurate. (You're pretty sure that know whether $1100 or $900 is the next stop.) If you don't have any idea (i.e. you have been right "by accident" so far, or think "it'll go up, because Bitcoin is a good idea"), then you're likely a fool, of the "broken clock twice a day" variety.

      Made it this far? Then you're probably not a fool. Or you're so close to not being a fool, that I can't tell the difference. (Indeed, you're probably quite a bit smarter than I am.) You might still be wrong but that's a whole other issue. And you might be a fool who has been right (so far), too.

    130. Re:Sell now. by spiralx · · Score: 1

      According to this document linked to from your page world production of gold has increased by a factor of almost 7 over the last century, which is a significant increase, especially since as you say, price has not changed really at all (ignoring the large increase in the last five years, the price/ton in 1900 was the same as in 2005). This seems to indicate price is set by the demand side; also it seems to show consumption has increased by a similar factor, so more gold mined means more gold used.

      The last few years however show a huge increase in price without any increase in production or usage, which does indicate to me that speculation was driving the price - the recent crash supports this.

    131. Re:Sell now. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Don't ever admonish "evil corporations" again. Because you just did what they do.

      You're just spreading misinformation to try to make it true. And that is disgusting.

    132. Re:Sell now. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      When a true genius appears in the world, you may know him by this sign, that the dunces are all in confederacy against him

      Apologies to John Kennedy Toole.

      - Justin Goldberg, trying to reclaim /~Justin+Goldberg since 2001! Dammit, that expired tulane dot edu account!

    133. Re: Sell now. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If 10 people with 1000 bitcoins each now went to MtGoX and wanted to cash in their bitcoins, what would that do to MtGoX? I think they'd be fucked.

      Rubbish and proof that you do not understand simple basics of this. You can not "cash" your bitcoins, you can SELL them to other users of MtGox. But said other users had to put the cash into their account in the first place (or they sold BTC earlier themselves and someone else put the money into the system).

      By design a exchange will always have the money available (unless it is hacked and the money stolen or it is seized by the Government or whatever) to pay out any user.

      If you don't get that, you should refrain from posting.

    134. Re: Sell now. by myowntrueself · · Score: 1

      Actually thats it exactly. Do you think people WANT to buy bitcoins at $1000 each? pfft

      also, it took you long enough!

      --
      In the free world the media isn't government run; the government is media run.
  2. Who wants to prick the bubble? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Bubblicious!

    1. Re:Who wants to prick the bubble? by MickyTheIdiot · · Score: 3, Interesting

      I'm a bitcoin miner and I do agree they are overpriced at the moment. It should be $200-300 IMHO.

    2. Re:Who wants to prick the bubble? by ArchieBunker · · Score: 2

      Are you using a dedicated ASIC machine?

      --
      Only the State obtains its revenue by coercion. - Murray Rothbard
    3. Re:Who wants to prick the bubble? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

      Nope, he's old school, pickax and wheelbarrow. The black lung is a bitch though.

    4. Re:Who wants to prick the bubble? by MickyTheIdiot · · Score: 3, Informative

      Yes.. ASIC blades mostly.

      Really, the spike is good news because I'm making so much more money than usual (per USD), but this isn't going to last. It's not going to deflate to $0 though...

    5. Re:Who wants to prick the bubble? by east+coast · · Score: 5, Funny

      Oh, so he plays Minecraft too?

      --
      Dedicated Cthulhu Cultist since 4523 BC.
    6. Re:Who wants to prick the bubble? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why? Based on the cost of mining? Gut feeling

      It seems the fair price would be the final price, except it's impossible to know in an explosively speculative market of irrational actors.

    7. Re:Who wants to prick the bubble? by h4rr4r · · Score: 2

      SELL, SELL, SELL!!!
      Take these rubes for all they are worth.

    8. Re:Who wants to prick the bubble? by MickyTheIdiot · · Score: 1

      I don't keep much BTC on hand, actually. I usually buy hardware directly with it. I did sell some yesterday when it was around $800.

    9. Re:Who wants to prick the bubble? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I don't keep much BTC on hand, actually. I usually buy hardware directly with it. I did sell some yesterday when it was around $800.

      So you take your BTC and turn it into hardware that can only produce more BTC (or some other similar cryptocurrency)? You are not keeping it on hand, indeed, you are solidifying your long position on BTC.

    10. Re:Who wants to prick the bubble? by MickyTheIdiot · · Score: 1

      I can't argue with that. I am doing this for a hobby. I am not going to die if Bitcoin disappears tomorrow.

    11. Re:Who wants to prick the bubble? by Pr0xY · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I recently had a discussion about whether or not the spike in BTC is a bubble or not and came to some interesting conclusions.

      From what I can tell, essentially a bubble burst occurs when prices have become so inflated that people are priced out of buying in. This creates a lack of buyers, causing the sellers to dramatically drop their prices. For example, if I buy a house for $100,000, and then sell it for $150,000, then they sell it at $250,000, etc, etc. Eventually the price gets so high that people just won't buy the house. Leaving the last buyer to take the hit and sell at a loss (if he chooses to sell).

      BTC is somewhat different though. It is divisible to 8 decimal places (infinitely divisible in theory, just need to update the clients). So people can never be "priced out" of the market, they can just buy a smaller slice of the pie if they desire. This is unlike a house where I (typically) can't buy just a fraction of it.

      So the only thing I can say for sure, is that we cannot be sure whether or not the rapid rise in BTC value is a bubble which will burst or not.

    12. Re:Who wants to prick the bubble? by jythie · · Score: 5, Interesting

      I wish I had mod points ^_^ but yeah, that is an element that differs from classic bubble mechanics.

      We might encounter other problems though such as traders making BTC unproductive for people using it for goods and services. It could also crash if some large (or simply enough) players cash out and deplete various exchange's ability to convert BTC into other currencies, which could cause exchanges to close shop and thus reduce the utility.

      Though historically there are plenty of examples of bubbles of easily subdivided items, even including things like gold. So you can not get a housing-style bubble with BTC, but that does not make it immune from the general pattern.

    13. Re:Who wants to prick the bubble? by iluvcapra · · Score: 1

      BTC is somewhat different though. It is divisible to 8 decimal places (infinitely divisible in theory, just need to update the clients). So people can never be "priced out" of the market, they can just buy a smaller slice of the pie if they desire. This is unlike a house where I (typically) can't buy just a fraction of it.

      This is a misconception. Despite claims, BTCs have intrinsic value, and while they can be subdivided, a quantity of BTCs is still required to accomplish a particular purpose, just as a house of a particular size is required to accomplish a particular purpose. People don't buy Bitcoins just to buy Bitcoins, they do it with an objective, and if that objective isn't available at the price a BTC is quoted, they won't buy.

      The underlying value of BTC comes from the availability of things to buy in the Bitcoin economy. and speculation. Taking the first one first, there's a limit to which people are willing to pay a premium for access to the BTC economy, and if people are paying $10 for something with BTCs they think they can get for $8 otherwise, they won't pay.

      Exchange for goods and services appears to be a relatively minor use of BTCs, though, most people that are buying right now are speculating, and as you say, there's no floor below which people cannot buy in order to speculate. However, if people value a BTC based on speculative future gain, they're going to value them less if they perceive their nominal value declining, which is why crashes happen: the expectation of decline causes decline, which causes the expectation of decline. If you have a BTC that you bought for $900, and you offer it for $1000, someone might accept that price if they think they'll profit from it still. However, if a buyer doesn't think he'll profit from a $900 BTC, he won't pay that price, and he'll be "priced out."

      --
      Don't blame me, I voted for Baltar.
    14. Re:Who wants to prick the bubble? by alexander_686 · · Score: 1

      Can somebody explain why this line of argument is repeated? I can’t figure out the logic on why this limitation is important? BitCoins can go to 8 digits contrasted to most other investments which are infinitely divisible. Seems more like a drawback to me.

      On a more serious note, I think the OP got the issue almost right. Bubbles happen when everybody has the same time scale – and that scale would be now. (i.e. that they can sell their investment to somebody else who can sell that investment to somebody else.) Most mature markets have people with different time horizons. A jump of 10% is a huge move for a day trader but means almost nothing for somebody with a 10 year time horizon. This heterogeneous mix of risk tolerances, opinions, and time scales is what makes for well working (and semi-stable) markets.

    15. Re:Who wants to prick the bubble? by gutnor · · Score: 1

      Well there is a maximum of 21 million bitcoin. If the currency become successful, that 21 million will represent the total wealth of the whole planet. If it does not who knows.

    16. Re:Who wants to prick the bubble? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Stocks are divisible, too. While a few companies never subdivide their stocks into "convenient" smaller-value shares, that's the exception rather than the rule. In general, every stock is kept in a $10-$1000 per share range, no matter whether the total market cap is tiny or gigantic, with appropriate splits performed to keep per-share prices in that range as companies grow. This has never stopped bubbles from bubbling.

      Furthermore, the extremely unequal division of wealth means that the vast majority of any market is not owned by "little people" who would be priced out by per-unit prices of tens or hundreds of thousands of dollars. Bitcoin, like other big investment bubbles, is being inflated by hedge funds and super-wealthy oligarchs, with a small portion here and there held by small-time investors. Though, I suspect the small-time investors will be the ones left holding the worthless bits once the insider oligarchs move on to the next scam.

    17. Re:Who wants to prick the bubble? by Guppy · · Score: 1

      From what I can tell, essentially a bubble burst occurs when prices have become so inflated that people are priced out of buying in. This creates a lack of buyers, causing the sellers to dramatically drop their prices

      "Nobody goes there anymore. It's too crowded." -- Yogi Berra

    18. Re:Who wants to prick the bubble? by O('_')O_Bush · · Score: 1

      But that is just one factor of it. The other factor is that there is a finite amount of money to be put into them. As it is, the market cap in the past few years has gone up from $140 million to $10b+

      At some point, there won't be enough money backing BTC to keep its value high, and the attraction of BTC (as well as the state of the economy, amount people are willing to tie up in an unstable asset) as either a currency of volatile speculative instrument are the only things keeping money backing it. If, at some point, the net gain of cash for investing into BTC stops, so will its cap, and so will the value of BTC. That is, no matter how small you subdivide it, if there is only $15b people are willing to spend on BTC, it will never reach a market cap of $1t.

      And, once it stops rising and uncertainty takes over, and people start trying to convert their BTC speculations back into USD, there is the trigger and mechanism of the crash.

      --
      while(1) attack(People.Sandy);
    19. Re:Who wants to prick the bubble? by iluvcapra · · Score: 1

      Can somebody explain why this line of argument is repeated?

      1. People have really naive ideas about how inflation and price levels work.

      1a. You have to take a college-level economics course before you'll get an explanation of how it works.

      2. Divisible commodities have obvious intrinsic value. A cup of rice is plainly different from half a cup of rice, but a Bitcoin does not strike people as significantly different from half a Bitcoin, because vanishingly few people use Bitcoins to do anything other than...

      3. Bitcoin price levels are set almost completely by speculators. If all you want to do is buy some amount of Bitcoins at the offered price, and all you ever intend to do is convert them back into dollars in the future for profit, obvisouly it's not going to matter how many BTCs you buy. It only matters if you're trading BTCs for actual goods and services, quoted in stable BTC prices.

      --
      Don't blame me, I voted for Baltar.
    20. Re:Who wants to prick the bubble? by iluvcapra · · Score: 1

      "At any time, every stock in existence is owned by somebody."

      --
      Don't blame me, I voted for Baltar.
    21. Re:Who wants to prick the bubble? by aminorex · · Score: 1

      bitcoin price levels are set almost exclusively by value investors. speculators are children playing on the sidelines.

      --
      -I like my women like I like my tea: green-
    22. Re:Who wants to prick the bubble? by aminorex · · Score: 1

      ..convert btc back into usd...

      now that would not be clever. a savings vehicle that will be worth 5x more in a year versus one that will be worth 5% less in a year...

      --
      -I like my women like I like my tea: green-
    23. Re:Who wants to prick the bubble? by iluvcapra · · Score: 4, Insightful

      If you buy a commodity, or any item with a static underlying value, with the expectation that you will profit from appreciation, you are a speculator. Having a years-long time horizon, or a moral commitment to the commodity, does not significantly change your status.

      --
      Don't blame me, I voted for Baltar.
    24. Re:Who wants to prick the bubble? by rasmusbr · · Score: 1

      I recently had a discussion about whether or not the spike in BTC is a bubble or not and came to some interesting conclusions.

      From what I can tell, essentially a bubble burst occurs when prices have become so inflated that people are priced out of buying in. This creates a lack of buyers, causing the sellers to dramatically drop their prices. For example, if I buy a house for $100,000, and then sell it for $150,000, then they sell it at $250,000, etc, etc. Eventually the price gets so high that people just won't buy the house. Leaving the last buyer to take the hit and sell at a loss (if he chooses to sell).

      BTC is somewhat different though. It is divisible to 8 decimal places (infinitely divisible in theory, just need to update the clients). So people can never be "priced out" of the market, they can just buy a smaller slice of the pie if they desire. This is unlike a house where I (typically) can't buy just a fraction of it.

      So the only thing I can say for sure, is that we cannot be sure whether or not the rapid rise in BTC value is a bubble which will burst or not.

      That's a common misconception. The divisibility of the asset just means that a trader is priced out of the market gradually instead of instantly.

      Go to http://bitcointicker.co/ and open the all time view. Notice how the current skyscraper has been built on tiny volumes compared to historical trading. What do you think is going to happen when someone decides to sell off something like 100k BTC?

    25. Re:Who wants to prick the bubble? by organgtool · · Score: 1

      From what I can tell, essentially a bubble burst occurs when prices have become so inflated that people are priced out of buying in

      Bubbles burst when people finally realize that the constant and dramatic increases in the price of the commodity can't last forever and may be already past their peak. If no one can afford to buy a commodity, then the demand has to fall and the price follows the demand which is an extreme form of correction. However, in some cases all it takes for a crash are a few influential people to realize that the commodity is overpriced, sell their inventory, and the rest of the market starts to follow which keeps driving the price down. Since many actions in the market are overreactions, commodities can likely go from way overvalued to way undervalued before stabilizing somewhere in the center. But the situation you describe is definitely not the sole cause of crashes, just one extreme form of crashes.

    26. Re:Who wants to prick the bubble? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Good thing one Bitcoin can be broken into one hundred-million Satoshis!

    27. Re:Who wants to prick the bubble? by myowntrueself · · Score: 1

      ..convert btc back into usd...

      now that would not be clever. a savings vehicle that will be worth 5x more in a year versus one that will be worth 5% less in a year...

      LOL

      One of these you can buy a house with. The other you can speculate on future pretend value.

      --
      In the free world the media isn't government run; the government is media run.
    28. Re:Who wants to prick the bubble? by countach · · Score: 1

      With the rising difficulty, you can't make money now without it being near to $1000. If it was much less, people would stop mining it.

  3. dammit... by gabereiser · · Score: 5, Funny

    why didn't I buy 1,000 bitcoins when they were $50 a few years ago!!!

    1. Re:dammit... by Ralph+Wiggam · · Score: 1

      You're joking, right?

    2. Re:dammit... by MickyTheIdiot · · Score: 1, Informative

      They were only $90 about six weeks ago.

    3. Re:dammit... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      $90 Where? Mtgox has been over $100 for longer than that.

    4. Re:dammit... by TubeSteak · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Massive currency volatility makes long term business planning impossible.
      Unless bitcoin settles down, it'll never become a viable mainstream alternative.

      --
      [Fuck Beta]
      o0t!
    5. Re:dammit... by brit74 · · Score: 5, Informative

      They were at $90 five months ago. (Not sure why you're modded as "informative" when you're inaccurate.) https://coinbase.com/charts

    6. Re:dammit... by killkillkill · · Score: 2

      Partly true. With companies like Bitpay the volatility is moot on one end of the market. The consumer still deals with it, but over the long term that has only proved a beneficial store of value... so far. Viability and going mainstream are the cure to the volatility. I don't think it's a chicken/egg thing. Rather, volatility and adoption will improve incrementally together.

    7. Re:dammit... by Bacon+Bits · · Score: 1

      There's only there's only 12 million of them in existence. Even at US$1000 per bitcoin, that's not enough value to be mainstream.

      --
      The road to tyranny has always been paved with claims of necessity.
    8. Re:dammit... by iluvcapra · · Score: 1

      Massive currency volatility makes long term business planning impossible.

      What makes business impossible is having only one mainstream exchange, and that one exchange constantly changing, canceling and amending its withdrawal policies and methods.

      --
      Don't blame me, I voted for Baltar.
    9. Re:dammit... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How long does it take to send a few packets on secure round-trips between you, an exchange, and a vendor? A couple seconds?

      Bitcoin needs to be nonvolatile on that time scale.

    10. Re:dammit... by iluvcapra · · Score: 1

      Even at US$1000 per bitcoin, that's not enough value to be mainstream.

      If you tell someone that they can buy a car for 10 BTC, that price quote has to remain relatively stable, for at least a day, otherwise you're either going to either have to constantly re-quote. On the back end, if you tell someone you'll host their website for 0.2 BTC a year, any variation in BTC price could be cataclysmic, if you're paying your suppliers and yourself in dollars.

      This can be avoided if you just quote prices in dollars and merely offer BTCs as a conduit of exchange, with prices constantly re-quoted. But this just makes BTCs shadow-dollars and defeats the whole ideological purpose of having a "decentralized currency" in the first place. In order for BTCs to be a currency-like, people have to be able to save them, at least short term, and people won't save them unless prices have to be pegged to them. If prices are pegged to dollars, they'll just convert BTCs to dollars, because it'll be more reliable and there's no risk of losing their savings in a future exchange.

      --
      Don't blame me, I voted for Baltar.
    11. Re:dammit... by cusco · · Score: 1

      Been through this with Peruvian Intis, Ecuadorian Sucres, and Bolivian Pesos. Homes and cars in all three countries are bought and sold with dollars, rice and shoes are bought with local currency (although Ecuador has officially changed to USD, they have had to create their own coins for fractional-dollar exchanges).

      --
      "Think about how stupid the average person is. Now, realise that half of them are dumber than that." - George Carlin
    12. Re:dammit... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Bitcoins are now a collectors item. Who in their right mind would buy something with bitcoins? Wouldn't you just hang on to them and sell them for real money? Bitcoins will be horded and only sold for money. The people who use bitcoins as currency are short sighted.

    13. Re:dammit... by master_kaos · · Score: 1

      Well, why not buy them at $1000, when they will be $1800 next week? Because it is a huge gamble...
      What has actually changed that caused the massive inflation this past month?

    14. Re:dammit... by DanielRavenNest · · Score: 2

      Nope, around 2010 you could buy 1000 BTC for about $50, or $0.05 each. That's only a few years ago.

    15. Re:dammit... by DanielRavenNest · · Score: 1

      If you are referring to Mt.Gox, they aren't the leading exchange any more. BTC China is now the largest, and three others, including Mt.Gox are about even with 20% each. In the US we have Coinbase, who is a "payment processor". They accept bitcoin on behalf of merchants, who get dollars deposited to their account daily. On the other side, Coinbase sells those bitcoins to individuals at market rates. Coinbase isn't an exchange, they sell their coins to you directly. For merchants they remove the currency rate fluctuations and accounting for multiple currencies, since merchants only get dollars, they never touch the bitcoins.

    16. Re:dammit... by DanielRavenNest · · Score: 1

      Demand from China has skyrocketed. Since there are not many consumer places to spend bitcoins in China yet, the demand is some combination of:

      * People using it as a savings vehicle
      * Businesses using it to get around currency controls
      * Corrupt Party officials and other newly wealthy moving funds out of the country.

    17. Re:dammit... by Ralph+Wiggam · · Score: 1

      Oh. I thought you meant $50 per bitcoin.

    18. Re:dammit... by michelcolman · · Score: 1

      There are quite a few other exchanges now, not just MtGox: BitStamp, btce, bitfinex, localbitcoins, kraken,...

      Especially BitStamp is becoming quite popular.

    19. Re:dammit... by michelcolman · · Score: 1

      The US senate hearing treating it as a real currency? One of the big fears has always been that it would be declared illegal, but quite the opposite seems to be happening. They actually seem to be embracing it.

    20. Re:dammit... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Right now there's effectively no way to turn your bitcoins into anything else. (Just try to get actual money out of MTGOX.) That means it's just one big circlejerk and the price basically means nothing.

    21. Re:dammit... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > constantly changing, canceling and amending its withdrawal policies

      I don't think that is talked about enough. I have almost 10 BTC in that toy trading site that I can't get out of it. They did a very poor job when they were only trading children's toys, but now that adults are using the site, all of those major problems and downtime are no longer acceptable. I should have known better than to transfer money to something made by immature adults for use by children.

    22. Re:dammit... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I wouldn't sell a car for dollars, that's for sure.

    23. Re:dammit... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, Bitcoin most certainly doesn't have that issue anymore.

      There are now 4 exchanges handling substantial volume in Bitcoin land.

      Check out http://bitcoinity.org/markets/list?currency=ALL&span=3d

    24. Re:dammit... by aminorex · · Score: 1

      untrue. coinbase.com. bitstamp.net, literally hundreds of services will convert your bitcoin to dollars, if you are stupid enough to sell them.

      --
      -I like my women like I like my tea: green-
    25. Re:dammit... by iserlohn · · Score: 1

      And speculation. Chinese property markets (such as Beijing and Shanghai) has seen multiple booms and busts in the past decade due to rampant speculation.

    26. Re:dammit... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Perhaps because you use a different exchange than he does. Typically bitstamp and btc-e have a lower price.

    27. Re:dammit... by Derec01 · · Score: 1

      While true, Mtgox is a bad example, as BTC/USD trades at a premium because USD is risky to hold there and not easily withdrawn due to US investigations.

    28. Re:dammit... by alexander_686 · · Score: 1

      No. Somebody has to hold the BitCoin long term. Think of the game Hot Potatoes. So it takes a second for you and another party to transact. O.k. Now the other party has BitCoins. What are they going to do with it? Maybe they could contract out with a 3rd party – except now they are holding the BitCoins long term.

      At the end of any one transaction somebody is going to be holding BitCoins that they purchased at a high value which could suddenly evaporate in a volatile market. If BitCoins are money then one of the characteristics of money is that it is a store of value. Volatile items are not stores of value.

    29. Re:dammit... by myowntrueself · · Score: 1

      Nope, around 2010 you could buy 1000 BTC for about $50, or $0.05 each. That's only a few years ago.

      and now if you tried to sell those 1000 BTC for $1000 each good luck finding someone to buy them...

      --
      In the free world the media isn't government run; the government is media run.
    30. Re:dammit... by AchilleTalon · · Score: 1

      Absolutely right! The risks associated with the volatility of the currency overwhelm the advantages of it by far. Only speculators and investors may be interested in such a currency. This experience is doomed to fail in its current setup. Who would like to be paid in Bitcoins? The first thing you will do with your paycheck in BTC is to exchange it in another more stable currency to avoid the risk of not being able to pay your mortage at the end of the month.

      --
      Achille Talon
      Hop!
  4. Buy buy buy! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

    It'll keep climbing forever. Trust me.

    1. Re:Buy buy buy! by aminorex · · Score: 1

      only until it reaches fair value. then it will, hopefully, stop climbing.

      --
      -I like my women like I like my tea: green-
  5. If central bankers are like rats... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    ... then Bitcoin is like rat poison.

    Seriously, its your protection against money printing.

    1. Re:If central bankers are like rats... by Stargoat · · Score: 1

      I'll stick with gold. Thanks.

      --
      Hoist Number One and Number Six.
    2. Re:If central bankers are like rats... by rhodium_mir · · Score: 1, Informative

      Going down with the ship, huh?

      Gold Price Performance USD
      Today -0.58 -0.05%
      30 Days -110.80 -8.19%
      6 Months -145.20 -10.47%
      1 Year -508.20 -29.05%

      --
      You can't spell "oneiromancy" without "roman".
    3. Re:If central bankers are like rats... by TheTrueScotsman · · Score: 1

      Bitcoin will soon be on a parity with gold (per ounce) and is much cheaper and easier to secure and transport.

    4. Re:If central bankers are like rats... by brokenin2 · · Score: 1

      No no.. thank *you*.... Save the bitcoins for me...

    5. Re:If central bankers are like rats... by Megane · · Score: 3, Informative

      It is apparently also much easier to steal, or have you not noticed all the buttcoin articles on /. over the past few months where there is a major heist or a trading company vanishes with millions of dollars worth? I even saw something today where someone threw out his computer with a bitcoin wallet on the hard drive (not backed up, of course) and now he wants it back (duh).

      --
      #naabhaprzrag, #sverubfr-000, #agi-fcbafberq, negvpyr[pynff*=' negvpyr-ary-'] { qvfcynl: abar !vzcbegnag; }
    6. Re:If central bankers are like rats... by Shakrai · · Score: 1

      Lead and nitrocellulose will be worth far more than gold if the economy ever actually gets to the point that gold is needed for day to day transactions....

      Obligatory Dilbert reference.

      --
      I want peace on earth and goodwill toward man.
      We are the United States Government! We don't do that sort of thing.
    7. Re:If central bankers are like rats... by cusco · · Score: 1

      I'll stay with property, they're not making any more of that (except in Hawai'i).

      --
      "Think about how stupid the average person is. Now, realise that half of them are dumber than that." - George Carlin
    8. Re:If central bankers are like rats... by olsmeister · · Score: 1

      Not saying I necessarily agree, but you may want to read this.

    9. Re:If central bankers are like rats... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You are stating the same argument, using the same flawed logic that all the Tesla haters use. Real money gets stolen all the time as well. Corporations vanish and take thier millions as well. Your strawman is a straw boy and it is weak. Try again with more feeling this time.

    10. Re:If central bankers are like rats... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Thanks but I bought when it was $350.

    11. Re:If central bankers are like rats... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      My protection against money printing is purchasing durable assets, stocks or inflation indexed securities, like TIPS

  6. Big ass hole by Lord+Apathy · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Man, when this cash cow comes crashing to the ground its going to make a huge ass hole. Yes, it will come crashing down and I think it will be soon.

    Bitcoins are a nice idea but people are not treating them like money. They are treating them like stocks and commodities. They are not commodities, they are coins and coins are supposed to be spent.

    So when the fall does happen, and it will, then maybe we can start using them for what they are supposed to be used for. An not hording them like bunch of fucking dragons.

    --

    Supporting World Peace Through Nuclear Pacification

    1. Re:Big ass hole by MickyTheIdiot · · Score: 1

      What is your ulterior motive behind posts like this? These aren't the clueless idiot comments about bitcoin that show up on financial websites... these type of trolls are done for a reason. Are people like you actively shorting bitcoins (by some trick I don't know about) or do you have too much invested in the current system that has the U.S. and world by the balls?

    2. Re:Big ass hole by lxs · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Sour grapes. He didn't get any when they were cheap and now he missed the boat.

    3. Re:Big ass hole by Chris+Pimlott · · Score: 1

      For better or for use, people have been trading foreign currencies for ages.

    4. Re:Big ass hole by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ah, but what if you have one of the "first" bitcoins? Isn't it collectible? What if you have one of the last ones created by a normal computer and not an ASIC? Isn't that a collector's item? How about a coin created in 2010? If not, they aren't coins. They are units of nothing actually. I guess you can call them units of the folly of increasing entropy for the reason of generating a number. Whoop-de-do.

    5. Re:Big ass hole by rasmusbr · · Score: 1

      Man, when this cash cow comes crashing to the ground its going to make a huge ass hole. Yes, it will come crashing down and I think it will be soon.

      Bitcoins are a nice idea but people are not treating them like money. They are treating them like stocks and commodities. They are not commodities, they are coins and coins are supposed to be spent.

      So when the fall does happen, and it will, then maybe we can start using them for what they are supposed to be used for. An not hording them like bunch of fucking dragons.

      If people treat Bitcoin like a commodity and do so with success then Bitcoin is a commodity and not a currency.

      The deflationary nature of Bitcoin and the fact that transactions can't be reversed pretty much guarantees that it will never be used as a currency, but those two features could be strengths if you think of Bitcoin as virtual gold.

    6. Re:Big ass hole by mrchaotica · · Score: 1

      Bitcoins are a nice idea but people are not treating them like money. They are treating them like stocks and commodities. They are not commodities, they are coins and coins are supposed to be spent.

      That's what happens when your currency is inherently deflationary.

      --

      "[Regarding the 'cloud,'] ownership was what made America different than Russia." -- Woz

    7. Re:Big ass hole by Sarten-X · · Score: 1, Informative

      One simple trick to short Bitcoins:

      1) Contractually agree to sell $amount Bitcoins on $date for $price near the current price.
      2) When the going rate drops, actually buy $amount and hold them.
      3) Wait until $date, then fulfill the contract, and sell them at the agreed $price.

      You know, like shorting any other stock or commodity. The only difference is that without as large market as most stocks and commodities have, finding a schmuck to take the other side of the contract isn't so easy.

      --
      You do not have a moral or legal right to do absolutely anything you want.
    8. Re:Big ass hole by amicusNYCL · · Score: 2

      So when the fall does happen, and it will, then maybe we can start using them for what they are supposed to be used for.

      People already are. In fact, they are both a currency and an investment. I used them like a currency. When I wanted to buy something with BTC I converted my USD, bought it, and that was it. Value fluctuations don't affect those kinds of transactions as long as you don't sit on the BTC for several days after converting (although now I wish I had - I paid $140 for them). On the other hand, if you want to treat it like an investment then you can do that too.

      If you want to use them as cash though, considering how volatile they appear to be, it would not be a good idea to buy a large stockpile and then spend them here and there. Buy exactly how many you need, do your transaction, and the volatility won't affect you as long as all of that happens fast enough.

      --
      "Our two-party system is like a bowl of shit looking at itself in a mirror." - Lewis Black
    9. Re:Big ass hole by Lord+Apathy · · Score: 4, Insightful

      There is no ulterior motive or even sour grapes, just pure speculation at this point. Even most bitcoin "investers" believe that bitcoins are over priced. An they would be correct.

      People are hording them like stocks hoping the value will keep going up and up. While bitcoins maybe be a virtual currency and not subject to the whims and regulations of any government they are still affected by the laws of economics, human greed, and insecurity.

      The higher the value that bitcoins go the more people will start to get nervous about it and start wanting to sell. When this happens more people will sell and then the market will become over saturated with sellers and not enough buyers. Then the value will crash, free fall is a better word for it.

      An since bitcoins are not regulated by any government there are no safety nets in place to stop a bitcoin freefall. I don't even know if it can be stopped because of the way they work.

      I'm not just pulling these theories out of my ass ether. There is precedent for just such a collapse. The stock market collapse in the late '20 and early '30 that brought on the great depression. The things that caused it are currently all in place to cause a "great bitcoin depression."

      Now I'm not saying that a bitcoin free fall will cause any kind of global economic collapse. Bitcoins are not that popular or even well known to cause that. In reality a bitcoin collapse will probably be barely noticed by most people.

      --

      Supporting World Peace Through Nuclear Pacification

    10. Re:Big ass hole by Kjella · · Score: 1

      Trolling, I guess you can't expect more from someone rigging the game to create money from thin air using ASICs. Bitcoin exists somewhere between the dotcom bubble and a pyramid scheme. You know what all those people buying Bitcoin at $1000 think? That they can soon sell it again for $10k, just like those who bought it at $100 thought they could sell it for $1000. None of the people I've heard of with Bitcoins spend it or plan to spend it, they're all speculating. You on the other hand is more like the casino, no matter who wins at the table you end up with a nice profit. But a lot of people are going to lose a lot of money when the bubble pops.

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
    11. Re:Big ass hole by Bacon+Bits · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Bitcoins are a nice idea but people are not treating them like money. They are treating them like stocks and commodities. They are not commodities, they are coins and coins are supposed to be spent.

      Money is a commodity. Money markets and foreign exchange markets prove that it is.

      --
      The road to tyranny has always been paved with claims of necessity.
    12. Re:Big ass hole by killkillkill · · Score: 0

      pyramid scheme

      AC, you keep using those words. I don't think they mean what you think they mean.

    13. Re:Big ass hole by cazzazullu · · Score: 1

      You just reinvented futures, and how to earn money with them. See http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Futures_contract

      The contract you are mentioning is like a futures contract. Futures contracts can be traded just like any other security on exchanges. AFAIK, there are no futures contracts in bitcoin, yet...

      --
      int main(void) {while(1) fork(); return 0;}
    14. Re:Big ass hole by killkillkill · · Score: 1

      Bitcoins are a nice idea but people are not treating them like money. They are treating them like stocks and commodities.

      I don't get this criticism. Not that there are precise definitions to begin with, but there certainly isn't anything in the definition of "commodity" or "currency" that excludes something from being the other. Gold is a good example that has been used as both. There are markets that trade foreign currencies as stocks and commodities, that does not negate the US Dollar, Euro, or Chinese Yuan as currencies. The 12,000 business that use Bitpay's merchant services and the users of those businesses are treating bitcoin as a currency.

    15. Re:Big ass hole by jythie · · Score: 1

      And for the most part, it will probably be the professional currency traders who know economics and psychology like the back of their hands, as opposed to the economic philosophers who read a few blogs based off century old models and now believe they understand macroeconomics.

    16. Re:Big ass hole by Sarten-X · · Score: 1

      Yes... that's kind of the point. I described a bog-standard forward contract, the simplest kind of short. Despite the lack of exchanges, there is no reason a regular old contract cannot be made, but like I said, it's more difficult to find someone to take your wager.

      --
      You do not have a moral or legal right to do absolutely anything you want.
    17. Re:Big ass hole by fatphil · · Score: 1

      > An since bitcoins are not regulated by any government there are no safety nets in place to stop a bitcoin freefall. I don't even know if it can be stopped because of the way they work.

      There is, and that's market forces. There is an eager crowd of 2nd-wave speculators desperately waiting for the crash, bitter that they missed the start of the first boom. Sure, it'll plummet, but the brakes will be slammed on pretty soon, I'm sure, as the greed kicks in. And then a slightly less explosive 2nd exponential curve upwards will begin. It might be fun to create a sweepstake for guessing the bottoming out price before it rallies. I genuinely wouldn't be surprised if it was 3 digits. Schadenfreude says I'd like to see it get a lot lower, just so that there are more people teetering on the ledges outside their windows. (You can probably tell I don't have any of these "I burnt electricity needlessly for greed" tokens.)

      --
      Also FatPhil on SoylentNews, id 863
    18. Re:Big ass hole by Idimmu+Xul · · Score: 1

      shopify rolled out bitcoin as a payment method to 75,000 online stores today via bitpay

      http://www.shopify.com/blog/10446157-shopify-merchants-can-now-accept-bitcoin

      whilst thats not amazon, it's a start, who knows what the landscape will look like in 12 months!

      --
      The problem with slashdot is that most of its users were bullied and stuffed into lockers as kids!
    19. Re:Big ass hole by cusco · · Score: 3, Insightful

      This is reminding me more and more of the tulip bulb bubble all the time.

      --
      "Think about how stupid the average person is. Now, realise that half of them are dumber than that." - George Carlin
    20. Re:Big ass hole by ADRA · · Score: 1

      Motive behind the post? Seriously? Someone's unhappy that people are making money (well, at least PAPER money until its sold), and they may like me hate the fact that people -could- make money for doing essentially having big balls and doing nothing valuable to society.. darn. What's to hate about that? When the New York cow boys flushed your retirement plan down the drain, were you pissed off or not? I think there's good reason to be bearish in abscess greed.

      --
      Bye!
    21. Re:Big ass hole by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You know what really grinds my gears?

      That everything you've said concerning Bitcoin should be said of Dollars, too.

    22. Re:Big ass hole by Lord+Apathy · · Score: 2

      That everything you've said concerning Bitcoin should be said of Dollars, too.

      Not really. Dollars have one thing behind them that bitcoins do not. The force of law and government backing. People often over look these words on money.

      this note is legal tender for all debts, public and private

      Do you know what those words mean? It means if I have a debit and I offer you a US Dollar in the US you have to take it as payment. Bitcoins don't have that protection. That fact is one of the key things bitcoin people over look. The fact that the dollar is legal tender where bitcoins are not.

      --

      Supporting World Peace Through Nuclear Pacification

    23. Re:Big ass hole by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well maybe, just maybe, if he wasn't the Lord of Apathy, he might have cared enough to invest from the start.

    24. Re:Big ass hole by ultranova · · Score: 1

      The higher the value that bitcoins go the more people will start to get nervous about it and start wanting to sell. When this happens more people will sell and then the market will become over saturated with sellers and not enough buyers. Then the value will crash, free fall is a better word for it.

      And then it runs out of nervous people who have bet more than they can afford to lose, and people who took a position without understanding what they're betting on. The sells deluge stops, freefall stops and price begins to go up again. Just like has already happened several times.

      I'm not just pulling these theories out of my ass ether. There is precedent for just such a collapse. The stock market collapse in the late '20 and early '30 that brought on the great depression. The things that caused it are currently all in place to cause a "great bitcoin depression."

      Yes, and after the value adjustment was done the stock market began to go up again. After all, stocks had value derived from their utility besides that derived from speculation; even after the speculation was done that remained. It's the same with Bitcoin: speculation causes price to fluctuate, but it fluctuates around the real underlaying value, derived from the goods and services you can buy with Bitcoin. And it's going up at a geometric rate, because there's a strong network effect and Bitcoin economy is still much smaller than the surrounding economy, so there's room for growth.

      Now I'm not saying that a bitcoin free fall will cause any kind of global economic collapse. Bitcoins are not that popular or even well known to cause that.

      Price adjustments cause economic collapses in exactly one circumstance: people have taken debts against their predicted future earnings. Both the Great Depression and the current financial crisis can be ultimately traced back to betting on credit. So that's the actual important factor here: how much debt relies on Bitcoin rising or falling? Probably not much, since the derivatives market is still undeveloped and the banks are unlikely to fund anyone investing in their direct competitor.

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

  7. Good to be a Winklevii by hedley · · Score: 1

    They have 1% of the supply per wikipedia in 4/2013.

    A good speculation for them with their FB winnings I would say.

    1. Re:Good to be a Winklevii by oodaloop · · Score: 1

      What's a Winklevii? It's fucked up Latin like this that keeps me up at night.

      --
      Tic-Tac-Toe, Global Thermonuclear War, and relationships all have the same winning move.
    2. Re:Good to be a Winklevii by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It makes guys like Hedley feel "educated" and "superior".

      You know, "boxen", "virii", and so on...

      Just another help desk neckbeard...

    3. Re:Good to be a Winklevii by hedley · · Score: 1

      Winklevoss twins. http://www.cnbc.com/id/101190181

      I you believe their comments here, @120$ in the article, they feel it has 100x to go... that would be... $12000? Still a ways to go yet if their
      prediction is right.

    4. Re:Good to be a Winklevii by oodaloop · · Score: 2

      I know who the Winklevoss twins are, and that they are referred to in the plural as the Winklevi, a funny play on Latin male second declension (alumnus, alumni). The GP used Winklevii (with two i's at the end for some reason) in the singular. That's the fucked up Latin part.

      --
      Tic-Tac-Toe, Global Thermonuclear War, and relationships all have the same winning move.
  8. 500% ROI in a month by clorkster · · Score: 1

    Not too shabby. It's most interesting to watch people I know who started kicking themselves for not getting into bitcoins when it had skyrocketed to $600. Kudos to all those who got in sub $200.

    1. Re:500% ROI in a month by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I got in at $0.50. Unfortunately, it was hard to buy them from Canada back then and I was a poor student so I only bought $25 worth.

      Still, I've made enough to pay off all of my student debts and then some.

    2. Re:500% ROI in a month by tompaulco · · Score: 1

      I mined mine when they were trading at about $8. Then mining got too expensive for my rig because of the difficulty, and I just sat on my bitcoins and didn't think of them for awhile.
      Of course, things were different back then. People were saying exactly the same things about the demise of bitcoin back then, but instead of saying it is not worth $1000, they were saying it wasn't worth $8.

      --
      If you are not allowed to question your government then the government has answered your question.
  9. Why do they call it a currency? by bob_super · · Score: 4, Insightful

    This is just a hyper-volatile investment which can be bartered against goods from people who are either gamblers or clueless.

    All currencies are volatile to some extent, but this thing has no fundamentals to back it up.

    1. Re:Why do they call it a currency? by MickyTheIdiot · · Score: 5, Insightful

      same ol' shit every thread.

    2. Re:Why do they call it a currency? by bob_super · · Score: 2

      At least on the bitcoin dupes, they get to change the numbers.
      For /. these days, that's a lot of editing.

    3. Re:Why do they call it a currency? by jfengel · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I'm coming to the conclusion that there IS a fundamental basis for it: drugs, and other black-market items. They want an online currency, and there's a lot of demand for their product. Silk Road is shut down, but new ones will keep popping up. The demand is real, so even if you didn't have speculators there would be demand for the currency in which drugs are bought.

      The one thing I don't quite get, though, is that Bitcoin is too traceable for a proper black-market currency. It's famously and explicitly pseudonymous rather than anonymous. Seems to me that's very dangerous for the buyers and eventually for the sellers. I'd expect somebody to come up with a less traceable model. That would be the real crash to Bitcoin.

      And ironically, that would make demand for this currency even stronger and more stable. Which would, in turn, give more real-world markets an interest in accepting it. Right now, when somebody asks what the value of the dollar is, it's ultimately based in the taxes you pay for the services you receive as a citizen, even though that's very, very abstract. I don't see why it couldn't ultimately be "because a bunch of drug dealers are willing to accept it and trade it among each other": the demand for drugs is just as real a thing.

    4. Re:Why do they call it a currency? by amicusNYCL · · Score: 1

      This is just a hyper-volatile investment which can be bartered against goods from people who are either gamblers or clueless.

      The sellers can avoid the volatility by cashing out their BTC as soon as they are received. But when the value is going up like this, I wouldn't expect that to happen much. I'm sure there are plenty of people who cashed out enough to basically break even and are letting the rest ride for a little while.

      --
      "Our two-party system is like a bowl of shit looking at itself in a mirror." - Lewis Black
    5. Re:Why do they call it a currency? by DexterIsADog · · Score: 1

      And why would anyone listen to your opinion as a bitcoin booster, given that you have a financial stake in their hyperinflation?

    6. Re:Why do they call it a currency? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      The value of the dollar is based on economy and oil, nothing else.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    7. Re:Why do they call it a currency? by kokojie · · Score: 3, Interesting

      It is not traceable, unless you are just careless with it. Silk road itself was running a free mixer service, to make your coins untraceable.

    8. Re:Why do they call it a currency? by jythie · · Score: 1

      *nod* one real possibility is that BTC will fall out of favor as some other technology rises. All it really takes is one or two killer-markets like SilkRoad accepting it and some competitor could easily take over.

    9. Re:Why do they call it a currency? by LF11 · · Score: 1

      Actually, you are wrong. Bitcoin has several million dollars worth of silicon and steel backing it up, in the form of mining equipment that is largely worthless for any other purpose.

    10. Re:Why do they call it a currency? by Pinky's+Brain · · Score: 1

      Lots of broke gold miners with equipment rusting away too ... how does that back anything up?

    11. Re:Why do they call it a currency? by LF11 · · Score: 2

      Lots of rehypothecation in the gold market, too ... how exactly is gold better?

    12. Re:Why do they call it a currency? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's actually hyperdeflation you're talking about...

    13. Re:Why do they call it a currency? by m.dillon · · Score: 1

      Maybe several million dollars when purchased new, but pretty much all computing equipment depreciates to near worthlessness over a few years, not to mention the cost of power. So if you are trying to argue that bitcoin has something physical backing it then it kinda falls on its face.

      Nobody in their right mind can argue that Bitcoin is a usable currency. Currencies have to be relatively stable in the short-term. Bitcoin obviously isn't even remotely stable. Not only is it not stable, but it has no mechanisms at all to make it stable.

      It's the classic (and obvious) hording / tulip-mania mechanic and I think most investors know this, but greed still rules until the day the whole thing comes crashing down around people's ears.

      -Matt

    14. Re:Why do they call it a currency? by LF11 · · Score: 1

      You are right, of course, but I looked at the potential use cases for bitcoin and I do not personally think it will really reach overpriced-tulip-mania price until it passes seven figures.

      I believe we are in a bubble at this point in time because people are coming in from the mainstream coverage over the past week. I was hoping we would be well into 2014 before hitting four figures. There will be a correction, as there seems to be on a 8-month cycle, but the underlying idea seems to be driving a much longer trend that I do not see collapsing for a decade or more.

    15. Re:Why do they call it a currency? by LordLimecat · · Score: 1

      Because its true. Back in previous threads the most we could come up with is that its volatility was something like 100% in either direction in 6 months. Now we're at ~1000% volatility in 6 weeks, which is only "like currency" if you live in Zimbabwe.

    16. Re:Why do they call it a currency? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ummm... yeah... no.

      HyperInflation is what the US dollar will do one day. Hyperdeflation is what bitcoin is doing.

      Extreme difference.

    17. Re:Why do they call it a currency? by pantaril · · Score: 1

      All currencies are volatile to some extent, but this thing has no fundamentals to back it up.

      Bitcoin has sound mathematical and cryptographic backing. I suggest you read the original bitcoin whitepaper by Satoshi Nakamoto if you want to learn about bitcoin fundamentals.

    18. Re:Why do they call it a currency? by pantaril · · Score: 1

      Edit: correct link: http://bitcoin.org/bitcoin.pdf

    19. Re:Why do they call it a currency? by bob_super · · Score: 1

      I missed the part where there is a sizeable population with pitchforks to convince the people in power to tame the currency's volatility.

    20. Re:Why do they call it a currency? by m.dillon · · Score: 1

      You've hit upon the basic mechanism but you haven't taken the next logical step. The issue is what happens when the pricing goes exponential (as it has, twice now).

      What happens is that people who 'break even' almost universally go back into the market with more than just the house's money. Because the value is appreciating non-linearly, going back into the market almost always means spending far more money buying back in than you ever got out before that point.

      For example, people who cashed out when it was hitting $250 a few months ago are now kicking themselves. In order to buy back in, they have to spend every last drop of their previous profits plus more to obtain a 'reasonable' speculative position at the new price.

      This also points to how people's view of money shifts as the market rises, particularly people who have never had a lot of money or have never handled large sums or volumes of money (via their jobs or otherwise)... basically the definition of a 'sucker'. As long as they think they are making money, it becomes like a game of monopoly. In the first round someone who made a few $hundred thought they did really well. In the second round those few $hundred feel like chump change... it takes a few $thousand to really feel that you did well.

      Well, it doesn't stop there. It keeps scaling up. In the third round a person might feel that a few $tens-of-thousands is necessary to do well and that a measily few $thousand is chump change. It keeps scaling up until a person either runs out of cash or runs out of borrowing capacity... the mindset continues to scale all the way until the whole thing comes crashing down.

      That's why you wind up with people bankrupted instead of people being happy that they had fun playing with the house's money after the first round or two.

      There are certainly a few smart people in the Bitcoin market who know how to extract actual profit from the trading. It mostly comes down to understanding the scaling effect and NOT being tricked by it (not scaling up the investment in each successive round by more than 1/2 the profit from the previous round). There are numerous well-known methodologies and I'm certain a small but significant percentage of Bitcoin traders are doing precisely that.

      People doing the above scheme are the smart ones. They are draining hard money (real dollars) from the exchange against everyone else who is continuing to lever up. In the end, real money has been removed from the exchange while the remaining participants are basically just playing musical chairs with each other. When the eventual panic occurs there is simply not enough cash left with the exchange participants to cover everyone and the value crashes into oblivion.

      This is how it will play out. It is ALWAYS how it plays out. Bitcoin is not going to be an exception.

      -Matt

  10. What are they being used for? by WPIDalamar · · Score: 2

    Presumably, people want Bitcoins for some reason, otherwise the price wouldn't go up. I can think of 2 reasons that could be driving it...

    1. Pure speculation in a rising market and wanting to make money by investing.

    2. BTC actively being used for something so they have actual value.

    I've seen some minor gambling sites. And a handful of sites that accept them for services/products. There was silk road, but that's gone. With the bust, I have to imagine that people are skittish about the new silk road, so I have to believe those volumes are way down. But all that just doesn't seem to be keeping up with the extreme increase in value. Make me really think #1 is the more likely scenario.

    What am I missing? How are these being used?

    Side note... I've got 0.34 BTC from when I played around with it a year ago. Wasn't worth cashing in then and forgot about them. Glad I didn't lose the keys.

    1. Re:What are they being used for? by sqorbit · · Score: 2

      There's a (small) growing number of adult websites taking bitcoin now. We might possibly be witnessing the power of porn again.

      --
      Sent from my TARDIS
    2. Re:What are they being used for? by MickyTheIdiot · · Score: 1

      There are quite a number of sites to buy computer equipment and bitcoin miners themselves. There was also a good auction site called bitmit.com that recently shut down and was quite good.

      Plus gyft.com allows gift cards to be bought via bitcoin which is a good way to directly buy goods from big retailers that don't accept them directly.

      So there is more than porn available. I will agree basically with the gf post that there is still not enough accepting sites out there, but with the current worth of bitcoin with it's heightening profile that could change.

    3. Re:What are they being used for? by ledow · · Score: 2

      Humble Bundles.

      I put £20 into Bitcoin a few months ago. Bought a shed load of Humble Bundles for myself and friends. It's now worth £100.

      That's not a bad thing at all, though it's not a mass market thing it proves that it can just be "used" like Paypal or any other type of money exchange.

    4. Re:What are they being used for? by h4rr4r · · Score: 1

      3. someone is doing this on purpose.

      The volume of BTC traded is low enough that many investment firms could just that.

    5. Re:What are they being used for? by DroolTwist · · Score: 1

      According to a recent article, SR 2.0 is online, with plans for SR 3.0 to be activated within 15 minutes of 2.0 being shut down (if it gets shut down). There are a lot of other places on the darknet where you can get the same products/services as SR, btw.

      Also, pseudo-anonymous currency isn't always used by bad people for bad things. Sometimes, people just don't want to be tracked doing legal activities. Privacy, and all that.

    6. Re:What are they being used for? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I use mine to buy gift cards at gyft.com. They have a point system whereby you get 3% back if you use bitcoin. You also avoid any fees in exchanging to USD. It's not exactly revolutionizing the world, but I expect to see more things like it popping up here and there.

      More generally, btc allows businesses to avoid credit card transaction fees. That is one attraction, especially for situations involving small transactions and low profit margins.

    7. Re:What are they being used for? by jythie · · Score: 1

      Historically there have been cases of individual investors who were able to manipulate the currencies of small countries sufficient to actually crash their economy AND government. Given BTC's small scale, one or two big investors could easily pull the strings and bleed small investors dry.

    8. Re:What are they being used for? by DanielRavenNest · · Score: 1

      > What am I missing? How are these being used?

      2. BTC actively being used for something so they have actual value.

      China now has by far the busiest bitcoin exchange. Since there are very few retail places to spend bitcoins in China, they are likely being used to get around currency controls or taxes. For all we know, corrupt Party officials are using them to get their excess bribes offshore.

    9. Re:What are they being used for? by Groghunter · · Score: 1

      cites or search terms for this? Sounds like fascinating reading.

    10. Re:What are they being used for? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What am I missing? How are these being used?

      It's because you probably don't read Chinese. They are taking to Bitcoin in a big way.

  11. Re:November, 2013: by CanHasDIY · · Score: 1

    Seriously, isn't it mainly being used to support criminal and terrorist activites? Aren't the rest of you, who aren't criminals and terrorists, just "Useful Idiots", unwittingly facilitating crime and terrorism?

    You realize the same argument has been used by proponents of abolishing cash, right? Oh, and the anti-oil types, although in their case they're actually correct.

    Sometimes being able to buy stuff without being fucking tracked is not only perfectly reasonable, it's a damn good idea.

    --
    An enigma, wrapped in a riddle, shrouded in bacon and cheese
  12. Where is all of this money coming from? by jandrese · · Score: 3, Interesting

    With the high profile shutdown of Silk Road the number of things you can buy with Bitcoin would be considerably less. While it's true that there are other services available, it seems strange to me that so much money is being dumped into the system now. Maybe someone is trying to buy up enough coins for a trip to space? Or maybe someone is laundering a crapload of money and is having trouble on the outbound side (converting the money back into real life currency) and is creating a backlog?

    Or it's an attack on the system itself, maybe someone figure out a way to race the market and make money?

    --

    I read the internet for the articles.
    1. Re:Where is all of this money coming from? by wbr1 · · Score: 1
      The interesting question to me is will one of the 'alt' coins break out if BC crashes. All the other coins values seem to follow BC. I currently mine litecoin for giggles. I have good GPUs and my energy costs are negligible, so I don't have to worry on that end.

      The other posters are correct though in that we need more places accepting BC. Namecheap is accepting BC, and if I make enough litecoins I will trade and apply it to my hosting bills.

      --
      Silence is a state of mime.
    2. Re:Where is all of this money coming from? by SinisterEVIL · · Score: 2

      If you use egift or gyft there are 10s of thousands of retailers you can use bitcoin with.

    3. Re:Where is all of this money coming from? by MickyTheIdiot · · Score: 1

      My current feeling is that bitcoin isn't the final form for cryptocoin. I think it will morph. The criticism that bitcoin hashing doesn't really DO anything is valid, but I think mining could lead to other cryptocoin systems where the cycles are put to good use. We've already got one that does prime number factoring. I could see a BOINC-like structure where the cycles are doing actual problem solving of some sort.

    4. Re:Where is all of this money coming from? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      The criticism that bitcoin hashing doesn't really DO anything is valid

      It's not.

      Mining gold doesn't (mostly) do anything, unless you count "being shinypretty on ladies' necks and fingers". Only ~10% is actually used in industry and medicine, ~70% is jewelry and the rest is piled in the vaults.

      Printing money also doesn't serve any purpose - wasting all that counterfeit-proof "paper" and ink using superexpensive printing presses etc, all for those little rectangles that aren't even useful as asswipes anymore, what with making them hydrophobic and all.

      Of course, that's only if you don't use that money as a token of value, then all the tricks they use to counter fakes are not a waste.

    5. Re:Where is all of this money coming from? by tompaulco · · Score: 1

      Are you serious? The Silk Road shutdown barely caused a blip in bitcoin, and it is not trading at almost ten times what it was when Silk Road was in business. Just what percentage of bitcoin do you think was actually being used on Silk Road? My guess it was miniscule. This is another one of those "It could be used for something illegal, so shut it down" agendas. For the same reason, we should stop using guns, knives, hammers, dollars, rocks, etc.

      --
      If you are not allowed to question your government then the government has answered your question.
    6. Re:Where is all of this money coming from? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      PeerCoin is based on Proof of Stake and addresses the hashing concerns. It also happens to be the cryptocurrency with a "unique" feature set and has the third highest market cap, behind BTC and LTC (with the latter is a 1:1 copy of the former).

      That being said, I would strongly advise against investing in PeerCoin because it’s just an imaginary currency that’s really worth nothing at all. And the guy who invented it probably holds 50% of it. Oh, and unless you're Kevin Rose. https://twitter.com/kevinrose/status/404772662783643649

    7. Re:Where is all of this money coming from? by CastrTroy · · Score: 1

      Maybe the US government is trying to buy all the Bitcoins. The number of Bitcoins limited to 21 million, if Wikipedia is correct. Even at $1000 each, it would only cost them 21 billion dollars to own them all, which is peanuts as far as the government is concerned. Once they own all the Bitcoins, or a significant portion of them, the currency starts to lose all value, because nobody can afford it, and they stop trading them. Instead of trying to outlaw Bitcoin, or control Bitcoin, which is impossible, they could basically just get rid of all it's value. Any new virtual currencies that start to gain traction could just be bought out before they have any value, assuming, like Bitcoin, they had a limited amount of currency.

      --

      Anthropic principle: We see the universe the way it is because if it were different we would not be here to see it.
    8. Re:Where is all of this money coming from? by guttentag · · Score: 1

      With the high profile shutdown of Silk Road the number of things you can buy with Bitcoin would be considerably less. While it's true that there are other services available, it seems strange to me that so much money is being dumped into the system now.

      The largest private university in Cyprus, the University of Nicosia, announced last week it will begin accepting BTC for tuition, books, room and board, and it will offer a master's-level course of study on digital currency to help people outside the Bitcoinsphere understand it. Those two developments would seem to inject a significant amount of legitimacy into Bitcoin.

      Although, if you invest in Bitcoin to attend UNic (official abbreviation of University of Nicosia) and the currency crashes, you may find that you've become a financial eunuch. It's all Greek to me.

    9. Re:Where is all of this money coming from? by Ralph+Wiggam · · Score: 2

      Where is all of this money coming from?

      China. In October, bitcoin got a lot of exposure in the mainstream Chinese press. BTC China rocketed past Mt. Gox to become the biggest exchange, and prices have gone up almost 1000% since.

    10. Re:Where is all of this money coming from? by philip.mather5551 · · Score: 1

      "Someone is laundering a crapload of money..."

      FTFY

      I do ATM and have previously worked for on-line gambling companies, the poker companies in particular fight off, with genuine vigour and intentions, the ceaseless problem of money laundering. Whoever the bad guy doing the laundering is they will happily write off 10-15% losses to innocent players (who may not even realise what's happening) or the odd occasion when an otherwise sure position fails to dump money from one party to another.

      Any Americans who are about to saddle up on to a high horse about on-line gambling can pull their boots off as well, on-line gambling just happened to be the most convenient channel for a while and once you've invested there's always some inertia to stay. You could achieve the same outcome by selling overpriced books on Amazon.

      That's why governments are suddenly interested in regulating and legitimising the crap out of Bitcoin, the smart people they employ know that if their polical overlords can't centrally regulate the Internet nor agree international tax law then they sure as hell can't stop legitimate bitcoin use. If there's legitimate use then I can promise you that the legal float of capital it generates is being leveraged to hell and back as cover for laundering.

    11. Re:Where is all of this money coming from? by davek · · Score: 2

      With the high profile shutdown of Silk Road the number of things you can buy with Bitcoin would be considerably less.

      Negative. The silk road was a tiny fraction of bitcoin volume. Do you realize you can buy gift cards with bitcoin, via the Gyft website? For example, CVS sells beer, Gyft sells CVS gift cards, therefore I can buy beer with bitcoins. Problem solved.

      Or it's an attack on the system itself, maybe someone figure out a way to race the market and make money?

      My guess is it's massive amounts of Chineese money flowing into bitcoin, as they slowly realize that the USD will soon be worth less than the paper it's printed on (or the electrons in bank computers that actually make them).

      --
      6th Street Radio @ddombrowsky
    12. Re:Where is all of this money coming from? by LF11 · · Score: 2

      How about this for a revolutionary idea:

      The price is going up because a lot of people are interested in it!

      This price spike is a natural result of the mainstream coverage bitcoin enjoyed last week. It takes a few days for newbies to learn how to move money into bitcoin. Many of them have figured it out, thus today's spike (and crash).

    13. Re:Where is all of this money coming from? by compro01 · · Score: 1

      Maybe the US government is trying to buy all the Bitcoins

      More like the Chinese government. There's a hell of a lot of trading volume coming out of that country lately.

      --
      upon the advice of my lawyer, i have no sig at this time
    14. Re:Where is all of this money coming from? by cusco · · Score: 1

      Doesn't need to be government, and that would end up being public before long anyway. I think the mega-banks are far more likely (assuming that's what is actually happening). They already launder over a trillion dollars just through the US banking system every year, 21 billion spread around half a dozen banks wouldn't be a big deal especially if it gave them another revenue source.

      --
      "Think about how stupid the average person is. Now, realise that half of them are dumber than that." - George Carlin
    15. Re:Where is all of this money coming from? by crtreece · · Score: 4, Funny

      I do ATM

      You might want to spell out the acronym in that context.

      --
      file: .signature not found
    16. Re:Where is all of this money coming from? by michelcolman · · Score: 1

      Bitcoins can be subdivided pretty much indefinitely. If the US government buys an enormous amount of bitcoins, the value will just go up and prices will be quoted in microBitcoins. People who own bitcoins today would like nothing better.

      Of course, if they then threw all of those coins back onto the market, that would be a different story.

    17. Re:Where is all of this money coming from? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're seriously overestimating the intelligence and motives of bureaucrats. They are interested in one thing - gaining more power for themselves, which is measured in money for their agency's budgets. Instead of quietly assimilating bitcoin, they scream and rant that it's used by terrorists and pedophiles so they can "combat this new menace to society".

    18. Re:Where is all of this money coming from? by Ralph+Wiggam · · Score: 1

      the USD will soon be worth less than the paper it's printed on

      Ron Paul has been saying that for 25 years...and he's been wrong for 25 years and counting.

      Maybe you should stop taking economics lessons from someone whose predictions are always wrong.

    19. Re:Where is all of this money coming from? by Time_Ngler · · Score: 1

      "Once they own all the Bitcoins, or a significant portion of them, the currency starts to lose all value, because nobody can afford it, and they stop trading them."

      Is that like the Yogi Berra quote, "Nobody goes there anymore. It's too crowded."?

      Seriously, if the government threw $21 Billion into buying bitcoin right now, you think the price would go down? And since bitcoins can be infinitesimally split, whats to stop people from trading in partial bitcoins. Why do people trade in single bitcoins today but not 0.1 bitcoins tomorrow?

      Besides, how would they justify it? What politician would rally behind something like this?

    20. Re:Where is all of this money coming from? by grouchomarxist · · Score: 1

      Adafruit is now accepting bitcoin. I think they're crazy.

    21. Re:Where is all of this money coming from? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > Maybe you should stop taking economics lessons from someone whose predictions are always wrong.

      Good advice. Can you recommend an economist whose predictions are always right?

    22. Re:Where is all of this money coming from? by davek · · Score: 1

      > Maybe you should stop taking economics lessons from someone whose predictions are always wrong.

      Good advice. Can you recommend an economist whose predictions are always right?

      Who's Ron Paul?

      --
      6th Street Radio @ddombrowsky
  13. Anyone want tulips? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    .Seems like March 1637 all over again.

    1. Re:Anyone want tulips? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      .Seems like March 1637 all over again.

      At least you got a bulb back then ....

      Buyers should read about The Greater Fool Theory

    2. Re:Anyone want tulips? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not necessarily, because at some point they started trading futures, so you never took delivery of anything.

    3. Re:Anyone want tulips? by TeknoHog · · Score: 1

      Yes! I remember how convenient tulips were for instant, global, pseudonymous payments.

      --
      Escher was the first MC and Giger invented the HR department.
    4. Re:Anyone want tulips? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're right, the weather was miserable then too.

  14. Re:November, 2013: by MickyTheIdiot · · Score: 1

    The USD is used for more criminal activity in a day than Bitcoin is for several years. The argument is tiresome.

  15. Re:November, 2013: by kheldan · · Score: 1

    What about people who don't have bank accounts? Believe it or not there are many people in the world (hell, here in the U.S. even!) who are poor and don't have a bank account, living their lives entirely on cash basis. What about them? Also most banks charge fees to someone (the consumer, or the business) for EFT transactions; I see very often smaller, independent retailers won't even be set up to accept EFT or even credit card transactions, because banks are charging them too much to make it viable for them, and as we all well know, prepaid credit cards are a morass of tacked-on, hidden fees that often effectively cancel out any cash value loaded onto the card. Banks would have to be brought to heel by federal regulations, prohibiting them from charging fees like they have been, and since they have the money, they'd fight it for decades to come. Nope, I don't see cash being phased out anytime soon, and considering how public awareness of governments tracking of our everyday lives is on the rise, I'd expect more people to be using cash whenever possible in an attempt (futile as it might turn out to be, anyway) to preserve (or take back) their privacy.

    --
    Are YOU using the TOOL, or is the TOOL using YOU? Think about it!
  16. Is this the peak? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I mined a few Bitcoins last winter using my GPU. I needed to heat my house a bit, so the cost for me was basically nothing. Today I sold the last Bitcoin - total profit: USD 6500... Happy, but I think I'll spend the coming week second-guessing my decision to sell today.

    1. Re:Is this the peak? by tompaulco · · Score: 1

      I mined a few Bitcoins last winter using my GPU. I needed to heat my house a bit, so the cost for me was basically nothing. Today I sold the last Bitcoin - total profit: USD 6500... Happy, but I think I'll spend the coming week second-guessing my decision to sell today.

      My guess is that you are right. However, you have to get out sometime. I'm sitting on quite a lot of unrealized gain myself. At some point, I will cash out just to cash out, but it probably won't be because I think it is peaking.
      There are something like 20,000+ vendors accepting bitcoin now. I would like to cash out by purchasing some stuff. As more vendors accept bitcoin, the temptation to spend will increase.

      --
      If you are not allowed to question your government then the government has answered your question.
  17. Wow! by Cro+Magnon · · Score: 1

    I wish I'd bought some when they were $100. Maybe I will after the next crash.

    --
    Slow down, cowboy! It has been 4 hours since you last posted. You must wait another few hours.
  18. Cryptolocker Spike? by texaopian · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Does anyone think that the rise in price might be a result of the new demand for Bitcoins due to Cryptolocker outbreak?

    1. Re:Cryptolocker Spike? by Galatamon · · Score: 1

      My understanding is that Cryptolocker asked for a flat rate of 2 BTC or a $300 money transfer. Once Bitcoin went beyond $150 Cryptolocker would have had no effect on the price.

  19. Re:November, 2013: by fahrbot-bot · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Sometimes being able to buy stuff without being fucking tracked is not only perfectly reasonable, it's a damn good idea.

    Like elections.

    --
    It must have been something you assimilated. . . .
  20. Re:November, 2013: by kaizendojo · · Score: 0

    That's only because any self respecting criminal wouldn't accept Bitcoins.

  21. bitcoin is controlled by whales by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If bitcoins go down or up it's not decision that normal people will make... Price of bitcoin is controlled now by BIG players, they are like in speculate heaven, they can do here what they can't on normal stock exchange... If anyone of you saw what was going on on big sales one week ago you would know what's going on... Bots buying/selling... If u think you know if bitcoin will go up or down they you are WRONG. People still don't get it that in long run only those whales make money, on stock exchange and on bitcoin exchange tooo... They just wait for normal people to buy more and more so finally they can dump what they have making price go down so everyone thinks it's crashing and they are selling everything they have, while big players just buy it off and then make higher price again... Capitalization of the market is too low that's why that kind of things we see atm... Price of bitcoin only depends on one thing at the moment : Big players want to invest long-term in bitcoin so i it will go up more and we will see no crash in next months... or more likely scenario : they are selling slowly now and soon they will dump lot of bitcoins making the price go down big time, so ordinary people will start selling their btc while whales will buy it off them...

  22. Re:November, 2013: by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

    That's totally unfair, singling out criminals like that.

    --
    Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
  23. Reminds me of other inflated markets by mark_reh · · Score: 2

    based on valueless commodities: tulip bulbs and diamonds are the first ones that come to mind. Good luck to all holding bitcoins- you're going to need it.

    1. Re:Reminds me of other inflated markets by grnbrg · · Score: 1

      Who needs luck?

      Over the last couple of years, I've put a two to three thousand dollars into Bitcoin... I've made some bad decisions, and currently have "only" 20 BTC or so.

      If the whole thing implodes, and those coins become worthless... I've had a hell of a ride, and think the couple of grand was well spent for the entertainment. On the other hand, if it takes off and Bitcoin turns out to be the next big thing like Ebay or Facebook, I can retire early.

    2. Re:Reminds me of other inflated markets by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Diamonds are valueless? Only if you want to wear them or admire them.

      They have quite a few industrial uses, like diamond-tipped heads on rock cutting tools.

  24. The value of bitcoin by moke · · Score: 2
    Consider that VISA and other payment networks charge ~3% transaction fees, whereas with bitcoin transactions are optionally free (with slower confirmation time) or cost a flat few pennies regardless of transaction size for faster confirmation. That could be a big difference in the bottom line of companies like ebay, amazon, or any business that accepts electronic payments.

    The arguments that bitcoin mining is wasteful are without merit. Ripping apart the earth's crust to get gold or minting coins and notes of physical currency is wasteful. A little perspective please.

    1. Re:The value of bitcoin by m.dillon · · Score: 1

      VISA is more like 1% (or less) for anyone doing real volume. Small businesses have plenty of choices for credit card transactions... even Apple is getting into the game. And besides, if you want to compare Bitcoin transaction costs against something you should be comparing against something like PayPal, not VISA.

      For bitcoin on either Mt Gox or coinbase, the bid/ask spread *alone* for a small transaction is ~0.5% or so, and exceeds 1% for the types of volumes a small business would have (and that is only just recently. Just a few days ago the spread was easily over 2%). That's just the bid/ask spread, never mind any other fees.

      Anyone who thinks they are doing bitcoin transactions for 'free' is smoking something.

      What we have here are a whole lot of people so fixated on the hype they don't realize just how much they are getting milked.

      -Matt

  25. pump and dump by Joe_Dragon · · Score: 1

    I think the dump part is coming real soon

    1. Re:pump and dump by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's better!

      See how much more readable your comments are this way?

  26. Re: by six · · Score: 1

    Forget CPU and GPU already. The mining difficulty has risen so much recently that what you can mine with them today won't event offset the power costs.

    ASICs are the only viable option today for at-home mining, but I'm pretty sure they'll also be rendered useless soon by hosted mining services (CEX.IO already has 25% of the whole Bitcoin network mining power) that are able to consolidate costs and run their mining farms in countries with cheap electricity.

  27. Trolling vs. Technological Ingenuity by LF11 · · Score: 1

    Isn't it interesting how quickly we see comments decrying bitcoin, instead of marvelling at its technological ingenuity?

    For a nerd news site, there sure are a lot of people blind to the future. Scratch that, blind to what's happening right now, let alone the future.

    1. Re:Trolling vs. Technological Ingenuity by stevez67 · · Score: 1

      That's not fair ... many of us know a technological bubble when we see one.

    2. Re:Trolling vs. Technological Ingenuity by LF11 · · Score: 1

      If you take a look at what bitcoin represents, the current price is vastly below steady-state.

      Consider global payment remittance. That is a $500+ billion/year market (in profit, not considering the amount of money moving), and something bitcoin excels at. It will be extremely difficult for Wells Fargo (for example) to offer global money transfers for $0.05 flat rate. If bitcoin captures even a tiny section of that market, its current value is grossly under-market.

      This is just one. There are several big ones that are immediately applicable, and many more that will require some work.

  28. Re:Other Uses by DanielRavenNest · · Score: 1

    There are other uses for bitcoin that haven't even ramped up yet. For example, sending money internationally to relatives, an $850 billion market, has an average fee of 9% from places like Western Union. That market is just begging to be undercut by bitcoin. However, it takes time to set up a network of currency exchangers, something Western Union already has. Give it a few years.

  29. Looks like deflation by Algae_94 · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I remember a lot of argument on old bitcoin posts about whether bitcoins were a deflationary currency or not. It is certainly looking that they are right now. The value of them is increasing with time allowing one bitcoin to buy more and more with each passing day. So with the current market, why would someone spend bitcoins? They can wait a day and spend less coins for the same goods, or wait two days and possibly spend even less. This will kill it as a currency. Bitcoin will be solely used as an investment for speculation soon.

    1. Re:Looks like deflation by pantaril · · Score: 1

      So with the current market, why would someone spend bitcoins? They can wait a day and spend less coins for the same goods, or wait two days and possibly spend even less.

      Why did you bought the computer you wrote this on? You could wait a day...

    2. Re:Looks like deflation by Algae_94 · · Score: 1

      Of course like many here my employer bought the computer.

      Seriously though, having a computer today allows me to use it. I consider that use worth the savings I could get by putting off buying it. A computer is not a currency.

      Surely there is a grain of truth to what you say though. There is a non zero amount of people that will not buy a computer today because they believe a better deal can be had by waiting. That reduces sales and impacts the market. Likewise, the deflationary nature of bitcoins will not prevent all uses and trades of them, but it will have an impact on the market as a whole.

    3. Re:Looks like deflation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Which side are you arguing, again?

      My computer was made of previous generation parts because that was a lot cheaper. I also waited for seasonal valley in prices. It was 8 years ago and it's still my main PC.

      I'm sure I'm not the only one shopper like that. Now imagine everyone doing same instead of getting omgnewest and omgfastest shoved on them by sellers when they need a PC to do their spreadsheets, and where it would leave the electronics industry.

    4. Re:Looks like deflation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This seems like a valid point but it isn't, because the market (assuming deflation is expected) will take into account the fact that less people are willing to sell bitcoin because they expect deflation: the people who sell stuff in bitcoin expect the same deflation. Places that sell stuff in bitcoin at the moment often give 30-50% discounts if you pay in BTC, presumably for that reason..

      I own no Bitcoins.

  30. growing up by dirtaddshp · · Score: 1

    Aww bitcoin is a big boy now... you deserve it!

  31. Re:November, 2013: by CanHasDIY · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Sometimes being able to buy stuff without being fucking tracked is not only perfectly reasonable, it's a damn good idea.

    Like elections.

    Except that several websites keep a running tally of who has donated to whom, and how much.

    Sadly, the people buying elections have so much money and power that fear of discovery doesn't even cross their minds; hell, some of them are proud to be subverting the democratic process.

    --
    An enigma, wrapped in a riddle, shrouded in bacon and cheese
  32. Re:November, 2013: by CanHasDIY · · Score: 1

    What about people who don't have bank accounts?

    The oligarchs have accounted for this, which is why many large corporations are now replacing non-direct-deposit paychecks with what are essentially pre-paid VISA cards.

    See:
    http://www.nytimes.com/2013/07/01/business/as-pay-cards-replace-paychecks-bank-fees-hurt-workers.html?_r=0
    http://www.forbes.com/sites/halahtouryalai/2013/07/23/are-hourly-workers-being-short-changed-the-truth-about-payroll-cards/
    http://consumerist.com/2013/07/01/here-is-why-employers-and-banks-love-putting-wages-on-prepaid-debit-cards-and-why-employees-are-keeping-their-money-in-shoeboxes/

    You might not be able to get blood from a turnip, but that little fact won't stop those in power from trying.

    --
    An enigma, wrapped in a riddle, shrouded in bacon and cheese
  33. Mod parent up by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Getting really sick of people using troll as a "disagree."

    1. Re:Mod parent up by lexman098 · · Score: 1

      Yeah, but there's no "asinine" rating. "Overrated" sometimes doesn't do it justice.

  34. Not really over $1000. by Animats · · Score: 3, Informative

    Buy Price $968.80 Sell Price $963.76 (Coinbase).

    Coinbase prices are real, because if you sell there, you get the money. Mt. Gox prices are higher, but you can't get US dollars out.

  35. Where is the Bitcoin ETF when you need it? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Bitcoin liquidity isn't that great - you aren't going to be able to trade millions of dollars of bitcoins very easily. Plus there's the risk of having all your bitcoins stolen if someone hacks into your bitcoin wallet. There really needs to be a Bitcoin ETF to address these concerns.

  36. I'm up 25k in unrealized gains ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    In until it pays off my mortgage.

  37. Re:Too expensive to sell? by SecurityGuy · · Score: 1

    Not sure why this was modded down. It's a simple econ question.

    If virtually no one is willing to buy, then people who want or need to sell have to offer a price that the people who ARE willing to buy will pay. In other words, the price falls.

  38. HOW do you calc that? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Can anyone tell me WTF any of these "indications" are?

    I'm an incompetent investor so the idea of currency speculation (whether we're talking about Bitcoin or Euros or whatever, doesn't really matter) is totally mystifying. I simply have no idea what the exchange rate ought to be. Whether it ought to be $500=1BTC or $2000=1BTC I couldn't even begin to guess, except by flipping a coin.

    All I know, is that nearly everybody who said "sell" when it was $60, proved themselves to be as ignorant as I am. Well, let me correct that: the people who thought "sell" were as ignorant. The people who said "sell" were that plus ARROGANT, probably with a dose of DISHONESTY.

    Are you one of those people, who said "sell" earlier? If so, please tell us, to help us calibrate your intellect and character.

    Or are you one of the people who (rightly, we now know from hindsight) said "buy" when it was $60, but is now saying sell, because you've calculated that a Bitcoin ought to exchange for about $712 or something like that? And your calc is based on ... some kind of "indication?" Tell us more about these indications.

    Not that I'm going to take your advice anyway (I only buy BTC to send money, not to invest; I'm simply not cut out (yet?) for currency investment), but maybe I'll learn something from the Master.

  39. Is it Profitable? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Does anyone who does this for a living/hobby consider whether those fancy miners are profitable? The price has skyrocketed, but also has the difficulty in mining the coins, has it balanced out or are people losing money all the time?.

  40. Slashdot naysayers by Srin+Tuar · · Score: 1

    True to form, slashdot is sceptical as ever.

    We had the same baseless naysaying when it spiked to $200, and the same smug "told ya so's" when it crashed back down to $100

    There is something bitcoin has that diamond and tulip bulbs don't, and even if crypto isnt your bag, I' expected more insight from such and otherwise smart crowd.

    1. Re:Slashdot naysayers by u38cg · · Score: 1
      Generally scepticism is not a bad approach to anything new. I'd judge it's 50/50 whether Bitcoin will be a serious "thing" in the long run.

      I think the point most people miss about Bitcoin pricing is that it happens at the margins. There may be ten million bitcoins in existence (say) but if only a thousand of them are available on any given day, the only thing that affects the price on that day is supply and demand for those 1000 bitcoins, hence the volatility.

      --
      [FUCK BETA]
  41. I SMELL A BURGLARRRRRRRR!!!! by TiggertheMad · · Score: 1

    ... An not hording them like bunch of fucking dragons.

    Don't be stupid, they aren't remotely similar. You can't sleep nekkid on top of a pile of bitcoins in an old cave.

    Not that I have tried.

    Don't judge me.

    --

    HA! I just wasted some of your bandwidth with a frivolous sig!
  42. virtual deflation? by TiggertheMad · · Score: 1

    The deflationary nature of Bitcoin and the fact that transactions can't be reversed pretty much guarantees that it will never be used as a currency, but those two features could be strengths if you think of Bitcoin as virtual gold.

    BC is deflationary in the sense that there are a fixed number of BC that can exist, and as time passes more are revealed. They are used by humans, who have been growing at an (low,and variable, but) exponential rate, causing an increasing demand for them. I am going to say that the growing number of humans interested in BC will exceed the 'production' of new BC, so I am not sure that calling the currency 'deflationary' is quite accurate. Technically any currency is only inflationary or deflationary if the production of it is out of skew with the units of man hours of work that are being added or subtracted from the work pool at any given time.

    --

    HA! I just wasted some of your bandwidth with a frivolous sig!
  43. Re:November, 2013: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    isn't this about on the same level, fundamentally, as collecting Magic or Pokemon cards (hell, or Beanie Babies for that matter)?

    Magic or Pokemon cards and Beanie Babies are all real things. Bitcoins are data. It's more like catching all of the Pokemon in a Pokemon video game, or collecting mp3s.

  44. Re:Other Uses by Ash-Fox · · Score: 2

    For example, sending money internationally to relatives, an $850 billion market, has an average fee of 9% from places like Western Union.

    If you use a HSBC bank account, you can freely transfer between your own multi-national accounts for free and then do a transfer at the cost of a 'local country' transfer (in some countries, a local bank transfer doesn't cost anything). If you are a smart person, you would use these accounts for transferring money to relatives.

    This is probably less expensive than the conversion fees and cuts that Bitcoin exchanges would take and any additional payment provider system to get that money to the person would (since it appears most Bitcoin exchanges don't handle currency themselves, but instead use payment services).

    That market is just begging to be undercut by bitcoin.

    Bitcoin needs to undercut decent banks like HSBC, I don't see that happening unless people are paying everything through Bitcoin.

    However, it takes time to set up a network of currency exchangers, something Western Union already has. Give it a few years.

    I suspect by then, many of the international banks would have duplicated HSBC's offerings which would compete well against this. I also suspect Western Union will take different business approaches to counter this as well.

    --
    Change is certain; progress is not obligatory.
  45. Re:Other Uses by m.dillon · · Score: 2

    It costs me $0 to transfer dollars to relatives electronically, bank-to-bank. No fees at all.

    Also, perhaps you are unaware, but Western Union has been losing business for two decades now. Many immigrants now send money home by opening a bank account and mailing a physical ATM card to their relatives, which can cost as little as $0 if the relatives withdrawal the cash in $ (which many can), and can be as little as 1% if a currency conversion is involved.

    Even using a non-network ATM typically has a fixed charge, e.g. $3/$300 = 1% charge to get a hard currency in one's pocket.

    Bitcoin cannot do better (people who think they can transfer BTC for free are ignoring both the exchange spreads and the time/volatility factor).

    -Matt

  46. 1 BTC = Between $20,000.00 and $500,000.00 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Using some simple math, with over 4% of the worldwide population using Bitcoin, the value of 1 BTC should settle somewhere between $20,000.00 and $500,000.00

    There will only be 21,000,000 bitcoins ever made.
    There are roughly 314,000,000 people in the U.S.
    The average worldwide salary is $1,480.

    21M / 314M = 0.06687898089172
    0.06687898089172 / $1,480 = 0.0000451885006

    $1 = 0.00004518 BTC
    1 BTC = $22,129.52

    With a worldwide population of 7,127,000,000.

    21M/7.127B=0.00294654132173
    0.00294654132173/$1,480=0.0000019909063

    $1 = 0.00000199 BTC
    1 BTC = $502,283.80

    1. Re:1 BTC = Between $20,000.00 and $500,000.00 by m.dillon · · Score: 1

      Why would the world population want to do that when they could be using BTC2 or BTC3 or ... BTC (each with a slight tweek of the algorithm) instead?

      There are tons of virtual currencies already in existence, and no barrier to entry for creating more (including no barrier to entry for creating clones of Bitcoin that use a different cryptographic base).

      -Matt

    2. Re:1 BTC = Between $20,000.00 and $500,000.00 by Ironwolf · · Score: 1

      Why would the world population want to do that when they could be using BTC2 or BTC3 or ... BTC (each with a slight tweek of the algorithm) instead?

      There are tons of virtual currencies already in existence, and no barrier to entry for creating more (including no barrier to entry for creating clones of Bitcoin that use a different cryptographic base).

      Because Bitcoin has a huge first-mover advantage over all other cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin is a grand experiment that could succeed dramatically or fail utterly. The other current attempts at cryptocurrencies are also-rans that more often than not are simply Bitcoin clones with some minor tweaks that add nothing of significance when compared to the magnitude of Bitcoin's dramatic breakthroughs.

    3. Re:1 BTC = Between $20,000.00 and $500,000.00 by Time_Ngler · · Score: 1

      What's the barrier to entry of creating a new credit card, VISA2, VISA3, etc? Merchants accept bitcoin because they trust it... and because merchants accept it people pay a premium for it. A new alt-currency has neither, and with no benefit over bitcoin will have a hard time establishing trust. Maybe a few currencies, LTC, NMC may survive just as we have Discover, AMEX and Mastercard, but as things gel over time, the barrier to entry will be there already is a currency out there that people trust a lot more. Not to mention the security of the huge collection of miners preventing a double spend attack (which new alt currencies will not have).

    4. Re:1 BTC = Between $20,000.00 and $500,000.00 by m.dillon · · Score: 0

      That's a joke, right? You actually believe Bitcoin is accepted and trusted by merchants? You can count the number of serious businesses trying to use bitcoin on one hand. Walmart's virtual currency is already used in far more transactions than Bitcoin ever will be.

      You are staring at pretty numbers on a screen and have absolutely no sense of scale.

      And as far as credit cards go, the space is getting pretty crowded already with Yahoo, Google, and others pushing into the space (after realizing that wallet apps are pretty useless without them). Lets see someone due monetary conversions to a bitcoin account with a credit card and see how long it takes them to either go bankrupt or be forced to charged significant fees to stay in business.

      Bitcoin has no advantage whatsoever as a first-mover when the 'currency' is too unstable to actually be usable in the wider world of commerce.

      -Matt

  47. To those who say "You can't buy anything with it. by bkk_diesel · · Score: 1

    All the people that say "You can't buy anything with it, it's worthless" or "it's too volatile to be of any value" are missing the forest for the trees.

    The simple fact of the matter is that even on the most fundamental level, bitcoin takes Visa/Mastercard/Amex/Discover/PayPal and all of the associated fees out of the equation. If you buy something in bitcoin you're saving the merchant anywhere up to 5% of the cost of goods sold which, in turn should reduce the price you pay. The price may be volatile at the moment, but it is certainly by no means undervalued given the size of the potential market. Buy some coin by transferring money into an exchange and buying them (might cost you up to 20 bucks and 0.5% in fees) or buy them in cash for "free" with localbitcoins.com and just don't spend them any time the price is lower than what you paid for them. Alternatively, provide a good or service and accept payment in bitcoin yourself.

    The fact that bitcoin is peer to peer and run by the community should be enough reason for any Slashdot user to take a serious look at it now that it has received enough scrutiny to know that the math is safe.

  48. Silly goys by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Silly goys. Wait till your Judencoin crashes, the exchanges freeze up, and the tax man shows up at your door. Schlomo Shekelburg is probably laughing right now at the success of his invented NWO Judencurrency. The fact the US government hasn't shut it down proves that Judes are behind this heist.

  49. Arbitrary thing by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

    Arbitrary thing passes arbitrary number. http://news.slashdot.org/story/13/11/27/142234/nasdaq-4000-this-time-its-different

    Film at an arbitrary number between 10 and 12

    --
    Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
  50. Automatic devaluation of Bitcoins by NewYork · · Score: 1

    Bitcoin with an automatic devaluation if not spent within a month or so is desirable because Bitcoins are limited to 21 million.

  51. Theoretically by NewYork · · Score: 1

    Cash = Unlimited demand and unlimited supply
    Bitcoin = Unlimited demand and limited supply (21 million)

  52. We Dutch were pioneers in that too ;) by Optali · · Score: 1
    --
    -- 29A the number of the Beast
  53. Profit!!!!!!!!!! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    How to get rich with bitcoins:

    1 mine bitcoins using expensive solar power and expensive hardware asic chips and code running on nvidia video cards
    2 !!!!!!
    3 profit!

    Remember that simpsons episode where they eat a bunch of greasy food so they could collect the cooking oil? "But we _made_ money"!

    - Justin Goldberg, trying to reclaim /~Justin+Goldberg since 2001! Dammit, that expired tulane dot edu account! cmdrtaco is a jerk.