Slashdot Mirror


Consumers Not Impressed With 3D Printing

Lucas123 (935744) writes "Putting a 3D printer beside the coffee maker in every home, as some manufacturers hope will happen someday, is a long ways from reality as consumers today still don't understand how the technology will benefit them, according to a new study. The study, by Juniper Research, states that part of the problem is that killer applications with the appropriate eco-system of software, apps and materials have yet to be identified and communicated to potential users. And, even though HP has announced its intention to enter the 3D printing space (possibly this fall) a massive, mainstream corporation isn't likely to change the market."

302 comments

  1. Premature much by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Whining about lack of software as a roadblock to mass adoption of home 3D printing is absurd at this point in time.

    Inexpensive 3D printing is still barely more than a toy for hobbyists. I have one (mendlemax 2), and while I love playing with it, I recognize it for what it is.

    The path forward as I see it for home 3D printing is:

    - spend a long damn time in the hobbyist domain
    - eventually capabilities will hit a point where actual useful products can be produced, but it will still be way more effort to do so than to buy the equivilant mass-produced item.
    - small niche markets will open up offering custom things and replacement parts that are no long available. I forsee a long period of time where 3D printing is practical, but at a small business level rather than a home level. The "bring your model down to staples" phase if you will.
    - eventually some people will start using these services regularily and start dreaming of having one at home
    - this is when 3D printing at home really takes off

    This is however so far away that I may not be alive to see it. When the time comes, I'm sure someone will whip up a slick UI...

    1. Re:Premature much by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

      But I'm sure scumbag companies will ruin this otherwise good idea by somehow requiring the printers to have DRM or random restrictions.

    2. Re:Premature much by Shakrai · · Score: 5, Insightful

      The path forward as I see it for home 3D printing is:

      You forgot the part where people find a way to use it for sexual gratification. New technology meets yesterday's primal urges. Same story, different day.

      --
      I want peace on earth and goodwill toward man.
      We are the United States Government! We don't do that sort of thing.
    3. Re:Premature much by ArcadeNut · · Score: 4, Interesting

      I agree with most of what you say. I also own a 3D printer (Solidoodle 3)

      I see two main things that are keeping 3d printing from really taking off in the home. Once they solve these two issues it should really take off. There are other minor issues that need to be addressed as well, but the two issues that need to be fixed are : Speed and Reliability. I've designed up a product that I would like to print, but it takes 1.5 hours to print, and that is if it makes it fully through the print. Issues with warping, clogging, overheating, etc... are the main concerns about reliability.

      I would be happy if they could cut my print time in half, but it's the current limitation of the technology being used in the home market. Some other technology is going to have to be used in order to overcome both issues, but those technologies are currently out of the budget for home users.

      Unlike the post above, I do think it will happen in my lifetime though.

      --
      Visit the Arcade Restoration Workshop @ http://www.arcaderestoration.com
    4. Re:Premature much by Anrego · · Score: 2

      I would add gravity to the list.

      Thinking about the "printability" of something has to go. Temporary dissolving materials offer a promising solution to this problem, but at the moment they are expensive, slow, and messy.

      I think we'll see them become a hobbyist and do-it-yourself-er fixture in my lifetime, but as ubiquitous as microwaves or a major retail game changer, I'm a little more skeptical there.

    5. Re:Premature much by rodrigoandrade · · Score: 1

      Or wait until Apple figures it out and once again eats everyone's lunch.

    6. Re:Premature much by Ralph+Wiggam · · Score: 3, Informative

      If you want a custom latex dildo, there are already kits for that.

    7. Re:Premature much by aix+tom · · Score: 5, Insightful

      On the other hand, 15 years ago about ~90% of my friends who had computers had printers at home to print their photos, these days none of them has (including me).

      Take your memory stick to the local supermarket or photo shop to get high-quality prints from a working, regularly serviced photo printing machine is cheaper and the quality is better. The same way I print Photos maybe 5-10 times a year at most, I can't imagine I would need/want to 3D print something that often that having my own 3D printer would make sense.

    8. Re:Premature much by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 4, Insightful

      3D printing is a prototyping tool, not a serious production tool.

      It's flying cars all over again, man.

    9. Re:Premature much by boristdog · · Score: 2

      Yep, porn drove the acceptance of the internet. Home sex toy production will probably drive acceptance of 3-D printing.

      So short your Fleshlight shares and go long on anyone making silicone rubber for 3-D printing.

    10. Re:Premature much by Darinbob · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The current "hobbyist" 3D printers are utter crap and they help you create things that are utter crap. Basically they squeeze hot plastic out like toothpaste into strange shapes, so the finished product ends up being fragile and bumpy. However a professional grade 3D printer can create some really nice stuff (with a very different technique) but the price range is nowhere close to be in the home.

      In a way this is like the early computer days. Useful machines were in universities, corporations, and labs, but in homes a few hobbyists were getting excited about expensive 8 bit toys that didn't do much of anything useful except to play with it and start to learn stuff.

    11. Re:Premature much by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      What I don't get is... what would you even print? If I think about the things that I interact with on a daily basis that could be 3D printed with what I know about today's technology, I come up with a pretty small list...

    12. Re:Premature much by unrtst · · Score: 1

      3D printing is a prototyping tool, not a serious production tool.

      THIS!!!

      Sure, there are are nitch places for 3d printing (hard to find replacement parts, artistic stuff (even one off custom jewelery), etc). However, as soon as there is a 3d model good enough to print, if enough people want it, it'll be cheaper for mass production. And all the other little trinkets... your local 3d print shop (which will probably go the way of photo printers, so any CVS, Kinko's, Staples, etc).

      There's a reason some parts are hard to find - there's little demand. So one shop that can do it per town will probably be more than enough for something like that can do sturdy parts (metal, resin, casting from printed wax, etc).

      The only way I see it making it into many homes is if the big companies royally screw up. If they, for instance, make sure that Staples won't print anything that is copywritten or trademarked etc, then you won't be able to run down there and print out a new GIJoe head... a home printer starts to make a lot of sense then, but only really because of politics and red tape.

    13. Re:Premature much by danbert8 · · Score: 1

      Yeah, but you have to get your junk all goopy...

      --
      Yes it's an anecdote! Were you expecting original research in a Slashdot comment?
    14. Re:Premature much by kyrsjo · · Score: 2

      Exactly. My officemate works with 3D-printed metal parts (waveguides and RF loads), and some of the pieces on her desk are pretty nice. I've also seen RF cavities partially fabricated using 3D printing (and partially by turning).

      In many cases, part of the reason for using 3D printing is that you can easily create shapes which are hard to make using traditional manufacturing techniques. This especially means shapes with complex voids.

    15. Re:Premature much by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      3D printed toys have a LOT of ridges, so I guess there's that.

    16. Re:Premature much by theshowmecanuck · · Score: 1

      I was thinking about the information that HP was thinking of getting into this market. What went though my mind was, "and you thought their ink jet cartridges are expensive, you ain't seen nothing yet!" But Apple, that's a whole other thing altogether. Even HP will look cheap if Apple gets into the market place.

      --
      -- I ignore anonymous replies to my comments and postings.
    17. Re:Premature much by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      That applies to many things that are worthwhile in life.

    18. Re:Premature much by Intrepid+imaginaut · · Score: 2

      I sometimes need to print business documents out for legal purposes.

      Then fax them.

    19. Re:Premature much by jonbryce · · Score: 1

      I have a 9 year old Canon IP8500 on my desk for photo printing. Everyone is really impressed by the quality of the photos it produces, and I realised last year after replacing its worn-out printer head that it is getting pretty elderly.

      The thing is, printers haven't really improved in the last 10 years. They now have ethernet and wireless/airprint as standard whereas my museum piece has USB only. But they a lot cheaper, a generally worse quality. If I had to replace my printer with something the same quality, I would have to get an A3 printer, which wouldn't fit on the available space on my desk.

      The cost of consumables for my printer works out about the same as taking the photos to Snappy Snaps for printing, and the resulting quality is about the same, but I much prefer a trip to the paper drawer 4 meters away to a trip to Snappy Snaps in town during opening hours whenever I want to print photos.

    20. Re:Premature much by swillden · · Score: 1

      But I'm sure scumbag companies will ruin this otherwise good idea by somehow requiring the printers to have DRM or random restrictions.

      I'm sure they'll try. I doubt they'll succeed.

      --
      Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
    21. Re:Premature much by ArcadeMan · · Score: 1

      There's the fact that less and less people don't see the point of "printing out" photos, though. Digital photo frames, tablets and cellphones with bigger-than-a-stamp displays, coupled with the fact that younger people probably don't care about printed photos means you can't equal photo printers with 3D printers.

      I still see 3D printers as just another type of tool to add next to a CNC mill and a laser cutter. If you don't see the point of those last two tools, you won't get excited about 3D printers either.

    22. Re:Premature much by bws111 · · Score: 1

      Exactly this. The last time there was one of these articles some guy was claiming that stores would no longer carry manufactured goods, they would print them on demand. The impact of this was to be so great as to cause the collapse of the shipping industry. So I took a quick walk around my house to get an inventory of what would be printable. And what I found was: a few kitchen utensils and some toiletry items (hair brushes, etc). Everything else is wood, glass, polished chrome or brass, electronics, plant or animal based cloth/textiles, food, etc.

    23. Re:Premature much by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But while one can always look at more porn, you only need so many sex toys.

    24. Re:Premature much by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Industrial steel rolling and milling also isn't ready for the masses, presumably because the machines are still rather large and loud for the living room. Experts are still toying with the notion of putting the required equipment in kitchens as a means to spur adoption.

      Meanwhile the community is thriving.

      "It's really convenient to be able to smelt ore and roll out an ingot while I'm having a beer." - Alex Rosenbaugh

      "The River Don steam engine fits right next to my fridge!" - Dave Burners

      "Wait, what?" - Barney

    25. Re:Premature much by NatasRevol · · Score: 2

      Is that in the 'pro' or 'con' list?

      --
      There are two types of people in the world: Those who crave closure
    26. Re:Premature much by Euler · · Score: 1

      We're about halfway down that list. But it seems spot-on.

      You can certainly get prototype parts made on high-end machines from a variety of workshops. 3D-printing for hire is happening right now to make engineering prototypes for a variety of reasons. I've been given prototype housings for electrical actuators so that I could develop firmware. (The electronics were still conventional board fabrications.) It was simply limited in power output, but it could get me through most of the development without waiting for the final metal parts.

      So this isn't exactly the local Staples store; that is the big question if that market for consumers will arrive. Will consumers wait for specialized items to be rendered, vs. buying something already in stock? Not everything can or should be 3D-printed. But eventually, there will be some killer apps. It would have to be something that is scarce or customized, and for some reason not worth shipping from a remote fabrication facility. It would resemble the business model for film development. In the old days, you mailed your roll of film to Kodak. Then the local development labs, and finally the 1-Hour photo shops arrived. Now people do the whole process at home digitally.

    27. Re:Premature much by ArcadeNut · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Well, for me it's Arcade parts. There are a lot of obsolete and hard to find/expensive parts. There are also a lot of custom parts I have designed to use in Arcade games.

      One example of something I did use it for was when I was building the rack to hold the spools of material for the printer. I printed the mounts for the PVC pipe and I printed the Wall Anchors used to secure it in sheet rock. I printed the wall anchors because I was assembling it and didn't have any and all the stores were closed. So I figured, what the hell, I can just make them. I'll probably use it to build some custom tools and other things that would come in handy around the house.

      Honestly, for the average person, a 3D printer probably wouldn't be used that much right now. I do think that once the speed and reliability are addressed, and the price comes down, more people will find new and unique uses for a 3D printer.

      --
      Visit the Arcade Restoration Workshop @ http://www.arcaderestoration.com
    28. Re:Premature much by jimicus · · Score: 1

      The cost of consumables for my printer works out about the same as taking the photos to Snappy Snaps for printing, and the resulting quality is about the same, but I much prefer a trip to the paper drawer 4 meters away to a trip to Snappy Snaps in town during opening hours whenever I want to print photos.

      IME, this is only the case when your wastage (from "Oh shit I meant to put photo paper in there!", "Damn, there was a bit of dried ink in the printhead, better reprint that one" and "I'm sure I can make that come out better if I twiddle the settings just right") is zero.

      I have never yet seen zero wastage.

    29. Re:Premature much by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They're trying. At least two makers of low end 3D printers have filament chips, which is an attempt to lock-in buyers to use only their material.

    30. Re:Premature much by boristdog · · Score: 1

      Man, you live a boring life...

    31. Re:Premature much by plover · · Score: 2, Interesting

      What I don't get is... what would you even print? If I think about the things that I interact with on a daily basis that could be 3D printed with what I know about today's technology, I come up with a pretty small list...

      My list is really close to zero, too, which is why I haven't bothered getting one. My friend has a veritable rainbow of little ABS geckos littering his desk. He's printed a few useful things, but for the most part he's only printed decorative items (and that's taking a few liberties with the word "decorate".) I don't need little plastic tchotchkes to make my day complete.

      Where I think it may eventually shine is instant repair parts: a new door for the DVD-RW drive, a new button for the mouse, etc. But I don't want to own a $1000 printer to produce a replacement printed from $0.10 worth of plastic. I'd rather go to the local Office $(VAR), look up the part in a catalog, and ask them to print me the part for a dollar or two.

      --
      John
    32. Re:Premature much by plover · · Score: 1

      I sometimes need to print business documents out for legal purposes.

      Then fax them.

      Pro tip: be sure to fax the original signature, or the contract isn't valid. :-)

      --
      John
    33. Re:Premature much by LinuxIsGarbage · · Score: 1

      On the other hand, 15 years ago about ~90% of my friends who had computers had printers at home to print their photos, these days none of them has (including me).

      Take your memory stick to the local supermarket or photo shop to get high-quality prints from a working, regularly serviced photo printing machine is cheaper and the quality is better. The same way I print Photos maybe 5-10 times a year at most, I can't imagine I would need/want to 3D print something that often that having my own 3D printer would make sense.

      Even better than taking a flash drive to a supermarket, I can go to their website and upload photos from the comfort of my house. The next time I'm at the store picking up groceries, the prints are ready. At sale prices of $0.10, they are exponentially better quality than home inkjets, and cheaper.

      At home I have a monochrome laser printer which is suitable for most of what I need for home. If I need the odd colour document I'll use the work laser

    34. Re:Premature much by CohibaVancouver · · Score: 1

      Unlike the post above, I do think it will happen in my lifetime though.

      "Tea. Earl Grey. Hot."

    35. Re:Premature much by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      less and less people

      Choose either "fewer and fewer people" or "less and less [often], people".

    36. Re:Premature much by LinuxIsGarbage · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I agree with most of what you say. I also own a 3D printer (Solidoodle 3)

      I see two main things that are keeping 3d printing from really taking off in the home. Once they solve these two issues it should really take off. There are other minor issues that need to be addressed as well, but the two issues that need to be fixed are : Speed and Reliability. I've designed up a product that I would like to print, but it takes 1.5 hours to print, and that is if it makes it fully through the print. Issues with warping, clogging, overheating, etc... are the main concerns about reliability.

      I would be happy if they could cut my print time in half, but it's the current limitation of the technology being used in the home market. Some other technology is going to have to be used in order to overcome both issues, but those technologies are currently out of the budget for home users.

      Unlike the post above, I do think it will happen in my lifetime though.

      I'm somewhat reminded of early '90s CD-R burning. Rigs like this: http://www.cbronline.com/news/... were $32500 1991 dollars ($55,000 2014 dollars) if you breathed on them you would lose your $100+ CD-R. Mid '90s saw $1000 CD-R drives. Come the late 1990s CD-RW drives were $300 with buffers, but still the occasional buffer-underrun. Now a DVD burner is $20 and comes with BURN-Proof underrun tech.

    37. Re:Premature much by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      if you had a 3d printer, you could just print a new cartridge if yours runs out, right?

    38. Re:Premature much by mi · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I dunno. Speed would not be high on my list of priorities. My dishwasher takes over 2 hours to wash the load, and that's acceptable. The reliability — which you mention second — is much more important in my opinion.

      And then comes the standardization of the data-files and of the raw materials.

      I would not mind paying a designer of a printable widget for his work — so a DRM of some kind would be alright, even if irritating. Because I'd still be able to have the piece in a couple of hours after buying it, instead of waiting at least a day for the (expensive) overnight shipping.

      --
      In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
    39. Re:Premature much by styrotech · · Score: 1

      I imagine we'll end up with the Nutrimatics version of that instead.

    40. Re:Premature much by kbg · · Score: 3, Interesting

      No I am sure they will succeed. I mean they managed to add hidden markings that are printed in almost all paper printers to track you and with some scanners you can't copy images of money.

    41. Re:Premature much by swillden · · Score: 1

      No I am sure they will succeed. I mean they managed to add hidden markings that are printed in almost all paper printers to track you and with some scanners you can't copy images of money.

      I think you're wrong, and that you're comparing apples and oranges. Time will tell.. but I'm right :-)

      --
      Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
    42. Re:Premature much by kimvette · · Score: 1

      I'm looking at 3D printers to build a custom dashboard panel and speaker enclosures for one of my cars, to upgrade the audio system properly (shit-canning the no highs/no lows BOSE system). If it works out well I might offer the assemblies as a product to pay for the printer, because the printers I am looking at cost as much as the original MSRP of the car. I am also looking into other potential products to make the printer pay for itself. The consumer printers are not large enough for what I want to do, and the materials aren't right.

      I could make the parts using composites but then it becomes a bigger job because I will need to make molds and jigs and a vacuum bagging table, with long wait times for curing and wasting a lot of peel-ply if I want strong, lightweight yet thin layups which I then have to finish with a brittle gel coat, brittle flox, or similar coatings prior to painting. A 3D printer with the right material will simplify and speed up the whole process.

      One hurdle I see is 3D scanners - they are still a bit limited. Also, yes, the software for 3D printers is still user-hostile and requires one to be proficient at CAD - which I haven't worked with in a good number of years. I can quickly come up to speed in CAD packages again, but Joe Sixpack would not be able to.

      I like the Makerbot printers but they are a tad too small and the material choices are somewhat limited - and the finish is not as refined as the higher end printers which can produce commercially viable product with full color (I plan to include labels on some of the parts, which would have to be painted if using the cheaper printers but built as part of the assembly on multicolor printers, with the end result similar to multiple-injection molding processes).

      --
      The Christian Right is Neither (Christian nor right). See: Matthew 23, Matthew 25, Ezekiel 16:48-50
    43. Re:Premature much by DanielRavenNest · · Score: 2

      > Everything else is wood, glass, polished chrome or brass, electronics, plant or animal based cloth/textiles

      Hence why makerspaces are becoming popular, and why I am working on self-expanding production (where you make parts for more machines to expand your capabilities). A home 3D printer simply won't satisfy most needs that people have. A makerspace (community workshop) can afford to have multiple computer-controlled machines (CNC Router, laser, etc.) that can work in different materials and different sizes. For example, a 4x8 foot router table can cut up an entire sheet of plywood to make self-assembled furniture. Such a device is reasonable for a community shop, but unreasonable for most home users.

      The next step will be a "MakerNet". A single community workshop may not have all the machines to make a desired product. So when you want something, software will divide up the product design files and send them out to multiple locations, who between them can do all the various parts.

    44. Re:Premature much by DanielRavenNest · · Score: 1

      > I can't imagine I would need/want to 3D print something that often that having my own 3D printer would make sense.

      What will likely happen is home centers/hardware stores, or independent businesses, will have pro-grade 3D printers that you can go to and print stuff out when you need it, like the Office Depot/Max/Staples stores have a copy center in the back with pro-grade Xerox machines.

    45. Re:Premature much by kimvette · · Score: 1

      I used to use photo printers but not any more. Sometimes I would not print for a month or more and find that the print head has clogged, so I'd waste half the ink in cleaning cycles only to give up and bathe the print head in isopropyl then go through a few more cleaning cycles.

      I switched to laser and haven't looked back (I've printed entire books on my workgroup laser printer and only now after 3.5 years am I approaching my second toner refill), and for photos rather than buy new cartridges for my photo printer I just go to Costco or CVS to print the photos. Friends who haven't seen my home office laugh at my ginormous workgroup printer at first until I tell them what I've spent on "ink" in the time I've owned it. Most who print have spent more in ink on their cheap inkjets than I've spent for the printer+toner. Yes, it's large but it really doesn't take up any more desk estate than your typical inkjet printer requires. Just a little deeper and a lot taller.

      Unless you need to print a lot of accurate proofs and can't accept the "waxy" look of toner, give inkjet a miss. The total cost of ownership of laser printers is far, far less than even the cheapest inkjets.

      I would consider however a wide format inkjet if I need to print large proofs, only because I'm not going to spend $9K+ on a laser printer. $2K-$3K is my absolute price ceiling for a printer. It would have to be a lot of proofs though, or final prints if I seriously get into landscape or wildlife photography. I just don't see that happening.

      --
      The Christian Right is Neither (Christian nor right). See: Matthew 23, Matthew 25, Ezekiel 16:48-50
    46. Re:Premature much by kimvette · · Score: 1

      If you're faxing your signature, why not scan in your signature, paste it into the documents, and just fax directly eliminating paper and toner waste? If they are going to accept the fax as an original document (foolish on their part) then you may as well eliminate the waste and extra work.

      --
      The Christian Right is Neither (Christian nor right). See: Matthew 23, Matthew 25, Ezekiel 16:48-50
    47. Re:Premature much by DanielRavenNest · · Score: 1

      You might want to check and see if there is a "Makerspace" (community workshop) in your area. The one's I'm familiar with have better machines than home users can afford, because the cost is split up amongst multiple people. Some of them are for-profit ventures, others are non-profit membership type places.

    48. Re:Premature much by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Can we just accept we're in the golden age of marketing?

      Whining about lack of software as a roadblock to mass adoption of <insert wildest dreams here> is absurd at this point in time.

      Insert:
      walking robots
      space vacations
      fusion
      self assembling food
      unlimited battery power
      VR

      Marketing firms have nearly perfect the hype "pitch" to the public using mechanism like Google, Twitter and Facebook that we don't even 'see' it anymore--instead we rant/or praise (as in the FA) about it as haters or fanboys.

    49. Re:Premature much by CronoCloud · · Score: 1

      The next step will be a "MakerNet". A single community workshop may not have all the machines to make a desired product. So when you want something, software will divide up the product design files and send them out to multiple locations, who between them can do all the various parts

      But there is no advantage to that, compared to just buying a product made in a factory/factory chain that DOES have all the machines.

    50. Re:Premature much by mysidia · · Score: 2

      But there is no advantage to that, compared to just buying a product made in a factory/factory chain that DOES have all the machines.

      The factory won't take a custom order for your one unit. The makernet lets you order TO SUIT YOUR NEED.

      Which means the item you are building could be totally unique, or a prototype, for a new product, for example.

    51. Re:Premature much by mysidia · · Score: 4, Insightful

      But I'm sure scumbag companies will ruin this otherwise good idea by somehow requiring the printers to have DRM

      It's going to be the government passing regulations that 3D printers available to consumers have tamper-proof measures to prevent consumers from easily having direct control over them, AND...

      requiring that only digitally signed 3D part designs can be printed --- which will have been through a regulated approval process, to ensure that the parts can't be used to construct a weapon such as "Liberator" 3d printed gun, or other dangerous or concealable weapons

    52. Re:Premature much by ArcadeMan · · Score: 1

      I knew it didn't sound right as I was writing it.

    53. Re:Premature much by davester666 · · Score: 1

      Except with 3d printing, you need to stay hard for longer than the recommended time...

      --
      Sleep your way to a whiter smile...date a dentist!
    54. Re:Premature much by tragedy · · Score: 2

      Do you mean that kbg is wrong about restrictions forced on 3D printing, or about steganographic tags and anti-counterfitting technologies in printers/scanners/copiers? Because I can assure you that the latter are real (they degrade print quality too).

    55. Re:Premature much by CronoCloud · · Score: 2

      Yes, but how many people need to make prototypes, after all TFA is about "consumers" not the "Maker-hipsters" reading "2600" All the hype about 3D printing sounds interesting but reminds me of the pie-in-the-sky claims made for virtual worlds. How they were going to be leading us to the "singularity", or how "IT" (the Segway) was going to change life as we knew it.

    56. Re:Premature much by swillden · · Score: 1

      The former.

      --
      Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
    57. Re:Premature much by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Get a fax modem then, and print to that?

    58. Re:Premature much by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Brick and mortar electronic stores in Italy are starting to sell them, so I assumed everyone in America already owned and was sick of 3D printers and was moving on to 4D printing.

    59. Re:Premature much by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, I feel that extrusion based 3D-printing has way too many problems for something that is supposed to be mainstream. Apart from not having to think that much about fixating the piece you run into most of the problems you have with a regular CNC mill.
      It would be nice with consumer grade laser sintering. Perhaps when the current 3D-printing fad is over.

    60. Re:Premature much by delt0r · · Score: 1

      There is a reason that even with fairly cheap printers, big printing presses are still used. I know the arguments, but really a good 3d printer at the local copy center would work much better since its likely to be fairly expensive for something that most people will almost never use. I mean replace a part? Why who does that? Most people don't what to unscrew anything so the whole thing is replaced or its taken to a shop or you call a plumber or whatever. Outside novelty items i just can't see them having an application.

      And lets be clear, they are not printing cloths or shoes or anything like that. They are printing at best part of a shoe and often in pretty poor quality. That $2 shoe in a bargain bin looks like a better deal.

      --
      If information wants to be free, why does my internet connection cost so much?
    61. Re:Premature much by Raenex · · Score: 1

      I dunno. Speed would not be high on my list of priorities. My dishwasher takes over 2 hours to wash the load, and that's acceptable. The reliability â" which you mention second â" is much more important in my opinion.

      I agree. If it takes double the time but comes out right every time it would be worth it. There's no way I would get one of these devices if they aren't reliable.

      That said, one advantage to being fast is if you have to make adjustments to your model that are only discovered after printing.

    62. Re:Premature much by flyneye · · Score: 1

      Not to worry, 3D printing will remain a geeks domain. Dont overestimate J.Q. Publics inability to comprehend instructions over a page long.
      Probably for the best that not EVERY home will have a printer putting more plastic garbage in the dumps after a short lifecycle.
      At best this will probably boost other mfg. methods like CAM, casting , woodworking, fiberglassing etc. once the natural evolution of makerdom catches fire.
      Printing plastic is fine for hard to obtain parts, but will never replace other methods and other materials.
      Ill hold my breath and wait for a printer that handles 7075 aluminum as more necessary for my applications. ...plastic, jeez...

      --
      *Repent!Quit Your Job!Slack Off!The World Ends Tomorrow and You May Die!
    63. Re:Premature much by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      Yeah, but you have to get your junk all goopy...

      Not necessarily. It might be someone else's. Ummm, so I'm told.

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    64. Re:Premature much by flyneye · · Score: 1

      Im a bit curious about this fear of DRM nonsense. Wouldnt copy/paste layers into a new CAD file or changing the design minimally forego the nonsense?

      --
      *Repent!Quit Your Job!Slack Off!The World Ends Tomorrow and You May Die!
    65. Re:Premature much by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So it's not a serious mass production tool. Production != mass production. The whole point of 3D printing is to make one-offs. That's important for the tooling for mass production, so 3D printing can make mass production cheaper, if that's what you want. But it also disrupts the entire concept of "production" familiar for the last 200 years by allowing for efficient production which is not mass-production.

      Or, to put it another way, familiar to Slashdotters since time immemorial ...

      Sure, there are are nitch places for 2d printing (hard to find books, artistic stuff (even one off custom prints), etc). However, as soon as there is a document good enough to print, if enough people want it, it'll be cheaper for traditional presses to print it. And all the other little trinkets... your local linotype shop can do those.

      There's a reason some books are hard to find - there's little demand. So one shop that can do it per town will probably be more than enough for something like that can do quality books (hardbound, leather wrap, etc).

      The only way I see it making it into many homes is if the big companies royally screw up. If they, for instance, make sure that linotype shops won't print anything that is copywritten or trademarked etc, then you won't be able to run down there and print out a new copy of The Art of Computer Programming... a home printer starts to make a lot of sense then, but only really because of politics and red tape.

    66. Re:Premature much by Hognoxious · · Score: 2

      Where I think it may eventually shine is instant repair parts: a new door for the DVD-RW drive, a new button for the mouse, etc.

      The material won't (or at least is unlikely to) have the same characteristics, and the qualities of the material and the form of the object are closely linked.

      Many things clip or snap together. Too soft and it won't stay in place. Too hard and it wont go together at all. Too brittle and it just breaks. Other things are held by screws. Can 3D printers produce holes with threads fine enough? Is the material strong enough to take the load?

      I reckon you'd be better off with a dremel, a nailfile and some milliput.

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    67. Re:Premature much by JonnyCalcutta · · Score: 1

      This. I bought a fairly cheap Samsung b&w laser printer a few years ago after wasting fortunes on ink for a colour inkjet that was used a few times a year. What with cleaning cycles and ink just drying up it felt like it was costing me a cartridge per print. Now after around 3 years it has cost me a total of £25 for one replacement toner cartridge (plus the original sub-£100 cost for the printer with original cartridge). Lack of colour has never been an issue as like you and others I just outsource any colour printing to the local store.

    68. Re:Premature much by plover · · Score: 1

      Oh, I know it's far from producing perfect replacement parts, and in some cases it could never print a replacement part. ABS and PLA are not adequate substitutes for some materials. And some materials have properties that will never work in a hot-end extrusion process.

      But it will work in a lot of cases. The choice for most parts is based on the materials available, not their mechanical properties. If you needed a polyethylene part for some specific mechanical reason (tolerance, strength, elasticity, precision, whatever) if at all possible you'd have them injection mold the rest of the non-structural parts out of the same material at the same time, rather than set up a second job with a different plastic, even if a different plastic might be cheaper. Those other parts are the kinds of parts you could successfully squirt out of ABS in a 3D printer.

      And 3D printing technology is not standing still. People are figuring out ways to incorporate many different plastics with the printing mechanisms. Others are producing plug-in cartridge systems, so the consumer can easily select from a broader assortment of appropriate materials. Hobbyist printers are gaining extra heads, extra axes, and more capabilities. I also think clever people will soon solve the screw thread problem, perhaps by incorporating slow-setting plastic in holes that use a metal screw as a part of a secondary molding process.

      Maybe you can't print a nylon gear today, but maybe you will be able to tomorrow.

      --
      John
    69. Re:Premature much by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      3D printers do not provide an economic incentive for most consumers. Now and probably for the foreseeable future Walmart will still provide all the plastic crap they need at a price they want to pay, and with no thought or effort required.

    70. Re:Premature much by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      Consumer 3D printers don't have good control for heat. For one thing, they print on a non-heated plate, without air temperature control, slowly. The material cools as it's printed, so you get cold joints everywhere.

      Mass production uses rapid techniques such as injection molding, casting, or forging. For example: Good steel is refined, poured, hammered by a pile (cold or hot forge), then forged by slamming a metal mold down onto the steel (hot or cold, for a hot forge or cold forge). This is how good-quality knives are made--quickly and efficiently and to an extremely high degree of quality. Crap-quality knives use laser cut sheet metal that's been simply rolled, which is also quick and efficient; the best quality knives are hand-made by artisans who manually forge the metal, responding dynamically to changes in its appearance and response to pressure (hammer), producing marginally or even significantly better work than an automated cold forge. Artisan knives take forever to make and are possibly a significant improvement over mass-produced cold-forge knives, but not so substantially as to make much of a great practical difference as with laser cut crap.

      3D printing is slower than dog shit being pumped through 1/4 ID fish tank tubing. Part of mass production is economy of scale--the ability to produce something in little time and, thus, with little energy. We assume that a facility of the same size using the same energy draw can either produce 10 shirts or 100 shirts by different methods. The method which produces 100 shirts draws the same energy for 1/10 the time per shirt--even if it takes the same amount of time, if you can make the shirts in a smaller apparatus that uses 1/10 as much energy, you can make 10 times as many shirts in the same time with the same manufacturing energy cost. Your marginal cost of turning raw fabric into shirts is 1/10 as great. 3D printing goes the opposite way compared to modern technique.

    71. Re:Premature much by Muad'Dave · · Score: 2

      For example, a 4x8 foot router table can cut up an entire sheet of plywood to make self-assembled furniture.

      Thinking outside the box a little, why not have the router move by itself on the plywood? Your 4x8 'table' would be reduced to either:

      1) a wheeled router with decent X/Y awareness and a bit that has a roller ball on the tip to prevent over-penetration and damage to the underlying surface. The plywood can be arranged on any flat surface.
      2) a pair of channels that clamp onto sides of and span the plywood in one direction and a crossmember that makes up essentially a giant X/Y plotter with a router at the intersection. The channels and crossmember can be disassembled and stored away easily.

      You don't necessary need to dedicate a 4x8 area for a particular task using either method.

      --
      Tiller's Rule: Never use a word in written form that you've only heard and never read. You will end up looking foolish.
    72. Re:Premature much by Muad'Dave · · Score: 1

      That's why HUD requires signatures in blue pen - so they know they have the original.

      --
      Tiller's Rule: Never use a word in written form that you've only heard and never read. You will end up looking foolish.
    73. Re:Premature much by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      All of y'all saying this have simply not recognized the numerous advancements and production uses of 3dp in industry. While true that 3dp has a long road ahead of it before we are printing some of the shit we buy off of amazon at home, it is already in increasing production use in the aerospace and defense, medical, military, and likely soon electronics industry. It will never replace current methods for things like dixie cups, but it will change how the folks that we buy things from make their product, particularly for things that are complex and relatively low volume or that have complex supply chains. It will also potentially spawn a new age of repair rather than replace (the guy who talked about being able to go to kinko's for a reliable custom part for a washing machine? It's closer than you think).

      It's kinda is annoying to hear all you fellow geeks talk about how this will only be good for prototyping when companies like boeing are already using it, when its being used to 3dp concrete structure to repair damaged waterfront infrastructure in NY, when it has already solved supply/repair issues for the army in Afghanistan, and when it is already being used in Europe to print things like custom hip joint replacements that work much better than other methods. Or when the precision and list of materials and more importantly composites (like integral electronics) keep increasing in capabilities for industry. Seriously, just because the it'll be hobbyist at the consumer level for quite a while (though less time than you think) does not mean it is not being greatly increased in usage in industry, and not just custom jewelry on etsy. This is like the internet in the early nineties. It will be transformative in large and substantial ways, even if you never 3dp a pair of sneakers in your lifetime at your house.

    74. Re:Premature much by mi · · Score: 1

      That said, one advantage to being fast is if you have to make adjustments to your model that are only discovered after printing.

      That's true for the actual designers, which, I'm sad to admit, I am not. I foresee myself buying other people's designs to "print" locally — instead of waiting for the Chinese manufacturers to buy (or steal) the designs, then implementing them and shipping the results to me...

      --
      In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
    75. Re:Premature much by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      s/nitch/niche/
      s/copywritten/copywrote/

      moron

    76. Re:Premature much by unrtst · · Score: 1

      Um... your linotype example tends to back up what I'm saying. I don't know ANYONE that prints out full books. It's cheaper to go buy one than print it at home. Fewer and fewer people are buying printers too... especially photo printers, where people just run down to their local kinko's/cvs/walmart/etc and get a better photo print than they could at home, for cheaper and in less time.

      I get that 3d printing is for one-offs... but then who's making the design of the "one" to off, and who needs that at home? I do think it'll end up being used quite a bit, the way photo printing is now, but I doubt we'll get one in every house. The sad truth is that economies of scale mean that buying something that's been shipped from the other side of the world will still be cheaper, better, and faster than printing it out at home. It does make great fantasy though (Cory Doctorow's written about it a bunch and included it as part of some of his novels, which were excellent).

      What I do hope happens is that the home versions of 3d printers continue to get better and cheaper so that people will have the option of doing it at home rather than paying a local service. That will keep things competitive, and still allow for edge cases where the home printer is actually very very useful (like prototyping).

    77. Re:Premature much by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      I'm going to say that the big obstacle is finding stuff to print. I actually have a use case for numerous small plastic parts (I play miniature wargames), but designing parts more interesting a Civil War flat-deck monitor is going to be difficult, at least for me. If I have to pay for somebody else's designs, I'm probably better off ordering copies from Shapeway's than buying my own 3D printer and plastic.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    78. Re:Premature much by MiSaunaSnob · · Score: 1

      or you could buy a set of taps and use them to thread holes. or buy the press in brass inserts and use them for threads.

    79. Re:Premature much by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      people find a way to use it for sexual gratification

      see Makerlove

    80. Re:Premature much by mi · · Score: 1

      designing parts more interesting a Civil War flat-deck monitor is going to be difficult, at least for me

      Moreover, if you had a particular knock for designing, you'd be able to find a manufacturer to implement your designs and sell them. A reasonably free Capitalist country is very conductive to just this sort of activity...

      I'm probably better off ordering copies from Shapeway's than buying my own 3D printer and plastic.

      This may still be true today, but consider the possibilities of the future: no need to pay and wait for delivery, no gas is burned to deliver your part. The hale and healthy men and women doing the deliveries can instead do something more useful, and the roads have fewer trucks on them. By downloading somebody else's design and printing it locally, you get your part within an hour or two — and for much less.

      --
      In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
    81. Re:Premature much by mysidia · · Score: 1

      Wouldnt copy/paste layers into a new CAD file or changing the design minimally forego the nonsense?

      Then the new CAD file wouldn't be digitally signed.

      I think the suggestion is... intellectual property and no-weapons-on-your-printer are so difficult to enforce otherwise, that the corporations and special interests lobby the government to mandate a system where you have to connect to an internet server for approval every time you want to print something.

      And if the CAD file is unknown or not digitally signed, then you need to submit it for approval which includes verification that printing it won't be a known patent/copyright infringement or part that can be used as or with a concealable or automated weapon system.

      (E.g. Printing a plastic gun = banned. Printing a high capacity magazine for an assault rifle or other 'dangerous' device = banned.

    82. Re: Premature much by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think it'd be advantageous to cut out the companies involvement in the process.

      Why not get custom products made in your own country?

      Standards might then revolve around quality and how long a product will last - rather than simply profits.

      They can make household white goods (fridges, washers etc) that last for 30 years in working order.

      But they don't. There's no money to be made if people don't need to constantly replace things.

    83. Re:Premature much by flyneye · · Score: 1

      If history is any indicator, there will be a patch out for that...

      --
      *Repent!Quit Your Job!Slack Off!The World Ends Tomorrow and You May Die!
  2. Same with photo printers by CastrTroy · · Score: 5, Insightful

    It's the same deal with photo printers. It's much easier and cheaper to go down to Walmart or Costco when you need to print out your photos and get them to use their professional quality machines to do the job. I think that 3D printers will end up in the same sport. You'll go down to Walmart, and get them to print out an item for you. You'll only need it maybe 5 times a year, so there's no point in owning your own 3D printer. There's already services where you can send a 3D file and somebody will print it out and ship it to you.

    --

    Anthropic principle: We see the universe the way it is because if it were different we would not be here to see it.
  3. yep by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I'm in agreement. I don't really need more small plastic crap around my house. I'm way more interested in ShopBot style CNC where you can actually build useful things like furniture, etc.

  4. Re:Same with photo printers by dale.furno · · Score: 0

    Working the 3d printer booth would probably be the only job at a Walmart retail location that I would ever consider.

    Would make a nice job for young people that are aspiring to some line of tech work.

  5. Perhaps by Highland+Deck+Box · · Score: 5, Funny

    if they could create a 2D printer that wasn't a crotchety piece of shit, then people would be more excited. I don't look forward to trying to unjam some 3D printer nozzles full of melted plastic.

    1. Re:Perhaps by Shakrai · · Score: 5, Informative

      if they could create a 2D printer that wasn't a crotchety piece of shit

      There are dozens of different quality printers on the market today. They just cost more than the $30 people are willing to pay for an inkjet printer from Wally World.

      --
      I want peace on earth and goodwill toward man.
      We are the United States Government! We don't do that sort of thing.
    2. Re:Perhaps by gstoddart · · Score: 4, Informative

      if they could create a 2D printer that wasn't a crotchety piece of shit, then people would be more excited.

      My Brother laser printers are anything but crotchety pieces of shit.

      Maybe you're just buying crappy printers?

      --
      Lost at C:>. Found at C.
    3. Re:Perhaps by nine-times · · Score: 1

      Well there are certainly problems with normal printers, of the 2D variety. Essentially, most of them are crotchety pieces of shit. People don't want to spend very much, so manufacturers have often focused on producing cheap models, and those cheap models are often not well designed. Even the well-designed kind tend to need some maintenance now and then.

      As a general product, printers are stagnant and awful. Maybe it's because people are sending around PDFs instead of printing things out? Either way, the devices themselves are still huge and heavy. They still require drivers, which is insane. The drivers are often crappy and lacking support for a lot of platforms. I mean, really, what do printers do? They put ink or toner onto a sheet of paper. You'd think we could develop a standard interface and move away from drivers entirely. You'd think major printer manufacturers could at least make solid drivers that were trouble free. Nope. It's still a nightmare.

      And don't even get me started on scanners. Network scanners are still completely retarded unless you shell out for a Fujitsu Scansnap or something comparable. Multi-function printers are a mess. I've given up on scanners altogether and started using one of those smartphone apps that lets you take a picture of your documents and dump it on Dropbox.

      So yeah, I think the GP post has a point. An awful lot of consumer devices are crap.

    4. Re:Perhaps by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Brother color laser and Canon Pro-10 owner here. Love both of my printers.

    5. Re:Perhaps by Opportunist · · Score: 2

      Well, to be fair, if 3D printers were anything like 2D printers you'd get them for 30 bucks but the filament would cost about 100 bucks a yard and you could only put the manufacturer made one in.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    6. Re:Perhaps by Darinbob · · Score: 1

      Even good ones tend to be crap if they're turned on only once a year, and the rest of the year it accumulates dust and the ink solidifies on the head.

    7. Re:Perhaps by mlts · · Score: 1

      It depends. I have an old HP color laser that is still on its starter set of toner that I bought about a decade ago on closeout, and it still works for the occasional photograph. I've seen old HP Laserjet 4 models still continue to keep going for almost 20 years. If it has Postscript, a distinct driver isn't really needed.

      Now, inkjet printers are a different story. For a while, one could buy an ink cartridge and get a low-end printer "free" with it. I expect little from a printer that costs well south of a C-note.

      I think 3D printers will be similar. The cheap ones will probably have issues with melted filament. The good ones will have mechanisms to ensure that isn't an issue.

    8. Re:Perhaps by danbert8 · · Score: 1

      Really? My Brother printer is a pain in the ass. When it works over the network it still has stupid moments like no printing in greyscale because the yellow ink is "empty". I have yet to find a non-enterprise printer that I didn't hate.

      --
      Yes it's an anecdote! Were you expecting original research in a Slashdot comment?
    9. Re:Perhaps by danbert8 · · Score: 1

      It also wouldn't come with the necessary cables to actually hook it up to anything.

      --
      Yes it's an anecdote! Were you expecting original research in a Slashdot comment?
    10. Re:Perhaps by BasilBrush · · Score: 1

      Printer manufacturers make cheap printers at little or no profit because they make the money on ink. Although most these days include a scanner, they aren't really interested in you using it as a scanner as that doesn't directly translate to using ink. It's there so you photocopy stuff and use up ink that way.

      Dedicated scanners like the ScanSnap are good because you pay money up front for the scanning capability.

    11. Re:Perhaps by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A good printer runs $500 and even then your odds are just better than 50/50. The entire market below that price point is fostered by consumerism, lies and snake oil. Much like the slowly improving cell phone market.

    12. Re:Perhaps by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Except for the drivers, for which support will be dropped at some random future version of Microsoft windows. Excuse while I vomit at the thought of our future produced by the "WalMcCannon 3d printer for food and hardlines" support via pre-recorded phone tree of course.

    13. Re:Perhaps by Lehk228 · · Score: 1

      ink? found your problem right there. inkjet printing is inherantly crappy because it is only economical in a narrow sweet spot of usage levels. if you use it very rarely, your cartridges and print heads will dry out in between uses, driving your cost per page and annoyaznce level sky high.

      if you print a lot, the high cost of ink and general wear and tear from having an electronic device handling liquid is costly. toner dust sits there idle for as long as it needs to sit, and when it's go time it can run off a lot of prints quickly and cheaply, the only downside is photo printing. if you do a lot of photo printing, but not so much that a commercial service is worth utilizing, you will be well served with a good photo printer (assuming that any are good, i have not shopped for photo printers in more than a decade so i have no clue)

      --
      Snowden and Manning are heroes.
    14. Re:Perhaps by EvanED · · Score: 1

      I've seen old HP Laserjet 4 models still continue to keep going for almost 20 years.

      I have an old HP Laserjet 4+ that's going after almost 20 years (and just passed 23,000 pages). :-)

    15. Re:Perhaps by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As someone who has had to maintain printers that cost in thousands of dollars, all I can say is "fuck you." Bigger, more expensive printers have the same issues as the small cheap ones, and then more.

    16. Re:Perhaps by gstoddart · · Score: 1

      See, I specifically said "laser printer".

      As in, prints only one color. I have no need for color printing.

      Brother has some very nice laser printers out there for the consumer market. We have one which is just a printer, and one which is an all-in-one with scanning, photocopying, and faxing. The two use the exact same cartridge.

      And those printers have been in use for several years in our house, and work quite well.

      If you want just a basic black and white laser printer, I will happily recommend a Brother HL-2140.

      --
      Lost at C:>. Found at C.
    17. Re:Perhaps by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Mine just has black and you can force it to print even with "low toner" by tapping the power button 7 times.

  6. Printing the cart before the horse by RobSwider · · Score: 1

    The way this technology was presented to "The Public" a few years ago, it sounded like we would soon be buying stuff online and printing it at home. For those of us who recognize it for what it is--basically just a CNC hot-glue gun--it's still pretty impressive. But it's nowhere near the game-changer it was said to be. It'll happen, but it's going to take time for the software and chemical engineers to work out the wrinkles.

    1. Re:Printing the cart before the horse by CanHasDIY · · Score: 1

      The way this technology was presented to "The Public" a few years ago, it sounded like we would soon be buying stuff online and printing it at home.

      Which, IMO, is exactly why normals aren't exactly chomping at the bit to buy themselves a 3D printer - the media tried to sell them a magic anything-duplicator, and the reality of the situation is that they're anything but.

      Plus the steep learning curve; I doubt most people would even own a personal computer if there was no such thing as a GUI.

      --
      An enigma, wrapped in a riddle, shrouded in bacon and cheese
    2. Re:Printing the cart before the horse by ArcadeMan · · Score: 1

      Did somebody say CNC hot-glue gun?

  7. Apt quote by SteveFoerster · · Score: 5, Insightful

    “If I'd asked my customers what they wanted, they'd have said a faster horse.” – Henry Ford

    --
    Space game using normal deck of cards: http://BattleCards.org
    1. Re:Apt quote by westlake · · Score: 1

      "If I'd asked my customers what they wanted, they'd have said a faster horse." --- Henry Ford

      The quote is bogus.

      Something to be trotted out whenever the entrepreneur of the 1950s has a product that wasn't selling worth spit.

      Ford was raised on a farm. The horse and carriage was an endless care and expense. The Ford car tireless and uncomplaining. You could make good time on a hard surfaced road --- few and far between in the beginning.

    2. Re:Apt quote by SteveFoerster · · Score: 1

      “Never let the truth get in the way of a good story.” --- Mark Twain

      --
      Space game using normal deck of cards: http://BattleCards.org
    3. Re:Apt quote by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Some of us are *still bloody waiting*.

    4. Re:Apt quote by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      "Never let incorrect attribution stop a good quote" - Lao Tse

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
  8. Well DUH by sootman · · Score: 2

    Most people weren't impressed with the first home computers, either, and couldn't see a need for one. It'll take time, better and cheaper technology, and more known use cases. Look how long it took us to get from the AT and XT and Apple II and "you can use it for recipes and Oregon Trail!" to the iPad, Facebook, and Skype.

    As soon as people learn that they can print a new battery cover for a remote control, or replace a small broken part of a kid's favorite toy, or some amazing thing no one has yet thought of, they'll start picking up. Personally, I can't wait. (I mean, I can wait, and I am waiting, but I'm really looking forward to having one and I already have a bunch of things in mind for when I get one. Just waiting for them to be a bit cheaper.)

    The same way you download and print random cute, funny, or pretty pictures, imagine being able to download and print random neat stuff like this. (Sample I saw from a Makerbot in a Microsoft store.)

    --
    Dear Slashdot: next time you want to mess with the site, add a rich-text editor for comments.
    1. Re:Well DUH by WrongMonkey · · Score: 0

      Your example shows why it's pointless. It's just a chunk of plastic with no particular use. Probably took hours to print, but after you've look at it and said "Neat!" it just collects dust.

    2. Re:Well DUH by queazocotal · · Score: 4, Insightful

      'As soon as people learn that they can print a new battery cover for a remote control, or replace a small broken part of a kid's favorite toy, or some amazing thing no one has yet thought of, they'll start picking up.'

      But they can't.
      Unless that was your point.
      Take your average consumer, and give them a 3d modelling package.
      Ask them to make a battery cover.
      It needs to fit precisely in the hole - often to +-0.2mm tolerances or it won't slide in right.
      It needs to have a properly designed 'spring' or it's going to fall off again.
      They don't have an accurate metrology thing that would let them measure the size of the hole.
      They are at best inexperienced when trying to run 3d modelling software, much of which is at best challenging to use.

      It's going to take most people quite a while before they can actually print something that fits.

      This may well be too high a barrier to entry.

      Printing things from thingiverse et al is another matter.

      At the moment, a 'Customers not impressed with CNC lathes' story would make almost as much sense.

    3. Re:Well DUH by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So instead of all of those cat videos on youtube, it'll be 3D cat models?

    4. Re:Well DUH by Bardez · · Score: 1

      It's for use in something like tabletop gaming. It shows use for a great prop, that is creative and enhances the experience. It would also be a long-term waste of space. If we could get recycling down such that you can print it and ditch it (storing the source digital file) without creating massive clutter, this would be awesome.

      --
      Perception is the thin dividing line between reality and fiction.
    5. Re:Well DUH by Bardez · · Score: 2

      Coupled with a 3D scanner, it would. Imagine your kid throws your remote. The plastic nub on it breaks off, and it is no longer a functional cover, but you have the cover and it's plastic peg nub, just separated. You put them into a scanner, it scans the dimensions. You open up some 3D modelling software to put the two pieces back together, then click print. You now have your replacement part.

      --
      Perception is the thin dividing line between reality and fiction.
    6. Re:Well DUH by bws111 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Or, you could just continue doing what people do today: tape it back on. Total expense, tenth of a cent. Total time spent, 15 seconds.

      If those kinds of things are what people are hanging their visions on, forget it.

    7. Re:Well DUH by Guspaz · · Score: 2

      You can. Just buy a Filabot:

      http://www.filabot.com/

      When you're done with the 3D printed item, and have gathered a few such discards up, toss them in the Filabot Reclaimer (basically a hand-crank grinder) and then toss the ground plastic into the Filabot. It then spits out plastic filament to use in your 3D printer. It can also be used to recycle, say, lego.

    8. Re:Well DUH by SleazyRidr · · Score: 1

      I guess it depends on the application, but for a lot of the common stuff you'll just download the plan from the internet. Obviously, half the point of a 3d-printer is the niche stuff that you can't download, but we're ignoring a lot of the potential of computers when all they get used for is facebook and twitter.

    9. Re:Well DUH by Kjella · · Score: 1

      Or, you could just continue doing what people do today: tape it back on. Total expense, tenth of a cent. Total time spent, 15 seconds.

      That sounds familiar...

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
    10. Re:Well DUH by Attila+Dimedici · · Score: 1

      Most people weren't impressed with the first home computers, either, and couldn't see a need for one.

      Of course that was because they did not have a need for one. As a result, manufacturers of those devices did not attempt to market them to "most people". They marketed them to hobbyists, who wanted a computer to play with. The problem with 3D printers is that the manufacturers are trying to move to the mass market phase before the hobbyists have played with them long enough to develop reasons why the average person would want one. For that matter, when the first home computers came out, most people had an idea what computers were good for. Right now there is no comparison in people's minds between 3D printers and their industrial big brothers like there was between the first home computers and their industrial big brothers.

      --
      The truth is that all men having power ought to be mistrusted. James Madison
    11. Re:Well DUH by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      IF you could use it to recycle consumer waste plastics that may be useful, but at it current price point I don't see that as being practical.

    12. Re:Well DUH by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Uh no...
      Your average person would load up the future equivalent of the piratebay for battery covers... download, print... be done with it.

    13. Re:Well DUH by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I've actually used 3d modelling software extensively. I actually have digital calipers at home. If I had a 3d printer and had a broken remote control cover, I would still just use tape instead.

    14. Re:Well DUH by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      He's explaining a general concept using a simple example.

      When you were taught 2+2=4 did you say "well this math thing is fucking useless, if it can only calculate this one sum".

    15. Re:Well DUH by jim_deane · · Score: 1

      Sure, the average consumer won't design the battery cover.

      They'll just go search for replacements that knowledgeable people already modeled.

    16. Re:Well DUH by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      (Rudisaurus here - posting anonymously to preserve my mods in this discussion)

      I think you've put your finger on the biggest barrier -- and nobody else has discussed this yet: the need to transform from a physical object to be replicated (or an idea) into a model description which a 3-D printer can use.

      I had a need for a replacement part recently -- broken plastic hinge on an obsolete breadmaker -- and the thing that really stopped me from wandering down to my local makerspace and simply replicating it (I had the 2nd one of the pair to work from) was the need for a model description file and the hurdle of using 3-D modelling software (which, admittedly, is probably not that hard once you know what you're doing) to generate it in an accepted format. Ended up going online and getting a whole breadmaker from someone else from which I scavenged the parts I wanted. Costly and not efficient.

      I had a second instance of a need for a plastic yogourt jar lid (having melted one in the dishwasher) from an obsolete yogourt maker originally made in the '80's. Again, I had other examples I could have worked from, the shape was relatively simple, and it could easily have been printed off. Again, I had to find one online and pay significantly to have it shipped to me.

      Make 3-D descriptions easier to come up with -- or automate the process with a 3-D scanner so I don't have to worry about it -- and you've got the biggest barrier taken care of right there.

    17. Re:Well DUH by GravityStar · · Score: 1

      It can also be used to recycle, say, lego.

      Barbarian!

  9. Re:Same with photo printers by Talderas · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Load file.
    Press print.

    Yeah, real inspiration.

    --
    "Lack of speed can be overcome. In the worst case by patience." --Znork
  10. Custom lego parts! by Servaas · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Take my money now!

    1. Re:Custom lego parts! by mark-t · · Score: 1

      Precision of 3d printing technology will have to improve by more than an order of magnitude before it will be able to actually do lego parts that fit well with existing lego.

    2. Re:Custom lego parts! by Hamsterdan · · Score: 1

      Molded Lego bricks are an order of magnitude more precise than what a 3-d printer could do. Just look at Mega blocks for the difference in parts tolerances (altough TBH they are much better now)...

      --
      I've got better things to do tonight than die.
    3. Re:Custom lego parts! by jfengel · · Score: 1

      Isn't that counter to the point? I thought the whole idea of Lego was to be able to buy many instances of a few standardized, interchangeable components and assemble them into anything you want.

      If you had a machine that could print custom Lego parts, wouldn't you just skip the Lego entirely and just 3D print whatever the final thing is supposed to be?

      Sorry, I didn't play much with Legos and I'm not part of Lego culture. I infer from reading Slashdot that people really enjoy making unlikely things out of them, for the lulz, which is cool. So I apologize for being naive, but I don't understand why you'd want custom Lego parts.

    4. Re:Custom lego parts! by jbeaupre · · Score: 1

      Not quite true. I've made a few parts with a Makerbot. Mostly custom idler gears to see if it could work. Nothing exciting, but they work perfectly.

      The trick was post processing. Instead of an X shaped axle hole, I made a round hole. Then used a drill bit to clean it out to a fairly precise diameter.

      But haven't been motivated to do much more than that. The same process would work perfect for making joined gears, but again I haven't been too motivated.

      --
      The world is made by those who show up for the job.
    5. Re:Custom lego parts! by grim4593 · · Score: 1

      No. The construction of the "final thing it is supposed to be" may only last a fw minutes or hours. The FUN is using those parts to make what you want, play with those constructions, and then taking them apart to build something new. I would love to be able to print missing, interesting, or custom LEGO parts.

    6. Re:Custom lego parts! by mark-t · · Score: 1

      Try making a brick and see how well it fits.

    7. Re:Custom lego parts! by jfengel · · Score: 1

      Cool. Thanks.

  11. wrong target by slashmydots · · Score: 4, Interesting

    My friend's company just got a multi-million dollar 19-axis robot for carving custom wood. They're the only ones in America with one that does specifically what they do. It has already paid for itself in 3 years. If they didn't work with wood and did prototypes or CNC or something more 3d printer friendly, dropping a few thousand on a top of the line 3D printer would be no problem. A shipment of materials costs more than that. The staff hours carving custom parts out of plastic alone would pay for it. So I'd say they need to target businesses first, use the funds to make the technology much better, THEN go cheap and target the residential customers with even lower priced machines.

    1. Re:wrong target by Collective+0-0009 · · Score: 2

      1. WTF is a 19 axis machine? I think you might be off by a dozen or so. Never heard of more than 7, and never saw anyone actually use it. Give me a link, if you got one.

      2. The multi-million dollar machine can repeat a cut probably within .000001 of a inch. 3d printers are current at about .01 (maybe .001). There is just a massive difference in the quality of the materials and the overall machine. So right now the only people that can truly use the current tech are those without tight tolerances, which is usually not people that buy million dollar machines.

      --
      I finally updated my sig, but now it's lame.
    2. Re:wrong target by Skynyrd · · Score: 1

      They just got one, but they've had it 3 years?
      A top of the line 3D printer for "a few thousand"?

      You have too many axis in you 19 axis magical wood carver, and not enough zeros on the end of the price of the printer. Neither of the objects you speak of actually exist.

    3. Re:wrong target by slashmydots · · Score: 1

      Well, after my friend said that I figured it either travels through time and the fabric of reality or it has like 6 3D joints and a 1 dimensional movement track, lol.

    4. Re:wrong target by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Here is a 12-axis cutting machine ... you get how you can have 19 axes now?

      Your second comment tries to be authoritative but it's really just a bunch of your assumptions. Only people with tight tolerances buy expensive machines? What planet are you on? People buy expensive machines for all kinds of reasons, but mostly because they can get a return on their investment within their chosen market, and that's how machines are priced - you don't think it works cost-plus, do you? There's no way a 19-axis robot cutting wood can get 25um tolerances. Wood is used for large-volume applications, 19-axis robots aren't used to carve miniature figurines, they're used to carve guitars or even boats. 0.003" of error (Stratasys) is smaller than the naked eye can comfortably see. Retina displays pixels are that size. Unless you're trying to make the flush seals on the next iPhone, it's plenty enough to make SMD connectors and Warhammer figures.

    5. Re:wrong target by Collective+0-0009 · · Score: 1

      You tried to sound authoritative as well, but did not notice that I said repeatability of 25um. Which is likely for a machine of that costs (but you are right, not with that many joints - I was thinking more traditional CNC mills and lathes). You can buy machines for much less than a million with repeatability in the millionths of an inch.

      --
      I finally updated my sig, but now it's lame.
  12. Consumers are right by WrongMonkey · · Score: 5, Insightful

    3-D is ok for a one-off prototype. But who needs a $1000 device that takes hours to print a happy meal toy?

    1. Re:Consumers are right by ducomputergeek · · Score: 1

      That's just it. It's a niche tool for certain industries, specially design and engineering firms, who spend a day doing the CAD specs and can let something print over night to see if the latest revision of a design will work in a prototype. For those industries it's a godsend. I can see some garage inventor wanting one to tinker around with. For those purposes it's exactly the right tool for the job.

      But for stuff that I often need around the house, it's easier and quicker to run up to the store for me than to print it myself.

      --
      "The problem with socialism is eventually you run out of other people's money" - Thatcher.
    2. Re:Consumers are right by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Anyone that thinks 3D printing is something regular consumers care about and that time of large-scale consumer 3D printing is now... has breathed too much of his own fumes.

      Consumer 3D printers are expensive toys for overgrown boys, at least at this point. There may be widening, but small core audience, but at this point real markets are somewhere else: selling professional printing technology to companies that need them, or sell printing services with delivery to consumers. This takes away the rebel factor, but how many people are really going to offset the price of a 3D printer at this point by their "home manufacturing?" Probably not many.

      All in all, low consumer interest in 3D printers sounds like "surprising" low interest in dedicated home-based web server solely to host photos of your dog. There are so much more cost effective ways to get the things done, and most people that can count and aren't dedicated to the task of over-tinkering can figure that out. Thus, I'm surprised that anyone could be surprised of the lack of popular demand for home 3D printers.

    3. Re:Consumers are right by Richy_T · · Score: 1

      In general, you're not too far wrong but last year, I did print myself a concrete edging tool when Lowes didn't have exactly what I wanted. Mostly it's just a toy though.

  13. The Big Bang Theory quote time by smooth+wombat · · Score: 5, Funny

    Raj and Howard in front of a 3d printer:

    Raj: Ooh. I, I think it's done.

    (Opens door to printer)

    Raj: It worked! We printed a whistle.

    Howard: Amazing. You realize these things go for 25 cents a pop at a party store.

    Raj: And we made it in only three hours!

    --
    We will bankrupt ourselves in the vain search for absolute security. -- Dwight D. Eisenhower
    1. Re:The Big Bang Theory quote time by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you 3d-print something that is not unique, you are doing it wrong.

    2. Re:The Big Bang Theory quote time by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Which is why consumers aren't impressed with 3D printing. Very few people have a need for a one off.

  14. We're 3D printing the wrong stuff for mainstream! by leonbev · · Score: 1

    I think that the problem is that most people are using 3D printers now are engineers making prototype parts for machinery, which doesn't interest the mainstream.

    Now, if you post a bunch of 3D printer template files for sex toys... now you'll get the mainstream's attention!

    Wow... I almost see the great unwashed masses heading to Target now for "That there plastic dildo maker" Janet told me about :)

  15. Consumers != Creators by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Of course consumers are not excited. The excitement of a 3d printer isn't creating a duplicate plastic part that you could purchase in a store for 30 cents. 3D printers are exciting to people who create their own stuff: creators. There's a fundamental cultural divide between creators and consumers: tablets and for consumers, laptops and desktops are for creators. Saying that consumer's aren't ready for 3d printers is like saying consumers aren't ready for a new programming language. Of course they aren't, they don't care. Consumers get excited about a new toy (maybe even one designed on a 3d printer, by a creator) or a new app or game (built in a programming language by a creator).

    They aren't us. Wishing won't make it so.

    1. Re:Consumers != Creators by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What put 3D printing on the map were the articles of printing guns. Consumers didn't care about prototypes or the fact that a person was using 3D printing for cheap hospital items that could be made in some closet in a disaster-struck area.

      Of course, my worry is when sintering mills get to consumer level. Right now, a Mitsubushi additive/subtractive mill (Lumex Avance 25) costs $845,946. However with the knee jerk reactions of lawmakers and the press that preys on fears, I wouldn't be surprised to see layers and layers of DRM, legal wrangling, and lots of red tape before something like that ever gets into the five or even the quad digit mark. I wouldn't be surprised to see a law passed that requires all 3D printers to only print signed files (with some clearinghouse signing all designs.)

    2. Re:Consumers != Creators by Richy_T · · Score: 1

      Needs more Brad Pitt and those Kardashians or whoever.

  16. It's a culture problem. by mosb1000 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Right now we have a consumer culture that doesn't really teach people to make and repair their own things (which is what a 3D printing would mostly be useful for). So while a 3D printer might someday be useful for a mechanic who needs to make car parts or a shoe salesmen who needs to make a custom shoe, most people are still expecting to go to someone else to get those things. As the technology improves and can make more things (metal parts, rubber, glass, composites) and people get more used to it, we may see the market for the technology grow, assuming it isn't outlawed first.

    1. Re:It's a culture problem. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Let me fix this for you ;)

      Right now we have a consumer culture that doesn't really teach people to make and repair their own guns (which is what a 3D printing would mostly be useful for). So while a 3D printer might someday be useful for right wing nuts who need to make gun parts or a regular soldier who needs to make a custom rifle, most people are still expecting to go to someone else to get those things. As the technology improves and can make more things (metal parts, bullets, rpg, explosives) and people get more used to it, we may see the market for the technology grow, assuming war isn't outlawed first.

    2. Re:It's a culture problem. by mosb1000 · · Score: 1

      Is this the Dianne Feinstein version?

    3. Re:It's a culture problem. by Kjella · · Score: 1

      Right now we have a consumer culture that doesn't really teach people to make and repair their own things (which is what a 3D printing would mostly be useful for).

      Mass production killed the repair business, unless it's really expensive they just come cheaper off the assembly line than having a repairman with the skills, parts and tools fix them one item at the time. I don't think I could find a seamstress or cobbler anymore if I wanted to repair my clothes or shoes, at least I'd have to search far and wide. I'm sure a tailor would do it for way too much money but it wouldn't be cost efficient. Same goes for my furniture, if anything breaks it's almost certainly easier and cheaper to replace than repair. Small electronics repair has died entirely, cars and houses are still expensive enough to repair but not much else. Particularly if you're not really sure if it's properly fixed or the repaired part is weaker than the original and taking into account that the item is worn and likely to break again sooner than a new one.

      Not that it's just repairs, in many areas you're so outpaced that being self-sufficient is more expensive than at the store. Like for example my dad and I used to chop firewood, but now we buy it and if you add up the raw material cost (owning a forest patch), the production costs (chain saw, blade, chain, fuel, oil, protection gear, cleaver, transport) and a modest self cost for your time (getting there, felling, cutting into pieces, transporting to the road, cleaving, getting it home, stacking for drying) it's still cheaper to work, pay taxes and buy firewood from a company that drives around with big forest machines and creates more firewood in an hour than we can manage in a week. Customization is really more interesting and worth a premium, but it's rarely combined with the urgency of needing it from my own printer. Or if it's that urgent, I probably can't wait for the printer.

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
    4. Re:It's a culture problem. by EvanED · · Score: 1

      Small electronics repair has died entirely...

      I'm probably the exception that proves the rule, but a while back I did actually send a pair of headphones in for repair. $30 instead of $100 replacement cost.

    5. Re:It's a culture problem. by mosb1000 · · Score: 1

      Just because you're doing it yourself doesn't mean you have to do it by hand. For example, you can get a lot of attachments for a bobcat that can help you out with your firewood problem. Granted, you'd need to already have a bobcat to make this worthwhile. These 3D printers will eventually server a similar purpose if they can learn to make them work in more than just plastic. If you want to make a plate by yourself today, you'd need a pottery wheel and a kiln, plus the know-how to make it by hand, but with a 3D printer, you can just download a design and print it out (if you don't mind that it's going to be plastic). That might beat going to the store because you can match the rest of your decor without shopping around. If they can get the kinks worked out so that anyone can use them, 3D printers might get more people interested in making and maintaining their own things.

  17. Re:Same with photo printers by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Lets not forget that while most of the orders will be simple extra-cheap toys or minor repair parts, there will be dicks. I mean that both in the sense of 'person who drops off an order and never picks it up/pays for it' and '3D printed sculptures of male sexual organs.' Often, the two will overlap.

  18. 3D printerz??? by NoNonAlphaCharsHere · · Score: 1

    Que the "Oh NOES! You can use them to make teh undetectable gunz!! The story at 10:00" local news teasers.

  19. Scanner + Printer combo FTW by scorp1us · · Score: 2

    If you had a scanner and printer combined and could just hit a "replicate" button, you'd be on to something.

    if you had a way to take the scan data and use that, then you'e really have something. Because then I can make cases for things by putting the thing in and doing a simple subtraction fro an extrusion and I'd get a mating surface. It would provide a pragmatic way to obtain dimensions, rather than busting out rulers and using trial and error.

    --
    Slashdot's rate-of-post filter: Preventing you from posting too many great ideas at once.
    1. Re:Scanner + Printer combo FTW by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How long until someone starts making 300 copies of their dong?

    2. Re:Scanner + Printer combo FTW by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      And leaving them under women's windshield wipers at the mall.

      High tech flashing.

      Then again women might collect and trade them like baseball cards.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
  20. Content Creation isn't there by CryptDemon · · Score: 1

    People can do regular photo printers because they can make photos. They have documents because they can create documents. There is all sorts of easy-to-use software out there that allows you to make up your own creation very easily without any real skill. To make shit on a 3D printer, first you have to plop down a thousand dollars for a crappy one. Then you have to go make a 3d model, which is way harder than snapping a picture or writing a word document or coming up with a quick flyer. Oh and then you have to spend tons of money on this really expensive powder and other compounds, and oh fuck it I'll just go buy a couple of toys from the store for cheaper. These are niche products.

    1. Re:Content Creation isn't there by AmbiLobe · · Score: 2

      I create 3D content with my Perl program. I am a consumer who tried the 3D printer service at the UPS Store in February, 2014. The documentation for the consumer to read does not exist. They could not print my Venus Globe as a turn-key job, so communications stopped from their end (New York City). Here are pictures of my consumer application simulation: http://venusglobe.cabanova.com... Conclusion: for the 3D printer retailer to get consumers to spend money, they need to tell us several facts. Facts: use one file for the 3D product. The retailer uses a certain CAD software that is disclosed to the consumer so she can duplicate a problem. The retailer runs a sanity check on the product and gives the results to the consumer, like this: http://i.materialise.com/

    2. Re:Content Creation isn't there by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 3

      Back in the day, my dad knew a guy in the military who thought Microsoft would be big. He said the guy was an idiot. Dude was like, "Look man, computers, pre-packaged software, nobody wants to write their own code!" Dad wrote a voice recognition system on the VIC-20, figured prepackaged software was a no-go industry but computers would be big and everyone would learn to program them.

      You're going to see a lot of "My 3D printer is awesome because I can model things and print, and everyone in the world will want to print things they make!" idiocy going around here. 3D printers aren't universal constructors; they can't make high-quality plastic with injection molding or carving or shaping, much less metal and circuits. And even then, it takes specialized processes to make certain materials: you can etch ICs easy enough with a universal fabricator, but what happens when you want an electric-motor-driven ceramic burr coffee grinder? Glass, ceramic (what kind? What grade, what process?), steel (what type?), plastic, screws, basins, lids, hoppers, shafts, bearings. Just working with "metal" is an exercise in working with hundreds of different material--thousands when you start getting into anything like car parts or fountain pens.

    3. Re:Content Creation isn't there by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Exactly! And what do you do when you get a bad batch of precursor? How would you even know? - Walter White.

    4. Re:Content Creation isn't there by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Even if the printers can do that, it's not like you are going to see Justin Bieber or Kim Kardashian spending any time on creative designs for them. They'll hack out some quick tweak of an existing model, call it their customized version, and let their social networking/marketing behemoth feed it to the sloths and make a bundle selling them. Most people aren't smart enough to do anything interesting with these things, any more than they are smart enough to do their own feature film. Hell they can barely put together a jigsaw puzzle, and most don't even want to.

  21. They can't even change batteries by bussdriver · · Score: 1

    I know people who toss the remote and buy new when the batteries wear out.

    Unless it produces items with an idiot proof phone app which automatically are assembled and functional after printing, I can't see them using it. It better have a big "ink" tank because some people will buy a new printer when it goes empty...

    1. Re:They can't even change batteries by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      I don't underestimate peoples laziness. But programming a new remote is more trouble then replacing the batteries.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
  22. Re:Same with photo printers by jellomizer · · Score: 1

    With 3D printers it is a bit more extreme...
    How often do we really get stuff, Like from molded plastic?
    If I had a 3d printer, I may print out some jig every few months... however for the most part it will sit there and be unused.

    --
    If something is so important that you feel the need to post it on the internet... It probably isn't that important.
  23. I as an enthousiast do not see a 3d print world by bitflusher · · Score: 2

    First. During my day job I frequently work with a professional 3d printer. As a hobby I own a Reprap (hobby 3d printer). I would describe myself as a 3d print enthousiast. However I do not see 3d printers live up to the hype. the mantra: "Everyone will print everything in 3d from toys to funriture and a 3d steak". My argument is new technology does not replace everything else there was before. People still walk/ride bikes/take a car/boat/train because planes and helicopters excist (who would have thought)! My opinion: Some things will be printed such as unique small items and parts to repair stuff. And the 3d printed steak.. not going to happen. We already have vega-meat-replacement nobody calls them steaks. One example what it is usefull for. I am currently printing a lense cap holder to snap two caps on a strap. This needs to be printed because almost noboby had a 71mm and a 57mm cap. I print this because it will never excist as a product.

  24. Potential, but falls short by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    a) I can make plastic things that I desire
    b) I can make plastic things for others
    c) Brittle, fragile or low-resolution is not a replacement

    The problem with (a) is that the average person is not an artist, so a "3D scanner" is still required and those have not surfaced despite their existance. So you're stuck with downloading 3D models that OTHER people have made.
    (b) involves getting those files much in the same ways as early mp3's. There's no killer software/market for it other than stupid proof-of-concept firearms.

    (c) ultimately means you can make LEGO-like bricks but not toothpicks. I can print off the parts for a 3D BJD(Ball Jointed Doll) but I still have to sand it down, and the parts will be hollow like a chocolate easter bunny otherwise it will be too heavy.

    The two major failing points are resolution and durability. Nothing produced for the consumer will ever be durable enough. And without being able to dye the plastic in-situ it will largely be limited to making replacement parts for things people already have rather than making new things.

  25. Re:Same with photo printers by Anonymous+Psychopath · · Score: 1

    It's the same deal with photo printers. It's much easier and cheaper to go down to Walmart or Costco when you need to print out your photos and get them to use their professional quality machines to do the job. I think that 3D printers will end up in the same sport. You'll go down to Walmart, and get them to print out an item for you. You'll only need it maybe 5 times a year, so there's no point in owning your own 3D printer. There's already services where you can send a 3D file and somebody will print it out and ship it to you.

    I think this is accurate. I'm not ready to buy a 3D printer but I'd drive over to The UPS Store and have them print something out.

    --

    Eagles may soar, but weasels don't get sucked into jet engines.

  26. Re:Same with photo printers by RJFerret · · Score: 1

    People order sex toys instead of going to retail stores. They prefer discrete packaging. Porn consumption took off when you didn't need to go out to an adult video store but could order at home. Digital cameras offered private erotic photos without taking them out to be developed.

    I really doubt many people will want to collect their phallic shaped object from a pimply faced kid at a department store any more than they currently do free from libraries' 3D printers.

    This summary just leads to an article that links to a report that they want you to buy which seems to say, "We don't know that people print sex toys." There's no indication consumers were consulted.

    They need to look at the phallic shape of most Thingiverse uploads, re-write their white paper, and not charge £1750 to tell us they are ignorant of what they purport to write about.

  27. No real use case by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Two of my co workers own such device. One of these devices is now located in a student office. First, it was assembled for a week. Second, auxiliary pieces where printed. Third, replacement parts where printed because the original pieces were sub standard. Fourth, little gimmicks, gifts, a statue from the Easter Island, and a 3D representation of a software system where created.

    In summary, the tool never produced anything of value. Therefore, the stuff lacks a real use case in real life for real people.

  28. The killer application by Opportunist · · Score: 4, Interesting

    In more than one way it will be the killer application, for not only will it be the application that makes everyone want one but also the application that will send a very, very powerful enemy onto 3D Printing: Printing car replacement parts.

    Think of all those small and not so small little bits of plastic that you have to pay for through the nose when (or should I say, as soon as) they crack. On your car, your motorcycle, your various other appliances. But with car manufacturers this will not be very popular, as one can imagine. They make quite a bit of money with spare parts and the planned obsolescence of various parts that "just so happen" to wear and tear.

    Now, with patents it's fairly easy to keep other manufacturer from ruining this very profitable market. It's way harder if every Joe Random can make their own parts, essentially for free.

    If you thought the battle of content owners vs. file sharing was fierce, just think what the battle between car part manufacturers vs. part printers will be.

    --
    We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    1. Re:The killer application by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, this exactly. 3D printing at home will be useful to me when I can go to a website, click on a picture in a parts diagram, and "print" a replacement part for my lawnmower, or my car. ...but when this technology does become available, it will be shut down very quickly by teams of lawyers using patents, copyrights, trademarks, and whatever else can be used to kill it.

      Otherwise, 3D printing for home use is just a toy.

    2. Re:The killer application by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I work on and restore cars as a hobby. I don't need plastic parts, I need metal. Consumer 3D printing of metal parts isn't there yet.

    3. Re:The killer application by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 2

      Essentially for free, like how printing this 300 page textbook is essentially free. $8 for good Double-A 22 pound copy paper (not HP 20 pound poorly cut crap that jams your printer), 15 cents/page for ink. Only about $53.

      This is, of course, why I own a color laser printer that can print for 2 cents/page or less. Plastic filament, however, is expensive.

    4. Re:The killer application by Opportunist · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Plastic has been the staple of the car industry for a few decades now, long enough that soon even "classics" will be made mostly of plastic. Wait a decade or two and the "classics" you restore will need plastic parts.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    5. Re:The killer application by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      We're still a far cry from the prices asked for car spare parts. Parts that cost cents in plastic are sold for double digit dollars.

      Yes, filament costs money and the power to heat and print it even more. But even everything included we're still far from the prices you have to pay for spare parts.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    6. Re:The killer application by jxander · · Score: 1

      For the body work or major components... sure metal and/or fibreglass all the way.

      But what about that little widget that clips the sun visor in place, or keeps it from flopping around. Or cup holder arms, interior door handles, custom stick shift heads, window cranks (if your restoring pre- power windows) etc. There are plenty of little bits of plastic all over your car, even classics. Being able to print up a replacement part on the fly for 50c worth of filament will be a nice change.

      --
      This signature is false.
    7. Re:The killer application by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A engine mount or an alternator bracket isn't made of plastic.

    8. Re:The killer application by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      Except that printed, cold welded, plastic parts are too brittle. So you have to make them fat to have any strength.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    9. Re:The killer application by rhodium_mir · · Score: 1

      In 14 years of driving old beater vehicles I've had to replace the following parts. Those that are 3d printable are bolded.

      Alternator
      Battery Connector
      Brake Pads
      Compressor Clutch
      Distributor Cap / Rotor
      EGR Valve
      Fan Clutch
      Fuses
      Generic Electronic Module
      Headlamp Switch
      Heater Hoses
      Heater Valve
      Hood Release Cable
      Muffler
      Oil Pressure Sensor
      Radiator
      Radiator Cap
      Radiator Hoses
      Relays
      Spark Plugs
      Tail Pipe
      Thermostat
      Tire Valve Stem Cap
      Trailer Wiring Harness
      Turn Signal Lens
      U-Joint
      Water Pump
      Wind Shield

      If only I'd had free access to and consumables for a 3d printer for all these years I could have saved a buck fifty.

      --
      You can't spell "oneiromancy" without "roman".
    10. Re:The killer application by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Really, if this is the killer application then 3d printing as a consumer product is doomed. Nobody is going to want a bulky thousand dollar machine in their home so that they can save $20 a decade on inferior knockoffs of car parts.

    11. Re:The killer application by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      I don't doubt that there is little use for something that can produce plastic parts for cars that were made before 1990.

      Looking at my 2006 Korean car, there's actually rather little metal left in that rice cooker.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    12. Re:The killer application by rhodium_mir · · Score: 1

      Plastic engine, drivetrain, suspension, electrical, and unibody, huh?

      --
      You can't spell "oneiromancy" without "roman".
    13. Re:The killer application by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Think of all those small and not so small little bits of plastic that you have to pay for through the nose when (or should I say, as soon as) they crack. On your car,

      This is precisely what I want to 3d print. My Audi A8 has these stupid little plastic widgets between servos and vent doors that always fail, and indeed they all have. And you're expected to buy whole servos. Bullshit!

      On the other hand, I can probably make a serviceable part out of Aluminum on my drill press, which is a big bastard with a tilt and rotate table and a 5/8" chuck that I got for $100 at a yard sale...

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    14. Re:The killer application by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      I recall 5kg filament costing $50. Considering the inferiority of quality control, you'll either reprint the same part repeatedly to get one, or you'll keep replacing broken ones. Probably both. 3D printers get a layered piece rather than solid, riddled with stress joints that can shear readily.

      You could use a lost wax cast process if you could melt down aluminum or steel, but that's a way off. It's doable, but nobody does it and so there's no consistent, ready-made, consumer-friendly process.

    15. Re:The killer application by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And those are the only parts you've ever needed to 'restore' a car?

      How about dashboard knobs & buttons? Screw covers on the interior? Handles?

    16. Re:The killer application by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      Likely you're correct, at least for now. Still, I'm quite confident that the process will be improved and that we'll eventually get to a quality level where reliable, repeatable results are the norm.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    17. Re:The killer application by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      Sometimes it sure feels like it...

      Seriously, I wouldn't be too surprised if I cracked open the gearbox and a few plastic cogs would roll towards me. Don't get me wrong, I like it, it was very affordable, is quite reliable (well, as long as you keep the battery charged...), but what kills you are spare parts and their price, and no matter what you buy, it always looks like it's made of plastic.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    18. Re:The killer application by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      Such a quality level would require high-tech materials for the base (extremely low thermal conductivity, low thermal mass), some sort of air temperature control at all levels (flowing through the extruder, around the piece), and the ability to keep the piece hot enough for a good weld. That last one will get you nothing more than a puddle of goo; in mass manufacture we use injection molds to directly extrude a shape, so the whole piece cools as a unit and forms one solid mass.

      You may be able to do something with high-powered lasers, if you can spot weld on a microscopic scale without melting the piece. The physics would be complex, and a machine that could move that rapidly could build current-quality pieces at thousands of times the current speed. Some sort of refraction mechanism might do it, if you can reflect a microscopic laser beam onto the surface milliseconds before contact and settling of the hot filament. That of course requires extremely tight (nanoscopic) tolerances due to the effects of beam travel at a distance from a point of reflection.

      Have you noticed that all of the solutions involve industrial processes, high-power equipment, situations which are expensive to maintain, or tight tolerances represented in scientific notation?

  29. HP might make it work, but with DRM. by Animats · · Score: 5, Interesting

    The problem with most low-end extruder-type printers is that the engineering sucks. Most 3D printers work by trying to push a string with a gear (which jams or fails to feed), trying to weld a hot thing to a cold thing (which produces weak welds), trying to perform a process that is very temperature-sensitive without air temperature control (which makes the process fail frequently), and trying to weld a plastic that has too high a coefficient of expansion (which causes cracks during cooling).

    Some of them then follow up by building a 3-axis motion system out of thin wood (too flexible), and using screw threads and nuts (too much play and backlash) instead of Acme lead screws and recirculating-ball nuts (like real CNC tools.) The end result is miserable process repeatability. This is why a big fraction of hobbyist-level 3D print jobs fail.

    HP can probably solve those problems. Many of them are similar to the problems inkjet printers and pen plotters face. HP made both of those technologies work well. It wasn't easy. As one engineer pointed out, intuition fails you when trying to understand what's going on with ink at microdroplet size. HP had to use supercomputers to simulate the fluid dynamics before they got a print head that worked really well. (Of course, most of the engineers who did that were laid off years ago.) Many of the problems with 3D printers are cheaply solveable if you're making hundreds of thousands of them, not hundreds.

    1. Re:HP might make it work, but with DRM. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

      recirculating-ball nuts

      Hey! This is a family website.

    2. Re:HP might make it work, but with DRM. by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      Aside. Are you aware of a source for micro ball nuts and matching screws? I'm looking and can find nothing.

      The pre-tensioned plastic nuts used in DVD/CD drive mechanisms are interesting but not strong enough.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    3. Re:HP might make it work, but with DRM. by 50000BTU_barbecue · · Score: 1

      eBay?

      --
      Mostly random stuff.
    4. Re:HP might make it work, but with DRM. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Aside. Are you aware of a source for micro ball nuts and matching screws? I'm looking and can find nothing.

      Have you tried?: http://www.thomsonlinear.com/

    5. Re:HP might make it work, but with DRM. by Animats · · Score: 1

      Ball screws are available on Amazon, Alibaba, etc. Prices on Alibaba start around $25.

    6. Re:HP might make it work, but with DRM. by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      The word is 'micro'. Did you read?

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
  30. Re:We're 3D printing the wrong stuff for mainstrea by Opportunist · · Score: 1

    This is why we can't have nice things!

    --
    We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
  31. We have one at work. I can see why... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I can see why consumers aren't impressed with it.

    My program manager convinced the higher ups in our company to spend the few grand to get a consumer grade 3D printer for our project. It took him weeks to get it set up and working correctly and the parts we made were not robust. But since it was for prototyping, the robustness didn't matter. So long as we got a few weeks of use out of them, it was cheaper and faster than sending the design files off to have fabricated.

    But therein lies the problem with 3D printing in consumer space. Consumers don't *want* prototypes that only last a few weeks. Most people I know who have access to consumer 3D printers have built a few knickknacks they have on their shelves or charms they have on their key rings, and nothing else.

    As for work, as our prototype designs started stabalizing and we needed more durable parts, they invested in a 3D printer that could work with several different materials (from soft rubber to hard plastics.) The catch? It was 70 grand.

    tl;dr: 3D printing won't catch on among consumers until you can do more with it than print the OpenGL teapot and low-quality cell phone cases.* (And personally, I can't wait...)

    * Yes, I do realize that a hobbyist can do a lot with a 3D printer. Most people aren't hobbyists.

    1. Re:We have one at work. I can see why... by thevirtualcat · · Score: 1

      Forgot to log in before I posted that...

  32. Useful consumer application by nine-times · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I think if you want to sell them to people, you may need a useful consumer application first. I don't mean "application" like a software program. I mean a use-case.

    Really, right now, 3D printing has been developed and marketed for hobbyists, even if the marketing people didn't know that's what they were doing. They've said, "Make your own designs and share them with others!" Admittedly, that's great stuff, but most people don't want to design their own products. They want their products to be designed by someone who knows what they're doing.

    So if... Let's say Amazon released a 3D printer, along with an extensive library of real, useful products that could be printed out-of-the-box, without any difficult setup or calibration, then you might have a product. It would have to be something like, "I unpacked it from the box and plugged it in. And then the next day, I was shopping on Amazon, and along with the option to 'buy' the doodad I wanted for $11, there was an option to 'print' for free! I even got to select my color." That there is a workable business model. Sell the printers, sell the printing material, as well as selling the same products via mail-order for those who don't own a printer.

    Of course, there's an obvious objection that occurs to me: Someone might say, "But can you really make a whole Amazon store of objects that can also be printed? Sure, I can print out some crappy little plastic toy, but nobody is going to bother to buy that same thing online!" Well there's your problem right there. If you can't come up with a large selection of real products that can be printed with these things, products which people would otherwise buy from retail/online stores, then the printer is not a consumer product. It's a more of a toy, or a machine that hobbyists can use to produce things, or businesses can use for prototyping or other purposes.

  33. Re:Same with photo printers by cdrudge · · Score: 1

    How often do we really get stuff, Like from molded plastic?

    Seriously? I think the easier question is how often to we get stuff that isn't from molded plastic.

  34. Kinko's by goombah99 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    When I can pick up a dishwasher replacement part printed out by Whirlpool at my local kinko's and it costs less and is just as good as a cast one then 3D printing will have arrived. Till then it's for hobbyists and specialist.

    --
    Some drink at the fountain of knowledge. Others just gargle.
    1. Re:Kinko's by westlake · · Score: 1

      When I can pick up a dishwasher replacement part printed out by Whirlpool at my local kinko's and it costs less and is just as good as a cast one then 3D printing will have arrived.

      This assumes you have correctly identified the problem and have the time, the tools and the skills needed to disassemble a home appliance and replace a part.

      I suspect that 3D printing will lead to more sophisticated and customized appliances that will be a beast to repair.

    2. Re:Kinko's by ArcadeMan · · Score: 1

      I see the opposite. Dishwasher control knob broken? Printer a whole, completely brand-new dishwasher!

    3. Re:Kinko's by goombah99 · · Score: 1

      When I can pick up a dishwasher replacement part printed out by Whirlpool at my local kinko's and it costs less and is just as good as a cast one then 3D printing will have arrived.

      This assumes you have correctly identified the problem and have the time, the tools and the skills needed to disassemble a home appliance and replace a part.

      I suspect that 3D printing will lead to more sophisticated and customized appliances that will be a beast to repair.

      How is this different than what I do now? I order parts on speculation and sometimes I'm right. THis is not a problem. It cuts the turnaround time and keeps old parts in inventory.

      --
      Some drink at the fountain of knowledge. Others just gargle.
    4. Re:Kinko's by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      taking apart and repairing a home appliance is much easier than accurately designing some random, worn out broken part in 3d cad.

    5. Re:Kinko's by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Bud, if your dishwasher still has *knobs*, you might not be the target audience here!

  35. One word: food by nani+popoki · · Score: 1

    When the technology reaches the point where you can use a 3D printer to decorate a cake or make fancy chocolates by the dozen (hopefully, make both and other things besides) in a matter of minutes then a 3D printer will find space next to the coffee maker. At least in the sort of home where a gourmet kitchen would see daily use.

  36. Quantum Apostrophe by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    is laughing at you gullible, naive idiots. 3D printing a car or a house ... Jesus Christ what is wrong with our educational system when unmedicated adults believe such asinine bullshit?

    I love how it's the *consumer's* fault for "not understanding"! Hey idiots, they understood JUST FINE, the market has spoken, now fuck off with your 3D hyperbole already.

  37. Re:Same with photo printers by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Excellent point - fully agreed on photo printing, and I don't see why 3D printing would be any different.

  38. Re:Same with photo printers by CanHasDIY · · Score: 1

    Lets not forget that while most of the orders will be simple extra-cheap toys or minor repair parts, there will be dicks. I mean that both in the sense of 'person who drops off an order and never picks it up/pays for it' and '3D printed sculptures of male sexual organs.' Often, the two will overlap.

    The first problem is easily solved, just make them pay when they drop off the file to be printed.

    As for the second issue... well, as any of us who ever tried to have racy photos developed at Wal-Marx know, they'll probably refuse to print those. Or at least, refuse to give it to the customer (phrasing!)

    --
    An enigma, wrapped in a riddle, shrouded in bacon and cheese
  39. Re:Same with photo printers by CanHasDIY · · Score: 1

    It's the same deal with photo printers. It's much easier and cheaper to go down to Walmart or Costco when you need to print out your photos and get them to use their professional quality machines to do the job. I think that 3D printers will end up in the same sport. You'll go down to Walmart, and get them to print out an item for you. You'll only need it maybe 5 times a year, so there's no point in owning your own 3D printer. There's already services where you can send a 3D file and somebody will print it out and ship it to you.

    I think this is accurate. I'm not ready to buy a 3D printer but I'd drive over to The UPS Store and have them print something out.

    See, that's exactly why I'd like to acquire one - there's money to be made printing stuff for other people.

    I wanna be the guy making that money.

    --
    An enigma, wrapped in a riddle, shrouded in bacon and cheese
  40. Considering Republicans... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    hate new things and are afraid of anything that can compete with their monopolies, of course they're killing 3D printing. That is their way. They don't think. They only react out of fear.

  41. 3d printing is still very much a "maker" device by mark-t · · Score: 1

    That said, the maker community is not exactly small, and I think it's entirely reasonable for a device like this to be content with targeting that particular market, but in the end the maker community is still going to represent a fairly small fraction of the total number of appliance users out there. Trying to measure the appeal of a device that tends to appeal only to one relatvely tiny community by looking at the general population is not going to be indicative of how desirable that thing is for people who could actually use it.

    Why does a 3d printer require mass consumer appeal to take off? What's wrong with it just being an appliance thats going to only most strongly appeal to somebody in the maker community?

  42. Re:Same with photo printers by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    People order sex toys instead of going to retail stores.

    Sex toys are usually made from special molded rubber compounds, arenâ(TM)t they? I assume they possess some kind of moisture-resistence or anti-fungal qualities. The sort of plastic coming out of cheap 3D printers does not look suitable for sliding in and out of human orifices.

  43. But why? by JustNiz · · Score: 1

    Its a cool toy but its only that.
    I think the reason 3D printing hasn't become more ubiquitous is that there really is no need to print much in the average home. I'm having a hard time trying to imagine what the average person would need to print often enough to justify buying a 3D printer for.

    Even as a geek I'm having a hard time coming up with more than a couple of things I would ever like to print myself, especially given the resolution of hot plastic deposition technology still isn't upto printing very fine/small gears or other highly detailed parts.

    For me at least, the current situation is that for the 2 or 3 things I would ever want to print, it still works out both cheaper and better print quality for me to pay someone with a commercial 3D printer to do a run for me, rather than buying my own makerbot or whatever.

  44. Re:Same with photo printers by CRCulver · · Score: 1

    See, that's exactly why I'd like to acquire one - there's money to be made printing stuff for other people. I wanna be the guy making that money.

    Do you think you stand a change against established commercial locations like copy shops, which have already secured real estate in prime locations and built up a customer base? When digital photo printing became a thing, you started to see digital photo printers in drugstores and pre-existing photo stores, not new, specialized shops just for that.

  45. It is really amazing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What is interesting is that you consider moving to the party store cheap.
    For me it takes a significant amount of time and effort(and gas for my car)moving there. I mean in the order of 30-45 minutes and one or two litters of gasoline of my car(at 1.5 euros/litter). My salary is over 60 euros/hour.

    Anyway in 3 hours I can make exactly 12 whisles at the same time with my HBOT printer in the same plate. It can be faster although I have only tested 12 groups for a 3D group party meeting. I switch on the thing and go away as everything is automated including bed leveling.

    Also it could be personalized in 30 seconds with the initial or the name of the person that receives the present, something you don't get with any 25 cents party store whistle.

    We (the party group) create our own filament at 6eur/kilo.
    As an engineer I could use and need those machines. In the future(5 years) there will be millions and everybody will be able to do the same things I do, cheaply and easily.

    It is an error trying to think in 3D printers as being used for the thing that had been used until this day. This is like predicting 40 years ago that the computer you will hold in your hand will be used for statistical central planning, population census, and ballistic simulations(actually IBM believed in that).

    The fact is that thousands of individuals design and collaborate over the Internet, with places like thingiverse or grabcad is going to change lots of things, like the PC did. E.g suddenly you can design a collaborative car like with Linux.

  46. one trick pony by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Here's the reason people aren't impressed... because it has little to no use for the common person.
    They can create a "bust of the week" sculpture. Or they can make some sh*tty plastic toys at home for their kids. It's got the same usefulness as computer controlled sewing machines. Those things can do some really awesome stuff these days.
    There's a fantastic use for these ... in business. Hobbyists love them... and they are indeed awesome for hobbies.
    But they don't have much day to day utility.

    Same with 3D printers.
    Sorry guys... I *love* some of the amazing stuff you can do with 3D printers, but it won't ever get the kind of mainstream acceptance that you're thinking of.

  47. Consumers Unimpressed by Personal Computing by Fulminata · · Score: 4, Insightful

    That would have been the headline in the 70s. This is why consumers don't generally drive innovation, and why judging the prospects of a new technology before its had time to overcome some of its early weaknesses is premature.

  48. It took a survey to figure that out? by Skynyrd · · Score: 3, Interesting

    For just under $2,500 you can buy a MB Replicator 2 or a Type A Series 1; both are decent quality, consumer ready 3D printers.

    Both of them excel at slowly making 25 cent plastic parts in a number of hours for about a dime. There is no legit use for the consumer yet. It's still "look mom, I can print plastic spider I just downloaded from Thingiverse!"

    Sure, there's designers, engineers and artists that use them. But for the average guy at home? No way.

  49. There already by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Industrial 3D printers are available and widely used already. However, those machines do not usually extrude plastic filament and are not $300 toys ...

  50. It's not a CONSUMER technology nor should it be. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Like a milling machine or lathe, 3D printing is fundamentally a commercial tech with some hobby applications.

    Why? The DECISIONS involved in design and production require a different skillset than "consumer".

    In other news, eating donuts doesn't make you a fucking baker.

  51. FOOLS! by JimSadler · · Score: 0

    China is using 3D printers that can churn out 10 homes every 24 hours. These are cheap homes at $4,800 each for rural areas. But the point is that not only for social issues but also for making huge money 3D printing is the breakthrough we have all waited for. Corporations will either love or hate these devices as the social changes that will occur will eliminate many traditional factories and industries. I simply fail to see why people can't predict the changes that we will see. It is true that the tiny unit used by hobbyists have limits but larger, industrial scale units are amazing.

  52. HP rotting from within by kheldan · · Score: 1

    And, even though HP has announced its intention to enter the 3D printing space (possibly this fall)..

    HP doesn't count anymore. From what I hear, they're more or less gutting themselves of any real technical talent in favor of offshoring and overseas outsourcing, outright firing long-time domestic engineers and workers just to improve their bottom line in the short term. Don't expect any innovation or high quality from a company that's hiring nobodies just barely out of school at best who can't find their ass with both hands.

    --
    Are YOU using the TOOL, or is the TOOL using YOU? Think about it!
  53. Unrealistic expectations. by MaWeiTao · · Score: 1

    I believe that 3D printing will eventually be ubiquitous. However, we're talking about something that's at least a decade or two off because not only does the technology need to mature but a whole infrastructure needs to arise to support it. Certainly, these machines will need to evolve beyond spitting out relatively rough hunks of plastic. The suggestion that the lack of a "killer app" is a major stumbling block to adoption is almost comical.

    The article seems written by someone who lacks fundamental understanding of the technology and so holds unrealistic expectations. Unfortunately, this mentality seems pervasive as far too many people believe that the instant they hear of a new technology it's ready for mass consumption.

    The reality is that many consumers struggle to set up a mere ink jet. They muddle through applications like Word and PowerPoint, using a fraction of available functionality. They need to call an electrician to replace a light switch and AAA to mount a spare tire. In light of all that, what hope in hell do they have of manipulating a 3D model, preparing it for printing and then assembling it?

    Some day, the technology will likely affect the lives of nearly everyone. But I can't imagine it will happen in the way some people seem to be envisioning it.

  54. How to impress Joe 7-pack by Tablizer · · Score: 1

    Print me a beer and pizza; THEN we are talkin'

  55. Re:Same with photo printers by BasilBrush · · Score: 1

    Right. But apart from some kitchen stuff and toys, they tend to contain electronics, or at least metal parts.

  56. Fashion by ClayDowling · · Score: 1

    What a home printer can print out the latest fashions, then it will take off. Like a designer's new suit? Pay the designer directly, download, print and now you've got the latest fashion. If I can print the suit for what it costs me to go to a tailor, or a little more, this is a viable model for home adoption, and you'll see the fashion conscious adopt it early, and fairly quick trickle down to the rest of the population.

  57. Re:Same with photo printers by BasilBrush · · Score: 1

    I'd rather have UPS deliver a properly moulded item. Better finish and stronger.

  58. UPS Store by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I am not a UPS or UPS Store employee. But this pilot program they are running is fantastic. One of the locations is in my hometown, and their service is just great.

    Now when I heard about this, I was like "Why the heck is UPS Store getting involved in 3D Printing?" and it occurred to me: UPS' business is delivering products to individuals. Imagine now a guy living in Montana who comes up with a product idea that can be 3D printed. He doesn't need to worry about manufacturing or logistics to ship to his customers at all. Now he just signs up with UPS Store's service, and his customers order online. They're told their product will be ready at their local 3D printer in 5 hours, or tomorrow if they want it delivered to their home. Basically this kind of service wraps up the logistics of a small manufacturing business all in one; the manufacturing, the delivery, everything is improved, inexpensive and done with good service (UPS' service has been great in my experience).

    I'm not so sure about a 3D printer in every home, but through a logistics company like UPS? This seems likely.

    http://www.theupsstore.com/small-business-solutions/Pages/3D-printing.aspx

  59. Re:Same with photo printers by CanHasDIY · · Score: 1

    See, that's exactly why I'd like to acquire one - there's money to be made printing stuff for other people. I wanna be the guy making that money.

    Do you think you stand a change against established commercial locations like copy shops, which have already secured real estate in prime locations and built up a customer base?

    Yes. People do it every day.

    For example, my in-laws opened up a gun shop 2 years ago, and they just opened a second location late last year; their sales volumes increase monthly, despite the fact that the same customers they service could just as easily go 2 blocks down the road and buy the same guns from Wal-Marx.

    When digital photo printing became a thing, you started to see digital photo printers in drugstores and pre-existing photo stores, not new, specialized shops just for that.

    10 - 20 years from now that may be an accurate representation of 3D printing, but considering the complexity of creating precise, repeatable 3D prints, I'd say today's environment in that field is more equivalent to regular photo printing in its infancy - back in those days, you either set up your own dark room, or took your film to one of the boutique stores that specialized in photo development.

    --
    An enigma, wrapped in a riddle, shrouded in bacon and cheese
  60. It's not for consumers right now by RobinH · · Score: 3, Informative

    Anyone who has used a 3D printer (I have a RepRap style one) knows that the killer app is rapid prototyping. Lots of people already use 3D printers to print out prototypes of parts to test them out or focus group them before sending them to production. You pretty much *have* to be a designer to be able to make use of a 3D printer right now, and I'm sorry but 3D CAD software has come a long way but it's too expensive and complicated for a home user. You'd need to come up with a Tony Stark-like CAD system for under $100 before it'll be ready for home use. Meanwhile, those of us who know our way around a CAD program are quite happy with our 3D printers, thank you very much.

    --
    "I have never let my schooling interfere with my education." - Mark Twain
  61. Fail by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    For an engineer you certainly are clueless.

    Most people don't make 60 EUR/hour.

    Most people aren't going to drive to a party store and back just for a whistle.

    The math you're using is the same faulty math Fred Hoyle used in is argument against evolution.

    Fail.

  62. Re:Same with photo printers by Anonymous+Psychopath · · Score: 1

    It's the same deal with photo printers. It's much easier and cheaper to go down to Walmart or Costco when you need to print out your photos and get them to use their professional quality machines to do the job. I think that 3D printers will end up in the same sport. You'll go down to Walmart, and get them to print out an item for you. You'll only need it maybe 5 times a year, so there's no point in owning your own 3D printer. There's already services where you can send a 3D file and somebody will print it out and ship it to you.

    I think this is accurate. I'm not ready to buy a 3D printer but I'd drive over to The UPS Store and have them print something out.

    See, that's exactly why I'd like to acquire one - there's money to be made printing stuff for other people.

    I wanna be the guy making that money.

    There are web sites where you can find folks nearby with 3D printers and their costs. There were half a dozen within 10 or so miles. For me, though, that's not how I want to transact business.

    --

    Eagles may soar, but weasels don't get sucked into jet engines.

  63. I don't need trinkets by anyaristow · · Score: 1

    Until I can print something meaningful, like a house or a car or a TV or a pair of shoes, I'm not interested. I don't need trinkets.

    1. Re:I don't need trinkets by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 2

      actually I think Sweden or Denmark is 3D printing a house.

      --
      -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
  64. Re:Same with photo printers by cdrudge · · Score: 1

    Full disclosure: I'm in the process of getting my 3D finished up.

    No, I don't think that 3D printers will be ubiquitous as computers, and cell phones, but I don't think they'll be a rarity either...eventually. They fill a niche but I think niche could be very large one day.

    How many times have you broke something and wish you could replace it without having to buy a whole new item?
    How many times have you needed a project box for something you're building and it wasn't quite the right configuration?
    How many times have you wished you had some type of nicknack but you didn't have the ability to produce it?

    All the above apply to me, as well as to the people I know that also have 3D printers. Maybe none of the above apply to you. But I bet you or someone you know would love to be able to create a custom cell phone case though. Or a special someone might like a lithopane of a sentimental photo. Or to help a child learn about physics and mechanical advantages with some custom gears.

  65. Re:Same with photo printers by bws111 · · Score: 1

    Yes, you have valid uses. But those uses all fall under the hobbyist or creator category. Nobody is saying there is no use in those markets. The article and discussion is about consumer use of 3d printing, and so far there is no use case for that at all. Yes, it would be nice to replace a broken battery cover for a remote, but not at the cost of 3D printer, the associated materials, and most importantly, a place for it.

  66. RC Cars maybe.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If I was still into RC cars I could see how having a 3D printer would be nice. The thing is though, I'd likely have to take apart my entire car and for each plastic part I would need to scan it into a local library of things to print. This would allow me to print off a spare part on the spot, do the fix, and get back racing with my friends at the track.

    Here is the thing. The people that would consider a 3d printer for making parts would likely already be a few grand into the RC hobby. They'd still have to do a serious cost analysis on when exactly the break even point occurs for the cost of the 3rd printer vs just buying a slew of spare parts at the hobby store or online.

    I would say the hobby stores could do great with this, but I think a lot of them are some how considered "pro shops" in order to sell the cars and parts. If it's not illegal, it would most definitely be a breach of contract with the manufacturer.

    Either way, until they develop some awesome "sneed" that only a 3d printer can create for me, I'll probably not find a sold need as a casual hobbyist.

  67. Re:Same with photo printers by DaveV1.0 · · Score: 1

    Would you be willing to drive to Joe's 3D printing service, LLC ?

    --
    There is no "-1 offended" or "-1 you don't agree with me" mod options for a reason.
  68. I have a 3D printer. In fact, I designed and by mark_reh · · Score: 1

    and built it from surplus machine parts, and I don't know what the average consumer would do with the thing. It's great for people like me who can use it to make parts for other stuff that they make, but what does the average Joe make or need to make? Why would the average Joe want to go to the trouble of learning CAD software and the intricacies of operating and getting quality prints out of a 3D printer? No, we are a long way from 3D printers becoming household items.

  69. 3D printing is like google glass by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 2

    Both are way too early in their incarnations.

    We're developing methods for use in medicine and engineering and architecture here at the UW to provide "spines" or "fibers" to make 3D printing stronger, to use biomaterials for compostable furniture, but it's just starting out. It's like when we started growing livers and other materials. Each step builds on the next.

    Same for google glass. Sounds great, but it's too heavy, even after they downsized the battery and the whole invasive aspect freaks everyone out. There are methods to fix that - beeps and LED flashes when you record, using bio-electromechanical contact lenses that get their power from the eye, hearing aid upgrades or add ons for headphones that make it appear more functional, getting rid of the annoying jerks and the dependency on other devices.

    those will come with time. I remember getting one of the early Rio MP3 players - a pale imitation of the later iPod mini.

    --
    -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
    1. Re:3D printing is like google glass by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      getting rid of the annoying jerks

      That's easy. Throw them out, and if they come back beat them up.

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
  70. It's a tool by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It will probably remain a niche tool for quite some time, like a drill press or a table saw. Not every house needs one of those.

  71. Re:Same with photo printers by CanHasDIY · · Score: 1

    It's the same deal with photo printers. It's much easier and cheaper to go down to Walmart or Costco when you need to print out your photos and get them to use their professional quality machines to do the job. I think that 3D printers will end up in the same sport. You'll go down to Walmart, and get them to print out an item for you. You'll only need it maybe 5 times a year, so there's no point in owning your own 3D printer. There's already services where you can send a 3D file and somebody will print it out and ship it to you.

    I think this is accurate. I'm not ready to buy a 3D printer but I'd drive over to The UPS Store and have them print something out.

    See, that's exactly why I'd like to acquire one - there's money to be made printing stuff for other people.

    I wanna be the guy making that money.

    There are web sites where you can find folks nearby with 3D printers and their costs. There were half a dozen within 10 or so miles. For me, though, that's not how I want to transact business.

    Somebody set up a "quick fabrication shop" in a commercial center near my house... I haven't stopped by yet, but from the outside their storefront seems just as inviting as the next small retailer.

    Just like every other new industry throughout human history, it's going to take some time before 3D printing, either self-done or outsourced, is ready for mass adoption.

    --
    An enigma, wrapped in a riddle, shrouded in bacon and cheese
  72. The problem is they're called "printers" by umafuckit · · Score: 3, Insightful
    They're called "3-D printers" to make them sound cool and imply they are an easy to use natural extension of ink/laser printers. But they're no such thing and consumers can see that and are confuse by it. 3-D printers are automated tools in the same way a CNC milling machine is an automated tool. In fact, they'd be better described as "CNC extruders" than as "3-D printers", since they have sod all to do with printing on paper. Does your generic consumer have a need for a "CNC extruder"? No he/she does not.

    These machines are for people who want to build new stuff. They're tools for machinists and others who want to work with wood, plastic or metal. People who have workshop in their garage. i.e. They're tools for people who know they need them. Furthermore, because they're the current "in" thing, they're being used in instances where a CNC milling machine would have been far more appropriate. This stupid crap with 3-D printed guns, for instance.

    1. Re:The problem is they're called "printers" by nbritton · · Score: 2

      This stupid crap with 3-D printed guns, for instance.

      Yeah, I don't understand this craze with plastic guns, people have been producing guns using manual milling machines and lathes for well over a century. Moreover, in my state, the mere possession of bullets without a license to possess a gun is a crime. Problem solved.

  73. Re:Same with photo printers by Guspaz · · Score: 1

    And while you might be able to use the 3D printer to replace the remote battery cover, you couldn't use it to replace the remote.

    That's the thing that confuses me. Enthusiasts are saying that 3D printing is going to be super ubiquitous, and everybody is going to have 3D printers, but... to do what? Nearly all the examples they give are stuff that only hobbyists will want to do. When I think of items that I use on a day-to-day basis that could be entirely produced using a 3D printer, about the only thing I can think of is maybe a plastic spoon... and I can buy tons of those at the dollar store very cheaply.

    Almost anything that I, as a non-hobbyist consumer, might want to 3D print, has embedded electronics and microcontrollers that probably won't be 3D printable for a very long time, if ever (you might 3D print circuits, but how about a capacitor? Or a resistor? Or a controller? Or a battery?).

    Even for completely non-electronic stuff that would require absolutely no extra components/parts (because you're not printing a metal spring or rubber grip with your one-click consumer 3D printer), 3D printing it would require a bunch of assembly and most people don't want to bother with that.

    I can see a distant future, in many decades (or centuries), where 3D printers might be versatile enough to be useful to a general consumer... but that's so far off that they won't bear much resemblance to the 3D printers of today, any more than a 1950s videophone bears any resemblance to an iPhone.

  74. Something almost everyone misses.... by Leslie43 · · Score: 2

    Yes, ease of use and time are a big problem, as is strength and costs, both are issues on production based 3d printers as well, so don;t go thinking the big ones are better.

    No, what many forget is that many people simply don't create much.
    You can buy a small personal machine shop for your garage for about the price of a small 3d printer, you can also put together a nice woodshop as well. You can also buy tools to fix your car, or professional grade photo/video editors for photo and video editing. So why doesn't everyone have these? They have no need or want of them.

    The only reason printers in the home took off because people found a use for them, or got them free with their computer. Kids could type and print reports for school, you could print off reports for work, etc... What purpose does the average person have for modern 3d printers? NONE. It doesn't matter if the price is $30, it's time consuming, fickle, technical, and expensive. Do you rally want to spend 8 hours, and $10 on plastic to make a vase you can buy at Walmart for $3. Of course not.

    It doesn't matter how simple you make it, or how cheap, so long as it's easier and cheaper to just go buy the item you can print, it will never be on the kitchen counter. Get us somewhere close to Star Trek level replicators and yes, then we may see it, but until we get anywhere close to that, it's simply not going to happen in the average home. At the moment hobbyists and professionals are using them because they either need them or want to play with them, but the average home has absolutely zero use for one, anyone who says otherwise is riding the hype train and probably trying make a buck from it. Current 3d printers belong in labs, machine, hobby and fabrication shops, not the kitchen counter and it will remain that way for a long time yet.

  75. Open Source by rtkluttz · · Score: 1

    Better hope the right open source company takes this and runs with it before the Apples and Microsofts and AutoDesk's of the world take it and run with it. Otherwise the walled garden approach will infiltrate real objects and we'll be regulated to death. LED screen says Error: Your custom widget looks too much like ACME widget Model #32456, you must pay for right to print this object. Enter unlock code to enable printing this and similar objects.

    --
    Digital is, by definition, imperfect. Analog is the way to go.
    1. Re:Open Source by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Apples and Microsofts and AutoDesk's

      When the singular ends in a vowel the plural should have an apostrophe, idiot.

  76. I think they do understand 3D printing... by Mike+Buddha · · Score: 1

    ...and they can see with their own eyes that it sucks. At least the stuff that isn't proprietary. Fortunately, a lot of those patents are coming due this year, so the quality should get a lot better.

    --
    by Mike Buddha -- Someday the mountain might get him, but the law never will.
  77. Honestly... by TrashyMG · · Score: 1

    I don't really care what the masses think of 3D printing, I enjoy one around the house to solve minor inconveniences like replacing the missing bin out of my parts drawer or a smarter solution to hang tools in the cellar. It's literally given me the capability of thinking about an idea and getting it into a physical object in a matter of hours.. Not all the things I make are revolutionary, but it's an awesome to be able to create something custom that can't be found in stores or easily purchased. It's like a bit like Linux and opensource, it's here.. it doesn't need to take over the world or be on everyone's computer. The people that do understand it takes advantages of the bonuses.. if you don't understand it or don't feel it has a place in your lives, that's fine..

  78. Print sugar by Culture20 · · Score: 1

    Get one that prints with sugar (either crystal or powdery paste) and they'll beat a path to your door.

    1. Re:Print sugar by psm321 · · Score: 2
  79. In other news... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Water is wet.

    This tech is immature and in its infancy. Of course the average consumer isn't ready.

  80. Material? by readin · · Score: 3, Interesting

    One thing I haven't understood yet from what limited reading I've done on 3D printers (I think I'm a pretty typical consumer in that I have not gone out of my way to learn about them) is what material the printed objects are made of. Can I print a decorative button for my coat? If I can, will it have as much strength as the button I'm replacing? Can I have it printed the same color?

    Can I print a coffee mug that I can use? That might be cool - I could put whatever engraving I want on it. But again I'm not sure what material I'm dealing with. Is it waterproof? Is it strong? Is it toxic?

    Would I be able to use printed objects as hardware? Are they strong enough to act as screws or screwdrivers?

    It might be good for kids. I could replace those missing pieces from various board games. Could I print out new D&D dice?

    So far my impression is that you get one material - some sort of resin, and you get one color. I don't think I have that many needs for things made of plastic resin.

    --
    I often don't like the choices people make, but I like the fact that people make choices. That's why I'm a conservative.
    1. Re:Material? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A lot of them use ABS plastic.

      http://www.matweb.com/search/DataSheet.aspx?MatGUID=eb7a78f5948d481c9493a67f0d089646

      If you have a good 3D printer, you can get similar strength characteristics to the link. I use them for prototype machined parts since I can have a printer make the equivalent part direct from SolidWorks. Otherwise, I have to worry about machine setup and fixturing on a CNC mill. Some of my uses are mounts for wire/tubing, low-torque pulley assemblies and plugs.

      Coffee mugs may be out of the question because the plastic is not food-grade and the last thing you want is the plastic leaking into hot fluids. There may be a food-grade material available, but I haven't looked myself.

      You can use them as hardware, depending on the application and print method. Some printers layer in inefficient patterns which create shear layers. These would not be good for stuff like screwdrivers which see a lot of torque. They might be serviceable as screws, depending on how much load you're putting on them. Keep in mind that screws themselves have different grades, so you already should be choosing appropriate screws for their application. The plastic just gives you another option (although it's hard to beat metal screws at Home Depot which are less than 0.01 USD per screws).

      Printing out board game pieces is a reasonable use. These don't see a lot of loads and might be able to actually get working parts for Mousetrap.

  81. Re:Same with photo printers by plover · · Score: 1

    I can picture a "fabricator" which is loaded up with strips of resistors, capacitors, transistors, LEDs, diodes, ICs, and mechanical items, such as spring wire, soft wire, hard wire, screws, and a roll of thin sheet metal. It could 3D print the housing, cut and bend wire as needed to create hinges, closures, battery terminals, etc., and print a circuit board. A pick-and-place tool could grab the chips, solder them to the printed circuit board, and then close it up with a sheet metal cover.

    Such machines would not be cheap (to start with), and would be really expensive to stock with an adequate supply of components. An appliance repair shop might invest in one, but Joe Sixpack won't. At least not this year.

    --
    John
  82. About the same time as Linux on the Desktop? by cashman73 · · Score: 1

    I predict that 3D printers in the home will be out at about the same time that we start to see Linux as a mainstream OS on most home desktop computers. In other words, not everyone needs to print 3D objects often enough to really warrant their own personal 3D printer. The same reason most home users don't need all the functionality of unix. It will be a novelty by many for awhile, and you'll probably see 3D printing being an option at Walmart and FedEx Kinko's for some things. But it's still a very niche product, and won't be mainstream for a very long time. Maybe one day, if they get to the point of having a 3D printer with almost the same functionality as a Star Trek Replicator, then it will become an appliance in the kitchen.

  83. Re:Same with photo printers by Wycliffe · · Score: 2

    Even if you wanted to replace the battery cover. Where are you getting the drawing from?
    Are you going to scan in the now missing/broken one? Are you going to draw it from scratch?
    Is the manufacturer going to give it to you? How many prints will it take for you to get one
    that fits right?

    Even if you had a 3d printer available it would probably be easier and cheaper to just buy
    a new remote.

  84. Re: Same with photo printers by kellymcdonald78 · · Score: 1

    The problem is, every advance that will lead to a faster and cheaper consumer "fabricator" will also apply to an industrial "fabricator". Why would an average Joe spend all that money to stock his "universal fabricator" when he'll never use the vast majority of those components. While an industrial pick and place unit only needs the parts required to build a specific item

  85. Isn't it a litte bit early to tell? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    3D printers are at the same stage laser printers were at around 1995...they're an emerging technology, progressively getting more capable, and eventually the price point will come down enough that they'll be within reach of pretty much anyone who can afford a computer.

    Give those same consumers a cheap 3D printer, along with a modeller that doesn't require a degree to produce 3D printed objects with and they'll take off. All it takes is a little clever advertising. Hell, not even clever. "Why pay for a $40 Otterbox case for your smartphone when you can print your own for free, no matter what brand or size?" I'd buy a 3D printer to avoid that shit.

    1. Re:Isn't it a litte bit early to tell? by 50000BTU_barbecue · · Score: 1

      "3D printers are at the same stage laser printers were at around 1995"

      You mean a decades-old well-established mature technology with a clear use scenario? I still have my HP 5L from 1996.

      --
      Mostly random stuff.
  86. put in the hard yards by bigtreeman · · Score: 1

    3d design and modelling isn't for the faint hearted.
    In this world of digital consumers, not as many are digital makers.
    Taking those steps from concept to real solid output has a complicated tool chain.
    It might become easy to copy existing items when software can take a photo
    and convert it to a solid object with one click.
    But creation from an idea will always be for those willing to put in the hard yards.

    --
    Go well
  87. Simple Answer by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The reason can be summarized thus: too expensive for too few applications. You can only print inert models or simple mechanical parts. At best, you can print toy parts, but who seriously wants to invest tens of thousands of dollars and then wait hours to print something they could have just got at Walmart? Until they print quickly, cheaply, with multiple materials, and can print electronics, it's a garage tinkerer thing. Solution? Get out there and figure out how to do that rather than griping on /. that nobody wants an overpriced lego maker.

  88. Re:Same with photo printers by anethema · · Score: 1

    You have clearly never used a 3d printer. Even a commercial 100k$ one.

    --


    It's easier to fight for one's principles than to live up to them.
  89. Lego by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    And then someone uploads the plans for the 5000 piece Lego Millennium Falcon (currently $4000 on eBay). You can never predict the uses people will find for new tech. Oh, and goodbye overpriced Games Workshop figures :)

  90. A vending machine at Kinkos by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Doing more than canned customization of existing models takes a certain amount of experience, talent, desire, creativity, etc. and if you don't do it all that often it's cheaper and easier to have a service like Shapeways do the print and send it to you, or go down to Kinkos once they have them, and save yourself the expense and hassle of keeping your own highly mechanical and often finicky piece of equipment running smoothly. Look at examples out there on the web, early prints by a lot of DIY folks can look pretty cheezy. Most people would just as soon buy some completed gadget they don't really need, than to figure out what they actually need and design one themselves.

  91. Paint by number sets... by Kazoo+the+Clown · · Score: 2

    Considering the popularity of predesigned artwork, Paint By Number, Needlepoint, etc., most people need to have it all figured out for them. A vending machine with a jukebox of existing models that you can tweak a little is what most people will want. In fact it's been done before-- Mold-O-Rama came out in 1962. Was a mild success at amusement parks and other touristy places, and lasted a few decades. A 3D printer is a slight improvement, but for most people, only when they can pick the model out of a catalog, or have it 3D scan their head and make them into an action figure.

  92. It is being done wrong. by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    These should not be associated with Comp. Sci programs, but with engineering, and start-up programs. There are ways to make this happen in schools.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  93. huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    a long ways

    Singular article, plural noun.

    When I see people write like that I imagine someone with bare feet, leaning on a gate and chewing a straw.

  94. immature much by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    heh, "long"

  95. output looks like cheap asian junk by peter303 · · Score: 1

    Maybe its the plastic resin or the roughness of voxelated structures.
    Peole dont realize a lot of these intricate items would be impossible to mold or very expensive to mill.

  96. Premature? much. by Immerman · · Score: 1

    Worse than that I think. I don't personally have a 3D printer, but have a maker-space with one a few blocks away and it's great. I absolutely think the idea of having 3D printers available to the public at storefronts or even the library would be a wonderful thing, and a far more natural fit - not least of which because the distributed usage means you could justify *much* higher quality machines. Printing plastic is great, but if I also have the option of ceramic or sintered titanium, or even large-format plastic (want to print a custom park bench?) at a reasonable premium and similar convenience, then it becomes truly powerful. But for personal ownership in the near term there's a major problem.

    Assume you could, today, get a fast, reliable 3D plastic printer for $100 that can produce items of a quality comparable to high-end injection molding. Now, look around your house - how many consumer items can you find that could be printed in a finished state? Or to at least a finished enough state that you might reasonably expect "some assembly required" for a store bought product of the same type? No motors, no electronics, just plastic. Not many I'd guess, unless you have a lot of decorative or organizational items. Now, how much money would you save in a year by printing those things instead of buying them? Enough to justify the cost of buying and storing* a 3D printer? In most cases I doubt it. (*we must never forget the perpetual reduction in living area implied by possessing something - it can add up quickly)

    Home 3D printing just isn't there for it to appeal to people accustomed to being consumers, and it probably won't be there until you could can print an electric mixer, which is obviously a *far* more complicated problem. That means that it has to appeal to people as a means of self-expression, and has to be able to deliver satisfying final products to people who lack the engineering or artistic skills to be able to exactly specify what they want. If you can deliver that then even kit-form output is probably acceptable, so long as it's relatively simple and well-documented. Heck, it may even help contribute to the "I made this myself" emotional impact. A worthy vision, but it's going to require a cultural shift before it will ever see mass adoption.

    I see two potential paths towards such a cultural shift towards mass adoption of home 3D printing that falls short of "replicator" technology:
    1) The direct route. Make an inexpensive but very reliable "toy" version that appeals to kids, then wait for a couple generations as the addiction is spread to subsequent generations, or if you're lucky it goes viral and becomes the "must have toy" for a season or two, and is sufficiently powerful that kids (and parents) have a sustained interest in it.

    2) The backsliding "added convenience" route - Increasingly high-end printers become a staple of libraries, makerspaces, hobby-shops, or whatever, so that everybody has access to them at a very reasonable price. Ideally you have the option of send the "blueprints" ahead for pick-up or delivery within ~24 hours so that it's not notably less convenient than getting something professionally printed. Eventually everyone gets accustomed to using 3D printers on a regular basis, and small home versions become common for the small/urgent/imprecise stuff that's inconvenient to get from the print-shop.

    --
    --- Most topics have many sides worth arguing, allow me to take one opposite you.
  97. Goodbye AutoParts Store, hello 3D Print store by rhyous · · Score: 1

    Adoption takes time and is driven by money. Right now a home user for 3D printing is not really going to see money savings by owning a 3D printer.

    Some industry will though. My guess . . . First, you are going to see 3D printing take over an industry, like autoparts. Think how much cheaper it is to sell a 3D model than to actually manufacture a part. So your Autozone, NAPA, Checker and other auto parts store will stop being warehouses of parts. Instead, they will have 3D printers.

    You need a new alternator. We'll print you one.

    The company that makes the 3D model gets a royalty on the part. However, the royalty is far smaller than the cost of storing so many parts.

    After this, multiple industries do this. The price goes down on 3D printing and the features improve. More complex parts are printed with every lease.

  98. BS.. by cjdavis618 · · Score: 0

    With the different types of printer systems (FDM,SLA, etc.) you have different results. All are dependent on how well the calibration is of a printer. I have seen FDM printers (The hot plastic type) that are very accurate and print very nice parts. I have 2 of these machines myself. Many of the parts I make don't have to be "flawless" but are able to make life easier. Making brackets, tools, parts for prototypes, etc. Depending on what material you are printing with depends on how "Fragile" or "Bumpy" It sounds to me like any you have seen were crap machines and crap machines print crap parts. If you know what your machine is capable of, and what choices to make in the part design, as well as the settings for the print, you can make a product that looks like it was mass produced at a factory. And if you need metal parts, print a part in a water soluble filament like Hips and then sand cast it. Pour the molten metal in and then enjoy your part manufacturing capabilities. . The SLA printers (the ones that use photo resin) are extremely accurate and create high quality parts. Maybe not as strong as FDM systems, but still very accurate and used in many industries. They do have small build areas, but any home use or diy system will usually have that anyway. Even if it is a device like a CNC plasma table, Laser cutter, CNC Mill or Lathe.

  99. Re:Same with photo printers by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Wal-Marx

    I think you meant Wal-Mart. Unless you're trying to imply that Wal-Mart is highly communist.

  100. a quick thought by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    these things WILL need regulation

    say it gets to point you can get it to make any simple part

    my natural gas supply line to my water heater develops a leak-it needs to be made to the safety specs of the hose i would buy at a hardware store and it needs to be the yellow color than indicates its a natural gas hose. Say I need a new bolt or nut for my garden tractor-it needs to be the right hardness and other qualities for safety sake or the part could snap off under strain of daily use causing serious accident to me or others near by

    say I need some electrical wire -I can NOT opt to use AL wire because Its cheaper or that I just happen to have AL and not CU stock for my printer otherwise one day my whatever will catch on fire

    which means I have to understand the the specs of what I am printing which having been raised in a hardware store 95% of folks coming in that arent contractors have no idea about hardness of nuts and bolts where they are corrosive resistance, whether they need high heat sealant for a motor gasket repair, etc

    and its that part of 3d printing that will need some kind of fix to save lives and limbs

  101. Re:Premature much - hardware stores by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 1

    In some ways I think we'll see hardware stores - and even Home Depot - migrate to a combination of pre-made and maker-made parts.

    There are times I just need this one bizarre European screw that's missing. Not standard US, but if it could be fabbed at Home Depot or my local hardware store, I'd buy it there. maybe send them a preorder on their website and they start printing it, and I pick it up when I arrive.

    But certain materials - hard forged steel, structural fiber backbone stuff, things that take a full load - that I would want to buy materials manufactured for high quality, not "plastic", but with top of the line strength.

    --
    -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
  102. Re:Premature much - the DRM designer by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 1

    I don't mind a DRM logo on a printed part, identifying who made it in an unobstrusive place.

    I do mind DRM designed to only allow me to buy a design of something that is already manufactured by many places from just one vendor.

    And charge me $20 for a 5 cent part.

    --
    -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
  103. Re:Premature much - the DRM designer by mi · · Score: 1

    I don't mind a DRM logo on a printed part

    Logos have little-to-nothing to do with Digital Rights Management. Your ability to modify a purchased (or freely downloaded) design should be out of the scope of this discussion.

    I do mind DRM designed to only allow me to buy a design of something that is already manufactured by many places from just one vendor.

    The DRM I was talking about would've prevented a customer from 3D-printing more items of a particular design, than the designer's license allowed. Like you, I would not want a printer, that was designed to reject otherwise perfectly fine consumables because they were supplied by a competitor. I make a point of defeating such designs in my own "2D" printer today just to spite its manufacturer.

    And charge me $20 for a 5 cent part.

    Yes, I would find that offensive too. Competition, however, would never allow that to happen.

    --
    In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
  104. Re:Premature much - the DRM designer by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 1

    Competition, however, would never allow that to happen.

    But in the telecom industry it happens all the time.

    And in software.

    --
    -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
  105. Re:Premature much - the DRM designer by mi · · Score: 1

    But in the telecom industry it happens all the time.

    Because governments — both local and federal — make it too hard for meaningful competition to arise. Some of the hurdles come from well-intentioned regulations and laws, others — from corrupt practices of rent-seeking politicians. But the result is the same, one needs to be Google-sized giant to enter into a telecom business today, whereas a hundred years ago there were competing phone companies — even running wires parallel to each other.

    Whereas we both agree on what we don't want, it seems, we are at odds on how to achieve that. You'd rather outlaw the things you don't like, whereas I'd like healthy competition to sort things out.

    And in software.

    Lost me here. What are you talking about?

    --
    In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
  106. Re:Premature much - the DRM designer by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 1

    Whereas we both agree on what we don't want, it seems, we are at odds on how to achieve that. You'd rather outlaw the things you don't like, whereas I'd like healthy competition to sort things out.

    Obviously one of us got his first degree in Business Management and knows that regulation is the only thing that works in the real world

    --
    -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
  107. Re:Premature much - the DRM designer by mi · · Score: 1

    regulation is the only thing that works in the real world

    Awesome! Is that really, what they teach in Business Management? Are you sure, you didn't attend a "School of Government" instead?

    --
    In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
  108. Re:Premature much - the DRM designer by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 1

    regulation is the only thing that works in the real world

    Awesome! Is that really, what they teach in Business Management? Are you sure, you didn't attend a "School of Government" instead?

    You mean Army school? Yes, but a lot of that was how to deal with terrorists.

    Unlike you, I worked since my early teens and ran small businesses.

    --
    -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
  109. Re:Same with photo printers by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Gasp! You mean an industrial pick and place machine? Think you'll compete with this any time soon?

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?...