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US Senate Set To Vote On Whether Climate Change Is a Hoax

sciencehabit writes The U.S. Senate's simmering debate over climate science has come to a full boil today, as lawmakers prepare to vote on measures offered by Democrats that affirm that climate change is real—with one also noting that global warming is not "a hoax." In an effort to highlight their differences with some Republicans on climate policy, several Democrats have filed largely symbolic amendments to a bill that would approve the Keystone XL pipeline. They are designed to put senators on the record on whether climate change is real and human-caused.

454 of 667 comments (clear)

  1. Yep it is a scam by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

    It is just there to steal money.

    1. Re:Yep it is a scam by interkin3tic · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I, too, think that externalized costs are a scam. It would be nice if we could all actually admit that oil barrons are stealing money.

    2. Re:Yep it is a scam by Penguinisto · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Congress may be out to do that...

      I tend to be a strong skeptic on the subject, but that said, Congress has no business declaring jack shit when it comes to anything scientific. They are more than free to debate, create, and modify *laws* based on it, but they have zero authority to declare anything a hoax.

      --
      Quo usque tandem abutere, Nimbus, patientia nostra?
    3. Re:Yep it is a scam by davester666 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Next, they vote on whether God exists and that it's every desire should be used to direct Federal Law.

      --
      Sleep your way to a whiter smile...date a dentist!
    4. Re:Yep it is a scam by Opportunist · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I agree. But sadly they don't vote on whether senate is a scam.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    5. Re:Yep it is a scam by Coren22 · · Score: 4, Informative

      Funny thing is that the summary directly contradicts the title. The democrats are attaching riders to the Keystone XL bill that declare climate change caused by man a fact. This is just as bad, but done by the other side of the aisle.

      --
      APK likes to ask for responses to the same things over and over. Maybe he just likes the responses?
    6. Re:Yep it is a scam by rockmuelle · · Score: 2, Informative

      31,000 extra deaths due to cold weather and the flu in 2013:

      http://www.dailymail.co.uk/new...

      584,000 deaths due to malaria in the same year:

      http://www.who.int/features/fa...

      Malaria is transmitted by mosquitoes, which rely on warm weather to live. And that's just one warm weather related cause of death that will go up as the planet warms. :. A warming planet will be a deadlier planet than a cooling planet.

    7. Re:Yep it is a scam by DiamondGeezer · · Score: 5, Informative

      Malaria is not a warm weather dependent disease. England in the 16th Century had malarial marshes (in the middle of the Little Ice Age) and the largest malarial outbreak of the 20th Century occurred in Arctic circle Russia.

      The real vector of malaria is poor sanitation, which in turn is a function of poverty and lack of economic development.

      --
      Tubby or not tubby. Fat is the question
    8. Re:Yep it is a scam by NatasRevol · · Score: 4, Funny

      Free oil for everyone's rivers!

      --
      There are two types of people in the world: Those who crave closure
    9. Re:Yep it is a scam by Bartles · · Score: 2, Insightful

      And not having access to pesticides like DDT.

    10. Re:Yep it is a scam by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Informative

      Exactly what benefits do we get from the pipeline? If you think we are going to actually get longterm jobs out of it you are naive.

      Importantly, as Raddatz said, these jobs would only be supported during the construction phase, which is expected to take one to two years. After construction, the pipeline would employ about 50 people, primarily for maintenance.

      http://www.politifact.com/punditfact/statements/2014/nov/16/russ-girling/transcanada-ceo-says-42000-keystone-xl-pipeline-jo/

    11. Re:Yep it is a scam by mrchaotica · · Score: 2

      We get two things:

      1. Use of petroleum at a faster rate (economic gain in the short term, but more global warming and faster depletion of strategic reserves in the long term)

      2. Probably a net reduction in oil spills, because not having the pipeline would only force the oil to be transported on trains, not stop it.

      --

      "[Regarding the 'cloud,'] ownership was what made America different than Russia." -- Woz

    12. Re:Yep it is a scam by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Except for the pesky problem that global warming is a man-made problem. It isn't the same thing to reaffirm a known fact than to deny one. One is true, the other isn't.

    13. Re:Yep it is a scam by Ash+Vince · · Score: 2, Interesting

      And not having access to pesticides like DDT.

      Nope. The real problem is that DDT is no longer effective against mosquitos in many parts of the world as they have evolved to be immune to it. The stuff that is still effective against them is so damn toxic that it has to be used carefully in case too much gets into drinking water, makes it into the food chain in other ways or even just poisons the rivers and kills all the fish on its way to the sea.

      --
      I dont read /. to RTFA, I read /. to offend people in ignorance.
    14. Re:Yep it is a scam by tnk1 · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Obama will veto the bill anyway, so its all a wash anyway... except for the grandstanding.

      The Republicans know Obama will veto it, but they want him to have to do it. And the Democrats know the Republicans will pass the bill, so they just want to force them to go on record to state something to get a dig in on them as well. Net result? No Keystone XL pipeline. Effort required for negative result? Years.

      They need to do away with the rules that allow off-topic amendments. Congress takes too long to act as it is without it adding bullshit amendments to every bill to make a point, or worse, to add riders that completely subvert the bill or even add completely unrelated stuff.

      It's tough enough to get transparency on things in DC without them adding amendments simply so that you look bad for voting for something that neither you nor your constituents want just to get a more important change through.

    15. Re:Yep it is a scam by roc97007 · · Score: 1

      There are no longterm jobs. And barring government positions, there's no such thing as a permanent employee.

      --
      Oliver's law of assumed responsibility: If you're seen fixing it, you will be blamed for breaking it.
    16. Re:Yep it is a scam by roc97007 · · Score: 4, Interesting

      > Obama will veto the bill anyway, so its all a wash anyway... except for the grandstanding.

      Except (and this may be a minor point) we'd have a clear record of who voted for it and who voted against it, which might have an effect on the next election cycle.

      --
      Oliver's law of assumed responsibility: If you're seen fixing it, you will be blamed for breaking it.
    17. Re:Yep it is a scam by Oligonicella · · Score: 5, Informative

      That understanding was based on a scare program. The truth is quite the opposite.

    18. Re:Yep it is a scam by sysrammer · · Score: 1

      I got it.

      --
      His ignorance covered the whole earth like a blanket, and there was hardly a hole in it anywhere. - Mark Twain
    19. Re:Yep it is a scam by rockmuelle · · Score: 2

      For the sake of this discussion, mosquito borne malaria is a warm weather problem. Increased deaths from cold weather, which was the parent's straw man, occur when it's really cold (sub freezing). Mosquitos die when it freezes. Sure, they can be a problem even when it's cold, but not when it's deadly cold.

      -Chris

    20. Re:Yep it is a scam by Grishnakh · · Score: 5, Insightful

      No, they have complete authority to declare things hoaxes, even if they aren't. This is what we get with democracy (or at least, a democratic republic): people who are actual experts in their fields are overruled by yahoos who were popularly elected by the People. It doesn't matter what's true or not, all that matters is what the People think and want, and they vote for it, based on promises made by political candidates running for office.

      If the politicians campaign that they will pass a law that forces the circumference of a circle to be exactly 3 times its diameter, and the People vote for it, that's what we get: a law that directly contradicts mathematical reality. If they promise to pass a law which sets the speed of light to be infinity and the People vote for it, that's what we get: a law that directly contradicts observed fact.

      You may think Congress has no business declaring jack shit when it comes to anything scientific, but you've been overruled by your countrymen at the polls, who think it does.

    21. Re:Yep it is a scam by Grishnakh · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Yeah, it's going to galvanize the Republican voters even more, and we're going to have even more Republicans elected in 2016.

      Who really thinks that Republican voters are smart enough to know that climate change isn't a hoax?

    22. Re:Yep it is a scam by gtall · · Score: 1

      Ever watch CSpan when they are televising hearings? The hearing opens, the chair honks on for several minutes..."burble...furble...whacka, whacka, ding-dong!" Then he passes off to the minority leader of the committee...more boom-chicka-wow-wow for several minutes. If it is a big hearing, we'll be hearing from every doofus committee person with a point no matter how minor to honk on about their minor point. Then we get to the witnesses, they get to make statements. More delay. All the above just cannot get out all their valuable words and put other comments in the written record.

      Now that we've wasted 1/4 of the time, it is time for questions. A good committee person will be able to question by thinking on his feet. Most committee persons (e.g., Richard Shelby from Alabama) will read questions their staff has prepared. And if it is a critical hearing, some of the "witnesses" are ringers. Jeff Sessions from Alabama (must be something in the water down there) does this for any EPA hearings. He's got a safe ringer who comes in and mouths bullshit about global warming (the usual Republican talking points, I hope they pay him well).

      If I were to run hearings, we'd have tasers wired into committee members chairs. Time is up when the taser shocks. No beginning statements, no witness statements. All questions must at least be memorized, no reading prepared sheets. Fail to do that, Mr. Taser gets a bit more work. Any ringers get to sit in the corner with a dunce hat and cannot speak...well, they can but only if Mr. Taser gets to pay them back for it.

    23. Re:Yep it is a scam by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 1

      Mosquitos do not bite below 58 degrees Fahrenheit so that puts a lower limit.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    24. Re:Yep it is a scam by tnk1 · · Score: 2

      They actually have all the authority they want to declare it a hoax or not. The question is, what effect does that declaration have?

      Congress as the legislative branch cannot make unconstitutional laws, but as long as they are not unconstitutional, they can create any law they want. And they can enforce it to the extent that they can get the Executive branch to do so. Which is usually where the silliness stops, unless the Executive branch is in collusion on the ridiculousness.

      The legislative branches of sovereign states are not limited to legislating just inside their borders for their own citizens or even for for real things. They can pass any law they want, they are just practically limited to what power they have to enforce that law. They are not, however, subordinate to any higher authority.

      If you put aside a deity, Congress is actually competent to legislate for the entire universe and can legally change the definition and content of all physical laws. But then again, so can the Russian Duma or the British Parliament, or whatever goes for a legislative branch in North Korea (which explains certain superpowers of Kim Jong Un).

      If you can redefine two people having consensual sex as rape, you can certainly redefine accepted scientific theory as a hoax.

      Climate scientists are hereby guilty of the crime of "statutory hoax". It's like a hoax, only the opposite.

    25. Re:Yep it is a scam by MillionthMonkey · · Score: 4, Funny

      I like how everyone assumes not only that a supreme being exists, but also that it has a penis.

    26. Re:Yep it is a scam by MillionthMonkey · · Score: 1

      WTF?

    27. Re: Yep it is a scam by bill_mcgonigle · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Reminds me of the Indiana Pi Bill. It's not even that the Indiana Rep. felt strongly that Pi equals 3.2, but he was unqualified to understand the subject, but had no problem passing a law based on 'expert' testimony.

      Classic Dunning-Kruger all over town.

      --
      My God, it's Full of Source!
      OUTSIDE_IP=$(dig +short my.ip @outsideip.net)
    28. Re:Yep it is a scam by TapeCutter · · Score: 1

      Agree, logic is an implementation detail, the constitution has nothing to say about it.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    29. Re:Yep it is a scam by quenda · · Score: 2

      attaching riders to the Keystone XL bill that declare climate change caused by man a fact.

      Isn't that effectively the same thing as the title? I saw no implication about which side was initiating the vote.
      Its all politics of course, but makes about as much sense as Indiana legislating the value of pi in 1897. (Fortunately, their senate struck it down.)

      They want to identify the climate change deniers, but that seems like an abuse of the legislative process.

    30. Re:Yep it is a scam by quenda · · Score: 2

      I like how everyone assumes not only that a supreme being exists, but also that it has a penis.

      By that logic, you think ships have a vagina?

      Then again, God was made by man in his own image.

    31. Re:Yep it is a scam by fustakrakich · · Score: 1

      Exactly what benefits do we get from the pipeline?

      Whaddya mean 'we'? You think you're part of the deal? Pull the other one.

      --
      “He’s not deformed, he’s just drunk!”
    32. Re:Yep it is a scam by fustakrakich · · Score: 1

      we'd have a clear record of who voted for it and who voted against it, which might have an effect on the next election cycle.

      HA! Don't hold your breath. The only thing that has an effect on the elections is gas prices, and the reported unemployment rate.

      --
      “He’s not deformed, he’s just drunk!”
    33. Re:Yep it is a scam by nedlohs · · Score: 1

      Neither the Chicago Manual of Style nor the Associate Press Style Guide capitalize such pronouns, so thats hardly a universal convention.

      People not following you personal conventions makes sentences not understandable, too? That's even worse.

      I've added some errors above so I guess all hope is lost of any of that making sense anyway.

    34. Re:Yep it is a scam by TapeCutter · · Score: 2

      The best "ringer" I recall was Michael Crichton, author of "Climate of fear", "Jurassic park", and dozens of other popular "science gone mad" stories to testify as an expert witness on "climate science". I've watched some of the worst bits of those climate change hearings, I stopped because they anger and sadden me.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    35. Re:Yep it is a scam by SeatcheInpericulisau · · Score: 1

      No you take a hit, and pass the pipeline, ya stoner.

    36. Re:Yep it is a scam by compro01 · · Score: 2

      2. depends on how competently the pipeline is operated. And the likely answer to that is "not very".

      Transcanada does not exactly have a stellar record. Their Keystone phase 1 pipeline sprung 14 leaks in its first two years of operation. Across their network, they average better than 70 spills per year.

      And their Bison natural gas pipeline blew the fuck up after just 6 months of operation.

      I wouldn't trust these guys to operate a garden hose, much less a pipeline carrying dibit over a major aquifer.

      --
      upon the advice of my lawyer, i have no sig at this time
    37. Re:Yep it is a scam by hey! · · Score: 3, Informative

      But with global warming you don't necessarily get warmer weather. That's because "warming" is a misnomer. What's actually going on is the total amount of kinetic energy in the atmosphere is going up. That means **on average** the globe is warmer, true, but nobody actually experiences the global average. They experience the **instantaneous local temperature**.

      With a more energetic atmosphere, air masses move around more and differently. That means a lot of places will get stretches of unusually warm AND unusually cold weather. And some places will get wetter, and others drier. The hallmark of climate, as you are most likely to experience it personally, is what would be anomalous weather a few decades ago.

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    38. Re:Yep it is a scam by dryeo · · Score: 3, Informative

      Where does this bullshit originate? I guess the same place as the "global warming is a fraud" bullshit.
      While DDT was banned for agricultural use, it was never banned for malaria control. One of the problems with DDT and most pesticides including antibiotics is that overuse gives the pests a chance to develop pesticide resistance, this is what finally killed DDT usage, it was so overused that mosquitoes became resistant. Currently it is being used by at least 12 countries (India and some S African countries as of 2008) for malaria control and the WHO is encouraging the use of it, though not overuse. http://www.washingtonpost.com/...
      Where ever you are getting your propaganda from you should stop using as they are spreading outright lies and if they can lie about something as easy to check as the 2001 Stockholm Convention on Pesticides how are they lying about harder to check things such as climate change?

      --
      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inverted_totalitarianism
    39. Re:Yep it is a scam by forand · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I think you are confused. If there were no pipeline the oil would have to be refined nearby. This WOULD create lasting jobs and keep much more of the profits near where the oil is being extracted. The whole point of making a pipeline to the Gulf Coast is to enter the global crude oil market or more precisely to benefit the big oil companies who can ship the crude oil to countries with little or no environmental protections but cheaper refineries thereby keeping a larger share of the profits for themselves. The pipeline may not be directly bad for the environment but it is intended to avoid the costs and environmental regulations imposed by refining in Canada or the USA.

    40. Re:Yep it is a scam by gnu-sucks · · Score: 1

      I'd say they are as qualified as the democrats. The democrats are convinced and will vote for anything related to it. The republicans are convinced the other way. Neither party is being particularly scientific about this or any other political issues. And yes, this is only politics. Climate science deserves a lot more than a binary vote.

      There are no significant differences in the senators between the two parties. They both wine and dine together, both came from big old-school money, went to Harvard, etc. Mostly law degrees. What did you think, the democrats were all scientists and the republicans all oil surveyors?

      Grow up, take the blindfold off. You have been pulled into drinking the party's punch. Stop before it's too late.

    41. Re:Yep it is a scam by Uberbah · · Score: 1

      2. Probably a net reduction in oil spills, because not having the pipeline would only force the oil to be transported on trains, not stop it.

      That's an old chestnut, but it requires ignoring:

      a) All pipelines have leaks and spills

      b) Not having a pipeline serves as a bottleneck on the destruction of the tar sands. Mining companies aren't going to process far beyond their transportation capacity as that's just throwing money away.

    42. Re:Yep it is a scam by Uberbah · · Score: 1

      ....and that's some seriously weak partisan butthurt. That and it wouldn't matter if it was Barney the Dinosaur testifying to the committee: nuclear power is the most expensive power source ever designed by man, and only desired by corporate hacks and Tom Swift fanboys.

      Think that's unfair? Then name a nuclear power company that has rolled the full cost of ore mining, enrichment, plant construction, security, complete insurance coverage, and plant decommission into the rate it charges its customers. Oh, and storing the waste for thousands of years.

    43. Re:Yep it is a scam by Bartles · · Score: 1

      Your need to do some further reading on this. It is not nearly that simple.

    44. Re:Yep it is a scam by mc6809e · · Score: 1

      Sub freezing temperatures aren't necessary.

      In the UK, for example, for every one degree drop in temperature below 18C, deaths in the UK go up 1.5%. The risk of heart attack and stroke seem to increase with dropping temperatures.

      And in the USA, the mortality rate is highest in January.

      Vietnam shows a similar pattern.

    45. Re:Yep it is a scam by Xyrus · · Score: 4, Funny

      I like how everyone assumes not only that a supreme being exists, but also that it has a penis.

      Of course god has a penis. Read the old testament. Only something with a penis could be deliberately that childish, evil, and destructive and not only expect people to be happy about it, but also people to worship the ground he walks on.

      --
      ~X~
    46. Re:Yep it is a scam by Xyrus · · Score: 1

      Funny thing is that the summary directly contradicts the title. The democrats are attaching riders to the Keystone XL bill that declare climate change caused by man a fact. This is just as bad, but done by the other side of the aisle.

      *facepalm*

      All we need is for congress to start wearing sponsorship badges like NASCAR and drinking Brawndo. Idiocracy here we come.

      --
      ~X~
    47. Re:Yep it is a scam by dave420 · · Score: 1

      Whether the US is a republic or not has absolutely nothing to do with whether it is democratic. There are democratic republics, non-democratic republics, democratic monarchies and non-democratic monarchies. Maybe you are thinking of "representative democracy"?

    48. Re:Yep it is a scam by ivano · · Score: 1
      No it's not. Just because DDT doesn't increase the risk of breast cancer that it is somehow safe.

      A Lancet review of epidemiological studies concluded that that DDT causes cancers of the liver, and pancreas, that there is mixed evidence that it causes cancers of the testes, and that it probably does not contribute to cancers of the rectum, prostate, endometrium, lung, or stomach.

      (Rogan WJ, Chen A (2005). "Health risks and benefits of bis(4-chlorophenyl)-1,1,1-trichloroethane (DDT)". Lancet 366 (9487): 763–73.)

      DDT is linked with a lot of development problems - especially at the levels needed for malaria eradication.

      I think it's healthy that we're debating whether or not a chemical, that has both beneficial and harmful effects, should be used - but risk assessment isn't cut and dry.

    49. Re: Yep it is a scam by ivano · · Score: 1

      but the Earth had warning and cooling periods before men had any influence.

      I never understood why people think this is an argument for anything. We're talking about subject matters like paleoclimatology and the experts in the field who work on climate change. They know this shit.

      That's why AGW is so dangerous - they know that there has never been climate change this *fast* before. *All* the other times it took hundreds of thousand of years to do the same thing that is now happening in a few hundred.

    50. Re:Yep it is a scam by dbIII · · Score: 1

      It is not nearly that simple

      No, it is VERY SIMPLE:

      it was never banned for malaria control

      In use over the years in a variety of countries to deal with mosquitos that carry malaria. Some some weird reason people have decided to complicate the issue by making up stuff on gut feeling that did not happen. Maybe it makes them feel better if they think the people dealing with disease control are far more stupid than them.

    51. Re: Yep it is a scam by dbIII · · Score: 1

      We're talking about subject matters like paleoclimatology and the experts in the field who work on climate change. They know this shit.

      That's the problem - sudoko puzzle writers, economists etc who are suggesting that the experts do not know their shit and that we should just ignore expertise in general. It's popular because Twilight style the reader can just insert themselves into the role of the economist or puzzle writer and pretend that they are more important than the experts as well.
      Of course it took a shitload of PR money to get that far but it's a pretty massive blight on society that will take a bit to recover from.

    52. Re:Yep it is a scam by dbIII · · Score: 1

      They actually have all the authority they want to declare it a hoax or not. The question is, what effect does that declaration have?

      It's to force elected officials to stop fucking about on an issue they are using as a political wedge and to do their fucking jobs based on the information that's started stacking up on Johnson's desk and hasn't gone away since.
      The time for comfortable fantasies is long gone.

    53. Re:Yep it is a scam by dywolf · · Score: 1

      the truth is not contained in the thing you linked.

      --
      The guy who said the election was rigged won the presidency with the second-most votes.
    54. Re:Yep it is a scam by ganjadude · · Score: 1

      long story short, its nothing but political posturing by both sides, and its really disgusting that this is what we pay our congress and president to do.

      --
      have you seen my sig? there are many others like it but none that are the same
    55. Re:Yep it is a scam by LaurenCates · · Score: 1

      Citations, please.

      No, really. I'd like some citations.

      --
      Some people don't believe in fairies. I don't believe in The Patriarchy.
    56. Re:Yep it is a scam by Coren22 · · Score: 1

      If anyone wanted to do what you state, they should put forward their own bill. This is just a symbolic act that has no meaning. People who vote for Keystone XL don't give a damn about the anti science rider put on by the Democrats. Maybe this will allow more Dems to vote for the bill though as they can say they were affirming their belief in climate change.

      --
      APK likes to ask for responses to the same things over and over. Maybe he just likes the responses?
    57. Re:Yep it is a scam by Coren22 · · Score: 1

      Do you expect intelligence out of people in congress? They do stupid things all the time.

      However, /. editors intentionally lying in the title of a submission should be called out every time as it causes confusion on the subject. No one put forward a bill that climate change is a hoax.

      --
      APK likes to ask for responses to the same things over and over. Maybe he just likes the responses?
    58. Re:Yep it is a scam by nbauman · · Score: 1

      No it's not. Just because DDT doesn't increase the risk of breast cancer that it is somehow safe.

      A Lancet review of epidemiological studies concluded that that DDT causes cancers of the liver, and pancreas, that there is mixed evidence that it causes cancers of the testes, and that it probably does not contribute to cancers of the rectum, prostate, endometrium, lung, or stomach.

      (Rogan WJ, Chen A (2005). "Health risks and benefits of bis(4-chlorophenyl)-1,1,1-trichloroethane (DDT)". Lancet 366 (9487): 763–73.)

      Not true. From the Lancet article:

      Cancer

      Although extensively studied, there is no convincing evidence that DDT or its metabolite DDE increase human cancer risk. Mainly on the basis of animal data, DDT is classified as a possible carcinogen (class 2B) by the International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC)35 and as a reasonably anticipated human carcinogen by the US National Toxicology Program.36

      DDT is linked with a lot of development problems - especially at the levels needed for malaria eradication.

      Not quite. According to the article:

      subsequent research has shown that exposure to DDT at amounts that would be needed in malaria control might cause preterm birth and early weaning

      The significant word is might.

      I think it's healthy that we're debating whether or not a chemical, that has both beneficial and harmful effects, should be used - but risk assessment isn't cut and dry.

      Yes, more grants for chemists!

    59. Re: Yep it is a scam by cyber-vandal · · Score: 1

      LMFAO you clearly don't know any women.

    60. Re:Yep it is a scam by rochrist · · Score: 1

      Except they want the pipeline to /export/ oil. And by export, I don't mean to the US.

    61. Re:Yep it is a scam by rochrist · · Score: 1

      So why should 'we' allow them to run it through 'our' country?

    62. Re:Yep it is a scam by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      Transcanada does not exactly have a stellar record. Their Keystone phase 1 pipeline sprung 14 leaks in its first two years of operation. Across their network, they average better than 70 spills per year [thestar.com].

      You can't just look at how 'bad' they are. You have to consider the alternatives. Per barrel-mile, even their lousy pipes results in less spilled oil than trucking, rail, or even ships.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    63. Re:Yep it is a scam by lightbounce · · Score: 1

      Yup, during the digging of the Erie Canal in the early 19th century there were around 1000 deaths from malaria.

    64. Re:Yep it is a scam by bhiestand · · Score: 1

      But with global warming you don't necessarily get warmer weather. That's because "warming" is a misnomer. What's actually going on is the total amount of kinetic energy in the atmosphere is going up.

      By definition, doesn't that mean it's actually not a misnomer? I mean, I know what you're saying, and I agree with you... but 'the global climate' is going to get warmer. There will be more thermal energy. So can't we find a word better than misnomer that means "technically true jargon that conflicts with the popular usage/misunderstanding of the term"?

      Honest question. I think we need a word for that, and it bothers me that I can't think of one.

      --
      SWM seeks new sig for a brief fling
    65. Re:Yep it is a scam by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      DDT is a very good indoor insecticide. It is cheap, mostly harmless to humans, and stable. Widespread use in the wild leads to problems, but indoor use does much more good than harm.

    66. Re:Yep it is a scam by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

      Well that's the whole problem: democracy is subject to the voters, so if the voters are blithering idiots, well you're not going to get a very good government.

      This is why democracy simply doesn't work in countries with moronic, uneducated populaces such as Zimbabwe, Egypt, or the United States.

  2. More proof by Anon-Admin · · Score: 5, Insightful

    More proof that this debate is political and not scientific.

    Passing a law that says it is real is like voting on the sex of a chicken. No matter the outcome of the vote, only testing can provide the answer.

    How about we get politics out of science and rely on the scientific method to determine if "Global Warming" is real or not.

    1. Re:More proof by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

      The need for separation of science and state becomes more and more obvious every year since 1947.

    2. Re: More proof by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Agreed. By politicizing this issue when they have no real leverage, the Democrats have essentially admitted this is not a serious issue, just red meat for their let's-tax-their-breath base.

    3. Re:More proof by MightyMartian · · Score: 1

      There's this story about Canut and the tide that the US Senate might want to ponder.

      Reality owes no debt to anyone's political ideology.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    4. Re:More proof by interkin3tic · · Score: 1

      Well then I guess circles aren't geometry or math, they're actually political. Or maybe political discussions can cover scientific issues without making them non-science.

      That said, you're right. It's not a question anymore. It's a scientific answer at this point.

    5. Re:More proof by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      While you are quite correct, I find the whole concept intriguing -- while they're at it, let them vote if poverty exists. They'd probably check their wallets and bank accounts, vote 'nay' and voilÃ: problem solved.

    6. Re:More proof by AchilleTalon · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I agree. This is becoming really insane. Perhaps they could try to vote ISIS is not real and doesn't exist.

      --
      Achille Talon
      Hop!
    7. Re:More proof by bondsbw · · Score: 4, Informative

      Voting whether something is fact is indeed stupid.

      Now if it were a vote on whether to implement a policy based on the assumption that climate change is real, or a vote whether to direct courts to make future rulings based on the assumption of climate change, I can understand that.

      --
      All my liberal friends think I'm a conservative, all my conservative friends think I'm a liberal.
    8. Re:More proof by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      That said, you're right. It's not a question anymore. It's a scientific answer at this point.

      I wouldn't attach myself if I were you. As soon as someone comes up with an explanation besides "coincidence" for why the Venus temperature is the same as Earth's at the same pressure after correcting for distance to the sun...

    9. Re:More proof by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Special interests have good reason to make sure 'Global Warming', and 'Climate Change' , stay as muddled and in question as long as possible. If it doesn't, it might effect their bottom line. This is, after all, about money.

    10. Re:More proof by rsmith-mac · · Score: 5, Insightful

      More proof that this debate is political and not scientific.

      It has been political all along. Regardless of the scientific basis, the consensus view of the American public is that they do not want to sacrifice their lifestyles for the environment, especially in this case since the benefits are non-tangible. All of the political debate is simply an extension of that.

    11. Re:More proof by jandrese · · Score: 4, Insightful

      How about we get politics out of science and rely on the scientific method to determine if "Global Warming" is real or not.

      It's fundamentally impossible to remove the politics from the science if your solution to the problem is political. It's hard to imagine any solutions to a global problem like Global Warming that aren't political short of some miracle technology coming out of nowhere that magically solves the problem.

      --

      I read the internet for the articles.
    12. Re:More proof by tysonedwards · · Score: 5, Insightful

      You don't need people’s opinion on a fact. You might as well have a poll asking: ‘Which number is bigger, 15 or 5?’ or ‘Do owls exist?’ or ‘Are there hats?'

      --
      Thirty four characters live here.
    13. Re:More proof by fahrbot-bot · · Score: 1

      the consensus view of the American public is that they do not want to sacrifice their lifestyles for the environment, especially in this case since the benefits are non-tangible

      I wonder how they will feel about their lifestyles in 100 years, when they have to keep buying longer and longer snorkels just to get around in the non-tangible seawater surrounding their homes? The U.S. Navy, however, is taking climate change seriously: U.S. Navy bracing for climate change

      --
      It must have been something you assimilated. . . .
    14. Re:More proof by Dragonslicer · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I wonder how they will feel about their lifestyles in 100 years

      They won't, because they'll be dead.

    15. Re:More proof by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 3, Funny

      Would you prefer the sex of the chicken by determined by an unaccountable, autocratic out-of-touch socialist-in-a-bubble dictator?!

      Most farmers are like that.

    16. Re:More proof by rsmith-mac · · Score: 2

      They won't, because they'll be dead.

      And that's exactly the point.

      It's not quite as short-sighted as business managers only looking after the next quarter, but when people are being asked to sacrifice now for a payoff that is beyond a human lifetime, that's a very hard thing to sell. Especially when no one believes that other major countries such as the BRICs will sacrifice as well.

    17. Re:More proof by BradMajors · · Score: 1

      They do it all the time. Bills frequently in the preamble have a list of "facts" relevant to the bill.

    18. Re:More proof by CastrTroy · · Score: 2

      Almost nobody alive right now will still be around in 100 years, and almost certainly nobody of voting age will be around in 100 years. Most people really don't care what happens that far out. So many other things can change on such a large time period that it almost isn't worth trying to plan so far ahead. In the past 100 years, we've gone from the majority of people using horses or walking to the majority of people using cars. Maybe we'll end up heading back the other way to the point where nobody drives their own car. Maybe we will have finally gotten fusion power working and we can have clean, cheap power.

      --

      Anthropic principle: We see the universe the way it is because if it were different we would not be here to see it.
    19. Re:More proof by Bruce+Perens · · Score: 2

      This is a really old and mostly wrong story. There was a person who wanted to be paid for his invention, which happened to be a wrong-headed attempt to square the circle. He wanted government money for having done that work. That is what the bill was for. To give him money. He didn't get the money.

    20. Re:More proof by Straif · · Score: 2

      Imagine, filling in natural flood plains and swamp lands to build luxury ocean front condos leads to flooding in those and surrounding areas during the king tides (highest tides of the year).

      Flooding in Florida has a lot less to do with the minimal, and often unmeasurable, sea level rise than it does with greedy construction practices. The entire state is one big sink hole waiting to happen and while a lot of it's problem are man made, most aren't really related to AGW.

      --
      Of course that's just my opinion...... you could be wrong!
    21. Re:More proof by SydShamino · · Score: 4, Informative

      That's a Last Week with John Oliver quote.

      --
      It doesn't hurt to be nice.
    22. Re:More proof by SydShamino · · Score: 1

      Unless, of course, you're talking about a jury vote. That's the point of juries - to decide facts when they aren't otherwise apparent. Those facts better be limited to those relevant to the case, though, and are only limited in scope to the outcome of that case as it was presented to that jury.

      --
      It doesn't hurt to be nice.
    23. Re:More proof by Jeremi · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Voting whether something is fact is indeed stupid.

      While I agree that these amendments are political gamesmanship, they are not "voting whether something is fact".

      You'll notice in TFA that the amendments are voting on the "sense of the Senate" -- i.e. their purpose is to get Senators' opinions/positions on record, not to determine reality.

      Specifically, the Democrats want the Republicans to either publicly acknowledge that climate change is a real problem (thus undercutting their own arguments against doing anything about it), or publicly deny it (and, presumably, thereby look increasingly silly in the future as its effects become more pronounced).

      --


      I don't care if it's 90,000 hectares. That lake was not my doing.
    24. Re:More proof by Stephan+Schulz · · Score: 1

      How about we get politics out of science and rely on the scientific method to determine if "Global Warming" is real or not.

      We have determined that to a very high level of consensus in the scientific community. The result is politically and economically unwelcome, which is why some people and organisation deny the consensus. You don't need to get the politics out of science, you need to get the science into politics.

      That said, the vote very much reminds me of Indiana in 1897 and some thing with square circles ;-).

      --

      Stephan

    25. Re: More proof by halivar · · Score: 1

      Or perhaps they are simply scoring points on your demonic ignorance? :D

      See, now it's a religious argument.

    26. Re:More proof by Kohath · · Score: 1

      It's opportunity to advance petty political nastiness under the banner of science. It's interesting that science is so frequently used this way, instead of being used as a method to advance knowledge.

      Do scientists think using science this way is helping anyone?

      Nothing is going to be done about climate change. But this is especially true if the climate change alarmism side wants to engage in petty political nastiness instead of legislative compromise.

    27. Re:More proof by Kohath · · Score: 2, Funny

      Unless the President's plan is enacted. If we do what the President suggests, sea levels will rise 1 or 2 mm less. Everyone shorter than 2 mm will thank us for our sacrifice.

    28. Re:More proof by Bartles · · Score: 1

      I don't see how that's relevant. Neither the analogy or the premise pertains to the story. No one has submitted a bill declaring that CC is not real. In fact the opposite has occurred.

    29. Re:More proof by Bartles · · Score: 1

      I wonder how they will feel about their lifestyles in 100 years, when they have to keep buying longer and longer snorkels just to get around in the non-tangible seawater surrounding their homes?

      Do you have any idea what a snorkel is, or how it works? Have you ever used a snorkel? If you can't understand the physics of snorkel use, how can you possibly make the judgement that anthropogenic warming is real?

    30. Re:More proof by MightyMartian · · Score: 1

      Yes, and the Senators should be reminded that they have no more power than Cnut demonstrated he had. Being democratically elected does not grant powers to alter or negate physical reality.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    31. Re:More proof by Bartles · · Score: 1

      No, it's like doing 1000 DNA tests with 95% certainty of results and then finding out they were all wrong when the chicken starts laying eggs.

    32. Re:More proof by BStroms · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I'm actually curios ho you pan to get 5 to be bigger than 15 (without simply redefining symbols which would be cheating)

      I'm sorry, as you can see on this paper I've just produced, I clearly drew the number five larger. You really should have waited for me to show you the data before you jumped the gun with your answer.

    33. Re:More proof by Calydor · · Score: 2

      Font size.

      --
      -=This sig has nothing to do with my comment. Move along now=-
    34. Re:More proof by aliquis · · Score: 1

      No?

      The science / facts are still there.

      Whatever do you anything to affect them is a completely different story.

      Just because climate change is real doesn't mean you have to have or come up with a solution. Heck. Not having to do that is what many of the politicians prefer most.

      There's this website which compare countries which also list the CO2 foot print per capita of the countries in question. Guess something such could give a hint about where to start.

      Because one of the boring but rather realistic ways to do something about it is start limit the sources which help it happen (well, if you have decided it's man made and have decided what sources those are.)

    35. Re:More proof by Ichijo · · Score: 1

      the consensus view of the American public is that they do not want to sacrifice their lifestyles for the environment

      [citation needed]

      --
      Any sufficiently unpopular but cohesive argument is indistinguishable from trolling.
    36. Re:More proof by fahrbot-bot · · Score: 1

      I wonder how they will feel about their lifestyles in 100 years, when they have to keep buying longer and longer snorkels just to get around in the non-tangible seawater surrounding their homes?

      Do you have any idea what a snorkel is, or how it works? Have you ever used a snorkel? If you can't understand the physics of snorkel use, how can you possibly make the judgement that anthropogenic warming is real?

      Ya, I know how a snorkel works and the physics involved - it was a joke, lighten up.

      --
      It must have been something you assimilated. . . .
    37. Re:More proof by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      I wonder how they will feel about their lifestyles in 100 years, when they have to keep buying longer and longer snorkels just to get around in the non-tangible seawater surrounding their homes?

      The IPCC predicts a 30cm change in sea levels by the end of the century (for perspective, note that continental drift occurs at around 2-3 cm per year). Unless they live very, very close to the ocean, they will not need snorkels.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    38. Re:More proof by MrTester · · Score: 3, Insightful

      And if you had a large body of lawmakers who were responsible for our budget and they were writing budgets that assumed that 5 was bigger than 15, getting them to say that on the record is exactly what you would want to do.

    39. Re:More proof by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      Evenly divide a stick into 20 segments. Now turn it upside down so then numbers go from low to high in a top to bottom way. Now use this stick to gauge something like the amount left until a body of water spills over its banks. We can call this the flood stage and 15 would be less water than 5 would be. And the lower number you have, the more water.

    40. Re:More proof by MachineShedFred · · Score: 1

      He's probably under the impression that all Americans are dense, and thus do not float.

      He's not that far off.

      Disclaimer: I am a citizen of the United States of America, so I can make that joke. Spare me your accusations of European smugness.

      --
      Slashdot still doesnâ(TM)t support Unicode after it was added to the HTML standard in 1997.
    41. Re:More proof by Stephan+Schulz · · Score: 1

      We have determined that to a very high level of consensus in the scientific community.

      In other words, there's less validation on a potentially world-changing theory than on the validity of a single bitcoin.

      Absolute certainty is only available in the realm of pure maths and logic. Well-programmed computers come quite close to that, but most systems cannot be perfectly understood even in principle - see The Matrix and Descarte's evil demon. The level of certainty of AGW is much better than the level of certainty we accept to send people to prison (which is supposed to be "beyond reasonable doubt").

      --

      Stephan

    42. Re:More proof by Hotawa+Hawk-eye · · Score: 1

      It's not exactly opposite, but what about when measured by C or C++'s sizeof operator? They're probably the same size unless your code has separate 3-bit and 4-bit integer types of different sizes, which would be quite unusual.

    43. Re:More proof by kheldan · · Score: 1

      'Politics out of science'? Why, that's just crazy-talk! What's next, you going to insist they actually enforce separation of Church and State or something? Scandalous! What's next, cats and dogs living together? Mustard and ketchup on hot dogs!? THE WORLD IS COMING TO AN END!

      --
      Are YOU using the TOOL, or is the TOOL using YOU? Think about it!
    44. Re:More proof by NoKaOi · · Score: 5, Insightful

      The need for separation of science and state becomes more and more obvious every year since 1947.

      NO. There already is too much separation of science and state, as evidenced by this very issue. There needs to be less separation of science and state, but we need to make sure that it's science defining policy, and not policy defining science. Try reading that again but replacing the word "science" with the word "reality" and you'll see what I mean.

    45. Re:More proof by Kohath · · Score: 1, Troll

      Does your food contain DNA? Why aren't there mandatory warning labels for foods containing DNA?

    46. Re:More proof by gmuslera · · Score: 1

      It is a long time tradition, like when tried to redefine Pi a century ago. Time passes, but stupidity remains.

    47. Re:More proof by Grishnakh · · Score: 2

      Get these people on the record so we know who to listen to when it comes to science related stuff.

      How is that going to help anything? The voters don't care about science, and don't know jack shit about it. The voters actually believe that climate change is a hoax, that the moon landings never happened, that vaccines cause autism, etc. So they're naturally going to elect politicians who parrot the same stuff.

    48. Re:More proof by Em+Adespoton · · Score: 2

      He's probably under the impression that all Americans are dense, and thus do not float.

      He's not that far off.

      Disclaimer: I am a citizen of the United States of America, so I can make that joke. Spare me your accusations of European smugness.

      Does that mean that no true American can be a witch?

    49. Re:More proof by ColdWetDog · · Score: 1

      the consensus view of the American public is that they do not want to sacrifice their lifestyles for the environment

      [citation needed]

      Stand on local hill.

      Turn slowly in a 360 degree circle.

      That should do it. If not, at least the compass in you phone will be calibrated.

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
    50. Re:More proof by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      I want to know if my food contains dihydrogen monoxide! It kills tens of thousands a year through overdose! ;)

      More seriously, this is why the FDA, quite properly in my mind, doesn't want to require labeling of GMO foods that have passed all the safety checking.

      Heck, the anti-GMO crowd is fighting against potatoes that have been modified to produce less of a potential carcinogen.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    51. Re:More proof by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      We're really gonna care about it being on record when (even more) people are starving and social constructs start to break down in the face of adversity.

    52. Re:More proof by AJWM · · Score: 1

      I'd be more interested if my food didn't contain DNA.

      Yeah, I suppose highly-refined sugar or equivalents might not have any DNA, but I'm not sure I'd call that food, more of a chemical.

      --
      -- Alastair
    53. Re:More proof by riverat1 · · Score: 2

      Whether the globe is warming or not is not in question. The empirical evidence shows that it is warming. Maybe we can argue some about whether it is mainly due to anthropogenic influences or not but the warming in unequivocal.

      There is no hypothesis or theory of global warming, just hypotheses and theory on climate. The finding of anthropogenic causes for global warming is an emergent property of current climate theory.

    54. Re:More proof by Pfhorrest · · Score: 1

      If it is given that something is happening, there are always many different things that could be done in response to it.

      In the case of global warming, there are the political responses you can't imagine other than; there are technological advances to be investigated that you mention nevertheless; there's always the option of individual people adapting individually to the problem as it begins to affect them (people on low-lying beaches relocating inland as sea levels rise, farmers relocating toward the poles as arable areas change, etc).

      Whether the problem exists and what the proper response to it would be if it did should always be kept separate questions, otherwise you get nonsense like we're seeing where agreement on factual matters is determined by agreement on normative ones. But one never directly implies the other. This is basic philosophy at least as old as Hume.

      --
      -Forrest Cameranesi, Geek of all Trades
      "I am Sam. Sam I am. I do not like trolls, flames, or spam."
    55. Re:More proof by mjwx · · Score: 5, Interesting

      I'm actually curios ho you pan to get 5 to be bigger than 15 (without simply redefining symbols which would be cheating)

      I'm sorry, as you can see on this paper I've just produced, I clearly drew the number five larger. You really should have waited for me to show you the data before you jumped the gun with your answer.

      So basically, the only way you can prove your point is to ignore all the facts and question completely out of context.

      That's exactly how deniers work, well played sir, well played.

      --
      Calling someone a "hater" only means you can not rationally rebut their argument.
    56. Re:More proof by Obfuscant · · Score: 1

      The result is politically and economically unwelcome,

      No, the result of science is the result. What is politically and economically unwelcome are the political and economic solutions that may or may not solve a problem that may or may not need a solution. Science provides a result, it is then up to the society to determine what to do about it.

      E.g., "science" tells us that some drugs have bad side effects. Society says whether that drug should be approved for use.

    57. Re:More proof by riverat1 · · Score: 2

      Bu-bu-but think of the children.

      Seriously, some people do care about the lives of their children and grandchildren.

    58. Re:More proof by Required+Snark · · Score: 1

      No, no. American's aren't dense, they will float because they are so fat,

      --
      Why is Snark Required?
    59. Re:More proof by mean+pun · · Score: 1

      The Conservative position: "We should spend nothing as the worst side effect will be an extra day of using my air conditioner once in a while" The Environmentalist position: "We should immediately liquidate 95% of the population and the remainder should go back to living in mud huts, spare no expense!"

      The funny thing is that I have seen plenty of people right here on /. take the conservative position almost literally, but I have never, ever seen a real person argue anything approaching the supposed Environmentalist position. The real Environmentalist position is far more moderate.

    60. Re:More proof by SeatcheInpericulisau · · Score: 1

      Please don't ask Dr. Seuss those questions, nor George Bush Jr., for that matter.

    61. Re:More proof by TapeCutter · · Score: 1

      How about we get politics out of science and rely on the scientific method to determine if "Global Warming" is real or not.

      If we did that then this debate would have ended in 1958 when spectrographs designed for heat seeking missiles became good enough to separate CO2 and H2O absorption lines. It was previously assumed they overlapped but the new spectrographs showed they were interlaced.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    62. Re:More proof by tepples · · Score: 1

      Global Warming is a hypothesis, not a fact.

      A bill can still acknowledge its status as a hypothesis and its potential for replacement by better hypotheses while achieving the intended effect: "It is the opinion of the 114th Congress that the anthropogenic global warming hypothesis best explains the mean temperature trend from V-J Day through 2014, and that policies of regulatory agencies should take it into account."

    63. Re:More proof by bondsbw · · Score: 1

      Then there is a third option: no vote.

      "I don't have an opinion."

      "I don't think it's worth making a big deal over."

      "I really just don't know because I'm a politician and not a scientist."

      --
      All my liberal friends think I'm a conservative, all my conservative friends think I'm a liberal.
    64. Re:More proof by joocemann · · Score: 1

      You're wrong. Let's all hope they vote its a hoax so that the earth will return to normal. These politicians are like gods, I tell you!

    65. Re:More proof by TapeCutter · · Score: 2

      That's exactly what the "public service" are supposed to do "speak truth to power" and I think NASA, NOAA, EPA, and many other government institutions have done an outstanding job over the last 20yrs on this issue. The politician's aren't stupid, they just can't find the courage to "speak truth to their sponsors" who don't give a shit what happens after they die.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    66. Re:More proof by TapeCutter · · Score: 1

      Old troll but a good one - both planets have seasons, parts of Canada are inside the Arctic circle, if Canada had zero air pressure then winter would be as cold as Lunar night time.

      Here's a random conundrum for you - why is February the hottest month in Melbourne when the summer solstice in is December?

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    67. Re:More proof by fatwilbur · · Score: 1

      when they have to keep buying longer and longer snorkels just to get around in the non-tangible seawater surrounding their homes

      I don't live anywhere near a sea, and furthermore, we have long, long brutal winters here. And there's lot of people living in places like me. So.. tell me again why I would fight against rising temperatures?

    68. Re:More proof by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      The Environmentalist position: "We should immediately liquidate 95% of the population and the remainder should go back to living in mud huts, spare no expense!"

      I think a more accurate statement of the environmentalist position (at least this environmentalist's) is that if we don't do something to make our civilization more sustainable then it could collapse leading to the death of over half of our population with many of the remaining living in mud huts. It's not a goal but a consequence of ignoring the looming problems.

    69. Re:More proof by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Even if you do your seeding over the open ocean it's going to drift over the land sooner or later. The other problem with cooling the planet by increasing the albedo (which is what atmospheric seeding is doing) is that it does nothing about ocean acidification which ultimately may be a bigger problem than global warming.

    70. Re: More proof by jmac_the_man · · Score: 2
      Unfortunately, the problem is in how grandstanding amendments are written. The underlying bill orders the executive branch to stop imposing delays on the Keystone Pipeline.

      Opponents of the pipeline wrote the amendment, and they're trying to attach it to the main bill so that in order to vote for the pipeline, they have to vote for "Global Warming is real." Not voting is essentially a vote against the pipeline.

    71. Re:More proof by Firethorn · · Score: 2

      Tell that to Indiana. They tried to legislate that pi was 3.2

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    72. Re:More proof by fahrbot-bot · · Score: 1

      I don't live anywhere near a sea, and furthermore, we have long, long brutal winters here. And there's lot of people living in places like me. So.. tell me again why I would fight against rising temperatures?

      So rising seas won't *directly* affect you, but, even in your area, as temperatures rise, there are probably plants and animals that could die off, local aquifers may dry up (due to changes in rainfall patterns)... In addition, unless you live in a completely self-contained/sustaining bubble, you get things from other places in the country/world... Ultimately, eventually, we're all in this together.

      --
      It must have been something you assimilated. . . .
    73. Re:More proof by Zeroko · · Score: 1

      I actually have seen anti-GMO posts mention genetically modified sugar.

    74. Re:More proof by iMadeGhostzilla · · Score: 2

      That's nonsense. Science operates outside of policy, whereas policy takes into account science, politics, economy, "state of the union" and so on.

      For science to define policy would mean that politics, economy, "state of the union" and so on would be input to science and output would be policy. That doesn't make sense because that is not what science is concerned about, nor can measure, or has credible theories about it. (I do not count economy, political science etc. as sciences.)

    75. Re:More proof by Actually,+I+do+RTFA · · Score: 1

      How about we get politics out of science and rely on the scientific method to determine if "Global Warming" is real or not.

      The purpose of the amendment isn't to determine if global warming is real (and manmade) or not. It's to get congressmen to go on the fucking record as either (a) able to recognize science or (b) batshit crazy. So either you have to vote that it exists, and then lose a fucking stupid talking point/excuse not to do anything, or you have to go on record as a dumbass. Hopefully ambitions not to have "thought global warming wasn't real" dragged out in future elections outweighs desires to be "pure Republican"

      --
      Your ad here. Ask me how!
    76. Re:More proof by Uberbah · · Score: 1

      Regardless of the scientific basis, the consensus view of the American public is that they do not want to sacrifice their lifestyles for the environment

      The only thing that would be sacrificed would be the profits of the fossil fuel industry. Wind and solar are already cost competitive with coal. And the costs of addressing climate change are insignificant next to the costs of not addressing it - which of course will result in a real sacrifice in the standard of living, as opposed to some winger boogyman.

    77. Re:More proof by ArsonSmith · · Score: 1

      5 can be bigger than 15 proof Here we see a yellow 5 larger than a red 15.

      What is existence for which the owls must dwell?

      and of course there are hats. What does that have to do with anything?

      --
      Paying taxes to buy civilization is like paying a hooker to buy love.
    78. Re:More proof by ArsonSmith · · Score: 1

      sounds like a technical problem to solve, not of reducing lifestyles.

      --
      Paying taxes to buy civilization is like paying a hooker to buy love.
    79. Re:More proof by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      The point is now moot. The amendments failed.

    80. Re: More proof by SuricouRaven · · Score: 1

      The amendments process is easily abuseable. In this case it's being abused by 'our side,' but it's still pushing the limits.

      The usual trick is to sneak an amendment into a must-pass bill like an appropriations bill, or something overwhelmingly popular. Often it's a lot easier to get something added as an amendment than to get the same action to pass as an independant act.

    81. Re:More proof by SuricouRaven · · Score: 1

      Costal flooding isn't really a concern. It's the increase in extreme weather events and the change in rainfall patterns that present a danger.

    82. Re:More proof by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      "Extreme weather" is hypothesized, but it gets a lot of sensational attention out of proportion to the evidence supporting those hypotheses. The models that predict extreme weather are far less accurate than these models.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    83. Re:More proof by itzly · · Score: 1

      And you grow all your own food ? Or do you perhaps get that from areas that would be affected by rising temperatures ?

    84. Re:More proof by Sique · · Score: 1

      No, he claimed that the temperature of the Venus' atmosphere at "earthly" conditions, e.g. at a pressure of about 1 bar (somewhere 100,000 feet above the Venus surface) is, after correcting for the distance to the Sun, the same as on Earth.

      --
      .sig: Sique *sigh*
    85. Re:More proof by Sique · · Score: 1

      And those facts the jury votes one are (or should be) worth nil, if new evidence pops up that contradicts it. Then people get exonerated for crimes they didn't commit, and the former conviction is vindicated.

      --
      .sig: Sique *sigh*
    86. Re:More proof by l0n3s0m3phr34k · · Score: 1

      once the current Siberian melting picks up and dumps tons of methane back into the atmosphere it will affect everything on the planet. Seeing the giant holes opening up there right now, it may already be to late to turn the clock back. All of this bickering may be for naught...

    87. Re:More proof by Sique · · Score: 2
      Global Warming is a fact. The last year was globally the warmest on record, and the next 10 warmest years on record were all in the last 20 years.

      So the Earth surface is indeed getting warmer since the times we started to record it, which goes back in some regions to the 18th century. If the average temperature of the Earth's surface is getting warmer (which it does at least since we started to measure it), and if it is happening globally, there is good reason to call it Global Warming.

      That there can be local warming that is even larger, or that there are locations which are colder on average now than they were when we started to record temperatures, is quite possible. The region I live in has gotten 2 K warmer on average since the begin of the records (which were somewhere around 1760, thus encompassing the whole era of Industrialization), much larger than the 0.7 K on average we measure globally. So there surely are regions which warmed less than 0.7 K on average.

      This is a fact you can read at NOAA or whatever organisations keep record of local and global temperatures.

      Where the theorizing starts is if this trend continues in the future, and what causes the Global Warming. But the single fact that the Earth's surface got warmer globally and on average is no hypothesis, is a fact we have measurements of.

      --
      .sig: Sique *sigh*
    88. Re:More proof by l0n3s0m3phr34k · · Score: 1

      I feel that neither position is really useful. With Siberia melting, unless your currently building an air-tight dome no amount of carbon curbing with affect the gigatons of methane that is starting to leak back out. It may be too late already.

    89. Re:More proof by nukenerd · · Score: 1

      You don't need people's opinion on a fact.

      Yes, but don't you see? This is going to settle the argument once and for all. Who better to ask than the US Senate?

    90. Re:More proof by dbIII · · Score: 1

      Extreme weather happens already. It's when the extreme weather is on top of a few more inches of seawater and washes over the top of the dunes that we have to worry.

    91. Re:More proof by dave420 · · Score: 1

      Legislative compromise on this subject is akin to compromising on putting a fire out - unless it's all put out, the fire continues.

      Scientists just want to get accurate data and draw (possibly temporary) conclusions from it. That's it. They have got the data, and it's convincing to anyone without an axe to grind. They've done their part - it's people sticking their fingers in their ears, suddenly becoming armchair climatologists, or simply not caring about future generations which are causing these issues.

      Hint: When you have to disparage science in order to make your argument viable, your argument just might be absolute shit. Creationists try this, geocentrists try this, and Scientologists also. You're in good company.

    92. Re:More proof by TheRaven64 · · Score: 1

      One of the big supermarkets in the UK used to have warnings on the backs of peanut packets saying 'Warning: may contain nuts'. I was confused by this until I found a packet that had been filled entirely with air due to an error at the factory. Then I understood the warning.

      Although on further reflection, it's still a bit confusing as peanuts are peas, not nuts.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    93. Re:More proof by Stuarticus · · Score: 1

      It would be cheaper at least.

      --
      If you think someone isn't free to have a different definition of "freedom" you may be a tyrant.
    94. Re:More proof by Stuarticus · · Score: 1

      I just took a dump on your lunch plate, is that a technical problem for you to solve or would you rather skip lunch?

      --
      If you think someone isn't free to have a different definition of "freedom" you may be a tyrant.
    95. Re:More proof by dywolf · · Score: 1

      they're just trolling the GOP by attaching it to the Keystone bill, and being generally obnoxious.
      basically the same thing republicans have been doing to them for the past 5 years or so, preventing anything from getting done.

      --
      The guy who said the election was rigged won the presidency with the second-most votes.
    96. Re:More proof by ArsonSmith · · Score: 1

      a technical problem to solve:

      http://www.forbes.com/sites/am...

      --
      Paying taxes to buy civilization is like paying a hooker to buy love.
    97. Re:More proof by Richard_at_work · · Score: 1

      Why is redefining the symbol cheating? That's exactly what we are talking about here - its only a fact because people agree on it, if people cease to agree on it, its no longer a fact. There is no such things as "5" in nature, its a construct that we agreed on to represent a particular number of singles - we can redefine that construct any time we like, so long as that redefinition is taken up by the vast majority of people.

      Once upon a time, "broadband" simple meant "Of, pertaining to, or carrying a wide band of electromagnetic frequencies". Broadband has now been redefined to be a particular minimum internet connection speed by the FTC.

      Once upon a time, "gay" meant simple "happy", now it has other meanings.

      See how that happens? Nothings set in stone.

    98. Re:More proof by Richard_at_work · · Score: 1

      Clinton avoided the use of the word "genocide" in relation to Rwanda's "civil war" in 1997, precisely because defining it as genocide would have legally required him to do something about it. So yes, weasel actions can have particular effects.

      Vote that ISIS isn't real means you can blisfully ignore the humanitarian crisis going on in the region, because it can't possibly be happening as the cause doesn't exist.

    99. Re:More proof by JackieBrown · · Score: 1

      So I guess your against SS and other programs that will sacrifice the wellfare of our country for future generations?

    100. Re:More proof by Flavianoep · · Score: 2

      What is funny is that in my country there are such labels on food informing whether there are GMO components, and the products get off the shelves anyway. Most people seem ignore, or not to care about, a T (for transgenic) on a yellow triangle, except for the occasional alarmist that "discovers" that we have been "fooled" into eat "frankenfood", and rush to tell everyone on social media. And people keep eating GMOs anyway because its usually cheaper.
      Well, this is Brazil, where any vegetable is soaked with toxic chemicals, so never mind the GMOs. People who care are willing to afford higher prices for "organic".

      --
      Linux is for people who don't mind RTFM.
    101. Re:More proof by BVis · · Score: 1

      The issue of global warming is a whole lot more complicated than that. It refers to an enormous body of facts, many of which are suggestive of opposing ultimate conclusions.

      Yeah, 3 out of every 100 studies disagree with the other 97. The overwhelming preponderance of evidence supports the conclusion that man is causing the planet to warm up at rates never before seen in the fossil record. The only controversy is "is 97 larger than 3".

      For example, even after it is established that the temperature has risen steadily for the past few decades, that does not by itself prove that this change was caused by man-made pollution, nor that self-regulation will do anything to stop it. Establishing such things is no easy task, and it involves judgment calls as well as statements of fact.

      Fact: Man has been dumping CO2 from burning fossil fuels in enormous quantities into the atmosphere since the Industrial Revolution. Fact: Adding CO2 to the atmosphere makes the planet warmer. Fact: The planet has never warmed up so quickly in the entire fossil record. The science is pretty settled on this one. We're doing it, and we need to do something to stop it.

      That is why scientists, our paragons of objectivity, wind up disagreeing with each other on this issue.

      Scientists disagree with each other on everything. There are always competing theories. That's called "science". You formulate a theory, you make observations and conduct experiments, and the evidence you gather tends to support or discredit the theory. Science does not require unanimity; in fact, it requires the opposite. If 100% of all scientists agreed that AGW was real, something is very very wrong. But if 97% agree that it's real, the theory is overwhelmingly well supported.

      Saying "a fact is a fact" doesn't resolve this complexity, nor does it help people who are not scientists and who are trying to decide which group of scientists are more trustworthy.

      You're confusing measurement with scientific consensus. You can say with a high degree of certainty that the temperature outside is, for example, 20 degrees Celsius (based on your own quantitative observations). You (or, better yet, several other people) can repeat the measurement concurrently with several thermometers and increase your confidence in the measurement. You can then conclude that it is a fact that it is 20 degrees Celsius outside. It is a fact that the atmosphere is warming up. It is a fact that we are dumping CO2 into the atmosphere at historically unprecedented rates. It is a fact that adding CO2 to a system tends to heat that system up in the presence of solar radiation. It is a theory that you can draw a straight line through all of these, and it's a very well supported theory. We call it a 'theory' because there is the possibility, however remote in this case, that the theory is wrong. Nothing in science is 100% certain; that's not a weakness, it's a strength. 100% certainty is called 'faith' and it does not require scientific evidence (and evidence contradicting the belief is routinely ignored, no matter how compelling.) Objectivity and trustworthiness are difficult things to control for; this is why evidence isn't considered reliable until the results have been repeated by multiple experiments by multiple scientists. One scientist's conclusions (for example, that vaccines cause autism) is meaningless until the results have been replicated (which, despite anything the anti-vaxxers tell you, they have not. Matter of fact, it was peer review that determined that the initial study that drew the conclusion was fatally flawed for a host of reasons, and the "scientists" that conducted the study were ejected from the community, losing their medical licenses in the process, because they were what I like to call "shitty scientists".) AGW as a theory is supported by an overwhelming consensus of evidence. I

      --
      Never underestimate the power of stupid people in large groups.
    102. Re:More proof by MooseTick · · Score: 1

      "15 is bigger than 5"

      What does "bigger" mean? Perhaps, better? Not necessarily greater. 5 is a better score than 15 in golf.

    103. Re:More proof by Cajun+Hell · · Score: 1

      Yep. Global warming might be confirmed through repeated observations, but just like the existence of electrons or the existence of gravity, there's always the chance it might some day be falsified.

      Alas, the hypothesis has no competition. Things like global-warming-denial and creationism will never, and can never, be falsified. Spread thermometers across every square meter of Earth and taking reading every second for the next hundred years, and in 2115 no matter what the observations are, global-warming-denial will still be just as viable, and the reasons for choosing it will be just as compelling, as today.

      Faith manages. Those who underestimate the power of the blue pill, will never understand this.

      --
      "Believe me!" -- Donald Trump
    104. Re:More proof by Anon-Admin · · Score: 1

      > The only controversy is "is 97 larger than 3".

      On a scale of 1 to 100 with 1 being a pure fact and 100 being a pure lie, where would you rate the global warming debate?

      Yep, 3 is bigger than 97 :P

      The old saying is that “figures will not lie,” but a new saying is “liars will figure.” It is our duty, as practical statisticians, to prevent the liar from figuring; in other words, to prevent him from perverting the truth, in the interest of some theory he wishes to establish. -- Carroll D. Wright 1889

    105. Re: More proof by McFly777 · · Score: 1

      Or perhaps they are simply scoring points on your demonic ignorance? :D

      I for one am happy to remain personally ignorant of the doings of demons. Demons are not something which I wish to experience.

      (other than perhaps the daemons which make my Linux box run quite nicely... what a difference the 'a' makes!)

      --

      McFly777
      - - -
      "What do people mean when they say the computer went down on them?" -Marilyn Pittman
    106. Re:More proof by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Ok, if you prefer you can call it debasification. It amounts to the same thing. The pH of the oceans is dropping.

    107. Re:More proof by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      If a few inches are going to make a difference, then you should already be making your levees a couple feet higher.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    108. Re:More proof by holmstar · · Score: 1

      The point is that facts should not be debatable, but that is what has generally been occurring. People don't want to talk about potentially costly solutions, so they are instead trying to discredit the facts that "create"* the problem, at least until the facts are so obvious that it's unavoidable.

      * I say "create" because, obviously, the problem exists whether we choose to recognize it or not.

    109. Re:More proof by Reziac · · Score: 1

      That's also how the believers work.

      --
      ~REZ~ #43301. Who'd fake being me anyway?
    110. Re:More proof by iMadeGhostzilla · · Score: 1

      That's a separate point, I completely agree, voting by non-experts to decide if experts are correct or not in their domain is a bigger nonsense, unless the voting body thinks that the majority of experts in the field are frauds and votes on their character or something like that. Which could make sense if that's a very small group of experts we're talking about, but that is not the case with the climate research.

      So it's nonsense, nonsense, nonsense all around. On the surface anyway -- underlying that is a clash of worldviews I think, one of "higher intelligence" with special designs for us, and the other of an impersonal "intelligence" in the form of "laws" which doesn't care about us.

    111. Re:More proof by IRWolfie- · · Score: 1

      "The IPCC predicts a 30cm change in sea levels by ..." Have you intentionally picked the very lowest estimate from the best case scenario in the IPCC? It depends on what scenario happens, whether we deal with reducing emissions or not. At the top edge of the worst case scenario it appears to be 1 metre (slide 10) for example. http://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/unfccc/... Of course, the sea level rise isn't going to be uniform. As mass is lost from Greenland for example, it means that water levels will not rise as fast in the Arctic. Also, the sea level does not uniformly increase with time, there is short term noise of about half a metre (eye balling the graph on slide 8).

    112. Re:More proof by blue9steel · · Score: 1

      I have never, ever seen a real person argue anything approaching the supposed Environmentalist position. The real Environmentalist position is far more moderate.

      The conservationist position (not to be confused with conservatives) is much more moderate, the environmentalist position is not, or at least not much. I did slightly exaggerate both positions to make my point. Most environmentalists are against all forms of power generation and support policies that don't work out when you do the math, for example all organic farming for our entire food supply or recycling for all products even those where recycling uses more energy than building from scratch.

    113. Re:More proof by blue9steel · · Score: 1

      I think a more accurate statement of the environmentalist position (at least this environmentalist's) is that if we don't do something to make our civilization more sustainable then it could collapse leading to the death of over half of our population with many of the remaining living in mud huts. It's not a goal but a consequence of ignoring the looming problems.

      That's a reasonable and well thought out concern which means you're probably not actually an environmentalist, but a conservationist instead. A quick test, would you vote yes to replace a local coal plant with a nuclear plant of same power output? An environmentalist would vote no because they only accept perfect solutions rather than incremental improvements.

    114. Re:More proof by blue9steel · · Score: 1

      Unless you accept the very worst of the worst case projections there is still time to make a difference, maybe not enough to avoid the problem entirely, but certainly we still have the capability to keep it within manageable proportions.

    115. Re:More proof by mean+pun · · Score: 1

      I'm sorry, but you'll now really have to come up with some proof. Even your new toned down description still sounds like a poor caricature of real Environmentalist positions.

      Nobody sane (including Environmentalists) is against `all forms of power generation', claims that current organic farming can cover all our food needs, or claims that recycling is always a good idea.

    116. Re:More proof by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      I would probably vote no because solar and wind power are cheaper than nuclear. I'm not against nuclear power for environmental reasons although it has its problems there but because they are expensive. If someone develops inexpensive modular nuclear power units I'd be willing to see them deployed.

    117. Re:More proof by romons · · Score: 1

      More proof that this debate is political and not scientific.

      Passing a law that says it is real is like voting on the sex of a chicken. No matter the outcome of the vote, only testing can provide the answer.

      How about we get politics out of science and rely on the scientific method to determine if "Global Warming" is real or not.

      Inhofe doesn't agree with you. (not goatse)

      --
      Go to Heaven for the climate, Hell for the company -- Mark Twain
    118. Re:More proof by hughankers · · Score: 1

      Does your food contain DNA? Why aren't there mandatory warning labels for foods containing DNA?

      They need to ban those nasty Amino Acids too!

    119. Re:More proof by blue9steel · · Score: 1

      Solar and wind don't currently produce reliable base load, though otherwise they're somewhat reasonable depending on a variety of factors. My preferred strategy would be a paired project where you'd build something like Solar or Wind + Natural gas and a water storage facility to help prevent lost potential energy and smooth out the power flow, that way it's as green as it can be while still providing a guaranteed level of output.

      Nuclear is expensive to build but cheap to operate, so it balances out if you can be sure you'll use the full capacity.

    120. Re:More proof by blue9steel · · Score: 1

      So let's look at power generation and how environmentalists feel about it in reverse popularity order:

      Nuclear - Evil radiation
      Oil - Evil drilling and smog
      Coal - Evil mining and runoff
      Gas - Evil fracking and earthquake hazard
      Hydro - Evil fish run interference and silt blockage
      Geothermal - Evil drilling and earthquake hazard
      Biomass - Evil increase in food crop prices and increased air particulates
      Solar PV - Evil mining and hazardous chemicals in construction
      Wind - Evil bird killers and scenery destroyers
      Solar Thermal - Evil loss of desert habitat
      Tide - Evil damage to coastal habitat

      Try and build any of those and tell you won't get any environmental lawsuits attempting to prevent or delay construction.

    121. Re:More proof by Bruce+Perens · · Score: 1

      No number is larger than any other number. Quantities are larger than other quantities. Numbers are symbolic entities that can represent a quantity, or not.

    122. Re:More proof by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      I think you'll be surprised how soon the base load issue of solar and wind get solved.

      Living in the Pacific Northwest we have lots of hydro-power and wind.

    123. Re:More proof by dbIII · · Score: 1

      Sadly it does make enough difference, as seen in floods all over the place without even considering sea level rise. A storm on a large tide is often all it takes. Add a few more inches and the number of incidents goes up by a bit.
      Also rather sadly, whenever work on prevention infrastructure is considered it's sometimes shouted down by people who say they don't believe in climate change, even when repairs or upgrades are a good idea based on past events. I've got some idiots like that involved in town planning near me that are selling coastal swamps to property developers - forget climate change, all it's going to take is a once per couple of decades storm and it's under the sea for a while.

    124. Re:More proof by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      That's true, there's a subdevelopment near me, built on a river flood plain that flooded in the 90s. It was under 15 feet of water. I have no idea why they built there, and no idea why people buy there.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    125. Re:More proof by demonrob · · Score: 1

      strcmp()

    126. Re:More proof by BVis · · Score: 1

      The science is settled. Man is causing climate change. Anyone who says different is lying for their own purposes or ideology.

      --
      Never underestimate the power of stupid people in large groups.
    127. Re: More proof by jmac_the_man · · Score: 1

      In this case it's being abused by 'our side,'

      Not my side... not in this case, anyway.

      That said, your larger point is right. Both sides abuse the amendments process to trick dopey journalists (like Slashdot) into saying SENATOR X OPPOSES Y, when the Senator was voting on the underlying bill.

    128. Re:More proof by blue9steel · · Score: 1

      I think you'll be surprised how soon the base load issue of solar and wind get solved.

      When that happens I'll be one of the first ones clamoring for more, especially wind power as it's less environmentally damaging on the production side. I don't see that happening in the next twenty years though. The sheer magnitude of power storage required means that the solution is fairly challenging.

      Living in the Pacific Northwest we have lots of hydro-power and wind.

      Yeah and we've been having trouble with that since the water levels and wind levels don't always match up well. On several occasions they've had to pay the wind farms not to produce power.

    129. Re:More proof by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      Given that the models overestimate the warming, choosing the low end is justified.

      It's fair to consider the high end, though. Once again, a meter won't have people snorkeling in their houses. As mentioned, continental drift and rebound from the last ice age account for more change to the coastline than global warming (continents move around 2cm per year with continental drift). Add to that natural erosion, sediment, etc, and AGW is not the most important effect on most coastlines.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    130. Re:More proof by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      What size is 5-gauge wire? What size is 15-gauge wire?

    131. Re:More proof by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      I think his response was a joke too. A powered snorkel, like a submarine one, would work fine for large distances, but a human-connected snorkel is good to about 2 feet (and impractical at that, as a wide one for good flow will having you inhaling your exhaust)?

    132. Re:More proof by NoOneInParticular · · Score: 1

      Numbers are ordered. By construction.

    133. Re:More proof by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      ocean acidification which ultimately may be a bigger problem than global warming.

      What did the fishes look like the last CO2 spike? The problem with looking at the oceans is that the deep ocean floor recycles relatively fast.

    134. Re:More proof by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      The last CO2 spike comparable to the current one was the PETM about 55.8 million years ago. The rate of carbon increase then appears to be at least 10 times slower than it is now and there was a mass extinction that accompanied it on benthic formaminifera. If the rate today was 10 times slower ocean life would have a much better chance of being able to adapt.

    135. Re:More proof by dbIII · · Score: 1

      Here's a spot down the road from me on Jan 22nd during the highest tide of the year:
      http://www.couriermail.com.au/questnews/newstead-and-albion-streets-flooded-during-king-tide/story-fni9r0hy-1227193417069
      Add a few inches on top of that plus a storm surge and things are getting really ugly.

  3. Vote on the negative by tchdab1 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I wish the vote were worded "Is the denial of climate change a hoax?"

    1. Re:Vote on the negative by phantomfive · · Score: 3, Informative

      In Hawaii back in 97 or 98 there was an election to legalize gay marriage, but the proposition was worded in the negative. Campaigners were worried that it would confuse everyone, so you would see advertisements like, "A no vote means yes. A yes vote means no." Which only further confused people. By the end of the election gay marriage was still illegal, but it is not clear what the population actually wanted. Eventually Hawaii legalized gay marriage.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    2. Re:Vote on the negative by MoonlessNights · · Score: 1

      "I'm not not licking toads"

      --Homer Simpson

    3. Re:Vote on the negative by amicusNYCL · · Score: 1

      I saw the same thing on one of Arizona's ballots, I can't remember if that was for gay marriage or legalized marijuana though. The question was something along the lines of "should the existing restrictions stay in place", so if you voted yes then you were voting against changing the law.

      --
      "Our two-party system is like a bowl of shit looking at itself in a mirror." - Lewis Black
    4. Re:Vote on the negative by houghi · · Score: 1

      Do you not disagree that the opposite of denial of anti-climate change is contrary to not being a hoax?

      --
      Don't fight for your country, if your country does not fight for you.
  4. Finally, a definitive answer! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    After they vote we'll never have to discuss this again! Huzzah!!

  5. Welcome to the United States by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    The place where facts are determined by opinion.

  6. Wackadoddle by Tablizer · · Score: 1

    Let's vote the world flat.

    It would make map printing easier and do away with time-zones.

    1. Re:Wackadoddle by blue9steel · · Score: 1

      The necessity of time zones wouldn't disappear by changing from a rough egg shape to a rough plane shape, in order to accomplish that you'd have to remove spinning about the axis. You're right about the map printing though.

    2. Re:Wackadoddle by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      All my maps are already flat. Even when folded..

    3. Re:Wackadoddle by JesseMcDonald · · Score: 1

      Timezones exist because the world is curved around the axis of rotation, meaning that the angle to the Sun varies according to one's longitude. If the world were flat, but still rotating so as to allow for day and night, then the Sun would be at (very nearly) the same angle to the ground everywhere, and thus the time should be the same everywhere.

      Unless there are people living on the back of the plane, that is, in which case there would be two diametrically opposed timezones rather than the continuous variation you get with a sphere or cylinder.

      --
      "The state is that great fiction by which everyone tries to live at the expense of everyone else." - Bastiat
  7. Re:Climate Change Has Existed Forever -- by Drethon · · Score: 1

    Yep, I may have issues with how some of the measurements and projections are made and what the true impact is but I've never considered it a hoax. Though if it gets us switched over to renewable fuels I can't complain too much. Just like the inedibility of the sun taking out this planet and us having to move elsewhere, fossil fuels won’t last forever, or likely be all that useful on any colony off this planet. Then again I'm not more sane than the next guy, just my bent $0.02.

  8. A vote does not make it so by HalAtWork · · Score: 3, Insightful

    This is the type of thing you actually have to research and prove one way or the other.

    1. Re:A vote does not make it so by MicahEli · · Score: 1

      What is proof anyways?

      --
      "I know this... this is a unix system" -- Jurrasic Park
    2. Re:A vote does not make it so by MightyMartian · · Score: 1, Flamebait

      I know it's for mathematics and liquor.

      Has fucking little to do with science, mind you.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    3. Re:A vote does not make it so by Tablizer · · Score: 1

      Move Venus to Earth's orbit using repeat asteroid pass-by momentum transfers, pump it full of hydrocarbons from a similarly-diverted Titan, and see if it warms up. The bill is in the mail.

      (Put the orbit at an angle to avoid bonking Earth)

    4. Re:A vote does not make it so by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      Making it so isn't the point. The point is to expose deniers. Politicians like to keep quiet if they think their denial will harm their election prospects.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    5. Re:A vote does not make it so by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      There is also not a scintilla of evidence that my tiger repelling rock in my pocket does not work. I have never been attacked bt a tiger either.

    6. Re:A vote does not make it so by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      All they got to do is say they voted the amendment down because it was meaningless and not related to the bill. No exposing of anything other than the sillyness politicians employ thinking they can get one over someone else. Outside of the already convinced, it could actually backfire on them too.

    7. Re:A vote does not make it so by dave420 · · Score: 1

      Your argument is, well, pathetic. I hate to be so rude, but that's the only response your little dabble in the discussion is worth. You sound absolutely desperate and entirely illogical.

    8. Re:A vote does not make it so by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      Silly boy. It was the same logical falllacy the AC used. Lack of evidence against is not evidence for.

  9. Re:Don't fall for it by Tablizer · · Score: 5, Funny

    Evolution is a hoax too.

    Indeed. Congress is evidence that evolution didn't take place: they are sh*t-flinging apes, still.

  10. NASA Doesn't Think So by lazarus · · Score: 5, Informative

    NASA seems to think that climate change is being caused by human activities and they back it up with a lot of references to studies on the matter. IMHO, we're never going to convince people to change their behaviors or give up their luxuries. If we want to make a difference we need to develop the technologies that make it more advantageous to adopt the renewable solution (like kick-ass cars and cheaper home energy).

    --
    I am not interested in articles about life extension advancements.
    1. Re:NASA Doesn't Think So by Coren22 · · Score: 1

      Which would be why, according to the summary, the democrats feel they should legislate the truth of climate change instead of leaving it to the scientists. It helps to read the summary, it says the exact opposite as the title.

      --
      APK likes to ask for responses to the same things over and over. Maybe he just likes the responses?
    2. Re:NASA Doesn't Think So by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Changing to LED bulbs won't alter the outcome, whatever it is...

      Changing to electric cars won't alter the outcome, whatever it is...

      The changes required to alter the outcome are far greater than anyone wants to talk about and far greater than we will accept, so it is moot.

      The entire argument is a pissing contest and a challenge for money, nothing more or less.

    3. Re:NASA Doesn't Think So by budgenator · · Score: 1

      NASA seems to think that climate change is being caused by human activities and they back it up with a lot of references to studies on the matter. IMHO, we're never going to convince people to change their behaviors or give up their luxuries. If we want to make a difference we need to develop the technologies that make it more advantageous to adopt the renewable solution (like kick-ass cars and cheaper home energy).

      The Nasa climate scientists (Gavin Schmidt) who claimed 2014 set a new record for global warmth last night admitted they were only 38 per cent sure this was true.

      That NASA?

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    4. Re:NASA Doesn't Think So by Goragoth · · Score: 1

      The solution to global warming is simple and we have the technology to slash carbon emissions right now. All it requires is a willingness to replace all fossil fuel fired power plants with nuclear plus some additional capacity, investment in a more robust power grid, and huge subsidies for electric cars combined with slowly increasing taxes on petrol.

      Not only would this solve the global warming issue, it will also cut off the money supply to many of the Islamic terrorist organizations and undermine the power of several pathological governments such as Russia and Iran. In fact, it might even end up being cheaper for the U.S. in the long run than fighting constant wars in the Middle East.

    5. Re:NASA Doesn't Think So by riverat1 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Democrats aren't trying to legislate the truth of climate change. They're trying to put those who think it's a hoax on record to use as political ammunition against them.

    6. Re:NASA Doesn't Think So by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Yes, that NASA. Here is the full table for your perusal:

      Probability of Warmest Year
      2014___~38%
      2010___~23%
      2005___~17%
      1998___~4%

      So 2014 is about 1.6 times more likely to have been the warmest year than 2010.

    7. Re:NASA Doesn't Think So by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      That solution requires that the whole world do it...

      It doesn't work if only the US does it, or even the US and Europe.

      Just the 4 BRIC nations alone over the next 20-30 years will increase their carbon output as much as the entire US puts out today.

      We could cut our output to zero, unless everyone else joins in, it will make no difference. That is what the talking heads never point out because it isn't the message being pitched.

      It is just a power and money grab, those who actually know, know that we've passed the point of no return anyway. The only way the world is going to be forced to change would be war, and it would be a nuclear war before it finished.

      That is not the preferred solution, IMHO.

  11. Re:Climate Change Has Existed Forever -- by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 2

    Just like the inedibility of the sun taking out this planet and us having to move elsewhere

    Question: is the sun inedible because it's too hot, or because hydrogen/helium mix just tastes bad?

    --

    "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
  12. As real as old Saint Nick by raymorris · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I think that approximately everyone who is smart enough to get elected to the senate understands that climate does change. Past that point, you can say that "climate change" is as real as Saint Nick.

    It's warmer today than it was 100,00 years ago, and it's colder today than it was 150,000 years ago. If that's what you mean by "climate change", we can all agree. San Francisco will not in fact by underwater by the year 2020. That meaning of "climate change" is a hoax, it's false. Recently, the Obama administration updated the dire predictions in some of their stuff from "by 2010" to "by 2050". Maybe the predictions will come true this time, but the search-and-replace nature of changing all references to "2010" to "2050" is a bit suspect. Some informed people think those claims are false, scare mongering, a hoax.

    When I've pointed out some of the stuff that professors of climatology said in the 1990s, the environmentalists here on Slashdot have said "that guy is a wacko, he doesn't represent the mainstream of liberal thought on the issue". I'll take them at their word. So we all agree the UC climatologist's "science" was false/bogus/wrong. And we all agree that the climate has changed. Not really useful.

    1. Re:As real as old Saint Nick by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      San Francisco will not in fact by underwater by the year 2020.

      Obviously not all of it. Wait, where did this 2020 come from?

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    2. Re:As real as old Saint Nick by raymorris · · Score: 1

      For that particular example, I had in mind the University of California climatology department's models from the nineties. That's just one example, though - pick up any issue of Greenpeace magazine or any of All Gore's stuff that's had time to come true. You'll find plenty of claims about what will happen in twenty years or fifty years. Now that it IS twenty years later, we can see which of those are utter bullshit, and which aren't.

      Which is NOT to say that anyone who is concerned about the man's impact on the earth is wrong. There are some models out there that may be reasonable. So if you ask "is global warming a hoax", you kind of have to be more specific. Like Saint Nick, there was a real guy by that name, and there's the myth with the reindeer. There's science, and there's fear-mongering to pitch your book on CNN.
      Maybe an even better parallel is Saddam's attempts at a nuclear program. Were they a threat to region? No, not in the near term to medium term. Their old chemical weapons were more dangerous than their DESIRE for nukes. On the other hand, they had bought uranium, so there was nugget of truth suggesting something to keep an eye on in the long term.

    3. Re:As real as old Saint Nick by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Maybe an even better parallel is Saddam's attempts at a nuclear program.

      Or the Shah of Iran to, wait, what was he supposed to be a threat to again? The status quo?

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    4. Re:As real as old Saint Nick by silentquasar · · Score: 1

      Pedantic N.B. - Saint Nick is/was real: Saint Nicholas

    5. Re:As real as old Saint Nick by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      Recently, the Obama administration updated the dire predictions in some of their stuff from "by 2010" to "by 2050".

      Do you have a citation for that?

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    6. Re:As real as old Saint Nick by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      For that particular example, I had in mind the University of California climatology department's models from the nineties. That's just one example, though - pick up any issue of Greenpeace magazine or any of All Gore's stuff that's had time to come true. You'll find plenty of claims about what will happen in twenty years or fifty years. Now that it IS twenty years later, we can see which of those are utter bullshit, and which aren't.

      I challenge you to come up with a concrete example from the early 1990s that actually shows that. By concrete example I mean a paper or article from a researcher in the field. I'd be surprise, shocked even if your UofC anecdote is correct.

    7. Re:As real as old Saint Nick by dbIII · · Score: 1

      Yep, funny how an exaggerated strawman put together in somebody's name to make fun of them got things wrong. Who would have thought?
      Meanwhile, back on planet earth, subject matter experts know more about their subjects than sudoko puzzle writers.

    8. Re:As real as old Saint Nick by dave420 · · Score: 2

      You are welcome to your opinion, but unless you can show how the scientists are wrong, your opinion is, well, worthless. You also need to show how basic physics is wrong, and how CO2 is not a greenhouse gas. There is, in fact, so much you need to show is wrong for you to be right. You need to overhaul great swathes of science (from biology, chemistry, and physics) for you to be right. Get cracking! You make it sound easy, which makes me wonder why you haven't spent your required 30 minutes and won a Nobel prize?

      You mentioning "liberal" isn't helping your cause. Reality has no political ideology, and you trying to shoe-horn that into the discussion merely illustrates the reason for you not wanting AGW to exist, and denying its existence, even though I'm pretty sure you understand that people with a modicum of understanding of this field can see you are really confused on the matter, and clutching whatever straws you can in order to make your wishes come true, kind of like some kid with a lucky stone or something equally irrational.

      But good luck - I wish you were right, but the facts say otherwise.

  13. Re:Climate Change Has Existed Forever -- by Penguinisto · · Score: 3, Funny

    Let's just say that the Scoville units are a wee high on that one...

    --
    Quo usque tandem abutere, Nimbus, patientia nostra?
  14. If we can vote on reality... by eepok · · Score: 3, Funny

    If we can simply use the vote to determine reality, why are we bothering to vote on climate change. I say we treat the senate gavel like a genie's lamp and vote on the realities of cancer, aliens, death, and god.

    1. Re:If we can vote on reality... by JustNiz · · Score: 5, Insightful

      This isn't about determining reality, it's about determining which politicians will openly accept reality.

  15. Real question is: how much are humans changing it? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Climate change (global warming?) skeptics admit that humans are affecting climate, but the real question is "how much are humans changing it?". And while asking that, we should also ask:

        - Is the data used to measure climate accurate? (IPCC controversially says: "urban heat islands don't matter when measuring temperature")
        - Is the climate actually warming? (satellite datasets say not for the last 18-25 years, terrestrial datasets say 14 years)
        - If there is warming, how much of it is caused by CO2 rises? (not much, since warming has "paused" while CO2 levels increased)
        - How accurate are the CO2-temperature feedback models? (not very, they have overestimated by 2-4x)
        - How much of the CO2 rise is caused by humans?
        - What is the cost/benefit of lowering CO2 now vs delaying 50/100 years when tech will be more advanced?
        - If we are going to spend money lowering CO2, would that same money immediately benefit more people if spend on vaccines? cholera? malaria? aids? clean water? sanitation? literacy?

  16. Are they voting on whether Pi = 22/7 also? by davidwr · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Saying whether or not climate change is real, is not real, or is unknown is not a statement for non-subject-matter experts to make until/unless there is enough evidence that it is clearly real or clearly not real to the layman. If either one were the case, we wouldn't even be having this discussion.

    In other words, every Senator who isn't either a subject-matter expert or an arrogant person and who doesn't want people to think he is in one of those two groups must abstain if this comes to a vote.

    --
    Knowledge is how to play a game, intelligence is how to win, wisdom is knowing what game to play.
    1. Re:Are they voting on whether Pi = 22/7 also? by budgenator · · Score: 1

      In other words, every Senator who isn't either a subject-matter expert or an arrogant person and who doesn't want people to think he is in one of those two groups must abstain if this comes to a vote.

      Personally I think this was just a way for the Democrats to help Warren Buffet keep his massively profitable oil transportation by rail business intact by making the vote on the KeystoneXL unpalatable to the Republicans.

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    2. Re:Are they voting on whether Pi = 22/7 also? by quantaman · · Score: 1

      Saying whether or not climate change is real, is not real, or is unknown is not a statement for non-subject-matter experts to make until/unless there is enough evidence that it is clearly real or clearly not real to the layman. If either one were the case, we wouldn't even be having this discussion.

      In other words, every Senator who isn't either a subject-matter expert or an arrogant person and who doesn't want people to think he is in one of those two groups must abstain if this comes to a vote.

      Can you explain why E=mc^2 is clearly real?

      I can see the principal in saying that politicians shouldn't hold votes affirming some scientific theory, but if you are going to allow votes of that matter than somewhere where there is a clear scientific consensus, such as climate change, are valid.

      --
      I stole this Sig
    3. Re:Are they voting on whether Pi = 22/7 also? by rastos1 · · Score: 1

      ... been there, done that: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/I...

  17. Vote on how many digits in pie by gurps_npc · · Score: 1
    Next they will follow Indiana's example on vote on the true value of pi (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Indiana_Pi_Bill)

    How about we vote on whether or not Congress is a hoax?

    --
    excitingthingstodo.blogspot.com
    1. Re:Vote on how many digits in pie by OrangeTide · · Score: 1

      My favorite part of the story, and fits so well with today's story:
      An assemblyman handed him the bill, offering to introduce him to the genius who wrote it. He declined, saying that he already met as many crazy people as he cared to.

      --
      “Common sense is not so common.” — Voltaire
    2. Re:Vote on how many digits in pie by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Just one digit in the pie. My finger. I was taste testing it before the teenager decided to masturbate into it.

  18. Other votes by uneek · · Score: 1

    Maybe the next thing they should vote on is

    "Are there hats?"

  19. Remember this sort of nonsense by bulled · · Score: 4, Interesting

    The next time you get to vote on if your senator is a hoax...

    1. Re:Remember this sort of nonsense by Thagg · · Score: 1

      That is the point, of course. We're going to see more dramatic climate changes in the future, probably, and we'll be able to go back and point to these votes. Politicians can deny a lot of things, but the votes are on the record forever.

      --
      I love Mondays. On a Monday, anything is possible.
  20. Funny you should mention that by SuperKendall · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The article linked says the bill implied Pi should be 3.2...

    So you really want to bring that up in the context of a bill that claims humans cause substantial warming? Or that the warming we see is anything to be concerned about?

    Observable reality is what it is, no matter how much a law rounds or chastises.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    1. Re:Funny you should mention that by interkin3tic · · Score: 2

      My point was that politics sometimes sometimes follow facts, often they don't, but that doesn't change the nature of the facts themselves. Concluding "any facts politicians agree on must be wrong" is as stupid as suggesting the reverse. Anon-admin was suggesting that since climate change is being discussed by politicians, it's not science. That's backwards.

  21. They already have by Bruce+Perens · · Score: 5, Informative

    The scientific method is for experiments. If you wanted to use it to see if global warming was real, you would make a forecast like "The world will get hotter than it's ever been.", and see if it comes true or not. It did come true. Last year was hotter than it has ever been, globally. Scientists were telling us that would happen for years.

    It's time to stop denying. It's time to stop saying "they should use the scientific method" when you know full well they have. You know, that is, unless your head is in the ground or your preferred news network is putting it there.

    1. Re:They already have by DiamondGeezer · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Sadly not true. The fashion for some scientists to make names for themselves by producing misleading headlines for their supposed evidence has yet to fizzle.

      Was 2014 the warmest it has ever been globally? No.

      The satellite records (either one) show no special warmth for 2014 and the BEST record shows no statistical significance to the claim that 2014 was the hottest. Why? Because the tiny increase was well within the error bars of the mean temperature statistic

      Has the global warming hiatus ended? No. Do the climate models reflect this? No.

      That said, should Congress be making such a determination? No it shouldn't. But what this Congress is certain to do is cut the funding of climate change to the bone. Then we'll see how much was real and how much was money-powered hype.

      --
      Tubby or not tubby. Fat is the question
    2. Re:They already have by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      >denying
      "just accept global warming into your heart and be saved!" GW proponents use "denier" like christians & muslims (rafidah). that's what i picture every time someone uses "denier" as a term for skeptical. inb4, "you're not skeptical! you have rejected the prophecy! DENIER!"

    3. Re:They already have by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Here's what needs to be asked of deniers (who prefer the claim "skeptic" to make them seem less loony): What evidence would convince you that global warming is real, is happening now, and is caused primarily by human use of fossil fuels?

      The answer is that nothing will convince them, no evidence that is humanly possible to gather that is.

      Has the global warming hiatus ended?

      There has never been a hiatus as you are using the word. That's the problem when uneducated lay people see words in journals and apply the everyday meaning to them. What did happen was that the rate of warming slowed. It didn't flat line and it didn't decline, it still increased. The increase was just less than the trendline of annual means would have suggested.

    4. Re:They already have by Bartles · · Score: 1, Interesting

      Yeah, NASA now says they oopsied, and are only 34% certain that last year was the hottest, by .01 degree fahrenheit which is much smaller than the margin of error for the calculation.

    5. Re:They already have by Kohath · · Score: 1

      You can forecast "hotter" and have about a 50-50 chance of being correct for any random period of time. How many models forecast these temperatures? It seem like the answer is most didn't come very close.

    6. Re:They already have by Obfuscant · · Score: 1

      The scientific method is for experiments. If you wanted to use it to see if global warming was real, you would make a forecast like "The world will get hotter than it's ever been.", and see if it comes true or not. It did come true.

      "Prediction" and "experiment" are not synonyms. Predicting something that comes true is not proof of the cause. It takes experiments to do that. Seers and psychics predict lots of things, some of which come true. Did they truly see the result in their magic crystal ball, or did they make guesses based on probabilities?

      It's time to stop saying "they should use the scientific method" when you know full well they have. You know, unless your head is in the ground

      Or you work in the field and know that 1) small scale lab systems where true scientific experiments have been conducted don't map directly into global systems, and 2) there has yet to be a control Earth against which hypothesis can be tested.

      I can prove that anything I want to pick can cure the common cold, as long as you don't make me compare my proposed cure against a control group. Eventually everyone gets over a cold, even if the magic cure I give them does absolutely nothing.

      Over recorded history, all kinds of religions have arisen because people have made predictions like "if we sacrifice a virgin maiden on the alter, the gods will give us good crops". That maps all the way down into common superstitions from "break a mirror, seven years bad luck" to athletes who have to wear their lucky socks. Every one of those athletes has used the "scientific method" by saying "if I don't wear my lucky socks, I won't play well today" -- and the prediction came true.

      Now if you will excuse me, I have to go to lunch and it's raining out. You see, every time I forget to bring my umbrella it rains during lunch hour. I've proved that scientifically by making a prediction that came true.

    7. Re:They already have by Obfuscant · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The answer is that nothing will convince them, no evidence that is humanly possible to gather that is.

      This same statement applies to the question "what evidence would convince you that God exists?"

      If the evidence is not humanly possible to gather, then the question is inherently religious, not scientific.

    8. Re:They already have by amicusNYCL · · Score: 1

      So instead of last year being the hottest, you're saying that there's a chance that it was only unusually hot. So it's either unusually hot, or the hottest.

      If we're stating numbers though, we might as well make an effort to be accurate, right? NOAA claims 48% accuracy, and NASA claims 38% accuracy, with the difference being 0.04 degrees Celcius hotter than the next warmest years (2010 and 2005). Various satellite systems have also ranked 2014 at fourth or sixth place.

      --
      "Our two-party system is like a bowl of shit looking at itself in a mirror." - Lewis Black
    9. Re:They already have by buchner.johannes · · Score: 5, Informative

      Sadly not true. The fashion for some scientists to make names for themselves by producing misleading headlines for their supposed evidence has yet to fizzle.

      Was 2014 the warmest it has ever been globally? No.

      The satellite records (either one) show no special warmth for 2014 and the BEST record shows no statistical significance to the claim that 2014 was the hottest. Why? Because the tiny increase was well within the error bars of the mean temperature statistic

      (The report can be found at http://static.berkeleyearth.or...)

      Your argument is misleading. It is true that the question "which was the hottest year since recording in 1860?" Has three possible answers within the uncertainties, 2014, 2010 and 2005. But to the question "which was the hottest decade since recording in 1860?" has a clear answer: the last one. Of course there will be year-to-year fluctuations. But to look at the plot on page 3 and say "oh global warming has stopped just now" is wishful thinking. Also look at the "Ocean Surface Averages", page 5.

      --
      NB: The message above might reflect my opinion right now, but not necessarily tomorrow or next year.
    10. Re:They already have by Kohath · · Score: 1

      If I can bound the period of time in my favor, the chances will be pretty high -- maybe not 50%. If I'm the one in charge of adjusting historical temperatures for comparison, I can probably do better than 50%.

    11. Re:They already have by Pfhorrest · · Score: 1

      It may be that the question is not religious, but the person in question holds a religious conviction in their chosen answer.

      If there is no way to gather evidence to conclusive determine the answer for any reasonable person, then the question is religious, because nobody can do anything but assume an answer on faith.

      If there is a way to gather evidence that would conclusively determine the answer for some reasonable people, but then other unreasonable people simply will not change their minds no matter what evidence you show them, then the latter people are religious, but not the question itself.

      --
      -Forrest Cameranesi, Geek of all Trades
      "I am Sam. Sam I am. I do not like trolls, flames, or spam."
    12. Re:They already have by Bartles · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Ok, are you saying .04 degrees makes something go from normal to unusually hot?

    13. Re:They already have by Bruce+Perens · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Oh, right. A vast international liberal cabal is adjusting historical temperatures. I guess they've replaced all of the almanacs in libraries with cleverly rewritten versions. And so on. In every country, regardless of the languages they speak and write.

      And the last several years have just happened to be increasingly hot.

      Take a look at any of the photos of the Earth from space. The planet is big. But the atmosphere is really thin! You can easily tell the difference in pressure if you only go up 8000 feet or so. It is that piece that we're unbalancing.

    14. Re:They already have by TooManyNames · · Score: 1
      What evidence would convince you that the Earth revolves around the Sun?

      It's just like those "scientific" crazies to attempt to convince good, skeptical geocentrists that the Earth actually revolves around the sun, right? I mean, there's tons of evidence to support a geocentric view, and Captain Janeway even narrated a documentary about it. Given the community of geocentrists thriving in the face of supposed evidence to the contrary, clearly, the "science" of heliocentrism is really just another religion in disguise.

      Seriously, why was this marked insightful? Maybe the mods confused insight with incite?

      --
      "Is not a sentence" is not a sentence. Well damn.
    15. Re:They already have by Bruce+Perens · · Score: 1

      Our control Earth is history. We can see that this Earth killed most macroscopic surface life a few times in history, and we have evidence for why that happened. We can see that it once would not have supported our sort of life. We can see how its atmosphere developed and how ecological networks have formed. We also have a pretty good understanding of gases and their behavior, and we can measure the gases in the atmosphere and the gases emitted from our civilization.

      We can readily disprove theories of lucky socks and umbrellas causing rain. We can't, however, explain how any atmosphere would be able to tolerate inputs of the sort our civilization produces without some change.

    16. Re:They already have by Bruce+Perens · · Score: 4, Informative

      The NOAA data says there has been no hiatus and the 10 hottest individual years have all been since 1998.

    17. Re:They already have by Bruce+Perens · · Score: 5, Informative

      Um. That dozen years was the hottest dozen in history. Much more clearly than any individual year was the hottest. You might wave away one year as inaccuracy. But not 10 or more. See the NOAA data here.

    18. Re:They already have by Kohath · · Score: 1

      Historical temperatures are adjusted for comparison. This is well known. There are relatively few sites where the exact same thermometer, in the exact same structure, surrounded by the exact same surrounding structures, developments, and foliage has been in use for a hundred years or more. There are more in the US than in other countries. Many, many adjustments have to be made to the historical temperature readings to normalize them all with current readings and combine them into a global average representation. There are different methods for doing this that produce different results.

      You should read up on the subject if you're interested in understanding it. If you just want to shoot down conspiracy straw men, then proceed. No knowledge or understanding of the subject is required.

    19. Re:They already have by Bruce+Perens · · Score: 1

      Yes, I know. but it's more polite than telling them where their head really is. :-)

    20. Re:They already have by Obfuscant · · Score: 1

      any reasonable person

      When you use that criterion, I infer that "skeptic" (for whichever topic is at question) is not how you define "reasonable person". I.e., an atheist ("god skeptic") would not be "any reasonable person" by definition, nor would "global warming skeptic". The question "what evidence would it take?" is the kind of question one asks only to skeptics. The believers already have sufficient evidence to justify their belief, in their opinion.

    21. Re:They already have by fatwilbur · · Score: 1

      Yeah, great article. Funny they left off a typical line or bar chart showing temperature progression, which would have shown the REAL point of contention: The warming rate has decreased (or slowed) since then.

      I know this doesn't change the fact is it getting warmer in an absolute sense, but I don't know why the scientists here are more open about the fact they clearly don't understand the system. Sorry, but if they did, they should be able to predict specific outcomes based on statistics and trends - they cannot do this.

      Look at it this way - I used to manage a help desk. I understood the system, and had a model (simple extrapolation) whereby I could predict the number of tickets that would come in a future month within a certain degree of accuracy. If it did not match, I was always able to clearly point to the reason (new rollout, etc.). Why can't we do this with climate systems? We don't understand them yet.

    22. Re:They already have by Obfuscant · · Score: 1

      Our control Earth is history.

      No, that's not how science works. There are too many changes in too many things over time for a historical earth to be the control. In many cases, changes in things we didn't measure at the time, and many of the things you list we couldn't have measured because we weren't here to do so. A "control" needs to be something where as little as possible is different except for the change being tested. Solar output, surface albedo, atmospheric gas composition (other than CO2), etc.

      If you want to use "historical Earth" as "control Earth", then I'm sorry to say you need to accept responsibility for the current problem, since a difference between historical and now is YOU. This is the erroneous "science" you wind up with if you use poor controls in your experiments. Too many things are different.

      We also have a pretty good understanding of gases and their behavior, and we can measure the gases in the atmosphere and the gases emitted from our civilization.

      This is the fallacy of assuming that small scale lab experiments scale up to global environmental systems. It is easy to design an experiment (with proper controls) in a fish tank. The Earth, however, has all kinds of large scale processes that regulate each other. This is why the first predictions weren't the current predictions and won't be the last predictions. We're still learning new things about the global system.

      We can readily disprove theories of lucky socks and umbrellas causing rain.

      I'm sure you can. I used those examples because they are examples of "correct predictions" masquerading as proper science, not because you couldn't come shine the light of science on the hicks who held such beliefs.

      We can't, however, explain how any atmosphere would be able to tolerate inputs of the sort our civilization produces without some change.

      And this is a statement that "we don't understand it well enough yet to disprove a theory with a thought experiment, thus the theory must be correct." Those fellows in the distant past who couldn't explain why the crops flourished when they did were quite happy to claim that human sacrifice was the reason. When it didn't work in any certain year, they could at least understand that things change over time so there could be a different reason the gods were displeased and the sacrifices were still necessary.

      It also doesn't handle the problem of similar changes happening in the past (our "control Earth") without our being here to make those changes. It also assumes that "now" is the right way for things to be, when we know that it has been much different in the past. This is a common human frailty. I know of people who built some very expensive houses on a sand spit at a river mouth that developed early in the 20th century, who then demanded that the government solve the problem when the spit started to go away. "Today" is the right way, and if the Earth doesn't agree, we have to do something.

    23. Re:They already have by Pfhorrest · · Score: 1

      By "reasonable person" here I mean a person responsive to the evidence. Someone who would give some criteria for evidence that would change their mind, and merely thinks that those criteria are not yet met. As opposed to someone who simply cannot conceive of anything ever changing their mind.

      For a personal example, I am an atheist, and I can easily conceive of something that would convince me that something people would probably call God existed. I would still quibble about whether that appellation is correct, and what the proper response to the existence of such a being would be, and there are some senses of the term that by their definition could not be put to the test either way and so those such concepts are inherently religious (and I'd argue practically meaningless), but if you just meant something like an extremely powerful, extremely knowledgeable, and extremely benevolent being (proving "all" in any of those cases is logically impossible), then yeah, I can easily imagine seeing evidence that would convince me of it. That evidence just isn't available.

      On the other hand, I've met plenty of religious people who, when presented with something like the Problem of Evil (the existence of evil is evidence that any God that might exist either can't, won't, or doesn't know he needs to do anything about it, and in any of those cases shouldn't count as God anymore), have no counterargument but just brush it off and continue believing what they want, unresponsive to reason. (There are other people who try to offer reasoned rebuttals, and though I've found all such reasoning wanting, I have respect that they're at least trying to be reasonable, even if they're failing at it; usually, their failure is offering a rebuttal which then makes the question undeterminable and thus requires the abandonment of reason for believer or skeptic alike). The unreasonableness comes when their beliefs are not compelled one way or another by the evidence, but selected because they or their consequences are more desirable than the alternative.

      In the case of climate change, I've not dug into the question much because the popular debate surrounding it seems polarized between people who are both attached to their answers because of the desirability of their consequences, rather than being compelled by the evidence. But I trust the scientific community as a whole at least to be compelled by the evidence, even if not their politically-charged fans. It looks to me, from a distance, like one side is firmly (I'll even say religiously) attached to the premise that if climate change is happening —as they agree it is — then certain forms of government intervention are warranted; the other side in turn thinks such government intervention is never warranted and concludes via modus tollens that climate change must not be happening. Not that I think they're being explicit, even to themselves, about that line of reasoning. But they seem to be choosing what facts to accept based on the desirability of their supposed consequences, and thus being unreasonable. (The implication of those consequences from the facts is itself another form of unreasonability, in that it's inferring an "ought" from an "is", but that's shared by both sides).

      --
      -Forrest Cameranesi, Geek of all Trades
      "I am Sam. Sam I am. I do not like trolls, flames, or spam."
    24. Re:They already have by riverat1 · · Score: 3, Informative

      Whether 2014 is the warmest in the instrument record or not is beside the point. The continued warming is unequivocal. The only reason that a "hiatus" can be claimed by some is because 1998 was such an extreme outlier year.

      Tamino over at Open Mind did a graph of the linear temperature trend since 1970 against the year to year variability. 2014 is right on the linear temperature trend line which shows temperatures are increasing without evidence of the increases slowing down. It's just year to year variability that gives you an excuse to think it isn't.

      Another way to look at it is to take 10 year slices rather than year to year. That's more of a climate centric view than a year to year weather centric view. Here is a bar graph of warming anomalies in decadal slices since the start of the instrument record. Below is a text table of the results for those who don't want to click the link:

      GISTemp Decadal Global Surface Temperature
      (Anomaly from 1950-1981 mean)

      Decade_______Anomaly
      1884-1893_____-0.26
      1894-1903_____-0.25
      1904-1913_____-0.40
      1914-1923_____-0.28
      1924-1933_____-0.17
      1934-1943_____+0.00
      1944-1953_____-0.03
      1954-1963_____-0.02
      1964-1973_____-0.02
      1974-1983_____+0.10
      1984-1993_____+0.24
      1994-2003_____+0.46
      2004-2014_____+0.59

      It's easy to take a short period and make arguments about it but when you look at it in a way that filters out the short term noise like year to year variability the picture becomes much clearer.

    25. Re:They already have by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      The 'hiatus' is well acknowledged in the scientific community. More precisely defined, the hiatus means that warming from CO2 is much lower than models predicted. That is, the models are all wrong.

      The scientific community has moved from arguing that there is no hiatus and is now trying to understand why the temperature hasn't risen nearly as much as expected, despite the massive increase in CO2 released every year.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    26. Re:They already have by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      0.04 degrees was the difference between 2014 and the next hottest year. That's not greater than the margin of error so it's impossible to say unequivocally that 2014 was hottest. As far as normal, what is normal to you? If you take normal as the mid-20th century (1951-1980) the anomaly was about 0.65 degrees C (1.17F) and every year since 2001 has been at least 0.5C above the 51-80 mean. If you're young and you think normal is the average temperature in the 2000's then yes, 2014 isn't that great a jump but that's a pretty short term view of the issue.

    27. Re:They already have by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      You can forecast "hotter" and have about a 50-50 chance of being correct for any random period of time. How many models forecast these temperatures? It seem like the answer is most didn't come very close.

      If you look at it since 1964 and require your random period to be at least 1 year long then you have a much better than 50-50 chance of your hotter forecast being correct and if you look at any period longer than 11 years your chances are 100%.

    28. Re:They already have by Uberbah · · Score: 2

      If the evidence is not humanly possible to gather, then the question is inherently religious, not scientific.

      Too bad your analogy was inherently irrelevant, though. Temperature is testable, gods are not.

    29. Re:They already have by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      You're getting lost in the details. If you just take the raw data without adjustments you'd be hard put to find much difference between them and the adjusted temperatures. Scientist make the adjustments to correct for known errors and make the temperatures more accurate for their scientific purposes. The different methods of doing this serve as a check on each other and even though they produce slightly different results they are in agreement within the margin of error.

    30. Re:They already have by Bruce+Perens · · Score: 1

      It's not surprising that fitting a model to something so complicated takes more work. But it's irrelevant when the thing actually modeled gets progressively hotter.

    31. Re:They already have by riverat1 · · Score: 2

      There are other sciences like astronomy, geology and paleontology that have no greater experimental basis than current climate theory. Do you feel the same way about them?

    32. Re:They already have by Bruce+Perens · · Score: 1

      Had we depended solely on experiment for everything, we would know much less about the world today. When direct experiment is not possible we still have observation and modeling, and certainly that is science. And of course most of our models do scale, simply because of long observation at all scales. Were this not the case, we would still be arguing about the heliocentric theory, because we can not move planets and suns in order to prove it from first principles, and the orbits of planets would not necessarily scale to suns, etc.

      Sure, the earth has large processes that regulate each other, but there is nothing purposeful in their existence and positive feedback is as likely as negative. The Earth is as likely to be naturally fragile as naturally robust. So you can not place faith in unseen processes that will tend to mediate insults to the environment.

      If there is some unknown non-anthropocentric cause for climate change, we are still in the position of having to resolve the issue through some modification in society's behavior, rather than consign the victims.

    33. Re:They already have by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      The relevant thing is if it's going to get hot enough to make a difference. Should we do something now? Should we not worry about it at all? That is where modeling is important.

      No one serious doubted that CO2 warms the atmosphere, and even crackpots affirm that climate changes.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    34. Re:They already have by Bruce+Perens · · Score: 1

      Decreasing doesn't mean reversing. And we have physical observation of ice melting, and releases of previously-sequestered gases on sea bottoms, underground, etc. These things all take a heat input. What happens when those buffers are spent and there is nothing to sink the heat input?

    35. Re:They already have by Bruce+Perens · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Well, we have perfectly good reasons to stop releasing sequestered carbon (by burning oil for fuel) even if we are to ignore the atmospheric output of the process. We have to work progressively harder to get a given energy input. Technological advances that allow us to extract additional sequestered carbon, like fracking, are not infinite in nature. Eventually we must reach an energy balance between the energy required for extraction and the source of energy extracted. So changes in the direction of reducing release of sequestered carbon and finding other energy inputs to society, or reducing the need for those inputs, are called for regardless of whether it is going to get too warm.

    36. Re:They already have by Bartles · · Score: 1

      How about the 1930-40 mean? Is it unusually hot compared to that? How about compared to 10,000 years ago?

    37. Re:They already have by Bruce+Perens · · Score: 1

      Nothing in that article disputes the confidence that the past decade was hottest. It simply disputes which year in that decade was the worst. Nor does it dispute that the trend is increasing temperature per year.

    38. Re:They already have by Uecker · · Score: 1

      Please understand that there are many gaps in our knowledge in almost all areas of science. The conclusion that "clearly they don't understand the system" because there are some effects which are not yet completely understood is basically the standard argument brought up by all kinds of people against scentific findings which go against their esoteric beliefs.

      For example: "they don't know how life originated, clearly they do not understand life so evolution is wrong and god created the earth 6000 years ago". Or: "they don't know how the brain works, clearly they do not understand anything about it so how can they know that mind does not life in another esoteric dimension where it can commincate with the deaths".

      This kind of argument ignores that there is a lot of stuff we actually do know - including the climate. I kindly suggest hat you leave it to people who studied these problems to comment about what "we" know about it and what not and not try extrapolate from your helpdesk experience about something you cannot possible have any clue about from working at a helpdesk.

    39. Re:They already have by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      The 19334-1943 mean was the same as the 1951-1980 mean so 2014 is equally unusually hot (and in case you're going to ask what about 1930-1933 the 1924-1933 mean was -0.17 compared to the 1951-1980 mean). 10,000 years ago was at the tail end of the last glaciation (ice age in the common vernacular). From proxy research it appears to at most been about the same as the 1951-1980 average although of course the error margin is larger.

    40. Re:They already have by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      lol now you are equivocating.

      Indeed what you say is true, and every president since Carter has said we need less dependency on oil. That isn't in doubt. The question is, "do we need to switch immediately to nuclear to prevent the oceans from boiling, as James Hansen warns; or is it fine to wait until we have new technology?" It's looking like Hansen was wrong, the oceans aren't going to boil.

      The most annoying arguments are of the type, "global warming! Therefore, we must support Kyoto!" or, "global warming is happening! Therefore we must support whatever comes from the Copenhagen accord!" Even if global warming were extremely serious, and about to make the oceans boil, the Copenhagen accord would have done nothing.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    41. Re:They already have by rastos1 · · Score: 1

      Oh I can imagine a plenty of ways that would convince me that the god exists. For example if I met a guy that can bring my dead grandparents to life I'll certainly start considering that God as real. Or if he can undo Fukushima. Or World War II. You know what? I'll settle for "if he can cure stupidity, make politicians to adhere to Constitution and break the two-party system in US" ;-)

    42. Re:They already have by itzly · · Score: 1

      Has the global warming hiatus ended?

      Was there ever a global warming hiatus ? No. The rising trend has not been broken. You've simply been duped by some random noise. As someone who likes to insist on error bars, you should appreciate that.

      https://tamino.wordpress.com/2...

    43. Re:They already have by itzly · · Score: 1

      Here's the data with the trend line drawn in. There's no slowing, just noise.

      https://tamino.wordpress.com/2...

    44. Re:They already have by itzly · · Score: 1

      Yes, it was unusually hot compared to the 30-40 mean. What happened 10k years ago isn't as relevant as you think it is.

    45. Re:They already have by dave420 · · Score: 1

      The "hiatus" you speak of is not a stop in global warming, but a slight decrease in the rate of warming. You phrasing it like that makes it sound that you don't think there has been any warming during the "hiatus", which is patently untrue, and reflects very poorly on you...

    46. Re:They already have by l0n3s0m3phr34k · · Score: 1

      The rate slowed because the ocean is a giant heat sink. That's one reason the sea is rising...hotter water takes up more space. Eventually the ocean won't be able to store any more extra heat. Not that any of us will probably see that point; the oceans will be too hot to sustain the amount of life it currently does and much of the population will starve from that and other massive climate disasters.

    47. Re:They already have by l0n3s0m3phr34k · · Score: 1

      No, because all that needs is for God to show Himself in public. That's probably outside of humanities capabilities to force to happen, but really that's all that's needed.

    48. Re:They already have by dbIII · · Score: 1

      So earth sciences are not sciences but economics is?
      This place can be funny and depressing at the same time - looks like we lost a big chunk of a generation to idiocy but they are so funny.

    49. Re:They already have by Stuarticus · · Score: 1

      I don't know, does it take an unusually large amount of energy to warm something the size of a planet by that much?

      --
      If you think someone isn't free to have a different definition of "freedom" you may be a tyrant.
    50. Re:They already have by Kohath · · Score: 1

      The different methods of doing this serve as a check on each other and even though they produce slightly different results they are in agreement within the margin of error.

      The temperature difference that made 2014 the "hottest year ever" is also less than the margin of error.

    51. Re:They already have by Thagg · · Score: 1

      Bruce,

      Do you think it's possible in this 'big data' age to come up with an absolute, reasonably accurate, energy budget for the planet? We have storms, and shifting ocean currents, and a number of things that affect the temperatures that are easy to measure; but the net energy is surely growing as inexorably and smoothly as the CO2 concentration.

      Now, of course, those kind of facts won't matter to people whose bread is buttered with oil money. Still, it could be useful for tracking our progress or lack thereof.

      --
      I love Mondays. On a Monday, anything is possible.
    52. Re:They already have by argStyopa · · Score: 1

      First, warm, but not the hottest dozen in history. Do you even realize when you're being absurdly hyperbolic?
      http://c3headlines.typepad.com...
      (from the 1990 IPCC report: http://www.ipcc.ch/ipccreports...)

      Second: Climatologists have been scrambling for an explanation of why their models predicted constant warming, but it seems to have vanished for much of the past 15 years.
      http://www.reuters.com/article...
      This has led to the current theory that the oceans have absorbed far more warming than modeled previously. Could be science, or could be desperately shifting goalposts. Your mileage will vary based on your politics, most likely.

      --
      -Styopa
    53. Re:They already have by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Try Berkeley Earth. The source files for their analysis are here. The description of their dataset is here where they say they used raw data wherever possible and describe the filtering they did.

    54. Re:They already have by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      So what? 2014 certainly is in the top 5 hottest years ever in the instrument record. As I said you're getting lost in the details and not seeing the big picture.

    55. Re:They already have by Kohath · · Score: 1

      What do you think the "big picture" is? I think the "big picture" is modest warming that falls short of a crisis. In the "big picture", there aren't many effective levers to pull to solve the warming problem, and the cost of pulling them is higher than the benefit.

      There's no "save the planet" or not. Because a slightly warmer planet is still a healthy planet. And we'd be better off focusing our resources on solving problems like disease and deprivation than on problems like a small amount of warming over a few hundred years as we advance technologically -- eventually to non-fossil fuel energy sources.

    56. Re:They already have by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      As I posted in a previous reply here is more of a big picture look at it:

      GISTemp Decadal Global Surface Temperature
      (Anomaly from 1950-1981 mean)

      Decade_______Anomaly
      1884-1893_____-0.26
      1894-1903_____-0.25
      1904-1913_____-0.40
      1914-1923_____-0.28
      1924-1933_____-0.17
      1934-1943_____+0.00
      1944-1953_____-0.03
      1954-1963_____-0.02
      1964-1973_____-0.02
      1974-1983_____+0.10
      1984-1993_____+0.24
      1994-2003_____+0.46
      2004-2014_____+0.59

      As you can see the temperature rise from 1904-1903 to 2004-2014 is 0.99 degrees. Looking at it in decadal slices takes out the noise of year to year variability.

      In the "big picture", there aren't many effective levers to pull to solve the warming problem, and the cost of pulling them is higher than the benefit.

      Sez you. I've seen plenty of analyses from others including economists that say otherwise. At the rate we're going the "small amount" of warming over a few hundred years is still 10 times faster than the warming at the end of the last glaciation (ice age) and will cause sea level rise in 10's of feet.

    57. Re:They already have by Bruce+Perens · · Score: 1

      Calling names isn't going to advance your argument.

      Orbital models only have two variables when there are two bodies. In reality we are always dealing with an n-body problem. Regarding atmospheric models, we have weather, which is too chaotic to forecast, and climate, which should not be.

      We could sit back 100 years and see what is happening then, so that we have lots of good data points, but potentially at the cost of widespread famine, death, etc.

      We have excellent reasons to stop releasing sequestered carbon even if we ignore global warming.

    58. Re:They already have by Bruce+Perens · · Score: 1

      Well, I am trying to get through to you. You wrote that the hiatus was widely acknowledged by scientists! It's like talking with someone who believes in god - they have no facts, and no facts will convince them, and they create their own "science" which is nothing of the sort to bolster their viewpoint. So, I tried another another argument. But let's go back to the first. Nobody credible believes in a hiatus.

    59. Re:They already have by Bruce+Perens · · Score: 1

      Oh, do I have to qualify that for you, like the hottest outside of a period of Milankovitch Forcing? Gee, maybe the Earth's orbit changed, like back then, and we just didn't notice.

      Let's take a look at one of the references you cited:

      A section of a draft IPCC report, looking at short-term trends, says temperatures are likely to be 0.4 to 1.0 degree Celsius (0.7-1.8F) warmer from 2016-35 than in the two decades to 2005. Rain and snow may increase in areas that already have high precipitation and decline in areas with scarcity, it says.

      It sounds like we have reason to be alarmed.

    60. Re:They already have by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      I appreciate you working hard to get through to me. However, in this case, the facts are on my side. Learn to research.

      Example 1.
      Example 2.
      Example 3.

      You can see scientists are looking for explanations, rather than denying that the hiatus exists. Also, it's an honor to have a conversation with Bruce Perens.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    61. Re:They already have by Bruce+Perens · · Score: 1

      I imagine that the major financial companies make this part of their economic modeling. Most of them do publish weather-related and climate-related advisories regarding commodity and company price trends, etc. How detailed do they get? The wouldn't tell and I am the wrong kind of scientist to ask. Can we make a government or public one? Yes, the level of detail is the big question.

    62. Re:They already have by Bruce+Perens · · Score: 1

      Thanks.

      McKitrick is an economist out of his field. Trenberth and Fasullo cite many of their other papers and the publications to which they were submitted, but it seems mostly not accepted. But their conclusion seems to be that there were other times in recent years that the rate of warming decreased for a time only for it to return to its previous rate. I only see the abstract for Kosaka and Xie, but they state "the multi-decadal warming trend is very likely to continue with greenhouse gas increase."

    63. Re:They already have by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      No true scientist, eh? If you want to find other examples, do a search yourself. It's not hard, I merely picked the first three that showed up.

      In any case, the fact that there is a hiatus, and that the models are all wrong shows that there is something in the environment that is at least as strong as greenhouse gases, that the models (and scientists) are unaware of.

      Also note that to get the high amount of warming predicted, CO2 wasn't enough (which will add ~1 degree of warming by itself). It was required that there also be positive feedbacks that amplify the warming, in some cases dramatically. The scientific case supporting the feedbacks is not anywhere near as strong as that supporting the initial CO2 impulse, and the initial CO2 impulse is not nearly as dangerous as the feedbacks. CO2 by itself is unlikely to cause any serious harm.

      Unfortunately most of the research has gone into looking for positive feedbacks. It's not surprising that scientists have a bias in one direction or the other; the scientific method is a way to counteract that. We predict, we measure, and the measurements tell us if our biases were correct or not. The measurements are crucial.

      Incidentally, Trenberth is fairly well-respected as a climate scientist.... he was twice a lead author of the IPCC report, and has won awards and honors in his field. So you can't discount him that easily.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    64. Re:They already have by Bruce+Perens · · Score: 1

      Sure, there are going to be mediating forces in the environment. Melting is an obvious one. The positive feedbacks have been getting the most attention because they are really scary. It appears that there are gas clathrates in the ground and under water that can come out at a certain temperature. The worst case is that we get an event similar to Lake Nyos, but with a somewhat different mechanism and potentially many more dead. The best case is a significant atmospheric input of CO2 and methane that we can't control.

      I don't think I have to discount Trenberth. He's trying to correct his model, he isn't saying there is no warming.

    65. Re:They already have by Bartles · · Score: 1

      No, the sun warms the planet many orders of magnitude more every single day.

    66. Re:They already have by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      The clathrate gun hypothesis is scary, but so is the yellowstone super-caldera erupting, or a giant meteor smashing into the earth, and for that matter, so is global-thermonuclear war. Which one should we focus our efforts on stopping, if any?

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    67. Re:They already have by Uberbah · · Score: 1

      The point is that climate change deniers are impossible to convince, regardless of the type and/or amount of proof gathered and presented. Because they have already decided what they are going to believe, reality be damned.

      Then the point was contradicted by the analogy.

    68. Re:They already have by Bruce+Perens · · Score: 1

      There is no reason that we have to pick one and abandon work on the others. I don't see that the same resources go into solving more than one, except that the meteor and volcano problem have one solution in common - be on another planet when it happens.

      The clathrate problem and nuclear war have the potential to end the human race while it is still on one planet, so we need to solve both of them ASAP.

    69. Re:They already have by Stuarticus · · Score: 1

      Ah, I see now, that colossal ball of thermonuclear fire doesn't count as an unusually large amount of energy.

      --
      If you think someone isn't free to have a different definition of "freedom" you may be a tyrant.
    70. Re:They already have by argStyopa · · Score: 1

      Then it's probably a good thing that 2014 was in the 3% coldest years in the last 10,000?

      http://wattsupwiththat.com/201...

      Whew, I was terrified there for a second!

      --
      -Styopa
  22. Maybe it's a good thing by Krishnoid · · Score: 1

    At the 43:25 minute mark, President Obama is supposed to say “I’ve heard some folks try to dodge the evidence by saying they’re not scientists; that we don’t have enough information to act. Well, I’m not a scientist, either. But you know what — I know a lot of really good scientists at NASA, and NOAA, and at our major universities. The best scientists in the world are all telling us that our activities are changing the climate, and if we do not act forcefully, we’ll continue to see rising oceans, longer, hotter heat waves, dangerous droughts and floods, and massive disruptions that can trigger greater migration, conflict, and hunger around the globe.”

    Instead, the entire section is skipped. Obama’s comments resume with “The Pentagon says that climate change poses immediate risks to our national security. We should act like it.”

    Maybe their expectation is that the appeal to military authority will carry more weight than the appeal to a scientific one?

    1. Re:Maybe it's a good thing by exploder · · Score: 1

      Maybe their expectation is that the appeal to military authority will carry more weight than the appeal to a scientific one?

      Well, they're about the only scientists who don't have to worry about their funding...

      --
      Yo dawg, I heard you like the Ackermann function, so OH GOD OH GOD OH GOD
    2. Re:Maybe it's a good thing by dave420 · · Score: 1

      Proving AGW bogus would get a scientist a Nobel prize and all the funding they wanted for the rest of their life. One has to wonder why this hasn't happened, if it's such nonsense.

  23. Assuming the earth is more than 6,000 years old... by OrangeTide · · Score: 1

    Well we know that there was different amounts of carbon dioxide and methane in the atmosphere through out the history of the Earth. We also know that was a long period where the cellulose in plants could not be broken down by bacteria and ended up being sequestered for millions of years, until we dug it up recently.

    No amount of waiting will cause carbon to be trapped in the ground, because bacteria and fungus act too quickly to release it. Looks like fossil fuel was a one time thing and decidedly not renewable.

    If we think having Cambrian period atmosphere and weather patterns are acceptable, then we should continue doing what we're doing. It would impact the security of our nation, and be very detrimental to our economy. But anyone reading this would have died of old age by then, so who the fuck cares.

    --
    “Common sense is not so common.” — Voltaire
  24. denial as a negotiation tactic by kenj123 · · Score: 2

    personally I believe that republicans don't like climate change because it doesn't fit in their neat little world view of libertarianism and markets. I think they are denying the problem until they can come up with a solution that involves some kind of subscription model or something. if you want decent weather you will need to pay for it. as soon as they figure out a way to make a profit from it, it will be the highest priority ever

    1. Re:denial as a negotiation tactic by Atzanteol · · Score: 1

      This is why I feel scientists and others need to distance policy decisions from the science of climate change. Get the facts accepted first. Worry about policy afterwards. After all - that *is* the area of politics (for better or for worse).

      Heck - maybe Republicans would offer a very good market-based solution once they get on board with the science? We can't know until they do.

      --
      "Ignorance more frequently begets confidence than does knowledge"

      - Charles Darwin
    2. Re:denial as a negotiation tactic by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      Why doesn't it fit? What- outside of politics causes that to be the case?

      I do not think you can answer those without ignoring some important things.

    3. Re:denial as a negotiation tactic by kenj123 · · Score: 1

      I lived near the Susquehanna in central PA before the clean water act (CWA) was passed. the coal mine processors flushed water from the cleaning processes directly in the river at multiple locations. there was so much coal in the river that a new business was created just for dredging it off the river bed. By the 1960s the mine owners were being sued by multiple groups to stop. The Cuyahoga, (OH) river was on fire because many times because refineries were dumping directly in the river. one of the fires damaged a railroad bridge and the railroad was suing the refineries. The clean water act was passed because the court system could have been choked with legal fights so the federal government passed the regulation. I would love to hear how the court system will work in a libertarian dream land without any regulations like CWA, or as you call it like, 'socialist authoritarian solutions'.

    4. Re:denial as a negotiation tactic by Bartles · · Score: 1

      That's great, but what does your polluted river have to do with climate change?

    5. Re:denial as a negotiation tactic by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      "Denier" is a perfectly good word. The only ones I see linking it to holocaust denial are the people who are butthurt over being called climate science deniers.

  25. Seriously: this is 2015. by houghi · · Score: 1

    Are they voting on Climate Change? That is sooo stupid.

    They should vote against gravity so we can have our hoverboards.

    --
    Don't fight for your country, if your country does not fight for you.
    1. Re:Seriously: this is 2015. by Bartles · · Score: 1

      You obviously only looked at the headline and didn't even read the summary.

  26. Re:What's next? by 50000BTU_barbecue · · Score: 1

    That's what I was going for. Plus ça change...

    --
    Mostly random stuff.
  27. From the outside... by matbury · · Score: 2

    ... you know the rest of us, in the sane world, look upon this and think your gubbermint is batshit crazy, don't you? We'd laugh if they didn't have more guns, bombs, tanks, boats, and war planes than the rest of the world combined. They're going to sit back and do nothing as they watch millions of people get displaced and die of extreme weather events and starvation.

    1. Re:From the outside... by Ambassador+Kosh · · Score: 5, Informative

      Every country does deeply stupid things.

      Look at the EU and their policy on GMO. It is ENTIRELY fear based. They just label something as GMO which is completely useless and people are taught that GMO is bad period. Even research into GMO has almost entirely ended in Europe. It doesn't matter that their own studies show the ones they have tested are safe they continue to be against it not just in the EU but world wide. The EU is a pretty major factor in stopping the usage of golden rice.

      This kind of thing can go both ways.

      I am currently in Germany working on a Masters degree and PhD but some of my professors have already told me that to do my work once I am done I will have to go back to the USA since DNA editing on humans is pretty much defacto illegal in the EU and they don't allow the research into it either. However in the USA we have companies using technology like CRISPR/CAS9 to silence genes that causes diseases like Huntington's disease. Imagine a one time injection and you are completely cured of a horrible genetic disease? Imagine being able to replace faulty tumor suppressor genes and virtually wipe out cancer.

      However none of that matters. People in different areas of the world have a world viewpoint and then they pick and choose the science that supports it and try to claim superiority over others based on that. With liberals in the USA we have the anti-vaccine movement and that is something that conservatives are almost universal in support of and the anti-vaccine movement is massively anti science and should be stopped before they cause the deaths of tens of millions of people. We have the conservatives not accepting human damage to the environment. We have Europeans against genetic engineering. We have countries where their religious beliefs means that women are second class citizens.

      The human race is a bunch of barely evolved thugs and barbarians and they like to claim they are civilized by choosing bits and pieces of science to support their worldview and make fun of anyone else that does not accept that science also while ignoring the stuff they refuse to accept.

      --
      Computer modeling for biotech drug manufacturing is HARD! :)
    2. Re:From the outside... by kenj123 · · Score: 5, Interesting

      I think the euro-centric view is 'first do no harm' and the American view is 'show me the money'.

    3. Re:From the outside... by phantomfive · · Score: 2

      With liberals in the USA we have the anti-vaccine movement and that is something that conservatives are almost universal in support of and the anti-vaccine movement is massively anti science and should be stopped before they cause the deaths of tens of millions of people.

      FYI recently the anti-vaccine movement has been picked up by the religious right, preaching it from the pulpit (literally), so while it is still primarily a liberal cause, I now get anti-vaccine propaganda in my Facebook feed from both sides of the aisle.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    4. Re:From the outside... by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      PS: going to germany for a PhD is really cool

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    5. Re:From the outside... by pipingguy · · Score: 1

      ...conservatives not accepting human damage to the environment...

      I don't think that's what "conservatives" are saying...

    6. Re:From the outside... by theskipper · · Score: 1

      Just to clarify, it's not just the nutty Hollywood liberal types like Jenny McCarthy spewing this nonsense. Conservative Christian churches have been railing against vaccination too. This has directly lead to outbreaks of measles:

      http://www.forbes.com/sites/em...

    7. Re:From the outside... by Ambassador+Kosh · · Score: 1

      The problem is that while they say do no harm that is not what they actually do.

      In Ireland a scientist figured out how to make regular potatoes immune to blight by taking some genes from wild potatoes and inserting them in the kind we eat. The atni GMO crowd managed to kill any kind of testing of that and instead potatoes are still done using the "normal organic methods" of killing blight on potatoes which is to put heavy metals on them. So safety is clearly not the issue and can't even be studied.

      Actually the whole cross breading thing overall is pretty screwed up in many cases. Farmers discovered natural thing they could put on plants to increase the chance of cross breeds working. It turns that that nearly all of them are chemical mutagens and are FAR more dangerous than precise genetic engineering is.

      I am not saying that we should blindly trust GMO or Organic stuff. What we need to do is fully allow the scientific development and analysis to see what truly works for us for safety, nutrition and environmental damage. Right now though that is not what is happening and decisions are made based on fear.

      What I do want to see is all products on the market should have their full DNA mapped out and put online in a searchable data base (BLAST) and that includes all the ingredients that go into your product along with any other chemical species in there we know of. Then you would have an app on your phone and could select what you are allergic to, what you don't want in your food etc and then scan a tag on the food and your phone would tell you if it is safe for you. Right now there are thousands of food allergies and we only list about 20 or so on food. This anti-GMO stance I see now does not help knowledge or safety in any way it is just fear.

      I want to see actual information on food and people able to make real choices. So long as this is just fear based that will not happen.

      --
      Computer modeling for biotech drug manufacturing is HARD! :)
    8. Re:From the outside... by Ambassador+Kosh · · Score: 1

      Thank you.

      The reason I came here was to learn how to use computer simulations to manufacture drugs. There are so many cures for diseases we know of that we just can't figure out how to manufacture and using computer simulations to figure out how to manufacture the drugs is an extremely new area for drug development.

      I ended up here because I solved a problem that was considered impossible for doing drug development in computers.

      It is very cool to do and the classes are very difficult but I am learning a lot at least. It is just sad that I will have to go back to the USA after I am done so I can actually do the drug development since protein, DNA, RNA etc type drugs are basically forbidden for development in Europe.

      So hopefully in about 4 years I will be back in the USA and working on bringing drugs to market that we can't manufacture right now.

      --
      Computer modeling for biotech drug manufacturing is HARD! :)
    9. Re:From the outside... by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      Good luck.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    10. Re:From the outside... by lars_stefan_axelsson · · Score: 1

      Look at the EU and their policy on GMO. It is ENTIRELY fear based.

      Sure. But it's not fear of GMO as such. It's fear of American companies saying "Trust us, would we lie to you?"

      Only half joking...

      P.S. And the last thing Europe needs is even more food production. We don't know what to do with all the stuff we're growing/making as it is.

      --
      Stefan Axelsson
    11. Re:From the outside... by visualight · · Score: 1

      Currently, accepting GMO means becoming a vassal of Monsanto Corporation. Why would any sane populace _choose_ to be dependent on an ethically challenged mega-corp for their food supply? This isn't about fear, *no one* in a decision making position is *afraid* of GMO. They're just smart enough to keep it the fuck out of their country.
      Next time you decide to throw in a bonus (inseparable from Monsanto) GMO plug while posting, please refrain from the standard "fear" debate Monsanto shills always use --and kindly explain why any farmer would choose to depend on Monsanto for his livelihood *forever*. In the U.S. there is no "choice", they'll get you eventually.
      Thing is, YOU are well aware of all of this, and yet here you are advocating for GMO. You're a bad person.

      --
      Samsung took back my unlocked bootloader because Google wants me to rent movies. They're both evil.
    12. Re:From the outside... by rdnetto · · Score: 1

      Look at the EU and their policy on GMO. It is ENTIRELY fear based. They just label something as GMO which is completely useless and people are taught that GMO is bad period. Even research into GMO has almost entirely ended in Europe. It doesn't matter that their own studies show the ones they have tested are safe they continue to be against it not just in the EU but world wide. The EU is a pretty major factor in stopping the usage of golden rice.

      What would you propose instead? Given that GMO is relatively new, I think it is important that GMO foods be labelled as such, so that consumers can make an informed choice. Of course, some consumers are idiots, but that's never been a strong argument against depriving the rest of us.

      I'm not an expert on the topic, but it seems to me that since there is already infrastructure in place for demonstrating that the GMO product in question is safe for human consumption (which no doubt assigns it some kind of UID), simply adding the identifier to the ingredients list should be enough. It conveys to the consumer that not all GMOs are the same, while still informing them. It also makes it easy for people to google a specific strain/variant and see if any one else has reported issues.

      --
      Most human behaviour can be explained in terms of identity.
    13. Re:From the outside... by Ambassador+Kosh · · Score: 1

      The problem is that it is not a sane choice. This is ENTIRELY based on fear. If all you do is label something as GMO that tells you nothing at all. This does not help you make any kind of informed decision at all.

      Was the GMO done to make the plant drought resistance? does it resist cold? was it modified to be less carcinogenic? was it modified to make a certain companies fertilizer more profitable? etc

      Just saying something is GMO is worthless.

      It should also be pointed out that Organic foods can be grown with heavy metals, modified with radiation or treated with chemical mutagens. However all of those are FAR more dangerous than GMO techniques and they are all just labeled as Organic.

      If you want to know what is in your food then that is the kind of law you should pass. Have something that tells you exactly what is in your food so you can make an informed decision if you want.

      --
      Computer modeling for biotech drug manufacturing is HARD! :)
    14. Re:From the outside... by Ambassador+Kosh · · Score: 1

      GMO also encompasses things like genetically engineered bacteria that we use to make most modern drugs. There are also other companies that do GMO than Monsanto. GMO is even correct when we look at modifying humans to cure diseases.

      Are you saying that Golden rice is bad and that we should not have it and that instead we should have millions of people go blind? what about the work being done to engineer potatoes to be non-carcinogenic when fried? It looks like soon we are going to be modifying beef to remove the protein in it that causes inflammation in humans and is a major source of cancer.

      However I guess all of that does not matter and we should just say GMO is bad and there can be no discussion about it. Pros and cons can't be discussed. We can't study it and make rational decisions. The whole issue must boil down to a soundbyte and that ends it.

      --
      Computer modeling for biotech drug manufacturing is HARD! :)
    15. Re:From the outside... by rdnetto · · Score: 1

      The problem is that it is not a sane choice. This is ENTIRELY based on fear. If all you do is label something as GMO that tells you nothing at all. This does not help you make any kind of informed decision at all.

      Was the GMO done to make the plant drought resistance? does it resist cold? was it modified to be less carcinogenic? was it modified to make a certain companies fertilizer more profitable? etc

      Just saying something is GMO is worthless.

      I agree entirely. That's what using a GMO identifier would enable - the database of what changes they correspond to and when they were approved should be publicly accessible. If you think about it, that's basically the same level of transparency we currently have with various additives.

      --
      Most human behaviour can be explained in terms of identity.
    16. Re:From the outside... by visualight · · Score: 1

      The whole issue must boil down to a soundbyte and that ends it.
      Monsanto eclipses everything you said, is so evil that any attempt to dilute the topic, or divert attention away from how evil they are, is evil. No threat to our food supply is a bigger threat than Monsanto.

      --
      Samsung took back my unlocked bootloader because Google wants me to rent movies. They're both evil.
    17. Re:From the outside... by Ambassador+Kosh · · Score: 1

      The problem I have is that when we use chemical mutagens on Organic food it has many of the same dangers and some different ones. The same when we use radiation to mutate foods.

      I can't find any scientific reason to single GMO out. I want them ALL labeled. Anything that makes sense to label for GMO we should label for any other food also.

      At this point we can fully type out a DNA sequence for a few thousand dollars. I think that should just be standard practice for food and made available online.

      Look at all the pink grapefruit around. Those where a random mutation that we kept alive. However, some mutations end up being harmful to us or harmful to some of us. Many food allergens we can match based on DNA sequence. Imagine food items put into a database and then ever food item could be checked against every know allergy or problem DNA sequence. You would immediately know who should not eat the food, who should be warned etc.

      I want actually safe food and labeling just GMO is a fear response and it is based on not understanding the actual genetics.

      --
      Computer modeling for biotech drug manufacturing is HARD! :)
  28. Venus and Earth by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    It isn't. It's about 30 K off. Plus due to [a] 1 atm being substantially below the cloud layer, and [b] most of the light being reflected, if this were correct it would make no sense.

    Earth temp is 287-288 K, Venus is 336 K at 1 ATM and about .72 AU from the Sun. Do the math. Either Venus should be cooler, or Earth should be warmer, but either way the math doesn't work out. Plus, if you look at the temp/pressure profiles for Earth and Venus graphed on top of each other, they look nothing alike.

    It's not coincidence. The relation that you're pointing out is flat-out false, and there's no way to support the general idea without throwing out a ton of empirical evidence. Like that most of the sunlight hitting Venus bounces off, which is why it looks so bright. If the only things in your delusion that affect planetary temperature are pressure and distance from the sun, you're going to have your work cut out for you because most of the Venusian atmosphere receives less energy from the Sun than the equivalent part of Earth's atmosphere.

    Stay off the crack rocks and the denier websites.

    1. Re:Venus and Earth by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Tv=1.176*Te; for the corresponding earth troposphere pressures. Energy from the sun drops off according to an inverse square law... not linearly. Do (1/0.72)~1.389. Take the square root as if you were plugging into the Stefan-Boltzman equation and you will get the correct answer (if you use more precise numbers).

  29. Re:Pointless by interkin3tic · · Score: 2

    Previous attempts to convince people have not been successful yet either. It's been said you can't reason someone out of a position they have not reasoned themselves into, this is true for climate change. Simply letting the truth speak for itself and guide policy has been a depressing failure. Different approaches must be tried.

  30. It's a Hoax. by edibobb · · Score: 1

    The U.S. Senate, that is.

  31. Re:Climate Change Has Existed Forever -- by budgenator · · Score: 1

    The heat is just thermo-nuclear!

    --
    Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
  32. Where are the ACCURATE models? by satch89450 · · Score: 1

    I'm coming in late on this. First, the activities of man have released a lot of the sun's energy that has been stored for millions of year. So I agree that the gross heat load on the planet has been increased. Whether this overwhelms our planet's ability to dissipate that heat is open to question. Why is it open to question? Because, without numbers, it isn't science, just an opinion.

    The Chicken Little people have been watching with alarm several trends over the years showing varying temperature. First, it's too cold; then, it's too hot. (And the butt of the old Henny Youngman joke: if the water turns black, the baby really needed a bath!) Attempts to model the short-term temperature shift have not accurately predicted what is going to happen in the future. Worse, the models don't accurately reflect the past, when applied to the data collected over the years. How to the CLPs explain this? WIth lame excuses, mostley, that reduce to "we don't know enough".

    The research needs to continue. The people who build the models need to add to those models those sources of temperature variations that are just now being discovered, said discoveries having blown the older models out of the water. (pun intended) There are zero-dollar things we can do now to improve the situation. Plant trees, especially re-plant those trees that were clear-cut in the Amazon. Replace incandecant light bulbs (and those mercury-filled CFDs) with LED bulbs, not to save the climate, but to SAVE MONEY in the long term; I'm about 45% through this process myself.

    I don't object per se to spending money on the problem. I object to spending money recklessly JUST for climate change, without some accurate way of measuring the effects of the changes. Reducing certain factory emissions results in less acid rain, which can have an adverse effect on buildings, roads, and other infrastructure. Containing the worst methane emissions from oil/gas operations makes perfect sense because we can then use the stuff -- but remember that the release from the Earth without man's help overwhelms our pitiful contribution.

    The science is far from settled. If it's truely settled, show me the accurate models that predict, with precision, what we see on November 1, 2016

    1. Re:Where are the ACCURATE models? by dave420 · · Score: 1

      Models not necessary

      The science is settled, and models are not required for it to be settled - that is just a criterion you came up with.

  33. Re:Next week's vote... by Bartles · · Score: 1

    3 would actually be accurate and correct. 4 is just wrong in every sense.

  34. But it doesn't seem at all stupid from your link by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

    My point was that politics sometimes sometimes follow facts, often they don't, but that doesn't change the nature of the facts themselves.

    Yes, totally agree.

    Concluding "any facts politicians agree on must be wrong" is as stupid as suggesting the reverse.

    Now there you lost me again. The link you provided was the very essence of that - PI as 3.2. I would claim that in general politicians are not scientists and you can say with 99% certainty that any bill such a group tries to pass related to science is going to range from wrong to horribly wrong.

    Yes, in fact I would say ""any facts politicians agree on must be wrong", almost by definition!

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
  35. Re:Real question is: how much are humans changing by Bartles · · Score: 1

    The input of excess heat has not paused. Have you had a look at the heat content of the oceans lately?

    They feel the same to me.

  36. A truly historical day! by rogoshen1 · · Score: 2

    Similar to a state legislature deciding on an official value for pi. I wonder how many Senators took more than a few terms of basic science in pursuit of their law/business degrees?

    Further imagine how much lobbyist money is going to be wasted if the vote goes the wrong way and an alternative result is needed? There are much bigger issues to be bought, talk about not seeing the forest for the trees.

  37. Re:Real question is: how much are humans changing by mrchaotica · · Score: 2

    Climate change (global warming?) skeptics admit that humans are affecting climate, but the real question is "how much are humans changing it?".

    No. The real question is "does climate change fuck us over?" If the answer is "yes" then we need to do something about it whether we caused it or not!

    --

    "[Regarding the 'cloud,'] ownership was what made America different than Russia." -- Woz

  38. Re:In Other News by Bartles · · Score: 1

    That statement is exactly correct. Just as correct as saying pi is exactly 3.14 or 3.14159265.

  39. why don't ask politicians get together and by tandavanadesan · · Score: 1

    why don't ask politicians get together and repeal the law of gravity then jump from a high building. It makes as much sense as voting on whether global warming is a hoax.

  40. Maybe it's time to reexamine Galileo & Coperni by MarkvW · · Score: 1

    I hope the Senate will take on Astronomy next. I'm sure more than a few Senators take umbrage with the idea that the universe is billions and billions of years old.

  41. Re:Pointless by riverat1 · · Score: 2

    The reason for the amendment is not to convince anyone. It's to put people on record about the subject so it can be used in the future as ammunition against them.

  42. I'll stipulate ... by Lou57 · · Score: 1

    I really hate this argument, this drama. Global warming is measurable. It either exists, or it doesn't.

    The real controversy is the cause of global warming. Honest scientists argue over this point. At best I can only be a spectator. I don't have any access to the raw data nor to the equipment required to reliably measure whether this cause or that cause directly contributed to global warming. If you don't either, and you have strong feelings one way or the other, I recognize and will respect your faith, and will not argue with you.

    That said, I will stipulate that global warming is happening, AND that I am a contributor because; a) I drive an SUV and b) I eat too many beans (creating methane) IF you will stipulate that under no circumstance will one politician anywhere do anything whatsoever to resolve the problem. At best, all their hot air makes it worse.

    --
    Lou
  43. Re: But it doesn't seem at all stupid from your li by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Don't worry! He only does that when doing so agrees with his own personal unsupported assumptions.

  44. Science is not a matter of consensus by Opportunist · · Score: 2

    Well, it should not be. I know, I know, unfortunately it is more often than not, but at least it's not as blatantly stupid as this one. Usually there is at least a bit of relevant data to it.

    In other words, it's not something you can wish to be or not to be. Whether global warming exists cannot be determined by wanting it to be one way or the other. You can of course vote on whether you want to do act like there is global warming or whether you want to act like there is none. Ok. That's possible.

    But whether it exists certainly is beyond your jurisdiction.

    --
    We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
  45. argumentum ad populum? by epyT-R · · Score: 1

    Just because the majority think something is true or false doesn't make it so. Voting will not change reality. Washington's royalty culture needs to die.

    1. Re:argumentum ad populum? by OrangeTide · · Score: 1

      Washington's royalty culture needs to die.

      My complaint is they plan to take the rest of us with them.

      --
      “Common sense is not so common.” — Voltaire
    2. Re:argumentum ad populum? by epyT-R · · Score: 1

      Yup.. It's become quite the proto-singularity..

  46. Voting in law by Firethorn · · Score: 1

    I agree, it's a symbolic measure, and not a good one at that. All any politician has to say is that 'the symbolic gesture was worthless, I was voting on the whole bill, and it was the best way to get the XL pipeline moving'. Just as they do any other bill.

    --
    I don't read AC A human right
    1. Re:Voting in law by exploder · · Score: 1

      That might not be enough, come next primary, when their teabagger opponent from the (even FURTHER) right is hollering about how the RINO incumbent believes in (omg) GLOBAL WARMING.

      --
      Yo dawg, I heard you like the Ackermann function, so OH GOD OH GOD OH GOD
  47. Sigh by argStyopa · · Score: 1

    I strongly doubt Global Climate Change is driven by human activity, and even I think this is stupid.

    --
    -Styopa
    1. Re:Sigh by argStyopa · · Score: 1

      First, I'd politely suggest that the first step toward constructive discussion is not to patronize the person you're talking to. Condescension might make you feel great, but isn't a great way to start a difficult discussion.

      OTOH, if you're actually genuine about believing that "anyone who doesn't agree with global warming doesn't understand science"...then you might want to check your biases. There are a LOT of scientists - including some climatologists - who disbelieve the all or parts of the current paradigm that "the planet is warming and humans are the main cause". Let's use, for example, Dr. John Christy, professor of atmospheric science and director of the Earth System Science Center at the University of Alabama Huntsville (UAH) who's shown that observed temps are *radically* different than pretty nearly all the climate models put forward by the IPCC: http://www.cnsnews.com/sites/d... ...if that doesn't make you suspicious of "sky is falling" predictions by the IPCC, what would?

      As you posted AC, and I don't even know if you'll come back to respond, it's not worth a comprehensive discussion here, so I'll be as succinct as possible. (If you do come back, and want to have a constructive dialogue, I'd be happy to.)
      First, we'll set aside all of planetary history before the last 3m years (because they were warmer), I'd invite you to look at this: http://upload.wikimedia.org/wi...
      or more zoomed in for specifics: http://upload.wikimedia.org/wi...

      There are *clearly* nearly-vertical temperature and CO2 spikes every 100k years or so. The last one was about 100k years ago.

      If something happens repeatedly, say, a dozen times in a row, in a reasonably consistent cycle, and then it happens a 13th time, a reasonable observer is going to assert that what ever caused the previous 12 is causing the 13th, and whatever caused them to end will ALSO cause the 13th to end. The fact that you happen to be present to see the 13th, doesn't mean you're the cause.

      --
      -Styopa
  48. Precedence by jeti · · Score: 1

    Politicians have voted on science before: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/I...

  49. Winter.... by DougWendelboe · · Score: 1

    While they are at it, I wish they'd vote to abolish winter!

    1. Re:Winter.... by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Don't worry. If you live another 150 or 200 years you might get your wish.

  50. Republicans are stupid by Required+Snark · · Score: 1
    I didn't bother to read anything but the headline, because I'm tired of the endless crap that spews out of the Republican party. It's a never ending flow of sewage, and it stinks in every way.

    They might as well be voting on whether the world is flat or not. This falls into the category of "not even wrong".

    We already know how this is going to come out; the Republican House and Senate will scream "Hoax".

    They will do this for a combination of ugly and stupid reasons. First, they are the party of greed. As long as the top 1% are raking it in they don't care who gets screwed. Second, they hate Obama personally, because he is an Uppity N*****. This is a way of telling him to go screw himself.

    Finally, it's an expression of the one value that all Republicans agree on: Fuck You. This is the real motto of the Republican party. Being for something is not what motivates them, but being violently against something is what gets them off. They even love to do it to one another, which is why they sling the term RHINO around: Republican In Name Only. For them, it's a curse word.

    If there is a scintilla of good to come from this, it's from the stain it will leave on the Republican party. When climate change effects start to really kick in over the next 20 years, they will be on record as being horribly wrong. Since climate change is going to be the defining issue of the 21st century, it will be hard to escape the shadow of this very high profile blunder.

    Personally, I hope that not only the Republican party will be held accountable, but that the individuals who vote for this will suffer. When things get ugly, I want them to hounded and blamed in public, and have their lives ruined. It's all that they deserve, and it might serve as a lesson for the future that willful ignorance can have personal, as well as global, consequences.

    --
    Why is Snark Required?
  51. Re:Ignorantio elenchi by sumdumass · · Score: 1

    There are quite a few proofs out there that demonstrate 2+2=5. Google it and you will see.

    Of course some have obvious errors but a few seem legit.

  52. While we're at it ... by cascadingstylesheet · · Score: 1

    ... why don't we vote on the Heidelberg Catechism?

    No matter what side you are on, this is stupid.

  53. It's official. They voted. by Grey+Geezer · · Score: 1

    Global Climate Change is not a hoax. Whew, glad that's settled.

    --
    The USA is only 4X older than me...perspective
    1. Re:It's official. They voted. by sysrammer · · Score: 1

      Passed 98-1. I wonder which clown *doesn't* believe that climate changes?

      --
      His ignorance covered the whole earth like a blanket, and there was hardly a hole in it anywhere. - Mark Twain
  54. I'm not an expert on arithmetic, but... by MillionthMonkey · · Score: 5, Funny

    Now look, I know many Americans have been hearing from elite liberal leftist Harvard professors in their ivory towers who keep saying that 15 is greater than 5. And, I have heard from many other experts in this field who are frankly quite skeptical that this is the case, that we're simply overlooking 5 and what a tremendously big number it is. So I don't think it's time to just cut off debate before the data is in, as if 15 is just greater than 5 so we should just get used to it whether we think it's right or just. It doesn't comport with the experiences of average hardworking Americans who deal with these numbers every day, who depend on them for their livelihood. So at the end of the day, I think it's obvious that the data is just not in yet. Now I'm not a mathematician. But one thing I do know, is that on the other side of the aisle, we have people who also are not mathematicians, but they see this as an opportunity for their agenda to shove a draconian arithmetic inequality down the throats of the American people!

    1. Re:I'm not an expert on arithmetic, but... by rtb61 · · Score: 1

      I offer proof that 5 is bigger than 15, after all is not one fifth bigger than one fifteenth, see the intellectuals always trying to twist stuff around ;P.

      Now that is the exact equal of the argument between weather when it snows and global climate and they have repeatedly, seriously argued it. I know it would have been funnier if I just did the first paragraph but I just couldn't bring myself to do it ;(.

      --
      Chaos - everything, everywhere, everywhen
    2. Re:I'm not an expert on arithmetic, but... by QilessQi · · Score: 1

      My friends, it is high time for us to put away partisan bickering and just agree that in this great nation, there is room for many opinions on the question of whether 15 is greater than 5, or less than 5, or equal to 5, or even not a number at all. Perhaps we will never know the answer. Perhaps it is up to each of us to decide for ourselves. So it is important that we in the media give equal time to all perspectives on the matter.

      Today I have with me on the panel a Baptist minister, a gun rights activist, pop star Miley Cyrus, and our friend "Carl the Carpenter". Let's start with you, Miley. But first, tell us about your new video...

    3. Re:I'm not an expert on arithmetic, but... by orgelspieler · · Score: 1

      I offer proof that 5 is bigger than 15, after all is not one fifth bigger than one fifteenth...

      Gee, I don't know. I ain't never seen a fifteenth of whiskey.

    4. Re:I'm not an expert on arithmetic, but... by rochrist · · Score: 1

      That's because it's so small!

    5. Re:I'm not an expert on arithmetic, but... by MillionthMonkey · · Score: 1

      *HIGH FIVE* Yeah!

  55. Scientific question by fyngyrz · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Regardless of specifics of the actual objective results, anthropogenic climate change is a scientific question -- whether certain consequences of our actions are leading to a fairly specific set of changes to climate.

    That politicians want to vote on it strikes me as a significant indicator as to their incompetence. As if we needed any more...

    --
    I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
    1. Re:Scientific question by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

      Regardless of specifics of the actual objective results, anthropogenic climate change is a scientific question -- whether certain consequences of our actions are leading to a fairly specific set of changes to climate.

      The problem is that it's being presented under the "appeal to authority" fallacy, but the "facts" that have been released supporting "anthropogenic climate change" have turned out to be, at best, carefully-selected statistics. It's no longer a scientific question; it's a political and emotional question, with the governments dependent on keeping fear of global warming alive so that they can justify mandates and taxes and other controls on the public to maintain and extend their power, and the climate scientists pressured to continue to cough up study after study 'proving' how terrible it will be, because if they dare to step away from the government pravda about global warming, all their funding dries up and they have to find real jobs.

      The Zimmerman/Doran survey that produced the "97% of climate scientists agree that humans are a significant factor in global warming" factoid obtained that from the 79 scientists who claimed expertise in climate science and published more than half their peer-reviewed papers on climate change -- out of the 3,146 who responded to the two-question survey. The IPCC climate models continue to fail to account for the 18-year hiatus in warming, with all of the 'explanations' for the hiatus being untested hypotheses with no experimental validation. And the news services have been flogging "NASA scientists declare 2014 to be hottest year ever", then when they get called on the fact that the Earth has been hotter than this repeatedly, it got changed to "NASA scientists declare 2014 to be hottest year in recorded history", then when they were forced to admit that the 'recorded history' was only since the widespread use of thermometer-based measuring stations in 1880, it got changed to "NASA scientists declare 2014 to be hottest year for recorded temperature", but nowhere in any of the panicmongering does anyone actually admit that 2014 was the hottest year by 0.02 degrees, with a margin of error of 0.1 degrees -- five times the amount by which they're claiming that the year was the hottest on record. And now that they've been called on it, Gavin Schmidt, the director of the Goddard Institute for Space Science, admitted that they only have a 38% confidence that 2014 was the hottest year. But this admission doesn't get the coverage, while "NASA declares 2014 hottest year" continues to be flogged around as proof that anthropogenic climate change is going to destroy the Earth.

    2. Re:Scientific question by dywolf · · Score: 2

      they're not really voting on whether global warming is real or not.

      it's just simply some poison pill amendments attached to the KeystoneXL bill. So that if the GOP really wants to pass that bill, they will also be passing riders that state "GW is real".

      It's silly, its petty, but I find it amusing in this case.

      --
      The guy who said the election was rigged won the presidency with the second-most votes.
    3. Re:Scientific question by dywolf · · Score: 1

      oh shutup you dimwitted parrot.

      your talking points are bs that has been debunked many times over.

      also, stop thinking that "fallacy" means "automatically false".
      it does not.
      a fallacy is a potential error, not a definite one.

      listening to scientists who are subject matter experts is not an "appeal to authority" fallacy that should drive you to automatically disbelieve them. if it were, then there would be no point to having experts at all.

      --
      The guy who said the election was rigged won the presidency with the second-most votes.
    4. Re:Scientific question by butalearner · · Score: 1

      The problem is that it's being presented under the "appeal to authority" fallacy, but the "facts" that have been released supporting "anthropogenic climate change" have turned out to be, at best, carefully-selected statistics. ... The IPCC climate models continue to fail to account for the 18-year hiatus in warming, with all of the 'explanations' for the hiatus being untested hypotheses with no experimental validation.

      Wow, AC, you warn us about carefully selected statistics, and yet you carefully choose the most anomalously high year (1998) as your start point, then claim there is a hiatus. If you want to look at it in chunks, there was also a "hiatus" from 1950 to 1975 or so, followed by fast warming up through the early 2000's.

      I'm genuinely curious, though. What do you believe we should do, or not do? Not invest in alternative energy? Solyndra was a big fat failure, but since then (as of Nov 2014), the US DOE clean energy loan program has been turning a profit. Not limit emissions for cars or businesses or power plants? Generally, limiting those things translates to increased energy efficiency, which reduces our need for energy, which saves us money in the long run.

      Personally, I want energy independence, and developing clean, alternative energy (nuclear AND wind AND solar) is a too-good-to-pass-up way of accomplishing that. Reducing our impact on the climate is pretty much just a bonus.

    5. Re: Scientific question by McFly777 · · Score: 1

      An anonymous coward wrote:

      While I don't necessarily agree with your apparent conclusions, I think this exposes a good point. Climate change is pretty easy to predict knowing that we are pumping CO2 into the air at an alarming rate and the science tells us that is bad.

      Unfortunately, because we have data from so little of he Earth's history, it is difficult to see. As a result there are a lot of people making up "facts" and falsifying studies to convince everyone, so of course you are going to have those people unwilling to believe after being lied to repeatedly.

      These exaggerations and outright lies are working against the cause to educate people on climate change. People need to stop trying to push the "OMG we're all going to die the day after tomorrow if we don't do something now" mentality and have a serious discussion about why we need to drastically reduce our CO2 production.

      I really wish I had moderator points right now, but as I don't, the best I can do is quote them and say that this is one of the most reasonable statements I have seen summarizing the situation.

      As for MY opinion, I really don't know... I am not convinced by the "evidence" of warming, and the way it has been pushed (and who by) makes me automatically suspicious. On the other hand, there is some sense that we should at least be cautious and responsible in our actions; we should be good stewards of the earth for future generations.

      As an engineer, efficiency makes sense. On the other hand, many of the touted "efficient" vehicles, etc. don't really deliver when you consider the larger impact beyond the vehicle. (ie the Prius) Note I am using vehicle efficiency as an example only. The same can be said about many other items/fields, like photovoltaics, etc.

      --

      McFly777
      - - -
      "What do people mean when they say the computer went down on them?" -Marilyn Pittman
    6. Re:Scientific question by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      Why is it important whether we caused it or not? When your house is on fire, do you extinguish it or do you start bickering whether it's lightning or whether someone threw a match?

      The question is not who or what caused it. The question is whether it has some negative impact and if so, what we can do to counteract it.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    7. Re:Scientific question by Magius_AR · · Score: 1

      The question is not who or what caused it. The question is whether it has some negative impact and if so, what we can do to counteract it.

      Except that the people claiming that they know what caused it (CO2) have already assumed a substantial negative impact and have already announced a course of action (drastically reduce CO2 at any economic cost). That makes it hard to discuss any of those topics.

    8. Re:Scientific question by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      Whatever substance it may be (it's more than just CO2, but that doesn't matter), it does NOT matter whether we are responsible for it. If we want our world to continue to be as it is now, we have to take measures to keep it the way it is.

      I don't care who is to blame. But when reducing our emissions can keep the CO2 levels stable, it doesn't matter whether the additional amount of CO2 comes from our industries or volcanoes. You can't keep volcanoes from spewing CO2, can you?

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
  56. WTF? Are you Americans insane? by msobkow · · Score: 1

    First you "legislate" that pizza is a "vegetable", now you're going to vote on whether science is real?

    You're insane down south. Absolutely, completely, 100% bonkers.

    --
    I do not fail; I succeed at finding out what does not work.
  57. Cloud seeding by Fiat by tepples · · Score: 1

    This assumes there's someone with enough money and power to fund and execute such a strategy by fiat

    Would it take a company bigger than Fiat Chrysler (NYSE: FCAU, market cap 15.98B)? A company that makes petroleum-powered vehicles isn't going to like severe restrictions on petroleum use.

    who isn't also part of a government.

    Chrysler took a TARP loan. Does that make them "part of a government"?

  58. Criminal waste of time and money by seven+of+five · · Score: 1

    Please get back to work.

    1. Re:Criminal waste of time and money by AqD · · Score: 1

      Do they have better things to do?

  59. Or potentially a 4th by Sycraft-fu · · Score: 2

    "I believe that the Earth is getting warmer, however I do not find sufficient evidence to show that this will be a net bad thing for humanity. Further I do not believe that the proposed measures are the wisest course of action, and we should be investigating alternatives such as geoengineering. In any case we should not act yet, as we do not have a solid enough model of what will happen and the net impact on humanity."

    They can easily find a way to say "I support science, but think that this issue isn't clear cut."

    Goes double if the people who are doing the vote try and make it a black and white issue. If they try to make it an issue where you either have to support everything they say, or you are an evil denier of all science, it'll be much easier for people to abstain and have a good argument.

  60. Re:Pointless by exploder · · Score: 2

    It's depressing and (I wish) shocking how many people here who try to pass themselves off as informed don't immediately realize this.

    --
    Yo dawg, I heard you like the Ackermann function, so OH GOD OH GOD OH GOD
  61. Person who worked in mosquito control here. by hey! · · Score: 5, Informative

    I spent many years working with vector borne disease control, so I actually know something about this. Let me suggest a slightly different way of thinking about DDT.

    The problem isn't DDT per se, but how, where and when it is applied.

    In WW2 draftees were dusted with DDT powder to kill body lice, and so far as we know no adverse health results resulted -- probably because there were none. That's because this *application* is benign. Likewise spraying house interiors with DDT is a cost effective, safe, and environmentally benign.

    Indiscriminate fogging with DDT on the other hand is neither environmentally benign, nor in the long term effective. DDT is (potentially) great stuff, and therein lies the problem. It promises (to a certain kind of mentality) to take the brain-work out of deciding when and where to spray. It's tempting to roll the trucks with ULV sprayers and spray anywhere and anytime, and it will often produce dramatic effects in the short term for not much money. In the long term it produces a host of environmental problems, and pesticide resistance -- particularly if it enters aquatic habitat. For one thing, it is toxic to invertebrates. **That's why we use the stuff**. The problem is that it is non-specific, and it (and its toxic by-products) remain in the environment for years or decades. Modern alternatives break down rapidly into non-toxic byproducts. In fact DDT's persistence is what makes it highly desirable for in-house spraying. One spraying can last for a year or more. That's good when you want to kill everything, for a long time; but that's not what you want to do when you're applying outside. Many invertebrates are beneficial, or even indispensable.

    It's notable that in the article you link only quotes papers from the '69 to '72 era when it comes to the ecological impacts of DDT. This smacks of cherry-picking. When an idea like eggshell thinning enters the scientific discourse, it is normal for evidence for and against the idea to be found in the literature. This means it is *always* possible to find early literature citations which appear to refute the current scientific consensus. A quick google scholar search for articles on eggshell thinning and DDT from 1975 on shows overwhelming evidence in support of the hypothesis. For example it reveals the reason that the early feeding studies cited failed to find eggshell thinning: in many species it is not DDT, but DDE (a by product of the environmental breakdown of DDT) that is the culprit.

    That DDT per se is not particularly toxic to humans is no news to anyone. I was actually briefly part of a team that looked at ways of tracking DDT usage so that it could be used in house spraying in Africa. The problem is that in desperately poor countries stuff gets stolen, and the danger is that material intended for safe and environmentally benign domestic spraying would be diverted to agricultural use which while not particularly threatening to human health would have disastrous impact on environmental health and the economic activities that depend on that.

    --
    Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    1. Re:Person who worked in mosquito control here. by Bartles · · Score: 1

      It's unfortunate that so many people in Africa died of malaria, because the DDT that could have been supplied to them, might have been stolen and diverted to agricultural use. Which of course would have fed more people.

    2. Re:Person who worked in mosquito control here. by hey! · · Score: 1

      Almost certainly would have been stolen for agricultural use. I've supported teams going to Africa and theft is extremely common in many of the places DDT would be needed the most. And it's unlikely that the theft of DDT would result in more people being fed in the long term, for reasons to numerous to go through.

      In any case your post illustrates the problematic mindset I alluded to: the tendency to imagine DDT as a panacea, and a substitute for expertise and forethought. Eliminating DDT caused pest control to get a lot smarter and intelligently targeted, which was a good thing, and leads to more sustainable gains. Admittedly it''s harder work to make smart, informed decisions, than to spray and pray.

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
  62. Re:The Horse Has Bolted... by Headw1nd · · Score: 1

    And we're now voting on whether to shut the barn door.

    No, we're voting on whether we ever had a horse in the first place. Later we're going to have a vote on whether we wanted the horse out of the barn, and if the barn is better off without it.

    We aren't going to vote on closing the door for a looooong time.

  63. I believe that was the point he's trying to make by Sycraft-fu · · Score: 1

    What I am presuming the GP is going for as an analogy is that there was a real Saint Nicholas, but that there is also a false legend surrounding the real man that is far grander and more common.

    Not perhaps the best analogy.

  64. Post-vote update by sysrammer · · Score: 1

    From ABC: "The Republican-controlled Senate acknowledged Wednesday that climate change is real but refused to say humans are to blame."

    Votes are in. Most agree to the fact of climate change. Whether it is significantly man-made or not is contentious.

    Bill A: "It passed 98-1 and read simply that "Climate change is real and not a hoax.""
    Bill B: "that said human beings contributed to the problem fell one vote short of the 60 needed for it to be adopted". I believe this one had the poison pill attached to it.
    Bill C: "The Senate was divided, 50-49, on another measure from Sen. Brian Schatz, D-Hawaii, that claimed human activities "significantly" altered the climate."

    --
    His ignorance covered the whole earth like a blanket, and there was hardly a hole in it anywhere. - Mark Twain
  65. This is Funny by gnu-sucks · · Score: 1

    This is funny, the implication is that politicians know a lot about climate science. Ha!

    Climate science is so much more complex than "warming" or "not warming". Anyone that wants to boil it down to only one variable really isn't trying to solve or understand anything.

  66. Just like global warming. My point was unclear. by raymorris · · Score: 1

    I guess I could have been more clear.

    There is someone real called "Saint Nick".
    There is a mass of gross fiction also called "Saint Nick", originally inspired by the real Saint Nick.

    There is something real called "global warming".
    There is a mass of gross fiction also called "global warming", originally inspired by the real warming.

    Asking someone if they believe in global warming is kind of like asking them if they believe in jolly old Saint Nick. Political opponents can spin either answer (yes or no) to sound ridiculous by associating the term with their choice of meaning.

    Another example - did Saddam have a nuclear program, vote yes or no.
    He didn't have a program that was a significant threat in the short or medium term. He did buy uranium, which he wanted to weaponize in some form. If you someone says he had a nuclear program, I can make that person sound stupid. If someone says he did not have a nuclear program I can make that person sound ridiculous too.

  67. That's like saying: by bradgoodman · · Score: 1

    "U.S. Senate taking a vote on whether Denocrats all suck or not".

  68. Congress'l approval rating near all-time low by Zhe+Mappel · · Score: 1

    A reminder: sensible men and women have already voted on the merits of Congress.

    As Gallup confirmed once more in its December 14 poll, Americans agree on at least one thing in our most divided land. We're led by idiots, chiselers, maniacs and fools:

    Americans' job approval rating for Congress averaged 15% in 2014, close to the record-low yearly average of 14% found last year. The highest yearly average was measured in 2001, at 56%. Yearly averages haven't exceeded 20% in the past five years, as well as in six of the past seven years.

    1. Re:Congress'l approval rating near all-time low by SuiteSisterMary · · Score: 1

      If the American public truly believed, so overwhelmingly, or cared, Congress wouldn't have an incumbency rate of somewhere between 96 and 85 percent (depending on how you count.)

      America doesn't have elected officials, they have an aristocratic class, and a few political dynasties.

      --
      Vintage computer games and RPG books available. Email me if you're interested.
  69. Re:Real question is: how much are humans changing by riverat1 · · Score: 1

    Climate change (global warming?) skeptics admit that humans are affecting climate, but the real question is "how much are humans changing it?". And while asking that, we should also ask:

        - Is the data used to measure climate accurate? (IPCC controversially says: "urban heat islands don't matter when measuring temperature")

    No, the IPCC says we apply corrections for the UHI effect and the corrections have been scientifically validated.

    - Is the climate actually warming? (satellite datasets say not for the last 18-25 years, terrestrial datasets say 14 years)

    It takes a pretty narrow view to try and make that statement. Meanwhile the oceans continue to absorb more energy, sea level continues to rise and ice keeps melting, symptoms of a warming world.

    - If there is warming, how much of it is caused by CO2 rises? (not much, since warming has "paused" while CO2 levels increased)

    Which just shows that you don't understand the magnitude of natural variability is over 10 times the magnitude of the warming signal from CO2 and feedbacks. Eventually as the warming continues to rise it will overcome the vicissitudes of natural variability. The fact that 2014 is the warmest in the instrument record and it wasn't also an El Nino year indicates that's starting to happen.

    - How accurate are the CO2-temperature feedback models? (not very, they have overestimated by 2-4x)

    2-4 times is gross hyperbole. Temperatures are still within the uncertainty bands of climate model projections so it's impossible to say the models are wrong.

    - How much of the CO2 rise is caused by humans?

    Considering that the year to year increase in CO2 in the atmosphere is only about 45% of yearly output of human emissions the answer has to be 100%.

    - What is the cost/benefit of lowering CO2 now vs delaying 50/100 years when tech will be more advanced?

    If the possible bad effects of not reducing CO2 emissions are even moderately possible then risk management theory says it's far more costly to wait than to do something about it. Even now the cost of wind and solar power is starting to be competitive with existing electricity production so the cost really isn't that great. And the cost of renewables is still going down.

  70. Re:In Other News by Bartles · · Score: 1
    Why not? That's good to four significant figures. That will do in most cases. But actually it was Indiana and you should do some further reading on the topic, and allow knowledge to destroy one of your biases against the south.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Indiana_Pi_Bill

  71. Politics and science by Evtim · · Score: 1

    I think the politicians are not brave enough. Recognizing reality? Pffft....how about changing it [we were promised real change, remember?]...for how long this pesky Pie will bother us...no-one can remember this infinitely long rational number anyway?! I demand that the bill "New Pie" is passed ASAP!

    Reference [see post office sorting engine]:
    http://discworld.wikia.com/wik...

    Writers have recognized this issue since long time...Artur C. Clark, for instance, also jokes via dr. Floyd who says to the Russian scientist in 2010 "If Congress has revoked the law of gravity, I'd heard about it!"

  72. Re:Ahhh..... by dave420 · · Score: 1

    No, but if you offset your carbon usage at the same time, you are not a net creator of atmospheric CO2. If everyone did that, we'd be in a much better position. Or, you can just ignore all of that and just focus on his house and jet. I could make a comment about "typical right-wing ideology" ignoring Gore's carbon offsets for a quick "win", but I realise that not all right-wing people are as dense as you appear to be.

  73. It's a trap! by dbIII · · Score: 1

    No. It was just a trap to make the people who voted against it look like complete idiots divorced from reality. Only one fell for it.

  74. Majority of GOP kowtow to creationists by salimma · · Score: 1

    Well, we know the majority of GOP presidential candidates claim to be creationists, so this one is a no-brainer... It'd be hysterically funny if only we're not all sharing the same planet.

    --
    Michel
    Fedora Project Contribut
  75. Climate change is real by EmagGeek · · Score: 1

    Yes, I said it. Climate change is real. Climate is always changing. It is unavoidable, especially in a system with so many variables. There is a well-established record of climate change present in the geological record going back hundreds of millions of years.

    Things we do also affect the system. There, I said it. Human activity has an effect on climate. That only makes sense. When you do stuff to a complex system, that system changes. When you alter inputs, the outputs change.

    What is at issue is the magnitude of change in output from the change in input caused by human activity. Unfortunately, rather than approach this curiosity with reasoned science, it has become a political hot-button issue, which means the facts will never, EVER be found. Period. I doubt we even have the capacity to accurately model a more or less chaotic system with millions of variables.

    All of that having been said, there are attitudes on both sides that are just unfathomably stupid. From the leftists who want to kill everyone but themselves and go back to living in caves, to the right-wing wackos who want to burn all the fossil fuel they can "because freedom," they are all a bunch of fucking idiots.

    The rules here are pretty simple. Stop wasting shit, and stop multiplying like rabbits. The Earth has finite resources, and can therefore support only a finite amount of consumption. When we reproduce irresponsibly and consume all that we can possible consume just because we can, we're going to hit that limit a lot sooner.

    I really wish the environmentalists would take a more conservationist approach rather than a purely biased political one. I am all about conservation, but I despise environmentalism, just like I despise hyper-consumptionism.

    And as a disclaimer, my contributions to the conservation of world resources are: not having children, biking to work, and not having an oversized house filled with shit China told me I needed.

  76. It is not about science, people... by rocket+rancher · · Score: 1

    This is a political maneuver designed to embarrass the GOP. 98 senators have already affirmed this amendment which was tacked onto the XL pipeline bill. To be clear, the amendment has no real effect on the construction of the Keystone pipeline; it simply forces all senators and representatives to get on the record on climate change. The GOP is up against a wall on the Keystone pipeline -- even if this bill passes, it will be vetoed by the executive branch and the GOP probably does not have the votes to override the veto (hard to vote for something that contributes to global warming after you've acknowledged that global warming is real.) This amendment is the Democrats fucking with the Republicans, pure and simple.

    1. Re:It is not about science, people... by McFly777 · · Score: 1

      (hard to vote for something that contributes to global warming after you've acknowledged that global warming is real.) This amendment is the Democrats fucking with the Republicans, pure and simple.

      While I will agree with the statement that this is essentially just political maneuvering, I will disagree with the assertion that creating a pipeline will contribute to global warming. (beyond the actions of the construction equipment) In fact, one could argue that a pipeline reduces the amount of CO2 emitted by the trucks/boats needed to carry the oil otherwise. (both extremely small compared to the amount of oil/carbon flowing IN the pipe) What the pipeline might change is where the oil being refined is coming from. I, for one, would rather give Canada the money than some ISIS supporting nation in the mid-east, or some dictator in South America. (just two examples) My assumption being that the demand for oil is relatively constant, and that one is merely changing the supplier.

      --

      McFly777
      - - -
      "What do people mean when they say the computer went down on them?" -Marilyn Pittman
  77. Re:Real question is: how much are humans changing by dywolf · · Score: 1

    You're standing on the train tracks.
    There is a train coming.
    It's about a mile down the tracks, so you've got a bit of time.
    Your shoelace is untied.

    Do you get off the tracks first, or tie your shoe?

    --
    The guy who said the election was rigged won the presidency with the second-most votes.
  78. Re:Assuming the earth is more than 6,000 years old by dave420 · · Score: 1

    Spending ~0.05% of the GDP is not "very detrimental", surely. Spending far more than that to mitigate the displaced communities, displaced farmland (yes, that is a thing), and the new and exciting pests and diseases sounds like a far worse deal to me (and to anyone else who actually could be bothered to read what the IPCC has been saying).

  79. Stanford, UC Berkeley prof of climatology, UN by raymorris · · Score: 1

    Dr. Stephen H. Schneider, Stanford and ClimateChange.Net:
    "To capture the public imagination... we have to... make simplified dramatic statements, and little mention of any doubts one might have.... Each of us has to decide the right balance between being effective and being honest".

    In the 1970s, Dr Schnieider was warning of the dangers of global cooling, and getting grant money to study the dangers of cooling caused by pollution. His colleague ecology professor Kenneth E.F. Watt at the University of California explained their view:
    âoeIf present trends continue, the world will be about four degrees colder for the global mean temperature in 1990, but 11 degrees colder by the year 2000. This is about twice what it would take to put us in an ice age."

    You may notice 2000 has come and gone, and we're not in an ice age.

    Stanford University professor Paul Ehrlich:
    By the year 2000 the United Kingdom will be simply a small group of impoverished islands, inhabited by some 70 million hungry peopleâ

    United Nations Environmental Program, in 2005:
    "Amid predictions that by 2010 the world will need to cope with as many as 50 million people escaping the effects of creeping environmental deterioration, United Nations University experts say the international community urgently needs to define, recognize and extend support to this new category of refugee."

    They are actually still making that same "50 million refugees" claim, after doing a search-and-replace to change "2005" to "2020". Cristina Tirado (University of California) made the claim of 50 million climate refugees by 2020 at the annual meeting of the American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS).

    James Hansen headed NASAâ(TM)s Goddard Institute for 30 years before moving to University. In 1988, Hansen was asked by journalist greenhouse effect would affect New York by 2008. âoeThe West Side Highway [an elevated freeway] will be under waterâ , Hansen said.

    UN IPCC author Michael Oppenheimer was âoechief scientistâ for the Environmental Defense Fund in 1990. He said that by 1995 global warming will be "desolating the heartlands of North America and Eurasia with horrific drought, causing crop failures and food riots."

    Just for fun, along with all of these climate scientists, let's throw in our favorite leader of the global warming movement, Al Gore. Oppenheimer (above) was also an advisor to Al Gore, who claimed:
      âoethe entire North Polar ice cap will disappear in five years. Five years is the period of time during which it is now expected to disappear.â (The polar ice caps have actually INCREASED since then, significantly).

    United Nations Environmental Program, Director of New York office in 1989:
    Entire nations could be wiped off the face of the earth by rising sea levels if global warming is not reversed by the year 2000

    We're spending $360 billion dollars a year based on these people's predictions - several thousand dollars per family in the US.

    I'm going to repeat once more, it is true that today it is warmer than it was 500 years ago, and much colder than it was 1,000 years ago. So yes, the climate changes in cycles, absolutely. Stanford, Berkeley, and Princeton have just ridiculously exaggerated the effect, while pitching for yet another $10 million grant to continue their work. Are these crazy "warnings" which never come true a bit of a sales a pitch for the grants they're asking for, perhaps?

    1. Re:Stanford, UC Berkeley prof of climatology, UN by IRWolfie- · · Score: 1

      "Dr Schnieider was warning of the dangers of global cooling" He wrote a paper speculating that the effects of aerosols would be greater than that of global warming. His was a minority view and he was wrong. "By the year 2000 the United Kingdom will be simply a small group of impoverished islands, inhabited by some 70 million hungry people" Firstly, Ehrlich is a biologist, not a climatologist. Secondly, he was talking about overpopulation, not climate change. "Entire nations could be wiped off the face of the earth by rising sea levels if global warming is not reversed by the year 2000" But that's a prediction about the future, not now. Global warming wasn't reverse by the year 2000 and Bangladesh in particular is going to face a lot of difficultly this century. "Amid predictions that by 2010 the world will need to cope with as many as 50 million people escaping the effects of creeping environmental deterioration, ..." Firstly I have no idea what the actual numbers are escaping drought, famine etc, but I just checked http://www.unep.org/cpi/briefs... . Apparently the predictions were by Norman Myers and unep claims they were never their forecasts. His predictions also don't appear to be mainstream at all. He seemed to have this strange idea that _all_ people just leave a region when there are extreme weather events like droughts when they don't (even in cases of war etc). "let's throw in our favorite leader of the global warming movement, Al Gore" Al Gore is a politician. A politician is only as reliable as the information he gets and has no particular expertise. "The polar ice caps have actually INCREASED since then, significantly" Nope http://earthobservatory.nasa.g... There is a lot of variability, but the trends are pretty apparent and the lowest extent was in 2012. Here the Washington post have a visual of the same thing: http://www.washingtonpost.com/... . Again there is variability but the trends are pretty obvious. Nothing to justify saying it would be clear (as far as I can see) by 2013, but the trend is still there.

    2. Re:Stanford, UC Berkeley prof of climatology, UN by IRWolfie- · · Score: 1

      "Dr Schnieider was warning of the dangers of global cooling" He wrote a paper speculating that the effects of aerosols would be greater than that of global warming. His was a minority view and he was wrong.

      "By the year 2000 the United Kingdom will be simply a small group of impoverished islands, inhabited by some 70 million hungry people"
      Firstly, Ehrlich is a biologist, not a climatologist. Secondly, he was talking about overpopulation, not climate change.

      "Entire nations could be wiped off the face of the earth by rising sea levels if global warming is not reversed by the year 2000"
      But that's a prediction about the future, not now. Global warming wasn't reverse by the year 2000 and Bangladesh in particular is going to face a lot of difficultly this century.

      "Amid predictions that by 2010 the world will need to cope with as many as 50 million people escaping the effects of creeping environmental deterioration, ..." Firstly I have no idea what the actual numbers are escaping drought, famine etc, but I just checked http://www.unep.org/cpi/briefs... . Apparently the predictions were by Norman Myers and unep claims they were never their forecasts. His predictions also don't appear to be mainstream at all. He seemed to have this strange idea that _all_ people just leave a region when there are extreme weather events like droughts when they don't (even in cases of war etc).

      "let's throw in our favorite leader of the global warming movement, Al Gore" Al Gore is a politician. A politician is only as reliable as the information he gets and has no particular expertise. "The polar ice caps have actually INCREASED since then, significantly" Nope http://earthobservatory.nasa.g... There is a lot of variability, but the trends are pretty apparent and the lowest extent was in 2012.

      Here the Washington post have a visual of the same thing: http://www.washingtonpost.com/... . Again there is variability but the trends are pretty obvious. Nothing to justify saying it would be clear (as far as I can see) by 2013, but the trend is still there.

      Edit: Same post but with the formatting fixed.

    3. Re:Stanford, UC Berkeley prof of climatology, UN by IRWolfie- · · Score: 1

      " it is true that today it is warmer than it was 500 years ago, and much colder than it was 1,000 years ago." The difference with previous events is now our own emissions are the dominant forcing not natural events.

    4. Re:Stanford, UC Berkeley prof of climatology, UN by raymorris · · Score: 1

      I started out by saying:

      ---
      When I've pointed out some of the stuff that professors of climatology said in the 1990s, the environmentalists here on Slashdot have said "that guy is a wacko, he doesn't represent the mainstream of liberal thought on the issue". I'll take them at their word. So we all agree the UC climatologist's "science" was false/bogus/wrong. And we all agree that the climate has changed. Not really useful.
      ---

      After much discussion, we end up with you saying:
      His was a minority view and he was wrong.

      His predictions also don't appear to be mainstream at all. He seemed to have this strange idea

      So we agree that the Stanford University professor and head of Stanford and ClimateChange.Net is "wrong".

      We agree that the predictions of Oxford Fellow Norman Myers, published by the UN, are based on "strange ideas" which are also wrong.

      Along with the distinguished scientists, we agree that Al Gore "has no particular expertise" and his statements were false. (Relevant because a) this page is about a political vote and b) more people have listened to Gore speak than have listened to any of these scientists).

      So pretty much what I said originally. There's no shortage of nuttiness labeled "climate change", and there is also at least a grain of truth to the idea. So how are you going to vote, do you believe climate change is true or false, yes or no? A reasonable person can only say "I know that what Stanford, Oxford, and Al Gore said was malarky, and I know that climate does change". There's no "yes" or "no" answer that makes any sense.

  80. They voted on the wrong question by daninaustin · · Score: 1

    Even if you accept that there is global warming/climate change, the real question they should be asking is whether the solutions being tried or proposed really solve the problem.

  81. Here's how incredibly wrong they've been by raymorris · · Score: 1

    > but unless you can show how the scientists are wrong

    Ok, no problem there. Let's have a look at what "scientists" from Princeton, UC Berkeley, and the UN have said, and see if they've been right or wrong.

    It might help to keep in mind this information from Dr. Stephen H. Schneider, Stanford and ClimateChange.Net:
    "To capture the public imagination... we have to... make simplified dramatic statements, and little mention of any doubts one might have.... Each of us has to decide the right balance between being effective and being honest".

    In the 1970s, Dr Schnieider was warning of the dangers of global cooling, and getting grant money to study the dangers of cooling caused by pollution. His colleague ecology professor Kenneth E.F. Watt at the University of California explained their view:
    "If present trends continue, the world will be about four degrees colder for the global mean temperature in 1990, but 11 degrees colder by the year 2000. This is about twice what it would take to put us in an ice age."

    You may notice 2000 has come and gone, and we're not in an ice age.

    Stanford University professor Paul Ehrlich:
    By the year 2000 the United Kingdom will be simply a small group of impoverished islands, inhabited by some 70 million hungry peopleÃ

    United Nations Environmental Program, in 2005:
    "Amid predictions that by 2010 the world will need to cope with as many as 50 million people escaping the effects of creeping environmental deterioration, United Nations University experts say the international community urgently needs to define, recognize and extend support to this new category of refugee."

    They are actually still making that same "50 million refugees" claim, after doing a search-and-replace to change "2005" to "2020". Cristina Tirado (University of California) made the claim of 50 million climate refugees by 2020 at the annual meeting of the American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS).

    James Hansen headed NASA's Goddard Institute for 30 years before moving to University. In 1988, Hansen was asked by journalist greenhouse effect would affect New York by 2008. "The West Side Highway [an elevated freeway] will be under water", Hansen said. 2008 was seven years ago. New York isn't underwater

    UN IPCC author Michael Oppenheimer was "chief scientist" for the Environmental Defense Fund in 1990. He said that by 1995 global warming will be "desolating the heartlands of North America and Eurasia with horrific drought, causing crop failures and food riots."

    Just for fun, along with all of these climate scientists, let's throw in our favorite leader of the global warming movement, Al Gore. Oppenheimer (above) was also an advisor to Al Gore, who claimed:
        "the entire North Polar ice cap will disappear in five years. Five years is the period of time during which it is now expected to disappear." (The polar ice caps have actually INCREASED since then, significantly).

    United Nations Environmental Program, Director of New York office in 1989:
    Entire nations could be wiped off the face of the earth by rising sea levels if global warming is not reversed by the year 2000

    We're spending $360 billion dollars a year based on these people's predictions - several thousand dollars per family in the US.

    I'm going to repeat once more, it is true that today it is warmer than it was 500 years ago, and much colder than it was 1,000 years ago. So yes, the climate changes in cycles, absolutely. Stanford, Berkeley, and Princeton have just ridiculously exaggerated the effect, while pitching for yet another $10 million grant to continue their work. Are these crazy "warnings" which never come true a bit of a sales a pitch for the grants they're asking for, perhaps?

  82. Subject matter experts by raymorris · · Score: 1

    Let's listen to what some subject matter experts have said.

    Dr. Stephen H. Schneider, Stanford and ClimateChange.Net:
    "To capture the public imagination... we have to... make simplified dramatic statements, and little mention of any doubts one might have.... Each of us has to decide the right balance between being effective and being honest".

    In the 1970s, Dr Schnieider was warning of the dangers of global cooling, and getting grant money to study the dangers of cooling caused by pollution. His colleague ecology professor Kenneth E.F. Watt at the University of California explained their view:
    "If present trends continue, the world will be about four degrees colder for the global mean temperature in 1990, but 11 degrees colder by the year 2000. This is about twice what it would take to put us in an ice age."

    You may notice 2000 has come and gone, and we're not in an ice age.

    Stanford University professor Paul Ehrlich:
    "By the year 2000 the United Kingdom will be simply a small group of impoverished islands, inhabited by some 70 million hungry people"

    United Nations Environmental Program, in 2005:
    "Amid predictions that by 2010 the world will need to cope with as many as 50 million people escaping the effects of creeping environmental deterioration, United Nations University experts say the international community urgently needs to define, recognize and extend support to this new category of refugee."

    They are actually still making that same "50 million refugees" claim, after doing a search-and-replace to change "2005" to "2020". Cristina Tirado (University of California) made the claim of 50 million climate refugees by 2020 at the annual meeting of the American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS).

    James Hansen headed NASA's Goddard Institute for 30 years before moving to University. In 1988, Hansen was asked by journalist greenhouse effect would affect New York by 2008. "The West Side Highway [then an elevated freeway] will be under water" , Hansen said. 2008 was seven years ago. New York isn't underwater.

    UN IPCC author Michael Oppenheimer was "chief scientist" for the Environmental Defense Fund in 1990. He said that by 1995 global warming will be "desolating the heartlands of North America and Eurasia with horrific drought, causing crop failures and food riots."

    Just for fun, along with all of these climate scientists, let's throw in our favorite leader of the global warming movement, Al Gore. Oppenheimer (above) was also an advisor to Al Gore, who claimed:
        "the entire North Polar ice cap will disappear in five years. Five years is the period of time during which it is now expected to disappear." (The polar ice caps have actually INCREASED since then, significantly).

    United Nations Environmental Program, Director of New York office in 1989:
    Entire nations could be wiped off the face of the earth by rising sea levels if global warming is not reversed by the year 2000

    We're spending $360 billion dollars a year based on these people's predictions - several thousand dollars per family in the US.

    I'm going to repeat once more, it is true that today it is warmer than it was 500 years ago, and much colder than it was 1,000 years ago. So yes, the climate changes in cycles, absolutely. Stanford, Berkeley, and Princeton have just ridiculously exaggerated the effect, while pitching for yet another $10 million grant to continue their work. Are these crazy "warnings" which never come true a bit of a sales a pitch for the grants they're asking for, perhaps?

  83. Scientists from UC Berkeley, Stanford, Princeton? by raymorris · · Score: 1

    > The actual science that actual scientist do. AGW is real, it's been measured and matches the predictions of the scientists. In fact, since scientists are conservative with data, their predictions

    "Actual scientist" as in the guys from UC Berkeley, Stanford, Princeton, and NASA? Let's have a look at what they've been saying.

    Dr. Stephen H. Schneider, Stanford and ClimateChange.Net:
    "To capture the public imagination... we have to... make simplified dramatic statements, and little mention of any doubts one might have.... Each of us has to decide the right balance between being effective and being honest".

    In the 1970s, Dr Schnieider was warning of the dangers of global cooling, and getting grant money to study the dangers of cooling caused by pollution. His colleague ecology professor Kenneth E.F. Watt at the University of California explained their view:
    "If present trends continue, the world will be about four degrees colder for the global mean temperature in 1990, but 11 degrees colder by the year 2000. This is about twice what it would take to put us in an ice age."

    You may notice 2000 has come and gone, and we're not in an ice age.

    Stanford University professor Paul Ehrlich:
    "By the year 2000 the United Kingdom will be simply a small group of impoverished islands, inhabited by some 70 million hungry people"

    United Nations Environmental Program, in 2005:
    "Amid predictions that by 2010 the world will need to cope with as many as 50 million people escaping the effects of creeping environmental deterioration, United Nations University experts say the international community urgently needs to define, recognize and extend support to this new category of refugee."

    They are actually still making that same "50 million refugees" claim, after doing a search-and-replace to change "2005" to "2020". Cristina Tirado (University of California) made the claim of 50 million climate refugees by 2020 at the annual meeting of the American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS).

    James Hansen headed NASA's Goddard Institute for 30 years before moving to University. In 1988, Hansen was asked by journalist greenhouse effect would affect New York by 2008. "The West Side Highway [then an elevated freeway] will be under water" , Hansen said. 2008 was seven years ago. New York isn't underwater.

    UN IPCC author Michael Oppenheimer was "chief scientist" for the Environmental Defense Fund in 1990. He said that by 1995 global warming will be "desolating the heartlands of North America and Eurasia with horrific drought, causing crop failures and food riots."

    Just for fun, along with all of these climate scientists, let's throw in our favorite leader of the global warming movement, Al Gore. Oppenheimer (above) was also an advisor to Al Gore, who claimed:
        "the entire North Polar ice cap will disappear in five years. Five years is the period of time during which it is now expected to disappear." (The polar ice caps have actually INCREASED since then, significantly).

    United Nations Environmental Program, Director of New York office in 1989:
    Entire nations could be wiped off the face of the earth by rising sea levels if global warming is not reversed by the year 2000

    We're spending $360 billion dollars a year based on these people's predictions - several thousand dollars per family in the US.

    I'm going to repeat once more, it is true that today it is warmer than it was 500 years ago, and much colder than it was 1,000 years ago. So yes, the climate changes in cycles, absolutely. Stanford, Berkeley, and Princeton have just ridiculously exaggerated the effect, while pitching for yet another $10 million grant to continue their work. Are these crazy "warnings" which never come true a bit of a sales a pitch for the grants they're asking for, perhaps?

  84. what does your polluted river have to do with... by kenj123 · · Score: 1

    its an analogy. sorry for thinking so abstractly. dumping coal tailings in a river is a regional pollution problem. dumping carbon dioxide in the atmosphere is a global pollution problem. its called an cost externalizing. In the case of the river pollution there were multiple groups suing the polluters and litigation was becoming potentially very expensive. it was one of the causes of the federal government creating the clean water act. Regulation has been very effective at cleaning up the rivers. The poster I was responding to called it 'socialist authoritarian solutions'. I'm just saying that policy is effective sometimes. Its probably what will need to happed with polluting the atmosphere with co2 because private industry will not voluntarily address the problem.

  85. So Scientific by Gallomimia · · Score: 1

    Solving the question once and for all of the scientific validity of a very controversial topic: By voting on it!

    --
    Sadly, a Libertarian cannot force his views on another, and freedom cannot spread as does the cancer known as religion.
  86. Let them vote! by 3vi1 · · Score: 1

    Let them vote. Within 30 years, it will become apparent who was bought and paid for - and that stigma will be put front and center on all their historical Wikipedia entries.

    They should really think about that.

  87. In other news.. by richieb · · Score: 1

    ... the Senate is set to vote that Pi is equal to 3.

    --
    ...richie - It is a good day to code.
  88. Give me a break by charlow1 · · Score: 1

    for a news source that presumably has a high percentage of technically minded and possibly even scientifically educated readers, I m astonished to see how any are commenting that they believe that global warming is a hoax. How illiterate can you be on this? Anyone who has fallen for this politically-intended line of nonsense should be included in this year's Darwin Awards (this includes any elected official who spouts such nonsense.) I choose the Darwin Award asan appropriate designation as this is "awarded" to people and groups that take actions (or fail to do so) that will assure thee demise of the genetics governing their obviously flawed thought processes. I shudder at what the rest of the world thinks of us when otherwise sensible people take such an extreme and I examined position on this critically important issue

  89. Global cooling again by dbIII · · Score: 1

    I mentioned strawmen and you came up with the "but they all thought there was global cooling" bullshit? Can't you recognize crap put in by clueless journalists looking for "balance" so they can "sex up" the issue and pretend there is conflict?
    You are so full of shit that it's leaking out.