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Support For a Universal Basic Income Is Inching Up In Europe (qz.com)

An anonymous reader writes: Finland and the Netherlands are running modest pilots, and others are being considered by governments in France, Switzerland, and the UK, and by a host of nonprofits. To gauge public enthusiasm for the idea, Dalia Research, a Berlin-based market research firm, has been surveying Europeans' attitudes toward basic income since 2016. They've found a warm welcome. In a March survey, 68% of Europeans said they would vote yes in a basic-income referendum, up from 64% last year. The survey was put to 11,000 citizens in 28 European Union states and has a 1.1% margin of error. But not everyone is ready to see it implemented right away -- 48% said they wanted to test the policy first, while 31% advocated for adopting it as soon as possible. The 24% of respondents who opposed a UBI in both years were most concerned about the economic impact, including the expense, the risk of reducing the motivation to work, and the possibility foreigners would take exploit it. Those in favor of a UBI were most convinced by the promise of increased security and freedom, namely a reduced financial anxiety over meeting basic needs, more equality in opportunities, and the prospect of greater financial independence and self-reliance.

492 of 696 comments (clear)

  1. Socialism on the march by mi · · Score: 2, Insightful

    They've found a warm welcome. In a March survey, 68% of Europeans said they would vote yes in a basic-income referendum, up from 64% last year.

    I suppose, it depends on how the question is phrased:

    Would you like to be given money even if you do not work? Hell yah! Would you like to pay higher taxes so that some of it will be given to others even if they do not work? Hell no!
    --
    In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
    1. Re:Socialism on the march by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      It's always so much easier to decide how to spend other peoples' money...

    2. Re:Socialism on the march by mi · · Score: 3, Insightful

      You can already do that — no need for new laws. US Department of Treasury accepts private donations — have you ever used that option? I don't think so... Because you don't care to pay on your own — you wish to force others to do it...

      --
      In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
    3. Re:Socialism on the march by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Would you like to pay higher taxes so that some of it will be given to others even if they do not work?

      Hell no!

      Finland, the Netherlands, France, Switzerland, and the UK already has systems in place to make sure that people doesn't starve or end up homeless.
      The cost is already there. Switching to UBI doesn't necessarily require higher taxes. Especially since you no longer need government workers investigating who is entitled to extra support.

    4. Re:Socialism on the march by SirSlud · · Score: 5, Insightful

      It doesn't make much sense to contribute to a plan that can't actually be implemented unless everyone has to contribute by law.The US will never have single payer healthcare for the same specious argument. So enjoy that bucket of crabs you're in.

      --
      "Old man yells at systemd"
    5. Re:Socialism on the march by Salgak1 · · Score: 1

      Actually, you'd likely get a #10 can of Government Peanut Butter, and a 5 pound block of Government Cheese.

      Having had some of each. . . .trust me, you don't want either one. Especially the Cheese. . .

    6. Re:Socialism on the march by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 1

      Reminds me of the old union sticker that my father had on his truck: "Work harder! Millions of Americans are dependent on you!"

    7. Re:Socialism on the march by zmooc · · Score: 2

      Switching to UBI would change human behavior. For example, I'd probably not have gotten a job after graduating. However, in the long run I'd probably have contributed much more than I'd have cost (and than I contribute now to the local minimum that's called small business).

      Also note that the welfare systems (and in the case of the Netherlands especially the retirement-"welfare" (AOW) are increasingly becoming much more difficult to finance due to the aging population. This has in fact caused the government to raise the retirement-age. The system might very well break down anyway.

      So I believe your argument won't hold; the existing system is way too expensive already. Instead, if we'd want to introduce UBI, we need to find a way to finance it in a stable manner. I believe that's possible. And I believe the "it's just an alternative for existing solutions"-approach would only take us further away from a stable solution.

      --
      0x or or snor perron?!
    8. Re:Socialism on the march by Nunya666 · · Score: 1

      "Would you like to pay higher taxes so that some of it will be given to others even if they do not work?"

      But we give it to others who steal, lie, and kill though.

      What do politicians have to do with this issue?

    9. Re:Socialism on the march by SirSlud · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I was born and raised in a country with "single payer healthcare" — USSR.

      Well, that explains a lot. You even put it in quotes, suggesting even you can tell the difference between communism and what we're talking about.

      --
      "Old man yells at systemd"
    10. Re:Socialism on the march by SirSlud · · Score: 2

      Yeah, dude, it's tyranny. *rolls eyes*

      --
      "Old man yells at systemd"
    11. Re:Socialism on the march by Archangel+Michael · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Well, socialism always works, until it reaches the Tipping point of collapse, and then it falls apart quickly. Remember the Bernie Sanders' paradise of Venezuela ? Ever wonder why he doesn't speak of it any more? Or Greece, or any number of countries that have tried, and failed at socialism. It always fail, eventually.

      People are self interested, and socialism fails to account for that. People will choose the easy way until it fails, never learning that value comes from what is hard and rare.

      Universal Income doesn't account for everyone not working, when they are promised income for ... "not working". It assumes most people will find meaninful work, when the reality is, most people won't, especial when taxes start to creep over 50% (feudal tax rate).

      --
      Agent K: A *person* is smart. People are dumb, stupid, panicky animals, and you know it.
    12. Re:Socialism on the march by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      "Would you like to pay higher taxes so that some of it will be given to others even if they do not work?"

      That already happens. Most of the money invested in the stock market is giving money to people who did none of the work, yet I'm taxed extra to ensure that these share holders get more money even if they do no work.

      Never heard you complain.

    13. Re:Socialism on the march by mysidia · · Score: 1

      The US will never have single payer healthcare for the same specious argument.

      Look how great the single-payer Pension program called Social Security worked out, and is crumbling beneath our feet..... If you need a reason to say the government should get the hell out of Americans' internal economic affairs, and especially healthcare, then no better reason is required.

    14. Re:Socialism on the march by lowkeyknight · · Score: 1

      Actually, UBI saves money, because you no longer need a massive government bureaucracy to regulate, investigate, means test and evaluate applicants. It's being investigated precisely because the efficiency of the system reduces the overall expense. It also potentially incorporates state pensions, thus eliminating those departments and removing the need for a mandatory retirement age at all.

    15. Re:Socialism on the march by mysidia · · Score: 1

      The answer is ... tyranny!
       
      Government should use FORCE or the threat of it only as a last resort.

      We as a country should take up arms against the government, Or the tyranny majority who would try to impose single-payer healthcare and high taxation (relative to historic pre-War US tax percentages) on us.

      Oh wait.... the damn communists want to take those away, and only allow the government to own guns too.

      We've already seen the results of those experiments, and they're called North Korea, Venezuela, Stalin's Soviet Union, Mao Zedong's China.

      Over and over again, history has proven that Socialism is not a path to Utopia.... it is a path to failure and travesty.

    16. Re:Socialism on the march by Bartles · · Score: 1

      What is the difference?

    17. Re:Socialism on the march by Bartles · · Score: 1

      Only about 20% goes to defense, a drop in the bucket compared to entitlements that already exist. Pretty soon we are going to have to reduce some wntitlements to pay for others. Not to mention debt service is already about 1/3 of what we pay for defense. That's only going to continue to rise.

    18. Re:Socialism on the march by lowkeyknight · · Score: 1

      You are mistaking communism for socialism.
      I quite like the idea. Here's your basic. You can now live and eat and get healthcare and police and fire service without fear. You want more, that's on you. Go out and work for it.
      UBI exploits our need to have more, it's eminently capitalist and consumerist as it assumes that you will not be happy with "what everyone gets". Just as most people would not.

    19. Re:Socialism on the march by mi · · Score: 1

      Maybe if it didnt all go to "defense" spending.

      Here is the 2015 Federal Budget for example. The highlights:

      • Social Security, unemployment, and labor — 37%
      • Medicare and general health — 27%
      • Military (the only government expenditure explicitly authorized by the Constitution) — 16%

      Figures for 2016 aren't much different. You were saying?

      But, hey, what makes you think, the tax-increases necessary for UBI will not be misspent by the same government apparatus too? No, if you feel charitable and wish to help the fellow men — do it yourself.

      --
      In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
    20. Re:Socialism on the march by johanw · · Score: 1

      We are not constantly starting wars anymore, that saves a lot of money. Most war expenses are now when the US persuades our politicians to participate in a war the US started. Which we shouldn't do anymore, if the US wants war, let them pay for it themself.

    21. Re:Socialism on the march by johanw · · Score: 1

      We see the milder form as well, and it's called Europe. And we see the exact opposite, it's called the US. Most Europeans prefer the European system way over the US system.

    22. Re:Socialism on the march by mi · · Score: 2, Insightful

      You are mistaking communism for socialism.

      Socialism is nothing but Communism-lite.

      Here's your basic. You can now live and eat and get healthcare and police and fire service without fear.

      Nothing prevents you from helping your neighbor — or any other stranger this way. There is absolutely no need for you to compel the rest of us to do the same. Start small, will you not?

      --
      In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
    23. Re:Socialism on the march by johanw · · Score: 1

      Thet's because too many private companies profit from it. Take those middlemen out and costs become much more modest. If doctors insists on higher bills, don't use those and employ your own doctors.

    24. Re:Socialism on the march by zmooc · · Score: 1

      The administrative overhead UBI would save is much smaller than the deficit the existing solutions will ultimately develop. If we want an UBI that does not make us go bankrupt (though by then we'll have great discussions about whether it was UBI or the robots that destroyed us:p), we need to find sustainable financing. And I believe we should look for that in taxing the use of our planet. Land ownership, CO2 exhaust, mining. We could easily make that work (according to my spreadsheet). So, instead of UBI, I'd rather talk about making everybody a shareholder of the planet.

      --
      0x or or snor perron?!
    25. Re:Socialism on the march by fazig · · Score: 1

      Doesn't really matter if the USSR was never a true Scotsman. At best you're nitpicking here, since it's not a dilemma with only two choice. There's a lot of middle ground between what Stalinism was and still is today in countries like North Korea and what is happening in Europe.

      If you're opposed to it on a purely ideological you should put on that thinking cap and think again. I say let them run their trials and see how it works out. If it is such a terrible idea, which is my suspicion as well, the data will likely show it.

    26. Re:Socialism on the march by lowkeyknight · · Score: 1

      Nothing prevents you from helping your neighbor — or any other stranger this way. There is absolutely no need for you to compel the rest of us to do the same. Start small, will you not?

      Except that you've always been able to do that, and it ain't happened yet.
      But yeah, it's impinging on your freedoms to tax you more efficiently and give you a set rebate to live on (or do whatever with) and that's MORE authoritarian than paying a massive government bureaucracy to means test millions of people for specific exceptions, tax breaks, benefits, state aid etc etc etc.

    27. Re:Socialism on the march by lowkeyknight · · Score: 1

      Shareholders. Shareholders can sell their shares, I give it 6 years before 90% of the shares are owned by the top 5%

    28. Re:Socialism on the march by Jzanu · · Score: 1

      Most nations already have a variant of UBI. It is called being a prisoner. Studying that population shows the likely outcomes, although there are caveats. Someone with a life sentence knows they will be in prison for decades. How do they use that time? In some cases cultural/sociological issues prevent personal advancement even when basic resources are provided for life, but in others the prisoners pursue education and artistic endeavors. For those with short sentences this results in vocational training emphasis. Of course there are limits, criminals are a biased sample and the prison environment is artificially harsh and dis-empowering. Nonetheless, it shows a blanket assumption in any direction is wrong. People will react as people. A system must be able to adjust to all of them.

    29. Re:Socialism on the march by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 1

      Would you like to be given money even if you do not work? Hell yah! Would you like to pay higher taxes so that some of it will be given to others even if they do not work? Hell no!

      UBI is inevitable eventually, I can't predict when, but it is an idea that will have its time.

      As more and more become automated, more and more jobs will be swallowed up. When robots replaced manufacturing jobs, people moved to service jobs and higher cognitive jobs.

      As those jobs get taken (they won't all at once- some may be safe for a long time) we will eventually hit a tipping point. A time when a large % of the population is jobless.

      One of two things will happen,:
      1) Revolution, the have nots will rise up against those that own all the machines that took the jobs- we'll probably end up with a modern communism.

      2) The haves will reluctantly agree to pay massive taxes to prevent a revolution. They will hold on to ownership of the companies that own all the machines but instead of being insanely rich, they will just be rich. We end up with socialism.

      I think ending capitalism or introduction UBI is premature. There is still a large majority of people employed, we're beginning to see a trend away from that, and the gap between haves and have-nots is growing. Most people CAN still find a job if they really want and are willing to compromise. (even if it is difficult)

      As time goes by, it's going to be harder and harder. Eventually UBI is going to be needed, we're not there yet though.

      --
      "That's the way to do it" - Punch
    30. Re:Socialism on the march by apoc.famine · · Score: 1

      As an analogy, we switched to a new travel reimbursement system at work. We routinely waste close to as much money in salary time as we scrape back jumping through the hoops. "Because someone might abuse it", we've got micromanaging rules about how and what we can claim.
       
      Give us a company credit card, and have one person take a skim through the purchases afterwards. If there are questions, ask them. In the long run, that would likely save a pile of money.
       
      "You charged mileage from the airport to your house, but work is 1 mile closer to the airport, and you're required to pick the closer of the two destinations. Please re-file your reimbursement with updated mileage because we won't pay you $0.50 extra, but would rather you waste $2 of your time doing paperwork, and another $10 of our time reviewing it again."
       
      Cost-benefit analyses seem to escape HR, except if they can do it incorrectly and make everything work more poorly.
       
      Back to UBI, that's one very good argument for it. There are so many federal assistance programs with so much bureaucratic overhead that there should be substantial savings in efficiency with UBI. The problem is that these programs only cover subsets of the population, and that their administrative overhead is often only a few percent of their entire budget. There's not universal coverage, and there's not enough savings to allow for it.
       
      Total administrative costs for all of our social welfare programs is on the order of $10 billion, based on a quick google search. ($5+B in the late 90s, last consolidated data I could find.) Even if we could get rid of 100% of that, $30/person isn't going to fund UBI.

      --
      Velociraptor = Distiraptor / Timeraptor
    31. Re:Socialism on the march by jellomizer · · Score: 1

      What I would like to see are benchmark before, during and compared to like areas not trying this. I am not opposed to basic income, but there are factors that may kick in. Such as having people on basic income, how will that affect their upward mobility, as well as services to help support the needy and under privileged could fall off as the people's suffering could be hidden, under a government catch all. But all this negativity on my part is just theoretical. But instead of jumping into new economic models with gusto, a scientific measured approach may be much safer, and manageable as we can address problems on a smaller scale.

      --
      If something is so important that you feel the need to post it on the internet... It probably isn't that important.
    32. Re:Socialism on the march by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 2

      What is the difference?

      There isn't any difference. The socialized medicine in Sweden is not any different in principle from the socialized medicine in Cuba.

      Cubans have a higher life expectancy than Americans, and a lower infant mortality rate. They accomplish this at FAR lower cost. Healthcare is one of the few things (very few) that Communism actually got right.

      All countries have economies that are a mixture of socialism and free enterprise. Nearly all countries socialize the roads and sewers. Most socialize basic education. Yet even in North Korea, there is some free enterprise: people can grow vegetables and sell them in village markets.

      The problem in America is that we socialize the wrong things. We have private healthcare that is far more expensive, and produces worse outcomes, than any other first world country. Meanwhile we have half a million government employees in the package delivery business. Those should be swapped.

    33. Re:Socialism on the march by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

      Hopefully there will be a modicum of training before people swap from delivering packages to delivering babies.

    34. Re:Socialism on the march by lowkeyknight · · Score: 1

      But in Europe, where in most cases, everyone gets healthcare, state pensions, working tax credits, something towards higher education or something else etc etc etc those benchmarks are very different. For the US, you'd have to massively cut defense spending (maybe as much as the next dozen countries, instead of, what, the next 23?) whereas in Europe, mostly it's just a streamlining exercise.

    35. Re:Socialism on the march by vlad30 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Doesn't really matter if the USSR was never a true Scotsman.

      The problem is not the ideal version of communism or democracy, it is that human nature never lets the ideal version actually happen

      --
      Your'e all thinking it, I just said it for you
    36. Re: Socialism on the march by Entrope · · Score: 1

      First you say that "single payer health care" isn't like the USSR because the USSR was communism.

      Now you say it doesn't matter if the USSR want really communism. Why? Because you think your brand of big-government socialism is the good kind, but theirs was the bad kind? Because we can trust your good intentions when it comes to you spending our money?

    37. Re:Socialism on the march by micahraleigh · · Score: 1

      I find it peculiar how comfortable you are with the military power in America as Putin creeps west.

    38. Re:Socialism on the march by johanw · · Score: 1

      We shouldn't have interfered. Now the results are bad relations with Russia.

    39. Re:Socialism on the march by johanw · · Score: 1

      Then be pleased with your implementation of Ferenginar.

    40. Re: Socialism on the march by Whorhay · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Blaming the poor economic situation in Cuba on their socialized healthcare system is a bit silly. The continued cause of their poor economy is more likely rooted in the trade embargo that the USA instituted more than half a century ago.

    41. Re:Socialism on the march by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      I'd actually like to see some comprehensive plans for European countries.

      In the United States, it's possible to implement a full-UBI as a Universal Social Security with a net reduction of $1 trillion of taxpayer cost, measured as displacement of income. That is: about $1.8 trillion flows through the Universal Social Security system, leaving a bunch of extra income above the tax burden in lower-income hands (e.g. you make $10k but end up with $15k after taxes). That extra income isn't "lower taxpayer cost"; it is the taxpayer cost. Incomes above a certain threshold still pay taxes versus not having the USS; those taxes are less than the current taxes paid to sustain welfare structure, and the difference in total there is the taxpayer savings.

      Designing, validating, and transitioning onto such a system is a highly-complex engineering task, though. Building that kind of policy requires a deep understanding of modern welfare systems, the current economy, fluctuations in the economy, and so forth; you have to prevent a negative impact at any future point while remediating existing shortcomings of the welfare system.

      In the case of the United States, it's so much cheaper because raising taxes on the rich to fund it is non-viable. Before a certain point, it's possible, but only with higher taxes on the rich or high taxes on the middle-class to offset the benefit. There's essentially a taxation cliff where your marginal tax burden starts running up sharply, then runs back down. Think like the middle-class would pay 70%, then the rich would re-enter a 39.6% tax bracket. Not doable. Instead, you have to wait until you can keep the taxes a smooth progression, without raising taxes on the rich; thus the tax brackets on the middle-class are lower than the top tax brackets, and the middle-class receives the USS benefit without having it taxed right back away.

      The end result is that, for the rich, the USS benefit is tiny--it's the same amount the poor get, and so represents a small fraction of rich-people income. Meanwhile, the discount to the middle-class is huge. That effectively extends welfare upwards as a tax discount: the rich aren't taxed more, and they're not taxed less; the middle-class are taxed less; and the poor are provided for.

      Ideally, we want the effective taxes to come down; it's just not possible right now. The USS can eventually eliminate about 6% from the payroll tax (it eliminates OASDI, only after a rather lengthy transition period--it may take 30-40 years for that to finally be fully-transitioned), reducing the cost of wages to the employer (e.g. rather than having to pay $50,000 wages plus $3,200 of OASDI+HI, the employer pays $50,000 wages plus $100 of HI). It also lowers business income taxes by some 4% marginal (roughly 11% proportional reduction) due to the way I cut the tax brackets.

      The reduced cost of employment should slow and spread technological unemployment, which means advancing technology (like wooden shipping pallets or self-driving cars) should integrate over a longer span, while people will cost less to hire back into new jobs. That means the rise of unemployment in faster technical progress is slower, and the creation of new jobs is faster, lessening the impact and shortening the duration of recessions from sudden bolts in progress.

      In the long term, technical progress reduces the cost of goods and services and increases the buying power of money. For example: the cost of domestic shipping is roughly 50% of the retail price of most goods, and quite high for food in particular; self-driving freight trucks will cut that cost back some, so imagine food costing e.g. 10% less, then 25% less. Electric freight trucks will also cut back on maintenance costs, but I don't project much more than a 50% decrease in shipping costs, and even that's going to take at least a decade after self-driving trucks actually hit the roads.

      This reduction allows an increase in the standard-of-living of the poor, and c

    42. Re:Socialism on the march by lowkeyknight · · Score: 2

      There actually is a simple healthcare solution (well, simpler). I live under it. It's called the NHS. I get free healthcare. I see a Dr when I want, pick the Dr I want, pay a nominal (around £8) fee for prescriptions and on the two occasions I have been seriously, life threateningly ill I have been treated then and there, looked after, admitted until well, fed and supported and I have never, ever filled in a form or spoken to an insurer about healthcare (and I work in insurance). I work hard, have never been unemployed, am in, conservatively, the top 10% of earners in the UK and I am happy to pay taxes for benefits like that for all, that are democratically controlled, not controlled by a church, or a charity, or some other organisation that has an agenda that can change without proper democratic oversight. I like and value economies of scale and think my government should too. And that's the big difference, you may help out, there have always been people that do and it's laudable. But not enough people do and that never seems to change. Maybe, just maybe, rather than doing the same thing that didn't work the last 100 times, we should try something new.

    43. Re:Socialism on the march by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      For example, I'd probably not have gotten a job after graduating

      Why? Do you want to live in a 224sqft apartment, scraping together the cost of food on a strict budget, with minimal amenities and little spending money available ever?

      It's not like you're going to get a two-bedroom apartment, middle-class food plan, and a new car on a UBI. We can eliminate homelessness and hunger; we can get people additional income to help them fund their retirement; we can shore up retirees--not so much as Social Security does now, but enough that adding their lifetime UBI to their retirement UBI gets them slightly more than today's OASDI. Mostly, we can patch the welfare system up.

      Life isn't meant to be bad on a UBI; you're just the lowest level of barely-surviving bottom feeder, by mathematical necessity. If you have $0, then UBI is what you have; nobody is poorer than you. If hobo-in-a-shack with full confidence in your next meal seems good to you, even though your next meal is the kind of gruel you can afford as a poor person, well, that's a bug I can't resolve in the system: the clinically-depressed will tend to float to the bottom and coast due to a mental disorder that robs them of all motivation.

    44. Re:Socialism on the march by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      we need to find sustainable financing

      The only sustainable financing of a UBI is production-based, which means "fixed proportion of all income".

      As such, it's $1 trillion cheaper than current welfare systems, gets cheaper over time (because of the constant productivity gains of trade and technical progress), and actually achieves the goals of welfare pretty reliably.

    45. Re:Socialism on the march by tehcyder · · Score: 1

      The working citizen in those countries is the equivalent of a modern slave, enjoying 50%+ income tax, excessive sales tax/VAT and countless other artificial taxes, keeping them from any sense of achievement or happiness.

      The vast majority of people do not derive their sense of achievement or happiness purely from the percentage of cash they take home each month relative to their gross salary.

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
    46. Re:Socialism on the march by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      especial when taxes start to creep over 50%

      Lower taxes. By $1 trillion. No tax increases; lower payroll taxes; lower business income taxes; and we can eventually lower the taxes on the upper bracket a bit.

      Productivity increases cause a reduction in the fraction of production which represents the same purchasing power per person, thus a lower tax rate can supply sufficient funding. Take a middle-ground, reduce the taxes sustaining the system slightly, thus reducing the taxes on the uppermost incomes, and keep the remainder as an increase in standard-of-living from the poorest up through the upper-middle-class.

      Stop looking at the one-sentence description of a concept and trying to project what it would do. Write a comprehensive tax plan to implement it and work out its effects from there.

      It assumes most people will find meaninful work, when the reality is, most people won't

      Your life: 224sqft one-occupancy apartment; enough to eat only home-cooked food (it's food, at least), buy some clothes, pay your utility bills, buy soap and the like, and come out $50-$70 cash in hand at the end of the month. You are the lowest of low, the poorest in the land.

      What do you do? You can't buy toys. You can't buy a car (or afford the gas or insurance anyway). You can't buy fancy, expensive dresses. You can't buy an Xbox. You can't have sex with hot girls, because the guy who works part-time at McDonalds is like... twice as rich as you, and impressive because he's so god damned rich and you're so poor, and is nailing all the hot ladies.

      Your social position requires a bigger income. That requires employment. Even failing that, you better not plan on being an artist or anything in your spare time, because a sketchpad and some pencils is an enormous luxury expense.

    47. Re:Socialism on the march by tehcyder · · Score: 4, Informative

      It assumes most people will find meaninful work, when the reality is, most people won't, especial when taxes start to creep over 50% (feudal tax rate).

      If you have a UBI of (say) $1000 a month, then earning $5000 a month will be worth it even if you are taxed at 50%. You'll still get an extra $2500 to spend on non-essentials like mobile phones, new trainers, eating out or whatever.

      UBI is going to pay for basic accommodation, food and other necessities. It isn't going to fund some sort of playboy lifestyle or pay for your kids' holidays or a new car.

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
    48. Re:Socialism on the march by operagost · · Score: 1

      I suspect some people do not realize that UBI is supposed to replace the welfare state. They think they're still going to have food assistance, child care, and housing paid for by the state on top of free cash. Who wouldn't take that deal?

      --

      Gamingmuseum.com: Give your 3D accelerator a rest.
    49. Re:Socialism on the march by operagost · · Score: 1

      Social Security has middlemen? News to me! Last I checked, old folks were getting Treasury checks mailed (or EFTed) directly to them.

      --

      Gamingmuseum.com: Give your 3D accelerator a rest.
    50. Re:Socialism on the march by Rick+Schumann · · Score: 1

      I'm not going to play the 'socialism' card, because that, quite franky, cheapens the value of the discussion of this entire topic -- a topic which keeps reappearing like cockroaches.

      This is not a subject you can ask people to vote on! Why? Because, plain and simple, of course everyone wants free money! The average person is terrible at math, can't see much past the end of their own nose, and thinks that governments have unlimited funds. They do not! Most governments are operating at a deficit.

      Simply doing the math will show you that so-caled 'UBI' is not feasible on a large scale and therefore is a non-starter.

      Considering the current socio-political climate in Western and Eastern Europe right now, I wouldn't at all be surprised if Russia is also working to covertly influence opinion on this subject, as well as elections. So-called 'UBI' would totally destabilize and bankrupt any country that adopts it, and their productivity would drop to near zero. Additionally, and more importantly to this particular point I'm trying to make, countries that adopted this nonsense would not have funding for their own military -- which would make Putin very, very happy. Easier to invade and occupy a country that can't defend itself, as well as a country that has a populace that is indolent.

      Really, honestly, seriously: All you 'UBI' supporters need a reality check, and to remember how to do some basic math, as well as trying to remember how to think critically about things. UBI will not work. Please, get over it.

    51. Re: Socialism on the march by operagost · · Score: 1

      ... according to the Castros.

      --

      Gamingmuseum.com: Give your 3D accelerator a rest.
    52. Re:Socialism on the march by dgatwood · · Score: 1

      Even as you pointed out; if my doctor charges too much I can stop using them as a doctor. Choosing a government, on the other hand, is a bit trickier of a situation.

      Except that the existence of health insurance breaks that model by hiding the cost from you. The number of people who care about the cost of healthcare enough to change doctors is lost in the noise.

      Or if you don't like the libertarian argument on that, how about this one: medical care is an essential service—something that in many cases people quite literally cannot live without. Competition cannot work for these services, because the people in need of those services cannot realistically price shop or choose to delay care until the cost is less. The entire capitalist model completely fails when applied to healthcare, and always will no matter how many layers of insurance you add to the mix.

      As for social security, its most significant problem is that it was designed based on assumptions of how long people will live, and those assumptions are no longer valid. Ideally, the retirement age should be indexed to your individual life expectancy, but failing that, it should be indexed to the average life expectancy.

      And it was also designed based on assumptions of population growth that are no longer valid. To make up for that, the wage cap on contributions should be raised, and the percentage should be increased if necessary.

      --

      Check out my sci-fi/humor trilogy at PatriotsBooks.

    53. Re:Socialism on the march by operagost · · Score: 1

      Land and mining are already taxed. Localities already depend on nearly universally high property taxed to fund schools. The land owned by people for their homes is a liability and generates no income. You're pretty much proposing ending private property, as only the 1% and the government itself will be able to afford it.

      --

      Gamingmuseum.com: Give your 3D accelerator a rest.
    54. Re:Socialism on the march by operagost · · Score: 1

      I fear that the people on UBI, like the ones who subsist on the existing government programs, will continue to see the way of getting more as participating in demonstrations instead of working or starting businesses.

      --

      Gamingmuseum.com: Give your 3D accelerator a rest.
    55. Re:Socialism on the march by dgatwood · · Score: 1

      I think there's something to be said about enjoying life while you're young enough to do so. I would not be surprised if a lot fewer people got jobs straight out of college if a UBI were implemented, choosing to wait several years while they partied (though I suppose they might have to work part-time to pay for the parties). That, in turn, would significantly raise the relative cost of the UBI.

      On the flip side, a UBI would also mean that more people might consider trying to start small businesses, knowing that if the business fails, they'll still have an income. Obviously, that doesn't work if they have to secure loans against their personal finances, but that's kind of a separate problem. They would also be more willing to take jobs at startups for the same reason. In other words, a UBI might encourage the sorts of risk taking that drive capitalist societies forwards.

      Both theories are pure speculation until some country actually tries it, and the behavior might vary from country to country, too, so you don't have any guarantees even after a country actually tries it. Either way, it will be a fascinating thing to watch.

      --

      Check out my sci-fi/humor trilogy at PatriotsBooks.

    56. Re:Socialism on the march by PoopJuggler · · Score: 1

      That's the problem with our parents' generation -- they're all about getting as much for themselves as possible and no sense of a larger society or community. This is understandable considering their parents came from the Great Depression but it's a terrible mindset to have if you want progress.

    57. Re:Socialism on the march by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      Bullshit. In the USA, 'government cheese' was super well aged, super sharp surplus American cheddar. You could usually get it real cheap. Better than what's at the store.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    58. Re:Socialism on the march by GameboyRMH · · Score: 3, Informative

      Greece's economy was ruined by the same idiotic borrow-and-spend, trickle-down tax policies that the American right fawns over, so I don't know why you're using them as an example of socialism failing.

      Venezuela's economy was too dependent on oil and their economy was bound to eat shit when the price of oil dropped whether they were socialist or corporatocratic. Their failure is simply a failure to diversify their economy.

      Universal Income doesn't account for everyone not working, when they are promised income for ... "not working". It assumes most people will find meaninful work, when the reality is, most people won't, especial when taxes start to creep over 50% (feudal tax rate).

      There's no problem with people not working when their work is not needed - that's the main reason UBI is being considered, the falling demand for human labor due to automation. As such, UBI does not assume that most people will find meaningful work, but that an ever-increasing fraction of the population will not be able to find work.

      With a large surplus of labor, there will be no problem filling what jobs are still needed and anyone who doesn't feel like working due to high tax rates should feel free to quit so that someone without such hangups can take their place.

      --
      "When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
    59. Re:Socialism on the march by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      Their feet say otherwise.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    60. Re:Socialism on the march by GameboyRMH · · Score: 1

      UBI is inevitable eventually, I can't predict when, but it is an idea that will have its time.

      I can tell you when. Either before we're reduced to violence to solve the problem, or afterward, when whichever group that survives believes that everyone who has survived the violence is worthy of receiving UBI (it may be called "family allowances" depending on who that is).

      --
      "When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
    61. Re: Socialism on the march by fazig · · Score: 1

      Can you quote where exactly I said any of that?

      I'm saying that the USSR being a totalitarian dictatorship under the guise of Communism (Stalinism) and not actually Communist in the sense of Marx and Engels is besides the point. Not everything turns automatically into the worst extremes we know from human history. Is Trump waging a world war yet and killing the Jews to make America great again? No! Despite some superficial parallels to Adolf Hitler, most of those 'predictions' have been slippery slope fallacies so far. The same logical fallacy would be to argue that anything 'socialist' will inevitably end in a government that comes very close to Stalinism.

    62. Re:Socialism on the march by Rick+Schumann · · Score: 1

      A four-banger calculator from the Dollar Store, a shred of common sense, and a swift kick in the ass to get your lazy ass moving would go a long ways towards your seeing that you're NEVER getting off the hook from having a job and supporting yourself. TANSTAAFL: There Ain't No Such Thing As A Free Lunch. Deal with it.

    63. Re: Socialism on the march by Bartles · · Score: 1

      It's not just the socialized healthcare system, it's the entire socialized economy. I don't buy the argument that a lot of socialism is bad, but just enough (which happens to always be more than the current amount) is just right.

    64. Re:Socialism on the march by ooloorie · · Score: 1

      It doesn't make much sense to contribute to a plan that can't actually be implemented unless everyone has to contribute by law.The US will never have single payer healthcare for the same specious argument.

      The US already has a single payer health plan (Medicare/Medicaid), and everybody does contribute to it. The trouble is that although it spends more per capita than any European system, it only covers a third of the population with all that money.

      That is, the problem with the US healthcare system is that its single payer system is extremely inefficient, and the way to fix that is to make it efficient, not to force people to redirect even more money into its inefficient maw.

    65. Re:Socialism on the march by apoc.famine · · Score: 1

      There's a good chance that companies can pay less salary and give employees an overall higher take-home income with UBI. Provided we can pull back a little of that increased company income in taxes, we're giving the economy a big shot in the arm. If UBI is worth $8/hr and a business can reduce salaries by $6/hr, employees make more, the company makes more, and the profits on the company get taxed more. With the company making more they can hire more people or pay their employees more (again, dependent on sensible taxation) and if the employees are making more, they will likely spend more too.
       
      Add in the small business risk-taking that UBI would enable, and the prospect has me pretty excited. I'm getting more convinced that we need to become more socialist to become more capitalist, because you can't have a sustainable free market society if it means people are dying in the streets. Provide the social safety net and reduce the overhead of running a business, and that's an economic game-changer, I'm guessing.

      --
      Velociraptor = Distiraptor / Timeraptor
    66. Re:Socialism on the march by ooloorie · · Score: 1

      Thet's because too many private companies profit from it. Take those middlemen out and costs become much more modest.

      I'm sorry, but which "private companies" act as "middlemen" for Social Security? The US government collects the money and dispenses it again.

      As for "middlemen" in health care, great, let's take them out! Let's start with Medicare/Medicaid! If you cut costs to European levels in Medicare/Medicaid, then you can cover everybody out of the existing budgets.

      But that's not what "progressives" have been doing. Rather, they want to add the private health care spending to the public spending and then hand all that money to big pharmaceutical corporations and doctors, with no possibility of opting out at all. It's crony capitalism at its best.

    67. Re:Socialism on the march by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      I think most people are intelligent enough to understand that it's not "free money". People, especially in Europe, understand what benefits are. They understand the welfare state. They probably don't pay for their medical care already.

      UBI will work just fine as a replacement for other benefits. It's more efficient, but not necessarily fairer. That's the real problem with it - today someone might get a lot of money because they have severe disabilities, but with UBI they would get the same as everyone else.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    68. Re:Socialism on the march by blindseer · · Score: 1

      I believe that UBI can work but only if there are fail safe measures installed to prevent underfunding and overspending. One way to do this is create the UBI such that those that receive the UBI get a fraction of the UBI funds and not a set amount, or is at least capped at some level based on the funds available.

      Let's say that the government sets the poverty level, and therefore UBI, and $10,000/year. We don't want anyone in poverty and so we define poverty at some set level and set the UBI so that no one goes below that. Set income tax at progressively higher rates. It could be something like 0% for any income below $20,000, 5% for 60,000, 10% for 120,000, 20% for 240,000, and 30% for income above one million.

      If too many people aren't paying in to the UBI "bucket" then the UBI is automatically lowered. The argument is not only that the government is unable to fund this but also that if the value of the dollar, downturn in the economy, or whatever, are such that people are not making as much taxable income then everyone gets a little off the top of the UBI since the cost of living and/or standard of living is reduced that people can live on less money. If things are well then the UBI goes up to the specified cap. If the cap is determined to be too low for some reason then it should take a new law or regulation to increase it.

      If the money going out is more than what is going in then it will fail one way or another. If structured in a way that the outgoing money cannot be greater than the incoming then it can be sustainable. Since I have no confidence of people that are elected by the people receiving this UBI to keep this balance then I do not see it happening.

      A solution to that, which seems obvious to me, is that unless you are paying more taxes than you receive in benefits then you cannot vote.

      --
      I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
    69. Re:Socialism on the march by ooloorie · · Score: 1

      Competition cannot work for these services, because the people in need of those services cannot realistically price shop or choose to delay care until the cost is less.

      You're just saying that the demand for medical services is highly inelastic. That's actually debatable, but even if it were true, it has nothing to do with competition: if I need some important procedure, I'll still shop around among providers, and those providers will still want to compete for my business through lowering their prices.

      medical care is an essential service—something that in many cases people quite literally cannot live without

      And no matter how you slice it, all medical systems at some point make a cost/benefit tradeoff and let people die. Single payer systems will not pay a million bucks for a life-saving procedure on a sickly 80-year-old. Free market health care systems at least give individuals some control over those tradeoffs.

    70. Re: Socialism on the march by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 1

      I don't buy the argument that a lot of socialism is bad

      Maybe you should go visit Cuba.
      The healthcare is good, but the grocery stores are bare.
      Socialism can help in some areas, which are either natural monopolies (roads, sewers) or where transparency and price comparison is difficult (healthcare).
      Everything else should be open to free market competition.

      but just enough (which happens to always be more than the current amount) is just right.

      The best performing economies tend to have government spending of around 30-40% of GDP. Much below that and poor infrastructure is an impediment. Much above that, and innovation and incentive is stifled.

    71. Re:Socialism on the march by Rick+Schumann · · Score: 1

      Friend..
      The rich and corporations will weasel out of paying, and the people it's intended to help will end up footing the bill. So-called 'UBI' would FAIL.

    72. Re:Socialism on the march by mysidia · · Score: 1

      I'm sorry, but which "private companies" act as "middlemen" for Social Security? The US government collects the money and dispenses it again.

      Even worse than that: The US government (1) Collects the money, (2) "Invests" the Money in a Trust which the US government manages which then uses the money to buy Treasury bonds --- In other words, the government collects Social Security, and instead of investing the proceeds prudently in a well-diversified portfolio, Lends the money to itself at a Low fixed interest rate, trusting the government's own debt notes with 100% the value, (3) Dispenses it again - without interest --- you're basically more or less guaranteed to be paid less than what you put in.

      In essence, the Government itself is the middle-man, And a very non-competitively priced one. You'd be better off if you could pick your own middleman for buying Treasury Bonds, if indeed you believe the Treasury Notes are Risk-Free (They are not, but let's say they are.....).....

      You would have better results with no tax on that income just putting 7% per Year away more directly with no government administrative overhead.

    73. Re:Socialism on the march by mysidia · · Score: 1

      We see the milder form as well, and it's called Europe.

      Milder does not mean that it works or that it is sustainable or stable.
      That is like suggesting World War II would not have been necessary, if only the Germans' were
      a little less aggressive, and limited their genocide to a much milder number.
      Or a Milder form of slavery should never have collapsed, if only the physical brutality practiced and
      the inhuman conditions were just a little bit less severe......

      It just means that the carnage may take 50 years to play-out, instead of 30 years.

      The decline of the EU as a thing has already begun to become crystalized, with England voting to exit.

      London and various "single payer" healthcare systems are a nightmare, with people literally fleeing
      countries and seeking treatment in the US because of it; I fully expect within the next 10 years, there
      will be catastrophe involving one of these so called "Milder" forms, in Europe.

    74. Re:Socialism on the march by Archangel+Michael · · Score: 1

      I get free healthcare.

      It isn't free, someone (probably even you) pays for it. All you've done is add in a bunch of middleware making it more expensive, less effective. There are all sorts of models that work better, the problem with almost all of them is that it takes control away from do-good liberal governments and puts it back into the hands of the people. Health Care Cooperatives have all sorts of cost advantages. Mainly, they don't have to hire middleware agents to work with other middleware agents who have nothing to do with health care.

      --
      Agent K: A *person* is smart. People are dumb, stupid, panicky animals, and you know it.
    75. Re:Socialism on the march by Archangel+Michael · · Score: 1

      Please tell me, what happens when half (or more) of the population is on UBI and the other half is taxed to the point of quitting and going on UBI.

      If you say, "that will never happen" then you've found the problem with UBI. You've made a critical error in your assumption.

      --
      Agent K: A *person* is smart. People are dumb, stupid, panicky animals, and you know it.
    76. Re:Socialism on the march by Archangel+Michael · · Score: 1

      UBI is going to pay for basic accommodation, food and other necessities.

      Its called "welfare" and we have it now. Food Stamps, subsidized housing, and all the rest for "basic necessities". The biggest problem with UBI, is that it fails to make exactly what "basic accommodation" is. And if it were ever defined, it would change, upwards, because "it isn't fair" enough. (fair being subjective).

      The whole point of UBI is that it isn't "fair" to the people actually paying the bills.

      --
      Agent K: A *person* is smart. People are dumb, stupid, panicky animals, and you know it.
    77. Re:Socialism on the march by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      There's a good chance that companies can pay less salary and give employees an overall higher take-home income with UBI.

      Actually, that can't be done, and is a bad idea in flat concept. I've designed a type of UBI that reduces the cost:wage ratio; that's a thing, but reducing the actual wage isn't necessary or desirable.

      It can't be done because prices are kind of an end result of all other inputs. Those inputs include cost in labor-hours; market dynamics such as size, barrier to entry, distribution, and so forth; and price of wage. Doubling everyone's wage--not just the minimum wage, but all wages--would double prices, flatly, without affecting business operating profit margins in the long run. Essentially, you'd get 100% inflation, and settle with no change to the number of labor-hours correlated with the ability to buy a thing.

      Reducing wages thus will either be flat across all incomes and cause deflation (very, very bad), or it will reduce some wages but not other and thus make a certain class of people poorer relative to not reducing those wages.

      My Universal Social Security stabilizes certain markets, provides better reliability in achieving welfare goals than current welfare, and overall makes efficiency gains in the economy by leveling out disturbances rather than just income. Even in its initial transition phase, where it has to hold up Social Security Retirement Benefits (OASDI) for the next 15 years of new retirees, it immediately eliminates the 6.2% income tax on your paycheck and reduces the 6.2% payroll tax to 5.8%. As technical progress continues, the gap between the USS and OASDI narrows; and eventually, we stop taking new retirees (you should have savings--you know, from the USS you've been receiving, or else you're too poor for current OASDI to currently pay you retirement benefits and you're going to get them under the USS), while old ones die off. that 5.8% payroll tax thus shrinks away.

      That means, firstly, that you keep 6.2% more of your paycheck--your income goes up without increasing the cost to employers, thus there's no additional input to the price of goods. Second, your employer pays less additional taxes on your paycheck, so the cost to employers decreases--by 0.4% at first, and eventually by 6.2%. HI stays because medicare isn't going anywhere.

      So long as it's possible to expand production without hitting scarcity, the cost of producing more of any given good doesn't increase. Growth without scarcity means a bigger market, lower barriers-to-entry, and more competition, which puts downward pressure on net profit margins. At a point, producing more than a certain amount of a good per unit time costs more--for example, if you run out of good farm land and try to produce more food per year, you can farm on crappy farmland for lower yields and invest more labor, more wage, more costs, making more-expensive food. If you hit that point, prices go up.

      All of this should make it clear that we're really talking about shifting inefficiencies out of the economy. We're smoothing out the demand curve, reducing the cost of risks (and the labor that moves there now and then, as well as the baseline of standing labor that handles current risks), and moving that onto purchasing more consumer goods. That's why it's even possible to increase wealth in this way: it's just technology. We're making a way to invest less effort in keeping our economy running, which eliminates the need for some jobs, and gives us the purchasing power to buy things that demand other jobs.

      So yeah, the cost to employers falls as payroll taxes diminish, and the tax on your paycheck sort of goes away. Caveat, of course: I accounted for that 6.2% as part of the tax bracket you're in when I shifted the taxes around, and replaced it with a lower general income tax and a 17% USS tax. It's not so simple as all that. The increase in take-home income happens because the new tax level in total minus th

    78. Re:Socialism on the march by dgatwood · · Score: 1

      There's a good chance that companies can pay less salary and give employees an overall higher take-home income with UBI. Provided we can pull back a little of that increased company income in taxes, we're giving the economy a big shot in the arm. If UBI is worth $8/hr and a business can reduce salaries by $6/hr, employees make more, the company makes more, and the profits on the company get taxed more.

      I suspect that nobody is going to work a register at McDonald's for $2 an hour—particularly if 60 cents goes to taxes and 10 cents goes to paying for the drive over. There's a certain minimum threshold below which you'll make more money sitting on the street corner and asking for change.

      One possible solution would be to require employers to report the dates of employment as part of their W-2s or 1099s. Then reclaim the UBI as part of the income tax for weeks in which you were working. This would reduce the perception that employees were only really making $2 per hour at the expense of a small increase in overhead, but it would only work if the UBI were paid through the employer to offset that tax.

      Or we could just accept that a $6 UBI would likely result in an effective minimum wage of about $12 per hour. Either way. The resulting huge influx in resources among the working poor would likely introduce enough additional money into the economy to significantly reduce the cost of implementing a UBI.

      --

      Check out my sci-fi/humor trilogy at PatriotsBooks.

    79. Re:Socialism on the march by swillden · · Score: 1

      corporations will weasel out of paying

      Corporations don't pay taxes anyway. Never have, never will. Every dime you collect from a corporation gets shifted onto someone.

      Corporate taxes are just a sneaky way to tax individuals -- employees, customers and shareholders -- without making it obvious that's what's happening. This is bad in two ways. First, it's bad because taxpayers should know what they're paying. Second, it's bad because it means it's the corporations who decide where to shift their alleged tax burden to, and that is almost certainly not the same place that you'd like it to land.

      --
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    80. Re:Socialism on the march by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      It does not work like this, facepalm.
      Otherwise I would pay my own BI to myself.

      Of course it is bottom line payed via taxes, but the most money comes from all bureaucrats safed that otherwise are deciding if a help seeking citizen is eligble for that help or not.

      And keep in mind, in most european countries parents get money from the government anyway, first tow children 190 euro, 200 for the third and 220 from the forth on (in germany)

      If those kids(parents) simply get BI, the whole government branch looking over distributing that money simply can be closed.

      Then again if a single mother is living from social aid, right now she would be stupid to work for some extra money. Because that would be deducted from her social aid. If she receives BI, and can work for some extra 400Euro per month, or lets say 800Euro, then she would pay taxes, and contribute to the system. And against popular believe: a company hirering her likely makes more profit with her, than without her. Otherwise the job would not exist in the first place. Hence the company payes more taxes, too.

      Plenty of taxes are not payed because the companies and workforce can not come together to make that work that would lead to profit for all involved parties.

      In the end some taxes like VAT, tobacco or alcohol tax might be increased. But why should a non smoker care if the evil smoker has to pay more tobacco tax?

      --
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    81. Re:Socialism on the march by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      ... they're called North Korea, Venezuela, Stalin's Soviet Union, Mao Zedong's China. Over and over again, history has proven that Socialism is not a path to Utopia.... it is a path to failure and travesty.
      You seem to pretty uneducated.

      In all thise nations the tyranny came first, then the political/social/market system.

      And franky if I have to chose if I have to live in a socialist tyrrany or a more capitalist one (Spain, German, Italy) I probably would prefer the socialist one.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    82. Re:Socialism on the march by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      It's notable that a UBI can only actually pay income out of production, and thus is only sustainable as a fraction of GDP-per-capita. My USS takes this out to its direct conclusion by cutting welfare out of the progressive tax system and applying an additional flat tax as a funding source (i.e. bracket-plus-17%).

      Basically, all money represents everything produced and sold. If you produce 100 cars and sell 50 of them, you've invested labor sufficient to produce 100 cars in the production of 50 cars. You don't have 50 cars; you have 50 car-shaped objects that nobody is going to use. You can do it and make a profitable business out of it; cars are going to cost twice as much as they need to. When the next competitor starts making an appropriate number of cars to meet market demand, he's going to sell them for half as much. He'll employ half the labor force per car that you do; as he eats into your market, there will be a net-change in number of unemployed equivalent to the full size of his direct labor force (that is: if he employs 100 people, you're going to have to scale back production enough to lay off 200 people).

      In practice, the guy making twice the cars in demand goes away. He doesn't exist, anyway. Instead, you have businesses working as efficiently as possible, using the least labor they can so as to pay the least amount of total wages. More jobs appear as more shit is bought.

      So there's this:

      choosing to wait several years while they partied (though I suppose they might have to work part-time to pay for the parties). That, in turn, would significantly raise the relative cost of the UBI.

      If these people are a significantly-small portion of the unemployment base, then they don't actually affect productivity. Basically, somebody was going to be hired anyway; because we have 5.2% unemployment (U3) and not 0.2%, it was relatively-easy to hire somebody; that somebody was somebody else because the usual somebody was busy partying.

      If they're taking part-time jobs along the way, their marginal impact is reduced by the same mechanism: more job-seekers doesn't mean more jobs; more buyers means more jobs. If people keep coming into McDonalds to buy hamburgers, McDonalds needs to hire enough people to make that many hamburgers; if the register operators can't take the orders fast enough and the sandwich makers can't build them quickly enough, they need to hire more people. If their building is at-capacity, they need to put another McDonalds down the street.

      Likewise, if they do have an impact by idling, they'll decrease the labor force participation rate (which is currently high relative to a long-stable 58%-59% up to ~1960, and relative to other developed countries) rather than increase U3 or U4 (they're not interested in working and thus not discouraged workers). Their purchasing habits will cause a decrease in U3 and U4. Relative to if they did work, the amount of income available to take for the UBI will decrease, and the purchasing power of a UBI will shrink. This poverty will make it harder to just party, and they'll need jobs.

      So it could happen, and it could happen without carrying any sort of cost at all. If it goes out too far, it will become less-attractive of a life decision. Nobody with any understanding of finances will want to delay their entry to the workforce all that much, either.

    83. Re:Socialism on the march by mjwx · · Score: 1

      They've found a warm welcome. In a March survey, 68% of Europeans said they would vote yes in a basic-income referendum, up from 64% last year.

      I suppose, it depends on how the question is phrased:

      Would you like to be given money even if you do not work? Hell yah! Would you like to pay higher taxes so that some of it will be given to others even if they do not work? Hell no!

      Once again, you've only demonstrated that you don't understand what UBI is.

      Universal Basic Income is granted to every citizen of working age regardless of whether they're working or not. Salaries earned are on top of UBI. You're thinking of UBI in terms of American social security programmes, you need to break that kind of thinking. UBI is meant to replace almost all assistance programs, Also, as you're going to receive UBI if you work, you wont really be paying more tax as you receive the UBI portion tax free.

      As we automate more and more jobs, I cant see the developed world staying developed without something pretty much exactly like UBI. The alternative is to keep a large, unemployable population in poverty. At that point, subsistence farms will revert us into developing nations.Of course this kind of rich lording it over the poor is a RWNJ's wet dream.

      --
      Calling someone a "hater" only means you can not rationally rebut their argument.
    84. Re:Socialism on the march by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      And no matter how you slice it, all medical systems at some point make a cost/benefit tradeoff and let people die.
      In the US? No idea.
      In Europe? Most certainly not. The health care system covers everything, if you are 'healthy enough' and the organ is availbale and you are on top of the waiting list, you get it. There is no 'cost benefit analyzis'.
      A 62 year old retiree, who will never work again in his life, but is healthy enough that a doctor gives him easy +20 or +30 of livespan gets evert fucking treatment available for him, and righfull so.
      Of course a 99 year old might not get a heart transplant anymore, because he likely would not survive the operation, not because of costs.

      Why don't you simply infom yourself how healthcare in Europe works, or developing nations like Thailand, or other asian countries? Can't be so hard ... Idiocy and Prejudices.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    85. Re:Socialism on the march by mjwx · · Score: 1

      Because you don't care to pay on your own — you wish to force others to do it...

      You're projecting here.

      I want everyone to pay their fair share. Myself included. I pay my taxes because taxes buy civilisation.

      Taxes pay for roads. Taxes pay for fire, police and other emergency services. Taxes pay for health care (UK resident here, the NHS costs half as much as American health care) and yes, it also pays for welfare.

      I dont mind that my taxes pay for welfare, even though I'm not eligible to claim any for another 4 years. Welfare at the very least keeps the unemployable out of petty crime. So they're siting at home eating ALDI pies and watching daytime television instead of breaking into my home and stealing my television. Welfare bludgers are a very small number of people, but if a quarter of them went out stealing for money, it would increase petty crime significantly. Not because they're so numerous, but because here in the UK it's pretty safe in most places. If I accidentally leave my car unlocked at the local Tesco (as I have done once or twice before) then I'm confident I will come back and still have my laptop in the boot.

      I know you're thinking "well durn it, why dontcha just lock up alla da durn theifs". Well there is a simple economic argument for that. It costs £65,000 per prisoner per year. Minimum wage is less than £15,000 per year, welfare is less than that. If we paid them a minimum wage just to keep them out of prison, we're saving money as well as not introducing them to the kind of people we need to keep out of society.

      --
      Calling someone a "hater" only means you can not rationally rebut their argument.
    86. Re:Socialism on the march by johanw · · Score: 1

      Because the government can do things insurance companies cant, like regulating the costs. Or buying only from suppliers who will sell for a certain price, if you want to go somewhere else you may pay the extra costs yourself.

    87. Re:Socialism on the march by apoc.famine · · Score: 1

      I suspect that nobody is going to work a register at McDonald's for $2 an hour...

      I absolutely agree, although it has nothing to do with UBI. Cashier jobs are going away pretty darn rapidly. Those are prime jobs for automation. Most jobs that require little skill and which are incredibly repetitive are going away. It's cheaper to have a machine do them, even if it requires re-architecturing your business to do it.
       
      This is why we're talking about UBI in the first place. How do we ensure, in a time of plenty and in a time where we have food security, that everyone is fed and housed?
       
      The jobs that will get $6/hour knocked off them are the ones where someone's passion would make up for that money. Artisan baker, bartender, chef, tailor, gardener, mechanic. Jobs that someone would be doing anyway, even if they didn't get paid to do it. The flip side to this is that are likely jobs that will get far more expensive if people don't need to do them to put food on the table. Garbage collector, plumber, sewage treatment worker, etc., if those can't be automated.
       
      If you knock $6/hr off my salary but UBI is worth about $8/hr, I'm not going to be sad at all. An extra $2/hr is a nice little bonus, even if $1 goes towards taxes. And if my business just saved $6/hr on me and everyone else , for every 4-6 of us they can hire another person. Or they can knock less off our salary and give us more. Or they can reinvest in the business. What we need to do to make this work, however, is to ensure that that money actually goes back into the economy, and doesn't just get pooled in the bosses' bank accounts and investment funds.

      --
      Velociraptor = Distiraptor / Timeraptor
    88. Re:Socialism on the march by Archangel+Michael · · Score: 1

      You are mistaking communism for socialism.

      Right, it is "socialism" before the collapse, and afterwards it was never socialism, it was "communism". That way, socialism is always successful, and communism always fails.

      --
      Agent K: A *person* is smart. People are dumb, stupid, panicky animals, and you know it.
    89. Re: Socialism on the march by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Cuba has one of the best health care systems in the world.
      They are the biggest contributor of nurses, doctors, medicals and transportation for other developing countries in the world giving cost free medical aid world wide! Establishing medical schools and universities. You, are damn idiot.

      Yeah, the USA might spend more DOLLARS in medical aid in places that need it. However it dwarfs the amount of people treated by several orders of magnitute.

      Then again, Cuba had a low economy, why?
      Because Gods own Country kept them under trade embargoes and tried to force every one else in the world to honour those trade embargos, too.
      https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wik...
      Scroll to: Easing the embargo.
      The first ship sailing there in 2014 from the USA, brought ... (facepalm)

      Did I mention that you are a damn idiot? How many miles away do you live from Cuba that you know nothing about your neighbour country?

      Scroll down to: "Cuba and international healthcare"
      https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wik... "Cuba provides more medical personnel to the developing world than all the G8 countries combined."

      If stupidity would cause pain, you would never awake from your coma again.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    90. Re:Socialism on the march by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Please tell me, what happens when half (or more) of the population is on UBI and the other half is taxed to the point of quitting and going on UBI.

      Let's try this again.

      At $50,000 of gross income, a 1-adult household takes home $40,106 today, and $46,671 under the Universal Social Security. A 2-adult, married household takes home $42,128 today, and $55,100 under the Universal Social Security.

      At $200,000 of gross income, a 1-adult household takes home $144,620 today, and $145,626 under the Universal Social Security. A 2-adult, married household takes home $147,865 today, and $155,223 under the Universal Social Security.

      At $25,000,000 of gross income, a 1-adult household takes home $15,138,261 today, and $15,134,880 (-$3,381; this is static after about $500k) under the Universal Social Security. A 2-adult, married household takes home $15,143,343 today, and $15,143,865 (+$522) under the Universal Social Security.

      Are you suggesting single filers making over $200k will quit and live on the UBI because of a 0.67% peak increase in total income taxes (something I could buff out easily enough, but I got tired of tweaking the brackets); that single filers making $1M will quit because of a 0.34% increase in total taxes paid; that single filers making $25 million in total compensation will quit because of a 0.014% increase in total income taxes; or that married households making over $500k will quit because they only get about $500 of additional spending money per year?

      Please specify.

    91. Re:Socialism on the march by WhiplashII · · Score: 1

      An $8/hr UBI for the US would cost $5 trillion dollars. Current total US government spending is $4 trillion.

      So you are talking about at least doubling taxes. And saying that will be good for the economy in some way?

      --
      while (sig==sig) sig=!sig;
    92. Re:Socialism on the march by WhiplashII · · Score: 1

      A UBI of $1000/ month would cost the US $3.6 trillion dollars. That is about the same as total current government spending in the US.

      So you want to double taxes. And you don't think that will have any consequences?

      --
      while (sig==sig) sig=!sig;
    93. Re:Socialism on the march by dgatwood · · Score: 1

      I absolutely agree, although it has nothing to do with UBI. Cashier jobs are going away pretty darn rapidly. Those are prime jobs for automation. Most jobs that require little skill and which are incredibly repetitive are going away. It's cheaper to have a machine do them, even if it requires re-architecturing your business to do it.

      Eventually, yes, but those jobs won't go away tomorrow. I meant in the short term, during which time society needs those folks to continue working so that we'll still have food. And we need to strongly encourage them to save up that money so that they can use it to get additional college education and/or vocational training after those jobs go away.

      What we need to do to make this work, however, is to ensure that that money actually goes back into the economy, and doesn't just get pooled in the bosses' bank accounts and investment funds.

      That's the hard part. You could maybe make it so that the businesses pay a significant percentage of the amount of money they saved back into the UBI fund, but that would reduce the economic benefit. Or you could tax personal capital gains as ordinary income above a certain threshold. Or you could take the Republican approach and just borrow the money and print more, thus devaluing the dollar and effectively taxing everyone proportional to their wealth. (This is, of course, the great irony of our political system; the wealthy tend to vote Republican because they believe they are getting taxed less, when in reality they are probably getting taxed more, or at least a similar amount.)

      --

      Check out my sci-fi/humor trilogy at PatriotsBooks.

    94. Re:Socialism on the march by Anonymous+Cow+Ward · · Score: 1

      Yeah, that's why charities never get anything done!

      --
      Examine even your most deeply held beliefs. Nobody is always right.
    95. Re:Socialism on the march by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Greece never was socialist ...
      No idea why people repeat that myth in this thread over and over again.
      Greece is a country of tricksters since Homer's times.
      Until the collapse every family had two or more old uncles receiving pension that were long dead ... that is not socialism, that is fraud.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    96. Re:Socialism on the march by WrongMonkey · · Score: 1

      Its called "welfare" and we have it now.

      No, we don't have anything like that. At least not in the US.

    97. Re:Socialism on the march by losfromla · · Score: 1

      We as a country should take up arms against the government, Or the tyranny majority who would try to impose single-payer healthcare and high taxation (relative to historic pre-War US tax percentages) on us.

      I'm out. I don't believe in your cause and in a jobless future (due to automation both electronic and physical) there is no option other than UBI. So you and your idiot visionless friends can go on your righteous rampage, I'm no puritan and I'd much rather stay home and tend to my vegetable garden than fight for the right to be a slave to the wealthy.

      --
      Only I can judge you.
    98. Re:Socialism on the march by Anonymous+Cow+Ward · · Score: 1

      The best single change the US could make right now would be to let Medicare and Medicaid negotiate with drug companies over prices, like the single payer systems in Europe can. Until that happens, very little will change healthcare costs in America.

      --
      Examine even your most deeply held beliefs. Nobody is always right.
    99. Re:Socialism on the march by losfromla · · Score: 1

      Roughly 0.01% per year of the EU population emigrates to the US each year. At that rate, they'll all be here in about 1000 years, they're practically tearing down our border! Someone tell dRumpF quick!

      http://bruegel.org/2015/09/eu-...

      --
      Only I can judge you.
    100. Re:Socialism on the march by Anonymous+Cow+Ward · · Score: 1

      Saying Cuba has a lower infant mortality rate than America is misleading. America and Cuba use different standards for determining what counts as a live birth. America's is more strict - essentially, if it comes out and can breathe, it's a live birth. Cuba - and most of Western Europe - automatically count births younger than a certain age (varies a bit by country) or under a certain weight as stillborn unless they actually survive.

      --
      Examine even your most deeply held beliefs. Nobody is always right.
    101. Re:Socialism on the march by losfromla · · Score: 1

      You're all gonna end up like Greece. Have fun.

      You mean economically destroyed by the IMF?

      --
      Only I can judge you.
    102. Re: Socialism on the march by Areyoukiddingme · · Score: 1

      Blaming the poor economic situation in Cuba on their socialized healthcare system is a bit silly. The continued cause of their poor economy is more likely rooted in the trade embargo that the USA instituted more than half a century ago.

      And the fact they're a tiny little island with diddly squat for natural resources that gets hit by hurricanes all the time...

      Let's face it, tiny little islands in warm seas are good for tourism or as a tax haven or for Larry Ellison to buy, and not much else. And yeah, the embargo eliminated all of those options.

    103. Re:Socialism on the march by losfromla · · Score: 1

      I agree with your points on how a profit motive in health care is incompatible with the reality of health care's necessity and urgency at times.

      Regarding SS and when it should kick in:

      So, we should be wage slaves for the predominance of our lives?

      How can we have increased wage contributions in a world where workers are no longer needed? I'm referring here to automation, which definitely is going to take a large proportion of jobs in the not too distant future (50 years say).

      --
      Only I can judge you.
    104. Re:Socialism on the march by losfromla · · Score: 1

      Stop it! Stop it! You are destroying the straw-man! We can't have that! This is 'murica! We're #1! We're #1! We're #1! we are, right?....

      --
      Only I can judge you.
    105. Re:Socialism on the march by goose-incarnated · · Score: 1

      For example, I'd probably not have gotten a job after graduating

      Why? Do you want to live in a 224sqft apartment, scraping together the cost of food on a strict budget, with minimal amenities and little spending money available ever?

      In that case, I'd change my vote from "against UBI" to "For UBI". You see, to people today who already have decent house, cars, boat and other property, we'd use UBI to simply stop working. We, some of the most experienced and skilled workers, already have all the materialistic shit a person could want.

      So, yeah, the kids leaving school who do not want to work will live in the shared apartment with no privacy. OTOH, I will get the same income as they do and live much better. Besides, I already have property that they will rent from me, so I'd be getting both their UBI (partial) as well as my UBI.

      I do not think that this was well-thought out - what will happen in this scheme is a sudden gap in the employment market that young folk can't fill and us older folk won't because we don't have to work anymore.

      --
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    106. Re:Socialism on the march by losfromla · · Score: 1

      Our whole health care system spends more per-capita than any other country. I'm pretty sure that Medicare/Medicaid alone doesn't do that. Have you any backing for your claim?

      --
      Only I can judge you.
    107. Re:Socialism on the march by Rick+Schumann · · Score: 1

      Correct.
      Also remember that offshoring is a real thing, and it's been done for a long time now by corporations. They'd just bring the practice to a new level in response to more taxation. The richest people also hide their money in offshore banks that cater specifically to them, in order to evade taxation. They'd also step that practice up. Add to those the fact that the rich and corporations have legislators in their pocket, and you have all the loopholes they need to avoid paying for any of this. Now remember that pretty much any government operates at a deficit to start with. Proponents of so-called 'UBI' claim that defunding a whole slew of federal aid programs would create enough cash to pay the trillions per year that it would cost to give a 5-digit handout to every citizen annually. I maintain that they are all bad at basic math and the only 'handout' they should receive is a four-banger calculator from the local Dollar Store, so they can work the simple equation themselves and see that it's just not feasible; it would bankrupt the U.S. almost immediately. What's even more sadly humorous is some of them have actually said "just print more money". :-(

    108. Re:Socialism on the march by apoc.famine · · Score: 1

      Around here, we have a $1B shortfall in our road fund, and they need many times that much maintenance. However our R-run state refuses to raise the gas tax. The very tax that is there to pay for the roads. Half the population cheers this, while simultaneously complaining about how terrible the roads are, with a measurable uptick in repairs for tires and suspensions. Because $2k in suspension work is a personal expense, while $0.10 higher gas prices are government overreach and an affront to society.
       
      But it looks like we'll just borrow the cash anyway, because in another 4-8 years the Dems will sweep in to raise taxes to fix the problem, and then immediately get voted out for raising taxes.

      --
      Velociraptor = Distiraptor / Timeraptor
    109. Re:Socialism on the march by losfromla · · Score: 1

      I was going to go to a different link but I figured you deserve to be hoist by your own petard since you are an idiot and an inhumane dickhead. So, from your 2015 link: the Defense Department accounts for 50.5% of discretionary spending, discretionary spending is $1.06 trillion, where mandatory spending is $2.29 trillion. Thus doing a little bit of maths, lets us know that 1.06/2.29 * 50.5 = percent of budget that can be added to that consumed by the military. That number being 23.37.

      So, by your numbers and link alone, we're throwing 39% of our budget into the military. That would be a reasonable budget in the middle of a protracted war but, that is our fucking peace-time budget! I'm willing to be corrected, just point out what I didn't account for please.

      I say let's keep the 16% but take the other amount and give up for education, health care, and UBI. That would make 'murica! great again, I think.

      --
      Only I can judge you.
    110. Re:Socialism on the march by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      If you would look at what you just wrote, amd read it three or four times, and comprehend what you just wrote: then you would realize that most of the world is more strict than the USA.

      Anyway, to your favour, I assume your statement is wrong anyway, that USA definition would be a retarded definition.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    111. Re:Socialism on the march by losfromla · · Score: 1

      I am not going to go work for $2/hr if I am getting $6/hr for staying home. $6/hr is my base of reference, I won't work for any less than $12/hr because that is what my time is worth. If I need some extra cash, I'll do some side jobs but nothing that takes my UBI share away for less than $12/hr because that would be stupid.

      --
      Only I can judge you.
    112. Re:Socialism on the march by losfromla · · Score: 1

      It can't be worse than the trickle-down economics fantasy that the retard Reagan destroyed our economic base with.

      --
      Only I can judge you.
    113. Re:Socialism on the march by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      There are no middle men in european health care.
      In skandinavian countries you are covered automatically, I doubt they even have traditional health insurrances.

      In most other european countries you have health insurrance companies and have (limited) options to pick.

      You americans are simply completely retarded when the question comes how to organize a society for the better good of all of the citizens.

      I suggest to read a damn book and figure which nations invented universal health care in history (not asking first, as we probably don't know who had it first)

      Most ancient cultures had universal health care, and no, that is not a youtube conspiracy channel knowledge ... (Hint: the old Khmer kingdoms, Egypt under the Pharaos, China till roughly 1700 CE etc. )

      I'm so damn tired that the world is held hostage buy a bunch of idiots who happen to have more carries than the rest of the world combined.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    114. Re: Socialism on the march by Cipheron · · Score: 1

      I don't buy the argument that a lot of *water* is bad, but just enough (which happens to always be more than the current amount) is just right.

    115. Re:Socialism on the march by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      UBI ... Its called "welfare" and we have it now.

      Which part of the U did you not grasp yet?

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    116. Re: Socialism on the march by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      The key flaw of socialism remains: Excessive concentration of power. Nobody has found a fix yet.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    117. Re:Socialism on the march by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      Tomato TomAto...

      Fraud is built into all human societies. If your system can't cope, throw the system out, it's broken and can't be fixed.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    118. Re:Socialism on the march by Rick+Schumann · · Score: 1

      As I propose it the UBI fund would only pay out if there are funds to pay out.

      Then it's not 'Universal' anymore, now is it? If people can't count on it then what would be the point? You're living in a fantasy world.

    119. Re:Socialism on the march by skam240 · · Score: 1

      So taxes = bad, huh? So you're an anarchist then? No? So then you do believe taxation is acceptable and the real debate is over how much should be taxed and what the money should be spent on.

      Basically, you're full of crap when you complain about other people wanting others to be forced to pay tax because unless you're an anarchist, you believe the exact same thing.

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    120. Re:Socialism on the march by skam240 · · Score: 1

      So because the USSR did it, it has to be bad? The also had schools and streets and trees. Are those bad too?

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    121. Re: Socialism on the march by skam240 · · Score: 1

      Oh, a third world country has a shitty economy. How shocking!

      The point is that they have an amazing healthcare system inspite of this. Sure, their other economic and government policies might suck but their healthcare system is really amazingly impressive for a country so poor.

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    122. Re:Socialism on the march by skam240 · · Score: 1

      You're full of crap when you complain about other people wanting others to be forced to pay tax because unless you're an anarchist, you believe the exact same thing.

      The proper debate then is how much is reasonable and what the money should be spent on. You're "you're evil because you want taxes" is garbage because you want taxes too and there are quite likely people who dont like some of the stuff you want taxes for

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    123. Re:Socialism on the march by skam240 · · Score: 1

      The flaw in your arguement is that the people working will have to be taxed so harshly. If half or more of the population is on UBI then that likely means much of the wealth, goods, service etc. is being generated autonomously by ai/robots.

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    124. Re:Socialism on the march by blindseer · · Score: 1

      As I propose it the UBI fund would only pay out if there are funds to pay out.

      Then it's not 'Universal' anymore, now is it? If people can't count on it then what would be the point? You're living in a fantasy world.

      Of course it's universal, everyone gets the same pay out. It's just the pay out equals zero dollars if no one is making money.

      If no one is paying in then no one is working. Creating money out of thin air to pay out won't change that. We can say that everyone gets a million dollars but that does not mean it's worth anything. If the government just prints money to make up for the shortfall then the value of the dollar, like any other commodity, adjusts through market forces.

      Claiming that money has inherent value is a fantasy. This fantasy is why UBI will fail unless there is a cap on the payout. This fantasy that the value of money does not change is why, for example, minimum wages are a failure. If people get money for nothing then it loses value.

      At least with what I propose, that the UBI payout is based on available funds, the effect on the value of a dollar is capped. People that can work will not be able to just stop working and live off the UBI since as more and more people remove themselves from the working pool the payout diminishes. There will be an incentive to work and therefore contribute to the UBI fund through taxes. Those taxes don't have to be income taxes, and in fact it would be best if they weren't since even those living on the UBI will be contributing back to the UBI from buying stuff, paying rent, or whatever.

      As I propose it people can rely on the UBI as long as there is an economy to support it. Having a UBI that does not adjust with the ability of the economy to carry it means it cannot be relied upon at all, since it will in time kill the economy or the currency, or quite possibly both.

      --
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    125. Re:Socialism on the march by Anonymous+Cow+Ward · · Score: 1

      The US uses the World Health Organization (WHO) definition, unlike Germany and most of Western Europe, which use a less strict definition. Most other countries discount births that are not viable because they're too underweight or too early, while the US (for once) follows international guidelines. This means the US over-represents infant mortality and many other countries, including Cuba, under-represent it.

      --
      Examine even your most deeply held beliefs. Nobody is always right.
    126. Re:Socialism on the march by ooloorie · · Score: 1

      The best single change the US could make right now would be to let Medicare and Medicaid negotiate with drug companies over prices, like the single payer systems in Europe can. Until that happens, very little will change healthcare costs in America.

      That would be one good change. Another good change would be to give individuals the same tax breaks for insurance as employers.

      Note how Obama's ACA does neither of those. Instead, Obama's ACA tries to lock people into overpriced health care plans with effectively no ability to negotiate.

    127. Re: Socialism on the march by Bartles · · Score: 1

      Cuba has one of the best health care systems in the world.

      According to whom?

    128. Re: Socialism on the march by Bartles · · Score: 1

      The point is that they have an amazing healthcare system inspite of this.

      According to whom>

    129. Re: Socialism on the march by Bartles · · Score: 1

      The healthcare is good

      According to whom?

      but the grocery stores are bare.

      Why are the grocery stores bare?

    130. Re: Socialism on the march by Bartles · · Score: 1

      Well, certainly a little bit of socialism in our health insurance system has not made anything less expensive. Nor has it had a benefit in our education system. It seems the more we try to subsidize to make things affordable, the more expensive they get. Socialism is not water.

    131. Re:Socialism on the march by ooloorie · · Score: 1

      Why don't you simply infom yourself how healthcare in Europe works

      I know exactly how healthcare works in Europe, having been covered by it for a large part of my life. You obviously harbor numerous delusions about it.

    132. Re:Socialism on the march by ooloorie · · Score: 1

      Medicare/Medicaid spending was about $1191 billion in 2015.

      https://www.cms.gov/research-s...

      The US population was 322 million in 2015, or about 302 million citizens.

      https://www.census.gov/popcloc...

      That comes to $3698 / person / year or about $3977 / citizen / year. That's comparable to the total per capita public health care spending in France, Japan, Iceland, the UK, Finland, New Zealand, Italy, Spain, Israel, etc. The following is total per capita spending (public+private) in those countries:

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

    133. Re: Socialism on the march by Trailer+Trash · · Score: 1

      Blaming the poor economic situation in Cuba on their socialized healthcare system is a bit silly. The continued cause of their poor economy is more likely rooted in the trade embargo that the USA instituted more than half a century ago.

      Right! It has *nothing* to do with the Castros wrecking the economy. I'm sure there's some similar reason that Venezuela is circling the drain about now.

    134. Re: Socialism on the march by skam240 · · Score: 1

      How does WHO do for a source (basically the authorities on the subject)?

      https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wik...

      Their scores in most catagories are pretty good when you compare to how the US does and they spend waaaayyyy less money (that's shown here too).

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    135. Re: Socialism on the march by Bartles · · Score: 1

      Where does WHO get their Cuban data from?

    136. Re:Socialism on the march by serviscope_minor · · Score: 1

      Why on earth would I give money to the irs? I don't even live in America.

      --
      SJW n. One who posts facts.
    137. Re:Socialism on the march by Anonymous+Cow+Ward · · Score: 1

      Yeah, that would definitely also help. Any new plan would ideally include both of those changes, because they would make sense.

      Of course, that means it won't happen, because politicians don't do things that make sense.

      --
      Examine even your most deeply held beliefs. Nobody is always right.
    138. Re: Socialism on the march by skam240 · · Score: 1

      No idea, why dont you check?

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    139. Re:Socialism on the march by lowkeyknight · · Score: 1

      More expensive? have you looked at the numbers? http://visual.ons.gov.uk/how-d...

    140. Re:Socialism on the march by lowkeyknight · · Score: 1

      Communism doesn't work because people are always after more and will game the system to get it, placing artificial limits on what people get is therefore flawed and counter productive UBI doesn't work because people are inherently lazy and will be satisfied with the minimum they are given. Of course some people will be lazy, or ill, or take a gap year, or sit around getting stoned. People already do that and get free money for it. the purpose of UBI is not to eliminate that, but to eliminate the cost of the bureaucracy governing it and to provide a chance at self improvement for those that otherwise do not have one. UBI MIGHT (emphasis because this is all still theoretical) work, because it walks a line. It takes the benefits from a socialist model (ensured food, housing minimum living standard for all) and plugs it in to the existing capitalist model. You get enough to survive, to thrive, you have to work. To be able to retire and enjoy it, you have to build up a nest egg through your life. I don't say it would work, I do think it's an interesting idea and should be tested.

    141. Re:Socialism on the march by lowkeyknight · · Score: 1

      Saying it don't make it so.

    142. Re:Socialism on the march by lowkeyknight · · Score: 1

      But the point of UBI is that everyone is on it. Everyone gets it. The harsh fact is, automation and AI reduces the need for humans to do meaningful work every day. A society that doesn't want to collapse in the face of that needs to consider what life in the increasingly near future looks like. I'm not suggesting we are going to live in a star trek money-less society or a Banksian post-scarcity utopia as a result of UBI, I do think that it has the potential to solve an awful lot of problems we know are coming. There will always be scroungers, people who sit around and do nothing. but how many people do you actually know who would do that under UBI? how many would actually do sod all? I bet only a handful. Most people want to do SOMETHING meaningful with their lives. The point is to give them the chance. On UBI, we get a flexable workforce, because we don't have to worry about people surviving while they are in education, retraining for wherever the jobs turn out to be.

    143. Re:Socialism on the march by Kartu · · Score: 1

      In EU (especially countries mentioned in the article) people are not hostile towards socialism.
      Also, this initiative doesn't necessarily lead to significantly increased taxes, while formally you'll pay taxes, you'll also get the basic income to even most of it out.

    144. Re:Socialism on the march by Gussington · · Score: 1

      They've found a warm welcome. In a March survey, 68% of Europeans said they would vote yes in a basic-income referendum, up from 64% last year.

      I suppose, it depends on how the question is phrased:

      Would you like to be given money even if you do not work? Hell yah! Would you like to pay higher taxes so that some of it will be given to others even if they do not work? Hell no!

      Or it depends on the type of person you are. I happily pay higher taxes so the most needy don't have to live on the streets. So I already answer yes to both questions.

    145. Re:Socialism on the march by Gussington · · Score: 1

      ... or any number of countries that have tried, and failed at socialism. It always fail, eventually.

      In the black and white universe both extreme capitalism (the law of the jungle) and extreme socialism (communism) fail. The path to success is finding an appropriate balance.
      If we compare quality of life across countries, the top ones seem to be slightly more socialist than the US. So if your benchmark is winning, you need to change the current formula...

    146. Re:Socialism on the march by TheRaven64 · · Score: 1

      I absolutely agree, although it has nothing to do with UBI

      Yes it does, because UBI removes the big incentive for a load of minimum-wage jobs: you need one to survive. There are a lot of jobs that are poorly paid that no one actually wants to do, but they have to because they need some kind of job. UBI would push the price of these jobs up and provide a much greater incentive to automate them.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    147. Re:Socialism on the march by TheRaven64 · · Score: 1

      Because, plain and simple, of course everyone wants free money!

      Under most costed UBI proposals I've seen, I'd be slightly worse off. I'm still in favour of it.

      Simply doing the math will show you that so-caled 'UBI' is not feasible on a large scale

      Citation please, because last time I 'did the math', assuming UBI at the level of the current tax-free earnings allowance, the overall tax rate for people earning at my level would go up by about 2-3%, but that's hardly going to bankrupt me or remove my incentive to work. The top tax brackets would go up more, but still would not come close to the highest that we've had in my parents' lifetimes.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    148. Re: Socialism on the march by KozmoStevnNaut · · Score: 2

      That is not a flaw of socialism, it's a flaw of human nature. And very clearly seen in capitalism as well, for that matter.

      --
      Eat the rich.
    149. Re:Socialism on the march by KozmoStevnNaut · · Score: 1

      In that case, I'd change my vote from "against UBI" to "For UBI". You see, to people today who already have decent house, cars, boat and other property, we'd use UBI to simply stop working. We, some of the most experienced and skilled workers, already have all the materialistic shit a person could want.

      A reasonably-sized property tax will take care of that little "loophole". Want to keep owning expensive shit? Make an effort.

      --
      Eat the rich.
    150. Re:Socialism on the march by KozmoStevnNaut · · Score: 1

      The working citizen in those countries is the equivalent of a modern slave, enjoying 50%+ income tax, excessive sales tax/VAT and countless other artificial taxes, keeping them from any sense of achievement or happiness.

      I live in one of the highest-tax rate countries in the world, and my income tax is 36%, and you have to calculate in deductions for interest on loans and deductions for union membership fees, so the effective tax rate is actually lower. I have no idea where you get 50% from, but it is an outright lie.

      The only people who pay the marginal tax rate are people who make a hell of a lot more than I do, and they only pay that rate on income above a certain level. No one here pays even close to 50%, not even the 0.1%.

      --
      Eat the rich.
    151. Re:Socialism on the march by KozmoStevnNaut · · Score: 1

      As for taxes over 50% there are countries with tax rates over 50% -- most of the Scandinavian countries, for example. They have very high-levels of employment, in addition to some things that other countries are missing, such as functioning universal health care.

      No, the tax rate is not over 50%, my personal tax rate is 36% and you have to factor in deductions to get the real tax rate.

      The only tax rate that is over 50% is the marginal tax on very high incomes, and that is only applied to income over a (rather high) amount. Nobody pays even near 50%, and I would be surprised if anyone actually paid more than 40%.

      --
      Eat the rich.
    152. Re:Socialism on the march by KozmoStevnNaut · · Score: 1

      You need to break out of the "my job is my identity" mentality.

      Work to live, don't live to work.

      --
      Eat the rich.
    153. Re:Socialism on the march by Maritz · · Score: 1

      You can already do that — no need for new laws. US Department of Treasury accepts private donations — have you ever used that option? I don't think so... Because you don't care to pay on your own — you wish to force others to do it...

      You can already do what? What are you replying to? What the fuck are you on about?

      --
      I do not want your cheap brainburning drugs. They are useless for work. And I am a working man today.
    154. Re:Socialism on the march by Maritz · · Score: 1

      No, their feet don't say otherwise. I've had plenty of opportunities to go there through work. No fucking thanks.

      --
      I do not want your cheap brainburning drugs. They are useless for work. And I am a working man today.
    155. Re:Socialism on the march by Maritz · · Score: 1

      That is like suggesting World War II would not have been necessary, if only the Germans' were a little less aggressive, and limited their genocide to a much milder number.

      It's only like that if you're incapable of thinking properly.

      --
      I do not want your cheap brainburning drugs. They are useless for work. And I am a working man today.
    156. Re:Socialism on the march by MooseMiester · · Score: 1

      It's a great idea - in theory. But the problem is that no one has ever designed a tax - except a flat tax - that doesn't end up having multiple ways for favored constituents (e.g. bribes, also knows as kickbacks to the people who contributed to my campaign, PAC, super PAC, charitable foundation, or paid for my insanely overpriced speech). Of course only the rich can get away with this. So at the end of the day it's us poor slobs in the middle class who get squeezed, where as the people writing the tax law get richer, the people collecting the money get their take, and the people being taxed find a way to get out of paying the tax because it's cheaper than paying it.

      UBI is, in essence, a cap on welfare benefits, and anyone who thinks that everyone will get UBI, and the government is going to simply take the money to pay from it from "the rich" or "evil corporations" is ignorant of history. UBI is viewed favorably by politicians, as it's an effective vote buying scheme (If you vote for the other guy, s/he wants to starve grandma and wants your children to die and you'll lose ___________)

      --
      Murphy was an optimist
    157. Re:Socialism on the march by mysidia · · Score: 1

      It's only like that if you're incapable of thinking properly.

      Translation: When proven that X doesn't work and you like X, you immediately resort to accusing the messenger of
      wrongthinking. If we just kill or arrest all the wrongthinkers, then Socialism will work, right? Is that not essentially the implication of your argument?

    158. Re:Socialism on the march by mysidia · · Score: 1

      In all these nations the tyranny came first, then the political/social/market system.

      Tyranny and Socialism comes hand in hand. Socialism relies on tyranny; whether that means the tyranny of a despot, or the tyranny of a group of people --- mob rule, (Even a majority) to enslave the more productive.

      Except the nations where tyranny came first, and the system imposed was capitalist; the nations were
      successful, so the perception of tyranny was not the strongest variable.

      Rome was a successful empire for 1500 years, and many of those years were controlled by despots and tyrants, but
      economic policies were capitalist most of its existence, And people had their freedoms: Even if there was some central planning, nothing like welfare, extensive regulation, or a "basic income".

      In the last 200 years of their existence, there was institution of some Socialist policies, and the decline was a bit sudden.....

      This rules out your argument that "Tyranny first" is a variable, Because we've seen too many examples where Tyranny itself is not attributable to a quick fall; like it or not, some measure of Tyranny does not affect having a sustainable economy and a sustainable government and country: If the productive people have enough economic freedom and protection.

    159. Re:Socialism on the march by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      to people today who already have decent house, cars, boat and other property, we'd use UBI to simply stop working

      I actually had planned to be capable of retiring by age 35. I planned this when I was 27. I had $0 in savings and made $60k/year.

      It's actually doable, but I changed my financial plans. I've put large amounts of money into my 401(k) for a loan basis. I learned to ride a motorcycle. I bought a $7,000 piano. The thing is I can pull my monthly costs to below $400; that means each year nets me ten years of retirement.

      I'm 31 now. I have $1,200/month of expenses. I have a $421/month mortgage and a $255/month personal loan that can go--the mortgage has $25,000 left on it, and the loan is going away this month. My heating bill dropped by 12% after fixing some issues with a leaky room in my house; insulating one (large) wall (for $4,000) and getting a heat pump (for $6,000) will cut that by more than half. With the right food budget, I can actually get under $300/month expenses today with all of those remediated, but nah.

      If I'd gone that route, I'd be sitting on enough money to barely make it to retirement in 3 years. Another 2 years and I'd have enough to offset inflation, stuffed into a 3% growth account. At retirement, Social Security pays me 3-4 times as much as I'd need.

      Water heater lasts 10 years and costs $600, or $5/month. Roof needs $1000 of maintenance every 7 years, or $12/month. That home maintenance stuff amortizes well.

      I think you're overestimating just how much you'd enjoy retiring early.

      Besides, I already have property that they will rent from me, so I'd be getting both their UBI (partial) as well as my UBI.

      Then you'd be productive in the economy, providing for the supply of some housing. You'd probably make about a 30% profit margin, like most landlords, in the end, so maybe $100 from each of them.

      That's actually a job that needs doing.

    160. Re: Socialism on the march by Bartles · · Score: 1

      Since Cuba is ruled by a totalitarian dictatorship, don't you think it's possible that the regime supplies the data to WHO?

    161. Re:Socialism on the march by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      Property tax is bullshit.

    162. Re:Socialism on the march by Bengie · · Score: 1

      The budget does not reflect actual military spending. There are many ways for the government to spend several times the budgeted amount. One such way is "war time" expenditures. Spending is almost not even questioned as they have to happen.

    163. Re:Socialism on the march by Rick+Schumann · · Score: 1

      I have a better idea for you, friend: Count on working for a living the rest of your life, because that's the way things are going to be. There isn't going to be any 'Unversal Basic Income'. I'm real sorry your life is so horrible that you must retreat into a fantasy world where everything is free, but all the wishing in the world isn't going to make a bad idea a good idea. Enjoy your job. Enjoy the fact that you live in a first-world country, where you can get meaningful work, and earn enough money to buy decent food, and to live somewhere where your life is not in danger every single day. Be thankful for these things, and stop complaining about how you don't get to live for free. Why do think so many people in the world hate us here in the U.S. and other first-world countries? We have a standard of living that is orders of magnitude better than many shithole countries do, and when people whine and complain about 'how expensive everything is' we just make them hate us all the more. Then you want to live for free? LOL, no wonder there are people in the world willing to blow themselves up to kill as many of us as possible, look how ungrateful and spoiled you are! Stop complaining about not getting a free ride through life, be thankful for what you have, and stop living in a fantasy world, okay? End of discussion.

    164. Re:Socialism on the march by losfromla · · Score: 1

      Interesting info, however to appropriately argue based on your statements, lets take out the non-European countries ok?
      https://www.countries-ofthe-wo...

      So out go Israel, New Zealand, and Japan. Should we put in Albania, Armenia, and Azerbaijan to take their place? You did say _all_ European countries didn't you? Lets be lazy and assume you didn't mean _all_ but rather were just engaging in hyperbole and lets look at your Wikipedia page for the actual European countries you listed:
      France 4407
      Iceland 4012
      UK 4003
      Finland 3984
      Italy 3272
      Spain 3153

      Hmm... It appears that your statement of "although it spends more per capita than any European system" is not quite true. It is true in some cases but not true in most. I prefer we cover all humans (because I'm humane that way) not just US citizens but the difference between the two is small so lets not quibble.

      However, even though you are wrong, the numbers are still definitely interesting. You might want to change your statement to closer approximate reality, the point is still a good one.
      Thanks!

      --
      Only I can judge you.
    165. Re:Socialism on the march by plague911 · · Score: 1

      Don't be a fool. Study after study has discredited similar claptrap from the right.

      OMG We must drug test all recipeiants of welfare because they are spending it on drugs.

      http://www.nytimes.com/2012/04/18/us/no-savings-found-in-florida-welfare-drug-tests.html

      OMG welfare recipiants must be required to be actively applying for job

      http://www.cbpp.org/research/p...

      Your hypothesis was a valid one to initially have. Something like "People won't work if they have a safety net to sponge off of" The problem is that theory has been statically proven false, not only that, the opposite has been proven true. " People work more if they have a safety net to sponge off of when they need to"

    166. Re:Socialism on the march by ooloorie · · Score: 1

      You did say _all_ European countries didn't you?

      Got you to look at the data, didn't it?

      but rather were just engaging in hyperbole and lets look at your Wikipedia page for the actual European countries you listed

      That's comparable to the total per capita public health care spending in ... The following is total per capita spending (public+private) in those countries:

      I prefer we cover all humans (because I'm humane that way) not just US citizens

      Well, that preference a good reason to kick out 10 million illegals and limit immigration, isn't it?

    167. Re:Socialism on the march by losfromla · · Score: 1

      Well, that preference a good reason to kick out 10 million illegals and limit immigration, isn't it?

      No, it isn't, you're an illegal immigrant. Maybe the natives should kick your sorry ass out. You can't seriously think that something as absurd as the Papal Bull on the "Doctrine of Discovery" gives the Pilgrims and other vermin such as the Spanish "Conquistadors" the right to claim already occupied land. So fuck you and your absurd borders and claims.

      Did you not read where I stated my reasons were based on being humane? Your absurd stupidity really is testing my cool today. Did you not read? How does someone with your mentality translate what I wrote into that implying agreement with your stupid statement? I'm really curious about the logic that got you to that point. For reference, is Rush Limbaugh a personal hero of yours? Is Faux "News" a source of information/perspective?

      BTW. Your claims were wrong. Blatantly wrong and patently false. I see that I made a mistake in trying to be nice.

      --
      Only I can judge you.
    168. Re: Socialism on the march by skam240 · · Score: 1

      Well for starters Cuba is a one party state, not a totalitarian dictatorship. They have elections there but most people wouldnt really call them free or fair. That's not terribly important though as I get your point, they're of a government type not known for its transparency.

      With that said, I feel using the WHO numbers (which you seem to be casting doubt on in an annoying, round-about way) as evidence is perfectly appropriate for an internet discussion as one of the reasons for this global body to exist is to monitor global health levels. They're the experts on such things and their numbers are rarely called into question so since they feel confident enough to publish them, I feel comfortable enough to site them in a context such as this.

      And really there is very little reason to doubt them. If WHO numbers were so easily fudged most of the worst ranked countries on that list would be ranked better due to government interference as most of them have governments that are as or less trustworthy than Cuba. Likewise, if Cuba (whose health care system is widely known around the world to be quite good) was really fudging their numbers to a major degree, people would notice as Cuba is not at all a closed off country like North Korea. It's in fact a fairly open country and a popular tourist destination for Canadians, Europeans, and even Americans who go via Mexico.

      So in summary, if you want to play at being a skeptic that's fine. Just don't expect me to care unless you're able to furnish some sort of evidence as to why we should not trust the WHO's numbers here.

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    169. Re:Socialism on the march by ooloorie · · Score: 1

      Did you not read where I stated my reasons were based on being humane?

      Virtue signaling on Slashdot doesn't make you "humane". Neither does advocating policies that condemn Native Americans or Mexicans to continued poverty, as you do.

      Maybe the natives should kick your sorry ass out. You can't seriously think that something as absurd as the Papal Bull on the "Doctrine of Discovery" gives the Pilgrims and other vermin such as the Spanish "Conquistadors" the right to claim already occupied land.

      So? The people who those injustices were committed against are long dead, as are the perpetrators who committed those injustices. Kind of like my ancestors that lost their land and property repeatedly and were chased all over Europe. We don't go back centuries later and say "this land really belongs to us" because it would be foolish to do so, and because no civilized country ought to recognize such absurd claims.

      Your kind of grievances based on ancient claims, race and ethnicity, has been at the many of the most destructive human conflicts in the world. It is utterly reprehensible. And hopefully, we can keep that evil from spreading in the US.

    170. Re:Socialism on the march by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      Personally, I'm going to get off the hook from having a job and supporting myself in a little under two years.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    171. Re:Socialism on the march by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      I'm not going to play the 'socialism' card

      Good. Treating "socialism" like a trump card marks the user as an ideological idiot currently incapable of rational thought and almost certainly devoid of support for his or her position. This is true of all such shibboleths that save the user the trouble of actually considering what is being discussed.

      This is not to say that socialism is good or bad, but maligning a position because it has some (possibly real) connection with socialism (and the UBI doesn't) contributes nothing to the discussion.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    172. Re: Socialism on the march by GameboyRMH · · Score: 1

      Tomayto, tomahto.

      --
      "When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
    173. Re:Socialism on the march by Dagger2 · · Score: 1

      Except it doesn't really matter *who* is earning the money. The money those people would've been earning will go to someone else instead, but taxes don't care who pays them.

      In any case though... there's not much point worrying about people not having an incentive to work as hard in a future where we're not going to have enough work available for everybody anyway.

    174. Re:Socialism on the march by Dagger2 · · Score: 1

      He isn't suggesting doubling taxes. Something like a third of the total US government spending is on welfare already, which would get replaced by UBI. Also, although taxes will go up, we'll also be giving people money to pay those taxes with, so the impact on taxpayers isn't anywhere close to what it would be if you ignored the "income" part of the UBI.

      I'm not suggesting there'll be zero consequences, but it's nowhere near as simple as (amount of UBI)*(population of US) = big number that we couldn't afford.

    175. Re:Socialism on the march by goose-incarnated · · Score: 1

      In that case, I'd change my vote from "against UBI" to "For UBI". You see, to people today who already have decent house, cars, boat and other property, we'd use UBI to simply stop working. We, some of the most experienced and skilled workers, already have all the materialistic shit a person could want.

      A reasonably-sized property tax will take care of that little "loophole". Want to keep owning expensive shit? Make an effort.

      That worked well in Zimbabwe, didn't it?

      --
      I'm a minority race. Save your vitriol for white people.
    176. Re:Socialism on the march by KozmoStevnNaut · · Score: 1

      In that case, I'd change my vote from "against UBI" to "For UBI". You see, to people today who already have decent house, cars, boat and other property, we'd use UBI to simply stop working. We, some of the most experienced and skilled workers, already have all the materialistic shit a person could want.

      A reasonably-sized property tax will take care of that little "loophole". Want to keep owning expensive shit? Make an effort.

      That worked well in Zimbabwe, didn't it?

      Because Zimbabwe is exactly the same as a developed, post-scarcity western nation, right?

      --
      Eat the rich.
    177. Re:Socialism on the march by goose-incarnated · · Score: 1

      In that case, I'd change my vote from "against UBI" to "For UBI". You see, to people today who already have decent house, cars, boat and other property, we'd use UBI to simply stop working. We, some of the most experienced and skilled workers, already have all the materialistic shit a person could want.

      A reasonably-sized property tax will take care of that little "loophole". Want to keep owning expensive shit? Make an effort.

      That worked well in Zimbabwe, didn't it?

      Because Zimbabwe is exactly the same as a developed, post-scarcity western nation, right?

      Read up on it. They were a post-scarcity nation as far as food goes. They had more food than they knew what to do with. They were called "The bread basket of Africa" for a reason, you know.

      After doing what essentially amounted to landgrabs ("You have too much money/property/things, we are going to redistribute so it's all more equal") they are reduced to begging for food handouts.

      If a government starts grabbing private property like the OP suggested, it would certainly take of care the "loophole" of having a functioning economy.

      --
      I'm a minority race. Save your vitriol for white people.
    178. Re:Socialism on the march by KozmoStevnNaut · · Score: 1

      So they had a corrupt government, and the country failed? Quelle surprise!

      --
      Eat the rich.
    179. Re:Socialism on the march by goose-incarnated · · Score: 1

      So they had a corrupt government, and the country failed? Quelle surprise!

      So they "liberated" private property, and the country failed. Qulle surprise!

      --
      I'm a minority race. Save your vitriol for white people.
    180. Re:Socialism on the march by KozmoStevnNaut · · Score: 1

      And again, apparently the situation in a sub-saharan country in Africa, with one of the lowest average life expectancy, run by Mugabe (a shitheel dictator by any measure) and ravaged by civil unrest, is a perfect analog for a developed, modern western democratically-run country?

      --
      Eat the rich.
    181. Re:Socialism on the march by goose-incarnated · · Score: 1

      And again, apparently the situation in a sub-saharan country in Africa, with one of the lowest average life expectancy, run by Mugabe (a shitheel dictator by any measure) and ravaged by civil unrest, is a perfect analog for a developed, modern western democratically-run country?

      Well, if your developed modern western democratically-run country adopts the major policies of Zimbabwe, then it's an apples to apples comparison. OP came out and clearly said loopholes to private ownership would be closed. What do you think they call that in Africa? They call it "democracy", where the majority of voters are living on handouts, and thus vote themselves more handouts each election, even as it chases away value-producers.

      How about another example, this one a developed, modern western democracy - South Africa. Look at their currency and/or investor confidence since their democratically-elected leader promised to redistribute private property.

      You're looking at this exactly the wrong way round: it's a case of nationalisation policies causing civil unrest, not civil unrest causing nationalisation policies.

      There is state that disallows private ownership which is a success. If a state cannot guarantee private ownership, then no body with any sense wants to put their money into it. Instead, they pull out all of their money as soon as they can.

      --
      I'm a minority race. Save your vitriol for white people.
    182. Re:Socialism on the march by KozmoStevnNaut · · Score: 1

      Well, if your developed modern western democratically-run country adopts the major policies of Zimbabwe, then it's an apples to apples comparison.

      If you only look at an extremely simplified model, as in your Econ 101 handbook, then sure. Your overly simplified model holds up, because you've removed every factor that could change the result away from your prediction.

      How about another example, this one a developed, modern western democracy - South Africa.

      Don't make me laugh.

      You're deliberately ignoring a million different factors, from cultural differences, to geography, to neighboring countries, to even the damn weather. And you're doing this to make your overly simplified model work, because you're wildly prejudiced against any other viewpoint than your own.

      --
      Eat the rich.
    183. Re:Socialism on the march by goose-incarnated · · Score: 1

      Well, if your developed modern western democratically-run country adopts the major policies of Zimbabwe, then it's an apples to apples comparison.

      If you only look at an extremely simplified model, as in your Econ 101 handbook, then sure. Your overly simplified model holds up, because you've removed every factor that could change the result away from your prediction.

      How about another example, this one a developed, modern western democracy - South Africa.

      Don't make me laugh.

      You're deliberately ignoring a million different factors, from cultural differences, to geography, to neighboring countries, to even the damn weather. And you're doing this to make your overly simplified model work, because you're wildly prejudiced against any other viewpoint than your own.

      That's not true - just about every successful state enforces private property ownership laws. In theory, your idea to deny private ownership of property works best.In practice I see no examples of successful economies in which private possession of property is denied.

      Do you actually have an example of a state that succeeded while denying private ownership of property? I'm sure some tiny island somewhere does this, but I'd hardly count tiny islands as examples of successful states.

      --
      I'm a minority race. Save your vitriol for white people.
    184. Re:Socialism on the march by KozmoStevnNaut · · Score: 1

      I have never once advocated for denying private ownership of property. Stop strawmanning.

      --
      Eat the rich.
    185. Re:Socialism on the march by goose-incarnated · · Score: 1

      I have never once advocated for denying private ownership of property. Stop strawmanning.

      I said (and you quoted bloody quoted it!)

      We, some of the most experienced and skilled workers, already have all the materialistic shit a person could want.

      You replied with

      Want to keep owning expensive shit? Make an effort.

      Taking away shit I already own, free and clear is the very thing we've been arguing about.

      --
      I'm a minority race. Save your vitriol for white people.
    186. Re:Socialism on the march by KozmoStevnNaut · · Score: 1

      No one is taking anything away from you, I am simply proposing a tax on wealth-generating assets.

      --
      Eat the rich.
    187. Re:Socialism on the march by goose-incarnated · · Score: 1

      No one is taking anything away from you, I am simply proposing a tax on wealth-generating assets.

      No you didn't, you proposed taxing property at a high-enough rate to take it away.

      What on earth could "Want to keep owning expensive shit? Make an effort." mean other than "You won't keep owning it unless you continue paying"?

      Current property taxes are so low most landlords don't even notice - the tenant gets billed for it with the rent. You proposed a tax high-enough to take away the property.

      All those failed states with redistribution programs? They call it a fair tax.

      --
      I'm a minority race. Save your vitriol for white people.
    188. Re:Socialism on the march by KozmoStevnNaut · · Score: 1

      Stop arguing against a strawman that you made yourself. You're reading your own biases into what I wrote.

      Want to continue owning expensive assets, which generate wealth for you? Pay up, because today it's more or less just untaxed income, and a giant loophole exploited by the rich. Please note that no one is proposing to tax said assets at a higher rate than the income they generate, which is what you seem to think.

      --
      Eat the rich.
    189. Re:Socialism on the march by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Tyranny and Socialism comes hand in hand.
      No it dies not.
      Socialism relies on tyranny;
      No it does not.

      You are an idiot ...
      Rome was a successful empire for 1500 years, and many of those years were controlled by despots and tyrants, but
      economic policies were capitalist most of its existence,
      Not capitalist, bbut based on slavery.

      And people had their freedoms: Even if there was some central planning, nothing like welfare,
      I suggest to google what 'panem et circenses' means.

      So in socialist Scandinavia people have no freedom? Rofl ...

      extensive regulation, or a "basic income".
      The 'poor' had food and entertainment for free ... you can call it what you want, though.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    190. Re:Socialism on the march by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      I had the impression you worded it the exact opposite way around before.
      I actually had to read the article you linked to understand what you mean.
      Unfortunatley the article has no references to sources if it claims.

      I googled a bit around, and find no evidence that any country in the world uses a different definition than a five year surviving time and children died divided by children born.
      I guess the article you linked is bollocks :)

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    191. Re: Socialism on the march by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      According to the links I posted, WHO and basically every health organization on the planet?

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    192. Re:Socialism on the march by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Why should I be delusioned?
      Most european countries have a decent and relatively cheap health(care) system.
      The USA have not. (Most certainly it is still not 'cheap' or 'affordable')
      As you live there now as you posted in a nother post, you should know that.
      Or you are somehow blind or delusioned or whatever :)

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    193. Re:Socialism on the march by ooloorie · · Score: 1

      Most european countries have a decent and relatively cheap health(care) system. The USA have not. (Most certainly it is still not 'cheap' or 'affordable')

      I would think that spending or $9500/year in Norway or $5400/year in Germany on healthcare isn't particularly "cheap".

      So, care to explain in what way the Norwegian or German systems are "cheap"?

    194. Re: Socialism on the march by Bartles · · Score: 1

      Where do all those places get their data?

    195. Re:Socialism on the march by jwhitener · · Score: 1

      You are making an assumption that taxes have to go up to support a program like UBI. They don't. Well, not in the way you think.

      The entire point of UBI is that productivity and efficiency gains have increased drastically as various types of automation (an numerous other factors) have improved.

      Some day, 100% of car manufacturing will be automated. Zero workers needed. So at that point in time, the owners are still making X dollars per year, but have zero labor costs. UBI is the government taking the profit from gains in productivity and spreading it back to the workers that are no longer required. Theoretically, the owner of the car plant will have the same net profit at the end of the day. In that model, owners of production will be able to ask themselves: "Do I want to employee 1000 people, make 100,000,000 million in profit, but spend 75,000,000 million on labor, leaving me 25,000,000 as profit. Or, do I want to employee 0 people, make 100,000,000 million in profit, pay 0 in labor costs, but get taxed 75,000,000, leaving me 25,000,000 million in profit." At least, that is how I understand the theory.

      You do realize that we have near historic high wealth and income inequality in the US right now, right? That is because our factories and other processes have become highly automated, requiring less skilled workers, and none of that gain in productivity has benefited anyone except the owners of those production facilities (whatever the product).

    196. Re: Socialism on the march by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      By surveys ?

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    197. Re:Socialism on the march by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      In Norway you don't "spent" money on healthcare.

      It is included in your taxes.

      $5500 for Germany is cheap, considering what you get for it. In the states you pay 15000 for less than you get in Germany, or until Obama had no health care at all.

      A simple dentist visit in the US costs about $200. In Germany less than $50. I'm private incurred, so I see all the bills first before my insurance pays them.

      Depending on your family and insurance (private or "standard") for $5500 the whole family is insured, regardless of amount of kids.

      Seems the only thing you know about "european health systems" are costs for the individual. Wow ... and you really think you are qualified to argue?

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    198. Re:Socialism on the march by Anonymous+Cow+Ward · · Score: 1

      You need to get better, apparently.

      --
      Examine even your most deeply held beliefs. Nobody is always right.
    199. Re:Socialism on the march by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Who needs to get better in what respect?
      Don't get your 5 words statement.

      The parent claimed child mortality would be lower in the US because for some obscure reasons they would "overrate" in comparison to e.g. Europe.

      Your link supports our parent was wrong and I was right, so what is your point?

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    200. Re:Socialism on the march by Anonymous+Cow+Ward · · Score: 1

      You need to get better at looking. The link I posted says there are different methods for counting live births, and thus I was right.

      --
      Examine even your most deeply held beliefs. Nobody is always right.
    201. Re:Socialism on the march by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Only regarding children that are born to early, and the USA don't count very early child birth, so the USA are artificially increasing the survival rate, not the others.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    202. Re:Socialism on the march by Anonymous+Cow+Ward · · Score: 1

      The US does count very early child birth, while many others don't. It's pretty clear in that table.

      --
      Examine even your most deeply held beliefs. Nobody is always right.
    203. Re:Socialism on the march by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      It is pretty clear in the table that the US don't count children that are born 'to early', where the pregnancy was to short.
      No idea what you are talking about.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    204. Re:Socialism on the march by Anonymous+Cow+Ward · · Score: 1

      The US, like Austria and Denmark, reports all live births. France, on the other hand, only reports when the birth is after at least 22 weeks of gestation or if the birth weight is at least 500 grams. It's right there in the table.

      --
      Examine even your most deeply held beliefs. Nobody is always right.
    205. Re:Socialism on the march by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Oh, I thought it was opposite around.
      I stand corrected, my fault.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  2. Free money!!! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Except nothing is free, and the rich are going to leave the country with their money.

    Good luck! This sounds great on paper, but if you can't get the rich to play ball, it's doomed from the start.

    1. Re:Free money!!! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      The real goal is to ensure that there are no "rich".

    2. Re:Free money!!! by wiggles · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I'm actually all for UBI, provided they kill the minimum wage and a bunch of social programs along with it. It would increase efficiency overall, be a boon to small employers and their employees, and raise the standard of living for the lower 50%.

      The problem will be when able bodied people decide to live only on UBI and nothing else. That's detrimental to society and a mechanism should be put in place to prevent that.

      Smoking pot in your parents' basement and collecting a check from the government to pay for your weed and doritos is not a valid occupation.

    3. Re:Free money!!! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Shouldn't our goal be to progress to a point where nobody needs to work? Not to sound to Star Trek-ky, but this sounds like this is a step in the right direction. Automation should be able to fill in the gaps where people decide to leave the workforce.

    4. Re:Free money!!! by ranton · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Rich people tend to want to live in nice places, and generally have the extra money to pay for that privilege. Living in a place with good schools, good health care, and a good safety net creates the type of society where the wealthy and upper middle class want to live. The lower crime alone which comes from these services is arguably worth it.

      You don't see too many rich people leaving for third world countries just because the taxes are lower. You may see some middle class people moving to Thailand to make their retirement money stretch, but those with real wealth paying most of the taxes tend to desire well countries with the powerful governments necessary to run a modern society. And they have the money to pay for it.

      --
      -- All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing. -- Edmund Burke
    5. Re:Free money!!! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      The standard of living of the lower 50% has increased considerably more in the past decade (in the mentioned countries) than that of the working 50-95% of the population (ignoring the top 5% who will do well either way). Free money is always a bad idea, what Europe needs is a more pragmatic approach towards creating jobs. Lowering the upper income tax brackets in the mentioned countries from 50%+ to well under 40% will for example create a much healthier economic impact because it creates disposable income for those contributing to society to procure services they require as a result of a 80 hour/week engagement. It creates jobs, improves living standards and should create a satisfaction for those who can start contributing instead of leeching of the social systems of these countries.

      When Europe talks about a lack of equality, it is mostly talking about how people without jobs and who do not contribute to society aren't enjoying similar living standards to those making 80 hour weeks and paying 50%+ tax. Apparently people haven't learned from history.

      "Socialism is a philosophy of failure, the creed of ignorance, and the gospel of envy, its inherent virtue is the equal sharing of misery." - Churchill.

    6. Re:Free money!!! by thaylin · · Score: 1

      It depends on your definition of "should" What percentage of the population is happy to live in poverty, but be able to afford the basics of bills, and scrape by? is that small % of the population worth worrying about?

      Also so far as I have seen the proposed basic incomes would not allow what you to do what you are talking about. The UBI is typically household based, so living with your parents would negate it.

      --
      When you cant win, ad hominem.
    7. Re:Free money!!! by Bartles · · Score: 1

      Any increases in the standard of living will be negated by an equal increase in the cost of living. Good intentions don't overcome fundamental laws of economics.

    8. Re:Free money!!! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      I'm actually all for UBI, provided they kill the minimum wage and a bunch of social programs along with it. It would increase efficiency overall, be a boon to small employers and their employees, and raise the standard of living for the lower 50%.

      The problem will be when able bodied people decide to live only on UBI and nothing else. That's detrimental to society and a mechanism should be put in place to prevent that.

      Smoking pot in your parents' basement and collecting a check from the government to pay for your weed and doritos is not a valid occupation.

      The concept of human employment is still valid today. It won't always be though. The continued advancement of automation and AI will make that "lazy" argument of yours as obsolete as measuring unemployment.

      We had better start getting used to not judging and labeling those who live off UBI as lazy pot smoking slobs who want to achieve nothing in life. When automation alone decimates human employment capability, UBI may quickly become people's only source of income by force, not merely by choice.

    9. Re:Free money!!! by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 1

      Rich people tend to want to live in nice places,

      EVERYONE wants to live in nice places!

      and generally have the extra money to pay for that privilege.

      And that's what separates it. No one wants to live in the ghetto, or the rough neighbourhoods (not even the roughs). Almost everyone would move to a nice place where they are safe, have good schools for their kids, and nice amenities... IF they could.

      --
      "That's the way to do it" - Punch
    10. Re:Free money!!! by apoc.famine · · Score: 4, Informative

      Smoking pot in your parents' basement and collecting a check from the government to pay for your weed and doritos is not a valid occupation.

      Why not?
       
      And I'm somewhat serious. Yes, it offends your puritanical mindset, but what jobs are you creating for the folks who would lean this way? Used to be, half the population or more was involved in agriculture. Now we're under 2%, and we produce more food than ever before. We make so much food that we can't get eat it fast enough. We export food around the world. With a little better distribution and a bit of planning, we could feed everyone in the US handily, based on the food waste we throw out. We have technologically ended hunger, and are only waiting on the social and governmental structures needed to truly end it.
       
      One major problem down. There is really no reason for that couch potato to starve, because we could feed them on our food waste at no real extra cost. Millions of them.
       
      The rise of wind and solar and the massive uptick in natural gas is driving energy costs lower and lower. We used to employ millions and millions in energy-related businesses, but those are increasingly automated. And another major problem being mitigated. When it's trivial and inexpensive to keep the lights and heat on for that basement dweller, why would we not do that?
       
      "Work or die" has been a reality for most all of human history. But there's no compelling reason for it to remain a reality. Give me UBI, and I'm not going to stay home. I want more. I might, however, take 6 months off to finish the novel I've been working on for years. I might see if I can push some of my hobbies and business ideas into real businesses. UBI would give me the safety net to take those risks. Will some people use it to sit in their parents' basement and smoke weed? Sure. And if they do, why should you or I or anyone else care? It's not like we don't have the resources to keep them alive.

      --
      Velociraptor = Distiraptor / Timeraptor
    11. Re:Free money!!! by bobbied · · Score: 1

      Except nothing is free, and the rich are going to leave the country with their money.

      Good luck! This sounds great on paper, but if you can't get the rich to play ball, it's doomed from the start.

      Yea, this worked great in Venezuela and Greece didn't it...

      --
      "File to fit, pound to insert, paint to match" - Aircraft Maintenance 101
    12. Re:Free money!!! by operagost · · Score: 1

      I would advise Mom and Dad to start collecting rent...

      --

      Gamingmuseum.com: Give your 3D accelerator a rest.
    13. Re:Free money!!! by Bartles · · Score: 1

      That's not what I'm talking about. If you give low income people 20K per year for basic expenses, the cost of basic expenses will go up by 20K per year. If you give everyone 5K to buy a used car, the cheapest used car available will be 5K.

    14. Re:Free money!!! by slew · · Score: 1

      I think you may be missing the biggest problem with taking time off of work: your ability to find/maintain a job is diminished...

      You see this effect already in the long term unemployed. Not only do they not actually get income, but their ability to find and maintain a jobs is greatly reduced. Although UBI might fix the "income" part (although this was already handled by unemployment insurance), it does nothing to keep such a person employable.

      Of course this is a generalization, an not everyone will lose their employablity, but if you talk to women who take extended leaves to raise a family or people who have been unemployed for greater than a couple years due to layoffs or maybe some incarceration (and I know several in all categories), they basically lose the ability to find meaningful work. Of course you might always be able to find a job as a walmart greeter, but even the local mc-d's would rather hire someone with a more continuous work history. Even to get a "job" at a volunteer agency, they like to have some extended history of showing up on a regular basis to work (training volunteers is hard, and they generally don't want to waste time with flakes).

      Maybe at some point in time people won't need to work very much throughout their lives, but we are far from it today and it seems to me completely disastrous to knee cap a generation of young folks who may not need to work today (say living in their parents' basement smoking weed), but if they desire to say raise a family in the future, might want to be able to have work skills to provide better for their families.

      Maybe that's a bit too paternalistic a view for a government policy, but if we are walking down the path of UBI, what is that but not paternalistic? Or are we simply taking the detached view of *experimenting* with peoples' lives in the name of science and potential societal well-being.

      In my view, a better way to run things is you "qualify" for UBI by either working, volunteering or being sponsored. For example, you work 1 year, you get 1 year of UBI. Or your parents, uncle/aunt, sibling, cousin, friend works 1 year and their UBI credit can be assigned to whomever (any split they want) tax free, you can even allow something like "go-fund-me" for strangers. Or another ratio say 1 year work, 2 years of UBI, or whatever. That way someone *you-actually-know* will have worked or volunteered occasionally, so you don't have generations of folks that don't even know how to work even if they wanted to. You can even seed everyone's UBI credit with say 5-years and perhaps as jobs dry up, have some rate of UBI accrual.

      Even in the US today social security requires 40-quarters (10 years) of work before you qualify for benefits. I don't see a compelling reason to have zero requirement for UBI.

    15. Re:Free money!!! by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      That's detrimental to society

      Only if they represent a substantial fraction of the unemployed. That's probably not possible, although the number of moving parts that make that not happen and also prevent the system from simply adjusting parasitically and spiraling into self-destruction makes it take too long to explain in great detail so many times.

      First, we need to establish that we have a lot of able-bodied workers who don't engage in the productive wage economy. Stay-at-home spouses are the primary example of people who don't want or need jobs: if your husband (or wife--common today) pulls $140k and people in your area live fine on $60k, you don't need a job unless you're way too bored. In principle, you suggest the same of a UBI, that being that people will be provided for and so will see that they don't need to work.

      Next, we must ask what makes people not work. A UBI can't provide a middle-class income; it's mathematically-impossible. Anyone with a job gets the UBI plus their wage, and so has more income than someone on only a UBI. That means your socioeconomic status on UBI is "lowest of low". That's just fine: we trend toward a 5% unemployment level (U3 and U4, with U4 being a few tenths of a percent higher), and the assistance provided to those people is better than no assistance at all. 1.6M Americans are homeless and only 1M find homeless shelters every night, so living in a tiny apartment is better than living in a cardboard box. The question is: how big does the apartment need to be before they cease to look for work?

      Obviously, between these, we can conjecture a sort of scale. We know that some people get jobs when their spouse is the provider because they want additional spending money (luxury). We know that poorer people who can passably get second jobs or have a working spouse because they feel unstable being so poor. In general, people consider your economic status as an indicator of your social value, and so try to increase their economic status by work.

      Living in poor areas and having frequented public transport, I've had the opportunity to hear some of the lowest-class people discuss how glad they are to be working--people who are obviously not what anyone would consider "good people", being rowdy, impolite, and generally of low-esteem for laws. Not gang members, but more the type who ride around on dirt bikes, use illegal intoxicants, and make a lot of noise pollution at night. Generally, while these people have a less-refined set of social rules, they appear to value society of a sort; they might behave in ways we disapprove of and take little time to think about the dangers of some of their actions to others, but they don't seem to be out to cause any harm to random passers-by, and are quite willing to work for their means.

      In general, two things make people not work. An overabundance of relative living standard reduces the perceived value (valuation) of income from work. Aside from that, it's depression: people with no personal motivation won't engage in effort to achieve rewards, even the reward of eliminating some suffering they've learned to tolerate.

      Overabundance isn't a problem. We can't raise everyone up to a middle-class standard without eliminating all rich people; doing that would collapse your economy in some other way than by giving people money. Disruption to productivity raises the proportion of income required to pay for a UBI at a given standard-of-living, so trying to level out the rich by taking all their money and giving it to everyone else would trigger an economic collapse. Besides that, money isn't wealth, and we'd be hard-pressed to support the demand that would come with that much money being redistributed; we'd just get inflation, and then a collapse.

      In short: a UBI will always represent a fraction of the median. You can only fund a median UBI, in theory, by taking the amount of money represented by the median income; in practice, you have to take a

    16. Re:Free money!!! by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      The problem will be when able bodied people decide to live only on UBI and nothing else.

      Hate to tell you, but those same people are doing just that right now. The only difference is that you won't be paying a small army of public servants to administer their claims constantly.

      The B stands for Basic. People who will settle for "basic" are a detriment to society regardless if there is Universal or Income written on either side of it.

    17. Re:Free money!!! by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      One of the ridiculous problems you'll encounter when trying to design a UBI policy is that UBI advocates keep asking how the fuck UBI recipients are going to live on your paltry income in New York City or San Francisco. Then they get pissed when you point out that they'll be poor in the ghettos dangled 10 miles from these urban centers, as if they expect the poorest of poor to somehow live in the richest of rich neighborhoods.

      I sometimes wonder if these people have more or less annual income than credit card debt.

    18. Re:Free money!!! by xession · · Score: 1

      The problem will be when able bodied people decide to live only on UBI and nothing else. That's detrimental to society and a mechanism should be put in place to prevent that.

      Why? These are the same people that make any place they work a misery. If they would be willing to take that option, they already do not want to work. Also please take in to consideration that most people living on financial assistance money, aren't living large by any means. They get enough to pay for the basic necessities and maybe just slightly more for some entertainment if they spend wisely.

      With UBI, many people fail to understand that its a universal pool of money that nearly everyone typically gets, not at all unlike the Child Tax Credit. Unless you make an exorbitant amount of money, you will probably qualify to get UBI. If you have a job, you get to earn money on top of that. UBI is just there to ensure you have the money to cover your basic needs. This gives tremendous power to the labor pool as they can leave whenever they dislike a job and still be able to keep a roof over their head and their stomachs full without resorting to more nefarious activities to do so. Crime will likely go down and we can save a lot of money on the bloated police budgets since robberies from desperation almost entirely disappear.

      Now, back to your complaint that able bodied people will possibly stay at home. Are you forgetting why this topic has gained significant relevance lately? Its because of labor automation and the expected large disappearance of available jobs in a growing number of markets. There simply won't be jobs for many of these people to take. That doesn't mean that they will sit idly, wasting away in their home. I highly expect that this will encourage more people to become inventors, innovators and artists. Given enough intelligent people with free time, a whole lot of good could come from it. Don't blind yourself with a problem that already exists as an insignificant factor.

    19. Re:Free money!!! by slew · · Score: 1

      You don't see too many rich people leaving for third world countries just because the taxes are lower.

      But you *do* see individuals that renounce their US citizenships (e.g., Eduardo Saverin) and corporations move their headquarters (e.g., Burger King), or simply their money to subsidiaries (e.g., Apple) in other countries with lower tax rates. Of course, Singapore, Canada and Ireland aren't third world countries, but you put up a good straw man there...

    20. Re:Free money!!! by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 1

      One of the ridiculous problems you'll encounter when trying to design a UBI policy is that UBI advocates keep asking how the fuck UBI recipients are going to live on your paltry income in New York City or San Francisco. Then they get pissed when you point out that they'll be poor in the ghettos dangled 10 miles from these urban centers, as if they expect the poorest of poor to somehow live in the richest of rich neighborhoods.

      I sometimes wonder if these people have more or less annual income than credit card debt.

      The solution to that is don't live in New York or San Francisco if you're reliant on UBI for income. If you have a job, hopefully you earn enough to get by. If you don't have a job, it might be more prudent not to live in a high cost-of-living area.

      Of course, I realise that if you have a job and lose a job and live in one of those areas my reply might sound callous. The alternative is a cost-of-living based UBI, but if you do that you risk people moving around to game the system and potentially forcing cost of living higher in those areas.

      --
      "That's the way to do it" - Punch
    21. Re:Free money!!! by apoc.famine · · Score: 1

      It's a good point you bring up, but as a counter, it will cost employers minimal to train employees who want training. Why? Because they don't need to pay them much in the way of salary while they train them if those employees have UBI. One of the sticking points in business is that if you train someone, they're drawing a salary, pulling in training resources, and not producing much for your company, and they could just walk out for more pay once trained.
       
      If there is UBI, that person is likely there because they want to be. They don't have to work. You, as a company, have already offered them a compelling reason to show up at work. So now you have far less fear that they're going to just leave, and you have reduced overhead if you can negotiate zero or significantly reduced pay in exchange for training.

      In my view, a better way to run things is you "qualify" for UBI by either working, volunteering or being sponsored.

      You're missing the point of UBI and social safety nets then. In general, societies have found that it's not good to have some percentage of the population starving and dying in the streets. Throughout history we've had more and less effective ways to deal with this, from debtors prisons, orphanages, and soup lines to the more modern welfare states. In times of scarcity, it makes sense to limit social welfare benefits to those "worthy" of getting them, because there's just not enough for everyone. We're talking UBI more often now because we're quickly exiting that time of scarcity.
       
      We have more food than we know what to do with. With what we throw away every week, we could easily feed everyone who is hungry in the US, and a chunk of the rest of the world as well. We have technologically solved hunger, but we haven't created the social/governmental structure to actually do it.

      Maybe at some point in time people won't need to work very much throughout their lives, but we are far from it today...

      Our productivity is so high at this point that we are running out of jobs for people to actually do. From a majority of people once employed in agriculture, we're down under 2% now. We're automating jobs away at an exponential rate. Giant factories that used to employ thousands are being brought back to the US from China, and are now employing hundreds. Underemployment in the US has been running around 13-14%, and it's not going down at all.
       
      I think we're at this point in time, but we haven't realized it yet because it's buried in race and class issues. Unemployment in my area for African-Americans is something like 35%, but with 3% unemployment for White people, that gets masked when we look at the overall unemployment rate. Likewise, unemployment out in the country is far higher than in the cities, but there have always been poor farmers and rich city folks, that's the status quo. Unfortunately, those farmers out in the country are never getting their jobs back. That work is done by machines now. I honestly don't know what folks in the hundreds of small farm towns in my state are going to be doing in a decade. The old folks can't retire so they work menial farm jobs until they are dead or on welfare, and there are no jobs for the kids so they move away. But in between are hundreds of thousands of middle-aged folks who don't have more than a HS education and don't have any skills or anywhere to work even if they had them. Just tends of thousands of acres with house-sized tractors tending them, and trucks humming past their houses taking the goods away to market.

      --
      Velociraptor = Distiraptor / Timeraptor
    22. Re:Free money!!! by ranton · · Score: 1

      But you *do* see individuals that renounce their US citizenships (e.g., Eduardo Saverin)

      But you don't see that happening very much, which is why I said you don't see too many rich people leaving instead of saying no rich people leave. In the situation you gave he left because of a US tax code loophole to help the rich avoid taxes. It only happened after he was involved in creating a company in the US, not his home country, and he wouldn't have saved a dime if our tax code wasn't so porous.

      --
      -- All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing. -- Edmund Burke
    23. Re:Free money!!! by ranton · · Score: 1

      One of the ridiculous problems you'll encounter when trying to design a UBI policy is that UBI advocates keep asking how the fuck UBI recipients are going to live on your paltry income in New York City or San Francisco.

      That isn't a very ridiculous problem. UBI is not intended to make all income inequality go away, since some level of inequality is considered a good thing by just about everyone on all sides of the debate. It is simply about reducing inequality to a more reasonable level, and ensuring everyone has the right to a base-level standard of living. That base-level will not include a New York City penthouse.

      --
      -- All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing. -- Edmund Burke
    24. Re:Free money!!! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      No. That's how you fuck it all up, by deciding who gets it and who doesn't. That's why our current systems suck so damn much, because we have to spend $100 to figure out who should get $5.

      Simply put, if people stop working and the economy starts to slow, UBI payments would drop, because tax revenue would drop. When that happens chances are people will start looking for jobs again for supplemental income and balance will be restored.

    25. Re:Free money!!! by WrongMonkey · · Score: 1
      I think you're just phrasing the argument wrong.

      People will hate the idea of living in a suburban ghetto, but moving to rural area will appeal to a lot of people. Living off UBI in a mountain cabin or quaint farming village doesn't seem so bad.

    26. Re:Free money!!! by slew · · Score: 1

      The big problem with food in our country has never been the quantity of food, but often that the poor live in "food deserts". The problem is usually with logistics, not quantity of food, so any analysis based on the quantity of food production is flawed at best. UBI doesn't solve the food logistics issue, so it doesn't even scratch the problem. SNAP is already pretty ubiquitous, and because supplier side (aka, grocery store) fraud is rampant in SNAP is it is basically as good as cash in many locales and doesn't seem to have solved the food desert problem (other than creating more fast food joints as they are now allowed to accept benefits). Of course you could throw more money at the food problem (e.g., with UBI), but that doesn't get to the root of the problem at all.

      Although you make a case for the "farming" communities never getting out of a cycle of poverty, it's more interesting to look at the numbers instead of simply the percentages. For example, in this map, as you might expect, LA, Miami, Chicago, NY, Houston, Dallas, Detroit already have many folks who are "poor" and those locals probably haven't even experience their first wave of automation based employment displacement (although they no doubt experienced the wave of offshored manufacturing jobs). The kids of these folks aren't moving *away* anytime soon for better life (because in your automated future, there's no point). We have to solve this problem in the large cities.

      In my opinion, the problem isn't food, but housing. Housing in desirable areas (e.g., near cities with employment opportunities) has reached the critical point. If UBI can get people to move *out* of the cities, into the more rural areas where housing is less problematic, that would probably be the only good thing it could do. Maybe UBI should be a flat median rate regardless of local cost of living. Maybe that will get rid of the "slums" as people who are underemployed will simply take advantage of economic incentives to move out leaving the people that want to work in the city. Indexing UBI to the local cost of living (like many socialists have proposed) likely doesn't change anything.

      As for training. If you've ever hired minimum wage employees (e.g, employees whose economic productivity is lower than the economic wage), you would know that retention is already a big problem. Reducing that wage (presumably because of UBI) to the economic productivity level isn't likely to help retention at all (because the business's economic productivity return rate is not related at all to the employees economic compensation return rate). Business that have jobs that aren't subsistence or temporary level have already had to provide higher wages (and training wages) to promote retention. Adding UBI won't make this go down, at all (but maybe will go up because the economic return from the employee is less that the wages are no longer zero based, but higher on the economic marginal value curve). Probably won't be a big effect, but it certainly won't make wages (even training wages), go down. Probably will go up a bit depending on the industry.

      The real issue is what it does to inflation. I suspect that since the major driver of inflation is demand-pull, pumping all this extra money in the system will cause an increase in the systematic inflation rate. Since I suspect that UBI adjustment will lag (just like SS COLA lags), the overall effect is that it will make it harder for everyone to get past a UBI existence level. Maybe that is the goal: keep a bulk of the population on UBI. I think the Romans tried that during the Roman Empire. Not sure that worked out as well as they thought it would.

    27. Re:Free money!!! by erapert · · Score: 1

      It would increase efficiency overall, be a boon to small employers and their employees, and raise the standard of living for the lower 50%.

      [citation needed]
      The promises of windbags and politicians looking to buy some votes doesn't mean shit. Prove it, first.

      The problem will be when able bodied people decide to live only on UBI and nothing else. That's detrimental to society and a mechanism should be put in place to prevent that.

      The solution to this problem has been well understood and verified in countless experiments for millennia: you don't work: you don't eat.

      Smoking pot in your parents' basement and collecting a check from the government to pay for your weed and doritos is not a valid occupation.

      Agreed. So stop making excuses for them; stop accepting policies that make it easier for them.

    28. Re:Free money!!! by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Care to explain? /me leaning back and rolling thumbs

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    29. Re:Free money!!! by Dagger2 · · Score: 1

      Then it's a good thing that's not what a UBI does, isn't it? A UBI is somewhat closer to giving everyone 5k to buy a used car, but also charging everyone who pays road taxes 5k per person. People with cars will end up with net no difference in available money, but people without cars will end up with the money to get a car. Used cars won't suddenly jump by 5k, because the majority of people already can't afford that, and not changing the amount of money those people have available isn't going to change anything. (Remember those fundamental laws of economics? Those cars are already being sold for the maximum price the market will bear. If you could put the prices up a bunch and still get sales then you would've done that already.)

    30. Re:Free money!!! by Dagger2 · · Score: 1

      Make sure the UBI is enough to cover universal basic needs, and not enough to cover a person's personal wants?

      Although it's a bit odd to be talking about people "choosing" not to work, when the major problem we're going to have is that there won't be any work available. It's not like it's going to be a matter of choice.

    31. Re: Free money!!! by Bartles · · Score: 1

      Yes. The maximum price the market will bear. If lower income people, who would be the ones buying used cars, each get 5k to buy a car, the maximum price the market will bear goes up. That's what happens when demand changes without a change in supply.

    32. Re: Free money!!! by Dagger2 · · Score: 1

      Yet those people largely are already paying road tax, meaning they also lose 5k from the road tax charge. If you give them 5k and then take it back again, how is that going to raise the price the market can bear by 5k?

      The demand for universal basic needs is already at "universal". A UBI isn't going to change that.

    33. Re: Free money!!! by Bartles · · Score: 1

      People who don't drive, don't generally pay road taxes (fuel taxes, property taxes). And certainly someone who can't afford a used car, doesn't pay any income taxes.

    34. Re: Free money!!! by Dagger2 · · Score: 1

      None of that addresses my question. If, in this analogy that uses used cars as an example of a universal basic need, you give people 5k and then take it back again from most of them, how is that going to raise the price the market can bear by 5k?

    35. Re: Free money!!! by Bartles · · Score: 1

      A better question is what is the point of giving poor people money, if you're just going to confiscate it in fees and taxes.

    36. Re:Free money!!! by 91degrees · · Score: 1

      The poor are already receiving plenty of benefits. This just simplifies things. We can also fund it by taxing middle and low earners, because they have enough to live on; any earnings are surplus to essential requirements.

    37. Re:Free money!!! by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      It doesn't work that way.

      Maximum cost efficiency is attained in apartment complexes and densely-packed urban areas. Mountain cabins and farming villages are luxurious sprawl.

      You can't afford to house the poor unless they're vacuum-packed.

    38. Re:Free money!!! by WrongMonkey · · Score: 1

      That's utter nonsense. It doesn't even pass a common sense litmus test. In any cost of living comparison, rural areas are always more affordable than urban centers. If you're trying to get people to accept the idea of universal social security, then why are you trying to make it more dystopian than it needs to be?

    39. Re:Free money!!! by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      Sure, sure. Giving a man 10 acres of land is obviously cheaper than giving him 10 square feet.

      Do you even think about what you're saying? I live in a dense, inner-city ghetto, near a race track, near highway, near schools. I have a $421/month, 15-year mortgage. I can walk or ride the train to get food.

      In rural PA, I can buy a place for somewhere between $200k and $779k. I can drive for 40 minutes to find food. Good luck ever finding a fucking job. Not to mention poor people can't even afford that rent, unless we pack them like sardines in their isolated little rural housing with no way to get to the food they need to buy to survive.

      Why do you think the poorest of poor end up in inner city ghettos? Are they too fucking stupid to find those nice, cheap rural areas where they'd live like kings and honored concubines? Hell, why aren't landlords up in those rural areas making a giant, highly-profitable business of it?

      Your litmus paper is defective. A dozen litmus tests on different media immediately fail your considerations.

    40. Re:Free money!!! by WrongMonkey · · Score: 1

      Giving a man 10 acres of land is obviously cheaper than giving him 10 square feet.

      10 acres in Montana is cheaper than a parking space in NYC. While 10 acres per person is a bit excessive, the US has 2.4 Billion acres of land. There's no particular shortage of land if you're not concerned about location.

      I live in a dense, inner-city ghetto, near a race track, near highway, near schools. I have a $421/month, 15-year mortgage.

      Sounds awful. Your mortgage is almost as much as mine and I live in a nice suburb of Seattle.

      In rural PA, I can buy a place for somewhere between $200k and $779k

      Look harder. Trulia lists the median housing price in PA as $165,000. That includes homes in more expensive urban areas. A quick google search turns of plenty of homes in rural PA for half that.

      I can drive for 40 minutes to find food. Good luck ever finding a fucking job.

      We're talking about UBI. If people on UBI were migrating to rural areas, then getting a job isn't a priority. How long it takes to get to the store isn't particularly important either, since someone on UBI would have copious free time.

      Why do you think the poorest of poor end up in inner city ghettos?

      I don't know. You tell me?

      Are they too fucking stupid to find those nice, cheap rural areas where they'd live like kings and honored concubines?

      Lots of them do. Why do you think that places like Arizona and Nevada are full of old people? Because when you have a steady fixed income, then moving to a cheap rural area is a smart move.

      Hell, why aren't landlords up in those rural areas making a giant, highly-profitable business of it?

      Some of them are. Trailer parks are very profitable. One of the problems is that rural real estate is so cheap than there's not much advantage to renting.

    41. Re:Free money!!! by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      10 acres in Montana is cheaper than a parking space in NYC.

      We're comparing low-income areas. There's waterfront property that rents for $3,000/month in Baltimore city; about 6 miles away, there are apartments that rent for $700. I bought a $50k house, although there are $450,000 houses in Federal Hill in the same city.

      Put your strawman away.

      Why do you think that places like Arizona and Nevada are full of old people?

      So, with no assets and $10,000/year, I can get up, move to Nevada, and have a nice, big rancher somewhere in a rural area?

      We're talking about UBI. If people on UBI were migrating to rural areas, then getting a job isn't a priority. How long it takes to get to the store isn't particularly important either, since someone on UBI would have copious free time.

      Let me put this to you again: they can't afford the gasoline to drive that far. They can't afford car insurance. They don't have cars. That 40 minute drive at 50mph is a 10-hour walk, each way.

      How much food are they going to carry for ten hours, each way?

      You're also saying that, once unemployed, fuck you, be poor forever.

      I don't know. You tell me?

      Because it's cheaper than a trailer park.

      Who is supporting themselves in rural America on a part-time, minimum-wage job with a $165k house?

      Your mortgage is almost as much as mine and I live in a nice suburb of Seattle.

      Why haven't you paid it off yet? I was going to pay my mortgage off in 3 years but derived other plans. I put the maximum amount of money into HSAs and 401(k)s instead, and now have a $40k account I can use as loan collateral.

    42. Re:Free money!!! by WrongMonkey · · Score: 1
      Look. I see what's going on. This isn't about facts or numbers. You are living out what you think is the optimum low-cost of lifestyle. So when someone, like me, points out that there are ways to live on a low income without being stuck in the ghetto, its not just a difference of opinion, its an attack on your personal decisions. I could spend days citing cost-of-living index, home prices and USDA food desert data and it wouldn't make a difference. You've painted yourself into an emotional corner where you can't have a rational discussion because you're too invested in validating your own choices. From your original post that I replied to:

      Then they get pissed when you point out

      They're not getting pissed off at the point your trying to make, they're getting pissed off at you. Because you're emotionally incapable of considering options besides the one you've chosen.

    43. Re: Free money!!! by Dagger2 · · Score: 1

      I take it from your refusal to answer that you now agree that the cost of living won't get bumped up to eat the entire value of the UBI. Good to hear.

    44. Re: Free money!!! by Bartles · · Score: 1

      No precisely the opposite. I can't help your failure to understand economics. Even basic supply and demand theory.

    45. Re: Free money!!! by Dagger2 · · Score: 1

      And yet you dodged answering the question, even when I asked it twice. Your actions speak louder than your words.

    46. Re: Free money!!! by Bartles · · Score: 1

      Because no proposal would ever give people a UBI with the expectation that it would just be taxed right back. That's idiotic.

    47. Re:Free money!!! by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      This isn't about facts or numbers. You are living out what you think is the optimum low-cost of lifestyle

      You still haven't disclosed the total cost of your house. You claimed your house is cheaper than mine, and is in a nice, west-coast suburb. Bring the facts and numbers.

      home prices and USDA food desert data

      The hills of Montana or Pennsylvania, with a 10-hour walk to the grocery store and no way to drive there because you've got all of maybe $50/month of unspent cash without car insurance, gasoline, or a car payment, would count as a food desert. You suggested this is a place we could put poor people, and specifically claim that urban areas are a stupid place to put them.

      Why is it stupid to put people who have no means of transport in a place where food is far, far away?

      I could spend days citing cost-of-living index, home prices and USDA food desert data and it wouldn't make a difference

      Yet you haven't.

      How about you get rid of your car, cancel your insurance, and restrict yourself to $300 for rent, $30 for utilities, and $180 for food, personal care, and clothing? Can you still survive your middle-class suburb? Would you have been able to make your down payment on your house?

      Cars are expensive. Seriously expensive. Fewer than 40% of households in my area own cars. They simply can't afford it. If you haven't factored out personal transportation, you're not living in reality. Public transit is expensive as hell, too, and small, poor suburbs generally have little of it, if any; I've never seen a public transit service anywhere with a long rural drive to the shopping center. Still, you seem to think 20 hours of wakefulness spent walking in one day is just people not being lazy, since they have "copious free time" and an epic journey cross-country on foot to fetch just enough food for a man to carry on his back should be fine--even if that journey takes more waking hours than most sleep-deprived Americans experience on a typical day.

    48. Re: Free money!!! by Dagger2 · · Score: 1

      That's generally how they work, it's just that people with low or no incomes won't be paying much taxes and thus won't give back much or any of it. Note that this set of people also correlates with the set of people currently receiving welfare, which is replaced (not supplemented) by a UBI. The number of people who will actually have $x extra per month after the introduction of a $x/mo UBI is relatively small -- which is why it won't have the effect on prices that you initially thought it would.

    49. Re: Free money!!! by Bartles · · Score: 1

      So now we've gone full circle and the used car analogy applies once again.

    50. Re: Free money!!! by Dagger2 · · Score: 1

      Okay, so come on then, answer the question. We have a good that's in universal demand (used cars in the analogy), and we give everyone 5k to buy their used cars with, but we tax back most or all of it from most people (or remove their existing welfare-for-used-cars payments). Demand doesn't budge much because it was already universal, and the price that the market can bear doesn't move much because most people don't have more money in the end than the did before.

      How will the prices jump by 5k?

    51. Re: Free money!!! by Bartles · · Score: 1

      Rich people don't buy used cars.

    52. Re: Free money!!! by Dagger2 · · Score: 1

      That's in the real world. In the analogy, we're using used cars as an example of a universal, basic need, so in the analogy rich people do buy used cars. In the analogy, everybody buys used cars. That's what "universal" means.

      Feel free to use housing or food instead if you can't cope with that. But really, if you had an explanation for how your original assertion could happen, you would've given it by now. I hope I've made the point that a UBI would not in fact raise prices by the amount that you claimed.

    53. Re: Free money!!! by Bartles · · Score: 1

      So now you're telling me what's in my analogy? Universal used car ownership? Ridiculous. I was applying the fantasy of UBI to the real world. I can't help it if you won't accept it.

    54. Re: Free money!!! by Dagger2 · · Score: 1

      It's not a very relevant analogy if it's not going to involve a universal, basic need, because UBIs are explicitly for universal, basic needs only. They aren't designed to let you live a life of luxury or anything, they're explicitly just for the bare necessities. "Universal". "Basic". These words are in the name because they mean things, not just because they sound pretty. A UBI isn't for things that 5% of people are buying, it's for things that >99% of people are buying.

      If you've decided that used cars is a bad and unusable analogy, then that's fine. I'd be okay with an answer that explains using the cost of food or something else that we can both agree is universal in the real world.

    55. Re: Free money!!! by Bartles · · Score: 1

      So you're saying UBI isn't designed to help someone who can't afford a car, buy a car to get them to a job?

    56. Re: Free money!!! by Dagger2 · · Score: 1

      I'm saying that used cars aren't some fundamental need that everybody needs to go out and keep buying on a constant basis. Heck, you just described that as ridiculous yourself.

      Normally, in the real world, only a small percentage of people are buying used cars at any given time. Most people who need a car already have one they can use, after all. If that jumped to 100% buying then it'd be a massive change in the demand for used cars, and that would obviously affect the prices (not by the amount of the UBI, mind; the supply would dry up very fast and prices would raise to match those of new cars, which would presumably also rise in price since supply of those would dry up too). But -- again, limiting to the real world -- that's irrelevant to a discussion about UBI because a UBI is for universal, basic goods, which I hope I've managed to explain that used cars aren't.

      Now, if you were to make an analogy where used cars were a universal, basic need, then that would of course involve a world where everybody is buying used cars constantly (and that has welfare payments for used cars, since they are after all a basic need for everybody in this analogy). Those are the implications of "universal, basic need". And in that world, the percentage of people buying used cars would be close to 100%. In that world, introducing a UBI payment for used cars would have a very small impact on the number of people buying used cars, in much the same way that a UBI payment in our world bumps the number of people buying food and accommodation up only very slightly (because everybody is already buying those anyway).

      But if this whole concept of an analogy is too complicated for you to follow, then go ahead and forget about it. Imagine we were talking about food instead. Basically everybody is already buying food, so a UBI isn't going to impact the demand much, and the prices are already as high as the market will bear, and most of the people receiving the UBI will either pay it back in taxes or will stop receiving their current welfare payments. So how will a UBI of $x dollars increase the price of food by $x?

  3. The concept is spreading by evolutionary · · Score: 1

    We are talking about that here in Canada as well.

    --
    "Imagination is more important than knowledge" - Einstein
    1. Re:The concept is spreading by Dixie_Flatline · · Score: 1

      The *original* UBI experiment was run in Canada. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

      Basic findings:
      - mincome didn't appear to diminish motivation to work
      - people weren't worried about money as much; possible correlation with lower hospital admission rates
      - young men were more likely to finish high school rather than leave and get a job
      - mothers were more likely to stay home with young children

    2. Re:The concept is spreading by silentcoder · · Score: 1

      Actually that wasn't quite the 'original' UBI experiment - it was one of the first really big ones run in the 20th century, but the LBJ/Nixon one in America happened around the same time and none of those were the first.
      There are proposals dating back to the early 16th century - but the first actual basic income experiment was the Speenhamland experiment in the late 18th to early 19th century.

      That experiment was followed by a massive report, the same report would later doom Nixon's experiments - as it was held above the results of the experiment he ran. Hundreds of interviews that formed a 13000 page report. It denigrated basic income as a massive failure that had led to a complete decay in sexual mores, nobody working and other the effectual destruction of the working class.
      The Speenhamland report was the first of it's kind - the first time government relied on big data to inform policy, and it led to the instant dismantling of the system.
      Unfortunately - the report was a fake. It turned out that it was written, in it's entirety, before any of the research was even done - containing nothing but the prejudices of the authors (what they thought would happen) and the actual data was never considered or even read.
      It would take nearly a century for anybody to compare the data to the report supposedly based on it and discover the deception -by then it was too late.

      --
      Unicode killed the ASCII-art *
    3. Re:The concept is spreading by Dixie_Flatline · · Score: 1

      Super interesting, thanks! I hadn't heard about that report!

  4. Selection bias? Inevitable? by BankRobberMBA · · Score: 2

    Are Europeans suffering rising wealth distribution inequity as much as the US? It seems possible to me that as more people fall into lower wealth percentiles, they become more likely to have a positive view of UBI. Is this a real attitude shift, or merely people feeling they are being left behind? Or, are those even two different things?

    For the record, as a convicted felon trying to make a new start making $8/hr, I have a very positive view of UBI, but I'm not very sanguine about the economics of it.

  5. Nothing wrong with the concept. by gurps_npc · · Score: 2

    Although you could put in a minimal volunteer requirement.

    In particular, some studies have shown that sole income providers do not significantly reduce their work even after getting a basic income, although people do reduce hours for second jobs - whether they be 2nd jobs done after normal working hours or second jobs done by a mother whose husband provides the main income while she takes care of the child.

    --
    excitingthingstodo.blogspot.com
    1. Re:Nothing wrong with the concept. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      To me it's all about fairness. Living in Canada, we have high taxes and lots of social programs to help out people who need it.

      If we implement a universal basic income, they have to make it fair. IMO they need to do the following:

      - Correspondingly reduce the budgets for social programs/support staff that will be obsolete from UBI
      - Not have any unfair exemption. i.e I make 85k/yr, my spouse 13k. (not very much living in Vancouver, Canada) They need to work it out so that the middle class can either collect, have very generous tax credits, or let the lower income earner collect + not raise taxes on the higher earner to support the program
      - If the higher earners cannot collect, have tax credit or reduce the work week correspondingly on the value of the UBI
      - Maybe implement some on the job training programs where the UBI is the employer subsidy, and if the trainee passes the training probation -- they make a regular wage + it helps they lower work week system.

      All articles on this don't explore the above questions -- and with the current state of "journalism", stuff is just spoon fed and regurgitated into an article.

      Anyhow, I know the government is too incompetent to implement such a system fairly.

      Government will increase taxes, expect the middle class to fund this and basically the UBI will feel like a punishment for the average middle class family who is dumb enough to go to work 9-5, Mon - Fri and just have their cost of living go up over night with only downside to them.

    2. Re:Nothing wrong with the concept. by wired_parrot · · Score: 1

      The concept of Basic Income as originally proposed is that it would substitute all other government support programs - social security, old age pension, child support, unemployment insurance - with a single streamlined service. It is not supposed to increase government expenses - it should in fact reduce them by eliminating administrative costs, which is why the idea appealed to those on both the left and the right of the political spectrum. It is the conceptual equivalent of the flat tax, except applied to government spending instead of government taxation.

      The problem is that as I've seen it applied in various test programs, it has been applied as an additional program on top of existing services. It would be simply unsustainable for any government to pay for both existing programs and a new Basic Income program, so the idea is financially unsustainable. And because of concerns of various groups - from the elderly, the poor and others - that they require additional support, and the political optics of providing financial support to very rich people, the same level of selective support depending on one's personal condition is being applied to these so-called "Basic Income" programs. In short, they appear to be duplicating existing social services, with the same level of bureaucracy required. That is simply unsustainable in any national stage.

    3. Re:Nothing wrong with the concept. by Bartles · · Score: 1

      Obviously you havent been paying attention to our education system and media.

    4. Re:Nothing wrong with the concept. by xession · · Score: 1

      minimal volunteer requirement

      Work you are forced to do but don't receive a direct income from, is called slavery. That's a stupid idea to push. The small percentage of the population that will happily sit idly, wasting away in their homes while receiving this credit, are the same people that make any work place a misery. Why should we care if that is what these people plan to do? They will make enough to pay for rent and utilize a small dwelling, enough to feed themselves, enough to buy a few clothes throughout the year and maybe just enough to enjoy a a couple low cost entertainment options a few times in the year. If they want to pay for more things, they'll likely try to get a job in the new labor driven market where people work just a few hours per day for this extra income. Others will be happy to work, will be more efficient, productive, knowledgeable and skilled and will receive a much larger compensation for it on top of their UBI.

      If anything, UBI really encourages the age-old American Dream to flourish in its fullest form.

    5. Re:Nothing wrong with the concept. by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      The problem is that as I've seen it applied in various test programs, it has been applied as an additional program on top of existing services.

      It's also been supplied as a short-term, limited benefit in a small geographical area. That prevents all sorts of large, long-term economic effects, making it difficult to gather any useful data.

      I have a habit of not being wrong, and I manage that a lot on one hand by not making firm statements on things of which I'm lacking sufficient data, and on the other by adding risk controls to anything I plan on actually doing. Since I can see how economies work in broad strokes across all of human history and project what would happen by implementation of any sort of UBI, I'm pretty confident that it's doable both financially and economically--we'll collapse society with a bad plan, and end up actually strengthening the economy with a well-developed plan. Even then, I designed a plan that accounts for and behaves only sub-optimally in all kinds of bad situations.

      When you design a UBI plan, you have to account for transitioning off current welfare without breaking people's livelihoods, generating shitloads of debt, or raising taxes (impolitic if nothing else). You also have to mitigate any sort of immigration free-money rush; childcare profiteering; misestimation of how much money people actually need; reduction of working hours; recessions; and so forth. If something doesn't go the way you want, it needs to come out alright.

      In my Universal Social Security, I avoid the childcare profiteering thing by simply providing classical public aid for minor dependents of low-income households; and I handle the immigrant rush for free money by providing that same public aid to naturalized American citizens, while rendering the USS benefit as a non-refundable tax credit instead of a (semi-)monthly payment. That costs roughly 1.4% of AGI (the USS and current welfare both cost roughly 17%), and is no more abusable than the current system, thus doesn't expose us to new risks; I haven't eliminated existing risks in that cross-section.

      The thing about solving homelessness and hunger is actually easy. It's mathematically-provable that nearly 100% of all current welfare recipients come out ahead under the USS, excepting some of the highest-income HUD housing assistance households that come out ~2% behind (most such households would only get SNAP benefits for their dependents). For the non-working unemployed, homeless, no savings, it's demonstratably possible to show a new market opportunity for profitability; that's not a guarantee. Because the USS funds by a flat percentage of all income, the purchasing power of the benefit increases with the GDP-per-capita, which trends upwards; that means the amount paid out increases faster than inflation, and so it will eventually be enough. In the interim, it's better than nothing.

      I've even proposed that freeing up ~$1 trillion of taxation while providing stronger welfare guarantees would increase spendable income and cause adverse effects--labor shortages, followed by a population run-up, until stability is reached. That's okay; and, as a contingency, we could control that by redefining full-time working hours at 28-32 hours per week. This would reduce productivity and increase spending on the same goods; basically, rather than working 40 hours and trying to buy 50 hours's worth of goods, you work 32 hours and try to buy 40 hours's worth of goods. That, however, requires a technological increase in productivity; so implementing this could require a raise in taxes to prevent the glut of additional consumer spending--pay down the national debt along the way as an excuse--and then a sudden shock of a tax decrease and a working-hour decrease.

      Risks. I've got a reasonable ideal of how people behave in large groups; I've got historical data to correlate; and it's still not enough. I can identify the alternate possibilities and control for them.

    6. Re:Nothing wrong with the concept. by JesseMcDonald · · Score: 1

      minimal volunteer requirement

      Work you are forced to do but don't receive a direct income from, is called slavery.

      Work you are forced to do is slavery even if you do receive a direct income from it. However, no one is being forced to do anything. It would be a job like any other—an "employer of last resort", so to speak. The deal is simple: anyone who shows up and makes a reasonable attempt to complete whatever tasks they are assigned is guaranteed the basic necessities. The average person should be more than capable of producing their own essential food, shelter, clothing, and other basic goods with time and energy to spare, given proper instruction and the advantages of modern technology. The goal would not be subsidy, but rather self-sufficiency. If you don't care for the deal you don't have to take it, but in that case you're on your own.

      Voluntary gainful employment is not slavery.

      --
      "The state is that great fiction by which everyone tries to live at the expense of everyone else." - Bastiat
    7. Re:Nothing wrong with the concept. by gurps_npc · · Score: 1

      You do not understand what slavery is, and frankly your concept is insulting to real slavery.

      1) The word was volunteer. As in you pick what you do.

      2) The rule would be volunteer or do not get the basic income. that's called a job, not slavery.

      Real slavery means you get locked up/physically hurt if you refuse to do something, not merely losing your job. Real slavery means you have no choice about what you do.

      That is the difference between your ridiculous exaggeration confusing slavery with a job.

      --
      excitingthingstodo.blogspot.com
    8. Re:Nothing wrong with the concept. by silentcoder · · Score: 1

      >that they require additional support, and the political optics of providing financial support to very rich people
      Clinton raised that same issue when she debated free college with Sanders - but I believe she was wrong. Globally so-called universal programs have been far more successful than means-tested programs. There are two key reasons for this. The first is that it is simply cheaper -the administrative cost of doing means-testing tends to be higher than whatever you save by not making the program available to everybody (not to mention being more intrusive, making government bigger, invading privacy etc. etc.) the second is that they have proven EASIER to defend politically. This is because the people most likely to be opposed to any government program is generally those people who do not benefit from it - and the wealthy tend to have outsize political influence. With a means-tested program you have a lot of influential rich people paying for a program, who can never benefit from it - and thus they actively lobby against it forever (and eventually - they win). With a universal program - that lobbying all but disappears. Sure they may be paying more in taxes to FUND free college than their kids tuition was ever going to cost - but at least they get to send their kids to college without having to write ANOTHER cheque.
      Globally universal programs have consistently proven to be far more politically resilient than means tested ones.

      --
      Unicode killed the ASCII-art *
  6. Odd viewpoint by swillden · · Score: 1

    Let me first point out that I'm in favor of experimentation with UBI because I think that in a decade or two the coming wave of automation will make it both necessary and affordable. But I still find it bizarre that people would say they favor UBI in order to have "greater financial independence and self-reliance". What? In what way does UBI give you greater financial independence or self-reliance? Relying on government payouts, funded by taxes collected from others, is not independence except in the narrowest possible sense and it is pretty much the opposite of "self-reliance".

    As I said, I think UBI will be necessary, and I think it's a much less invasive, condescending and economically distortive form of public safety net than more traditional means testing. But self-reliance it is most definitely not.

    --
    Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
    1. Re:Odd viewpoint by Ogive17 · · Score: 1

      Well - you have more financial independence because you know that at least part of your income will be steady.

      My brother-in-law owns a lawn treatment company that, due to winter, only has work for his employees 8-9 months each year. The other months they are either collecting unemployment or having to find some temporary job to make ends meet. The point is, their income fluctuates. With UBI, they would at least know during those down months they'd receive $x/month and could plan around that.

      When you look at implementing UBI, you must also look at what can go away. Half of Americans probably receive significant government assistance already. Now you get rid of food stamps, extended unemployment benefits, lower other programs like medicare.. if you do it right, with the amount of waste in most governments, you can probably do it without raising additional funds.

      I'd love to dive into the financials to see how it would work here in the states.

      --
      "Action without philosophy is a lethal weapon; philosophy without action is worthless."
    2. Re:Odd viewpoint by swillden · · Score: 1

      Well - you have more financial independence because you know that at least part of your income will be steady.

      That is the "narrowest possible sense" to which I referred.

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      Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
    3. Re:Odd viewpoint by apoc.famine · · Score: 2

      I'd love to dive into the financials to see how it would work here in the states.

      Above I posted a blurb where I did a quick google and got an estimate that our social welfare programs seemed to be on the order of about $10B/year in administrative costs. That's $30/person in the US. Not anywhere near enough savings to make UBI possible, even if you saved it all. Looks like we collect about $2.6T in income and payroll taxes at the federal level in the US every year. Divided by 360M people that's a bit over $7,000 per person per year.
       
      If you give that to infants and children, that means a family of 4 would be in the $28k/year range, which is right at the poverty line. So if we spend most of our money, we can do it. We'd have about $0.5T left over for running the government and the military.
       
      Needless to say, it would require a significant upheaval in society for us to do this.

      --
      Velociraptor = Distiraptor / Timeraptor
    4. Re:Odd viewpoint by PoopJuggler · · Score: 1

      Because you can afford to find the best job available, not forced to take the first thing that comes along because you need rent money. This eliminates predatory businesses and ensures that people take jobs that they want which increases productivity and retention. It's a win across the board, unless you're one of these tools that hates "damn commies" and contributing anything to society.

    5. Re:Odd viewpoint by swillden · · Score: 1

      Sure, that's all good... but it's really not independence and it's the opposite of self-sufficiency.

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    6. Re:Odd viewpoint by slew · · Score: 1

      You also forgot the additional load of millions of unemployed government workers and community agency volunteers and employees that direct the current social welfare programs. People talk about reduced *administrative costs* as if there aren't employee that are currently relying on these *administrative costs* for their employment opportunities.

      You only need to look at some small towns in the rust belt in the US to see that the govt job administering various welfare programs is one of the "good" jobs in the area and often one of the largest employers. Take that away (and the local job multiplier effect it creates), and well, it's hard to see how this will make things any better for those places even if they have UBI to fall back on.

    7. Re:Odd viewpoint by apoc.famine · · Score: 1

      You're off by an order of magnitude, at least. 70k people worked for the social security administration in 2010. It's definitely not millions. And I'd argue that if the best jobs are administering welfare programs, those aren't great job options. Better an investment in those communities so that new business can spring up. I think UBI would do that, because there wouldn't be as much risk in trying to start a business, and there is an incentive to work even part-time, because you'll have more money in your pocket. The problem with our current welfare programs is that for many of them, you hit a dollar limit and you lose 100% of your benefits. No incentive to work too much with that scheme.

      --
      Velociraptor = Distiraptor / Timeraptor
    8. Re:Odd viewpoint by silentcoder · · Score: 1

      And what other sense would you like us to consider ?
      There is only one meaning to the term 'financial independence' and that is 'having an income independent from work'.
      In the current system this is only available to those with sufficient excess capital to invest it in profitable non-labour investments, whether that be funds or buying houses to rent out or whatever. UBI makes that available to all comers.

      But it would be equally viable to just put all people into the investment class - pool the money, buy into an index-tracking fund and have a share of the profits payed out monthly to all citizens, the remainder gets added to grow the fund so that there will be more profit in future.
      This has a bigger management burden - but it would be a viable form of UBI, and it doesn't even require a tax to keep funding it as it's funded by investing in business activity, property etc. - it just expands the pool of investors to *everybody* and removes *stupid investment choices* as a problem which keeps killing off small investors (who simply lack the capital to invest widely enough to be risk protected). You do need a large initial capital injection to start the process - but that could literally be a one-time thing, dump all the taxes for one year into a fund and start payouts the next year.

      The basic concept is proven by an unrelated system already in place in Brazil. Brazil has one of the highest monthly income tax rates in the world - and an annual nett rate of ZERO. Nobody actually PAYS taxes ?!
      See what Brazil does is - it takes all the tax money and invests it. At the end of the year, they give you back everything you paid. The run the government using the profits on that investment - that funds all the government programs, their free university, their free universal healthcare for next year.
      To go from there to "self-funded entirely" would be a leap - but they at least prove it's possible to fund a government entirely on the returns of invested taxes with a nett-zero real tax rate.*

      *This was the system when I was married to a Brazilian but we divorced ten years ago now - it's not impossible it has changed since then, I hope it hasn't because it was a brilliant idea.

      --
      Unicode killed the ASCII-art *
  7. Re:Selection bias? Inevitable? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

    Most European countries already have systems in place to make sure that people without income doesn't end up starving or homeless.
    The cost is already there. The point of UBI is to reduce the administrative overhead.
    Instead of figuring out who needs the extra support you give it to everyone wether they need it or not.
    For those who didn't need it it will seem redundant that they are first taxed and then have the money given back to them, but in the end nothing much happened.
    UBI isn't as radical as some people make it out to be.

  8. The goal is never what they say it is by RogueWarrior65 · · Score: 1, Interesting

    Cardinal rule: If something is given away for free, it either has no value or YOU are the product.
    Once you are beholden to a government for something, they own your ass. You will do what they want. But you probably won't realize it until it's way too late.

    1. Re:The goal is never what they say it is by RyanFenton · · Score: 1

      Important reminder: This is intended as a REPLACEMENT for other programs, like job insurance, retirement programs, family income programs, etc. It drastically reduces the need for a bulk of social services for healthy adults, and allows better specialized uses of resources for those who can't take care of themselves.

      It's a LOT cheaper to identify taxpayers, prevent duplication and simply send a regular stipend, than it costs to manage all those separate programs.

      Also, government IS the people, and in this case, this is the people voting for a simple program that help everyone provide for their needs, being less solidly beholden to employers for those basic needs, and working for their true desires instead.

      That's the whole point of a modern government - to continuously improve and provide for the common welfare, in the classic sense. It just happens to be replacing the modern concept of welfare in this case and making everyone's life better, except for perhaps those that depended on having others feel they would starve as a consequence of not doing the will of their employer.

      Ryan Fenton

    2. Re:The goal is never what they say it is by pijokela · · Score: 1

      I fail to see how that is not happening with the current system just as much as with UBI. With UBI you could at least study with the UBI, now you lose unemployment benefits if you study full time.

    3. Re:The goal is never what they say it is by monkeyxpress · · Score: 1

      Once you are beholden to a government for something, they own your ass. You will do what they want. But you probably won't realize it until it's way too late.

      Yeah, as opposed to being beholden to a bunch of oligarchs who own all the wealth and much of the political system, and let me have a job, piece of their private land to live on, and access to all the copyrighted/patented knowledge they control because they are all such generous people.

    4. Re:The goal is never what they say it is by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      That's not the world you live in, but you have successfully created a strawman.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    5. Re:The goal is never what they say it is by xession · · Score: 1

      What a joke of a comment. Why wasn't this labeled funny? We are already beholden to our government, at least we're supposed to be. Beholden is the same as suggesting you owe a duty to something. We all owe a duty to uphold the ideas on which our country and government were intended to be.

      What is this fear mongering about anyway? What is it that you think your boogeyman government intends to do once you are beholden to it? Whats your alternative plan to this anyway?

      I also want to leave you with the fact that you are already beholden to private interests that you have absolutely no control over. A company can and will fire you for any reason should they find a need for that to happen. You are beholden to them to show up, do your work and be as productive as possible or they will mess with your life. UBI takes that away and give you a lot more power because now you have some control over it.

    6. Re:The goal is never what they say it is by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Good to know that I don't have to bother to invite you for a beer.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    7. Re:The goal is never what they say it is by Gussington · · Score: 1

      Cardinal rule: If something is given away for free, it either has no value or YOU are the product. Once you are beholden to a government for something, they own your ass. You will do what they want. But you probably won't realize it until it's way too late.

      Well that sounds scary, but when you put down the fiction, most actual no-fiction governments actually look out for their citizens.
      If you believe otherwise, maybe try living in a country with very little government (eg Syria, Afghanistan) and see how you get on. I know it doesn't gel with your OMGZ evil govt! But real life doesn't always work out like the movies.

    8. Re:The goal is never what they say it is by silentcoder · · Score: 1

      Actually, yes, it really IS the world we live in. But they have very successfully created the illusion that it's not.

      --
      Unicode killed the ASCII-art *
    9. Re:The goal is never what they say it is by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      Let me guess, the "rich oligarchs" that you speak of are the Koch family.......not so much because they are, but because they are the only rich people you can name that you don't like. Because you read liberal news. Other than that, you don't know who exactly is in charge, but have a vague feeling they are surely evil. Now pass the bong.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    10. Re:The goal is never what they say it is by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      btw since when ascii art is dead? I still use it.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    11. Re: The goal is never what they say it is by silentcoder · · Score: 1

      You can add Larry Ellison, Sheldon Adelson, Rupert Murdoch, Donald Trump... every bankster on wall street. In fact absolutely every rich person who has ever spent more on political lobbying than you earn in a year. Do you think they would keep spending that money if they did not get something worthwhile for it ?
      What they are buying is laws. And if there is one thing the founding fathers did not want its rich aristocrats making the laws.

      --
      Unicode killed the ASCII-art *
    12. Re: The goal is never what they say it is by phantomfive · · Score: 1
      Oh look, you know a tech guy and a president, too. You're a moderately well-educated conspiracy theorist. Pass the bong again, this next part's good:

      if there is one thing the founding fathers did not want its rich aristocrats making the laws.

      Well, actually, they did want that lol. They specifically only allowed land-owners to vote.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    13. Re: The goal is never what they say it is by silentcoder · · Score: 1

      That was just a list of a few representative samples.
      And there is no conspiracy theory here- nobody thinks they are conspiring to rule the country. They are just DOING it - by buying laws.

      >Well, actually, they did want that lol. They specifically only allowed land-owners to vote.
      Actually no - that was not the intent of that restriction, and they FEARED that an aristocracy would arise and took steps to PREVENT just that. Jefferson for example instituted the estate tax specifically to try and prevent that.

      --
      Unicode killed the ASCII-art *
    14. Re: The goal is never what they say it is by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      The reality is voters have the power, they just won't use it. We're more interested in Rihanna than in good governance, because face it, good governance is boring. Even the news stories that do focus on politics are usually superficial (for example, look at the coverage of the healthcare bill going through congress. It's hard to find solid analysis, instead it's all hysterical, "Republicans want to kill you!" sort of stuff, or whatever is on Fox News I guess, I don't watch that. There was a lot more thoughtful analysis last time around).

      So yeah, when voters stop paying attention, the ones who do pay attention will be the ones who get power. There is absolutely no system that will ever fix that. You need better voters.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    15. Re: The goal is never what they say it is by silentcoder · · Score: 1

      I wouldn't know as I don't watch any cable news. I prefer to get my news in written form - where there is a lot more space and it allows for a great deal more nuance - and I try to limit my consumption to publications that abide by old-fashioned journalistic ethics standards which preclude making claims without verification and a name big enough that there is a reasonable chance they'll get sued if they deliberately make stuff up.
      Even then I know that they will still, sometimes, make embarrassing mistakes - but at least I can be somewhat confident those mistakes won't be deliberate attempts at deception.

      >It's hard to find solid analysis, instead it's all hysterical
      In the case of this particular bill - I've read several dozen analysis and trust me - the hysteria is entirely warranted. More critically - you can't blame the media for the fact that analysis was slow-coming - that was directly caused by the republicans rushing the bill through congress (they did not even let the CBO have time to analise it) and flat out lying about what is in the bill - let alone it's likely consequences.
      It's hard to do analysis when a bill is being rushed through congress faster than even the congressmen can read it and those pushing it are flagrantly and openly lying about what is in it. After-the-fact analysis is the only option left. https://newrepublic.com/articl...
      Then again last week I was reading a Trump supporter defending the bill and basically next to every tax cut in it he concluded 'likely to increase insurance participation' - because apparently he sincerely believes that when rich people pay less taxes poor people can afford insurance more easily. I never did quite figure out how he came to the conclusion that regressive tax cuts gives money to POOR people, but he was quite adamant that he believes it.

      In the end though my personal opinion is that those who dismiss the entire thing are wrong. Those who say "all the politicians are bought and sold", who speak of "republicrats" - they are wrong. Sure NEARLY all politicians are bought and sold - but the few who aren't (Warren, Sanders et all) - they're all on the same side. The last one the republicans had was Ron Paul and he's long gone. But more importantly - even the rest are not bought and sold by the SAME PEOPLE.
      So there is still value in voting right now - because you can vote for the ones who are bought by the rich people whose interests most closely align with your own.
      That's far from getting to vote for what YOU believe in - but it's not as bad as those people make out either, and it doesn't make voting completely useless.

      More critically - the bad laws that allow this full scale plutocratic selling of laws to exist, can only be fixed by the government - and the only way to force them to do that is at the ballot box. And, once again, the few there who will drive finance reform laws are all in the same party, what voters can do in 2018 -is to give them a MUCH BIGGER TEAM. There are maybe 5 of them now, we need enough to pass a bill that every other member of both houses will hate.

      --
      Unicode killed the ASCII-art *
    16. Re: The goal is never what they say it is by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      Seriously? You look at that article in the New Republic and think, "here is solid analysis, this is not written to appeal to my emotions at all. It's clear, hard thinking." Really, pass the bong, you've got some good stuff.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
  9. Way to go progressive by TimothyHollins · · Score: 1

    What I find seriously disconcerting is that only 48% wanted to pilot-test the nationwide gamechanging life-altering economy-revamping policy before implementing it!

  10. explanation for dummies by supernova87a · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Well... yes, of course everyone generally wants free money, right? Of course they're going to vote for it.

    But someone please correct my thought experiment here to understand who will pay for it:

    Suppose our society is just 100 people. We're going to give everyone $30,000 in basic income, for example. Where does it come from? Everyone pays $30,000 in taxes to fund the pool of money that pays everyone $30,000 each? What would be the point of that?

    No, it must be that people at the top of the income scale are taxed (in a sliding proportion up the scale of course) to pay for the people at the bottom of the scale who aren't making any income that can be taxed? The guy making $1M at the top of society gets taxed 50% to fund 16 people at the bottom who get the basic income and don't have income to be taxed. The 2nd guy making $900k gets taxed 40% to pay for 12 people earning the basic income, etc. etc. and down the scale.

    How else would it work?

    So this is basically a large wealth transfer (which all taxes in principle are), not some utopian new idea that somehow pays for itself, right?

    What am I missing? The role of corporations? The internet? What makes this different from just another kind of tax and welfare system, or somehow magically paid for because of today's economic dynamics? Scale it to a country's population size, and all we're doing is saying that the very wealthiest at the top can afford to pay this tax, and they're a very small portion of the population, right? (this tax is all the more affordable to the general population, the more the income inequality curve is distorted from a flat distribution - in fact in a flat distribution you cannot afford to pay a basic income)

    Or am I missing something?

    1. Re:explanation for dummies by supernova87a · · Score: 1

      And by the way, the above is not meant to be derisive about the possibility of this program, just a pure numerical analysis.

      Have a look at this too:

      In the US, we spend $707B in federal funds on welfare programs (not incl. SS or Medicare). That equals about $2-3 paid by every person on average. If you talked about a "basic income of $30,000 policy", you would be saying that we would each on average be paying $30,000 annually to fund this program.

      How in the hell would that happen??

    2. Re:explanation for dummies by fustakrakich · · Score: 2

      Or am I missing something?

      Yes, it works better with 3 to 5 hundred million people. And without the present day hoarding of capital by a small pack of gluttons that we allow to run our governments, financing would be trivial.

      --
      “He’s not deformed, he’s just drunk!”
    3. Re:explanation for dummies by supernova87a · · Score: 1

      Oops, sorry forgot a power of 10^3. Each person in the US pays approx. $2000-3000 (on average) towards federal welfare programs. The argument (and question) still holds.

    4. Re:explanation for dummies by swb · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Some of it is supposed to be paid for by eliminating the enormous welfare bureaucracy associated with the alphabet soup of individual welfare programs, the means testing, the monitoring, etc.

      Just because $1 in tax money goes into a welfare program does not mean that $1 in benefits was received by a recipient. Much of that $1 went into the budgets, salaries and operations involved in running that program.

      With UBI you eliminate all of that. You get a check and the progressive tax code decides whether it's net positive for you when your total income (UBI + wages) goes above the income level of benefits eligibility.

      In fact, I think it makes sense if a person gets $25,000 UBI, makes $5,000 working that they should somehow net out something more than $25,000 and less than $30,000. We want people to have an incentive to keep working, and not losing all benefits because of *any* work goes a long way to providing that incentive. A big problem with many current welfare programs is the complexity of means testing and the games people play to get benefits though they don't qualify or to kill work incentives so they continue to get benefits.

    5. Re:explanation for dummies by supernova87a · · Score: 1

      So, you mean that in 300 million people, there are probably a few at the top who we can generally be ok with taxing at 85% or something like that, correct? Somehow I don't see that happening in the current climate.

    6. Re:explanation for dummies by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      In the UK, means tested benefits are already handed out to those who need it.

      Hence, there is presumably quite a lot of government overhead to decide which people get the means tested benefits, and which people don't.

      If you pay a universal income to everyone then:
        - you don't need to pay as many people to test for benefits (saving the government money).
        - you tweak taxes so that the richer people who are already earning still pay roughly the same amount of tax, so their universal benefit is offset by the higher rate of tax that they pay.

      So, I think that the real interesting question is whether this system is less bureaucratic, saves money, and hence is more efficient overall.

    7. Re:explanation for dummies by Gorobei · · Score: 2

      No, it must be that people at the top of the income scale are taxed (in a sliding proportion up the scale of course) to pay for the people at the bottom of the scale who aren't making any income that can be taxed? The guy making $1M at the top of society gets taxed 50% to fund 16 people at the bottom who get the basic income and don't have income to be taxed. The 2nd guy making $900k gets taxed 40% to pay for 12 people earning the basic income, etc. etc. and down the scale.

        How else would it work?

      One other way it could work is to not even have the sliding scale: everyone gets $30,000 and pays a flat X% tax on all additional income. Set X to the number of your choice, e.g. at 40%, the person earning $75K/yr is at the neutral point, everyone earning less sees some benefit, everyone earning more funds the program to some extent. It's actually not a terrible tax system: it's just two numbers, the BI and X%, and a dollar earned is worth the same to everyone in terms of money kept.

    8. Re:explanation for dummies by lance_of_the_apes · · Score: 2

      Doesn't have to be 85% - 50% will do. And they don't have to be okay with it. They can whine all they want as long as they don't have the ability to buy votes. I'm not necessarily for or against it, but I think the economics would work out if people at the top didn't care so much about things like gold-plated fixtures in their NY high-rises.

    9. Re:explanation for dummies by RoccamOccam · · Score: 2, Informative

      Exactly. This appears to be a flaw with these "trial runs".

      They are choosing a limited number of recipients, but if the government is pulling from the entire population to fund the trial, then it won't be modelling the obvious problem.

      Perhaps this addressed in some of the experiments, but not the ones that I've read about.

    10. Re:explanation for dummies by misexistentialist · · Score: 1

      It's now taken for granted that government can borrow and print money infinitely, it has been working so far, but things have a way of working until they break

    11. Re:explanation for dummies by swillden · · Score: 1

      So this is basically a large wealth transfer (which all taxes in principle are), not some utopian new idea that somehow pays for itself, right?

      Absolutely. However, it's a less invasive, less condescending, less costly and more scalable and likely less economically distortive approach to doing exactly what welfare systems do now. To start with, assume that instead of $30K we set the UBI at what traditional means-tested welfare typically pays people now, then (a) pay that to everyone and (b) increase taxes to cover it. For most people, on average, this will result in no net change. You'll get UBI checks of, say, $1K per month, but your taxes will increase by $12K annually, so you get neither benefit, nor cost. In any particular situation that may not be exactly true, but it will be close. The degree of redistribution applied is a separate variable, based on how you allocate the taxes.

      This system is less invasive and less condescending than means-tested welfare because it means that those who need assistance don't have to open the details of their lives and behavior to government scrutiny in order to qualify. It's less costly because the administrative overhead is much smaller than means-tested welfare. Not zero, certainly, but much smaller than now because the only thing you need to do to get UBI is to prove that you're alive and of the appropriate age. Fraud control will be important, but it will mostly consist of ensuring that birth certificates are only issued to real people and deaths are noticed and recorded, as well as giving people a mechanism to dispute the misrouting of payments. For the same reasons, it's more scalable. Means-tested systems introduce all sorts of odd economic distortions based on the exact rules. UBI would have effects vs a pure market system (which no one actually has), but economists argue that they would be smaller.

      The big risk, of course, is that UBI may encourage able-bodied people not to work. That's a problem if and only if we need those people to work. The motivation for exploring UBI is that maybe we don't need everyone working now, and in the future it seems extremely likely that we'll need less human labor due to AI-driven expansion in automation of production and distribution.

      --
      Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
    12. Re:explanation for dummies by olau · · Score: 2

      I'm not an expert, but some observations:

      One of the goals of UBI is to make welfare cheaper - less administrative overhead, less hospitalization. So it may not be apples-to-apples when you're comparing before with after.

      Another goal is to enable low-paid workes to get a job which increases the tax base.

      Say Joe Schmuck can't find a job in the current economy, nobody's going to pay him the $20 USD/hour it takes for him to survive. Now the government steps in and pays him this, and suddently he might accept $10 USD/hour to earn enough money to go on vacation etc, something he can't afford on UBI.

      Additionally, if you give a well-paid individual $30k extra, you can tax that individual $30k extra per year, no problem. Then that person won't get $30k extra, but we aren't discussing UBI because well-paid individuals are in trouble, we're discussing it because it looks like the increasing technological innovations may create a permanent problem for a large group of people. In other words, the status quo may eventually be rioting in the streets.

      But yes, it seems unlikely things can be balanced without increased taxes, at least if we're talking about UBI that can actually support people and supplant other wellfare programmes.

    13. Re:explanation for dummies by lance_of_the_apes · · Score: 1

      Because people understand that when I suggest cutting down on sugar intake, it doesn't mean restricting one's diet to celery-only...

      I'm quite certain people will find ways to have their gold-plated fixtures, regardless.

    14. Re:explanation for dummies by Anubis+IV · · Score: 1

      Or am I missing something?

      Nope, other than that something like this becomes a must in order to avoid the need-based uprising of the masses.

      Thanks to automation, we're quickly reaching the point in many industries where employing people to do your work is a money-losing operation. Once it becomes unprofitable to employ people, those unemployed people will, by necessity, require some other way to supply their needs. If they don't have it, you'll have backed them into a corner, with a violent uprising being one of their few means for recourse.

      So yes, it's a wealth transfer from the rich, to the poor. Given what it buys the rich (e.g. eager consumers in place of violent usurpers), I suspect they'll be amenable.

    15. Re:explanation for dummies by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      Birth rates are in steep decline in industrialized countries. The only thing pushing populations up has been migrations from backwards nations.

      Industrialization brings automation. Automation reduces the number of jobs available.

      Increased automation, as a result of industrialization, harmonizes with decreasing populations. More robots, fewer workers, fewer children born, lower populations. Had industrialization been allowed to run its course naturally in the West, without interference from governments looking to boost population growth with immigration, it would all balance out. Instead, Merkel happened, and immigration is going to result in a permanent underclass of low-skill, low-wage, under/unemployed bellies who look different, speak differently, and practice different religions and customs from the natives. There will be rioting in the streets regardless of UBI.

    16. Re:explanation for dummies by greythax · · Score: 1

      Ok, I had to undo mod points to post this, but I think this subject is rarely covered on slashdot. There is a dirty little secret to an economy, especially a consumer based one. In order for it to be strong, the money has to keep moving. If it gets locked up in too many places, the economy starts to stall. In america, this is typically done through progressive taxation and stock market investment. Why? It's pretty simple really. Poor people can't afford to save money. They typically live paycheck to paycheck. If you give 100 dollars to a poor person, you are basically injecting 100 dollars into the economy. Rich people don't have this problem. They are allowed to have savings, lock up their money into assets such as new houses, etc.

      So yes, it is completely a redistribution of wealth, but one that will effectively create more, not less opportunity. Lets take everyone's favorite punching bag, Bill Gates. He is sitting one the same amount of wealth as literally millions of the lowest earning americans. Assuming you took all of it, and gave it to those people for free, what do you think would happen. Most would blow it. A healthy chunk would buy new computers and some of that money would return to Mr. Gates. And some percentage of those people would use the opportunity to position themselves to capture that money (by opening businesses) as it filters back up in the economy. You create hundreds of millionaires by devastating one billionaire.

      Now, is this sort of thing a good idea for a society? Beats me, one could make several arguments in both directions. It is however, a very good idea for an economy. Keeping the money moving will always create more jobs, and allow more people to capture wealth as it filters up. UBI is not the only method of doing it, but it is sure a darn effective one.

    17. Re:explanation for dummies by backwardsposter · · Score: 1

      The benefit isn't supposed to be where the money comes from, but how the system is implemented. The idea is that we can save a lot of money in administration/streamlining the process (and for some people it's cutting out the misuse that goes unseen/unreported in an overly complicated system). At least some of the funding will come from folding all systems into each other. This system isn't going to be in addition to what we currently have, and you have to think about how money is currently distributed into hundreds of current different welfare systems/tax breaks/ etc.

    18. Re:explanation for dummies by j-beda · · Score: 1

      There is "redistribution" of existing wealth, but there is also "distribution" of future wealth gains and thinking about how society does that is probably something that we should do more of.

      One way to "fund" this type of "UBI" that I came across in a Heinlein novel years ago is through some sort of "Social Credit" type of arrangement. As I have understood some of the philosophy: since a functional society is a neccessary pre-condition for most forms of ecconomic activity, ALL of the members of society should have at least SOME benifit when the total wealth of the society increases or when "the government" sells or leases various assets to others. Thus things like "sovereign funds" can be created (Alaska Permanent Fund for example) to distribute money to everyone, or more complicated systems where each year some fraction of the country's increase in GDP is distributed equally to everyone, and is used to fund governmental operations, and currency control is used to keep inflation from going crazy.

      Heinlein story - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...
      Social Credit - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...
      Sovereign wealth fund - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

      It certainly does seem that past increases in western society's overall wealth and productivity could have been distributed more broadly. Looking at productivity gains since 1900 - we should all be able to be working ten hour weeks with full employment and a fairly high standard of living. The way things worked out historically are only one way that they could have been done. Looking towards future productivity gains, we should be able to all have lives of mostly leasure - if we figured out a way to effectivley spread our wealth around.

      Of course, the devil is in the details. Finding ways to fairly spread future wealth gains while continuing to provide incentives for people to be productive without being overly authoritarian or too open to gaming the system is not trivial. Put me in absoulte control and I am willing to make the hard decisions. I promise to be fair. Really. Trust me.

    19. Re:explanation for dummies by Rick+Schumann · · Score: 1

      What would happen is the super-rich, and corporations, would find a way to weasel out of paying anything at all, perhaps by moving their wealth out of the country, perhaps by moving their entire corporation out of the country, to avoid paying the excessively high taxes necessary to make this insane idea work. By the way the rich and corporations already do this; it's called 'offshoring', and rich people store their money in overseas banks to avoid taxes. They'd all double-down on what they're doing and be untouchable. The end result would be a totally bankrupt government, totally in disarray, and a country full of people living in abject poverty (even worse than they already are, in some cases). It would be a disaster. But the myopic supporters of this nonsense idea can't see that far ahead, all they see is 'FREE MONEY!' in 72-point flashing font with chaser lights around it. idiotic.

    20. Re:explanation for dummies by crafoo · · Score: 1

      You are missing exactly half of the story.

      The top "earners" don't actually go to work. They sit on their ass and post irrational screeds about the "lazy poor". They sip cocktails and golf. Their "earnings" come 100% from controlling the capital of the 100 person society or through parasitically siphoning off cash at every transaction event. They own the equipment or the accounting infrastructure therefore all profits are theirs.

      The new twist is that this machinery and accounting systems are soon going to be fully automated. The capitalists and bankers no longer require workers.

      What happens now?

    21. Re:explanation for dummies by Solandri · · Score: 1

      The same needs to be done for the other side of the coin - eliminate redundancy in revenue collection. If you think about it, there's no fiscal difference between extracting $5000 in taxes from the economy from one location, vs. $10 taxes from 500 locations. e.g. A corporate tax just gets passed on to customers in the form of higher prices. The only difference is in the cost and manpower needed to collect the taxes. So that huge book of tax laws needs to be thrown out and replaced with a small booklet listing just a handful of taxes, and the IRS shrunk down to about 1/10th its current size.

    22. Re:explanation for dummies by Bartles · · Score: 1

      So basically you just want to increase taxes on people that make more than you.

    23. Re:explanation for dummies by will_die · · Score: 1

      No the flaws with these "trail runs" is they are not UBI they are a combining of various welfare payments into a single system. So the only people getting them are people who would get welfare.

    24. Re:explanation for dummies by tricorn · · Score: 2

      Yes. A flat tax is not regressive when combined with an appropriate level of a fixed distribution, it is instead a smooth progressive tax.

      The numbers I started off with as a rough estimate are $2000/yr ($400 for dependent children), 50% flat tax (personal and business), 25% VAT. Eliminate welfare, unemployment, SNAP, etc. Keep SS for now but phase out slowly. Add Universal Healthcare. Eliminate taxes on dividends, capital gains, but add in a day-trader/high-speed trading transaction tax. Eliminate minimum wage entirely.

      Add in low cost (but not free) universal lifetime education opportunities (on top of what will be available on-line) both academic and vocational. Establish minimum network connectivity at a fixed price.

      Estate taxes are another subject, their purpose is more about preventing too much accumulation of wealth and is very nuanced, I'd like to see it go but it perhaps can't be eliminated entirely.

      To get actual tax rates, take total government spending (including the UBI), take 50% of it as a flat tax against personal and business income, the other 50% from a VAT.

      Some people will just sit around playing video games and writing comments on-line, but so what? Do businesses really want that person working for them anyway?

      As automation reduces the need for human labor to be able to support everyone, a job will no longer be a necessity, it will be a luxury. You'll be THRILLED to have a job and pay taxes, giving you much more disposable income than others. If you can't find a job, perhaps you'll start your own businesses. People will have much more mobility, they'll be able to move to that place with no jobs (and thus housing is cheap) which will then actually start bringing jobs to it. City too expensive? No problem. Some low paying jobs might actually start to pay more simply because no one will take them since they don't have to in order to survive. Free market, baby!

      It actually should boost a free market economy, and what's the alternative as automation takes over more and more jobs? Creating makework jobs to satisfy an outmoded Puritan Work Ethic (if you aren't suffering and working hard, you're a bad person and should be made to suffer, unless of course you're rich in which case you must be a good person and don't have to suffer and work hard).

    25. Re:explanation for dummies by Pfhorrest · · Score: 1

      Even simpler, fix the UBI to a percentage of GDP, then fund it with a flat income tax of the same percentage, and the math automatically works out such that everyone below the mean income sees some net benefit, the mean income is exactly neutral, and people above the mean income pay for the benefit of the people below. Where the mean income falls relative to the median income determines what percentage of people fall on either side of the neutral line (currently it'd be about 75% below and 25% above), and mean income relative to median income is a good measure of income (in)equality (under a normal i.e. gaussian distribution you would expect mean and median to be the same, but mean rises above median the more top-heavy it becomes), so the system automatically becomes more progressive in response to growing income inequality, and then scales back again in response to growing income equality.

      --
      -Forrest Cameranesi, Geek of all Trades
      "I am Sam. Sam I am. I do not like trolls, flames, or spam."
    26. Re:explanation for dummies by Anubis+IV · · Score: 1

      Yeah, when I made that previous post, I was operating under the assumptions that:
      A) The destruction of the impoverished is not a viable option
      B) Laws intended to impede technological progress will inevitably fail

      Obviously, (A) may not hold, particularly if an armed uprising seems like a real possibility. As for (B), it will eventually work its way out, but, as you said, it may just come about through the progress being made elsewhere, leading to those countries outcompeting the ones that established the technology-impairing laws.

    27. Re:explanation for dummies by JesseMcDonald · · Score: 1

      The economy does perfectly fine when the money doesn't move—provided it's doing so because that is the most economical choice and not because of some political interference or other throwing a wrench into the works. It's the government that has a funding problem when money stops moving, because they take their cut whenever money changes hands. Money staying in one place is of little value to them, so they push this narrative that the money has to keep flowing, because a higher velocity is in their own best interest, even though forcing money to move is ultimately just as destructive as forcing it to remain still. In the absence of interference the market naturally seeks the optimal velocity for maximizing the wealth of society as a whole; intervention which causes a shift away from that optimum point—in either direction—impoverishes us all. The same dynamic tension exists between saving/investment and consumption: neither is inherently good or bad, and society as a whole is not better off for artificially promoting one over the other.

      --
      "The state is that great fiction by which everyone tries to live at the expense of everyone else." - Bastiat
    28. Re:explanation for dummies by AdamStarks · · Score: 1

      Let's Fermi this: 324 million Americans, with an average income of something like 60k per year. If we want to provide UBI of 20k per year, then we simply tax all non-UBI income at 33%. The guy making 1 million a year and the guy making 20k a year have the same tax rate, but the former ends up with 687k, while the latter ends up with 33k, and people at the mean break even.

      That's all of course drastically simplified, but if it means you don't need to manage unemployment, disability, welfare, food stamps, etc, you can end up with a much leaner program. To add some gross approximation of the difference between 20k in San Francisco vs Montana, you could do this math per state instead of all over the country, with 20k replaced with whatever the equivalent purchasing power is, adjusted each year.

      I'm not a policy expert by any means, but at least on the face of it, it seems reasonable to me.

    29. Re:explanation for dummies by JesseMcDonald · · Score: 1

      If you think about it, there's no fiscal difference between extracting $5000 in taxes from the economy from one location, vs. $10 taxes from 500 locations. e.g. A corporate tax just gets passed on to customers in the form of higher prices. The only difference is in the cost and manpower needed to collect the taxes.

      To the tax collector, sure, the total amount collected is the same. Individual taxpayers tend to take a more, well, personal view. The form of the tax makes a big difference in how the tax burden is distributed.

      People seem to like the idea of corporate taxes because they associate corporations with the "evil" 1%, but such taxes are actually rather regressive—they are passed on through small, hidden increases the prices of everything you buy, and thus have the most effect on those who spend most of their income on consumer goods. Shareholders take a hit too, of course, as well as employees—but remember that a significant portion of those "shareholders" actually consists of various retirement funds. In the end, a corporate tax hurts the conscientious middle-class taxpayer in at least three different ways: at the store, in their paycheck, and at retirement.

      --
      "The state is that great fiction by which everyone tries to live at the expense of everyone else." - Bastiat
    30. Re:explanation for dummies by PJ6 · · Score: 1

      So this is basically a large wealth transfer (which all taxes in principle are), not some utopian new idea that somehow pays for itself, right?

      A criticism for any social program, not just UBI. Taking money from some people to give to others. It looks bad. If I have money, why should I like it that you take *my* money to give to these other lazy people?

      Lazy is the terrible, pernicious lie at the heart of modern right-wing ideology. Massive wealth transfers are already built into our economic system, and they're all in the other direction - a very small number of people end up with most of the wealth, while everyone else does all the actual work.

      Take a janitor in a city, working his ass off on two jobs just to make ends meet. Hard, useful work, work that needs to be done, that nobody likes. Compare to the socialite born into wealth, that takes and takes of the wealth our civilization has to offer, but has never done anything useful in his life.

      Considering the goals of capitalism, some may consider this a perverse outcome.

      I don't have any solutions to offer, but whenever "wealth transfer" is used to object to the UBI, remember that what we have in place is already exactly that.

    31. Re:explanation for dummies by Gorobei · · Score: 1

      That is quite elegant.

      I had originally thought of picking the numbers with a tied UBI (like % of GDP) and a median-based percentage: it keeps the system voter-neutral under somewhat idealistic assumptions. Mean-based does seem to have some nicer features.

    32. Re:explanation for dummies by RoccamOccam · · Score: 1

      I thought that Universal means that everyone gets it, whether they need it or not. If that is the case, then "the current set of government subsidies" won't really apply.

    33. Re:explanation for dummies by J-1000 · · Score: 1

      What makes this different from just another kind of tax and welfare system, or somehow magically paid for because of today's economic dynamics?

      I suppose the difference is the complete lack of pretense. The redistribution is no longer hidden under this program or that program. It's right out in the open for everyone to see. Likewise with the rules simplified there's less threat of the system being gamed. I don't know about you, but that's one thing I want: clarity. It's a bit like the flat tax propositions if you think about it like that.

    34. Re:explanation for dummies by Gussington · · Score: 1

      Suppose our society is just 100 people. We're going to give everyone $30,000 in basic income, for example. Where does it come from? Everyone pays $30,000 in taxes to fund the pool of money that pays everyone $30,000 each? What would be the point of that?

      I'm no expert but you are making the mistake that the economy is some finite state machine. There is some analogy I remember about a traveler who comes to town and gives the local hotelier $100 deposit for a room. The Hotelier uses the $100 to pay his bill with the butcher, who in turn pays his bill with the Publican, who in turns pays the Prostitute when then pays the Hotelier. The traveler decides not to stay so gets his $100 back and leaves town.
      Without a single penny being created or destroyed, $400 has been injected into the economy.
      So without knowing anything about it, I know there is more to economics than simple arithmetic. And I'm sure someone smarter than the both of us knows the science behind UBI.

    35. Re:explanation for dummies by swb · · Score: 1

      I mostly and regretfully agree with the pass-through nature of corporate taxation, but I'm curious how the problem should be solved, recognizing that corporations consume great quantities of government services -- the legal system, patents & enforcement, law enforcement, and so on.

      How do you handle their "user fees"? Property taxes sort of help on the local level, although these are just as pass-through as an income tax in many ways, but at least they are tied to the specific places where corporations own property and the costs they impose on local communities (roads, police, fire, etc).

      Maybe the argument is to eliminate corporate taxes and just drastically raise individual taxes, treating all personal income, whether wages or capital gains, as income and taxing it progressively.

      Despite the pass-through nature of corporate taxes, it seems like there needs to be *some* way of extracting taxation from corporations.

    36. Re:explanation for dummies by toddestan · · Score: 1

      The thing is, corporate taxes aren't strictly pass-through. The taxes can be paid by simply passing them onto the consumer, or they can be paid out of the profits, or perhaps by reducing those obscene salaries for the people at the top. This mostly depends on the market - if demand is relatively elastic or they have a monopoly, they can pretty much pass the entire tax onto the consumer who has little choice but to pay the whole thing. Think the phone company, or the cable company. If demand is elastic or the marketplace is very competitive, they likely won't get away with passing the tax onto the consumer and may have to absorb the costs themselves. If they don't their competition can and will undercut them.

      So the obvious solution is to promote a free and open marketplace, and start busting up some of these large mega-corporations, monopolies, and oligopolies out there to promote competition.

    37. Re:explanation for dummies by swb · · Score: 1

      I think the challenge is that some chunk of firms (probably towards the smaller end) do have to eat the taxes, and they're the ones represented by "corporate taxes are too high".

      Large firms like Apple, etc, show off the nominally large tax amounts they pay and cash in on this sentiment, even though they are able (due to size, market dominance, etc) to pass them through to customers. And they're the ones we really need to tax.

      Part of me thinks that corporate tax needs to be relatively small, but then another tax based something on profits after the initial taxes. Small firms wouldn't pay much, but large firms might pay more.

      Or a tax based off the ratio of executive/work compensation ratios, or a tax based on cash and short-term securities. Or some kind of tax based on sales margin, using that as a benchmark as to how likely the firm is to pass on the tax to consumers.

    38. Re:explanation for dummies by jwhitener · · Score: 1

      You aren't missing anything. But I think you are thinking of this as just a tax/welfare system, no different than any other in history. It isn't.

      Think of a (maybe dystopian) future, where 100% of all production is entirely done by automated processes. Processes that can even repair and improve themselves. What then?

      Well, someone will own those processes, and be making a lot of profit, with zero labor costs. Do they have an obligation to society to pay for the infrastructure, police, military, etc.. if there are literally no jobs to be had, so no one else has any money at all?

      We aren't there yet, but the reason UBI is being discussed and experimented with, is because that is the direction we've been headed for a long time now. US production and efficiency has been climbing every decade. But the gains in profit from that increased production, has not translated into more jobs, or higher paying jobs.

      The majority of American workers have not had a pay increase, adjusted for inflation and buying power, in over 30 years. But that doesn't mean someone else isn't getting more money. The owners of production have had record profits. And the wealth and income inequality in the US is approaching historic highs as well. Almost as high as it was right before the great depression.

      Or, think of it this way:
      In the future, an owner of a factory may have two choices:
      1. Employee 1000 people making widgets, make 100,000,000 in profit, Pay 75,000,000 in labor. Net profit, 25 million - minus some regular taxes.
      2. Full automation, 0 workers. Make 100,000,000 profit, pay 75,000,000 extra in UBI taxes. Net profit, 25 million - minus some regular taxes.

  11. How do you run a "pilot" that means anything? by swb · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I mean, if it's not universal, than it's not a Universal Basic Income.

    I could see doing it on a regional basis -- but you'd have to be kind of a hard-ass about it and be fairly committed to it.

    Restrict it to only residents of the region at the time it started. Actually dismantle that region's regular welfare system, so you know exactly what cost savings you are gaining. I don't see either of those as being easy or palatable.

    Which seems to be the major problem with a UBI -- you can model the shit out of it and say it makes sense, but until you do it -- and make it Universal -- you don't know.

    And it still leaves a lot of uncomfortable questions -- what about immigrants? How long are they there until they're eligible? Diverse welfare payments are easier in that situation, because you can say "well, immigrants should get housing and job training, but not actual unemployment payments" or however you slice it.

    FWIW, I think a negative income tax type of UBI makes sense, especially if it allows for marginal, low-wage employment without completely eliminating UBI payments (they should get zeroed out by taxes, but only once income rises above some level greater than UBI itself). I think providing people an incentive to work, even at low wage jobs (ie, more total income) makes sense, and would have a lot of positive impacts on working conditions. Low wage employers wouldn't be able to treat workers like slaves because homelessness and starvation wouldn't be the alternatives.

    1. Re:How do you run a "pilot" that means anything? by pijokela · · Score: 1

      The participants to the pilot were selected randomly from the population of Finland. It is not limited to a region. This way they represent all social classes. After some years the people in the pilot are compared to others who were in the same situation as the pilot started.

      The problems with immigration etc. already exist in our current system, so we most likely already have solutions for them.

    2. Re:How do you run a "pilot" that means anything? by TeknoHog · · Score: 1

      The participants to the pilot were selected randomly from the population of Finland. It is not limited to a region. This way they represent all social classes.

      Not quite. The participants were selected from those already receiving unemployment benefits. Apparently, the idea was to compare the test group against other unemployed people when it comes to accepting job offers. Also, their tax levels were left unchanged. The real reason for this all seems to be proving that UBI doesn't work, by making the study flawed enough.

      I recall serious discussions on a regional pilot, and I thought you'd get edge effects somewhat like the booze runs between Finland and Estonia. You might see different prices within and around the pilot town, and people shopping across the border would spread and dilute the effect.

      --
      Escher was the first MC and Giger invented the HR department.
    3. Re:How do you run a "pilot" that means anything? by pijokela · · Score: 1

      If you are unemployed and in the UBI pilot you get pretty much the same amount of money as you previously got. The main difference is that you can e.g. start a small business and not lose the UBI.

    4. Re:How do you run a "pilot" that means anything? by pijokela · · Score: 1

      Hmm.. I didn't remember this, thanks! This could actually be a problem, because now the pilot does not give us any information about effects of UBI to people with full time jobs.

    5. Re:How do you run a "pilot" that means anything? by pijokela · · Score: 1

      I don't know if you know this, but we have actually made our refugee immigration rules much stricter in the last 5 years. We are also very aggressive in returning people who do not get refugee status. You can always say that we are still too lax, but compared to 10 years ago, we are quite tough on the refugees.

    6. Re:How do you run a "pilot" that means anything? by RyoShin · · Score: 1

      I don't see either of those as being easy or palatable. [...] what about immigrants? How long are they there until they're eligible?

      Some might not be the most palatable, but I think they're pretty easy:
      Restrictions: native citizen, and immigrants must become naturalized citizen (for at least one full year?) before they can receive benefits
      Application: Start UBI at a very low number, say $100, and increase this every year until the target amount is hit. At the same time you decrease other government benefit payments by the same amount, and if the payment goes to $0 the benefit is summarily cancelled for that person.

      Maybe even do the ramp-up thing for new immigrants as they get on the path to citizenship.

      This will allow society to transition much easier, and the government benefit overhead will also decrease (non-linearly?) over time so that those employees aren't suddenly dumped (which, even if they started off receiving full UBI could still be a large shock to the system.) Such a transition might even take half of a generation to complete, depending on how slow society wants (or is able) to move. Such a slow transition would also make it easier to reverse course, if it seems that UBI is working out contrary to the results of every study or trial conducted (to my knowledge.)

      I think a negative income tax type of UBI makes sense

      A large argument for UBI is that it removes clerical overhead. All citizens, a check, the end. With a negative income tax you bring a lot of that overhead back in, because now the accountants have to make sure that every citizen is getting not a penny more in their UBI check than their income allows.

      I think providing people an incentive to work

      I never understand this line of thought. Why do you believe that even a significant minority of the population would become life-long stay-at-home-slobs? And why does that reason not already happen for the super-wealthy, the vast majority of whom (AFAIK) still hold various positions for various sums of money? Why is it impossible for a person to have worth if they don't have work?

      UBI would allow for survival and little more. It's not going to be a very fun survival, but you'll have a roof, three squares, and clothes. People will still want extravagances, larger dwellings, more options in meals; all of which which require more money, which requires a job. Even those who are content with their UBI won't necessarily stop "working": 25% of Americans volunteer, and for many of these people it's beyond what they already do for a living (I'm a software developer by trade but a shift manager at a feline rescue by volunteering). While the charity landscape would probably change greatly, there would still be a need for volunteers and I expect that number would climb. UBI would also open a lot of interest in thrifty living, so there would be "share work" in communities, person A maintains a garden, person B repairs homes, and they exchange services/goods for help with the other.

    7. Re:How do you run a "pilot" that means anything? by swb · · Score: 1

      A large argument for UBI is that it removes clerical overhead. All citizens, a check, the end. With a negative income tax you bring a lot of that overhead back in, because now the accountants have to make sure that every citizen is getting not a penny more in their UBI check than their income allows.

      That's why you use the tax system, to make means testing just part of the tax system. If UBI is universal, everyone gets a check, so the IRS already knows what this amount is, and anyone working at a job automatically has their income reported to the IRS, so there's zero new overhead by using the progressive tax system to negate UBI income for job holders with wage income that puts them over the UBI threshold.

      The net effect for someone working at a $100k/year wage job collecting $30k UBI would be higher rates of withholding (ie, withholding that treats their real income as $130k). The UBI would be essentially returned through high rates of taxation.

      I never understand this line of thought. Why do you believe that even a significant minority of the population would become life-long stay-at-home-slobs? And why does that reason not already happen for the super-wealthy, the vast majority of whom (AFAIK) still hold various positions for various sums of money? Why is it impossible for a person to have worth if they don't have work?

      Philosophically, we're in agreement on this issue, but I think politically you need to demonstrate an incentive to work. Plus I also think that people *would* adapt to UBI only as a lifestyle if the choice was solely UBI vs. any low wage job which eliminated UBI.

      And it's not like the "idle rich" isn't already an understood concept, and many of those that are well off and could, in an accounting sense, quit their jobs, don't because they want to maintain a high expense lifestyle not sustainable by accumulated wealth or they are simply driven individuals who find work rewarding. Probably many children of the wealthy who might be able to not work wind up in jobs which are easy, inconsequential or intellectually stimulating in ways that make going to work a rewarding way to pass time. I've done work for family firms where the children of the founder have trivial executive positions in "marketing" or "product development" that amount to little more than constructive private welfare.

      By and large, the people who work now would continue to work, but by making marginal work rewarding you deal with some of the potential labor shortfalls in a UBI environment where low-wage jobs stop being filled because there is no coercive economic pressure to do those jobs. I think a side benefit of UBI is that low wage jobs would have to become *better* jobs -- less demeaning, less exploitative -- to attract workers. In fact, I think *most* jobs would feel this pressure. Most middle class families have two wage earners and would collapse financially at the loss of a single earner's wages. With UBI, this would be unlikely, so employers would find that even high wage jobs that negate UBI over a year would have much more selective employees unwilling to accept unpaid overtime or the other negative working conditions imposed even on white collar jobs.

  12. Re:Never fly in the USA. by thaylin · · Score: 1

    Serious question. If you made UBI, which is income that is BARELY enough to scrape by, without being able to afford anything else but scraping by, are you seriously going to stop working and stop making the money needed for things outside of bare necessities?

    The whole "people will stop working if you pay for their bare needs" argument is a massive lie. You may have increased worry over under the table jobs, but people are not going to stop working, just like they dont generally stop working on welfare, because no one wants just enough money to pay for your house, utilities, and putting cheap crappy food on the table, they want a vehicle, they want vacations, they want Netflix and other entertainment.

    --
    When you cant win, ad hominem.
  13. Just one question: by dschiptsov · · Score: 1

    Where that free lunch would come from, given that most of European states (with notable exception of Germany) cannot even provide a decent pensions for their elderly? Perhaps, they should have been reminded that voting for free lunches for everyone does not magically makes it happen.

  14. We already have it in Belgium by tommeke100 · · Score: 1

    One one hand you have unemployment, which depending on your situation is 1,000 - 1,600 euro per month.
    If you don't qualify for unemployment, you can still get a "living wage", which is 870 euro if you're single (570 if single and living together) and 1,150 euro if you have kids.

    1. Re:We already have it in Belgium by pijokela · · Score: 1

      What happens if you start a company that does not yet make any money? Do you lose all the benefits? What about full time students? At least our current system has all kinds of holes you can fall in to unless you are careful.

    2. Re:We already have it in Belgium by tommeke100 · · Score: 1

      If you are a contractor or have a company you have very little fall-back. For students it really depends. If you are still under your parents roof you can't apply for anything, but if you go live alone, you could apply for a "living wage" as a student. Tuition is still currently rather cheap, and you get social rebate. You probably have access to a social scholarship as well.

  15. Re:How do you reverse this if need to? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Historical example, USSR in 1992. Modern example, Venezuela.

  16. Universal Basic Income math (US) by mpercy · · Score: 4, Interesting

    The poverty threshold, poverty limit or poverty line is the minimum level of income deemed adequate to cover total cost of all the essential resources that an average human adult consumes in one year. In the US, this is presented as an income level based on household size (number of dependents). For a single person household, the poverty line is $12,060 (2017).

    Perhaps worth noting is that a single person household working a full-time minimum-wage job exceeds the poverty line (50 weeks time 40 hours times $7.25 is $14,500), so by definition a full-time minimum wage worker is not living in poverty. But if that same person has a child, then both are living in poverty, as the poverty line for a two-person household is $16,240. In a very real albeit statistical sense, children cause poverty.

    An assumption of a UBI is that it provides sufficient income to survive on, so let's use the poverty line as the basis for the UBI. That is, a single person household would receive a UBI of $12,060; A two-person household would receive a UBI of $16,240; and so on. Note that even this basic assumption leads to perverse outcomes (e.g. two adults living separately would get $12,060 each, but if they live together they "lose" $7,880 in UBI), so at least some will avoid getting married, or even living together (or lie about living together, thereby defrauding the system) just to maximize their free money.

    Using census data, there are 124.5 million households. The average household size is 2.54 people. Let's interpolate the poverty table to get an average expected UBI of about $18,497. Multiplying that out we can get the tab for providing UBI based on these assumptions, a total of about $2.303 trillion.

    Coincidentally, that is almost exactly the amount of money we currently spend on all social welfare benefits programs, including Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, foodstamps, etc. A reasonable idea--indeed, this was put forward in a WSJ essay by Charles Murray--would be to eliminate all those programs in favor of the UBI. Of course, this ignores the howls that would arise from a populace deprived of their SS checks and foodstamps.

    Exploring the notion of replacing the most basic welfare programs, e.g. foodstamps, section 8 housing, while not disrupting the SS and Medicare that the elderly view as an earned right. After all, the UBI based on poverty level should by definition cover those sorts of expenses. There will still be screams from people concerned about drug addicts not buying food for their kids and that sort of thing. So it seems unlikely that the overhead of those programs, let alone the programs, would be completely done away with.

    So it seems almost a certainty that a UBI would be adjacent to at least SS/Medicare. Those totaled about $1.473T of the welfare expenditures, so add the $2.303 to the SS/Medicare $1.473T for a total cost of $3.776T. Perhaps the UBI reduces SS income dollar-for-dollar in an either-or situation reduces this a bit.

    A worst-case cost would be adding UBI on top of all the existing programs, for a total cost of about $5T. Or perhaps the UBI in lieu of all other programs can actually be rammed through so that the cost remains a minimum of $2.303T.

    Total federal revenues collected from all sources (taxes, royalties, etc.) in 2014 (last year available) was $3.27 trillion. So UBI would consume somewhere north of 70% of all federal revenues. And the math here assumes that no one receive UBI drops out of the workforce or reduces their taxable income at all--i.e., that revenues stay constant.

    1. Re:Universal Basic Income math (US) by apoc.famine · · Score: 2

      Your numbers match roughly with the ones I crunched above, working the other direction. I took our $2.6T annual income and payroll taxes and divided them up among the population of the US. That came to about $7k/person annually, which would be $14k for a single parent and kid, and $28k for a family of four. And that is essentially the poverty line currently.
       
      As you noted, with $3.3T of total federal revenues, there isn't much left over once you do UBI. Certainly not enough to to stack UBI with anything else. But this ignores $2.5T in money held by US companies overseas, and the federal revenues assumes that there is no economic change due to UBI.
       
      While there will definitely be waste and fraud with UBI, if structured in a functional manner it would likely be an economic net gain. There are perverse incentives to not work when on assistance now, because there are hard cutoffs when you make too much money. I talked to a guy the other night devastated because his family made $700 too much last year, and they're getting kicked off medicaid. He's looking at hundreds of dollars per month more in health insurance costs, far offsetting the money that triggered the change. With UBI, this doesn't happen. People are free to wrok as much or as little as they want, and they can take business risks without worrying about dying in the streets.

      Of course, this ignores the howls that would arise from a populace deprived of their SS checks and foodstamps.

      Then you've never met someone who has had to be on food stamps. The EBT rules are ridiculous and stupid, and only certain foods qualify. I doubt anyone would complain about getting a check instead of a debit card that rejects paying for random shit based on some arbitrary rules. The estimated average monthly SS benefit for "all retired workers" in 2016 is $1,341, a statement plucked from Google. It would definitely be a reduction in income if we immediately switched from SS to UBI, but I don't know that anyone is suggesting that we do that. We can phase out SS and phase in UBI.
       
      It looks close to workable in the US, although we'd have to tighten up on corporate taxing, and not have our elected infants totally screw it up intentionally. And given those caveats, it will never happen in the US.

      --
      Velociraptor = Distiraptor / Timeraptor
    2. Re:Universal Basic Income math (US) by Dixie_Flatline · · Score: 1

      While it's very difficult to measure these effects, there are a number of secondary effects that occur when you remove the burden of worrying about money.

      In the Mincome experiment in Manitoba in the 70s, they found that coincident with the experiment, hospital admissions were down 8.5%.

      Particularly in the USA, that kind of drop in admissions would translate into considerable savings that would accrue primarily to the state, since those in poverty generally aren't capable of paying medical bills.

      You might also see savings from people being able to care for sick family members/the elderly.

      So I would say that your calculations provide a good floor for the benefit of the system; at worst it's a wash but it's considerably more equitable. At best it relieves the burden on the healthcare system, reduces crime, etc.

  17. Disenfranchise paupers by mi · · Score: 1

    I'd be happy if the paupers receiving public assistance were not allowed to vote while at it... But somehow this is anathema to most people.

    --
    In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
    1. Re:Disenfranchise paupers by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      I think in your world that people are either good, hard-working contributors to society or 'paupers'. Reality is more complex, and a lot of people (here in the US) spend some of theirs lives as each. When people lose their jobs, they get public assistance, and then later on they get work and pay taxes to pay for public assistance. When their spouses or parents die, when they retire, when they go bankrupt (after working for many years), they go on public assistance.

      Yes, its anathema to most people because most people realize that life is not like that. There are not two societies, a good productive and a bad taking. they are all people, and they all get to vote.

    2. Re:Disenfranchise paupers by fustakrakich · · Score: 1

      Why just the paupers? You should apply the same rules to everybody that receives public assistance, rich and poor alike.

      --
      “He’s not deformed, he’s just drunk!”
    3. Re:Disenfranchise paupers by mi · · Score: 1

      Because only poor receive public assistance to begin with. The subsidies and tax-incentives you are implicitly denouncing are not given out of charity but because government wants more of something. On contrast, paupers are supported out of charity — we want (at least, ostensibly) — fewer of them.

      --
      In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
    4. Re:Disenfranchise paupers by fustakrakich · · Score: 1

      Fascinatingly one sided...

      --
      “He’s not deformed, he’s just drunk!”
    5. Re:Disenfranchise paupers by operagost · · Score: 1

      Indeed. The one side he is on is the correct one.

      --

      Gamingmuseum.com: Give your 3D accelerator a rest.
    6. Re:Disenfranchise paupers by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      When people lose their jobs, they get public assistance, and then later on they get work and pay taxes to pay for public assistance.

      Not in the US they don't. Part of the employer taxes that are paid by an employer for each employee are paid into the unemployment fund. You can only collect unemployment if you contributed enough into the fund.

      So just like Social Security, it's something you already paid for. Not a handout.

    7. Re:Disenfranchise paupers by fustakrakich · · Score: 1

      Amongst sociopaths yes

      --
      “He’s not deformed, he’s just drunk!”
  18. More readily explained by simple question? by mpercy · · Score: 1

    "If we were to give you free money, would you be ok with that?"

    1. Re:More readily explained by simple question? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Well, only you are calling it "free money". Do you think that the money isn't paid for? Hint for you: it is. It's not free money.

      But if you don't NEED the job merely to not die, you can CHOOSE your job. You do not HAVE to take the offer if you feel it is insufficient recompense for the work, and therefore the job market becomes a FREE MARKET, where each entity can enter into an AGREEMENT between the two parties that they find mutially beneficial.

      And therefore a lot of big industries that require the force of death to make people work for the wages they'd like to offer are against it. Because THEY don't want to have to compete in a free market.

      How much would it cost your average CEO to give up their current job and do the janitor work, cleaning the shitholes and drains? A hell of a lot more than the job pays when the janitor has no choice but that or die on the streets. So in what way is the offer of pay comensurate with the work? It isn't.

      And when it comes to motivation, CEOs get a lifetime's cash in a years' salary, they could work a couple of years and retire. Yet the pay of the executive class is not curtailed with the "worry" that high pay will just ensure that CEOs will take a couple of years' work then leave and do nothing.

      Apparently THOSE angels work for the love of it, it's only the poor who do not want to work.

      Tell those angels to work as janitor then. See how much they love to be busy.

    2. Re: More readily explained by simple question? by TheDarkMaster · · Score: 1

      Very well said.

      --
      Religion: The greatest weapon of mass destruction of all time
    3. Re:More readily explained by simple question? by apoc.famine · · Score: 1

      But if you don't NEED the job merely to not die, you can CHOOSE your job.

      That's what I think holds the most promise for UBI. Far too many wage slaves and office drones because it's keeping them fed and the lights on at home. I bet there would be massive uptick in creative and innovative businesses being experimented with if people could try without risking poverty. More arts, music, gardens, and beauty in the world.
       
      I'm all for UBI and no minimum wage. If UBI is enough to keep everyone fed, housed, and generally healthy, there is no need for an artificially forced minimum wage, nor overtime nor anything else save safety regulations. Let businesses compete for workers however they see fit. Wages, perks, housing, good will, whatever you want, because people can quit at any time.

      --
      Velociraptor = Distiraptor / Timeraptor
  19. Re:Never fly in the USA. by evilRhino · · Score: 1

    There are entire industries that are completely dependent on a pool of workers that are able to be paid a low wage, such as seasonal farming, retail, and restaurant staff. If UBI were implemented, it would an easy choice for the median-to-low wage earners in the industry to forgo work and take the basic income, when many were relying on assistance anyway. As for the owners of the industries, either they would forced to close shop or raise wages to the point where a full-time worker would receive a living wage.

  20. Re:Never fly in the USA. by thaylin · · Score: 1

    It is not an "all or nothing". The fact acknowledged by TFA itself is that people receiving assistance begin working less than they used to.

    This is not true in the least. First of all the survey asked what they WOULD do. That is speculation, and only 3% surveyed said they would stop working, which would probably end when they realize the amount would not even pay their rent.... 8% said less, but how much less are we talking about, without numbers you really cant point out the problem.

    And they are happy to have others help them pay for it...

    Please point out, mathematically, how say 960 euros a month (the Netherlands experiment) would be able to pay for rent/mortgage, a car, food, utilities, vacation, and other entertainment, please show your work. This is the only

    --
    When you cant win, ad hominem.
  21. Re:Never fly in the USA. by olsmeister · · Score: 1

    Or automate. UBI could be the thing that finally forces industries to dive head-first into automation if their low-wage pool of employees dries up.

  22. UBI will work only if... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    UBI will only work if it is combined with something that cuts the balls off the political elite. Otherwise, UBI becomes a vote buying scheme for leftist, all the way up until the collapse of the country.

    For instance, Fair Tax, which is a libertarian tax proposal for the United States has a form of UBI. The Fair Tax eliminates all taxes in favor of 1 single sales tax of around 20%. This removes politicians ability to "hide" taxes from people behind payroll taxes, corporate taxes, etc. At the same time, the Fair Tax provides a UBI to everyone equivalent to what the standard of living would pay in taxes due to the fair tax. (Memory serves me it was around $350/mnt in 2010.)

    Remember, the majority of the population (if you're on /. you're probably not the majority) has no idea how much taxes they pay. You ask someone on April 15th how much they paid in taxes and they'll reply, "I didn't, I got money back!" That's the entire reason payroll taxes remained after WW2. But if someone is reminded everyday when they buy something how much taxes they're spending. They'll be less inclined to vote people who tax the shit out of them in the first place.

    1. Re:UBI will work only if... by bobbied · · Score: 2

      It won't even work then... UBI is basically going to make it profitable enough to not work and will require taxing the fruits of those who happened to have a job so much that they won't want to work anymore because the only clear what the UBI is (or less) anyway.. Who will work under those conditions? Few...Certainly not enough people to pay the bill for the poor who don't work.

      How do I know? History.... Or if you prefer current events, Venezuela, where this idea had the best chance of working with all that oil money the government gets...

      --
      "File to fit, pound to insert, paint to match" - Aircraft Maintenance 101
  23. Re:Never fly in the USA. by thaylin · · Score: 1

    Who says? And you are saying that those low paid workers would not keep their jobs to actually be able to do more with more income?

    In addition with the increased money in peoples hands you would actually see larger demand, and more economic growth from a demand spike.

    --
    When you cant win, ad hominem.
  24. Re:Never fly in the USA. by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 1

    people are not going to stop working

    Not true. There have been many UBI pilot programs and they all found that some people stopped working. Other people worked fewer hours. Even more common was that two-earner households became one-earner households. Women with young children are the most likely to drop out of the labor force.

  25. Other People's Money is great.... by bobbied · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Until it runs out.... See Greece and Venezuela if you don't believe me.

    OR...

    Those who rob Peter to pay Paul can always count on the support of Peter....

    --
    "File to fit, pound to insert, paint to match" - Aircraft Maintenance 101
    1. Re:Other People's Money is great.... by Place+a+name+here · · Score: 1

      Those who rob Peter to pay Paul can always count on the support of Peter....

      Why would Peter always support being robbed?

  26. Re:Never fly in the USA. by mi · · Score: 1

    This is not true in the least.

    What I said is entirely true — although few people (TFA cites 3%) would stop working completely — the strawman you put up initially — many will work less. TFA says so:

    Trials during the 1970s in Canada and the US found people worked slightly less

    and

    The Dalia survey, similarly, found most people said they would spend more time with family, volunteering, or training.

    So, 3% would stop working completely, and "most people" would work less. Just as I said.

    how say 960 euros a month (the Netherlands experiment) would be able to pay for

    I did not claim, it will "pay". I said, "help pay". It certainly would — in a country, where average pay of a Software Engineer is €41,227, the €11,520 you are citing is nothing to sneeze at.

    --
    In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
  27. Re:Never fly in the USA. by Topwiz · · Score: 2

    In Maine they added a welfare requirement to work/volunteer 20 hours per month. A large percent of the people dropped out. There are people that are too lazy to work.

  28. Re:Never fly in the USA. by fustakrakich · · Score: 1

    Sounds like the perfect way to beat the stagnant wages we've been under for the last forty years.

    --
    “He’s not deformed, he’s just drunk!”
  29. Re:Never fly in the USA. by Plus1Entropy · · Score: 1

    Even more common was that two-earner households became one-earner households. Women with young children are the most likely to drop out of the labor force.

    Isn't this the way it used to be back in the days when America was Great. You know, how we're supposedly trying to Make it Again?

    --
    Only crack the nuts that crack. You don't put the ones that don't crack in the sack.
  30. This is a bridge, but what's on the other side? by ErichTheRed · · Score: 3, Interesting

    What do you do when, say, 50 or 60 percent of the workforce is only capable of doing jobs that aren't profitable to pay people to do anymore? I don't think that you're going to be able to instantly break the cycle of "work--earn--consume" that has driven life since forever. Telling people who have spent their lives saving for retirement or amassing wealth that their money is no longer useful in the way it once was isn't going to go well.

    In my opinion, most people who say people who want a universal income in place are lazy freeloaders who just want to sit around all day haven't worked with a large cross-section of humanity. They work as IT people, or developers/engineers, or doctors, or some other profession that requires a lot of education and are surrounded by smart people all day long. Out in the rest of the world, there exist people who can't handle anything more than a menial job. You don't just turn paper filers and customer service people into data scientists and biochemists. The job-replacement train ran out of gas a while back. It worked well when it was farming, then factory work, then corporate factory-style work like clerical/secretary work, then service jobs. Once those service jobs are gone, what high-salary, low-requirement job replaces them? Economies are built around consumers having a good job, taking on debt, spending, and keeping that cycle going. Universal income would allow this cycle to continue for a little longer, allowing employers to pay people less but keep them employed if they wished to earn beyond the minimum income. It basically buys us time to figure out how to deal with what could end up being massive unemployment and poverty for a formerly stable portion of the first-world workforce.

    1. Re:This is a bridge, but what's on the other side? by volmtech · · Score: 1

      I was working 55 years ago when I was seven. My six year old brother and I had to walk to the backside of my dad's 40 acre property and pickup sticks and roots from new farmland my dad was clearing. We had to crank a small tractor and let it idle along in gear while we walked behind it tossing the roots into a cart it was pulling.

      To stop climate change we must eliminate fossil fuels and that eliminates the wealth they create. There will not be trillions of dollars to redistribute. Most people must become farmers again. If you grow up doing tasks to help feed the family it doesn't seem like work.

      People start these conversations as if the next thirty years are going to be like the last thirty. There are people giving dire predictions of climate change if we do not stop burning fossil fuels but no one has a plan for the transition or a view of what our lives will be after.

  31. Re:Never fly in the USA. by Anon-Admin · · Score: 1

    So it is Basic Income that does not meet the Basic needs?

    How long will that last before they are screaming for a raise?

  32. Re: Never fly in the USA. by Bartles · · Score: 1

    Libertarian does not mean what you think it means.

  33. Re:Capitalism on the march by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    It's always so much easier to decide how to employ other peoples labour

  34. Re:Never fly in the USA. by Dog-Cow · · Score: 1

    Yes and no. People who don't need to work look down on those who do. People who work look down on people who need to, but don't.

  35. Which social programs do you want to replace? by Brannon · · Score: 1

    Be specific. Then we'll figure out how much those programs cost, and weigh that against the cost of a UBI--I guarantee those numbers will not add up. Ready to play?

    1. Re:Which social programs do you want to replace? by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      Done.

      What did I win?

    2. Re:Which social programs do you want to replace? by Dixie_Flatline · · Score: 1

      Yes. But that was always guaranteed. I've never seen math from someone that's against UBI that stacks up; much as in the article, it's either a misunderstanding of the system or purposely inflated numbers that make it look like a bad deal.

    3. Re:Which social programs do you want to replace? by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      You just made an argument with no backing. You suggest some numbers are a misunderstanding or purposely inflated, but don't suggest which.

      Try me. I bet you can't.

  36. Won't work by Orgasmatron · · Score: 1, Insightful

    We lack the willpower to let those who mismanage their UBI payments die in the streets. Lots of people are poor because they lack the capacity to plan ahead. Not all, of course, but many. Those people are going to waste their UBI payments, and we will not be willing to let them starve or die of exposure. So, we will either add a new government program to spend their money wisely instead of letting them waste it, or we'll recreate the same old system of free housing and food stamps that we have now, just this time with higher taxes.

    --
    See that "Preview" button?
    1. Re:Won't work by WrongMonkey · · Score: 2

      Right now, in the US, we let 1.5M people live in the streets without letting it burden our conscience too much. I don't see any way that UBI would make that number any worse.

    2. Re:won't work by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      They are currently ridiculously overpaid for anti-work.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
  37. "at least part of your income will be steady" by Brannon · · Score: 1

    > you know that at least part of your income will be steady

    Until the next election following implementation of UBI. Then you'll be scrambling looking for a job [along with several million other people] while you have "smoked pot in Mom's basement" on your resume for the previous 4 years. Good luck with that.

  38. Re:Never fly in the USA. by Dog-Cow · · Score: 1

    Pulling money out one end and putting it in the other does not actually improve the economy. Even if it benefits restaurant owners at the expense of other taxpayers.

  39. Welfare that discourages getting jobs by Theovon · · Score: 3, Interesting

    There are places in the US where you would make less money working than you would on welfare. And since basically any kind of income can disqualify you from welfare, not only is work discouraged buyt working your way up is discouraged as well. Basically, since welfare isn’t on any kind of sliding scale, it actively discourages working.

    UBI would be abused. For sure. But if you’re not at risk of losing the income, then plenty of people will get part time jobs just to deal with the boredom.

    Maybe a bunch of the rest of them will spend their free time making more minecraft videos for youtube. (Did you know that there are a lot of people who make a comfortable living just playing video games and recording them for youtube? Amazing. This one guy Mumbo owns a Merc!)

    What I’d like to know is how much the welfare system, with all of its admin overhead, costs that doesn’t go to people’s welfare checks. Compare that to the admin overhead of just issuing everyone a check. Of course, different places have different costs of living, and that complicates things too, because it’s hard to work out what’s fair and equal.

    1. Re:Welfare that discourages getting jobs by apoc.famine · · Score: 2

      Basically, since welfare isn’t on any kind of sliding scale, it actively discourages working.

      That's why some UBI implementations call for a negative income rate for the bottom x% of the population. If you don't work you get your max UBI, but the more you make the less UBI you get. Done correctly, for every $1000 you make you only use $500 in UBI, so there's always an incentive to work on top of UBI.

      What I’d like to know is how much the welfare system, with all of its admin overhead, costs that doesn’t go to people’s welfare checks.

      My spitballing above put it at about $10T or about $30/person in the US/year for administrative costs currently. Not enough to fund UBI in the least.
       
      Oh, and new Mercedes can be had for $30k now. Used ones for less than that. Just having that badge is no longer a mark of wealth.

      --
      Velociraptor = Distiraptor / Timeraptor
    2. Re:Welfare that discourages getting jobs by eth1 · · Score: 1

      There are places in the US where you would make less money working than you would on welfare. And since basically any kind of income can disqualify you from welfare, not only is work discouraged buyt working your way up is discouraged as well. Basically, since welfare isn’t on any kind of sliding scale, it actively discourages working.

      UBI would be abused. For sure. But if you’re not at risk of losing the income, then plenty of people will get part time jobs just to deal with the boredom.

      The whole dynamic of a lot of currently-min-wage jobs would change if there was UBI. We'll take the fictional min-wage job of Excrement Scrubber that no one wants as an example.

      Right now, the only people that would take a job as an Excrement Scrubber are people who are so desperate, they'll do anything for a buck, so the scrubbing companies can pay peanuts, because the employees are just happy to have anything. If the employees get a similar amount of UBI for doing nothing, they'll quit their crappy excrement scrubbing jobs, and look for something more pleasant.

      The excrement scrubbing companies will then have to pay enough to make people actually WANT to scrub excrement, so someone willing to get their hands dirty might be able to make a decent living at it. Of course, this means that it will cost people more to have someone come and scrub their excrement. If they're on UBI only, they probably won't be able to afford it, so they have to do it themselves, or find something to do that pays enough to have someone come do it.

      This would apply to a whole range of dirty and dangerous jobs, and they would then be able to contribute more in taxes.

    3. Re:Welfare that discourages getting jobs by mjwx · · Score: 1

      There are places in the US where you would make less money working than you would on welfare. And since basically any kind of income can disqualify you from welfare, not only is work discouraged buyt working your way up is discouraged as well. Basically, since welfare isn’t on any kind of sliding scale, it actively discourages working.

      You're thinking of UBI as if it were the US's horribly broken welfare programmes. Its designed as a replacement, not an accompaniment for existing programmes.

      The idea behind UBI is that everyone gets it. It doesn't matter who you are, everyone receives the same amount as a UBI, it doesn't matter if you're a pauper or a billionaire, everyone gets UBI. That's what the "Universal" part means.

      If you want a lifestyle that is beyond what UBI provides, then you have the option to work for additional money, with UBI it becomes impossible for a job to pay less than UBI. The incentive to work is the fact that UBI is not meant to provide a life of luxury, this is what the "Basic" part means.

      I'll let you figure out what the "Income" part is on your own.

      To be frank, I don't see developed nations remaining developed nations without UBI in the face of increasing automation. If we don't adopt it, we'll end up with a large underclass subsistence farming and having most of the luxuries we take for granted far out of reach... like a developing nation.

      --
      Calling someone a "hater" only means you can not rationally rebut their argument.
    4. Re:Welfare that discourages getting jobs by RyoShin · · Score: 1

      UBI would be abused.

      How so? There's always the risk of fraud (the same risk in our current system, like when someone continues to collect a check for a now-deceased person), but how would someone abuse a system that is intended to cover their basic needs and then does so?

      Sure, there will be people who take their UBI and blow it in a casino, but there won't be an ounce of pity (though, hopefully, a program to fight such addiction). They'll struggle for a bit until their next check and, maybe, spend that one properly.

      There are ways this could be combated (e.g. UBI funds can only be used for X, Y, and Z) but they start to add overhead creep back in. Funny enough, there might be a "free market" solution, where banks or some new financial institution substitute for willpower (for a small fee), and they're the ones that limit the X, Y, Z. Perhaps even memberships, or offering the XYZ themselves...

      Did you know that there are a lot of people who make a comfortable living just playing video games and recording them for youtube?

      I watch a few of them, I'm a big fan of markiplier and brutalmoose. I expect this kind of thing, actually just entertainment options in general, would practically explode from a lot of people now able to take more free time. Very few of them would reach the same heights as, say, PewDiePie, but it might still be enough to do a bit better than they would get on UBI alone. (Expect a lot of Linkin Park cover bands.)

      What I’d like to know is how much the welfare system, with all of its admin overhead, costs that doesn’t go to people’s welfare checks.

      If you haven't already seen it, this sibling comment does a decent job of breaking it down. No citations, but I've read similar numbers elsewhere.

  40. Denouncing Profit by mi · · Score: 1

    Thet's because too many private companies profit from it.

    Profit is what makes things happen.

    It is not from the benevolence of the butcher, the brewer, or the baker that we expect our dinner, but from their regard to their own interest.

    — Adam Smith

    No, it is not the despicable "profit" — it is because government can't do anything well. Take a look at the VA hospital system — do you really want the same thing in all of the nation's hospitals?..

    --
    In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
    1. Re:Denouncing Profit by ooloorie · · Score: 1

      Other governments can do things well,

      For some definition of "well", yes: Europeans keep health care costs low through price controls and rationing.

      it is just your government that sucks

      Our government "sucks" in some ways, and European governments "suck" in many other ways. Generally, Americans are getting the better deal.

    2. Re:Denouncing Profit by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Perhaps you should try for yourself.
      Come to europe and look at the streets in the cities.
      Then check cities like Columbus, Ohio.
      That is the state capital. I never have seen a citiy in such bad shape, especially regarding homeless and workless in any of the cities in North Africa or Asia I have been.
      (But you are probbaly to poor to leave the USA, to live somewhere else for three months, facepalm)

      You must live in distorted reality that you think the US citizens have the better deal.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    3. Re:Denouncing Profit by johanw · · Score: 1

      Funny, Europeans usually think they have the beter deal. Unless you are one of those very rich people of course, than you might be better off in the US.

    4. Re:Denouncing Profit by Anonymous+Cow+Ward · · Score: 1

      4% unemployment is better than most of Europe. I've been to Columbus. I've been to Berlin and Frankfurt too, and - besides the German cities being somewhat cleaner in the well-traveled areas - there wasn't otherwise much difference, in my experience. But your experience isn't any more valid than mine is.

      --
      Examine even your most deeply held beliefs. Nobody is always right.
    5. Re:Denouncing Profit by ooloorie · · Score: 1

      Come to europe and look at the streets in the cities.

      I don't need to "come to Europe", I've lived in half a dozen European countries (including yours) before immigrating to the US.

      Then check cities like Columbus, Ohio. That is the state capital.

      Yeah, European cities are all gussied up for the tourists. Sorry, that's not a proper way to evaluate a country.

    6. Re:Denouncing Profit by ooloorie · · Score: 1

      Funny, Europeans usually think they have the beter deal.

      You'd be amazed at all the things Europeans believe that aren't actually true.

  41. The numbers do not add up by Brannon · · Score: 2

    > This is intended as a REPLACEMENT for other programs, like job insurance, retirement programs, family income programs, etc

    To the first order, $0 is spent on "job insurance" and "family income programs". So you are basically talking about taking the budget from social security and redistributing that to all people regardless of age. The budget for Social Security is about $900B per year.

    $900B / 325M people == ~$2800/year.

    Should be easy to live off that, right? BTW, the average recipient of SS currently receives ~$14K/year, I'm sure it's totally easy for them to live off 20% of that.

    1. Re:The numbers do not add up by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      You get about $14K per person currently on Social security retirement (about 60 million or 20% of the population). To get that number you have to assume nobody but the retired will keep any UBI.

      And you haven't even started employing all the otherwise unemployable current government workers.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
  42. Re:Never fly in the USA. by penandpaper · · Score: 1

    The whole "people will stop working if you pay for their bare needs" argument is a massive lie

    It is a psychological question masked in economics. Are you saying you can predict human behavior and ensure economic stability in an untested system with varying assumptions and ever changing outside influences?

  43. Re:Never fly in the USA. by penandpaper · · Score: 1

    how say 960 euros a month (the Netherlands experiment) would be able to pay for rent/mortgage, a car, food, utilities, vacation, and other entertainment, please show your work. This is the only

    When the electorate figure out they can vote to increase that monthly stipend... What is to stop that figure from rising?

  44. Russian strategy from Napoleon/WWII by micahraleigh · · Score: 1

    Burn the economy down before the refugee invaders can possess anything

  45. Re:Never fly in the USA. by Cro+Magnon · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The difference is, back then one earner could provide a middle-class life for a family. Nowdays, two earners barely provide a working class life, and that's with at least one working 2-3 jobs.

    --
    Slow down, cowboy! It has been 4 hours since you last posted. You must wait another few hours.
  46. Re:Capitalism on the march by bobbied · · Score: 1

    Except when you are paying them for it.

    --
    "File to fit, pound to insert, paint to match" - Aircraft Maintenance 101
  47. Re: Never fly in the USA. by bobbied · · Score: 1

    I hate to break the news to you and your so called "libertarian" friends, but you are not what the label you want claim if you think UBI is consistent with a traditional libertarian stance. Progressive? Socialist? Communist? Marxist? perhaps one of those is a better label to claim.

    --
    "File to fit, pound to insert, paint to match" - Aircraft Maintenance 101
  48. Re:Never fly in the USA. by bobbied · · Score: 1

    It's funny how "Everybody else does it" is considered a logical argument FOR doing something, when the exact opposite is usually the better argument... Examples?

    Buying stocks...

    Selling Stocks..

    Starting a business..

    Military Tactics..

    --
    "File to fit, pound to insert, paint to match" - Aircraft Maintenance 101
  49. Re:How do you reverse this if need to? by bobbied · · Score: 1

    The exit path is bloody revolution and re-instatement of a capitalist based economy... The problem though as this flows through a couple of nasty phases after the current government goes bankrupt usually including dictatorship and/or communism (See North Korea) before you get the final bloody upheaval.

    --
    "File to fit, pound to insert, paint to match" - Aircraft Maintenance 101
  50. Re:Never fly in the USA. by thaylin · · Score: 1

    Actually it does... Studies have shown that cutting taxes on the poor and increasing them on the rich generates economic growth, where as if you cut it on the rich and raise it on the poor it constricts the economy.

    --
    When you cant win, ad hominem.
  51. Not really by fyngyrz · · Score: 1

    We are talking about that here in Canada as well.

    The program that is presently being tested in Canada is not UBI. It incorporates means-testing, graduated payouts, and classing, none of which are components of UBI.

    Because of this, the results will reveal absolutely nothing about UBI. They will provide information about a standard welfare system.

    Any claim that this is a UBI trial and that the results reveal information about UBI is roughly equivalent to feeding people bananas, asking them what they think, and declaring that the results describe people's opinions on watermelon.

    --
    I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
  52. Re:Never fly in the USA. by thaylin · · Score: 1

    I created no strawmen, every quote I used was your statements entirely...
    Your statement was still NOT proved..

    Trials during the 1970s in Canada and the US found people worked slightly less

    is VASTLY differnt from

    It is not an "all or nothing". The fact acknowledged by TFA itself is that people receiving assistance begin working less than they used to.

    A) it was 1 study
    B) not all people were shown to reduce their work.

    --
    When you cant win, ad hominem.
  53. Re:Never fly in the USA. by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 2

    It is not an "all or nothing". The fact acknowledged by TFA itself is that people receiving assistance begin working less than they used to.

    You mean less than 96 hours?

    Oh, right, you're a child. You grew up with the eight-hour day. Sorry, I forgot, most people haven't had the adults educate them about work yet.

    So let's start with how lazy and entitled you little shits are.

    First off, back in the 1830s, your kind were already crying out about how utterly lazy they were and how the government should fix it so they don't have to work. "From six to six", they used to say. Twelve hours--twelve hours--and with two full hours of meal breaks! Not even twelve hours of straight work for six days a week (nobody worked on the Lord's Day), for a halfway-unreasonable 72 hour work week; they demanded sixty hours of work.

    The French, the laziest people in the world at the time, achieved a 12-hour, 6-day work week by 1850. America started going downhill in 1868, when Federal employees--the most entitled employees, after anyone who's ever been marginally attached to the military--achieved an eight-hour work day. Most Americans still worked a good, solid 12-14 hour work day in 1905, until people like Ford started cutting back to 8-hour shifts and giving pay raises.

    America didn't lose the war against laziness until the Adamson Act of 1916, establishing 8-hour days with additional overtime wages for railroad workers. After that, it was all over; the Fair Labor Standards Act was so ludicrous as to cut all good laborers down to 40 hours per week, except the good farm workers who still considered 50 hours full-time, and establish a mandatory minimum wage.

    So that ship has sailed, and I don't see you out there working three full-time jobs like any real American would. You laze around for most of the week and complain just as much about too much work while you don't really work anyway; you may as well complain that other people might work 32 hours one day too, I suppose.

  54. Re:Never fly in the USA. by thaylin · · Score: 1

    Most UBI pilots do not work that way, either from the start or after a a certain amount, you lose some of your benefits per dollar you make. It is designed to encentivize work

    --
    When you cant win, ad hominem.
  55. Re:Never fly in the USA. by thaylin · · Score: 1

    A) it has been tested and so far has always worked
    B) I can guaranteed people desire things, and as long as that is the case they will keep working.

    --
    When you cant win, ad hominem.
  56. Who knew it was a Documentary ? by dowens81625 · · Score: 1
  57. Paean to Free Markets by mi · · Score: 1

    Other governments can do things well

    No, they can't.

    either it is just your government that sucks or the problem isn't the government at all.

    Wherever the problem is, we do know something that does work — free market. It is beautiful not only because it happens to work, but also because you simply can not have a free country, if you prohibit people from selling goods and/or services to each other.

    But it also works. So well, China and Russia — neither valuing personal freedom very much — have adopted it and watched their economies take off. While Venezuela, which abolished it, descended into a verifiable shit hole in less than two decades — despite being among the world's top oil-exporters.

    Unfortunately, the US had no free market in the health-services industry for decades. Nor in the health-insurance industry either...

    --
    In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
    1. Re:Paean to Free Markets by Maritz · · Score: 2

      Your free market healthcare system is a complete fucking joke. lol.

      --
      I do not want your cheap brainburning drugs. They are useless for work. And I am a working man today.
  58. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 1

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  59. Re:Never fly in the USA. by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

    which would probably end when they realize the amount would not even pay their rent

    ...for a place they'd actually want to live.

    Please point out, mathematically, how say 960 euros a month (the Netherlands experiment) would be able to pay for rent/mortgage, a car, food, utilities, vacation, and other entertainment, please show your work.

    Don't have Netherlands data. I worked it out for the United States only, and would be interested in other economic units like England or Germany. Designing a UBI policy requires a strong understanding of a government's finances, the economy's structure, tax systems, welfare costs, retail pricing, and the like. You can't design any sort of UBI policy by knowing or estimating the cost of goods, because the gross cost of a good doesn't tell you about the total cost of producing it--shipping, logistics, business administration, cost of risk, and the like. For highly-competitive goods like food and clothing, the current price is likely the lowest-viable price, although that comes down a bit when a market gets bigger (that's actually doable with rent, in the form of selling smaller units by reducing the risk of empty units at the relevant income levels).

    I didn't record the full analysis or write any sorts of papers on this stuff even in America. After performing as much research as I could, I used the current retail prices and added risk margins--that is, if I could find retail of a month's worth of food for $25, consistently, I'd estimate the risk of trying to sustain that as an individual, and then put down a 300% risk reserve ($100/month budget). Some of the rambling on that from an age past made its way online.

    The big one is housing. Rent per square foot easily scales down to a 224sqft single-occupancy apartment in $1-$1.06/sqft circa 2013 (my Universal Social Security takes a percentage of all income as a funding source, so gets bigger each year--faster than inflation). That's a maximum estimate of $238/month at the same margin as a 700sqft apartment; I originally budgeted $300/month, providing a 26% risk reserve (up to 33%, in the case of scaling against $1/sqft). I know the actual costs scale; that risk reserve is entirely a coverage of landlord risk (potential for additional costs as consequence of renting to a low-income tennat), not the risk of me misestimating standard costs.

    It's not exactly cramped, but it's smaller than most Americans want to deal with. It's actually something like twice the size of a cozy hotel room, and I've spent time examining hotel rooms and expanding the planograms into microunit apartments with full amenities. Thing is, it's still better than living in a soggy cardboard box.

    So, again: they'd quickly realize it won't pay rent for a place in which they'd actually like to live.

  60. Restrictions by Eyezen · · Score: 1

    Are there going to be any restrictions on what the money can be spent on? (use technology to restrict purchases on the UBI card - think WIC program on steroids)

    Because without any, this is a colossal waste of money.

    Way, way too many people currently spend what little money they either earn outright or is given to them via social programs on booze, cigs, lottery tickets etc. crap that no person of poor financial means should be buying. These folks have no financial fortitude and is mostly the reason they are where they are to begin with.

    Do this with a taxpayer funded UBI program, these people will be no better off than before except the taxpayer will be holding a massive bill in his hands.

  61. Re: Never fly in the USA. by Topwiz · · Score: 1

    No, they had been getting welfare checks for doing nothing. Making them put in 20 hours a month was not a burden.

  62. Re:Never fly in the USA. by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

    Stagnant wages is a myth. A median income in 1970 could not purchase the standard-of-living of a median income in 1980; a median income in 1980 could not purchase the standard-of-living of a median income in 1990; nor 1990 for 2000.

    I've lived my life through a constant run-up of technology. Cars getting better with new safety systems, more power out of smaller engines, better mileage, highly-complex mechanical and electrical systems like EFI, improved braking systems, high-end radios with digital media and bluetooth integrated, and even things like traction control and pre-crash systems built into the $1,500 options package on economy models. We traded away $30/month landlines and $10/month dial-up for $17/year smart phones and $87/month 200Mbit Internet. Televisions aren't giant, bulbous tubes anymore. Even the new things I have--game systems, computers, cell phones--have changed, substantially, since they became available.

    People eat out of home more instead of preparing food in home, and they spend less on food every year despite eating more-expensively year after year--at the median income level; the lowest 20% still spend roughly 16% of their income on food. Clothing has fallen from 12% to nearly 3% of our income.

    Medical care is ridiculous: prescription drugs have gone through the roof; yet people in 2005 spent 6% of their income on medical care instead of 4% of the 1950s, purchasing more and better-quality medical care. Today it's just under 8%, and people go in for regular wellness care much more consistently than anyone did in the 90s--part of that is their insurance plan gives them 100%, no-deductible coverage, but charges them $40/month for any year in which they didn't get a sign-off from their doctor stating they've had appropriate care at the full discretion of the doctor's professional opinion.

    The percentage of median-income household spending that goes to purchase the same things is constantly falling; and for many goods, either prices stay mainly-level (small goods like cell phones and computers) or they keep to the same percentage of spending (large goods like cars). Housing costs as rent or mortgage payments (not house sale prices) have generally trended downward on the span of decades; on shorter spans (notably in recent times), housing trades as a commodity and is heavily-influenced by fluctuations in perceptions about the housing market. This is confounded by new single-family homes constantly getting bigger, and so housing prices have to adjust against square footage to get a good read on the price of housing.

    I've been around to see things get more and more affordable for the average American, and the average American continue to complain about getting poorer and poorer. Stop spending all your money and you won't be broke all the time; you won't have all this new stuff, either.

  63. Re:Never fly in the USA. by mi · · Score: 1

    I created no strawmen

    Yes, you did. When you pretended, that the opponents of the UBI claim, beneficiaries of the program will all simply "stop working". Though nobody made such a claim, you pretended somebody did — and attacked it. That was a strawman. By definition.

    A) it was 1 study

    As opposite to what? Of course, it is a study — do you demand some divine intimation?

    B) not all people were shown to reduce their work.

    "Most" and "all" are interchangeable synonyms in this context. You know it, I know it, any reasonable reader of this exchange knows it. But the point stands — whether all or simply most individuals will work less, the overall work done by people will be less.

    Ahh, but may be some people would work more? Nope, if there was such an effect to report, TFA — hugely sympathetic to the idea of UBI — would've put it into title.

    --
    In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
  64. Switzerland already had a referundum... by urbanriot · · Score: 1

    The Slashdot of Today basically comes across as a communist propaganda machine what with so many postings along the lines of "capitalism is bad, robots are taking your job, universal basic income is what everyone wants." Seriously, scroll through today's lists and that's literally what's there.

    I say this as the headline leaves out the fact that Switzerland already had a referendum on this topic which lead to a defeat of the proposal. 76.9% were for it, 23.1% were against it. https://www.admin.ch/ch/d/pore...

    1. Re:Switzerland already had a referundum... by urbanriot · · Score: 1

      Whoops, I meant 76.9% did not support basic income but Slashdot doesn't seem to allow me to edit the correction. What Slashdot does a great job of is blocking half the page with a giant advertisement that makes it difficult to scroll and click.

    2. Re:Switzerland already had a referundum... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      That was because the biggest bank in Switzerland is called UBI.
      The same bank that brought the nightmare of design patterns on us ...
      Just saying ...

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    3. Re:Switzerland already had a referundum... by mfearby · · Score: 1

      Those ads blocking the top half of the page are extremely annoying. It's only happened in the past few months, and I wish they'd fix it.

  65. Re:Never fly in the USA. by mi · · Score: 1

    Human progress — and the concomitant rises in productivity — are a wonderful thing and your historical facts are fascinating. But why should the reduction in work-hours be government-mandated? As long as people are free to work for whoever they wish and hire whoever they please, why wouldn't an employer gain better employees and/or higher productivity by offering shorter work-days and longer vacations? Indeed, it is happening all the time:

    people like Ford started cutting back to 8-hour shifts and giving pay raises.

    But let's stay on topic, shall we? The discussion is not about how many hours to work — it is whether or not people are entitled to other people's monies just for living in the same country or even on the same planet.

    --
    In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
  66. Brit arguing for opression by mi · · Score: 1

    you may help out, there have always been people that do and it's laudable. But not enough people do

    ... and so the government must compel the rest at gun-point — which is how all taxes are collected. Yep.

    --
    In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
    1. Re:Brit arguing for opression by lowkeyknight · · Score: 1

      Literally no one has ever put a gun on me to collect taxes, or indeed for any reason. In a democracy, the people choose if they want to live in a high, mid or low tax society and to a certain extent what the taxes should be spent on. Your taxes are being collected, this is a conversation about what they should be spent on.

  67. Re: Never fly in the USA. by Bartles · · Score: 1

    A collective solution to a problem is the anitithesis of individual freedom. No one ever said libertarians were smart.

  68. Re:Min wage jobs require a stark Hobson's Choice. by swillden · · Score: 1

    Freedom yes... self-reliance? I suppose it might create a *feeling* of self-reliance, but the opposite is the truth.

    --
    Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
  69. Re:Capitalism on the march by ooloorie · · Score: 1

    If you make me a high enough offer, you can decide how to employ my labor.

    Free markets are great, aren't they?

  70. Re: Never fly in the USA. by Bartles · · Score: 1

    A powerful state confiscating earned wealth and distributing it someone that did not earn it, is not libertarian. It is authoritarian to it's core.

  71. Re:Never fly in the USA. by thaylin · · Score: 1

    Yes, you did. When you pretended, that the opponents of the UBI claim, beneficiaries of the program will all simply "stop working". Though nobody made such a claim, you pretended somebody did — and attacked it. That was a strawman. By definition [logicallyfallacious.com].

    So no one claimed people would stop working with UBI? Maybe want to read the parent? here let me quote it..

    We expect people to work here if they are able, and contribute to the country. People that don't work are generally looked down upon. If you think trying to implement universal health care is a cluster, just try UBI. Conservatives need people working and generating revenue so they can skim their % from the top to support their lifestyle.

    So please tell me again how no one was making that argument

    "Most" and "all" are interchangeable synonyms in this context. You know it, I know it, any reasonable reader of this exchange knows it. But the point stands — whether all or simply most individuals will work less, the overall work done by people will be less.

    I thought we were arguing logically? If so most if the opposite of all. In addition there is no evidence that even MOST indiviuals work less in the trials, let alone in general. We know that OVER ALL the number of hours dropped slightly, so please stop with the over generalizations.

    Ahh, but may be some people would work more? Nope, if there was such an effect to report, TFA — hugely sympathetic to the idea of UBI — would've put it into title.

    huh? This makes no sense in the context. Unless you make wile assumptions that massive amounts of people just completely stopped working then you wouldnt need people who worked more to get the small losses that were reported in ONE study.

    But what should I expect from someone who things that during Obama all protesting was racist, not the manner, or things, you were protesting.

    --
    When you cant win, ad hominem.
  72. The actual questions by GrumpySteen · · Score: 1

    Why make up supposed questions when the people who did the survey make the questions and data available here?

    It's almost like someone has an agenda and isn't willing to even look at anything that might conflict with it.

  73. Re:Never fly in the USA. by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 1

    The difference is, back then one earner could provide a middle-class life for a family. Nowdays, two earners barely provide a working class life

    The average new house today is twice the size of a house in 1973. Cars are better, TVs are better, etc. So people aren't working more to "scrape by", they are working more for a much better quality of life.

    If you want to live like a one-earner household lived in 1973, you can still still easily do that on one income.

  74. Re:Never fly in the USA. by penandpaper · · Score: 1

    Those tests aren't that conclusive because it was A) never nationally implemented (one city isn't equivalent to a nation) and B) known by the participants that the test would end. It is an untestable system unless you jump in with both feet.

    B) I can guaranteed people desire things, and as long as that is the case they will keep working.

    They why do lots of people stay on welfare even though they are able to work? At the very least it undermines the assumption you are making. People may desire things, sure but that doesn't equate to people working if they don't have to.

  75. Re:Never fly in the USA. by Enigma2175 · · Score: 1

    Actually it does... Studies have shown that cutting taxes on the poor and increasing them on the rich generates economic growth, where as if you cut it on the rich and raise it on the poor it constricts the economy.

    That's odd, the people currently in power have assured me that cutting taxes on the rich (according to the Treasury secretary, the "biggest tax cut in history") is what generates economic growth, in fact it will generate so much growth that we don't even need to reduce government spending to pay for the proposed $3-$7 TRILLION (10 year) reduction in revenue.

    --

    Enigma

  76. Re: Capitalism on the march by ArmoredDragon · · Score: 1

    That's socialism.

  77. UBI can mean less social benefit, a paradigm shift by GuB-42 · · Score: 1

    From what I understood, implementing UBI will go together with removing many other social benefits.
    One major selling point of UBI is that everyone will get the same thing. It means you won't have to justify anything, and there will be no need for processing applications and fighting against fraud. Which, by the way, will kill a lot of administrative jobs.
    Minimum wage, unemployment, housing, family, etc... All these benefits will have to go.

    The result is that some people currently getting a lot of social benefits (for good or bad reasons) may find themselves with much less. It will make the transition difficult. I expect the actual implementation of a UBI to be a joke, with complex rules making the end result the same as what we have now.
    The Finland experiment has nothing to do with a true UBI. The amount is not enough to live decently in Finland without further help and only unemployed people are selected.

  78. Training Instead by kumanopuusan · · Score: 1

    Pay people a reasonable wage to attend university or job training instead. If their particular skills aren't needed in the labor market, they can either develop new ones or use their skills to benefit society through research or the arts. Yes, this would require creating new schools and universities.

    --
    Use of the words "good", "bad" or "evil" is almost invariably the result of oversimplification.
  79. Re:Never fly in the USA. by Cro+Magnon · · Score: 1

    I don't know about that. My mom bought our first house about 1975, and paid about 7K! My current house, in the same poor neighborhood, and probably around the same age (not even close to new, even in 75), cost 40K, and needs a lot more work than that older one did. Granted, it's significantly bigger than that first house, but there's no way in he** you'd even get a house that size in that area for less than 30K.

    I'm sure you can get a crap TV for a low price, but nobody would want a crap car, and good ones cost plenty.

    Meantime, the stuff you really need like housing (whether you own or rent), food, and drugs are dramatically costlier than they were in the old days.

    --
    Slow down, cowboy! It has been 4 hours since you last posted. You must wait another few hours.
  80. Re:Never fly in the USA. by Enigma2175 · · Score: 1

    That requirement wasn't for welfare, it was for SNAP, basically modern food stamps. Perhaps the people who dropped out just didn't feel like jumping through a bunch of hoops to get the small benefit that SNAP provides. For example, according to this calculator, a family of 4 that makes $36k a year will receive $134 per month in SNAP benefits. It's a lot lower for childless or single people, for example a single person making only $15k per year (and paying $12k per year in rent) only qualifies for a $36/mo benefit. I couldn't find any analysis of the demographics of the people who stopped claiming benefits after the change but there is certainly a level where people who formerly claimed benefits would no longer do so due to the more extensive documentation requirements. Do you have any data to back up your assertion that they are "too lazy to work" or could there be other factors at play? Perhaps it is the people who are working the hardest that no longer claim benefits, because their benefit is lower (because they have a higher income than non-working people) and they have less free time to make claims. If you have data on exactly which people were removed from the SNAP rolls I would love to see it, otherwise your assertion is just an opinion and very possibly false.

    --

    Enigma

  81. Re:You can't fire useless bureaucrats by swb · · Score: 1

    Even if you try to fire all of them, you'll still be paying them with UBI. In reality, what will happen is a power grab at every level of government, and the same useless fucks will merely be moved to different government agencies.

    Nah, you pass a law that says that anyone over 50 in a welfare agency job eliminated by UBI gets moved to retired status as if they had moved up one level in the pay scale and gets to collect their pension early. Anyone under 50 gets permanent preferential hiring treatment for similarly skilled jobs in other bureaucracies. Nobody new gets hired for a job in these agencies.

    My guess is that it would take a decade or two to wind down these organizations (settle accounts, offload buildings, land, equipment, etc) and most of the people who work for them could do that winding down work.

    You'd basically end up employing most of the employable people at dismantling the organizations, something which would have to happen anyway, so it'd be a net-zero cost. The really influential employees would be those over 50 retiring on a full pension, so they wouldn't really fight it much. The younger ones would wind up just finishing their careers in more or less guaranteed jobs.

    The bonus would be that the longer it went on, the fewer people there would be working there and no expansionary spending on the organization.

  82. Times are changing. by zelkovamoon · · Score: 1

    Call it socialism, communism, or whatever you want; the fact remains that technology is changing economic realities for large swaths of people and that means we need to rethink ideas about how wealth should be distributed. As an economist I can tell you that commonly accepted economic theory puts great weight in the significance of Labor. Those models break down when Labor is being done by machines, and not workers. When a farm that once employed 100 farmers now only employs 10, and some machines - what are the 90 unemployed farmers reasonably Supposed to do. Changing your livelihood is easier said than done, and many jobs that they might be eligible for are suffering from the same problem. Should they just commit suicide? Is that really morally acceptable? Or, should the farm that now produces as much if not more with fewer laborers, have some sort of obligation to support those they have turned away? Some day, 95% of all human labor will be completely automated. Not today. Not tomorrow. But when that's our new reality, and billions of people cannot work through no fault of their own, do you just tell them to all commit suicide? Or, will we redistribute. I dont know about you, but redistribution seems like the right call to me. I dont love the idea of "freeloading", but I don't think that it should be thought of that way - everything that is produced will be so from the earth, and by the creations of man - at that point, it's only natural that the whole of mankind share in the common heritage of man.

  83. Re:Capitalism on the march by Sparowl · · Score: 1

    Let me know when one appears.

  84. Re:Never fly in the USA. by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 2

    Meantime, the stuff you really need like housing (whether you own or rent), food, and drugs are dramatically costlier than they were in the old days.

    Wrong. Housing costs have barely changed when measured by the square foot and adjusted for inflation. Food is far cheaper today than it was 40 years ago. Drugs are also cheaper today if you buy the same drugs.

  85. Re:Never fly in the USA. by JimFive · · Score: 1

    And the people that reduced their work were: Mothers of young children. Adolescents who stayed in school instead of working. (In the Canadian experiment).

    --
    Please stop using the word theory when you mean hypothesis.
  86. Well, but there's this by fyngyrz · · Score: 1

    UBI is going to pay for basic accommodation, food and other necessities.

    The thing is, $1000 here in rural Montana and $1000 in silicon valley or urban New Jersey are completely different levels of support.

    I am all for the idea of UBI, but the fact of the gross imbalance of actual cost of living across the country tells me that there's a lot more to fix before it could even remotely achieve its goals.

    --
    I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
    1. Re:Well, but there's this by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      Nobody on UBI belongs in high rent districts. Nobody. They can move or starve, I don't care which.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    2. Re:Well, but there's this by fyngyrz · · Score: 1

      It's not a matter of what you care about. It's a matter of generating slums.

      --
      I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
    3. Re:Well, but there's this by Dagger2 · · Score: 1

      Would you want to live in a slum though?

      There's an interesting point to note here: one of the big reasons that people want to live in cities is because that's where the work is. WIth a UBI, that's less important, so you might well see more people willing to live out in the countryside where housing is cheaper (which may also reduce pressure on city house pricing).

  87. Re:Never fly in the USA. by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

    But why should the reduction in work-hours be government-mandated? As long as people are free to work for whoever they wish and hire whoever they please, why wouldn't an employer gain better employees and/or higher productivity by offering shorter work-days and longer vacations?

    Your original argument was that a person would decide, through the forces of capitalism, to not work as much because they were relatively well-off with shorter working hours and thus valued their time more than work. Government-mandates are the recent history of working hours, but different from your original point:

    people receiving assistance begin working less than they used to.

    As to the question, eh. A government mandate of labor standards gives the individual and the workforce as a whole the ability to cite a fair labor standard to work from. Published standards and mandates as such increase individual negotiating power. So long as your UBI policy is actually functional (there are a lot of dangerous and destructive ways to implement a UBI, and a few viable plans), the self-sufficiency of a UBI also increases individual negotiating power and reduces the need for such things as minimum-wage standard.

    A government mandate of maximum working hours without penalties (e.g. 40 hours, then wage costs 50% more) is necessary for any sort of wage standard. It becomes a battle between people who will work long hours for low pay and other people who need exactly the same income but will only work fewer hours. Without the ability to walk away, employers have the power to push the trend toward longer hours and lower pay; individuals who try to push back will run out of money and become homeless and unemployable. Then we get small, unstable governments called "trade unions", who in turn can only function because the big government forces the businesses to negotiate with trade unions on whatever terms they demand.

    Thus it can be argued that a government mandate of maximum working hours provides the capacity for individuals to independently scale their labor, as they can identify what a "working-hour" is as a proportion of "a job". Wage suddenly has one dimension instead of two. This in turn allows the economy to function stably due to less fluctuation in working conditions and compensation between businesses.

    This largely affects part-time work and full-time expectations. The current Fair Labor Standards Act, for example, exempts salaried workers from overtime. This means a "full-time job" is 40 hours--that's a published standard codified in law--but working 60-hours won't get you 20 hours of overtime unless you're paid by the hour. It's codified in law that your employer can but isn't legally required to provide you compensation for overtime; we only expect a 40-hour work day because the law actually defines full-time as 40 hours, although some businesses define it as 37.5 because a half-hour daily lunch is accounted for your 8-hour day.

    As a final thought: Historically, the government mandate has been a response to the voice of a people who feel powerless to drive change. Any argument for or against a government mandate must examine the history of the will of the people, and their success in implementing their will. Lack of a government mandate is an action of government as well, in that a government selects for the outcome of a null action by taking no action. This means that 100 years of people demanding shorter working hours and not getting them makes a government null-action position an effective mandate for current, longer working hours. That can be valid, as shortening working hours cuts back productivity per person by cutting back hours per person without increasing productivity per hour; this makes people poorer, and our choice is basically a scale between larger material wealth and no free time to enjoy it or smaller material wealth and much free time to enjoy it.

    Bu

  88. Note for Switzerland : Nope. by DrYak · · Score: 2

    Finland, the Netherlands, France, Switzerland, and the UK already has systems in place to make sure that people doesn't starve or end up homeless.

    Yes, they all have social welfare.

    But nope, unlike Netherland and Finland who are or were actually running pilot experiment, Switzerland voted against.

    Note that Switzerland practice direct democracy. i.e.: no mattter what, the population has always the final say on everything.
    And in this case, democracy has spoken against UBI: apparently the population was indeed genuinely afraid of rise costs.

    The cost is already there. Switching to UBI doesn't necessarily require higher taxes. Especially since you no longer need government workers investigating who is entitled to extra support.

    That is the general idea behind UBI :
    - keep giving out money as before, under welfare programs.
    - except now you give out the money indiscriminately to absoluetely everyone.
    - because you blanked give money to everyone, you don't need to pay that many people to take care of the minute details.
    - saved money = extra money to redistribute.

    --
    "Sufficiently advanced satire is indistinguishable from reality." - [Tips: 1DrYakQDKCQ6y52z6QbnkxHXAocMZJE61o ]
  89. There is no actual 0-tax bracket by fyngyrz · · Score: 1

    Rich people pay more, poor people pay less (or nothing). That's the way taxes work.

    No. It's not. For example, you buy food, you pay the costs - that includes the salaries of the people at the grocery store, the produce truck driver, the service people involved at every stage, the land taxes, the fuel taxes... everything that food costs is in the price. Including, and this is the critical fact, the taxes on every factor. You're poor, the cucumber costs you $1. You're rich, the cucumber costs you $1. Both pay in equal share into the (huge) taxation that underlies the cost of that food item, and every other food item, and fuel, and etc. The cucumber, or more accurately, all purchased food in general, has a huge tax load added to its cost. Which no one gets out of.

    The actual difference in who gets taxed what is basically in income tax and a few other taxes. But a very large amount of taxation is hidden in payment transfer for almost all goods and services.

    Say you pay a plumber $100. He's in a 30% tax bracket. You're in what you've been told is the "0% tax bracket." You think you're going to get $100 worth of plumbing work? No. You're not. You're going to get, at best, $70 worth of plumbing work, because the plumber is only going to get to keep $70. Your other $30 went right to the government.

    You see? There is no "poor people pay no taxes." That's just nonsense for the math-impaired (most everyone, near as I can tell.) Poor people pay taxes all the time - that is, the things they have to buy are taxed at a distance - but it's just the same in actual dollar effects as if you took the money right out of their pockets.

    --
    I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
  90. Math, it's a thing by fyngyrz · · Score: 1

    One, there are not enough people at the top. Programs like these will inevitably hit the middle class the most.

    Nope. The top 10% hold 76% of the wealth. And the top 10% are nowhere near being "middle class."

    Try again. This time with numbers.

    --
    I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
  91. a big need by SuperDre · · Score: 1

    A review of our current economical situation is needed for how we need to move on for the near future. Advanced in robotica and A.I. are enormous and will only make bigger leaps, which will mean a lot of people will loose their jobs (yes even office-people) and there won't be any new jobs created. So we have to figure out how to get around this and how people are gonnan 'pay' for stuff. Maybe we need to move to a system were one does not 'pay' anymore. It's a very difficult subject and it will be hard to figure out how to solve (as humans still want power and fortune, that's just the nature of us)..

  92. Dignity? No. Hubris. by fyngyrz · · Score: 1

    Fairly paid labor has made western civilization what it is.

    Yes. Hell for the poor, the unskilled, the handicapped, the classed to the bottom by social or governmental ostracism, the simply unlucky.

    Proud of it, are you?

    --
    I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
  93. Re:Never fly in the USA. by mi · · Score: 1
    TL;DR

    The more-direct argument, in today's context, is whether a form of UBI is cheaper or more expensive than our current welfare system, in total.

    No, the argument is to abolish the silly — yet horrendously expensive — "War on Poverty" and allow the taxpayers to spend the monies thus left in their pockets however they see fit.

    --
    In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
  94. Re:Selection bias? Inevitable? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

    The difference versus 'getting it back' is that you have a monthly pay check.
    In other words, if you are e.g. close to broke on a vacation, you get money soon again.

    --
    Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  95. Excellent! by kiminator · · Score: 1

    I really hope these trials continue and expand. A UBI would (I think) solve so many problems with market-based economies. If people have the genuine option of not working, then they will be more able to do things that will improve their productivity in the long run, such as pursuing more education. The chronically-ill can also be supported without having to continually prove to the government that they are chronically-ill. Employers who are abusive to their employees will very rapidly find themselves without employees. And for people with good jobs already, they'll have the security of knowing that they'll be able to manage if the shit hits the fan and they find themselves out of work, even if unemployment benefits are limited.

    More interesting to me, if they do something simple like fund the UBI with a flat percentage tax on income, then more than half of the population will end up with more money with the UBI than without (e.g. in the US, you'd need to make more than ~$70,000/year or so to end up with less money, and way more than that to end up with noticeably less, though the precise number depends upon the structure of the tax and the structure of the benefits).

  96. Re:Never fly in the USA. by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

    You're not supposed to acknowledge that the cheats are working full time for cash. Didn't you get the memo?

    --
    John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
  97. Oil Reliance by MrSteveSD · · Score: 1

    Remember the Bernie Sanders' paradise of Venezuela ? Ever wonder why he doesn't speak of it any more?

    With Venezuela it was more of a case of them being too reliant on oil than anything else. A number of oil reliant capitalist countries in the middle east were also getting to the point of being seriously in trouble, ultimately they had enough cash reserves to ride it out though.

    As for Greece, they were going crazy with their money, even wasting a huge amount on the Olympics. It was more stupidity than socialism. The fact they were part of the euro severely curtailed their options though, e.g. being unable to devalue their currency.

    People are self interested, and socialism fails to account for that

    You can't really just say Socialism. It all depends on the figures. You can tax enough so that you can keep the poor healthy and at least keep a roof over their heads or you can go crazy and tax so much that their is little to be gained from anyone putting the effort in to anything. Then again you can tax so little that only the rich can afford health care and shelter and let the poor rot. The argument is all about where you fall on that axis.

    Also, the idea of socialist countries being crazy borrowers (like Greece) isn't always the case. In the UK the conservatives (capitalists) have spent more than Labour, it's just that they like to spend it on big stupid projects where their corporate friends get rich rather than helping out the poor.

  98. You win a clue bat. by Brannon · · Score: 1

    Average SS recipient gets about $14K annually. How much does that person get with the USS system described in that link?: $7K?

    Answer me this: If this scheme saves $1T in federal tax revenue, what was that money being used on before? Are we really expected to believe that out of maybe $1.5T in total funding for the programs you are displacing, that $1T of that was waste?

    1. Re:You win a clue bat. by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      Average Social Security recipient gets $1,258 per month or $15k in 2013. You're a touch off, but the point is a good one.

      You're asking a more-complex question than you might realize: transitioning Social Security retirement benefits is an enormous, broad-impact consideration, with concerns ranging financing, social contracts, people's economic situations and the impact on those, and even the problems with the current implementation of retirement benefits. The proposed system pays starting at age 18, whereas Social Security retirement benefits pay starting at age 60, thus changing both the utility and the financial considerations.

      Minimum-wage earners in 2013 would receive something like $768/month if they retained a full-time job at minimum wage throughout their lives. Below full-time minimum wage, people quickly become ineligible, and thus go straight from somewhere around $720 to $0. The heavily-transitional underemployed, thus, do not receive Social Security retirement benefits. Keep this in mind for later.

      How much does that person get with the USS system described in that link?

      You'll notice there's a Transition metric there. Dropping current systems hot is damaging, and OASDI is particularly-problematic. I've put a lot of time in on examining that transition specifically.

      You should see the proportional chart shows a smaller OASDI cost. For the first 15 years, anyone reaching retirement age gets Social Security old-age pensions. The OASDI benefit is reduced by the size of the USS benefit, thus rendering the same total retirement benefit for this group. This eliminates the 6.2% OASDI tax from income taxes, and reduces the payroll tax to 5.59%.

      There's a trend of roughly 3%-4% increase in per-capita income per year at a rate of 2% inflation, meaning the purchasing power of the USS increases each year. That, in turn, means that the USS benefit represents a larger fraction of OASDI benefits for then-current recipients entering retirement; and, of course, the retirement benefit today doesn't grow after you retire, so then-existing recipients steadily derive more income from the USS and less from OASDI. This allows a reduction of the remaining 5.59% payroll tax supporting OASDI in transition.

      At 15 years, new retirees have had ample time to collect savings, aside from those with exceedingly-low incomes. That's a topic for later, though.

      New retirees of average stature will receive roughly 50% of the average payout, and should have approximately 15 years's worth more from sticking the USS into a 3% fixed-income retirement growth account (standard retirement "guaranteed income" account; you might do better with some long-hold CDs, but not today). By 15 years down the line from there, it's passable--barely. It's only 15 years because I didn't want to fund a long tail transition--I could, and it would take around 60 years to finally zero out OASDI.

      There's a conservative flaw in that math: two-adult households actually get two USS benefits; a two-adult household with a single working spouse eligible for OASDI benefits is actually covered for 86% of the average retirement benefit as of 2013. Spouse and survivor benefits transfer a working spouse's benefit to a non-working spouse when the OASDI earner dies, rather than clearing them from the system; we should probably also transfer the spouse's USS as deductible from the OASDI. Note that this reduces much of the actual cost of transition because a majority but not all OASDI households are two-adult. Some people do hit retirement age as single filers. Leaving this particular error in gives a more-demanding proof-of-concept without the risk of fluffing it up by trying to squeeze out more blood that's clearly there, but in unknown quantity.

      As for the poorest, they'll probably actually tap the USS to survive. That means they'll get a better-secured retirement at the lowest income levels, but not the huge boon of carry

  99. Re:Never fly in the USA. by fustakrakich · · Score: 1

    What good is the 'new stuff' if nobody buys it? And statistics are great until you get tagged. And if you want to play the 'I've seen it all' thing, I happen to remember when single income families were livin' large without sinking into the abyss.

    --
    “He’s not deformed, he’s just drunk!”
  100. Re:Never fly in the USA. by Plus1Entropy · · Score: 1

    That was kind of the point I was making.

    --
    Only crack the nuts that crack. You don't put the ones that don't crack in the sack.
  101. Re:Selection bias? Inevitable? by Agripa · · Score: 1

    The point of UBI is to reduce the administrative overhead.

    So it increases unemployment and provides fewer government jobs. What is in it for the politicians?

  102. The poor will always starve to death first by KalvinB · · Score: 1

    You look to Venezuela for what happens when there are no longer enough resources from the rich to provide for the entitled masses.

    Venezuela basically did universal basic income with oil profits.

    But then those dried up.

    Because the rest of the world figured out that they could sell oil for a lower price than some goofy country that put the entire citizenship as worthless middlemen collecting a profit but providing no value.

    And that fixed the glitch. The middlemen are out of the market.

    In Alaska and other places there are profits given to the citizens. But nothing that would allow you to stop working. Because that would require the price of oil be substantially higher than other producers could sell their oil for.

    And you'd have to be a socialist to not see the problem with inflated prices to support middlemen no one needs.

  103. Re:Never fly in the USA. by KozmoStevnNaut · · Score: 1

    The average new house today is twice the size of a house in 1973. Cars are better, TVs are better, etc. So people aren't working more to "scrape by", they are working more for a much better quality of life.

    All of those products have become easier and less expensive to produce. So why should we work more to have them?

    --
    Eat the rich.
  104. Re:Never fly in the USA. by thaylin · · Score: 1

    While some people starve? The poor generally pay no taxes, therefore reducing taxes in no way helps them.

    --
    When you cant win, ad hominem.
  105. Re:Never fly in the USA. by Blaskowicz · · Score: 1

    What about the food quality? I've spent a few years buying cheap pizza from the supermarket and sometimes sillier things but I'm finding it harder to stomach some of it. What garbage.
    I'm beginning to think most of what I see at the supermarket is prison food.
    And I'm in France where it's supposed to be so much better than everywhere else. Maybe not anymore as the pre-war generations are dying out.

    I think eating well while spending 10% income on food is reasonably doable here, with an upper middle class income. Not counting "eating out" in the food budget.
    That's what I think about the kind of post you make above and especially bluefoxlucid's posts, maybe you're the proverbial $100K software devs and thus living in a bubble where everything is cheap (and even cheaper, e.g. if by chance you bought 32GB RAM for $100 (or a bit more, whatever it was) : most people wouldn't have a spare $100 to buy the RAM when the price had crashed to such low. And you need a compatible motherboard)

    You might be right overall still!
    Albeit from the bottom half of the society, people don't see it that rosy.

  106. Re:Never fly in the USA. by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

    You missed the part where by implementing a system like that, we would make you, personally, poorer.

    There's only so much work available in the economy. It's only able to trade around so much labor. Divert more of that labor to replacing the rotting parts of the labor force and you can make less of other shit--meaning more people live at a lower class, and middle- and upper-class people are at a lower standard-of-living than they would otherwise be.

    The point of welfare is to cost less than not having welfare. If you can't figure out why, I encourage you to save money by never brushing your teeth or using condoms again.

  107. Free advice by Brannon · · Score: 1

    You need to figure out how to answer a simple question in fewer than 2000 words.

    >> Average SS recipient gets about $14K annually. How much does that person get with the USS system described in that link?: $7K?

    Your answer (as best I can tell): They get $7K. But they received the USS for their entire life [even while they were working]--so they should have saved some of that money and set up their own retirement account.

    >> If this scheme saves $1T in federal tax revenue, what was that money being used on before? Are we really expected to believe that out of maybe $1.5T in total funding for the programs you are displacing, that $1T of that was waste?

    Your answer (as best I can tell): Unicorns.

    ---

    I genuinely do appreciate your responses--they were thoughtful and informative. For example, I now know that at least some of the push for UBI comes from closet libertarians trying to masquerade as fiscally responsible social progressives.

    1. Re:Free advice by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      You need to figure out how to answer a simple question in fewer than 2000 words.

      You need to learn what's not a simple question.

      Your answer (as best I can tell): They get $7K. But they received the USS for their entire life

      That's not even quite correct in its cross-section.

      That $7k grows faster than inflation. It was mathematically designed to do that. That adds a large number of considerations to long-term projections.

      Even then, you ignore current retirees, who have to continue receiving the promised benefit until its natural end. Likewise, some subset of upcoming retirees must receive the promised benefit; further extension beyond that is more of a nice-to-have. That doesn't bump up the income tax cost; it slows the elimination of a payroll tax--the elimination of which more-quickly reduces costs, thus increasing the buying power of the benefit (i.e. dropping OASDI from payroll means that $7k is still $7k, but things now cost $6.6k), leading to more purchasing and a requirement for more jobs to fill the demand.

      That's more than half a dozen primary and secondary considerations right there; and those aren't all the things you need to address with "what happens to social security retirement benefits?"

      How do you build a stable nuclear power plant? Answer in at most 2 sentences, without assuming prior knowledge of modern designs.

      Your answer (as best I can tell): Unicorns

      That's because you're looking for the part of the government that's unnecessarily eating cash. The entire system of welfare involves the entire economic system. Things like low-income housing carry enormous costs of risk, which puts limits on just how low you can go; reduce those risks and you can make reliable profits at smaller scales.

      Likewise, Social Security isn't inefficient; the Social Security administration and the system by which OASDI functions are some of the best-designed, most-efficient programs in human history. It's also immediate-term flow-through system targeting a subset population, and it does so by reducing that population's income until they reach retirement age, after which it redistributes everyone else's income in an unlevel manner. (no, Social Security isn't a savings account you put money into; your money pays current retirees, by design).

      Do you really think that directly compares to a flow-through system that pays out to the same group of people who are paying in, with a level payout? That's not a matter of "more efficient than Social Security"; it's a matter of solving different (or expanded set of) problems. Again: Social Security was created to avoid old people losing their savings in a banking system collapse; Universal Social Security is designed to ensure lifelong stability. They're both actually the same system doing different things.

      It's like using an engine to power a flying car to carry goods back and forth, and then someone says they can use that same engine and the same gas to move 10 times as much stuff by just pushing the car along the road. You're like, "Where did you make the engine more-efficient?" I didn't; constantly fighting gravity is a stupid way to transport goods when there's a road right there in front of you. Operate the same transit system, but on the ground.

  108. Why not just work for it?! by martinfb · · Score: 1

    Why not just work for it?!

    How about a requirement to actually put in some minimum of hours on some qualified work in order to qualify for the income?
    It could be some part time position that allows an individual to continue seeking more gainful employment.

    Then, when we have mastered having robots do nearly all our work, we can just sit back and wait for judgement day!

    --


    Self-importance and self-indulgence is the root of ALL evil.