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SEC Warns 'Extreme Caution' Over Cryptocurrency Investments As Many People Take Out Mortgages To Buy Bitcoin (qz.com)

The head of the US Securities and Exchange Commission has warned bitcoin and other cryptocurrency investors to beware of scams and criminal activity in the sector. In the financial regulator's strongest statement yet, SEC chair Jay Clayton said: "If a promoter guarantees returns, if an opportunity sounds too good to be true, or if you are pressured to act quickly, please exercise extreme caution and be aware of the risk that your investment may be lost." The warning comes at a time when many people have begun to take out mortgages to buy bitcoin. From a report: Clayton's statement was also issued the same day the SEC took regulatory action to halt an initial coin offering (ICO). "Recognize that these markets span national borders and that significant trading may occur on systems and platforms outside the United States. Your invested funds may quickly travel overseas without your knowledge," he wrote, in a sentence that was in bold. Clayton's statement referenced some of the crucial debates that have swirled around the rise and regulation of crypto-assets like bitcoins. Are these currencies? Commodities? Or securities? The statement notes in a footnote that bitcoin in the US has been designated a commodity. But the broader answer seems to be that while it depends from case to case, initial coin offerings, at least, are more likely to be scrutinized and held to the same bar as securities offerings.

233 comments

  1. Now by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Now is when you cash out, if you were wondering...

    1. Re:Now by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, this is where the fleecing begins, only the wealthy make money at this point in the game

    2. Re:Now by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Now is when you cash out, if you were wondering...

      Well the bitcoin network processes only 4 transactions per second. This hard limit will not let you cashout instantly.

    3. Re:Now by cayenne8 · · Score: 1

      A fool and his money are soon (to be) parted....

      --
      Light travels faster than sound. This is why some people appear bright until you hear them speak.........
    4. Re:Now by JackieBrown · · Score: 1

      And the non wealthy that got in the game early.

      But way to make this another rich gets richer story

    5. Re:Now by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      lol, sure and they will never get suckered out of their lot... trust me the gears are already in motion to rob them blind

    6. Re:Now by Hognoxious · · Score: 2

      And the non wealthy that got in the game early.

      Who are - at this point in time and on paper at least - wealthy.

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    7. Re:Now by AlanBDee · · Score: 1

      The rich got rich not doing dumb stuff like mortgaging their house to buy risky investments. Leveraging real estate to buy investments has to be done very carefully. You're usually buying a 3-4 level investment, not a 9-10. That's a good way to lose your butt with zeros at the end!

    8. Re:Now by AlanBDee · · Score: 1

      According to NewsWeek, it's a net worth of 2.4 million. http://www.newsweek.com/millio...

      I was going to define it as the 1%. Either way, the bitcoin ship has sailed and if you're getting in now it's too late and you will very likely lose money.

    9. Re:Now by zlives · · Score: 1

      o come on now don't ruin it for me, i need to buy more homes on the cheap when they are foreclosed.

    10. Re:Now by AlanBDee · · Score: 1

      What was I thinking, Facepalm emoji

      Time to build up my cash reserves.

    11. Re:Now by Joce640k · · Score: 1

      Yes, this is where the fleecing begins, only the wealthy make money at this point in the game

      The wealthy, and the owners of the Bitcoin exchanges.

      The transaction fees are about to go through the roof, methinks.

      --
      No sig today...
    12. Re:Now by Joce640k · · Score: 1

      The math isn't difficult.

      All Bitcoin dos is transfer money between people. Somebody buys, somebody sells. It doesn't create anything.

      So... if one person cashes out and makes a million dollars profit then that means 1000 other people just got 1000 bucks poorer (or 10,000 other people got 100 bucks poorer, or whatever...)

      It really is as simple as that. Nothing created, nothing destroyed, a simple redistribution of money.

      The point to note is the ratio of winners to losers: For every winner there's thousands of losers.

      Anybody buying Bitcoin these may think they're not one of the suckers but some very basic math proves that they are.

      --
      No sig today...
    13. Re:Now by Joce640k · · Score: 1

      If you're getting in now then you're just handing all your savings to the people who got in early.

      On a plate.

      With a little sprig of parsley on top.

      --
      No sig today...
    14. Re:Now by Joce640k · · Score: 1

      Well the bitcoin network processes only 4 transactions per second. This hard limit will not let you cashout instantly.

      Yep. This limit will make sure that Bitcoin crashes much harder than any other bubble in history.

      --
      No sig today...
    15. Re:Now by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The point to note is the ratio of winners to losers: For every winner there's thousands of losers.

      So, pyramid scheme then?

    16. Re:Now by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      The point to note is the ratio of winners to losers: For every winner there's thousands of losers.

      So, pyramid scheme then?

      Nope, same as any commodity, the Greater Fool theory.

    17. Re:Now by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sounds much like the US tax system. Many pay, but only the rich few get the benefits.

    18. Re:Now by Zof · · Score: 1

      Well, if your Bitcoin is already on deposit at the exchange the limitations of the blockchain are irrelevant. Keeping coins on deposit at an exhange is a stupid idea though, with the various hacks/thefts that have happened. Moving your coins from a local wallet to an exchange to sell is one transaction and any trades you make there are off-chain.

    19. Re:Now by gweihir · · Score: 1

      Indeed. This whole thing runs on something called "Greater Fool Theory" and is at this point basically a variant of the venerable Ponzi Scheme. The idea is that any fool that buys now hopes that there is an even greater fool that will buy later from him. If we now have people buying that do not actually have the money to buy, then we are scraping the bottom of the barrel of fools.

      Although I disagree on one point: The mining activity itself is actually destructive as it consumes massive amounts of electricity to produce ... nothing. Hence overall, Bitcoin as a speculation object has significant negative productivity. If it were stable and usable as a currency (which may eventually happen again after the crash, but I doubt it), that would offset things a bit, but it is not.

      --
      Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
    20. Re:Now by gweihir · · Score: 1

      Actually some component of Pyramid Scheme is in there, with all the SPAM promising great and "guaranteed" winnings for anybody buying in at this time, but a proper Pyramid Scheme has a stronger structure. The idea is somewhat similar though.

      --
      Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
    21. Re:Now by gweihir · · Score: 1

      Indeed. The panic will increase much faster because of it. And, incidentally, you can only "cash out" if you find a buyer. These will evaporate very fast.

      --
      Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
    22. Re:Now by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We need to get a law passed that says trading US dollars for Bitcoins is a felony regardless of amount, because the money benefits terrorists and drug cartels.

    23. Re:Now by Tranzistors · · Score: 1

      Nothing created, nothing destroyed, a simple redistribution of money.

      There is a loss in the system — electricity bills, hardware purchase and time invested.

    24. Re:Now by Rolgar · · Score: 1

      Well, scheme means scam, that is an intent to defraud.

      This a bubble/mania possibly approaching the euphoria stage caused by the excitement of once in an eternity price activity and fear of missing out causing people who don't know better to rush in hoping that there is still money to be made. Of course, even if the price goes to 100k, you'll only get about 6x your money at current prices, with a potential drop of 50 or a thousand depending on just how bad the shakeout is.

    25. Re:Now by FlamingGuts · · Score: 1

      I remember when you said this a year ago! And the year before! And the year before! ...

  2. Next month... by ScentCone · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Next month, "Help me, other tax payers who aren't idiots! My mortgage is now bigger than the market value of my house. Make a law that makes the bank put my mortgage back the way it was! It's not fair!"

    --
    Don't disappoint your bird dog. Go to the range.
    1. Re:Next month... by penandpaper · · Score: 5, Funny

      Pay off your mortgage with this one simple trick that banks hate!
      The IRS won't tell you this one investment trick to pay off your mortgage.

    2. Re:Next month... by Baron_Yam · · Score: 2

      Luckily there simply isn't enough money in Bitcoin to result in any political will to bail this greedy fools out.

      In the meantime, some of the big players will get richer and just enough of the fools will time it right to inspire others.

    3. Re:Next month... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      "People have been taking out mortgages to buy bitcoins" = "I read on twitter one guy said he might take out a mortgage to buy more bitcoin".

      Seriously, if PEOPLE are taking out mortgages, I doubt it's many. Probably 1 or two. People are stupid, but surely not many are THAT stupid.

    4. Re:Next month... by Roger+W+Moore · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Luckily there simply isn't enough money in Bitcoin to result in any political will to bail this greedy fools out.

      That depends on who the fools are. Are you sure that no politicians have invested large sums in bitcoin?

    5. Re:Next month... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      I have a simple trick that banks hate that I used to pay off my mortgage. I lived below my means and put the extra money against the principle. It's the living below your means that most people have trouble with.

    6. Re:Next month... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      People are stupid, but surely not many are THAT stupid.

      You give our species far more credit than it deserves.

    7. Re:Next month... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Agreed not only has the price of bitcoin skyrocketed. The value of bitcoin media stories is also high so just make up shit.

    8. Re:Next month... by ScentCone · · Score: 2, Insightful

      then your not so veiled comparison to the mortgage crisis

      No, it's a not-so-veiled comparison to every other situation where people deliberately, knowingly, foolishly take on a mountain of debt they can't afford. And then start looking to other people - via government compulsion through taxes taken mostly from a small percentage of the population - to pay for it. It's no different than people stamping their feet and demanding that we elect Bernie Sanders because he's promising to eliminate the debt his supporters racked up getting a useless French Lit degree while attending an expensive out of state party school instead of living within their means and using the local community college for a fraction of the price. It's the sense of entitlement we're talking about. I'm entitled to some of that sweet bitcoin profit, and I'm entitled to make other people pay for the debt I took trying to get it. Just like people feel entitled to a profit flipping houses in a bubble market, and entitled to being bailed out when the bubble they helped create then breaks.

      --
      Don't disappoint your bird dog. Go to the range.
    9. Re:Next month... by ranton · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Seriously, if PEOPLE are taking out mortgages, I doubt it's many. Probably 1 or two. People are stupid, but surely not many are THAT stupid.

      You are ignoring the most powerful motivator to make risky financial decisions there is: "So many people are making so much money and i'll be an idiot if I am the only one making nothing!"

      There are probably thousands if not tens of thousands of people who have already invested far more money than they can afford to lose on Bitcoin. The National Council on Problem Gambling estimates that 2 to 3 percent of adults in the United States (as many as 9 million people) have serious problems with gambling. Another 3 million meet the criteria for “pathological gambling” (also known as “compulsive gambling”). These are the types of people who would think Bitcoin is a good investment; the kind which can double their money overnight. "If I only invest $1000 instead of $10,000 I will lose $9000 when the price doubles, I need to invest more!"

      Many people really will make a lot of money on this (many already have). Maybe Bitcoin goes up to $50k and today's investors will make serious money. But it is no different than doubling down on a good black jack hand. Eventually most people will probably lose big.

      --
      -- All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing. -- Edmund Burke
    10. Re:Next month... by sunking2 · · Score: 1

      Spending their student loans on the other hand.

    11. Re:Next month... by Hognoxious · · Score: 5, Funny

      I lived below my means and put the extra money against the principle. It's the living below your means that most people have trouble with.

      That's because they're unprincipaled.

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    12. Re:Next month... by TheRaven64 · · Score: 1

      More to the point, you can only get a mortgage if there is unmortgaged equity in your house (and you have disposable income enough to cover the difference) and the process takes a few weeks / months. Most people will only be able to lose a few thousand, maybe a few tens of thousands of dollars (but much less than their total house value), because that's all the banks will lend them. Most of these will spend so long getting the mortgage that investing in BitCoin is likely to seem like a less good idea by the time that they actually have the money.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    13. Re:Next month... by torkus · · Score: 1

      TBH, if I'd taken out a mortgage and bought bitcoin even a month or two ago I'd be paying off the mortgage several times over today and still have more money invested than I started with.

      Now, we can say 'people would be stupid to do that TODAY' but we'd have said the same thing two months ago.

      Just like the stock market, it's more or less gambling.

      --
      You can get rich if you own a politician, but you have to be rich to buy one in the first place.
    14. Re:Next month... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No funny mods for the above?

    15. Re: Next month... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I have no trouble living below my means. But I'm renovating my basement to do it.

    16. Re:Next month... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Apparently you belong right with the stupid people because you don't even know what the definition of a pedophile is because you're so caught up with regurgitating crap spewing from your mouth. Way to have the exact opinion all the other sheep have in the media. I'm baffled on how you even stumbled upon slashdot.

    17. Re:Next month... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, please go back to Washington Post where 20 year old kid journalists tell you what to think.. I still read the WP, but I can at least differentiate when agenda's are being pushed..

    18. Re:Next month... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Or gaming the housing market when the opportunity comes up, maybe a bit smarter..

      Bought a house 3 years ago about 35 miles south of Seattle, a little over $200k (we qualified for $230k), was paying low equity insurance (PMI) and a higher interest rate. Then the market around here started to take off.

      3 years later I'm thinking, I can re-finance this and get rid of the PMI. So I go talk to the local credit union I had since moved all my banking to, they valued the house at $300k, and did me a 20 year loan at 4%, with the lower interest rate and no PMI, in the end I wiped 7 years off my original mortgage and payment went up only $100 a month. I almost went to a 15 year loan, but didn't want to stretch my finances too far. Once I get a few smaller financial things out of the way I'll likely start making extra principal payments, and may well get it paid off in 15 years or less.

      How many people would have just refied a new 30 year loan, to get a lower payment, to then waste the extra money on "stuff"? Or just have not even bothered?

      In hindsight, I could done "cash out" on the refi, and dumped it into BTC, doubled or tripped my money, cashed out the BTC, repaid what I "borrowed" against the house for it, and had a big chunk of change in my pocket. And I bet these people are doing exactly that, trying to get rich quick, it might work, or it might blow up in the faces, it might unbalance their financial situation just enough that some bump down the road winds up losing them their house, then they have nothing.

      Not worth the risk if it means winding up living in a cardboard box, and there's already plenty of that going on around Seattle already.

    19. Re:Next month... by sheph · · Score: 1

      It's exactly like gambling. Without a crystal ball how do you know? It's an awfully big risk to take. What if it tanked in the last month? You'd owe all that money with nothing to show for it.

      --
      I don't believe in karma, I just call it like I see it.
    20. Re:Next month... by ranton · · Score: 3, Insightful

      To those modding this down, you do know "ignorant" is not just some derogatory remark, right? It is used to describe someone who lacks understand, such as someone who thinks the investor protections are unnecessary because average people should just be smarter.

      --
      -- All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing. -- Edmund Burke
    21. Re:Next month... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Dumb people voted for Trump Mostly dumb people voted for Hillary Smart People didn't vote at all Really Smart people voted for Trump because they know that its better to break the camel's back now and get to work on fixing actual issues by raising political awareness in America. These same people actually get women and recognize sometimes a really bad girlfriend will motivate you to get out of a bad relationship opposed to staying in a mediocre one for 8 years wasting precious life i.e. Hillary Clinton.

    22. Re:Next month... by Skuld-Chan · · Score: 1

      Where did you read that?

    23. Re:Next month... by bws111 · · Score: 1

      Yes, we would have said the same thing two months ago, and we'd STILL be correct. The only reason the price keeps going up is because no-one is selling. Once people actually start selling, that will be the end of the bubble.

      And no, it is not like the stock market. With the stock market there is actual information available to make informed decisions about your investments (note I said investments and not speculation). If you have a diverse stock portfolio, you will usually make money over time, the complete opposite of gambling. With bitcoin, there is absolutely NO information available to give any indication of future value. All you are relying on is that other people are just as stupid as you when it comes to 'investing' in bitcoin so the price keeps going up. Once you run out of suckers, watch out.

    24. Re:Next month... by ranton · · Score: 1

      Your entire post just boils down to "we don't need consumer or investor protections because everyone should be expected to be experts in everything and that everyone who gets taken advantage of deserved it. Do you also blame rape victims for dressing to provocatively?

      People make mistakes, and safety nets are there for a good reason. Risk taking is beneficial to our society, and risk taking would be discouraged if we didn't have various protections and safety nets to protect those who made bad bets. None of these protections wipe out all bad outcomes from making poor decisions, but they do prevent these bad decisions from having unnecessarily high consequences.

      Take the French Lit degree holder in your example. Perhaps it was a bad decision, but what is the proper way for society to handle that? Certainly we do need some liberal arts majors, so we cannot get rid of the degree. Certainly we don't want only wealthy kids to get liberal arts degrees, so we cannot prevent loans for liberal arts degrees. So we choose to give safety nets for students who made poor career choices. None of those safety nets are going to give that individual the kind of career they would have if they had an engineering degree (for instance) but they do prevent the negative affects from destroying his life.

      Attacking all consumer protections or safety nets on principle is simply an ignorant opinion to have, and it is sad that so many people have it. I guess it makes you feel better about yourself that you are so superior to regular people.

      --
      -- All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing. -- Edmund Burke
    25. Re:Next month... by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      I still read the WP, but I can at least differentiate when agenda's are being pushed..

      Come back when you can tell a plural from a possessive.

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    26. Re:Next month... by repka · · Score: 1

      Well, who's an idiot if a law like that actually gets passed?

    27. Re: Next month... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Due to semantic shift, "pedophile" no longer matches most definitions. It typically refers to anyone relatively young (below 18 appears to be the line most refer to) having sex or sexually assaulting someone, especially with someone relatively older (say 30 and above).

      While it's true that pedophile typically refers to a prepubescent child (which to be fair, is quite variable, as puberty is not dead set after a time period), language is quite dynamic and isn't set in stone so as a knowledgable linguist, you should adapt with culture.

      While it's not likely he's a traditional pedo, he's a pedo in most viewers eyes. If you're 30 dating 16 your old kids, it's quite likely you're aware of the age of consent and the choice of age 16 isn't arbitrary, you're simply dancing at the boundary of law. In many states, 16 is below the age of consent with "Romeo and Juliet" exceptions. If the age of consent was 14, it's very reasonable to suspect he would target 14 year olds. Is it proof? Nope, but it shows the individual is certainly a sexual predator. Maybe he wants them to hit sexual maturity to a degree but not a more cognicient maturity.

    28. Re:Next month... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You are forgetting, that quite a many American voted for Trump, so do not under estimate the amount of idiots.

    29. Re:Next month... by giggleloop · · Score: 1

      Yeah. Like gambling, the golden rule is: never bet what you can't afford to lose.

    30. Re:Next month... by mishehu · · Score: 1

      3 years into a loan, depending on how much was put down initially, and refinancing for the purpose of removing PMI may not be the savings it was intended to be. PMI x # of months left to reach the 20% marker compared to the refi costs. Unless this was coupled with a lower interest rate or was done specifically to re-amortize the payments, then it's likely that this was just throwing good money for bad.

    31. Re:Next month... by Srin+Tuar · · Score: 2

      > Yes, we would have said the same thing two months ago, and we'd STILL be correct.

      Uh huh, and 2 months from now you will be "right" again no doubt.

      Lol, if you do the opposite of everything slashdot said about bitcoin you'd be rich.

      I'm convinced this site is full of techno-geezers who have grown old and are now afraid of anything new. Rather than actually learning what this thing is, they just yell "get off my lawn" from their rocking chairs.

      Bitcoin is something new, something most slashdotters have been skeptical of since it was worth pennies. I really though a 10K price tag would wake a few people up, but it seems like that not enough.

      Tell me honestly, what would it take for you to realize bitcoin is going to change the world even more than the internet has ? A 100K price tag? Perhaps a serious decline in a major currency, in favor of bitcoinization ?

    32. Re:Next month... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      It is a general rule that you don't take a dept, to speculate in some market.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    33. Re:Next month... by Joce640k · · Score: 1

      Maybe Bitcoin goes up to $50k and today's investors will make serious money.

      The price limit for bitcoin is simply the amount of money that stupid people can get their hands on.

      It could go up to 50k if people can scrape enough money together to buy at that price, eg. by mortgaging their house.

      How much money is still left to find? I dunno, but it's fun to watch.

      --
      No sig today...
    34. Re:Next month... by Joce640k · · Score: 1

      And no, it is not like the stock market. With the stock market there is actual information available to make informed decisions about your investments (note I said investments and not speculation).

      Yep, and in the stock market a company like Apple might gain real, hard, value by taking market share from Samsung (for example).

      Bitcoin doesn't do things like that, it just exists.

      --
      No sig today...
    35. Re:Next month... by Anne+Thwacks · · Score: 1
      The media pundits are all so high on bitcoin shit.

      FTFY

      --
      Sent from my ASR33 using ASCII
    36. Re:Next month... by bws111 · · Score: 2

      Other than criminal activity, name ONE thing that makes bitcoin worth anything at all. What can bitcoin do that no other currency or cryptocurrency can? What can bitcoin do as opposed to a cryptocurrency backed by a government, or a cryptocurrency supported by some big financial players (banks,Visa, MC, even Apple, etc)? What can bitcoin do as opposed to a cryptocurrency traded on legitimate, regulated, exchanges?

      Cryptocurrency MAY (or may not) have a siginificant impact on the world. There is absolutely ZERO indication that BITCOIN will have the slightest impact.

    37. Re:Next month... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Riiiiiiight. Couldn't possibly be because they're underpaid. That would imply the society rewarding you is as amoral as you are. Best to blame it on the powerless. They never fight back!

    38. Re:Next month... by ScentCone · · Score: 2

      Your entire post just boils down to "we don't need consumer or investor protections..."

      Consumer and investor protections are essentially law enforcement measures there to prevent crime, usually in form of some sort of fraud. You're deliberately conflating that with grabbing a bunch of tax money from a group of people and handing it over to another group because they made poor choices. So, some person who KNEW it was unwise to take on a variable-rate, 0% down payment mortgage (and, wisely, resisted doing so) gets to work part of every day to pay taxes that will be handed over to people who la-la-la took out a huge loan they were in no position to handle. That's not consumer protection, it's politicians trying to be seen being generous to a dumb group of people with money taken from a smart group of people.

      Take the French Lit degree holder in your example. Perhaps it was a bad decision, but what is the proper way for society to handle that?

      How about ... tell the person who wants the degree in French Lit from a school that costs $50k a year that perhaps they'd be better off taking those first couple years of classes someplace they can actually afford it? Who said anything about getting rid of the degree? We're talking about telling the person who thinks they deserve to have other people buy them four years at an expensive school that - just like the person who wisely keeps their tuition costs under control by getting their degree in, say, hospital administration or engineering from a lower-cost in-state school after some time in the community college - their choices are going to cost them, and only them, what those choices cost. The guy who - despite loving literature - chooses instead to attend a vocational school and then quickly starts making $70k as a diesel mechanic while enjoying his fascination with Polish poetry on his own time without decades of debt to whine about, is the one you seem to be thinking should be taxed so that other, less-wise entitled-feeling idiot can attend Harvard and graduate without any prospect for a job in the studied field.

      Attacking all consumer protections or safety nets

      Nice straw man, there. Please cite the words I used that resemble anything at all like that. Really, go ahead.

      --
      Don't disappoint your bird dog. Go to the range.
    39. Re:Next month... by OneSmartFellow · · Score: 1

      You really need a lesson in economics.

      If they're truly underpaid it's their own fault.

      Any other reason for low pay is not being underpaid,  it's just the market finding their value.  It sucks but it's really that simple.

    40. Re:Next month... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Housing costs in my area have skyrocketed in the past few years. Its booming, at the moment. I would like to quit renting and buy a house, but am waiting for the economy to tank again so I can get a good deal.

      I expect that the Bitcoin crash will ruin people who took out mortgages, which will result in a lot of foreclosures, thus creating the crash I have been waiting for.

      So, some poor bastard's inability to recognize a bubble will result in their bank selling their house to me for cheap.

      I get a cheap house, he or she learns a valuable lesson.

      I see no downsides here.

    41. Re:Next month... by citylivin · · Score: 1

      "Tell me honestly, what would it take for you to realize bitcoin is going to change the world even more than the internet has ? A 100K price tag?"

      Some stability perhaps? Anything that fluctuates by thousands of dollars a day is not something most intelligent non gambler type people want to go near.

      Has nothing to do with age, because the guy i personally know who is right now buying more bitcoin at 20k (as he anticipates it will grow to 50k easy in a month!) is in his 60s.

      Bitcoin is beyond volatile as a "currency".

      --
      As a potential lottery winner, I totally support tax cuts for the wealthy
    42. Re:Next month... by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      sjames, is that you?

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    43. Re: Next month... by UrbanMonk · · Score: 1

      But the Dollar is any better? A currency that inflates over time; think about it, the longer you hold the Dollar the less it is worth. Bitcoin deflates overtime, only 22 Million Bitcoins shared across the globe. Guess what the Dollar is not backed by anything either, if Bitcoin does crash it would be at the hands of regulators or a rival cryptocurrency.

    44. Re:Next month... by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 1

      Luckily there simply isn't enough money in Bitcoin to result in any political will to bail this greedy fools out.

      >

      Also, little political incentive to bail out kidnapers, cartelistas, North Koreans, and ransomware potentates.

    45. Re:Next month... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's adorable, you are taking a 'stupid old people' approach and acting as if Bitcoin is the financial messiah. Think of it like a savings account that everyone pays into and anyone that does so can withdraw from.

      Everyone is putting in right now, sure, but when people start taking out massive amounts and the value plummets, you will find everyone scrambling to sell, which is just going to compound the problem.

      Money isn't magically appearing from midair, people are buying in, there's no interest here, nothing to compound the investment.

      Look at it this way, five people put $1 into a pot, suddenly there's $5 where there was only one when the first person put their dollar in. OMG, I'm rich, so he cashes out and collects the current value, let's say $3. Now the remaining people's $1 investment is worth 25 cents.

      Yeah, people are going to get rich, but a LOT more people are going to get screwed.

      This isn't a 'new' currency, it's been around since my pre-teens were toddlers. It rises, it falls, there's just more attention on it, which compounds the investment.

    46. Re:Next month... by Lordfly · · Score: 1

      And your house will always go up in value, exponentially, forever. It will never lose value.

      --
      hookers and grits.
    47. Re:Next month... by gweihir · · Score: 1

      Anybody that does not leave that country fast...

      --
      Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
    48. Re:Next month... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Did you have to refinance to get rid of PMI? Couldn't you have just gotten a new appraisal?

    49. Re: Next month... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The law is the law. If the age of consent was 28 would you say all the under age 27 sex was pedo and perverted and criminal?

      You're an idiot sheep.

    50. Re: Next month... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I put the full faith and power of the United States federal government over the full faith and power of a bunch of slashdot nerds.

      There will eventually be some sort of crypto currency but it won't be something as technologically broken and stupid as bitcoin.

    51. Re: Next month... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Only two prices points count for my house. The price on the day I buy. The price on the day I sell. And the duration in between is effectively free rent as rents always go up over time but my mortgage does not. It also provides a place to stay and keep my stuff.

      Bitcoin does none of those things. It's a pyramid scam.

    52. Re: Next month... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We as a society do not have an obligation to protect stupid selfish people from themselves.

      Doing so punishes smart people for the benefit of morons.

      What should we do as a society for dumb asses who rack up $50k a year taking French lit at out of state party schools?

      Nothing.

      Let them work off the debt their entire lives if that's what it takes.

      Don't take money out of my pocket to make up for their stupidity. I put myself through a state school and worked 60 hours a week after that to buy my first house. Fuck them if they partied instead.

      I owe them nothing. It is immoral to take my money to give to them.

    53. Re:Next month... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      People in and around the city of Seattle approved a $54 billion tax to expand their light rail system, a project that everyone including the government itself agrees will do nothing to relieve Seattle's traffic jams. To compare, please note that the budget for the entire state for the 2017-2019 biennial authorizes just $21.85 billion of government spending per year.

      Therefore, yes, that many people really are that stupid.

    54. Re: Next month... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Growth to level out for a few years and remain roughly below the rate of inflation. That's when you know the speculators are out and the value can be gauged more reliably. Until then, it could rocket to $1m and I still wouldn't be convinced there's substance to the growth story, on that basis alone. The lure of outsize returns needs to taper off before we can get a clear picture.

    55. Re:Next month... by ranton · · Score: 1

      Attacking all consumer protections or safety nets

      Nice straw man, there. Please cite the words I used that resemble anything at all like that. Really, go ahead.

      [My original post was] not-so-veiled comparison to every other situation where people deliberately, knowingly, foolishly take on a mountain of debt they can't afford. And then start looking to other people - via government compulsion through taxes taken mostly from a small percentage of the population - to pay for it.

      All safety nets look to the small portion of people who benefit most from a well functioning society and economy to pay for it. Here you attack programs such as bankruptcy, and student debt forgiveness because bankruptcy rarely covers this, because ultimately those who do pay down their debts and pay higher taxes allow for these programs to exist. There are many other sentences I could quote where you argue that those who are successful should not be burdened with helping those who are not, which is what a safety net is.

      You don't mention consumer protections directly, other than the fact your entire tirade was set off by comments from a consumer protections agency. If you have no beef with organizations that try to prevent situations where consumers and investors can be taken advantage of because of their irrational decisions then this was an odd place to vent your complaints.

      their choices are going to cost them, and only them, what those choices cost.

      There is your cognitive disconnect. Debt forgiveness for those who are overburdened with debt helps everyone, not just those who have their debt forgiven. Part of the cost of any debt, whether it be a car/house/college loan, is paying for those who will eventually default. Without this, less people would take the risk of taking out loans and the economy would suffer. In addition a graduate with too much debt often has a harder time applying the knowledge they gained when they have to worry more about how to pay off the debt. Students also would be less likely to study riskier subjects (which still have value to society) if the penalty for failing would be too severe.

      Consumer protections to prevent too many students from taking on risky degrees is just as important as the debt forgiveness piece, but society overall suffers without either of them.

      --
      -- All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing. -- Edmund Burke
    56. Re: Next month... by ranton · · Score: 1

      We as a society do not have an obligation to protect stupid selfish people from themselves.

      Doing so punishes smart people for the benefit of morons.

      No, debt forgiveness for those who are overburdened with debt helps everyone, not just those who have their debt forgiven. The ability to take on debt for investment, whether it be capital investment for companies or an investment in education, is a significant boon to the economy. The only way this system works is if debt forgiveness exists, or else far less people would risk investments. We would go back to 10-20% of the population being college educated real quick if you couldn't easily get a loan for any degree, even liberal arts, and that would significantly harm everyone in the economy. Even those who are currently paying a small amount to cover for the mistakes of others.

      --
      -- All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing. -- Edmund Burke
  3. Caveat emptor by nospam007 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Stupidity is never a good investment.
    They should have done that when it was at 11 bucks, not 11.000.

    1. Re:Caveat emptor by Registered+Coward+v2 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Stupidity is never a good investment. They should have done that when it was at 11 bucks, not 11.000.

      Unfortunately, the amount of stupidity in the universe seems to exceed the size of the universe. I read a quote to that effect on the internet so it must be true.

      This has all the makings of the Tulip Bubble combined with a pump and dump scheme. Folks who have a lot of BitCoins from early on are in a position to cash out and can manipulate the market to avoid a crash and run on it. The lack of liquidity on the sell side means the suckers ^H^H^H^H^H^H^H investors buying in now won't be able to easily pull out in a dip when they need money or take advantage of a rise in value to pay off the mortgage. All the big players need to is keep hitting new highs after dips to keep people from jumping in while they sell their cache for cash as tehy get out of the game. Volatility is their friend because all people see is a chance to make huge gains without understanding the underlying risk or fundamentals of the marketplace. Best of all, the manipulation is perfectly legal since it is unregulated and no one is selling BitCoin as an investment.

      --
      I'm a consultant - I convert gibberish into cash-flow.
    2. Re:Caveat emptor by houghi · · Score: 2

      Even at 11, you should not borrow to invest in stocks, unless you are able to pay back that loan when things go bad.

      Hindsight means that you would have been able to gain if you sell now. But if you don't and it goes to 5 or 0, you still would have lost all the money you loaned or borrowed from that nice Sicilian guy.

      --
      Don't fight for your country, if your country does not fight for you.
    3. Re:Caveat emptor by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Stupidity is never a good investment.
      They should have done that when it was at 11 bucks, not 11.000.

      Wrong.

      BTC is now 17,223.9.

      Even at 11,000 they would have made a big chunk of money.

    4. Re:Caveat emptor by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Even at 11, you should not borrow to invest in stocks, unless you are able to pay back that loan when things go bad.

      Bitcoin isn't a stock

    5. Re:Caveat emptor by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Only if they sell now. Which they won't.

    6. Re:Caveat emptor by h4ck7h3p14n37 · · Score: 1

      When Bitcoin was trading below $700 I had considered taking out the maximum 401k loan I could and moving it into Bitcoin. I'd be a multi-millionaire today if I had done that.

      I bought in a few years ago at an average price of $500 or so, I'm doing very well on paper today, but I really wish I had continued putting money into it vs. my traditional investments. Even another $10,000 earlier this year and I could have retired on my gains.

      The situation with Litecoin is even crazier! I bought in at $9 and started to get worried when it had that long decline starting towards the end of 2015. 1,000 coins purchased during that low period would be worth millions today.

      I'd be very hesitant to put new money in at this point, but that kind of thinking in the past is why I'm still at work today. Who knows where this will eventually end up?

    7. Re: Caveat emptor by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Like any âoeponziâ like scheme the trick is to get in early, then get out before it crashes in on itself. That isnâ(TM)t to say the concept of a crypto currency might not be valid, but the current rush on bitcoins will not end any better than buying tulips for most people.

    8. Re:Caveat emptor by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      I'd be a multi-millionaire today if I had done that.
      You likely would not. Because you also have to sell at the right point ... which implies a buyer.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    9. Re:Caveat emptor by Joce640k · · Score: 1

      Hindsight is always 20:20.

      The reality is that you're basically looking at this week's lottery numbers and thinking: "If only I'd bought those numbers last week...I'd be retired now!"

      PS: Sell!

      --
      No sig today...
    10. Re:Caveat emptor by Pulzar · · Score: 1

      You likely would not. Because you also have to sell at the right point ... which implies a buyer.

      What are all these people that are taking out mortgages to invest?

      There's plenty of buyers. Just try it -- there's very little difficulty in selling any now that there are still tons of buyers trying to get in.

      --
      Never underestimate the bandwidth of a 747 filled with CD-ROMs.
    11. Re:Caveat emptor by gweihir · · Score: 1

      Never gamble with money that you cannot afford to lose. Fundamental rule of survival.

      --
      Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
    12. Re:Caveat emptor by gweihir · · Score: 1

      And that is just it. This could not have been predicted. As a matter of fact, if this development could have been predicted, it would not have happened.

      --
      Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
    13. Re:Caveat emptor by kiminator · · Score: 1

      Hindsight is easy with this kind of thing. The real problem is that nobody knows when the Bitcoin bubble is going to burst (which it most definitely will). People who make money on bubbles are those who get out before the bubble bursts, not once it's already begun.

      So yes, you could have made a lot of money. But Bitcoin could also have burst not long after it hit $700 and you could have lost it all. The bubble could burst tomorrow. Or it could linger for another year and burst at $32,000. Or it could partially-burst, then grow again even bigger, then have a crash of monumental proportions. Ultimately, nobody knows, and it's almost impossible to tie Bitcoin to any fundamentals that could be used to judge whether its value is reasonable or not.

      So by all means, invest in Bitcoin. But only do it with money you can afford to lose.

  4. Bubble by BrookHarty · · Score: 1

    Its crazy that 40 bux worth of bitcoins at the start could be worth millions today and the facebook twins are billionaries off their 11 million dollars of btc they bought. Its driving up litecoin and ethereum due to the trading frenzy.

    But the exchanges are raking in the transaction fees right now. Can't imagine how much they are earning per day now.

    1. Re:Bubble by torkus · · Score: 1

      LTC and ETH are far, FAR more sustainable and higher levels of trading though.

      BTC ... it might not burst but it will have to fork (again) if it's going to live a happy and long life.

      I expect people will eventually move $ out of BTC and over to ETH/LTC on possibly some up-and-comer if that doesn't happen.

      --
      You can get rich if you own a politician, but you have to be rich to buy one in the first place.
    2. Re:Bubble by gweihir · · Score: 1

      Nobody is a billionaire on Bitcoin. You cannot sell that much without completely crashing the value.

      --
      Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
    3. Re:Bubble by gweihir · · Score: 1

      It will burst. And it will do so soon. Currently, the last fools available are buying, namely those with no money and no understanding of what is going on. That is those people taking out mortgages to buy at the current rate. After this supply of really great fools is exhausted, it is over.

      --
      Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
  5. I'm Rich, Bitch by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I'll use extreme caution when driving my Lambo

    Long on Bitcoin and never looking back, m'ladies

    1. Re:I'm Rich, Bitch by bobbied · · Score: 4, Informative

      You don't actually make a profit until you sell the asset.... I suggest you do that NOW!

      --
      "File to fit, pound to insert, paint to match" - Aircraft Maintenance 101
    2. Re:I'm Rich, Bitch by GameboyRMH · · Score: 5, Funny

      No, tell him to hang onto it, it's always fun to see the repo truck pick up a supercar!

      --
      "When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
    3. Re:I'm Rich, Bitch by bobbied · · Score: 1

      I suppose there is that bit of fun to look forward to.... That and being able to gloat over all the money they *used* to think they had...

      --
      "File to fit, pound to insert, paint to match" - Aircraft Maintenance 101
    4. Re:I'm Rich, Bitch by gweihir · · Score: 1

      Indeed. Even funnier when they find out that while stocks may crash down to pennies, Bitcoin can crash down to absolutely nothing.

      --
      Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
  6. It's OK... by b0s0z0ku · · Score: 2, Insightful

    those of us that bought homes in 2008 will be more than happy to ...
    (1) take a HELOC
    (2) buy their homes at sheriff's auction when BTC crashes
    (3) rent them back to them (or evict them and rent to hard-working immigrants)
    (4) profit

    Every future crisis is just a path to profit.

    1. Re:It's OK... by Anachragnome · · Score: 1

      "Every future crisis is just a path to profit."

      True, but this "crisis" is burning up vast amounts of OIL to powers the processors of Coin Miners, a crisis that will remain for all of us, for many years, if not permanently.

      Personally, I think Cryptocurrencies are simply a means of supplying "added-value" for the oil industry in affort to stave off the effects of Peak Oil Demand (which we have already experienced, and will continue to experience).

      Let me be clear on this--EVERY coin created is nothing more than OIL BURNED. If they can't get us to burn it in our cars, they'll get us to burn it with our computers, taking full advantage of GREED in the process. The value of Bitcoin is directly based on the value of the oil consumed--it takes a lot of oil to generate a single coin these days. THAT is why the (actual) value is going up.

      That being said, leaving Bitcoins to your children is like saying "Here, I shit on your future to give you...a future."

    2. Re:It's OK... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Trump??? Is that you?

    3. Re: It's OK... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      don't forget current GPU prices

  7. More like a giant poker game by timholman · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Are these currencies? Commodities? Or securities?

    No, more like a giant poker game where a few people will win and a lot more will lose. Oh, and the game may or may not be fixed, but if it is, there's not a thing you can do about it.

    Or more accurately, like the pyramid parties and pyramid letters that were so popular back in the early 1980s, where a bunch of people would pass money to the people at the top of the pyramid. You could make money at it, provided you brought in some greater fools to the next party to pass money to you.

    Bitcoin is a zero-sum game. No one is walking away from the table with any money that didn't come from someone else's pocket. Or in some cases, from someone else's credit card, mortgage, retirement account, or college fund.

    1. Re:More like a giant poker game by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sorry you didn't get in the game early enough. So bitter.

    2. Re:More like a giant poker game by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Sorry you didn't get in the game early enough.

      You are implying that only the early "investors" will make money, admitting that this is a glorified pyramid scheme.

      Now piss off, turd.

    3. Re:More like a giant poker game by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm also sorry that you didn't get in the game early enough either. So sour.

    4. Re:More like a giant poker game by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Someone doesn't understand Bitcoin. The only bubble is the US dollar. Bitcoin is the pin. You are the loser who will be dragged kicking and screaming into the new world, where money will not be granted by arbitrary masters but by math.

      Piss off, loser. I'm rich.

  8. Very smart people told me only China did that? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    SEC took regulatory action to halt an initial coin offering (ICO)

    Maybe they weren't so smart, and just keep telling themselves that they are.
    America has banned bitcoins !!
    You know who you are :)

  9. Bubble Indicator by TJ_Phazerhacki · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Isn't one of the key defining features of a bubble when a large number of relatively uniformed people decide to participate based on credit and margin? Tulips, the Great Crash, Great Recession, Internet Stocks, Great Recession...

    --
    Physics is nothing like religion. If it was, we'd have an easier time trying to raise money!
    1. Re:Bubble Indicator by leonbev · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Well, that and people trying to convince you that "This time is different, $FINANCIALPRODUCTX is a new paradigm! The old rules do not apply!", where $FINANCIALPRODUCTX was .com stocks in 1999 and spec home investing in 2006.

      Not that I think what I say here will sway anybody. Don't say that you haven't been warned, though.

    2. Re:Bubble Indicator by Tablizer · · Score: 1

      It's amazing financial bubbles and crashes have been happening at least since 400 years ago, yet a good many blame them on the Federal Reserve, usually those demanding that the "Fed be audited". Ignorance of history.

      On a related note, the USA economy is due for a correction. The recovery period has been longer than average. I'd give it roughly a 70% chance of hitting a recession within the next 2 years. Perhaps a bitcoin crash will trigger it.

    3. Re:Bubble Indicator by 0100010001010011 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      https://news.slashdot.org/comm...

      If you look at the history of crashes, nearly all have one thing in common: Many people investing with borrowed money. This happened with tulips, the South Sea Bubble, the 1929 crash, and the sub-prime mortgage crash. I am unaware of any bubble that did not involve a lot of people borrowing or buying on margin.

      So far that is not happening with bitcoin.

      "Less space than a nomad" in under 24 hours from ShanghaiBill.

    4. Re:Bubble Indicator by Megol · · Score: 4, Funny

      Relatively uniformed? Stripper cops?

    5. Re:Bubble Indicator by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I noticed he was being extremely quiet in this thread. I'm glad somebody else pulled that up to save me the hassle of having to do it myself.

    6. Re:Bubble Indicator by TheRaven64 · · Score: 3, Informative

      The 'and margin' part of that is the real problem. If people are using secured credit, such as mortgages, then it isn't such a problem: worst case, they lose their house (more likely, they will just end up paying back their mortgage over a longer time), but all that's happening to the economy is money moving around a bit. The problem with margin is that you're borrowing against the value of the thing that they're investing in. In a system with fractional reserve banking, that borrowing increases the money supply (more money is created by the act of borrowing). As long as the asset increases in value, that's fine (that's what fractional reserve banking is meant to do: keep the amount of money in proportion to the value of the economy). As soon as there's a crash, these people no longer have assets that can be recovered to pay their debt and they have no option but to declare bankruptcy. This results in a sudden contraction of the money supply, which reduces liquidity across the entire economy and can cause a recession or depression. Bitcoin probably isn't large enough to have a serious impact on the global economy when it collapses, but it's likely to cause some localised problems.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    7. Re:Bubble Indicator by h4ck7h3p14n37 · · Score: 1

      Yes, you're supposed to get worried when the lower classes start discussing it in the streets and people borrow money they don't have to "invest" in it.

      There has been a lot of talk about cryptocurrencies and bubbles lately, but the great unwashed masses aren't the ones that have been buying it up. Even the institutional investors are just starting to put their money in. I expect the crazy price gains to continue.

    8. Re:Bubble Indicator by gweihir · · Score: 1

      It is. It is those holding the item in question mobilizing the last possible "greatest fools" buyers to get out of it themselves while they still can.

      --
      Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
    9. Re:Bubble Indicator by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      You dismiss too soon. The GP's comment was with respect to an economy changing crash in a bubble. To do that you need far more debt than a couple of idiots mortgaging their houses. Bitcoin could go to $0 tomorrow and much of the world won't notice.

      The original comment is spot on, there just isn't enough locked up debt invested in this to matter.

  10. YCFS by cellocgw · · Score: 1

    No more need be said.

    --
    https://app.box.com/WitthoftResume Code: https://github.com/cellocgw
  11. benis by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Mortgage guy here. While I'm sure SOME people have done this, there is absolutely no reliable tracking post-funding to see what people did with the equity in their homes. In our Loan Origination System, there is an option for "cash out debt consolidation" & "cash out home improvement" but no option for "cash out Bitcoin". I call BS

    1. Re:benis by sinij · · Score: 1

      I improved my home heating to use a bitcoin farm. Checkbox that!

  12. Collateral by sinij · · Score: 2

    I wonder what the collateral damage is going to be when bitcoin bubble bursts.

    My cynical bet is that it will be used as a pretext to start the next crypto war. You know, government backdoors, mandatory key escrows, and restrictions to what data at rest can be encrypted.

    1. Re:Collateral by eclectro · · Score: 1

      Maybe not a bad thing. Maybe we see a flood of used high-end graphics cards for ridiculously cheap prices.

      --
      Take the cheese to sickbay, the doctor should see it as soon as possible - B'Elanna Torres, "Learning Curve"
    2. Re:Collateral by jwhyche · · Score: 2

      Tell me more about this used high-end graphics cards for ridiculously cheap prices.

      --
      I read at +2. If your post doesn't reach that level I will not see or respond to it.
    3. Re:Collateral by gweihir · · Score: 1

      That would explain why some people have started to call crypto-currencies "crypto". Maybe they are not just morons after all...

      --
      Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
  13. This will not end well by DatbeDank · · Score: 1

    This is where contagions start. People taking loans out to level up with cryptocurrencies are just asking to get hosed when the price drops.

    All it takes are a small amount of losses for the knock on effect to hit.

  14. As a Bitcoin fanboy who expects it go higher...... by grnbrg · · Score: 2, Insightful

    If you are mortgaging your house to buy Bitcoin, you're a fucking idiot. You deserve the very real chance of losing everything, but your family doesn't.

    IF Bitcoin succeeds, a value of $100k-$500k is almost certain (As a floor. No one really has a clue what value a successful Bitcoin will plateau at over the long term.) -- Too many people and not enough supply for it to be otherwise. But Bitcoin is not yet a sure thing. Crypto in general may end up a failed experiment. Bitcoin specifically could implode, and be superceded by a different crypto. And even if it does succeed -- Bitcoin has had serious drops in the past -- seeing your investment drop to 25% of current value, and not recovering for 2 years is entirely possible.

    If you've got some spare cash, and it won't cause irreparable harm if it disappears completely, sure, invest that if you think Bitcoin will succeed. But no more than that.

  15. Not a big deal by sjbe · · Score: 1

    I wonder what the collateral damage is going to be when bitcoin bubble bursts.

    Probably fairly insignificant. A few people will lose their ass because they have no concept of risk. Bitcoin isn't a big enough deal to impact the wider economy to any meaningful degree.

  16. Party like it is 2007! by Zorro · · Score: 1

    Look at how much my House is worth! Everyone KNOWS that the old Economic principles don't apply anymore!

  17. Forget about bitcoins... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If you want mine your own cryptocurrency, you need a motherboard with 19 PCIe 1X slots to plug in 19 GPUs and a couple of 1200W PSUs.

    1. Re:Forget about bitcoins... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Jesus Christ, you fucking moron, will you quit flogging this fucking spam already?

  18. Great, I want to buy a house on the cheap by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Seriously, I enjoy natural selection in action. Will scoop up a few houses on the cheap so I can rent them put for stable non-speculative income.

    1. Re:Great, I want to buy a house on the cheap by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Exactly -- there'll be profit for the rest of us, turning former BTC owners into tenants ;)

    2. Re:Great, I want to buy a house on the cheap by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Until they band together with pitchforks demanding that you give back to them the houses that you stole.

    3. Re:Great, I want to buy a house on the cheap by b0s0z0ku · · Score: 1

      Stole. You mean "legally bought at foreclosure auction?"

      Then castle doctrine applies :)

    4. Re: Great, I want to buy a house on the cheap by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Castle doctrine does not apply in all states. Try again when you actually know and understand the law.

    5. Re: Great, I want to buy a house on the cheap by b0s0z0ku · · Score: 1

      Pick and choose where you buy rental property off of former Bitcoin squillionaires ... wisely.

  19. I'm a UNICORN FART mogul! by Thud457 · · Score: 1

    the facebook twins are bitcoin billionaires

    You left out a word...

    --

    the preceding comment is my own and in no way reflects the opinion of the Joint Chiefs of Staff

  20. Re:As a Bitcoin fanboy who expects it go higher... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The people who'll buy your home at foreclosure deserve the chance at a cheap home. I say, buy away. One family's foreclosure is another (smarter) family's opportunity :)

  21. You cannot outlaw stupid, stupid... by bobbied · · Score: 2

    Though here in the USA, the socialist utopia pushers do try.

    Folks don't seem to realize what the 2000 and 2009 crashes were about or what caused them.

    Students of history are condemned to watch while the ignorant repeat it.

    --
    "File to fit, pound to insert, paint to match" - Aircraft Maintenance 101
    1. Re:You cannot outlaw stupid, stupid... by Baron_Yam · · Score: 1

      >Students of history are condemned to watch while the ignorant repeat it.

      I like this variation of the quote very much.

  22. PULL OUT!!!! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If you were dumb enough to buy into BT, it's time to pull out as fast as you possibly can. We went from greedy people who may or may not be dumb (most are on the dumb side), but were blinded by greedy and all actual intelligence was left as the door at the beginning to now we have absolutely uneducated fucking retards who are willing to lose their house. All them them will be homeless within a year or two.

    The end is near, this may come faster than I thought, I was thinking 2018 or possibly 2019 if they could possibly stretch out this scam a little further. Now there is a possibility the crash will come before the new year.

    Good thing I have my popcorn ready. I'll even be generous with it and if you lost your ass in this "investment", I'll share my popcorn with you since you'll have nothing left.

    1. Re:PULL OUT!!!! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      holy crap. slow down and read as you are typing. gibberish much?

  23. We are surrounded by bubbles by plopez · · Score: 5, Interesting

    I am very uneasy. There seem to several bubbles going which in aggregate or perhaps 1 to 3 happening at the same time spells disaster:

    1) Cryptocurrencies. Yes, plural.
    2) AI
    3) Financial markets
    4) Housing
    5) Student loans
    5) Health care
    6) Tech in general, a run up in price of things such as FB and Tesla.
    7) Foreign and domestic real estate

    And probably more I can't think of right now. A collapse in the NYSE exchange would have a large impact on the global economy but 2 or 3 smaller ones together might have a ripple effect causing a larger collapse. I think we live in fragile times. If you look at history there were bubbles about every 10 to 20 years after the lessons of the last collapse fades from memory. We're about due.

    --
    putting the 'B' in LGBTQ+
    1. Re:We are surrounded by bubbles by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's easy to criticize these fools, but have you started short-selling?

    2. Re:We are surrounded by bubbles by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Crypocurrencies are a scam and will no longer exist in the future. They will become globally illegal.

      AI, first of all isn't AI. It's machine learning and we are still in the infancy of that. Intelligent, artificial or not, it is not. It's just machine learning and nothing more special than that. It's not a bubble though.

      Financial markets, as long as there is greed there will always be a chance of bubble. The lawmakers will always have/create loopholes to be taken advantage of.
        Creating a system without loop holes (tax system included) is easy. But special interests have no interest in simplifying anything.

      Student loans need to be done away with. Education should be free.

      Health Care, not a bubble. Though Trump is trying hard to make it that way.

      Tech, possibly a bubble. As long as morons dump their money into venture capital for a get rich quick scheme, there is always the possibility. Some people will get rich, 99% will lose money. Don't invest in tech unless you want to risk it all.

      How is foreign real estate a bubble? Where is anyone investing in real estate except in America? Yes, we are headed for another bubble here.

    3. Re:We are surrounded by bubbles by Anubis+IV · · Score: 1

      At least in the case of AI, I think you're confusing overhype for a bubble. Yes, AI is being overhyped, and sure, everyone is trying to slap "AI" and "machine learning" on their products, but there's nothing I've seen to suggest it's being overvalued. I'm not really seeing the sort of run-up that you'd expect in a bubble, and the places I'm seeing ML being applied are providing real value (e.g. better artificial voices, better image recognition, better speech recognit....okay, scratch that last one), as opposed to things like the dot-com startups of the early 2000s that slapped "...on the Internet!" onto bad ideas and hoped for the best.

      In contrast, I quite agree with most of the rest of the items in your list, and fully expect that we'll see a fresh recession in the not-too-distant future.

    4. Re:We are surrounded by bubbles by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's easy to criticize these fools, but have you started short-selling?

      Unless you either 1) know when the bubble will pop or 2) have vast reserves to last years waiting for the bubble to pop, then this would be just as foolish.

      Read or watch The Big Short by Michael Lewis to see how difficult it was to actually short the last bubble. In particular look at what happened to Michael Burry.

    5. Re:We are surrounded by bubbles by plopez · · Score: 1

      Not short selling, but taking profits and putting them into boring old school companies who have been paying dividends for the past 50 years. I'm also looking at bonds and continue to hope gold continues to drop.

      --
      putting the 'B' in LGBTQ+
    6. Re:We are surrounded by bubbles by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So tell me, if I should not spend my excess wealth on tech, ai, education, health, RE, crypto, financial markets, then what should I spend it on?

      I only require so much food.

      They cant ALL be bubbles. They should be relative to an asset that did not go up.

  24. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 2

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  25. Then they need to live with the consequences... by argStyopa · · Score: 2

    Personally, I believe it's catastrophically stupid to take a mortgage to buy bitcoin.

    I rather suspect most of the people doing that couldn't even tell you, substantially, what bitcoin is.

    It's a free society, they can do it if they want. What I really am not looking forward to is the inevitable crash/fraud/whatever, after which there will be a great hue and cry for government (ie with taxpayer money) remediation because these people were too stupid to understand the risks.

    These people were the same ones flipping houses in 2007 because of the great income potential. And now we taxpayers have spent 10 years funding saving their stupid asses.

    --
    -Styopa
    1. Re:Then they need to live with the consequences... by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      These people were the same ones flipping houses in 2007 because of the great income potential. And now we taxpayers have spent 10 years funding saving their stupid asses.

      Are you sure about that? Can you point to all these people who got their negative equity cancelled?

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    2. Re:Then they need to live with the consequences... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The problem becomes "Save us because we're stupid!" is actually "Save us because our neighbors were fucking stupid. We saved, lived within our means, did everything *right* and because my neighbors did some exceedingly dumb shit, the economy collapsed, my company went bankrupt/laid a bunch of people off, I can no longer make the payments on my mortgage and/or vehicles/responsible debts because the economy is so utterly fucked that no one's hiring and I've burned through my savings" and that's how we get regulations that become "burdens" that a bunch of fuckers in trailers in the middle of NV claim is keeping them from being Captains of Industry.

    3. Re:Then they need to live with the consequences... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      QE

    4. Re:Then they need to live with the consequences... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Yeah, that didn't pay off people's mortgages.

      The banks lent people money they couldn't pay back, and then sold the loans as investments. The investments got bought up and used to fund further lending to folks who wouldn't be able to pay back loans. All well and good whilst property prices are on the up, as a loan default = a cheap house for the bank.

      But when the property market turned, and people defaulted, the bank was left with liability rather than asset. All those "investments" they had based their lending on were worth less than they had paid for them, so they had to rein in lending and call in real debt, leading to more defaults and lower prices.

      Pretty much overnight, banks went from having a portfolio of investments worth trillions of dollars to a stock of shoddily-made houses for which they had paid far more than they were worth. So banks started to fold.

      This was certainly inconvenient, as banks do provide a useful service, but it was the direct consequence of their terrible business decisions. Not every bank was hit, because not every bank made unethical and stupid lending decisions based on the unfounded assumption that "what goes up never comes down".

      Unfortunately for the rest of us, if the megabanks had been allowed to collapse, wealthy people would have lost a lot of money. So they had their pawns in the government just print more money and give it to the banks, either for free or at essentially zero interest, so they could continue business as usual. It was a resounding success: nobody important lost any money (just those poor suckers who'd bought a house at the height of a bubble caused by predatory lending, but nobody gives a shit about them), and nobody seemed to notice that everything was getting much more expensive despite the fact they were getting paid the same.

    5. Re:Then they need to live with the consequences... by sheph · · Score: 2

      I know a few who lost their place to live, but very few who actually got bailed out. The banks got bailed out but the individuals did not.

      --
      I don't believe in karma, I just call it like I see it.
    6. Re:Then they need to live with the consequences... by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      Think you need a new monitor.

      I'm seeing "people [...] flipping houses" but you appear to be seeing "the banks".

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
  26. Re:As a Bitcoin fanboy who expects it go higher... by Cro+Magnon · · Score: 1

    Absolutely this!! Even most bitcoin bulls say to only invest what you can afford to lose.

    --
    Slow down, cowboy! It has been 4 hours since you last posted. You must wait another few hours.
  27. nomorebitcoinstories by hackertourist · · Score: 1

    I was worried I'd have to go a whole day without seeing another fucking Bitcoin story...

  28. Re:As a Bitcoin fanboy who expects it go higher... by Moof123 · · Score: 2

    Can you explain why you believe 100k-500k is "almost certain"? It is quite a wide range, and looks like arbitrary round numbers. Why not $1B?

    You also call it an investment, I thought its value proposition was as a superior currency to fiat currency?

  29. Oh, this is the next fincial crisis by kfh227 · · Score: 1

    As soon as Wall Street gets involved, we are all screwed. We are there now. Here comes the next round of bailouts for moron managers that don't know what fiat currency is.

  30. Oh myyyyyy by zifn4b · · Score: 1

    People taking out second mortgages to buy Bitcoin when it has peaked and a bubble is imminent? The time to buy was months ago if you had the money. Is this going to result in the next foreclosure crisis? That would be ironic. The root cause would be risky investments but of a different sort.

    --
    We'll make great pets
  31. Re:As a Bitcoin fanboy who expects it go higher... by thebes · · Score: 2

    100k-500k is only a 5x scale. BTC has already shown it is more than capable of exhibiting far larger swings in short periods of time.

  32. Re:As a Bitcoin fanboy who expects it go higher... by Baron_Yam · · Score: 1

    >Can you explain why you believe 100k-500k is "almost certain"?

    Look at the overall message - you're responding to the post of a Bitcoin booster, which by definition means they're not particularly rational.

    For one thing, they think Bitcoin's workable at all as a currency.

  33. Buy high, sell low by OrangeTide · · Score: 1

    That's not how investment works.

    --
    “Common sense is not so common.” — Voltaire
  34. Re:As a Bitcoin fanboy who expects it go higher... by grnbrg · · Score: 2

    $100k-$500k is just a number pulled out of my ass, tbh. But I don't think it's unreasonable. If Bitcoin is a success, that means it is going to see widespread global use. Whether that is for online person-to-person payments, a value store for the rich, currency for the poor, all of that, or something else. But there will only ever be 21 million tokens to go around, and several million of those are already irretrievably lost. For billions of people. $100k is only another 10X away, and there is still at least that much more potential growth. Do I agree with McAfee that it will hit $1 million by 2020? No. But I'd bet real money that in 5 years, Bitcoin is worth well in excess of $100k, OR less than $1. Probably more, but less would not surprise me. I see virtually zero chance that it's between those two (arbitrary) values.

    I have used Bitcoin as a currency -- I have exchanged it directly with others over the Internet, in exchange for hard (And legal!) goods. I expect to do so again in the future, either with Bitcoin, or whatever replaces it. But with the recent meteoric rise, and the developing issues with extremely high fees and slow transactions (which are problems already solved by other crypto currencies) I'm more about hanging on, and seeing where it goes.

    And for the record, I didn't sell my house to buy in. But I wish I had done so a year ago. :) I'd be ok being a rich fucking idiot, and hindsight is easy.

  35. First rule of responsible gambling by Jfetjunky · · Score: 1

    First rule of responsible gambling: Don't gamble with more money than you can afford to lose. I guess nobody taught them that?

    And make no mistake, it most certainly IS gambling at this point.

  36. You don't need to take a mortgage to get Bitcoins by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
  37. Re:As a Bitcoin fanboy who expects it go higher... by grnbrg · · Score: 1

    Check the context. " If Bitcoin succeeds "...

    I think crypto currencies will succeed, TBH. I'm less sure about Bitcoin specifically, these days.

    But I can't think of a single set of circumstances where Bitcoin hasn't failed, but isn't highly valuable. It might fail and become worthless, I'll grant that possibility. But if that is not the case, then the current value can only be a small fraction of the long term.

  38. Re:As a Bitcoin fanboy who expects it go higher... by misexistentialist · · Score: 1

    Using borrowed money makes it a risk-free bet since you don't really have to pay it back. Foreclosure and bankruptcy are normal and allow many millions to spend more than they earn

  39. Re:As a Bitcoin fanboy who expects it go higher... by DontBeAMoran · · Score: 1

    As an example, compare today's value with the first ever Bitcoin purchase, two pizzas for 10 000 Bitcoins.

    The scale required to reach one million dollars per coin is a lot smaller than what has happened so far.

    --
    #DeleteFacebook
  40. Meh. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Your invested funds may quickly travel overseas without your knowledge,

    As a taxpayer, my invested funds quickly travel overseas in the form of pallets of cash without my knowledge until enough time has passed that, "At this point, what does it matter?"

    At least cryptonuts are the ones doing the fucking of themselves.

    1. Re:Meh. by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      Nope. By now, the whole thing has become a "real" investment item. And it IS the exactly same shit as in the 1920s, just WAY faster.

      In the 1920s, you had a similar situation. An economy that was not worth investing in because there was simply not enough demand to warrant investing in "real" businesses. Any business was a risk, and ROI was mediocre. So investors were looking for something that would promise a better ROI. They found it in stock. Unregulated and a fairly reliable way to "park" your money. Stock was a pretty safe bet, too, it was an investment that simply couldn't go wrong. Sure, you could in theory lose it all, but compared with banks, it was actually more sensible to rely on large corporations than on your money being safe in banks.

      What happens with stock if you pump more and more money into it? It rises. And soon the price of stocks had nothing to do anymore with the value of the underlying company. The stock price was supposedly representing a share of a company and representing that share of its value. That went out of the window in the middle of the 1920s. Stocks were bought and sold completely independent of the company that issued it. It was like back in the dot.com era. Just even more crazy.

      What you dealt with were investors desperately looking for something to pump their investment money into. Resulting in a HUGE bubble.

      Couple that with an interest rate that bordered on negative interest and you soon had "normal" people following suite. Average Joes that never touched stocks before in their life, ever, but hey, you just couldn't go wrong. You bought, and the price went up. So you bought more, using your stock as security for the loan you needed. And banks were more than happy to give you the money, one of the reasons interest rates were on the floor was that nobody wanted to take out loans for investment.

      Soon the train of thought was "mortgage interest rates are WAY lower than what stock revenue gets me, I can easily cover the mortgage rates with the stock revenue".

      That was September 1929.

      The jig was up in October.

      I think we're in for a very interesting year 2019.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    2. Re: Meh. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hahahaha hahaha.
      You think it will last into 2019? I'd bet on the next month being risky.

  41. Re:As a Bitcoin fanboy who expects it go higher... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Bitcoin is a ponzi scheme: last man holding loses. Execept the last man is going to be like the last 60-70% of people holding after the top 5% dump there holdings.

  42. Re:As a Bitcoin fanboy who expects it go higher... by Baron_Yam · · Score: 1

    >Check the context. " If Bitcoin succeeds "...

    If I shit gold I'd be rich.

  43. Re:Bitcoin Bailout by slew · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Though I am not on the cryptocurrency bandwagon, I am glad that it is a currency that no government would be willing to bail out in the invent it crashes. So that's good news for those taxpayers that constantly bailout companies' and governments' bad decisions. So please, by all means, underwrite your mortgage for Bitcoin, I need to buy the cheap real estate on fire sales. BTW, I won't be accepting Bitcoin as rent.

    Although nobody is gonna be bailing out BitCoin, you don't seem to understand how the mortgage bailout happened.

    The 2008 failure came from unsupported counter-party risk (incl obscure things like credit default swaps). That caused liquidity issues with Lehman brothers and AIG and other insurance companies. The problem wasn't with the mortgages, per-se, but with people betting on the mortgages (e.g., the people offering to insure them based on complicated financial arrangements that proved unsound). If people are taking out mortgages to buy bitcoin, they are taking on the risk, but if corporations do this, they generally hedge with insurance contracts and re-insurance (how else would you justify complicated financial arrangements).

    The problem is that if enough cards fall down, the corporations need the payouts from the insurance contracts. If all hell breaks loose, the companies that underwrote the insurance contracts are not going to be liquid enough to pay those out. Also, even those that thought they have bought insurance for other things (e.g., not bitcoin, not sub-prime mortgages) realize that the insurance company they paid premiums to all those years will evaporate and not make good on their payouts in other areas. This is when the bail out pressure mounts. You don't bail out the mortgages, you bail out the companies that underwrote the insurance contracts (like the US bailed out AIG for $85B and loaned JP Morgan Chase $29B to buy out the insolvent Bear Stearns) and the companies that wrote the mortgages ($200B for Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae). In comparison, only a measly $24B went for direct mortgage relief...

    Fortunately, BTC is probably too small to matter today. BTC market is only $276B total vs $10T for mortgage debt (~$5T pre-Year2000). Unfortunately, the Chicago Board has opened up BitCoin Futures to ratchet things up a level. With an established futures market, it will be possible to play BTC swings w/o being limited by actual BTC holdings. BTC holding insurance contracts can be written backed by BTC futures contracts and people can speculate on those as well. We'll see how big that futures and derivatives market gets relative to the underlying BTC (in some areas, you can see 10x the market in futures/derivatives over the underlying asset).

    Things are a bunch more intertwined than anyone might imagine. Get your popcorn ready, the show is about to start....

  44. Re:As a Bitcoin fanboy who expects it go higher... by Just+Some+Guy · · Score: 1

    Absolutely. I have a standing order to buy $50 of BTC each week, because it's fun. If it goes to $1 next week, I'll be slightly bummed but not hurt in the slightest (but I'd also be scooping them up in case their price ever recovers). I play with BTC exactly the same way I'd play with a weekend in Vegas or betting on sports with my friends: it's fun to participate in a wild ride, but only to the level where you're willing and able to lose everything and still be OK with it.

    --
    Dewey, what part of this looks like authorities should be involved?
  45. Re:As a Bitcoin fanboy who expects it go higher... by rogoshen1 · · Score: 1

    Mean while at pizza hut dubai: "And here we have our pizza, topped with melted strands of 24K gold, notice the thinly sliced tourmaline mushrooms, carved sapphire green peppers, and sauce made from crushed rubies."

  46. No. by jon3k · · Score: 2

    SEC Warns 'Extreme Caution' Over Cryptocurrency Investments As Many People Take Out Mortgages To Buy Bitcoin

    The original source says "people" not "many people". That's also a quote without any proof.

  47. A Pyamid of speculation by evolutionary · · Score: 3, Interesting

    People buy early and low, speculation drives demand high with no real assets backing up the worth save pure speculation. people early sell to people buying later. More people later than earlier. People at the upper end of the pyramid make crazy profits, people who buy are left holding the bag (the larger number of masses at the base supporting the profits of the top) when this balloon pops. once upon a time we had the gold standard.

    When we didn't have enough gold to back it up, so...we abandoned it for speculative currency. The one definite thing about technology, is enables us to accelerate what we normally do, making the flaws in our systems more visible. Samuel Clemens write about the stock market in Huckleberry Finn, and Sir Conan Doyle mentioned it in his writings of Sherlock Holmes as well. neither gave a pretty picture. If they could only see this...

    --
    "Imagination is more important than knowledge" - Einstein
  48. Re:Bitcoin Bailout by ahodgson · · Score: 4, Insightful

    You missed the part where the corporations knew there was no chance the insurance could pay out, but only bought it so that they could legally not have to count the debt against their balance sheet. And the part where none of those criminals went to jail.

  49. You missed the retail bubble... by blahbooboo · · Score: 1

    You missed the big one, Retail. Retail is predicted to be the cause of the next recession when all their loans start coming due in 2018. Read this article from Bloomberg "America’s ‘Retail Apocalypse’ Is Really Just Beginning"

    https://www.bloomberg.com/grap...

    1. Re:You missed the retail bubble... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Very Interesting report. Thanks for posting.

  50. Right now I'm blaming the CBOE by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 1

    As soon as trading in Bitcoin futures was announced, it legitimized in the eyes of speculators the whole idea of cryptocurrencies as an investment. This has taken place long before this whole class of commodity is even viable as a currency. Let the mining algorithms and forks proliferate for a few years until someone comes up with a version of the blockchain that supports a realistic number of transactions per second when used as money, and a money supply that can grow at a rate that makes it usable as money. Then and only then can cryptocurrency trade alongside such mighty currencies as the Mexican peso.

    Futures markets exist so that merchants and fiduciaries can self-insure against the risks of holding or owing the commodity. Who is going to use Bitcoin futures as a hedge - North Korean ransomeware developers?

  51. Welcome to September 1929 by Opportunist · · Score: 1

    Same shit. Different unregulated speculation object.

    In case you're wondering: NOW is the time to get out.

    --
    We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
  52. This is going to be very ugly by slashdotiscompromisd · · Score: 1

    The cryptocurrency hysteria is starting to look more and more engineered based on the revelations of the Trump election: "They seem to be in the mood to do exactly the things we tell them are bad". Bitcoin is really being hyped in the news, negatively, ambivalently, and positively (less often).

    Obviously the financial market is very bullish and this can't go on because the economy itself is not growing at anywhere near that pace. There's definitely a bubble being engineered especially in the stock market. And everyone knows interests rates are going to be jacked up severely in a few months and probably keep rising for the next year or so. So it seems like it's going to pop soon.
    For mortgages the banks are not going to be generous with fixed rate options and variable rate options are proven to throw the average middle-classer for a loop. It seems like a trap.

    And the crypto-hysteria is spreading: to Ethereum and Litecoin especially.
    The very odd thing I can't figure out is that Litecoin is up 100% on the day but the only currency trading more Bitcoin than the dollar is Litecoin....seems like Litecoin shouldn't be able to sustain that price against the dollar for any amount of time....I have no idea what's going on with that.

    My guess this is because of the rumblings of the Fed severely jacking up interest rates and everyone with a brain wants to get rich off the naive hype buyers before 2Q 2018.

    After this bubble pops there is going to be huge sustained growth with altcoins as the market decides the roles of the various crytocurrency technologies in the decentralized banking economy that is coming in the next decade. Hopefully there are enough independent small businesses left (besides drug dealers) to spark this decentralized economy into a roaring flame that cleans up our society a bit.

    --
    My karma was manually wiped by site staff https://slashdot.org/~slshdtisctrldbysjws 18 mod up, 10 mod down = bad karma
    1. Re:This is going to be very ugly by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      interests rates are going to be jacked up severely in a few months and probably keep rising for the next year or so

      I disagree. The US government literally cannot afford for rates to go up. There's a reason the Fed has been talking, talking, talking about lifting rates since the GFC but is unable to follow through. With nearly $20 trillion in debt, if interest rates went anywhere close to historic norms, the whole shit show comes crashing down.
      US govt total tax revenue is around $3.7 trillion. Imagine the impact if the government had to start paying 10% on it's bonds.
      The only thing you can bank on in these crazy financial times is that rates aren't going anywhere for the foreseeable future.

  53. Re:As a Bitcoin fanboy who expects it go higher... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Crypto in general may end up a failed experiment. Bitcoin specifically could implode, and be superceded by a different crypto.

    Oh please, stop it already. CRYPTO is shorthand for CRYPTOGRAPHY, not for cryptocurrency!
    There's even a book written by that name: Crypto

  54. Re:As a Bitcoin fanboy who expects it go higher... by grnbrg · · Score: 1

    And we lost the war over the word "hacker" a decade or more ago.

    "Crypto Currency" or "Crypto" as a shorthand might not be the best label, but it's the one that has stuck. Get used to it, because all the whining and begging in the world isn't going to change it.

  55. Re:As a Bitcoin fanboy who expects it go higher... by grnbrg · · Score: 1

    :fistbump:

  56. Re:Noticed the yellow winter Sun? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "There should be the same amount of atmosphere." Why? Science doesn't say that. It should only be constant at the equator. Think about it as a needle poking into a tennis ball in the horizontal plane (the direction of sunlight). As you get away from the center in either direction, your needle will sink further into the ball before hitting the core. Therefore, sunlight is expected to weaken proportionally with latitude on any planet. I'm also not aware of any model of the planet which would allow for the apparent position of the sun to move southward without having light take a longer path through the atmosphere.

    "Shadows don't change color" Got a law of nature that says that? I see lots of colored shadows all over the place. In point of fact, a team of researchers exploited the small differences in shadow colors to make a camera that "sees" around corners. And apparently you didn't actually see the eclipse, because it's pretty clear that the sun's corona is several times the size of the disc of the sun, and gives off enough light to cast shadows on Earth, so why you imagine that it can't cast shadows elsewhere is mind-boggling. And where's your flat-earth eclipse prediction formula?

    You must be the world's biggest intellectual coward; your worldview can be destroyed with two paragraphs.

  57. Re:As a Bitcoin fanboy who expects it go higher... by grnbrg · · Score: 1

    If I shit gold I'd be rich.

    If you crapped gold, your net worth would increase by around 35 grand each time you took a dump.

    That's how logic works. You might also note I have not anywhere asserted that Bitcoin is a sure thing, now or in the past.

  58. parent is a star wars spoiler please mark troll by mr.mctibbs · · Score: 2

    parent is a star wars spoiler please mark troll

    1. Re:parent is a star wars spoiler please mark troll by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No it isn't, it's speculation. The Last Jedi doesn't even say that about Rey, it just handwaves.

  59. Please by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    As somekne with tens of thousands of dollaars in bitcoin, please don't take out a mortage to buy bitcoin. This is how bubbles start. Please buy only what you can afford to lose, thank you.

  60. Re:Noticed the yellow winter Sun? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The specific point I'm making with the winter Sun, is that the amount of atmosphere looking Eastward to the Sun, just coming around the curve the Earth, should be larger than when the Sun is directly overhead. Yes? And when the Sun moves southward, why wouldn't the amount of atmosphere be exactly the same, as the Sun is coming around the curve from the South? In order for that to be true, the atmosphere would have to be thicker over the equator and thinner north and south. I've never heard that to be the case. And the winter Sun is still weaker at pretty significant points above the horizon, which renders the whole question pretty moot. So why is it weaker/yellower?

    Watch the lunar eclipse video, hopefully you'll see what I mean about changing color. For the solar eclipse, the most obvious points to look at are the red points inside the lunar disc (and hence not facing the sun), and the large arc of red light just at the start and end of totality. They shouldn't be able to get there from 93,000,000 miles away and with parallel light rays. If you stood on the moon, the Sun would be just as small in the lunar sky as it is here on Earth, and should be directly overhead the center of the sun-facing side. How does light get on the back side from that point?

    The flat earth prediction formula is the same as the round earth formula. Just as they predicted eclipses when they thought the Earth was flat.

  61. The are just jealous by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Currently at what .... +25% in two weeks. They are jealous of people actually making some money.
    Don't trade bitcoin! Stay a slave to big corporations!

    Bought at 15 and just sold some at 17,5. Holy shit!

  62. Re:As a Bitcoin fanboy who expects it go higher... by bws111 · · Score: 1

    There are 'billions of people' with $10K of bitcoin? Do tell!

    While bitcoin may or may not see widespread global use, it certainly will not be the ONLY currency in widespread use, and that will greatly limit its value.

    As long as there is a 'bitcoin market' that remains wildly speculative (which it MUST do to keep gaining value) bitcoin is utterly useless as currency.

    And once the speculation ends, guess what happens to the value?

  63. Re:As a Bitcoin fanboy who expects it go higher... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If you crapped gold, your net worth would increase by around 35 grand each time you took a dump.

    And I'd be eating Mexican and White Castle morning, noon, and night.

  64. Re:As a Bitcoin fanboy who expects it go higher... by Joce640k · · Score: 1

    IF Bitcoin succeeds, a value of $100k-$500k is almost certain

    LOL!

    How can is "succeed"? All it does is move money from one person to another person. It doesn't create any value, it just redistributes money.

    If one person makes a million dollars buy buying/selling Bitcoin then 1000 other people have to lose 1000 bucks each. That's the way it works.

    Anybody saying "it's scarce!" doesn't understand scarcity. Scarce commodities are only worth something if you can use them to either a) Make clever things, or b) Show your status to other people.

    What are you going to do if the price crashes? Go out wearing your bitcoin wallet on a T-shirt so girls can see how "wealthy" you once were?

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  65. Silver in the '70s by CRB9000 · · Score: 1

    I remember silver in the '70s. It was the hottest thing. Price was going up and up. Even batteries went up about 10x. People were mortgaging their homes to buy more and more silver. It crashed from nearly $50 to $5. Imagine mortgaging your $90k house and ending up with $9k of silver.

  66. Re:As a Bitcoin fanboy who expects it go higher... by grnbrg · · Score: 1

    How can it "succeed"? All it does is move money from one person to another person. It doesn't create any value, it just redistributes money.

    Don't tell Visa, Mastercard, PayPal or Western Union. They seem to think that transferring value from one person to another can be quite profitable. Don't burst their bubble.

  67. Re:As a Bitcoin fanboy who expects it go higher... by grnbrg · · Score: 1

    There are 'billions of people' with $10K of bitcoin? Do tell!

    There are thousands of people with $10K of bitcoin, and billions with none. Many may eventually be quite happy with $5 or $10 in current value.

    And once the speculation ends, guess what happens to the value?

    At some point, what people are willing to pay for Bitcoin will equal what others are willing to sell it for, and the price will plateau, much as the price of gold has plateaued.

    And if Bitcoin does die, I've had a hell of a time. I'm always fascinated at the number of people who are absolutely, 100% sure that Bitcoin won't work. I've watched them come and go for nearly 10 years. Bitcoin is still here. I'm not 100% sure it will succeed, but it's taken everything thrown at it so far.

  68. people are becoming dollar millionaires by mapkinase · · Score: 1

    and I am becoming a bitcoin pauper.

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  69. The big short by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    A great movie that comments on history so recent that most would remember it happening or the after effects.

    I suggest that everyone watches it at least once

  70. In spite of stupid:Crypto $ have value & poten by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The problem is well described by the commissioner even if I'm not in agreement that it is akin to beanie babies. The question is not whether or not Bitcoin or crypto currency has a value. It's not about drugs either. That's just FUD. The question is whether or not Bitcoin or cryptos in general are being overvalued. We keep thinking it is overvalued because of the dramatic increase in the price that people are paying for it. However that could also be the result of it having been undervalued in the past too. The value in crypto currency is that its akin to cash in your pocket. Many people value that. There is a lot of question though as to the ability of the different parties involved to resolve the various issues with Bitcoin and how soon we'll see wider adoption.

    I'm not an "investor" even though I've had probably $700,000 of dollars worth of Bitcoin pass through my business. I take Bitcoin in my business and I spend it just as easily. I don't ever hold more than I'd risk losing even though I've not lost anything of significance and only ever profited greatly from it over the years.

    I'm seeing a lot of new companies coming on board with crypto at the local level in New Hampshire. Dash is now being accepted across New Hampshire at retail. It's replacing the Bitcoin transactions of yesteryear thanks to a new point of sale app called Any Pay that merchants are adopting. I've also seen new vending machines popping up in New Hampshire and the crypto currencies potential in cross boarder transactions. There is a huge immigrant or migrant population in the United States and Bitcoin/crypto is a potentially huge win for those sending money home to family in Mexico. It's not just New Hampshire- but this is where you'll see its adoption most clearly. This is where it began. This is where its happening.

    Stupid people will do stupid things. Taking a mortgage out on a home to buy Bitcoin? WTF. Stupid. The cautious investor in me says keep using it, hold what you can afford to lose, and profit till it falls. Then hold the majority of your worth in something more stable and that basically means NOT US dollars. US dollars and currency is a stupid investment. It's as stupid if not stupider than US dollars. US dollars always go down in value. That is by design. What investors and smart wealthy people do is they invest there wealth into products and entities that go up in value. The thing you want to do is evaluate the risk and balance is. The younger you are the more risk you should be taking. The people around me have done very well with Bitcoin, but most of us are under 40. Many of us whom have been the most successful have other more stable investments. For instance we have property, houses, businesses, and so on. Even if some of us have some businesses or dealings with crypto vending machines and similar (only a handful of people, but it's probably a better investment than just throwing your money into Bitcoin because with a vending machine you make money off other peoples money on top of any increase if value- and if it drops you're still making money from the sales of Bitcoin).

  71. Re:Noticed the yellow winter Sun? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Oh I see! You say the bitcoin miners are actually using solar power, not oil, and they have therefore depleted the quantity of sunlight reaching you this winter!

  72. Tulips and Ponzi schemes by MillionthMonkey · · Score: 1
    John McAfee's Twitter account has some funny stuff in it about tulips: He explains why the Dutch tulip mania happened:

    Tulips are perishable and must be repurchased, over and over, to maintain a presence. Obviously, inflated prices cannot be sustained. Bitcoin is not perishable, and needs to purchased only once. There can be no comparison.

    In other words, if only the tulips were made of plastic, this never would have happened.

    He also has negative things to say about gold:

    Gold is laughable compared to cryptocurrencies. How do you rationalize gold? How do you ship it? It's physical so how do you safely store it. It was good for people 3,000 years ago. Today it is inherently worthless. Soon it will drop in value as crypto currencies climb.

    "Gold? Bah, I have something more valuable, bwahaha!" I have to wonder at this point whether he's managed to talk his wife into a stainless steel wedding ring. He's talking about the relative price of gold vs. Bitcoin as if the gold is going to be responsible for the fluctuation, and not the Bitcoin with its crazy, unstable valuation relative to the rest of the economy. But of course it can't be a bubble:

    Bitcoin now at $16,600.00. Those of you in the old school who believe this is a bubble simply have not understood the new mathematics of the Blockchain, or you did not cared enough to try. Bubbles are mathematically impossible in this new paradigm.

    Keep in mind, he is sitting on a lot of them:

    I like stuff. Most of the stuff I REALLY like I can only buy with Bitcoins. I prefer stuff over money. I can't eat, smoke, wear or fuck a Bitcoin. I got 'em, but I spend 'em.

    I don't blame him. If I had his Bitcoin portfolio I'd be filling my cart at overstock.com right now and tweeting crap like this.

    There are a number of indications that Bitcoin has organically evolved into a Ponzi scheme, even if it wasn't engineered to be one.

    • No intrinsic value: An ounce of gold is a viable commodity, and there is significant demand for it just for industrial applications, despite what McAfee says. In fact the financial industry's fondness for gold presents a hindrance to the technology industry. With Bitcoin, what is the fundamental value? "Here is a large integer and someone had to burn X kilowatt-hours to find it. And it is a member of a set of numbers that have carefully engineered scarcity." Not exactly something that makes you instinctively reach for your wallet full of fiat money.
    • Fragile perceived value: No matter how sound the mathematics behind cryptocurrencies are, they are not well understood by investors- and even an understanding the math of the "new paradigm" doesn't necessarily translate into appreciation of the currency's value within the "old paradigm" in which all the rest of the economy still operates. It has the same flaw as fiat money- its paradigm is irrelevant unless everyone agrees to accede to it. Furthermore, everyone knows that everyone else understands what "LEGAL TENDER" means. The math behind cryptocurrency is somewhat too esoteric for people. Most of us will not behave like rational actors who were taught number theory and blockchain algorithms in grade school. Everyone knows they don't understand the esoteric math, that most other holders don't either, and that everyone else is thinking: "This stuff might just be Monopoly money after all." When the price drops, market participants will not employ any significant algorithmic complexity in their decision making. They're going to panic. Blockchain mathematics will have a showdown with human psychology and will lose.
    • It's useless as a currency. It quadrupled in value over three months. Then just during the past week it plunged 25% then shot back up. For something that is passed off as "money", the price fluctuates so violently that it can't be used as a form of cash- it's only suitable for inve
  73. Re:As a Bitcoin fanboy who expects it go higher... by Cederic · · Score: 1

    The first page of Google search results strongly disagrees with you.

    Cryptography is shorthand for cryptography, crypto is shorthand for any long arse word people can't be bothered to type and that starts with crypto.

  74. Re:As a Bitcoin fanboy who expects it go higher... by gweihir · · Score: 1

    As Bitcoin is basically hot air, there is not floor or ceiling value that has any meaning or distinction. It will not get up to anywhere near your predictions though, the supply of fools with money to spend is too small.

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  75. Re:As a Bitcoin fanboy who expects it go higher... by gweihir · · Score: 1

    You can light a straw-fire once. You cannot do it again with the same straw.

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  76. Re:As a Bitcoin fanboy who expects it go higher... by gweihir · · Score: 1

    Unless it is done mass-scale and the economy crashes. Sure, you will not be the only one suffering, but a) you will be at the very bottom and b) you will have contributed to that crash. Nice lifetime-achievement.

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  77. Re:As a Bitcoin fanboy who expects it go higher... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Re: $500k:

    Did you read a story that I didn't about home fusion reactors being a thing next year or something?
    (Otherwise, what small country are you going to mortgage so you can pay your electricity bills for mining?)

  78. mod this to +5 informative by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The OP is 100% square right on with everything. Pin i scheme, pyramid scam, unregulated, trivial number of people controlling the market, instant collapse.

    All true. Only a dummy or early bit coin owner would deny any of it.

  79. Re:As a Bitcoin fanboy who expects it go higher... by grnbrg · · Score: 1

    The amount of mining required by Bitcoin is flexible, and at some point it will have grown to the point where it is no longer makes financial sense to increase it, and it will plateau.

  80. IRS by NewYork · · Score: 1

    IRS will have a field day when you cash out Bitcoin