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'No Drones or Driverless Trucks', Demands Teamsters Labor Union (cnbc.com)

An anonymous reader quotes CNBC: No drones or driverless vehicles for delivering packages -- that's one of the major demands from the Teamsters labor union in the big contract negotiation it's undertaking with UPS this week. The union wants to ban UPS from using such new-fangled technology, which the logistics company has been reportedly testing... The current agreement affects 260,000 full and part-time UPS employees and expires in July. "UPS is focused on a contract that provides the flexibility needed to remain highly competitive, given the challenge of an increasingly crowded logistics segment," the company told CNBC.
The Drive notes the smaller carbon footprint of drone deliveries, while adding that "one completely understands and empathizes with the aversion truck drivers have toward this stark, autonomous future.

"If it feels like their jobs are being endangered by the incredible exponential growth in technology, it's because they are."

295 comments

  1. The end is near! REBOOT! by fustakrakich · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Good old featherbedding.. Tell me what else is new.

    --
    “He’s not deformed, he’s just drunk!”
    1. Re:The end is near! REBOOT! by Suki+I · · Score: 3, Funny

      Good old featherbedding.. Tell me what else is new.

      They could employ lots more people if they used horses and carts. What about human power? LOL

    2. Re:The end is near! REBOOT! by VernonNemitz · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The Teamsters might be better off demanding assistance in training for alternate employment. Perhaps as drone operators....

    3. Re:The end is near! REBOOT! by Suki+I · · Score: 3, Funny

      The Teamsters might be better off demanding assistance in training for alternate employment. Perhaps as drone operators....

      I am sure their learned leadership was made aware of this option, and swiftly dispatched the messenger with a baseball bat.

    4. Re: The end is near! REBOOT! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you read the negotiations, rather than the summary, you might see they have.

    5. Re:The end is near! REBOOT! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There was nothing "troll" about it, much less "offtopic". Featherbedding is a common practice during negotiations, so you don't have to "cut back" so much. Idiot asshole moderators strike again!!

    6. Re:The end is near! REBOOT! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's all part of the *back to nature* movement.

      Posting AC because the mods are being assholes.

    7. Re:The end is near! REBOOT! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Drones don't need operators

    8. Re:The end is near! REBOOT! by CaptainDork · · Score: 1

      The FAA would disagree.

      --
      It little behooves the best of us to comment on the rest of us.
    9. Re: The end is near! REBOOT! by WarJolt · · Score: 1

      The FAA will change their rule once an autonomous drone can meet the intent of the "see and avoid" rule. It will be more like "sense and avoid", but you get the idea.

    10. Re: The end is near! REBOOT! by CaptainDork · · Score: 1

      I get the idea that AI would actually have to take over the FAA for that to happen.

      I'm not optimistic.

      --
      It little behooves the best of us to comment on the rest of us.
    11. Re:The end is near! REBOOT! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's because the FAA is either stupid (likely) or has a bias in order to keep their fiefdom intact (guaranteed).

      Drones fly with a flight plan, a bank of sensors, and a computer controlling it all.

      Things that require a pilot are simply Remotely Controlled Aircraft.

    12. Re:The end is near! REBOOT! by I'm+New+Around+Here · · Score: 1

      Are you saying they sent forth a messenger who was carrying piece of sporting equipment?

      --
      If you think I voted for Trump because of this post, you're wrong. I voted for Dr. Jill Stein of the Green Party. Again.
    13. Re: The end is near! REBOOT! by WarJolt · · Score: 1

      Nope. The FAA doesn't pilot the aircrafts. You don't even have to talk to the controller most of the time. As long as you're in the right airspace and you are in VFR conditions you just have to avoid hitting other aircrafts. "See and Avoid" is the requirement of the thing directing the aircraft, which has traditionally been a pilot.

    14. Re:The end is near! REBOOT! by sabri · · Score: 4, Interesting

      I am sure their learned leadership was made aware of this option, and swiftly dispatched the messenger with a baseball bat.

      Exactly this. Unions have proved their worth in the early 20th century. Unions needed to exist to balance the power between employer and employees. We thank our current protections in the workplace largely to the unions of the past.

      That said, today's unions are nothing more than legalized mafia. They are allowed to steal your money through paycheck deduction, approved by the Supreme Court. It may be legal, but it is still theft. (see also https://www.nytimes.com/2016/0...)

      I sincerely hope these unions die a quick death. There is hope: the Supreme Court is going to have another look at this: http://www.insidesources.com/s...

      --
      I'm not a complete idiot... Some parts are missing.
    15. Re:The end is near! REBOOT! by CaptainDork · · Score: 1

      That's because the FAA is either stupid (likely) or has a bias ...

      You lost cred right there because you admit that you don't know which of those is the case and because you don't allow for other options.

      --
      It little behooves the best of us to comment on the rest of us.
    16. Re: The end is near! REBOOT! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Wont happen. Unions vote Democrats that love Unions.

      Democrats are going to have to grow up and recognize your party for what it is.

    17. Re:The end is near! REBOOT! by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      They should have delivered it by drone.

    18. Re: The end is near! REBOOT! by AK+Marc · · Score: 2

      Except Police unions, and many other governmental unions (except teachers). I suspect it's because the teachers' unions are anti-Republican that the Republicans are so deliberately destructive when it comes to education.

    19. Re: The end is near! REBOOT! by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      AI in the FAA? I'd be happy with human intelligence.

    20. Re: The end is near! REBOOT! by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      You don't even have to talk to the controller most of the time.

      Obviously. If two craft were on the same frequency (As is required if they are both talking to the same controller), and both were talking most of the time, then they'd necessarily be interrupting each other. You communicate very little, but when you do it's generally very important.

      Human factors requires minimal communications. You can't talk and fly. A drone has no issue with multitasking, and can talk and fly at the same time without doing either more poorly than if it was only doing one.

      All this will be moot, when the FAA creates a central control for all autonomous drones. Every AI drone must identify the path (to the mm) and flight time (to the ms) to the central server. Every drone GPS synchronized for clock and location, and the central server tracking all drones at once. So long as no drone comes within [safety] distance/time of another, then they are approved for the flightplan. Real-time monitoring of billions of small drones is doable now, but would be easier by the time it was necessary. The anti-government government wouldn't do anything so useful and simple, so we'll have chaos and band on almost everything for 20 years longer than everyone else.

    21. Re:The end is near! REBOOT! by MrKaos · · Score: 1

      I sincerely hope these unions die a quick death. There is hope: the Supreme Court is going to have another look at this: http://www.insidesources.com/s...

      I think Unions play a more valuable role of keeping a bunch of people with low IQs busy driving trucks. That's not an easy thing to do and whilst it maybe smart to replace them all with automation, I have doubts that it is a very wise thing to do. You should never back people into a corner, they get violent.

      --
      My ism, it's full of beliefs.
    22. Re: The end is near! REBOOT! by lgw · · Score: 1, Interesting

      . I suspect it's because the teachers' unions are anti-Republican that the Republicans are so deliberately destructive when it comes to education.

      It's debatable whether teachers' unions help teachers, but they are certainly the enemy of students.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    23. Re: The end is near! REBOOT! by ravenshrike · · Score: 1

      No, the repubs don't like police unions either, but every time one makes noises about doing something about them, the blue flu appears.

    24. Re: The end is near! REBOOT! by AK+Marc · · Score: 2

      Really? Because I see the Republican standing with the police union every time the police union is backing a cop that shot an unarmed Black man. Sure, Republicans hate pensions, and other benefits, but do frequently stand with the Police union, and almost every police union member I know is Republican.

    25. Re: The end is near! REBOOT! by molarmass192 · · Score: 3

      That's because when the starving masses show up at your mansion with torches and pitch forks, it's the police that are going to protect your stuff. You don't want to piss off your primary line of defense against the unwashed masses.

      --

      Good people do not need laws to tell them to act responsibly, while bad people will find a way around the laws-Plato
    26. Re:The end is near! REBOOT! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sure. Featherbedding.

      I can certainly see the need for a human "assistant" to ride along for the first few years of operations. Tell the truck not to drive over the four-foot-wide pothole full of water or drive slower on the highway during a misty winter day. These things are difficult to program for and the immediate experience of drivers would be invaluable.

      Also, it's the friggin' Teamsters ya mooks. I mean, those are all nice self drivin' trucks ya got there. Shame if anything were to happen to them.

    27. Re: The end is near! REBOOT! by Lord+Kano · · Score: 2

      Teachers' unions are their own worst enemy.

      For example; in Pennsylvania, the largest teachers' union, the PSEA endorsed Barack Obama and his proposed healthcare law. After he won the presidency and got the ACA passed, the teachers in my local district went on strike because they wanted to be insulated from the increase in cost to health insurance that was the direct and foreseeable consequence of the healthcare law that they endorsed.

      They rubbed a lot of us the wrong way with that.

      LK

      --
      "Hi. This is my friend, Jack Shit, and you don't know him." - Lord Kano
    28. Re: The end is near! REBOOT! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This is one of the few places I can support a union. Say you worked 25 years in San Francisco when the crazy Progressives in government vote to disarm the police. I would want the union to barge in and bash communist heads.

    29. Re: The end is near! REBOOT! by fropenn · · Score: 1

      The Affordable Care Act / Obamacare slowed the amount of increase in the cost of health care. Costs still went up, but less quickly than they would have gone up had the ACA not become law.
      https://www.thebalance.com/causes-of-rising-healthcare-costs-4064878

      The cost of health care will increase every year under Trump as well, even if they manage to pass some health care / health insurance reform. The only way we will really start to reduce the cost of health care will be for us to live healthier lives.

      Which reminds me, it's time for a walk.

    30. Re: The end is near! REBOOT! by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      A friend with that complaint showed me the pre-ACA options and post-ACA options. What happened is that the company picked new plans for everyone, and cut employer matching, to make ACA look bad, while saving money. So forgive me if I consider the anti-ACA lies to be lies. Though I'm not in PA, so the options there could be different. The employers cut payments and blamed ACA. The workers without unions had no choice. The PA union looked to fight back against abusive treatment by their employers. Exactly what unions should do.

    31. Re: The end is near! REBOOT! by VisceralLogic · · Score: 1

      Unless the plans were grandfathered in, they had to pick new plans for everyone. And since most new plans covered more to be ACA-compliant, they also cost more.

      --
      Stop! Dremel time!
    32. Re: The end is near! REBOOT! by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      If no plan covered preexisting conditions, then people simply didn't switch providers, and were covered. If every plan covers preexisting conditions, then people change plans freely, with no more cost than before. The changes were much smaller than the naysayers say.

  2. Teamsters originally drove teams of animals by jfdavis668 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    If their contract still protected animal drivers, none of them would have a job.

    1. Re:Teamsters originally drove teams of animals by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Insightful

      The flaw in your comparison being that there was still a driver.

    2. Re:Teamsters originally drove teams of animals by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

      If their contract still protected animal drivers, none of them would have a job.

      This is mainly just a move of spite. I can at least understand why the drivers would feel this way, but UPS is in a bad spot no matter how it works out.

      Either UPS moves forward with tech like everyone else, and the drivers lose their jobs..
      Or they agree not to, become uncompetitive and have profits tank, and the drivers also lose their jobs.

      So in either case the drivers are guaranteed to lose their jobs.
      It's just this way they get to take UPS down with them.

    3. Re:Teamsters originally drove teams of animals by Wycliffe · · Score: 1

      Either UPS moves forward with tech like everyone else, and the drivers lose their jobs..
      Or they agree not to, become uncompetitive and have profits tank, and the drivers also lose their jobs.

      So in either case the drivers are guaranteed to lose their jobs.
      It's just this way they get to take UPS down with them.

      At least if UPS moves forward with the technology it might be a slower transition and if it's using a truck full of drones for the last mile, some of those drivers can still drive the trucks and manage the drones.
      If UPS doesn't move forward then they go bankrupt and all their jobs, retirement, etc... dies with it.

    4. Re:Teamsters originally drove teams of animals by CaptainDork · · Score: 2

      I agree with this.

      And, moving forward, there will still be drivers.

      The mode of transportation has changed, but the problem still exists whereby stuff has to be transported from one place to another.

      I predict that, like the advent of computers in the workplace, the shakeout will result in increased demand for humans to keep all that smart shit running.

      --
      It little behooves the best of us to comment on the rest of us.
    5. Re:Teamsters originally drove teams of animals by apoc.famine · · Score: 1

      Well, Santa would still have a job. Along with a couple guys in around central park, and the Amish.

      --
      Velociraptor = Distiraptor / Timeraptor
    6. Re: Teamsters originally drove teams of animals by PoopJuggler · · Score: 1

      Or they move to automation and give their drivers other jobs.

    7. Re:Teamsters originally drove teams of animals by Aighearach · · Score: 1

      No, they're guaranteed to have less work hours available across the industry is all. There are a variety of ways that they can manage that from the employee side since they already benefit from collective bargaining.

      Of course, they can't exactly threaten to strike over it, because then they lose their jobs for sure.

      Teamsters is going to have some difficulties organizationally in accepting their new role where they don't have a lot of power, and any power they do have is purely based on good will and diplomacy. Good luck to them on that, from the sound of the story they need it!

    8. Re:Teamsters originally drove teams of animals by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This. If UPS goes forward with this agreement shorting their stock would be wise

    9. Re:Teamsters originally drove teams of animals by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A third option could be: retrain the drivers to be drone operators, repairmen, managers, etc. these jobs will be created, but like the previous industrial shifts, fewer will be needed. Which is fine because not every driver can or wants to do one of those jobs.

      There are more than 2 options.

    10. Re:Teamsters originally drove teams of animals by mapkinase · · Score: 1

      Unions are monopolistic piece of shit backward dinosaur from the XIX's century.

      --
      I do not believe in karma. "Funny"=-6. Do good and forbid evil. Yours, Oft-Offtopic Flamebaiting Troll.
    11. Re:Teamsters originally drove teams of animals by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah it will, and none of them will be members of the Teamsters Union.

    12. Re:Teamsters originally drove teams of animals by CaptainDork · · Score: 1

      One of them will.

      Hoffa is somewhere.

      --
      It little behooves the best of us to comment on the rest of us.
  3. I love unions by gurps_npc · · Score: 3, Insightful

    They built this country.

    We should tell them that we will put "no drones" or driverless trucks into their contract as soon as we finish putting the "no horse-less carriage" rule into effect that the stablemen are demanding.

    --
    excitingthingstodo.blogspot.com
    1. Re:I love unions by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Without truckers, who will have anonymous sex in rest stops? In fact, why would we even need rest stops! Someone think of the rest stop construction workers and maintenance people who have to clean up feces from the rest stop walls!

    2. Re:I love unions by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      That's actually a very good point - how big of a negative impact will this have on the bottom line of thousands of rest stops where truckers will no longer pull in to? And is there anything the rest stop owners can do to offset the loss? Charging stations? Autonomous vehicle inspection?

    3. Re: I love unions by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      All the years working to improve things with the goal of being able to work less. And the work is hard, so we build a society that requires people to work. Then as we near success, we discover that we built a society that can't handle it.

    4. Re:I love unions by dk20 · · Score: 2

      You havent been in a truck stop in decades, have you?

      I stopped in once and was shocked at just how clean it was.

    5. Re: I love unions by Pentium100 · · Score: 1

      I am sure the truck drivers and other workers who will be replaced by robots would love to not have to work as long as they had enough money.

      So, pay them somewhat less than what they earn now and not require them to show up for work. That would be great. Oh, and you can get the money to do so by taxing the increased profits of companies that use the robots.

    6. Re:I love unions by AvitarX · · Score: 1

      The vast majority of rest stop business is non trucker I suspect (note: east coast view, maybe it varies other places).

      There are so many more cars on the road vs trucks, there are more people per a car, and cars stop more often.

      --
      Wow, sent an e-mail as suggested when clicking on "use classic" banner, and got a fast response that addressed my msg
    7. Re:I love unions by E-Lad · · Score: 1

      I'd like to see a drone safely deliver anything in bad weather (think: icing), low viz, or windy conditions, and such. You know, the wx conditions which even modern aircraft need supplemental, external systems to safely deal with whereas the UPS truck doesn't, short of unsafe road conditions which would affect everyone anyway.

    8. Re:I love unions by ebvwfbw · · Score: 1

      They did not build this country. Business and Capitalism did. Unions had a place, a long time ago. Now all of the original concerns are in law and they're not needed. Haven't been for decades. I know of some die-hard union people, up until about 30 years ago when they all were screwed. Unions took their pensions and so on.

      No, they're holding the United States back. Especially in education where they're a lot more interested in indoctrination than teaching. People are too smart to believe their bullshit otherwise.

  4. They're called "teamsters" because ... by ScentCone · · Score: 4, Informative

    They're called "teamsters" because they used to handle teams of horses to move freight. It's a good thing they didn't allow any new-fangled technology encroach on that business model!

    --
    Don't disappoint your bird dog. Go to the range.
    1. Re:They're called "teamsters" because ... by freeze128 · · Score: 1

      Now we can call them "Dronesters"!

    2. Re:They're called "teamsters" because ... by Daemonik · · Score: 1

      Hahah! Zing! Hilarious analogy! Because driving a horse drawn carriage is entirely different from driving trucks. Like, 100% nothing in common. No sireebob.

    3. Re:They're called "teamsters" because ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Er... yeah? There is almost zero meaningful overlap.

    4. Re:They're called "teamsters" because ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Delivering by horse ~= delivering by truck ~= delivering by drone. OP is spot on and your retort is weak.

  5. The difference being... by QuietLagoon · · Score: 2

    ... With the transition from teams of horses to trucks, they were still the "driver." Now they are fighting the elimination of the "driver."

    1. Re:The difference being... by Camel+Pilot · · Score: 1

      The driver in this case will be engineers designing drones, autonomous control and drone delivery facilities.

    2. Re:The difference being... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I guarantee you there are not 260,000 engineers doing this.

    3. Re:The difference being... by Sarten-X · · Score: 5, Insightful

      More likely, it'll be the coordinators who (from a central location) make sure the automated fleets are available where they're needed, when they're needed, and in good repair to function as needed.

      With automated transport, the basic challenge of logistics changes from having transportation at a given place to having a large enough pool of transportation in a given area to provide a level of service. Computing services went through the same transition over the last decade, as we've moved from having colocated dedicated servers to cloud-hosted virtualized data centers. The same ops engineers who used to manage racks of servers for one company are now managing racks of servers for the cloud provider, just using different tools and being much more efficient.

      In the end, this higher efficiency has led to a huge boom in demand for hosting services, in turn raising the demand for computing infrastructure. It's a perfect example of the old adage "if you build it, they will come". I expect that with automated transport, we'll start seeing huge fleets of delivery vehicles roaming the streets - even to the scale of having multiple delivery vehicles on the same street at the same time - and the workforce that used to drive will then move towards maintaining and managing the vast fleet.

      --
      You do not have a moral or legal right to do absolutely anything you want.
    4. Re:The difference being... by QuietLagoon · · Score: 1

      ...we'll start seeing huge fleets of delivery vehicles roaming the streets - even to the scale of having multiple delivery vehicles on the same street at the same time - and the workforce that used to drive will then move towards maintaining and managing the vast fleet....

      Or the workforce will be needed to increase the capacity of the over-crowded streets. In your analogy of virtual servers, you also need to acknowledge the tremendous increase in networking capacity that connects the virtual servers to those that use them. There may need to be a similar increase in street capacity.

    5. Re:The difference being... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      More likely, it'll be the coordinators

      Sounds more likely a job for some non-linear optimization program.

      captcha: calculus

    6. Re:The difference being... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There may need to be a similar increase in street capacity.

      In most urban areas in the US, that's not an option, short of using eminent domain to get the land needed and pissing off the coffer fillers in the process.

      The better solution would be to reinvest in public transit and not be so overdependant on personal vechiles. As it serves more people with fewer wheels, and less fuel consumption. For example: Many of those major urban areas have bus systems, but no interconnects between them. A train or similar that picks up in "the boonies" and drops off next to a bus station / stop in the city would be a big benefit. Especially if you have a lot of people in the area whose daily commute involves a lot of time on a highway / interstate. That would get them off of the roads, and if the train was priced to compete with total cost of ownership for the personal vehicle, (maintenance, insurance, gas to work and back. Hint: don't use a model that consumes fossil fuels), you'd have a good chance of keeping them that way.

      Of course, good luck with that in the land of "That's a bad neighborhood", glaring blackhawk mothers, and "everyone is out to rape / assult / murder you", but it's still worth doing. Heck you might even get rid of a few of those stereotypes.

    7. Re:The difference being... by Daemonik · · Score: 1

      Much more likely from the container being dropped off an autonomously piloted freighter ship, being driving by an autonomous truck to the AI managed warehouse, product being dispatched by an AI distribution system to AI drones, no humans will be involved at all.

      The pipe dream that the offset workers can be put to work maintaining their new autonomous overlords is just that. For one, nobody is going to buy autonomous vehicles that need constant maintenance. They will build them as non-servicable modules that another robot can easily pop in and out at an autonomous repair shop that a vehicle drives to when it's sensors find a fault or on a maintenance timetable.

    8. Re:The difference being... by apoc.famine · · Score: 1

      Well, then we need to mandate artisan, hand-carved drones, with personalized software, written during the month of the customer's birth sign. Jobs for everybody!

      --
      Velociraptor = Distiraptor / Timeraptor
    9. Re:The difference being... by apoc.famine · · Score: 1

      I expect that with automated transport, we'll start seeing huge fleets of delivery vehicles roaming the streets - even to the scale of having multiple delivery vehicles on the same street at the same time - and the workforce that used to drive will then move towards maintaining and managing the vast fleet.

      I do not expect this.

      I expect that with automated transport, we'll start seeing huge fleets of delivery vehicles roaming the streets - even to the scale of having multiple delivery vehicles on the same street at the same time - with a similarly automated fleet for maintaining and managing the delivery fleet.

      I don't see a reason that the maintenance of the drone fleet would be anything but automated. Make the drones modular, and if the robot can't swap out a bad module for a good one, scavenge what you can, and trash the rest. Maybe at that point it would make more financial sense for a human to try a repair, or maybe they'll just supervise the robots breaking down and recycling the broken bits. Regardless, I don't see maintenance replacing any but a small fraction of the jobs lost.

      --
      Velociraptor = Distiraptor / Timeraptor
    10. Re:The difference being... by AvitarX · · Score: 2

      I suspect the ratio reduction of drivers per a ton will be very similar for this as it was for horses to ICE.

      There will still be a need for people for when things go wrong. Sure, an automated truck with drones will likely be able to move down a neighborhood street dropping off packages without ever stopping, and therefore reduce the number of trucks needed, but I doubt we're anywhere close to that app being managed hands free or even without a person riding in the truck.

      There will be signatures, there will be cases where the person needs to asses the quality of a hiding space and put something in it, there will be breakdowns where the person needs to retrieve the drone and deliver the package.

      For the long haul, there will be security concerns, and breakdowns, and simple problem solving.

      The local delivery will likely be twice as many packages per driver, but still need drivers.

      The long haul will likely be one driver at the front of a caravan with a couple automated trucks behind, this will allow the human to assess things like the need to change lanes because of the curve, and weird cases in front, the followers just need to follow it's lead for much of the ride.

      It's going to be a long time before package delivery is truly autonomous.

      --
      Wow, sent an e-mail as suggested when clicking on "use classic" banner, and got a fast response that addressed my msg
    11. Re:The difference being... by sjames · · Score: 1

      If the move doesn't reduce the required workforce or at least lower the skill required of that workforce, it won't be done.

      Why would anyone spend millions on a program that requires them to pay the same number of people double what they're paid now as a cost saving measure?

    12. Re:The difference being... by Aighearach · · Score: 1

      Assuming it has wireless networking of some sort, it can just turn on the hazard lights and sit there until a remote operator can look at the instruments and cameras and dispatch a tow truck or technician as needed.

      What is the actual use case for this supposed "person riding in the truck?" That person can be a few hundred miles away in a regional office, and once a year drive out to a site to sign paperwork for a tow company because a drunk driver hit their truck in an area with no trucks from their normal contracted service provider.

    13. Re:The difference being... by jaa101 · · Score: 1

      With the transition from teams of horses to trucks, they were still the "driver." Now they are fighting the elimination of the "driver."

      The drivers might have been OK, though I suspect the numbers required went down fairly quickly since motorised trucks were so much more capable than horse-drawn waggons. But there must have been a huge number of jobs lost in related roles supporting horses: breeding, feeding, shoeing, veterinary, etc.

    14. Re:The difference being... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Logistics is its own sector, and they already manage almost all of that, now (except maintenance).

    15. Re:The difference being... by AvitarX · · Score: 1

      For the UPS truck?
      It's getting packages to people's houses on time, security, collecting the required signatures, picking up packages, opening the outer door to tuck between doors, opening the package box, that's off the top of my head.

      For the long haul truck?
      It's security, and augmenting the AI (by being in the lead truck)

      --
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    16. Re:The difference being... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      People will still be needed. If nothing else, they'll need some guards.

      Otherwise, you'll have squatters on board the autonomous ships - using them to get around. Some of them will no doubt pass the time stealing cargo too.

      Similiar for autonomous cars. Force them to stop, get a free ride on top. And a new breed of highwaymen, stopping cars in the middle of nowhere - plundering while the nearest cop is half an hour away. With no driver, it is only theft, not robbery.

    17. Re:The difference being... by Aighearach · · Score: 1

      Truck drivers don't even do security now. And in most states, it would be illegal because they're not licensed.

      Also, you can monitor a camera remotely from a service center and call the cops just as easily as you can monitor a camera remotely from the cab of a truck and call the cops.

    18. Re:The difference being... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "opening the outer door to tuck between doors"

      Hahahahahahahahahahaha!!!

      Oh. You were serious.

      Really?

      Because I've NEVER seen this. My security camera catches the guy dropping it (yes, not even setting it down gently) on the ground steps from the door as he hits the doorbell, turns, and almost runs back to the truck.

    19. Re:The difference being... by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      People will still be needed. If nothing else, they'll need some guards.

      Security will be mostly autonomous, too, and the parts which aren't autonomous will be remote. A human on the boat is just a potential hostage or inside man. We need humans on boats now mostly to keep the boat working. If there is an attack, they can't repel it anyway, because they're not practically allowed to be armed.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    20. Re:The difference being... by AvitarX · · Score: 1

      They tend to hide it at my house, wither behind the porch couch or between the doors.

      --
      Wow, sent an e-mail as suggested when clicking on "use classic" banner, and got a fast response that addressed my msg
  6. No Looms by goombah99 · · Score: 0

    When did we allow electronics to make phone connections. I should have to tell the Operator what URL I want to be connected to. I think I'll put my wooden shoe in a automated loom.

    --
    Some drink at the fountain of knowledge. Others just gargle.
  7. Teamsters helped me... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    But only because the fata$$ wanted a new BMW.

  8. Re:Unions, holding back progress by aristotle-dude · · Score: 0

    Itâ(TM)s time we fire up the first Soylent Green factory.

    Those angry men are more likely to put you in the meat grinder than the opposite. Progress with no benefit to society as a whole is pointless. Science and technology is supposed to service us, not the other way around.

    --
    Jesus was a compassionate social conservative who called individuals to sin no more.
  9. Why stop there by Camel+Pilot · · Score: 2

    Just think the jobs that could created if all deliverers had to be delivered by hand or hand truck?

  10. Driverless transport is the future by TheRealMindChild · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Forgoing driverless vehicles for package delivery will be the end of UPS. The cost of logistics will be too much to compete when FedEx and DHL start

    --

    "When life gives you lemons, don't make lemonade. Make life take the lemons back!" -- Cave Johnson
    1. Re:Driverless transport is the future by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yep, I love when unions try to negotiate the company out of business.

    2. Re:Driverless transport is the future by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Forgoing driverless vehicles for package delivery will be the end of UPS. The cost of logistics will be too much to compete when FedEx and DHL start

      Care to explain how a driverless vehicle is gonna pick the package needed and deliver it up any number of stairs?

      http://www.alfredstate.edu/sites/default/files/downloads/UPS%20Packages.jpg

    3. Re:Driverless transport is the future by Sri+Ramkrishna · · Score: 1

      You'll need another service for that. but othewise a lockbox or something. You just need to change how the "last mile" looks like. But problematic if you are disabled or can't move around.

    4. Re:Driverless transport is the future by thinkwaitfast · · Score: 1
      I love when two of slashdot's sacred cows go against each other and all the hypocrisy comes out.

      I'm almost out of popcorn

    5. Re:Driverless transport is the future by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It will be the end of the post office IF there is a constitutional amendment. One of the duties of the congress is to establish a postal service. They will just raise prices.

    6. Re: Driverless transport is the future by WarJolt · · Score: 1

      Discounts for customers without stairs and no pickups.

    7. Re:Driverless transport is the future by apoc.famine · · Score: 2

      But forgoing a contract with the teamsters right now will also likely be the end of UPS. What the teamsters are doing is walking to the dry end of the titanic. They could save it by jumping off, but they're fucked either way. And UPS is powerless to convince them to jump off.

      This is just them selfishly taking someone down with them, in order to survive for a bit longer than they otherwise would.

      --
      Velociraptor = Distiraptor / Timeraptor
    8. Re:Driverless transport is the future by sjames · · Score: 2

      Perhaps if the people who will benefit from them jumping would provide some sort of life boat, they would be more willing to jump. You seem to be quite generous with other people's lives.

      I don't see you lining up for the big jump.

    9. Re:Driverless transport is the future by apoc.famine · · Score: 1

      I both agree and disagree. If there is one thing that the Teamsters are infamous for, it's an absolute unwillingness to budge on anything which might cost them a job, or a presence in a company. Unfortunately for UPS, there likely isn't another job that they need all these drivers for once automation really takes off.

      That puts UPS in the situation where if they provide that "lifeboat" of training, it would be training these drivers for another job in another company. I can't see how you can request a company do that. The alternate is that the Teamsters force UPS to engage in something other than their core business to employ these people, and I can't see that as being reasonable either.

      I understand why the Teamsters are doing this, however: It's what their members are paying them to do. I don't think that makes it right, and I also assume that they understand the futility in making this demand. Ideally they'd take the money generated from the folks at UPS and invest back into them for that "lifeboat" you describe. However, if there is one thing that large organizations are it's rather inflexible and slow to change.

      Ultimately, I think that we need some large-scale societal change to help navigate this upcoming rapid change in employment opportunities. We can't just rely on companies to do the right thing, because of situations like this. All it takes is one existing or one new company to embrace automation, and a lot of these jobs will be lost anyway, just due to the market forces. Better social safety nets are one thing, but more opportunities to re-skill cheaply or for free in the short term, and likely some sort of UBI in the long term will be needed.

      I don't see you lining up for the big jump.

      If you knew me you would have seen a bunch of them. I'm ballpark 4-6 careers in at this point, depending on how fine you want to slice semi-related fields. 3 times now I've completely changed fields, and I have 3 degrees in 3 different fields to show for it.

      The thing is, I understand that just because I can do that, it doesn't mean that everyone can. And I also understand that the Teamster's position is absolutely unreasonable, as they're not even demanding help for their members to make that jump. They're demanding that the ship not sink, while threatening to sink it if they don't get their way.

      --
      Velociraptor = Distiraptor / Timeraptor
    10. Re:Driverless transport is the future by sjames · · Score: 1

      I'm certainly not claiming that the teamsters have all the answers, just that their position is understandable. They have seen far enough to realize that some of those changes have to happen or they'll be living in poverty.

      I would suggest that those who are retrained but don't end up working at UPS somewhere else should consider it a decent severance package. UPS should do the same. They could try that as a counter-offer. Ideally, the larger society would deal with it, but that's not who the Teamsters have leverage with. Perhaps UPS and the other carriers should lobby for that so they can have less union problems.

    11. Re:Driverless transport is the future by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, but this union is basically for the drivers and warehouse workers.. They will lose a huge number of members. What they should do is organize unions for engineers and programmers instead of demanding the end of progress.

    12. Re:Driverless transport is the future by Krishnoid · · Score: 1

      in order to survive for a bit longer than they otherwise would.

      Maybe just long enough for them to retire?

    13. Re:Driverless transport is the future by Riceballsan · · Score: 2

      Well I'd say first and foremost... you are looking at the last mile part of the business. Just look at any time you order a package and watch the tracking info. Generally speaking they make about 3 pretty long hops before they get to your local sorting station, and then to your house. So even if hypothetically it was always going to be impossible to automate the last leg of the trip of delivering the package to your house. The amount of human drivers could still be reduced by at least 2/3rds even if all they eliminate is the internal station to station delivery drivers.

    14. Re:Driverless transport is the future by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This is like, "care to explain how the standardized garbage truck arm is going to reach into your house and empty your garbage?".

      It doesn't take a lot of creativity to imagine this world. If you live in a skyscraper, presumably something (for now, a human) will run packages up and down from their landing space, but won't do the overall delivery. Whether that human is the recipient picking it up from the mail room, or the building staff, or an agent of UPS, isn't a big deal (aside from disability, and that sort of delivery can be special-cased), point is the truck doesn't necessarily have to wait for this to happen.

    15. Re:Driverless transport is the future by Talderas · · Score: 1

      They just do what the post office has done for apartments. Ground level lockboxes.

      --
      "Lack of speed can be overcome. In the worst case by patience." --Znork
    16. Re:Driverless transport is the future by Talderas · · Score: 1

      Union contracts are usually between 3-5 years in length. The big question is whether the union contract is preventing UPS from testing the technology vs deploying. While I consider the outcome inevitable I'm not certain that this contract will be the one in force when UPS wants to or is in a position to mass deploy self-driving delivery. UPS is the first delivery service to run into contract negotiations with the union with the looming automation threat. FedEx and DLH will be going through the exact same issues with their union employees. The companies are going to want to aim for the union contracts ending when they're ready to make a mass deployment.

      --
      "Lack of speed can be overcome. In the worst case by patience." --Znork
    17. Re:Driverless transport is the future by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Generally speaking they make about 3 pretty long hops before they get to your local sorting station, and then to your house. [...] The amount of human drivers could still be reduced by at least 2/3rds even if all they eliminate is the internal station to station delivery drivers.

      Those long hops happen on trucks that carry at least 2-3 times as much as the local delivery trucks. Your math is suspect. Still, both of those goals are independently desirable for UPS. They would like to get rid of half of the drivers, and they would also like to get rid of the other half of the drivers.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    18. Re:Driverless transport is the future by Riceballsan · · Score: 1

      Well yes of course, lets assume it's half and half, why yes of course the business would most enjoy getting rid of all of them... and the truckers themselves should be desperate to save all of them (because even if they are all on the side that isn't getting laid off... they now also have a boatload of out of work guys in their field desperate for a job, and perhaps willing to undercut them... whatever the case it utterly crushes any bargaining position they may have if they ever want to talk about better pay or anything that might make their lives better.

  11. Wouldn't last. by Gravis+Zero · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Even if they get their way and UPS doesn't use drones or driver-less trucks, other companies around the world will continue to develop the technology. When a the new technology is ready, they will get everything in place and then layoff every driver all at once. That will be far more devastating to them than if they are have a period of time to actually get new jobs.

    --
    Anons need not reply. Questions end with a question mark.
    1. Re:Wouldn't last. by geoskd · · Score: 2, Insightful

      That will be far more devastating to them than if they are have a period of time to actually get new jobs.

      These folks are not qualified to do anything other than drive for a living. A very large percentage of them are barely trainable as it is. The jobs they are capable of learning to do, automation is already wiping out. Like the manufacturing workers, their ranks will be decimated, and they will end up blighting the country because we force them into abject poverty. There is nothing of value that society will be willing to pay them to do, so we better figure out what the plan is because Manna is comming.

      --
      I wish I had a good sig, but all the good ones are copyrighted
    2. Re:Wouldn't last. by Gravis+Zero · · Score: 1

      While I understand your pessimism, your cynicism is unwarranted. You greatly underestimate the value of human intelligence and the human capacity to learn. Not every one of them is going to be a genius but they aren't incapable of learning new skills. The question is how many opportunities are going to be available versus the number of people needing them. For this reason, I believe that UBI and higher education should be free for all our fellow citizens. I also understand that in the current state, they are unwilling to accept these as solutions.

      --
      Anons need not reply. Questions end with a question mark.
    3. Re:Wouldn't last. by silverkniveshotmail. · · Score: 1

      I drove a truck and I've been a Teamster but I'm not stupid and when I was laid off I didn't just crawl into a corner to die, I got a better job.

      I'm sure you're a very precious member of our economy who can do anything but you're assuming that people with simple jobs are only capable of that job and nothing greater which is an incredibly narrow and baseless claim.

    4. Re:Wouldn't last. by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      Not every one of them is going to be a genius but they aren't incapable of learning new skills.

      New skills is one thing. New skills that they can do better than a machine is quite another.

      Captcha: frying pan.

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    5. Re:Wouldn't last. by Sri+Ramkrishna · · Score: 1

      Not everyone can do that. Depending on the age, a lot of people don't want to learn new skills or start over or whatever, and it takes perseverence.

    6. Re:Wouldn't last. by Solandri · · Score: 2

      For those too young to remember, the Teamsters and AFL/CIO mostly successfully blocked robots from being introduced into factories in the 1980s as a ploy to protect assembly line jobs. As a result, when China offered manufacturing with lower-cost assembly line labor in the 1990s, most of those jobs left the U.S. for China.

      If the U.S. factories had automated in the 1980s, maybe our factories would've been cost-competitive with cheap Chinese labor, and our manufacturing base would've remained here. Some assembly line jobs would've been lost, but many would still remain (look at auto manufacturing today), and other new ones would've been created. Instead, entire factories were shuttered with every job being lost.

    7. Re: Wouldn't last. by WarJolt · · Score: 2

      Funny. I have a similar sentiment about certain software engineers. The only difference is it affects younger engineers as well.

    8. Re:Wouldn't last. by Solandri · · Score: 2

      This is what I consider the greatest irony in the debate over how to help the poor and working class. Those who purport to want to help and protect them most also have the lowest opinion of their intellect and capabilities. Those who say they should help themselves do so because they have a higher opinion of the intellect and capability of these people, and believe they can learn how to do a new, better job.

    9. Re:Wouldn't last. by Pentium100 · · Score: 1

      You could find another job, awesome. I am sure John the truck driver can do it too. The problems start when there are thousands of truck drivers looking for a new job. And thousands of other workers who were replaced by automation.

      It seems that a lot of people cannot find a job right now, while the truck drivers still have their jobs.

    10. Re:Wouldn't last. by sjames · · Score: 1

      I don't see re-training or decent support during that non-instantaneous process on the table, do you?

      People keep talking about all those jobs out there, but I don't see the usual hallmarks of that condition, such as potential employers offering training/education or high wages.

      In other words, people whose jobs are not endangered to truckers: I have the utmost confidence in your ability to heal from any non-fatal injury, therefor I don't feel at all bad about breaking every bone in your body and leaving you with the hospital bill. I'm sure your family will do just fine while you heal, so we won't be helping there either.

    11. Re:Wouldn't last. by mentil · · Score: 1

      It can be both ways. We're not talking about one person, or a uniform group. A portion of the group WILL be too unintelligent to retrain for a new job; these people will mostly retire, or bounce between employers that haven't yet invested in autonomous vehicles. There are plenty of companies that provide complementary shuttle bus service that will just wait until their buses break down to replace them with autonomous ones, as one example. Others will be willing and able to find a different sort of job; personal bike courier that goes directly from place A to place B, perhaps. Heavy machinery operator, for construction or quarry/mine digging, etc.

      --
      Corruption is convincing someone that the selfless ideal is the same as their selfish ideal.
    12. Re:Wouldn't last. by Dr.+Spork · · Score: 1

      I don't think that UPS intends to actually implement drones or driverless trucks in routine delivery for at least another decade. They just need to concoct enough "trials" and proof-of-concept videos to spook some meatheads in the Teamsters union. Now it suddenly becomes a bargaining chip for UPS when it negotiates its next contract with the Teamsters. Sure, UPS will "grudgingly" agree to some humans-only clause, but in exchange the will get lower prices and better conditions in its delivery contracts. That's how negotiation works.

    13. Re:Wouldn't last. by Aighearach · · Score: 1

      That reminds of something that happened when I was younger.

      In the 90s I worked at a plywood mill, and after it shut down everybody got free job training. One guy, in his early 60s, was studying to be a Computer Applications Specialist (aka office assistant or help desk). He had been a forklift driver at that mill for over 30 years! One day at the Community College, during lunch, he told me, "I did that job for over 30 years because I thought I wasn't smart enough to do anything else. Now I'm a college student, and I realize I can do anything! I'm not even stupid. I just didn't have any other experience." [memory lookup error, dialog reconstructed from parity]

      It was too late for him to actually get the training for a better paying job, but he was still able to transition to the modern economy, and do a job he thought was beyond his capabilities.

      The two societal problems that we continue to face that make this issue difficult are: Access to higher education, and a lack of a system to spread out reduced work hours between a growing number of workers. The workers can do whatever work you train them for, but only if they can receive the training, and the available work is divided up between the workers.

    14. Re:Wouldn't last. by BlueStrat · · Score: 1

      This is what I consider the greatest irony in the debate over how to help the poor and working class. Those who purport to want to help and protect them most also have the lowest opinion of their intellect and capabilities. Those who say they should help themselves do so because they have a higher opinion of the intellect and capability of these people, and believe they can learn how to do a new, better job.

      Of course most people have little to no intellect or capabilities, or else they would have made us their leaders-in-perpetuity long ago! -- US Progressive Left

      The bigotry and racism of low expectations writ large, fueled by lust for power, ego, and hubris.

      Strat

      --
      Progressivism (aka US 'Liberalism'): Ideas so good they need a police/surveillance-state to enforce.
    15. Re:Wouldn't last. by silverkniveshotmail. · · Score: 1

      That's true but with a mortgage to pay and suddenly finding yourself with much more free time on your hands you may go beyond your normal comfort zone.

    16. Re:Wouldn't last. by Aighearach · · Score: 1

      Horseshit, people say they should "help themselves" because they're already whining about their taxes and they don't want society to spread out the cost of training. "Help themselves" is just saying they should "get no help" and then blaming them for your position.

      People who support education also say that people should help themselves, they just don't insist that they also reject any help. Humans are a social species, the idea that somebody should be expected to do everything themselves is idiotic and none of the people saying it actually did so themselves.

      People like you stand on the shoulders of giants while insisting you built the whole world. Load of shit, that.

    17. Re:Wouldn't last. by Aighearach · · Score: 1

      Nice story bro, but turn off the AM radio, it is poisoning your mind.

      Those are weakly remembered bits of hyperbole that you recall, it isn't history.

    18. Re:Wouldn't last. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "You greatly underestimate the value of human intelligence and the human capacity to learn"

      And you greatly overestimate the ability of most people to learn new things. "You can't teach an old dog new tricks" became a saying for a reason. And some people really are dolts. I've worked with quite a few folks who could have a lively conversation with you, and seem perfectly intelligent, but try to get them to change their routine, or do things a bit differently, and their brains crash. They just can't do it, even though their jobs are at stake. It's sad, really.

    19. Re:Wouldn't last. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Those who say they should help themselves do so because they have a higher opinion of the intellect and capability of these people, and believe they can learn how to do a new, better job.

      That's just so they can blame the displaced worker for not finding a new job. It's not really about an opinion on intellect, it's about lack of compassion.

    20. Re:Wouldn't last. by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Those who purport to want to help and protect them most also have the lowest opinion of their intellect and capabilities. Those who say they should help themselves do so because they have a higher opinion of the intellect and capability of these people, and believe they can learn how to do a new, better job.

      In truth, it's a bit from column A and a bit from column B, and yet the situation is still more complicated even than that. Many of the other jobs these people could do are also going away. They're being automated, or just outright obsoleted. Even the people suggesting that what the teamsters should be asking for is retraining and not for UPS to somehow stop the sands of time are missing the point; what they should be doing is supporting UBI, because the same thing that's happening to them now is going to happen to a lot of other people anyway. Even if they were to be retrained and move into other semi-skilled jobs, they'd probably just lose those jobs within their lifetimes anyway.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    21. Re:Wouldn't last. by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      As a general rule, I don't expect truck drivers and coal miners to be, on the whole, better than average at finding new jobs. When they're just out on their ear without relevant skills, they're disadvantaged compared to the average job seeker. When they're living in one city, and the appropriate jobs are in another some distance away, that's a disadvantage.

      I don't consider the working classes to be so tremendously superior that obstacles mean nothing to them.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
  12. It's not the automation that's the problem! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    It's the fundamental concept of how the economy is supposed to work, if you don't pay anyone!
    If you automate all the jobs away, then where, precisely, is the money supposed to come from, that your potential clients would use, to buy your stuff in the first place? In other words: How would you make money in the first place?

    Everybody would be fine with full automation, if the wealth that that causes would go to those, who actually worked to generate it. Instead of those, who merely leeched on them, mooching off of society, taking bailouts, causing inflation, stifling the free market by doing everything they can, to prevent their victims and their enemies to gain a lever that would keep it healthy and balanced.

    People always teach kids that example with the lemonade stand, where $1 goes around in circles, and you end up with the same $1, making no money.
    But that's how the entire economy works in the real world too! (At least the legitimate parts.) It's so much more complex, that it's well obfuscated.
    The only way it can be different, is when money is literally made up out of thin air. (Like stock markets, bank loans, abused crypto-currencies, etc) And that's actually still the same, because by doing it, the money itself loses value. So the wealth still doesn't magically appear out of thin air, but comes out of the pockets of everyone who owns some of that money, via inflation.)

    Frankly, the union should STFU, collect some money from its members, buy their own driverless trucks and drones, and spread the profits among the members, in return for their investment.
    That would be compatible with the philosophies of the most extreme capitalists, libertarians, socialists and communists.
    The only ones who would absolutely hate it, would be those who want to keep leeching. Be it the capitalist or the socialist kind.

    1. Re:It's not the automation that's the problem! by microTodd · · Score: 1

      I was totally with you except for this line:

      The only way it can be different, is when money is literally made up out of thin air. (Like stock markets, bank loans, abused crypto-currencies, etc)

      There's actually a different, better way that money is made out of thin air, and its the basis of classical capitalism.

      Let's say I have a pile of wood worth $10, and some metal worth $10. Its only $20, right? But if I build 10 hammers out of those piles and sell them for $3 each, I've just created $10 out of thin air. Because of my skill and effort.

      Not all production and services do this, but many do.

      --
      "You cannot find out which view is the right one by science in the ordinary sense." - C.S. Lewis on Intelligent Design
    2. Re:It's not the automation that's the problem! by microTodd · · Score: 1

      Oh wait, I read you comment more closely. You're saying that the exact case I presented "goes away" if there's complete automation. I gotcha now. Sorry, haven't had coffee yet.

      --
      "You cannot find out which view is the right one by science in the ordinary sense." - C.S. Lewis on Intelligent Design
  13. It's gonna happen by kilodelta · · Score: 1

    Because the biggest part of UPS is their interstate transfer system.

  14. We don't need autonomous trucks by DeplorableCodeMonkey · · Score: 4, Insightful

    We need to engage in the unsexy business of building a lot more rail. If something has to move from a port to 800 miles inland, barring it being military equipment that the military deems too sensitive to send by rail (ie things like nuclear weapons), it should be sent by rail most of the way. That is way more cost-effective than fleets of trucks for the same purpose and much more environmentally sound.

    I'm actually surprised Musk hasn't hedged his bets on this and offered to have the Boring Company help build small networks of tunnels to make direct routes by rail cheaper and less reliant on eminent domain. (It wouldn't be big business, but it would be a great way to test the tech)

    1. Re:We don't need autonomous trucks by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The article is about delivering packages. How exactly are you going to do that by rail? Run a line up to everyone's house?

    2. Re:We don't need autonomous trucks by aaarrrgggh · · Score: 1

      Aside from needing double track in more locations and electrification, the US has a robust rail network, and I fail to see why “more” is needed. While it is impressive that some places can run rail to within a mile of the destination, it seems like an unrealistic strategy for the US. I do find it ironic that most of the logistics centers seem to forego rail spurs, but there is a reason.

      What I think the US railroads really need though is micro switching and intermodal transfer yards to better support local transfers.

    3. Re:We don't need autonomous trucks by burtosis · · Score: 2

      Same way we deliver internet. Rail would be analogous to a fiber optic cable and it's just slightly different version of the same last mile problem ISP face.

    4. Re:We don't need autonomous trucks by CanadianMacFan · · Score: 1

      The US, and Canada, used to have a robust system of rail networks. The decline of rail has seen the railroads rip up large tracts of their networks because it was too expensive to maintain. Some of the lines have been turned into recreational trails once the tracks were taken up.

    5. Re:We don't need autonomous trucks by thinkwaitfast · · Score: 1

      I did. For the experience, and it sucked big time. Never again unless I get a sleeper car.

    6. Re:We don't need autonomous trucks by Ichijo · · Score: 1

      most of the logistics centers seem to forego rail spurs, but there is a reason.

      Yes, the reason is the massive subsidies that trucks enjoy. Why pay for a spur out of your own wallet when the government will build you a road out of theirs? Simple economics!

      --
      Any sufficiently unpopular but cohesive argument is indistinguishable from trolling.
    7. Re:We don't need autonomous trucks by Ichijo · · Score: 1

      I can tell you have never ridden on a bullet train. I hope you get the chance someday, it's awesome!

      --
      Any sufficiently unpopular but cohesive argument is indistinguishable from trolling.
    8. Re:We don't need autonomous trucks by Anubis+IV · · Score: 1

      The US already has the largest rail network in the world, the vast, vast majority of which is being used for freight. While there’s surely room for more growth, it’s aleady being utilized quite effectively as it is for the sorts of things that make sense to put on rail.

      Even so, rail can only get your package between hubs, so you still have a need for point-to-point deliveries once you move things from one hub to another. That’s where courier drones can eliminate the most jobs/save the most costs, hence why that’s where businesses are the most interested in using them.

    9. Re:We don't need autonomous trucks by drinkypoo · · Score: 2

      I'm actually surprised Musk hasn't hedged his bets on this and offered to have the Boring Company help build small networks of tunnels to make direct routes by rail cheaper and less reliant on eminent domain.

      Rail inevitably winds up being a government project, because nobody else can do it. That means it costs money. Sitting back and letting car companies sell cars while ignoring road maintenance makes money. It's not sustainable, but it's where we are. Musk knows better than to try to fight governments. His business model, in fact, wouldn't be viable without government interference. (Maybe one day, but not today.)

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    10. Re:We don't need autonomous trucks by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      UPS does use rail on most routes over 600 miles for ground shipments -- TOFC (Trailer On Flat Car). You've got to use rail on long hauls to stay competitive. Second and Next Day packages go by air of course. Their main air hub facility is in Louisville, KY.

    11. Re:We don't need autonomous trucks by Aighearach · · Score: 1

      Even the logistics centers in my town that have rail spurs don't use them unless they're transporting commodities, which here means grain. A grain silo uses their spur line, but the shipping company across the street? No way, the fees to have a rail car brought out and parked on your spur are higher than the cost of filling a truck container and driving it to the railyard!

      Rail can never be more than a tiny fractional bit cheaper than road, because nobody can build new rail lines(*) so there isn't competition between lines for the same car. And there is a longterm established profit motive and system. Whereas shipping on roads is highly competitive, and if costs dropped so would price.

      (* Existing rail networks in the US were caused to be built largely by giving free land to the railroads. These days all the land is spoken for.)

    12. Re:We don't need autonomous trucks by Aighearach · · Score: 1

      You might want to look up what the fees are to have a rail car brought to your spur and dropped off for you to load, and what it costs to pick it up later. And what the availability is; can you have it dropped off and picked up whenever you want, or is there a giant window you have to be ready in?

      If you didn't look up any numbers, it isn't "simple economics," but rather, economics beyond the scope of your analysis.

      Also, is there a difference in cost:volume and cost:weight, or is that the same between trucks and trains? If I have a container full of stereos or smart phones, is that going to be the same sort of cost ratio between truck and rail as if I have a container of wheat?

      I'll give you two obvious facts for your "simple" economics: It is a lot cheaper to ship a container of wheat by rail than by truck. Another fun fact: it is a lot cheaper to ship baked bread by truck than by rail. This is true even when you have a bakery next to a spur line, and a grocery next to a spur line.

    13. Re:We don't need autonomous trucks by jaa101 · · Score: 1

      Right now rail should be more cost-effective than road but much of this is because you need more truck drivers than train drivers. Driverless vehicles actually reduce rail's advantage over road. Yes, rail should still be more energy efficient but it loses out in flexibility and the double handling required to move goods from stations to their final destinations. Rail is also slower because trains have to wait around for all the goods before setting off, usually to some fixed timetable.

    14. Re:We don't need autonomous trucks by Ichijo · · Score: 1

      Good point. If trucks were no longer subsidized, cities would have more, smaller bakeries to save money on shipping bread around.

      --
      Any sufficiently unpopular but cohesive argument is indistinguishable from trolling.
    15. Re:We don't need autonomous trucks by lister+king+of+smeg · · Score: 1

      What is it with your pathological rail fixation?

      Not a single person in this country wants to take a freaking train anywhere. I don't care how fast it goes.

      Grow up.

      I wanted to take it a few mothes ago because I am a bad driver and I know it would be safer/less streessful. But as It cost me twice as much one way a for two people as it did to drive both ways for two. So I drove anyway.

      --
      ---Saying gnome 3 is better than windows 8 not so much a compliment as it is damning with light praise.
    16. Re:We don't need autonomous trucks by Aighearach · · Score: 1

      They're not.

      And no, shipping is not a major contributor to the price of locally produced bread. Wow. That's some exceptionally daft analysis.

      Liking local bakeries is great, but it doesn't automatically mean that they're being held down by The Man.

    17. Re:We don't need autonomous trucks by foghelmut · · Score: 1

      Musk is really only concerned about his own commute.

    18. Re:We don't need autonomous trucks by Ichijo · · Score: 1

      They're not.

      Yes they are.

      And no, shipping is not a major contributor to the price of locally produced bread. Wow. That's some exceptionally daft analysis.

      Nice straw man fallacy!

      --
      Any sufficiently unpopular but cohesive argument is indistinguishable from trolling.
    19. Re:We don't need autonomous trucks by Aighearach · · Score: 1

      It isn't a straw man at all, in fact, I'm not even the person who wanted to drag bread (which is unrelated to my comment) into the conversation: that was you.

      Are you complaining that your own straw man burnt down without impact, or what?

      Trains are cheaper than trucks on super-heavy stuff. Light stuff like bread, where the shipping volume drives the cost instead of the weight, well for that trucks are cheaper.

      Talking about "straw men" here is just silly, do you understand what topic is being discussed? Shipping?

      Oh, also, your link is biased horseshit, I'd like my 5 minutes reading it back. Handwaving and off-topic math, just a bunch of vapid shit. It doesn't even use actual numbers for road maintenance, and it doesn't do any sort of analysis that compares the costs with or without the shipping. It just does handwavvy shit with numbers, and says "see?" afterwards. It is too weak to bother with detailed analysis of each precise way that it stinks.

      But news flash: Rail is subsidized too. And you didn't even attempt to do a comparison. You're wrong just by anybody pointing at you and saying "yer rong" because you didn't even make a completed point that compares the subsidy level.

    20. Re:We don't need autonomous trucks by bluegutang · · Score: 1

      I'm actually surprised Musk hasn't hedged his bets on this and offered to have the Boring Company help build small networks of tunnels to make direct routes by rail cheaper

      Because boring tunnels is expensive and Musk hasn't managed to make it cheaper.

    21. Re:We don't need autonomous trucks by Ichijo · · Score: 1

      Why don't you provide a link that contradicts mine?

      --
      Any sufficiently unpopular but cohesive argument is indistinguishable from trolling.
    22. Re:We don't need autonomous trucks by Aighearach · · Score: 1

      Because I'm a human being, not a wikipedia entry.

      You should try it, because you do a sucky job as an encyclopedia; you're not NPOV.

      Try forming a thought, and then forming words that describe your thought. Even if you suck at it, it will have more value than your spammy link, or the spammy links you seem to want to read when you ask other people for links instead of asking that they explain ideas.

      If you wanted a link and couldn't google it yourself, what value would I even bring to the conversation by propping you up that hard? It seems more effective to just let you fall by the wayside on your own if you can't even do a web search to answer the parts you have questions about and believe would be answered by reference material.

  15. Same as with pizza by fluffernutter · · Score: 2

    Many times this winter we got packages from UPS or FedEx and I thanked the driver for braving the elements for me. I feel the same about this as I do about pizza; if there is no one to walk the package to the door for me then the service is not nearly as good or valuable to me. Now if automation halves the delivery cost because it now lacks this service then fine, but I'd like to know what my inconvenience is worth. There is something to be said for human involvement.

    --
    Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    1. Re:Same as with pizza by swillden · · Score: 1

      if there is no one to walk the package to the door for me then the service is not nearly as good or valuable to me

      Does it have to be a human that walks it to the door, or can a robot do that?

      --
      Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
    2. Re:Same as with pizza by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      A robot can do it, but it will have to be able to navigate a couple feet of snow if I haven't had time to clear it since the last snowstorm. Also, my driveway is frequently slick and ice-rutted. It depends on the weather.

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    3. Re:Same as with pizza by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      if there is no one to walk the package to the door for me then the service is not nearly as good or valuable to me

      If you are referring to your companies loading dock, then driverless trucks will still bring your goods directly to your door just as they do now.

      If you are referring to a residential home, then quite frankly they are already losing money delivering to you right now. I don't think you no longer using their service and thus their profits rising because of it is all that much of a threat.

    4. Re:Same as with pizza by lorinc · · Score: 1

      You put value in people suffering for your pleasure?

    5. Re:Same as with pizza by fluffernutter · · Score: 2

      Isn't that any job? Should I feel guilty that someone has to work a full shift at McDonalds so I can come through and order a burger?

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    6. Re:Same as with pizza by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You should feel guilty for the cow that you murdered.

    7. Re:Same as with pizza by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      Frankly I don't care how they choose to work their financials. If they are losing money bringing my package to the door then that was their decision, probably for competitive reasons. As a consumer if I am getting less service I would expect to pay less, period.

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    8. Re:Same as with pizza by thinkwaitfast · · Score: 1

      How much money do you have that not having to walk through some snow is worth half a delivery cost?

    9. Re:Same as with pizza by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Can't put my finger on it, but that's creepy. Cooking dinner and not being afraid of snow are good for you.

    10. Re:Same as with pizza by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A lot of the companies were looking at handling the "last foot", or few feet, with hovercraft drones.
      Would probably handle %80-%90 of packages.
      That last awkward shaped or too heavy package you'd have to pickup at the curb.

    11. Re:Same as with pizza by DogDude · · Score: 1

      If you are referring to your companies loading dock, then driverless trucks will still bring your goods directly to your door just as they do now.

      They can't unload them in any meaningful way. I'm not sending employees into some other company's truck to retrieve our packages. That's a liability nightmare, and it's too damn expensive.

      --
      I don't respond to AC's.
    12. Re:Same as with pizza by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      It's not about time, it's about convenience. That's why *convenience* stores are always more expensive than a regular grocery store. If a service is much less convenient I would hope it would cost much less.

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    13. Re:Same as with pizza by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A robot can do it ...

      Good point. I have a another challenge. Is a drone smart enough to avoid the great landmines of dogcrap on the path? If not, who get's to clean the drone or wherever it tracks the stuff to?

      On the other hand, if the drone does have a Tactical Refuse (Urine & Manure) Protocol, then someone obviously wrote it. How do they document that on their CV / résumé?

    14. Re:Same as with pizza by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      They can't unload them in any meaningful way. I'm not sending employees into some other company's truck to retrieve our packages. That's a liability nightmare, and it's too damn expensive.

      Of course they can. They can use a XY plotter-style machine to pick up packages inside the truck, and set them on a liftgate, then lower the liftgate and push the packages off. This is highly achievable with ordinary, everyday off the shelf parts.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    15. Re: Same as with pizza by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Please to do the needful and clean up all the HUMAN EXCREMENT covering your cuntry before you go throwing stones at others.

    16. Re:Same as with pizza by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      Oh I'll go out into the snow if I have to. I was the only one on my block without a snowblower because shoveling is good exercise with a purpose. I just don't need more reasons to go out in the snow. I certainly don't want companies telling me that it is the new 'acceptable' way to do business because they are all just as mad to save a buck on their end. As a consumer, I should get to make to make the determination on which I want. The human face-to-face service will still cost them less because of automation in the middle. So human prices should at least stay the same. Automated deliver prices, if they are convincingly lower, I may go for them. We'll see.

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    17. Re:Same as with pizza by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A robot can do it, but it will have to be able to navigate a couple feet of snow if I haven't had time to clear it since the last snowstorm. Also, my driveway is frequently slick and ice-rutted. It depends on the weather.

      Then the problems clearly lies on your end.

      Buy a damn robot snowblower and stop ludditing us.

    18. Re:Same as with pizza by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      A robot shouldn't be going across the lawn at all, it should be detecting and using the sidewalk like people do.

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    19. Re:Same as with pizza by jaa101 · · Score: 1

      There is something to be said for human involvement.

      Involvement like you see in all those youtube videos of drivers flinging parcels? Sure there are some good drivers and some bad. Whatever automated solution arises may lack the human touch but it should greatly improve the consistency of the service. Whether it's consistently good or consistently remains to be seen.

    20. Re:Same as with pizza by lorinc · · Score: 1

      Isn't that any job?

      No it's not! Many jobs are about the pleasure of producing something or contributing to society and not about suffering for the pleasure of a soulless dude that has your survival at the disposal of his money!

  16. Where's the logic? by naubol · · Score: 1

    Don't replace me with automation or I'll go on strike!?

    --
    Reality is a slackware box running on a 386 tucked away in god's sock drawer.
    1. Re:Where's the logic? by OrangeTide · · Score: 1

      Who is going to unload your drone or truck and carry things 20 feet to the freight elevator?

      --
      “Common sense is not so common.” — Voltaire
    2. Re: Where's the logic? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The drone... How is this so difficult to grasp.

    3. Re: Where's the logic? by OrangeTide · · Score: 1

      I'm not sure if you've ever flown a full sized drone indoors.

      --
      “Common sense is not so common.” — Voltaire
    4. Re: Where's the logic? by Wycliffe · · Score: 1

      I'm not sure if you've ever flown a full sized drone indoors.

      Drones don't necessarily mean flying. Autonomous vehicles inside of a building is already a completely solved problem. If a self driving truck can get it to the loading dock there are plenty of technologies that can load and unload a truck without a person being involved.

    5. Re: Where's the logic? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Remember that chum when they take your ability to earn away because all coding is done by AI. HAHA!

    6. Re: Where's the logic? by DogDude · · Score: 1

      there are plenty of technologies that can load and unload a truck without a person being involved.

      Like what?

      --
      I don't respond to AC's.
    7. Re:Where's the logic? by cascadingstylesheet · · Score: 1

      Don't replace me with automation or I'll go on strike!?

      It's that UPS can't implement this all at once. The union can still hurt them for awhile.

    8. Re: Where's the logic? by Enigma2175 · · Score: 1

      there are plenty of technologies that can load and unload a truck without a person being involved.

      Like what?

      Here are some of the thousands of automated forklifts that are already on the market. They can only get more capable and prevalent.

      --

      Enigma

    9. Re: Where's the logic? by DogDude · · Score: 1

      We still have a very, very long way to go before a robot can park a truck, pick out oddly shaped packages out of the truck, get them out of the truck, knock on a door, go down some stairs, scan the packages, pick up new packages, etc. These current robots are are good in highly controlled, controlled, high volume commercial facilities. All of the little stuff that humans do are quite complicated, and we've got decades before we've got automated delivery anything, in my opinion.

      --
      I don't respond to AC's.
    10. Re:Where's the logic? by hawk · · Score: 1

      >Don't replace me with automation or I'll go on strike!?

      It wouldn't be the first time.

      Las Vegas used to employ armies of musicians.

      They went on strike in the early 90s, the issue being that the casinos wanted to use taped music in smaller venues, but were willing to commit to all live music in the larger shows.

      The union drew a hard line on that, and went on strike.

      Having no choice, the casinos used taped music during the strike--and discovered that noone noticed or cared! (Realize that the "live" music was played on another floor and piped in . . .)

      I'm not sure the casinos bothered going back to the table after that; they certainly didn't make the same offer (live music for big shows).

      Today, there are very few musicians here, and they have their own union to thank.

      hawk

    11. Re: Where's the logic? by lister+king+of+smeg · · Score: 1

      I'm not sure if you've ever flown a full sized drone indoors.

      driver-less electric pallet-jack

      --
      ---Saying gnome 3 is better than windows 8 not so much a compliment as it is damning with light praise.
    12. Re: Where's the logic? by OrangeTide · · Score: 1

      Sounds great. assuming there are no stairs in my company's building. Certainly we'll work out all these kinks one day. But I can't but a general solution today. I probably can't get one in the next 3-5 years even.

      --
      “Common sense is not so common.” — Voltaire
    13. Re: Where's the logic? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Amazon's doing it.

      http://www.businessinsider.com/amazons-robot-army-has-grown-by-50-2017-1

  17. I demand... by nospam007 · · Score: 2

    No parking in second row, no throwing of packages over walls, no rough handling of delicate packages, no stealing of valuable items, no poisoning dogs, ...

    But seriously, in which millennium do they think they live?

    1. Re:I demand... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Teamsters are from the 19th century... formed from the politics of the 1880s, why act surprised. It's the buggy whip manufacturers I feel sorry for.

    2. Re:I demand... by ebvwfbw · · Score: 1

      It would be nice if UPS didn't think each package is just a football to be kicked. I don't think anyone is as rough as they are on packages.

  18. Five Years by Luthair · · Score: 1

    If we assume the previous contract length indicates the length of the next one, agreeing to not use drones or automated vehicles for delivery doesn't seem to make much difference the chance that either is allowed in the next 5-years is zero.

    1. Re:Five Years by Sarten-X · · Score: 2

      If it's in the contract now, it becomes much more difficult to take it out later. In this round, the argument can be framed as "the union is demanding new protection", but if it's in there for one cycle, the next round will be "the company wants to take away this existing protection".

      --
      You do not have a moral or legal right to do absolutely anything you want.
    2. Re:Five Years by mentil · · Score: 1

      You're missing the point. Mollifying them for 5 years means they'll keep working while drone/autonomous truck tech gets developed/regulated/legalized. 5 years is probably pretty close to exactly the time it'll take for all of the components to move into place. So after this 5 year contract is up, all of the Teamsters can be fired at once and replaced with robots. It won't matter what they want their next contract to say because there won't be one no matter WHAT it says.

      --
      Corruption is convincing someone that the selfless ideal is the same as their selfish ideal.
    3. Re:Five Years by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I would not bet on having a complete automated delivery fleet within the next five years.

  19. Good luck with that. by Qbertino · · Score: 2

    When it comes to fighting technical innovation the unions always lose. Economics always wins. And if it's by old companies going out of business and the new ones based on automation rising.

    --
    We suffer more in our imagination than in reality. - Seneca
    1. Re:Good luck with that. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah because it was technology, not Ronald Raegan's policies that jump started another precipitous decline in union membership

    2. Re:Good luck with that. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It doesn't have to be that way, though. Even with fully "driverless" trucks, I can still see a demand for remote operation of those same vehicles. There's bound to be a time when the truck's driving software will be confused and someone in a container in Indianapolis could be monitoring and take over remotely for something tricky. Those guys can still be union. And they can still sit on their fat asses all day long, but instead of one truck they can be monitoring a half-dozen or more.

      That's what I'd be fighting for, anyway, with the inevitable march of progress.

  20. Re:Unions, holding back progress by geekmux · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Itâ(TM)s time we fire up the first Soylent Green factory.

    Those angry men are more likely to put you in the meat grinder than the opposite.

    Those angry old men are rather ignorant and stuck in their ways, much like the societal reward system.

    Progress with no benefit to society as a whole is pointless.

    Oh, but there IS a point to all of this. Just ask the owners of companies embracing autonomous/AI solutions. Greed is once again getting rewarded by the "employee" who never complains about minimum wage, getting sick, or at risk of creating a sexual harassment issue (that last one adopted for 2018). Believe me, the rich will be rewarded.

    Science and technology is supposed to service us, not the other way around.

    Most humans are wasting 40 - 60 hours a week doing a job that automation/AI will soon come along and do. The "service" would be to create a utopia where humans can do whatever they want to do in life, not merely accept what they can do, and turn it into a shitty lifetime of servitude.

    Science and technology can deliver. The question is can a society hell-bent on greed adapt.

  21. We need more rail by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Of course we need more rail, and ideally better rail.

    We need more rail because it's better than the alternatives by far. It's more efficient than cars. It can be and usually is safer than cars. It can be faster than cars. It pollutes less. It also pollutes less than planes, and is much, much better travel experience because you don't have to deal with the ridiculous security theater, because it is roomier, because it is more reliable, and because when there is a problem it is fixed faster.

  22. It's called negotiation, people by fluffernutter · · Score: 2

    Just because the union puts this on the table, it doesn't mean they think they are going to get it. The more you have on the table to take off, the more you end up getting in return. It's negotiation 101.

    --
    Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
  23. More space for startups, less work for unions by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Go for it.
    More space for startups, less work for unions.

  24. Two problems that solve each other by Kohath · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Problem 1: We can't get the economy to grow at a sustainable 3% because we already have 4% unemployment. Without productivity growth or population growth, the economy is not capable of 3% growth long term. The labor is just not available.

    Problem 2: Automation at restaurants, grocery store checkouts, and with driverless cars and trucks will allow businesses to do the same work with fewer workers. This huge increase in productivity will put millions of cashiers and drivers out of work.

    Each problem is the solution to the other -- unless government steps in and prevents it from happening.

    1. Re:Two problems that solve each other by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nice idea with 'sustainable' growth. Problem is it would have to be eternal but the planet is limited - and already too small to sustain what we humans currently do on it.

      Captcha: usable

    2. Re:Two problems that solve each other by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      No, the government is likely to be needed to have each problem solve the other. If nobody has a stable job, and most people have a decent chance of having their job automated away in the next year, and are looking at serious problems if that happens, the private sector is going to exploit those people for all they're worth.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
  25. Re:Simpsons by geoskd · · Score: 1

    Ahh Teamsters... so lazy

    Not lazy... Stupid

    Over the years, the teamsters have had to fill their ranks from among those who could get and wanted the pre-requisite jobs (The inside minimum wage jobs that nobody wants). The result is that their rank and file are barely qualified to draw oxygen from the atmosphere. (Yes, I know there are exceptions, there always are, but on balance if they were smarter, they would go get jobs in better industries).

    For a long while, that was ok, because there was no other way to move goods around the world. There is a better way now, and the world no longer needs the people the teamsters are protecting. There simply aren't jobs left for people who can barely read and write, and who's only skill is driving. I warned these idiots 10 years ago that their jobs were going to be replaced with automated systems, and they just looked at me funny and insisted that *I* was the idiot. "Computers will never be able to drive trucks" they said. I moved on. They didn't.

    --
    I wish I had a good sig, but all the good ones are copyrighted
  26. Driver less trucks a pipe dream by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I am not so sure this will ever get off the ground. Frankly the trucking industry is so regulated and we have yet to really see complete driver less trucks or cars. You still have someone behind the wheel having to be the backup in case something goes wrong. Personally I think these companies are sold a line of goods about how self driving the trucks really are. Were a long way off from complete reliable self driving vehicles.

  27. Denial is not a strategy by argStyopa · · Score: 1

    Look, I don't think driverless anything is nearly as close as some people assert but to simply stomp an angry foot and deny what's coming isn't a strategy - it's a pathology. A terminal one, because when it does (almost inevitably) arrive, then you're entirely unprepared.

    --
    -Styopa
  28. Unions are parasites by alternative_right · · Score: 1

    "Here, let us raise the cost of your labor, and transfer the benefits not to you, but to the union, which is gonna skip town anyway when your employer decides to off-shore, outsource, automate, or use cheap illegal alien labor!"

  29. UPS will fall far behind FedEx and DHL then by modmans2ndcoming · · Score: 1

    As soon as those techs become reliable, FedEx and DHL will make use of them and will out compete UPS.

  30. Nope by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Screaming at clouds won't help. Time to rethink things for those fools.

    I am a huge advocate for unions, but the teamsters fucking suck. Same for the UAW.

  31. Falling for the hype by Lije+Baley · · Score: 1

    The unions can chill out. The only "incredible exponential growth in technology" in drones and autonomous vehicles was 5-10 years ago. They've been struggling against the wall of reality ever since.

    --
    Strange things are afoot at the Circle-K.
  32. like the newspaper Linotype operators by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I can recall the same issue affected newspaper Linotype operators who became unnecessary in the 1950's. The final settlement was I believe paying all the existing operators until retirement for doing nothing. The same idea might work for UPS drivers although I suspect the average age of UPS drivers is less than that of the Linotype operators. Perhaps this is just a portent of future labor unrest although unions have mostly been destroyed by Republicans with sad to say Democratic party acquiescence.

  33. The beginning of the end! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The first of many Teamsters battles that are coming in next decade. They may win a few but in the end they are going to lose and go the way of buggy whips.

  34. Negotiating Ploy by mileshigh · · Score: 2

    The union knows all too well that automation is inevitable. UPS' R&D of automated delivery shows that they realize they'll be roadkill if they don't get out in front ot the automation juggernaut, and the union sees that too.

    What they really want is a guarantee that no jobs will be lost and no pay cuts, e.g. drivers will be retrained as drone wranglers.

    The problem is that, say, an experienced driver makes $30-40/hour. As a driver, he's worth it because of high productivity and safety. However, as a drone wrangler he's starting from scratch and no more valuable than a newbie making $14/hour. Structurally high labor costs could put UPS at a huge disadvantage in the upcoming drone delivery price wars.

    1. Re:Negotiating Ploy by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      How many drone wranglers do they need, anyway? The drones will do most of the work. People will have to provide the delivery companies with positioning information in some cases, but that's not much of a technical hurdle. A "wrangler" will only step in when alerted to a problem with a delivery; in most cases, the delivery will be entirely autonomous.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  35. Death Pact by pubwvj · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Drones and Driverless Vehicles are going to be the death of the Teamster's Union.

    If UPS agrees to the Teamster's demands then UPS will be killed off along with the union as competitors undercut UPS by having lower costs of delivery.

    If UPS balks then the Teamster's threat is they'll kill UPS now by striking. That in turn will hasten UPS to adopt drones and driverless vehicles quickening the death of the Teamsters.

    Either way the Teamsters lose. They had their time and place. They are no longer needed and are now a parasite on the system. They are like the dinosaur lice that specialized to suck the blood of dinosaurs. When the dinosaurs died off so did those lice.

    The only question is can UPS find a path forward that lets them get from here and now to then and there where they will have to go: drones and driverless vehicles.

    I like my UPS driver. He's a great guy. But it is a job that is facing extinction. I wish him the best in finding a new and exciting job.

  36. Of course they do... by jcr · · Score: 1

    Robots don't get any paychecks to skim for hookers and blow for mobsters and politicians.

    -jcr

    --
    The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
  37. It literally makes my blood boil by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

    Or as maths tutors. They could teach journalists what exponential actually means.

    --
    Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    1. Re:It literally makes my blood boil by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But, they do know what literally actually means.

    2. Re:It literally makes my blood boil by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Will you be attending class the day they cover literally?

    3. Re:It literally makes my blood boil by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      No, there's a timetable clash. I'm giving a seminar on the number of o's in whoooosh.

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
  38. I'm not buying the Utopia angel by rsilvergun · · Score: 1, Informative

    The rich aren't going to share the proceeds from all this increased productivity. They'll pocket it for themselves. And they won't need consumers if robots make all the stuff they want. They'll need a few servants for appearances sake, a few engineers to keep things running and a few doctors to treat their illnesses. That's maybe 10% of the population. Then they'll pit the other 90% of the population against each other to see who gets to join that 10% servant class.

    People like to focus on the improved standard of living the industrial revolution brought us and forget about the 40-80 or so years of unemployment, chaos and social strife (the 'Gilded Age') that followed the last two industrial revolutions before other technologies caught up and employed the people who were put out of work.

    --
    Hi! I make Firefox Plug-ins. Check 'em out @ https://addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/youtube-mp3-podcaster/
    1. Re:I'm not buying the Utopia angel by Sri+Ramkrishna · · Score: 1

      Its true the rich won't want to share the wealth, but they do want to stay rich. Getting raw materials and what not still costs money, training smart people still costs money to keep improving technology. The rich are still sociopaths, so they will continue to want to vie with each other for supremacy. So while there won't be utopia, there will be indentured servitude of some sort. Someone still has to cook, look pretty, and what not. Pehrpas they'll have sex bots too.. In any case, I think in the end, we don't really want idle human beings, they get bored and cause trouble. But it might lead to a big reduction in population which might be a good thing.

    2. Re:I'm not buying the Utopia angel by lgw · · Score: 1

      Class warfare is very last-century.

      Think about this: the lower the capital cost for automation (the lower the cost of a single robot or assembly line), the lower the barrier of entry. Today, anyone can join the "owning class" by buying stock, and most Americans own stock. Tomorrow we may remove that layer of indirection, with most Americans owning the robots in-house.

      Not needing humans to toil in mindless repetitive jobs in order to make all the cool stuff we want is only a good thing. Luddites need to GTFO Slashdot and find an anti-technology website somewhere.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    3. Re:I'm not buying the Utopia angel by Seven+Spirals · · Score: 1

      Silvergun, my man, I think it might be even worse. Eventually, the rich will fear those thrown-out-of-work for what they are: a threat to their hegemony. I'd guess that a little crispr virus here or there with a $5000 vaccine would filter "their" world and make more lebensraum for the fat cats. I mean, why should all those poor people get to clog up the best surfing beaches? Why should homeless people get in their way on the ride to the downtown arts district? There are so many cheap and easy ways to kill people coming online (thinking drones, genetics, etc..), is someone going to tell me they aren't going to notice and prefer those to the unwashed masses bringing pitched battles in the street in front of their gated community after robots cleanly take over the lower-class jobs? History says people will try to kill you before they let their kids starve. I think the rich know this, too.

    4. Re:I'm not buying the Utopia angel by Merk42 · · Score: 1

      With a 90% unemployment rate and (presumably) no UBI, who will be buying the stuff being produced?
      There is no way it would be other rich people, at least to the level they'd want, since of course rich people do not spend money.

  39. Don't fear technology, fear the people... by MindPrison · · Score: 1

    ...Because when they don't get an income anymore, no matter how rich you are - they WILL be coming for you.

    --
    What this world is coming to - is for you and me to decide.
    1. Re: Don't fear technology, fear the people... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, they wonâ(TM)t.

      I, and my neighbors, are heavily armed. We have the right to protect ourselves and our families and we WILL exercise that right as necessary. And while Teamsters are likely to be obese and/or diabetic, they are not, as a rule, morons.

      The far more likely outcome is that they take their severence pay home to their rural towns and norm to the behaviors of their neighbors: specifically, theyâ(TM)ll become meth/heroin addicts.

  40. It's going to happen by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Either you will learn to adapt to the change or be left behind. It's that simple, the only way this could be disrupted is by patents and laws. And even if you were to try and disrupt or delay autonomous vehicles its pointless. The potential benefits are so far reaching and lucrative that companies are pouring billions in R&D into it.
    If I were the teamsters, I would be pushing for alternative training, early retirement beni's, etc. Change will happen slow because of laws and the scale of the operation so they have time to shuffle out the younger gen with training. Retire off late generation, and create a artificial shortage of drivers and pump the pay through the roof and try to make the turnover / retirement faster.

    I would embrace and prepare for the change while hurting the companies bottom line as much as possible. Right now drivers are critical to the company and need to press the for as much as they can get while they still have leverage. But once the technology to becomes available it will be too late and the companies wont need to come to the table.

  41. Robots can't do delivery by DogDude · · Score: 2

    There's no way that robots can do what human drivers do. Driving a simple vehicle around some simple roads is one thing. Unloading boxes from a truck, putting them on handtrucks and getting them into our business is a whole different thing.

    --
    I don't respond to AC's.
    1. Re:Robots can't do delivery by jfdavis668 · · Score: 1

      I thought drones were going to deliver them to my porch.

  42. Scourage of 40 hour work week by iamacat · · Score: 2

    Say most of routine human work can be automated. There will always be some demand for human labor - because we like to see each other's faces and because of one off tasks for which it's not worth building a robot. According to laws of supply and demand, a little bit of human labor will then buy a lot of robot labor. Works for $19.95 smartphones right? So you will work for two days per week and enjoy living in a home built by a home-building robot, eating produce harvested by a self driving combine harvester and so on. Just like in a primitive society people used to spend 3 days hunting a zebra and two weeks eating a zebra while painting cave walls and dancing around the fire. Except you get to live much nicer by having robots raise and butcher your zebras. Instead, we insist on confining ourselves to industrial monestories for much of our waking time. If anything, lots of software people can afford to work part time from remote and still get by in an affordable area of the country. Maybe that will set a trend? What the world needs now is an army of slackers.

    1. Re:Scourage of 40 hour work week by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Say most of routine human work can be automated. There will always be some demand for human labor - because we like to see each other's faces

      I don't want to see your face, I want to see my friends' faces.

      and because of one off tasks for which it's not worth building a robot.

      Name one. Robots are only going to get better and better at general tasks.

      If anything, lots of software people can afford to work part time from remote and still get by in an affordable area of the country.

      What will the other 99.99% of humanity do?

      We're going to have to get past the idea that people have to work even a couple days a week, or we're going to have to eat people. There's no third way.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    2. Re:Scourage of 40 hour work week by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Just like in a primitive society people used to spend 3 days hunting a zebra and two weeks eating a zebra while painting cave walls and dancing around the fire.

      Citation needed.

      I think you have a distorted idea of what daily life was like for primitive humans.

    3. Re:Scourage of 40 hour work week by iamacat · · Score: 1

      Why don't we get used to ideas that are relevant right now, and let people of 24th century do what is relevant then? Human labor is not anywhere close to obsolete, though very repetitive labor needed on large scale may be. When a bunch of machines are not working for some reason, we need a human to spend hours crawling and climbing around in a factory, figure out WHY things are not working and do a unique task of clearing our debris and replacing broken parts. We are nowhere close to even having a portable power supply that would enable a robot to accomplish these tasks. So while we need human labor, humans should be generally required to participate and incentivised to learn necessary skills. Admitedly, AMOUNT of labor does not have to be same as in early 20th century and we need more learning and less doing.

    4. Re:Scourage of 40 hour work week by iamacat · · Score: 1
    5. Re:Scourage of 40 hour work week by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Why don't we get used to ideas that are relevant right now, and let people of 24th century do what is relevant then?

      It's not going to take that long for most jobs to be automated away, and not planning for the future is a shit idea.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    6. Re:Scourage of 40 hour work week by iamacat · · Score: 1

      It was not going to take that long to have flying cars since before I was born. I am glad we did not hurry to demolish the roads.

  43. Fight the tide ... by CaptainDork · · Score: 1

    ... and lose.

    The largest expense in delivery is people.

    Workers have lost out to automation before and yet we're still here.

    This, too, shall pass.

    --
    It little behooves the best of us to comment on the rest of us.
  44. i support unions but... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Banning technologies for the sake of jerbs is not something i cam get behind.

  45. If the Teamsters were smarter... by MaryannG · · Score: 1

    ...they would allow and even embrace the drones and driverless trucks...as long as the maintenance and repair positions to manage these new delivery mediums were Teamster organized. The Teamsters have an opportunity to make inroads into the growing industry of automation maintenance and can move their union into the 21st century. They can be the union that plants the flag of organized labor firmly onto the portions of the tech industry that still need human hands to do work. But...we all know they won't be that proactive nor forward thinking.

    --
    Social Media Handywoman at Texas Boys Balloo
  46. Re:Drone nerds deserve to be killed by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I bet you tortured little animals as a child. Nothing but a perverted and dysfunctional mind could ever dredge up such bile.

  47. Went through this ... by CaptainDork · · Score: 1

    ... at the Texaco refinery in Port Arthur, Texas, ca. 1980.

    "We are all going to lose our jobs to computers!"

    The union had a major cow and the company really, really wanted to decrease the costly, annoying workforce.

    Didn't happen.

    The fucking automation was crappy in a harsh hydrocarbon-rich environment; only the manufacturers understood their product and knew nothing about cooking crude.

    We had triple the workforce for years -- new construction, trained operators, analysts from the vendors, engineers from Texaco and the instrument suppliers ...

    Automation speeds up the work that humans do, but automation is unintelligent.

    --
    It little behooves the best of us to comment on the rest of us.
    1. Re:Went through this ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ... at the Texaco refinery in Port Arthur, Texas, ca. 1980.

      "We are all going to lose our jobs to computers!"

      The union had a major cow and the company really, really wanted to decrease the costly, annoying workforce.

      Didn't happen.

      The fucking automation was crappy in a harsh hydrocarbon-rich environment; only the manufacturers understood their product and knew nothing about cooking crude.

      We had triple the workforce for years -- new construction, trained operators, analysts from the vendors, engineers from Texaco and the instrument suppliers ...

      Automation speeds up the work that humans do, but automation is unintelligent.

      I've worked in process control for the past several years, the technology is far, far more capable and reliable now and can handle environments much harsher than a typical refinery.

    2. Re:Went through this ... by CaptainDork · · Score: 1

      Did the workforce (include ALL support, manufacture, and operation) decrease?

      It did not at Texaco, even after being sold and renamed for multiple decades.

      --
      It little behooves the best of us to comment on the rest of us.
  48. Teamsters looking for longshoreman model by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    When multimodal containerized shipping threatened the longshoreman union jobs, they simply negotiated a contract where the shipping companies could use it, but all the labor cost savings needed to be redistributed to the remaining workers. Basically the shipping companies could save in everything, but labor costs. This is one of the reasons why a longshoreman can get a 6-figure income.

  49. Only 10 more years and its the end of LAWYERS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    It'll be so nice when AI takes over all contract and civil legal proceedures and 99% of the lawyers are unemployed homeless.

    Brave future coming chaps, hold tight!

  50. No Electric Saws Says Carpenters Union by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    They cut our members work hours by many hours, and would put a lot of them out of work. What's next? Electric drills?

  51. Individuals should own drones/robots, not companie by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I realize this will never happen, but the solution to income, employment, jobs going the way of automation, is for individuals to own the labor savings device, not the corporations. This allows individuals to continue providing the work force (and get paid) even though they aren't physically doing the work. The individual becomes freed to explore new things while their "robot" does the work.

    Bill Gates recently said that people shouldn't have standing behind a counter to serve people when it could be automated but we have to resolve how people continue to earn when they aren't the ones dong the work. Having individuals owning the work force solves that. Deciding where the line between a "normal" machine and a "human" job is the difficult part.

    Stores are already replacing people with "self-checkout" and each of us are providing the checkout labor for free - we don't get a discount for using them even though the business saved money by not employing more checkout people to handle their customer volume. ATMs used to (maybe they still do, I've quit using them) even charge the customer to allow the bank to not pay a teller.

    Obviously this won't happen naturally as it is the corporations taking advantage of the new tech to reduce their labor costs. It would require government intervention and big gov is also evil.

    --XYZZY--

  52. Amazon disintermediation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Like Trump did to the press via Twitter

    What Amazon will do to UPS... Create his own private shipping system

    1. Re:Amazon disintermediation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "What Amazon will do to UPS... Create his own private shipping system"

      They've already done this, and it's CRAP. I'm sure they'll get better at it, but right now, their delivery is really shitty. compare to what it was when UPS was doing it

  53. Hand Trucks? by drinkypoo · · Score: 2

    Unloading boxes from a truck, putting them on handtrucks and getting them into our business is a whole different thing.

    The robot won't use a hand truck, the robot will be the delivery cart. And the truck will also be a robot, and besides driving it will be able to handle stacking. That's two things it will do better than UPS. I've had a UPS guy go off the side of the hill here where I expressly told him not to turn around, and where any idiot would have seen was a bad place to go in wet conditions, when there was plenty of room to turn around where I told him to turn around. I turn a Sprinter around there all the time, I'm not sure why he couldn't manage it. To top it off, he didn't bother to let me know he went off the side of the hill, so the first I found out about it was that a fucking tow truck came up my driveway. I'm a car guy, and that's not something I want to be seeing unexpectedly. A self-driving truck will be able to read the grade and simply not drive onto surfaces like that. Of course, it probably wouldn't come up my driveway at all, but that's fine. I prefer it that way. In normal conditions, it won't have any trouble at all.

    As for the stacking issue, I have a friend who used to work for UPS. He told me they would inevitably wind up literally throwing packages on trucks. A robot won't do that shit. It doesn't go home, so it doesn't have some special time when it comes in or when it leaves. It can patiently stack boxes 24/7. And the trucks can run 24/7 too. They'll make deliveries during the day, and then they'll do the long hauls in platoons at night, eliminating the current UPS trucking fleet more or less entirely. The whole reason we use such large, cumbersome trucks in the first place is to permit one driver to haul so much freight. They are a liability in every other way. At first, we will do the same thing with autonomous vehicles, so this won't happen instantly — although the long-haul trucking jobs will still go away, since the big OTR trucks will be automated first. Local delivery trucks will be automated much later or at least much more slowly, because of the substantial cost per vehicle.

    --
    "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  54. Re: Unions, holding back progress by ArmoredDragon · · Score: 1

    And who decides what is a benefit to society and what isn't?

  55. Re: Unions, holding back progress by ArmoredDragon · · Score: 2

    Oh and something to add before you reply:

    Killing or forbidding an invention or industry because a government decides that it is bad for society is perhaps the most defining economic element of fascism.

  56. Re:Simpsons by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I warned these idiots 10 years ago that their jobs were going to be replaced with automated systems, and they just looked at me funny and insisted that *I* was the idiot. "Computers will never be able to drive trucks" they said. I moved on. They didn't.

    Frankly, you sound like a massively smug cunt, so I'm not surprised they "didn't listen".

  57. these new unions only protect themselves for fees by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    screw this unions... I am in one and this fools do nothing for the fee payers, only their own interests.

  58. UPS package car modified for drone delivery by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    UPS Testing of Residential Delivery Via Drone:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xx9_6OyjJrQ

  59. Have you ever looked at the quality of life by rsilvergun · · Score: 1

    of miners in most countries? Scary stuff even today. Same thing for indentured servants. It'll mean slavery, and slaves haven't been treated well at the best of times. Even the Romans only treated them OK when the population of slaves got too big to oppress, and the Romans didn't have automatic weapons and aerial drones. You don't need very many cooks or whores either. There's a limit to how much a billionaire can eat and screw.

    That old 'Idle hands are the Devil's plaything' is bullshit. Give most folks beer and football and they're set. Give the rest video games and you're good. Bread & Circuses and whatnot. The problem's going to be when the ruling class have enough firepower that they don't need to bother with the Bread & Circuses. The question is are we gonna let them. As far as I can tell all signs point to yes.

    --
    Hi! I make Firefox Plug-ins. Check 'em out @ https://addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/youtube-mp3-podcaster/
  60. Good by stikves · · Score: 1

    I have some FedEx stock. This is good news for me :)

    On a more serious note, they cannot sit idle while competition will use more automation and lower the delivery costs. Even if the big ones (UPS, FedEx, DHL) do not take up on this, the local ones will probably do so, and become large taking their thrones.

  61. Re:Unions, holding back progress by beelsebob · · Score: 1

    The benefit to society here is that we can support more people with less human work. All those people who used to drive UPS vans can now either go and do more important jobs, or can go and relax on a beach. The only difficulty is that we ALSO need to make progress on how to structure an economy where not everyone needs to work all the damn time in order to survive, and how we make sure that all the benefits of that society get spread out to the whole society, rather than constrained to a few extremely wealthy individuals.

  62. The Worst Thing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Yes, almost 100% of all workers will be replaced , not just truckers. Stalling and failing to prepare for a new world with new economics and new social systems is the worst thing we could dream of doing. Re-training is simply not an answer at all. People will become permanently unemployed and that means that unless we give them ample financial support they can not make any purchases thus destroying commerce. everything we think and believe must change to adapt to the advance of technology. Big coal is one obvious on the first to go down list. Liquid fuels will soon follow Mines will become so automated that they employ next to no one at all. Machine shops are getting more and more rare as better machines produce more with less human involvement. Adapt or perish.

  63. I've got a solution by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The Gangsters Union just needs to think outside of the box a little.
    They should just unionize the trucks themselves, charge the trucks a union due per mile driven and continue to rake in their ill-gotten gains.

  64. Liberals turning on unions?? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Say it aint so.

    You guys are funny.

  65. Re: Unions, holding back progress by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Pretty easy actually... If a union wants it, it is good for the union and bad for society. Unions are legalized extortion and nothing more.

  66. I think I see you're problem by rsilvergun · · Score: 2

    you're preoccupied with where the money comes _from_. The ruling class, OTOH, is preoccupied with where it goes _to_.

    You've figured out that if we automate all the jobs away the entire economy will grind to a halt. Good job. I mean it. That's the first step. But you still think the ruling class is just like the working class, e.g. that they depend on the economy for their livelihood. This is incorrect. The ruling class makes their living by _owning_ things. They don't need a functional economy to do well.

    The ruling class can own everything and rent it out to what remains of the working class. This is how things were done for centuries. They used a smattering of well fed knights to keep the peasants in line. One well fed knight was a match for a dozen or more peasants because the peasants were weak from being underfed. If that balance was tipped from time to time than a caste system would divide the working class and prevent them from over throwing the ruling class.

    It took two world wars for the working class to claw a decent living in about 1/3 of the world. We only got it because our numbers were decimated and there weren't enough workers, and because the wars made brothers of us all and weakened the caste systems. Thanks to nukes and globalization that's probably not going to happen again. We're heading for a new dark age (or gilded age, if you prefer). Of complete, total monopolization of wealth by .1% of the population. We can stop it, but not while we're busy calling each other leeches while the aristocracy claims everything for themselves.

    One last thing, I'm sure I haven't changed your mind. I'm mostly just venting. But to anyone reading this who sees through the systems used to contain and oppress the working class, any ideas how to convince this AC before it's too late?

    --
    Hi! I make Firefox Plug-ins. Check 'em out @ https://addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/youtube-mp3-podcaster/
    1. Re:I think I see you're problem by mesterha · · Score: 1

      One last thing, I'm sure I haven't changed your mind. I'm mostly just venting. But to anyone reading this who sees through the systems used to contain and oppress the working class, any ideas how to convince this AC before it's too late?

      To me it seems hopeless. The AC got 6 up votes, but most of what he says doesn't make sense. It's an important skill to convince people one knows what one is talking about, unfortunately this skill seems independent of actually knowing what one is talking about.

      If you automate all the jobs away, then where, precisely, is the money supposed to come from, that your potential clients would use, to buy your stuff in the first place? In other words: How would you make money in the first place?

      The people, who own the machines would be fine. They would just trade what their machines produced. If the machines are complex enough they wouldn't even trade, they could just get the machines to make what they want. It would become the ultimate information economy since you would still need ideas for new things to make. This is what would have value. So I guess one could still get by being a worker, but I don't see a lot of jobs. As usual, it's best to have capital in a capitalist economy.

      Everybody would be fine with full automation, if the wealth that that causes would go to those, who actually worked to generate it.

      I don't understand this. The whole point is that it will be very hard for everyone to contribute. The people who could not contribute in that society would need to form their own economic society, but it's not clear how they would "pay" for things like resources and land to run it. It's a bit like the movie Elysium.

      Back to your point, I think some simple mathematical models can show how wealth concentration is inevitable even in a presumably fair society. Freedom has it's price.

      --

      Chris Mesterharm
    2. Re:I think I see you're problem by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      The ruling class depends on the economy for their livelihood. Specifically, they depend on having a functioning economy. Without large numbers of people laboring for them, they aren't rich. Those nice cars? Produced by workers. That nice food? Prepared by workers. That mansion? It won't clean itself. It's also no fun trying to sexually harass a robot vacuum cleaner.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
  67. Unions, the antithesis of efficiency by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I dont think anyone disagrees that unions were a necessary part of history, but the self-serving idiolog of the past needs to modernize its thinking and be a part of progress bot opposed. After all who are the unions organizing against, in this case, but the stated desire of the market to shop from home at lower prices.
    Then there's the government unions.... that's a whole 'nother can of worms.

  68. Nothing stops falling debris by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The FAA will have a difficult time reconciling the risk level of that many drones flying around populated areas. There is no possible way to keep them from falling and killing people. There will too many of them which will significantly increase the risk envelope beyond the one you fly in your back yard that everyone things of.

    And, what about the sound and visual pollution these things will create?

    Why do these things always get swept under the rug when it comes to greed?

  69. Um... no. by rsilvergun · · Score: 1

    These companies already have complex logistics software. Removing the drive will neither increase or decrease the demand for it. It already exists and is in use. You're not going to need more computing power for it either. It's basically a solved problem. The limits are the drivers, not the software that pushes them around.

    Speaking of the hospitality industry, I swear everytime I think about the upcoming driverless vehicle revolution I'm reminded of a new group of folks who are going to lose their jobs: Truck stop employees. After all, no drivers, no truck stops. It'll hit rural communities hard. A lot of them get by on that traffic....

    --
    Hi! I make Firefox Plug-ins. Check 'em out @ https://addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/youtube-mp3-podcaster/
  70. That would require taxes by rsilvergun · · Score: 1

    and nobody wants to pay for it. We're much more likely to keep using the (already bought & paid for) roads from the 60s and 70s. Nice idea though. Wish there was political will for it.

    --
    Hi! I make Firefox Plug-ins. Check 'em out @ https://addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/youtube-mp3-podcaster/
  71. putting themselves out of a job by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If the union sinks the company, they will still be out of a job.
    If the union substantially hits the revenue of the company, not destroying it, but greatly harming it, they will still be out of a job.

    This is not the 1930's where human-intensive the only option.

    The union isn't bringing much to the table.

    In 5 years, there might be nothing the union can bring to the table, especially if their damage is permanent.
    It is an existential moment.

    Look for the folks that UPS calls "wolves at the door" and if one of them gets good value from automation, it should signal beginning of the end for both the union, and for UPS.

  72. Get ready for the Hate by MrKaos · · Score: 1

    Ever met a pissed of truck driver with a tire iron? Now consider one with a lot of time on their hands.

    In this world of ever increasing automation has anyone here guessed who all of the frustration will eventually be taken out on?

    --
    My ism, it's full of beliefs.
  73. hahahaha by p51d007 · · Score: 1

    So, the teamsters are upset with being replaced. TOO BAD! Let's see...do we still manage buggy whips? Telegraph operators, and on and on? Nope...unfortunately, progress means that certain jobs may disappear. Now, if you want to live like the 12th century people of some parts of the middle east, just drop an EMP over the planet and we can all have jobs again. Hey teamsters....SUCK IT.

  74. Buying a few stocks doesn't make you a member by rsilvergun · · Score: 3

    of the owner class. Being able to live comfortably without risk off the things you own does. You can't just buy a robot, you have to know how to use it or hire people who do. That means either a) you're a skilled engineer, bully for you or b) you own enough robots that skilled engineers will work for you despite the fact that you yourself have no skills (and no, owning things doesn't count).

    Said it before, say it again, when it comes to class warfare the best kind of war is one where the other side doesn't know they're fighting.

    Not needing humans to toil is only a good thing if we have some mechanism to distribute the productivity increases besides "Do what thou wilt shall be the whole of the law". Otherwise what we're gonna see if the rich turn their wealth into power and do terrible things to keep it. This isn't idle speculation. I've got 3000+ years of human history backing me up. You've got about 70 years post WWII of a few countries not being complete dicks to their working class and even then first chance they owner class got they shipped the jobs overseas where they could go back to being awful. History is on my side here; though that's cold comfort.

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    1. Re:Buying a few stocks doesn't make you a member by lgw · · Score: 1

      Being able to live comfortably without risk off the things you own does.

      Everyone who is retired has some way to live without working. For most Americans it's a mix of personal wealth and government aid, and as company pensions and expectation for SS fade, saving enough to retire on has become the majority expectation.

      It's worth noting that today we're far from a significant percentage of Americans being able to live off of ownership of companies - public corporations just don't earn that much (less than 10% of total US salary). But of course increasing automation will change that ratio.

      You misunderstand the history here: think in terms of "distribution of goods and services", not "distribution of abstract money". The very rich don't eat more than the average American, for example, but pre-100-years-ago that was different, as there wasn't enough food to go around. The farther back you go, the bigger the difference in the nutrition available by social class. Human nature didn't change; instead, food became plentiful. Same for everything else as automation accelerates.

      The means of production should be owned by those who are good at making decisions about it. As automation becomes plentiful, that might just be the consumer.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
  75. Teamsters use caution by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Do this at your own peril. Yes, you my block their usage for this contract cycle, but one of these days the company will just make a complete switch over at the end of your contract and you will lose your jobs forever. You cant cry scab when the entire labor force gets replaced. Better to take your lumps now and let it phase in over time.

  76. A promise they canâ(TM)t keep by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If UPS doesnâ(TM)t deploy driverless and drones, someone else will. Amazon will do it themselves before long and the USPS, FedEx, DHL, and UPS will lose that.

    Pitney Bowes will partner with someone to do the same for eBay if eBay doesnâ(TM)t just do it themselves.

    Walmart will buy into it to.

    If UPS and their peers donâ(TM)t automate, youâ(TM)ll find every retailer simply outsourcing it or building their own same-day delivery drones and trucks.

    So... good luck with that. Garbage trucks, taxis, busses, tow trucks, cargo (milk, paper, etc)... Pretty much all driving jobs are short-listed for end of life. Eventually, weâ(TM)ll see big rigs with containers that can be shifted between vehicles while in motion. There will be trucks that can ride on rails and roads and integrate with the railway management systems.

    Donâ(TM)t worry, weâ(TM)ll automate most factory jobs as well. Weâ(TM)ll also automate trash sorting and recycling. Weâ(TM)ll automate stocking shelves in stores. Weâ(TM)ll automate cashiers. Fast food will go too.

    Lawyers, general practitioners, local surgeons, network engineers, construction workers, thereâ(TM)s no end to it. The good news for Americans is that the US is proud to maintain an enormous military, police force, prison system and TSA. The government will create jobs for all of you. And if they can increase the crime rate through things like illegal breathing in public, they can remove a considerable percentage of the work force.

  77. Wasted effort by xenobyte · · Score: 1

    They can't stop progress. Driverless trucks are coming and so are drone deliveries, just like trucks replaced horses and so on.

    They should rather be figuring out what to do when their jobs gets obsoleted.

    --
    "For every complex problem, there is a solution that is simple, neat, and wrong." -- H.L. Mencken (1880-1956) --
  78. The Biggest Question is by rally2xs · · Score: 1

    If we get driverless trucks, will they still change lanes without looking?

  79. go $%^^ yourself, unions by mapkinase · · Score: 1

    go $%^^ yourself, unions

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  80. It's about dues, not people... by Doctrinsograce · · Score: 1

    I remember many years ago that some unions in Japan required that companies pay union dues for every "robot" installed. Consequently, I've been expecting unions to start complaining.

  81. Funny How the Street Didn't Notice by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You'd think investors would have picked up on this and started selling.

    https://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AUPS&ei=NlhvWriiJpbUjAGyz6f4DA

  82. Only 15% of Americans by rsilvergun · · Score: 1

    are on track to retire. So you're not making a good case. My dad contributed to his 401k for years and year. His 'retirement' was 2008. You can imagine how well that went.

    The problem isn't how much the rich consumes, it's how little. They can't drive an economy by themselves. But they want the power to get anything they want whenever they want it and for nothing in return (unless you count being born rich something). The way to do this is to exploit scarcity. You do as they say because they control food, water, shelter, medicine. They dole out the best to their thugs and you do as they say because either your one of those thugs or you're afraid of those thugs.

    Above all they don't want people by and large to have enough to live comfortably because if that ever happens then they lose most of their power. You don't listen to Bill Gates or the Koch Bros. because they're smart. You do it because they're rich, you're hoping to get some of that wealth, and besides if you were ever a threat to them they'd crush you like a gnat.

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    1. Re:Only 15% of Americans by lgw · · Score: 1

      The problem isn't how much the rich consumes, it's how little. They can't drive an economy by themselves. But they want the power to get anything they want whenever they want it and for nothing in return (unless you count being born rich something).

      Well, my point was that, in terms of goods and services, the rich don't matter much in terms of overall consumption. Sure, the richest 0.01% may have 3x or even 10x as many cars or houses as most people, but that's trivial in the scheme of things. I think you're agreeing with that part?

      So, let's imagine the rich take their robots and go off to an island (or gulch) somewhere. Do you think that destroys the economy? Or do you think everyone else still forms an economy? I forsee the latter. Everyone still needs to eat, so someone will be growing that food. Everyone still needs clothes, so someone will be making those. Ultimately, that's what an economy is: everyone working to produce what everyone consumes. And we always manage to consume enough to keep everyone producing - I don't see that part changing.

      Above all they don't want people by and large to have enough to live comfortably because if that ever happens then they lose most of their power.

      That's just Marxist BS. Buffet and Gates and Bezos were never driven by power, nor do they have all that much of it. People with a lust for power tend to go into government, where we pretend they have power. People with vast inherited wealth (which is a tiny amount in the US compared to Europe) mostly want to protect their position - they exercise power to protect their wealth, they don't deplete their wealth to protect their power.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
  83. Not if workers are organized and have backbone by Uberbah · · Score: 1

    In the U.S. workers have to go on strike just to have their benefits not be cut by corporations enjoying historic profit levels. Whereas in Germany, a union responded to automation not by agreeing to job cuts but by demanding a 28 hour work week with no loss in compensation.

    Which is how it should be.

  84. Carbon Footprint? Drones? by MercTech · · Score: 1

    I have to call bull on that one pending some sort of proof. Electric creates a larger carbon footprint than internal combustion and in what mythical universe does a drone internal combustion vehicle have a lower carbon footprint that one with a thinking driver? Or, is someone inflating the minuscule savings of a vehicle that doesn't have a driver taking lunch and washroom breaks?

    --
    NRRPT/RCT
  85. The effect of drones by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The massive use of drones for delivery, monitoring, law enforcement, etc will create a cacophony of unending noise in our skies. No longer will anyone be able to enjoy a quiet walk in the park, or anywhere else. People are using drones everywhere, now that it is fashionable and acceptable to do so, regardless of concerns for privacy or quiet.

    The sound of drones in incredibly loud and annoying. Once they are flying about everywhere at all hours people will have to bunker in place to avoid the constant buzzing. How will this effect humanity and nature?