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25 Years of Satellite Data Shows Global Warming Is Accelerating Sea Level Rise (usnews.com)

An anonymous reader quotes a report from The Associated Press: Melting ice sheets in Greenland and Antarctica are speeding up the already fast pace of sea level rise, new satellite research shows. At the current rate, the world's oceans on average will be at least 2 feet (61 centimeters) higher by the end of the century compared to today, according to researchers who published in Monday's Proceedings of the National Academies of Sciences. Sea level rise is caused by warming of the ocean and melting from glaciers and ice sheets. The research, based on 25 years of satellite data, shows that pace has quickened, mainly from the melting of massive ice sheets. It confirms scientists' computer simulations and is in line with predictions from the United Nations, which releases regular climate change reports. Of the 3 inches (7.5 centimeters) of sea level rise in the past quarter century, about 55 percent is from warmer water expanding, and the rest is from melting ice. But the process is accelerating, and more than three-quarters of that acceleration since 1993 is due to melting ice sheets in Greenland and Antarctica, the study shows.

167 of 343 comments (clear)

  1. It's the Knights Templar! by KeensMustard · · Score: 2, Funny

    Clearly, this is yet more evidence that the whole thing is just a massive Chinese time travelling zombie conspiracy! They've teamed with the Knights Templar and the Masons to litter the sea floor with cheap, Chinese hair dryers, which are blowing on the ice and melting it! And the fairies, loyal to the Maoist regime, are taking our good western made CO2 from the atmosphere and replacing it with cheap Chinese made CO2! Wake up sheeple!

    1. Re: It's the Knights Templar! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      Only one of those papers says what you imply. The others either explicitly agree with the posted article or are consistent with it (though the first link is unreadable in my browser so I canâ(TM)t really speak to that).

    2. Re:It's the Knights Templar! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      The first paper looks like describe global sea level change, which rises, which means, that land sinks. It is just about finding that level, which can be used as base for global sea level.

      Second paper describes situation 3500 year ago in Hawaii. I suppose it has nothing to do with sea level changes, but with local tectonics. I used to live in area, that is slowly sinking(3500 years ago or maybe a bit more it might have been under water), while some neighbouring parts are rising(but not fast enough as sea level rise), because water in bay is bending lower parts down, while rising higher parts around bay, but sea level changes were still making erosions to the peninsula that was rising.

      Third paper does say nothing against sea level rise. It only argues about data that is manipulated to make it look like sea level rises faster, accordingly earlier models that predicted faster sea level rise.

      Fourth paper is basically about the same as third.

      In some places sea level rises more rapidly and that is rising on global scale not because of global warming, but because locals have cut away mangrove forests or did something stupid, that eroded shores and washed earth away.

      Sea level rise globally. There is no question about it. Unfortunately it will hit more Netherlands which will go under water and Europe and Netherlands will have to think about relocating their citizens, but not Africa or Asia, which are producing economical migrants, that has nothing to do with global warming or sea level change, and they don't need any more $$$ injections. That's what is all about.

      Global warming also exists - and I for one agree that it is good thing for agriculture, as global warming means more CO2, that makes things green and moist.

    3. Re:It's the Knights Templar! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      That first paper you linked isn't about what you think it's about - it's about HOW things have been measured, (how the overall values are reconstructed from individual readings) not WHAT the measurements are, and how their new method agrees with the overall trend - which it possibly OVERSTATES - i.e. it's WORSE not better!

      The second paper is too local to have any real global ramifications, which it itself admits, talking only about local relative sea levels.

      The third doesn't mean much in isolation. More evidence required - and feeds into the first paper you linked.

      The fourth is ten years old and cannot therefore factor in the latest data and evidence.

    4. Re:It's the Knights Templar! by ananamouse · · Score: 1

      Go look at something like this https://www.texasbeyondhistory.net/mcfaddin/index.html#sealevel and pay attention to https://www.texasbeyondhistory.net/mcfaddin/images/SeaLevel1.html and you can see real sea level rise. There were people living there when the sea level rose meters at a time.
      In the last 100 or so years we have burnt half of the planets liquids, god only knows how much coal, and run atmospheric CO2 from .280% to over 0.4%. I actually looked at TFA and three measely inches is all there is? (heard that from my wife on our honeymoon)
      Industrial age humans really suck at climate change. Un-deniable.

    5. Re: It's the Knights Templar! by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      No, they don't.

      Try actually reading what they say, not just the abstract and/or conclusion.

    6. Re:It's the Knights Templar! by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      You folks aren't very good at reading papers.

      Try looking at more than just the abstracts and the conclusions.

      Then toss in some simple logical deduction.

      It works, bitches.

  2. Hypocrites by Locke2005 · · Score: 2, Informative

    Donald Trump claims global warming is a myth... and yet he's building sea walls for his golf resort in Ireland to protect it against the sea level rising!

    --
    I've abandoned my search for truth; now I'm just looking for some useful delusions.
  3. Oh good by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    What shocking news. 82 years from now things will be 0.05% worse than we previously doomsaid. I'd be way more scared if Slashdot hadn't run an article only last week about how Tuvalu, the first island "victim" of climate change, is actually RISING. So that's another prediction down the drain. And considering you can't get it right with predictions on a 10 year scale. pardon me if I don't clench my ass over your pie in the sky random-yet-always-apocalyptic vagaries for a century from now.

    1. Re:Oh good by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      What shocking news. 82 years from now things will be 0.05% worse than we previously doomsaid. I'd be way more scared if Slashdot hadn't run an article only last week about how Tuvalu, the first island "victim" of climate change, is actually RISING. So that's another prediction down the drain. And considering you can't get it right with predictions on a 10 year scale. pardon me if I don't clench my ass over your pie in the sky random-yet-always-apocalyptic vagaries for a century from now.

      Tuvalu is not rising, and the article did not say that it is rising.
      Tuvalu is not the name of an island. It is a country that contains a group of islands and atolls. The group as a whole is increasing in land area due to changes in local currents and wave action pushing sand onto the existing beaches onto some of the islands. Some of the islands in Tuvalu are getting smaller due to the waves and currents washing sand away from them. One has completely disappeared.

      Seasonal effects such as storms, trade winds pushing up water, El Nino induced rise and fall have a much greater range than the present sea level rise.
      Tuvalu's biggest problem isn't so much gradual rise submerging the islands as is warming-induced bigger storms and waves washing over the islands making them uninhabitable. Several of the islands have had had all their vegetation stripped off and become sandbars.

      But ultimately a country that has an average elevation of 4 feet and a max of 16 feet at its highest sand dune is going to be eventually submerged due to warming induced sea-level rise if the rate of deposition cannot keep up with the rate of sea level rising.

  4. Re: Yawn, This again by sg_oneill · · Score: 1, Offtopic

    Well Iâ(TM)m sure glad random anonymous coward is here to point out how all the scientists are wrong. Thank god for the internet!

    --
    Excuse the Unicode crap in my posts. That's an apostrophe, and slashdot is busted.
  5. Just more Fake News by cosmicl · · Score: 2

    Satellites? Show me the guy with a beard, surrounded by pairs of animals, and building a big wood boat. Hell, it's not even raining yet.

    1. Re:Just more Fake News by Aighearach · · Score: 1

      The Raft is coming, are you going to be prepared, or shocked?! Sea levels rise, poor people have to learn to float. Simple.

      Read your Neal Stephenson! The Raft is coming!

    2. Re:Just more Fake News by Geoffrey.landis · · Score: 1

      The Raft is coming, are you going to be prepared, or shocked?! Sea levels rise, poor people have to learn to float. Simple. Read your Neal Stephenson! The Raft is coming!

      No worries. I'm sure they will listen to Reason.

      --
      http://www.geoffreylandis.com
  6. Meh. by msauve · · Score: 4, Funny

    I don't (can't afford to) live that close to an ocean, you insensitive clod.

    (But I'm thinking that an investment in property on Lake Superior or Hudson Bay may pay off as the next French Riviera. Kashechewan=Monaco?)

    --
    "National Security is the chief cause of national insecurity." - Celine's First Law
    1. Re:Meh. by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Climate change will be the great equalizer where the rich get drowned and you'll have your new sea side resort in Kansas.

      Learn to swim! See you down in Arizona bay!

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  7. yes, but few care by WindBourne · · Score: 4, Informative

    Seriously. The only way to stop the CO2 is to have ALL NATIONS STOP ADDING COAL and back off rather quickly. This is ESP TRUE for China. Yet, there will be many here (including a chinese troll that follows me) that will actually DEFEND China's adding 750+ GW of new coal plants over the next 11 years. And that is just CHINA. That does not include the large number of extra coal going in, nor does it include the massive number of ICE vehicles being sold.
    If ppl want to stop this, then ALL NATIONS MUST STOP. Not just 1 or 2.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    1. Re:yes, but few care by Hal_Porter · · Score: 3, Informative

      Getting a net CO2 cut would basically require that China stop industrialising. If the Chinese government tried that, they'd be overthrown in a bloody revolution

      https://photos.mongabay.com/09...

      tl;dr - global CO2 emissions will continue to rise until China has a way to generate energy which is cheaper than coal and doesn't emit CO2.

      Until then it doesn't matter what the US, UK and EU do. All of those having falling CO2 emissions, but there's no way they can fall fast enough to compensate for the enormous CO2 increases from China.

      --
      echo -e 'global _start\n _start:\n mov eax, 2\n int 80h\n jmp _start' > a.asm; nasm a.asm -f elf; ld a.o -o a;
    2. Re:yes, but few care by WindBourne · · Score: 3, Interesting

      No longer adding NEW COAL plants will not lead to any issues. In fact, it would likely increase the lifespan of more citizens.
      As to cutting coal, far better to simply replace those with AE and Nukes.
      And I fully agree with your last bit there.
      Right now, the ENTIRE WEST puts out less CO2 than what China is adding JUST IN COAL PLANTS over the next 10 years.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    3. Re:yes, but few care by rrohbeck · · Score: 1

      Look up some of Kevin Anderson's presentations. To keep below the carbon budget for 2C the industrialized world would have to decarbonize steeply. Not gonna happen. And that's without considering global dimming which is good for about 1C. IOW, 3C are in the pipeline even with an extreme effort.

    4. Re:yes, but few care by ClickOnThis · · Score: 1

      Look up some of Kevin Anderson's presentations. To keep below the carbon budget for 2C the industrialized world would have to decarbonize steeply. Not gonna happen. And that's without considering global dimming which is good for about 1C. IOW, 3C are in the pipeline even with an extreme effort.

      So you're saying we're fucked, and we don't have the existential will to un-fuck ourselves?

      We deserve to go extinct.

      --
      If it weren't for deadlines, nothing would be late.
    5. Re: yes, but few care by Hal_Porter · · Score: 1

      I think China trying to deploy fission plants at the speed they're currently deploying coal is going to lead to Chernobyl type accidents.

      --
      echo -e 'global _start\n _start:\n mov eax, 2\n int 80h\n jmp _start' > a.asm; nasm a.asm -f elf; ld a.o -o a;
    6. Re:yes, but few care by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      look, there is little chance that going up 3C will lead to Human extinction.
      It WILL lead to a lot of war esp. between nations. I fully expect China to steal Pakistan, India, and South East Asia's water. When that happens, Shit will hit the fans.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    7. Re:yes, but few care by Khyber · · Score: 1

      "tl;dr - global CO2 emissions will continue to rise until China has a way to generate energy which is cheaper than coal and doesn't emit CO2."

      Oh, fucking please. They could've utterly stopped using coal with the pure amount of solar panels they produced and sold in the past ten years with their fucking rigging of the REE market.

      --
      Still waiting on Serviscope_minor to wake up to fucking reality and realize that Jessica Price isn't going to fuck him.
    8. Re:yes, but few care by DamnOregonian · · Score: 1

      Generally, I agree with you.
      But I'm not sure anyone knows right where the line of warming is that enough factors add up to the collapse of our civilization. At that point, extinction is a lot more likely.
      It's not hard to imagine the right large bread basket becoming barren, leading to the right set of total wars, pulling in the right set of allied nations for us to tear it all down. And while I'm quite certain whatever is left over will do just fine with its own devices to rebuild... There's simply a smaller chance of survival for smaller groups.

    9. Re:yes, but few care by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      No longer adding NEW COAL plants will not lead to any issues. In fact, it would likely increase the lifespan of more citizens.

      Utter horseshit. Their population is not decreasing.

      Just over the last year, when they made a promise to reduce coal use to reduce CO2, they had to back off on their promise because people were freezing to death.

      Read the newspapers.

    10. Re:yes, but few care by Uberbah · · Score: 2

      Getting a net CO2 cut would basically require that China stop industrialising. If the Chinese government tried that, they'd be overthrown in a bloody revolution

      Ah, yes. Pretending that China with 4-5 times the population of the United States is the problem, and then ignoring that much of China's pollution comes from producing crap for American consumers.

    11. Re:yes, but few care by nagora · · Score: 1

      If the fascist Chinese government hasn't been overthrown in a bloody revolution by now, I don't think the issue is industrialisation. It's not like the peasants in 1980 were standing around and agreeing not to hurl themselves at the tanks because they'd heard that there might be a new textile sweatshop opening soon.

      --
      "Encyclopedia" is to "Wikipedia" what "Library" is to "Some people at a bus stop"
    12. Re:yes, but few care by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      In a nutshell, when the question is economy or ecology, I guess we have to buy a new planet.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    13. Re:yes, but few care by thegarbz · · Score: 2

      That's an interesting graph. Curious that it doesn't show the sudden drop in emissions from China in 2010 that happened due to a mix of economic crisis, lower steel demand and loss of appetite for dirty coal projects. Nor does your graph show that Chinese emissions are growing at almost 1/5th of the rate that they were 10 years ago. Nor do they show that emissions per GDP are plummeting (a sign that dirty industrialization of a 3rd world nation has already peaked).

      Until then it doesn't matter what the US, UK and EU do.

      Yes because somewhere someone else is producing 1/5th of the emissions per capita of the people in the USA it is all *their* fault and we can't do anything.
      "America First! ... in emissions per capita".

    14. Re:yes, but few care by thegarbz · · Score: 2

      Right now, the ENTIRE WEST puts out less CO2 than what China is adding JUST IN COAL PLANTS over the next 10 years.

      Major fucking citation required. The EU+USA emissions alone are higher than that of China. The worst case prediction for China peaking in 2035 shows that the emissions at that time will be only marginally higher than those of the EU+USA and then will fall at a far higher rate than the west will ever achieve as their old coal plants come online.

      The rising emissions in China over the next 30 years are predicted to be small compared to the rise between 1995-2010 and China's coal demand is plummeting, something that if you don't believe the emissions charts, then believe the many export miners who's share prices are struggling due to poor demand.

      Cite> Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures, World Bank, and the stock market.

    15. Re:yes, but few care by Hal_Porter · · Score: 1

      That's not true. This report from 2010 - the most recent I can find - shows massive amounts of Chinese coal plants being built.

      https://www.netl.doe.gov/File%... page 16
      https://imgur.com/a/NDlL3

      --
      echo -e 'global _start\n _start:\n mov eax, 2\n int 80h\n jmp _start' > a.asm; nasm a.asm -f elf; ld a.o -o a;
    16. Re:yes, but few care by r0kk3rz · · Score: 1

      Unfortunately the planet doesn't care for per-capita emissions, only global total emissions.

      Per-capita Australia is one of the worst emitters around, but because we only have 26 million people we are only a drop in the bucket of total global emissions

    17. Re:yes, but few care by Hal_Porter · · Score: 1

      They could've utterly stopped using coal with the pure amount of solar panels they produced and sold in the past ten years with their fucking rigging of the REE market.

      China added 3000 TWh of generation capacity from 2000 to 2014

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

      Meanwhile if you look here at global energy consumption by source renewables are very small percentage. The reason for that is because all the increase is in places like China and India, and people there can only afford fossil fuels.

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

      --
      echo -e 'global _start\n _start:\n mov eax, 2\n int 80h\n jmp _start' > a.asm; nasm a.asm -f elf; ld a.o -o a;
    18. Re:yes, but few care by AmiMoJo · · Score: 2

      China hit peak coal a few years ago and has been in decline ever since.

      http://ieefa.org/ieefa-update-... (article from a year ago, so 4 years past now)

      The new plants are just replacing old ones with cleaner technology and better load following capability to back up wind.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    19. Re:yes, but few care by swillden · · Score: 1

      The only way to stop the CO2 is to have ALL NATIONS STOP ADDING COAL and back off rather quickly.

      That's far from enough.

      Note that the assumptions underlying the Paris accord include the notion that we (soon) not only dramatically reduce the CO2 we put into the atmosphere, but that we actually start removing and sequestering large quantities. We have no real idea how to do that, and while we've begun scaling back emissions (well, slowed the rate of increase) we haven't even started seriously extracting CO2.

      We need to look at the problem holistically, as a geoengineering problem, not just as an emissions problem. Of course, cutting emissions is almost certainly cheaper than recapturing CO2, or reducing insolation, but we need to be looking at all parts, because no single approach is going to be sufficient.

      --
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    20. Re:yes, but few care by BlueStrat · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Yes because somewhere someone else is producing 1/5th of the emissions per capita of the people in the USA it is all *their* fault and we can't do anything.
      "America First! ... in emissions per capita".

      Per capita is meaningless in relation to *TOTAL GLOBAL* levels. But you likely already know that and are simply hoping you can blow it by others because 'muh Party!'.

      Australia has a very high CO2 per capita average, but a small total population so the total amount of CO2 Australia contributes is small. China and India have a low per-capita average but enormous populations, so they contribute a large percentage of the total CO2 released. Sort of a CO2 emission "economy of scale'.

      China, India, and other developing nations are producing more total CO2. The US cannot make up for their increases even if the US reduced CO2 emissions to zero. If the US stops trading heavily for consumer goods with china then their economy goes in the crapper, their budget for infrastructure will shrink, and new power plants will be coal and CO2 emissions will then begin to increase even more rapidly.

      Strat

      --
      Progressivism (aka US 'Liberalism'): Ideas so good they need a police/surveillance-state to enforce.
    21. Re:yes, but few care by JoshuaZ · · Score: 1

      This is wrong. In fact, China's CO2 production has gone down https://insideclimatenews.org/news/28022017/chinas-co2-reduction-clean-energy-trump-us, and this is in part because they've managed to do exactly what you think would trigger a revolution, namely by reducing their coal burning amount http://www.wri.org/blog/2017/01/china%E2%80%99s-decline-coal-consumption-drives-global-slowdown-emissions.

    22. Re:yes, but few care by swillden · · Score: 1

      Until then it doesn't matter what the US, UK and EU do. All of those having falling CO2 emissions

      Cite? The best information I can find shows the US emissions as flat over the last few years (emissions from power generation have fallen a bit, but total emissions have not). Your graph shows that they're expected to keep climbing (albeit slower than China). Yes, China needs to reduce emissions, but everything I see shows that they're working far harder at it than we are. Your graph was based on 2009 data, and in the last 2-3 years China has begun investing extremely heavily in solar and wind, more than any other country in the world. China has also recognized that they can't abandon coal entirely, because they don't have a lot of natural gas. So instead, they're building out renewable generation capacity as fast as they can (China generates more electricity from solar than any other country already, and has 70% of the world's solar thermal capacity), while executing a plan to maximize the efficiency of their coal generation. Lots of those new coal power plants they're building are replacements, enabling them to shut down older, less-efficient plants.

      The bottom line is that in the last few years, China has turned over a new leaf and is working really hard to address their CO2 emissions. Much harder than we are. Their emissions are going to continue climbing for a few years yet, but then they're going to start falling rapidly as they hit their stride and renewable deployment significantly outpaces increase in demand.

      China will never reach US per-capita emission rates. They're on track to peak at just over half of our rates, then start to fall. Meanwhile, we're doing almost nothing.

      --
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    23. Re:yes, but few care by houghi · · Score: 2

      But DOES matter what the rest does.
      1) If you ask 5 people to stop pouring buckets of water in a bath, because it will overflow. Even if 1 does not stop, the difference will still be significant and the 4 that do will be able to stop the fifth one if they want to.
      2) We can forbid import from countries that fail the emission targets.

      Why will the second part fail? Because we care more about cheap shoes and tv screens than we care about the world for out kids and grand kids. And we use childish excuses like "but HE is doing it." as if we are 6 year old. Yes it will increase prices, just like having a sewer will increase the price of living. At this moment we ARE shitting in our own backyard and try to find excuses so we can keep doing it.

      Because if we where willing to block trade, you will see how fast China and every other country will change.

      --
      Don't fight for your country, if your country does not fight for you.
    24. Re:yes, but few care by Hal_Porter · · Score: 1

      Exactly.

      --
      echo -e 'global _start\n _start:\n mov eax, 2\n int 80h\n jmp _start' > a.asm; nasm a.asm -f elf; ld a.o -o a;
    25. Re:yes, but few care by dj245 · · Score: 4, Interesting

      If ppl want to stop this, then ALL NATIONS MUST STOP. Not just 1 or 2.

      And that will never happen. I see a lot of talk about China in this thread but Russia is the #2 emitter of pollution. The US is reducing emissions, both per-capita and overall. Russia's emissions per GDP are increasing (albeit not as rapidly as China). Here's a nice graph of emissions per capita for the top 3. The difference is that China is seeing a lot of negative effects related to pollution, and politicians are under pressure to fix the problem or risk destabilizing the country. China has incentives to act.

      Russia, on the other hand, doesn't have many developed low-lying coastal areas. Weather patterns are becoming more habitable, arable land is increasing, icecaps limiting shipping are melting, more natural resources (fishing, oilfields, etc) are becoming accessible, etc. Climate change may cost Russia's economic competitors in both money and political stability. A decent chunk of the Russian economy is based on oil and natural gas exports. Many other countries have some of these incentives, but Russia is the big winner of climate change, and they have every incentive not to take action. I would not be at all surprised if Russia was actively promoting anti-climate change ideology. They have a strong motive, means, and opportunity.

      Disclaimer- I am an engineer in the North American fossil fuel industry

      --
      Even those who arrange and design shrubberies are under considerable economic stress at this period in history.
    26. Re:yes, but few care by kanweg · · Score: 1

      Aussies are quickly adopting solar energy and Powerwalls, hitting three flies with one slap: Lower energy bills, backup power in case of a blackout, and the net is stabilized, making price gauging harder. Go Aussies!

      Bert

    27. Re:yes, but few care by crimson+tsunami · · Score: 1

      Seems the only people who don't care about per-capita emissions, are people from high per-capita emission countries...
      Why do you suppose that is?
      Do you expect all countries to have the same emissions irregardless of size?
      Is it really realistic to expect China to have a lower level of CO2 than America, when they have over a billion more people?

    28. Re:yes, but few care by Impy+the+Impiuos+Imp · · Score: 1

      You just proved his point, which was coal increases Chinese lifespans, for several reasons from simple heating to a powerful economy allowing the leaving of a dirt-floored existence.

      Compared to that, worrying about sea rise is a foolish thing, and to hamper growth is murderous.

      Few if any will die due to sea rise. Millions continue to die annually from need and want.

      I'm ready for my downmod, Mr. DeMille.

      --
      (-1: Post disagrees with my already-settled worldview) is not a valid mod option.
    29. Re:yes, but few care by Hal_Porter · · Score: 1

      It's total CO2 emissions that affect the climate, not per capita emissions. Also if China is going to radically increase its CO2 emissions it is impossible for the US or EU to do anything to cause total emissions to fall because, as you point out, China is a big place.

      --
      echo -e 'global _start\n _start:\n mov eax, 2\n int 80h\n jmp _start' > a.asm; nasm a.asm -f elf; ld a.o -o a;
    30. Re:yes, but few care by BlueStrat · · Score: 1

      So why should the average Chinese person who puts out less than half the level that you do care either?

      They shouldn't, beyond common-sense and pragmatic/realistic/economically-feasible steps to not shit where we eat, as should all people including the US.

      It isn't about "caring", it's about math. The point is that in order for CO2 emissions to be reduced enough to have any meaningful effect on global average temperature rise, the US would have to almost eliminate it's emissions and China, India, et al would have to stop developing or even possibly DE-develop in some areas.

      Trying to halt or significantly alter the rate of global average temperature increase, especially in the face of a booming global population and industrialization, is pissing into the wind. Adaptation should be where the focus and emphasis is, not trying to halt or reverse a planet's global climate trends by artificially impeding development.

      That's a fool's errand only suitable as a political propaganda scare tactic to advance political/ideological goals unrelated to climate or science.

      Strat

      --
      Progressivism (aka US 'Liberalism'): Ideas so good they need a police/surveillance-state to enforce.
    31. Re:yes, but few care by MattskEE · · Score: 1

      Yes China emits a lot of CO2, but your assertion

      Until then it doesn't matter what the US, UK and EU do.

      is simply wrong, for two reasons.

      1) The US and EU/UK together emitted 80% as China in 2015 (I haven't checked more recent years). This is not surprising as China has more people that the US + EU. Therefore US and EU are not negligible and their CO2 output absolutely matters.

      2) It takes time to change infrastructure. China is making massive investments in renewable energy, though they have a long way to go. All of the major CO2 emitting nations must make investments starting today so that over time the energy portfolio shifts, it's not possible to change all once. The US also has a long way ahead because its per-capita emission is one of the highest in the world, about double that of China.

    32. Re:yes, but few care by Nikkos · · Score: 1

      The point is, you can turn America OFF and not do a damn thing for the environment because India and China.

    33. Re:yes, but few care by Nikkos · · Score: 1

      Bullshit. China's pollution comes from producing crap for Chinese people, cooking for Chinese people, and keeping Chinese people warm. Just their middle class is larger than the entire population of North America.

    34. Re:yes, but few care by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      er capita is meaningless in relation to *TOTAL GLOBAL* levels.

      Per capita is the ONLY meaningful metric in a global world where we each need to do out bit.
      Do remember us little people when you look down from your high horse and expect us to clean up your shit.

    35. Re:yes, but few care by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      1) all of the west combined emitted less than China in 2012, on forward.
      2) China is now over 1.1TW of just coal plants.
      3) China is adding another 650 GW of just coal plants while shutting down a fraction of that (less than 100 GW will be shutdown over the next 15 years).
      4) it DOES take time to change the infrastructure. BUT, China could stop adding new coal plants in China and elsewhere TODAY. They refuse to do that.
      5) worst of all, are those that defend china adding these coal plants. Basically, they believe that it is their god given right to add them not just in China, but all around the world. America, along with most of the west (exception is S. Korea, Japan, Germany, Australia, and Poland), have stopped adding coal, and are actually dropping ours. Yeah, Trump is speaking about adding more, but there is ZERO chance of more than 1-2 plants being added under him, unless he gets massive subsidies out there.And that is not happening.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    36. Re:yes, but few care by crimson+tsunami · · Score: 1

      The point is you could turn OFF the same amount of people in China, and it would have even less than half the impact on the environment.
      You could turn OFF India and then somehow turn it OFF again, thats 2 billion plus people turned OFF, and it would still have less impact than turning OFF America.

    37. Re:yes, but few care by crimson+tsunami · · Score: 1

      You still fail to explain why China should be cutting faster and more than America when America is over twice as polluting? Facts are facts, China has over a billion more people than the US.
      China has 4 times the population, but only twice the CO2. Even if China went further than your prediction and doubled it's coal use, it would still be less polluting per person than America.
      But the fact is China's coal use has already peaked.
      It peaked a few years ago, and the coal that is being used now is also being used much more efficiently.

    38. Re:yes, but few care by Uberbah · · Score: 1

      Your bullshit. Personal energy use is a fraction of industry, and a Chinese person uses a fraction of the amount of resources that an entitled western ass such as your self consumes.

    39. Re:yes, but few care by Uberbah · · Score: 1

      I love people who wouldn't know what left is if the entire North Korean army bit them on the ass. Globalism is something pushed by right-wing neoliberals, not leftists.

    40. Re: yes, but few care by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Why do u continue to lie about what I said? I said to stop growing your emissions by simply stop adding new coal plants. Otoh, you accuse me of saying that China has to cut. China does have to stop coal, just as most of the west is doing, but, simply getting China to quit growing their emissions and emissions in other nations would be a smart start. Why are you so opposed to helping to solve the co2 issue? America continues to lower our emissions, but even I will say that it is not fast enough. And with china being one of worst nations wrt emissions /$ GDP, it makes good sense to stop adding new coal plants.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    41. Re: yes, but few care by crimson+tsunami · · Score: 1

      You're focusing on coal which is prety much irrelevant. It's going down already as you have been repeatedly shown. Even now you are still claiming China is one of the worst, but they are twice as clean as the US and a few other western countries (you're right, it's not just America). If the US is producing twice as much, they have much more slack to cut than China. Energy isn't even the biggest producer of CO2 in the US anymore, thats transport, and it's increasing.
      Per capita is not a perfect measure, but it's a much better one than GDP. China's emissions / $ GDP are also falling fast, so I've no idea why you are telling them to do that. They already are.
      Seems you just hate coal, and China. You should be applauding them for doing so much more than the US with much less money. They are unlikely to ever reach the per capita emissions that America is at. China's coal use is just temporary, no one sensible thinks China will just use more and more coal forever until they run out of coal.

    42. Re:yes, but few care by crimson+tsunami · · Score: 1

      So whats the problem troll? Why should you be allowed to cook and keep warm but not China? They have 4 times the people to feed and keep warm, and consume crap.
      But they do it much more efficiently than you do, and only use twice the CO2 and not four times.

    43. Re:yes, but few care by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      until China has a way to generate energy which is cheaper than coal and doesn't emit CO2.

      They're working hard on that, it would appear.

      Until then it doesn't matter what the US, UK and EU do.

      Sure it does. If we cut CO2 emissions further, then there will be less CO2 in the atmosphere. The total amount matters, not whee it came from. The US and EU have higher per-capita emissions, and those are going to be easier to reduce.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    44. Re:yes, but few care by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      Leftists are globalists in a sense, but we don't take the same approach. To make a very sweeping generalization, our reaction to poor people abroad ts to want to help them, not exploit them.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    45. Re:yes, but few care by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      All CO2 matters.

      To cut it, we have to look at where it's easiest to cut. It's probably easier to cut from high per capita emissions than low per capita emissions.

      And, right now, it's not about stopping or reversing temperature rises. It's about limiting them as much as we can, because every tenth of a degree warmer is likely to make adaptation much more expensive. We've almost certainly lost the struggle to keep warming below 2C, but 2.5C will be a lot better than 3C.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    46. Re:yes, but few care by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      If China were to split up into different countries the population of the US, then the US would have much higher emissions than any of those chunks of China, but that wouldn't affect total emissions. Conversely, if the developed countries of the world would unite into one country, its emissions would be a lot higher than those of any individual constituent country. What matters is per capita emission times number of people.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
  8. Re:Science snowflakes by Aighearach · · Score: 1

    Ha! That's what Job said!

  9. Re:Sure, however... by Waffle+Iron · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Okay, but will this rise affect me in my lifetime, or can I safely ignore it and pass this problem off to the next generation like I plan on doing with the national debt?

    The key difference between the two is that the national debt is little more than a pattern of bits on some spinning disks (as the GOP seems to have suddenly realized), whereas the rising sea levels are a serious physical threat (which they have unfortunately not yet realized).

  10. Re:Sick of the alarmism by dumuzi · · Score: 1

    Going by your own link, the rate of change is increasing. This is called acceleration.#youdenyyouself

  11. Re: Yawn, This again by ClickOnThis · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Okay, but will this rise affect me in my lifetime, or can I safely ignore it and pass this problem off to the next generation like I plan on doing with the national debt?

    Because people generally like living above water. Because there are existing places that will become untenable to maintain and/or unsafe with higher water levels and fixing that doesn't seem like a lot of fun.

    There are are a whole lot more 'becauses' to add.

    Because arable regions may shift faster than the plants can evolve to grow in them.

    Because mass migration will cause significant upheaval and displacement of human society.

    ...and so on... and finally:

    Because when the human race is confronted with a lack of something, it goes to war over it.

    --
    If it weren't for deadlines, nothing would be late.
  12. Re:Science snowflakes by ClickOnThis · · Score: 1

    My dear friend, your moniker should be PoeRatzo.

    Well played.

    --
    If it weren't for deadlines, nothing would be late.
  13. Not quite accurate by Okian+Warrior · · Score: 3, Informative

    Donald Trump claims global warming is a myth... and yet he's building sea walls for his golf resort in Ireland to protect it against the sea level rising!

    He doesn't say it's a myth, he says it's a hoax.

    He agrees that the climate is changing, but believes that it's not due to man-made changes in the environment.

    1. Re:Not quite accurate by quantaman · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Donald Trump claims global warming is a myth... and yet he's building sea walls for his golf resort in Ireland to protect it against the sea level rising!

      He doesn't say it's a myth, he says it's a hoax.

      He agrees that the climate is changing, but believes that it's not due to man-made changes in the environment.

      Trump never said climate is changing, Kellyanne Conway claimed he believed that, which is completely in line with their standard practice of spinning Trump's outrageous statements into orthodox GOP doctrine.

      Conway tells us nothing about what Trump believes, Trump is absolutely notorious for contradicting his administration's official positions, his spokespeople, and even himself.

      Trump only ever has two kinds of comments about climate change, either some variation of "it's a hoax" or "it's cold, therefore no global warming!". The position you give Trump is something far more nuanced than he's ever expressed himself.

      --
      I stole this Sig
    2. Re:Not quite accurate by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      And in the end it doesn't matter. The climate doesn't care about the whims or opinions of the annoying orange.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    3. Re:Not quite accurate by AmiMoJo · · Score: 2

      From your own link:

      NBC News just called it the great freeze - coldest weather in years. Is our country still spending money on the GLOBAL WARMING HOAX?

      Snowing in Texas and Louisiana, record setting freezing temperatures throughout the country and beyond. Global warming is an expensive hoax!

      Ice storm rolls from Texas to Tennessee - I'm in Los Angeles and it's freezing. Global warming is a total, and very expensive, hoax!

      Trump really doesn't seem to think that the world is warming, or at least doesn't understand the different between weather and climate. Maybe he has changed his tune since those tweets were posted.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    4. Re:Not quite accurate by Luckyo · · Score: 3, Insightful

      To deny that there are clear cut benefits to global warning is asinine. My country for example is looking at massively increased agricultural production and reduced costs associated with extreme cold winters.

      Negatives? Weather patterns become more extreme, so more repairs to infrastructure will be needed. Former is huge for nation's GDP. Latter is tiny in comparison. Add to that the fact that like most nations that sat under the ice during ice age, our land is rising out of the sea faster than sea is rising, there are clear benefits even on local level.

      And then there's the whole "new paths for maritime travel" aspect which is bound to increase efficiency by a significant margin.

      That's why catastrophism folks like you espouse is just as dangerous as "global warning isn't happening" BS. Both are equally wrong, and both turn people from the sane actions that we actually need to take to make our transition to existing in a slowly but surely warming climate and all changes that brings with it.

      Instead we get "we should do nothing" and "we should do everything" idiocy on each side. When sanity is off the table at the start, and all you have is crazy partisans on each side debunking each other's idiocy, no actual discussion on what should be done can take place.

    5. Re:Not quite accurate by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      At the same time, our food harvesting ability has increased massively, and nowadays we're shifting to farmed fish across the Nordic states en masse. Norway, the former giant of fishing now produces more salmon through farming it than through fishing it. And farming is growing explosively.

      So instead of being hungry, they're going to be shoving high quality Norwegian salmon down their throats, or they're going to grow their own at their coastal and river fish farms. This is what we call "adaptation".

    6. Re:Not quite accurate by MattskEE · · Score: 1

      The increased prevalence of extreme weather events, the loss of trillions of dollars in infrastructure in coastal regions (where most people live in the US and around the world), the changing weather patterns obviating current highly optimized and productive agricultural regions and technology/practices are all a heavy human price to pay for warming up regions that are currently cooler.

      Humans, and natural life, can probably adapt to a new warmer world, but the massive infrastructure investments necessary and ecological changes necessary suggest that extremely slowly is the best speed for this change.

    7. Re:Not quite accurate by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      Guns have in fact been invented, as have transport ships. Food can be shipped to those in need, and those who invade regardless can be forcibly ejected or killed, as was the case with every single such effort in history of humanity.

    8. Re:Not quite accurate by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      My country is in fact militarized enough, and has enough experience with invaders that yes, we are ready if threat becomes existential. We have enough weapons to repel invasion over our border with Russia, which is longer than rest of EU's border with Russia in total.

      Additionally we're so cold and inhospitable that we have folks from Middle East literally run away from the weather. Not a joke. One of the most common cited reasons for Iraqis returning was "weather". Apparently Middle Easterners and Africans by far and large really can't take the climate.

      Most people in general tend to forget that modern "refugees" are an invention of age of overabundance and lack of warfare. The moment either one ends, sympathies for refugees will end with them. We're already seeing this in Southern Europe.

    9. Re:Not quite accurate by Luckyo · · Score: 2

      The first thing that catastrophists like to do is to argue "but globally!!!"

      Overwhelming majority of people don't care about what happens in everyday life of someone on the other side of the planet. The country you cite, US, most of its citizenry would struggle to identify countries on the other side of the globe, much less actually care if they have to invest one percent of GDP more into infrastructure. And for those that live in productive states, increase in infrastructure spending is a trivially absorbable cost if threat is actually judged to be significant enough. Refer to what US did to itself during WW2 as example of what can be done when people feel that it is needed for survival.

    10. Re:Not quite accurate by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      Out of interest, is there any idea that goes against far left narrative that far left trolls won't use Red Scare to try to ad hominem with?

    11. Re:Not quite accurate by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      those who invade regardless can be forcibly ejected or killed, as was the case with every single such effort in history of humanity.

      Um, I've got a long line here of historical emperors who'd like to have a word with you.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    12. Re:Not quite accurate by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      I understand English isn't your first language, but I fail to understand what you wrote.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    13. Re:Not quite accurate by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      You're Finnish, right?

      The last time Russians came over your borders, they won. You attempted to reverse that in the Continuation War, but when your German co-belligerents were losing you were forced to sign an unfavorable peace treaty that resulted in fighting with the Germans in northern Finland. Not long before that, you were a semi-independent Russian province or something. History doesn't really make me confident in your ability to repel Russians.

      We had a wave of Somali refugees come in quite a few years ago. Three-quarters of them settled in the Minneapolis-Saint Paul metro area. Don't count on the weather to keep desperate people from your land.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    14. Re:Not quite accurate by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      I didn't say they were always successful at it. I merely said that this was an option.

      Measuring success of such efforts is a completely different discussion, with variables that are completely outside this discussion.

    15. Re:Not quite accurate by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      If history doesn't make you confident in our ability to repeal overwhelming forces, you have serious problems with history and historians. Alternatively you lack even basic understanding of military strategy. Take it up with historians or generals, depending on where your failure lies.

      As for the rest, you appear to think I'm talking imaginary things here, rather than reality. I'm quoting actual figures from migrant crisis from 2016. We got mostly Iraqis, because this migrant crisis is very much a manufactured crisis, with migrants having active smuggler networks advertising specific states for specific ethnicities. We were primarily advertised to Iraqis.

      After they arrived, we had amazing demonstrations from them. They did things like show the kind of porrige that is commonly fed to kindergarten children around here, and stating to the state broadcaster camera "How can we eat this? This food isn't even fit for dogs!" It went down about as well with the middle class who's children are in said kindergartens as you would expect.

      And most popular reason for returning to Iraq was "climate".

      Now somalis are a whole different breed. We had our batch of this problem culture penetrate our society in 1990s. Like everyone else, we didn't have much luck getting them to even show up at arranged meetings on time, much less actually be productive at rates anywhere near natives. But we weren't marketed to somalis, and Finnish somalis are famous enough in Somalia to counteract misinformation that comes down the smuggler networks. One of them even stood for high tier political post in Somalia some time ago if I remember correctly. They're not likely to be the next wave coming here any time soon.

    16. Re:Not quite accurate by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      Being intentionally obtuse has nothing to do with command of English language.

      P.S. Hilariously I have a certificate from an accredited university that my command of both written and spoken English is significantly better than that of average native speaker. But thanks for playing.

    17. Re:Not quite accurate by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      It doesn't. Ecosystem is essentially a closed circuit. You don't need a significant influence over specific aspect of the circuit to get it to slowly shift. You just need a small influence that exceeds systems self-correcting capability.

    18. Re:Not quite accurate by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      I'm reasonably familiar with the military history of WWII, the general history of the period, and military strategy. What I don't know is a case of the Finns successfully repelling overwhelming forces.

      Finland faced unrest after the Russian Revolution, but was not, to my knowledge, attacked by overwhelming forces. Finland lost the Winter War, and had to give up territory. In this war, the Soviet Union wasn't trying to conquer Finland, and suffered from extreme military problems, leading to the Timoshenko reforms. Finland was on the losing side in the Continuation War, and had to accept unfavorable peace terms. I'm not saying Finns are bad fighters; their performance in the Winter War was very impressive. I'm saying it's a fairly small country and couldn't stop much larger neighbors.

      For the rest, I was talking about the experience of my own metro area, whose climate is very different from Somalia. I'm not sure what problems you had with them. Our biggest was that some Somali cab drivers refused to drive passengers who had liquor, and those Somali drivers were denied airport privileges. There had to be other issues (the logistical impact on the school system was noticeable) but they didn't generate nearly the news coverage.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    19. Re:Not quite accurate by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      First, what do you mean by "Red Scare"? Historically, that's been fear of Communists, so you're apparently trying to redefine it on the fly. The "try to ad hominem with" is certainly not standard English usage, which casts a little doubt on your certificate, but it is understandable. I don't know what you mean by "far left" in this case. Your English grammar is shaky enough that you'd be better advised not to try anything fancy. Your English is quite good, don't mistake me, but it's hardly native quality.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    20. Re:Not quite accurate by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      Except that what you said is that repelling invaders was always successful. Invaders can be forcibly ejected or killed, yes, that's happened quite a few times. That they are opposed is much more universal.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    21. Re:Not quite accurate by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      Your last six replies to my posts have been characterised by the following traits:

      1. Intentional/unintentional obtuseness.
      2. Denigration of my english.
      3. Denigration of my intelligence.
      4. Demonstration of utter lack of understanding of the topic, while pretending really hard to have expertise in it.
      5. Borderline dyslexic interpretations of my texts where some understanding can be seen.

      You have problems. I cannot help you with them. Seek professional help for them please.

    22. Re:Not quite accurate by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      You do not write English like a native. I don't care what certificate you've got. I know how English speakers use the language and it's not like you do. Your English is good, but you are exaggerating it and doing things that you're not quite capable of doing clearly. If a highly competent native English speaker like me gets confused by something you wrote, guess what. It's probably not my problem. Try using simpler grammatical constructs, and you'll get your points across.

      I never said anything about your intelligence. I pointed out that your history is wrong. I do not pretend to have expertise. When I say something about an issue of fact, I at least have good reason to believe it, and I have read a lot about WWII. I'm not as familiar with the history of Finland before the Twentieth Century, so if you would like to correct me there I'd appreciate it.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
  14. Re:Yet, some islands are growing. Odd that.. by dumuzi · · Score: 1

    Odd that you didn't read the article you are posting. It explains that changes in climate patterns are the cause....

  15. Re:Sick of the alarmism by magzteel · · Score: 1

    I don't know if you noticed that quite a bit of NYC was underwater not too long ago. This will become more frequent, to the point that part of the infrastructure fails.

    Define "quite a bit". NYC is pretty large.

    As I recall during a massive storm there was some flooding in lower Manhattan, which is between the Hudson and the East rivers. Also there was some flooding on the southern shore of Long Island and the Jersey shore.

  16. Worst case was wrong by magzteel · · Score: 1

    Did anyone see this article in Bloomberg:
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news...

    It says the "worst case scenario" is preposterous.

    "For example, the most extreme worst-case storyline assumes that by 2100 coal would grow to 94 percent of the world energy supply. In 2015, that figure was about 28 percent."

    "One big problem with the amount of coal burning assumed by RCP8.5 is that there’s probably not enough extractable coal to make the scenario possible. “We don’t think it’s going to happen,” said Justin Ritchie, lead author of the University of British Columbia study and a Ph.D. candidate. “That’s extremely unlikely and also inconsistent with every year since the late 19th century.”

  17. Re:Use Science by ClickOnThis · · Score: 2, Informative

    I'll admit... I'm not an actual climentoligist, but has anybody thought about maybe just making a bunch of ice and hauling it down to Antarctica? I mean if its getting warm, throw some ice on it instead of sitting around poking and measuring it.

    It's pretty clear you aren't a climatologist when you can't even spell the word, but it's also clear you aren't a scientist or an engineer. The laws of thermodynamics, let alone the sheer magnitude of the logistical/technological problem, mean that making ice for Antarctica is a non-starter. You need to consume energy in order to move energy around.

    Better to stop the Sun's energy from being trapped by greenhouse gasses, and harvesting the same energy (via wind and solar) for our needs, rather than using carbon-based fuels. But if you want to make ice for Antarctica with renewables, by all means knock yourself out.

    --
    If it weren't for deadlines, nothing would be late.
  18. Re:I'm finally playing through Mass Effect 3 by pezpunk · · Score: 1

    no, because he's not a tiny-brained superstitious moron.

    --
    i could live a little longer in this prison
  19. Known since at least 2006 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Citation. This isn't a new finding, it confirms previous work.

    Let me know when other "religions" start basing their ideology (or their critiques) on multiple peer-reviewed studies instead of faith.

    1. Re:Known since at least 2006 by Geoffrey.landis · · Score: 4, Informative

      Citation. This isn't a new finding, it confirms previous work.

      It is new in that this article shows the satellite altimetry, while the article you cite, showing similar trends, combines tide-gauge and satellite data to get a much longer data set. Basically, that article is using satellite data to calibrate tide-gauges, and then using that calibration to measure historical sea level rise.

      Good article, though.

      Let me know when other "religions" start basing their ideology (or their critiques) on multiple peer-reviewed studies instead of faith.

      Yes, exactly: it is useful when different work by different groups shows the same result. This is reproducability, which is important in science.

      --
      http://www.geoffreylandis.com
    2. Re:Known since at least 2006 by Hal_Porter · · Score: 1

      Multi-century sea-level records and climate models indicate an acceleration of sea-level rise, but no 20th century acceleration has previously been detected. A reconstruction of global sea level using tide-gauge data from 1950 to 2000 indicates a larger rate of rise after 1993 and other periods of rapid sea-level rise but no significant acceleration over this period. Here, we extend the reconstruction of global mean sea level back to 1870 and find a sea-level rise from January 1870 to December 2004 of 195 mm, a 20th century rate of sea-level rise of 1.7 +/- 0.3 mm yr-1 and a significant acceleration of sea-level rise of 0.013 +/- 0.006 mm yr-2. This acceleration is an important confirmation of climate change simulations which show an acceleration not previously observed. If this acceleration remained constant then the 1990 to 2100 rise would range from 280 to 340 mm, consistent with projections in the IPCC TAR.

      So we expect a rise of 1.7mm +/- 0.3 mm per year . In the UK the government tells the people building sea defences to plan for a worst case rise of 3mm per year when planning sea defences.

      So long as they do that, what's the problem? Also a 28 to 34 cm rise over 110 years isn't all that much to deal with.

      --
      echo -e 'global _start\n _start:\n mov eax, 2\n int 80h\n jmp _start' > a.asm; nasm a.asm -f elf; ld a.o -o a;
  20. Re:Science snowflakes by PopeRatzo · · Score: 4, Funny

    Naah, naah, they just figured it out "now" with TWENTY FIVE years of data.

    You're right. WHY ARE THEY HIDING THE SATELLITE DATA FROM 100 YEARS AGO? HUH?

    Checkmate, libs.

    --
    You are welcome on my lawn.
  21. Re: Yawn, This again by c6gunner · · Score: 1

    Because arable regions may shift faster than the plants can evolve to grow in them.

    Right ... that's why there aren't any European plants growing in the Americas. Because we can't just go ahead and plant them; no, they have to evolve first.

    Because mass migration will cause significant upheaval and displacement of human society. ...and so on... and finally:

    Because when the human race is confronted with a lack of something, it goes to war over it.

    So ... basically a repeat of 2017?

    Quelle horreur.

  22. Re: Slashdot is Broken! by c6gunner · · Score: 2

    Slashdot has ads?

    Did you get lost and stumble onto this site while looking for AOL?

  23. So predictions? Chicken little stuff! by oldgraybeard · · Score: 1

    Now! I am a true believer in climate change and for the most part man caused!

    Here is my question, When is anyone, a group, a corporation, a government? Going to propose how the human race takes, Over Control of our Planets Climate? And release all the projected Cultural, Economic, Personal/Business/Government Costs, who will profit along with the social ramifications.
    I mean it seems the goal here is to save individuals/cities/ports/countries at sea level from seeing any environmental impact or the need to move. And of course save humanity as a whole. And I have an interest in that!

    I want to see workable solutions, not more and more chicken little predictions.

    First, puts on flame suit ;)

    Just my 2 cents

    1. Re:So predictions? Chicken little stuff! by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      The first step is to admit there is a problem. Too many people in the US deny there is a problem. Without some sort of commitment, not much will be done. Hence, the predictions, which show we're in deep trouble.

      There's a lot of debate going on about solutions, none of which are all that promising. The most cost-effective thing to do right now is almost certainly to cut CO2 emissions.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
  24. Re:Sick of the alarmism by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 2

    Modding this guy "troll" when he simply stated some demonstrable facts is not kosher, folks.

    "I don't like what you said" does not equal "troll".

  25. Re: Sure, however... by Waffle+Iron · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Then you're an idiot. I'm not talking about individuals. This is government debt, and the government itself defines the meaning of those bits arbitrarily.

    All across the political spectrum, the American people seem to be convinced that they are entitled to more government services than they are willing to explicitly pay for. If the current "pyramid scheme" strategy ever stops working, there are plenty of other avenues the government can use to simply redefine or restrict what that debt value means.

    Meanwhile, the actual physical sea level just keeps rising. Ironically, if the worst case scenarios do pan out, the government would probably take on scores of trillions of dollars in additional debt in futile attempts at keeping our coastal cities habitable.

  26. Re:Sick of the alarmism by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

    Actually significantly faster, 1930-1950. Not "just as fast".

  27. Re:Sick of the alarmism by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

    Manhattan has significantly INCREASED in land area, pretty steadily, over the last 150 years.

    But most if not all of that was due to human activity, so there is no way to make a valid comparison.

  28. Re:Sick of the alarmism by nadaou · · Score: 4, Informative

    And NYC's elevation is 10m. So it will take 5000 years or so for it to be inundated.

    Yeah, no. For one thing the outcrop of Manhattan Schist in the middle of Central Park is not "NYC", and for another a large part of lower Manhattan*, western Brooklyn, and northern Queens was underwater during Hurricane Sandy which had a surge of about 13 feet (4m). Due to rebound of the continental plate since the last glaciation the city is already sinking at a rate of about 1 foot per century, and most of the gravity driven sewers were built more than 100 or 200 years ago when sea level was lower. Most of the subway entrances are staircases down from street level.

    NYC has some serious problems. Maybe not as bad as Miami, but there's more infrastructure to deal with.

    Stop spreading lies.

    * just maybe the financial district has some huge impact on the national GDP, even if it is shut down for one day?

    --
    ~.~
    I'm a peripheral visionary.
  29. Assumptions? by bradley13 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I just read the abstract. As I understand it, they have 25 data years of very noisy data. Based on this data, they have deduced a quadratic equation (think: upward-curving parabola). They then state: "simple extrapolation of the quadratic implies global mean sea level could rise 65 ± 12 cm by 2100".

    Of course, extrapolation of a quadratic leads to massive increases in the Y-value. Any kid doing 9th grade geometry learns that. The question is: Why should we believe that this quadratic equation - derived from so few data points - is accurate, and wil continue unabated into the future?

    --
    Enjoy life! This is not a dress rehearsal.
    1. Re:Assumptions? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      You are somewhat right. This is the first study to claim an upward trend in the rate of change.

      Meanwhile, in mainstream science, there has been dozens of papers and theories trying to describe how a steady increase of slightly more than three millimeters per year could have happened. This is what the entirety of our precise data, the satellite data set, shows. The stark linearity has made quite a stir.

      Either the satellites are miscalibrated in some unknown, novel way, the rate of thermal expansion is increasing over time at an absurd rate, the amount of thermal expansion reduction over time is offset by meltwater, or some other unknown mechanism. All the settled science shows, until we have new data stating otherwise, we should have an increase in sea level just over 24 cm by 2100 and no more than 25 cm.

      This paper might be a hard-science pseudo case of "p-value hacking", where they threw everything they could think of at the problem until they coaxed out a plausible formula that they wanted all along.

  30. Does it matter ? by aepervius · · Score: 2

    I mean if a pyroman set a barn is on fire, and a denier pretend the warmth is due to hot summer time the other pretend barn on fire is a natural occurrence, does it matter ? They are both wrong, and in the end you gotta stop the fire anyway.

    --
    C. Sagan : A demon haunted world:
    http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0345409469/
    visit randi.org
  31. While the OP is wrong by aepervius · · Score: 3, Insightful

    There is a gran of truth in what he says. The grain of truth is that shifting climate will make arable terrain less arable, and will open to potential moderate climate terrain which was not arable or is poor. So shifting climate may actually reduce globally the amount of field which are good for agriculture. Nothing to do with evolution.... Just with simply top earth quality for what we currently grow. As for your kip about a repeat of 2017: actually 2017 and the last 3 or 4 decade are decades where there was the LEAST amount of war, compared to last centuries... As for population upheaval , the same can be said qualitatively. 2017 forced mirgation is nothing to compare if whole frigging region decide to go north or south because their agriculture is in the shitter , in say 75 or 100 years.

    --
    C. Sagan : A demon haunted world:
    http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0345409469/
    visit randi.org
    1. Re:While the OP is wrong by dcw3 · · Score: 1

      actually 2017 and the last 3 or 4 decade are decades where there was the LEAST amount of war, compared to last centuries

      What is your criteria for "amount"? The number of fatalities?...number of conflicts?
      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

      --
      Just another day in Paradise
  32. Re: Yawn, This again by Uberbah · · Score: 1

    Right ... that's why there aren't any European plants growing in the Americas. Because we can't just go ahead and plant them; no, they have to evolve first.

    Yes, because you can just up and replace entire ecosystems on a moment's notice with new flora and fauna.

  33. Re: Yawn, This again by quantaman · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Because arable regions may shift faster than the plants can evolve to grow in them.

    Right ... that's why there aren't any European plants growing in the Americas. Because we can't just go ahead and plant them; no, they have to evolve first.

    Just because some plants do well in a non-native habitat it doesn't not follow that most plants (particularly crops) can effectively adapt to a very different climate, or equivalent farmland can be found in another region.

    Because mass migration will cause significant upheaval and displacement of human society. ...and so on... and finally:

    Because when the human race is confronted with a lack of something, it goes to war over it.

    So ... basically a repeat of 2017?

    Quelle horreur.

    Americans experienced a mild increase in Muslim migration and a drug epidemic and elected a demagogue Trump, one of the major riots leading up to the French Revolution was caused by a flour shortage, German's experienced massive reparations after WWI and elected Hitler, Russians got hammered in WWI and had the October Revolution, etc, etc.

    In fact, high food prices were one of the causes of the Arab Spring, and the Arab Spring combined with the Iraq War caused the migrant crisis in Europe which is another factor that elected Trump and scared Britain out of the EU. And the Arab Spring looks a lot like the mass migrations you'll see when Climate Change starts to kick in (and the equivalent South American migration into the US).

    It's not a complex formula. When populations are stressed they lash out, they either riot and or elect leaders who raise a ruckus on their behalf. And climate change causes a lot of stress.

    --
    I stole this Sig
  34. Re: Sure, however... by prefec2 · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Economic rules are not the same as physical laws. Physical laws exist regardless you believe in them. Economic rules are human rules. They can be changed. For example you can lower taxes for the rich or deprive people of healthcare. You can even make up rules to limit the ability what you can dobwithnyour money. And even money itself is just a number or a piece if paper. Its value is based in an agreement. Look I have billions of Reichsmark in my attic. Unfortunately, you cannot buy anything with it. You can also see the artificially of value of currency in context of bitcoin.

  35. Re: Yawn, This again by prefec2 · · Score: 2, Informative

    Climate does not change during seasons, because climate is the weather average over 30 years. Global warming is defined by the change if the global temperature. While weather is specfic to you region. For example the US had a cold and snow rich winter and we in Europe had a lot if rain and no snow. So in our region it was exceptionally warm weather while you had snow rich weather.

  36. Re: Yawn, This again by prefec2 · · Score: 1

    I thought it was the Chinese.

  37. Re:Sure, however... by Opportunist · · Score: 1

    How's it different? Whether the planet is done by the time I am dead and don't give a fuck or whether the economy is done by the the time I'm dead and don't give a fuck ... care to explain the difference?

    --
    We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
  38. Re:Science snowflakes by Opportunist · · Score: 1

    You know, it would be funnier if there weren't idiots that actually argue like this...

    --
    We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
  39. Re: Yawn, This again by Bongo · · Score: 1

    Good point about the Arab Spring, but notice, nobody can predict which stresses will occur and whether they will lead to breakdown, strain, or innovation, or some combination of all three. And multiply that by a million for all the possible scenarios.

    Whilst care and compassion are very worthy moral developments, this does not mean we can predict the unpredictable. Climate change is unfortunately just one of the many unpredictable things. The “science” has faked its certainty over this, and latches onto tiny trends to pretend it understands the whole system. It is not denialism to point out trumped up claims.

    Postmodern thought is party to blame, in that it does not think facts matter, all that matters is the narrative and dismantling the systems of oppression, so in environmental movements there’s often people who don’t care whether carbon is a problem, they only care that everyone be made to believe it is a problem, and use “science” as the narrative.

    Meanwhile clouds are still a huge area of uncertainty. They just are.

    But yes please let’s encourage humanity towards more care and compassion, regardless of situations. Science is NOT ethics.

  40. Re:Science snowflakes by Hal_Porter · · Score: 1

    I'd argue but you're having so much fun beating your straw man it seems a bit cruel to stop you.

    --
    echo -e 'global _start\n _start:\n mov eax, 2\n int 80h\n jmp _start' > a.asm; nasm a.asm -f elf; ld a.o -o a;
  41. Re:We're all gonna DIE!!! by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

    Quite simply, implementing enough renewable energy+storage for the planet is logistically impossible.

    Wrong. It's politically impossible.

    And, even if we DID, we're supposedly beyond The Point Of No Return already.

    Wrong again. We may still be able to turn this around, nobody actually knows. The sooner we start actually trying, the more likely it is that the species will continue without having to go all morlock.

    So...what then?

    We've literally been telling you for decades. Don't pretend you don't know. That's disingenuous douchebaggery.

    And the only way to implement it sanely is with the backing of nuclear power on a level we currently just do not see at the moment.

    There's nothing sane about selling out the future for the present. That's how we got where we are now. Greenhouse gas was a settled science in the 1800s, and you're still ignoring it.

    Plant trees. Switch to regenerative agriculture. Switch to carbon-negative biofuel. Switch to bioplastics. Install solar. Install wind. Make less unnecessary shit. Insulate houses more. We've been explaining this to you for decades, you've been ignoring it and saying "what do we do?" Well, we told you already. Your ignorance is willful. Stop pretending we haven't given you literally all of the answers.

    --
    "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  42. Re:Your sanity vs. their sanity by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

    1- the old fucks in power have money to mitigate effects upon *them* so they don't care
    2- the old fucks in power will not be around to suffer any downstream effects of this so they don't care

    Mitigate, yes. Not suffer? No. They will suffer, too. The world will become a crappier place, and they live here.

    --
    "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  43. Re:Sick of the alarmism by 110010001000 · · Score: 1

    The storm surge entering Manhattan was caused by the elimination of buffer coast line which prevents water from coming in. Think about marshlands, etc. Once you get rid of those, nothing is going to stop the water. Climate change in this case isn't going to make a difference.

  44. Look at all the deniers... by hyades1 · · Score: 1

    Global Warming deniers sure love to be Anonymous Cowards when they're blathering their anti-science bullshit.

    --
    I've calculated my velocity with such exquisite precision that I have no idea where I am.
    1. Re:Look at all the deniers... by careysub · · Score: 1

      You are correct. It would be best if everyone just filters out and ignores the ACs when this topic comes up.

      Want to post a denial claim? Then show us your Slashdot identity. What the cowardice?

      --
      Starships were meant to fly, Hands up and touch the sky - Nicky Minaj
    2. Re:Look at all the deniers... by hyades1 · · Score: 1

      Anybody who quotes Walt Kelly is a worthy person.

      --
      I've calculated my velocity with such exquisite precision that I have no idea where I am.
  45. Re:Sure, however... by Opportunist · · Score: 1

    Ok, this is a question I can answer. Since you are clearly a narcissist/sociopath, at best, let's focus on you.

    Actually, I used to care. Until I noticed that I'm pretty much the only one left and, sorry to say it, I don't feel entitled to save the planet against the collective will of the rest on it.

    --
    We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
  46. Sea level rise is small compared to biological ... by 140Mandak262Jamuna · · Score: 5, Interesting
    The annual deep frost would kill so much of the weeds and the bugs. As the climate changes, the USDA agricultural zones are changing. What used to be 3 is now 4 etc. Weeds that were killed every winter and start from the scratch, survive the winter, start early and spread fast. They even get two or three more generations per season.

    The bugs too, are surviving winter. The most ardent climate change denying, conspiracy theory believing, Iowa farmer sees the forsythia blooming in February, tulips emerging in March, crocus in December... Some fields naturalized by daffodils and tulips are going the other way. The bulbs rotting away instead of emerging. These bulbs need six weeks of continuous freezing for them to "sense" the coming and going of winter. Without the frost, they dont emerge and they rot in spring rains.

    One of the most productive agricultural belt is protected by annual frost. It has no natural defense against many of the deleterious organisms. All it takes is one fungus, one virus, one weed to afflict the Idaho potato crop or the corn or wheat... By the time we identify and mitigate the threat we would have lost two or even three years of loss of agricultural productivity. Affluent USA will suck the products from rest of the world, prices will shoot up beyond belief. Poor countries with unstable regimes will see societal collapse, mass migrations and refugees...

    These consequences are far more dire, far more urgent than sea level rise. Sea level rise is important it will lead to very serious climate changes. But that is very indirect and direct cause - effect relations difficult to deduce, difficult to prove, difficult to explain to public.

    --
    sed -e 's/Chuck Norris/Rajnikant/g' joke > fact
  47. Re:25 Years by Geoffrey.landis · · Score: 3, Informative

    25 years of data? Why not 26 years of data?

    Because the earliest data set came from the TOPEX/Poseidon satellite altimetry mission, which launched in 1992, and the paper was received for review in 2017. 2017-1996 = 25 years.

      Paper under discussion: http://www.pnas.org/content/ea...

    The scientists were unable to use satellite data taken before the satellite launched because that data does not exist.

    --
    http://www.geoffreylandis.com
  48. Re:25 Years by Muros · · Score: 1

    25 years of data? Why not 26 years of data?

    ...because we cherry picked just the right amount to support our claims.

    I'll believe you the moment the faggots in San Francisco drown.

    No, because TOPEX/Poseidon was launched into orbit in August 1992. Good luck getting data from it from before it was operational.

  49. How is that interesting, it's complete bullshit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Wow another windbourne clone. So tell us genius, how many pieces do we need to cut China into to have each piece have the population as Australia? How about America? Do you think the 4 new North South East and West China's pollution will be the same as all 4 are now added together? But by the magic of winbourne 'thinking' there will be less CO2, because all those new countries will be polluting less than America.

  50. Re:Use Science by kaoshin · · Score: 1
    So basically what I'm hearing is excuses... :)

    It is clear as day that my post was a lighthearted joke. You kind sir, concern me.

  51. Satellite measurements [Re:Oh good] by Geoffrey.landis · · Score: 3, Informative

    And there's no way those same currents could have affected the previous measurements we used to declare sea level was rising. I mean, there's no way they could have been eroding for some period and we thought it was the sea level rising. Climate only works one way!

    That's why satellite altimetry measurements-- what the article being discussed here is about-- are important. You can measure the entire globe, not just the places that have tide gauges, and you can separate out the local effects from the sea level rise.

    --
    http://www.geoffreylandis.com
    1. Re:Satellite measurements [Re:Oh good] by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

      And when we do that, and look at more than a straight line, we see that the global sea level rise is decelerating, not accelerating. Hard to get people worked up about things slowing down, though, so we'll stick with straight-line approximations for things that are best fit with non-straight-lines and be done with it!

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    2. Re:Satellite measurements [Re:Oh good] by Pinky's+Brain · · Score: 1

      The possible errors in satellite data are far larger than in a differential GPS corrected tidal gauge.

      Where satellite data is referenced to tidal gauges I trust it most, where it isn't I trust it less. Where I trust it most there is no appreciable acceleration.

    3. Re:Satellite measurements [Re:Oh good] by Geoffrey.landis · · Score: 1

      The possible errors in satellite data are far larger than in a differential GPS corrected tidal gauge.

      Not even close. The satellite measurements are vastly more accurate than single-position tidal gauges. Among other reasons, this is because they look at the whole globe, which allows you to distinguish local effects from global sea level rise.

      OH, and satellites are "GPS corrected" too, you know.

      Where satellite data is referenced to tidal gauges I trust it most,

      You have that backwards. When tidal gauges are referenced to satellite data, you can start trusting it. But the tidal gauges will still be single location measurements.

      where it isn't I trust it less. Where I trust it most there is no appreciable acceleration.

      I will say that acceleration is the hardest thing to measure, since it's a derivative of a noisy measurement, and a 25 year baseline is a little short for a good acceleration measurement. The data so far looks good, but I'd like to see another 25 years of satellite data before agreeing to a firm number.

      --
      http://www.geoffreylandis.com
    4. Re:Satellite measurements [Re:Oh good] by Pinky's+Brain · · Score: 1

      Let me rephrase that, since I seem to have been misinterpreted. At the position of the actual tidal gauge the possible errors in satellite data are far larger than in a differential GPS corrected tidal gauge.

      Together with lakes and land features (though trusting either of those too much is obviously not a good idea, behave fundamentally differently from the ocean) the tidal gauges are what the satellites are calibrated against after all. Not the other way around.

    5. Re:Satellite measurements [Re:Oh good] by Geoffrey.landis · · Score: 1

      Let me rephrase that, since I seem to have been misinterpreted. At the position of the actual tidal gauge the possible errors in satellite data are far larger than in a differential GPS corrected tidal gauge.

      Yes, you do always want to ground-truth space measurements. Even when the space measurement is more accurate, you still want to ground-truth it. So, basically, you're saying that in your opinion ground measurements are more accurate... at individual geographic points. Nevertheless, for global sea-level measurements-- which is what we're looking for-- the satellite altimeter is vastly accurate.

      OK, close enough that we can claim to agree. Good enough for me.

      --
      http://www.geoffreylandis.com
  52. Analyze all of the data by Geoffrey.landis · · Score: 5, Informative

    No. It shows a more rapid rise in the last couple of decades, but it does not show an acceleration overall. If you can cherry-pick a 20-25 year period, so can I.

    Just for reference, the 25 years of data was not cherry picked. The article being discussed analyzed satellite altimetry data, and the first of the satellite altimetry missions being discussed was TOPEX/Poseidon, which started giving data 25 years ago. 25 years is all the data that exists.

    When they analyze all the data that exists, that's the opposite of cherry picking.

    --
    http://www.geoffreylandis.com
    1. Re:Analyze all of the data by khayman80 · · Score: 2

      When they analyze all the data that exists, that's the opposite of cherry picking. [Geoffrey Landis]

      Indeed. I made this same point after Jane/Lonny baselessly accused Layzej of "cherry-picking" when Layzej loaded all the UAH data. Jane/Lonny then suggested cherry-picking at 1998, and keeps insisting that this somehow isn't "cherry-picking".

      Ironically, I even gave Jane/Lonny R code which calculates trends and accelerations of global mean sea level (GMSL) data. That graph accounts for autocorrelation- the red lines are 2 sigma uncertainties. The trends and accelerations are calculated over periods which all end at 2009.5. The new significance.zip (backup copies) contains my R statistics folder, including many data sets.

      Again, note that this approach avoids cherry-picking by using the entire dataset. Also note that all the best-fit accelerations are positive.

      Once again, that's consistent with this NOAA article:

      "Sea level is rising at an increasing rate ... There is strong evidence that global sea level is now rising at an increased rate and will continue to rise during this century. While studies show that sea levels changed little from AD 0 until 1900, sea levels began to climb in the 20th century. The two major causes of global sea-level rise are thermal expansion caused by the warming of the oceans (since water expands as it warms) and the loss of land-based ice (such as glaciers and polar ice caps) due to increased melting. Records and research show that sea level has been steadily rising at a rate of 1 to 2.5 millimeters (0.04 to 0.1 inches) per year since 1900. This rate may be increasing. Since 1992, new methods of satellite altimetry (the measurement of elevation or altitude) indicate a rate of rise of 3 millimeters (0.12 inches) per year. This is a significantly larger rate than the sea-level rise averaged over the last several thousand years."

      And once again, that's consistent with the 2013 IPCC AR5 SPM:

      "Proxy and instrumental sea level data indicate a transition in the late 19th to the early 20th century from relatively low mean rates of rise over the previous two millennia to higher rates of rise (high confidence). It is likely that the rate of global mean sea level rise has continued to increase since the early 20th century."

      That's also consistent with the US NAS's statement that "Sea level is rising faster in recent decades".

  53. Fission needs breeder or thorium by Geoffrey.landis · · Score: 2

    Fission could do that, easily. We've shown them how to do fission adequately. Maybe they could teach the rest of us how to do it well.

    Actually, no. If we just use fission, we run out of uranium in a hundred years or so-- it's not a long-term solution. We need fission plus breeder reactors, or else a switch to a thorium-based fuel cycle.

    --
    http://www.geoffreylandis.com
  54. Re: Yawn, This again by nomadic · · Score: 2

    "Right ... that's why there aren't any European plants growing in the Americas. Because we can't just go ahead and plant them; no, they have to evolve first."

    So your argument is that because some plants can grow in different regions of the world, every plant can grow in different regions of the world? So like temperature, precipitation, etc. can have no effect because you can grow lettuce in both England and California. That's...brilliant.

  55. Re:Yawn, This again by nomadic · · Score: 2

    You're forgetting to mention the lizard people who control the Club of Rome. And, of course, Soros' ninjas.

  56. Re: Sure, however... by c6gunner · · Score: 1

    Economic rules are not the same as physical laws. Physical laws exist regardless you believe in them. Economic rules are human rules. They can be changed. For example you can lower taxes for the rich or deprive people of healthcare.

    This is the economics equivalent of "look, I can make a snowball, so global warming isn't real". The fact that you were moded +5 "insightful" is truly frightening.

  57. Actually ... by PPH · · Score: 1

    ... it's been rising since Beringia. And the rate of change was much higher then than now. So we're just getting back to the norm.

    Since there were no SUVs or coal plants back then, I'm laying the blame on Native American campfires.

    --
    Have gnu, will travel.
  58. Re: Sure, however... by Khashishi · · Score: 1

    The government can remove the national debt by inflating the currency or by decree. There's no way to undo the changes to the environment.

  59. Re: Sure, however... by rot26 · · Score: 1

    There's no way to undo the changes to the environment.

    That's a pretty stupid thing to say, even for a 7th grader.

    --



    To ensure perfect aim, shoot first and call whatever you hit the target
  60. Re: Sure, however... by iamhassi · · Score: 2

    But we are suppose to be underwater now if you believed what we were told in 2000. You can only cry "the sky is falling!" so many times until people stop believing you. Besides, even if this is 100% true, high polluting countries like China with 1/5th of the world's population are the countries that need to do something about it. US makes up 4% of the world's population, even if those 4% made drastic changes to save the environment it would not help if the other 96% does nothing.

    --
    my karma will be here long after I'm gone
  61. Re: Sure, however... by bigpat · · Score: 1

    The rules of supply and demand and how they scale into an economic system ultimately are related to the physical constraints of that supply and demand.

  62. Re:You are clueless. by Hal_Porter · · Score: 1

    China already emits more CO2 than America. And the climate, if it cares at all, cares about total emissions not per capita emissions

    https://www.theguardian.com/en...

    --
    echo -e 'global _start\n _start:\n mov eax, 2\n int 80h\n jmp _start' > a.asm; nasm a.asm -f elf; ld a.o -o a;
  63. Re: Yawn, This again by dryeo · · Score: 1

    Climate is a general term. Long range climate, as you say, about a 30 year average. It is also accurate to say the local climate here is Aug is the hottest driest month, Dec is the wettest and Jan is the coldest.
    The IPC definition,

    Climate in a narrow sense is usually defined as the "average weather," or more rigorously, as the statistical description in terms of the mean and variability of relevant quantities over a period ranging from months to thousands or millions of years. The classical period is 30 years, as defined by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO). These quantities are most often surface variables such as temperature, precipitation, and wind. Climate in a wider sense is the state, including a statistical description, of the climate system.[9]

    Note climate can be measured from months to aeons.

    --
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inverted_totalitarianism
  64. Re:read the title at least dipshit by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

    Reading through it, I see a few things (and I saw them before I posted):

    1. No mention of the fit; the paper I linked shows a r^2 value of 0.94; what is it for their fit?

    2. Their conclusions are based upon subtracting estimated effects from non-CO2 based changes, and from estimates about how much ice there is. Meaning they are drawing conclusions accurate to 0.1mm, based upon several orders-of-magnitude higher estimates. Not good, statistically

    3. They ignore tide-gauge corrections for altitude, on the basis that tidal gauges are too sensitive to decadal changes. They even mention that doing so increases the acceleration; if they left the tide-gauge corrections in, the acceleration would be lower.

    4. There are several other papers (in the page to which I linked) which shows just the opposite of what is happening here, and it uses tidal gauges, satellite, or both for the results. In all cases, sea level changes are decelerating on a decadal basis. So at best this is a result that runs counter to many others, meaning "we're not sure".

    So, does realizing there are errors in this study - which runs counter to many other studies - make me a denialist? I'd say it makes me a realist. Which can be offensive to people who take AGW as a religious basis for their life...

    --
    Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
  65. Re: Yawn, This again by prefec2 · · Score: 1

    True. However, in context of global warming or climate change the term climate used originates from science. Therefore, the wider definition of climate does not apply. However, I can understand that there is some confusion based on the difference between both the scientific definition and the laymen term used by the public.

  66. Re:Sure, however... by swillden · · Score: 1

    Okay, but will this rise affect me in my lifetime, or can I safely ignore it and pass this problem off to the next generation like I plan on doing with the national debt?

    The key difference between the two is that the national debt is little more than a pattern of bits on some spinning disks (as the GOP seems to have suddenly realized), whereas the rising sea levels are a serious physical threat (which they have unfortunately not yet realized).

    Both are very real, and serious. Roughly the same level of real and serious, and even the same kind of real and serious, mostly, since rising sea levels will primarily be an economic catastrophe, not generally a threat to life and limb (with the exception of a few people who refuse to get out of the path of storms).

    The representation of the national debt is little more than patterns of bits, but the debts those bits represent are extremely real, not least to the people to whom the money is owed, and who will be very unhappy if they're suddenly discarded, or inflated away. Who are those people? Well, they fall into two main categories: Americans and foreigners. Americans are owed most of it, and the majority of American-held debt consists of the retirement savings of individual Americans. A little under 20% of it is owed to Social Security.

    So if the US decides to renege on its debt, lots of retirees and those who are getting close to retire are going to be seriously screwed. Even those who have their 401k accounts invested in non-government securities are going to get shafted when lots of institutional investors get shafted and the resulting stock market tumble. If you're thinking that the US can just invent a bunch more bits to feed and house and care for all of the retirees (including many who saved their whole lives and are seriously pissed that their government just screwed them), you create a whole new set of problems. I could go into them, but that's a subject for another post.

    What about the 47% of national debt that is owed to foreigners? What would be the impact of telling them "Ha ha fooled you, suckers!"? Lots and lots of things. First, it would very likely trigger a global depression (which would hurt America). Second, it's not inconceivable that it could provoke a war, at a moment when, third, we'd lose the ability to borrow at non-insane rates. This, in turn, would also mean that either the flow of international goods into the US would cease, or we'd have to start selling lots of America in exchange for the foreign stuff we want to buy, since we have been and will for the foreseeable future run current account deficits (the net difference between imports and exports). Those current account deficits are in large part facilitated by the countries with current account surpluses, who are collecting large piles of dollars, loaning those dollars back to us.

    In addition, Americans owe foreigners almost as much money as foreigners owe Americans. Refusing to make good on our debts to them will cause them to refuse to make good on their debts to us. So if the US government won't honor its obligations to foreign banks and investors, they won't honor their obligations to US banks and investors. Oops, there's Joe Sixpack's retirement taking it in the shorts yet again. Plus maybe his employer suddenly finding itself insolvent and laying him off.

    There's a lot more, but the bottom line is that the US cannot simply decide that its debts don't matter. The result would be economic catastrophe... probably not terribly different from the economic catastrophe caused by trillions of dollars of prime real estate gradually becoming marine life habitat. Not because bits really matter, but because the obligations those bits represent, obligations to real people, who have made real plans based on the assumption that the debts will be made good, matter.

    Money is not real. It's a fiction. But the goods, services and labor that money stands for and is used to trade are very

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  67. Re:Suspect Studies by sg_oneill · · Score: 1

    The Climate Science community has shown itself to be rather untrustworthy when it comes to data.

    Luckilly we have conspiracy theorist anonymous cowards to show those pesky scientists the truth

    From "hide the decline"

    A conservative talking-point discredited a long time ago. The "hide the decline" was a reference to a well understood flaw in arctic treeline tree ring data where Carbon isotope ratios go out of whack sometime in the 1980s, roughly around the time of cheynobyl. The "hide the decline" is a reference to removing faulty data. Scientists cleaning out errors is a stupid reason to distrust scientists

    to the wholesale guesstimation of temperatures over the vast majority of the globe

    A thing that doesnt actually happen.

    , to their explicit political activism, any statement about fact from these people should be looked at with a ton of salt.

    Methodologies, original data, modifications to data, all need to be disclosed and justified...explicitly. Unfortunately, scientists seem loath to do this.

    Oh put a sock in it, crazy person.

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  68. Re:read the title at least dipshit by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

    The papers cited at my link are in peer reviewed journals. And TFA was about an increasing acceleration of sea level, not a decreasing acceleration as you now admit is happening. Your attitude is about as anti-science as can be. But that's pretty common around here for ACs, isn't it?

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  69. What I've gathered from this is... by Kevin108 · · Score: 1

    Satellites are causing global warming.

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    It's a perfect time for being wasted.
    A perfect time to watch the stars.
    - Burden Brothers, "Beautiful Night"
  70. You are clueless. by crimson+tsunami · · Score: 1

    Yes it cares about total emissions and not lines on a map. Cut China into 4 countries if you like. North China, East China, South China and West China. Nothing else needs to change, same people same pollution. Each new China though is now only producing half the level of the US. So how much are you going ask America to cut, now that it's the most polluting country?
    Any way you look at it, Each person in America emit far more than a Chinese person. More than just about everyone in the world in fact.

  71. Re: Sure, however... by david_thornley · · Score: 1

    Exactly what the supply-demand constraints are doesn't matter. The rules work just fine with artificial scarcity through copyright, which is not particularly related to physics.

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    "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
  72. Re: Sure, however... by david_thornley · · Score: 1

    First, who told us we'd all be underwater? I don't remember reading that. Second, the US produces a lot of CO2, not much behind China, and it's probably easier to reduce CO2 emissions from a society with very high per capita emissions.

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    "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
  73. Re:Sure, however... by david_thornley · · Score: 1

    Money represents a valid claim on existing goods and newly produced goods and services. (The GOP remembers that these are just bits every time a Republican President is elected and forgets it when a Democrat is elected. This has been true since the "voodoo economics" introduced by Reagan in 1981.) If my government bonds become useless because the government has renounced them, then they've destroyed my claim on some goods and services. People, especially people of my age, who vote, take a very dim view of being made arbitrarily poorer by government action.

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    "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
  74. Re:Sick of the alarmism by david_thornley · · Score: 1

    It really doesn't matter why the storm surge was of a certain height. It was a certain height above sea level. If sea level had been lower, the surge would have been lower.

    And, contrary to your statement, the water did stop. It was stopped by higher ground, which had to be maybe a foot higher to stop it because of CO2 emissions. Depending on the ground slope, this covered a lot more area than just one foot farther.

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    "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
  75. Re:Sick of the alarmism by khayman80 · · Score: 1

    A lowess smooth filter can help analyze trends at various points in the Church and White global sea level dataset. The trend from 1930-1950 is significantly slower than the post-2000 trend: the error bars don't overlap.

  76. Photos please by kattisch · · Score: 1

    If this is satellite data, where are the photos showing proof of shrinking ice caps? The 25 years ago pictures vs. today? Oh and it should show summer vs summer pictures or winter vs winter pictures not winter vs. summer. Show me.