And having safer cars makes people feel more comfortable driving at higher speeds. If you replaced airbags with a 5 foot spike you'd probably get a dramatic reduction in speed.
Yeah Anonymous Coward finally drummed it into my thick skull. Actually I cracked the logic by thinking of it in the following terms:
"If the prize is behind the other two doors then Monty guarantees you win when you switch by opening the door without the prize. Thus you have 2/3 chance of winning if you switch."
Then I eventually worked out where I went wrong with the previous examples.
I was actually right in the claim that each route had a probability of 1/9 because I was looking at the probabilities as if Monty would open ANY door. THEN I removed the impossible situations but did not realise that it's the probability of S and T occuring must sum to 1/3 because that's the chance that the prize is behind door 1.
Although there are nine outcomes, obviously they are not equally probable. Monty cannot open the door that you picked, nor can he open a door with a prize behind it. Therefore, most of these have a probability of zero.
True BUT your logic is flawed in that they're all either 0 or equally probable. S is just as likely to happen as T or W or Y. Let's show all possible routes given a choice of door 1:
\ 1 2 3 - shown
R y n n - 1
S y n n - 2
T y n n - 3
U n y n - 1
V n y n - 2
W n y n - 3
X n n y - 1
Y n n y - 2
Z n n y - 3
Since we're listing all possible situations, each route has a probability of 1/9. Agreed?
Now lets remove the incidents where Monty cannot open the door picked or the door with the prize:
\ 1 2 3 - shown
S y n n - 2
T y n n - 3
W n y n - 3
Y n n y - 2
Now we're listing all possible situations considering Monty's information. Thus each route has equal probability. 1/4.
Hence if you stick with your door (route S or T) then you have 1/2 chance of being right. If you change (route W or Y) then you also have 1/2 a chance of being right.
Alternatively look at it this way. If Monty shows you what's behind one door, then the prize is behind one of 2 doors... hence you've got a 1 in 2 chance of being right no matter what door you choose.
Maybe it's me but I'm looking at this from a completely different perspective.
You have two doors. One has the prize. One doesn't. You've already picked door A. What's the chances of you winning the prize if you change and pick door B. All the host of the show has done is remove one door from your list of choices.
Either this problem is very very easy or I'm very very stupid.:(
Walk up to the wall with the special wallpaper, drag your finger as a rectangle forms to the size you want, select TV from the menu, then grab the remote. The special wallpaper cost $175 a roll last year, now it costs $120.
Common problem. Sacrificing usability for technology. Personally I don't even want to bother to walk up to the wall, move my finger around, select TV, and then walk back to the sofa.
In ten years time I want to sit on the sofa and with the touch of a button turn on the TV which is suitably located some distance from me. Oh wait! I can do that now!
Re:But where will this technology go from here?
on
Linux Hits the Road
·
· Score: 1
Think outside the box and use a steamroller. ONE BIG WHEEL!
But to make it go fast enough to be viable we need a good powersource so I suggest strapping a Jet Engine to the back of the steamroller giving the kind of performance we need.
Now all I need to figure out is how to make it turn sharp enough to make any corners.
Better hope your home address isn't easy to find you'll find him dangling from the roof tied up in Cat-5 cable and a line of geeks wating to woo you.;)
I love you guys!:) Only the Slashdot crew would hyper analyse a joke like that. Unfortunately only a limited few see the humour in the over-analysis.
I'm just waiting for someone to propose monitoring the sex and sexuality of Slashdot posters so we can discuss this situation against a backdrop of real data.
Re:Human Arrogance (wasRe:The Matrix is just a mov
on
Powered by Blood
·
· Score: 1
> > We don't jump to race as the first answer, and instead of not wanting to offend anybody by saying it, we just don't even think about it in the first place.
Someone's point got lost somewhere. If there's a higher percentage of incidents against one race than another then you're more likely to associate that race with the incident. Simple.
It also works with stereotypes. Of all the women I meet the ones who wear large hoop earings, too much makeup and wear sports clothes when clubbing also tend to come from low income households and have a poor education. They're also very likely to end up single moms in their teens.
So if I see a girl fitting that description then I make assumptions about her background. Simple dimple pimple.
Re:Human Arrogance (wasRe:The Matrix is just a mov
on
Powered by Blood
·
· Score: 1
Come on! You guys are still looking at this from a developer's viewpoint. What you're forgetting is that this could be an extremely valuable tool for businesses looking to implement a third party software.
Put it this way: you have a choice between two firewalls. You put the binaries for each through this software and one report shows repeated use of classes with known vulnerabilities.
Agreed. But only pick fights with underlings cause bosses tend to get vindictive when they lose. In my last job I took out my manager with a sweet left hook and she fired me the next day for secual harrasment.
Yeah and anybody else who's curious about something that I and the parent poster think is boring, just don't post your questions where we might be able to see it and not care enough about your pointless question that we feel the need to point out how pointless your questions is and how we really don't care about it.
With that kind of depressive negative attitude I can only suggest that you go and off yourself right now. At least then you'll be increasing the average happiness of humankind.
My sincere thanks... I really do understand the GPL better now.:) I see how wrong I was. All I can do is stand by the one correct statement which is that you can't expect jack in return.
His mistake, then, wasn't in licenscing his software using the GPL... but was in giving away his software for free.
One question though, what happens if the creator SELLS the software to a person and that user decides to give it away to everyone. Then surely that is quite legal under the terms of the GPL and hence is a legal method of denying a person their just rewards for an investment in time and energy?
I think I'd better go read up on it.
P.S. Any mods reading this... please mod the parent up and the grand-parent down.
Slashdot Mirror
The biggest one is the highspeed collision.
And having safer cars makes people feel more comfortable driving at higher speeds. If you replaced airbags with a 5 foot spike you'd probably get a dramatic reduction in speed.
Yeah Anonymous Coward finally drummed it into my thick skull. Actually I cracked the logic by thinking of it in the following terms:
;-)
"If the prize is behind the other two doors then Monty guarantees you win when you switch by opening the door without the prize. Thus you have 2/3 chance of winning if you switch."
Then I eventually worked out where I went wrong with the previous examples.
I was actually right in the claim that each route had a probability of 1/9 because I was looking at the probabilities as if Monty would open ANY door. THEN I removed the impossible situations but did not realise that it's the probability of S and T occuring must sum to 1/3 because that's the chance that the prize is behind door 1.
Now I remember why I hated probabilities.
Argh! There goes any chance of me working with probabilities ever again!!
Finally worked it out. I'm off to sulk.
Your probabilities are screwed.
Although there are nine outcomes, obviously they are not equally probable. Monty cannot open the door that you picked, nor can he open a door with a prize behind it. Therefore, most of these have a probability of zero.
True BUT your logic is flawed in that they're all either 0 or equally probable. S is just as likely to happen as T or W or Y. Let's show all possible routes given a choice of door 1:
\ 1 2 3 - shown
R y n n - 1
S y n n - 2
T y n n - 3
U n y n - 1
V n y n - 2
W n y n - 3
X n n y - 1
Y n n y - 2
Z n n y - 3
Since we're listing all possible situations, each route has a probability of 1/9. Agreed?
Now lets remove the incidents where Monty cannot open the door picked or the door with the prize:
\ 1 2 3 - shown
S y n n - 2
T y n n - 3
W n y n - 3
Y n n y - 2
Now we're listing all possible situations considering Monty's information. Thus each route has equal probability. 1/4.
Hence if you stick with your door (route S or T) then you have 1/2 chance of being right. If you change (route W or Y) then you also have 1/2 a chance of being right.
Alternatively look at it this way.
If Monty shows you what's behind one door, then the prize is behind one of 2 doors... hence you've got a 1 in 2 chance of being right no matter what door you choose.
Why is case S or T 1/2 as likely?
:(
Maybe it's me but I'm looking at this from a completely different perspective.
You have two doors. One has the prize. One doesn't. You've already picked door A. What's the chances of you winning the prize if you change and pick door B. All the host of the show has done is remove one door from your list of choices.
Either this problem is very very easy or I'm very very stupid.
Walk up to the wall with the special wallpaper, drag your finger as a rectangle forms to the size you want, select TV from the menu, then grab the remote. The special wallpaper cost $175 a roll last year, now it costs $120.
Common problem. Sacrificing usability for technology. Personally I don't even want to bother to walk up to the wall, move my finger around, select TV, and then walk back to the sofa.
In ten years time I want to sit on the sofa and with the touch of a button turn on the TV which is suitably located some distance from me. Oh wait! I can do that now!
Think outside the box and use a steamroller. ONE BIG WHEEL! But to make it go fast enough to be viable we need a good powersource so I suggest strapping a Jet Engine to the back of the steamroller giving the kind of performance we need. Now all I need to figure out is how to make it turn sharp enough to make any corners.
Better hope your home address isn't easy to find you'll find him dangling from the roof tied up in Cat-5 cable and a line of geeks wating to woo you. ;)
I dunno. Better to use Coax.
I love you guys! :) Only the Slashdot crew would hyper analyse a joke like that. Unfortunately only a limited few see the humour in the over-analysis.
I'm just waiting for someone to propose monitoring the sex and sexuality of Slashdot posters so we can discuss this situation against a backdrop of real data.
LOL! :-)
/dev/null
Sometimes I think it's
> > We don't jump to race as the first answer, and instead of not wanting to offend anybody by saying it, we just don't even think about it in the first place.
Someone's point got lost somewhere. If there's a higher percentage of incidents against one race than another then you're more likely to associate that race with the incident. Simple.
It also works with stereotypes. Of all the women I meet the ones who wear large hoop earings, too much makeup and wear sports clothes when clubbing also tend to come from low income households and have a poor education. They're also very likely to end up single moms in their teens.
So if I see a girl fitting that description then I make assumptions about her background. Simple dimple pimple.
What's the definition of intelligence?
>> thus eliminating the need for testing...
Very good. You've just proved conclusively that you did not read the article. You'll fit in well here.
Come on! You guys are still looking at this from a developer's viewpoint. What you're forgetting is that this could be an extremely valuable tool for businesses looking to implement a third party software.
Put it this way: you have a choice between two firewalls. You put the binaries for each through this software and one report shows repeated use of classes with known vulnerabilities.
Which vendor are you going to buy from?
The best answer yet!!
;-) Superb.
Ona similar vein I love the irony in posting on the internet asking how to stop using the internet.
Agreed. But only pick fights with underlings cause bosses tend to get vindictive when they lose. In my last job I took out my manager with a sweet left hook and she fired me the next day for secual harrasment.
Wait... did he say fidget or fight?
Only on slashdot would someone reply to quantify the joke AND GET MODDED AS FUNNY!!!
The saddest part of this whole thing is that I agree with the moderation. Kill me now.
Actually it's quite easy. The code is related to a language used by an ancient civilisation called the "ro - mans".
X in that language means 10
So the correct fax number is 1 (212) 101010 - 10101010. Easy peasy. Back in a sec.
Yeah and anybody else who's curious about something that I and the parent poster think is boring, just don't post your questions where we might be able to see it and not care enough about your pointless question that we feel the need to point out how pointless your questions is and how we really don't care about it.
Whatever, I don't care, it's all pointless.
Good point!
Sorry.
Yeah, the American military have a pretty good kill ratio when it comes to friendly fire. ;-)
In case you didn't RFTA
RFTA?
- Reach For The Article?
- Run From The Article?
- Ram Fuck The Ass?
We haven't actually got his ip address yet... uh... wait. Forget I said anything.
Jenna has bad teeth dude...
;-)
You saw her teeth? There's normally a large penis blocking the view.
With that kind of depressive negative attitude I can only suggest that you go and off yourself right now. At least then you'll be increasing the average happiness of humankind.
My sincere thanks... I really do understand the GPL better now. :) I see how wrong I was. All I can do is stand by the one correct statement which is that you can't expect jack in return.
His mistake, then, wasn't in licenscing his software using the GPL... but was in giving away his software for free.
One question though, what happens if the creator SELLS the software to a person and that user decides to give it away to everyone. Then surely that is quite legal under the terms of the GPL and hence is a legal method of denying a person their just rewards for an investment in time and energy?
I think I'd better go read up on it.
P.S. Any mods reading this... please mod the parent up and the grand-parent down.