If you would actually read the site you might notice that he's fully explained how he does things. He uses the most recent poll, which lately is often Zogby. He's admitted that this presents a problem and created an averaged map:
Also in the current map he is averaging Zogby and Gallup for Ohio and a few other swing states.
Your comments about Zogby dissenting in 2000 are odd. Remember that Gore actually won the popular vote. Zogby was one of only 2 pollsters to predict a Gore popular vote win. If anything this proves that Zogby uses better techniques.
Yes, Tanenbaum has admitted he is partisan, but his site takes every effort to show both sides. At least give him some respect for the effort he's made.
-matt
Re:Actually, More Fragmented Market
on
The Long Tail
·
· Score: 1
A lead political correspondent actually publishing a completely bogus article about a presidential candidate. Where is the outrage we saw with CBS and Dan Rather. This person should be fired from his position.
I don't agree with your assumption. Even with iChat there is still heavy development of Adium, Fire and Proteus. As for Jabber, thank goodness Apple is adding it to iChat. Current Mac Jabber clients are dreadful. With iChat server and iChat supporting Jabber it will increase the Mac markets Jabber awarness and cause an increase in demand for Jabber clients. I'm sure Fire/Adium/Proteus will all improve their Jabber capabilities do to the increased demand.
It's just crazy how different people are. I hate the trackpoint things and adore trackpads on laptops. Well not all trackpads, the one on a Dell I had a few years ago was horrible beyond words. All of the Apple trackpads I've used were silky smooth and perfect for laptop mousing.
It's actually not that hard with Darwin Ports. It does all the work, and Apple's new X11 server is very slick. Gaim feels just like a native app and it's very fast.
I'd love to use Adium, but it doesn't support group chat yet. It will in the next release.70 though, so I'll likely dump Gaim at that point.
It's not just about the music business. It's about digital media standards. iTunes Music Store represents Quicktime. If it become the defacto standard format for digital music, it's not too hard to see it becoming the standard for digital movies as well.
Microsoft's offerings are all WMA, and they don't even work on Macs. If Apple gives up, then MS has a lock on the standard audio and video formats and they can do whatever they want. Microsoft doesn't need another controlling position in the computer world.
You've got that a bit backwards. They are using leveraging their wildly successful portable digital music player to take over the legal music download market.
The iTunes Music Store came after the iPod was already a huge hit, and it rides off the iPod's success. As of Apple Expo Paris, Apple claims a 58% iPod market share for all mp3 players. If that 58% buys online music, it's about guaranteed they'll buy from iTMS.
First of all you aren't supposed to turn off an iPod. It goes to sleep on it's own after a few minutes of use and wakes right back up again if I want to use it.
Second I don't think you understand this whole wheel thing at all. Let's look at a 30 GB music player with 7,000 songs. If I'm in song view, that's 7,000 lines to scroll. 7,000 is a lot especially with a button or a thumb wheel. Let's say the thumb wheel can scroll through 10 lines per pull. That's 700 pulls on the thumb wheel to get to the bottom!
Now the iPod uses a full wheel that allows smooth and continuous scrolling, which allows for acceleration. Using the iPod I can scroll to the bottom of a 7,000 line list in maybe 10 revolutions give or take a few.
What would you rather do, pull your thumb wheel hundreds or times, or click the button to death, or give a wheel a few easy spins?
Pre SP1 the built-in firewall is disabled when you run Windows Update (MS was really thinking there). So the built-in firewall is useless unless you are starting from SP1.
You don't have to wait. The very last menu item of the top most (root) menu is called Now Playing. Select that and bam you are back to the Now Playing screen. The location of this menu is perfect because you blindly go back to the top menu the give the scroll wheel a good flick to the bottom to get back to now playing without looking at the iPod.
Regarding the separate volume buttons for the Rio, I don't like that at all. On a device the size a tiny MP3 player I don't want a lot of extra buttons, plus you need to be sure you are on the + or - button. With the wheel you always know what way your changing the volume, plus you can do it quickly. Don't have to push a button a bunch of time to crank the volume or turn it way down.
I would be shocked if this didn't work. It will stream the music from the desktop to the laptop, then from the laptop to the airport express and your stereo. It might not work, but it really should.
Why would I want a hard drive and an interface? I have a big hard drive in my Power Mac, why should I duplicate all of my music on some MP3 network device and my Power Mac? Why would I want to manage music in 2 places? If I rip a new CD why would I want to add it to the MP3 device too?
This device is half the price of what you mention and it acts as a wireless access point as a side benefit of streaming music. This is perfect for most users. The remote could be an issue, but you can control this with any laptop with iTunes and play the music from a desktop in another room on the speakers in your room. You can also use any of the new bluetooth equipped phones to remote control iTunes. I use the Salling Clicker on my T616 to control iTunes all the time. Hopefully apple will make a remote device soon that uses 802.11b and has a small LCD, I'm sure they will before too long, and if they don't I'm sure a few other companies will.
That's exactly what I was thinking. It seems like a horrible waste of money to use fiber from the edge switches when copper would work just as well. If they are running fiber all the way to each room from their routing center then they are flat out nuts.
I also wonder what kind of uplinks they have on their switches. Are they really running 10GbE or maybe 802.3AD?, or do they just have GbE uplinks as well?
Actually the XP firewall turns off when you connect to Windows Update. If you have SP1 then you can turn on the XP firewall, but with a vanilla XP install it won't help you get the updates.
MacRumors Buyers Guide is a good place to look for a general idea. They should be releasing a revision with faster processors and a few minor improvements in the next month or two.
Note that in product demos of the beast, the iPod shows up as a FIREWIRE DISK ON THE DESKTOP. I see no problems with transferring MP3s, just be a little craftier. Sheesh. Hardly any hacking required.
Correction...NO hacking required! Apple's FAQ states that when in Firewire disk mode you can transfer mp3s, no need to zip them. Also, you can use iTunes to transfer mp3s between multiple machines, you just have to enter manual mode.
No, this is wrong. iPod supports copying mp3 files between computers using iTunes AND firewire disk mode. The FAQ clearly states that when the iPod is set to transfer mp3s in manual mode you can drag and drop songs from to iPod to a computer.
Slashdot Mirror
If you would actually read the site you might notice that he's fully explained how he does things. He uses the most recent poll, which lately is often Zogby. He's admitted that this presents a problem and created an averaged map:
http://www.electoral-vote.com/fin/nov01z.html
Also in the current map he is averaging Zogby and Gallup for Ohio and a few other swing states.
Your comments about Zogby dissenting in 2000 are odd. Remember that Gore actually won the popular vote. Zogby was one of only 2 pollsters to predict a Gore popular vote win. If anything this proves that Zogby uses better techniques.
Yes, Tanenbaum has admitted he is partisan, but his site takes every effort to show both sides. At least give him some respect for the effort he's made.
-matt
You mean like this:
l d/ 2002052224_debatefox02.html
http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/nationwor
A lead political correspondent actually publishing a completely bogus article about a presidential candidate. Where is the outrage we saw with CBS and Dan Rather. This person should be fired from his position.
-matt
Based on most estimates it will cost at bare minimum $250. I'm guessing $300 or more though.
-matt
I don't agree with your assumption. Even with iChat there is still heavy development of Adium, Fire and Proteus. As for Jabber, thank goodness Apple is adding it to iChat. Current Mac Jabber clients are dreadful. With iChat server and iChat supporting Jabber it will increase the Mac markets Jabber awarness and cause an increase in demand for Jabber clients. I'm sure Fire/Adium/Proteus will all improve their Jabber capabilities do to the increased demand.
If you like Jabber this is very good news.
It's just crazy how different people are. I hate the trackpoint things and adore trackpads on laptops. Well not all trackpads, the one on a Dell I had a few years ago was horrible beyond words. All of the Apple trackpads I've used were silky smooth and perfect for laptop mousing.
To each their own though.
-matt
It's actually not that hard with Darwin Ports. It does all the work, and Apple's new X11 server is very slick. Gaim feels just like a native app and it's very fast.
.70 though, so I'll likely dump Gaim at that point.
I'd love to use Adium, but it doesn't support group chat yet. It will in the next release
-matt
No argument here. iTunes and iPod integration are untouched in the current market. I wouldn't be without my iPod.
-matt
iPod's can't playback other DRM'd music, so an iPod owner buying from the Napster store wouldn't be able to play their purchased songs on their iPod.
-matt
Musicmobs is a great site. Hopefully the affiliate money will fund the hosting fees and give you a bit of cash for all your work.
-matt
It's not just about the music business. It's about digital media standards. iTunes Music Store represents Quicktime. If it become the defacto standard format for digital music, it's not too hard to see it becoming the standard for digital movies as well.
Microsoft's offerings are all WMA, and they don't even work on Macs. If Apple gives up, then MS has a lock on the standard audio and video formats and they can do whatever they want. Microsoft doesn't need another controlling position in the computer world.
-matt
You've got that a bit backwards. They are using leveraging their wildly successful portable digital music player to take over the legal music download market.
The iTunes Music Store came after the iPod was already a huge hit, and it rides off the iPod's success. As of Apple Expo Paris, Apple claims a 58% iPod market share for all mp3 players. If that 58% buys online music, it's about guaranteed they'll buy from iTMS.
-matt
First of all you aren't supposed to turn off an iPod. It goes to sleep on it's own after a few minutes of use and wakes right back up again if I want to use it.
Second I don't think you understand this whole wheel thing at all. Let's look at a 30 GB music player with 7,000 songs. If I'm in song view, that's 7,000 lines to scroll. 7,000 is a lot especially with a button or a thumb wheel. Let's say the thumb wheel can scroll through 10 lines per pull. That's 700 pulls on the thumb wheel to get to the bottom!
Now the iPod uses a full wheel that allows smooth and continuous scrolling, which allows for acceleration. Using the iPod I can scroll to the bottom of a 7,000 line list in maybe 10 revolutions give or take a few.
What would you rather do, pull your thumb wheel hundreds or times, or click the button to death, or give a wheel a few easy spins?
-matt
Pre SP1 the built-in firewall is disabled when you run Windows Update (MS was really thinking there). So the built-in firewall is useless unless you are starting from SP1.
-matt
You don't have to wait. The very last menu item of the top most (root) menu is called Now Playing. Select that and bam you are back to the Now Playing screen. The location of this menu is perfect because you blindly go back to the top menu the give the scroll wheel a good flick to the bottom to get back to now playing without looking at the iPod.
Regarding the separate volume buttons for the Rio, I don't like that at all. On a device the size a tiny MP3 player I don't want a lot of extra buttons, plus you need to be sure you are on the + or - button. With the wheel you always know what way your changing the volume, plus you can do it quickly. Don't have to push a button a bunch of time to crank the volume or turn it way down.
-matt
I would be shocked if this didn't work. It will stream the music from the desktop to the laptop, then from the laptop to the airport express and your stereo. It might not work, but it really should.
-matt
Why would I want a hard drive and an interface? I have a big hard drive in my Power Mac, why should I duplicate all of my music on some MP3 network device and my Power Mac? Why would I want to manage music in 2 places? If I rip a new CD why would I want to add it to the MP3 device too?
This device is half the price of what you mention and it acts as a wireless access point as a side benefit of streaming music. This is perfect for most users. The remote could be an issue, but you can control this with any laptop with iTunes and play the music from a desktop in another room on the speakers in your room. You can also use any of the new bluetooth equipped phones to remote control iTunes. I use the Salling Clicker on my T616 to control iTunes all the time. Hopefully apple will make a remote device soon that uses 802.11b and has a small LCD, I'm sure they will before too long, and if they don't I'm sure a few other companies will.
-matt
That's exactly what I was thinking. It seems like a horrible waste of money to use fiber from the edge switches when copper would work just as well. If they are running fiber all the way to each room from their routing center then they are flat out nuts.
I also wonder what kind of uplinks they have on their switches. Are they really running 10GbE or maybe 802.3AD?, or do they just have GbE uplinks as well?
-matt
Actually the XP firewall turns off when you connect to Windows Update. If you have SP1 then you can turn on the XP firewall, but with a vanilla XP install it won't help you get the updates.
-matt
On 10.2 and 10.3, or just on 10.2?
-matt
Actually WPA auth works well with 10.2. I think the Airport 3.3 update added this functionality.
-matt
MacRumors Buyers Guide is a good place to look for a general idea. They should be releasing a revision with faster processors and a few minor improvements in the next month or two.
-matt
Note that in product demos of the beast, the iPod shows up as a FIREWIRE DISK ON THE DESKTOP. I see no problems with transferring MP3s, just be a little craftier. Sheesh. Hardly any hacking required.
Correction...NO hacking required! Apple's FAQ states that when in Firewire disk mode you can transfer mp3s, no need to zip them. Also, you can use iTunes to transfer mp3s between multiple machines, you just have to enter manual mode.
No, this is wrong. iPod supports copying mp3 files between computers using iTunes AND firewire disk mode. The FAQ clearly states that when the iPod is set to transfer mp3s in manual mode you can drag and drop songs from to iPod to a computer.