90% of Asteroids are "hidden" and we have only started to become more sophisticated and active in trying to detect them. We do not know where these 100 meter asteroid's orbits are in relation to Earth.
We know that some asteroids which travel such that the Sun obscures them most of the time (rocky ones with no "comet tails"), are EXTREMELY hard to detect.
Given that we have a Tunguska size (100 meter) impact about once per century, I would give a 1 in 4 chance of an impact or aerial explosion inside of 2040. It is all statistics with a fairly high degree of certainty. Am I an astrophysicist? No, but as an engineer, I read what they write and it is pretty well settled on the information with which to judge chances of an impact of something "sizable",
After seeing 3 decades of this crap, I am astonished the studios still haven't got a clue how people use entertainment. Once a consumer views a movie it is a rare event to watch it again beyond the first week, unless you have kids.
Micro and nano particulates have long been known to cause various lung problems: asbestos, smoke particles, cooking "fumes" from wood fires in Asia, silica, farm dust, etc. Living near those sources gives people more problems.
Anyone on either side of the issue has to admit the evidence is rather clear that you don't want those in your lungs and it is not a left or right issue, but just plain human health.
It is time past to fix the problems. So those who waited to do the fix will now suffer the legal bills.
I think overtly creative people get to be that way partly because they are not "normal". It is their gift or mindset to be able to see, conjecture and analyze what others can not fathom.
Yet we tend to shy away from anyone who is "not normal". I am glad Mr. Nash has been able to proceed in his career in spite of his problems. I hope his story gives others with problems some inspiration.
When the bids went out to professional engineers in the aerospace seal business, my friend, now gone sadly, was asked to bid on the large O'Ring seal design for the shuttle booster rockets.
He did his basic expansion calculations on what temperature changes would do to the large diameter structure and came to the conclusion it would not work and replied declining to quote with a note that it didn't seem to be workable because of basic physics.
Rudolph's opinion was never seriously taken and we know the result.
Upfront: I am over 60. Been doing product design for 45+ years. I think and have thought for decades, you get what you pay for.
An article recently in Wired or Tech. Review noted that it takes longer for engineers in complex subjects to start to make significant innovations and patents as the technology field becomes so much more complex from coatings to material alloys to sensors. Older, more experienced engineers are needed.
Experience = thousands of failures experienced on your projects and co-workers failures, some which were "fixed" and some which were terminal. Success = avoiding & overcoming failures quickly based on wide experience in your field!
Without that knowledge, you don't know how to frame a design to avoid the hidden failure modes, and you don't have the breadth of solutions to offer to get to a solution in the fastest time.
I've seen newer engineers make gross mistakes costing companies on a single product, millions of dollars a year in lost profits for a variety of reasons and also having a less than optimal product. I also know that the guy who designed it was 2 years out of college and given the design job because "it is a simple product". You can analyze this 10 ways to Sunday, but everyone knows you can produce a simple product that is a loser. It is also true that the young engineer did NOT have an experienced engineer over him to guide him in the right directions. Most likely it was an "Engineering Manager" who didn't know true product design that gave the young guy the job.
Given all the issues with both hacked outside and inside manipulated complex IT systems in banking, I am surprised more banks haven't collapsed.
The mentality in the trading operations actually is a psychological statement that the bank is greedy and wants every penny it can wring out of trades and they think that doesn't affect their workers.
Take a look at learning how to setup and "program" FileMaker Pro for small businesses. I am not claiming you can jump in and become an expert in 2-3 months. You need an organized mind and a desire to figure out effective business solutions. It will require a lot of FMPro training of one type or another and you might work with one of the certified developers in your area. Plenty of books exist on database development, so the core knowledge is out there.
FileMaker is also entering the larger company markets, too, what with their iPad & iPhone apps connecting back to the FMPro on a server.
The US government doesn't always do the right thing, doesn't always consider the long term effects, doesn't always have arms length transactions which happen with Solyndras and don't always treat people fairly or disclose information which would refute lawmakers claims trying to justify their programs.
So...GE makes jet engines and PLC controllers both to 6 Sigma. How come I don't feel as good about flying now?
Wikipedia: "Six Sigma originated as a set of practices designed to improve manufacturing processes and eliminate defects, but its application was subsequently extended to other types of business processes as well. In Six Sigma, a defect is defined as any process output that does not meet customer specifications, or that could lead to creating an output that does not meet customer specifications."
Nearest Star = 4.2 light years. At the moderate speeds we would be able to generate to accelerate, but then an equal amount of fuel to decelerate to enter orbit around such a star in time measured in something larger than 10s of thousands of years at survivable speeds that don't erode the probe down from "plasma erosion" like you have with a plasma jet cutting machine.
Helium, Hydrogen and Protons and electrons hitting any metal or ceramic surface at huge speeds eventually cut through, even if only in thousands or tens of thousands of years.
A signal back from the probe would then take 4.2 light years to reach back to earth......if it didn't hit the smallest little rock or ice chunk along the way, which is a real undetectable possibility, and at the high speeds it takes, those would be fatal.
I understand the thrill of the thought process and the income if you are on the program and getting paid.
As a taxpayer, it leaves me as cold as intersteller space.
Come ON! The complete solar/galactic cycle for the Earth is 110,000 years giver or take a few years and it has done that for at least the last 2.5 million years again and again.
That cycle from ice age to hotter has not been documented enough to claim that 130 years can statistically be significant to claim that 130 years out of 110,000 represents CERTAINTY.
All the file utilities for both Mac and PC and how you handle these different systems including forward/backward compatibility, Parallels, VMWare, Backup software, hard drives and tape devices will all go through teeth nashing debugs as we try to get everything to work with a new file system.
That may be OK when you are an IT professional.
For someone who "just wants it to work" there is likely to be lots of surprises ahead.
Samantha deserves to get the credit for not letting distractions others have created around her from stopping her desire to forge ahead.
That is the American spirit alive and well in the U.S. It is the spirit that entrepreneurs must have to try and try again, as not all efforts succeed.
Being homeless is so easy to have happen if one or two key earning parents get laid off and can't downsize quickly enough in a major downturn. It is not possible for everyone to come out whole. It is just the enforced position you sometimes get thrown into when economic events flip you upside down.
I quite admire the Indian's ability to survive in the face of their societal and economic circumstances where the challenges are huge on multiple levels.
The info I cited came from WHO report data which was in the UK Telegraph, if I remember the source correctly, and it was published about 2 weeks ago.
So...the non-resistant Indians die and leave a super-race?
Oh, there is also nearly totally drug resistant MRSA in India and the WHO in the EU has now found 80% of travellers coming back from India have MRSA in their gut.
Wonderful new low cost product solutions from India. Ain't we happy?
Progress happens. Fewer devices, cables, parts, total cost. Phones and their tablet kin have more uses and allow gaming to be done by even more people than before, but Sony doesn't want to believe it.
You can shove a hell of a lot more materials through a pipe, even a small one, than you can through a man size tunnel.
If I were the feds I'ld be watching & listening for horizontal drilling or use of old unused water, drainage and oil pipelines that can be commandered.
Slashdot Mirror
90% of Asteroids are "hidden" and we have only started to become more sophisticated and active in trying to detect them. We do not know where these 100 meter asteroid's orbits are in relation to Earth.
We know that some asteroids which travel such that the Sun obscures them most of the time (rocky ones with no "comet tails"), are EXTREMELY hard to detect.
Given that we have a Tunguska size (100 meter) impact about once per century, I would give a 1 in 4 chance of an impact or aerial explosion inside of 2040. It is all statistics with a fairly high degree of certainty. Am I an astrophysicist? No, but as an engineer, I read what they write and it is pretty well settled on the information with which to judge chances of an impact of something "sizable",
After seeing 3 decades of this crap, I am astonished the studios still haven't got a clue how people use entertainment.
Once a consumer views a movie it is a rare event to watch it again beyond the first week, unless you have kids.
Micro and nano particulates have long been known to cause various lung problems: asbestos, smoke particles, cooking "fumes" from wood fires in Asia, silica, farm dust, etc. Living near those sources gives people more problems.
Anyone on either side of the issue has to admit the evidence is rather clear that you don't want those in your lungs and it is not a left or right issue, but just plain human health.
It is time past to fix the problems. So those who waited to do the fix will now suffer the legal bills.
Surprise? No.
They slap you with an ASBO?
It is not illegal to climb, but you might hurt yourself or your friend, and that would be "antisocial".
And then if you do skateboarding...
And tattoos and nose piercing...
We have a room in this insane asylum...
I think overtly creative people get to be that way partly because they are not "normal". It is their gift or mindset to be able to see, conjecture and analyze what others can not fathom.
Yet we tend to shy away from anyone who is "not normal". I am glad Mr. Nash has been able to proceed in his career in spite of his problems. I hope his story gives others with problems some inspiration.
It is entirely possible for a virus to give tissue damage that then results in a bacterial infection or visa versa!
Hence, I can easily believe that a rhinovirus could easily prevent clearing up a sinus infection with bacteria.
Biofilms, as mentioned by others, may also be an important variable.
It is anything but simple "Yes or No."
I just get your cellphone when you are not looking in Saudi Arabia and insult the prophet!
Now that is a modern, well educated, socially forward thinking type of government...yeah!
When the bids went out to professional engineers in the aerospace seal business, my friend, now gone sadly, was asked to bid on the large O'Ring seal design for the shuttle booster rockets.
He did his basic expansion calculations on what temperature changes would do to the large diameter structure and came to the conclusion it would not work and replied declining to quote with a note that it didn't seem to be workable because of basic physics.
Rudolph's opinion was never seriously taken and we know the result.
Upfront: I am over 60. Been doing product design for 45+ years. I think and have thought for decades, you get what you pay for.
An article recently in Wired or Tech. Review noted that it takes longer for engineers in complex subjects to start to make significant innovations and patents as the technology field becomes so much more complex from coatings to material alloys to sensors. Older, more experienced engineers are needed.
Experience = thousands of failures experienced on your projects and co-workers failures, some which were "fixed" and some which were terminal. Success = avoiding & overcoming failures quickly based on wide experience in your field!
Without that knowledge, you don't know how to frame a design to avoid the hidden failure modes, and you don't have the breadth of solutions to offer to get to a solution in the fastest time.
I've seen newer engineers make gross mistakes costing companies on a single product, millions of dollars a year in lost profits for a variety of reasons and also having a less than optimal product. I also know that the guy who designed it was 2 years out of college and given the design job because "it is a simple product". You can analyze this 10 ways to Sunday, but everyone knows you can produce a simple product that is a loser. It is also true that the young engineer did NOT have an experienced engineer over him to guide him in the right directions. Most likely it was an "Engineering Manager" who didn't know true product design that gave the young guy the job.
Given all the issues with both hacked outside and inside manipulated complex IT systems in banking, I am surprised more banks haven't collapsed.
The mentality in the trading operations actually is a psychological statement that the bank is greedy and wants every penny it can wring out of trades and they think that doesn't affect their workers.
Take a look at learning how to setup and "program" FileMaker Pro for small businesses. I am not claiming you can jump in and become an expert in 2-3 months. You need an organized mind and a desire to figure out effective business solutions. It will require a lot of FMPro training of one type or another and you might work with one of the certified developers in your area. Plenty of books exist on database development, so the core knowledge is out there.
FileMaker is also entering the larger company markets, too, what with their iPad & iPhone apps connecting back to the FMPro on a server.
http://www.appleinsider.com/articles/12/01/27/filemaker_highlights_successful_deployment_of_ipads_by_austin_texas.html
http://www.filemaker.com/
The US government doesn't always do the right thing, doesn't always consider the long term effects, doesn't always have arms length transactions which happen with Solyndras and don't always treat people fairly or disclose information which would refute lawmakers claims trying to justify their programs.
Disclosure makes 100% sense in a democracy.
So...GE makes jet engines and PLC controllers both to 6 Sigma. How come I don't feel as good about flying now?
Wikipedia: "Six Sigma originated as a set of practices designed to improve manufacturing processes and eliminate defects, but its application was subsequently extended to other types of business processes as well. In Six Sigma, a defect is defined as any process output that does not meet customer specifications, or that could lead to creating an output that does not meet customer specifications."
Nearest Star = 4.2 light years. At the moderate speeds we would be able to generate to accelerate, but then an equal amount of fuel to decelerate to enter orbit around such a star in time measured in something larger than 10s of thousands of years at survivable speeds that don't erode the probe down from "plasma erosion" like you have with a plasma jet cutting machine.
Helium, Hydrogen and Protons and electrons hitting any metal or ceramic surface at huge speeds eventually cut through, even if only in thousands or tens of thousands of years.
A signal back from the probe would then take 4.2 light years to reach back to earth......if it didn't hit the smallest little rock or ice chunk along the way, which is a real undetectable possibility, and at the high speeds it takes, those would be fatal.
I understand the thrill of the thought process and the income if you are on the program and getting paid.
As a taxpayer, it leaves me as cold as intersteller space.
Come ON! The complete solar/galactic cycle for the Earth is 110,000 years giver or take a few years and it has done that for at least the last 2.5 million years again and again.
That cycle from ice age to hotter has not been documented enough to claim that 130 years can statistically be significant to claim that 130 years out of 110,000 represents CERTAINTY.
Sorry, but I do NOT buy the argument.
All the file utilities for both Mac and PC and how you handle these different systems including forward/backward compatibility, Parallels, VMWare, Backup software, hard drives and tape devices will all go through teeth nashing debugs as we try to get everything to work with a new file system.
That may be OK when you are an IT professional.
For someone who "just wants it to work" there is likely to be lots of surprises ahead.
Samantha deserves to get the credit for not letting distractions others have created around her from stopping her desire to forge ahead.
That is the American spirit alive and well in the U.S. It is the spirit that entrepreneurs must have to try and try again, as not all efforts succeed.
Being homeless is so easy to have happen if one or two key earning parents get laid off and can't downsize quickly enough in a major downturn. It is not possible for everyone to come out whole. It is just the enforced position you sometimes get thrown into when economic events flip you upside down.
I'm not racist.
I quite admire the Indian's ability to survive in the face of their societal and economic circumstances where the challenges are huge on multiple levels.
The info I cited came from WHO report data which was in the UK Telegraph, if I remember the source correctly, and it was published about 2 weeks ago.
So...the non-resistant Indians die and leave a super-race?
Oh, there is also nearly totally drug resistant MRSA in India and the WHO in the EU has now found 80% of travellers coming back from India have MRSA in their gut.
Wonderful new low cost product solutions from India. Ain't we happy?
"Putting iPads into the hands of apes could really revolutionize our understanding of great ape behavior."
Thought we did that in a lot of legislative bodies already...
In spite of the "open" nature of Android, I truly wonder if open = superior customer experience?
Likewise, I am not convinced "free" = best for the consumer as that is only one small part of the consumer cost and experience.
A smartphone today is a special device, not a thermostat or light switch.
Progress happens. Fewer devices, cables, parts, total cost. Phones and their tablet kin have more uses and allow gaming to be done by even more people than before, but Sony doesn't want to believe it.
I agree. A new situation needs causes the brain to clear the memory ready to assess the new input.
You can shove a hell of a lot more materials through a pipe, even a small one, than you can through a man size tunnel.
If I were the feds I'ld be watching & listening for horizontal drilling or use of old unused water, drainage and oil pipelines that can be commandered.
Carbon fiber, carbon nanotubes and graphene fiber are all different forms with different properties.