The distribution could be explained if the editor of SV was a numerologist. Suppose that SV had an opportunity to run one of two valid poll results -- one that puts McCain ahead 51-46 among white plumbers and one that puts him ahead 49-47 among white electricians. The numerologist editor decides that they should go with the electrician poll on the basis that numbers ending with 7 and 9 are luckier than those ending with 6 and 1. The plumber poll never gets published. The numerologist editor theory explains the distribution without invalidating the polling methodology.
You've posted this idiotic response both here and on TFA site. Nate Silver is stating the the values are not a product of a uniform distribution on the grounds that the outliers are many SDs away from the mean. If by meaningless you are asserting the null hypothesis, this is precisely what has been determined to be extremely unlikely.
Lindsay Lohan was born in 1986 when the contamination rate was 33 to 50%. In 2007, she was in rehab, and the contamination rate was 67%. Now that she's out, it's 90%. I think we have established both a geographic and longitudinal correlation.
Two of the models show the storm passing almost directly over Crawford, TX. Maybe Gustav'll stir up some brush around the ranch and give the POTUS a chance to demonstrate to the world that he's good for something.
"that will be one of the biggest mistakes you can make in your life"
It's interesting how the mayor has to overstate the odds of a disaster occurring to get people to do what's in their best interests. If he were actually say the truth, like, "at this point there's a 25% chance that the path and intensity of Gustav will cause a surge that will cause the levees to fail," people would ignore the evacuation orders, even though they now know what a levee failure entails. So now, there's a 75% chance that the levees will hold and next time he'll have to say something like, "this will be the very, most colossal mistake you can make in this or any other life," in order to get people to move.
The other day, my 8-year old had the audacity to tell me, "well, I crossed the street by myself once, and I didn't get hit," so I sat her down and explained acceptable risk, how to calculate expected values, damage quantification, and how many trials it would actually take before a statement like that would validate my letting her cross the street alone. Her eyes glazed over after a few minutes, but at least she'll think twice before crossing the street again. Going forward, every stupid risk she takes is going to be another math lesson, and I'll make her write down the probabilities and calculate the expected damages before she gets out of time out. Hopefully, she'll grow up to be both safe and smart, unlike the idiots who elect to stay behind in NOLA and (probably) live to convince others to ignore evidence and go with their guts.
Floyd staggers to the ground, dropping the mini card. He is badly torn apart, with loose wires and broken circuits everywhere. Oil flows from his lubrication system. He obviously has only moments to live.
You drop to your knees and cradle Floyd's head in your lap. Floyd looks up at his friend with half-open eyes. "Floyd did it... got card. Floyd a good friend, huh?" Quietly, you sing Floyd's favorite song, the Ballad of the Starcrossed Miner:
O, they ruled the solar system Near ten thousand years before In their single starcrossed scout ships Mining ast'roids, spinning lore.
Then one true courageous miner Spied a spaceship from the stars Boarded he that alien liner Out beyond the orb of Mars.
Yes, that ship was filled with danger Mighty monsters barred his way Yet he solved the alien myst'ries Mining quite a lode that day.
O, they ruled the solar system Near ten thousand years before 'Til one brave advent'rous spirit Brought that mighty ship to shore.
As you finish the last verse, Floyd smiles with contentment, and then his eyes close as his head rolls to one side. You sit in silence for a moment, in memory of a brave friend who gave his life so that you might live.
The NSA could probably break this system in a few months. They would just detain the public autistic twin down in Gitmo and brute-force him into admitting that the MB file does, indeed, "smell like 5 green triangles." Since the US has relaxed its cryptography export restrictions, they could send him to any number of secret, overseas detention centers as well.
Voting 3rd party is idiotic. You're throwing away your vote in order to be 1 person among millions who doesn't really care who runs the country for the next four years. There is basically no difference between staying home and voting 3rd party, except that you waste a half your of your time doing the latter. Maybe twenty years ago voting Green or Libertarian had meaning, but nowadays anyone with a computer and a point of view can send a stronger, more effective message than casting a vote for an unelectable candidate.
Remember the first "Survivor" reality show back in 2000? Richard Hatch and his Tagi Alliance* of four dominated the game because their opponents, the Pagong tribe, didn't understand that the proper strategy against an alliance is to form a counter-alliance. At a crucial point in the game, there were four Tagi members, three Pagong members, and one guy who had decided that rather than participate in alliances, he would vote for people alphabetically. He basically did for Richard Hatch what Nader voters did for Bush four months later -- handed him victory via a pointless, self-indulgent gesture. You can be as Green or Libertarian as you want 364.75 days a year, but when it comes time to vote, you need to choose a viable candidate.
If you don't have the time to research measures and candidates, don't worry. All you need to do is find an reasonable organization that shares your views (mine is the Sierra Club), visit its web site, and follow its endorsements. Let them do the research; let them provide the analysis.
Somewhere in our early education, we are fed the notion that participation in the voting process involves an intimate understanding of the candidates and issues. This is elitist B.S. Most of us are better off just voting by party or organizational endorsement. Having to read the entire pamphlet is tedious, and the misleading and negative initiatives and ads can trick voters or dissuade them from voting at all. And even if you somehow manage to properly interpret every initiative and candidate's platform properly, you are still less effective as a lone voice than you are voting with an alliance.
These are the lessons learned from watching Reality TV.
*There are actually quite a few similarities between the Tagi Alliance and the 2000 Republicans. One glaring difference is that Hatch is currently serving time in prison while Bush walks free.
The article defines "Planned Violence" as when "a character selects, modifies, or acquires a weapon; acquires ammunition; aims prior to committing violence; or discusses detailed plans for killing or injuring other characters." In Pac-Man, you're luring the ghosts to the energizer, then ruthlessly hunting them down to collect your 3000 points. That's premeditation. Pac-Man has no visible means of mastication or constriction, which means its prey (sans eyes) is digested alive. This is a far more inhumane death than a simple gun shot to the head.
Ms. Pac-Man is probably 65% violent, as the fruit also moves.
When I was in school, I used to put a cup of water next to the alarm clock before I went to sleep. When the alarm went off, I would notice the cup and decide to take a drink. If I was awake enough to sit up, I would drink the water and get up. Most of the time I would be too groggy to do that. Instead, I would grab the cup and try to drink while lying on my side, and wind up spilling the water on myself and the bed, which would get me up in a hurry.
For months, I knwe I had a serious netrek problem that was eating up 50+ hours per week. The problem was, every time I had an opportunity to switch contexts, such as starting a one minute compilation, I would automatically telnet to my favorite netrek server and play for an hour or more. Do this a half-dozen times a day and a 10 hour work day just isn't that productive. So after a couple of years of this, I got rid of my keymap and was netrek-free for about a year. I relapsed for a while playing netrek / netrek hockey, until, again, I deleted of my keymap.
For me, gaming is all about immediate gratification. It would have only taken about 10 minutes for me to remember and recreate most of my keymap, but I haven't since reached a point where I was willing to do that. My resolve is strong enough to avoid setting myself up to play a game, but nowhere near strong enough to avoid playing when it's just a command away.
It's been suggested that I have ADD, but I haven't been formally tested. I also have a serious procrastination problem. If you're anything like me, my advice is to decide what is important and what you are able to get rid of, and then to get rid of the triggers of your unwanted online habits: change your game passwords; get your online characters banned or transfered; get rid of your addictive bookmarks, and do whatever else it takes to make it not worth the effort to readdict yourself.
The article assumes we pay only in bills
on
Making Change
·
· Score: 1
In spending only bills and receiving change, we deplete the vendor's supply of change, while we become heavy with change as we shop. This is unrealistic. A slightly different problem is to try to minimize the total number of coins that pass back and forth where I give the cashier change, and he returns me change:
choose the 4 coin demoninations P, N, D, Q such that for a value R between 0 and 99,
i*P + j*N + k*D + l*Q == R % 100,
where abs(i) + abs(j) + abs(k) + abs(l) is minimized over all random R.
For instance, if the price is $.29 cents, rather than spending $1 and receiving 2 quarters, 2 dimes, and a penny (5 coins), I spend 1 quarter, 1 nickel, and receive one penny (3 coins).
Computers have lost ground in soccer over the past half century. In the 40's and 50's, some computers were 50' by 25', and would have made some very imposing goalkeepers. Today's "full-sized" towers are a joke by comparison.
It's makes some sense to ban them preemptively. If you wait until people have already paid their $4950, taken the multi-hour training class, and received the Segway, and then after all that you tell them it's banned on sidewalks, you're going to have a lot of very annoyed consumers. We're talking about a pretty major purchase, here.
Everybody who had anything to do with HIPAA compliance went to at least one HIPAA workshop. HIPAA was the focus of many, many meetings. We had one person whose primary focus was HIPAA, and every manager was on board with the program. My advice is that you find a good HIPAA workshop, make sure your managers attend, and develop a coherent strategy together. If you don't take intelligent steps toward compliance, you risk becoming the fall guy.
At the workshop, the topic of jail time for non-compliance came up. We jokingly asked about how the jail time could be divided up, and whether a 90-day sentence could be turned into 45 2-day sentences to be shared among all employees. The response was, basically, that it'd have to be a pretty blatent violation to warrant jail time, and the people charged would probably those most responsible.
It's to your benefit to quickly determine whether management is informed and ready to make this a high priority. Asking them to attend a short workshop is a good way for you both get things started and get a feel for the situation, IMO. After that, you can decide whether to stay on or jump ship.
Why, for the record, you'd have a 2 ppm solution of sodium. Assuming the lake was distilled water. Very likely it wasn't. Change in PH?
0.
NADA! NONE! ZEEEEERRRRROOOOO.
You were stating that the change in pH is zero of a 2 ppm sodium solution of distilled water. There is no other reason for you to use the sentence fragment, "Assuming the lake was distilled water," in that paragraph. Without that sentence fragment in there, nobody would have responded.
Did you really mean to say that because the solution is lake water (and, hence, buffered), the pH change is close to zero? If this is what you meant, you should have been more clear. Honestly, you made it sound like you didn't understand the pH scale at all.
Most of us aren't disputing the conclusion that the lake's pH won't change noticeably. My source of irritation is that you used faulty analysis to support your conclusion... and then your posting got moderated up to 5(!) I mean, his is "News for Nerds" -- you can't get away with using faulty analysis here. Right?
2 ppm sodium in distilled water raises the pH from 7 to 8.3, doesn't it? That's a very noticeable change in pH. It's about the same, but opposite, pH effect as putting 3 pounds of chlorine in a swimming pool. No change in pH? There is empirical evidence to the contrary.
Not likely. 28 km/sec is 20 or 25 times as fast as the moon's relative velocity to the earth, if my mental calculations are correct. You're not going to pull it into orbit with Y2.019K technology; the only way I can think of to bring it into the earth's orbit would be to make it collide with the moon.
Interestingly, your characterization of video games sounds almost exactly like some of the "insights" my high school friends used to have about their pot-smoking habits. I'm not being critical, here; I'm just remembering back to the good ole days -- a case of beer, a smoke-filled room, and a handful of polyhedron-shaped dice.
> That does not by implication indicate they don't value the employee, nor are unwilling to pay more for the same employee. They're just being practical, and assuming that if no one is complaining then everyone is happy and there's no reason to rock the boat.
This makes perfect sense. If 1 out of 10 good workers gets a competitive offer and your company gives them each a 50% raise to retain them, the company keeps its staff with a small total salary increase of $N. If the same company instead gives a pre-emptive 50% raise to each of its good workers, the company keeps its staff with a total salary increase of 10 * $N, but probably goes out of business.
Slashdot Mirror
The distribution could be explained if the editor of SV was a numerologist. Suppose that SV had an opportunity to run one of two valid poll results -- one that puts McCain ahead 51-46 among white plumbers and one that puts him ahead 49-47 among white electricians. The numerologist editor decides that they should go with the electrician poll on the basis that numbers ending with 7 and 9 are luckier than those ending with 6 and 1. The plumber poll never gets published. The numerologist editor theory explains the distribution without invalidating the polling methodology.
You've posted this idiotic response both here and on TFA site. Nate Silver is stating the the values are not a product of a uniform distribution on the grounds that the outliers are many SDs away from the mean. If by meaningless you are asserting the null hypothesis, this is precisely what has been determined to be extremely unlikely.
Please shut up.
Lindsay Lohan was born in 1986 when the contamination rate was 33 to 50%. In 2007, she was in rehab, and the contamination rate was 67%. Now that she's out, it's 90%. I think we have established both a geographic and longitudinal correlation.
Two of the models show the storm passing almost directly over Crawford, TX. Maybe Gustav'll stir up some brush around the ranch and give the POTUS a chance to demonstrate to the world that he's good for something.
"that will be one of the biggest mistakes you can make in your life"
It's interesting how the mayor has to overstate the odds of a disaster occurring to get people to do what's in their best interests. If he were actually say the truth, like, "at this point there's a 25% chance that the path and intensity of Gustav will cause a surge that will cause the levees to fail," people would ignore the evacuation orders, even though they now know what a levee failure entails. So now, there's a 75% chance that the levees will hold and next time he'll have to say something like, "this will be the very, most colossal mistake you can make in this or any other life," in order to get people to move.
The other day, my 8-year old had the audacity to tell me, "well, I crossed the street by myself once, and I didn't get hit," so I sat her down and explained acceptable risk, how to calculate expected values, damage quantification, and how many trials it would actually take before a statement like that would validate my letting her cross the street alone. Her eyes glazed over after a few minutes, but at least she'll think twice before crossing the street again. Going forward, every stupid risk she takes is going to be another math lesson, and I'll make her write down the probabilities and calculate the expected damages before she gets out of time out. Hopefully, she'll grow up to be both safe and smart, unlike the idiots who elect to stay behind in NOLA and (probably) live to convince others to ignore evidence and go with their guts.
Floyd staggers to the ground, dropping the mini card. He is badly torn apart, with loose wires and broken circuits everywhere. Oil flows from his lubrication system. He obviously has only moments to live.
You drop to your knees and cradle Floyd's head in your lap. Floyd looks up at his friend with half-open eyes. "Floyd did it
O, they ruled the solar system
Near ten thousand years before
In their single starcrossed scout ships
Mining ast'roids, spinning lore.
Then one true courageous miner
Spied a spaceship from the stars
Boarded he that alien liner
Out beyond the orb of Mars.
Yes, that ship was filled with danger
Mighty monsters barred his way
Yet he solved the alien myst'ries
Mining quite a lode that day.
O, they ruled the solar system
Near ten thousand years before
'Til one brave advent'rous spirit
Brought that mighty ship to shore.
As you finish the last verse, Floyd smiles with contentment, and then his eyes close as his head rolls to one side. You sit in silence for a moment, in memory of a brave friend who gave his life so that you might live.
--Planetfall
The hammer is a classic symbol of video game violence. This guy was clearly ready to take it to the next level.
The NSA could probably break this system in a few months. They would just detain the public autistic twin down in Gitmo and brute-force him into admitting that the MB file does, indeed, "smell like 5 green triangles." Since the US has relaxed its cryptography export restrictions, they could send him to any number of secret, overseas detention centers as well.
Voting 3rd party is idiotic. You're throwing away your vote in order to be 1 person among millions who doesn't really care who runs the country for the next four years. There is basically no difference between staying home and voting 3rd party, except that you waste a half your of your time doing the latter. Maybe twenty years ago voting Green or Libertarian had meaning, but nowadays anyone with a computer and a point of view can send a stronger, more effective message than casting a vote for an unelectable candidate.
Remember the first "Survivor" reality show back in 2000? Richard Hatch and his Tagi Alliance* of four dominated the game because their opponents, the Pagong tribe, didn't understand that the proper strategy against an alliance is to form a counter-alliance. At a crucial point in the game, there were four Tagi members, three Pagong members, and one guy who had decided that rather than participate in alliances, he would vote for people alphabetically. He basically did for Richard Hatch what Nader voters did for Bush four months later -- handed him victory via a pointless, self-indulgent gesture. You can be as Green or Libertarian as you want 364.75 days a year, but when it comes time to vote, you need to choose a viable candidate.
If you don't have the time to research measures and candidates, don't worry. All you need to do is find an reasonable organization that shares your views (mine is the Sierra Club), visit its web site, and follow its endorsements. Let them do the research; let them provide the analysis.
Somewhere in our early education, we are fed the notion that participation in the voting process involves an intimate understanding of the candidates and issues. This is elitist B.S. Most of us are better off just voting by party or organizational endorsement. Having to read the entire pamphlet is tedious, and the misleading and negative initiatives and ads can trick voters or dissuade them from voting at all. And even if you somehow manage to properly interpret every initiative and candidate's platform properly, you are still less effective as a lone voice than you are voting with an alliance.
These are the lessons learned from watching Reality TV.
*There are actually quite a few similarities between the Tagi Alliance and the 2000 Republicans. One glaring difference is that Hatch is currently serving time in prison while Bush walks free.
The article defines "Planned Violence" as when "a character selects, modifies, or acquires a weapon; acquires ammunition; aims prior to committing violence; or discusses detailed plans for killing or injuring other characters." In Pac-Man, you're luring the ghosts to the energizer, then ruthlessly hunting them down to collect your 3000 points. That's premeditation. Pac-Man has no visible means of mastication or constriction, which means its prey (sans eyes) is digested alive. This is a far more inhumane death than a simple gun shot to the head.
Ms. Pac-Man is probably 65% violent, as the fruit also moves.
"Try to bomb the harbor!" --Chinpoko Mon, South Park
When I was in school, I used to put a cup of water next to the alarm clock before I went to sleep. When the alarm went off, I would notice the cup and decide to take a drink. If I was awake enough to sit up, I would drink the water and get up. Most of the time I would be too groggy to do that. Instead, I would grab the cup and try to drink while lying on my side, and wind up spilling the water on myself and the bed, which would get me up in a hurry.
Overall, this method worked pretty close to 100%.
Nu-cu-ler." It's pronounced, "nu-cu-ler."
Which begs the question, "isn't it ironic?"
I deleted my keymap.
For months, I knwe I had a serious netrek problem that was eating up 50+ hours per week. The problem was, every time I had an opportunity to switch contexts, such as starting a one minute compilation, I would automatically telnet to my favorite netrek server and play for an hour or more. Do this a half-dozen times a day and a 10 hour work day just isn't that productive. So after a couple of years of this, I got rid of my keymap and was netrek-free for about a year. I relapsed for a while playing netrek / netrek hockey, until, again, I deleted of my keymap.
For me, gaming is all about immediate gratification. It would have only taken about 10 minutes for me to remember and recreate most of my keymap, but I haven't since reached a point where I was willing to do that. My resolve is strong enough to avoid setting myself up to play a game, but nowhere near strong enough to avoid playing when it's just a command away.
It's been suggested that I have ADD, but I haven't been formally tested. I also have a serious procrastination problem. If you're anything like me, my advice is to decide what is important and what you are able to get rid of, and then to get rid of the triggers of your unwanted online habits: change your game passwords; get your online characters banned or transfered; get rid of your addictive bookmarks, and do whatever else it takes to make it not worth the effort to readdict yourself.
In spending only bills and receiving change, we deplete the vendor's supply of change, while we become heavy with change as we shop. This is unrealistic. A slightly different problem is to try to minimize the total number of coins that pass back and forth where I give the cashier change, and he returns me change:
choose the 4 coin demoninations P, N, D, Q such that for a value R between 0 and 99,
i*P + j*N + k*D + l*Q == R % 100,
where abs(i) + abs(j) + abs(k) + abs(l) is minimized over all random R.
For instance, if the price is $.29 cents, rather than spending $1 and receiving 2 quarters, 2 dimes, and a penny (5 coins), I spend 1 quarter, 1 nickel, and receive one penny (3 coins).
Computers have lost ground in soccer over the past half century. In the 40's and 50's, some computers were 50' by 25', and would have made some very imposing goalkeepers. Today's "full-sized" towers are a joke by comparison.
It's makes some sense to ban them preemptively. If you wait until people have already paid their $4950, taken the multi-hour training class, and received the Segway, and then after all that you tell them it's banned on sidewalks, you're going to have a lot of very annoyed consumers. We're talking about a pretty major purchase, here.
Everybody who had anything to do with HIPAA compliance went to at least one HIPAA workshop. HIPAA was the focus of many, many meetings. We had one person whose primary focus was HIPAA, and every manager was on board with the program. My advice is that you find a good HIPAA workshop, make sure your managers attend, and develop a coherent strategy together. If you don't take intelligent steps toward compliance, you risk becoming the fall guy.
At the workshop, the topic of jail time for non-compliance came up. We jokingly asked about how the jail time could be divided up, and whether a 90-day sentence could be turned into 45 2-day sentences to be shared among all employees. The response was, basically, that it'd have to be a pretty blatent violation to warrant jail time, and the people charged would probably those most responsible.
It's to your benefit to quickly determine whether management is informed and ready to make this a high priority. Asking them to attend a short workshop is a good way for you both get things started and get a feel for the situation, IMO. After that, you can decide whether to stay on or jump ship.
LatentIT, this is what you wrote:
Why, for the record, you'd have a 2 ppm solution of sodium. Assuming the lake was distilled water. Very likely it wasn't. Change in PH?
0.
NADA! NONE! ZEEEEERRRRROOOOO.
You were stating that the change in pH is zero of a 2 ppm sodium solution of distilled water. There is no other reason for you to use the sentence fragment, "Assuming the lake was distilled water," in that paragraph. Without that sentence fragment in there, nobody would have responded.
Did you really mean to say that because the solution is lake water (and, hence, buffered), the pH change is close to zero? If this is what you meant, you should have been more clear. Honestly, you made it sound like you didn't understand the pH scale at all.
Most of us aren't disputing the conclusion that the lake's pH won't change noticeably. My source of irritation is that you used faulty analysis to support your conclusion ... and then your posting got moderated up to 5(!) I mean, his is "News for Nerds" -- you can't get away with using faulty analysis here. Right?
2 ppm sodium in distilled water raises the pH from 7 to 8.3, doesn't it? That's a very noticeable change in pH. It's about the same, but opposite, pH effect as putting 3 pounds of chlorine in a swimming pool. No change in pH? There is empirical evidence to the contrary.
Not likely. 28 km/sec is 20 or 25 times as fast as the moon's relative velocity to the earth, if my mental calculations are correct. You're not going to pull it into orbit with Y2.019K technology; the only way I can think of to bring it into the earth's orbit would be to make it collide with the moon.
Interestingly, your characterization of video games sounds almost exactly like some of the "insights" my high school friends used to have about their pot-smoking habits. I'm not being critical, here; I'm just remembering back to the good ole days -- a case of beer, a smoke-filled room, and a handful of polyhedron-shaped dice.
> That does not by implication indicate they don't value the employee, nor are unwilling to pay more for the same employee. They're just being practical, and assuming that if no one is complaining then everyone is happy and there's no reason to rock the boat.
This makes perfect sense. If 1 out of 10 good workers gets a competitive offer and your company gives them each a 50% raise to retain them, the company keeps its staff with a small total salary increase of $N. If the same company instead gives a pre-emptive 50% raise to each of its good workers, the company keeps its staff with a total salary increase of 10 * $N, but probably goes out of business.