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RIAA vs The Economy

thumbtack writes "Boycott-RIAA.com is running an analysis of the RIAA sales vs a number of other large corporations. It was compiled by Justin Moore at Duke University. It is really quite interesting, showing the the RIAA sales are pretty much consistent with the rest of the economy. From the analysis: I would assert, however that it does make the case in cold, hard numbers that the RIAA's claim of digital piracy ravaging their sales must be taken with a rather large grain of salt. The CEOs of Eastman-Kodak are in a nearly identical economic situation as the RIAA, yet do not have the luxury of blaming digital piracy."

309 comments

  1. You don't understand... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

    I would assert, however that it does make the case in cold, hard numbers that the RIAA's claim of digital piracy ravaging their sales must be taken with a rather large grain of salt.

    You don't understand, the economy went down so quickly, it was like the equivalent of going out of business 5-6 times.

    1. Re:You don't understand... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      c'mon mods, this was supposed to be +5 funny, not insightful.

    2. Re:You don't understand... by Guppy06 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      "it was like the equivalent of going out of business 5-6 times."

      Well, if the accountants hadn't multiplied the profit margin numbers five or six times...

    3. Re:You don't understand... by mrscorpio · · Score: 1

      Depends on how fast the burners are that the pirates use I think....

      Chris

  2. So... by kmac06 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    So you're telling us the RIAA is using the crappy economy to strengthen their monopoly?

    Since when is this news?

    1. Re:So... by SweetAndSourJesus · · Score: 2, Funny
      --

      --
      the strongest word is still the word "free"
    2. Re:So... by stand · · Score: 3, Insightful
      News from a totally unbiased source

      I don't know about you, but I don't care if someone presents an obviously biased view. I just care if they can back up their bias with good arguments and data.

      --
      Four fifths of all our troubles in this life would disappear if we would just sit down and keep still. -C. Coolidge
    3. Re:So... by Black+Copter+Control · · Score: 1
      I don't know about you, but I don't care if someone presents an obviously biased view.

      For my part, I like an obviously biased view. It means you don't have to guess what their bias is. It's not that other sources aren't biased, it's just that they try to hide it (with varied success).

      --
      OS Software is like love: The best way to make it grow is to give it away.
  3. It starts with you. by unicron · · Score: 3, Funny

    Go to the Boycott-the-RIAA website? Sounds like a lot of work and reading and such. Can't I just pull a few gigs of mp3's and that'll count as my part to fight them?

    --
    Finally, math books without any of that base 6 crap in them.
    1. Re:It starts with you. by unicron · · Score: 4, Funny

      Socialist Eurocunt? I saw them open up for Underworld once, they fucking rock.

      --
      Finally, math books without any of that base 6 crap in them.
    2. Re:It starts with you. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

      Yeah, I've got a couple Eminem MP3s here, I've been duplicating them over and over. I figure I've got 200 copies on my HD right now. That'll show 'em.

      I'm gonna burn each one onto a CDR 10-15 times, I figure he'll be broke by the time I run out of blanks.

    3. Re:It starts with you. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Be sure to burn them with a fast 100x drive and not a pokey 0.2x one. After all, the high speed ones are more piratical than the last year's models, says the RIAA.

  4. They just blame Digital Photography. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    Yeah, Eastman-Kodak blames Digital Photography instead.

    1. Re:They just blame Digital Photography. by L7_ · · Score: 4, Insightful

      and dupont can blame mental patient founders

      and exxon can blame stricter environmental laws

      and honeywell can blame global warming affecting thermostat sales

      etc etc

      Companies need to evolve to the state of the world, not point fingers about causes (real or imaginary) of thier misfortune. Digital content distribution is real and it is here to stay. It can either be looked at as an opportunity or as a degression; obviously the RIAA sees a degression since it can't rely on its standard business model and can't adapt to the change.

    2. Re:They just blame Digital Photography. by x00101010x · · Score: 1

      Actually, Kodak makes a pretty nice line of digital cameras and even makes (sells relabeled?) digital flash media. Unfortunately I'm stuck with Canon and Nikon (I loved Kodak when I did film photography, forget Fuji) because I'm clinging to good old CF, no SD or memory sticks for me.

      --
      DONT PANIC
    3. Re:They just blame Digital Photography. by Fenris+Ulf · · Score: 1

      Ah, but Kodak doesn't sue digital photographers.

      I think using Kodak was the perfect example, because it starts just this line of thinking. When does it change from "theft of intangible property" to an industry leader that won't keep with modern technology?

    4. Re:They just blame Digital Photography. by CashCarSTAR · · Score: 4, Informative

      "and dupont can blame mental patient founders"

      They actually tried that before and succeeded.

      The war on pot started as a gift to DuPont to stop hemp from competing with their new product: plastic.

    5. Re:They just blame Digital Photography. by meta-monkey · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      Well, Kodak screwed the pooch with the new DCS-14n. They just posted a super-indepth review of it over at Digital Photo Review and it performed pretty miserably compared to the Canon 1Ds. Personally, I'm quite happy with my Canon 10D :)

      --
      We don't have a state-run media we have a media-run state.
    6. Re:They just blame Digital Photography. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      did any of you cats check out the article about this film store in new york?

      They started putting up signs that said "Digital Cameras cause Strokes" and shit like that. Not sure if it was a joke or not.

      They just went out of business.

      hi-larious!!

    7. Re:They just blame Digital Photography. by rgmoore · · Score: 1

      At least some of Kodak's cameras still take CF. The DX3500, 3600, 3900, and 4900 use CF, though the rest of their line has switched to SD. And, of course, their professional line uses CF because it's possible to get the really huge capacity cards (like IBM microdrive) in the TypeII package.

      --

      There's no point in questioning authority if you aren't going to listen to the answers.

    8. Re:They just blame Digital Photography. by randyest · · Score: 5, Interesting
      The war on pot started as a gift to DuPont to stop hemp from competing with their new product: plastic.

      Relevant, interesting, and only slightly different from the way I understand it. I thought it was actually nylon. At least that's what I surmise from the excellently supported arguments in Jack Herer's The Emperor Wears No Clothes . Or, maybe you mean plastic fibers, which I suppose is what nylon really is? (Is it?)

      Either way, the following excerpts are interesting examples of the inverse (converse?) of what this story is about: a company manipulating legilation to create a better market for an otherwise not-as-attractive product. Contrast this with the RIAA blaming market conditions (or technological advancement) for their lack of profits. Which is worse?


      After the 1937 Marijuana Tax law, new DuPont "plastic fibers," under license since 1936 from the German company I.G. Farben (patent surrenders were part of Germany's World War I reparation payments to America), replaced natural hempen fibers. (Some 30% of I.G. Farben, under Hitler, was owned and financed by America's DuPont.) DuPont also introduced Nylon (invented in 1935) to the market after they'd patented it in 1938.

      By using 100% hemp or mixing hemp with cotton, you will be able to pass on your shirts, pants and other clothing to your grandchildren. Intelligent spending could essentially replace the use of petrochemical synthetic fibers such as nylon and polyester with tougher, cheaper, cool, absorbent, breathing, biodegradable, natural fibers.

      It's interesting to note that on April 29, 1937, two weeks after the Marihuana Tax Act was introduced, DuPont's foremost scientist, Wallace Hume Carothers, the inventor of nylon for DuPont, the world's number one organic chemist, committed suicide by drinking cyanide. Carothers was dead at age 41. . .

      An almost unlimited tonnage of natural fiber and cellulose would have become available to the American farmer in 1937, the year DuPont patented nylon and the polluting wood-pulp paper sulfide process. All of hemp's potential value was lost.

      Nylon fibers were developed between 1926-1937 by the noted Harvard chemist Wallace Carothers, working from German patents. These polyamides are long fibers based on observed natural products. Carothers, supplied with an open-ended research grant from DuPont, made a comprehensive study of natural cellulose fibers. He duplicated natural fibers in his labs and polyamides - long fibers of a specific chemical process - were developed. (Curiously, Wallace Carothers committed suicide one week after the House Ways and Means Committee, in April of 1937, had the hearings on cannabis and created the bill that would eventually outlaw hemp.)

      --
      everything in moderation
    9. Re:They just blame Digital Photography. by localghost · · Score: 1

      Well, actually, I have a Kodak digital camera and Kodak inkjet photo paper. All that's missing is a Kodak compact flash card.

    10. Re:They just blame Digital Photography. by sparrow_hawk · · Score: 1

      Um. You did notice that Kodak (aka. Eastman-Kodak) is one of the big names in digital photography right now? As in, they're a major manufacturer of digital cameras (and good ones, too).

    11. Re:They just blame Digital Photography. by Guppy06 · · Score: 1

      Huh? What does hemp have in common with Bakelite? They're both organic compounds?

      If you're referring to a possible competitor to Nylon, I'd offer that there has been a crack-down on marajuana transport and use at least as far back as the Great War.

    12. Re:They just blame Digital Photography. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The war on pot started as a gift to DuPont to stop hemp from competing with their new product: plastic.

      Nylon.

    13. Re:They just blame Digital Photography. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      I'm as suspicious of the drug war as anybody else, but you know, this "let's support hemp to make paper without trees" (or in this case to make rope without plastic) argument does not cut it. After all, cotton makes excellent paper and clothing, but is often displaced by different materials, such as wood pulp for making paper. Why? Because wood pulp is cheaper. Now, can someone convince me that hemp fibers are much cheaper to produce than cotton, thus giving hemp a chance to replace the usual hippy-protested products? Anybody?

    14. Re:They just blame Digital Photography. by rjch · · Score: 1
      By using 100% hemp or mixing hemp with cotton, you will be able to pass on your shirts, pants and other clothing to your grandchildren. Intelligent spending could essentially replace the use of petrochemical synthetic fibers such as nylon and polyester with tougher, cheaper, cool, absorbent, breathing, biodegradable, natural fibers.
      ...and as an added advantage, whenever you felt the need to mellow out a little, you can smoke your old clothes...
    15. Re:They just blame Digital Photography. by 91degrees · · Score: 1

      Yep. Kodak have been forced to adapt to a changing market.

      Their previous business model was selling film and processing chemicals. Their cameras were just a sideline. Changing from a consumables business to a commodity hardware business was a substantial change.

      I have no doubt that they're working on a strategy to convince people that they want prints of all their digital photos.

    16. Re:They just blame Digital Photography. by ConfusedVorlon · · Score: 1

      Hemp is legal in the UK (it's not the same as pot). I think you need a liscence to grow it. Is it illegal in the US?

    17. Re:They just blame Digital Photography. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The war on pot started as a gift to DuPont to stop hemp from competing with their new product: plastic.

      I'm not sure exactly which hemp product would compete with a plastic product -- perhaps you are referring to rayon and polyester? But plants other than hemp can be used to make rayon.

      Polyester has largely supplanted rayon in the clothing industry because it has better material properties. (It is more durable, it does not crease as easily, and it "breathes" better.)

      Rayon is cheaper to make than polyester, so it is still used as a component of some fabrics in the US, but its usage rapidly dropped off in the 1930s due to the discovery of better materials, not because of any legal conspiracy.

    18. Re:They just blame Digital Photography. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In about 15 states of the US it is legal to grow "industrial hemp." It probably requires various permits, but this is true for any crop.

      Industrial hemp is the same species (cannabis sativa) as the plant used to make pot. It is a different variety of the species, so in that sense it can be called a different plant.

    19. Re:They just blame Digital Photography. by Gonarat · · Score: 1

      ...and as an added advantage, whenever you felt the need to mellow out a little, you can smoke your old clothes...


      The kind of hemp that would be grown for industrial use has very little THC in it. It would be of no use for recreational use. One of the many reasons (excuses) that the Gov't uses to ban hemp growing is that the DEA would have a hard time telling the difference between hemp and pot plants. This is a big deal in Kentucky right now because of the decline in profits from growing tobacco. The farmers want to be able to grow industrial hemp to replace tobacco income, but cannot under current law. Of course we all know what the number one cash crop in Kentucky is...(hint: not tobacco)!

      --
      Beware of Sleestak
    20. Re:They just blame Digital Photography. by tombeard · · Score: 1

      Since when do we need permits to grow crops in the US?

      --
      The reason we subjugate ourselves to law is to better procure justice. If law does not accomplish this purpose then it m
    21. Re:They just blame Digital Photography. by jo_ham · · Score: 1

      Mercedes are experimenting at the moment with hemp. It's quite a good material, when combined with certain resins, to make car door panels. Things like the inside panels of the door, the protective plastic skirt at the front, the boot linings etc.

      The only problem they're having with it is that it's harder to recycle than current plastics they use. It creates a very strong matted structure that is hard to break down and doesn't burn very well, making both energy reclamation through burning and physical breakdown and re-use difficult. EU laws state that 85% of a new car must be recyclable by 2006 (I think).

  5. problem solved! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The CEOs of Eastman-Kodak are in a nearly identical economic situation as the RIAA, yet do not have the luxury of blaming digital piracy.

    Obviously, they need to add a license agreement to their film products. Just forbid the stuff you don't like to happen, and then you can use every crooked law in the book to sue folks who switch to digital.

  6. all relative by Horny+Smurf · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Compared to some companies (VA LINUX, I'm looking at you!), The RIAA's numbers are stellar.

  7. But - but - by Dark+Paladin · · Score: 4, Funny

    Does this mean that the RIAA might be exaggerating other things? I mean, I know that every CD-ROM sale is used to pirate music, and that nobody uses them to back up documents/data/desktops/send information that's too big for a floppy or email.

    Or that people are downloading 1,000,000 songs a week illegally over their T3 Internet connections and getting the full version of the albums after connecting for 60 hours a week and not going to job/school.

    I mean, if you can't trust the RIAA, then who can you trust?

    1. Re:But - but - by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "every CD-ROM sale is used to pirate music"

      don't forget to multiply by 1000 for CDRWs.

    2. Re:But - but - by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I didn't know you could use CD-ROMs to back up documents... who knew? You learn something new EVERY day, I always say.

    3. Re:But - but - by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      I mean, if you cant trust the RIAA, then who can you trust?
      the MPAA of course -_-
    4. Re:But - but - by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      I mean, I know that every CD-ROM sale is used to pirate music

      Yeah, that's total crap, I mean, I use most of mine for movies, since I run out of hard drive space.

  8. 87% of all statistics are made up by krisp · · Score: 3, Insightful

    It looks more like the RIAA is targeting the 1% of people who actually pirate mp3s to account for their slowing sales due to a poor economy. Atleast Kodak has a valid reason why people don't want their film products.

  9. This just in... by swordboy · · Score: 2, Interesting

    EMI sales down 11 percent,.

    The loss is largem but it is driven by ClearCrap, not by piracy...

    --

    Life is the leading cause of death in America.
  10. Again? by OzPhIsH · · Score: 1, Insightful

    This article is just another representative of the facts we've known since the RIAA's crusade against piracy began. Now I have the opportunity to read the same old comments by the same old people saying the same old things. Might as well be a repeat..

    --

    "To lead the people, you must walk behind them"

    1. Re:Again? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This article is just another representative of the facts we've known since the RIAA's crusade against piracy began. Now I have the opportunity to read the same old comments by the same old people saying the same old things. Might as well be a repeat.

      No, the dupe is coming tomorrow :)

  11. Eastman-Kodak a good comparison? by birdman666 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I don't know if Eastman-Kodak's financial situation is a good marker for economic trends. I think a great portion of their market has faced the invasion of digital photography which is certainly cuts their consumer film sales down significantly. Their economic situation may be due partially because of the economy, but also partially to an emerging technology that they is taking away some of their marketshare.

    --

    Nothing from nowhere I'm no one at all
    1. Re:Eastman-Kodak a good comparison? by rgmoore · · Score: 2, Insightful

      But how much is digital photography cutting into Kodak's business? It's not as though they're exclusively committed to the film business, you know. They have excellent lines of both amateur and professional digital cameras themselves. And while they don't make film sales on the cameras, the base price is enough higher that there's a significant short-term profit potential. They also sell inkjet photo paper, online printing services, and photoCD. They were not exactly caught off guard by the switch to digital.

      --

      There's no point in questioning authority if you aren't going to listen to the answers.

    2. Re:Eastman-Kodak a good comparison? by OWJones · · Score: 3, Insightful

      E-K might be suffering from their own economic problems, but they're not running to Congress to get laws enacted to protect their business model, or outlaw the competition. My theory is that when new laws are proposed, the first question should be "Is there a valid problem that this is going to help fix?" I think my analysis hints that the problem might be -- not so much piracy -- but just a plain side effect of the economic downturn.

      -jdm

    3. Re:Eastman-Kodak a good comparison? by homer_ca · · Score: 1

      Polaroid is hurting much worse than Kodak from digital photography. Digital has many of the advantages of instant photography with none of the cons like cost of supplies. Polaroid used to be used for everything from crash scene documentation to ID photos to *ahem* party pictures that you wouldn't want a photo lab to see. All digital now.

      At least 35mm film has the equivalent of 5-6 megapixel resolution. So it still has an advantage for high quality work like portraits and enlargements.

    4. Re:Eastman-Kodak a good comparison? by Guppy06 · · Score: 1

      "I think a great portion of their market has faced the invasion of digital photography which is certainly cuts their consumer film sales down significantly."

      I'm sure people said something similar when Polaroid introduced the instant camera.

    5. Re:Eastman-Kodak a good comparison? by Moofie · · Score: 1

      You made the parent's point.

      Look how well Polaroid is doing right now. (hint: They're courting bankruptcy)

      --
      Why yes, I AM a rocket scientist!
    6. Re:Eastman-Kodak a good comparison? by AzrealAO · · Score: 1

      Why would they seek legislation?

      Eastman-Kodak is facing competition from Digital Photography and that isn't a question of a flawed Business model, it's legitimate competition by a technically superior/different product.

      It's not like Canon and Fuji are making exact duplicates of Kodak's products and giving them away for free at no cost to themselves.

      It's a very poor parallel to try and draw as the situations have almost nothing at all in common.

    7. Re:Eastman-Kodak a good comparison? by Makarakalax · · Score: 1
      It's not as though they're exclusively committed to the film business, you know.

      They are not committed, however the vast majority of Kodak's money comes from sales of film and film consumerables. As I've said in my previous post, Kodak is a consumerables company and is not geared up to survive selling products that don't require frequent visits to the store.

    8. Re:Eastman-Kodak a good comparison? by fywdude · · Score: 1

      The poor comparison between EK and the music industry isn't a matter of business models but of core product viability. Digital photography replaces Kodak's core product lines. The core product of RIAA (properly pronounced as Ripping-off Innocent Artists Always) isn't the media, it's the music. P2P "sharing" doesn't replace the core product, only the distribution method. The RIAA's tactics offend me to no end, and I prefer to see them put in their place without using tactics similar to theirs, such as poor comparisons that sound good but are inaccurate.

      --
      "...but that's just my opinion, I could be wrong" - Dennis Miller
    9. Re:Eastman-Kodak a good comparison? by Alphtoo · · Score: 1

      And then there's Fuji for Kodak to compete with. Also, though, I think Kodak is making some money now on their own digital cameras and such. I was into photography some 40 years ago, and I bought my chemicals, paper, and film (in 100 foot rolls) through adds I found in Popular Photography, etc. Good stuff and, except for the 35mm tri-x pan film none of it was Kodak. And it was dirt cheap. Times are tight for everyone right now, but Kodak and the recording industry and MS and Disney, et al. will survive them. Shed no tears on their behalf.

  12. EMI profits down 40% by sh0rtie · · Score: 4, Insightful



    http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/1999556.stm

    of course this has nothing to do with the fact that the public is tired of being ripped off and taken for idiots and now is not interested in their products.

    so instead of creating products that people actually want or investing in talent instead of boy bands and the like, they blame their outdated buisness model on piracy, sounds like sense to me.

    are you smiling yet ?

    1. Re:EMI profits down 40% by dmszero · · Score: 1
      EMI have copy prevention on all their cd's now too. all the more reason to boycott them.

      makes you feel bad for placebo and radiohead, but thems the breaks

      dms0
      refusing to buy any EMI product till they drop the crippleware

      --
      -= world leaders choose world leaders not us, not a democracy, not a revolution! =-
    2. Re:EMI profits down 40% by csteinle · · Score: 1

      Man, that was a year ago. Check the date on the link you posted. EMI's profits are actually up this year (despite falling sales, mind you).

    3. Re:EMI profits down 40% by sh0rtie · · Score: 1


      yeah mod me down for not checking my facts, i did a search as BBCTV (news24) mentioned that EMI was feeling the pinch and its sales where down due to piracy

      some sources are even quoting a 13% drop in Q1 alone at that rate of decline sales could fall 52% for the year (ouch)

      more bad news is they still want to promote pro kareoke singers like robbie williams (who? says the USA people) and still no sign of new inspiring acts on the horizon, oh except those that win/bid for these

    4. Re:EMI profits down 40% by twinpot · · Score: 1

      Just order Placebo's new album from Amazon - not copy protected.

      Of course, it's also available, non-CP, on many street corners!

  13. Re:Statistics by eat+potato · · Score: 1, Funny
    87% of all statistics are made up

    You fool!

    93% of all statistics are made up!

  14. Entertainment vs. economy by Merovign · · Score: 5, Interesting

    I wonder what the historical relationship between the economy and low-end entertainment (movies, CDs, similar) is? Is the entertainment industry recession-resistant? I know during the 1929 depression it wasn't, but since then?

    I'm no fan of stealing, but hard times is certainly an excuse people use (should I say justification?).

    I keep hoping that some well-run online song-for-song "rights buying" project comes up, maybe subscribing to a whole catalog? Verification is a problem, but I personally would pay a moderate amount for downloadable music, especially on a song-by-song basis.

    I recognize both the interests of the artists and the argument that the industry rips off both the artist and the customer.

    I suppose this is going to be another long, drawn-out social drama, especially with politicians involved.

    1. Re:Entertainment vs. economy by feldsteins · · Score: 2, Informative

      I keep hoping that some well-run online song-for-song "rights buying" project comes up...I personally would pay a moderate amount for downloadable music, especially on a song-by-song basis.

      Jesus, nobody told you? The Windows version will be out by year's end. And Roxio is planning a clone under a familiar name. Probably others will follow. It's a race to Windows with this model.

      --
      You like your Macintosh better than me, don't you Dave? Dave? Can you hear me Dave?
    2. Re:Entertainment vs. economy by The+Cydonian · · Score: 3, Interesting
      I wonder what the historical relationship between the economy and low-end entertainment (movies, CDs, similar) is? Is the entertainment industry recession-resistant? I know during the 1929 depression it wasn't, but since then?

      At work, so a quick comment:- As I've pointed out before on this site, RIAA's own research over the last 60 or so years (includes the Great Depression), suggests that demand for their products ebbs towards the end of the recession. Haven't seen the site so far, but if it says that music sales (as opposed to growth in music sales) is decreasing, then it is a good thing.

    3. Re:Entertainment vs. economy by Guppy06 · · Score: 1

      "Is the entertainment industry recession-resistant? I know during the 1929 depression it wasn't, but since then?"

      About the only MPAA member I can think of that wasn't around before 1929 is Sony. It's easier to enforce those 1923 copyrights when you're still around to do it yourself.

    4. Re:Entertainment vs. economy by Merovign · · Score: 1

      Yes, I knew about the Apple-only service. Like a Asia-only car, it is of academic interest at the moment.

      Should it become more generally avialable and have good service terms, Good. Same for the rebirth of Napster.

  15. In conclusion... by $$$$$exyGal · · Score: 3, Insightful
    Here is an excerpt of the conclusion:

    This particular analysis does not tell us exactly how accurate the rest of the model is, and several other professional statistician shortcomings. Remember, there are lies, damned lies, and statistics; this is just another statistic.

    In other words, they are saying their numbers are also probably wrong. At least they admit it.

    --
    Very popular slashdot journal for adul
    1. Re:In conclusion... by OWJones · · Score: 5, Interesting

      I don't think my numbers are wrong. I think they paint a relatively accurate picture. However since I'm not a professional statistician, I figured it would be better to put this up front so people wouldn't accuse me of being a fraud. :)

      -jdm

    2. Re:In conclusion... by rdawson808 · · Score: 2, Informative

      Just from an economist's point of view....

      I briefly scanned through your analysis and my immediate comments were these:

      (i) You are grouping very disparate industries. There is no reason to think that some of them ought to behave similarly no matter the economic conditions. For instance, in some other post someone compared the decrease in sales of CDs to the decrease in sales of cars. This is a ridiculous comparison as autos are a durable good and CDs are not, autos costs tens of thousands of dollars while CDs tend to cost less than 20 dollars, etc etc. Likewise, there is no reason to think one ought to compare the RIAA companies to GM, GE, Citibank, Merck, and Dupont (just to grab a few names).

      (ii) Nowhere in here is there an estimation of what actually affects the demand for pre-recorded CDs. That demand estimation is what really needs to be done to get a better understanding of how much piracy affects the RIAA's profits. That way you could ask the truly relevant question: "How much would RIAA's profits be if there were no piracy?"

      Valiant effort though. And I have to say that the kind of analysis I'm talking about is beyond me as well, really. Although I'll have to do a little searching to see if anyone else has done it.

    3. Re:In conclusion... by Moofie · · Score: 2, Insightful

      However, the analysis DOES break RIAA's prima facie argument, which goes like this:

      1) We're losing money.
      2) People seem to be getting lots of music without paying us.

      Therefore, the only reason we could possibly be losing money is piracy. QED.

      Anybody with two neurons to bang together could point out the fallacies in that argument. Which is why our congresscritters seem to have so much trouble getting past it...

      --
      Why yes, I AM a rocket scientist!
    4. Re:In conclusion... by rdawson808 · · Score: 1

      If that were actually RIAA's argument then I would agree with you. But their argument is simply that they are losing money to piracy. Not that their decrease in profits is completely due to piracy.

  16. Obvious by fredrikj · · Score: 1

    When challenged to explain the fact that they're doing well despite the growing popularity of file sharing, the RIAA will simply claim that it's due to the success of copy restriction on CDs managing to balance the (blatantly inexistant) drop of sales.

    And boy bands are of course getting as increasingly popular as never before while consumers could not possibly be hungry for more varied and less commercialized content - which means that the sales in the RIAA's eyes ought to have accelerated upwards and that anything negative is caused by music piracy and lack of world domination.

    There, I said it, now give me karma :P

  17. Out with the old and in with the new by t0qer · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I am hated.
    I am one of "those" dot commers responsible for screwing up the economy.

    This is the attitude I get from a lot of people. Since the crash all the non-tech people I know have taken every oppertunity to take a cheap shot at me, "Ya told you it wouldn't last forever" or my personal favorite, "It's never coming back"

    "Bullshit" I say to myself as I try to keep my temper from flaring up.

    This type of thinking perme-ates (sp?) our society simply because nobody likes being replaced by younger newer models. This is the way it's been since the dawn of time. Someone makes technology (Castles) and someone else makes a technology that makes the former irrelevent (gunpowder) With both the RIAA and Kodak, it's the same problem. Someone came up with technology that quickly made the foundation of these organizations obselete.

    In the case of the RIAA, the combination of internet with Mp3 compression made the old models of music distribution obselete. I worked for a local music magazine for a few years, and often I would hear rockers cry about how Mp3's are sending them all to the poorhouse crying because they can't sell CD's anymore. No matter how many times I would try and tell them website+thawte+oscommerce=mp3 online store they just wouldn't listen because they were all brought up to believe that the RIAA method was the only way. Now apple sells songs 99cents apiece and is making a fortune. With all the money and power the RIAA has, it's a shame they didn't adapt the way apple did and just give their customers what they want.

    A good sign of how well CD distribution is dying is the ill fated "Wherehouse" music stores. To my knowledge here in san jose, they are all gone. CD sales just slipped into the toilet and all their stores have just vanished.

    Kodak isn't much different. For years they depended on film technology as the cornerstone of their business. By the time they entered digital photography other players had already developed cheaper and more mass producable camera's with higher quality than kodak. I suppose kodak never thought that digital technology would catch up with film, they should have paid closer attention to moores law.

    Both companies are old hats, trying to milk every dime out of innovations that are already 100 years old. Let them die already so the new upshots can give us better, faster, cheaper.

    1. Re:Out with the old and in with the new by gl4ss · · Score: 1

      ..if you really read even the article body you would notice that 'somebody came up with better' isn't quite true, the economy as total just went down a bit. the cd sales as sure haven't turned over like you imply.

      if the cd sales were really affected by mp3'ng then they would have gone down more, eh? the cd sales aren't affected jack's worth by this 'massive pirating'(normal consumer people get them as extra, not as total alternative that slashes out the possibility of buying the cd, for the most people buying cd's of artists they wish to imply they like is still 'cool', so the pop records are sold still).

      kodak hasn't dropped off from the program as completely as riaa though... the kodak photocd isn't KODAK photocd for nothing (true, pretty much dead, but pioneering product it was).

      mp3 has just been a scapegoat, the biggest loudmouths have also been the most ignorant of what such a thing is, and i guess it's comforting for your ego to think that everyoe who copied it (had 'radio open when it played', that is, heard for without paying directly) would have bought the cd if they couldn't have heard the song otherwise. now that's just retarded of course, i for one could much easily give a band a chance if/when i get the songs for free, and then maybe turn into a fan if it is good music. now, madonnas new cd might have some good stuff on it but i wouldn't never know unless i listened to it from mp3's(or at the store, but at the store i couldnt listen to it enough to know if i like it even) because the radio played single sucks so much.

      look what 'massive pirating and copying' did to the video game industry... and to the company who's boss was crying about it decades ago.

      --
      world was created 5 seconds before this post as it is.
    2. Re:Out with the old and in with the new by t0qer · · Score: 1

      look what 'massive pirating and copying' did to the video game industry... and to the company who's boss was crying about it decades ago.

      Would you be talking about Jack Tramiel of Atari? Piracy didn't kill them off, it was his families bad management. I knew ppl that worked there during time/warners time and were subsequently laid off during tramiels term.

    3. Re:Out with the old and in with the new by Cyno · · Score: 1

      Yeah.

      What's so sad is how much damage the RIAA will do on its way out.

      Too bad those rich greedy people running the show never get to spend any time in our fine prison system.

    4. Re:Out with the old and in with the new by M.+Silver · · Score: 2, Interesting

      A good sign of how well CD distribution is dying is the ill fated "Wherehouse" music stores. To my knowledge here in san jose, they are all gone. CD sales just slipped into the toilet and all their stores have just vanished.

      Countering anecdote with anecdote: We had a Wherehouse or three here, and they're gone, but I didn't take it as a sign that CD sales in general slipped into the toilet, but rather that the store I checked out was a few blocks from a Best Buy whose prices were several dollars cheaper on any given disc. We used to buy from there once in awhile, but once we started being able to preview stuff (by which I mean listen to samples on artists' sites) on the web, there was no reason to pay the extra.

      Far as I can tell, Best Buy still dedicates the same amount of space to CDs as they have for the last few years; I don't know if that indicates anything about their sales levels, but I would guess it might.

      --

      Slashdot's token middle-aged housewife
    5. Re:Out with the old and in with the new by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Alright mister grumpy, on the OT, it's not about being replaced by younger & newer models; It's about being replaced by inexperienced and non-historically literate models with the expectation that they know more by virtue of being young. If the 20-year old knows more than the 30-year old, plus the pros and cons of the 10-year old technology and why we're using the new stuff, then there wouldn't be any valid complaints.

      But, as it stood with a good number of companies, the younger models didn't know as much as the older ones, and made the same mistakes that their predecessors had already learned from. Mostly, because they were inexperienced.

      If you were wise in your ways, you would not become embittered with those that slight you. Indeed, it only serves to as an indicator that you might belong in the latter category.

    6. Re:Out with the old and in with the new by kesuki · · Score: 1

      Kodak is still where they've always been... producing mid-range camera products... That is where thier digital camaeras are... how many 'film' SLR kodak cameras are there? much less the new Digital SLRs that are quickly coming in to replace digital photography... and surprize nikon known for quality lenses and high end cameras has the best SLR digital camera. A digital that doesn't wait until 'after' you've pressed the button to snap the shot. it's there just as fast as the shutter speed on a real film camera.
      Sure you pay $2,600 for the nikon 6 megapixel SLR camera, and that's without lenses or memory....
      but that's what it costs to make a truly pro-grade digital cam (now). And maybe a few people are switching from film (I have.) But I did buy a kodak digital camera, because for the price/performance range I was looking at they had the best feature set.
      Most people are still using film. Digital pictures don't work the same. It's nice to be able to delete on the fly, and to esentially have unlimited film, and you can even get pretty decent sized prints nowadays. a 4 megapixel camera only produces 8x10 'native' resolution images. 35 mm film is equivalent to 10 megapixels, so really digital cameras are still playing catchup with 'real' film in 'native' resolutions.

    7. Re:Out with the old and in with the new by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      I am hated. I am one of "those" dot commers responsible for screwing up the economy. This is the attitude I get from a lot of people. Since the crash all the non-tech people I know have taken every oppertunity to take a cheap shot at me, "Ya told you it wouldn't last forever" or my personal favorite, "It's never coming back" "Bullshit" I say to myself as I try to keep my temper from flaring up.
      The rest of your post makes sense, but it is becoming more and more clear that it really isn't coming back. Programmers, IT, computers, etc. are all commodities now and won't be able to demand the out of control payments and compensation of the late nineties. IT isn't going away but the belief that IT is something new and special should - it is old and accepted already, and you are not a special, loved flower. Your day in the sun is over.
    8. Re:Out with the old and in with the new by Slack3r78 · · Score: 1

      So quick to flame needlessly? Yes, newer models have failed because they were flawed. But that doesn't mean a newer model isn't capable of obsoleting an older one. It's just the older ones manage to stay alive longer since they generally have the bank accounts that allow them to take the hits for a while before finally dying, as they should if you ask me.

    9. Re:Out with the old and in with the new by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Just sounded like the guy was flogging the "new is always better" mantra, which is not always correct. I mean, sure a new model may be *capable* of replacing an old one, but not by virtue of it being new. I think that's what I said. New models can also certainly be incapable of replacing old ones. Lack of expertise, training, style, identification of common flaws. By the time they become capable, they're the old guys. :) Admittedly, a new model could catch on quickly and be capable of replacing a older model right away. If the older model is any good, this situation is rare. If the older model is the 1970s equivalent of a Visual Basic hotshot, then this happens all the time. The latter situation is probably what the original poster was railing against.

      It just sounded like the guy was making sweeping generalizations about old programmers cause they were pissed off at some old guys who knew less. I was just stating that this is not always the case with the old guys.

    10. Re:Out with the old and in with the new by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      not really.

      i was talking about this guy who dwells in redmond..

    11. Re:Out with the old and in with the new by Slack3r78 · · Score: 1

      Understandable. I would just be more careful with your wording in the future. As you posted it, you sounded rather like a stubborn old man that was so set in their ways that nothing could persuade you to believe anything differently. Which is exactly what the OP was railing against. Remember, it's often not what you say - it's how you say it.

  18. Piracy sometimes HELPS economic development by Ryu2 · · Score: 5, Interesting

    I'm a frequent traveller to various countries in Asia for both business and personal trips, and I frequently encounter vendors of pirated movies, music, and software, and partook in buying their wares (warez?). Now, if one wanted to take a moral absolute, all of us should really be branded as hypocrites... But is piracy totally evil, without justification? Just like Communism, for example, a lot of people in the West seem to have a one-sided, black and white viewpoint of something which is a complicated issue.

    As an example, look at many countries in East Asia -- piracy, for all its evils, helps build a base of demand for your products and fuels the sales of hardware, without which your stuff is useless anyhow.

    What do I mean? There needs to be a established base of music listeners/movie viewers/software users and owners of hardware, like CD players, etc first. Without evil piracy, sales of PCs/CD/DVD players in Asia would have been much less than what it is now, and most people would not have heard of most Western software movies or music, if they had not been ubiquitously available.

    So, in developing countries like China, piracy, by fueling a demand that would not have otherwise been there, and ensuring a base of owners with appropriate hardware, lays the foundation for a consumer base. Then, as economic conditions improve, companies move in there, leverage those customers and sell legit products while adding value (better manufacturing quality, etc.) at locally-affordable prices (this is a key point -- no one in any part of the world will pay the equivalent of a week's salary for a CD, for example). Look at places like Japan and Korea that are considered "developed" now. Of course, there's still some piracy in those places -- you can't eradicate it completely, but because you have these people now clamoring for music/movies/software, you now have a thriving music industry and market, both for local artists and for foreign corporations. As a country moves from developing to developed, so will piracy gradually decrease, if companies first build off the existing base of consumers which have been created by pirated material, and market to them (through the selling points of higher quality, etc.) rather than alienating or antagonizing them.

    And of course, many times, piracy is the only option, if a company doesn't release their product there. One corollary and positive effect of it has been movie studios, for instance, releasing movies nearly simultaneously worldwide, whereas in the past, in Asia, one would often have to wait for months for a release, if it was to be released at all. In being a stimulus to create buzz and hype -- and ultimately, demand for more -- in countries where the American media juggernaut hasn't reached yet, piracy has been wonderfully successful in this regard.

    Essentially, the blunt, hard, truth in much of the developing world is this: without piracy, you would not have had that base of potential consumers to begin with. It's a win/win situation, for the people, for the hardware makers, and ultimately (while it may take time) for the software and content makers as well. Sadly, the myopic vision of most of the corporations fail to grasp this fact.

    --
    There's 10 types of people in this world, those who understand binary and those who don't.
    1. Re:Piracy sometimes HELPS economic development by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      Are you perhaps confusing expedience with moral rectitude?

    2. Re:Piracy sometimes HELPS economic development by Guppy06 · · Score: 1

      "at locally-affordable prices"

      That's what globalization is supposed to help do, convince businesses the benefit of pricing for the lowest common denominator on a global scale.

      Oh, wait, the DVD Consortium forces regional lock-outs into their products...

    3. Re:Piracy sometimes HELPS economic development by NZKiwi · · Score: 1

      That explains why so many of the Music DVD's I've purchased will play on any player Zoned 2 through 6 (and the RIAA must by why that very same disk will not play in zone 1 gear... ;-)

    4. Re:Piracy sometimes HELPS economic development by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But isn't that the justification for the actions of corporations? "They are supposed to increase the value t shareholders"

      Expediency vs morality again.

    5. Re:Piracy sometimes HELPS economic development by garrulous · · Score: 1

      >

      Right. The difference is that the corporations at least nominally own the content. They can do what they want with it. Your logic follows the same conspicuous bent as does mob "protection" money. How bout this? You wear a name tag around and I'll try and pickpocket you. But hey don't worry about it. I'll give it back to you in a couple of years with a 5% interest rate....maybe. You should be grateful.

  19. The inevitable '2 good songs' thread by angle_slam · · Score: 1
    Whenever there is a thread about music, someone will bring up the argument that most current CDs only have 2 good songs on it, therefore necessitating downloads (nobody wants to pay $18 for 2 songs).

    So use this thread to post CDs you have bought or heard that only had 1-2 good songs on it. Personally, I think that experience is rare. In most cases, if you like a particular song, there are other songs on the album that are similar in style and should be liked by you as well. The exception would be a situation where the "hit" song is totally unlike the rest of the album. For example, Smashing Pumpkins, Mellon Collie and the Infinite Sadness. The song 1979 was all over the "soft rock" stations and I'm sure many people were surprised when they heard the rest of the album.)

    But I'll kick it off by nominating a relatively old album: School of Fish from 1991. I loved the song Three Strange Days and even bought the CD single. The songs on the single were pretty good as well, so I bought the album. Ugh! No other good song on the entire album. Terrible disappointment (though the Amazon reviews are pretty high.)

    1. Re:The inevitable '2 good songs' thread by JackMonkey · · Score: 1

      The most glaringly obvious choice for me would be Extreme - Pornograffiti.

      You remember Extreme, right? They had two awesome songs on that album: More Than Words and Hole Hearted. They were acoustic-based melodies with catchy lyrics, but everything else on the album was typical '80s big hair crap.

    2. Re:The inevitable '2 good songs' thread by TheRaven64 · · Score: 1
      So use this thread to post CDs you have bought or heard that only had 1-2 good songs on it. Personally, I think that experience is rare.

      About the only CDs I buy now are 'complete studio recordings of X' boxed sets, so this doesn't really apply to me. On the other hand, I rarely listen to any music recorded in the last 30 years, figuring that anything that's survived that long must have some merit and a lot of the noise has been filtered out by economics.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    3. Re:The inevitable '2 good songs' thread by MarcoAtWork · · Score: 1

      Another example similar to the 'Smashing Pumpkins' one is the 'More than words' song by Extreme, the rest of the album is -nothing- like that song...

      In general, it's not news that a band releases an album with a couple of hit tracks and the rest is filler (come on, 45s had a 'B' side for a reason!) it's just that nowadays most bands/singers sound the same (heck, they even -look- the same) so people are becoming a bit disillusioned with the whole prepackaged music market.

      In the days of yore bands/groups were definitely more original & diverse, songs on the same album could be extremely different from each other, now labels are way too obsessed about formula IMHO.

      Personally most (and I mean 95%) of the CDs I bought the past few years have been classical/jazz/'classic pop/rock', the rest is definitely non-mainstream stuff (people should check out 'Little Lights' by Kate Rusby, awesome voice & a great folk-type album).

      The only contemporary (sort of) 'mainstream' (sort of) artist I buy albums as soon as they get out is Sting, I've never -ever- heard a 'filler' track on any of his solo album or really any formulaic ones, he's definitely by far my favorite 'pop' artist of all time...

      --
      -- the cake is a lie
    4. Re:The inevitable '2 good songs' thread by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hand on the Torch by Us3. First 2 songs are freakin' awesome, the rest of the CD sucks more than suck can suck. It's the only CD in my entire collection of over 300 where I didn't rip all of the tracks into my MP3 collection.

    5. Re:The inevitable '2 good songs' thread by MsGeek · · Score: 1

      Talib Kweli, "Quality." One good song. "Get By." The rest of the album is crap. Everlast, "Whitey Ford Sings The Blues." Two good songs: "What It's Like" and "Ends." The rest of the album is crap. I actually LIKE imaginative Hip-Hop. The Roots put out a great album this year. "The Miseducation Of Lauren Hill" is a great album. Even Eminem has done some great stuff. But sorry...those albums stink up my record collection. Phew! iTunes is the wave of the future. It'll never come to Linux, but oh well, I do have a G3 Blue-And-White...:)

      --
      Knowledge is power. Knowledge shared is power multiplied.
    6. Re:The inevitable '2 good songs' thread by Funksaw · · Score: 1

      Dave Matthews Band: Crash - (Too Much & Crash)

      Bad Religion - Recipe for Hate - (Modern Day Catastrophists)

      Crystal Method - Tweekend - (Murder)

    7. Re:The inevitable '2 good songs' thread by Alioth · · Score: 1

      Ones I've bought with only one or two good songs:

      - A Bjork album whose name escapes me and I haven't listened to for a while because it's so horrible. Only one good song on that one.
      - Manic Street Preachers "This is my truth tell me yours"
      - Oasis "What's the Story Morning glory" - not only are many of the tracks ho-hum, but the recordings are bad (sounds like someone left the gain too high on the guitars, resulting in very harsh sounding music)
      - Radiohead 'Kid-A' - Thom Whatshisname was just indulging himself on this album, I think.
      - Pink Floyd "A momentary lapse of reason" - two great songs, the rest are sort of very ho-hum and I wouldn't have bought if you could buy the tracks individually.

      Of course the majority of albums I've bought generally aren't two good songs and the rest horrible. Out of the rest, about 40% or so whilst being mostly good, have tracks so dire I skip them or I've burned a CD-R of the album with the tracks removed (to my ear, the best example of this is the Red Hot Chilli Peppers 'Californication' which has some superb tracks but two really crap ones, including some rap-like "music" which I definitely wouldn't have bought had I been able to buy each track on its own).

    8. Re:The inevitable '2 good songs' thread by JackMonkey · · Score: 1

      Are you nuts???

      Crash is one of the best albums Dave Matthews has ever put out. I can't think of a song on that CD I don't like...it's one of my favorite albums.

    9. Re:The inevitable '2 good songs' thread by ryanwright · · Score: 1

      "Mr. President". I bought the CD for that Coco Jamboo song. The rest of it was total and complete shit. $18 for one song that I got tired of after a week.

      --
      -Ryan, with the unoriginal sig
    10. Re:The inevitable '2 good songs' thread by Funksaw · · Score: 1

      Okay, yeah, see... there's two groups of DMB fans. There's group A, like me, who like Under the Table and Dreaming, and thought that Crash was okay but not great, and that Crowded Streets was where DMB jumped the shark.

      The oppisite number tended to get on board with Crash and like everything afterwards...

      I liked Trippy, uptempo, slightly dark DMB with funky violin & sax, not downtempo, mainstream, rock-ballad DMB.

    11. Re:The inevitable '2 good songs' thread by Funksaw · · Score: 1

      Actually, this brings up a good point. "Crowded Streets" turned me off to CD buying completely until I got turned on to Napster. I had bought the CD on DMB's reputation, sound-unheard, and was really burned by the $20 I spent. To me, that makes P2P worth defending.

    12. Re:The inevitable '2 good songs' thread by JackMonkey · · Score: 1

      See, I think Crash is in the same style as UtTaD, and I agree that BTCS was a huge departure. My favorite, though, is Remember Two Things...pre-mainstream days, but a few of the songs made it on to later albums.

    13. Re:The inevitable '2 good songs' thread by Funksaw · · Score: 1

      R2T was good.

    14. Re:The inevitable '2 good songs' thread by cgori · · Score: 1
      Hmm, I have to respectfully disagree with the School of Fish suggestion -- Rose Colored Glasses is quite a solid song, and Speechless is excellent, probably my fave of the whole disc. Euphoria is a decent track too.

      All that said, I liked _School of Fish_ so much that I bought _Human Cannonball_ without a listen -- ugh. Not a single decent track. They changed style, probably influenced by the wave of grunge in 1993, and it was not a change for the better.

      An interesting side note is that School of Fish has a disc called "Back to Back Hits" with Dada for 6.98 new / 3.99 used on Amazon. It has 3 Strange Days and Euphoria (plus some other random stuff that's not bad). I know that most people would be interested at that kind of a price.

      I'll nominate as one/two-hit wonders:
      • Semisonic's Feeling Strangely Fine (Closing Time)
      • Pet Shop Boys _Nightlife_ (Closer to heaven)
      • Train _Train_ (Meet Virginia)
      • Train _Drops of Jupiter_ (Drops of Jupiter)
      • Five for Fighting _Message for Albert_ (Bella's Birthday Cake)


      I'm sure I could find a half-dozen more if I had my stacks of CDs in front of me.
  20. Eastman-Kodak a good comparison? Pretty good/Apple by adzoox · · Score: 1
    Ah, but they too realized the benefits of technology too late. Fuji, their best comparison competitior is doing quite well, and not only slowly stealing film biz away but managing to gain a little in the digital camera arena too. You have to realize that Kodak has been in the digital camera market from the get go and COULD have made themselves a leader. Instead, they chose (at the beginning) to have NON expandable memory cameras with no LCDs while their competitor's innovated. Apple's first Quicktakes (100 and 150) were Kodak DC30 rebrands, then Apple noticed Fuji's MX5 Camera with LCD and expandable smartmedia, high res CCD and went with it for the Quicktake 200. Apple would have MUCH rather stayed with Kodak because they were self supporting. (Kodak cameras (to this day) use PowerPC processors.

    This can be said the same for the RIAA? Apple/iTunes Music store may be technology too late to save the "P2P profit problem" They had their chance when Napster was at it's peak to at LEAST let Napster pay them something then work out details and payments as things progressed. Instead the RIAA stuck with the old fashioned way of getting money - lawyers!

    --
    Yell & scream & rant & rave... it's no use... you need a shaaaave ~ Bugs Bunny
  21. Sue Reality TV by WickedClean · · Score: 3, Funny

    Maybe the RIAA should sue the people who make shows like American Idol! People are at home watching people sing when they should be out buying records. What if people are using their evil VCR to record American Idol? HOW DARE THEY! That is piracy! They must burn.

    --
    ...All I can say is that my life is pretty strange...
  22. P2P is killing Dupont by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Funny

    If I'm reading these numbers correctly, Dupont is getting hammered even worse than the RIAA by these p2p pirates. I didn't realize the sharing isos chocked full of chemical recipes was so rampant. You bastards.

    1. Re:P2P is killing Dupont by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Whee, I just downloaded the formula for making Teflon!! No more overpriced Teflon coated pots and pans for me!

  23. Isn't it obvious? by darkov · · Score: 4, Funny

    The economy dipped becuase of the the overwhelming piracy. That's how bad it gotten. Next will come pestilence, famine, floods and your chickens will stop laying. We must stop priacy now to save the world.

    1. Re:Isn't it obvious? by way2trivial · · Score: 1
      Holy shit, I'm a firstborn son!

      please, stop the insanity!

      --
      every day http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Special:Random
    2. Re:Isn't it obvious? by Cyno01 · · Score: 1
      ...and your chickens will stop laying.
      Will they stop laying eggs, or will people have to stop fucking them?
      --
      "Sic Semper Tyrannosaurus Rex."
  24. Of Course.. by JRHelgeson · · Score: 1

    Of course the RIAA numbers are going to be down where Eastman Kodak's are, people are turning to digital cameras and leaving film cameras behind in droves.

    This doesn't mean that the RIAA isn't full of crap, they are. I just think they chose a poor example to compare them to.

    --
    Good security is based upon reality and common sense. Common sense is a function of having common knowledge.
    1. Re:Of Course.. by jafosei · · Score: 1
      Of course the RIAA numbers are going to be down where Eastman Kodak's are, people are turning to digital cameras and leaving film cameras behind in droves.

      Kodak sells digital cameras too.

  25. and you don't think the RIAA knows this??? by Newer+Guy · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Of course they do!! The RIAA KNOWS that the reason their sales are down is because the economy sucks....See, they're LYING...when they claim that p2p is hurting sales. p2p threatens their distribution model like nothing before and they'll do anything to kill it. They'll lie, cheat, steal, sue, bribe (mostly Congress) and do whatever else is necessary (whether ethical or not) to keep the mother lode they (now) exclusively mine. the things I've described above aren't new either...they've been doing every one of them for many years (back in the 70's and 80's the record company radio reps used to be known as SNOWMEN and I'm not talking about the weather here!).

    1. Re:and you don't think the RIAA knows this??? by 10am-bedtime · · Score: 1

      "snowmen"

      yeah but that could also be because they used coke (and whores) to blow your mind (and otherwise) pre-signing. musicians are nothing if not easily swaysed by these influences.

      oop ack!

  26. re 2 song thing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    if you like a particular song, there are other songs on the album that are similar in style and should be liked by you as well


    So now you're telling us what to like?
    1. Re:re 2 song thing by TheRaven64 · · Score: 1
      if you like a particular song, there are other songs on the album that are similar in style and should be liked by you as well

      So now you're telling us what to like?

      No, it was the passive voice. He's telling the song that it should be liked. By you. Or else.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
  27. In Soviet Russia... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Troll

    ...the RIAA boycotts YOU!

  28. Striking Analogy by Kircle · · Score: 1

    Kodak's fianancial situation may not be a good marker for economic trends, but it is a striking analogy to what the RIAA is currently learning/experiencing. Companies who are unable to adapt, refusing to adapt, or refusing to recognize emerging technolgies are slowing wilting away...

    --

    -- Kircle

  29. The situation's aren't comparable. by AzrealAO · · Score: 1, Insightful

    That's because Digital Photographers aren't STEALING THEIR FILM AND CAMERAS.

    The situations are not comparable in the slightest.

    New Technology for picture taking is supplanting Eastman-Kodak's traditional film-based market, and they are adapting by expanding into the digital photography arena. It's other companies using new technology to sell a different/better product.

    P2P is distributing the RIAA's member's works for free to anyone that requests them. You CANNOT compete with someone taking YOUR PRODUCT and giving it away for free.

    It's not like Indie bands are giving their music away and thriving off of increased goodwill and concert attendance. That would be somewhat analagous to Eastman-Kodak's traditional film business vs. Digital Photography.

    People are taking the RIAA's property and giving it away for free without permission, there is no way around this fact, no matter HOW you try and justify it.

    1. Re:The situation's aren't comparable. by finkployd · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Some people do not consider music to be property. I'm not saying I'm one of them but you have to admit that stealing and copyright violation are two completly different crimes. If I steal something from you you no longer have it, and have experienced a loss. If I copy something of yours we both have it, and you have lost nothing.

      Finkployd

    2. Re:The situation's aren't comparable. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Interesting

      That's because Digital Photographers aren't STEALING THEIR FILM AND CAMERAS.

      HA HA good one. Maybe if you THINK for a minute you'll realize nobody is stealing the RIAA's master tapes either.

      P2P is distributing the RIAA's member's works for free to anyone that requests them. You CANNOT compete with someone taking YOUR PRODUCT and giving it away for free.

      Then why do people still by CDs? How come I can go to library any time yet I buy books? Why is the Apple store so successful? THINK man, a Capitalist is supposed to FIGURE OUT how to make money, not WHINE about how yesterday's market dried up. That's all the RIAA is doing, whining about the laws of physics. The Apple store is MILES ahead of any P2P system.. that means there was value to be added.. and Apple added it and charges for it.

      It's not like Indie bands are giving their music away and thriving off of increased goodwill and concert attendance.

      Do you know any indie bands?? If you release a CD on a small label, it takes maybe 2 years of constant sales before you see any royalties, but concerts pay off a lot sooner. That's why many indie bands tour so much. They work hard for their money.

      People are taking the RIAA's property and giving it away for free without permission, there is no way around this fact, no matter HOW you try and justify it.

      Exactly, as soon as the RIAA realizes this is a fact of life, a natural property of their product they CAN'T GET RID OF, they will figure out how to make more money.

    3. Re:The situation's aren't comparable. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "People are taking the RIAA's property and giving it away for free without permission, there is no way around this fact, no matter HOW you try and justify it."

      True as that may be, the point is that the RIAA is not going broke because of it, despite the dire picture that their lobbyists paint for congress. Is distributing somebody else's copyrighted material to masses of complete strangers illegal? Certainly. But is it going to threaten our American way of life? Ha!, get real. And that's what the RIAA needs to do because simple economics shows that they're full of sh|+.

    4. Re:The situation's aren't comparable. by MisterMook · · Score: 0

      Stealing music by making mp3s is like saying we're all stealing from Webster because we're using words.

      Politicians seem to make a pretty good living competing with all the other assholes that just give their opinions and tell people how to live away for free, why not musicians? They're better marketers probably...

    5. Re:The situation's aren't comparable. by randyest · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Good points and an excellent clarification, but I have to take issue with this:

      You CANNOT compete with someone taking YOUR PRODUCT and giving it away for free.

      Yes, you can, at least in this example. You can provide faster, more reliable, higher quality, verified products in a convenient medium chock full of value added aspects (music suggestions, news, special features, artwork, video, etc.) at a reasonable price.

      I'm not saying it was or is incumbent on the RIAA to do so, but it certainly would have behooved them to do so rather than try to kill the distribution channel altogether and maintain the status quo. Being legal, and having a huge head start on content, they could have swamped the P2P's into usenet-binaries-like obscurity instead of helping thrust them into the mainstream by failing to fill the huge, obvious vacuum that Napster trickled into before it was shut down and replaced by more slippery P2P's like Kazaalite. Now it's too late.

      Opportunity only knocks once (if at all).

      --
      everything in moderation
    6. Re:The situation's aren't comparable. by Dastardly · · Score: 5, Insightful

      P2P is distributing the RIAA's member's works for free to anyone that requests them. You CANNOT compete with someone taking YOUR PRODUCT and giving it away for free.

      Hmmm... The RIAA seemed to do pretty good with cassettes that let you copy their product and give it to some one else.

      CD burners have been available longer than P2P and don't seem to have hurt them much.

      Oh, and the movie industry seems to do allright with video tapes.

      The PC game industry seems to have done pretty good against people copying games and giving them away.

      People are taking the RIAA's property and giving it away for free without permission, there is no way around this fact, no matter HOW you try and justify it.

      Correct. But, as the cases above show it is possible to compete with very inexpensive. Oh, and just like the other cases of this same thing it is not free. Just very inexpensive. The cases mentioned above you still payed for media. With P2P you pay for your internet connection.

      There is no justification for stealing, the problem is that a disruptive technology has entered the marketplace, and rather than embrace it as the opportunity it presents RIAA members have decided to try to put the genie back in the bottle. There attempts at embracing the technology have been feeble due to infighting (two subscription services that couldn't share catalogs). Not presenting a product that the consumer wants (subscription services only allow you to play music on your computer). Pricing that was unacceptable $10 a month whether you download music or not.

      In the end, it appears Apple may save the music industry from itself by providing the product that people want, at a reasonable price, legally.

    7. Re:The situation's aren't comparable. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Ummm. due to ASCAP/BMI, even the "downloaders" still pay royalty. You buy anything advertised on radio, or admission to a club or even a meal at a goddamn restaurant and RIAA gets a slice.

      When will you RIAA supporters get it thru your thick skulls that it is OVER. For the longest time you got money from us every which way. We paid three four, five times for the same piece of music. Now that the REALITY of the world has changed, you can't stand the fact that you can only get us one or two ways.

      And even that is better than the rest of us, who have to work a day to get a day's pay. You and your artists think it should be work one single day and get paid for the rest of your life, and your descendants after you, too. Fuck you and your abuse of the royalty system.

      And I don't want to hear a peep about how the music will die. Somehow still, I don't think you will have any trouble signing acts who will only earn 1.8 million a year instead of 18 million. Most acts are in it for the pussy anyway. But it is you who is locked into the cashflow, because how are you going to get pussy with your ugly face and no Ferrari?

    8. Re:The situation's aren't comparable. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      well i still interpret the message from the p2p masses:

      "your shit is not worth what you think it is. lower the price, make it easy to access or else"

      it's rather quite simple.

      of course, the riaa will not lower the price.

      they won't make it convenient.

      they would rather see draconian laws put into place via the influence of obscene amounts of money.

      then there customers, and by then your average citizen, will absolutely and irrevocably hate them.

      goodbye riaa.

      either way you are gone.

    9. Re:The situation's aren't comparable. by NeXTer · · Score: 1

      Oh, but I would indeed have lost something. The more copies there are of something, the less valuable it becomes. That's why we have inflation.

      (Haven't we discussed this before...?)

    10. Re:The situation's aren't comparable. by mgoff · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Some people do not consider music to be property. I'm not saying I'm one of them but you have to admit that stealing and copyright violation are two completly different crimes. If I steal something from you you no longer have it, and have experienced a loss. If I copy something of yours we both have it, and you have lost nothing.

      Where this position fall short is that information has value only when it is scarce. Patents and other IP violations are only copyright violations, but once scarity is removed (i.e. easily available for free), the value to the legitimite owner is destroyed. The owner consumed resources to develop the IP, and it is reasonable for that owner to expect to extract value from that investment.

      I have yet to see a credible argument that only tangible property has value. Using IP without the owner's premission is theft. The thief can justify it however he or she wants, but the IP has less value after he or she takes it without permission.

    11. Re:The situation's aren't comparable. by swillden · · Score: 2, Informative

      You CANNOT compete with someone taking YOUR PRODUCT and giving it away for free.

      These guys think they can make a good living by giving away THEIR OWN PRODUCT for free, AND by allowing people to give it to others as well. As it turns out, they're doing very well at it, too.

      --
      Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
    12. Re:The situation's aren't comparable. by unicron · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      That logic is so flawed it makes my eyes bleed. That's like me stealing cars off the lot and going "well I can get it for free this way so you should have to have it delivered to my house full of fine-ass women and cases of Heineken and them MAYBE I'll give you money for it". This isn't bread or baby formula. You aren't gonna die without the latest Eminem CD. This all goes back to my original arguement. The lot of you wouldn't know what a busines model was if it bit you on the ass. Download what you want, who gives a fuck..but PLEASE quit thinking you're freedom fighters. Their are people out there that know what a real dictator is like, for their sake shut the fuck up about the injustices of the RIAA.

      --
      Finally, math books without any of that base 6 crap in them.
    13. Re:The situation's aren't comparable. by rhavyn · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Stealing a physical item and copyright infringment are not the same (no matter how much the RIAA would like you to believe).

      I think the problem is that the RIAA only know one business model. That business model is out dated and consumers don't seem to be buying into it. Consumers are saying quite loudly that they want to pick and choose music (even by the track) and they want it cheap. People will pay for it (see the Apple music store for proof) if it is packaged attractively. Capitalism doesn't make any promises that your business model will work, nor does it promise that it will continue to work later even if it works today. If the only way to get someone to buy a car was to deliver it your house full of fine-ass women and cases of Heineken, then you damn well better believe that car dealerships would be doing just that. And right now, the RIAA has the equivalent of a large segment of their consumers wanting their cars deliever, with women and beer.

    14. Re:The situation's aren't comparable. by unicron · · Score: 1, Insightful

      You need to get out of the mindset that a good has to have a physical form. You can steal cable, internet access, cell phone time, etc. Their good is music. You're stealing music. You're stealing their good.

      --
      Finally, math books without any of that base 6 crap in them.
    15. Re:The situation's aren't comparable. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A thing can be property only if you can touch it.

      "Intellectual Property" isn't. Just ask the guys who wrote the COTUS and Declaration of Independance.

    16. Re:The situation's aren't comparable. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

      "Good?"

      I thought we were talking about property. What people refer to as "Intellectual Property" is neither physical property, nor a service rendered. Music is a service if it's a live performance. If you sneak into the venue, you're stealing the service. If you steal CDs, you're stealing plastic laminate discs.

      If you're stealing cable, you're stealing a service. Ditto for internet access, cell phone time, etc. Those services are provided at a cost to the provider.

      You cannot "steal" ideas. "Intellectual Property" is ideas.

      Copyright is not property. It is a temporary legal monopoly on the particular expression of an idea. It isn't a turnip, goat, or plot of land.

      You need to get out of the mindset that ideas can be property.

    17. Re:The situation's aren't comparable. by randyest · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Easy there tiger. Re-read my comment, take a deep breath, and think for a second before you launch another poorly-aimed vitriolic diatribe. Exactly what part of my logic is flawed, again? Maybe you meant to reply to some other post?

      I did not say that I (or anyone) was a freedom fighter. I did not say that the RIAA was unjust. You are so angry (why?) that you're completely missing my (valid) point.

      To reiterate a key phrase:

      I'm not saying it was or is incumbent on the RIAA to do so, but it certainly would have behooved them to do so . . . [arguments to support this position].

      You do know what incumbent and behooved mean, don't you? Your post would seem to indicate otherwise. If necessary, please see dictionary.com or a similar reference for clarification. Understanding is key to effective argument.

      See, I was trying to point out that the RIAA had an opportunity to nip this whole p2p debacle in the bud a long time ago. I didn't say they had a responsibility to do so (I even went out of my way to point that out). I didn't say that their failure to do so justifies anything. I do think they made a bad business decision (based on fear and ignorance, mostly) and are now flailing about while desperately clutching a failed business model (bitten asses or not), and seeking legislative support for their own bad decisions.

      You don't have to agree with me but, if you diasagree, it would be more useful (for both of us), if you'd address my points rather than flaming. Your hateful nonsense is just as (or more) silly and ineffective as the p2p fanboy self-righteous justification that you so vehemently attack.

      --
      everything in moderation
    18. Re:The situation's aren't comparable. by unicron · · Score: 1

      I think I'll go with something I read back in the day. Maynard, when asked about p2p networks and such, replied "My music is not yours to give".

      I like that.

      --
      Finally, math books without any of that base 6 crap in them.
    19. Re:The situation's aren't comparable. by Ost99 · · Score: 1

      I have yet to see a credible argument that only tangible property has value. Using IP without the owner's premission is theft. The thief can justify it however he or she wants, but the IP has less value after he or she takes it without permission.

      The theft / copyright violation debate is getting a bit old, but for Tim's sake, your way off mark. There are lots of things going on that reduces the value of something, and few of those constitutes theft. When you sit in you neighbours coach, the coach suffers wear and tear. Are you stealing from your neighbour when you sit in his coach?

      Copyright violations are more like borrowing something from someone (without their permission in most cases). You return the borrowed item at once, but it has suffered some wear and tear and has its value reduced a tiny bit. Much like your neighbours coach, when you sit in it.

      - Ost
      --
      ---- Sig. gone.
    20. Re:The situation's aren't comparable. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Vous parlez hors de votre âne.

    21. Re:The situation's aren't comparable. by Natalie's+Hot+Grits · · Score: 1

      Yea you can, look at what apple did.

      Not that I like apple, or would ever pay 99 cents for a song in their database, but it is popular with a lot of people, and it is proven to work, and generate huge amounts of revenue.

      --
      Two infinite things: your stupidity and mine. But I'm not sure about the latter. If my sig offends you, I'm sorry.
    22. Re:The situation's aren't comparable. by nihilogos · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Nobody ever made the comparison. The RIAA are wailing about P2P piracy affecting their music sales and using this to push for the implementation of draconian copyright control measures which trample all over consumer's rights.

      Their declining music sales are supposed to be "proof" that digital piracy is affecting their business. However it's also possible that this is just part of a general economic trend, which is what this article is asserting.

      For decades RIAA companies have made bucketloads of money of which artists only get a small fraction. Companies that should exist soley to promote and distribute the works of artists make more money than the artists themselves. See anything wrong here? The sort of things that are retrospecitvely taken out of artist royalties are unbelievable, food and alcohol at a promotional party for example.

      The real reason the RIAA feels threatened by P2P is that if it was adopted as the medium of choice for music distribution, then the entry barrier into the industry would be lowered almost to the point where the artists could do it themselves. Their monopoly is threatened. So rather than embrace P2P as something which could potentially benefit the artists its member companies purportedly represent they are trying to legislate it out of existence. Using phony arguments like "P2P is eroding our profits".

      --
      :wq
    23. Re:The situation's aren't comparable. by ipfwadm · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Hmmm... The RIAA seemed to do pretty good with cassettes that let you copy their product and give it to some one else.

      There was a lot more effort that went into copying tapes than a file on a hard drive. First, there was the cost of the blank cassette. Sure it wasn't much, but given high enough distribution, it adds up to a lot. With p2p there are no real distribution costs (don't tell me your internet access costs money because that's not a marginal cost, and you'd be paying for your internet anyway). Second, the number of people you could distribute the cassette to was largely limited to the people you knew. Because of the cost of the blank cassette, you certainly weren't going to mass produce copies that you showered on everyone in your neighborhood. With p2p, you can get music from anyone in the world, 99.9999% of the time not knowing who they are. You can argue the 6 Degrees of Kevin Bacon thing, but making a copy of a copy of a copy eventually results in terrible quality. You may think it's recording industry propaganda, but it ain't.

      CD burners have been available longer than P2P and don't seem to have hurt them much.
      Oh, and the movie industry seems to do allright with video tapes.


      These are both analogous to the above. Video tapes suffer from analog copying especially badly, since a standard VHS tape is only half TV resolution to begin with, and who ever paid the money for Super VHS?

      The PC game industry seems to have done pretty good against people copying games and giving them away.

      Again, analogous to the above. But in this case, I think you're wrong. It's not as totally widespread as music swapping, but go onto any p2p service and you can probably find whatever game you're looking for. I know when I lived in the dorms in college there weren't more than a couple people on my floor that owned a game, but everyone had a copy. The game industry just doesn't publicize it as much as the RIAA or Microsoft. And even though everyone hates MS and the B$A, Windows piracy is really a huge problem. I used to work at a mom & pop computer store around the time of Win95 and Win98, and every time the computer show rolled around, someone would bring their system in for service and along with it came an (obviously) faked Win95 disc.

    24. Re:The situation's aren't comparable. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The taking of information does nothing. It is the *using* of information that does damage, if any damage is done.

      Besides, not all IP loses value through distribution.

    25. Re:The situation's aren't comparable. by letxa2000 · · Score: 5, Insightful
      but once scarity is removed (i.e. easily available for free), the value to the legitimite owner is destroyed.

      So you advocate the artificial creation of scarcity? So the owner of an otherwise non-scarce product can artificially create scarcity so that something that wouldn't otherwise have value has value?

      I can understand the artist's desire to make money, but things that are by nature NOT scarce should not and, in the long term, CANNOT be made scarce. Legally or illegally the market will make certain of that.

      The owner consumed resources to develop the IP, and it is reasonable for that owner to expect to extract value from that investment.

      Many people create IP and don't expect to extract money from it. Many others even invest time and money creating IP *expecting* an ROI and never get it. Just because something requires time to create doesn't automatically mean they are entitled to money. The market decides what any given product (or IP) is worth. If the market has decided that music in its digital form is free then the artists either adapt to that reality by taking advantage of free music distribution to promote themselves, their products, and hopefully score endorsements, or they can find something else to do for a living.

      I have yet to see a credible argument that only tangible property has value.

      It's not that IP doesn't have value, it's creating artificial scarcity that gets you (or the RIAA, rather) into trouble. Charging $20 for something that costs a buck and for which even $3 should create healthy profits is as much robbery as people getting some free tunes online. You overcharge like that and you're just ASKING for a black market to be formed (file sharing) or asking for someone else to redefine your market (Apple).

      The thief can justify it however he or she wants, but the IP has less value after he or she takes it without permission.

      Maybe, but if the owner had chosen a price nearer to its NATURAL PRICE the owner would find that fewer people would "pirate" it and, thus, fewer people would lower its value by taking it without permission. In fact, I'd say that piracy is bringing the overall price of music to its NATURAL PRICE. They charge $20 for CDs but lots of people get it for free. Perhaps if you did the math you'd find that averaging the total amount earned and the total amount pirated that the final amount earned was, say, $6 a CD. To me that means that that's the NATURAL PRICE.

      Legally or not, all products in a free market WILL find their natural price. Free markets do that.

      But in the end, yes, digital distribution will reduce the "value" of music. That's because most of the value has been concentrated in the DISTRIBUTION of music and that's now nearly cost-free. I'm not convinced any of this really affects the artist who generally earns more money from concerts and endorsements than from the sales of their CDs.

    26. Re:The situation's aren't comparable. by TeraCo · · Score: 1
      When you sit in you neighbours coach, the coach suffers wear and tear. Are you stealing from your neighbour when you sit in his coach?

      Well, if he is letting you sit there, then he gets what he deserves. But even so, if you don't leave when he asks, no doubt he will get you arrested for trespassing!

      --
      Not Meta-modding due to apathy.
    27. Re:The situation's aren't comparable. by Drakonian · · Score: 1
      You do know what incumbent and behooved mean, don't you? Your post would seem to indicate otherwise. If necessary, please see dictionary.com or a similar reference for clarification. Understanding is key to effective argument.

      Hmmm. Some would say that using an ad hominem argument is also an ineffective debating technique.

      --
      Random is the New Order.
    28. Re:The situation's aren't comparable. by will592 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      You can steal cable,
      Signal, if you 'steal' cable you're connecting illegaly to an electric circuit that has a finite capacity to source current. You are 'stealing' their signal strength and if enough people steal it they will have to increase capacity to maintain that signal for their paying customers. You are in fact stealing a physical good.

      internet access,
      Bandwidth, if you steal internet access you're sucking up bandwidth that paying customers are being denied. The ISP will eventually have to lay out cash for hardware to compensate.

      cell phone time,
      Circuits, if you steal cell phone time you're filling circuits of which there is a limited supply. If you don't know the value of cell circuits as a physical good then you're out of the loop. Again, the cell companies will have to lay out cash and buy new hardware to increase capacity.

      Their good is music.
      If you're stealing CD's from a store, you are stealing music. They have to print more CD's to make up for the ones you steal. If enough are stolen, they will have to print more or risk not having CD's to sell to honest customers. If you're making a copy of the CD (And frankly, most of the music 'stolen' is not a perfect copy of a physical good but an imperfect copy of part of the good) you aren't denying the company producing the CD any inventory. You aren't doing anything that will force them to create more CD's.

      Are you stealing art if you photograph the Statue of Liberty? Distributing copies of someone else's music without their permission may be wrong but it is not theft in the same way that the things you mentioned are theft.

    29. Re:The situation's aren't comparable. by j3110 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      This is a very interesting idea. In normal economics, you would just balance supply and demand. In economics like software, supply is negligable, and demand can be extremely high. I think what you are getting at is that these economic calculations don't even really apply.

      The best way I think there is to price software is with price discrimination, which is probably the next step in the chain it appears. For a better quality product, you'll have to pay more. I think that's were they are trying to head with the new media that will expire. I think they are just running into another dead end that would be theoretically the most profitable for them.

      If they really wanted to make money they would cut their fat (their stupid legal/lobbeying) and start charging what the market will bare in the digital world instead of crying over spoiled milk. They aren't paying artists Jack at the moment, and that's going to come back at them if they don't change fast. I'm betting there will be some mom and pop record labels crop up on the internet with enough following to make it worth it for a band.

      Just another point that you may want to use to strengthen your arguement for music anyhow: the song writing and distribution could be seen as an investment ammount of work that can lead to a real job like concerts. Most musicians are extremely wealthy for doing so little actual work, if you could actually call it work. I think most people that create software and music do so for their own pleasure, and would do it even if they weren't getting paid to.

      The future of all IP industries seems very clear to me: service-oriented market. There are quite a few open source projects out there taking up this model of selling services so they can work more on something they want to. The end goal is a more effecient worker who hardly notices that they are working at all. Musicians are going to have to take a hit and live like us lowly software developers. Some will be wealthy, some will not. I doubt you will see many musicians as wealthy as they are today in the future. All this fuss is about a few people that think they actually worked harder than, or ar better than the man that takes their trash away at 4AM. One day I hope they'll wake up and realize that the empire is falling and once again they'll have to work for their money instead of strangling that trash man for more money for something to listen to while he works.

      It'll get better after the large one's fall I'm sure :) Especially in the field of software/music where it doesn't require vast resources to make a decent product.

      --
      Karma Clown
    30. Re:The situation's aren't comparable. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      i think it was serious concern, not at all part of the argument

    31. Re:The situation's aren't comparable. by Moofie · · Score: 1

      Unless the systems were somehow saturated and I was denying a paying customer access, I do not believe that any of those items can be "stolen".

      Whether it's right or wrong to make unauthorized use of those services is another question. But it's not stealing. Stealing involves stuff that I can put my hands on.

      (yes, including electronic funds transfers: Those funds are 1:1 representations of dollar bills or ounces of gold: Therefore, electronic theft of money is indeed theft)

      --
      Why yes, I AM a rocket scientist!
    32. Re:The situation's aren't comparable. by Amazing+Quantum+Man · · Score: 1

      Moderators. Mod this guy up! He's pointing out that the OP's comment is a red herring.

      --
      Fascism starts when the efficiency of the government becomes more important than the rights of the people.
    33. Re:The situation's aren't comparable. by titzandkunt · · Score: 1


      "...Somehow still, I don't think you will have any trouble signing acts who will only earn 1.8 million a year instead of 18 million. Most acts are in it for the pussy anyway..."

      I'll be looking at Britney in a whole new light in that case...

      T&K.

      --
      Political language ... is designed to make lies sound truthful and murder respectable...
    34. Re:The situation's aren't comparable. by kien · · Score: 2, Insightful
      >>CD burners have been available longer than P2P and don't seem to have hurt them much.
      >>Oh, and the movie industry seems to do allright with video tapes.

      These are both analogous to the above. Video tapes suffer from analog copying especially badly, since a standard VHS tape is only half TV resolution to begin with, and who ever paid the money for Super VHS?

      I'm not sure if you intended to make this kind of Valenti-esque slip in your reply, but you state that both CD copies and VHS tape copies are analogous to cassette tape copies. You then proceed to support your VHS claim (and I fully agree with that comparison) while (conveniently?) failing to demonstrate how CD copies are analogous to tape copies (where physical media cost is the only thing I find analogous between the two).

      Of course, this entire discussion is rather academic given that the entertainment industry has repeatedly failed to prove their losses and history has repeatedly failed to bear out their dire predictions.

      --K.
      --
      Sig: Bad people happen. Try to avoid being one of them.
    35. Re:The situation's aren't comparable. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      you do know what "incumbent" and "behooved" mean, don't you? your post would seem to indicate otherwise. dictionary.com is a joke; see OED.

      incumbent. a. 3.

      a. Resting or falling upon a person as a duty or obligation. Const. on, upon, (also +to).

      1567 in ROW Hist. Kirk (Wodrow Soc.) 35 The host of God..shall doe all incumbent to them for the establishing of the true religion. 1637-50 ROW Hist. Kirk 344 The first thing incumbent to be done there was to have deposed and excommunicat their Lordships. 1653 CROMWELL Sp. 4 July in Carlyle, That there was a duty incumbent upon us. 1713 BERKELEY Hylas & Phil. iii. Wks. 1871 I. 348 It would still be incumbent on you to shew those words were not taken in the vulgar acceptation. 1851 GLADSTONE Glean. IV. i. 1, I have come home with a deep sense of the duty incumbent upon me. 1865 Reader 14 Jan. 39/1 Our author thinks that it is the incumbent duty of England to promote emigration to such a country.

      behove, behoove. vt. 3.

      a. To be morally needful or requisite to; to be incumbent, proper, or due.

      c1175 Lamb. Hom. 109 an alden bihoua du3ende ewas. 1387 TREVISA Higden (1865) I. 67 Ouer vnderstondynge bihoue of e ryueres of Paradys, an auctours write. 1538 BALE Thre Lawes 873 Those are perswaded all thynges them to behoue. 1572 FORREST Theophilus 358, I will informe him what doth behove in is case. 1684 Contempl. State Man ii. vi. (1699) 190 They informed him of the King's Testament and what behoved him. 1860 TRENCH Serm. Westm. Ab. xiv. 158 If this behoves in the time of a great joy, it behoves still more in the time of a great sorrow.

      moron.

    36. Re:The situation's aren't comparable. by mpe · · Score: 1

      What people refer to as "Intellectual Property" is neither physical property, nor a service rendered.

      In the past people though it was a sensible idea to pretend that ideas were like physical entities. When "content" was tightly bound to some kind of media (a piece of physical property). This metaphore was grounded in a rational argument.

    37. Re:The situation's aren't comparable. by mpe · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Where this position fall short is that information has value only when it is scarce. Patents and other IP violations are only copyright violations, but once scarity is removed (i.e. easily available for free), the value to the legitimite owner is destroyed. The owner consumed resources to develop the IP, and it is reasonable for that owner to expect to extract value from that investment.

      Just because person or corporation has invested X amount of money into a certain business, product or business model does not mean that they are entitled to get anything out of it. This argument would mean that the state should pay the creditors of bankrupts and compensate them for however much they "invested" in their failed business.
      Nor is there any reason to assume that just because something might have been profitable in the past it will continue to be profitable in the future.

    38. Re:The situation's aren't comparable. by stephanruby · · Score: 1

      Her words, just like her music, are not entirely hers to begin with. The language she uses and the music she makes is based on the language her predecessors used and the music her predecessors made. "giving what was not yours to give" is not an original phrase and neither is her music. This may contradict everything our Western culture says about knowledge and music, but what was given to her -- was not for hers to keep.

    39. Re:The situation's aren't comparable. by mpe · · Score: 1

      Many people create IP and don't expect to extract money from it. Many others even invest time and money creating IP *expecting* an ROI and never get it.

      The likes of the RIAA and MPAA are more into the marketing and distribution of IP than its creation anyway.

      Just because something requires time to create doesn't automatically mean they are entitled to money. The market decides what any given product (or IP) is worth.

      This worth is not fixed, it can change, sometimes something which is very valuable one day can be virtually worthless the next day.

      If the market has decided that music in its digital form is free then the artists either adapt to that reality by taking advantage of free music distribution to promote themselves, their products, and hopefully score endorsements, or they can find something else to do for a living.

      Also those who previously made money on promoting and distributing music recordings need to realise that at best they now have a much smaller role to play, at worst are completly obsolete.

    40. Re:The situation's aren't comparable. by nattt · · Score: 1

      They're not giving it away for free. Are you suggesting that the P2P users are stealing their bandwidth??

      Seriously, the RIAA give away their music for free - it's called Radio. P2P is the new radio.

      It costs musicians to have their music on the radio (ie the artisit looses money), at least they don't loose money by being on P2P.

      --
      -- oldthinkers unbellyfeel ingsoc
    41. Re:The situation's aren't comparable. by Jardine · · Score: 1

      Heh. Temporary. Yeah, that's it. Just cause your constitution says temporary doesn't mean Disney can't make temporary mean "really friggin long, so friggin long that only an entity that can live hundreds of years can take advantage of it"

    42. Re:The situation's aren't comparable. by Joe+the+Lesser · · Score: 1

      If I copy something of yours we both have it, and you have lost nothing.

      Great statement. The false assumption is that if it was not copied, we would have paid for it.

      Intellectual property should not apply to everything. So long as you're given credit, then ideas which are availiable to the public in any way should be easily and cheaply accessible by the public. If I know the formula for Slurdge toothpaste, good for me. If someone else figures it out by analyzing it, then I shouldn't retain a monopoly on it, but just retain the credit for it. If I go out of business, it's my fault for not selling the formula and making profit before someone figured it out. (though I'm sure any respectable toothpaste company would hire me.)

      [/ramble]

      --
      "I only speak the truth"
      Karma: null(Mostly affected by an unassigned variable)
    43. Re:The situation's aren't comparable. by Lt+Razak · · Score: 1

      Yea, but obviously our money was good enough for him to take.

    44. Re:The situation's aren't comparable. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      wow, you can copy and paste. whoopee. and, bigger moron, your definitions as given are exactly what was intended. i.e., "it is/was not incumbent [not an "obligation"] on the RIAA to do this, but it would have behooved them to do so [would have been "proper", or "due"] from a business perspective.

      stfu if you can't make sense

    45. Re:The situation's aren't comparable. by ejeetify · · Score: 1

      You need to get out of the mindset that ideas can be property.

      The mindset isn't that ideas are property. The mindset is that expressions of ideas are property.

    46. Re:The situation's aren't comparable. by ejeetify · · Score: 1

      So you advocate the artificial creation of scarcity? So the owner of an otherwise non-scarce product can artificially create scarcity so that something that wouldn't otherwise have value has value?

      The Constitution sure does:

      The Congress shall have power...[t]o promote the progress of science and useful arts, by securing for limited times to authors and inventors the exclusive right to their respective writings and discoveries...

      That's right: as you would have us believe, our founding fathers were out to suppress the little man. Funny, I always thought that we had just gotten done with being suppressed when the Constitution was written.

      Just because something requires time to create doesn't automatically mean they are entitled to money.

      No, but they are entitled to have exclusive control over all copies made of their intellectual property. If they want to charge money for it, they're also entitled to that.

      You aren't entitled to get something for free just because you want it. Deal with it.

    47. Re:The situation's aren't comparable. by unicron · · Score: 1

      Did that sound intelligent when you typed it out? I mean where in the HELL does he get off charging money for his service? The nerve of some people. I keep reading over your sentence and I'm really at a loss for words. I fear you've done the typical slashdot reply and gone for style over substance. You didn't buy his cd. You bought the right to listen to the songs on a certain album anytime you wish. Everyone that wants to listen has to do the same.

      I remember years ago being SUCH an advocate for a redesigned business model for the recording industry along with a new marketing and price scheme and this specific board killed it. It's full of such weak arguments acting as a thin mask over the fact that the majority of you would NEVER buy music again if you didn't have to. It's not about right vs. wrong it's about cheap vs. spendy. Honestly, if I was leading some type of anti-RIAA(or anti-MPAA) association, the criminalistic trolls of this haven of pseudo-intellectual board would be the LAST people I wanted on my side. It's been said before and it still rings true: with friends like these....

      --
      Finally, math books without any of that base 6 crap in them.
    48. Re:The situation's aren't comparable. by HiThere · · Score: 1

      No. The problem is that they are corrupting the legislature and don't care who else gets hurt in the splatter.

      Well if they don't care if I get hurt, then why should I care if they get hurt? If they got hurt badly enough to put them out of business, it might just be better. They certainly don't benefit the artists/musicians very much, they degrade the quality of the music, they corrupt the legislatures, they...

      We'd probably be better of if they were put out of business. But I can't think of decent (i.e., acceptable by a court) grounds for a sufficiently horrendous class action lawsuit.

      --

      I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
    49. Re:The situation's aren't comparable. by ryanwright · · Score: 1

      Maynard, when asked about p2p networks and such, replied "My music is not yours to give".

      If Maynard doesn't want people sharing his music, then he shouldn't have put it out for all to hear. If that's his attitude, he should have simply kept the music to himself.

      I could understand his anger if someone got ahold of private music he created for himself and his immediate family. But he put the music out for everyone to listen to and now he's bitching because people are sharing it with one another?

      --
      -Ryan, with the unoriginal sig
    50. Re:The situation's aren't comparable. by Krow10 · · Score: 1
      Yeah, yeah, day old thread, but I'm just catching up.

      Blockquoth the poster:
      Unless the systems were somehow saturated and I was denying a paying customer access, I do not believe that any of those items can be "stolen".
      <sarcasm>Similarly, if the 7-11 never runs out of stock after I liberate a candy-bar, it's not theft, because there are always more candy-bars to be sold to paying customers.</sarcasm>

      Seriously, there is a difference between theft of service in those instances and copyright infringement. With copyright infringement, it is not possible, even in theory, to deprive a paying customer of access to inventory. If I have 24 lines coming out of a cell tower, and someone uses one without authorization, then I only have 23 lines available for paying customers. This reduction in inventory *is* theft, in my opinion. Whether or not this reduction in inventory results in a lost sale or not, it is still theft. In no way can copyright infringement be viewed as a reduction in inventory, so it can not be theft.

      -Craig
      --
      Corollary to Clarke's Third Law: Any technology distinguishable from magic is insufficiently advanced.
    51. Re:The situation's aren't comparable. by HiThere · · Score: 1

      Most of the artists don't make anything significant from the RIAA studios. Many of them end up in hock, even after a hit.

      You can reasonably complain about most things, and there are a few "favored artists" who should probably be likened to lottery winners. But for the most part the RIAA treats the musicians even worse than it treats the customers. You may think that they were foolish to sign on with the RIAA, but this doesn't imply that they don't have to work hard. Or even that they earn very much. Usually if they do, it's money that's only earned on paper, and they never see much of it. (Though, I again admit, there are exceptions.)

      --

      I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
    52. Re:The situation's aren't comparable. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      but once scarity is removed (i.e. easily available for free), the value to the legitimite owner is destroyed.

      So you advocate the artificial creation of scarcity? So the owner of an otherwise non-scarce product can artificially create scarcity so that something that wouldn't otherwise have value has value?

      I can understand the artist's desire to make money, but things that are by nature NOT scarce should not and, in the long term, CANNOT be made scarce. Legally or illegally the market will make certain of that.


      So then would you agree that what ICANN and Verisign are doing "CANNOT" be done?

    53. Re:The situation's aren't comparable. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      --Quote
      but once scarity is removed (i.e. easily available for free), the value to the legitimite owner is destroyed.

      So you advocate the artificial creation of scarcity? So the owner of an otherwise non-scarce product can artificially create scarcity so that something that wouldn't otherwise have value has value?

      --End Quote

      You say this as if someone isn't doing this now. DeBeers has been doing this for decades with diamonds. But I digress ...

    54. Re:The situation's aren't comparable. by letxa2000 · · Score: 1
      The Congress shall have power...[t]o promote the progress of science and useful arts, by securing for limited times to authors and inventors the exclusive right to their respective writings and discoveries...

      Lots of important tidbits there. First, it was "to promote the progress of science and useful arts," not to "promote the pocketbooks of distributors." Also, it was to secure "for limited times" the exclusive rights to their respective writings and discoveries. The current situation can hardly be considered "limited."

      No, but they are entitled to have exclusive control over all copies made of their intellectual property. If they want to charge money for it, they're also entitled to that.

      Sure, they can charge money for it. But when the amount charged is too high there WILL be a black market. Like I said, I'm not saying it's legal--but it's a fact of a free market economy that a company or individual that tries to gouge the market will be gouged in return, often by competition or often by illegal black markets.

      But the fact is, in a free market, products WILL find their NATURAL PRICE, legally or not. Deal with it.

    55. Re:The situation's aren't comparable. by letxa2000 · · Score: 1
      So then would you agree that what ICANN and Verisign are doing "CANNOT" be done?

      Yup, over the long term. Verisign is already seeing that first-hand: Domains can cost less than $9/year at most registrars and they're a lot easier to deal with than Verisign. Quite a change from 8 years ago when it cost $35/year and you had to do everything manually through Verisign as opposed to via a web interface. Likewise, expensive SSL certificates from Verisign and Thawte can now be purchased for just $50/year from Comodo.

      So, yes, over the long term Verisign's situation is not maintainable.

      As for ICANN, that's more of a political issue. They've been given control which is more like a "government" than a "corporation" that has to live with a free market.

    56. Re:The situation's aren't comparable. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I don't trust those companies anymore. I got a web domain once from those people and now look at it:
      http://www.osmac.org (SPAM Alert). It used to be a website about a martial arts club.

      NR

    57. Re:The situation's aren't comparable. by Colonel+Panijk · · Score: 1

      When you sit in you [sic] neighbours [sic*] coach, the coach suffers wear and tear. Are you stealing from your neighbour when you sit in his coach?

      Coach? I'm trying to envision who goes around in a coach-in-four these days. Maybe it's the couch? I'll assume it's a UK/USism to sit in rather than on the couch.

      * I'm not complaining about the UK spelling here

      As for the argument that intangible property has no value (and thus cannot be stolen), you're full of shit. While it's true that the artist/record company has no less music on hand than before (cf. stealing a CD from Tower Records), you have deprived them of the right to receive renumeration for that copy. They own the IP; they are entitled to get money for a copy of it. Whether $16.99 a pop is a fair price is a reasonable question, but that's another discussion.

    58. Re:The situation's aren't comparable. by unicron · · Score: 1

      You are SO my bitch.

      --
      Finally, math books without any of that base 6 crap in them.
    59. Re:The situation's aren't comparable. by Ost99 · · Score: 1

      As for the argument that intangible property has no value (and thus cannot be stolen), you're full of shit. While it's true that the artist/record company has no less music on hand than before (cf. stealing a CD from Tower Records), you have deprived them of the right to receive renumeration for that copy. They own the IP; they are entitled to get money for a copy of it. Whether $16.99 a pop is a fair price is a reasonable question, but that's another discussion.

      I never said it hasn't got any value.
      I tried to show that it is much more like borrowing something without permission. The object in question has it's value reduced, but not by much.

      Your idea that they are entitled to get money from every copy doesn't sit right with me. Here in Europe, copying cds and movies to friends and family is (still) completely legal, and I can't see anything wrong with it.

      And by the way, I'm not from the UK. English is my third language, please excuse my bad spalling.

      - Ost

      --
      ---- Sig. gone.
    60. Re:The situation's aren't comparable. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Money is a special case because it is a symbolic token for things that are naturally scarce. You print lots of money, you are in effect cutting a sliver off of each of the other bits of currency in existence.

      Copies of information don't work like that.

      (Hasn't the difference between money and information been covered before...?)

    61. Re:The situation's aren't comparable. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Where this position fall short is that information has value only when it is scarce.


      Counterexamples:

      1. The Declaration of Independence

      2. The U.S. Constitution and Bill of Rights

      3. The works of Shakespeare

      4. The Bible, Torah, and Koran

      5. The information in algebra, geometry, and calculus books

      6. The knowledge of how to make a wheel

      Need I go on?
    62. Re:The situation's aren't comparable. by Moofie · · Score: 1

      Don't be silly. Only one person can eat any given candy bar. Depriving somebody of that candy bar is theft.

      However, if I'm using a cell phone I've "liberated" at a non-peak time when I'm not denying anybody else bandwidth they've paid for, that's not "theft". It might be illegal, and it might be wrong, but "theft" is taking objects away from their owners. Similarly, if I decode the signal that's already coming into my house on Time Warner's coaxial cable, and it happens to show me HBO, that's not "theft". I'm not denying anybody else access to that programming: I'm decoding a signal they're sending into my home.

      In no case is copyright infringement theft, never mind piracy (which is a different crime entirely).

      --
      Why yes, I AM a rocket scientist!
    63. Re:The situation's aren't comparable. by ipfwadm · · Score: 1

      you state that both CD copies and VHS tape copies are analogous to cassette tape copies. You then proceed to support your VHS claim (and I fully agree with that comparison) while (conveniently?) failing to demonstrate how CD copies are analogous to tape copies (where physical media cost is the only thing I find analogous between the two).

      CD media cost (very little nowadays, but still not nothing in most cases) and the limited feasible distribution (see my original comment) when compared with p2p is how they are analogous. I can't mail 10 gigabytes worth of music overseas as cheaply as I can via the internet, going under the assumption that I would be paying for my internet access and computer anyway. Since I owned a computer and paid for internet access for at least a couple years before I even heard of mp3, I believe that this is a fair assumption. Further, unless I knew someone overseas I wouldn't mail them 10GB worth of music, but with p2p a personal relationship isn't a necessity. Obviously, as you pointed out, analog lossiness isn't an issue in the CD case.

      Of course, this entire discussion is rather academic given that the entertainment industry has repeatedly failed to prove their losses and history has repeatedly failed to bear out their dire predictions.

      I whole-heartedly agree.

    64. Re:The situation's aren't comparable. by Krow10 · · Score: 1
      Blockquoth the poster:
      Don't be silly. Only one person can eat any given candy bar. Depriving somebody of that candy bar is theft.
      That was the point of the sarcasm pseudo-tags. I agree that depriving someone of a candy-bar is theft. Note that removing the candy-bar from the premisis without authorization is theft, and it doesn't stop being theft if you bring it back a minute later. The act of return can lessen moral culpability to some extent, but it does not erase the act of theft. And if a swarm of hungry 10 year olds comes and goes, cleaning out the store and leaving little Johnny without a candy bar, between the time you removed the candy bar and the time you returned it, you have deprived the store owner of a sale.
      However, if I'm using a cell phone I've "liberated" at a non-peak time when I'm not denying anybody else bandwidth they've paid for, that's not "theft". It might be illegal, and it might be wrong, but "theft" is taking objects away from their owners.
      Similar to (but not exactly like) the candy-bar, only one person can use a phone line at a given time. If you appropriate one of the lines coming out of a cell tower for one minute at midnight and a busload of cheerleaders drives by chatting with the busload of football players behind them on their cell phones, and Brittany's call to Dawson gets dropped due to a lack of capacity, then you have deprived the cell tower owner of a sale. However unlikely this event may be, it is possible, and that is what makes it theft in my opinion. This is not even theoretically possible with copyright violation (though the RIAA an their ilk argue that it deprives the copyright holder of demand, which is debatable. Regardless it still is fundamentally different than theft, which reduces a finite supply.)
      Similarly, if I decode the signal that's already coming into my house on Time Warner's coaxial cable, and it happens to show me HBO, that's not "theft". I'm not denying anybody else access to that programming: I'm decoding a signal they're sending into my home.
      I agree with these examples. Descrambling a signal that is transmitted into your home is not theft by any stretch of the imagination, since there is no possibility that you could deprive a paying customer of access to the signal.

      Our main disagreement is over edge cases. For example, a store owner has a stock of milk that will go past its expiration date tomorrow, and he has more than he is at all likely sell in that time. Local law requires that it be discarded. If I remove any of that stock without authorization before it is discarded, it is still theft. Even if there is no practical way that the milk could have been used by anyone else, it is still theft because a millionaire might buy up all the milk in the store to give to all the homeless shelters in the state. You can not guarantee that this will not happen, just as you can not gurantee that a network won't become suddenly saturated. The difference between theft and copyright violation (and similar acts) is that theft reduces a finite supply. Of course, this is all at a moral level and all IMO. You are perfectly within your rights to draw the line at physical objects. I still think that there is a fundamental difference between reducing a supply limmited by its very nature and reducing a supply limmited artificially, and that's where I draw the "theft" line.

      -Craig
      --
      Corollary to Clarke's Third Law: Any technology distinguishable from magic is insufficiently advanced.
    65. Re:The situation's aren't comparable. by danila · · Score: 1

      You make good arguments and I tend to agree with most of them, but please do not shout about natural price. There is no such thing. :) There are supply and demand curves, there is equilibrium price, but there is no such thing as "natural price". People are simply making a new supply curve - practically infinite supply at practically zero price (suppliers/distributors do not bear the costs and are not paid).

      --
      Future Wiki -- If you don't think about the future, you cannot have one.
    66. Re:The situation's aren't comparable. by mgoff · · Score: 1

      Just because person or corporation has invested X amount of money into a certain business, product or business model does not mean that they are entitled to get anything out of it.

      You're missing my point. I'm not arguing that the owner deserves anything just by making the investment. I'm simply claiming that the owner has the right to "charge" (not a great word) you for any value you receive from his or her property. Just because the owner didn't lose anything doesn't mean that he or she is not entitled to some compensation if you find the use of that property valuable.

  30. Re:*yawn* by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

    >those gigs of MP3s are all STOLEN PROPERTY.

    Most of my MP3 collection is music I wrote and recorded myself.

  31. In Other News.. by OutRigged · · Score: 3, Funny

    In a move totally unrelated to the story above, the RIAA has filed a lawsuit against Duke University student Justin Moore, demanding $427 Billion USD, or 50 cents for every song he has shared on the underground hacker network known as 'Kazaa'.

    --
    RaGe
    We're all just noise on the wires..
    1. Re:In Other News.. by x757x · · Score: 1

      sounds like a publicity stunt

      427 billion?

      I got sued for 550 dollars, lost, and still havent payed it 6 years later. I laugh when I think of the money the person spent to sue me.
      Wonder how much it will cost them for that suit. I suppose they could write it off as marketing, because they sure wont get a penny out of him.

      --
      http://music.x757x.org/ - techno dj mixes for your pleasure
    2. Re:In Other News.. by vegetablespork · · Score: 1

      The guy who sued you will have the last laugh if he has any brains--they'll be a judgement on your credit report, which is like the kiss of death.

      --

      Call (206) 338-5780 COLLECT for information about a genuine BA, BS, MA, MS, MBA, or Ph.D.

  32. CD sales and concert attendance both down by Animats · · Score: 5, Interesting
    That's not a very good analysis. The subject deserves a better one.

    First, CD sales and concert attendance are both down. That's an indication of a problem other than CDs.

    Second, rather than looking at music alone, look at overall retail sales of prerecorded entertainment media. This includes videos, music, and games, but not downloaded content. The same outlets that used to carry mostly music now sell DVDs and games, all of which now come on very similar disks. The same players often play all three types of content. There's no longer a big distinction between "videos", "music", and "games".

    Third, it's worth looking at discretionary income of people in the RIAA's demographic. If that's down, one would expect their sales to decline.

    Fourth, the consolidation of radio station ownership has resulted in major changes in the way music is promoted. That effect has been inadequately analyzed. Clear Channel is quite open about the fact their business is selling ads, not music.

    Given that, the suprising thing is that CD sales are only down 8%. Car sales for 2002, for example, were about 13% below car sales in 2001.

    1. Re:CD sales and concert attendance both down by Soulfarmer · · Score: 1

      Given that, the suprising thing is that CD sales are only down 8%. Car sales for 2002, for example, were about 13% below car sales in 2001

      Far more suprising would be if car dealers would also blame P2P for they profit losses...

      --
      -Is the meaning of life vanity, or is vanity the meaning of life?
    2. Re:CD sales and concert attendance both down by OWJones · · Score: 4, Interesting

      That's not a very good analysis. The subject deserves a better one.

      I agree completely. But no one had done anything of the sort, so I figured I'd give it a shot. If you can do better, please do. Hard numbers are much better than wild claims. :)

      -jdm

    3. Re:CD sales and concert attendance both down by LumberJack_GSI · · Score: 1

      >>First, CD sales and concert attendance are both down. That's an indication of a problem other than CDs We all know that the old you get, the more new music sucks. An abuse of this theory would be to convince (older) lawmakers that the RIAA is in denial about the low quality of todays music. And instead of facing up to their own shortcommings, they have irrationaly decided to scapegoat anybody with a PC and an internet connection.

    4. Re:CD sales and concert attendance both down by patchmaster · · Score: 1
      The same outlets that used to carry mostly music now sell DVDs and games, all of which now come on very similar disks.

      You have to wonder what the impact of product displacement has been on CD sales. If the same stores are now selling DVDs and games, the shelf space used by those has probably displaced some CDs. Less product on display; less product sold.
    5. Re:CD sales and concert attendance both down by interstellar_donkey · · Score: 3, Interesting

      I think you've touched on something there that's right on. Personally, I think CD sales would be down regardless of the economy, and regardless of online file swapping.

      First, CD sales and concert attendance are both down. That's an indication of a problem other than CDs. . . . exactly, which has a lot to do with Fourth, the consolidation of radio station ownership has resulted in major changes in the way music is promoted. That effect has been inadequately analyzed. Clear Channel is quite open about the fact their business is selling ads, not music.

      I would argue that it's not just the consolidation of radio stations, but the entire way music is discovered, packaged and promoted. Music is a business, and the larger a business gets, the more they will focus on profit.

      The current process of "launching" bands resulting from the increasing commercialization of the music industry has become an expensive investment. No longer can an A&R scout use his better judgment, hear a band he finds 'good', throw them in the studio to cut a few tracks and put them on the radio to see if they stick.

      Instead he faces a well defined marketing procedure that starts in the millions of dollars, and is faced with the question of "Will this band sell?" instead of "Is this band any good?" while that question of "Will this band sell?" is increasingly being answered by businessmen who have little to do with music.

      So more and more over the last 10 years, that process of discovery, packaging and promoting has become boilerplate. The end result (and this is arguable), is that music has just become more bland.

      For quick proof of this, note the explosion of specialty radio stations catering to very specific sub-genres of dated material like "Classic Rock" or "All 80s". Again, this is arguable, but personally this seems to be more of a reaction of people just not liking what's being produced these days. Or at least they are finding older, more familiar tracks a better alternative to the new stuff.

      Of course, I'm not a music insider, and my opinions are simply based on my own impressions of the music industry. I mean, somebody has to actually go out and buy this crap that is played on the radio. Otherwise the RIAA would be gone over night. So it's easy to assume that at least somebody has to like it. But what I'm afraid of is the average consumer makes his music buying decisions based on targeted marketing and perceived impressions of bands rather then his own actual tastes.

      And I believe this ultimately is the reason the RIAA is so scared of file sharing: That eventually a globally connected peer group on the Internet will supersede the music marketing machine in influence over buying practices.

      When you can suddenly discover new bands from recommendations from those with similar tastes and preferences completely outside of the sanitized and tightly controlled world of the radio or chain record store, you're going to take them out of the loop all together. And consequently, their profits.

      This hasn't happened . . . Yet. At least on a large scale. But eventually, hopefully in a few years, some band will rise out of relative obscurity to become a household name due to the power of massive word of mouth on the Internet. And they will do so outside of the "system".

      I can't wait.

      --
      The Internet is generally stupid
    6. Re:CD sales and concert attendance both down by Arctic+Dragon · · Score: 1

      If people would BUY their Civics and Corollas instead of downloading them from KaZaA, the automotive industry would be doing much better financially.

    7. Re:CD sales and concert attendance both down by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Take for example some of the most inovative bands in "Classic Rock" history, Pink Floyd, Supertramp, Jethro Tull, Black Sabbath and Led Zepplin. These bands are still widly respected because they were different, they wern't the standard crap that was constantly on the radio at the time.

      Would any of these bands be signed by todays RIAA? Not a chance.. Now we get "artist" after artist that sound exactly the same, no origionality at all and entire genre's of music(jazz, blues, progressive metal, symphonic etc) are religated to word of mouth between fans.

      Filesharing and peer recommendation is the new media model, regardless of what the RIAA belives. The general population is tired of spending $20 for a CD and $50+ for a concert ticket just to hear the same old crap again and again.

    8. Re:CD sales and concert attendance both down by ukyoCE · · Score: 1

      I've talked to a record store owner about this, and the reason isn't that CDs aren't selling, it's that the store makes more profit on the other items. From what the owner stated, this is essentially because the store gets the CDs for so much, that they can't raise the price much and still sell the CD.

      You know those 19-23$ prices for a single 11-song CD? The store is only getting a very small portion of that.

      Apparently on items like DVDs and action figures they make much more profit per item.

  33. Hmm by smoondog · · Score: 3, Insightful

    It looks like to me that this report does not prove that the decline is due to the economy, it simply suggests that the decline is statistically consistant with it. It is possible however that both arguments are correct. The decline may be due to the econonmy and therefore (because of the economy) consumers are turning to piracy as a reasonable alternative. I really think the underlying problem is that the big media companies need to take a course in basic economics and lower their prices! Used CD's, gnutella (etc), and the economy all play a role in declining sales. They should lower their prices with the decline in the economy and revenues will increase!

    -Sean

  34. I would watch Fuji closely. by jonr · · Score: 1

    Fuji seems to be doing everything right, that Kodak is doing wrong.

  35. Re:stealing become acceptable? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

    Sorry, but you aren't stealing. You are infringing on someone's copyright. There is a big difference. People like you merely obfuscate the issue by trying to conflate the two terms.

  36. RIAA should sue MPAA instead by curious.corn · · Score: 1

    you know, people here in Italy are really rave on DVDs. These are even sold at newspaper shops ( It. 'giornalaio') while the audio CDs are only available in less ubiquitous stores. Paradoxically, in my opinion, these video products are even more massmarket crap than the CDs are. Infact they are seasonal products as two months after a film goes off the siver screen, it pops up @ rentals and in a couple of months more it's everywhere, ready for replacement in just another bunch of weeks.
    So, back on topic, once consumers clear their pockets of their diposable income for DVDs there's no more left for CDs. Mind you, good music still sells (for me at least) but just as in the past people hoarded music to show off (perhaps just to their onanistic self) a new HiFi, today is game for DVDs to expound the virtues of the new Home Cinema.
    RIAA should ask damages to the MPAA as the latter's business model il drying up the former's revenue stream...

    --
    Mi domando chi à il mandante di tutte le cazzate che faccio - Altan
  37. Re:stealing become acceptable? by SirSlud · · Score: 2, Interesting

    > Since when has stealing become acceptable?

    Hundreds of millions of Napster/Kazaa/etc users seem to find it acceptable. Take into consideration how many people on this 6 billion person planet a) have a computer b) have internet, and then realize that MANY people find it accceptable.

    Yes, its illegal. Hey, so is J-walking, but I'll bet you dont do that, right? And that, despite the fact that it'd be too easy to create a study showing how J-walking slows down traffic, which slows transportation, which slows commerce .... you anti-capitalist thief!

    I'm sure you're perfect. You *never* do anything against the law!

    --
    "Old man yells at systemd"
  38. Be honest by Lust · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I have few close friends that buy CDs. They are mostly over 30 with well-paying jobs and extensive CD collections from the pre-Napster era, yet they do not buy CDs anymore. Instead they download (bootleg) all their tunes, including entire albums. Tell me you're surprised.

    I recognise that the existing entertainment sales model is a dinosaur, but to suggest that music downloading hasn't affected the industry's bottom line is absurd. Granted, they may have made MORE by switching to a different model, but that says nothing about the source of their current state in this transition period. I don't believe the hype.

    1. Re:Be honest by TheKey · · Score: 1

      It's not even about money anymore. Someone can ask me what I think of a band, and five minutes later I'll have listened to one of their songs. Twenty minutes later and I'll have their whole most recent album downloaded with certain P2P methods (not Kazaa). I don't see myself ever buying a CD again.

      --
      My Journal - 1,337 fans and countin
    2. Re:Be honest by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "piracy" probably has affected their business. Now ask have their anti-piracy methods done anything to fix the situation? Almost definitely not. While putting them in has caused both dircet, indirect costs to the industry and collateral damage to other industries.

  39. Oh No! by coene · · Score: 2, Funny

    "The CEOs of Eastman-Kodak are in a nearly identical economic situation as the RIAA, yet do not have the luxury of blaming digital piracy."

    Just Announced: Online Photo Sharing Prevalent, Photo Lab Revenue Down, Kodak Blames Kazaa!

    1. Re:Oh No! by ffsnjb · · Score: 1

      I'm glad this was modded as funny, because now I can't be a dick when I say "there's a reason that all new Kodak Digital Cameras have a SHARE button!" It's part of the focus on new technologies, which nobody really sees Kodak as being a leader in. OLEDs anyone? The market critics have been so dead wrong on EK for the last couple of years...

      --
      "Why do you consent to live in ignorance and fear?" - Bad Religion
  40. interesting... by zogger · · Score: 1

    ...some interestings observations there. Ihave an add-on to that, something I have wondered about for a long time now. You think WHAT is so common in the music industry that it's just taken for granted, something that no one would question, and might be related to chronic bad business decisions-or any decisions for that matter? Two things come readily to mind, booze and drugs. It's funny, but I never see them mentioned as a possibility to the "decline" of the music industry and it's "profits". This follows the observation that yes- ecommerce and downloadable cheap songs should have been a natural for them to spot, and even after it was pointed out to them, they resisted, fought against it, failed to take advantage of it. My theory is chemical imbalance taken to an extreme across the board in that industry cerrtainly contributed to those decisions. Not everyone of course, but certainly enough to make it at least a discussable point.

  41. The history of music by iso · · Score: 4, Interesting

    One thing I don't see mentioned very often is the very fact that music hasn't been illegal to copy for very long. Hell, in the grand scheme of things, recorded music hasn't been around for very long. The RIAA only exist because of what, historically, amounts to a "technological glitch." That is, the technology was available to make recordings of music available for sale, but copying of that music difficult. It wasn't until about the 1970s that music became illegal to copy, and recordings have only been around since the late 1880s. Music existed long before records, and it will exist long after records are gone.

    So really, music existed for thousands of years. For a breif moment in time a technological inequality meant that recordings could be made, but not easily copied. Now, in a sense, technology is working itself out (removing the glitch) and music is back to the way it's been for thousands of years. Just because it's been this way since you were a kid doesn't mean it's been this way forever. The time for being able to charge for recordings is over.

    I don't feel sorry for the RIAA--their time is up. The technological glitch is gone and music can get back to being music for music's sake. In the end people will look back at the time when people used to be able to charge for music and laugh. Paying money for nothing but a *recording* of music? What a silly concept.

    Jason

    1. Re:The history of music by KingJoshi · · Score: 1
      Paying money for nothing but a *recording* of music? What a silly concept.

      Yes, the better concept would be to hire talented musicians and have them around so they can play any type of music when you want to hear it. Seriously, why would I want just a *recording*?

      My opinion (for what it's worth and based upon reading others opinions on slashdot) is that RIAA does not have any competition among the companies. Yes, each CD is different and the price for the commodity is hard to measure. But the RIAA fixes prices and abuse their oligopoly and I don't know if they own the IP rights or whether I should respect whatever rights they hold.

      RIAA stresses music for mass appeal which tends to be people 15-25 who are the most likely to rebel and contend against authority. So, the young people pirate, older people aren't interested in the music the RIAA mostly advertise and many are just fed up with the RIAA.

      The RIAA didn't adapt to changing technology and it's their own actions and decisions which led to their declining sales (which only are compounded by the economic downturn). I don't give a damn for the RIAA and hope for their downfall.

      --
      In times like these, it is helpful to remember that there have always been times like these. - Paul Harvey
    2. Re:The history of music by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "...it wasn't until about the 1970s that music became illegal to copy,..." Not so - I'm looking at a 1949 recording from London Records (10" vinyl) that clearly states that public performance,..., and copying is prohibited."

    3. Re:The history of music by iso · · Score: 1

      I suspected this, but couldn't find any proof except for US copywright law which seems to have included recordings in 1976. Does anybody know exactly when copying recordings was made illegal?

      Jason

    4. Re:The history of music by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And I can write 'Reading this post aloud is strictly prohibited' right here.

      That doesn't make it so.

  42. other major factor by u19925 · · Score: 4, Interesting

    other major factor affecting sales data of RIAA is that CDs are digital and it is the only digital product with no upgrade in 21 years! My 1985 CD is as good as new. So while in the past, people used to buy a new copy of the album to replace used one, it is no more necessary.

    Also, many people who had vinyl, tape etc, replaced such things with CD. The replacement is largely complete. During the replacement period, people not only bought albums they didn't have, but also bought albums they had. Now, people only buy what they don't have.

    To analyze the above points, the RIAA should publish data of sales of new CD albums only and see if there is any decline. My guess is that it is actually increasing. By means of new, I mean never published before.

    The third major factor is legal copying. IANAL, but I think it is allowed by law to make duplicate copies of album for personal use. It was hard to make such copies for tape and impossible for vinyl, but this is trivial for CDs.

    So, it is doubtful that piracy is the cause of declining RIAA sales.

    1. Re:other major factor by angle_slam · · Score: 1
      It was hard to make such copies for tape and impossible for vinyl, but this is trivial for CDs.

      While it is much easier to make a copy of a CD, it is still pretty easy to make a copy of a cassette tape. Most cassette decks sold today are dual-decks. Put a tape in one deck, put a blank one in the other, hit a button, and it will record. It takes more time, but is still only the press of a button combined with monitoring the end of the tape being copied. Far from difficult.

    2. Re:other major factor by jeffy124 · · Score: 1

      while we're at it - do a similar analysis on the movie industry and DVDs, which are currently on what you call the "replacement period." Many people are buying up DVDs of movies made before the widespread availibility of DVD players.

      --
      The One Rule Of Chess You'll Ever Need: Don't play someone who carries a kit in their bookbag.
  43. MIRRORS by OWJones · · Score: 3, Informative
  44. Re:stealing become acceptable? by finkployd · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Copywrite infringement is not stealing. Both are wrong, but let's at least get the terms correct before we start equating it theft on the high seas.

    Finkployd

  45. Re:Cheat car insurance and go to jail by x757x · · Score: 1

    how very true. I used to work gor geico, and I laughed at some of the things they used to do to customers. It was funny in a way, but not funny to the person being screwed.

    --
    http://music.x757x.org/ - techno dj mixes for your pleasure
  46. Proof! by MongoMike · · Score: 5, Funny
    Finally, proof that illegal file trading is the cause of America's weak economy! This report shows that RIAA isn't the only one affected by this plague.

    Wouldn't really be surprised if RIAA eventually sports this argument. :)

    1. Re:Proof! by crazysim · · Score: 0

      I downloaded a car today! Then I got a House. Later, I got a PS2! All this off Kazaa!

  47. Extreme! by angle_slam · · Score: 1

    I agree that Pronograffiti was crap except those two songs. But their follow-up album, 3 Sides to Every Story, was a great metal album. They advanced far beyond just hair metal, almost into progressive territory. But it is a very diverse album and one of my favorite albums of all time.

    1. Re:Extreme! by JackMonkey · · Score: 1

      Really? I'll have to check that out. I knew they released more albums after that, but I hadn't heard anything off 'em. I'd like to hear something from the short stint the lead singer had with Van Halen, too.

    2. Re:Extreme! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You could always download 'samples'. :-)

  48. Re:feedback loop by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    also

    don't need people to have a thriving economy.

    perhaps people really are the problem.

    build more productive machines!

  49. The thing is... by thumbtack · · Score: 1

    We need to let the congresscritters know about this. They have been sold a bill of goods. Rather than the sky is falling it should be more of a "the sky is partly cloudy." Write your favorite republicrat or demican today..

    1. Re:The thing is... by Moofie · · Score: 1

      Unless your stationery includes a cover letter of a million-dollar bearer bond, your "representative" doesn't want to hear from you.

      They might play like they want to hear from you, but they don't.

      --
      Why yes, I AM a rocket scientist!
  50. dupont loonies by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    And then, of course, there's this guy, the modern scion :&}

  51. grain of salt... by dfj225 · · Score: 1

    "I would assert, however that it does make the case in cold, hard numbers that the RIAA's claim of digital piracy ravaging their sales must be taken with a rather large grain of salt."

    Like a grain of salt so big that it causes you to choke and die because the RIAA is a bunch of liars?

    --
    SIGFAULT
  52. Too little, too late? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Kodak LS633 - first camera with an OLED display
    Kodak DCS-14n - highest resolution D-SLR camera

    But still I wonder if they'll ever catch up with Canon, Nikon, etc.

    1. Re:Too little, too late? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      as the parent said, great now, would have been better 7/8 months ago - as arguing their resolve now just being late with the onslaught of innovation they seem to have now. I'd also agree that the Dock is hardly an innovation rather something most tech savvy people should look as as useless proprietary madness.

  53. smash_mouth's fush_yu_mang by usurper_ii · · Score: 1

    I really like Smash Mouth but it is hard to believe the band that did Walking On The Son is the same band that did The Fonz and Flo! Man if I didn't feel like the Bugs Bunny cartoons where the guy's head turns into a jackass after I got home and stuck that in the CD player!

    Usurper_ii

  54. what about the dead? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Imho, the RIAA should try to steal the Deadbase idea from Jerry, Bob, Phil, Bill, Micky, Dick, et al.

    Stream and record every concert. Start a mega-high bandwidth web based subscription service allowing fans to follow their favorite bands as they tour as well as accessing complete archives of past shows.

    Stop relying on what are essentially over-produced practice-rehearsal / demo recordings as their main profit stream.

  55. Re:Get the analogy right!! by ShinmaWa · · Score: 4, Insightful

    For christ's sake can anyone get this analogy right? To take something with a grain of salt means to take something as significant as a grain of salt -- which is very tiny (read: insignificant).

    Bull.

    There are two theories about the etymology of the phrase "taken with a grain of salt." One theory traces it back to the Latin phrase "cum grano salis", which was found -- among other places -- in the works of Pliny in the first century as a description of an additive to make an antidote effective. A second, more believed theory traces the phrase to the kitchen table, where salt can make any dubious dish a little better.

    In either case, the meaning of the phrase is not to treat something as insignificant, but rather to subject it to a healthy dose of skepticism.

    --
    The /. Effect: Thousands of users simultaneously accessing a site to not read its content.
  56. My theory - perfect information by santos_douglas · · Score: 5, Insightful
    As a student who has sat through countless hours of economics lectures, I'd like to float my own theory on file sharing and declining music sales. In economics, a perfectly competitive market has the following characteristics:

    1. Many buyers and sellers

    2. Low barriers to entry and exit

    3. All buyers and sellers are price takers(unable to affect price)

    4. Homogenous product/service

    And most relevant here:

    5. Perfect information

    Before people were unable to properly sample a music product before purchasing it, and therefore made their purchasing decision based on incomplete and often misleading information - often by factors that had nothing to do with the quality of the music (hype, etc). File sharing has created near perfect information for consumers, and the results suggest that with this information consumers have decided that they were not getting their money's worth in value. Also, and this has been proven in court, the small number of large recording companys have effectively created a cartel - and have and continue to collude to inflate prices. This behavior is expected in a market with such conditions. How else can one explain the inflated price of music despite obvious and significant efficiencies and cost reductions in the production, distribution, and manufacture of recordings?

    1. Re:My theory - perfect information by dyoo78 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      A good in a perfectly competitive market contains three characteristics - rivalry, excludability and transparency (many people call transparency, perfect information as well). Failure to meet any of these requirements constitutes market failure.

      Rivalry simplpy means this: while you consume the good, no one else can consume that same good. For instance, when you eat an apple, that apple is removed from the apple market. No one else can eat that apple except you.

      Excludablitiy refers to the ability for companies to exclude that good from you. If you purchase an orange, the orange is excluded from you by security gaurds watching you, price, etc.

      Lastly, transparency refers to perfect information. You obviously get the point.

      Now, in information markets (CDs included), the good is non-rival and non-excludeable. First, if listen to a song, you can listen to it at the same time. It doesn't take away from the total marketplace. Second, the good is non-excludable. Listening to a song is very easy. We can listen to the song on TV, radio, the internet, etc.

      Hence, information goods resemble public goods because the goods are non-rival and non-excludable.

    2. Re:My theory - perfect information by rdawson808 · · Score: 2, Informative

      I'm going to try to reply to both of the above posts (santos's and dyoo's).

      For starters, the market for pre-recorded CDs is nowhere near perfectly competitive. But this only applies to the big 5's ability to manipulate prices in their market, over which the FTC recently took them to court.

      Second, the issue of rivalry and exclusivity refers to the CD as an object. It is rival in that if I purchase it you cannot also purchase it (though we may purchase it and listen to it together). It is excludable in that the seller can keep you from getting the good without paying for it. The issue is not whether or not you can get your own copy, but whether any one copy of the CD is rival and/or exclusive.

      The classic example of a public good (non-rival, non-exclusive) is a lighthouse. As the lighthouse gives off light, any one ship taking advantage of that light does not take anything away from anyone else using it (non-rival), and the operator of the lighthouse has no means by which to exclude any one individual from taking advantage of the light (non-exclusive). A CD in no way fits this description. And there are no markets, perfectly competitive or not, for public goods.

      Just a little econ lesson from an econ prof.

    3. Re:My theory - perfect information by dyoo78 · · Score: 1

      "the issue of rivalry and exclusivity refers to the CD as an object"

      I beg to differ. When we think about purchasing music, it's not the CD (the object) we're interested in. It's the information that's embedded on the CD - the beats of a song, tones of the voice, etc. A CD is just a means of delivery. I don't buy a CD because of the looks. I buy it for the song. Music is an information good, not a physical good.

      "The classic example of a public good (non-rival, non-exclusive) is a lighthouse. As the lighthouse gives off light, any one ship taking advantage of that light does not take anything away from anyone else using it (non-rival), and the operator of the lighthouse has no means by which to exclude any one individual from taking advantage of the light (non-exclusive). A CD in no way fits this description"

      Your lighthouse example is quite unique, which makes information as public goods theory more relevant. First, if I play music in a public park, there's no way to exclude people from listening to that music. A similar behavior can be recognized with music on the Internet. When CDs are made into mp3s and uploaded on to the Internet where people can download the song, it's very difficult to exclude people (excludability)

      Second, anyone downloading music doesn't take away from anyone else because the marginal cost of producing that extra unit is zero, or nearly so.

      There are alot of econ books on information goods floating around these days. Shapiro and Katz are well known for their works on information goods. I think you can find their work on econpapers.com

      Suzanne Scotchmer's forthcoming work also recognizes information goods as public goods. Her work can be found here: http://socrates.berkeley.edu/~scotch/syllabus.htm

    4. Re:My theory - perfect information by rdawson808 · · Score: 1

      Well, some people do buy the CD as an object (to have the liner notes, artwork, etc). But let's go with what you say, that you just want the music.

      I guess my point is that even if you are playing the CD at a park, while other people are able to listen to it, they are not able to then take it home and listen to it elsewhere. In that sense, unlike knowledge, it is not a public good. If you tell me a fact I can store it in my head and it serves its same purpose. However, once the music stops the only thing the listner can do is replay it in their own head. Whether or not those are the same things (fact vs music; original play from CD vs replay in head) is up for debate, I suppose.

      Okay, hold on I have to go back and read the earlier posts....

      You are simply saying that the music (because of technology) is no longer a private good but is now a public good. Correct? Okay, fine I'll agree 100% and that makes more sense than the "playing the cd in the park" example. But my question then is, so? The law seeks to keep it as a private good. And the law is failing. Hmmmm, I'm not sure where this is getting us other than to the conclusion that the law can't keep up with people's efforts to circumvent it. Is there something more significant I'm missing?

      As for the Shapiro & Katz, is that url supposed to be http://econpapers.hhs.se/? Info Econ isn't my prime field so I'm not totally up on it. Obviously I've taken a ton of IO and I have taught IO (undergrad), but my research is Enviro and IO. Looking at the effects of regulations on market structure sort of thing. But info econ is so fascinating.

      Ooh, gotta go. UEFA Cup final is on.

  57. MP3's actually INCREASE music sales by mgh02114 · · Score: 1

    MP3's actually INCREASE music sales, you just can't tell because the economy started to tank right when file sharing took off. I'll bet if you look at Apple iTunes customers, their purchase of CD's actually INCREASED when the iTunes store opened (mine did). Problem is, there aren't enough of us to make a blip on the CD sales charts. When iTunes for Windows comes out, I'll bet that you will be able to see a music CD sales increase. As an analogy, interest in photography will (has?) increase as digital cameras become common. Unfortunately, Eastman Kodak is still screwed until they do a better job selling digicams and printers. RIAA will make MORE money when they let the iTunes Music Store blossem (it still needs more songs).

  58. Stating the obvious by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

    This article is merely stating the obvious. It's a sad state where you have to explicitly state the obvious in order to debunk the utterly twisted view of any organization.

    That said, I'll state the obvious from my perspecitve, the consumer. I only have so much money I can spend on CD's. I love music, and I'm pretty sure I buy more music than the average person, roughly 5 albums a month. If I could, I would buy more, but after losing my job and taking up a new job that didn't quite pay as much as my old one, having car payments, rent, insurance, utility bills, and a spouse to feed, there's only so much left to spend on what is essentially a luxury item. I don't think this is much different than most average people.

    That said, I normally don't pirate software, I don't steal from people, and I consider myself to be a good citizen and neighbor. HOWEVER, I do download mp3's. Is it legal? Hell no. But so are a lot of other things that otherwise good citizens do which really doesn't harm anyone.

    My CD buying patterns are strongly influenced by my economic status, and have never been influenced by p2p file sharing. (I can't buy 10 $15 CD's when there's only $75 in my posession.) I don't feel like it's morally wrong to copy something "virtual" (digital data) that I otherwise wouldn't have purchased anyways. The only thing that has changed with the arrival of p2p file sharing is that I listen to a wider variety of music, and make better purchases. (I buy more of what I like, and have fewer CD's I regret purchasing.) In short, I'm what would otherwise be known as an "informed customer" which is usually viewed as a "better customer" in most other industries.

    So the bottom line is, yes, people download mp3's. Yes, people still buy CD's, whether or not they think $15 is a rip-off or not. And finally, yes, there are a (probably small) handfull of people who have likely stopped purchasing music completely since they've been able to compulsively download all their favorite music. On the other hand, there are also people that walk into record shops and shoplift CD's, which probably does much more damage. Either way, the number of shoplifters and p2p thieves are likely little more than static noise in the overall sales figures. Think about it, even if record shops all of a sudden stopped "tagging" the CD's and removed all surveilance cameras and tag sensors at the door, most people would STILL pay for the CD rather than pocket it. (Admittedly, the same shoplifters would probably steal even more hard cold physical products such as CD's are, if these surveilance systems weren't in place, but that's a bit different than stealing the data.)

    So, the RIAA's claim has little basis, I'm preaching to the choir, stating the obvious, posting AC, and otherwise enjoying another day of bashing the favorite enemy in genuine /. fashion. :-)

  59. Re:Eastman-Kodak a good comparison? Pretty good/Ap by MsGeek · · Score: 2, Informative

    I dunno...I like my digital camera. It's a Kodak DC3200 and it's been going strong for two years. It uses CF cards which are dirt cheap and have no DRM features. Sure, it's a megapixel camera in a time when multi-megapixel is the norm. And it eats batteries like the Cookie Monster eats cookies. But it works for me.

    --
    Knowledge is power. Knowledge shared is power multiplied.
  60. Re:stealing become acceptable? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

    yeah, even the founding fathers of America couldn't decide how strict to make copyright laws, so they left it up to congress.

    too bad they didn't have YOU there to CLEAR THINGS UP.

    yeah, it's "very simple".

  61. Here's the way I do it by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I download the album. I don't want to spend 15$ only to find out that there is one solid track on it and the other 12 tracks are garbage and not worth a dime.
    If I like the band, I'll go see them when they go on tour. If I like the album I downloaded, I'll buy it at the show.

    I don't feel bad keeping money away from the stupid record store owners.
    Has the music industry ever thought about lowering their cd prices? Sounds like a good idea to me.

  62. Re:Get the analogy right!! by kesuki · · Score: 1

    very rare? There are grains of salt so massive the've got miles of tunnels within to mine the salt out. in any case your comment wasn't worth it's salt (a phrase going back to when salt was valued as highly as gold..)
    Take it with a grain of salt refers to measuring the value of what has been said against the value of gold (since salt and gold used to share a single value.) If what has been said isn't worth it's salt then it doesn't compare when taken to a grain of salt, and thus there is no truth behind what is being said.
    That being said the 'rather large' is quite inappropriate, as the riaa's claims of rampant losses due to digital piracy are simply untrue.
    They've claimed losses to digital piracy when they were raking in record sales, and claim even worse when they suffer declining sales in a floundering economy.

  63. Re:Cheat car insurance and go to jail by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    Think about that. If you own a car, the government requires you to pay somebody for a service that they make a profit on.

    I've always thought it would be appropriate for insurance to be part of gasoline taxes. But what about all the bad drivers, sqawked the whiners? Answer: make drivers licenses easier to revoke for bad drivers.

  64. New model for the recording industry by Art_Vandelai · · Score: 3, Interesting
    There's been so much talk that the old business model - sell a CD at 18 dollars a pop, is dead.

    What I'd like to see discussed is how the recording industry actually stands to make more from net-based services than they ever could have from the old way.

    Think of a central server, similar to what Apple has set up, but with the following features:

    extensive back catalogs of all of the major labels, going back as far as recorded history can go. (MP3 downloads arent killing the Top 40 artists nearly as much as they're affecting catalog and "Best Of" compilation sales.)

    $10 annual "membership fee". That fee gets you access to the system, and software that allows you to set up playlists, etc. that the RIAA can use the data from to aggrgeate stats on most popular tunes played and burned (with respect for individual privacy, of course). You also get powerful search software that can search by artist, song name, lyrics (so you can list every song that goes "...all of my love..."), year, and whatever other search types you can think of.

    $0.75 per song, 128 kb MP3 downloads. All files have the proper artist & track name in the ID3 tag. Correcting misspelled, and incorrectly labelled p2p download file & track names is just such a pain in the $$hole. It sounds cheap - but your average 12 track LP would be $9.00 USD.

    special "premium fan content" - if you're a fan of a particular artist, you might be more than happy to pay $2.00 or even more for a rare, out of circulation B-side tune, or an MPEG concert video, even tracks played on tour or even whole concerts can be recorded (as cheaply as possible) and sold track by track to the hardcore fans that want more. If the Grateful Dead could do it, why not every other band out there? We could follow our favourite artists across the country like the Deadheads from the comfort of our living rooms! If I want to have 15 different versions of "Satisfaction", why not just sell them to me and make some money! Get this stuff out in the public.

    no restrictions on copying, burning to CD or DVD, or encoding in a different format. I'm sure many would scoff and say "if someone shares the stuff on P2P we'll be pirated". If you make the economics (time + low cost + low user base) work, P2P will die naturally. Yes, a few people will still pirate stuff, but at least it will be out of the mainstream.

    powerful servers that allow fast downloading, and reconnect at no charge if the server went down in the middle of a transfer. This kind of raw power would leave Gnutella, Kazaa, etc. with few users who are willing to waste time searching through scads of crap files and downloading at 2KB/sec. Fewer users for P2P services = fewer available files, and more customers willing to pay.

    since the product is somewhat inferior, you still want to recommend to your customers purchasing the actual CD's. Provide links to allow purchase, make it visible but not annoying to the individual who is content to download.

    add to the premium content by selling liner notes, CD cover art (for those who are willing to print the CD cover) so that the total price of a 12 song CD is about $10.00. Add to that the cost of making, distributing and retailing the CD, and subtract the cost of the server infrastructure & staffing - the profit margin is roughly equal.

    Now, granted, the record retailers and the people at K-Tel would suffer if this kind of a service were available, but the music industry as a whole would survive and grow under such a plan.

  65. I think they're smarter than that by tkrotchko · · Score: 1

    "I think the problem is that the RIAA only know one business model."

    I think the RIAA understands the problem and the solution better than you or I, but my guess is the transition is difficult.

    What I mean is, if you sell CD's and Make $100M a year, how do you switch the revenue stream to something else without losing the revenue that you've got?

    These are family businesses that will tolerate down years, they're public companies that have stockholders that insist on rising revenues year in, year out.

    So to paraphrase a famous computer company, "How do you get there today?"

    --
    You were mistaken. Which is odd, since memory shouldn't be a problem for you
  66. Here's a Doozy. by Funksaw · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Here's a doozy.

    I got these numbers from the Blockbuster website:
    DVDANALYZE THAT / (SUB)
    $21.99

    VHS ANALYZE THAT / (P&S DOL)
    $16.99

    CD
    ANALYZE THAT / Original Sound Track
    $17.98

    That's right. The SOUNDTRACK costs more than the VHS version (and only slightly cheaper than the DVD)

    Now, let's not go into the fact that the DVD costs nealy as much and gives you more value... let's also go into the fact that people aren't *Nearly* as resentful about movie prices as they are about CDs.

    Why?

    You can RENT DVDs. If you just want to see the movie, you can fork over $4 and see it... no problem.

    The RIAA could have had the benifits of File Sharing before File Sharing... Like only the one song on the radio? Not sure about the other 9? Rent the album for $2. If you don't like it, don't buy it.

    Unfortunately, the RIAA isn't even keeping up with the business models of the late 1980s, let alone the business models of the 21st century.

  67. Bad dates, thoughts... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I think the RIAA hacked into my computer not too many days after 9/11 and disabled many of my MP3's. A lot of you will notice this. You may have just thought it was bad encryption or corrupted files. Many of you deleted those files. Those are evidence, any MP3 that you have that can't be opened in any program and/or you've been wondering about for a while, that is. It is dated after 9/11/2002. You need to keep them if you have any left. These may be evidence against the RIAA. I accidentally formatted my hard disks incorrectly (installing Linux, imagine...) not more than 3 or 4 months ago and lost all of the files I had.
    The RIAA could have possibly reverse engineered the MP3 codec and the Kazaa program, created the virus, experimented with it, tweaked it to perfection, waited until a vast number of people joined Kazaa, and then unleashed it. This is possible because humans work for the RIAA and humans are creative beings.
    It's called Fizzle or Sparky.
    It uses e-mail to transmit. Apparently through some of the similar means as the SQL Slammer Virus. But I don't know much about programming. I really need to learn. My e-mail address is at the bottom of this.
    It's very easy to get a lot of e-mail addresses of the people that are using Kazaa right now. There are (or were) around 4 million at any given time. You don't have to know them if you're just trying to get rid of them. And all the copyright infringement going on so that you can start making money again. I'm sorry for being creative and possibly violating the law, because apparently free speech is gone where I live. I have watched it disappear for a very long time. Of COURSE the RIAA posts bad/wrong/stupid/incorrect/blatant/purposeful/conj ured figures.
    Explain this one to me, because maybe I just don't understand:
    How do I know this? Well, if they calculated all the transactions correctly for all of their taxes, income, expenses, gifts, buyouts, rollovers, hires, fires, kills (not that I know that they did it, or any of these things, but I'll bet they're involved in at least just one...) and anything else related to money, then they really are god.
    Because the RIAA employs SO many people. A LOT of evil people. All humans lie. If you can find me a human that you know has never lied, you need to bring him to me so that I may proclaim him god, because I am an angel. You can't tell me there's not 1 single evil/bad/corrupt/fearful/loathed/despicable/terrib le/angry/pissed off/mad/sulking/immature employee working for the RIAA. A lot of people working for them could tell you there are. And that's a lot of confessions to be making. I hope there are some Christians there too. Cause' they're usually pretty honest. :)
    1 spoiled apple rottens the bunch.
    Somewhere inside the RIAA, a transaction messed up. They failed. One of the employees got either/or/and tired, drunk, high, stupid, angry, depressed, or happy (or something); and screwed up one transaction, one day. I promise.
    Hum(jmcfarland at quapaw2.qti.tec.ar.us)ans are humans. We fail sometimes. We are imperfect machines. The principles of our American government (if you live in America that is, apparently THE most exciting place to be) conflict with this idea.
    The government has too much power. It is supposed to be perfect because we are supposed to be able to trust our government. We are forced to trust our government sometimes; many people, everyday. It is subject to fail.
    However, if you are high enough in the system, you can do anything you want.
    Even cheat on your wife and get away with it.
    Eh... I gotta get more sleep.

  68. Warehouse - world's tiniest violin by PCM2 · · Score: 1
    A good sign of how well CD distribution is dying is the ill fated "Wherehouse" music stores. To my knowledge here in san jose, they are all gone. CD sales just slipped into the toilet and all their stores have just vanished.
    The Wherehouse chain filed for bankruptcy in January, blaming "illegal music downloads" and CD burners. They also cited slow holiday sales and increased competition from large discount retailers (Best Buy, WalMart).

    But make no mistake: it wasn't their inability to compete based on the profits the record industry allowed them to make... it was the Internet that did it. It couldn't be that there's anything wrong with the company itself, could it? Could that explain why this is actually the second time they filed for bankruptcy? The first time was in 1995.

    --
    Breakfast served all day!
  69. Check the topic by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The idea is that the RIAA is screaming about how much they are loosing..... I mean the artists are losing. And the numbers simply don't pan out.
    They are inflating their numbers beyond all reasons. And I don't give them a drop of sympathy. At one time artists had no choice now they do. If anyone ever tells you that indie artists dont make it, Tell it to BASSIC who used to be with MP3.com before the RIAA bought it out.
    he made over 100,000.00 in two years giving away his music and saying if you like it consider buying a CD. Yes that is right I never bought a CD from him until I had downloaded the music.
    And I have every one of his CD's now.

  70. Please will someone think of the children by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Something was missed in the Analysis

    MacDonalds downturn in revenue. Surely there must have been a massive increase in P2P sharing of lunches in school yards. I'm sorry but the whole RIAA issue seems like a drop in the ocean. These pirates are swapping their sustenance at an alarmingly increasing rate. I actually have no facts to substantiate this other than the downturn in Mac Donalds revenue but surely the P2P sharing must be at fault. perhaps the recent increase is partly due to the increased planning that is taking place using sofisticated technology such as mobile phones, email and IM clients.

    Please will someone think of the children...

  71. One little known (well, at least in the US) fact. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Interesting

    In Russia, the major local game publishing companies like 1C, Buka, and Russobit sell their own games and foreign games licensed for localised release in jewel boxes at about 1.5 as much as what the pirates ask for the pirated CDs of the same titles. Just like the pirate releases, it's el cheapo jewel boxes with no manuals or whatever, only a cute label. They also release an expensive box version, which, unlike this cheap version (about $2.5 per disk usually) costs three or four times as much, and comes with manuals and the whole shebang, but it doesn't see just as much light.

    This policy has effectively killed off the piracy of locally published titles. Nobody does it anymore. People only duplicate games which are out of print. I can just go to the exact same CD retailer and buy the game I want from among the pile of the pirate releases of games they couldn't license.

  72. The article really did not by PotatoHead · · Score: 4, Insightful

    tell me much. Stats are stats are stats. I did enjoy reading it, but feel the answer is elsewhere.

    CD sales have dropped for me recently and this is why.

    DVD movies now occupy that under $20 knee jerk purchase price point. Everyone knows a DVD is better than a CD in general, so how come the CD is still so expensive? I don't think twice about $16.99 for a DVD, that's a nice deal really. So what does that do for the same pricing on the CD? All I know is that $16.99 number on a CD is pretty unattractive in general these days. To pay as much for a CD as I do a movie, it had better be a damn good CD.

    The current buttload of music being pimped via the usual Clear Channel right now is garbage plain and simple. Sure, there is plenty of good music, but it sure is hard to find, unless...

    One can sample! Maybe that $16.99 is worth it. (It sometimes is.) I am willing to look and consider the purchase, but nobody is showing. Wonder why they don't sell product? Duh!

    Currently I don't download anything. Thought I would make the change and see what happens with me and my family.

    I must say that without P2P, I am missing out. All the radio stations here play the same (crap) music. There is little to get excited about. I know there is a lot of music that I would be interested in buying, but I can't find it easily!

    P2P is costing the RIAA something in the young market though. If they (kids)have the money they will buy the CD, even if they have downloaded it. But if they have a (better) choice they won't. These days there are more good choices, so kids buy fewer CD's because they know they can get the music somehow later, but can't easily repeat a spur of the moment movie trip. So, the RIAA is losing sales here in my view. In a twisted sort of way, they might be right with the younger crowd. They can squeeze more out of their latest boy band if there is less P2P, but at what cost?

    On second hand they might already be hosed. When I shut down the P2P, my kids ended up doing the same thing I did. They go to school, talk about the music, find out who has it and why, and copy it if it fits.

    There are more CDRs laying around the house now than when P2P was running.

    Now, I do get excited about movies and guess what? That is what I buy. The movie market appeals to everyone at some level. There are several layers to the whole thing that make it easy to sell to those looking to buy that music just does not have today.

    The RIAA is currently trying like hell to milk everything they can from the kids. (Remember the point earlier about cost?) Problem is that those same kids also have DVD, subscription TV, cell phone plans and other new things to worry about. With all those new choices offering different values, is it any wonder CD sales are not as attractive given their low value proposition in comparison?

    Your average teenage girl can get a cell plan for the cost of many CD's that will provide way more bang for the buck than that CD will...

    I think the RIAA is getting squeezed right out of their prime market because of these things and their own ignorance.

    Now here I am sitting with my disposable income looking for something to buy. Does it take much of a stretch to see that I am going to buy something from those people willing to entertain my business?

    Whatever problems the the movie companies have with digital are not getting in the way of moving product. They are showing me lots of pricing options, good content and good value across the board. I can easily find blockbusters along with interesting smaller films.

    What do I get on the music side of things?

    Shit.

    The majority of the content is aimed at people half my age. I cannot realistically sample using the radio because they are all but owned by the big boys, so they mostly play the same things. Going into the music store to sample is a joke really. All they do is put the same tracks on the in-store boxes that I just got d

    1. Re:The article really did not by Carrot007 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      > Everyone knows a DVD is better than a CD in general, so how come the CD is still so expensive?

      I've seen this train of thought brandished around every time something of this nature crops up and I still don't get it.

      Music has a much higher replay value that that of a Movie. I mean for the average person how many time do you want to watch a movie? Music on the other hand is listened to many times, and is often also put on in the background.

      So please help me out and justify this reasoning.

      Myself I havn't bought a CD in years but not for this reason, I also think that DVD's are massively overpriced.

      --
      +----------------- | What is the question!
    2. Re:The article really did not by PotatoHead · · Score: 2, Insightful

      "Music has a much higher replay value that that of a Movie. "

      I agree for the most part. I still listen to my first CD often. Movies do have some repeat value, it is just different from the CD in some ways.

      For me the issue of music price has been a sore one for a while. New vinyl was about $8.00 Singles were $3-4.00. The price of a CD has never dropped even though the medium promised great cost reductions. That first CD was $21.99. In 1985 dollars that was a lot. --It still has the sticker on it! Today those dollars are worth less, but the minor drop in price does not reflect the cost savings originally promised. Dire Straits "Love Over Gold" is still $21.99 last I checked this year. WTF?!?

      I payed the price then because of the long life and high sonic impact that only got better with new equipment. I will still pay now, if the music is good --for the very reasons you indicate.

      Good music does have a high replay value indeed compared to movies.

      The trick is getting the good music into my hands where I have a chance to purchase it easily.

      A good album is worth as much as a good movie to many people, me included. In some cases it is worth more. So why pay so much for a movie, or why not accept the value of the album at face value?

      I accept the higher cost of DVD due to the technical nature of the content. Those visuals did not come cheap. I understand that and am willing to let the studios make their money. At least they do a good job of letting me know what they have and what its value is.

      I may not watch movies as often as I do listen to music, but I do re-watch them from time to time. Sometimes a good story is worth hearing again just as a good piece of music is.

      They are both stories if done right that evoke emotion and creative, sometimes profound thought. When something strikes me that way, I tend to want to capture it for later. Often the reason is that I want to see if the changing times combined with the same presentation will evoke something different. Good movies and music both work this way though music does it more easily.

      You know, the movie companies know this to some degree, or at least are allowing for it. If I were to purchase 'Independance day' it would have to be at rock bottom dollar. Though the technical part of what I am getting is more than I get with music, the replay value is quite a bit lower. Consider another movie like 'Brazil'. I will watch that one more times because the story is complex and interesting. Given the times, it also is more relevant. It also costs more which leads me to believe the movie people understand some of this and want people to pay for it.

      The music people don't get this to the same degree. Shallow Bubble gum pop boy bands cost the same as well thought out albums with good stories and continuity. Why is that? (Britney vs Dire Straits "love over gold" or Saga "Worlds apart" (Your tastes may vary, but you get the idea.)

      As for background, movie soundtracks are sometimes very interesting. Some movie styles lend themselves to audio only listening. Maybe that is just a matter of perception or habit on my part, but I can't be the only one.

      DVD also compares favorably to subscription television as a CD compares to XM or digital music delivered via cable. I have found that a few good media purchases each month cost a little more than quality subscription programming. The value is higher however. I can loan the movies out (though I want to loan copies), watch interesting ones when I want, and occupy the kids with quality movies when they want to just watch something. Same goes for music.

      You can get a lot of use value out of either DVD or CD media provided you are given the choices that enable that to happen for your tastes.

      The movie companies are basically doing that where the music people are failing.

      Finally, I want to own the CD and or DVD. I would much rather put my dollars toward something I have an interest

    3. Re:The article really did not by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Can't be arsed to dig out my password at work, never mind.

      I'd have to agree on the DVD issue.

      I just bought the DVD of 3 british comedy series "Spaced", "Coupling" (currently being badly remade by NBC) and "Black Books". These are all true 30minute episodes (no ads on bbc). Spaced has 7, Coupling 9 and Black books 6.

      So that's 11 hours of top notch comedy that I know I'll watch several times. IT cost me £20 in a 3 for £20, 5 for £30 deal.

      The CD deal was identical. This seems somehow wrong. Those CDs are 45-60mins of just audio. I doubt I'll listen too much more often than a I would watch a DVD of a really good show.

      I realise this isn't a feature film, Black books especially would have had a smallish budget.

      I think the crucial issue though is that Films and TV on DVD have made "money", either through the BBC being able to show them, adverts on commercial channels or the Cinema/PPV before DVD.

      For music it's their primary sale point.

    4. Re:The article really did not by Carrot007 · · Score: 1

      Whoa! Lot's to take in there ;-) let's take a stab at some of the points at random!

      > With movies, the cost of production is still a big factor. We still require physical distribution and thus have a limited number of players.

      I was of the belief that most movies go into profit while still at the cinema, thus making DVD profits a bonus and thus the price of DVDs seem inflated. In fact it also seems the more profit they make at the cinema the more they want to charge you for the DVD on first release (though I do admit that soon drops).

      DVD extras admittedly do cost but to many arn't worth it. In such cases they won't produce a cheaper disk without extras because they know too many people will buy it ;-) And some of the so called extras I have seen are very poor efforts, and obviously done on the cheap and do not jusfity the price.

      In some areas they are getting it right though, a lot of older films make there way to DVD at rock bottom prices like £5, obviously without extras etc (maybe a trailer if you're lucky!) This represents good value and makes the consumer happy!

      > Finally, I want to own the CD and or DVD. I would much rather put my dollars toward something I have an interest in and control of.

      I argree here but also disagree! DVD's yes (space is still an issue here) CDs no. I do not use them, on the rare occasions that I buy them they are ripped and they shoved in storage. Yes I want control which is why ANY drm will fail for me. I want control to re-encode to any format I like, so I can listen whrerevere. The music industry seems unlikely (to say the least) to so this anytime soon. $0.99 a track would be perfectly reasonable to me as long as it is of a decent quality and with NO restrictions on the track (hey!,"trust me I am PAYING"). Unfortunatly if the $0.99 turns into £1 when it reaches over here (as seems to usually be the case of the funnt exchange rate!) then unforunatly I will not be interested.

      They wont accept no restrictions as that would likely stop them selling you the same music 10 times, and that is really what they want to do.

      > It costs more all around because what is happening to music right now has not happened to movies yet.

      I would beg to differ, It is happening to movies right now and they don't want to admit it.
      Points.
      a. Price of DVDR and easy to use software to back up full disks have put DVD piracy though the roof. Even here at work there is a guy (and not even a geek-type) who does copies of DVD's for £5. And yes the quality of a DVD9->DVD5 copy is somewhat reduced but guess what? To the ordinary folk in the office here they can't even tell the difference. And after a nice cover print and label it is good enough for any of them.

      b. Movie trading online is nearly just as prolific as music trading. Maybe not in DVD images yet (but that is really on the rise) but even my mates girlfriend downloads films of the p2p networks (with her machine ohh so full of spyware ;-) ).

      Anyway back to RIAA ;-)

      > Consider another movie like 'Brazil'.

      I must consider going and purchasing a copy to replace my VHS, Love it and must watch it soon Anyway... ;-)

      > The music people don't get this to the same degree. Shallow Bubble gum pop boy bands cost the same as well thought out albums with good stories and continuity. Why is that? (Britney vs Dire Straits "love over gold" or Saga "Worlds apart" (Your tastes may vary, but you get the idea.)

      I don't think they "don't get it" but rather that they are too scared to change the operation of there entire industry thus opening them to the simple fact that they are not in control amymore and may in fact lose out as the new battle for control is raged.

      I don't really blame them for this, I would probably feel the same way from there perspective, however there will come a time when they have to change, ll they are tr

      --
      +----------------- | What is the question!
    5. Re:The article really did not by will_die · · Score: 1

      > Consider another movie like 'Brazil'. I must consider going and purchasing a copy to replace my VHS, Love it and must watch it soon Anyway... ;-) They released a great 3 or 4 DVD collection of Brazil, with multiple version, and a whole lot of other stuff. Nice collection if you liked the film.

    6. Re:The article really did not by PotatoHead · · Score: 1

      Sorry for the long parent post. (I should have been working also...)

      "They wont accept no restrictions as that would likely stop them selling you the same music 10 times, and that is really what they want to do."

      In this we agree completely.

      "I argree here but also disagree! DVD's yes (space is still an issue here) CDs no. I do not use them, on the rare occasions that I buy them they are ripped and they shoved in storage."

      I believe this answers your own question really. The CD is almost worthless because technology has all but eclipsed it. Since it hasn't (yet) with the content on a DVD, that DVD is still worth something.

      "And surely another area where CDs are overpriced. The cost of producing the soundtrack is surely part of ther movie cost and thus selling the soundtrack could surely be done at a much lower cost?"

      I was actually talking about just running the DVD only just paying attention to the audio. Just listen to the movie --not the produced musical soundtrack. Agreed though about the soundtrack. ;-)

  73. Re:Statistics by The_dev0 · · Score: 1

    I thought it was forfty percent?

    --
    Never fight naked, unless you're in prison...
  74. The parent aint offtopic ya hoez by CrazyJim0 · · Score: 1

    I'm sayin,"Music industry has too much money."
    "Music industry has so much money they blame someone else so no one's pointing at them."

    Blame Canada

    Blame Wallmart

    Blame Insurance

    If the people out to change this system can't read 2 levels deep, they aren't gonna dig us out.

  75. Re:Get the analogy right!! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Yes, we can get the analogy right, but can you?

  76. Eastman Kodak Doesn't Want to Make Digital Cameras by Makarakalax · · Score: 1

    I work for Kodak and I can say with some authority that Kodak is not very interested in the digital camera market. Kodak had always been, and would always like to be a consumerables company. Sales of cameras for Kodak always has meant moolah on the film and development-chemicals fronts, this is where the vast majority of Kodak's profits come from.

    Since digital cameras have started eating into sales Kodak has spent a fortune on research and is anxiously trying to enter new imaging markets, for instance OLED technology is starting to look very promising.

  77. hemp vs cotton by sarabob · · Score: 2, Informative
    Are you joking? Do you have *any* idea how cotton is made?

    Random links about the amount of pesticides and herbicides used, and don't forget that 85% of california's water is used for irrigating crops. Cotton is *not* an easy plant to grow. Compare with hemp (called weed for a reason) which grows 4x as fast as your typical pulp-producing trees with no pesticides and herbicides, and you have a pretty convincing product.

    There are quite a few places growing hemp commercially in the UK, even with all the regulatory hoops they have to jump through (fencing requirements to keep "pot-heads" from getting ahold of something with no THC content).

    Do a little research before trolling next time?

    1. Re:hemp vs cotton by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Random links about the amount of pesticides and herbicides used, and don't forget that 85% of california's water is used for irrigating crops. Cotton is *not* an easy plant to grow.

      Whereas hemp magically grows in neat little rows, with no weeds, no pests, and requires no water at all?

      Hemp and cotton are both fairly easy to grow in California or anywhere in the southern 1/3rd of the US. They are certainly easier to grow and to harvest than a crop such as lettuce or strawberries.

      But I am amazed that anyone would grow it in the UK of all places. If the climate of the UK is anything like that of Massachusetts, the farmers must need heat lamps to get the plants to grow!

  78. It's a metaphor, dimwit. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    To say that someting "must be taken with a grain of salt" is a metaphor in reference to the use of the taste of salt being used to cover up the fact that something is rotten.

  79. Hey dumbass by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Downloading MP3's isn't comparable to stealing cars. And you have the balls to flame other people's logic?

    Look, the genie's out of the bottle. Music can be shared.

    So the RIAA members have to lower prices. If CD's sold for $8-10, they wouldn't be in this pickle.

    But then, there goes the profits.

    Now be a good little moron and pass your mother over so I can bang her again.

    1. Re:Hey dumbass by Lt+Razak · · Score: 1
      there goes the *ungodly* profits, you mean.

      Also, lowering prices on something does not = less money necessarily. It could mean more sale totals.

  80. But in the end... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ...who cares what Maynard said or does.

    We're talking reality here.

    Adjust or die.

    Or be like you and hold your breath. In the end it doesn't matter, because the market is the market. It has spoken, and not even nuclear bombs can stop it.

    Get over it and say "gee, I wish people wouldn't violate copyrights (because I know that you can't steal mp3's), but since its impossible to stop, what else can we do to change the RIAA's mind about pricing. Oh, I don't give a fuck about the artist either, because neither does the RIAA".

    You are very welcome, my friend.

  81. Re:*yawn* by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Hilary, is that you?

  82. Kodak by Trolling4Dollars · · Score: 2, Insightful
    The CEOs of Eastman-Kodak are in a nearly identical economic situation as the RIAA, yet do not have the luxury of blaming digital piracy.

    No... they have digital photography to blame. If people are happily making their own photos with Sony digital cameras, working on them in "digital darkrooms" with Photoshop, PSP or the GIMP and printing them out on Epson printers using photo paper made by Epson, that means fewer people using Kodak products. Sure the current lineup of digital cameras isn't ready to compete with real film for someone who knows the difference, but for "Joe America" they are "just as good" is not better because of how much cheaper it is to take a digital photo.

    1. Re:Kodak by TheShadow · · Score: 1

      But the difference is that Kodak changed with the times. They have a full line of very high quality (in my opinion) digital cameras. They realized that if they didn't jump on board, digital would significantly hurt their business. Good companies can change their business models when they need to.

      Eventually, digital is going to kill the RIAA... not because it is "stealing sales"... but because they refuse to meet customer demand. Look at Apple... 2 million songs sold in 2 weeks... and you have to have a mac to even buy. Why doesn't the RIAA wake up and realize that people want to buy high quality MP3s to listen to on their portable devices.

      --

      --
      "What do you want me to do? Whack a guy? Off a guy? Whack off a guy? Cause I'm married."
    2. Re:Kodak by Trolling4Dollars · · Score: 1

      You are correct sir. Kodak did change, but the world changed with them. Whereas before Kodak's competition was relatively small, Kodak is now dwarfed by the companies that have gotten into digital photography. "Joe Average" is much more likely to buy a camera from Sony at Best Buy than Kodak. Especially if the Sony seems to have more features (quality isn't imporatnat to Joe Average, only feature set) than the Kodak and the price isn't too different or is even cheaper. Kodak was able to define the world of standard photography before. Now they have become a fringe player in the digital photography world. Hence... lower sales.

  83. Which one is the cause? by ehiris · · Score: 1

    It seems like people realized that spending money on worthless bullshit is just plain out stupid.
    They needed to the internet to realize just how worthless things like music really are.

  84. Kodak? by glenrm · · Score: 1

    Digital Camera's are killing Kodak film sales, it would be like a razor that does need blades to Gillette or the Internet to the record companies, I guess there really was a revolution in the 90's. Times changes and some bizs will fade just like it always does, it is called creative destruction and it is part of capitalism. Ebay destroyes classified adds and no newspaper even national ones can figure out how to fight back, typerwriters are gone, etc. Very common situation, most of the time entertainment does well in a bad economy, look at video game and movie sales for a more accurate picture. DVDs and video games are a much better entertainment value than a basic CD, however a two disc set like the Matrix Reloaded sountrack is on the right track, it was the first CD I bought in a few years (I bought some internet CD from mp3.com) the thing that pushed me over the edge was the two disc set a better value...

  85. This sound reasonable? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    [fyi, please treat any numbers mentioned in this post as approximation to illustrate an idea, tnx]

    I've heard that 5 major labels (BMG, EMI, er.. Sony.. um.. 2 others) control ~90% of the market. If you're an aspiring band (aspiring to global world music domination), then you pretty much have to sign with one of them to have any chance to make it big, right? The (short) reason is because they own the distribution channels, and the promotional machinery behind them.

    Well shit.. Apple releases windows version of iTunes, PC iTunes player, whatever. (I'm not /. level technical, sorry) They've got the big5 signed on to provide parts and eventually the bulk of their catalogs.

    How long before Apple, with its deep roots in the artist/songwriter community, and with it's brand spanking new distribution/promotional system, decides to start it's own record label division?

    Sign with Sony: Sony gets $.30 per song, Apple gets $.30, artist gets $.30 (yes, i know, read 1st line of post again)

    Sign with Apple Records: Sony gets buptkis, Apple gets $.45, artist gets $.45. (step 3: profit!!)

    You see the idea, by creating a real valid online distribution method that doesn't suck, apple has pulled the rug out from under the labels, who's power lies within their physical distribution system.

    The beautiful part of all of this? Every time the RIAA makes it harder to find 'free' music on the P2Ps, they will drive a small percentage of people to try actually buying music again. Drive them to go back to buying in a real world store? Nope. Every pirate they crush will make Apple stronger, and make the end that much more painful.

  86. I've got all the music I need! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Perhaps people already have all the music they need. I have a relativley small mp3 collection (~1000 mark). I bought cd's before and during the P2P Era. However now I don't download any mp3's and don't buy any new cd's. Why? Because I feel I have a large enough collection to satisfy my desire for music. Perhaps this is what's happening. People already have extensive music collections (both in CDDA and MP3) that they no longer want or need more/new music.

    1. Re:I've got all the music I need! by computechnica · · Score: 1

      I agree with you there. I put a CD-MP3 player in my car recently. After swapping CDs around I made a compilation CD called "Songs that Don't Suck". Out of about 15 Gigs of MP3s on my home server I could only find about 650 Mb for this CD. Now I just leave it on shuffle when I'm driven. I also have a FM tuner hook up to my PC@work(P2P blocked@work) and just record new songs as MP3s. Kinda like the bad-old days of cassettes. Libraries are also a good source of free CDs for high bit-rate ripping :^)

  87. Yes. by StarKruzr · · Score: 1

    It's a good time to work for Fujifilm. :D

    Everything we make is better than everything they make. It gives me that warm, fuzzy feeling inside, but gives me that not-so-warm, not-so-fuzzy feeling of impending doom when I visit Rochester.

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  88. Re:Eastman Kodak Doesn't Want to Make Digital Came by StarKruzr · · Score: 1

    The problem with you boys and girls at Kodak is that you can't seem to figure out a way to turn digital into a consumables business.

    We at Fuji seem to be doing all right with our Printpix 1000 thermal autochrome printers... in fact we've got literally thousands of them on order from theme parks and other folks in the very near future (Sesame Place is already testing lots of them as we speak).

    So what do we sell? PAPER. LOTS and LOTS of paper. Thousands and thousands of prints all from the convenience of your wee lil' digital camera card, from a tiny little kiosk you can fit in a corner.

    Did I mention it makes CDs and prints up to 6x8 size prints?

    It is a goooood time to be working for Fujifilm. :D

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  89. Also... by StarKruzr · · Score: 1

    "I suppose Kodak never thought that digital technology would catch up with film"

    You forgot to mention their film sucks. It's grainy as hell, because it is wildly oversaturated with silver.

    Not to mention their extremely dirty film processing chemistry and grainy paper.

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  90. RE: Sales... by fshalor · · Score: 1

    I haven't bought a single CD sinde napster got hosed. considering the status of my CD collection (mostly classical) and my MP3 collection (which is all the CD's in the house, plus recordings of concerts which I've played in) have been static since even before this...
    I buy CD's to put them into the computer as MP3's But I HATE bad recordings of good pieces of music. Listening to it first is the only way you can tell.

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    -=fshalor ::this post not spellchecked. move along::
  91. The number one cash crop in Kentucky by DaveOf9thKey · · Score: 2
    Of course we all know what the number one cash crop in Kentucky is...(hint: not tobacco)!

    Mullets!!!

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    Visit me on the web at Permanent4.com.
  92. Re:Eastman Kodak Doesn't Want to Make Digital Came by Makarakalax · · Score: 1

    Oh come on now! You know we sell papers, plenty of different sorts at different gloss levels and drytimes. We also sell plenty of digital processing machines to produce silver halide or inkjet prints from digital camera images (I take it this is what the autochrome machines are). We also know that people produce far less hard copies when they can pick and choose images to print. Even when you take into account that people tend to get larger (and thus more expense) hard-copies it still is no-where near as profitable as the current situation is for Kodak in films and silver halide papers.

    Maybe Fuji has a better handle on how to make digital profitable than Kodak does, and I wish Fuji great luck in this new industry. Kodak on the other hand is spreading it's eggs into a few new baskets.

  93. Re:Eastman Kodak Doesn't Want to Make Digital Came by StarKruzr · · Score: 1

    Silver halide? o_O Are you sure? I was under the impression that Kodak stopped making minilabs over twelve years ago. Unless you're referring to Pictrography-type donor-receiver type stuff, and I wasn't aware that you guys made that kind of thing.

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  94. casette copying by Scudsucker · · Score: 1

    but you can't keep making copies of copies of a cassette without some serious quality degredation. You can copy an mp3 a billion times and it'll still be exactly the same as the origional. Or you could really go gung ho and use lossless compression. :)

  95. Re:Eastman Kodak Doesn't Want to Make Digital Came by Makarakalax · · Score: 1

    Still make 'em, well as far as I know, I just work in research. Just the other day my mate got some jpegs developed with silver halide tech using a mini lab upstairs. I'm not sure if we're selling these things yet but at the very least the development is at the finishing stages. Big machines they are too. Pictrography donar-reciever?

  96. Re:Eastman Kodak Doesn't Want to Make Digital Came by StarKruzr · · Score: 1

    Ohhh, I forgot - you're in the UK. Kodak definitely doesn't make minilab systems for the US market anymore - they've basically farmed out the task to Noritsu here.

    Yeah, Pictrography... Google for PG4500 (I'm writing this on Lynx since we get crucified for "being on the Internet" here, and no one has any idea this is a web browser :D). Nice little machine.

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