Bad Testing Doomed NASA's Hypersonic X-43A
RobertB-DC writes "Space.com got hold of NASA's yet-to-be-released report on the June 2001 failure of the air-breathing X-43A hypersonic research vehicle, and it doesn't look good for 'Faster, Better, Cheaper'. The report refuses to single out any one contributing factor, but it cites ground testing 'inaccuracies' and 'misinterpretation' of wind tunnel data -- in particular, failure to retest the vehicle after additional heat protection was added. As noted in the original Slashdot article, the craft went out of control when the fins broke off just seconds into flight."
You know, stuff like this really inspires me. I'm in the middle of reading Kings of the High Frontier, which was first published in the mid-nineties. A major plot point is a wealthy industrialist offering a half-billion dollar prize similar to the X-Prize. Even a few years ago, I never thought we'd be seeing so many groups trying for their own cheap launch. It should have been done years ago.
Some people complain that the X-Prize doesn't really get anywhere---that tossing yourself a hundred kilometers above sea level is a far cry from low earth orbit. This is true. Maybe the X-Prize will be the first in a series of cash prizes to spur even more invention. First single-stage to orbit, first real space station, first craft assembled in space... I don't know what the next milestones will be, but we'll get there faster if there's cash money incentive.
Oh, and would wetsuits work as space suits? There's no way the heat would really bleed off, and if you could lead-line them for heat shielding...
The quote from KOTHF is "Space suits for NASA cost a million bucks a shot and are about as comfortable as wearing pork barrels. I found this research report from the nineteen-sixties by a team that ought to have won the contract bid, except that their suits only cost a thousand dollars each and could be done by any seamstress. NASA probably figured that would have looked cheap, so for three decades astronauts have been lugging around thirty layers of cloth and a refrigerator when they could have been dressed in Spandex tights." [...] "The difference between down here and up there is only one measly atmosphere of pressure. Our skin is strong enough to withstand that gradient. It has quite a bit of tensile strength. The only problem is that it stretches too well. That means we swell up, which drops the pressure in our bloodstream, so our blood outgasses and vapor-locks our hearts. With just this second skin to keep our body volume constant, we don't expand. So we don't boil." (From ch. 11.)
Can anyone with a background in anything relating to that confirm or deny?
--grendel drago
Laws do not persuade just because they threaten. --Seneca
Not an expert, but have read on this elsewhere:
Wetsuits (probably reinforced with kevlar or something, why not) would probably be fine; actually, filling any small internal gaps with water would be a good trick to insure a perfect fit (any gaps in the suit and you get Giant Space Hickeys, and we don't want that!). You'ld need a fishbowl helmet, of course.
Heat might be tricky. Space is cold, but there's no air, so shedding heat is surprisingly hard. I'm not sure if overheating or freezing would be the main problem for humans in moderately insulated suits.
"I'm not sure if overheating or freezing would be the main problem..."
That's what I wasn't too sure about as well. The whole basis of a wetsuit is that it is a semi-permeable membrane that fills with water when it gets wet. The water trapped in the suit then gets heated up to body temperature by your body, so you stay nice and comfy.
But going into space with one... it's pretty cold out there, and I don't know if your body would be able to keep the water warm.
Another thought on wetsuits: the colder the water is that you are planning on going into, the thicker your suit needs to be. My wetsuit that I wear sailing is a whole lot thinner than what I wear SCUBA diving. I wonder how bulky the suit would have to be for going into space?
Maybe a dry-suit might be more suited to the task, but I don't know a lot about dry-suits, so I can't really comment.
Build boards not bombs
Actually, the temperature regulating method your body already uses would work effectively with a wet suit, as it's permeable to water, so it would wick sweat away from your skin, allowing for cooling. And yes, kevlar as a reinforcing material, over "soft tissue areas" - think abdomen, below ribs, would be a good thing.. though, a single sheet of kevlar would not be as functional as several "ribs" or bands of kevalar (to allow flexibility, etc.)
-- All That's Evil in the Geek Space
Space suits are for more than just keeping humans from swelling up. For one thing, they need to protect against impacts. Wetsuits weren't meant to protect against microscopic pieces of metal hitting you at 20,000mph. Likewise, they can't insulate you from the hundreds of degrees it'll heat up to when the sun shines directly on you. And what happens when half of you is in the -100 degree shadow and the other half is directly shined upon at +300 degrees?
Well, the point of using a wetsuit is just that it's form-fitting and so keeps the body's volume constant.
Technically, space is very cold, but it's also very empty. There's really nothing out there to absorb the heat from the body, so your biggest problem (as someone else has already pointed out) is getting rid of both the body heat you generate and the heat you get from being in the sun. (Of course, if you're going to be in the sun, you're going to need either a personal magnetic field or some sort of armor for the radiation.)
Of course, if you're walking on the moon, you need some sort of insulation. "The Forever War" talked about the problems with dissipating heat from a space suit.
--grendel drago
Laws do not persuade just because they threaten. --Seneca
Are you sure you read my original comment? The point is that the human body can survive in a vacuum, if its volume is held constant. You'd still need a fishbowl for your head (as someone else pointed out) and ways of dealing with both radiation and heat, but stop and think about what you said:
What exactly is the problem with people being in a vacuum? Aside from ears popping and lungs deflating (this is why we have the fishbowl), the skin expands, depressurizing the blood and causing it to boil, and this is what's fatal. If the blood can't depressurize, what would be fatal about a vacuum?
I know that "the human body cannot survive inside of a vacuum" is something of an article of faith, and we've gotten accustomed to the idea, but I don't see what exactly is so hostile about one that can't be overcome with a fishbowl and wetsuit. Is there a real reason other than "it's a very complex problem"?
--grendel drago
Laws do not persuade just because they threaten. --Seneca
Mmm, true. That, the micrometorite problem and heat dissipation are rather tricky. It should be possible to line the suit with lead, I'd think. It'd be like wearing one of those aprons they put over your genitals when you get an x-ray, but covering the whole body. Still not nearly as bulky as the traditional space suit, and doesn't require pressurizing the whole body.
--grendel drago
Laws do not persuade just because they threaten. --Seneca
Wouldn't the water all boil off, making you very, very cold? (Evaporation is, after all, a cooling process.)
Then again, a tank of water to be evaporated might be an effective method of dissipating the heat you generate. Doesn't seem very reliable or sustainable, though.
--grendel drago
Laws do not persuade just because they threaten. --Seneca
Do you really need bulky armor-plate, or are there gels that can absorb small-mass, high-energy impact like that?
The thermal problem has nothing to do with cold---if it's four kelvin in a vacuum, how's the heat going to leave your body?---and everything to do with heat, both body heat (remember, it has nowhere to go) and solar. So the temperature gradient isn't really an issue---there's no way half of the body is going to be at -100---but heat dissipation is.
These are engineering problems, and while I can't think of any out-of-hand solutions to them, I'll bet that other people have given it some thought. How do NASA space suits deal with these things?
--grendel drago
Laws do not persuade just because they threaten. --Seneca
These suits were built and tested in 1972. They were orders of magnitude easier to work in than the Apollo moon suits.
They cost about $1000 each. Compare with $500,000 for the NASA version, and you'll see one of the reasons they weren't too popular.
Do a google for "space activity Suit" for more details.
RJG.
Ah, but you forget that condensation is a warming process, and you're right back where you started. Only by permanently (or at least until the excursion is over) evaporating the water would this work. And given how precious water is in space, I don't think disposing of it would be a terribly good idea in the first place. No, the water-cooling idea is probably a no-go.
As for lead traces---is it the presence of lead or the presence of a big chunky mass that makes it into a good radiation shield?
--grendel drago
Laws do not persuade just because they threaten. --Seneca
Radiation accounts for a very small amount of heat transfer. I'm trying to find quantification for that, but Google isn't being helpful. Even if this weren't the case, it'd be trivial to line the the suit with inward-facing shiny reflective (reflecting IR is the important part) stuff, the kind you get on newer rolls of house insulation. Only without the bubble wrap.
--grendel drago
Laws do not persuade just because they threaten. --Seneca
Thanks!
The device (Google HTML cache of a whitepaper in DOC format) was in fact designed and tested, but NASA junked it. Bastards.
And yes, heat is boiled off by evaporating water, both in the NASA suit and the SAS. Seems wasteful, but apparently it works.
Thanks again---I'm amazed that this was actually invented.
--grendel drago
Laws do not persuade just because they threaten. --Seneca
I haven't seen any technical literature on this, but it has featured in a few SF stories (such as Pournelle's Exiles to Glory), and I read some non-technical stuff about the idea in Savage's The Millenium Project. The basic design is something like a thick body stocking to provide enough extra reinforcement to the skin - enough to hold in the pressure. You keep cool by sweating, you keep warm by putting some warm clothing on. You wear a fishbowl helmet, and breathe pure oxygen at about five PSI (which incidentally is pretty well what astronauts do anyway).
I understand that NASA did some successful tests on these back in the seventies. I don't understand why they never put them into use.
I am a Statistician. One false move and you are a Statistic
If you read one of the last scientific americans (I'm not sure, but think about two-three months back) they had an article about a newly developed radiation suit - using various organic salts embedded in the textile, you can get (for the same price as lead) just as good radiation protection with what appears to be a thick cloth.
It is definently not as bulky as lead, and I believe it also allows water to evaporate from your body. So you could have a suit composed of an elastic material and this.
Lo and behold, technical literature. I can't believe no one ended up hearing about this. For a price-factor difference of five hundred, I can't see a reason that NASA wouldn't have gone with the skinsuit. Other than pork-barrel bureaucracy, that is...
--grendel drago
Laws do not persuade just because they threaten. --Seneca
The X-43A MIB report underscores the fact that the Hyper-X launch vehicle contract was developed under the faster, better, cheaper philosophy
the rules clearly state that you may only choose 2 of the above!!
they didn't train enough!
Banaaaana!
Proud patriot and republican voter.
Why is it that nasa has the philosophy of faster better cheaper? Although it has had some success the philosophy leads to more failure. Its obvious that the public seems to want more space based research, trips to mars, etc. So why does nasa feel that it needs to drop a project at any hint of failure?
-=You might be a geek if your computer is worth more than your car=-
Damn it, Bobby Ted! That JB Weld was supposed to hold them goldang fins on tight....lemme check that thar tube. You dumb ass! It says that it holds in temperatures up to 200 degrees F not 2000! Get that antenna out of your ass!
This comment was randomly generated by a school of piranhas chewing on the PCB of a Microsoft Natural Keyboard.
I personally don't see this governmental fiddling with space lasting much longer, seeing how commercial interests and private (albeit wealthy) citizens are starting to push the cold, dark envelope of space travel. If I could make an outlandish prediction, I'd guess that by 2020, we'll have a ship or two with no real flag-bearing duties on the Moon. I personally hope we find a complete replacement for manned vehicles altogether, but exploration has demands for the flexible, so humans will probably still be risked as a result.
Remember, you don't fly in a "Wright" airplane, it's a Boeing... let commercial interests take over where purist experimentation leaves off.
Windows XP SP2 told me to install third-party software that prevents viruses and protects stability... I chose Ubuntu
Agreed! And give some consideration to this hypothesis as well:
Geopolitics [1945-1989] can be construed as the age-old quest for protein, played out by actors able to marshall the full resources of the modern industrial state in pursuit of their goals.
You know, I'm not sure that the whole slashdot crowd understands how hard it is to test these sort of things. I mean my university has been doing subcontracting for NASA and I have to say, these people there are really smart. I'm not talking business major to business major, I mean EE to Ph.D EE - these guys are dumb so please don't refer to them as such. Imagine though, any huge project, no matter how well constructed, basically comes down to a single person decieding or desidgning something (the so called single point failure). Do you think you could be that person?
There have been consistent stories in the press about a certain slack in attention to detail at NASA of late. And, as an Air Force guy, I wonder how they could design a wing leading edge that can't take a hit from some hard foam, we get bird-strike all the time! Even a C-17 can take a 30 pound goose at 400 knots...
at least we can hold out hope for the future scram jet testing and development.
I am the Alpha and the Omega-3
Nasa as a forward looking organization died in 69. Ever since then its been a zombie a shadow of its former self. Its been almost continuous decline in the post apollo era. Take a look at the programs that followed.
Skylab vs ISS Alpha
Direct easy and done safely v.s. Pointless
X-15 vs X29, X43 and the other spaceplane projects
The only significant manned space vehicle since the apollo program is the shuttle. While it is one thing for hero's to lose their lives in the conquest of a new frontier, its another to lose life because a congressional district in utah needed make work or nasa's beuracracy wouldn't listen to outsiders.
If there is any hope of man in space, it will come from private entrepeneurs and perhaps other countries.
Wow, I've heard of ghetto engineering ... but the fins just flat fell off a second into the flight?! C'mon, I expect much better of NASA. Hell, even I can manage to launch a rocket whose fins will stay fully attached until the parachute burns through and the entire assemblage smacks into the ground, sending fin particles everywhere. But that's MANY seconds after launch, not only a few.
Cyde Weys Musings - Scrutinizing the inscrutable
NASA has some damn smart people working there. NASA does really nice basic research. NASA sucks ass at applying it.
Look at the various inventions that fell out of the space program as little extras. Look at all the technology that was invented. That's what NASA does well.
Now look at the Shuttle, which didn't meet a single one of its design parameters---it's technically not even reusable, it's salvageable. Look at the criminally high cost of launching mass into LEO. Look at NASA's inability to really deliver on the applied end of things. That's what NASA can't do.
I suggest Kings of the High Frontier as required reading for anyone interested in learning how NASA has failed to deliver on its promise of space access due to its fetishization of research-heavy boondoggles. The book is fiction, but extensively researched. (The discussion on unpressurized spacesuits fell out of an off-the-cuff reference the author made.)
Leave it to the X-Prize competitors, and their successors. The Space Shuttle is at the very limit of complexity that's possible to construct, which is why NASA has been unable to replace it. (Did you know there are literally hundreds of "Criticality One" components in the shuttle, the failure of any one of which could cause the shuttle's destruction?)
Okay, this seems like a rant about the Shuttle. But it's really about NASA, and the way in which they do things. It's not an indictment against the people who work there; the scientists and engineers of NASA are without equal. Their efforts are being squandered. The future does not belong to NASA, and it hasn't since they cancelled Apollo.
--grendel drago
Laws do not persuade just because they threaten. --Seneca
A pretty picture may be cheap, but it does not always prove correct. Oh well, the next one will be better.
Friends don't help friends install M$ junk.
I worked for one of the companies involved in this program, although not directly on the program itself.
Let's see, we've got a scramjet test aircraft, which will be boosted to hypersonic speeds by a modified Pegasus rocket, which will be dropped from a B-52. So, besides developing the scramjet test aircraft, an interface system between the Pegasus and the X-43A needs to be designed and the whole system tested.
That didn't bother me too much. What really got me was what the point of the program was in the first place. The goal was to test the ability of a scramjet engine to propel an aircraft at hypersonic speeds. The Pegasus booster was supposed to accelerate the test aircraft to hypersonic speeds, then detach, at which point the scramjet would be started and the instrumentation would transmit 10 seconds of data. Besides the limited amount of data, if I recall correctly, the scramjet was not supposed to even maintain the aircraft's speed, which calls into question the value of the technology as a means of propulsion, in my opinion.
If I recall, the contract value was $33 million, and was significantly overrun. Your tax dollars at work (if you're American).
They'll get my encryption algorithm when they pry it from my cold, dead hard drive.
It's the reason why NASA deceived Congress and underestimated the cost and reliability of the Shuttle. Not a concious conspiracy, just your regular bureaucratic tendency.
Nowadays, the Shuttle is keeping tens of thousands of plushy jobs at NASA. Many of them aren't paper pushers, there are really good engineers working on this program. However, the real top dogs are the bureaucrats. And they know that the Shuttle should be replaced by something that does not require an army to operate, but they'd be out of a job.
Each time the crazy engineers rock the boat and create a potential cheaper competitor for the Shuttle, it magically gets killed. Look at the X-33. Look at the DC-X: This demonstrator was taking off and landing on its jet, vertically. It was perfectly working when it was given to NASA, and somehow, NASA killed it on its first NASA flight. And somehow, the budget to build a new DC-X was consumed by, why, the Shuttle of course. So this perfectly good project was dropped.
See how it works? Tons of examples can be found in the history of the various X-projects that got mysteriously mismanaged and killed since the Shuttle program started.
NASA outlived its utility and became the worst enemy of cheap space access.
You want space access? You want to get to Mars before the Chinese? Keep the JPL and the researchers, get rid of the rest of NASA.
--
Mad science! Robots! Underwear! Cute girls! Full comic online! http://www.girlgeniusonline.com/
- Cheaper
is one helluva factor for it! *shrugs*don't give up.
Old and reliable rocket/NO2 black X plane. Bring it out of retirement.
Do you have to thaw the goose first?
What you mean linux clusters? Google finds it cheaper to replace an entire node instead of taking the time to troubleshoot. Its a throw away society now. Everyone wants things fast and cheap, unfortunately quality doesn't fit with those options.
Only the State obtains its revenue by coercion. - Murray Rothbard
Remember the Mir? What an amazing success for mankind. It just kept right on working. Even whenever there was anykind of problem that was repaired in space, the American media talked about how it was an aging station and about the "cash-strapped Russian space agency". What comes around goes around I guess. The cash-strapped American space agency now has no manned space flight capability. Russia is the only country on Earth with that ability. The shuttle fleet is too old and if they ever attempt to fly those again they can expect similar results as their last attempt.
What about astrology, the most rediculious of the sciences!
Astrology ain't a science bub, no more than palm reading. Next you'll be telling me John Edwards is a scientist.
But knowitall engineers use trensastors with inferious sound quality just to save a few bucks
And musicians will actually buy them! And a good hunk of the population will love to listen to them. There are three stations on XM radio pretty much devoted to sound coming from transitors. Moby's pretty big but where would he be without the transitor? Now, you may not like him but, as you said, you cannot apply objective reasoning to something that is intrinsicly subjective.
It is a lot of work, but the upshot is improved grammer and spelling skills that are lacking in the technical.
You deserve a +2 Funny for this remark in a post that has some of the worst spelling I have ever seen. I think you should demand your money back if you're being serious.
common sense: noun
What those who are ignorant of the subject matter think; usually wrong.
Man, its good to laugh out loud at 1 am when everyone is sleeping in the house.
Thanks!
errrrrr. shouldn't it be Yoda instead of Yota?
I think it was intentionally written Yota instead of Yoda. aka Mickey version.
a six-pack? how in the hell does someone get so drunk they pass out from a six-pack?? i been drinkin the wrong beer then!! anyhow, i think we've drifted far far away from the topic...
Secondly, not all "Linux people" are loners who never get laid.
Something has to be done about NASA. They are clearly far too inadequate to do their job properly.
They ignored their engineers in '86. Astronauts died.
They cant convert units, expensive Mars rovers are lost.
They didnt follow proper safety procedures this year, astronauts died.
They lose prototype planes because they decide not to test added elements. They lose this, and that, and lose billions of dollars doing it.
I dunno about all you other readers, but it seems to me that NASA needs some *serious* restructuring.
This better, faster, cheaper thing has turned out to be broken, slow, and expensive. It's bad enough we lose prototype planes worth billions to their errors, let alone the 14 astronauts sacrificed in the name of saving costs to keep a complex bureaucracy well paid.
Fuck NASA. We need something new.
I am a viral sig. Please copy me and help me spread. Thank you.
Based upon my experience at Goddard, I will say that most of the people at NASA are honest, upstanding individuals intent on doing the best job they can.
Unfortunately, I don't think the management culture they inhabit works the same way. Yes, there are honest people in management. Too often, though, they must fight against pressures forcing dishonesty and abuse.
Some people are quitting the field because of dishonesty and abuse. Donna Shirley, the woman who led the team that designed and built the successful Mars rover of 1997, has quit, citing the "lack of honesty and openness" in the field.
When I was at Goddard, some high level managers in my company were caught defrauding the government out of millions of dollars. As a part of being allowed to continue doing business with the government, the company signed an agreement that forced all employees to receive annual "ethics" training. The training was a joke, emphasizing things like not using government e-mail for personal use. Teaching employees how to recognize major corruption on the part of mid and high level executives? Why, we "worker bees" need not worry our pretty little heads about that sort of thing...
Personally, I think the kind of dishonesty reported in these articles will persist until NASA embraces honesty, openness and democracy in its culture.
Frankly... you are just too stupid to respond too... read my other comments and maybe you'll get a clue.
NASA should call on (and pay lots of money to) the inimitable Bruce Simpson.
Because most of the world (i.e. outside the US) has beer that actually has significant alcohol in it. In the region of 5-13%.
Because getting an airplane to fly at hypersonic speeds is not absurdly difficult.
Figuring out how to light a fire that stays lit in a high-speed air flow...THAT is hard. Zippos are not windproof at 4000 mph.
The purpose of this vehicle was to test hypersonic COMBUSTION, not hypersonic flight.
Why yes, I AM a rocket scientist!
Colonel Sandurz: Prepare ship for light speed.
Dark Helmet: No, no, no, light speed is too slow.
Colonel Sandurz: Light speed, too slow?
Dark Helmet: Yes, we're gonna have to go right to ludicrous speed.
First off... this is my own opinion only, and does not reflect the attitude or thoughts of my employer.... with that said: ...come on... you can do it... put 1 and 1 together... NASA straps their research vehicle to the nose of Orbitals delivery system -- the launch vehicle... OH, is the light dawning yet?... what does the report indicate is the problem? was it the hypersonic vehicle that failed?? NO MORONS, it DOESN'T say that... the VEHICLE never got to the test range!! NASA never got to TEST the friggin vehicle in the first place.
...but like always... you never hear about NASA's THOUSANDS of achievements... I'm willing to bet that most of you can't name a single thing that NASA has contributed to the US technological community...why is that? maybe it's because those achievements never get air time. Achievements aren't juicy enough for the media... Media gets more attention when it focus's on NASA's failures... When was the last time you heard a news organization extolling the virtues of NASA?
I'm not sure whether to be pleased that someone actually took the time to locate a report that's been out for almost three months, or irritated that they (space.com) are completely misleading the public as to the cause and who's to blame for the defect (or that somehow they're privy to information that's available to everyone) which resulted in NASA having to terminate the Launch and Research Vehicle (X43A). On top of that, it's rediculous to post it to a forum like this. Reality check folks... This is a proven technology (hypersonic ram/scramjet engines) which has a large application base, and WILL provide faster, cheaper and cleaner access to space. I appreciate (not really) the folks that seem to get off on putting down NASA's achievments, or summing the work NASA does up to the moon landing (...and depending on who you listen to apparently we made that up too... -- that's sarcasm in case you didn't pick up on it.) If anyone of you has a moment to actually read the MIB report... and more over has the intellectual capacity to understand it (Lord knows no one's displayed that capability here, or at space.com), then you should understand where blame should be placed. The main portion of NASA's work was with the X-43A VEHICLE, and the subcontractor ORBITAL was supposed to provide a delivery system which would get NASA's RESEARCH VEHICLE to the test range. For those of you who can't quite put it all together,
All this criticism of NASA as "incapable", or "no longer with it"... to you folks I say PISS OFF... you have no clue what you're talking about. The X-43 folks are anything but sloppy at the research they do; the managment is outstanding, and the technical expertise is the best in the world.
To folks that think that NASA is just a big bureaucracy; you're absolutely right. They are, just like any other organization that does bleeding edge research and provides outstanding technical work to the US government. Any organization that does the kind of experimental research that NASA does (look around, there aren't any) has to have a legitimate infrastructure in place to handle the costs and managment structure that large experiments have. There is NO way around this, and anyone who thinks there is, is a fool.
To those of you who doubt that the X-43A vehicle will fly... PAY ATTENTION TO WHAT HAPPENS IN THE NEWS IN OCTOBER!
Remind's me of the allegedly true story going the rounds BAE systems in the UK developed a new test rig for testing plane windsceens , a chicken was fired at high velocity at the screen by a giant compressed air gun An american company involved in high speed train developement asked if they could use the design, three weeks later a frantic Email arrived at BAE saying the chicken went through the screen, through the bulkhead and embedded itself in the rear wall of the carriage, what should they do to improve their windsceen, the guy at BAE sent a one line email to them 'DEFOST THE CHICKEN' I tend to think its true as something similar happened to me, I was involved in developing rat poisons, new novel chemicals/drugs are often sent off for evaluation as anti-cancer drugs or in this case to combat strokes (it was an anti-coagulent) the center replied that it was not effective as all the rats died at their standard testing dose DOH RTFM
Certainly I'd agree that Apollo was a better run and much more successful project, but didn't the moon race consume something in the neighbourhood of 10% of the US GDP at the time?
To attempt to put that in perspective, if you think that the war on Iraq was/is expensive, try multiplying it by 10* to get an idea of how much Apollo cost.
What could people really expect? Once the moon race was over, there really was no place for NASA spending to go but down. Less money = Less resource = Less cool stuff that you can pull off.
* Being Canadian, I have excused myself from looking up completely accurate figures. My back of an envelope calculations actually give me closer to 1000 times more expensive (relative to GDP), but that seems rather high... Someone who knows better please feel free to correct me.
Well if those darn commie-sympathizers at NASA weren't trying to convince us into switching into that berlin wall metric bullshit, maybe none of this would happen. Thank the lord for guiding John Ashcroft in his quest to root out evil.
The day I buy my gas in leeters is the day they pry my gun from my cold dead hands.
There's a surprise! Must be that patented script that Michael Sims' paid somebody to write (since, let's face it, he knows NOTHING about computers...) to find comments such as yours! :-)
/. with his inanities is as slimy as he is.
Michael, you're slime. And not just regular slime. No, you're like the kind of slime which embarrasses the stuff which settles at the bottom of septic tanks. You give slime a bad name.
And anybody who is aware of his utterly despicable behavior in relation to the Censorware project yet continues to permit him to pollute
Oh, guess what? I bet this post will be modded-down too.
As someone who has worked on satellite software development and testing, I can tell you that system complexity is one of the biggest enemies of the 'Faster, Better, Cheaper' philosophy. As the complexity of a spacecraft increases, so does the testing. If you put 10,000 telemetry points into the downlink, then you have to test all 10,000 of them in such a way as to assure that they are fully functional. The same holds true for mechanical complexity and system interaction. When a project is behind schedule and over budget, one of the first things looked at for chopping is the testing.
This is not news to software engineers, but it seems to be something that the general public fails to grasp. NASA needs to revert to the slower, more reliable, more expensive philosophy that brought so much success throughout the sixties and seventies. We need to accept that space exploration is complex and expensive and attempts to shortcut will just result in horrible failures and even the loss of life. Diverting a little money from Bush's "War Against Imaginary Weapons" to NASA would be a good start.
Damn it, Leroy! That JB Weld wuz supposed ta hold dem muthafuckin fins on tight....lemme check dat mufuckin tube. You dum ass! It says dat it holds in temperatures up ta 200 degrees F not 2000! Get dat antenna out yo' ass! Bizzatch!
all semblances to real people are purley coincedental.
You are about to give someone a piece of your mind, something which you can ill afford...
ok, so the dialogue was almost "offtopic", if you have brain density similar to that of petrified oak. whoever got pissed at it must not have understood the first half... geez. what are we up against here...
"never underestimate the power of stupid people in large numbers"
You are about to give someone a piece of your mind, something which you can ill afford...
Has anyone noticed that NASA is cooler than you?
;)
Seriously. They are doing new stuff that hasn't been done before. Cut them some slack.
Yeah, sure, the Shuttle fiasco has been an expensive endeavor, but I don't see a whole lot of other groups sending crazy experimental aricraft up to see what happens.
When you new things, it doesn't always work out. Did Jeremy McGrath totally nail his first backflip? Not bloody likely. Chances are it took him a few tries and a few scratches (and, perhaps, watching a few people break a few bones) before he got it right.
We'll never get anywhere if people nitpick every little thing NASA does. Look at the X-Prize. They have, what, $10,000 for any amatuer who launches himself into space? NASA did that 30 years ago an them some. Big friggin deal.
If John Carmack can launch an air-breathing hyperspace vehicle on his first attempt, and still be excited about winning $10,000 then i'll be impressed (ok... yeah, if ANYONE wins the X-Prize i'll be impressed, but i'm being dramatic, so give me a break).
If it carrys a BFG I'll be REALLY impressed
Get off NASA's back. Yeah, give them sh*t if and when they royally screw up, but as long as they keep pushing the envelope, sit down and shut up.
(No offense to any of those, and their families, who were lost in the shuttle (and other) mishaps. The people who signed up knew that they were getting into a very exclusive an experimental (really!) mission. I know I wouldn't do it.)
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No doubt. Which is why successful FBC missions tend to deliberately work to reduce complexity. That's how they make them fast and cheap. It's a foolish project manager (i.e. one that really doesn't "get" FBC) that tries to implement the "Faster" and "Cheaper" parts of FBC on a mission that is as complex is a non-FBC mission.
NASA needs to revert to the slower, more reliable, more expensive philosophy that brought so much success throughout the sixties and seventies. We need to accept that space exploration is complex and expensive and attempts to shortcut will just result in horrible failures and even the loss of life.
The last thing NASA should do is revert to its old philosophy. That philosophy is appropriate for some missions, but disaster for most: it costs way too much, and provides poor return on investment. FBC, if done right, can provide a much better ROI. Space exploration does not have to be complex and expensive. Look at NEAR, SAMPEX, HETE, Clementine, Lunar Prospector, the AMSATs, Orsted, Freja, Orbcomm, Mars Pathfinder, Beagle, MightySat, RADCAL, or MACSAT. FBC can be done, and done right.
A good example of how things can go wrong is Germany's ill-fated Cargolifter project. This was a project to build airshups for transporting up to 100 tonnes anywhere in the world with a minimum of infrastructure (the airship was its own crane). A brilliant idea, with concrete interest from disaster relief agencies, construction companies and the oil industry.
The project promised profits in five years, however in reality there was no way they could have done it in less than 10. There is airship knowhow in Germany still, but they decided to build in the former DDR and thus enjoy the tax reliefs for companies there. Regrettably they had few staff from the aerospace industry.
The management split the company into two with one part that was relatively poor doing the R&D and the production, the other part (Cargolifter Financial Services) was relatively rich, and frankly seemed to be playing interesting games in the financial markets and paying its staff very well. The money went and the project folded.
The thing is that airships are not rocket science. There was nothing really radical about the project and it looked good. The postscript was that it failed due to production difficulties, inadequate funding and some questionable financial behaviour by the management.
Lets talk Rocket Science. The technology is less well known, and potentially much more dangerous (requiring a lot of testing). The business model is unproven and with the amount of cash required, there is definitely a high risk project.
The last thing NASA should do is revert to its old philosophy.
That philosophy put man on the moon. What progress have we made since then? Do we have a lunar colony? Do we have a large, fully-manned space station complete with rotation providing artificial gravity? Have we sent men to Mars? All that FBC has done is provide us with uninspiring baby steps taken with unmanned probes. It's caused an entire generation of kids to decide that being an astronaut isn't nearly as cool as flying a fighter jet.
That philosophy is appropriate for some missions, but disaster for most: it costs way too much, and provides poor return on investment.
We don't need a good return on investment -- we need more investment. NASA's annual budget is less than we are spending every two months occupying Iraq. In the mid-60's, NASA received about 5% of the total federal budget. Now it gets less than 1/2%. We need a President like Kennedy again -- one who values space exploration more than oil exploitation.
not just faster, better, cheaper. It's also dumber. Management is bloated and has no idea what they are doing. NASA has no real direction, no spirit left, and no long-term goals. Apparenty the best brains nowadays aren't going to NASA the way they did in the past.
Yeah, the public worked right through that one, largely because NASA insisted that the astronauts had died instant, heroic deaths that were unavoidable, not that they'd slowly suffocated from the smoke in a fire that would have been prevented if NASA had taken seriously the problems with pure-oxygen atmosphere. As it was, Grissom, Chaffee and White had to die for the atmosphere to be changed to something less dangerous (I'm not sure exactly what they use, but it's much closer to our atmosphere here).
--grendel drago
Laws do not persuade just because they threaten. --Seneca
Donald Rumsfeld (always) and NASA management will want you to believe that NASA employees are all to blame for failures. We always find out later that the Government civilian worker-bees and pack-mules did all the right things, but management and office (government) politics in the government workplaces did all the wrong things ... too include point the finger at the group that many like to use as an excuse, but they (civilian worker-bees and pack-mules) make no decisions and can only seek permission. Incompetent decisions that sometimes are made by unaccredited university degreed (diploma mill) managers, Bosses, and politicians are the typical today. ... don't cause bank/CU failures, business bankruptcies, criminal fraud and theft in business the majority of failures in our economy/business are due to piss poor performance by management and Bosses not the worker-bees and pack-mules employees. ... failures are due to failures in leadership and delusional denial by management. Credit Unions (CU), Global Crossings, World Com, Enron, ... failures, and Delta and other companies CEOs and staff steeling (lack of a better word) from worker-bees and pack-mules pension funds, reductions in pay, benefits, and health insurance to fund the CEOs' and staffs' ever increasing pay and benefits increases, and then put CEOs' and staffs' retirements in protected trust. .... ...), financial responsibility is a thing of the past, and social security is always secure, because the government can maintain benefits for the wealthy today, and increase the social security retirement age until the right number of US Citizens die and never collect any benefits (old folks don't have many dependents). US, EU, and UN Citizens are becoming the whores of the wealthy fucked now, beaten later, and screwed to death.
/. Readers and US Citizens. Try to get a politician, CEO, holy-man, or manager to admit they made a mistake, like in this X-43A case.
Failures in business and government projects are due to piss poor performance by management and Bosses not the worker-bees and pack-mules employees. Ecology, business, and tax laws, pension and health benefits,
2001/09/11 NSA, CIA, and FBI failures were not because of the field agents. Two Shuttle disasters, Hubble Telescope, X-43A,
Politicians of the Capitalist Republic applaud CEOs' and staffs' performance in saving the economy by getting the worker-bees and pack-mules (US Citizens) to pay for the bad global economy. The President after 2001/09/11 called for all good US Citizens to spend our money and support the USA. The CEOs', staffs', and politicians (have a different agenda) are setting up more corporate and wealthy tax welfare programs for the oil and construction companies in Iraq and national parks, pharmaceutical companies in Africa,
US Citizens will pay in the future (our children, grandchildren,
OldHawk777
Reality is a self-induced hallucination.
Yea, I know, I did stray a little from topic, but I beg forgiveness from
Unaccountable leaders are masters, and unrepresented people are slaves. How do US and EU fare?
Failed probes, failed missions, failed vehicles, and 7 more astronaughts to build a stupid monument and name conference rooms after.
But he sure did a good job changing NASA's letterhead. Glad that logo got fixed...
His next mission? President of Boston University. I can't wait till "Faster-Better-Cheaper" filters down to the BU School of Medicine.
I suggest you read Slashdot
...when the article clearly states the subcontractor, Orbital Sciences Corporation, was deficient in a number of engineering and technical disciplines?
Treatment, not tyranny. End the drug war and free our American POWs.
See my user info for links.
Actually, if you stop and think about you'll realize that the way NASA put men on the moon was very much in line with the FBC philosophy. Rather than investing a huge amount of money in something complex and "high-tech" like the X-20 DynaSoar and taking forever to develop the missions NASA operated on a fixed, very tight schedule (land and return before the decade is out), and opted for simple, rugged solutions. Sounds a lot like the mandated "3 years from 0 to launch" policy and deliberate selection of less complex solutions to me that APL used for NEAR and other FBC missions. Sure, the NASA lunar program to develop a lot of new technology, but the underlying philosophy very much FBC. FBC doesn't mean spending less money, and it doesn't mean doing a bad job. It means thinking about what you are doing, and trying to maximize the value for the money you are spending.
We don't need a good return on investment -- we need more investment. NASA's annual budget is less than we are spending every two months occupying Iraq. In the mid-60's, NASA received about 5% of the total federal budget. Now it gets less than 1/2%. We need a President like Kennedy again -- one who values space exploration more than oil exploitation.
Presidential politics have very little to do with it. While I agree that Kennedy was extremely inspiring, I think he was dealing with a very different environment than we face today. What we really need is for the federal government to get its nose out of space, and to back off on the various regulations that mke it hard for commercial interests to do anything in space. The American public (as a whole) apparently doesn't care about space. If they did, it would be a great campaign platform, and someone would use it as such. The "public" doesn't want to spend the money, they have no tolerance for failure, and all they are interested in is spectacular firsts. This attitude is not conducive to a healthy space program. When you add in the fact that NASA is now a bloated bureaucracy, riddled with incompetent engineers and managers, drowning in unwanted congressional pork, and essentially wedded by politics to a launch system that is clearly over-priced and broken, it's no surprise that our space program is a mess.
More money out of our pockets! Yay!
Actually, whenever NASA puts a private sattelite into orbit, it bills the customer a mere fraction of its actual launch cost, typically less than $200 million. The rest (another $300-$500 million depending on how you count) is paid by the taxpayer. Which is how NASA can afford to send a manned vessel to do the job of a cargo rocket.
If NASA stopped operating as a federal-subsidized competitor of the private space launch industry, a much bigger market would instantly open. But NASA needs the launches to justify its Shuttle programs...
Keep NASA for launching Mars probes and doing research, but don't allow it to compete against the private space launcher industry.
--
Mad science! Robots! Underwear! Cute girls! Full comic online! http://www.girlgeniusonline.com/
You bet it does. Many an engineer cried tears of rage when they saw the DC-X burn and not being replaced because hey, a new copy of DC-X would cost 10% of the cost of a Shuttle launch, NASA can't find that kind of money anywhere.
A few outraged people muttered accusations of sabotage, but somehow, an investigation was never started.
The lesson: A human system, especially a bureaucracy, will do whatever it takes to insure its survival and expension. The only way to avoid that is to build permanent controls, complete with terribly severe punishments, right into the system. But you have to accept the 30% oerhead and the occasional noise of the firing squad.
Democracy is not for squirmish people.
--
Mad science! Robots! Underwear! Cute girls! Full comic online! http://www.girlgeniusonline.com/
The so-called "scientific research" that is advertised as the reason for maintaining the space station is really a smokescreen for the true reason. "I want to go to Mars! Personally, not as a telepresence in a robot! Or at least send my children or grandchildren there." But no politician can justify this goal in a global environment with jihadists who intend to use our own technology to drive us back to the 11th century.
The X-prize is the next to the last step in getting NASA out of the routine LEO human transport business. The last steps will be the commercial human-to-orbit prize and the transformation of the FAA into the FASA, where it will regulate both atmospheric and space transportation. Then NASA will have no more excuses to hide the true reasons for maintaining the ISS, which are to solve the problem of long-duration human support for the two to four-year Mars journey. Everyone will be better off.
Taxation without representation is tyranny! Statehood for DC, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands & Pacific Territories!
What we really need is for the federal government to get its nose out of space, and to back off on the various regulations that mke it hard for commercial interests to do anything in space.
Businesses want profits and the profits just aren't there for pure science research in space. Universities won't be funding space exploration -- it's often tough for them to find enough money in the budget for facilities maintenance. Boeing is not going to land a man on Mars in the hopes that they will be able to turn a profit from the mission. Lockheed is not going to fund the launch of a next-generation space telescope with the expectation of making money from the venture.
I just don't believe that it would further our knowledge, increase our enthusiasm, or make us proud to be Americans if some private firm launched Lance Bass (of 'N Sync), Dennis Tito, and other multi-millionaire space-tourist-wannabes into orbit.
The private sector will continue to fund and launch communications satellites -- and will do little else. Nothing else having to do with space has been shown to have any real promise of generating a positive cash flow.
The American public (as a whole) apparently doesn't care about space. If they did, it would be a great campaign platform, and someone would use it as such. The "public" doesn't want to spend the money, they have no tolerance for failure, and all they are interested in is spectacular firsts.
Most of the public doesn't care about physical fitness either, but that does not mean that the The Presidents Council on Physical Fitness and Sports should be eliminated. Sometimes it's important for leaders to lead, to set goals, and to energize the public to achieve those goals. That's what Kennedy did and that's what we need now. There is more to being a leader than creating budgets and priorities based on opinion polls and focus groups. A President's job is to look out for the good of the country, not pander to trailer park inbreds who think that astrology and astronomy are the same thing.
Maybe the way to go is not to reapply ablative coatings but go for ablative coatings that have a certain number of cycles -- say for a lower temp top surface, the thing has a life of 20 flights and after that you through out the vehicle (NASA is retiring Shuttles after about 25 flights on average, but not in the way they had hoped). For a higher temp leading edge, that may be only good for about 4 flights after which you just replace the entire leading edge panel.
Sure.....once again the problems are blamed on Bush. Sheesh, why not indict him for the Kennedy assasination as well? I'm sure there's a link there somwhere.
[SIG] Remember Mattel handheld games?
Back in 1993 this project was being developed over here in the UK as the Hotol Project. I knew a guy who claimed his sister worked on the project as a Mathematician and she was responsible for proving (mathematicially ) that the tech can never ever work lol. A few years later I was amused to hear the entire project had been sold to the Americans. Well ok I laughed for about a week...........
I haven't seen that particular report, but just to clarify what I know, the failure wasn't in the X-43 hypersonic vehicle but in the Pegasus launch booster, built by Orbital Sciences. Apparently the Pegasus was built to be launched at 40,000 feet, however in the first test it was launched at 20,000 feet. The increased air density and aerodynamic loading at this altitude caused a structural failure in a stabilising fin on the booster, not the X-43 craft itself, which remains unproven.
It is a lot of work, but the upshot is improved grammer and spelling skills that are lacking in the technical.
You use the word 'grammer', yet you claim to have spelling skills. Ummmmmm.....
the following points are not rants, but they're not trivial either. and sometimes it helps to hear, "hey king, you've left the castle without your clothes on?!":
:o)
1. management:
1a. the sr-71, (black bird), can go in 'excess' of mach 3, (actual top air speed is classified).
1b. it would be very hard to ignore the black bird hanging in the smithsonian. i believe it's enough said about re-usable test platforms available to nasa's phb's.
2. engineering:
2a. consider the 'experiment'. 10 seconds of test data and then 'puff!', I question the logic of that. as an engineer, I find it VERY expensive to rebuild EVERYTIME I need to test.
2b. with the prototype effectively destroyed, you have to re-build all over again. kind'a pricey, don't ya think?
3. responsibility:
3a. is orbital going to pay for the damages of its defective product? I don't think so.
3b. I'd be surprised. actually, I wish they would! I'd have more respect for orbital's the business ventures.
3c. or, because we know '3b' ain't gonna happen; 'memo to orbitals staff, build products that work, or orbital will find NEW staff that can.'
4. this forum:
4a. this is not a forum of aviation science for aviators, but of people that read about, and think about 'stuff that matters'. and nasa's 'projects' matter.
4b. there IS a collective questioning as to the results of nasa's decisions.
5. what's it going to take to get our collective butts into space?
5a. its more dangerous to drive my car then to fly.
5b. history has shown that the one's who hold others back, are the one's most incapable to push forward.
5c. its amazing to me, but the biggest barrier to getting into space is not gravity, but nasa its self.
p.s.
memo to nasa:
1. you canceled the space plane because the gas tank was defective?! what is up with that! you kill a project because a component is defective?!
2. get our collective butts into space, don't you think we would like to share in the glory of what makes liquids solid, and spider web formations? come on, we want-a play too!
3. i'm reminded of what my father told me about spending his money for things i thought were important. i'm just starting to understand what he was driving at.
I thought I might point out the following webpage: http://www.hobbyspace.com/Links/RLVNews.html
I recently discovered this page, and it is really up-to-date with all sorts of initiatives with reusable launch vehicles, including a lot of promising commercial ones.
The enthousiasts there also seem to have given up on NASA. I share their opinion that to do it "Faster, better, cheaper", you need to steer clear of the good old NASA. I am especially interested in the Burt Rutan initiative, and the SpaceX rocket, which should fly beginning next year.