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SpaceShipOne to Try for Space on Monday

CommanderData writes "The first piloted private space flight will occur Monday at 9:30AM ET. SpaceShipOne is planning to ascend to the 62 mile (100 Km) mark and return to land at its takeoff point over the course of 90 minutes. With only a pilot (unnamed at this time) on board this does not qualify as a run for the Ansari X-Prize. If the flight is successful they will likely try for the prize soon afterward..." An anonymous reader adds: "Scaled Composites also has this page about the event."

282 comments

  1. Sign me up! by Pheonix5000 · · Score: 3, Funny

    Put me down for a window seat ;)

    1. Re:Sign me up! by domodude · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      Yeah, don't sign me up. I have a feeling that on Tuesday I will be reading a slashdot story titled something along the lines of "Spaceship explodes; one dead."

    2. Re:Sign me up! by l810c · · Score: 3, Insightful
      Not much room on this thing, only 3 people.

      I wonder how much this design will scale considering it has to piggyback on an airplane before it takes off. Sure getting to space will be a nice feat, but how far along really does this propel the goal of commercial access to space. Will this thing be able to carry large payloads in the future? Dozens of people?

      I'm more interested in the teams that are going from the ground up utilizing new technologies and more innovative ideas.

      SpaceShipOne just seems like a bit of a hack to me.

    3. Re:Sign me up! by Phurd+Phlegm · · Score: 1
      SpaceShipOne just seems like a bit of a hack to me.
      I agree. What you seem to have forgotten is that a "hack" is a elegant solution to a problem. I think you meant "kludge." If so, I must disagree.

      SS1 does what it needs to to meet its goal--winning the X Prize. If Rutan gets a contract to build a reusable orbital launch vehicle (with substantially more bucks backing it up), I expect to see one within five years.

    4. Re:Sign me up! by l810c · · Score: 1
      This is from dictionary.com for 'hack':

      (jargon)
      1. Originally, a quick job that produces what is needed, but not well.

      2. An incredibly good, and perhaps very time-consuming, piece of work that produces exactly what is needed.

      So it seems that there are multiple interpretations of the word.

      But I stand by def. 1. for the reasons I stated. I do not see this scaling. I just do not see this technology(piggybacking on airplanes then launching) leading to huge commercial payloads and space tourism.

    5. Re:Sign me up! by Colonel+Blimp · · Score: 1

      I have a friend who is a noted aerospace writer, he is in the pool for the journalist seat. It would be nice, he is headed out for both launches. Best of luck to all!

    6. Re:Sign me up! by IllForgetMyNickSoonA · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Oh, come on - that's not fair! The only vehicle capable of carrying more than 3 people into space is the Space Shuttle. No vehicle so far was ever capable of carrying more than 7. What did you expect? These people are designing and building a first-of-a kind vehicle by only using their own money (as in "not tax-payer's money"). If they succeed, the funding for a larger scale vehicle will come along. It'll take quite some time before you can buy a ticket on a "USS Voyager" class ship.

      Give credit where credit is due, instead of whining.

    7. Re:Sign me up! by grozzie2 · · Score: 1
      SpaceShipOne just seems like a bit of a hack to me.

      The Spaceship One program is a well planned, and well executed development program, targetted at producing a vehicle that is capable of achieving the goals set forth in the X-Prize rules.

      If you want to see a real 'hack', go look at the armadillo aerospace stuff. Thats just a publicity stunt that a bunch of /. folks fell for hook line and sinker.

    8. Re:Sign me up! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Even better, see that entry from Canada... the "Canadian Arrow". There's a group that haven't made or achieved a single thing, yet drive around the country with a fake rocket on the back of a flatbed and take investor's money. I heard an interview with one of them saying they were going to make $100,000 per person to fly for 16 seconds in their spacecraft. Or at least that's what they tell the investors.

    9. Re:Sign me up! by sakyamuni · · Score: 1
      Thats just a publicity stunt that a bunch of /. folks fell for hook line and sinker.

      Why are you so scornful of Armadillo's efforts? I don't have the knowledge on the subject that you appear (based you your posting history) to have, but I am impressed with what those amateurs have achieved. I'd sure like to see you elaborate on your dismissive comments, so that I may understand what it is that I "fell" for.

    10. Re:Sign me up! by grozzie2 · · Score: 1
      Why are you so scornful of Armadillo's efforts?

      It's not what they are doing that makes Armadillo a joke, it's that they represent it as a serious X-Prize attempt. there's 6 months left in the timeline for the prize, and they dont even have a design yet, never mind prototypes or flight hardware. The reason they dont have a design, is they haven't quite figured out that 'hacking' at it like they do a computer program isn't going to cut it for a project of this scale. They are tinkering like thousands of other back yard hobbiests that have been tinkering with rockets for years.

      To be a serious X-Prize contender, at this stage of the game, the engineering has to be done, and flight hardware either under construction, or fully constructed. Scaled has done a full up flight test of flight hardware. Da Vinci project has done flight tests of flight hardware engines, and should be doing full up initial flight hardware testing by August. A couple more of the projects _may_ get to the point of flight qualifying hardware this summer.

      Then there's a whole bunch of projects registered as X-Prize contenders, have spent a lot of time and effort promoting themselves as such, but have made virtually no progress in developing and testing hardware capable of actually competing for the prize. Canadian Arrow and Armadillo appear to fall into this category. The arrow folks can sure make the nice glossies, and run really good press campaigns, but, they dont seem to have a real rocket, just a mock-up, and a lot of talk.

      Ultimately, the X-Prize will be claimed by an all out engineering effort, if it's claimed at all. Engineering involves crunching a lot of numbers to validate a design numerically, then going out into the real world, and flight testing the design to validate the number crunch. That's the only way to ultimately predict peformance that's going to be of the scale required to achieve the stated X-Prize goals. 100km is a lofty enough target that tinkering by trial and error in the back yard just isn't going to reach the goal.

      Armadillo will be a serious aerospace company when they have put a vehicle over 100,000 feet. For now, they can put the 'little one' up in the air quasi controlled, but the 'big one' seems to be unstable once it's off tether. they dont seem to have even considered minor details like aerodymanics and structures yet. Even if they were the only player, and there were not teams with a realistic chance of actually accomplishing the flights this summer, you still couldn't consider Armadillo a serious contender for the prize. They may be playing with rockets, but, they are not gonna loft a manned vehicle into suborbital flight anytime soon.

    11. Re:Sign me up! by sakyamuni · · Score: 1

      OK, I see your point. Thanks for taking the time to explain.

      While Armadillo's work may not be serious engineering, Carmack's updates sure make for interesting reading for me. Too bad no other team (to my knowledge) keeps as extensive a public journal. Would be great to be a fly on the wall at Scaled. On the other hand, most of that may be over my head, so I probably ought to stick to the "tinkerer's" blog at Armadillo.

  2. I wonder when... by phaetonic · · Score: 3, Funny

    what sort of snacks could they serve once this stuff becomes mainstream

    1. Re:I wonder when... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      astronaut ice cream

    2. Re:I wonder when... by cmowire · · Score: 4, Funny

      Astronaut ice cream, of course.

      (which, incidentally, I've never heard of anybody in space actually eating. ;) )

    3. Re:I wonder when... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      in regards to your signature... doesn't FN+F7 toggle on the display if you forgot to switch it before you left?

    4. Re:I wonder when... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      *sigh* send me an email.

      Yes, Fn-F7 does, but only because I've got it configured that all Fn-F7 *ever* does is set things to LCD-only.

      It would have been nice to use the pop-up menu to select a profile, except that it would appear only on the primary screen (which usually means the CRT), which would mean I wouldn't be able to see it to navigate.

      When you consider that most of my current issues with the T30 are because somebody wrote software in the most naive way possible, you understand why I hate it.

    5. Re:I wonder when... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      astronaut ice cream..

      Come on.. everyone now... make this the most redundantest thread evar!

    6. Re:I wonder when... by DarkMantle · · Score: 1

      Rockets Candies of course. :p

      (it's the 4th item on the page)

      --
      DarkMantle I been bored, so I started a blog.
    7. Re:I wonder when... by segfault7375 · · Score: 1

      Why, Tang(tm) of course :-)

    8. Re:I wonder when... by corngrower · · Score: 1

      Do they make Tang(tm) anymore? For those unfamiliar, Sunny D tastes a lot like Tang. Tang is/was a powder that you mixed with water and was at one time marketed as the drink that astronauts drank in space.

    9. Re:I wonder when... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0


      If I'm gonna die for a word, I want that word to be poon-tang.
      </full_metal_jacket>

    10. Re:I wonder when... by NineteenSixtyNine · · Score: 0

      Don't forget the Tang!!!

      --

      --
      What would Bill Clinton do?
  3. The pilot by Timesprout · · Score: 4, Funny

    was last seen striding towards SpaceShipOne saying "Smoke Me A Kipper, I'll Be Back For Breakfast"

    --
    Do not try to read the dupe, thats impossible. Instead, only try to realize the truth
    What truth?
    There is no dupe
    1. Re:The pilot by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      the real question is this:

      does the pilot have all his medals? what about a black eye?

      smeggin' good reference though. glad there are enough red dwarf loving moderators to score ya up!

    2. Re:The pilot by UniverseIsADoughnut · · Score: 1

      I'm wondering after it crash lands and burst into flames, does the pilot got a good walk figured out for walking away from it? You know, nice pair of shades, a "I'm the man walk", maybe a nice soundtrack, and of course the all american thumbs up and smile.

    3. Re:The pilot by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Stoke me a Clipper!

    4. Re:The pilot by epexegesis · · Score: 1

      Rumours of him saying "Stoke me a Clipper, I'll be back for brunch" have been denied.

    5. Re:The pilot by Grizzlysmit · · Score: 1
      was last seen striding towards SpaceShipOne saying "Smoke Me A Kipper, I'll Be Back For Breakfast"
      Now thats weird, I thought smoking dried leaves of plants was weird enough, but FISH!!!! WEIrd.
      --
      in my life God comes first.... but Linux is pretty high after that :-D
      Francis Smit
  4. I thought for X-Prize it was pilot + 2 sandbags by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

    Or namely, if they had a pilot and two weights that approximated humans.

    1. Re:I thought for X-Prize it was pilot + 2 sandbags by cmowire · · Score: 3, Informative

      They are not even trying for an X-prize run this time around. They haven't notified the judges that they are going to make an attempt.

      Which, given that they are in the lead, I iamgine that they are going to draw things out a little bit.

      I mean, if they are confident in the design, they may fly it crewed and allow a few honored folks to ride passenger (Burt Rutan, Paul Allen, etc) for the actual prize flights.

    2. Re:I thought for X-Prize it was pilot + 2 sandbags by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      this craft is still experimental! i would guess that paul allen would not want to risk his life on this first flight.

    3. Re:I thought for X-Prize it was pilot + 2 sandbags by red+floyd · · Score: 1

      Think about it. Would you want to do a final X-Prize run without having done a few full scale test runs?

      Or to put it in computer terms... Would you do a full bore OS upgrade rollout without having run it on a test network for several weeks?

      --
      The only reason we have the rights we have is that people just like us died to gain those rights. -- Cheerio Boy
    4. Re:I thought for X-Prize it was pilot + 2 sandbags by Penguinshit · · Score: 1


      In that case, please consider me for his replacement. I can be on site within 4 hours, 3 if I ignore certain pesky traffic laws...

    5. Re:I thought for X-Prize it was pilot + 2 sandbags by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      "I thought for X-Prize it was pilot + 2 sandbags... Or a pilot and two weights that approximated humans."

      Or a typical american ;-)

    6. Re:I thought for X-Prize it was pilot + 2 sandbags by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Would you do a full bore OS upgrade rollout without having run it on a test network for several weeks?

      Well, it is Paul Allen involved.

    7. Re:I thought for X-Prize it was pilot + 2 sandbags by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, flabby white Eurotrash looks so HOT in those speedos.

  5. Is this the Paul Allen one? by Eberlin · · Score: 5, Funny

    If this is the case, I wouldn't go until about version 6. Good luck nonetheless -- as this has to be one of the coolest frontiers (private spaceflight) in space travel lately.

    1. Re:Is this the Paul Allen one? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'd suggest going on version 5.2 ... anything after that will be too bloated to go anywhere.

  6. Hrm? by Bob+McCown · · Score: 2, Funny
    How is this not a candidate for the X-Prize? From XPrize.org:

    Launches a piloted, privately-funded spaceship, capable of carrying 3 people to 100 kilometers

    Spaceship one can do that, no? Or can it only carry one person? Thought it had room for 3.

    1. Re:Hrm? by gradedcheese · · Score: 3, Informative

      they have room but this flight will be just the pilot. later thay will carry the 3 people needed for a prize attempt.

    2. Re:Hrm? by acidrain69 · · Score: 1

      I didn't read the article, but I was under the impression they actually had to launch it with those 3 people on board, not just the one pilot. And then they have to do it again 2 weeks later, or at least have it ready too. Check the xprize rules

      --
      -- Having a Creationist Museum is like having an Atheist place of worship
    3. Re:Hrm? by irokitt · · Score: 1

      The rules require it to have three people on board, or enough weight to simulate three people. It also requires two launches within a time frame of two weeks.

      --
      If my answers frighten you, stop asking scary questions.
    4. Re:Hrm? by Mr.+Bad+Example · · Score: 5, Funny

      > Launches a piloted, privately-funded spaceship, capable of carrying 3 people to 100 kilometers

      Hell, I've got a vehicle that can do that now.

      It just does it horizontally over paved surfaces. Details.

    5. Re:Hrm? by SaDan · · Score: 2, Informative

      It has the capability to carry three people, but only one (the pilot) is going on this flight.

      You have to have three people IN the thing to qualify for the X-Prize.

    6. Re:Hrm? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Spacship one is a candidate for the x-prize, but this launch is not a qualifing launch, only a test launch. I would imagine that if this goes well, they will announce that they are officially going to try to do the two required launches.

    7. Re:Hrm? by TheWizardTim · · Score: 1

      It does have room for 3 people, but to qualify for the prize it must have 3 people (or a pilot and the weight of 2 people) on board. This flight just has a pilot.

    8. Re:Hrm? by VertigoAce · · Score: 1

      They do not have to launch with three people on board. They only need to put three people in to show that they can fit comfortably. The actual flights can be done with one person and enough extra weight to simulate the other two people.

    9. Re:Hrm? by Webcommando · · Score: 1

      This probably isn't a run at the prize because either they don't plan on having the appropriate weight to represent 3 passengers or they don't plan on doing a 14 day turn around.
      This is another example of the methodical approach Scaled Composites has taken.

      --
      I love the sound of distortion in the morning -- webcommando
    10. Re:Hrm? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      For the prize, you need to carry one person, and ballast and volume for 2 more, and repeat without replacing more than 10% of the dry mass within 2 weeks. The Xprize committee needs to be notified 30 days before the first attempt.

      There was not a 30 day notifiction, and the flight will not carry the extra ballast.

      This is not a prize attempt. But the next flight probably will be.

      See rules:

      http://xprize.org/teams/guidelines.html

    11. Re:Hrm? by TrevorB · · Score: 1

      It can carry three people (one pilot, two passengers), but will only carry one pilot for this flight. This is almost certianly for safety reasons. Better one dead pilot instead of three dead astronauts.

      They'll repeat with three astronaughts, and then repeat again for the prize. Assuming none of the other teams manage to beat them first.. :)

    12. Re:Hrm? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Where did you find a dry lake bed 100Km long?

      Where did you get the JATO bottles?

    13. Re:Hrm? by Sylver+Dragon · · Score: 1

      Check rule 6 in the Rules section of the website you posted:

      6. Entrants must specify and provide the ANSARI X PRIZE Rules Committee with their take-off and landing location, and the date of their launch, not less than 30 days prior to any flight attempt.


      Scaled Composites did not register this flight as a prize attempt with the committee 30 days prior. They could have, but didn't, so, this is not a prize flight.

      --
      Necessity is the mother of invention.
      Laziness is the father.
    14. Re:Hrm? by Teancum · · Score: 1

      I have no doubt that the final qualifying flight will include passengers. But for now, they are just trying to test the equipment and make sure that the equipment works. Why endanger three people when the craft is still experimental. They are not even really trying to qualify for the X-Prize at the moment because they are going to take more than the two-week requirement before they fly Space Ship One again.

      They already had a problem when it landed where the landing gear failed, but they were able to repair that damage.

      BTW, even commercial planes like the 747 or the DC-10 had to be flown with test pilots to be "proven" to the FAA. That was well before passengers were allowed to be on board.

    15. Re:Hrm? by arikol · · Score: 0, Redundant

      RTF Rules...... ;) Have to launch with 3 ppl or the equivalent mass, have lifesupport for 3 ppl, and accommodation (i.e. 3 seats). also 2 launches must me made within 2 weeks, changing only a minimal percentage of the crafts own weight (replace maximum 10% of the crafts weight EXCLUDING fuel) thats that they havent applied for permission for flight 2 within two weeks, therefore this is probably not an attempt for the prize, just a test/validation flight, if all goes well, theyll probably set the goal for 2 consecutive launches in a month or so. (Rutans stated goal is to launch twice within TWO DAYS..... that would pretty much rule!)

    16. Re:Hrm? by Have+Blue · · Score: 1

      For the final attempt, the craft must carry enough ballast and extra life support equipment to simulate the presence of 3 people (so that 3 lives aren't risked). Also, this is still a test flight- an X-Prize winner must be shown to be reliable and reusable as well as simply reaching the target altitude. And I expect the X-prize board would want to supervise the official attempt directly.

    17. Re:Hrm? by Phurd+Phlegm · · Score: 2, Informative
      You have to have three people IN the thing to qualify for the X-Prize.
      I'm amazed at how many people seem to believe this. You do NOT need to carry three people. You need to be able to carry three people. You must carry enough weight to simulate three people. Here's an excerpt from the rules, copied from this page. The italics are mine:
      3. The flight vehicle must be flown twice within a 14-day period. Each flight must carry at least one person, to minimum altitude of 100 km (62 miles). The flight vehicle must be built with the capacity (weight and volume) to carry a minimum of 3 adults of height 188 cm (6 feet 2 inches) and weight 90 kg (198 pounds) each. Three people of this size or larger must be able to enter, occupy, and be fastened into the flight vehicle on Earth's surface prior to take-off, and equivalent ballast must be carried in-flight if the number of persons on-board during flight is less than 3 persons.
    18. Re:Hrm? by Greger47 · · Score: 1
      No, it's enough to fly with one person + ballast instead of the remaining two. The craft must still be large enough to seat three people ofcourse.

      /greger

  7. Score one for mankind by eadint · · Score: 3, Interesting

    As long as nasa is in charge of americas space program we will never get anywhere.
    now at least there is another way for americans to get into space.
    think back to the gouy that paied russia a couple mil to go into space, most of the experiments performed in space could be done by the lab rats themselves, why not charge people to go into space and make them work while there up to .
    the private industry would be quick to adopt this method, wheras the bubling morons at nasa would say noooo you cant do that.

    1. Re:Score one for mankind by SaDan · · Score: 1

      I think Burt's making a run for either the moon, or Mars.

      I wonder what the "Independant Federation of Planets of Burt" will look like?

    2. Re:Score one for mankind by Timesprout · · Score: 1

      now at least there is another way for americans to get into space.

      Actually there isnt. Whilst this is a fantastic achievement for a private endeavour, it falls well short of getting in to space proper in terms of thrust, shielding and other such party goodies.

      --
      Do not try to read the dupe, thats impossible. Instead, only try to realize the truth
      What truth?
      There is no dupe
    3. Re:Score one for mankind by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Maybe because not every moron can perform scientific experiments, even if the experiments are designed for a moron.

      Where exactly do you want to go with the manned space program? The moon? NASA did that already. Mars? OK, but are you sure you want to send morons there? Who'll man the whitehouse then?

    4. Re:Score one for mankind by 2nd+Post! · · Score: 1

      NASA is a product of our government, which is a product of voters.

      NASA's risk aversion is no worse or different than our military's risk aversion.

      Blame lack of civic duty, if anything. That means you, too.

    5. Re:Score one for mankind by Tackhead · · Score: 2, Funny
      > I wonder what the "Independant Federation of Planets of Burt" will look like?

      Something like an albatross buggering a duck, but for some reason, we'll all take a second glance and decide that it still looks like the coolest thing we've ever seen fly.

      Oh, you said Planets. Nevermind.

    6. Re:Score one for mankind by blaberski · · Score: 1

      Their are plenty of Morons in the Democratic Party.

    7. Re:Score one for mankind by edrugtrader · · Score: 0

      that is because in russia, an idividual is worthless. if a problem happens in space that the ship is designed to handle itself, then you have 2 options

      1. have extremely well trained men aboard to fix the problems.

      2. consider the mission a failure and write everything aboard off

      america will not write off a dead human. ever. even if the human chooses to write themselves off. i don't agree with that last point, but it's america... and our dicks^H^H^H^H^Hnuclear weapons are bigger than yours, so deal with it.

      --
      MARIJUANA, SHROOMS, X: ONLINE?! - E
    8. Re:Score one for mankind by Rei · · Score: 4, Interesting

      The "bubbling morons at NASA" who sent people to the moon on the back of one of these?

      With all of the money that private space launch groups have wasted with so little to show for it despite standing on the shoulders of giants, it amazes me that people can continually insult the space agencies that have overcome such incredible problems to achieve amazing feats.

      And now some people go for a joy ride on a rocket that hardly has to suffer reentry stresses (one of the biggest challenges for cheap space flight) after spending who knows how much money, and people act like it's manna from heaven.

      I'm excited to see what happens, too. I hope they make it - it will be an amazing triumph. But, honestly, all I can say is (with no disregard to Rutan himself): It's about time. What more do all of the private space companies that were granted all of that dotcom money need to get a non-orbital spaceflight in the footsteps of NASA - explicit blueprints?

      --
      You know when it's okay to shout fire in a crowded theatre? When it's on fire.
    9. Re:Score one for mankind by edrugtrader · · Score: 0

      if a problem happens in space that the ship is NOT designed to handle itself...

      --
      MARIJUANA, SHROOMS, X: ONLINE?! - E
    10. Re:Score one for mankind by Blastercorps · · Score: 1

      NASA was founded in the same spirit as this project. It's only recently that politicians (I shudder at the word) have been pulling NASA's strings. They are very much more insterested in PR and avoiding bad PR than real exploration and science. Nowadays NASA has a severely inadequate budget and STILL can't risk a single failure which would result in negative press.

    11. Re:Score one for mankind by cosmo7 · · Score: 1

      Well we all want to be able to buy tickets to Earth orbit. Just because the X-Prize is for sub-orbital flights doesn't mean we aren't much closer to orbital.

      Reasoning: think of how much money is tied up in aviation. Aviation, both commercial and military, is big business. None of that money is funding non-governmental space access because there is no track record for that kind of thing. When Rutan succeeds, the image of the space entrepreneur will be considerably less flaky and investment in private projects will increase.

    12. Re:Score one for mankind by nasor · · Score: 5, Interesting

      "The "bubbling morons at NASA" who sent people to the moon on the back of one of these? [neatherd.org]

      With all of the money that private space launch groups have wasted with so little to show for it despite standing on the shoulders of giants, it amazes me that people can continually insult the space agencies that have overcome such incredible problems to achieve amazing feats."


      Yes, NASA accomplished great things back in the 1960s, but that doesn't excuse them from the horrific behavior that they've demonstrated since then. Most Americans would be horrified if they knew how much money NASA really wastes, and how much harm it does to the commercial space industry. Don't get me wrong, I'm not anti-NASA because I'm against space exploration; quite the opposite. I dislike NASA precisely because I care about space exploration, and they've done a criminally poor job of it since the 1970s.

      Consider the space shuttle, which is an especially low point even for NASA: The shuttle was built to replace the Saturn family of launch vehicles. The Shuttle can launch about 60,000 lbs into orbit for a price of around $8,000/lb. The Saturn, on the other hand, could launch about 212,000 lbs into orbit or 100,000 lbs to the moon for a cost of only about $5,000/lb after adjusting for inflation to 2004 dollar. Yes, NASA spent a colossal amount of time and money to build a launch vehicle that was ¼ as powerful and much more expensive.

      Even today, there are commercial disposable rockets (like the newest Titan and Delta classes) that can launch virtually any commercial satellite payloads for 'only' $170 million, vs. the average $500 million cost of a shuttle launch. But why, you probably wonder, would anyone use the shuttle if such inexpensive alternatives exist? The answer is the NASA has spent years subsidizing the shuttle costs, only charging around $80 million to launch satellites for people. This has been absolutely devastating to the companies that manufacture commercial spacecraft (Boeing, Lockheed, and Orbital Sciences) since even though they have far superior products, they can't compete with a NASA that is willing to launch payloads at enormous loss. NASA has basically been using taxpayer money to kill a vital U.S. industry.

      By far the most horrific part of the whole thing is that NASA has spent years using 'science' to justify their $500 million shuttle launches. Sorry, but with a very few exceptions there aren't any science experiments conducted on the shuttle that justify that kind of expense. While things are undoubtedly learned, it's small potatoes compared to the sort of scientific research that you could conduct here on earth with a comparable amount of money. If you submitted a grant request to the National Science Foundation for $500 million to perform the sorts of experiments that they do on the shuttle, they would laugh their heads off at you.

    13. Re:Score one for mankind by Rei · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Most people think NASA spends a lot more than it actually does. So, no, they would be pleasantly surprised. Back in the 60s, they had about twice the funding, too, when you adjust for inflation.

      NASA has accomplished amazing things in the present, too. I am amazed by the stuff coming back from Cassini and the rovers. They're doing a lot more pure science nowadays than they used to be when running their (in modern dollar equivalent, multibillion) dollar moon excursions. Science is not as glitzy, but it's a good thing.

      Criminally poor? Ok, YOU design a cheaper space vehicle. How dare you call it "criminally poor"? Are you aware of how difficult of a task developing a reusable man-capable orbital launch vehicle is? Name someone else who has done it better and cheaper. How would YOU have predicted the specific problems that would occur in a spacecraft with millions of parts reentering the atmosphere? How would YOU decide which ones would be troublemakers? And lets not forget that Nixon cut the shuttle project's budget in the middle of development....

      Saturn benefitted greatly from scale; as Truax loved to point out when promoting Sea Dragon, most rockets get cheaper per kg the larger you make them, because the number of parts doesn't tend to increase, only their size.

      NASA has subsidized the shuttle because they'll lose funding if they don't. Your complaint isn't with NASA - it's with the stupid American public who wants to see a fully crewed shuttle with every mission.

      Want to look at other nation's space agencies? What do you think of the lovely Ariane? Not only has the Ariane 5 blown up on 3 out of 18 launches, the whole project had to have a big bailout and they cancelled their Hermes vehicle to carry people up. India and China are doing better thanks to cheap labor, but they're still newcomers to the field.

      So, please keep your criticisms to yourself. Unless you can point to how NASA should have known what technical problems, of the millions of possibilities, would actually occur on the shuttle beforehand, you have no ground to stand on. Likewise, if you can point to how NASA can afford the political capital to stop sending people into space with every mission and stop using the shuttle...

      --
      You know when it's okay to shout fire in a crowded theatre? When it's on fire.
    14. Re:Score one for mankind by corngrower · · Score: 1
      You'll be happy to know the Space Shuttles have been grounded for quite some time.

      You're right though, they've never been economical. The nonreusable rockets that would replace the shuttle are much less costly to launch. The original estimates for amount of rework the shuttles would need between launches was grossly underestimated. I think they originally had plans for something like 1 or 2 launches per month. After the first few launches, the mistake of basing the future of America's manned space missions on the shuttle was pretty well recognized. NASA has been trying to make the best of a very bad decision for the last 20 years.

    15. Re:Score one for mankind by nasor · · Score: 4, Interesting

      "NASA has accomplished amazing things in the present, too. I am amazed by the stuff coming back from Cassini and the rovers."

      Contrary to popular belief, the Cassini missions are run by JPL, which is a federally funded research facility that has close ties to NASA, but isn't actually a part of NASA.

      "Criminally poor? Ok, YOU design a cheaper space vehicle. How dare you call it "criminally poor"? Are you aware of how difficult of a task developing a reusable man-capable orbital launch vehicle is? Name someone else who has done it better and cheaper. How would YOU have predicted the specific problems that would occur in a spacecraft with millions of parts reentering the atmosphere?"

      I don't need to develop better launch vehicles - many aerospace corporations have already done that. There were better launch vehicles around when they built the shuttle. The availability of better launch vehicles isn't the problem; the problem is getting NASA to swallow their pride and actually use the better launch vehicles. And in answer to your other questions, there were many engineers who pointed out the egregious flaws in the shuttle all through its development process. NASA just didn't listen to them. You seem to be under the impression that no one could have anticipated the problems, that NASA has run into with the shuttle, but virtually all of them were foreseeable. Check out http://www.spacedaily.com/news/oped-03l.html for an extensive list of the shuttle flaws that NASA knew about when they approved the construction.

      "NASA has subsidized the shuttle because they'll lose funding if they don't. Your complaint isn't with NASA - it's with the stupid American public who wants to see a fully crewed shuttle with every mission."

      Actually NASA has to subsidize the shuttle because they can't afford to let the vehicle that they spend billions developing and years hyping sit around on the launch pad without being used. While it hurts NASA to spend such a huge amount on shuttle subsidies, it would hurt them even more to admit that the shuttle is such a dismal failure.

    16. Re:Score one for mankind by GileadGreene · · Score: 4, Insightful
      NASA has accomplished amazing things in the present, too. I am amazed by the stuff coming back from Cassini and the rovers.

      Which is all well and good, but has very little to do with the manned spaceflight or launch issues that the parent post was concerned with. I'll note here that MER launched on a Delta II rocket, while Cassini launched on a Titan IV - neither of which, you will notice, is the much vaunted "reusable" shuttle.

      Ok, YOU design a cheaper space vehicle. How dare you call it "criminally poor"? Are you aware of how difficult of a task developing a reusable man-capable orbital launch vehicle is? Name someone else who has done it better and cheaper.

      Why make it reusable? The Russian Space Agency still uses expendable Soyuz capsules, and has a per-launch cost significantly below anything in the West. Reusability only makes sense if you have a high enough flight rate to make it cost-effective, and the sad fact is that right now we simply don't have anywhere near those kind of flight rates for manned launches.

      How would YOU have predicted the specific problems that would occur in a spacecraft with millions of parts reentering the atmosphere? How would YOU decide which ones would be troublemakers?

      Part of the problem is that NASA did predict the specific problems, but adopted a "well it's worked so far" policy, and did not bother to address what might happen if it didn't work. Given the cost of a shuttle (not to mention the lives of the crew) it seems silly to not have at least considered the possible failure scenarios, and what might be done about them (in contrast to the Apollo 13 mishap, in which the crew was saved due to recovery procedures that had been developed in the years preceding the actual lunar landings).

      Want to look at other nation's space agencies?

      Not really. The point is not to be "better than the other guy", the point is to do things right.

      So, please keep your criticisms to yourself.

      Criticism is part of good engineering. There's a reason that things like design reviews are held. If you can't objectively evaluate a system (be it a launch vehicle, or an organization), or take the time to consider alternative approaches, you will never improve. You will also be that much more likely to kill people.

    17. Re:Score one for mankind by bcboy · · Score: 1

      Contrary to popular belief, the Cassini missions are run by JPL, which is a federally funded research facility that has close ties to NASA, but isn't actually a part of NASA.

      Excuse me? What are you talking about?

      about jpl

    18. Re:Score one for mankind by emorphien · · Score: 1

      The availability of better launch vehicles isn't the problem; the problem is getting NASA to swallow their pride and actually use the better launch vehicles.

      Sure, you going to pay to have them built for NASA? NASA could take something off the shelf, but they've called on companies to come up with designs for shuttle replacements, however we're seeing history repeat itself.

      Wonder about the quirks and flaws with the shuttle? The concept was there, but NASA was rushed, underfunded and generally in trouble with the government pushing it to hurry up. As much as people like to blame nasa and yell at them, they didn't have a whole lot of wiggle room. They still don't.

      They're the bastard organization everyone wants to do great things, but they aren't able to realistically with the money and support they have.

      --


      Presently here, but not there.
    19. Re:Score one for mankind by Rei · · Score: 3, Interesting

      > There were better launch vehicles around when they build the shuttle.

      And the shuttle was supposed to be even better cheaper. That is the goal of technological advancement, right? Unfortunately, they failed. Failure is incredibly common in the space industry; the Soviets had an even worse failure rate than us. It's even more common, by the way, in the private space industry ;) Many of them don't even get off the ground.

      Your article shows that they *should* have chosen a different engine in afterthought, but that they *could* have chosen that engine and decided not to, due to lack of experience with it. That is a perfectly logical decision. In *retrospect*, they should have gone with a different engine; not so at the time.

      One thing the author doesn't mention is that SRBs were chosen because of budget cuts in the development phase. NASA originally planned to use LOX/LH2 boosters as well, (and planned for the boosters to be reusable).

      The author does *not* state that virtually all of the problems were forseable. The author's point is about as different as you can get: that NASA should have, in retrospect, chosen LOX/Kerosene, which I'd agree with. I'll also ask you again: of the millions of potential problems in the millions of parts, how would you decide which were to cause problems and which weren't?

      > Actually NASA has to subsidize the shuttle because they can't afford to let the vehicle that they spend billions developing and years hyping sit around on the launch pad without being used

      And... how exactly would they get people into space? They would have to either take another nation's manned spacecraft, or stop the PR-gaining manned space missions. Both are political suicide. I'm sure NASA would gladly wipe their hands of it if they could. NASA has been working on replacements for quite a while ;) Unfortunately, in the goal of trying to make reusable spaceflight cheaper, the new designs have hit their *own* technological challenges. Why? Because space flight is *very difficult*.

      --
      You know when it's okay to shout fire in a crowded theatre? When it's on fire.
    20. Re:Score one for mankind by Rei · · Score: 2, Interesting

      > manned spaceflight or launch issues that the parent post was concerned with

      The parent targetted NASA in general. I responded about NASA in general.

      > Why make it reusable? The Russian Space Agency still uses expendable Soyuz capsules, and has a per-launch cost significantly below anything in the West.

      They also have labor costs a tiny fraction of what our labor costs are.

      > Reusability only makes sense if you have a high enough flight rate to make it cost effective

      Two issues are here. For one, the US has plenty of space launches, military and commercial. Secondly, once you get below a certain threshold (usually cited as between 1-2k$/kg), a host of new space opportunies open up. Now, I'll agree with you about *manned* launches - but we put people up there mostly for PR anyway.

      > Part of the problem is that NASA did predict the specific problems, but adopted a "well it's worked so far" policy

      Which problems are you referring to about this? NASA does tons of risk assessment - every single part is evaluated. The shuttle has millions of parts.

      > in contrast to the Apollo 13 mishap

      NASA had no scenarios for what happened with Apollo 13. They just did a great job of improvising.

      > The point is not to be "better than the other guy".

      Actually, when it comes to technology, it is. If "the other guy" can't manage to do it either, it points out how hard the task is.

      --
      You know when it's okay to shout fire in a crowded theatre? When it's on fire.
    21. Re:Score one for mankind by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      True. When NASA started out, it was lean and mean, staffed by eager single minded engineers who lived and died by their slide rules. These were smart guys who worked for the love of their job. Now NASA is yet another bloated government bureaucracy.

      No longer are the best and brightest hired by NASA. Now more often than not, NASA is forced to hire people based on some quota system of "preferences". NASA now employees more "sensitivity liaisons" than engineers.

      A walk through NASA headquarters is a frightening experience; one quickly realizes that engineering is the last priority in a nest of parasitical program managers and political officers. I afraid the glory days of NASA died with Wernher von Braun, NASA visionary and long time guiding star.

    22. Re:Score one for mankind by putaro · · Score: 1

      How much money have private launch groups wasted? I believe that the SpaceShip One budget is in the range of $2 million. That's with an "m". Dennis Tito paid the Russian $2 million dollars for a RIDE in a Soyuz to get to orbit. A shuttle launch (1 launch) costs between $200 million and $500 million depending on whose accounting you believe.

      DC-X (managed by the SDIO - Strategic Defence Initiation Office) ran to about $60 million and at least produced a technology demonstrator that flew (it wasn't full scale but you could at least test the concepts and get some experience with running the thing). NASA managed to get ahold of the program and 1) terminated development and then 2) broke the damn prototype.

      After NASA managed to destroy the DC-X program they substituted the X-33 VentureStar pork program. The X-33 Venturestar program cost $900 million. And never even produced a fully assembled vehicle.

      NASA does not have a manned, reusable suborbital flight system capable of carrying three people that costs less than $200 million per flight. In fact, there has never been one in the history of the world. (X-15 only carried the pilot)

      What blueprints should Rutan and others have followed? A Titan II costs $43 million to launch. And then you don't have a Titan II anymore. Hell, a Pegasus launch costs about $13 million.

      Rutan's following an amazing program - he and his team have built SOMETHING THAT FLIES! No, it doesn't go to orbit and no it doesn't do a real re-entry yet. But guess what, it FLIES! And given Rutan's track record I'm quite sure that this infrastructure that he built for SS1 is designed to support an SS2 that does more. My hat's off to him.

      In any event, the money wasted by private launch groups has been just that - private. It's didn't come from the government trough. I think you should applaud those people who have been willing to fund the dream in the face of enormous obstacles both technical and political.

    23. Re:Score one for mankind by Quantum+Jim · · Score: 1

      I'm a little skeptical of those figures for the Saturn V's payload cost per mass. How did the costs of launching the rocket go up or down over the program's lifespan? There are the costs associated with the immense pool of qualified technicians, which only increases over the years (at least compared with 1970) as the costs of living and quality of worker compensation (rightfully) increase. The trend would certainly continue as components become scarcer and harder to service. Your conjecture that the space shuttle is less effective than the Saturn V certainly seems logical and I think it might be correct; however, I am also usually skeptical of such claims.

      --
      It is impossible to enjoy idling thoroughly unless one has plenty of work to do.
      - Jerome Klapka Jerome
    24. Re:Score one for mankind by red+floyd · · Score: 1

      Dennis Tito paid the Russian $2 million dollars for a RIDE in a Soyuz to get to orbit.

      $20 Million.

      --
      The only reason we have the rights we have is that people just like us died to gain those rights. -- Cheerio Boy
    25. Re:Score one for mankind by GileadGreene · · Score: 2, Insightful
      The parent targetted NASA in general. I responded about NASA in general.

      The parent targetted launch issues - specifically the debacle known as the shuttle, and the effects of shuttle subsidies on the commercial launch market - not NASA in general.

      They also have labor costs a tiny fraction of what our labor costs are.

      I won't argue that the labor cost issue helps significantly. However, they also benefit from using a robust, flight-proven design with an extremely good record of reliability, and a variety of features that make it cheap to manufacture. Russia is able to launch manned missions for less than it costs the US to launch an unmanned, small payload Pegasus rocket. There's more to it than just labor costs.

      For one, the US has plenty of space launches, military and commercial.

      [snort] No, they don't. The US averages around 20 launches per year, total. That isn't anywhere near a flight rate sufficient to support the costs of a reusable launch vehicle, even assuming that all 20 launches would be compatible with this hypothetical RLV. Even NASA knows this, which is why when it proposed the shuttle in the first place it (a) essentially demanded that every US payload launch on shuttle, and (b) inflated the flight rate estimate generated from (a) by a factor of (IIRC) 5-10 so that shuttle might actually appear cost-effective.

      Secondly, once you get below a certain threshold (usually cited as between 1-2k$/kg), a host of new space opportunies open up.

      No argument there. But shuttle clearly doesn't meet that cost target. The launch-cost issue is a classic chicken/egg problem: costs won't go down without flight rates sufficient to amortize the expense of developing the LV, and flight rates won't go up unless costs drop. Right now the most likely road forward appears to be to start by developing a cheap expendable (for example SpaceX's Falcon) that drags costs down enough to make higher flight rates feasible (and to prove that the flight rates actually will increase). Once that happens, it should be easier to justify the development of a more expensive RLV.

      Which problems are you referring to about this?

      The ice problems that caused Columbia's demise were specifically identified in several pre-accident studies. I've also heard (from friends who work directly with some of the original designers of the shuttle) that "we knew the RCC was fragile and wouldn't sustain an impact - that's why we deliberately designed the external tank to minimize icing" (note that the tank design was later changed). The O-ring issue is a little more uncertain, but it is clear that there were strong reasons to be careful with operating the shuttle in cold weather. Regardless of the specific failure modes, the lack of (in the case of Challenger) crew ejection/evacuation capabilities, or (in the case of Columbia) facilities for tile evaluation and repair, seems like poor preparation.

      NASA had no scenarios for what happened with Apollo 13.

      That was my point - they hadn't thought of the specific failure scenario for Apollo 13, but they had spent a lot of time thinking about how to recover if things did go wrong. Contrary to what the movie showed, they didn't (for example) just make up the method for using CM CO2 scrubbers in the LEM on the spot. That was something they'd already worked out ahead, and had in a "playbook" of responses to possible crises. Don't get me wrong, the Apollo 13 team did a fantastic job getting their crew home. But they did it by improvising based on a set of pre-prepared actions. Unlike shuttle, they had options available if things went south.

      If "the other guy" can't manage to do it either, it points out how hard the task is.

      Or it shows that they're just as screwed up as we are. Or that they are all sitting around saying "well, if the US can't do it, why would we be able to?"

    26. Re:Score one for mankind by DerekLyons · · Score: 1
      Most Americans would be horrified if they knew how much money NASA really wastes, and how much harm it does to the commercial space industry.
      Every single launcher that NASA buys (including the Shuttle) was purchased from a commercial company. Boeing is commercial, so is Lockheed-Martin, so is Scaled.
      Even today, there are commercial disposable rockets (like the newest Titan and Delta classes) that can launch virtually any commercial satellite payloads for 'only' $170 million, vs. the average $500 million cost of a shuttle launch. But why, you probably wonder, would anyone use the shuttle if such inexpensive alternatives exist?
      There's no need to wonder. They don't use the Shuttle, as commercial payloads were banned in the wake of Challenger. Only a very few science probes have been launched on the Shuttle either, the vast majority of them have ridden something from the Atlas or Delta families.
    27. Re:Score one for mankind by DerekLyons · · Score: 1
      The availability of better launch vehicles isn't the problem; the problem is getting NASA to swallow their pride and actually use the better launch vehicles.
      Huh? I think you check what boosters NASA has launched probes on over the last two decades. You'll find far more usage of conventional boosters than the Shuttle.
    28. Re:Score one for mankind by DerekLyons · · Score: 1
      Why make it reusable? The Russian Space Agency still uses expendable Soyuz capsules, and has a per-launch cost significantly below anything in the West.
      Actually, we don't know what a Soyuz launch costs, only what they charge for a single seat. Given that the payments are made to them in something they are desperate for - hard cash - it's likely that the price has little relation to cost.

      Additionally, the manufacturers of Soyuz didn't pay for design, development, or infrastructure. They pay nearly third world wages. And they don't have stockholders or investors to answer to. The low price of a Soyuz seat or launch is a historical accident resulting from the confluence of multiple factors, not something that the West is certain to reach just by working FBC.

      Lastly; for that low price you also get low performance. My wife's 1998 Escort has a higher cargo capacity. The Soyuz capsule, unsupported, has an on-orbit life of around 96 hours, no more. (It only lasts docked to a space station for hundreds of days because it's completely shut down.)

      (And parenthetically, the Soyuz is no safer than, and somewhat less reliable than, the Shuttle.)

      Part of the problem is that NASA did predict the specific problems, but adopted a "well it's worked so far" policy, and did not bother to address what might happen if it didn't work.
      Oddly enough, they did that plenty of times in Apollo as well.

      Notably continuing to the Moon with a faulty docking system (Apollo 14) and proceeding with a landing despite a possible failed SPS (Apollo 15). In Apollo 15's case, the flight rules called for the use of the LM to break the CSM out of orbit and to return to Earth rather than risking being stranded in Lunar orbit. Based on a hunch, the proceeded with the landing anyhow and got lucky.

      The seeds of NASA's "this has always worked" were sowed long before the Shuttle was anything more than a collection of artist's conceptions.

      (in contrast to the Apollo 13 mishap, in which the crew was saved due to recovery procedures that had been developed in the years preceding the actual lunar landings).
      Um, no. They tried a couple of things in simulators and a couple of things on the flight of Apollo 8. These things were written up in research papers and filed. Happily the right people had read the papers, but there were no 'rescue procedures', just a few (very rough) guidelines and 'what if' papers.
    29. Re:Score one for mankind by GileadGreene · · Score: 1
      Given that the payments are made to them in something they are desperate for - hard cash - it's likely that the price has little relation to cost.

      Given that continually selling something for significantly less than it costs you to rpoduce it is a recipe for rapid bankruptcy it's likely that there is some relationship between price and cost. Otherwise they'd probably already be out of business.

      Additionally, the manufacturers of Soyuz didn't pay for design, development, or infrastructure.

      Neither did the manufacturers of the shuttle. Or pretty much any other American launch vehicle for that matter, since most of them were developed for government use under government contract. And besides,it's not like shuttle launch costs are actually being used to recoup the costs of shuttle R&D.

      They pay nearly third world wages. And they don't have stockholders or investors to answer to.

      Ditto NASA. So what's your point?

      The low price of a Soyuz seat or launch is a historical accident resulting from the confluence of multiple factors, not something that the West is certain to reach just by working FBC.

      Who said anything about FBC? My point was that (and there have been many studies to back this up) for the current flight rates experienced by the US a reusable launch vehicle is not cost-effective. Perhaps the Soyuz/Shuttle comparison wasn't the best one to make, given the large number of other factors involved. But the fact remains that RLVs make no economic sense at the present flight rates, no matter how much I wish that weren't the case. It remains to be seen whether low-cost expendables, or incremental development of reusable (ala X-Prize), is the best way to raise the demand for flights.

      Lastly; for that low price you also get low performance. My wife's 1998 Escort has a higher cargo capacity.

      Presumably your wife's Escort doesn't go into orbit. Regardless, why would you need large cargo capacity on a manned vehicle. Launch the big stuff on unmanned vehicles, and send the astronauts up on something else.

      Happily the right people had read the papers, but there were no 'rescue procedures', just a few (very rough) guidelines and 'what if' papers.

      My point was that, although they didn't have a specific plan that said "in the event that a short causes one of the tanks to explosively vent and blow the side off the spacecraft, do X", they had at least thought through the possible responses to potentially catastrophic events, and developed concepts (such as the "LEM as Lifeboat" idea) for recovering the crew. Unlike the shuttle situation, in which they were apparently completely unprepared to deal with damage to the TPS (which you had to figure was going to happen sooner or later).

    30. Re:Score one for mankind by GileadGreene · · Score: 1

      Not to mention the fact that NASA's Orbital Space Plan program, and now the CEV program, are slated to use man-rated versions of the nominally commercial Delta IV and Atlas V expendable launch vehicles (I say "nominally" because both LVs, although offered for commercial launches, were developed under the DOD's EELV program and thus paid for by the government).

    31. Re:Score one for mankind by johannesg · · Score: 1
      Are you aware of how difficult of a task developing a reusable man-capable orbital launch vehicle is?

      I'm sure that given the criteria for designing "a space shuttle" they have developed an excellent space shuttle. The problem is that those design criteria were poor. A large, reuseable shuttle is just not something anyone needs: it carries all that stuff for getting back safely and landing, wasting precious kilograms that could have been used to haul more freight into orbit (which _is_ useful). What we need is the capacity to launch large loads that do not come back (like space stations, Mars vehicles, etc.). What we also need is the capacity to return humans safely to Earth. The shuttle is neither of these.

      Don't get me wrong, it is a cool piece of hardware, but it is not the right solution for any problem we have at this time. Its exorbitant launch cost and 1 in 50 failure rate will ensure it remains that way.

      Not only has the Ariane 5 blown up on 3 out of 18 launches, the whole project had to have a big bailout and they cancelled their Hermes vehicle to carry people up.

      The bailout means nothing. The launch market has virtually collapsed in the last years. There are no large launchers surviving without government support anywhere in the world (and don't for a moment kid yourself to think that toy launchers like for the X-prize can compete with them). As for Hermes - thankfully Europe realized in time that like the shuttle it is a solution that has no associated problem. Future European astronauts will be flying in capsules.

    32. Re:Score one for mankind by smurf975 · · Score: 1
      They also have labor costs a tiny fraction of what our labor costs are.

      I don't think that in the (very) high tech industry labor costs are the problem. If it were then the sjovet union would not have gone bankrupt while trying to keep up with the US.
      That was my point - they hadn't thought of the specific failure scenario for Apollo 13, but they had spent a lot of time thinking about how to recover if things did go wrong. Contrary to what the movie showed, they didn't (for example) just make up the method for using CM CO2 scrubbers in the LEM on the spot. That was something they'd already worked out ahead, and had in a "playbook" of responses to possible crises. Don't get me wrong, the Apollo 13 team did a fantastic job getting their crew home. But they did it by improvising based on a set of pre-prepared actions. Unlike shuttle, they had options available if things went south.

      I don't think you are comparing the same things. If the Apollo rocket blew up when launching there is not much that the playbook could have done.

      If the Shuttle had an impact with space debris while in orbit or if live support failed, I'm sure nasa would have a similair playbook.
      --
      -- I don't buy it, I grow it.
    33. Re:Score one for mankind by GileadGreene · · Score: 1
      I don't think you are comparing the same things. If the Apollo rocket blew up when launching there is not much that the playbook could have done.

      The Apollo rockets had a small auxiliary rocket, known as the escape tower, attached to the top of the crew module. This rocket could be fired to pul the crew clear of a damaged launch vehicle. True, in the event of an instantaneous explosion it might not do much good. But for a case like Challenger where it was a smaller explosion followed by rapid disintegration it might have done so good. Failing that, perhaps the ejection seats that they carried in the first few shuttle launches may have helped (please note that I haven't studied this in depth, so I don't know for sure).

      If the Shuttle had an impact with space debris while in orbit or if live support failed, I'm sure nasa would have a similair playbook.

      I'm not so sure. The effects of the ice impact that resulted in the destruction of Columbia were functionally identical to an orbit debris impact (in fact, one of the early theories was that the cause was a debris impact). I didn't see NASA exercising any part of its "playbook". In fact, they don't even bother to check for damage caused by debris (or ice for that matter) before reentering. So having a "playbook" wouldn't matter, because the astronauts have no way to know that they need to use it. Thankfully, it sounds like this is changing in the wake of Columbia. It's just a shame that they didn't bother to take these precautions earlier.

    34. Re:Score one for mankind by grozzie2 · · Score: 1
      The "bubbling morons at NASA" who sent people to the moon on the back of one of these?

      Those are the folks that gave NASA the credibility it has. They were hard working, energetic, engineers with a vision. For the most part today they are

      a) retired
      b) dead

      They have for the most part been replaced by a couple generations of beaurocrats whos mandate is

      a) Preserve government funding
      b) Avoid bad publicity
      c) Generate good publicity
      d) Do space missions

      The real problem as seen by most beaurocrats at nasa today is simple. Items b and d are mutually inclusive. Cant do one without the other. the solution they have today is most elegant. Instead of doing real space missions, they talk about them, and that seems to (for now) be preserving the funding, and it's definitely not generating the bad pr they get when they blow up a vehicle. In the longer term, this is getting problematic tho, there are committments to meet with regards to the space station, and they cant meet those commitments without actually launching shuttles again.

      There is relief on the horizon tho. If you take a close look at the program at Scaled, they are 'on the way'. Rumor has it that Paul Allen has funded the SS1 program to the tune of 35 million. This type of rumor often stems from some detail of fact leaked out somewhere along the line, and it's a pretty reasonable bet that the number is 'at least close to reality'. For that amount of money, Scaled has designed, built, and test flown a prototype vehicle that can meet the X-Prize requirements. A lot of folks on /. tend to say 'sub orbital is only 10% of the orbital problem'. While this is definitely an exageration of the truth, sub-orbital is indeed more than 10% of the problem, lets assume for a moment that it is only 10%. Nasa spends 500 million to do a single launch that'll carry 7 warm bodies to the station and back. Since they haven't been launching for a couple years, there _should_ be a couple billion unspent in the kitty (we all know, this isn't the case, they spend it if they launch the things or not). If they took the savings from just one of those 'non launches', and contracted to Scaled, that's an amount of money that's more than 10 times what was spent to get to sub-orbital. For that kind of money, Scaled will be able to design, build, and fly a vehicle that can achieve the orbital results, and, if the spec says 'dock with the ISS', then I'm sure it'll be capable of that.

      The Scaled Composites vehicle is a runway to runway design, does not require a standing army of thousands of technicians to launch, uses facilities that are pretty common around north america (big long strips of pavement called runways). It would be just to logical to take the half billion dollars used up on a single shuttle launch, give it to Rutan and crowd, along with a spec that says 'make me a vehicle that can take 4 people to/from the ISS, is reuseable, and can be launched weekly from Kennedy Space Center for less than a million dollars a launch'. The real problem with this concept is, Scaled would deliver, and then Nasa would no longer be able to preserve the billions of budget spent on shuttles. That would blow out item a) on the priorities list above.

      Nasa today resembles the Nasa of the 60's only insomuch as it has the same name, the pictures of past achievements are on the wall, and they have memorials and momentos from the moon program. If you want to see the innovative engineering spirit that put men on the moon, you gotta head out to the mojave desert on monday, and watch the boys from Scaled Composites attempt to make thier mark in space.

      If Nasa is truely about developing space, then the best investment they could possibly make, head over to the Mojave on monday, bring along a certified cheque for 250,000,000 dollars, and a specification document that says 'Deliver within 3 years a vehicle that can carry 4 persons and dock with the ISS, returning to earth within a few days,

    35. Re:Score one for mankind by drunkenbatman · · Score: 1

      I dunno about that. I would agree with the statement that until NASA has a serious mandate for what it is supposed to actually be doing, and how, little of the genius that is there is able to be put to focused use.

  8. Fun ride by planckscale · · Score: 0
    I wonder what kind of G's the pilot will experience? Woo hoo

    --
    Namaste
    1. Re:Fun ride by Mr.+Bad+Example · · Score: 2, Funny

      > I wonder what kind of G's the pilot will experience?

      With any luck, not these.

    2. Re:Fun ride by cmowire · · Score: 3, Informative

      Last time he hit 3.5Gs. I doubt that they will want it to go too much more than that operationally, because it's not good for the pilot.

    3. Re:Fun ride by The+One+and+Only · · Score: 1

      3.5 G's is a rather moderate number for a fighter pilot. It's not like it's at the upper reaches of human endurance. Yes, you need a G suit because at 4 G's unsuited you start to go into blackout territory, but it's certainly not any real problem for an astronaut.

      --
      In Repressive Burma, it's not just your connection that dies. slashdot.org/comments.pl?sid=314547&cid=20819199
    4. Re:Fun ride by smashin234 · · Score: 1

      its 3G's in a shuttle launch which may explain why astronauts train under G forces like that for awhile.

    5. Re:Fun ride by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Holy shit man, I first read the subject as 'furry pride'.

      Need to sleep.

    6. Re:Fun ride by RedWizzard · · Score: 1

      Rollercoasters regularly hit 6G's or more without people suffering blackouts. Prolonged 6G force could cause a blackout but people can handle transient G forces much higher. John Stapp (biography exposed himself to as much as 45G without permanent injury (though the 45G experiment did cause him to black out).

    7. Re:Fun ride by DJdeli · · Score: 1

      Race car drivers are known to walk away after experiencing much greater G-forces, although with some broken bones. 190mph to an instant stop in the blink of an eye, it doesn't get tougher than that.

    8. Re:Fun ride by rv8 · · Score: 2, Informative

      In an aircraft, excessive g forces cause blackout because the eye and brain need a certain minimum blood pressure to function. The heart creates the blood pressure, and the pressure at the eye and brain is lower (assuming they are higher than the heart). If you pull some g in an aircraft, the blood pressure at the eye and brain decreases. The eye is more sensitive to low blood pressure than the brain, so if you slowly increase the g, you start to get lose colour vision, get tunnel vision, and then lose vision completely, but you are still conscious. Pull more g and you loss consciousness.

      An untrained, fit individual will probably loss consciousness somewhere between 3 and 5 g, if the g is sustained for more than a few seconds. Military pilots and aerobatic pilots are taught ways to temporarily increase the blood pressure by straining the leg and abdomen muscles, and "grunting" against a closed glottis. Modern fighter aircraft are designed to manoeuvre at up to about 9g (exact limits vary with different aircraft types). They are fitted with g-suits which fit tightly around the pilot's legs and abdomen. The suit inflates as a function of the g-level, and it helps keep the blood from pooling in the legs and abdomen, and thus helps keep the blood pressure up. But, older fighters, many military trainers and aerobatic aircraft, don't have g-suits. A properly trained and fit pilot can do sustained manoeuvring at more than 7 g. I did a structural loads flight test program on the Canadair CT-114 Tutor many years ago which involved quite a few test points at the aircraft's limit of 7.33g, without a g-suit.

      The g level that can be sustained depends on fitness and training, but also on the axis of the acceleration. For example, if the aircraft accelerates forward, the axis of acceleration is such that it has no effect on the blood pressure in the head, as the acceleration is on an axis at 90 degrees to a line drawn from the heart to the head. So, 3.5 g during the ascent of SpaceShipOne would be of no consequence at all.

      If you have some fluid in a vessel, the pressure varies with the vertical location due to the head pressure from gravity (or acceleration). I.e. the pressure is highest at the bottom of the container, and lowest at the top.

      --
      Kevin Horton
    9. Re:Fun ride by Long-EZ · · Score: 1
      It's about 3g. And yes, a 3g rocket into space will be a very fun ride. There is a serious market for space tourism here. Two people have already paid $20,000,000 for Russian orbital rides. The SS1 can do the suborbital ride for $5,000 to $10,000 once it's operating on a regular basis.

      One of the simple but clever aspects of this design (typical of Burt Rutan) is that the White Knight lifts SpaceShipOne to 50,000 feet, up above most of the atmosphere. Then SS1 is dropped and the rocket is ignited. The climb goes to mach 3 before coasting into space, but in the sparse upper atmosphere the dynamic pressure (force on the structure due to punching through air) is less than flying in a Long-EZ, or at least that's what Burt said very early in the project, after the early design was worked out. Mach 3 without the need for a heavy structure to handle high Q loads. Smart.

      Note that, despite many wonderful and inspirational accomplishments, NASA is not known for "simple but clever" designs. The privatization of space marks a significant change, and is the start of the true development of space. Despite the naysaying of many self appointed Slashdot "experts", there are many aspects of the Scaled Composites design that CAN be scaled up and used for other profitable missions. And there is no shortage of intelligence or perseverance at Scaled to solve the other challenges that lie ahead in future missions. I hope to see an orbital craft from Scaled Composites some year. Yes, there's a lot more to be done to reach that goal, but they're just the guys to do it.

      --
      >> My ultraviolent Linux switch video.
  9. It's for a different award altogether by bennomatic · · Score: 3, Funny
    > How is this not a candidate for the X-Prize?

    Because it's a candidate for the Darwin Awards instead.

    Really. I mean, I think I've got a good set of cojones, but this is over the top...

    --
    The CB App. What's your 20?
    1. Re:It's for a different award altogether by susano_otter · · Score: 1

      Seriously, how is this over the top, Darwin-wise?

      --

      Any sufficiently well-organized community is indistinguishable from Government.

  10. I'll be there by Thagg · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I loved the fact that the Scaled Composite site says that "especially kids" are welcome, they want to introduce the next generation to private space flight. I'm taking my 14 year old daughter and two of her friends.

    We're currently planning on camping at the Tehachapi glider park Sunday night, then driving to Mojave at 4:00 Monday morning. We'll see if that works -- there is so much publicity here and at other sites that it may be insanely crowded.

    I've been a fan of Rutan since the '79 Popular Science cover of the VariEze, and I've got a copy of the plans for his LongEZ (too big a job for me to complete, though...) I have been looking forward to this event for a long time, I can't wait!

    Thad

    --
    I love Mondays. On a Monday, anything is possible.
    1. Re:I'll be there by cmowire · · Score: 1

      I, too, will be there.

      We're driving there after dinner from Ventura because we figure that the line is going to be starting before 3:00 AM. ;)

    2. Re:I'll be there by Viceroy · · Score: 1

      I'll be there as well.....but that's cause I'm a Scaled Composites employee. ;)

      And for those that have wondered, as far as I know, Mike Melvill will be the pilot, Burt's long time friend from the Voyager days and the same that flew the last flight.

    3. Re:I'll be there by Random+User+Name · · Score: 1

      I thought longEZ's were all kit based? Are there really a set of plans that show you how to make the kit parts yourself?

    4. Re:I'll be there by Long-EZ · · Score: 1
      None of Burt Rutan's designs are kits. They all involve a big book of plans. The builder buys foam, fiberglass and epoxy. Typical build time is 1500-4000 hours. It's a big project, but very rewarding.

      The Berkut was an excellent carbon fiber kit plane based on the very successful Long-EZ design. Unfortunately, Berkut kits are no longer offered for sale. There are several versions of the four place Velocity kit planes for sale, and they're something of a Long-EZ derivative too. The Cozy IV is another four place derivative, and plans are still for sale.

      --
      >> My ultraviolent Linux switch video.
  11. Space Tourism by vijaya_chandra · · Score: 1

    Q: Who is invited? A: Everyone, especially children. They will want to tell their children that they were there to see the event that triggered the industry of private space tourism.

    That'd be cool



    In Soviet India space ships launch you

    1. Re:Space Tourism by prockcore · · Score: 1

      They will want to tell their children that they were there to see the event that triggered the industry of private space tourism.

      More like see the explosion that triggered congressional restrictions on future attempts.

    2. Re:Space Tourism by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      To put restrictions after an explosion would be incredibly shortsighted - not an uncommon policy for moronic politicians, sadly. Humankind will remain the way she is as long as we let politicians, morons and large corporations control things.

  12. Don't get your hopes up too far. by techno-vampire · · Score: 4, Insightful
    As I understand it, this ship can't make orbit, couldn't come back from one if it did, and has no clear path to an orbital vehicle. It's designed to win the prize and nothing else. Not that it's not an important milestone, mind you, but it's just a dead-end.

    The real import of this is that people are trying to get to space without the government getting in their way, and willing to risk failure. They're doing things themselves instead of sitting on their hands waiting for somebody else to do something. It's this pioneering attitude that will take us into space to stay, not the NASA mindset of "risk nothing, even if it means nothing gets done."

    --
    Good, inexpensive web hosting
  13. X-Day by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Clearly, this is just the first test before X-Day (July 5th, 7 am). X-Prize, X-Day... pretty obvious.

    "Build your own ship!" - Rev. Ivan Stang

  14. I love it by TheAdventurer · · Score: 4, Insightful

    It is great to see private individuals reach for achievements such as this. I hope it goes well for them. Personally, I find the private space race to be quite compelling and inspiring. It is a testament to ingenuity and individualism (i.e. we don't need a big collective or nebulous government agency to achieve somethign great. Rather, just the vision of an intelligent individual and his or her ability to organize and lead a talented team).

    1. Re:I love it by Fnkmaster · · Score: 1

      ... and raise or supply himself a whole buttload of cash. Never underestimate the importance of the money.

  15. I already know! by Gldm · · Score: 1
    --

    Introducing the new Occam Fusion! Now with sqrt(-1) fewer blades!

  16. SpaceDev, the engine designer will reuse the tech by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

    The technology used in this launch is going to be reused by SpaceDev to put satellites up for only $5 million a piece. This illustrates the direct effect of the X-prize.

    Currently, satellite launches can cost in the hundreds of millions.

    Now if only their were more prizes.

  17. Re:Don't get your hopes up too far. by mangu · · Score: 1
    As I understand it, this ship can't make orbit, couldn't come back from one if it did, and has no clear path to an orbital vehicle.


    So was the German V2. Yet, it was a V2 (renamed to "Redstone"), plus a lot of small solid-fuel rockets, that put the first American satellite in orbit.

  18. Planet Express by deathcloset · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I wonder; what kind of approval do you need in order to fly into space? Is there some governmental green light?

    I ask because it seems to me that a private, reusable, unmanned delivery spacecraft could be a valuable commodity in certain instances. It could certainly get to space and back much faster than something requiring full-fledged life support.

    Let's take delivery of donor organs. Correct me if I'm wrong (I'm used to it), certain organs must be transplanted very soon after the host dies. So if someone in Japan needs said organ and someone in New York is killed in a motorcycle accident, a private company could ultra-priority ship this organ overseas via a 90 minute sub-orbital flight.

    Or would such a market just be too niche to be viable?

    What other kinds of things would someone be willing to pay any price (exorbitant to be sure) to get something somewhere ASAsoP (As Soon As Sub-Orbitally Possible)?

    1. Re:Planet Express by cmowire · · Score: 1

      You need a *lot* of approvals to operate even experimentally in space. Rutan has been going on in public about how this is only a prototype and there's no way in hell he's going to be able to do it commercially because the differences in regulation.

      The problem is that the past experience with boosters is ~95% reliability, which means that every 20th rocket blows up, usually catastrophically. So folks aren't going to be comfortable until we've got more of an airliner-like reliability going.

      The whole sub-orbital space industry is wanting to be able to do things like that, however. The only difference between ASAsoP and a joyride weather there's organs or people in the back seat.

    2. Re:Planet Express by James+Turpin · · Score: 1

      The regulations are still somewhat dynamic, and are being ironed out between the government regulating agencies and the private entrepeneurs.

      --
      Mathematics is not a crime.
    3. Re:Planet Express by spurious+cowherd · · Score: 4, Informative

      http://ast.faa.gov/aboutast/701complete.htm

      more detailed PDFs also at

      http://ast.faa.gov/lrra/stats_notices.htm

      --

      Time flies like an arrow, fruit flies like a banana.

    4. Re:Planet Express by kfg · · Score: 1

      I wonder; what kind of approval do you need in order to fly into space? Is there some governmental green light?

      Yes, you need approval from the Commercial Space Transportation division of the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA/CST).

      In the colloquial, you need to call the tower for clearance.

      KFG

    5. Re:Planet Express by Smack · · Score: 1

      Heck if there's a market, I would think you'd just go to a friendly local country. How about Mexico?

    6. Re:Planet Express by redphive · · Score: 1

      I think the problem would be getting the low orbit organ express to the location of the donor. Unless you mean to have ground crews in every city with the ability to turn around the rocket in a matter of minutes.

    7. Re:Planet Express by smithmc · · Score: 1

      Let's take delivery of donor organs. Correct me if I'm wrong (I'm used to it), certain organs must be transplanted very soon after the host dies. So if someone in Japan needs said organ and someone in New York is killed in a motorcycle accident, a private company could ultra-priority ship this organ overseas via a 90 minute sub-orbital flight.

      Wouldn't a soft squishy organ be damaged by the g-loads encountered in such a flight?

      --
      Downmodding is the refuge of the weak. Don't downmod, make a better argument!
    8. Re:Planet Express by kiwaiti · · Score: 1
      Wouldn't a soft squishy organ be damaged by the g-loads encountered in such a flight?

      Shouldn't think so, if you, like, fill up it's container with water or blood serum.

      Kiwaiti

      --
      Member of the Legion Of Microsoft Haters
    9. Re:Planet Express by kiwaiti · · Score: 1
      Whoops, it's "its", not "it's". English was not among my first three languages.

      Kiwaiti

      --
      Member of the Legion Of Microsoft Haters
  19. Re:Don't get your hopes up too far. by Hays · · Score: 2, Interesting

    just because it doesn't reach orbit doesn't mean there's no value to it.

    There's a whole lot of space science that happens in the altitude range that spaceship one will reach.

    http://www.wff.nasa.gov/pages/soundingrockets.ht ml

  20. Re:Don't get your hopes up too far. by Gldm · · Score: 1

    It's important as Proof It Can Be Done. Even though this vehicle has no clear path to an orbital version, it'll be much easier for any proposal for a bigger, more powerful, more practical vehicle to get sponsorship or funding from commercial interests. Before X-prize ships started doing test flights, most companies would think you'd be crazy offering them service to space for payloads, but I bet a successful 100km flight will change alot of minds and open them to the possibility.

    --

    Introducing the new Occam Fusion! Now with sqrt(-1) fewer blades!

  21. Re:Don't get your hopes up too far. by noahbagels · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Dude - this is a pretty darn lame comment.

    Do you ever watch the discovery channel? Ever heard of the X-Planes? There were what, 15+ of them, and none of them could carry 3 people nor carry out a useful 'mission'. It's called research.

    The X-Prize is not about building a hypersonic airliner, nor about going to the moon. It's a prize that at this appropriate time in man-machine innovation encouraged some awesome engineers and pioneers to break the old mold of waiting for the government to 'do the big things'.

    Don't know about you, but I think 3 minutes of weightlessness in a super-efficient aircraft making sub-orbital flight, done by private individuals is not dead-end. The first (few) that accomplish this feat will likely prove to NASA and the ESA that single gigantic booster rockets are neither efficient nor as re-usable as we were all lead to believe.

    Rock on Scaled Composits!

  22. If you thought the airline food was bad... by Wild+Bill+TX · · Score: 1

    ...just wait until you take a bite of the food designed for consumption in zero-gravity!

  23. Re:Don't get your hopes up too far. by TrevorB · · Score: 2, Insightful

    It's designed to win the prize and nothing else. Not that it's not an important milestone, mind you, but it's just a dead-end.

    I agree with your first statement, but not your second. Just because a specific vehicle isn't designed to go into orbit, doesn't mean it's a dead end. Firstly, they're planning on sub-orbital flights, mostly for tourism. Secondly, the technologies used may be scalable to a larger, orbital model. Think of a smaller, design prototype. You have to demonstrate the smaller model works before you can scale up.

    The designs and business practices of ALL the X-Prize contestants will be monitored closely. Which designs work, which don't? Which are more expensive? More reliable. That's the whole point about the X-Prize, to get people (engineers, businessmen, and the public in general) thinking about spaceflight for the common man.

    So I would argue that SpaceShipOne is not a dead end in the sense that it is a requirement for a scaled up, orbital "SpaceShipTwo".

  24. Mojave Airport was just declared a spaceport by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If only I could get together $100,000...

  25. Re:Don't get your hopes up too far. by techno-vampire · · Score: 1

    The main problem, I gather, is that the fuel used just doesn't have the delta-V needed. Another poster mentions using the technology to put up satilites, but unless my very well informed source Jerry Pournelle is wrong, that's not going to happen.

    --
    Good, inexpensive web hosting
  26. 3 persons!! by vijaya_chandra · · Score: 0, Troll

    The X-Prize what? mentions
    Privately finances, builds & launches a spaceship, able to carry three people to 100 kilometers (62.5 miles)

    How come they don't explicitly specify any weight?!?

    Not that the participants would like to cheat, but one can send 10 persons like me in spaceshipOne

    In Soviet India space ships launch you

    1. Re:3 persons!! by mangu · · Score: 1
      Not that the participants would like to cheat


      I wouldn't bet on that...


      one can send 10 persons like me in spaceshipOne


      If they are right-to-lifers, they can send a billion fertilized ova.

    2. Re:3 persons!! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      How come they don't explicitly specify any weight?!?

      They do, if you bothered to read the rules.


      The X-Prize requires you to carry three 200-pound people up to 100 kilometers and return them to earth safely

    3. Re:3 persons!! by Sylver+Dragon · · Score: 1

      Yes, it is specified:
      From the X-Prize Site, rules:

      3. The flight vehicle must be flown twice within a 14-day period. Each flight must carry at least one person, to minimum altitude of 100 km (62 miles). The flight vehicle must be built with the capacity (weight and volume) to carry a minimum of 3 adults of height 188 cm (6 feet 2 inches) and weight 90 kg (198 pounds) each. Three people of this size or larger must be able to enter, occupy, and be fastened into the flight vehicle on Earth's surface prior to take-off, and equivalent ballast must be carried in-flight if the number of persons on-board during flight is less than 3 persons.

      --
      Necessity is the mother of invention.
      Laziness is the father.
  27. And in this corner... by EssTiDee · · Score: 0

    I assume that there's a few CO's of VALVe software working for this team, to compete with Jon Carmack's team...

    So they both say they'll be launching these *ahem* projects next week? the week after? Mebbe they should spend less time building model rockets, and write some software? Doom3? HL2? we're waiting.....

  28. this just in... by hellmarch · · Score: 0

    John Glenn to pilot space ship one. what a great day for old people everywhere.

    Make $5250 Guaranteed!!! All you need is a PayPal account and $25. We'll do the rest. Click here to find out how.

  29. Re:Don't get your hopes up too far. by techno-vampire · · Score: 1

    I never said it has no value, only that its value is limited. Expecting more from it than is possible is just setting yourself up to be dissapointed. Celebrate the achievement for what it is, as I will, but be realistic. Not only is it usefull for high altitude research, it may well inspire somebody to build a ship that can reach orbit. If so, it will have justified itself 100 times.

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    Good, inexpensive web hosting
  30. Re:Don't get your hopes up too far. by TrevorB · · Score: 4, Interesting

    More susinctly: SpaceShipOne is as much of a dead end as Mercury-Redstone was.

  31. Let me bounce this off you.... by corngrower · · Score: 4, Funny

    Did anyone else read the article about the type of
    rocket fuel that Space Ship One uses? It's a solid fueled rocket with a gas oxidizer. I'm sure you'll get a laugh out of it.
    Here's the link

  32. Re:Don't get your hopes up too far. by ndogg · · Score: 1

    It's this pioneering attitude that will take us into space to stay, not the NASA mindset of "risk nothing, even if it means nothing gets done."

    That's a little ironic when considering that the reason the US beat the Soviets to putting humans on the moon was precisely because the Soviet's line of thinking was exactly that, and NASA had cut a lot of corners to get there.

    --
    // file: mice.h
    #include "frickin_lasers.h"
  33. Me too! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I doubt it will be much of a show, but I just want to be there for a piece of history.

    I reserved a room in Mojave within an hour of the announcement, and we're riding the motorcycle up from the San Diego area ... it's our secret anti-traffic weapon. ;-)

  34. On TV Live? by TrevorB · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Does anyone know if this will be aired live? CNN? BBC News? Local Cable Access 4?

    How about streamed on the net?

    1. Re:On TV Live? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

      On CNN

    2. Re:On TV Live? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

      MSNBC are planning on providing streaming TV over the net. You'll need windows media player 9, I think. You can find the link buried about halfway down this article:

      http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/5236958/

  35. Re:Don't get your hopes up too far. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Replace SS1 with a Pegasus-like launcher, presto- you've got a (small) LEO launcher.

    Go check out the scaled.com page, specifically here:
    http://scaled.com/projects/tierone/info.htm

    note the info about the WK carrier:
    http://scaled.com/projects/tierone/data_ sheets/PDF /Lithograph%20-%20White%20Knight%20p2.pdf

    I quote:
    "Other White Knight mission capabilites include reconnaissance, surveillance, atmospheric research, data relay, telecommunications, imaging & booster launch for micro-satellites."

    Re-read those last four words...

  36. yawn-inducing conventional engine by bani · · Score: 4, Informative

    ...there is nothing radical or unusual about their engine. it is tried and tested technology. fwiw so is just about everything else about their vehicle. they're just the first to put it all together in one package and actually do it.

    1. Re:yawn-inducing conventional engine by corngrower · · Score: 3, Funny
      So you've looked at the article and know its not the powdered aluminum and amonium perchlorate used in the SRBs for the shuttle. You seem to be a bit sleepy, maybe a whiff of that rocket fuel will make you feel better.

      Well its off to the dentist. Then I'll be stopping by the local junkyard to pick up some old tires. Gonna build me a rocket.....

    2. Re:yawn-inducing conventional engine by twostar · · Score: 1

      Hybrid rockets are not new. They are however seeing a renewed interest in them from hobbiest since the BATF started regulating APCP alot more.

      Xprize teams, and other similar projects, are interested in hybrids for their power and controlability. APCP is bad for manned vehicles because there is no way to turn it off once started. Liquid rockets are expensive to design, build and maintain. Hybrids have alot of the pure power that APCP has while being able to be throttled and even turned off.

    3. Re:yawn-inducing conventional engine by red+floyd · · Score: 1

      OK, from now on tags will be required for the humor impaired.

      The I'm sure you'll get a laugh out of it. comment referred to the fact that it uses Nitrous Oxide aka Laughing Gas as the oxidizer.

      --
      The only reason we have the rights we have is that people just like us died to gain those rights. -- Cheerio Boy
  37. Re:This shows that not all Microsofties are evil by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Offtopic, perhaps, if Microsoft co-founder Paul Allen wasn't a financial backer of Scaled Composites. Check out http://www.technewsworld.com/story/34205.html

    But since I'm an A.C. with no Karma to burn it doesn't really matter.

  38. Re:Don't get your hopes up too far. by techno-vampire · · Score: 4, Interesting
    You make an important point, but misunderstand mine. I'm not knocking the achievement, just pointing out its limits. This ship was designed to win the prize and nothing else. It wasn't designed to reach orbit because the terms on the prize didn't specify that. All I'm asking is that you be realistic about this, and not expect it to do things it was never intended for.

    As far as the X projects, I probably know more about them than most people, because I know people who worked on them. This prize is very much in their tradition, and I hope the tradition continues.

    Once this prize is won, we need another, specifying that the same vehicle reaches orbit, returns to Earth and then does it again within a limited time frame. I hope somebody will have the vision to offer one.

    --
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  39. What about Iridium? by Teancum · · Score: 1

    How hard would it be to put up a competitor to Iridium, but using more current electronics and a cheaper system like this? The satellites wouldn't have to be nearly so sophisticated and LEO would be more than sufficient.

    That is just one of several businesses that currently are locked out of space because of the current government monopoly on spaceflight. Here is a toast to the commercial spaceflight. **Cheers**

    1. Re:What about Iridium? by GileadGreene · · Score: 1

      Iridium already managed a fairly cheap launch-cost per satellite by multi-manifesting several satellites on a single launcher (and yes, Iridium was only going to LEO - that was the whole point). I'll also note that the sophistication of the Iridium satellites was driven by the services that Iridium offered, and I doubt you'd be able to construct a less sophisticated satellite able to provide comparable service. The Globalstar constellation took an alternative approach with a different set of services, and did have a significantly less sophisticated satellite than Iridium. But they also had severe financial difficulties. See also OrbComm, which had about the simplest satellite you could make. While all of these constellations are, AFAIK, still in operation, they have not really made any money. Clearly there's more going on here than launch costs or satellite costs.

    2. Re:What about Iridium? by Teancum · · Score: 1

      I know that Iridium had some serious bandwidth issues, and they had a problem where the maximum number of users would never be that big, simply because of the frequency bandwidth they were using and the age of the electronics that they used in the base design. Basically, the economies of scale by providing 1 billion+ people with telephone service could never happen.

      On top of that, I think the original investors in Iridium and the other constellations serverly underestimated nationalistic tendancies from various countries in trying to control their telecom service. Essentially, it was only useful in just the U.S.A. or Antarctica, and cell phones work pretty well if you are just staying in the U.S.A. There just aren't that many people in Antarctica to justify Iridium.

      Still, there are some users who even these few exceptions proved to make it worth while. From what I understand now, it is primarily used by the U.S. government, with a large portion of its current bandwith for covert operations (CIA & DOD special forces groups). Kinda sad ending for something so promising.

      I do know that launch costs were also a driver, but mainly for replacement costs of satellites that fail. Iridium wasn't making enough money to even replace the satellites that were causing problems.

      The one constellation that I know has been successful has been the GPS constellation. Of course there already is a competitor that is being built, and it doesn't hurt that the DOD investment alone justifies its existance. Even that is not a cheap group of satellites to maintain.

    3. Re:What about Iridium? by GileadGreene · · Score: 1
      The one constellation that I know has been successful has been the GPS constellation. Of course there already is a competitor that is being built, and it doesn't hurt that the DOD investment alone justifies its existance. Even that is not a cheap group of satellites to maintain.

      As it turns out, I spent quite a bit of time working on the proposed GPS III spacecraft (first launch sometime around 2010). "Not cheap" doesn't even begin to describe it. But the GPS constellation is not in any way supported by a commercial business model. It exists purely to support the DOD. Commercial or civilian use is a convenient byproduct (although the newer GPS requirements documents do try to take into consideration civilian needs to a certain extent - it's mostly as a courtesy though).

      Other constellations that are, or seem to be so far, successful: TDRSS (again, not really commercial), Inmarsat (international org), XMradio (commercial), Disaster Monitoring Constellation (pseudo-commercial). But yeah, there really aren't that many, and launch cost does play a big part in that.

  40. Re:Don't get your hopes up too far. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

    The engine used in this mission is going to be reused by SpaceDev as an upper stage to put things and maybe people into orbit. Without SpaceShipOne, this wouldn't have happened. Rutan is very talented. I expect that he already has more designs ready.

    http://www.spacedev.com/newsite/templates/subpag e_ article.php?pid=475

    Look at the bottom of that article.

  41. Check out the updated info page, includes posters! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

    http://scaled.com/projects/tierone/info.htm

  42. If they succeed by _ph1ux_ · · Score: 2, Interesting

    This will prove how much of a bumbling group of incompetant morons work at NASA. The fact that nasa has made almost zero progress in the last 25 years with regards to opening up space as a more affordable frontier is laughable. Contempable even.

    The amount of corruption and coverup that takes place within all arms of NASA is a reflection of the incompetance and idiocy that is now the symbol for America at all levels.

    Hopefully in the event that SpaceShipOne is not sabotaged into failure, we will see a renewal of space interest - and a cleaning of house at all levels of government where responsibility for oppressed civil space programs reside.

    (yes you fools it IS a conspiracy)

    1. Re:If they succeed by susano_otter · · Score: 1

      If there's all that coverup, how come you know so much about it?

      --

      Any sufficiently well-organized community is indistinguishable from Government.

    2. Re:If they succeed by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Because a sub orbital flight with next to no payload is a huge advance on the current state of the art.

  43. Re:Don't get your hopes up too far. by chia_monkey · · Score: 1

    Don't know about you, but I think 3 minutes of weightlessness in a super-efficient aircraft making sub-orbital flight, done by private individuals is not dead-end. The first (few) that accomplish this feat will likely prove to NASA and the ESA that single gigantic booster rockets are neither efficient nor as re-usable as we were all lead to believe.

    Ditto my brother. I think the things that can be learned from this will be beyond comprehension. It will have researchers around the world going "wow, I never thought of using this material or that kind of system." And proving to the world, the world's space agencies, etc that this can all be done for less than $4.5 billion a flight (imaginary number, don't quote me or anything) will be a bonus too. It may have some agencies starting programs, have other programs looking for ways to remain competitive, etc.

    "Dead-end" is such a harsh term. This could be the beginning of a "private space race" with top universities around the nation (Go Carnegie Mellon!) going to space and doing their own research and not having to rely on NASA. Think of what we could learn...and how quickly we could learn all this. Good googly...now I'm getting all excited...

    --

    "He uses statistics as a drunken man uses lampposts...for support rather than illumination." - Andrew Lang
  44. Re:Don't get your hopes up too far. by Moofie · · Score: 1

    I'll take your critique of Rutan's designs more seriously when I see your designs. I'll be glad to critique them.

    --
    Why yes, I AM a rocket scientist!
  45. Re:Don't get your hopes up too far. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Mod up!

  46. Re:Don't get your hopes up too far. by techno-vampire · · Score: 1
    "Dead-end" is such a harsh term.

    I think you're reading a little too much into the term. What I meant by it is that this particular way to get a ship to 100 km can't be extended into one that can reach orbit, or descend from orbit if it were there. The hot air balloon could be considered a dead end too, if you want to stretch things, but look what came from it. The value of this flight will be in what it inspires as much as in what it does and I honor the people who designed it for that.

    --
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  47. 6:30 AM Pacific by richmaine · · Score: 4, Informative

    If you do intend to go, you might note that, while the cited 9:30 ET time is corect, the launch site is not on Eastern time. Might be easy to miss that
    and assume that the cited time is launch site local. If you arrive at 9:30 local time, it will be long over. :-(

    That's 6:30 AM Pacific (local) time.

    1. Re:6:30 AM Pacific by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Also notice that it's 6:30 PDT.

  48. Yes ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative
  49. Re:Don't get your hopes up too far. by cmowire · · Score: 2, Insightful

    It's merely a scaling problem. More propellant = more delta-V.

    The fuel is of the same level of efficency as most other common rocket fuels (solid / LOX+Kerosine).

    So really all you need is more propellant, and a better heat shield, both of which are "solved" technology.

    The thing is, Pournelle tends to be of the opinion that TSTO was the better idea and I tend to agree with him. The neat thing about SS1/WK is that improvements in either craft mean better performance. One of Rutan's rumored projects is a turborocket,
    which would have WK able to reach a much higher altitude, which would therefore mean a heavier SS1 or a higher trajectory.

    It's also probably the case that a inexpensive WK-launched expendable booster might be able to give Pegasus a run for their money.

  50. Re:Don't get your hopes up too far. by techno-vampire · · Score: 1

    NASA may have cut corners to get us to the moon, but they've been out of the risk business for years. There was no reason to stop the shuttle for over two years after the Challanger crash, except for NASA's desire to make spaceflight risk free.

    --
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  51. You gotta learn to walk before you learn to run. by Ungrounded+Lightning · · Score: 4, Interesting

    You make an important point, but misunderstand mine. I'm not knocking the achievement, just pointing out its limits.

    You gotta learn to walk before you learn run. You gotta learn to take the first step when learning to walk.

    This is "One small step for a civilian, a giant leap for mankind."

    This ship was designed to win the prize and nothing else. It wasn't designed to reach orbit because the terms on the prize didn't specify that. All I'm asking is that you be realistic about this, and not expect it to do things it was never intended for.

    The sub-orbital, super-atmospheric shot is the logical first step for any family of spacecraft designs - including those for inexpensive reusable craft. There are three steps:

    1) Getting out of the atmosphere.
    2) Getting to low orbit.
    3) Getting anywhere else.

    2) gets you halfway to anywhere (in terms of delta-v), and gets you over the really hard part. The second half of the trip can be taken at your leisure, while the first half involves getting through an atmosphere before the one-G field sucks you back.

    1) is most of the work of 2) It gets you out of the atmosphere - now all you have to do is get going FAST while you're out there.

    Yes, you have to combine 2) with a modification of 1) to get to LEO (unless you went FAR out of the atmosphere with LOTS of fuel and reaction mass to spend). But once you've got a device capable of 1) it's a LOT less than doubling the engineering to upgrade it for 2).

    Meanwhile: If the private space race stalls after the X prize is won, look for a Y prize. B-)

    --
    Bantam Dominique roosters crow a four-note song. Once you've heard it as "Happy BIRTHday" you can't NOT hear it that way
  52. Good Luck by BCW2 · · Score: 1

    I hope it goes perfectly and they go for the prize soon.

    --
    Professional Politicians are not the solution, they ARE the problem.
  53. Re:Don't get your hopes up too far. by Tackhead · · Score: 3, Insightful
    > As I understand it, this ship can't make orbit, couldn't come back from one if it did, and has no clear path to an orbital vehicle. It's designed to win the prize and nothing else. Not that it's not an important milestone, mind you, but it's just a dead-end.

    As I understand it, this ship is so laden down with fuel that it can barely make it off the runway, and with only a single engine and single pilot, has no clear path to being able to carry passengers or transatlantic mail. It's designed to win the $25,000 Orteig Prize and nothing else. Not that it's not an important milestone, mind you, but it's just a dead-end.

  54. Re:Don't get your hopes up too far. by techno-vampire · · Score: 2, Insightful

    No. Mercury-Redstone had a clear design path leading to the Moon: first single manned flights, then pairs of astronauts, then three together, until they had a capsule that could reach the moon, land and return. The fuel this ship uses simply isn't powerfull enough to reach orbit and it can't be changed to a different fuel without a complete redesign. Accept the fact that even though it's limited to sub-orbital flight it's an important milestone on the path to space.

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  55. I don't know, but I've been told... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    I hear astronauts get all the tang they want!

    Astronaut ice cream indeed.

  56. Re:Don't get your hopes up too far. by techno-vampire · · Score: 1

    I'm not posting a critique of the design, mearly pointing out its limits. The design is, as far as I know, just fine for a ship that's only intended for sub-orbital flight. As that's all that's needed to win the prize, that's all that they did. Sensible, really, building your design around your goal. I'm only reminding people that its abilities are limited.

    --
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  57. No snacks... by Nick+Driver · · Score: 1

    ...but definitely barfbags.

  58. hmmm by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

    Now correct me if I am wrong... but isn't spaceship one funded by Paul Allen? And if so... ack... where is the open source contingent that will make an attempt!

    It seems that Open source ideology should be applied to space.

    I dunnknow...the idea of Allen Spaceport scares the hell outa me....

    1. Re:hmmm by Azi+Dahaka · · Score: 2, Interesting

      It's not really Open Source, but the development of Armadillo Aerospace's ship has been thoroughly documented at their site complete with a lot of information about their weekly progress, photos, and movies.

      If you had the time and money, you could probably reconstruct their ship. The hardest part would be writing the stabilization/guidance software. That part of the development appears to be closed source.

      Armadillo is doing rather well. They are the only real competition to Space Ship One. They just had a very successful launch of a test vehicle. But the engine is nearly dead from all the tinkering the did with it. They will need to create a new engine as well as the final ship before launch. John estimates it will not happen by the end of the year. They still seem to be in good spirits. I am still hoping they win, unlikely as it is now.

    2. Re:hmmm by isorox · · Score: 1

      I dunnknow...the idea of Allen Spaceport scares the hell outa me....

      There's already a (Van) Allen Belt in space, so nothing new

    3. Re:hmmm by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually, it was reading that slashdot post that made me think of it, as the guy running Armadillo seemed like an opensourcey type of guy and the scaled composites people seem like evil redmond empire types...

      This got modded up as funny... but I think it is really scary as the people investing in this are the tech multinationals...

      I suppose what is going to happen is going to happen...

      but after reading a summary of the report that suggested NASA become a management organization for private industry... this whole commercialization of space thing kind of scares me. The same way that groups like Blackwater... one of the private policing forces contracting out in Iraq scare me... doing the job of the military yet exempt from geneva convention rules and immune from war crimes... how does the ethical freedom in corporate space exploration lend itself to space?

      In many ways... what we see here... makes Ridley Scott and the first hour of Alien seem to be pretty visionary.

      Anyway... something about the Xprize is bugging me...

      I do hope the armadillo people keep up the great work even after the xprize is over...

  59. Re:Don't get your hopes up too far. by techno-vampire · · Score: 1

    I gather that the problem here is the ammount of dead weight needed to contain and support the additional fuel rises faster than the advantage from that fuel. Always a problem, of course, but more so when the ship is designed to be launched from an airplane. You can't get the ship so heavy that the launching plane can't lift it. I don't know if that's the issue or what, but I can certainly imagine it becoming one eventually.

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  60. Re:You gotta learn to walk before you learn to run by techno-vampire · · Score: 2, Funny
    You gotta learn to walk before you learn run. You gotta learn to take the first step when learning to walk.

    Yes, and this is a grand first step. And that's exactly what it was designed to be: a first step, and nothing more. You make some great points about the next steps. Thanks for your insigtful, informative input.

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  61. Re:Don't get your hopes up too far. by cmowire · · Score: 1

    Actually, the Russians were far more cavalier about safety than the Americans were.

    The main reason why we beat them to the moon was because we had less infighting throughout, because we had smaller boosters at the beginning (which forced us to shrink the size of our electronics), and because we were able to pull off making the Saturn V (Wheras the Proton was too small and the N1 was too broken because of infighting).

    Oddly enough, the Russian way of doing things actually has worked out well for them, once they stopped accidentally killing people in their mad rush to space. Russian designs tend to be simple, reliable, and sturdy, which all tends to mean that maintaining them is easier.

  62. Re:Don't get your hopes up too far. by techno-vampire · · Score: 1

    ROTFLMAO! You make your point in a very witty way. Thank you. However, AFAIK, the plane itself was a dead end. Just a proof of concept, just as this one is. Honored for what it is, with nothing else expected from it.

    --
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  63. I will be there by Teahouse · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I am leaving tonight to get a campsite. I will take lots of pics on Monday. I plan on posting them for those of you unable to attend.

    --
    "Curiosity killed the cat, but for a while I was a suspect."- Steven Wright
    1. Re:I will be there by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Do you really think this thing will fly as scheduled? You have more balls than the would-be astronaut. It wouldn't surprise me if at the last minute this thing were postponed for "technical reasons". Hope I'm wrong. Good luck with the "shoot".

  64. Re:Don't get your hopes up too far. by silentbozo · · Score: 1

    Once this prize is won, we need another, specifying that the same vehicle reaches orbit, returns to Earth and then does it again within a limited time frame.

    Actually, the X-Prize specifies that you have to put 3 people (or a pilot and equivalent weight for 2 other passengers) into sub-orbital spaceflight, and be able to turn your craft around and repeat the flight within 2 weeks to claim the prize.

    Monday's flight will not be X-Prize qualified, but if it goes well, you will probably see Rutan & Co. schedule the real deal in the near future with much more fanfare.

  65. Re:Tired of Apple Fanboys? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You sure do use your time productively!
    Look, people enjoy a technology, let's go out of our way to make a meager attempt to punish them for no reason! Yeah, then after we do that, maybe my mom will let me drive to my McJob!
    Cool dood!
    You can add AC to your foes list now.

  66. Re:Don't get your hopes up too far. by techno-vampire · · Score: 1
    booster launch for micro-satellites

    I presume that means that the ship gets high enough that it can launch secondary vehicles from there to orbit. Usefull and probably cheaper than what we're doing now, even if the ship itself can't quite reach orbit. Great! I hadn't known that and am glad to read about it. Thanx!

    --
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  67. Politics, Not Physics is the Real Battle Here. by HopeOS · · Score: 1

    It has been an incredible hassle to get anything, and I mean anything into orbital or suborbital trajectories as a citizen of the United States of America, from any point on the surface of the planet, due to governmental regulations.

    Suborbital flights are not only the first step to orbital, but also the first step into the political fray that has been, until recently, entirely dominated by NASA and friends.

    Before you go lobbing projectiles over Europe on your way to orbit, you had sure has heck better be able to prove you can lob one over an empty desert and get it back in one piece.

    One step at a time folks. Physics has been the least of the troubles.

    Also, with regard to XCOR, until they received their launch license, they were unable to secure the investors necessary to begin their work in earnest. This, despite the fact that they have working engines and a proven team.

    -Hope

  68. The Long and Short of It by HopeOS · · Score: 4, Funny

    You need to convince AST, the department of the FAA that is tasked with granting your launch license, that you are safe enough for the general civilian population. They do not care if you kill yourself or even members of your own team, just so long as the public at large is safe from your launch vehicle, its exhaust, re-entering expendable components, toxic propellent, etc. There's the additional burden of not landing on an endangered mouse or historical monument.

    As you might guess, launching from a scorching empty desert with non-toxic propellents and nothing that separates and falls back to earth is going to be easier to license.

    As an aside, most of the convincing AST needs is hand-waving and postering, but a good bit of it is also mathematical. "If the craft does not explode and creates an impact zone of this size with a maximum flight radius of this size, there are is 1 in 5 million chance of hitting Bob who has a trailer sitting out in the middle of desert. Since that's less likely than the established 30 x 10 ^ -6 expected causalties, we should be able to fly." Response: "OK, you're on; try not to hit Bob."

    -Hope

  69. Re:Don't get your hopes up too far. by MindStalker · · Score: 1

    Actually it does have a mission. They are going to charge people for flights. There are rich people who will pay alot of money for this. They use that money to develop a better vehicle.

  70. 3.5Gs is not really a lot. by Nick+Driver · · Score: 1

    My little Piper Cherokee single engine propellor airplane is certified for +3.8Gs at full gross weight (2150 lbs), when loaded in the "normal" category. If loaded only to a max of 1950 lbs within the c.g. envelope of the "utility" category, it's even certified to handle +4.4Gs. There's like a 40% extra stress factor engineered into the strength of the airframe above the rated max G load too. The most I've personally stressed it is maybe +3G's last year when I was getting spin lessons from a CFI who's also an F-15 pilot in the USAF. He laughed at me heartily when I commented that we'd just pulled a pretty high G load... it made my stomach kinda queasy, but no hint of being anywhere near "blackout territory".

  71. Shotgun! by constantnormal · · Score: 2, Funny

    ... if Paul Allen doesn't claim one of the 2 potential passenger seats for the X-Prize qualifier, I'll never understand why not.

    After all, he's already paid for it.

    1. Re:Shotgun! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Let's hope he takes Bill Gates with him.

    2. Re:Shotgun! by Viceice · · Score: 1

      Because he's fo fat, he'll be enough ballast for 2 and they can't take Bill Gates.

      --
      Sometimes I wish I was a plumber, then I'd know how to deal with other people's shit.
  72. then the solution is obvious.... by zogger · · Score: 2, Interesting

    .... MOVE private funded space research to a more hospitable nation, and just ignore the united states. Pick any underfunded but enthusiastic second or third world country that needs a shot in the arm national prestige-wise and wouldn't mind being the recipient of a new global enterprise of such an import. There is bound to be a more hospitable nation that has enough resources and would embrace this enthusiastically. Hmm, how about brazil? Or on the african continent, mozambique? Does anyone else have any nations to promote who might want to do this? I initially in the last space thread mentioned russia as a possibility, because it has a national structure and resources for space research, but in a days retrospect on it, and viewing even more news from there, I just don't know if it could be pulled off there, due to...well, current business climates and political uncertainties shall we say. I wouldn't rule them out, just perhaps it might be more prudent to look elsewhere.

    Anyway, there has to be another nation that would consider this without near the amount of hassle. Perhaps even "authorising" 90% peroxide as fuel for a start.

    1. Re:then the solution is obvious.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ...and just ignore the united states.

      They would do that at their own peril :-)

    2. Re:then the solution is obvious.... by cmowire · · Score: 1

      Sounds like a great idea, but you have to remember that space technology generally ends up being also useful for making ICBMs.

      Thus, you'd attract a *lot* of US government attention. :/

  73. Hey! Not bad for a 25 Year old Video Game! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

    Yeah, the Atari Starship One rocks! I knew it could do it! Oh, wait...SPACEship One?

  74. Re:SpaceDev, the engine designer will reuse the te by GileadGreene · · Score: 1
    Elon Musk's SpaceX is already near to test-flying a launch vehicle capable of putting up small LEO satellites for around $5M. I doubt SpaceDev is anywhere near as close to providing that kind of service.

    Currently, satellite launches can cost in the hundreds of millions.

    Currently, satellite launches can cost anywhere between a couple of hundred thousand (as a secondary payload) to hundreds of millions. It depends a lot on what you are trying to launch, and to where. The expensive launches are typically large (1000's of kilograms) satellites going to GEO. That said, $5M a launch will be a significant reduction for primary launch capability, but it will probably intially only be to LEO altitudes.

  75. Re:Don't get your hopes up too far. by Tackhead · · Score: 1
    > ROTFLMAO! You make your point in a very witty way. Thank you. However, AFAIK, the plane itself was a dead end. Just a proof of concept, just as this one is. Honored for what it is, with nothing else expected from it.

    We're in violent agreement here: the real importance is to show the world that it can be done. It took 20 years to go from two guys in a bicycle shop to the Spirit of St. Louis, and another 20 years before Joe Sixpack could realistically expect to fly across the Atlantic during his lifetime.

    We've had orbital capability for over 50 years, and I, much like you, am sick and tired of waiting for NASA to get the ball rolling.

  76. Re:SpaceDev, the engine designer will reuse the te by da55id · · Score: 1

    "Now if only there were more prizes"

    We need to keep the aging engineering genii such as Rutan going for quite a bit longer...ergo -
    The Methuselah Mouse Prize for the reveral of human aging - www.methuselahmouse.org

  77. Advice if you plan to attend the launch... by ikluft · · Score: 4, Informative
    Stratofox has put together a page with advice for SS1 launch attendees...
    http://www.stratofox.org/notes/ss1-20040621.html

    Quick summary:

    • Bring extra bottled water to share with others.
    • Bring an ice chest for yourself or your group.
    • Get all your supplies before entering the Antelope Valley.
    • Have patience - don't expect to get on the airport grounds.
    • Cell phone service may be strained.
    • Bring a radio scanner.
    • Bring binoculars.
    • Wear a hat.
  78. Re:You gotta learn to walk before you learn to run by Anthony+Boyd · · Score: 2, Funny
    1) Getting out of the atmosphere.
    2) Getting to low orbit.
    3) Getting anywhere else.

    4) Getting back.

    (I don't mean this as a "funny" post. Doesn't getting back to Earth involve a huge number of problems? Such as: atmosphere; avoidance of crash landings in civilized areas; and a few other things that don't matter if you just intend to land on the moon or Mars.)

  79. Re:Don't get your hopes up too far. by corngrower · · Score: 1
    It's merely a scaling problem. More propellant = more delta-V.

    Except for one problem, the delta-V does not scale linearly with the amount of propellant. You get less and less bang for your buck as the final velocity increases (due to having to overcome gravity). This is why you can't get into orbit from a stationary ground launch with a single stage rocket.

  80. Re:You gotta learn to walk before you learn to run by AnyoneEB · · Score: 1
    Meanwhile: If the private space race stalls after the X prize is won, look for a Y prize. B-)
    So, you're saying the A-W prizes didn't help much? Hopefully the X-prize will help, otherwise we'll have to move on to multi-letter prize names pretty soon!
    --
    Centralization breaks the internet.
  81. Read the orginial Link before commenting please. by corngrower · · Score: 4, Funny

    Okay, you've read this line of post's clear down to this level, but you haven't looked a the link. I guess I can let you in on the joke. The solid portion of the rocket fuel is a rubber compound. The oxidizing gas is nitrous oxide (laughing gas). Hence the subject of the main thread
    Let me bounce this off of you...
    And the line
    You'll get a laugh out of this.

  82. Re:You gotta learn to walk before you learn to run by RayBender · · Score: 4, Insightful
    1) is most of the work of 2) It gets you out of the atmosphere - now all you have to do is get going FAST while you're out there.[...]But once you've got a device capable of 1) it's a LOT less than doubling the engineering to upgrade it for 2).

    No. Most of the work is getting to a velocity of 8 km/sec. That's 90% of the required total energy. Getting to altitude is 10%. So SpaceShipOne is 10% of the way to orbit (in terms of energy). The additional difficulty of going into orbit is considerably greater than twice the effort: you have to carry 10 times the fuel fraction, and you have to be capable of re-entry, on-orbit maneuvering, etc etc.. It's a lot harder than just going up in a big arc for 5 minutes.

    SpaceShipOne is a lot closer to a Cessna than it is to a Space Shuttle. Seriously.

    --
    Human genome = 3 billion base pairs = 6 GBit. Windows + Office = 20 Gbit. Which is more impressive?
  83. Wait - groupthink says to hate this, right? by NotQuiteReal · · Score: 1
    Isn't SpaceShipOne at least partially funded with Microsoft (Paul Allen) money?

    [Saying this tongue-in-cheek (and who has to spell-check "cheek") as someone who forks lots of $$ over to MSFT every year for MSDN Universal subscriptions]

    I for, one, welcome our billionaire overlords, if they fund fun stuff like this!

    --
    This issue is a bit more complicated than you think.
    1. Re:Wait - groupthink says to hate this, right? by TyrelHaveman · · Score: 1

      Doesn't anyone realize that Paul Allen left Microsoft in 1983? Sure, all his money comes from MSFT stock... but he doesn't work for Microsoft anymore. At least that's the impression I got from this CNN story, despite the fact that the title is Allen, the other Mr. Microsoft.

  84. Re:You gotta learn to walk before you learn to run by Ungrounded+Lightning · · Score: 1

    1) Getting out of the atmosphere.
    2) Getting to low orbit.
    3) Getting anywhere else.


    4) Getting back.

    (I don't mean this as a "funny" post. Doesn't getting back to Earth involve a huge number of problems? Such as: atmosphere; avoidance of crash landings in civilized areas; and a few other things that don't matter if you just intend to land on the moon or Mars.)


    Yes indeed.

    But again you solved MOST of getting back when you solved 1).

    1) gave you your life support, terminal navigation, reentry, etc. (And a seasoned engineering team that has proven it knows what it's doing and can solve the REALLY HARD problems. B-) )

    2) only adds (on the reentry side) dumping the extra orbital energy without tearing up the craft, and timing the deorbit manouver.

    3) adds nothing to the return problem. Navigating from somewhere out there to LEO is the same problem as navigating from LEO to somewhere out there. (Actually the one difference is that it's easier, because you get closer to your navigational aids as you get closer to the END of the trip, when is when precision is required.)

    --
    Bantam Dominique roosters crow a four-note song. Once you've heard it as "Happy BIRTHday" you can't NOT hear it that way
  85. Re:SpaceDev, the engine designer will reuse the te by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

    "Now if only there were more prizes"

    NASA has suggested giving out prizes:

    NASA was advised to turn over most launch responsibilities to private firms, offer financial incentives and prizes for innovation, and foster small, entrepreneurial aerospace firms. Although the space agency now contracts many functions to private contractors, the panel said that arrangement had only produced a constellation of vendors rather than an independent industry.

    (Moon to Mars Commission released on the June 16th)

    Essentially, NASA is going to become completely private in the coming years. This is going to open up a large market that was never there before, like what happened to the airline industry.

  86. Re:Check out the updated info page, includes poste by DJdeli · · Score: 1

    I'm interested in that Burt Rutan calls this series of SS1 flights his "tier one" project. Is there a tier two? Rutan has mentioned something along the lines of a larger White Knight using 8 modified 747 engines to carry much larger payloads. One can only hope!

  87. Re:You gotta learn to walk before you learn to run by putaro · · Score: 1

    SpaceShipOne is a lot closer to a Cessna than it is to a Space Shuttle. Seriously.
    This is a good thing. You worry a lot less about breaking a Cessna.

  88. Re:You gotta learn to walk before you learn to run by RayBender · · Score: 2, Insightful
    This is a good thing. You worry a lot less about breaking a Cessna.

    Not if your goal is actually getting into orbit, it isn't.

    --
    Human genome = 3 billion base pairs = 6 GBit. Windows + Office = 20 Gbit. Which is more impressive?
  89. Re:Don't get your hopes up too far. by putaro · · Score: 1

    SS1 _is_ a secondary vehicle. White Knight is the turbojet powered launch aircraft. A whole lot cheaper than a B-52.

  90. Re:Don't get your hopes up too far. by brj · · Score: 1

    I've got to agree with you. I've got to believe that someone out there is going to put up another Mil for the first organization to go into orbit twice.

    If I had the money, I'd donate it myself. But I'm saving up for my first ride for now.

  91. and of course don't forget... by ashitaka · · Score: 1

    to wear sunscreen.

    Not sure about the others, but trust me on the sunscreen.

    --
    If you don't want to repeat the past, stop living in it.
  92. I can only hope by Teahouse · · Score: 1

    I figure it's a good excuse to take a day off. I plan on bringing my 6" dobby telescope with me, so I will at least get two good nights (Sat and Sun) of stargazing before the launch. I won't go home dissappointed.

    --
    "Curiosity killed the cat, but for a while I was a suspect."- Steven Wright
  93. Re:Don't get your hopes up too far. by red+floyd · · Score: 1

    this feat will likely prove to NASA and the ESA that single gigantic booster rockets are neither efficient nor as re-usable as we were all lead to believe.

    I think that the reliance on large gigantic boosters is a legacy from the '50s. And that was a case of "If all you have is a hammer, then everything looks like a nail." Plus personality.

    They had these huge ICBMs, that were (relatively) easily convertible, plus Von Braun was in love with huge boosters. After that, design kind of ran on inertia.

    --
    The only reason we have the rights we have is that people just like us died to gain those rights. -- Cheerio Boy
  94. Pearls before swine and all that... by porkchop_d_clown · · Score: 1

    Don't feel bad. *I* got it, anyway. ;-)

  95. Re:SpaceDev, the engine designer will reuse the te by Viceroy · · Score: 2, Informative

    I know this because I work at Scaled, but if you read all of the info on the Scaled website about SpaceShipOne, you'll know that SpaceDev only provides a small portion of the rocket to us. The rocket is actually a Scaled design with assistance given to us by SpaceDev on the bulkhead between the nitrous tank and the solid rocket and a lot the hardware and valves. We also manufacture the rocket casings, using a nozzle made by a supplier, and send them to SpaceDev to mold the solid fuel in place.

    Wait till you see some of our future projects which could put a 200lb satelite into orbit for until $750k.

  96. I love the Q & A by Eric+Damron · · Score: 1

    "Q: Will we get a chance to see the new astronaut and hear what he has to say about the flight?"

    A: No one will be able to talk to the astronaut after the flight but we believe the inflight conversation will be something like:

    Astronaut: SWEET MARY MOTHER OF GOD!!! AAAAAAAAAAAAAHH!!!

    Okay, just kidding about the last part.

    --
    The race isn't always to the swift... but that's the way to bet!
  97. not funny at all by bani · · Score: 1

    i spotted the so-called joke right off, but it wasn't funny at all. shrug.

    1. Re:not funny at all by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nice try, but your reply clearly indicates that you didn't get it at all. Just another thumb-up-his-ass knowitall trying to impress everyone with his "vast knowledge". Now go grab your mop and finish cleaning the bathrooms.

  98. Is this the Linux one? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    We're still waiting for it to compile.

  99. Re:Don't get your hopes up too far. by DerekLyons · · Score: 2, Informative
    More susinctly: SpaceShipOne is as much of a dead end as Mercury-Redstone was.
    Nope. SS1 is a dead end, utterly. It's completely unsuited to fly much higher or faster than it will on Monday. There is no upgrade path to do so either. It's not a matter of building a bigger or better White Knight. It's a matter of replacing SS1 with a nearly completely different craft.

    On the other hand, by replacing the Redstone with an Atlas you transformed a suborbital craft into an orbital one without changing the craft itself.

  100. Re:Don't get your hopes up too far. by DerekLyons · · Score: 1
    As I understand it, this ship is so laden down with fuel that it can barely make it off the runway, and with only a single engine and single pilot, has no clear path to being able to carry passengers or transatlantic mail. It's designed to win the $25,000 Orteig Prize and nothing else. Not that it's not an important milestone, mind you, but it's just a dead-end.
    Actually, it wasn't an important milestone. The Atlantic had already been crossed non-stop by Adcock & Brown (both British) in a Vickers Vimy (a British aircraft) in 1919. The Ortieg prize wasn't for flying the Atlantic (which had already been done) but for flying from New York to Paris.

    And yes, technologically, it was a dead end. It would be decades before a (very different) commercially viable craft would be able to fly that route non-stop.

  101. The next step after X-Prize. by MtViewGuy · · Score: 1

    I think once the X-Prize is won, I think somebody ought to seriously put up a even larger prize--like US$100 million--for the first competitor to build a small reusable space vehicle that could fly to Low Earth Orbit (LEO) and even possibly rendezvous with the International Space Station. And have the same vehicle fly two such missions within 30 days.

    Given Burt Rutan's innovative knowledge of aerospace technology, I wouldn't bet against him for winning this proposed prize, too. :-)

  102. Re:SpaceDev, the engine designer will reuse the te by Syre · · Score: 1
    The technology used in this launch is going to be reused by SpaceDev to put satellites up for only $5 million a piece. This illustrates the direct effect of the X-prize.

    Uh... not quite. Although everyone keeps talking about this launch as if it were really a spaceflight, it's just a high-altitude airplane flight.

    In Monday's flight to 100KM the top speed will probably be around Mach 3. The speed needed to achieve a stable orbit is about 15 times faster.

    SpaceShipOne can't begin to achieve those kind of speeds.

    Once you are in orbit, reentry becomes a serious problem because of atmospheric friction. If SpaceShipOne actually could get into orbit, it would burn up on reentry, because it would need to be coated with refractory material like the space shuttle, or an ablative shield, like the Apollo, Soyuz and other disposable craft.

    Although SpaceShipOne is a very impressive engineering feat, it is still very far from being a real space craft.

    For that, we'll probably have to wait for SpaceShipThree or SpaceShipFive.
  103. Just you wait by soldeed · · Score: 1

    Rest assured, the engineers at scaled are likely already working on a follow up vehicle that WILL make orbit, using the same systems they developed for SS1. If you visit their web site you will notice they pointedly do not disclose how much payload the white knight vehicle can lift. Also note these quotes from their FAQ pages; "Scaled has completed 34 manned research aircraft. None were announced until they were ready to fly." ..AND..." Scaled Composites is a research and development facility with other proprietary projects. Tours are not permitted." Oh yes, SS1 is not Burt Rutans' last word on space flight!

  104. Re:You gotta learn to walk before you learn to run by fucksl4shd0t · · Score: 0

    You gotta learn to walk before you learn run. You gotta learn to take the first step when learning to walk.

    Not that I"m trying too hard to disagree with you, but I call bullshit. ;) My first son went from crawling to running and skipped walking. Ever since then he's been a blur with an occasional silhouette. Seriously, when he was a baby he stood up, took a step, and then took off across the room. He didn't start walking for a few weeks, but he was running all over the place in the meantime.

    Again, I'm not trying hard to disagree with you, I just get sick of the same old adages being thrown around to justify something. ;) I realize the X-Prize is the greatest thing since Blue Bell ice cream shipped frozen from Texas to Washington, so I think that in the spirit of the X-Prize we need to come up with new adages to replace the out-dated ones.

    So, that said, how about "You gotta learn to sit before you can wipe your ass." (Show me *one* kid who could wipe their ass before they could sit)

    --
    Like what I said? You might like my music
  105. My Predictions - Who's Flying & When by Long-EZ · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I'll venture my guesses for how this will unfold. It should be fun to see how many I guess correctly. These are just guesses. No inside info or anything like that.

    Prediction #1 I think Mike Melvill is going to be the first private citizen to pilot a ship into space on Monday morning. He has been with Rutan since the seventies when he was one of the few people to build a VariViggen, the first built-from-plans experimental aircraft design offered by the Rutan Aircraft Factory. He later built a Long-EZ and he still flies it. In fact, a few years ago, he and Burt's brother Dick flew their Long-EZs around the world. Mike is 62, which is rare for a test pilot. "There are old pilots, and there are bold pilots, but there are no old, bold pilots."

    Prediction #2 I wouldn't be surprised to see some prominent people actually on board for the two Ansari X-Prize flights, after this full qualifying test flight. I saw Burt speaking at Oshkosh, and when asked if he'd take the suborbital flight in SpaceShipOne, he replied, "You bet your ass I would!" He's not usually given to such colorful speech, at least in that forum.

    Prediction #3 The X-Prize will be won before this year's Oshkosh Fly-In (now known as EAA Airventure), which is July 27th - August 2nd. That doesn't leave much time to provide adequate notice to the X-Prize committee, so I expect that'll be announced immediately after Monday's successful flight. Oshkosh has been a frequent target for Burt, although it certainly isn't true that anything was ever rushed or safety compromised to make that event.

    I feel like I've been waiting all my life for the privatization of space. Best of luck to the entire Scaled Composites crew for Monday morning. Despite previous Slashdot comments calling the X-Prize a stunt, I strongly believe that This Changes Everything.

    --
    >> My ultraviolent Linux switch video.
  106. Re:SpaceDev, the engine designer will reuse the te by Scurrilous+Knave · · Score: 1

    Once you are in orbit, reentry becomes a serious problem because of atmospheric friction. ... it would need to be coated with refractory material like the space shuttle, or an ablative shield, like the Apollo, Soyuz and other disposable craft.

    Only if one chooses (or is forced) to use aerobraking, like past spacecraft have. If you come down slowly, you could do it in linen and bamboo.

    Admittedly, with today's propulsion systems, aerobraking is pretty much the only way to slow down. But the heating (which I think is due more to compression than friction) isn't an automatic part of re-entry. The rest of your comments were spot-on, I'd say.

  107. Re:SpaceDev, the engine designer will reuse the te by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    And what magic plan do you have to "come down slowly"? We'd love to hear it.

  108. Re:SpaceDev, the engine designer will reuse the te by Scurrilous+Knave · · Score: 1

    And what magic plan do you have to "come down slowly"? We'd love to hear it.

    I have no plan, magic or otherwise, based on current technology. Aerobraking is the way to go these days, as I noted in my original post. But given enough thrust, you can choose your re-entry velocity. We just don't have enough right now, so we aerobrake.

  109. I will be there with a DV cam. by deific · · Score: 1

    Who knows when I'll finish editing it though.. but I'll post the torrent along with photos.

  110. Pre-flight conversation: by tekrat · · Score: 1

    Hey Ridley, you got any Beeman's?

    Yeah, I think I got a stick.

    Loan me some, will you? I'll pay you back later.

    Fair enough...

    (And if you don't know what that's from, you don't deserve to be on Slashdot!)

    --
    If telephones are outlawed, then only outlaws will have telephones.
    1. Re:Pre-flight conversation: by Radon+Knight · · Score: 1
      For those who don't know, it's from The Right Stuff.

      Not to nitpick or anything, but I think the actual line is not

      Yeah, I think I got a stick.

      but, rather,

      Yeah, I think I got me a stick.
      I only remember this because, back when I had all four of my wisdom teeth extracted, I sat on the couch for three days straight, under the influence of some hard-core painkillers, watching The Right Stuff from start to finish, then rewinding the tape, and watching it again. From dawn to dusk. For three days.
    2. Re:Pre-flight conversation: by Radon+Knight · · Score: 1

      Just in case anyone's paying attention - I was wrong with this. OP was correct. Apologies for the error. :-\

  111. The obligatory: "Mod parent up" by It'sYerMam · · Score: 3, Interesting
    The StarChaser crew are all thinking this, as SpaceShipOne has no launch escape system, to pull the crew clear if there's a launchpad explosion, a fire mid flight, or whatever. In other words, if something goes wrong then it's bye-bye.
    I for one would not want to fly in a SpaceShip where any fault would probably be fatal.

    Then we get onto my regular complaint about how SpaceShipOne has bought the prize, etc, etc, while StarChaser waits for funding.

    --
    im in ur .sig, writin ur memes.
    1. Re:The obligatory: "Mod parent up" by IllForgetMyNickSoonA · · Score: 2, Informative

      Ummm... there is no "launchpad" for SpaceShipOne. It's launched mid-air, by being disconnected from the carrier airplane (White Knight) in flight. Besides, there is also no launch escape system for Space Shuttle, or even commercial airplanes either, so I don't quite get your point.

  112. For those of us from Europe by Avian+visitor · · Score: 1

    That is 13:30 GMT or 15:30 CEST

  113. Re:You gotta learn to walk before you learn to run by RayBender · · Score: 3, Informative
    No. Most of the work is getting to a velocity of 8 km/sec.

    No!? So sure, are you?

    Yes, actually. The physics of that calculation is trivial. Also, "work" has a well-defined meaning in physics, so strictly speaking that sentence is perfectly true.

    Clue alert - he wasn't talking about energy. Try actually reading his post to discover he was talking about work to solve engineering problems, not how much fucking energy it takes to attain oribital velocity.

    Clue alert - engineering difficulty is closely related to energy in situations like these. With orbital velocities comes a whole range of new problems related to hypersonic aerodynamics, heating, flight control, structural design, etc etc. Look, SpaceShipOne uses hydraulic-boosted (if even that)manual flight controls, and relies of passive stability to maintain the correct flight attittude. You couldn't get away with that for a Shuttle. It also doesn't have a heatshield the way the Shuttle does (it has some re--inforcement, but not even within an order of magnitude). The rocket on SpaceShipOne has a total impulse of maybe 1 km/sec, and the corresponding mass fraction of the vehicle devoted to fuel is maybe 20%. The rest can go to building a robust vehicle; on the Shuttle the mass fraction of fuel has to be closer to 90%. SpaceShipOne doesn't have cryogenic fuels, and the associated issues. I can go on and on, but hopefully by now you've grokked that these are two very different machines, and SpaceShipOne is as close to orbit as climbing Mt. Greylock is to climbing Mt. Everest.

    --
    Human genome = 3 billion base pairs = 6 GBit. Windows + Office = 20 Gbit. Which is more impressive?
  114. Re:You gotta learn to walk before you learn to run by smurf975 · · Score: 1

    You may be right as nuclear fission came before fussion.

    --
    -- I don't buy it, I grow it.
  115. Re:Don't get your hopes up too far. by smurf975 · · Score: 1

    Is it NASA's mission to get cheap access to space?
    Or is its mission to explore and design/fund new technologies that American companies can use for whatever?

    --
    -- I don't buy it, I grow it.
  116. NASA mirrors the rest of society and industry by RetiredMidn · · Score: 1
    [Sorry if I posted a blank by mistake.]

    Yes, NASA accomplished great things back in the 1960s, but that doesn't excuse them from the horrific behavior that they've demonstrated since then.

    To the (limited) extent that I agree that NASA's current operations are "horrific", it has been my ongoing observation for over 20 years that NASA has done no worse than industry, education, or art over the same period.

    I was first struck by this thought as the investigation into the Challenger disaster unfolded. The transcripts of the conversations at Morton Thiokol (sp?) and NASA could have been transcripts of software release meetings I had recently attended, with different jargon. The long slide that brought us to Columbia has also been reflected in my experiences in writing, shipping, and using software.

    The technology is wonderful, but on a computer today I need more RAM than I had disk space in the 1980's to run a word processor. The problem is not technology; it's the value system. The primary problem is pointy-headed bosses, but the rest of us are enablers.

    I could go on about education, politics, the arts, etc., but the post would be too long.

    The reason I limit my agreement with the parent point of view is because I do believe that, overall, things are much better in both fields. But they aren't nearly as good as they could or should be, and the point of my post is that we can all do better at what we do, and it would be more constructive to seek inspiration from SpaceShipOne and clean up our own acts than to carp at others whose failures simply have higher profiles than our own.

  117. Re: mine is good. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    Step1. Fly the "Load's airplane":
    eeeOOOeee . ._
    eeeOOOeee A\/ \
    eeeOOOeee AAAAAAAA>
    eeeOOOeee . \_/

    Step2. Run the "MicroLauncher":
    eeeOOOeee . A
    eeeOOOeee . A
    eeeOOOeee ./A\
    eeeOOOeee .%%%
    eeeOOOeee % % %

    Step3. Activate "GasBag-action-reaction":
    (GasBag is similar to a parachute but not-to-stop)
    eeeOOOeee . A
    eeeOOOeee . A
    eeeOOOeee ./A\
    eeeOOOeee / . \
    eeeOOOeee \___/

    Step4. Run "MicroLauncher to the deepspace":
    (GasBag to lose in the atmosphere)
    eeeOOOeee . A
    eeeOOOeee . A
    eeeOOOeee ./A\
    eeeOOOeee .%%%
    eeeOOOeee
    eeeOOOeee ._|_
    eeeOOOeee / . \
    eeeOOOeee \___/

    open4free ©

  118. Re:Hrm? no 1+3, no 1+2, yes 0+3. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    An automatic pilot with 3 people.

  119. Re:You gotta learn to walk before you learn to run by grozzie2 · · Score: 1
    Yes, actually. The physics of that calculation is trivial.

    The physics involved is only trivial if you use the age old high school simplification, ignore air resistance. As soon as you account for the 'real atmosphere', the physics become radically non trivial, and you quickly realize that when oribital velocity is the goal, air friction on the way up is a HUGE factor, much much larger than the potential energy of the altitude gained. As your velocities go thru the mach numbers, the energy required for altitude gain becomes 'trivial and ignoreable' compared to the energy required to overcome air friction.

    To truely understand the magnitude of the issues, turn the problem around. Take a good look at the surface of the moon, it's full of impact craters. The energy involved in creating those craters is trivial to calculate. Take the mass of the impact object, and it's velocity, and you can grind the numbers and come up with a value for energy. Now look at the surface of the earth. We are 6 times the size, so it's reasonable to expect 6 times the number of impacts. There are very few visible impact locations on this earth, because the energy requirements to actually impact are considerably different on earth. The average object on a path to intersect the earth does not contain enough energy to actually penetrate the atmosphere and impact. This is the physics of launch, operating in reverse, and the little detail of 'air friction' makes it really difficult for a fast moving object to actually hit the ground.

    In an ideal simple world, the simplest orbital launch trajectory is to climb vertically out of the atmosphere, and then accelerate horizontally to orbital velocity. The real world doesn't work that way very well because of gravity, the vehicle will tend to fall a long ways during the horizontal acceleration phase. The fuel required to give the extra boost to allow the extra time for the horizontal phase adds tremendously to the all up throw weight on the launch pad, so that's where you get out the very large system of simultaneous equations, apply some very advanced calculus, and solve the entire mess for the trajectory that actually minimizes the fuel weight on the launch pad.

    If you still think this is trivial, take a look at the history of the computer. Eniac is credited with being the original digital computer, the first one built to actually do digital computations for 'the real world'. The first 'real task' that was assigned to Eniac was calculating the ACTUAL trajectories of artillery shells launched from the big guns of battleships. Its the EXACT same math as done for the launch trajectory of an orbital vehicle, except, in the artillery case, it never gets high enough to actually approach the zero drag conditions of 'out of the atmosphere'. One could in a round-about way credit the atmospheric drag problem as a catalyst for the entire computing industry, it was the original problem for which the digital computer was deployed.

    Once the vehicle is actually out of the atmosphere, and the drag element of the equations equal zero, at that point, the physics does become trivial. The only complicating factor is the fact that overall vehicle mass decreases as fuel is burned, changing the amount of acceleration available from the energy being expended. It's still just elementry calculus, the kind of problem you assign to grade 12 students in high school. Truely understanding the physics and math of actually achieving that point is the stuff of which an entire aerospace engineering degree program is made of. It's non trivial, and a branch of engineering unto itself.

    While it may be true that Spaceship One is not an orbital vehicle in itself, it is the second stage of a delivery platform, and capable of placing a minimum of 600 pounds into a sub-orbital trajectory. In it's current form, that 600 pounds takes the form of 3 humans and associated life support. If you replace the crew capsule with a clamshell arrangement, it could just as easily eject 600

  120. sure you are, pal by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    off for a "camping trip" with your daughter and her two friends? riiight.
    dont forget to use condoms

  121. Re:You gotta learn to walk before you learn to run by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    im sorry, but you are so full of shit, it is impossible to not reply.

    Your babbling and attempt to convince people that you know what you are talking about has failed. Really. Go find a real engineer and have him explain it to you, but not here. Bye now.

  122. Re:Don't get your hopes up too far. by Pharmboy · · Score: 1

    Is it NASA's mission to get cheap access to space?

    Yes. Look at all the Mars probes lately: more bang, less buck. So any new technology that makes going into space cheaper IS part of their mission. They are using our tax dollars as well, so it is their duty as well.

    Or is its mission to explore and design/fund new technologies that American companies can use for whatever?

    The original mission was to beat the Soviets to space and the moon. If you doubt that, please notice that the Soviets QUIT trying to go to the moon after we were first. Designing new technologies for American companies is a side benefit, not a mission statement. The goal is exploration for exploration's sake and to benefit everyone, not just American Corporations.

    --
    Tequila: It's not just for breakfast anymore!
  123. Damn. by mr.scoot · · Score: 1

    Thats just great. Now the entire Mojave Desert has been slashdotted.

  124. SpaceShipOne CHAT is online! by pandelirium · · Score: 1

    Just an add-in bit of info. For those interested, we now have opened up the #SpaceShipOne chat room to the public. As they ready the project to step (well fly) into space, the buzz is high and we hope many will come in and talk about the project, the concept of privitazation of space travel, and most any topic-related item. Please spread the word! With more support, the better the general subject-matter and more things to talk about. Since there will not generally be any online broadcast of the flight, this may be the next closest thing short of watching on the news (CNN sconfirmed but expect that NASATV 'might' cover it as well (from rumor mill)... we'll see.

    The chat is located on the freenode servsers at irc.freenode.net. As always, we are a family and proffessional channel so please refrain from trolling, soapboxing, or using foul-language.

    See you fellow /.'ers there. News that matters, the SlashDot way. ;)

    -Pandelirium
    Moderator - #SpaceShipOne #maestro #cassini #Pandelirium MaximumPC
    http://www.pandelirium.net

  125. Those guys seeing it live are lucky... by DJdeli · · Score: 1

    I just saw some TV footage from a Fox News preview of the White Kight and SpaceshipOne taking off. It looks so much cooler than all of the pictures I've seen online!

  126. Re:SpaceDev, the engine designer will reuse the te by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Actually, SpaceDev (SPDV) is using the same rocket used in SpaceShipOne as an upper stage in one of its satellite launching systems. This will be a launch into orbit. They have progressed very far with this technology. I would expect them to announce a launch date soon.

    And well, Monday's launch is a spaceflight. Technically, NASA doesn't even do spaceflights anymore. They do launches. The shuttle isn't exactly flying on the way up. The closest thing that NASA had was the X-15. I believe it is an exibit now.

    This flight has great significance if you look at the history of the U.S. space race. This is just the first step, and I must add, it is the right step, instead of a 1 billion dollar a launch step.

    One small step in the right direction.

  127. Re:SpaceDev, the engine designer will reuse the te by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I think we are forgetting a goal of this new race, new technology. Alternative approaches to space travel are what these companies can accomplish, and what NASA has had trouble with.

  128. Wrong: a *technical* dead end maybe by fantomas · · Score: 1
    IMHO, nope. A *technical* dead-end maybe. But more of a *springboard* in terms of providing Scaled and the X-Prize with publicity, the private spaceship world with confidence, and Scaled with potential future earnings.


    If SS1 wins the X-Prize:

    1. X-Prize and private spacecraft get interesting

    2. Scaled might be onto a commercial winner offering space hops to rich tourists and university researchers and make enough money to have a go at building the world's first private orbital craft.

    If the x-prize is won, you can't tell me somebody won't have a go at building a private orbital craft. C'mon, I bet there were slashdotters out there saying "100km private spacecraft - can't be done!"

  129. Modding by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Troll!!
    Don't you try to make fun of the commies and think of getting modded up

  130. Re:Don't get your hopes up too far. by Tackhead · · Score: 1
    > The original mission was to beat the Soviets to space and the moon. If you doubt that, please notice that the Soviets QUIT trying to go to the moon after we were first.

    ...which would be a great point, except that NASA also quit pretty much immediately thereafter :(

  131. Re:Don't get your hopes up too far. by Pharmboy · · Score: 1

    we went back a few times, the problem is "why" go back, since we had gained most of what could have learned with the technology we had at the time. There are thousands of new tests we could do NOW, but we didn't have the technology to do this kind of testing then.

    Also, consider a large portion of our justification WAS to beat the Soviets, which had already been done by the first flight.

    Also, consider we almost lost 3 guys during Apollo 13, which made us sit back and ask why we were doing this when we already had most of the science we could reasonably gather considering the technology we had at the time. We would have been better off figuring out how to go back every 10 years instead of once a year for a few years, so we could develop better tests, and get better ideas for tests.

    --
    Tequila: It's not just for breakfast anymore!