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The Monetary Economics of Thurston Howell III

DLWormwood writes "In what has to be the Strangest... Essay... Ever... The libertarian Ludwig von Mises Institute website has posted an essay which goes way too in-depth over the topic of why the castaways of Gilligan's Island used Thurston Howell III's 'worthless paper' instead of gold or seashells."

455 comments

  1. What is the lesson learned from this essay? by Scoria · · Score: 4, Funny

    That is correct. Never, under any circumstance, should you drink the saltwater!

    --
    Do you like German cars?
    1. Re:What is the lesson learned from this essay? by Daniel_Staal · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Actually... If you would otherwise die from thirst, and you know what you are doing, that is not true. You can drink about a glass a day of saltwater to stay hydrated. (This does not mean stay healthy. It means stay alive...)

      More info at this Survival at Sea site.

      --
      'Sensible' is a curse word.
  2. Not bad by Hanzie · · Score: 5, Insightful

    It is actually an essay on economics, and makes some very good points. It uses the Gilligan's Island as an example, because it's very obvious to many, and all the economic factors are known to all the readers.

    The essay then goes on to discuss Swiss Dinara and Saddam Dinars which are both very much real, and quite comparable to money on the TV show.

    I think the headline does a real disservice to the author of the essay.

    --
    ********* sig: If you don't like the law, get filthy stinking rich, and buy a better one.
    1. Re:Not bad by Quasar1999 · · Score: 1

      For the person who wrote the headline, and obviously is clueless... What the headline should have been is "Cash is something that can be used to hold value"

      --

      ---
      Programming is like sex... Make one mistake and support it the rest of your life.
    2. Re:Not bad by networkBoy · · Score: 1

      the person who wrote the headline, and obviously is clueless... What the headline should have been is "Cash is something that can be used to hold value"
      I'd go with:"Cash is something that can be used to hold value, without government backing"
      And I whole heartedly agree about the clueless part
      Actually an awesome read, and either /.'ers hate gilligan or the server is really quite robust.
      -nB

      --
      whois gawk date unzip strip find touch finger mount join nice man top fsck grep eject more yes exit umount sleep dump
    3. Re:Not bad by MyDixieWrecked · · Score: 1

      After reading that essay, I decided to check out his blog and I must say, he makes a lot of good points.

      on a side note, why do so many web developers turn writer? my friend pulled that shit. http://www.samhilliard.com/

      --



      ...spike
      Ewwwwww, coconut...
    4. Re:Not bad by Zenmonkeycat · · Score: 2, Insightful

      It would be better called "Post-Fiat Monetary Economics."

      --

      *****
      Dear Mary,
      I yearn for you tragically,
      A.T. Tappman, Chaplain, U.S. Army.

    5. Re:Not bad by Fulcrum+of+Evil · · Score: 1

      Cash is something that can be used to hold value, without government backing

      You need some way to cut down on counterfeiting, so government backing is necessary once your population is large enough to have a printing press.

      --
      "We returned the General to El Salvador, or maybe Guatemala, it's difficult to tell from 10,000 feet"
    6. Re:Not bad by UserGoogol · · Score: 1

      Why would Slashdot post a story about economic theory? Only nerds care about stuff like that. No, Gilligan's Island is what the Slashdotters want.

      --
      "Never attribute to malice that which can be adequately explained by stupidity." -- Hanlon's Razor
    7. Re:Not bad by Brandybuck · · Score: 1

      why do so many web developers turn writer?

      Because it's obvious they can't code!

      --
      Don't blame me, I didn't vote for either of them!
    8. Re:Not bad by gujo-odori · · Score: 1

      The article notes that the dinars were relatively difficult to counterfeit, so that serves as kind of a built-in enforcement mechanism. If the note is hard enough to counterfeit that people will be able to identify most counterfeits, then even without a government to bust the counterfeiters, there won't be a serious problem with counterfeiting.

    9. Re:Not bad by DLWormwood · · Score: 1
      For the person who wrote the headline, and obviously is clueless...

      For the record, I didn't write the headline, it originally was...

      Economist Takes Old TV Show Way Too Seriously

      But I think Michael thought it was a little too snarky...

      The article does make valid economic points (especially if you are Libertarian), but the notion of using money on the island was probably an afterthought by the show's writers. (As the essayist admits himself.)

      --
      Those who complain about affect & effect on /. should be disemvoweled
    10. Re:Not bad by cayenne8 · · Score: 1
      The heck with this.....I still prefer Mary Ann over Ginger...

      :-)

      --
      Light travels faster than sound. This is why some people appear bright until you hear them speak.........
    11. Re:Not bad by Fulcrum+of+Evil · · Score: 1

      The heck with this.....I still prefer Mary Ann over Ginger...

      My question to you: Why choose?

      --
      "We returned the General to El Salvador, or maybe Guatemala, it's difficult to tell from 10,000 feet"
    12. Re:Not bad by Grotus · · Score: 1

      I don't see anything wrong with the headline, since it is exactly the same as the title of the essay.

      --
      "From my cold, dead hands you damn, dirty apes!" - CH
  3. That's cause by fred911 · · Score: 3, Funny

    Everyone knows. Cash is king! (even if you can't do a damn thing with it:-)

    --
    09 F9 11 02 9D 74 E3 5B - D8 41 56 C5 63 56 88 C0 45 5F E1 04 22 CA 29 C4 93 3F 95 05 2B 79 2A B2
    1. Re:That's cause by xCepheus · · Score: 1

      Everyone knows that "greenbacks" can provide hours of entertainment...

      "Have you ever looked at the back of a $20 bill? Have you ever looked at the back of a $20 bill... on weed? Look, there's a guy in the bushes. What's he gonna do? What's he gonna do? RED TEAM GO! BLUE TEAM GO!"

      -Half Baked

    2. Re:That's cause by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ahhh jon stewart. So excellent.

    3. Re:That's cause by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, Cash is NOT King
      Elvis is King.
      Johnny Cash is just some dead country singer.

  4. I smelt a slashdotting coming... by djsmiley · · Score: 4, Informative

    So here is some caches...

    http://216.239.59.104/search?q=cache:f9Bdhed8_h8J: www.mises.org/+&hl=en

    http://216.239.59.104/search?q=cache:8-dfbA5SWVwJ: www.tvtome.com/GilligansIsland/+&hl=en

    Also i have to say this is a rather strange artical. I've taken a quick look at it and if im honest, im totally lost!.

    P.S. Sorry for the untidy formatting, its late at night.

    --
    - http://www.milkme.co.uk
    1. Re:I smelt a slashdotting coming... by Niet3sche · · Score: 1
      smelt?

      Aha!

      A fishy joke for us, then!

      :D

      I love it.

    2. Re:I smelt a slashdotting coming... by GreedyCapitalist · · Score: 1, Informative

      Thanks to the power of ASP.Net, there's no need for the cache - the server is running at under 25% CPU usage. Take that, LAMP-lovers! - Mises.org webmaster

  5. Text by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Informative

    The Monetary Economics of Thurston Howell III
    by B.K. Marcus

    [Posted August 31, 2004]

    Gilligan's Island is now out on DVD, reawakening the unanswered questions of childhood: why does the Skipper let Gilligan help with anything when he knows he'll just screw it up? Why did the movie star take a day cruise in an evening gown? Why did two of the richest people in the world board a dinky boat with the hoi polloi instead of leasing a private yacht? And why do any of the other stranded castaways treat the millionaire's government money as valuable while stuck on an island where no such government can enforce its value?

    Because it's just a dumb TV show.

    But that last question stuck with me. Would fiat dollars be treated as valuable without the government around to enforce its fiat? My impression in childhood was that money belonged to the government, was inextricably bound to the government, and we, the citizens of the government, were just using the money "on loan" so to speak. This impression came not only from the look of the money itself, but from American history, as children's cartoons had communicated it to me. (One Scooby Doo episode ends with the hidden "treasure" turning out to be a case full of hoarded and now worthless Confederate dollars.)

    A Brief Monetary History of Gilligan's Island

    In early episodes, we see Mr. Howell hiring various services from other castaways. We eventually learn he's been writing checks on a mainland (and therefore inaccessible) bank. This works while the group consider their condition temporary, but the checks are quickly devalued and eliminated when the castaways begin to prepare for the possibility of an indefinite stay on the island.

    In Episode 9, "The Big Gold Strike," Gilligan and Mr. Howell find a gold mine on the island, which Howell convinces Gilligan to keep secret from the others. By the time everyone learns about the mine, Howell has already taken the lion's share of the most easily accessible gold. He'd like to hoard it for himself, but the other castaways begin charging him for their goods and services. Soon everyone has a small fortune in gold, which they all try to smuggle aboard a tiny escape raft. Their collected wealth, of course, ends up at the bottom of the lagoon.

    In later episodes, monetary exchange takes place in US paper currency. Was it impossible to recover the gold from the lagoon? Perhaps the writers found it more convenient to deal in the money the television viewers themselves were most familiar with. We might dismiss this as economic naivete on the part of the writers, but recent history provides evidence that fiat paper can, in fact, outlive its government. Not only that, but post-fiat money -- dead government currency -- can out-compete American greenbacks!

    Undead Money

    After the invasion of Iraq, there was no more central bank printing dinars and no more Iraqi government to put the fiat behind its fiat currency. The American military started handing out US$20 bills and expected the Dinar to fade from existence. Instead, to the chagrin of the occupation force, the Dinar's value doubled against the Dollar in two weeks. Statues of Saddam Hussein were being toppled, but his face was still on the preferred currency, and gaining in popularity. Some saw this as patriotism: a silent protest by the occupied population against the invading force. But we need only look further north, to the Kurd-controlled areas, to find a more economic explanation.

    After the first Gulf War, Iraq changed its currency from the so-called Swiss Dinar to the more recent Saddam Dinar. When a government changes its fiat currency, it announces a transition period during which the old bills can be brought in and exchanged for the new. After the window closes, the old notes are declared worthless.

    To no one's surprise, the rebel Kurds did not visit the Iraqi government to make such an exchange. They just kept using the old money. It was familiar, hard to counterfeit, and in its post-fiat status,

  6. Secrets of the Federal Reserve by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

    Read the following to learn more.
    Free online book:
    http://aor.cat4.net/nwo/sfr/index.php/

    1. Re:Secrets of the Federal Reserve by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      oh good lord - this wil be entertaining... anything that mentions the "rothschild's" just *has* to end babbling about lizard-aliens, right?

  7. But Why... by darth_MALL · · Score: 4, Funny

    If they can do this, surely there's someone publishing a paper on "How to make a geiger counter from coconuts". At least I hope they are...

  8. I tried to RTFA... by steevo.com · · Score: 4, Funny

    ...but after a few paragraphs I couldn't stop thinking about the most important Gilligan's Island question: Ginger or Mary Ann?

    1. Re:I tried to RTFA... by NeoSkandranon · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Both.

      --
      If you can't see the value in jet powered ants you should turn in your nerd card. - Dunbal (464142)
    2. Re:I tried to RTFA... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      definately Mary Ann

    3. Re:I tried to RTFA... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      standard answer is ginger for a night, maryanne for the long run.

      blah blah blah

    4. Re:I tried to RTFA... by Tackhead · · Score: 5, Funny
      > ...but after a few paragraphs I couldn't stop thinking about the most important Gilligan's Island question: Ginger or Mary Ann?

      If I had a million coconuts, I'll tell you what I'd do. Ginger and Mary Ann.

    5. Re:I tried to RTFA... by LurkerXXX · · Score: 4, Funny

      Then there are always a few sickos who'd go for Mrs. Howell.

    6. Re:I tried to RTFA... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      **shudder**

    7. Re:I tried to RTFA... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      while Mr Howell watches

    8. Re:I tried to RTFA... by Paulrothrock · · Score: 1
      I think your subject should be "Oblig. Office Space Quote"

      Fuckin' A.

      --
      I'm in the hole of the broadband donut.
    9. Re:I tried to RTFA... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      now that you mention it (via sig)...Kerry has that long face thing...

      We all know what that means ;-)

      (and will someone tell me?)

    10. Re:I tried to RTFA... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      can you say threesome

    11. Re:I tried to RTFA... by bobobobo · · Score: 2, Funny
      Or Gilligan.

      /shudder

    12. Re:I tried to RTFA... by JudgeFurious · · Score: 1

      Hell yeah. For some reason that damned MSN Butterfly from the commercial popped into my brain just then. I was thinking

      Me: "Ginger or Mary Ann??"
      MSN Butterfly: "Ginger AND Mary Ann!"
      Me: "What about Mrs Howell"
      MSN Butterfly: "How freaky can she get?"

      Then I made myself stop thinking cause that's just wrong.

      --
      Appended to the end of comments you post. 120 chars.
    13. Re:I tried to RTFA... by takotech · · Score: 1

      And I think if you had a million coconuts you could hook that up, cause chicks dig a dude with coconuts.

      Well the kind of chicks that'd double up on a dude like you do.

    14. Re:I tried to RTFA... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And of course liberal gays who'd go after Gilligan. And the Skipper.

      You can't make fun of gays on slashdot, you will offend the mods since they are gay!

    15. Re:I tried to RTFA... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Even Thurston held on to Teddy harder than he did the missus.

  9. Gilligan's Island is a "hook", not the contents by elflet · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Using Gilligan's Island as an example is a "hook" to draw the reader in, just as the mods conflate opinions into their descriptions of a story. The real story is about how people react to new monies being introduced, especially when one regime is replaced by another. The article cites, for example, the practice of US soldiers distributing $20 bills into Iraq in place of the existing Dinars, but people not only kept using the familiar currency but the Dinar doubled in value as compared to the dollar in spite of it no longer being an official currency. Except in the case of truly "breathrough" innovations, the tried and true usually wins out over the new (and presumably intersting) until there's a critical mass using it. Research shows that the point at which a new innovation takes over is around 25% of the available market (which is why the iPod has begun to pop up so widely; people who aren't early-adopter techie types are seeing enough of their friends using them to get over the inertia of not being the first to use something.) So, this is an article about people using familiar currency over new currency; it juat happens they chose a TV show for their hypothetical example rather than making one up out of whole cloth.

    1. Re:Gilligan's Island is a "hook", not the contents by crabpeople · · Score: 2, Insightful

      "Except in the case of truly "breathrough" innovations, the tried and true usually wins out over the new (and presumably intersting) until there's a critical mass using it."..."So, this is an article about people using familiar currency over new currency"

      i sort of read it as people using a stable currency with no possibility of inflation, over something that could fluctuate wildly. This is why he was talking about a finite amount of money as apposed to the unknown amount of gold in the islands mine.

      also this sort of explains why the US federal resevere will one day collapse do to lack of being backed by anything (b/c of the abandonment of the gold standard)

      or at least thats how i read the article.

      --
      I'll just use my special getting high powers one more time...
    2. Re:Gilligan's Island is a "hook", not the contents by JohnDeHope3 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      "The real story is about how people react to new monies..." No. The real story is about how people react to non-inflationary monies. The old Iraqi currency didn't remain popular because it was old, it was popular because it was not being printed in mass quantities. Recall that if the supply of something rises, the price must fall. This is just as true for currency as it is for anything else that has cost associated with it.

    3. Re:Gilligan's Island is a "hook", not the contents by ahdeoz · · Score: 5, Informative

      The whole point of government backed "fiat" money (which was completely missed in the article) is that the supply of money is regulated. Current dollars represent an amount of previous dollars, which represented an amount of gold, which represented an amount of coconuts, which were bartered for fish for cream pies once upon a time. The "fiat" is there to primarily to prevent counterfitting to make sure that the supply remains fairly constant (though gradually increasing over time as more wealth is "created.) The money exchange market (and the market in general, i.e., the price of goods and services, and especially loan interest rates) act as checks that the declared value does not exceed the actual value in previous commodities. Dinars doubled in value because there was a fixed amount (as long as counterfitting did not occur -- which is why it could only continue for a short time) and the quantity of dollars in circulation was rapidly increasing. The "post-fiat" dinars were still directly tied to the dollar (gold) standard but there was a massive influx of gold (greenbacks) at the time, resulting in inflation.

    4. Re:Gilligan's Island is a "hook", not the contents by operagost · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Nearly every nation uses unbacked currency now, so I guess we're all screwed.

      --

      Gamingmuseum.com: Give your 3D accelerator a rest.
    5. Re:Gilligan's Island is a "hook", not the contents by Malor · · Score: 1

      The whole point of government-issued fiat money is control over the economy and the ability to extract more value without the citizens noticing or complaing. The money supply doesn't need regulation any more than the soap supply does; if there's not enough, prices will adjust. If there's too much, prices will adjust.

      Real money is simply the most marketable commodity. Fiat money is a tax system.

    6. Re:Gilligan's Island is a "hook", not the contents by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Actually, I sort of take the article to be the basic Libertarian line that the world would be so much better if the government just didn't get involved. In this case, there will be money with or without government involvement, but it will be more stable if the government isn't involved.

      Based on the article, I am led to think that with more people in the country, and more items on the market (both type and number), more money would be required simply to maintain a stable value. Otherwise you get deflation (?), and the money becomes more valuable, and harder to obtain for the have-nots. Therefore, printing money is important, but it has to be at a rate matching the GDP.

    7. Re:Gilligan's Island is a "hook", not the contents by William+Tanksley · · Score: 1

      Fiat isn't there to prevent counterfeiting; it's to legitimatize it. That's the entire meaning of "fiat": it's the creation of money that's money just because someone said so. It's usually opposed to a market currency.

      Counterfeiters are people who imitate the stamp of the official money; with fiat money, that's all they have to do, since only the stamp gives it value. With a market currency they also have to imitate the economic value of the money-good (such as the properties of gold).

      -Billy

    8. Re:Gilligan's Island is a "hook", not the contents by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      do to lack of being backed

      "due".

    9. Re:Gilligan's Island is a "hook", not the contents by DerWulf · · Score: 1

      so what do you think greenspan does when he lowers interest rates once again? Where does the additional money come from for the new credits that are extended? Why, from the printing press of course. So 'regulated' is still true but doesn't have anything to do with keeping the money supply stable. In fact, every move towards 'paper' money happened at times when the government was really short on cash, like during the civil war, and helped it a great deal since new paper money is easier to create than gold. Libertarians call this the inflation tax.

      --

      ___
      No power in the 'verse can stop me
    10. Re:Gilligan's Island is a "hook", not the contents by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There are several reasons that the Dinar is still popular.
      1) The "bad" guys are going to have Dinars... and they will not have US $20 bills. 2) The people are familiar with Dinars. They stuck them under their mattresses. It's what they're going to use because they used it in the past. 3) This isn't Russia or Mexico. Russia and Mexico devalued their currency so many times that their currency was worthless... the dollar became sought after because of its' value. 'Nuff said.

    11. Re:Gilligan's Island is a "hook", not the contents by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Well,

      the whole article has some big lacks, and you are close in pointing it out. the biggest mistake is the term: .

      Fiat money is not backed. Thats why it is called fiat. Its basicly worthless, there is no reserve on "gold" or anything equivalent causing its worth. Of course the government, or more pesicely the reserves bank(or how the national bank is called) is trying to "drive" the value of the money fitting their needs. In general they try to keep its value high ... but as inflation and the core interest rates show, a small inflation is allways accepted.

      The article reatly and the posters here as well use that phrase: fiat money backed by the government ... just liked to point that out :D

      angel'o'sphere

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    12. Re:Gilligan's Island is a "hook", not the contents by IncohereD · · Score: 1

      The whole point of government backed "fiat" money (which was completely missed in the article) is that the supply of money is regulated... The "fiat" is there to primarily to prevent counterfitting to make sure that the supply remains fairly constant (though gradually increasing over time as more wealth is "created.)

      Except you always have the possibility of the government crashing (i.e. Argentina) or going a little batty (i.e. pre-WWII) Germany, and completely messing up the currency. Ideally the government is going to try to keep the currency stable, but maybe they want to increase exports this month, or lower interest rates, or whatever. It's really quite the shell game (har, har).

    13. Re:Gilligan's Island is a "hook", not the contents by Gooba42 · · Score: 1
      Recall that if the supply of something rises, the price must fall. This is just as true for currency as it is for anything else that has cost associated with it.

      This is just patently untrue. The price should fall but witness the current price of gasoline in the US.

      There is less demand so the companies raise the price to make the same revenue from less volume. By all accounts they have a glut on the supply side right now due to decreased consumer spending but the price continues to climb.

      This isn't a Free Market and in this particular case it isn't government interference which has it out of whack. It's greed and what is effectively an oil trust fixing prices.

      --
      I just found out there's no such thing as the real world. It's just a lie you've got to rise above. - John Mayer
    14. Re:Gilligan's Island is a "hook", not the contents by BCoates · · Score: 1

      But the 'deflation' of the post-invasion dinar (relative to the USD and the price of goods) represented a real underlying change in the iraqi economy. USD had been hard to get for some time, and as the war started the price of goods shot up in anticipation of things being hard to come by for some time (salam pax wrote about it at the time in his blog), and a stack of paper with Saddam's face on it doesn't do you too much good in a war zone. When the invasion ended USD stopped being impossible to get and people (correctly) assumed the US buy out the old iraqi dollar for some new currency, so its value went (back) up.

      Trying to fight these symptoms (of real scarcity and real surplus) by controlling the dinar supply would just make things worse, even if you managed to do it 'correctly' you're still robbing people of important pricing information and de-valuing the money as a useful medium of exchange.

      I think the article author would claim that the Iraqi dinar would maintain its value even if the prospects of a new government coming along to honor it were dim. I think that's more wishful thinking by someone who wants a painless way out of a fiat currency than based in reality, though.

    15. Re:Gilligan's Island is a "hook", not the contents by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This is so far from the truth you're "not even wrong". You might try reading chapter 10 of Man, Economy, and State

  10. Thurston Howell by TrentL · · Score: 4, Funny

    I'll bet he could have bought a lot of these.

    Yeah, it's off topic, but so is the original post. So there.

  11. Re:End of the Rainbow? by djsmiley · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    shame you failed so badly there.

    On the other hand if anyone would like a gmail account, they could just ASK me? Its something like ask slashdot but you get a worthwhile answer.

    Is anyones elses head hurting while we wait for the 3rd link to recover?

    --
    - http://www.milkme.co.uk
  12. Mary Ann. by Cowclops · · Score: 2, Funny

    Mary Ann. Duh.

  13. Re:End of the Rainbow? by Reene · · Score: 1

    I was this --> ||
    Oh well, not like I really need one anyway.

    --
    "He does look a bit Oompa like, even if his Loompa is a bit off-kilter."
  14. Science? by Hatta · · Score: 2, Interesting

    As if economics were science. At least sociologists perform controlled experiments from time to time. Economists use the same sort of observations and reasoning to support their predetermined conclusions that lead people to conclude that the burn mark on that tortilla is an apparition of jesus. In short, economics is a branch of philosophy rather than science. Not that there's anything wrong with that. Philosophy is useful and important, but we have to remember that nothing in economics is as tested and as certain as anything else we call science.

    --
    Give me Classic Slashdot or give me death!
    1. Re:Science? by E-Rock · · Score: 1

      More like psychology than philosophy. In both the tests required to provide repeatable proof are either impossible or immoral.

    2. Re:Science? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      AMEN. You (perhaps intentionally) have picked up on the attitude toward economics that Mises.org professes. Ludwig von Mises established his study of economics as a study of thought in the a priori method, not an observational science steeped in the a posteriori (scientific) method.

    3. Re:Science? by Nick+of+NSTime · · Score: 2, Informative

      Economics is one of the social sciences. Given the amount of math one has to take to earn a BSc in Economics, it deserves its status as a branch of science!

    4. Re:Science? by Hatta · · Score: 2, Interesting

      More like psychology than philosophy. In both the tests required to provide repeatable proof are either impossible or immoral.

      There's a good deal of actual scientific research in psychology. The one that comes to mind is the Milgram experiment. If you don't know about it, you need to. There are also experiments in developmental psychology that tell us when children pick up concepts like the amount of liquid doesn't change when you pour it into a different shaped container.

      --
      Give me Classic Slashdot or give me death!
    5. Re:Science? by TeaQuaffer · · Score: 1

      It isn't science unless it follows the Scientific Method

      The problem with economics, psychology, et al., is that the experiment must be repeatable. One counterexample disproves a theory. While economics rightly borrows much from science, it is not a science.

      Of course, now we have to throw out quantum mechanics, which is fundamentally not repeatable, but that is another story...

      --
      Sola Deo Gloria!
    6. Re:Science? by Hatta · · Score: 1

      I forgot the link for the Milgram experiment

      --
      Give me Classic Slashdot or give me death!
    7. Re:Science? by Coz · · Score: 3, Insightful

      It's a "social Science" because they follow the scientific method as well as they can, but it's nigh unto impossible to actually perform meaningful experiments in economics above the micro- level (unless you're a world oil power, in which case you can experiment with demand-curves all you want). That's one of the weaknesses of the scientific method when applied to things above the biologcal scale - you can come up with the hypothesis, you can even come up with the experiment - but for it to be meaningful, you'd have to persuade a few thousand people to take part without modifying any other elements of their behavior. Tough for them.

      --
      I love vegetarians - some of my favorite foods are vegetarians.
    8. Re:Science? by Lehk228 · · Score: 0

      Math isn't science

      --
      Snowden and Manning are heroes.
    9. Re:Science? by JohnDeHope3 · · Score: 1

      You've never read Mises? He begins with the self-evident and works his way up from there. It's great stuff. Your assertion that economics is not a science is wrong. Economics as practiced by a vast majority of economists is not. But economics as performed by Austrians (the author of this article is one) tries to be.

    10. Re:Science? by Hatta · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The essence of scientific knowledge is its testability. One could create a complicated system of numerology (fortune telling) that required years of calculus. Wouldn't make it science.

      --
      Give me Classic Slashdot or give me death!
    11. Re:Science? by GoofyBoy · · Score: 2, Insightful

      >Economists use the same sort of observations and reasoning to support their predetermined conclusions

      How do your perform an controlled experiment in astronomy?
      Can you prove anything palentology since there is only one general set of fossils made in one specific set of conditions we can study?

      Or are these all non-science areas?

      --
      The surprise isn't how often we make bad choices; the surprise is how seldom they defeat us.
    12. Re:Science? by Hatta · · Score: 1

      You've never read Mises? He begins with the self-evident and works his way up from there. It's great stuff.

      Nope don't know him. But reasoning a priori is not science unless it is supported by emperical data. It is true that the gedanken is employed to great effect, but it must always provide testable hypotheses to be anything more than speculation.

      Your assertion that economics is not a science is wrong. Economics as practiced by a vast majority of economists is not. But economics as performed by Austrians (the author of this article is one) tries to be.

      Interesting. Can you provide an example or two of the types of experiments they do?

      --
      Give me Classic Slashdot or give me death!
    13. Re:Science? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Any field of study employing the phrase 'qualitative
      analysis', in a non-humorous context, is not a 'science'.

    14. Re:Science? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      If you spend some time and read the mises.org site (Mises/Rothbard/Hayek) you would realise that they take issue with the Keynesians on this specific issue.

      Keynes was a mathematictian, who tried to put the field of economics under the umbrella of math/physics and thus tried to make it a "hard" science.

      Mises and others, notablely Rothbard, believe that economics belongs not under the science heading (because it is not reproducable, plus other reasons) but should be considered under the area of philisophy. The actual name given to this philosopy is praxeology.

      A VERY good book to read on this is "Man, Economy and State" by Murray Rothbard.

      And if some of this seem obvious to you slashdotter's, congradulations, that puts you way ahead of thousands of "so called" economists whole spend their whole lives trying to decypher rules from vast amounts of economic data without having a valid initial undertanding of what they are looking at.

      Like saying that Astrology is equivalent to Astronomy because they both make careful study of the stars.

    15. Re:Science? by Com2Kid · · Score: 1
      • How do your perform an controlled experiment in astronomy?


      Well, you send a man up to space and have'em report on back down that yes, indeed, the world IS round, and there ARE lots of stars. :-D

      Seriously though, controlled experiments does not neccessarily have to mean double blind, which is only really needed for cases when human subjectivity can get in the way.

      If a giant meteor is approaching, nothing to subjective about that (well except for maybe what to do next. ;) )
    16. Re:Science? by scruffyMark · · Score: 2, Insightful
      One could create a complicated system of numerology (fortune telling) that required years of calculus.

      Been done - it's called economics.

      --

      What is the robbing of a bank, compared to the founding of a bank? -- Bertolt Brecht

    17. Re:Science? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And numerology isn't math.

      Really, a bit of high school calculus and freshman statistics is about all it takes to do economics. Try comparing to a real science (physics, chemistry, ...), or even engineering. Most gamblers have a better intuitive grasp of mathematics than the typical economist, who is really just a carnival fortune teller trying to dress up their self-serving predictions with a bit of high-brow mathematical jargon.

      How many economists use differential equations, solve high-dimensionality problems, or do high accuracy fluid flow calculations (all branches of engineering, sorry comp-scientists..). All of these might actually be useful in economics, but economists are not using supercomputers. Hmm...

    18. Re:Science? by techno-vampire · · Score: 1

      quantum mechanics is repeatable, if you go about it the right way. Predictions in quantum mechanics are expressed as probabilities, so you need to repeat the proceedure many times to see if the various results are observed in the predicted percentages.

      --
      Good, inexpensive web hosting
    19. Re:Science? by CGP314 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I have a BSc in a real science (Physics) and have taken more than my fair share of Economics classes. You could use lots of very complicated math to describe love, but that does not make it any more scientific.

    20. Re:Science? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Have you ever studied economics?

      It is a science. You build models and use them to help you understand the real world. Supply and demand, etc., are *models* just like gravity is model to describe what happens in the real world.

      The reason economics is never good at predicting anything with accuracy is because it's really hard to figure out the inputs to the models.

      Do you really believe a statement like this is philosophy: if the price goes down, all things being equal, demand will rise.

      How about this: an object in motion will remain in motion.

      Both of those are true statements but only in the abstract, because they both make incorrect assumptions. In the first case, other things are *not* always equal, and in the second case, there are these pesky lumps of mass in the universe that sometimes interfere with moving objects.

    21. Re:Science? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You are studying stars. You wish to test the hypothesis that blue stars are rich in helium. You take a sample of 10000 stars chosen at random and throw out all the non-blue ones, giving you 1000 blue stars. You take another sample of 10000 stars chosen at random in the same way as the first - they are the control group. You measure the helium abundances by observing the spectra of both groups of stars using identical procedures.

      Congratulations, you have carried out a controlled experiment in astronomy. Have a PhD.

      You have a better point when it comes to cosmology and planetary science, since there's only one Universe, and only one Mars, but it's still possible to do e.g. controlled experiments which simulate the universe in a computer, which you can compare with observational data.

      As far as paleontology goes, you might be right, I can't think of a counter-example. Anyone?

    22. Re:Science? by gilroy · · Score: 1
      Blockquoth the poster:

      How do your perform an controlled experiment in astronomy?

      You observe a statistically huge number of events and see if the distributions match the theory. Most philosophers of science will, implicitly at least, add "statistical observation" to "controlled experimentation" as the methods of science.

      'Course, it's the application of physical law (as derived and tested on Earth) to the celestial realm that makes it into astrophysics and not astronomy. Astronomy is to astrophysics as taxonomy is to biology.
    23. Re:Science? by gilroy · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Essentially no practicing scientist actually follows the hallowed "Scientific Method". Taken as a whole, the endeavor we call "science" more or less follows the method. The Scientific Method as quote in Wikipedia and in middle school textbooks throughout the land, is a comforting fiction.

      The essence of science is the construction of falsifiable theories whose falseness can, in principle, be established by experiment (or observation of a large number of systems, which admits astrophysics and quantum mechanics into the club). The problem with economics, as a whole, is that the system studied is so complex and so ill-constrained, that it's hard to design experiments (or studies) that rise above the social noise.

    24. Re:Science? by kalidasa · · Score: 3, Insightful

      You observe a statistically huge number of events and see if the distributions match the theory. Most philosophers of science will, implicitly at least, add "statistical observation" to "controlled experimentation" as the methods of science.

      And this differs from the methodology of economics in what way?

    25. Re:Science? by gilroy · · Score: 1
      Blockquoth the poster:

      And this differs from the methodology of economics in what way?

      Great question. That's why I, unlike many others here, am not willing to exclude economics as a science a priori. There are however feedback effects in economics that make it currently doubtful whether any model can be made simultaneously (a) complex enough to shed light on the operations of the economy while remaining (b) simple enough to avoid being swamped by social noise.

      Or to put it another way: When an economic model fails, there is always some reason why -- some "freak occurence" -- that allows the model to not have failed. Or, more simply: It seems impossible, with the current state of economics (and economists!) to actually settle anything via experiment or observation.
    26. Re:Science? by John+Bullock · · Score: 1

      You wish to test the hypothesis that blue stars are rich in helium. You take a sample of 10000 stars chosen at random and throw out all the non-blue ones, giving you 1000 blue stars. You take another sample of 10000 stars chosen at random in the same way as the first - they are the control group. You measure the helium abundances by observing the spectra of both groups of stars using identical procedures.

      Congratulations, you have carried out a controlled experiment in astronomy.


      Is there anything experimental in this? Randomization alone doesn't make an experiment, and
      the study you describe seems exactly analogous to observational studies in the social sciences.

      You wish to test the hypothesis that white Americans have received more formal education than
      Americans in general. You take a random sample of Americans and calculate the mean level of
      education of the whites. You take a second random sample and calculate overall mean
      education of that second sample. You test for significant differences between your two means,
      e.g., with a t-test.

      Congratulations: you have an observational study. It's hardly an experiment: you've
      manipulated nothing and controlled nothing. It may have descriptive validity -- it may let you
      know that whites are better-educated -- but there's no manipulation here, and the study isn't
      much use if you want to make causal claims about education levels.

      You take another sample of 10000 stars chosen at random in the same way as the first -- they are the control group.

      In what sense is this a control group? Nothing is manipulated in this study -- there is no
      difference between your "control" and "treatment" samples, certainly none that you impose.
      This doesn't even qualify as a "natural experiment."

      --John

    27. Re:Science? by bhirsch · · Score: 1

      So-called sciences like sociology rely, at the core on pure subjectivity. Economics, at the very least, breaks down to variables that are quantifiable, even if they can be difficult to measure accurately.

    28. Re:Science? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      The problem with economics, psychology, et al., is that the experiment must be repeatable. One counterexample disproves a theory. While economics rightly borrows much from science, it is not a science. Of course, now we have to throw out quantum mechanics, which is fundamentally not repeatable, but that is another story...
      Not to mention astronomy, one of the oldest sciences. Seriously, people! An astronomy can't always perform an experiment, get a result, and then perform it again to verify. Much of astronomy is based on observations (it is a passive science). An astronomer formulates a model for some behaviour that is unexplained, then attempts to make observations that will confirm or deny her hypothesis. It's entirely possible for her to be correct and yet not observe any positive results (think of SETI, which is done very scientifically and yet so far has not had any positive results). Economics is a science, whether you want to admit it or not. An economy is a vastly complex thing with millions of interactions occurring all the time. Thus economists must take the same stance as astronomers, they formulate a model that attempts to explain an observed behaviour and then watch a market to see if their model can predict its actions. If the model is wrong, it will be discarded. If it seems to be good, it will be kept and possibly enhanced over time. What about that isn't scientific?
    29. Re:Science? by S3D · · Score: 1
      One could create a complicated system of numerology (fortune telling) that required years of calculus.
      Been done - it's called economics.

      Another example is the suprestrings theory :)
    30. Re:Science? by DudeG · · Score: 1

      And if you read Ludwig von Mises' Human Action, that's almost exactly the point he is making.

      A lot of people here are talking about the amount of math needed in economics - and they're right as far as mainstream econ goes. But Mises took the a priori approach. His work reads like a philosophy text, not a math book.

      Like it or loathe it (and I happen to like his approach - even if I don't agree with all his conclusions), Mises' economics has little in common with the mainstream stuff.

    31. Re:Science? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Mathematics is the Queen of the Sciences.

    32. Re:Science? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      http://andrewlias.blogspot.com/2004/08/is-mathemat ics-science.html

      "For starters, does mathematics even follow the scientific method? Observation, hypothesis, experimentation, testing, verification?

      In what may come as a surprise to some, yes, it does. This is where the prevalent style does a disservice to an accurate perception of research mathematics. A mathematician engaging in research does not produce a statement for a theorem and proceed to prove it. She is usually feeling her way in the unknown as much as any scientist. She will consider some specific examples (observations), and try to see if they have a property or not. She will formulate some questions, both general and specific, and try to see how she can answer them for specific cases. She may then attempt a general statement (hypothesis), and proceed to attempt a proof (experimentation); sometimes, if that fails, she will attempt to construct a counterexample (falsification and testing). This process continues until the mathematician finally obtains an argument establishing her hypothesis, or she manages to disprove it (or, finding herself unable to do either, sets it aside and tries something else...)"

      Excellent stuff, took me fifteen minutes to find it via google so I guess it's worth posting here.

    33. Re:Science? by Fortress · · Score: 1

      > The essence of scientific knowledge is its testability.

      By that argument, astronomy isn't a science, either. It is based almost purely on observation, not experimentation, just like economics. I think the real reason economics gets such a bad rap is that it is such a young, immature science, having only been around for about 230 years (most agree the birth of modern economics was with Smiths "Wealth of Nations" in 1776).

    34. Re:Science? by scambaiter · · Score: 1
      Its so funny that people never seem to see psychology as a "real" science. They always think stuff like its about chatting a litte bit about intelligence and personality and when you are finished you write a cute little paper.

      It is true that for centuries psychology was a field of philosophy, but in 18th and 19th century it evolved into a completely seperate field. People like Wundt felt that one should try to use the paradigms of science (esp. physics) for researching the human mind. Since these times psychology mostly tried to apply those paradigms and became an experimental science which added some nice methods to the field of statistics, for example factor analysis. Just think of it: measuring and researching things you cant directly measure - you need some good ideas to do that.

      Commenting what the grandparent said: In both the tests required to provide repeatable proof are either impossible or immoral. This is just crap. As in most other sciences psychologists of course require that you can repeat experiments. But hey, its /., so everyone is invited to add some comment without knowing what hes talking about...

      --
      sick of sigs... *sigh*
    35. Re:Science? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      ... As if economics were science. At least sociologists perform controlled experiments from time to time ...


      Wrong again, idiot. There is a thing called the Nobel Prize in Economics. In 2002, it was given to one of the pioneers of a field called experimental economics, Vernon Smith, mentioned at Nobel Laureates in Economics, 2002

      Smith spent the last forty years doing the kinds of controlled lab experiments you evidently haven't heard about, disproving many classical economic theories, and influencing others to replicate and extend these kinds of experiments.

      The real drawback to economics, as evidenced by this entire thread, is that it is hard to understand, like Roman numerals. On the first day of Roman arithmetic class, the teacher showed the pupils how to write Roman numeral I. That was exciting. Then he showed how to write Roman numeral II. By now, the /.ers among the Roman noble children were getting restive. They let him drone on about how to write number III, but then couldn't take it any more. The /.ers jumped up, asked for the homework assignment (which was to write the Roman numerals from 1 to 100) and blew before learning about IV, V, and so on. They went home and stayed up all night, writing, IIII, IIIII, IIIIII, and so on. The whole time they could be heard cursing and wishing someone would write some code to do this for them ... These kinds of Roman noble children can't be bothered learning basic economics.
    36. Re:Science? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Do you really believe a statement like this is philosophy: if the price goes down, all things being equal, demand will rise."

      Yes. "Things being" is a philsophical concept, unlike "objects".

      There are also many counter examples and in most introductory economics courses, the above statement is presented as a generalization of market behaviour that is employed as a starting point for some simplistic models.

      "How about this: an object in motion will remain in motion."

      Economics is applied maths, not science. The tools of science, observation, theory, modeling, are all applied to economics. However, in economics there is almost always an exception that does not fit the model. Restricting the scale(newtonian vs quantum dynamics) to which the models apply fixes this in physics. However, in economics, there is no clear deliniation related to scale.

      It's this lack of consistancy that put economics outside the realm of science.

      Another way of looking at it is that economics, sociology, psychology, education, and other fields that employ the tools of science all require the application of some philosophical qualification to
      models and data. This is not the case with the sciences, physics and math. It can be argued that other 'sciences' are merely applied physics and/or math.

    37. Re:Science? by Darby · · Score: 1

      Given the amount of math one has to take to earn a BSc in Economics, it deserves its status as a branch of science!

      Dude, the watered down version of lower division calculus does *not* qualify as taking a lot of math.

    38. Re:Science? by Russ+Nelson · · Score: 1

      Economics has repeatable experiments, and politicans repeat them all the time. Print up 10% more dollars, and inflation rises, reducing the value of the dollar by 10% over time. The interesting thing is not that economics is a science, but that politicians are surprised when the experiment comes out the same way every time.
      -russ

      --
      Don't piss off The Angry Economist
    39. Re:Science? by Russ+Nelson · · Score: 1

      reasoning a priori is not science unless it is supported by emperical data.

      That's exactly what the Austrian school does. You figure out what MUST happen, and then see if it does. If it doesn't, then you screwed up.
      -russ

      --
      Don't piss off The Angry Economist
    40. Re:Science? by Russ+Nelson · · Score: 1

      It seems impossible, with the current state of economics (and economists!) to actually settle anything via experiment or observation.

      Exactly why some economists maintain that the science has headed off down a dead end. Most economics results these days is worthless trash. To find the gems in economics, you must go back to the output of Hayek or von Mises.
      -russ

      --
      Don't piss off The Angry Economist
    41. Re:Science? by E-Rock · · Score: 1

      Not sure where you got confused, but there ARE a lot of experiments that you just can't do. This requires that you do soft experiments.

      I happen to be studying econ, so I wasn't putting either down, but there are very wide areas in both disciplines that are just off limits.

    42. Re:Science? by scambaiter · · Score: 1
      Sure there is a lot of stuff you cant do, im especially thinking of ethics here. Same problem in medical research, though.

      Even physics has reached limits where they cant directly observe the subjects of research, so it just happens that due to the nature of research in psychology and economics those limits are reached earlier.

      Didnt want to start flaming, just tried to provide some background of the history and aims of psychology when i read the thread...

      --
      sick of sigs... *sigh*
    43. Re:Science? by fupeg · · Score: 1

      Actually you sound like you've never read Mises. The Austrian school is very non-scientific. That's part of their argument against any kind of economic policy (other than pure laissez faire), that any mathematical equations and what not to explain/forecast economies cannot work. They like to refer to how economies are natural forces that cannot be understood. Rigorous mathematical analysis in economics usually springs from more Keynesian approaches. Mises would laugh at such approaches and call you a "planner".

    44. Re:Science? by LaissezFaire · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Austrian economists wouldn't dream of trying. You're thinking about Keynesians, which is what every policy coming out of the Federal government relies on.

      And economists talk about "goods", not "love." Maybe that's why it's the dismal science . . .

    45. Re:Science? by JohnDeHope3 · · Score: 1

      You're right on all counts, I should have been more careful before I opened my mouth.

    46. Re:Science? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Math has nothing to do with economics, either.

    47. Re:Science? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      On the contrary, the Austrians are the only ones who are scientific. Non-Austrian economics is unscientific. Keynesian "economics" is just pure nonsense. Not only unscientific, but in many causes outright insane

    48. Re:Science? by Joey7F · · Score: 1

      I know a guy who created a kind of numerology that could be used to predict the history of man. Not so much of the individual but masses of people. I am on my way to Trantor tomorrow to meet him and his group.

      Apparently the empire could be in some deep shit...

      --Gaal Dornick

  15. I liked it, but... by roninmagus · · Score: 1

    I liked it, and I am no english scholar, but I think the author needs to check here.

    1. Re:I liked it, but... by Nick+of+NSTime · · Score: 5, Informative
      Within the science of economics, fiat means "having no intrinsic value." So fiat money is paper currency that has no intrinsic value because it is simply representative of something of value. The paper itself has no value. Contrast that with gold coins, which have an intrinsic value outside of the currency (its value in gold).

      The word fiat, IIRC, comes from the Italian word for "in faith." You're taking it on faith that the $20 bill you slap into a stripper's t-back, for example, is actually worth $20, even though you will never see the gold that backs up that $20 bill.

    2. Re:I liked it, but... by MadMorf · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Contrast that with gold coins, which have an intrinsic value outside of the currency (its value in gold).

      Ah, but Gold suffers the same problem as fiat money.

      It only has a value because we agree that it does.

      When you get right down to it the only things that have REAL value are the things required to support life.

      Air. Food. Water. The land required to create food. Sunlight.

      Other than that, everything else is negotiable.

    3. Re:I liked it, but... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      retard!

      loser!

      haha!

    4. Re:I liked it, but... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

      Acutally, fiat is straight from Latin, where it means "let it be." Fiat money is used as money because of governmental decree (or fiat), as opposed to commodity money (e.g. gold) which arises from the market.

    5. Re:I liked it, but... by Guy+Harris · · Score: 1

      No, he should check here instead.

      (Is it just me, or does the blue in their logo on their site look somewhat Windows XPish? Is that a consequence of them teaming up with Microsoft, as mentioned on their home page?)

      (And, no, it doesn't stand for "Fix It Again, Tony", it stands for "Fabbrica Italiana Automobili Torino".)

    6. Re:I liked it, but... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative
      The word fiat, IIRC, comes from the Italian word for "in faith."

      Nope. It's latin. Third person present subjunctive of "to be". You could translate it as "let it be so," essentially what the Government says when it declares special paper to be worth something.

    7. Re:I liked it, but... by Coz · · Score: 1

      Gold has value because there is a standing market for it, in which people trade, and supply and demand have set a price. As the author of the paper states, gold is desirable because the supply is stable and the market is well-defined - it has industrial, cosmetic, and financial uses, all of which work to establish a price.

      Platinum, he notes, is not seen as a "currency" because even though it's worth more per unit weight than gold (in the current market), the supply is unstable - new industrial uses for platinum are coming out all the time, and new sources and refining methods are constantly being worked. It's too unstable to be a worthwhile currency.

      --
      I love vegetarians - some of my favorite foods are vegetarians.
    8. Re:I liked it, but... by kfg · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      ". . .all went to seek the yellow gold that the Indians had seen there with Tobacco* fifty years ago. It was the same gold that drove the whites with the cholera over the trail to California, then to Colorado, up the Bozeman trail the Idaho country and now to the Black Hills. Always they ran after the yellow iron that one could not eat or wear or use to heat the winter lodge."

      Cheyenne Autumn -- Mari Sandoz

      *A Cheyenne, not the plant

    9. Re:I liked it, but... by MadMorf · · Score: 1

      Gold has value because there is a standing market for it, in which people trade, and supply and demand have set a price.

      That's what I said.
      Gold has a value because we've agreed that gold has a value.
      As soon as we don't agree that it has a value, it is as worthless as the paper that fiat money is printed on...

    10. Re:I liked it, but... by ahdeoz · · Score: 2, Informative

      no, within the science of economics fiat means "having value determined by: authorization, command, decree, dictate, dictum, edict, endorsement, mandate, ordinance, permission, precept, proclamation, sanction, ukase, warrant" The word fiat comes from the Latin meaning "let it be done" -- borrowed directly from Genesis in the Bible "fiat lux" = "let there be light"

    11. Re:I liked it, but... by operagost · · Score: 1
      Air. Food. Water. The land required to create food. Sunlight.
      Sex.

      They don't call prostitution the world's oldest profession for nothing.

      --

      Gamingmuseum.com: Give your 3D accelerator a rest.
    12. Re:I liked it, but... by ahdeoz · · Score: 2, Interesting

      There isn't much of a market for gold. At $400 an ounce, if this page is right (http://money.howstuffworks.com/question237.htm) then there is only about $4 trillion worth of gold in the world (not just in circulation) hardly enough to cover the national debt. And the bulk of it is kept in hordes (like Ft. Knox), artificially inflating it's price. Gold HAD value because it was declared valuable by fiat by people in power, whether it was Pharoah or Cortes. Lately, gold has gone out of fashion, and not many people desire more than a few ounces of it for decoration. Also, due to the fact that individuals just don't have as much power as they used to, it's hard for anyone outside of Madison Avenue to so dramatically determine something's value.

    13. Re:I liked it, but... by alien+with+a+mighty · · Score: 1

      yuo == teh loser!

    14. Re:I liked it, but... by MadMorf · · Score: 1

      Sex.

      How in the World did I miss that?

    15. Re:I liked it, but... by Malor · · Score: 1

      Money is just the most marketable commodity. There's nothing magical about this. It can be seashells, it could be cow patties. It is whatever commodity is most commonly accepted by the population in question. It grows out of the barter system; instead of trading two pairs of sandals for a hog, I might be willing to trade them for beautiful seashells, because I know I can trade those for the hog I want.

      Past a certain point, you get the 'network effect', where everyone accepts something because everyone ELSE accepts it. Gold happened to be what we settled on historically, because it's beautiful, malleable, fungible, and carries a high value in a small space. (ie, it's quite difficult to mine). It's a good choice, but another most-marketable commodity could certainly arise.

      I've argued with gold bugs who just insist fervently that gold IS MONEY and there's no other money and yadeyadeya. That's not true, all there are is commodities. Gold is unique in that it has value in and of itself; all other currencies are someone else's promise to pay. I think that is why they get all frothy about the gold=money bit... they don't see the larger truth.....but they DO see the inherent fraud in a paper-backed system.

    16. Re:I liked it, but... by ExMember · · Score: 1

      -1 Wrong

      So fiat money is paper currency that has no intrinsic value because it is simply representative of something of value.

      "Fiat money or fiat currency (usually paper money) is a type of currency whose only value is that a government made a fiat (i.e. decreed) that the money is a legal method of exchange." Fiat Money

      The word fiat, IIRC, comes from the Italian word for "in faith."

      "Medieval Latin, from Latin, let it be done"American Heritage® Dictionary

      You're taking it on faith that the $20 bill you slap into a stripper's t-back, for example, is actually worth $20, even though you will never see the gold that backs up that $20 bill.

      "Federal Reserve notes are not redeemable in gold, silver or any other commodity, and receive no backing by anything." US Treasury Currancy FAQ

    17. Re:I liked it, but... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0


      Ah, but Gold suffers the same problem as fiat money.


      Not really. If I have a gold coin, I can make it into some nifty jewelry, or primo connectors for my audio components. The gold is usable in and of itself. (yes, the value depends on how I value jewelry and primo audio components, but the point here is that the value of the gold coin is the value of the gold.

      The only things you can use a $1 bill for is notepaper (due to the extensive printing it makes lousy notepaper) or a bookmark. There is no way that the value of a $1 bill is based on its utility as a bookmark. (don't even get me started on $10000 bills)

    18. Re:I liked it, but... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      umm... You should have hit "dictionary" not thesaurus

      http://dictionary.reference.com/search?q=fiat%20mo ney/a

    19. Re:I liked it, but... by glenmark · · Score: 3, Insightful
      "Federal Reserve notes are not redeemable in gold, silver or any other commodity, and receive no backing by anything."

      Which is precisely why Austrian-school economists (the Mises Institute is dedicated to the study of Austrian-school economics) and Libertarians derisively refer to dollars as "fiat currency." Prior to Nixon's 1971 withdrawal of the U.S. from the Bretton Woods agreement, U.S. Dollars WERE redeemable for gold (at least for settlement of large international transactions). Since then, the dollar has been essentially nothing more than a glorified IOU (like all other currencies in the world today).

      This, combined with out-of-control deficit spending and monetary inflation policies (which essentially constitute a hidden tax on the spending power of working folks), is the cummulative result of almost a century of the dominance of Keynsian economics. Nose around the Mises Institute's site a bit more, folks. It should be an eye-opener.
      --
      *** Quantum Mechanics: The Dreams of Which Stuff is Made ***
    20. Re:I liked it, but... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

      Within the science of economics, fiat means "having no intrinsic value."

      In the automotive field, as well. I owned a couple of those things.

    21. Re:I liked it, but... by Politicus · · Score: 1
      Very good post and if i had any mod points, i'd keep my nose out of this discussion and shower you with them. As it is, i have this to add.

      One of the problems in this article is stated in,

      "The government paper in Howell's suitcases, on the other hand, is easy to transport, hard to counterfeit, lighter than gold, and whatever amount of it the millionaire managed to bring with him is the amount there's going to be for a while."
      but not discussed. That is that the other castaways do not know just how much money Howell brought. Therefore, it might as well be an inexhaustible supply as far as they're concerned. So that's the catch. Howell's currency is only good if they trust that Howell has revealed all that he has brought. Otherwise, it is inflationary until Howell runs out but since nobody really knows when he's run out it might as well be inflationary indefinitely. The article is incorrectly assuming that all parties have complete information about the money supply which is not the case. Howell's not rich because he's a sucker.

      The problem with the Mises Intstitute is that in their valorization of a capitalist economy they forego thinking outside the box. A system barely suitable for largely urbanized populations in complex industrialized societies with global economies may not necessarily apply to a small group stranded on an island. But the Mises Institute wouldn't want to hint at the fact that modes of production can be tailored to our needs because of the undesirable possibility of arriving at a system other than capitalism.

      --
      Politicus
    22. Re:I liked it, but... by roninmagus · · Score: 1

      My point was that he used the word "fiat" a lot. I'd already looked up it's meaning.

      IMO, he used it to the point it was redundant, therefore a link to thesaurus.com.

    23. Re:I liked it, but... by dr_dank · · Score: 1

      fiat means "having no intrinsic value."
      "The word fiat, IIRC, comes from the Italian word for "in faith."


      Having been behind the wheel of one, I have to agree across the board.

      --
      Where does the school board find them and why do they keep sending them to ME?
    24. Re:I liked it, but... by jasonditz · · Score: 1

      You're right... except gold still has benefits over fiat money because:

      1. Gold's demand is not government specific.
      2. Gold supply is predictable
      3. Gold has value/demand beyond its use as a medium of exchange

    25. Re:I liked it, but... by ignavus · · Score: 1

      fiat - (Latin) "let it be" as in the command "fiat lux" = "let there be light"

      "fiat" is not connected with the Latin word "fides" (faith), but it is IIRC distantly connected with the English word "be".

      "fiat money" presumably is some class of object at which the government points and says, "let it be [serve as] money".

      --
      I am anarch of all I survey.
    26. Re:I liked it, but... by Rotterdam · · Score: 1

      The problem with the Mises Intstitute is that in their valorization of a capitalist economy they forego thinking outside the box.

      Depends on what box you're talking about. They definitely think outside the box of 'mainstream' economics.

      A system barely suitable for largely urbanized populations in complex industrialized societies with global economies may not necessarily apply to a small group stranded on an island.

      Certainly, but then again it might be that it *does* apply, so this doesn't say much. If you study Austrian Economics, you can figure out for yourself to which situations it applies.

      But the Mises Institute wouldn't want to hint at the fact that modes of production can be tailored to our needs because of the undesirable possibility of arriving at a system other than capitalism.

      The Mises Institute goes out of its way to convince people that "modes of production can be tailored to our needs". The difference between them and you is that they think that the free market is the solution, while you apparantly think government is.

    27. Re:I liked it, but... by Politicus · · Score: 1
      The Mises Institute goes out of its way to convince people that "modes of production can be tailored to our needs".
      As long as they are capitalist. How is that tailoring?
      The difference between them and you is that they think that the free market is the solution, while you apparantly think government is.
      Where did that come from? What gave you the idea that I think "the government" has the solution? Which government would that be? There was no government on the freakin' island.

      Or is that just a standard line because anyone holding views opposing the Mises Institute must be for greater authoritarianism. I could be an Anarchist for all you know.

      You seem to be trapped in a pretty small box yourself.

      --
      Politicus
    28. Re:I liked it, but... by Rotterdam · · Score: 1

      As long as they are capitalist. How is that tailoring?

      In a truly capitalist system producers need to adjust to the needs and wishes of consumers all the time in order to fulfill their own needs and wishes. Sounds like tailoring to me.

      Where did that come from? What gave you the idea that I think "the government" has the solution?

      People who want to 'tailor the modes of production' usually do. So I made an educated guess. (Because I didn't know for sure I used the word 'apparently', but looking it up just now I learned it can mean 'seemingly' as well as 'evidently'. I meant 'seemingly'.)

      Which government would that be? There was no government on the freakin' island.

      I was responding to your remark which I thought was critisism of the Mises Institute promoting capitalism in general, not just on the island.

      Or is that just a standard line because anyone holding views opposing the Mises Institute must be for greater authoritarianism.

      No. People can hold views opposing the Mises Institute without being for greater authoritarianism. It depends on the views.

      I could be an Anarchist for all you know.

      Certainly. And the way this is going I think you will keep me in the dark on that, as well as on how "modes of production can be tailored to our needs".

      You seem to be trapped in a pretty small box yourself.

      You seem to think that about anyone who doesn't agree with you.

    29. Re:I liked it, but... by Politicus · · Score: 1
      In a truly capitalist system producers need to adjust to the needs and wishes of consumers all the time in order to fulfill their own needs and wishes.
      That's a nice way to frame the issue, by using, "In a truly capitalist system" because then any example I give to the contrary can simply be refuted with, well that's not a "truly capitalist system". It's kind of like Communists pushing how things should work on people when milions experienced differently. The problem is that the free market is quite elusive but apparently the more free it gets the less it tends to work the miracles it is supposed to work. So we are left to believe that there is some threshold at which point everything will reverse and start working well again. Kind of a "can't get there from here" situation.

      Unfettered capitalism failed at the beginning of the 20th century spawning a world wide labor movement that eventually resulted in radical authoritarian states which called themselves communist. Nations that continued with capitalism did so with band-aids to make the system work, like the Bretton Woods agreement, Keynesianism and new financial legal frameworks. Austrian economists dream of fairy tales while at the same time making themselves useful to powerful people and institutions that stand to enrich themselves from the promotion of its policies.

      Where did that come from? What gave you the idea that I think "the government" has the solution?
      People who want to 'tailor the modes of production' usually do.
      But earlier you said that capitalism sounds like tailoring to you but you don't think that's a government solution, so you either think differently now or you contradicted yourself because it can't be both a stand alone solution and one that requires government intervention at the same time.
      You seem to be trapped in a pretty small box yourself. You seem to think that about anyone who doesn't agree with you.
      Are you making this judgement simply because i applied the statement to you or have you read all of my posts to arrive at that conclusion? The former has a statistical significance of being based on a single data point while the latter is simply an incorrect conclusion.

      I invite you to email me with further discussion as this is getting off topic.

      --
      Politicus
    30. Re:I liked it, but... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Or is that just a standard line because anyone holding views opposing the Mises Institute must be for greater authoritarianism.
      Well, obviously: the Mises Institute is for freedom. An opposing view is opposed to freedom, and that is what "authoritarian" means.
      I could be an Anarchist for all you know.
      Mises.org is predominantly anarchist.
    31. Re:I liked it, but... by Rotterdam · · Score: 1

      I invite you to email me with further discussion as this is getting off topic.

      I did, but you didn't answer. Is this 'admin at electrobotanica dot org' the right email address?

    32. Re:I liked it, but... by Rotterdam · · Score: 1

      Discussion is continued here

  16. Ob. Gilligan's Island hell metaphor by bobobobo · · Score: 4, Funny
    The island is actually a metaphor for hell. With each of the seven deadly sins being represented.

    Greed: Thurston Howell the Third, obviously.

    Sloth: Mrs. Howell, rarely saw her lift a finger.

    Pride: The Professor, had a bit of a superiority complex with his prized intellect.

    Lust: Ginger, duh.

    Envy: Maryanne, secretly covets Ginger's beauty/talent.

    Wrath/Greed: The Skipper, he's both fat and mad all the time so he easily fits into representing both sins.

    Gilligan? He's the Devil who is always wearing red, and always finding someway of foiling their attempts to get off the island virtually every single episode.

    1. Re:Ob. Gilligan's Island hell metaphor by bje2 · · Score: 3, Interesting

      here's a website on it...

      --

      "Facts are meaningless. You could use facts to prove anything that's even remotely true." - Homer Simpson
    2. Re:Ob. Gilligan's Island hell metaphor by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think you meant Gluttony for the Skipper's other trait (not Greed), but otherwise, good call.

    3. Re:Ob. Gilligan's Island hell metaphor by theskipper · · Score: 1

      Hey dude lighten up. I prefer to use the words "pleasantly plump" and "spirited".

    4. Re:Ob. Gilligan's Island hell metaphor by 808140 · · Score: 1

      What about Avarice?

    5. Re:Ob. Gilligan's Island hell metaphor by gewalker · · Score: 1

      Men have nipples for a simple reason, originally, men were destined to bear children. After Eve ate the fruit, God cursed women with the responsibility for childbirth. Male nipples are just a reminder of what we almost got stuck with.

    6. Re:Ob. Gilligan's Island hell metaphor by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Gilligan was in RED? I couldn't tell, we didn't have a color TV for a whole decade after that

    7. Re:Ob. Gilligan's Island hell metaphor by bobobobo · · Score: 2, Informative

      Whoops, I meant the Skipper represents both Wrath and Gluttony. Avarice is synonymous with greed. I just kinda paraphrased it without checking.

    8. Re:Ob. Gilligan's Island hell metaphor by ArsonSmith · · Score: 1

      Not only is god perfect, but he has style as well. Think of them like hood ornaments, and how goofy a males chest would look without them.

      --
      Paying taxes to buy civilization is like paying a hooker to buy love.
  17. How much did this guy's education cost? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful
    Why do any of the other stranded castaways treat the millionaire's government money as valuable while stuck on an island where no such government can enforce its value?

    Obviously, the castaways believe they will one day be rescued. If they can do odd jobs for Mr. Howell in the meantime and he pays them money for doing those jobs they can keep the money and then spend it once they are rescued. In fact, in the end they were rescued and were able to use the cash that Mr. Howell had paid them to bring him coconuts and shit.

    So all this guy's meanderings about governments and the true value of money are just a load of bullshit.

    1. Re:How much did this guy's education cost? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful
      not necessarily. If you know ginger will have sex with you for ten dollars then you'd surely be willing to bring the professor a coconut for five dollars even if you knew you would never be rescued, wouldn't you?

      The whole point of the article, which you refute simply by calling it bullshit, is that conventional wisdom such as yours is wrong.

    2. Re:How much did this guy's education cost? by killjoe · · Score: 1

      Well that and IT'S A FUCKING TV SHOW!.

      Little things like that.

      --
      evil is as evil does
    3. Re:How much did this guy's education cost? by Flamingcheeze · · Score: 1
      Just wait until your government money is worthless. Then we'll see who has a load of bullsh*t. ;)

      (You could do yourself a huge favor and start studying that mises.org site, as well as lewrockwell.com.)

      --
      The Philosophy of Liberty | lewrockwell.com
    4. Re:How much did this guy's education cost? by Super_Frosty · · Score: 1

      His point was, why did they favor the cash over the gold available on the island? That's the interesting economic question.

      --
      No comment at this time
  18. MOD PARENT UP!!!! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Mary Ann. Without a doubt.

  19. Mises Institute rails against fiat abuses by Ars-Fartsica · · Score: 5, Interesting
    I am an avid reader of most of what comes out of the Mises institute, which is often listed at SafeHaven.com, a bearish commentary site.

    Their point is that fiat currencies are subject to abuse as they are not secured to a physical entity which limits its growth.

    Note that for for one hundred years prior to the existance of The Fed, the purchasing value of a dollar was virtually unchanged!

    Post Fed, post gold standard, post secured currency, the value of the dollar's purchasing power has dropped 97%. With Greenspan's current uber-loose credit scheme and our fractioanl reserve (aka fractional safety) banking system, this has vastly increased the amount of money circulating even in the last decade, secured now mostly by residential real estate.

    1. Re:Mises Institute rails against fiat abuses by Elwood+P+Dowd · · Score: 1

      Note that for for one hundred years prior to the existance of The Fed, the purchasing value of a dollar was virtually unchanged!

      Post Fed, post gold standard, post secured currency, the value of the dollar's purchasing power has dropped 97%. With Greenspan's current uber-loose credit scheme and our fractioanl reserve (aka fractional safety) banking system, this has vastly increased the amount of money circulating even in the last decade, secured now mostly by residential real estate.


      Is that good or bad? Why? Honestly, I don't know, and I suspect that economists could come down on both sides of that issue.

      --

      There are no trails. There are no trees out here.
    2. Re:Mises Institute rails against fiat abuses by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I wouldn't blame the fed, the fact is the world curency market has changed alot in the last 100 years.

    3. Re:Mises Institute rails against fiat abuses by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Returning to the gold standard is ideologically appealing to a certain type of person, but it's tatlly impractical. There's just not enough gold, and new gold isn't being mined fast enough to keep up with the creation of other types of wealth. There are three possible outcomes I can think of if we tried to put the dollar back on a gold standard

      1: Rapid increase in the price of gold - probably the least harmful possibilite, this would "only" cripple certain industries that need gold for it's chemical or electrical properties. Sure, the price of computers and electronics would quadruple, but hey, it's a small price to pay for a currency that's got real backing.

      2: Using several commodities to back the dollar - the problem is that would put the government in the postion of having to fix a ratio between how many dollars can be backed by an ounce of gold versus how many can be backed by a cow. In effect, that means government is setting the price of cows by fiat. Nobody who distrusts government so much that they want a gold-backed currency would find this acceptable!

      3: Massive deflation - There's not enough gold to back all the dollars, so we take most of the dollars out of circulation. Bad bad bad news. If the value of a dollar suddenly went back up to 30 times it's present value, no borrowers would be able to pay off debts they carry now. Virtually every loan would be defaulted. Sayonara, banking industry.

      Now if you combine any of those with a ban on fractional-reserve banking, you have a recipe for economic depression on a scale that hasn't been seen since the plague wiped out a quarter of europe's population.

    4. Re:Mises Institute rails against fiat abuses by ElForesto · · Score: 2, Informative

      I'm in agreement with you. After all, the 1913 Webster's dictionary defined a dollar thusly (a definition created in 1792 with the creation of the US Coinage Act, I believe): 1. (a) A silver coin of the United States containing 371.25 grains of silver and 41.25 grains of alloy, that is, having a total weight of 412.5 grains. Previous to 1837 the silver dollar had a larger amount of alloy, but only the same amount of silver as now, the total weight being 416 grains.

      --
      There is a difference between "insightful" and "inciteful" other than spelling.
    5. Re:Mises Institute rails against fiat abuses by PaulBu · · Score: 2, Informative

      What is interesting is that younger Greenspan was quite a passionate advocate of the gold standard, see, e.g., his essay in this book (scroll down couple pages to the TOC).

      I was always wondering how could he take his current job... ;-)

      Paul B.

    6. Re:Mises Institute rails against fiat abuses by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's right - the purchasing power of the dollar has fallen 97%. 97%!!

      God, it's a nightmare. We're all so much poorer than we were under the gold standard. We hardly have enough food to eat, people are dying of diptheria in the streets, and the place is falling apart. No-one is educated and everything costs so much money!

    7. Re:Mises Institute rails against fiat abuses by general_re · · Score: 5, Insightful
      Well, you're the most insightful AC I've come across in a while, but since I have no mod points, I'll play along with you ;)

      The answer is, IMO, you get both #1 and #3 occurring. There aren't, as you point out, enough ounces of gold in the world to cover the dollars in circulation, nevermind all the other currencies out there. The result is that in order to cover all those dollars, the dollar-denominated price of gold shoots through the roof. All the people who currently own gold suddenly get very, very rich - whoopee for them, but not so good for the rest of us. Of course, you could avoid this by instituting a fractional reserve system, but if you talk to the goldbugs for a very long, you'll soon discover that fractional reserve is a close second on their list of monetary evils, right behind "fiat" paper money, mainly because it doesn't give you that magic immunity from governmental policy that gold is supposed to bring - at the very least, the state can diddle with the reserve requirements and dictate monetary value that way.

      The reason it's bad news for the rest of us is because, contrary to the goldbugs absurd claims that gold is somehow immune to inflationary pressures, gold simply doesn't track consumer prices - i.e., there's no magic inflation-fighting power inherent in a gold currency. You can see this quite easily by comparing consumer prices to the price of gold. Since 1971, when the US finally abandoned the partial gold-standard for good, the dollar-denominated price of an ounce of gold has risen tenfold. The problem is that, if you look at the CPI for the same period, consumer prices have risen only about four-and-a-half-fold since 1971. In other words, the price of gold has far outstripped the price of consumer goods since 1971 - a dollar today will buy you 1/4'th as much "consumer goods" now as it did in 1971, but a dollar today will only buy you one tenth of the gold it bought in 1971.

      What's the result of this failure to track consumer prices, where the value of the currency outstrips the value of the stuff you want to buy with it? Deflation. Massive, sustained deflation, which, for those of you who've forgotten your intro microeconomics, is very very bad. In a hyperinflationary environment, people can't buy stuff because until their wages catch up with prices, they can't afford it. In a sustained deflationary environment, people can't buy stuff because they largely don't have jobs any more - spending gets awfully rare once people realize that, no matter what they want to buy, they're better off not spending it because whatever it is they want to buy, it's going to be cheaper in real terms tomorrow. You're better off just hanging on to your money than you are in trying to use it to, say, build stuff. That's bad, because everyone who has a job here is relying on someone else to part with their money, which gets less and less frequent as deflation mounts. Borrowers, like me with my college loans - heh - are especially screwed, because they borrowed cheap dollars yesterday, but get to pay back their loans with expensive dollars tomorrow. Wheee - sign me up, you betcha. And as a result, anyone with half a brain simply refuses to pay back their loans as deflation gets more and more severe. Fuckem, is the thinking - you're better off in bankruptcy than you are trying to pay off absurdly expensive loans. On the other hand, you might get to see the amusing (!) phenomenon of negative interest rates if deflation becomes bad enough, where your credit card company offers to pay you if you spend money, so as to cut their own losses over time ;)

      No, a gold standard is a recipe for disaster, as you rightly note, and that's just the economics of it - the political end is just as bad. Most of the gold being produced comes from places like Australia and South Africa and Russia. All fince places, full of lovely people, I'm sure, but as an American, I'm not exactly keen on a monetary system that gives the South Africans a say

      --
      ABSURDITY, n.: A statement or belief manifestly inconsistent with one's own opinion.
    8. Re:Mises Institute rails against fiat abuses by gilroy · · Score: 1
      Blockquoth the poster:

      All fince places, full of lovely people, I'm sure, but as an American, I'm not exactly keen on a monetary system that gives the South Africans a say in how much I can afford to spend at the grocery store this week.

      Because it's worked so well giving, say, Middle Eastern potentates a say on how much you can afford... Actually, in all this high-faluting econo talk flying about, it's interesting that petroleum's action as a currency hasn't been raised.
    9. Re:Mises Institute rails against fiat abuses by general_re · · Score: 1
      Because it's worked so well giving, say, Middle Eastern potentates a say on how much you can afford...

      Um, well, I object to oil as a currency as well, largely on the same grounds. Other than that, I'm not sure what you want me to say ;)

      --
      ABSURDITY, n.: A statement or belief manifestly inconsistent with one's own opinion.
    10. Re:Mises Institute rails against fiat abuses by quanta · · Score: 2, Insightful

      What if the CPI doesn't accurately reflect all of the currency debasement (inflation) which has taken place? Over the years, the CPI has been "adjusted" for various political reasons. If you look at the divergence in the CPI/Gold ratio from this point of view, then it seems (to me) to fit the model of what is actually happenning. At any rate, it all ends up in the same nasty mess Real Soon Now.

    11. Re:Mises Institute rails against fiat abuses by susa-no-o · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I'm afraid I might be responding to a troll, but I can't help myself. It's my nature, I guess.

      You seriously need to read What Has Government Done To Our Money on the Ludwig von Mises institute web site. That post was so completely mixed up, I don't know where to begin to refute it.

      If we go back to a classical gold standard, the price of gold in dollars will go sky-high. That doesn't matter unless you use gold for something. Yeah, jewelry will become expensive, but so what? It already is. The idea that the price of gold going up will ruin the economy is absurd.

      The price of gold going sky-high won't lead to deflation. In 1973, as you mentioned, the price of gold went through the roof. It didn't cause deflation then.

      Your assertion that gold is prone to inflation because 'a dollar today will buy you 1/4'th as much "consumer goods" now as it did in 1971, but a dollar today will only buy you one tenth of the gold it bought in 1971' is flawed. Under fractional gold backing, the price of gold was being artificially depressed. Once the price of gold was allowed to float, it rose because of market pressures that had been brewing for decades.

      These gold mines in Australia and South Africa aren't producing anywhere near enough gold to cause significant amounts of inflation to a currency on a gold standard. To say that going on a gold standard would give the South Africans a say in how much you can spend at the grocery store is ridiculous. It's an appeal to xenophobia.

      To me, the idea of a gold standard is not idealogically appealing, as the AC said it was to certain people. It's just that I've never heard anyone make a compelling argument against it. I found your post very unconvincing, and until I see a better argument, I will support the gold standard.

    12. Re:Mises Institute rails against fiat abuses by Mock · · Score: 1

      The reason the dollar's purchasing power decliend post Fed is not because of going off the "gold standard" or even "secured currency". The problem occurred because massive de-regulation of the banking industry at that time afforded banks even further power in creating money than they had before.

      Consider this:
      Banking customer A comes to bank X and deposits $100,000 into his savings account.
      Bank X now has $100,000 in "money".
      Bank X turns around and lends $10,000 to customer B, who just came in for a loan.
      Does this mean that customer A now has $90,000? No of course not. He can come in any time and withdraw his $100,000 from that bank.
      So where did the extra $10,000 come from? The bank created that money by lending it.

      Customer B will now use that money to pay someone for goods or services, and that person will deposit the money (minus taxes) into his bank account, and that bank will do the exact same thing with his deposit.

      There were at one time strict controls over how much money a bank could create, but these have eroded alarmingly in recent history, and as such we now have heavy inflation, rampant deficits (governments need to borrow money, too), and more and more citizens in debt up to their eyeballs.

      While credit used to be something relied upon only in rough times, just until you could get solvent again, more and more people today simply remain in debt for their entire lives.

      Returning to some kind of "gold standard" will not fix this, but slowly pushing back to a better controlled money supply will, and this starts with further limiting the amount of money the banks can create.

    13. Re:Mises Institute rails against fiat abuses by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Oil is used up, dumbarse.

      And it is predicted to be all gone within a few decades

    14. Re:Mises Institute rails against fiat abuses by general_re · · Score: 2, Insightful
      You seriously need to read What Has Government Done To Our Money on the Ludwig von Mises institute web site.

      Been there, done that, bought the t-shirt. If you want to refute me, refute me - don't send me to the library to read something I already read fifteen years ago.

      If we go back to a classical gold standard, the price of gold in dollars will go sky-high. That doesn't matter unless you use gold for something.

      Errr, but we would be using gold for something - a currency, remember? You may not think the price going through the roof matters, but it'll really suck for gold-poor people, which I would bet includes you.

      The price of gold going sky-high won't lead to deflation. In 1973, as you mentioned, the price of gold went through the roof. It didn't cause deflation then.

      Because it wasn't tied to the currency in 1973 - gold and the dollar were delinked in 1971, and by 1973, currencies were free-floating. If the value of gold had gone up as it did, but been used to back the currency, the result would have inevitably been deflation. We would have inevitably, unavoidably experienced deflation in the economy as the currency rose in value faster than the things you would want to buy with it. This is not a particularly controversial position, by the way - you're going to have trouble finding many reputable economists, either on the right or the left, who would argue otherwise. And no, Jude Wanniski is not an economist, reputable or otherwise, before I get a spew of Wanniskisms in response.

      Your assertion that gold is prone to inflation because 'a dollar today will buy you 1/4'th as much "consumer goods" now as it did in 1971, but a dollar today will only buy you one tenth of the gold it bought in 1971' is flawed.

      No, I assure you that those are cold, hard, inescapable facts. But don't take my word for it - go look up the price of gold in 1971 versus today, and make a line graph showing the price during that period. I'm quite serious - doing this is very instructive. Then graph the price of consumer goods as measured by the CPI over that same period. Finally, take your two graphs and put one on top of the other.

      Now, the entire rationale behind gold-backed currencies is that they give long term price stability, so that you can walk into the Men's Wearhouse or wherever and buy a suit with your gold eagle, just like your great-great-grandpappy did back in 18-whatever. But in order for that to be true, the value of gold should - at least roughly - track the value of consumer goods that you'd buy with your gold. It would be remarkable if they matched exactly, so we don't set the bar quite that high, but they should at least be similar in their trends.

      And it doesn't work. It just plain doesn't work - the idea of price stability under a gold currency is plainly, empirically false. Which will become clear as day when you overlay those two graphs - they don't resemble one another at all. Gold goes up, up, up, and so does the CPI, but at a much slower rate than gold does, meaning that gold gained more value than consumer goods did over the last thirty-odd years. Which means, finally, that you would not be paying the same amount today for that suit as you did in 1971. And then the whole reason for having a gold-backed currency in the first place goes right in the toilet, so what's the point to it after that? What justifies the use of gold for currency once that magic aura pops like a cheap yellow balloon?

      Nothing, really. And given the divergence between gold and consumer goods, and the inevitable deflation that would ensue, there's a very good reason not to have done it - most of us would be a hell of a lot poorer than we are now if a gold-backed currency had been in use.

      Just as an aside, gold currencies are not a necessary part of laissez faire economics - it's perfectly acceptable to be a proponent of free markets, even to a libertarian extent, without also requi

      --
      ABSURDITY, n.: A statement or belief manifestly inconsistent with one's own opinion.
    15. Re:Mises Institute rails against fiat abuses by tehdaemon · · Score: 1
      You make some good points, but you also make a couple of big errors. These errors are easy to make, they are non-obvious.

      First, the CPI (actual numbers, not the concept) doesn't mean squat. The government has been monkeying around with the numbers for as long as it has been reporting them.

      Second, there are two forms of deflation (see the Austrian viewpoint, Causes section) Bad deflation == money/goods ratio falls because money decreases. Benign deflation == money/goods ratio falls because goods increase. I do not recall exact numbers, but by the end of the Industrial Revolution in England, prices had fallen to about 1/10th of their former prices. (about 100 years IIRC). This was one of the greatest boom times ever. This type of deflation only hurts those who have too much debt. Unless the whole economy has too much debt, then bad deflation hits too. (ouch!)*

      The process of converting to a gold standard could cause bad deflation, but does not have too. If we had a year or two warning, the price of gold would skyrocket (as you said) before the gold/dollar ratios were fixed, gold price would stabilize, and then paper money would be withdrawn. There would be little or no deflation. Your debts would not become more expensive to pay off and it would work.

      There are serious problems with a gold standard. The first is of course that there is not enough gold around, and it is mostly hoarded. Instant have-waay-too-muches and have-nones. How big would a 25 cent gold piece be anyway? Could I even see it? Pop machine anyone?? This is mostly a problem of how do we convert to a gold standard. I think anything less than a decade is impossible. This is not an inherant problem with a gold standard.

      The other major problem with a gold standard is that it is not immune to inflation either. It is just out of politicians and bankers hands. (A big bonus true, but no gaurentee against inflation) If there were a major gold discovery: instant infaltion. (example: the Spanish discovered America and took a lot of gold & silver back to spain. Ruined Spains economy) A large-scale industrial use of gold would also be very bad news for a gold standard. This is why silver would be a very bad currency now. Over 1/2 of all silver is used to make industrial equipment & electrical parts, not jewelry or coins. (and we use 20% more than we mine!!!).

      A gold standard NOW is probably a recipe for disaster. In general, a gold standard is not. On the other hand, a fiat currency is a recipe for disaster. The only historical example of a fiat currency that did not end in massive hyperinflation, is the one that we are living in. It is just not over yet. It is also the largest by far.

      *BTW, the world has too much debt now. Wonder why productivity can keep growing and the economy still tank? With too much debt any fall in price for any reason triggers bad deflation. Oh wait... productivity numbers are government figures too, and they are among the worst. That $700 PC? Counts as $4000 to the GDP! (productivity==GDP/workers ratio) (last years figures, much worse now)

      --
      Laws are horrible moral guides, moral guides make even worse laws.
    16. Re:Mises Institute rails against fiat abuses by Minna+Kirai · · Score: 2, Insightful

      That doesn't matter unless you use gold for something.

      Check.

      Any money standard backed by a physical commodity will have a detrimental effect on some industry, unless that physical substance had truely no useful qualities beyond scarcity (and durability). More than 100 or so years ago, gold was like that, in that there was nothing practical you could do with it. But with today's modern technology, we've found a way to make productive use of almost everything.

    17. Re:Mises Institute rails against fiat abuses by Minna+Kirai · · Score: 1

      But don't take my word for it - go look up the price of gold in 1971 versus today, and make a line graph showing the price during that period. I'm quite serious - doing this is very instructive.

      Uh, no. Gold prices 1971-2004 is irrelevant. Since the hypothetical situation is with currency backed by gold, the price of gold after currency was de-linked is irrelevant (an error you already caught susa-no-o with, so it's surprising you made it yourself). After the de-linking, gold was driven by market demand for artistic/sentimental/electro-chemical/paranoid uses.

      To demonstrate your point, you'd have to show that even before 1971, gold was already unstable. That's easy enough, since the price for one ounce went from $20 in 1930 to $40 in 1970. If gold made a decent currency, then it would've been flat across that period.

      Once people figure out how deflation works, and they start hoarding gold wherever and whenever they can, those Aussies and South Africans will be the only ones with a rational reason for putting it out on the market - they can make more, unlike the rest of us.

      Don't be naive! President Jenna Bush will launch Operation Zulu Freedom... to protect the Gold Eagle from terrorists, of course.

    18. Re:Mises Institute rails against fiat abuses by general_re · · Score: 1
      Since the hypothetical situation is with currency backed by gold, the price of gold after currency was de-linked is irrelevant...

      It's irrelevant because it was delinked - the reason we didn't have a global deflationary period is because we didn't have gold currencies. If we had had gold currencies, then the changes in gold valuation would have been very relevant indeed.

      After the de-linking, gold was driven by market demand for artistic/sentimental/electro-chemical/paranoid uses.

      Of course, and none of those pressures goes away merely because we decide to use it for currency - besides people needing it for currency, you'd still have all those other reasons out there for people to want gold, which means that there's absolutely no reason to believe that gold will maintain a stable value compared to other goods or services. That demand only makes things worse, in fact - the electronics makers need the gold that everyone would be suddenly unwilling to part with in the first place, causing the exchange value of gold to go even higher than it would if they didn't exist.

      President Jenna Bush will launch Operation Zulu Freedom... to protect the Gold Eagle from terrorists, of course.

      Let's not go there, eh? ;)

      --
      ABSURDITY, n.: A statement or belief manifestly inconsistent with one's own opinion.
    19. Re:Mises Institute rails against fiat abuses by qwijibo · · Score: 1

      Why would silver be such a bad currency? Silver has industrial uses and is often consumed(rendered into objects where reclamation of the silver is not cost effective), unlike gold which changes forms, but is cost effective to reclaim. That practical properties of silver seems to be a good reason for it to retain value as a medium of trade.

      Products that use silver would be impacted by higher prices, but in general silver is used in very small amounts. The manufacture of the products constitutes the value, not the silver content.

      I think the real problem of a precious metal based currency is the inconsistency with other currencies. When the silver was removed from US coins in 1965, some people knew they were being ripped off and values canadian coins with silver content higher. Bad (fiat) money always forces good money out of circulation because there are some people who will hold onto the good money.

      A 40% silver US half dollar costs about $2.05 right now. While the value of that silver in US dollars can go up as far as people are willing to pay, the value of the coin can't go below $0.50.

      I believe Nevada was one state considering minting a $20 1oz silver coin that would be currency. The silver right now would be worth $6.75, and the rest of the $20 is the value the state of Nevada asserts. I would be in favor of a fractional backing like this because the money supply cannot be inflated just by pushing a button - resources would be needed and abuse of the system would result in higher silver prices anyway.

    20. Re:Mises Institute rails against fiat abuses by Minna+Kirai · · Score: 1

      If we had had gold currencies, then the changes in gold valuation would have been very relevant indeed.

      No. If they were still linked, then those price changes wouldn't have happened! Speculators were free to wildly change the rate for gold because it was not attached as a currency.

      The knowledge that you could go instantly convert gold to dollars to any other commodity acted a brake on gold's price, preventing it from moving as quickly as the free market would've otherwise done. The price run-up of 1970-80 was CAUSED by the de-linking.

    21. Re:Mises Institute rails against fiat abuses by pipingguy · · Score: 1


      secured now mostly by residential real estate.

      Which itself is a house of cards. After all, once rents/house prices exceed people's ability to pay, the whole game falls to pieces. That day is probably coming soon as boomers try to sell their vastly overpriced homes into a market that cannot support it.

    22. Re:Mises Institute rails against fiat abuses by Russ+Nelson · · Score: 1

      There's just not enough gold, and new gold isn't being mined fast enough to keep up with the creation of other types of wealth.

      Bing! You understand it, then! Whatever is being used as money must be of a constant nature. If people are given a choice, they will always choose a currency which cannot be inflated. Of course, given the legal tender laws, people do not have a choice about accepting inflatable dollars.

      What you are missing is the fact that prices can change, and if the gold standard was adopted, prices would change. The amount of money borrowed would stay constant in value, but would be redenominated into $Au. And yes, as the economy becomes more productive because more capital is created by saving, the prices of everything would drop to reflect the increased value of the money. This natural and to be expected.
      -russ

      --
      Don't piss off The Angry Economist
    23. Re:Mises Institute rails against fiat abuses by tehdaemon · · Score: 1
      A good currency has two properties.
      1. A good store of value.
      2. Effective medium of exchange

      Silver fits 2 just fine. It is easy to exchange, high value/size ratio etc. In order for something to be an effective store of value, the total supply needs to be more or less fixed. Historically silver fit this well, as did gold. It was slow and expensive to obtain new supplies, by mining. Once the silver entered circulation, it tended to stay there, or be converted int jewelry, which was easily reclaimed and returned to circulation as needed. The amounts in, or easily converted to circulation did not change much.

      Silver is now used as a catalyst in making some basic industrial chemicals, and in electrical parts. This accounts for more than half of all consumption. Reclaiming this silver for currency will not happen, as it is actively being used. If the economy improves, demand for these goes up. and the amount of silver that can enter circulation goes down, or negitive. Economic downturns do the opposite. The supply is not fixed. Since such a large amount of production is used this way, a small change in use results in a larger change in whatever is left to go to currency. In short, there will be price fluctuations in all comodities that are not caused by changes in the demand or supply of those comodities. Inflation and deflation, as we have now, just not at the hands of bankers and politicians. BAD. We also use more than we mine, and have for years. That would have to change or there would be constant inflation.

      Another way to say this is that currency use is just like any other use, an increase in demand. Products that use silver would be impacted by the higher prices as you said, but currency prices would also be impacted by the products that use the silver, and for the same reasons, they are competing for a limited supply of silver.

      Inconsistancy with other (fiat) currencies? Or are the fiat currencies inconsistant with precious metals? What is the difference?

      --
      Laws are horrible moral guides, moral guides make even worse laws.
    24. Re:Mises Institute rails against fiat abuses by Silmaril · · Score: 1
      If gold made a decent currency, then it would've been flat across that period.

      Due to advances in technology, the real prices of many consumer goods should actually drop over time. Why would a "decent currency" freeze the price of a cell phone (for example) at $3000 just because that's what they cost years ago?

    25. Re:Mises Institute rails against fiat abuses by Minna+Kirai · · Score: 1

      the real prices of many consumer goods should actually drop over time

      Because the "good" in question was GOLD ITSELF.

    26. Re:Mises Institute rails against fiat abuses by evilpaul13 · · Score: 1

      You ought to take a look at some of the writings by Austrian economists on your points. Mises.org and LewRockwell.com have plenty of 'gold bugs' who've addressed your concerns. (Murray Rothbard, Ludwig von Mises, Hans-Hermann Hoppe, Gary North, etc)

      To briefly address #2, 3:
      2) The US Gov't tried this, and discovered Gresham's Law. It was always setting the ratio of gold:silver wrong, so one metal was always held, while the other would be spent.

      3) As Mises pointed out, any amount of money is enough for any economy so long as it is relatively fixed. There's no reason 1 oz of gold would have to be worth $20 or $35 as it used to be. It could be what the market price is today closer to $400 per oz. There would be no 'massive deflation', and prices would remaim relatively unchanged.

      The advantage of a relatively fixed supply of currency, is deflation in fact. As more goods become available through increased productivity with the same amount of money, prices fall and standards of living rise. (It'd be quite nice to in effect be gaining 2% real income every year without a rise in wages, don't you think?)

      This is different from the massive credit contractions called deflation during depressions/recessions/panics/whatever you care to call them.

    27. Re:Mises Institute rails against fiat abuses by evilpaul13 · · Score: 1

      The fiat dollar stores value only moderately better than unrefridgerated seafood. Ok, so I'm exaggerating quite a bit, but you should be able to get the point. :-)

      People will spend money, to consume present goods and invest in capital for the creation of future goods even if their money's value is slowly increasing or decreasing.

      You won't suddenly not need food and water today, if you can buy more food with the same amount of money next year. Producers won't suddenly stop investing in machinery, factories, etc, because their money might go up one percent next year (forgoing all the potential profit to be made this year).

      Just as with our fiat dollar that loses its value steadily you won't spend every dollar as soon as you get it and only hold non-dollar assets (ie there won't instantly be disasterous hyperinflation where you need wheelbarrows full of greenbacks for a loaf of bread).

    28. Re:Mises Institute rails against fiat abuses by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Returning to the gold standard is ideologically appealing to a certain type of person, but it's tatlly impractical. There's just not enough gold, and new gold isn't being mined fast enough to keep up with the creation of other types of wealth
      Of course there is enough gold. Any amount is enough -- and the fact that it isn't being mined very quickly is a plus; if it wasn't mined at all, it would be even better as money than it is.
  20. Money implies poverty by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    As any Culture citizen will tell you, if sufficiently sober and not high as a kite: Any society that still has need of money is intrinsically poor - it has not overcome scarcity.

    1. Re:Money implies poverty by deitel99 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Scarcity != poverty.

      Something is scarce when there isn't enough of it.

      Enough of it for what exactly? To satify (as far as we can tell) infinite human demand.

      As a result it's unlikely any society will ever completely overcome scarcity.

    2. Re:Money implies poverty by Marxist+Hacker+42 · · Score: 1

      Human demand isn't infinite naturally- it's trained to be so by advertising and mental illness. I call it the Munster Syndrome (to separate it from the mirror image mental illness, the Addams Family Syndrome). Anybody who remembers these two sitcoms knows the difference- the Addams Family knew that they were normal and the rest of the world was wierd; the Munsters thought of themselves as wierd and did whatever they could to be like the rest of the world, which was normal. Sufferers of the Munster Syndrome appear to have infinite demand for all sorts of junk because they are trying to keep up with their neighbors.

      --
      SJW: a person who perceives an injustice, and while correcting it, commits a greater injustice.
    3. Re:Money implies poverty by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A society overcoming scarcity doesn't necessarily need to eliminate all scarcity.

      (1) But in the (fictional) Culture novels, physical scarcity is practically eliminated - beings that could convert the output of a star into, well, marshmallows or dildoes or whatever don't need to worry too much about physical scarcity, and information copieas are already _known_ to be only artificially scarce (enforced pretty strictly in our (sick) society (only creation of new patterns is scarce (and not very - pretty much anyone who doesn't get the creativity beaten out of them in school can be an artist), replication is non-scarce - economically, people should only be being paid for _new_ composition, and that's how a free market would behave without government intervention via patent and copyright)).

      (2) Sure, you might get selfish aberrations who want more than they can ever have but (a) the Culture citizens are the product of millenia of genetic engineering so they may overcome what little scarcity remains by just stopping wanting more crap than they need.

    4. Re:Money implies poverty by gilroy · · Score: 1

      Why do you say that the Addams Family suffer from mental illness? Their approach sounds perfectly healthy to me.

    5. Re:Money implies poverty by sp0rk173 · · Score: 1

      Because no one group of people is actually normal. Normal will most likely always be a relative term: relative to an individual, which will be relative to culture, which will be relative to the reactions of society to itself, which is constantly changing. The idea of normality doesn't actually exist outside of statistics, it just a social invention to guage one experience against another.

    6. Re:Money implies poverty by Marxist+Hacker+42 · · Score: 1

      It's certainly much more healthy than the Munsters- but still not perfect when it comes to having relationships with the rest of society. To do that- you have to treat at least some other people as normal also.

      However, yes, it's much more healthy than always trying to be something that you will never be.

      --
      SJW: a person who perceives an injustice, and while correcting it, commits a greater injustice.
    7. Re:Money implies poverty by Marxist+Hacker+42 · · Score: 1

      Absolutely correct- which is what bugs me most about anybody thinking that gays or autistic people are "normal"- when clearly they are outside of the statistical norm bell curve by at least a sigma, if not more. "Normal" only has any real meaning within statistics- if you think that you're normal you're really probably quite wierd.

      --
      SJW: a person who perceives an injustice, and while correcting it, commits a greater injustice.
    8. Re:Money implies poverty by sp0rk173 · · Score: 1

      which is what bugs me most about anybody thinking that gays or autistic people are "normal"

      Depending on your sample. If your sample includes only west hollywood, gay is going to be the norm. If your sample includes some autistic commune in northern california, then autism is going to be the norm. If your sample includes urban china, then doing tai chi every morning is going to be the norm. If you take the entire world as a sample, there's not going to much of an identifiable norm outside of being a member of the species homo sapiens and general actions/habits associated with that. (i.e, "Well...walking seems normal...and eating...and breathing). However, Gays and Autistic people would definitely not be normal. But then again...neither would being from Texas. Honestly, I think being from Texas is a bigger mental disorder than autism.

      I think the problem with the word normal and how society uses it these days is that normal is more and more being used to mean "ideal" rather than "average". And when average is the ideal...we kinda have nothing to shoot for.

    9. Re:Money implies poverty by Marxist+Hacker+42 · · Score: 1

      And when average is the ideal...we kinda have nothing to shoot for.

      Mind if I use that quote in On Lawn's most recent Journal Entry? It describes the current candidates for President of the United States quite correctly.

      --
      SJW: a person who perceives an injustice, and while correcting it, commits a greater injustice.
    10. Re:Money implies poverty by sp0rk173 · · Score: 1

      sure.

  21. Mormons by Cowclops · · Score: 0, Troll

    Damn you mormons and your polygamy.

    1. Re:Mormons by Cowclops · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      Damn you moderators and your inability to recognize the joke. Mod this one down too, I dare you. That way you won't be able to waste it on somebody else's post that didn't deserve to be modded down.

    2. Re:Mormons by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How about us moderators who got it, but thought you were an ass and modded you down anyway? Now I see you're not only an ass, you're a whiny little bitch ass.

    3. Re:Mormons by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How about us meta-moderators who didn't read the joke but saw this and m2'd your ass down anyways?

  22. Mind trick values currency by xsupergr0verx · · Score: 2, Funny

    "Republic credits will do"
    "No, they wont!"

    --

    Click here for a free picture of an iPod!
    1. Re:Mind trick values currency by Tackhead · · Score: 1
      > "Republic credits will do"
      >
      >"No, they wont!"

      Keep the duped credits from Star Wars Galaxies out of it.

      MMORPGs are great economic simulators. You can tell when a credit dupe appears because overnight, prices on items/resources whose quantities are fixed will skyrocket. The best defense against credit dupes is to accumulate loot whose value is unlikely to diminish.

  23. Wow. by BandwidthHog · · Score: 2, Funny

    The next time I use the vending machine downstairs, my mind may well snap.

    --

    Quantum materiae materietur marmota monax si marmota monax materiam possit materiari?
    1. Re:Wow. by gewalker · · Score: 1

      Most women (and men) are whores. Negotiations are delicate, (Most quite pointedly do not like to be thought of as whores), but if the payment is right, the desired services can be purchased.

      Programming is like prostitution. First you do it for love, then you do it for friends, and then you do it for money.

    2. Re:Wow. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      HEY! Stop telling the truth, you'll upset people!

      Remember the present is a present and we're all blessed to be receiving it.

  24. I suspect by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

    that if Gilligan's Isle was real that money really wouldn't be that wortwhile and the group would very quickly revert to a barter system. And I think we all know what services Ginger and Mary Ann would provide in return for a coconut radio or firewood...

    1. Re:I suspect by Russ+Nelson · · Score: 1

      Sigh. Money is an idea, not a thing. Once the idea exists, everyone who had the idea would have to die for it to stop existing. You should actually read the article, but in case you're too busy or lazy, I'll clue you in here: money is that commodity which is most tradable for anything else.
      -russ

      --
      Don't piss off The Angry Economist
  25. interesting by Vlion · · Score: 1

    comments:
    i) a libertarian essay. Only they capitalize "state". XD.

    ii) He wends and winds around his points, which were:
    00)Scarcity implies value.
    01)Ease of transaction implies money.
    10)Citizens are aware of these facts, and consequently they affect the economy.

    iii) Why did he feel the need to write a essay on what is entry-level economics?

    --
    /b
    |f(x)dx = F(b) - F(a)
    /a
    1. Re:interesting by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Why did he feel the need to write a essay on what is entry-level economics?

      Perhaps for the layman, to whom an economics essay based on Gilligan's Island might be able to convey concepts that might otherwise be ignored (ie, oooh, economics - boring!)

      I thought that the most interesting point was that fiat currencies can exist in the absence of the government that backs them.

    2. Re:interesting by JohnDeHope3 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      You realized that citizens understand these simple economic principles. Yet our governments print fiant currencies like mad. I think it's reasonable for folks to try and do a little educating on the subject. Maybe some of this awareness will trickle up?

    3. Re:interesting by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      I think the interesting bit is his observation that Saddam's Dinar was actually worth more once it didn't have the implicit backing of a government, simply because the Iraqis knew he would not inflate it-- it became a store of value because they were certain of its supply.
      I think he gets off-base by suggesting they were reacting to the inflationary nature of American currency. IMO it's more like the Dinar was undervalued to begin with.

    4. Re:interesting by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      Why did he feel the need to write a essay on what is entry-level economics



      You answered it in number one. Libertarians love to share their revelations about the overly-simplistic and often preposterously naive models for the workings of their world. Example: try talking to a Libertarian without getting a recommendation for an Ayn Rand book. Just try. It can't be done.



      Libertarian: I just discovered that America is run by a two-party duopoly! And on every issue except a handful a hot media topics, they're in very close agreement policy-wise!


      Normal Person: ...and this is news in what way?


      Libertarian: Don't you see? This means that the only thing to do is vote for a candidate who is even MORE frightening than either of the major party offerings!


      Normal Person nods and pretends to be interested, remembering never to talk to Libertarian again.

    5. Re:interesting by Gorobei · · Score: 1

      "You realized that citizens understand these simple economic principles. Yet our governments print fiant currencies like mad. I think it's reasonable for folks to try and do a little educating on the subject. Maybe some of this awareness will trickle up?"

      Actually, our government has an exceedingly good understanding of these principles, its the citizens that generally don't. The governments knows that most citizens like a tax cut (Wow! free money for me!) yet are incapable of understanding what effect that will have on their future standard of living.

      The Mises Institute starts with some simple truths (money is just the most convenient commodity,) and then reasons itself into the twilight zone. E.g. "prices can change from day to day, but today's new prices will be based on the prices of other things yesterday." Hmm, guess they forgot about things like futures markets that have only been around for a thousand years or so.

      Their Iraq example is cute, but it's a very short term effect -- injecting new money into an economy inflates the money, it doesn't make the fiat currency a good long term holder of wealth -- the sophisticated investors will profit, the crooks will profit, the average person will lose money overall.

    6. Re:interesting by zaphod123 · · Score: 1

      Who is Ayn Rand?
      Who is John Galt?

      --
      :q!
    7. Re:interesting by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually, he *asserted* that the Saddam Dinar was worth more because it was no longer seen as inflationary. He provided no proof, and given that he wasn't there, and almost certainly doesn't know even a singly Iraqi, this insight into the thinking of Iraqis generally is likely to be something that he pulled out of his arse because it supports his ideology.

      Personally, I think it's likelier that Iraqis didn't think about inflation for even one second. It's likelier that Iraqis started hoarding Saddam Dinars after the war, which resulted in scarcity, and a subsqeuent rise in value.

      Which is more likely - that millions of Iraqis, under conditions of war and great uncertainty, had a long think about money supply issues, and decided rationally that their currency ought to be worth more; or that they started hiding every dinar under their beds because they had no idea what was going to happen next?

    8. Re:interesting by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Who is Stan Lippman?

    9. Re:interesting by NonSequor · · Score: 1

      Those are questions best left unanswered.

      --
      My only political goal is to see to it that no political party achieves its goals.
    10. Re:interesting by dbIII · · Score: 1
      Why did he feel the need to write a essay on what is entry-level economics?
      Isn't that what it all is?

      In my country the wool price was low, and all the top economists got together and decided that we should kill most of the sheep in the nation, to make wool scarce. After most of the sheep were killed the price didn't rise, and the economists came to the startling conclusion that cotton exists!

      Any feild that will push an empirical equation to the point where something of infinite value that lasts forever is worth nothing cannot be called a science.

  26. Ginger and Maryann by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    They needed money because they had the two girls to deal with. You can't take Ginger out without some folding money to spend.

    BTW, I liked Maryann the best.

  27. offtopic by commodoresloat · · Score: 1, Funny
    So here is some caches...

    This story is about cash, silly!

  28. Money in MMORPGs by Colazar · · Score: 5, Insightful
    Oddly enough, that made me think of MMORPG economies. The fiat currency of the MMORPG company (gold pieces) is usually horribly inflationary, since more is constantly being added. (Even ignoring duping.) Stable values are invariably found in worthless items that are no longer being created.

    Or maybe it's not so odd...MMORPGs are the most likely exposure /.ers have to widespread currency exchange, I guess.

    --
    He decided to just watch the government, and kind of scale it down to size, and run his life that way. --Laurie Anderson
    1. Re:Money in MMORPGs by ahdeoz · · Score: 1

      MMORORMORGA's (or whatever) have to keep adding gold because more people join and more work is done, thus more wealth is created and something that was once worth 1 gold piece is now purchasable at 10/per gold piece, so the money isn't fluid enough and you have to resort to barter. Just like in the real life. The only trick is correctly (and honestly) increasing the money to match the actual increased wealth. In our system, it's pretty stable, because there are lots of durable goods that retain value, and alternatives to cash (such as stock) that are fluidly traded as well as fixed quantity resources (such as land), independent currency (and commodity) markets, and variable interest loans backed by law and usable by most people.

    2. Re:Money in MMORPGs by ZorbaTHut · · Score: 1

      Depends on the MMORPG. FFXI has so many money sinks (and so few ways to make money quickly+conveniently) that cash stays reasonably valuable.

      --
      Breaking Into the Industry - A development log about starting a game studio.
  29. Mystery solved by nizo · · Score: 3, Funny

    So this is what people with advanced degrees in economics do with their time! I could have been writing papers about Gilligan's Island instead of coding until 3am. Boy did I pick the wrong degree or what????

    1. Re:Mystery solved by ahdeoz · · Score: 1

      You probably make more than homeboy.

    2. Re:Mystery solved by sp0rk173 · · Score: 1

      What you'll see if you look a little deeper is that Mr. Marcus, as with most arm-chair libertarian economists, has nothing of the sort, this is from his blog:

      About Me

      bkMarcus is an amateur political economist with no formal education in the subject. He is a house husband, a faculty spouse, a dilettante, and a layabout. Once upon a time, he made a fair living as a web developer. If you accuse him of being descended from entrenched Establishment Keynesians, he will deny it!

      That said, I don't think this discounts what he says. He makes some very interesting points. I always wonder what this country would be like if we had a true open market...not sure if it would be better or worse.

  30. You have greed twice by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    and you're missing one.

    1. Re:You have greed twice by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      He likes greed.

  31. Skipper's reasoning flawed by nizo · · Score: 1
    ...the Skipper trades his fish for Ginger's decorative shells, not because he wants shells, but because he knows he can trade them for Gilligan's coconuts.

    And later we see:

    Right now, the Skipper is willing to trade one of his fish for two coconuts...

    What is wrong with the Skipper, why didn't he ignore Gilligan and go straight to Ginger, the source of the premium coconuts?

    1. Re:Skipper's reasoning flawed by TheLoneIguana · · Score: 1

      Ginger, the source of the premium coconuts

      Must.. resist.. obvious... joke....

    2. Re:Skipper's reasoning flawed by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ...the Skipper trades his fish for Ginger's decorative shells, not because he wants shells, but because he knows he can trade them for Gilligan's coconuts.
      And later we see:
      Right now, the Skipper is willing to trade one of his fish for two coconuts...
      What is wrong with the Skipper, why didn't he ignore Gilligan and go straight to Ginger, the source of the premium coconuts?

      Because the Skipper is a bottom. That "little buddy" bit wasn't refering to *all* of Gilligan . . .

    3. Re:Skipper's reasoning flawed by Caled · · Score: 1

      Because Gilligan hasn't picked the coconuts yet, while the fish are steadily rotting away.

    4. Re:Skipper's reasoning flawed by nizo · · Score: 1

      Actually, my post was attempting to make this joke, but apparently it was far too subtle.....

  32. OB Simpsons by Hogwash+McFly · · Score: 1

    This is Slashdot. What you are looking for is 'How to make a coconut Nintendo system!'

    Oh and don't forget the monkey butlers.

    --
    Mother, do you think they'll like this sig?
  33. Paper Money Is Accepted Because... by Bravo_Two_Zero · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Paper Money Is Accepted Because... ...there is the expectation that it can be more easily exchanged for goods in comparison to a barter system.

    As long as all merchants on the island accept paper currency, it is money. Barter is a hassle, since the medium of exchange is determined in, say 5 pies for 1 shirt. You may have pies and need a shirt, but no one has a shirt to trade. You may have a shirt to trade, but Maryanne ain't bakin' pies today. Money, however, can be used more flexibly.

    Had one island merchant refused to accept paper money, the currency system might have crumbled. Imagine if you went to buy beer, and the merchant said "sorry. we only accept shells." How will the merchant employ shells as currency without a dollar-to-shell exhcnage around the corner?

    Also, a key premise to the show was that they would be rescued. The acceptance of paper currency showed optimism as much as anything. They obviously did not expect to be unable to use the paper currency ouside of the island.

    --


    Amateurs discuss tactics. Professionals discuss logistics.

  34. See, this is why libertarians will never win... by slughead · · Score: 1, Offtopic

    .. they think to much.

  35. Justice & Night Court by sciop101 · · Score: 0
    Gun Control & The "A" Team

    Marital Fidelity & Dynasty

    --
    The only thing new in this world is the history that you don't know.[Harry Truman]
  36. Unfortunately by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    If Gilligan's Isle was real, Ginger and Mary Ann wouldn't be voluntarily providing those services (And likely wouldn't be getting that nice coconut radio or firewood)..

    Yeah, it's nasty. But that's what often happens in the real world.

    1. Re:Unfortunately by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Except that the Professor is an asexual nerd, Howell is old and married, and the Skipper and Gilligan are gay with each other. Ginger and Mary Ann's biggest danger is probably the natives.

  37. Re:Slashdot moderator admonishment: by Mateito · · Score: 1

    Slashdot etiquette:

    When you quote the entire article text, post as anonymous coward.

    This is to stop people posting text in anticipation of a slashdotting in order to gain Karma, rather than to "provide a service."

    What the mods did was correct. If the first poster made a mistake, he should have reposted a reply to his own post, with the same text, as AC.

  38. Inflation and Gold by Detritus · · Score: 3, Interesting
    The discovery of the New World by the Europeans created a monetary mess when they brought back large quantities of gold and silver to Europe.

    I always chuckle when I read a story about the riches that could be generated from asteroid mining. Let's assume that I snag an asteroid and recover several thousand tons of gold and platinum. What is that going to do to the market price of gold and platinum?

    --
    Mea navis aericumbens anguillis abundat
    1. Re:Inflation and Gold by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Maybe the riches are from the uses to which the minerals can/would be put to, rather than the current scarcity induced high prices?

    2. Re:Inflation and Gold by Malor · · Score: 1

      It's pretty much the same thing as, well, the government printing more notes. It devalues the existing currency.

      I'd rather run that risk than the known evil of politicians using the money system to extract value, essentially by fraud, from the populace at large. Your worry is theoretical; mine happens every day.

    3. Re:Inflation and Gold by Asterisk · · Score: 1

      Well, the discovery of gold and silver created a monetary mess in places like Spain, which didn't really have a sound economic foundation to begin with, and wasted much of their American riches on projects that created no useful value. On the other hand, look at what the New World did for countries like England and the Netherlands.

      Also look at America itself in the nineteenth century: the Gold Rush in California added tremendous amounts of specie money into circulation, but there was no runaway inflation at all during the 1800s. This might be because economic development at the same time outpaced the expansion of the monetary through the new gold, so the money supply as normalized to the size of the economy didn't actually increase. In fact, there was a deflation crisis at the beginning of the 20th century in the US (what with the "Free Silver" people demanding that the government artificially expand the money supply) so it seems pretty clear that economic development significantly exceeded monetary expansion in that era.

      But that begs the question: to what extent did the gold rushes themselves spur economic development? California itself was largely populated because of the rush of 1849, and new technologies and organizational methods were developed in order to facilitate mining and satisfy the demands of the miners. All this adds up to a large GDP boost.

      If you apply that thinking to the asteroids, look what a gold rush in space might inspire: a viable mass market for space travel, with all of the concomitant technologies and organizational methods that would facilitate widespread space travel; a serious need for viable permanent human-habitation and support structures in space; and the basis for the colonization of the solar system itself. I think that in the long run, the benefits of all of these would probably far exceed the inflationary cost of introducing the mineral wealth of the asteroids into circulation.

      In fact, depending on the average density of precious metal concentrations throughout the universe, it may even be that the economic expansion spawned by any gold rush will generally always exceed the inflationary cost of the resulting monetary expansion. So you might view the gold-rush mentality as one that uses the future value of specie excavation as collateral to finance the R&D that creates the very wealth the specie represents.

      That's all hypothetical, of course, but entirely plausible, so I don't think we can say with any certainty what access to asteroids would do to the market price of gold and platinum.

      As another poster on this thread said, I'd much rather take my chances with hard money and deal with the consequencies of asteroid mining - which may be enormously beneficial - and eschew fiat currencies which allow governments to tax by stealth through inflationary policies.

    4. Re:Inflation and Gold by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      What is that going to do to the market price of gold and platinum?

      People don't care about the market. They care about themselves first. If your far fetch example did occur, I'm sure that the individual or the country doing this would do just like Bill Gates with his MS stock -- they would sell off a little bit at a time each year and hope that not too many people notice.

    5. Re:Inflation and Gold by dajak · · Score: 1
      Well, the discovery of gold and silver created a monetary mess in places like Spain, which didn't really have a sound economic foundation to begin with, and wasted much of their American riches on projects that created no useful value. On the other hand, look at what the New World did for countries like England and the Netherlands.

      A fool and his gold are easily parted. The Spanish kings invested most of their newly minted money in huge mercenary armies in the Netherlands and Italy. The mercenaries mostly spent it on the local market and strengthened the economies of these territories, and Spain eventually lost both.

      In the Netherlands the Spanish mercenary armies were even outfitted with cannons bought from gun foundries in the United Provinces. At the same time the United Provinces' war effort was focused on interrupting Spanish trade through privateering.

      I do believe the Spanish gold had a beneficial effect on the European economy as a whole, but Spain itself became a victim of the idiots that ruled it.

  39. The monetary economics.... part deux by Thaidog · · Score: 1

    I'll never read any thing that has a redundant title... It screams "I'm a dumbass... I've have no idea what those words really mean but they're both big so I'll look smart reading it..." Or, worse, the author designed the title to be redundant specifically for the reason that his traget audience is stupid.

    --

    ||| I still can't believe Parkay's not butter.

    1. Re:The monetary economics.... part deux by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You are aware, aren't you, that there are economies of many things other than money... right?

    2. Re:The monetary economics.... part deux by DLWormwood · · Score: 1
      Or, worse, the author designed the title to be redundant specifically for the reason that his traget audience is stupid.

      *sigh* I didn't write it... I thought /.'ers knew that story submissions could be edited?

      --
      Those who complain about affect & effect on /. should be disemvoweled
  40. A few things... by SamMichaels · · Score: 1

    For the realists...

    No, they wouldn't have used his money. They would have gone into survival mode and just helped each other regardless of getting anything in return.

    For the suspenders of disbelief...

    When they get rescued, his money will still be worth something back home.

    For everyone else...

    There's an essay to read...it's not about Gilligan's Island.

    1. Re:A few things... by N3Bruce · · Score: 1

      Gold in itself functioned as money in times past, due to its value because of its limited supply and the difficulty obtaining a larger overall supply of gold, which must be done at great effort. Because gold is also a durable commodity that can be easily molded into nice pretty status symbols, it has an almost universal appeal. A slab of meat may have great immediate value to a hungry man, but unless it is eaten immediately or refrigerated, it will soon go bad and become worthless. A person can trade his services for gold and then trade it for meat as he needs it. It becomes a reliable store of value, just as idealized money should. As long as the supply of gold remains stable, one who wants to obtain gold, either to enjoy its yellow glow or to trade it for needed services generally finds it easier to trade their labor for gold than to go out and mine gold for themselves.

      Gold or any hard asset as a basis for money has one major flaw: it still a lot of takes real labor and effort to produce it, and there will always be those who will seek to obtain gold for themselves by attempting to mine it themselves. If the supply of gold was indeed fixed (i.e there is no gold around that can be economically mined), then the relative prices of goods and services will float relative to the value of the fixed supply of gold. All hell breaks loose when there is the prospect of individuals being able to economically mine gold for themselves and trade it for goods. History is rife with examples of the damage done to the earth and to the men and their families in pursuit of gold.

      In the end, the increased supply of gold produced during the gold rushes meant that not only the value of all other goods and services rose in relation to gold, as its value dropped, but the absolute supply of those services available dropped as well. The opportunity cost for mining gold, which turned out to be a marginal proposition at best for the majority of miners was the value of goods and services that were not produced. Many of the '49ers sunk their life savings into mining ventures that usually didn't pan out well, and left families behind to tend to farms which were then neglected, factories saw skilled workers leave, or their production of say picks, axes, and shovels diverted to the production of gold, rather than building roads or helping farmers work the land. Railroad construction slowed as workers abandoned the hard work of building rail lines in pursuit of a quick buck mining gold. In the end the gold rushes made us all poorer in a real sense.

      That being said, in the Gilligan's Island example, survival and comfort meant having an efficient way of trading goods and services, and a medium of exchange that was of fixed supply, in the sense that it was unreproducible. Any effort to increase the supply of the medium of exchange is futile in the Macro sense, because it would divert efforts from the production of needed goods and services. The Professor's preserved palm leaves needed effort to produce, and the supply could be manipulated. Mr. Howell's paper money could not be reproduced on the island, and also benefitted as a medium of exchange because it had perceived value, and it was already there.

      Barring Mr. Howell's millions, alternative viable means of exchange could have been established by using any other portable and unreproducible item, such as a roll of tickets that may have been used to sell rides on the Minnow.

  41. Barring reality. by eadint · · Score: 4, Funny

    if this had really happend.
    any decent thinking man would have, forced thurston howell to sign over his money to them, and then berried the asshole. clubbed of killed all of the other men and tied up ginger and marianne for use as alternate sex slaves.

    1. Re:Barring reality. by camelrider · · Score: 1

      A' La Pitcairn's Island?

    2. Re:Barring reality. by tktk · · Score: 2, Insightful
      Good thing you're not stuck on a island with anyone.

      And I really hope 'berried' is just a mispelling. I'd hate to find out that you realy meant something else.

    3. Re:Barring reality. by The+Good+Reverend · · Score: 3, Funny

      How many shells will it cost me for a transation of this post?

    4. Re:Barring reality. by kalidasa · · Score: 1

      Mod parent up. Way up. Damn.

      For those who don't know, Fletcher Christian was shot in the back during a period of civil unrest in which the Polynesian male settlers revolted against the European male settlers because, among other things, one of the Europeans had stolen the wife of one of the Polynesians. In the end, only one adult male was left on the island (though several of the men, including Christian, had fathered children before their untimely demises).

    5. Re:Barring reality. by Alan+Hicks · · Score: 1

      But what would you do with Mrs. Howell? I assume you wouldn't have to do anything. Time and laziness would see to her starvation all on their own.

      --
      Slackware, what else when it must be secure, stable, and easy?
    6. Re:Barring reality. by eadint · · Score: 1

      Fish Bait.
      Or just x her off too.
      unless your into that MILF thing.
      or how about good old fashioned slave labor.

    7. Re:Barring reality. by The+Good+Reverend · · Score: 1

      ...transation...

      That should be "Translation"

      Looks like I need to provide some shells myself. That'll teach me to post without previewing.

    8. Re:Barring reality. by Keith+Handy · · Score: 1

      This is, hands down, the worst "+4" I've ever seen.

      --
      -- -Keith
  42. I think he missed a couple of points. by DA_MAN_DA_MYTH · · Score: 1

    Now this I don't believe is true anymore, but the U.S. Dollar use to be the value of gold that the government owed you. Legal tender, a promissory note that said you had so much gold or what not. Hence the need for Fort Knox.

    The idea that the Professor could print money and say will use this to trade commodities is stupid, and he would be voted off the Island real quick. However if he some how said that I will hold something for you and I will give you this dollar which you can trade back for this item. He creates an Promissory Note/I.O.U. That gives value to the money.

    Reminds me of Lloyd from Dumb & Dumber
    "That's as good as money sir, those are IOUs. Go ahead and add it up every cents accounted for. Look, see this that's a car, 275 thou might want to hang on to that one."

    --
    "It takes many nails to build a crib, but one screw to fill it."
    1. Re:I think he missed a couple of points. by glenmark · · Score: 1
      DA MAN DA MYTH wrote:
      Now this I don't believe is true anymore, but the U.S. Dollar use to be the value of gold that the government owed you. Legal tender, a promissory note that said you had so much gold or what not. Hence the need for Fort Knox.

      The idea that the Professor could print money and say will use this to trade commodities is stupid, and he would be voted off the Island real quick. However if he some how said that I will hold something for you and I will give you this dollar which you can trade back for this item. He creates an Promissory Note/I.O.U. That gives value to the money.
      Which precisely points out the two biggest problems with our current economic policies:
      1. The U.S. Dollar hasn't been backed by gold since 1971
      2. Uncle Sam DOES print out however much money he needs to pay for deficit spending (not in a literal sense - many dollars are created electronically and are never even represented by physical cash). This print-on-demand money holds it's value only so long as Central Banks around the world are willing to accept dollars and buy Treasury Bonds. (Currently, China is the biggest backer of U.S. dept.)

      In short, Alan Greenspan IS the Professor, and he should be voted off the island, and all the other Keynsians with him.

      This inflationary monetary policy has had the net result of reducing the buying power of the dollar to only a tiny fraction of what it once was, and in the long run is unsustainable. At some point in the near future, we will be forced by necessity to return to a precious metal standard. The economic collapse leading up to it won't be pretty.

      --
      *** Quantum Mechanics: The Dreams of Which Stuff is Made ***
    2. Re:I think he missed a couple of points. by servognome · · Score: 1

      This inflationary monetary policy has had the net result of reducing the buying power of the dollar to only a tiny fraction of what it once was, and in the long run is unsustainable
      Why is it unsustainable? Just because it costs $10 for shoes that used to cost 10 cents doesn't mean the system is broken. If the price of everything goes up, then nothing has really changed. Inflationary monetary policy encourages money to move, which encourages exchange of goods & services
      If the goverment didn't increase the money supply things would be worse. A limited supply of money, with increased demand (growing population & more goods/services being exchanged as the economy grows) = deflation. This would discourage investment, spending, and damage the economy.
      Why would the bank loan you money for to start a company, when they could increase the value of their money just letting it sit in a vault with no risk. Why buy a new TV today, when it will cost less in a month.

      --
      D6 63 0D 70 89 81 BB 8E 7B 7C 5F 5D 54 EA AB 73
    3. Re:I think he missed a couple of points. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "This inflationary monetary policy has had the net result of reducing the buying power of the dollar to only a tiny fraction of what it once was, and in the long run is unsustainable."

      I believe this is an intentional strategy, without a solid backing money ALWAYS slowly inflates, so the average person works, gets paid, then gets their effort essentially STOLEN from them by inflation, but the government prints more money so they do not loos in this deal.

      read this: http://www.abelard.org/inflation.htm

    4. Re:I think he missed a couple of points. by glenmark · · Score: 1
      "I believe this is an intentional strategy, without a solid backing money ALWAYS slowly inflates, so the average person works, gets paid, then gets their effort essentially STOLEN from them by inflation, but the government prints more money so they do not loos in this deal."

      Exactly. In this way, inflationary monetary policy is essentially a hidden tax which is used to devalue government debt. It would be an effective strategy for dealing with deficits if they were a rare event which only cropped up in times of crises, but it is a recipe for disaster which deficits are stacked up year after year for as far as the eye can see.

      --
      *** Quantum Mechanics: The Dreams of Which Stuff is Made ***
    5. Re:I think he missed a couple of points. by glenmark · · Score: 1
      "Why is it unsustainable? Just because it costs $10 for shoes that used to cost 10 cents doesn't mean the system is broken. If the price of everything goes up, then nothing has really changed. Inflationary monetary policy encourages money to move, which encourages exchange of goods & services"

      The system IS broken when a typical worker is having to work twice as long to pay for the $10 shoes as their grandfather had to work to pay for the 10 cent shoes. Why do you think two-income families have become essential these days, when they used to be almost unheard of?

      But anyway, that's not the part that I'm claiming is unsustainable. Some degree of M3 growth is natural and necessary. The problem is the rate of that growth combined with the fact that the money is unbacked. In short, money is being created out of nothing, and it is being done far to quickly.

      "If the goverment didn't increase the money supply things would be worse. A limited supply of money, with increased demand (growing population & more goods/services being exchanged as the economy grows) = deflation. This would discourage investment, spending, and damage the economy."

      As I said, some amount of money supply growth is natural. But what of the nature of that money, and the rate at which it is being dropped from the helicopters (to borrow some symbolism from everyone's favorite economics thought experiment)?

      As I pointed out in my earlier post, this inflationary money creation slight-of-hand only works so long as foreign central banks are willing to hold dollars as reserve currency and purchase Treasury bonds. As Uncle Sam continues to crank the printing presses, the dollar continues to weaken and looks less and less desireable to those central banks. They are starting to eye other currencies, especially the euro (not that it is any more fundamentally sound). And it doesn't help that OPEC is making noises about switching from dollars to euros for settling oil payments. Add to that, Administration officials making idiotic statements like "deficits don't matter," it's no small wonder that global confidence in the dollar is vanishing.

      Without gold or silver to back it (as MANDATED by the Constitution!), the dollar is nothing more than a fiat currency, backed only by the confidence of those who use it that it will maintain its value. But without precious metals backing it, it is guaranteed to loose value, especially at the rate at which it is generated. We might as well be using tree leaves as currency. (Come on. This is Slashdot. A geek reference to Hitchhiker had to slip into this somewhere...)

      --
      *** Quantum Mechanics: The Dreams of Which Stuff is Made ***
    6. Re:I think he missed a couple of points. by servognome · · Score: 1

      The system IS broken when a typical worker is having to work twice as long to pay for the $10 shoes as their grandfather had to work to pay for the 10 cent shoes. Why do you think two-income families have become essential these days, when they used to be almost unheard of?
      Two income families are a seperate issue from inflation. That is more an issue of the relative value of labor vs goods & services. Inflation would hit both these the same
      Without gold or silver to back it (as MANDATED by the Constitution!), the dollar is nothing more than a fiat currency, backed only by the confidence of those who use it that it will maintain its value.
      Why is gold and silver the magic answer? They suffer from the same issue as fiat currency, they only have value when people accept it for exchange. There is nothing intrinsicly valuable about precious metals.
      A strong dollar is not always a good thing, what is more important is a stable dollar value relative to other currencies. Right now we are still seeing the market stabalization for the euro (it has been only 5 years). What makes the euro attractive is that business can be done with more countries cheaply.
      I agree with you though that the goverment should do a better job of deficit spending and spending policy.

      --
      D6 63 0D 70 89 81 BB 8E 7B 7C 5F 5D 54 EA AB 73
    7. Re:I think he missed a couple of points. by DA_MAN_DA_MYTH · · Score: 1

      Why is gold and silver the magic answer?

      It's not so much anymore. Different commodities hold different values. King's and countries riches use to be measured by the amount of gold / spices and commodities they had.

      You can use almost anything to back a currency, the point he's trying to make something should back it. Like OPEC countries could use oil to back their currencies. The U.S. could use steel or grain or who knows what. As long as something is used to back the currency. However gold or silver was used to back the original currency as stated by the Constitution. This may need to be revised.

      --
      "It takes many nails to build a crib, but one screw to fill it."
    8. Re:I think he missed a couple of points. by servognome · · Score: 1

      As long as something is used to back the currency
      The only reason to have tangible backing is to have the trust of people to use it. People accept fiat currency, "In God we Trust", they trust the dollar is limited and that they can freely exchange it.
      When you tie currency to gold, silver, or something else, then there is less control of the money supply. The value of the currency will fluxuate with the resource. You've taken control out of the hands of goverment (which answers to voters) and put it into the hands of business (which answers to shareholders). Tie it to gold, and now those businesses that own gold mines also control the value of your currency.

      --
      D6 63 0D 70 89 81 BB 8E 7B 7C 5F 5D 54 EA AB 73
  43. what about soldiers buying old dinars? by spook+brat · · Score: 4, Informative

    When I was there the main use I saw for the dinar was selling them to GIs who wanted souvenirs. I figured the rise in price was due to the Iraqis learning what passed as an acceptable price, as well as the Gis realizing that the supply of good-quality bills was diminishing (ie. fixed demand but dwindling supply).

    When I left people in the shops were still selling large quantites of former regime currency for prices ranging from $1 per bill to $20 for a bundle of identical bills. There's a good chance I just wasn't in touch with the local economy, but when the locals are consistently selling their old bills for loose change over the course of a year I have trouble seeing their dead currency as picking up value.

    --
    Travel the Galaxy! Meet fascinating life forms... ...and kill them - http://schlockmercenary.com
  44. Gilligan's Island: A Communist Model by Quash · · Score: 4, Funny

    Only a libertarian would overlook that Gilligan's Island is actually an allegory for a communist society. Odd, you say? Let's discuss: On Gilligan's Island, the Howell's, in all their pomp, bring all their money on a three hour tour. It's value on the island: worthless. But, they drape themselves in their mainland social positions and, as a result, become the buffoons of the show. The Professor controls knowledge on the island. There is no place for religion. Only fact, logic, and above all else, science. The skipper drives the capitalist machine on to the rocks, destroying it and becoming the *real* side-kick of the *supposed* side-kick: Gilligan. Look closely at their relationship. And whose island is it? That's right, it's Gilligan's Island. The everyman. The lowest person in the social order on the boat, that day. Yet, the centre of the island, clad in communist red, once they shipwreck. The commonman now reigns. And Ginger and Mary Anne? Well, even communists like chicks. /. that!

    1. Re:Gilligan's Island: A Communist Model by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      First the island was hell, now it's the model communist state.

      Hey, that means...

  45. Good timing by Malor · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Heh, it's interesting that this was posted now. I just changed my .sig a few days ago to touch on this topic. I'll repeat it here in case I someday change it:

    "US Dollar, n: A politician's promise to pay nothing on demand."

    This is one of the few government promises you can be ABSOLUTELY CERTAIN will be kept.

    What the article is talking about is, indirectly, that the paper money you use every day has no inherent value, so why on earth would anyone accept it as money? A currency that is unbacked by anything, but is decreed by law to be a medium of exchange, is called a 'fiat currency', because it obtains its value from executive fiat (decree). Basically, the government is forcing you to accept the US Dollar at gunpoint. If you do not, they can arrest you. (seriously, they can!)

    At one time, money was mostly gold, and to a lesser degree, silver. The way it basically worked was this: you, the gold miner (or perhaps, trader with foreign gold currencies), brought your gold to the government mint. In exchange, they gave you a certain number of gold coins, less some percentage to cover the costs of coinage. Gold must be alloyed with other metals, generally copper, to have enough hardness to last through day-to-day wear, and coins were rated based on their 'fineness', or how much actual gold they had in them. Offhand, I think an 8% copper mix was fairly common, and I believe it was often the case that a 1:1 trade was executed; for every ounce of gold you brought in, you received .92 of an ounce, plus .08 ounce of copper, in the form of a coin. The .08 was, in essence, the coinage fee.

    Well, over time, monarchs and governments figured out that they could increase that percentage a very great deal; for every one ounce of gold they took in, they only had to give out, say, half that much gold, if they mixed in enough copper. Historically, this has been a major sign of economic distress, sometimes presaging the complete failure of the government. Henry VIII is often cited as an egregious example; his 'silver' coins were actually copper with a very thin coat of silver. The high points would often wear off, leading to his nickname of 'Old Copper-Nose'. He did terrible damage to England's economy through this practice. There is a specific word for this form of taxation, but I cannot remember it or find it with Google right now. But it is very, very lucrative; the more you debase your currency, the more of the real value in the economy you can extract through deceit. Over the long haul, the strongest economies were always the ones with the strongest currencies, likely due to the fact that more of the money stayed in the hands of the population. A hidden tax is still tax, and taxes are bad, on the whole, for an economy.

    Now, consider what we have now. Instead of anyone doing (a great deal of!) work to mine gold or some other metal out of the ground, instead, the governments of the world can simply wave their hands and create new currency at will. This is absolutely wonderful for the governments in question, because it allows them to extract, at zero cost, value from their own, and other economies. By printing up bills marked '100', they can extract 10 times as much value as from bills marked '10', at zero extra cost. The US is taking huge advantage of this; we are importing vast quantities of goods from all over the globe, and in exchange we're shipping back worthless green paper, to the tune of over a billion dollars a day. This is great for us, but foreign readers... you and your countries are being RAPED. If you think the US is hated now, wait until the world figures out out just how bad it's been rooked.

    As a quick aside, I got my very first 'flamebait' mod awhile back for observing, in a discussion about using ink-jet printers to print money, that of COURSE the government hates that! They don't want anyone muscling in on their turf. Printing fifties on your inkjet and spending them

    1. Re:Good timing by AuMatar · · Score: 1

      The problem you miss- gold has no value either. So we ship out massive quantity of gold instead of dollars. What do they do with it? A little can be used for decoration, after that its garbage.

      What you're missing is that nothing in this universe has intrinsic value. Things have value only because two people agree that it has that value. When we used gold, we agreed 1 gold piece was worth a cow (or whatever you were buying). Now we agree that 1000 green pieces of paper is worth a computer. There's no difference. The only necessity is that the medium used be something both sides agree upon. THat medium can be gold, paper, seashells, or salt. In fact, all of these have been used over the centuries.

      Commodity or fiat, what the money is doesn't matter- so long as both sides agree to use it as currency.

      --
      I still have more fans than freaks. WTF is wrong with you people?
    2. Re:Good timing by freaks_and_geeks · · Score: 1

      This is a great post, which I would mod up if I could. From what I can tell, the US has the world in a catch-22 situation:

      To finance our massive trade deficit, we have to create a bunch of dollars. These dollars are headed overseas. Unfortunately for foreigners who receive these dollars, unless they're willing to buy goods in the US, their only choice is to put that money into US bonds/equities. In the bonds case, this is just a promise that we'll give them MORE dollars in the future. Which, of course, requires the creation of more dollars and drives down the value of the dollar.

      As our trade deficit demonstrates, the US is the world's biggest consumer. And if the value of the dollar falls, we can't afford to buy foreign goods anymore. So many countries are dependant on us buying their goods that this can't be allowed to happen. Thus, you have countries like Japan furiously buying MORE dollars to try and prevent its slide against the yen.

      My understanding of the financial markets is weak, but this seems like a sweetheart deal for us. We're essentially trading a depreciating currency for physical goods. I'd say we make out better in that exchange. In my mind, the real question is: at what point should I abandon the dollar for my personal savings and try to move it to something less scary?

    3. Re:Good timing by freaks_and_geeks · · Score: 1

      I think that the point is that with the current fiat currency system, the supply is potentially much greater. With gold, there is a more physical constraint on how much money can be printed. With out current currency system (which is largely electronic anyway), you are limited by the amount of potential paper in the world -- or the amount of disk storage in the world.

    4. Re:Good timing by AuMatar · · Score: 1

      The physical restraint of gold is a greater limitation than its an advantage. Remember that:

      inflation+GDP growth=change in money supply+change in velocity of money

      Meaning that limiting the amount your money supply can change by limits the amount the economy can grow as well. Also, basing it on a commodity means you can have sharp depressions based on that commodity- strike gold in a new lode somewhere, and the value of money drops drasticly. Look at price spikes in gold/silver rush times.

      --
      I still have more fans than freaks. WTF is wrong with you people?
    5. Re:Good timing by Malor · · Score: 2, Informative

      I just remembered the name for taxation through debasement: segniorage. No wonder I couldn't think of it. Not a common word anymore.

    6. Re:Good timing by Malor · · Score: 1

      What drives the growth of an economy is savings and investment: not consuming all of what you make, and investing that profit back into your ability to produce. If you are a cobbler and must sell 15 sets of shoes per week to maintain your standard of living, then any amount you make over 15 is your savings. You can trade these shoes for other goods, like better tools, or hiring more workers, or what have you.... you invest back in your business to make it more efficient. If there was one ounce of gold in the whole world, this would still work, because you'd trade a hundred millionth of The Ounce for your new tool.

      There was also a system in use during the middle ages, where they'd use short-term (90 day or less) notes among each other, and only at the end of every 90-day period would everything be settled up. At that point, some gold would actually move around, but this limited movement of gold or silver in no way constrained the economy.

      The money supply doesn't limit that; however much wealth there is, exists. Fiat money is not wealth, it's not anyone's extra labor, it's just purely fictional.

      What you may be referring to is fractional reserve banking, which allows banks to create money out of thin air. If they have, say, 100 real dollars, they can make many small loans far in excess of 100 dollars, because not everyone will want their money all at once. The fractional reserve system MAY increase economic growth, but that is questionable; there's pretty good evidence that it's the FRB system that causes the business cycle. It strikes me that the cycle of artificial boom/bust caused by expansion and contraction of a fake money supply probably does more damage than it helps; smooth and slow changes are best for wealth generation. The bankers are able to extract a great deal of wealth from the economy, and I am not at all sure that they are providing as much value as they are taking.

      What FRB does is send a false signal into the economy; for a short time, everything is furiously overbuilt as money floods the system. Then the flood recedes, and many of the businesses that were built, fail, even ones that would have been viable without the artificial crunch. Eventually the debts are paid down, and the cycle of boom/bust starts again. Proponents of this system point to the percentage growth during the boom years.... but a slow and steady 5%/year is better, probably, than alternating years of 10 and 0.

      And yes, you can have disruptions in the gold and silver supply, but economies are pretty resilient. It certainly can't be worse than the incredible abuse that the Fed has subjected us to since about '99. In the year 2000, as I recall, they grew the money supply by 18%! In a YEAR. There was a span of TWENTY YEARS (the late 40s, 50s, and early 60s) where in that whole 20 years we grew the money supply by something like 16%. We're really starting to see the inflation now, government misdirections be damned. It takes time for this stuff to percolate through an economy.

      What you are arguing for, essentially, is false growth brought on by false money: it looks good on paper, but much of it is not stable. It's not healthy. And the ability of the politicians to abuse the system is too profound without any kind of check on their power.

    7. Re:Good timing by Malor · · Score: 1

      See my other posts.... any commodity can work as money. The most marketable commodity becomes money, and as you observe, it can be anything.

      But fiat currencies are imposed by force on a population, and they give the government enormous powers to abuse the money and tax the population without their knowledge. No sane person would choose to use green paper as 'money' without a great deal of preconditioning. What is holding the dollar together is the network effect... because it was ONCE worth something, and societies change slowly.

      Fiat money can be invented, at the wave of a hand, in any quantity desired. Want to fight a war? No problem, just fire up the printing press. This devalues all the existing dollars and is a hidden tax on everyone, and they don't really understand it. There are other bad side effects as well... floating currencies have allowed a whole class of speculator to arise, which live on currency trading. This kind of trading is zero sum; if they make wealth, then other people lose it, by definition. The amounts of money being traded now are staggering, beyond imagination, and these speculators are extracting unbelievable amounts of wealth while providing NOTHING of value in exchange. They're just smart and playing by the rules, but our fiat-based world monetary system allows them to exist.

      All I am arguing is that using a physical medium of exchange (or bills, as long as the bills really are treated like the real commodity) prevents the worst of the abuses, both by government and speculators. It's not a perfect system, but it's the best we've come up with. It leaves the control in OUR HANDS, where it belongs.

    8. Re:Good timing by jdavidb · · Score: 4, Informative

      Basically, the government is forcing you to accept the US Dollar at gunpoint. If you do not, they can arrest you. (seriously, they can!)

      I'm at least as anti-fiat money as yourself (being an anarcho-capitalist, I do not believe the government should engage in any decrees of value for any item; means of exchange can be developed by the free market), but you are actually wrong on this point. Nobody is required to accept the US Dollar. Unlike taxes, you will not be shot for refusing to particpate. :)

      This is actually a common misunderstanding arising from the phrase legal tender. Check out that link and you'll find the following:

      There is, however, no Federal statute mandating that a private business, a person or an organization must accept currency or coins as for payment for goods and/or services. Private businesses are free to develop their own policies on whether or not to accept cash unless there is a State law which says otherwise.
    9. Re:Good timing by twocoasttb · · Score: 1

      Hmm. Oxygen, water, salt. All of those have intrinsic value, at least from the perspective of we insignificant life-forms. An interesting premise is what happens when people start getting paid as a matter of routine with these commodities.

    10. Re:Good timing by Malor · · Score: 1

      Well, I grew up in California, and it was most emphatically not legal to refuse cash there. I didn't realize that was a State thing rather than a Federal one, and I appreciate the correction..... but what I said is true where I grew up. :-)

      Note that that same page says we've been off the gold standard since 1933, but that's not true. We were on a gold standard system with other countries until 1971. 1933 makes it sound like ancient history... 1971 is a lot more recent and inflammatory. (the terrible economic times in the 1970s were, mostly, linked to that currency devaluation.)

    11. Re:Good timing by gilroy · · Score: 1
      Blockquoth the poster:

      At that point, some gold would actually move around, but this limited movement of gold or silver in no way constrained the economy.

      Ah, yes, because the Middle Ages are known for their robust, flexible, and growing economies... In fact, it was the inability of the old system to match the needs of the growing international economy that lead to the rise of international banking and credit -- long before even these "fiat currencies" sprang into existence.
    12. Re:Good timing by UserGoogol · · Score: 1

      Gold is practically fiat money itself. I mean, for most of human history Gold has had little practical value. Except for its value as currency, most of it's value came from fashion and other accidents of culture. (Although nowadays you can use Gold for its electrical conductivity and relative non-reactivity.) Gold was valuable because other people said it was valuable.

      Although it is a helluva lot easier to print money than it is to mine gold.

      --
      "Never attribute to malice that which can be adequately explained by stupidity." -- Hanlon's Razor
    13. Re:Good timing by Minna+Kirai · · Score: 1

      Gold is practically fiat money itself.

      Nope. You can't create gold by fiat. If you have 10% of the country's gold, the government can't change that without seizing your property.

      A King or Congress, however, can decide to produce more fiat money whenever they please, which will reduce the value of all existing money. (The only reason they don't, so far, is Alan Greenspan's say-so)

      most of it's value came from fashion and other accidents of culture

      No, gold's value came from scarcity. In most regions of the ancient world, gold-mining proceeded at such a low rate that the total available gold was nearly a constant quantity.

      Although it is a helluva lot easier to print money than it is to mine gold.

      And therefore it's not nearly fiat money AT ALL.

    14. Re:Good timing by Bill_Mische · · Score: 1

      In Britain things are slightly different. Have a look at the Bank of England if you don't believe me. To quote:

      "...legal tender is not a means of payment that must be accepted by the parties to a transaction, but rather a legally defined means of payment that should not be refused by a creditor in satisfaction of a debt."

      --
      Boring Old Fart (40, married, 3 kids...er no...make that 49, married, 3 grown up kids...it's been a long time)
    15. Re:Good timing by jdavidb · · Score: 1

      Actually that's almost exactly the way it is apparently defined in the U.S.

    16. Re:Good timing by UserGoogol · · Score: 1
      No, gold's value came from scarcity. In most regions of the ancient world, gold-mining proceeded at such a low rate that the total available gold was nearly a constant quantity.


      Yes, but if nobody cared about Gold, Gold would be far less scarce because scarcity isn't the same as just being rare. Scarcity means having less than would be enough to fuffill everyone's desires. If nobody wanted Gold, it would be far less scarce, in the economic sense of the term.

      Although I'll agree that Gold is not actually fiat money. Besides the fact that you can't get more without trying really hard (although you can get more) Its value doesn't come from a formal government, but from society itself, like the post-fiat money mentioned in the essay. Like the Saddam Dinars, Gold has little inherent value, but instead derives its value from society's belief that it has value.
      --
      "Never attribute to malice that which can be adequately explained by stupidity." -- Hanlon's Razor
    17. Re:Good timing by Matt+Apple · · Score: 1
      Nobody is required to accept the US Dollar. Unlike taxes, you will not be shot for refusing to particpate. :) This is actually a common misunderstanding arising from the phrase legal tender.
      There is, however, no Federal statute mandating that a private business, a person or an organization must accept currency or coins as for payment for goods and/or services. Private businesses are free to develop their own policies on whether or not to accept cash unless there is a State law which says otherwise.
      The quote above refers to the acceptance of CASH not US Dollars. It simply says that businesses have the option not to accept cash in payment (they could for example demand that you pay with a check or credit card) but you would still be paying in dollars. Legal Tender laws(in the US) state that creditors must accept dollars in payment of debts if offered. They cannot, for example, legally compel a debtor to pay in beaver pelts or Euros.
    18. Re:Good timing by jdavidb · · Score: 1

      creditor != business

      A creditor is a type of business. If you run some other type, that law doesn't say you must accept anything as payment.

  46. What an idiotic article by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The "post-fiat" money has value simply because the people using it THINK IT DOES. It has nothing whatsoever to do with the presence or absence of a government. If the citizens of the US were to, as one, decide that the US dollar was worthless and that red potatoes are where the value is, what could the US government do about it? The reason they don't decide this is because they already believe that the US Dollar has value, and because it's more convenient to use than red potatoes.

    To the people of Gilligan's island, or for those in Iraq, the tokens they exchange with each other as money derive their value ENTIRELY from the belief they have that those tokens have a value. It should not be AT ALL surprising that such tokens sustain their value (be they bits of metal, paper, or leaves) regardless of whether or not a government has sanctioned them. Sheesh.

    Seriously, this guy is just trying to present his own beliefs about money as true using some clever metaphors and questionable logic. He decries the use of fiat currency when there is no government to "enforce" it while at the same time presuming that other, "harder," forms of money (such as gold) have a more enforcable value without a government decree to back them up.

    Regardless of the physical manifestation of money (be it paper bills, gold coins, or sea shells), it is just MONEY and thus gets its value only from the agreement we all make with each other that it has any.

    1. Re:What an idiotic article by QuantumG · · Score: 1

      You're close. Money has value because other people think it has value. I am willing to exchange my services for little pieces of paper because I know others are also willing to exchange their services for them.

      --
      How we know is more important than what we know.
    2. Re:What an idiotic article by Malor · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Money, per Mises, is the most marketable commodity. If you know you can trade seashells for what you want, you will sell your goods for seashells. If enough people do that, seashells become money. (and past a certain point, a form of money is essentially inevitable, because of the network effect.) The network effect is powerful, and it would be likely to shore up a commodity that somehow lost some of its value, but if it lost enough value, then a new form of money would arise. Belief alone is probably not enough to hold money together.

      Fiat money is a hijacking of that natural process to give the government a great deal more control over the economy and a nearly-infinite ability to tax, without approval or even KNOWLEDGE of the people being taxed. Past a certain point, this will destroy an economy, of course, and cause the failure of the government. And last I checked, central planning of an economy was not a very good idea; the more control goes into the hands of a few people, the less well things tend to run.

      Money needs to be both a store of value and a medium of exhange. We're doing fine on the exchange part, but we're failing dismally on the store-of-value front. See my signature.

    3. Re:What an idiotic article by gilroy · · Score: 1
      Blockquoth the poster:

      And last I checked, central planning of an economy was not a very good idea; the more control goes into the hands of a few people, the less well things tend to run.

      And that's exactly why I'm opposed to total free-market capitalism and libertarianism... because the ultimate effect is to concentrate all of the wealth and all of the power into the hands of just a few.

      Sure, governments can give you the same problem. But the failure of straight democracy is not the same as a proof for oligarchy.
    4. Re:What an idiotic article by shadowbearer · · Score: 1

      That's right.

      Commodity exchange is barter and cannot be reasonably taxed except thru a large and often unacceptable degree of control over your populace.

      Money, especially with a government controlled monopoly on it's production, can be easily controlled, taxed, hoarded, and manipulated.

      Anyone who thinks that money - whether paper or electronic - will continue to be an uncorruptible substitute for barter has not been paying attention to the advances and use of technology.

      Paper money: The Feds are *barely* keeping ahead of the printing technology. The increasing number of counterfeiting cases the FBI prosecutes every year would, in fact, argue that they aren't.

      Electronic money: The numbers of cases of hacked credit card databases and the increasing level of social engineering argues that this simply isn't' going to work, either.

      Then again, if we go back to a rare metal exchange, and change our currency to reflect that, even with technology to verify that currency, someone will find a way around it.

      If it can be designed and built, it can be reverse engineered and hacked. This extends almost as easily to physical systems as it does to electronic ones.

      No, I don't know what the answer is. But I'm pretty sure that those in charge are not on the right track to it either.

      SB

      --
      It's old. The more humans I meet, the more I like my cats. At least they are honest.
    5. Re:What an idiotic article by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Money, per Mises, is the most marketable commodity. If you know you can trade seashells for what you want, you will sell your goods for seashells. If enough people do that, seashells become money. (and past a certain point, a form of money is essentially inevitable, because of the network effect.) The network effect is powerful, and it would be likely to shore up a commodity that somehow lost some of its value, but if it lost enough value, then a new form of money would arise. Belief alone is probably not enough to hold money together.
      Precisely. The seashells acquire a value NOT because seashells have some "inherent" value, but because people decide that they do.
      Fiat money is a hijacking of that natural process to give the government a great deal more control over the economy and a nearly-infinite ability to tax, without approval or even KNOWLEDGE of the people being taxed. Past a certain point, this will destroy an economy, of course, and cause the failure of the government. And last I checked, central planning of an economy was not a very good idea; the more control goes into the hands of a few people, the less well things tend to run.
      I don't understand how fiat currency "hijacks" anything. Disassociating the value of a dollar from the value of a commodity (such as silver or gold) means that exchange rates are no longer fixed. Fixed exchange rates are almost always a bad idea, since they tie your economy directly to all the other economies that fix to the same commodity and reduce your ability to control inflation and GDP growth immensely (since you can no longer adjust the growth rate of the money supply).

      I'd suggest you review your history regarding the currencies of Europe and North America before the introduction of fiat currency. When you base your economy's money supply on a commodity, you are subject to the market forces that control its price. For example, if the amount of money you had was tied to the amount of silver you had, to get more money you needed to get more silver. When different countries (most notably Spain) began bringing large amounts of silver and gold across the Atlantic and then minting it into coins, all the economies whose currency was based on silver suddenly began experiencing massive inflation (since there was suddenly a larger and growing supply of money, but the demand for it remained the same).

      Without the ability to control the amount of money being injected into their economies, much of Europe experienced a sustained period of hyperinflation estimated to have resulted in prices increasing 600% over 150 years.

      Overall, I would rather have a central bank controlling the amount of money being injected (or withdrawn) from the economy than to be beholded to the essentially random swings of the marketplace. A central bank is not even close to the same thing as a centrally planned economy (does the central bank tell you what your job will be, or how many of each product you are allowed to have?), and, at least in "first world" economies, the central banks are not subject to the authority of the government (much as the courts are a separate institution).

  47. seems to miss something by freaks_and_geeks · · Score: 1

    My understanding of the currency market is limited, but the article seems to miss an important point. That being: what incentive do the castaways have to use a monetary system that's initially controlled by Mr. Howell?

    Let's say you're in a village in ancient Mesopotamia. Someone has figured out why the barter system is inefficient, and has come up with the idea of money. Now the Mr. Howell of the village happens to have a lot of stones with a hole in the middle of them. He wants to use those as the initial currency. The problem is, he controls the whole market initially, and he hasn't lifted a finger! So, why would the castaways accept Mr. Howell's cash, or his gold -- since he controlled the entire supply in the beginning (assuming, of course that they are rational)? Two reasons:
    1) difficult of counterfeiting.
    2) because they know that his cash is eventually redeemable for stuff back in the "real world".

    As the author states, the castaways had ruled out possibility 2. IMO, possibility 1 is not a strong enough reason to hand over control of the whole currency market to a pompous ass. A rational Gilligan's island would have stayed with barter for a while, then evolved a new currency.

    1. Re:seems to miss something by Colazar · · Score: 1
      Good point.

      "Habit" would be one reason. They were used to using $ for money, and it made sense to them. Also, for a while there, they thought that they would be rescued, and accepted $ on that basis. By the time they didn't believe that anymore, they each had enough of the stuff that they could safely use it.

      But really, now that I think about it, did they ever actually use money with each other? Wasn't it just with the Howells that money ever came into anything?

      And of course, the real reason for using $: It was funny.

      --
      He decided to just watch the government, and kind of scale it down to size, and run his life that way. --Laurie Anderson
    2. Re:seems to miss something by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A rational "Gillian's Island" would be been rejected before the pilot episode was finished.

  48. Not quite. by Eevee · · Score: 1

    Paper money only has value in a transaction if the seller believes he can use it again to make purchases. Gold, however, can have value because the seller will use it for jewelry, or to electroplate his video cables, or even to pound flat and put on an office window.

    Now, you're correct that the value of gold would be less if it were only used in this fashion rather than as an easy way smooth out the difficulties of a barter economy. But paper money would be, for all intents, worthless--after all, how often do you need little rectangles of soft paper? (And paper money doesn't come on a convenient roll!)

    1. Re:Not quite. by OoSync · · Score: 1

      Gold, however, can have value because the seller will use it for jewelry, or to electroplate his video cables, or even to pound flat and put on an office window.

      And gold is just a metal. It has intrinsic utility, but it has no "value". We assign "value" by setting a rate of exchange. An ounce of gold has no intrinsic "value", it cannot in-and-of-itself be exchanged for everyday items required to sustain your life.

      Try this: purchase a gold coin, go to your local grocery store, try to use the gold coin to purchase a gallon of milk. I'm willing to bet the shop clerk will laugh in your face.

      Ask yourself: "Self, what is value?" Gold is not "value", though we assign a value to it. In the end, "value" is simply the exchange of one object for an object we desire or need. Those little greenbacks have as much "value" as we assign to them. Actually, the entire process is a good bit more complicated.

      See, other people "buy" US Dollars on the open market. They "buy" the "value" represented by the little green picture of dead-white-guys. These markets obey all of the usual rules of supply-and-demand, much like any other thing of "value". However, instead of mining a metal out of the ground, we print greenbacks. The Federal Reserve (National Banks in other nations), monitors the exchange rate of the currency. Ours is left to "float", that is, it assumes the "value" assigned to it by the currency markets of the world. Other currencies set a "value", to the US Dollar, to a Euro, to ounces of gold, etc.

      Oh, and our Federal Reserve can use monetary supply to help pull us out of tricky economic situations. Its a delicate thing, but increasing monetary supply in the face of depression can get enough money in circulation to pull away from the depression. Cutting taxes does something similar, but over a longer period of time (it takes time to legislate and then act upon a tax cut). Increasing the monetary supply is much faster and simpler. This must be balanced as rampant inflation is not desireable, but modest inflation helps keep money in circulation.

      --

      I always get the shakes before a drop.
    2. Re:Not quite. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Any shop clerk who'd turn down a gold coin for a gallon of milk has got to be insane, though. At least, around here nobody pays several hundred dollars for a gallon of milk. If the clerk in question had the brains God gave a goldfish, he'd pocket the gold coin and put a few dollars of his own in the till.

  49. Libertarian alert.... by magarity · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Within the science of economics, fiat means "having no intrinsic value."
    "The word fiat, IIRC, comes from the Italian word for "in faith."


    Sorry, fiat means the same in economics as in regular English: by degree. It is from a Latin word, 'fier', meaning 'to decree'. It has a slightly negative connotation in English, showing the essay author's bias when he uses it to refer to the fact that U.S. Federal Reserve Notes are legal tender. His bias is completely exposed when we find that the two outside sources referenced are 1. Ludwig von Mises, the economist whose works were used to found Libertarianism and 2. Murray N. Rothbard, the founder of Libertarianism

    The essay is rife with flaws from the mainstream economic point of view; its Libertarian slant is hard to wade through. I hate loaded language like 'fiat money' used to refer to legal tender. Just for fun, I'll address one point. Pointing out all the problems would make a good final exam essay at Bachelor level econ class:

    The what-if example about the Professor deciding to make money leaves completely misses the point. Here's the way that would need to play out: The Prof would have to offer some kind of service or good that at least one of the other residents of the island wanted. In order to perform that service or hand over that good, the Prof would declare that he would only accept genuine ProfLeaves. In order to get ProfLeaves in the first place, the other resident(s) would have to perform a service or provide a good to him. The Prof can simply demand that others accept for no reason but that's not practical.

    This is typically (note: 'typically' is not 'always') how currency gets its start; the government issues the money in return for services and goods from the citizens. The govmt declares that it will be demanding payment in its money as a tax payment. Soon, the money is in general circulation, as somewhere along the line, most of the participants are needing to pay for taxes and the government, as the largest purchaser and provider of new money, can set prices and supply.

    For US Currency, it wasn't always legal tender. Indeed, many states and banks issues their own money. This caused a lot of confusion. Imagine travelling to another state and needing to change your money. A major reason the Europeans adopted a common currency is to make trade so much easier. In the US, to cut out all the confusion of all the competing currencies, the Federal government made Federal Reserve Notes legal tender. This means that you can print up your own JoeBucks but can't legally require anyone else to accept them. If they do, that's fine, if not, you have to pay in Fed Notes.

    1. Re:Libertarian alert.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      My aren't we a bit smug. You are complaining about the libertarian and Austrian bias of an article from a libertarian/Austrian econ web site. That is rather like complaining about a pro-linux article on slashdot. Besides, even Sir Greenspan would agree that the Federal Reserve Note is a fiat currency. The Austrians didn't make that up. They just ascribe to it bad connotations where you bachelor level econ students might think it a good thing.

      I think I'll trust the guys at Mises.org before I trust your opinion.

    2. Re:Libertarian alert.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wow, you say Libertarian as if its a bad thing. :)

      A few notes:

      "mainstream" is not always, and is often, wrong. So the "mainstream" point of view is simply the point of view that is most manipulated/cajoled at the time.

      "Legal" tender only because it is forced down the throat of the people, so the government can manipulate the money supply. It happens. They force the people to use money, so that they can then print MORE money to buy whatever they want. Progressive taxation? hahaha No, they increase the taxes on the rich so that no one casn have as much money as the government.

      You trust the government, don't you?

      Poor slob.

    3. Re:Libertarian alert.... by magarity · · Score: 2, Insightful

      "Legal" tender only because it is forced down the throat of the people, so the government can manipulate the money supply.

      Please, feel free to print up anoncowardbux. If you get enough merchant to sign on, you can have your own money supply. The airlines inadvertantly did this with frequent flier miles. Those things are ubiquitous enough that they act as a type of money these days. There's nothing illegal about it. I bet that if you were determined enough, you could operate your finances completely with FF miles. You'd only need to convert some to deal in Fed Res Notes when its tax time, as the government wants taxes paid in USD. There would be absolutely nothing illegal in doing this. The government does not force legal tender down your throat. The government enforces that other people have to take your legal tender when you want to pay them off. Imagine someone demanding chickens for payment. I sure as heck don't have any chickens. Good thing for me I have dollars and they have to take the dollars instead of demanding whatever the heck they want.

      It happens. They force the people to use money, so that they can then print MORE money to buy whatever they want

      Before the second world war started, the Weimar Republic printed money to buy whatever it wanted. Workers' wives would run from the factories to the shops with wheel barrows rull of money to spend it before it inflated too much (within hours). I assure you, the current US federal government does NOT "print more money to buy whatever they want". There is a controlled budget process.

      Furthermore, the Federal government prints absolutely NO money. The Treasury issues Treasury Notes and Bills, which it sells to the Federal Reserve. It is the Federal Reserve that either buys with cash on hand or has to print more to purchase the T-Bills/Notes. A fine distinction, perhaps too fine for most people to grasp, but the Federal Reserve has whopping loads of cash on hand if the Treasury gets temporarily too happy with printing up new debt. At least, long enough for your local investigative reported to bring it to our attention and put an end to it.

    4. Re:Libertarian alert.... by rollingrock · · Score: 2, Insightful
      Perhaps I've missed the point too, because as far as I can tell you agree with the article on the creation of money.
      According to the article:
      Even if the others wanted to acquire preserved palm leaves, the leaves could not possibly become the most marketable commodity overnight and could therefore not start out as money. If the Professor's leaves become money, it will be through the same barter-based process that made the decorative shells into money.

      And according to you:
      The Prof would have to offer some kind of service or good that at least one of the other residents of the island wanted. In order to perform that service or hand over that good, the Prof would declare that he would only accept genuine ProfLeaves. In order to get ProfLeaves in the first place, the other resident(s) would have to perform a service or provide a good to him.

      It seems to me that what you describe is the barter-based process in the article. The only difference as far as I can tell is that you require that the Prof require ProfLeaves in exchange for his services. But this seems to be clear if the Profs intention is to create a currency. So, how is the article wrong on this point?
    5. Re:Libertarian alert.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Libertarian slant is hard to wade through.

      How in the world does this essay have any political slant on it at all? EVERYTHING in the essay is presented as matter-of-fact, and IS fact. Please provide at least one example of something that isn't fact (i.e. opinion) in the essay before shooting off about some kind of slant.

      I hate loaded language like 'fiat money' used to refer to legal tender.

      "fiat money" is simply the term for it. "legal tender" is relative to what jurisdiction you are in.

      The Prof would have to offer some kind of service or good that at least one of the other residents of the island wanted.

      Uh, no. Do you see the U.S. govt providing goods and services when they introduce trillions of $USD into the economy? on the contrary, they are BUYING goods and services (courtesy of hard-working Americans who are conditioned to work for fiat currency) in exchange, and do so at prices that exist BEFORE the inflated money supply. Guess who is really paying? Answer: EVERYONE who is dumb enough to be holding dollars during this time. Look at all the suckers holding USD during the Iraqi War II - when the dollar fell 50% in 2 years? This is the REAL taxation that Republicans use to finance their war. While they are giving people token 5% tax-cuts from the IRS, they are screwing them over 50% on EVERY DOLLAR OUT THERE - paper dollars as well as "checkbook" dollars.

      As for the Mises Libertarian slant, the Mises Institute exists to educate people about the economy, not to provide Libertarian slants on things (I guess if anyone out there is against the concepts of Liberty then it might seem like spin).

      For US Currency, it wasn't always legal tender. Indeed, many states and banks issues their own money. This caused a lot of confusion. Imagine travelling to another state and needing to change your money.

      The Founding Fathers were against Central Banking because they understood more about economics than apparently you do. Once you have a central bank you have corruptible control over the fruits of everyone's labor. This is exactly how the American people are getting screwed today. They don't know even who to blame when they are feeling poorer. Most Americans don't even understand how it is they have to work harder for the same amount of dollars in order to buy less.
      Take away the central bank (in this case the Federal Reserve) and put everyone back on the gold standard and you'll find that the government will no longer be able to afford to do things like wage wars in countries on the other side of the world without visibly taxing people (if Americans REALLY understood how much it actually cost to wage war they'd certainly not have supported the war in Iraq)

      A major reason the Europeans adopted a common currency is to make trade so much easier.

      Yeah, just like we went into Iraq to "free the Iraqi people". Wrong. The reason why the European bankers came in to establish a central bank was out of their own greed to control the monetary supply of the United States, for the very purpose of establishing a "multiplication of debt" (i.e. currency devaluation) at the expense of the unknowing populace. It worked. Yet another example of how the govt trampled the American Constitution and Bill of Rights a long time ago.

      This means that you can print up your own JoeBucks but can't legally require anyone else to accept them. If they do, that's fine, if not, you have to pay in Fed Notes.

      Damn, how many times can you be wrong? First of all, an individual can't legally require anything because individuals don't make the laws, they are only required to follow them. And remember it was illegal for over 40 years to use gold to pay for anything in the U.S., and if people started widely using another currency/commodity other than USD to pay for things, how long do you think it would take for the Fed to make that illegal as well? not long at all...

      I really don't understand how people like you can buy all this crap and not bother to turn around and see who's been fucking you. How much are your USD worth these days? uh, did you get a 50% raise to go with that? Wake up and smell the lube...

    6. Re:Libertarian alert.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Your process of detecting bias in texts appears extremely strange and confounding.

      You write:

      "It has a slightly negative connotation in English, showing the essay author's bias when he uses it to refer to the fact that U.S. Federal Reserve Notes are legal tender."

      Okay, we agree that the word 'fiat' has a slightly negative connotation (probably it reminds people that paper money is only valuable so long as other people are willing to accept them in exchange for material items). However, that will not and should not stop anyone in economics or anywhere else for that matter from referring to fiat money as with their objective description, namely fiat money.

      You state that "BECAUSE the author refers to paper money with its objective definition of fiat money, GIVEN THAT the word 'fiat' has a negative connotation, THEREFORE the essay is biased against paper money'. This argument, that referring to an item with its dictionary definition, is simply astonding. The only bias you can blame on anyone is really the inherent bias of the public, who attach negative bias to dictionary definitions.

      That is, unless you argue that "we can only escape bias by replacing the dictionary definitions with their loaded and negative connotations with other random words which the public in general does not attach any meaning to". Which would be an interesting argument.

      It gets even better with;

      "His bias is completely exposed when we find that the two outside sources referenced are 1. Ludwig von Mises, the economist whose works were used to found Libertarianism and 2. Murray N. Rothbard, the founder of Libertarianism"

      Let's say that the public attaches a negative bias to the metal 'tin'. Let's also say that the Soviet Union produces tractors made out of tin. In an essay, I refer to Soviet-made tractors as 'tin tractors'. Would this make my reference biased?

      And in my bibliography, if I list Saddam, Hitler, Stalin, Mao and Napoleon, would this cause you to not read a single line of the text, given that "With these references and sources, the essay per definition cannot have any value, and so is not worth glancing at"?

      It appears that the strongest bias may lie with someone else than the author.

    7. Re:Libertarian alert.... by DerWulf · · Score: 1

      you are an idiot. Even with your education you haven't noticed that the profleaves you invented are debt entitlements. It's a contract that says: lend me your service, I will give you some of mine later. And here is the best part: this is exactly how government paper money started out: as debt bonds. The people, of course not being stupid, didn't fall for that the way the government intended, so it said (like you agree): oh well, I'll have my debt certificates back (because we wouldn't want those pesky people knocking on the white house to actually get their credit back) or else I'll shoot you (taxes) and to make things even better for me, I'll say it's legal tender everyone has to accept in transaction and, on fiat, my debt certificates suddently have a redeemability of infinite and will thusly propagate as money, replacing all else.
      So now the pay off is huge: the former debts that those bonds stood for can no longer be payed because all there is to pay for them are other bonds. And because this is so swell, the government can just keep printing the little buggers and so aquire goods for nothing because those that bear the cost are all people using the new 'money' in the form of diminished market value, inflation. Now the government only has to pay of a few econ profs so they'll say that inflation is natural and nothing to worry about and that government credit expansions actually helps the economy: presto, today.

      Such a scam and you stand there and argue its all A-OK.

      --

      ___
      No power in the 'verse can stop me
    8. Re:Libertarian alert.... by magarity · · Score: 0

      Wow, you say Libertarian as if its a bad thing. :)

      I certainly do, because Libertarians come across as conspiracy theory nuts; please see all replies to my original.

    9. Re:Libertarian alert.... by Russ+Nelson · · Score: 1

      The essay is rife with flaws from the mainstream economic point of view;

      Exactly! That's because the mainstream economic point of view is wrong.
      -russ

      --
      Don't piss off The Angry Economist
    10. Re:Libertarian alert.... by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      I hate loaded language like 'fiat money' used to refer to legal tender.

      "fiat money" is simply the term for it.

      It is a loaded term. "Printed money" would have conveyed the exact same idea without the explicit declaration that the money is worthless. It is one possible term to describe the concepts in question, but it is one that is loaded. If I hear someone use that term for paper currency, I can guess what their "conclusion" will be even before they state it, just as this case worked out.

  50. silly libertarians by hikerhat · · Score: 1, Insightful

    That wasn't economics. That was a libertarian rant against government controlled currency. Gilligan's island doesn't scale to the real world. Now put your nose back in your Ayn Rand book.

  51. Mary Ann, or course. by RatBastard · · Score: 1, Redundant

    Ginger is the kind of girl you take to a motel and never see again.

    Mary Ann is the kind of girl you take home to meet mom and dad and stay with the rest of your life.

    --
    Boobies never hurt anyone. - Sherry Glaser.
    1. Re:Mary Ann, or course. by Paulrothrock · · Score: 1
      So, in other words, Ginger *then* Mary Ann.

      I'd pick Mary Ann. Geek girls are inherently curious and experimental. "Gee, professor, I didn't think it would even fit in there, let alone feel so good!"

      --
      I'm in the hole of the broadband donut.
  52. Ginger. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You just know she swallows.

  53. I don't get this at all by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Mary Ann is way hotter than Ginger. Yes I know that Ginger does the half-closed-eyes-sultry-voice thing, but LOOK at them. No contest at all.

  54. My wealth is in bits... by NotQuiteReal · · Score: 2, Interesting
    ... in some computers at Fidelity. Most of it anyhow. I assume they do backups. I don't care what OS they use.

    For some reason, Money reminds me of the observation about calculators that my High School kid just passed on to me "they get to use all the time. Just like in the real world." I've always told my kids, if you face a world without calculators, you've probably been studying the wrong thing anyhow [e.g. you would be better off knowing how to kill things with pointy sticks.]

    Money is like that too; If my bits become worthless, the bullets in my closet will be all of a sudden be worth a lot!

    --
    This issue is a bit more complicated than you think.
  55. Rescue? by giminy · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Aren't we ignoring a big point? The folks on Gilligan's Island kept hope that they would eventually be rescued or find a way off the island. Whoever treated the Howells nicely or got a lot of cash would certainly be rich once they set foot back in the United States.

    It's a promisory note, and for all the castaways knew, the US government would still back up their dollars when they returned. In fact, thanks to the Professor's radio and the occassional island visitor, they *knew* the US was still A-OK.

    That's reason enough to horde cash and gold to me...

    --
    The Right Reverend K. Reid Wightman,
    1. Re:Rescue? by SEE · · Score: 1

      Um, yes, we're ignoring it, but because it's a small point. Gilligan's Island is a framing device for looking at a fiat currency that went up in value when the backing government was overthrown.

    2. Re:Rescue? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If I had been the professor, I would have sold all my patents to Mr. Howell for all the promissary notes he could write - and brought flowers to Mary Ann every day.

  56. mod parent down... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    you obviously didn't understand the paper at all.

  57. Bah! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The problem with gold bugs is that they really, really have no clue about economics. A gold-backed economy is good because the supply of gold is limited, huh? And yet when the economy grows, the government has to buy more gold to back its currency, so the price of gold will be driven up (limited supply, rising demand) and we'll all end up paying 75% income tax because backing the currency will become the single government biggest expense.

    In fact, abandoning the gold standard was probably the single biggest factor in the past 50 years of economic growth, something totally lost on your average gold bug. Yes, fiat currency isn't perfect, but inflation isn't the end of the world, and a constrained currency supply would be far more damaging.

    And not incidentally, inflation is a critical component of economic growth, which is why the Fed has been so worried about deflation of late. Inflation makes credit cheaper, by devaluing debt over the long run, which gives people an incentive to invest in productive assets. This crops up as the "time value of money", which is sometimes referred to as "use it or lose it" - you put your cash back into the economy, either by purchasing consumer goods or as some kind of asset, because keeping it as cash will result in it slowly shrinking in value. This keeps the economy running, because nobody benefits from people keeping wads of cash under their mattress.

    But I don't expect such basic common sense from your average conspiracy theorist - uh, sorry, libertarian.

  58. Thanks for the spoiler, A$$H*LE!!! by JimmytheGeek · · Score: 3, Funny

    I haven't seen the finale yet.

  59. The article, compressed: by Alex+Belits · · Score: 1, Informative

    [worthless fluff]

    After the invasion of Iraq, there was no more central bank printing dinars and no more Iraqi government to put the fiat behind its fiat currency. The American military started handing out US$20 bills and expected the Dinar to fade from existence. Instead, to the chagrin of the occupation force, the Dinar's value doubled against the Dollar in two weeks.

    [more worthless fluff]

    Why did the unbacked paper do better than the US Dollar? Because the quantity of dinars was relatively fixed, while the supply of dollars grew. The law of supply and demand tells us that, all else being equal, a rise in the supply of a thing will lower the price of that thing. The thing, in this case, is the Dollar itself; its "price" is its buying power, which the Iraqis watched erode drastically within days.

    [more worthless fluff]

    --
    Contrary to the popular belief, there indeed is no God.
  60. The MOST Valuable Thing on the Island by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The MOST valuable thing on the island was never discussed on the show. Marianne and Ginger each had one. But apparently they were never used. You know what I mean.

    1. Re:The MOST Valuable Thing on the Island by sxtxixtxcxh · · Score: 1

      brains?

      --
      for a minute there, i lost myself...
  61. Umm, thats an interesting theory. by TiggertheMad · · Score: 1

    What the article is talking about is, indirectly, that the paper money you use every day has no inherent value, so why on earth would anyone accept it as money?

    Other than food and water, what has inherent value? I accept it as money because I can trade it for other things. You seem to think that a gold standard is essential to using paper as a trade meidum. I can trade money for gold, but it no longer has a fixed rate of trade. Isn't allowing the market to find it's own equalibrium a good thing? If money is being overprinted, it will just fall in value to gold.

    We print more money, because the commodity we back it up with is the goods and services that we produce. The economy is always growing, thus we are always printing more money.

    --

    HA! I just wasted some of your bandwidth with a frivolous sig!
    1. Re:Umm, thats an interesting theory. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What you describe about gold and paper money finding a proper balance could work. The concept is known as FreeGold. It depends, however, on preventing the artificial suppression of the gold price through futures contracts.

      A central bank can suppress the gold price through futures contracts by recognizing that most such contracts never result in the delivery of gold, but rather get settled in paper money that is conveniently created by the central bank at essentially no cost. A central bank, or a proxy, can theoretically go short as many gold contracts as it takes to push the price down.

      If you prevent the futures market in gold, you prevent the central bank from doing this and your idea will work. It may also require that goldfiat conversion is tax free. This should result in people saving gold as long term savings, but using fiat currency to spend for every day expenses.

      There are those who believe this will eventually happen after the great dollar crash runs its course.

    2. Re:Umm, thats an interesting theory. by Malor · · Score: 1

      That's why money is the most marketable commodity. The market determines its own value for things. And offhand, I'd say clothing, shelter, transportation, and energy all have a great deal of value.

      As far as money being overprinted... note that it HAS dropped in relation to gold a great deal, from $285 to about $410 now. And there are very strong signs that the government is now manipulating both the stock and gold markets. Reagan instituted a Plunge Protection Team after Black Monday (I think that's the right day of the week) in 1987. In a free market, there would be more sign of inflation in the gold price -- but EVERYONE watches the gold price, so it's in the government's interest to try to hold it down if it can.

      Look at the prices for gasoline or health insurance or platinum for a better gauge of inflation. Early warning signs.

      And there's no need for more money as the economy grows. In the twenty or so years following 1945, the economy grew ENORMOUSLY... I forget the exact figure, but I think it was a couple hundred percent over that twenty years. And the money supply grew, over that entire period, by about 16%. The economists of the time were arguing because they didn't think the money supply was growing fast enough, but it sure didn't seem to do anyone any harm.

      Money doesn't make an economy grow. A natural economy with solid money seems to be slowly deflationary; things get a little cheaper every year. Like I was saying in another post, you could have ONE OUNCE of gold be the medium of exchange for the whole country -- people would have bills denoting their fractional ownership of The Ounce. Now, that's probably too inflexible, and would cause prices to change too much, but it would work fine for exchange and as a store of value.

      I'm NOT advocating that system, I'm just trying to point out that economic growth is not driven by money. It is driven by WEALTH, by savings and investment, which are entirely different things altogether.

  62. Sicko by gleman · · Score: 3, Funny

    She wasn't called Lovey for nothing.

  63. Been done by jd · · Score: 1

    I believe the old Middle East kingdoms, prior to evolving a "printed" currency did use salt as "money".

    --
    It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
    1. Re:Been done by Darmox · · Score: 1

      I believe it wasn't just in the middle east -- as I recall, that's where the word 'salary' comes from.

      --
      If I was that drunk, I would have remembered it -- H. Simpson
    2. Re:Been done by jd · · Score: 1
      Hmmm. So, if I put in blood, sweat and tears (all excellent sources of salt) at work, then I'm paying my bosses a salary...


      THAT explains a lot.

      --
      It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
    3. Re:Been done by div_B · · Score: 1

      I believe it wasn't just in the middle east -- as I recall, that's where the word 'salary' comes from.

      And the expression "worth his/her/its salt."

  64. Read Mises and Rothbard by dh003i · · Score: 3, Informative
    It is impossible to do experiments in the social sciences, because there are always numerous variables which you cannot control. You also don't understand the nature of reasoning from a priori axioms. We don't need empirical evidence to know that a priori axioms are true. Mises correctly states that all economics follows from the action axiom (and other axioms and postulates): The action axiom states that man acts. Expanding upon this, man acts using various ends to obtain various means, so as to ease and unease felt. You cannot dispute this axiom, for attempting to dispute it is in fact an action itself.

    Your reasoning is positivist, which is debunked junk. Positivism states that we can only know something is true if we have empirical verification, and that everything else is meaningless. This is inherently self-contradictory, for that very statement can only be taken as an a priori axiom. Except, according to positivists, a priori axioms are meaningless tautologies. So, the question is, how do we know that that positivist statement is in fact true? We haven't verified it by experiments, so according to its own declaration, it is a meaningless tautology.

    Austrian economists start from self-evident a priori axioms. These axioms do not need to be empirically verified. Indeed, they cannot be falsified empirically, and can only be illustrated. You cannot falsify the action axiom. You can only illustrate it (indeed, everything you do is an illustration of the action axiom).

    " What makes these axioms self-evident?... They are self-evident because one cannot deny their truth without self-contradiction; that is, in attempting to deny them one would actually, implicitly, admit their truth." -- Hoppe, Hans-Herman
    I would suggest reading the following papers:

    If you want to read more on Austrian economics, the best introduction is Man, Economy, and State with Power and Market. Rothbard, Murray. (MES). Man, Economy, and State with Power and Market was Rothbard's treatise on economics, also intended to be a textbook for introducing students to Austrian economics. Mises, Rothbard's mentor, wrote the great treatise on economics simply called Human Action. Mises, Ludwig von. (HA). Human Action is an extremely important treatise, although it is not as easily understandable as Rothbard's treatise. Rothbard, in his treatise, assumes that readers have much of the knowledge in Human Action, so reading MES is not a substitute for reading Human Action; however, Rothbard corrects Mises on a couple of issues (like monopoly) and expands upon Mises' analysis, exploring new categories.
    1. Re:Read Mises and Rothbard by Hatta · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Thanks for a thoughtful reply. I'll try to find the time to read a couple of those links.

      You also don't understand the nature of reasoning from a priori axioms. We don't need empirical evidence to know that a priori axioms are true.

      Ok, so how do you know what's an a priori axiom and what's not? For thousands of years it was thought that the parallel postulate was thought to be a self-evident a priori axiom. There are things that appear to be self evident, but really aren't. This is why we need emperical verification.

      The action axiom states that man acts. Expanding upon this, man acts using various ends to obtain various means, so as to ease and unease felt. You cannot dispute this axiom, for attempting to dispute it is in fact an action itself.

      Depends on what you mean by action. I could claim that trees act. From an objective viewpoint men and trees both just minimize their free energy, an action by a tree is not fundamentally different from an action by a man. Therefore anything you derive from this action axiom must also hold for trees.

      Your reasoning is positivist, which is debunked junk. Positivism states that we can only know something is true if we have empirical verification, and that everything else is meaningless.

      I didn't mean to argue about the nature of truth, but the nature of science. I'm not sure that even science can tell us for certain that something is true, only that we have a reasonably good model. Scientists make mistakes. When I said economics is philosophy, I did not deny that philosophy can be useful. Indeed, in situations when experimentation is not possible, it's our only way of deriving something approximating the truth.

      This is inherently self-contradictory, for that very statement can only be taken as an a priori axiom. Except, according to positivists, a priori axioms are meaningless tautologies. So, the question is, how do we know that that positivist statement is in fact true? We haven't verified it by experiments, so according to its own declaration, it is a meaningless tautology.

      Very interesting argument, I'll have to ruminate on that one.

      Austrian economists start from self-evident a priori axioms. These axioms do not need to be empirically verified. Indeed, they cannot be falsified empirically, and can only be illustrated. You cannot falsify the action axiom. You can only illustrate it (indeed, everything you do is an illustration of the action axiom).

      Isn't the action axiom therefore emperically verified

      --
      Give me Classic Slashdot or give me death!
    2. Re:Read Mises and Rothbard by dh003i · · Score: 2, Interesting
      Err, sorry for the sometimes "mean" content of my post. From the quotes, it appears that at times, I was harsh (I didn't mean to be harsh against you, but the positivists).

      Responding to your questions...

      " so how do you know what's an a priori axiom and what's not? For thousands of years it was thought that the parallel postulate was thought to be a self-evident a priori axiom. There are things that appear to be self evident, but really aren't. This is why we need emperical verification. An a priori axiom is a statement which cannot be denied without self-contradiction. In other words, it is "self-evident". This does not mean it is easy to understand, or inherently simply, or that it is psychologically self-evident.

      Also, I believe that the parallel postulate still is a self-evident a priori axiom, in it's appropriate context -- a two-dimensional world, or a three-dimensional world with no warping of the space-time continuum. We have simply discovered that that axiom is not perfectly applicable in this universe. Furthermore, our verstehen of non-euclidian geometry rests upon our understanding of euclidian geometry. Also, non-euclidean geometry also starts from a priori axioms. Of course,there is a link between euclidean geometry and non-euclidean geometry: euclidean geometry is simply a special case of non-euclidean geometry in which there is no space-time warping. Quoting Mises:

      "

      The critics of apriorism refer to the fact that for the treatment Of certain problems recourse to one of the non-Euclidian geometries appears more convenient than recourse to the Euclidian system. The solid bodies and light rays of our environment, says Reichenbach, behave according to the laws of Euclid. But this, he adds, is merely "a fortunate empirical fact." Beyond the space of our environment the physical world behaves according to other geometries.[3] There is no need to argue this point. For these other geometries also start from a priori axioms, not from experimental facts. What the panempiricists fail to explain is how a deductive theory, starting from allegedly arbitrary postulates, renders valuable, even indispensable, services in the endeavors to describe correctly the conditions of the external world and to deal with them successfully."

      "Depends on what you mean by action. I could claim that trees act. From an objective viewpoint men and trees both just minimize their free energy, an action by a tree is not fundamentally different from an action by a man. Therefore anything you derive from this action axiom must also hold for trees."

      I am referring to the praxeological definition of action. To clarify this definition, I refer to Mises:

      "

      Human action is purposeful behavior. Or we may say: Action is will put into operation and transformed into an agency, is aiming at ends and goals, is the ego's meaningful response to stimuli and to the conditions of its environment, is a person's conscious adjustment to the state of the universe that determines his life."

      Action is clearly distinct from reaction, which is what you're discussing when you talk about trees. Furthermore, human reflexes, unconscious breathing, blinking, digestion, and the beating of the heart are reaction.

      " I didn't mean to argue about the nature of truth, but the nature of science. I'm not sure that even science can tell us for certain that something is true, only that we have a reasonably good model. Scientists make mistakes. When I said economics is philosophy, I did not deny that philosophy can be useful. Indeed, in situations when experimentation is not possible, it's our only way of deriving something approximating the truth."

      For this, I suggest the aforementioned Socials Sciences and Natural Sciences. Science too rests on some a priori axioms. Most basically, causality. We cannot empirically verify causality. If you don't already posses

    3. Re:Read Mises and Rothbard by Russ+Nelson · · Score: 1

      Yes, if you want to call yourself an economist, you must read Human Action. Conversely, if you call yourself an economist, and you have not read Human Action, you are lying.
      -russ

      --
      Don't piss off The Angry Economist
    4. Re:Read Mises and Rothbard by Hatta · · Score: 1
      Err, sorry for the sometimes "mean" content of my post. From the quotes, it appears that at times, I was harsh (I didn't mean to be harsh against you, but the positivists).

      No problem. I try never to mistake vigorous debate for personal animosity.

      Also, I believe that the parallel postulate still is a self-evident a priori axiom, in it's appropriate context -- a two-dimensional world, or a three-dimensional world with no warping of the space-time continuum. We have simply discovered that that axiom is not perfectly applicable in this universe.

      Still... if it's possible for a self-evident a priori axiom to not be perfectly applicable in this universe, doesn't that mean they need emperical verification to determine to what extent they do apply?

      I am referring to the praxeological definition of action. To clarify this definition, I refer to Mises:

      " Human action is purposeful behavior. Or we may say: Action is will put into operation and transformed into an agency, is aiming at ends and goals, is the ego's meaningful response to stimuli and to the conditions of its environment, is a person's conscious adjustment to the state of the universe that determines his life."


      Action is clearly distinct from reaction, which is what you're discussing when you talk about trees. Furthermore, human reflexes, unconscious breathing, blinking, digestion, and the beating of the heart are reaction.

      Praxeological, had to look that one up heh. I'm not convinced that "action" and "reaction" are necessarily different at all. Minds are made of physical parts that obey physical laws. I think free will is an illusion, and I'm not sure "ends" exist, other than minimizing gibbs free energy.

      So I took a peek at the beginning of Man Economy and the state, fundamental problems jump out at me right away. For instance:
      Only individuals have ends and can act to attain them. There are no such things as ends of or actions by "groups," "collectives," or "States," which do not take place as actions by various specific individuals. "Societies" or "groups" have no independent existence aside from the actions of their individual members.


      This ignores the fact that an individual human is a collective of cells. Therefore by this reasoning, a human cannot have any ends that are not shared by its component cells. This contradicts the action axiom, and that's just the first implication Rothbard states. But I really have to get back to work...
      --
      Give me Classic Slashdot or give me death!
    5. Re:Read Mises and Rothbard by I'm+Spartacus! · · Score: 1

      Depends on what you mean by action. I could claim that trees act. From an objective viewpoint men and trees both just minimize their free energy, an action by a tree is not fundamentally different from an action by a man. Therefore anything you derive from this action axiom must also hold for trees.

      I don't have time to get into a long discussion about Human Action. The work is simply too dense and voluminous to discuss on a bulletin board. However, Mises addresses almost all your arguments. In particular, what distinguishes human action from non-human action is the ability of man to override his impulses and logically deduce what is more important to him than something else.

      From Human Action:

      But is different with man. Man is not a being who cannot help yielding to the impulse that most urgently asks for satisfaction. Man is a being capable of subduing his instincts, emotions, and impulses; he can rationalize his behavior. He renounces the satisfaction of a burning impulse in order to satisfy other desires. He is not a puppet of his appetites. A man does not ravish every female that stirs his senses; he does not devour every piece of food that entices him; he does not knock down every fellow he would like to kill. He arranges [p. 17] his wishes and desires into a scale, he chooses; in short, he acts. What distinguishes man from beasts is precisely that he adjusts his behavior deliberatively. Man is the being that has inhibitions, that can master his impulses and desires, that has the power to suppress instinctive desires and impulses.

      Go here for more detail on the subject. Be warned, however, Human Action will change your life!

      --
      "War is God's way of teaching Americans geography." -- Ambrose Bierce
    6. Re:Read Mises and Rothbard by Rotterdam · · Score: 1

      To these I would like to add:

      Wittgenstein, Austrian Economics, and the Logic of Action by Roderick T. Long

    7. Re:Read Mises and Rothbard by dh003i · · Score: 1
      We need to use empirical evidence to determine when a priori true axioms apply. One of the postulates of Austrianism is that there is a diversity of resources, both human and natural. Obviously, this applies in this world. However, if we were magically transported to a completely homogenous world, that would not be true. The action axiom would not apply in a universe without people, for example (indeed, in such a universe, there'd be no-one to formulate that axiom [by people, I mean any entities of higher intelligence]).

      Whether or not "free will" is an illusion, there's still a distinction between action and reaction; it is just not that "comforting" distinction that we'd like to think of it as (namely, that we have free choice).

      It is true that an individual is a collective of cells. However, unlike a person, a society does not have a consciousness and a life. It is simply short-hand for the interactions among many individuals. Furthermore, cells and organs are not individually "self-conscious", but only the whole person is.

    8. Re:Read Mises and Rothbard by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The "diversity of resources" is merely a recognition of the state of the world, not an a priori axiom of praxeology. In a universe without people, the action axiom would still apply -- it just wouldn't apply to anything that actually existed in the universe. I.e., we can imagine such a universe; it's not possible to imagine a world in which praxeological axioms don't hold.

  65. Re:Homosexuality is bad. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    And why did you sign up for a Gmail account with 2k in it when you made it in 2004?

    Because you're a jackass, that's why.

  66. that's very very bad by dh003i · · Score: 1
    Firstly, it is morally bad. It is thievery. Inflation involves theft from property owners, as crooks (the government) print out more than one title to the same property.

    Secondly, inflation isn't uniform, and could never be uniform. Inflation redirects wealth from productive voluntary private-sector activities, to anti-productive coercive State-activities, like war.

    Thirdly, inflation causes the business cycle.

    1. Re:that's very very bad by Elwood+P+Dowd · · Score: 1

      Is it illegal to sell gold-backed banknotes in the USA?

      --

      There are no trails. There are no trees out here.
  67. Real Answer They Hope to get off the Island by BlakeLupa · · Score: 1

    Real answer they figure someday they would get off the island and had use/need for US currancy again. Don't have a word for how crazed you need to be to write and article base on Gilligan's Island.

  68. silly by plopez · · Score: 1

    Right up there with the Freudian interpertation of "The Cat in the Hat". And just as rigorous. No wonder economics is not considered a true science..

    --
    putting the 'B' in LGBTQ+
  69. wrong... by dh003i · · Score: 2, Insightful
    Read The Case for a Genuine Gold Dollar. Rothbard, Murray. and What Has Government Done to Our Money? Rothbard, Murray. Alternatiely, perhaps the best way is to allow the free market to choose it's money. See The Determination of the Purchasing Power of Money. Mises, Ludwig von.

    1. There are substitutes for gold. Obviously, if gold were used as money, it would be uneconomical to use it as computer parts.

    2. As Rothbard explains, a "commodity basket" is extremely flawed and utopian in the worst sense: it simply cannot work.

    3. You do not understand the nature of money. Any given quantity of money is just as good as any other quantitity of money. The commodity chosen as the monetary unit will simply scale to the appropriate value. You also subscribe to typical fallicious beliefs about "deflation". Deflation is not falling prices (or rising purchasing power of the dollar). Deflation is a decrease in the monetary base; inflation is an increase in the monetary base. Printing out dollar bills is inflation. Burning them is deflation.

    4. No Austrian who favors eliminating fiat money and replacing it with a commodity-backed standard (gold) supports fractional reserve banking.

    1. Re:wrong... by greenrd · · Score: 1
      Alternatiely, perhaps the best way is to allow the free market to choose it's money.

      What's stopping it from doing that now? The fact that it overwhelmingly chooses fiat currencies, indicates that you are wrong.

    2. Re:wrong... by Russ+Nelson · · Score: 1

      Hahahahahahahaha! You're so funny! Or do you really believe that a free market chooses fiat currencies?
      -russ

      --
      Don't piss off The Angry Economist
    3. Re:wrong... by BCoates · · Score: 1

      So why is the USD so much more popular than metal currencies?

    4. Re:wrong... by Russ+Nelson · · Score: 1

      Ever tried to spend a gold coin for its gold value rather than its face value?
      -russ

      --
      Don't piss off The Angry Economist
  70. logical article though... by m2bord · · Score: 1

    i am confused...how many coconuts equal one papaya. and how many papayas equal one fish?

    --
    Is it 5:30 yet?
  71. fallacies by dh003i · · Score: 2, Interesting
    You don't know what you're talking about. Simply stating that we're better off now -- a time when we have fiat money -- than we were when we didn't have fiat money does not demonstrate that fiat money is superior to gold. The sheer idiocy of a such a statement makes me wonder how you could state it (obviously ignoring improving technology). Yes, we are better off now than we were a hundred years ago. But that doesn't demonstrate the superiority of fiat money.

    Are we better off (to the extent that we're better off) because of fiat money? That is, if not for fiat money, we would be worse off today.

    Are we better off (to the extent that we're better off) despite fiat money? That is, if not for fiat money, we would be better off today.

    Are we better off (to the exten that we're better off) neither because of nor despite fiat money? That is, whether or not there was fiat money, we would be the same as we are today.

    I would suggest you read Facts and Counterfacts in Economics. Hülsmann, Jörg Guido.

  72. What money always will equal by MBraynard · · Score: 0

    The money supply is always equal to goods that have been produced but not yet consumed. Regadless of the quantity/denominations/etc, within an economy, this is always the exact value of money - and it is that which changes, not the other way around.

  73. Wow. by sp0rk173 · · Score: 1

    I had no idea Ginger was a whore.

  74. Re:Slashdot moderator admonishment: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I'd mod you down too.

    But damn that last one, took my last mod point

    (Really I am just kidding :-)

  75. Why did Thurston bring so much cash, by walterbyrd · · Score: 1

    for a three hour tour?

    I vaugely remember one episode where Thurston ponied up $1M worth of ransom money for Ginger.

    As little kid, I wondered: why did Thurston bring over $1M for a three hour tour?

    Might as well wonder why Ginger brought so many outfits.

    1. Re:Why did Thurston bring so much cash, by Esion+Modnar · · Score: 1
      why did Thurston bring over $1M for a three hour tour?

      Sounds like he was running from the law. Though, you usually pack light for something like that. Not as if you would have all that much time to pack.

      --

      They say the first thing to go is your penis. Well, it's either that or your brain. I forget which...
    2. Re:Why did Thurston bring so much cash, by Charcharodon · · Score: 1
      One of life's great mysteries, why the hell did they bring so much stuff for a three hour tour?

      Were they worried it would get jacked back at the hotel? Nope turns out after watching the pilot episode, that included Skipper, Giligan, Thurston and Lovy, the high school teacher (some weird hunky open shirt type, not the professor), and secretaries Marry Ann (in this one she was a ditzy blond) and Ginger. (The pilot girls were pure eye candy always running around in bikini's.)

      Well turns out that though it was a three hour tour it was also their water taxi between islands. All the passengers had their luggage since they were traveling to their respective resorts and destinations. They mention all of this in the pilot. Some of the scenes were reshot with the new cast and some were reused for the first episode. Also the theme song was some crazy Latin song instead of the Gilligan's island song.

  76. Related Article by rollingrock · · Score: 1

    There is a related article on Reason http://www.reason.com/rauch/082704.shtmldiscussing Thurston Howell III's supposed senate campaign. This was posted on 8/27, it appears that the Monetary Economics article was inspired by it.

  77. Diff-eq, etc. are common in Economics by garyebickford · · Score: 4, Interesting

    There's enough math and computational expertise required in advanced economics to keep any math geek satisfied. It's not a coincidence that large numbers of Physics PhD's are working on Wall Street these days. The cookbook economics you hear on the tube is not the economics being done in research today; it's the economics that politicians and TV newshosts can understand, and communicate in soundbites.

    As you alluded, much of basic Econ can be described as a bunch of rules-of-thumb and ad hoc arguments, of the sort, "If we ignore all these things here, and assume that they are constant, we can pretend that this here happens." The problem is that economic systems are complex systems (analogous to the brain's neural network), and can't be modeled well using "billiard ball" physics models. Until recently the only alternative has been to use statistical, "gas law" models and other simplifications of the systems.

    Example: a small town may have 1000 citizens, 200 businesses, and perhaps 500 formal and informal groups/organizations. Each of those individuals and organizations has over 1000 'inputs' and 1000 'outputs' - relations with each other and outside entities, that may be considered as economic factors. (Relations may be financial or other.) You have a social network with something like 10^13 relations/interconnections. And that's just a small town or neighborhood.

    I'm embarking on a PhD in Econ shortly, after many years in computing, and my math skills are being stretched like they haven't in a long time. Differential equations is a prerequisite for several of the introductory graduate level courses, along with linear algebra and a bunch of statistics and game theory. Thomas Bayes' much appreciated Bayesian Theorem probability is a tool of economists. Vilfredo Pareto (Pareto-optimal" game outcomes) was an economist. Many elements of modern statistics, probability and game theory were developed by economists.

    The problem faced by economists has been not that it was too simple, but that the systems under study have been too complex to delve into very deeply until both the mathematical tools and the computational power became available. It was necessary to drastically simplify the models in order to get any sense at all. And, of course, there is a strong philosophical and social-studies thread throughout economics.

    Nowadays there is a strong thrust into new approaches to Economics, including complex adaptive systems, agent based systems, Neuroeconomics, Experimental Economics (vis. Vernon Smith, 2002 Bank of Sweden "Nobel" and social network economics.

    Often in addition to training and/or experience in biology, physics, systems theory and other disciplines, these approaches require a good understanding of differential equations, comfort in manipulating long chains of partial derivatives, and working with multi-layered irregular networks. Interestingly, even fluid dynamics equations are applicable in some cases.

    --
    It's easier to be a result of the past, but more fun to be a cause of the future! http://www.spacefinancegroup.com/
    1. Re:Diff-eq, etc. are common in Economics by Russ+Nelson · · Score: 1

      Wow. You obviously know nothing about the Austrian school of economics. You have a lot to learn, and none of it requires any mathematics.
      -russ

      --
      Don't piss off The Angry Economist
  78. Experimental Economics is alive at I.C.E.S. by garyebickford · · Score: 1

    That's Interdisciplinary Center for Economic Science at George Mason University. The Founder, Vernon Smith, won the 2002 Bank of Sweden "Nobel" prize in Economics for his work in experimental economics, which is now a very vibrant branch of modern economics. I've heard that it's still hard to get published if your experiment doesn't confirm existing "established theory", however.

    --
    It's easier to be a result of the past, but more fun to be a cause of the future! http://www.spacefinancegroup.com/
  79. jeeze, it's ROI by louden+obscure · · Score: 1

    three hour tour. shipwrecked. same odds as five dollar slots if your lucky. duh.

    --
    Serenity now, insanity later.
  80. Diablo 2 by Renraku · · Score: 1

    Look at Diablo 2. Remember how rare the SoJ (Stone of Jordan) was initially? Then guess what became the currency because it was duped to hell.

    SoJs remained the most standard currency for a long, long time. You want this? 40 SoJs. That? 20 SoJs. The economy of the game was quite interesting, because it was so flexible.

    --
    Job? I don't have time to get a job! Who will sit around and bitch about being broke and unemployed then?
  81. Socialism by genrader · · Score: 1

    Von Mises wrote Socialism, what a great book.

  82. Silly like foxes... racist plutocrat foxes. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You don't have to read very deep into their website to find out they are pseudo-libertarians; that is, they object to the current government doing anything constructive wbut they are all in favor of perpetuating the oppressions and inequities (particularly racist and mysogynist oppressions) imposed by former governments.

    Basically, a bunch of rich, white, fat, anti-environmental Rand-worshippers who want to return to the days when persecution of Jews, lesbians, blacks, and the poor was considered good fun.

    The following is the Intelligence Project's writeup on LvMI:

    Ludwig von Mises Institute
    www.mises.org

    The Ludwig von Mises Institute, founded in 1982 by Llewellyn Rockwell Jr. and still headed by him, is a major center promoting libertarian political theory and the Austrian School of free market economics, pioneered by the late economist Ludwig von Mises. It publishes seven journals, has printed more than 100 books, and offers scholarships, prizes, conferences and a major library at its Auburn, Ala., offices.

    It also promotes a type of Darwinian view of society in which elites are seen as natural and any intervention by the government on behalf of social justice is destructive. The institute seems nostalgic for the days when, "because of selective mating, marriage, and the laws of civil and genetic inheritance, positions of natural authority [were] likely to be passed on within a few noble families."

    But the rule of these natural elites and intellectuals, writes institute scholar Hans-Hermann Hoppe, is being ruined by statist meddling such as "affirmative action and forced integration," which he said is "responsible for the almost complete destruction of private property rights, and the erosion of freedom of contract, association, and disassociation."

    A key player in the institute for years was the late Murray Rothbard, who worked with Rockwell closely and co-edited a journal with him. The institute's Web site includes a cybershrine to Rothbard, a man who complained that the "Officially Oppressed" of American society (read, blacks, women and so on) were a "parasitic burden," forcing their "hapless Oppressors" to provide "an endless flow of benefits."

    "The call of 'equality,'" he wrote, "is a siren song that can only mean the destruction of all that we cherish as being human." Rothbard blamed much of what he disliked on meddling women. In the mid-1800s, a "legion of Yankee women" who were "not fettered by the responsibilities" of household work "imposed" voting rights for women on the nation. Later, Jewish women, after raising funds from "top Jewish financiers," agitated for child labor laws, Rothbard adds with evident disgust. The "dominant tradition" of all these activist women, he suggests, is lesbianism.

    Institute scholars also have promoted anti-immigrant views, positively reviewing Peter Brimelow's Alien Nation.

  83. Interesting, indeed by Loundry · · Score: 1

    Those are questions best left unanswered.

    And why is that? Because the philosophy that are espoused by that person and character are so odious that they don't deserve to see the light of day?

    Well, if the philosophy is so invalid, then why not bring it out into the open where it can be openly discussed and shown for the fraudulent and dangerous philosophy that it is?

    --
    I don't make the rules. I just make fun of them.
    1. Re:Interesting, indeed by NonSequor · · Score: 1

      It was a joke and I did not expect anyone to take it seriously.

      --
      My only political goal is to see to it that no political party achieves its goals.
    2. Re:Interesting, indeed by Loundry · · Score: 1

      It was a joke and I did not expect anyone to take it seriously.

      Apologies. Sometimes its hard to tell, given this medium is text-only and all.

      --
      I don't make the rules. I just make fun of them.
  84. Only in some by Sycraft-fu · · Score: 1

    You are talking about Everquest, or a like world. The problem is that almost all items have permenance in that game. They never break or go away, unless the character that happens to have them quits and doesn't give them away. So the amount of goods in the economy continously increases, people just keep getting richer and richer as the game just genreates more and more items. Also, since most gold is just used as a proxy for player transactions, and it always increases, it looses value rapidly.

    Not all of them are designed like that, however. In Star Wars Galaxies, more or less everything is player made. Players mine the raw materials, make them in to parts, and finished items. What's more, most items deteriorate with use, eventually breaking and becomming useless. There are also items (like medicine) that are used up to do their thing. Finally, structures require a continual upkeep to be paid to operate.

    This keeps the economy much more under control. Money is continually created, but it's continually destroyed. If you give someone 50,000 for a rifle it doesn't go and just sit in a bank like in EQ, they spend it on materials to make more rifles. Sony also added hand-of-god mechanics so they can rebalance the output of materials at any time. They can make it more difficult (and thus expensive) to acquire certian raw materials which then drives prices up.

    So it all depends on how the game is set up. In some games yes, money is just a fixed thing versus some goods the computer sells you. However in others it really is a representation of value, and isn't static.

    1. Re:Only in some by Mock · · Score: 1

      Actually, the reason the Everquest economy exploded in sudden inflation was because of a banker dupe bug, which created multi-millionaires overnight.

      Inflation is caused by a rise in the supply of money that cannot be properly absorbed by the population. In the normal Everquest economy, this supply is kept in check by making money creation enough of a time sink that it matches the rate of destructive spending (buying from NPC merchants, effectively destroying the money).

      Incidentally, the EQ team has put in a new money sink in the form of the casino, in order to speed the draining of excess money from the Everquest economy.

      So while the number of items in the game increase over time in Everquest, the money supply (barring dupe bugs like the one described above) remains stable, and thus so do prices.

    2. Re:Only in some by will_die · · Score: 1

      Except so far in MMORPGs you don't have inflation, you just have player greed.
      The value of the money stays the same since the money sinks don't fluxuate based on the amount of money that the players have. Housing, transportation, manufacturing, etc all are a constant price. Since the cost to make something is always the same it just becomes a matter of players jacking up the prices if feel players will pay it, which is greed.
      Now a game that instead of fixed prices actually had fluxuting costs based total amount of money all players had would be rather interesting. Since hard core players will usally get alot of the money(more time in game, better chance of having more money) the wealth of theses games goes to very few, but they have no way of investing it so that it gets into the hands of the poorer players. So what would happen is that prices of transportation, housing,etc would quickly skyrocket were the new, or even casual player would never beable to purchase anything from the game. An excellent example of hyper inflation.

  85. Asteroids and Inflation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This is how you get rich mining asteroids: you dump the goods on the market and get money for it, then before the market has time to adjust to the radically changed supply of gold and platinum you buy lots of goods with the money. Then the inflation sets in, the people you gave the gold to get shafted but you make off like a bandit. For a more detailed explanation of this strategy read this http://www.abelard.org/inflation.htm

  86. And more important than which one is... by JudgeFurious · · Score: 4, Funny

    The fact that (And I know it's rude but it's the truth) both of them are in posession of the only "currency" that would mean anything to the 4 men on the island. It's between their legs.

    Think about it. Gilligan, Mr Howell, the professor and skipper are all going to be interested in one thing before long and honestly, they were probably interested in that prior to ever getting shipwrecked. All four of them hadn't fantasised about banging Ginger or Mary Ann from the moment they stepped onto the boat. Once they get shipwrecked and they've been on the island for a couple weeks it's going to be a question of who's getting laid and not much else is going to matter.

    Now obviously Howell is an old dude and his wife is there so he's going to be on a short leash. He'll keep up appearances but you know he's thinking he could bag one of these chicks if he could get away from the old ball and chain. Then again this was before Viagra so maybe not. If this took place today though Thurston would be knocking the bottom out of Ginger. I'm sure he'd go for Ginger. He's rich, she's famous. That's just the way it works.

    But say Thurston hadn't the benefit of the little blue pill and was out of the mix. Then you've got Gilligan, the professor, and the skipper vying for two women. One of them is going to end up with the professor obviously because he's the only one of the three available guys who's both height-weight proportionate and not a complete idiot. Ginger probably goes for him and has little trouble staking claim to him.

    This leaves Mary Ann to choose between the fat old sailor or the retard. Not a very appealing proposition but she doesn't have to make the choice. Niine weeks and a couple dozen screw ups from Gilligan later he goes looking for coconuts one day and mysteriously doesn't return. The skipper was of course fishing on the other side of the island when it happened and knows nothing about it. In truth though he buried his "little buddy" in a shallow grave so he could claim the sole remaining available piece of tail on the island.

    --
    Appended to the end of comments you post. 120 chars.
    1. Re:And more important than which one is... by Psion · · Score: 2, Funny

      Hold on a second. The Professor isn't exactly an intellectual slouch. I doubt he'd have trouble deducing the fate of the skinny screw-up and it wouldn't take him long to realize that he's got something the Skipper quite possibly wants: Ginger. Now what does he do? Since the Skipper represents the closest thing to the authorities the island has, he certainly can't go that route, so he has to take his personal defense into his own hands. He can kill the Skipper outright and then lay claim to both Ginger and Mary Ann, or he can compromise the Skipper in some way so that the old sailor can no longer even consider causing the academic any harm.

      Since the former is risky, considering the Skipper is probably a superior tactician, I'd see the Professor taking the latter route. He could easily build a still and turn the ruined captain of the S.S. Minnow into a lush, but given Jonas Grumby's history in the Navy, he just might have a clue how to operate such a device on his own and the Professor would still be at risk. Instead, Roy Hinkley must fall back on his skills as a chemist and botanist. He must create narcotics that require his expertise to produce on an on-demand basis. By making the Skipper chemically dependent upon him, the Professor now has a commodity the Skipper requires and a tight little monopoly upon the supply; thus ensuring that Jonas Grumby will comply with his bidding. Easy access to Mary Ann is then a given, and Professor Hinkley can then set about populating the island with intelligent progeny.

    2. Re:And more important than which one is... by alleycat0 · · Score: 1

      Your theory is predicated on everyone being heterosexual - not a safe assumption. Remember, the skipper does refer to Gilligan as his 'little buddy'...

      --
      I am not a number - I am a free man!
    3. Re:And more important than which one is... by JudgeFurious · · Score: 1

      Good point. If we proceed with the assumption that the skipper and Gilligan are swabbing each others poop decks then the situation works itself out with little conflict. The professor shacks up with the two babes. ....unless they're lesbians. This could get pretty complicated.

      --
      Appended to the end of comments you post. 120 chars.
    4. Re:And more important than which one is... by bobdehnhardt · · Score: 1

      You are making two distinct assumptions here, the first being, that the males would be the dominant members of this society. As you point out initially, Ginger and Mary Ann (and let's not forget Lovey) are the ones with the in-demand commodities.

      Lovey Howell has been around power long enough to recognize where it lies, who has it, and how best to exploit it. And Ginger Grant, being a successful movie star/sex symbol, would know the power she possessed - she certainly used it to her advantage, and most effectively, in a number of episodes. Mary Ann may seem innocent, but she also used her sex appeal a few times, often and well enough to show that she was not completely innocent.

      This means that unless the men were willing to restore to outright rape, the women were the ones most likely to be in control.

      You second assumption is that we would be seeing purely monogamous pairings. As Marin County, California in the 1980's showed, it ain't necessarily so....

    5. Re:And more important than which one is... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Um... well from what I remember:

      Howell was with Mrs. Howell

      Skipper was with Ginger (or trying to be)

      Professor was with Mary Ann (or trying to be)

      Gilligan was with a friendly female gorilla he found on the island.

      See the beauty contest episode.

  87. You are thinking about riches in the wrong way by Sycraft-fu · · Score: 1

    Society becomes more rich when we have more stuff (under a capitalist system at least, which is what we are using most places). More stuff requires more resoruces. So, if space mining allows us to get them cheaper than on Earth, that makes us more rich. That's the idea behind capitalism: people seeking personal richness creates more wealth, bringing more overall richness. Doesn't always work that way, but it does generally.

    In a case like this, the individual group that sought to mine would be seeking personal riches. Suppose they could mine and transport platinum from an asteroid at $50/oz. Even if their load depressed the world price by half, they are still making 8x profit. So this increases, and eventually the price settels at $100/oz, or whatever. Great, this means platinum is now 1/8th what it was. So it's much easier to build all the things we wanted that need platinum, and we are richer for it.

    I mean I live a fairly average American life, in economic terms. I make slightly less than the median saliry, but close enough. However I live as well (or better when you factor in healthcare and the like) than nobility from 7th century Europe. The reason being, modern America is a MUCH richer nation than any of the middle ages Euorpean ones.

    The mess in Europe was largely a result of precious metals being the backing for, or even the currencies themselves. They weren't used for much other than money, and kewelery. Not so any more, there are plenty of industrial uses and the currencies of today are unhinged from precious metals. They are a raw material, like any other, just an expensive one.

  88. Done it, old news by JudgeFurious · · Score: 1

    Now I'm looking for the website that has some good ideas on coconut geiger counter case mods. Then I'm going to cluster the things.

    Then I'll post a story about the whole thing on Slashdot but my server (built out of bamboo and coconuts of course) will go up in flames from the Slashdotting (literally).

    I'm thinking "Profit!"

    Unless of course the RIAA, MPAA, or some other "AA" comes along and sues me.

    --
    Appended to the end of comments you post. 120 chars.
  89. And you find one, once and a while by Sycraft-fu · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Ron White from the Blue Collar Comedy Tour did a bit on this, talking about coupons at a fair to buy beer. There are places like that which will not take you cash, you have to go buy their little fake currency and use it, the vendors won't take dollars directly.

    I've been in situations where I won't take money either. I've done service for service trades, my computer skills for some skill they have. I'm not interested in cash, I want them to do something for me. I mean I suppose realisticly I'd do it for enough money, but as a pratical matter I don't want dollars, I want labour.

    1. Re:And you find one, once and a while by FleaPlus · · Score: 1

      There are places like that which will not take you cash, you have to go buy their little fake currency and use it, the vendors won't take dollars directly.

      When I was in Thailand last year, the food courts in most of the malls we visited were like that. You'd go to a separate booth to buy food coupons, which you would exchange at the eateries. The only reason I can think of for them was to make it so each eatery didn't need a cash register.

  90. And these days by Sycraft-fu · · Score: 1

    It's even more abstract in many caes, electronic money. There isn't a paper float to back all the money in our economy, much of it exists only in computer databases. My economics professor compared it to a tribe that used big rocks for currency. They were too big to move, so you just owned certian rocks, which changed to other ownership when you bought something.

    It works like that today, often. Banks just transfer money to eachother via trusted channels, and databases are updated. No cash transfer ever follows.

    That all works fine though, as you noted, it's just an agreed upon form of storing worth. You create a good that has worth, or perform a service that has worth, you get a paper or electronic proxy for that worth from teh recipiant, which you then give in exchange for something you want, etc.

  91. Mises Institute and Intellectual Property by hexdef6 · · Score: 1

    I'm a librarian at the Mises Istitute as awell as a long-time (8 years) Slashdot reader. I just wanted to inform folks that the Mises Institute does some really cutting edge work on the legitimacy of Intellectual Property. If you are interested, google "Stephan Kinsella" "Against Intellectual Property". I have also written a paper that touches on the economics of this issue, and how the hacker community has been an incredibly influential market factor. It is located here.

  92. Actually... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Cache is king, if your site gets slashdotted.

  93. Is that so? by khasim · · Score: 1

    Since you cannot extrude the salt in the salt water (urine won't do it and neither will persperation), you will, over time, collect a lethal dosage of salt.

    You will die.

    Yes, I read that link. But doing further research didn't turn up anyone duplicating his test nor any medical reasoning on how you'd get rid of the excess salt.

    1. Re:Is that so? by Breakfast+Pants · · Score: 1

      "Since you cannot extrude the salt in the salt water (urine won't do it and neither will persperation), you will, over time, collect a lethal dosage of salt." Then how come people don't die from eating food which contains salt every day of their lives? Your body has ways of maintaining its salt levels, and obviously this means some salt has to be expelled as waste if new salt is coming in all the time. Now, can your body deal with salt fast enough to allow you to survive off of salt water for an extended time? No, but that's a lot different than what you said ("you cannot extrude the salt in salt water").

      --

      --

      WHO ATE MY BREAKFAST PANTS?
    2. Re:Is that so? by zoefff · · Score: 1

      Probably you sweat it out (taste your lips on a warm summer afternoon)

    3. Re:Is that so? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Since you cannot extrude the salt in the salt water

      Where is that -1 Dumb, or -1 Wrong, or -1 Stupid moderation when you need it?

    4. Re:Is that so? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's not that you build up a lethal dose of salt; what happens is that the salt pulls water out of your cells -- you die of dehydration.

  94. Fluid dynamics by guybarr · · Score: 1


    Interestingly, even fluid dynamics equations are applicable in some cases

    Ref, Link ?

    Although I can easily think-up hypothetical examples myself I wonder what the real uses are.

    (I'm a physicist, not an economist)

    --
    Working for necessity's mother.
  95. If you liked this article... by schmobag · · Score: 1

    You might be interested in reading William Greider's "Secrets of the Temple: How the Federal Reserve Runs the Country". Despite the melodramatic title, it's a serious and engaging history of money in the United States. It was assigned reading for a monetary policy class I took a couple of years ago at the University of Utah.

  96. Feedback by guybarr · · Score: 1


    And this differs from the methodology of economics in what way?

    A real practical difference is that changes in economical thinking affect the economy - thereby affecting (yet) unmeasured values.

    This feedback is not, of course, valid in astrophysics.

    --
    Working for necessity's mother.
  97. That's an Easy One by obergeist666 · · Score: 1
    why the castaways of Gilligan's Island used Thurston Howell III's 'worthless paper' instead of gold or seashells.

    Toilet paper! Ever tried to wipe your butt with gold or seashells?

    1. Re:That's an Easy One by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sure thing. You just need three of them.

    2. Re:That's an Easy One by 3waygeek · · Score: 1

      Actually, shells have been used in place of toilet paper.

  98. Why bring it back? by tqft · · Score: 1

    Sure bring back some if you ever come dirtside again, but more useful:

    1) a large rocky asteroid - hollowed out, sealed and air added. Living space. This is where the gigabucks are.

    2) Use the gold as reaction mass for your electrically powered "ship"/asteroid maeuvering drives

    3) use the platinum in rocket nozzles or whatever else it is good for

    "recover several thousand tons of gold and platinum. What is that going to do to the market price of gold and platinum?"

    Nothing if you don't bring it back, or cut a deal with the current people about releasing it - cf the European central banks gold sell-off deal.

    Given the current/expected cost of lifting stuff to orbit (mind if you are mining asteroids I would expect that to have come down), I would expect anything in orbit to be more valuable simply in terms of mass already lifted than any dirt-side commodity market value.

    --
    The Singularity is closer than you think
    Quant
  99. Fiat currency by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
  100. Four guys ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

    ... and the handsome sexy one is the Professor!

    See, it is a geek show!

  101. And so are you by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Being rich has nothing to do with your absolute wealth. It's about being wealthier than the guy next to you.

    It's true that becoming richer usually requires acquiring wealth but it only matters if you can do it at a faster pace than the other guy. The other way to become rich, of course, is to decrease the wealth of your fellow man (optinal bonus: take it for yourself), but this tends cause some ill will.

    So don't try elevate yourself. You are still a puny member of lower middle class and those of the disease infested 7th century nobility are the elite.

  102. Re:Au contraire by Nephilium · · Score: 1

    Now... it does depend on the Libertarian how simple minded they wish to get... one of the main selling parts of the party is that you can explain the basics of the system in about 16 words: ("Do whatever you want to yourself; but, cause provable injury to someone else, it's your fault."); The problem is then going into the various instances of the ideal. For example: Private Roads and Punishment systems. Here is where things get confusing and complicated in a usual discussion.

    Although... Competition *could* be a great role for a library system, look at it this way: you have three library systems, one funded by a philantropist, one funded by government/public funds, one funded by a church. Don't you think they would each have different focuses? The religious parents take their kids to the church library, they don't have to worry about the *evil* Harry Potter books (and the kids do what kids have always done, sneak out the back and go to one of the other libraries).

    I will say competition plays a great role in the food chain: You don't compete, you don't eat.

    Nephilium
    "Longer lines at airports do not a police state make." -- Jonah Goldberg

  103. yeah, yeah Gilligan's Island by www+www+www · · Score: 1

    what about a real challenge, explaning the bush economics ...

    --

    bring it on! --- JFK

  104. Liberty Dollar -- value-backed currency by jlrobins_uncc · · Score: 1

    Here's a link to the Liberty Dollar, a value-based (backed by gold / silver) currency that you can possibly even spend at some stores.

    I first read about 'em in a weekly newspaper article in Maine.

    1. Re:Liberty Dollar -- value-backed currency by BCoates · · Score: 1

      Those dollars are a bit overpriced--you should be able to get U.S. mint 1oz silver bullion dollar coins for well less than $10; and unlike the liberty dollar they also have the interesting property of being US$1 legal tender even if the bottom drops out of the silver market.

      I wonder if anyone offers a fractional-reserve private paper currency so that the system can be subsidized by the float instead of having to pay a premium to have your silver sitting in a warehouse somewhere?

    2. Re:Liberty Dollar -- value-backed currency by GreedyAnarchist · · Score: 1

      The reason why you don't see fractional reserve warehouses for silver or gold is because that is precisely what silver/gold enthusiasts are trying to get away from.

  105. Re:you are forgetting the most important fact... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The Skipper and Gilligan are SAILORS. Don't you know that women and sea men don't mix?

  106. On second thought by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Given the manipulative nature of Ginger, I think that she would prefer somebody that she could, well, manipulate. Since the professor's fairly smart, he would catch on quickly that he was being played, and would prefer Mary Ann, who doesn't appear so catty and doesn't have an aversion to working around the hut. Let's face it, the professor is at the top of the uncharted island heap, and in a labor-based society, free time is wealth. Mary Ann, a bit plainer than Ginger would be happy to have the professor. Why would the Professor bother with something high-maintenance like Ginger?

    That leaves Ginger to pick between Mr. Howell, Skipper and Dobby Gillis. Mr. Howell, like the professor, is not easily maneuvered, so that puts him out of the running. Skipper is old enough not to be bothered waiting on Ginger hand and foot. That leaves Gilligan. He'd never get anything like Ginger on the main land and would be dopey enough do to anything to support Ginger, who trades sex for the labor of her mate. The Little Buddy and Ginger mutually benefit with this pairing. This is nearly the reverse of the Mary Ann/Professor set-up. Plus, the Professor could probably bang Ginger every once in a while on the side, it's not like Mary Ann or Gilligan could do much better by leaving thier mates if they found out.

    That leaves the Skipper. No problem. He's Mr. Howell's house boy. Mr. Howell pimps Mrs. Howell to settle the bill. Mr. Howell is a hard nosed businessman and knows how the most from his holdings, while exerting the least amount of his own effort.

  107. disagreeing with one of the article's premises by JimBobJoe · · Score: 1

    One of the defects of using money that is based on a commodity is that there are times in which there is not enough money in the economy, so people start hoarding it.

    The Asian economic implosion in the late 1990s was caused by this--inspite of the economies going sour, caused by people not spending money, governments thought that keeping inflation down was the most important thing, so they refused to print more money, further exacerbating the problem. (Indeed, The Economist and many others continue to call for the Japanese to go hog wild printing Yen in order to give that economy a boost.)

    I once read a nifty metaphor to explain this. A babysitter's club uses vouchers to get babysitting...people volunteer to babysit to get vouchers, and then the vouchers they get can be used to get free babysitting for when they wanna have an evening on the town.

    At first, they only give out one free voucher. Because of that, people hoard that one voucher for when they really may need it, meaning that no one can earn any more vouchers since no one is wanting to spend their one voucher.

    The solution was to print off an extra 5 free vouchers and give them to the participants. That way people were more comfortable spending the vouchers, which allows other people to earn vouchers, and then you got a little economy going on.

    In the Japanese situation, the scarcity of the money means people are too uncomfortable spending it....

  108. What about Mr. Howell's personal advice.. by Kootaphor · · Score: 1

    with regards to personal economics?

    An essay on the comparative advantages, personal and financial, of sharing living expenses and domicile with one's parents..

    http://ohhla.com/anonymous/howl_III/skillion/livew ith.th3.txt/

  109. Re: Chickens by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    "This note is legal tender for all debts public and private" is printed on the bills. Stores don't have to accept payment in dollars since you don't owe stores anything when you walk up to the counter to buy an item.

    Only if you borrow the item, or buy the item on credit using a promise to pay in dollars later like a bar tab, does legal tender enter into play. If you buy with a promise to pay dollars later, then your debt is in dollars already, but if you borrow a chicken, then your debt is in chickens. If the courts ever have to force you to pay the debt, they will allow the debt to be paid in the amount of dollars that could procure a replacement chicken. The payment of dollars remediates the loss of the chicken by the lender to the debtor, and hence pays off the debt.

    What the debt is payable in can be important. For instance, a debt payable in fresh strawberries would be easier and cheaper to pay in the local strawberry harvest season. A debt payable in dollars would be easier to pay after a few years of rampant inflation.

    There is no reason a loan couldn't be made payable in some other medium than dollars like gold, or Indian rupees or whatever if that medium seemed more stable. Interest might be saved by the debtor that way if future dollar inflation seemed highly unpredictable ( for instance, if the governement decided it liked to tax by printing money ). High uncertainty about future inflation breeds exorbatant interest rates.

    The legal system could force the lender to accept dollars in payment, but the number of dollars the lender would have to accept would depend on the value in dollars of the comodoty the debt was payable in at the time the debt was repayed.

  110. shared blueprint by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Men have nipples for the same reason women have a clit (which is female penis tissue - other twin tissues: testicals and overies, scrotum sack and labia lips).

    We both share the female blueprints (DNA). The male adds a slight addendum (both have at least one copy of the female chromosome, only the male has the VERY SMALL male chromosome, the other chromosomes we both have two of). WE SHARE A BLUEPRINT.

  111. That's "seigniorage" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You're welcome. Some of us remember high school.

  112. Sorry Im using a new spell checker by eadint · · Score: 1

    so it doesn't catch words as well
    i meant buried. as in kill them dig a hole and put them in it.
    I guess i wouldn't want to be on an island with me either, unless i was the only one there. but i guess that would be the point.

  113. Dollars and Oil by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    As I understand it--and I may be wrong--one of the interesting things you can buy with dollars is oil.

    OPEC countries accept dollars for oil, rather than the currency of the country which produces it. This is why international oil prices are measured in dollars per barrel. This helps keep the value of dollars up, because you can buy something useful with it. As an aside, this is yet another reason that we didn't like Saddam--Saddam was going to sell oil for Euros (which was a reason that Europeans liked Saddam) which, with Iraq's oil reserves, could have hurt American interests.

    Consider two other countries which are considering converting to Euros: Iran & Venezuela. Iran is part of George Bush's "axis of evil" and is a great invasion target, now that we have bases in Iraq. Venezuela's president has been using barter deals with other Latin American nations, which hurts the US. This explains the U.S. support for opponents of the Venezuelan president.

  114. I hate when clueless economists babble about EQ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    As a dedicated merchant in EQ I can assure everyone that EQ is and has always been massively DEFLATIONARY. That's right, tons of pp flows into the game through play, exploits, and DEFLATION is rampant.

    The time for 98%+ of items to HALVE in Gold cost is about 2 months. Any item that a player doesn't sell, generally becomes worthless to anyone but a "poor newbie" in a year.

    Some examples...
    Executioner's Axe (25/50) used to sell for $100 on ebay, or about 10-20k in game 5 years ago. According to our "inflationary friends" this item should cost MILLIONS of pp now. In fact it is WORTHLESS, not even a new player would wield such an artifact. Centi Spears (20/30) are over twice as good a weapon as the Exe Axe sell for 50pp or less!

    The game economies are still thriving. Trading takes place absurdly fast compared to the "good old days" I stand by my statements and invite any EQ player to name 5 items from the tens of thousands in the game that has gone up in PP cost in the last 2 years.

    Economists are only interested in improving the value of what they invested in. Ask for one example where inflation or deflation changed the overall wealth of a population, you'll only get hypothetical strawmen.

  115. no, but by dh003i · · Score: 1

    They cannot be used to pay taxes, and they cannot be used to pay off liabilities (courts will not recognize a liability paid off if it's paid off in gold). Furthermore, for a long period of time, The State criminalized the holding of gold for monetary purposes, and only allowed for its holding for personal (jewelery) uses. Rothbard wrote on this in What Has Government Done to Our Money?

  116. Re:I hate when clueless economists babble about EQ by Colazar · · Score: 1
    I actually wasn't really referencing EQ (as I haven't played it). I was actually thinking about UO (which I also haven't played), where I have heard stories about "black" items that became valued extremely highly, because you were only allowed to craft them for a short time.

    My game is Shadowbane, which has had enough gold sinks in it that inflation would not have been a problem, except for a massive gold dupe bug that existed for a while. The duped gold has mostly worked its way out of the system by now, though.

    As for whether or not there is actual inflation in EQ, though, your statements didn't disprove it. The things that I would want to see in order to tell if there is any inflation are the following: The $/pp exchange rate on EBay.

    The pp prices of a basket of "comparable goods". In other words, you can't compare the price of an Executioner's Axe last year to the price of an Executioner's Axe today. You have to compare the price of the "Best Weapon" last year to the price of the "Best Weapon" today. (Or even better, total value of one characters "Best Gear" a year ago to their "Best Gear" today.)

    And probably adjust for the US$ inflation over the same time period.

    I have no particular opinion on whether or not there *is* inflation in EQ, but that's how you'd measure it.

    --
    He decided to just watch the government, and kind of scale it down to size, and run his life that way. --Laurie Anderson
  117. Re:Au contraire by Rotterdam · · Score: 1

    The heart of the libertarian obsession is competition. Everything must be forced to make sense only in relation to this extremely narrow notion which is totally inappropriate for so many human beahviors.

    Wrong. The "heart of the libertarian obsession" is voluntary (inter)action, which in my mind is appopriate for any human behavior.

    The real world is far more complex and Libertarianism absolutely refuses to see that.

    Au contraire. Libertarians acknowledge that the world is complex and so they offer complex solution to its problems: the free market.

    If you want to criticize libertarianism, that's fine by me, but please make an effort to know what you're talking about.

  118. if you read the links by dh003i · · Score: 1

    You will know that fiat-currency was not "chosen" by the free market, but imposed by top-down State-interventions. For a long period of time, the private holding of gold for monetary purposes was outlawed -- that is, our gold was confiscated -- stolen -- by the State, and replaced with unredeemable pieces of paper.

    1. Re:if you read the links by greenrd · · Score: 1
      So what? They choose it now, when they can freely choose dollars or e-gold.

      I would be more impressed if libertarians didn't deny that the vast history of theft upon theft upon theft of property by the rich from the poor, was relevant to today's ownership relations. You're hypocrites.

  119. Plagiarism: Re:Ob. Gilligan's Island hell metaphor by russell_whitaker · · Score: 1

    bobobobo's post would have been a bit more humorous to me if I hadn't known that he plagiarized it from Bob Wallace's 2002 article "Inner Gilligans and Original Sin."

  120. Not sure why I bother but... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ...I do.

    "Been there, done that, bought the t-shirt. If you want to refute me, refute me - don't send me to the library to read something I already read fifteen years ago."

    Tu quoque. We'd have to go to the library to see where you've refuted it too, wouldn't we? Or have you not written a published refutation of the late Prof. Rothbard's book? I don't see one in your post so...until we do, I'm going to have to wonder why you'd leave yourself so open.

    "'If we go back to a classical gold standard, the price of gold in dollars will go sky-high. That doesn't matter unless you use gold for something.'

    Errr, but we would be using gold for something - a currency, remember? You may not think the price going through the roof matters, but it'll really suck for gold-poor people, which I would bet includes you."

    First of all, you're both frankly all kindsa wet. On what epistemological principle exactly is there "not enough gold" to go onto a gold standard? If I can even make sense of this argument, which I can't yet, it seems to be saying that if we peg the dollar to gold on some standard extant in 1973, there would not be enough gold in existence. OK, fair enough. Pretty stupid argument, but, if you need it, use it, and I'll chortle (that's how I laugh, ya know) and move on. I let the rest of anyone reading this to figure out why.

    Moreover, of course, such armchair claims seem to ignore, consciously or not, how money comes to be in the first place. Onanistic and irresponsible, and sometimes insidious, this method does help those who need to ignore the regression theorem formulated by Mises dismiss 90% of what makes a money a money. We should also separate how hard the transition would be and weigh it against the alleged evils (evils which I agree exist, I might add) of inflationary fiduciary media (fiat money). I think I have an argument on the business cycle alone, but, that's just me. This error seems pervasive amongst all the above posts.

    "And it doesn't work. It just plain doesn't work - the idea of price stability under a gold currency is plainly, empirically false. Which will become clear as day when you overlay those two graphs - they don't resemble one another at all. Gold goes up, up, up, and so does the CPI, but at a much slower rate than gold does, meaning that gold gained more value than consumer goods did over the last thirty-odd years. Which means, finally, that you would not be paying the same amount today for that suit as you did in 1971. And then the whole reason for having a gold-backed currency in the first place goes right in the toilet, so what's the point to it after that? What justifies the use of gold for currency once that magic aura pops like a cheap yellow balloon?"

    Now this approaches the level of laughter I reached before but not quite.

    I will make a couple of comments.

    Period data of gold vis-a-vis the CPI for a period in which we're not under a gold standard isn't a refutation of the gold standard because...nevermind, you can figure it out. Can't you? [Let me know if you can't and I'll talk slowly in a way a guy like you would appreciate.] That is, the price of gold is thus determined without reference to its uses as money, that is, as the commodity of universal (or quasi-universal) exchange. It becomes solely a luxury good, taking on all the connoations of other luxury goods in evaluations of their sometimes absurdly inapposite values. Seriously, I feel like a moron even pointing this out, as if there shouldn't be any way you can be among the living and not realize this. Is there such a way? I'm basically saying that gold qua money is different from gold qua consumer's good in it's multifarious uses, many of which are in the capacity of speculative commodity and luxury uses. Yep, pretty stupid. Oh well, nothing's below me I guess.

    "[The aura, the cheap yellow balloon, the popping...]Nothing, really. And given the divergence between gold and consumer goods, and the inevitable deflation that woul

  121. how exactly is that relevant? by dh003i · · Score: 1
    We can't precisely determine who stole what, and it's likely that if you go back far enough, everyone's ancestor's stole from or killed everyone else' ancestors, etc etc. Why should we go through the legal nightmare of trying to unwind the long tangled history of thievery, rape, murder?

    Look, if someone has a proveable claim -- e.g., my great-grandfather stole land from their great-grandfather, so therefore the land which I inherited really doesn't belong to me -- then I'm all for courts returning the land to it's rightful owners. You can only legitimately pass on, give away, or trade away that which you have rightfully acquired.

    Your argument about the rich stealing from the poor is flatly wrong. Quite frankly, sounds like Marxist crap. Oftentime it is the other way around. There is no systematic relationship of thievery between the rich and the poor. There is a systematic relationship of thievery between those who are part of the State-apparatus and those who are not: the State-sector is everywhere and always parasitic.

  122. Re:I hate when clueless economists babble about EQ by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Economists are only interested in improving the value of what they invested in. Ask for one example where inflation or deflation changed the overall wealth of a population, you'll only get hypothetical strawmen.

    For a real world example, how about the Great Depression? Quite deflationary, and through the stalled international trade and a variety of other factors millions were worse off.

  123. I can't believe... by boy_afraid · · Score: 0

    I can't believe I read the WHOOOOOOLE thing. And liked it too!