Speculation on Real Reasons Behind Apple Switch
/ASCII writes "There is an article over at Ars Technica with some insider information about the reasons behind Apples x86 switch, given that the new IBM processors seem to be a perfect fit for Apple. The article claims that Apple hopes to power its entire line, from Servers to desktops to iPods and other gadgets with Intel CPUs, and that by doing so, they will gain the same kinds of discounts that Dell get."
Does Apple really sell as much (volume-wise) as Dell does?
This is a really interesting take on the switch that I hadn't considered before. This move to intel makes all the sense in the world if Apple is trying to cram an intel processor inside the iPod, and for pure volume discounts alone, this could really help apple's overall profit margin.
I'd worry about putting all my eggs in one basket, but I suppose as far as baskets go, intel is a relatively safe bet overall.
:::: the insomniac's digest
Right now, Apple has to market Apple machines vs. Windows machines, and they are hard to compare. When the PPC is better, people don't believe it. They are either behind in performance or MHz/GHz, or something.
This lets a comparison with Dell/HP be VERY clear.
If the Apple hardware is $100-$200 more than a Dell, it is a straightforward question, is it worth this premium to get OS X. It makes for a straightforward comparison. In addition, if Apple's manfuacturing gets better (and they grow their share from the #8 player in the PC space to #3/#4, which is probably around a 10% market-share), then they can price equally to PC players and STILL make good margins, because they don't have to pay MS their fee.
Forget JUST the processor difference, they can really enter a straight competition with a minor price premium for a superior system... Plus, if Microsoft stumbles and looks vulnerable, they can compete in the OS market.
Also, think about Government/Corporate contracts. Someone can write an RFP: runs Linux + random software that is x86 only... or runs Office XP... Since the Apple can, they can now compete for that contract.
Lots of good things for Apple, and some minor fears for those of us suffering the transition. (I have in-house Cocoa apps that will now need to be QA'd on two platforms, even if development is "click a button.")
Alex
Doesn't the choice to change processor basically give Apple and their users more options? If Apple release hardware that can run not only their own much loved OSX operating system, but also Windows, Linux and *BSD that it removes one of the major arguments about getting an Apple. Namely, "I can't run XXX piece of software, it doesn't support Apple". As long as a dual or even triple boot is possible then I can't see any reason to not get an Apple.
Ultimately look at it this way, If the Mohammed won't come to the mountain, get a big crane and get ready to do some heavy lifting.
misspelled Teh
And why does Apple need to switch from plain-Jane ARM processors to Intel's greased-lightning XScale? What do they need that extra power for? Why, to bring back the Newton, of course!
-- Ed Avis ed@membled.com
Lord Steve may seem insane, but if so, one of his disorders is obsessive-compulsive. He would not pull such a major change as switching to Intel unless he had a thick contract in hand with every i dotted and t crossed.
If this theory is in fact the plan (for large values of if) then it's not just hope. It would be written in stone.
There is an article over at Ars Technica with some insider information about the reasons behind Apples x86 switch
Ars Technica is damn lucky it's not an apple fansite. Otherwise it would have been sued by Apple.
If such a move was made, does this make AMD's anti-trust case against Intel more convincing?
Maybe now (because of the lawsuit), intel will not provide such deals to Apple. Is then, Apple in deep shit?
Yes!
Apple is planning to do for hot air what they've done for music with iHeat, the world's first ergonomically-designed space heater. iHeat will be the first space heater to use Apple's exclusive scroll wheel technology for setting the temperature, and only Intel has what it takes to get the job done.
Irrespective of whether The Steve dealt properly with IBM, the reality is and has been for many years that developing their own CPU (or having it developed for them) was just too expensive for Apple.
The original idea of the Apple-IBM-Motorola coalition was that they would be able to compete with Intel by combining forces: CPUs for servers, workstations, and embedded systems; and by creating a third-party systems market to drive demand for these CPUs (PReP). This never really took off, so IBM and Motorola were stuck with having to compete with Intel for price/performance for a single customer that would only buy a fraction of what Intel and AMD would churn out. I have no idea how much it costs to keep up a competitive CPU architecture, but it must be in the hundreds of millions, if not billions per year.
Cell might be cheap, but it doesn't allow Apple to compete with PCs on a price/performance or performance/watt level. And paying IBM to continue to develop the 970 architecture was just too expensive: people might be willing to pay a bit more for Apple systems, but only so much.
Just look at all other contenders in the high performance CPU market: there's nobody left except for Sun and Fujitsu/Siemens, and they announced last year that they will cooperate on SPARC. From a pure market standpoint, Apple had little choice.
Intel have been working on something big. It was previously rumored that this something was the Pentium V and that Microsoft would be releasing a special version of Windows specifically for the processor.
"Windows Elements"?
What the hell is that? I'm thinking that the Pentium V has something so revolutionary that it prompted:
1) Microsoft to release a special version of Windows, specifically for the processor and,
2) Apple to change sides.
I also think that Intel expected to be much further along on the Pentium V at this point. It seemed like they were expecting to use it in order to quench AMD's 64-bit lead and, when the design was set back, they scrambled to come up with EMT64 as a stop gap solution.
So just what is this Pentium V and the "stackable" design, anyway? IMHO, it will be unified processor and NVRAM (not flash, something new). There will probably be at least a few gigs of a very fast NVRAM right on the processor. This NVRAM will be as fast or faster than SRAM so there will be no need for a cache or external system memory - the operating system will be installed right in the processor. The stackable design is for expansion.
Intel's NVRAM page. Nothing to indicate that any of this is true but some interesting reading, nonetheless. This could also explain MontaVista's PRAMFS.
If the backing-store RAM is comparable in access speed to system memory, there's really no point in caching the file I/O data in the page cache. Better to move file data directly between the user buffers and the backing store RAM, i.e. use direct I/O.
The second coming of Newton, a video iPod or perhaps a PSP killer. Or all of the above, but with an integrated cellphone. And a pony!
Try out fish, the friendly interactive shell.
I have to post this anonymously... You'll see why below. The real reason Apple switched from IBM is because IBM just hasn't gotten their shit together with 90nm. I know this because I recently left a job at a large semi-conductor manufactorer that used IBM for our digital fab. IBM repeatedly promised, "we'll fix the problems in our process" for YEARS, and just couldn't get their act together. With run after run of silicon, IBM couldn't manufacture the parts correctly (or other other customers parts). Finally, my company became fed up, and bit the bullet to switch to another manufactorer. It was a 4 engineer year sunk cost (to update some the design), and the design worked out of the chute (and at pretty good yields). You heard it here first... IBM just doesn't have their shit together at 90nm.
"Intel CPUs, and that by doing so, they will gain the same kinds of discounts that Dell get. If price of cpu's were really such a big factor, AMD might have been alot more willing to offer discounts than Intel.
They claim -Os is to remove bloat, not increase performance :-) Thing is, for kernel type code the resulting code is actually _faster_ than with gcc -O2, since there is a lot less cache pressure.
The Fedora kernel people have benchmarked this quite a bit (and now compile kernels with -Os too), the difference is quite measurable, 5%:ish in some benchmarks.
Thanks - the image of Isaac Newton with two bolts to his head (and stitches) growling "I live again" will haunt me today.
It's too bad they didn't go with AMD processors instead. Then the iPod could have doubled as a hot plate / coffee warmer. That would be a useful technology fusion if you ask me. Far better than a crappy cell phone in an iPod!
"Live Free or Die." Don't like it? Then keep out of the USA
First off, I RTFA... It implies that the iPod & iTMS, not the Mac, could drive Apple's future. What is Apple without the Mac? What is Apple without OSX? If the simple answer is a "portable media player company with ties to the RIAA & MPAA", then so be it - But that answer is shortsighted. This can be seen by Microsoft's foray into this arena (witness Windows Media and Media Center PC's), along with Linux's abilities (Myth) in this same subset of the market. It's the Media stupid! The media is *not* the player. If Apple, which the article supposes, is out to drive the hand-held player market with it's technology, then it may very well succeed - In hand-helds that is. If it ignores the Mac as the center of *their* digital world, they may end up with a cute player and nothing more.
You know Apple's not the only PC manufacturer that's been pushy. Dell has been dropping hints about using AMD for some time now and you can believe that everytime they do, Intel gets to shell out for another advertising campaign or something. I mean, how much 'testing' does Dell have to do to magically realize (like everyone else has) that AMD has the upper hand in most performance areas? I say that Dell merely does this to get more consessions from Intel.
But look at it this way. Intel knows that Dell secretly fears Apple in it's space. What this is REALLY all about is Intel getting more leverage. I can just hear it...
INTEL: "Oh? What's this Dell? You want to use AMD? Ok, then I guess you won't need this advertising spiff more than Apple will..."
Intel is the real winner in this scenario, not Apple, although I have no doubt that Apple will thrive regardless.
"...Well, there's egg and bacon; egg sausage and bacon; egg and spam; egg bacon and spam; egg bacon sausage and spam..."
Compiling with "-Os" (optimize for smaller code size) is not always at odds with speed, as is implied in the article.
While for some trivial benchmark code -O4 may generate faster code, for real-world applications keeping your code in cache is worth more than loop unrolling - so in real-world stuff often -Os is better than -O[2345].
www.eFax.com are spammers
No. Volume discounts are not illegal. Only offering volume discounts to customers who stay away from your competitors products might be, but that is not the same thing.
If bulk discounts where illegal, Wallmarts would be out of buisness and everyone would have to shop at 7-11.
Try out fish, the friendly interactive shell.
With its switch to Intel, Apple is going to succeed where MS couldn't: build a "proprietary" PC that doesn't rely on anything legacy such as the BIOS.
Nearly everything except the BIOS will be standard on the Mactel platform. Seems to me like the perfect occasion to introduce a "trusted", DRM-enabled platform from the ground up.
Now Apple can tell the RIAA & MPAA: on our platforms, your stuff will be secure.
The desktop wars are over. Commodity IBM PC-compatibles with Microsoft OSes and Intel chips won. Sure the market is HUGE and niche markets (even #1 player Dell doesn't dominate the market, it owns the niche for moderately supported business machines with semi-custom orders) remain extremely profitable if done right, but Intel and Microsoft have extracted most of the profits. Even highly innovative AMD can only capture 20% of the market.
.Mac system, where the cost of the storage is going to zero but their annual subscribers are growth.
.Mac subscription (or some similar number). That means that Apple can sell a low-margin system like the Mini, pocket $100 on the system, and hope to grab another $200-$300 in software sales over the system's lifetime... So a $500 Mac Mini sale is as good for Apple as a $2000 PowerMac with 40% margins was 5 years ago.
In 1996 Fortune interviewed Steve Jobs and asked him what he would do if still running Apple. He responded that he would "milk the Mac for all it is worth and move on to the next big thing."
This doesn't mean that those of us with an investment in Apple hardware (or more risky, custom Cocoa software like we have) mean that Apple is going to abandon the Mac....
They are going the milk it for all it is worth.
With OS X, we have a NeXTSTEP/Mac fusion that Steve likes, and Apple will keep profitably pushing out software updates that they sell, but that isn't Apple's growth.
Their growth operations: software, when Steve rejoined they had recently gone from free OS upgrades to selling two upgrades, OS 7 and OS 7.5, IIRC, maybe 6 was sold as well.
Now, Apple sells new OS Versions every 1 - 2 years. They put out an iLife upgrade annually. They will probably put out iWork annually. And they replaced their free iTunes system with a nicely growing
The average Mac customer pre-Jobs bought a Mac and used it for 6 years.
The average Mac customer post-Jobs buys a Mac, and uses it for 3-4 years with 2 OS upgrades, 1 or 2 software purchases, and 20% of a
Apple will keep innovating the Mac to milk the cash cow... They will NOT enter price-wars or otherwise fight with MS or Dell or HP for market-share. They will milk the cash cow, try to execute and expand markets, but they are NOT interested in growing to a 10% market with the SAME profits as now by cutting their margins by 75% which would make the software developers happy.
It isn't a zero-sum game, they are selling the iMac or Mac Mini as a digital life system. Sure you have a Windows machine for whatever... but add a Mac Mini and a KVM (and annual OS X + iLife upgrades) to easily put your kid's Soccer Games on DVD and send to his grandparents. That is their "growth" strategy.
It isn't a bad strategy, but selling easy-to-use digital toys is how Apple is a growth company, and Microsoft is becoming a mature company that will steadily increase its annual dividend.
Good for Steve Jobs, good for Apple shareholders, and hopefully good for its customers as long as Apple keeps putting out new products that we want to buy because we are the cash cow to be milked, but we aren't going to benefit from price cuts from a price war because market-share and PC growth just don't interest Apple...
That said, I'm sure at some level Apple sees Linux entering the network market for office networks, and realizes that with the best (and easiest to use) desktop Unix... he can enter that market. If you like Linux, if Apple gets the BEST WINELIB performance, the BEST Qt performance, and best Gtk performance, and has KDELIB and GNOMELIB ported... well how tough is it that Apple is able to compete with Linux for SOME share of the corporate desktop market.
Apple is in a position to make SOME gains in PC market-share, but growing back to 10-20% over 10 years isn't giant tech growth... the iPod and OTHER SIMILAR projects is.
It's a smart business move, and Apple has set themselves up to grow profits steadily in their core markets, and then swing for the fences with new products like the iPod, iTMS, etc.
Alex
No he doesn't. In fact he expicitly states that in the article:
"If you read all the way to the bottom of this article, and you think that my basic thesis is that "the Mac is doomed and Apple is planning to quit selling personal computers," or some other such fatuous nonsense, then you need serious remedial help with reading comprehension. I already made my point about Apple's shift in focus from the desktop PC (as exemplefied by the Mac) to the post-PC gadget (as exemplefied by the iPod) in a previous article, where it didn't occasion nearly this much contention and idiotic, defensive ranting."
You misunderstand RISC. As do most people these days, it seems.
Back in the olden days, when chips were still designed by small teams on reasonable budgets, somebody noticed that hand-written assembly was rapidly becoming passe. When the assembly is being written by a compiler, it makes sense to design the chip with that in mind, and make an instruction set that is efficient at the kind of simple instructions that compilers like to write.
This led to a simpler design that could be made somewhat faster than a complex one. This led to many predicting the demise of so-called CISC chips. This prediction, like the "Internet in danger of collapse" and "Apple to go bankrupt" predictions, is no closer to actually happening than it was when it was first made.
The surprise was that Intel wanted a chip that had the speed advantages of RISC but used the same interface as their older chips, so they designed one. So they built a chip called the Pentium that translated CISC instructions into RISC ones. Since this operation is essentially O(n), they got good performance, and they've continued that basic design to the present day.
So to answer your question, it's already true that any operations that are not simple are emulated in software -- it's just that in x86 processors the emulation is on the CPU. Today there is no important difference between CISC and RISC, whether we are speaking of mainframes or desktops.
I have seen the future, and it is inconvenient.
And all this time I thought putting the "Intel Inside" stickers on the MACs when I was in in college was a cruel gag done to piss off the MAC users. Not I'm a bloomin' prophet.
"Live Free or Die." Don't like it? Then keep out of the USA
My personal theory of what's going to happen over the long term is that Microsoft will discover the benefits of running on a closed hardware device (no more pesky driver problems from marginal hardware makers!) and will port Windows to the Intel Mac where it becomes a best seller.
Chip H.
IIRC i read that the new iPod will be moving to use 2 ARM9 processors, instead of the current set up(2xARM7 and a ARM9). ARM9 processors are generaly 'quicker' than XScale processors, not necessarily more MHz but like for like, ARM performs better! (trust me i work for ARM)!!!
.
First, we had the Wintel monopoly.
Then some competitors came along and the non-Intel processors running Windows carved out a large enough market share to justify splitting the terms off into ChipZilla and Wintendo.
Now, we have MAC going Intel. What the HELL do we call this?
MacTel?
Intelmac?
Apptel?
Intenapple?
What terms can we use now???
"Live Free or Die." Don't like it? Then keep out of the USA
Is it just me, or are the "insiders" who can't even spell just a tad less than credible?
Why can't anyone take the announcement at face value? Clearly IBM (and Moto/Freescale) don't want to develop new top-end chips for a small market. Who can blame them?
But Intel is going to build their next generation anyway. Apple's small marketshare is meaningless in this context, they're in a race with AMD for a huge market no matter what else happens.
Let's remember that Intel has been courting Apple for well over a decade now. They're also clearly unhappy with the crappy boxes being offered by their existing vendors. Having Apple onboard making cool products with their systems must be a dream come true -- "See, THIS is what an Intel machine can do".
But no, not enough of a conspiracy in that I suppose.
Why does this surprises us at all? It was a bit obvious that the switch had to do more with money (since IBM didn't want to lower their prices for Apple) than by the mere ideology of which processor Apple feel is better. Hello, wake up.
Insanity: doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results.
I believe that the author is thinking in the material world too much. It's not just iPod and portability that's been helping Apple lately, it the customization. Having your own custom playlists to carry with you where you go, your own set of widgets on the desktop and your own group of rss feeds. All of this housed in a smooth, sleek package. It's not just the hardware that propels Apple lately, has anyone ever told this author about something called Tiger?
Perfecting Discordia
www.stevenvansickle.com
You, sir, seem to be suffering from a serious humor deficiency.
My recommendation: Go read America's finest news source until you begin to laugh again. Then come back here.
____
~ |rip/\/\aster /\/\onkey
mmmm Throughput.... Tastes like... vectory....
I love to slaughter the english language.
they optimize for size, not for performance
What kind of moronic statement is this? Optimising for size is optimising for performance. What, does he think that the Apple guys are optimising for size to cut down on shipping costs?
My Powerbook boots faster than my new Thinkpad. So this could go the other way. Apple fans could find that the Apple hardware my behave considerably different. Even if not, now Apple has to compete with high-end gamer boxes when trying to be the fastest. Perhaps they won't try to be the fastest, but faster than Dell/HP. It's going to get very interesting, to say the least.
I'm wondering if the 360 has something to do with this, or if it at the very least nudged Jobs over the edge.
;-)
Hear me out. Most people have heard about Jobs' pathological reaction when he loses face, and everyone knows that he *hates* Bill Gates, right?
So awhile back Jobs' predicts 3Ghz G5's in 2005 (which I guess became the "3GHZ Promise"). IBM fails to deliver. However, Microsoft announces shortly before E3 that the 360 will use a 3.2 GHZ triple-core G5. I can only imagine that Jobs was pissed on some level that Bill Gates trumping him in Apple territory.
Of course, there have been a few reports that the 360's G5 is essentially crippled, and that the chip will effectively be only twice as fast as the original xbox's cpu. Even if it's true, I don't think that changes anything. Jobs may have figured figured (and I'd be inclined to agree) that even if the 360 chip is not really as powerful as it seems, it represents time&effort that IBM was dedicating elsewhere instead of working on improving it's offerings to Apple.
In fact, when you consider that IBM is working w/ Sony and Nintendo on other customized G5's, it seems pretty clear where Apple stands in terms of priority. Not that I blame IBM -- why the hell would you care about the rantings of Steve Jobs when you are going to be selling your product to 3 out of the 3 biggest players in the console market, with each one amounting to way more sales that what you'd ever get with Apple.
Not sure if it's the case, but it sounds plausible enough. At least he kept the promise though, right?
I suppose Einstein, with his hairdo, will make a fitting bride of Frankenstein... :)
I'm not sure what you mean by this. You should read up on the Church-Turing thesis. Basically, it can be proven that a very simple instruction set (I think the minimum is 3 instructions[1]) can run any algorithm. The question then becomes, what instructions should be implemented as a single instruction on the chip, and which ones should be implemented as a combination of instructions. Generally, it turns out, it is a good idea if all of your instructions take the same length of time to execute - this makes interleaving different instructions much easier. It therefore makes sense to have a relatively simple instruction set.
The trend towards CISC ended with things like the VAX. Back when people used to program in assembly, it made sense to have complex instruction sets to make things easier for the programmer. The VAX included things like an evaluate polynomial instruction, for example. Of course, this was quite unwieldy, and so a lot of the instructions were implemented as microcode - you they were automatically translated to a set of simpler instructions.
With the development of high-level languages, it emerged that compiler writers were not using these complex instructions, they were implementing them directly in simpler instruction. It then made more sense to focus on making a small set of instructions run quickly (which, it turns out, is easier and therefore cheaper).
Note that `CISC' chips are not really CISC anymore. They do the same `emulation' that RISC chips do. When you run x86 code on a Pentium each instruction is broken down into simpler instructions and then these are executed on the RISC core. The Pentium 4 (and, I believe, the Pentium M) cache these micro-instructions, so they don't have to do the translation twice.
[1] Zero, Increment, and Conditional Jump, for example - try it, you can do addition simply, multiplication by repeated addition, then build more complex algorithms from there.
I am TheRaven on Soylent News
Think about this folks.
Apple did everything ti could to kill the old architecture. What better way to force people to upgrade to OS X software than make it impossible to run "Classic Mode" applications without the performance hit from running a PPC emulator on Intel?
And think about this, IBM is a major force behind Linux. What's an OS that's a threat to Apple? Gee, you think the FREE Unix based OS with the most momentum could be a threat? In which case, why on Earth would they want to pay money to IBM, a company contributing vast swaths of code to Linux, one of Apple's competitors, and an OS it's trying to steal developers FROM.
And by the way, this switch makes it easier to lure Linux and BSD developers away from their OS of choice.
"Live Free or Die." Don't like it? Then keep out of the USA
I wonder what The Steve will break in a fit of rage if and when AMD's case against Intel results in a ruling that renders the volume deal illegal and void. You'd almost think that AMD (lawsuit) and IBM (PPC announcements, Cell) banded together to flip The Steve the finger after he had already made the decision.
It's been obvious for a while that the "real reason" is that Apple's needs are met better by Intel's roadmap than IBM's, and Apple doesn't have enough marketshare to make it worthwhile to change that.
Yes, the new 970FX chips are an improvement over the current tech. On the other hand, it's not mind-blowing compared to Intel's current line-up, much less what's in the pipeline. I'm supposed to be impressed by an announced 13W @ 1.4GHz and 16W @ 1.6GHz when Intel has been selling 10W @ 1.5GHz for months?
Even the dual-core Yonah core, slated for volume production first quarter of 2006, is quoted as staying within a 25W envelope @ 2.13GHz. Speeds for the low voltage, ultra low voltage, and single core parts aren't released yet, but Intel has made it clear that it's aggressively pursuing lower power designs and that notebooks based on the next generation of chips will "use approximately 33% less power".
As to Overshoot's comments, no.
The 970 wasn't intended to be a "custom processor chip." Had IBM hit its performance targets, it would have had ample alternative outlets for the 970. The great speculation was that IBM would push its own line of inexpensive 970 based Linux servers. But IBM wasn't up to the task.
And the suggestion that Apple isn't flush with cash? Again, no. Apple's sitting on a mountain of it.
Finally, Apple, no matter how egotistical its corporate culture may be, would never think itself large enough to bully Intel for volume discounts.
No, the reason Apple has switched is because marketing told it to stop fighting the dominate paradigm. When the Macintosh runs on the same base hardware as everyone else, marketing can concentrate on the OS and sundry applications. Sure, Intel *probably* sweetened the offer knowing that Apple's cutting edge design would reflect well on it. And the Apple premium will probably justify selling top of the line chips, forcing Dell and the like to buy premium chips for marketing purposes.
The only thing surprising about the decision to go with Intel is the fact that Apple thinks it technologically and commercially feasible to run on multiple architectures. Once Apple became convinced of their ability to do so, the decision made itself.
> Right now, Apple has to market Apple machines vs. Windows
> machines, and they are hard to compare. When the PPC is better,
> people don't believe it. They are either behind in performance or
> MHz/GHz, or something.
I don't believe it either, and it's not "just marketing".
I bought a 17" 1 GHz PowerBook G4 back in April 2003. Then in January 2005, the hard drive failed on that PowerBook, and I didn't have time to deal with it (and I couldn't be without my PowerBook), so I went out and bought a 17" 1.5 GHz PowerBook. A month later, I finally got around to swapping out the hard drive in the first 17" PowerBook, and I gave it to my wife.
My intention was to replace my PowerBook G4 with a PowerBook G5, but to my shock, there wasn't a G5 PowerBook.
When I took home my new PowerBook, it was almost exactly like my previous PowerBook. The first 17" PowerBook G4s were released in January 2003 and in the two years that had elapsed, there was no real difference in performance. In fact, I forgot that I had actually replaced my PowerBook -- that's how similar they were.
Note that while desktop machines are stagnating in sales, laptops are where the growth is. The fact that Apple's flagship portable had basically remained the same for two years is horrible. Contrast this with the changes in operating system. Mac OS X 10.4 is wildly better than the OS that came with my previous PowerBook. So from a software perspective, Apple's doing great. From a hardware perspective, the changes just aren't keeping up.
Ars seems to downplay the fact that IBM missed their 3 GHz target for the G5. More than that, they missed the laptop ready version of the G5, which some could argue is even more serious. People seem to want to blame Jobs or Apple's arrogance, but the point is, IBM hasn't been delivering. Results matter, and Apple's hardware is falling behind. Jobs is a smart guy to say, "we can't keep doing this" and he found a solution in Intel. I say, good for him. Now give me a laptop where two years of progress is noticeable.
Insert simplistic political, ideological, or personal proselytization here.
Seems to back up this fairly depressing review of Tiger/G5 I've just finished reading. Say benchmarkers comparing Tiger to Linux on XEON:
Top level of the review here. Note this review is really only relevant to high load server applications.
I can't dismiss your post, but I swallow it with a very large grain of salt.
My own tinfoil theory on the switch isn't only that Apple had grown weary of IBM's under-delivering, but also that IBM could not afford to keep Apple as a customer.
;)
Limited fab capacity? Check
Huge orders coming in from next generation console manufacturers? Check
Struggling to meet future demand, IBM had to choose between Apple and console manufacturers. IBM chose the latter.
just my 2cp, of course
The Xbox 360, PS3, and the Revolution are all supposed to be powered by PPC chips. IBM Can't keep demand as it is. Alot of time and effort will be placed on the console gaming system chips. Apple had to leave IBM becuse there is no way IBM would have kept up with demand.
With all the horseshit I've seen on this topic, I knew there had to be a pony around here somewhere.
For a class last semester I designed a simple 16bit VVVRISC (very very very reduced instruction set) processor, did full layout (n-dope here, metal there), timing sims, assembly language, the whole schebang.
At one point I was deciding whether or not to put a multiplier in. Mind you, ever decent processor on the planet has AT LEAST one, but this was a one man effort. Adding this function would slow my clock by a factor of x10. The circuitry to multiply is just a whole lot deeper. I chose instead to implement multiply in my assembly using shifts and adds. It made my multiply instruction 3x slower than if I had circuited it, but it made all my other instructions hellafasta.
I know my example was bad, but it is how I grew to understand the difference.
The point is, RISC means the slower, less often used functions don't slow down the rest of the process. So lets say a CISC processor implements several multimedia happy functions, and makes them 3x faster in doing so. Now lets say the algorithm changes, and wants a slightly different function. Now the software must either do it the RISC way or do it the CISC+software_patch way.
RISC to me feels cleaner, and probably allows for more elegant pipelines - simple instructions often can use the same silicon (my ALU used parts of the adder to do XOR/AND/OR/etc, multiplier would have been off to the side).
www.olin.edu
It isn't about market-share. The win/loss is as follows:
:)
Businesses care (should care) about the net present value of business decisions.
If you can establish a monopoly in say, 5 years, like MS did going from 3.1 -> 95, then it is okay to make "okay" profits or even losses for 5 years because the NPV of a 10+ year monopoly is HUGE. Otherwise, market-share is IRRELEVANT, because it doesn't get you monopoly rents.
Job's doesn't win/lose based on market-share.
He wins/loses based upon the NPV of future cash flows based upon his current decisions, which will effect Apple's long term financial outlook and whether he has returned an adequate return to his investors based upon the estimated Risk premium of Apple's business.
Right now, based upon Wallstreet's evaluations, he has returned a terrific ROI to shareholders from the time he joined Apple. However, now Wallstreet pays more for a dollar of Apple's earnings, so to maintain that ROI, he needs to increase his cash flow faster to make an investor in 2005 happy.
He doesn't fail if market-share is 5%, he fails if he fails to make an adequate return to his investors.
Alex
WTF? What pocket universe have you been living in? One of Apple watchers' biggest complaints about APPL is that they have been sitting on a tremendous amount of cash for years, when they could have spent some of it to shore up their market position in many, many different ways. I argue that one of the biggest mistakes Apple made was not buying Netscape before Sun and AOL divided and conquered it, or CS&T/Steltor before Oracle subsumed it. Think of where Apple might be today if we had an improved Netscape SuiteSpot running on Mac OS X. What if Apple spent some of those billions in cash developing a successot to the Apple Network Servers to run the above server software? Wouldn't you like to see a product that could absolutely destroy Microsoft Exchange using Internet Standard protocols?
And, speaking of Oracle, how many years did Larry Ellison sit on Apple's board without producing an Oracle server for an Apple platform? But, I digress..
Motorola in particular, has written off hundreds of millions of dollars in losses caused directly by the erratic actions of Apple Computer
Umm, how about..."Motorola in particular, has written off billions of dollars in losses caused directly by the erratic actions of Motorola? Hey, let's just completely ignore MOT's complete mishandling of the entire PowerPC agreement/concept. We weren't stuck at 500MHz because of Apple--it was MOT's inability to make a gracful transition to a new process line that caused *that*. Not to mention Motorola switching all internal operations machines to WinTel and ditching *their own product* in favor of a competitors?
And how, exactly is the example of one of IBM's "regular" customers in any way relevant to Apple? You may have forgotten that Apple *owns*, at least partially, the PowerPC IP, not to mention the fact that *no other manufacturer* uses PowerPC in a general purpose computing application, other than Apple and IBM, themselves. Yes, IBM has "other customers", but none of these have the same needs or relationship with IBM that Apple has. IBM is doing as much damage to their own product line by not moving the Power and PowerPC lines forward as aggressively as possible, unless of course IBM intends to pawn off their workstation, mini, and mainframe lines to China, as well...
The bottom line is, no matter how much Hannibal would like to wish it otherwise, IBM screwed up royally, and in the process, screwed Apple and Steve Jobs. You may want to go back and read my Slashdot post from 2005-04-15 to see my evaluation of the possibility of Apple moving to Intel (which , I may add, was well before any speculation/rumors on the part of C|Net or the WSJ).
May I direct you to http://apple.slashdot.org/comments.pl?sid=146200&c id=12245408 ?
And I quote:
I think IBM had the ability to produce chips that were what Apple wanted in terms of power (as the article points out - the newer batch of PowerPC chips are more like what they want).
What does Intel have that IBM didn't? Better support for DRM type stuff in the processor. From http://www.guardian.co.uk/online/comment/story/0,1 2449,1504558,00.html
Here's my theory. Steve Jobs has a long-term goal to position Apple as 'the' online media company. He already dominates the online music business with the iTunes/iPod combination. Now he wants to repeat the trick with online movies.
But Hollywood studios won't do a deal with him because they are worried about piracy. They want a platform with rock-solid 'digital rights management' (DRM) built in. And it just so happens that Intel has been moving technical mountains to build strong DRM into its processor architecture, whereas IBM doesn't see it as a priority.
Professor Karmadillo Songs of Science
Oh, you stupid people, you don't grasp what's really happenning here. I have to tell you everything.
:-D
Apple is turning to Intel because The Evil Empire (AKA Microsoft) will at last buy 100% Apple stock and Mac OS X 11.0 will be the much-hyped Longhorn.
RISC actually refers to a bundle of tricks and optimizations. Most modern "RISC" processors are not all that reduced in instruction set size. Some of these tricks are:
:-)). More registers make for faster code in general. I think that the new x64 extensions have increased the number of registers in the Intel architecture and, in any case, fast on-chip caches make the point almost moot.
Regular instruction set - all of the instructions are the same number of bits in length. CISC processors often have some instruction that are 2 bytes long, others are 4 bytes long, etc. Decoding this in a timely fashion was a problem back in the late 80's, early 90's. Today, there are lots and lots of transistors on the CPU to throw at this.
Single cycle execution - Originally RISC instructions were designed to be executed in a single cycle. CISC processors often had highly complex instructions that would take multiple cycles to execute (sometimes 100's or 1000's in the case of the VAX). Today, processors are pipelined but the idea is still the same - pump out instructions once per clock cycle. CISC processors tend to do this now as well.
Lots of registers - Registers are fast access memory inside the CPU itself. CISC processors varied in the number of registers available. Some, like the VAX and 68000 had lots of registers while others like the 80x86 have smaller numbers. RISC chips typically have large number of registers (unless you consider the 6502 as a RISC chip
Uncomplicated instruction set - The "R" in RISC usually really meant that all of the complicated instructions were thrown out and instead the compiler would just emit code to do them. Most of these terribly complex instructions (the VAX had a classic example which was the "evaluate polynomial" instruction) were actually microcoded (microcode is software that is a level below assembler, typically hardwired into the CPU) so they were not much faster than simply coding the routine using assembler. Easier to use if you're coding assembler by hand but who does that?
So, RISC was a lot more things than moving complex instructions from hardware to software AND the complex instructions that were moved from hardware to software were typically slow "in hardware" because they weren't really hardware but microcode. Most of the advantages of pure RISC are no longer as large as they were in the early '90's because the sheer number of transistors available (more transistors means you can make more difficult things run faster) is so large now that those optimizations don't buy you much. The battle now really comes down to how much money can you throw at the chip in order to produce new versions of it that run faster. When you look at the sheer amount of money invested in the Intel architecture vs PowerPC or SPARC or Alpha you will begin to have a lot more respect for what the RISC camp accomplished with a much smaller budget.
So Apple, thinking Intel would languish in their fat and happy X86 monopoly and X86 architecture difficulties, made the move to Power. It was fast and it had the backing of IBM.
What changed? Why didn't that hold up? AMD.
Prior to Athlon, Intel was on a fairly steady schedule of speed upgrades. You get a few 33's of Mhz every once and a while. They could take their time. Speed bumps were about money, not a race. When Athlon hit and Intel suddenly found themselves behind in the speed race with a processor that could run the same software, Windows, then their attitude shifted drasticly. From the 500Mhz intorduction of Athlon straight through to the 3+Ghz finalies. It was a rapid race to the top of the speed charts. Without that competition, I doubt Intel would have reached 3 Ghz by now.
That speed race also introduced enough new designs to overcome some of the advantages the RISC architectures had, either through redesigning the internal pipelining, or through material design and pure Mhz maddness that other less cash rich chip makers simply could not keep up with. So Intel caught up with PowerPC in the speed race and is in a position to provide cheaper prices to Apple. With the performance advantage gone, so is the incentave to go with something other than Intel.
AMD improved Intel enough to make them competative with all the RISC out there. They should thank AMD for the boost. Somehow I doubt they would be gracious enough to do it though.
There is nothing so silly as other peoples traditions, and nothing so sacred as our own.
I expect that apple is aware that they've got a target on their asses as far as portable media is concerned. Everyone is following their lead, but they're going to get caught in Apple's dust only so often before they catch up in one way or another.
Every incremental advance Apple makes in interface or capabilities for their media devices can only stay a true advantage for 5 to 6 months before some company hacks a piss-poor mass-marketable approximation.
One way they can again leap ahead of the competition is to introduce a complete system for video instead of a gradual release of supporting products.
If apple can integrate DRM into a MythTV style family mac to satisfy content providers, produce a vPod and begin offering H.264 video content on the iTunes "Media" Store, they will have a fully integrated solution available for the public at least a year before anyone could compete directly with them.
That would mean a rise in hardware sales, a tighter grip over portable media content sales, and a glut of leverageable IP patents for future licensing.
Gross speculation? Of course, but is it possible? Certainly.
:::: the insomniac's digest
RISC is a type of instruction set, of which the ARM instruction set is one. ARM also refers to the company that created it, to several of the processors they themselves produced (e.g. ARM 2, ARM 3, ARM 600, StrongARM) and to the cores they sell to other people.
Put more bluntly, Apple is switching to Intel so that Wine and VirtualPC/VMWare will work at full speed. Right now, I know many many people who would switch to a Mac in an instant, except they need some small, vertical application that only runs on Windows. By switching to Intel, Apple gets the opportunity to build Windows compatibility into their OS (using WINE code, customised) and capitalize on that market.
I'm not looking for this to be good enough to kill the market for native Mac apps (let's face it: emulating Windows is hard)--just good enough to let me continue using the 2-3 windows applications that I absolutely must have to do my business.
I can tell you this: the instant an Intel-based powerbook is available, I will be buying it so that I can run Windows in VMWare (or equivalent software) and get rid of my Windows laptop at long last. It's a convenience thing.
"He who would learn astronomy, and other recondite arts, let him go elsewhere. " -- John Calvin, commenting on Genesis 1
Ahh, the tinfoil hat conspiracy mongering at Slashdot.
While I'm sure Intel chips will cost Apple less than the IBM chips, and could lower their costs, this wasn't about price. This was about saving Apple from death in the PC business.
Fact: despite the early promise of PowerPC, Intel's offerings are beating the dog shit out of that line. There's no comparison in performace. Yes, PPC does more work per clock cycle, but they're so far behind in terms of clock speed that it doesn't matter. There is no megahertz myth here. Clock speeds DO matter. And no one making PPC chips, Freescale nor the mighty IBM, can keep up with Intel. For PCs, Intel is the king . AMD makes some better desktop offerings, has some better prices, but doesn't have Intel's product range, especially in laptops.
Make no mistake...while OSX is the best PC operating system on the market, the supporting hardware was starting to suck. Compared to the PC world, most of Apple's offerings were stuck in late-90's levels of hardware performance, while charging a premium price. Is it any wonder that some anaylists were predicting a drop of Apple's market share to around 1.5 percent by 2008?
Apple did this so they could be a viable competitor. That's it. Intel has better chips, especially for portables. No one makes anything as good as the Pentium M for laptops. Not AMD. And certainly not IBM. Big Blue was never going to get a G5 into a Powerbook anytime soon. And when they did, it would still lag performance-wise (especially in battery usage) compared to it's Intel rivals.
Apple cannot survive at their present size on Ipods alone. This was a cold, calculated decision by Jobs and Co. to get competitive again. You can now take off those foil hats.
Life is hard, and the world is cruel
They were supposed to hit 3.0GHz many months ago, and they still haven't. They're stuck at 2.7GHz, well, at least the current chip is. The next chip IBM has announced (last week) tops out at 2.5GHz. How's that for progress?
And the yields. Ugh. The 90nm G5s became "available", but were only used in the XServe for a long time because so few chips were available they couldn't spare any for desktops.
The real thing is they were supposed to produce a chip useable in a laptop a year ago, but they still haven't, well, perhaps the one just announced. But I think that was just too late. And it's still not going to get the battery life of a Dothan or Yonah CPU.
There's an additional issue at play here. Currently Apple designs their own north and south bridges, to go with the CPUs. This takes a lot of Apple's time and costs a lot to do. And north bridges are getting far more complex. To make a truly cost-competitive mainstream machine (think iMac G5 or Mac Mini) in the future, you're going to have to have a north bridge with built-in video. That will add a lot more difficulty/cost/time to designing a north bridge. But if you go Intel, the 955 has pretty good (non-gamer) video built-right in. And it's only going to get better by the time Apple ships their machines.
But really, it comes down to what the other poster said. IBM can't get it together on the PPC at 90nm. I saw a couple of the timelines of machines Apple planned to make. Every 6 months a new timelime would come out, removing machines because the promised high speed, high yield or low power chips didn't appear on time. There's only so much of that Apple could take I guess.
Please. Apple couldn't even eat the scraps off the Sony PSP table. Doesn't matter how many stupid U2 commercials they throw behind it. Portable (or otherwise!) gaming takes developers, which Apple doesn't have and never has. Hence, the perpetually sorry state of gaming on the mac.
The only company that could touch the PSP is Nintendo and even that is in question, due to their Sega-esque "3 headed monster" portable offerings of the Advance, DS, and advance successor.
Microsoft could buy their way in, but they want your living room, not your backpack....but I digress.
I too have to post anonymously because of where I used to work (Apple), and frankly your story is a load of shit.
I was part of the project team that maintained the x86 core of OS X and we in on a lot of the conference calls that Apple had discussing the impending switch. What acually happened was that senior management was extremely unhappy with IBM sharing the PowerPC technology with Apple's competitors Sony and Toshiba (via the Cell work, as well as other stuff that hasn't been announced yet). Apple disagreed with IBM as to what their technology licensing agreements said they could and could not do, so Apple basically laid it out on the line and told IBM to cease sharing the technology with Apple's competitors or they woud go somewhere else. I wasn't there when IBM said no, but Jobs was livid at the last meeting I was in on, and demanded to know how soon we could get our work out the door into some Intel based systems.
Some guy didn't know he couldn't right click, so he lost a giant project?
Goddamn, buddy, your coworker is just a moron who you didn't train enough.
This isn't Apple's fault. They don't cause trouble. Instead, your utter lack of training of the staff caused it.
How much productivity would've been lost if you had a two-hour basic training session for members of your staff? Not much, and it would've saved lots of trouble.
Jesus Christ, don't blame Apple for your shortcomings.
ShortFormBlog: Writing a little. Saying a lot.
What might be a killer app to design a video iPod around is the DV (or HD) camcorder. Clip your iSight onto your iPod. Now you have a camcorder that's smaller than any other on the market and records approximately forever, strait to hard disk, no messing with tapes. Maybe in H264. I think that's what a "video ipod" is going to be.
Have and iPod Video and want an HD camcorder? It'll cost a heck of a lot less than buying a DV camcorder, all you need is the iSight, which, by the way, you can still use as a webcam. Want to upgrade to an HD camcorder? Instead of giving Sony another $1000 to replace your DV camcorder with HD, pay Apple a quarter as much for their new HD iSight and plug it into your existing iPod Video.
Can anyone tell me how to set my sig on Slashdot?
So what's this about "any" P4 vs A64 tests that show that P4s are superior in audio & video compression?
Condemnant quod non intellegunt.
i guess you need to learn grammar and how to read title case. Oh wait, I'm sure that confused you with a lower-case 'i'. Was that a proper pronoun? Grow up; (OMG it's a scary semi-colon) if you can't understand title case, then obviously you won't be able to comprehend an article. Very basic grammar rules here, nothing "challenging".
(mod me down, i know you will. just be sure to drag the trollz down with me.)
I'm sorry, Apple's as subject to the Bathtub curve for electronics hardware as much as anyone else.
Things either go really wrong right away, or at the end of the product life cycle.
Also, there are effect of environment as well.
Stick a Mac in a dust-choked closet and it'll suck up and die just as quickly as Ye Olde Dellboxen.
Before talking about how indestructible Mac hardware is, try catching some of these people who've gone to the Apple forums to get hardware issues resolved...at least before the Apple guys delete the posts.
Before you kill this post with "-1, Troll" markdowns, do a few searches for "Broken iPod", "Problems with Apple Hardware", and browse articles on ArsTechnica, Insanely-Great, MacAddict, etc. Then tell me I'm trolling.
Chas - The one, the only.
THANK GOD!!!
Ever heard of 'Title Case'?
Furthermore, for your inference to be plausible, there would need to be a posessive " 's " after "Real", which there isn't. The title makes sense.
There are other reasons for choosing Intel too:s .aspx/featured_desktop1?c=us&cs=19&l=en&s=dhs) and think that Apple's are crap for performance and cost too much. If Apple can sell the same configuration as Dell for $100 more, people can justify the premium while not wondering about performance. I'm one of the most pro-Apple and pro-MHz-myth people out there, but I have a hard time believing that a 1.25GHz G4 is going to compete with an Intel processor over 2.5GHz.
-Intel delivers new processors on a more regular basis than IBM/Moto's fits and starts. It's not because IBM/Moto are incompetant. It's because Intel makes its money off the fast moving consumer market while IBM and Moto make designs for more of the long haul. Think of SPARC chips. They don't progress at the steady rate that Intel chips do. They progress in larger leaps at longer intervals and Apple has had that same problem with IBM/Moto (and it's really only a problem when selling to consumers).
-IBM's ability to deliver. This might be Apple's fault as the article suggests, but even if it is Apple's fault, Apple doesn't want to commit to huge purchases they might not use. Intel offers them the chance to say "we want 100,000 chips" and then a week later say "we need 250,000 more" and get the extra 250k a week after they receive the 100k simply because Intel sells these chips to more than just Apple and so they continue to make them unlike IBM.
-Public Perception. I think this is one of the biggest. Using Intel chips lets the avoid the crap that people say against the processors that Apple has used. I'm sure there are a lot of people that go into a store, see a 1.25GHz Mac mini for $500 and then see a 2.8GHz Dell Dimension 3000 with monitor, kb and mouse for $450 (http://www1.us.dell.com/content/products/feature
-Motherboards. Right now, Apple has to custom build most of their stuff. With Intel, Intel would be more than happy to sell Apple a fully tested, reliable system to install their OS on. No more in house chipsets, motherboards, whatnot.
-It's easy/foolproof!!! This is the best reason. Going with Intel makes you like every other manufacturer out there. When they have problems, you do and so your sales don't slump against their's. You don't have to worry about making sure people know your chips are competitive, you don't have to worry about IBM/Moto keeping interest in a market that doesn't make them money, etc. Apple doesn't have all these worries with Intel. The OS is a big enough draw, especially now at a time when Mac OS X is just beautiful and Windows is getting nastier and nastier to run.
This is a lame excuse. Steve was just in a hissy fit, decided to break up with IBM, and now IBM has just made a liar out of him, perhaps for spite.
no one uses an Apple because it has a PPC.
;-)
That isn't strictly true. There are tons of people, myself included (to my shame), who find alternative technologies attractive. I mean, let's face it, Windows _would_ let me do everything I need to, but I use Linux because of basically irrelevant technological advantages it has. The same goes with PPC. Sure, it might not *really* matter, but PPC is sexy, PPC is "cool," and PPC is a selling point for Apple machines.
To be quite honest, I think OS X is the worst of the three OSes I use regularly. It's really polished appearing so long as you only do a certain limited set of things, but I constantly run into its limitations and vastly annoying bugs. Apple sold its hardware to me because the hardware was better; perhaps not technically better, but better by my own standards.
I'm not in the least alone on this, either. Alternatives are "in." Some people dye their hair blue, some people pierce every part of their body, some people wear black fishnet stockings on their arms, and some people buy Apple products.
True, but rock bottom price wasn't the goal here.
1- Apple wanted not only better chip prices, but better laptop chips. While AMD arguably has better desktop processors, they have nothing that can compete with the Pentium M in terms of performance and battery life. And the Powerbook is what drove this change, not the desktop stuff.
2- Steve Jobs is a label whore, marketing gear to the label whore public. In his mind, Intel = Levi's, while AMD = Wrangler. Good jeans, those Wranglers, but only those low class Wal Mart rednecks wear them. It just wouldn't do to put those low cost AMDs into an Apple.
Life is hard, and the world is cruel
My bet is that the move had something to do with Intel's DRM, and making the Music Industry happy - since Apple's focus now is iPod/iTMS.
Also, each iPod sale is a potential "switcher". iTunes is available for Windows, yes. But each iPod sale is a person who may be curious about OS X, might actually buy an iMac, or Mac Mini. (the Mac Mini is aimed at "switchers" - who already have a keyboard, mouse, monitor, but want to front a minimal investment to switch platforms, just replace the CPU.)
But what if iPod potential "switchers" can't be supplied with enough PPC-powered Mac Minis, or Mac Minis are still a tad too costly, or what if Apple can't slip a powerful enough chip into that enclosure due to heat issues? The switch to Intel chips solves all of these issues. The difference between a Windows iPod/iTMS user, and an OS X iPod/iTMS user? The OS X "experience" - the same schlock any cross-platform software producer can do: make their Native version better than the ports. Like IE Windows compared to IE Mac. iTunes Mac will be kept more up to date with features than iTunes Windows, and it will only cost an iPod/iTMS user a couple hundred bucks to switch. And with Intel chips, they can ramp volume to meet demand now.
These are my friends, See how they glisten. See this one shine, how he smiles in the light.
"Apple doesn't have deep enough pockets to make this happen."
While I agree with most of your sentiment, if you flip your argument, Sony should have deep enough pockets to beat Apple in the MP3 player market. They have deep pockets, but they've done jack to dethrone Apple. Sony has deep enough pockets to make Sony Connect successful, but they haven't. Sony has deep enough pockets to make MemoryStick to become successful, but they haven't.
Substituting the name Microsoft into such an argument also is noteworthy. Microsoft has enough cash to make anything successful, but it hasn't worked. The Xbox would be dead if it were not for the Xbox Live system and Halo. Using your argument about developer relationships, Microsoft should be #1 in videogames considering their relationships with the game developers and the fact that the Xbox is easier to program than the Playstation2. But reality paints a different picture.
"End of story: Apple can't kill the PSP."
Apple doesn't have to kill the PSP because Nintendo will do the job just like it has done to every other handheld competitor. The PSP is awesome, but it is the 2005 version of the Atari Lynx, which judging from my user name, you should conclude that I am very fond of. Twenty + year olds are buying PSPs, not the kids nor are the parents buying them for the kids...just like with the Atari Lynx 16 years ago. The kids still get the Gameboys. All Apple has to do is add videogame functionality and better movie playback to a video iPod and it would split the demographic that the PSP appeals to. Even more so when the Video iPod is coupled with an Apple online movie store which would demolish the Sony UMD market for PSP movies.
The games would just have to be nice. Couple that with Apple's "cool" factor and its advertising campaign, and the Sony PSP would be toast. Having the absolute best technology in the handheld gaming area has never led to success. Otherwise, the Atari Lynx would've won out over the Gameboy. And the Gameboy did not have great third party support when it debuted. Its success was due to its low price, the leveraging of Super Mario Bros. on the machine, and the fact that Nintendo had a larger production run and better distribution than Atari with the Lynx. Third party title strength came later.
"Right now, somewhere in this world, Scott Baio is plowing a woman he doesn't love," - Peter Griffin, *Family Guy*
The Pentium 4's design is superior in the ranks of a server chip, but I'm afraid they simply over-designed it to the point they're carrying too much baggage in the means of pipeline stages to keep encoders happy. And I really hate AMD users who validate everything by the benchmarks since almost any benchmark currently available is optimized either which way, and the only way to really tell is to use the damned hardware and get a feel for it.
Of course, it may seem trollish to bag at benchmarks, but really, I simply don't feel like they prove anything anymore. None really test for what they need to (multiple instructions? multiple threads? Fully qualified float, integer and vector math? Please, 3D mark used to be good, but they've been caught cheating, so let's not go there.
I really love and admire both AMD and Intel (and these days I'm really more on AMD's side, simply because I'm rooting for the underdog, and I'm a poor college boy), but I feel like neither of them are playing fair anymore. AMD gets a rush off copying every implementation Intel's ever made, and yet, when Intel does the same they cry foul? That's not sportsmanly at all, that's just being a whiner. AMD's still a multibillion dollar corporation, and they CAN catch Intel; they just need to do it and shut their upper lip about it.
Intel on the other hand, still employs a great deal of engineers that sit on their asses because of their current marketing team. There is so much they could be doing with Pentium M that they simply won't do, hopefully this deal with Apple will help them to. There's so much they could do with BIOS that they just won't do, hopefully Apple can alleviate this as well. There is simply so much innovation to be had, and it's so stifled by old technology, bad marketing and biggotry.
On a side note; if Intel went with the Pentium M now, that could really be a sign of monopolistic behavior that AMD could use. The Pentium M was designed by nature to run cooler, period, and thus, can outclock its competitors. I believe the IPC is still a bit lower than A64, but mainly due to A64's bitwidth. We'll see in about a year.
"Victory means exit strategy, and it's important for the President to explain to us what the exit strategy is." G.W.Bush
Complete troll but I'll bite.
Perhaps we are talking about hardware that ships with only one mouse button, apparently under the assumption that their developers are smart enough to create an intuitive UI that doesn't require two or three. However, if you feel inclined to use two or three, you still can - and the functionality is even there out of the box.
They seem to be doing a pretty good job of it, too. Unlike you.
Slashdot still doesnâ(TM)t support Unicode after it was added to the HTML standard in 1997.
Yes, IBM's new CPUs seem adequate. But what about next year? And the year after that? And the year after that?
Given their history, I don't think they can be depended on to keep revving the line quickly enough.
To get the latest G5's out, Apple probably had to shovel truckloads of prunes into the goddam fab.
September 2011: Looking for Cocoa/iOS work in Boston area Cocoa Programmer Quincy, MA
"Silicon Graphics."
SGI tried this. They built Windows NT PCs, in attractive custom cases, with workstation-derived interconnects and graphics. Basically all the hardware advantages of an SGI workstation with the software base of a Windows OS.
Sounds great, right?
Not only did they flop in the market, but it basically destroyed SGI. The PC people thought they were too expensive compared to Dells, and the SGI-IRIX loyalists felt abandoned.
Nice AMD bias.
On one of these tests (http://www.tomshardware.com/cpu/20050627/athlon_f x57-07.html, http://www.tomshardware.com/cpu/20050627/athlon_fx 57-08.html), encoding lame mp3, the P4 came out on top of the A64 FX-67. On five others, encoding mpeg1 to mpeg2,
The $1042 A64 X2 4800+ tied the $544 Pentium D 840 (1:17 vs 1:18). In single-core performance, the $610 P4 660 beat the $1101 A64 FX-57 (1:35 to 1:44).
mpeg2 to divx,...
Results were very similar to above, except the $1042 AMD dual-core beat the $544 Intel dual-core 3:30 to 3:44, and AMD's $1101 single-core tied Intel's $610 single-core (4:58 to 4:56).
Hardly.
The comment you called a "troll" admits that he thinks AMD64 beats Intel EM64T in everything except multimedia encoding. At worst, he might have a reasonable misconception. He is not a troll.
TO START
PRESS ANY KEY
Where's the 'ANY' key? I see Esk, Kitarl, and Pig-Up...
Not this red herring again. I can see VMware being the cat's meow on this (and you can bet your bottom dollar that Jobs has already called up the bigwigs at EMC and said "Yo, guys, what can we do about VMware for OS X on ix86? This is something I think we need, and you could make good bank on"). But Wine on OS X? No. Not even Not a chance.
Why? Because it'll go one of two ways:
- Wine will continue to be what is has been on Linux - useful for certain (commodity) apps that stick with the documented, well-established APIs, but melts down in ugly ways with apps that make liberal use of the many poorly (if at all) documented APIs in Win32. Apple won't go for this, because it _must_ "just work".
- Apple expends huge amounts of work into eking out all those undocumented API hooks, and makes Wine work flawlessly. Well, that's great - they've now entirely obviated the need for OS X ports of their apps. All major developers will say "wow, we can write/build for Windows, and get perfectly working software on OS X as well? Gee, no more Apple specific builds! Saves us a bundle! Let's snort some more coke off this hooker's ass!" (Okay, they probably won't say that last part. Maybe not. Okay, they might...)
Either way, it's not going to happen. Either scenario. Because whatever else you can say about Steve Jobs, he does have a sense of self-preservation, and I don't think it would fail him in this case - he'd see what a huge blunder that would be and declare "That's the dumbest suggestion I've heard all month. We're not doing it. Not only that, whoever suggested it, and anyone that supports it, is fired." (Again, he might not say that last part, but who knows.)
Sam: "That was needlessly cryptic."
Max: "I'd be peeing my pants if I wore any!"
The G5 was a dandy machine, and our customers couldn't get enough of them. The trouble is, neither could Apple!
Apple was leaving a pile of money behind, every single quarter that they had to put up with IBM's supply limitations. I didn't have access to the figures, but I would estimate that sticking with IBM was costing Apple upwards of a billion in revenue per quarter.
One thing that Apple knows they're going to get from Intel, is reliable supply of all the CPUs they can use.
-jcr
The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
I've been repeating this every time FUD about "the switch" comes up:
Apple announced a two-year long transition from PowerPC to Intel/x86 chips. Two years.
That's two years that at least some of Apple's computers will contain PowerPC chips. IBM just announced some tasty new PowerPC chips. Doesn't anyone else think that *maybe*, Apple is going to be buying some of them in the next two years?
Don't become a regular here -- you will become retarded.
for business a Windows machine is usually required because much special software for business only works with that OS
They said it had to be Windows, but they didn't say it had to be on a PC ;-) As it is now, and has been for many uears, you can run Windows on a Mac along with all the software you'd normally run in Windows. However you can't run MacOS or Mac software on a PC in Windows though you can software ported to Windows. With Macs you have both Mac and Windows, with Windows you only have Windows.
FalconShould there be a Law?
"I think the only films Apple would NOT get would be Columbia/Tristar which are owned by Sony (unless Sony doesn't care WHO sells their movies)"
:)
I doubt Sony (ahem, Columbia) Pictures gives a frak about what the rest of Sony does. The only strategic thing they've done for Sony Corporate lately was agree to issue their movies on the UMD format for the PSP. Before that, Sony Pictures supported DVD exclusively (and refused to license their films to Circuit City's DIVX joke-of-a-platform) and also agreed to provide content for Sony's mini-Beta (I forget the brand) portable video players. Video-8. That's what it was.
Of course, you can count on Sony Pictures not licensing any content to HD-DVD and will exclusively support Blu-Ray.
Music wise, Sony Connect doesn't seem to have that many more exclusive cuts available versus iTunes. Although that could be due to the influence of BMG, since they co-own Sony BMG Music. I noticed one exclusive track of The Killers that was available on Sony Connect and not iTunes, which did piss me off since I am a fan and got the rest of their music courtesy of Pepsi/Mountain Dew and their iTunes promotion.
Sony Corporate probably wouldn't care about an Apple iMovie/iTunes Movie Download service as long as their was a plug about viewing the movies in the living room on Sony LCD televisions...
"Right now, somewhere in this world, Scott Baio is plowing a woman he doesn't love," - Peter Griffin, *Family Guy*
Well, that worthless tip doesn't help with the third mouse button, does it now?
If I tap out "Shave and a haircut" does it emulate a third button?
Oops, except "Open in new tab" is right there in the menu. You still don't know what you are talking about.
Tools seem inelegant to those who know not how to use them.
I'm not saying that the OS should be designed so you HAVE To use a command line, just give me the option. Do you have any idea how much easier it is to administer even a Windows server with Secure Shell instead of Terminal Services, VNC or PC Anywhere?
Yes, I do know, because I do it daily on the AIX, Mac OS X, and Linux servers that I administer at work... from my Mac, using SSH. Built in. Instead of third-party installed. Like Windows. You still don't know what you're talking about.
How about copying Tetrabytes of data from one server to another, which I have to do on a regular basis as part of my job? If you use a GUI, you have a lot of waiting around. The command line tools for moving data around are far more flexible. If I need to copy just the 900 GB that's been added since the last update, I can do that with a single command line in Windows or Linux. Until Mac was built on top of a decent operating system (BSD) and had a decent command line, the kind of data transfers I have to do would require hours of work by hand, third party applications or applescript.
I don't know what a "tetrabyte" is, but I'm really not interested in talking about the six-year-old Mac OS 9, which is what your entire experience seems to be predicated on. Go ahead and go back to Windows 98 and tell me how easy administration is, cause that's what you're doing here. This is a complete non-sequitur filibuster.
I'm sorry, but if you honestly think a command line is a bad idea, then you've already demonstrated that you don't do a lot of the things that require more advanced tools.
The dumbed down Apple interfaces are good enough for you. Glad to hear it. You shouldn't have to learn to program to use your computer. Apple makes a nice entry level computer, and it can do a lot of the things that most computer need.
But a Mac would be a pathetic joke for my line of work. It's less of a joke now that it's Unix based, but there's a lot of NeXt crap that needs to go before it's worth my time, and a lot of things that just can't be cone from a command line.
I do plenty on the command line, and I'm glad it's there. However, I'm also smart enough to realize there is value in having an OS that doesn't require it. This seems to be the point you are missing.
Yeah, I guess it would be a pathetic joke to have a system that talks to everything easily, without having to jerk around with it constantly. I sure have a hard time filling my day up without having to reinstall drivers, clean spyware, check for viruses, and pray that I won't have to reinstall Windows.
I work on windows, but I can work *with* my PowerBook.
Knowing how to do various things from the command line is a great benefit. Even when you have to use Terminal Services, it's generally a hell of a lot faster to log in, open a command prompt, and do what you need to do as opposed to opening a window, waiting 30 seconds, opening another window, waiting 30 seconds and so on for ten minutes just to get to an interface to check a setting.
Hmm, maybe this is why on Mac OS X you can type in ">console" at the login prompt, which drops you to a text console to do everything you're talking about? Oh, I guess you still don't know what you're talking about.
I'm sorry you're upset by my having seen your toy computer for what it is, but to tell the simple truth, it's clear you just don't have computing needs that are sufficiently advanced to encounter many of the brain dead ways in which Max is castrated. You're also so brain washed by the Mac marketing machine and the "cult of Mac" that you can't examine your OS objectively.
While you can call me all the names you want, it still doesn't change the fact that you are not playing with a full deck of cards. I say again, try to know something about a subject before talking about it.
Have a day.
Slashdot still doesnâ(TM)t support Unicode after it was added to the HTML standard in 1997.
"AMD gets a rush off copying every implementation Intel's ever made, and yet, when Intel does the same they cry foul? That's not sportsmanly at all, that's just being a whiner."
What are you talking about, copying implementations? They license Intel's proprietary instruction sets, they didn't COPY them. They are paying Intel to have them. And having them is important for compatibility reasons. EM64T is also licensed by Intel from AMD. Nobody is stealing or copying anything.
Did you even read the complaint against Intel? They have been using anti-competitive methods to keep OEMs pumping out more Intel and less AMD. They have even gone so far as to threaten company heads that were going to attend the Athlon64 launch parties.
Actually I must ask if you even understand what anti-competitive behavior is. Intel releasing the Pentium M, a cooler and potentially faster chip, is perfectly acceptable. AMD did it with the Athlon64, after all. Selling new and advanced technology that you developed is how those companies function. If the Pentium M just happens to be better than Athlon's offering at the time, that doesn't mean it's anticompetitive.