Slashdot Mirror


Analyst Says Two 360 Versions At Launch

An analyst with Piper Jaffray believes that there will be two Xbox 360 skus at launch, reports GameDailyBiz. From the article: "Microsoft knows $299 is important...They know that historically that's been the launch sweet spot, but they also don't want to take such large hardware losses this time. Of the 1 million units Microsoft is expected to have available at launch, I expect 80% of them will probably be the more expensive SKU, because that's what early adopters are going to want."

81 comments

  1. But by lanswitch · · Score: 0, Troll

    does it run linux?

  2. 299? by wlan0 · · Score: 1, Interesting

    Why not 360$?

    1. Re:299? by wlan0 · · Score: 1

      Flamebait? Wouldn't it 'look' nicer to get the 360 for 360$?

    2. Re:299? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      $300USD=~$360 so there!!!!!!!!!!

    3. Re:299? by commander_gallium · · Score: 1

      Why not 360$? Candian dollars, or US dollars?

  3. No Need by superpulpsicle · · Score: 1, Interesting

    This company just like to sell 5 different versions of everything to you. After all M$ marketing guys need to keep themselves employed.

    1. Re:No Need by EddieBurkett · · Score: 1

      I figure Xbox 360 Home, XBox 360 Pro, XBox 360 Media Center... what are the other two?

      --
      The only thing I hate more than hypocrites are people who hate hypocrites.
    2. Re:No Need by LoverOfJoy · · Score: 1

      Xbox 360 Small Business Edition and XBox 360 Student and Teacher Edition

    3. Re:No Need by theantipop · · Score: 1

      Xbox360 Workstation... now thats an oxymoron if I've ever heard one.

    4. Re:No Need by amliebsch · · Score: 1

      Don't forget XBox 360 Server Edition and XBox 360 Datacenter Edition, rumored to be headlessly operable for remote text-based gaming.

      --
      If you don't know where you are going, you will wind up somewhere else.
    5. Re:No Need by Kamots · · Score: 1

      XBOX 360 ME the $99 version... with a $4.99/min tech support line.

  4. What's the difference? by alvinrod · · Score: 4, Interesting
    We've already got a good handle on what we'll get with the $299 model, but what extras should we expect in a $350 or $399 model?

    The best I can guess is that a $350 model would have a larger HD, extra controler, and possibly some type of memory card for transporting saved games. I see this as rather pointless since you could buy an extra controler for around $30 tops or get a cheap 3rd party controller for less. I don't know the initial size of the Xbox 360 HD but I've heard 20 GB as an expected starting point. But why not just spend $100 on a nice 200 GB HD and put it in yourself. I'm sure that people will figure out how to hack or mod the box to get it to accept one that large.

    The $399 model would almost need to have a game bundled in with it along with the other stuff. The only problem I see is that not everyone will want the game that comes with it. People will just buy the $299 version and pick whatever game they want for themselves.

    "Of the 1 million units Microsoft is expected to have available at launch, I expect 80% of them will probably be the more expensive SKU, because that's what early adopters are going to want."

    I don't know if I can agree with that. Unless Microsoft doesn't give users a choice, I'd bet most would go with the $299 model. At least that's what I'd be going with. I can't justify the extra cost for a slightly larger HD when I'll eventually want to throw in a really big one and mod it to run Linux. Then again I'm probably not the target customer for the Xbox 360 so maybe it's just me. Either way I don't see how consumers knowingly shelling out an extra $100 ($50 possibly) for a few extras that aren't necessary.

    1. Re:What's the difference? by MindStalker · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Wireless networking perhaps, a few games, possibly a promised free upgrade to HD DVD when it comes out. Any number of things could push the price.

    2. Re:What's the difference? by badasscat · · Score: 2, Insightful

      We've already got a good handle on what we'll get with the $299 model, but what extras should we expect in a $350 or $399 model?

      Including an HD-DVD drive would seem to jibe with some of their other recent comments. Having two separate versions of the console out there would ensure that no game would ever be produced on the HD-DVD format, but it would mean you'd be getting an HD-DVD player for basically $100. That's a deal I think some people might take. If they also included a larger hard drive and an extra accessory or two, I think it might even be too good to pass up.

      They've already said they'll include an HD-DVD drive at some point, and have shown no aversion at all to having multiple SKUs out there. They haven't said they'll do it at launch, but it's at least no dumber to do it at launch than it is to do it any other time.

      Unless Microsoft doesn't give users a choice, I'd bet most would go with the $299 model.

      It would depend on what's in the higher-priced model. If it's just a bunch of extra stuff I can buy separately later, then no thanks. I'm sure most people would feel that way - people hate bundles.

      But if there's an HD-DVD drive and a larger hard drive, for only $100 more, then even I - bundle-hater of all bundle-haters - would probably spring for the higher-end model. But I doubt that's the way it's going to go down. It's probably just going to be a "value pack" with a couple of over-priced accessories.

      I do think the "80%" number is kind of out there, unless this analyst knows something we don't. My gut feeling is he's confusing the fact that these early adopters are usually forced to spend more money than they want to with the desire to spend more money than they need to. They are not the same thing. I think 99% of early adopters would love to pay less than they do for the products they buy, it's just that they never have that choice. If MS gives them that choice, most of them will opt for the cheaper model until it's sold out. (And it seems reasonable to expect them to sell out fast, leaving the appearance that there are two models on the market and that MS is trying to please everyone, but in fact there is only in practical terms one model out there and it's $400.)

    3. Re:What's the difference? by Chosen+Reject · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Not that it matters since the article is pure speculation anyway, but I find it amusing that you take their speculation, add some of your own conjecture, then you talk of how stupid those moves (that you made up) would be, and thus conclude that either the original speculation or MS is dumb.

      --
      Stop Global Warming!
      Just say no to irreversible processes!
    4. Re:What's the difference? by WhatAmIDoingHere · · Score: 1

      How do you know you're going to be able to run linux or install a larger hard drive? It could be designed to only accept a certain drive size or brand.

      Go to Amazon.com, look for the Lord of the Rings movies. Or Star Wars. Think about how many people paid an extra $10/per DVD to get the Ultra Extended Edition Director Cut Gold Version. Also try to think about how many people own the widescreen, collectors widescreen, extended widescreen, platinum wide screen, and so on. People who are interested in things tend to jump in with both feet. What's an extra $100 when you get to say "I got the collectors edition and x cool stuff!"

      --
      Not a Twitter sockpuppet... but I wish I was.
    5. Re:What's the difference? by lion2 · · Score: 1

      Good luck trying to find a 200GB 2.5" drive(maybe they are out now but I havent checked), and when they do appear, good luck trying to find them for $100.

      I think it would make more sense to have an HD-DVD drive on both SKU's and remove the hard drive from the cheaper model. Developers are required to make thier games work without a hard drive. This way developers will definitely be able to use the extra capacity of the HD-DVD drive.

    6. Re:What's the difference? by Have+Blue · · Score: 1

      A bundled subscription to Xbox Live Gold, perhaps.

    7. Re:What's the difference? by apoc06 · · Score: 1

      seems like you are the only person thats thinking the same way i am. i figure they are going to throw in xbox live, and maybe a few extra accessories. perhaps the remote control for the dvd player, larger HD, a game [doubt this one]. the wireless networking... probably a blank faceplate... etc etc etc... they arent going to drop a $100 hd-dvd drive in there. i could see them taking an extra loss on that one if they did.

      but for $100 more, ms would most likely add xbox live. which would suck for those early adopters who already have live subscriptions that should be able to carry over.

  5. Analyst knows nothing, so makes shit up. by iainl · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I've seen no evidence for 2 SKUs, and certainly nothing to indicate that Microsoft would release a version without a hard drive, when you need one to run games at all.

    His entire argument appears to be based on "the hardware is expensive, so Microsoft is going to have to sell it at $399". Did he not notice how it is no more expensive than the XBox they launched last time at $299?

    --
    "I Know You Are But What Am I?"
    1. Re:Analyst knows nothing, so makes shit up. by Retroneous · · Score: 1

      I've seen no evidence for 2 SKUs, and certainly nothing to indicate that Microsoft would release a version without a hard drive, when you need one to run games at all.

      Where's your source? The HDD was always going to be a seperate purchase, hence the little cage on the side of the 360 so that it can be installed/removed more easily.

      "Slashdot poster knows nothing. Makes shit up."

    2. Re:Analyst knows nothing, so makes shit up. by Saige · · Score: 1

      Everything I've heard implies that the 360 won't come in a HD-less version, because you will have games using it - and I don't mean using it like the PS2 uses it.

      It's just removable so that you can haul your save games, music, purchased content, etc - over to another 360.

      --
      "You know your god is man-made when he hates all the same people you do."
    3. Re:Analyst knows nothing, so makes shit up. by drewmca · · Score: 1

      MS clearly stated at E3 that a 20GB drive was standard. They are making it easy to remove so they can sell you a bigger one.

      The parent is right. Despite MS's actual statements that the 360 will come with a HD, this analyst is basically making stuff up, based on publicly available information from 5 months ago.

    4. Re:Analyst knows nothing, so makes shit up. by wattimus · · Score: 1

      Really? A harddrive is needed? Ask Sony what they think about that.

      Most companies make games for both and port code between the two - so why is a harddrive needed?

    5. Re:Analyst knows nothing, so makes shit up. by iainl · · Score: 1

      A hard drive is needed for the same reason the XBox needed one. Games are allowed to use a fair bit of the space for temporary caching, swap space and the like. Your XBox Live profile goes on there (and Microsoft have made a big thing about how much detail will be stored over and above last time). Anything you download from XBox Live Arcade (which you will be able to access even on the free Silver level subscription) needs to be stored as well.

      Apart from anything, Backward compatibility demands a 750Mb swap partition just for XBox 1 software.

      --
      "I Know You Are But What Am I?"
    6. Re:Analyst knows nothing, so makes shit up. by wattimus · · Score: 1

      heh yeah - you are owned =)

    7. Re:Analyst knows nothing, so makes shit up. by wattimus · · Score: 1

      btw, you completely failed to answer the question.

      why does Xbox (really) need one when Sony does not

      idiot
    8. Re:Analyst knows nothing, so makes shit up. by iainl · · Score: 1

      OK, I'll be clearer. The X360 _really_ needs one because the kits the developers are hard at work on document that there is a caching partition available for their use. If they suddenly change their mind at this point in the game and remove it, then everyone's launch titles are going to turn up several months late.

      This makes me the idiot how?

      --
      "I Know You Are But What Am I?"
    9. Re:Analyst knows nothing, so makes shit up. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      if devs are depending on the cache partition, then i wouldn't want to be those devs - imagine if the user removes his hard drive - game no worky!!!

      i'm pretty sure those dev's titles will miss ship dates for other reasons. like being illiterate... ;)

      slashdot commenter knows nothing, so makes assumptions

  6. backfire... by zxnos · · Score: 2, Insightful

    parents are who dont know are going to pick up the cheaper one, thinking that store just has a better price. then feel ripped off once they find out they could have bought the extras at once - for 100$ cheaper at the outset.

    --
    always mosh clockwise
    1. Re:backfire... by EddieBurkett · · Score: 1
      parents are who dont know are going to pick up the cheaper one, thinking that store just has a better price. then feel ripped off once they find out they could have bought the extras at once - for 100$ cheaper at the outset.
      I actually see it working differently, especially given the 80-20 split favoring the more expensive console. Parents will see the 360 advertised as $299, and go to pick it up, but of course that one will be sold out. Determined to get their kid the latest and greatest, they'll rationalize that its only another $50 to $100, and buy the big one. More of a bait and switch than anything else.
      --
      The only thing I hate more than hypocrites are people who hate hypocrites.
    2. Re:backfire... by NanoGator · · Score: 1

      "parents are who dont know are going to pick up the cheaper one, thinking that store just has a better price. then feel ripped off once they find out they could have bought the extras at once - for 100$ cheaper at the outset."

      Um, if it were my dad, he wouldn't have given a flying fuck unless he was getting it for himself. If he got the wrong one, he'd either tell me I wasn't specific enough (assuming he actually would have sprung for the extras) or he would have told me to get a job and buy it myself.

      I find it absolutely amazing that there's all this doom and gloom prediction about the XBOX 360. But when Sony says their machine will be expensive, nobody cares. Not all of us wants to pay $400-$500 for a console and can happily live with a smaller HD and no ability to play HD-DVDs. Kids in particular can live without these nicities. It's unlikely that MS is going to make this move, but I can tell you I'd FAR prefer this sort of scheme to Sony's "It's all or nothing and you had better be prepared to spend over $500 on launch day."

      I'm glad I'm not getting either of these consoles.

      --
      "Derp de derp."
    3. Re:backfire... by Elranzer · · Score: 1
      I find it absolutely amazing that there's all this doom and gloom prediction about the XBOX 360. But when Sony says their machine will be expensive, nobody cares.
      What I find amazing is that everyone thinks that Sony and Microsoft are the only two players in this game, and seem to think Nintendo's Revolution is going to be some sort of niche/toy. Perhaps this is all part of Nintendo's master plan? They *are* the smartest and wisest of the three companies, afterall...
    4. Re:backfire... by apoc06 · · Score: 1

      "Perhaps this is all part of Nintendo's master plan? They *are* the smartest and wisest of the three companies, afterall..."

      you're joking right? they are the most experienced. i will give you that. however i wouldnt excuse them from doing what ALL video game companies are guilty of, and thats making stupid moves. [no dvd drive, avoiding cd based games, lack of online titles, virtual boy]

      im not beating down nintendo, im just saying that they have had their fair share of mistakes too. they arent at the head of the pack anymore. luckily they have danced around their mistakes fairly easily, so i can see them pulling out the big guns this generation. im not the biggest nintendo fan, but i respect their power when it comes to games.

      "did we say its only 2-3 times more powerful? sorry that was a typo in the press release. we mean 2-3 times more powerful than the other companies. lol."

  7. Why would they do that? by DuckofDeath87 · · Score: 1

    Releasing more than one version of the same console would simply take away the one thing that I love about consoles. They are simple and easy. You dont have to check for system requirements to play a game. You just have to have the system. But, if the consoles are acctually differant in any signifigant way, then you will have to check to see if you have the right version of the xbox. However, if they both play all the same games just the same, then what is the point of the more expensive version?

    1. Re:Why would they do that? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Don't you love the innovation Microsoft brings to the industry?

  8. Simple by BlackCobra43 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Most customers will also purchase one game - bringing the total up to 360.

    --
    I never spellcheck and I freely admit it. Save your karma for more worthwhile "lol erorrs" replies
  9. Look at me! by cornface · · Score: 0

    An analyst with Piper Jaffray believes that... ...by making wild claims to the gaming press he'll get his name and his company's name smeared all around the news for free! Look at me! Look at me! Look at me!

    Shut up, already.

  10. For those not in the know (like me) by WankersRevenge · · Score: 4, Informative

    From Wikipedia: SKU

    A Stock Keeping Unit (SKU) is an identifier used for management of an inventory.

    The acronym SKU is used almost exclusively when talking about this concept. Furthermore, it's pronounced as a word, rather than three letters, as if you were saying the English work skew.

    Merchants assign SKUs to every product they sell (as opposed to an EAN which is assigned by the manufacturer). This SKU is then used to order, locate and manage the inventory of a product. Each product and variant of a product has a different SKU, for example different flavours or models of product have independent SKUs.

    1. Re:For those not in the know (like me) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Furthermore, it's pronounced as a word, rather than three letters, as if you were saying the English work skew.

      That's no help. Are you talking about the American English pronunciation ('s-coo') or the English pronunciation ('s-cue')? I'm tempted to think English on account of you saying 'English', but I know how often Americans tend to omit 'American' when talking about American English.

    2. Re:For those not in the know (like me) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Technically this analyst will be correct if the 360 is available in two colors.

    3. Re:For those not in the know (like me) by _xeno_ · · Score: 1

      That was my thought too: Silver and black.

      --
      You are in a maze of twisty little relative jumps, all alike.
    4. Re:For those not in the know (like me) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I've never heard an American pronounce skew as scoo.

  11. Did no one RTFA? by mESSDan · · Score: 1, Redundant
    From TFA:
    As for the higher end model, Gikas conceded that it could come in as low as $350, but $399 seems like the most probably price point. He stressed that the model will likely include "all the additional peripherals gamers would want to buy anyway," as well.
    The "higher end model" is just one that costs more because it has more peripherals with it, like 2 controllers instead of 1, Wireless ready, etc.

    Also, keep in mind that this article about someone guessing about what Microsoft is going to do.

    --

    -- Dan
  12. Maybe HD-DVD by SeaEye420 · · Score: 1

    Maybe the 2nd SKU is the rumored HD-DVD version. I would pay extra for that, although I don't see 80% of 360 buyers thinking the same way. The way the analyst describes it sounds suspiciously like the bundles that retailers try to shove down your throat at launch, which is pretty much standard at launch anyway. Not that I'd ever get the bundle, as it almost always includes useless filler to drive up the price.

    --
    Wort Wort Wort!
    1. Re:Maybe HD-DVD by Why's_This_Fish_So_B · · Score: 1

      Hey, someone figured it out. Let's see, what's deadlier to Sony, an extra controller or taking away the high-def standard Sony's banking on and establishing WMV as the standard movie format?

      I won't buy either of these consoles (PS3 or XB360) without high-def DVD playback.

    2. Re:Maybe HD-DVD by apoc06 · · Score: 1

      well, i think good ol billy and company are just holding back on details about whether or not to release the hd-dvd drive with the console because they are afraid of banking on hd-dvd and seeing it lose the format war. besides if they bundle it now, it would be pretty expensive since they arent a hardware manufacturer anyways. sony actually makes the drives themselves so it hurts, but its not as large of a hit for them.

      if the ps3's blu-ray drive is never used for anything other than games... cool. its fine; you just have another audio/dvd player. the blu-ray works for games. fair enough. consumers wont be burned.

      since ms has pretty much ironed out specs for all upcoming games to be on dvd media, and therefore later games cant utilize the hd-dvd density, without effectively burning the early adopters. they could stand more to lose should hd-dvd not catch on. basically you would have to pay for a drive that has no use should hd-dvd lose the format war. the last thing xbox wants to do at this junction is burn customers that bad. they are still trying to gain a foothold in the world market.

  13. R.O.B. inside! by hotgigs · · Score: 2, Funny

    Maybe this will come with that Robot that the NES had at launch! That launch had two different packages... basic system with SuperMario and then the upgraded package with R.O.B. the robot, Light Gun and Duck Hunt and another game. My guess is an upgraded Hard Drive and 1 year of Xbox Live service and possibly a game or controller.

    --
    I'm not clever enough for a sig...
    1. Re:R.O.B. inside! by cornface · · Score: 0

      Maybe they got spooked at E3 when they realized Sony was including a free boomerang with every Playstation 3?

    2. Re:R.O.B. inside! by solive1 · · Score: 1

      I got that NES set way back when for Christmas one year (it was my first console). The Deluxe Set, as it was called, came with the console, two controllers, the Zapper light gun, and R.O.B. (Robotic Operating Buddy) as well as two games: Duck Hunt and Gyromite (played with R.O.B.). R.O.B. never took off, though, and mine broke eventually. I still have the game and everything else that came with the system in good working order though.

  14. 2SKUs == 1 Big Mistake by blueZhift · · Score: 2, Interesting

    It would be a big mistake for MS to launch the 360 with multiple versions. I don't think that there has ever been a successful console that launched with more than one version/price point. Now if they want to launch with different colored models, that's fine, but if they start monkeying around with the inclusion of the HD, then they'll be giving the game back to Sony. Honestly, the HD and Xbox Live are the Xbox's only advantages over the Playstation 2. Look at how poorly the PS2 HD add-on fared, and the promises of support that Sony itself broke. If the HD is not standard in all 360s, then it will fail as well, putting 360 on the same level as the PS3.

    In the console world, the launch is a one shot deal. Whatever comes out at launch is what is going to be supported. Enhancements and redesigns may come later in the console's life, but that base model that rolled out on day one is the one that gets full support by developers. Splitting the market on day one would be very foolish.

    1. Re:2SKUs == 1 Big Mistake by skepticult · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I don't think that there has ever been a successful console that launched with more than one version/price point.

      Yes. The NES was a dismal failure, as everyone knows. It failed so quickly that nobody has even heard of it. Here's a link to wikipedia detailing it's dismal fall into obscurity.

    2. Re:2SKUs == 1 Big Mistake by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The NES did launch with only one version and approximate price. Pack-ins (such as peripherals and games) did not and do not change anything at all about the console itself. The console case was later redesigned to resemble the SNES (and address the terminal problem), but of course this had nothing to do with the launch.

      Enjoy being a dumbass. The internet is perfect for you.

    3. Re:2SKUs == 1 Big Mistake by skepticult · · Score: 2, Funny

      Yes. There wasn't a pack that contained a robot, a light gun, and an extra controller. I didn't know anybody who had it, and in fact, have never even seen a picture of it.

      I'm so stupid!

    4. Re:2SKUs == 1 Big Mistake by RzUpAnmsCwrds · · Score: 1

      "It would be a big mistake for MS to launch the 360 with multiple versions. I don't think that there has ever been a successful console that launched with more than one version/price point."

      PSP? It launched as a "barebones" system and also as a "Value Pack" system.

  15. How much is Microsoft willing to take? by alvinrod · · Score: 1
    It's widely accepted that Microsoft has lost a lot of money with the Xbox and breaking into the console gaming business. How much more of a loss on this venture are they willing to take?

    Considering that right off the bat they will be losing money for every Xbox 360 sold (probably not as much with the $399 or $349 priced model) as well as the enormous amount of advertising they're going to be doing over the Christmas holiday, when are they going to start seeing money coming back in?

    Because that the PS3 will be just as technologically powerful as the Xbox 360 if not moreso in some regards, the Xbox 360 will have a harder time convincing people that it's the most powerful console out there. Additionally, with the Nintendo Revolution expected to debut at $200 (or less!) Microsoft may find itself in a tricky situation. They migth have more money than all slashdotters put together, but can they really afford to keep soaking up losses like this?

    And now something like this comes out: "Microsoft has set up a fund (of sorts) to be utilized for subsidizing game development and promotion for the XBX360. We think the Company will provide financial incentives in the form of development dollars, sales and promotions, and reduced royalty structures. At the end of the day, expensive third-party product development (on key IP) could be subsidized in part by Microsoft's balance sheet."

    The whole thing looks like a house of cards to me. It's understandable that Microsoft needs to sell consoles to get companies to develope games for it. In order to sell consoles they need to get companies to develope games worth buying for that console, exclusive if at all possible. However, if you're selling a console for a loss and hoping to make up for that by charging royalty fees to any company that releases a game on your console, it doesn't make sense to reduce that royalty rate as well as throw money for developement, advertising, and promotions. The only reason they're able to do this is because of the massive amounts of cash flow they have from other divisions. The only way this works is if they sell enough consoles where people buy games in a large enough volume so that royalties cover the costs. This only works in the long run, however, if enough people have bought the console where game sales reach that point.

    I realize that this probably sounds like a lot of FUD, a troll, or an attempt to start a flame war, but you should understand that I have an Xbox and enjoy a lot of the games that it has made possible. Some of them might have come out for other platforms but I don't know if I'd've ever had the joy of playing Halo, KOTOR, or some other unique Xbox games if it weren't for what Microsoft did. However, I can't agree with their current strategy that will eventually cost them enough money so that they consider discontinuing future generations of the Xbox. They probably have enough money to support it indefinately, but will they?

    I don't see what's to stop them from using a strategy similar to Nintendo's. If they sold every console for a profit, they'd be able to reduce the royalty rates which could result in games still being priced at $50. With a strategy like this and their installed base, I think they could do a much better job of carving out a larger market share in the future years. The only other concern I have is that the one million units expected at launch won't be enough to satisfy the demands of all consumers. If they launch in November, will they have enough units to satisfy the demand at Christmas? If this happens many consumers might just say to hell with the Xbox 360 and wait until a PS3 launch which is expected in March.

    It seems to me that they've jumped the gun a little and it will probably cause them problems down the road. I hope they're able to keep things running smoothly as they do make a wonderful console and have some great games and an excellent online model to go along with it. They've done some innovative things in the industry and it would be a shame to see them have to drop out due to poor planning. Here's hoping for the best.

    1. Re:How much is Microsoft willing to take? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The PS3 is not coming in March at least not to North America. You might see it in the Fall or '06 here.

    2. Re:How much is Microsoft willing to take? by CDarklock · · Score: 1

      Sony treats developers like crap. You have to jump through thirty thousand hoops to get any interest from them at all, and it takes forever.

      Microsoft, on the other hand, knows that the really HUGE successes are just as likely to come from a high school student as from an industry luminary... so they aren't as quick to dismiss someone for lack of experience.

      In the end, Sony will lose, because Microsoft is cementing relationships with gamers that will produce the NEXT big thing... while Sony is turning up their nose to keep hanging out with the people who made the last one.

      --
      Microsoft cheerleader, blue flag waving, you got a problem with that?
    3. Re:How much is Microsoft willing to take? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Microsoft treats developers like crap. You have to jump through thirty thousand hoops to get any interest from them at all, and it takes forever.

      Sony, on the other hand, knows that the really HUGE successes are just as likely to come from a high school student as from an industry luminary... so they aren't as quick to dismiss someone for lack of experience.

      In the end, Microsoft will lose, because Sony is cementing relationships with gamers that will produce the NEXT big thing... while Microsoft is turning up their nose to keep hanging out with the people who made the last one."

      In other words, you, like every other paid Microsoft fanboy, are full of crap.

  16. Analysts "opinions" are just wild guesses by Man+In+Black · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Why do we keep seeing these news stories that just turn out to be an opinion from someone who has nothing to do with what's actually going on? Stuff like this should only really count as "news" if it's coming out of the mouth of someone at Microsoft.

    "many conversations with Microsoft" aside, his guesses are probably no better than mine.

    --
    -"One machine can do the work of fifty ordinary men. No machine can do the work of one extraordinary man." -EH
    1. Re:Analysts "opinions" are just wild guesses by Lord_Dweomer · · Score: 1
      If this is a PR plant, then it might indeed be coming out of the mouth of someone at Microsoft, and given how much they've invested in PR for the 360 launch, I honestly wouldn't be that shocked if it was.

      --
      Buy Steampunk Clothing Online!
    2. Re:Analysts "opinions" are just wild guesses by dootbran · · Score: 1

      But wasn't the whole "multiple xbox packages" thing supposed to have been settled back at E3/Mtv press event. I remember back then thinking there might be a version for $100 extra with a hdd and some media features, then the unit gets shown on MTV and the entire rumor disappears... until now.

      I think this is just some analyst recycling an old rumor right before the actual announcement of a date/price point when interest in the subject is highest.

  17. This is great news! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    For Nintendo.

    Confuse and anger the consumers with multiple versions? Keep following in Sega's footsteps MS, please!

  18. wild speculation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Anonymous sources cite something they read one time on the internet somewhere that M$ will release the 360 for $1000, it will come in 16 everchanging colors, with 8 controllers and halo 3 and 4. Also, a solid gray version with one controller and duck hunt will be available for $300. There, I just became a source for the continued creation of misinformation about next-gen platforms. It's pointless to speculate until we get closer to the indiviual release of each platform.

  19. ...as much as it takes. by SeekerDarksteel · · Score: 1

    when are they going to start seeing money coming back in?

    As soon as they drive Sony and Nintendo out of business. MS's goal right now is not profit, it is increasing market share. Once they get a significant enough market share they can strongarm developers into exclusives and start jacking up the price of the console, games, and royalties while lowering the cost to manufacture (and quality of) their console and games because of a lack of significant opposition, thereby recouping their early losses. MS isn't out to make money on the XBox tomrrow or next year. They're planning for the future.

    --
    The laws of probability forbid it!
    1. Re:...as much as it takes. by |/|/||| · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      Once they get a significant enough market share they can strongarm developers into exclusives...
      Which is why I don't understand Slashdotters buying XBoxes. Why help MS do the same thing to video game consoles that they did to browsers? What are you thinking?

      I not only boycotted the XBox entirely, I go out of my way to diss it whenever possible. Sure, it may be a powerful console, and it may even have a couple of fun games - but the cost of allowing MS into the market is too steep. If you want to play XBox games then contribute to the development of an emulator.

      Seriously.

      --
      [javac] 100 errors
    2. Re:...as much as it takes. by polyp2000 · · Score: 1

      I never dared voice my exact same opinion as yours for fear of negative modding or being seen as flamebait.

      But I too second your comment and I've made my decision as to which console I'll be purchasing this time around and like before it wont be microsoft's offering.

      --
      Electronic Music Made Using Linux http://soundcloud.com/polyp
    3. Re:...as much as it takes. by Dan+Ost · · Score: 1

      Even if there's only one dominant console out there, as long as people can play
      games on a computer, a console can only compete if it stays within a particular
      price range. If console price points get much higher than a low end computer,
      the mass market will abandon them in favor of playing games on their computer.

      --

      *sigh* back to work...
    4. Re:...as much as it takes. by cornface · · Score: 0

      Sounds great, except that a low end computer can't play the games a new console can. It's also a pain in the neck for non-techies to setup and maintain. The chances of the console market making a mass move to PC gaming is exactly 0%, even if the Xbox360 and PS3 launch at $500.

      People will just wait until Sony and MS realize they aren't going to make any money selling that high and come forth with the inevitable price drop, or they will buy a Nintendo.

      Your post would have been correct if you'd only said:

      "If console price points get much higher than a low end computer, the mass market will abandon them."

    5. Re:...as much as it takes. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well I'm no friend of Bill Gates, but I don't see much difference in either MS or Sony having a monopoly on consoles. The only way this works out is if the competition continues to exist. I don't believe Sony will be getting out of the console market anytime in the forseeable future, and Nintendo needs to hang in their as well.

    6. Re:...as much as it takes. by Prophet+of+Nixon · · Score: 1

      What cost of letting them into the market? Sega's hardware is gone, Sony is amazingly bad (but still has a few good game developers), and Nintendo has become almost irrelevant outside of the portable market. There needs to be a major competitor to Sony, and since Sega is dead, MS is it. Granted, I also support them since they are the only American console manufacturer right now, and since they are starting to open up Live Arcade to smaller independent developers.

      When you say that you want to boycott them, what is the wonderful existing market that boycotting them saves?

    7. Re:...as much as it takes. by |/|/||| · · Score: 1
      In a normal case, I would be happy to see more competition in the market. I would even say that Microsoft's presence has so far been positive - they've spurred the market into a competitive frenzy. This is good.

      In the longer term, though, I don't think things will go so well. Judging by Microsoft's track record, I predict that by the 4th generation XBox 90% of games will be developed for the MS platform. They may have to flood the streets with $100 bills, but if they want the market then they'll take it. There goes your competition down the drain.

      When you say that you want to boycott them, what is the wonderful existing market that boycotting them saves?
      The one that includes more than one console manufacturer.

      --
      [javac] 100 errors
    8. Re:...as much as it takes. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ah yes, the good old "Big Plan" rationalization. The most important element of every Xbox fanboy's ability to deal with the world outside of Halo and www.teamxbox.com.

    9. Re:...as much as it takes. by apoc06 · · Score: 1

      i understand where youre going, and youre right; that is the MS goal. they want to use the console market, because thats one more way to work the MS brand into another aspect of your life. some marketing genius realized that the more people are playing console video games, the less they will be playing games at the computer. the less they play at the computer the less they will need windows. [some people (read: hardcore gamers) stick with windows because most games are written to run on windows machines].

      competition is good. in fact, competition is great. but MS is obviously not in this fight for the money. that much is apparent. so ask yourself, what are they in the market for? they arent really even a hardware manufacturer in the first place. so what do they want to do? to advertise windows as a media center? to pioneer in-game ads? to innovate the idea of online micro-transactions? to showcase their media formats? to play up their security measures? yeah probably all of that, but their main objective is to be the one brand to rule them all.

  20. Not Unexpected. by kinglink · · Score: 1

    There was that talk of the three versions of Xbox360 (one with out a hard drive, one with, and one with the Media Center (internet and everything else)

    It's a degergation of the videogame console idea, when you have different versions of your Xbox, honestly Microsoft better home Japan accepts this one because otherwise they'll just loose a ton of their money.

    Just one more step on the Console PC. (and while Linux Xboxs are cool, notice it's not the official console)

  21. Mods on crack by InfiniteWisdom · · Score: 0, Troll

    How is that flamebait?

    1. Re:Mods on crack by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      More importantly, a lot of mods can't take criticism, are too political (playing favorites), and much too quick to jump the gun anytime someone mentions "moderation". Why? What's the big deal? All conversations at Slashdot eventually go off topic anyway. Is it a sin to mention the M word? Jesus Christ, would somebody make sure to meta-mod some of these mods down when they over-step their boundaries?? Kick some mod ass!

  22. Forget The Next Generation... by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Hey, Microsoft! Where's the $100 XBox? Some of us "late adaptors" would like a piece of the action.

    1. Re:Forget The Next Generation... by Have+Blue · · Score: 1

      Those will appear shortly after the release of the 360, at your local used equipment supplier.

  23. To clarify by Deliveranc3 · · Score: 1

    The cheap model Xbox will DEFINITLY have a HD???

  24. They blocked linux from connecting to online play. by DaedalusHKX · · Score: 1

    Future versions seem to be completely Trusted Computing aware and will thus be hardware disabled for anything save microshit.

    This leaves us at a little crossroads. Stay the hell away from M$ or get screwed much as we do with windows where the assholes break compatibility every year or three to squeeze MORE money for slower/shittier products each time.

    Oh well, the majority of people are dumb and they are going to end up helping US have to pay for their stupidity too.

    --
    " What luck for rulers that men do not think" - Adolf Hitler