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HD-DVD and Blu-Ray Coming Soon to PCs

An anonymous reader writes "A Yahoo! news piece has some sales details for the upcoming Blu-Ray and HD-DVD players. They also have some details on disc drives that read the new formats." From the article: "Sony has priced its first desktop computer that will have a Blu-ray Disc burner. The drive will be able to write to 25GB and 50GB BD-RE (rewritable) and BD-R (write once) discs. Sony will start selling 25GB BD-RE and BD-R discs in April for $20 and $25 respectively and 50GB capacity versions of the same discs later in the year for $48 and $60 respectively. The Vaio RC will be launched in 'early summer' and will cost around $2300. At the CeBIT show in Germany last week, Sony announced plans for a Vaio notebook with a Blu-ray Disc drive."

209 comments

  1. wow... what a bargain by loraksus · · Score: 5, Insightful

    50GB capacity versions of the same discs later in the year for $48 and $60 respectively.

    Is is just me that thinks selling media for 2x the cost of a hard drive (if you calculate $/gig) stupid?

    --
    1q2w3e4r5t6y7u8i9o0pqawsedrftgthyjukilo;p'azsxdcfv gbhnjmk,l.;/
    1. Re:wow... what a bargain by fatduck · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Especially when USB hard drives are roughly the same size as, and far more resistant to damage than, dvds?

      --
      Making you think you're crazy is a billion dollar industry.
    2. Re:wow... what a bargain by Tim+C · · Score: 0

      2x? I upgraded my home PC a month ago, and bought 500GB worth of disks for about £120. Taking an exchange rate of approx 1.76 (from x-rates.com), that works out as a touch over $68, or $6.8 per 50GB.

      I appreciate that any new technology starts out expensive then drops in price, but that's ridiculous.

    3. Re:wow... what a bargain by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And now that hard disks dropped to about $0.20 on the gig the only advantage is weight. A hard disk is certainly more reliable than a new blue ray disk. Plus if it goes wrong I've got shedloads of data recovery tools. I'm sure a duffed blue ray disk isn't going to be amenable to ext-recover. Basically the problem is I don't trust 50GB of data to a little plastic disk with no physical protection.

    4. Re:wow... what a bargain by Stripe7 · · Score: 1

      Hard disks are cheaper and faster. I currently backup to hard disks. I keep several 250 GB external USB disks just for that purpose. Its faster, has larger capacity, and its available at 1/2 the cost of Blu-Ray!

    5. Re:wow... what a bargain by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Your calculation is backwarsd. A pound is worth more then a dollar, making it about $211, which comes to 21 dollar per 50GB.

    6. Re:wow... what a bargain by 386spart · · Score: 1

      I agree that it is expensive but the price of a hard drive doesn't matter. No medium compares well to the price of hard drives, but they have a different purpose than optical media or tapes. I would rather have a 20-pocket case of blueray discs in my laptop bag or bank box than a 500 gig disk.
      Compare with dual-layer DVDs, backup tapes and such. Still expensive, but not that bad.

    7. Re:wow... what a bargain by Sinbios · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Media prices drop fast. When DVD was first introduced it was about the same price; look how much a blank DVDR costs now. And besides, media takes up less space. If I have 2.5 terabytes of data I can store it in a spindle of 50GB BD. On the other hand you'll have five 500GB harddrives sitting around. Lastly, media is more convenient; if you have five IDE drives, you have to shutdown the computer, replace the drive, and boot back up to get at content on a different disk; if you have five SATA drives, you still have to open up the case, unplug, and plug the new drive in; if you have a RAID array it's going to be on all the time and using electricity, as well as degrading. With media, you can just pop the old one out and the new one in. And besides, harddrives won't work nicely with your TV.

      --
      Anyone can "stand up for what they believe", but it takes a very brave individual to change what they believe. - Loundry
    8. Re:wow... what a bargain by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

      It's always a nitch market to begin with. The first person I knew who bought a CD recorder was a high end still photographer that was using it to archive files. His first drive cost $5,000. A few years later they were a couple of hundred. I paid $550 for my first DVD burner which I desperately needed at the time. A month later they were $450 and four months later the same one was around $250 but I burned a lot of disks in those months and I still use those back ups. I'm interested as a way of hard copying rendered shots in a digital format. I do it now on DVD but it takes a lot of DVDs and can be a bit clunky. I can store a lot of shots on 50 gig. Even better yet I can store the entire project file on disks of that size. I have to store them on several disks now and it's a bit clunky reinstalling them when needed. I do also use back up external hard drives but I've had failures with hard drives and I've rarely had trouble with disks. Also if you are going to store multiple backs up over time hard drives can take up serious space and can be problematic after they have set for a few years. I had disasterous experiences with Jazz drives in the past. In a hundred DVD folder I can store 5 terrabytes of information. That's a lot of hard drives especially when you consider a 100 gig hard drive holds a lot less than a 100 gig of information. A 50 gig DVD will pretty much hold 50 gig of data. Even with 500 gig drives it'll take eleven or twelve to hold as much as the one folder. Data recovery is extremely expensive if one of those drives goes down. If to be safe you do redundant back ups then you are talking 22+ drives to equal the one folder.

      For most it won't make sense in the short term but give it a year when the 50 gig disks are even running $10 a piece and they'll start looking a lot more interesting.

      Another issue is say I needed to send 50 gig of info through the mail. I'd much rather send a DVD sized disk than a hard drive that can be easily damaged.

      A final note would be mastering films. For low budget producers they could burn a high res version of their film on a high capacity disk rather than using digi beta. Digital Beta decks are still extremely expensive due to the rariety. Blu-ray will be a much cheaper option. Say you want to project your new film at a local theater. All you would need is a single Blu-Ray disk. Instead of a stack of film cans you can put the whole thing on a disk that would fit in a breast pocket.

    9. Re:wow... what a bargain by frenetic_wimp · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I upgraded my home PC a month ago, and bought 500GB worth of disks for about £120. Taking an exchange rate of approx 1.76 (from x-rates.com), that works out as a touch over $68, or $6.8 per 50GB

      Uhh... no. £120 is closer to $211, if you do the math correctly. Which is $21 per 50GB. GP is correct.

      --
      get a Free BSD!
    10. Re:wow... what a bargain by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Is is just me that thinks selling media for 2x the cost of a hard drive (if you calculate $/gig) stupid?

      It's not stupid. It's new tech, and prices will fall very soon when the market grows. It'll be $5 or $10 a disk next summer when the drives go mainstream, and even less after that.

      Anyway, the first round of expensive Blu-Ray disks aren't for the general public to use for data storage. They'll be used primarily by those who need to (surprise) master Blu Ray disks. Primarily HD content providers-- game developers. filmmakers. and of course the porn industry who are always the first to embrace and support new mediums.

    11. Re:wow... what a bargain by DrSkwid · · Score: 1

      Hi, could you pop your HD in the post over to me here in Europe, thanks.

      --
      There are places where the networks are not touching,and there are places where they are-Boeing's Lori Gunter
    12. Re:wow... what a bargain by fred911 · · Score: 1

      as smart as rewritable media costing less then -r media.

      --
      09 F9 11 02 9D 74 E3 5B - D8 41 56 C5 63 56 88 C0 45 5F E1 04 22 CA 29 C4 93 3F 95 05 2B 79 2A B2
    13. Re:wow... what a bargain by dattaway · · Score: 1

      DVD's are cool, but Who is really going to take time to burn a stack? What if one gets scratched? I have a stack that is now useless, because it was contaminated by dust after the cat brushed by it. Something about polycarbonate and static electricity.

      Nobody shuts off their computer to plug in a set of drives when we have USB hubs. USB rules for backups these days. SATA is for freaks.

      Harddrives don't work nicely with the TV? You mean those machines with three particle accelerators?

    14. Re:wow... what a bargain by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Niche... It's a NICHE market..

      Come on, geeks, get a spell checker or something!

    15. Re:wow... what a bargain by Tim+C · · Score: 1

      Yeah, my bad - I divided when I should've multiplied. Guess I really hadn't had enough coffee after all...

    16. Re:wow... what a bargain by mlush · · Score: 1
      Is is just me that thinks selling media for 2x the cost of a hard drive (if you calculate $/gig) stupid?

      You keep valuable data on a single hard disk drive? Blueray drives are more comparable with tape drives when your looking at ~$1000 for a 50Gb native capacity drive and $35 per tape. Granted they don't yet have the proven reliability and will never be as solid as a tape backup. However they have the potential to become much much cheaper bringing them into the range of domestic backup solutions. I normally burn two DVD backups(1) and post one to my parents Blu-ray means I have to burn five times fewer disks

      (1) and test the local copy every six months

    17. Re:wow... what a bargain by dark_requiem · · Score: 4, Insightful

      You have to remember that when any new technology comes out, it is ridiculously expensive. Only when it starts to see reasonably widespread adoption will the costs be reduced to an affordable level. Prior to that, the market is too small to make a profit at what most of us consider "reasonable" prices. Early adopters pay a high price for having the latest and greatest, the rest of us wait to see which standard become dominant, then wait for prices to fall. If either HD-DVD or Blue Ray are recieved well by consumers, prices for that particular format will begin to drop to resonable levels as manufacturers increase their output, and will eventually (within a few years) be comparable with current DVD+/-R prices.

    18. Re:wow... what a bargain by LilGuy · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Have you never lost data on those dvds? We used to back up photo projects and the like on CDs a few years ago, and the cds only seemed to last about 2 or 3 years before they made the cd drive shit itself and wet the bed all at once. On the other hand, only once in my life have I had a hard drive eat shit on me. That was most likely due to being in my dorm where there was lots of beer, people, rowdyness going on...

      --

      You're nothing; like me.
    19. Re:wow... what a bargain by Hao+Wu · · Score: 2, Insightful

      What scares me is the thought of a $48 or $60 coaster, if I dare to get a speck of dust on it before burning (... or whatever causes most failures).

      --
      I suggest you read Slashdot
    20. Re:wow... what a bargain by DrSkwid · · Score: 2, Informative

      Low budget film-makers use DV these days, mini-DV tapes are $5 and you get around 12Gb of DV on one (about an hour in SP mode, 90 mins in LP).

      IEEE1394 is the biggest boon to cinema since the video camcorder.

      --
      There are places where the networks are not touching,and there are places where they are-Boeing's Lori Gunter
    21. Re:wow... what a bargain by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I won't send my hard drive to you, I kind of need it, but you can google for online shops that will mail you hard drives after you send them suitable payment.

    22. Re:wow... what a bargain by Hackeron · · Score: 4, Interesting

      You what?

      I have a Coolermaster stacker with 12x500GB drives on raid6 - thats 5TB of storage with 2 redundant drives siting under a 36" LCD in a cabinet - (you know, so its inaudiable).

      Sure the drives alone eat around 200W of electricity, but I have another raid1 array of 2 x 2.5" drives I have the OS and basic storage on, the raid5 spins up only when I want to watch stored content (since the whole family uses it, its something like 5 hours a day, but its not showing on the electricity bill).

      Now the juicy part, the system is used for:
      1) Phone, we have a normal analog line plugged into the PC and a voip contract, if we phone out, it goes over the internet saving a ton of money, incoming calls go through the PC so if no one is there, voicemail is emailed out or a fallback number is used like a work number that is forwarded to through voip (using asterisk@home, very easy setup).
      2) Watching/recording sattelite TV, a simple DVB card plugged into a dish - didnt bother getting decoder cards or subscribing to Sky and what not as >1000 channels is really enough ;)
      3) Surfing the web
      4) Playing games on/offline (kick ass for FPS)
      5) Listening to music with visualization
      6) etc, etc, etc.

      The remote is a cheap ATI one that works with Linux (using ubuntu dapper with XGL, looks stunning) and I have a media keyboard/mouse in the coctail table for FPS and what not.

      I had to build it myself of course and set it all up, but it only took a day's worth and it was damn well worth it! - Any hardware problems I am emailed about instantly, there is a redundant PSU, redundant drives. Only had it for a month so cant speak of reliability, but I cant see it being any less reliabe than just a DVD player while providing so much more.

      TVs are so obselete :)

    23. Re:wow... what a bargain by Illbay · · Score: 1
      I dunno.

      Back a few years ago, Iomega was doing that regularly with their Zip disks.

      --
      Any technology distinguishable from magic is insufficiently advanced.
    24. Re:wow... what a bargain by newevilmind · · Score: 1

      Every one is so caught up in this Blu-Ray v. HD-DVD thing. It's just like SA-CD and DVD-A. It's technologically an improvement, but no one cares. the future of content is downloads, and streams. convenience trumps high res. people would rather watch a crappy copy of a movie on their iPod than a high res. copy at home.

    25. Re:wow... what a bargain by pintomp3 · · Score: 1

      is it just me or does new technology take a while to get cheaper?

    26. Re:wow... what a bargain by rolfwind · · Score: 1

      I used to burn multiple copies of DVDs to prevent data loss, but since I adopted TDK Scratchproof DVDs - never had a problem.

      http://froogle.google.com/froogle?q=scratchproof+d vd&btnG=Search

      They cost more, but then I have to burn less copies and I never had scratches on these DVDs that prevented the drive from reading them - actually, the discs still look pristine while similiar handling on normal DVDs/CDs look all scratched up.

      Now, if only movies/musicCDs incorporated this coating....

    27. Re:wow... what a bargain by pintomp3 · · Score: 1

      i thought blueray was going to have some hard coating developed by tdk to make them much more scratch resistant.

    28. Re:wow... what a bargain by SirDaShadow · · Score: 2, Funny

      Yeah, my bad - I divided when I should've multiplied. Guess I really hadn't had enough coffee after all...

      Here...have a scratched Blu-Ray disc to hold the coffee on the table...

    29. Re:wow... what a bargain by danielk1982 · · Score: 1

      For now. Soon you'll get a stack of those 50GB Blu-rays for $20.

    30. Re:wow... what a bargain by che.kai-jei · · Score: 0

      impressive.

      i am interested what satellite do you watch? my parents have like hotbird [on Ku band?] and it all sucks but does their minority language programming.
      me i am more interested in freeview but i havent got the cash for tv licence let alone to start doing mythtv!
      so ill eventually ge taround to it when i leave uni!
      kudos on the sweet setup.

      ps lcd monitors capable of 1920* 1200 would you say that is hd ready?

    31. Re:wow... what a bargain by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That is an uber-geek setup. May I suggest that you should post notes of your setup in your Slashdot journal or somewhere? It would be very handy for others. Thanks!

    32. Re:wow... what a bargain by ruiner13 · · Score: 1
      Sony will start selling 25GB BD-RE and BD-R discs in April for $20 and $25 respectively and 50GB capacity versions of the same discs later in the year for $48 and $60 respectively.

      I think the bigger question is (at least according to the article snippit here) why are the write-once versions more expensive than the rewritable ones? That does not make any sense whatsoever. CD-RWs are more expensive than CD-Rs, and DVD-RWs are more expensive than DVD-Rs. That has to be a mistake by submitter, no?

      --

      today is spelling optional day.

    33. Re:wow... what a bargain by Pollardito · · Score: 1

      *starts humming the tune Meet George Jetson*

    34. Re:wow... what a bargain by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      yes, I'll second that request for a journal entry, blog, etc. tia
       
      and if you could, submit it to slashdot as a how-to.

    35. Re:wow... what a bargain by LordVader717 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      You might have a few viable arguments there, but you seem to be greatly overestimating the capacity of Blu-Ray. Assuming you use the 50 gig versions, you have five times the space of a dual-layer DVD for how many times the price exactly?

      Films are now commonly stored on hard drives anyway. Not really an advantage to switch to blu-ray.

      For me, the next generation of DVDs is just to small a jump for me to jump the band wagon.
      The leap from floppy's to CDs was huge and from CDs to DVDs large. But the only reason I could think of for supporting Blu-Ray would be because of high-definition movies, and the only reason for that is that studios don't want to offer DIVX compression on regular DVDs.

      The talk about holographic versatile discs (Storage of hundreds of Gigabytes) has got me more interested than the imminent release of BVD/HDDVD.

      Without significant advantages, I would say that the better medium would be the one that maintains the reliability and compatability of existing technology while offering an advancement at a cheap price. At the moment that seems to be HDDVD.

    36. Re:wow... what a bargain by colmore · · Score: 1

      There's a real quality scale on writable CDs (I haven't messed with DVD-R much at all, but I would guess it's similar) for more money you can get archive quality disks that will last 10 years or so if handled well.

      Burn checksums to disk and write on a folder "copy info on 8/12" (for instance, i'd say whenever you're at about 75% of the life of the media)

      Obviously if durability of your data is important, you're going to want some sort of redundant magnetic tape system... those will last you decades. If you're working in sound or video, I'd STRONGLY advocate doing a final transfer of anything digital onto analogue. It's worth the money to do a 200 unit pressing of a finished album onto vinyl, and then keep a couple of dozen of those in a couple of safe, dry, places. It's conceivable that in 500 years someone will find a vinyl (or better yet, bakelite or some other harder, "old" plastic, perhapse even the metal die used for pressing) copy of your work, but any digital format will be long since degraded, and even if not, will be in a then meaningless format.

      Film is trickier, but if you have a few 16 or 32 mm (no current digital imaging really requires 32mm for archiving) prints, 150 years from now, a careful archivist could probably piece together an original reel from several slightly degraded copies. Storage here is even more important.

      I don't know much about high-end printing of digital photographs. Is there a way to get a traditional-media negative printed from a digital image? I don't trust the gussied up inkjets that are used for "photo quality" printing to stick around and be hung in a museum 150 years from now, the way mid-19th century photographs last.

      It's become so easy to store data that we don't pay enough attention to making sure that data will outlive us. We could be in the middle of a new dark age as far as future historians are concerned, and not even know it.

      --
      In Capitalist America, bank robs you!
    37. Re:wow... what a bargain by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Guess I really hadn't had enough coffee...
      You misspelled mathematics education.
    38. Re:wow... what a bargain by psymastr · · Score: 1

      people would rather watch a crappy copy of a movie on their iPod than a high res. copy at home.

      Are you high?

      --
      Improve at backgammon rapidly through addictive quickfire position quizzes: www.bgtrain.com
    39. Re:wow... what a bargain by WuphonsReach · · Score: 1

      Have you never lost data on those dvds?

      Two words - "recovery blocks".

      If you're creating archival disks, always spend the time to create parity data on the disks using QuickPar. Then, burn 2 copies and store them in two widely separated physical locations. (There are trickier methods, but that's the basic one.)

      I've recovered data from DVDs that have faded at the outer edges, simply because we took the time to put parity data on them.

      --
      Wolde you bothe eate your cake, and have your cake?
    40. Re:wow... what a bargain by HTH+NE1 · · Score: 1

      And now that hard disks dropped to about $0.20 on the gig

      Occasionally they can be found at $0.10 per GB. That's the lowest I've seen (after rebates and a coupon). I'm finding it easier to talk about the price in the reciprocal: 10 GB per dollar.

      Getting a HD player to read from them though is another matter. The DRM will probably prevent you from just swapping the drive with a hard drive.

      --
      Oh, say does that Star-Spangled Banner entwine / The myrtle of Venus with Bacchus's vine?
    41. Re:wow... what a bargain by che.kai-jei · · Score: 0

      well they can print digital images onto photgraphic paper using lasers quite cheap and easy available from good labs.

      however

      all teh cgi heavy movies which are "mastered" and digitally cut anyway. are "printed" or copied onto film in this way anyway but it costs huhndreds of thousands [ i cheked years ago] for a whole movie i dount teh costs scales down.

  2. RW cheaper than RO? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting
    >Sony will start selling 25GB BD-RE and BD-R discs in April for $20 and $25 respectively

    WTF?

    1. Re:RW cheaper than RO? by Rich+Klein · · Score: 1

      My thoughts exactly! With that pricing scheme, why would anybody buy the write-once discs? And if no one is going to buy them, Sony is wasting money by making them.

      --
      -Rich
  3. DVD vs. BlueRay by cskrat · · Score: 5, Insightful

    4.7 GB for $0.30 or 25 GB for $20

    Sounds alot like the price that DVD(+-)R media was introduced at. Part of me is cringing from sticer shock but realistically I know that in a few years they'll be in the sub $1.00 range when other manufacturers figure out how to make them.

    --
    My God! It's full of eval()'s.
    1. Re:DVD vs. BlueRay by BuR4N · · Score: 1

      "Part of me is cringing from sticer shock but realistically I know that in a few years they'll be in the sub $1.00 range when other manufacturers figure out how to make them"

      I want to think the same thing, that the media will eventually drop to the same price tag. But I think that the climate is a bit different now, with the whole circus around filesharing etc.

      The creepy thing is (if I'm not missinformd) is that the big movie/record companies is involved in these new format in a whole new way then the previous formats (CD,DVD).

      I dont know, but I got a hunch that they are going try to keep the prices for raw media up. It will of course fail since the sales wont be the same, but I'm pretty sure that they will try.

      --
      http://www.intellipool.se/ - Intellipool Network Monitor
    2. Re:DVD vs. BlueRay by tute666 · · Score: 1

      Right....
      Like they really sorted out Dual layer DVDR manufacturing process.
      Lets get real, for a couple of long years bluray isn't going to be cheap enough.

    3. Re:DVD vs. BlueRay by fatduck · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      Who is the target audience for BluRay DVDs? Hard drives are cheaper, portable, and easy to write to. They don't get scratched, smeared, melted, or destroyed. So you can put 12 movies on a BluRay and give it to your friend instead of just 1? I just can't see myself buying another expensive piece of hardware when the money could be better spent on another hard drive.

      --
      Making you think you're crazy is a billion dollar industry.
    4. Re:DVD vs. BlueRay by donaldm · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Actually we should not just compare DVD vs Blu-Ray (or HD DVD) on price just yet. What we have here is a capacity comparison. Lets start with the following:

      Floppy disk (1.2MB) - yes you can get larger but they are now pretty much obsolete. However they were good for their day. Lets not go into 5.25 inch, 8 inch or even (gasp) 12 inch floppies .

      CD (650 - 800MB) - still useful for Music, install software and some backups. Look like hanging around for a long time. I doubt we will see a Music DVD put out by the Music Industry anytime soon.

      DVD (4.7GB) - at the moment this media is very cheap (sometimes cheaper than a CD). Dual density is a lot more expensive though. Still 4.7GB is a very useful size (PC and small size backups including movies) although certain companies would like to see this killed off, I personally this won't happen for some time, since there are a lot of DVD/Hard-Disk player/recorders on the market which have really started to kill off VHS recorders. You could probably start a new Slashdot article just on this alone.

      HD-DVD (15GB) - this is single layer proposed for HDTV.

      Blu-Ray (25GB) - this is single layer proposed for HDTV.

      For HDTV the industry is proposing 15GB to 30GB and this is were the above two fit in. You won't be able to put a HDTV show on standard DVD without some loss (normally considerable) and this is what the Entertainment Industry wants. In addition what is also wanted by the Industry is DRM and the best one will have a definite edge, although the PS3 will be will be the Trojan Horse that puts BluRay in the living room.

      Holographic DVD (1.6TB) - http://www.betanews.com/article/Holographic_DVD_to _Hold_16_Terabytes/1133197797 The specs are incredible however I cannot see HDTV being put on this. Where this will shine is in Small to Enterprise backup solutions and this is exactly what it is aiming at. Basically this puts the backup tape industry on notice since it now becomes very possible to have close to "near-line" recovery. Those people who are responsible for serious backups should welcome this.

      Please don't come back at me suggesting disks to actually do backups. All I can say to that is try to backup 100TB and put that off-site cheaply, while taking into account possible disaster and recovery scenarios.

      Comparing DVD to any of the above is rather silly and as far as costs go, the new media will come down eventually. Even today if you compare RW DVD to Write once DVD you are looking at approx 10 to 1 in cost so if the new disks are say $15 to $20 each for writable only it does not take much effort to imagine what the price of the RW ones would initially be.

      --
      There ain't no such thing as proprietary standards only proprietary formats. Standards are by definition open.
    5. Re:DVD vs. BlueRay by gabebear · · Score: 1

      "Hard drives are cheaper, portable, and easy to write to. They don't get scratched, smeared, melted, or destroyed."

      CDs are always going to be cheaper to mail than HDs, and can be MUCH more resiliant depending on what you are doing with your backups(i.e. mailing them). First gen hardware only finds a few niches because it is always very expensive, but the price generally comes down pretty rapidly so that the main stream can start adopting it. That's the way it worked with CDs, CD-Rs, DVDs, and DVD-Rs.

    6. Re:DVD vs. BlueRay by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "CD (650 - 800MB) - still useful for Music, install software and some backups. Look like hanging around for a long time. I doubt we will see a Music DVD put out by the Music Industry anytime soon."

      Good news! Music DVD's are already here:

      http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/search-handle-ur l/103-2594229-9324665?url=index%3Dmusic&search-typ e=quick-search&field-keywords=dvd-a

  4. Why are rewritables cheaper than writeonceables? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Anyone know?

  5. Too expensive by coffeechica · · Score: 0

    As long as the price stays like it is, I don't see much chance for this becoming popular at all. Why get a relatively easily destroyed or damaged storage medium when you can just as well back up on a hard disk for much less money?

    Get the price down, then we can talk. But that's going to take two or three years, and who knows what flash storage size is possible by that time.

  6. So how's this going to work? by DRM_is_Stupid · · Score: 1

    If the new generation of DVDs are designed to block copying, is the (HD/Blu-ray) DVD drive going to be directly connected to the video card, surpassing the CPU?

    1. Re:So how's this going to work? by zootm · · Score: 2, Informative

      Information on the techniques used is available on Wikipedia. In short, the content is encrypted when it passes through every part of the system, including the display device itself. Sony said they wouldn't be using the option on this media for the time being though.

      That's not to say that the encryption is unbreakable, but certainly ripping is to be orders of magnitude more difficult than with DVD. Not impossible, of course.

    2. Re:So how's this going to work? by ThePengwin · · Score: 1

      *Notices that many countless hours of bitching about piracy was soo wasted*

      So they make soo many new HDTV monitors and TV's obsolete because they want them to be more secure, and then they release it to computer? Cmon you have to see how stupid these Anti piracy people are...

    3. Re:So how's this going to work? by cnettel · · Score: 2, Informative

      The not-so-obvious thing here is if the player itself signs data making it different each time it's read. The irony of DVD was that it was a piece of cake (more or less) to rip a copy and burn it on another DVD, it was just transcoding or playing the DVD with an unauthorized player that could be tricky.

    4. Re:So how's this going to work? by zootm · · Score: 1

      Thanks for that clarification, I had been wondering how that part worked.

    5. Re:So how's this going to work? by Psykus · · Score: 1

      That sounds a lot like how, in older systems, you'd have to plug a cable from your CD-ROM drive to the sound card in order to play audio CDs

  7. And the EULA by ChrisMroz · · Score: 1

    ...all data written on Sony BD-RE and BD-R disks will transfer ownership to Sony. You must pay a monthly subscription fee to retain this data. All BD-R and BD-RE will be produced by sony, or a sony authorized distributor. No 3rd party will be allowed to create blank media for uses with any Sony(TM) Blu-Ray(TM) Drive(TM) without Sony's written consent, and giving up power of attorney to Sony to reflect the prices of recordable media. On a good note, Drives will cost $0.50 each. ^^^^^^^Sarcasm.... but I have a sad feeling that its not far off.

    1. Re:And the EULA by Fanboy+Troy · · Score: 1

      Well, I'm guessig Sony solely holds the patent for the ble-ray, so they do have a hand in its price. The EULA part may be a bit far-fetched, but I'm sure DRM will insure enough lock-in to make up for that problem.

    2. Re:And the EULA by ChildeRoland · · Score: 1

      No 3rd party can produce blank media because of a little thing called a "patent". Perhaps we should just abandon the patent system...

      --
      The mark of a mature person is not creating arbitrary criteria for considering others mature.
  8. HD DVD R cost? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

    I want to see how much HD DVD-Rs cost. They are supposed to be manufactured on a very similar process as DVD-Rs... meaning they have the potential to be cheap. (the key selling point of HD DVD)

  9. If the price fits.... by Whiteox · · Score: 1

    That sounds remarkably expensive.
    I wonder what the new PS3 games are going to cost if the media itself is so expensive, not to mention a HDDVD movie!
    Apart from DRM issues, would anyone be willing to pay that kind of premium? Or is all of this targetted for the corporate market?
    Don't get me wrong, but if I could get my hands on an optical drive that can backup 50 gb of data that was economical ($5/disk would be ok), I would go for it.
    Hmmm... I wonder how many mp3's I can fit onto one of those?

    --
    Don't be apathetic. Procrastinate!
    1. Re:If the price fits.... by dekarguy · · Score: 1

      I doubt pressing BD-ROMs will be as expensive as buying BD-R/RE and burning a game/movie to it. I don't know how much DVD-ROMs launched at, but this is about the price DVD+/-R's and RWs launched at. I am very suprised that burnable media is launching at the same time as the readers. It seems Sony is really confident in thier DRM.

    2. Re:If the price fits.... by Zaatxe · · Score: 1

      Hmmm... I wonder how many mp3's I can fit onto one of those?

      Almost 38 days worth of music in 128kbps MP3 files.

      (Sorry people, I'm a math lover, I couldn't help but doing this math when I spotted the question)

      --
      So say we all
    3. Re:If the price fits.... by dark_requiem · · Score: 1

      Since the PS3's drive will be backward compatible with existing DVD and CD media, I expect the initial batch of PS3 games will be delivered on standard DVDs. Current capacity requirements don't really demand anything more. By the time games do need the capacity of the Blu Ray discs, the standard will either have become reasonably priced, or the PS3 will require the same disc swapping as past systems, and a large part of its usefulness (and price) will have been wasted. Sony is taking quite a gamble by using a format whose standards are so new that their definition and implementation has delayed the launch of their new console so long. We'll have to wait to see if it will pay off, but personally I'm favoring the Blu Ray format based on its larger capacity and the fact that Sony has now announced that it will not downsample analog outputs (at least initially).

    4. Re:If the price fits.... by donaldm · · Score: 1

      As far as the PS3 goes I think (can anyone confirm this) that game manufacturers can still produce their games on DVD and even CD since the PS2 can do this and the PS3 is still backwards compatible. After-all it is rather wasteful, not to mention initially expensive to put a game on a Blu-Ray disk if the total capacity of the game can fit on a standard DVD or even a CD. I think if the game has HDTV data then a Blu-Ray disk will be needed.

      You also have to remember that what we the general public would pay for a Blu-Ray disk is not what a manufacturer would pay since they would get substantial (possibly $1/disk) discounts for volume purchases.

      You could even compare DVD disk prices when the PS2 initially came out (DVD's were about $10 to $20 each for just write once), yet except for a few games on CD (ie. Half Life) most came out on DVD. I think manufacturers (at that time) felt that DVD's were more difficult to copy than CD's, if that was true then the same will be for Blu-Ray until prices come down.

      --
      There ain't no such thing as proprietary standards only proprietary formats. Standards are by definition open.
    5. Re:If the price fits.... by aplusjimages · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I heard all PS3 games will be Blu Ray. Which brings up an interesting question about piracy? Since piracy will be really low for the PS3 does that mean that the cost of games will be cheaper? Because Sony, Xbox, and Nintendo have been claiming games are expensive because of piracy (well at least that's one of the main factors).

      --
      Can I bum a sig?
    6. Re:If the price fits.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    7. Re:If the price fits.... by glitch23 · · Score: 0

      I wonder how many mp3's I can fit onto one of those?

      What aspect of the mp3 are you wanting to fit onto the disc? The id3 tag? Or did you mean how many mp3s can you fit onto one of those? Mp3's is possessive in case you didn't know what an apostrophe does.

      --
      this nation, under God, shall have a new birth of freedom. -- Lincoln, Gettysburg Address
  10. Oh, the name! by Godji · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The drive will be able to write to 25GB and 50GB BD-RE (rewritable) and BD-R (write once) discs. Sony will start selling 25GB BD-RE and BD-R discs in April for $20 and $25 respectively

    Why the hell didn't they call the rewriteable discs BD-RW?! Has anyone heard of the work "consistency"? Now I have to explain to everyone that BD-RE is like CD-RW or DVD-RW, but for Blue Ray. Great work on the customer confusion front!

    1. Re:Oh, the name! by scuba0 · · Score: 1

      Well.. That's about Sony in a nutshell, "consumers will have to correct after us", not thinking about all those other companies out there.

    2. Re:Oh, the name! by Zaatxe · · Score: 1

      Talking about this, why isn't CD-R called CD-W instead? Something like "CD-Writable", since RW stands for "re-writable".

      By the way, here in Spain if you go to a office supply store and ask for a "CD grabable" ("recordable CD" in English), you will get a CD-RW. If you want a CD-R, you should ask just a "CD". Weird, huh?

      --
      So say we all
    3. Re:Oh, the name! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Those were my original thoughts exactly. But frankly I like the sound of "RE" a lot more than "RW". Repeat after me: "Bee Dee Ree" That's a lot shorter than "Bee Dee Arr Duh Bull You" And on a completely unrelated note: I'm a late adopter so I still have to buy my first DVD writer. I'm still deciding whether it'll be NEC, LG, Benq or Lite-On.

    4. Re:Oh, the name! by Godji · · Score: 1

      But frankly I like the sound of "RE" a lot more than "RW". Repeat after me: "Bee Dee Ree" That's a lot shorter than "Bee Dee Arr Duh Bull You" No, that is a lot shorter than "Bee Dee Aarrrrgghhh Dubya" ;)

    5. Re:Oh, the name! by DrSkwid · · Score: 1

      Because the W was the wrong nomenclature from the start.

      EPROM
      not
      RWPROM

      Personally I like the E, I knew straight away that it was erasable.

      Though I am presuming that Blu-Ray is E and not RW. The two are not the same.

      --
      There are places where the networks are not touching,and there are places where they are-Boeing's Lori Gunter
    6. Re:Oh, the name! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Meet Sue Be She, Sue Zoo Key Be Aime Double You One Two Three!

  11. Blu-Ray drivers for Linux by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "Blu-Ray Coming Soon to PCs" does it mean can be used under Linux?

    I'm currently evaluating a Multimedia Linux named Tomahawk Desktop. It seems writing DVDs under Linux is seamless and second to none.

    According to this previous post, Sony PlayStaion3 comes with Linux and Blu-Ray drives. Does this means Blu-Ray drives already can be used under Linux? Or does Linux require drivers for Blu-Ray?

  12. Re:Why are rewritables cheaper than writeonceables by AwaxSlashdot · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Different technology so different material and production process so different prices (production cost is not the only parameter to determine sell price: offer/demand/strategy also influence the price).
    The question then becomes: why buy writeonce while writemulitple is cheaper ? Well, sometimes people might want that the media won't be rewritten onto, I think.

    AWX

    --
    Sig (appended to the end of comments you post, 120 chars)
  13. Porn? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0



    Just how many movies|video will we be able to cram on these things?

    I can just see someone ordering one of these discs from NetFlix.

    The question is: how long will it take someone watching one of those to collapse from exhaustion.


    (sorry, but someone had to bring up the obvious topic)

  14. Great For Backups by Soloact · · Score: 1

    With the very large capacity hard drives out there, this, although it looks expensive, just might be the lesser expensive way to back up one's entire system, or entire hard drives. My comparison being the costs of these drives and media versus the costs of tape drives and media for massive backups. Besides, the prices will drop drastically on these, rapidly, just as they did with CD and DVD burners and media.

    1. Re:Great For Backups by lelkes · · Score: 1

      I don't think that it is such a good idea to back up important data to CD/DVD/Blu-Ray. HDDs are much more reliable imho.

    2. Re:Great For Backups by Soloact · · Score: 1

      Hard drives may be better because of the bargain. But take into account the energy spent on keeping the drives spinning. Optical storage might be prone to damage, but backups can be checked periodically, and copied and reburned, if one finds damage. If an hard drive goes, the data is much harder to recover. I suppose one would have to take all of the pros and cons of each type of backup, and utilize the best and most economical hardware and media for their individual purposes.

    3. Re:Great For Backups by Proudrooster · · Score: 1

      costs of tape

      People are still using tape for backups? Tape is evil. Get yourself a nice pile of hotswapabble drive cages and instead of buying tapes, buy disks. 200GB disks are cheaper (and faster) than 200GB tapes. Then get a nice padded box and send the backup disks offsite just like you would tapes.

      I am waiting for someone to build a diskjukebox that has a robotic arm that moves disks into hotswap cages.

    4. Re:Great For Backups by pla · · Score: 2, Interesting

      With the very large capacity hard drives out there, this, although it looks expensive, just might be the lesser expensive way to back up one's entire system, or entire hard drives.

      Looks expensive? Heh... I place a pretty high value on my time and my sanity. And really, a full live backup system doesn't cost all that much, nevermind just using an external USB HDD!

      About a year ago I started on a quest to back up my home fileserver to DVD, a few discs per week. I can deal with my or my SO's PC dying completely, but if my poor fileserver went down... Well, the mere thought scares me to the point that I started leaving it turned off and unplugged most of the time, not the most useful state (not to mention that a system has the best chance of dying on startup, but an unplugged system won't die in a thunderstorm).

      After a couple months, I realized I would never finish that project, since it would take well over a hundred DVDs, and a small subset of that changed often enough by itself to take most of a DVD once a week (hey, I admit it, you could describe me as a digital packrat - Anything that touches my PC, I keep there. Well organized, mind you, but still, it takes up (cheap) space).

      So, I now have a live fileserver and a backup fileserver. I rsync them once per week, takes about 5 minutes over GigE (though almost a full day for the initial backup), then take the backup machine offline. This gives me the best of both worlds... Something like a nearby lightning strike might hurt the live machine, but the backup machine would survive. A multi-drive failure on the backup machine would suck, but I'd still have the live machine to re-backup from.


      I went for decent quality hardware, but could have pulled off the entire project for under $600 (I just now configured such a complete system (headless) at NewEgg - 1.1TB, Sempron64, 512MB - for $567.87). I blew closer to a grand on my own new machine, but have 1.2TB, a gig of fast RAM, same CPU (hey, like a fileserver needs a lot of horsepower?), SeaSonic PS, and a Lian-Li case (no, I don't care how it looks - I care that it had seven (or more - two 3-bay ThermalTake iCages plus an optical drive) external 5.25" bays in a mid-tower form, and only the PC3077 met that condition - and yes, it does have 7 bays - The entire front control panel thing slides out and you can throw it away if you want, no Dremel-use required). And it draws only 67W (about half what the old one ate), runs nearly silent and within a few degrees of ambient (4 120MM fans in it!).


      As the only wish-list item remaining (other than 1TB+ optical writeable discs, of course, which would make all of this discussion irrelevant), I would like to find a way to grow a RAID-5 array. I use striped LVM2 on the live machine, which gives great performance and I can grow the FS just by adding another drive, but on the backup machine, I really want single-drive failure tolerance - Which I have, but if I want to add more capacity, I need to completely rebuild the array and perform a slow complete backup (which would also leave me uncomfortably lacking a backup for a couple of days).

    5. Re:Great For Backups by gwait · · Score: 1

      As long as the recorded disks last longer than a CD-ROM (which has an average lifespan of 2 years - making it useless as a long term storage option).
      And here in Canada, the music piracy fines for that many gig will likely drive the price of blanks thru the roof! Yes, at the moment the "you're guilty without a trial, so pay a fine" tax is gone, but they're working on bringing it back, and expected to more than double the costs of a blank CD-ROM. Just hope they don't try to tax hard disks!

      --
      Bavarian Purity Law of Rice Krispie Squares: Rice Krispies, Marshmallows, Butter, Vanilla.
    6. Re:Great For Backups by lelkes · · Score: 1

      Well, I suppose if the data is really important, one should not rely on only one medium.

      I do not have very important documents, but the documents which I don't want to lose are 1. stored on my HDD of course, 2. backed up to multiple CDs and DVDs, 3. stored on my friend's server (in which RAID-5 is used).

      Unfortunately most of the computer users don't do regular backups, and when their HDD dies or they get a virus or what you have, then their work is lost. Users should simply care more about their documents.

  15. Re:Why are rewritables cheaper than writeonceables by astro-g · · Score: 1

    What for?
    I can garuntee the disk will never be full,
    And I can garuntee people wont remember to finalise the disk.
    So someone who buys a write once disk, so it cant be changed is going to be in for a surprise when someone adds a new session to the end of the disk, replacing thier unchangeable files with new versions.

  16. About HD and BD by signore+pablo · · Score: 3, Informative

    For those that don't know much about them (i didn't)
    STORAGE:
    HD- HD DVD supports 15 gb for one layer and 30 gb for dual layer. A triple layer disc in development by Toshiba will hold 45 gb.
    BD - Blu-Ray discs as said in the summary hold 25 gb for one layer and 50 for two. Also in development for BD is 100 gb 4 layer and 200 gb 8 layer discs. Both BD and HD are backwards compatible with the current DVD specification (although for BD it is apparently not compulsory for manufacturers to include it).
    COPY PROTECTION:
    HD - HD's will employ copy restriction developed by AACS LA. Audio Watermark Technology is also being used. All Hd dvd players will include a sensor that listens for audible watermarks placed in the soundtracks of movies. (read more at the wikipedia site).
    BD - Blu-ray has "experimental digital rights management that allows for dynamically changing encryption schemes". This prevents a single crack from breaking the whole protection scheme like what happened with DeCSS and DVDs. Also included is digital watermarking technology. (more at wikipedia
    Interesting note about Blue Ray discs, original discs made with blue ray technology were very susceptible to scratches and had to be enclosed in plastic caddies for protection. TDK came up for a solution to this in January 2004 that gave Blue ray discs "unprecedented scratch resistance." HD DVD discs use the same coating found on cds and dvds. For my money, it seems like BD is the better technology. We'll see how the copy protection pans out.
    All information taken from wikipedia.org
    LINKS
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Blu-ray_Disc"
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/HD-DVD"

    1. Re:About HD and BD by benwaggoner · · Score: 1

      A couple of points:

      The triple-layer HD DVD isn't part of the movie spec, so we won't see it used for prerecorded titles.

      The >2 layer BD discs are also not part of the movie spec, so won't be used for those either. Also, the two-layer BD format isn't yet practical for mass manufacture. BD launch titles will be single-layer 25 GB discs. Dual-layer HD DVD is working fine, and will exist in launch titles.

  17. ultimate bargain by marcuz · · Score: 1

    for that much money, are you crazy?! i'll buy a new harddrive instead of wasting my money on the first generation of these discs which are for sure easily scratched and would last readable for just a couple of years... - or should i say months?

  18. I learned... by MaestroSartori · · Score: 1

    ...from last time to wait until a combo drive is released which does both. Well, that or wait until one format is a clear winner. My last PC came originally with a DVD+R(W) drive, and at that time nowhere seemed to sell +R disks except online, and they were about twice the price of -R disks even there. So, of course, I kept on using CDR instead until the price fell enough for me to get a +-R drive, and by then the disk price had equalised so it didn't really matter what I bought any more. At least, not to me.

    This whole mess will probably sort itself out within a year or two. And since I don't have an HDTV or plan to buy one any time soon, I don't really care just now! :)

  19. Not anywhere near the success of "old" DVD... by trims · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Honestly, about the only things the new generation of DVD (HD-DVD and Blue-Ray) is going to be a success for is Hi-Def movies. At the size they are, there isn't going to be any demand for them to use on the PC as writable disks, unlike CD-R/W and DVD-R/W. People currently use CDs and old DVDs to do primarily three things: Transfer/backup important data, Audio (whether Orange-book audio or MP3/WMA/AAC), and home-video. All three of these things fit nicely into the current DVD/CD sizes, and even when Camcorders start using HiDef, people generally don't send around multiple hours of Video. At most, it's 1-2 hours of little bobby's Soccer game/birthday party. Which still fits on a DVD via MPEG4 (even in HiDef).

    The new DVDs aren't big enough to make an impact on the backup market (where you need 100s of GB per disk to even be considered), and they are (and will remain) far more costly than ordinary CD/DVD-RW media. They have some attractiveness for PC and console gaming, but even there, without a huge amount of in-game video, current DVD capacity will suffice for years for the vast majority of games.

    DRM and other factors will hurt uptake even more. Honestly, I figure it's going to take at least 20 years before the new DVD format have anywhere near the penetration that DVDs and VCRs do now. And that takes into account having the new DVD formats on consoles. People just aren't going to use them much.

    The big media companies rushed this tech to market - there is no real demand for their functionality right now, and won't be for at least 5 years, minimum. From the consumer standpoint, this is a solution in search of a problem. I figure there will be a generation skip here - the replacement for HD-DVD/Blu-Ray should show up around 2020, and consumers are smart enought to see it, so I'm predicting that the new DVD formats will peak at about 10% of the current DVD market, if that.

    -Erik

    --
    There are always four sides to every story: your side, their side, the truth, and what really happened.
    1. Re:Not anywhere near the success of "old" DVD... by bwalling · · Score: 1

      People currently use CDs and old DVDs to do primarily three things: Transfer/backup important data, Audio (whether Orange-book audio or MP3/WMA/AAC), and home-video. All three of these things fit nicely into the current DVD/CD sizes

      No, they don't fit nicely. I have 8GB of photos (and my oldest kid is not yet 3), 12GB of MP3/AAC, and I haven't even started getting the video off the camcorder. Backing up 20GB onto DVD sucks. I currently do it to another HD and at less frequent intervals to another computer. A 50GB DVD wouldn't be so bad, provided they can get that price down to $.50 per blank.

    2. Re:Not anywhere near the success of "old" DVD... by Eivind · · Score: 2, Insightful
      I disagree with the size-comment: People could and would send their entire mp3 or divx-collection around on a single disc if it would fit. 10GB on a DVD is plenty for a movie, but too small for a movie-collection.

      But the benefit over DVD is quite small. going from CDROM to DVD gives you 10 times as much storage. Going from DVD to 1.st gen blu-ray gives you not even a factor of 3 -- and the price gets multiplied by like 50. Not worth it.

      As someone said: at these prices, why buy 3 50GB blu-ray writables for $180 (and total capacity 150GB) sometime in the future when you even *today* can get a external-usb harddrive with 3 times the capacity, faster read/write, better compatibility, and lower defect-rate for less.

      OK, so the bluray-discs are going to cost less air-freigth, that's about the only benefit I see.

      But the intro-prices won't hold long anyway, I'm sure the $50/disc will fall, like all other optical media before it, by an order of magnitude in a year or two, and by two orders of magnitude as the format matures.

    3. Re:Not anywhere near the success of "old" DVD... by Jesus_666 · · Score: 4, Funny

      > The new DVDs aren't big enough to make an impact on the backup market (where
      > you need 100s of GB per disk to even be considered), and they are (and will
      > remain) far more costly than ordinary CD/DVD-RW media. They have some
      > attractiveness for PC and console gaming, but even there, without a huge
      > amount of in-game video, current DVD capacity will suffice for years for the
      > vast majority of games.

      Just wait until the new .NET Generation Secure Gaming Framework comes out! All executables will be stored as Secure Managed Code, which means that the executable comes with 12 MiB of executable code, 25 MiB of security certificates and 120 MiB of Trusted Computing interface code. All videos will be stored via a proprietary XML extension (the .NET Generation Secure Media Framework Professional Edition)...

          <bytestream type="video/mpeg" drm-clsid="{1435:543236:EF32EF:AB543634E:3565363B3 4:432242342:ABAD5}"
                      checksum="14758f1AFD44C09B7992073CCf00B43D">
            <byte drm-clsid="{435:AA564:CC922329:32323244AB34:A54654 B3343E32:EEFEEF3434:AB3A}">
              0x15
            </byte>
            <byte drm-clsid="{ABC123:F00BAA:CAFEBABE:DEADBEEF:100010 01001110:123456ABC:ABBA}">
              0x15
            </byte>
          ...

      ...which will ensure that no one in their right mind would ever want to copy that three-second cutscene. Not if it's 500 MiB big.

      --
      USE HOT GRITS WITH STATUE OF NATALIE PORTMAN (NAKED AND PETRIFIED)
    4. Re:Not anywhere near the success of "old" DVD... by evilviper · · Score: 1
      going from CDROM to DVD gives you 10 times as much storage.

      Not even close. CD to DVD-5 gave an improvement of just over 6x. DVD-5 to DVD-9 gave less than a 2x improvement.

      Going from DVD to 1.st gen blu-ray gives you not even a factor of 3

      That's dual-layer DVDs to single-layer blu-ray discs. HOWEVER, you can't buy a blu-ray drive that will only burn single-layer discs (unlike the case with DVDs)... The very first one will be entirely capable of burning dual-layer blu-ray discs, so you're really talking about an almost 6x improvement (very much like the transition from CDs to DVD-5s).

      and the price gets multiplied by like 50. Not worth it.

      Prices drop dramatically very quickly. You'd have to be crazy or stupid to buy a new device at full price when it first hits the market.

      OK, so the bluray-discs are going to cost less air-freigth, that's about the only benefit I see.

      How about not being susceptable to G-forces. How about being impervious to electrical and magnetic fields? How about having the data uncoupled from the drive? How about very likely lasting an extremely long time (Blu-ray is based on Sony's amazing M.O. technology).
      --
      Slashdot gets worse every day... Pipedot: News for nerds, without the corporate slant
    5. Re:Not anywhere near the success of "old" DVD... by evilviper · · Score: 1
      All three of these things fit nicely into the current DVD/CD sizes,

      You could have said the same thing when DVDs came around. I mean, VCDs and SVCDs worked just fine for video... Disc space is disc space. People will find many, many uses for it.

      At most, it's 1-2 hours of little bobby's Soccer game/birthday party. Which still fits on a DVD via MPEG4 (even in HiDef).

      No, it only fits on a DVD if you do heavy filtering and denoising, such as WMVHD DVDs, which kill detail, cause compression artifacts, etc. Hell, you could fit 2 hours of HD content on a CD too, it'll just look crappy.

      Besides, to PLAY that MPEG-4 HD DVD, you're going to need a to buy a special player. Guess what, it's going to cost just as much as an HD-DVD player, and have less flexibility and less future upgradability. After all, Blu-ray and HD-DVD player can play HD content encoded in MPEG-2/H.264/WMV9 on a DVD.

      The new DVDs aren't big enough to make an impact on the backup market (where you need 100s of GB per disk to even be considered),

      That's just utter nonsense. Who defined this completely aribitrary value for minimum media sizes for back-ups? You realize you can spread data over multiple discs, don't you?

      and they are (and will remain) far more costly than ordinary CD/DVD-RW media.

      You could have said the same thing about DVD media when it first came out.

      They have some attractiveness for PC and console gaming, but even there, without a huge amount of in-game video, current DVD capacity will suffice for years for the vast majority of games.

      You could have said the same thing about CDs when DVDs were first comming out.

      DRM and other factors will hurt uptake even more. Honestly, I figure it's going to take at least 20 years before the new DVD format have anywhere near the penetration that DVDs and VCRs do now.

      You could have said exactly the same things about DVDs before they came out (and would have been terribly, terribly wrong).

      I figure there will be a generation skip here - the replacement for HD-DVD/Blu-Ray should show up around 2020, and consumers are smart enought to see it,

      That's a pretty brain-dead thing to say. HD-DVDs and Blu-ray discs hold content in the highest resolution that it is possible for HDTVs to display. Since NTSC TVs have been the standard for 75 years now, I don't see any reason to believe that HDTV/ATSC will be upgraded any time soon. I'm sure holographic display is much more than 20 years away, so I don't expect any issues with keeping HD-DVD or Blu-ray for the next 100 years.

      so I'm predicting that the new DVD formats will peak at about 10% of the current DVD market, if that.

      Yes, well, I'm predicting that you'll be terribly, terribly wrong.
      --
      Slashdot gets worse every day... Pipedot: News for nerds, without the corporate slant
    6. Re:Not anywhere near the success of "old" DVD... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I have to agree. I currently work in the Video Retail and Rental industry, and we're just now starting to get customers to totally convert over to regular DVD. A small percentage of our customers don't even have TVs capable of RCA inputs, let alone have HD TVs where a HD-type DVD format would benefit. At most of the stores in our chain, we're still renting out VHS as 5-18% of our rentals. While our market may be slightly different from a large retail chain such as Best Buy, we are primarily renters, so the tech people buy at major retailers has a ripple effect with our rentals. Just trying to explain how to hook up the DVD players to certain customers confuses the Hell out of them, let alone trying to now explain the differences between three different types of DVD formats when VHS still isn't totally phased out. The jump to HD-DVDs was a bit early for the mainstream consumer market.

    7. Re:Not anywhere near the success of "old" DVD... by DrSkwid · · Score: 1

      One hour of mini-DV is 12gb (90 mins in LP mode)

      A disk that holds 1 tape's worth of raw DV is a VERY useful disk to have.

      At the moment, we have to spend ages making DVD movies of DV rushes. Duplicating tapes is much less convenient but pressing "burn now" at the end of an import would be v. useful.

      --
      There are places where the networks are not touching,and there are places where they are-Boeing's Lori Gunter
    8. Re:Not anywhere near the success of "old" DVD... by trifish · · Score: 1

      You are simply wrong in saying that the PC (and/or geek) market won't have any use for it.

      Each good geek keeps the original distribution archives of his favorite software. These are often several GBs large (warez, games). So that when he reinstalls or changes the OS, he can quickly deploy his favorite programs instead of hunting them down all over the internet.

      A 50GB BD-RW will be an ideal storage medium for these packages. It's much thinner than a hard disk and you don't need to load files from it every day.

    9. Re:Not anywhere near the success of "old" DVD... by heinousjay · · Score: 1

      Since NTSC TVs have been the standard for 75 years now, I don't see any reason to believe that HDTV/ATSC will be upgraded any time soon.

      I agree with most of what you said, but I'm not too sure about this one. I don't have anything backing up my feeling aside from intuition, but display technology is advancing rapidly, and there's no reason to assume that there won't be regular resolution upgrade.

      I will make this distinction - the broadcast standard probably won't change for some time. That's a much more expensive proposition. But I think the monitors themselves will probably start increasing in resolution as PCs become more prevalent as living room devices.

      --
      Slashdot - where whining about luck is the new way to make the world you want.
    10. Re:Not anywhere near the success of "old" DVD... by rolfwind · · Score: 1

      Agreed. I figure HVD will have the necessary jump in capacity for people to adopt it on the computer side - as long as it's relatively open. Neither Blu-ray nor HD-DVD is exciting now to be more than a laserdisc of this era - luring the video-philes in who have to have the latest thing with the highest resolution - but for it to succeed on a wider market - it has to appeal to computer users in this day and age. For some reason, I don't see Blu-ray or HD-DVD taking off much in this area.

    11. Re:Not anywhere near the success of "old" DVD... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Oh, the irony of someone from the MIT Media Lab criticizing something else for being a "solution in search of a problem"!

    12. Re:Not anywhere near the success of "old" DVD... by tricorn · · Score: 1

      20 years!? You have NO concept of how fast things change. 20 years ago, a large hard drive was 50MB, you could get 720K on a diskette (800K if you used a Mac), really decked out computers had 4MB of RAM and ran at 10MHz (maybe even 20!). A really good video setup gave you 800x600 with 256 colors, and a 2400 bps dial-up connection was a welcome relief over 300 and 1200 (but getting access to the Internet was not very easy - when NCSA Telnet first came out, it had the SLIP and TCP/IP protocols built in, not part of the OS).

      How long have burnable DVDs been out? How fast did the price drop? How long have burnable CDs been out, and how fast did THOSE drop? Remember ZIP disks? Those ALMOST took over for a short while, then burnable CDs got so cheap that most people turned to that. Any format that might challenge Blu-Ray and HD-DVD would have to be the same form factor, so that combo drives can be built that handle all your old media plus the new. I don't see anything like that coming out in the next 2 years, which is about how long it will take for the media prices and burners to come down to reasonable levels where it no longer makes sense to get just a CD burner or DVD burner with a new computer.

      Another way of looking at it is: How long ago was it that computers first started coming out with CD readers? How many computers are sold now that have only a CD reader? How much did CD recordable media cost when it first came out? How much did burners cost? How long ago was it that computers first started coming out with DVD readers? How many compuers are now sold with DVD burners instead of just readers? How much did DVD recordable media cost just 2 years ago, and how much does it cost now?

      20 years is an eternity these days, in 20 years time I fully expect to have something like a memory stick that stores 500 Terabytes for about $100 (after inflation). And it will be full.

      The new DVDs aren't big enough to make an impact on the backup market (where you need 100s of GB per disk to even be considered)

      That's just silly. Plenty of companies have backup needs of a few hundred MB of data per day, and CDs are just fine for that. Plenty of companies have backup needs of a few GB of data per day, DVDs are just fine for that. With 25-50GB media, once the price drops a bit, companies that have backup needs of a few 10's of GB per day will find that just fine as well.

      When I can back up everything on my parent's hard drive to one disc, I can probably get them to make regular backups more often. Most people are going to be able to fit everything they have on their computer onto one 50GB disc, unless they have lots of video or LOTS of music or photos. Sure, professional photographers, video editors (or people with baby videos) or major music collectors might still want more, but most of that stuff is fairly easy to archive as projects or collections on a disc, unlike the chaos that is the typical hard drive filled with stuff accumulated over 10-20 years which you never quite have time to sort through, but the thought of losing some of it without knowing what it might be fills you with dread. So you want to just back the whole thing up. 4.7GB is not enough for a growing number of people, 50GB is going to be plenty for some time to come.

    13. Re:Not anywhere near the success of "old" DVD... by rob_squared · · Score: 1

      Well, I disagree about writable BR disks not being necessary. 4.7GB (actually around 4.35GB) disks were nice for movies, or half a season of TV shows. But the DL disks were even better, could rip an entire season from my DVDs to to one disk in DivX format and play it on my DivX player. Now, if they come out with a BR divx player, it might be possible to get all seasons of a show on one disk. That right there is worth it to me.

      (Or porn, or both. Just don't mix the two and forget about it.)

      --
      I don't get it.
    14. Re:Not anywhere near the success of "old" DVD... by Eivind · · Score: 1
      I wasn't talking of the hypotetical future, but of *now*. I agree with you that next-generation optical storage may provide value at some point in the future, just that they likely won't with the prices and capacities quoted here.

      I said "going" (as in currently) from cdrom to DVD gives like 10 times the storage. This is *currently* true, there are *still* machines sold with combo-drives that can only burn CDs, but that can read DVDs. Changing one of these for a current DVD-burner lets you burn like 9GB instead of like 800MB, which is roughly 10 times the capacity. The price for this upgrade is low too -- thus a good value-proposition, and indeed *most* people buy machines with DVD-burners.

      If you buy blue-ray at launch, you'll be able to burn discs roughly twice as large as current DVDs. Those discs will however, if this story is to be believed, cost 50 times as much, and the drives will also cost a LOT more than DVD-burners.

      For 99% of computer-users that is useless; they'll be better of burning 2 DVDs instead..

      It doesn't matter if the reason for only 25GB is the drives or the discs -- the fact remains: if you buy it at launch, you can burn 25GB.

      Yes, at some later date you will probably be able to burn 50GB discs, and get the discs for a lot cheaper. But the thing is: if *that* is the value-proposition, then the only thing that makes sense is to buy the drive at that "later date".

      It *never* makes sense to buy computer-equipment *NOW* for the reason that it may provide value *LATER*. Prices, especially on new tech, fall so quickly that that is near insane. Buying now is only a good idea if the device provides value for money now. Which this doesn't.

      You seem to agree with this, so basically we're talking past eachothers. I never said blueray will never provide value. Just that on these terms (the ones quoted in the article) it's horrible value.

    15. Re:Not anywhere near the success of "old" DVD... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I agree with most of what you said, but I'm not too sure about this one. I don't have anything backing up my feeling aside from intuition, but display technology is advancing rapidly, and there's no reason to assume that there won't be regular resolution upgrade.

      You mean aside from the fact that many people can't tell the difference between HD and SD TV? Or that you need over a certain size (28"?) for it to make a real difference, this means that for "Super HD" TV to be worthwhile many people would have to want ~50" TVs and care about the difference in quality. I can't see that happening any time soon.

    16. Re:Not anywhere near the success of "old" DVD... by evilviper · · Score: 1
      I wasn't talking of the hypotetical future, but of *now*.

      They aren't available *now*, so you could only possibly be talking about the (near) future.

      I said "going" (as in currently) from cdrom to DVD gives like 10 times the storage.

      If you really meant it that way, it's a very, very stupid and pointless comparison to make. Why not talk about going from floppies to Blu-ray as well?

      This is *currently* true, there are *still* machines sold with combo-drives that can only burn CDs, but that can read DVDs.

      There are still machines sold that can only write to floppies...

      It doesn't matter if the reason for only 25GB is the drives or the discs -- the fact remains: if you buy it at launch, you can burn 25GB.

      Yes, but you've got a built-in FREE upgrade as soon as dual-layer media comes out, which you completely left out of your value comparison.

      I'm getting real annoyed with this arbitrary re-definition and backpedaling, so I'm just going to stop now. You can try to justify this anyway you want...

      I never said blueray will never provide value. Just that on these terms (the ones quoted in the article) it's horrible value.

      So you're comparing apples to rocks... Great.
      --
      Slashdot gets worse every day... Pipedot: News for nerds, without the corporate slant
    17. Re:Not anywhere near the success of "old" DVD... by heinousjay · · Score: 1

      I didn't say it would be a huge market, but there are definitely a number of people interested in higher resolution monitors that would function as traditional televisions. It would be a lucrative market because it would be high end equipment. I'd be amongst the first in line for a 50 inch or bigger television capable of displaying extremely high resolutions.

      So far as people not being able to tell the difference between HD and SD, the link you pointed to didn't say that at all. It says people don't set up their HDTVs correctly. I know this is only anecdotal, but I've never seen anyone not amazed by the increase in clarity once they were configured the right way. Even my mother, who is one of those people that's proud of her hatred of TV, loves how clear the picture is on the new set my father bought.

      --
      Slashdot - where whining about luck is the new way to make the world you want.
  20. Re:Why are rewritables cheaper than writeonceables by Sircus · · Score: 1

    This struck me on reading it, too. The only thing I could come up with is that maybe the rewritable discs are less durable than write-once discs.

    --
    PenguiNet: the (shareware) Windows SSH client
  21. Hard drives more resistant to damage? by Curien · · Score: 4, Funny

    I've never broken a DVD by dropping it.

    --
    It's always a long day... 86400 doesn't fit into a short.
    1. Re:Hard drives more resistant to damage? by moro_666 · · Score: 1

      But you'd have to scratch a usb hdd really hard to break it, don't you think ?

        I'll go for a 200gb or bigger usb drive instead. BlueRay (at least with these prices) can 'blue' my ass bye-bye. Sure it won't work with my neighbours 1000$ blueray player but i don't like him anyway :)

        Seriously, this blueray is quite many times more expensive than storing stuff on a dvd, and also can be scratched and broken really easily. So why relay on this ? To pay 60$ for a worthless scratched plastic disc that's only good for holding a coffe cup after 1 scratch.

        And for real portable data transfer, the usb sticks are the best right now, they just work and don't require a 1000$ reader. Disks like dvd/blueray/cdrom are far too large to fit into my pocket.

      --

      I'd tell you the chances of this story being a dupe, but you wouldn't like it.
    2. Re:Hard drives more resistant to damage? by Glonoinha · · Score: 1

      You think $50 for a blue disk is expensive, wait until you burn your first coaster.
      No - wait until you burn your second coaster in a row. It happened with CDs, it happened with DVDs, and it is going to happen with these.

      That said - remember this is first generation pricing and it will come down as volume goes up. Just a year ago dual layer DVDs were $10 apiece, and now they are what, down to $1 or $2? Heck, the first CD I ever burned cost about $7 and now they are ten cents apiece.

      When the drives cost $100 and the media costs less than a buck apiece, these things are going to be all the rage.

      --
      Glonoinha the MebiByte Slayer
  22. Seeing is believing by Opportunist · · Score: 0, Redundant

    So far, I see a lot of vaporware. Once I see the product, I'll believe it exists.

    The rest (price, copy protection, reliability etc) has been mentioned before, so I won't get into depth there. Just that I'll certainly wait until those problems are analyzed before I'll consider buying one. And while the prices are higher than for external HDs, I don't really see a good reason to buy one.

    Current movies aren't worth being copied. Or bought.

    --
    We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
  23. Could be worse by CptnHarlock · · Score: 5, Funny
    They could have called the WriteOnce disks something like "Singlewrite Media" and ended up with "BD-SM".. ;P ..

    Cheers...

    --
    $HOME is where the .*shrc is
    -- silver_p
    1. Re:Could be worse by Firehed · · Score: 1

      That would probably work in their favor, knowing that the adult industry has already chosen Blu-Ray as their format of choice.

      --
      How are sites slashdotted when nobody reads TFAs?
  24. Your kidding right? by grungefade · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I can already see this new format going the way of many past failures (ie. Laser Disk, Beta, Minidisk).

    The timing just isnt right. Consumers are not ready to start embracing a new technology when they just barely started embracing dvds. Lots of people have just begun moving their entire collection to dvd. Yes there were early adopters of dvd, but for the majority it has only been a few years. To introduce a new and improved format so soon will only make consumers realize what a sham it is. By making them have to buy the movies they have already bought a second time (maybe 3rd).

    This new generation isnt revolutionary. Its not a big enough improvement to get an entire industry to switch. And 5 years from now 50GB is going to look very small.

    We need a new standard that can not only support our needs now, but that can sustain them for many years to come.

    Lets see... to get 400GB(rewritable) in discs would be $480.
    For a decent 400GB hard drive today, around $225.

    Already does this seem yesterdays technology.... and this is supposed to sustain us for many years?

    1. Re:Your kidding right? by westlake · · Score: 3, Insightful
      I can already see this new format going the way of many past failures (ie. Laser Disk, Beta, Minidisk).
      The timing just isnt right. Consumers are not ready to start embracing a new technology when they just barely started embracing dvds. Lots of people have just begun moving their entire collection to dvd...

      An estimate posted on Slashdot the other day put HDTV in 8-15% of households. No matter how inflated, these numbers look pretty damn impressive.

      RCA Color TV entered the U.S. market in 1954. It took ten years for color to become mass-market and RCA was out there alone.

      In one jump, consumers are moving to large-screen, wide-screen projection, high-definition digital video and digital television sound, as standard.

      DVD videos look grand on your 27" screen. But not so hot at twice that size.

    2. Re:Your kidding right? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      Your subject should be "You're kidding, right?". You also are missing apostrophes throughout your post. Hence, I cannot take you seriously since you appear to have the grammar skills of a 14 year old.

    3. Re:Your kidding right? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I've dvd at 100", and it looks fine. It's not HDTV though.

    4. Re:Your kidding right? by Tim+C · · Score: 1

      My daughter is 6. If her grammar is that bad at 14, I'm going to be having some pretty strong words with her, and with her teachers...

    5. Re:Your kidding right? by Xugumad · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Can't find the article you're talking about, so here's another (which claims the numbers are 15% of US households):

      http://www.digitaltvdesignline.com/howto/showArtic le.jhtml?articleID=178601629

      I can't comment on other countries, but as an example, the UK has only had HDTV sources since late 2005. Sky, the most popular television platform, has not even launched its HDTV service yet! Suffice to say, we don't have a lot of HDTVs yet!

      Lets move on to another point... " RCA Color TV entered the U.S. market in 1954. It took ten years for color to become mass-market and RCA was out there alone."
      Erm, so? If you're trying to make a point about how long it took color to become mass-market in comparison to HDTV, it would really help if you had a date when HDTV televisions became available in the US?

      "In one jump, consumers are moving to large-screen, wide-screen projection, high-definition digital video and digital television sound, as standard." - Erm, what? The numbers say nothing more than they have televisions that can show HDTV. Case in point, my 26" HDTV. Also, I'd hardly consider 15% to be "as standard".

      "DVD videos look grand on your 27" screen. But not so hot at twice that size."

      Tried with an unscaling DVD player? No, its still not quite as good as a pure HD source, but at a cost of $100, compared to $1000+ and buying all my DVDs again, want to guess what I'm doing for the forseeable future?

    6. Re:Your kidding right? by Kuvter · · Score: 1

      Thats it. I'm just gunna buy a big fat harddrive, a box to make it external, and adapters to make it plug into computers.

      Couldn't I just get a laptop as a better alternative to that?

      Oh wait there is even something better than that. I can put all my information "securely" online and never have to carry a hard drive, usb thumb, or disc (cd, dvd, blue-ray, hd-dvd) around with me ever.

      Any place I need to go and use that stored information will have a computer with internet access anyways.

      So to conclude my ultimate solution to storable media is to host your own private FTP at home on a side computer, or even your main computer to save you some money. This solution doesn't have a limit to how much you can store. Current internet sites what give you free storage have too many limits, even with subscription fees these sites have limited storage.

      Correct me if I'm wrong.

      --
      "To be is to do." --Socrates
      "To do is to be." -- Aristotle
      "Do-Be-Do-Be-Do..." --Sinatra
    7. Re:Your kidding right? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're wrong.

    8. Re:Your kidding right? by Whiteox · · Score: 1

      Which is right? Brung or Brang?

      I brung an apple to school.
      I brang an apple to school.

      --
      Don't be apathetic. Procrastinate!
  25. Linux support? by Libor+Vanek · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Does anybody has ANY info about Linux support for these drives?

    1. Re:Linux support? by Tony+Hoyle · · Score: 1

      Won't happen - everything must be encrypted and lock down right through to the display, which precludes any possibility of opensource versions.

    2. Re:Linux support? by Libor+Vanek · · Score: 1

      Who cares about movies - I want to backup/distribute data on it!

    3. Re:Linux support? by jrmcferren · · Score: 2, Interesting

      It should be, DVD Jon is already working on the DeAACS system now with a target date of late 2006/early 2007. The reason I know this is I know Cody Brocious (remember PyTunes/PyMusic) because I went to vo-tech with him. He now works for Linspire.

      --
      sudo mod me up
    4. Re:Linux support? by Libor+Vanek · · Score: 1

      As I mention in another post - I personally don't care about movies. I'm in CD/DVD duplication bussiness and I need to be able to record "pure" data on it....

    5. Re:Linux support? by Whiteox · · Score: 1

      I hope that there would be another opportunity to discuss this, however the science of cryptology has been solved.
      'Solved' is an expression referring to the process of decrypting an encryption, where encryption has won over decryption.
      In other words, in its purest form, encrypted information cannot ever be decrypted. This happened around the turn of this century when quantum encryption was used to send information.
      I believe that if not in the near future, commonly encrypted information would become impossible to decrypt.
      This would not rely on skill, but on the nature of the encryption. It is not too far-fetched to assume that all proprietary or licenced media will never be decrypted.

      --
      Don't be apathetic. Procrastinate!
    6. Re:Linux support? by StikyPad · · Score: 1

      Yes. First gen drivers, along with all specs and whitepapers, can be found at /dev/null.

  26. I Hate to say it, but... by transami · · Score: 1

    I have been looking foward to the PS3 for years now. But given the delay's, all this DRM crap, and these costs (beside the fact they never responded to my compnaies request to become a developer), I'm starting to think, "to hell with em". Think I'll take a Nintendo Revolution, stick mith my current DVDs and invest the money I save into a spirited start-up working on Holographic disks. Thank you very much.

    Sony's going down!

    --
    :T:R:A:N:S:
  27. stfu linux nigger. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    nt

  28. Possible uses ? by smoker2 · · Score: 3, Interesting
    I think one possible use of the rewritable disks would be in bootable disks, like knoppix et al.

    while the write speeds are still low compared to hard disks, and the access times would suck, it would be nice to be able to boot a disk on any computer, and be able to save all your work on that same disk. Beats having to work with only web based documents, or leaving small images on the local hard drive.

    I can imagine a time when you could go to a net cafe (for example) and the pc you hired didn't have a hard disk at all, just a HD rewriter. You bring your own OS and leave no traces (incriminating or otherwise).

    I guess this is possible now with DVD-RAM but the available space is a bit limited.

    Another possibilty would be true use anywhere software. You wouldn't need to write for any particular market segment anymore, as you would provide the software and OS on the same bootable disk, great for corporate desktops or front of house applications.

    I realise this idea will be shot down in flames for various reasons, but I still think it has merits. For example you could have MoviX or GeexBoX AND 40 or 50 movies all on the same disk.

  29. And don't forget the *Flash*!!! by transami · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Considering it takes around 10 years for optical media to make a 5-fold increase in capacity (CD 0.7GB 1983/91 -> DVD 4.7GB 1997 -> BD 25GB 2006) and Flash memory seems to be doubling every year (512Mb 2001 -> 16Gb 2006), the question is how long before Flash over-takes optical in capacity? Answer: about 5 years. Of course it will probably never beat optical discs for capacity/$, but at some point flash memory should be cheap enough that it doesn't rally matter a great deal. Flash memory is much more convenient to use. In other words, if the current trend continues, optical disks will be obsolete within 10 years. (Yes, that's right. 1TB flash cards anyone?)

    --
    :T:R:A:N:S:
    1. Re:And don't forget the *Flash*!!! by doodlelogic · · Score: 4, Funny

      every exponential trend
      comes to a sticky end

    2. Re:And don't forget the *Flash*!!! by transami · · Score: 1

      True. But I'm betting they can pull off at least 6 more years of this. Thats's all that's really needed. Beyond that it's just a matter of driving down cost.

      --
      :T:R:A:N:S:
    3. Re:And don't forget the *Flash*!!! by timeOday · · Score: 1
      Sure, but that doesn't mean flash will peter out before optical media does.

      I know I'm rooting for flash. It's so much more reliable, has no moving parts, and is untainted by the content industries. As the parent pointed out, current trends wouldn't have to continue very long for flash to take over. Optical has been a dog of slow growth and bad reliability.

  30. Will the PC drives be able to play the movie disks by jonwil · · Score: 0, Troll

    And if so, will we need Windows Extra DRM edition (aka Windows Vista) or will we see Blu-Ray and HD-DVD players available for current operating systems?

  31. So will burned DVDs play in a BD player? by Hamster+Lover · · Score: 3, Interesting

    With 25 or 50 GB capacity it would be nice to copy a collection of standard DVDs to the discs for use when travelling, etc. Imagine being able to keep one disc in a portable DVD player and be able to choose from three, six or as many as ten different DVDs all on one disc. I realize there are technical limitations such as creating a custom DVD menu and the cost of BD media, burners and portable players is going to be prohibitively expensive at first, but will a BD player play a movie from a burned BD-ROM? And I don't mean a HD movie, I am talking about the current DVD standard we have now.

    Anyone know or is it even possible to know at this point?

    1. Re:So will burned DVDs play in a BD player? by signore+pablo · · Score: 1

      right now with nero ultra edition 7 i can make my own menus and import any kind of video file and it will automatically convert it to dvd video. I'm sure there will be software similar for bd and hd... its not very hard. you drag the files in, create the menu and the titles appear automatically as buttons on the menu which you can edit. You can choose that clips not play successively so as to go back to the main menu after being done with one clip. So as for more than one movie, yes I'm sure this will be supported.

    2. Re:So will burned DVDs play in a BD player? by timeOday · · Score: 1
      Imagine being able to keep one disc in a portable DVD player and be able to choose from three, six or as many as ten different DVDs all on one disc.
      That's what laptops with hard drives are for... no removable media required.

      Of course, it only works because "they" slipped up on DVD copy protection... a mistake I doubt they'll soon repeat on Blu-Ray/HD-DVD (despite the prevailing wisdom here on /.).

    3. Re:So will burned DVDs play in a BD player? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You can already transcode to Divx and get 6+ movies onto a dvd-r or 10+ on a dvd-r dl.

    4. Re:So will burned DVDs play in a BD player? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Jesus, just rip and reencode in xvid like the rest of us. One GB/hour should do, less if you think thats overkill.
      Get a 250GB USB harddrive and youre good to go.

  32. History repeats itself, whatcha expect? by MindPrison · · Score: 4, Interesting

    As many so correctly point out - we've seen this before, they come out, are expensive, the media at ludicrous prices and most of us play the waiting game until it actually pays to buy one.

    Not a bad thing really. Those who wants to ride the "fast-tech-lane" and be first with the latest - pay for innovation and pave way for the normal people who wouldn't get caught dead paying 60 bucks for a CD.

    Personally I was "first-with-the-latest" all the way in my early twenties when the Commodore-64/Amiga was all the rave...and it stopped when I grew older and prioritized differently. I then found out that instead of buying a DVD-Recorder at 500 dollars (plus 30 bucks each DVD-R) I'd use my trusty CD-recorder and bought CD's for 20 cents each, easily reaching 4.7 gb with just a few bucks, sure....I'd have to change discs a bit, but it was more practical for the time as no single file took 4.7 gb so I could have a neat archive with files and names.

    Later on, the DVD recorders dropped to an astonishing 50 bucks, and an even more astonishing 50 cents pr. DVD if I bought these "overseas" which I certainly did. Because NOW it paid to buy DVD's instead of CD's.

    Interestingly enough - the need for storage haven't been in sync with the expansion of program/file sizes, so we're in for a treat.

    I can't for the life of me fill up my old 80 GB harddrives, even with multi-booting systems with Linux AND windows. I'm actually more likely to use the 80 GB harddrives as "2-year-milestone-swapdisks" just replacing them with the need for change (new os/ new stuff etc.) and it's actually cheaper keeping my old stuff ready to use on those older drives, way safer too!

    My old CD's peel after 5 years, some lasted 10...but I have 10 years old harddisk I still can connect and get my old photos, documents etc.

    Food for thoughts...

    --
    What this world is coming to - is for you and me to decide.
    1. Re:History repeats itself, whatcha expect? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You must have bought cheap media. I have CD's from 10 years that are still in excellent condition.

      Anyway, your story reminds me of my own experience. The first CD writer I saw was priced at $1800. I actually waited for them to drop to $800 and it was a 2X Sony drive. A later model I owned was a 4X HP at $400 (you don't disturb a 486 when it creates a CD at 4X).

      When DVD writers came out, they were around $1000; a bargain compared to the first CD writers and they could hold about 7 CD's. The drop in prices came even faster than with CD writers.

      So now these BD writers will be bundled with a PC for $2300? I say it fits perfectly with what I saw from earlier generations of optical media and the leap in data capacity is about the same: they will hold about 6 DVD's, the previous technology.

    2. Re:History repeats itself, whatcha expect? by Abuzar · · Score: 0
      I can't for the life of me fill up my old 80 GB harddrives, even with multi-booting systems with Linux AND windows.


      You obviously do not watch enough pr0n
  33. check yer specs by way2trivial · · Score: 1

    3.5 hardcase floppies, 1.44 was the norm max capacity
    (although their were some weird ass variants that doubled them to 2.88)

    --
    every day http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Special:Random
    1. Re:check yer specs by Mycroft_VIII · · Score: 1

      Actually 1.44 was thier most common (by far) capacity, however IIRC some software (Microsoft's?) came with slightly more the disk that made it hard to copy, yet could still be read by 99.9% of the drives out there.
          The 1.2 size he mentions is the 5.25" HD floppies.

      Mycroft

      --
      https://signup.leagueoflegends.com/?ref=4c3ed6600b6ea
  34. So what's next? by sjwoo · · Score: 1

    The move from VHS to DVD was huge, as we know: random access, superior picture quality, widescreen, menus, specials, etc. The move from DVD to Blu-ray/HD-DVD is analogous to going from an Athlon XP 3200+ to an Athlon64 3700+: frankly, not that much.

    I think many of us on /. realize this...so what's next? Somebody predicted 2020 to be the year when the new thing comes out. My take: 3D. 3D will usher in another massive adoption, because it would be a technological leap instead of a baby step. Stereoscopic 3D will be a cash cow, as the technology will not be 100% mature in the beginning, meaning the entertainment companies will be able to release version after version for many years.

    1. Re:So what's next? by peektwice · · Score: 1

      Except that nobody wants to wear gay 3d clunky glasses while working on the computer. So unless you're talking about holographic 3d images that don't require said gay glasses, I wouldn't put any money on it yet.

      --
      Other than this text, there is no discernible information contained in this sig.
    2. Re:So what's next? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "The move from DVD to Blu-ray/HD-DVD is analogous to going from an Athlon XP 3200+ to an Athlon64 3700+: frankly, not that much."

      More like from 3200+ to 19200+. HDTV has six times the resolution of NTSC DVDs.

    3. Re:So what's next? by toddestan · · Score: 1

      More like from 3200+ to 19200+. HDTV has six times the resolution of NTSC DVDs.

      Except that most people are not going to notice the increase in resolution, especially if they don't have a super expensive high end television. It's more like going from a P100 to a PIII-600 to a P4 3.6Ghz. Both are steps to something roughly 6x faster, but the first one will be noticable to just about anyone, but the second one will be less noticable to the vast majority of people who just cruise the internet and work with office apps.

  35. leech by DrSkwid · · Score: 1

    Stop being a leech and answer your own goddam questions, it's not hard.

    --
    There are places where the networks are not touching,and there are places where they are-Boeing's Lori Gunter
  36. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 1

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  37. Spelling/brand name Nazi... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Laserdisc, Betamax, Minidisc

    although the last one should arguably end in a K depending on ones particular distiction between a disc and a diskette.

    Arguments exist to support the disctinction being optical media vs. magnetic (in that case Minidisc would end in a 'c' as it does), but just as abundant are arguments that the distinction has to do with whether or not the disc is enclosed by some kind of rectangular/square housing, making the minidisc cartridge a disk.

    Regardless, the Sony has dubbed their product with a 'c'

  38. How many ripped CDs? by CrosbieFitch · · Score: 1

    Let's say 50MB for a reasonable, average CD encoding of tolerable quality.

    That's around 500 albums per disc.

    Which is about 25,000 per stack of 50.

    Which, if you have a carousel/jukebox holding 400 discs at a time, is 200,000 albums.

    That's about 80 years worth of listening if you listen to music about 7 hours a day.

    And when prices of BD-R 100 stacks come down to $50 next year, you'll be able to get every album ever released so far for $200 plus whatever markup your friendly ripper charges you.

    Soon the problem won't be obtaining the music, it'll be trying to figure out what to listen to next, and how to persuade musicians to produce more.

    1. Re:How many ripped CDs? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      >> And when prices of BD-R 100 stacks come down to $50 next year

      Whatever, dude.

    2. Re:How many ripped CDs? by xski · · Score: 1

      Soon the problem won't be obtaining the music, it'll be trying to figure out what to listen to next, and how to persuade musicians to produce more.

      More? Good god man, Why?! According to Homer: "Everyone knows rock n' roll attained perfection in 1974. It's a scientific fact."

      So in light of that, everything since and anything more is just superfluous. We're done. Close the labels, everything worth ripping has been ripped.

      -xski

  39. Re:Why are rewritables cheaper than writeonceables by wilymage · · Score: 1

    I also imagine that, akin to CD and DVD, to write HD-DVD-RW media will take (at least) twice as long?
    Surely for some time will be a consideration, especially with such large media.

    Looking forward to owning one in one or two years.

    Incidentally, anyone want to buy my 1x SCSI Caddy CD burner?

    --
    The secret to creativity is knowing how to hide your sources. -- Albert Einstein
  40. pricing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    A lot of people are basing future pricing notions in this thread on past reality when energy was cheap, and oil to make plastics and the players was cheap. Once oil hits 150$/barrel or so-which it will, probably by next year as more hurricanes and expanded middle east war and maybe larger african wars affect pricing-you won't be seing these dramatic price drops to the same proportional level as we saw CDs and burners and computers, etc over the past 10 years. New ball game now.

    Energy/raw materials are a very underrrated criteria with these projections. I think people are engaging in a whole lot of wishful thinking that isn't being "backed up", pun intended, by market reality. It is going to be increasingly difficult for manufacturing tech improvements-that can lead to lower prices- to even maintain parity with energy and raw materials cost increases. None of this tech exists in a vacuum all by itself, it is all interconnected.

    1. Re:pricing by Catbeller · · Score: 1

      Yup. The biggest market for Iraqi/Iranian oil is Asia, where they make the disks. The Project For the The New American Century (Cheney, Rice, Perle, Wolfowitz, Kristoff, and others) detailed why the US needed to take control of the Iran/Iraqi oil fields to control the political and economic destinies of our biggest future competitors, esp. China. We're building mighty military bases in Iraq now, and the PNACers are obviously building a case for whacking Iran. Oh, and I especially like the new Bush connection of Chavez in Venezuela with Iran. Talk about convenience! They're seeting up a future invasion of Venezuela, one of the biggest oil suppliers to the US itself. God, almighty. And news is so "balanced" they won't mention the obvious setup for fear of being labeled biased.

      This isn't offtopic. It will be a critical factor in future pricing points of asian products. Whatever happens, someone here will make more money while we spend more.

    2. Re:pricing by Mycroft_VIII · · Score: 1

      As I understand it there is a LOT of oil lock up in oil shale in the US and Cannada.
      The reason we don't go after it now is that even at $65 a barrel it's still cheaper to import. However it becomes econical to exploit it at somewhere between $75-$80 a barrel IIRC.
          So if oil does climb much above that point and look to stay there you can bet we'll start in on deposits here in north america.
          $150/barrel wouldn't last. Would such majorly in the mean time, but it wouldn't last.

      Mycroft

      --
      https://signup.leagueoflegends.com/?ref=4c3ed6600b6ea
  41. OMG that's liek sooo expensive!!!11 by thedletterman · · Score: 1

    Let's not forget that in 1995, CD-R drives were over $1,000. That in 1998, CD-RW drives were over $400.. and in 2002, a DVD-RW drive was over $500 and the media was nearly $20 a disc. By 2004, DVD-RW media was only $2 a disc, and the drives were under $200. It's amazing how hysterical people can get over entry price points for new technology like this. If it's too expensive, then wait a year to buy it.. but don't think "It's destined for failure, it's too expensive". If there's one constant truth in technology, it's that if you wait, the price will soon come down.

    --
    Any fool can criticise, condemn, and complain, and most fools do. - Benjamin Franklin
    1. Re:OMG that's liek sooo expensive!!!11 by tricorn · · Score: 1

      1984, 10-pack of 400K diskettes was about $50.

    2. Re:OMG that's liek sooo expensive!!!11 by AvitarX · · Score: 1

      650MB in 1995 was a lot more storage than 50GB is in 2006.

      And $1000 in 1995 was less than $2000 now.

      DVD-R dropped from $500 to $70 real quick though.

      By the end of '04 I was able to get a Dual layer DVD-R for less than $80.

      --
      Wow, sent an e-mail as suggested when clicking on "use classic" banner, and got a fast response that addressed my msg
  42. better meter: feel free to ignore this by heinousjay · · Score: 1

    every exponential trend
    is sure to meet a sticky end

    sorry for being a poemfag

    --
    Slashdot - where whining about luck is the new way to make the world you want.
  43. Dear Sony and also HD DVD lobby by Ilgaz · · Score: 1, Troll

    Congratulations for finally announcing end user computer usable drives.

    I say one thing:

    If there is no Mac OS X support with external Firewire/USB on the products of first bench, you lost it. Call your Movie/Music division to ask why.

    This warning may sound needless but it is. Pick up those cool corparate phones you have and better call 1-800-MY-APPLE , OS X device driver team/3rd party products office now.

    People may think this is a needless message but we should also post a message warning them not to install a hacking tool to their paying audio CD consumers. :)

  44. Cost Effective! by Kittie+Rose · · Score: 1

    Options: 1) Buy Blu-Ray drive, with all it's Sonyness and potential DRM dickery; 2) Buy Several Harddrives, an external Casing, and use those instead. 2) Is cheaper and doesn't involve making a deal with the devil. How much are PS3 games going to cost? It's going to be the N64 all over again, but worse.

    --
    EpiAdv - if you like Pokey the Penguin, try this comic!
  45. You Must Have a Lot of Stuff by Greyfox · · Score: 1
    The only things I'd really hate to lose are my home directory (Which is currently sitting at about 2gb since I installed a couple of games in it) and my MP3 collection since I don't relish re-ripping the 150 CDs I have. Both problems can be neatly solved with a 60gb ipod. I just tar up and encrypt my home directory and stash it on the ipod and sync the mp3s. Still have about 40 gb left on it. Don't forget to store your private key, too. If you use a good passphrase to protect it, you can feel reasonably comfortable storing the key on the ipod too.

    The ipod will no doubt fail eventually. My hard drive will no doubt fail eventually. I'm hoping the odds of them both failing at exactly the same time are pretty low.

    --

    I'm trying to teach myself to set people on fire with my mind... Is it hot in here?

    1. Re:You Must Have a Lot of Stuff by pla · · Score: 1

      You Must Have a Lot of Stuff

      Like I said, you can consider me a packrat. I still have ISOs of every major Slackware release back to 2.1 (along with a splash of other distros). ISOs of every data-CD I've ever bought (including driver CDs from hardware all the way back to my first CD-ROM drive). FLAC rips of every audio CD I've ever bought (and I have a lot of CDs). More flash animations, short movies, and other random pop-web-media than you can shake a stick at (and "Yes Virginia, there is porn"... No pun against "shake a stick at" intended). And of course, HDDs, going back to a complete final-state image of my first HDD, a 10MB monster slightly bigger than my PC and which connected to the game controller port.

      And in a few years, when storage sizes grow and prices drop sufficiently, I'll put all my DVDs on there as well. The way I see it, I have a few hundred pounds of CDs and DVDs (including cases, of course) and literally a few tons of books (sadly, I don't have all of those in digital form, though I keep working toward that goal). Not to mention a digital photo-album that would also probably weight more than I could carry all at once, if I used a film-camera. In a fire, after my own butt, what would I stop to save out of all that? A lot of people might say "nothing", or try to get everything and fail (or even die trying). I have a quick, easy, and safe answer - Grab the already-offline backup fileserver which lives about 6ft from my front door, and run . Clothes come second. ;-)


      Kinda sad to think that aside from my friends, the majority of my life that I care about fits in an 8x14x19 aluminum box... But, so it goes. ;-)

  46. HDCP by djrogers · · Score: 1

    So far most of the threads here are revoving around the cost, but what about HDCP? It's worth noting that Sony didn't anounce any standalone drives, only PCs with the drives. Tie that to the fact that no shipping video cards today have implemented HDCP, and you've got a recipe for forced-upgrade-itis. I'm guessing sony actually implemented the HDCP features of one of the video chips out there, but what will this mean for playback of protected movies on projectors, TVs, and monitors that don't support HDCP?

    --
    Think outside the... Hey, where'd the friggin' box go?
    1. Re:HDCP by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      yup, making all our perfectly good lcds/crts obsolete for no good reason is bs. until the protections broken they can kiss my @ss. i'll stop buying dvds too since they are effectively a walking dead format. thank u studio system for alienating another customer. its been said time and time before. drm only really affects paying customers in the end.

    2. Re:HDCP by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And what about sound cards?

      With the increased resolution of the DVDs, ripping high-res audio could be possible. Is Sony going to necessistate a special sound card that can decode the stream?

  47. Who cares ? by The+Mgt · · Score: 0, Troll

    They both suck. May they both die the death of a billion indifferent consumers.

  48. New HD Camcorders Need These Drives by chromozone · · Score: 1

    I don't think many people here have seen images from the new HD camcorders. There are a couple of new Sony HD camcorders for 1400 USD that make all most other non-pro camcorders look like garbage. A major shift is at hand in the camcorder market and the new drives will need to be a part of that obviously. The new images are astounding.

  49. Slashdot posted about Spintronics drive with 1.2 P by fedrive · · Score: 1

    http://hardware.slashdot.org/hardware/06/02/17/005 1234.shtml

    I'll wait a few years insted of investing every 6 months in something
    that last as long as a pet rock.

  50. Coaster by Shook18 · · Score: 1

    "ERROR IN BURNING PROCESS"

    And thus is introduced the first coaster-induced suicide.

  51. To all you beta testers by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Cool. So let's wait until some cheapo Combo-Burners (CD, DVD +-, BD, HD-DVD) are coming out.
    One year ought be enough...

    Cheers

    AC

  52. That doesn't make sense. by Corngood · · Score: 1

    Data must be encrypted from disc to display precisely because everything in between can't be trusted. All the software has to do is pass that data along intact, so I don't see why open source would make a difference.

    1. Re:That doesn't make sense. by Dion · · Score: 1

      You are completely wrong.

      The data on the disk is compressed and encrypted with AES.

      The data going to the display is uncompressed and encrypted with HDCP.

      The two are not compatible, at all, in any way.

      --
      -- To dream a dream is grand, but to live it is divine. -- Leto ][
  53. Surprised by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's surprising that they are letting them be installed into PCs at all. Why ? What is the point ? Are they required, needed or wanted in a PC ? Nope.
    I thought they would want to prevent piracy and a great way is to stop them working in PCs :-)

  54. What HDTV? by Penguinoflight · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Do the 8-15% of households with HDTV's have the HDMI port? If not, they wont be watching hi-def. All the backstabbing in the consumer electronics business is really what will keep people away from BD/HD, either because people are paranoid or just simply confused out of their minds. By treating early adopters of HDTVs with no respect, Sony and Toshiba will likely find many problems selling their next-gen equipment.

    --
    "And we have seen and do testify that the Father sent the Son to be the Savior of the World"
    1 John 4:14
    1. Re:What HDTV? by westlake · · Score: 1
      Do the 8-15% of households with HDTV's have the HDMI port?

      You are a little behind the curve.

      "Downsampling" analog outout is more or less dead. But 960x540 is not going to look hal-bad on your first generation ATSC set even if the ICT token is set in some future releases.

  55. Re:Why are rewritables cheaper than writeonceables by QRDeNameland · · Score: 1
    It may just be because demand for rewritables is lower.

    With CDs, rewritables were initially more expensive, but they rarely played in CD players and so were largely useless for music. By the time CD-R media dropped below $0.50 per disk, rewritability seemed to be a low-value feature. Same thing pretty much held true for DVDs as well, though there's probably better overall player support for DVD+/-RW than there was for CD-RW.

    Since consumers didn't find RW technology as useful as write only, demand for RWs is lower and therefore not really surprising that they are now cheaper.

    --
    Momentarily, the need for the construction of new light will no longer exist.
  56. Gotta decide by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    "Blu-Ray Coming Soon to PCs" (but just not to any of my PCs, nor to any I manage)

    Sony hardly designed these with consumers in mind; nobody sat in meetings asking how to improve things for end users.
    They wanted DRM-delivery-systems, and created a non-commodity product that isn't generic (ie., charge us more $$).

  57. Eh? PS3? Off-topic (maybe) by Karem+Lore · · Score: 1
    I don't get this. If the PS3 is delayed cause of the blue ray drive until november due to finalising issues with DRM, how come they can make PC drives in early summer? Is there other problems with the PS3?

    Karem

    --
    When all is said and done, nothing changes...
  58. before people start complaning... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I hope that "we" , the slashdot crowd, is smart enough to realize that the price on the dics and the devices WILL fall as the drives become mainstream, and production of both drives, and discs increase.

    No more posts on "OMG!!!11!! So expensive its teh sucks!!!" and so on.

  59. No playback on the PC by heroine · · Score: 1

    There will be no playback of encrypted movies on the Sony PC. The poster failed to mention that nugget of information, or are we not supposed to bring that up on this site?

  60. 650% the pixels! by benwaggoner · · Score: 1

    HD is a bigger quality leap than laserdisc to DVD, or even VHS to DVD. We're talking 6.5x as many pixels, with a better average pixel than with DVD to boot.

    I spent much of last week looking at the compressed VC-1 masters for the HD DVD launch titles, and it's astounding how much more detail there is compared to the DVD, so many little details you never would have noticed on a DVD.

    1. Re:650% the pixels! by westlake · · Score: 1
      I spent much of last week looking at the compressed VC-1 masters for the HD DVD launch titles

      Why aren't we seeing D-Theater (HD-VHS) titles like Die-Hard on the list?

    2. Re:650% the pixels! by benwaggoner · · Score: 1

      I can't really comment on why particular titles are chosen or not. I work with the compressionists, who just get handed a D5 and are told "make it look perfect."

  61. Re:No way I'd buy these by nbritton · · Score: 1

    The only reason I'd buy these is for backing up stuff, but It's not economically feasible to use them.

    Maxtor MaXLine III 7V300F0 300GB SATA-II Drive: $127
    Sony Blu-Ray 25GB Disc: $22.5
    Sony Blu-Ray 50GB Disc: $54

    If you brake that down into price per gigabyte you get $0.423, $0.9, and $1.08 respectively.

    The numbers speak for themselves. I will use 80 Discs and it will cost me $1,800 just to backup a simple 2TB array! Tape and Disc technology are so far behind Hard Drive technology that it's not cost effective to even consider them as backup solutions.

  62. Sony's new version of DRM by DeadboltX · · Score: 1

    High-Def Blueray movie: $35. Writable Blueray disc: $45. At these prices you're losing money to priate a high def movie, seems like pretty good DRM to me!

  63. Your RAID-6 array... by Ivan+Todoroski · · Score: 1

    This is off-topic, but I couldn't find a way to contact you privately.

    Could you please go into more detail about your RAID-6 setup? I'm planning something similar, and would really appreciate some real-world experience with it, pitfalls to avoid etc.

    Specifically, I'm interested in:

    - which controller card and OS do you use?
    - what type of hard drives, and do you use the same model/manufacturer, or are they mixed, to lessen probability of all of them belonging to a single bad batch?
    - do you use hardware or software RAID?
    - what filesystem you have formatted on the array?
    - what kind of power supplies do you use, and in particular how do you deal with huge spin-up current draw when the array is booted, or when multiple drives wake up from power-save mode?
    - did you encounter any issues with hard drive power-save in a RAID array?
    - how about cooling and noise, any tips there?
    - any other advice you might have

    If you have a webpage up somewhere with an overview of your setup, that would be great.

    And if you wish to continue this discussion in private, you can contact me at: grnch@gmx.net

    I hope you will see this. Thanks.

    1. Re:Your RAID-6 array... by Hackeron · · Score: 1

      1) I'm using a Gigabyte nforce4 ultra motherboard (the passively cooled one) with 8 onboard sata controllers and another cheap over the counter 4 port sata pci card for a total of 12 drives.
      2) I made a mistake here by using all of the same drives bought from 1 place - I only read the horror stories after :( - It seems very possible for multiple drives to fail within 20 minutes of eachother after 8 months (!!!) if they have consecutive serial numbers and part of a bad batch. Dont make this mistake! - Since I couldnt return the drives, I made another raid1 array with different drives for critical storage and OS, the raid6 is mostly media backup and recording shows.
      3) I use software raid. SCSI hardware raid is far too expensive and the performance of software raid is generally better than those onboard raid controllers. I also like having the ability to resize the array (although not tried it yet) and I just trust it more. I've been using software raid for half a decade now and it withstood all of my abuse so far while I saw expensive scsi raids fail from simple things like rebooting while the array is rebuilding.
      4) Another stupid mistake here, I'm using reiser4 and its caused problems for me already. No data loss, but just try using it with a berkleydb database or anything like that and watch the kernel panic :) - I also had reiser4 corrupt partitions at work on development boxes (no data loss, but unexpected behaviour and reboots required), there is also other strange dmesg errors for reiser4 and if for example you umount a reiser4 partition and mkfs.ext3 over it, it just refuses to work, you have to reboot. I wouldnt recommend reiser4 for now!
      5) I have an ANTEC PSU/Phantom 500 GB 500W ATX12V v2.01 PSU. To be honest I havent hooked up the failsafe PSU yet but its an option on the coolermaster stacker I'm hoping to use soon. I havent had any problems yet, but I guess it does strain the PSU when the drives wake up and the PSU fan does turn on for a while when drives spin up. Looking at the data sheet, it seems the drives do spin up at 30W even though operating peak is only 12.3W (7W idle) and my system is otherwise like the one tested here: http://techreport.com/onearticle.x/7417.

      The would mean:

      Hard drives: 84W idle 147W peak 360W spin-up
      System: 110W idle 150W peak 150W
      -------
      Total: 194W idle 297W peak 510W max (ouch!)

      The PSU is 85% efficient so I guess 510W is quite a bit over the realistic maximum of 420W, but the system is not only idle most of the time but the CPU auto throttles to 1GHZ almost all of the time, so while I havent measured this, I bet the idle consumption of the system is closer to 90W which means 330W available for the drives. Now that I think of it, I probably need more power, lol.
      6) Only issue is slow wake up time. It takes around 15-30 seconds before I get a file listing.
      7) Cooling tips, well, fanless motherboard, fanless (for the most part) PSU means less worry about fans :) - I have 3x120mm 20db fans drawing air in and cooling hard drives on the way, 1x120mm 25db fan sucking air out the back, 1x25db fun sucking air out on the top and the cpu cooling is the Zalman CNPS9500 (the huge vertical cooler) that also helps with the airflow. I also have dust filters on all intake (included with coolermaster stacker).

      As for silence, at night it is no way near silent.. but in a good way :) - What I mean by that is there is no whine or noticeable noise, instead there is a very low tone hum. If you walk past the PC at night you may not notice it is switched on until you switch it off - its basically like the sound of the ocean from a far, you dont want to turn it off :) - Then again we are in the countryside so chances are it will be plain inaudiable for most in the city.

  64. Here we go again by ross.w · · Score: 1

    Wake me when:

    1. The blank discs cost around $1 each
    2. They sort out which format is going to dominate
    3. The drives cost less than A$200

    --
    If my call is important, why am I talking to a recording?
  65. And innovation goes out the window by jgoemat · · Score: 1
    The original purpose of copyrights was to promote progress in science and the arts. Oh. what a cruel world we live in. If it wasn't for content "owners" stifiling the world's creativity, we would be much more advanced than we are. How many of you own a TiVo? I do, it is one of the best purchases I have ever made. However, I just bought a 50" TV (upgeraded from, 27" since I have a 19 foot living room). HD broudcasts look awesome, which I only get with local channels and without cable. I have cable, but I am now on a 90 day waiting list with people to get a cable card for my TV, which still won't let my TiVo record HD. I bought an HDTV card on ebay (air something) but now have to get MythTV setup on a spare Linux computer with an antenna only (no CableCard) to get the signals.

    New TVs and equipment have encryption built in to HDMI so that you can't use it unless it's exacly like they (content providers) want you to.

    There's NO WAY around it. the current copyright and patent legislation is STIFLING creativity and NOT promoting progress. If it weren't for the GREEDY corporations who decide that I should be able to read an Ebook on my computer at home but not when I'm on a break at work, I would be able to do the foloowing:

    1. Record HD programming and whatch it when I want
    2. Listen to my Ogg recordings of all my Cds in my car
    3. Watch HD movies on my HD TV (blue-ray and HD-DVD aren't necessary, close to the same can be accomplished with DVD and MPEG-4 today)
    4. Record HD shows ala TiVo
    5. Listen to ALL my CDs from any computer in my home (and therefore in my bedroom and living room with cheap Linux PCs)
    And more, and more... I don't care if someone is breaking the law, sue them or arrest them. I CAN'T DO EVERYTHING MY HARDWARE IS CAPABLE OF though because of DRM. They've implemented "protection" (or restrictions) on HDMI where TVs can only play media they are licensed for. Many HD sources of the future will only play in low-def (480p) on your TV unless you have the right equipment and licenses. I think it is just INFUCKINGCREDIBLE that the MPAA and RIAA have the power in congress to create laws to protect their special monopolistic interests against the good of the public. What king of innovation is supported by current measures? NONE!
  66. check gp by way2trivial · · Score: 1

    he specifically EXCLUDES 5.25 floppies from the range of what is under consideration..

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    1. Re:check gp by Mycroft_VIII · · Score: 1

      Yes I saw that, that's why I found it amusing that he refers to 1.2MB floppies, which are the 5.25" ones.

      Mycroft

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  67. So... by Corngood · · Score: 1

    It gets decrypted in software? I guess I need to read about it a bit, but that doesn't seem very secure.