Echeria Coli Co-Opted To Make Gasoline
Flask_Man writes "Technology Review has an article about a small biotech company in the Silicon Valley that has successfully produced renewable gasoline from genetically modified bacteria, including the nefarious E.Coli bacteria. A pilot plant is slated to be constructed in California in 2008, and it is claimed that hundreds of different hydrocarbon molecules are capable of being produced. The modified bacteria make and excrete hydrocarbon molecules that are the length and molecular structure the company desires. From the article: 'To do this, the company is employing tools from the field of synthetic biology to modify the genetic pathways that bacteria, plants, and animals use to make fatty acids, one of the main ways that organisms store energy. Fatty acids are chains of carbon and hydrogen atoms strung together in a particular arrangement, with a carboxylic acid group made of carbon, hydrogen, and oxygen attached at one end. Take away the acid, and you're left with a hydrocarbon that can be made into fuel.'" We discussed something similar to this earlier this year.
About 3500$ a gallon?
...anybody else see the irony?
Anybody want my mod points?
Oh, right, Zonk is illiterate (the hallmark of a model "editor"). I guess he really means "Escherichia Coli".
-ben
myselfmusic
Since the summary doesn't mention it, I'll do a bit of karma-whoring and answer the obvious question: they're using sugar, derived from corn, as a food source for the bacteria. They're aware that this is less than ideal from the total volume and a competing-with-food standpoints. The goal is to replace the use of sugar with cellulosic material.
That out of the way, this is obviously promising work. After all, there's nothing inherently wrong with burning hydrocarbons as a fuel - if we can get around the problems of increasing atmospheric carbon and the finite supply of said hydrocarbons. Yes, a more efficient solar-to-kinetic/electrical/thermal energy conversion process would be better, but I don't think the development of such a technology will be hindered by making it feasible to extend the use of hydrocarbons (I believe it was Larry Burns who said, "the stone age didn't end because we ran out of stones."). A gap technology that staved off the critical problems of hydrocarbon dependence would give us breathing room to pursue work on other technologies.
After all, while nothing may focus the mind like the prospect of being hanged in the morning, of the focused mind can't avoid the hanging, it doesn't matter.
All that being said, what would make a technology like this almost utopian in aspect would be the creation of a feedstock that can be grown on the surface of the ocean. There's (obviously) far more oceanic surface area than arable land area; using that would completely solve the problem of competing with food crops.
Reality has a conservative bias: it conserves mass, energy, momentum...
1) High fever
2) General listlessness.
3) Urinating gasoline.
The simple truth is that interstellar distances will not fit into the human imagination
- Douglas Adams
... if that strain of genetically fudged bacteria escapes into the wild and undergoes some more unexpected mutations ... And should this thing meet the wild grass that has gained immunity from Round UP by cross fertilization between Roundup-Ready-Corn... That would be quite interesting, to put it mildly.
sed -e 's/Chuck Norris/Rajnikant/g' joke > fact
I already produce gas from bacteria. Move on, nothing new here.
So how do they get past the fact that e.Coli dies in gasoline? how did they change the bug to have a higher tolerance to their new unnatural excretions?
If you can keep the bugs alive in the media and the desired product then your output will be far higher than when the bugs end up killing themselves quickly.
Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
Shouldn't this be "Escherichia" coli?
Attack of the spelling police...
Escherichia coli.
At least if you're going to correct someone, correct them [b][i]correctly[/b][/i].
I thought it was Escherichia coli.
protip: it's not that either.
+5, Truth
actually, every person on the planet has e coli in his or her gut, and in fact, the bacteria is symbiotic with us, not a parasite. that is, without it, we would have trouble digesting, absorbing food, and be vitamin K deficient
however, we often hear e coli in the news in connection with lethal outbreaks, and this is due to another strain of e coli getting into our guts, usually one or another that produces toxins, including some that shut down the kidneys permanently
yes, these strains are ugly, but the scientific truth is that e coli is not nefarious, and in fact is almost as vital to us being human as our own cells
intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
Sorry for being a grammar nazi guys, but it's spelt "Escherichia coli". It's one of the most common bacteria.
"nefarious"? That's no way to talk about your life partner! You may prefer not to think about what's going on in your tract, but the truth is we're all full of shit. And our coliform friends are helping us out with our situation. And now, they're giving us gas.
it's spelled: Escheria coli
I thought it was Escherichia coli.
-b
myselfmusic
1. How are they going to produce this on a massive scale?
2. How is this going to be economical?
3. What does OSHAA and the California Board of Health have to say about people working with e. Coli on a massive scale?
4. People should quit whining over spelling errors. Nobody is perfect.
The game.
It always annoys me when people say E. Coli is a dangerous bacteria. ONE strand of the bacteria is dangerous, but in fact another strand is needed by humans to live. We have billions of them in our large intestines, processing waste and making vitamin K. If we did not have the e. coli inside us, we would die from dehydration.
E. Coli that may be in your digestive system produces GAS!!!!
Also, Escheria coli is not "nefarious." It is usually
benign, and makes up a lot of the volume of your gut.
Bacteria are always present in healthy adults, and the
common varieties protect you from more dangerous stuff.
Don't mess with The Phone Company. Piss them off and you'll be using two tin cans and a piece of string.
There's nothing inherently nefarious about Escherichia coli . In fact, the ones that live in your gut are very useful. Only certain *strains* of E. coli are dangerous, and those are the ones that make the news when people are exposed to them, unlike the huge numbers of E. coli (and other bacterial species) happily living inside you and contributing to your health.
you have to talk about "is it cheaper than digging energy out of the ground"
of course that is getting more and more expensive, but most schemes for the replacement of gasoline are still orders of nagitude more expensive such that they aren't at the economic break even point on replacing gasoline
this e coli step is of course a wonderful development, but you have to ask what the cost of the stuff is that the e coli is eating to process into gasoline: not cheaper than digging gas out of the ground
the ideal would be a creature, probably a bioengineered algae, that produces octane after exposure to sunlight. the e coli is merely a processing step on a larger chain of energy. sich a hypothetical algae would be the whole process in one little cell
something that takes sunlight and produces it directly into gasoline, that would be the ultimate killer app of our time
intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
if your going to use formatting tags, use them Correctly .
liqbase
With all those tainted foods I had a few months ago in some dodgy restaurants, I can now truly say that I have enough strength to move a car!
I'm going to post this exact same text on every article about fuel cells, batteries, bio-fuels, wind power, solar cells, wave energy, geothermal, nuclear, tidal action, and all the other silly articles about imminent energy breakthroughs that never seem to amount to anything substantial in any amount of time. This one won't either.
Comment removed based on user account deletion
Hmm,
Creepy sounding to me.
Reminds me of the Chlorine producing bacteria in Zodiac..
Hundreds of frat brothers discover the party entertainment potential of lighting their urine streams on fire.
E Coli live in the bowels, not in the kidneys or the bladder.
Think lighting farts with a match.
The real question is what is the net return on energy? Is it greater than gasoline in its current state?
The problem with many alternative hydrocarbon sources is that the amount of energy required as input is to get a gallon of gasoline is greater than the energy required to extract oil and refine it into gasoline today. We're going to be in a severe energy shortage when we run low on oil to extract - we're used to cheap, high density energy in the form of oil and gas. We won't have the excess energy to throw into making gasoline with bacteria unless it's a lesser or equivalent cost to what it is today (and can be scaled up without competing with food for arable land). The only way out of the mess of the pending energy crash is fusion or extreme conservation starting now. All of this talk of replacing gasoline or making it carbon neutral is really beside the point.
...and you've eaten your pen. simply stunning.
You are correct, and I am [b]sorry.[/b]
You can't talk about Wikipedia's flaws on Wikipedia
Let me guess, the bacteria eat homeless?
Monstar L
What's ironic about that?
Burning gas is burning gas. Does this fuel burn any cleaner in our cars than the gas made from oil we pull out of the ground? I'm a bit of a treehugger but frankly while I'm concerned about the economic impacts, I'm more concerned about the environmental impacts, personally. Saving $1000 on fuel a year vs having a biosphere where the human race can continue to exist... well I lean just a wee bit to the latter.
"All great wisdom is contained in .signature files"
Spot on. The "million years" part realistically negates the "renewable" part.
Another family dies in E-Coli Car Accident. Many Lives at stake in surrounding areas (via Air polution). Bio-Medics and Fire Fighters are on the Scene to contain the bacteria Fire. On a Similar note, Al Gore has announced that we have a new Global Warming Problem coming from our E-Coli enhanced Cars.
Obligatory Mad Max Quote:
Once again one of the ideas in my head is seeing implementation. I really hope I have some left by the time I make it out of the academic world and into the corporate world...
But hey, with a planet filled with 6 billion people chances are that once you think of something, several other people are having the same thought. Take the Wilcoxon rank-sum test for example, I guess there will be many more examples.
In Soviet Russia elephant rides you!
It accomplishes little to have the critter if we have little to feed it.
One ton of dry organic matter is equivalent to 2 barrels of oil on an energy basis if one can convert it for free. This is the cellulose to fuel pathway.... cellulose and pentosans and liganans. T. verdii which is the fungus that brings us stone washed blue jeans is cited as a candidate for cellulostic ethanol but T. verdii is a cellulose digester. Other fungus digest the pentosans and lignans as well - fungus such as P. ostrates and it also will live in liquid culture.
Now the issue with the bacteria is the food supply. Are they to digest woody plant materials? Are they to digest a fungus which digests woody plant materials. Is there some other food source being proposed?
Another fact is that if 100% of the USA corn crop were to be converted to ethanol - then this would supply USA liquid fuel needs for about 2 weeks. Any bushel of corn converted to ethanol will come out of someone's mouth. It may be a pigs mouth or it may be a mouth in the 3rd world - but someone has to give up their food so that we can feed a car.
Personally I think bio-fuels have a bright future. However I'm not convinced these guys are on the right track. Alga can produce bio-diesel from sunlight. Here we know the energy source. In the case of e-coli and other bacteria the energy source is sugar which leaves us with exactly the same issues of ethanol... namely: there isn't enough corn and other grains around to make much of a difference even if we can perfect the technology to convert it into a fuel for almost free.
However if we can convert the cellulose, pentosans and lignans then maybe because there are a lot of herbacious plant wastes kicking around. If so - then one tonne of dry plant matter will convert to about 2 barrels of oil. If a barrel of oil is worth $75 bux then one has $150 bux per tonne in the budget to obtain and convert the plant matter.
Something to consider is that normally in the case of agriculture this material is returned to the soil where it contributes to the organic matter that creates a high quality soil. If this material is carted off to a fuel plant then what happens to the quality of the soil?
welcome our microbial hydrocarbon excreting overlords.
Germs that make gasoline.
So soon I'll be able to contract a flesh-eating, anti-biotic resistant, EXPLOSIVE infection.
Just great. While you're at it how about a pill that turns body fat into C4?
--
I for one, welcome our explosive bacterial overlords.
How do they get past the fact that yeast dies in alcohol? It's a non-issue. Yeasts survive to a certain point, i.e. 10% to 20% ABV. The same happens with these bacteria. If they're spewing gasoline, remember that gasoline floats, and this may be even more of a non-issue if the bacteria are grown in a water "substrate."
So, once they have bacteria that can eat celulose, we can spray them on a large forest and turn the whole Amazon river in a stream of petrol.
Excuse me, but please get off my Pennisetum Clandestinum, eh!
that e-coli can't do? My friends insulin (Type1 Diabetic) is "modified" e-coli. Now we're making gas with it too. What's next?
~Vexed and loving it!
e coli is a biotech workhorse because its a very simple organism that is very easy to modify genetically. the laboratory strain has also lost its ability to live inside people and animals. this lost ability was not done purposefully by scientists, but evolved naturally
the wild type e coli has a saccharide coat which helps it survive the human and animal immune system. the laboratory strain, not faced with this kind of attack, has lost this ability because its a very expensive to produce, this saccharide. so after many generations and natural mutations, a variety of e coli without a saccharide coating came to dominate in the laboratory, because it could grow faster and outcompete the wild kind with the expensive immune system fighting saccaride coat that also makes it grow slower
however, bacteria have sex (no, really) and exchange genetic information with other bacteria (in fact, sometimes totally different species). such that anything introduced into e coli in the lab could wind up in wild e coli, and visa versa. antibiotic resistance is one such genetic trick that bacteria freely trade with each other in the wild and evolved in the wild. however, just like the saccharide coat, extra gene tricks incur a production cost that slows reproduction, such that e coli without extra genes always win out in the end (unless they are in hostile environments that require the expensive protective gene to survive)
intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
Get it right, editors. Another KDAWSON-esque mistake.
It is spelled Escherichia coli
Reading the end of this article, a goal has been set by the U.S. Department of Energy to replace 30% of our petroleum. Without deviating too far from the subject, can anyone shed some light on this? Does "current petroleum use" me crude oil or refined fuels? The phrase "fuels from renewable biological sources" points out that this doesn't just mean gasoline, but I'd like to know more about this goal. Links to DoE sources would be appreciated.
Thanks
Where genius and insanity become confused true wisdom is found
Right around 12-14% concentration, which is what wine is.
Basically, the yeast die out when their own waste product strangles them out of their environment. Sort of like if you put a person in a perfectly airtight plastic bag. They'd live a while until their own co2 strangled them.
Probably the same with these little gasoline critters. Soon as their waste product reaches a toxic level for them, they croak.
Weaselmancer
rediculous.
Yeast dies in ethanol, as well. That hasn't stopped people from making e.g. beer and wine. Think about it, a bit.
And why "nefarious"? You know you do have millions of E-coli in your gut? Mostly they are helpful (although some variants are very bad for you).
extra genes incur extra production costs. such that any cell that produces something it doesn't actually need to survive reproduces more slowly than cells that don't produce that extra whatever-it-is that isn't necessary for survival. and so releasing such an algae inot the wild would do nothing: that algae would be outcompeted and cease to exist
i don't have to talk about this in the abstract, this is observed in e coli
e coli is a biotech workhorse because its a very simple organism that is very easy to modify genetically. the laboratory strain of e coli has lost its ability to live inside people and animals. this lost ability was not done purposefully by scientists, but evolved naturally
the wild type e coli has a saccharide coat which helps it survive the human and animal immune system. the laboratory strain, not faced with this kind of attack, has lost this ability because its very expensive to produce, this saccharide coat. so after many generations and natural mutations, a variety of e coli without a saccharide coating came to dominate in the laboratory, because it could grow faster and outcompete the wild kind with the expensive immune system fighting saccaride coat that also makes it grow slower
furthermore, bacteria have sex (no, really) and exchange genetic information with other bacteria (in fact, sometimes totally different species). such that anything introduced into e coli in the lab could wind up in wild e coli, and visa versa
antibiotic resistance is one such genetic trick that bacteria freely trade with each other in the wild and evolved in the wild. however, just like the saccharide coat, extra gene tricks incur a production cost that slows reproduction, such that e coli without extra genes always win out in the end (unless they are in hostile environments that require the expensive protective gene to survive)
therefore, even if e coli evolved complete resistance to all forms of antibiotic resistance, all you would have to do is wait a few generations, and the resistance would naturally fade in nature. because the resistance is expensive to produce, and mutants lacking the resistance would grow faster and outcompete, if there were no antibiotics around. the e coli would then be vulnerable to antibiotics again (but also would quickly re-evolve resitance upon exposure). only in an environment of constant antibiotic use does e coli have resistance to antibiotics ready and waiting close by. that's why its bad to take antibiotics for each and every little sniffle you get, and why its bad to constantly feed animals antibiotics to grow bigger
likewise, people who fear biotechnology, about a mutant gene escaping from the lab and taking over the world, are simply ignorant on the actual science. of course, if someone gave e coli or another organism a gene which increased survival abilities in new environments, or did not incur any biological production costs, then yes, that organism would take over the world or colonize new areas. but mother nature is already randomly handing bacteria these genes already in the form of mutations, and in the form of gene transfer with other creatures, so its unlikely humanity can think up and give e coli or another animal some gene that mother nature has not already thought of herself via random mutations, millions of years ago
everything biotechnologists do to e coli and other organisms today involve adding genes that require extra effort to produce. such that they give the organism with that gene an automatic survival disadvantage
intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
the guys living over the current stores are also the most violent guys on the planet
intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
One of the early youtube "hits" was a guy who kept a flame going by supplpying it with farts. Imagine what happens if this brand of Ecoli escapes and gets into the human ecosystem.
...including the nefarious E.Coli bacteria.
Nefarious implies intent. It means evil. E. coli (you capitalize phylum, class, order, family and genus, but not species) is not sentient, therefore not evil. Furthermore, you're confusing it with a specific variant of E. coli which is pathogenic. Most variants are not pathogenic and in fact, it is the most common of the intestinal bacterial fauna in humans...
Call me a troll, but it's a geek site. Geeks should know geek stuff and proper capitalization of genus and species is definitely a geek subject as is the nature of E. coli).
(BOPD = barrels oil per day)
4 8&contentId=7033471
One of the best sources for this information is the BP statistical review of world energy. You can find it on the BP website: http://www.bp.com/productlanding.do?categoryId=68
It doesn't much matter what you start with: raw crude or refined fuel... what is at issue is the percentage. 30% of either is about 7 million barrels per day equivalent and lordy I have no idea where they plan to get it. Alberta for instance is running flat out trying to boost tar sands production to about 3.3 million BOPD by 2015.
Note that world production is around 81 million BOPD. World production is close to being flat. On page 10 of the report we see that Saudi Arabia's production declined. This is very significant when you consider that the largest field in the world... the Ghawar field - is in Saudia Arabia and has been reported as being in decline. If so then the top four (4) fields are in decline and these fields produce say about 15% of the world's production. Normally when fields go into decline the production shortly thereafter drops by about 10% per year. If so then the world will shortly be seeing declines at least in the range of about 1.5% per year which will exceed a million BOPD and this will compound exponentialy.
We better hope someone figures out how to make up the shortfall. If not we all go on an oil diet. Personally I see nothing over the horizon other than perhaps high prices and gas rationing.
"Either that, or there's something unsaid that I'm missing. It seems like you're forgetting conservation of mass."
dude, the input is CO2 and sunlight, just like any plant on this planet, producing, at best, energy rich sugar. this is something most 4th graders know. we just want them to produce energy rich octane instead, that's the holy grail
but please, put down the marijuana before posting next time
intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
because of GMO e.coli used to make it. :P
"If still these truths be held to be
Self evident."
-Edna St. Vincent Millay
It is Escherichia coli, or E. coli after mentioning the unabbreviated version once. Binominal names have the generic epithet capitalized and the specific epithet not capitalized, and both epithets should be italicized. So, Homo Sapiens or T. Rex (for example) are technically wrong (they should be Homo sapiens and T. rex). Well, unless you're talking about the band, in the latter case.
:-)
If you're going to be pedantic, do it right
Just to be pedantic - Escherichia coli (italicized; yes it matters!)
your prostate can develop cancer, and kill you. but, because of that, i wouldn't call it my "nefarious prostate". because by and large, a prostate is a good thing
same with e coli. with all of the bad that certain e coli do considered, 99% of e coli's role in humanity is still best described as an indispensable part of our daily lives. such that, while you can call certain strains of e coli unmitigated evil, e coli itself is most definitely not nefarious
intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
Granted, the current political and economic situations cause a problem with the supply of gasoline. If it isn't OPEC cutting quotas, it's a war somewhere, or not being able to find fresh oil patches. But the real problem here is that we're slowly (or maybe quickly) destroying our home by burning these fuels. While this is a very interesting technical breakthrough, finding or producing more gasoline isn't the problem. The efforts of those involved would have been better spent finding new ways to produce alternative fuels. This could be likened to the tobacco companies saying they found a new way to make cigarettes without tobacco plants. Same deadly affects, and less hassle producing it. It almost sounds like someone needs to remind these people that the game plan is to fix the problem of polluting our planet, not just fix the "oil dependancy" problem.
--
Luck is just skill you didn't know you had.
you, well, we, just invented a new sniglet
intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
I wouldn't mind if it mutated to break down plastics like polyethylene. Preferably under special conditions, like exposure to UV light or salt water so plastics in storage didn't break down. The millions of water bottles cluttering our land and water alone will be with us for thousands of years.
Civilization would probably collapse, if not immediately, then probably after a relatively short time span. Other plastics in the field would break down, UV gets reflected like visible light, is sweat different enough from sea water, your proposing a mutating bacteria so further mutation expanding if food sources are possible, maybe even likely. Have your read Larry Niven's Ringworld? IIRC a plastics eating bacteria destroyed it. A fun read.
They're aware that this is less than ideal from the total volume and a competing-with-food standpoints.
;-). This all stems from the fallacy that there is a global food shortage--there is no shortage of or threat to capacity to feed the world's population. Sadly, famine today is almost 100 percent due to politics and logistics. Untold volumes of grain have been burned, buried or dumped in the ocean while children starve in Africa in the name of global trade agreements, market manipulation and so forth. It is tragic but agricultural commodity markets are are amongst the least-free, most-manipulated markets out there.
This is a tired argument already. Soybeans are an important feedstock, and have long been used heavily in the production of non-foodstuffs such as plastics, waxes, industrial lubricants, etc. The same thing goes for oilseeds like Canola. Just because it is edible doesn't make it a sin to use it for non-food purposes (it might be considered a good thing, as we know its toxicity is limited). As long as we explore a multitude of energy sources there isn't really a problem with *edible* energy sources (after all, our bodies are mechanisms powered 100 percent by edible energy sources
After all, there's nothing inherently wrong with burning hydrocarbons as a fuel - if we can get around the problems of increasing atmospheric carbon and the finite supply of said hydrocarbons.
Well, pretty much ANYTHING we grow gets the bulk of its carbon from the atmosphere during photosynthesis so I'd say that problem is gotten around pretty well if we can use plant matter as fuel (well, plant matter that hasn't been trapped underground since dinosaurs roamed the earth anyways).
Yes, a more efficient solar-to-kinetic/electrical/thermal energy conversion process would be better
Ultimately even conventional oil is "solar conversion", albeit inefficient since we are releasing soalr energy that was collected, stored and converted underground by natural processes over millions of years. Anyways, what man-made technology we have to collect solar energy totally sucks when compared with the efficiency of photosynthesis. Then there is the question of storage. In much of the world, much of the time, solar energy is most abundant when energy consumption is the lowest, so storage is very important. How do you store solar energy? You can't really store light, and storing heat on a large enough scale is very difficult as well (drill deep into the ground, or store it as huge tanks of hot water, etc). Large-scale storage of kinetic energy is difficult too. Then there is electricity--besides the fact that solar cells are very inefficient the batteries contain environmental toxins and all batteries "leak" to some degree (lose charge).
If we let mother nature collect the solar energy and help it along (through biotechnology) to convert it to petroleum then we can take advantage of a storage and delivery infrastructure that has been gradually built up over more than a century, and the challenges remain the same (efficient release of the stored energy).
All that being said, what would make a technology like this almost utopian in aspect would be the creation of a feedstock that can be grown on the surface of the ocean.
Don't underestimate the ability of humans to mess up the ecosystem. Humans have already messed up out ocean-bound feedstock--that being the fisheries. Wouldn't there be some consequence to growing crap on the surface of the ocean? I'd imagine that might deprive sea life at shallower depths of needed sunlight.
That said, the ocean definitely has a much less limited capacity to supply our energy needs. There is the capture of kinetic energy using big wave-riding mechanical "snakes" already. There is also a LOT of kelp and plankton that is in and under the water that could be used by this bacterial process. Better to dilute our impact on the ecosystem through the entire volume of the ocean and use multiple means of collecting energy, rather than concentrate it on the surface of the ocean where its effects would be felt more acutely.
Helps to find data if the name is accurate http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Escherichia_coli
If you have E.Coli in your water supply, you have to boil the water or you might get sick.
If you have gasoline in your water supply, even in parts-per-billion, the water is no longer drinkable, from what I understand. Now that limit may be the "nice" limit and not the bare minimum to avoid poisoning, but basically it would be a BAD THING for these things to escape into the wild and start digesting fish poop.
if there were no antibiotics around. the e coli would then be vulnerable to antibiotics again (but also would quickly re-evolve resitance upon exposure)
With a sufficient pool of antibiotics I wonder if a drug rotation could help avoid resistant bacteria? Only use certain drugs in certain years?
i'm not in any way denigrating your concerns, because i in fact agree with you 100% that they are real costs
but they aren't economically quantifiable costs. or at least, they aren't economically quantifiable when i go to the gas station and fill up my car, or when exxon buys a tanker of crude from kuwait. the abstract costs from using gas dug up comes in the form of a suicide bomber or a stupid war or hurricane katrina... sometime later
in other words, your concerns are a lot harder to address than a concern which has an immediate and obvious economic cost up front
again, i am not DOWNPLAYING your concerns, i am merely pointing out that these concerns, which i share, are very hard to address
so then the question is:
1. is it easier to convince people, who are essentially lazy and short sighted, from the town drunk up through joe schmoe, up through mayor quimby, all the way up to the president, to consider these more abstract costs
2. or is it easier to simply give them bioengineered gasoline (without the abstract costs you mention) which is economically cheaper UP FRONT when compared to the form of gasoline that is dug up (which has those very evil, very real, but unfortunately very ABSTRACT costs associated with them)
in other words, all i am saying is that the energy needed to devote to fighting the ugly side of shortsighted human nature is probably a heck of a lot more energy than the energy needed to develop an algae that makes the economic question a lot easier for shortsighted people to accept
the ugliness of humanity's shortsightedness is a question you don't really want to address. mainly because it's so depressing, and so thick. i am merely proposing that you sidestep it. i feel the urgency of your concerns, but i think the biotech answer to those concerns is a lot easier to stomach, and a lot easier to implement
intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
And when they escape they'll change the planet into oil.
Repent, the "gray-goo" scenario of nanotechnology is at hand.
Shop smart, Shop S-Mart.
The bacteria-digestion of sugars and cellulosic matter into fatty acids described here is pretty novel, but the conversion into gasoline is actually pretty easy--probably easier than the transesterfication process used to make biodiesel. I imagine that onec the digestion process is perfected the manufacturing cost would be more in the range of $3.50/gal than $3500. Since it costs me the equivalent of US$4/US gallon to buy gasoline right now that makes it cost competitive.
Okay, so they can eat corn. That's okay, because I'd expect that we COULD grow a hell of a lot of it were the market to make it worthwhile. But...
If they'd consume offal, landfill material, non-rec-plastic, nuclear waste, etc, that would be much better. That's essentially what the earth does to make conventional oil, isn't it? Dead plants, animals, etc compressed into peat, into crude? Lets find a useful product to make from all this trash we create!
Replicate that, and you'd have something interesting. Kinda like this: http://www.mindfully.org/Energy/2003/Anything-Int
Though, if I recall correctly, I heard that the plant was closed, due to the smell.
but my criticism would be that that requires centralized control to implement. the problem is the farmers and the small town pharmacists in far off countries who aren't part of your centralized control
;-(
of course, given the reemergence of drug resistant tuberculosis and staphylococcus on the world stage, then such centralized control becomes a lot easier to implement with military and legal enforcement: people begin to understand what is really at stake. unfortunately, shortsighted as people are, i don't see your rotation scheme idea being implemented and enforced until a lot of urban middle class non drug addict non criminal healthy young people in the prime of their lives started dying from universally drug restistant tb
which is coming, btw
intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
Which ONE "strand" is the dangerous one Dr. Science?
I seem to recall an incident early this year regarding a CA facility selling fruit/vegetable drinks contaminated with the E. Coli virus.
Looks like instead of bringing their facilities up to code, they just re-vamped production purposes.
it's a simple product of world history
the middle east is the meeting point, the center of eurasia and africa, the largest land mass in the world. such that the people living there, since ancient times, have been exposed to more violent inroads from surrounding cultures than any other place on the planet. this has led the evolution of the most violent cultures on the planet. simply out of survival necessity
the amish, for example, espouse a nonviolent and nonwarring livelihood. well, this has less to do with the superiority of such a peaceful philosophy, and more to do with the fact that the amish can afford to be so peaceful, living as they do in the idyllic peaceful coccoon of lancaster county pennsylvania
but if you took the amish and dropped them in the middle of kurdistan or somalia or the caucasus mountains you would see one of two things:
1. the amish taking up ak-47s to survive
2. the amish disappearing from the face of the earth, taking with them into extinction their peaceful philosophy
the middle east is indeed the most violent place in the world. it has to be. to survive
intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
Load up on stocks from McDonald's, Jack in the Box, and Sizzler's.
There are a huge number of yeast infections in this county. Probably because we're downriver from the bread factory.
Give us a break!
Gasoline and liquid motor fuels are primarily alkanes. These have the chemical formula of CnH(2n+2). If n=8 you have octane and I assume you have heard of the octane rating of gasoline.
You _can't_ have gasoline without carbon unless you are god and can change the laws of chemistry.
Ethanol is C2H5OH. It is a partically oxidized alkane. n=2 in this case. the OH makes it an alcohol. The reason ethanol carries less energy than gasoline is simply because it is partially oxidized. Note it is liquid also because of the oxygen in the molecule. Methanol: CH3OH is also liquid for the same reason.
It would make sense to convert Methane (CH4) to methanol (CH3OH) instead of trucking and shipping it around as Liquified Petroleum Gas (LPG) except for a couple factors:
1) methanol is poisonous. <rant> This is why it is sometimes used to denatured alcohols. This is also why methanol is often used instead of ethanol even though industrially ethanol can be made for about the same cost as methanol and often either will do the job.
The idea is that instead of the kid simply getting drunk if he gets into the photocopier cleaner... we blind him or kill him. Anyone working with alcohol based wood finishes also gets caught in this trap.... instead of using a reletively safe alchohol (ethanol) - one gets exposed to a known carcinogen instead (methanol). Why? Well we wouldn't want the guy to mistake his shelac thiner for a beer now would we? Better to kill him or blind him instead. Righto! </rant>
Industrially if we have large amounts of CH3OH being hauled around then expect many accidents. Its a poison we are better off without.
2) that oxygen in the molecule both reduces the energy content per gallon as well as adding dead weight. The OH will eventually end up as H2O when the fuel is fully oxidized. One way to look at this is that chemically by weight it is about 30% water already.
If you manage to eliminate all the carbon from gasoline you are left with hydrogen. There is more hydrogen in a gallon of gasoline than in a gallon of liguid hydrogen. Also - there is a LOT more energy.
In fact - we have a serious shortage of hydrogen. If we had a surplus of hydrogen then one of the best ways to transport it would be to toss in some carbon and turn it into gasoline. This is what they do in order to make synthetic crude. Its part of the Tar Sands operations. Shell for instance has built a HUGE plant in Alberta to do precisely this.
The short of it is that hydrogen as a motor fuel probably doesn't make much sense. Ideas of converting alkanes to hydrogen by eliminating the carbon don't make much sense. The CO2 is a plant nutrient anyways. The biosphere can easily cope with CO2 levels even 20x greater than they are now. Biological studies of crop production in greenhouses for decades have been focused on CO2 enrichment.
As for global warming driven by CO2. IMHO its hooey. One needs a better handle on the most important green house gas: Water Vapour. Levels of water vapour in the tropics and sub tropics are in the vicinty of 40,000 PPM compared with CO2 in the range of 380 PPM. We do not know if water vapour goes up 5,000 or down 5,000 and we don't know if there are any long or short term trends. Meanwhile it is true that CO2 is up by about 90 ppm over the last century. With the increase in CO2 we see an increase in plant growth.
Geologically, CO2 has been over 15x greater than now. Our paleoclimatologists say CO2 is not linked to planetary temperatures in the geological record.
The simple fact is that some amount of e.coli will be able to handle gas. All that is needed is to encourage its growth, which is VERY trivial to do; Create a plate agar with gas embedded in it and streak with loads of e-coli. Something will grow.
With GA, a bit more expensive, but simple inject a set of genomes in. You can do it simple chemical steps, or you can just use a virus. Take your pick.
In the end, these bugs will tolerate some amount of gas, that will simply be seperated out. Considering that gas floats on h2o, I would guess that they will grow the e.coli in a vat of water, and allow the gasoline to float to the top where it is skimmed.
I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
and as you said, i'm not disagreeing with your summary, i'm *expanding* it:
my point in what i said is that this fear of some bug escaping the lab and taking over the world is simply science fiction. but this scenario motivates a lot of people against biotechnology, even though it's impossible
so it's important to note that your antibiotic resistant bugs with a survival advantage that you allude to evolved NATURALLY. it was not a mad scientist who made this bug, but mother nature
i'm not here to defang fear of antibiotic resistant bugs, they are real and scary. i'm here to defang fear of biotechnology
i think if mankind is doing anything bad in the environment with new genes, it is by introducing new animals into new ecosystems. the gypsy moth, for example, was introduced unnaturally into the usa, and is still damaging native forests. this kind of manmade damage is real, and scary, and continuing, and artificial: without mankind, the gypsy moth would still be far away in eurasia
so if you want to hate/ fear something, hate/ fear mankind in general, not science and biotechnology. in fact, if the damage gypsy moths or another foreign biological invader is doing to ecosystems is to be fought, it is probably through the work that biotechnologists are doing
and yet you have these anti-genetically modified this-or-that morons, running around in fear and hysteria. when the truth is, according to THEIR OWN AGENDA, biotechnology is an aid, not a hindrance! they are just ignorant about the real science
intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
Never mind "outcompete" in terms of reducing the number of oxygen-producing algae. Worldwide ocean fires will eliminate a lot more than the algae.
- David A. Wheeler (see my Secure Programming HOWTO)
We'd all be crapping highly volatile hydrocarbon compounds. That would certainly raise the stakes for tossing a cigarette down the toilet, now wouldn't it? Perhaps spawning a new type of domestic terrorism.
I've got diarrhea and a lighter! I'll take all of you with me!
It would give TSA something new to look for. "AH-HA! This man is carrying X-Lax! Take him away!" Definitely make you long for the old days when all you had to do was take your shoes off, eh?
That's our life, the big wheel of shit. - The Fat Man, Blue Tango Salvage
Actually, it was a plague that targeted room temperature superconductors that took out the Ringworld civilization...
I do agree that the Ringworld books are a must read for any sci-fi fan. Louis Wu is my hero!
my grudge is with those work against biotechnology and genetically modified this-and-that out of fear and ignorance and hysteria
but if they took the time to study the science, they would discover that biotechnology AIDS the agenda of the typical anti-walmart, environmentally conscious green
but they fight biotechnology. and they do that out of ignorance, not out of intelligence. with intelligence, they would co-opt biotechnology, perhaps use it, in underground and revolutionary fashion, to help the poor of the world, and free biotechnology from corporate dominance and corporate agendas
(but then they'd probably be labelled terrorists, cooking up new diseases or something... which some asshole might actually do someday, yikes)
intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
SUV drivers aren't even close . . .
--*any* car with a cell phone
--A significant subset of truckers ("Golly-gee, I don't want to climb this grade at 35. I'll pull out and manage to pass this guy at 36!" and so forth)
--cab drivers
--bus drivers
--smokers (I've noticed over the years that they seem "pacified" and less likely to react ot, well, just about anything)
--anything with Arizona plates
and last, but by no means least: Winnebagos (*shudder*)
hawk
I've been waiting for the current administration to enact laws mandating all keyboards to be federally licensed, and to include a packet of napalm gel, so that when a hacker is detected: Ka-FWOOM! Just like in the cyberpunk movies and books. That is how black ICE works, isn't it? Isn't it?
Anyhow: Now all the NSA has to do is send covert agents into 2600 meetings and such, and swab all the keyboards with a mutant E.C., and it'll make the napalm while living off all the Doritos crud.
But don't forget: "The street has its own uses for technology". Ka-FWOOM! heh. heheheh.
Um... knock at the door... BRB... [p@@~@pp~~[[ NO CARRIER
My other car is a 1984 Nark Avenger.
cross your fingers
intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
Genetically engineered gasoline? That's not NATURAL!
And, and... what about cruelty to microorganisms?!
Have you no shame?!
Privacy Statement: We value your privacy! It is very valuable. That's why we try to sell it whenever we can.
The DOE says we use a little less than 400,000,000 gallons of gas every day. The article says that if they get their switch grass process running, it'll produce 2,000 gallons/acre. That means we'll need 200,000 acres of switchgrass a day. 200,000 acres is roughly 1/4 the area of Rhode Island. So we need roughly 80 times the area of Rhode Island to produce our current gasoline needs.
One fairly efficient way is to use a water reservoir. During low-demand periods, use the energy to pump water uphill. During high-demand periods, turn that stored potential energy into electricity using turbines.
It's cheap, we're pretty good at building dams, and it scales well.
Dewey, what part of this looks like authorities should be involved?
beyond ignorance of the science: fear and hysteria
making octane requires a certain energy investment which permanently retards that algae's growth
in the bioreactor to make octane, that's fine, as humanity controls that environment. in fact, in reality, you would probably have the plant manager constantly complaing about how the heck did wild algae got into the bioreactor and destroyed the latest crop cycle by outcompeting the octane making strain. because wild algae would outcompete and destroy the octane making strain ANYWHERE, anyhow
no matter WHAT humanity did to it to help it's octane making genetically modified strain survive: nothing you can do gets beyond the conservation of energy. the gene to make octane is a permanent, unalterable, unsurmountable obstacle to that algae's survival. NOTHING you can do can erase that energy expenditure or make up for it with some other gene. it's a permanent handicap
in fact, say you killed every single wild algae in the entire world (impossible, but let's say you could do that for argument's sake to prove how hysterically wrong you are) and then seeded the world with this octane making algae:
some of the octane making algae would experience a mutation that knocked out the genes directing the animal to make octane. such a mutant algae would experience a population explosion, since it was suddenly freed from the energy expenditures required to make octane. THAT algae would then take over the world, reestablishing normal algae populations
but don't let a little common sense about thermodynamics get in the way of your ignorant hysteria. you're in the wrong forum friend. go post on a newsgroup devoted to hollywood fictional script writing. you might find that audience more accomodating to your ignorance and fear mongering
intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
It was transparently obvious years ago that this step would be made eventually, and that oil running out would be a chimera. Nobody listened because it's much more fun to disasterbate.
Don't worry, though. You guys can still disasterbate about the new, indefinite ability of humanity to burn fossil fuels.
(-1: Post disagrees with my already-settled worldview) is not a valid mod option.
Minor correction: CO2 concentrations are strongly linked to planetary temperatures, but as an effect rather than a cause. CO2 changes lag temperatures by 400-1200 years. Some people attribute this to CO2 absorption by the oceans, but it seems to me that it's more likely linked to the increase in animal and fungus life as the temperatures, ice-free surface areas, and amount of plant life increases.
It is Escherichia coli. You DO NOT capitalize the coli as that's the bacteria's species name, you ALWYAS capitalize the Escherichia of E. coli.
i look forward to finding the lost tribe of ultraviolent commando suicide bombing amish, who got stuck in the wrong tradewind, and wound up north of mogadishu
intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
I posted this same story 2 weeks ago.. but it never made it past the fire hose :-(
----------
Trying to fix or change something only guarantees and perpetuates it's existence
But maybe soy would be adequate, I don't know. Even if it is, though, I don't see how it's better to use only one part of the plant as opposed to the whole thing.
I'm also under the impression that the current demand on corn as feedstock for ethanol supplies has materially driven up the price of corn such that it's had a significant deleterious effect on the ability of Mexico to feed its population. But I don't have hard evidence for that, so you may be right.
Yeah. That's what I said. That's why this is a good development, it solves the carbon problem of burning gasoline. But I appreciate you reiterating it.
Again - yeah, I know. That was my point. A more efficient method of transforming solar energy into kinetic energy is, obviously, better. Using E. coli to do it is a step in the right direction. If at some future point we find a yet more efficient way of turning solar energy into kinetic energy than using chemical energy as an intermediary, that would be good. I'm still not sure what you're arguing with, here, since you keep restating what I said in my post.
Yes. As I said in my original post.
This is a valid point. I glossed over this problem in the interests of brevity, and because my initial solution may be based upon false data. I believe - though I'm not certain - that there are large areas of the ocean that are, to all intents and purposes, devoid of life. Now, that may be for reasons that also prevent them from being useful for the purpose of growing anything intentionally, but it may also not be. My first thought is that we could use those areas.
My second thought, though, is that we already do this to arable land - we harness essentially all the sunlight that hits the area we farm, thereby destroying whatever ecosystem was already there. I don't think it's worse to do that in the ocean than on land.
Reality has a conservative bias: it conserves mass, energy, momentum...
Or convert it to hydrogen for portability.
ad logicam Claiming a proposition is false because it was presented as the conclusion of a fallacious argument.
dude, as YOU say
"the devil is in the details"
i'm not going to reiterate basic science to you. either you understand the details, the facts, or you don't. i gave you some intellectual charity in my previous post, i'm not going to give you more of the same if you can't grasp it
you're just ignorant
but, please, by all means, tell me how much of a troll i am. because that changes basic science
pfffft
intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
Oh, definitely. The main advantage to my suggestion is that we already know how to make dams and we're good at distributing electricity, but that certainly doesn't mean there aren't 100 other goods ways.
Dewey, what part of this looks like authorities should be involved?
I have found my new winter project. 25% alcohol mead. I can't wait. =)
Weaselmancer
rediculous.
please tell me one aspect of an algae with a massive energy sink attached to it called the gene to make octane that would also make it outcompete an algae that did NOT have this massive energy sink attached to it
;-P
go ahead, use your imagination. please make sure this adaptation doesn't already exist in the wild
you can't think of one. one doesn't exist
now let's make believe, for the sake of argument, you COULD think of one. what would happen? what nature already does: wild algae would coopt the advantageous gene from the lab algae... and outcompete the octane making algae again!
now, let's go to yet another insane abstraction of science and reality to provide yet another refutation fo your retarded fearmongering: make believe wild algae couldn't adapt this gene from lab algae through some miraculous modification
so now you have octane making algae in the environment, outcompting natural algae. ok, what's going to happen in this scenario tha tis so evil and bad?
i believe the original retarded fearmongering in the post above on this retarded thread is that no oxygen would be produced by this algae, with me so far?
dear glorious moron, follow the bouncing ball:
water + CO2 -> sugar + oxygen
is what plants do now. to modify this, to make octane, you modify algae so that:
water + CO2 -> octane + oxygen
(all of this greatly simplified, for the sake of argument, and for the sake of your simple mind)
the whole point being, where exactly is the scientific source of your retarded fearmongering about no more oxygen, dear retard?
xoxoxoxoxoxoxoxox
intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
its escherichia
that echeria actually made my head hurt.. weird, its like i got nauscious and thought I had dislexia for a second..
You are correct if you look at temperature data and Co2 levels over say the last couple million years.... IE the Volstok ice core data shows CO2 levels trailing temperature increases by something like 1000 years. A good explanation for this is that the freezing of the ice ages shuts down the actions of micro-organisms and the organics simply don't break down until the next thaw.
However 2 million years is a very short geological window. In the longer planetary time scale say going back 500 million years we don't see a correlation between planetary temperature and Co2 levels.
For instance during the Ordovician the planet started out about 10C warmer than now on average and with CO2 levels between 13x and 17x greater than now the planet plunged into an ice age.
Anyways, what man-made technology we have to collect solar energy totally sucks when compared with the efficiency of photosynthesis
Umm... what? According to Britannica, photosynthesis is at most 1-3% efficient at receiving and storing solar energy. In fact, theoretical efficiency of photosynthesis is only around 26%.
Meanwhile, according to Wikipedia, the first commercially available solar cells had a conversion efficiency of about 6 percent, and these days, the numbers are much higher (I believe commercially available photovoltaics are in the 17-20% range, though I may be mistaken).
Of course, one might argue about the amount of energy that's put into producing a solar cell. I might rebut that it takes an awful lot of energy to grow, harvest, and convert a crop of soybeans or sugar cane into usable energy (with numerous losses along the way, not the least of which occurs during combustion).
Just so those tree hugger know even if gas is 1000.00 per gal i would still drive a hummer or whatever i like.
You weren't being pedantic, you were being pernickety.
Evil people are out to get you.
Tell that to a room full of biologists.
He can't even spell it right, and you want him to get the exact strain (E. Coli 057:H7) right?
You must be new here.
Slashdot still doesnâ(TM)t support Unicode after it was added to the HTML standard in 1997.
It's called *Escherichia Coli*, for gawd's sake. Man, what is the world of nerds coming to, if even nerds don't know how to spell nerdy words anymore? And it's in the freaking *headline* ... !!
soylent green is made from people!
Firstly, thanks for the info cdn-programmer. I know nothing of the chemistry of fuels, so I appreciate you sharing in such detail.
Secondly, I agree with your C02 position. If people seriously wanted to eliminate C02 they'd plant more. Instead we look for labs to fix it... hard work scares 'em away every time.
I'm going to go a bit off main topic, but I swear, I'm interested in your mind...
Now that I understand that Gasoline - C = H2 (basically), and having read this article Carbon Based Paper, could this "paper" be used to contain H2 fuel effectively? The article states that water causes it to break down, but I don't have the knowledge to determine if it's the H2 thats the problem.
Thanks
Where genius and insanity become confused true wisdom is found
They are the last bug you shouild play with since they have a common relationship with man. A bug making petrol in you gut would be very very bad.
People can also put more insulation in their houses. This will save the CO2 from the fuel burned and save the money spent to buy the fuel. Next the house is cooler in the summer and warmer in the winter and we save our non-renewable natural resources for our children.
We need about R50 in the walls and R70 in the ceilings and this will cost about $1 bux per square foot of building envelope surface area in addition to what we spend now. IE. Its DIRT CHEAP to do it during construction.
But - You are right IMHO. People would rather a lab somewhere fixes the problem. I don't think this problem needs to be fixed in a lab and I'm not sure a lab can do all that good a job. A little sweat mind you will go a long ways. Teaching people what they need to know is very important.
I do not think the carbon paper you refer to will do much for storing hydrogen. Hydrogen is a very small molecule and it gets into metals and embrittles them. It doesn't like to be compressed and as everyone knows even NASA has had its problems when its in the liquid phase. Witness the Challenger. I honestly don't think we want to be toting around much liquid hydrogen. In the gaseous form under pressure its also not fun. Ask a welder about safety with his pressurized welding gases.
Even a semi-tractor tire can be dangerous. In the small town garage where I grew up is a ring in the ceiling left behind by a split rim. This was not at pressures in the 1000's of PSI. Even 100's can kill a person quite easily. In the case of the garage with the neat ring in the ceiling no one was hurt. But they still like to talk about it.
Note: Toss in carbon and we get high energy well behaved liquid fuels that clearly are quite safe to use. We are going to have to learn a great deal about nature before we can top what we already have.
This is why the Oil Industry here in Alberta is investing over $10 billion per year in synthetic oil. You may hear about it as synthetic crude or synthetic fuel or synthetic oil. Its all the same.
We are mining hydrogen poor bitumin with an H:C ratio a wee bit better than 1:1 and we add hydrogen and bring the ratio up in the range of 2:1 in line with the alkane series: CnH(2n+2). For each atom of carbon we mine we need to find an atom of hydrogen. To do this we are building some of the largest hydrogen plants in the world.
We can produce synthetic crude from coal and from any other carbon source as well including plant matter. The issue is these are all hydrogen poor fuels. This is why coal is solid. Plant material is partly oxidized so it carries dead weight. Plant matter is (CH2O)n. These are the sugar polymers that build up through the simple sugars into starches and later into cellulose, lignans and pentosans.
IMHO a really good area of research is fungii that can live in liquid culture and which digest trees. There is much talk on T. Reesie. Trichoderma reeshie is a strain of T. veridi which was isolated in Guam in the 1940's. Its used industrially because it is a cellulose digester. But over 1/2 of most plants are not cellulose. I think we have a situation of holding a hammer and thinking the world looks like a nail.
Non the less. There are millions of species of fungii we know next to nothing about and many produce the enzymes we need to digest cellulostic waste products. If we next have a strain of E. coli which can produce an alkane precursor then this may very well form the basis of a renewable fuel industry.
If so... then we won't have carbon free fuels. I personally don't really worry much if they are carbon neutral fuels as measured by a bio-cycle. Note Volcanoes will continue to spew geologically aged CO2 into the atmosphere and sometimes the rate of spew is very very high. Witness the Deccan and Siberian trapps.
What I'm worried about is having fuel available "at all". The 2007 BP statistical review shows world oil production basically flat. It shows Saudi Arabia in decline last year. I side with th
Water vapor is not the most important greenhouse gas. Sure, it's trapping more heat than CO2 is. Thank god, or we'd freeze to death. But water vapor doesn't drive temperature change. It only reacts.
For instance, if you put several billion tons of CO2 into the atmosphere, the stuff stays up there. You put the same amount of H2O up into the atmosphere, it falls back into the oceans within days, long before it has a chance to change the heat balance of the planet.
The amount of H2O is pretty much a function of atmospheric temperature. When CO2 rises, temperature rises, so the atmosphere can hold more water. IOW, water vapor is a feedback agent, not a forcing agent. [more]
The "increase in plant growth" you attribute to CO2 is only true if all else is held constant. If the Earth gets hotter, and some areas get drier, then the increased CO2 will lead to less plant growth. But maybe that could be counterbalanced by increased plant growth in currently permafrosted areas. But won't the thawing of those areas release vast quantities of methane, another very important greenhouse gas? Anyhow, plants aren't likely to act as a CO2 sink for long.
Even if (as you believe, and I doubt) there is substantial disagreement about whether anything bad will happen, then we have a choice.
1) We do nothing. If you're right, climate change falls flat and we end up with a somewhat improved economy. If I'm right, all sorts of nasty things happen. Floods, droughts, mass extinctions, increased hurricane activity, and so on.
2) We devote a sizeable fraction of our economy to fighting climate change. If you're right, we just wasted a whole bunch of money, and will have to stagger along with a weaker economy than we would have had. If I'm right, climate change means avoiding devastation to vast swaths of the economy. I would also argue that a shift away from fossil fuels is going to carry all sorts of unrelated benefits, like increased energy security, reduced pollution, technological advancement, etc.
As the argument goes, we have no control over whether climate change is real. All we can control is our response. Knowing that climate change is possible, it strikes me as insane to wait until it's absolutely certain before deciding whether to respond. In terms of risk management, there is no reasonable alternative.
You want the truthiness? You can't handle the truthiness!
All these attempts at renewable energy remind me of when inventors all went crazy trying to create a flying machine in the late 19th early 20th century (or whatever timeframe I dont feel like looking up but). A lot of ideas, but virtually all of them do not work in practice. Plants just simply are too inefficient at storing energy to liken giving up our precious earth to use them to fuel our cars (I'd much rather we planted more PERMANENT trees and plants anyways to absorb this increase in heat and CO2). No renewable energy source will work without population controls either, because our petri dish we call Earth is running out of room. Quite simply, our population continues to grow to infinity (unless we get in some serious war) and we have a finite amount of space to harness renewable energy.
Comment removed based on user account deletion
So what these guys have done is engineered E.coli to make hydrocarbons. E.coli is the most well understood organism in all of Science. It doesn't need light to grow so is not bound by seasons. It grows very fast and as mentioned it can thrive on simple carbon/nitrogen sources. This is a fantastic development and doesn't need land the size of Texas or whatever is claimed in some posts below or to be fed corn or some such. Some processing of organic waste and perhaps a conversion of sewerage waste treatment plants to include biofermentors and E.coli could become a supplement to biofuel production. Sure not a panacea but an efficient supplement.
If bacteria haven't mutated yet to do this what makes you think they can make a leap from breaking down polyethylene to something like PVC? The only thing they have in common is being polymers. Make the bacteria require a special nutrient or enzyme not found in nature to digest. Then add it to landfills until they have broken down the waste then stop and the bacteria die off.
I doubt civilization would collapse either. It existed for thousands of years before plastics were invented.
I doubt civilization would collapse either. It existed for thousands of years before plastics were invented.
Civilizations collapse when things they depend upon fail. The nature of these things do not matter, only the dependency. Also you seem to imply there has been one civilization, this is untrue. There have been many, one collapses, another sometimes arises over time. Our civilization could collapse just as manner others have.