Analysts Foresee Another Banner Year For Videogame Industry
Analysts observing the videogame industry forsee 2008 being another blockbuster year in sales. Sales during the month of February were considerably up, according to the NPD group. Early in the year is historically a very slow time in the game sales calendar, making the 34% jump for the month highly significant. Grand Theft Auto IV is likely to be an engine for sales throughout the year: "The game, which will be available on the Xbox 360 and Sony Corp.'s PlayStation 3, is expected to boost sales of both consoles. Pre-orders have been better than expected, according to its publisher, Take-Two Interactive Software Inc. Michael Pachter, an analyst with Wedbush Morgan, expects the game to sell about 9 million units during the company's fiscal year, which ends in October. Roughly 6 million of this, he added, will be to Xbox 360 owners."
they were both hyped and sold well for their consoles
If people can get past, can they get future? Best way to confuse a stoner
From the article:
Going strong since its launch in 2000, Sony's PlayStation 2 continued to outpace its successor. The PS2 sold 351,800 units compared with 280,800 for the PS3.
Somehow, this indicates that the HDTV conversion isn't going according to plan.
..but: "forsee"? Shouldn't the title be "foresee"? Apologies for spelling Nazism, usually, I don't care about that sort of thing, but it's the title, for God's sake, put in a little effort...
However, GTA4 won't do it alone. I'm not sure why the article hinges on GTA4s success. GTA is a huge franchise, I'm not going to argue that, but no GTA game has outsold the Halo or Smash Bros franchises (which produced the #1 and #2 best selling games of last generation). Halo 3 saw release last year to enormous success, and so far Smash has been exceeding sales expectations this year. Combine Smash Brawl with GTA4, Mario Kart Wii, MGS4, and the remote possibility of a 2008 Final Fantasy US release (unlikely, but possible), and you have a good solid framework for 2008 sales. 2007 saw many huge things though, so I'm not sure it's as cut and dry as the article suggests, but there's a good possibility. And I'm not even going to dig into the huge Nintendo DS sales that simply defy all conventional explanation.
Multiplayer Gaming (defined): Sitting around, discussing single-player games with my friends, at the bar.
Could be... or it could mean the 360 is just hacking into Sony's former mindshare. I think it's probably a combination of both, actually. The continued success of the Wii is probably the #1 indication that HDTV adoption (or should I say, SDTV abandonment) isn't going as planned.
Multiplayer Gaming (defined): Sitting around, discussing single-player games with my friends, at the bar.
I don't quite see how that has anything directly related to HDTV, it could just be that people whe have invested in such TV's are buying 360's instead.
The only time the gaming industry doesn't have a "banner" year is usually right before the new platforms launch. Right now there are 3 "current-gen" platforms selling big, with big games coming out, that charge big bucks. Wii will keep being a mega-hit, Xbox360 will continue to dominate PS3 because of Xbox Live, and sony will keep its share with PSP/Blu-Ray(/PS3). PS2's hugest edge over orginal Xbox was game selection, with that gone Xbox is showing some of its strenghts.
So basically, -1 troll/offtopic is really slashdots way of saying "I hate that you thought of something before me."
It's interesting how high sales are despite a stalled economy. Maybe it's cheaper to sit at home and play video games instead of going out, given the price of gas.
Nuclear engineers build weapons. Civil engineers build targets.
I think that it is interesting that although we are more 'connected' electronically speaking, we are chosing to spend more time isolated - physically speaking - in front of consoles in our lounges and studies. Typing messages over a keyboeard to a pseudonym we'll never meet. Yes I do know that there are gamers who have in-house organised gaming sessions - but I think that the typical player would be a - in my house - alone - type player.
And then there is the content of the games. Just like some of the more successful movies I guess, we seem to crave the idea of pain, mayhem, slaughter, rebellion etc
Sure they are challenging but I wonder if there is something deeper going on here.
I guess (nearly?) all sports are built around the same psychology (defeat, crush, destroy, out perform) it's just that more people can vent the same energy without the physical restriction.
Hmmm I wonder if other art forms would be as successful if they catered more to this spirit?
Peotry, Art, Sculpting and such
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article doesnt even mention spore. from the demos i have seen, it will likely be the last game i ever play.
With Wrath of the lich king and everyone praying Starcraft 2 comes out this year, that might over shadow alot of these big console games. Lich king especially will move big numbers, since it's just a expansion, so it's hard to screw up, and if it is, Blizzard can easily fix it, being a MMO and all. Also with "10 million players" it'll be hard not to capaitalize on even half those people. However Starcraft 2, "IF" it delivers the magic that the first one had, a few people might put down the controller and pick up that mouse and keyboard again. Sure it's a different era in the interactive media world, lots of top teir RTSs right now look much more advanced then Starcraft 2 (Compay of heroes, Supreme commander, world in conflict, Total war, and more) However as a multi player game, and blizzards balance and polish obsession the quality might outshine these other games. Lastly Blizzard tends to make the requirements EXTREMELY LOW, for the Minimum specifications, so there's a good chance most desktops and even laptops might be able to run it.
generally speaking, I don't like banner years. This may be helpful...
Mongrel News all the news that fits and froths
It is very likely that economy is sliding into depression. No record sales in such environment, sorry. Wall Street has been convulsing in a crisis for 6 month now, and things are getting worse by the day. We just had one of the largest investment banks collapse on Friday. Events of such significance have not happened since the Great Depression, and don't for a second assume this will not pull the broader economy down.
Human history becomes more and more a race between education and catastrophe.
H.G. Wells, "The Outline of History"
It is astonishing just how fast Laissez-Faire and deregulation causes unrestrained capitalism to self destruct. We'll have gone from reasonably well-regulated, stable Social democracy with an acceptably egalitarian income distribution in 1970 (Life wasn't perfect, but it arguably better in many ways than it is now), to ground zero triggering of a full blown world economic crisis in less than 40 years.
Except that games are cheap. People need entertainment, even in recessions. If money is tight, expect high prices entertainment like trips to a movie theater to go down, and spending on games where you can get hundreds of hours of entertainment for your purchase to go up.
I still have more fans than freaks. WTF is wrong with you people?
Going strong since its launch in 2000, Sony's PlayStation 2 continued to outpace its successor. The PS2 sold 351,800 units compared with 280,800 for the PS3. It's so funny to read the comments on here sometimes. How do so many people miss that the two best selling platforms, by far, are the Nintendo DS and the Nintendo Wii? Even the Playstation 2 is outselling the XBox 360 and PS3!
I'm sure the next GTA will be a popular game, as will Metal Gear. But c'mon, the 360 and PS3 aren't driving this train - and it's not even close.
#DeleteChrome
Booze and prisons also do well during economic downturns.
(Last year I put together a "disaster portfolio" of stocks to buy this year.. booze, prison operators, video games, debt collectors, consumer staples, gold, foreign currency, etc).
People gotta do something when faced with the bleak reality around them.
Movie theaters did great during the Depression for instance. Like you say, I doubt they'll do as well this time around, with so many other choices.
(I guess I should start saying "the *first* Depression" now huh?)
Going out all the time isn't cheap. One of my friends got hooked on World of Warcraft and commented about how much money it had saved him. Why? Well prior to that, his normal weekend was occupied by going out to things like a movie, a bar and so on. Real easy for a single weekend to add up to $50 without doing anything extravagant. However when he started playing WoW, his typical weekend was holed up at home playing games. Despite the monthly charge, he was saving money, and not a small amount.
Well that and the analysts predicting the good game year are probably using some real forecasting, rather than doomsday crap. I'm sure you've noticed by now that Slashdot, like many web forums, is inhabited by a bunch of people who are real "The world is coming to and end!" types. They look for and believe news that everything is going downhill in whatever their chosen doomsday scenario is, and the economy is not surprisingly one of them.
I'm going to guess the industry analysts are a little more grounded in reality and realise that an economic slowdown isn't the same thing is nobody having any money.
Entertainment always does well in a recession/depression. Perhaps a little historical revision is due. People stop putting gas in their cars, stop paying their mortgages/rents/credit cards, stop buying clothes, but yet they still manage to find a few dollars for "escapism". It used to be Hollywood films - the box offices did quite well in the "Great Depression", but now I think you could add computer games to that category.
And yes, I'm a day trader, I follow the news, I know about the 25 basis point cut and JP Morgan buying Bear Sterns for 1/10th of what it's worth, and the 20 B "guarantee" by the fed , etc. The economy is in the shitter, and I keep making money every day. Mostly shorting stock, but sometimes I buy at the bottom too.
I sure wish I had had some TTWO before EA threatened a takeover though. $7 a share is very nice indeed. Oh well. I'll keep making my money 5 cents at a time.
Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
I think what the video game industry needs right now is to reintroduce the text adventure game, a la ADVENT. I really think that this is what serious gamers, with overclocked machines, huge CPU fans, high end graphics cards, and all kinds of other nonsense hardware, want. In green text on a black background, like in the good ol' days.
As former posters mentioned, lets not forget the vapochill powered pc platform. Starcraft 2 screen shots are brining back some good feelings...
Trying to install linux on my microwave, but keep getting a kernel panic...
Oh please.
I'm a grade-A long-haired sandal-wearing granola-eating pacifist hippy, and even I don't think you have a leg to stand on here.
GTA is not presently, nor ever has been marketed at children. The video you linked to was made and uploaded by Joe Random and has nothing official whatsoever to do with GTA or Lego. I suspect that the uploader of that video is more likely to be sued than endorsed by the respective owners of the properties involved.
What happened to hand eye coordination? As far as I can see it's alive and well and making record profits on the Wii.
What happened to puzzle games? Not sure.. perhaps they've undergone something of a record resurgence of late, with web based 'casual games' for the PC, various offerings on Xbox Live, and the usual 'classic game' compilations for all major consoles, not to mention the DS and titles like Puzzle Quest..
As for dribbling and passing.. I'm not much of one for sports games myself, but unless basketball and football have changed very dramatically since last I checked then I'm pretty sure those are still available in whatever the latest seasonal update to the big sports franchises is (is the FIFA series even still going?). In fact, I hear there's also some kind of crazy high tech virtual reality system where you can go to a store, buy a REAL ball, and pass or dribble it outside with your friends - and it doesn't even need a network connection!
When did we turn our minds off to videogame butchery? You're a bit late getting on this bandwagon my friend. Apparently you totally missed Mortal Kombat, Bloodstorm, Robocop*, Hitman, Carmageddon, all of the previous GTA games, and a million other titles which temporarily escape my mind.
There's a simple solution to this - if you don't like the games, don't play them. And if you're letting underage kids play games like GTA then you're downright irresponsible.
I don't mean to sound all smug and glib about this, even though I know I probably do sound that way. Personally I have a similar issue with movies - I find the torture-porn genre which has become so popular of late (Saw, Hostel, Captivity, etc) to be utterly repulsive on just about every possible level. I can't understand for the life of me why anyone would want to watch movies like that, let alone make them.. but at the same time I wouldn't try and take away other people's right to watch that kind of thing if that's what they're into, so long as they're mentally capable of dealing with it in a mature way (i.e. they're an adult, for one thing)
*Yes, the Robocop game (from the 8/16 bit days) caused a minor storm, in the UK at least. "The movie is 18-rated! How dare you let children play this!", the daily mail readers screamed...
Curiosity was framed. Ignorance killed the cat.
Why? When did we turn our minds off to video game butchery?
When we decided butchery was more entertaining and exciting than solving puzzles? When we decided that our leisure time would be better spent fulfilling inner fantasies rather than solving puzzles?
I bought a HDTV so that I didn't have to play Wii Tennis on my small ass standard set. Don't forget it has a component cable and does 480p. Shitty in comparison, but it's wide and looks a hell of a lot better than standard def.
My guess is that there are so many sales in what are usually slow months because this year there is LESS than "nothing" on TV. The writers were on strike, so we don't even get the usual faire of bad TV. New episodes might start in April.
The looming actors strike might mean more game sales, then my analog TVs stop working next year.
TV popularity might never recover.
Or maybe it's even simpler than that. Remember that we're talking only February sales here, not year long.
Traditionally almost all games were released for Christmas or Easter, with almost nothing released in between. February was probably the worst hit, because anything that couldn't make it for a Christmas release (meaning usually it couldn't even make it to the main menu, because otherwise it would have been released anyway for that all-important Christmas buying season) was delayed all the way until Easter. So, you know, sales peaked at Christmas, gradually slid downwards all through January, and February was when us addicts started getting shaky hands and glazed eyes because of withdrawal syndrome, as nothing was released at all in that month.
And then after Easter another drought came, with maybe 1 or 2 games released in all the months until Christmas, if at all.
And for a while the situation got only worse each year.
That seems to have changed in the last year, as some publishers either (A) rushed to fill that void where millions of gamers were just begging for something to blow their money on, or (B) rushed to have their console released before the other guys' consoles, or god knows what other reasons. At any rate, there have actually been new games released in between those two sacrosanct dates.
So comparing only February can paint a highly misleading picture. It's comparing what used to be the low tide point, to a situation which is a lot more averaged. It doesn't necessarily mean that the whole year's total will rise proportionally. It can just as well mean that the peaks for Easter and Christmas will also be lower. (And a bunch of self-styled pundits will rush to proclaim a new video game market crash, illustrated by their comparing only December to the previous year's December.)
A polar bear is a cartesian bear after a coordinate transform.
I originally wanted an XBox360 over a PS3, GTA IV is coming out for both. But with Blu-Ray winning and the PS3's backward compatability with PS2 games (well the 60GB and 20GB anyway), I picked up a 60GB PS3 on eBay for a decent price. I'm very happy with it overall, except it won't play all my video files. Wireless controllers and HD rule. Motorstorm is a blast. Pieced together a Rock Band set for about $50, drums, mic, game. Will get a guitar later, I mostly wanted to drum.
Answer: " A goddamn communist"
Question: "What do you call someone who wants to run every part of your life and only do what is "best" for society"
Why don't you take your judgement and go to some communist state where the government tells you how to live. I prefer to live in a society where I can make decisions about what is best for me.
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A kid that comes from a loving home built around caring parents who provide positive emotional reinforcement to counteract any negative emotions experienced by the kid will simply end up being a well-balanced individual that is entirely capable of separating fact from fiction.
Unfortunately, your entire shallow viewpoint can only be derived from our fearmongering media who's only goal is to increase the viewing figures and sell more newspapers. The fact is, if the news was filled with stories about the majority of well-behaved, sensible kids who don't binge-drink and don't have a criminal record, it would be pretty boring stuff and nobody would be in the slightest bit interested.
If you are one of these "liberal lefties" that blames every problem on some external factor with a total denial of any personal responsibility and a demand that the authorities create some false, protective, nanny-state cocoon around you, then that is your choice. However, in such a case, can I thus suggest that you and any like-but-weak-minded individuals go find an uninhabited island somewhere, emigrate to it, elect your own set of dictatorial politicians to govern you as you wish, and leave those of us who to take personal responsibility for ourselves behind?
I really get sick-and-tired of the minority of lilly-livered idiots like you who believe it is their task in life to inflict their personality disorders upon the rest of us by imposing more stupid laws and an ever-increasing blame-culture on me and people like me.
And as for the dribbling, the only dribbling going on around here is the accumulation of spittle in the corner of your mouth as a result of your manic ranting...
Gentoo Linux - another day, another USE flag.
If reducing your standard of living by 20% seems like a doomsday to you then you are spoiled.
You will still be living better than you deserve after this depression is over.
Human history becomes more and more a race between education and catastrophe.
H.G. Wells, "The Outline of History"
"A game console IS a computer. The C64 was a gaming platform. The revisionists stories always refer to the C64 as being a pull away from video games. It wasn't. It was simply the gaming platform that helped bury the Atari 2600."
There was a fundamental difference in perception. A computer could be justified as a purchase for your kid because they could use it for school. At the time of the video game "crash" anything branded as a video game did not sell. As an avid video gaming kid I recall Toys R Us actually dropping the word video games from their commercial jingle.
It sure wasn't just the Atari that got hit. There were numerous systems on the market (over saturation in fact). Prior to the shift in interest by the public the Colecovision was doing well as a next gen "killer" system. I recall vast dumping into bargain bins of ANY console or console games. Atari 2600, 5200, Colecovision, Intellivision and lots of small players like the Vectrex, Odyssey and Arcadia systems. Not to mention many 3rd party companies that didn't make the shift to computers.
Yes electronic gaming moved to computers until Nintendo reclaimed public opinion about video games but for many people of my generation (I was born in 72) video gaming stopped after Atari lost popularity.
Sometimes my arms bend back.
Funny you mentioned Carmageddon. Man, that game had to change the people to Aliens and Robots for other countries to sell it, because it was so violent. Manhunt 2 only had to blur the screen a little. People think times are rough now, and how things are controlled by this or that, and change content, but that is only because of the internets and pipes we have now to comunicate. Things have ALWAYS been rough.
I don't see how. Like Freenet in darknet mode, Nintendo WFC games require mutual friendship. So there needs to be a way for someone who posts a friend code to know who has added him so that he can add them in return and so that they can schedule a time to meet in-game. On a board running phpBB or vBulletin software, this is typically done through private messaging. But as far as I can tell, SLASH software has no private messaging system (or if it does, Slashdot turns it off), and journal discussions expire after 14 days.
And you still have to buy a console and TV per player.
And how well do I deserve to live by your estimation? Yes I could survive and thrive on much less. Yes if I ate a vegetarian diet and didn't drive it would take much less land to feed me and I'd use less dinosaur corpses. But exactly how well do I deserve to live, and why do I deserve that much or little?
--- Justin Dearing http://www.justaprogrammer.net/ We're just programmers.
Everyone on Earth deserves to live exactly the same.
You will be living better.
Human history becomes more and more a race between education and catastrophe.
H.G. Wells, "The Outline of History"