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Plug-in Hybrids May Not Go Mainstream, Toyota Says

mattnyc99 writes "Honda's challenger to the Prius — the Insight hybrid that we discussed so lividly a month ago — got its official unveiling today at the Paris auto show, with insiders confirming it would be cheaper than the world's most popular 'green' car while still hitting the same fuel-efficiency range. But the hybrid-electric showdown comes in the midst of a sudden rethink by Toyota about plug-in hybrids. Apparently all the recent hype — over the production version of the Chevy Volt, plus Chrysler's new electric trio and even the cool new Pininfarina EV also unveiled today — has execs from the world's number one automaker, and alt-fuel experts, questioning how many people will really buy electric cars, whether people will really charge them at night to keep the grid clear, whether batteries will make them too expensive and more. "

519 comments

  1. Electric Gas Cans? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    What is the electric equivalent of a gas can? When my batteries go flat a couple miles from home, what will I do?

    1. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by Altus · · Score: 5, Informative

      Plug in hybrids still use gas. That's why they are hybrids, otherwise they would simply be electric cars.

      The idea here is to juice up the batteries at home and use them for the first x number of miles (hopefully enough to handle your commute). After that, when the batteries are low, a small diesel (or gas) engine will start up and begin charging the batteries providing you with more range. So if your out of juice you would simply fill up just like a regular car.

      Of course I'm curious how they will report the millage on these cars. I would want to know the range on the electric system and the millage when running purely on gas, but I worry they will come up with some new way to measure it that has little to no meaning.

      --

      "In America, first you get the sugar, then you get the power, then you get the women..." -H. Simpson

    2. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Keep spare batteries in the trunk?

    3. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm thinking something along the lines of one of those battery-powered car battery jumpers. Of course the point is moot in this case, since we are talking about hybrid gas/electric vehicles, so you can just use a regular gas can with regular gas.

    4. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by TheLazySci-FiAuthor · · Score: 4, Funny

      unlike gas, which you can only get from one place, electricity would allow you to charge your car while you push it home. Convert calories to green energy, what a win-win situation.

      So what could you do to charge your car?

      * hook a generator up to a stationary bike
      * lay out a few yards of solar panels for a few minutes (if you are only a few miles from home)
      * knock on someone's door with an extension cord in your hand and ask to use a few cents of power
      * harness some wind power using a wind strip

      and last/worst case

      * actually use a gas can and use a generator to charge for the few miles home.

      converting energy into electricity is so easy and so flexible, it's hard to think what couldn't be used.

    5. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by philspear · · Score: 1

      Kick yourself for not watching the meter, then push/tow your car to the nearest charging station. Maybe call a charging service. It's not like most americans now walk to a gas station and back when they run out of gas.

       

    6. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by eln · · Score: 1

      That's the beauty of the plug-in hybrid model: You still have the gas as a backup and for long trips. Personally, I would jump at the chance to own a plug-in hybrid. The argument that people wouldn't plug them in during off-peak times is a little silly. The most obvious way to use them is to commute to and from work on electric power, and plug them in overnight. How is overnight not off-peak?

      As for the batteries making them too expensive, it's true that for now that may be the case, but as adoption rates increase, the prices of batteries will fall. The Chevy Volt is slated to be in the 35-40k range, which is about the price of an upscale sedan. This means the masses won't be snapping them up right away, but they probably weren't going to do that anyway. Just like all new tech, the early adopters will come in first and help drive the price down to where the ordinary schmo can reasonably afford one.

      I'm not sure what Toyota's strategy is in downplaying the plug-in hybrid model. Are they not able to come up with a good way to do it themselves? Are they trying to steal GM's thunder and delay the buzz until Toyota can catch up? Did the CEO of ExxonMobil threaten to have the CEO of Toyota shot if they started producing plug-in hybrids?

    7. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by Areyoukiddingme · · Score: 1

      You'll call a tow truck and get a jump.

      Of course, that will take a little time....

      Seriously though, tow-trucks already have an oversized alternator and an extra battery for jumpstarting gasoline engines. I could easily see them adding a full-blown generator designed to put a charge into a pure electric vehicle'ss batteries in a few minutes. Enough of a charge to get a few miles, anyway.

    8. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by atlasdropperofworlds · · Score: 1

      You will learn to plan better. Do you run your car near Empty all the time? What do you do when that behaviour burns out your fuel pump a few miles from home? A gas can doesn't help you in that situation.

      However, if you're driving an EV a city, there's a good chance you'll be near an outlet when your batteries go flat, so find it and plug in. Electricity is amazingly easy to find.

      If you're in the middle of the wilderness, well, you probably should have been paying attention, but if there's a station nearby (where you would otherwise get gas), I'm sure there would be a tow truck that would get you to an outlet fast.

    9. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by afidel · · Score: 4, Interesting

      I often wonder why Toyota pulled the plugin capabilities from the Prius, the hardware is there in the first generation models, my friend has a kit to convert his once the battery warranty is up and there's not a lot to it, just a plug that attaches to some internal terminals and a chip mod to delay the engine warm-up until the battery is much further drained.

      --
      There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
    10. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by RabidMoose · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I would want to know the range on the electric system and the millage when running purely on gas
      They never run purely on gas though. Like you said, the gas engine merely charges the batteries, it isn't directly connected to power the wheels at all.
      Personally, I'd like to see a MKw measurement (miles per kilowatt) become standard. Then, for the gas generators, you could get Kw/gallon.

    11. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by Altus · · Score: 1

      I guess at this point I'm just not so concerned with the number of watts it takes to go a mile. But you have to figure that electricity costs are going to go up over time, especially if lots of people are using cars like this. So maybe by the time I'm buying one that will be more of a concern.

      --

      "In America, first you get the sugar, then you get the power, then you get the women..." -H. Simpson

    12. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by jmashaw · · Score: 1

      Plus, when they finally are able to use everyday garbage to spurn a nuclear reaction, we will be already set to go.

      I am already looking forward to our Mr. Fusion powered overlords.

    13. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by jmashaw · · Score: 1

      crap. spurn != spawn.

    14. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by mweather · · Score: 1

      I think you mean miles per kilowatt hour.

    15. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by bonkeydcow · · Score: 1

      I agree, and so what if it is not off peak? It's still better than gas. I mean say my car has a 40 mile range and i have a 35 mile commute each way. heaven forbid i charge the car while I work.

    16. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by mweather · · Score: 2

      Electricity costs will go up, but nowhere near the rate oil prices will. We have a ways to go before we hit peak coal.

    17. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by dohboy · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The best comparison is $ per mile (or euro per km)

    18. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by Altus · · Score: 2, Insightful

      It seems obvious that electricity will still be cheaper than oil.

      I'm curious to see what impact this has on time based electricity pricing. If everyone is charging up a car at night wouldn't overall demand even out between morning and evening? Right now people talk about charging the cars at night when electricity is cheep but I cant imagine that would remain the case.

      --

      "In America, first you get the sugar, then you get the power, then you get the women..." -H. Simpson

    19. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by Bryansix · · Score: 1

      You get a tow.

    20. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by mweather · · Score: 1

      Peak charging times will be just after rush hour, when people park at the office and again when they get home. By then, though lugs will a standard feature in parking spots. I already see coin operated chargers here and there.

    21. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by Altus · · Score: 1

      yea, but the cost of gas fluctuates too much.

      Mostly I want to know what my per mile cost is going to be when I pass the range of the batteries. For commuting to and from work I expect I would be within the battery range and I know I'm going to do that anyway. What I want to know is, how big of a bath am I going to take when I want go on vacation and drive 600 miles without a chance to re-charge.

      --

      "In America, first you get the sugar, then you get the power, then you get the women..." -H. Simpson

    22. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by marnues · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Since we're engineering minded people here, I would assume you realize that $ per mile is pretty useless as a comparison tool since prices can fluctuate per time, per region, per battery, per EV engine, etc. Yes much of the point of these vehicles is to give us a cheaper replacement for us normal folk. However, let's give them a chance to get the engineering right before we start talking about the dollar signs involved. Once we have something that works we can generally figure out a way to lower costs.

    23. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by twistedsymphony · · Score: 2, Interesting

      But you have to figure that electricity costs are going to go up over time

      Funny enough, Solar panels are becoming more efficient and more affordable as time goes on too.

      I for one look forward to the day where my garage has a solar panel on the roof and my full electric car charges overnight costing me ZERO dollars to "fill up". If we see a full electric with a 200 mile range where you can buy the car+ solar charging equipment for under $35K in the next 10 years... that would do wonders to end the oil dependency... I think it's plausible too.

    24. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by superdave80 · · Score: 4, Informative

      The Chevy Volt seems to be using two basic metrics.

      1. How far you can run on fully charge batteries (40 miles)
      2. MPG when the generator kicks in (50 MPG)

    25. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by noidentity · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Plug in hybrids still use gas. That's why they are hybrids, otherwise they would simply be electric cars.

      And in fact they are the only true hybrids. These other so-called hybrids run on gasoline only. Simple proof: no gasoline, no drive (once the battery discharges).

    26. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by TooMuchToDo · · Score: 2, Interesting

      The engine warm-up needs to take place at time of start so if you DO need the engine (passing, etc) the catalytic converter is warmed up to work properly. More info at the link:

      http://www.eaa-phev.org/wiki/Main_Page

    27. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by BlackSnake112 · · Score: 1

      I would want to know the range on the electric system and the millage when running purely on gas

      They never run purely on gas though. Like you said, the gas engine merely charges the batteries, it isn't directly connected to power the wheels at all.

      Only the Volt runs that way. All the other hybrids can get direct power from the gas engine. They can run off of the batteries or the gas engine.

    28. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by Martin+Blank · · Score: 4, Funny

      I prefer doubloons per league.

      --
      You can never go home again... but I guess you can shop there.
    29. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by GooberToo · · Score: 1

      Is that before or after the first 40 miles are used and who long was the over all distance?

      In other words, is that 50MPG on a 100 mile trip where 40% of it was run from batteries or is that 50MPG on a 1000 mile trip where the initial battery charge is nothing but noise?

    30. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Peak charging times will be just after rush hour[...]

      Maybe so in the morning, but at home, people will clue into time-of-use metering, which makes off-peak (nighttime and weekend) power usage cheaper than on-peak usage. So at home people will probably have timers set to turn on their chargers as late as they can for their circumstances.

      IIRC, off-peak discounts usually start around 9pm, but in some regions customers with time-of-use metering get even better discounts after midnight.

    31. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by amliebsch · · Score: 3, Funny

      That would have to be some kind of solar panel to be able to charge your car at night.

      --
      If you don't know where you are going, you will wind up somewhere else.
    32. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by davester666 · · Score: 1

      Why would the cost of electricity not go up rapidly?

      Consider the price spikes in California that have happened in the past (even ignoring the illegal gouging). Household power use could easily double or triple (separate cars for him & her of course). If electric-powered vehicles get any kind of adoption rate, this would greatly increase the demands on the power grid. And what are people going to do when their car has a range of 30 miles, and they live 20-40 miles away from the office? They are going to plug it in while at work, charging it at the worst time for the power grid.

      The price for a barrel of oil has gone crazy mostly out of the fears of oil speculators, and price gouging due to natural disasters, not because of any actual, current oil shortage. Yes, we are using up a commodity which does not have an endless supply, but the price increases in the past year haven't been due to an actual shortage.

      Just switching to electric/hybrid vehicles may not significantly help the global environment (as it depends on how the electricity is generated, and how much 'energy' is lost transporting the electricity from where it is generated to the wheels of your vehicle). I think that the main benefit will be due the 'moving' of a lot of pollution from cities, where it causes health problems for large numbers of people, to more remote areas, and so that the conversion of fossil fuels to electricity can be done in a maximally efficient way (so rather then depending on 2 million cars being properly maintained, hopefully we can make sure ten's of generating stations are properly maintained and upgraded.

      This last part, of course, is hopelessly optimistic (that generating stations are properly maintained and upgraded), given how the various gov't agencies in charge this happens haven't had a particularly good track record of doing so.

      --
      Sleep your way to a whiter smile...date a dentist!
    33. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by BlackSnake112 · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Where does the electricity come from?

      Unless you live in an area where the electricity is made from hydro/nuke/solar only. That electricity is made from oil/coal. So not so much savings since oil is still in the equation.

      Coal is still used in the US at least not sure world wide. I think that are natural gas electricity plants and geo-thermal ones too but I don't have those numbers. Not everywhere can have geo-thermal electric plants.

    34. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So if your out of juice

      Only you can prevent word mangling.

      The word "your" is entirely different than the phrase "you are" and its contraction "you're".

      This English service announcement has been brought to you by the letter "e" and the number 7.

    35. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by superdave80 · · Score: 4, Informative

      The 50 MPG is based on using only the gasoline generator without any energy input from the batteries.

      So, if you start up in the morning with completely dead batteries, you can still drive and get 50 MPG.

    36. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by Walpurgiss · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Perhaps connected to some sort of ultra capacitive charge storage solution that charges during the peak sunlight hours, then discharges when you connect your vehicle as a load?

      Not sure how efficient that could be, but it's unlikely that the op completely overlooked the fact that there isn't much sun at night.

    37. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by DragonWriter · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I often wonder why Toyota pulled the plugin capabilities from the Prius, the hardware is there in the first generation models, my friend has a kit to convert his once the battery warranty is up and there's not a lot to it, just a plug that attaches to some internal terminals and a chip mod to delay the engine warm-up until the battery is much further drained.

      The second part of that, IIRC, only requires a mod of any kind in US models, its activated by an "EV mode" (often called "stealth mode") button that's standard in Asian and European Prius models (both in the current and first-gen models).

    38. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by rickb928 · · Score: 1

      My commute is 66 miles roundtrip, 67 if I need to get gas. So if my plug-in hybrid dies on the 202 some 12 miles from home, I:

      * hook a generator up to a stationary bike - yea, sure. I carry a stationary bike in the trunk? Let's not worry about the generator while I laugh this one off...

      * lay out a few yards of solar panels for a few minutes (if you are only a few miles from home) - I'm unaware of any current PV technology that will give me a useful charge by laying out a few yards along the roadside. Heck, I wonder if I can find something that would give my CELLPHONE a useful charge in a few minutes. Not to mention that for 4 months of the year, my commute back home is IN THE DARK. It's called Winter, a not uncommon phenomenon.

      * knock on someone's door with an extension cord in your hand and ask to use a few cents of power - No one lives on the 202 here, bucko. I need an extension cord about 400' long in most areas. in one long stretch, think a cord measured in tenths of a mile. I'll be coasting to the next exit huh...

      * harness some wind power using a wind strip - This makes more sense as any of the other clever ideas, which is to say it does not make ZERO sense. But I'm wondering how much the wind strip gizmo will cost, and how long to charge me up for the 12 mile dash home...

      Why do I use a 12-mile empty as an example? My 66 mile round trip depends on the traffic. Some days, it's 30 minutes one way with sleci traffic. Some days, it's 60+ minutes with 18 miles of pure stop-n-go. Sometimes more, never less. I wonder how my plug-in will handle that variation.

      Sadly, not many people have thought through the plugin thing. I can't see a pure electric working for me until the batteries get much better, probably 3x the capacity now.

      And I think it would take more like

      and last/worst case

      * actually use a gas can and use a generator to charge for the few miles home.

      --
      deleting the extra space after periods so i can stay relevant, yeah.
    39. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 2, Informative

      The Chevy Volt is slated to be in the 35-40k range,

      So, for the price of this thing, I can buy a 25K sedan that gets 30 mpg, and run the sedan for 75000+ miles before I reach the cost of the Volt?

      Or, looking at it another way, using the same vehicle as a comparator, the Volt and the generic sedan break even on cost at about 187,500 miles. Not counting maintenance, of course, since we have yet no way to evaluate the cost of maintaining the Volt.

      Note: the above is for highway driving, not commuting. Strictly for commuting, the Volt will break even at somewhat over 75,000 miles, depending on the cost of electricity.

      I'll pass, thank you.

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    40. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by amliebsch · · Score: 3, Informative

      A "plug-in hybrid" does have a gas engine for charging the batteries and energizing the motors, by definition. That's what makes it a "hybrid."

      --
      If you don't know where you are going, you will wind up somewhere else.
    41. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by ksd1337 · · Score: 1

      They should design hybrids so that the transmission switches the energy source. Higher gears switch to battery power, lower gears switch to gasoline.

    42. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by scottrocket · · Score: 1
      "When my batteries go flat a couple miles from home, what will I do?"

      Carry a spare battery shaped liked a gas can, to the nearest "gas" station. Good news is, the battery won't be any heavier on the way back to your car. Or carry hybrid jumper cables, whatever those would be.

    43. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by osu-neko · · Score: 1

      Modern solar power systems work at night just fine. However, they get in trouble if you get little sun for many days in a row, running the batteries down with little recharging.

      --
      "Convictions are more dangerous enemies of truth than lies."
    44. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by Burning1 · · Score: 1

      Please clarify: By using only generator power, do you mean generator and other common hybrid techniques such as regenerative braking?

    45. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by CodeBuster · · Score: 1

      The idea here is to juice up the batteries at home and use them for the first x number of miles (hopefully enough to handle your commute). After that, when the batteries are low, a small diesel (or gas) engine will start up and begin charging the batteries providing you with more range

      It would be nice to have some sort of manual override so that you can manually select from among the different available modes which one to use (electric only, gas + electric (with type selected for either efficiency or power, user's choice), gas only, etc...) and possibly even to have custom presets and programmable modes depending upon variable inputs from the vehicle sensors. Perhaps not all enabled by default, but there for those users who want to delve into the operations manual and customize their hybrid to better match their individual driving habits. The vehicles that we drive today mostly do not offer those types of customizations and since the driver knows what type(s) of car trips they usually take it would be interesting to allow more customization and modes in vehicles for those who wanted to experiment.

    46. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by shmlco · · Score: 2, Informative

      "Of course I'm curious how they will report the millage on these cars."

      Most are reported as MPGE (miles per gallon equivalent). "MPGe is based on the quantity of heat energy that can be obtained by burning a US gallon of gasoline (115,000 BTUs). The equivalent in terms of another fuel is the amount of such other fuel that would produce that same amount of heat. That other fuel equivalent is then the unit that enables mileage per that unit. On this basis MPGe is a meaningful measurement."

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/MPGe

      --
      Any sect, cult, or religion will legislate its creed into law if it acquires the political power to do so.
    47. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by shmlco · · Score: 1

      Long way to go before nighttime recharging demand approaches daytime business/summer air conditioning demand.

      And those working on the problem are also recommending "smart" recharging meters that will negotiate the best recharging time with the grid.

      --
      Any sect, cult, or religion will legislate its creed into law if it acquires the political power to do so.
    48. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by alisson · · Score: 1

      Ford's CEO... Mr Ford or whatever google says his name is, said 40 miles on the Colbert Report. Plenty for an average commute to work and back, with a stop for groceries.

    49. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by AJWM · · Score: 4, Informative

      They should design hybrids so that the transmission switches the energy source. Higher gears switch to battery power, lower gears switch to gasoline.

      That's pretty much the opposite of what you want. Electric motors develop peak torque at low RPM, gas engines at high RPM. In fact I wonder about the losses in the additional transmission if you want to drive the wheels from the gas engine; mechanically it makes more sense to use the electric all the time (much simpler transmission) and run the gas engine at a constant speed (more efficient) to keep the batteries charged.

      --
      -- Alastair
    50. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by Glendale2x · · Score: 1

      That's the beauty of the plug-in hybrid model: You still have the gas as a backup and for long trips. Personally, I would jump at the chance to own a plug-in hybrid. The argument that people wouldn't plug them in during off-peak times is a little silly. The most obvious way to use them is to commute to and from work on electric power, and plug them in overnight. How is overnight not off-peak?

      If electric demand "off-peak" suddenly goes through the roof because everyone is plugging in their car at night, it it still off-peak?

      --
      this is my sig
    51. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by AJWM · · Score: 1

      My 66 mile round trip depends on the traffic. Some days, it's 30 minutes one way with sleci traffic. Some days, it's 60+ minutes with 18 miles of pure stop-n-go. Sometimes more, never less. I wonder how my plug-in will handle that variation.

      Wonderfully. When you're stopped, the motor isn't drawing any power from the batteries. True, acceleration takes some juice, but you get some of that back - if you have regenerative braking - when you stop. (Lights, radio, etc will be constant power draws, but if you have LED-based lights it shouldn't be too bad.)

      If you're routinely doing medium-to-long trips, a hybrid makes more sense than a pure electric. If you mostly do short trips, I could see some kind of trailer-mounted generator (or a flatbed full of solar cells ;-) for longer hauls.

      --
      -- Alastair
    52. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by mattack2 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      "once the battery discharges" disproves your "no gasoline, no drive" statement. In other words, if it can go _at all_ with an empty gas tank, then it's showing that it's not gasoline only.

      Also, isn't it true that Japanese versions of the Prius have a way that the driver can make them work entirely in electric mode?

    53. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by camperdave · · Score: 2, Funny

      I think you mean miles per kilowatt hour.

      Please no! Let's not go mixing metric and imperial.

      --
      When our name is on the back of your car, we're behind you all the way!
    54. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by konohitowa · · Score: 1

      When my batteries go flat a couple miles from home, what will I do?

      Kick yourself for ignoring the gas gauge on empty for the last 40 miles?

    55. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by afidel · · Score: 1

      The owner of one of the prototype Tzero's from AC Propulsion (the predecessor to the Tesla roadster) has just such a setup, a matching trailer for long road trips. Here is a picture, not too bad looking and they made it steerable so that it can even go backward through a slalom course!

      --
      There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
    56. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by lagomorpha2 · · Score: 1

      "start up in the morning with completely dead batteries" Are we to presume that the Volt will come standard with a kick starter or is it going to be possible to roll it forward and dump the clutch?

    57. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by fredmosby · · Score: 2, Informative

      Oil makes up an insignificant fraction of electricity generation. The last time I checked the breakdown for the U.S. was around: 50% Coal, 20% Nuclear, 20% Natural Gas, 10% Hydroelectric. Here is the wikipedia page on it.

    58. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by Dracker · · Score: 1

      Typical driving, so it would include regen breaking.

      infinite mpg for 40 miles, then generator kicks in
      After this, you get 50 MPG.

    59. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I would guess the battery life would be drastically reduced when using plug-in hybrids because of the additional charge/discharge cycles and also because of the deeper discharges.

    60. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think the most promising model is buy the car, lease the batteries. The car price could be in the same range as the combustion engine analog, so depending on how much you use the car, it could be cheaper from day one. The only downside I see is vendor lockin, which would allow manufacturers to keep the lease high when battery prices fall.

    61. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by Miamicanes · · Score: 1

      Unless gas were to become PROHIBITIVELY expensive (as in, $8-10+/gallon) and/or the electricity used to recharge the car came from nuclear power, the likelihood of all-electric travel being cheaper over the car's lifetime in absolute terms than gas-electric hybrids, or even fuel-efficient internal combustion engine cars, is low.

      Gas-electric hybrids make a certain amount of sense, because they provide two traction systems that are each optimized for the two most common scenarios encountered by typical American drivers:

      * An internal combustion engine for travel at highway (45+ mph speeds). Internal combustion engines are EXCEPTIONALLY efficient when used to move a car 45+ mph, because that's the load they're optimized for. The reason why fuel economy goes down the toilet in congested city traffic is because the engine ends up running almost as hard, and burning almost as much fuel per MINUTE sitting in stop and go traffic as it would driving 45+mph on a freeway during that same minute.

      * An electric traction motor for use in stop-and-go congestion. When the car isn't moving, the only load is the air conditioner and 80x4+180-watt (RMS) amp being driven by the car's entertainment system. HOWEVER, electric traction motors powered by gas-fueled generators utterly SUCK compared to internal combustion engines when it comes to total operating costs over long distances at highway speeds. Put another way, if you make an electric car with a battery big enough to go 10-20 miles, a generator for longer-distance travel, and you drive 250 miles at 70mph on an interstate using that generator... it's going to take about twice as much gas, and cost twice as much money, to drive those 250 miles compared to what someone with a car that even PRETENDS to be fuel-efficient. That's why nobody makes hybrid gas-electric cars that rely on a gas-fired generator for their primary power source... if you actually RELIED on that generator to any real degree, you'd end up buying double the gas as someone with a "normal" car.

      Toyota has it right. When you cut the crap and throw away the environmentalist ideology, the most cost-effective solution is to build higher-end vehicles with BOTH internal combustion AND electric traction motors (especially things like SUVs that get used mostly in urban stop-and-go traffic), and use whichever one is more efficient for the current driving conditions. At the lowest end (cheap cars for poor people), you're better off sticking with cheap, lightweight, and fuel-efficient internal combustion engines, because someone in THAT market bracket is unlikely to see enough savings in gas costs over the life of the car to offset its higher manufacturing cost. Even if it's "only" $5,000 more. Add the interest expense of piling another $5,000 into the loan amount for 60 months, and any pretense of cost-efficiency goes completely out the window.

    62. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by SnowZero · · Score: 1

      My commute is 66 miles roundtrip, 67 if I need to get gas. So if my plug-in hybrid dies on the 202 some 12 miles from home, I:

      ...shouldn't try to go to work and back on a completely empty gas tank?

      This is not an electric-only vehicle; It's electric + gas. So if you have a tank with gas in it, and a full charge from overnight, with a Volt you would use electricity for the first 40 miles, and gas for the last 26 (@ 50 MPG; that's 0.52 G of gas). So, your normal-car equivalent MPG when using a Volt for your commute would be 66/0.52 = 127MPG. Now you can see why many people are looking forward to this tech.

    63. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by sketerpot · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Better to just hook the panel up to the power grid. Sell power during the day, when there's more demand and the prices are higher, and buy power at night. That way you lessen the need for expensive peak-power generation and get more bang for your buck. It's a win for everyone.

    64. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by sketerpot · · Score: 1

      Farthings per furlong is more alliterative. That's a tax break, probably?

    65. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by bigjarom · · Score: 1

      Where are you getting these figures? They're not exactly correct. The figures in the Wikipedia article are from an article published in January of 2007. The Volt will get more like 30mpg when driven over longer distances. GM is doing a great job of making people think they're serious about this. There are about 10 reasons why this is laughable.

    66. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by Miamicanes · · Score: 2, Interesting

      > I for one look forward to the day where my garage has a solar panel on the roof and my full electric car charges
      > overnight costing me ZERO dollars to "fill up". ... as long as you don't live in Florida or somewhere else vulnerable to hurricanes. Solar hot water heaters became VERY popular here during the 80s and early 90s... until Andrew destroyed every single one in Dade County, insurance companies refused to insure them because they're pretty much GUARANTEED to sustain expensive damage in even a mild hurricane, and the sale of new ones pretty much ended... then the parade of hurricanes in 2004 destroyed just about every single solar hot water heating system in the state.

      Could they be made hurricane-proof? Unlikely, short of building the roof from concrete, anchoring the panels with steel bands embedded into that concrete, and putting half-inch aquarium-glass or aluminum oxide covers on them (which might affect their performance in addition to making them prohibitively expensive). Could you take them down and stow them inside the house? Well, it depends... how enthusiastic are you about carrying a hundred or more heavy rectangular panels at least the size of a half sheet of drywall down a ladder, one at a time... moving all the furniture in the living room to make room for them, putting down plastic (they're dirty, after all... don't want to ruin the floorcovering), carrying them inside, piling them up... then repeating the whole process, in reverse, after the hurricane? Moving a few panels inside is one thing... moving an entire ROOF's worth of them is another matter entirely.

    67. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by Miamicanes · · Score: 1

      ^^^ note... I know that solar water heating systems != photovoltaic arrays. The point is that big panels of ANY kind on a roof in areas guaranteed to be hit by hurricanes aren't going to last for more than a few years before getting destroyed. Solar water heating was fairly cheap and low-tech, and was wiped out by the threat of hurricane damage. I suspect photovoltaic arrays costing tens or hundreds of dollars apiece (with dozens or hundreds needed to generate any meaningful amount of power) won't exactly fare much better with either hurricanes OR consumers here. ;-)

    68. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by canadian_right · · Score: 1

      Regular good mileage car cheaper than Volt?

      Your calculation is reasonable if you put zero value on the environment.

      --
      Anarchists never rule
    69. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      all Priuses except for the north American ones have a button on the dash to put it I electric-only mode. While the American ones don't have this feature, you CAN go into electric only mode by putting a specific amount of pressure on the accelerator pedal. The battery at full charge only has about enough juice to move the vehicle for one mile: the way the battery is primarily used is to provide extra torque to the gas engine on accelleration and to power the accessories (lights, radio, a/c).

    70. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by wiz_80 · · Score: 1

      I agree that charging batteries (whether for hybrids or for all-electric cars) will just move the production of that electricity to a central location. This is something that does not seem to have got through to all the participants of this debate, though.

      Leaving that aside, there are still advantages to burning oil or coal in a central location, where one can implement all sorts of efficiency improvements or carbon-sequestering or whatever. In an ideal scenario, this would be a stop-gap until enough Big Nukes can be built to take over all or most of the electricity generation.

      One interesting approach that I read about involved unused hydro capacity from existing dams, either purely water-gathering dams that had no generating plant installed, or older hydro-electric generating dams which had obsolete equipment. Surprisingly large amounts of energy would be available - not enough that it would supply all of the demand, but much more significant than any other "green" power source.

      --
      " There is a rational explanation for everything. There is also an irrational one. "
    71. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by daem0n1x · · Score: 1

      If everybody use timers to start charging at midnight, it will be a good thing, because it will distribute the load through the whole 24 hours.

      Electricity consumption is quite big during the day and low during the night. That is a major problem for power suppliers because they would like to have their systems operating at a good rate most of the time. They make money during the day, but lose during the night.

      I already have this at my home, I have timers to start the washing machines during the night, because electricity is cheaper. I'm considering buying an electric water heater (I have a natural gas one, and it sucks), and will use a timer so it only heats water at night.

    72. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by electrictroy · · Score: 1

      >>>when the batteries are low, a small diesel (or gas) engine will start up and begin charging the batteries

      This is not accurate. There's already a company modifying Priuses for pure-electric mode. Basically they triple the size of the existing battery, which enables an owner to drive ~30 miles on pure electric. When the battery gets low, the engine turns-on and then the engine *drives the wheels* directly (with any excess power going to the battery). So basically this Prius-Plus Plug operates like any other Prius hybrid, except with an extended EV-only mode.

      Toyoto's version of a plug-in Prius would have followed a similar design.

      --
      The government is not your daddy. Its purpose is not to raid middle-class neighbors' wallets and give it to you.
    73. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by electrictroy · · Score: 1

      >>>It seems obvious that electricity will still be cheaper than oil.

      I don't know about costs, but I do know about the relative pollution. Please note I'm quoting this off-top-of-my head since my books are laying at home, but ACEEE.org has assigned a ranking of 1-100 where 1 is horrible and 100 is perfectly clean:

      (1) Honda Insight SULEV 57
      (2) Honda Civic GX 56
      (3) Toyota Prius 53
      (4) General Motors EV1 52
      (4) Toyota RAV4 EV 52
      (6) Honda Civic Hybrid 51

      As you can see a pure-electric EV is essentially the same as a ~50mpg hybrid car. The cleanest cars ever made are the natural gas Civic and the 66mpg Insight. (They don't rank Volkswagen's 88mpg Lupo, but if they did it'd probably have a similar 56-57 score.)

      POINT - I doubt that having a plug-in hybrid would save you any money versus a plug-free hybrid. It would be more about bragging rights, especially for those with solar-paneled roofs. ("Look: My car is solar-powered.")

      --
      The government is not your daddy. Its purpose is not to raid middle-class neighbors' wallets and give it to you.
    74. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by theeddie55 · · Score: 1

      ok, you give me either an imperial equivalent of the watt or a metric equivalent of the hour (one that's actually usable) then we can come up with a suitable unit of measurement to keep you happy.

    75. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by amorsen · · Score: 1

      If electric demand "off-peak" suddenly goes through the roof because everyone is plugging in their car at night, it it still off-peak?

      You are seriously underestimating the difference between peak and off-peak. Anyway, it would be great, because it's much easier to design an electricity network where base power = peak power.

      --
      Finally! A year of moderation! Ready for 2019?
    76. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      League??? The battery would short out under water.

    77. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by ishmaelflood · · Score: 1

      Could you enumerate those 10 reasons?

      I'm not a huge fan of GM, but, so far as I can tell, the Volt is an interesting rethink on the (very) old Prius type strategy.

    78. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by Sandbags · · Score: 1

      First of all, plug in hybrids have ranges in the 300 miles areana. though the volt will only be ably to go about 60 miles on electric alone, Im my choice of job means I have to commute longer than that, and burn 1 gallon of gas to get home, keep in mind this is counter to using 5-6 gallons for the same commute without the electric car, and the electricity is at about 1/3rd the cost per mile driven.

      Next, Electricity is not limited to a supply based market. Any company anywhere can put up a power plant (or bgetter yet, a wind farm, the cheapest investment / MWHr). Electricity supply is nearly limitless.

      Third, The grid is already being overhauled. The costs to replace our existing national grid infrastructure with superconducting lines is already under way, as it is in Europe, and most of that money has already been earmarked. Wether we want electric cars or not, this overhaul must happen over the next 30 years, and the adoption rates of plug-in cars are expected to be slow enough as to not outpace this process. All new power plants entering the grid will be using new lines only. Small neighborhoods require some new work, but that's done on a demand bases. In California, most of their issues revolve around AC cooling systems, which draw unpredictable power over time. Plug-ins get added to the grid and tend to stay plugged in, making accounting for high use easy compared to AC issues. The other problem in California is simply a lack of sufficient power plants, which more are under construction and that trend will continue.

      Fourth, Since anyone can build a power plant, not just big oil, and the supply is competitive in small and large markets alike, the price is extremely stable. Most power is generated by coal today, but wind, water, and nuclear power sources are virtually unlimited, and their costs relatively stable. Solar is not yet competitive, but likely will be in 15 years.

      Lastly, Since we're using so much coal, at least for the next 30 years, we might as well take advantage of the waste CO2 produced, which though expensive to simply collect and dispose of could be routed through an alternate process, and actually make a profit for the power plants by sequestering. How? Doty WindFuels. Use waste CO2 plus energy from wind and throw in some water, and you can make ethanol, propanol, jet fuels, lubricants, any hydrocarbons you want... The processes are sound, and have been in use since WWII. Doty Energy has patented about 60 processes that have dramatically improved this technology over the last 15 years, and they can now make gasoline from waste CO2 at about $80/barrel total cost, and a $60 when they have their full size facilities up and running (about 30-50% less than the current costs of oil).

      Almost all new energy being added to the grid today is 100% renewable. The amount that isn't is coal plants, but nearly all of them are installing sequestration systems (easy to do for a new plant, hard to do on an existing plant). We have enough wind in america alone that without subtracting farm land, and without forcing people to move, we can power the entire hemeshere.

      I don't know what your talking about regarding "poorly maintained" facilities as almost every power plant in America has been continually reducing output, and the government has been continually lowering acceptible air quality metrics. This has even effected us in Rural SC where new contruction of large manufacturing plants is currently blocked due to emissions regulations set by the federal government. We don't even have a coal plant here, we're powered by Nuclear from about 60 miles away.

      Every power plant produces energy at about 1/3rd the cost of gasoline, and at about 1/10th the emissions (average including current sequestration combined with clean sources of energy). This trend will contine. Every car that switches from fuel to plug-in will reduce by 8-20 fold it's emissions. The grid CAN support it, we CAN afford it (in fact, we'll be profiting from it, and generating hundreds of tho

      --
      There is no contest in life for which the unprepared have the advantage.
    79. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by JimFive · · Score: 1

      Batteries don't go dead all at once. Assuming you have a fully electric vehicle your car will slow down dramatically but still be able to move forward slowly for that last mile or so if you turn off all of the accessories. (Assuming that the manufacturer hasn't put some sort of discharge limiter on it to protect the batteries.)
      --
      JimFive

      --
      Please stop using the word theory when you mean hypothesis.
    80. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by JimFive · · Score: 1

      If this is a real concern, how hard would it be to set up some sort of track system to remove and place the solar panels in the event of a storm. e.g. Having a storage system where you unlock the panels and slide them down a track into a storage room in or under your garage. It wouldn't be that much more work than boarding up the windows.
      --
      JimFive

      --
      Please stop using the word theory when you mean hypothesis.
    81. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by Sandbags · · Score: 2, Insightful

      unfortunately, once electric cars take off, the demand will actually be higher at night.

      Ultracapacators are an option, but are dangerous. More likely, you'll have a battery pack that gets charged and then it charges the car.

      However, wind is still going to be cheaper than solar for 15-20 years. Home solar can't even generate 100% utiilization fro most homes today. An enelctic car by itself uses more than whole homes do. Imaging 2-3 electric cars... Even in 30 years scientists don;t expect to have solar cells capable of meeting those demands, let alone all the folks that live in milti-family homes and apartments who can not benefit from solar.

      Fact is, we have enough wind alone in America, mostly just in texas and the norther wind corridor, to power the entire hemesphere. Wind is cheap, and reliable. On a nationally scaled system, localized wind drop offs are easily compensated for by the grid. This system is not only affordable, but more profitable than coal poewr, and thus you see the existing and continuing heavy investment.

      The power grid overall is being overhauled seperately. Hundreds of billoins have been earmerked to replace our existing national grid with a superconducting system. It's already begun as Long Island's super grid came online months ago. Europe has thousands of miles of this new cabling in place already. We can aford it, we can keep up with demand. Any contrary report is FUD being spread by other industries, or by local power companies who will be forced to lower rates once you can buy power from other places in america to come to your home (decentralized power grid).

      --
      There is no contest in life for which the unprepared have the advantage.
    82. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by smilindog2000 · · Score: 1

      Thanks for the info. However, going plug-in-hybrid, or as GM calls the Volt, E-REV, does several wonderful things. First, it shifts energy to domestic supplies, rather than foreign oil. It allows us to use coal, natural gas, nuclear, hydro, solar, wind, or whatever the heck we like for power. By my calculations, at $4/gal gas, you save somewhere around $5K if you do most of your driving on electric power for 100K miles. That pays for the battery. With modern battery technology, there's also little reason to ever drive a wimpy powered car again. I think GM is probably right: by 2020, around half of new cars will be electric or hybrid.

      That alone would reduce our oil imports 20-30%. Combined with Picken's push for wind and natural gas, as well as the exponential explosion in other alternative energy technologies, plug-in-hybrids begin to look like a compelling part of the solution.

      --
      Beer is proof that God loves us, and wants us to be happy.
    83. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by cnettel · · Score: 1

      The European Prius has an EV button which will go electric-only when you drive below 45 km/h (roughly 30 mph). If you try to accelerate quickly, the gasoline will kick in anyway, but if you just push it mildly you will have a car that will keep going electric even in circumstances where the gasoline engine would normally kick in for quicker response. It also reverts to gasoline automatically when the battery goes low. Despite all this, it is definitely different from the normal driving mode. Great for garage parking, or when you want to sneak up on people, eh...

    84. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by boriquajake · · Score: 0

      They should design hybrids so that the transmission switches the energy source. Higher gears switch to battery power, lower gears switch to gasoline.

      That's pretty much the opposite of what you want. Electric motors develop peak torque at low RPM, gas engines at high RPM. In fact I wonder about the losses in the additional transmission if you want to drive the wheels from the gas engine; mechanically it makes more sense to use the electric all the time (much simpler transmission) and run the gas engine at a constant speed (more efficient) to keep the batteries charged.

      Holy crap, you are seriously like one of five people I have heard that seems to actually understand that. Don't get me wrong, it is not like I am some kind of expert but dang, nobody seems to get that.

      --
      I only scored 35% on the Nerd Test, I'm sorry.
    85. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And if you start with full charge and keep the engine online, you get upwards of 150 mpg.

      Turn the engine off (e.g. run on batteries only), and I get this weird looking symbol that looks like a sideways "8". My calculator must be on the fritz.

      The Volt is the way I always thought electric cars should be.

    86. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

      Regular good mileage car cheaper than Volt?

      Not especially good mileage, really. I used the mileage my 2000 Buick sedan gets. If I were to compare it to something that gets good mileage, the comparison would look worse for the Volt.

      Your calculation is reasonable if you put zero value on the environment.

      My comparison is one that most people who aren't complete idiots will be doing when they consider a new car purchase. Contrary to popular rumour, most people don't pick a car because it's environmentally friendly. They pick it because it fits in their budget. And a $35K car doesn't actually fit in too many budgets. Even a $35K car that gets 50 mpg.

      Especially given that they can get a Prius for $25K that gets 48 mpg.

      In answer to your real question, I don't think that me blowing an extra 10-15K on a new car will save the environment, or even have a noticeable effect on it. I don't think there would be a noticeable effect on the environment if EVERYONE bought one of these things, frankly. Other than that pretty much everyone would be homeless after a few months, since most of the country can't afford a $35K car, much less two of them (we have three cars in my family - if you think I'm spending $100K plus to be "environmentally friendly", then I have some nice land just outside the levees to sell you).

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    87. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by smilindog2000 · · Score: 1

      As uncle poster points out, oil isn't used in America to generate electricity, so it helps reduce oil imports dramatically as well. I wouldn't count "green" power out. Enhanced geothermal, for example, could provide all the power we need, just not as cheaply as dirty coal. If we're willing to pay around $0.20/KWh, rather than $0.10/KWh, there are many ways to provide green alternative energy, including solar, geothermal, wind, and nuclear. Solar alone is projected to reach 23GW/year of production capacity, or around 10 nuclear plant equivalents per year, and rising exponentially. Building a HVDC power grid has already been done in Brazil... imagine Brazil leading the US in such a useful technology, and they built it in 1987!

      --
      Beer is proof that God loves us, and wants us to be happy.
    88. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by Arthur+Grumbine · · Score: 1

      You just made me cry.

      --
      Now that I think about it, I'm pretty sure everything I just said is completely wrong.
    89. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by maraist · · Score: 1

      The chevy volt is more like a diesel-electric train. It runs 100% on electric motors, NO drive-shaft. The diesel engine is merely an electric generator.. This allows for high torque low-rpm travel not otherwise possible with direct crank.

      I'm surprised the chevy volt is going to be gas instead of diesel based for the same reason.. You'd want as high-efficiency electric generator as possible. I guess the louder, heavier, harder to find fuel, were going to detract from sales in their minds - so much for being a leader. Europeans are already producing a diesel type car of this category - but they already accept diesel over there.

      Back to your comment, the expression 'true hybrid' is a little silly, as anything that is a compromise of two pure technologies is a hybrid. The expression gas-electric or diesel electric has a pre-existing connotation as above. Hybrid these days has the connotation of direct-crank + electric power assist. Plugin is god-knows-what.

      --
      -Michael
    90. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by timbck2 · · Score: 1

      There's lots of good information on plug-in hybrids at this site: www.pluginpartners.com.

      --
      Absurdity: A statement or belief manifestly inconsistent with one's own opinion. -- Ambrose Bierce
    91. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'll admit limited knowledge on the plug-in cars, but can they really get a full charge for a typical consumer in a limited window of when they sleep? I tend to go to leave for work around 6:30 AM so would a 6.5 hour charge be enough time?

    92. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by superdave80 · · Score: 1

      Where are you getting these figures? They're not exactly correct.

      http://gm-volt.com/chevy-volt-faqs/
      This isn't Chevy's official site, and it might be out of date. Chevy's official site (I believe) use to have the 50 MPG claim, but it isn't there anymore. That might be because they are trying to get some type of combined electric/gas equivalent MPG rating of 100 MPG from the EPA:
      http://www.canada.com/victoriatimescolonist/cars/story.html?id=6a8c4641-3318-4b0c-813d-951db9742907
      I don't know if there is a more current estimate for pure gasoline MPG.

      Where are you getting your 30 MPG from? And please clarify your 10 reasons for this idea as being 'laughable'

    93. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by rickb928 · · Score: 1

      You're making some interesting assumptions:

      - The gas engine will get 50MPG on the highway. It's an interestng quirk that the Prius gets worse mileage at highway speeds. This seems to be caused by using both engines, with the obvious energy penalty. Will the Volt or whatever have better energy management? Hopefully a little tubrodiesel will be more effecient, but reports I've read indicate it will be used as a generator, not a traction motor. So yes, I hope not to run out of gas.

      - The Volt is regularly proposed as electric-only. I've just seen recent reports that GM is possibly looing into making it a hybrid at first. Typical. Propose something wiz-bang, that really sounds cute, then the obvious criticisms come in and go back to the drawing board to accomodate real-world concerns. oh, while yer at it, ask for a gummint loan to finance development, cause it's really hard and takes a lot of money for the world's once-largest automaker to survive in a competitive market. Sorry, I'm feeling a little pinched what with Wall Street needing a loan from me, and the petroleum industry emptying my wallet at an alarming rate, all the while giving it to people that hate me and want to kill me and my family and end my way of life, which I happen to cherish. Reality bites, and the Volt will need better batteries. So while we start drilling our own oil, as responsibly as possible, we will need to finance battery development, or some form of energy storage as efficient as gasoline or diesel. Sheesh.

      - And while we're at it, perhaps Detroit could work on the next generation of cars that are not just efficient, but adaptable to different drivetrains. Be flexible?

      ps - Electricity isn't free here. Your 127MPG example doesn't seem to account for that. Perhaps a better measure is KW/mile, though pehaps we need to talk about relative $/mile. Maybe in adjusted $, reflecting a standard gas and electricity pricing... Actual $/mile will depend on market conditions, so to relate to mpg we just need to assume costs. For now.

      Not so easy.

      --
      deleting the extra space after periods so i can stay relevant, yeah.
    94. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by bigjarom · · Score: 1

      1. Drag coefficient - Why not make it at least as low as the EV1? At higher speeds this is a huge factor. 2. Range - Today's Electric cars should be going hundreds of miles. Sure the 'average' drive is only 33, but that means many are going more than that. I know it's anecdotal, but I've gone 2 years at a time having to commute 90+ miles per day. This is like a drug dealer - I'll give you a free taste for 40 miles, but then you'll have to pay. 3. Design - It's obvious that GM isn't going for a show-stopper with the dumbed-down production version. It doesn't look any different than a Malibu. 4. Bob Lutz - This guy needs to retire. He had no qualms on Charlie Rose last month saying that he's be happier making muscle cars, and that fuel efficiency is only being pursued because of government policies -and not because of demand. 5. Grossly overstated fuel efficiency - There were several articles a few weeks ago discussing the debate about claimed millage. GM claims it's as high as 150mpg, and Motor Trend is more comfortable saying it's 48. Either way, this is lower than either the Prius or the insight, let alone any real electric cars. 6. Claims that this is a 'new' category of car. It's really not that much differernt than the competition. The fuel economy gets progressively worse the further you drive it between recharges, and it's in the middle of the pack for average hybrid economy. The design is boring. It's not the revolutionary concept that the EV1 was. 7. GM's Track record - If the previous and existing hybrids are any indication of commitment... There was a list on Forbes last year of the 10 least fuel efficient hybrids. Guess which Large American company made 7 of them? That's right it was GM. 8. Price - GM originally stated that the Volt would sell for around $30K. Although they havn't yet confirmed it, various sources are now reporting that it will be more like $40-$45K unless GM chooses to 'subsidize' the price -in which case it will not be sustainable. Not exactly a car for the masses either way. GM is in no position financially to continue to give cars away at a loss. 9. Who Killed the Electric Car? I know it's a hokey over-dramatized movie, but it makes some good points about GM, the government, the oil companies, the auto industry, and demand for electric vehicles. 10. GM's first plug-in hybrid was shown to the media 39 years ago, and even if this thing is released at the end of 2009, it's going to be 40 years late.

    95. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by JD-1027 · · Score: 1

      I've often thought of this exact idea too. So that's three of us. It seems obvious since gas engines perform poorly in stop and go type traffic. Well, have it run at a constant speed and use the battery to buffer.

    96. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by operagost · · Score: 1

      Like the GP poster said, it will be some time until we hit peak coal. Oil power plants seem rare or nonexistent in the USA; regardless, coal can be converted into a petroleum product or the plants themselves can be converted.

      --

      Gamingmuseum.com: Give your 3D accelerator a rest.
    97. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by operagost · · Score: 1

      The Volt will get more like 30mpg when driven over longer distances.

      The old-school 3.4L V6 in my Alero gets 30 MPG on long trips. I highly doubt your projection.

      --

      Gamingmuseum.com: Give your 3D accelerator a rest.
    98. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by operagost · · Score: 1

      There was a list on Forbes last year of the 10 least fuel efficient hybrids. Guess which Large American company made 7 of them? That's right it was GM.

      Was it normalized for the capacity of the vehicle? Buses get crappy mileage, too, but they are efficient because they carry a lot of people. GM sells a hybrid SUV that gets "only" 24 MPG, but it's an 8 passenger vehicle.

      --

      Gamingmuseum.com: Give your 3D accelerator a rest.
    99. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by Rei · · Score: 1

      Unless you live in an area where the electricity is made from hydro/nuke/solar only. That electricity is made from oil/coal. So not so much savings since oil is still in the equation. Coal is still used in the US at least not sure world wide. I think that are natural gas electricity plants and geo-thermal ones too but I don't have those numbers. Not everywhere can have geo-thermal electric plants.

      Oy -- lots to cover with this one.

      1) Coal power plants average just under 35% efficiency from fuel to AC. On top of that, add 92.8% transmission efficiency (the average for the US), ~93% charger efficiency, ~95-99.9% battery efficiency, and a 85-90% electric drivetrain efficiency Gasoline engines, after all of the parasitic losses, average about 20% efficiency from gasoline to wheel torque. Let's assume the energy required to produce gasoline is the same as to produce coal (it's not; coal takes far less energy to produce than oil, but I don't want to have to dig up the numbers). .35*.928*.93*.98*.87=25%. Even coal electricity wins; yet it only makes up half of our power generation. The net change of everyone going electric with our grid's spare capacity would be a ~40% reduction in CO2 emissions, little change in NOx or SOx emissions, an increase in particulate matter, and the near elimination of VOCs and CO emissions. Don't take my word for it; take the DOE's.

      2) Oil generates only a trivial percentage of our nation's electricity. Oil is way too expensive to waste that way in most circumstances. By contrast, coal is literally dirt cheap; some of the coal out west only costs $10-$15 per *ton*. The only state that gets a significant percentage of its power from oil is Hawaii.

      3) Natural gas, nuclear, and hydro make up most of the rest of our power generation mix after coal. Natural gas is lower carbon, cleaner burning, and more efficient burning than coal. Nuclear is nearly CO2-free across its entire (not completely because of mining, processing, plant construction, plant decomission, etc but the contributions from those stages are dwarfed by the energy produced by the plant over its lifespan). Hydro varies. You have the contribution of greenhouse gasses from its construction, but the bigger issue is often anoxic decomposition in the reservoir creating methane instead of CO2. In a few cases, it can actually be worse than coal (although methane has a shorter atmospheric residency than CO2). Solar and wind are currently a small part of our grid, but their costs (especially solar's) are falling incredibly fast. The biggest issues with them are their intermittent nature. High altitude wind helps address this. Other renewables techs include wave, tidal, ocean thermal, ocean current, vortex generation (a solar thermal variant), and dozens of others.

      4) Actually, you can do geothermal almost anywhere. All that changes is how deep you have to drill, and thus the cost. EGS is an interesting new technology that enables this. Normally for geothermal power you need an existing reservoir -- water, fractured rock, etc. EGS uses techniques developed by the oil industry to fracture the rock, and then they inject (and circulate) either water or a gas as the working fluid.

      --
      When was the last time you ran anywhere? I mean with your own legs, not by pressing 'X'?
    100. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by operagost · · Score: 1

      Diesel costs about 25% more than gasoline in the USA, while diesel engines are not 25% more efficient than gas engines.

      --

      Gamingmuseum.com: Give your 3D accelerator a rest.
    101. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by operagost · · Score: 1

      He said gears, not speed. You can just as easily cruise at 1200 RPM in an overdrive gear as rev up to 8,000 RPM in a low gear.

      --

      Gamingmuseum.com: Give your 3D accelerator a rest.
    102. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by Rei · · Score: 1

      Yes. A car like the Volt will use about 200Wh/mi. Your standard NEMA 5-15 wall socket can deliver about 1.6kW. Let's call it 1.5kW after charger losses. That's 9.75kWh, i.e., 50 miles. Assuming it only gets 6.5 hours every night, and there's never any charge left over. Yet, honestly, the current available to a 5-15 is pretty darn weak; it's barely enough to run a hair dryer. Just a washing machine/dryer outlet, which is only 30A, would be able to give such a vehicle about 42kWh in that time -- i.e. 215 miles. And that's not even the most powerful type of outlet in a typical home; a range outlet, for example, is 50A.

      Power companies are ecstatic about the idea of EVs and PHEVs, because people can plug them in on a timer and get a charge during a time when the power companies have surplus generation capacity. They get to sell more power without building new facilities; it's a dream come true for them. Even better, in the future, is the idea of a "smart grid", where data is sent over the power lines as to the needs of the grid. You plug in your car, set the dial for how long before you're going to need it to be charged, and your car adjusts the rate it charges at according to the needs of the grid, so long as it ends up with a full charge within your specified time period. The more lenient you are, the less the power companies charge you for the electricity.

      --
      When was the last time you ran anywhere? I mean with your own legs, not by pressing 'X'?
    103. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by quarkscat · · Score: 1

      Best fuel efficiency at a constant speed may be okay for the gas internal combustion engine, but it is far better for the diesel IC engine, and best with a turbine engine. Since turbine engines are also one of the most expensive and noisiest, it probably wouldn't do well in automobiles. But a diesel, and especially a biodiesel IC engine running at constant RPM is both efficient AND better for the environment. Combined with a plug-in serial hybrid electric drivetrain, and you have a winning combination. There have been many new start-up biodiesel "refineries" that have sprung up in the USA since the latest gas price crunch. They are often located very close to where the vegetable oil is actually grown and produced. The Bush administration's failure to adopt ultra-low sulfur diesel fuel standards on schedule killed off Volkswagen's TDI auto imports, and delayed Mercedes Benz BlueStreak(?) auto imports. It probably also delayed for a decade the Japanese entrance into the diesel-electric auto market. This technology is the best medium term solution to both peak oil and global warming, at least until battery technology improves to the point of 4-500km range.

    104. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by Rei · · Score: 1

      That's not true. The electric motor in the Prius is incapable of driving the car alone except in "NEV" type conditions -- low speeds, low acceleration, etc. Otherwise, it needs gasoline engine assistance. Hence, in "normal" driving, there is no EV-only driving. In Google's experience with a small plug-in Prius fleet, they were averaging about 70mpg, not counting the electricity used. Some people report as high as 100mpg; it'll really depend on your driving style.

      This is very different from an ER-EV configuration like the Volt uses, where *only* a powerful electric motor drives the wheels. It gets infinite miles per gallon (electricity only) in the first 40 miles, then switches to charge sustaining mode with the 1.4L gasoline/E85 generator. Such vehicles are far better for the environment than a standard PHEV.

      I should point out that Toyota is one of the least bullish companies on EVs/PHEVs. Probably the only one more vocally opposing them is Honda. Pretty much everyone else is moving strongly in the direction of EVs/PHEVs. Check out an incomplete list of upcoming EVs/PHEVs.

      --
      When was the last time you ran anywhere? I mean with your own legs, not by pressing 'X'?
    105. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by superdave80 · · Score: 1

      Why not make it at least as low as the EV1?

      You mean the two-seater? Of course a full size 4-5 passenger car won't have as low a drag coefficient.

      Today's Electric cars should be going hundreds of miles.

      Sure, its' called a Tesla. If you have $100k laying around, go ahead and buy one.

      Sure the 'average' drive is only 33, but that means many are going more than that.

      So, a car that will work fine for half the population is no good? There won't ever be a single vehicle type that will fit everyone's needs. And since a lot of commuters sit in stop-and-go traffic, an electric engine that doesn't idle and waste power is perfect. Plus, you can try to charge the car at work to get 80 miles of battery run-time each day.

      This is like a drug dealer - I'll give you a free taste for 40 miles, but then you'll have to pay.

      No, you pay for the first 40 miles, but it is just more efficient and cheaper.

      It doesn't look any different than a Malibu.

      So, you are worried about it's looks?

      Bob Lutz - This guy needs to retire.

      What does he have to do with the performance of the car?

      GM claims it's as high as 150mpg, and Motor Trend is more comfortable saying it's 48.Either way, this is lower than either the Prius or the insight,...it's in the middle of the pack for average hybrid economy.

      150 MPG is much better than the Prius, and 48 is the exact same as the Prius. And the Prius has no 'battery only' driving option. It's gas all the time. And the Insight is expected to only get about 40 mpg http://wot.motortrend.com/6300311/auto-news/take-that-prius-honda-insight-pricing-will-start-near-19000/index.html

      various sources are now reporting that it will be more like $40-$45K unless GM chooses to 'subsidize' the price -in which case it will not be sustainable. Not exactly a car for the masses either way.

      Wow, so a new type of car that is being produced for the first time that uses expensive batteries will cost more than a mass produced car that has been in production for years/decades? Thanks, Mr. Obvious!

    106. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by Rei · · Score: 1

      The Volt's battery pack is $10k. The Prius's is $3k. So, an $7k difference. Let's ignore that battery manufacturers are looking at huge price custs as they scale up -- Enerdel, for example, expects their cell costs to get cut in half over the next few years. Let's just stick with $7k. The *average* driver goes 12,000 miles a year. With $4/gal gasoline and assuming 45mpg for the Prius, that's $1066/year. 12,000 miles at 200Wh/mi and $0.10/kWh is $240/year -- a savings of $826/year. This means a payback period of 5.5 years. Factor in interest versus inflation, and you could amortize those costs over 11 years. The battery pack is *warrantied* for 10 years, and should last the life of the vehicle. The average vehicle today lasts about 19 years. Plug-in wins; in this comparison, you spend the same in the first 11 years of ownership, and then you spend less after that. Compare it to a non-hybrid car and it's a blowout.

      Now, if you're going to argue, "Hey, I don't plan on keeping my car that long!" Well, that's kind of beside the point. A hummer costs 1.5 times what a Prius does, but it depreciates 3 times as fast. Depreciation is strongly correlated to operations costs. If it costs a lot to run it, its value plummets like a rock, since those looking to save money on a used vehicle don't want to have to blow a lot of money on fuel costs. Now, buying *any* car new is generally going to be a money-losing proposition, but you can expect a car whose fuel costs less than a quarter as much as a Prius to hold its value better than a Prius. Furthermore, we haven't even discussed the "above average driver" case here.

      --
      When was the last time you ran anywhere? I mean with your own legs, not by pressing 'X'?
    107. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by Rei · · Score: 1

      What are you talking about?

      1) The Volt has *always* been an ER-EV by design, not a BEV. They never "proposed something whiz-bang" that was a BEV for the Volt.

      2) The Prius gets similar highway and city numbers. So will the Volt. Series and parallel hybrids each have advantages and disadvantages. Direct drive means that there's no battery/generator/inverter/motor losses, but it also means that the engine isn't running at an optimal RPM/torque envelope at all times.

      --
      When was the last time you ran anywhere? I mean with your own legs, not by pressing 'X'?
    108. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by spitzak · · Score: 1

      Very funny, but in fact there is a seperate normal 12v (or maybe 6) battery that runs the starter and lights and radio when the car is turned off. If that is dead you jump-start it like a normal car.

    109. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by Rei · · Score: 1

      Actually, it's the opposite of what you'd expect. Hybrids stress their packs more than PHEVs, which in turn stress their packs more than BEVs. It comes down to capacity. Hybrids have little packs, PHEVs bigger packs, and BEVs bigger packs still. The more the capacity, the lower the charging/discharging current per cell and the fewer total cycles that cell goes through. That's part of how Tesla can get away with a five year lifespan using some of the least stable cells on the market (conventional small-format li-ion); there are just so many cells that each one is used very gently, even when the car is racing along.

      --
      When was the last time you ran anywhere? I mean with your own legs, not by pressing 'X'?
    110. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by Rei · · Score: 1

      As many have pointed out to you, a PHEV doesn't need an electric "gas can" because it has a literal gas tank in it and can run on gasoline. But even for a BEV, there are many options if you get stranded in the middle of nowhere. For example, a 25 pound LiP backpack could, in 15-30 minutes, store enough energy to get you to wherever it was that you charged it. And unlike a gasoline car which needs to get specifically to a gas station, which may be dozens of miles away, almost any old farm house will do; in most places, you could fairly easily just push your car to the nearest one. Lastly, there's nothing to stop an equivalent of AAA, for example, from driving up with a high power generator or with a charged pack that they can quickly empty into yours.

      But back to plug-in hybrids: no need, as you have a gas tank.

      --
      When was the last time you ran anywhere? I mean with your own legs, not by pressing 'X'?
    111. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by AJWM · · Score: 1

      This is how nearly all non-electric trains (ie, trains that don't pick up their power from external wires or rails) work, (excluding a few antique steam engines). Nearly all diesel locomotives are actually diesel-electrics, with the diesel engine turning a generator which provides electrical power to the drive motors. Considering the torque needed to get a train moving, it makes a lot of sense.

      --
      -- Alastair
    112. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by Rei · · Score: 1

      That $35-40k number includes risk. For example, even though their accelerated aging testing shows that the battery packs are performing out outstandingly, that number includes an assumed cost of one battery pack replacement in every single Volt, which is a forecast $10k. Ultimately, GM is planning to "subsidize" that cost down some, but one can question how much of a "subsidy" it is when you're making risk assumptions like that.

      --
      When was the last time you ran anywhere? I mean with your own legs, not by pressing 'X'?
    113. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by bigjarom · · Score: 1

      GM sells a hybrid SUV that gets "only" 24 MPG, but it's an 8 passenger vehicle

      Oh, I was unaware that SUV's were typically full.
      I was under the impression that the typical vehicle had one or two people in it, and that the typical family had 3.5 people.
      Next time I see all those SUVs on the Phoenix freeways I'll try to remember that even though they all look nearly empty, each one has 8 passengers in it.
      Thanks for the heads up.

      So, to answer your question: No, I do not believe they controlled for imaginary variables.

    114. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by fataugie · · Score: 1

      It comes with a detachable crank. You stick it in the front of the engine and turn over, being careful to start at the bottom of the stroke, or you could break your arm if it kicks back.

      --

      WTF? Over?

    115. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by Miamicanes · · Score: 1

      Personally, I think there's only one thing that can really make all-electric cars & trucks viable for long-distance travel... some kind of side-mounted power rail accessible to cars driving in the leftmost lane on interstate highways that gas-fueled cars can ignore, but electric cars can dynamically draw power from for long-distance travel (falling back on their battery when changing lanes, passing, not following a left exit, etc). Of course, there'd need to be some standardized means of metering and billing drivers for electricity actually used, and IMHO the most viable place to put the rail is probably in a cut immediately to the left of the leftmost lane, depressed ~2 inches below surface height when the road is resurfaced (so the surrounding road gradually wears down until it's level). There'd be a shock hazard for anyone carelessly walking around... but arguably, someone walking around in the emergency lane on a freeway is at fairly major risk of getting hit by a car at any time, anyway, so it's really not upping the risk that much. Ask any highway patrolman how many instances he's aware of where someone ended up hitting a car stopped in the emergency lane, and that car ended up injuring or killing someone standing nearby...

    116. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by Pope · · Score: 1

      About 45% of Texas' power comes from natural gas (which you can see by reading any REP's facts label document). When gas rates jumped early this summer, electricity prices were going up almost weekly for fixed-rate contracts on the competitive market.

      --
      It doesn't mean much now, it's built for the future.
    117. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by bigjarom · · Score: 1

      You mean the two-seater? Of course a full size 4-5 passenger car won't have as low a drag coefficient.

      The EV-1 had the lowest drag coefficient (0.19) of any production car ever. Even the Camry (0.27) has less drag. The Volt (.29) could have at least tried to come closer. It just shows they're not pushing for economy as much as for PR.

      Sure, its' called a Tesla. If you have $100k laying around, go ahead and buy one.

      I will if they still make them in 5 or 6 years when I will be able to afford one.

      So, a car that will work fine for half the population is no good? There won't ever be a single vehicle type that will fit everyone's needs. And since a lot of commuters sit in stop-and-go traffic, an electric engine that doesn't idle and waste power is perfect. Plus, you can try to charge the car at work to get 80 miles of battery run-time each day.

      Good point. But I was thinking in terms of comparing it to an all-electric that would have the range for everyone. Granted this is currently an expensive option, but it wouldn't have been if GM had supported EV R&D in more than a token way.

      No, you pay for the first 40 miles, but it is just more efficient and cheaper.

      That's why I said it's LIKE a drug dealer, not that it IS one.

      So, you are worried about it's looks?

      I am not personally worried about the looks, but I'm worried that GM didn't want it to be a runnaway best-seller like the PT Cruiser was in it's day. Granted this is a weaker argument, but YOU try coming up with 10 reasons for anything!

      What does he have to do with the performance of the car?

      Bob Lutz is the co-chairman of GM. He is responsible for setting the direction of the company's marketing efforts worldwide. He has outright stated that he does not belive in global warming and this 'green' push is an inconvienience for US automakers. I have no confidence whatsoever that he is devoted to reducing oil consumption in any way at all. This car is designed to increase people's perception of GM as a company. It is not designed to move us into alternative energy sources.

      150 MPG is much better than the Prius, and 48 is the exact same as the Prius. And the Prius has no 'battery only' driving option. It's gas all the time. And the Insight is expected to only get about 40 mpg http://wot.motortrend.com/6300311/auto-news/take-that-prius-honda-insight-pricing-will-start-near-19000/index.html

      Ok, you got me there. I didn't chack my facts. BUT, I was talking about the previous Insight, not the upcoming one. So I was kind of half right.

      Wow, so a new type of car that is being produced for the first time that uses expensive batteries will cost more than a mass produced car that has been in production for years/decades? Thanks, Mr. Obvious!

      My point was more about the bait-and-switch dilogue about the price over time, not much about the absolute price. Still, This kind of car would have been a LOT cheaper if any of the bigger companies had started actually working on it years ago when the technology became available instead of now racing to catch up. GM purchased the company that made the EV1 batteries and then quickly decided not to use or sell those batteries to anyone after they destroyed all the EV1s.

    118. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by davester666 · · Score: 1

      "Next, Electricity is not limited to a supply based market. Any company anywhere can put up a power plant (or bgetter yet, a wind farm, the cheapest investment / MWHr). Electricity supply is nearly limitless."

      Do a google search using: us new power plants

      The first link is a PDF to an report titled "Tracking New Coal-Fired Power Plants"
      Look at the graph on page 4. That shows that lots of companies propose making new power plants, but remarkably few actually do.

      And this article makes me laugh and sick at the same time:
      http://www.nytimes.com/2008/06/27/us/27solar.html?_r=1&oref=login
      (registration required to read)
      The articles title: "Citing Need for Assessments, U.S. Freezes Solar Energy Projects"

      Yes, coal generation could be a great method to generate electricity, and the gov't and private sector could work hand-in-hand to make sure it is done efficiently, safely and in a responsible manner. But historically, gov't oversite, such as the EPA, hasn't done a great job at making sure it's efficient, safe and done responsibly.

      And the Senate and Congress seem fairly eager to start creating new holes offshore and in various other protected area's (but not within sight of any wealthy landowners).

      --
      Sleep your way to a whiter smile...date a dentist!
    119. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by CottonThePirate · · Score: 1

      Depends where you live. The listings simply need to be updated to include a miles/kWh. Then you can calculate. I live in Hawaii which has the highest electric in he country (I think) right now at almost 38 cents a kWh. Gas is running right about $4.00 a gallon at Costco. For easy math lets say a Prius gets 50 miles to the gallon and 3 miles to the kWh(I saw this number on a conversion website, I'm guessing it's generous). Your dollar per mile on gas is 4/50 = .08, on electric it .38/3= .13 . So while I understand that electric is much cheaper on the mainland (I think I was paying 18 cents a kWh in the northeast, which makes it .06 dollars/mile) you can see that plug in cars don't offer you that much in savings over a gas, and depending where you live may cost more. All these articles seem to think power is free. Maybe someday it will be all solar and wind at 5 cents a kWh, but I doubt it.

    120. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by Rei · · Score: 1

      Erm, *8.5* years, not *5.5*. :P

      --
      When was the last time you ran anywhere? I mean with your own legs, not by pressing 'X'?
    121. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      mechanically it makes more sense to use the electric all the time (much simpler transmission) and run the gas engine at a constant speed (more efficient) to keep the batteries charged.

      Wow; you just described they system GM picked for the Chevy Volt!

    122. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by RalphTheWonderLlama · · Score: 1

      And recharging at night will even out the electricity need throughout the day so that our power plants can be used more efficiently (think no idle cpu cycles).

      --
      simple, fast homepage with your links: http://www.ngumbi.com/
    123. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

      Ultimately, GM is planning to "subsidize" that cost down some, but one can question how much of a "subsidy" it is when you're making risk assumptions like that.

      GM is not going to take a loss on them. They're not going to lower their profit margin signifcantly. So don't bet on the battery costs being more than "hidden well". You'll still be paying them, one way or another.

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    124. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by sketerpot · · Score: 1

      unfortunately, once electric cars take off, the demand will actually be higher at night.

      No, it won't. There will be enough cars parked during the day that if daytime prices are cheaper, they can recharge during the day and balance out the cars charging at night. I'm pretty sure the word "elastic" applies here somehow.

      That would be almost an ideal situation: by fiddling with the times of day when cars recharge, we could reduce fluctuations in power demand to almost nothing (compared with today, at least). And that would make the power grid much more efficient.

      However, wind is still going to be cheaper than solar for 15-20 years.

      That's an awfully bold prediction. I don't feel comfortable predicting the course of such a rapidly advancing field even five years into the future. It's not really about percent efficiency of the solar cells; it's about how much they cost to make. If we have (say) 20% efficient solar cells that can be mass produced dirt cheap, then solar very well could beat wind (or even coal) in cost per kilowatt-hour. I don't know where you're getting your "15-20 years" and "30 years" figures, but personally I'm betting solar gets cheaper than wind in about five years.

    125. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by noidentity · · Score: 1

      "once the battery discharges" disproves your "no gasoline, no drive" statement. In other words, if it can go _at all_ with an empty gas tank, then it's showing that it's not gasoline only.

      By that logic, a manual transmission vehicle is hybrid (gasoline-gravity), since at the top of a hill it can still go for blocks, even if the tank is empty. For it to allow electricity as one of the fuels, it must be able to run indefinitely without gasoline. Most current so-called hybrid vehicles are just more efficient gasoline-powered vehicles.

    126. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by noidentity · · Score: 1

      Back to your comment, the expression 'true hybrid' is a little silly, as anything that is a compromise of two pure technologies is a hybrid. The expression gas-electric or diesel electric has a pre-existing connotation as above. Hybrid these days has the connotation of direct-crank + electric power assist. Plugin is god-knows-what.

      I'll concede that (most) current hybrid vehicles do have a hybrid torque-generation system. But usually the hybrid is taken to refer to not being dependent on gasoline to drive, which most current ones fail at.

    127. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by ishmaelflood · · Score: 1

      Well, thank you for taking me seriously, but...

      1) not worth it for normal drive cycles

      2) should've could've. They don't with reasonably cheap batteries if they are crash proof.

      3) Agree

      4) He isn't the worse GM guy around

      5) That's a big philosophical/political argument. GM are free to choose whatever respected authority's defintion suits them (yeah it sucks).

      6) hmm, subtle. I quite like the 40 mile EV range argument.

      7) OK

      8) Agree

      9) Disagree. They made a beautiful thing that made no sense. BTDT.

      10) No, there has been no consumer led imperative for such a vehicle up til now.

    128. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by camperdave · · Score: 1

      How about ditching the miles in favour of kilometers?

      --
      When our name is on the back of your car, we're behind you all the way!
    129. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by theeddie55 · · Score: 1

      now why didn't I think of that... oh... wait... I did. It's still an imperial measure of time and a metric measure power, as I pointed out in my original post.

    130. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by camperdave · · Score: 1

      Ahem! An hour is an acceptable SI unit of time.

      --
      When our name is on the back of your car, we're behind you all the way!
    131. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by Sandbags · · Score: 1

      daytime charging? what, do you plan on Walmarts installing charging cables? Meters on street corners haveing hookups to 40 amp curcuits? Parking garrages too? How do we know who to bill the electricity to? Assigned parking? Excryted credit card transactions at parking meters? Each parking stall with it's own electrical meter, own hookup? Shit, the cable you plug into your car to charge has over $100 of copper in it... Now you not only have to find a place to park, but one with a working meter, and a connector that's not damaged?

      Sure some places will install such a system, but 90% of us who drive to work won't get to use one, not with the costs, jegistaltion, monitoring, ticketing, and everything else balanced vs an extra $1 per 50 miles driven to get home on gasiline.

      We have already discovered dozens of ways to improve solar efficiency. We pretty much know what we'll be advancing over the next 10-15 years, just like we've planned out microchip advancements for the last and future decade. You must be one of the people that still think SIMM memory came out 8 years before DIMM was not a coincidence, that naming a first "single" 8 years before there was "double" or that we actually keep designing a better toothbrush after 90 years of study is an actual science...

      In the last 20 years, solar has seen about a doubling in efficincy. At 20% efficiency, even if cheap, it's not enough energy. Even for my house, in SC, with a full southern facing roof, I could not install enough solar panels to offset my 2000KWh bill. I would have needed another bank in the back yard to make the difference. Guess what, just a single plug in vehicle driven 80 miles a day would use more energy than the whole house. To power the home and 2 cars, I'd have bneeded 70% efficient cells to cover it without using lawn space. ...and what do we do about the half of america that does not have a home to put solar on, let alone the half of them that rent homes instead of owning them?

      the 15-30 years is coming from the scientists, MIT, research firms, and more. It's not a guess, but a realistic estimate. We know we can only get so much energy out of a given surface area. We know the properties of light and materials. We've made some advancements in refracted photovoltaic crystalization, and we have cheaper, more flexibler materials, but the cost is still rediculous, and though it may be competitive in efficincy in 20 years, it won;t be in cost, or vice versa.

      Current solar user who advertise 8-12 year payback are getting substantial government subsidy (up to 70%!). In SC, I only qualify for the $2000 one time benefit from the federal government. To offset 60% of my use, the most economical instalation per amount of energy generated for my location and home size, it was going to take 21 years to pay off, assum ing an annual 5% increase in electric costs, and assuming the panels did not need replacement during that time, and assuming only a 2% annual performance dropp off. 1 hail storm and my insurance deductable, and it would have been impossible to recoup the payments over time. Trippling that toi power the house and 2 cars? simply not possible. The cost needed to be 20% or less than it currently was. Unfortunately, more than 20% of the cost was LABOR, meaning even if the panels were free, I could not have broken even with that scenario vs a plug-in-to-the-grid car.

      --
      There is no contest in life for which the unprepared have the advantage.
    132. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by Sandbags · · Score: 1

      Yea, private sector fighting and environmental concerns based mostly in FUD propoganda are preventing grid expansion. It;s worse for nuclear. Of the estimated cost of a new nuclear plant, nearly 30% is in legal fees and payoff concessions. Only 70% of the cost is in actual constuction fees. Coal is better, but nobody wants the coal plant for fear of smog, ignoring the fact that a new plant would use sequestration, since selling the CO2 for RTFS use is actually more profitable than not sequestering it in a newly constructed plant.

      --
      There is no contest in life for which the unprepared have the advantage.
    133. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by Sandbags · · Score: 1

      Oh yea, and the drilling? They did tell you that the estimates are we won;t be getting oil from there into our pumps for 7-10 years, and it won't be at less than $4.50 a gallon. Some areas they're proposing to drill have a $6.00 per gallon minimum profit point. Shale oil is even worse, and 6 times as polluting.

      --
      There is no contest in life for which the unprepared have the advantage.
    134. Re:Electric Gas Cans? by NateTech · · Score: 1

      Charging a car through a standard NEMA 5-15 wall socket is moronic. You need high-current and high voltage lowers that requirement, of course. (Basic Ohm's Law here.)

      220V sockets or more likely, 220V inductive couplings on heavy-duty cabling in a garage will probably be the more likely scenario for charging cars at suburban houses with a garage.

      Those in urban environments without indoor parking will have to have something "safer" designed for outdoor use.

      --
      +++OK ATH
  2. I work in the power industry by dj245 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The grid can handle this. Millions of cars aren't going to be plugged in overnight. Yes, it takes years for a large power plant projects and big high-voltage lines to be planned, designed, and installed. It also takes years for a new car to become a significant percentage of cars on the road. When you consider that the economy is starting to squeeze people, its pretty clear that millions of people aren't going to run out and buy a new car just because its shiny.

    --
    Even those who arrange and design shrubberies are under considerable economic stress at this period in history.
    1. Re:I work in the power industry by No2Gates · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      There is no way the grid can handle so many cars being plugged in to recharge at night. You may feel nice and fuzzy warm about getting an electric vehicle, but then, you get a whoop-ass dose of reality when you find out, low and behold, your electric provider uses COAL FIRED plants to create this invisible power. What is the dirtiest method of power?????
      But you tree huggers just go bury your head in the sand and don't think about the logistics.

      --
      Every time you call tech support, a little kitten dies.
    2. Re:I work in the power industry by Cyberax · · Score: 1, Insightful

      I get my electricity from nuclear powerplant. So what now?

    3. Re:I work in the power industry by philspear · · Score: 1

      What is the dirtiest method of power?????

      Burning wood. Runner up: burning gasoline in your car.

    4. Re:I work in the power industry by Chris+Burke · · Score: 5, Insightful

      You may feel nice and fuzzy warm about getting an electric vehicle, but then, you get a whoop-ass dose of reality when you find out, low and behold, your electric provider uses COAL FIRED plants to create this invisible power. What is the dirtiest method of power?????

      The dirtiest would be a tiny mobile power plant burning fossil fuels that can't afford to have large-scale scrubbers on them because, being mobile, this power plant has to carry its own weight so any emissions controls directly effect the amount of fuel needed to travel.

      Being large and stationary means coal plants can be made more efficient and have more environmental controls with minimal impact on operation. Even with electricity generated from coal, an electric car is producing less pollution per mile traveled than your gas car.

      And hey maybe you didn't know but us tree huggers are also pushing for more green power generation. So while your gas car stays as bad as it is for its entire life, the tree hugger's electric magically becomes more green every time someone builds a wind farm.

      --

      The enemies of Democracy are
    5. Re:I work in the power industry by Copperhamster · · Score: 1

      Millions of people buy new cars every year. Because they are shiny, usually. 15.5 million is the running estimate for 2008, and that's a 10 year low. That's in the US. (Numbers found by google, and estimate made as of April. Actual results may vary).

      If they are able to produce an electric vehicle without the 'electric premium cost', they could easily get a few million more on the road in a year or two.

      (And for the record, where I work there are around 100 people. That I know of 20 or so of them have traded in perfectly serviceable cars or light trucks, usually while still paying on them, for new, shiny, high gas mileage vehicles, with even larger payments on them. When it doesn't really add up financially to do so.)

    6. Re:I work in the power industry by sqrt(2) · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Unfortunately, unlike you and I, most "greens" are dead set against expanding nuclear power. They seem to think wind/solar/"biofuel" will be able to get the job done (no, covering the surface of the Earth with solar panels or wind farms is not practical, feasible or desirable). Most of them don't bother to think of the logic behind their positions so it's no wonder they don't have an answer to where all this new electricity will come from. All they know is that their trendy new EV doesn't burn any evil hydrocarbons.

      --
      If you build it, nerds will come. Soylentnews.org
    7. Re:I work in the power industry by lgw · · Score: 1

      A ULEV is fantastically clean. Most existing coal plants are *far* dirtier. Of course, nuclear plants (and eventually solar plants, when the tech gets there) are far cleaner than you could ever make power from fossil fuel.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    8. Re:I work in the power industry by TooMuchToDo · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Dude, the Department of Energy says you're wrong:

      http://www.treehugger.com/files/2007/09/excess_nightime.php

      One common critique of an electric car revolution is that the increased energy demand might just lead to the generation of new power plants, negating some of the cars' positive environmental benefits. Well, according to a new study by the U.S. Department of Energy, those critiques are misguided. The study shows 84% of the 198 million cars, light trucks and SUVs on America's roads could be fueled by the existing energy infrastructure if switched to plug-in hybrid vehicles. When you add vans and other vehicles in the "light duty fleet," 73% of the 217 million vehicles could be powered with the power plants we have in place today. In switching from 6.5 million barrels of oil every day to electric cars fueled by off-peak power production, the study estimates a reduction of greenhouse gases by 27%.

      Even with America's current power mix, with a heavy dose of coal power generation, electric vehicles are show to reduce total greenhouse emissions, however the picture isn't all rosy. The Department of Energy study also points to an increase in total particulate emissions with the grid pumping power all night. This, however, is much easier to tackle than petroleum-based pollution. As alternative energy gains a greater share of the American power pie chart, we can look for less particulate emissions as well. In the meantime, check to see if your power company offers green power or try to generate your own. Then, when you get your electric speedster, you can rev it up without worry.

      Emphasis mine.

    9. Re:I work in the power industry by CrazyJim1 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Some greens don't even like wind power because it kills the birds. Some even don't like solar because they have a feeling that we'll ruin the deserts. The greens don't seem like they have any specific leader they follow, so they seem to be all over the board in what they think is bad for the world. The sad thing is that nuclear is probably more green than most other power because of the advances we made in the last few decades, but no one can seem to change the image of nuclear to the people... If there was ever the need for public relations for something, I think nuclear could use it. There is no reason some people should have to pay most of their income just to keep warm through the winter.

    10. Re:I work in the power industry by Vellmont · · Score: 1


      The grid can handle this. Millions of cars aren't going to be plugged in overnight.

      No, they're not. But how much would the grid suffer if they were? Would power plant needs double, triple, quadruple?

      You're correct that this won't happen (literally) tomorrow. But what if just 10% of drivers are using electric in 8 years? What about 20%? How much does the system need to increase if one of these two happen? These are the questions I'd like answers to, rather than just spit balling it a saying "both don't happen over night" in a literal sense.

      --
      AccountKiller
    11. Re:I work in the power industry by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      (and eventually solar plants, when the tech gets there)

      Two words: molten salt.

      I think that should be the focus where viable (like here in Florida).

    12. Re:I work in the power industry by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I am pissed. If I can't get a flying car I should at least be able to get an electric one. It's 2008 for god's sake!

    13. Re:I work in the power industry by lgw · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Winds farms don't scale, and do affect the environment some. Hydro doesn't scale, and building new dams just to make power certainly screws with the local environment. Geothermal doesn't come anywhere close to scaling, and may affect the environment in surprising ways.

      Right now, nuclear is the only scalable choice for clean power. Eventually, solar will work too, but since solar isn't reliable it will never be a primary power source until someone invents a magic battery. However, with a magic battery, solar power is "fusion power too cheap to meter" so hopefully somone makes that happen.

      ULEV cars are *far* cleaner than existing coal plants, and may be cleaner than a pure-electric car depending on where you live.

      "Serial" hybrids (motor turns generator, not axel) are a fantastic idea, because they allow turbine engines to replace reciprocating cylinder engines. Gas turbines can be may much *more* efficient than 4-stroke engines, because you can make good use of the waste heat. I think the theoretical limit for a turbine is double tht of a 4-stroke - anyone know for sure?

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    14. Re:I work in the power industry by lgw · · Score: 1

      Molten salt is a dangerous way to store power, with efficiency that leaves a lot to be desired, and doesn't scale down at all well. Still, it hints at how revolutionary "magic battery + efficient solar power" would be.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    15. Re:I work in the power industry by afidel · · Score: 2, Informative

      Nah, unless you are completely flat like Florida the reverse flow water storage is significantly more efficient and cheaper than molten salt.

      --
      There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
    16. Re:I work in the power industry by tthomas48 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Um... have we managed to find a place to store nuclear waste? Have we uncovered an unlimited trove of radioactive material? Most intelligent people realize that a change is coming where we're going to have to move away from the oil economy. Oil is finite. Do we really want to spend all our time and money on building infrastructure that's also non-renewable? Nuclear is a lot of money and risk for a non-renewable energy source.

      That said, will we add more nuclear as we move away from oil? More than likely. Should it be a goal? No. It's unsustainable.

    17. Re:I work in the power industry by sexconker · · Score: 1

      They may not follow a specific leader, but I drew up a Venn diagram, and the overlap across "Obama", "Starbucks", "Apple", "Al Gore", and "Trendy fucking hipster" is overwhelming.

      And yes, nuclear power is what we need.

      Safe clean cheap powerful.
      Nuclear waste? It's still radioactive, and can be used in smaller plants. I'd LOVE nuclear reactors for every large city, and smaller nuclear reactors smaller cities. Less dense areas could be served by smaller, unmanned units (I think Mitsubishi made one designed to power a few blocks), that run on otherwise unused "waste" from the larger plants.

      But no, we're too busy rocketing to the "3rd world dictatorship" line.

    18. Re:I work in the power industry by polar+red · · Score: 0

      covering the surface of the Earth with solar panels or wind farms is not practical,

      not necessary. even just covering all roofs with solar panels is enough to fulfill our energy needs. or ONE windmill per mile highway.

      feasible

      sure it does

      or desirable)

      highly desirable: no need for wars over oil or nuclear fuel.

      --
      Yes, I'm left. You have a problem with that?
    19. Re:I work in the power industry by polar+red · · Score: 4, Informative
      --
      Yes, I'm left. You have a problem with that?
    20. Re:I work in the power industry by sexconker · · Score: 0

      And when the power goes out, you can't drive.

      When they have wildfires in California, and the power is out, and they tell thousands of people to evacuate south on the 101, WTF are they gonna do?

      If it's an electric, they're screwed.

      If it's a hybrid, they won't have enough gas to go anywhere because they rely on the battery far more. People who mainly commute could fill up as little as 2 or 3 times a year, and would probably be riding on 1/4 of a tank most of the time.

      Even a few stopped cars on the freeway in this case would be disastrous. It's two lanes wide down much of the coast.

      Gas stations won't have enough gas for thousands of people and their hippie cars, and even if they did, the majority in the evacuation areas would be SHUT OFF because of the incoming fire.

    21. Re:I work in the power industry by sqrt(2) · · Score: 1

      There is a lot of time when the sun is not shining on any part of the US. Unless you have a global power grid that can transfer power to the side of the planet that is experiencing night, you have no way of providing power 24/7. Storing that much power in batteries for night time use isn't possible with current battery tech. I'm not ruling out that it may become possible sometime in the future, but nuclear is ready NOW. It's ready now to provide hundreds of years of safe, clean (fuel can be reprocessed until safe), efficient power. Producing a solar panel for every roof would probably be more expensive than building a few dozen more nuclear plants.

      As for wind, it has similar problems or reliability and consistency. It is however a better option than solar because it could be said that it is always windy somewhere in the US. The problem is that of scale, it would take many thousands of wind turbines to equal one nuclear plant.

      --
      If you build it, nerds will come. Soylentnews.org
    22. Re:I work in the power industry by aengblom · · Score: 1

      Uh, your emphasis proves he's exactly right. The EXISTING infrastructure can handle 84% of passenger car needs. Well, as he clearly states, 84% of passenger cars aren't going to be all electric tomorrow, meaning that the electric power industry would have time to react and build some new infrastructure (or increase efficiency of existing customer base... although there's not as much profit in that for most utilities under existing regulations).

      Now, no one can prove that there aren't complications or it won't work, but DOE clearly thinks it won't be a huge problem. For one, supplying the necessary power and supplying the power in a cost effective manner are two very different things. Generally these studies look at feasibility, but don't get much into how it will play with the economics of power generation.

      --


      So close and yet so far from the world's perfect ID number
    23. Re:I work in the power industry by Sloppy · · Score: 2, Insightful

      There is no way the grid can handle so many cars being plugged in to recharge at night. .. your electric provider uses COAL FIRED plants to create this invisible power.

      Coal doesn't burn at night? I think you got coal confused with solar.

      --
      As copyright owner of this comment, I authorize everyone to defeat any technological measure which limits access to it.
    24. Re:I work in the power industry by Gordonjcp · · Score: 1

      So while your gas car stays as bad as it is for its entire life, the tree hugger's electric magically becomes more green every time someone builds a wind farm.
      ... Except that every electric or hybrid car built is already considerably less green than my petrol-powered car.

      What, you think there's a magic forest where special clean batteries with no nasty chemicals grow on the trees?

    25. Re:I work in the power industry by joggle · · Score: 2

      Unfortunately, unlike you and I, most "greens" are dead set against expanding nuclear power. They seem to think wind/solar/"biofuel" will be able to get the job done (no, covering the surface of the Earth with solar panels or wind farms is not practical, feasible or desirable). Most of them don't bother to think of the logic behind their positions so it's no wonder they don't have an answer to where all this new electricity will come from. All they know is that their trendy new EV doesn't burn any evil hydrocarbons.

      As someone who has worked in Boulder, CO for years I can attest to the truth of your statement. There certainly are greens that don't think nuclear should be used at all and isn't needed. I've tried several times to convince them that it's possible to construct a nuclear plant that cannot have a melt down and certainly could not explode Chernobyl-style. I may as well be talking to a wall. And trying to convince them that wind and solar alone is insufficient also doesn't work.

      However, I think I'm the exception to the rule in that I'm very much in favor of green power, drive a Prius and am in most ways the stereotypical green type of person. I'm just one of the rare ones that didn't stop cheering when Obama mentioned in his acceptance speech at Mile High Stadium that he was in favor of constructing safe nuclear plants. (I remember one Democrat volunteer near me ask in shock, "Did he say nuclear??").

    26. Re:I work in the power industry by TooMuchToDo · · Score: 1

      Whoa there chief. Grandparent stated "The grid can handle this. Millions of cars aren't going to be plugged in overnight." Parent I replied to stated "There is no way the grid can handle so many cars being plugged in to recharge at night". I was simply refuting his false statement.

      Also, the second paragraph I posted explains why Parent's point about coal doesn't hold true. Coal is a dirty power source, but much easier to deal with than hundreds of thousands of emissions control systems on cars.

    27. Re:I work in the power industry by LandDolphin · · Score: 1

      They wern't doing it at acceptable levels, so we have to start doing it for thme. Once they get of their lazy asses and start killing each other at decent leves, we can leave.

      --
      Spelling and Grammar errors have been added to this post for your enjoyment
    28. Re:I work in the power industry by bavid · · Score: 1

      Actually one of the electric power industry's research shops has already done some studies on the effects of high plug-in hybrid penetration and power plant emissions. I saw a presentation that touched on some of this a year ago, and I think the conclusion was that air quality would get slightly worse in only a few few places (Cleveland, I think) and better pretty much everywhere else.

      Now, I can't remember what the story was when it came to CO2...

    29. Re:I work in the power industry by Free+the+Cowards · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Nuclear is not comparable to oil because the quantity of substance needed and expelled is literally millions of times less.

      There is enough Uranium on the planet to run modern civilization for many millennia. And waste is a trivial problem which does not deserve all of the attention it gets. France has similar nuclear generation capacity to the US but is a much smaller country (75% of their electricity is nuclear), and you don't see a looming French nuclear waste disposal problem.

      The current problems with nuclear power are all political. Uranium supply is not a problem. Construction of new plants is only a problem because it's politically impossible. Waste is only a problem because waste reprocessing is politically impossible.

      --
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    30. Re:I work in the power industry by zippthorne · · Score: 4, Insightful

      You could vaporize the waste and shoot it up through chimneys, and still release less nuclear waste per watt than coal plants.

      But seriously.. it's not waste. It's still mostly-unused-fuel. You do the same thing the foundries do with slag: store it on site until it's economically or politically favorable to process it and run it through again.

      There is plenty of fuel available for a LONG time. The only thing more "sustainable" than nuclear power is still, technically, nuclear power.

      --
      Can you be Even More Awesome?!
    31. Re:I work in the power industry by bavid · · Score: 2, Informative

      Winds farms don't scale, and do affect the environment some.

      Gah. I wish that people would stop throwing around this FUD. There are plenty of studies out there, including one that I'm sure you've heard of that say relatively high wind penetration will work just fine. A lot of people like to recite the knee-jerk reaction that wind won't work, but I have yet to see much evidence that the sky is actually falling.

    32. Re:I work in the power industry by zippthorne · · Score: 1

      They said, "could be powered as plug-in hybrids" which is like saying "up to 50% off sale" Yeah.. up to...

      If they'd said that we could power a fully-electric fleet of that size, then you'd be saying something. (actually.. even 10% would be saying something.)

      --
      Can you be Even More Awesome?!
    33. Re:I work in the power industry by Blakey+Rat · · Score: 1

      Environmentalists never care about where Coal, Gas or Oil waste goes. Here's a hint: we don't know. There's no storage facility for it, it just goes literally wherever the wind blows it.

      We do know that burning of coal releases nuclear materials, more per-watt than a nuclear power plant. How come coal plants are immune to the kind of requirements you're setting for nuclear plants? Because the pollution is more spread-out it's suddenly less harmful?

      I see it as hypocritical to set up requirements for nuclear plants that aren't currently in-place for Coal, Gas or Oil plants.

    34. Re:I work in the power industry by Chris+Burke · · Score: 1

      Lol, and you think steel and plastic spring from the ground with no nasty chemicals involved? How much do you think the battery adds on top of that?

      The fact is that the batteries in hybrids can be fully recycled -- the nickel in them alone makes it worth paying a sizable bounty on recycling. And the chemicals in NiMH batteries are not that nasty, and LiIon are even better, they aren't a significant environmental concern. The lead acid battery in your gas car (and admittedly in some hybrids) is worse than the whole battery pack of an electric vehicle.

      I do find it pretty funny what non-environmentalists try to play up as environmental concerns when trying to do a "full accounting" of the green solution, and ignore in their traditional solution.

      --

      The enemies of Democracy are
    35. Re:I work in the power industry by tthomas48 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      The amount of high-quality useful uranium is unknown and I find both sides reporting on the amount to be highly suspect. The model, however, is very similar to oil in that we can probably keep recovering it in more and more expensive manners as the price of it goes up (thus where the "nearly-unlimited" supply comes from). But how much is there that is equivalent in price to coal, oil, wind, or solar?

      Nuclear power is simple economics. It will start making political sense once the lower cost outweighs the publics fears. What's that cost? I don't know but it's significantly higher than the cost of oil currently, and the fact that we have very promising solar and wind technologies makes it very high indeed.

    36. Re:I work in the power industry by tthomas48 · · Score: 4, Interesting

      "Environmentalists don't care where Coal, Gas, or Oil waste goes"

      Wow. That's one of the most stunningly ignorant statements I've read in a long time. Seriously. Almost every environmental political and legal group is constantly working on issues related to air-pollution from power plants.

      You are right in that it's hypocritical to have higher standards for nuclear power than the other power sources. But I'd prefer to bring our standards up, rather than lower nuclear's standards to that of coal. The way most coal powered plants are run it'd look like Chernobyl around the plant, and they'd store the waste in big piles out in the open.

    37. Re:I work in the power industry by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      What is the dirtiest method of power?????

      Sex!!!!!

      And hey maybe you didn't know but us tree huggers are also pushing for more green power generation.

      Alien sex!!!!!

    38. Re:I work in the power industry by ChrisA90278 · · Score: 1

      Winds farms don't scale,???

      I disagree. As an example there are people who live on their sailboats. They use TV sets, lights and radios that run off battery power and many of the charge the bateries with wind power. It can scale because every house can have it's own wind generator. No they don't work for all for power you need but you can have photovoltics on the roof. All of these scale because every house can have one and if roof mounted they take up zero aditional space. Yes we will still need a grid and big plants.

    39. Re:I work in the power industry by socz · · Score: 1

      that's the thing though, france is willing to pay to refine 'nuclear waste' and reuse it. the US doesn't want to do that, they just want to bury it like a cat taking a shite.

      I'm for nuclear power with recycling waste, but not for NP with burying waste. Think of it like a garbage dump, they're filling up with trash, and one day the same will happen with waste.

      it'll have to be a combination of many things. because 1 thing won't work everywhere.

      --
      My abilities are only limited by my imagination
    40. Re:I work in the power industry by aengblom · · Score: 1

      Blah blah blah, you and your facts. ;-)

      Sorry, it appears the parent you replied to got labeled flamebait, so I thought you were replying to the grandparent.

      --


      So close and yet so far from the world's perfect ID number
    41. Re:I work in the power industry by cplusplus · · Score: 1

      no, covering the surface of the Earth with solar panels ... is not practical, feasible or desirable).

      We've already covered massive swaths of it with roofs. Just go to Google maps and look at your nearest suburb. See how much surface area all those roofs cover? It's not a stretch to imagine that someday every roof could host photovoltaic tiles instead of shingles (or whatever). I'd have them installed today, except the estimate for my house was over $35k :(

      --
      "False hope is why we'll never run out of natural resources!" - Lewis Black
    42. Re:I work in the power industry by pimpimpim · · Score: 2, Informative

      A nuclear plant gets about 20x10^9 kWh in a year, a windmill about 2-3 x10^6 kWh (a local windmill with >30m wings on has a real-time display of its performance over its lifetime). You will need about 7000 windmills to get the power of one nuclear plant. Where to put them? This is unfortunately not an easily avoidable environmental problem. You cannot put them too close, because that will decrease the efficiency (and change the influence of wind on local climates, be a danger to birds etc). You can not put them on all mountain hills because it kills the scenery (I personally don't mind, they are beautiful displays of engineering).

      Solar cells are maybe less of a problem to hide in the countryside, but their current efficiency is still way below power demanding applications.

      Geothermal is bad in so many ways, that I'd rather see it left unused. The chances on groundwater and even lower water depots contamination are too high (never underestimate the importance of safe drinking water), geologically risky (ground may move, with a very costly destabilizing effect on houses). And you can't have many per surface area.

      BTW based on the numbers from Tesla for the power need per kilometer including the loss at the loading station, a country like the Netherlands with 7 million cars averaging 15000 km/year, could have its electric need for car mobility completely covered by just one 20x10^9 kWh/year power plant.

      --
      molmod.com - computing tips from a molecular modeling
    43. Re:I work in the power industry by mmontour · · Score: 2, Informative

      Um... have we managed to find a place to store nuclear waste? Have we uncovered an unlimited trove of radioactive material?

      Sort of. You start by re-using the "spent" fuel (with a combination of breeder reactors, and reactors like CANDU that don't require enrichment of the U-235). This greatly reduces the amount of waste that needs to be stored, and also reduces the need to dig for new uranium.

      For the radioactive waste that is left over, the storage place is "underground" (for example in old uranium mines). Or you can use the depleted-uranium trick of calling it "ammunition" instead of "radioactive waste", then disposing of it (at high velocity) in someone else's country.

    44. Re:I work in the power industry by lgw · · Score: 1

      Some people can make wind power work in some places some of the time. That's the definition of "does not scale". Wind simmply cannot be the primary source of power for the nation-wide grid. Wind and solar can both help (and they help in different areas, which is good), but neither will make a difference in kind to the pwoer grid with existing technology.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    45. Re:I work in the power industry by whtmarker · · Score: 2, Interesting

      In canadian winters everyone plugs in their cars at night (block heater) or else they won't start in the morning, so I don't see what the big deal is. Canada's electricity infrastructure is just fine for plugging in cars at night.

      Besides how hard is it to build a device with an autoshutoff when the battery is full. The big problem will be people who forget to unplug their cars, and drive away with half a power cord attached!

    46. Re:I work in the power industry by lgw · · Score: 1

      The assumptions in that artical read almost exactly like the assumption as to why mortgage-backed securites are safe. :)

      Still, even if you take 1/3 of capacity as acceptable for base load as that artical suggests, you're just not going to get multiple TW of power from wind farms. Just like hydro and solar - there are areas where it's a great idea and we should do more of it, but it can't replace nuclear/fossil as the base load generation mechanism nation wide.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    47. Re:I work in the power industry by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Gestalt, baby.

    48. Re:I work in the power industry by lgw · · Score: 1

      With 30% efficient solar cells (existing but limited available tech) you could provide adequate power simply by covering all parking spaces. No new environmental impact, no need to hide them in the hills, and as a bonus: covered parking! Of course, solar is just too unreliable today - we need a magic battery to make my plan make sense, and I'm not holding my breath.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    49. Re:I work in the power industry by MrSteve007 · · Score: 1

      Nuclear power only looks cheap if you don't factor in the cost of waste storage and 'disposal.' The US currently produces 1600 metric tons of waste fuel annually. I've heard that reprocessing is the way to go, and that France does it, but even to get to that point, we'd have to rebuild/extremely retrofit hundreds of current nuclear plants, and build very advanced reprocessing plants. Given that current tech plants costs around 5-12 billion dollars each, what is the cost of reprocessing plants?

      Or you could start putting solar panels (free fuel) on rooftops of current buildings (and take a look at google maps to see how many warehouses have bare rooftops in your city), improve efficiency of heating and cooling systems, increase insulation, and then work on expansions of wind generation (free fuel), improvements in current hydro electric dams (free fuel) for base loads, and use natural gas as peak backups.

      Shutting down coal and nuclear would be one of the best financial decisions our nation could ever make.

    50. Re:I work in the power industry by aero6dof · · Score: 1

      Unfortunately, unlike you and I, most "greens" are dead set against expanding nuclear pow.

      Some free market people don't like them either because they've done the math on them with and without of the government funding of the externalities - e.g. waste & securit). Though I do think we should continue to pursue fusion.

    51. Re:I work in the power industry by bendodge · · Score: 1

      I'd like to hear of some of these promising wind and solar technologies that actually exist now. Nuclear is NOT more expensive than oil for any technological reason. Nuclear power's problems are all political. Waste isn't any more of a problem than oil spills, and I don't know of any nuclear waste accidents than rival the Exxon-Mobil spill. Please cite if you do.

      --
      The government can't save you.
    52. Re:I work in the power industry by Burning1 · · Score: 1

      The grid is currently designed to support peak use during the daylight hours. How much spare capacity is available during the low utilization hours at night?

    53. Re:I work in the power industry by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ... and I'm getting a kick out of these replies?

      (sorry)

    54. Re:I work in the power industry by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Give it to Nevada. All this crap about "Nevada is not a wasteland" is, well crap. It's mostly BLM land and sparsely populated outside of Reno/Sparks and Las Vegas. A huge part of the middle is a bombing range and the former *nuclear* test site. THERE IS NOTHING OUT THERE! These jackasses that think Nevada is a population center have probably never even been out in the desert. You know that barren miles of nothing you see when you fly? Yeah, that's Nevada. The big mistake our elected leaders made was not saying "You want to store waste here? Ok. It'll cost you, though."

      (Disclaimer: I live in Nevada.)

    55. Re:I work in the power industry by Repton · · Score: 1

      Human civilization doesn't scale..

      Whether it's dependency on a non-renewable resource (oil), or the ability of the atmosphere to absorb pollution, or the number of fish in the sea, or fresh water supplies for agriculture, or good topsoil... we're running out of everything.

      --
      Repton.
      They say that only an experienced wizard can do the tengu shuffle.
    56. Re:I work in the power industry by karnal · · Score: 1

      Upping standards always brings back the following statement:

      "I've upped my standards. Up yours!"

      --
      Karnal
    57. Re:I work in the power industry by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Serial" hybrids (motor turns generator, not axel) are a fantastic idea, because they allow turbine engines to replace reciprocating cylinder engines. Gas turbines can be may much *more* efficient than 4-stroke engines, because you can make good use of the waste heat. I think the theoretical limit for a turbine is double that of a 4-stroke - anyone know for sure?

      As I see it this is the only benefit to all of the talk/research/money going into Hydrogen/fuelcell powered vehicles -- both serial hybrids and fuel cell vehicles must drive the wheels with electric motors. Replace the fuel cell with an efficient turbine engine which always runs at its optimal speed, and replace the bulky hydrogen fuel tanks with batteries (and a small gas tank), and you have a much more efficient, cheaper vehicle than a lot of the idiotic things currently on the market that really add a electric motor only as a "power boost" and have at best a modest effect on efficiency.

    58. Re:I work in the power industry by AJWM · · Score: 1

      In canadian winters everyone plugs in their cars at night (block heater) or else they won't start in the morning, so I don't see what the big deal is.

      True that. In places where winters get even colder, many workplace parking lots have power outlets to plug in your block heater so you can start the car in the evening. (Of course in areas where it's cold for long stretches, EVs may be impractical because of the lowered battery efficiency and the need to keep the car warm so the occupants don't freeze.)

      --
      -- Alastair
    59. Re:I work in the power industry by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We have excellent nuclear power technology RIGHT NOW. Not promising, or theoretical, or test platforms. Real, working, many generations of refined design nuclear reactors. We may have not built any recent civilian reactors, but the Navy doesn't seem to have a problem with modern nuclear power. None of this bullshit about "investing" in development of alternative energy that may or may not pan out. In these 10 years of supposedly looking for alternatives we could have solved the power problem by then by actually building power plants. Then we'll have a lot of electricity for things like charging electric cars or making hydrogen for fuel-cell vehicles. (Things that, you know need assloads of electricity.)

      Go invest in looking for alternatives after solving the problem. Then we'll have plenty of time to dick around wasting time with other options that try and duplicate the power output of a nuclear reactor. It'll create plenty of jobs in the meantime to build them and run them, too.

    60. Re:I work in the power industry by AJWM · · Score: 1

      There are plenty of places we could store nuclear waste for geologically significant lengths of time without hazard. Most of them are too close to some ignorant person's back yard.

      Simplest thing would be just to dump it back down the uranium mine from whence the nuclear material first came. Vitrification is also extremely stable.

      Nuclear is renewable if you use the right reactor designs. (Okay, not really renewable, but you can generate fuel-grade material from vastly larger reserves of non-fuel-grade material.) And it doesn't take much -- a thimbleful of reactor fuel has the energy equivalent of a trainload of coal (and if you've never seen a coal train, they are long suckers, often up to a mile long).

      --
      -- Alastair
    61. Re:I work in the power industry by Free+the+Cowards · · Score: 1

      Current costs of uranium are well below the cost for coal in terms of dollars per MWh, and far below the cost for other hydrocarbons. Given the small rate of usage it's unlikely to undergo an oil-like cost explosion anytime in the foreseeable future.

      As far as the economics go, there are indications that political impossibility of nuclear power is already changing. I wouldn't be surprised to see new nuke plants begin construction in the US within 5-10 years.

      There is not going to be a single magical panacea to the energy problem. Wind, solar, nuclear, and all the rest will all be useful. No one of them can do it alone (although nuclear comes very close, politics aside) but with all alternatives working together, hydrocarbon-based energy can be substantially eliminated in a practical fashion.

      --
      If you mod me Overrated, you are admitting that you have no penis.
    62. Re:I work in the power industry by mattack2 · · Score: 1

      See http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thermal_energy_storage for info about storage besides batteries.

    63. Re:I work in the power industry by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nuclear power is ready right now, no need for studies or assumptions.

    64. Re:I work in the power industry by mrcaseyj · · Score: 2

      Don't bother trying to convince environmentalists that it's possible to build plants that are melt down proof. People will never again fall for the massive campaign of lies that was fed to them before Three Mile Island and Chernobyl. Trying to sell that again just ruins your credibility.

      Maybe point out that Chernobyl was bad but not too terrible, especially when the cost is offset by the harms of solar panels or windmills and especially coal. Maybe point out that non-environmentalists probably won't be willing to pay for solar and wind and backup batteries, so we'll be left with coal. Coal is way worse than nuclear. Maybe point out that the waste becomes hardly a problem after a few hundred years and even if it's poorly buried it's not much to worry about, especially in those tough casks. Maybe point out that while the possibility of melt down can never be eliminated, they're much less likely with modern procedures and designs, and the environmental benefits are huge.

    65. Re:I work in the power industry by mrchaotica · · Score: 1

      no, covering the surface of the Earth with solar panels or wind farms is not practical, feasible or desirable).

      You don't have to cover the whole Earth; a solar array covering a small fraction of Arizona would be enough to power the entire United States. Or if you picked wind, then you could plop them right on top of farmland (the individual turbines have to be pretty far away from each other anyway, to lose efficiency by being caught in each others' wakes).

      That said, I support nuclear too.

      --

      "[Regarding the 'cloud,'] ownership was what made America different than Russia." -- Woz

    66. Re:I work in the power industry by quenda · · Score: 1

      Nuclear power only looks cheap if you don't factor in the cost of waste storage and 'disposal.'

      You could say the same about coal and oil, only more so. They only look cheap because the waste CO2 is just dumped in the atmosphere. Factor in the cost of carbon sequestration, if its even possible, and see which is cheaper.

    67. Re:I work in the power industry by mrchaotica · · Score: 1

      I'd like to hear of some of these promising wind and solar technologies that actually exist now.

      What, you've been living under a rock for the past 30 years? The normal wind turbines and silicon photovoltaic panels that have existed forever are just fine. And wind, at least, has become cheap enough to be economically competitive: that's what those "Pickens' Plan" TV ads are about.

      --

      "[Regarding the 'cloud,'] ownership was what made America different than Russia." -- Woz

    68. Re:I work in the power industry by Derek+Pomery · · Score: 3, Informative

      That article doesn't say wind farms scale, it just notes that multiple wind farms can take up the slack for each other.
      That article has a rather pathetic output for each one of these. 1.5MW of *peak* power which they are not producing all the time.

      A nuclear power plant will produce 2000MW.
      The average wind turbine according to Wikipedia, produces an average of 0.35MW.
      "Typical capacity factors are 20-40%, with values at the upper end of the range in particularly favourable sites. For example, a 1 megawatt turbine with a capacity factor of 35% will not produce 8,760 megawatt-hours in a year (1x24x365), but only 0.35x24x365 = 3,066 MWh, averaging to 0.35 MW." (thanks wikipedia)

      That means almost 6000 turbines(!) to match one nuclear power plant.

      I don't think the parent was questioning our capacity to distribute power, I think they were questioning the number of turbines we can reasonably fit without 'em taking over the landscape (wind power kills far more animals than nuclear power - think of the fuzzy bats).
      And, yeah, those turbines are *huge*.
      You can count the number of turbines that you can fit in a massive wind farm in the dozens.

      6000 turbines to equal one nuclear power plant. Dunno. I think that's what he was talking about.

      --
      -- perl -e'print pack"H*","6e656d6f406d38792e6f7267"' /. ate my old sig. Bastards.
    69. Re:I work in the power industry by jhol13 · · Score: 1

      ULEV cars are *far* cleaner than existing coal plants

      I do not know if this is true or not, but you are comparing apples to oranges.

      Burning gas in a large plant and using thus generated electricity to drive cars is more efficient (miles/litre) and produces less emissions (than normal car).

    70. Re:I work in the power industry by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The cost is already factored in, along with the cost to green field sites after closure, and charged to the consumer in the current rates. A huge trust fund was set up, and raided by Congress for other things, for waste handling costs. Even with that its still cheaper than any other core power production plants. Of which Solar is not, you get an overcast hot and humid day you will run out of power. Plus are you factoring in the disposal costs of the solar panels? They have a finite lifetime and a lot of the tech out there now is pretty toxic for disposal.

      And you are dramatically underestimating the amount of power used. wind, hydro and solar are all very low density power production capabilities. While usage is very high density in most cases. Say goodbye to your scenery, and what about all the plants that used that sunlight you are now siphoning off? What weather patterns have you disrupted by slowing down the airflow over plains? I want to see a detailed EIS for downwind areas and shadowed areas for the next large scale ( > 1 GWe) wind or solar plant. Frankly I don't think we can reliably model weather disruptions like that at this time. Its the same thing as burning coal, a little smoke wont cause any damage to the world; slowing the wind down won't cause any damage to the world. Human arrogance remains.

    71. Re:I work in the power industry by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      The greens this, the greens that. Maybe you would be less perplexed if you stopped artificially categorizing people with simple labels. . .

    72. Re:I work in the power industry by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Surely the magic battery is the electric car: daytime solar power charges the cars and they feed some power back to the grid at night.

    73. Re:I work in the power industry by polar+red · · Score: 0

      1/1Mw is outdated, they're going for 2-5Mw ones now; and they're much cheaper than nuclear power plants(even without their hidden costs)
      2/even it is 6000 windturbines per nuclear power plant, I'll still go for those, You can put 'em up nearly anywhere. (can you build a nuclear power plant in the sea?)

      --
      Yes, I'm left. You have a problem with that?
    74. Re:I work in the power industry by mpsheppa · · Score: 1

      Current costs of uranium are well below the cost for coal in terms of dollars per MWh, and far below the cost for other hydrocarbons. Given the small rate of usage it's unlikely to undergo an oil-like cost explosion anytime in the foreseeable future.

      Uranium did undergo a massive oil-like cost explosion recently, going up from about $10/lb in around 2002 to $140/lb in 2008 and has since dropped back to around $50/lb. The difference is that uranium is such a small cost the overall cost of producing nuclear power that even such a big price rise makes little difference and if you start reprocessing the waste into more useful fuel then it makes even less difference.

    75. Re:I work in the power industry by jeppen · · Score: 1

      Nuclear power only looks cheap if you don't factor in the cost of waste storage and 'disposal.'

      This is nonsense. Sweden is designing extremely safe (over-researched and over-dimensioned if you ask me) disposal and the cost for all decommissioning and disposal is covered by a 0.15 cent/KWh tax, which will suffice. You yanks have a hundred reactors where we have only ten, so you should have an economy of scale to reduce this cost even further.

      Shutting down coal and nuclear would be one of the best financial decisions our nation could ever make.

      On the contrary, such a move would leave your economy in ruins. Build more nuclear and shut down coal instead. Forget about wind - it is twice as expensive.

    76. Re:I work in the power industry by Gordonjcp · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I do find it pretty funny what non-environmentalists try to play up as environmental concerns

      I *am* an environmentalist, and also an automotive engineer. I know exactly what goes into making cars, right down to the energy budget required for the manufacture of individual parts.

      The most environmentally-friendly cars on the road today are mid-1980s diesel Landrovers. They'll be going long after the Priuses and Insights are leaking their toxic crap into the water table. Next after that are Volvo 240s, which are more-or-less tied with Citroen 2CVs. Yes, the engine in the latter isn't especially clean, but you can improve the ignition system with electronic ignition to sort that out.

      What do these three have in common?

      They're all incredibly repairable.

      It's far easier (both physically and in terms of energy use) to keep repairing an old vehicle, than it is to make a brand-new one. Furthermore, they're mostly all just steel and aluminium, with small amounts of plastics (the Volvo interior has a lot of plastic, including rather ecologically nasty polyurethane foam. There's always something...) and PVC wiring insulation. Modern cars tend to make extensive use of plastics, which are hard to usefully recycle and very unpleasant to make.

      The petrol engines used in older cars can be adapted to run on a wide variety of fuels. I've successfully run car engines on bottled gas (this is now fairly common in Europe, and is very very clean indeed), ethanol/methanol mix (okay, moonshine), and coal gas (not so very pleasant, but it does work). People have built producer gas generators and run petrol engines off them - Denmark in particular used producer gas to run farm machinery during WW2. You simply can't do this with modern petrol engines, because the electronic engine management systems get in the way.

      Oh, and here's the kicker: Hybrids aren't actually that efficient! Talking to a neighbour who owns a Prius, it turns out that around town he gets an incredibly 36mpg, dropping to 30mpg when it's driven on the motorway. My all-mechanical, carb-fed 1988 Citroen CX, with its rattly clattery 1970s petrol engine, gets 30mpg in town and 34mpg on the motorway. Oops! So your lovely clean hybrid is only a *tiny* bit more efficient, when it's clogging the streets with traffic! Once you actually use it for a long run (which is what I tend to do - I know others may want to obstruct the streets with their noisy messy cars), it becomes *worse* than a car twice the size and 20 years old. Oh dear. It's not looking so good now, is it?

    77. Re:I work in the power industry by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      and you don't see a looming French nuclear waste disposal problem

      maybe, if you don't paiy enough attention:

      http://www.greenpeace.org/international/press/reports/nuclear-waste-crisis-france
      http://energypriorities.com/entries/2005/03/france_nuke_was.php

      additionally, they export some of the waste to other countries (Spain at least).

    78. Re:I work in the power industry by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The fact that "you don't see a looming French nuclear waste disposal problem" is simply that you "really" don't know their waste disposal problems...

      Like everyone else, french people tend to postpone the "nuclear waste disposal problem"...

    79. Re:I work in the power industry by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Eventually, solar will work too, but since solar isn't reliable it will never be a primary power source until someone invents a magic battery.

      Given that we're talking about plug in hybrids I think lack of battery capacity linked to the grid will not be a problem. I mean, the whole issue with plug in hybrids is that we can't generate and deliver energy fast enough to charge all these batteries.

      Just arrange things so people can plug in their hybrid cars at work, and design the chargers to charge faster when it's sunny and there's more electricity being generated.

      Of course, you still need enough total generation capacity to charge everyone's cars.

    80. Re:I work in the power industry by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      French nuclear waste material is post-processed (or whatever it is called) in la hague, and then sent per train to the german underground nuclear waste disposal center in gorleben, which is a sandstone cave or something.

      There have been recent rumors that this may not be a long term solution, as the groto was showing signs of unstability or something such, but i don't know the details.

    81. Re:I work in the power industry by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hydro doesn't scale

      The entire province of Quebec is powered by hydro. We also sell part of our production to the north-eastern states of the US.

    82. Re:I work in the power industry by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There is enough [Oil] on the planet to run [1800s] civilization for many millennia.

    83. Re:I work in the power industry by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nuclear waste from power plants is not a problem. The waste from fuel processing is. It's a simple
      matter of the isotope ratio. I suppose that breeder
      reactors could help, but that is another political problem.

    84. Re:I work in the power industry by hey! · · Score: 1

      The problem with wind power isn't scaling. The problem with windpower is scaling in a convenient location.

      A better long distance grid would help wind power "scale" as a fraction of our energy supply, AND help make nuclear stage a comeback.

      It wasn't the anti-nuclear activists that killed nuclear power, it was cheap fossil fuels. However, location will be a problem for new nuclear plants. The US population is concentrated in megalopolises like Boston/NYC/DC, Chicago PIttsburgh. People have sprawled out in the last thirty years, and locating plants is going to be tough. If a new plant could be located in a remote, less populated area, opposition would be less. The local impact on the job market and tax base would be greater, making it more popular where it is situated.

      A grid that transmits energy efficiently over long distances increases the geographic size of the energy market. That allows the market to be more diverse, from a farmer with a few wind turbines to a full scale nuclear plant. That diversity is good for national and economic security.

      Not putting all our energy eggs in one basket means that the problems of any source are minimized. The nuclear waste issue might be manageable at one level but not at ten times the level. If people object to wind farms for aesthetic reasons, those farms don't have to be built in popular scenic areas.

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    85. Re:I work in the power industry by hey! · · Score: 1

      So? Some anti-greens believe we need to use up the environment before the Rapture. Does that mean anything at all? Is this an argument against nukes? Sound policy is not a matter of taking some kind of opinion poll and choosing the option that has a plurality.

      Diversity in the green movement means that it is founded around ideas, not ideologies anchored around some charismatic personality.

      Here's one thing all greens agree on: the greenest form of power is conservation. If we can generate a unit of GDP with fewer joules, that's absolutely a good thing. In fact, that's a good litmus test to see if somebody is green. If conservation is consistently high on his list of priorities, then he's some kind of green.

      With respect to nuclear being the "greenest" source of power, that is ideological thinking: start with a blanket statement and derive the specific facts from there. Rational thinking goes the other way.

      Each source of power has advantages and disadvantages. Furthermore scale is a critical element in any environmental problem. It is very sustainable for Inuit hunters to clothe themselves in sealskins they capture and tan themselves. For cold weather clothing for a million people, polyester fleece is more environmentally sound, even though polyester is a petroleum byproduct. The put the entire infrastructure in place needed to produce fleece for a few thousand hunters would be an environmental disaster. It's better than most alternatives when we're talking about clothing millions, especially if the polyester is recycled, which it ought to be.

      So, I don't think a crash course to solve all our energy problems with nuclear power would be a good idea, even if you think that nuclear power is relatively safe (which I do) an environmentally benign (which is a matter of scale in my opinion).

      Realistically, we're probably going to have to use more nukes, even though we don't know how to handle the decommissioning of the plants. We can probably require a long term bond be posted to cover that cost. If the number of nukes added at one time is modest, then it will be a manageable problem, and the bonds will attract technological development on that problem. A massive spike in the next few years in new plants would mean a massive spike in decommissioning in a few decades, which would be bad.

      Overall, I think that we should try for greater energy diversity, which will shield the economy from things like changes in the price of uranium. When uranium is almost all our energy supply, we will not be able to grow the economy if the price of that one commodity rises to high.

      The kind of dramatic "quick fix" thinking that says we can fix all our energy problems in a few years by building nuclear power plants is something Americans should learn to be skeptical of. Once you've bought into the idea that the solution to all our problems is within our grasp, it is hard to think reasonably about that solution.

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    86. Re:I work in the power industry by Punko · · Score: 1

      No. "Everyone" does not plug their cars in at night. Just like all Americans do not have a gun rack in their vehicles.

      --
      If only we could fall into a woman's arms without falling into her hands
    87. Re:I work in the power industry by fermion · · Score: 1
      This is really why we can't get control of the energy issues in the US, even though we had some good ideas over 30 years ago.

      First, it is not reasonable to focus on a single source for power. Deploying multiple means of power generation just makes sense. Water, wind solar, why not? It may be asked where to put the solar or wind. Well, there are certainly public lands available for such things, and the US can certainly use imminent domain to acquire more. We allow the lumber industry and the oil industry to exploit public lands, why not solar? Sure it may not be a solution yet, but when a market is created, innovative solutions will follow. and sure there are always environmental issues, there is no such thing as a free lunch, but that is why we call these renewable, and only the market droids and fanatics call it clean.

      As far as nuclear goes, yes it is a good solution. But there are political issues. Primarily many utilities were not able to pay for the first round of nuclear generators through normal rates. They had to go to the government to allow then to force the people to pay for the plants. Given that utilities are demanded huge incentives from the government to build new nuclear plants, many think they are up to their old games. Given that nuclear was not always able to pay for itself in the first place, and that utilities are not willing to build plants now without government handouts, it is not unreasonable to infer that nuclear is not a cost effective solution. Furthermore, without reprocessing, another political decision, it is a fact that nuclear is not cost effective, at least in the US. The world wide trend suggests that nuclear is only cost effective in country with a high overall population density and extremely limited access to other fuels. This is mostly in europe, with the suggestive exception of switzerland. In the end, the reason we don't have nuclear is the same reason we don't have solar or wind. The oil and coal interests are just too powerful, and the cost to develop alternatives simply represent a long term cost we are not willing to make.

      So we get to the issue of cars. The issue of cars is not simply how clean they are. The issue with cars is a broader economic issue. For better or worse, mnay parts of the US are dependent on cars, and, for better or worse, full economic activity depends on many individuals driving over 100 miles a day. Economics agents being fundamentally irrational, many chose cars that consume ten gallons or more a day under such conditions. This is fine until such use consumes in excess of 3 or 4% of income. This is the problem in addition to clean air. Consumer living beyond their means. Although economist in the 90's thought that $25 a barrel was going to last forever, economists are not scientists. At this price it was unlikely that serious exploration would go on, and unlikely that serious extraction would go on, meaning we were limited to existing cheap reserves. This meant mostly in the middle east. At higher prices we can get more oil, but Americans are not willing to pay that much long term. The fact that india and china and europe are is likely to make the US preference unimportant. Therefore cars need to use alternative fuels that are in the $1 per 10 mile range. Electricity may or may not be it given that one might need 30-50 KWH to run a car for that distance. But given that coal is more available in the US than oil, and so it sun and wind, it will free us from competing for oil which we are not willing to pay a premium, and allow us to develop local oil fields for export to balance our trade numbers.

      --
      "She's a scientist and a lesbian. She's not going to let it slide." Orphan Black
    88. Re:I work in the power industry by Derek+Pomery · · Score: 1

      Heh. At sea. Ever heard of aircraft carriers? Frankly, seabed turbines in the gulf stream seem less of an aesthetic and environmental impact than wind.

      And. Yeah. Wiping out bats isn't an insignificant "hidden cost" of wind, without even considering we'd have to paper the entire west coast with those hideous things to do the same
      as a few nuclear power plants.

      Nuclear reactors are still much smaller.
      And if you build larger turbines, that also means you can put fewer of 'em close to each other, I'm sure overall land use would be reduced, but I'd be delighted if you would give me a comparison in square kilometres.
      France pumps out 425,000,000MW of power using nuclear.
      Please, would you mind telling me what the French countryside would look like if that was done using wind?

      The hidden costs of nuclear are exaggerated. Coal plants pump out far more radiation than nuclear, and US is behind the curve in reprocessing. And the entire world isn't 0 background radiation. Frankly, since we went to all the trouble to pull that material together to generate power, why not just dissolve it back into the sea, say, a tanker sent to the antarctic regions. You could say nuclear power reduced the overall amount of nuclear material in world. :-p
      Not saying that is reasonable, cost wise. Personally, I have no problem with burying it (yes, even IMBY if it was a similar construction).

      Actually, if nuclear isn't green enough for you, in terms of reasonably scalable power you can build anywhere, I'm more excited about the possibilities of geothermal.

      --
      -- perl -e'print pack"H*","6e656d6f406d38792e6f7267"' /. ate my old sig. Bastards.
    89. Re:I work in the power industry by tthomas48 · · Score: 1

      I should have been more clear. I was commenting on the fact that currently nuclear waste just piles up at the reactor sites because the US Federal Government hasn't been able to get Yucca Mountain cleared. I.e. we have places we *can* store nuclear waste, but we don't have places we *may* store it.

    90. Re:I work in the power industry by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The main problem with nuclear power is the cost. Measured on a cost/kwhr basis its considerably more expensive than oil,coal or even (in some locations) wind and solar. Why would power companies spend $1 billion on a new nuclear power plant when they can build ten oil plants for that cost?

    91. Re:I work in the power industry by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Turbines in cars are not a new idea. They tried this in the 60's. If they were as efficient as you say, we would have switched 2+ decades ago.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chrysler_Turbine_Car

      Nuclear does have scaling issues in the lack of acceptable storage and the NIMBY safety risks. We only have one planet at the moment to store nuclear waste on.

    92. Re:I work in the power industry by eredin · · Score: 1

      can you build a nuclear power plant in the sea?

      Apparently so.

    93. Re:I work in the power industry by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      LOL. I was just chatting with a friend of mine the other night about this.

      The sad part is that many of those munitions were put into tanks and the guy inside the tank firing was sitting in front of the ammunition with his back facing the uranium tips. I'm sure there are at least a few service men who could probably relate cancer to those tipped shells.

      There are several ways according to my friend, who's dad works in a Nuclear power plant up in NY, that we can get rid of the spent fuel rods. As stated above we can reuse them.

      Nuclear is probably our best bet at this point in time until we can a) find a way to completely negate the radiation or b) find a completely alternate source. Either way it'll be cheaper in the long run compared to Oil. Not only that we can fortify ourselves against having to battle it out for resources when the time comes. Because the time will come when resources run scarce and the globe turns into a real life Command & Conquer, StarCraft, [insert favorite RTS]. Its the way the world works. At some point the "stability" we've had over the last 100yrs or so is going to faulter due to low resources and it becomes a world of whose stick is bigger and who can fortify their borders.

      Granted we do have the options of diplomacy, but I could see this option degrading rapidly were a country to completely run out of resources (ie Fuel) and doesn't want to get gouged for it.

    94. Re:I work in the power industry by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      >Hydro doesn't scale,
      You should tell that to Egypt, who generate 95% of their electricity from Hydro...

    95. Re:I work in the power industry by Free+the+Cowards · · Score: 1

      Cost is only a problem because of, again, politics. Nuclear power is not inherently more expensive than other forms of power. Safe nuclear power isn't even inherently more expensive. The reason no more nuclear power plants are being built in the US is because it's impossible to get regulatory approval for using anything beyond 1960s technology, and basically impossible to get regulatory approval for new construction at all.

      --
      If you mod me Overrated, you are admitting that you have no penis.
    96. Re:I work in the power industry by gormanw · · Score: 1

      Let's just remember a few points. 1. The construction of a Toyota Prius and its battery unit consumes more resources and generates more pollution than a Hummer. 2. Base load electricity is generated by coal, natural gas, and nuclear. All of which will be required as solar doesn't perform very well at night. 3. Any hybrid is subject to cost benefit analysis versus the price of gasoline. 4. Wide-scale use of batteries require a thorough and thoughtful recycling plan, including more than one plant in Italy. If energy Independence is the goal, the US should utilize all of its resources: Wind, Solar, Coal, Natural Gas, and Nuclear. If lower hydrocarbon use is the goal, perhaps considering hydraulic hybrids, which only use a battery to start the car is the way to go. Check out "Hybrid Hummer Hums" at http://economicefficiency.blogspot.com/2008/07/hybrid-hummer-hums.html

    97. Re:I work in the power industry by hazydave · · Score: 1

      The SULEV -- ULEV-II specifications for emissions are based on electric car equivalents. SULEV (the California version, to which '01-'03 Prius was the first conforming vehicle) requires emissions no more than an electric car, based on an average power supplier's pollution (presumably based on late-90s/early-00's averages). That was the original premise of the spec -- a reaction to California's "10% electric" mandate in the early 90s... back in the days before NiMh technology had been perfected, and Li-ion was still a pipe dream (they were working on Lithium cells, but was a 20-something-year project).

      That certainly suggests that electric cars powered from plants polluting at above average levels would pollute more than the '01-'03 Prius. And the PZEV standard, first on the '04 Prius, is cleaner still.

      I won't argue that stationary plants could be cleaner -- that's a specious argument, when the observable fact is that many if not most are not cleaner. And it's likely only a political act will mandate a proper cleanup or shutdown policy.

      Of course, at least in some locales, consumers have choice. Here in South Jersey, we can select our power supplier just as you can pick your long distance phone carrier. I'm on a plan that's entirely wind, small hydroelectric, and solar. Yes, it's more expensive. For a bit more, I can get 100% wind from the new Atlantic City wind farm, but I'm waiting for that to come down a bit.

      I'm also very anxious to replace my '03 Prius with a reasonable plug-in hybrid... I can get 100% clean power where I live, which is already better than gasoline or non-choice grid power. But if the USA really does make the effort go energy independent, all electric will tend toward cleaner (at least in the carbon sense), whether that's clean coal, nuclear, solar, or something else. That's enough reason to invest in electric car technology ASAP, IMHO.

      --
      -Dave Haynie
    98. Re:I work in the power industry by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If we are to consider the relative cost of different methods of generating electricity we should start on a level playing field. The amount of subsidies, tax breaks, government loans, and government supplied insurance should be included in the cost calculations. Nuclear power can't make it on its own merits. The amount of government assistance for nuclear power dwarfs other forms of electrical generation.

    99. Re:I work in the power industry by rgviza · · Score: 1

      Further, in cities (where we need this most) electric cars are impractical since a lot of people don't have the option of parking in front of their house to charge up, since usually someone else is parked there.

      This issue needs to be solved before us city dwellers even have the option of using these types of cars. /sigh

      -Viz

      --
      Don't kid yourself. It's the size of the regexp AND how you use it that counts.
    100. Re:I work in the power industry by hazydave · · Score: 1

      You have to be at SULEV/ULEV-II to be, on the average, as clean or cleaner than an electric car (based on grid averages). The SULEV qualification is 90% cleaner than the ULEV qualification.

      Series hybrids are an interesting idea, but only practical if you can offset the natural loss of efficiency. Going from generator to motor, you're probably "only" about 95% efficient... if you're storing charge, this may drop to 85% or so.

      Now, of course, you have something like 40% maximum efficiency for any ICE. That's a theoretical efficiency for a highly efficient Atkinson/Miller cycle engine: http://www.mhi.co.jp/technology/review/pdf/e383/e383146.pdf... most modern ICE are more like 32-36% maximum theoretical efficiency depending on design specifics. A modern diesel engine is the low 40%'s. An adiabatic ICE could hit 60%+, but we're still waiting (I first read about the concept back in the 70s).

      In practice it's usually quite a bit less (the tank to wheel efficiency on a normal ICE car is around 15%, a Prius-like hybrid more like 24%), so there's room for efficiency here. And an all-electric drivetrain should pick up a few more points. Of course, some of big efficiency losses are aerodynamic drag, which applies to electrics and ICE alike.

      But it's not likely to be amazing... GM's only quoting 50mpg for their Volt... Prius-like, but but not better. Sure, no turbine either (I have read of theoretical efficiencies as high as 65%), though there are plenty of issues with turbines (noise, longevity, etc).

      --
      -Dave Haynie
    101. Re:I work in the power industry by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Someone else already addressed the windfarm. I have no response to hydro and geothermal.

      ..... Eventually, solar will work too, but since solar isn't reliable it will never be a primary power source until someone invents a magic battery.

      The average idiot only sees solar electric. There are other forms of solar such as solar thermal. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solar_thermal_energy These can store the thermal energy for later use. They will have the standard plumbing maintenance problems that would be similar to any other thermally powered plants(coal, geothermal, nuclear, etc...). Then, there's solar hot water heating for the home which would just be an extra hot water heater.

      While solar electric is not a panacea, it can certainly offset peak usage during hot days in areas where heavy air-conditioning is in use. It's perfect for the situation. It generates electricity during peak hours where the average user uses the most electricity. This will reduce the number of peak generation plants that have to be started, reducing overal fossil fuel usage. This reduces our overall reliance on imported oil, which runs peak generation plants. Reducing our foreign dependence will reduce our need to be involved in overseas oil markets. While it won't be good for the oil conglomerates, it's good for the country. Our baseline plants mainly run coal or nuclear which can't be turned on and off so quickly and we have plenty of our own fuel for those.

      The disadvantage of solar electric that everyone ignores is that silicon products have a half life and that the manufacture of silicon chips of all kinds does require energy and toxic chemicals that do get leaked into the system. Look up the chemical leaks in the sf bay area and you'll see that there are frequent enough leaks into the bay over the years to make it worrisome. http://phe.rockefeller.edu/comm_risk/commrsk4.html While it's good to do more research, solar electric still has many drawbacks. Although the price is expected to drop with the emerging technologies, that price still hasn't reached the reqular consumer.

      Not only is solar electric still quite expensive, the cheaper alternative of solar water heating is frequently ignored. Solar water heating should be pushed quite a bit more especially in California where many electric generation plants use the very same natural gas to produce the electricity. Cutting that gas usage in California would also cut electric bills overall where utilities use gas to generate more than half the electricity. (Basic supply & demand - reduce overall used = reduced price) For some homes that have radiant floor heating, solar thermal would be a much better and cheaper system that provides a faster return than the solar electric.

      btw: Solar water heating made headway during the early 20th century, until natural gas provided a cheaper alternative to fuel oil.

      Every energy source has its advanatages and disadvantages. While it's good to subsidize the systems to get them adopted, we shouldn't just concentrate on the one glamorous system. We should be subsidizing all the reasonable alternatives. We certainly do need to try them all in the right places to reduce overal fossil fuel reliance and mitigate price fluctuations. We shouldn't be ignoring the lesser known systems that will benefit all of us as well.

      As for the topic of ULEVs, they cost more and require parts to be shipped all over the world to be processed or made, which all still currently use fossil fuel. Unless that ULEV is used for more than 10 years, those hybrid drivers are just the usual assholes who are using their car to show off their wealth. You're not really cutting back on greenhouse gasses, you're just shifting it to another part of the globe. While battery life may have improved since the first generation, the my brother

    102. Re:I work in the power industry by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I also work in the power industry. Check it out for yourself.

      Front page of CAL ISO. Or, if you want to see the largest grid in the world for load, PJM is in Pennsylvania. Go to eTools, Login, and look for the eData Guest Login. See lots of pretty graphs, and look for the button that says Load.

      These loads are very well understood, and some extremely clever guys work on some pretty high demand computer systems to predict the exact load on each ISO/RTO grid for every hour of every day of the year, all subject to weather and other inputs.

    103. Re:I work in the power industry by AJWM · · Score: 1

      Right. Those that don't plug in their cars stick cardboard in front of the radiator in winter to give the engine a chance to warm up ;-)

      If you have an attached enclosed garage your car will probably stay warm enough, ditto if you live in southern Ontario where the winters aren't too bad. Other places, some folks use a battery warmer in addition to the block heater.

      --
      -- Alastair
    104. Re:I work in the power industry by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

      There's a big problem with nuclear that you pro-nuclear people always overlook, and it's not the waste (it would be far less if our stupid government allowed reprocessing). It's heat. Where are you going to put all the heat?

      The problem with nuclear power, just like any other thermodynamic cycle, is that it generates enormous amounts of waste heat, which is why it's so pathetically inefficient. This heat has to be put somewhere, which usually means into a nearby river, destroying all life in it. With rising summertime temperatures lately, some nuclear plants in the southeast USA have actually been shutting down during peak usage times (when everyone has their A/C on), because their local rivers simply can't handle any more heat, causing the reactor to overheat and automatically shut down.

      Nuclear power probably works great in far northern climates like Canada, Iceland, Norway, etc., since everything is already quite cold there. Closer to the equator, it doesn't work well at all.

      The only truly viable long-term power solutions are ones which are not based on thermal cycles at all. Wind generally only works well in open plains or near coasts. The bird-killing problem is a factor, but there's new vertical windmill designs which should eliminate that problem, and even better don't need to be turned into the wind like old-fashioned propellers. But even so, that's not enough power.

      The answer is solar. Solar power is horrifically underused. Enormous amounts of energy strike the Earth's surface every day from the Sun, and most of it does nothing but heat up the planet. For human-inhabited places, all it does is heat up our buildings.

      There's two kinds of solar power: solar heating, and photovoltaics for generating electricity. If we utilized solar heating alone, our power needs would drop tremendously, because we wouldn't be burning fuel to make electricity, and then using electricity to make heat. Solar heating is simple: make a big black panel, stick it on your roof, run water through it, and presto! you have heat which can be used to heat your drinking water (hot water heaters use an enormous amount of power just keeping a tank of water hot) or your indoor air. This even works in colder climates, as long as there's sunlight every day. There's enough heat gathered by a handful of 12x4 solar panels to heat a small pool of water to 100+ degrees, and then this water can be circulated through a house all day and night in a radiant floor heating system to keep it comfortably warm, without using any electricity at all except that needed to run the water pump. The entire northern half of the USA could put this to good use, while the entire country could do the same thing just for heating potable water. And remember, every house or building has plenty of unused roof space to put solar panels on.

      The second kind of solar power of course is PV. The efficiency and cost of these hasn't been that great, but the costs are going down, and the efficiency is going up quickly. If oil and coal weren't so cheap, PV would already be a much more attractive solution. As for where to put them, as I said before, every building has plenty of unused roof space. We don't have to cover the deserts with these things; we just need to boost the efficiency up to 40% or so, and make them economical to buy and install. If every rooftop in America had a few solar panels on it, we'd have all the electricity we need.

    105. Re:I work in the power industry by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

      Have you ever heard of something called a "dam"? They're used to block rivers, and generate power by allowing the falling water to turn turbines. They've been around for a while.

      Around here (Arizona), we pump the water uphill during the night, from the bottom of the dam to the top, using the excess power being produced at night. Then, during the daytime, we let it go the other way, producing power for peak needs.

      You don't need solar to produce power at night; you just have to produce enough to store using other methods. Of course, the amount isn't the much anyway, since most power is used during the daytime (especially here with all the A/C).

    106. Re:I work in the power industry by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

      As far as I'm concerned, nuclear should NEVER be an option unless the waste is reprocessed and reused. If we won't do that, we don't deserve to use nuclear power.

    107. Re:I work in the power industry by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

      That's not a problem for city dwellers. Private companies can make garages (perhaps underground) where you can park your cars and plug in. You'll only have to pay, say, $500/month for the privilege, plus perhaps a valet fee and tip.

      If you can't afford that, maybe you shouldn't be living in a city with a car. Either dump the car, or move to the suburbs where houses have garages.

    108. Re:I work in the power industry by SIGBUS · · Score: 1

      The construction of a Toyota Prius and its battery unit consumes more resources and generates more pollution than a Hummer.

      Has any reputable, independent organization actually verified this claim, or is it just another example of a Big Lie that has been repeated so often that people believe it's true?

      --
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    109. Re:I work in the power industry by lgw · · Score: 1

      That's just not true. ULEV cars have almost no emisisons. Produce enough power at a coal plant to charge an electric car and you create more emissions. Most cities have significant non-coal sources for their power, and nuclear-powered electric cars are very clean indeed, but existing coal plants just suck, and existing ULEV cars are amazingly clean.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    110. Re:I work in the power industry by lgw · · Score: 1

      Nope, the problem wasn't efficiency. The problem was they can't change RPM fast enough. The turbine engine used in th M1-Abrams tank is just fine, and efficiency was a key goal (and fast acceleration was a goal only by tank standards).

      Serial hybrids allow the turbine to run at peak efficiency, with no need to spool up or down quickly.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    111. Re:I work in the power industry by gormanw · · Score: 1

      Thank you for your scepticism, as it tests ideas and either validates or refutes them. Please see the following links: http://www.impactlab.com/2007/03/14/prius-outdoes-hummer-in-environmental-damage/ http://www.evworld.com/library/rmi_hummerVprius.pdf http://thesocialage.com/blog/2007/09/10/better-for-the-environment-hummer-or-prius/ and two articles that support your point of view: http://news.cnet.com/8301-17938_105-9750840-1.html http://www.autobloggreen.com/2006/10/01/forbes-says-prius-ben-and-jerry-s-ice-cream-bad-for-the-environme/ My contention is that several factors should go into whether to buy a hybrid or not.

    112. Re:I work in the power industry by Derek+Pomery · · Score: 1

      ... 425,000,000MWh.
      So, equivalent to around 140,000+ turbines.

      --
      -- perl -e'print pack"H*","6e656d6f406d38792e6f7267"' /. ate my old sig. Bastards.
    113. Re:I work in the power industry by jhol13 · · Score: 1

      Produce enough power at a coal plant

      I was not talking about coal plant, I was talking about gas burning plant. Oil burning plant would be good too if you factor in refining.

    114. Re:I work in the power industry by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Right now, nuclear is the only scalable choice for clean power.

      Nuclear fission has scaling problems as well.

    115. Re:I work in the power industry by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I believe the solution to all of our energy problems is this. Solar powered homes and plug in hybrids. Thats it. We can build wind farms and what ever else, but solar powered homes is something we as individual home owners can do with tax incentives from the government. Plug in hybrids are only about 2 years away.

  3. Why so doubtful? by philspear · · Score: 2, Informative

    These same american car companies seemed all too eager to give us bigger, less fuel efficient tanks while demand was high. Obviously, that was a fad that was unsustainable, but they kept churning them out. Here we have clear proof that people want more efficiency and at least to feel like they're driving green, yet car companies aren't convinced they should give us them? Why is that stopping them now? Surely they haven't learned their lesson to think long-term rather than "Everyone is buying this right now, if these trends continue forever, and they will, then WOO HOO!"

    1. Re:Why so doubtful? by shiftless · · Score: 1

      Obviously, that was a fad that was unsustainable,

      Large cars are not a fad, they have been a fact of American culture for 40-50+ years and will likely continue to be for quite some time, unless we see huge shakeups in the oil market.

      Here we have clear proof that people want more efficiency and at least to feel like they're driving green,

      No, what the American people WANT is cheap cars that are cheap to operate. A '93 Ford Escort fits this description. A hybrid does not, because it contains batteries that are VERY expensive to replace. The American people don't--in general, when it comes down to it--give a shit about efficiency or "driving green", unless it positively impacts their wallet.

    2. Re:Why so doubtful? by mordred99 · · Score: 1

      I will take your line and this entire thread to a new level. People wanted SUVs and trucks. The big 3 had the models people wanted, and they became popular when gas was cheap. GM in particular did see that gas was getting more expensive but they had to build what people would buy, and everyone bought hummers. So they kept building what they could not keep on the lots. Why would you buy a Chevy Beretta when you can get a Blazer. That is how people thought.

      They saw the tide and got the EV-1, and now have been working on the Volt as a matter of that research for over a decade. Yeah they don't have a hybrid (save only the tahoe, silverado, malibu, escalade, etc.) and were not first the market. Okay. They have a longer development cycle that Toyota or Honda (3.5 years vs. 5.7 years from concept to market).

      So to take this to a new level. People wanted in the 70's to move from their land tanks/yachts, to a smaller car in the early 80's. Thus you got the toyota tercell and early honda accords. People liked those as they were cheap, got good milage, and ran forever.

      Well in early 1991, the NTSB required that all cars be required by 1994 to have several safety features in them if they are going to be on the US roads. Well this added hundreds of pounds of extra weight to cars (cross beams in doors, anti-lock brakes, airbags, daytime running lights, etc.) or the manufacturer will be fined. Well everyone did not care as much about size, but they cared more about function, safety and horsepower. So every car manufacturer had to make what the market wanted.

      Another shift in the mid 90's. Now you got minivans, small and large SUVs, and people driving pickup trucks when they have no need for one. Now you worried about a few things like does this have rear DVD player and how many cup holders, how many dozen air bags, and forget everything else. Well guess what - gas prices when ballistic and there was another change.

      Now we are where we are at. People want a lightweight car (small engine and less weight make better mpg), that can survive a crash with a large SUV or brick wall going 100 mph, and remember the halcyon days of that 1983 toyota tercell. Cars that were reliable and got 50 mpg. Well we cannot go back due to the safety regulation (and there are more that are coming, requiring traction control systems in all cars, etc.) If they made that exact came car today, it would only get 35 mpg due to weight requirements, etc. Toyota has updated engines (20 years of technology) which now make that same tercell get something like 42 mpg. So people now are trying to get the impossible. A cheap (10k) car which will give them great gas mileage. I think the cheapest you can find are something like the aveo or something like a kia something or another for $18k. How much do you think it costs for 8 air bags (according to mythbusters - it is $80 per unit).

      What you are looking at is trending in the market place. Yes the US manufactures are not as nimble as their foreign counterparts, however, they have also reaped big rewards once they get the ship in the right direction. Yes they did not foresee the market going as far south as they did, but even up to the first few months of 2008, people were buying trucks and SUVs so fast they could not keep them on the lots. People now are holding onto their cars longer as they are not realizing that getting a new car every 3.4 years as the car manufactures hope is simply not sustainable for people who don't have the money.

  4. The problem isn't plugging them in by Swizec · · Score: 1, Interesting

    The reason these vehicles will never get adopted to the extent they should doesn't have anything to do with having to plug them in overnight, hell I'd venture to say many find that less of a nuissance than having to make a trip to the petrol pump.

    The real reason we won't be seeing a large scale adoption of these is that they're ugly. Why can't somebody just give us a green car that actually looks good?

    1. Re:The problem isn't plugging them in by BigGar' · · Score: 1

      Well there's this one http://www.teslamotors.com/, but its a tad pricey. It's all electric not a hybrid, but has a range of 220 miles on a single charge, and great performance, though pushing the pedal to the floor would reduce your range a tad.

      --


      Shop smart, Shop S-Mart.
    2. Re:The problem isn't plugging them in by Lumpy · · Score: 5, Insightful

      The chevy volt will fail because it will cost $50,000.00US by the time it's released. Only the rich eco-trendy will buy that car.

      If you want to get hybrids and eco friendly cars to be adopted widely you gotta get the price down to where it's dirt cheap. $19,000 is the MAX price for the low end model. They refuse to make a car like that so they only end up as curiosity toys for the rich.

      They gotta get the price way WAY down. two seaters that are tiny and hybrid are the answer. If you get a Smart fourtwo as a hybrid that get's 80-100mpg for $19,000 you will have a car that will out-sell any other car in history.

      Problem is, The car makers and the oil companies do not want that car to exist and will do what they can to keep it from existing. The current smart is one of the safest cars on the planet yet it was a uphill fight to get the thing in the USA and then they had to "add safety features" to a car that was already a 5 star crash rating car.

      add safety features? why? oh to make it more expensive... I see. They wanted to make sure that the masses would not go out and buy it in droves destroying sales of higher profit margin cars.

      If you make a cheap efficient small commuter car, everyone will buy one. I'd rather blow 12mpg on the weekend in my high power sports car on the back roads and clear highways than at 32mph stop and go, in 5 lanes wide traffic on 696 in detroit.

      people wont want to plug it in? oh come on, the populace is not THAT lazy.

      --
      Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
    3. Re:The problem isn't plugging them in by philspear · · Score: 1

      Why can't somebody just give us a green car that actually looks good?

      I remember hearing that there actually was a normal-looking hybrid that preceeded the prius. There are many alternative explanations as to why it didn't sell as well, one of which may have been low gas prices. But at least one theory is that prius owners like the distinctive look because it lets other people know that they're driving a hybrid. The article I was reading had a quote by some loon saying that was half the point. Ridiculous I know. I kind of suspect that automakers are resistant to change and don't like the hybrid movement so they try to squelch it by giving us only ugly options. That's based on nothing but cynisism though.

    4. Re:The problem isn't plugging them in by sqrt(2) · · Score: 1

      Honda offers a version of their Civic with a hybrid configuration and it looks fairly similar to all the other cars in its class on the road. It is less popular than the more unique and recognizably shaped Prius.

      --
      If you build it, nerds will come. Soylentnews.org
    5. Re:The problem isn't plugging them in by Otter · · Score: 1

      Why can't somebody just give us a green car that actually looks good?

      Honda made one, and no one wanted it. Hybrid owners want people to know they're driving a hybrid.

    6. Re:The problem isn't plugging them in by TooMuchToDo · · Score: 2, Interesting

      The Roadster mileage is now 244 miles/charge. A significant efficiency gain was had with the transmission fix (which really we beefing up the inverter and the motor).

    7. Re:The problem isn't plugging them in by TooMuchToDo · · Score: 1

      (which really was beefing up the inverter and the motor).

      Spelling error fixed.

    8. Re:The problem isn't plugging them in by compro01 · · Score: 1

      If you get a Smart fourtwo as a hybrid that get's 80-100mpg for $19,000 you will have a car that will out-sell any other car in history.

      I question whether it would be practical to "hybridize" that small a car. That car is already pretty close to the limit of practicality without having to add in the electric motor, a battery pack, the regenerative braking stuff, the transmission linking, etc. not the mention the not-inconsiderable weight of said stuff.

      --
      upon the advice of my lawyer, i have no sig at this time
    9. Re:The problem isn't plugging them in by DragonWriter · · Score: 1

      I remember hearing that there actually was a normal-looking hybrid that preceeded the prius.

      The original Honda Insight (2000-2006) preceded the Prius, but it was much smaller and less normal looking (as subcompacts go, IMO, not unattractive, but certainly rather distinctive). The earlier (compact) Prius was less distinctive (and, IMO, less attractive) than the current (midsize) Prius.

      Frankly, aside from very expensive exotics, I can't think of a better-looking, generally available car on the road, to my tastes, than the current Prius, but degustibus non est disputandum, I suppose.

    10. Re:The problem isn't plugging them in by Chris+Burke · · Score: 1

      The chevy volt will fail because it will cost $50,000.00US by the time it's released. Only the rich eco-trendy will buy that car.

      To be fair, part of the reason is that to get a suitable range solely off of battery charge for a daily commute (50mi if I remember off the top of my head), they have to use LiIon batteries which are still expensive. I doubt the Tesla Roadster will make much of an impact in that regard, even though it has enough batteries to give the car a 250mi range. Hopefully something can bring the prices down and make something like the Volt reasonable. You know, like one of those breakthroughs I keep hearing about on ./.

      They gotta get the price way WAY down. two seaters that are tiny and hybrid are the answer. If you get a Smart fourtwo as a hybrid that get's 80-100mpg for $19,000 you will have a car that will out-sell any other car in history.

      I was baffled when I found out the Smart wasn't a pure electric, or even a hybrid. And that it gets the same gas mileage than my Toyota Echo, which can (technically) seat 5 and has a decent sized trunk and everything. Though that's not really fair, cus I'm comparing the rated mileage of the Smart to my measured economy, but still, I expected a hell of a lot more. As a pure gas vehicle, it's just not that exciting.

      Wikipedia says they're going to release a pure EV version in the US with 120mi range, but it's going to cost $35,000. Whoa. 20k? Absolutely, best selling car ever. But 35? Not likely. That's better than the volt, though...

      add safety features? why? oh to make it more expensive... I see. They wanted to make sure that the masses would not go out and buy it in droves destroying sales of higher profit margin cars.

      Don't forget it also makes it heavier and thus reduces fuel economy.

      people wont want to plug it in? oh come on, the populace is not THAT lazy.

      The populace is not too lazy to make a stop at the gas station to fuel up, so yes, I agree that's ludicrous.

      --

      The enemies of Democracy are
    11. Re:The problem isn't plugging them in by demonbug · · Score: 1

      Of course, the Prius is also cheaper (at listed base price) and gets better mileage (according to EPA estimates) than the Civic Hybrid. Must be the looks, though.

    12. Re:The problem isn't plugging them in by jcnnghm · · Score: 2, Interesting

      57% of Prius buyers cited "Makes a statement about me", as the top reason for their purchase.

      --
      You don't make the poor richer by making the rich poorer. - Winston Churchill
    13. Re:The problem isn't plugging them in by Bryansix · · Score: 1

      The Smart is a piece of shit because you can't actually put anything in it. The other problem is morons like to commute in their SUV's and there are many commercial trucks on the road and both literally destroy that little toy of a car. It all has to do with momentum.

      The US market had chosen and it mostly likes cars about the size of the Mazda 3 or larger. It won't bear to buy anything else in mass quantities even if it sells well in Europe.

    14. Re:The problem isn't plugging them in by Robotbeat · · Score: 2, Insightful

      You're forgetting the "sweetener" that Congress just added to the financial bail-out, a tax credit that Congress is giving consumers for at least $2500 for plug-in hybrid capability, with an additional $417 per kwh capacity past 4 kwh (with a limit of $7500 for small vehicles, and much more on larger vehicles). This evens the playing field much more: http://blog.cleveland.com/business/2008/10/bailout_bill_includes_tax_brea.html

      That means up to $7500 for a good plug-in vehicle. This is a big deal. It could totally change the minds of the car manufacturers.

    15. Re:The problem isn't plugging them in by Dr_Barnowl · · Score: 1

      You don't need such large ones, of course, because the car is smaller in the first place.

      Certain parts will be of a fixed size. Certain parts will scale with vehicle size. I'm actually finding it tough to think of parts that are necessarily fixed size, to be honest.

      And don't forget ; you're not taking a standard combustion engine and bolting on a generator and electric drivetrain. You're ripping it out completely, and replacing it with a much smaller combustion engine.

      If the car is twice as efficient, you only need half the engine output. And since the bulk of engine power in modern vehicles is usually only reserve for acceleration, you can get away with an even smaller combustion engine.

      You want to anyway - most ICE have their top efficiency at 60% of their highest power output. When the engine is running, you want it running at that speed all the time, charging the battery at max efficiency... but you can run it at 100% if you really need to.

      So you want an ICE that can only _just_ kick out enough power to maintain the maximum cruising speed of the car. You don't need spare capacity for acceleration - capacitors will take care of that.

      Of course, both our opinions are worthless without the numbers. :-)

    16. Re:The problem isn't plugging them in by zippthorne · · Score: 1

      Why does an all-electric roadster have air-ducts all over the place?

      --
      Can you be Even More Awesome?!
    17. Re:The problem isn't plugging them in by superdave80 · · Score: 1

      The chevy volt will fail because it will cost $50,000.00US by the time it's released.

      Pure speculation on your part, since GM has been estimating $35,000. Care to give a source for your 50k claim?

      If you get a Smart fourtwo as a hybrid that get's 80-100mpg for $19,000 you will have a car that will out-sell any other car in history.

      Wow, so you think that a car that gets double the mileage of anything else on the road that cost the same will sell like crazy? Thanks, Mr. Obvious. Too bad that the smart only gets 33/41 MPG. Hybridizing a car doesn't magically double the mileage.

    18. Re:The problem isn't plugging them in by amliebsch · · Score: 1

      It was a Honda Civic Hybrid that looked like every other Civic, but cost more and was a hybrid. It didn't sell.

      --
      If you don't know where you are going, you will wind up somewhere else.
    19. Re:The problem isn't plugging them in by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      wow you're a fucking stupid person.
      How do you walk and talk with your 45IQ?

      maybe if you got a brain you would realize what it means to have a 5 star crash rating you idiot.

    20. Re:The problem isn't plugging them in by compro01 · · Score: 1

      I don't think you could get that much smaller for engine. The good smart has a 40HP 700cc turbodiesel.

      Throwing numbers around:

      2.3 square metres frontal area (60" high and 60" wide)
      0.36 drag coefficient (number pulled out of the air. this is the number for a mini cooper, but it shouldn't be THAT far off)
      1.293 (air density)
      35.7 metres per second (80mph, highest current US speed limit)

      Chuck those into the drag-energy formula:

      0.5*1.293*(35.7^3)*2.3*0.36=24.3KW=32.6HP at the wheels is the absolute minimum you would need.

      --
      upon the advice of my lawyer, i have no sig at this time
    21. Re:The problem isn't plugging them in by AgentPaper · · Score: 2, Interesting

      5-star, as in NHTSA 5-star? That doesn't exactly make me feel warm and fuzzy. The NHTSA test only applies to two types of crash: a controlled head-on crash at 35 MPH, and a controlled perpendicular side-impact (T-bone) crash at 35 MPH. Neither of those have any bearing at all on crashes in the real world, which tend to be either offset or rollover (or both, when a car flips as the result of a lateral impact). IIHS, who actually issues crash test results that have some real world validity, said the Smart did well against cars of similar size and weight (ha!), but threw up some major red flags in the lack of a front crumple zone, reliance on restraints to decelerate passengers in a crash, and poor door engineering (read: the doors popped open during the crash test, and if the dummies hadn't been belted in they would've been ejected). None of that, to my mind, tracks with "one of the safest cars on the planet."

      That, of course, does not take into account my knee-jerk reaction: You're going to take a Smart through the Mixing Bowl on a daily basis? Just let one semi hit you at 85 MPH and there won't be enough left of you for the EMTs to scrape off the pavement. I wouldn't want to take my chances against a deer either. I'm sure the Smarts are okay for city driving (I know one person who owns one, and that's exactly what they use it for, zipping between Troy, Birmingham and Bloomfield Hills), but on the freeway... not on my life.

      (Full disclosure: The author is a Detroiter, and drives a Saab 9-3. Don't look at me like that, GM owns them...)

      --
      First rule of trauma: Bleeding always stops.
    22. Re:The problem isn't plugging them in by lag10 · · Score: 0

      The Roadster was based on a Lotus design for an ICE-powered sportscar. The air inlets are familiar to those in the market for such a vehicle, and they give the chassis a more sporty appearance.

    23. Re:The problem isn't plugging them in by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      yup, 'cause that darned prius thingie shure ain't sellin faster 'n they can build'em

    24. Re:The problem isn't plugging them in by Lumpy · · Score: 1

      Being a fellow detroit commuter I have seen a nice big escalade SUV hit at 85 with a semi truck. there was nothing left for the EMT's to scrape up. so your example means nothing. ANYTHING versus a semi truck = death. And you are missing the fact that the mixing bowl every morning is filled with itty bitty cars that have far worse crash ratings. Honda insight.. There are a ton of them on 96/696 on the way in the morning. Those beer cans crumple and fold in really easily when you look at a crashed one. hell the rearending on them are pretty nasty and that happens all the time in detroit.

      I suggest you actually open your eyes and look around when you drive in the next week. you already have tons of small cars that are in the mixing bowl driving safely every day. Geo metros, chevy aveos, suzukis, toyota echos.

      --
      Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
    25. Re:The problem isn't plugging them in by Shotgun · · Score: 1

      I kind of suspect that automakers are resistant to change and don't like the hybrid movement so they try to squelch it by giving us only ugly options.

      They don't like change, but it has nothing to do with liking or disliking a particular technology. I seriously doubt they care what they build, as long as someone gives them money for it. What they do dislike, and they dislike it very much, is having a billion dollar manufacturing plant obsoleted by switching to a new technology. Now, that just pisses them off to no end.

      --
      Aah, change is good. -- Rafiki
      Yeah, but it ain't easy. -- Simba
    26. Re:The problem isn't plugging them in by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I live in an upstairs apartment. What do you suggest - that I run an extension cord out from my bedroom window (leaving the window cracked open in the winter), and across the parking lot to the car port where I'm parked? Maybe the power company will kindly install a new line and meter, out-doors, for me... and my neighbor won't plug his car into my meter when I'm away.

      Practical, this idea ain't.

    27. Re:The problem isn't plugging them in by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You should check out:
      http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ju6t-yyoU8s
      I'm not buying a Smart either, but it's not because of safety issues. I ride a motorcycle...

    28. Re:The problem isn't plugging them in by badkarmadayaccount · · Score: 1

      Uhhh, they arent precisely 100% effitient, so they need cooling, possibly?

      --
      I know tobacco is bad for you, so I smoke weed with crack.
    29. Re:The problem isn't plugging them in by deepgrey · · Score: 1

      The current smart is one of the safest cars on the planet yet it was a uphill fight to get the thing in the USA and then they had to "add safety features" to a car that was already a 5 star crash rating car.

      add safety features? why? oh to make it more expensive... I see.

      Sounds like someone's been drinking the kool-aid...

      The problem with the smart is that it's not very practical. Many people in the U.S. do not live in crowded cities like Europe. Hybrids sold here are going to have to be at least the size of the Prius to really be practical for anyone who isn't single.

    30. Re:The problem isn't plugging them in by Bryansix · · Score: 1

      The ultra-tiny Smart ForTwo earned top marks in side and front crash tests, the Insurance Institute for Highway Safety said Wednesday. The two-seat car did not earn the Institute's Top Safety Pick designation, however, because it didn't earn top marks for whiplash protection. But even if the ForTwo improved its whiplash protection, it would not be named a Top Safety Pick, said IIHS spokesman Russ Rader. The institute does not have a specific size requirement, but the ForTwo is simply too small to be considered safe under all conditions, including highway driving, he said

      http://money.cnn.com/2008/05/14/autos/smart_fortwo_iihs_crash_test/?postversion=2008051410

      It's Science. It can't stand up to another vehicle larger then it hitting it. http://wheels.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/05/14/another-smart-crash-test-same-result/ This article mentions how the door can come open in a side impact.

    31. Re:The problem isn't plugging them in by Bryansix · · Score: 1

      The ultra-tiny Smart ForTwo earned top marks in side and front crash tests, the Insurance Institute for Highway Safety said Wednesday. The two-seat car did not earn the Institute's Top Safety Pick designation, however, because it didn't earn top marks for whiplash protection. But even if the ForTwo improved its whiplash protection, it would not be named a Top Safety Pick, said IIHS spokesman Russ Rader. The institute does not have a specific size requirement, but the ForTwo is simply too small to be considered safe under all conditions, including highway driving, he said

      http://money.cnn.com/2008/05/14/autos/smart_fortwo_iihs_crash_test/?postversion=2008051410

      It's Science. It can't stand up to another vehicle larger then it hitting it. http://wheels.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/05/14/another-smart-crash-test-same-result/ This article mentions how the door can come open in a side impact.

    32. Re:The problem isn't plugging them in by AgentPaper · · Score: 1

      Being a fellow detroit commuter I have seen a nice big escalade SUV hit at 85 with a semi truck. there was nothing left for the EMT's to scrape up. so your example means nothing. ANYTHING versus a semi truck = death.

      Two different crash mechanisms at work. What's going to kill someone in an Escalade or any other big SUV is rolling over and/or being ejected; what's going to kill someone in a compact/subcompact is deceleration. All else being equal, the vehicle with more mass wins every time in a crash; the risk factor in the case of an SUV is the fact that the mass sits high, increasing the risk of a fatal roll. In the case of the 'Slade vs. the semi, you get a double whammy.

      And you are missing the fact that the mixing bowl every morning is filled with itty bitty cars that have far worse crash ratings. Honda insight.. There are a ton of them on 96/696 on the way in the morning. Those beer cans crumple and fold in really easily when you look at a crashed one. hell the rearending on them are pretty nasty and that happens all the time in detroit.

      And they make a lovely mess for us when they get to the hospital, too. ...Seriously, subcompacts are great for city driving. People can get a Smart or an Aveo or whatever and zip around whatever suburb they like all day long. However, I don't think ANY of them are safe on American interstates, and certainly not in the demolition derbies we call Detroit freeways. They get away with it in other countries because cars overall are smaller, you don't see the SUV overload you do here, and people pay attention to the road and drive defensively. Here, what you see even more than the little cars (see below for my thoughts on those) is some doofus in an SUV or a minivan, chatting on the phone, yelling at the kids and fiddling with the rear-seat DVD player all while trying to control a 4,000-lb hunk of steel at 80 MPH. I wouldn't like my chances against that numbskull if I were driving an Abrams tank. Why anyone would want to chance it in a Campbell's soup can of a car (and yes, I see scads of them out there on 696 too) is beyond me.

      Please don't misunderstand, I'd be the absolute last person to tell someone to drive an SUV. I haven't driven one since 1999, and I'm forever telling those in my family who do to get rid of them. Even with ESP packages and center-of-gravity manipulation, they roll far too often (far more fatal than any other form of crash), and the high bumpers make them a hazard to smaller vehicles. As you might have noticed from my previous disclosure line, I drive a small-midsize sedan, and I'd far rather see people in sedans and station wagons than SUVs. The fuel economy issue doesn't concern me so much, though it certainly doesn't help; it's what happens to a crash victim, and from that standpoint, SUVs are at a massive disadvantage. Always have been, always will be.

      What concerns me about the Smart cars, and concerns me even more after watching the second responder's YouTube video, is the fact that the car appears to be preserving its own structure at the expense of the passengers, when it should be the other way around. It's absolutely wonderful that the "steel safety cell" survived a 70 MPH impact into concrete intact. A triumph of engineering, that. My concern is that if the frame isn't absorbing impact energies, and the crumple zone is too small to impart more than a trivial reduction in crash force (I'll SWAG it and say 5 MPH, 10 at the outside), all that energy is going straight to the passengers. In ANY small car (again, as shown by the video), that's generally not survivable. Thus, I'd have to wonder why someone would ever want to put themselves at that kind of risk by driving such a vehicle in an environment where it's at a potentially fatal disadvantage.

      Commentary over - we now return you to your regularly scheduled discussion.

      --
      First rule of trauma: Bleeding always stops.
    33. Re:The problem isn't plugging them in by Dr_Barnowl · · Score: 1

      Hmm... this is probably why the Volt and the EV1 make such a focus out of drag ; the EV1 had a drag coefficient of 0.19

      Here's hoping those shiny new battery/ultracapacitor technologies take the combustion engine out of the equation for smaller vehicles... ditch the engine and fuel tanks, pack batteries into the spare space.

      I wonder if wheel hub motors would go some way to allowing a bit more room for the power train.

  5. Plug ins need bigger batteries by EmbeddedJanitor · · Score: 1
    and battery technology is still the most expensive and weakest link.

    Toyota is doing well (business wise) with its regular hybrids. It just does not make sense to try sell something that is self-competitive and confuses the market.

    --
    Engineering is the art of compromise.
  6. What Morons by mrbill1234 · · Score: 1

    If Toyota don't build an plug in hybrid, someone else will. Like it or not, electric cars are the future. The combustion engines are not going to go away any time soon, but as soon as EV's become mainstream (in the next 5 years I think), two car households will have one ICE and one EV.

    One has to wonder what Toyota is thinking. The RAV4 EV which they discontinued and even tried to have destroyed was a perfectly fine vehicle, and many are still running today. I wish they would just re-introduce that vehicle, perhaps with modern batteries.

    1. Re:What Morons by TemporalBeing · · Score: 1, Informative

      If Toyota don't build an plug in hybrid, someone else will. Like it or not, electric cars are the future. The combustion engines are not going to go away any time soon, but as soon as EV's become mainstream (in the next 5 years I think), two car households will have one ICE and one EV.

      One has to wonder what Toyota is thinking. The RAV4 EV which they discontinued and even tried to have destroyed was a perfectly fine vehicle, and many are still running today. I wish they would just re-introduce that vehicle, perhaps with modern batteries.

      Funny thing is - they already do. Just not for the U.S. market. The Prius is a plug-in in the Asian markets; however, the EPA regulations and testing (since they couldn't get the MPG number to be consistent!) forced them to remove the capability for the U.S. market. Hopefully, the EPA will re-evaluate their position, else they'll be a thorn for everyone.

      Want proof: check out the guys behind the PriusPlus and all the aftermarket reverse engineering that has gone on - some of them even restored the functionality!

      --
      Truth is like the sun. You can shut it out for a time, but it ain't goin' away. - Elvis Presley (source: imdb.com)
    2. Re:What Morons by Spoke · · Score: 1

      The RAV4 EV which they discontinued and even tried to have destroyed was a perfectly fine vehicle, and many are still running today. I wish they would just re-introduce that vehicle, perhaps with modern batteries.

      Heck, Toyota re-furbed a couple of RAV4 EVs just recently for more testing in Portland, OR.

      http://www.autobloggreen.com/2008/09/24/toyota-brings-refurbished-rav4-evs-to-portland-for-infrastructuc/

      The technology is there to drop in some modern batteries and upgrade the electronics so that it will do 0-60mph in 10 seconds and travel 100 miles at 70mph... Those types of specs would be sufficient for the vast majority of commute and errand type running. I bet you'd sell a couple thousand of those a month or more depending on the price.

    3. Re:What Morons by Quikah · · Score: 1

      I haven't been able to find any proof of a plug-in Prius being sold by Toyota, care to elaborate?

      I did find reference to a missing button on the North American model which forces an EV only mode, but that is not plug-in.

      --
      Q.
    4. Re:What Morons by TemporalBeing · · Score: 1

      I know it was one of the groups doing mods to the Prius that discovered it. I believe it was one of a show on Discovery that covered the group and discussed it - but it was a couple years ago that that I would have seen that show.

      --
      Truth is like the sun. You can shut it out for a time, but it ain't goin' away. - Elvis Presley (source: imdb.com)
  7. Are vapor cars cannibalizing current car sales? by Average · · Score: 1

    I'm wondering if the vaporware of cars like the Volt and other plug-ins are starting to eat at the sales of current cars. I can think of a few well-off lefty people (yes, a tweed jacket wearing university dean among them) who used to be new-every-two people. But, now, they're staying tight in their 1st-gen Priuses, waiting for the next... something. CNG? Fuel-cell? Volt? Who knows.

    Everybody is starting to sense "the gasoline car has to go". All the automakers are working to get to the next option, and trying to assure the public that it's right around the corner if they just keep getting tax breaks and government loans. But it isn't, unfortunately.

    1. Re:Are vapor cars cannibalizing current car sales? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Yes: I've been holding off buying a Prius waiting for the plug-in version next year. Now Toyota is changing their mind, and I might actually look at the GM product.

      Unfortunately "GM==craptastic" is etched in my brain from years of experience. The Volt might have good engineering behind it, but I expect it to be produced with low quality and have trashy style. Chrome-painted radio dials, anyone?

    2. Re:Are vapor cars cannibalizing current car sales? by swb · · Score: 1

      The economy, maybe? Hell, a guy I know who sells Volvos says its almost impossible to write a lease on a car and bank financing for purchases has gotten trickier with the credit crunch. Even guys with more or less guaranteed six figure incomes (like tenured full professors) are also sucking up the inflationary increases like the rest of us.

      And there may be some of the "what's new, anyway?" mindset. I don't think a 2 year old Prius is missing much from a new one, although I admit to not caring, gas costs nothing to me, and the environmental impact doesn't matter, either.

    3. Re:Are vapor cars cannibalizing current car sales? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think the shaky state of the economy, inflation, and people being nervous over taking out loans has a lot more to do with slow car sales than the promise of future super-cars.

    4. Re:Are vapor cars cannibalizing current car sales? by Free+the+Cowards · · Score: 1

      Maybe they've just realized that buying a new car every two years is a great way to waste a huge heaping pile of money for not very much gain.

      --
      If you mod me Overrated, you are admitting that you have no penis.
    5. Re:Are vapor cars cannibalizing current car sales? by AgentPaper · · Score: 1

      While you're right that old GM was a steaming pile of freshly squeezed lemon peels, new GM is actually pretty good these days. Hell of a lot better than the other two Midsized Three, in terms of initial quality and reliability.

      Although I'm aware that anecdote and data have little to do with each other, we've owned vehicles from all of the American manufacturers and three foreign (Mercedes, Toyota and Jaguar). The basement was squarely occupied by... Mercedes. Yes, the kings of German engineering, gave us not one but two vehicles that were in the shop more days than not (a 2004 CLK320 Cabrio and a 2007 E350 4Matic), due to failures including a faulty fuel tank sensor that resulted in a fuel-out failure, faulty alternator and battery resulting in undrivable car, faulty radiator hose that blew coolant all over Woodward Avenue, multiple broken tire pressure sensors, and a squeaky/leaking convertible top. Also, normal driving resulted in loss of front end alignment, and God help you if you hit a pothole - you'd be fighting a 15-degree list all the way to the dealer.

      After that, from worst to best:

      Ford (cruise control failure caused uncontrollable acceleration when on, CC had to be disabled; electrical harness failure blew fuses when windshield wipers were turned on, eventually caused fire in headliner; bad idle programming in engine control module caused intermittent stall)

      Jaguar (repeated failures of engine interlock module resulted in undrivable car if left parked in temperatures outside a window of 55-70 deg F for more than 10 minutes)

      Jeep (replaced three sets of brake rotors due to warping; lack of cover over air intakes resulted in ingested road debris and FOD to air filtration systems)

      Toyota (few "stupid stuff" recalls, no major maintenance issues)

      GMC (no recalls, one TPMS error - five-minute dealer fix)
      Saab (no recalls, no maintenance issues)

      --
      First rule of trauma: Bleeding always stops.
    6. Re:Are vapor cars cannibalizing current car sales? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'd like to believe that GM's getting their quality act together, but I rented a Cadillac STS recently and the interior just "felt" cheesy to me. Features were nice, and I assume reliability is improved, but it's actually a step backwards from the Caddy my Grandma used to drive in terms of the quality of the cockpit experience*. That's why the "painted chrome radio knob" crack still applies, IMHO.

      Thing is, even a low-end Toyota, like a Corolla, doesn't give me the shudders the way most American cars do. A Corolla doesn't try to be fancy, but it doesn't feel cheesy. Stuff is functional and sensible, without cheap flash that doesn't stand up over time.

      It's as if GM, Ford, and Chrysler are catering to people who either buy their clothes and their bullets in the same place or frequent steak houses and golf courses and think that's the good life. Nothing wrong with that, but it's not me or anyone I hang with.

      * (Losing the curb feelers *was* a good move though.)

  8. Hell, I'd buy one. by SatanicPuppy · · Score: 1

    99% of my driving is within the range covered by a regular charge, and hell, I live in the sort of climate where I could throw a single solar panel on my roof and break even on the electricity for the year.

    It's all about the batteries though. The guy who invents a workable next-gen source of electricity (be it battery, capacitor, or fuel cell) is going to make Bill Gates look like a poor relative.

    --
    ad logicam Claiming a proposition is false because it was presented as the conclusion of a fallacious argument.
  9. FUD by globaljustin · · Score: 5, Insightful

    why are automakers so irrationally risk averse! I understand making sound decisions, but damnit...the market was ready for electric plug-ins in the late 70's...today it's a no brainer!

    questioning how many people will really buy electric cars

    yes

    whether people will really charge them at night to keep the grid clear

    yes

    whether batteries will make them too expensive and more.

    no

    If you build it, they will come...in my podunk former GM factory town, everyone would own a prius if they could afford to get a new car (many working and middle class people can't afford ANY kind of new car, no matter what make/model)

    The people that can afford to buy a new car are buying Prius's in record numbers...a friend at the Toyota dealership (who helped my parents get their Prius) says they always order the maximum from Toyota and sell out before they hit the lot...for almost two years that's been the case

    Plugging in at night is just a logical progression, and from an automaker's perspective, a simple engineering isssue (professional engineers can easily handle redesigning a Prius to have plug-in capability)

    As far as added cost of batteries, the Prius my parents own now has more than sufficient battery power, all it needs is a plug-in...

    --
    Thank you Dave Raggett
    1. Re:FUD by Chris+Burke · · Score: 0, Redundant

      whether people will really charge them at night to keep the grid clear

      I agree with you completely, and this one here was the thing that really made me scratch my head. When the hell else are people going to be plugging them in? Unless they start putting power outlets in the parking lot at work, I won't be plugging them in during the day! Whereas most people have outlets in their garage.

      --

      The enemies of Democracy are
    2. Re:FUD by Bombula · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Absolutely. I'm in Michigan now too and there's still a waiting list on the Prius at local dealers, despite the ramp up in production and delivery. Sooner or later the demand gap will close, but it may still be a while yet. As for plug-ins, I think the real proof will be in the pudding. There is no PBEV on the market right now from a major automaker. When there is, it'll change everything. GM's EV-1 was a huge hit in LA when I lived there in the late 90s, and consumers were furious when they stopped making them.

      If you ask me, this is just a ploy by Toyota to get the other automakers to doubt themselves a bit. It's a reverse psychology tactic from the market leader - it make perfect sense. At any rate, Toyota needs to stop dicking around and get its PBEVs into the US market and forget about self-competing, because if they wait until the Chevy volt and other EVs come out, they're not going to be on top of the market for long.

      --
      A-Bomb
    3. Re:FUD by TooMuchToDo · · Score: 1

      Funny story. I just drove by a Ford dealership in my town. The message board on their sign read: "We have Prius' in stock!" I couldn't help but laugh.

    4. Re:FUD by Spoke · · Score: 1

      As far as added cost of batteries, the Prius my parents own now has more than sufficient battery power, all it needs is a plug-in...

      Not really. The stock Prius battery only has enough power for a couple miles of all electric power.

      Not sufficient unless you only plan on going around the block at low speeds.

      You can buy a PHEV kit for the Prius which gets you 30-40 miles of mostly electric power. Depending on your driving, you will typically get 100mpg+ during that period, and even significantly more if you keep speeds low.

      Drawback is that it costs $10k, but if it were integrated into the car by Toyota, the additional cost would be much less (I'd estimate the additional cost to be appx $5k), and Toyota would be able to make additional modifications to allow the car to make better use of the electric power while it's available.

      I would quite happily pay a $5k premium on a car that had 30-40 miles of mostly electric range. I might even pay more if it were integrated from the factory. But as it is now, I'd probably want to pick up the cheapest used Prius available to convert, which unfortunately are in very high demand right now. The only Prius you can find for $10k is totalled.

    5. Re:FUD by TheSkyIsPurple · · Score: 1

      At least where I am in SoCal, many people don't have garages.
      If they're lucky, they have a covered outdoor spot, that has no power.

      I personally do, but my classic vehicles get my spot, and roomie's hybrid gets the other, so my daily driver gets the driveway... which isn't quite as easy to safely plug in.

    6. Re:FUD by bjorniac · · Score: 1

      You could even go with the libertarian argument (only time I can ever remember agreeing with them!) and let the market sort it out. If we have excess power at night, price electricity differently at different times of the day. Hell, places already do this. Are you going to recharge you car at $1 per KJ or $0.1 per KJ? Time based price differences will give people the incentive to keep the load steady and keep plants running at peak efficiency.

    7. Re:FUD by Curmudgeonlyoldbloke · · Score: 1

      everyone would own a prius if they could afford to get a new car

      They've been making them for the US since 2001 so by your logic the majority of second-hand cars of that age should already be Priuses - except that they're not.

      The WSJ has September's US figures - it's only in the bottom half of the top 20:
      http://online.wsj.com/mdc/public/page/2_3022-autosales.html
      (and the ytd figures are down)

      According to UK full-year 2007 figures, it's not in the top 10 there either:
      http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/7174856.stm

      The people running the large car makers (or any large company) aren't idiots - if there had have been a more obvious market gap they'd have filled it. If you think they're wrong you're welcome to have a go yourself, like these people:
      http://www.nicecarcompany.co.uk/

      I don't know the answer to the question "how many people will really buy electric cars" but suspect that right now it's not many - it's easier for many people to change to something that's a bit smaller and a bit more economical, but still running on regular petrol or diesel.

    8. Re:FUD by globaljustin · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      They've been making them for the US since 2001 so by your logic the majority of second-hand cars of that age should already be Priuses - except that they're not.

      Gas prices haven't been as high as they are since 2001.

      --
      Thank you Dave Raggett
    9. Re:FUD by globaljustin · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      When I say the battery is sufficient, i'm talking in the context of the true 'hybrid' way the Prius works now.

      Here's what would be perfect, a Prius that had a "manual" mode that allowed the driver to select to be running on batteries (in the context of the prius, it would be the mode where your consumption meter reads '99 MPG' which, IIRC, isn't truely 100% on battery) and a plug in charger.

      My dad is really good at keeping the Prius on 99% for miles and miles in the automatic mode now (and when I steal it, I'm not bad myself)...if he could manually control how the energy is distributed, he could look at how much battery life he has when he starts out from his house and then, if he's only going to the corner market, he can select to go on the 99% mode there and back (it would drain the battery pretty low), and then plug the car right into the wall and recharge for the next day.

      It just gives you so much more flexibility if you can plug the car in...and it encourages smart driving!

      --
      Thank you Dave Raggett
    10. Re:FUD by furtive_glance · · Score: 1

      Plugging in at night is just a logical progression, until they realized that the majority of people who live in major cities live in apartment buildings or condo's such as myself. Where am I supposed to plug in? There are no outlets in the parking lot and I'm guessing I'll have trouble getting the owner of the building to run a line out there just for me, let alone one to each spot and have each one hooked up to a different meter.

    11. Re:FUD by Spoke · · Score: 1

      Some things to keep in mind about the current Prius:

      When it's reading 99mpg, the engine may or may not be spinning, and you may or not be burning gasoline. A number of factors come into play:

      • Vehicle speed -at 42+mph, the engine must spin to avoid overrevving the generators - if you coast down a steep hill you will feel the engine spin up once you hit 42mph
      • Engine temperature -the Prius will burn gas to make sure the catalytic converters are nice and warm - reducing fuel economy to reduce other emissions
      • Battery charge -the higher the battery charge, the more likely the Prius will shut off the engine to use stored energy from the battery

      Without a way to charge the batteries from a more efficient power source, in general, forcing the Prius to run solely off battery power can actually reduce your overall fuel economy because of the conversion losses that come in to play when charging the battery from the engine. The Prius is pretty good at deciding when to use the engine on it's own.

      That said, you can buy an aftermarket EV mode switch for the Prius which allows you to drain your battery and run the Prius in pure EV mode (under certain conditions - if you exceed certain conditions I listed earlier the Prius will not let you engage EV mode).

      Also keep in mind that the reason Toyota is able to guarantee the stock battery for 8 years / 100k miles nationwide and 10 years / 150k miles for CARB states, is that they take numerous measures to protect the stock battery from abuse.

      This means that they coddle the battery, only allowing the cells to remain within a narrow 40%-80% charge state and limiting current to/from the battery. Maintaining the narrow charge state is crucial to extended battery life as the more often the battery is discharged close to empty and the more often the battery is charged to full or nearly full, the faster you reduce the lifetime of the battery.

  10. The market works to reach equilibrium! by compumike · · Score: 3, Informative

    When fuel prices got too high, interest in electric vehicles and alternative energy sources boomed, but simultaneously demand weakened. Now oil prices have come off ~30% from their highs, and suddenly EVs are not a totally obvious solution anymore? Duh... this is how the market it supposed to work. This means that electric vehicle companies are going to have to start competing on real merits and not just squishy fuzzy green feelings. And I hope that makes them stronger! But it's not the worst thing in the world if conventional gas-burning cars remain an acceptable/affordable thing for the time being.

    --
    Learn electronics! Powerful microcontroller kits for the digital generation.

    1. Re:The market works to reach equilibrium! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I've got an idea: how about you stop your spamming, dipshit!

    2. Re:The market works to reach equilibrium! by TooMuchToDo · · Score: 2, Informative

      EVs don't compete on squishy green feelings. They compete on the fact that their maintenance costs are substantially less (no or small transmission; no ICE parts; motor, batteries, inverter are primary drivetrain components) and the cost to drive is around 2 cents/mile compared to 15 cents/mile for gasoline. The problem is that the playing field isn't level. Oil is subsidized in the US through heavy tax breaks to oil companies, and energy density in batteries is still low because not much R&D has been done (due to cheap oil).

    3. Re:The market works to reach equilibrium! by sqrt(2) · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Regular unleaded is still around $3.60/gl where I live. That doesn't sound like much of a drop off. An EV would still be a very attractive option for me and everyone else in the state of California. Also the longer gas remains "cheap" (in a relative way) the longer we will put off developing alternatives--and meanwhile the environment continues to be affected--so it is harmful if gas burning engines remain acceptable and affordable.

      --
      If you build it, nerds will come. Soylentnews.org
    4. Re:The market works to reach equilibrium! by Immostlyharmless · · Score: 5, Insightful

      This has 0 to do with the market and everything to do with the ELECTION. If gas was still $4.50 a gallon Obama would have way more than a 6 or 7 point lead over McCain. All last year and the beginning of this one we heard that prices were going up because of such a massive increase in demand and less supply, mostly due to the influence of the Chinese and Indians, it's pretty obvious, they aren't using any less, right? Last summer every time a hurricane even threatened the gulf, prices shot up 10-15 cents. There's been a gas shortage now in the southeast for several weeks because refineries were creamed and gas prices are *still* falling. Please, don't fool yourself into thinking this has ANYTHING to do with market forces at all.

    5. Re:The market works to reach equilibrium! by Nefarious+Wheel · · Score: 1

      Please, don't fool yourself into thinking this has ANYTHING to do with market forces at all.

      Politics and market forces be firmly intertwingled, matey! Always have been. It isn't news, it's the golden rule -- the guy with the gold makes the rules. Or is it the other way around now? I sort of forget.

      --
      Do not mock my vision of impractical footwear
    6. Re:The market works to reach equilibrium! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      The problem is that the playing field isn't level. Oil is subsidized in the US through heavy tax breaks to oil companies, and energy density in batteries is still low because not much R&D has been done (due to cheap oil).

      This is a very US-centric view of the problem: are you saying that battery research throughout the entire world is depressed because of oil subsidies in the US? Or do you just think that all battery researchers outside of the US are morons? Maybe battery technology hasn't advanced very fast because it's hard? There's no rule that says that every technological field has to advance at 'moores law' speeds..

    7. Re:The market works to reach equilibrium! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And this highlights, exactly, the problem with "the market". When the dollar is the deciding factor, the best decision does not get made.

    8. Re:The market works to reach equilibrium! by Immostlyharmless · · Score: 1

      Excellent point! Still, the idea that oil prices are simply a product of supply and demand is a huge crock of s**t...

    9. Re:The market works to reach equilibrium! by Kjella · · Score: 1

      They compete on the fact that their maintenance costs are substantially less (no or small transmission; no ICE parts; motor, batteries, inverter are primary drivetrain components) and the cost to drive is around 2 cents/mile compared to 15 cents/mile for gasoline. (..) Oil is subsidized in the US through heavy tax breaks to oil companies, and energy density in batteries is still low because not much R&D has been done (due to cheap oil).

      Yeah. Sure. Whatever. And everything else than runs on batteries, and every other nation outside the US are also magically prevented from solving the energy density problem? Laptops, cell phones, PDAs, DS/PSPs and every other sort of portable gadget? The whole of Europe where oil is definately not subsidized, but EVs are? You also forgot one of the big problems - batteries wear out. My 14 year old car still runs quite nicely, but a battery powered car would drop substantially in range and they'd be worn out in 10 years last I heard. Trouble is, the batteries are so freaking expensive that the rest of the car won't be worth it. That has a rather large impact on the grand total cost/mile over its lifetime.

      Still, it's no doubt that the world is going to have to change. Right now the oil prices have dropped back to 70$ due to the looming recession (no, they're not the cause of it) just as supply is starting to grow slim. That means we'll probably get through this crises with "acceptable" oil prices, but on the other side of crisis when demand grows again I'm expecting it to hit 200$+ as supply runs short.

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
    10. Re:The market works to reach equilibrium! by RAMMS+EIN · · Score: 1

      ``Please, don't fool yourself into thinking this has ANYTHING to do with market forces at all.''

      It would, if there were an alternative. But there really isn't, for the most part. Once you have committed yourself to driving a petrol-powered car, you're just going to have to put petrol in it. You can't just decide one day that, from now on, you will drive an electric vehicle. It will cost you thousands of euros to make that change, so you will have to plan ahead. And good public transport isn't going to appear overnight, either. So the petrol industry pretty much has you by the throat.

      Of course, individual cases may be different. You may bike to work. Or you may be just at the point where you are about to buy a new car. Or you might have a diesel engine that can be converted to run on straight vegetable oil. Or there actually may be good public transport where you travel. Or you may be rich enough to simply buy a new vehicle when you feel like it. But I reckon that, for most people who drive cars, none of these are true.

      --
      Please correct me if I got my facts wrong.
    11. Re:The market works to reach equilibrium! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      http://fulldecent.blogspot.com/2008/10/oil-prices-and-election-years.html

    12. Re:The market works to reach equilibrium! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Also consider that the oil companies starting losing money because people stopped buying as much gas. The prices were way too high. So they lower the price to what people will tolerate so that they can continue to make their record profits.

    13. Re:The market works to reach equilibrium! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Gas hit $1.50 in 2003 and i thought it was way too much so I baught a hybrid because even with that price it was worth it I did the math then and it has paid for it self over the 5 years i have owned it. At $2.00 a gallon it would be worth it for me to buy a car that cost $5k more if it had plugin. At $3.50 a gallon even if it cost $50,000 I would still buy a plugin hybrid over anything else.

      300,000 miles Hybrid Civic that gets 45mpg over its lifetime. After all these miles it still has passing power at 80-110mph.

    14. Re:The market works to reach equilibrium! by TooMuchToDo · · Score: 1

      You also forgot one of the big problems - batteries wear out.

      I didn't forget this at all. You're assuming the batteries being put into EVs are the same batteries we've had over the last 15 years, an egregious assumption on your part. Newer Lithium chemistry batteries, using nanoscale anodes/cathodes will have a lifetime of up to 10-15 years and tens of thousands of charge cycles. Don't believe me though. You can see it for yourself in the next 1-3 years.

      With regards to expensive batteries, duh. Any new technology is going to be expensive. Early adopters (i.e. Tesla Roadster buyers, A123systems/Hymotion PHEV pack buyers) will help drive down the price of the batteries.

  11. Are these issues really that big? by MozeeToby · · Score: 3, Insightful

    As long as the charger comes with a simple timer I don't see why people wouldn't be willing to charge the car at night, especially if you're in an area that has different rates for different times of day. As for batteries being too expensive, that's probably true right now, but do they really think we'll still be using today's lithium ion batteries ten years from now?

    The cars being showcased today aren't the ones that are going to solve our energy problems. They are little more than prototype, proof of concept vehicles. That's why GM is only producing 10,000 volts the first year they are in production. Lets start producing them now and work out the issues that are bound to come up so that in 5 years we can begin producing them seriously. Or we can think like we always have and look one year out at a time, never bothering to invest in the future.

    1. Re:Are these issues really that big? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      how about if you live where the price for power has about doubled in less then a year?

    2. Re:Are these issues really that big? by MozeeToby · · Score: 1

      As opposed to the price of gas?

    3. Re:Are these issues really that big? by kent_eh · · Score: 1

      As long as the charger comes with a simple timer I don't see why people wouldn't be willing to charge the car at night

      Looks around at all the VCR clocks blinking 12:00

      --

      ---
      "I can't complain, but sometimes still do..." Joe Walsh
    4. Re:Are these issues really that big? by Thelasko · · Score: 1

      As long as the charger comes with a simple timer I don't see why people wouldn't be willing to charge the car at night, especially if you're in an area that has different rates for different times of day.

      I'm not an EE, but isn't the utility frequency related to the load on the grid? Could a charger monitor the utility frequency and charge accordingly? Something like:

      if frequency>60Hz
      then charge
      else
      don't charge
      endif

      --
      One of our competitors trademarked the term "hypothesis". From now on, we will call them "boneheaded ideas".
    5. Re:Are these issues really that big? by VanessaE · · Score: 1

      That's why GM is only producing 10,000 volts the first year they are in production.

      That's okay, I'm sure Kenwood and others will make more than enough amps to compensate.. wait, what?

  12. Charging at night by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "whether people will really charge them at night to keep the grid clear"

    I'd charge it at night rather than the day if they make it easy for me. I want to be able to plug it in whenever I get home, and have a timer set up to make it kick in during offpeak hours.

    Of course, at the moment, I don't have a power outlet near my parking spot, so I can't take advantage of these cars.

    1. Re:Charging at night by compro01 · · Score: 4, Informative

      For any kind of sizable battery, you'd likely want a dedicated circuit anyway.

      The current Prius battery is about 1.5KWhrs, so assuming a dedicated 100-120V 15A circuit, it would take about an hour to charge from dead to full, but that will only get you a few miles on pure battery.

      The current plug in modification kit's battery is about 6KWhr, so 4x the time.

      Sources I see on the factory plug in say a capacity between 6 and 12KWhr, and a 12 would require a full 8 hours to charge, which is getting to the limit of "charge overnight", so you might want to put in a dedicated 240V 20A circuit, like you would use for an electric range.

      And you'd definitely need a dedicated circuit for a full EV, like the Tesla, as the battery pack is 53KWhr, which would take about 35 hours to charge on a dedicated normal circuit, and still 7.5 hours on a dedicated 220V plug.

      --
      upon the advice of my lawyer, i have no sig at this time
    2. Re:Charging at night by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      nice info.

    3. Re:Charging at night by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Most of the time you're not going to be doing a full charge though. I would think most of the time you're just going to be topping off the batteries. For example, the Tesla has a 250(?) mile range on that 53KWhr. Taking a long trip might be a problem but most people don't drive anywhere near 250 miles in a day normally.

      With your statistics in mind... Wow, full load at 220V for 7.5 hours is going to cost a shitload. Imagine running an electric space heater on maximum heat plus a whole-house air conditioner for 8 hours straight, holy hell that would cost some cash. That would probably be at least $50 to "fill up" your 250 mile Telsa. Regular gas would be cheaper! (probably not really, but damn your electric bills would be insane)

    4. Re:Charging at night by dch24 · · Score: 1

      Not even close. Even if I had a 125 mile commute one way and needed 53 KWh each night, at my current rates (with fees) it would cost me $14.59.

      If gas is $3.50/gal, I would have to be getting 60 MPG to be able to drive 250 mi and only spend $14.59.

  13. Is this Dodge's new sports car? by damn_registrars · · Score: 1

    A while ago Dodge announced they would sell the Viper division. many people expected it was due only to weak sales (the Corvette crushes it in sales every year).

    But could it be that Dodge wanted to cleanse it from their palette to start on a new sports car? That Dodge EV is certainly nothing like the old General Motors EV1 that was so loved by its lessees when it was available as a plug-in electric vehicle.

    --
    Damn_registrars has no butt-hole. Damn_registrars has no use for a butt-hole.
  14. Main disadvantage: What if you forget to charge? by thenewguy001 · · Score: 1

    One of the main reasons I am wary of 100% electric plug-in vehicles is the consequences of forgetting to charge it. I forget to charge my ipod and cell phone all the time. This construes a minor inconvenience, as I can charge them in the car or at work. But forgetting to charge your car means you will be late for work, or miss it altogether if you live in a rural area and do not have access to public transportation. This is a much more dire consequence.

    However, with a hybrid, you have a lot more flexibility, and it's more forgiving to absent-minded people like me. I have plenty of friends and family members that also chronically forget to charge things and I see full electric plug-in vehicles as a potential nightmare for us. What if after work you and your coworkers decide to drive to a faraway bar for an impromptu party? Do you have enough charge in your batteries? No, you're pretty much screwed. With a hybrid, you just fill it up at the next gas station.

  15. If we only had the technology by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    to make an electric outlet with a timer so that it'll only turn on its power at night. That way you could come home and plug in your car, and it would be automagically charged during off peak times. I smell a patent!!!

    1. Re:If we only had the technology by sqrt(2) · · Score: 1

      Such a feature could be added directly to the vehicle, eliminating the need for a specialized outlet.

      --
      If you build it, nerds will come. Soylentnews.org
    2. Re:If we only had the technology by SaDan · · Score: 3, Informative

      This functionality is already present in the Chevy Volt. It has a timer so you can plug it in to the wall socket when you park your car in the evening, and it can be programmed to charge the battery starting at midnight, etc.

    3. Re:If we only had the technology by Ungrounded+Lightning · · Score: 1

      For over half a century we've had the technology for such devices. Two meters, one with a clock-driven switch and a lower per-KWHr cost.

      It was used by utilities to feed power to customers with electric water heaters which had two heating elements. The lower heater in the tank came on at night and heated the whole tank. The upper heater was on the regular meter and would come on any time you were about to run out of hot water. So most of your water was heated at the lower power rate but you still had hot water 24/7 if you didn't take long showers. (Or turn off the switch to disable the upper element if you'd rather run out than pay the high rate.)

      Substitute an outlet for the car for the connection to the lower heater. And it's the utility's job to keep the clock synchronized with their rate times. (Nowadays they'd remote-control it.)

      --
      Bantam Dominique roosters crow a four-note song. Once you've heard it as "Happy BIRTHday" you can't NOT hear it that way
  16. Do you have a garage? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I think a lot of people won't be able to get a plugin hybrid for a simple reason: they have nowhere to plug them in. Think about all the people who live in apartments or who have on-street parking.

    Unless we string parking-meter style outlets all over the place I just don't see how this will work for city dwellers.

    1. Re:Do you have a garage? by sexconker · · Score: 1

      New market:

      "Charging Meters"
      String em' up around crowded areas, tap into the power lines overhead with not too much effort, and charge people to charge their cars while they park.

      And, charge them to park.

      It's a two-fer.

    2. Re:Do you have a garage? by Datamonstar · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      That's okay, silly. People who live in apartments can't afford housing or new cars, either! We'll have to stay with our old clunker gas guzzlers until the greedH^H^H^H^H^H^H^H^prices comes down on them. Or rather, until the market proves itself with fancier models that are less affordable and then starts to produce more affordable models. Because this really isn't about saving the environment, but rather sustaining a highly profitable industry that is very dependent on shutting out any competition. There ain't very much to cars, and anyone with enough money can make a good one, so they have to rely on bully tactics and "government standards" in order to stay in business. That didn't stop the foreign market, though.

      --
      The eternal struggle of good vs. evil begins within one's self.
    3. Re:Do you have a garage? by Craig+Davison · · Score: 1

      Canada may have an advantage here... many parking lots are fitted with a receptacle for each stall so you can plug in the car's engine block heater. And the ones at apartment buildings are each on a dedicated circuit connected to the tenant's breaker panel.

      Of course, you might see people leeching the free power at parking lots at malls, park & rides, etc. And those receptacles probably aren't on dedicated 15A circuits.

    4. Re:Do you have a garage? by AgentPaper · · Score: 1

      Or, better yet: offer drivers a modest break on parking rates if they pay for the charging service. The old "bundle and save" approach.

      Places like Birmingham and Ann Arbor would make a fortune off those things...

      --
      First rule of trauma: Bleeding always stops.
    5. Re:Do you have a garage? by toddestan · · Score: 1

      All you would have to do is find a complex like the one I'm in that has detached garages. The garages have electricity to power the garage door opener, and it's not worth the trouble to try to meter the individual garages so the landlord picks up the tab on those. Hence, free charging! Only problem is, you only get 110V and I bet you can't pull down much current either.

  17. Time Based Charge by autocracy · · Score: 3, Interesting

    A lot of electric providers allow a system where electricity is charged at a higher rate in the day, and a dirt-cheap rate at night. Plug in the car when it's in the driveway, use a timer on the plug. Tada.

    --
    SIG: HUP
    1. Re:Time Based Charge by TooMuchToDo · · Score: 4, Informative

      I ordered an electric vehicle, and am building another one from scratch. To charge them, I built a charge controller that fetches the current price of power from my utility, and only charges the vehicles when the price of power is below a threshold. This way I take advantage of Time Of Day pricing (1-2 cents/kwH between midnight and 4am, Nuclear power in Northern Illinois).

    2. Re:Time Based Charge by SaDan · · Score: 5, Informative

      The volt has a charge timer built into the car's charging system. Set the timer once, and plug the car in any time. It will start charging (and/or stop charging) when you specify.

    3. Re:Time Based Charge by Sponge+Bath · · Score: 1

      Here in Austin, they don't charge less at night but they do have a tiered rate that becomes very punitive as you use more. The first 500kwh is very cheap (if you use very little other customers subsidize you). By the time you get to the amount needed to run a car, it might be cheaper to buy gas.

      The City of Austin really likes it's tiered utility rates (water/electricity/trash pickup) to punish people for 'using too much and not being ecofriendly' so I wonder how this would play out in trying to introduce theoretically cleaner plug-in cars.

    4. Re:Time Based Charge by afidel · · Score: 1

      I assume if plugins become popular they will either change their rate structure or add an allowance for plugins (ie 500kwh or 3000 if you register a plugin) or make you get a separate meter for your car.

      --
      There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
    5. Re:Time Based Charge by BiggerIsBetter · · Score: 1

      Got any links to said vehicles?

      --
      Forget thrust, drag, lift and weight. Airplanes fly because of money.
    6. Re:Time Based Charge by TooMuchToDo · · Score: 1

      The one I bought: http://www.teslamotors.com/

      The one I'm building: http://evhelp.com/S10_Conversion.htm

    7. Re:Time Based Charge by BiggerIsBetter · · Score: 1

      Cool. The S-10 has become a classic in the EV world.

      --
      Forget thrust, drag, lift and weight. Airplanes fly because of money.
  18. Lividly? by SlashDotDotDot · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    the Insight hybrid that we discussed so lividly a month ago

    Perhaps I'm missing it. Was there something livid about their discussion?

    Maybe the discussion was lively? Maybe they discussed it longingly? Did they describe it vividly?

    --
    /...
    1. Re:Lividly? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wow, who modded this flamebait? Some might consider it "Grammar Nazi"-ish, but c'mon, the dude is right... "lividly" was just a poor choice of words for the summary.

      If you're going to spank someone for something like this, mod it offtopic instead. To me, that has a far less pejorative connotation.

  19. Who cares about Toyota? by MMC+Monster · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Brand loyalty is fleeting in the automotive industry.

    Toyota doesn't want to build a plug-in hybrid? Fine.

    My dad got invited to see the Jaguar Plug-in hybrid, which will run off the battery for 50 miles before burning any gas.

    Considering my dad has a 22 mile commute, he can't wait for this thing to hit the road.

    He doesn't know when it will become available, but he's already on the wait list. (Estimated price ~$80,000, by the way)

    --
    Help! I'm a slashdot refugee.
    1. Re:Who cares about Toyota? by smellsofbikes · · Score: 1

      I may be wrong about this, but it's been my experience, observationally, that brand loyalty in the automotive industry is stronger than in any other industry I've ever seen.
      Can you think of *any* other product where people stick big decals on their brand-new product advertising that it's better than others? ("Eatin' Fords, Poopin' Dodges" and piles of ripped-off-Calvin-peeing-on-chevy-bowtie bumperstickers.)
      My grandfather went his whole life buying Fords. My father went almost his whole life buying Chevrolets. I've spent the last 10 years owning Subarus and as a result now my brother, aunt, cousin, mother, sis-in-law, and girlfriend also all own Subarus, half of them being on their second one.
      Go anywhere in Florida and you'll see more Mustangs than the entire number of Mercedes and Audis combined. Likewise in western Washington State or Colorado more Subarus than all German cars combined, and those people just keep buying the same cars every year.

      I love the jag plug-in, by the way. I can't wait for Subaru to come out with one...

      --
      Nostalgia's not what it used to be.
    2. Re:Who cares about Toyota? by TooMuchToDo · · Score: 1

      Your dad should get a Fisker Karma instead. Much hotter car and only an extra $10K. I would've ordered one, but I already paid for my Roadster.

    3. Re:Who cares about Toyota? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Oh yeah? Well, my dad has broader shoulders than your dad.

    4. Re:Who cares about Toyota? by BiggerIsBetter · · Score: 1

      He doesn't know when it will become available, but he's already on the wait list. (Estimated price ~$80,000, by the way)

      My dad could buy one too. I, however, will have to settle for a Prius. THAT'S why people care about Toyota here.

      --
      Forget thrust, drag, lift and weight. Airplanes fly because of money.
  20. Diesel could be an alternative but... by MtViewGuy · · Score: 3, Informative

    ...there are serious issues with the pollution output from a diesel engine, even if you're using biodiesel fuel. Reducing the higher NOx gas output and the diesel particulates is a very expensive proposition, and just to make a diesel engine meet the EPA Tier 2 Bin 5 standard is expensive enough that you might as well buy a Toyota Prius or the new Honda Insight instead at pretty much the same price.

    1. Re:Diesel could be an alternative but... by QuantumRiff · · Score: 1

      the NOx output has been reduced. The particulates have been drastically reduced. All new diesels have to have a particulate filter that traps them, then occasionally, burns them off. Several companies have diesels already running with the NOx issues fixed, they use Urea (yes, they use sheep piss) and inject it into the exhaust.

      Diesel is ideal for a plug in, serial drive vehicle, It can be tuned to run very effecient at a small RPM range, doesn't require as much refining to produce, easier to transport since its not as explosive or corrosive.. The same reason trains have been using this same diesel hybrid setup since the 60's or so...

      --

      What are we going to do tonight Brain?
    2. Re:Diesel could be an alternative but... by MtViewGuy · · Score: 1

      However, all those new diesel cars from Europe still can't meet the EPA Tier 2 Bin 5 emissions standard without a LOT of very expensive emissions control hardware (read: Daimler AG's BlueTec system with its urea gas injection).

      In the rush to embrace the higher fuel efficiency of diesel engines, Europeans are now running into the problem of higher NOx emissions and diesel particulate emissions, a problem that is quite serious in Switzerland, where the altitude and the geography of the country can trap air pollution in Alpine valleys.

    3. Re:Diesel could be an alternative but... by Aapje · · Score: 2, Informative

      That may be true, but the generic EPA standards are biased towards petrol. Petrol engines spew a lot of hydrocarbons, such as benzene. If the situation would be reversed, where 99% of americans are using diesel, petrol would have a hard time meeting the (diesel-based) emissions standard.

      In Europe, particulate filters will become mandatory for new car models in 2009 (Euro 5) and cars without may only be sold until 2011. The NOx limits will also be tightened, but will still be 2.5x higher than for petrol cars. In 2014+ (Euro 6) the NOx limit for diesel will almost be the same as for petrol. That limit is about halfway between Tier 2 Bin 8 and Tier 2 Bin 5. That should be achievable without urea, with a NOx catalyst.

      In the US, all diesel will be low sulfur in late 2010 (it's already mandatory in California). That will allow for low NOx cars such as the BlueTec to be sold everywhere.

      --

      The Drowned and the Saved - Primo Levi
    4. Re:Diesel could be an alternative but... by MtViewGuy · · Score: 1

      I think the EU should have adopted mandatory use of particulate filters for diesel-powered automobiles as far back as 2000, just when diesel-fuelled automobiles started to increase in popularity. That would have avoided a lot of the sooty air you're getting nowadays in European cities with so many diesel cars on the streets.

      I do know that all motor fuels in the USA have to meet the maximum 15 parts per million standard for sulfur compounds very soon; that may finally make it possible to use advanced deNOx catalytic converters, which will allow for the use of direct-injection gasoline engines with lean-burn operation (which can improve fuel economy as much as 8%).

    5. Re:Diesel could be an alternative but... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But producing electricity by the means the US are doing it (read: not shutting down coal) produces far more NOx and particulates than what diesel vehicles do. That's one of the reason why the levels of those contaminants (especially NOx) are lower in Europe than in the US. Remember than to pass California standards for NOx emissions in cars, the engine has to actually clean the air (the regulated emissions are below current air quality). All that NOx is not produced by cars alone - a large amount is produced by factories and power plants. Now imagine what happens when you increase the activity of those power plants to plug in a large number of electric vehicles...

      To put in perspective particulate emissions from modern diesel vehicles: they are less than what a typical smoker produces.

    6. Re:Diesel could be an alternative but... by Aapje · · Score: 1

      I think the EU should have adopted mandatory use of particulate filters for diesel-powered automobiles as far back as 2000, just when diesel-fuelled automobiles started to increase in popularity. That would have avoided a lot of the sooty air you're getting nowadays in European cities with so many diesel cars on the streets.

      The German car makers had no investment in soot filters at the time, so they were unable or at least unwilling to switch over that soon. Euro 4 was supposed to enforce the introduction of filters in 2005 by halving the particulate limits, but car makers managed to stay below those limits by adapting their engines. That's why it took until Euro 5 (2009).

      I do know that all motor fuels in the USA have to meet the maximum 15 parts per million standard for sulfur compounds very soon; that may finally make it possible to use advanced deNOx catalytic converters, which will allow for the use of direct-injection gasoline engines with lean-burn operation (which can improve fuel economy as much as 8%).

      2010 is not 'very soon', IMHO. In West Europe, 10 ppm max diesel will be available almost everywhere in 2009 (most Eastern European countries in the EU have exceptions so they can switch over later).

      --

      The Drowned and the Saved - Primo Levi
    7. Re:Diesel could be an alternative but... by RAMMS+EIN · · Score: 1

      ``The German car makers had no investment in soot filters at the time, so they were unable or at least unwilling to switch
      over that soon. Euro 4 was supposed to enforce the introduction of filters in 2005 by halving the particulate limits, but
      car makers managed to stay below those limits by adapting their engines. That's why it took until Euro 5 (2009).''

      IMO, this is actually the way to go. Rather than methods, prescribe results. If you know it is possible to get to a certain level of emissions using some technology, set those limits. The car makers can meet the requirements by using the technology, or any other technology they wish.

      --
      Please correct me if I got my facts wrong.
    8. Re:Diesel could be an alternative but... by MtViewGuy · · Score: 1

      Actually, particulate filters that trap and "burn off" diesel particulate have been around since the 1980's--Mercedes-Benz had them on US-market 300D's and 300SD's. Why Europeans didn't make them mandatory back in 2000 when the technology for such filters are mature is beyond me.

    9. Re:Diesel could be an alternative but... by Aapje · · Score: 1

      Actually, particulate filters that trap and "burn off" diesel particulate have been around since the 1980's--Mercedes-Benz had them on US-market 300D's and 300SD's.

      Those 300D/SD filters quickly clogged up and were abandoned soon after introduction. The first modern particulate filter on a production car was introduced in 2000. It's unreasonable to expect all other manufacturers to immediatly be able to produce state of the art technology in 2000, when clearly only one car manufacturer had the technology. Also, you need to keep in mind that many economy cars in Europe use diesel, so the price of the filter is important too. The 2000 car was a top of the line model, where an expensive filter could be used. For economy cars, the price of the filter needs to be much lower before it can reasonably be mandated.

      --

      The Drowned and the Saved - Primo Levi
    10. Re:Diesel could be an alternative but... by MtViewGuy · · Score: 1

      Unfortunately, in Europe, where diesel-powered cars are over 50% of new car sales, many of these new cars lack particulate traps. As a result, you get a lot of soot in the air, a major problem especially in Switzerland, where the altitude and the topography of Alpine valleys trap in these harmful pollutants. With [i]Euro 5[/i] emissions compliance, new cars with diesel engines now require particulate traps, so hopefully the particulate issue can be reduced over the next few years.

  21. Um by dreamchaser · · Score: 1

    These same american car companies seemed all too eager to give us bigger, less fuel efficient tanks while demand was high.

    Toyota is a Japanese company. Just an FYI.

    1. Re:Um by philspear · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      Yes, the same company that gave us the prius, is apperantly less reluctant to tap into the green car market, and seemed to realize that the american craze of huge gas guzzling SUVs wasn't going to last forever. I was talking specifically about american car companies, they're the ones that were gung ho to give us what we wanted when that was bigger and don't want to do that now that it's smaller.

    2. Re:Um by 2ms · · Score: 3, Interesting

      The American SUVs have basically all been around for 50 years, it's just soccer moms didn't want them before. They were originally for things like towing boats, horses, etc around and general work. They were based on pickup platforms that already existed -- the "american car companies" you single out did not create them for the craze.

      However, Toyota has more lines/platforms of SUV than any other car manufacturer, and has introduced almost all of them within the period of the craze -- almost all of them were introduced during the last 10-15 years. And, each one has been bigger and bigger, basically. In fact, they're so "gung ho" about them that they're still coming out with their largest and most wasteful ones ever now (eg the brand new 14mpg Sequoia and their newest SUV nameplate the lovely 16mpg 6cyl FJ Cruiser).

      You've basically got things backward. The American manufacturers had SUVs all along (conceived as worktrucks). It's Honda, Toyota, Nissan, etc that have been scrambling to make as many SUVs, conceived for soccer moms and people trying to be cool) as they can possibly shove out the door to feed the craze.

    3. Re:Um by amliebsch · · Score: 1

      But...it's GM that's saying Toyota is wrong and pushing the plug-in hybrid to market. I do not understand what your point is.

      --
      If you don't know where you are going, you will wind up somewhere else.
    4. Re:Um by philspear · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      GM saying toyota is wrong for pushing the hybrids, we have an american company naysaying the green car demand. Why are they questioning consumer demands for small and green rather than blindly rushing to meet it like they did when it was for big and inefficient?

      Is it reluctance because they think this whole fuel efficiency thing is a passing fancy? They remember the money they were making by selling hummers, expeditions, and escalades, and want to return to the good old days? It's not that they don't want to give us what we want on principle, they were still making gas guzzlers full tilt when gas prices went up and no one wanted them anymore, even though it should have been obvious to anyone working in the industry what was going to happen.

      I suspect it's because they're in bed with the oil industry and want to keep demand high by selling gas-guzzlers. There's no positive proof of that, at least not that I know of, but giving large corporations the benefit of the doubt when it comes to public interest is, well, stupid and naive.

    5. Re:Um by amliebsch · · Score: 2, Informative

      What are you talking about? You're all backwards. Please read this slowly: This story is about TOYOTA dissing PLUG-IN HYBRIDS - PLUG-IN HYBRIDS that *GM* is PUSHING. GM is pushing PLUG-IN HYBRIDS. PLUG-IN HYBRIDS are being pushed by GM. PLUG-IN HYBRIDS are being dismissed by TOYOTA. TOYOTA is dismissing PLUG-IN HYBRIDS.

      --
      If you don't know where you are going, you will wind up somewhere else.
    6. Re:Um by dreamchaser · · Score: 1

      Did you even read TFA? If so your comprehension skills are sorely lacking. Toyota is the one backing off of green car production while GM is advancing it's plans for plug in cars. Perhaps your bias is so strong to bash US companies that you can't see that?

    7. Re:Um by philspear · · Score: 2, Informative

      Oh, yeah I did fail to read TFA. But you did say "But...it's GM that's saying Toyota is wrong..." which sounds like GM saying toyota is wrong.

      You're right though, GM does sound like finally they're getting up off their asses. They did take their sweet time though.

    8. Re:Um by philspear · · Score: 1

      Perhaps your bias is so strong to bash US companies that you can't see that?

      Are we running against each other for office? If not, are you honestly trying to convince me I'm biased against US companies? What's next, telling me I'm "unamerican?" I didn't read the article, it was jumping to the wrong conclusion. Not bias against american companies.

      That said, why did it take them so long to offer something like this? It's not like gas just suddenly became less than plentiful. It was cheaper, yes, but a little foresight and responsibility?

    9. Re:Um by Shotgun · · Score: 1

      That said, why did it take them so long to offer something like this?

      The US imposed import tariffs on "trucks". SUV's were classified as "trucks". Due to the tariffs, domestic manufacturers could make a higher margin on "trucks" than on sedans. So they built the plants to build the SUV/trucks.

      Economy changes...gas prices skyrocket...

      People don't want to buy "trucks" anymore. Lots of manufacturing plant building occurs. Lots of new designing occurs. Years later, domestic car manufacturers are ready to sell something that is more gas efficient. But they've got to sell in a market already owned by manufacturers that zigged when they were zagging. The domestic guys can go in with a "me too" sell, or they can go in with a "this is how it should be done" sell.

      GM just came in saying, "Hell, if we're gonna go, let's go all the way." Toyota is saying, "Oops. We're not ready for that yet. Slow down."

      *"truck" is a political term defined as 'large vehicle built by people who pay us large sums of money'. It is not defined by anything you will find reasonable.

      --
      Aah, change is good. -- Rafiki
      Yeah, but it ain't easy. -- Simba
    10. Re:Um by philspear · · Score: 1

      So my cynicism that they were just in bed with the oil industry was unjustified. Hooray! Renewed faith in humanity!

  22. What will the Mafia do about this? by jameskojiro · · Score: 1

    When they find out that their monies they get from gas Taxes is going down they are gonna be pissed. Are the state tax collectors going to be sent door to door breaking the legs of Hybrid owners that don't pay as much fuel tax because they use so little fuel.

    Probably not, the mafia slime balls will probably just put a "road' tax on electricity so they get gas tax plus electricity tax on people who don't even own hybrids.

    Thank you government!

    --
    Tsukasa: All I really want, is to be left alone...
    1. Re:What will the Mafia do about this? by Shotgun · · Score: 1

      In North Carolina, there is a $1,000/yr tax on vehicles using alternative fuels.

      --
      Aah, change is good. -- Rafiki
      Yeah, but it ain't easy. -- Simba
  23. Toyota may be right. by fahrbot-bot · · Score: 3, Informative
    The Chevy Volt uses an IC engine to recharge the battery when necessary - like all other hybrids (though Chevy calls it a "range extender"). Plugging it in overnight simply pre-charges it. I guess that's a bit cleaner, but that would really depend on your local power plant. I don't know if pre-charging the battery via the grid is cheaper than using petrol on the go -- if not, why bother.

    Calling the car an electric w/range extender, rather than simply hybrid (or series-hybrid) is marketing speak.

    --
    It must have been something you assimilated. . . .
    1. Re:Toyota may be right. by TooMuchToDo · · Score: 1

      http://www.huffingtonpost.com/bob-schildgen/evs-vs-gas-powered-cars-n_b_123672.html

      Read the whole article to answer your question. Here's a relevant section:

      Cost-wise, however, there's also no comparison. EVs win handily for the simple reason that energy sources used to make electricity are presently a lot cheaper than gasoline, which now costs about six times as much per unit of energy as coal. EV enthusiasts like to boast about how little it costs them to get around, and they've got good reason. At $4 a gallon for gas, even a 50-mpg car costs eight cents a mile for fuel. With electricity at 10 to 15 cents per kilowatt-hour, the EV can go that same distance for a piddling 2 to 3 cents a mile.

    2. Re:Toyota may be right. by Chris+Burke · · Score: 4, Informative

      The Chevy Volt uses an IC engine to recharge the battery when necessary - like all other hybrids (though Chevy calls it a "range extender").

      Calling the car an electric w/range extender, rather than simply hybrid (or series-hybrid) is marketing speak.

      I don't think that's fair. In all other hybrids (on the market in the US today), the ICE is connected to the transmission and provides power to the wheels directly, in concert with the battery. They will use the battery and ICE proportionally to drive the car based on the speed. At highway speeds, they only use the ICE to drive and don't use the batteries at all. The range of most hybrids on pure electric power would be very small, and is really only the case when accelerating from a stop. On any normal daily commute of even a short distance, you're burning gas.

      The big difference in the volt, whether you call it "electric w/ range extender" or "series hybrid", is that the ICE is not connected to the drive train at all. It is nothing but a gas generator to recharge the battery. Thus why I think it's fair to call it an electric car, because the motor is in fact pure electric, and the fact that so long as the battery has sufficient charge, the ICE will not turn on at all. Also it has some big practical advantages. The ICE can be made smaller, and can be optimized for its task and made to operate at only at its ideal RPM -- the Prius' CVT means it can operate in a narrower band, but it still varies as it has to increase power to the wheels to accelerate.

      So I think it's fair to call it an EV. If you're only doing a short commute each day, then that's absolutely true, since the car will drive on nothing but electric power. If you need to go farther, the generator kicks in, extending your range. It's not just marketing, it's correctly emphasizing the real practical advantages that differentiate it from a normal hybrid.

      Oh, and in most places, yes it is cheaper to use electricity from the grid instead of gas. Especially if you charge during off-peak hours.

      --

      The enemies of Democracy are
    3. Re:Toyota may be right. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

      "The Chevy Volt uses an IC engine to recharge the battery when necessary - like all other hybrids"

      Woah, off from the start. Actually, most hybrids, including the Prius, can only power the cars locomotion via electricity at low speeds. The Volt, OTOH, uses electric motors to drive the car 100% of the time, whether your going 25 or 85.

      "Plugging it in overnight simply pre-charges it. I guess that's a bit cleaner, but that would really depend on your local power plant"

      Actually, it's cleaner even on a dirty coal-fired plant. The efficiency of the small engine in an automobile is very, very low compared to a centralized power plant. And since our power grid is not 100% dirty coal, that gives a plugged in vehicle an even greater edge.

      "I don't know if pre-charging the battery via the grid is cheaper than using petrol on the go -- if not, why bother. "

      It is.

      "Calling the car an electric w/range extender, rather than simply hybrid (or series-hybrid) is marketing speak."

      No - most hybrids, even theoretical plug-in hybrids, still REQUIRE the gas engine to run when traveling at high speeds. This means you still need to fill it up here and there (though less often than an all gas car, of course). With the Volt, however, you could buy it and never fill the tank. You then would have a limited range, but it'd be an option. The gas engine is there only so you can keep going after that 40 mile EV range - hence "range extender".

    4. Re:Toyota may be right. by HairyCanary · · Score: 2, Informative

      IIRC the important difference is that when a series hybrid like the Volt has sufficient battery power, it is 100% electric. Doesn't a Prius have to use the gas engine for freeway speeds regardless of battery charge?

      Electric w/range extender is perfectly valid terminology IMO, since plenty of people will see 100% electric usage. With a plug-in parallel hybrid like the Prius, what driving parameters have to be met to keep it electric only?

    5. Re:Toyota may be right. by petermgreen · · Score: 1

      Small internal combustion engines are very inefficiant and gasoline is a lot more expensive per unit energy than fuels typically used to generate electricity (coal, nuclear and natural gas). Add theese factors together and you find that even in the US (which has pretty low fuel taxes afaict) grid power is a far cheaper way to run a car than gasoline. In places like the UK the difference is huge due to our huge tax on road fuel.

      --
      note: i'm known as plugwash most places but i screwd up registering that here somehow in the past and now can't register
    6. Re:Toyota may be right. by fahrbot-bot · · Score: 1

      In all other hybrids (on the market in the US today), the ICE is connected to the transmission and provides power to the wheels directly, in concert with the battery.

      True, but I believe I read that ICE are more efficient at highway speeds than the electric motors, while the inverse is true in the city -- especially as the vehicles get bigger and the size of the electrics get even larger. I believe this gap may be narrowing as the electric drivetrains get better though.

      This is the main difference between the Honda Civic Hybrid and Toyota Prius drivetrains. The Prius can operate in combinations of gas/electric/both, where the Civic always uses the ICE above a certain speed (say 5 mph) and uses the electric motor as an assist. Even so, the Civic has a better Air Pollution Score on www.fueleconomy.gov -- 2008 models (2009 aren't available yet).

      --
      It must have been something you assimilated. . . .
    7. Re:Toyota may be right. by Chris+Burke · · Score: 1

      The electric is still way more efficient at highway speeds. The reason current hybrids don't use it is because they simply don't have large enough battery packs to provide the necessary power and range. The Prius really doesn't store a lot of charge in its batteries; as a plug-in hybrid, it has only an 8 mile range on batteries, and the battery/electric motor is really there to save gas in stop-and-go and while idling, and to gain the benefits of regenerative breaking. In contrast, for the Volt to get useful range and power out of the batteries, it will have to use a larger battery pack using the more expensive (but higher charge density) LiIon batteries, thus the $50k price tag.

      --

      The enemies of Democracy are
    8. Re:Toyota may be right. by kent_eh · · Score: 1

      Also it has some big practical advantages. The ICE can be made smaller, and can be optimized for its task and made to operate at only at its ideal RPM

      Thank you.

      That's one thing that so many people seem to overlook. Gas/diesel/methane/whatever powered ICEs can be relatively cheap/clean to run if they are constrained to operating at their peak efficiency.

      --

      ---
      "I can't complain, but sometimes still do..." Joe Walsh
    9. Re:Toyota may be right. by Chris+Burke · · Score: 1

      Yeah, that's a big reason I think the volt is cool (but seriously LiIon needs to get cheaper, and i'd be more likely to buy a competitor's tiny dorky version instead of the "EV but bad-ass looking!").

      Someone else in this discussion even suggested using a turbine for the generator. Don't know engine engineering myself to know how feasible that is; the smallest turbines I know of are in jets. Sounds cool though. :)

      --

      The enemies of Democracy are
    10. Re:Toyota may be right. by greyhueofdoubt · · Score: 1

      >>So I think it's fair to call it an EV

      Locomotives have used this drivetrain (ICE-generator-batteries/motors) for a long time. They're simply called diesel-electric locomotives. Why can't we just call this car a gas-electric or petrolectric or something less ambiguous?

      -b

      --
      No offense, but I've stopped responding to AC's.
    11. Re:Toyota may be right. by Chris+Burke · · Score: 1

      I dunno, does the train commute short distances without the diesel generator?

      --

      The enemies of Democracy are
    12. Re:Toyota may be right. by greyhueofdoubt · · Score: 1

      No, but my point was that if the vehicle has an onboard ICE and a generator, then it should be called a gas-electric. I can coast downhill at 55 mph almost 15 miles from my house into town but that doesn't make my car anything but a ICE that happens to be coasting. Using a G-E car under battery power for 20 miles doesn't obviate the need for an ICE or else it wouldn't have one, right?

      This is just a matter of semantics. You can call the iPhone a phone or a PDA; or even calling a windmill eco-friendly vs. renewable changes the connotations.

      I'm just saying that in order to call something an electric vehicle, it can't have a gas tank.

      -b

      --
      No offense, but I've stopped responding to AC's.
    13. Re:Toyota may be right. by Chris+Burke · · Score: 1

      I can coast downhill at 55 mph almost 15 miles from my house into town but that doesn't make my car anything but a ICE that happens to be coasting.

      If you could get back home the same way, then your car would definitely be more than an ICE that happens to be coasting.

      I'm just saying that in order to call something an electric vehicle, it can't have a gas tank.

      Even if it is practical to leave the gas tank empty except for road trips?

      Sorry, I don't agree. Think of it this way: You have a pure EV. You're on a road trip across nebraska, and your charge gets low, so you pull into a farm house. You ask the owner if you can plug your car in. He says no, but you can use his diesel generator and pay for the gas. You do so, and since you have a ways to go, you decide to buy the diesel generator off him and put it in your trunk for the next time you need a recharge.

      Did your car just became a petro-electric? Even on the last leg of your journey when the generator's tank is empty and it's just sitting in your trunk? I'm just not seeing how that's an accurate way to describe the car.

      It may be semantics, but I think that "EV with gas range extender" is much better in explaining what this actually is than "gas-electric". Because "gas-electric", such as when used to describe trains, implies that the gas engine is always running in order to supply the electric motor. That is simply not the case here. If you don't go beyond the electric range, then the gas engine never turns on, so how exactly is it gas-electric if there's no gas being used?

      --

      The enemies of Democracy are
  24. Re:Main disadvantage: What if you forget to charge by irenaeous · · Score: 3, Informative

    The Volt is supposed to answer that issue by having a combustion engine as a backup -- it runs and generates electricity that is used to run the car. So, in theory, you should never be in the situation you describe. You would also just fill up at the next gas station.

  25. I'm buying an EV or PIH by TheMiddleRoad · · Score: 2, Interesting

    My wife and I might not buy a Volt immediately because so many companies are entering the market, but we'll buy the best EV or PIH we can afford sometime around 2010-2011. Most of our trips are 10 miles round. Rarely do we go more than 40 round. In the future, we'll make those once or twice a week at most.

    So give me an EV for most of my trips, a PIH for the rest, and a Lotus Elise (30mph highway) for weekend blasts through the canyon.

    1. Re:I'm buying an EV or PIH by Dharzhak · · Score: 1

      My wife and I might not buy a Volt immediately because so many companies are entering the market

      No. You won't buy one, because you won't be able to...unless you order it far in advance or you work for Chevy. The first year model will be with very limited availabilty.

      http://www.leftlanenews.com/chevrolet-volt-to-see-limited-availability-at-launch.html

      As a frame of reference, 2009 Ford Escape Hybrid will be a run of 12,000 vehicles and there's currently an eight month waiting list. That said, I do enjoy mine. :-D

    2. Re:I'm buying an EV or PIH by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      a Lotus Elise (30mph highway)

      30mph, eh? I never knew my Corolla could smoke a Lotus.

    3. Re:I'm buying an EV or PIH by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ...and a Lotus Elise (30mph highway)...

      Awww, I thought the Elise was faster than that.

  26. Plug-in hybrids. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What's so green about running your car on coal - which is what you'd be doing here in Queensland with a plug-in electric vehicle. Our government has even outlawed small gasoline motors on bicycles, but permits plug-in electric bicycles and large gas-guzzling cars. Who really gives a damn about the planet?

    1. Re:Plug-in hybrids. by amliebsch · · Score: 1

      Perhaps the fact that you're wasting much less than 80%-90% of the fuel's stored energy?

      --
      If you don't know where you are going, you will wind up somewhere else.
    2. Re:Plug-in hybrids. by Dr_Barnowl · · Score: 1

      A coal power station gets much better efficiency than a gasoline powered combustion engine, and an electric motor is >90% efficient.

      You're not going to see many people fitting a carbon sequestration system to their car either. Or switching their gas engine to a windmill powered one, or a fusion reactor.

  27. Re:Main disadvantage: What if you forget to charge by Locke2005 · · Score: 2, Informative

    You can also use inductive or capacitive charging. Just park the car over a "grid" on the floor of your garage, and you don't have to remember to plug the damn thing in! (You could do the same thing for your phone and MP3 player if you put it in the exact same place every night.) That being said, I'm convinced plug-in hybrid and not full-time electric is the way to go. I already own 2 hybrids, and I'm ready and willing to buy a plug-in hybrid just as soon as they make one available that I can afford. (I'm anxiously awaiting Aptera availability in my area.) Of course, few people will be buying new cars of any sort until we get off this economic roller-coaster we've been on lately.

    --
    I've abandoned my search for truth; now I'm just looking for some useful delusions.
  28. I give Toyota some credibility here... by dpbsmith · · Score: 4, Informative

    Around the turn of the century, electric cars had a range of about forty miles... the same as the Chevy Volt. All the improvements in battery technology have been able to do no more than keep up with our expectations of automotive comfort and speed.

    Electric cars have, for a century, been waiting for the big breakthrough in battery technology that has yet to occur. The brilliance of the basic TRW design--the one they could never get U. S. carmakers interested in, the design that is fundamentally the same that Toyota uses in the Prius--is that it only relies on the battery as a short-term buffering device, a "torquer" as TRW called it, to make up the difference between the torque that can be provided by a little economical gas engine and the torque that's needed in normal driving.

    So, a Prius provides a very meaningful increase in fuel efficiency without demanding a battery made of unobtainium. The Prius battery in fact only stores about enough energy to drive the car for about a mile.

    Despite the possibility that Toyota is putting a spin on things, what they are saying makes sense. As hobbyists have confirmed, a Prius is virtually ready to be a plug-in hybrid, needing only a bigger battery. It would seemingly be so easy for Toyota to compete in the plug-in hybrid market that I have to believe they have sound reasons for skepticism.

    Another possibility is that Toyota has encountered some serious snags that they're not talking about in trying to produce a plug-in version of the Prius. Perhaps GM knows about these snags and has some trade-secret ways of overcoming them... or perhaps GM hasn't discovered them yet, or is ignoring them because the Volt isn't really intended to succeed and is just a very elaborate "image" ploy.

    1. Re:I give Toyota some credibility here... by DragonWriter · · Score: 1

      Around the turn of the century, electric cars had a range of about forty miles... the same as the Chevy Volt.

      For very large values of "forty":

      Honda EV+ (1997-1999): Range ~100mi.
      Toyota RAV4 EV (1997-2003): Range ~100mi.
      General Motors EV1 (1996-1999): Range ~160mi.

      The Chevy Volt is not, contrary to Chevy's marketing-speak, an "electric car", it is a series hybrid that, like many hybrids, can run pure-electric for a limited range.

      Some modern electric cars (like the TH!NK city, range: 110mi) have similar ranges to the much more expensive 1990s EVs, while some more expensive modern electric cars have much better ranges (Tesla Roadster, ~200mi). And of course, both in the 1990s and now, there are less expensive low- and city-speed EVs with shorter ranges that are intended just for commuting, and not for expressway use.

    2. Re:I give Toyota some credibility here... by Obsidian+Butterfly · · Score: 1

      >just for commuting, and not for expressway use.

      In America,that's a contradiction in terms. ^_^

  29. Oh noes! by TheDarkener · · Score: 2

    Car dealer #1: Will people actually BUY a hybrid car, saving them hundreds/thousands in fuel costs?
    Car dealer #2: No, they just want GPS and a phat system, yo. /me wants "+1 Sad But True" ...

    --
    It is pitch black. You are likely to be eaten by a grue.
    1. Re:Oh noes! by TooMuchToDo · · Score: 2, Informative

      Car dealer #3: Really? We can barely keep them on the lot

      http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601101&sid=a53gio3BiJec&refer=japan

      Prius sales fell 4 percent this year through August, a decline Toyota blames on insufficient inventory. ``We still have about a 48-hour supply of Prius and a pretty big waiting list,'' Lentz said.

      It's gotta be great as a car company when sales are going down because you can't make them fast enough

  30. Re:Main disadvantage: What if you forget to charge by Areyoukiddingme · · Score: 2, Interesting

    In suburbia, at least, I predict a charge robot. I get home at night, I get out of my car, I walk into the house, hitting the garage door closer button on the way in. A few minutes later, the robot (which is nothing but a simple arm attached to the wall), reaches out and plugs into the car. The car has some method for helping the robot locate the plug integrated into it, which means the robot can find the plug without having to get silly with natural vision expert systems, making it quite cheap and simple. In the morning, I walk into the garage, hitting the door opener button, and the robot disengages its plug and retracts before I hit the driver's seat. I drive out with a 100% charge every morning. What could be easier?

    Going to a gas station to have to climb out of your car, fiddle with your credit card at the pump, get the nozzle into the car, begin fueling, then get the nozzle back to the pump, and fiddle with the pump some more to get your receipt, and make sure to put your gas cap back on... all of it will just feel primitive, after a few months of literally never having to think about it. Sure you've got a charge indicator, but most of the time you don't even care what it says. You've got enough charge to go anywhere you're likely to go in a day, and you ALWAYS do. Every day.

    I'd buy a Tesla Roadster in a heartbeat, if I could afford it. As many other posters have pointed out, whoever can meet or beat "standard" new car prices of $20k or so won't be able to keep one on the lot for a decade.

  31. Doesn't want us to buy them? by wurp · · Score: 3, Insightful

    You are living in some weird cynical fantasyland. Plug in hybrid cars are expensive because they are new technology. The factories to build them have to be built, we haven't spent enough time figuring out ways to keep individual unit costs down, and R&D costs haven't been amortized over long periods of selling millions of units as with standard ICE.

    The first electric cars will be expensive. Probably the only ones that will sell well will be expensive luxury cars, because the people who can afford to spend $38,000 on a plug-in hybrid car that looks like crap & has no features probably prefer to spend $50,000 on a plug-in hybrid car that looks nice and is fun to be in.

    Then we'll get better at making individual units cheaply, the manufacturing infrastructure will become more established, and car companies will get more comfortable about how many PIH cars will sell. And then they'll get cheap.

    Car companies would gladly sell us cars that never required fuel if they could figure out how to make them at prices people would pay. If 90% of car companies elected not to sell cars that don't use petroleum (or use less petroleum) which everyone could afford simply because the people making decisions have a stake in petroleum sales, the other 10% of car companies would put them out of business.

  32. Dammit by wurp · · Score: 1

    I hate that the "No karma bonus" flag is persistent now.

  33. Compressed air is better (Deakin T2) by Nefarious+Wheel · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I think for short hauls compressed air might be better than electricity. Deakin University just won an award for "the Model T for the 21st" or some such (JFGI).

    Their car was a three wheeler with no steering gear. Front wheels are fixed, rear wheel a freewheeling caster, steering by pressure differential in hub-mounted turbines. There's no chemical reaction involved in power transfer -- the sucker doesn't even emit ozone.

    Given that many folks prefer air over electric for power tools (myself included) the better & cheaper control over power delivery could leap past the electric hybrid altogether. For long drives you'd still need auxiliary power, the difference being you'd replace engine + generator + battery with engine + compressor + air tank. No battery at all -- no lithium, no nickel, no cadmium, no lead.

    --
    Do not mock my vision of impractical footwear
    1. Re:Compressed air is better (Deakin T2) by fred+fleenblat · · Score: 1

      It's got a lot going for it, but the energy capacity of a tank of air, even at ridiculously high pressures, won't take a car very far, like a fraction of a mile maybe.

    2. Re:Compressed air is better (Deakin T2) by fred+fleenblat · · Score: 2, Informative

      (replying to my own message)

      the wiki for compressed air cars says a prototype air-powered car did 7.22 km, or about 4.5 miles. that's much better than I thought, but still not practical for most commuters.

    3. Re:Compressed air is better (Deakin T2) by mweather · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Part of the reason compressed air cars are efficient enough to be feasible is the weight savings from it's simplicity. I don't think it would be feasible for it to have an engine for compressing air. If it did, it would need to be small, and take a long time. It would only be practical for getting to the next gas station.

    4. Re:Compressed air is better (Deakin T2) by thepotoo · · Score: 2
      IIRC, compressed air is orders of magnitude less efficient (in terms of energy conversion) than electric is.

      Also, the battery technology is almost there already. All we really need is something like the Chevy Aveo that runs on electricity only. That would be awesome.

      --
      Obligatory Soundbite Catchphrase
    5. Re:Compressed air is better (Deakin T2) by Nefarious+Wheel · · Score: 1
      Found the article, front page Google News today. Deakin is claiming 60-80km on a 60 litre air tank. I presume they're using thick walls and very high compression. They mention industrial air compressors, so a hybrid might indeed be out. Anyway here's the attribution:

      Mr de Souza said the compressed air for the motor could be produced by large industrial-sized compressors powered by renewable energy.

      The T2 would have a range of 60 to 80 kilometres on a 60-litre tank of compressed air.

      The Deakin team was led by Dr Bernard Rolfe and included Greg Pitts, Stuart Hanafin and Mr de Souza.

      --
      Do not mock my vision of impractical footwear
    6. Re:Compressed air is better (Deakin T2) by Nefarious+Wheel · · Score: 1
      --
      Do not mock my vision of impractical footwear
    7. Re:Compressed air is better (Deakin T2) by IHC+Navistar · · Score: 1

      What they say is one thing..... .....What it actually does is another.

      --
      Knowing Google's lust for data collection, the Soviet Union is still alive and well inside the psyche of Sergey Brin....
    8. Re:Compressed air is better (Deakin T2) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The only reason anyone considers compressed air is because it's mechanically simple to design.

      The CA cars I have seen are super massively light vehicles with no crash protection at all. A regular electric or gas car could be made incredibly more efficient with that amount of weight. I mean the CA cars are barely heavier than a motorcycle. People want at least a little crash protection though.

      Plus, as with wind power, CA power has noise issues. CA engines are obnoxiously loud rattle-cans.

    9. Re:Compressed air is better (Deakin T2) by mrcaseyj · · Score: 1

      >Their car was a three wheeler with no steering gear. Front wheels are fixed, rear wheel a freewheeling caster, steering by pressure differential in hub-mounted turbines.

      Brilliant! So when for some reason you loose power, your vehicle is instantly set into a crazy spin and immediately veers into oncoming traffic or off the cliff along side the road! This is for people who get a thrill out constantly being on the verge of impending disaster. Their idea would be just as clever and a little more practical if they just put the two non-steerable powered wheels in the rear and the free-castering wheel in the front. Though that would still have the problem of leaving you without steering if you had a power failure for some reason. Maybe differential braking could handle that situation.

  34. I will by MrNougat · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I will buy an electric car. I will charge it at night. I will. I promise. Start fucking building them.

    --
    Web 2.0 == Giant Blogspam Circle Jerk
  35. Toyotas opinion is irrelevant by CdBee · · Score: 1

    There is a real demand for plug-in hybrids despite whatever concerns Toyota management sees with the adoption of the technology.

    As with Diesel Hybrids - Toyota may not want to make them but if there is a demand - and there is, for economy & ecology reasons in both cases - they will be made and sold. But Toyota wont get the profit from making them. That'll go to a more enterprising car company that makes what people want.

    --
    I have been a user for about 10 years. This ends Feb 2014. The site's been ruined. I'm off. Dice, FU
  36. Emergncy backup by CdBee · · Score: 1

    I daresay a 50cc lightweight diesel or petrol (gasoline) engine connected to a generator and set up to run at its most efficient speed will become commonplace.. mounted underfloor in most electric vehicles

    If it produces say 20% of the power needed to run the vehicle in normal use, that would provide a limp-home facility or the ability to charge the battery by leaving the vehicle parked with the internal generator running for an hour or so... or alternatively the ability to extend the range by that proportion by starting it as you start your journey.

    --
    I have been a user for about 10 years. This ends Feb 2014. The site's been ruined. I'm off. Dice, FU
    1. Re:Emergncy backup by atlasdropperofworlds · · Score: 1

      That's the approach GM and Dodge have taken. It could work, and it's an interesting backup plan. IMO, I'd want it to be optional - either an installable/removable item or a genset trailer. The genset as part of the car really adds complexity and cost.

    2. Re:Emergncy backup by shmlco · · Score: 1

      Since you're already doing regenerative breaking, the on-the-go recharging system is already there. As such, adding a small engine and gas tank (think oversized lawn mower) isn't really adding all that much complexity and cost.

      And the "backup plan" is there for when you need it... like most backups. Running home to get the trailer just so you can run a few more errands than previously anticipated? Sounds kind of dumb to me.

      --
      Any sect, cult, or religion will legislate its creed into law if it acquires the political power to do so.
  37. All those prius batteries present a solution.... by CdBee · · Score: 1

    A Prius battery is normally on a 100% down to 80% charge discharge cycle

    When they start getting down to 50%ish residual capacity most batteries will be replaced. The discarded 50%-capable Prius batteries can then be used for solar power storage in homes. Then your solar cell gets much more useful...

    --
    I have been a user for about 10 years. This ends Feb 2014. The site's been ruined. I'm off. Dice, FU
  38. Scalable electric by jeppen · · Score: 1

    I don't believe auto makers' statements about hybrids and EVs needing the same range as ordinary cars to be able to sell. Why not design purely electric vehicles where the amount of battery cells can be tailored for each customers commute (an amount reasonably simple to increase when needs change or batteries lose capacity)? Millions of families already have two or more cars, and could easily live with one of them being severely range restricted. I commute 45 kilometers (one way) so a 55 kilometer range would suffice for me. Also, EV/hybrid car makers should forget the US as a market and focus on the EU. EU countries typically have more than twice as high gas prices, so EVs will probably make sense a decade earlier here.

    1. Re:Scalable electric by Belial6 · · Score: 1

      Range limitation being ok for some uses is why I think that cars similar to the Volt are needed. Once we have all electric cars that can charge while they run, we can swap out the electric source. Batteries for around town, gas when you need the distance, and anything else when it makes sense.

      To get people to have multiple cars for different uses would require that the registration and insurance costs come down. Adding an extra $100 a month in insurance and taxes to save $50 in gas isn't going to excite a whole lot of people.

    2. Re:Scalable electric by jeppen · · Score: 1

      As I said, lots of families already have two or more cars, of which one could very well be range limited and electric. Also, $50 in gas savings is a REALLY low estimate. I live in Europe, commute 1250 miles per month, actually do 47 MPG in my small diesel car, which is offset by me paying $9 per gallon. This sums up to $240/month, and then I haven't even included my non-work-related driving. (Please note that the Chevy Volt range would suffice for my commuting needs.)

  39. Price of Electricity by rock56501 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    If the price of electricity goes up in the summer just due to the demand from AC, what would current rates do if everyone started plugging in their cars? Maybe gas will drop to $0.50/gal and the cost of electricity will jump to the equivelant of $5.00 gas.

    1. Re:Price of Electricity by jeppen · · Score: 2

      The Tesla Roadster electric sports car is supposed to get 3.12 miles per KWh. Let's say a full tank of ordinary gas gives you 312 miles, then we'd need 100 KWh electricity to match this. I don't know about U.S electricity prices, but I'd guess you might pay around 10 bucks for 100 KWh? Also, a Tesla going 15,000 miles per year will use 4800 KWh per year. Thus, a single 1250 MW nuclear reactor would power 2 million such cars. I understand the U.S. currently has plans for twelve such reactors.

    2. Re:Price of Electricity by peektwice · · Score: 1

      I believe the point was twofold. 10 bucks for 100KWh is reasonable at today's pricing, but the demand already increases in the summer, as does the price. If you increase demand anywhere above the capacity of the grid to supply it, I'll bet that the price increases exponentially with the increased demand. Secondly, the grid won't handle it. We're not talking simply about adding reactors or coal plants, we're talking about at least 40 percent more load on the system, given my anecdotal knowledge of average electricity usage. I use on average, about 900-1000KWh per month. 300 miles is what I drive to and from work every week. So an additional 100KWh usage every week is not insignificant. Take my 900KWh, and add 400KWh per month, multiply it by fifty million cars or so, and were getting into some serious brown-outs.

      --
      Other than this text, there is no discernible information contained in this sig.
    3. Re:Price of Electricity by jeppen · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I do not think you realize the proportions here. 400 KWh per month multiplied by fifty million cars and 12 months gives 240 TWh per year. This is only 6% of the current United States electricity consumption of about 3800 TWh/year! The increase in demand would come over perhaps two decades, making the year-on-year increase about 0.3%. But the average yearly US consumption growth during the last decade has been 2.2%! You will cope easily. And 50 million cars driving 300*4*12 = 14400 miles at 25 MPG, the United States would save 29 billion gallons a year. Imagine sending $100 billion less to the Middle East every year and instead running about 25 nuclear power plants (you already have a hundred) for an up-front investment cost of only $200 billion and then peanuts for some canadian uranium and operation&maintenance.

    4. Re:Price of Electricity by cdrguru · · Score: 1

      Yes, this is a concern. A big one. How many large generating plants have been constructed in the US in the last 20 years? I'd guess 10 or less. New transmission lines? Zero.

      The idea seems to be that if we slowly starve the population of electric power then they will get the message and cut back. This would reduce all sorts of carbon emissions and make the Earth wonderful and green again. The few humans left shivering in the dark would not be able to have much of an environmental impact.

  40. Re:Main disadvantage: What if you forget to charge by TooMuchToDo · · Score: 1

    I thought about this very same idea (grid in garage floor). I did lunch with an EE to determine if it's feasible. It isn't yet with the losses you'd get from current "wireless" charging systems, but future systems may be able to handle it.

  41. Re:Main disadvantage: What if you forget to charge by Nefarious+Wheel · · Score: 1

    The car has some method for helping the robot locate the plug

    Three or four LED's or reflective spots in a pattern around the socket would do it.

    --
    Do not mock my vision of impractical footwear
  42. Sour Grapes? by Plekto · · Score: 1

    Sounds like Toyota is trying to create some bad press since it's no longer the only game in town.

    FYI, hybrids like Honda is creating cost a lot less to own and maintain, especially for the 2nd and 3rd owners. EVs are even more cost-effective, at pennies per mile. They just normally lack the range and top-end speed. 30 miles at 50mph doesn't do a thing. But 200 miles and 120mph top speed is potentially viable.

    The real litmus test, though, will be if the new EVs that Chrysler and the others are making will be available to purchase or whether they will be yet again the same "lease only" song and dance.

    1. Re:Sour Grapes? by cdrguru · · Score: 1

      The lease vs. own question before was, I believe, based on the disposal of the batteries. They are classed as hazardous waste in California and it was illegal to sell anything containing that much lead, acid and other toxic stuff in the state.

      So, if the batteries are declared to be toxic, it is highly unlikely the cars can be sold, ever. So far, that hasn't happened. I would be willing to bet that Toyota went to the mat with the California government to ensure the batteries would not be declared so. Since current hybrid batteries are OK, then it seems like future batteries using the same materials can be treated the same way.

      I do not believe any other state besides California has any rules about sale of batteries, althought there are regulations about disposal of lead-acid batteries at a national level.

    2. Re:Sour Grapes? by Lost+Engineer · · Score: 1

      I always thought the lease thing was because the batteries were going to die after two years. Makes sense too. Most batteries die after a couple of years of every day use. I know supposedly the Prius batteries will last ten years, but the EV1 was a long time ago.

  43. Re:Main disadvantage: What if you forget to charge by riker1384 · · Score: 1

    Wow, an inductive charger powerful enough to charge a car. Wouldn't that fry my nuts if I sat in the car too long after pulling into the garage?

  44. What about the water vapor? by GottliebPins · · Score: 0, Troll

    The problem no one considers is water vapor. You ever see those giant cooling towers at power plants? We used to call them cloud makers when I was a kid. While CO2 contributes less than 2% to the greenhouse effect, water vapor is 96%. So when we're all driving around in hydrogen cars and electric cars charged by coal and nuclear power plants we'll all be so proud of ourselves for getting rid of that evil carbon dioxide we won't notice the earth is turning into a sauna. Is the cure worse than the disease?

    1. Re:What about the water vapor? by amliebsch · · Score: 1

      But more water vapor = more clouds (clouds block the sun, thus decreasing warming.) Water vapor does trap heat but it has a self-regulating feedback loop via clouds and rain.

      --
      If you don't know where you are going, you will wind up somewhere else.
  45. Not for those living in apartments by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    I live in an apartment which doesn't have power in the [shared secured] garage for obvious reasons, so plug-in cars are not for me and anyone else in my situation.

    For everyone else, utility companies need to come up with a way to vary their rates generally according to load on the system - by introducing smarter metering systems.

    1. Re:Not for those living in apartments by Ungrounded+Lightning · · Score: 2, Informative

      For everyone else, utility companies need to come up with a way to vary their rates generally according to load on the system - by introducing smarter metering systems.

      They already have them. They're deployed in many areas - where the economics of providing peak/offpeak rate differentials makes sense.

      At the moment providing such differentials in California does NOT make sense. Much of the electricity in California is used for moving large amounts of water around the state. There is enough water storage that this can be done only at offpeak times, and enough power used that doing it only at offpeak times can be used to level the power load. So that's what they do. Thus there isn't enough economic advantage from moving utility customer load to offpeak times to pay for a differential-billing infrastructure.

      A large deployment of plug-in cars - being plugged in after the evening commute at peak load time - might overwhelm this leveling. Or encouraging them as an antipollution measure might be politically advantageous. So once they're available you can expect the utility regulations to be modified to encourage electric cars - with separate, lower, rates for charging cars and offpeak-timing built into the new infrastructure. (Also: California utilities have a sliding-scale electric rate that drastically penalizes large residential electric consumers - with rates doubling or more for consumption sufficiently above a freeze-in-the-dark "baseline" rate. This will have to change for electric car recharging from residential power to be economically feasible.)

      --
      Bantam Dominique roosters crow a four-note song. Once you've heard it as "Happy BIRTHday" you can't NOT hear it that way
    2. Re:Not for those living in apartments by Ungrounded+Lightning · · Score: 1

      There is enough water storage that this can be done only at offpeak times, and enough power used that doing it only at offpeak times can be used to level the power load. So that's what they do.

      Well, actually that was the case up to a couple decades ago. At this point the population has expanded enough that there is about a 3:2 peak/offpeak power consumption ratio. But that WAS the case earlier and the metering for the population boom was done under regulations assuming things were balanced. (PG&E is now trying to get people to deploy a remote-controlled air conditioner dialback device to shave the peak.)

      Adding plug-in cars to the mix should be enough to push the economics to result in some regulation change that (financially) encourages offpeak charging.

      --
      Bantam Dominique roosters crow a four-note song. Once you've heard it as "Happy BIRTHday" you can't NOT hear it that way
    3. Re:Not for those living in apartments by Radical+Moderate · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Easy:
      Assigned parking with locked and metered outlets. Our utility already varies its rates, it's not real hard to figure out when the low-load times are.

      --
      Never let a lack of data get in the way of a good rant.
    4. Re:Not for those living in apartments by Shotgun · · Score: 1

      I live in an apartment which doesn't have power in the [shared secured] garage for obvious reasons, so plug-in cars are not for me and anyone else in my situation.

      So, what you are saying is that a single technology doesn't work for every market segment? I don't often see large apartment complexes out in the country, so maybe the bus would be more appropriate?

      --
      Aah, change is good. -- Rafiki
      Yeah, but it ain't easy. -- Simba
  46. Well, there's the Tesla. by Animats · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Well, there's the Tesla, with 200 mile range on a charge. The price, at $100,000+, is excessive, although not by supercar standards. The energy density of batteries is at last good enough. Price, though...

    I've seen a Tesla being driven on the road past my house. It was a rather dirty car, so it was actually being used. I live in the northern part of Silicon Valley, near the Tesla dealership, and am on a scenic route to Woodside, so it's not that surprising to see an exotic. The number of Teslas on the road is still under 100, though.

    1. Re:Well, there's the Tesla. by Taibhsear · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I love the Tesla, however I'd never be able to afford it. How about they keep the body style, keep the range (maybe allow as low as 100 mile range) and skimp on that 0-60 in like 4 seconds. Get the price dropped to about $30-35k and they can sign me up.

  47. Re:Main disadvantage: What if you forget to charge by Areyoukiddingme · · Score: 1

    Even the resonant coupled system the MIT guys have been showing off and that Intel improved upon? From what we've seen of that, it would be absolutely ideal for this scenario. It uses great big loops and works over several feet. Sounds absolutely perfect. Embed the loops in the concrete of your garage floor, build in the matching loops in the bottom of your car behind a nice tough plastic barrier, and never have to think about a charge again. I don't know how perfectly you have to line up the loops, but from reading the articles about the system MIT has, it doesn't sound like it has to be very precise at all. The few feet of difference in parking a car shouldn't hurt it any. The losses weren't nearly as high as classical radio antennae wireless charging, either. From what we've heard of Nikola Tesla's experiments, it can probably be very high power, too. He was willing to do try stuff at ridiculously high power levels. Intel's version is 75% efficient. Ask that EE how much power you can transmit through a resonant coupled system using coupling loops that will fit on the bottom of a car, and what that does to the efficiency.

  48. Appropriate things in appropriate places by raygundan · · Score: 1

    It seems silly to me that every rooftop, parking lot, and building in sunny areas isn't covered in solar panels. There's no reason there shouldn't be windmills in parking lots and cornfields in areas with sufficient windspeeds-- you can't ruin the view in a landscape already covered with asphalt or corn. And why not stick 'em on the towers for power lines that already blight the view, in areas where the wind is sufficient?

    And there should be nuclear power where we can't realistically do these things.

    There's no reason to cover the surface of the earth-- but we might as well slap 'em on the parts of the earth we've already covered with other buildings, huge expanses of unproductive asphalt, giant grid-squares of crops, or power line towers.

  49. Re:Main disadvantage: What if you forget to charge by Natales · · Score: 1

    I'm in line for the Aptera all-electric model. I get regular updates and they DO seem to be on target for delivery in California. I waited years for the Venture One but it's still vaporware. All seems to indicate Aptera is the real deal.

    Since I installed solar panels, the cost of charging the vehicle at night will be nominal, as my day-generation will offset the charge.

  50. wind doesn't scale?? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    huh? I *own* a 300 watt wind genny you can hold in one hand. Then they make them over one megawatt in size that take huge cranes and crews of men to install. And they make them in a variety of sizes in between.

    That's scaling.

    And your nuclear plants require armed guards with surface to air missiles and whatnot 24/7, three shifts a day, for the next thousand years, and even then there is no guarantee. Government pentesting "red teams" routinely beat existing security at US nuclear plants, so it is only a matter of time before some real bad guys do it, then buh bye downwind for hundreds of miles. They'll blow it from the inside and nuke a huge area. The *most* they could do with a wind tower is knock it over. Big deal.

        The most they can do to your nuke plant is probably kill hundreds of thousands of people by taking out a few guards and a more or less small building. Think it isn't going to happen eventually? Think there eventually won't be a bigger accident due to earthquakes, like at diablo canyon or any of the japanese plants? 8 and 9 richtors are a *certainty*, we have geological evidence of it, and your plants are not built to withstand neither a richter 9 nor a concerted attack with bunker busters or salvos of good anti armor rockets, like those cheap as dirt warsaw pact models out on the black market. Yes, they might withstand a tincan cessna or even an airliner, but not serious firepower concentrated at the same spot, military science knows how to deal with thick concrete and steel. Nukes are unsafe because a ton of them are built in unsafe areas, and all of them are vulnerable to attack. Plus, the economics aren't there, they can't even get a single plant built without governmental insurance backup, no private carriers will offer full coverage for them..because of those reasons I just outlined. *They are unsafe*, highly dangerous and a fairly rube goldberg method of just making heat when we have thousands of empty square miles of very hot deserts just sitting around unused.

    1. Re:wind doesn't scale?? by lgw · · Score: 1

      US power use peaks at multiple TW. You run out of good places to put those (several million) windmills before you make enough power. Saying that wind power scales because you can buy a big windmill is like saying that Access is a scalable DB because it handles a single user well.

      To give you an idea of thescale required: if you captured all of the heat that escapes from the Earth through the crust over the entire US, you wouldn't get enough power.

      Wind power is a handy way to capture solar power in some regions, and shouldn't be overlooked, but it can never be the answer by itself.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
  51. Cost reductions are coming, and quickly by raygundan · · Score: 1

    $19,000 is the MAX price for the low end model. They refuse to make a car like that so they only end up as curiosity toys for the rich.

    Your under-$19k idea is a good one, and it appears that Honda realizes it with the new Insight. Around 50mpg, $18,500. Sure, it kinda looks like a Prius, but if Honda can build a Prius-clone for $3k less than a Prius, they'll still have a winner.

  52. They already invented the magic battery by Ungrounded+Lightning · · Score: 2, Informative

    Eventually, solar will work too, but since solar isn't reliable it will never be a primary power source until someone invents a magic battery.

    They already invented it. It's called the "vanadium redox flow battery". (Also a good match for wind power in single-mill residential applications. Added bonus: DC voltage conversion is free, simplifying peak power tracking controllers for wind and solar.)

    It's already being deployed in power-grid sized units, used as an alternative to local peaking-generation plants. (Charge during off-peak and discharge during peak. Cuts line losses, eliminates local noise and pollution, lets you power more locally than you have lines to supply during peak times, and moves power from cheap times to expensive times while losing less than the price difference to battery inefficiency.)

    Home-sized and electric-vehicle-sized units will probably be available when somebody decides there's a demand, licenses the patents, does a bit of product and manufacturing engineering, and starts supplying them. If something better doesn't come along first, that is. (The new fast-charge long-life lithium ion batteries, for example, might beat them, due to simplicity and high power-to-weight ratio for vehicle applications, followed by economy-of-scale price advantages once they're adopted for buses and autos.)

    --
    Bantam Dominique roosters crow a four-note song. Once you've heard it as "Happy BIRTHday" you can't NOT hear it that way
    1. Re:They already invented the magic battery by lgw · · Score: 1

      What happens if that battery catches fire, and how heavy is it? Though weight is only really important for use in autos, *safe* power storage is important for home and commercial use.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
  53. how big of a bath? try birdbath... by shmlco · · Score: 1

    "What I want to know is, how big of a bath am I going to take when I want go on vacation and drive 600 miles without a chance to re-charge."

    Well... why not consider the current Prius as a good indicator? With great aerodynamics, regenerative braking, battery assist, and so on, a Prius gets about 600 miles on a single tank of gas.

    The Volt is said to get about 400 miles on a mere 9 gallon tank. Take away the "recharge" range of 40 miles, and that's 360 miles. So charge up before you leave home and you can do your 600 mile trip with just over 12 gallons of gas.

    --
    Any sect, cult, or religion will legislate its creed into law if it acquires the political power to do so.
  54. Atrociously written PM article on the Insight by LionMage · · Score: 1

    I enjoyed reading about all of these new hybrid vehicles, but the Popular Mechanics article about the Insight was almost unreadable in spots, to the point of being seriously misleading. Thankfully, I knew enough to figure out what the author of the article was trying to say. (In fairness, it could have been the result of an overzealous editor trimming for space and cutting too much in the process.)

    Here's one gem from that article:

    Some have dubbed IMA a "mild hybrid," or "mybrid," though company officials bridle at that description. The Civic Hybrid was the first to bear the IMA name, generating plenty of publicity but relatively paltry sales numbers. It was, for starters, a startlingly distinctive product, with a wraparound body designed to maximize fuel efficiency, which was further enhanced by the lightweight aluminum used for body panels and the chassis. But while it set fuel-economy records, the two-seater delivered limited functionality and decidedly poor performance.

    The way this snippet is written, you'd think that the Civic Hybrid was a 2-seat car with an aluminum frame and side panels. However, the Civic Hybrid is neither -- it is mostly like a conventional Honda Civic (and I've ridden in one). The Insight is the 2-seater with an aluminum construction -- and I know this because I had a coworker who bought one when they first came out.

  55. Depends on whether the "bailout" passes. by Ungrounded+Lightning · · Score: 1

    ... the guy with the gold makes the rules. Or is it the other way around now? I sort of forget.

    Depends on whether the bailout passes. If it does the guys with the rules will make the money (about 700 billion THIS time, and then more later). But it will be paper and bookkeeping entries, not gold.

    --
    Bantam Dominique roosters crow a four-note song. Once you've heard it as "Happy BIRTHday" you can't NOT hear it that way
  56. FUD? by AJWM · · Score: 1

    I'm not sure what Toyota's strategy is in downplaying the plug-in hybrid model. Are they not able to come up with a good way to do it themselves? Are they trying to steal GM's thunder and delay the buzz until Toyota can catch up? Did the CEO of ExxonMobil threaten to have the CEO of Toyota shot if they started producing plug-in hybrids?

    I wondered about this myself. Perhaps it is FUD to help Toyota retain their lead if they've missed seeing the timetable for demand.

    Now where'd I put my tinfoil hat?

    --
    -- Alastair
  57. you can get gas consumption from that by Trepidity · · Score: 1

    I assume what the previous poster meant by "purely on gas" is the situation once you've outrun the electric-only range, so in effect all the power needs to come from burning gasoline. The fact that you burn the gasoline to charge batteries to power an electric engine rather than powering the axles directly doesn't really affect the fact that the energy is ultimately all coming from burning gas.

    Of course your proposed measures could be used to compute the mpg: if you know the miles/kW of the electric engine, and the kW/gallon of the generator, you can get the miles/gallon.

  58. DOE study by shmlco · · Score: 2, Informative

    To quote, "A new study for the Department of Energy finds that "off-peak" electricity production and transmission capacity could fuel 84% of the country's 220 million vehicles if they were plug-in hybrid electrics. If all the cars and light trucks in the nation switched from oil to electrons, idle capacity in the existing electric power system could generate most of the electricity consumed by plug-in hybrid electric vehicles."

    http://www.metrics2.com/blog/2006/12/11/us_power_grid_could_fuel_180_million_plugin_hybrid.html

    --
    Any sect, cult, or religion will legislate its creed into law if it acquires the political power to do so.
    1. Re:DOE study by lgw · · Score: 2, Interesting

      People are going to plug in when they get home. They aren't going to wait till later in the evening, forget, and have no power in the morning. In some cities (such as Houston), people get home while electrical power demand is still high (thanks to A/Cs, which are a huge draw in someplace like Houston).

      Still, *if* we actually built new distribution infrastructure in this country, we could probably keep up with the change-over. People may buy new cars quite often, but it would take many years for the idea to become popular and the new cars to trickle down to the used-car market &c. The problem is, we *suck* at building new infrastructure in the US. It's embarassing, really.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    2. Re:DOE study by shmlco · · Score: 3, Insightful

      "People are going to plug in when they get home."

      Fine. Plug it in. But I don't suppose you've heard of a new, top-secret invention that's just now making it's way out of the lab?

      It's called a timer. Read the DOE study, and you'll see that timers and/or "smart" recharging systems eliminate most of the load-balancing issues. Heck, quite a few of the newer home A/C systems (since you brought them up) now negotiate with the grid and shutdown intermittently to reduce peak loads.

      If they can do it, so can a car charger.

      On a side note, I wish more people would actually do some research and consider SOLUTIONS to these kinds of issues, and not just spend their time smugly shooting entirely theoretical holes in other people's proposals.

      --
      Any sect, cult, or religion will legislate its creed into law if it acquires the political power to do so.
    3. Re:DOE study by lgw · · Score: 1

      Outside of California, would someone *really* pay extra for an ACV that shut off when it's hottest? I think that sort of crazyness is confined to this state.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    4. Re:DOE study by shmlco · · Score: 1

      If it means they're not paying the highest rate for power? And staggered, intermittent shutdowns probably won't have a perceived impact anyway.

      Cycle through a batch of homes and shut down each set of A/Cs for five minutes an hour, and you might have reduced the total grid load by 5 to 7%.

      --
      Any sect, cult, or religion will legislate its creed into law if it acquires the political power to do so.
  59. I need a plug-in hybrid for long trips. by Ungrounded+Lightning · · Score: 1

    In my case I need a plug-in hybrid with a large range for long trips. Something with a 100 mile or so range on batteries plus a motor-generator to get it further and up mountains.

    Such a vehicle would be a SINGLE vehicle replacement for my current car: Commute on batteries, start a long trip on batteries then continue with fuel, capture the energy from coming down 8,000 feet of mountains to use crossing the long flats after the foothills.

    This cycle is about the same as doing a commute in the SF Bay area (on batteries) and taking vacation trips to Tahoe or Reno (on batteries plus gas, recapturing mountain altitude-energy on the return trip), or commuting in LA and vacationing in Las Vegas. The Bay Area has a very high concentration of fanatical environmentalists with large disposable incomes and an early-adopter mentality. First car company to come up with such a single-vehicle solution gets those bucks.

    --
    Bantam Dominique roosters crow a four-note song. Once you've heard it as "Happy BIRTHday" you can't NOT hear it that way
    1. Re:I need a plug-in hybrid for long trips. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If the batteries are enough for you to commute on just the battery, lugging around the ICE that you don't use 90% of the time seems a waste. Probably be better off with a 100% electric car, and just rent a car when you need to make longer trips.

    2. Re:I need a plug-in hybrid for long trips. by Ungrounded+Lightning · · Score: 1

      You need less than 15 horses of engine/genny to run even a big car continuously. You might even be able to go below that by depending on the batteries more, making sure they're charged up before hitting mountains, running the engine at rest areas, etc. An onboard engine is also very useful to avoid accidental out-of-power evenets even for a commuter/shopping car and simplify trip planning.

      "Rental for long trips" is a common suggestion - and it's just not practical. Try it yourself: If you have more than one car, sell the surplus. Fill the gas tank of the remaining car with enough rocks that it only holds 60 miles worth of gas and get a storage tank to fill it every night (or stop at the gas station on the way home, but no more than once per day). Go on a 500-mile round-trip campout/weekend vacation event every month using a rental. Get back to us in a year and tell us how it went.

      --
      Bantam Dominique roosters crow a four-note song. Once you've heard it as "Happy BIRTHday" you can't NOT hear it that way
  60. stop and go by shmlco · · Score: 2, Interesting

    "People who mainly commute could fill up as little as 2 or 3 times a year, and would probably be riding on 1/4 of a tank most of the time."

    A Volt can do 100 miles on a quarter tank. A Prius 150. How far away do you need to be?

    Further, in a crawling out-of-town emergency stop-and-go situation such as you envision a Prius PHEV would do even BETTER than a typical gas-power car as a Prius can and will shut down and conserve the gas motor in those kinds of conditions. It's just not needed.

    Talk about a lame, ill-considered excuse for an argument...

    --
    Any sect, cult, or religion will legislate its creed into law if it acquires the political power to do so.
    1. Re:stop and go by sexconker · · Score: 0

      A quarter tank and little-no charge, since the power was out for days.
      You wouldn't get 100 miles when you're in gridlock.

      You can't rely on the battery, because like I said, the fucking power has been out, and you can't charge the fucking thing.

    2. Re:stop and go by kextyn · · Score: 1

      Get your head out of your ass. The Volt and Prius do just as well if not better than a standard car in a situation like you described. Either you have the gas or you don't just like in a non-hybrid. If you only put enough gas in your tank to make it through a couple days or wait untill it's empty to fill it back up you're in just as bad of a situation as a Volt owner who only has a 1/4 tank or less.

      Besides, do you really think that Volt and Prius drivers only have one car?

    3. Re:stop and go by shmlco · · Score: 1

      "You can't rely on the battery... and you can't charge the fucking thing"

      Sigh. In the Volt, the onboard engine recharges the battery, and the battery powers the motors. In a Prius, the engine tops off the battery and usually shuts down completely in slow stop-and-go traffic. Either way, in most cases when you're not moving, you're not burning fuel.

      This as compared to the idling engine of, say, your F-350 which is probably wasting as much fuel sitting at idle as it does creeping along in traffic. Tell you what, I'll put five gallons of gas in each, and we'll see how far each one gets in your "nightmare" scenario. Actually, gridlock is in fact the IDEAL situation for PHEVS. Why do you think a Prius gets BETTER mileage in the city vs. the highway?

      Or to put it into language you might understand: maybe if you learned how the fucking things work, you wouldn't appear to be so fucking ignorant.

      --
      Any sect, cult, or religion will legislate its creed into law if it acquires the political power to do so.
    4. Re:stop and go by sexconker · · Score: 1

      Nightmare scenario? Try 3 months ago.

      People with electric cars are SCREWED.
      People with solar cars are SCREWED (because guess what, you can't see the sun at noon because of all the ash).
      People with plugins are PROBABLY SCREWED, since they can't charge the damned battery, and PROBABLY let their tanks run near empty.
      People with standard hybrids are fine.
      People with standard gasoline cars are fine.

      (My original post was referring to plugin hybrids . "Fine" assuming you have a decent amount of gasoline.)

      The issue is that plugin hybrids and purely electrics put more of their dependence on electricity (obviously). These things will have smaller gasoline tanks (or none at all for pure electrics). People will fill up their tanks less often (because they base "do I need to get gas?" on the range left in their vehicle). People will thus ride with lower tanks.

      I don't know why you bring an F-350 into it. Modern diesel engines and even a good gasoline engine certainly get good mileage, and can have large tanks to boot. If you want to bitch about random shit, talk about the guy with a plugin hybrid trying to stuff all his crap into the tiny car, killing his range because of the added weight.

      Those generators we use to provide power to critical areas during black outs, what do they run on?

      However you slice it, storing energy in the form of electricity pales in comparison to storing it in chemical form. How you use that energy later, and how efficient you are with it is another issue.

      In an emergency situation, you need something dependable. You can't depend on the electric grid (ever). It's why we have UPSs, emergency lighting, generators. It's why medical equipment plugs into blue plugs, and facilities equipment plugs into orange plugs.

      The whole "green" cult is so focused on getting away from oil, that they run off to something less efficient, dirtier, and less reliable.

    5. Re:stop and go by Quikah · · Score: 1

      How is this any less screwed than the people who don't keep the tanks on their gas cars full? I usually only fill up once I get near empty in my car, most of the people I know are the same.

      If it is really that big of an issue you can keep a 5 gallon gas can in your garage for emergencies. Problem solved for everyone except the pure electric, which could be solved by buying a generator along with that gas can.

      --
      Q.
    6. Re:stop and go by spitzak · · Score: 1

      Did you know how gas stations get the gas out of the underground tanks?

      Hint: it involves electricity.

      You sir are one of the biggest idiots I have ever seen posting here. This is by far the STUPIDEST argument possible.

    7. Re:stop and go by sexconker · · Score: 1

      Well, yes that's a problem.

      You should always be ready to roll out (Autobots) with a decent amount of gas in your tank.

    8. Re:stop and go by sexconker · · Score: 1

      Storing gas in a tank is better than storing electricity in a battery.

      Plain and simple.

      If you don't fill up til you're near empty (regardless of what car you have) you're screwed.

      The mentality to do so will be stronger with people who have plugin hybrids, since they rely on electricity more than gasoline, and can cover their typically needed range on little or no gas.

      In a situation with no electricity, plugin hybrid owners will be disproportionately screwed. There will be a higher % of "omg no gas" among plugin hybrid owners than among conventional hybrid owners and owners of conventional gas/diesel cars.

    9. Re:stop and go by shmlco · · Score: 1

      "My original post was referring to plugin hybrids..."

      And the Volt is a PHEV. And the upcoming Prius will be an PHEV. Mods to make an existing Prius a PHEV exist. You said, and I quote, "and would probably be riding on 1/4 of a tank most of the time."

      To which I quoted facts on how far you can go in a Volt or PHEV Prius on a 1/4 tank. How you can probably go further in such a scenario than in a traditional vehicle (which many people also let go down to a 1/4 tank). (BTW, keep the 5 gallon emergency can of gas, add it to the the 1/4 tank in a Volt, and you're only good for, oh... 350 miles.)

      About how PHEVs RECHARGE THEIR OWN BATTERIES. And so on.

      "The whole "green" cult is so focused on getting away from oil, that they run off to something less efficient, dirtier, and less reliable."

      Spouting more nonsense again, are we? You know, of course, the Prius has the fewest maintenance issues of practically any Toyota? That the engine, brakes, and so on need less maintenance than a traditional engine due to lighter use? That the "long tailpipe" is cleaner and releases fewer greenhouse gasses?

      Like I said earlier, you'd be better off actually learning a few things about your subject, instead of simply showing your preconceptions.

      --
      Any sect, cult, or religion will legislate its creed into law if it acquires the political power to do so.
    10. Re:stop and go by sexconker · · Score: 1

      Keeping an emergency can of gasoline? Good idea. But the people who drive near-empty won't do that. Just like how they won't keep a first aid kit, fire extinguisher, bottled water, etc.

      The Prius has the fewest maintenance issues? That's simply not true. It's got 2 power trains. I guess you can have less maintenance issues when you follow the Apple route and replace instead of repair whenever you get a battery problem. Sure, less issues have popped up, but that's because the early Prius models were fairly limited in number, and the Prius has only been around 8 years. The 100,000 mile warranties have just run out for most first-year Prius owners. The next few years will reveal the car's issues and longevity.

      You're talking about what the Prius emits.
      Typical short-sighted sheep. The impact due to manufacturing a Prius far outweighs that of a normal car. The impact of electricity generation for a plugin hybrid far outweighs that of only using oil. A good PZEV car will emit less than a Prius under normal driving conditions, cost much less, and get competitive (or better) mileage (new mileage rating rules make Prius lovers cry).

  61. They already do something like this in Alaska. by Ungrounded+Lightning · · Score: 1

    In some Alaskan cities the parking meters already have an outlet - for the engine's block heater. Power bill is included in the parking fee and the power goes off when the meter expires.

    Saves 'em money on parking enforcement, too. Forget to feed the meter in the winter and your car won't start. B-)

    --
    Bantam Dominique roosters crow a four-note song. Once you've heard it as "Happy BIRTHday" you can't NOT hear it that way
    1. Re:They already do something like this in Alaska. by sexconker · · Score: 1

      I've been to Alaska, I have not seen this.
      I do know that they have like, 90% of the world's remaining pay phones.

  62. coal, oil, blood by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    There is no way the grid can handle so many cars being plugged in to recharge at night. You may feel nice and fuzzy warm about getting an electric vehicle, but then, you get a whoop-ass dose of reality when you find out, low and behold, your electric provider uses COAL FIRED plants to create this invisible power. What is the dirtiest method of power?????

    The one where you have to bomb the shit out of other countries to get. Coal may be dirty (in absolute terms), but at least you don't get the stench of blood on your hands.

  63. Vanadium redox isn't a magic battery by sshore · · Score: 2, Informative

    I too was excited to read about vanadium redox flow batteries. For such a promising technology, it does seem to be poorly commercialized.

    It seems unlikely that we'll see this in mobile applications due to the low energy density. To quote wiki:

    Current production Vanadium redox batteries achieve an energy density of about 25 Wh/kg of electrolyte. More recent research at UNSW indicates that the use of precipitation inhibitors can increase the density to about 35 Wh/kg, with even higher densities made possible by controlling the electrolyte temperature. This energy density is quite low as compared to other rechargeable battery types, e.g. Lead-acid (30-40 Wh/kg) and Lithium Ion (80-200 Wh/kg).

    The main advantage of vanadium redox in mobile applications is quick fills, however certain types of lithium ion batteries also allow very fast charging with much better energy density.

    The flow batteries look promising for load-leveling of stationary alternative power sources. It would be interesting to see how they compare with lead-acid in $/Wh. I haven't found any figures on this.

  64. Use VW's Solar panel charging by gabrieltss · · Score: 1

    VW has a COOL system. They have small solar panels that have suction cups on them. Them stick them to the inside of the windshield of the cars and they have a plug that plugs into the vehicle to keep the battery charge while they are on the boat comming over the ocean to the U.S.. A guy I know has three of them that we used at a Boy Scout campout to charge a marine battery. Then used the battery to power lights at night. You could use the same idea with electric or hybrid cars. Just have a some solar pannels that stick to the inside of the windows and charge the battery(ies). Granted in the winter and/or when it's cloudy this wouldn't work so well, but it would be great for the southwest area of the country and California and florida where they get LOTS of sunshine.

    --
    The Truth is a Virus!!!
  65. Greens by objekt · · Score: 1

    They may not follow a specific leader, but I drew up a Venn diagram, and the overlap across "Obama", "Starbucks", "Apple", "Al Gore", and "Trendy fucking hipster" is overwhelming.

    No, you described me, a typical liberal. My brother is a Green and the only thing on that list he favors is "Apple". He's voting Green party, not Obama; doesn't patronize evil Starbucks; once warned me against Al Gore's efforts to destroy freedom of speech; and is stuck in the late '60s as far as trends go.

    --
    -- Boycott Shell
    1. Re:Greens by sexconker · · Score: 1

      Hint: I was describing the typical liberal.
      Hint: None of those 5 things are good.
      Hint: Before you get whiny, McCain is a disaster as well.

      Aside: Can we just vote to NOT have a President?

    2. Re:Greens by objekt · · Score: 1

      CrazyJim1: "The greens don't seem like they have any specific leader they follow"

      you: "They may not follow a specific leader, but I drew up a Venn diagram, ..."

      me: "No, you described me, a typical liberal."

      you again: "Hint: I was describing the typical liberal."

      Hint: that's what I said, and not what you were saying.

      --
      -- Boycott Shell
    3. Re:Greens by sexconker · · Score: 1

      Hint: Liberal != Democrat

    4. Re:Greens by objekt · · Score: 1

      Hint: Green != Democrat

      --
      -- Boycott Shell
    5. Re:Greens by objekt · · Score: 1

      IOW a green does not vote democrat, they vote GREEN PARTY.

      --
      -- Boycott Shell
    6. Re:Greens by sexconker · · Score: 1

      Hint: I said "Hint: I was describing the typical liberal."

  66. I will buy the B0 if they bring it to the US by sjonke · · Score: 1

    Please, please bring it here. I need a car exactly like this and I don't want to spend money on another combustion engine car. It's pretty clear that the big manufacturers are going to go the FUD route again. We need the smaller manufacturers to come through for us, and it looks like Pininfarina is going to do that, but they need to bring it here to the US too.

    --
    --- What?
  67. Re:Main disadvantage: What if you forget to charge by Shotgun · · Score: 1

    No. The ozone produce would artificially age all the plastics and corrode all the metal in such a short time that car will fall apart and you won't have to worry about sitting in it.

    --
    Aah, change is good. -- Rafiki
    Yeah, but it ain't easy. -- Simba
  68. Re:Main disadvantage: What if you forget to charge by hypergreatthing · · Score: 1

    You could just have an induction plate on your driveway you park the car over and it'll charge it for ya (assuming it's built to do that). Then how can you forget?

  69. Wireless Power Re:Electric Gas Cans? by 3t3rn4l · · Score: 1

    Well, what you need then is a wireless extension cord or more correctly, wireless power! http://www.google.com/search?&q=tesla+wireless+power/ We could just download more electrons over our cell phones or an antenna on the vehicle. This stuff is so last century! After all, Tesla was working on wireless electricity around 1900.

    --
    Cum catapultae proscriptae erunt tum soli proscript catapultas habebunt. (When catapults are outlawed, only outlaws will
  70. Re:Main disadvantage: What if you forget to charge by greyhueofdoubt · · Score: 1

    >>But forgetting to charge your car means you will be late for work

    The same applies to setting your alarm clock, putting gas into regular cars' fuel tanks, making sure you have enough clothes to wear for the week...

    I'm pretty sure there will be a dashboard gauge that cheerfully informs you of the remaining charge in your batteries, and even a sad chime when you open the door and the charge is 10% (similar to the 'you left the keys in the ignition' chime).

    I'm sorry but if you can't get your shit together enough to fuel or charge your car, then tough titty.

    -b

    --
    No offense, but I've stopped responding to AC's.
  71. The Chief Problem is Quantity by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 1

    Here in the Pacific Northwest, almost all our power is electric - provided by over 90 percent hydroelectric, wind, and natural gas (the latter is used to shape the load).

    Converting to plug-in hybrids on a massive scale in a region where almost 40 percent of pollution is from vehicles - is not a problem.

    We own more cars than we have people.

    The problem is the quantity of plug-in hybrids available to SELL in our market, not the DEMAND. Electricity costs about 1/10th what gasoline does, and diesel is not much cheaper, so cost-wise converting to plug-in hybrids here makes overwhelming economic sense.

    The problem with large-scale adoption is not the new vehicles bought - it's the EXISTING vehicles that need to be converted, frequently at a cost of around $4000 to $8000 per vehicle, which is more than said vehicles are "worth", and thus a lot harder to do.

    The highest bang-for-the-buck economic return would be converting low-mpg SUVs, passenger trucks, and commercial vans/trucks that are not in constant usage (e.g. takes workers to/from job sites or do hauls every hour or so, not trucks delivering groceries from 1000 miles away that are driven 23 hours a day).

    That is the problem.

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    -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
  72. And taxmen thought: 'Where are my taxes?' by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If you charge your EV batteries using that plug instead of burning fuel, where all those fuel taxes we pay are going to come from?
    So auto makers must be thinking twice about what could happen if cars could be charged from the electric plug. Surely they don't want governments asking them where's 'their' (ours!) money.
    Face it, if cars could be shit powered, the taxmen would come in to fix a shitmeter to you toilet.

  73. Easy solution by hesaigo999ca · · Score: 1

    Why would they not offer a special rack mount system that soaks up the sun during the day with solar panels, so that by night time, you transfer what was taken in during the day, thereby needing no electricity bill. This might be a great incentive!!

  74. No Gas in Atlanta by kwrzesien · · Score: 1

    So there's no gas in Atlanta, I'm driving past 5, 10, 15 stations in a row with bags on the pumps and no prices. After four days of this or 4-mile lines I'm thinking, Yes, I will plugin a hybrid every night!

  75. Is Toyota Crazy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    We need the plug-in hybrids. That is easiest way to fight higher gas prices. It opens up vehicle to alternate fuels. When pulling up at a gas pump, you could make a decision in the future, do I want to wait a little on a electric charge at a cheaper rate, or do I put in the more expensive gas. Having this decision will drive down the cost of gas. This would be amplified if the combustion engine took flex fuel, which we could then maybe have a choice of electric charge, alcohol, gasohol, or standard gas. I want this for several reasons. Choices increase competition. Makes are nation more secure, because we have more ways to fuel our vehicle (if no gas, just charge the battery instead).

  76. Learn 2 Read by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Durrrrrrrrr