TiVo PC Could Be a Game-Changer
An anonymous reader sends in an article by Andrew Keen (author of "The Cult of the Amateur") about TiVo's new TiVo PC, which he believes could seal the fate of advertising on online videos. Just as TiVo let viewers zap commercials on broadcast TV, TiVo PC — a TV tuner that can be plugged into a PC — will let Net viewers of the likes of Hulu.com and ABC.com skip commercials in the nascent medium of online video.
Keen believes that TiVo's business model involves (besides selling lots of $199 boxes) mining and selling the far richer stream of user behavioral data that TiVo PC will enable.
If they mine data for behavior statistics, and they kill advertising.... what will they use the behavioral statistics for?
*scratches head*
Few things here:
1. Does it blend?
2. Could this technology remove advertising from any potential web content, or just a key sector of the internet to focus users in only one direction?
3. When TiVO has slaughtered "the advertising golden goose that has enriched the broadcasting industry for the last 50 years," who is invited to the table for Golden Goose Liver Pate TM?
The dangers of knowledge trigger emotional distress in human beings.
Game changer? More like a game-trasher. I purposely do not block text or image ads (only flash) on websites because I know why they are there. Ads exist in video and websites to fund the content. If everyone blocks ads in video sites, the video sites will simply go away. TiVo does not have a sustainable business model here.
The government can't save you.
TFA asks a lot of questions but provides no answers whatsoever.
Personally, I doubt Hulu is going to let Tivo access their service and then skip the commercials unless Tivo is paying them every time a user does that. It would be suicide for Hulu.
ABC, NBC, etc etc are all in the same boat, except that it's not suicide and merely stupid for them.
I also doubt that user viewing preferences matters at all in an environment that can skip commercials. Unless they are looking for the demographic that won't watch the commercials no matter what... I can't imagine what use that data is.
"If you make people think they're thinking, they'll love you; But if you really make them think, they'll hate you." - DM
Is this ungrammatical phrase just a mistake by kdawson, or did the submitter try to prank it by using the submission name "An anonymous reader writes"?
If it's the latter case: isn't pranking Slashdot's grammar redundant?
TV tuners are by no means anything new, the only difference this really has is that it has the TiVo name. I dare say that most people who want to plug a tuner into their PC already know this and can probably install software that does everything this does, except for free.
I can't see it changing anything, as far as I'm aware, there isn't a teribly big market for TV tuners (there's a market all right, but it's nowhere near as big as say graphics cards or even sound cards, I'd bet - most people simply don't like being hunched over their monitor to watch TV and those that want to watch it on their actual TV would be better off with a standard TiVo box, or similar, anyway).
+1 IDisagreeSoHeMustBeATrollOrAnAstroturferOrAShill
I'm pretty much comfortable with the level of advertising at Hulu. I dunno why I'd need program to get around it. Television, well that just makes sense. The commercials are intrusive. Hulu though, well for once I think they got it right.
a TV tuner that can be plugged into a PC -- will let Net viewers of the likes of Hulu.com and ABC.com skip commercials in the nascent medium of online video.
What? Why do I need a TiVo TV Tuner box to watch online videos? Stripping commercials from online streaming video sounds like a software task. And saving the streaming video so that you can jump past the commercials doesn't require any special TiVo magic (whether hardware, subscription, or software). Will we see software and utilities that allow you to skip ads on online video? Probably. But what does this have to do with a TV-Tuner card for your PC?
The article also asks some nonsensical questions:
Does the arrival of the TiVo PC set-top box represent the final convergence of television and Internet video?
No. TV-Tuner cards and online video have existed for awhile. I don't see how a TiVo box changes anything. Yes, it might make "TV on your computer" more accessible to the masses... but that isn't a "final convergence" of anything, really. Sure, the lines are blurring between TV and Internet. And TiVo is part of that inevitable change. But this box isn't a revolution.
What will be the impact of TiVo's new device on the online video economy?
None. It's a TV-Tuner card, isn't it? (People watch Hulu because they don't want to pay for the equivalent cable channels.)
Will TiVo be remembered as the company that helped slaughter the advertising golden goose that has enriched the broadcasting industry for the last 50 years?
Doubtful. TiVo hasn't demolished TV ads yet. Strangely, PVRs in general haven't either. And AdBlock hasn't demolished web ads. These are all part of the arms race which keep ads sufficiently non-annoying that a sizeable fraction of the population doesn't bother avoiding. There will always be people who avoid them. But most people don't bother.
Add to this the fact that part of TiVo's strategy is to deliver ads to customers somehow... I hardly think that this new box changes much for the ad industry.
It will be easy for Hulu and other sites to block this TiVo from skipping commercials. If it comes down to it they can switch to their own proprietary streaming software, though hopefully it won't become a DRM mess.
What I'd like to see if for commercials to be optional. Say that NBC takes in 25 cents from advertisers when a viewer watches a 30 minute show. Give the user an option to create an account, enter a credit card, and turn commercials off. Every show watched would be added to the account, with the card being charged every so often. If a user doesn't want to pay, they could accept ads. They might turn off ads for their favorite drama, but accept ads for a comedy they are watching while folding laundry.
No no no, no one needs to zap hulu commercials. I mean it'd be nice, but not $199 nice. Current hulu advertising breaks are quite short an bearable.
What tivo COULD do is provide a couch-based way of using hulu, with an alternate UI that's remote control friendly. Make it work for youtube, and it'd be a good back-up plan at parties, where guests could show "teh internet funnah" to others around on the TV with minimal fuss.
But xbox 360 and that other netflix movie watcher box are going in this direction too. Market is going to be crowded. That's good for me!
Use the Firehose to mod down Second Life stories!
The Tivo Software for the PC is simply a reproduction of the Tivo software in the tivo boxes that works on your Windows PC. It's not going to allow you to skip or record online videos, it will allow you to skip and record TV.
He seems to believe that Tivo PC is a method of accessing online content, but it's not. If you have a TV tuner card in your PC, it lets you use the Tivo software with that card. That's all.
There's nothing you can do with this new product that you can't already do with MythTV or similar products. People who are going to save programs, edit out commercials, and post the final product up on the web are already doing it. This won't facilitate such behavior.
Keen doesn't seem to have a clue as to what this product actually does.
Wait... what? A TV tuner that skips ads in online video. Someone explain, how does that work, exactly? A TV tuner to skip commercials in broadcast TV, now that I can understand. Myth has a very decent commercial detector. But this thing skips ads in online video... how does it become a tuner? Besides, adblock plus seems to be doing a fantastic job in blocking most youtube ads anyway.
but why would the marketplace buy a TiVo PC? Regardless of commercial-zapping potential. Sure, $200 is decent, but there've been business models along those lines before that haven't gone anywhere (e.g., the ol' buy-a-computer-with-two-years-of-AOL-and-get-it-damn-cheap). I fail to see a true differentiator here -- at least, one that would sway any significant percentage of home computer users.
Product Placement.
I don't want to see ads anymore. If I never see another, my life will be much improved. I'm perfectly happy to pay for good content if that's the way to get it. Of course, I'm happier to get it for free, but ads are not free. Their toll is psychic.
So right now, I block ads. Few if any make it past noscript and adblock plus combined. The rare times I use a different computer, it's like walking into Vegas. How obnoxious.
I've been using a lot of these services. Honestly, for the flexibility to watch the shows when I want how I want, I'm more than willing to watch advertisements, especially if they're targetted at my demographic.
I really like having free and legal on-demand streaming television shows available from trustworthy sources. I would like to see these services continue and expand. I wouldn't buy TiVo for the PC, because I want to promote it, make execs think they're really onto something.
It's been a long time.
TiVo let viewers zap commercials on broadcast TV, TiVo PC A friend used to transfer his TIVO'd Daily Show recordings onto DVD's for me. You can't FF on a DVD the way you can on tape. So, I saw commercials I otherwise would not have seen. Theoretically he could have edited out the commercials, but there is so much you can ask of a friend. It really is not clear how this all shakes out.
For those unaware of who this is, this is the guy who compared user-generated content to communism.
I'm not kidding.
All you ever need to know about Andrew Keen can determined by reading this post at his blog:
http://andrewkeen.typepad.com/akfiles/eleven.htm
Then read Justin's post, and the accompanying comments, at classicalvalues.com:
http://www.classicalvalues.com/archives/2006/04/andrew_keen_sto.html
Advertising within videos shown online is always going to be a failure. Online videos are not linear. We can fast forward, skip around, or go to another page.
TV is linear, at least without TiVo or MythTV. You have to watch what's there, so you mute and leave the room for commercials. (Does anyone like commercials? The witty ones are fun -- the first time of 800 times you'll see them.)
They need to adapt to online reality. Sell banner ads and Google ads, or Amazon referrer links. That's the online reality. TV is for dinosaurs ;)
Futurist Traditionalism
TiVo PC is not capable of allowing viewers to skip commercials on Hulu.com and the like. Read the reviews (like this one) for proof. It's a device to enable recording of broadcast/cable TV shows on a Windoze box. That's it. It has nothing whatsoever to do with recording net-streaming video, or anything else that regular TiVos currently can't do. This kind of over-reaching speculation is irritating, distracting, and unhelpful. Andrew Keen is, I think, a little too keen (haha, do you see what I did there?) to create controversy and a little less inclined to check his facts.
Just call TiVo to have them remove you from their statistics gathering.
Guys like the linked blogger are so out of touch - they're so full of themselves. Like with this quote:
"I did contact TiVo to learn more about its intentions, but -- surprise, surprise -- they never got back to me."
The blogger implies that the obvious reason for this is because Tivo is afraid to talk to him. Somehow he doesn't understand that maybe, just maybe, Tivo has no idea who he is and doesn't want to spend all their time answering questions from every blogger on the net?
It's pretty much the same situation as when some nut-job keeps yelling about how the "scientific community is afraid to debate him". No, they just don't see the point in wasting two hours of their lives for no good reason.
#DeleteChrome
TiVo PC is just Windows Media Center Edition from a different company. Why pay for the software when you can get it bundled with the operating system? The real missing piece to almost all PC solutions is the lack of CableCARD. The last time I checked, there were only one or two PC's that CableLabs had certified.
He obviously does not understand the new TivoPC product at all! It is simply a bundle of a TV Tuner and the TiVo software. It's significant because it's the first time TiVo software has been available outside a TiVo box, but other than that this is nothing new. It does not allow you to skip commercials in online content, and it does not allow you to output online content to your TV. I would really think someone posting an article commenting on a new product, and how said product is going to kill online video sites, would take the time to look into the products features and functions. This is simply irresponsible and angers me greatly!
I think that you should use open source software to record tv shows. If you cannot find the open source software that helps you with this, you can always get it custom made, for example at via-ev.de thats a studentische unternehmensberatung from germany.
If Rogers thinks that this is "game over" for ads he is extremely out of touch. The more people remove ads from around the content, the more companies will place ads IN the content. I hate advertising as much as the next guy but I think this will just end up bluring the lines between content and ads. The shift obviously started long ago but it will become more serious if people keep bragging about not watching ads.
To make a reference Slashdot will recognize... think Heroes.
"Oh my god dad! You got me a Rogue!"
"I need to rent a Nissan Versa." "Let's go get the Versa." "Meet me at the Versa."
Not as scary as being molested by your priest.
At the current price points and inconvenience factors, the market for PC/mac TV Tuners is probably close to saturated. To sell PC tuners, one has to either a) be satisfied with the meager increase in market as the saturation curve approaches its asymptote, or b) find a new market. Option a) is a loser. So that leaves b).
If Tivo can leverage their trademark familiarity -and- create an easy-to-install product, then they might be able to attract a new market segment and make some real money. Furthermore, it will attract new people to their subscription model, the market for which surely has become indistinguishable from its asymptote for some time now.
One could easily speculate also that Tivo is testing the waters for moving away from set top boxes and towards PC peripherals, or even integrated TV-ready PC/encoder systems.
As for the "TV on computers is unnecessary/threatening/diluting/eye-strainin" arguments, they're hard to support. I put EyeTV on the 24" iMac in our lounge area off the kitchen, and now no one watches anything in the media room on the big 42" TV with surround sound anymore, except the occasional DVD. The 24" display is fine for the size of the room it's in, and time shifting, rewind-and-review, and commercial editing make TV so much more watchable that a TV+Tuner+DVD just doesn't cut it. I haven't watched a commercial in months, except for one or two that caught my eye ("whoa - boobs!") as I was 30-second-skipping past them.
And we watch very very little content produced for the web. Except for a few programs like Democracy Now, it's all major network broadcasts and MPAA DVDs. We use Miro to torrent programs that we fail to record for some reason, or that our cable provider doesn't carry (they've been moving channels from clear QAM analog to digital only, and I *refuse* to lease a set top box). Web video is still far too poor quality to be watchable for long, and we have too little free time to tolerate much amateur content.
I'm gonna go drop $500 on a nice DVD+HD recorder for the media room to make it useful again, until I can afford to upgrade to the 1040p TV + Mac Mini + EyeTV combo. I've seen it done, and it looks great. If Tivo had a competitively-priced product that I could easily add on to a new 1040p TV that gave me complete freedom to shift, edit and skip content, without DRM restrictions, then I'd certainly consider it alongside EyeTV and MythTV.
I can see the fnords!
I'll stick to downloading torrents, I guess.
When our name is on the back of your car, we're behind you all the way!
Movie trailers for a long time have been advertisements that people have sought out. Make your advertisement a narrative, or some other entertainment, and people will actively seek it out - especially if, like trailers, they require a minimal time investment. Then, if the 'trailer' is interesting enough, they might go after the actual product.
Games with demos are in this category as well - and successfully, I might add.
[Ego]out
Killian's is owned by Coors, not AB. Fail.
A bad article? On slashdot? But it was posted by kdawson...
No, no, no, this doesn't make any sense at all!
Don't put advice in your sig.
Are the few 7-30 second commercials really that bad that people are willing to spend that much on a box to avoid watching them? Commercials have and will continue to serve a vital role in TV watching, bathroom breaks. Unlike the several minute commercial breaks, the ones on hulu give you enough time to get to your computer to pause the show.
I am still mad at Tivo for not honoring my lifetime subscription I bough in 2000 when they first started... I will never buy another product from them even though I loved it.
Clever or not, I got nothing...
TIVO's subscriber base is on the decline. They must do something before they go down the tubes.
Ads automagically don't show up for Safari users.
I mentioned this the first time Tivo PC hit the front page.
The author of the article totally missed the point of Tivo PC, but (like most everybody else here) also missed that, from all evidence, Tivo, Inc. has very little to do with the Tivo PC product. I couldn't find any mention of Tivo PC on Tivo.com, but it's on the front page at Nero.com.
It looks like Nero came up with their Liquid TV DVR product and then decided to license the Tivo name and user interface so they could stand out from all the other free/pay DVR products already in the market. So all the strategic concerns about Tivo's intent basically go out the window.
Gah!!! Are people constitutionally incapable of properly representing TiVo's relationship to ads?
Repeat after me: TiVo users don't "skip" commercials, they fast "forward through" commercials.
Semantics, you say? Maybe, but important ones. Skipping commercials means you don't see them at all; fast forwarding through commercials means you have to pay attention to them to know when to resume the show (as opposed to ignoring them or leaving the room for few minutes), and you aren't as annoyed at being subjected to the same damn six commercials for the seventeenth time that night. I argue that the TiVo model actually improves ad recognition, rather than harms it.
This is not a hard distinction. Why does everyone persist in mischaracterizing it?
Make a box that allows you to play CD's, DVD's and blue rays on the box, allows you to record tv shows from your cable box, can download content using bit torrent, and can play from streaming media servers either locally or on the internet and from sites like youtube.
It should also allow you to take this content that you are watching and share them with bit torrent.
Movie and music producers, listen up. Your model of limited production has changed. You now distribute your content to all your customers for free, and at no cost to yourself. It happens like magic. Learn to make money in this new market, or go out of business. Stop trying to fight this, you are just pissing off your best customers who liked your stuff until you sue them.
Content providers are going to need to start doing product placement... a lot. They need to start putting some inane dialog about what kind of stuff people like to consume (just like in real life) and why and make it part of the personality of the people on the show, so you like it.
"Game-changer". I have heard that way to much recently... starting to grate on my nerves. It's the 1990's "paradigm shift".
Happily using adblock PLUS edition ('cos that makes it better somehow) for a few months now to save bandwidth and nerves alike, So I don't get the damned things anyway... Wish we had TiVo in the UK properly, I'd really like to blitz adverts out of my daily life entirely.