Fedora 9 Would Cost $10.8B To Build From Scratch
ruphus13 writes "The Linux Foundation's recently released report claims, '... it would take approximately $10.8 billion to build the Linux community distribution Fedora 9 in today's dollars with today's software development costs.' The article states why this might actually understate the value of the distros, though, since it doesn't include the power of the brand and the goodwill value. 'There were several approaches that the Linux Foundation employed to reach the $10.8 billion dollar figure, including calculating the number of lines of code in Fedora 9 (204,500,946), and using an average programmer's salary of $75,662.08 — as determined by the US Department of Labor — to measure development costs ... On the balance sheets of Coca Cola and many other huge corporations, you find goodwill listed as a major asset.'"
Holy hell, that's probably more than I make in 10 years.
They can spend twice that much money and only deliver a tenth of the functionality! That's a win! I think.
Kwisatz Haderach
Sell the spice to CHOAM
This Mahdi took Shaddam's Throne
Goodwill only shows up on the balance sheet when an acquisition or some similar event occurs which creates a discrepancy between the purchase amount and the balance sheet of the acquisition.
You don't just make up a number and add it onto your balance sheet.
...is like paying airplane manufacturers by weight.
[...]to build the Linux community distribution Fedora 9 in today's dollars[...]
I'd rather build it in C with a modest compiler.
...a similar estimate for the kernel alone. Or, perhaps a more generalized number which would take into account other distros.
If your only tool is a hammer, every problem becomes a nail.
I wonder if I can spend some of my karma down at Taco Bell for a burrito?
A work that expires before its copyright never enters the public domain and thus enjoys eternal copyright protection.
According to an Inquirer article, the estimates were about $10 billion.
I would think it would cost more than $10.8 billion to develop FC9 from scratch then...since it's a better OS.
I bet if you put the specs on eLance, there'd be a company in Romania somewhere bidding to do it for about $427.33, give or take a few dollars :)
yeah we should put a cap on that price
I don't mean to sound cynical, but this calculation seems about as contrived as the RIAA's "billions lost to piracy" numbers. $11 billion?
Also, if that's all it cost, why hasn't Microsoft made Linux yet?
(-1, Raw and Uncut is the only way to read)
Otherwise whatever corporation would have created it for 10.8B would have needed to sell it to nearly 200 million people at 50 bucks a pop to have broken even. Most likely they would have folded.
What a ridiculous sum pulled completely out of thin air.
Well its a good initial number. If you would like to refine, go ahead. Yes there are problems with the number. It doesn't take into account the lines of code thrown away, or that you should probably rate lines of code for different programs at different salary levels.
Even using this approach for the Windows code base would have problems. Just the fact that the code was developed over a period of time and subsets were present in older versions of the code. Also, the cost to rewrite it all from scrap might be cheaper.
--- Justin Dearing http://www.justaprogrammer.net/ We're just programmers.
Man, I'm in the wrong business... :0
When the going gets weird, the weird turn pro. ~~ Hunter S. Thompson
Kind of glad I saved my $10.8b and got my OS off bittorrent.
Thats not a fair comparisons of cost.
Especially since you are comparing lines of code in OSS to lines of code in CSS, Its like comparing 2 fruits, they are close, but not the same.
---- Booth was a patriot ----
Fedora 9: $10.8B
Linux Ecosystem: $25B
Free Software: Priceless.
Goodwill only shows up on the balance sheet when an acquisition or some similar event occurs which creates a discrepancy between the purchase amount and the balance sheet of the acquisition.
If "goodwill" is not the right word for the value of intangible assets such as trademarks, what is?
Ten billion for an operating system... am I the only one thinking that the money we spend on military adventures and bailing out Wall Street would be better spent funding the creation and development of open source software?
Fedora contains a lot of redundancy. throwing in several text editors makes sense if they're already there and free, but you wouldn't rewrite emacs, joe, Vim and nano. You wouldn't rewrite Epiphany, if you'd rewritten Firefox.
The number's a lot bigger than it needs to be.
One more pun like that and they'll never find where you were beret'd.
which is totally what she said
> On the balance sheets of Coca Cola and many other huge corporations, you find goodwill
> listed as a major asset.
"Good will" is a specialized accounting term when used on balance sheets.
Warning: this article may contain humor, sarcasm, parody, and perhaps even irony. Read at your own risk.
Otherwise whatever corporation would have created it for 10.8B would have needed to sell it to nearly 200 million people at 50 bucks a pop to have broken even. Most likely they would have folded.
What a ridiculous sum pulled completely out of thin air
It's hardly rediculous. Although it does show the value of Free Software.
Many of us are old Atari or Amiga users are well acquainted with the problems of good products surviving in the marketplace.
A Pirate and a Puritan look the same on a balance sheet.
If I want to pay for software I'll buy it , I don't want to have to start paying for it through friggin taxes FFS!
i bet it wouldn't be anywhere near bowler, colorado
This coupled with his salary tends to make me think his job market is similar to the one when I first got out of school. Employers are looking for ways to make the employees feel their below average salaries are really average salaries. I applied several times for an entry level job that sat open on a particular company's website for a year and a half, I had been doing everything in the req except for ADA academically for years but not even a call. The "we would rather not hire anyone than fill an open job with someone without professional experience" attitude for an entry level job really gets me. My current employeer does it to. If they are completely incompetant fire them. It isn't like they are going to destroy the world if it is entry level and they screw up.
...approximate 1400 lines of code/y. Not very impressive.
You forget all the other parts of a major project. Analyze, design, test. Those take people and hours away from simply pounding out lines of code.
I've had similar reservations on the part of employers because I'm bipolar. Thankfully, my boss decided to trust me somewhat, so I didn't get this kind of a shaft.
feldicus
I'm not really sure what they are trying to show with this. I'm sure that MS could go and roll up all of there cumulative costs for XP, Vista, or Windows 7 or whatever and show a worthless number that is much more impressive. And they are able to do it as real costs to them and still make a profit, while employing thousands of people. I'm not real sure what this even includes. Are they counting the source to every package that is built into Fedora, ie emacs, all the gnu utils, etc. Are they trying to point out how people are idiots for contributing for free something that Redhat will now tout for their own purpose and profits? Should they advertise it as, people all over the world have saved us billions of dollars to help us profit? What's with the recent posts with really big useless numbers later? Is the Linux community feeling inadequate in a certain area?
what mental illness requires such investment on your part?
I blame my former unemployment on a combination of 1. poor interview performance due to my failure to completely hide a mild case of autism, 2. a surplus of labor in my sector four years after the height of the dot-com bubble, when people who had gone to university for the money were graduating, and 3. restricting my job search to within reasonable public transport distance of my relatives.
When reading this, I couldn't help but wish _I_ got paid that much money. The figure I get from sloccount ($55K) seems high, but this is even higher than that! Anybody want to make me an offer?
Please correct me if I got my facts wrong.
Duh, they are talking about the value of the source code, try getting your hands on that!
-- Lattyware (www.lattyware.co.uk)
If I had a nickle for every time I heard a geek claim Aspergers, I'd have roughly 500 cents.
"A comprehensive assessment involves a multidisciplinary team that observes across multiple settings, and includes neurological and genetic assessment as well as tests for cognition, psychomotor function, verbal and nonverbal strengths and weaknesses, style of learning, and skills for independent living." .. I'm not saying this was not done for you specifically. But generally when I hear someone claiming this, it is some bullshit self diagnosis and means nothing.
as for #2 and #3, I'm sorry to hear that. I symapthize
“Common sense is not so common.” — Voltaire
just as useful as the number microsoft gives me for how much TCO is for linux.
give me an independent third party.
Good people go to bed earlier.
just because something is cost X to make doesn't mean its worth Y. Yes goodwill is an asset but coca cola's goodwill represents hoards of paying customers while linux has not.... For 10 billion dollars I'd expect a few things like how about auto installers?, ive had linux geeks say its impossible and its a windows thing and linux will never be windows, but its more like a modern commercial OS thing in reality - I could have sworn my amigaOS in 1987 had auto installers ( If you had a hard disk...fuck that was a long time ago now... ) and so does mac, so linux geeks, how is it just a windows thing? say its currently impossible - fine, dont say its a windows thing... This also doesnt mean im not pro-linux... i am def pro linux, but i cant ditch windows and use it because I am a pro musician / gamer and linux cant support my audio HW (dont say wine, im a musician not an I.T genius), or give me ports of the best software or give me the latest games...I want to see real money thrown at linux, I just cant see it meeting my computing needs and competing with windows on a real scale until a company turns it into a real product that they sell and make money from. how much does it cost to bribe HW makers to start making drivers and software developers to start porting the best software these days? being 100% free is indeed awesome but its a double edged sword.
Someday we'll have a name for every possible personality quirk. I have an intense aversion to pruney fingertips from taking long showers.. I wonder what they'll call that? Incidentally, I've already found a cure - (shorter showers)
Is it necessary to inform potential employers that you're bipolar? I don't see the need.
FWIW, I'm bipolar too. But my meds keep it completely under control.
Absurdity: A statement or belief manifestly inconsistent with one's own opinion. -- Ambrose Bierce
Goodwill is an accounting term used to reflect the portion of the book value of a business entity not directly attributable to its assets and liabilities; it normally arises only in case of an acquisition. It reflects the ability of the entity to make a higher profit than would be derived from selling the tangible assets. Goodwill is also known as an intangible asset. [...] The difference between the purchase price and the sum of the fair value of the net assets is by definition the value of the "goodwill" of the purchased company.
(Quoting Wikipedia so of course the true meaning might be something like "a giant catfish from Pluto named Horace, who likes to eat acorns", although this tallies well with other sources.) Anyway, it can imply that the company's reputation etc. increases its value above its "paper" value, but it generally means any nonspecific, hard-to-transfer value in the company which is not directly quantifiable (i.e. not intellectual property).
No kidding!!! What do you say at this point?
Well damn, all this time I was wearing latex gloves.
Plus you save on water too.
What's the name for the personality quirk where you hate mainstream political parties? Cuz I have that one.
“Common sense is not so common.” — Voltaire
Yeah, you're right. I wouldn't want to be arrested for dis-turban the peace.
which is totally what she said
Going by this metric... how much did it cost to develop windows? How much did it actually cost?
It isn't necessary, but I decided that it didn't make sense to try and keep it under the vest. I'm pretty open about it, and even though my meds keep it under control 99% of the time, it's better for them to know that I'm not just slacking off.
feldicus
>Is it necessary to inform potential employers that you're bipolar?
There is no way to find out, even. HIPAA makes it a confidential matter. And if the employer's insurance company discloses medical information without your consent to anybody, you've got a federal case where people stand to lose their license to practice medicine.
Unless you disclose the issue, or waive your rights, there's no disclosure.
Don't put the big bottle of lithium on your desk, right?
-fb Everything not expressly forbidden is now mandatory.
oh man, I have that too... I suggest we form a support group.
True.
However, it's quite devastating for someone that has some kind of genuine disorder to be made to feel hurt and not believed.
All I can say, is to anyone that might have such an issue. These forums are not the place to post them.
I wouldn't exactly call Asperger's an illness. However, since you're a geek on the spectrum, take a look at my current project: http://www.quinncoincorporated.org/
I'm making a custom Ubuntu distro for young kids, specifically kids with special needs, like Asperger's.
http://www.mhall119.com
Doesn't the ADA (Americans with Disabilities Act) Preclude them from using that as a bar to employment? Or is ADA toothless when it come to mental illness?
I'm pretty sure it's illegal to deny employment based on it, yeah. I'd just rather people know. I'm no good at making excuses.
feldicus
Well its a good initial number. If you would like to refine, go ahead. Yes there are problems with the number.
Open source accounting too?
then don't build it from scratch...duh
I suggest we form a support group.
Best description of the Libertarian party Evah!
Who is John Cabal?
FYI there is a typo on the screenshots page- under the 'Childsplay' screenshot it states "GCompris is another suite of educational games"
I really like the idea and design, although my daughter (no Asperger's) is still a few years from using a computer. Keep up the good work, and I'll revisit the site in a bit!
In a job market with high-unemployment companies can get away with it.
Through the years car manufacturers have put "Handling tuned by Lotus" on their cars as a selling point. Lotus has immense goodwill on the handling front, as the name is practically synonymous with excellent handling.
Thus the goodwill for Lotus is that manufacturers will continue to come to them for handling expertise (much of Lotus' business is engineering contracts). The reputation (goodwill) ensures repeated business for Lotus and increased sales for their customers who advertise the Lotus involvement. Less money would roll in without that reputation. The company is definitely worth more with that reputation than without.
So the reputation/goodwill must be worth something. How much I leave to the bean counters.
The comment at the end of the post, "On the balance sheets of Coca Cola and many other huge corporations, you find goodwill listed as a major asset." irked me. In accounting terms, goodwill isn't the warm fuzzy feeling that corporations hold for us. Goodwill is simply the difference in the book value of an acquired company and the actual sale price. Since the assets of the acquired company need to be added to the balance sheets of the acquiring company at book value, the difference between book and market price needs to be held as a seperate item to keep the book balanced.
The comment at the end made no sense whatsoever and goodwill doesn't even seem to be in TFA, so can anyone explain why it's in the post?
You go to wikipedia for the definition, and then criticize wikipedia for not being reliable. If you personally consider wikipedia to be a good source for the definition of goodwill, then don't denounce it, appreciate it.
That is exactly what happend with proprietary software, the selling price of competitive software is often too low to make sense writting it. Now, when you don't writte the software, you never know what is its potentital, even if it could end up worthing bilions after a few iterations. Competitors are also priced out of the market, because their earlier iterations aren't any good they don't have money to take over the world.
This way, the market becomes too dumb to fullfill most of the ninches, fighting only for the top seller softwares.
Rethinking email
I know we're talking about completely debugged code, and including all the design/architecting costs, but that's a pretty high cost... and at $75k salary, it only equates to 6.5 lines of code per working day, or 1450 lines per year!
Hell - I write more code that that on average over the year, and I'm in MARKETING. :)
MadCow.
I used to have a sig, but I set it free and it never came back.
I dont mean this to sound like im complaining as you put it, more like constructive criticism....I mean installer wizards that let joe average double click a file and click next a few times to install a program...and a package manager might be halfway there, but its not good enough for the masses to jump on board. Also, when i say lack of software, i mean things like Pro tools, Cubase, Reason, Ableton live...professional DAWs.... I did say i was a musician. I am not an IT professional... What if you need photoshop (last i heard there wasnt a port?) what if you need other creative software not found on linux? your stuck with windows if you dont like macs...and if you want the latest games your just stuck with windows...(dont tell me apples are good gaming rigs) linux can meet a lot of peoples needs but not mine. I want it to meet my needs of course so I can kiss windows goodbye. how it happens doesnt mean anything to most users, they just use the com, they dont care how it was made or if software developers are responsible for installers or if the OS is. I dont mean it to sound like im bashing linux, thats not my point...my points are, this article makes it sound like the cost of making X means its worth X...and also that linux would probably turn into a real windows/macOS competitor if it was turned into a real product. Can you really convince the industry to jump on board without $$$? thats all they care about in the end...gone are most visionaries like chuck peddle who wanted to change the world and didn't care about money (creator of the 650x line of processors, found in nearly all the early home computers and consoles, even the SNES was 2x 8bit 6502's... He took motorola's CPU design which he had also worked on...and coupled that with a very clever chip manufacturing process, which gave him super high chip yields reducing the price of early CPU's from hundreds of dollars to $25 thus bringing them to your lounge room real fast. He tried to get motorola to fund his vision whilst he worked there, but being a profit machine they didn't like the idea of turning a $300 product into a $25 one...so he left, they sued, he got around em and he helped changed the world. Its amazing how little credit goes to this man, obviously because he didn't end up a bill gates type... he never got any big bucks, in fact he got shafted by commodore - his employers and ended up fairly broke). Does anyone at Dell or HP possess enough vision and balls to push linux to the next level? or do they just like selling PC boxes as if there selling toasters?
by the way, as a musician, I have no chance of using my firewire audio interface hardware without being able to use wine as far as I can see...roland has no plans for a linux driver. & even if I got my audio hardware working, there is no DAW (digital audio workstaion) on linux with VST support...which is crucial... if linux could come up with some hardware and software support for musicians, it might just find a nice little niche for itself...we computer musicians know enough about computers to know we wouldn't use windows if we had a choice.
First of all, take into consideration ALL the lines of code that came from Unix as a given freebie
that should not be calculated, remove all the vendor drivers created by the vendor and not the OS people, as this is not included in the cost of knowing how Windows costs, so why do it in Linux as well (unless they have rewritten them...)
Also remove all the sofwtares that come into play that come from third party but are not really part of the OS. Let's say KDE or Gnome or Grub or Lilo. These were made for any distro by xyz person not currently employed by Fedora to actually cut a paycheck for...
Now how much we talking about.
Don't get me wrong, I am a penguin lover, but I just hate to see that now Fedora is getting in on the blinders game of misrepresentation of their products that we have gotten used to from M$
We don't need another M$ machine, stick with being good guys, loving their penguins(whatever flavor)
That's proven. I'm sure the bean counters have a way of figuring out how much. I'm not a bean counter, and I'm guessing you aren't either, so we really aren't qualified to determine how goodwill would be valued.
Most of the development can be outsourced, that would cut the "average salary" to at least 1/3.
--
Stay tuned for some shock and awe coming right up after this messages!
So, if you minus the lines of code that RedHat/Fedora didn't write (upstream projects developers' code), and added in the amount of man-hours associated with packaging/debugging/patching these packages, I wonder what they'd be at.
Well its a good initial number. If you would like to refine, go ahead. Yes there are problems with the number.
Open source accounting too?
Yes open source of sorts. The way the number was determined was rather simple. Lines of code, average programmer salary and LOC/programmer/timesegment. Come up with a method you feel is more accurate.
--- Justin Dearing http://www.justaprogrammer.net/ We're just programmers.
USD 3.50 or so :-)
Joking aside, they did contribute quite a lot in the early day, including inflicting RPM on the population :-)
Insert
am glade moderators has great sense of humor, joy
"Steve Jobs invented the world" -- Bill W. GATES
If I had a nickle for every time I heard a geek claim Aspergers, I'd have roughly 500 cents.
I had some people speculate that I had assburgers at one point, but the symptoms don't fit - I like being around people and am fairly intuitive and empathic, which is a polar opposite to assburgers. It just worked out that I was socially awkward for whatever reason and needed some practice in small talk (people have said that a conversation with me can be exhausting due to the mental effort required, which doesn't go over well at a party). I expect that I'm far from unusual in that regard, and it's easier to claim a trendy condition than admit to being awkward.
"We returned the General to El Salvador, or maybe Guatemala, it's difficult to tell from 10,000 feet"
That's an interesting calculation, but it ignores the fact, that money can't buy everything.
Sure, you can hire a lot of devs and start writing the system, but the can't get it right the first time.
FC evolved over a long period of time and a lot of testing and learning from past errors where involved until they get where they are.
Some parts are also implemented by specially talented uniqe people hwo just aren't there anymore, and you can't hire them too.
Also FC (or any other peace of software around) is not just the code, but also the history. You can't buy history.
Likewise you can't buy the userbase and the developerbase that use / contribute the system. You have to invest a lot of effort and money to do this.
Now if you say, that you want to create an OS with similar functionality and stability then FC and start to calculate, go on, but the figures will be quite different.
Give it a bit more time.
First it was the basics. The OS, the system tools etc. Then came the easy bits like apache, sendmail, and other various servers. Then the "standard" GUI stuff came, first the window managers, which with xterm was merely a glorified shell. Then the "desktops" came, the file management tools, the browser, standard stuff you can get with your mouse.
That's around 2003. Before that, I had a problem finding a usable BROWSER in Linux (that's when netscape dropped the ball, IE almost at 100% market share and Mozilla (not Firefox) was at version 0.6 or so). At that time Windows already had a huge and established ecosystem for 3rd party software, and back then nobody uses linux anyways, and given the relatively well execution of Win2k and XP compared with vista, nobody except hobbyists and zealots are considering to switch. Given that, 3rd party software vendors may have looked at the possibility of supporting Linux, but most would have deemed the opportunity unripe.
These days software companies really can't ignore Linux, and I'm guessing 3rd party vendors will finally be seriously looking to getting their software running on Linux. This requires development time, and more importantly a paradigm shift. I'm guessing a few years onward you'll finally be seeing professional software that works well on Linux instead of the half-@$$ed solutions now.
At least, that's the theory. In practice, if you need to deal with any kind of hardware support on Linux, you better hire a good developer who knows the Linux kernel and doesn't piss off Linus and his friends. Whereas on Windows you just needed hire a guy who manages to somehow tweak the thing to work on the couple versions of Windows.
Anyway, things will get better. I repeat myself... 6 years ago I was struggling to find a usable BROWSER on Linux. Compare that and professional music software (which maybe 1% of the general public will use?)...
Don't quote me on this.
Does this mean I can pay my mountainous student debts with good will?
pretty please?
VLC FOR MAC IS DYING! IF YOU DEVELOP, PLEASE SAVE IT!!
I'm neither saying you're wrong and nor saying that my experience is universal, but I installed RH/Fedora twice between 2003 and 2008, and both times I erased the install because of dependency hell. OTOH, I have used Kanotix and then Kubuntu on a daily basis since 2002 and have only found one non-standard package that refused to install (in 2007), and that issue got resolved with the next release. At this point, you could not pay me to install Fedora as my working OS. Whether or not RPM's have something to do with this, I would hope that Fedora fans would take note -- I'm sure I'm not the only one who feels this way.
How many lines of code are in Debian? Do the math.
More code does not equal actual worth.
While it's true from the standpoint of "if we were to write this now how much would it cost to pay developers, etc.", which I know was the point of the report, that just doesn't equate to anything substantial on its own.
Really great things don't necessarily require a lot of code (think JUnit and other similar libraries), and there are a lot of projects and products that had a *ton* of money spent on development that were flops or not so great. While it's true that an OS is obviously a lot more complex than a Java unit testing framework, it doesn't mean that an OS that has 1/2 as many lines of code would be of any less worth than Fedora. I'm not knocking Fedora, but I just think that this whole report is just going down the absolute wrong road, and it scares me to think that anyone in the Linux community would even think it worthwhile to post this kind of stuff. It just makes me think that people have lost their way from the "path of enlightenment".
Seriously, how much of the code of fedora 9 is redundant?. Your average distro is a big collection of gpl code from various smaller projects, and I assume the 10 billion figure is the calculated value of the entire code base. Cutting down on outright duplicated effort and cutting out things that can be left to 3rd parties to develop for your product you could code from scratch an equivalent OS for MUCH less. The only part that would be somewhat unshrinkable would be the kernel, but even that i be simplified.
So cutting off all the fat, I think you could build something close to fedora 9 for under $1bn at full price. Just look at how much functionality can be packed into some of the mini distributions going around, when you choose just to have one browser, one mail client etc etc. That's a clue.
After logging in slashdot still does not take you back to the page you were on. It's been that way for 20 years.
The average line of code in industry is of much lower quality than the average line of code in FC9. Some of the GNU utilities and libraries have been polished up for 20 years, the kernel for 15, X for 20 years, etc. Code that is on its first release is often in production use in industry, but seldom used in any of the big distros -- that's the *other* 100 million lines of code sitting out there in the free software world. So I guess that $10.8B is low by a factor of two or three compared to the money it would cost to develop such a polished product if Microsoft, IBM, Sun, or Oracle were to attempt it.
"If you're not passionate about your operating system, you're married to the wrong one."
Your cure is unpatentable, and therefore dangerous. Expect a call from the FDA.
...really include p0rn-comfort?
There's no failure quite as dissatisfying as a complete and total solution to the wrong problem.
this is a complete load of junk. this must be some backhanded effort to try and boost Fedora's or Redhat's stock up.
anyone writing this completely misses the point of a distro and how a distro is installed on a PC.
Fedora/Redhat didn't write the kernel, they didn't write any of the GNU apps, they didn't write X, they didn't write openoffice, they didn't write any of the 3rd party apps that make the distro complete. And nor would anyone.
that's the problem with pulling stuff out of your arse -- you end up with a handful of shit.
The reason girls and Windows users don't understand UNIX is because all the documentation is in Man files.
If I do the math, $10.8 billion dollars divided by 204,500,946 lines of code I get a little under $53 per line of code.
Studies of software development productive frequently come up with a number like 10,000 lines of code per programmer man-year. A recent large project I read about at Cisco, doing system level code, I seem to remember saying more in the 7500 lines of code range per programmer man-year.
If we do the math again, 204,500,946 lines of code divided by 7500 lines per programmer man-year, gives a little over 27,000 man years. If we take the claimed cost, $10.8 billion and divide by 27,000 man years, that gives $400,000 per programmer man-year.
Also for a little reality check, Microsoft's R&D budget is around $8 billion/year now, so Microsoft would have the financial resources to write the equivalent of Fedora 9 every 16 months.
I know things will get better, its just how much better and how long will it take (while being 100% free). professional creative software is a profitable niche if supported well, just ask apple. Would their computer division have survived the tough times without desktop publishing and pro music software? arguably not. There was a period when if you didn't have a mac in your studio, you were a damn fool. Before those times, if your work was video you had to have an amiga 2000 with a newtek video toaster (1st professional home video studio, 1990, costing 5K, compared to 20K workstations at TV studio's, many low budget TV stations around the world apparently continue to use them and some older guys in big news networks have stated that still nothing today beats it for getting high quality gfx up FAST which is obviously handy in a news environment.)...If your work was audio you had to have an atari ST. I cant tell you how many musicians held onto these and refused to upgrade for years on end, even though PC's and macs were leaving it for dead after atari went bankrupt. They bought a PC with windows 95/98, but they still used their atari ST for their music production for some time, until it was just career suicide not to upgrade...both the amiga and atari had bad management, with amiga's being downright shady on top of incompetent which led to throwing away a technological lead on its rivals and then going bankrupt, but their success came from A- finding a niche and B- latest games/gfx (amiga was the best on the market, PC and mac were crap for games at the time, amiga ports always looked better than atari ST ports too.)...If linux can get a niche and get GFX, it will sell products..and itself for a change...I think it needs to be a sell-able product for that to happen. If you think it can happen while being 100% free, im not knocking you, ive just never heard any one tell me yet, a viable way how it will compete with windows/mac with no money.
BS. goodwill can only be listed if it is bought - ie buying a firm with $1m physical assets for $2m - $1m is goodwill - WHICH STILL DEPRECIATES. Of course maybe US accounting standards allow companies to make up a figure whenever they want. In which case my company, which I just invented 3min ago, has a goodwill assets worth $10m and therefore has total assets worth $10m and $2 (I donated my pen to it).
So, by the same calc how much is Windows worth?
What a ridiculous sum pulled completely out of thin air.
It's not out of the question. Given current software development cost models, the Linux kernel will cost about a billion US$ to redevelop soon http://www.dwheeler.com/essays/linux-kernel-cost.html
Given the fraction of the code base of a complete system that the kernel is, I'd say US$10.8B if anything is on the low side, if one were to do it again from scratch and pay for the development.
I never said it would be free.
In fact I doubt such things would ever be. The demand for such applications are so low that the overhead cost of development cannot be offset by millions of users through support, donations etc. like Firefox, GNOME, etc. Somebody has to pay.
Don't quote me on this.
Thanks for spotting the typo, it's been corrected. That's what happens when you try to put something together from scratch in a day.
How old is your daughter? I have a 3 year old who absolutely loves the computer I setup for her and her 4 year old brother.
http://www.mhall119.com