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California's Revised Pay-As-You-Drive Insurance Draws Continued Objections

The EFF has restated many of their original privacy objections about California's latest revision to the Pay-As-You-Drive auto insurance proposal. Admitting that the amended bill is an improvement, privacy advocates are still uneasy about the surveillance implications of this program. "The proposal centers on a simple idea: infrequent drivers are less of an insurance risk. By pricing policies according to the mileage driven, insurance companies can offer discounts to lower-risk infrequent drivers, and put an appropriate cost penalty on heavy drivers. The state estimates that 30% adoption of PAYD insurance nationwide would reduce miles driven by at least 10% among subscribers, and save 55 million tons of CO2 over the next ten years. The benefits of such a system could be quite dramatic, as California Insurance Commissioner Steve Poizner is sure to emphasize. Such insurance plans first became available in 2004, and are now available as a limited option in 30 US states from insurance companies like Progressive and Liberty Mutual."

411 comments

  1. Oh crap. by Mesa+MIke · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    Another oppressive government plan to coerce people to emit less carbon dioxide.

    --
    Chuck Norris doesn't need Twitter. He's already following you!

    1. Re:Oh crap. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Troll

      C02 = Plant Food.
      "Global Warming" is the biggest fraud ever perpetrated on mankind.

    2. Re:Oh crap. by NiteMair · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I dunno about others, but all of a sudden, I'd have an incentive to find the shortest router from point A to point B, even if that means city-streets instead of expressway. This means I'll be sitting in heavy traffic, clogging up the streets, taking longer to reach my destination, and probably causing more accidents and safety issues.

    3. Re:Oh crap. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      bah... you could run every car on earth 24/7 and it wouldn't do half the damage as the 2 real issues behind any climate change we may be seeing.

      1. Big AgBusiness.. The crap we're allowing these mega corps to dump into the water, killing a key filter our planet uses for processing O2 and CO2, is a war crime w/o a war.

      Big Agbusines pt 2 .. 7 football fields of old growth forest cut down every *day* in South America.

      2. The acre after acre of tropical vegetation we've poured Agent Orange on in central and south america in the name of our 'war on drugs'.. Yes, lil timmy won't be able to get as much pot after school, but he'll need to take a boat to get home.

      I have no issue with the people of our planet collectively tackling the issue of climate change. I do have an issue with making up fake boogy men and ignoring the real ones that only have better lobbyists on their side.

    4. Re:Oh crap. by StikyPad · · Score: 1

      I guess it's true what they say: The shortest router isn't always the fastest router.

    5. Re:Oh crap. by NiteMair · · Score: 1

      Guess my fingers just wanted to type that r on their own ;)

    6. Re:Oh crap. by localman57 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I dunno about others, but all of a sudden, I'd have an incentive to find the shortest router from point A to point B, even if that means city-streets instead of expressway. This means I'll be sitting in heavy traffic, clogging up the streets, taking longer to reach my destination, and probably causing more accidents and safety issues.

      Interesting. Perhaps we should base it on a combination of milage and total engine revolutions. I've always wanted an RevOdometer (or hours of operation meter) on cars anyway. That way you could tell if the used Crown Vic you're about to buy was used mostly on highway trips to and from Minnesota to Florida, or used as a taxi cab.

    7. Re:Oh crap. by martas · · Score: 1

      how do you measure the length of a router? is it the distance between the i/o ports or something?

    8. Re:Oh crap. by CRiMSON · · Score: 1

      What's the insurance on a router? And which model are you using? I could see one of those big 10k systems being road worthy, but puttering around on 2100 series, you sir are a brave man!

      --
      oogly boogly!
    9. Re:Oh crap. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Perhaps we should base it on a combination of milage and total engine revolutions.

      In that case, big engines beat small engines (even though they're less efficient), and Diesel beats Gasoline. Not sure where that puts electric/hybrid cars.

    10. Re:Oh crap. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      He has a point, despite being a troll. If your only concern is CO2, growing more plants works just as well as reducing emissions. The only problem is that there are gases that are released that cause much more damage than CO2, that aren't absorbed by plants. That's why "tons of CO2" is a horrible metric for emissions. It's even worse than LoC's.

    11. Re:Oh crap. by DanTheStone · · Score: 1

      Try living in Maine. You start writing "int maine(int, char**)" and similar things all over the place. Some you don't notice, like street names, since they're capitalized anyway.

    12. Re:Oh crap. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      your brain = worm food.

    13. Re:Oh crap. by Mister+Whirly · · Score: 1

      Just ask Linksys.

      --
      "But this one goes to 11!"
    14. Re:Oh crap. by Miseph · · Score: 1

      Diesel DOES beat gasoline, so that's pretty much OK.

      How about looking into the correlation between gallons of fuel used vs. dollar amount of damage done and basing rates on that? It would get around the city/highway issue, wouldn't penalize small cars, and would actually have a much greater effect on pollution (say what you will about AGW, pollution and vehicle emissions are a pretty serious health and ecology problem either way)

      As far as privacy concerns... this doesn't need to be mandatory for private personal vehicles. If you're really concerned, then you don't have to report anything to your insurer and they will just assume you are in the top usage bracket (which would make it more expensive, but doing it any other way would just create a situation where heavy drivers don't report in order to save money) and you can pretend that ensures you greater privacy in some way. Commercial and government vehicles- including trucks, taxis, limos, patrol cars, maintenance vehicles, company cars and anything claimed as a business expense on your tax return- however, should have mandatory reporting. Businesses have very few rights, and privacy just isn't one of them.

      --
      Try not to take me more seriously than I take myself.
    15. Re:Oh crap. by mcgrew · · Score: 1, Insightful

      As well as using more gasoline and causing more pollution. When you're stopped at a red light you get zero mpg. Unless you're in a hybrid, travelling down a street where there's a stop sign at every block could cause your 35 mpg car to get more like 5 mpg. If I go to the Walmart on the north side of town using Dirkson Drive, It's a shorter route, but as there are traffic lights and a 30-45 mph (varying) speed limit, I can use I-55 doing a legal 65 mph and get there faster, more safely, and using less gasoline.

    16. Re:Oh crap. by falconwolf · · Score: 1

      Anther oppressive government plan to require people to pay for roads they use.

      Falcon

    17. Re:Oh crap. by Random+Destruction · · Score: 1

      Plants only store carbon. If you want to offset carbon emissions you need to plant trees where there weren't trees before. And if the forest is ever cut down, all that carbon is released back into the atmosphere through burning or decomposition.

      --
      :x
    18. Re:Oh crap. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      Another oppressive government plan to coerce people to emit less carbon dioxide.

      No, another oppressive government plan to increase the profits of insurance companies.

      The (R) half of the aisle will vote for it because an insurance company lobbyist is saying "And as a fringe benefit, you can tell your constitutents you're huntin' terrists and pedophiles by datamining the driving habits of all your citizens! Nothing to hide, nothing to fear!"

      The (D) half of the aisle will vote for it because the other insurance company lobbyist says "And as a fringe benefit, you can tell your constituents you're trying to get people to drive less. Fight global warming!"

      The plan gets "bipartisan" support, because there's something in there for politicians of both wings of the Party to crow about.

    19. Re:Oh crap. by StikyPad · · Score: 1

      What's the insurance on a router?

      Salesman: About a buck fifty.

      Duck: Put it on my bill!

    20. Re:Oh crap. by Ironsides · · Score: 1

      Not all the Carbon is released as CO2 through burning or decomposition. A lot of it becomes soil and fertilizer.

      --
      Fly me to the moon Let me sing among those stars Let me see what spring is like On jupiter and mars
    21. Re:Oh crap. by fugue · · Score: 1

      One more reason to get on a bike. If you're not going to be going 100km/h anyway, you may as well do something that won't slow you down, won't cost you money, won't cause congestion or pollution, lets you park wherever you want, keeps you healthy...

      --
      "The biggest problem with communication is the illusion that it has taken place."
    22. Re:Oh crap. by fugue · · Score: 1

      But this is the INSURANCE COMPANY charging you for INSURANCE. They don't care which is more efficient for fuel use, only which is likely to cause more accidents (of course, bigger engines are likely to cause more accidents than smaller ones... but that's why different cars have different premiums). Yes, this could have a positive effect on the environment, but it's also worth remembering that that's a side-effect in a for-profit insurance company.

      If you want to penalise people for polluting, then increase the tax on gasoline. This really isn't rocket science.

      --
      "The biggest problem with communication is the illusion that it has taken place."
    23. Re:Oh crap. by oatworm · · Score: 1

      I use a ruler.

    24. Re:Oh crap. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      My time is worth more than the money i would save sitting in heavy traffic and clogging up streets.

    25. Re:Oh crap. by beej · · Score: 1

      But per-mile, the expressway/freeway should be a lot safer than surface streets, so they should charge less for that. This is where fine-grained positional tracking would help the consumer's bottom line.

    26. Re:Oh crap. by Al+Dimond · · Score: 2, Informative

      One of the key points is that driving the city streets causes more accidents than driving the freeway.

      I really doubt that people will avoid freeways like the poster says, though. I think the extra gas used, the time wasted, and the additional risk of accidents outweigh the small advantage in insurance costs.

    27. Re:Oh crap. by fugue · · Score: 1

      One of the key points is that driving the city streets causes more accidents than driving the freeway.

      That sounds likely--but does it still hold when you normalise for seriousness of the accidents? Higher speeds ought to be much more injurious/deadly...?

      --
      "The biggest problem with communication is the illusion that it has taken place."
    28. Re:Oh crap. by INT_QRK · · Score: 1

      I don't want to sound intemperate, but I'm getting sick and tired of stinking rotten lousy communist-bastard-leftist constantly assaulting my freedoms, fortune and sanity. There, I said it, and I can envision a scene from the movie Network, where millions of people sticks their head out of their windows and shout, "I'm mad as hell and not going to take it anymore!" Then, at that not-so-far-away point of terminal crazy fed-up, one or two terrible things can happen. In the first scenario, the pendulum swings, and stinking rotten lousy right-wing nuts take over. We lose. Or, in the second scenario, it's 1860 all over again, and we split in two, but with a pacifist socialist republic ruling the Northeast, northern Midwest, and West Coast, and the rest of us just happy to be rid of the other group remaining in a slightly less insane fly-over country. Both scenarios suck. But, I guess I'd better start looking at houses in fly-over country as a precaution. In the mean time, could someone please counsel California, and Washington DC while you're at it, to take a breath, and hold it. Keep holding it. No, keep holding it...

    29. Re:Oh crap. by An+Onerous+Coward · · Score: 1

      stinking rotten lousy communist-bastard-leftist constantly assaulting my freedoms, fortune and sanity

      As a stinking rotten lousy communist-bastard-leftist, I resent that remark.

      I think people are overreacting somewhat. Aside from the enforcement problem, pay-per-mile insurance is a wonderful idea. But you have to have an objective way of determining mileage, and the easiest way to do so is a real privacy-buster: install a GPS that can report your activities second by second.

      But in principle, you should be able to create a device that can judge your distance based solely on the input from an accelerometer. It shouldn't need to record anything about where you are, when the acceleration happened, etc.

      A complete recording of your daily whereabouts is a huge privacy intrusion. A quarterly report of total miles driven is hardly a concern at all. Such a device could easily be simulated by a GPS with no long-term memory.

      Rather than kill a really good idea in the name of privacy, I think we ought to be insisting that the technology be the bare minimum to do the job.

      --

      You want the truthiness? You can't handle the truthiness!

    30. Re:Oh crap. by blitziod · · Score: 1

      well if you are going to mandate auto insurance( a stupid idea)then mandate it at the gas pump. Give safe drivers a rebate and those who self insure( commercial vehicles)a partial rebate. This coupled with no fault traffic laws for accidents under, say 10k in damage, and we would all pay half as much to insure our vehicles. Plus people who hardly drive or have multiple cars would not be punished. This has the added advantage of taking money away from insurance companies who are mostly evil anyway.

      --
      The only way to bust a doper--is when you yourself become a smoker!
    31. Re:Oh crap. by mysidia · · Score: 1

      How much does the auto insurance company have to pay for an accident resulting in death on a highway VS an accident resulting in minor injuries on a city street?

      It occurs that if the insured died, they might have some difficulty getting the insurance company to pay much.

      Ditto for the case where an accident involving the insured resulted in the death of another.

    32. Re:Oh crap. by hairyfeet · · Score: 1

      How about penalizing the military for polluting? Do you have any idea how many fly overs i witness a day? If they were to spend the money on building simulators instead of burning fuel like it was going out of style I'm sure it too would have a pretty big effect on the environment.

      With today's top notch flight sims there really isn't a reason why we couldn't do the majority of pilot training in the sims and cut down on all that wasted fuel. i would really love to see how much fuel the average airbase blows in a month on pilot training. if the constant flyovers by my home are any indication they are blowing through tons of the stuff.

      --
      ACs don't waste your time replying, your posts are never seen by me.
    33. Re:Oh crap. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I've always wanted an RevOdometer (or hours of operation meter) on cars anyway. That way you could tell if the used Crown Vic you're about to buy was used mostly on highway trips to and from Minnesota to Florida, or used as a taxi cab.

      You are exactly the kind of motherfucking, nanny-state snoop that rational people sneer at. It's none of your bug-fucking business what I do with my car. If I want to hook a hundred gallon tank to my car and leave the son of a bitch in my driveway all day long with the engine racing it's absolutely nothing you have a role in deciding.

      Up your asshole with white-hot barbed wire, you fucking busybody prick.

    34. Re:Oh crap. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wow, you're an idiot. I suppose you already consider the odometer a major intrusion into your privacy?

    35. Re:Oh crap. by khayman80 · · Score: 1

      I'm sorry for being offtopic, but I don't know how to reach you except via a Slashdot comment.

      I just wrote a brief article on climate change that quotes some of your insightful and helpful comments to me in the past.

      I'm scared that this article will be filled up with rude people insulting me, or (MUCH worse) acolytes blindly believing in whatever I say. So if you see any mistakes in my reasoning or have any questions, please leave a comment at the form at the VERY bottom of the page. I'd like for the first couple of people who do that to be polite and capable of disagreeing agreeably. That's why I sent it to you first.

    36. Re:Oh crap. by Chosen+Reject · · Score: 1

      No the GPS is a bad idea. I can't tell you the number of times my GPS unit has told me I'm not on a road, that I'm off in some field or at the bottom of a lake or something else equally as stupid. I drive a Honda Fit. I stick to paved roads, no matter what my GPS unit would like me to believe where I am. And since I drive a Fit, I certainly wouldn't want my insurance company thinking that I'm driving in weird places and thus charging me more.

      --
      Stop Global Warming!
      Just say no to irreversible processes!
  2. Bell curve??? by Foofoobar · · Score: 4, Insightful

    How is someone who drives less better at driving? It would seem someone who drives less frequently is less practiced and would be a greater risk as compared to someone who is a regular driver. There must be some sort of bell curve where the people on the ends pay more.

    --
    This is my sig. There are many like it but this one is mine.
    1. Re:Bell curve??? by SlashDev · · Score: 3, Informative

      It's not whether they are better at driving, it is that the risk of them being in an accident is smaller, as they interact less with other drivers, who maybe bad drivers.

      --

      TOP DSLR Cameras Reviews of the top DSLRs
    2. Re:Bell curve??? by Hope+Thelps · · Score: 3, Informative

      How is someone who drives less better at driving?

      Not better at driving. Less of an insurance risk. At one extreme end of the scale you have the person who doesn't drive at all - just leaves his car in the driveway. Almost zero risk. At the opposite extreme end you have people who spend most of their lives driving - almost certainly higher risk of being in an accident even if it's a freak accident that you can't really blame them for. I don't have the stats so maybe I'm wrong but it does seem likely that you can identify a class of low freqency drivers that are unlikely to have an accident because they spend little time driving.

      --
      To summarise the summary of the summary: people are a problem. ~ h2g2
    3. Re:Bell curve??? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I know it is common practice on Slashdot to speculate beased on no more information than your initial gut reaction, but this sort of thing is actually the core business of insurance companies. They have people who are quite skilled statisticians, call actuaries, who fiddle over mountains of data to decide how much to charge who in order to maximize profit while still being able to offer comeptitive premiums.

      Because you know what a bell curve is doesn't put you in league with these people and your elementary passive aggressive questions do nothing to further anyone's understanding of anything. Not even your own.

    4. Re:Bell curve??? by localman57 · · Score: 5, Informative

      Of course a driver who drives more is higher risk. Suppose that over my lifetime I drive one million miles. And my friend, who likes hugging trees, saving whales and composting his lunch leftovers in his pocket, only drives a lifetime total of 100k miles.
      Why would his first 100k miles be any less risky than my first 100k miles? The risk of my first 100k miles will not be lessened by the fact that I intend to drive more in the future.
      Therefore, unless I have zero risk of an accicident in my final 900k miles, my lifetime risks are higher than his, all other things being equal.

    5. Re:Bell curve??? by Sparr0 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Even if driver safety is inversely proportional to driving time, it is so at some ratio less than 1:1.

      That is, consider 3 people. Bob drives 1 mile a year, and has a 1% chance of getting in an accident for every mile he drives. Tom drives 100 miles a year and has a .1% chance of getting in an accident for every mile he drives. Jim drives 10000 miles a year and has a .01% chance of getting in an accident for every mile he drives.

      Bob is going to get in one accident every 100 years. Tom is going to get in 1 accident every 10 years. Jim is going to get in 1 accident every year.

      To be more realistic I would say decrease the %s by a factor of 1000, and increase the miles by a factor of 10.

      Why does Bob's insurance cost almost as much as Jim's, currently?

    6. Re:Bell curve??? by dwiget001 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Actually, from what I recall this is not the case.

      Most accidents happen within, I think it was five or ten miles of a person's home.

      So, just because people are driving "less miles" doesn't necessarily equate to "less risk" if the above is true (or at least close).

    7. Re:Bell curve??? by Foofoobar · · Score: 2, Insightful

      This also depends upon the region in which you live as well. That same scenario would work for people who live in Iowa but place them in LA and that person who never drives has a much higher chance of getting into an accident VS the people who drive regularly.

      --
      This is my sig. There are many like it but this one is mine.
    8. Re:Bell curve??? by Talderas · · Score: 1

      Because he's a hippy and doesn't a job. Those 900k extra miles you spend are driving to and from work, which is statistically when most people get into accidents because they are less alert due to the routine of that drive. When you drive spontaneously you are typically more alert and suffer less accidents.

      My insurance company already adjusts my premiums based on the distance between my residence and place of employment as well as the total number of miles I drive.

      --
      "Lack of speed can be overcome. In the worst case by patience." --Znork
    9. Re:Bell curve??? by CosmeticLobotamy · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Most accidents happen within, I think it was five or ten miles of a person's home.

      Most driving happens within five or ten miles of a person's home.

    10. Re:Bell curve??? by plague3106 · · Score: 0, Redundant

      However, all things are not equal.

      How do you get better at doing anything? You do it. You'd be a much better driver, having had more experiences on the road, been in more different areas, and conditioned daily to the rigors of driving. And that's the problem; there's no way to measure one's experience to offset the amount of miles driven when there should be.

    11. Re:Bell curve??? by Sparr0 · · Score: 1

      Read my post again. I agree that they might have a much higher chance while they are driving, but they still drive less. If I get in 1 accident every mile and you get in 1 accident every 10k miles, then I have a "much higher chance" of getting in accidents than you. But if I drive 1 mile per year and you drive 100k miles per year you are still going to get in 10x as many accidents as I do.

    12. Re:Bell curve??? by martas · · Score: 1

      well, i think there are 2 parameters to get a complete picture or risk - time spent driving, and ability. the problem is that ability depends on time spent driving, among other things. it's like a messy bayes net, only worse.

    13. Re:Bell curve??? by citylivin · · Score: 1

      Well his first 100k miles is more spread out (you are measuring by lifetime, by definition an average). It could be argued that infrequent driving results in less familiarity and therefor makes the person more nervous behind the wheel and more prone to error.

      I know for a fact this can happen as there was a period of my life where I did not have a car for 7 or 8 months and my driving skills definitely deteriorated in that time. It is like a bicycle, in that you never forget HOW to drive, but it still took some weeks for me to feel comfortable driving again.

      That said, I believe insurance should be pretty much flat rate, scaled to the type of car you drive. Higher rates for people who have been convicted of driving while using a phone and children under 20 or so.

      --
      As a potential lottery winner, I totally support tax cuts for the wealthy
    14. Re:Bell curve??? by floodo1 · · Score: 1

      It depends on what sorts of trips people are taking. If they rack up the miles on long trips (greater than five or ten miles) less miles wouldn't correlate so strongly with less risk. However if people rack up those miles with lots of sub-ten mile trips then indeed less miles would equal less risk.

      --
      I KUT J00 M4NG!!!
    15. Re:Bell curve??? by SoundGuyNoise · · Score: 2, Informative

      I do believe that is the etymology of the phrase "Sunday Driver." There were usually less cars on the roads on Sundays so those people drove as if there was no one else on the road with them.

      --
      You never expect irony, do you?
      Want to be a professional wrestler? Visit www.iyfwrestling.com
      @iyfwrestling
    16. Re:Bell curve??? by rolfwind · · Score: 1

      Why does Bob's insurance cost almost as much as Jim's, currently?

      It probably doesn't, but are there things like comprehensive attached to the bill? If a tree falls on the car, is it covered? In that case, it doesn't matter how much the car is driven, both cars exist and thus have relatively the same chance of something happening to it while parked.

    17. Re:Bell curve??? by NiteMair · · Score: 1

      Maybe a few more parameters: How safe of a vehicle you drive (Giant SUV vs. small economy car), and perhaps where you drive (Freeway vs. City traffic)... Whether you primarily drive during the day or night, the weather patterns in your area, etc.

      In fact, when I think about it...there are endless parameters that can be applied to measure a "complete picture of risk" (your own words, after all).

    18. Re:Bell curve??? by blahplusplus · · Score: 2, Insightful

      "How is someone who drives less better at driving?"

      The same way someone who's learned how to ride a bike doesn't suddenly stop knowing how to ride a bike. Driving is not difficult, and I imagine if you did a study of infrequent drivers, there would be small re-adjustment period (for things like parallel parking, etc) before they reached the levels of long time drivers, but for regular driving their would be a negligible difference.

    19. Re:Bell curve??? by pilgrim23 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      You young whippersnapper! I have been driving for 96 years and never get into any of those accidents I always keep hearing right behind me the few times I drive. It is unsafe to drive any faster then my standard 15 miles per hour in the fast lane on the freeway so just don't do it. now I don't want to hear you anymore so I am turning off my hearing aid.

      --
      - Minutus cantorum, minutus balorum, minutus carborata descendum pantorum.
    20. Re:Bell curve??? by martas · · Score: 1

      well, i was just talking about the driver. but of course you're right. and i'm sure insurance companies have fine-tuned a lot of AI to calculate that stuff pretty well.

    21. Re:Bell curve??? by dgcaste · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Citation needed.

    22. Re:Bell curve??? by Mister+Whirly · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Bah, statistics. They can be used to prove ANYTHING.

      --
      "But this one goes to 11!"
    23. Re:Bell curve??? by tjhayes · · Score: 1

      Most accidents happen within, I think it was five or ten miles of a person's home.

      If everyone would just move 15 miles away from their current home, then this problem would fix itself :)

    24. Re:Bell curve??? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why insurance is an industry that has profits has always been beyond me. After all the entire point of it is to collectivize, so why not collectivize to the point of eliminating profits :(

    25. Re:Bell curve??? by geekoid · · Score: 1

      Becasue that's where most drivers most of the time.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    26. Re:Bell curve??? by ObsessiveMathsFreak · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Why does Bob's insurance cost almost as much as Jim's, currently?

      Because Jim was born a girl.

      --
      May the Maths Be with you!
    27. Re:Bell curve??? by maxume · · Score: 0, Redundant

      Country folk who mostly only drove to town for church on Sundays.

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    28. Re:Bell curve??? by cez · · Score: 3, Funny

      Most accidents happen within, I think it was five or ten miles of a person's home.

      I hear this every so often... That's why I keep moving!

      --
      Walk with Music;
    29. Re:Bell curve??? by BlackSnake112 · · Score: 1

      The type of car people drive? Why? I see people who drive like morons in all type of cars/trucks. The car/truck has nothing to do with the moron driver. Why punish all drivers of blue pickups < insert type and color of car/truck of choice here > for the moron driver?

      If you are a good driver, you should get a good rate. If you are a bad driver, you get a bad rate.

    30. Re:Bell curve??? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You mean like what mutual insurance companies do?

    31. Re:Bell curve??? by Pepebuho · · Score: 1

      then do not let people live near frequent accident places!!!!

    32. Re:Bell curve??? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      And banks are experts in managing risk...

    33. Re:Bell curve??? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Over here, a vehicle registered as a "pleasure vehicle" costs less for insurance than one registered as a "work vehicle".

      Note: If you're caught driving a "pleasure vehicle" to work more than 3 times a month (say... you get into an accident on the way to work with a pleasure vehicle, autopac WILL do whatever research they can to see if you commonly drive it to work), you get zero insurance.

    34. Re:Bell curve??? by Foofoobar · · Score: 1

      I read the post. It takes in to consideration normal risk rather than higher risk in higher populated areas without regular driving. What you are postulating does not take into consideration increased risk in higher population density areas. In those areas, regular driving decreases risk. I understand the basis for the postulation but I am saying that additional factors are at play and must be taken into consideration before applying a broad stroke to all portions of the populace.

      --
      This is my sig. There are many like it but this one is mine.
    35. Re:Bell curve??? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      Because he's a hippy and doesn't a job.

      Did he accidentally that job?

    36. Re:Bell curve??? by Sparr0 · · Score: 1

      Well, first, I think it is safe to assume that the companies with billions of dollars riding on this decision who have already implemented these insurance plans have probably already considered all of the relevant factors.

      But, to directly address your point... Regular driving decreases risk everywhere. In a city it may decrease risk more, but the ratio is still ridiculously below 1:1 (my example demonstrated 1:10, but it is probably far lower than that even).

      If an infrequent driver gets in a wreck *EVERY MILE*, which you must admit is a ridiculously exaggerated level of increased risk even if you add in every factor you can think of, but only drives 1 mile per year, that person will still get in less wrecks than a "power" driver who only gets in a wreck every 100000 miles but drives 150000 miles per year.

    37. Re:Bell curve??? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Most accidents happen within, I think it was five or ten miles of a person's home.

      That does it. I'm moving.

    38. Re:Bell curve??? by cduffy · · Score: 3, Interesting

      The car/truck has nothing to do with the moron driver.

      But it does have something to do with the accident rate.

      Maybe more aggressive people tend to buy a certain kind of vehicle.

      Maybe some vehicles are more prone to flipping over in accidents.

      Maybe some vehicles have lower accident rates on account of their anti-lock brakes and other safety features.

      Insurance companies study these things, and their differences in rates are based on statistics. If they knew the future and could predict with perfect accuracy your future driving record, they could find the right rate for you personally every time -- but since they aren't omniscient, statistics are what we've got.

    39. Re:Bell curve??? by MaskedSlacker · · Score: 2, Interesting

      You're wrong. The EFFECT of insurance is to collectivise, but it is NOT the purpose. The purpose of insurance is to reduce risk.

      Historically insurance originated as part of the mercantile economy of the British Empire. A ship was an expensive thing, and the loss of a ship could ruin a middle class merchant. So they'd buy insurance--basically they'd pay a fee to a wealthy noble who would then gaurantee the value of the expedition--if the ship sank, they wouldn't lose anything. The amount they paid would be proportional to the risk of losing the ship, the value of the ship/cargo, and plus a margin of profit. Without that profit there'd have been no point for the nobleman to enter into the deal, and the state certainly wasn't about to assume to risk for the merchants.

      Insurance only effectively collectivises when it is widespread (i.e. when everyone has it). But that is a side effect, not the purpose.

    40. Re:Bell curve??? by Gordonjcp · · Score: 1

      They have people who are quite skilled statisticians, call actuaries, who fiddle over mountains of data to decide how much to charge who in order to maximize profit while still being able to offer comeptitive premiums.

      The problem is, they're just guessing and going by gut reactions too. Case in point - older drivers get cheaper insurance because they make fewer insurance claims. They're not safer - in fact, they are more likely to cause an accident that results in an inexperienced driver to make an insurance claim. More experienced drivers who are still in possession of their faculties (basically anyone under the age of 60 who has had a licence for at least a few years) will be able to avoid the extremely dangerous situations that older drivers create on the roads.

      The flip side of this is that if you are a young and inexperienced driver, stay away from old people. Give them a lot of room, give them four times as much braking distance as you'd normally need, and expect them to do things like slow down and look as though they're turning off the road out of your way, but then suddenly swing across in front of you. Older drivers (anyone over the age of 60) are fundamentally dangerous, because their reaction times are impaired, their vision is impaired and they have not had any driver training for possibly three decades or more. Treat them as though they were deliberately trying to crash into you.

    41. Re:Bell curve??? by nametaken · · Score: 1

      Regardless... I think we can all trust that the actuaries will get the specifics hammered out.

      These are insurance companies we're talking about. They're not working on guesswork and wild theories... what with millions of dollars hanging in the balance. Undoubtedly they have all of this worked out to the fractions of a penny.

    42. Re:Bell curve??? by HeLLFiRe1151 · · Score: 1

      Because Bob lives on the busiest freeway in America, drives a piece of shit that can't go more than 45 downhill. Jim on the other hand lives out in the country, never sees a car on the road, drives 30 miles a day to go to work, on the way home he hits a deer once a year and has supper. I hate Bob's.

      --
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    43. Re:Bell curve??? by ArsonSmith · · Score: 1

      But insurance is suppose to be an assumption of shared risk. Why should one person have to pay more just because he has to driver father? Everyone should have to pay the same exact amount for car insurance. It could be handled by the government just like the soon to be healthcare. In fact with the healthcare infrastructure already going into place it could be rolled into this as well. Why stop there we could have one tax bill that covers every possible insurance that we could all want to have. This way we can make the greedy rich people pay for our stuff if it is lost, stolen, broken or worn out.

      --
      Paying taxes to buy civilization is like paying a hooker to buy love.
    44. Re:Bell curve??? by ArsonSmith · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Insurance companies study these things...

      Then the government regulates what they can do with those studies.

      --
      Paying taxes to buy civilization is like paying a hooker to buy love.
    45. Re:Bell curve??? by Chabo · · Score: 1

      If a tree falls on the car, is it covered?

      Yes, but it won't make a sound while doing so.

      --
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    46. Re:Bell curve??? by ArsonSmith · · Score: 1

      I'm confused by your post, are you saying that 2000+ miles on I40 cross country trip is more likely to produce an accident that 2000+ miles in traffic lights, parking lots and cross streets?

      --
      Paying taxes to buy civilization is like paying a hooker to buy love.
    47. Re:Bell curve??? by ArsonSmith · · Score: 2, Informative

      you know if they can get the statistics exactly right, then they could just charge people for how much they are going to cost. You WILL have 3 accidents costing $15k, $8k, and a $345 fender bender. Add all that up +profit and charge that. It would be the only way to be fair.

      --
      Paying taxes to buy civilization is like paying a hooker to buy love.
    48. Re:Bell curve??? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Even in LA, our insurance rates vary by zip code, which is silly because *everyone* here drives while on the phone and/or while texting and/or while drunk and/and being an all-around inconsiderate prick. Really, it's mayhem.

    49. Re:Bell curve??? by cduffy · · Score: 1

      ...which doesn't mean they aren't successful at finding the best rates possible given the factors they are permitted to rely on.

      In other words: Your point?

    50. Re:Bell curve??? by CastrTroy · · Score: 1

      I think the major reason that this wouldn't work is because some people don't drive at all, so they defintely shouldn't pay insurance. Also, some people's cars are worth more than others, so their insurance would have to be more. You could have insurance cost PRICE_OF_CAR * X_PERCENT and that might work out pretty well. However, you still have to take into account that some cars, while cheap, are expensive to repair, and other cars, like big dodge 2500's are expensive, yet less likely to undergo serious damage becaus they have real bumpers.

      --

      Anthropic principle: We see the universe the way it is because if it were different we would not be here to see it.
    51. Re:Bell curve??? by MurphyZero · · Score: 3, Insightful

      And if insurance companies could get the expectations exactly right, then no one would buy insurance. Whatever price they offered it at, just save that money and pay the bills when they arrive. You'd be certain to be ahead. If it was too expensive, public transportation would probably be cheaper.

      --
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    52. Re:Bell curve??? by sootman · · Score: 1

      It would seem someone who drives less frequently is less practiced and would be a greater risk as compared to someone who is a regular driver.

      That is correct. Also, whenever you drive, you should go as fast as possible to minimize your exposure to danger. Especially in bad weather. :-)

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    53. Re:Bell curve??? by Foofoobar · · Score: 1

      Well if it is a corporation, they most often consider only the factors to slant the numbers in their favor for the greatest cash benefit. It is only later when in court someone points out a particular part of the study and how they neglected those numbers in calculating risk that they get nailed. But it is RARE and it costs alot of money for a court case against major insurance companies so they rarely happen. I don't know how many accounting depts and financial firms you have worked for but numbers only count when they work in your favor especially when you paid for the study.

      --
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    54. Re:Bell curve??? by AuMatar · · Score: 2, Informative

      I tried to ride a bike for the first time in a decade a few years ago. I could barely get it to go forward, much less straight. Balancing left/right was extremely difficult. I knew what I had to do, but my physical reactions were too rusty to actually perform those actions. So yes, you do forget.

      --
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    55. Re:Bell curve??? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I believe you mean correlate. Statistics haven't proven anything since their inception, though the term statistically impossible does tend to get thrown around.

    56. Re:Bell curve??? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why does Bob's insurance cost almost as much as Jim's, currently?

      Probably because you have no concept of insurance.

      The fact that Bob, Tom, and Jim drive different distances has much less to do with how many accidents they get in than when they drive, where they drive, how often, and for what purpose. Rereading your post it appears that this was your point.

      Driving in the city vs on the highway
      Driving in rush hour traffic vs sunday afternoon
      Angled indoor concrete parking lot vs outdoor flat grass field
      Every morning during the week for an hour a day or one 5 hour cross state expedition
      30 years vs 30 days of total driving experience

      You don't even have to be driving to get in an accident. About a month ago, my parked car was hit in my parking lot.

      Bob's insurance costs just as much as Jim's because Bob is an idiot and doesn't need a car. Tom definitely doesn't need a car; it would cheaper to spend $300 a year on taxis.

      Bob and Tom are much, much more likely to cause an accident while driving, because they hardly ever do it.

      As for pay by the mile insurance, only those who dont drive much (distance) will get this insurance when the competition allows for drive all you want insurance. At some point, you are better off not paying by the mile. Furthermore, I know I would be inclined to keep drive all you want insurance because I prefer insurance to be a fixed cost, based on time. I certainly don't ever want to be in a situation where I think "I better not take a vacation this year, I can't afford the car insurance because I drove too much going to work everyday."

    57. Re:Bell curve??? by Deliveranc3 · · Score: 1

      Lol at Americans

      Do you notice those service fees on your cell phone bill? Those go to monitoring your usage, they should probably be divided based on some arbitrary formula surrounding how difficult it is to calculate your bill... but they are ironically flat.

      I think people would be amazed what percentage of their costs are spent on simply trying to calculate "fair" pricing, (the price to install and monitor your water meter for example).

      Consider tipping, "Server's have a hard job! They have to deal with assholes!" well yea, so now I'm paying so assholes can be assholes? Super DUPER!... it seems every time reasonable people encourage people to act in a better manner than they themselves act they get totally fucked... like smoking, we encourage other people not to smoke, allow ourselves to be pariahed and moved into segregated areas and then as fewer and people smoke we're attacked more and more.

      Shrinkage vs increased security... good security helps because it sends theives to your competitors... so it's worth more than it's savings. Same with destroying your excess product instead of shipping it to dollar stores.

      China was capitalist for thousands of years, and they remember hating it.

    58. Re:Bell curve??? by Sparr0 · · Score: 1

      As for pay by the mile insurance, only those who dont drive much (distance) will get this insurance when the competition allows for drive all you want insurance. At some point, you are better off not paying by the mile.

      Yes, but the point of this legislation is that some people DO want pay by the mile insurance, in places where insurance is a requirement of owning a car, and the market is not driving the insurance company to provide it. As long as the government mandates having insurance, which artificially influences the market, then I think they should also influence the market to keep the prices fair.

    59. Re:Bell curve??? by mysidia · · Score: 1

      There's a statistical reason for this. Most people live in one place (their home).

      If sometime the day, you are involved in an accident, the highest probable place for that accident to occur is going to be at a vicinity where your car is located most often, while you are driving.

      The massive population eliminates individual characteristics and 'outliers', such as 'dangerous roads'. If you travel on one of those, you would be at greater risk for an accident on that road, than ones within 5 miles of your home. But most of the population drives on average roads.

      Most people travel to various other places all the time, taking different routes, to places various distances away from home. These places vary, people don't go to the same place every time when they are driving around, and people don't always take the same route to get to a destination, so most destinations, most areas in your city have a very low chance of your car being within 5 miles of them, while you are driving, at any random moment.

      Now, imagine you draw a heat map of the state you live in, indicating the probability that your car is located at every possible place in the state at some random point in time, in the future. Statistically speaking, your car is going to be driving at or near your home more often than at other places.

      The 5-mile area around your home will probably be the hottest on the map, for most people.

      Followed by the vicinities of other places you commonly go, such as work.

      If almost all your driving is done on one road, then statistically, on average, that road will be the one your accident happens on, if you have an accident.

      Assuming you drive on average roads (and not especially dangerous roads where the probability of an accident is much higher), and also assuming the probability distribution of accidents occuring is random.

    60. Re:Bell curve??? by mysidia · · Score: 1

      People who drive less often but have the baseline experience could be more cautious which may make accidents less likely. Also, the sum of their interactions with other drivers (other drivers who may cause accidents) is less in number.

      Overconfidence and unnecessary risk-taking behaviors that more 'familiar' drivers sometimes practice (e.g. gunning yellow lights) can cause accidents.

    61. Re:Bell curve??? by floodo1 · · Score: 1

      Sorry for the confusion. The parent to my post said that most accidents happen close to home, so that the really risk part of trips is the first 10 or so miles. Therefore supposing you took a 2000 mile trip across country 1990 miles of it would be relatively risk free. However if you racked up those same 2000 miles by taking 2000 10 mile trips the risk would be HUGELY increased. Therefore overall miles wouldn't seem to be such a good indicator of actual risk.

      In short the 2000 miles in traffic lights and parking lots (short trips) would be significantly more dangerous IF it is indeed true that most accidents occur in the first 5-10 miles, near home.

      --
      I KUT J00 M4NG!!!
    62. Re:Bell curve??? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How is someone who drives less better at driving?

      Not the issue -- it's a matter of exposure.

      Just this morning I heard a guy on the radio who is a trucker and drives 80 miles to his job. That's about an hour and a half to (early morning) and maybe two hours home, possibly tired after a long day at the wheel.

      In any case, it's not as if minute tracking is needed to see who drives a lot -- just examine the speedo yearly. My insurance company used to just ask me for the reading each year at renewal time. Most people likely have a local branch where they could take the car for verification if required.

      I know it used to be easy to hook up an electric drill to turn it back, but I believe it was over 30 years ago that an indicator was included so you could see if it had been turned back. Not sure how easy it would be with the new digital ones. In any case, I doubt there are that great a number of people willing to go to the trouble.

    63. Re:Bell curve??? by wildsurf · · Score: 1

      Most accidents happen within, I think it was five or ten miles of a person's home.

      That's why, when I drive from home, I try to get outside that five or ten mile radius as quickly as possible!

      --
      Weeks of coding saves hours of planning.
    64. Re:Bell curve??? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Because you know what a bell curve is doesn't put you in league with these people and your elementary passive aggressive questions do nothing to further anyone's understanding of anything. Not even your own.

      If you're so fucking smart, you should know the difference between "in league with" and "in the same league as".

      Are you some kind of mental health professional who is qualified to assess a stranger's behavior as passive-aggressive (note the hyphen, asshole)?

      Further your own understanding -- sit the hell down, shut up and listen to your betters.

    65. Re:Bell curve??? by floodo1 · · Score: 1

      Except that you're required by law to have it. Not quite the same as optional insurance on a ship.

      The purpose now is to make sure that when someone hits you that you don't have to sue them to get your damages covered, because they'll have insurance which will pay for your damages.

      --
      I KUT J00 M4NG!!!
    66. Re:Bell curve??? by ShakaUVM · · Score: 1

      >>China was capitalist for thousands of years, and they remember hating it.

      They're still capitalist. Their government is akin to a bunch of engineers playing SimCity, but the people in China are relentlessly capitalistic. Communism didn't do much to destroy that - you hear a lot more anti-capitalism nonsense in American universities than you do in ostensibly communistic China.

      As for pay by the mile, it's similar to what we have already with things like Mexico Insurance - you need spot insurance for a couple days on a trip down to Baja? Pop in at one of the insurance companies specializing in it in San Diego, and for ten bucks a day or so you'll be covered.

      And insurance companies already set rates based on how far you drive each year, dunno what the GP was talking about...

    67. Re:Bell curve??? by blahplusplus · · Score: 1

      "I tried to ride a bike for the first time in a decade a few years ago. I could barely get it to go forward, much less straight. Balancing left/right was extremely difficult. I knew what I had to do, but my physical reactions were too rusty to actually perform those actions. So yes, you do forget."

      I believe you are an exception, you're trying to generalize your experience to a whole population, I'd love to see a study done myself personally.

      For me whenever I learn to do something I never really truly unlearn it, and infrequent drivers does not mean "not drive at all" if you're driving more then once every 6 months to a year, and same with biking it's highly unlikely you're going to forget.

    68. Re:Bell curve??? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Re-mod parent Funny? I don't know about Interesting....

    69. Re:Bell curve??? by schmiddy · · Score: 1

      And if insurance companies could get the expectations exactly right, then no one would buy insurance.

      This is laughably incorrect. Imagine that the probability of your house burning down in a given year is 0.5%. If it burns down, and you don't have insurance, you'll be bankrupt, homeless, lose your job, and go through significant hardships. Your house has a market value of $100k. The insurance company offers you a year's worth of insurance for 0.005 * $100k = $500 plus, say $100 profit for themselves. Do you take it, or do you go without insurance? Guess what, most people would take the insurance.

      --
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    70. Re:Bell curve??? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      People who drive less have more accidents per mile driven, but the total number of accidents is fewer (i.e. (accidents per mile) increases more slowly than 1/(miles driven)). Therefore, although the number of accidents is not proportional to to the number of miles driven, it does decrease as the number of miles driven decreases. I'm sure the insurance will be priced according to actuarial data as to the actual relationship, as determined by the actual data from the past.

    71. Re:Bell curve??? by 427_ci_505 · · Score: 1

      That's meaningless. I rode a bike after many years and got it going within seconds.

      Anecdotes get us nowhere.

    72. Re:Bell curve??? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's only the case 85% of the time. In the other 15% of cases, statistics have been shown to prove nothing. /ducks

    73. Re:Bell curve??? by AaxelB · · Score: 1

      And if insurance companies could get the expectations exactly right, then no one would buy insurance.

      This is laughably incorrect. Imagine that the probability of your house burning down in a given year is 0.5%. If it burns down, and you don't have insurance, you'll be bankrupt, homeless, lose your job, and go through significant hardships. Your house has a market value of $100k. The insurance company offers you a year's worth of insurance for 0.005 * $100k = $500 plus, say $100 profit for themselves. Do you take it, or do you go without insurance? Guess what, most people would take the insurance.

      I think the idea was that if, theoretically, an insurance company could accurately predict with 100% certainty what was going to happen, they would charge you slightly more than you will end up costing them. If your house is going to burn down, well, they're gonna charge you ahead of time $100k + a little bit (gotsta make a profit). Of course, this is unrealistic and silly.

    74. Re:Bell curve??? by MaskedSlacker · · Score: 1

      You are required by law to have some kinds of insurance. In those cases the EFFECT of insurance is the collectivization of the costs you are insuring against (for example: good drivers who have no accidents but have to buy insurance end up subsidizing the expenses of bad drivers). But it is not the purpose. The post I was replying to was claiming that the purpose was collectivization.

    75. Re:Bell curve??? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      except the state still requires it so it becomes a tax payed directly to the corporations, lose / lose for you, gain for corporate donkeys

    76. Re:Bell curve??? by RightSaidFred99 · · Score: 1

      What part of "the multibillion dollar insurance industry has people who do this for a living who are far, far better at it than you" don't you understand? They are not "guessing". They have numbers and math to back up their expectations of risk. I'm not sure why you are arguing with the grandparent's unarguable post.

      Only on Slashdot...

    77. Re:Bell curve??? by TimboJones · · Score: 1

      If insurers were oracles...

      The idea is to spread the risk around, hedge your bets.

    78. Re:Bell curve??? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Of course people would still buy insurance. I am not poor, but I don't have much discretionary income. My savings are virtually nil. Can I afford $50/mo for insurance to repair my car if it breaks? If I stretch. Can I afford $1500, right now, to buy a new one if it breaks? No.

    79. Re:Bell curve??? by Gordonjcp · · Score: 1

      What part of "the multibillion dollar insurance industry has people who do this for a living who are far, far better at it than you" don't you understand? They are not "guessing".

      I've written software for insurance risk calculations. They are most assuredly guessing. Furthermore, their guesses are calculated by a crufty old C program written by someone with severe dyscalculia, but since the spec for it is a swamp of poor assumptions and outright half-wittery the fact that I can't reliably count past 20 without risking an arrest for indecency shouldn't hurt it.

    80. Re:Bell curve??? by Dan541 · · Score: 1

      I drive for a living and have had one crash in the past 5 years (Backed a truck into a car). I know people who have had more than 1 crash in the last 5 years and they do almost no driving at all, compared to me at least.

      The highest risk people are the inexperienced they are the most likely to cause accidents. I drive around my city 5 days a week for about 7-8 hours a day and the shit I see never ceases to amaze me. Cars turning the wrong way into one way streets, people not indicating to change lanes and people changing lanes to close to the intersection.

      --
      An SQL query goes to a bar, walks up to a table and asks, "Mind if I join you?"
    81. Re:Bell curve??? by Dan541 · · Score: 1

      You drive your own road everyday it's familiar enough that people don't feel the need to pay quite as much attention to the road. Also being the starting point of most journeys, or at least the most common starting point it's the stretch of road that is used to program the gps, plug the phone into it's charger, select the cd you want to listen to ect. Honestly who does all the pissing around before starting the journey? I know I don't that crap can wait till the cars rolling then ill sort everything out.

      --
      An SQL query goes to a bar, walks up to a table and asks, "Mind if I join you?"
    82. Re:Bell curve??? by Dan541 · · Score: 1

      But who has a higher accident per mile ratio?

      --
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    83. Re:Bell curve??? by Dan541 · · Score: 1

      People in compact cars cause more problems than other vehicles on the road. At least, that's my observation. The only conclusion I can draw is that people who drive allot will naturally want a more comfortable vehicle, whereas people who drive less want a cheaper vehicle since they don't use it as often.

      Although I don't think it is fair to charge (or Tax) someone based on their choice of vehicle. I also think it is unfair that they discriminate on age rather than performance.

      --
      An SQL query goes to a bar, walks up to a table and asks, "Mind if I join you?"
    84. Re:Bell curve??? by Dan541 · · Score: 1

      I drive 800miles a week and have had 1 accident in 5 years.

      I know people who have had 2-3 accidents in this time and only drive 50-60 miles a week.

      Why does my insurance cost more per mile?

      In fact scrap the per mile thing: Why does my insurance cost the same as theirs?

      --
      An SQL query goes to a bar, walks up to a table and asks, "Mind if I join you?"
    85. Re:Bell curve??? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      For most people it would be impossible to pay a bodily injury claim (however infrequent) by "saving up", especially if they sued you for additional damages.

    86. Re:Bell curve??? by CodeBuster · · Score: 1

      So, given that insurance companies have such skilled statisticians, call actuaries, and others who fiddle over mountains of data to decide how much to charge who in order to maximize profit while still being able to offer comeptitive premiums; why not simply let the private market decide who gets insured and for how much? The insurance companies are under no obligation to insure anyone. I think that the real reason why some people, probably the anti-car green hippie types, support this is because it would place further government non-voluntary restrictions on driving while at the same time cloaking the hand of the government behind "mandated insurance company policies". If the environmentalists want to charge people for C02 emissions, then just come right out and say so, but this law will NOT reduce accidents.

      As others on this thread have already pointed out, How can someone who drives less and is therefore less experienced and less regularly practiced be a better driver than a regular daily driver? I think, all other things being equal, less experienced drivers, who are incentivized to drive less by what amounts to a tax, will be more dangerous on those occasions where they do get out on the roads. Every accident I have ever been involved in has always been the other driver's fault (generally some inexperienced knuckle-dragging idiot who has no business being behind the wheel).

      This whole safety-scissors, namby-pamby, wussy mindset that is permeating California these days is one of the prime factors, IMHO, in the economic death spiral engulfing this state. The idiots are in charge and instead of actually putting the public finances in order they are worried about C02 emissions and people "driving too much" instead of using the craptastic public transportation system (nobody with serious employment actually uses it). The Chinese, Indians, and sensible people everywhere are laughing at the idiots running the State of California.

    87. Re:Bell curve??? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So what is the purpose of the law that mandates it and the ensuing purpose of the insurance?

    88. Re:Bell curve??? by MaskedSlacker · · Score: 1

      To ensure that costs of accidents are paid, rather than going unpaid by people who don't have $20,000 laying around to cover the medical bills of the person they crippled. The point is in fact the opposite of collecitivization--that those involved in/responsible for accidents pay for them (through their insurance premiums). The purpose (the stated purpose at least) is NOT collectivization.

      It's the same thing with universal health insurance really. The current scenario--where the uninsured rely on emergency room care, passing off the cost of their care to the collective--is little different than a single payer health care system (for those uninsured). Just a very inefficient and poorly run single payer health care system. The purpose of mandating universal insurance is to de-collectivize that cost (and to, hopefully, reduce those costs in the process).

      The main difference is that in an insurance scheme (as opposed to a purposely collectivized scheme) there is still motive for individual parties involved to reduce their use of insurance payouts--because they are paying the premiums, and premiums go up (for some kinds at least--like auto insurance, not necessarily for other kinds--that health insurance does not do this is one of the reasons costs are spiraling out of control) if you use the insurance frequently. In a purposely collectivized system this is (usually) not the case--the cost to you is the same no matter how much you use it, so the incentive becomes to use it as much as you can to get the best value, which drives the system towards insolvency.

      In essence an insurance scheme is a middle ground between total privatization of costs and total collectivization of costs. But the purpose (historically and ontologically) is not collectivization. You CAN use an insurance scheme to collectivize, since partial collectivization is an effect, but that has not been done (explicitly at least) in the past.

    89. Re:Bell curve??? by sjames · · Score: 1

      But if you drive 10 miles round trip 4 times a month, you have a much lower exposure to accident risk than someone who drives 60 miles round trip 20 times a month.

      Many things contribute to your stat. First, most driving is within 10 miles of your house (kids to school, trip to the store, and at least part of the trip to/from work).

      Sleepy driving. You drag yourself up and get dressed. Then head for work drinking your coffee. You're not really awake yet and you're driving one handed. After 10 miles or so, the coffee is done and you're waking up.

      Then there's 'angry trips'. That is, you angrily drive to the store after a hard day at work because the kids won't stop screaming for something.

      None of that is likely to be statistically significant in your total miles. The one thing that is is that when you're driving, you're at risk of an accident. When you're not, you aren't (naturally).

      If your sleepy trip to work is only 5 miles, you may be at higher risk per total mile than if your drive was 20 miles, but your absolute risk is less.

    90. Re:Bell curve??? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Of course not. This is about probabilities. If you have 5 people and you are certain that exactly one of them will get an accident which will cost him $1000, you could either all save $1000 (because you don't know which one will be hit), or put $200 each in a pool. That's the whole point of insurance companies, instead they will ask $250 so they make a bit of profit themselves.

    91. Re:Bell curve??? by khayman80 · · Score: 1

      I'm sorry for being offtopic, but I don't know how to reach you except via a Slashdot comment.

      I just wrote a brief article on climate change that quotes some of your insightful and helpful comments to me in the past.

      I'm scared that this article will be filled up with rude people insulting me, or (MUCH worse) acolytes blindly believing in whatever I say. So if you see any mistakes in my reasoning or have any questions, please leave a comment at the form at the VERY bottom of the page. I'd like for the first couple of people who do that to be polite and capable of disagreeing agreeably. That's why I sent it to you first.

    92. Re:Bell curve??? by SlashDev · · Score: 1

      I always wondered about that statistic. As with other stats, some other numbers may provide a better picture. For example, those people involved in those accidents close to home, what is their daily commute? Is it 5 or 10 miles, or more like 40 to 50 miles? If they drove 40-50 miles daily, then the stat is meaningful, otherwise, of course their accidents are going to happen with the 5-10 mile radius. I hope I explained myself well, sorry English isn't my first language.

      --

      TOP DSLR Cameras Reviews of the top DSLRs
    93. Re:Bell curve??? by floodo1 · · Score: 1

      Interesting point. The collectivized aspect is that those who dont have claims subsidize those who do (as premiums dont correspond directly to payouts, as in you have the $20k medical bill accident that you mentioned and you're premiums dont skyrocket, in fact you probably don't cover that $20k with your premiums for years if ever), and the fact that your premium is affected by your use of claims is the privatized aspect. Thanks for clarifying!

      --
      I KUT J00 M4NG!!!
  3. I drive exactly as much as I need to by daVinci1980 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Why would anyone think that paying by the mile would reduce the amount I'm driving?

    I don't go on long jaunts around the town just for the hell of it, I go because I need to get somewhere, or pick something up.

    So pretty much what this would do is either be a savings for me--because it'd be less than my buffet style policy--or it'd be more expensive for me. I'm guessing that the majority of people, myself included, would fall into the latter category.

    --
    I currently have no clever signature witicism to add here.
    1. Re:I drive exactly as much as I need to by Hijacked+Public · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Why would anyone think that paying by the mile would reduce the amount I'm driving?

      I doubt anyone in this situation has concerned themselves with you specifically, but I imagine they base their expectations on the rise in gasoline prices a couple of years having shown that its price elasticity of demand wasn't quite what everyone thought. Since demand for gasoline dropped sooner than expected it is true that cost per mile will eventually force people to cut back on driving.

      --
      "Sacrifice for the good of The State" - The State
    2. Re:I drive exactly as much as I need to by Sparr0 · · Score: 1

      Assuming that market forces remain in action, causing the profit margin of the insurance company to remain constant (if their average policy price increases, they will lose more customers than they gain), they will have to lower some policy prices as others raise.

    3. Re:I drive exactly as much as I need to by StikyPad · · Score: 1

      Why do people buy pay-as-they-go cellphones? Who knows, but clearly some people use them.

    4. Re:I drive exactly as much as I need to by floodo1 · · Score: 1

      Then your miles won't be reduced but for people that drive for reasons other than necessity will probably cut back to save money.

      --
      I KUT J00 M4NG!!!
    5. Re:I drive exactly as much as I need to by Sparr0 · · Score: 2, Informative

      Because no provider offers a 100 minute plan. I use less than 100 minutes per month. At 10 cents per minute and $1 per day used I spend about $20/mo. I could get a LOT more minutes for $40/mo, but I don't need them.

    6. Re:I drive exactly as much as I need to by plague3106 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Um, I believe the problem was that gas prices rose, people didn't (or couldn't cut back) and that this likely contributed to the recession. Remember, most agree it started in 2007, when prices were climbing. It wouldn't be suprising that as people were paying more for gas they were spending less on everything else (and the oil companies pocketed the profit).

    7. Re:I drive exactly as much as I need to by Whorhay · · Score: 1

      If I ever get a job again where I can carry a cell phone I'll probably get a pay as I go phone. When I had my phone I don't think I ever came within less than 200 minutes of my 500 minute allowance. If I want to talk to someone I'd much rather do it face to face or through written correspondence of some sort. The only times I can remember enjoying talking on the phone is when there were raging hormones involved.

    8. Re:I drive exactly as much as I need to by falconwolf · · Score: 1

      Why would anyone think that paying by the mile would reduce the amount I'm driving?

      Because the more you drive the more you pay. There was an excellent example of this last summer. When gas prices spiked miles driven fell. Now if you are one of those who consciously restricts your driving it may not matter, if you've cut driving as much as you can what else can you do?

      Falcon

    9. Re:I drive exactly as much as I need to by maxume · · Score: 1

      If you haven't already, you may want to investigate T-mobile's coverage in your area, $100 buys 1,000 minutes that last for a year:

      http://www.t-mobile.com/shop/plans/prepaid-plans.aspx

      (I currently use Virgin Mobile, which is $20 for 200 minutes, and as long as you add 200 minutes every 30 days, unused minutes carry forward; not fantastically better than a contract, but I get all the minutes I need for less than any contract I am aware of)

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    10. Re:I drive exactly as much as I need to by Sparr0 · · Score: 1

      Thanks for the tip. Looks like both their plans are better than what I have with AT&T... The equivalent $0.10/min + $1/day plan has free nights and weekends, which I don't have now, or the prepaid minutes plan lets me skip the $1/day fee. I might be switching, have to check coverage here.

    11. Re:I drive exactly as much as I need to by SlashDev · · Score: 1

      You obviously don't live in a metropolitan area, where cruising is the norm.

      --

      TOP DSLR Cameras Reviews of the top DSLRs
    12. Re:I drive exactly as much as I need to by seramar · · Score: 1

      I can't cite the source and I didn't even review the numbers - but I once read an article referencing research that shows most people make most trips of 3 miles or less by car. Perfectly bike-able distance (10 minutes or so). Get a bike. But your statement reminds me of the argument that pay-as-you-go data plans for cell phones are no good because power users would end up floating impossible bills while a lot of others would pay minimal fees every year. Current plans essentially have low-use customers subsidizing those who use more than their "fair share." It sucks either way - someone is going to pay more than they want to. I'm not sure how I feel. The whole problem I've always faced with car insurance is that you are paying knowing you're unlikely to be in an accident. I mean if you were likely to be in an accident they wouldn't insure you. It's a bummer, the whole insurance thing... no matter how you structure the price. Oh well.

      --
      australian project gutenberg is better than the original.
    13. Re:I drive exactly as much as I need to by cduffy · · Score: 1

      Policies of this kind, by increasing the marginal cost of each mile, make alternatives to driving cheaper by comparison.

      So -- it becomes more cost-efficient to consolidate your shopping runs and maybe go to Costco every _two_ weeks, to use alternative transportation (I recently switched to commuting with an electric-assist bicycle -- it's great exercise, much more time-efficient than driving and then later going to the gym), or to otherwise take actions which reduce your "constant" mileage level.

    14. Re:I drive exactly as much as I need to by russotto · · Score: 1

      Assuming that market forces remain in action, causing the profit margin of the insurance company to remain constant (if their average policy price increases, they will lose more customers than they gain), they will have to lower some policy prices as others raise.

      Market forces aren't in action. Auto insurance is mandatory. The only limit on what they can charge is at which level those with political influence get irritated and switch sides.

    15. Re:I drive exactly as much as I need to by Sparr0 · · Score: 1

      Maybe you don't watch enough TV, or shop for insurance much. I don't either, but still keep abreast of such issues. There is plenty of competition between insurance providers for different market segments. If one provider increased their profit margin significantly, they would lose business to their competitors.

    16. Re:I drive exactly as much as I need to by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I suspect the immediate feedback of gas prices and the monthly (or less regular) intervals of the insurance payments would hammer quick adjustment of drivers.

    17. Re:I drive exactly as much as I need to by nukenerd · · Score: 1

      Why would anyone think that paying by the mile would reduce the amount I'm driving?

      I don't go on long jaunts around the town just for the hell of it

      But a lot of people do. I know a guy, a pensioner, who drives right across town (Bristol. UK) and back every morning in the rush hour to buy a loaf of bread from a particular baker's shop - out of loyaly. He thinks it's OK because he "only has Nissan Micra". Out in the countryside (around where I work), I estimate that about a third of the traffic during the day is pensioners driving out from Bristol to visit garden centres. Go into one of these and you will find they are not buying garden stuff, but are all in the cafeteria drinking tea or coffee.

       

      So pretty much what this would do is either be a savings for me--because it'd be less than my buffet style policy--or it'd be more expensive for me. I'm guessing that the majority of people, myself included, would fall into the latter category.

      You may have a point. I commuted by train once and saw an insurance advert on the station that if you had a railway season ticket they would give you "cheaper" car insurance because you must drive less. I enquired, but the quote I got back was twice what I already paid. I guess the company assumed that people with season tickets tended to be richer so would tolerate paying more.

    18. Re:I drive exactly as much as I need to by CastrTroy · · Score: 1

      Very good point. While this probably won't stop people from doing their daily drive to work, it will probably stop a lot of people from driving their car on all those 5 minute trips to the corner store. I personally don't own a car, and get around by bus and bike. Sure it would be more convenient to own a car, but when I think about the cost of owning a car, I realize that there are a lot of other things I'd rather spend money on.

      --

      Anthropic principle: We see the universe the way it is because if it were different we would not be here to see it.
    19. Re:I drive exactly as much as I need to by mysidia · · Score: 1

      In many states, an alternative is available, you can obtain a special bond, for the minimum amount, and file it with the state; either a cash bond in the full amount, or bond insurance where your premium is in effect limited to a fraction of the face value of the bond.

      However, if you put up a $35,000 cash bond with the state, you won't earn interest in that 35k you have put up, it's basically tied up money. If you use a bond insurance co. there will be service charges, similar to 'paying interest' as if it were a borrowed 35k. (It's not free to do this, it's just an alternative VS buying auto insurance)

      However, this may not be advisable, especially if you have significant assets... in case you are in an accident and get sued, you don't have an insurance company required to do their best to defend you, and to pay those legal expenses (which don't count towards your insurance maximums) -- you instead have to hire your own representation and defend yourself as an individual, possibly against the other person's insurance company.

      The amount pursued against you could exceed the value of the bond.

      It's not that there isn't an alternative in most cases, it's just not very attractive.

    20. Re:I drive exactly as much as I need to by noidentity · · Score: 1

      Why would anyone think that paying by the mile would reduce the amount I'm driving? I don't go on long jaunts around the town just for the hell of it, I go because I need to get somewhere, or pick something up.

      But surely you do make regular high-level planning decisions that could increase/decrease your amount of driving. If you knew your driving rate was greater than currently, you might plan more combined trips, etc. Then again, you might already consider driving a very high cost and reduce trips as much as possible.

    21. Re:I drive exactly as much as I need to by Dan541 · · Score: 1

      So pretty much what this would do is either be a savings for me--because it'd be less than my buffet style policy--or it'd be more expensive for me. I'm guessing that the majority of people, myself included, would fall into the latter category.

      Well it's not in their bust interest to charge you less, so your guess is probably quite accurate.

      --
      An SQL query goes to a bar, walks up to a table and asks, "Mind if I join you?"
  4. Privacy? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I get cheap insurance because I only drive on weekends. My insurance company just wants to check the reading on my car's mileage meter every six months or so.

    I don't understand why anything more invasive than that is at all necessary to give a break to infrequent drivers.

    1. Re:Privacy? by Red+Flayer · · Score: 3, Interesting

      I get cheap insurance because I only drive on weekends. My insurance company just wants to check the reading on my car's mileage meter every six months or so.

      Lucky you. Back when I had a long commute -- despite the fact that I took mass transit to my office (with a two-mile drive to the train station) my insurance company assumed I drove to my office each day. I provided train receipts, pictures of my odometer, etc... I offered to have their agent inspect my odometer in person... but to no avail. They based their rates on a 120-mile round trip despite the fact that I drove four miles daily.

      I eventually switched insurance carriers, but I overpaid on my insurance for six months because those douchebags couldn't grok the idea that someone might take mass transit even when they own a car.

      --
      "Trolls they were, but filled with the evil will of their master: a fell race..." -- J.R.R. Tolkien on Olog-hai
    2. Re:Privacy? by Sparr0 · · Score: 4, Informative

      I agree. Odometer checks seem far less invasive, and cheaper, than GPS. Also, already illegal to tamper with, while I can think of all sorts of ways to interfere with GPS tracking.

    3. Re:Privacy? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      those douchebags couldn't grok the idea that someone might take mass transit even when they own a car.

      I don't think you understand. You see, here in the USA, mass transit is for poor people. Normal people don't want to be near poor people (they're yucky) or seem like they're poor (doesn't get you many chicks), so they don't take mass transit.

      Obviously if you own a car you aren't poor. So you can't possibly be taking mass transit, unless you're some kind of weirdo.

    4. Re:Privacy? by Kopiok · · Score: 1

      I believe tampering with the GPS tracking would be insurance fraud, which is also illegal. It's illegal either way.

    5. Re:Privacy? by Red+Flayer · · Score: 1

      Funny. I used to ride the train with Jim Cramer, back before he assumed the crazy "Mad Money" persona for his show. He wasn't hurting for cash when he still worked for GS.

      --
      "Trolls they were, but filled with the evil will of their master: a fell race..." -- J.R.R. Tolkien on Olog-hai
  5. how could it save... by MoFoQ · · Score: 4, Insightful

    just don't know how it can save "55 million tons of CO2 a year"....people who drive a little will continue to drive a little with this insurance or not.

    I hate it when they fudge numbers and try to draw a causation out of it.
    A chicken didn't lay an egg because there was a law passed that gave tax incentives to the chickens to lay eggs....

    I hate it even more when politicians take credit for something that has nothing to do with anything.

    1. Re:how could it save... by whoever57 · · Score: 1

      just don't know how it can save "55 million tons of CO2 a year"....people who drive a little will continue to drive a little with this insurance or not.

      The idea is to make insurance costs like gas costs. People are generally aware that driving more uses more gas, which costs more. Insurance is a bill, paid at verious intervals, which bears little relationship to the miles I drive. Yes, I might have told the insurance company that I drive 15k miles per year, but, with this insurance, I know that the 15 mile trip down the road will cost me a couple of dollars in gas and a couple of dollars in insurance, I might just reconsider. More importantly, I might consider structural changes in my driving patterns -- trying to share a ride to/from work.

      --
      The real "Libtards" are the Libertarians!
    2. Re:how could it save... by techno-vampire · · Score: 1
      I hate it even more when politicians take credit for something that has nothing to do with anything.

      If politicians stopped taking credit for things like that, most politicians would have nothing at all to their credit.

      --
      Good, inexpensive web hosting
    3. Re:how could it save... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You think this won't increase carpooling? I'd be more likely switch to carpooling. I might not switch, but I'd be more likely to.

    4. Re:how could it save... by Whorhay · · Score: 1

      Eh, I believe the estimated savings in pollution production were projected as a benefit of some people driving less. Those people they think would drive less because they would be more concious of their driving habits costing them more money and possibly cut back on the amount of driving they are doing. It's not that ludicrous of an idea.

      We don't know how our individual insurance rates would be affected by going to this plan. It's entirely possible that many of us would end up paying less for insurance than we do now, you know living the sedintary life in our parents basement...

      Seriously though if going to this plan saved me money on my insurance and I was confident that the data couldn't be used to infringe on my right to privacy I'd do it in a heart beat. The privacy implications are the only real flaw I see here.

      Some posters have pointed out that some people could actually end up being more dangerous drives, through lack of practice, in a system like this one. The obvious response to that is that the insurance companies would probably catch on rather quickly and find the median values in a wide variety of brackets and charge accordingly. They already seem to be fairly adept at this except in the cases where they don't lower rates because it would cut into the more profitable parts of their business.

    5. Re:how could it save... by PeanutButterBreath · · Score: 1

      just don't know how it can save "55 million tons of CO2 a year"....people who drive a little will continue to drive a little with this insurance or not.

      I drive so little that while $4/gallon gas was annoying it wasn't really an incentive to change my driving habits. I easily pay more for insurance a year than gas, and those hundreds of dollars in cost are more than annoying. If driving less meant that I could cut that cost down it would be an effective incentive to drive even less. I would still have a car for times when I truly need it, but I would cut down on small trips that I really could do on foot or by bike if the insurance savings justified the inconvenience.

    6. Re:how could it save... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Because its an incentive to drive less! The implication is that people will drive less if it costs them more to drive.

      I'm not saying it will work that way, but its pretty obvious that that is the law maker's intention.

    7. Re:how could it save... by TopSpin · · Score: 1

      people who drive a little will continue to drive a little with this insurance or not

      The CO2 savings is supposed to come from those who will subsequently drive less to save insurance cost. You didn't really miss that, did you?

      I'm all for this. Tax by the mile as well. I'd rather this green tyranny hit the broadest spectrum of voters than be amortized out sight by some federal level "cap and trade" scheme the common blockbuster patron will never encounter directly.

      Not that we won't end up with both. Enjoy saving the planet, or something.

      --
      Lurking at the bottom of the gravity well, getting old
    8. Re:how could it save... by Propaganda13 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Why don't we just add it to the gas prices then? gas price + sales tax + insurance + road tax
      We'll have insured cars driving on paid for roads that help pay for police and schools while reducing CO2

    9. Re:how could it save... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Because people aren't all equally likely to get into accidents. Some people are far worse drivers. The current situation accounts for this since the insurance carrier prices the policy with the policyholder's driving record taken into account. If insurance were part of the cost of gas, good drivers would subsidize the bad drivers.

      Also, because the costs of peoples' cars aren't the same. People that choose to drive a Ferrari around pay a lot higher insurance because they're increasing the overall exposure the insurance carrier has. If you add it to gas prices, everyone would pay the same amount regardless of the cost of the vehicle and people driving dirt-cheap cars would subsidize wealthier drivers.

      That doesn't mean we shouldn't heap more taxes onto gasoline to pay for roads, police and schools and reduce CO2. It just means that insurance should be kept separate to account for the fact that the amount it actually costs to insure someone varies depending on outside factors that can't be determined at the pump.

    10. Re:how could it save... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A chicken didn't lay an egg because there was a law passed that gave tax incentives to the chickens to lay eggs....

      Nope. The chicken lays more eggs because the farmer who got the tax incentives to make chickens lay more eggs can now afford artificial sunlight so that the chicken is laying eggs more often than had there not been any tax incentives to do so.

      (Sorry, my sister works in the industry as a vet tech. Had no choice but to be petulant about the error in your analogy.)

    11. Re:how could it save... by Ponga · · Score: 1

      That's actually not a bad idea! Only problem, if you want to call it that, is when we go to electric / efficient hybrid cars. Then what? If I have an electric car for example, I pay nothing and you pay for everything. If everyone has an electric car, nothing gets paid for. A more realistic approach would be for state motor vehicle departments to check the cars mileage once a year. Based on that mileage, your taxes are computed and the info is sent to your insurance company who charges you accordingly.

    12. Re:how could it save... by kramerd · · Score: 1

      Actually, the chicken egg incentives cause pharmaceuticals and farmers to produce chickens that lay more eggs.

      You have just ignored numbers and tried to hide causation.

      If anything, people who drive a little should save a ton of money with this type of insurance and will probably drive more, as insurance would no longer be overhead costs of car ownership. People who drive a significant amount are more likely to stick with drive all you want insurance, and drive all you want insurance companies will adjust their prices such that drive all you want insurance costs about the same as pay as you drive insurance for most people.

      I'm fairly certain the only one to lose here is the insurance purchaser.

    13. Re:how could it save... by CastrTroy · · Score: 1

      I don't think the frequency with which you drive says anything about how good of a driver you are. I realize that the plural of anecdote is not data, but from my experience, the amount of time one spends driving has very little to do with how good of a driver they are. Except when you go to the very low end, where somebody may only drive once every couple of months. I mean, driving for 1/2 an hour each week is way more than enough to keep your driving skills up.

      --

      Anthropic principle: We see the universe the way it is because if it were different we would not be here to see it.
    14. Re:how could it save... by j1mmy · · Score: 1

      they're not exactly fudging numbers

      the FHWA puts out numbers valuing travel in terms of dollars. they do this for travel time and mileage, for both passenger vehicles and commercial trucks. how they get these numbers is questionable, but it's basically a combination of the money people earn from their jobs versus the length/duration of their commute. there are also breakdowns for different types of trips (work, shopping, leisure) and the length of the trip itself (a short trip has a different valuation per mile than a long one).

      what the insurance people have done is to take these values and work them against the cost per mile of the variable-priced insurance policies and the average cost per mile of the fixed-price insurance policies. given some data on average trip lengths and distribution of trip purposes, you can build a monetization of travel under the two schemes.

      the carbon savings comes from people driving less due to the higher cost of insurance relative to their valuation of their travel. if you're paying more for insurance because you drive to the liquor barn every other night to pick up a fifth of whiskey, you might think twice about obtaining such libation. saves money on liquor, too.

      frankly, if this does go through in california and elsewhere, it could start to shift the USA away from suburbia hell back towards walkable town centers.

  6. Less driving = lower risk? by werdnapk · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Couldn't you say that a driver who drives less has less driver experience than somebody who drives more? Therefore the driver who drives less could be a higher risk?

    1. Re:Less driving = lower risk? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Driving ~100 miles a day myself, on the same routes mostly, I find that I've really slowed down a lot over the years, spending more time watching for areas I know can be potentially dangerous (certain intersections, areas where merging occurs, etc.)

      Furthermore, freeway driving is generally a lot safer and faster than city-street driving - so I would be inclined to stay on the freeway longer even if it isn't the shortest distance between two points.

    2. Re:Less driving = lower risk? by JoshuaZ · · Score: 1

      Less experience driving means for traveling a given distance there is a higher likelyhood of an accident. But if one is traveling a lot less, then the overall risk might still be lower. That's presumably what is going on here.

    3. Re:Less driving = lower risk? by drsmithy · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Couldn't you say that a driver who drives less has less driver experience than somebody who drives more?

      Certainly.

      Therefore the driver who drives less could be a higher risk?

      Not necessarily (and apparently not - unless you can think of a good reason why the insurance companies would lie in a way that would cost them more money by misclassifying risk).

      Remember, what an insurance company considers "risk" and what you (as a road user) consider "risk" are not the same thing. The insurance company is concerned about their profits. You are concerned about your life.

    4. Re:Less driving = lower risk? by eth1 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Cost them money? Not likely. Mark my words, they'll charge people that drive less the same that they pay now, and charge people that drive the most even more.

    5. Re:Less driving = lower risk? by zero0ne · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      mod parent up.

    6. Re:Less driving = lower risk? by falconwolf · · Score: 1

      Cost them money? Not likely. Mark my words, they'll charge people that drive less the same that they pay now, and charge people that drive the most even more.

      I don't know about where you live but some states limit how much insurance companies can charge for insurance. And with competition insurance issuers will compeat to offer coverage, which means better coverage and or lower costs. It'd be those who are higher risks who would pay more, but that's how it is now.

      Falcon

    7. Re:Less driving = lower risk? by aukset · · Score: 1

      Due to my job, I drive over a hundred miles a day on city streets every day that I work. I have special training in extremely defensive driving, and risk termination every day that I drive for what others would consider minor infractions (if the drive cam catches me not coming to a complete stop at a stop sign (or red light with lights and sirens going), I will lose my job). I am more experienced and better trained at city driving than most drivers, drive an over-sized vehicle, a highly visible vehicle, and yet I have an above average risk of being involved in an accident.

      Experience and training can only mitigate the risks so much, but time spent on the road multiplies that risk by the same amount per second whether you are a NASCAR driver or a 90 year old grandma.

      --
      No sig now
    8. Re:Less driving = lower risk? by Alastor187 · · Score: 1

      You are confusing risk with experience. Obviously, someone who drives more frequently will have more experience. However, regardless of experience or skill there are plenty of shitty drivers on the road. If you get into a accident, even if it is not your fault, it is still an accident and it costs the insurance companies money.

      From their point of view accidents cost them money, regardless of the skill of the drivers involved, and by reducing time spend driving the risk of getting into accident is also reduced.

      Certainly, a better driver will be able to avoid many dangerous situations, but there are some very poor drivers who could cause an accident with even the most diligent drivers.

      Bottom line the only guaranteed way to not get into a car accident is not to drive. If you drive you are exposed to the risk of an accident. You can mitigate the risk by being a better driver, but the more you drive the more risk you assume.

    9. Re:Less driving = lower risk? by wheeel · · Score: 1

      It's in an insurance company's best interest to keep their rates competitive. One of the ways to stay competitive is to lower the rates of people who are lower risk drivers and raise the rates of higher risk drivers. If I have two people who have the same driving ability and the same probability to get into an accident per mile, the person who drives more often than the other is a higher risk driver, even though they are at the same skill level in terms of driving ability. If they charge the same amount for drivers with the same accident per mile ratio, even though one drives 10x as often as the other, they're going to lose market share when other companies start offering a per mile rate structure. So they will lose their low risk drivers to a company who understands that they are a much lower risk, simply based on how much they drive. It's that way in many insurance situations, not just with auto insurance. I am an actuarial student who works in the health insurance field, but the same actuarial concepts are applied to virtually every insurance mechanism, including auto.

    10. Re:Less driving = lower risk? by Dan541 · · Score: 1

      I once when for 3 months without driving, first trip into town I suddenly could not park straight.

      Driving is not I life skill, you do lose it if you stop.
      You never forget HOW to drive, it's the skill that you lose.

      People who drive less have less experience and that's a major contributor to accidents.

      --
      An SQL query goes to a bar, walks up to a table and asks, "Mind if I join you?"
    11. Re:Less driving = lower risk? by sjames · · Score: 1

      Not necessarily. I used to drive hundreds of miles a day every day. I have plenty of experience. Now, I drive very little, but I still have that experience.

    12. Re:Less driving = lower risk? by pod · · Score: 1

      You are far too paranoid. If that were the case, there would be insurance companies that would start to lower their rates to attract more business, undermining the ones that are overcharging.

      Think of it like a natural monopoly buster. (The real reason monopolies would have a very hard time forming and sustaining without government enforcement of their existence.) If you have a monopoly or a cartel overcharging you while delivering crappy product, competing companies would spring up delivering same crappy product without overcharging you. Or delivering a superior product while charging the same. If there are wild profits being made, someone will step in ready and willing to make slightly less wild profits, and so on.

      The situation you describe is simply impossible, unless, again, the government steps in and keeps monopolies monopolizing.

      --
      "Hot lesbian witches! It's fucking genius!"
  7. The Most Interesting Man in the World by StikyPad · · Score: 4, Funny

    I don't drive very often, but when I do drive, I always have a case of Dos Equis with me.

    1. Re:The Most Interesting Man in the World by snspdaarf · · Score: 1

      Ah, but can you drive in France, in Russia?

      --
      Why, without your clothes, you're naked, Miss Dudley!
    2. Re:The Most Interesting Man in the World by oatworm · · Score: 2, Funny

      Drive thirsty, my friend.

  8. I'm not sure I agree by Nerdfest · · Score: 1

    People that drive less are less of an insurance risk? Perhaps as the time driven approaches zero ... but I would think people that drive well are way less of an insurance risk. This assumes of course that they only need to pay out when at fault. Shouldn't this at least be weighted by some sort of driving test that evaluated real-world conditions?

    1. Re:I'm not sure I agree by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      People that drive less are less of an insurance risk?

      Yes, that is true. If you are not driving the vehicle, the risk of an at-fault collision is pretty close to zero.

      If your car is parked at home, it is still at risk for theft and collisions caused by others, but the total risk drops significantly if no one is driving the car. So normally the more miles you drive the higher the insurance premium.

      but I would think people that drive well are way less of an insurance risk.

      True, but it is very hard to objectively measure driving skill, so the insurance industry uses proxies, like have you caused a collision, or do you have any traffic tickets.

    2. Re:I'm not sure I agree by Hope+Thelps · · Score: 1

      Shouldn't this at least be weighted by some sort of driving test that evaluated real-world conditions?

      No. It should be (and almost certainly is) weighted by statistical analysis of actual insurance payouts.

      --
      To summarise the summary of the summary: people are a problem. ~ h2g2
    3. Re:I'm not sure I agree by floodo1 · · Score: 1

      The fact that they use tickets is pretty retarded. Its supposed to be an indicator that you're more likely to get in accidents, but what if you just get dozens of speeding tickets but actually get in no accidents?

      Personally my insurance is expensive because I get about 1.5 speeding tickets per year, but haven't been in a speed related accident in over a decade, and I haven't been in an at fault accident in the same period of time. I understand charging people more when they cost the company more but people getting tickets in no way actually effects them, other than to be used as an excuse to raise people's rates and fund the traffic school industry.

      --
      I KUT J00 M4NG!!!
    4. Re:I'm not sure I agree by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How do you judge if someone is a good driver? Do you test them, then raise the cost of insurance to cover the cost of testing and also end up with false information because the person drove a hell of a lot better than they normally would because they were being tested by their insurance company and the results can make a big difference in their insurance costs?

      There is no real reliable way to determine if someone is a good driver other than how many accidents they were in and you are much more likely to be in an accident the more you drive. It's not even a case of how good you are. When driving you have to deal with other bad drivers, car faults, road conditions, etc. The more you drive the more you are likely to run into one of these things that can cause an accident.

      So charging people by how much the drive is fair. Certainly more so than charging people more just because of their age or their gender.

    5. Re:I'm not sure I agree by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In other words, you _have_ been in speed-related accident(s) more than 10 years ago, AND you _have_ been in accidents you don't consider to be speed-related or consider to be your fault more recently. Still, you continue to speed and continue to get speeding tickets. Yep, your insurance is expensive for good reason. As it should be!

    6. Re:I'm not sure I agree by kpainter · · Score: 1

      People that drive less are less of an insurance risk?
      Yes, that is true...
      but I would think people that drive well are way less of an insurance risk.
      True, but it is very hard to objectively measure driving skill...

      So, by that logic, if I had the choice of flying on an airline with a pilot that has 10,000 hours is by far worse than if I were to fly on one where the pilot has say 100 hours?

    7. Re:I'm not sure I agree by plague3106 · · Score: 1

      Um, how is it weighted by relevent statics if the insurance company currently doesn't know the miles driven? Thats the thing, they say it will reduce accidents, but they don't know that people that drive more are more of a risk... it sounds like it'd be obvious, but at one time it was also obvious the earth was flat.

    8. Re:I'm not sure I agree by Nerdfest · · Score: 1
      When driving you have to deal with other bad drivers, car faults, road conditions, etc.

      I consider this part of being a good driver. Want a good way of teaching people to be good drivers? Make them drive a motorcycle for a couple of years.

    9. Re:I'm not sure I agree by Hope+Thelps · · Score: 2, Informative

      Um, how is it weighted by relevent statics if the insurance company currently doesn't know the miles driven?

      I don't follow you. My insurer knows how many miles I drive per annum (well, within a bracket) because I fill in the details on my insurance renewal every year. I imagine they perform at least some checking up on at least some people who get in accidents so as to make sure that the information is at least broadly true.

      --
      To summarise the summary of the summary: people are a problem. ~ h2g2
    10. Re:I'm not sure I agree by Whorhay · · Score: 1

      It's a statistical thing. Just because you have not been in or caused any accidents where speeding was a factor does not mean that you aren't at higher risk of being in such an accident. It just means you haven't yet been in such an accident.

      The insurance companies group and lump people together according to demographics and such. It isn't always fair or done scientifically. But it's done for one reason, profit. If they don't charge people enough then they can't cover their expenses. They try and find a median where they don't charge so much that they lose customers but they still want to maximize profits. If charging people like you as they do was really as undeserved as you seem to think then they'd lose customer share and start charging less, because people that fit your profile would leave for another insurance company.

      You might argue though that the large companies effectively co-operate and fix the prices, to which I would suggest you see if you can't get insured through a company like USAA.

    11. Re:I'm not sure I agree by Random+Destruction · · Score: 1

      Logic. You fail at it.

      You're talking about the risk of a single trip with two people of different experience levels. This discussion is about the yearly risk of different groups. Sure Mr. 100 hours has less experience, but he also flies/drives/whatever 100 times less. Even if he is TEN TIMES more likely to get in an accident on any given trip, he takes 100 times less trips, making him ten times LESS likely to be in an accident over the course of a year. The road is a dangerous place. The garage isn't.

      --
      :x
    12. Re:I'm not sure I agree by Whorhay · · Score: 1

      No, it's like saying that a pilot that flies 10,000 hours in a year is probably more dangerous to ride with than one that does 100 hours a year.

      It is no doubt possible that some people will cut back so extremely on their driving that their skills will completely erode. And the next time they take to the rode they will cause a huge pile up. And then the insurance companies will catch on and incorporate driving extremely few miles as a risk factor. Yes the system could be a total failure if all they did was rate people on the miles they drive. But that's not what will happen or what's being proposed. The plan is to use a persons mileage as another more direct factor in charging for their insurance.

      A friend of my father's had a huge twelve passenger van that he only insured when he needed it. He'd get it insured for a few days at a time for big projects when he needed to haul stuff or take family vacations. Otherwise it sat in his barn and threatened nobody. This is essentially a micro level plan to do the same kind of thing.

    13. Re:I'm not sure I agree by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I would say that it's in an indicator you're more likely... not an indicator that you will definitely.

      Personally my insurance is fairly expensive because it's a sports car. I get a ticket every few years, have no accidents at all in 10 years. I've been in 3 accidents over 24 years of driving, none of which I was at fault, and my insurance has never had to pay for any of them. One of which my car was parked in my driveway, a good 25+ feet away from the street, and got hit by a drunk driver who jumped the curb, drove over my neighbors and my lawns and hit my car. I also drive very little in the past 10 years or so, with 0.0 miles to the office.

      The fact that you say you haven't been in an at fault accident in the past 10 years, would seem to indicate that:
      1) You have been at fault prior.
      2) You often speed, so when you do get into an accident, the damages will likely be higher as well.
      3) You disregard at least one traffic law (speed), so you are more likely to disregard other traffic laws as well (as compared to someone who never receives traffic tickets), which also increases your risk of an accident.

    14. Re:I'm not sure I agree by floodo1 · · Score: 1

      How can you leave for another insurance company when they all do this? Additionally you say that if they dont charge enough they can't cover expenses, but both before and after this you talk about their profits and maximizing them. I suspect that profits are more of the motivating factor than expenses, but thanks for the advice on USAA...I'll look into it.

      --
      I KUT J00 M4NG!!!
    15. Re:I'm not sure I agree by floodo1 · · Score: 1

      10 yrs ago (my only speed related accident, which was only because I tried to take a corner under the speed limit but too fast for the corner) was my 1st year driving. The other accidents can't be considered speed related when 1) I was stopped 2) I was in a pack that had just taken off from a stop light going about 30mph in a 40mph (ie NO ONE considers them speed-related) 3) in cases 1 & 2 the INSURANCE company assigned me no blame.

      But thanks for using your AC insight, to speculate wildly.

      --
      I KUT J00 M4NG!!!
    16. Re:I'm not sure I agree by plague3106 · · Score: 1

      What insurance do you have? I've never had to fill in anything.... everytime my policy is up for renewal, I'm only sent a bill. I have to do nothing but send in a check. And if you're not in an accident, how would they even know if you're telling the truth?

      If you're going to claim that they get the milage from DMV registration renewal, then why do they need GPS devices installed?

  9. Not just privacy concerns by geekoid · · Score: 4, Interesting

    but it lacks any practicality fo California.

    All this will do is make insurance unaffordable to low income families that have toi drive due to the distance they must commute. Meaning more uninsured motorists.

    They al ready take it into account some what, and that's enough.

    This is just attempt to squeeze another dime out of people who must have this service.

    Quite frankly, if the Government is going to mandate insurance, then it should also offer a base insurance program, at cost.
    Just one that covers the minimum insurance levels. If you want more, then you can buy more from an insurance company.

    --
    The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    1. Re:Not just privacy concerns by ceoyoyo · · Score: 2, Interesting

      They do that here in Quebec. A level of liability insurance is provided by the province and is bundled into your car registration fee. I think some of it is also built into your drivers license fee, which is interesting, because it means you effectively pay a base insurance premium to have a drivers license, and a higher premium if you also have a car of your own.

    2. Re:Not just privacy concerns by rolfwind · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      Quite frankly, if the Government is going to mandate insurance, then it should also offer a base insurance program, at cost.

      The government can and should mandate insurance on PUBLIC roads.

      But to make travel affordable, it should have more public transit.

    3. Re:Not just privacy concerns by tilandal · · Score: 1

      Don't be absurd man! If the government offered insurance to people at cost then it would be cheaper then any private insurance company. Soon Big Government insurance will drive all the other insurance companies out of business!

      Really! I mean it!

      Please just ignore all the money insurance lobbyists are paying me.

      Please....

    4. Re:Not just privacy concerns by Ichijo · · Score: 1

      All this will do is make insurance unaffordable to low income families that have toi drive due to the distance they must commute. Meaning more uninsured motorists.

      No, only those families who continue to drive more than the average will have higher insurance premiums than they do today. Those who drive less than the average will automatically have lower premiums, and those who drive the average will modify their behavior to take advantage of this new incentive by driving less.

      In the end, most people will pay less for insurance under the new plan.

      --
      Any sufficiently unpopular but cohesive argument is indistinguishable from trolling.
    5. Re:Not just privacy concerns by dlevitan · · Score: 1

      Quite frankly, if the Government is going to mandate insurance, then it should also offer a base insurance program, at cost.
      Just one that covers the minimum insurance levels. If you want more, then you can buy more from an insurance company.

      No, please no. Or at least, raise the insurance requirements in California first. The current requirements are 15/30/5 (one person injury/more than one person injury/property damage). In today's world, that covers nothing. In a serious accident, today's average car won't be paid for with that, nor will anyone's medical expenses be covered. With government provided insurance, we'd have even fewer people having higher coverage limits. They don't need to be 100/300/100 (like I have), but they need to be much higher than the current requirements. Liability coverage isn't that expensive is you're a good driver, and if you're not a good driver, you shouldn't be on the road.

    6. Re:Not just privacy concerns by geekoid · · Score: 1

      Why? If you and I are in an accident, it's a civil matter. Possible a legal matter, but always a civil matter.

      Public transit isn't affordable. I ahve yet to see any transit system on the west coast that's practical and affordable.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    7. Re:Not just privacy concerns by geekoid · · Score: 1

      haha, no.

      First off, many people only drive what the have to.
      Second, 'average' doesn't mean half.
      Third, poor often have to drive more becasue they can't afford to live where they work. Which is my real point.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    8. Re:Not just privacy concerns by smellsofbikes · · Score: 1
      >if the Government is going to mandate insurance, then it should also offer a base insurance program, at cost.
      >Just one that covers the minimum insurance levels. If you want more, then you can buy more from an insurance company.

      .

      Almost nobody wants more insurance. In fact, almost nobody except for people who drive late-model expensive cars want *any* insurance. You buy insurance on behalf of the people you don't think you're ever going to hit, which is why the government requires it. If they didn't, nobody would get insurance. I remember the 1970's, where (in the area I live) the majority of accidents had at least one, and roughly a quarter of the time both, drivers uninsured. That meant subsequent lawsuits and oftentimes lousy post-emergency room medical care.

      I think requiring insurance, and not offering a base insurance program, is seen as a way of keeping lousy drivers off the road: they can't get insurance any more. Of course, the alternate version of that is you have people driving without insurance because they can't get insurance, and that's right back into the bad old days. But at least it's illegal and they know it, so it might reduce the incidence somewhat.

      --
      Nostalgia's not what it used to be.
    9. Re:Not just privacy concerns by mzs · · Score: 1

      If you live and work in certain areas BART is very good in the bay area and the light rail system equally so in LA under the same circumstances. You have to consider not having any of the costs for the car you no longer own into your affordability calculation.

    10. Re:Not just privacy concerns by Ichijo · · Score: 1

      First off, many people only drive what the have to.

      As a bicyclist, I know this to be false. Most people drive more than they have to. They just choose to drive because it takes less effort than the alternatives.

      Second, 'average' doesn't mean half.

      Which average, the arithmetic mean or the median?

      Third, poor often have to drive more becasue they can't afford to live where they work.

      See my first point above. Also, many people, even the poor, can afford to live closer to where they work, they just choose not to in order to be able to afford a larger living space.

      --
      Any sufficiently unpopular but cohesive argument is indistinguishable from trolling.
    11. Re:Not just privacy concerns by tftp · · Score: 1

      You have to consider not having any of the costs for the car you no longer own into your affordability calculation.

      While you may use public transit for most of your trips, try to go grocery shopping with nothing but your hands. Or buy some bulky package, say a few bags of potting soil at Home Depot. You can't get them home without a car. This means that you do 90% of your travel on public transit *and* you still need to own a car. Since public transit costs more than gas on most trips, you will be losing money and at the same time inconveniencing yourself. There are limited cases when you want to take public transit even if you have a car; for example you can park in Fremont and take BART to SF. But in most cases (about 10-20 miles one way) a car will be more practical.

      I own a home and a car, and people keep telling me that I must also go and buy a truck because of physically large cargo that I need to get to and from home occasionally, like wood or pipes, or even an office chair. So far I resist because I dislike trucks in general and I don't want to spend money on something I rarely need. But when I do need it I have to ask other people or go through the trouble of renting a truck for a few hours.

      There are definitely people who don't buy anything, don't own a home, and don't have a family. For them public transit may be fine. BTW, there are several names for those people - "students" or "homeless" :-)

    12. Re:Not just privacy concerns by Amazing+Quantum+Man · · Score: 1

      the light rail system equally so in LA under the same circumstances

      For very limited sets of circumstances. All public transit in LA is based on the fallacious assumption that everyone wants to go downtown, especially the rail system.

      Want to go from the Valley to the Westside? Go downtown first. In other words, go 35 miles out of your way.

      I used to live 1/2 mile from a Metrolink stop, and work 1/2 mile from another stop, but I couldn't take the train because it only ran "inbound" (into downtown) in the mornings, and "outbound" in the evenings, and my work was in the opposite direction.

      The light rail system in LA sucks. Period.

      --
      Fascism starts when the efficiency of the government becomes more important than the rights of the people.
    13. Re:Not just privacy concerns by Ichijo · · Score: 1

      try to go grocery shopping with nothing but your hands.

      The answer is a shopping cart. There's also carsharing.

      Since public transit costs more than gas on most trips, you will be losing money and at the same time inconveniencing yourself.

      Gas is only a small part of the cost of driving. There's also depreciation, interest on the loan, insurance, maintenance, registration, parking, and so on.

      --
      Any sufficiently unpopular but cohesive argument is indistinguishable from trolling.
    14. Re:Not just privacy concerns by gordyf · · Score: 1

      I live in Seattle without a car, and Zipcar fills the needs you cite. I'm not sure how their coverage is in your area, but it's worth a look.

    15. Re:Not just privacy concerns by tftp · · Score: 1

      Gas is only a small part of the cost of driving.

      Depends on distance; but I mentioned it only because gas is the only thing you need to buy for your existing car instead of bus fare. If you own a car you have to pay all the other costs anyway, and IMO it's hard to not own a car.

      With regard to the shopping cart - fine, as long as you live near all stores that you typically visit. I personally don't - the nearest Safeway is about 3 miles away horizontally and about 1,300 feet vertically. Car sharing? Also fine, if you like it. To me, asking permission to go somewhere is not something I'd enjoy.

    16. Re:Not just privacy concerns by tftp · · Score: 1

      I could be willing to sign up just to be able to have access to a truck for a few hours per month, if that often even. But the nearest city that has Zipcars is San Francisco, a good distance away from where I live.

      I checked, and Enterprise offers a pickup truck for $69 per day, firm price. Zipcar, were it available, asks "from" $69 (who knows what the final price is,) and you pay yearly fee and sign-up fee. All in all, I'd say Zipcar is nevertheless competitively priced, but it doesn't seem to be any cheaper and doesn't appear to have much of an advantage over your typical car rental place. Zipcar's own price comparison has to use a contrived $25 surcharge (for being in 21-25 age - not something that I need to think about) otherwise they lose.

      From what I read on their Web site, they have only one important feature that a classical rental place doesn't have: they offer hourly rentals. If you don't have a car (or your car is of wrong type for the job) and need one then Zipcar would be a good option: hourly rent of a truck for a couple of hours will cost me probably less than a daily rent. Unfortunately Zipcar is tight-lipped about their real prices on specific cars, they only advertise "from" $9.25/hr and that is probably the cheapest car they have.

    17. Re:Not just privacy concerns by falconwolf · · Score: 1

      You buy insurance on behalf of the people you don't think you're ever going to hit, which is why the government requires it.

      I don't know how it is where you live but everywhere I lived, and owned a vehicle, personal injury protection, PIP, was required. In other words in the case of an accident the car owner's insurance has to pay the medical bills of those in the car. No matter who's at fault. I was once hit while riding my bike and rushed to the hospital. Did the driver who hit me, he cut me off and made a turn right in front of me, pay my medical bills? No, my auto insurance did, even though I was riding my bike not driving my car. I didn't even know that until my insurance company told me they paid.

      Falcon

    18. Re:Not just privacy concerns by gordyf · · Score: 1

      If Zipcar has coverage in a city, then the cars are scattered around the city, so you don't have to go to very far to get one. For example, there is a car within walking distance of my apartment, and one near my workplace. You choose and schedule the car online, then walk to it and unlock it with your RFID card. The system is completely automated. You don't pay extra for fuel, mileage or insurance, and you can rent a car for any increment of time rather than entire days. Those are the advantages of Zipcar over a traditional rental company.

      On the other hand, the prices that they list are slightly misleading because they don't include taxes. If you're getting a car for more than one day, it's probably cheaper to use a traditional rental company. Going to Costco makes far more sense with a Zipcar, though, so it satisfies my needs.

    19. Re:Not just privacy concerns by mzs · · Score: 1

      I lived for 5 years in the south side of Chicago without a car. A baby stroller worked great for when there was too much to carry for groceries but usually two or three of us would walk by the grocery store and then we could carry back the bags we brought with us now filled with groceries easily enough. When I needed to move larger items I had a friend who had a car. I was never homeless during that time, but I was a student for part of it :)

    20. Re:Not just privacy concerns by tftp · · Score: 1

      I also didn't have a car when I was a student - because I could not afford anything beyond a bicycle. I was able to buy a small car only several years after graduation.

      usually two or three of us would walk by the grocery store

      Maybe you are talking about US custom where students live together in a university-provided dormitory, but when I attended a university I was comfortably living at home (30 min. by electric train.) When I had to go to a store I carried bags in my hands, and I had no helpers. It would be beyond ridiculous to use a baby stroller :-) I remember the day when I bought a washing machine, it had some small wheels underneath, and I was pushing it all the way home, almost a mile :-) The wheels were made well, they didn't wear at all.

    21. Re:Not just privacy concerns by Deliveranc3 · · Score: 1

      Perhaps it will create an incentive for an efficient car pooling or bus system.

      Nothing we've tried yet has encouraged people to work together in this area.

      Then if people had anything INTERESTING to say it would be good, they'll probably just talk about the weather ("No existentialist, politics, business, philanthropy, philosophy, arts, or other meaningful talk... it's impolite!") and hate each other thinking that they have nothing in common with these poor bastards who can't afford cars! It would also allow the less wealthy (people who can't afford chaufeurs) to read or do something else useful during their commutes, while paying a nominal fee to someone to drive.

      I think this system is ridiculous. Much more expensive to implement than it'll ever save anyone. However encouraging car pooling is a good idea, I think we should make it men only... nothing is harder on a good man than a scared woman. They get increasingly jumpy the more different they think you are, there's not much risk if you have the vehicle licence #... pretty difficult to register one of those illicitly, much harder than jumping a random person in an alley.

    22. Re:Not just privacy concerns by CastrTroy · · Score: 1

      My family of 4 doesn't own a car. We use public transit to get around. I ride my bike to get to work and back. Granted I don't think this is for everyone, but it's definitely possible, and not as bad as you might think. Grocery stores deliver. We do this about once every 3 weeks to deliver all the heavy stuff, and pick up produce and meat every weekend by bus. Bring a backpack and it's easy to carry it home. Grocery store will deliver anything you buy from them, including the potting soil. Like I said. Doesn't work for everybody, but if you can get it to work for you, you can save a ton of money. Money you can spend on other things, like a nicer house, or electronics, or nice vacations, or whatever else you like to spend money on.

      --

      Anthropic principle: We see the universe the way it is because if it were different we would not be here to see it.
    23. Re:Not just privacy concerns by CastrTroy · · Score: 1

      Granted, if government covered medical insurance, then the only thing auto insurance would have to cover was property.

      --

      Anthropic principle: We see the universe the way it is because if it were different we would not be here to see it.
    24. Re:Not just privacy concerns by dryeo · · Score: 1

      Here in BC we also have compulsive insurance with the Government selling it. Basically you have to buy basic insurance from the government insurance corp, ICBC and can buy extra insurance from private companies or ICBC.
      The price of insurance seems good compared to other areas that are similar, is fairly stable, usually going up at or slower then inflation, even occasionally sending out rebate cheques when their profits were too large. They are non-discriminatory except against new drivers and most important have got rid of a lot of litigation where 2 insurance companies fight it out in court to make the other one pay.

      --
      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inverted_totalitarianism
    25. Re:Not just privacy concerns by dryeo · · Score: 1

      What do you mean by 15/30/5, thousands of dollars? Even your 100/300/100 seems very low in thousands.
      Here in BC where we do have compulsive government insurance the minimum last time I checked (about 25 years ago) was $100,000 and it was cheap to upgrade that to a million. Put someone into a wheelchair and even a million doesn't go far, even with socialized medical.

      --
      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inverted_totalitarianism
    26. Re:Not just privacy concerns by dryeo · · Score: 1

      Put someone in a wheel chair, sure the government (here in Canada) will pay the hospital bills. Still the auto insurance pays for a nice wheel chair. Time while not working, people to come in and help, perhaps retraining and I'm sure quite a bit more. At least with enough coverage.

      --
      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inverted_totalitarianism
    27. Re:Not just privacy concerns by CodeBuster · · Score: 1

      Meaning more uninsured motorists.

      The myriad of anti-business laws in California, including insurance laws, already results in a very high number of uninsured motorists driving around this state. These are the cash-only no-credit people (frequently illegal aliens) who buy some $300 beater car and just drive it until it quits with no insurance and no drivers license. They don't care if the car gets impounded for no insurance, they just go find another junk car and drive that instead. These people don't give a damn about our laws, so those of us who have credit, a mortgage, and actually have some skin the in the game have to pay more for our insurance for the "uninsured motorist protection" (i.e. our insurance company pays medical or disability and gets the car fixed or totaled out even though they will have essentially no recourse and never be able to track down the uninsured party to collect the debt). If the goal of California legislators is to expand the illegal underclass, increase the level of crime in this state, and reduce the amount of business then they certainly are doing a fine job.

  10. insurance at the gas pump by hypethetica · · Score: 5, Interesting

    I'd always thought it would be a neat idea to roll auto insurance in at the gas pump. No more uninsured drivers, plus it would be an incentive to reduce driving. obviously LOTS of holes in the plan, but it would eliminate the big brother aspect of this proposal.

    1. Re:insurance at the gas pump by plague3106 · · Score: 1

      Awesome! With this idea i'll be able to afford the $100,000 Tesla Roadster, because someone with a beater will be paying for me.

    2. Re:insurance at the gas pump by YrWrstNtmr · · Score: 1

      On the surface, that sounds good. But how do you differentiate between drivers and their rates? Should a driver with a 20 year perfect record pay the same as a 19 year old with 4 speeding tickets and 2 serious accidents? Or differentiating between different cars. A VW Beetle vs a Mustang Cobra. Same insurance rate at the pump?

    3. Re:insurance at the gas pump by blahplusplus · · Score: 2, Insightful

      "but it would eliminate the big brother aspect of this proposal."

      It wouldn't, you'd just replace one big brother (government) with another (corporation) it amazes me that americans think private corporations have their best interests at heart, ever looked at the kind of security and monitoring equipment in many modern businesses? The analyze everything about you're shopping for instance.

      Quite frankly there is no privacy once you walk into a corporate building or store for instance.

    4. Re:insurance at the gas pump by johanatan · · Score: 1

      Easy. Give everyone insurance ID cards which must be scanned to purchase gas. Then, the computer system at the pump can introduce coefficients based on a backend database of IDs and their rates.

    5. Re:insurance at the gas pump by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Americans get really fussy when the price of petrol goes up, whether or not they get to stop paying for insurance, I think you'll find people freaking when petrol prices go up to cover insurance and jump year to year (potentially) to cover more bad drivers. Otherwise, it's a good idea.

    6. Re:insurance at the gas pump by geekoid · · Score: 1

      the difference between what you dirve not and buying 100,000 electric car with a 100 mile range is the insurance? really?

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    7. Re:insurance at the gas pump by geekoid · · Score: 0

      "Should a driver with a 20 year perfect record pay the same as a 19 year old with 4 speeding tickets and 2 serious accidents? "

      yes.

      "Or differentiating between different cars. A VW Beetle vs a Mustang Cobra. Same insurance rate at the pump?"

      Sure.

      Maybe the real answer is a better licensing program.

      In the first case, revoke the licenses of the 19 year old for 2 years.
      In the second require people to get a drivers license with a 'sports car' rating for the driver of the Cobra. I think this should happen anyways, but that's a different issue.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    8. Re:insurance at the gas pump by mzs · · Score: 2, Funny

      Somehow grandma ends-up buy incredible amounts of fuel then.

    9. Re:insurance at the gas pump by YrWrstNtmr · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Give everyone insurance ID cards which must be scanned to purchase gas. Then, the computer system at the pump can introduce coefficients based on a backend database of IDs and their rates.

      You've just introduced location based tracking, whether you pay by card or cash.
      Big brother indeed.

    10. Re:insurance at the gas pump by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Lower gas prices for safer drivers?

    11. Re:insurance at the gas pump by YrWrstNtmr · · Score: 1

      "Should a driver with a 20 year perfect record pay the same as a 19 year old with 4 speeding tickets and 2 serious accidents? "

      yes.

      The 19 yr old is demonstrably more of a liability to the insurance company than the older person. Why should they be charged the same?
      (Yes, I agree that this particular fictional 19 year old should have his license removed, but that's a different discussion.)

    12. Re:insurance at the gas pump by Whorhay · · Score: 1

      On the subject of needing a sports car driver's license.

      In my experience the sports cars I have owned have been safer and easier to drive than most sedans. Granted my experience is purely anecdotal and I've never had a powerful sports car.

      I think that earning a drivers license should be a much more difficult or at least prolonged experience. Where a road test is augmented by defensive driving courses and the like. And possibly requiring retesting if you change your vehicle to one in a different category then you have previously tested.

    13. Re:insurance at the gas pump by Duradin · · Score: 1

      That'd be a great time to get into making your own bio-diesel or alcohol fuels.

    14. Re:insurance at the gas pump by falconwolf · · Score: 1

      Easy. Give everyone insurance ID cards which must be scanned to purchase gas. Then, the computer system at the pump can introduce coefficients based on a backend database of IDs and their rates.

      Big brother?

      Falcon

    15. Re:insurance at the gas pump by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The same thing happens with free healthcare and that, more or less works.

      If everyone pays a decent average then it won't matter.

      Yes it is unfair to those who are poor but so is the tobacco tax that supposedly covers health costs but in reality goes towards other things completely unrelated to healthcare. Fact is a lot of smokers are poor and they're funding things they may or may not even need.

    16. Re:insurance at the gas pump by noidentity · · Score: 1

      I'd always thought it would be a neat idea to roll auto insurance in at the gas pump. No more uninsured drivers, plus it would be an incentive to reduce driving.

      It would be great for ensuring people against damage I do with my push lawn mower sometimes. Currently they have to pay out of their pocket!

    17. Re:insurance at the gas pump by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Easy. Give everyone insurance ID cards which must be scanned to purchase gas. Then, the computer system at the pump can introduce coefficients based on a backend database of IDs and their rates.

      which is bullshit, because you don't need insurance to operate a lawn mower, so why should i have to scan an ID to purchase gasoline?

    18. Re:insurance at the gas pump by plague3106 · · Score: 1

      Possibley. But with insurance paid via gasoline taxes, I sure can be a lot more reckless because even though my car is more expensive, I'm not paying for the insurance at all... those chumps buying gas would be.

      And yes, in all seriousness, there are people that COULD afford a fancier car, but the ONGOING higher insurance premiums make that a deal breaker. I guess you've never heard of TCO?

  11. I don't get it by mcgrew · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Insurance companies already charge more if you drive more; all of them that I know of ask how much you drive. I actually started to RTFA, but there's little to no explanation of what the "pay as you go" does, and as I don't live in California it's not likely to affect me unless it's adopted by other states.

    Can anybody clarify for me?

    1. Re:I don't get it by garcia · · Score: 1

      The difference is a few dollars at most so unless this really changes the pricing structure (it won't unless mandatory caps are set, which won't happen) then this is nothing but political fluff.

      BTW, I saved $12 a year by telling them that we drive less than 20 miles weekly. I am now at the lowest cost insurance for my age bracket and insurance coverage. A whole $12, wow.

    2. Re:I don't get it by Talennor · · Score: 1

      I know! Personally my rates are pretty low since I drive only once or twice a week. I'm under the impression that they verify with the DMV here (we have yearly emissions inspections that also verify odometer readings) that the car is only traveling my self-rated low mileage per year.

      --

      //TODO: signature
    3. Re:I don't get it by Al+Dimond · · Score: 1

      I've never been asked about my yearly driving mileage for a car insurance quote. Given how little I drive I might be able to save money if I found an insurer that adjusted my rates based on that. According to TFA most people's insurance rates don't take into account how much they drive.

      The big story is that the state of California wants to mandate pay-as-you-drive. A justification for this might be that people that don't drive much are subsidizing insurance for people that drive a lot, making it falsely economical, with regards to total risk caused, to drive a lot. And California wants to eliminate that. In theory, since the overall risk of accidents remains the same, the total amount of money paid in insurance premiums shouldn't change initially (as long as the market for insurance is perfectly competitive), but as people adjust to the new incentives they'll tend to drive somewhat less.

    4. Re:I don't get it by subterfuge · · Score: 1

      Can anybody clarify for me?

      To clarify: this has nothing to do with PAYG vs risk - it is a simple mileage tax generated by the Cult of Global Warming so more of your $ can be extracted from you and sacrificed on the alter of Gaia.

      No further explanation necessary.

      = : ^ \ >

    5. Re:I don't get it by pesho · · Score: 1

      It is not just how much you drive.

      I participated in a survey by an insurance company to test the feasibility of all this. They used a device connected to the OBD II port, that collected a lot more data than just the miles driven. They logged every trip for duration, distance and continuously recorded speed, acceleration and braking rates.

      The device didn't have a GPS so they didn't know where I was driving. I understand in Texas some insurance companies also did trials with GPS enabled devices.

      So they can apply really fine grained risk assessment, based on how you drive, where you drive what tome of the day you drive, etc. On the other hand they can use every single bit of data to jack up your rate - you don't brake smooth enough - 5% penalty, you press the pedal to the metal - 10%, you drive on the 404 - 30%, you do all this between 4 and 6pm - another 20%.

    6. Re:I don't get it by TheSync · · Score: 1

      Can anybody clarify for me?

      It is all very clear, just Amend Title 10, California Code of Regulations, Chapter 5, Subchapter 4.7, Section 2632.5 to read as follows.

      (Will someone mod this funny?)

    7. Re:I don't get it by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      To see the difference you practically have to drive commercially. They ask me the same questions, but whether I tell them a thousand miles a month or ten miles a month, I get charged the same. I even got charged the same when I moved and decided to just garage my car and bike everywhere for the summer, and I ended up just canceling the insurance, because it wasn't worth paying for the off-chance I might need my car one day. Sure, it's more if you're a road warrior, and less if you have a collector's plate, but other than that, you never see a difference.

    8. Re:I don't get it by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Pay as you drive basically allows insurance companies to accurately measure and charge you premium only for the amount you drive (usually through a component attached to your OBD port). This is almost guaranteed to come into every other state because it's advantageous to insurance companies, and to good drivers who don't drive a lot.

      As it gets rolled out, you may see your premium go up if you don't use the plan. This will be because the good drivers who are subsidizing each annual mileage group with see a price decrease when they switch. Once they switch, the group they left will require a price increase in order to maintain profitability.

  12. But that is nonsensical! by Gonoff · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Sunday drivers have got to be the most dangerous people on the road.

    Someone who drives 100K miles a year is going to have a lot more miles between accidents than someone who does 5K.

    --
    I'll see your Constitution and raise you a Queen.
    1. Re:But that is nonsensical! by mcgrew · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The insurance company doesn't care how many miles you drive between accidents, it cares about how many accidents you have between years.

    2. Re:But that is nonsensical! by ceoyoyo · · Score: 1

      Close but not quite.

      The insurance company doesn't care how many miles you drive between accidents, it cares about how many accidents you have between premiums.

    3. Re:But that is nonsensical! by Gonoff · · Score: 1

      That is what I am getting at. 1 day of insurance for a 5k/year driver should be far higher than 1 day for a 100k/year one because of the difference in experience.

      --
      I'll see your Constitution and raise you a Queen.
    4. Re:But that is nonsensical! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Makes sense for liability insurance, not so much for collision insurance (since collision covers more than just your own ability).

    5. Re:But that is nonsensical! by Al+Dimond · · Score: 1

      No. One day of insurance for a 100k/year driver covers on average 20 times as much driving as for a 5k/year driver. Maybe one mile of insurance should cost a bit less for a 100k/yr driver, but not a lot -- once you've been driving for several years you aren't gaining skills proportional to those extra miles.

    6. Re:But that is nonsensical! by Al+Dimond · · Score: 1

      I should also mention that I haven't read the details of any pay-as-you-go insurance plans, but I'd be shocked if the math didn't work out so that 5k/yr drivers pay significantly more per mile, but significantly less per year than 100k/yr drivers. As has been mentioned many times, there are fixed time-dependent risks to car ownership and, presumably, lower accident risk per mile for heavier drivers (for a variety of reasons). Private insurers still set the rates and would be stupid to set them disproportionately.

      It wouldn't surprise me if, all things being equal (driver experience and record, car make, model, home location, color, etc), a 5k/yr driver paid 5 times as much per mile and a quarter as much per year as a 100k/yr driver.

    7. Re:But that is nonsensical! by glennpratt · · Score: 1

      Only if the 5k/year driver purchases insurance on a daily basis.

      A better solution would mean 1 mile of insurance for the 5/k year driver is more expensive then 1/mile for the 100k/year driver. The 5k driver pays less overall but more per mile.

      Wait, what do you know, that's exactly what we're talking about. High mileage drivers can pay for unlimited policies, low mileage drivers can pay by the mile and with some competition, I'm sure there will be in-between options.

    8. Re:But that is nonsensical! by ceoyoyo · · Score: 1

      One thing insurance companies are VERY good at is statistics. Contrary to your instinct, it seems that experience does not count for as much as you think.

      The more experienced driver, on average, is more likely to be, on average, responsible for more value in insurance claims in the 275 km he drives in an average day than the less experienced driver is likely to be responsible for in the average 14 km he drives.

      Presumably it doesn't work out that simply. I'm sure they've already got some big tables with different risk categories. Perhaps if you only drive a couple of times a year your yearly premium will be higher than it would be if you average the same distance but more frequently. Or there may be an inverted bell curve of premiums, where the high and low pay more and the sweet spot in the middle less.

      Insurance companies are a lot of things, but bad at math isn't one of them.

    9. Re:But that is nonsensical! by falconwolf · · Score: 1

      Someone who drives 100K miles a year is going to have a lot more miles between accidents than someone who does 5K.

      Where did you get your data and stats?

      Falcon

    10. Re:But that is nonsensical! by greyhueofdoubt · · Score: 1

      Maybe, but are they going to have fewer accidents per billing period? Right now, they get paid every month (or six months). In the new system they would get paid by the mile, which might equalize the costs quite a bit. Probably not in anyone's favor, though, since you know damned well that they won't reduce rates for the safer driver.

      -b

      --
      No offense, but I've stopped responding to AC's.
  13. Choice by Will+Work+For+Joules · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I would have no problem with this if people were actually given the choice of whether to sign up for a pay-as-you-drive plan, but as it stands, this hurts consumer choice without any real benefits. It is unlikely that people will really drive less, because they still need to get to their jobs and to stores that are miles away from their homes. If we want people to drive less, we should be investing in mass-transit systems which will help them do that, thereby increasing consumer choice rather than decreasing it.

  14. Pay as you breathe. by mfh · · Score: 1

    I have decided that in light of our depleting ozone layer, that I will begin charging for everyone who is breathing my air. You see, it was only my great ancestor Muk'targ of the Great Cave who was in charge of all the sky. His Gods told him so. So therefore he has passed this great gift to me and me alone. So as of right now, the entire population of the Earth owes me for each breath of air they take. Now if you can't pay, that's okay too. Because I will use my new portal device to adapt the air you breathe so you only have to pay for what you use. Now if you happen to die because you don't pay, how could you expect this to be my problem? Oh and the rates will be raised very little. Maybe only 2000% per year.

    --
    The dangers of knowledge trigger emotional distress in human beings.
  15. Wait until health insurance companies hear this. by Doug52392 · · Score: 1

    I can see health insurance companies adopting this logic:

    People who frequently exercise are less of an insurance risk. By pricing policies according to the amount of physical activity a person gets, insurance companies can offer discounts to healthier people, and put an appropriate cost penalty on basement-dwelling nerds, obese people, and other physically-unfit people.

  16. Re:Wait until health insurance companies hear this by Ajaxamander · · Score: 1

    Is there some kind of petition I can sign to get this rolling?

  17. Lower Prices my Ass by RayMarron · · Score: 2, Insightful

    You think insurance companies will lower prices for the average Joe with this? I think not. Their claim experience isn't going to change, and they need to charge X dollars to all customers combined so they make a profit. They're still going to need to charge X dollars, so what's going to happen? Heavy drivers will pay *more*, and everybody else will pay about the same as they are now. Bah!

    --
    ON DELETE CASCADE
    1. Re:Lower Prices my Ass by hb253 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Exactly. The "discount" they're talking about wil be about $50 off a $2500/year policy. Big deal

      --
      Self awareness - try it!
    2. Re:Lower Prices my Ass by LurkerXXX · · Score: 1

      Umm, a lot of them already do. I live in the midwest. If I drive below x number of miles/year, my insurance gives a bit of a discount. It's not a lot, but neither is the one California is talking about.

      Why is this on /. ? It's already done lots of places by lots of companies. It's not news for nerds. It's not really news at all.

    3. Re:Lower Prices my Ass by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The lawmakers behind this don't care - the unspoken intent is to make driving more expensive period. It's about CO2. The blather about lowering costs is just a red herring to achieve more buy-in.

      - T

    4. Re:Lower Prices my Ass by Ichijo · · Score: 1

      You think insurance companies will lower prices for the average Joe with this?

      No, they will lower prices for "lower-risk infrequent drivers", according to the synopsis. The average Joe would see no change, until he realizes that it's in his best interest to drive less.

      --
      Any sufficiently unpopular but cohesive argument is indistinguishable from trolling.
  18. maybe but... by TheCarp · · Score: 1

    I mean, it sorta makes sense... but then again it also doesn't.

    First I would point out that someone who drives 20k miles a year for 5 years drives 100k miles. A person who drives 5 k miles a year only drives 25k miles. So essentially, the 20k miles driver has 75k miles more driving experience than the lower milliage driver....

    I would expect that sort of difference to start to really add up.

    That said, the point of insurance is to mitigate risk by spreading it over many individuals. While it makes some amount of sense to charge relatively higher risk people more, doesn't it, eventually, start to defeat the purpose when you keep looking for more and more ways to do that?

    Of course, it mostly makes sense if you assume the higher prices for the more risky people actually means lower prices for the less risky, when I would bet the reality is that the only way low miliage drivers will "pay less" is that they will "pay less than the new surcharge on the high milliage drivers" and not in any way, "less than what they pay now"

    Kind o flike here in MA where the insurance companies are given license to surcharge for "offenses" like "not having the registration paper in the car" (sure its an offence, but its still a valid registration with valid insurance.... how exactly is not having the paper itself in the car... which contains no infomration that a police officer can't look up from his car in under 20 seconds... is a problem for them)

    or how they support "traffic safety cameras" which have been shown to increase accidents at intersections. Makes sense.... major accidents cost money. However, the massive number of tickets and minor fender benders those cameras generate are an absolute windfall for the insurance company when they can hit you with YEARS of surcharges.

    -Steve

    --
    "I opened my eyes, and everything went dark again"
    1. Re:maybe but... by JustNiz · · Score: 1

      >> So essentially, the 20k miles driver has 75k miles more driving experience than the lower milliage driver....

      Yeah they might be more experienced as a result of driving 3X more miles, but they're also 3X more exposed to the risk of an accident caused by someone else too.

      You can't directly calculate experience and ability (not least because even for a given driver they're not constant over even a single day or journey) so basically they jsut use a formula like 'n accidents occur per mile driven as a state or national average'. They just assume everyone is average. Yes it does benefit the worst drivers at the cost of the best, but then democracy is always like that, which is why democracy sucks.

    2. Re:maybe but... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So the price of liability insurance should go down, and the price of collision insurance should go up, right?

  19. This system is already in place! by jtownatpunk.net · · Score: 3, Insightful

    WTF? Am I missing something? Last time I got insurance for a vehicle (in California!), the guy writing the policy asked me how many miles I expect to drive per year. They have a number of mileage brackets that are used in the calculation of your premium. The more miles you drive in a year, the more money you pay. Back in the before time, I had a classic car that was a weekend ride. Insurance was cheap because it was classified as "pleasure use" and driven less than a thousand miles per year. I don't think I've ever had a situation where the estimated annual mileage wasn't used to calculate the premium.

    1. Re:This system is already in place! by floodo1 · · Score: 1

      Except that now they aren't going to ask you, they'd monitor you.

      --
      I KUT J00 M4NG!!!
    2. Re:This system is already in place! by CheddarHead · · Score: 2, Interesting

      While they don't currently monitor your mileage with some kind of device, they don't exactly just take your word for it. You're asked for you odometer reading, and the mileage you expect to drive. While you could lie about odometer reading, if it's grossly off and you make a claim they'll find out what the odometer really reads when the car goes into the shop. At that point I guess they could deny the claim based on your false statement on the application / renewal form.

      Yes, I know this is far from fool proof. You could tamper with the odometer, get the shop to report the wrong number, switch insurance frequently and give low mileage to the new company in anticipation of driving lots of miles etc. etc. However, I imagine it discourages many potential scammers.

      Insurance is expensive in CA and many people do try scams to avoid paying high rates. It's always a gamble though. For instance many people register their car at the parents address back home in Iowa or where ever. This gets them cheaper insurance rates and cheaper registration; however, when they make a claim the insurance company often figures it out and denies the claim. Similarly with the mileage, you could lie about lower mileage to get cheaper rates, but you're gambling that you won't have a claim and/or that they won't catch you. If you end having to pay a few thousand in repair bills out of your own pocket, that offsets saving a few hundred a year pretty quickly.

    3. Re:This system is already in place! by theJML · · Score: 1

      Thank you! I don't see how this is any different than what I've been paying/signed up for for the last 10 years or more. In College, I only drove the car like once a week, I reported my total miles as like 3k a year and got charged a heck of a lot less than when I started a job and that became 30k a year. Now I only drive 10k a year and it's in the middle. (then I got married and both my wife and my insurance total is half as much as the cheapest of either... however that works. I suppose I'm so much less likely to get hit by an idiot now that I'm married...). The premiums have always been calculated loosely from this sort of mileage per year estimate. at least as far as I remember back, 10-15 years or so. I'd be annoied if they stopped the practice knowing that it is one of the few things that makes sense. You're basically charged both upon your history and the amount of time that you'll be out on the roads causing/being part of havoc.

      --
      -=JML=-
    4. Re:This system is already in place! by MBGMorden · · Score: 1

      Indeed. You can also on those questionaires pretty much lie. If you get a lower rate for the lower expected mileages then it's in your best interest to say the lower amount. It's an ESTIMATE, not a contractually agreed upon limit. If you just happen to "underestimate" how much you drive this year then oh well. Now as you say they'll be directly monitoring it.

      Really, all this nickel and diming is getting out of hand IMHO. Some things be necessity have to be priced as used, but when taken to the extreme (like what's going on now) it just seems like no matter WHAT you do you're going to have half a dozen virtual meters ticking away charging you for something.

      Wanna go down the street for a burger?

      You pay for the fuel used.
      The insurance company docks you for the mileage for premiums.
      The state taxes you based on the mileage for road wear.
      The GPS company charges you connection fees for 15 minutes worth of usage.
      The local broadcast station charges you listening fees for the 4 songs you listened to on the way there.

      Once you get there it's a $4.99 charge for a basic hamburger. Seasame seeds on the bun is a $0.25 surcharge. A kaiser roll is $0.50 extra. Each additional vegetable is an additional $0.25, with tomatoes costing an additional $0.15 on top of that (royalty charge for genetically engineered tomatoes). Each sauce is $0.15 extra. Cheese is $0.35 extra and bacon adds 10% to the overall cost, though both of them count as a mark against your health insurance and raise those rates. The drink is $2.00 with each refill at $0.50.

      Of course if you stay home to surf the web instead you'll be charged micro payments for each page you hit, as well as bandwidth charges as the data comes across and per cycle processing charges for your usage (no need to have your own processor when you can have a terminal and let the ISP do your processing for you - at a nomincal charge of course).

      It's truly looking like a sad, sad future where nothing is flat rate and no matter what you do the cost steady ticks upwards.

      --
      "People who think they know everything are very annoying to those of us who do."-Mark Twain
    5. Re:This system is already in place! by JesseMcDonald · · Score: 1

      You can also on those questionaires pretty much lie. If you get a lower rate for the lower expected mileages then it's in your best interest to say the lower amount. It's an ESTIMATE, not a contractually agreed upon limit. If you just happen to "underestimate" how much you drive this year then oh well.

      That's not quite true, given a sane judge and legal system. (I'm not a lawyer and am not prepared to vouch for either being the case in practice.) If you happen to underestimate your mileage unintentionally, but believe the estimate to be accurate and have no intention of deceiving the other party, then what you say would generally hold. Deliberately underestimating would be fraud, however, and sufficient cause to void your insurance contract; you don't get a free pass just because it's an estimate. As usual, the difficulty lies in proving the intent.

      --
      "The state is that great fiction by which everyone tries to live at the expense of everyone else." - Bastiat
    6. Re:This system is already in place! by anyaristow · · Score: 1

      The lowest bracket available to me is 6000 miles/yr, but I only drive 1500.

    7. Re:This system is already in place! by floodo1 · · Score: 1

      So then why do they even need this "Pay-As-You-Drive" insurance if they already have it? I guess they're going to just get more fine grained with it.

      Anyway the easiest way to cheat on your insurance is to collaborate with your family by doing something like making the person with the best driving record the official driver of the most expensive to insure vehicle and making the person with the worst record the drier of the cheaper to insure vehicle. But I digress.

      --
      I KUT J00 M4NG!!!
  20. What's so difficult about it? by matt4077 · · Score: 0, Troll

    Not going to RTFA article, but I can't see how you could screw this up. Let everyone self-report their mileage and then recover whatever you had to pay out if an accident occurs and mileage is off by more than 20% or so. That's the system used here (Europe) and I've never heard anyone complain about it. No privacy violations involved, either. If you don't trust the self-reporting, it'd be easy to verify mileage in regular intervals by tying it to i. e. existing mandatory emissions & safety checks.

    1. Re:What's so difficult about it? by FooAtWFU · · Score: 1

      Indeed. The states already make you get your car inspected on a fairly regular basis, and doubly so for California emissions standards. Why not just track mileage readings there? Why all the GPS shenanigans?

      --
      The World Wide Web is dying. Soon, we shall have only the Internet.
    2. Re:What's so difficult about it? by AndrewNeo · · Score: 1

      The states already make you get your car inspected on a fairly regular basis

      What states? "The States"? (As in the United States?) The 30 states that the insurance companies are offering the GPS service in? My state (Michigan) has no such requirement. Also, if they provided this is an actual GPS navigation unit (like a Garmin or Tomtom) then it would be a lot cooler, at least. New unit every year or two, or something.

    3. Re:What's so difficult about it? by Jaysyn · · Score: 1

      Not all states have inspections. I know for a fact Florida got rid of them right before I started driving. Why? They were a hugely intrusive hassle ran by the tin-pot dictators at the FDOT.

      I *really* don't think this would fly here at all.

      --
      There is a war going on for your mind.
  21. Insurance by the mile is in Texas by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

    I'm using Milemeter.com in Texas, it's billed by the mile. I'm paying about half of what I payed my previous company with same coverage.
    But it only works people driving under 12k a year.

  22. Re:Wait until health insurance companies hear this by mehrotra.akash · · Score: 1

    and life insurance companies would charge the active people more as they walk/cycle more and ate therefore at a higher risk of getting run over by a vehicle...

  23. Milliage RISK by Archangel+Michael · · Score: 0, Troll

    I drive from Nor Cal to So Cal, over 500 miles, one way, several times a year to visit family. I'm at far less risk than grandma Owho barely drives 500 miles in a month, or the teen who is an idiot with her cell phone (even though it is illegal already) or ....

    THIS is the problem with Government. It is a ONE SIZE FITS ALL program that doesn't fit anyone. I've been driving over 20 years, with exactly 4 accidents, none of them my fault.

    I have a 13 year old vehicle, bought new, with 150,000 miles on it, that hasn't had one insurance claim. I know some people who can't make 40K without totalling their vehicle.

    Everytime someone says ... "there ought to be a law" get ready to bend over!

    --
    Agent K: A *person* is smart. People are dumb, stupid, panicky animals, and you know it.
  24. Re:Wait until health insurance companies hear this by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Hate to break it to you, but many already offer discounts for active lifestyles and quitting smoking, etc.

  25. Re:Wait until health insurance companies hear this by plague3106 · · Score: 1

    Except that we do know this to be true... its been proven in scientific studies. Do you have a study that shows driving more increases your risk for an accident?

  26. proposal by martas · · Score: 1

    let's just stick a gps chip in everybody's skull, make its location publicly available, and be done with the whole privacy thing. then we wouldn't have to spend so much time worrying about it.

    1. Re:proposal by Tiger4 · · Score: 1

      That's how the Marauder's Map does it in Harry Potter, and you see how well it worked for him.

      --
      Behold, this dreamer cometh. Come now, and let us slay him... and we shall see what will become of his dreams.
  27. Distribution of Risk + Cost? by lena_10326 · · Score: 1

    I thought the point of insurance was to distribute risk and cost over a group for both the insurer and the driver so that no single individual would be overwhelmed from unexpected expenses. This plan reduces the risk and cost to the insurer but transfers cost from one group of drivers to another group of drivers. It's another step toward customizing insurance plans to a single person customized insurance plan--rendering insurance worthless for those at high risk, yet it's required by law. If one were to apply this to medical insurance in that those who use more pay more, there would be public outcry.

    --
    Camping on quad since 1996.
    1. Re:Distribution of Risk + Cost? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You are expressing the very pathological idea that needs to be fixed. Insurance is not supposed to enable risky behavior by having low risk payers subsidize the costs of those behaviors. It is meant to allow a population of equal risk takers to each pay their equal share of the cost instead of letting some get off for zero cost while others suffer the catatrophic event costs.

      An ideal insurance system can determine the exact cost of adverse events for the entire population, and charge each participant his proportionate share of that cost, based on his contribution to the population-wide risk. If you don't like the cost because you are high-risk, you should change your behavior to reduce your risk, not expect the low-risk population to bail you out.

    2. Re:Distribution of Risk + Cost? by lena_10326 · · Score: 1

      As the article implies, not all driving risk is due to elective choice or driving recklessness. This plan factors in distance driven, but that strongly correlates to one's job and lot in life. For example, taxi cab drivers (self employed contractors) or carpenters who pay their own insurance, or those who cannot afford exorbitant home prices near the business districts.

      --
      Camping on quad since 1996.
    3. Re:Distribution of Risk + Cost? by maxume · · Score: 1

      If an insurance company is unwilling to underwrite a policy, at any cost, for the 'high risk' individual you just made up, but perfectly willing to underwrite a policy for 99% of the population, I'm happy not letting that guy drive (If he does, take away his car. If he borrows a car with someone's knowledge, levy them a hefty fine).

      For medical, it would make far more sense to simply use taxes to pay for people that have high, fixed care costs than it does to pretend that those costs are insurable (for one thing, using taxes helps people that have fallen out of the insurance system).

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    4. Re:Distribution of Risk + Cost? by lena_10326 · · Score: 1

      You are mixing conscientious reckless driving with long distance driving. The context of the article and my post is with long distance because the entire article is about factoring in miles driven.

      --
      Camping on quad since 1996.
    5. Re:Distribution of Risk + Cost? by maxume · · Score: 1

      Also, as a customer, the point of insurance is to mitigate the consequences of an adverse event. The insurance company is able to sell this mitigation at a low cost because they sell similar coverage to large groups of people with similar risks. There is no way to distribute risk.

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    6. Re:Distribution of Risk + Cost? by maxume · · Score: 1

      You are assuming that the costs of driving long distances will be unaffordable. I doubt this (for instance, owner-operator semi drivers don't seem to have any trouble getting insurance, and they certainly are not in the same risk pool as Grandma May).

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    7. Re:Distribution of Risk + Cost? by JesseMcDonald · · Score: 1

      The point of insurance is to distribute costs while holding individual risks constant. Risk is cost times probability; with an insurance plan you take an event which is low-probability but high-cost (e.g. a hospital visit) and trade it for an event which is low-cost but high-probability (periodic premiums). The risk remains the same, aside from the policy's overhead. In general a pool of individuals with similar risks is an important factor in making the insurance possible, but each individual is still responsible for financing their own projected risk. Those expected to use more should pay more.

      What passes for "insurance" these days would be more accurately known as inefficient "health savings accounts", with part of the losses going to a charity (of sorts) for high-risk individuals. It would be more manageable (not to mention efficient) to just have real insurance with separate charities for those truly in need.

      --
      "The state is that great fiction by which everyone tries to live at the expense of everyone else." - Bastiat
    8. Re:Distribution of Risk + Cost? by xmundt · · Score: 1

      Greetings and Salutations...
                I would argue with this point of view, as it is putting a strange spin on the idea of insurance, and, is, at best, half-baked. The fact of the matter is that the ORIGINAL design of insurance was to provide support and coverage for a random group of people. The idea was that for any population, a VAST majority of people would NEVER need to use the insurance to cover the costs of catastrophic events. A small proportion of the population would need to draw from the money pool to cover some problems. This population MIGHT draw enough to approach the amount they paid into the pool with their premiums. Another, very small proportion would require a large subsidy that might end up being several times the amount they paid into the pool. However, the overall effect would be that a combination of the premiums paid in, and, the income from investments from those premiums would leave a pool of money to cover the draws.
                  Now...in TODAY'S society, there are two major factors that work to screw up this plan.
                  1). Insurance is no longer a "non-profit" function. Instead, insurance companies have become publicly traded entities and for-profit organizations. The bottom line is that once a company becomes a for-profit entity (with or without shareholders), the entire focus of the company changes to sucking as much money out of the customer base as possible for as little cost and work as is possible. This also means that when one DOES have a claim against one's insurance, the premiums almost ALWAYS jump up for however long the company feels is necessary to recoup the amount they paid out, plus interest.
                2) The cost of repairs has skyrocketed. Is it reasonable that hitting a bit of road debris and breaking a cheap, plastic bumper should cost close to $2000.00 to fix? I think not. Is it reasonable that a trip to the emergency room, to get a cut on one's forehead should cost close to $1000.00? Or that a stay in a hospital room can run thousands of dollars a day? Or, that two aspirin in a cup, delivered by a nurse's aide making barely over minimum wage should be billed at $15.00 or more? Again...I think not. And, in a strange, recursive cycle, now, the cost of medications is so high that it is nearly impossible for the average citizen to purchase them, so, it is necessary to use insurance payments - which, because the billing is going to a faceless corporation and it is someone else's money - tends to inflate the costs of medicines...making it more expensive for the average citizen to have access to them.

                    How to fix the problem?
                    There are, alas, no easy answers. I think that removing health care from the "for profit" market and increasing regulation on it would go a LONG way towards curbing the greed. However, that is politically difficult, so, I suspect that, like the situation with GM and various other parts of America's remaining manufacturing base, we will ignore the problem until it becomes a massive crisis that threatens to fall over and crush us...or...perhaps more aptly...FALLS over and crushes us.

                Pleasant Dreams.
                Dave Mundt

      --
      YAB - http://blog.beemandave.com/
    9. Re:Distribution of Risk + Cost? by lena_10326 · · Score: 1

      This is about the risk of profit loss. I figured it would be apparent.

      Using your own argument: there is the risk of an event and the risk of the consequences of an event. We are assuming an event will occur because we're talking about insuring a large population group, so the risk (probability) of an event occurring is nearly 100%. That leaves us with the second part: mitigating the risk of the consequences (which is financial). That can be distributed because cash is fluid.

      --
      Camping on quad since 1996.
    10. Re:Distribution of Risk + Cost? by bill_mcgonigle · · Score: 1

      It would be more manageable (not to mention efficient) to just have real insurance with separate charities for those truly in need.

      Don't forget about so-called 'negotiated prices'. For the most part, in the medical field if you go in for service without a plan you're paying prices that are 35% higher (the uninsured with money cover the cost of the uninsured without money).

      That absurd government restrictions on health insurance since the 1940's hasn't worked well seems to be lost on most. Rather than stripping away the restrictions on what kind of insurance we can buy and from whom (policy ratings, caps, interstate, etc.) they think the problem is simply that there wasn't *enough* central planning.

      The recent Cato podcasts on this have been excellent.

      --
      My God, it's Full of Source!
      OUTSIDE_IP=$(dig +short my.ip @outsideip.net)
  28. Re:Wait until health insurance companies hear this by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    How do you monitor this?

  29. What's wrong with odometer readings? by hawguy · · Score: 1
    Why does everything have to have a technological fix like an electronic device to track and send in odometer readings? What's the real problem with requiring customers to send in odometer readings at policy renewal time? The California smog check results are already sent electronically to the DMV, so the odometer info can be furnished to the insurance companies to help fight fraud. For areas that don't require a smog check, the insurance company can randomly require some small subset of their drivers to have them odometer reading verified.

    I can't believe many people will violate federal law to commit fraud by unhooking their odometers. This is already illegal, and somehow the leasing companies are willing to trust the odometer readings, and there is a substantial financial penalty for exceeding lease mileage limits thus creating a large incentive for fraud. And if someone does lie about their odometer reading and has an accident, the insurance adjuster can report the milage to the company so they can verify the mileage.

    Besides, I always figured that modern cars wouldn't operate well without a working speed sensor. If the odometer is so easy to bypass, then maybe this issue can be addressed through the car companies. It's already illegal to bypass the odometer, so the car may as well enforce that.

    1. Re:What's wrong with odometer readings? by Tiger4 · · Score: 1

      Why does everything have to have a technological fix like an electronic device to track and send in odometer readings? What's the real problem with requiring customers to send in odometer readings at policy renewal time?

      Odos get broken. Mine hasn't turned in years. Accuracy isn't all that great on the ones that do work. Change tires, change wheels, redo your transmission or rear end, and the odo (and speedometer) is off. Are you going to count on people to keep them calibrated when it is in their interest for them to be off?

      If anything, the companies should give people price break for more miles driven with no claims. They have demonstrated they can travel long distances safely.

      I can't believe many people will violate federal law to commit fraud by unhooking their odometers. This is already illegal, and somehow the leasing companies are willing to trust the odometer readings, and there is a substantial financial penalty for exceeding lease mileage limits thus creating a large incentive for fraud. And if someone does lie about their odometer reading and has an accident, the insurance adjuster can report the milage to the company so they can verify the mileage.

      It is illegal to *tamper* with the odometer, by trying to back it down or roll far ahead to make it look like a lower milage. The law doesn't say you have to have one working perfectly at all times. In the old days, they had red tamper flags that would pop up if someone broke the odometer seals. Modern cars have electronic readouts, so tampering would be some kind of memory hack.

      --
      Behold, this dreamer cometh. Come now, and let us slay him... and we shall see what will become of his dreams.
  30. Re:Wait until health insurance companies hear this by Hope+Thelps · · Score: 1

    Except that we do know this to be true... its been proven in scientific studies. Do you have a study that shows driving more increases your risk for an accident?

    I guess this is appeal to authority, but actuaries aren't generally known for their wild flights of fantasy. If Insurance companies are offering lower premiums for people who drive shorter distances then it's almost certainly because statistically they pay out less in claims to those drivers. Is there really some reason to suppose otherwise?

    --
    To summarise the summary of the summary: people are a problem. ~ h2g2
  31. Sounds pretty wrong by rwa2 · · Score: 1

    The annual estimates used by my current insurance provider seems to work well enough. And if that isn't proof enough, they could simply track my odometer readings when they do the emissions inspections or something.

    Being an infrequent (and thus probably inexperienced) driver doesn't necessarily make you less of a risk. My car insurance is currently pretty dirt cheap ($400 / yr.) due to many factors (it's our only car, we're married and over 25, and our speeding and accident record has been clean for the past 5+ years). But we drive plenty, both for work and recreation... at least 15k / yr.

    In fact, the one time I did get into an accident, it took two other morons acting in concert... one in front of me to stop at a green light, and one in a fully-loaded Mack behind me to stop not.

    Anyway, I'm all in favor of using technology to improve things like traffic reporting and stuff like that, but I don't think insurance is one of the primary applications.

  32. why don't they just by shingwedzi · · Score: 1

    give everyone free auto insurance and increase gas taxes by enough to cover it.

    1. Re:why don't they just by AndrewNeo · · Score: 1

      Demand for electric-powered vehicles would skyrocket!

  33. Free market? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Here's a free-market proposal to this "problem":

    - Require vehicles to have insurance to certain minimum levels. Allow the insurance companies to bill however they want: flat-rate, per-mile, or GPS-tracked, and based on any criteria they want to use. Let customers pick their own insurance companies. Any driver found to not have insurance would face an extremely steep penalty [steep enough to make then wish they had insurance]. A negligent driver who causes an accident and doesn't have insurance will find themselves bankrupt, thus setting examples for everyone else.

    - That's it.

    There are already drivers who will cancel their insurance the second they get their proof-of-insurance card, so they have something to show when they get pulled over. This won't stop--they'll just buy something like 100 miles of insurance. It's "enforced" the same way: if you cause an accident and your insurance has lapsed due to time or miles, you're on your own.

    If you're willing to let your insurance company put a GPS tracker in your car, you could potentially have very low insurance rates if you're a safe driver and don't drive very much. If you don't want a GPS, you could at least submit odometer readings--again, lying about your odometer means you're on your own if an accident happens. If you value your privacy so much you don't even want your odometer read, just get flat-rate insurance.

    Yes, I know there are GPS "jammers" out there, and insurance companies would probably develop ways to detect this--if it's obvious you're jamming the signal, you get dropped. It's called a "contract"; insurance companies tend to make you sign them.

  34. Highway repair funding? by cliffiecee · · Score: 1

    The Federal Highway Administration is already suffering shortage of funds due to fewer vehicle miles driven. There's been talk of more toll roads, increasing the gas tax, etc.

    As I see it, encouraging people to drive even less will further decrease the revenue collected for road repair- which could mean fewer repairs, more time between repairs, and/or an incentive to raise the gas tax or invent new "usage fees". This could end up increasing the total cost- even though you're paying less for insurance, you're paying more for gas, tolls, etc.

    1. Re:Highway repair funding? by falconwolf · · Score: 1

      As I see it, encouraging people to drive even less will further decrease the revenue collected for road repair- which could mean fewer repairs, more time between repairs, and/or an incentive to raise the gas tax or invent new "usage fees".

      The less people drive the less wear and tear on the roads. Personally I believe fuel taxes should be raised. Fuel tax should pay for almost if not all road building and maintenance costs. That or every year when license plate tags are renewed the odometer is read and people are charged for miles driven. Actually this would be fairer than the fuel tax. Fuel efficient vehicles can put as much wear and tear on roads as gas guzzlers yet because they get better mileage they won't use as much fuel. The point though being that drivers pay for the roads, while those who do not drive don't have to pay so much.

      Falcon

  35. What's the Penalty? by a-zarkon! · · Score: 2, Insightful

    OK so assume CA mandates this and then follows up with mandating a law that requires every vehicle in CA to be fitted with some kind of GPS or similar tracking device:
    1) What happens when the tracker in my car suffers some kind of *mysterious* electronic failure? Am I going to be fined?
    2) Who is going to pay for the tracker and the installation?
    3) What happens when a faulty tracker drains the battery? (Oddly enough I've seen this happen in a fleet vehicle)
    4) How do I get the lucrative contract to maintain this massive tracking infrastructure system?!!
    5) Anyone want to bet that this gizmo won't also be recording speed - insurance companies probably value that info more than distance. Betcha law enforcement will have de facto rights to query your gizmo right there on the spot when they pull you over - probably have a built in blue tooth so they don't even need to get out of the cruiser to write you up.

    We're already paying per mile in the form of taxes on each gallon of gas we buy. They must be gearing up to address the revenue threat posed by the as-yet impractical plug-in hybrids. Crappy idea all around in my opinion.

    If there was any kind of mass transit, I would take it vs. the 2 hours I spend behind the wheel each day. I'll go out on a limb and say I'd take it at the cost of an additional 30-60 minutes transit time; at least I could get stuff done on the bus/train and I bet I'd have lower blood pressure to boot.

  36. Really? Then shit, I'm moving! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Funny

    This driving close to home bit sounds dangerous!

    1. Re:Really? Then shit, I'm moving! by greed · · Score: 1

      A lot (well, some) of people in Manhattan store their cars in New Jersey and take the train to get to their car.

      I'll bet they almost never get into crashes!

  37. Re:Milliage RISK by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Everytime someone says ... "there ought to be a law" get ready to bend over!

    I'm in, or you're in me - either way its a party!

  38. Use trips, not miles by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

    Use number of trips, not miles -- just like when comparing whether airlines are safer than cars:

    http://www.midtod.com/98autumn/airline.phtml

  39. does mileage really make sense? by hideouspenguinboy · · Score: 1

    Seems like mileage might be a poor indicator for this (though part of a valid equation). Wouldn't a better system involve the number of 'instances' of driving? Or perhaps actual time spent driving? Are people who commute on a highway every day for an hour (like me) really more likely to have an accident overall? Seems like we'd at least average safer on a per mile basis. Also, since this would require robots to know more me my driving habits, we hates it.

  40. Re:Milliage RISK by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What? They know the age of your grandma, or some teen. Did they say they were going to throw out every other measurement? Obviously this shouldn't be a law and industry should figure this out as well.. I know the nature of your complaint but I don't agree with the specifics...

  41. Not really by nokiator · · Score: 1
    What is being proposed here is exactly the opposite of one size fits all. Insurance companies already discriminate based on driver's age, gender or marital status. If insurance companies could come up with some actual data that shows some degree of correlation between miles driven and accident or claim rate, it is perfectly reasonable to expect that they will offer insurance rates based on this.

    What I am wondering is this: If the data shows that people with a certain age group that drive less than a certain number of miles per year have the highest accident and claim rate, would the insurance rates for that group go up? Will the politicians have the guts to counter the outcry from the AARP?

  42. "California's" Revised +1, Helpful by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Your first premise is wrong. California DOES NOT exist because it is paying its current payables with I.O.U.s.

    Other states to follow.

    Yours In Accounting,
    Kilgore Trout, C.P.A.

  43. Insurance and CO2? by blueg3 · · Score: 1

    Assume for the sake of argument that I think a reduction of CO2 emissions is important and a good idea (I do, basically) and that distance-based insurance premiums are a good idea (not sure).

    Citing a reduction of CO2 emissions as a side effect of distance-based insurance premiums is still stupid and annoying. It's bad and they should feel bad for doing it. They are problems that make more sense to approach separately, since they have very little relation to one another.

  44. Re:Milliage RISK by Albanach · · Score: 1

    I drive from Nor Cal to So Cal, over 500 miles, one way, several times a year to visit family. I'm at far less risk than grandma Owho barely drives 500 miles in a month, or the teen who is an idiot with her cell phone (even though it is illegal already) or ....

    THIS is the problem with Government. It is a ONE SIZE FITS ALL program that doesn't fit anyone. I've been driving over 20 years, with exactly 4 accidents, none of them my fault.

    You're trying to use a one size fits all excuse to criticise the government and in this case it doesn't fit.

    You see, insurers employ very highly paid guys to work out your risk to them as an individual. If your driving history shows you to be low risk, that will be reflected in your premium - insurers want your business, but equally don't want to lose money by providing you with insurance.

    I can understand concerns about getting the privacy aspects sorted - why doesn't the state simply automatically report each year as part of your annual inspection? But the principle of using miles driven as an aid to calculating risk is one everyone with insurance already subscribes to.

    Thanks to the interweb, shopping around for insurance is trivial. I myself have seen a 6 month premium reduced by over $1,000 through 20 minutes shopping around on the internet. As long as you still have plenty of insurers to choose from, you'll be able to find someone that offers a fair price for the risk you reflect.

    All this proposal means is that every insurer will be required to factor in the risk the miles you drive presents, and I can't imagine a single insurer that doesn't already use the mileage you reported to them when taking out the policy as a risk factor.

  45. Vehicle 'black box' in your car! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I guess you don't want to know about the vehicle 'black box' in all car that have air bags. Insurance companies don't want you to know!

    http://www.crashspeed.com/airbag_control_module.htm

  46. I am totally confused. by v(*_*)vvvv · · Score: 1

    Aren't we already charged based on estimated car usage? This article is about privacy objections and laws regarding monitoring miles, is it not?

    I've always assumed the miles I enter when renewing my insurance went towards calculating the total premium. Actually, my insurer even told me so when I thought my rate went up - they said I was driving more.

    If they wanted us to drive less, there are plenty of other ways to do it, rather than hacking our insurance. Idiots.

    1. Re:I am totally confused. by taustin · · Score: 1

      This isn't about getting us to drive less. It's about getting us to pay more. When insurance companies are involved, it's always about getting us to pay more. While promising we'll pay less.

  47. Central Valley by mjayde · · Score: 1

    Shouldn't California be concerned for those growing central valley towns and cities like Tracy?
    There are hordes of people commuting daily from central valley to silicon valley for work.

    There would be even less incentive for people to move out there if PAYD was mandatory, which would cause the property values to drop even more than they have.

    I'll go out on a limb here and also say that with the amount of miles these commuters drive daily, I bet you they have better intuition in how to drive well to avoid accidents vs. the occasional inner-city driver who drives twice a week to the grocery store...

  48. MyRate by Progressive by Wisconsingod · · Score: 4, Informative

    MyRate by Progressive (as mentioned in the summary) has been around for quite some time (in select states) and I am a longtime customer. Here is how it works:

    You get a computer chip that installs on the ODBCII port on your computer. Every 6 months (when you renu your policy), you pull out the chip, plug it into your computer via USB, and upload the data with your policy renewal request. You can view charts of your driving speeds, times, etc.

    Progressive then offers you a discount percentage off of your base premium. They have an explicit policy that utilizing this chip cannot INCREASE your premium, only give you the option of a discount (in other words, we overprice our policy, but give you an option to recoup it if you drive less)

    The discounts are as follows:
    5% = participation discount
    5% = safety discount (stay below 75mph and the discount is yours)
    up to 10% = based on driving time / milage.

    The 10% is calculated roughly as such.
    At the beginning of the tracking period, you are given a 10% discount. then for every mile you drive, that percentage is reduced by a fraction. That fraction (something around 0.0006% per mile) is determined based on the time classification you drive. they have 3 classifications of driving time, low, medium, & high. High are times such as rush hour, and overnight, medium are weekends & lunch hour, low is everything else.

    Ultimately, with both the safety discount and the amount I drive, I end up with somewhere around a 16% discount off my policy renewal.

    It can be compared to the california policy, but in reality the current offered program seems quite different from the proposal.

    1. Re:MyRate by Progressive by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      wtf, can't go over 75 MPH ever?

      What about highways with 70-80 MPH speed limits?

    2. Re:MyRate by Progressive by R3d+M3rcury · · Score: 1

      5% = safety discount (stay below 75mph and the discount is yours)

      Hmm...Nah. Not worth it.

    3. Re:MyRate by Progressive by ion.simon.c · · Score: 1

      High are times such as rush hour, and overnight, medium are weekends & lunch hour, low is everything else.

      Wait, what car has such a reliable clock installed in it?

    4. Re:MyRate by Progressive by bigtrike · · Score: 1

      The device probably has its own temperature compensated real time clock. It likely doesn't deviate by more than a couple seconds between the 6 month intervals when it would be corrected by syncing with the progressive servers.

  49. I'm in the same boat by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

    I'm a consultant, I'm not out commuting every day of the week though I do drive a few times.

    However, I like to go on long, multi-hundred mile road trips just like you. There's no consideration in this plan to say if I'm driving in a city or not, or even accounting for where I put the miles on at all.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
  50. Re:Milliage RISK by geekoid · · Score: 1

    "I'm at far less risk than grandma"

    that's a self selected bias.

    "fault."
    irrelevant. The more time on the road, the more likely you are to be in an accident, regardless of fault.

    Of course, this is just ONE factor when determining premium prices.

    --
    The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
  51. Rush Hour? by Jaeph · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The premise is faulty. Open highway driving is far safer than inner-city rush hour traffic.

    You need to consider the conditions, not just the distance.

    -Jeff

    --
    Please learn the difference between a dissenting opinion and a troll before you moderate.
    1. Re:Rush Hour? by Nerdfest · · Score: 4, Informative

      Highway accidents generally have more serious damages and injuries.

    2. Re:Rush Hour? by aukset · · Score: 1

      Did you know that highways pass through cities? Guess what happens when inner-city congestion meets highway speeds?

      --
      No sig now
    3. Re:Rush Hour? by xmundt · · Score: 1

      Greetings and Salutations...
                Frankly, the bigger issue I see is that America has a really crappy driver's education program. Most of the collisions I have seen have involved at least one driver being REALLY STUPID. There is one simple rule that should be the #1 commandment when driving. That is : Treat EVERYONE else as a homicidal maniac with YOUR picture on their dashboard. Over the past 20 years or more I have seen a terrible drop in the use of defensive driving techniques and, more and more people doing stupid, ill-considered things that put them and the others around them at risk. Who among us has not seen people whip from the left lane of the Interstate across three or more lanes, to BARELY make it to the exit? Or people ignoring the posted speed limit, and, slaloming through the traffic at a high rate of speed? Or reading a book/newspaper/etc while rolling down the road? Or texting on their cell phones? (just to hit a few high points of stupidity).
                As a matter of fact, just the other day I had a little bump from behind on my trailer hitch (i have a goodly-sized truck) from a soccer mom in a van. I was stopped at a red light, and, she just rolled right into me. The cause? She had just heard over the radio that Michael Jackson was dead. No damage to speak of, so I suggested she be a bit more careful the next time, and we moved on.
                  Speaking of clearance at intersection stops....My rule is that if I cannot see the tires on the car in front of me when I come to a halt, then, I am stopping TOO CLOSE to it. If everyone would use this rule, intersections would be a lot safer.
                Of course, the whole idea of driving at the speed limit seems to be a shock to American drivers...Please try and remember that the traffic control folks do not put those signs up simply because they got a good deal on them at a surplus auction. Those numbers MEAN something, and, it is a much safer drive if one sticks to them. They are, by the by, the maximum safe speed for that section of road under average to poor conditions (wet road, rain, etc).
                  Waiting for the flames
                  dave mundt
         

      --
      YAB - http://blog.beemandave.com/
    4. Re:Rush Hour? by Burning1 · · Score: 1

      There is a saddle point the frequency of an accident and it's impact (amount of damage causes should the accident occur.) For instance, I prefer a 1 in 100,000 chance of death to a 1 in 1,000 chance of being maimed. If we were to slowly increase the risk of death for a specific activity, there would come a point I would prefer the slightly higher risk of a lesser injury -- I would prefer a 1 in 1000 chance of being maimed to a 1 in 1500 chance of death, for instance.

      In my experience as a motorcyclist, when traffic is flowing freely, the freeway is generally safer than city streets. When traffic is stop and go, safety is about the same*. When traffic is such that some cars are oscillating between driving at 60 and driving at 20, risk favors city streets.

      * Presuming I'm not attempting to lane share at speeds significantly above the speed of traffic; something I consider extremely unsafe.

    5. Re:Rush Hour? by kramerd · · Score: 1

      There are 2 ways to interperate this, and neither exist.

      Inner city traffic never reaches highway speeds. There are too many vehicles trying to get to many places with too many traffic lights. Often, you don't get to go when the light turns green, due to the congestion.

      Inner city congestion never hits a highway. Even in Atlanta, you will travel twice as fast on the highway at the peak of rush hour as you will in the city.

      The only exception would be if someone gets in an accident. In this case, it doesn't matter if you are on the highway, in the city, a national park, or a golf course: every jackass for miles slows to a crawl, pauses next to the accident to see the damage/fire/injured people, and then drives off. Since the location doesn't matter, inner city doesn't meet highway.

    6. Re:Rush Hour? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Highway accidents generally have more serious damages and injuries.

      Never been t-boned by anyone running a red light, eh?

  52. Re:Wait until health insurance companies hear this by Wisconsingod · · Score: 1

    Many medical options already do, via incentives. My insurance company pays 20% of any gym membership I want to sign up for. I have a friend whose insurance company sponsored a contest for individuals reducing their blood pressure, and he ended up winning a high end exercise bike. They don't typically charge less, but they are actively increasing their "Value added" features to reduce the cost of claims.

  53. Risk and incidence by Tiger4 · · Score: 0

    Drivers that drive infrequently are probably not a lower risk. At least not a lower risk in terms damage done per miles driven. If anything they are probably a Greater risk, since they get less practice behind the wheel. However, since they don't drive much, they will have fewer potential incidents of damage compared to people that drive many miles and encounter much more traffic and potential obstacles.

    The only risk being managed here is the pocketbook of the insurance company. The infrequent drivers are only a lower risk from the point of view of the threat of having to pay out. But that would be true for all of us. If no one drove, auto insurance would rarely have to pay for anything, and all those premiums would be pure profit.

    --
    Behold, this dreamer cometh. Come now, and let us slay him... and we shall see what will become of his dreams.
    1. Re:Risk and incidence by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Drivers that drive infrequently are a lower risk (per year). Which is the only thing that matters when you are trying to figure out how much to charge a person (per year) for insurance.

  54. clearly people don't want this by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    My insurance policy in Missouri caps my driving at 13,000 miles per year. If I want to drive more, I "have" to pay more.

    That being said, I've been driving for 13 years. I've been rear ended once which was 100% on the other guy. I was hit-and-run'd in a parking lot while at work, so that's the only claim I've made against my car: which totaled to about $8-900.

    Yet, as a single white male under 30, I pay more than most people who have worse driving records (via points or accidents.)

    Explain how that is fair, insurance companies?

    I have a strong speculatory sense that this article will bring the average revenue for insurance companies up, and the cost savings will be only for a small margin of drivers. Look at the comments: I'd say the majority of people don't want this. I'm not surprised they support this under the guise of helping mother earth to try to sway people.

  55. Re:Milliage RISK by NonSequor · · Score: 1

    The insurance companies can, will, and do account for that. This stuff isn't hard to model. The basic idea is that you have a hazard rate per mile driven. More miles driven means more hazard. However, that hazard rate doesn't have to be the same for all drivers. The hazard rate they'll use to model your cost will be based on the experience of drivers in your same risk class, i.e. pretty low.

    I am not a property/casualty actuary, but I am an actuary.

    --
    My only political goal is to see to it that no political party achieves its goals.
  56. Think of the Children! er LOW INCOME FAMILIES! by Spy+Handler · · Score: 1

    Seriously, whining about "low income families" everytime something useful gets proposed is getting a bit old. Won't somebody please think of the children!!

    "All this will do is make insurance unaffordable to low income families"

    Well then the low income families need to drive less. Actually everybody needs to drive less, regardless of income.

    1. Re:Think of the Children! er LOW INCOME FAMILIES! by SWFalken · · Score: 0

      Go dig a hole, lie down and die in it you worthless, arrogant cock sucker! You have no right whatsoever to decide or even suggest how much someone should drive. I drive to make a living for my family. I am a photographer and my job takes me on the road to the tune of 25,000 miles a year. I drive a fuel efficient and very low emissions vehicle that does almost no damage to anything. I don't make a lot of money. My job is a simple middle class workaday job and I could not survive without it. I have not had so much as a parking ticket in 10 years and to suggest that I pay higher premiums just because I drive more than average is ludicrous. How dare anyone take money out of my pocket to fulfill their self important fantasies of world salvation. You small minded little douche.

    2. Re:Think of the Children! er LOW INCOME FAMILIES! by Bryan+Ischo · · Score: 1

      Taking such ridiculous offense at the reasonable posting of a random Slashdot user indicates that you need to seriously re-think your world view. Ever think there might be a REASON your life sucks so much?

  57. Another Solution... by Efialtis · · Score: 1

    ... That could save money and trouble: Insure the Driver, not the Car. In the State of Utah, if you (an individual, no family, etc) have 4 cars that are capable of being driven (registered, etc) you are REQUIRED by law to have insurance on each vehicle...so figure as cheap as you can per vehicle and times that by 4 or as expensive as you can imagine, and times that by 4... Why not figure the most expensive to insure vehicle that you own, and just charge you that much...then you could drive any other car you own, and it would be covered, because your insurance is geared to the most expensive to insure car... This makes sense because you can only drive one vehicle at a time. Then I could also drive other people's vehicles (no real special rider needed) because my insurance would be on ME and not on the car... Rental agencies do this to some degree... As for this idea...I don't see what the problem is. Each year you go in for Safety and Emissions inspections, just have the agency take the odometer reading and report back to the insurance company, who then figures the miles driven by a simple mathematical operation called "subtraction"...who then sends you a bill for the insurance on the miles driven (or an estimate of the miles you drive per year, making up the difference (to you or to them) in subsequent years...) How much more simple could it be?

    --
    --E--
  58. How will they enforce this? by jameskojiro · · Score: 1

    Maybe they will finally use this as an excuse to put a GPS monitor inside every car....

    Lovely...

    --
    Tsukasa: All I really want, is to be left alone...
  59. **Privacy** is the issue. by bcrowell · · Score: 4, Informative

    I've combed through the 108 comments so far that have been modded 2 or above, and not a single one of them shows any awareness of what the article actually talks about. Has anybody actually read the article? Oh, wait, this is slashdot...

    The article helpfully explains that the main issue being raised by the EFF is privacy. Um, it's not exactly subtle...the article has a big image of a poster with a man's face, with the slogan "BIG BROTHER IS WATCHING YOU."

    What the EFF is objecting to is the idea of using electronic monitoring to measure the number of miles driven. The article (remember that article thingie? it's got that little underlining thingie, with the text in a different color, so you can click on it, and it's, like, a hyperlink, so you can go and read it?) lays out some objections to this, such as the tendency the government has demonstrated since 9/11 to go nuts with intrusive monitoring of its citizens. The concern is that the government will then be able to tell where every citizen drives. That's pretty darn scary, if you think about it.

    1. Re:**Privacy** is the issue. by mjayde · · Score: 1

      I bet they already assume the privacy issue, as it's talked about ad nauseam elsewhere, and are bringing up secondary problems.
      I'm sure very few slashdotters would argue pro big-brother ;)

    2. Re:**Privacy** is the issue. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I read the bit about privacy, but frankly I don't give a stuff who knows how many miles I drive. Neither do those 108 other guys I guess. We are more concerned about effects on our insurance premiums.

      My annual milage is already in databases (in UK) because it is recorded at each MoT (roadworthiness) test. Knowing *where* I drive might be a different matter, but how can you tell that from a mileage figure? Even whether that is an issue depends on *who* knows where you drive. I might be a bit more concerned if it were my wife who knew rather than an insurance company, but she can read my odometer any time anyway.

      Until quite recent model of car, any car odometer could be read by a passer-by - did that worry anyone here?

    3. Re:**Privacy** is the issue. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ... the tendency the government has demonstrated since 9/11 to go nuts with intrusive monitoring of its citizens.

      Exactly.

      Mission creep is everything with these guys.

      In California we have these things called FastPass or something similar. They're for paying tolls on the fly. Fine, as far as it goes.

      Some time after their introduction, we started seeing these digital highway signs showing the estimated time to upcoming cities, junctions, airports, etc. I wondered what these estimates were based on, since simple car-counting across buried car sensors wouldn't yield such results.

      Then I started noticing these arms extending out over the freeway from the light standards. Each arm had two to four small Yagi antennas pointing at the various lanes. It dawned on me that they were probably reading individual toll passes, so specific cars were being used as traffic-flow indicators.

      This was later confirmed on a local news broadcast. The station runs a short segment called "A Good Question", where viewers submit questions of general interest. One question asked where the signs got their data. The reporter explained that pass ids were recorded at one location and re-read some miles later.

      The reporter was careful to note that th data could not be used to generate speeding tickets as the data was "encrypted".

      When you stop laughing, and if you're any kind of programmer, just how many seconds it would take you to put in a patch to decrypt the info. It's clear that it's a trivial task to do so. As for applications, yes, it could quickly be adapted to generate speeding tickets. More to the point, the data, encrypted or not, can be used to track a particular pass. If LE knows what car was used in an offense, the pass associated with it could be tracked with great precision as it was driven down the freeway. It would also be trivial to enter the ID into a database which would be used to trigger an alert when the pass was detected.

      There was a /. article a day or so back about cellphone location data being used to track a phone well in advance of an arrest (without a search warrant). You may be certain that LE would also be very anxious to access the pass location data in the same manner to establish traffic patterns of "persons of interest" so as to build a case based on those patterns.

      Or when an insider wanted to track an errant girlfriend.

    4. Re:**Privacy** is the issue. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      When man calls an animal "vicious", he usually means that it will attempt to defend itself when he tries to kill it.

  60. Why not let the market decide? by TheSync · · Score: 1

    The proposed regulation states "Amend Title 10, Chapter 5, Subchapter 4.7, Section 2632.5 to read as follows:
    Sec. 2632.5 Rating Factors
    (a) Every insurer offering or issuing a policy of automobile insurance shall establish a class
    plan for the calculation of rates that specifies rating factors in accordance with this section and
    which complies with the good driver discount requirements of California Insurance Code Section
    1861.02 and all other statutes providing discounts in automobile insurance rates and premiums."

    Why the heck is the state micro-managing this? For that matter, why does the state mandate "good driver discounts"?

    The state should perhaps set the mandatory minimum level of insurance per driver to drive on the public roads, and then leave it to the insurance marketplace to figure out how best to parcel out the risks (flat rate, GPS, good driver discounts, etc.)

    This kind of state regulation and mandates is why health insurance costs so much!

    1. Re:Why not let the market decide? by floodo1 · · Score: 1

      Or maybe they should eliminate the profit that the market will charge and make the insurance that is mandatory actually be based on risk, not risk + profit.

      --
      I KUT J00 M4NG!!!
  61. Re:Wait until health insurance companies hear this by YrWrstNtmr · · Score: 1

    If Insurance companies are offering lower premiums for people who drive shorter distances then it's almost certainly because statistically they pay out less in claims to those drivers. Is there really some reason to suppose otherwise?

    But they also factor in age and experience (and other things). A newly licensed 18 year old that only drive 10 miles a week will still pay much more than an experienced 40 year old that drives 200 miles a week.

  62. Nothing new by Trevin · · Score: 1

    I already get a low-mileage discount on my auto insurance from State Farm ( 7,000 miles/year), and I imagine other insurance companies would have similar programs. So what's this bill proposing that insurance companies don't already do?

  63. Re:Wait until health insurance companies hear this by billius · · Score: 1

    I knew a girl in high school who was a tremendous athlete. She played on the school's basketball team and come senior year all kinds of universities were knocking on her door to get her to play for them. However, the offers dramatically decreased when she blew out her knee and needed to get surgery. She probably got more exercise in one semester of high school than I did the whole four years, but also needed way more expensive medical care than I ever needed. My point is, even though exercise may prevent some health problems (eg problems related to being overweight like diabetes), people who exercise a lot are prone to injuries. Not to knock exercising, though, I'd much rather be an otherwise healthy person with a bad knee than someone who is dependent on insulin just to stay alive, but I'm not sure how effective that strategy would be at saving money.

  64. On the other hand ... by pesho · · Score: 1

    ... I found that the device did change my driving while it was installed. As I was reviewing the data that comes of it every couple of days, I would instinctively try to beat it. I would not accelerate and brake abruptly, speed, etc., which in turn lead to keeping longer distance between me and the vehicle in front and drive defensively. For the couple of months I was using it I was a safer driver. As a side effect my fuel economy was somewhat better.

  65. How is more hardware cheaper by SirLanse · · Score: 1

    So how is making me buy a tracking device in my car and the central tracking system going to save me money? Perhaps making every mile more expensive will get me to cut back some, but 10% is not going to be cut. Who is selling these tracking devices? Are they contributing to election campaigns? Are they going to be "FREE" ie I will pay for them in hight taxes? Will the logs of where your car has been be available for review and dispute. It could be fun to attach the tracker id of Ahnold to a city bus. If the logs are kept, can they be sold to advertisers? Will I get smut adverts because I cut through a bad section of town? Will the road taxes become flexible based on which route I take?

  66. No ACCIDENTDiscount by omb · · Score: 1

    I smell more of the American PC correctness and stupidity here,

    If you own a car, you need to get annual insurance, and expect to get it with No Claim Discount, as I live and do a lot of business in a country DE, with no speed limit, and the big BMW & Mercedes are limited at 260K (160 MPH) I go to a lot of trouble to make sure my car is in tip-top mechanical condition. I drive about 40,000k / year, I get 70% NCD, which I also insure, so I can sue Englander who drive into me in car parks.

    So the whole basis of this proposal is nonsense, the more you drive, in a good car, quickly the better you get good at it.

    I remember, nearly 30 years ago, pulling out of a motel in Maynard, MA well In front of a State Police car, whose driver took offence, but could not stay on the road at 50 MPH in thick snow and ice. When I stopped for breakfast, and he caught up, about 15 mins later, he tried to complain until I produced my fuhrerausweiss and explained we do that every day for 3 months each winter in mountains.

  67. Motivation? by beej · · Score: 1

    I only ask because the last two times I moved (to new places in the same city), my insurance went up because I changed zip codes. (At that point I became suspicious and switched companies which "reset" my insurance cost back to its proper level.)

    I think there's a much higher probability that fine-grained tracking will result in the customer being penalized by the insurance company than that they will get a discount. If they're willing to increase my premium for moving to a new house, you can be certain they will increase your premium for minor speeding offenses.

  68. NO! by kheldan · · Score: 2, Informative

    Said it before, I'll say it again: I will NOT consent to tracking devices of ANY sort installed on ANY vehicle I own. Period. They can kiss my ass.

    --
    Are YOU using the TOOL, or is the TOOL using YOU? Think about it!
    1. Re:NO! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Said it before, I'll say it again: I will NOT consent to tracking devices of ANY sort installed on ANY vehicle I own. Period. They can kiss my ass.

      @kheldan, Hopefully you don't live in Wisconsin where cops can attach GPS devices to cars secretly and without obtaining a warrent...

      "As the law currently stands, the court said police can mount GPS on cars to track people without violating their constitutional rights ... even if the drivers arent suspects."

      http://archives.chicagotribune.com/2009/may/07/news/chi-ap-wi-gps-police

  69. public transportation by falconwolf · · Score: 1

    to make travel affordable, it should have more public transit.

    While I'd like better public transportation, people in the US will not use it just because it's better. Many of those who own their own vehicles do not want to and will not give up their vehicles unless they have to. I've put less than 50,000 miles on the car I've owned almost 9 years yet I am not willing to depart with it. For me, I don't want to lose the freedom to jump in my car whenever and drive wherever so long as I can afford it. At the same tyme I'm not against raising fuel taxes, I've actually advocated raising them.

    Falcon

  70. Because by DigitalReverend · · Score: 1

    Insurance companies, just like electric companies as well as municipal water and sewer providers are still operating under the paradigm that existed in the early 20th century. That assumption is that the service they are providing, is either, for, or is, a luxury. At one time, driving was a luxury, at one time electricity was a luxury, at one time city water and sewer were luxuries. Until these providers enter into the 21st century with the rest of us and realize that these activities and services are necessities, you will keep seeing all kind of inane ideas as they try to make a buck.

    --
    I read Slashdot for the headlines, because the headlines, unlike the articles, are usually original and never duplicated
  71. try to go grocery shopping with nothing but your by falconwolf · · Score: 1

    hands.

    The answer is a shopping cart

    Yea, like someone's going to get that shopping cart on a bus with it full of groceries.

    There's also carsharing.

    Carsharing is not that widely available or known about. I like the idea myself, for those who don't need or want vehicles much carsharing is terrific, but I am not willing to get rid of my car.

    Falcon

  72. California needs to back off. by cyn1c77 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    It's good to see that California isn't letting their impending bankruptcy hold back their socialist agenda.

    I lived in LA for 6 years. California is probably one of the worst places to try to implement this program as: (1) they have a massive amount of urban sprawl, (2) Los Angeles has incredibly inefficient public transportation, (3) and there are broad swaths of the state where driving is almost a necessity for people who can't afford to live in the communities that they work in.

    Is this really such a problem that is needs to be addressed right now? As others have said, there are going to be no deals here. Insurance companies will make sure that they profit over this little experiment. Furthermore, the state officials may mean well, but the federal government has shown that they will not hesitate to violate our privacy. Why give them another mechanism to do so?

    But what really puts the cherry on the cake are the little comments that this will reduce CO2 emissions. Newsflash: Most people don't drive more than they need to, and the ones that drive for fun are just going to pay the tax and keep driving. Why does every method for reducing CO2 emissions have to involve punishing people while giving money to industry for absolutely no innovation? Do you think I like sitting in traffic with 3 other carpoolers? Build some efficient public transportation that actually works and people will take it. Reduce urban sprawl by not allowing people to build homes anywhere they feel like. Those are the techniques to reduce driving. Look at NY city. Look at all of Europe.

    1. Re:California needs to back off. by Ichijo · · Score: 1

      Most people don't drive more than they need to

      As a bicycle commuter, I know for a fact that most people drive more than they need to. Including me.

      --
      Any sufficiently unpopular but cohesive argument is indistinguishable from trolling.
    2. Re:California needs to back off. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Look at all of Europe.

      Have you looked at the gasoline prices in Europe? That's a large part of the reason why people take public transport.

      Honestly, your argument that increased gasoline prices make absolutely no difference to distance travelled is pure bunk - if you'd studied even high-school economics, that'd be enough for you to know better.

    3. Re:California needs to back off. by cyn1c77 · · Score: 1

      Look at all of Europe.

      Have you looked at the gasoline prices in Europe? That's a large part of the reason why people take public transport.

      Honestly, your argument that increased gasoline prices make absolutely no difference to distance travelled is pure bunk - if you'd studied even high-school economics, that'd be enough for you to know better.

      Actually, I didn't mention increased gasoline prices, but thanks for bringing that up!

      When gas prices went up dramatically last year, did you notice what most peoples' solution was? it was to buy smaller cars. It was not to take public transit.

      This highlights my thesis, that America (outside of large cities) does not have an acceptably developed public transit system in place to support its populace. We did really good building highways back in the 1950's, but then we stopped developing our transportation infrastructure.

      Personally, I can see why the government stopped trying. It's a really hard problem if you consider the size of the US and the amount of urban sprawl. People were happy with the highways and gas was cheap.

      And in regards to your trollish finale (posting as AC for that weak comment? Honestly...), if you had studied anything past high-school economics, you would understand that people need to have alternative solutions to driving before driving taxes will do anything... you can't take public transit if it doesn't exist.

    4. Re:California needs to back off. by cyn1c77 · · Score: 1

      Most people don't drive more than they need to

      As a bicycle commuter, I know for a fact that most people drive more than they need to. Including me.

      As someone lives in New Mexico and drives 45 miles (one way) to work, I can assure you that I view driving as an unpleasant activity and restrict it as much as I possibly can. And I know that my 3 carpoolers feel the same way. Unfortunately, I am unable to move closer to my workplace due to economic considerations.

      When I lived in LA I used to ride my bike into work, but that was 10 miles, not 45.

  73. Not here they don't. by Chirs · · Score: 1

    Must be your insurance company. Mine has never asked how much I drive.

  74. Not here it isn't. by Chirs · · Score: 1

    This will depend on where you live and which insurance you have.

    I've never been asked how many miles I'll be driving.

  75. This idea fails in the first sentance by Burning1 · · Score: 1

    "The proposal centers on a simple idea: infrequent drivers are less of an insurance risk."

    FAIL. My grandmother drives infrequently. She is not a low insurance risk.

    Driving frequently increases exposure to risk, but it also reduces the risk along a separate curve. Someone who drives 40,000 miles a year tends to be a better driver than someone who only does 5,000 miles a year. Especially if the 40K driver has a record of being accident free.

  76. What's next? by Burning1 · · Score: 1

    Insurance companies are very much interested in looking for ways to profile drivers into high risk categories. What's next after having GPS devices?

    - Variable rates based on how close you are to home? (Most accidents happen within 10 miles of home!)
    - Variable rates based on what kind of road you are on (I like to ride my motorcycle in the Santa Cruz Mountains. Lots of accidents up happen up there.)
    - Increased premiums for driving at night, or in the rain?
    - Variable rates for the speed you drive at?

  77. mandated pay-as-you-go by falconwolf · · Score: 1

    The big story is that the state of California wants to mandate pay-as-you-drive.

    Where's your source? TFA doesn't say pay-as-you-go will be mandated.

    Falcon

  78. Must be your insurance company. by falconwolf · · Score: 1

    Must be your insurance company.

    I've had insurance through different insurers and they all asked for mileage.

    Falcon

  79. I can see health insurance companies adopting this by falconwolf · · Score: 1

    People who frequently exercise are less of an insurance risk. By pricing policies according to the amount of physical activity a person gets, insurance companies can offer discounts to healthier people, and put an appropriate cost penalty on basement-dwelling nerds, obese people, and other physically-unfit people.

    I wish. If only health insurance premiums were at least partially based on the life styles of the insured. The one problem I have with it is that insurance companies will want to monitor people.

    Falcon

  80. The schemes can be combined. by Estanislao+Mart�nez · · Score: 1

    On the surface, that sounds good. But how do you differentiate between drivers and their rates? Should a driver with a 20 year perfect record pay the same as a 19 year old with 4 speeding tickets and 2 serious accidents? Or differentiating between different cars. A VW Beetle vs a Mustang Cobra. Same insurance rate at the pump?

    There's a decent chance that a combination of both approaches is more efficient than either on its own, though. This would involve a fixed rate at the pump that provides a baseline level of insurance, plus compulsory supplementary coverage whose rate depends on the actuarial tables on age, record, car model, etc. The pump insurance might pay only up to a fixed amount per incident (or victim, perhaps?), and the rest of the coverage then would have to come from the supplementary policy. This way, a portion of the claims paid for each accident comes from taxes based on distance driven, and another from insurance rates based on the driver's record, car model, etc.

    This is not to say that this is necessarily better than having insurers just check your odometer periodically; rather, the point is to remind us all that insurance schemes can be composed to produce different outcomes than each of them independently. It all comes down to whether the cost of the extra complexity is lower than the savings from the improved measurement and pricing of the risk factors.

  81. Correct, a rooster raped the hen. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    All baby chicks are the result of rooster rape.

  82. Lloyds by ShakaUVM · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Historically insurance originated as part of the mercantile economy of the British Empire. A ship was an expensive thing, and the loss of a ship could ruin a middle class merchant. So they'd buy insurance--basically they'd pay a fee to a wealthy noble who would then gaurantee the value of the expedition--if the ship sank, they wouldn't lose anything. The amount they paid would be proportional to the risk of losing the ship, the value of the ship/cargo, and plus a margin of profit. Without that profit there'd have been no point for the nobleman to enter into the deal, and the state certainly wasn't about to assume to risk for the merchants.

    You're leaving out Lloyd's, which was the most crucial link in the story.

    Technically, the ship owner would approach Lloyd's of London, and they'd send a guy out to look at the ship and its crew. They'd then do some calculations based on the sailing date and expected weather, and come up with a price. The ship owner would pay the price, and Lloyd's would take a cut.

    Lloyds THEN would turn around and sell all of the risk on the trip. They'd approach (as you say) a rich guy and offer to give him money in exchange for the rich guy to assume some or all of the risk on the trip, telling them the relevant details (good captain, but might run into storms, etc.)

    In such a fashion, Lloyd's never had any risk at all, because they'd sell off all of the risk to others.

    If the voyage did well, the rich guy(s) got to keep the money paid to them by Lloyd's, Lloyd's keeps their cut, and the ship owner has his ship. Everyone's happy. If the ship sinks, a well dressed gentleman from Lloyd's visits the rich guy(s) and tells them to pay up.

    It still works that way today. If you're a wealthy Dubai tycoon, Lloyd's will happily pay you a nice sum of money to assume the risk on, say, an oil supertanker about to sail around the world.

    1. Re:Lloyds by MaskedSlacker · · Score: 1

      Lloyd's is a market, not a firm however. Lloyd's is the NYSE of Insurance, which is not the same as offering insurance themselves. I didn't want to get into the structure of the middle men as I felt it was a side issue.

      My point was that the purpose of insurance has nothing to do with collectivization.

    2. Re:Lloyds by ShakaUVM · · Score: 1

      Ehh, it's not really like the NYSE. Lloyd's is Lloyd's. It's called a "market" but it's closer to a loose organization of organizations under a common brand. If that makes sense. The members of the NYSE don't have the same relationship that members of Lloyd's have with it.

      >>My point was that the purpose of insurance has nothing to do with collectivization.

      A major value of Lloyd's was actually that you could collectivize risk, in the sense that you could buy, say, a 10% share of risk on a certain venture, which would spread the risk out over the different names involved.

    3. Re:Lloyds by MaskedSlacker · · Score: 1

      A major value of Lloyd's was actually that you could collectivize risk, in the sense that you could buy, say, a 10% share of risk on a certain venture, which would spread the risk out over the different names involved.

      Eh....this is true, but I took the OP to mean 'collectivize' in a social sense. I realise now that I might have been mistaken and that he might have meant it in your sense.

  83. Direct and honest taxes are better by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Tax what you want to reduce directly, not indirectly.

    If heavier vehicles cause more damage to roads, then charge them more by gas tax, diesel tax, annual registration and on toll roads.

    If excessive CO2 is what you want to reduce, tax vehicles that produce it on a graduated scale.

    If unsafe driving is to be taxed, have a fine for every accident regardless of fault, but the fine should be higher for the 'at fault' party. The other vehicle may have been responsible in some way too, so fine them for being at the wrong place/time.

    Directly tax what you want to discourage so there's no way to game the system to avoid producing the actual desired outcomes.

  84. The D- In Practical Math by westlake · · Score: 1

    I'll be sitting in heavy traffic, clogging up the streets, taking longer to reach my destination, and probably causing more accidents and safety issues.

    This is an incentive?

    The expressway is safe. You and you car are now at much higher risk - and your premiums skyrocket.

    Your fuel costs go up.

    Your maintenance costs go up.

    The federal minimum wage rises to $6.55/hr on July 24. That's the minimum you lose for each hour wasted in your daily commute.

  85. Flight insurance by sl149q · · Score: 1

    I was discussing this a few weeks ago with a pilot... He noted that this was already the way that insurance is charged for planes... Pay as you go based on hours and logbook. If you don't fly you don't pay (well you pay for theft and vandalism etc. that is separate.) The current insurance regime also penalizes people who want to have more than one car. E.g. get people to use a gas miser for commuting and save that SUV for carting the kids to soccer for the weekend.. If they can have ONLY one car they may end up with ONLY the SUV which is not good for the environment. Pay per use would allow you to optimize your mileage across multiple vehicles without having to pay the huge cost of insurance (with the current models) for both.

  86. I would have kept my car with cheaper insurance by bigtrike · · Score: 1

    You're right that this won't necessarily have the intended consequences. Insurance costs of about $0.20/mile were one of the main reasons I stopped owning a car.

    Due to expensive insurance, I switched purely to bicycle, walking, and rarely a taxi or public transit, reducing my carbon output.

  87. FFS Why not just fund insurance with a petrol tax? by anw · · Score: 1

    No privacy concerns, far cheaper to administer, and within a couple of percent it will give you exactly the same outcome.

    It's such an obvious and simple solution that I find myself siding with the tin-foil-hat brigade in thinking this is just another excuse for more control.

  88. Re:Wait until health insurance companies hear this by plague3106 · · Score: 1

    I guess this is appeal to authority, but actuaries aren't generally known for their wild flights of fantasy.

    Except your wrong. Remember, they're a business trying to make money. They also push for laws which actually make driving less safe... lowering speed limits, installing red light cameras, etc. These things (unexpectedly) raise accident rates, and civil engineers who have no stake in red light camera vs. longer yellow light time say it, but oddly the Insurance Institute for Highway Safety (funded by insurance companies) have "studies" that contradict those finding. You see, if accident rates actually went down, they couldn't justify higher premiums. They have a vested interest in making things "just dangrous enough," so to speak.

    If Insurance companies are offering lower premiums for people who drive shorter distances then it's almost certainly because statistically they pay out less in claims to those drivers. Is there really some reason to suppose otherwise?

    Who said they'd be offering lower rates for those driving less? If by "lower rates," you mean they raise the rates for people that drive an average number of miles or more, technically you're right. But I doubt rates would drop for those driving below some average. Besides, most accidents occur within a few miles of home (and no, that's not the majority of trips, otherwise urban spraw would not be a problem).. so why does miles driven really matter?

    If you like, feel free to find an actual study (not funded by the IIHS) that says those that drive more are automatcially more of a risk.

  89. Re:Wait until health insurance companies hear this by plague3106 · · Score: 1

    Where does age factor into experience? Why is the 40 year old driving 200 miles and not the 18yr old? It may very well be the other way around. Also, where you live plays a part.. whos going to be the better driver? Someone commonly driving in both city and country traffic, or someone that spent the past 50 years driving on small country roads, some of which have only recently been paved?