2011, Year of the Tablet?
frontwave writes "After the huge success of the iPad, with over 4 million units sold since its introduction, all major hardware vendors of PCs and mobile devices are coming out with new tablets in the next few months, including Apple with a smaller version of the popular product. Analysts estimate the market for tablet devices (over 6" screen size) to be around 25 million units for 2011."
Including Apple with a smaller version of the popular product.
And let me guess; You can also call with this one?
When you shoot a mime, do you use a silencer?
Apple is coming out with a easy to swallow capsule.
I'm just going to go ahead and call it.
2011: Year of the soap bar
I'm seriously waiting for this tablet hysteria to die down. In 2007/2008, it was netbooks and nowadays we barely hear a peep about them.
My postings are informational and does not constitute legal advice. Act on it at your risk.
I think apple is riding on its marketing success with the iphone which rode on the marketing success of the ipod, and the other manufacturers are just chasing to keep up. In terms of utility I don't find tablets all that great, unless maybe someone comes up with a colour, solar powered, ruggedised ebook reader, then I'll buy two. I'd call it a pad fad until then. I know there will be hundreds of comments detailing all the wonderful uses they have found for the tablet, but I can't think of many my laptop doesn't do a lot better.
What he can't kill, he has sex on. Trent.
I thought 2011 was going to be the year of Linux on the desktop?
What? No mention of the Pixel Qi -based Adam? This is the one I'm waiting for.
http://notionink.wordpress.com/
http://www.notionink.in/
What is this 4square? When did hardware vendors become mayors?
What's a "mayor hardware vendor"?
I thought the phrase "The year of" belonged to the Linux community for all eternity... or at least until it is.
Tablets have traditionally been used in realms like manufacturing and maintenance, where they replace the clipboards technicians used to carry around. They're useful for activities in which you're running around collecting data (i.e. checking inventory in a warehouse) or going through checklists (i.e. doing maintenance checks on an aircraft's engines). But how useful are they as general-purpose computing devices?
We already have desktops and laptops, which are much better at general-purpose computing than tablets.
We already have smartphones for our mobile computing needs.
We have e-Book readers for carrying books around with us. They're getting programmable too.
Someone tell me: what do we need tablets FOR? What can they do that our other gear doesn't already do more effectively?
They don't seem that useful to me, compared to the alternatives.
Thus spake the master programmer:
"When the program is being tested, it is too late to make design changes." (Tao)
I almost don't care about the operating system of a tablet, as long as it is well supported, as I suspect that in the future many tablet applications with be HTML5-based. But I really really really care about the screen. I want a Pixel QI(OLPC) style screen that works in light emitting and non-emitting mode, so that it can be used as a normal tablet, as an e-reader, and viewed in full sunlight.
This is old news. The 5th Dimension called this years ago in their song when they sang,
'This is the dawning of the Age of the Archos.'
Out of modpoints but really liked a post? 1BDkF6TtmmeZ3yqXbz9yhdYVqRYnwFoXDj
I think I'll hold out for one that lets me play Civ V.
I'm talking about the hysteria going away, not the tablets themselves. I thought I made that clear, but apparently not.
My postings are informational and does not constitute legal advice. Act on it at your risk.
and has been for several years.
Fact is it takes billions of dollars of advertising to change the way the masses use computers, and who really wants them anyway?
all mayor hardware vendors of PCs and mobile devices
Damn_registrars has no butt-hole. Damn_registrars has no use for a butt-hole.
What are you using your tablet for? I have never understood what problem a tablet is trying to solve.
I could see if it was a replacement for something like a notebook ( which I carry around daily ), but current tablets don't do that; the input method is clunky and unwieldy, I can still work significantly faster on my plain old notebook with a pen than a tablet.
So what's it good for?
Mod me down with all of your hatred and your journey towards the dark side will be complete!
Can 2012 be the year of the not-saying-"the year of the ___"-anymore? Please?
No.
https://www.eff.org/https-everywhere
Tablets are actually considered an important up and coming form factor by most hardware vendors; everybody who is anybody has one in the works now.
The higher level thing though is that with the rise of mobile computing, iPhones and iPads and other vendors versions of those, more and more computing will be done on such mobile platforms and less and less importance will be for traditional desktop PCs. Why have a heavy bulky computer tied down to one fixed place in your house, when you can be on the move, use your computer anywhere and everywhere you happen to be? From a coffee shop to waiting for the bus or between classes? People no longer want to be so limited as desktop form factor PCs do.
The smart folks now are preparing for this world, because do not mistake it, it *is* coming. The less than smart ones are denying it'll happen, just like they denied that 68000 based workstations would fall to x86 PCs a long time ago, because they had a personal investment in those workstations and were afraid of change. But it's going to happen even over those people's objections. Just wait and watch.
Yes, with 3 millions sold from Apr 3 to June 22 (80 days), I'd say they've sold over 4 million. Hey TacoBell, why low-ball it? Why not treat it like a new flavor of bubble gum and give it your best UNbiased guess?
If I didn't have absolutely NOTHING to do, I wouldn't be here.
Isn't that just an iPod? Or has Steve Jobs finally figured out that he can churn out a new product every 6 months, regardless of its applicability or usefulness, and the drones will buy it?
Nope.
How about 2010, the year of the tablet? There is still plenty of 2010 remaining, including Xmas season.
i can foresee /. headline for the next 10 years.
"2012: is this the year of linux on the desktop tablet?" ...
"2021: is this the year of linux on the desktop tablet?"
Word count: 717
"could": used 6 times
"probably": used 4 times
"buzz": used 3 times
-writer's "analysts" are unsourced
-writer says specs based on "serious speculation" (what?)
-writing is awful, roughly eighth grade quality (I could cite a dozen examples off the top of my head, but just take my word for it.)
And if you actually make it really tiny, you could call it the iPad Shuffle
I know some people have tried to spread the RUMOR that Apple is making a 7" tablet, but I just don't see it happing. Size is too weird being in-beteen the current iPad and the Touch.
Frankly to me a 7" tablet makes no sense. Part of what makes the iPad really nice to read or browse is the size. What makes the iPod Touch and iPhone so nice is portability.
A 7" tablet is what you make when you get engineers driving specs: "Well how can we make it priced around the iPad with quality parts", or "How to we make it light enough to hold for a long time". Rather than thinking about how easy the final result is to use they optimize for cost or weight without thinking how it will really effect people using the device.
The iPad optimized for readability and features, the Kindle optimized (very well) for long term use and dedication to reading. The smaller tablets coming out (including the Samsung), I just don't know how they will fare.
If anyone will succeed at all it would be Samsung, they are the ones to watch for sure.
"There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
If I put Linux on my tablet.
And put my tablet on the desktop.
Would that make 2011 the year of Linux on the desktop?
__ Someday, but not this morning, I'll finally learn to use the preview button.
I'm not the most cutting-edge guy, but I really don't understand what tablets are good for.
Can anyone explain?
Here you go: www.getac.com It is not solar powered, but it is direct sunlight readable and rugged.
Excuse me, but please get off my Pennisetum Clandestinum, eh!
And it was a girl that worked at an Apple store.
I played with it, it was fairly nifty. Like an iphone that can't fit in your pocket. I could see it being useful for UPS drivers or meter maids or something similar, but I couldn't imagine ever carrying one around full time just because.
I see non-stop hype for ipads in Wired, and I saw that story about a school giving them away in Australia to their students, but otherwise who is buying these?
On one hand, the iPad has been an unqualified success, and Android, other linux, and Windows successors are said to be arriving shortly. On the other hand, part of me wonders how much of the iPad's success was simply due to Apple hype. Had, say, Dell released the exact same hardware, but w/o the Apple imprimatur or OS, would it have sold as well? I rather suspect not.
It me that, like desktop linux and the monorail, the tablet computer is the wave of the future- always has been, always will be.
-Z
I could see if it was a replacement for something like a notebook ( which I carry around daily ), but current tablets don't do that; the input method is clunky and unwieldy
I had no problems typing notes on an iPad at a conference. It's much easier to type on them directly than you seem to think.
Tablets are great for travel, much lighter and better battery life. They are also good for more casual use around the house, like quickly looking up things or in the kitchen.
"There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
If you're the mayor of El Paso, your hardware vendor is Colt's Manufacturing Company, manufacturer of the M-4 carbine.
Read the EFF's Fair Use FAQ
The current designs really don't impress me yet. How about:
- Solving the input problem. Virtual keyboards are virtually awful. Maybe integrate a snap-on BT keyboard?
- Easy to use on the couch? Have you tried it? Will someone make Chumby-style beanbag 'covers' for tablets? If only they had a cupholder, perfect! :)
- Screen size is in opposition to portability. Show me the folding or pull-out screen, something like a windowshade. Is this technology anywhweres near production? Well, I guess I'll be waiting a while.
Maybe Google Phone will suffice for now, maybe, but I'm not really looking for a tablet that makes calls over the cell network. It seems people think that having a 3G card in their means it SHOULD make calls. I got a phone. Lugging a tablet around in place of a tablet AND phone will not happen.
deleting the extra space after periods so i can stay relevant, yeah.
I heard apple is coming out with a larger version of the I-Pad as well. The Max-I-Pad.
If Android is going to really "flood the market" with tablets, it better revise it's decision to require a carrier contract to allow Market access. What use is a tablet that doesn't have the biggest storefront available for that OS? There's no way they're going to compete with Apple on price if they require contracts... I already have a contract for my smartphone, I can't afford a 2nd one just for data on a non-primary device.
Make sure everyone's vote counts: Verified Voting
It's both funny and quite saddening when people own an iPhone, iPod touch, AND iPad... They basically bought the same expensive device 3 times with small variations. As soon as they release a new size of iPad (if they do) there will be some people with 4 of the same expensive device with small variations.
iPhone and iPod touch are basically the same device, with the difference of being on a cellular network (note my use of the word "basically". I do not mean "exactly"). The function of these can be easily combined into just the iPhone. I prefer Android myself, due to the whole openness thing (I can actually write my own app and put it on my own phone without having to get approved by some corporation), but I'll let this one slide.
iPad I think is more like an iFad. What can it do that my laptop can't? Touch. That's about it. I don't care for touch; I loathe smudgy screens and I'm perfectly accustomed to a touchpad or mouse. People like the instant-on; yeah, my laptop does that too: sleep mode. I don't even need to start listing the things a laptop can do that an iPad can't. So to summarize, I think the iPad is like buying one car to go to work in and a second car to go to the grocery store in; all of its functionality is duplicate to something you already have. I don't care if you use one; you're free to spend your money on whatever you please, but I'll save my $X00 and buy something that has a higher added-function-to-my-life to cost ratio.
No, there is no "-1 I'LL NEVER ADMIT BEING WRONG!!!" mod.
With Google admitting Froyo is a phone OS, and pretty bad in the tablet area, and there being no 3rd party apps to take advantage of the new screen size, so i don't really see android taking off (at least with 2.2) as the future of tablet computing. Apple's setup did there customers much more service in terms of 3rd party apps for tablets. Add that to the fact that Apple seems to be the cheapest option (with no contract) And i'm not so sure how this will play out for android. tablets are only as useful as their appstores are beyond a certain point. i got a lol out of "superkendall" though. Samsung gets trashed on a regular basis for it's android UI's.
A traditional laptop basically requires you to unfold the setup, and sometimes plug in peripherals depending on if you like trackpoints or trackpads or neither (I personally hate both, traditional mice for me). An iPad requires you to hit the screen power button and viola, it's on and everything is there you need. I'm directly interacting with the electronic book page or web page. The motions feel nature and are easy to learn.
Also an iPad is more about getting information and content out, not putting information in. Touch screens work fine for writing short specific messages. Keyboards will be better input devices until touchscreens become as accurate and fast as keyboards, and some people even buy keyboards for their iPad. And even if you did have a physical keyboard, you could just whip out the iPad and check the scores or read the news without it so many times it's optional.
With an iPad you are getting an extra level of physical convenience that is quite real. If that's not for you that's fine, it's not meant for everyone. Tablets are suddenly the en vogue because when the iPad was first released, all the other tech companies said "me too!" Now these same companies are saying "shit we are losing laptop sales, we better get our asses moving." I can't speak to say if other tablets will offer a total package that is useful and competitive with the iPad. Right now we can only say what the iPad does vs everything else.
"All great wisdom is contained in .signature files"
Apple is coming out with a easy to swallow capsule.
Red or Blue??
Silver, charcoal, purple, blue, green, yellow, orange, red and pink. ;-)
Yeah, just like that faddish "mouse" idea Jobs got from Xerox, or that overpriced dysfunctional "computer" he and a buddy hacked up in their garage. Delusions of grandeur and crazy out-of-the-box designs left him a pauper ... no, wait, that's right, he's a multi-billionaire whose garage-startup is one of the most valuable companies in the world. Huh.
Can we get a "-1 Wrong" moderation option?
Some of this is solved, some not:
A lot of folks have expressed some doubt as to what they'd do with an iPad-like device, and yeah, I'm with you there. I already have an iPhone and a laptop, and while I can sort of see the attraction in something with a bigger screen than the phone but with the instant bootup and portability that the laptop lacks... ultimately, I can't see spending the money. But there are a few use cases where this kind of thing really shines: 1) on the train. If you commute to work, it would be a lot easier to check e-mail, read a book, listen to music, play a game, whatever, on one of these, than to get out and fire up the laptop. 2) e-reader++. If you are considering a Kindle, but want to be able to do more with it than just read books (and you don't read outside a lot), this would be a pretty useful device.
I think it is too early to call them a huge success. The Yugo, by this standard, was a huge success of a car. After all, a lot of people bought them and at one time, there was a LOT of them on the road.
Before we start calling this a success, we should wait to see if people are still using them in another year... or a couple more years. A successful product is one, like the palm pilot. That gadget was wildly successful. It was in many pockets, briefcases and hands for a very long time... some people are still using theirs. (Personally, I didn't think it would catch on...I was wrong)
So far, I know three iPad owners. Of those three, exactly 0 of them are still carrying it around with them. That's right. They carried them around for about a month before I no longer notice them carrying it. Do they still play with it? Maybe... maybe at home. They certainly don't bring it to work with them any longer. That sampling is certainly not large enough to establish a trend, but it is certainly within my expectations.
Apple said it sold 3.27 million iPads in Q2.
That's 4% of the market - for a single "it sucks, it's gonna go nowhere" radical new product out of the starting gate, that's awesome.
Can we get a "-1 Wrong" moderation option?
What are you using your tablet for? I have never understood what problem a tablet is trying to solve ... So what's it good for?
I think a tablet could be good for most applications where a web interface could be good.
For example I had an eye exam recently. The assistant had to walk away from myself and her various apparatus to go to her desk, ask me the standard battery of background questions, and then enter the responses into the HMO's system via a web interface. We had a chat about this and she mentioned that she would have loved to have done the Q&A on a tablet. She felt she would be more efficient staying with the apparatus and offered a friendlier and more courteous customer experience by not having to walk across the room and turn her back on me in order to use the computer.
It was many years ago but I had an insurance adjuster inspect the damage to my car and use a custom cellular based tablet to create a repair estimate.
I believe these and other serious applications are better fits for tablets than netbooks.
I don't care if it is the same size or not, but when trying both an iPad and Kindle outside its laughable.
The first company to deliver a e-paper quality screen in color is going to rake in the money.
I want a tablet that a) I can use in all lighting conditions, but will accept needing a light source b) will not be horribly put out money wise if I drop it/it walks
* Winners compare their achievements to their goals, losers compare theirs to that of others.
1.5 pounds, smaller than a sheet of paper, no unfolding & setup, instant on, always connected. What's not to solve?
Key thing most miss: it's not an outright computer replacement. It gives you about 80% of what you need a computer for, anywhere anytime. You don't have to drag around the mass storage, bulky input devices, larger screen, etc. you need for about 20% of your use. To the contrary, by putting 80% of what you do on a tiny superduperportable tablet, you're freed to leave a big bulky powerhouse computer behind, rather than trying to cram everything into a compromise notebook shell.
Can we get a "-1 Wrong" moderation option?
Mayor hardware vendor?
Seriously though... Everyone cranking out a tablet is a MAJOR FAIL. Everyone who wanted a tablet has already bought the iPad. How are all those eBook readers doing in sales? I mean, aside from the market leader, Amazon, with the Kindle.
I saw Sony marketing not one, but three different eBook readers at CES in January, and nearly every other "mayor" hardware vendor also had one, Toshiba, Samsung, etc., and I pointed out to my friend at the show that the market was going to be oversaturated because everyone had jumped on this sinking ship.
So, find out how those sales are, and you'll get a pretty good indication of where the Tablet market is headed. My prediction: Oversaturation leading to a sinking ship.
I'm also reminded of all those failed "internet appliances" like the Audrey, where, in 10 years, we'll look at those tablets as a strange curiosity and wonder whatever convinced CEOs to make these god-awful devices that nobody wanted.
If telephones are outlawed, then only outlaws will have telephones.
I've seen a half-dozen in the mall food court alone lately.
At least two friends have bought theirs within days of seeing mine.
Can we get a "-1 Wrong" moderation option?
why is the parent modded funny....Android is Linux.
He correctly identified a successful product, the Palm Pilot, that survived well over a decade with few changes to the base architecture, and he identified a product that sold well, the Yugo, but was deemed a failure after people actually tried to use it past the warranty period.
If telephones are outlawed, then only outlaws will have telephones.
A "LOT" of Yugo's? Where do you live? Here in northern California I have yet to notice one!
I killed da wabbit -Elmer Fudd
I want a replacement for a paper notebook. I do lots of engineering studies, where a keyboard is not practical for input. I would like to be able to write with a stylus on a virtual notebook. Such a device as this would allow me to store all my notebooks as a single notebook. In addition, it should be able to store electronic versions of my textbooks (which I acquire either legitimately, illegitimately, or by scanning the text myself).
Other functionality, such as wireless capability, would be a nice option to have, but I do not want to buy such a device only on condition of a service agreement of any kind.
Such a device should cost less than $500.
A work that expires before its copyright never enters the public domain and thus enjoys eternal copyright protection.
What are you using stockings for? I (a guy) have never understood what problem a pair of stockings is trying to solve. A good looking pair of women's legs looks great without them.
Sorry - if that seemed a bit off topic, but I hope it will show you that if there if a thing that doesn't solve a problem for you, then don't go out looking for a problem to fit the thing; just don't buy the thing. Period.
That said - personally, I am an iPad user - one who actually stood in a queue for one the day it was released here. For ME it solves the "problem" to have a device I can read (mostly tech/business type) books on, but also run apps, like mind mapping tools.
A Kindle would be better for the former, but can't do the latter.
A laptop could do both, but really - commuting to work on public transport, I can read on the iPad, I wouldn't really be able to read on a laptop.
Your mileage will vary on this one. If you were in a similar situation, you might have come to the conclusion that the iPad would be the tool for you as well. As it stands, if it doesn't solve an obvious need in your life - don't buy it - but don't bitch about it either -- there are myriads of things out there which I guess you don't use either - but for which you don't feel the need to let slashdot know, that you just personally do not have a use for, like, say: citrine icosahedrons, a cd of central pennsylvania marriages 1700-1896, a brass duck sitting un umbrella (all random items of ebay).
To sum up: If you can't see a use for Funny Novelty Pirate Print Toilet Paper - just plain don't buy it.
There WERE a lot of Yugo cars... not any more. That was my point. They were a huge hit upon introduction. But when people started using them, they realized they were crap and people stopped buying them. It would be interesting to see one on the road today, but "in their day" (which was about how long they lasted) there were lots of them... and in Northern California as a matter of fact. Around that time, I was in the Navy stationed at Mare Island in the San Francisco area. Car dealers were really pushing those Yugo cars! One was painted up all nice and had air conditioning and they wanted like $10,000 for it. I was young and naive, but not THAT naive. The whole point of the Yugo was to be inexpensive and here they were selling one for $10k? In the early 1990's? I know military people are gullible and easily persuaded, but sheesh! That was ridiculous.
Tablets will replace books in the future and if you think your great-great-grandkids are going to be reading paper books anywhere other than on an archeological dig, then you shouldn't be on a website for nerds. Either Slashdot has been infiltrated by Neo-Luddites or ya'll be hatin' because Apple came out with the best (and so far only successful) tablet computer and did it in a smart way that integrates nicely with everything their cool phone does and integrates with the biggest online music store and they have deals with all the major content providers so it can encompass ALL traditional media all in one handy device with a battery that lasts all day.
Part of what makes the iPad really nice to read or browse is the size. What makes the iPod Touch and iPhone so nice is portability.
I somewhat agree. I much prefer using the Kindle app on an iPad compared to an iPhone. However using a higher resolution screen would partly offset a size reduction and perhaps maintain readability.
iPad: 1024-by-768-pixel resolution at 132 pixels per inch (ppi), 9.7-inch (diagonal)
iPhone 3GS: 480-by-320-pixel resolution at 163 ppi, 3.5-inch (diagonal)
iPhone 4: 960-by-640-pixel resolution at 326 ppi, 3.5-inch (diagonal)
If we use a screen comparable (wrt ppi) to the one in the 3GS we get a diagonal size of about 7.85 inches. Similar dimensions if we double the resolution and use a display comparable to the iPhone 4. Seeing the iPad go to under 8 inches seems highly plausible. Now having this occur in November, that is a bit less likely. I'd be surprised if retina displays could be manufactured at 2048-by-1536 in large enough volumes. If it happens in November I'd expect the 3GS type display.
The first company to deliver a e-paper quality screen in color is going to rake in the money.
I think such a device will always be more niche than an LCD, because eInk is never going to be a very good video experience. It can be great for reading (though I find the current eInk devices offer too low contrast for my reading pleasure, but others like them) but for most other uses it falls flat - and is not touchscreen either...
So I think Kindles and iPads will both continue to do well, and a color Kindle will helm out Amazon but not really hurt iPad sales.
I want a tablet that a) I can use in all lighting conditions
I can use the iPad outside, though I'd prefer not to. But an LCD is great in most conditions people will find themselves using a table. A readable screen outdoors is probably more important for something like a phone that you would use outside more, which is why between that and the color I don't like AMOLED as they are being used in phones.
"There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
Apple says over 120 million "iOS" (formerly iPhone OS) devices have shipped since the iPhone introduction in 2007. Every one is a tablet computer. The iPad just happens to be the largest.
Build a man a fire, he's warm for one night. Set him on fire, and he's warm for the rest of his life.
-i can buy a net/notebook with roughly the same computational power as last year but lower price, size, and energy comsumption (meaning battery lifetimes for acceptable price finally started to increase seriously!)
-i can buy devices in all form factors with extremely small size, small computational power, but enough to make a drawing or a text. i find the choice we have now have extremely nice.
However: i wont buy a tablet without and electromagnetic digitizer.
Why can the iPad not have either of the apps you mention?
It already has one - you can annotate PDF's with multiple third party apps:
http://ipad4edu.com/questions/47/can-i-annotate-pdfs-on-the-ipad
What you don't realize is the SDK includes great PDF support, that allows you to generate and work with PDF files very easily from any iOS app. Also with the iPad onward, you could register applications to handle specific file tpye.s
Microsoft One Note is just a matter of someone writing it (which of course is no small matter, but you said it's something the iPad "cannot have")
"There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
Others enumerated the more amusing aspects (surfing, Netflix, etc.).
My excuse for getting one, and ongoing need:
I teach part time. Between a full time job plus teaching four nights a week I was faced with very little spare time to squeeze in grading, emails, and extensive online components of the course; professional activities which required frequent short-term attention. With the iPad, I can do those things in whatever five-minute schedule gaps I had. The device is easy to have around anywhere anytime (lunch, waiting for someone, breakfast, family tv viewing, fatherly 3am wakings) and so I can keep up with my students. With cloud-based tools like file sharing (Dropbox) and application virtualization (Citrix Xen) I can even test compile & run programming assignment submissions with MS Visual Studio anywhere anytime with the iPad.
Of course I could do similar with a notebook. I did. It sucked. Hunting around for a wifi connection outside my main workplace or wherever I happened to be, having to sit down and unfold the notebook and wait for it to wake up, hauling around the 3+ lb notebook and power cables (lousy battery life), debating whether a $60/mo 3G dongle was worth it (not at that price and contract term), etc. - doable, yet just lousy enough to drag down the effort. Too easy to not bother, too easy to just put things off.
The iPad crosses the critical line. It's tiny. It's always handy. It's big enough to use (iPod Touch wasn't). It's always connected. Short of those few times when I really do need a decked out computer, I can do anything I need to on a moment's notice. Click, swipe, tap, email checked - even at a traffic light. And it's big enough, unlike the iPhone.
Bought it the day the 3G came out. Carried my butt thru those four-nights-a-week sessions, and so paid for itself. When you have a business need for a computer RIGHT NOW (or enough of those moments), it can save or make it's price quick. The iPad is not just a toy, it is a business tool (like any, not for all) and a life tool.
I am still waiting for a tablet with a real stylus support on which I could take notes, doodle, markup, etc. Unless all you do is consume information, this is absolutely essential. All the upcoming tables just strive to be iPad copies. Jobs declared stylus to be a fail and everyone just takes that for the absolute truth. Doesn't anyone has the balls to innovate any more? MS, who makes excellent OneNote, has already shown that it can't lead and nixed Courier. IBM doesn't make consumer shit anymore, HP is too busy giving millions to asshat executives, and Google already has a million other projects to work on.
2012 is the year of my retirement eligibility, AND the year the Mayan calendar comes to an end.
Free Martian Whores!
I thought by now we'd all be using ARM-based netbooks (or smartbooks, if you insist) with Pixel Qi displays. Everyone said the technology was coming, but it's getting upwards of two years now since this stuff was promised. NVidia is already cranking out Tegra 2 chips and working on Tegra 3. Pixel Qi displays are in production. There are plenty of netbook-optimized Linux distros now, and there is Linux support for ARM. They components seem to all be in place. So. . . What's the hold up? Where are the goods?
All I'm seeing in netbooks are basically the same Wintel machines with the same specs as last year, or updates so timid that they make my eyes glaze over.
The smart phone market to me are really just small computers that focus on communication. But it's not the computer world we know and love as it is with desktops/laptops. No, this is a locked down world, where environments are fenced in, isps trying to provide 'added value' services instead of just giving me the wireless fat pipe I want. What's happening with phones seems to be happening with the tablets as well.
I thought it was google to the rescue with droid, but the manufacturers lock their devices down as well. I want a device where I'm free to install what I want on it, free to try and another os if it exists and free to get root access to the machine. It's a computer god damn it, with just another means of interfacing (touch vs keyboard mouse).
Look at the mentality out there. I just started googling before finishing my comment and started reading about the EVO HTC (a 4g droid phone) I'm watching a reivew on utube and he says 'one of the great things about the hotspot is it's only 29.99 a month' WTF? This is exactly what I'm talking about. Making your own hotspot (tethering as they call it) is just an app. you are already paying for your net access. If I want to pipe it to my laptop, let me and charge me. Don't charge me a second time! At most, I can see a cost for the app if the phone doesn't have this functionality but it's not a service!! Sigh. It's stuff like this that makes not want to get a smart phone. Hoping the tablet market is different.
Nokia sell that many smart phones in seven months.
You predicted that the Palm Pilot wouldn't catch on, so that suggests you will be wrong about the iPad. That sampling is certainly not large enough to establish a trend, either, but it is certainly within my expectations.
Your logic is broken. It only suggests I might be wrong, not that I will be.
Well, ignoring that I did only suggest it, why don't you think it will be a success?
1. It is a device dependant on other devices. (That didn't stop the palm pilot though it had a certain level of independence as it could sync with other palms)
2. It is limited to a subset of the experience that users have come to expect from the internet. (People like gains and dislike losses -- that is essential animal psychology)
3. It is too big.
4. It has almost no expansion capability so it is all it will ever be. And at its current price, most people will not be able to justify spending it all over again when an upgrade version comes out while resale value on the older version plummets when the new one is announced.
5. Apple's policies hinder it significantly.
1. I don't see why that matters too much. Besides, you can even install apps from the device. And who's to say that this won't change soon?
2. It is limited, but that doesn't necessarily matter to most people most of the time. A laptop also has its limitations, too -- they're just different limitations.
3. For you, perhaps. I wouldn't want the screen to be any smaller. It's very thin and light, and will only improve in this area.
4. Same goes for most ultra portable devices like phones, tablets, and netbooks. People buy new computers and gadgets all the time even though their current devices work just fine. No one is forcing you to always by the next version, either.
5. The success of the device and the app store suggest otherwise, and the restrictions seems to be getting more relaxed over time.