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Will Netflix Destroy the Internet?

nicholasjay writes "Netflix is swallowing America's bandwidth and it probably won't be long before it comes for the rest of the world. That's one of the headlines from Sandvine's Fall 2010 Global Internet Phenomena Report, an exhaustive look at what people around the world are doing with their Internet lines. According to Sandvine, Netflix accounts for 20 percent of downstream Internet traffic during peak home Internet usage hours in North America. That's an amazing share — it beats that of YouTube, iTunes, Hulu, and, perhaps most tellingly, the peer-to-peer file-sharing protocol BitTorrent."

577 comments

  1. So, how long before... by Nevo · · Score: 5, Interesting

    ...my ISP starts punishing me for using the Internet to do legal things that the Internet was designed for?

    1. Re:So, how long before... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      I'm sorry ... but I don't believe the guys who originally designed the Internet ever envisioned Netflix.

    2. Re:So, how long before... by HockeyPuck · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Does your electrical company increase your rates or move to a higher tier if you run appliances all day long? What about your water company? I know in my area both of these apply. Which is why it's cheaper to have water trucked in than it is to use the old garden hose. If I was closer to a fire hydrant I could ask the water company to run a line and hook up a meter as well.

      Or are you just a bit sore that your 500GB limit, which probably equates to 100 netflix movies a month will be used up? If you're watching 100 netflix movies a month I suggest you try using that other service called..

      FRESH AIR.

    3. Re:So, how long before... by ShavedOrangutan · · Score: 1

      ...my ISP starts punishing me for using the Internet to do legal things that the Internet was designed for?

      As soon as you reach the bandwidth cap that is specified in the fine print of the TOS.

      At that point, they'd be happy to sell you access to HBO, Showtime, Cinemax, etc..

      --
      Godaddy is a scam and a ripoff.
    4. Re:So, how long before... by The+Mighty+Buzzard · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I dare say you'd be wrong. Envisioning things way ahead of where they currently were was pretty much their job description.

      --
      Violence is like duct tape. If it doesn't solve the problem, you didn't use enough.
    5. Re:So, how long before... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

      Umm, the internet was designed to be a redundant communications network to keep military bases connected. It was to address the concern that a nuclear war would knock out communication to underground bunkers at the Pentagon, Cheyenne Mountain, and SAC HQ.
      It was never envisioned to be a commercial or entertainment vehicle.

    6. Re:So, how long before... by Chrisq · · Score: 1, Funny

      Your ISP (among others) will punish you for doing things the Internet was originally designed for.

      Unless you work for, or are an ally of, the US Military, that is...

      Darn, I was planning to invade Iraq

    7. Re:So, how long before... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I agree.... the ISP's cannot now use the tired old excuse for throttling traffic: "Well, we are only blocking illegal filesharing."

      Last I heard, I pay for netflix and it is properly licensed, so.... what you gonna do Mr. ISP man????

    8. Re:So, how long before... by LHorstman · · Score: 3, Informative

      The FRESH AIR service is over rated. It's polluted by too much reality programming.

    9. Re:So, how long before... by Lord+Bitman · · Score: 2, Insightful

      with 2^32 addresses?

      --
      -- 'The' Lord and Master Bitman On High, Master Of All
    10. Re:So, how long before... by Elbart · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Guess what Sandvine is selling: http://www.sandvine.com/customers/cable_providers.asp "Differentiated Services -- prioritize multimedia applications to ensure a high-quality online experience for subscribers (VoIP, IPTV, gaming)"

    11. Re:So, how long before... by spire3661 · · Score: 1

      Bullshit.Video jukebox in the sky has been a dream for many MANY decades.

      --
      Good-bye
    12. Re:So, how long before... by Moryath · · Score: 1, Troll

      "500GB Limit."

      I love how retards like you fail to understand how bandwidth works.

      You're not paying for a certain amount of downloads per month as if you were buying gas. You're paying for a pipe with a certain momentary capacity measurable in a very small time frame, say 100mbit/second.

      When they start advertising "high max data speeds" but then implement a cap that works out to a piddly-crap connection worse than dialup (the standard crapass USA ISP like Comcrap, or Coxsuckers at 150GB limit equals 0.45 Mbit/second), they are committing false advertising, plain and simple.

    13. Re:So, how long before... by mini+me · · Score: 1

      Does your electrical company increase your rates or move to a higher tier if you run appliances all day long?

      Yes. Here in Ontario usage during peak periods is charged at a higher rate than off-peak periods. Not exactly the same method ISPs are using, but the idea is the same: To reduce consumption of an infrastructure that cannot support the demand.

    14. Re:So, how long before... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Odds are, you and I are already being published for using our connections legally.

      Ad. injections in stream, site DNS captures and redirects... Find me a provider who leaves their ISP customers alone and manages their network with ease, and you'll being looking at someone who is about to be bought out by a larger Corporate whore wanting to exploit a functioning market.

      Running an efficient technology company is frowned upon in this age. Unless you are screwing your customers while maximizing profits, you're pretty much un-American. At this point, I'm not sure Net-Neut. legislation is going to honestly solve all this.

    15. Re:So, how long before... by nospam007 · · Score: 1

      I thought it was youtube that was killing the net, then it was bittorrent and now this?
      Next week it will be refreshing social sites that's doing it.

      Keep fear alive!

    16. Re:So, how long before... by gblackwo · · Score: 1, Funny

      Al Gore is a pretty smart guy, i'm pretty sure he would've seen something like Netflix coming.

    17. Re:So, how long before... by ElectricTurtle · · Score: 1

      Yeah except your quaint analogy breaks down where it meets the fact that I didn't enter into a contract with the electric and/or water company for unlimited electricity and/or water for $/mo. US residential internet service is not usually pay-as-you-go, and I know few who want it to be. My ISP is going to give me what they are advertising or I'll switch ISPs. Caps are acceptable so long as they are clearly defined and reasonable.

      --
      I support the Slashcott and will not be reading or commenting from 2/10/14 to 2/17/14. Beta is steaming pile of dog shit
    18. Re:So, how long before... by MBGMorden · · Score: 5, Interesting

      I don't know. This could be a GOOD thing. Previously, there seemed to be some stigma attached to high bandwidth users. Anyone who was using a lot of bandwidth was "obviously" doing SOMETHING shady. With the birth of services like this, it's starting to become quite common for regular old users to suck-up lots of bandwidth. I think the ISP's may finally have to pony up some dough and upgrade their infrastructure.

      Of course, if they'd had a bit of sense, they'd have realized a simple truth that applies to almost any computer usage, be it processing power, bandwidth, or anything else: today's power users use what tommorow's regular users are. Rather than trying to persecute your heavy users, use them as a metric to gauge what you need to roll out.

      --
      "People who think they know everything are very annoying to those of us who do."-Mark Twain
    19. Re:So, how long before... by somersault · · Score: 1

      For 1080p HD movies with 7.1 surround you could be looking at 25GB per movie, which only gives you 20 movies a month. In a family home there could easiy be 20 movies watched per month, even with some members of the household being out at work/school all day, or out getting fresh air in the evenings.

      I exercise at least 3 times a week, but I still enjoy watching DVDs and blu-rays on my rest days, or after training..

      --
      which is totally what she said
    20. Re:So, how long before... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Just FYI, a streamed Netflix movie is around 1.8 GB for two hours of SD. About 3 GB for two hours of HD.

    21. Re:So, how long before... by Amouth · · Score: 3, Informative

      that was supposed to be only for the testing group

      problem is it never ended

      http://www.networkworld.com/community/blog/why-ipv6-vint-cerf-keeps-blaming-himself

      some wanted a 128bit others a 32bit..

      --
      '...if only "Jumping to a Conclusion" was an event in the Olympics.'
    22. Re:So, how long before... by xgr3gx · · Score: 1

      If ISPs don't want us sucking bandwidth from multimedia, don't advertise by telling us how awesome your service is for "Movies, games, music, and social networking sites"

      --
      Shameless plug alert: Game server control panel
    23. Re:So, how long before... by jon3k · · Score: 1

      You mean a family of 5 can't each watch a movie every day and a half? You know a lot of people watch all of their TV via Netflix as well right? Also if you use 500GB a month on video, that means they can't use any other bandwidth for the month. Dad can't VPN into work, Suzie can't stream music and little Johnny can't play online games. I think within the next few years 500GB a month won't really be a lot of bandwidth for many families. At least families that are getting all their video (TV, movies) online.

    24. Re:So, how long before... by LordLimecat · · Score: 1

      Not really, unless they actually say "unlimited" and do not give you unlimited. You said it yourself-- what you are paying for isnt generally "all you can eat", but a certain pipe size. They give you that (and Ill note that as slimy as it may be, they DO advertise "UP TO xx mbits"....); your "momentary capacity" is as they advertised.

      To use your gas / car analogy, it would be as if a gas station offered a high-speed filling service, "10 gallons of gas at 5 gallons per minute", and you started complaining that it wasnt all you can eat. Guess what, its not monthly throughput youre paying for, but the width of the pipe, so to speak.

      Id love to get all you can eat as much as the next guy, but as has been pointed out time and time again by rational minds, thats simply unrealistic. We know that 20% of the users will eat up 80% of the traffic, and no matter what school of economics you subscribe to that ends up hurting the 80%.

    25. Re:So, how long before... by hairyfeet · · Score: 5, Interesting

      500? 150? Hate to break the news to ya, but I'm in one of the "test markets" for the "new" caps, and guess what? It is 36Gb for residential and 76Gb for business so you can say goodbye to things like Netflix, because with caps THAT low, good luck watching movies on the net. Oh and if you go over? $1.50 per Gb! Of course these caps don't count for their own services, nor do they count for Windows updates because they are setting up a WSUS server. Now that net neutrality is dead expect expect to join me in suckitude my friends. My ISP is Cox but from what I was told once they roll it out nationally the others WILL fall suit.

      So enjoy while you can my friends, the party is nearly over. With caps that low the ISPs are gonna make out like robber barons, their test data shows the little old ladies and soccer moms won't be affected so there won't be any bitching from that circle, and of course I'm sure the *.A.A will be happy to throw lots of spin and marketing behind them to the tune of "Only thieves use THAT much bandwidth!" complete with charts in PPT showing how many MP3s or some other worthless comparison. Welcome to the future, where if you don't have FIOS (which from what I understand Verizon is quickly slowing or stopping rollouts all over the place) then you get to enjoy pre broadband Internet. Trust me, it does suck.

      --
      ACs don't waste your time replying, your posts are never seen by me.
    26. Re:So, how long before... by psbrogna · · Score: 1

      They probably thought of it but considered it an inappropriate use of the network. Remember, the Internet originally wasn't meant for commercialization and there was great resistance to it right up until the early 1990's.

    27. Re:So, how long before... by SuricouRaven · · Score: 1

      Plus the other uses - web browsing, games, patches for those games, youtube videos of cats doing silly things, the windows update... it all adds up.

    28. Re:So, how long before... by MindKata · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I would say, if "Netflix is swallowing America's bandwidth" then America bandwidth needs to increase.

      @parent post, I know you are joking about ISPs but this story is really a covert PR story by the anti net neutrality people. This same kind of story was tried in the UK using the example of the BBC iPlayer bandwidth, trying to say it was a major drain on UK Internet bandwidth ... which they then followed up with along the lines of “so hey, how about we charge extra for iPlayer bandwidth”, when the real problem was the UK bandwidth was and still is too low (just like America bandwidth). In countries with much faster internet access, these video services take up far less of the overall percentage of bandwidth and so do not swallow all the bandwidth.

      Scare stories like this are used as a marketing chess move by the anti net neutrality lot of lobbyists. They want to charge for specific kinds of data and in the UK the next move they are playing is also aiming to earn even more from then also spying on the data (via deep-packet inspection) which is also needed to kill net neutrality. (The growing Police State in the UK is also seeking to use deep-packet inspection for its 24/7 spying on everyone). Deep-packet inspection has to be made illegal globally or they will continue to push to exploit it.

      So to the idea "Netflix is swallowing America's bandwidth", I say, bullshit!, America needs and in time will have more bandwidth, so these reports are bullshit, no one needs to worry about these scare stories. Its like the old saying, follow the money, and the money people are behind stories like this.

      Plus oh what a surprise, Sandvine, the creators of this so called report, (Two faced PR marketing move more like), already use deep-packet inspection, so they would gain from killing net neutrality and selling their services.
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sandvine

      Sandvine you two faced bastards, we can see through your chess moves.

      --
      There are 10 kinds of people in the world... those who understand binary and those who don't.
    29. Re:So, how long before... by SuricouRaven · · Score: 1

      They usually don't specify the cap anywhere, in order to maintain more flexibility in changing it according to demand and capacity. The TOS might refer to 'reasonable use' or something along those lines, but not an exact figure.

    30. Re:So, how long before... by SuricouRaven · · Score: 1

      Selling? Sandvine are the leaders in this technology at the carrier level. If you're a major ISP and you want to impliment some form of traffic classification and prioritisation, they are probably the first company you want to talk to.

    31. Re:So, how long before... by Batman+of+Earth-2 · · Score: 1

      I'll second that; weather.com has nothing on STRATCOM.

    32. Re:So, how long before... by ewieling · · Score: 1

      I would love a 500GB/month cap on my Verizon EVDO service. They cap you at 5GB/month. An extra 5GB/month is about $200.

      --
      I really shouldn't have used someone else's email address for this account.
    33. Re:So, how long before... by icebike · · Score: 1

      ...my ISP starts punishing me for using the Internet to do legal things that the Internet was designed for?

      The Net wasn't designed for netflicks.
      You can make the case that it's just data, but it is huge amounts of data that users want delivered without any pauses, exactly where they want it, at the highest quality.

      All this on a network designed for email and websurfung and the occasional music or short video download.

      The point of the article is that the net is woefully inadequate for the task.

      Your isp can let you bring down the shared resource for everyone or they can impose some restrictions.

      --
      Sig Battery depleted. Reverting to safe mode.
    34. Re:So, how long before... by Dog-Cow · · Score: 2, Informative

      It was designed to connect research institutions (universities) to each other and to military research institutions (DARPA). It was not designed to be resistant to attack, much less nuclear attack. The ability to reroute is, and was, necessary because physical equipment and lines are prone to intermittent failure.

      You, and whoever modded you Informative, are ignorant idiots.

    35. Re:So, how long before... by kent_eh · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I don't know. This could be a GOOD thing. Previously, there seemed to be some stigma attached to high bandwidth users. Anyone who was using a lot of bandwidth was "obviously" doing SOMETHING shady. With the birth of services like this, it's starting to become quite common for regular old users to suck-up lots of bandwidth. I think the ISP's may finally have to pony up some dough and upgrade their infrastructure.

      Of course, if they'd had a bit of sense,

      Thing is, the ISPs are still pissed off that you are buying a legitimate service from someone other than themselves. So they aren't going to do anything that would make it easier for you to give your money to anyone who isn't them.
      You are still "obviously" doing something very wrong in their eyes.

      There is no way the ISPs (especially cablecos and telcos) will change their position on this and be customer friendly unless they are forced with a pretty big stick
      And after the recent US election, I can't see that happening in the near future. Consumer protection laws seem to be pretty much the opposite of the Tea Party philosophy. Or GOP, for that matter (speaking as a non-american looking in)

      --

      ---
      "I can't complain, but sometimes still do..." Joe Walsh
    36. Re:So, how long before... by TheCRAIGGERS · · Score: 4, Interesting

      I think all ISPs realize that bandwidth needs to increase. Looking at a bandwidth graph over the last three decades would make that plainly obvious.

      However, how will this be paid for? They say it should be the Googles and the Netflixes, I say it should come out of their CEO's new yacht fund. That, I think, is where the point of contention lies.

    37. Re:So, how long before... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They didn't envision TCP either, so we have to stop using that as well.

    38. Re:So, how long before... by irishPete · · Score: 1

      To be fair, I am not sure the original design anticipated the amount of bandwidth that HD Video and the like use. TANSTASFL, or free bandwidth for that matter.

      --
      disk? hmmm... I know I saw it somewhere...
    39. Re:So, how long before... by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1, Offtopic

      Scare stories like this are used as a marketing chess move by the anti net neutrality lot of lobbyists.

      Yes and of course, they are simple minded merchants. Chess is played by merchants and accountants; while philosophers and warriors play Go.

      It is unfortunate that the people in power are also merchants and accountants. They will be more apt to respect the chess moves; while those of us who see the larger game in Go-- looking at the whole of the board, seeing how this move doesn't just change this area for the next few moves but alters future positions until the very end of the game dozens of moves later-- will see these chess moves as short-sighted self-serving drivel, and see the larger game taking better shape only if more care and consideration is taken before playing any move.

      Of course, the merchants in power will play out with their fellow chess players, haggling over their simple goal of capturing or defending the king with no regard to how many pieces are lost on the board in the process by either side. Even if the businesses don't capture their king, they'll likely spread disaster before submitting to a checkmate; and both sides will think nothing of the destruction wrought, because one side won and the other lost.

      Who cares about lost pawns when you won?

    40. Re:So, how long before... by Lumpy · · Score: 1

      They already are, you just dont notice it yet.

      Ever notice how you suddenly drop out of HD to DVD quality about the middle to 3/4 point in the movie?
      Ever try to do a big download right after watching a HD netflix?

      go looking, the scumbag ISP you have is throttling and/or oversold their backbone and you are being punished for paying for the service you were promised.

      --
      Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
    41. Re:So, how long before... by gstoddart · · Score: 1

      So to the idea "Netflix is swallowing America's bandwidth", I say, bullshit!, America needs and in time will have more bandwidth, so these reports are bullshit, no one needs to worry about these scare stories.

      Playing Devil's Advocate here ...

      Who pays for the added capacity? If the ISPs aren't going to make any more, what is their incentive to invest in new capacity? Where does this additional bandwidth come from - thin air?

      Netflix and Skype more or less work on a model of selling you a service that assumes you magically get the bandwidth you need. They don't need to provide it ... oh, sure, they need to get their connection to the backbone and push it from their servers. But, what you pay them is isolated from what you pay your ISP. So in effect, if you can't afford the bandwidth to use their services, their services are useless -- in the case of NetFlix, I'm sure the sheer volume of data per user is quite large.

      I'm a proponent of net neutrality, but I can understand that the needed bandwidth needs to come from somewhere -- and I just can't see how it's in an ISPs best interests to invest in more infrastructure, and charge the same or less as they're charging now. Do you think they should do it out some altruistic sense that the world will be a better place if we all have more bandwidth? The shareholders would replace the board in about a week.

      As much as I think most of the major telcos/ISP are a bunch of greedy weasels, I can understand why they don't want to foot the bill to give everyone unlimited gigabit capacity to the curb unless they're getting paid for it. Throttling something like NetFlix basically means they're keeping bandwidth available for people like me who aren't trying to saturate their link 24x7 with downloading movies.

      Now, I don't claim to have a solution to this ... I'm just not sure how one goes about providing the unlimited bandwidth you seek so that bandwidth-heavy apps can run and pull down all this data. No matter what the data is, if you were an ISP and traffic to one site was using about 20% of your overall bandwidth, that would be cause for concern.

      Unfortunately, until or unless bandwidth truly does become essentially infinite and free, it is a limited resource, and it's pricing and availability will be driven by market factors.

      --
      Lost at C:>. Found at C.
    42. Re:So, how long before... by TheCRAIGGERS · · Score: 1

      Is this FRESH AIR bottled on Druidia?

    43. Re:So, how long before... by 246o1 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      My ISP is going to give me what they are advertising or I'll switch ISPs.

      So you can do this once before you run out of ISPs, right?

      --
      Although the moon is smaller than the earth, it is farther away.
    44. Re:So, how long before... by misexistentialist · · Score: 1

      The propaganda about targeting a small number of pirate bandwidth hogs was always about getting the masses to accept caps and throttling of their own usage. Upgrades aren't going to happen unless ISPs can get Netflix or the government to pay for them (again).

    45. Re:So, how long before... by nine-times · · Score: 1

      Well the silly thing is there was a stigma attached to high-bandwidth users while at the same time ISPs were advertising their high bandwidth. The simple reality is that the major ISPs don't want to be on the hook for providing the services that they're offering to provide.

      It's like if I wanted to build and run a public pool, so I go around raising some money and I build a pool. Because it's a public pool, I get the government to subsidize my construction and I get them to make sure no one else is allowed to build a pool nearby. I charge membership fees and get everyone around the neighborhood to sign up, and then when summer comes around people are lining up to get in. I wait until it's 95 degrees out and then open the pool, and when a bunch of kids climb in, I yell, "Hey, what are you brats doing? You can't go swimming in there! The water will get dirty!"

    46. Re:So, how long before... by MoonBuggy · · Score: 5, Insightful

      It may just be that I'm misinterpreting your phrasing, but even while disagreeing with them you seem to have fallen into the ISP's trap: Google and Netflix are already paying for their upstream bandwidth. They pay upstream at the datacenter, the customers pay downstream at the home/office.

      What the ISPs want is for the content providers to pay something for the downstream at the customer's end as well as the customer.

      Incidentally, I get the impression that there's actually plenty of capacity, for the moment at least. Obviously upgrades cost money and must be ongoing, but my 50Mbps connection in London was reasonably priced (when split between a household of four), uncapped and provided close enough to the advertised speed that I was happy.

      It's less that they're worried about covering the cost of upgrades (although I'm sure that comes into it somewhat) and more that they just want to come up with a plausible sounding reason to be paid twice.

    47. Re:So, how long before... by MCEscher · · Score: 1

      Google will save us with all the dark fiber they own... Right?

    48. Re:So, how long before... by TheCRAIGGERS · · Score: 1

      You just ruined my day. :(

    49. Re:So, how long before... by Lumpy · · Score: 5, Informative

      Here is the problem. They want to MAXIMIZE profit from the bandwidth. Not get a good profit or healthy profit, but MAXIMIZE it in any way possible. Comcast does it by intentionally not upgrading their downstream paths. Even 10 years ago Comcast was capable of 10BaseT speeds Up and Down over cable modems to the headends for ALL the people in the area that headend serves. The problem is that headend is connected via fiber to a larger headend. That larger headend has another 5-10 connect to it, and a Single OC3 feeds 5+ cities if you are lucky for it to have an OC3. The area I worked in was selling 5Mbit service and I knew that the backend was nothing more than 2 bonded t3's that way too little bandwidth for the number of subs on that POP.

      ISP's are screwing the pooch in increasing their backbone connection speeds. Until they get a LOT of complaints, they will continue to major oversell the available bandwidth. it's now well past the 100 to 1 ratio at most.

      --
      Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
    50. Re:So, how long before... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I don't see how this has anything to do with network neutrality. Net neutrality states that the Internet should have dumb pipes. Net neutrality does not say everyone should have unlimited bandwidth. Bandwidth caps and net neutrality are not the same.

    51. Re:So, how long before... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "test markets" for the "new" caps, and guess what? It is 36Gb for residential and 76Gb for business

      Funny, I first read your email as you being limited to 36 and 72 gigabits/sec and I thought, that's not terrible. Not as good as Japan or Nashville, but nothing to sneeze at. Wow... that is unadulturated greed at it's finest.

    52. Re:So, how long before... by nametaken · · Score: 1

      I'd guess they'll just start metering, but with a base charge somewhere near what you already pay.

    53. Re:So, how long before... by schnell · · Score: 1

      I love how retards like you fail to understand how bandwidth works.

      Such charming language. I love how most geeks like you fail to understand how the business of being an ISP works.

      Your provisioned circuit speed is not what you are paying for. You are paying for a service which is defined by your ISP, and that can be measured in speed, downloads, minutes or whatever way they wish to charge for the service. And while this seems a gross injustice to you, it is actually what 90%+ of Internet users want and are better served by.

      Every Internet service in the world includes some level of oversubscription. So does pretty much every other service with a physical infrastructure: the PSTN in most areas is built to handle no more than 10% of the landlines making a call at once; the highways are "oversubscribed" vs. traffic during peak times; the airlines couldn't handle demand if everyone wanted to fly at the same time; and if everyone wanted to run their garden hoses at full blast simultaneously the public water system would peter out.

      The reason for this is that all these services are provided based on a statistical analysis of expected usage. If you wanted to build a phone system that never had dropped calls, the infrastructure would cost multiple X more and your monthly phone bill would be much higher. The highways would all be 30 lanes wide and would probably increase taxes dramatically. And so on. These services all try to strike a compromise between cost of capacity and providing service "good enough" for most people to use.

      So it is for your ISP. They have statistical models which say (made up example) "we pay for 155 Mbps of transit, and can charge our customers $X/month for service. If we have to pay for 622 Mbps of transit, we would need to charge our customers $2X/month for service. Most users stay well within our current bandwidth usage, but others don't. So in order to keep pricing lower for the majority of users, we will charge more for the heavy users. This way prices stay low for the majority and those who use more will pay for it." This is the model with any oversubscribed service, and it's what you are actually paying for - not your provisioned circuit speed. It's all in your contract if you choose to read it.

      Do you know what happens when oversubscribed service providers fail to strike the right balance? In any kind of a free market, people find other solutions. Taking mass transit instead of clogged highways, trucking in bottled water instead of the public water, switching telecom service providers, etc. If you are unhappy to have a bandwidth cap on a residential/consumer service, go buy a business connection where the oversubscription ratio is lower and you may have a true unlimited service.

      --
      "95% of all Slashdot .sig quotes are incorrect or completely fabricated." -Benjamin Franklin
    54. Re:So, how long before... by Mister+Whirly · · Score: 1

      Where should the money come from? How about all the huge tax breaks and other financial incentives already given to the ISPs that they were supposed to use to continue building up their infrastructure?

      --
      "But this one goes to 11!"
    55. Re:So, how long before... by delinear · · Score: 4, Insightful

      ISPs have absolutely nobody to blame but themselves. They sell ever faster services on the back of promises that it will let you stream video, then complain when people use it to... surprise surprise... stream video. It's no different to the days when they offered "unlimited downloads" then complained if anyone went over a few gigs per month. They want to sell you a service that you will never use, in the hope they can sell the same service to lots of other people who'll also never use it and then they won't actually need to provide the service. They need to wake up and smell the coffee, if they can't deliver this stuff they shouldn't promise it and they certainly shouldn't be taking our money for it.

    56. Re:So, how long before... by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      A full quality DVD is 4.5GB, you need about 10 of these a month? You watch too much TV, or don't use enough compression.

    57. Re:So, how long before... by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      Does your electrical company increase your rates or move to a higher tier if you run appliances all day long? What about your water company?

      My electric company charges me per bulk of electrons used out to some 5 decimal places of a kW/h. Is this not similar to charging per bandwidth used?

      My power company can give me a "Budget" plan where I pay $120/mo; if I run over my $120, they raise my bill. This means that consistently I might wind up paying $120 for $110/mo of power; but if I use $140 of power, they bill me $120 and tell me next month it's $140, then for the next several months I get billed $140 while I use $110 of power.

      I opted for my own budgeting.

    58. Re:So, how long before... by TheCRAIGGERS · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Here is the problem. They want to MAXIMIZE profit from the bandwidth. Not get a good profit or healthy profit, but MAXIMIZE it in any way possible. Comcast does it by intentionally not upgrading their downstream paths. Even 10 years ago Comcast was capable of 10BaseT speeds Up and Down over cable modems to the headends for ALL the people in the area that headend serves. The problem is that headend is connected via fiber to a larger headend. That larger headend has another 5-10 connect to it, and a Single OC3 feeds 5+ cities if you are lucky for it to have an OC3. The area I worked in was selling 5Mbit service and I knew that the backend was nothing more than 2 bonded t3's that way too little bandwidth for the number of subs on that POP.

      This is all true.

      ISP's are screwing the pooch in increasing their backbone connection speeds. Until they get a LOT of complaints, they will continue to major oversell the available bandwidth. it's now well past the 100 to 1 ratio at most.

      Thankfully, I can think of nothing else that will get the average American more in a tiff than their chosen source of entertainment suddenly not working.

    59. Re:So, how long before... by cdrudge · · Score: 1

      Umm, the internet was designed to be a redundant communications network to keep military bases connected. It was to address the concern that a nuclear war would knock out communication to underground bunkers at the Pentagon, Cheyenne Mountain, and SAC HQ.

      You should have read farther in the History of the Internet wikipage. The Internet that we know today evolved out of multiple independent networks that were interconnected over time. The initial functioning network nodes I believe is generally considered to be ARPANET. While it was funded by the defense department, it was not interconnecting military bases. It was for communications between academic locations such as MIT, UCSB, UCLA, Stanford, etc with military research facilities. Initially ARPANET wasn't designed be redundant/fault tolerant but that capability was added over time to allow the network to function should several nodes become inaccessible.

      It was never envisioned to be a commercial or entertainment vehicle.

      The internet that you describe stopped existing nearly two decades ago. What exists today owes it's heritage to those early networks, but not to it's original design intent. It would be like someone saying that using a computer today isn't what the inventor of the vacuum tube envisioned.

    60. Re:So, how long before... by TheCRAIGGERS · · Score: 1

      Perhaps I should not have been quite so cynical in my post above, but yes, I totally agree that the ISP should be paying for this.

    61. Re:So, how long before... by Lumpy · · Score: 2, Interesting

      No. 1080p with AC3 surround compressed at a mpeg4 is only 12GB per movie. Split out the AC3 into separate tracks and compress the crap out of it to 160kbps and you can lower it by another .5GB. and this low bitrate is acceptable to 99% of all netflix users.

      But, here is the fun.... you get 720p max from netflix... so it's actually 5-6Gb from them.

      Have you actually tried to do any bluray compression to mpeg4? 25GB is for uncompressed or mildly compressed only 2 Blurays I have ripped have had any main feature above the 25GB mark. Most blurays are compressed to hell.. AVCHD is the darling for bluray.

      It's why I always though that HD-DVD was better. simple MPEG2 on the disc delivered far better picture with less hardware power.

      --
      Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
    62. Re:So, how long before... by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      Wouldn't it make sense to do it the other way instead?

      First off, I don't even know when "peak" and "Off peak is," so I ignore that.

      Second, I assume "peak" would be i.e. A/C and heating sucking power like crazy during the day. Now, my comment here is that many people will leave the heat up unnecessarily at night, when they're retaining heat under a blanket; it'd be better to discourage energy usage at night, then. As for A/C, a window unit in the bedroom is better: you shut the central air off at night and you leave the window unit set a few degrees warmer, and use a lighter blanket.

      It seems charging on peak is encouraging people to turn up the AC or turn down the heat a bit; but go ahead and leave it running at night.

    63. Re:So, how long before... by Jason+Levine · · Score: 3, Insightful

      the ISP's may finally have to pony up some dough and upgrade their infrastructure.

      ha ha ha ha ha.... wait, were you serious?

      Most ISPs are also content providers. Especially the cable companies. They don't like services like Netflix because it reduces demand for cable TV offerings. What they will really do is impose caps with overages or speed slowdowns. In the latter case, you can watch Netflix online, but after one or two movies, suddenly the video keeps buffering for a long time making it useless. In the former case, you watch a dozen movies during the month and then get a huge bill from your ISP because you're a "bandwidth hog." And if you don't like it? Tough, since you probably don't have many (if any) ISP choices where you live.

      On one hand, ISPs have the option to pay to upgrade their networks which might bring them more revenue in the future or may help erode another of their money makers. On the other hand, ISPs could restrict your use of that "eroding service" and/or turn it into a money maker for them. Which choice do *you* think the ISP will make?

      --
      My sci-fi novel, Ghost Thief, is now available from Amazon.com.
    64. Re:So, how long before... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      why is it such a big deal ... shouldn't the "internet" remain the "INTER" net and the separate "nets" be sub netting off and "shattering away" to form smaller splinter nets? 3.4 billion IPV4's should still be sufficient for the "BACKBONE" and not every damn corp grandpa and grandma could invent during the 1990's .com

    65. Re:So, how long before... by Z00L00K · · Score: 1

      Only until either you or Netflix pay for extra bandwidth.

      But it may be a good idea for ISP:s to consider caching services for the more common streaming services like Netflix.

      --
      If builders built buildings the way programmers wrote programs, then the first woodpecker would destroy civilization.
    66. Re:So, how long before... by KevMar · · Score: 1

      I have 100% replaced my cable TV. I watch a lot of TV. Well, I have the TV on a lot if I am watching it or not. I use it kind of like a radio.

      The programming is also perfect for kids. They have just a few shows that they watch over and over again, the icons are big enough that they can tell what the show is.

      I am watching a lot of old shows that I forgot about. Catching an old series from episode 1 forward is great.

      I also have Hulu for the more current shows.

      This is wonderful and cheap. I pay less than 10$ for all my TV entertainment now (on top of my internet connection). If you look at it that way, for people that drop Cable TV and Dish TV, if they had to pay an additional 10$-40$ for a better internet connection or more bandwidth, they would still be saving money each month. I am paying about 60$ a month less than I was with Dish TV.

      I expect that at some point things will balance back out again. I don't want the fact that I am watching a lot of Netflix to impact my internet service, but I expect that it will at some point.

      --
      Im a gamer, not a grammer major. This post is full of spelling and grammer mistakes.
    67. Re:So, how long before... by gstoddart · · Score: 1

      However, how will this be paid for? They say it should be the Googles and the Netflixes, I say it should come out of their CEO's new yacht fund. That, I think, is where the point of contention lies.

      You would need to get a change at the SEC level for that, and you would never get it done.

      As I understand it, the stock options and bonuses given to executives are accounted different for than, say, the combined vacation balance of the entire company.

      The vacation balances are a line item in the financial statement as a liability. Even if the executives receive more value in stock options than the entire vacation balance of the company ... the vacation balance is more of a big deal because they have to be stated on the balance sheet.

      The executive stock options and bonuses is funny money that comes from someplace else, so according to GAAP, they're not tracked the same way. Short of convincing the entire business world that execs should give up their perks in order to not be siphoning off shareholder value for their own benefit since it's not handled the same way.

      (Anybody who is more knowledgeable about this please feel to correct me -- this is a summary of something that was explained to me several years ago based on an actual scenario. I'm perfectly willing to accept that I've got it wrong or missed some of the nuance.)

      --
      Lost at C:>. Found at C.
    68. Re:So, how long before... by HotBits · · Score: 2, Interesting

      The old cable-TV model is slowly collapsing for a few reasons:

      The basic architecture of one pipe shared by whole neighborhoods is inherently bandwidth limited and not scalable.

      In the sub-nets where the Internet signal is sent over coax along with TV signals (not the fiber backbones), the interference (intermodulation distortion) resulting from large numbers of signals originating from the customer’s modems reduces bandwidth quickly. Cable is inherently one-way, and does poorly when pressed into bi-directional service.

      New Internet companies are able to distribute media ala-carte at much lower cost. Partly because they don’t have the contractual obligations to distribute content. The dispute between Fox and Cablevision is but one example of the greedy content providers forcing all cable customers to pay, whether they watch the content or not.

      Demand and use of high speed Internet and high resolution HD channels is increasing rapidly.

      Services like Verizon FIOS have a major edge over the antique cable system as they have individual pipes to each home and can increase total bandwidth with less infrastructure.

    69. Re:So, how long before... by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      For 1080p HD movies with 7.1 surround you could be looking at 25GB per movie, which only gives you 20 movies a month. In a family home there could easiy be 20 movies watched per month, even with some members of the household being out at work/school all day, or out getting fresh air in the evenings.

      I exercise at least 3 times a week, but I still enjoy watching DVDs and blu-rays on my rest days, or after training..

      Jesus how do you ...

      20 movies a month?

      I don't even watch TV. When I do it's in bursts... I'll come across a good anime series maybe and absorb the whole thing.

    70. Re:So, how long before... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The only problem with your prediction is that companies like netflix (which are growing and becoming more numerous) will be VERY pissed if suddenly their customer base starts dropping out.

    71. Re:So, how long before... by jhigh · · Score: 1

      Um, I don't think that you understand the issue. Net neutrality is the principle that ISPs should not be able to prioritize data, that all data should be treated equally. What the previous poster is basically saying is that at some point, ISPs are going to have to prioritize data at different speeds or else all of the bandwidth is going to be chewed up by people watching movies online. Either that, or we're going to need more bandwidth. It is not in the ISPs financial interest to provide more bandwidth to accomodate NetFlix and other companies that are making money off of products that require large amounts of bandwidth. If an ISP increases the amount of bandwidth to accomodate Netflix, there is no additional revenue in it for them. Therefore, as the previous poster asked, who pays for the additional bandwidth? I agree that there is no easy answer, but net neutrality and the fact that a handful of bandwidth-hogging services are consuming the bandwidth for everyone are directly linked.

      --
      Social Engineering Expert: Because there is no patch for stupidity.
    72. Re:So, how long before... by hjf · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I thought networking technology also evolved. I mean 15 years ago I had a 166 pentium MMX and now I have a 3GHz Core i7. 15 years ago my LAN was 10mbit on Coax but now I have Gigabit.

      But for some reason, ISP gear doesn't seem to grow as fast as consumer stuff? Cause I keep hearing about T3s and OC-3s and 622mbps. How much fibre capacity unused out there,d ont you think? I mean, a 12-core fibre carries 144 strands, or 72 full-duplex connections. Almost 10 years ago, a Cisco 12000 series router could push 40gbps in each of those. 6 years ago, Cisco introduced the CRS-1 router which could switch 92Tbps, and they have the CRS-3 now (last time I checked).

      I thought the largest carriers didn't even PAY for bandwidth, as the traffic was kept inside their own network most of the time? And when it reached another network, they usually had a peering agreement for a VERY low price?

      Now I'm comfused

      (Sarcasm)

    73. Re:So, how long before... by natehoy · · Score: 1

      That's one more than most of us have.

      --
      "This post contains words, known to the State of California to cause thought. Wash brain thoroughly after reading."
    74. Re:So, how long before... by delinear · · Score: 1

      It's hardly surprising that the way people use the internet would change over the course of 20 years, especially considering the state of technological advancements along that timeline.

    75. Re:So, how long before... by bws111 · · Score: 1

      Picking one at random: the CEO of AT&T had total compensation of about $18M last year ($6M of that was cash). If he worked for nothing, that would give AT&T a whole $18M to play with. You're not going to buy much bandwidth with $18M.

    76. Re:So, how long before... by arkane1234 · · Score: 1

      You must have missed that "scalable" and "fault tolerant" wording in the description of the internet.
      You know, the very REASON it exists.

      --
      -- This space for lease, low setup fee, inquire within!
    77. Re:So, how long before... by powerlord · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Don't have Netflix so I'm not sure what their bandwidth "cost" per hour is, but on Hulu an average 1 hour show is ~ 150-200MB.

      That 36GB per month (and I'm assuming its GBytes and not Gbits that the limit is measured in), would translate to ~180 hours of Programming barring other uses, which I understand is unrealistic.

      Assuming you only watch 90 hours of programming a month (a ~4.5 weeks a month that translates to 20 hours a week), that still leaves 18GB of "other" traffic (music, web, chat, VoIP (which should be less than VoD)).

      For a single person, or a house where there is are two or more, but only one person is stressing the network at once, this should still be good (but starts to become an issue)

      Throw in a bittorrent client, or a teen/child wanting to watch their own shows on their computer, and it could be a problem though. Chances are you'll see a hit in bandwidth and quality once that happens though. I watch how Hulu sometimes stutters and buffers a bit more when my wife is using Skype (now that she's discovered it :) ). Its one of the reasons I like "download and watch" models over "stream". It may take longer till you can see the show, but you have less chance of interruptions in viewing.

      --
      This space for rent. All reasonable inquiries will be entertained at proprietors discretion.
    78. Re:So, how long before... by TheCRAIGGERS · · Score: 1

      Depends on how you look at it.

      When I originally said "CEO's yacht fund" it was just a sarcastic way of saying the ISP should be paying for it.

      But it's all pretty much the same thing if you trace it far enough. Stock options and bonuses are usually tied to the company's profit margins. In that case, lowering profits is roughly the same, right?

    79. Re:So, how long before... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Here is the thing. I'm already paying them to build this infrastructure. They are selling me a service at advertised speeds which they cannot uphold if everyone they sell it to wants to use it. If everyone wants to use it they need to either lower their advertised speeds, cancel subscriptions, or increase their bandwidth. They have already set the price for the speed they are delivering, and if people want it they need to provide it.

    80. Re:So, how long before... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm not your friend, guy.

    81. Re:So, how long before... by gstoddart · · Score: 1

      But it's all pretty much the same thing if you trace it far enough. Stock options and bonuses are usually tied to the company's profit margins. In that case, lowering profits is roughly the same, right?

      From the bottom, it seems like in some comapnies the execs get bonuses no matter what since they stack the deck in their favor. It's like elected officials voting themselves a raise every year.

      At the 'C' level, it seems like they figure they're entitled to $50 million in options just for showing up and trying -- actual performance of the company doesn't seem to matter.

      But, maybe I'm cynical.

      --
      Lost at C:>. Found at C.
    82. Re:So, how long before... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      See, the thing is I don't mind paying more if I use more (especially if the as tiers are reasonably priced.) But with my service provider if I go over limit they just cut off the service. I don't have an option of paying more, all I get is a warning and then no internet. After that i'm stuck with dial up.

    83. Re:So, how long before... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Dude, Rogers in Canada changed their bandwidth caps the day Netflix announced they were coming here...

    84. Re:So, how long before... by schnell · · Score: 1

      You're right that networking equipment has taken leaps and bounds in capacity as computing power has increased, however there are still significant upfront costs to adding more racks of gear to your internal network. But equipment is not where the majority of costs are - they are in the network services.

      I thought the largest carriers didn't even PAY for bandwidth, as the traffic was kept inside their own network most of the time? And when it reached another network, they usually had a peering agreement for a VERY low price?

      The big carriers and small ISPs have different things they pay for. If I'm a small ISP, I pay much more per Mbps for transit than the big guys do. But I'm also only paying for a few tail circuits to my service area. If I'm a big carrier I pay much less for exchanging traffic with other networks (although I do still pay), but I have to pay for all those long haul circuits that haul my data around the country internally. So even if it costs me very little to exchange that data with other networks, I still have a significant cost just for moving those bits all around the US (or internationally) on my own internal network.

      --
      "95% of all Slashdot .sig quotes are incorrect or completely fabricated." -Benjamin Franklin
    85. Re:So, how long before... by VGPowerlord · · Score: 1

      A full quality DVD is 4.5GB, you need about 10 of these a month? You watch too much TV, or don't use enough compression.

      Normal DVDs are already compressed with MPEG-2.

      A full-quality BD is 25GB.

      Sure, compression will reduce those sizes, but a single DVD isn't large enough to store a 1080p movie.

      --
      GLaDOS for President 2016! "Well here we are again. It's always such a pleasure." -- GLaDOS, 2011
    86. Re:So, how long before... by ToasterMonkey · · Score: 1

      I would say, if "Netflix is swallowing America's bandwidth" then America bandwidth needs to increase.

      Ok, at what point does that start to sound a like "all we need are more highways"

      As others have said, this has a price. If demand outpaces gains from efficiency, then the price goes up. Fibre doesn't run itself, and it certainly doesn't get easements on its own. You can already pretty much forget about other costly features like comprehensive fault tolerance with so much pressure for bandwidth.

    87. Re:So, how long before... by gstoddart · · Score: 1

      Here is the thing. I'm already paying them to build this infrastructure. They are selling me a service at advertised speeds which they cannot uphold if everyone they sell it to wants to use it. If everyone wants to use it they need to either lower their advertised speeds, cancel subscriptions, or increase their bandwidth. They have already set the price for the speed they are delivering, and if people want it they need to provide it.

      Actually, they haven't done that.

      What they've done is intentionally sold more than they actually have in the hopes that most people will never need it. If you cut too deeply into their profit margins, they'll change the rules so you get less (which is why we've been seeing bandwidth caps get introduced).

      You're paying them to maintain the status quo and try to milk it for all it's worth. Your version of it is a little more idealistic and assumes that they're in the business of providing as much bandwidth as people want -- they're really in the bandwidth of selling more than they actually have. There's no profit to be had in investing in capacity beyond certain levels.

      Think of it as more of a pyramid scheme that trying to meet the capacity they market. They will always win, and they will just simply change the rules in their favor. If someone forced them to upgrade their networks, they'd just add a line-item to your bill.

      Remember, they control the rules of the game. There is no Queen on the table, and you can't win.

      --
      Lost at C:>. Found at C.
    88. Re:So, how long before... by commodore64_love · · Score: 1

      >>>Does your electrical company increase your rates or move to a higher tier if you run appliances all day long?

      Yes. Although they actually move me to a *lower* tier (from 11 to 9 cents/KWhr) the more I use. Ditto my phone company and cellphone company. That's true for most Americans, although they may not realize it. You get discounts for using higher quantities.

      --
      "I disapprove of what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it." - historian Evelyn Beatrice Hall
    89. Re:So, how long before... by DarthVain · · Score: 1

      And I suppose you don't use the internet for anything else and enjoy paying 1.25$ month for anything over, even if it is automatic update and downloads from Microsoft and Blizzard....

      Also 36GB /4.5gb = 8 movies. So 2-3 movies a week. Wow.

      I guess you don't want to watch any TV online either.

      Point is that technology wants to propel us into the new age, while monopolistic greedy companies would rather keep us in the stone age and line their pockets.

      When other countries have cheaper internet, and more advanced communication infrastructure, and we have fat executives laughing all the way to the back, which will have a more productive economy into the future. Where do you think those fat executives will be investing their ill gotten gains? At some point it isn't only detrimental to a consumer, but a nation. I would say that line was already crossed.

    90. Re:So, how long before... by commodore64_love · · Score: 2, Insightful

      >>>$1.50 per Gb!

      So if you're paying $40 for 36 GB, that's $1.11. Yep they are ripping your off by raising their rates.

      --
      "I disapprove of what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it." - historian Evelyn Beatrice Hall
    91. Re:So, how long before... by mlts · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Where other countries are not just dropping fiber and lighting it up, the US's bandwidth is actually shrinking. You might get fiber drops in a few cities, but in most of the country, either one ends up with the same or less bandwidth. You also get tiered pricing, metered bandwidth, and additional fees, so it is more expensive now than it was five years ago for the same amount of MB/second.

      If Netflix is "burdening" ISPs, then the ISPs better suck it up, call their Cisco rep and get some new hardware. This is what they are paid by subscribers to do. Not tack on extra fees and give up in despair.

      Take a look at China, Japan, and Korea. People watch TV on their phones. Not just the local equivalent of Fox News, but they can hit a Web page and stream any movie they darn want to instantly. In full high def. Europeans can stream music via Spotify of anything and everything they care to listen to. Why is it that the ISPs in those countries don't wring their hands in front of the Diet/Parliament/National People's Congress of how they are being wronged by high bandwidth use?

    92. Re:So, how long before... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Does your electrical company increase your rates or move to a higher tier if you run appliances all day long?

      Yes, not along the lines you suggest but they do raise summertime rates because of air conditioning usage. In fact, we have the Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT) who demands that electricity providers do this to help cut down on demand and keep the power grid running. There's no such thing as IRCOT yet, but I can see it happening one day.

    93. Re:So, how long before... by Gizzmonic · · Score: 1

      OK, I watch too much streaming Netflix, that means I'm not entitled to what I paid for. But if I watch 20 movies a week on TBS, that's just fine. Thanks for clearing that up.

      --
      (-1, Raw and Uncut is the only way to read)
    94. Re:So, how long before... by cerberusss · · Score: 3, Insightful

      You can copy and paste your post as a reply to many subjects. It reads like an astrology prediction.

      What exactly is your opinion on the matter of Netflix using a lot of bandwidth?

      --
      8 of 13 people found this answer helpful. Did you?
    95. Re:So, how long before... by Arancaytar · · Score: 1

      Roughly until their business model of "sell an order of magnitude more bandwidth than we have, and bet on 99% of people never using it" runs up against "holy fuck, everyone is now using their advertised bandwidth." At that point, they will probably find some excuse to terminate the contract of people using much bandwidth.

    96. Re:So, how long before... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      1 Megabit per second over a span of a 90 minute movie is 5.4 Gigabits.

    97. Re:So, how long before... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I would argue the operating costs are much different though. The electric company has to generate that energy, the water company has to clean the water and deliver it to you.

      While the ISP does have to provide the infrastructure to operate that is an up front cost. Obviously they also have to maintain said infrastructure. However those costs for an ISP are the same weither it is pushing 1GB or 2GB of data. As long as the ISP charge everyone at a rate which allows them to maintain the infrastructure and allows for capital reinvestment to replace and improve infrastructure then they should not have a cap imho.

      If they want to provide a tiered choice of bandwidth 20MB Down / 10 MB Up, 30/20, 50/30, etc. I can see paying a tier for that and then charge the average cost for average usage for people in those tiers.

    98. Re:So, how long before... by natehoy · · Score: 1

      TANSTASFL

      TANSTAAFL (There Ain't No Such Thing As A Free Lunch), compliments of Heinlein.

      To be fair, I am not sure the original design anticipated the amount of bandwidth that HD Video and the like use.

      The original design didn't have anything to do with the amount of bandwidth that anything was going to use. The original implementation would have been overloaded with JPEG-compressed images, at least the BITNET node I was on in 1987 would have been, and "Instant" messaging was more like 30 seconds per message if you chatted with someone overseas, and a minimum of 10 seconds if you were in the same state.

      We've upgraded things since then, thank goodness, and we can handle a lot more now. The problem is that we have entrenched government-enforced monopolies (because a monopoly model is the only real alternative to government-owned infrastructure) who have been taking money and not doing the upgrades our tax dollars have been paying for. There's no real competition for companies to actually innovate and come up with ways of increasing bandwidth, and the government mandates (which is our only way to introduce improvements) are met with "hey, you only send us money, you don't get to tell us what to do!"

      Deregulation should mean something really, really simple. "Hey, you know that government-enforced right of way we gave you and all the tax dollars to help build out your infrastructure? Well, we want that all back. You can rent space on the right-of-way and so can everyone else, or you can turn the wires over to us and rent space back on them and so can everyone else."

      --
      "This post contains words, known to the State of California to cause thought. Wash brain thoroughly after reading."
    99. Re:So, how long before... by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      Also 36GB /4.5gb = 8 movies. So 2-3 movies a week. Wow.

      I guess you don't want to watch any TV online either.

      2-3 movies of 90 minutes each a week ok let's see.

      8 hours sleep.

      1 hour to cook and eat breakfast, half an hour to wake up and shower and shave, half an hour to drive to work. Half an hour to drive home, an hour to cook and eat dinner. I assume that you can eat in front of the TV; this is probably a worthwhile investment in time.

      24 - 8 == 16. 16 - (1 + .5 + .5 + .5 + 1) == 12.5. 8 hours of work hmm 12.5 - 8 == 4.5.

      The weekends give a full 32 hours, although there's about 6 hours lost to sleep/food so 26 hours total.

      So I guess about 48 hours a week is leeway for shopping, social life, gym/martial arts, any driving needed to get to/from any of this shit, also any studying.

      Getting groceries from a grocery store takes about an hour (drive, shop, pay, drive home; remember you have to spend a minute or two to park and walk the last 1000 feet to the store, or 10 minutes to find a parking spot within 30 feet of the store like most Americans who can't stand walking from the upper lot). For me I go to a German shop to get some high-quality sausages (the hotdogs are really good...) and specialty meats; and a farmer's market to get some specialty cheeses and fresher fruits sometimes. So 3-4 hours maybe, but that's a special case.

      I spend two days a week in an Aikido and Pentjak Silat dojo. This takes 2.5 hours; really though, I get home from work, rush to boil and consume a hotdog, then rush out to the dojo. I come back at 10pm so it's time to sleep. I barely find time to make a lunch meat sandwich to take to work, in lieu of paying $8 for one at work (yes...). So I lose here about 4.5 * 2 == 9 hours.

      That leaves 39 hours. If you cut this stuff out, you're a defenseless out-of-shape ass; maybe you bike ride or go to the gym or something for 2 or 3 days a week, well then there goes your 9 hours.

      Grocery shopping for me... by clever management I can stock my specialty foods for 2-3 weeks. So an hour and a half we'll say. I'll call that fair, since most people don't drive, buy, and come home; they waste time when shopping. Let's call that 37.5 hours left.

      I spend about an hour cooking and eating; often I steam or bake rather than frying, so I don't have to be there. For longer slow-cooker things, the prep time is still there; for baking bread etc, prep time again. The cost exists somewhere. 2 meals a day (realistically I can prep a sandwich for lunch WHILE frying an egg, or make extra rice to roll Onigiri and Sushi and dice up cheese cubes and throw in some fruit and Sashimi...). I've accounted for this already; and the time expense for making lunch vanishes.

      Because I have no friends in general and ESPECIALLY no friends during the week, I don't have to worry about social drains during the week. So I have 3 days of 4.5 hours each open.

      For my other 3 days a week, I suppose I could read a book... in German, or Japanese, or any other language I teach myself while driving to work. Yes I do that. I guess this is where you'd watch TV. I tend to spend this time studying Go and Math as well, or teaching myself to play Piano and Guitar.

      On weekends I tend to go out and talk to people, or just hover at a Starbucks in Barnes & Noble and study Go. I also need time to clean my apartment and do laundry, which generally absorbs several hours of my time. This is also when I go shopping. Studying math more during this time or practicing guitar would be a good idea.

      3-4.5 hours a week would be 2-3 movies. That's a sizable time investment if 1) you have any friends; or 2) you have no life and want to do something worthwhile with your complete social void. If you want to rot away and drool all over yourself like an invalid, you can watch 10-12 movies a week and spend entire weeknights or 5

    100. Re:So, how long before... by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      OK, I watch too much streaming Netflix, that means I'm not entitled to what I paid for. But if I watch 20 movies a week on TBS, that's just fine. Thanks for clearing that up.

      If you watch 20 movies a week on TBS, you are addicted to crack. 30 hours jesus, do you work or sleep at all? Ever shower? Is every meal order-out pizza or chinese?

    101. Re:So, how long before... by cob666 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      If an ISP increases the amount of bandwidth to accomodate Netflix, there is no additional revenue in it for them. Therefore, as the previous poster asked, who pays for the additional bandwidth? I agree that there is no easy answer, but net neutrality and the fact that a handful of bandwidth-hogging services are consuming the bandwidth for everyone are directly linked.

      The ISP should NOT be increasing bandwidth to accomodate Netflix, they should be increasing bandwidth because they (the ISP) have been telling consumers to get the fastest plan so they (subscribers) can stream video. Whether the video comes from Netflix isn't or at least shouldn't be relevant. It's time that ISP started backing up their advertising claims.

      --
      Do what thou wilt shall be the whole of the Law - Aleister Crowley
    102. Re:So, how long before... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Right on brother, besides everyone knows that niche in society is already filled by bankers.

    103. Re:So, how long before... by mini+me · · Score: 1

      Peak hours change depending on the time of the year, but the current peak hours are 7AM-11AM and 5PM to 9PM with 11AM-5PM being charged at a rate somewhere between the low and peak prices.

      The power company is not concerned with how much power you are using late at night, they have surplus capacity during those hours.

    104. Re:So, how long before... by nabsltd · · Score: 1

      Sure, compression will reduce those sizes, but a single DVD isn't large enough to store a 1080p movie.

      Yes, actually, it is.

      Using h.264, 10Mbps will result in very high quality for a 1920x1080/24p source. With full bitrate DTS at 1.5Mbps, that will give you just under 2 hours worth of movie on a dual layer DVD. Using a more reasonable 6-8Mbps for the video (still more than enough), almost every movie will fit in 9GB.

      There are many reasons that 20-30GBs are used on BluRay titles (extras, lossless audio, etc.), but actual picture quality generally isn't one of them.

    105. Re:So, how long before... by KingMotley · · Score: 1

      Yes, there is an easy answer. The ISP pays for the extra bandwidth, change the way they structure their plans to curtail users from using large amounts of bandwidth during peak times, or charge more per customer to cover the expenses.

      You may not like that answer, but it was pretty easy. Personally, I have no issue with the ISP throttling my (or others) bandwidth used by applications that are not time sensitive (bittorrent, windows updates, ftp) so that applications that are time sensitive (video, skype, VoIP, SIP, netflix) remain unaffected during peak hours. Note that netflix and video aren't necessarily real-time applications and I'd even be OK with ISPs throttling those services as well so long as it remains fast enough that the buffer never empties and causes stuttering/wait for buffering. I'm not totally thrilled with causing them to drop to a lower quality, but if I had the option of being charged less for a plan that allowed them to do so, then that would be acceptable as well.

    106. Re:So, how long before... by nabsltd · · Score: 2, Insightful

      2-3 movies of 90 minutes each a week ok let's see.

      For a household of 4 people (not at all uncommon outside of /. readers), around one hour of video entertainment (movie, TV, etc.) per week per person seems like almost nothing to me.

      And, if you are using Hulu, Netflix, etc., as a replacement for cable TV, then 5 hours per week per person isn't outrageous, either.

    107. Re:So, how long before... by jimicus · · Score: 1

      That's very nice for you in London. Areas without cable get ADSL, which maxes out around 20-24Mbps.

      I live in a town with 61,000 people, which is apparently not large enough to merit either cable or FTTC.

    108. Re:So, how long before... by Golddess · · Score: 1

      There are at least 28 days in every month. Why is less than 1 movie per day so surprising?

      --
      "I'm not sure I like the fugnutish tone you used in your post!" -RogL (608926)-
    109. Re:So, how long before... by JWSmythe · · Score: 5, Informative

      Google and Netflix are already paying for their upstream bandwidth

          A lot of people really don't understand that. They probably have cheap hosting accounts, and have never needed to deal with actual circuits.

          I've worked at places with multiple GigE circuits. Besides the base cost in the datacenter (floor space, power, port charges, etc), we had negotiated contracts on bandwidth. 95th percentile is that bastard of a number that we deal with all the time. For those that don't know, it goes something like this. The uplink provider monitors our ports once every 5 minutes. At the end of the month, they take all the samples, sort them by utilization, and knock off the top 5%. Whatever that next number is, is what we pay. There are dedicated rates too. If you don't use the line, that doesn't matter, you're paying at lest a minimum fixed amount, which could be something like 20% of the line capacity. So an idle datacenter with nothing in it, but it has a GigE circuit could cost as if we were using 200Mb/s at 95th percentile.

          For our bills, it was easily over $100,000/mo. That's a conservative number, but I haven't been there in a while, and don't remember how high it really went. Do you want fancier services, like multiple circuits into your space, BGP routing, etc? Oh, the price goes way up. When you get big enough, and want to get your data to the customers faster, you start doing private peerings, and putting out edge nodes (servers closer to the clients, like Akamai provides), or even putting dedicated servers in on the end user networks. They don't like paying huge bandwidth and peering bills, when they can deploy $100k worth of equipment two hops from the customer.

          If NetFlix is sucking up so much bandwidth, someone's making a fortune on it already. So it accounts for 20%, big deal, that doesn't indicate the total utilization of the available, or even where it was measured. I played this game once. I took the total bandwidth my company used during peak hours, and compared it to the Mae East bandwidth graphs (when they were public). Our bandwidth used 15% of what Mae East passed. And guess what. It didn't destroy the world. We weren't even responsible for 15% of what passed through Mae East, because various peerings meant our traffic went in all kinds of different directions.

          By that standard, NetFlix could use 200% of what passes through Mae East (plural now), and even that wouldn't mean anything other than bragging rights. Sure, it's a lot of bandwidth, but it doesn't indicate saturation of available resources, nor the end of anything at all.

      --
      Serious? Seriousness is well above my pay grade.
    110. Re:So, how long before... by triffid_98 · · Score: 1
      "The money powers prey upon the nation in times of peace and conspire against it in times of adversity. The banking powers are more despotic than a monarchy, more insolent than autocracy, more selfish than bureaucracy. They denounce as public enemies all who question their methods or throw light upon their crimes. I have two great enemies, the Southern Army in front of me and the bankers in the rear. Of the two, the one at my rear is my greatest foe."
      Abraham Lincoln

      It is unfortunate that the people in power are also merchants and accountants. They will be more apt to respect the chess moves; while those of us who see the larger game in Go-- looking at the whole of the board, seeing how this move doesn't just change this area for the next few moves but alters future positions until the very end of the game dozens of moves later-- will see these chess moves as short-sighted self-serving drivel, and see the larger game taking better shape only if more care and consideration is taken before playing any move

    111. Re:So, how long before... by nschubach · · Score: 1

      Wouldn't they maximize the amount their hosted clients pay by letting the customers pull more data off them? Seems logical to me.

      So, you say... Google doesn't pay Comcast for upstream because they are on so-and-so provider. Sounds to me like they need to start charging each other for bandwidth.

      --
      Every time I start to have faith in humanity, I ruin it by driving to work between 7 and 8 am.
    112. Re:So, how long before... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Gb = Gigabit
      GB = Gigabyte

      There's a big difference, I highly doubt you have a Gigabit cap.

    113. Re:So, how long before... by GameboyRMH · · Score: 1

      Time for the commu-net to replace the Internet's physical infrastructure:

      http://search.slashdot.org/comments.pl?sid=1634334&cid=32019410

      Oh one piece of software I ran across that would tie nicely into such a system is OLSR, it can handle the mesh wireless routing. Pretty much all the software required already exists, in bits and pieces. And look, here comes Super WiFi to connect the community APs at long range!

      --
      "When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
    114. Re:So, how long before... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      To be fair, neither side has come out very strongly in support of consumer rights on the Internet.

    115. Re:So, how long before... by hey! · · Score: 1

      How long before my ISP starts punishing me for using the Internet to do legal things that the Internet was designed for?

      Designed for? Are you kidding?

      The one thing the Internet was NOT designed for at the outset was stuff that required consistent slices of bandwidth ALL the time with consistent packet delivery. Initially you couldn't do things like telephony or video conferencing over the Internet. Two things made these apps possible.

      (1) Statistical multiplexing for apps with sporadic bandwidth requirements was a HUGE incentive to build more network.

      If you can squeeze a dozen users onto a link and most of the time they don't need ANY bandwidth, those dozen users are happy to pay a lot more for getting MOST of that link MOST of the times they want it than they'd pay to get 1/12 the bandwidth ALL the time.That makes building out networks immensely more profitable.

      (2) The development of sophisticated codecs means users of apps like Internet telephony and streaming media perceive what appears to be a consistent stream of information, but the apps convert them to variable streams of bits.

      You can *still* statistically multiplex these uses and get more out of each link, but there are limits. If there's one person streaming a movie in a neighborhood and a dozen looking at web pages, everyone STILL gets all the bandwidth whenever they happen to need it. That's a lot cheaper than paying for all the bandwidth they'd ever need all the time. If a dozen people are streaming movies, somebody has to build a lot more network and users have to pay for it, user notions of bandwidth as birthright notwithstanding.

      The nature of an app and its implementation matter. In many respects iTunes rental and Netflix downloads are interchangeable, but in terms of how much network you have to build to keep users happy, there's no comparison.

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    116. Re:So, how long before... by nschubach · · Score: 1

      I know some electric companies here in the US charge less the more you use. Last time I ran into this was when I was in college housing on electric baseboard heat. The price would be higher per kwh for the first 400kw and anything beyond that was charged at a lower rate.

      --
      Every time I start to have faith in humanity, I ruin it by driving to work between 7 and 8 am.
    117. Re:So, how long before... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Do you really mean gigabits or do you mean gigabytes. Units matter. The symbols aren't arbitrary and interchangeable.

    118. Re:So, how long before... by KingMotley · · Score: 1

      Your estimates from Hulu are extremely low. Netflix HD streams are encoded at ~3800Kbps or 1.7GB per hour. Now recalculate:

      That 36GB per month (and I'm assuming its GBytes and not Gbits that the limit is measured in), would translate to ~21 hours of Programming barring other uses, which I understand is unrealistic.

      Assuming you only watch 90 hours of programming a month (a ~4.5 weeks a month that translates to 20 hours a week), you went over your cap by 117GB before any "other" traffic (music, web, chat, VoIP (which should be less than VoD)).

      For a single person, or a house where there is are two or more, but only one person is stressing the network at once, this would already be a problem (actually it started to be an issue after the first week of the month) ...

    119. Re:So, how long before... by fropenn · · Score: 1

      Vote with your wallet. When they install the caps, drop your service. Look for an ISP that will provide what you want at the price you are willing to pay. $$ is the only language the corporations will understand.

    120. Re:So, how long before... by MMInterface · · Score: 1

      Spending 30 billion on NBC does not make it obvious. Google, Netflix, and the customers already pay for this on their end. The problem is the ISPs are wasting it on other shit.

    121. Re:So, how long before... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nice. An NPR fan. I agree. Terry Gross is awesome. :P

    122. Re:So, how long before... by teh_commodore · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      Thankfully, I can think of nothing else that will get the average American more in a tiff than their chosen source of entertainment suddenly not working.

      Don't mention gay marriage or legalizing pot. I may be slightly off topic here, but only /.ers and the like will know who to blame, and why to be mad. And that's not the average American. We're lucky if we make up 5%.

      If only we could become the archetypal American, Joe the IT guy, as opposed to Joe the plumber.

      --
      --"insert clever quote here"
    123. Re:So, how long before... by geekoid · · Score: 1

      In chess, people quit when they are obviously going to loose. Unless your 12.

      Other then that you analogy is crap.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    124. Re:So, how long before... by hjf · · Score: 1

      Big carriers are the first one to place caps. Mom & Pop ISPs usually give you much better service for a price that's just a bit higher.

      Besides, you have no idea how BIG companies work. It's not about upfront cost, investments, etc. Not like that at all.

      ALL large companies work like this: take a loan, buy LOTS of stuff, sell it, make a profit and pay the bank. Need a new building? take a new loan, refinance the debt, and so on. Everything went to hell? Take the money and run. File for bankruptcy, bank owns the company, you get your CEO awards and no one loses their jobs. Nice, isnt it? That's how China has bought the US.

    125. Re:So, how long before... by geekoid · · Score: 1

      Wait, it's cheaper for you to have water trucked in the using your hose? I find that very hard to believe. Where do you live?

      People do more then just watch netflix. Especially if his connection is being used be several member of the family.

      and are netflix movies only 5 GB? even at 1080p?

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    126. Re:So, how long before... by Duradin · · Score: 1

      So are you a recent convert or a dyed-in-the-wool zealot? It's hard to tell those two apart.

    127. Re:So, how long before... by geekoid · · Score: 1

      I believe 720 would come to about 3Gb per hour.

      Hulu videos is pretty low quality.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    128. Re:So, how long before... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They need to wake up and smell the coffee, if they can't deliver this stuff they shouldn't promise it and they certainly shouldn't be taking our money for it.

      Why the hell shouldn't we take your money? Fuck you, pay up.

      Whaddya gonna do, stop using the service? Not bloody likely! Shut up and pay up,
      you bandwidth-hogging little piggy.

      -- BigISP Inc.

    129. Re:So, how long before... by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      In Go, often the few moves in the endgame can swing 5 or 10 points and turn an obvious loss into an obvious win.

      Chess is a horrible analogy for the real world. If I wanted to make this a pure Go analogy, I would have to go into a really deep discussion about two players trying foolishly for specific goals such as capturing a set of corner stones, which wouldn't make sense to most people any more than my already horrible analogy.

      In chess, people resign when they can't win. In Go, loss of an area of play can be walked away from, and possibly recovered from later due to a changed state of the board. My analogy sucks mainly because I have to somehow argue that losing pawns somehow matters when you manage to checkmate the king; in Chess it really doesn't, but in such an analogy it would be ridiculous to say that pawns lost along the way are meaningless when you ultimately win. Stupid laws go on the books, even if they're not the laws you WANT.

      It's hard. But the funny thing is that the analogy to playing Go as you would play Chess-- directing your energy to concrete goals, which in the game of Go is harmful-- is actually highly relevant to people who are only concerned with their tiny little sphere of influence and their single-minded goals in the middle of such volatile and far-reaching issues.

    130. Re:So, how long before... by speroni · · Score: 1

      36Gb thats nothing anymore.

      My wife and I use 5Gb each on our phones. I couldn't guess what we typically use on our actual computers.

      Netflix, You Tube, Porn, Stumble upon...

      --
      Eschew Obfuscation
    131. Re:So, how long before... by lennier · · Score: 1

      500? 150? Hate to break the news to ya, but I'm in one of the "test markets" for the "new" caps, and guess what? It is 36Gb for residential and 76Gb for business so you can say goodbye to things like Netflix, because with caps THAT low, good luck watching movies on the net.

      Welcome to New Zealand, as it's been for the last ten years. I now have a 20GB monthly transfer cap for my 10mbps Telstra cable (up from 5GB originally), which I just exceeded this month by running the Lord of the Rings Online downloader - it said it would pull down 7GB, but actually pulled closer to 16. Oops.

      In my opinion, the sooner the USA gets transfer caps comparable with the rest of the world, the better off we'll all be because US-written software will stop assuming that everyone on broadband has unlimited transfer and will start becoming smarter about when and how it sends packets.

      Yes, movies and TV really don't work well over IP with that kind of transfer limit. But perhaps the problem is not 'my ISP is evil' but 'video over IP is very wasteful and there really ISN'T enough capacity to go around if everyone uses it wastefully'.

      Back in the 1980s, we had 300 baud acoustic couplers and were thankful for it, you kids get off my lawn, etc.

      --
      You are not a brain: http://books.google.com/books?id=2oV61CeDx-YC
    132. Re:So, how long before... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      My electrical and water company _lowers_ the rate, if I go over the certain amount. It's called "volume discount"

    133. Re:So, how long before... by antdude · · Score: 1

      He's a couch potato. What did you expect? I watch a lot too, but it is more of TV/television shows and random online videos.

      --
      Ant(Dude) @ Quality Foraged Links (AQFL.net) & The Ant Farm (antfarm.ma.cx / antfarm.home.dhs.org).
    134. Re:So, how long before... by Ichijo · · Score: 1

      With caps that low the ISPs are gonna make out like robber barons...

      An entrepreneur would call that an "opportunity."

      Unless, of course, your neighborhood granted the cable company a monopoly. But that's partially your fault.

      --
      Any sufficiently unpopular but cohesive argument is indistinguishable from trolling.
    135. Re:So, how long before... by pslytely+psycho · · Score: 1

      This post needs a +6 insightful/informative/Kick ass moderation!

      --
      Donald Trump, on a crusade to make Nixon look respectable
    136. Re:So, how long before... by KingMotley · · Score: 1

      1080p encoded with mpeg4/h.264 isn't anywhere near 12GB per movie for most movies using typical compression. It's typically more like 1/3rd of that or less.

      Netflix HD (720p) additionally is encoded at ~3800kbps, running 1.7GB per hour, or 2.5GB for your typical 1 hour 30 minute movie.

    137. Re:So, how long before... by Tetsujin · · Score: 1

      They need to wake up and smell the coffee, if they can't deliver this stuff they shouldn't promise it and they certainly shouldn't be taking our money for it.

      Why the hell shouldn't we take your money? Fuck you, pay up.

      Whaddya gonna do, stop using the service? Not bloody likely! Shut up and pay up,
      you bandwidth-hogging little piggy.

      -- BigISP Inc.

      I was unhappy with BigISP's service, so I switched to The Other ISP In The Area!

      --
      Bow-ties are cool.
    138. Re:So, how long before... by mattack2 · · Score: 1

      compared it to the Mae East bandwidth graphs (when they were public)

      So I guess they're not saying "why don't you come up and see me sometime" anymore.

    139. Re:So, how long before... by somersault · · Score: 1

      Well, I'm not in a family home, but on Saturday alone I watched 2/3rds of The Big Bang Theory season 3, which is the equivalent of 3 movies :p I watch a lot of movies and TV series (on DVD/blu-ray, I don't ever watch broadcast TV), and I have a cinema card so that I get unlimited cinema for £13 a month. I make pretty good use of it, usually at least one movie per week. I definitely don't watch 20 movies every month, but I must get close sometimes. Tonight I was out doing Parkour for 3.5 hours, and if I hadn't started browsing YouTube and Slashdot when I got back, I would have started on Season 5 of Bleach by now :p

      --
      which is totally what she said
    140. Re:So, how long before... by 10101001+10101001 · · Score: 1

      They want to sell you a service that you will never use, in the hope they can sell the same service to lots of other people who'll also never use it and then they won't actually need to provide the service.

      Who do they think they are? Banks?

      --
      Eurohacker European paranoia, gun rights, and h
    141. Re:So, how long before... by bertoelcon · · Score: 1

      Depending on how you go about it that could still make you an ally.

      --
      Anything can be found funny, from a certain point of view.
    142. Re:So, how long before... by hairyfeet · · Score: 1

      nice idea...BTW, can I move in to your house? I promise I'll be VERY quiet! Because I hate to break the news to ya, but most of us? NO choice, zero, zip, none. Here are my "choices" in Internet-Cox at 2Mbs and 36Gb (yes I meant GB, sorry but losing my old clacky keyboard is throwing off my typing, sorry) or AT&T at if you are REALLY lucky and the stars align you MIGHT get 512Kbs, MAYBE. Translation, not on your fucking life, or Windstream which MAXES OUT at around 350Kbs, I know because I have customers stuck on it. A single driver update takes an hour and a half, it is literally faster to drive the 20 miles to my home, stick the drivers on a flash, and return, than it is to use Windstream DSL. We also have a WISP, but their service starts at $80 and from talking to users is off more than it is on, and when it works you are lucky to get 200Kbs.

      So I'd be 100% behind you in letting the free market decide if we actually had one but in nearly every place but the coasts you are looking at a duopoly that has done cherry picked the customers they want which is little old ladies and soccer moms playing FB, NOT YOU OR ME. Everyone else? Can DIAF for all they care. Hell my mom is staring at the junction box for BOTH cable and DSL, and neither will run the whole block and a half to her house! So how is she and I and all the others being boned supposed to "vote with our dollars" if the choice is shitty if you are lucky and no choice if you are not?

      --
      ACs don't waste your time replying, your posts are never seen by me.
    143. Re:So, how long before... by jonwil · · Score: 1

      I say that end users need to pay more.

      Lots of people say "why should I be limited to 100GB a month unless I pay extra" (or whatever) but bandwidth aint free.
      Start charging heavy users more than light users (via tiered pricing) and the problem will go away.

      No need to charge Google or Netflix extra.
      No need to be non-neutral and throttle things where the other end wont pay for it (or cant in the case of most BitTorrent users)

      Of course, the ISPs (particularly the cable companies) dont want that. They want to find a way to make alternatives to their overpriced "TV" service (Comcast Cable TV, Verizon FIOS TV AT&T U-verse TV etc) slower or more expensive to stop people replacing "TV" with "content from the internet"

    144. Re:So, how long before... by mr_mischief · · Score: 1

      I doubt your limit is in gigabits. Surely you mean "GB" where you say "Gb". There is a difference, you know.

    145. Re:So, how long before... by jonwil · · Score: 1

      What a load of BS from the US ISPs.
      Here in Australia I can get caps with limits of anywhere up to 1 Terrabyte if I pay enough.
      My current plan gives me 130GB. And if I go over that, I get throttled to near-dialup speeds for the rest of the month (but pay no excess usage fees)

      If they had tiered pricing where light users could buy a 30GB plan and heavier users could actually BUY a 100GB or 200GB plan, there would be no problems. But if 36GB is the highest you can get, then yes there IS a problem.

      If the ISPs were trying to stop bandwidth hogs then offering a regular plan with 30GB for one cost and then a premium plan with 100GB for a higher cost would make more sense than limiting EVERYONE to 36GB.

      But Cox is a cable company and its not really about bandwidth hogs (despite what their PR people may say). Its about stopping the exodus of people dropping expensive premium cable channels in favor of Internet content. (ahd the only way to do that is to ensure no-one has enough bandwidth to make switching viable)

    146. Re:So, how long before... by jonwil · · Score: 1

      Not always an option.
      For many people the cable company is the only option unless they want to go to even more expensive (and bandwidth limited) wireless, go back to dialup or pay $$$ to get some form of dedicated line (and even if you have the money, getting a dedicated line into a residential area may not be possible)

    147. Re:So, how long before... by Skrapion · · Score: 1

      That's part of the reason why the answer to the question "Which company should pay for the upgrades?" is "None of the above."

      If the ISPs pay for the upgrades, then they own the network. If Google pays for the upgrades, then that's even worse, because the ISPs still own the network, even though they didn't pay for it.

      Network infrastructure is a natural monopoly, and like any natural monopoly (roads, sewage, etc...) the only reasonable solution is to nationalize it. We should pay for network maintenance the same way we pay for road maintenance: with taxes. If your municipality wants to expand its capacity, you should be able to vote for somebody who's willing to allocate the tax dollars.

      ISPs should only be responsible for the service, not the infrastructure. That's the only way to ensure healthy competition.

      --
      The details are trivial and useless; The reasons, as always, purely human ones.
    148. Re:So, how long before... by jonwil · · Score: 1

      You kiwis need to come to Australia where we have competition who can offer plans with quotas as large as 200GB or more if you are willing to pay.

      Your other problem is signing with Telstra (who are not exactly the best value ISP even here in Australia where there IS competition)

    149. Re:So, how long before... by AaronMK · · Score: 1

      A "full-quality" BD is 50 GB. Most downloads don't approach the size of a "full quality" 4.5 GB DVD. (Which is really 9 GB.) Browse iTunes a bit, and you'll find their 720p downloads hover around 3 - 5 GB. A "1080p" movie could fit on a 9GB DVD, but compression artifacts would be very noticeable. A REAL 1080p movie will have the bit-rates required to make compression artifacts imperceptible, typically averaging at least 30 Mbps.

      Think of what percentage of the downstream Internet traffic Netflix would be using if they were streaming REAL 1080p.

    150. Re:So, how long before... by Filmcell-Keyrings · · Score: 2, Interesting

      It's in an ISPs best interests to increase bandwidth before their competitors do. I know that there is often not a lot of choice so consumers dont have many options, but if one company makes the jump and increases bandwith significantly, how long before customers start jumping ship, especially once they realise that Netflix etc start working better.

      --
      Never rub another man's rhubarb
    151. Re:So, how long before... by hairyfeet · · Score: 1

      I would like to just give you a warning friend. Those "game installers" Most are using some sort of "download accelerator" which is actually a P2P app that leeches bandwidth from you to give to others, rather than actually paying their own hosting costs. Oh and if you don't uninstall the accelerator immediately? It will keep seeding the files for as long as it is installed can can find the installer files.

      So you really might want to be careful there friend, as I have seen customers get some seriously crazy Internet bills thanks to little Timmy getting a "free" MMO. IIRC there has even been talk of some of them selling YOUR bandwidth in a distributed scheme. Just remember you can't trust anyone these days, so be sure to Google and read the fine print before you DLoad. Even knowing about it and tweaking the hell out of the app LOTRO cost me 12 GB. With that one if you don't seed it does NOT work!

      --
      ACs don't waste your time replying, your posts are never seen by me.
    152. Re:So, how long before... by Jeppe+Salvesen · · Score: 1

      It's pretty darned simple: We should pay for bytes not bandwidth.

      Really. Max speed for everyone. Trigger emails or SMS'es whenever a configurable threshold is passed for this month, optionally throttle the connection until the end-user approves of the extra bill. Also,the ISP contacts you if they suspect you're a node in some bot-net (e.g. excessive traffic on SMTP).

      The internet is infrastructure, analogous to electricity. We'd destroy the earth even quicker if power hogs paid the same price for electricity as those who are environmentally conscious and save electricity whenever they can. Indeed, the power hogs would in effect be sponsored by those who are environmentally conscious. That's pretty much what's going on right now on the internet: We have perverse rewards in place.

      --

      Stop the brainwash

    153. Re:So, how long before... by lxs · · Score: 1

      I think he made a fair point.

    154. Re:So, how long before... by wadeal · · Score: 1

      And so how long before you have what's happened in Australia? We have always had download limits on all our broadband. Unless you wanted to pay $300 AUD + for a business connection. But competition has happened, new ISP's have come and gone and now you can get unlimited or very high quota plans for around 60 AUD a month. Compare that to a few years ago when $60 would get you maybe 50gb if you were lucky. Even the big ISPs here are having to increase quotas due to the competition and the fact people are using more bandwidth. And I don't think we even have Netflix or anything like that readily available (or atleast mainstream). Canada seems similar in attitude to Australia, so I don't see why competition wouldn't happen (ie one ISP makes a 36gb plan, then another releases a 40gb, and so on til you end up at unlimited anyway).

    155. Re:So, how long before... by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      I got modded offtopic on the original post and the follow-up, so I'll make another fair point: Slashdot is full of "nerds" that are so mentally deficient they can't identify or understand analogy and metaphor. (Regardless of if my metaphor is any good, it should be easy to recognize that something is on topic-- even if it's a shitty comment on the topic)

      Slashdot: News for preppy idiots, stuff that lets sheep disassociate themselves from other sheep.

    156. Re:So, how long before... by TheCRAIGGERS · · Score: 1

      The reason we pay per kilowatt hour is because electricity is a good. An electron is a material thing that is consumed. Despite the somewhat unique delivery method, that power has to come from somewhere, and there is only so much of it. Just like buying a loaf of bread that was created with amounts of grain, electricity is created with amounts of fuel. The 'bandwidth' or capacity of electricity delivery methods are hardly ever brought up because that isn't the limiting factor for a regular consumer.

      Contrast this with internet, where the 'good' is the byte, a packet of infomation. Something that is (notwithstanding the cost of electricity, etc) freely created and destroyed on a whim. Hence why the bandwidth is more important than the amount of bytes used.

      So, even though the delivery methods may seem similar, they are a world apart.

    157. Re:So, how long before... by Jeppe+Salvesen · · Score: 1

      This would be interesting if it was the whole truth.

      But it's not.

      The packets are indeed non-material, but the infrastructure used to transport those packets is not non-material. It is very material, and it cost money to both expand and maintain that infrastructure.

      Consider this:

      Had we paid for our packets, having insufficient infrastructure would mean lost revenue for the ISP. Consequently, they would ensure they rarely saw a line go beyond 90-90% of capacity.

      Currently, they rather put caps on the lines - since there's no profit for them to keep expanding the capacity. We pay them the same no matter how much or how little we use of their capacity.

      --

      Stop the brainwash

    158. Re:So, how long before... by FPoe · · Score: 1

      Actually the ISP I use has NO cap. You can download a TB of data in a month and no one will bat an eye.

    159. Re:So, how long before... by RobDude · · Score: 1

      I think the problem is in ownership.

      Let's say things continue as projected and the internet grinds to a crawl because so many people are doing things like streaming NetFlix. When 40% of all traffic is coming from one company, a commercial company - people start to get upset. Sure, Netflix will say, 'Duh - improve the bandwidth' but nobody is going to want to spend millions of dollars to help some single company make even more money.

      Imagine a public park. You probably have one or two within a few miles of your house. Let's say it's got a small playground and occasionally you bring your kids. It's fun. It's nice. Your tax dollars provide it.

      One day, you show up and the park is crowded. Kids are EVERYWHERE. Bigger kids are pushing and shoving and your kids can't get on any of the equipment. They hate it. You don't recognize any of the kids either - but then you see an army of large buses. It is some Mega-Corp Day-Care and, instead of building their own park; they are utilizing the publicly available parks. They have so many customers/kids that it renders the park virtually unusable.

      You might say, 'What the heck MegaCorp! You are ruining my park.' Because you pay taxes to support that park. But the MegaCorp goes, 'LOL WUT? Public park - STFU'. They aren't going to build a new park, because that would cost them money. They might toss some bucks into the pocket of a politician that plans to run on the 'More Parks for everyone' ticket.

      Either the government comes along and regulates use of the park (which causes a ton of anti-gov/big brother types of complaints) or the park remains useless and over-run or you get stuck paying for a bigger park with your tax dollars, even though you don't want higher taxes, and as soon as more parks are built, the MegaCorp ships more and more kids until, in a very short time, you are back in the same position.

    160. Re:So, how long before... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Who modded this anywhere *near* insightful? It is full of crap, from my perspectiive:

      1. 500 Gb? Yeah, right... I'm in Comcast Heck, where 250 Gb rules.
      2. In the aforementioned Heck, I don't get to pay for extra bandwidth. They can yank my account if I go over too many times.
      3. I don't use my bandwidth exclusively for Netflix movies. In fact, much of my bandwidth is consumed when I'm getting (as you so condescendingly put it) FRESH AIR.
      4. Apparently -- and, unsurprisingly, if true -- you live alone. In a house with 5 -serious- consumers of bandwidth, 250 Gb starts looking pretty thin. You know what? My kids can consume bandwidth even as I'm CONSUMING SUNSHINE!

      Thanks for playing!

    161. Re:So, how long before... by General+Wesc · · Score: 1

      It seems charging on peak is encouraging people to turn up the AC or turn down the heat a bit

      Or not to run their washing machine, dryer, dish washer, etc. when demand is already pushing capacity.

      You charge more when demand is higher because to meat demand, you bring in marginal production capacity (e.g. firing up less efficient power plants that produce energy at a higher cost).

      In the case of network traffic, we can't just turn on another bunch of fiber when people are using a lot, so the speed each user gets drops. When we're not at capacity, using more doesn't have a significant cost, but when we're at capacity, using more means everyone else gets less. Eventually you have to build more lines or convince people to stop using as much during peak times. Raising prices for peak times does the latter, and is reasonable because the marginal cost of usage is higher.

      It all comes down to supply and demand. Understanding just two lines on a graph can make the whole world make so much more sense.

    162. Re:So, how long before... by hairyfeet · · Score: 1

      Because here in the USA we have what is called "cherry picking" where basically two monopolies get together and agree ala cartel style not to compete for anything that isn't "choice" hence the name? Look at the coastal region, they have TONS of choices. Everywhere else? DIAF for all the care. Hell when I was living there there were parts of downtown Nashville that couldn't get anything better than dialup. In my own area NEITHER DSL nor cable has moved a SINGLE INCH since the late 90s. Not one inch. They know the costs of running lines to compete with them is a barrier most will not afford, and if one side doesn't, why should the other?

      So I don't know how you got competition in Oz, maybe you have regulators that aren't kissing big corporate booty, but here there is NO competition. for a good example see this FIOS map. Notice how they are ALL clustered into tiny pockets, while the rest is empty? THAT is cherry picking. They pick the nicest most expensive neighborhoods to compete and poor and middle class neighborhoods get Hobson's choice. Short of taking the last mile away from them I don't see it changing either.

      --
      ACs don't waste your time replying, your posts are never seen by me.
    163. Re:So, how long before... by Asm-Coder · · Score: 1

      You didn't understand the GP. I'll try to explain it in a new way.

      When I pay my electric bill, part of that money goes to the construction/extension/maintenance of the electrical grid. The other part goes to the power plant to pay for the cost of actually producing the electricity.
      When I pay my ISP, I'm paying for the construction/extension/maintenance of the internet. (fiber/copper grid) When I veiw ads or pay Netflix, I'm paying for the production of data. (analogous to paying the power plant)
      Therefore, when I pay for internet, I'm not paying for the content consumed, but the capacity to consume content. (bandwidth) This would be similar to buying a connection to the electric grid, and then paying a different company for the power I consume.

      This analogy, (like all analogies) is imperfect, (for instance, transmitting the bytes consumes power that must be paid for, but this is kinda similar to the power line losses) but conveys what I think the GP was trying to present.

    164. Re:So, how long before... by definate · · Score: 1

      It is 36Gb for residential and 76Gb for business ... Oh and if you go over? $1.50 per Gb!

      Congratulations, and welcome to Australia!

      Now that net neutrality is dead expect expect to join me in suckitude my friends.

      I don't think Net Neutrality was meant to cover this anyway, I believe that only covered selectively decreasing the speed for certain services, as opposed to a hard limit, regardless of what service is used.

      Down here, they quickly did away with the hard caps (where if you go over you need to pay extreme prices), and they brought about soft caps, where if you go over, you get reduced to 64kbps, or 128kbps, or 256kbps, depending on your plan. So you can still access everything, it's just painfully slow.

      Additionally they introduced reasonable data plans (100gb, 250gb, 500gb, and some do 1000gb), and on top of that they introduced "data packs" which means if you go over your cap, and are shaped down to these ridiculous speeds (like I've just had done, I'm on 250gb), you can buy another 10/20/40 gb, at a price which is exactly $1.5 per gb.

      Either way, I think you've still got better internets than us, but hopefully we're catching up!

      --
      This is my footer. There are many like it, but this one is mine.
  2. Will posting inflammatory headlines by Nimey · · Score: 5, Insightful

    destroy Slashdot?

    It's well on the way - /. just isn't as relevant as it was years back.

    --
    Hail Eris, full of mischief...

    E pluribus sanguinem
    1. Re:Will posting inflammatory headlines by MyLongNickName · · Score: 2, Interesting

      And yet it gets tons of page views. The bottom line is that the parent company has chosen to go more after dollars than making a niche group happy. Take from that what you will.

      --
      See my journal for slashdot ID's by year. Mine created in 2005. http://slashdot.org/journal/289875/slashdot-ids-by-year
    2. Re:Will posting inflammatory headlines by Wook+Man · · Score: 1

      It's well on the way - /. just isn't as relevant as it was years back.

      It never was.

    3. Re:Will posting inflammatory headlines by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Slashdot brought to you by TMZ. Latest headlines include but not limited to:

      Microsoft is dead.
      Linux is dead
      Open office is dead
      Internet Explorer is dead
      Firefox is dead
      AMD is dead
      Intel is dead

    4. Re:Will posting inflammatory headlines by Spad · · Score: 1

      By "niche group" I presume you mean "the people who read Slashdot"...

    5. Re:Will posting inflammatory headlines by geekoid · · Score: 1

      Slashdot is exactly as relevant as it was 'years' ago. You seem to be suffering from the 'it was better in my day' falacy

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    6. Re:Will posting inflammatory headlines by Nimey · · Score: 1

      Not so sure of that. Seems like /. had a larger mindshare tennish years ago.

      Maybe this place had higher standards then, or maybe there were fewer competitors and so there were more interesting commenters here & this place seemed shinier for being different.

      --
      Hail Eris, full of mischief...

      E pluribus sanguinem
  3. The answer is... by adamgolding · · Score: 5, Funny

    Yes. Clearly Netflix will 'destroy the internet'.

    1. Re:The answer is... by jandrese · · Score: 1

      First it went for Blockbuster, and I didn't complain because Blockbuster sucked ass. But now, with their chops still bloody, they turn their heads towards the internet? Can the entire collapse of civilization be far behind? Why, Netflix, Why?!?

      --

      I read the internet for the articles.
    2. Re:The answer is... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      Except in certain markets, where apparently, the Internet will destroy Netflix.

      Damn those soviet russian markets!

    3. Re:The answer is... by obergfellja · · Score: 1

      DEATH TO ALL HUMANS!! (except Fry) - Bender from Futurama. NetFlix is the Bender of our time.

    4. Re:The answer is... by morcego · · Score: 1

      Wasn't there a Netcraft report about that ?

      --
      morcego
    5. Re:The answer is... by uncanny · · Score: 1

      If only George Bush was still here to save us from these [9/11] internets and declare war on them! Our free[9/11]dom depends on it!

    6. Re:The answer is... by rwa2 · · Score: 0, Troll

      Oh, I don't know... does Netflix run on anything other than IE and maybe Safari and PS3 yet? Aren't all those platforms dying out?

      Maybe Netflix will save computers as we know it! Oh, wait, looks like they have an iphone app. We're doomed.

      Seriously, is there a way to stream Netflix under Linux yet (aside from in a VM?)

    7. Re:The answer is... by jandrese · · Score: 1

      It works on Wii and 360 as well. Not to mention a number of other settop boxes. Linux is not going to happen for a long time though because media companies don't trust Linux users and think they'll work around their DRM if they just hand over the encryption routines.

      --

      I read the internet for the articles.
    8. Re:The answer is... by MickyTheIdiot · · Score: 1

      Yes. It was confirmed!

    9. Re:The answer is... by enderjsv · · Score: 2, Informative

      What are you talking about. Netflix runs in Firefox just fine. It also runs on the Wii and the xbox 360. You can also buy a $99 box sold separately to run in on your tv if you so desire. Pretty sure it's here to stay.

    10. Re:The answer is... by couchslug · · Score: 1

      "Yes. Clearly Netflix will 'destroy the internet'."

      I, for one, welcome our new Internet-destroying overlords.

      --
      "This post is an artistic work of fiction and falsehood. Only a fool would take anything posted here as fact."
    11. Re:The answer is... by nizo · · Score: 2, Informative

      FYI, Netflix works just fine from Firefox running under Windows (at least it does on my home XP box). And no, aside from inside of a virtual host there is no way to watch Netflix instant streaming movies with Linux.

    12. Re:The answer is... by SuricouRaven · · Score: 1

      Those linux users will work around the DRM with or without those encryption routines handed over. There hasn't been a widely-deployed DRM scheme yet that hasn't been broken in some way - and usually in some easily-reproduced way.

    13. Re:The answer is... by JackieBrown · · Score: 1

      Is there a way to stream Netflix under Linux yet (aside from in a VM?)

      If you count Roku there is. Is there a way to stream to Desktop linux? Not yet. (Well, I guess you can use playon but that is about as useful as a VM since you still need windows running somewhere)

    14. Re:The answer is... by maugle · · Score: 1

      Meanwhile, the Linux users simply download the torrent - or hook up their Netflix-streaming game console to a PVR - and laugh at the media companies and their precious DRM.

    15. Re:The answer is... by Bigjeff5 · · Score: 2, Informative

      Seriously, is there a way to stream Netflix under Linux yet (aside from in a VM?)

      Why bother? It's only 1% of the market, if that.

      Watch it in a VM, or watch it on your Wii, or your Xbox, or your PS3, or your bluray player, or any of the scores of other devices that stream Netflix.

      Yes, Netflix works in all browsers, it just doesn't work on Linux. And frankly, most people don't care.

      --
      Security is mostly a superstition... Avoiding danger is no safer in the long run than outright exposure. - Helen Keller
    16. Re:The answer is... by jandrese · · Score: 1

      You know what though? Torrents are kind of a pain. I've got Netflix setup on the Wii and it's wonderful. You just fire up the channel (no more disk required!), choose the movie you want, and hit play. Finding the torrent, waiting for it to download, then setting it up to play on the TV is a lot more effort, and since I have Netflix anyway there's just no point. Sure the Netflix instant play selection is a bit sparse, but I still have dozens of movies on the queue and no danger of running out anytime soon.

      --

      I read the internet for the articles.
    17. Re:The answer is... by Mad+Bad+Rabbit · · Score: 1

      It runs just fine on my low-end Blu-Ray player (which came with an ethernet in jack), so no computer needed.

      --
      >;k
    18. Re:The answer is... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, I have it on good authority that typing "google" into Google will break the internet. I haven't tried it, I don't want to be "that guy".

    19. Re:The answer is... by arkane1234 · · Score: 1

      I'm about the same.. used to be on my Sony bluray player, but it's so much more detailed on the Wii. Eh, only 9-10 bucks a month, can't beat that price. The quality is amazing really, imho.

      --
      -- This space for lease, low setup fee, inquire within!
    20. Re:The answer is... by aztektum · · Score: 1

      It's possible it will simply because MS has now deprecated Silverlight as a web content platform.

      Netflix uses Silverlight for their streaming. If they have to switch, it will likely be to Flash, which works just fine on Linux.

      --
      :: aztek ::
      No sig for you!!
    21. Re:The answer is... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      it's amazing how small the linux market is if you refuse to sell to them. Seriously, mac os x is just OpenBSD, how hard could it have been to have it work on linux too?

    22. Re:The answer is... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ...No. AOL already destroyed the Internet.

    23. Re:The answer is... by rwa2 · · Score: 1

      Ha... torrents managed to pass "the wife test", in that I installed uTorrent on her laptop and she actually started using it routinely (mostly to download the Soviet-era productions she grew up with to show to our kids)

      Oh, I suppose I could add a PS3 to the fray, once we finish waiting for GT5 to come out. (My PS2 was merely an accessory for my G25 wheel).

      But yeah, we do use Netflix quite a bit too, if only so we don't have to allocate / manage extra disk space for much of the crud out there.

    24. Re:The answer is... by rwa2 · · Score: 1

      Nah, Flash vids are still pretty crappy quality, both under Windows and Linux (I end up viewing them with vlc /tmp/Flash* )

      I admit I was pretty impressed with Netflix streaming ever since it first came out... they got a lot of the technology right with their player. No vertical sync artifacts, good postprocessing to smooth out the compression artifacts (very little "blockiness" from excessive quantization), and they must be using some decent error correction since I rarely see any corruption from dropped packets that I've seen with other streaming services (livecast, etc.)

    25. Re:The answer is... by Dabido · · Score: 1

      So, would you say it is time for us to panic?

      --
      Sure enough, the cow costume was hanging up next to the superhero outfit and sailors uniform. (S,Spud)
    26. Re:The answer is... by DrVxD · · Score: 1

      Obligatory....

      In Soviet Russia, Internet destroys Netflix ...

      --
      Not everything that can be measured matters; Not everything that matters can be measured.
  4. Oh I hope so by stoolpigeon · · Score: 1

    "won't be long before it comes for the rest of the world"

    I'm moving outside the US next year and I really would love not to have to jump through hoops to keep using Netflix.

    --
    It's hard to believe that's how Micronians are made. Why don't we see it right now by having you both kiss one another?
    1. Re:Oh I hope so by Imagix · · Score: 1

      Canada has Netflix now... but the lineup of shows is restricted, probably due to distribution agreements.

    2. Re:Oh I hope so by stoolpigeon · · Score: 1

      Well - if that's a glimpse of how it will work, I guess I'll be sticking to my original plans. Which is a bummer as I'd like to be able to keep streaming via my wii but that will be out. I'll be in Europe, and 'soon' is probably not all that accurate any way.

      --
      It's hard to believe that's how Micronians are made. Why don't we see it right now by having you both kiss one another?
    3. Re:Oh I hope so by Imagix · · Score: 1

      Streaming to XBox 360 just arrived in Canada (and you can only get streaming in Canada).

    4. Re:Oh I hope so by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Just hook up a Slingbox to a Netflix capable device, or use an actual proxy.

  5. Bandwidth? by Joehonkie · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Well, that bandwidth is what I pay my ISP for...

    1. Re:Bandwidth? by hedwards · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Indeed. I think it's more accurate to say that deregulation and a lack of oversight are killing the internet. The companies aren't making the upgrades necessary to keep up with demand and are instead trying to charge more for less. The cost of DSL service here hasn't gone up, but the speed and bandwidth haven't either. With amortization schedules and the cost of bandwidth being what they are, you wouldn't expect that.

      Well, you wouldn't expect that if there was any competition and the ISPs actually cared what the consumers wanted. Worse, I live in a major city, it's doubtless much worse outside of major cities.

    2. Re:Bandwidth? by John+Hasler · · Score: 2, Informative

      I think it's more accurate to say that deregulation and a lack of oversight are killing the internet.

      Yeah. If the regulators had had their way we'd all have ISDN by now.

      --
      Warning: this article may contain humor, sarcasm, parody, and perhaps even irony. Read at your own risk.
    3. Re:Bandwidth? by Krishnoid · · Score: 1

      The cost of DSL service here hasn't gone up, but the speed and bandwidth haven't either.

      Yeah. If the regulators had had their way we'd all have ISDN by now.

      It seems storage and processor speed haven't been hobbled comparably; probably because of the carriers' monopoly control. Still, state-controlled telephone monopolies in some countries seem to be beating the US to date.

    4. Re:Bandwidth? by mangu · · Score: 1

      I think it's more accurate to say that deregulation and a lack of oversight are killing the internet

      you wouldn't expect that if there was any competition

      Funny, how you cite both deregulation and lack of competition in the same post.

      Pick one, please, is it deregulation or is it lack of competition? As I understand it, deregulation means anyone can get in the market and offer their services.

      What you call deregulation is actually overregulation that does not allow free access to the market, there would exist plenty of competition if the market were truly deregulated.

    5. Re:Bandwidth? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why do we need regulations and oversight, when it's the government that gave these companies local monopolies in the first place?

      It is not the government's job to protect consumers from something that has not happened yet. Expanding the government is not the answer when actually removing hurdles (for competition) could do the trick. It is their job to protect consumers from businesses (and other people) when they act against them maliciously. I'd say the local monopolies--slowing speeds, providing lower QoS, and upping (or at least maintaining) fees--are acting maliciously.

      Yet, the government is okay with that. And somehow new regulations will fix it simply by preventing them from capping us off, when they effectively already have for a long time with slow, expensive speeds.

      Remove the local monopolies. Competition will drive down cost, and increase available bandwidth. If that doesn't work, then bring in regulation.

    6. Re:Bandwidth? by Totenglocke · · Score: 1

      Maybe where you live. In the major US city where I live, prices have gone down, speeds have gone up, and there's no bandwidth limits - and that's with only two companies for the last decade.

      The cable company provides 5-6 monthly plans ranging from $20/month for 768k to $55/month for 15 Mb, while the phone companies DSL offers $25/month for 768k and $40/month for 5Mb. Both companies also give discounts on internet if you get other services (home phone or cable tv) through them. Around 8 years ago it was $60/month for 1 Mb (cable) and $50/month for 768k (DSL).

      --
      "The tree of liberty must be refreshed from time to time with the blood of patriots and tyrants." ~Thomas Jefferson
    7. Re:Bandwidth? by ThatsNotPudding · · Score: 1

      But only to lovingly admire its potential, not to actually use it!

    8. Re:Bandwidth? by SydShamino · · Score: 1

      Given the events of this week, don't hold your breath for change.

      --
      It doesn't hurt to be nice.
    9. Re:Bandwidth? by hazydave · · Score: 1

      Actually... you're probably pretty typical. If you have any reasonable broadband service, you more often than not have a choice. That's the effect of deregulation for sure.. there are many people who have no wired option (they might get satellite, or cellular modem.. both seriously flawed compared to even the basic DSL plans)... I'm in that group. No wired option where I live, and I pay $120 per month for 1.5Mb/s down, 300kb/s up.. and a daily high-speed limit of 500MB (limits are off between 2AM and 7AM, Eastern Time). At least there are no penalties if you run over.. though if you do, Hugesnet will let you pay $12 for the next 500MB if you need it. Given this, it would take me $60 to watch a Netflix HD film in realtime.. well, if I didn't have less than half the necessary bandwidth to stream it.

      In short -- you're lucky. Don't move. Competition, while good, it always localized. Regulation, ages back, is the only reason I can get wired telephone service. And this is in New Jersey.. I can imagine it's worse in the West.

      --
      -Dave Haynie
    10. Re:Bandwidth? by Totenglocke · · Score: 1

      Well I have to ask - where the hell do you live? Just like with any business, businesses are where the customers are. People who choose to live in the middle of nowhere (such as some of my family) are going to have fewer options and lower quality / higher prices as a result. That's why I like living in the suburbs of a city - you don't have all the negatives of city life, yet you don't have the isolation from businesses of rural life.

      --
      "The tree of liberty must be refreshed from time to time with the blood of patriots and tyrants." ~Thomas Jefferson
    11. Re:Bandwidth? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think it's more accurate to say that government a sanctioned oligopoly is killing the internet. Allow competition and the free market will solve these problems.

    12. Re:Bandwidth? by ormondotvos · · Score: 1

      And plenty of competition ain't the only wonderful thing the market would have. Melamine, sulfur, cracked blocks, lead jewelry for children. Oh, you were talking about that other Pure Regulation that protects the consumer? Oh, you weren't. Is there someplace I can apply to be a corporation shill? How's the pay? Oh, you're doing it for free? Those corporations, they're so clever. Carry on.

    13. Re:Bandwidth? by Bureaucromancer · · Score: 1

      Wrong. It is both. This is an issue that can be addressed EITHER through regulation or deregulation. We have too much regulation for new competitors to really be free to enter the market, but at the same time not enough to force the existing operators to provide what is needed. Frankly, I don't give a shit at this point, but it needs to change either way. While my own inclination on infrastructure would probably be to regulate a near monopoly as we did with phone companies and railroads in the past, the political situation is such TRUE deregulation probably makes more sense (and it's not like regulation doesn't have its own massive set of problems).

  6. Wait... I thought bit torrent had that title by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 1

    The internet exists to be used.

    If people use more bandwidth, then providers will adjust prices, install new capacity, and then it will be fine.

    I'm more concerned about IP addresses (which is not much) than I am about capacity issues.

    If bandwidth cost to netflix increases, then they will slow down bandwidth (so maybe it takes 60 seconds to start a movie instead of 10 seconds). Or maybe they offer a lower bandwidth option.

    --
    She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    1. Re:Wait... I thought bit torrent had that title by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The internet exists to be used.

      If people use more bandwidth, then providers will adjust prices, install new capacity, and then it will be fine.

      I'm more concerned about IP addresses (which is not much) than I am about capacity issues.

      If bandwidth cost to netflix increases, then they will slow down bandwidth (so maybe it takes 60 seconds to start a movie instead of 10 seconds). Or maybe they offer a lower bandwidth option.

      Just sit back and watch the free market work it's magic. //stops beating on libertarian drum.//

    2. Re:Wait... I thought bit torrent had that title by arketh · · Score: 1

      Didn't a lot of the telecoms lay down tons of dark fiber during the .com boom that they didn't need? Well let's put it all to use!

    3. Re:Wait... I thought bit torrent had that title by zach_the_lizard · · Score: 1

      Easier said than done. That last mile is uphill, both ways, covered in landmines, and guarded by paramilitary organizations. At least, that's what the lack of progress in this area has lead me to believe

      --
      SSC
    4. Re:Wait... I thought bit torrent had that title by hedwards · · Score: 1

      That's really not what you want. The cost of bandwidth at the wholesaler level has been going down for years, it's the ISPs that don't pay for enough of it to cover the need that are the problem.

      Yes, they can institute caps and raise rates, but all that does is stifle innovation. We wouldn't have youtube at all, if the ISPs had been handling things like this during the Clinton administration. The last time that speeds around here increased by anything significant was in the late 90s. I'm still stuck with a connection that's only 1 Mbps faster than it was in 2000, when it was 4mbps. Meanwhile in other countries it's not unheard of to have speeds that are several times faster. Hell even in this country there's speeds much faster than that available.

    5. Re:Wait... I thought bit torrent had that title by Monkeedude1212 · · Score: 1

      install new capacity

      Did you just say that ISP's will upgrade?

      How long have you been using the internet?

    6. Re:Wait... I thought bit torrent had that title by demonbug · · Score: 1

      If bandwidth cost to netflix increases, then they will slow down bandwidth (so maybe it takes 60 seconds to start a movie instead of 10 seconds). Or maybe they offer a lower bandwidth option.

      Don't even suggest it, or they'll be all over that in an instant. I recently jumped ship from Blockbuster (stayed with them for a long time because we lived just down the street from a store, and our plan allowed unlimited free trade-ins) largely because of the streaming service, but have found that the picture quality is barely adequate as it is. They need to offer higher quality in general, not lower quality options. Cut it down any more and I'll be going... well, I'm not sure what alternative there is, I guess to bittorrent (more likely just quit watching movies and TV entirely; as it is, I pretty much only use netflix for TV shows, as I don't really have time these days to sit through movies).

      (Off-topic, but hooray! It looks like Slashdot finally fixed the issue that prevented me from placing the cursor in the right half of the comment box, though it looks like they had to go with an ugly-ass fixed-width font to do it)

    7. Re:Wait... I thought bit torrent had that title by timeOday · · Score: 1

      That's really not what you want. The cost of bandwidth at the wholesaler level has been going down for years, it's the ISPs that don't pay for enough of it to cover the need that are the problem.

      They don't? I use netflix streaming on my Comcast account frequently, and it works well. I upgraded from Comcast's cheapest 1mbit service to the more expensive 6mbit service for no other reason than to get better video quality on netflix. Comcast is getting their money and hasn't complained about my watching netflix, netflix is getting their money, I am getting my movies, everybody is happy. I don't see what this story is about.

    8. Re:Wait... I thought bit torrent had that title by John+Hasler · · Score: 1

      Worse: it costs nearly as much as a trunk and serves only one customer.

      --
      Warning: this article may contain humor, sarcasm, parody, and perhaps even irony. Read at your own risk.
    9. Re:Wait... I thought bit torrent had that title by SuricouRaven · · Score: 1

      If you want to see really well-done compression, ask the pirates :> They consider quality a point of pride.

    10. Re:Wait... I thought bit torrent had that title by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 1

      That's part of why more people use the internet via 3g, 4g, and smartphones than linelines. (at least that's what I heard on bloomfield this morning).

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    11. Re:Wait... I thought bit torrent had that title by squallbsr · · Score: 1

      I would totally be beating the libertarian drum too if the ISP "market" was a free market. Free markets work when there are actually free markets - problem is that a monopoly/duopoly isn't a free market. It is a sad day that we lost a lot of net neutrality supporters with the recent elections.

      --
      Sleep: A completely inadequate substitution for Caffeine.
    12. Re:Wait... I thought bit torrent had that title by cynyr · · Score: 1

      it is somewhat true, if by uphill you mean requires city approval, and by landmines you mean NIMBY's, and by paramilitary orgs you mean local monopolies.

      Really there are some cost issues that need to be worked out in the last mile. Simply low population density doesn't ever pay for the rollout for a local company. Also most of the dark fiber they laid wasn't in the last mile, but the backbone.

      --
      All of the above was encrypted with a Quad ROT-13 method. Unauthorized decryption is in violation of the DMCA.
    13. Re:Wait... I thought bit torrent had that title by natehoy · · Score: 1

      Really? Where are you that you get a 3G service you could possibly use to stream movies without incurring hundreds or thousands of dollars a month in overage charges?

      AT&T's monthly cap is now 2GB, which means about 66 Megabytes per day. Coincidentally, that is the size Comcast is claiming for a standard-resolution movie. So I might, if I used my bandwidth for nothing else that whole month, be able to watch one standard-definition (not HD) movie on that cap. Overage is, last time I checked, about $10 per gigabyte, meaning that in addition to my NetFlix fees each movie in standard definition would cost me $20 after I used up my $60 account cap for the first movie. For $20, I'll drive to Wally World and buy the DVD, and I can probably buy a pack of microwave popcorn with some of the remainder, and I can watch it as many times as I want. Or I'll rent it from my local video store (we still have one left in town, and they get $3 for a new release, so there's an option that's $17 cheaper per movie than NetFlix over AT&T, for $17 I can hire a college kid to deliver it for me and add to the local economy).

      T-Mobile's cap recently dropped to 3GB from 5GB. Hey, a little better, but that's still less than two movies a month, tops, assuming you do nothing else on your connection and the movies are TV resolution and heavily compressed. I don't know what their overage charges are. I can't imagine they are pretty.

      I think Verizon is the only holdout with a 5GB plan. So there's 2 movies a month if you watch them in TV quality, and a whole 33 Megabytes a day left for everything else you could possibly want to do. Yippee! Someone pinch me, I must be dreaming! Again, no idea what the overages are.

      Meanwhile, Comcast, much as I detest caps at all, at least gives me 250GB a month, and even my "you used all your speed for 15 minutes, you're capped at 50%!" throttled speeds much higher than what 3G is capable of, all for the same $60 a month a standalone wireless data account costs.

      --
      "This post contains words, known to the State of California to cause thought. Wash brain thoroughly after reading."
    14. Re:Wait... I thought bit torrent had that title by hazydave · · Score: 1

      Slowing down the start of a film affects latency, it doesn't change bandwidth at all. It would allow a connection with more random traffic to work well, but a 1.5Mb/s pipe will never support a 3.0Mb/s video in realtime. Period.

      Netflix's problem is already manifest... they're competing with 25-35Mb/s Blu-Ray video, 19Mb/s broadcast, and 8-12Mb/s satellite/cable (maybe better) in HD with lower quality (720/30p, 720/24p vs. 1080/60i or 1080/24p, usually) at 3.8Mb/s peak bitrate. And they're using VC-1/WMV, not AVC, so their quality is already somewhat lower for the same bitrate. They can't cut this and still compete with other forms of pay-per-view. Netflix themselves won by advancing the rental model... most of the download-to-buy schemes didn't survive the dramatically lower video quality.

      --
      -Dave Haynie
    15. Re:Wait... I thought bit torrent had that title by hazydave · · Score: 1

      Sorry... no. I ran into that very same bug just now.

      --
      -Dave Haynie
    16. Re:Wait... I thought bit torrent had that title by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Free market doesn't work well in a monopoly or oligopoly situation...

    17. Re:Wait... I thought bit torrent had that title by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 1

      Netflix looks great on my 55" TV.

      What I mean by the first minute is that instead of delivering at full speed they take longer to buffer you. But you are basically correct now that I think of it.

      Netflix doesn't need higher bandwidth for columbo, most movies, etc. They are not in HD.

      I love it as it is. I don't need HD over the internet. That might be another more expensive service after the bandwidth costs are included.

      As far as blu-ray quality goes- since i'm not 6.75 feet from my 55" screen, I can't tell the frakkin difference in quality. My head is 13' from the screen. DVD and Blu-Ray are basically equivalent unless I went to an 80" screen.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    18. Re:Wait... I thought bit torrent had that title by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 1

      Not sure how it works but netflix has an app.

      I'm not sure what rez it runs at- sure it's not HD.

      My phone shows that I've received 1.9GB of data in about three months (part of august, september, october, part of november).

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
  7. OK, and? by MonsterTrimble · · Score: 4, Informative
    Two things:

    First, they've known this was coming for ages. P2P have been around well over a decade and everybody knew people were downloading movies and TV shows and watching them on their computer. It's just hitting bigtime mainstream now and Netflix was the first commercial entity which did it right.

    Second, the 'Will Porn/Youtube/Torrents/P2P/Netflix/etc Destroy The Internet?" articles have been around for ages. The providers adapt, the technology adapts.

    --
    I call it 'The Aristocrats'
    1. Re:OK, and? by anonymousNR · · Score: 1

      "Will Porn" , hmm that sounds like a very nice service

      --
      -- It is the mark of an educated mind to be able to entertain a thought without accepting it. -- Aristotle
    2. Re:OK, and? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In Soviet Canada, providers adapt you!

    3. Re:OK, and? by Bigjeff5 · · Score: 1

      Especially when their competition starts laying down 1Gbit connections.

      --
      Security is mostly a superstition... Avoiding danger is no safer in the long run than outright exposure. - Helen Keller
    4. Re:OK, and? by hazydave · · Score: 1

      Which is enough to support at most 30-40 Blu-Ray class video streams at a time. Or nearly 300 NetFlix streams. That might help as the backhaul to a local node in a moderate-sized neighborhood, but it's no backbone for this.

      --
      -Dave Haynie
  8. Netflix rocks! by mrflash818 · · Score: 5, Funny

    ... and that is 20% of the internet's bandwidth no longer available to email spammers, too.

    win-win

    --
    Uh, Linux geek since 1999.
  9. so wait a minute.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    if you give them a way to pay for the movies they will? don't be silly that WILL NEVER WORK OR MAKE MONEY, right BLOCKBUSTER? HAR HAR HAR fuck your late fees.

    1. Re:so wait a minute.... by boristdog · · Score: 1

      Exactly.

      MPAA: Pirates are destroying us! People download movies for nothing!

      Lawyers: SUE! SUE!

      People: Hey, we'll pay if we can stream them online.

      ISPs: WAAH! You're using all our bandwidth!

      Lawyers: CHARGE HUGE FEES! SUE!

      People: Why don't you ISPs and MPAA folks get together and use all that government money we gave you to invest in more bandwidth, allowing you both to make even more money and keep your customers happy?

      Lawyers: I don't see how WE can make money off that. KEEP THE GOV'T HANDOUTS! SUE THE CUSTOMER!

  10. Eh ? by unity100 · · Score: 1

    destroy ? arent we fucking PAYING for the bandwidth we are using ? so, in short, arent we using MORE of the product the isps are delivering, and they are making more money ?

    if they are not INVESTING that money to provide MORE products, therefore supplying the demand, that means they are going totally contrary to the logic of 'free market'.

    and excuse me, but that is not us consumers' problem. its their stupidity.

    1. Re:Eh ? by hedwards · · Score: 1

      You must be new here. The ISPs sell more bandwidth than what they have, similar to how airlines sell more seats than their plane has. Unlike Airlines which provide perks for being bumped, ISPs respond by giving you less and citing the fact that they only promised to provide up to a certain speed.

    2. Re:Eh ? by farble1670 · · Score: 1

      destroy ? arent we fucking PAYING for the bandwidth we are using ? so, in short, arent we using MORE of the product the isps are delivering, and they are making more money ?

      unless you live in bizarro world your ISP doesn't make more $ if you download more. you pay a flat fee. of course they'd rather you download less because that means they need less infrastructure to support you, it's cheaper for them, and their profits are higher.

      ISPs depend on the fact that most people consume much, much less than they could. if everyone streamed netflix (or whatever) 12 hours a day, your rates would go up as they'd need to add capacity to handle that.

    3. Re:Eh ? by unity100 · · Score: 1

      i KNOW how they have been overselling like the scamsters they are. that is, however, THEIR problem.

    4. Re:Eh ? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I would like to see some comments about my following statement, which reflects my very non-expert understanding of internet capacity and consumer cost.

      IMO: From the ISP's perspective: Bandwidth requires significant investment cost, the majority of which is for "last mile" infrastructure. There are upkeep costs but it significantly less per year than infrastructure costs. "Throughput"( the amount of bits through any existing bandwidth & excluding cable ), are relatively negligible - consisting mostly of electricity and extra cpu power at some nodes? or switches?, etc.

      Basically, I would like a better understanding of bandwidth costs vs, throughput costs, from an ISP's perspective - excluding cable ISP's

  11. I can confirm this story by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I can confirm this story and will remain anon for obvious reasons.

    Having talked with a few individuals at Akamai, the Netflix streaming issue is a major issue right now. Demand drives innovation: but demand drives suppliers into the market, the real question is how much of a hiccup in our individual service will we see as a result of this?

    Food for thought, nothing more.

    1. Re:I can confirm this story by hedwards · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Perhaps the solution is for ISPs to stop lying about how much bandwidth they can provide? Seriously, they charge Netflix and me to stream movies to me, if they can't provide the amount of bandwidth they're promising, then they need to do something about it.

      Unfortunately that something is going to target the consumer because the government lacks the balls to tell a corporation to go fuck itself and compete for business.

  12. I'm no expert, but as I see it by Anrego · · Score: 1

    ..the problem is that ISPs have been selling us the "bandwidth" to do this kind of activity for years. Bandwidth is in quotes because "back in the day" if you actually used the bandwidth you were paying for, they suspended your account as the likely reason for a residential user to draw any serious transfer was piracy.

    Now there are lots of legitimate "every day" uses that draw the massive bandwidth that ISPs have been using as a big magic number when selling service, and the ISPs can't (or can't for long) handle it.

    There are a few solutions I see:

    - implement rediculously low caps. You get 15mbps .. but can only download 60GB a month
    - upgrade infrastructure, and have consumers pay for the product they are actually getting (that is, if you paid for 15mbps, you can use 15mbps 24/7 if you want).
    - take the media industry approach of lobbying and suing everything that moves

    And I think we know which two are most likely :(

    1. Re:I'm no expert, but as I see it by Moridineas · · Score: 1

      ..the problem is that ISPs have been selling us the "bandwidth" to do this kind of activity for years. Bandwidth is in quotes because "back in the day" if you actually used the bandwidth you were paying for, they suspended your account as the likely reason for a residential user to draw any serious transfer was piracy.

      Just so we're clear, what you're doing is blatantly generalizing. I've been on the Internet in some form or the other since about 1990. I've used probably dozens of ISPs and in multiple states, and I have never once had my account shut down or limited due to bandwidth usage. In fact I don't even remember ever hearing about this as a problem!

      Sure if you've got comcast I understand they're doing it. I would not use comcast for this reason. But to claim that the problem is more widespread than it is (or at least WAS more widespread than it was then) is wrong.

    2. Re:I'm no expert, but as I see it by ambrosen · · Score: 1

      But I only want 60GB to go with my 15Mbps (actually I get 19Mbps, but same difference). I'm very happy to get that for a trivial amount of money per month.

    3. Re:I'm no expert, but as I see it by Aladrin · · Score: 1

      You missed one:

      Charge for bandwidth.

      None of them are going to be popular with customers, though.

      --
      "If you make people think they're thinking, they'll love you; But if you really make them think, they'll hate you." - DM
    4. Re:I'm no expert, but as I see it by Domint · · Score: 1

      ..the problem is that ISPs have been selling us the "bandwidth" to do this kind of activity for years. Bandwidth is in quotes because "back in the day" if you actually used the bandwidth you were paying for, they suspended your account as the likely reason for a residential user to draw any serious transfer was piracy.

      Just so we're clear, what you're doing is blatantly generalizing. I've been on the Internet in some form or the other since about 1990. I've used probably dozens of ISPs and in multiple states, and I have never once had my account shut down or limited due to bandwidth usage. In fact I don't even remember ever hearing about this as a problem!

      Sure if you've got comcast I understand they're doing it. I would not use comcast for this reason. But to claim that the problem is more widespread than it is (or at least WAS more widespread than it was then) is wrong.

      GP is guilty of generalizing, and you're guilty of providing an entirely anecdotal counter argument - "I've never personally witnessed what you're claiming, so it must never occur". It can, and it does. Whether or not that's standard operating procedures for most ISPs of today or the past is something else entirely.

    5. Re:I'm no expert, but as I see it by NoSig · · Score: 1

      I'd much rather be charged for data and get the max bandwidth that the ISPs system can provide at the time. So the sale would be "X mbps min, Y mbps avg, Z $/GB" where X is total bandwidth/users and the Y is the average bandwidth actually offered (as measured by some independent entity) and Z is the cost per gigabyte. Now the problem with this is that most users probably don't know how much space a Youtube video or other things take up, so the pricing is to them is for a magic number that the have no understanding of. So I don't think we are going to see it soon, but it is the better model. Imagine how much more expensive your electricity bill would be if electricity was sold on unlimited plans.

    6. Re:I'm no expert, but as I see it by John+Hasler · · Score: 1

      > None of them are going to be popular with customers, though.

      Charging for "bandwidth" would be fine with me.

      --
      Warning: this article may contain humor, sarcasm, parody, and perhaps even irony. Read at your own risk.
    7. Re:I'm no expert, but as I see it by Anrego · · Score: 1

      Just so we're clear, what you're doing is blatantly generalizing.

      Guilty as charged :(

      Maybe it's more popular up here in Canada than "down there".

      Whether or not people are getting cut off though, I believe (keyword "believe", as stated in origional post I'm no expert) the core problem is still the same. ISPs here did the "big magic number" thing for years.. one would offer 5, then another 7, then 10, then 15, etc.. with no actual belief that anyone would every use that bandwidth on a regular basis. Now people are using it, and they either have to limit it, charge way more money for it, or eliminate the things users are using it for).

    8. Re:I'm no expert, but as I see it by Anrego · · Score: 1

      I always hated the pay per GB model. Even if it does make sense, as a consumer I like to not have to watch my bandwidth. Even if I would end up paying more money, I think I would still prefer an unlimited plan.

      Electricity is different, people generally use about the same. Infact, my bill is actually averaged based on last year to balance the winter usage with the summer usage.

      I don't think this would be the case with internet usage, and I'd rather not have to consider the financial impact of watching a youtube video.

      Also for the "regular folk", there is always the surprise $6500 bill, because you know much like cell companies, ISPs are going to do nothing to prevent users from racking up obscene charges.

    9. Re:I'm no expert, but as I see it by NoSig · · Score: 1

      That people use unequal amounts would precisely be an argument against unlimited plans, I think, because otherwise the people who use little bandwidth are paying for the people who use a lot. The main thing about paying per GB is that it suddenly changes the incentives for the ISPs. They suddenly have an incentive to give me all the bandwidth in the world that I can use and build out their infrastructure instead of having an incentive to throttle everyone so that they don't have to invest in new infrastructure.

    10. Re:I'm no expert, but as I see it by Moridineas · · Score: 1

      GP is guilty of generalizing, and you're guilty of providing an entirely anecdotal counter argument - "I've never personally witnessed what you're claiming, so it must never occur". It can, and it does. Whether or not that's standard operating procedures for most ISPs of today or the past is something else entirely.

      Not quite, please reread what I wrote.

      In fact I don't even remember ever hearing about this as a problem

      Yeah, still technically anecodtal, but given that I've been reading slashdot for most of its existence, if ISPs shutting people down for alleged piracy (aka bandwidth usage) was a problem, you think I would have read about it here.

      Secondly, I even went out of my way to say that the problem did not NEVER occur, just that it wasn't widespread. I'm sure that some ISPs certainly have shut down people for this reason, in the present as well as the past. But having used many of the biggest ISPs and early providers (Delphi, Launchpad, Mindspring, Earthlink, TWC, Verizon, Speakeasy, Cox, ATT) on various levels of service, I absolutely do think that's more than anecdotal. At which point does a list of ISPs I've had personal experience with become more than anecdotal for you?

      So in short, I really don't get the point of your extremely pedantic post?

    11. Re:I'm no expert, but as I see it by Moridineas · · Score: 1

      My main memory of being "cut off" back in the day was crossing the 200-hour threshold on dialup! :)

      I remember downloading a leaked copy of beta Diablo 1. It was IIRC 81mb. My connection reset ever 12 hours, and I _barely_ was able to download it before the line dropped. How times have changed...

  13. Streaming Netflix was disappointing by digitaldc · · Score: 0

    "I had what I thought was a good excuse for going over to the dark side—there wasn't a good way to get movies and TV shows legally online. Yes, Netflix offered a streaming service called Watch Instantly, but I wrote that the company's streaming service "often feels like Settle-For Instantly, since many of the titles are of the airline-movie variety."

    Streaming Netflix has NOTHING last time I used it on my Roku box. I only found some of the worst b-rated movies and documentaries and a tiny amount of semi-new releases. No Star Wars, Raiders of the Lost Ark...nothing.

    --
    He who knows best knows how little he knows. - Thomas Jefferson
    1. Re:Streaming Netflix was disappointing by Sonny+Yatsen · · Score: 1

      I don't find Netflix's selection too bad, personally - then again, I watch a lot of documentaries (seriously, it's got Cosmos AND Ken Burn's Civil War, what more do you need?). As far as the selection being bad, that's not really Netflix's fault so much as it's the content owners.

      --
      My postings are informational and does not constitute legal advice. Act on it at your risk.
    2. Re:Streaming Netflix was disappointing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's less then stellar, however, it's collection is GROWING. When I first bought a roku box, the choices were severely limited - now their catalog grows quite a bit weekly. I've gone ahead and dumped cable...but I also pirate the other movies I can't get on Netflix. It will only get better in time.

    3. Re:Streaming Netflix was disappointing by Wook+Man · · Score: 1

      Streaming Netflix has NOTHING last time I used it on my Roku box. I only found some of the worst b-rated movies and documentaries and a tiny amount of semi-new releases. No Star Wars, Raiders of the Lost Ark...nothing.

      This. No movies from the last 5, or sometimes 10 years. The quality of Netflix "HD" content is almost, but not, as good as a DVD. The non-HD content looks really bad even on just a 46" HD TV, which isn't huge by today's standards. Pretty disappointing.

      If they ever fix this -- have current movies at good quality -- then the bandwidth required will be HUGE. That could take some adjusting.

    4. Re:Streaming Netflix was disappointing by zach_the_lizard · · Score: 1

      There's a few good movies. Moon, Lock Stock and Two Smoking Barrels, Aliens, A Nightmare on Elm Street, Full Metal Jacket, Serenity (and The show, Firefly). There is a huge amount of B movies though.

      --
      SSC
    5. Re:Streaming Netflix was disappointing by Moridineas · · Score: 1

      No, streaming netflix often does NOT have the huge classic movies. It does have some really good stuff on it though, and stuff that changes, so you sometimes do find the big movies. It's got a lot of TV shows (HD quality often) very frequently, a lot of children's material, and also a lot of (for lack of a better word) eclectic stuff on it. I've watched a ton of Werner Herzog films (may not be your thing, but I enjoyed seeing them).

      But no, if you're looking to rewatch only blockbusters on streaming, it's probably not for you.

    6. Re:Streaming Netflix was disappointing by Andy+Dodd · · Score: 2, Informative

      As TFA implies, selection has improved greatly over the past year or two.

      --
      retrorocket.o not found, launch anyway?
    7. Re:Streaming Netflix was disappointing by b0bby · · Score: 1

      Streaming Netflix has NOTHING last time I used it on my Roku box. I only found some of the worst b-rated movies and documentaries and a tiny amount of semi-new releases. No Star Wars, Raiders of the Lost Ark...nothing.

      I have over 200 items in my instant queue - admittedly there are a lot of kids' shows in there, but there are also a lot of good movies. Foreign movies, documentaries, tv series, etc. Sure, the latest movies and blockbusters aren't there, but there's always something decent (IMHO) available, and the new ones I just get them to send a disc. I really like the streaming service and watch more on there than discs these days. I've already seen Star Wars & Raiders, so I'm not too pressed about having them instantly available.

    8. Re:Streaming Netflix was disappointing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You must not have checked Netflix Instant play recently they have a *ton* more available.

    9. Re:Streaming Netflix was disappointing by alen · · Score: 1

      even the kids selection isn't that good

      most of the good pixar movies aren't there. no disney tv shows like little einsteins. it's ok for my 3 year old who hasn't fully memorized all the episodes yet, but for older kids you need cable/dvd or vod

    10. Re:Streaming Netflix was disappointing by spire3661 · · Score: 1

      UP, Benjamin Button, Distrcit 9, Paranormal Activity, Zombieland, Moon, Weeds, Lie to me, all came out over 5 years ago? Really? I must have slept in my time machine bed by mistake again.

      --
      Good-bye
    11. Re:Streaming Netflix was disappointing by PaulMeigh · · Score: 1

      Streaming Netflix has NOTHING last time I used it on my Roku box. I only found some of the worst b-rated movies and documentaries and a tiny amount of semi-new releases. No Star Wars, Raiders of the Lost Ark...nothing.

      1. It is getting better. Roku also has a new Netflix interface that makes things way easier to find.
      2. Selection is WAY better than basic cable, which comes in at at least twice the price.

    12. Re:Streaming Netflix was disappointing by Nethemas+the+Great · · Score: 1

      You clearly have not looked at it lately. There is a very robust selection of content. Yes the independent content is large--best way for them to distribute really--however there is also a very large selection of current, recently released to disc content as well. The library of instant streaming content is growing very quickly and at a rate that makes me believe that Netflix could very well switch to primarily if not completely, streaming deliver. Ironically between my wife and I my Blu-ray player is being used more for delivering Netflix streaming than it is for actually playing discs.

      --
      Two of my imaginary friends reproduced once ... with negative results.
    13. Re:Streaming Netflix was disappointing by SuricouRaven · · Score: 1

      On the other hand... The A Team, Twilight, Twilight 2, Transformers, Transformers 2, Gi Joe....

    14. Re:Streaming Netflix was disappointing by AltairDusk · · Score: 1

      On the other hand... The A Team, Twilight, Twilight 2, Transformers, Transformers 2, Gi Joe....

      If you're saying that Twilight is not available on Watch Instantly I consider that a plus.

    15. Re:Streaming Netflix was disappointing by Xtifr · · Score: 1

      Most importantly: it's got Firefly (and Serenity), it's got Dr. Who, it's got Red Dwarf, it's got Futurama (original series and movies), it's got Buffy the Vampire Slayer, it's got Battlestar Galactica, it's got most of the Stargate serieses, it's got Invader Zim, it's got Monk (for the obsessive-compulsives in the audience), and a large chunk of the Funimation anime catalog. What more could anyone from Slashdot want? :)

    16. Re:Streaming Netflix was disappointing by AlpineR · · Score: 1

      Just checked on the titles your parent named. Still no streaming of Star Wars or Raiders of the Lost Ark.

      I've found lots to watch on my Wii streaming channel including Michael Palin Pole-To-Pole and District 9. But many blockbuster movies are still missing.

    17. Re:Streaming Netflix was disappointing by hazydave · · Score: 1

      How about stuff I DON'T already have on Blu-Ray/DVD?

      --
      -Dave Haynie
    18. Re:Streaming Netflix was disappointing by Xtifr · · Score: 1

      Hmm, what good is a video rental service (whether streaming or not) when you already own everything you might want to watch? That is a tricky question! :)

      Note that a Netflix account always includes access to their much larger selection of physical DVDs and Blu-Rays.

      But the point is that they don't only just have older stuff for streaming. Of last year's Hugo nominees, they have the winner (Moon) as well as three of the four runners-up (District 9, Star Trek, Up). The only one they're missing is Avatar--and that one you can have them mail to you.

  14. What happened to the Dark Fiber? by 140Mandak262Jamuna · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Remember when the internet bubble burst? People were pumping ooodles of money into fiber optic companies saying, "no matter who wins the internet race the infrastructure companies will be minting money. Remember the shovel makers made money in the gold rush than the prospectors." And when the bubble burst we had thousands and thousands of miles of fiber cables with the unused "dark" fiber strands out numbering the used strands by a huge factor. People were touting numbers as high as 1: 99 lit:dark ratio. So it should be possible to bring them on line and increase the internet bandwidth by orders of magnitude without too much of additional investment. Or so pontificating pundits were prognosticating.

    --
    sed -e 's/Chuck Norris/Rajnikant/g' joke > fact
    1. Re:What happened to the Dark Fiber? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Dark fiber is dark because it is in areas where it isn't needed.

    2. Re:What happened to the Dark Fiber? by alen · · Score: 3, Interesting

      it was all bought up long ago and there was an article here a few weeks ago how most of it has been lit up and the bandwidth has almost been used up.

    3. Re:What happened to the Dark Fiber? by camperdave · · Score: 1

      SHH!! If anyone found out that we could just plop in $500 worth of hardware, light up a couple more fibers and quintuple their bandwidth, we'd be lynched.

      --
      When our name is on the back of your car, we're behind you all the way!
    4. Re:What happened to the Dark Fiber? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      The problem you have is Last Mile Infrastructure. The backbones of top level ISPs can handle this stuff without even breaking a sweat. But the ISPs that residential customers deal with, Comcast et. al., get rather stingy when it comes to making sure their last mile infrastructure can even handle a fraction of the numbers that their marketing departments spout all over the place.

    5. Re:What happened to the Dark Fiber? by DerekLyons · · Score: 4, Insightful

      All the dark fiber in the world won't help solve the Last Mile problem.

    6. Re:What happened to the Dark Fiber? by zach_the_lizard · · Score: 1

      You still have to get that bandwidth to the last mile. Your backbone can run at 2^64 bps, but if everyone gets to it by dialup, it doesn't matter.

      --
      SSC
    7. Re:What happened to the Dark Fiber? by Andy+Dodd · · Score: 2, Interesting

      His point is that need is increasing.

      Dark fiber is dark because in areas that needed 1 fiber, the additional cost to run a bundle of fibers was miniscule. (Labor costs to lay the fiber dominated the material costs.)

      Probably on the line of 1 fiber might cost 100 million, and 100 fibers might cost 101 million.

      So if we go past the capacity of one fiber, we can in theory light up another. In practice, there might be space constraints at the endpoints that weren't thought of when the big bundles were laid down.

      --
      retrorocket.o not found, launch anyway?
    8. Re:What happened to the Dark Fiber? by seanadams.com · · Score: 1

      The extra dark strands are free by the time you run the cable you need to connect any two points. They do NOT indicate an over-investment per se.

    9. Re:What happened to the Dark Fiber? by TheSync · · Score: 1

      I can say that once your are "on net" with fiber from a major provider, Internet bandwidth is incredibly cheap, in the neighborhood of $1/Mbps/month.

      Last mile is the cost.

    10. Re:What happened to the Dark Fiber? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I solved the last mile problem several years ago. I moved closer.

    11. Re:What happened to the Dark Fiber? by citylivin · · Score: 1

      It would if you had dark fibre in that final mile!

      --
      As a potential lottery winner, I totally support tax cuts for the wealthy
    12. Re:What happened to the Dark Fiber? by lennier · · Score: 3, Funny

      All the dark fiber in the world won't help solve the Last Mile problem.

      Both of which would make great Stephen King novel titles.

      --
      You are not a brain: http://books.google.com/books?id=2oV61CeDx-YC
    13. Re:What happened to the Dark Fiber? by adolf · · Score: 1

      If the Last Mile hadn't been solved then we wouldn't have articles like this, because folks would never have bee able to use Netflix streaming to begin with.

      The problem is that the "last mile" consists of many thousands of pipes ranging from 2 to 50 or so Mbps, and the ISPs never built the back-end infrastructure to support folks actually doing stuff with them.

    14. Re:What happened to the Dark Fiber? by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      Yeah, last mile bandwidth is unlimited after all. It's just not possible to overload it.

      Oh, wait. It's not.

    15. Re:What happened to the Dark Fiber? by adolf · · Score: 1

      Not with Netflix. It adapts handily to a variety of different "broadband" speeds.

      Oh, wait. Are you talking about all those miles before the last mile? Because if you are, you could stand to take some English comprehension lessons.

  15. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 4, Funny

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  16. Quickly! by Microlith · · Score: 1

    We must encourage our ISPs to go out and buy Sandvine's DPI hardware and encourage them to immediately throttle and slow data streaming from Netflix!

    Oh hey, my ISP is offering their own video streaming service...

  17. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 1

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  18. How does never work for you by SuperKendall · · Score: 2, Informative

    Most ISP's in the US already have a (high) data cap. Whatever you do under that, they will not care. If there were (or are) any ISP's with "unlimited" bandwidth then they will have to change policy also to have some kind of data cap, because they do not get "unlimited" bandwidth from the people they purchase internet connectivity from.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    1. Re:How does never work for you by Anubis350 · · Score: 3, Funny

      Most business class connections and up are true unlimited, based on the connection speed, not on the amount. Verizon doesn't care if I max out my FIOS business class connection 24/7, I'm paying a premium for the connection, and they're providing me the bandwidth I'm paying for. To put it another way, they've allocated that trunk as if it were going to be heavily used, and so aren't over-selling as much as on the consumer connections.

      --
      "goodbye and hello, as always" ~Prince Corwin, from Zelazny's Amber series
    2. Re:How does never work for you by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      That's fine but if they can't deliver 'unlimited' bandwidth then they need to stop offering 'unlimited' bandwidth.

      Unbelievable.

    3. Re:How does never work for you by tlhIngan · · Score: 4, Informative

      Most ISP's in the US already have a (high) data cap. Whatever you do under that, they will not care. If there were (or are) any ISP's with "unlimited" bandwidth then they will have to change policy also to have some kind of data cap, because they do not get "unlimited" bandwidth from the people they purchase internet connectivity from.

      A classic study would be Canada. When Netflix came to Canada or announced plans to do so, Rogers (cable) immediately LOWERED their measly caps from 60GB to 30GB-ish. Bell (DSL) heavily lobbied the CRTC so DSL connections can be billed by the byte, so that ISPs using Bell's lines are at a huge disadvantage. Shaw (cable) already announced plans to charge overage charges at $2/GB (for "lite" and "high speed" users) or $1/GB (for the faster plans - warp/nitro). You can pay extra for more - $5 for 10GB and the like. Right now it's a trial, but they're planning on rolling it out.

      SO yeah, Netflix's potential for clogging the Internet won't happen. Ditto the "bandwidth crunch".

      Heck, the FCC may make stupid rules, but in Canada without those rules, things are a lot worse. I can't have digital cable without buying and paying monthly fees on the cable provider's box (which only works with that provider - they won't (and don't have to) allow activation of 3rd party boxes). No Firewire video at all. No cablecard (crap, but at least I could use my TiVo). No unencrypted digital cable (if I want high-def for free, I have to stick an antenna up - no rules saying all those channels must be unencrypted QAM), etc.

    4. Re:How does never work for you by Amouth · · Score: 1

      exactly.. consumer lines are very oversold - because people want quick but most people don't need quick and constant.

      biz expect to get a speed and get it all the time - this is why leased lines are so damn expensive..

      what this streaming at prime time on consumer lines will cause is a degradation of service where only a few can use it at a time or no one can use it as it will be too slow over all.

      it will cause the providers to increase their backbone max capacity.. it has nothing to do with the bandwidth for the run to someones house..

      at the same time though - if they run out it can only be attributed to poor planning and network management. it's one thing to max out randomly - but when it happens every day at a given time you need to plan that it is going to happen tomorrow too.

      --
      '...if only "Jumping to a Conclusion" was an event in the Olympics.'
    5. Re:How does never work for you by SuricouRaven · · Score: 1

      Reminds me of the bad old days of dial-up, when ISPs oversold modems. Get home from school or work and you encountered a peak when all you would get was a 'busy' signal, over and over... just had to let windows keep retrying until you were lucky.

    6. Re:How does never work for you by SigmundFloyd · · Score: 1

      "windows" ?

      --
      Knowledge is power; knowledge shared is power lost.
    7. Re:How does never work for you by dintech · · Score: 1

      It's ironic. A few years ago the internet (especially bittorent) was killing video rental. Now it's the other way around.

    8. Re:How does never work for you by ShadoHawk · · Score: 1

      AOL won't connect! How ever will I get to keyword chat?!

    9. Re:How does never work for you by Guspaz · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Actually, Sandvine's claims for Canada call into question their American data. Sandvine claims that Netflix accounts for 95% of data in Canada during peak hours, and this only a month after launch with a currently very small customer base. If they're going to claim such ridiculous and provably false figures (several independent ISPs have spoken up saying that, while they have noticed an increase, 95% is a load of crock), how can you trust their US data?

    10. Re:How does never work for you by Amouth · · Score: 1

      where i lived there where 2 providers - 1 of them was clever - they advertised never getting a busy signal.. what the did was put call waiting on the main rollover line.

      you never got a busy signal - but some times it just sat there and rang forever.

      --
      '...if only "Jumping to a Conclusion" was an event in the Olympics.'
    11. Re:How does never work for you by tehcyder · · Score: 0

      "windows" ?

      An operating system once popular in the Nineteen Nineties.

      Kids today.

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
    12. Re:How does never work for you by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You failed to mention how much that service costs. The freetards around Slashdot badly need a dose of reality. Business class 20Mb DSL from Qwest is a couple hundred a month.

    13. Re:How does never work for you by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      At least they are now forced to speak honestly about what they offer.

    14. Re:How does never work for you by Lumpy · · Score: 1

      Yes they do. Do you not know anything about real internet connectivity?

      MY 2, T1 lines are truly unlimited. I can saturate them at 100% for 900 days in a row and they wont/cant say crap about it. If I buy an OC3 I can saturate that at full capacity forever and they have to deliver it.

      --
      Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
    15. Re:How does never work for you by commodore64_love · · Score: 1

      The internet provider, and the cable that supplies TV, should be separate companies.
      Otherwise if they are the same (like Comcast) they will limit the internet Data Cap to encourage people to also pay for CATV.

      --
      "I disapprove of what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it." - historian Evelyn Beatrice Hall
    16. Re:How does never work for you by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ...Sandvine claims that Netflix accounts for 95% of data in Canada during peak...If they're going to claim such ridiculous and provably false figures ...how can you trust their US data?

      Your can't compare the US and Canada. Canada uses metric percentages. And we're damned prood of it!

    17. Re:How does never work for you by Eponymous+Coward · · Score: 1

      The big ISP's don't pay anything for bandwidth because they sign peering agreements with all the other big players.

      Still, they don't want you using your bandwidth for streaming NetFlix, they want you to use it to stream their VOD titles which often cost a few dollars per movie.

    18. Re:How does never work for you by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nah it could be possible, they're giving all us Canadians a free month trial, I used mine and ran my bandwidth up but then I cancelled it. Lets see these stats in a month or two, they will be a lot different. The selection on Canada's Netflix is brutal... what's worse is if you search for something you want you can find it but 90% of the time can't play it because... well I don't know why, cause I'm Canadian I guess?

    19. Re:How does never work for you by MrKevvy · · Score: 1

      When Netflix came to Canada or announced plans to do so, Rogers (cable) immediately LOWERED their measly caps from 60GB to 30GB-ish.

      They also did something else. A year or so ago Rogers was using "shaping" (ie deep packet inspection) to cap BitTorrent upstream at ridiculously low rates (~1 KB/sec.) After much complaining this was scaled back to 9-10KB/sec. and finally removed. Where I live (southeast Toronto) it's come back at the latter magnitude within the last week or so.

      --
      -- Insert witty one-liner here. --
    20. Re:How does never work for you by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I laugh at your data caps.

      Regards,
      The Rest Of The World

    21. Re:How does never work for you by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

      I work for Shaw so this is being posted AC for obvious reasons.

      I wish to address this so as to dispel any misconceptions here.

      *Shaw has always had bandwidth caps, they have always shown those on their websites.
      *Shaw never marketed as unlimited internet. In the beginning it was always "always on connection".
      *Before these bandwidth caps if you went over and the node was saturated you were turned off.
      *Shaw has always addressed saturation issues quickly and promptly if you are in a major city (if you are in the middle of no where like Souix Lookout Ontario it may take half a year).
      *When Rogers reduced their bandwidth caps, shaw increased theirs. Regular internet went from a 60GB cap to 75GB, Extreme went from 100 to 125.
      *Yes while there will be overage charges customers can pre-purchase allocated bandwidth in "packs" which are MUCH cheaper.

      So since Shaw's only actual product is communications. They have to bill based on this, big surprise. There is plenty I don't like about Shaw, but this situation is not one of them. Shaw is not perfect but apart from perhaps TekSavvy they are the least evil communications company in Canada.

    22. Re:How does never work for you by nabsltd · · Score: 1

      Most ISP's in the US already have a (high) data cap.

      For very small values of "high".

      When a legal movie download can be anywhere from 500MB to 3GB, a monthly cap that can be as low as 5GB isn't "high". Even 50GB is can easily be reached by completely legal means for a moderately technically savvy family.

    23. Re:How does never work for you by nabsltd · · Score: 1

      exactly.. consumer lines are very oversold

      Actually, Verizon FiOS is one of the few ISPs where even consumer lines are not oversold, at least not in reality. Technically, if everyone in your neighborhood signed up for the very fastest service (50Mbps or higher download), then there would be some contention. But, as long as a few people in the neighborhood aren't FiOS customers (or sign up for slower service), you're OK.

      The real advantages to business FiOS are the ability to run any server and a decent SLA.

    24. Re:How does never work for you by nabsltd · · Score: 1

      MY 2, T1 lines are truly unlimited. I can saturate them at 100% for 900 days in a row and they wont/cant say crap about it.

      Of course you can saturate a 3Mbps line for 900 days in a row...that's what you get for having such a slow line. ;)

      Seriously, I've had as much as 114% utilization on my 25/15Mbps for short peaks, but there's no way I can run even close to 100% for more than a few days. I've averaged about 40% usage over the past year, so that's around 6Mbps or so each way.

    25. Re:How does never work for you by greed · · Score: 1

      Doesn't Sandvine make the "deep packet inspection" equipment Bell Canada uses to throttle ALL GAS DSL connections, regardless of ISP, that are carrying BitTorrent traffic at certain times of day?

      Given all the completely bogus "proof" of network congestion Bell provided to the regulator, I wouldn't believe a word out of Sandvine if they provide that equipment to Bell. They're part of the problem.

      (Bell managed to prove that "congestion" was strictly limited in time and location, usually no more than a few minutes at a single node. But they react by throttling to 6% of GAS bandwidth limit--500 MB/s to 30/s MB.)

    26. Re:How does never work for you by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually, Sandvine never made any such claim in the report and pointed out that the 95% figure was the fault of "...a slight misreading and significant misinterpretation" of a particular graph.

      http://www.betterbroadbandblog.com/2010/10/netflix-time-of-day-and-relative-metrics/

    27. Re:How does never work for you by smisle · · Score: 1

      It's ironic. A few years ago the internet (especially bittorent) was killing video rental. Now it's the other way around.

      That's because all most of us wanted was an easy and cheap way to watch tv and movies. The "industry" complained about lost sales, while Netflix realised what was actually going on and capitalised on it.

      The only thing left is to break up the conflicting interests of the cable and ISP combos.

      --
      I'm not a bird, I'm a super-advanced flying stealth dinosaur!
    28. Re:How does never work for you by Amouth · · Score: 1

      I've heard a lot of good things about FiOS but it isn't available down here - so instead i use PRI's

      actually for the building i'm local bell loop and licensed radio is the only options we have for services with SLA's

      --
      '...if only "Jumping to a Conclusion" was an event in the Olympics.'
    29. Re:How does never work for you by Jah-Wren+Ryel · · Score: 1

      Technically, if everyone in your neighborhood signed up for the very fastest service (50Mbps or higher download), then there would be some contention.

      If everyone signed up for that top-tier verizon would be rolling in enough dough that they could afford to upgrade capacity. Verizon's fios pricing is actually more expensive on a per bps basis for the highest tier than it is for the lower tiers.

      --
      When information is power, privacy is freedom.
    30. Re:How does never work for you by Jah-Wren+Ryel · · Score: 1

      You failed to mention how much that service costs. The freetards around Slashdot badly need a dose of reality. Business class 20Mb DSL from Qwest is a couple hundred a month.

      Business class 50Mbps/20Mbps from verizon is roughly $150/month.
      Add on a few more dollars if you want a static IP.

      --
      When information is power, privacy is freedom.
    31. Re:How does never work for you by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Most ISP's in the US already have a (high) data cap. Whatever you do under that, they will not care. If there were (or are) any ISP's with "unlimited" bandwidth then they will have to change policy also to have some kind of data cap, because they do not get "unlimited" bandwidth from the people they purchase internet connectivity from.

      A classic study would be Canada. When Netflix came to Canada or announced plans to do so, Rogers (cable) immediately LOWERED their measly caps from 60GB to 30GB-ish. Bell (DSL) heavily lobbied the CRTC so DSL connections can be billed by the byte, so that ISPs using Bell's lines are at a huge disadvantage. Shaw (cable) already announced plans to charge overage charges at $2/GB (for "lite" and "high speed" users) or $1/GB (for the faster plans - warp/nitro). You can pay extra for more - $5 for 10GB and the like. Right now it's a trial, but they're planning on rolling it out.

      SO yeah, Netflix's potential for clogging the Internet won't happen. Ditto the "bandwidth crunch".

      Heck, the FCC may make stupid rules, but in Canada without those rules, things are a lot worse. I can't have digital cable without buying and paying monthly fees on the cable provider's box (which only works with that provider - they won't (and don't have to) allow activation of 3rd party boxes). No Firewire video at all. No cablecard (crap, but at least I could use my TiVo). No unencrypted digital cable (if I want high-def for free, I have to stick an antenna up - no rules saying all those channels must be unencrypted QAM), etc.

      This is the first I've heard of Rogers lowering caps from 60gb to 30gb ... and after looking at their website, I see that the 60gb "Express" package is still at 60gb ...

    32. Re:How does never work for you by Achra · · Score: 1

      I've been trying to find the data cap for my home FIOS connection for years.. and I mean really seriously giving it a good try. Haven't found it yet. Perhaps Verizon is simply a better ISP than some of these others I keep hearing people complaining about?

      --
      Each processor would proceed sequentially as if it had been better for them not to rise against Saul.
    33. Re:How does never work for you by Guspaz · · Score: 1

      Yeah, I only noticed the correction after my post. Whups!

    34. Re:How does never work for you by mattack2 · · Score: 1

      No Firewire video at all.

      Apparently this isn't required by law, but on episode 221 of the Engadget HD podcast, starting around 8:45 into it, they read a letter from someone on Shaw cable in Canada who says they can record everything, including HBO, from Firewire.

      (Yes, I just happened to be listening to this a few minutes ago.)

    35. Re:How does never work for you by shermo · · Score: 1

      Yes, there's a cap, but the business model is based on 90% of people only using 10% of the cap.

      If every customer used their entire cap the network would fall over. Somehow, I think they would care.

      --
      Insanity: voting in the same two parties over and over again and expecting different results
    36. Re:How does never work for you by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We pay almost exactly $125/mo. for 25 Mbps symmetric with 5 static IPs.

    37. Re:How does never work for you by mr_mischief · · Score: 1

      This is why I tried to convince everyone I worked with in the ISP-only industry that the hands-off regulation-free Internet was a bad thing. We didn't want too much regulation, of course, but a little might have helped. Like saying that the established infrastructure companies couldn't price the ISPs out of the market by offering themselves lower line rates.

    38. Re:How does never work for you by mr_mischief · · Score: 1

      Actually, it depends. You can buy bandwidth-metered DS3, OC3, and OC12 lines. You can also buy them unmetered. I used to work with lines all the time like DS3s with 6 megabits per second usage 95% of the time, with up to the full 45 mbps 5% of the time, and a per-megabit fee for usage above 6 mbps more than 5% of the month. We could have bought all lines unmetered, but it was often cheaper to buy burstable.

    39. Re:How does never work for you by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As a Canadian I am livid about this decision. The core network was installed by Bell back when they were one of many Crown corporations. The Canadian government then allowed Bell to go public with several regulations. The bigger issue is that Bell's business model was based off of selling access to their infrastructure as well as their other services in Mobile and cable. The other companies then lobbied to have Bell not charge them a markup on access to the core network. Bell then countered to implement a usage based model instead. Both were approved. Biggest issue is that the Canadian government will not allow competition for competing infrastructure to be laid.

      With direct response to the posting above though there was a recent copyright law passed which will lift a few of the restrictions in Canada on what can be recorded and how it can be used by the consumer.

  19. Already a non-starter in Canada by Mashiki · · Score: 5, Informative

    The average person has a 60gb cap in Canada. People have quickly found out that they can blow through 1/2 to 3/4's of their monthly cap in a weekend. I'm sure it'll be more interesting as winter rolls around, we like snow, hockey, and all that. But curling up to watch a movie or 4 when it's -40C and snowing out is much better fun. Especially if there's a 30% chance you're going to spend 3hrs shoveling.

    But sandvine is a blight on the internet. You can happily hear about all the horror stories(look on dslreports.com) that they've inflicted on Canadians, as ISP's use their equipment to throttle just about everything. Bell enjoys using them after the last mile, before switching to outside networks, even when you're on another ISP. So regardless of what happens, you're still being throttled by bell. Rogers like using it to throttle everywhere, that they think the consumption might be too high, or where growth is outpacing their delayed upgrades.

    --
    Om, nomnomnom...
    1. Re:Already a non-starter in Canada by SpeZek · · Score: 1

      I'm glad I live in Winnipeg.

      In the last 31 days I've downloaded 267 GB with torrents alone, and probably close to 100GB in streaming video and the like. I've gone over 500GB/month before plenty of times.

      MTS doesn't care as long as I pay my bills on time. The speed is decent too, 7-8 Mbps down, 2 Mbps up for ~$45/month. No throttling, no angry letters in the mail, nothing.

    2. Re:Already a non-starter in Canada by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Bell uses Ellacoya. Same ideas, different company.

    3. Re:Already a non-starter in Canada by Emetophobe · · Score: 1

      I had the pleasure of reading my rogers bill last month and realizing I went 20GB over my 60GB cap. They charge $2.00 for every gigabyte over the cap, so I was charged $40 extra. They're supposed to have a warning system in place to warn you when you're at 75% and again at 100% of the cap, but I received neither. I really hate rogers, but they're the only option in my area. My only choice was to upgrade to a more expensive package with a higher monthly cap.

    4. Re:Already a non-starter in Canada by Emetophobe · · Score: 1

      You're lucky.

      A few months before Rogers implemented their 60GB/month cap, I received a letter from them warning me about the upcoming change. They kindly included my bandwidth usage for the past 3 months in the letter. One month was over 600GB, one month was over 800GB. So, I went from being able to download 800GB/month to a 60GB/month cap.. And I still pay the same rate!

    5. Re:Already a non-starter in Canada by phoenix_rizzen · · Score: 1

      Mainly in Eastern Canada. Us Westerners, at least on Shaw Cable, don't have these "caps" to worry about. And those with Telus fibre connections have 200+ GB caps. It's really only Bell and Rogers that try to screw over their customers with paltry data limits.

    6. Re:Already a non-starter in Canada by DarthVain · · Score: 1

      I have Cogeco which is basically Rogers. Same problem. They have a website to track consumption, but (and I am not kidding), it is only updated on a daily basis (if that), So you could start the day with 40/60GB and blow through all 20GB, and user another 30GB on top of that and you wouldn't know until it is too late. It baffles me that they are allowed to do this with caps at all and charge you.

      I mean people compare it to the electric utility (which isn't fair to begin with), but at least with electricity there is a METER attached to my house, and if I really really want to I can walk my ass outside (some are even inside) and see exactly how much I have used, and even how fast I am currently using it. Amazing.

    7. Re:Already a non-starter in Canada by Mashiki · · Score: 1

      Yeah I realize most westerners are lucky with that. However my sister can only get telus in her small blurb of the middle of no where and is on a 60gb cap as well. She's in northern alberta up by one of the prisons where the works. But nearly 50% of our population lives between Windsor and Quebec City, at least the last time I looked. Although Alberta is doing a bang up job in population booms.

      --
      Om, nomnomnom...
    8. Re:Already a non-starter in Canada by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      gigabyte = GB! These things are not arbitrary letters that you can capitalise or not!

    9. Re:Already a non-starter in Canada by hazydave · · Score: 1

      We had four snowstorms last year in South New Jersey.. each over 20" in depth. I shoveled out the first one, along my 1/5 mile driveway, took me 6 hours. Next weekend, I bought a snow blower. Isn't that standard equipment up there in the Great White North (along with Blues, Touqes, Rush albums, and back-bacon.. at least, that's why I like Canada).

      You all probably have some of the same issues we have in the rural parts of the lower 48... big business internet companies would rather cover the same house 2-4 times in a high population area than offer me one local alternative. So my only choice is satellite or cellular. And cellular has increasingly been made a non-option, due to download caps.

      --
      -Dave Haynie
  20. the sooner the better by t2t10 · · Score: 1

    The Internet wasn't "designed for" delivering DVDs. It can certainly handle it, but you should pay for the bandwidth and volume you actually use. High bandwith requirements and high data volume = you should pay more.

    1. Re:the sooner the better by hawguy · · Score: 1

      It wasn't "designed" for delivering HTML (what a space inefficient format!) with lots of embedded images, shouldn't users be paying for that too? Oh wait a second, I *am* paying for internet, my ISP tells me I am paying for blazing fast 10mbit/second speed. Now are you saying that I should only take advantage of that speed by not using high bandwidth application?

    2. Re:the sooner the better by MyLongNickName · · Score: 1

      No. He didn't say that at all. Try rereading it without jumping to conclusions after the first sentence.

      He is basically saying that he sees no problem in being charged for your bandwidth usage not just a flat fee.

      My commentary: As it stands now, if everyone tried to take advantage of their full bandwidth at the same time, we'd have a disaster. You and I get to use more bandwidth because the majority of people use only a fraction of what is available to them. I think there should be a fee for usage, but I sure don't trust my IP to set those numbers... there isn't nearly enough competition in the market for this to work.

      --
      See my journal for slashdot ID's by year. Mine created in 2005. http://slashdot.org/journal/289875/slashdot-ids-by-year
    3. Re:the sooner the better by t2t10 · · Score: 1

      First, your ISP can change their terms whenever they like, just like you can switch whenever you like.

      Second, given that Netflix and services like it are becoming popular, your ISP has reasonable cause to change the charge model from flat to volume based, since their cost is proportional to volume. Most people probably wouldn't see a change, but if you're a heavy user, your bill might go up somewhat.

      (Third, 10 Mbit/sec isn't "blazing" anymore. Here, we have 100 Mbit available.)

    4. Re:the sooner the better by hawguy · · Score: 1

      Are you sure he didn't mean that unless you're only using telnet and FTP (which *were* around when the 'net was designed), then you should pay extra? After all, the 'net wasn't designed for HTTP any more than it was for DVD's.

  21. netflix will price itself out before it happens by alen · · Score: 2, Interesting

    i have netflix and the streaming selection is pretty bad compared to the DVD selection. the reason is that they haven't struck deals with most content creators yet.

    my cable bill is $130 a month for TV/DVR/Internet/phone and from what i've read approximately $30 of that goes to the content creators. for netflix to offer all the content there is they will probably have to raise their prices as they strike new deals for more content, especially if it will include movies and new TV shows that just played the night before.

    if i wanted to dump cable i'd have to pay more for a la carte internet and more to AT&T to increase my cell phone plan to unlimited minutes. it would kill the entire deal since it makes more sense to just pay $10 a month for a DVR

    and this theory is based on just he financials of striking content deals. netflix will have to pay a lot more in bandwidth costs as the amount of content increases.

    i don't understand the entire streaming fad. it's only around because the cable companies are always a few years behind. with digital/HD cable what you watch on your cable box is essentially streaming except it's a lot more efficient than netflix's TCP/IP over the internet version. the cable companies just need to update their software and service selection

    1. Re:netflix will price itself out before it happens by js3 · · Score: 1

      Yea the netflix selection is garbage. Most of the time it's the sub 5/10 rating on imdb but meh it's something. TV has the same amount of crap too.

      --
      did you forget to take your meds?
    2. Re:netflix will price itself out before it happens by farble1670 · · Score: 1

      i don't understand the entire streaming fad.

      1. as you mentioned, a $130 cable bill vs. an $8.99 netflix bill. even if they tripled the price it'd still be a bargain compared to cable. my cable bill was $95 for no premium channels, HD, and two cable cards (which they nicely RENTED to me for $2.50 / month each).

      2. i can watch netflix anywhere: work, my phone, my computer, my mom's computer, and so on. you can do that w/ cable but you need a slingbox or some other equivalent hardware.

      3. netflix is truly on demand and i don't need yet another computer (aka DVR) in my house to get it.

      4. netflix's content catalog is not great, but they are signing new deals all the time. regardless, you can get *any* DVD movie in the mail if you can't get it streaming. that's not streaming, but it's not any worse than waiting for the scheduled broadcast on cable.

      5. netflix has no ads. cable is double dipping on you, charging you for the pipe and then forcing ads on you as well.

      that being said, i think if you watch a lot of "TV" you will run out of content on netflix. there's always something on cable. netflix isn't good for channel surfing. it's more of a planned viewing experience.

    3. Re:netflix will price itself out before it happens by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Face will piles of evidence to the contrary, you couldn't be more wrong. First you claim their library is pretty bad. Well 20% of the US bandwidth disagrees with your assertion. Netflix adds content daily. They can't process the conversions fast enough. They have deals with most content providers, I think you are confusing Netflix with Hulu.

      You pay $130 per month, I pay $8. Well I do pay $50 for Internet, to be fair, but it is not bundled. I have more content between Netflix, Hulu, Public Library DVDs, etc that I don't need real time TV. I have a USB HDTV tuner for watching morning local news, that's it. Streaming isn't a fad. Actually Streaming is just a means for deployment, the real change in consumer habit is time shifting. Which you do with your DVR. By using a DVR, you do not need instant access to live TV programming for the act of viewing. In that sense, you are doing what Netflix, Hulu, et al are doing, watching content when you want to.

      What are you referring to content deals? Again this is a huge issue for Hulu. Netflix already has deals to distribute DVD content, streaming is small potatoes in comparison. Their plans for adding online content are staggering, You can look it up, but in a short time they expect to have nearly all content as both DVD and online. Their biggest hurdle is not the agreement, but the process to obtain and convert the content to the format they use.

    4. Re:netflix will price itself out before it happens by nevergleam · · Score: 1

      Cable and Netflix serve the exact same purpose: they deliver the video content of their choice. With DVR and "On Demand" the temporal flexibility of cable is somewhat competitive but still lacking when compared to an anytime, any device set up. I think DirecTV is starting to foray into smartphone streaming, but they are a few years behind the curve.

      It simply comes down to cost. Cable TV is around 40-100 dollars a month depending on how much content you want. The cable line does nothing else but get you a discount on internet and phone service. Netflix plus an internet connection is 40-60 dollars, and you get the entire internet to go along with it, as well as just about the entire library of movies and TV in existence on hard copy if you want it. Online content may be lacking, but it is available anytime on several devices.

      Cable as you say provides a much better quality stream (as long as it's on a wire), but it is a closed system with low utility that costs far too much. Cable companies are firmly entrenched in the American market and they still have a nice ISP business that will be hard to knock out. Nevertheless, if they don't get their prices down they are going to start seeing their market share erode significantly in the entertainment sector.

    5. Re:netflix will price itself out before it happens by SydShamino · · Score: 1

      The cable companies will never match Netflix' pricing. Their stuck in their old model where movies on demand should cost $2.99 each unless they decide it's a special (and then it's $0.99).

      --
      It doesn't hurt to be nice.
    6. Re:netflix will price itself out before it happens by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      the thing is though, people don't want to consume content on just tv's.

      i can watch my netflix on my phone my pmp, laptop at a friends house with no cable, on my ipad all cozy in bed. people just don't spent as much time consuming content through tv screens. it doesn't fit their life style.

      i dropped cable and got netflix a year or so ago and think it's awesome! it fits my lifestyle. I'm part of a younger generation and this is how we want to consume media.

      -Sim

    7. Re:netflix will price itself out before it happens by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      i have netflix and the streaming selection is pretty bad compared to the DVD selection. the reason is that they haven't struck deals with most content creators yet.

      my cable bill is $130 a month for TV/DVR/Internet/phone and from what i've read approximately $30 of that goes to the content creators. for netflix to offer all the content there is they will probably have to raise their prices as they strike new deals for more content, especially if it will include movies and new TV shows that just played the night before.

      if i wanted to dump cable i'd have to pay more for a la carte internet and more to AT&T to increase my cell phone plan to unlimited minutes. it would kill the entire deal since it makes more sense to just pay $10 a month for a DVR

      and this theory is based on just he financials of striking content deals. netflix will have to pay a lot more in bandwidth costs as the amount of content increases.

      i don't understand the entire streaming fad. it's only around because the cable companies are always a few years behind. with digital/HD cable what you watch on your cable box is essentially streaming except it's a lot more efficient than netflix's TCP/IP over the internet version. the cable companies just need to update their software and service selection

      I pay 40 eur for everything you described, monthly (100MB net).
      Finland.

    8. Re:netflix will price itself out before it happens by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      [quote] "i don't understand the entire streaming fad."[/quote]

      Streaming allows one to watch WHAT one wishes to watch WHEN one wishes to watch it. Video On Demand in other words.

      With OTA/Cable/UVerse, you're pretty much stuck with watching what they're willing to provide you with on fairly set schedules. There's some choice in Video On Demand, but not much.

  22. Heads in the Cloud by Drakkenmensch · · Score: 1

    It's interesting that Netflix's success which is seen as a possible downfall of the internet is happening at a time where the industry giants are pushing for cloud-based computing where everything would be done remotely from servers with no localized software.

    1. Re:Heads in the Cloud by alen · · Score: 1

      what else is new? since the internet came out the end point businesses like amazon/netflix and others have come with up with services that cost the ISP's more money

  23. The answer is - Never by arivanov · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Never.

    Netflix is not Bittorent and has a well defined source which is a commercial entity. So the ISP knows after who it needs to go. Further to this, as it is not P2P traffic Netflix itself has no choice but to grow its infrastructure if it is to retain its service level. Otherwise it will congest its links to ISPs and kill its own service offering.

    So Netflix will have to start building its network infrastructure and peer with ISPs close to the user across the US and the globe.

    We have already been through this. Before it was Google/Youtube destroying the Internet. Well it did not. Simply Google now has a backbone which can put most tier 1s to shame and peers with anyone anywhere.

    Most importantly, the number of links and peerings will increase so the end result will be GOOD for the Internet as it will become more resilient (Assuming ISPs use local/distributed peering not just for Netflix but for the other peering).

    --
    Baker's Law: Misery no longer loves company. Nowadays it insists on it
    http://www.sigsegv.cx/
    1. Re:The answer is - Never by Hatta · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Netflix is not Bittorent and has a well defined source which is a commercial entity. So the ISP knows after who it needs to go.

      Netflix already pays its ISPs. There's no one for anyone to "go after".

      --
      Give me Classic Slashdot or give me death!
    2. Re:The answer is - Never by somaTh · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Caveat to that: If your local internet provider is also your TV provider, then yes. They might very well have a vested interest in restricting your net TV viewing.

      --
      Nostalgia isn't what it used to be.
    3. Re:The answer is - Never by Bigjeff5 · · Score: 1

      Simply Google now has a backbone which can put most tier 1s to shame and peers with anyone anywhere.

      Didn't I just read somewhere that Google is now the largest ISP on the internet? They don't put most tier 1's to shame, they put all of them to shame. They are even planning on installing a 1Gbit connection to somewhere between 50,000 and 500,000 homes in the next few years. Mostly because they think other ISPs are lazy, and this should have been done a while ago. Google is cool like that.

      With this kind of traffic, it will probably be cost effective for Netflix to do something similar (become an ISP, not sell Gbit internet, but someday maybe). Oddly enough content producers may end up being our way out of the cable/phone company internet lock-in.

      --
      Security is mostly a superstition... Avoiding danger is no safer in the long run than outright exposure. - Helen Keller
    4. Re:The answer is - Never by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So Netflix will have to start building its network infrastructure and peer with ISPs close to the user across the US and the globe.

      Netflix doesn't have to do anything. Netflix runs in Akamai's (and a few other distributed services') cloud. Akamai is peered everywhere.

      Akamai, Netflix and the internet at large are doing just fine.

    5. Re:The answer is - Never by fermion · · Score: 1
      I wonder if people worried about this when the land telephone system was being deployed. I mean these stupid people are spending hours on the phone. Why do they no just go over and have a face to face conversation. The telephone system was clearly not designed for people to spend all day on the phone, at least at the residential level. If people want to do that, they can pay extra to tie up a switch all day. Obviously people who want to do that will have to buy their own infrastructure.

      To some extent that is what large users of the telephone system did. But mostly what happened is that other saw an opportunity to server customers at a profit, and so additional infrastructure was built. More cable was run, satellites replaced intercontinental physical lines, and bandwidth exploded. At some point the bloated cost structure along with the oversupply of voice bandwidth meant many of these phone companies went bust, but the point is there was never a time when we could not make a land line phone call.

      The only issue with bandwidth is that the conservatives telcos refuse to run fiber to all places. Relatively dense locations only have cable TV internet because they do not have the demographics that the Telcos want. The other issue is that Telcos are pushing the fiber service, so they are letting DSL deteriorate. Otherwise I have an obscene number of options, all running through different pipes. I have a cable network, two fiber options, a DSL option, and two wireless options presumably running under two sperate spectrum allocations. Since no one would normally pay for all those services, or use all the bandwidth, I assume we have a slight oversupply.

      --
      "She's a scientist and a lesbian. She's not going to let it slide." Orphan Black
    6. Re:The answer is - Never by icebike · · Score: 1

      Wait, did you just equate HD moves on demand with YouTube?

      --
      Sig Battery depleted. Reverting to safe mode.
    7. Re:The answer is - Never by phyrexianshaw.ca · · Score: 1

      I don't see what's wrong with that?

      If I shoot a short film, I have NO interest in publishing the thing with a service like Netflix: I'd much rather publish it myself on youtube, and share the link.

    8. Re:The answer is - Never by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Never.

      Netflix is not Bittorent and has a well defined source which is a commercial entity. So the ISP knows after who it needs to go. Further to this, as it is not P2P traffic Netflix itself has no choice but to grow its infrastructure if it is to retain its service level. Otherwise it will congest its links to ISPs and kill its own service offering.

      So Netflix will have to start building its network infrastructure and peer with ISPs close to the user across the US and the globe.

      We have already been through this. Before it was Google/Youtube destroying the Internet. Well it did not. Simply Google now has a backbone which can put most tier 1s to shame and peers with anyone anywhere.

      Most importantly, the number of links and peerings will increase so the end result will be GOOD for the Internet as it will become more resilient (Assuming ISPs use local/distributed peering not just for Netflix but for the other peering).

      Most importantly, you are entirely missing the point about the end user getting manhandled by his ISP for using more bandwidth.

    9. Re:The answer is - Never by motorhead · · Score: 0

      Television destroyed the movie industry
      VHS destroyed the movie industry
      Cassette tape destroyed the music industry
      Recordable CD's destroyed the music industry
      Video killed the Radio Star

      Feh!

      --
      Employee Of the Month - Cyberdyne Systems Corporation - September 1997
    10. Re:The answer is - Never by icebike · · Score: 1

      Swoosh.

      --
      Sig Battery depleted. Reverting to safe mode.
    11. Re:The answer is - Never by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      Simply Google now has a backbone which can put most tier 1s to shame and peers with anyone anywhere.

      I almost dated a girl like that. God she was awesome... cute little shy thing but she'd still open her mouth and say what was on her mind. And yeah, she'd peer with anyone, anywhere.

    12. Re:The answer is - Never by icebike · · Score: 1

      Swoosh.

      Look at your film. Now look at the movie. Now back to your film.

      How big is your film. Now how big is the movie. The movie is very big. Your film is very small.

      Look at your film. How bad is the image quality. Now look at the movie. Its in HD. Can your film be HD?. Now look back at the movie. Don't you wish it was your film?

      Look at your audience. All seven of them. Now look at the movie's audience. Don't you wish the movie was your movie?

      They all want the movie. All the millions of them. All at the same time. All in HD. Nobody wants you film. Even your porn film. They all want the movie. They all want it now.

      Look at the take down notice for your film. Now look back at the movie. Its in HD. Everyone watches it. 24/7. They pay to watch it. The net breaks. Nobody watches your film, because its taken down and the net is broken.

      --
      Sig Battery depleted. Reverting to safe mode.
    13. Re:The answer is - Never by gfreeman · · Score: 1

      Are you on a horse?

      --
      Ceci n'est pas un sig.
    14. Re:The answer is - Never by geekoid · · Score: 1

      If they use more upstream they will pay more. NetFlix is not on a fixed rate plan. Not they way most people think of it, anyways.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    15. Re:The answer is - Never by LuxMaker · · Score: 1

      First they came for Google and I did not complain as I was not Google.

      Then they came for Netflix and I did not complain as I was not Netflix.

      Then they came for my wallet through low caps and high overage charges and I could not complain because I had no more money.

      --
      I regret that I only have one mod point to give per post.
  24. North America only by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "According to Sandvine, Netflix accounts for 20 percent of downstream Internet traffic during peak home Internet usage hours in North America."

    20% in NA, but what about oversea countries like Korea, UK, and Japan? Their bandwidth is crazy high compared to what we have here. If they have similar service like Netflix, I doubt its even close to 20 percent.

    It is time for us to upgrade our bandwidth here to accommodate services like Netflix, YouTube, etc..

  25. Re:The answer is... a Conspiracy by Monkeedude1212 · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    Oh it definately will. But it will have nothing to do with bandwidth costs, upstream this or downstream that. It won't be an issue for ISP's, or have anything to do with network stablity, neutrality, or anything else you'd normally expect.

    Netflix is part of an inter-communal group of corporations with "Net" in their name. NetZero. NetPlus. To name a few. Netscape is their browser of choice, and for very obvious reasons. If any of you have ever used Netscape, you know that it likes to freeze and crash, very often. However, it's not actually freezing and it's not actually crashing. It's only just letting you think that. It's actually donating compute cycles to their secret project, Net@home. The Founder and master of this group is of course, NetNet. They have the most Net so they have the most say.

    As you might have googled, NetNet is a long distance learning association based out of NorthEast Texas, with a sub-par web site that actually hurts my eyes a little to read, something about the black on white or tiny fonts. What could they possibly want to do with all the extra processing power they get from the Net@home project? It's simple, they're into learning, intelligence, they want to build an AI. They've actually written all the code, but it is massive, and their C++ compiler is taking a while. The end goal? SkyNet.

    So you might be asking, what is Netflix's part of this grand-scheme? Well - the internet is one of the best mediums for communication to date. Any direct attacks on it would be met with resistance, and possibly blow the whole plot wide open. So they subtly take up more and more bandwidth just to slow the internet. Every second counts when the war breaks loose. And If they can disrupt our communication just long enough to get the upper hand... well... you can imagine what comes next.

    I think this is the part where I tell you I'm a robot who has come back in time - but that would probably violate causality, and I don't want that stigma hanging over my head. In fact, forget everything I just said.

  26. Not supposed to use products the right way by captainpanic · · Score: 1

    ...my ISP starts punishing me for using the Internet to do legal things that the Internet was designed for?

    Don't you know that you're not supposed to use products for what they're supposed to be used for?

  27. Everybody is being paid just fine. by RyanFenton · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Oh noes! They're taking the bandwidth! Except everyone's being paid, and its still cheaper all around per movie than using the mail. The cable companies are being paid for internet access, the entertainment owners are paid for the right to distribute the content, all the equipment is more than being paid for - and everyone is making a profit.

    The fact that it's using 20% of the bandwidth isn't alarming either - a movie is a lot of web pages/email/etc., but everyone involved can afford to keep the equipment running, and do a little infrastructure expansion to get more customers needs met, all to make more profit.

    This isn't the end either - the moment some form of mass entertainment can be created that legitimately requires more bandwidth, and a service provider can successfully provide that bandwidth to unseat the other service providers, then they will do that, and will likely use several times more bits per second - and by then it will be even cheaper relative to the gasoline used for mail service.

    The real alarm is that this process is making other forms of entertainment less relatively appealing to the masses. The cable companies don't like playing the role of bulk service providers in a realm they prefer to be premium content providers in - and thanks to monopoly powers, they're considering providing a non-neutral-net internet service in the name of "saving bandwidth" to fight Netflix's little game.

    Ryan Fenton

    1. Re:Everybody is being paid just fine. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You don't need to sign your posts, especially if your user name is identical to what you will use as a signature. Even if you're that arrogant, we don't need to see it twice.

    2. Re:Everybody is being paid just fine. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ok

      Anonymous Coward

    3. Re:Everybody is being paid just fine. by DarthVain · · Score: 1

      I saw a kid with a Discman the other day walking down the street and was like "Holy shit is that a discman?!"

    4. Re:Everybody is being paid just fine. by AltairDusk · · Score: 1

      I can't wait for the day my ISP realizes that all I want is a bulk service provider with none of their bullshit. Of course the odds are good that I'll be waiting a looooong time...

  28. Yes by saurongt · · Score: 1

    Yeah, all teh tubes will clog up and then all the crap (read /b/) will start pouring out.

  29. Ah! by dazedNconfuzed · · Score: 1

    As a collective "we", yes we're paying for it.
    But you're not "unity100 of Borg".

    At some point, some of us are going to realize "we" as individuals are paying for the bandwidth usage of others. You look at your ISP bill and realize half of what you're paying (say, $360/year - whatever it is, it's a lot of money out of your pocket) is going to fund someone else's movie marathons. Or maybe it's you enjoying the subsidized streaming video, and I'm deciding to have a chat with my ISP about why I'm shelling out $60/mo for a fraction of a fraction of the bandwidth you're paying the same for.

    Hence "net neutrality" - and why it will fail.

    --
    Can we get a "-1 Wrong" moderation option?
    1. Re:Ah! by cynyr · · Score: 1

      "net neutrality" isn't about keeping the current payment structure, it's about making sure you don't need to pay extra to get to some sites. make the ISPs be site neutral. no charging extra per byte for data from hulu over netflix, or google over bing, or ... well you get the idea. I would be fine with metered billing, but I would demand that there be someway to prevent things like blaster or zeus running on internet computers from sending me piles of data as even if my firewall drops it, it still would cost me.

      If they can sort that issue out and provide me with a way to view my usage(like a electric or water meter) I'm all for the metered bandwidth. Oh, no putting in Tiered or time based billing though, doing so would have the same effect as throttling. Want to watch a tv show from netflix during prime time? data during that time is at 400% the 2am rate....

      --
      All of the above was encrypted with a Quad ROT-13 method. Unauthorized decryption is in violation of the DMCA.
  30. capital investment of profits by jameson71 · · Score: 1

    So you mean the ISP companies may have to forgo the multimillion dollar bonuses for c-level executives for a bit and make capital investments in their network with some of their profits? .

  31. No one uses the internet anymore... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ...it's too crowded

  32. Re:One tiny problem... by yincrash · · Score: 1

    (and canada)

  33. Comment on the statistics by twoallbeefpatties · · Score: 5, Informative

    Excuse my trolling for karma here, but there's a good comment below that article that's worth noting (which I only remembered because I saw this article when it was first posted a while ago).

    Farhad, Allow me to make one clarification on the Sandvine report cited. While the growth of Netflix has certainly been dramatic, it does not (yet) account for 90% of Internet traffic on any of the networks included in our study. Rather, As you noted correctly, we did see Netflix accounting for approximately 20% of downstream traffic in North America.

    The confusion on the 90% stat probably resulted from a misreading of one of the graphs featured in our “Spotlight On: Netflix” on page 15 of our Fall Global Internet Phenomena report. The graph was accompanied with the caption “An average day for Netflix on this network, peaking at 9:30pm” This particular graph (taken from a single network in Canada) shows Netflix traffic throughout the day as a relative percentage of the peak amount of Netflix traffic. In this case, the peak was reached at 9:30pm, so the curve at that point has a value of 100%. The rest of the curve shows how Netflix traffic varies: so we see that at midnight the level of Netflix is approximately 42% of what it was at 9:30pm. In hindsight, I think we probably could have explained this better in our report.

    Our Network Analytics product produces these “Time of Day” graphs so that network operators can understand how subscriber usage of various applications, services, or categories of application vary throughout a typical day. Thanks again for the interesting article.

    Sincerely, Tom Donnelly, EVP Marketing, Sandvine

    --
    Libertarians somehow believe that private businesses should be stronger than governments but weaker than individuals.
  34. Pirates? by zandeez · · Score: 1

    This makes the "Piracy is destroying the Movie industry" argument null and void if you ask me, as it is evident that more people will stream movies legally than download them illegally...

  35. Please by rundgong · · Score: 1

    Stop saying bandwidth hogs will destroy the internet.
    If you want more bandwidth in the backbone you connect another one of the already laid out fibers or you put a few more fibers into the ground.
    Torrents didn't destroy the internet, and neither did youtube or any other of the previous high bandwidth services. This is not a problem.

  36. On to something by nate_wilbanks · · Score: 0

    I think the folks at Netflix could really be on to something here.

  37. Kipper the Dog by Orga · · Score: 1

    I know I'm always streaming Kipper at my house. The dog with the slipper, that's Kipper.

  38. Using the internet will destroy it, story at 11 by noidentity · · Score: 3, Funny

    Yes, using the Internet for transporting data between machines will destroy it. We must avoid using the Internet in order to save it so that it will be there for future generations to not use!

  39. Nothing wrong with that by HalAtWork · · Score: 1

    We knew that we were headed in this direction; Services moving onto the internet, digital delivery, etc. Netflix aren't they only ones, we have YouTube, Hulu, Steam, OnLive!, PSN, Xbox/Windows Live!, every device has some form of app store and streaming video playback. Devices such as the Boxee Box are being built solely for that purpose. If you have any type of clue, you'll know that future applications of internet connectivity will be more bandwidth intensive.

    We've been paying our ISPs, phone companies, and cable companies, who, like any other business, is changing to meet new demands and competing to stay relevant. These companies continue to reinvest in their own infrastructure and researching more efficient delivery to meet the demands of consumers. I mean, they're not just sitting around in the middle of this revolution with their thumb up their arse. Right?

    1. Re:Nothing wrong with that by compro01 · · Score: 1

      mean, they're not just sitting around in the middle of this revolution with their thumb up their arse. Right?

      Nope, they're not doing that at all. They're implementing their own streaming services and implementing caps to keep others out of their god-given right to a monopoly on content delivery.

      --
      upon the advice of my lawyer, i have no sig at this time
  40. cap... by Frederic54 · · Score: 1

    With the very small cap we have in Canada, for instance I just got upgraded from "30GB combined" to "40GB combined", forget viewing movies...

    --
    "Science will win because it works." - Stephen Hawking
    1. Re:cap... by hazydave · · Score: 1

      Curiously, on my satellite system, without passing daily download caps, and using the late night "no caps" option, I can download a maximum of about 110GB per month. Of course, actual bandwidth becomes an issue in the 2AM-7AM "no cap" window, but this is the most I could ever download. Two Blu-Ray discs, with some change back.

      For this, I pay about $110 per month. And this is the best internet option in my area right now. It's not always greener on the other side of the river....

      --
      -Dave Haynie
    2. Re:cap... by nu1x · · Score: 1

      Damn, sounds like backwater, and it's not - it's Canada.

      But looking at my utorrent stats, I see - last 31 days, Transferred 3.49 TB. And that's mostly uploads - I didn't download anything seriously.

      From where I see it, you people should flex some self-government muscle, and make your land worth living in. You created the situation you find yourselves in.

      --
      I have nothing to lose but my bindings.
  41. Re: Everything in canada sucks by js3 · · Score: 0

    Maybe not the women, they are ok but consumer prices in Canada are outrageous. The only reason I see this happening is because Canadians can afford it, fuck back when I lived in Ontario they had a "sewer tax".. that's right you pay for the frigging sewer underneath your house in addition to your normal yearly federal and provisional tax. They tax everything, if it has a name it is taxed. If a car costs 20k in the U.S it's 30K in Canada, cellphone prices are the highest in the world, etc etc.

    It's amazing how anyone can afford anything.

    --
    did you forget to take your meds?
  42. Shhhhh, will you keep it down? by Qubit · · Score: 1

    I have a feeling Vint Cerf is going to show up and start apologizing again for limiting us to that small pool of addresses.

    --

    coding is life /* the rest is */
  43. No, it's just static content. by seanadams.com · · Score: 1

    All they need is a few file servers colocated at major ISPs to handle the most popular movies - this is way cheaper than serving the same enormous files repeatedly around the world. Make a deal with Akamai - problem solved. Or hell just acquire them.

    1. Re:No, it's just static content. by thetoadwarrior · · Score: 4, Informative
  44. screw it. by bittles · · Score: 1

    Im just gonna build my own INTERNET. who's with me?

    1. Re:screw it. by bittles · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      im with you.

    2. Re:screw it. by bittles · · Score: 0, Redundant

      yea! me too!

    3. Re:screw it. by HeckRuler · · Score: 1

      Actually, for a while there after I bought the house I was looking into setting up a wireless network with my neighbors. A community net for easy sharing and whatnot. Something like Netsukuku. But then I rediscovered that I'm a shut-in and haven't really had an excuse to even say hello to most of them.

    4. Re:screw it. by bittles · · Score: 1

      nice dude! ive done the same haha

  45. Sure it will... by eepok · · Score: 1

    Just as any major shock to a system (biological, mechanical, electrical, social, spiritual) may destroy it if the system doesn't adapt to the stimulus.

    I wonder what could be done to help "the internet" adapt to the massive bandwidth consumption that Netflix stimulates.... hmmmmm....

  46. I've been calling 'em NetFux for a long time by swschrad · · Score: 1

    bad enough their stupid flash ads required spanning disks to stream. bad enough that nothing else would load on the page because their stupid flash ad had another five minutes to run at 2 mbps bandwidth.

    --
    if this is supposed to be a new economy, how come they still want my old fashioned money?
  47. OH NOES! IT WILL DESTROY THE INTERNET... by thijsh · · Score: 1

    Just like the automobile destroyed the oil industry... Seriously who makes this shit up?

  48. Video quality by Danathar · · Score: 1

    Sure, if you don't mind sub-par video quality even with their quasi hi-def Netflix is fine (even IF there is STILL a lot of missing content).

    When they can stream to me a TV show at 720p with 4-5Mb/s using variable bit rate I'll be happy. Until then I'm not.

    1. Re:Video quality by Bigjeff5 · · Score: 1

      That's odd, with a 4mbit connection I'm always at "high quality" and I can't tell the difference between it and my DVD's. Their HD content is certainly as good as over the air / cable HD, but I only have a 1080i TV so I can't comment on how it compares to BluRay. I can't imagine it matches up, but I can't imagine it doing all that poorly either.

      Maybe your ISP is throttling Netflix.

      --
      Security is mostly a superstition... Avoiding danger is no safer in the long run than outright exposure. - Helen Keller
    2. Re:Video quality by Fallingcow · · Score: 1

      Their HD quality's pretty good for me. I sit far enough back from my 42" TV that it doesn't look much different from BluRay. Every bit as good as 720p content, certainly. SD's pretty bad, though, probably a bit worse than DVD. Great selection, too; they don't always have what I'm looking for, but there are always a couple hundred other things I'd like to watch, so it doesn't matter that much.

    3. Re:Video quality by hazydave · · Score: 1

      Netflix does their "HD" at 720/30p or 720/24p, in VC-1 (nee WMV9), at variable rates up to about 3.6Mb/s. Not all that far from what you want.. could be better, depending on what video encoding you had in mind (or worse... VC-1 is much better than MPEG-2, but not as good as AVC. Netflix uses it because the decoder is less complex, so it runs on more systems...and because they're seriously in bed with Microsoft).

      --
      -Dave Haynie
    4. Re:Video quality by hazydave · · Score: 1

      Their HD content SUCKS compares to OTA or Cable. If you don't have a 1080i/p TV, you'll notice it less, but even based on compression artifacts, it's pretty annoying. Ok, sure, I'm a video guy, I know what to look for, and I would need months of looking at Netflix video, rather than full 1080p from camcorders, before my brain started ignoring the flaws (which it will... eventually).

      --
      -Dave Haynie
    5. Re:Video quality by AltairDusk · · Score: 1

      My parents compared Netflix's HD streaming on the Xbox 360 side by side with their Time Warner HD channels, in most cases they couldn't tell the difference, in the cases where you could it seemed to be very slight. Remember the cable companies don't exactly provide BluRay quality HD either.

    6. Re:Video quality by spectro · · Score: 1

      If you are comparing to blu-ray then it probably sucks but you know what?, that quality is good enough for me.

      When they designed NTSC TV, they calculated that 525 lines were more than enough for a 12" TV placed several feet away from the viewer. The only reason we need higher resolutions now is because current technology allows for bigger TV screens.

      The human eye cannot tell the difference between 720p and 1080i unless you are sitting less than 10 feet from a 55" TV or you are in the 1% of the world population with higher-resolution eyes.

      --
      HTML is obsolete. It's time for a new, simpler and richer markup language.
    7. Re:Video quality by hazydave · · Score: 1

      That's why I have a 71" TV.. which always displays in 1080p, regardless of the input.

      For your 55" TV, the average person will not see any difference between 720p and 1080p at 13ft. They won't see the full 1080p resolution until they move to 7.2ft from the screen, but closer than 13ft and you're seeing an improvement over 720p. The SMPTE recommended viewing distance for a 55" screen is 7.5ft, the THX recommended viewing distance is 6.1ft. So if you're concerned about a good home theater experience, you already have your seats positioned for very good 1080p viewing.

      My main problem with Netflix isn't that it's half the resolution of proper Blu-Ray (720/60p is good for high motion -- I shoot sports in 720/60p or 1080/60p, but for most content, you want 1080i or 1080p), but that it's at best about 1/10th the bitrate of Blu-Ray. So it's not just the resolution, but also the fact that they apply a global low-pass filter prior to encoding to minimize DCT artifacts, and then compress a bitrate 1/10th that of your average Blu-Ray, 1/5th that of ATSC broadcast. Now sure, if you watch nothing but such overcompressed view, your brain will adapt and you'll slowly start ignoring the compression artifacts -- same reason people were relatively happy with analog or first-generation TiVo, until better things came along.

      --
      -Dave Haynie
    8. Re:Video quality by hazydave · · Score: 1

      New material encoded for SD is using VC-1 (eg, WMV9, SMPTE 421M), just as the HD stuff. While the HD bitrates vary between 2.6Mb/s and 3.8Mb/s, the SD stuff is apparently encoded at a fixed rate of 320kb/s, 500kb/s, 1000kb/s, and 1500kb/s... I gather all bitrates are available, and your connection determines which you get. They deliver 640x480 video, like most online streaming, so it's slightly lower rez than DVD just to being. A well encoded AVC stream will have twice the encoding efficiency of MPEG-2; VC-1 is a bit less, but even assuming it was as good as AVC, you're getting video that's more than twice as compressed, visually speaking, as a DVD. This ought to be comparable to some cable/satellite SD feeds (I have only recently seen HD Netflix, and the older WMV3 based SD, so I can't personally comment on today's SD), but it's not DVD class.

      --
      -Dave Haynie
    9. Re:Video quality by Danathar · · Score: 1

      I would like to say...that I had not been on Netflix for a while and the new stuff IS better :)

    10. Re:Video quality by Danathar · · Score: 1

      Yea...I know. I shot my mouth off a little and had not checked them out of late. It is MUCH better, but not quite as good as the standard 4-5Mb/s 720p/AC3 MKV's we see on bittorrent.

  49. Should have made it a utility. by MaWeiTao · · Score: 1

    I suspect the problem is that ISPs set themselves up for failure by offering unlimited packages. They were so intent on getting subscribers that they didn't think about the implications of heavy usage. And they probably never thought people would be hitting caps in such large numbers.

    In the early days of broadband they were probably milking users; people were paying $50 a month for maybe $10 of usage. But now the tables have turned and ISPs aren't raking in what they used to. And honestly, it's entirely possible they're in a situation where they can't realistically upgrade their infrastructure to sustain the increased load.

    ISPs probably should have gone with a utility style model from day one. That would mean paying for what you use like every other utility, electricity, water gas and even telephone. And they could have tiered it based on speed, much like a higher fuel octane is more expensive. And this way caps would be a non-issue because heavy downloaders would already be paying for heavy usage.

    Of course, this model would also enable ISPs to sneak in rate increases more easily. But really, it seems like a more logical model to me. But at this point I don't see it going over well. And more concerning, if ISPs were to implement this we would all start paying more from the get go.

    1. Re:Should have made it a utility. by Bigjeff5 · · Score: 1

      They set themselves up for failure by not expanding their infrastructure to keep pace with their profits.

      They've used up all that money, and now it's hard to make the big leaps they need to make to keep up with demand.

      Now they've got companies like Google starting to deploy 1gbit internet connections for the same price that everyone else offers their 40mbit connections (or ISP's like mine offer their 4mbit connections, the bastards).

      If they don't start doing some major investing they'll be run out of the market by someone who is willing and able to do so. Frankly, that would be awesome.

      --
      Security is mostly a superstition... Avoiding danger is no safer in the long run than outright exposure. - Helen Keller
  50. What's the cap? by wiredog · · Score: 1

    Most ISPs have a monthly usage cap.

  51. Since when... by abareasol · · Score: 1

    ... did Netflix up the throttling enough to get eat up that much bandwidth. I still get can't a damn movie to stream to my PS3 with decent resolution and/or stopping to re-buffer every 2 minutes.

    1. Re:Since when... by Bigjeff5 · · Score: 1

      It's probably your ISP screwing you there. I've only got a 4mbit connection and I can't remember the last time I dropped below the highest quality bitrate.

      That or your connection has very high latency. Netflix doesn't seem to be able to handle latency over 500ms very well.

      --
      Security is mostly a superstition... Avoiding danger is no safer in the long run than outright exposure. - Helen Keller
    2. Re:Since when... by hazydave · · Score: 1

      HD bitrates jump between 2600kb/s and 3800kb/s, SD bitrates jump between 300kb/s, 500kb/s, 1000kb/s, and 1500kb/s... at least based on the last direct information I have from Netflix. They're higher than YouTube for the same class video, and rather than limiting things to 10 minutes or less, the typical use is 2 hour films. Plus, Netflix via mail was successful enough to pretty much single handedly put Blockbuster, Hollywood Video, and other rentals out of business (I guess Red Box helped, but only fairly recently). So, they clearly have the customer based and the bandwidth demands to eat up that much bandwidth.

      And they're certainly want more, if the typical pipe-to-the-home could take it. They originally played with higher bitrates, but didn't have enough success in delivering a viewable video. If the average increases enough, you can bet they'll be there with higher bitrates to eat that up, too. They still have to compete with other forms of rental/PPV, and increasing quality will make them more competitive.

      --
      -Dave Haynie
  52. I think he means things like cache engines by Sycraft-fu · · Score: 4, Interesting

    You go to the big (and maybe even small) ISPs and say "We'll provide you with hardware to store Netflix movies. When customers request movies that are on there, it'll come from those, rather than our servers. We pay all the hardware costs, you save on bandwidth."

    Akamai does just this. They peer with all sorts of people to get their cache engines in ISPs. At the university I work at, they came to us. The deal was they'd provide the computers (3 servers last I checked) and a switch. We set up our networking to go to those first. Net effect is when you ask for something that has been cached on there, you get it locally, rather than from one of their server farms. Keeps their bandwidth costs down, our bandwidth costs down, and increases speed. Now not everything is stored there, they host a lot of shit. I don't know how their computers decide what to keep where. Some popular things (like Microsoft updates) I think get auto cached, others I think it is based on demand. However even with just a fraction of their content cached, it makes a big difference in bandwidth.

    Netflix may need to start doing the same. I mean video is the ultimate in things that could be multi-cast, except that we want it on demand. Well cache engines work well for that. Since the video never changes or gets updated you push it out when you get it, and then those serve it up to people as often as they want it.

    1. Re:I think he means things like cache engines by Bigjeff5 · · Score: 1

      I don't know how their computers decide what to keep where. Some popular things (like Microsoft updates) I think get auto cached, others I think it is based on demand.

      It's just a proxy cache. Keep track of what people are requesting, and make sure you have it. The first time someone requests something that isn't in the cache, it gets cached. If something hasn't been requested in a given amount of time, purge it from the cache (this would probably be a sliding scale - the larger the file the longer you keep it).

      It's not super complicated, in fact it's very old technology, it just used to be more generalized and ISP initiated than these new setups (Akamai, Netflix) are.

      --
      Security is mostly a superstition... Avoiding danger is no safer in the long run than outright exposure. - Helen Keller
    2. Re:I think he means things like cache engines by Mad+Bad+Rabbit · · Score: 3, Interesting

      But one of the biggest ISPs is Time Warner Cable. They are certainly **not** going to help
      Netflix deliver unlimited movies for $13/mo, when TW charges a lot more for the same thing.

      --
      >;k
    3. Re:I think he means things like cache engines by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      B.b.b.but that means you are making copies! surely our *IAA friends won't stand for such blatant infringement!

    4. Re:I think he means things like cache engines by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nope. That doesn't have a thing whatsoever to do with what your provider's going to soak you for what comes over the last mile.

    5. Re:I think he means things like cache engines by jfengel · · Score: 1

      Netflix may need to start doing the same. I mean video is the ultimate in things that could be multi-cast, except that we want it on demand.

      That, and the fact that it's an enormous amount of data and a lot of processing. Netflix has thousands of movies, many at fairly high res. And in several resolutions, for machines with different bandwidths, unless they're trans-coding on the fly, which adds up to significant power.

      The can probably propagate only some of their catalog. I assume it's an 80/20 rule where 80% of the movies requested are in the the top fifth of the catalog.

      Still, what you're pushing out there is going to be a great big hunk of computer, and it will be pumping out a lot more data than plain page views. Not impossible, but they're going to have to do something eventually.

    6. Re:I think he means things like cache engines by SydShamino · · Score: 4, Informative

      Netflix uses Akamai.

      --
      It doesn't hurt to be nice.
    7. Re:I think he means things like cache engines by lennier · · Score: 1

      Net effect is when you ask for something that has been cached on there, you get it locally, rather than from one of their server farms. Keeps their bandwidth costs down, our bandwidth costs down, and increases speed.

      Isn't that exactly how HTTP is supposed to work, with pervasive caching?

      I wish we hadn't broken HTTP with AJAX, or rather, that we had a cache-happy protocol like HTTP but slightly smarter - based on things smaller than pages, like status updates and paragraphs, all neatly checksummed and version stamped, so it could do all the social networking pub/sub stuff but cache it persistently forever. And that everyone's ISP, workplace and home had big caching servers and it would all just work and be magic.

      I also wish for a Technicolor pony.

      --
      You are not a brain: http://books.google.com/books?id=2oV61CeDx-YC
    8. Re:I think he means things like cache engines by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They also use Limelight Networks.

    9. Re:I think he means things like cache engines by Ponga · · Score: 1

      That is an excellent point. I would take a guess that most ISP's are not so much up in arms over the bandwidth aspect of things, but that a fair portion of ISP's just happen to be cable and media providers themselves, with their *OWN* video on demand offerings that Netflix is essentially competing with.

    10. Re:I think he means things like cache engines by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Time Warner does indeed help. They throttle Netflix streams, as well as Youtube and everything else, then mail flyers for cable television.

    11. Re:I think he means things like cache engines by SydShamino · · Score: 1

      Yes, but the parent was specifically suggesting that Netflix go out and make deals similar to ones Akamai has already made.

      I pointed out that Netflex has been switching service to Akamai, getting access to those existing deals already.

      --
      It doesn't hurt to be nice.
  53. Oblig... by Bobfrankly1 · · Score: 0

    I for one, welcome our netflixian overlords...

  54. Re: Everything in canada sucks by clone53421 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    fuck back when I lived in Ontario they had a "sewer tax".. that's right you pay for the frigging sewer underneath your house in addition to your normal yearly federal and provisional tax

    What, you think that pipeline is maintained for free? You think they treat your shit and dispose of it for free?

    Where I live the sewers are included as a line-item in the water bill, but that’s just semantics. You’re paying for it one way or another.

    --
    Alexander Peter Kristopeit bought his basement from his mommy for one dollar.
  55. Re: Everything in canada sucks by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    In Maryland in the states we have a sewer tax. We call it the "flush tax". The worst part is that everybody has to pay the sewer tax, even if your property has a private septic systems.

  56. No by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The Internet is more likely to destroy Netflix...

    I mean, I can get a broader selection of movies/tv shows, at a lower price (free) online, with a better streaming service (because it allows you to download the entire show if you want) that has basic features that Netfllix lacks (subtitles).

    1. Re:No by delinear · · Score: 1

      That requires at least some technical know-how that most people lack. For most people, the Netflix service will be "good enough", warts and all, the majority will go with it or something similar.

  57. No, but it will end Net Neutrality by TheWoozle · · Score: 1

    This is what the "Net Neutrality" debate is really all about. All of the other things that have been held up as "Net Neutrality" are red herring thrown out by the telecom companies to muddy the water and stall meaningful debate (and I think their strategy is working very well indeed).

    Everyone has seen the high bandwidth requirements coming for at least a decade. The telecom companies have seized on this as their moment to secure their dynasty. They absolutely will not upgrade the infrastructure to support the future until they have guarantees (codified in law, if they have their way) that they can continue raping their customers in perpetuity.

    Or perhaps you really believed what your corporate overlords told you: that the election that just happened had to do with "fiscal responsibility" and nothing at all to do with deregulation, lower corporate taxes, and the repeal of laws that are unpopular with corporations.

    --
    Insisting on "correct" English is like saying that there is only one, definitive recipe for chili.
  58. This is what they SOLD us by Dr_Barnowl · · Score: 4, Insightful

    My ISP makes a point of saying it - "Streaming movies and TV shows". Right there in it's spiel. All the networks are rigged to favour it - our Last Mile is asynchronous, giving us more downstream than upstream, because they want us to be good little consumers and download content, not upload it.

    And now people are making scared noises because it finally worked and people started doing it? And not just scared noises, deploying technical measures to counteract it? My ISP will throttle your connection if you download more than 750MB during "peak" hours ; exactly the time you'd want to be watching a movie. Good luck with that if the stream bandwidth exceeds your new bandwidth limit, which is very likely if it's an HD stream.

    While I'm glad they are taking measures to prevent my connection grinding to a halt, I'm rather disappointed that they aren't upgrading their Last Mile enough to support it - especially as they make such a fuss about being "fibre optic" (to the cabinet, not the home, shame).

    1. Re:This is what they SOLD us by YA_Python_dev · · Score: 1

      If they're throttling the last mile, the bottleneck is not there, it's their backbone.

      --
      There's a hidden treasure in Python 3.x: __prepare__()
    2. Re:This is what they SOLD us by Rockoon · · Score: 1

      To what rate do they throttle?

      I just tested a 720p Netflix stream and over 10 minutes it averaged 1.67mbit/s (125MB)

      --
      "His name was James Damore."
    3. Re:This is what they SOLD us by antdude · · Score: 1

      Which ISP is this?

      --
      Ant(Dude) @ Quality Foraged Links (AQFL.net) & The Ant Farm (antfarm.ma.cx / antfarm.home.dhs.org).
    4. Re:This is what they SOLD us by hazydave · · Score: 1

      Something's wrong there... Netflix claim their "HD" is encoded at 2.600Mb/s and 3.800Mb/s (they switch streams on the fly, based on available bandwidth). Maybe they've added some lower bitrate streams since then (http://blog.netflix.com/2008/11/encoding-for-streaming.html). Did you verify this is actually HD at that point? You're awfully close to their peak SD rate, 1.5Mb/s (which other sources claim is 1.6Mb/s, anyway). Some Netflix players let you fix the bitrate, others only automatically adapt.

      --
      -Dave Haynie
    5. Re:This is what they SOLD us by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      our Last Mile is asynchronous, giving us more downstream than upstream

      I think you mean "asymmetric" here, not "asynchronous".

  59. Simple solution by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Necessity is the mother of invention; if all users of the internet want Netflix and the bandwidth is reduced in light of this fact then this should inspire research in to faster modulation schemes. This is not impossible either because I know for a fact that the technology exists to increase the max bandwidth by 7 times. A company I used to work for had a modulation theme but the backing for such research and development was not available due to the lack of need and also the telecom industry had already heavily invested in to the fringe technology of the time. The only people upset by this would be the telecom industry that would not want to invest in new technology. I personally think that this is how things work and there is always a natural progression towards bigger and better. Big business tends to want to spend less, change less, and make more money so these two factors are diametrically opposing which is why people seemed to be concerned.

  60. I've heard this story before by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    BBC iplayer in the UK, conclusion..

    No the BBC should not be paying anybody. If a service goes slow as a result of iplayer, then it's the consumers who are taking that bandwidth that should have the option to pay more for a better connection.

  61. Ignore Farhad by EndingPop · · Score: 1

    Has Farhad Manjoo ever written a good tech article? I have yet to see one.

    --
    My Company - Red Cedar Technology
  62. Will Ford Destroy the highway system? by Mikey48 · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Your intrepid reported, reporting from 1910...

    Many people are reporting the growing difficulty of navigating their horses and buggies through the town streets due to the growing presence of noisy and fast moving motor cars made by Henry Ford. Predictions are that because of this obnoxious growth in motor cards that our highways will become completely unusable within 10 years!

    1. Re:Will Ford Destroy the highway system? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      the problem with your analogy, although very good and humurous, is that we didn't have private companies owning the roads, not upgrading them so that there are only 2 lanes..then overselling the rights to drive on those roads. Following that analogy, we've reached the point where we are bumper to bumper from 6am-1am..their response is to install toll booths, where they can limit the number of cars at a time, and at the same time increase their revenue.

      that's our issue today; we have private companies who are overselling their services.

    2. Re:Will Ford Destroy the highway system? by ThatOtherGuy435 · · Score: 1

      What, haven't you driven on the highway lately?

      I mean, seriously.

    3. Re:Will Ford Destroy the highway system? by Zoxed · · Score: 1

      Well if you are a cyclist, horse rider or pedestrian then Henry Ford *did* destroy the highway system :-(
      It was expanded and widened by tax dollars/pounds/Euros but now Fords descendants seem to think it is theirs !

  63. No need to worry. by Charliemopps · · Score: 1

    Al Gore created the internet, and he is obviously the only one that can destroy it.

  64. Bits vs kilowatt-hours [Re:So, how long before...] by Geoffrey.landis · · Score: 1

    Does your electrical company increase your rates or move to a higher tier if you run appliances all day long? What about your water company?

    I can't tell if this question is deliberately naive, intended to be ironic, or if it's straight.

    My electric company charges more if I use more kilowatt hours. My water company charges more if I use more gallons. They don't "change their rates", because they already have a rate that's proportional to the amount of product I use. It is the equivalent of an ISP charging a price per GB downloaded.

    I've never heard of an electric company with an "unlimited electricity, no cap to usage" rate.

    --
    http://www.geoffreylandis.com
  65. Well, a good bit has been used by Sycraft-fu · · Score: 1

    The Internet bubble burst like a decade ago. You might notice things have gotten a bit faster. Back then, I had just gotten broadband, and was in one of the few areas you could. I had 256kbit DSL. That was nearly the fastest you could get, 512kbit was all that was available for a consumer line. Now, a decade later, I have 50mbit cable. My net speed has gotten 100x as fast.

    Also then recall that far more people have broadband now. When I got it, I was one of the very select few. Most people who had Internet, were dialup. What's more, the Internet still wasn't a big thing, it was exploding, but there were still plenty of people not on yet. So not only has the speed grown, but the number of people who are on and the number of people who are on at a high speed.

    That came from somewhere. Part of it is better technology that does more per fiber, part of it is using more fiber.

    You are remembering something for 10 years ago and thinking it applies today, which is not at all true with technology. I'm not saying there still isn't dark fiber, or improvements to be made and so on, but that there was tons of it a decade ago means nothing.

  66. Rest of the World? by transami · · Score: 1

    The U.S. is something like 38th in broadband speed.

    "Quel est le problème?"

    --
    :T:R:A:N:S:
    1. Re:Rest of the World? by hazydave · · Score: 1

      The US also ranks 23rd in "Most Livable Places", 33rd in education, 37th in healthcare, 20th for child well-being... and 78th in Homicide (but the sale is from lowest to highest). And we're in a 26-way tie for the 21rst slot in literacy. Guess you can't win 'em all...

      --
      -Dave Haynie
  67. 4294967296 addresses should b enough for everybody by Thud457 · · Score: 3, Funny

    seriously, four billion addresses is almost enough for every man, woman and child on the planet (in 1969) to have one.

    You don't honestly believe we would have more computers than people, do you?!!!


    Plus, this whole electronic data processing thing is just a fad...

    --

    the preceding comment is my own and in no way reflects the opinion of the Joint Chiefs of Staff

  68. Supply and Demand by elloGov · · Score: 0

    I agree with Never. Netflix is irrelevant in this case.

    From an economic point of view, bandwidth is a limited resource.
    Bandwidth supply is limited by infrastructure.
    There is a clear growing Bandwidth demand.
    To combat this demand you either increase supply or you halt/decrease demand.

    Take your pick:
    ISP bandwidth caps and fees = decreasing demand via economical incentives
    or
    Gov't increasing bandwidth capacity by improving infrastructure

    Gov't involvement and taxation upon its citizens are imminent. I just hope we get what we pay for, a worthy infrastructure that scales to the growing demand.

    At a high level, the situation is crystal clear. One thing is for sure, internet will never be "destroyed" by a growing demand.

  69. Sandvine's Conflict of Interest by adfernandes · · Score: 0

    Yet another marketing scare. Sandvine makes "deep packet inspection" equipment and sell a lot of it to Bell Canada and the Canadian cable companies. They have a vested interest in making companies scared of "disappearing bandwidth". Who cares if Netflix is using a lot of bandwidth? Everybody is paying for it; Netflix, the consumer, and so on. Transit agreements between ISPs keep the economics on even footing. Just because they've measured something, doesn't mean that they've measured anything MEANINGFUL.

  70. Will Netflix Destroy the Internet? by Phizzle · · Score: 2, Insightful

    No.

    --
    I will not be pushed, filed, stamped, indexed, briefed, debriefed or numbered. My life is my own.
  71. Gigabit is the answer by ebinrock · · Score: 0

    That's why we need that gigabit Internet. C'mon, Google!

  72. I question if BELL had something to do with this by syleishere · · Score: 0

    In recent lobbiest activity BELL has somehow convinced CRTC in canada to charge usage of bandwidth, meaning it will hit providers with this cost, which will then hit the consumer. CRTC has become evil, instead of telling BELL to increase amount of bandwidth, install new high speed lines, its more profitable to charge more for what is already there. WHen this happens there are only 2 solutions, need of competition on internet lines, and new compression formats for HD content. I see some very big problems with charging usage fees that even BELL are overlooking, like tons of lawsuits against them for instance for people getting hacked and being charged tons of fees. Shouldn't take that long for a hacker to hack a neighbors wireless router key, and download lots of movies for instance. COrrect title for this should be, companies destroying internet with usage fees.

  73. Re:4294967296 addresses should b enough for everyb by tehcyder · · Score: 1

    You don't honestly believe we would have more computers than people, do you?!!!

    Why not, a lot of people have a couple of mobile phones already, even (or perhaps especially) in poorer countries and it won't be long before all mobile phones connect to the internet.

    --
    To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
  74. not telling for BitTorrent..... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    the BitTorrent numbers aren't 'telling' - most BT is probably being done during off-peak hours (overnight) and the content is being watched during those peak hours.
    Netflix streaming is a great thing though - they just need to get more up to date content and complete content and it will go a long way towards stopping my occasional need for piracy.

  75. More Netflix users should equal increased caps. by sosaited · · Score: 1

    I hope it will force ISPs to uncap their packages. No point in having a Netstream account and try to steam when you have a pathetic 20GB (or so) limit.

  76. Re:4294967296 addresses should b enough for everyb by VatuLevu · · Score: 1

    You don't honestly believe we would have more computers than people, do you?!!! .

    If I've learned anything from Terminator and The Matrix then yes...yes I do

    --
    Vinaka Jo
  77. Re:4294967296 addresses should b enough for everyb by Amouth · · Score: 1

    considering the number of remote terms i have open at the moment - that would be would be a very short sighted comment

    --
    '...if only "Jumping to a Conclusion" was an event in the Olympics.'
  78. they won't punish you perse... by Lead+Butthead · · Score: 1

    they'll just charge you a lot more money.

    --
    ELOI, ELOI, LAMA SABACHTHANI!?
  79. 36GB? by Kjella · · Score: 1

    And people wonder why the economy is going to shit. The US is going from Silicon Valley, the high tech center of the world to riding the short bus on the information superhighway. But hey, it helps this quarter's profits...

    --
    Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
  80. Re:The answer is... a Conspiracy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    That explains all the time I've wasted playing Nethack.

  81. Re:4294967296 addresses should b enough for everyb by Lumpy · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I have 3 people in my home and 37 computers. I have a total of 37 IP addresses inside my lan, every one of those things are a computer. the 4 BLuray players are all computers. the Two big TV's are computers, the Apple TV's are computers, the 6 NAS boxes, the 2 Crestron processors, the 4 chumbys, etc......

    I only need 1 to the world because I can use NAT. Some wackjobs think NAT is evil... I think they are wackjobs. I do not WANT most of my computers to EVER be directly on the internet. Even if I was given 10,000 Internet IP's I would still NAT and I guarantee most businesses will as well.

    --
    Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
  82. Careful everyone by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Don't use up all of the Internet bandwidth. Once it's gone, it's gone forever.

  83. That's a lie by hawguy · · Score: 1

    This article is an outright lie. I've measured bandwidth at my own house, and I've found that 95% of all internet traffic comes from adult entertainment sites. Netflix isn't even a blip on the graph.

  84. Dead, dying, sucks by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    If it's not dead, dying, or sucks, the "new school" slashdot crowd just isn't interested. Observe how often attacking posts (i.e. posts on the offensive) get modded straight up to +5, regardless of usefulness, relevance, or let alone truth. Use the words "dead", "dying", "sucks", or "failed" for bonus points. Over-exaggeration is king, similar to what we see on TV nowadays. Over-exxageration gets you noticed.

    The sad reality is that attacks are valued much more on slashdot than they used to be, and I can only attribute this to demographics. Slashdot is no longer a niche community of enthusiast geeks, merely looking to expand their knowledge by observing what others have to say. Today it's more like a high-school cafeteria where the ultimate objective is "look at me".

  85. Proof that people will pay by naasking · · Score: 1

    Amazing how people will actually pay for content provided to them the way they want it, when they want it. Executives in the entertainment industry should be taking notes.

    1. Re:Proof that people will pay by hawguy · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Don't worry, movie executives are working to close this hole as soon as possible:

      Studios May Delay Netflix/Redbox Movie Rentals Even Longer; Offer Fewer Watch Instantly Choices on Netflix
      http://www.slashfilm.com/2010/11/03/movie-studios-delay-rentals-fewer-choices-watch-instantly-time-warner-premium-vod-2/

      That was a close call -- for a while, people have been able to get the content they want how they want it, but the industry is taking appropriate steps to end that and make sure that consumers can only view content when the industry wants them to and how the industry wants them to.

  86. Re:One tiny problem... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The truth hurts doesn't it mods.

  87. But even with 20% taking 80% bandwidth by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    But even with 20% taking 80% bandwidth Comcast Canada were only full on bandwidth 3% of the time.

    So why the FUCK does it matter if 75% of the bandwidth possible is used by 20% of the people using it if 20% of the bandwidth is being used by the remaining 80% of the people?

    THEY STILL HAVE UNUSED BANDWIDTH!!!!!

  88. Re:4294967296 addresses should b enough for everyb by delinear · · Score: 1

    You clearly missed the point - he was highlighting how we got into this mess by letting the unexpected pace of technological advancement catch us unawares. Thomas Watson is often attributed with saying, in the 40's, "I think there is a world market for maybe five computers" - he probably never said this but it's not a long stretch from people's attitudes. Even in the late 60's computers were big, slow and vastly expensive, there was no real expectation that they'd ever find a place outside of big business, academia or the military. Certainly nobody seriously predicted that within their lifetime you'd be able to carry two or three of the things around on your person with ease, or that they'd become so cheap we'd essentially be happy to replace them ever 12-24 months (ala smartphones).

    Even in the early 90's, when I was tinkering with these things at school, attitudes were starting to change and people were seeing mass use of computers in business and even a place for home computers, there were still plenty of people who thought this was a fad, and even more who couldn't have envisioned how popular the internet would become within even ten, let alone 20 years. If we'd over-estimated in the first instance we would be fine right now, but if you'd been the guy over-estimating way back then, you'd have been laughed out of your job with comments similar to the GP post. hindsight is a wonderful thing.

  89. Innovation legislation by TiggertheMad · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Deep-packet inspection has to be made illegal globally or they will continue to push to exploit it.

    Deep packet inspection should be made legal everywhere, so everybody is pushed into encrypting everything all the time. Global adoption of encryption is a far better protection from privacy invasions like deep packet inspection than a piece of paper. Innovation before legislation, please.

    --

    HA! I just wasted some of your bandwidth with a frivolous sig!
  90. Are you serious?? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If porn didn't kill the internet, there's no way Netflix will.

  91. Netflix is illegal! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Netflix is breakin tha internets. Its not just somethin you can put a dumptruck thru, its like a set of TUBES! Tubes I tells ya! And this Net flicksie thing-a-ma-bob is like gitten yer tubes tied! Ets as bad as thet their p2p crimminality! Them derned kids is stealin and robbin poor movie companies of trillions and trillions of dollers. I betcha they got robbed fer at least a hunderd drillion dollas a year fer the last 15 years! More mebby! Kill em all! Durnd crimmnals! At lest if a compny does it, that makes it more ok, but them kids! Shoot em! Shoot em all! An tha poor fone people! All gitten caut off gard with not enuf space fer all that stuff. Its the durned kids! Shoot em! Its there falt! Lock em up an chuck the key! Thet ill fix em!

  92. Netflix + torrent? by hesaigo999ca · · Score: 1

    Netflix should implement the torrent tech for their streaming of files, while you watch as not only would it make sure that the content is ready for you should you wish to fast forward...but also make less of a demand on the internet, no? Unless they already do...if 5 people in the same area of the country are downloading to watch the same movie, only once do you need to stream it down as a whole, where the rest would be filled up using only that section of the internet's ip address to torrent the file.

  93. Netflix is Responsible by ovette_pta · · Score: 1

    Definitely, unless either underlying technology will be upgraded to accommodate higher bandwidth or NetFlix themselves expand their network strategically to provide better service to its subscribers and to save as all from undesirable browsing experience.

    We help Americans find jobs and prosperity in Asia. Visit http://www.pathtoasia.com/jobs for details.

  94. Put more simply by ThatsNotPudding · · Score: 1

    ISPs will know who to shakedown for ever more cash. They will threaten to cut off access to Netflix (or just throttle them below HD capability) if they don't agree to spiraling fees, ala cable cos and tv networks.

  95. NAT vs firewall? by zooblethorpe · · Score: 1

    I'm curious, and clearly ignorant as I'm confused about what the difference is between NATting and simply setting up a firewall properly. In both cases, machines you don't want exposed are safely tucked away and isolated. If you had globally unique IPs for every machine (presumably IPv6), you would at least have the easy option to open an external connection to any machine; with NAT, that option is missing.

    Thus, in my no-doubt naïve understanding, NAT entails no unique benefits, but does entail unique limitations. So what am I missing? I'm honestly curious and hoping for a cogent argument explaining why NAT is better than a proper firewall.

    Cheers,

    --
    "What in the name of Fats Waller is that?"
    "A four-foot prune."
    1. Re:NAT vs firewall? by PRMan · · Score: 1
      1. NAT sometimes gets unique addresses (if DHCPed), offering additional privacy.
      2. NAT firewalls allow you to make ports visible on the internet, so that's not really a negative in practice.
      3. With NAT, because the address ranges are completely different (and non-routeable by default), it is impossible to accidentally end up on the internet. With IPv6, one wrong unnoticed setting and you're there.
      4. Companies don't track IP address too much, because there are too many users behind them at large companies. That would change in a heartbeat if every machine was individually identifiable through the firewall.
      5. IPv6 is typically slower on every machine that I have tried it on. I don't know why this is, but turning it off always results in a speed increase. This will probably change as time goes on and they find bugs and refactor algorithms.

      Personally, I see lots of negatives and no positives. And maybe I'm not alone, because there seems to be a great reluctance to switching over.

      --
      Peter predicted that you would "deliberately forget" creation 2000 years ago...
  96. We've heard this before by Comboman · · Score: 4, Insightful

    1990's: "Spam email is using up all the available bandwidth."
    2000's: "P2P file-sharing is using up all the available bandwidth."
    2010's: "Netflix is using up all the available bandwidth."

    Somehow the internet survived and will continue to do so.

    --
    Support Right To Repair Legislation.
    1. Re:We've heard this before by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      illegal1990's: "Spam email is using up all the available bandwidth." illegal2000's: "P2P file-sharing is using up all the available bandwidth." NOT illegal2010's: "Netflix is using up all the available bandwidth."

      The first 2 were legislated, since they were free, however since we pay netflix, it should hopefully never be...right?

  97. Headline? by oldmac31310 · · Score: 1

    The punctuation in the summary is...wrong. What part of the text is the 'headline' to which the summary refers?

    --
    http://www.acetonestudio.com
  98. you miss the point by Chirs · · Score: 1

    The OP is asking if the per-KWh rate is higher if you use more power.

    In fact, many electrical companies do charge a higher per-KWh rate if you use more electrical power. This is because they need to use heavier-duty equipment to provide you with that power. It may force them to upgrade the distribution center supplying you, or the lines to your building.

    At some point it flips around though...if you use a very large amount of power they'll start charging less per KWh because their maintenance costs don't increase linearly with the increase in power consumption.

    1. Re:you miss the point by KingMotley · · Score: 1

      Our electric company charges less per KWh as usage increases.

  99. Trolling article by fiannaFailMan · · Score: 1

    Quoth TFA:

    How many people would pay $7.99 per month (Canadian) for the chance to watch Superbad whenever they wanted?

    Er, Superbad (whatever that is) isn't the only thing available on Netflix.

    TFA goes on to moan that in the early days it didn't have a lot of things that the author wanted to watch. Boo fucking hoo. What is this, a /. post? The standard "I personally wouldn't find this useful therefore I don't understand why anyone else would find it useful" crap is tiresome enough when you have to wade through post after post of it in /. comments, but for it to appear in TFA itself? Does this guy get paid to write this crap?

    --
    Drill baby drill - on Mars
    1. Re:Trolling article by Fallingcow · · Score: 1

      To be fair, I've heard their selection in Canada is a fraction of what it is the US. Not a big fraction, either.

  100. semi-monopolies by peter303 · · Score: 1

    Most regions their is one cable infrastructure and one phone infrastucture. That limits incentive to upgrade hardware and services from the supply end.

  101. Re:4294967296 addresses should b enough for everyb by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    That's wonderful. The rest of us want VOIP, filesharing, personal web hosting (ex. Appleseed/Diaspora), and servers in general to actually work. The current situation means that actually using your computer as a peer on the internet is difficult (due to not having the technical knowledge to manage their NAT) or just plain impossible (due to an upstream NAT) for most users.

    I am pretty sure you just mean that you want a firewall protecting your internal network (I think that's what not "directly on the internet" means)... which is much, much easier to deal with than a NAT.

    On top of that, NAT is just trading ports for more effective IP addresses... eventually you run out of ports (not with your 37 computers, but once you are talking about ISP level NATs, you could start pushing the limits pretty quickly... by around 1k devices per global IP NAT should start having trouble with web browsing, to say nothing of workloads involving more connections like p2p or running a server).

  102. costs giga-dollars too by peter303 · · Score: 1

    Possibly new wires/cables. Definitely new switches/routers.

  103. Re:4294967296 addresses should b enough for everyb by ATMosby · · Score: 1

    LAN. Much less cool than mis-reading it as VAN. 37 IP addresses in a van. now that would be cool.

  104. I've been waiting for this by bandwidthcrisis · · Score: 1

    When I chose my username, I knew my time would come.

  105. It's not Netflix... by AJWM · · Score: 1

    ...it's Netflix's users.

    Unless Netflix has found a way to push feed to people that aren't asking for it. Is it spamming people with movie files now?

    --
    -- Alastair
  106. Nope, the opposite by LanMan04 · · Score: 1

    Does your electrical company increase your rates or move to a higher tier if you run appliances all day long? What about your water company? I know in my area both of these apply.

    Nope, my power company charges me LESS per kwh after I go over a certain number of kwh in a month.

    --
    With the first link, the chain is forged.
  107. Re: Everything in canada sucks by Doctor+Faustus · · Score: 1

    Sure, you're paying for it anyway, but what's the point of the extra complexity you get from splitting it out?

  108. Re: Everything in canada sucks by Mashiki · · Score: 1

    Yes. I believe in most places in the world that's covered under your property taxes. In Ontario you pay property taxes, then pay more taxes on services.

    --
    Om, nomnomnom...
  109. Re: Everything in canada sucks by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Property tax? That's just the fee that is levied by the government in order to permit you to keep your house on their land, and pretend that the land belongs to you for another year.

  110. Re: Everything in canada sucks by Mashiki · · Score: 1

    Well in Canada, all land is owned by the crown unless it's under a municipality, or claimed in some form. I own the land I'm on, in Ontario. Property taxes are meant to cover the yearly fees for services such as water/sewage/trash pickup/etc. In Ontario, you pay taxes and money for separate services.

    --
    Om, nomnomnom...
  111. Maxed out the bandwidth, no problem by Caption+Wierd · · Score: 1

    My wife and I watch a lot of Netflix download movies, anything new that's halfway good plus I watch the older science fiction ones in the afternoon she doesn't care that much about. The ISP is DSL but the movies are very watchable on a 42" screen. (some stutter occasionally.) Plus, I surf YouTube, Reddit, Slashdot, etc. daily. About four months ago, my nephew put a hi def Slingbox in our house for his overseas tour of duty and it is on for a few hours every day. Luckily he is 13 hours away so he watches mostly in the AM when we're at work, we found we can't do both at once. My ISP has not said one word about it nor has there been any indication that we're causing problems. Sure, occasionally a bird will land on the phone wire and burst into flames, but that's about it.

  112. Re: Everything in canada sucks by clone53421 · · Score: 1

    It has to be split out at some point anyway, to decide how much money the public works department gets to budget for sewer maintenance.

    --
    Alexander Peter Kristopeit bought his basement from his mommy for one dollar.
  113. This is why per-GB/TB rates make sense by davidwr · · Score: 1

    This is even an argument for peak-hour surcharges, bulk-data/non-time-sensitive-delivery discounts, and the like make sense.

    Without metered service you can easily run into the "tragedy of the commons."

    The other solution is to design an infrastructure big enough to handle the expected demand and spread that cost over all users using some method other than pay-for-usage.

    Oh wait, that's what we do now.

    --
    Knowledge is how to play a game, intelligence is how to win, wisdom is knowing what game to play.
  114. Every few years... by vanyel · · Score: 1

    people have been exclaiming "death of the net" from whatever the latest bandwidth consumption increase new tech has made available ever since the net was invented. I've been seeing it for 25 years personally. Each time, capacity increases to meet the demand. This will be no different.

  115. I think the internet was destroyed long ago by AOL.

  116. Good info, txs - and more Qs by zooblethorpe · · Score: 1

    I appreciate the reply. Some follow-up questions:

    • NAT sometimes gets unique addresses (if DHCPed), offering additional privacy.

    Not sure what you mean by this -- the internet-facing NAT router should ostensibly get an address unique to its ISP, ideally unique globally, but so would an IPv6 machine... which makes me think you mean something different?

    • NAT firewalls allow you to make ports visible on the internet, so that's not really a negative in practice.

    Port-mapping, yes. But what if you want, say, two HTTP servers behind the NAT, and don't want users to have to know which port to specify? Some time back I had the bright idea of seeing if DNS included any port info -- make one name resolve to my.ip:port1, and the other to my.ip:port2, but no such luck (at least with what I was able to find). This is a serious question, so if you have any ideas, I'm all ears.

    • With NAT, because the address ranges are completely different (and non-routeable by default), it is impossible to accidentally end up on the internet. With IPv6, one wrong unnoticed setting and you're there.
    • Companies don't track IP address too much, because there are too many users behind them at large companies. That would change in a heartbeat if every machine was individually identifiable through the firewall.
    • IPv6 is typically slower on every machine that I have tried it on. I don't know why this is, but turning it off always results in a speed increase. This will probably change as time goes on and they find bugs and refactor algorithms.

    Personally, I see lots of negatives and no positives. And maybe I'm not alone, because there seems to be a great reluctance to switching over.

    These are all very useful insights that hadn't occurred to me, and I bet you're right about these issues impeding adoption.

    However, I can think of one positive, although it's a bit of a corner case. My router itself is behind my landlord's NAT, leaving me with zero access to my own subnet from outside:

    • Internet -- Landlord's NAT -- My NAT router -- My machines

    Is there any way you know of by which I could access my machines from elsewhere on the net? Ideally, this would not include any dedicated server elsewhere maintaining some sort of tunnel to my machines.

    Cheers,

    --
    "What in the name of Fats Waller is that?"
    "A four-foot prune."
    1. Re:Good info, txs - and more Qs by chrisG23 · · Score: 1

      I believe that it is an absolute requirement to have port forwarding on your landlord's NAT to your NATing router, as well as port forwarding on your own router to the box you are trying to access.

    2. Re:Good info, txs - and more Qs by geekoid · · Score: 1

      It's not good info, it's wrong info.
      Clearly he only knows the lazy way to protect and set up an internal network and is letting his ignorance give him an excuse to be afraid of this 'new thing'

      It just goes to show that no matter how many computers you have, you can still be a Luddite.

      You can easily protects your network. It's even easier then IPv4 and NATs

      The fact that he claims it's impossible to 'end up on the internet by accident' using IPv4 should be setting off alarm bells.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    3. Re:Good info, txs - and more Qs by cbiltcliffe · · Score: 1

      Port-mapping, yes. But what if you want, say, two HTTP servers behind the NAT, and don't want users to have to know which port to specify? Some time back I had the bright idea of seeing if DNS included any port info -- make one name resolve to my.ip:port1, and the other to my.ip:port2, but no such luck (at least with what I was able to find). This is a serious question, so if you have any ideas, I'm all ears.

      DNS is not the proper place to handle this. Each IP address has 65536 ports, so each DNS name also has 65536 ports. Making port 80 go to 10.10.10.10, and port 8080 go to 10.10.10.11 doesn't make sense, because both of these addresses have both of these ports. DNS only refers to the machine itself, and has no idea about ports, TCP, UDP, services, or what have you.

      A logical way to do this would be to set up port forwarding to the first machine with port 80, and the second with port 8080, and if you're wanting to run two websites, have www.mydomain.com on the first server, and otherhost.mydomain.com/ also on the first server, but containing nothing more than a 301 redirect page that sends you to www.mydomain.com:8080.

      You get your NAT setup, your customers don't have to mess with ports, and everybody's happy.

      --
      "City hall" in German is "Rathaus" Kinda explains a few things......
    4. Re:Good info, txs - and more Qs by zooblethorpe · · Score: 1

      No customers here, only maybe friends and family, and not just yet anyway, so that simplifies things a bit. :)

      But about DNS, the scenario I had in mind sounds backwards to what you describe. Rather than having port 80 go to 10.10.10.10 and port 8080 go to 10.10.10.11 (which sounds like basic port forwarding, which the router could do), instead what I was previously thinking of doing (which apparently isn't possible) is to have name hammios.my.site resolve to 10.10.10.10:80 and have baconbits.my.site resolve to 10.10.10.10:6000.

      But now that I'm typing this in, I can't remember even why I wanted to do that; and anyway, your 301 redirect makes more sense... maybe it had something to do with non-HTTP traffic, I forget.

      Anyway, cheers, and thanks for the reply. :)

      --
      "What in the name of Fats Waller is that?"
      "A four-foot prune."
    5. Re:Good info, txs - and more Qs by cbiltcliffe · · Score: 1

      instead what I was previously thinking of doing (which apparently isn't possible) is to have name hammios.my.site resolve to 10.10.10.10:80 and have baconbits.my.site resolve to 10.10.10.10:6000.

      No, that's not possible, because hammios.my.site resolves to 10.10.10.10. The port is entirely dependent on the application that's accessing it, rather than DNS.

      To think of it another way:
      If you're going to visit a friend, Joe, who lives in a 100 unit apartment building at 123 Main St, you pull into the parking lot of the building. The guy who pulls in behind you also is visiting a friend, Ralph, in the building, and parks in the same lot.
      Once you go in, you go to apartment 112, where Joe lives. The other guy goes to apartment 201, where Ralph lives.

      You and other guy are client computers, the building is the DNS/IP resolution, and the apartments/friends are port numbers.

      So if you're going to visit your friend, you've got to go to 123 Main Street, because that's where the building is. If you went to 456 Main Street, you'd be in the wrong place.

      It's a crappy analogy, I know. But that's why the tree in your yard looks better than the one in your neighbour's.

      --
      "City hall" in German is "Rathaus" Kinda explains a few things......
    6. Re:Good info, txs - and more Qs by zooblethorpe · · Score: 1

      No no, decent analogy. And yes, I like that tree. :)

      Cheers,

      --
      "What in the name of Fats Waller is that?"
      "A four-foot prune."
    7. Re:Good info, txs - and more Qs by The+Mighty+Buzzard · · Score: 1

      Run a VPN server from a box behind your router and you only have to configure forwarding of one port on two routers.

      --
      Violence is like duct tape. If it doesn't solve the problem, you didn't use enough.
    8. Re:Good info, txs - and more Qs by The+Mighty+Buzzard · · Score: 1

      No, it's really not easier than IPV4+DHCP+NAT. Even setting up an extremely basic firewall is harder than plugging in an ethernet cable and everything just working.

      --
      Violence is like duct tape. If it doesn't solve the problem, you didn't use enough.
    9. Re:Good info, txs - and more Qs by zooblethorpe · · Score: 1

      For my purposes, sshd will do, but yes, getting my landlord to enable portforwarding to my own router sounds like the best way to go.

      Cheers,

      --
      "What in the name of Fats Waller is that?"
      "A four-foot prune."
  117. Re:4294967296 addresses should b enough for everyb by ObsessiveMathsFreak · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I have a total of 37 IP addresses inside my lan, every one of those things are a computer. the 4 BLuray players are all computers. the Two big TV's are computers, the Apple TV's are computers, the 6 NAS boxes, the 2 Crestron processors, the 4 chumbys, etc...... I only need 1 to the world because I can use NAT. Some wackjobs think NAT is evil... I think they are wackjobs.

    I note you have no video game consoles, and so I assume further that you rarely play games on the internet, and moreover your 4 BluRay players suggets you rarely torrent either.

    In short, it's no surprise you don't see the downsides of NAT. Meanwhile the rest of us who do required user level end-to-end net connectivity know that NAT is the devil and needs to die for the sake of the web. When you find yourself unable to use the latest applications and/or protocols, you will come to realize this too.

    --
    May the Maths Be with you!
  118. Here we go again by Dega704 · · Score: 1

    According to what the ISPs have been claiming for the last several years, the Internet should have already ceased to function by now. In 07-08 I was seeing doomsday prophesies of the 2010 Internet apocalypse all over the place. It's all a bunch of exaggerated baloney designed to scare everyone into killing net neutrality. In any case they have absolutely no reason to complain. They offer a service which their customers pay for, and at a much higher price than most other countries I might add. Customers also pay a higher price for a connection with more bandwidth. Should be simple enough, right? All Netflix is doing is creating a massive demand for the service they offer. That should be a dream come true for them. Last time I checked they were making record profits, so surely they can upgrade their networks to keep up with demand, especially when the cost of network infrastructure is constantly dropping. Not as simple as that you say? Well then they should have anticipated this before they offered "unlimited" Internet access. Changing the rules now would basically amount to a bait-and-switch. If customers start getting mobile-phone style bill shock when they go over their bandwidth cap, sh*t will hit the fan. Unfortunately, any fat-cat executive is going to be miffed when they see an opportunity to nickel-and-dime that isn't being exploited for all it is worth.

  119. It's such a simple concept yet no one gets it by RulerOf · · Score: 1

    That's fine but if they can't deliver 'unlimited' bandwidth then they need to stop offering 'unlimited' bandwidth.

    Unbelievable.

    I wouldn't believe in unlimited bandwidth either. Aside from the fact that such a thing does not and cannot exist, I feel sad for you (and for most) because you've drunk a bit too much of the "shared bandwidth problem" Kool-Aid in spite of the fact that you seem to oppose the common practices that today's ISPs are implementing. As such, I'll present you with a short list of points that more people should understand:

    • Oversubscription of limited bandwidth is a problem.
    • Top tier IXP interconnects that implement paid-peer billing calculate usage with a long standing, industry accepted metric that is understood as both fair and appropriate for billing the inexorably limited commodity that's actually being sold: bandwidth.
    • Because overall bandwidth limits are precisely at issue at all levels of the network, it makes perfect sense to offer unlimited transfer to customers at the very endpoints of those networks from both a marketing perspective and a financial one.

    If you don't see what I'm getting at yet, let me give you an example.

    You own a network that has a larger number of total segments than it does interconnects between those segments. Every node on the network is connected through 10 Gbps Ethernet. You want to transfer 15 exabytes of data between two nodes that are on the two logically "farthest" network segments. Will your network have a serious bandwidth problem?

    Possible answers include:

    • Yes. I will attempt to transfer that data at 10 Gbps until the transfer is complete.
    • No. I will instead opt to transfer that data at 1 Gbps until the transfer is complete.

    This is where the problem really lies. The amount of data you transfer over a given period of time does not a bandwidth problem make. However, the time over which you transfer an arbitrary amount of data can, but it certainly doesn't have to.

    Still, it is of course true that bandwidth constraints and overall transfer totals are certainly correlated, but---due to the irrefutable fact that the total number of bits running through a bus neither inhibits nor alters the bus's fundamental ability to transfer said bits at any given time (i.e. unlike power wires, ethernet cables and fiber don't "sag" under high load)---the practice of metering a fundamentally and quantitatively unlimited function of a network is unfair, fallacious, disingenuous, and patently retarded at best.

    If the last mile ISPs want to solve their bandwidth problem, then need to stop billing people for what is a fundamentally unlimited resource and start billing them proportionately for what is.


    ...Then again, I suppose that selling an unlimited commodity like it's a precious one is a great way to make money.

    --
    Boot Windows, Linux, and ESX over the network for free.
  120. Netflix Uses CDNs by randallman · · Score: 1

    This is nonsense. Netflix uses CDNs, and I'll bet the big ISPs have peering agreements with these networks. I think they're all aching to get into the cell phone overage model and the cable companies obviously want to shut out their competition.

  121. In a word... DUH! by hazydave · · Score: 1

    This was inevitable, and anyone paying close attention saw this coming a thousand miles away. Years ago, when I first heard talk of "the internet" being the upgrade for DVD, I kind of had to laugh. Because there's absolutely no way your ISP is going to let you buy Blu-Ray quality video online, on a regular basis.

    Netflix, and other similar models (Apple TV, etc) have adopted what I think of as the proper internet video model: a replacement for rental and PPV. But even with Netflix's 3.8Mb/s for HD (basically 1/10th the quality of Blu-Ray), they're crazy huge compared to most other video sources. Sure, YouTube has been upping their standards to 2Mb/s and maybe more, but the limit on all currently available normal YouTube accounts (those not grandfathered into the "Director's" account, and those not owned by major media companies in partner with YouTube/Google) is 10 minutes. The average film runs over two hours.

    And it's clear, already, that Netflix was a huge success, even before they did the online thing. They pretty much killed the meatspace DVD rental business, thanks to their streamlined mail system and all-you-can-eat pricing. They've become one the Post Office's largest clients, as a result.

    ISPs can offer unlimited service based on the idea that there's no practical limit.. most people will never get close (and, for many, they'll simply dump those habitual outliers). A single film over Netflix will run around 3.2GB. While that's not insane by geek standards, it's crazy compared to most consumer uses: program updates (100MB, less than once a week), YouTube videos (150MB for an HD, 10min video.. usually much less), etc. They don't have anywhere near the bandwidth to support everyone hitting the limits all at once. But that's precisely what the Netflix model is encouraging... which makes it even worse, in some ways, than online purchases.

    If I buy a video, it's larger, but I'm probably going to buy well in advance. So my download doesn't necessarily stop on anyone else's, and for that matter, a smart server could manage bandwidth to optimize costs. For Netflix, it's realtime playback. They buffer up, but if there are too many viewing at the same time (far more likely, given the realtime and "regular consumer" push), the streaming fails. Meanwhile, before that, Netflix is sucking up most what's available, and most likely, around the same after work -- prime time hours. Netflix could in theory help here by pushing videos to you ahead of time... unfortunately, most of the devices suppoting Netflix don't have a spare few GB to store the film.

    --
    -Dave Haynie
  122. Did the WWW destroy the Internet? by cowtamer · · Score: 1

    I remember the panic on Usenet back when this newfangled "World Wide Web" thing was gaining popularity about whether the Web (or Webcams, or streaming video) would destroy the Internet.

    You never know for sure, of course, but I think 'teh Interwebs' are safe for now :)

  123. They DO charge eachother for bandwidth. by crovira · · Score: 1

    That is how, and why, ISP transfer money across fiber ownership barriers.

    ISP1 (say Comcast) charges ISP2 (say Cox) for every MB of data they have to carry for a customer of ISP2 requesting it.

    It gets hairy when it is propagated across the entire network (bottlenecks represent lost revenue for some and windfall profits for some others) and then if ISP2 is also serving up data for a customer of ISP1.

    The accounting rules are very simple.

    Keeping track of every single packet that shuffled between source and destination is a logistical nightmare, but doable and done every second of everyday of every billing cycle.

    --
    MSBPodcast.com The opinions expressed here are my own. If you don't like 'em... Think up your own stuff.
  124. Netflix vs file sharing ? by bobjr94 · · Score: 1

    Someone streaming one or 2 movies per day, one at a time VS someone downloading 8 movies, 2 games and 5 cd's at once from 300 peers 24/7...I think netflix would be the clear bandwith miser.

  125. Re: Everything in canada sucks by hazydave · · Score: 1

    I don't think so. Where I live now, I have septic and well, so no such services. But at my old place, property taxes were just that... property taxes. Additional services were not taxes, but ... well, services. You had to pay for water in and poop out. And unlike electricity, water was actually very similar to internet charges. You didn't pay per liter/gallon, but if you hit a certain threshold, your price went up. I hit that exactly once, one year I had to fill and empty the pool (in ground, 45ft x 30ft) an unusual number of times.

    I don't believe there's any place, at least in the USA, where property taxes also cover water and sewer service fees. They are, very much, a different kind of thing, with month going to markedly different places. And in my current place, I still pay property taxes ($12,000 a year or so, on 26 acres, most of it forest).

    --
    -Dave Haynie
  126. Yup and they still haven't used up the dark fiber by crovira · · Score: 1

    capacity already in the ground...

    In 2020 its going to be "3D TV is using up all of our capacity" and they STILL won't have used up everything that's buried NOW.

    The problem is that we're forcing them to upgrade their processing equipment to handle the extra load THIRTY years before its past obsolete (and there's not a whole lot to break on a Switch.)

    The accountants at NyNex (remember NyNex, before they merger with GE Telecommunications and became Verizon,) had figured that the equipment that they were buying in 1995 was going to be amortized over 10 years, that's 2005, (it was bought and paid for from the profits on ADSL [and you can kiss the money we paid in for decades for "infrastructure improvement" goodbye.])

    Unfortunately, the switching equipment is not going to be enough to last until 2025. They'll have to upgrade ahead of schedule.

    I say fuck the accountants.

    They've been screwing us since the 1980s.

    --
    MSBPodcast.com The opinions expressed here are my own. If you don't like 'em... Think up your own stuff.
  127. Re:4294967296 addresses should b enough for everyb by geekoid · · Score: 1

    SO many computer, so little knowledge if IPv6, routers and firewalls.

    --
    The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
  128. You're SUPPOSED to have switched to IPv6 already by crovira · · Score: 1

    Its not Cerf's fault that we stuck with short sighted cretins for accountants (But I repeat myself.)

    --
    MSBPodcast.com The opinions expressed here are my own. If you don't like 'em... Think up your own stuff.
  129. Re: Everything in canada sucks by geekoid · · Score: 1

    So the citizens are informed of what the are paying for.
    Often they are two separate bureaus, with different rates. Often the sewer rate is tied to the water usage.

    Contrary to group think, the US government does a really good job at keeping it's citizens informed.

    --
    The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
  130. Re:4294967296 addresses should b enough for everyb by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I think you are wrong. For the machines that communicate to machines outside your network, even as 'just clients', are on the Internet.

    NAT is not the same thing as a Firewall. You will still want a firewall to protect the client-only machines. But don't think those machines are not on the Internet.

    Additionally, I think that M2M (machine-two-machine) use is crippled by NAT. I believe there is a revolution with applications we don't yet know about going to happen.

  131. Re: Everything in canada sucks by geekoid · · Score: 1

    There are a few place where the cost is in property taxes, but it is rare.

    Interesting note, in almost all case, it would be cheaper if it was a tax instead of a fee.
    They're not supposed to make a profit, so removing the billing, cut offs, and associated work would lower the price, considerably.

    --
    The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
  132. Re: Everything in canada sucks by epine · · Score: 1

    Sure, you're paying for it anyway, but what's the point of the extra complexity you get from splitting it out?

    Accountability modeled as distracting overhead. Sure worked great in the financial services industry.

    I don't know if you meant this as a joke, but it's seventeen flavours of stupid. The whole point the invisible hand is that distributed self-interest produces effective economic decisions for the system as a whole when both sides of the transaction are voluntary and well informed.

    Opaque billing is a method of outsourcing a command economy; consumerism is what you get when you bludgeon the free market with a seal club. The whole point of the net neutrality debate is whether we're going to legalize seal clubs.

    For government run services, even when they split it out, there's plenty of scope for creative accounting, but at least it's a start.

    At the same time, there's no business out there that doesn't have controls in place to safe-guard against entitlement freeloaders. When some telcos first offered unlimited long distance calling, a large population of deep-fryer invalids (who don't get out much) decided to turn their telephones into a permanent intercom system to exchange chicken recipes with their far-away siblings all day long.

    I used to frequent a first rate all-you-can-eat dinner buffet in Montreal that initially catered to professionals willing to treat themselves to a refined atmosphere. Over time the patrons became larger and larger, and soon sweatshirts and belly cracks started to appear, when word got around that the determined obese could hoover $50 worth of food (none of it covered in batter) for the $25 price. Needless to say, the business model had to be changed, to the detriment of the population with reasonable notions of moderation.

    Netflickers, are you the stuffed cheeks in sweatshirts piling on the cold salmon at the buffet table? Just asking.

  133. Some popular things (like Microsoft updates) by mosel-saar-ruwer · · Score: 1

    I don't know how their computers decide what to keep where. Some popular things (like Microsoft updates) I think get auto cached, others I think it is based on demand.

    Gee, I hope that MSFT put on their thinking caps and did their homework when they were designing their "signing" algorithms.

    'Cause I shudder to think what might happen if the locally-cached Akamai version of a security update were not [for what ever reason] quite the same as the official MSFT version.

    Dittoes for hardware drivers, which very often are NOT signed in any way: Break into the Akamai server, upload your version of whatever, then pwn the user systems immediately upon downloading.

    And don't think for a second that the Chinese Red Army and the Russian Army aren't devoting beaucoup $$$s & man-hours to precisely these kinds of attack vectors.

    Bottom line: It's one thing to be caching relatively harmless stuff, like JPGs and MPGs and WAVs and GIFs and TXTs, but caching EXEs is a whole 'nother can of worms...

  134. Our president is not a prime minister by QuincyDurant · · Score: 1

    The enforcement of consumer products, enabling resolutions (to enforce existing law), and the enforcement of anti-trust law all belong to the White House--Tea Party be damned.

  135. Any info beyond commentary? by zooblethorpe · · Score: 1

    I don't suppose you could explain your post a bit better? Reading it over, I get a lot of opinion, but nothing informative to work with... :(

    You can easily protects your network. It's even easier then IPv4 and NATs

    Okay; how? Purely firewall settings? I have zero IPv6 experience, but have read around a little bit.

    The fact that he claims it's impossible to 'end up on the internet by accident' using IPv4 should be setting off alarm bells.

    Well, private addresses (192.168.x.x, etc) are by definition private; how would an external computer initiate a connection to a machine inside a NATted subnet, without the router providing port forwarding? This is not rhetorical; I am interested in the answer.

    Meanwhile, IPv6 addresses are, from what I've read, mostly designed to be globally unique and thus globally routable, which I think is what PRMan was describing in his post. With such addresses, you'd have to explicitly configure your router/firewall to lock down local machines, no? Or is there some mechanism enabled by default to prevent local IPv6 machines from being accessed from outside the local network? Again, I'm not asking rhetorically.

    (I did find that apparently IPv6 includes explicitly private address blocks [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Private_network#Private_IPv6_addresses] -- perhaps this is what you were meaning?)

    Cheers,

    --
    "What in the name of Fats Waller is that?"
    "A four-foot prune."
    1. Re:Any info beyond commentary? by Agripa · · Score: 1

      Meanwhile, IPv6 addresses are, from what I've read, mostly designed to be globally unique and thus globally routable, which I think is what PRMan was describing in his post. With such addresses, you'd have to explicitly configure your router/firewall to lock down local machines, no? Or is there some mechanism enabled by default to prevent local IPv6 machines from being accessed from outside the local network?

      Two things come to mind for security. IPv6 includes a privacy mode where machines change their IPv6 address randomly within their subnet periodically so finding a machine would be basically impossible from outside of the network without help. As far as a firewall goes, just make it statefully block all incoming connections with a single rule. That duplicates any security which NAT provides.

    2. Re:Any info beyond commentary? by zooblethorpe · · Score: 1

      That's good to know, thanks. The firewall rule sounds like what I'd expect, coming from IPv4. But the privacy mode, is this different from the private address block defined for IPv6? And how would machines on the local subnet keep in touch if the addresses keep changing? Is there some broadcast sent out to known hosts notifying them of the update?

      Curious,

      --
      "What in the name of Fats Waller is that?"
      "A four-foot prune."
    3. Re:Any info beyond commentary? by The+Mighty+Buzzard · · Score: 1

      Grandma knows dick about statefully blocking incoming connections or even creating a single firewall rule. Even grandma can figure out how to plug in an ethernet cable and have IPV4+DHCP+NAT keep her at least minimally secure from that particular attack vector though.

      I, for one, do not want to be called away from what I'm doing to admin firewalls for every last damned member of my rather large family.

      --
      Violence is like duct tape. If it doesn't solve the problem, you didn't use enough.
    4. Re:Any info beyond commentary? by Agripa · · Score: 1

      The private address block for IPv6 is not routable so is akin to RFC 1918 IPv4 addresses (10.0.0.0/8, 172.16.0.0/12, 192.168.0.0/16). When a machine uses autoconfiguration to generate its global address, it can either use its 48/64 bit MAC address or it can just randomly generate these bits for privacy. If it changes addresses, it can still respond to older ones for a period of time.

      Other than broadcasting, I do not know how other machines can track address changes. Presumably the local DNS server should be informed but I have not seen that done yet. On my home network, my machines use randomly generated global addresses except for one IPv6 server which uses its fixed MAC address so that my router can firewall it properly. I am not aware of any IPv6 firewalls which can properly handle randomly generated global addresses yet.

    5. Re:Any info beyond commentary? by Agripa · · Score: 1

      Too bad it is impossible to produce a router with an IPv6 stateful firewall which defaults to block incoming connections which would duplicate the security of NAT without breaking protocols which rely on end to end authentication. In addition, IPv6 autoconfiguration unfortunately requires at least a dozen settings on every machine to get working.

    6. Re:Any info beyond commentary? by The+Mighty+Buzzard · · Score: 1

      Sarcasm duly noted and your points are valid but it currently simply is not fact. The kit a good percentage of people have at their homes is simply not IPV6-ready. The whole idea is that I don't have to do a shitpot of unpaid work for no actual gain to myself or the family that is doing just fine on NAT. If I have to A) research and procure IPV6 compatible routers and such and B) swap out said kit and make sure it's all configured properly to have essentially the same quality of service, it's a colossal waste of my time.

      --
      Violence is like duct tape. If it doesn't solve the problem, you didn't use enough.
    7. Re:Any info beyond commentary? by Agripa · · Score: 1

      My point is that IPv6 is not more difficult to setup than IPv4 because of any technical reasons and it does not have to be less secure. The lack of IPv6 consumer routers reflects the economics of the situation. There is very little demand and I doubt the situation will change until ISP level NAT starts causing significant problems.

      If you have a m0n0wall system, adding IPv6 can amount to turning it on, selecting the tunnel type (RFC 3056 tunnels require no configuration and are available through most if not all IPv4 connections), and adding one outgoing firewall rule. There are consumer routers available now already configured that way which is why people sometimes discover they have IPv6 connectivity without having done anything.

  136. Re:4294967296 addresses should b enough for everyb by Ant+P. · · Score: 1

    I'm sure tracking stateful connections for 10 thousand clients with only 60000 usable ports would be wonderful for performance and reliability.

  137. Re:4294967296 addresses should b enough for everyb by jonwil · · Score: 1

    NAT is a poor solution for what should (and can) be done with a firewall.
    If you dont want your computers to be exposed to the world, run a firewall that can block anything that needs to be blocked and do it just as good as NAT can.

  138. Nonsense! by Paleolibertarian · · Score: 1

    The idea that internet bandwidth is a fixed level and cannot be increased is pure nonsense. Greater demand for bandwidth results in more bandwidth capacity being created. This is how a free market works.

  139. I get unlimited... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I have Frontier DSL (up to 3megs down) and a cap of 60GB per month...Best part is my connection isn't fast enough to pull down 60GB per month even if I was streaming movies 24x7x30...Unlimited Speed and Quantity is true for me! They sold me exactly what the give me, hey wait a minute.

  140. Re:4294967296 addresses should b enough for everyb by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Wierd.

    I have 2 xbox360's 4 desktops - 4 laptops - 1 blackberry - 1 nook all on the same network behind a Nat.

    I have no problem even if all of these are on and going - including both xbox's using xbox live.

  141. Re:4294967296 addresses should b enough for everyb by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    NAT works just fine, I have a couple dozen devices behind a NAT'd firewall. Including xbox 360, ps3, PC's, servers, TV's etc. ALL of them work flawlessly. ALL of them work at fantastic speeds.

    Are you saying that I need to open my internal gigabit network to the world?!?! WTF? Each device dependant on its own network stack to deal with and fend off any and all traffic flung its way? Thats crazy talk.

    Who in their right mind has all their devices on routed IP addreses? NAT is how this is done, there is nothing wrong with it. If YOU can't get things to work right on your network, thats not a flaw in the mechanism, its a flaw in the implementation. If you want to set up a network, suprise suprise, you need to understand networks! However, 99% of the home networks I've seen just work. My friends aren't savvy about NAT and firewalls. They just plug in the device from their ISP and bang, it works. Gaming consoles, TV's, blu ray players, whatever. Most of the time anyway. Sometimes I'll do a little port forwarding here and there, but otherwise it works without user intervention. My network at home uses zero port forwarding except for the torrent ports forwarded to my HTPC.

  142. Modems Slots Oversold? by Bensam123 · · Score: 1

    Reminds me a lot of back when ISPs used to sell more slots then they had available and during peak hours you would play the game of knocking eachother out of slots. It was a glorious fun game. Getting disconnected in the middle of a download or game. That was back before they had resume too, which means you had to start alll 4mb all over again. Analogy could be made between Black Tuesday and banks overloaning what they don't have. It's not hard to see what will happen.

    This is a stupid roundabout game. ISPs are definitely dumb as bricks for the most part unless they're forced to do something that takes money. I hope the FCC is smart enough to make a connection between what happened and what has happened.

  143. It may be time to turn off, tune out and drop out by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Not only are they greedy, and very profitable - isp's are squeezing and screwing the public so bad that the u.s. is now ranked about 36th in the world of high tech internet capacity provisioning - higher bandwidth and cheaper even in europe.

    You idiots have no idea how corporate u.s., ( the so called free market lmfao ) is screwing north america.

    Feds on both sides of the borders say the country wants less interference from government in business and yet at every chance the feds use excuses for regulating or spending in the interests of the market.

    Freedom's just another word for getting screwed by any label - conservative, republican, democrat, liberal - yeah they cling to their labels right up until it is time to separate you from your $

    good frgn luck ladies

  144. Re:4294967296 addresses should b enough for everyb by jp10558 · · Score: 1

    Ahh, I see - you've never heard of a Firewall. Google it.

    --
    Opera, Proxomitron-Grypen,GPG 0x0A1C6EE3