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High Frequency Trading and Finance's Race To Irrelevance

hype7 (239530) writes 'The Harvard Business Review is running a fascinating article on how finance is increasingly abstracting itself — and the gains it makes — away from the creation of value in the real world, and how High Frequency Trading is the most extreme version of this phenomenon yet. From the article: "High frequency trading is a different phenomenon from the increasing focus on short term returns by human investors. But they're borne from a similar mindset: one in which financial returns are the priority, independent of whether they're associated with something innovative or useful in the real world. What Lewis's book demonstrated to me isn't just how "bad" HFTs are per se, but rather, what happens when finance keeps walking down the path it seems to be set on — a path that involves abstracting itself from the creation of real-world value. The final destination? It will enter a world entirely of its own — a world in which it is fighting to capture value that is completely independent of whether any is created in the first place."'

382 comments

  1. Mmhmm by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The secondary stock market in particular (where stocks are not directly funding a company but rather being sold amongst other investors), particularly those that don’t pay dividends, all seems like a big game to me, where everyone plays by the same rules in the hopes that they are the ones to make money.

    I doubt this kind of behaviour will be going away soon, regardless of how removed from actual value stocks become.

    1. Re:Mmhmm by TemperedAlchemist · · Score: 1

      Those are the OTC and pink markets.

      Flipping penny stocks is like dangling your testicles into shark infested waters.

    2. Re:Mmhmm by alen · · Score: 1

      most trading is done by pension and other big funds
      not by hedge funds or small funds that do HFT

    3. Re:Mmhmm by alexander_686 · · Score: 1

      Of course, the only reason why there is a primary stock exchange is that the initial investors expect there to be a secondary stock market. This is particularly true for equity, which has an unlimited lifespan. Most investor's lifespans are shorter than that.

      More to the point, stock ownership (and thus the stock market) is about ownership of the company, not the funding of the company.

    4. Re:Mmhmm by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Depends on how you define 'most trading'.

      Most of the HFT is set up to make a market. Some large companies even set it up to HFT internally, in dark pools for rather esoteric reasons -some not so honest.

    5. Re:Mmhmm by alexander_686 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Errr.

      Most stocks are held long term by long term investors. A example, as you suggest, are pension funds.
      Most trading is done by short term holders – like HFT.

      This is why in a single year more stocks of a company can trade than have been issued (suggesting huge turnover) yet the majority long term holders barely budge.

    6. Re:Mmhmm by alen · · Score: 2

      by volume about half the trading is done by the large long term funds or corporations buying their own stock. the other half by hedge funds. on large volume days most volume is long term funds as they buy up or dump large amounts of stock.

      a lot of the short term traders put money into the market. if you cash out part of your pension or other investments, someone has to buy that stock to give you the cash

    7. Re:Mmhmm by rwa2 · · Score: 0

      Well, more to the GP AC's point, even the primary stock exchange is kinda pointless. I mean, investing in a company for profit essentially means you're saying, "hey, here's a company that looks like it's being mismanaged and is not performing as well as it should, I'm going to buy some stock in it in the hopes that someday, some half-decent manager will also eventually see that this company underperforming, and buy enough of my shares to get a controlling stake in the company so they can run it better until it performs to meet or exceed Wall Street expectations."

      Unless you're one of these managers, which, let's face it, you're not.

    8. Re:Mmhmm by DavidHumus · · Score: 4, Informative

      The facts are otherwise. Based on estimates at a talk I was at recently - see the latter part of this (pdf) http://www.orie.cornell.edu/en... - traditional asset management comprises about 20% of trading volume; HFT accounts for over 30% and hedge funds for more than 25%. There may be some HFT done at hedge funds as well, but it's clear that the tail is wagging the dog.

    9. Re:Mmhmm by slew · · Score: 1

      Two things...

      With many companies, the lifetime of the equities are shorter than an investor's lifetime (e.g., nearly all US-based airlines, GM, Chrysler, automobile companies, banks, energy trading companies like Enron, Calpine, PG&E, WorldCom). With some internet companies, significantly shorter...

      Stock ownership with its historical PE levels, is often less about ownership of the company, than a bet on the future performance of the company.

      The stock market is really about providing a safe place to gamble. Think of it like gambling in Vegas vs gambling in a smoke filled room in the basement of a restaurant wondering if you win the pot, if you are going to get out the room alive. Stocks are merely the chips in this game. They have some intrinsic value which follows the fortune of the company they are attached to, but there is an artificial shortage of chips and people that want to play the game are bidding up the value of those chips...

      Why not make more chips? The internet bubble showed what happens when you create more chips (e.g, companies that issue stock) simply to fill that demand...

      Contrary to popular belief, you can sell ownership securities in a company and *not* register them, or even list them in a regulated stock exchange (e.g., if the number of owners is small enough). The only purported rationale to do so is so that if securities are sold to the public at large, the public can have a fair chance to see what they are probably worth so that small-fry can play the game. High-frequency trading pretty much obliterates this idea, so you might begin to wonder what the rationale is for a regulated stock exchange to service a secondary securities market (other than a false sense of security).

      If a company wanted to, it could sell partial ownership securities directly to a investment partnership and ordinary joes could invest in that partnership (if they trusted that partnership), but then the investment wouldn't be as liquid. Asset liquidity is really the only reason the stock markets continue to exist, not ownership...

    10. Re:Mmhmm by i+kan+reed · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Which is why you always do it running a mutual fund. Dangle other peoples' testicles instead.

    11. Re:Mmhmm by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Most stocks are held long term by long term investors. A example, as you suggest, are pension funds.

      Actually, if you read one of the articles that is linked from the main article (which may make me the first person in the history of Slashdot to read a LINKED article from the RTFA) the suggestion is that pension funds are expecting higher returns over shorter and shorter periods of time due to underfunding/increased longevity.

    12. Re:Mmhmm by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, more to the GP AC's point, even the primary stock exchange is kinda pointless. I mean, investing in a company for profit essentially means you're saying, "hey, here's a company that looks like it's being mismanaged and is not performing as well as it should, I'm going to buy some stock in it in the hopes that someday, some half-decent manager will also eventually see that this company underperforming, and buy enough of my shares to get a controlling stake in the company so they can run it better until it performs to meet or exceed Wall Street expectations."

      Actually, if you read Graham's "The Intelligent Investor" or Graham and Dodd's "Security Analysis" you will find that they take a dim view on investing in common stocks that don't pay dividends. The idea behind owning common stock is becoming an ownership partner in the company, which means reaping the profits through dividends.

      I am continually astonished by the number of high-profile American companies that do not pay dividends. I can only imagine that it is due to clueless shareholders that don't know what the purpose of partial business ownership is, or are expecting to gamble and win the lottery via share price increase.

      Apple, in particular, should be paying a boatload of cash out in dividends.

    13. Re:Mmhmm by alexander_686 · · Score: 1

      Can you point out the link? I don't think it was directly reference in the underlying article.

      And even if that was true I would be skeptical. Most private pension funds are well funded – public funds are another matter. If you want to crank up returns (which is not the correct choice – cranking up contributions is the correct choice) my experience is that portfolio managers move to higher risk stock – not by trying to generate trading profits with short term trades.

    14. Re:Mmhmm by ocean_soul · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Recently, I have started wondering: would it be advantageous for the stability of our economy and financial markets if there was a minimum holding time for shares, options, etc.? For example one day? That would make high frequency trading, which I agree is not really productive to the general economy, disappear. I don't think a rule like that would hinder real investors, because as you say, they hold for a longer time anyway. But it would stop speculators trying to squeeze some money by day trading without contributing anything to the economy.

    15. Re:Mmhmm by I'm+New+Around+Here · · Score: 0

      I've said before there should be a year-long requirement on buying or selling. If you buy shares in GM, you own them for at least a year before you can sell them, or use them as any sort of collateral or trade. If you sell shares in Ford, you are not allowed to buy shares in Ford for one year as well. This goes for all investors, whether individual, corporate, or hedge fund.

      This would solve the problem of Wall Street being nothing more than a gambling den, but of course it would never come to pass.

      --
      If you think I voted for Trump because of this post, you're wrong. I voted for Dr. Jill Stein of the Green Party. Again.
    16. Re:Mmhmm by NevarMore · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Your made up and arbitrary rules will clearly solve a problem which you have not adequately described.

    17. Re:Mmhmm by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Apple, in particular, should be paying a boatload of cash out in dividends.

      I assume that you consider their existing dividend stream (latest dividend on May 8 amounting to $2.5B) to be insufficient?

    18. Re:Mmhmm by lgw · · Score: 1

      The solution you pulled out of you ass after thinking about it for 5 minutes is clearly better than what the professional experts believe. Do you have an opinion on Dark Matter too? Or the gold standard perhaps?

      I wish you the joy of making a typo when buying or selling shares in your system. In today's system, people who hold shares for multiple years are the ones who do well long term, gradually harvesting money from the casino gamblers. I like today's system.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    19. Re:Mmhmm by NicBenjamin · · Score: 1

      Think like you're playing a computer game. How would you get around that rule?

      Derivatives are one way. A call option is the right to force some poor schmuck to sell you the stock at a given price. if the stock is $38.50, and a large order comes in momentarily blipping the price up to $38.60, then your option to buy at $38.50 gives you a profit of roughly $0.10. Buy the put option right before the sale goes through, and then sell it mid-blip (we're talking milliseconds before and after), you could make money every day. You make even 0.1% a day, with a couple hundred trading days a year, compounded, and you're making 25-30% profit a year. High frequency trading survives.

      The Financial Transactions tax is a lot better because it's much harder to game, and if doesn't work at least you've paid off part of the deficit.

    20. Re:Mmhmm by I'm+New+Around+Here · · Score: 0

      The reply you pulled out of your ass after 10 seconds of contemplation is clearly better than anything I might say. But then, I'm not one to hope the people ruining the system take all the wealth and then crash what's left. Hope they leave you a few crumbs, since you seem perfectly content with that outcome. Certainly we don't want to do something radical to stop the abuses we read about.

      If people who hold shares for the long term are the winners, it won't matter then if that is mandated, will it? So you're arguing against the rule because...?

      --
      If you think I voted for Trump because of this post, you're wrong. I voted for Dr. Jill Stein of the Green Party. Again.
    21. Re:Mmhmm by GameboyRMH · · Score: 1

      The "professional experts" are a bunch of junkies jonesing like crazy who will do anything for a fix, be it crashing economies, systematically impoverishing populations or overpopulating the planet to destruction rather than accepting the impossibility of infinite growth in a finite world. Their opinions are worth no more than any layman's, at best.

      --
      "When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
    22. Re:Mmhmm by lgw · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Because I understand how markets work. Thin markets suck. Large bid-ask gaps suck. Losing 20% of your investment because you made a typo, and you take a 20% hit just between the best price you can buy for and the best price you can sell for sucks.

      Let the casino gamblers provide liquidity, and rob each other. It doesn't actually cost us anything - in fact, competition between market makers (which is one thing HFT is used for) saves me a non-trivial amount in my once-per-quarter trading. It's much nicer now than even 10 years ago.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    23. Re:Mmhmm by alexander_686 · · Score: 1

      Investment theory has gotten a bit more sophisticated than from Gramm's day. Then factor is poor accounting and stock manipulation by management. Gramm was very conservative.

      One is the recognition that it is not the dividend that is important it is the cash going to a shareholder. For example a stock buyback basically does the same thing as a dividend except that buybacks tend to trigger lower capital gains than dividend income.

      Second one needs to balance the value of a payout (bird in hand) verse reinvestment in business (2 in the bush).

      As for Apple – year – I can't defend their cash pile.

    24. Re:Mmhmm by alexander_686 · · Score: 1

      Financial transaction taxes are not better . They cut into the profits of legitimate market makers and dry up liquidity. Investors get a worse price and more volatility - leaving them worse off.

      HFT are gaming the system because brokers are required to execute on "best price". Go back to "best execution" and you close the loophole that HFT use.

    25. Re:Mmhmm by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I work for one of the bigger public pension funds in the U.S. I interface with our investments group often. I assure you, they are day-trading just like everyone else -- their individual bonuses are tied to their returns, so those returns get chased.

    26. Re:Mmhmm by lgw · · Score: 1

      Most of the money in the market is in the hands of retirement funds and other long-term investors. The gambling-addicted nutjobs provide liquidity while not harming anything but each other. More power to them, says I. Don't confuse the investment banks for the broader investing world, nor the people who actually run the exchanges.

      Plus, what's all that other nonsense you're going on about? Overpopulation? Do people still believe Reverend Malthus? Technology is what lets us have growth in productivity/efficiency with the same resources. There's no reason to think technological progress must someday stop, and as long that progress continues, the broad economy can grow alongside it.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    27. Re:Mmhmm by alexander_686 · · Score: 1

      Me too.

      Most portfolio managers and not paid a bonus based on their returns but are paid on their returns (Alpha) relative to an index (Beta).

      Most pension I know off have large slug of stocks that track the index and don't move – say 80%. Then there is a thinner slice (say 20%) which is actively traded to generate Alpha – sometimes turning over dozens of times a year.

      Or they split the Alpha from the Beta.

      But there is always a large slug of securities that match the index. Outperforming the market is good, underperforming the market is bad, but significantly underperforming the market gets one fired.

    28. Re:Mmhmm by m.dillon · · Score: 1

      Well, you are assuming that the company is valueless when you say that. Most companies are not valueless. Most, in fact, make a profit, and as an investor you own a piece of that profit. The profits are not a phantom... that's cold hard cash and it means something whether the company has a dividend or not. It's very real.

      Many people treat the market like a game, and there are some game-like elements to it, but the underlying reality is that it isn't a game. The secondary markets have many uses... it is the liquidity and transactional efficiency of the secondary market that gives U.S. industry a level of flexibility that no other country can compete with. our energy infrastructure, renewables industries, small businesses. When the world changes, dollars flow where they are needed.

      By dismissing the secondary market you basically dismiss any need for liquidity. You are wrong. The markets aren't about giving people a free pass... it's survival of the fittest. If anything, investors have it the easiest. We can shift our resources literally in a few seconds, and other than the crash of 1929, no crash since has lost investors who stuck with it any money in any reasonable period of time unless they were stupid and sold at the bottom (not understanding what stock ownership actually means).

      Look at a graph of the 2008 crash. The economy might have gotten screwed due to the lack of regulation of the financial industry, but the markets recovered relatively quickly and that happened because the efficiency of the secondary markets allowed investment resources to be shifted very quickly. Just looking at tops and bottoms doesn't give you a full picture... very few investors actually went 'all-in' at the top and sold 'all-out' at the bottom. No matter how hyped-up a story you get from the media, it isn't an accurate representation of what people actually made or lost.

      If you think the stock market is a crap-shoot then you are probably thinking a bit too short-term. It's never been a crap-shoot. Not even during the 1929 crash.

      -Matt

    29. Re:Mmhmm by GameboyRMH · · Score: 1

      Greater efficiency with the same resources to support a bigger population is pointless, it achieves nothing. Here's a good article on the topic:

      http://edition.cnn.com/2014/05...

      --
      "When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
    30. Re:Mmhmm by gadget+junkie · · Score: 1

      Depends on how you define 'most trading'.

      Most of the HFT is set up to make a market. Some large companies even set it up to HFT internally, in dark pools for rather esoteric reasons -some not so honest.

      Amen to that.
      I've been a professional in the market for 25 years. The hypothesis that " [...]those fractions of cents would otherwise most likely be accruing to the big banks instead of these new, smaller HFT firms. As long as people have been trading stocks, there have been middlemen taking a cut; HFTs just mean that the cut is now captured by those with the fastest computers." is true and false. the evolution into "dark pools", "hft" etc. was allowed and encouraged by the authorities, eager to bolster bankprofit and balance sheets.
      Think about this. in olden days, the nyse used specialist firms to trade stocks. they acted as the ultimate middlemen, took in a very good profit, and in return they provided liquidity to stocks, so most of the trading volume was concentrated there. with the passage of time and the evolution of technology, there has been a spawning of trading venues, who DO NOT have the obligation to make their trades public in real time, in any shape or form.
      Go back centuries, and the concept of a single trading venue, in which all trades of a particular goods were done, was strictly enforced. Public official checked scales, and reputation was the most important good traded. that did not mean a profitless economy, but it was more transparent then. Would you really want to trade with a company that originated an IPO, traded it for its own account, acted as prime broker for an ungodly number of hedge funds, many of whom used it both as a depositor and as prime broker, and also managed both hedge funds and mutual funds? this scheme is legal. that the so called "chinese walls" between the various pieces would ever work, it's open to scrutiny.

      --
      "If a boss demands loyalty, give him integrity. But if he demands integrity, give him loyalty." (John Boyd, 1927-1997)
    31. Re:Mmhmm by lgw · · Score: 1

      And do you have a plan to reduce the surplus population? A final solution, perhaps? That opinion piece seems wrong on every point. At some point we'd obviously need more room than this one planet, sure, but that's far beyond the expected peak population as the remaining corners of the world industrialize and the incentive to have lots of kids goes away. At some point the total solar energy falling on the Earth will be inadequate, but that's also just a matter of technology.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    32. Re:Mmhmm by GameboyRMH · · Score: 1

      Furthermore I can't see how the gambling-addicted nutjobs aren't harming us. If the number of dollars in circulation increases, that's inflation. So mathematically, by obtaining dollars, they're either siphoning money from the rest of us with their stupid game or driving inflation while creating no value, devaluing the dollars the rest of us hold - just like making counterfeit notes.

      --
      "When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
    33. Re:Mmhmm by m.dillon · · Score: 1

      Apple has bought back a huge number of shares, as well as increased their dividend 8% this round. The share buy-back is capital-efficient for investors and a big deal. Not only that, but at a minimum they can fold in the dividend they don't have to pay any more for those repurchased shares into the dividend they are paying the remaining shareholders, so you get the best of both worlds.

      Believe me, it actually is a big deal. Ignore the crap that comes out of the media.

      -Matt

    34. Re:Mmhmm by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > they cut into the profits of legitimate market makers

      Name two.

    35. Re:Mmhmm by GameboyRMH · · Score: 1

      Oh har har, nice Godwin. But I do have a solution, it's called responsible reproduction combined with patience. I won't have more than 2 kids so I'm doing my part.

      So why strain our resources to the limit just for the sake of supporting a bigger population? To try to support economic growth a little longer, leading to a nastier population bust? To try to brute-force another Einstein into existence as if some "jackpot" combination of genes is needed, when there are already millions of potential Einsteins around who simply don't have the resources to pursue similar pursuits? For the warm n' fuzzies of not telling anyone to reproduce responsibly while our environment breaks under our strain around us? Without radically different energy sources - which are totally possible right now but not politically likely - the current level of industrialization is already unsustainable.

      If we're not growing the population just for the sake of growing it and we run into any energy limitations in the future, we'll simply have to consider having no-recreational-mech-battles Mondays.

      --
      "When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
    36. Re:Mmhmm by MightyYar · · Score: 2

      I've thought about your "solution" for all of 12 seconds and already I'm buying up stocks on a daily basis so that I can lease shares to people for as long as they would like to hold them.

      Congratulations on creating another, more complicated financial product.

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
    37. Re:Mmhmm by MightyYar · · Score: 1

      Exactly right. Most of the people complaining about HFT are these managers of funds who blame the HF traders for preying upon their huge orders. Because, you know, they have a divine right to buy thousands of shares without affecting the price!

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
    38. Re:Mmhmm by gweihir · · Score: 1

      Yes, it is a kind of lottery, where everybody is allowed to lie, cheat and steal and those with the lowest morals make the most money. Drug trading has a far more ethical business model and also does far less damage.

      --
      Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
    39. Re:Mmhmm by Beck_Neard · · Score: 1

      Everyone knows that it's all just a big game (except the people who are suckered in and lose everything). Wall Street is propped up by a steady flow of investors who don't know any better and are easily parted with their money.

      There are two faces to the financial sector: One is the legitimate 'financial services' part which actually provides value to society by facilitating lending and borrowing money. That's good and necessary. The other face is the one where day traders, hedge funds, "market analysts", and high-frequency trading operate, which is a system that is corrupt to the bone and requires a steady influx of fresh fools to stay alive otherwise it would collapse overnight.

      --
      A fool and his hard drive are soon parted.
    40. Re:Mmhmm by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, you retarded fuckwit. The casino gamblers do not provide liquidity. If the liquidity is a million shares traded a second that's 1000 shares every millisecond and it's the SAME DAMN SHARES. So when Jo Pension Fund tires to sell 10K shares into a liquidity of 1000K shares a second, he sells 1K shares in 1 millisecond and then ... crickets. The HFT algos have moved on to the next sucker.

    41. Re:Mmhmm by Khashishi · · Score: 1

      Of course it harms us. It hurts long term investors by increasing the prices when they want to buy. Some HFTs are winners and losers, but on an aggregate scale they are taking money from long term traders, mutual funds, (ie you, unless you are some kind of mountain hermit).

    42. Re:Mmhmm by DexterIsADog · · Score: 1

      This is a great idea! It reminds me of my idea to save professional sports: you can only play for teams within either a 30 mile radius of where you were born, or the closest team stadium to where you were born, whichever is farthest.

      OR, you can live in a city for 5 years, and then apply.

      The quality of the play might go down a little, but then at least the alcohol-fueled idiots aggressively showing their love for their hometown team will at least be worshipping people from their own hometown, not whiny millionaire mercenaries.

      Take that idea free of charge, I have a million of them - if you provoke me I will tell you about my great idea for limiting the topics on which musicians can sing.

    43. Re:Mmhmm by I'm+New+Around+Here · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Because I understand how markets work. Thin markets suck. Large bid-ask gaps suck. Losing 20% of your investment because you made a typo, and you take a 20% hit just between the best price you can buy for and the best price you can sell for sucks.

      Oh my fucking god. You're seriously saying that the system I described in a couple lines couldn't possibly have a fail-safe mechanism for people who make a typo and purchase the wrong stock. Open your mind a little more.

      I don't care if you hate my plan, and you certainly have more experience in the market itself. But don't bring up issues like "typos" if you expect to be taken seriously.

      Let the casino gamblers provide liquidity, and rob each other. It doesn't actually cost us anything - in fact, competition between market makers (which is one thing HFT is used for) saves me a non-trivial amount in my once-per-quarter trading. It's much nicer now than even 10 years ago.

      This is actually a good argument. Lead with this in future discussions with others, and forget about frickin typos.

      I don't have an investment portfolio. The 401k I had at one time got cashed out a while ago. So, are the HFTs saving me money, or making my expenses go up? If they aren't saving me money, and are contributing to higher prices, I have the right to say put a limit on them. Or, if I don't have the right to limit them, what is the SEC for?

      Anyhow, thanks for the responses.

      --
      If you think I voted for Trump because of this post, you're wrong. I voted for Dr. Jill Stein of the Green Party. Again.
    44. Re:Mmhmm by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The secondary stock market in particular (where stocks are not directly funding a company but rather being sold amongst other investors), particularly those that don’t pay dividends, all seems like a big game to me,

      But how much less investment money do you think there would be if every investor knew that he/she would have to ride their investment all the way to zero if the business didn't succeed? Without a secondary market to unload your under-performing stocks, that's exactly what would happen.

    45. Re:Mmhmm by Marxist+Hacker+42 · · Score: 1

      Been that way since the 1890s, and the invention of the stock ticker. Computers may be faster, but it has been a VERY long time since the stock market was connected to reality.

      --
      SJW: a person who perceives an injustice, and while correcting it, commits a greater injustice.
    46. Re:Mmhmm by Marxist+Hacker+42 · · Score: 1

      "Experts"="Con artists with a vested interest in taking money from schmucks" in this case.

      --
      SJW: a person who perceives an injustice, and while correcting it, commits a greater injustice.
    47. Re:Mmhmm by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I can't agree with the 1 year minimum rule. Investors need the ability to pull out their money at any time. Instead what we need is a way to dis-incentivize the short term investments. We already have a system sort of in place. Investments held for more than 1 year receive a lower tax rate. However, we need to take that further. It needs to be a sliding scale, and go all the way up to 100%. If you hold less than a day, then you can still cash out but you lose 100% of your gains. Hold it for a week and you only lose 80%. A month and you lose 60%, etc. I don't know what the exact cutoffs should be, or if it should be a continuous scale instead (linear, quadratic, exponential...I don't know), but I think that should be the general idea. Take the current system to a more logical conclusion.

    48. Re:Mmhmm by pla · · Score: 2

      Those are the OTC and pink markets.

      "Secondary markets" and "OTC" don't mean what you think they mean - Specifically, "OTC" doesn't mean "Pink Sheets". I suspect you've confused OTC for OTCBB. Both the NASDAQ and the NYSE count as secondary markets, and everything on the NASDAQ also counts as OTC, which really just means a "dealer" marker (which in turn has nothing to do with "dealers" as you might understand it, it just means direct sales between buyers and sellers, rather than an agent-mediated auction style market like the NYSE).

      That said, I would have to say that the markets as a whole have become about as stable as the classic "pink sheets" markets. Prices have completely decoupled from reality, when a car bomb in Kabul can send the entire market down by over a percent, or an unusually clear message from Janet Y can send it on a three day rally. Companies don't make and lose (as an aggregate) hundreds of billions of dollars over the course of an hour, no matter what the markets say.

      As for TFA's comment about dividend stocks... Yeah, they count as a pretty decent safe-haven in a bear market; but overall, they have a piss-poor return - Three to four percent sustained, at best. Beats (core) inflation, but not by much... Certainly not enough to retire on unless you literally sock away half of your paycheck for the next 40 years.

      We appear unwaveringly headed for a securities market implosion, and not merely of the recession/depression kind, but something much, much worse.

    49. Re:Mmhmm by Anne+Thwacks · · Score: 1
      HFT can be stopped by stamp duty - a very small tax on each trade. Essentially, it means the trade has to have economic significance before it is worthwhile.

      The UK had this until Tony Bliar stopped it - so his banking mates could stiff us all.

      The EU tried to bring it in Europe wide - but the banks threatened to use the UK and America instead and drive Europe under in retaliation. The maths says this is possible, so they backed down.

      In short, bribery and corruption wins again.

      --
      Sent from my ASR33 using ASCII
    50. Re:Mmhmm by Anne+Thwacks · · Score: 1
      The gambling-addicted nutjobs work for retirement funds and other long-term investors.

      and are allowed to get away with anything provided the outcome is priofitable for their bosses. When it turns sour, they are accused of being rogue traders (especially if from an ethnic minority).

      There's no reason to think technological progress must someday stop,

      Unfortunately, there is also no reason to suppose that the ease of a plague spreading will not also increase, or that the food and water supply and ability to distribute it will,

      If you stop believing the media and go and look for yourself, you will find food shortage was behind most wars (including WW1 and WW2).

      --
      Sent from my ASR33 using ASCII
    51. Re:Mmhmm by TheRaven64 · · Score: 1

      So when the 'gambling addicted nutjobs' take their commission on every trade, that doesn't harm anyone by increasing costs for investors? When they cause a flash crash, that doesn't harm anyone by making it harder for companies to raise capital? When they lose all of their money, cry that it was an algorithmic error, and get the exchange to reverse the transactions so that they can keep gambling but other people take the risks, they don't harm anyone? Good to know, thanks for clearing that up.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    52. Re:Mmhmm by Alioth · · Score: 1

      No, technology won't fix the infinite growth problem. Even if we were to have vast amounts of cheap fusion power, the waste heat alone would start to cause a problem. If current growth rates continued indefinitely then the waste heat would raise temperatures enough to boil the ocean within about 300 years.

    53. Re:Mmhmm by peragrin · · Score: 3, Insightful

      it is costing us tons. it is preventing economic recovery right now.

      Businesses are dumping money into the stock market as it is growing by 20-30% annually while the "real economy" is stuck making 1%.

      If those businesses were forced to invest in new products and growth instead of in the fake stock market we could get out of this mess easier.

      the majority of companies are sitting on trillions of dollars worth of cash. it is just sitting there collecting dust. why aren't they investing it in the future of their company?

      --
      i thought once I was found, but it was only a dream.
    54. Re:Mmhmm by Alioth · · Score: 1

      Are they increasing prices though? Everything I've seen indicates HFT *decreases* the spread between buy and ask prices, in other words, HFT is reducing the costs to long term investors.

    55. Re:Mmhmm by pnutjam · · Score: 1

      DING, DING, DING, we have a winner. Someone is paying attention.

      Just because the hyper rich are playing with their own turds, doesn't mean they aren't costing us.

    56. Re:Mmhmm by pnutjam · · Score: 1

      This is a classic mistake made by many intelligent people. If your town/state/country is bursting at the seams and unable to provide sufficient food/water/shelter, then your too many people theory makes sense for you. If not, you are doing a disservice to yourself and future generations by limiting your offspring. Why should the values of the Duggers, India, or China have greater future weight then your values?

    57. Re:Mmhmm by neurovish · · Score: 1

      As for TFA's comment about dividend stocks... Yeah, they count as a pretty decent safe-haven in a bear market; but overall, they have a piss-poor return - Three to four percent sustained, at best. Beats (core) inflation, but not by much... Certainly not enough to retire on unless you literally sock away half of your paycheck for the next 40 years.

      We appear unwaveringly headed for a securities market implosion, and not merely of the recession/depression kind, but something much, much worse.

      3-4% with another 3-4% on top in dividends is in-line with the historic market gains. There's math involved, but how does that compound when the capital gains are recycled back into buying more of the same stock? No, I didn't read much of the article, so I don't know what it said about dividend paying stocks.

    58. Re:Mmhmm by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The size of any of the proposed transaction taxes' 'cut' is miniscule so they would affect profits of legitimate market makers hardly at all because they don't churn the market. Nor would such small taxes dry up liquidity - claiming that everyone will get out of trading due to a small tax is ludicrous, their game is still lucrative.
      The HFT guys will get hit hard because miniscule is the same size as the piece of the action they are sucking out the system a bajjillion times a day.

    59. Re:Mmhmm by I'm+New+Around+Here · · Score: 1

      You must have missed the part about not being able to use those shares for other activities. It would include plans like yours, and be enforced the same way the SEC handles other rules violations.

      After you own the stock for a year, you can lease it to others. But if they have the ability to sell some of your shares in Company X, you cannot buy more shares of Company X for a year. Lease as many out as you wish.

      --
      If you think I voted for Trump because of this post, you're wrong. I voted for Dr. Jill Stein of the Green Party. Again.
    60. Re:Mmhmm by david_thornley · · Score: 2

      The most effective solution to overpopulation seems to be raising the standard and security of living. The developed world has basically no population growth. As other places get economically developed, their population stops growing. Make people economically secure, arrange things so almost all babies have long lives, provide methods of having sex that don't lead to reproduction, and watch population growth stop. Technological advancement makes it possible to do this with more and more populations.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    61. Re:Mmhmm by I'm+New+Around+Here · · Score: 1

      I can't agree with the 1 year minimum rule. Investors need the ability to pull out their money at any time.

      If the investors aren't willing to keep their money with a company for a year, then they aren't really investing in that company. They are gamblers, using that company's stock price.

      --
      If you think I voted for Trump because of this post, you're wrong. I voted for Dr. Jill Stein of the Green Party. Again.
    62. Re:Mmhmm by lgw · · Score: 1

      Wait, are they dumping it in the stock market, or is it sitting there collecting dust?

      The stock market is behaving normally for the flip from pessimism to optimism. That flip is a prerequisite for companies shifting from fearful (not willing to hire more people they think they'd just have to lay off again in a few months) to greedy (we better hire now or will miss out on all that growth).

      It's the same pattern you see every 15 years or so, just the business cycle as usual. The employment picture sucked far worse than is has in nearly 100 years this time around (thanks, bailouts!), so there's a long climb ahead, but we're climbing.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    63. Re:Mmhmm by lgw · · Score: 1

      Oh, sure, that's would be a real problem without further technological progress, there's no doubt about that. Up to the point power generation is small compared to Solar influx, it doesn't matter. Beyond that, why generate the power on Earth? Why use it on Earth? Why have any groundside heavy industry at all? Given enough progress, there's no point in allowing any sort of industrial blight anywhere on-planet.

      Sure, that's centuries away, but so is the need.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    64. Re:Mmhmm by lgw · · Score: 1

      If you're holding a significant amount of dollars, you're doing it wrong. Dollars aren't supposed to retain value, they're supposed to be an intermediary for trade. Invest, my Slashdot freak, whether index fund or rental property or whatever real financial advice you can get, but invest.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    65. Re:Mmhmm by GameboyRMH · · Score: 1

      Sorry that sounds too much like the reasoning behind the fundamentalist Christian quiverfull movement:

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

      Playing population-chicken isn't worth it.

      --
      "When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
    66. Re:Mmhmm by lgw · · Score: 1

      I don't know of any "rogue traders" that were working for retirement funds (admittedly, I could have missed one). You do understand the difference between investment banking and honest finance, right?

      As for plague and starvation, history is on my side. 1000 years of solid progress in both respects.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    67. Re:Mmhmm by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      HFT traders ignore low-liquidity securites.

    68. Re:Mmhmm by MightyYar · · Score: 1

      You must have missed the part about not being able to use those shares for other activities

      I don't think you've thought this through. Who in the world would invest in US companies if their capital was tied up like this? Even real estate is more liquid.

      And you've vastly expanded government regulation by restricting contracts between private individuals. If I'm understanding you correctly, you'd eliminate options. Options are critical for mitigating risk. For an obvious example, try to imagine a farmer planning his crop without someone on the hook to purchase said crop. Imagine a trucking company trying to put a fuel budget together without the ability to lock-in a price for diesel. Now I realize that those are options on commodities and you are talking about equities, but the effect is similar.

      Are you talking about regulating private companies or only those traded on the exchanges? I'm pretty sure all you would do is drive trading to the private side, which would be terrible for the little guy. I would have almost no way to buy into the capital markets. Transparency would suck, too, since private companies don't report. Would you want your retirement dollars invested in a company that doesn't need to report to the SEC?

      And all of this to prevent HF traders from taking advantage of gigantic trades? I'm sorry but that is (a) not really a big problem and (b) a ridiculously disproportionate response.

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
    69. Re:Mmhmm by pla · · Score: 1

      I didn't read much of the article, so I don't know what it said about dividend paying stocks.

      Actually, it says nothing about dividends... The GGP post mentioned them, but not the way I meant. I must have clicked through to another article off TFA and conflated the two into one source, mea culpa. :I

    70. Re:Mmhmm by alexander_686 · · Score: 1

      Errr.. The whole point of market makers is to churn their account. Buy when the prices are low, sell when high, keep the inventory low to reduce risks. Market makes make their money from the spread in bid / ask prices. Today those spreads are less than a fraction of a penny. Even a small tax would force these spreads to widen.

      As for being too small, I will point to France. When they introduced their "small" Tobin tax liquidity went down and volatility went up in a measurable amount.

      If there is a problem fix the problem. The issue is that HFT are front running trades. Imposing a tax is not going to prevent front running.

    71. Re:Mmhmm by dffuller · · Score: 1

      by volume about half the trading is done by the large long term funds or corporations buying their own stock. the other half by hedge funds.

      Simply false. If half of trading was done by large long term funds or was for buybacks, we would see two things: 1) tremendous turnover in ownership of stocks on an annual basis and 2) disappearing of stocks from the market because they were all brought back into the companies' holdings. Neither of these are true, so something else must be true.

    72. Re:Mmhmm by Sciath · · Score: 1

      Technology MAY delay the inevitable but it can't prevent it. It is a fact that natural resources are limited if for no other reason other than the size of the Earth is limited. Also, it is debatable whether or not "productivity/efficiency", all things considered including "externalities" such as water, air pollution and other natural resource loss such as oxygen producing plant life, actually continues to grow with the broad economy. There is a well known law of "diminishing returns" in both economics and physics. Each time you "reuse" a resource you loose some of its original advantage. At some point your processes begin to become less and less efficient to the point they are no longer sensible to use at all. At least without the influx of "new" resources. And since various nations gave up on manned exploration of the solar system thirty years ago thanks to Reaganomics and his "war machine" plot, there are no new resources to develop off planet. China and Russia may allude to the idea of national efforts to explore off-world, the fact of the matter is no one country has all the resources necessary to actually develop such programs independently. And it's not very realistic to expect continued international cooperation given the antagonistic state of world relations. Thus, diminishing returns are inevitable, even considering technology. As they say in the capital markets, "past performance does not reflect future returns."

      --
      "Those who can make you believe absurdities can make you commit atrocities." - Voltaire
    73. Re:Mmhmm by Sciath · · Score: 1

      Not very likely at all. In addition to the challenge of a more equitable system of production and distribution there are almost insurmountable social constraints. The is the problem of educating/training the world's population. Don't see that happening given the culture of greed running rampant because the nature of such investments almost certainly require a more egalitarian world willing to make sacrifices for others. Secondly, many social and cultural ideologies will not give up their authoritarian powers to enable women (for example) access to education, elevated social standing, freedom to pursue careers, etc. Third, (and this is probably the worst problem of all) the various paternalistic world religions which through their teachings limit pregnancy prevention programs and methods. The leaders and adherents of all the various Abrahamic religions (in particular) are very misogynistic, anti-freedom of choice and fear mongering (with excommunication, physical punishments, etc.) that prevent rational population control programs. Those religions promote pro-life moral worldviews for no other purpose other than to purposely GROW the world population. For what purpose? Perpetuation of their beliefs, myths and power. The more people there are the more potential converts. That's it in a nutshell. The grand perpetuation scheme done at almost any cost. So long as the population is growing they're content. Until such time as most of the world becomes atheist and rational thinkers that's simply never going to change.

      --
      "Those who can make you believe absurdities can make you commit atrocities." - Voltaire
    74. Re:Mmhmm by Sciath · · Score: 1

      Gambling is how the "markets" began in the first place. Even just 50 years ago a majority of investors (in stocks for example) were the wealthy, those who had the extra cash laying around and were willing to risk some of it for (even) a quick return (whatever a specific situation was defined as a quick return). It wasn't until the 1980s that the markets saw the potential for huge profits (for themselves) in transaction and administrative costs that they sold the idea of "retirement investments" to the average person and smaller companies. Then everyone jumped on the bandwagon in hopes of decent returns, even potentially millions in retirement accounts (no promises of course), driving up everyone's expectations. Thus the modern markets were created. But just like smoking, it's hard to quit being a profit junkie. Everyone jumps aboard in hopes of making a killing; being a "millionaire" come retirement. Very few have even come close to that goal but in the meantime money managers have got filthy rich. It's really a kind of scheme. They knew from the getgo that the wealthy were going to be the biggest beneficiaries.

      --
      "Those who can make you believe absurdities can make you commit atrocities." - Voltaire
    75. Re:Mmhmm by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We are reaching a point in fact where most trading is not done by investors but rather these HFT/Quant traders that don't care anything about the underlying company. I have not yet read this book but it is now on my list to read. These funds pose a threat to the markets in that you have hundreds now if not thousands of algorithms running with different criteria all trying to game the system. They try to get their order systems between the true investors and the pubic markets. Then they can see your orders and the market. They use this information to trade ahead and skim sometimes fractions of a penny in a trade. It's front running and as is pointed out it doesn't add any value. Further it deconstructs and perverts the very logic behind investing to begin with.

    76. Re:Mmhmm by NicBenjamin · · Score: 1

      If that was true, why aren't the banks pushing "best execution" now?

      The left, including most young people, are convinced that the way to solve this problem is an HFT tax. This will hit the banks. As time goes on (read: old people who vote for conservative Republicans die), the transaction tax becomes more and more inevitable. Particularly since it has been tried in France, and while it severely annoyed finance geeks nobody else seems to have noticed.

      There are basically two explanations for this behavior:

      1) For complex technical reasons "Best Execution" won't actually work, which people will know if we implement it now, and it fails. Then the 2020 financial transactions tax becomes fucking inevitable. But if they don't push it now it won;t be proven a failure until 2025 or so.

      2) Banks are too dumb to understand politics.

    77. Re:Mmhmm by NicBenjamin · · Score: 1

      Here's your problem with that argument:
      As someone who has a physical job that involves very little direct interaction with the finance system I don't give a shit about measures such as "liquidity" and "volatility" unless they travel into other sectors of the economy. That hasn't happened in France. Companies have a little more trouble accessing capital, but it's not like Airbus is gonna go bust because they have to wait a day for something they used to be able to do in microseconds.

      Moreover the government's gotten a new source of revenue, and the finance geeks have whined to high heaven. I really can't see a downside here.

    78. Re:Mmhmm by Khashishi · · Score: 1

      Decreasing the spread does not reduce the cost to long term investors on average. It perhaps reduces the costs to less savvy investors and increases costs to more savvy investors. But the aggregate effect is to increase the cost on average.

    79. Re:Mmhmm by Optali · · Score: 1
      "Retirement funds" nice. I put these on my list of mythological creatures to look up in parthenon.org

      A retirement fund sounds like something pretty amazing but in reality it's nothing more than any other of these fantasies of capitalism.

      It is supposed to provide cash for the future... while in reality we are seeing that many have actually become de-funded what in fact means that they are _costing_ us money. Specially in countries like mine where we are forced the darn funds down the throat like it or not with the sole reason that in the 1980s it sounded so much more cool and smart "Hey, we are modern, we have a mullet, shoulder pads and retirement funds, mate are we smart!!!"

      Thus, nothing but another useless chimera.

      Had the government taken my money instead and used it to fund the pension system there would have been no difference, but at least I wouldn't have had to swallow all the religious bullshit from the suites. And maybe, just maybe I would be better off.

      And sorry, I do still believe in Malthus, at least until we can build technology and goods out of pure photons... or finally decide to cut the crap and take space more seriously. But for that we need to stop thinking in the quarterly results that the makes the butts of the suits water.

      --
      -- 29A the number of the Beast
    80. Re:Mmhmm by Optali · · Score: 1
      Very nice said.

      Sorry to sour your fairytale.

      The resource that is even now the scarcest is agricultural fertile soil. We may already have reached the peak here and the problem is not that we use every time more, the real problem is that there is every time less, through erosion.

      And erosion works very very fast, you have had a few extreme examples in the USA and in the European Community countries likes Spain can tell how the fertile soil of the south west dissapeared. I have myself seen how a plot used to grow grow cotton that was at level with a road went to be 2-3m below the road in less than 3 years.

      And this is happening every day at a massive scale in all the countries of arid zones the world were industrial agriculture is being applied.

      Water wells for Africa? they have proven to just do worse: People that were nomadic settled, exploiting the soil even more intensely and the wells themselves proved to be a real nightmare: at the same time that drinkable water is pumped to the surface salty water is taking it's place. Not always from the oceans but many times the salts come from the fertilisers used on the crops.

      Would you tell me what type of industrialisation you would expect from people living at the edge of starvation?

      Add to the picture the increasing use of soil for biofuels and the even worse practice of using this soil to grow crops to feed livestock which is inefficient in a ration of 3/1 (in soil alone and 10/1 in water), meaning that we need 3 times as many resources to grow 1 calorie of beef than 1 calorie of vegetables/

      And I am quite sorry again, but before you can even thing on industrializing anything you need to feed the potential workers

      GMO have already proven worth nothing, else we would be seeing green deserts by now, and they aren't only as dry as ever, they are even bigger.

      Maybe this Final Solution will come all by itself, just look at the streams of immigrants that are pressing northwards to the USA and Europe.

      There will be (are already are) more and more tension, more and more Boko Haram, Al Qaida, Syria, Chad...

      A nuke, a designer organism in hands of any nutjob, from Christian anti-evolutionists, UFO nuts, Islamists, extreme animal rights activists or anti-humanist nihilists (remember 12 Monkeys?). It doesn't take too much, even a simple accident: remember that we still have nukes enough to eradicate all live on earth 100 times. And what about "mother" Nature herself?

      In Ecology soil, water and minerals (and energy) are called "limiting factors". You True Believers are always talking about how the Market behaves like an ecosystem or an organism... but very few have ever bothered to really understand this analogy in all it's implications but just cherrypicking the aspects of ecology and biology that fit your needs while you fail to understand a basic fact: That ecology is nothing more and nothing less than information science applied to living systems and that it's basic premises are no more and no less than applying the principles of thermodynamics to ecosystems; it's just data at the end of the day and it can really be extrapolated to almost anything, specially economy.

      And you don't need to be very bright to infer that economy can not just ignore it's basic limiting factors which are very much the same as in ecology: Soil to grow food to nourish the masses, feed the workers and produce goods for he consumers, energy to keep everything rolling including the very computers that the financial system is based upon, and minerals to makes stuff from that can be sold...

      Can you see Malthus dead hand waving now?

      --
      -- 29A the number of the Beast
    81. Re:Mmhmm by Optali · · Score: 1
      • A) Why do you know what values the individuals in China or India will have in the future?
      • B) Why are your values more important?
      • C) In which way is it a service to non-existing future generations to have more offspring?
      • D) In which way is it a service to potential future generation to have to split food, water and goods among many instead of a few?
      • E) In which way does the fact of providing a service/diservice to a non-existing future population provide an advantage to you in the present?
      • Thanks

      --
      -- 29A the number of the Beast
    82. Re:Mmhmm by Optali · · Score: 1
      That's not correct. You forget immigration in your equations.

      The indigenous populations of the Western countries are decreasing, but the countries are still seeing a constant net growth.

      And the impact of each individual in the developed countries is increasing constantly so that it doesn't really matters: One fat couch dweller family whit their cars, their 4K TVs on every room including the WC (no joking), the ma who takes the kids to school in her SUV to later go shopping just out of pure bordom, their Big Macs and their holidays by plane (not forgetting the baby and his/her diaper made of virgin forest trees) have a higher impact than 10 or more families in the 3rd world and this is increasing year by year.

      --
      -- 29A the number of the Beast
    83. Re:Mmhmm by Optali · · Score: 1
      Nice, But first you need to lift it there. I haven't done the math but to get all the industry up there it will take a lot of time and a lot if resources that we don't have.

      But more importantly, it would take that people stop thinking in immediate benefits and this means just bluntly to device a new system different from capitalism.

      I did know some math about taking excess population to space, I can't recall the exact numbers but it was a lot.

      And unless there is a way to take massive amounts of people or industry out to space whith a low impact on he environment and energy need we may be facing the fact that we would need more time and more resources that what we have.

      Of course, industry doesn't need to be "lifted" to space, it could be just build there and _substitute_ the one on earth... but the main problem would continue being the people on earth and the scale of time involved in developing space to provide the energy and goods to be consumed on earth.

      In theory this would work, we could have an infinite capitalist utopia in from of us, but the only thing stopping us from realising it is capitalism itself.

      --
      -- 29A the number of the Beast
    84. Re:Mmhmm by Optali · · Score: 1
      For what purpose?

      Do you recall that interest rates have fallen lately?

      Nope?

      And what good is "investing" to somebody with a normal salary? I would need years to be able to buy something with the interests of the invested money.

      And for what reason would I want to retire a bunch of cash and put it somewhere out of my reach just to earn a few extra Euro? It makes no sense.

      Taking risks to get a high interest? Iceland, there you have it. There are still a good bunch of people who lost money and we all had to pay for them. Nice thing investing, I love it. We are all capitalists and libertarian individualists, we all love Ian Rand, until the hedge fund goes to hell and the bank we had our money goes bankrupt, and then we are suddenly all wining and complaining that Papa Government ha to do something, we are all ho, so poor victims "Give us our money, daddy"

      and the same goes for people taking mortgages

      We are still paying for the bank bailouts

      But of course, the Bible-Quran says "Invest ye faithful for you will get eternal bliss and be seen as smart and awesome!"

      Sorry, but I am an atheist.

      --
      -- 29A the number of the Beast
    85. Re:Mmhmm by Optali · · Score: 1

      Sure? Have you ever heard about the Black Plague? No? Well, never mind.

      --
      -- 29A the number of the Beast
    86. Re:Mmhmm by lgw · · Score: 1

      Nice, But first you need to lift it there. I haven't done the math but to get all the industry up there it will take a lot of time and a lot if resources that we don't have.

      You don't lift all the industry up there - you build it there.

      Of course, industry doesn't need to be "lifted" to space, it could be just build there and _substitute_ the one on earth... but the main problem would continue being the people on earth and the scale of time involved in developing space to provide the energy and goods to be consumed on earth.

      Yeah, like that - all the power and raw materials you could every need are up there already, and not all that hard to reach even by modern technology. I expect to see early attempts at asteroid mining (but for fuel, not metal) and orbiting solar power stations in my lifetime.

      It will take a couple centuries, I'm sure, but what's the rush?

      But more importantly, it would take that people stop thinking in immediate benefits and this means just bluntly to device a new system different from capitalism.

      Well, a new kind of capitalism. There's nothing incompatible between capitalism and long-term vision for immense profits, it's the patience we lack today. But cultural advancement to enable large projects is part of technological advancement.

      And unless there is a way to take massive amounts of people or industry out to space whith a low impact on he environment and energy need we may be facing the fact that we would need more time and more resources that what we have.

      That is just silly scaremongering. There's a lot of available solar power just in accessible land areas - enough for 11-12 billion to consume the power the average American does today, without shading so much land as to become an environmental catastrophe of its own.

      but the only thing stopping us from realising it is capitalism itself.

      There's nothing about short-term thinking that's special to capitalism. Governments and cultures seem to go through cycles from lots of optimism and long-term visions down slowly to "someone else work and give me all the things today!" and then collapse. Western culture is near the nadir of that cycle, and I'm sure it will get worse before it gets better (junkies always need to hit bottom), but don't panic over extending some portion of a cycle indefinitely.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    87. Re:Mmhmm by lgw · · Score: 1

      I would need years to be able to buy something with the interests of the invested money.

      And you could have ice cream today! All the ice cream you want! Adulthood means thinking about the future, not just today. It's taking me 15 years of living off half my take-home to get to where I could retire if I wanted to, and it will take 5-10 more to retire in comfort (depending on how much comfort I want to seek). But it works, and it's not rocket science, it's just making wealth a priority in your life.

      Not willing to make it a priority? Then you have no just complain about not getting the reward.

      But don't look for "interest rates", look for ownership of the means of production - common stock index funds, or commercial real estate, or, heck, get real financial advice from a professional and not some internet stranger. But don't claim there's no path to get to wealth - it's not a clear, well-trodden path, to be sure, nor it it always easy going, but there is a path.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    88. Re:Mmhmm by lgw · · Score: 1

      The Black Plague was the worst of an amazing catalog of plagues that were common early in the last millennium. Chart the problem over time. Before the vaccine deniers started their BS, it was constant and steady progress towards elimination of death by infectious disease.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    89. Re:Mmhmm by lgw · · Score: 1

      The last thing you'd ever want is a defined-benefit retirement fund that puts you at someone else mercy. Fuck that noise. Invest - own the means of production yourownself. Avoid the scam artists and have patience, and that story has a happy ending.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    90. Re:Mmhmm by alexander_686 · · Score: 1

      I don't give a shit about measures such as "liquidity" and "volatility"

      You should. I assume that you have some type of retirement fund invested (directly or indirectly) in the stock market.
      "Liquidity" and "volatility" are measurements of inefficiencies. The higher they are, the more inefficient the stock market is. That is, returns that should be going to you are going to bankers instead.

      but it's not like Airbus is gonna go bust

      Well, no – but that is not a reason why we should be giving money to bankers. And Airbus is kind of off point. Trading in Airbus has shifted away from Paris to London and Germany after France implemented their tax. Start ups are also moving that way.

      Moreover the government's gotten a new source of revenue,

      You want to increase the complexity of the tax system by creating taxes that are hard to enforce (See trading in Airbus moving to London), does not fix the problem it is supposed to, and makes the average person worse off. No – you have it backwards. If we want to raise taxes we should raise taxes the most efficiently way possible not because something is laying around untaxed.

    91. Re:Mmhmm by alexander_686 · · Score: 1

      If that was true, why aren't the banks pushing "best execution" now?

      They can't because the SEC changed the rules 10 years ago requiring changing the standard that brokers must use from execution to price. FYI “best price” is technically harder to do than “best execution”. Best prices involves lots of complex business rules, execution is subjective.

      You then launch into a argument that transactions taxes are inevitable because they are popular. Yes, it is popular to vilify fat cats and purpose cheap populist solutions. However popular does not mean good or effective. The problem is that the tax won't fix the problem. You are confusing how HFT work (going very fast) with what they do (front running). You might cut into HFT profits but you are not fixing the issue. Better to fix the root cause.

      You then ask why banks are not being more politically astute. Well, both banks and HFT have gobs of money, if the banks win the HFT lose their jobs so the HFT are going to defend their turf to the last breath, and complex technically issues don't change rapidly.

      But that does not mean banks are sitting on their hands.
      See IEX. http://www.iextrading.com/abou...
      They have built in a 350 millisecond delay and have been going like gangbusters.

    92. Re:Mmhmm by NicBenjamin · · Score: 1

      So the SEC are infallible gods, whose decisions cannot be appealed and never change their minds? They're a Federal Agency.

      The President, VP, any 50 Senators, and any 218 Congressman could overturn any regulation tomorrow. And if the banks issued a press release saying "we want this looked at", at least 40 Senators and 200 Congressman would sign on. None of them would have any clue what they were signing onto, but they'd so it because it was the bank's idea. Then Elizabeth Warren would announce "it'll probably help," and that would get it over the hump.

      Either the banks know it won't work, or they're benefiting from front-loading. Either way they're betting Republicans continue to dominate the House, and protect them from the transactions tax.

      That just won't work in the long-term.

    93. Re:Mmhmm by NicBenjamin · · Score: 1

      I don't give a shit about measures such as "liquidity" and "volatility"

      You should. I assume that you have some type of retirement fund invested (directly or indirectly) in the stock market.
      "Liquidity" and "volatility" are measurements of inefficiencies. The higher they are, the more inefficient the stock market is. That is, returns that should be going to you are going to bankers instead.

      A retirement account. That sounds like something I thought I'd have back in the days when I still had hope.

      I work retail. The last time I spent a day a week looking for non-retail gigs on the internet my landlord/father vetoed it because I was "just wasting my time." He was right. They're turning away 22-year-olds. Nobody's gonna give a 34-year-old with no experience in a full-time job that requires a degree an entry-level position that requires a degree.

      If the unions get their $15 an hour minimum wage I may re-enter the market with a 401k. Until then a savings account makes way more sense, because sometimes a bill NEEDS to be paid, and retirement money don't pay bills.

      but it's not like Airbus is gonna go bust

      Well, no – but that is not a reason why we should be giving money to bankers. And Airbus is kind of off point. Trading in Airbus has shifted away from Paris to London and Germany after France implemented their tax. Start ups are also moving that way.

      Moreover the government's gotten a new source of revenue,

      You want to increase the complexity of the tax system by creating taxes that are hard to enforce (See trading in Airbus moving to London), does not fix the problem it is supposed to, and makes the average person worse off. No – you have it backwards. If we want to raise taxes we should raise taxes the most efficiently way possible not because something is laying around untaxed.

      And where would finance shift to if it didn't have Wall Street? We're not an aging military power that hasn't had real economic clout since Napoleon I pissed it all away on a futile European Empire project.

      We are a huge chunk of the global economy. All the big rich countries are our allies. The little rich countries are easily bullied into complying with US Tax law. The non-Allied states either have very primitive finance systems (Brazil, India, etc.) or they have governments that insist on shooting/jailing a successful financier every few years to keep the rest in line.

      If we pass a tax, and include a credible reason why it's a good idea, as well as sanctions on any state foolish enough to take a significant part of our financial business we'll be fine. NATO and the Asian allies will sign on, and the finance system would rather pay the damn tax then trust Kirchner's Argentina not to confiscate their assets.

    94. Re:Mmhmm by pnutjam · · Score: 1

      Let's turn your questions around and ask why any of those things affect you? My point is to live your life, have as many kids as you want to and don't worry about someone in India filling the planet with their children.

      We all get the same shot, don't sell yourself short because of some imagined future problem.

    95. Re:Mmhmm by pnutjam · · Score: 1

      Actually, your reasoning is more like the quiverfull. You are asking people to make a huge personal sacrifice for some mythical future good.

    96. Re:Mmhmm by Optali · · Score: 1

      In my book, my liberty ends where the liberty of the neighbour starts. Having as many kids as I want means that I definitely will impact the liberty of my neighbour. It will cost him money in taxes in order to pay my daycare allowance and the increase in the social security bill. It will cost him his woods, his clean water and his air if he happens to live somewhere in Indonesia in terms of trees cut down for paper used to make diapers. It will cost him his soil and his health if he happens to live in South America or Africa in the form of soy plantations used to feed the livestock used to feed my children (of course, my children can't eat rice, can they? they have to have canned babyfood and later in their lives Big Macs and KFC Nuggets). So that I don't think that my neighbour be he Dutch or from any other place in the world woil;d be very happy with me having as many children as I would like... (well, as a matter of fact he would be extremely happy because I don't have any)

      --
      -- 29A the number of the Beast
    97. Re:Mmhmm by pnutjam · · Score: 1

      Seem short sighed, as a I mentioned above.

    98. Re:Mmhmm by alexander_686 · · Score: 1

      I want to counter your last e-mail with advice and saying one should have a optimistic outlook but I can't do that without sounding trite.

      I will try to give some practice advice – take a look at a ROTH IRA if "savings account" means "emergency rainy day fund". There are companies (banks and the big online brokers – deals rotate) out there that offer low balance low fee low risk (i.e. short term bond funds) out there. If there is an emergency any money you put in you can withdraw without penalty.

      You say we are not a not a decrepit power.

      Powers become decrepit powers by wasting their energy on pointless battles. Trying to line up everybody is hard - bulling little countries takes more politcal capital than you think. The EU has been spending a lot of energy to get London in line unsuccessfully and I would argue they have more clout with England on this one particular issue. Then you need to figure out what to do with Switzerland, Hong Kong, and Singapore. There small countries have large trading floors and a big incentive to "cheat" and stay out of the system. These will be hard to persuade.

      “The art of taxation consists in so plucking the goose as to obtain the largest possible amount of feathers with the smallest possible amount of hissing” Jean Baptiste Colbert

      So - lots of energy, little gain, and it does not fix the system. The energy and political capital would be better spent fixing "transfer pricing" and other dodges corporations use to get out of paying corporate income tax.

    99. Re:Mmhmm by Optali · · Score: 1
      Why short sighted if I may ask?

      What has your "sight" to do with undermining the liberties of the rest of the people?

      What do you feel so "unshortsighted" about the fact that I have to pay extra taxes for YOUR children to be in daycare?

      And that MY water is crap because YOUR children use diapers made from MY trees?

      Or that MY health insurance bill is higher because of YOUR children making extra use of it?

      That MY grocery lsit becomes more expensive because of YOUR children needing more food?

      And if it were that you are talking about existing children that are right now on the planet... but what you meant is jsut to bring more people to the planet, peolple that do not exist yet and taht nobody has any need for them to be here.

      Are you willing to pay ME all the extra costs of YOU having extra children? Well, in this case I have no problem.

      --
      -- 29A the number of the Beast
    100. Re:Mmhmm by pnutjam · · Score: 1

      Your using my childern's money to get your tax cuts. Your using my children's oil to drive your car and my children's trees to make you papers. I am aghast at all the pollution you are dumping on my children's planet.

      See what I did there...

      I would stack my carbon footprint against yours obviously entitled single life anytime.

    101. Re:Mmhmm by Optali · · Score: 1
      Sorry mate:

      Nobody gets any tax cuts for other people, neither children nor elderly not normal.

      Your "children's" oil is MY oil too.. and I DON'T DRIVE A CAR ;)

      Yur children are dumping their own polution on teir planet and the more children the more pollution... and remmeber: it is MY PLANET too.

      And what you are actually saying is that you are planning on having childnre JUST so that they can suffer from pollution?

      Why?

      I do't have children, I dont' drive cars and I am extremely concious of what I do and what I don't, and yet, I have to pay for other people's vices and stupidity.

      And just for nothing becaue you don't need children for nothing.

      --
      -- 29A the number of the Beast
    102. Re:Mmhmm by pnutjam · · Score: 1

      Sorry about the sad world you live in, you should visit ours sometime.

    103. Re:Mmhmm by Optali · · Score: 1
      The sad world I live in is the same as yours mate.

      What happens is that I was thought arithmetic in basic school.

      So, let me tell you a popular tale from the icy steppes of Flevoland:

      Once upon a time there were two very poor fellows living at the age of a desert (the dreaded Flevoland Badlands, you may have heart about them!). They needed to cross this terrible desert in 10 days and as they were so darn poor the only were able to buy a single piece of bread. This bread would be able to feed the tow of them for eleven days, enough to get them through the desert and with a bit of margin for the worst case.

      They walked for two days under the unmerciful Flevolandian sun and met a beggar who had nothing to eat.

      The poor fellows took pity of the beggar and decided to share their food and fate with him despite the fact that they knew that they would have to fast for the last and hardest part of the way.

      And so they walked for for more days and then, at the seventh day they arrived at a local football club, and they said "You know what? I don't know these guys over there, but for no good reason I'm just going to give them the bread we have left.No idea why, I just kinda fancy it"

      And that's the story. Got the morale?

      No, of course

      I will explain it to you:

      The ones that are stealing the bread of your children is not me, it's THEM. Because if you only have one bread to feed you and have to share it your part will be reduced, and the more sharing the bread the less part they will have.

      If you have no choice but to share with a friend, a needed person or an EXISTING child, you may be honoured by this sacrifice...

      But willingly bring more people to the world that did neither exist before not asked to come is absolutely batshit crazy, its' sadomasochism. Nobody will be happier having less to eat, or do you know a means by which a division can produce a higher result as it's factors?

      I presume that your idea of happily shitting more bald apes into the world is based on a religion's dogmas, right?

      ;) Gotcha mate. Big Dady Pimp in Da Sky is not going to feed you with Abracadabra Sweets.

      --
      -- 29A the number of the Beast
    104. Re:Mmhmm by pnutjam · · Score: 1

      You act like it's a zero sum game. It's not. Life is a competitions with winners and losers.

    105. Re:Mmhmm by NicBenjamin · · Score: 1

      At my tax bracket a Roth would be overkill. A non-retirement account would be fine. I'm not gonna be paying any taxes on it when I withdraw from it when I'm retired (unless my economic situation completely changes), because my main income will be Social Security. Since that is typically $10k-15k, and it's only taxable if your total income is $25k, I'd have to be withdrawing $10k a year to pay any taxes on it. Investment income under $10k would be wiped out by the standard deduction and my exemption. Since I'm likely to live until 85, any tax planning is silly unless I end up with a total of $200k in the account ($10k times 20 years), which would probably require me to put at least $2-3k away a year (I only have 30 or so years left). I made $14k last year. At this income level all the conventional wisdom is pretty much BS for rich people.

      As for the bullying, who said we're bullying the countries directly? Hell, simply require that any transaction involving a US-based corporation gets reported to the IRS if the country itself doesn't have an equivalent transaction tax. Then you levy the transaction tax on the company. Since that's a huge pain in the ass, most countries would simply pass the tax themselves.

      Remember the international outcry when we required so much paperwork for foreign banks with US-account-holders? It mostly resulted in said banks refusing to have US account holders. This would be the same thing, except instead of screwing with our own people, in every country we're allied with, it would only screw with the ones who genuinely prefer not to have a transaction tax.

    106. Re:Mmhmm by Optali · · Score: 1

      Well, I see that you have learned some buzzwords somewhere... but you haven't been able to make any sense of them, did you? Nope, I am not talking about a zero sum game: That's when you have opposing forces that equilibrate each other. I am talking about simple arithmetics: Substraction and division. And about finite resources. I assume that you read this phrase about competition in the "Big Manual of Captain Obvious", right? So putting in terms of your beloved meme: What you propose is that instead of you alone becoming the winner (by not having too many offspring) you want to become a looser yourself and all the ones that come too, because no matter how much you try you will have less to win as there are more competitors for less price... unless you become the Ultimate Winner and just eradicate and utterly exterminate all the competitors, Adolf Hitler style... and I assume that that's not what you had in mind with your "happy reproduce until you drop" thingy, right ? See, there's no way around logic and arithmetic. There is now way that you can make that less become more, not even with the help of the Pink Unicorn in Sky.

      --
      -- 29A the number of the Beast
    107. Re:Mmhmm by pnutjam · · Score: 1

      Not true, nobody knows the future. Overpopulation is self correcting if it comes to that, but educated and content people will have less children, it's been proven. I am asking why the educated and content should have even less then they want, which you are proposing. I am positing that for every childless Einsten, there should be an Eintein's father who has the children they want to have.

      Another genius or great leader can come from anywhere, but there is alot of momentum for creating well educated people in the west. We should not abandon that to make more room for uneducated people.

    108. Re:Mmhmm by Optali · · Score: 1

      That's wishful thinking. Resources do not regenerate. And even if they did if population grows there will be inevitably a moment when the resources to be shared are not enough to maintain this population... and then it will self-correct, you betcha that it will. It has already happened a few times here in Europe. Ever heard about the Black Plague? And talking about the Black Plague: Ever heard how we Europeans managed to overtake the rest of the world and become colonial powers, etc? No. Well, it began with the Plague. Right now we are ripe for another "Self Regulatory Event" and in any case, any normal event, hurricane, earthquake etc, that in the past would have caused a limited impact is getting amplified many times just because there are more people that can be affected by them. On the other hand: Do you know Iceland? No? They got a crisis there, and now they are O again, in only 5 years. Norway? Finland? Sweden? Betting your ass on the eventual emergence of a potential Einstein makes no sense, from the point of view of probabilities even with a low increase in population (even with a decline in population) an Einstein may arise while with an increase in population we can be 100% certain that we will have less resources. Theres' no way around that. Sorry. it's just plain arithmetic.

      --
      -- 29A the number of the Beast
    109. Re:Mmhmm by strikethree · · Score: 1

      the majority of companies are sitting on trillions of dollars worth of cash. it is just sitting there collecting dust. why aren't they investing it in the future of their company?

      The United States government has a vested interested in having corporations (or individuals) sit on large sums of cash. The value of that cash is being sucked out of it every minute of every day. Where does this value go? Yeah...

      Have a nice day :)

      --
      "Someone needs to talk to the tree of liberty about its ghoulish drinking problem." by ohnocitizen
  2. MMORPG by taustin · · Score: 3, Interesting

    So it'll be like any other virtual world computer game (and with its currency being of similar value, which is to say, not all that much).

    1. Re: MMORPG by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Dough.com

    2. Re:MMORPG by NoNonAlphaCharsHere · · Score: 2

      It will enter a world entirely of its own â" a world in which it is fighting to capture value that is completely independent of whether any is created in the first place.

      Like a casino. The currency still has the same value, but the thing being bet on is meaningless and valueless in and of itself.

    3. Re:MMORPG by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Correct, essentially it will become Bitcoin.

    4. Re:MMORPG by ultranova · · Score: 1

      So it'll be like any other virtual world computer game (and with its currency being of similar value, which is to say, not all that much).

      The difference being that the Leeroy Jenkins of the financial world use your life savings as hit points.

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

    5. Re:MMORPG by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      Like a casino. The currency still has the same value, but the thing being bet on is meaningless and valueless in and of itself.

      I've been saying exactly that, right here on Slashdot, for 5 years or more now.

      Surprising how much argument I've gotten about it, too. But here comes an "expert" saying the same thing, 5 years later, and now it's legitimate.

      Not trying to pat myself on the back or anything. I guess what I'm trying to say is that a lot of people are slow on the uptake. Not pointing fingers at anybody in particular.

    6. Re:MMORPG by Neo-Rio-101 · · Score: 2

      It already is.

      The trouble is that you have to know the rules of the game and how it is played. It's this information that is the "keys to the kingdom" so to speak, and if you want to be let in on the rules of the game, you have to pay up to be let in the inner circle.
      The game is hidden in plain sight in the financial charts, but unless you know what you're supposed to be looking for, and when you're supposed to be looking for it - you won't be able to play the game reliably -- and it will drain your money and eat you for breakfast.... sending you back into the workforce.

      Of course, they don't teach it in school! (how else would you train people to be smart enough to do other menial work, and yet dumb enough not to know how they're being screwed over by the system?)

      There are already metatrader 4 expert advisors out there which can bring in a 5% on deposit return per month SO LONG AS you aren't a US citizen.
      Why? Because most of the retail robots are garbage, and the only ones that survive use all manner of hedging strategy --- which is banned in US spot trading retail.
      Just do the math... 5% return on investment per month over a number of years will have you retiring within a decade.

      --
      READY.
      PRINT ""+-0
    7. Re:MMORPG by davester666 · · Score: 1

      Big Finance isn't trying to create value, they are trying to EXTRACT value, to put into their bank accounts. As fast and as much as possible.

      --
      Sleep your way to a whiter smile...date a dentist!
    8. Re:MMORPG by martin-boundary · · Score: 1

      Nope. It will remain a virtual computer game with real consequences. Why? Because people's pensions are kept in the markets. So when someone makes a little profit from the money sloshing around those markets, it's coming out of someone's pension fund, someone who most likely isn't a market participant, just a working stiff who has been convinced that their retirement needs will be funded by gambling.

    9. Re:MMORPG by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      Thing is, if I take $10K into a casino to bet, I'm going to leave with an expected $9.8K or so, and there's no real way to improve that (other than learning how to play blackjack well enough to counter the house cut, and casinos are free to not let me play blackjack). The only money involved here is mine, and the casino is going to want its share. I can invest $10K in the stock market and have an excellent chance of making money, assuming I'm buying reasonably intelligently, since the stock market isn't a zero-sum game. As a very general rule, stock prices go up over time. This obviously doesn't apply year-to-year, and it is possible to lose one's shirt in a bull market, but long-term conservative stock investment will almost always pay off.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    10. Re:MMORPG by bbsalem · · Score: 1

      It is far worse than that and when you consider what is bad about speculation then you have to return to the whole process of assigning value to capital assets. So, if finance is just a game then where smart guys get profits, companies and the whole economy are hurt because something useful does not get done, financial assets have no intrinsic value by themselves. In addition the emphasis on short-term ROI takes away the ability of a company to be managed astutely. It is almost as though to become a public company makes your operation a scam, and the bubble in stock prices shows that. The catch is that like value in social media, stock prices represent a subjective and self-serving process where analysts invent impressions out of thin air that investors mistake for real value.

      I worked for a computer company that is no more. When I joined it the stock price was about $7. It peaked at $127 and by the time it was bought out the stock was worth about $3. I was long gone by then, but I remember that the CEO threatened to buy back the company and make it private late in the game. The thing I was too stupid to realize is that many of the customers in banking and finance probably used the high performing servers for HFT, and to that end speculation driven by this type of finance probably undermined the company. I believe that it was the computer revolution itself that created the monster, greed loves speed, which is why the emphasis on short-term ROI was driven by the speed of transactions.

  3. Happened before, will happen again by Xaedalus · · Score: 2

    Dutch tulip panic in the 1700's... hell, even better example: Neil Stephenson's "System of the World" series, showed what happens when financial systems render themselves obsolete. The world moves on and financiers quickly explore new avenues, leaving the old behind. The section describing Eliza and how she made a living in Amsterdam trading percentages of non-binding stock shares is a great tutorial.

    --
    Here's to hot beer, cold women, and Glaswegian kisses for all.
    1. Re:Happened before, will happen again by Mitreya · · Score: 1

      Dutch tulip panic in the 1700's ... The world moves on and financiers quickly explore new avenues, leaving the old behind

      Ah, but did the people who lost on tulip investment get bailed out back then? Seems like the new way is to save the financial institutions because their collapse would be too damaging to the world.

    2. Re:Happened before, will happen again by taustin · · Score: 1

      For a good account of the Tulip Panic, and other examples of how easily the public at large can be sucked in to stupid financial (and other) fads, try http://www.gutenberg.org/ebooks/24518 by Mackay.

    3. Re:Happened before, will happen again by Richard_at_work · · Score: 1

      Actually, yes to a degree - after the tulip crash, the Dutch government passed legislation changing all Futures contracts created during the height of the tulip mania to Options contracts, basically eliminating the vast majority of the contract holders exposure.

  4. This is news? The stock market is a house of cards by UnknownSoldier · · Score: 4, Insightful

    So companies shuffle stocks back and forth millions of times a day and we wonder NOW what the actual productive value is?? The whole dam stock market is based upon "confidence" aka a house of cards. As I like to say "Main St. built America, Wall St. destroyed it."

    There was a good reason that companies were initially prohibited from owning other companies. Greed knows no limit.

    This topic has been covered before in the documentary "The Corporation"
    http://hellocoolworld.com/file...

    2. Birth
    How the corporation came to be. Originally, corporations were set up to serve the public
    good. Corporation lawyers gained rights through the US Supreme Court using the 14th
      Amendment (set up to protect slaves) that gives them the rights of a person. In the last
    century, the corporation is given more and more rights while people are increasingly
    stripped of theirs.

    3. A Legal "Person"
    Having acquired rights of immortal persons, what kind of person is the corporation? By
    law, the corporation can only consider the interests of their shareholders. It is legally
    bound to put its bottom line before everything else, even the public good

    6. The Pathology of Commerce
    If we look at the corporation as a legal person, it exhibits all the characteristics of a
    psychopath using a personality diagnostic checklist by the World Health Organization.

  5. good luck by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Slashdice beat them with beta.

  6. Maybe there is too much capital? by timeOday · · Score: 0
    Stocks themselves seem increasingly divorced from the purpose of jointly funding an enterprise. I own stock in my 401k. I have no idea who the companies are, I have no voting rights in them, I get no dividend. So what does stock ownership even mean, if it is nothing but the right to sell it on to the next person?

    We are all being goaded into owning stocks by low interest rates and the elimination of pensions. My fear is that mass participation *inevitably* turns the stock market into a shooting gallery for elites who have probably already moved on to something else - whatever it is that hedge funds do. That and fleecing the stock market with these high-frequency scams.

    So many people are assuming returns will be similar to the 20th century, when the global population was exploding, and only elites owned stock for the most part. I have my doubts. But I have few other options.

    1. Re:Maybe there is too much capital? by afidel · · Score: 1

      If you get no dividends it's because you chose (or it was chosen for you by your 401k board) to invest in a low/no yield mutual fund. All 3 of my funds provide some dividend despite being growth oriented (I'm 35 so lower yield/higher risk funds make sense), right now the dividend is plowed right back into additional shares of the funds because taking a disbursement before you reach 62.5 has negative tax consequences, but it's still there in my annual statement and still grows my 401ks total value. I also know the top 20 stocks in each mutual fund (though these are typically only 30-50% of the funds total value).

      --
      There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
    2. Re:Maybe there is too much capital? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      You're probably getting dividends from your 401k stocks, even if they're mutual funds. They just go back into the 401k, so you probably haven't noticed. They show up in statements though.

    3. Re:Maybe there is too much capital? by rk · · Score: 1

      I thought it was 59.5. Did they change that?

    4. Re:Maybe there is too much capital? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The elimination of pensions is part of a long term goal to grow and secure a permanent underclass for a permanent state of inequality. Your children's children at this rate will be little better than slaves.

      See also:
      The destruction of unions
      Regulatory capture
      Vote suppression with the return of jim crowe laws. (Voter ID laws)
      Grown wealth inequality in general

    5. Re:Maybe there is too much capital? by afidel · · Score: 1

      I thought it moved when they moved the SS full retirement age, but I could be wrong. Either way it's a long way off for me and I'm probably not retiring till 72-75 anyways since my life expectancy based on my grandparents is 90-95.

      --
      There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
    6. Re:Maybe there is too much capital? by alexander_686 · · Score: 1

      First, dividend payout has nothing directly to do with the return of a company. If a company makes a profit it can:
              Reinvest the profit into new business
              Company pays out a dividend and you reinvest that dividend back into the company.
              Do a stock buyback / pay down debt
      While it is a bit counterintuitive, if you run though the numbers you will see that all 3 strategies return exactly the same return for the investor. I am making the assumption that the company has adequate projects to invest its profits and that leverage is not an issue.

      Second, while you might not have direct control of the shareholder vote you do have indirect control. Control over the 401(k) (and its voting rights) should fall to some employee committee – which legally should be separate from the ownership of the company that you work for.

    7. Re:Maybe there is too much capital? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The elimination of pensions is part of a long term goal to grow and secure a permanent underclass for a permanent state of inequality. Your children's children at this rate will be little better than slaves.

      Pensions are dangerous to employees. They are a promise to pay in the future (if everything works out) in exchange for lower pay today. I would support state laws that banned pensions.

      See also:
      The destruction of unions

      Unions are a parallel management team. Unions are needed where management is incompetent. As a alternative, I suggest firing the management team.

      Regulatory capture

      This is a result of regulation by government. Those who are affected by the regulations spend the most time making friends with the regulators. Possible alternative: reduce the number of industries regulated, and spend the budget on more oversight of the remaining regulatory agencies.

      Vote suppression with the return of jim crowe laws. (Voter ID laws)

      Solution: We need more poll watchers in each and every voting precinct. This will prevent suppression and negate the usefulness of Voter ID laws.

      Grown wealth inequality in general

      It is not the inequality per se that is the problem; It is the poor allocation of resources by the wealthy. We must not allow bailouts. Those that cannot manage money should be forced to sell their assets.

    8. Re:Maybe there is too much capital? by rogoshen1 · · Score: 1

      you left out "easy access to credit with onerous terms" and "consumerist culture that places tantamount value upon material possessions"

      on my desktop background I have a drawing of a tiny little man holding up an oversized credit card, with his neck positioned over the card swiping track (basically a guillotine) -- this kind of sums up consumerist culture in my eyes. I wish I could remember the artist's name :(

    9. Re:Maybe there is too much capital? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Stock buybacks and dividends both provide a return to the investor immediately. Reinvesting the profit however changes the risk structure of the company without a guarantee of profits, ever. It could be that the company invests those profits in a bunch of R&D that doesn't pan out, where is the return to the investor? It could be that the company launches a new product and the margins suck, and additionally it tanks the previous product, such as the early Macintosh did to the Apple II (yes, Apple recovered eventually).

      You are right that there is little difference to an investor between a stock buyback, debt payoff, and a dividend. But when a company reinvests the profits into new business, it removes the investor from the decision process. You simply don't have the option to say, no that new thing sounds like a risky investment, let's steer clear of it.

      These are facts. Now for my opinion. It is my opinion that the market would be in much better shape today if there were stricter rules restraining existing companies from diversifying into new business areas. If a new corporation was to be formed for the new venture, the existing corporation could notify their shareholders and give THEM the choice as to whether they want to take on that risk, or stick with the original company (who's risk may well have changed from the new venture). It really pisses me off when I'm invested in some company and they announce some shit new product, that I have been forced to back by my investment in the company, and I'm now left holding the can for an obviously going-to-fail venture that I would not have backed if it was a separate company.

      If something like Kickstarter actually let me hold stocks, rather than simply vacuous promises, so investment in products was separate to capacity to build them it would be a real boon to the economy. I mean we already see something similar in the semicon industry, where there are three types of companies, fabs and fabless companies, and companies big enough and old enough to have their own fabs and product lines. Let me invest in one product, and if the next-gen product looks any good, I'll invest in that too, but give me the choice.

    10. Re:Maybe there is too much capital? by m.dillon · · Score: 1

      What, you mean pensions that companies are unable to make good on? Sounds to me like they SHOULD be eliminated.

      And you forgot the single biggest reason why poor people stay poor. It's a four-letter word. D.E.B.T. #1 reason. Not 'Jim Crow' laws, regulatory capture (huh?), the destruction of unions, or anything else. You seem to have a chip on your shoulder yet you don't know the #1 reason for why poor people stay poor?

      -Matt

  7. A cautionary tale by 6Yankee · · Score: 4, Interesting

    If you have the time (and if you're at work, of course you have the time!), I recommend The Great Hargeisa Goat Bubble. One guy gets his last goat killed by an aircraft so he can claim twice its value from the airport, and it all goes wrong from there.

    Soon the shortage of actual goats led to a booming market in goat futures, goat options and increasingly arcane goat derivative products. This trade in young, unborn, and even theoretical goats allowed yet more money into a market whose only bottle-neck or brake up to this time had been the physical shortage of actual goats.

    ...until the whole thing comes crashing down.

    1. Re:A cautionary tale by ganv · · Score: 1

      I loved the Goat Bubble story. Thanks for linking to it.

  8. What's the response? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Hopefully it won't be to protect large banks that fuck up. Simple "don't do that" regulation will just stifle innovation, which is bad. Complex regulation will just lead to rent-seeking and regulatory capture.

    So we'll probably get some combo of the worst of all three that allows lawyers, bankers, and politicians to accumulate more power and money.

    1. Re:What's the response? by jonwil · · Score: 1

      The answer is simple, just introduce a small (0.001% maybe) tax on every financial transaction carried out on the things being traded in these HFT markets (be they stocks, bonds, commodities whatever). Everyone (whether they hold the stocks for 5 seconds or 50 years) pays the tax when they sell (the 0.001% comes out of the total sale price, not any capital gains).

      Shuts down the HFT engine and the money flowing around it (which then means the owners of that money have to find something different and hopefully more useful to do with it) but with the tax rate being so low, it has little impact on anyone buying these assets to hold them longer term.

  9. This is news? The stock market is a house of cards by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Psychopath? More like a manic depressed, schizophrenic with multiple persons disorder. What we usually do is put these in asylum but i guess Wallstreet is a good name for one.

  10. Unconnected trades by Firethorn · · Score: 1

    Interesting, I'd never read about the Dutch tulip panic before...

    I can only speculate that at some point regular sellers and buyers will 'take their business elsewhere' because the parasitism of HFT and it's successors reaches the point that NOT using the standard markets is more cost effective.

    Right now for all the money it 'makes', HFT is still a very very small amount of total margin. Either you hit diminishing returns and stability, or the system will suffer an upheaval. I've heard that there are already alternative markets being set up that ban/limit HFT.

    --
    I don't read AC A human right
    1. Re:Unconnected trades by Charliemopps · · Score: 2

      I can only speculate that at some point regular sellers and buyers will 'take their business elsewhere' because the parasitism of HFT and it's successors reaches the point that NOT using the standard markets is more cost effective.

      They can't. HFTs are in the only market there is. The "Victims" are only losing fractions of pennies per trade, so no ones in an uproar. It will take an act of congress to fix this and they're bought and paid for by the HFT's.

    2. Re:Unconnected trades by kick6 · · Score: 1

      I can only speculate that at some point regular sellers and buyers will 'take their business elsewhere' because the parasitism of HFT and it's successors reaches the point that NOT using the standard markets is more cost effective.

      Considering that a significant (though not overwhelming) chunk of the market is taken up by people storing securities in retirement accounts (i.e. 401k), and that the market has been blessed by the government as THE vehicle with which to save for retirement by making these purchases tax free, there's a large portion that simply won't ever "take their business elsewhere," because there's no place else to go without getting slammed with income tax. So these semi-blind investors are getting "taxed" by HFTers on their untaxed retirement investments, and it's better than the alternative. HFTers are taking advantage of anyone with a 401k.

    3. Re:Unconnected trades by TubeSteak · · Score: 1

      It will take an act of congress to fix this and they're bought and paid for by the HFT's.

      The exchanges set their own rules and they could collectively or individually halt HFTers in their tracks.
      The book mentioned, Flash Boys, talks about their own exchange IEX and how they go out of their way to prevent HFTers from having any advantage.

      World's Biggest Wealth Fund Escapes Flash Boys in IEX Dark Pool
      http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-06-03/world-s-biggest-wealth-fund-escapes-flash-boys-in-iex-dark-pool.html

      Norway's $880 billion sovereign wealth fund, the worldâ(TM)s largest, is throwing its support behind Brad Katsuyamaâ(TM)s new exchange.

      [...]

      "IEX is a trading venue where all players participate on the same terms," oil fund spokesman Thomas Sevang said in an e-mailed response to questions. "We support this."

      IEX, [...], doesn't pay firms to buy or sell shares, shunning a practice that many markets use to lure business from high-speed traders. It mandates a 350-microsecond delay between requests to trade and executions to prevent traders from pre-empting their moves through high-frequency maneuvers.

      Any exchange could cut off the HFTers in a heartbeat, if they wanted to.

      --
      [Fuck Beta]
      o0t!
    4. Re:Unconnected trades by m.dillon · · Score: 2

      This might be a surprise to you, but it has already happened. The growth in dark pools is directly attributable to major investment managers exiting the public markets and doing their trading in the pools in order to avoid the HFTs and other shenanigans (both real and imagined). The public exchanges have lost a huge amount of business over the last few years... hoist by their own petard, so to speak. At least to a degree.

      Insofar as regular investors go, HFT doesn't really have much of an effect so there's no reason to take our business elsewhere. Losing a penny here and there, when it happens at all, is nothing compared to what trading cost us even 10 years ago. Our trades are simply too small for the HFTs to be able to act on.

      But if you are really worried, just use limit orders that are slightly outside the bid/ask range (i.e. so they don't fill instantly) and wait for the fill. Nobody can front-run a small order so making it public beforehand prevents the HFTs from being able to do anything with it. You have to be a bit patient, but that's all. (this advise does not apply to thinly-traded names, only to liquid names).

      -Matt

    5. Re:Unconnected trades by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      that the market has been blessed by the government as THE vehicle with which to save for retirement by making these purchases tax free

      The rules for 401k/IRA/Roth and such are wider than that. Did you know that if you structure it right you can actually use these funds to buy and speculate in real estate?

      As long as some basic rules are followed, any alternative markets would be equally eligible for these funds.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    6. Re:Unconnected trades by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      This might be a surprise to you, but it has already happened.

      Not surprising at all, the reason I said the comment about alternative markets.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
  11. Long-term capital gains? by Animats · · Score: 1

    Warren Buffett once suggested a 100% capital gains tax on assets held less than a year. One of the big problems we have with current markets is that short-term gains are way undertaxed. Funds are allowed to trade without paying taxes; taxes are assessed only when money comes out of the fund.

    1. Re:Long-term capital gains? by alexander_686 · · Score: 1

      Funds are allowed to trade without paying taxes; taxes are assessed only when money comes out of the fund.

      What funds are these? All of the funds that I can think of have to pay capital gains. A expectation might be pension funds but that is because they are tax deferred saving accounts, and retirement savings accounts are almost always tax deferred.

    2. Re:Long-term capital gains? by swb · · Score: 1

      Isn't the likely answer to this (and the answer to most complaints involving HFT) something like "enhances market liquidity"?

      In the case of HFT I find the answer unsatisfying, but in the case of large taxes on assets held less than a year it seems more compelling.

      I wonder if the better choice might be increasing capital gains overall but cutting capital gains (perhaps in half) for assets held over 5 years. Basically increase the incentive for long-term holding versus penalizing short term holding.

    3. Re:Long-term capital gains? by sribe · · Score: 1

      Funds are allowed to trade without paying taxes; taxes are assessed only when money comes out of the fund.

      True, but totally misleading. You neglect to mention that realized capital gains and losses, interest received, and dividends received, must be distributed at least once per year.

    4. Re:Long-term capital gains? by TheSync · · Score: 1

      Warren Buffett once suggested a 100% capital gains tax on assets held less than a year.

      Warren Buffet's main business is insurance, so he would like to encourage you to try to put your heritable funds into non-taxable insurance rather than into funds your children will directly inherit.

    5. Re:Long-term capital gains? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Unless market makers are exempt from this tax the option markets will be mostly empty, and the stock market will have a big spread between the buy and ask price.
      If the tax is less than 100% the market makers will add this tax to their spread.

      Your pension fund mostly does business with market makers to be able to sell and buy quickly. So what happens is that you basically taxed yourself; and your pension fund will be worth a lot less.

    6. Re:Long-term capital gains? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      None of the securites that are on the radar of HFT operations have any problem with liquidity, and HFT does not enhance it in any way beneficial to anyone but HFT participants. HFT won't be looking at any issue that don't already have good liquidity, they count on so much interest that they can gnaw away at folks who are actually interesting in holding or divesting a position by adding costs for them.

  12. Does it matter? by tekrat · · Score: 2, Informative

    Of course the stock market is divorced from the real world. It's its own bubble, a game played by the upper 5% to enrich themselves and fuck everyone else. They don't care as long as they get their bonus.

    You really think a hedge fund manager gives a crap about real-world value? The dude is making $15 million a year shuffling stocks around and skimming right off the top of everyone. He can buy a Ferrari every other week. That's your 'real world value' right there.

    The elite don't care. They have burned up America, and were well paid by the taxpayers to do it. Now they are strip-mining what's left and when the country is a empty husk, ready to collapse into a third-world nation, they will get in their private jets, and fly off to their private, gated, guarded compound in Costa Rica or Belize, and live off the interest in their Bermuda bank accounts for the next 12 or 20 generations.

    --
    If telephones are outlawed, then only outlaws will have telephones.
    1. Re:Does it matter? by Ralph+Wiggam · · Score: 4, Informative

      It's its own bubble, a game played by the upper 5% to enrich themselves and fuck everyone else.

      Actually, 45% of Americans own stock. 77% of Americans with a college degree.

      But feel free to make up any numbers you need to support your conclusions.

    2. Re:Does it matter? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That may be true, but when the 5% cash out quick because they are privy to special information, the rest of the country gets burned. I know. Several family members had large parts of their life savings/retirement burned in the market down turns of the last 10-15 years. They didn't do anything wrong -- they relied on the market.

    3. Re:Does it matter? by Anubis+IV · · Score: 1

      That we own stock doesn't mean we're really playing the game in the way he suggested, any more than picking up a stick and hitting a ball with it means that you're a professional athlete.

    4. Re:Does it matter? by Ralph+Wiggam · · Score: 1

      but when the 5% cash out quick because they are privy to special information

      Do you have anything to back that statement up with? Or just your opinion that all rich people must be cheating assholes?

      If your family members lost a large part of their life savings in the market, then they did do something wrong. They didn't properly diversify their investments, like every financial adviser on Earth, including the Wu Tang Clan, told them to.

    5. Re:Does it matter? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Since 138% of statistics are made up on the fly, why should I believe yours without a citation?

    6. Re:Does it matter? by Ralph+Wiggam · · Score: 1

      The Pew Research link I looked at before was actually 7% lower than Gallup's survey.

      http://www.bizjournals.com/bizjournals/washingtonbureau/2013/11/18/dow-tops-16000-for-first-time-but.html

      "More than half of Americans -- 52 percent -- say they own stock, mostly as part of a mutual fund or retirement account, according to a Gallup survey conducted in April."

      That number was at 60% in 2009, but for a variety of reasons lots of people got out of the market after it crashed- which is of course the exact wrong thing to do.

    7. Re:Does it matter? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Actually, 45% of Americans own stock.

      That's precious. 90% of Americans have a bank account so I guess that means there's virtually no wealth disparity at all.

    8. Re:Does it matter? by m00sh · · Score: 1

      Of course the stock market is divorced from the real world. It's its own bubble, a game played by the upper 5% to enrich themselves and fuck everyone else. They don't care as long as they get their bonus.

      You really think a hedge fund manager gives a crap about real-world value? The dude is making $15 million a year shuffling stocks around and skimming right off the top of everyone. He can buy a Ferrari every other week. That's your 'real world value' right there.

      The elite don't care. They have burned up America, and were well paid by the taxpayers to do it. Now they are strip-mining what's left and when the country is a empty husk, ready to collapse into a third-world nation, they will get in their private jets, and fly off to their private, gated, guarded compound in Costa Rica or Belize, and live off the interest in their Bermuda bank accounts for the next 12 or 20 generations.

      You can say the same thing about scientists. Do they work to create scientific value or play a game of their own to further their own academic careers?

      HFT is possible because of the fault of the internet, database or protocol system in the finance market. I'm sure it can be fixed by a small tweak in the system. It's just growing pains of the system moving from the trading floor to computers.

    9. Re:Does it matter? by tekrat · · Score: 1

      "More than half of Americans -- 52 percent -- say they own stock, mostly as part of a mutual fund or retirement account, according to a Gallup survey conducted in April."

      --- of course they do!
      How else does that Hedge Fund manager and thousands like him, make those millions? From the millions of Americans who are suckers and believe that the market can work for them and make them money. In reality, they are working hard to make money for the fund manager!

      Sure, he gives them something back, but like any other good pyramid scheme, the vast majority of the wealth goes into his own pocket. I can make you a statement account that shows you are making money in my fund -- but that doesn't mean you actually are. Just look at the number of class action lawsuits and tell me that this isn't a grey-area legal scam.

      --
      If telephones are outlawed, then only outlaws will have telephones.
    10. Re:Does it matter? by Princeofcups · · Score: 1

      Now they are strip-mining what's left and when the country is a empty husk, ready to collapse into a third-world nation, they will get in their private jets, and fly off to their private, gated, guarded compound in Costa Rica or Belize, and live off the interest in their Bermuda bank accounts for the next 12 or 20 generations.

      Arrogant American's seem to think they are immune to this, because it's what happens to OTHER countries. The Mexican Peso was devalued directly into the pockets of Wall Street traders a few decades back. And the same way, as soon as the US Dollar is vulnerable, it is going to be a feeding frenzy, and Americans will end up lining up for toilet paper. "Told you so" feels kind of hollow in a situation like that.

      --
      The only thing worse than a Democrat is a Republican.
    11. Re:Does it matter? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hey Ralphie, we are not talking about peanuts here.
      Please do not try to switch the discussion to retirees which got their wealth in better times.

    12. Re:Does it matter? by khallow · · Score: 1

      They didn't do anything wrong -- they relied on the market.

      There's the unintentional comedy act of the day right there. It's sad that your family members got burned, but it doesn't take a lot of brain cells to see where they went wrong. The stock markets aren't a cute, fluffy money making machine. They're just dressed up that way by people who want your money. You need to look after yourself.

    13. Re:Does it matter? by riverat1 · · Score: 2

      That may be true but over 80% of stocks and mutual funds are owned by only the top 10% of the population and over 35% are owned by the top 1%. Who Rules America?

    14. Re:Does it matter? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      and live off the interest in their Bermuda bank accounts for the next 12 or 20 generations.

      . . . and those Bermuda banks will STILL be secure from communist takeover, piracy, and etc, thanks to the trillions in taxpayer dollars funneled into the US Military protection for these non-US territories.

      If we didn't protect these countries, they'd have to pay for their own military, and we'd see how quickly they shrug off their anonymous tax-free model of banking. . .

    15. Re:Does it matter? by m.dillon · · Score: 2

      Hedge funds tend to be used by the affluent, not by regular people with regular incomes. In addition, hedge funds usually lock your funds up... there may be only a few times a year where you can cash out and you have to give them notice (3-6 months, depending). Only investors with serious excess capital that they can afford to put aside for a few years uses a hedge fund.

      And even then, hedge funds are hardly any guarantee of good returns. As a class Hedge funds returns have been horrible over the last year, for example. And while the media likes to hype up the returns that some hedge funds have been able to make, they tend to ignore the larger number of hedge funds that underperform the market.

      -Matt

    16. Re:Does it matter? by Patent+Lover · · Score: 1

      Maybe mutual funds but not actual stock.

    17. Re:Does it matter? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually, 45% of Americans own stock.

      That's precious. 90% of Americans have a bank account so I guess that means there's virtually no wealth disparity at all.

      Why was this modded "insightful"? Just because Ralph Wiggam noticed that tekrat was making up numbers, doesn't mean that Ralph has stated an opinion on wealth disparity. Stocks are only one kind of wealth.

      Don't get me wrong, I love the leftist rage, but if you don't have your facts straight you look like an idiot and waste time fighting inequality in the wrong places. What the hell does it say about US when we attack the people pointing out our own bullshit? We can see this EXACT problem manifesting in discussions about Thomas Piketty's recent work.

    18. Re:Does it matter? by Ralph+Wiggam · · Score: 1

      Are you serious?

    19. Re:Does it matter? by gzuckier · · Score: 1

      They didn't do anything wrong -- they relied on the market.

      There's the unintentional comedy act of the day right there. It's sad that your family members got burned, but it doesn't take a lot of brain cells to see where they went wrong. The stock markets aren't a cute, fluffy money making machine. They're just dressed up that way by people who want your money. You need to look after yourself.

      Let's take this time to recall the 90s, the last time the Republicans wanted to dismantle social security so everybody could put that money into the stock market and we'd all become rich. We need to do this kind of nostalgia trip from time to time, because the essence of modern "conservative" thought is, oddly, complete lack of any long term memory, so that they never have to wonder if, having been so incredibly stupid back then, they are equally wrong about everything they believe today. See also "I never really liked GWBush, myself"

      --
      Star Trek transporters are just 3d printers.
    20. Re:Does it matter? by gzuckier · · Score: 1

      Yeah, my impression of hedge funds is you reduce the risk and also reduce the possible return, as return correlates to risk in classical fashion. As a source of reliable smaller gain, then, they need to be large to make large profits.

      --
      Star Trek transporters are just 3d printers.
    21. Re:Does it matter? by khallow · · Score: 1

      Let's take this time to recall the 90s, the last time the Republicans wanted to dismantle social security so everybody could put that money into the stock market

      Compared to the federal government taking your money instead? It's not as simple as you put it.

  13. This Happened Decades Ago by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Shouldn't be new to anyone. There's an expression, the US doesn't create products anymore, just brands.

    Guess what?, China realized they don't need the US to make brands for them, and the US is stuck with the complete lack of value in anything it does.

  14. Happening For a Long Time by organgtool · · Score: 2

    After a public offering of new shares, what value does the stock market really add for that company? Sure, there are some things it helps with such as an approximate value that can be used for acquisitions, but once a company offers a set of shares on the market and collects the money from the buyer, those shares are essentially chips with the corporate logo to be bought and sold among gamblers in the world's biggest casino. At that point, those shares do little to create actual value in the real world.

    1. Re:Happening For a Long Time by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      After a public offering of new shares, what value does the stock market really add for that company?

      There are two ways to view stock, and both have their merits:

      1) It's a loan to the company with no interest rate, but the market may decide that the company can afford to pay more to buy it back. Of course, there's also no term on the loan, so the company can just let it float forever. That makes the buyer of stock a "sucker" who funded an uncollectable loan with no guaranteed payout.

      2) It's a way for the company to sell ownership for a price, and a way for buyers to get some of the company's profit. But there's no guarantee or requirement for the ownership share to pay those profits out as dividends in most cases, so the buyer is, again, a "sucker".

      tl;dr - Investors have a high likelihood of being "suckers".

    2. Re:Happening For a Long Time by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Leaving aside that there is no "actual" value nor "real" world in economic terms, in fact there are three useful side effects of continued share trading you have neglected. First, the company can in the future offer more shares to raise more capital; vigorous market trading helps it select an appropriate number of shares and price per share. Second, the company can issue shares as an incentive to employees, which can improve productivity. Third, shareholder participation can provide a feedback mechanism for company governance, bolstering the chances of company survival (although this mechanism is being circumvented quite frequently these days).

    3. Re:Happening For a Long Time by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      The obvious benefit to a company of a high stock price is that it can get capital more easily, either by borrowing or issuing new stock. New stock issues aren't all that common, but they're an option the company can use, and that is significant. Probably the biggest reason is that the existence of a very strong secondary market supports the primary market strongly.

      Suppose I offer you $10M to open a business, and get $10M in equity. Without a stock market, there's no way for me to get any of my invested money back without gutting the business. There's no way to cut my losses if the company starts going downhill. There's no way to lock in some of my gains if the company succeeds. In order to do any of that, I need a way to buy and sell equity, and that's by definition a stock market. A stock market also makes it easier for an investor to invest in multiple companies to reduce risk, and for a company to get money from lots of small investors.

      My current company was doing very well while not being publicly traded, but some of the investors wanted to cash out. That was one reason for our IPO.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    4. Re:Happening For a Long Time by someoneOtherThanMe · · Score: 1

      If it were not possible to trade the new shares later, nobody would buy them when they are offered.

  15. Technological solution by Citizen+of+Earth · · Score: 3, Interesting

    The way I see it, you can eliminate the advantages of HFT while keeping the markets highly responsive by imposing a "clocking" scheme on exchanges. When an order is received by an exchange, it is not executed immediately but stored in a queue to wait for the next clock tick. When that comes, the order queue is shuffled into random order and then executed sequentially. Make the clock ticks wait a random period between 40ms and 50ms and any timing advantage of HFT or geography is nullified. The exchanges are still highly responsive; they just do randomized batch processing. All of the requests they receive in the previous clock period ought to be processed within the new clock period (with perhaps some occasional spill-over, in which case the new clock tick is stretched).

    1. Re:Technological solution by PRMan · · Score: 1

      Just force people to hold a stock for at least 1 minute. Problem solved.

      --
      Peter predicted that you would "deliberately forget" creation 2000 years ago...
    2. Re:Technological solution by alexander_686 · · Score: 4, Interesting

      What you are suggesting is book market – expect for the random part. Book markets in recent years have fared worse than quote driven markets – much worse. 5 to 10 cents worse per share – much greater than the fraction of a penny that the HFT steal.

      You might want to a look at IEX. They use a quote driven model with a 350m delay. Lewis have them high praise but even they have had criticisms that they can be exploited.

    3. Re:Technological solution by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think you're overthinking the problem. Not that I disagree with the idea of introducing "clock ticks", mind. It probably is worth noting that HFT drove a lot of infrastructure improvements that you're more or less taking for granted. I say we're not really informed enough about the structure of the problem to really know for sure whether it even really is a problem.

      Also, I'd like to refer you to another take on the subject. Full disclosure: Same ac posting.

    4. Re:Technological solution by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Clock ticks have been suggested to reduce HFT. The other suggestion relies on the thought that HFT is also High Volume Trading, a small "fee" or "tax" of one tenth to one thousandth of one cent per share, which would not affect almost any normal traders (since even if one bought 10,000 shares in a day, the fee would amount to $10, basically a math error), whereas the HFT bill would erode what little profit they make. Coupling the two suggestions is the winning solution.

    5. Re:Technological solution by OdinOdin_ · · Score: 2

      Heh, because the stock they sell immediately of one of the other 999,999 stocks they hold in the same entity. Those stocks already had their 1 minute minimum holding period expire a long time ago.

      This is also why it is funny when people say that pension funds hold their stock for a long term view.

      But what can happen is the two pension funds collude to exchange assets with each other (zero sum game) over a period of time, so the fee levied for any transfers can be taken by all the snouts in the transaction cost trough. Yes if you stand back and look at the week to week they look like their are holding their positions a for the long game, but actually they found a way to extract additional profits to pay pension pot "fund managers" their bonuses.

    6. Re:Technological solution by khallow · · Score: 2

      The way I see it, you can eliminate the advantages of HFT while keeping the markets highly responsive by imposing a "clocking" scheme on exchanges.

      Or you can do nothing and not worry about it. I simply don't understand why people care so much about this.

    7. Re:Technological solution by Rockoon · · Score: 0

      . 5 to 10 cents worse per share – much greater than the fraction of a penny that the HFT steal.

      ...something these anti-HFT people continue to forget is that just waving your hands saying how someone is making money is not evidence of a problem.

      HFT has brought down spreads between BID and ASK - everyone involved gets better prices, including the detractors retirement funds, and so on. ...but we cant have those evil people make money "doing nothing." Of course, when the detractors are told that HFT's add value to the market they just ignore it, say its not true, and so on. So here we are with a bunch of drones demanding worse prices.. they wont admit that the prices will be worse, but hey... we arent interested in facts when jealousy rules the thought process.

      --
      "His name was James Damore."
    8. Re:Technological solution by TerranFury · · Score: 1

      But you can always trade contracts, outside that market (and unclocked/asynchronously), for shares in it, at which point it's the price of those contracts that you need to look at, I would think. Or in other words, if you make certain kinds of financial transactions "illegal" (i.e., asynchronous/"unclocked" ones), the demand for those transactions is filled by another, "black" market (i.e., the one where contracts are bought and sold). Or in yet other language, you can build the old, asynchronous, abstraction, on top of the new, synchronous one, by adding a "side channel" of asynchronous information.

      (I assume "real" econ./finance people have words for all of this.)

    9. Re:Technological solution by Kaenneth · · Score: 0

      How can you prove the leech on you neck is sucking blood?, just because it gets fat and swollen with red juice doesn't mean it's draining the blood from your system, in fact, it's stimulating the production of more blood!

        - you.

    10. Re:Technological solution by purpledinoz · · Score: 1

      There's an exchange called IEX that has implemented a technical solution by adding delay via a really long spool of fiber optic cable.

    11. Re:Technological solution by Rockoon · · Score: 1

      How can you prove the leech on you neck is sucking blood?

      Asking the wrong question.

      There was always a leech. You have a choice between two different leeches, the new one demonstrably sucks less blood than the old one. You want the old one back?

      --
      "His name was James Damore."
    12. Re:Technological solution by alexander_686 · · Score: 1

      If the quote driven market with a blood sucking leach delivers better results than a book driven market (which has its own, but different, blood sucking leach) that tells you something. Like a physical system, you measure how inefficient it is. Look up "Implementation Shortfall" to see how it done.

    13. Re:Technological solution by Kaenneth · · Score: 1

      And you can measure inefficiency by measuring loss.

    14. Re:Technological solution by gzuckier · · Score: 1

      According to what I read, one of their tactics was to site themselves in an exchange just outside NYC so they could catch large buy orders ASAP and beat the original buyers to the punch at the more distant exchanges; the protagonists' HFTproof exchange eliminated the temporal discrepancies by literally having coils of miles of wire to get the nearer exchanges into temporal sync with the further ones. They had pictures of the spools of wire, they weren't as big as I'd have expected.

      --
      Star Trek transporters are just 3d printers.
  16. It's not just trading by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This problem is everywhere, not just Wall Street. That's how we got the crash in 2008 with bank betting on debts and stuff.

    Business has become focused on dividends, on giving money to investors first and foremost. Products and people are secondary goals designed to increase those dividends.
    But it should really be the other way around, where the industry should be catering to people first and foremost, and rewarding investors should be secondary, as an actual reward, for having a healthy company.

  17. Problem with public companies, not HFT by michaelmalak · · Score: 4, Interesting

    The HBR article notes two issues:

    1. HF traders don't participate in stockholder meetings and thus their trades are divorced from steering company direction.

    2. CEOs are focused on next quarter profits and, aside from a few corporate founder CEOs, are not able to have their company innovate.

    The first problem is not specific to HFT. Even buy-and-hold mom and pop cannot influence a stockholder meeting because they don't own enough shares to meaningfully do so. The exception proves the rule: a bunch of Palestinian human rights defenders got together, bought some Caterpillar stock, and got a human rights issue on the agenda. Even with all that effort, the measure did not pass. And it was a large effort in coordinating. Individual stockholders usually do not organize, coordinate and campaign. (The "transaction cost" is too high.)

    The second problem is caused by SEC, SOX and CEO compensation structure, not by HFT. The HBR article suggests without actually accusing that HFT is the cause.

    HFT serves little purpose other than providing market liquidity (and even at that arguably harms it given the flash crash), but it's not to blame for the above two pre-existing problems of today's markets of publicly traded companies.

    1. Re:Problem with public companies, not HFT by TubeSteak · · Score: 2

      2. CEOs are focused on next quarter profits and, aside from a few corporate founder CEOs, are not able to have their company innovate.
      [...]
      The second problem is caused by SEC, SOX and CEO compensation structure, not by HFT.

      I'm very interested in hearing about how the SEC and SOX are at all to blame for CEOs pursuing short term goals.

      --
      [Fuck Beta]
      o0t!
    2. Re:Problem with public companies, not HFT by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      HFT serves little purpose other than providing market liquidity (and even at that arguably harms it given the flash crash), but it's not to blame for the above two pre-existing problems of today's markets of publicly traded companies.

      HFT is the current soundbite/bugaboo de jour for the ignorant.

    3. Re:Problem with public companies, not HFT by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The flash crash was not caused by HFT.
      It was an institutional investor (pension fund/bank) who had to sell of their position and did this too quickly. Followed by a technical problem at the exchange where the feed of market data was delayed by up to several minutes.

    4. Re:Problem with public companies, not HFT by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you read the article carefully, you would realize they were not citing #1 as a problem with HFT, but a reason why it is not a concern for the broader market and for people actually interested in creating value.

    5. Re:Problem with public companies, not HFT by werepants · · Score: 1

      The relation between the two things is that financial value is increasingly divorced from real, productive value. This is demonstrated by highly profitable HFT which has no discernible connection to creation of value, and short-term CEO thinking which prioritizes things like firing your most capable employees to lower costs and increase profit. Looks great on the spreadsheet and is financially promising, but in reality is either neutral or actively destructive to real productive activity.

      The point isn't that HFT is the cause of short-sighted corporate leadership. It is that both things are symptoms of an underlying trend - that finance is moving away from a connection to physical value, building products, businesses, etc, and is instead an abstraction where actual value is sacrificed at the altar of financial value.

    6. Re:Problem with public companies, not HFT by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      For the first problem, I'd think mutual funds and corporate investors would be by far the biggest issues, not HFTers. If institutional investors couldn't vote in stockholder elections, things would be much different (and quite likely better).

      For the second, it doesn't exist everywhere. There are companies where the CEOs are expected to stay on long-term, and so do engage in moderately long-term thinking, which includes innovation. I suspect these companies do better in the long run, and would avoid investing in a company that had a habit of ditching CEOs for not making the quarterly projections.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
  18. Proof the system works! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Thank goodness ordinary folks like you and I can count on the visionaries at the Harvard Business Review to get to the bottom of it all and educate us on how HFT is becoming increasingly divorced from providing real-world value. Who could've predicted such a development?

    1. Re:Proof the system works! by ggraham412 · · Score: 1

      :-) Indeed, there's no one more devoted to keeping it real than those brilliant Harvard intellectuals.

  19. Asset Bubble verse Rent Seeking by alexander_686 · · Score: 4, Informative

    HFT is an example of rent seeking - where somebody is able to shave some of the economic profit from an activity without doing much of anything. In the HFT case, the US Congress put in a trading rule that caused a little bit of inefficacies in the market and HFT trading ruthless exploits that imposed inefficacies. Those inefficacies will never amount to a fraction a penny per share, but do it millions of times a day..

    Think of it as a 160m dollar a day tax on investors. (the number comes from Lewis's book.)

    See the historical Robber Barons as an example of rent seaking.
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/R...

    1. Re:Asset Bubble verse Rent Seeking by BitcoinBenny · · Score: 1

      I have to disagree. HFT is not rent seeking. It requires extraordinary amounts of capital and technology in order to be successful in HFT, and similar amounts over a long period of time in order to remain so. People seem to forget that HFTs inject real money into the market in order to operate, which means they take capital risk and also reap rewards if they are good at what they do. It isn't anything like sitting on a piece of land and collecting rent, the comparison is absurd.

    2. Re:Asset Bubble verse Rent Seeking by Mr.+Slippery · · Score: 2

      ...rent seeking - where somebody is able to shave some of the economic profit from an activity without doing much of anything.

      I.e., the highest and most pure form of capitalism -- a system in which the state-backed "owner" of capital extracts profit from laborers (physically and intellectual) without actually creating anything themselves.

      --
      Tom Swiss | the infamous tms | my blog
      You cannot wash away blood with blood
    3. Re:Asset Bubble verse Rent Seeking by alexander_686 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      "Rent seeking" is a technical economic term about abusive behavior and not about renting land. The fact that it time skill and money does not matter. Lobbying congress for fat subsides takes "extraordinary amounts of capital and technology" but it is also considered rent seeking behavior.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/R...

      On to your point. Are there classes of high speed trading that bring value? Yes. I have argued before in Slashdot that high speed trading has drastically cut the cost of trading.

      However, the article reefer's to Lewis's book "Flash Boys". Lewis researches a class of traders that exploit a flaw in the trading system to "front run" trades and shave off a fraction of a penny per share. They do not bring money to the market or liquidity. They bring nothing – they are strictly a tax on the system. Lewis call these trades HFT.

      Before I Lewis's book I held the same position as you. However, this HFT front running is strictly rent seeking, bring no value.

      Personally, I need to figure out better names for the evil "front running" HFT and the good high speed traders.

    4. Re:Asset Bubble verse Rent Seeking by khallow · · Score: 1

      "Rent seeking" is a technical economic term about abusive behavior and not about renting land.

      And the previous poster nailed the origins of the term.

      However, the article reefer's to Lewis's book "Flash Boys". Lewis researches a class of traders that exploit a flaw in the trading system to "front run" trades and shave off a fraction of a penny per share. They do not bring money to the market or liquidity. They bring nothing â" they are strictly a tax on the system. Lewis call these trades HFT.However, the article reefer's to Lewis's book "Flash Boys". Lewis researches a class of traders that exploit a flaw in the trading system to "front run" trades and shave off a fraction of a penny per share. They do not bring money to the market or liquidity. They bring nothing â" they are strictly a tax on the system. Lewis call these trades HFT.

      So what? The book also notes the underlying problem - big traders with predictable behavior. Once that goes away, the so-called "rent-seeking" stopped. If HFT is a "tax", then it's a tax on traders with poor trading behavior.

    5. Re:Asset Bubble verse Rent Seeking by Kaenneth · · Score: 1

      It's just a more complicated version of Superman III

    6. Re:Asset Bubble verse Rent Seeking by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You are incorrect.

    7. Re:Asset Bubble verse Rent Seeking by dwpro · · Score: 1

      I would like to know more about any studies that have been done that show the benefit of HFT. I'm not adequately convinced of this, the only examples seem to correspond to other advances in technology and don't isolate HFT.

      --
      Millions long for immortality who do not know what to do with themselves on a rainy Sunday afternoon. -- Susan Ertz
    8. Re:Asset Bubble verse Rent Seeking by alexander_686 · · Score: 1

      Your not going to get that because the stock market is a murky place. You can see that a trade has happened but you can't tell who the buyer or sells is, but I will try to break it down the best I can.

      25 years ago if you saw a $100 stock for sale and put in a large order you would buy it for $101. Today it would be closer to $100.15.

      $.10 commission then, $.01 today. Here IT has it strongest impact reducing the back office costs.

      , $15 in the bid / ask spread then, $.01 today. The market changed from quoting prices in 1/8s of dollars to pennies. and $.75 in that the market moved against you – today about $.12. Let's look at these 2 together. Here is the big gain.

      What is happening is that we now have a more liquid and deeper market. Technology and market structure have broken up the old oligopoly and allowed new market makers in. Who are these market makers? Then range from investment banks, hedge funds, arbitrage traders, statistical arbitrage trades, HFT, etc.

        “advances in IT” is not a magic wand. Take the arbitrage trader who is a high speed trader They ensure that the same stock on different exchanges trade at the same price. In the old days of telephones they needed a margin of error of 10s of pennies. Now a penny. They can track more and different prices. etc. All thanks to computers. How do you pull apart the effects of having more arbitrage players verse general technology advancement?

    9. Re:Asset Bubble verse Rent Seeking by martin-boundary · · Score: 1

      So what? The book also notes the underlying problem - big traders with predictable behavior. Once that goes away, the so-called "rent-seeking" stopped. If HFT is a "tax", then it's a tax on traders with poor trading behavior.

      That's just a vulnerability that allows the exploit to work (to take a computer analogy). The real problem is that the big traders want to both have their cake and eat it. They want to be able to sell large quantities of stocks without changing the price, which is not how markets are even supposed to behave. When you sell a large number of items, you depress the price. That's supply and demand.

      If you're a big trader, and you sell lots of shares, then the price of those shares goes down (small traders don't have that problem as their quantities don't have market impact). By the time you've sold all the quantity you wanted to sell, you're not getting top dollar any more. So what do you do? You complain that HFT are stealing your imaginary profit, all that money you thought you could get by selling your stocks without taking into account supply and demand. But in reality, there wasn't a lot of demand for your stock in the first place.

      You flooded the market, and the natural price drop happened. To ask for anything else is to ask for a repeal of supply and demand. To ask for a slowdown in trading is to ask for a slowdown in supply and demand. And if you don't have supply and demand, you don't get an equilibrium where both sellers and buyers are happy. Which is kind of obvious. If a big trader is able to sell all his shares at the top price, he'll be happy. But the buyers won't be, because they paid too much.

    10. Re:Asset Bubble verse Rent Seeking by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I don't see what the problem is with the front running form of HFT.

      It's just being there first, and being agile enough to react to the predictability of other large entities. Time was you could front run the market with a fast ship, now it take data centers in strategic locations.

      The thing that worries me about HFT are 1. the willingness of the exchanges to rollback transactions in response to a large firm fracking up their algorithm and 2. the ones where the algorithms create and cancel trades in order to trick other algorithms into offering more favorable trades. Those both seem more problematic to me than the idea that if you can get your order in fast you can out maneuver the big entities that split their trades across multiple exchanges (thereby signaling you as to their intent).

    11. Re:Asset Bubble verse Rent Seeking by RonTheHurler · · Score: 1

      I'm no economics or finance expert, but the more I learn about HFT, the more it sounds, looks and smells like Insider Trading to me.

      Insider trading: Where someone profits from knowledge gained through privileged access to information.

      HFT: Where someone buys a privileged access to financial networks to gain millisecond advantages in information, then profits from that knowledge. Those networks are not open to anyone, seating is limited and the information in them gives the holders of that information an unfair advantage. Just like the boardroom of any major corporation.

      Insider trading is illegal. Frontrunning is illegal. Gambling is not legal in most places. Trading on probabilities and trends in stock prices is more of a gamble than it is like anything else. It is clearly NOT investing.

      How about a rule that any securities purchase must be held for at least 24 hours. Better yet, 30 days. That'll put a stop to HFT and daytrading gamblers real fast and won't hurt legitimate investors one whit.

    12. Re:Asset Bubble verse Rent Seeking by alexander_686 · · Score: 1

      Insider trading is acting on non-public material information. Seeing an order posted to a public exchange is neither.
      Front running your own client is illegal because there is a conflict of interest. Front running a competitor is not.
      The issue is that HFT trades are exploiting a flaw in the system that requires them use "best price" instead of "best execution" when placing order.

      Don't throw the baby out with the bathwater. Legitimate high speed trades (i.e. traders that actually improve the performance, depth, and liquidity of the market) have cut trading costs by about 80% over the past 20 years. To use your example of "Trading on probabilities and trends" has wrung out huge inefficiencies in the market.

    13. Re:Asset Bubble verse Rent Seeking by alexander_686 · · Score: 1

      I don't see what the problem is with the front running form of HFT.

      Here is an example.
                You say out loud that you want to buy an Apple but will pay no more than $1.05.
                You see a vendor selling an apple for $1.00.
                As you walk towards the vendor, I run ahead of you and buy that apple for $1.00.
                I turn around and sell that apple to you for $1.01.
              I do this 1.6 billion times a day.

      What value do I add to society? Why is society paying me $160m a day to do this? I am not taking any risks, making markets, increasing the liquidity of the market, or any other value add service. All I am doing is stepping in-between you and the buyer and extracting a penny tax so it makes the trading system more inefficient.

      My beef is not with high speed trading. I can think of dozen of legitimate strategies which improve the overall integrity and efficiency of the market. Front running doesn't.

    14. Re:Asset Bubble verse Rent Seeking by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      HFT are STEALING.
      Just because it is only a fraction of a penny at a time does not make it any less theft.
      If I were to take a penny from you as you pay for a item at the store that would be theft. If a HFT computer does the same thing... It is also theft.
      They add ZERO value to the system.
      They are not market makers, they do not help set a correct price, they do not even have any information that is valuable to anyone except for the microsecond that they front run others transactions, the provide no liquidity.

      The markets already have too many who do nothing but extract $$ without adding any real value, but HFT's really take the slime-ball cake.

    15. Re:Asset Bubble verse Rent Seeking by khallow · · Score: 1

      Protip: typing in all caps doesn't make something true. It's already been noted numerous times that HFT provides liquidity which is a thing of value no matter how many capital letters you type to deny it.

    16. Re:Asset Bubble verse Rent Seeking by gzuckier · · Score: 1

      The fact that forerunning is illegal for humans, but they haven't gotten around to making its automated variety illegal yet so it's lucrative, is indicative of the ethics and morality of the process.

      --
      Star Trek transporters are just 3d printers.
    17. Re:Asset Bubble verse Rent Seeking by alexander_686 · · Score: 1

      When a broker front runs his client it is illegal and unethical because he is working against his client, a clear conflict of interest.

      HFT are not violating any conflict of interest so it is not illegal and I don't think exploiting a flaw in the system is unethical. Now the flaw should be fixed.

    18. Re:Asset Bubble verse Rent Seeking by martin-boundary · · Score: 1
      You are confusing speculation and stealing. It's an easy mistake to make because speculation adds no meaningful transactions to the price discovery dynamics, but it isn't stealing, it's gambling. HFTs are very good at card counting (to take an analogy) and therefore make money from their gambles consistently.

      Traditionally, speculators are accepted on markets because they will accept to hold an item speculatively during periods of time. This helps a buyer at 10AM to connect with a seller at 3PM. They aren't both in the market at the same time, so can't actually trade. However, the speculator is there all day, and short sells at 10AM to the buy, and buys from the seller at 3PM. This is needed in MANY (all caps) markets, because there isn't enough activity in them during the day. Of course, the speculator takes his cut, which is the price that the buyer and seller must pay for not bothering to be in the market at the same time.

      Market makers usually operate at a loss, and make it up from preferential deals with brokers and exchanges. They do not trade all markets, only those where their losses can be limited adequately.

  20. Arbitrage by goombah99 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    arbitrage === extremely good. Keeps markets liquid. but it only requires a response time of seconds to minutes to be useful. high frequency trading is pure parasitism and should be abolished. Delays in order would remove a lot of it. Random delays in orders would be slightly more effective. And a trading tax would remove the low margin high volume trading. I have no idea why they don't implement this as see what happens. Could always unwind it if something unforseen results.

    --
    Some drink at the fountain of knowledge. Others just gargle.
    1. Re:Arbitrage by i+kan+reed · · Score: 1

      Could always unwind it if something unforseen results.

      To play devil's advocate for a position I find distasteful, but haven't yet heard a totally valid takedown of: the neo-liberal set(republicans, libertarians, you know) argue that pragmatically speaking, regulatory laws don't get unwound.

      I consider myself insufficiently informed to either debunk or accept that argument, and lack a good tool to find out more.

    2. Re:Arbitrage by Kohath · · Score: 1

      Arbitrage is super helpful. If my stock is going down and I want to dump out of it before I lose any more money, frequent trades mean I'll find a buyer. I won't be stuck in a position that's losing more and more money every minute.

      Who does high frequency trading hurt again? Who are the victims?

    3. Re:Arbitrage by fredprado · · Score: 2

      High frequency trading is consensual trading and it shouldn't be abolished on the basis that "it is not useful". If people want to engage in this activity and other people are willing to sell and buy from them who are you to say what they can or cannot do?

    4. Re:Arbitrage by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      HFT provides liquidity only when the market conditions are sunny wrt the model parameters implemented - i.e. when they can achieve a quick haircut buy exploiting information discovery to intermediate in a price matching which would have happened anyway, and HFT advocates tend to claim for themselves the spread reductions that are really due to the many more client entrants into the market, inter-bank competition, more efficient electronic trading and risk management, and elimination of manual/voice trading and operations.

      They in no way act as true market makers which guarantee liquidity even in volatile trading conditions.

    5. Re:Arbitrage by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Information and access asymmetry is decidedly non-consensual.

    6. Re:Arbitrage by fredprado · · Score: 1

      Sure it is. Nobody is forced to sell or buy shares. When you do it through the stock market you accept that you will do it to anybody that is interested in paying the correct price for it and that it works first-come, first-served.

    7. Re:Arbitrage by Carewolf · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Could always unwind it if something unforseen results.

      To play devil's advocate for a position I find distasteful, but haven't yet heard a totally valid takedown of: the neo-liberal set(republicans, libertarians, you know) argue that pragmatically speaking, regulatory laws don't get unwound.

      I consider myself insufficiently informed to either debunk or accept that argument, and lack a good tool to find out more.

      Sweden tried a transaction tax in the 90s, but they made the tax too high (1% if I remember correctly). The results were not good for the Swedish economy so they rolled the law back. So there you go, even socialist countries like Sweden can rollback socialist laws if they turn out bad.

    8. Re:Arbitrage by NicBenjamin · · Score: 1

      Pension funds, Mutual Funds, and other large investors.

      The way it works is pretty simple: the stock market can blip upward or downward quite rapidly if somebody buys or sells a lot of shares extremely quickly. The market has to find outstanding shares of a company to sell (or buyers to sell them to if it's a sale), and if it can't find enough at the current price the price goes up (or down, during a sale).

      If you can figure out that some pension fund is about to buy $10 million in Ford stock (symbol: F), and you can get your trade to buy F to the exchange first, you buy pre-blip. Then you sell during the blip. The pension fund gets fewer shares then it expected because the price is higher then they expected. If it were to turn around and sell F you would sell shares (selling shares you don't own is called "short selling") before the pension fund's trade arrives, and then buy them right after the pension fund's trade. The pension fund gets less money then they expected because you sold early, driving their price down. Your profit margin is exactly proportional to the extra shares of F the pension fund didn't get with their retirees money, or the amount of cash they didn't earn from selling Ford.

      Obviously, this requires truly delicate timing and there are geeks in Manhattan making millions a year because they can figure out which building you have to rent space in to send your trade to the NASDAQ 2 milliseconds before a) the other HFTC guys, and b) 4 milliseconds before the poor schmucks charged with ensuring that retirees still have a pension next year.

      There was actually a 60 minutes piece on a guy who swears he's solved the problem. The solution involved a huge (as in several miles, IIRC) length of cable specifically intended to throw the HFTC routines timing off. If you arrive 10 milliseconds behind them because your network included more cable then they expected their shenanigans are over before your trade arrives. He used to work for the Royal Bank of Canada, which has an investment arm, and he was quite confused that all his stock orders bought less stock then he expected, and his sell orders resulted in less revenue.

    9. Re: Arbitrage by krups+gusto · · Score: 0

      Obviously a percentage approach is stupid if the problem being solved is time based.  Per transaction fixed cost is the way to go if the goal is to discourage frequent trades.

    10. Re:Arbitrage by plover · · Score: 1

      Rather than a fixed length of cable, it could be solved by adding a random delay to trades, anywhere between 0.001 and 59.999 seconds. The HFT traders can't play their games without taking on a huge amount of risk.

      The real problem is that exchanges make money off trades. The faster the exchange, the more likely HFTs are going to want to trade there, and make more money for the exchanges. Adding delays is going to make the HFTs go elsewhere, which would cut off a sizable chunk of their revenue, so they won't want to do it.

      Plus, the HFTs have lots and lots and lots of money, and an undetectably small amount of ethics. There's plenty of money to corrupt anyone involved, including paying the developers about a gajillion dollars to insert a weak PRNG. The NSA got RSA to add Dual_EC_DRBG as a standard for only 10 million dollars; for an HFT that's just Saturday night hookers-and-blow money.

      --
      John
    11. Re:Arbitrage by Zeek40 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Yeah, the neo-liberal set seem to have forgotten how the Reagan administration gutted SEC regulations and cut the tax brackets of America's richest by over 50%, which converted our economy into a steadily-growing powerhouse into the shitty cycle of booms and busts we're currently trapped in. Allowing banks to grow "too big to fail" and letting Wall Street create financial instruments so complicated that even their industry leaders can't explain to congress are indicators that de-regulation went WAY too far.

    12. Re:Arbitrage by Zeek40 · · Score: 1

      edit: I meant to type "from a steadily growing powerhouse into the shitty cycle of booms and busts"

    13. Re:Arbitrage by complete+loony · · Score: 1

      You don't need to delay the actual trade. Just delay reporting the order and trade data to even the playing field. That would prevent most uses of HFT.

      --
      09F91102 no, 455FE104 nope, F190A1E8 uh-uh, 7A5F8A09 that's not it, C87294CE no. Ah! 452F6E403CDF10714E41DFAA257D313F.
    14. Re:Arbitrage by Kohath · · Score: 1

      Why should every advantage go to large investors? Markets only work correctly if there are a lot of different people with a lot of different investing strategies and trading patterns.

      I don't think markets should be "fixed" to only benefit mutual fund and pension fund investors. These guys already have more information about the companies they invest in than individuals do.

      The guy from the Royal Bank of Canada might want to break his trades up into smaller lots. Or use limit orders and accept the risk that they won't be executed.

    15. Re:Arbitrage by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      More info on the above: http://www.nytimes.com/2014/04...

    16. Re:Arbitrage by Rockoon · · Score: 2

      Who does high frequency trading hurt again? Who are the victims?

      Pension funds, Mutual Funds, and other large investors.

      Wrong. The spreads between BIDs and ASKs are smaller because of HFT - that means "pension funds", "mutual funds", and "other large investors" are getting a better price on their trades.

      I know that you cannot understand that its possible for a 3rd party to enter into these transaction, make a profit, and also benefit everyone else involved... but thats because you are either a pig headed class bigot, ignorant of the mechanics of the methods of buying and selling, or lack the intelligence to figure out how its possible.

      --
      "His name was James Damore."
    17. Re:Arbitrage by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      FWIW a lot of high frequency trading isn't even arbitrage. Arbitrage is buying on one exchange and selling on another, and it provides the benefit of making sure markets across the world have similar prices.

      High frequency traders present fake 'orders' on one market, then when a buyer tries to buy, they cancel the order before it closes, and move to the next market offering a higher price. Since the buyer's order will go from one market to the next in a matter of milliseconds they are able to game the price this way.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    18. Re:Arbitrage by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Civilisation and society trumps money hoarders. We are moving into a world of permanent 1% or even zero growth, or worse, centuries of depression - meaning that all the money that exists at that point is pretty much what there will be - do you people get it yet? It IS a zero sum game. And the people you are defending are both to blame and are going to fuck it even more for everyone. Don't give me this Elon musk shit either, tin cans coming out of the sky won't feed and clothe 12 billion people.

      We already have more debt than the value of the strippable assets of this entire planet. When your "who cares they all agree" people ask for their money, you will become a slave. With that risk, I don't fucking care if they "want" or "agree". They are being cunts to my grandchildren, who will have no hope.

      This century mate, not long - you'll change your tune pretty fucking quick smart.

    19. Re:Arbitrage by m.dillon · · Score: 1

      The spreads are smaller because of computerized trading, *NOT* because of HFT. HFT itself, verses normal computerized trading and non-HFT computer trading, is not going to have a big impact on the spread. In fact, HFT algorithms themselves do not really work all that well if there is any significant spread. They require volume to operate... no volume, no HFT.

      -Matt

    20. Re: Arbitrage by smellotron · · Score: 1

      Per transaction fixed cost is the way to go if the goal is to discourage frequent trades.

      Most transaction taxes discussed are a percentage of the notional value of the transaction (price * quantity, e.g. 100 shares of a $4 stock is $400 notionally). So Sweden's 1% tax could have easily been 1% of the value of the transaction, which is not at all stupid. In general, a transaction tax can be a function of the notional value of the transaction, quantity of the transaction (shares or contracts), or fixed per transaction; and in any case it will discourage frequent trading.

    21. Re:Arbitrage by Kaenneth · · Score: 1

      http://www.theverge.com/2013/1...

      "One example occurred earlier this month, when the Federal Reserve announced its plans to continue a long-running bond-buying program. The news was announced in a lockdown room at Fed headquarters in Washington, DC, and allowed to leave the room at exactly 2:00PM EST, timed to the millisecond. Somehow, markets in Chicago began trading on the information instantaneously, without waiting the few milliseconds that it would have taken for information to travel via microwave. Clearly someone leaked the information — but so far, they're getting off scott free."

    22. Re:Arbitrage by professionalfurryele · · Score: 1

      Well we can start with opertunity costs. Many of our smartest minds are directed not towards determining what the best allocation of resources is 6-12 months / 2 years / etc. down the line, but how best to use priviledged access to the stock market to make a thousandth of a penny on over a microsecond.

    23. Re:Arbitrage by fredprado · · Score: 1

      Completely false. Economy is not a zero sum game and never will be.

      We are moving to a world where everybody is much richer and has much more than they had before. And we have been doing it for a couple centuries now, thanks to capitalism. There is no problem if some get richer in the process.

      The debt that affects your grandchildren is government debt and it is direct result of a government doing what it shouldn't do at the cost of future generations. Personal debt does not pass to your children. Government debts do.

    24. Re:Arbitrage by Rockoon · · Score: 1

      The spreads are smaller because of computerized trading, *NOT* because of HFT.

      Spreads went down to 0.17% in 1994 (computerized trading in full swing) to 0.025% in 2004 (HFT in full swing)

      There was always a middle ma - now the middle man makes less. Don't like it? Change universes, because in this one you are wrong.

      --
      "His name was James Damore."
    25. Re:Arbitrage by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's always good to make sure you group people into which side of the house they sit. It makes it even clearer that the other side hasn't done anything to repeal the terrible decisions of their opposition, and have in fact extenuated the problem instead.

      By trying to say it's a one sided problem perpetuated the myth that the other side is any different.

    26. Re: Arbitrage by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If by "everybody" you mean "other middle class people in my tiny view of the world", then yes.

      You clearly haven't traveled, or even paid any attention to anything going on in the world.

    27. Re:Arbitrage by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It is not consensual and I'm not sure how you can arrive at that notion. If I place an order seeing a seller and a high frequency trader gets between us increasing my purchase price even slightly they are placing me at a disadvantage. They pay millions to get order generating servers closer to the markets to do jut this. If they were brokers this would be called front running and they would face fines, banishment from the industry or even jail time. There should be a 100% tax on capital gains held less than one day with an exception for market makers and that would eliminate this nonsense.

    28. Re:Arbitrage by NicBenjamin · · Score: 1

      Two points:
      HFT investors are only "small" by the ridiculous standards of Fortune 500 companies. Every HFT outfit has tens of thousands in computer equipment, leases on New York Real Estate, a six-figure geek budget to keep it all running, and $2-$3 million in their stock market accounts. And most of them probably got their seed money from one of the big banks, so they're only "small" in the sense that they are technically separate from

      The people who don't have New York real estate, whose major IT expense is a $80 a month cell bill, and whose sole assets are a sub-$150k house and a sub-$100k IRA are the real little guys here. And screwing their IRAs is exactly how the HFT guys make money.

    29. Re:Arbitrage by NicBenjamin · · Score: 1

      So the bid/ask spread is down?

      Oh my God, as a middle-class American child in the early 90s every day my Dad would open the papers complaining about how the evil Bid/Ask spread was destroying his IRA. It was the most important issue of the day. Thank God and High Frequency Traders for fixing that evil Bid/Ask spread.

      Finance guys are great at explanations. The problem is they're so out-of-touch with the real world that everyone else lives in that it's impossible for anyone who doesn't think a multi-million HFT house is a "small investor" to tell whether it's a BS rationalization or God's own truth.

      It seems to me you're pretty clearly in the BS category, because the trading strategy I described doesn't care about the Bid/Ask spread. It is designed to figure out which side of the spread the UAW's pension fund is going to be using (ie: if they're selling stock they're accepting Bids, and thus will get the Bid price), and then move that to disadvantage the UAW pension fund.

    30. Re:Arbitrage by NicBenjamin · · Score: 1

      The RBC guy is actually setting up an entirely new Exchange:
      http://www.bloomberg.com/news/...
      Presumably for precisely this reason.

  21. You mean Bittcoins? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I can't think of anything else completely abstracted away from real world value.

  22. Re:This is news? The stock market is a house of ca by ewibble · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Corporations have more rights than people, when was the last time you saw a corporation sent to jail? even for causing someones death, you kill someone even though manslaughter you are going to jail, if you steal you will probably go to jail. if a corporation does it, they get a fine, which relative to their income is minor.

  23. Interesting! Wonderful! Fascinating! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So it really is but a superlatively gushing load of gushing superlativity, then.

    Well then, that saves me reading the article. NEXT!

  24. Now that Lewis's 15 minutes are up... by ggraham412 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    ...time to spam us all with another article on HFT.

    it allowed the high frequency traders to peek at the ballots others were sending in to the newspaper before they arrived, in turn giving them the ability to cast their votes using information not yet available to the rest of the market.

    Front running is not High Frequency Trading. The existence of front running is not an argument to limit "High Frequency Trading" any more than phishing is an argument to end high speed internet.

    Until people can recognize the difference between front running (a biased ordering of particular market events) and high frequency trading (low latency response to available market data) then there really is no point in responding to this nonsense. Not as much fun as donning the tinfoil hat, I know...

    1. Re:Now that Lewis's 15 minutes are up... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Until people can recognize the difference between front running (a biased ordering of particular market events) and high frequency trading (low latency response to available market data) then there really is no point in responding to this nonsense. Not as much fun as donning the tinfoil hat, I know...

      I don't think it's as simple as you make it out to be. low latency response to data that is available to you can be very much like front running to everyone else without that advantage.

    2. Re:Now that Lewis's 15 minutes are up... by m.dillon · · Score: 3, Informative

      In fact, the biggest money maker for a high frequency trader *IS* front-running someone else's order. Other profits from HFT algorithms, such as simple arbitrage, are a lot lower than profits from front-running opportunities. I very much doubt that the infrastructure investments HFT firms have made would be worth doing without the front-running component, so it will be interesting to see what happens down the line.

      The front-running is possible when the other person's order is placed on multiple exchanges but not delayed so it hits them all at the same time. If the order hits, say, the BATS exchange first and there is a 100ms delay before it hits, say, the NYSE, then HFT algorithms will see the order on BATS and will be able to front-run the order on the NYSE using their superior network connections to the NYSE to get ahead of the original order that is still in-transit to the NYSE.

      -Matt

    3. Re:Now that Lewis's 15 minutes are up... by Too+Much+Noise · · Score: 2

      Until people can recognize the difference between front running (a biased ordering of particular market events) and high frequency trading (low latency response to available market data) then there really is no point in responding to this nonsense.

      You seem confused about what frequency means - hint, it's not the inverse of latency. HFT is about (very) low asset holding times, not low latency of the response (although the latter is a necessary means). Case in point, the low latency part, when uses to provide liquidity (as the standard argument goes) would be indifferent to trading patterns - much like a market maker in a stock doesn't pick and choose trades and usually has a requirement to, you know, be there to make the market if needed. HFT, in the fast flipping sense that gave the name, has no such compulsions and very much cares about trading patterns, which together with trend hunting algos has a negative effect on price stability (statistically prone to abrupt swings in both directions).

      So do try to understand that high frequency and low latency do not describe the same thing. Otherwise people might start to think that there really is no point in responding to your posts.

    4. Re:Now that Lewis's 15 minutes are up... by martin-boundary · · Score: 1

      meh, *any* difference between you and others is an advantage. Why do you think finance companies hire bright people to work for them? Because having a bright employee is an advantage. Same with buying the latest technology, having the greatest speed, working out the best tax loopholes etc.

    5. Re:Now that Lewis's 15 minutes are up... by martin-boundary · · Score: 1

      Sorry, front running is a scam where the suckers are not given the information on time *on purpose*. This isn't front running, because everybody gets all the information at the same time *from the exchanges*. The suckers are suckers because they don't invest enough in technology and tech people, so they have subpar equipment and can't compete. Don't bring a bicycle to an F1 race. Or at least if you do, don't complain the F1 guys are cheating. It just makes you look silly.

    6. Re:Now that Lewis's 15 minutes are up... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Oh, I take it you read Michael Lewis's book too.

      The front-running is possible when the other person's order is placed on multiple exchanges but not delayed so it hits them all at the same time. If the order hits, say, the BATS exchange first

      If that happens, then it is almost certainly not a retail order.

      and there is a 100ms delay before it hits, say, the NYSE, then HFT algorithms will see the order on BATS and will be able to front-run the order on the NYSE

      OK, let's suppose the high frequency trader sees orders trade through the offer BATS -- someone bought it for 100.0, 100.01, 100.02 and 100.03 . If it trades past the best offer, the order protection rule says that they have to try to trade the bid. But the sneaky HFT buys it at the offer on NYSE for 100.0. what do they do next ? They crossed the spread to pick up a position, and their only basis for crossing the spread was that they following a large poorly executed order. It seems to me that they are on the wrong side of the trade unless they can get out of their position very quickly. They could try offering on NYSE for 100.02, hoping that this intermarket order will also go up to 100.02 on NYSE (but it doesn't have to, and besides, their offer would be at the end of the queue)

      I have a question for you -- how do you know which trades are the primary money makers for high frequency traders ? Do you have any data on how widespread this so-called "front running" really is ?

  25. Re:This is news? The stock market is a house of ca by MozeeToby · · Score: 1

    By law, the corporation can only consider the interests of their shareholders. It is legally
    bound to put its bottom line before everything else, even the public good.

    There is nothing at all saying a corporation can't call out the common good in it's bylaws, mission statement, and investment perspectis.

  26. sounds like Wall street business as usual by ganv · · Score: 2

    We have been for a long time in the situation where the financial institutions are primarily extracting rents from producers rather that contributing to economic productivity. High frequency trading is simply a particularly obvious example of this. The situation is not particularly new. Those with wealth and power have always influenced the rules to their own benefit. The question is whether there are any counter-measures that effectively push people to contribute value rather than skim off value created by others.

  27. Mutual Funds are quite a big part of this problem by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I have often thought along these same lines. When you are investing in something because it has proven to make money in the past as opposed to knowing what the company does and have an interest in it, how can you vote.

    If you can't vote, what "share holders" are all these corporations hiding their bad decisions on. They are making decisions to satisfy whom, and what criteria of satisfy are they using?

    I was incensed with some corporations that made increasingly bad decisions and kept terrible CEOs in. I could only think it was because of what this author is seeing. Car guys should run car companies. Car guys should sit on the board to make sure their CEO is a car guy. You wouldn't have the budget division making sports cars and the performance division making mini-vans, and you wouldn't have the government step in and kill of both of those divisions... but now I am descending into a product loyal rant.

  28. Re:This is news? The stock market is a house of ca by internerdj · · Score: 1

    I've always done best in the stock market when I'm choosing companies that are clearly operating outside the common good.

  29. Technological solution by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What about a token passing mechanism?

  30. Frequent auctions by GlobalEcho · · Score: 1

    For those of you not frothing at the mount, Eric Budish has an interesting critique and proposal to replace continuous-time markets with auctions every second or so. The idea is that being forced to wait for the next auction mitigates the advantages of low-latency trading.

    I think he makes a very good argument.

    1. Re:Frequent auctions by m.dillon · · Score: 1

      There are a number of good solutions available. If anyone actually read the book, defeating the HFTs basically comes down to adding a delay to multi-exchange transactions such that the transaction reaches each exchange at the same time.

      The real problem here is that the regular exchanges prioritized their own profits over their duty to provide a fair market to participants. That much is obvious, and frankly I think there should be criminal prosecutions for what they did (I doubt it will happen though).

      This sort of things has happened in other areas. There are several market reports that sell early copies to a select group of clients. One just recently was selling an 'electronic' version even earlier than its main group of clients. It turned out that the HFTs who purchased the ultra-early version were using the data to front-run the normal clients (who in turn were trying to front-run regular investors reacting to the report when it goes public).

      The instant it was revealed what the early-early group was doing, the regular clients stopped trading on the early news and the early-early group were suddenly not able to make any money front-running the regular clients. The producer of the report was forced to retract the early-early report or lose *all* of their regular clients who were tired of being front-run.

      The stock exchanges are engaged in the same sort of crap with the HFTs, selling them special access and trade types that other investors do not have. Now the exchanges are in a position of having to deny that they are making things unfair when it is obvious that they are making things unfair.

      This just goes to show how convoluted things can become. But once it gets into the light of day, corrective action can happen pretty quickly.

      If our regulatory agencies were more competent, this would have been dealt with years ago instead of letting it fester as long as it has.

      -Matt

    2. Re:Frequent auctions by GlobalEcho · · Score: 1

      defeating the HFTs basically comes down to adding a delay to multi-exchange transactions such that the transaction reaches each exchange at the same time.

      Budish shows in his paper how that is not true. Basically, it works only if very little of the total volume is on a delayed exchange.

      The stock exchanges are engaged in the same sort of crap with the HFTs, selling them special access and trade types that other investors do not have.

      I don't see a problem with that. Back in the old days of floor trading, the floor traders had special access everyone else lacked. And they behaved very badly compared to what we now see with HFTs.

      If our regulatory agencies were more competent, this would have been dealt with years ago instead of letting it fester as long as it has.

      They are careful, not incompetent. The gut reaction of lots of people is that any middleman is a parasite. The reaction in the American West to the rise of hardware and lumber specialists during the late 19th century (fueled by general stores) is an excellent example with similar popular political outrage behind it. I'm glad the regulators did nothing about it.

    3. Re:Frequent auctions by m.dillon · · Score: 1

      I think reality tends to trump thought experiments. I don't dislike the 1-second auction idea, I think it would work quite well. But I disagree that IEX's ability to stop the HFTs cold is a fluke that will disappear as their volume goes up. Their reasoning is sound and obvious and immediately solves the biggest problem that money managers have these days when trying to buy or sell large amounts of stock. I don't see how volume changes the equation at all.

      Besides, his paper does not appear to say what you summarized at least in regards to IEX. It simply states that IEX is solving one aspect of the problem. It's pretty easy to argue that the piece they are solving is the biggest piece of the pie. Personally speaking, I don't care about the aspects of HFT which only involve standard arbitrage.

      In terms of HFT... it was obviously fraudulent from the day it started beind used. The SEC should have acted immediately and didn't. Companies were spending hundreds of millions of dollars on infrastructure to get sub-millisecond transit improvements and they were lying to our faces talking about improving liquidity, magically, well in excess of the capital they actually had in play, when it was obvious that they were only exploiting flaws in the system.

      It was a failure of the financial media as much as it was a failure of the SEC, but the SEC *should* have acted immediately and they didn't. And the result is a major loss of trust in the mechanisms of the stock market to the point where many retail investors who didn't understand the low scale of the fraud exited the market and stayed out of the market when they should have stayed in. I'm not going to make excuses for those people, I certainly wasn't scared away, but the general public deserves better than what the media and the government has handed to them over the last ~6 years.

      -Matt

  31. when you conflate value and money, you're lost by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    HST isn't "capturing value". It's making money. Value includes our, well, value systems -- our relationships, our morals, our ideas of how the world should be. Money is completely amoral. The biggest lie we tell ourselves is that we'll be worth more *as humans* if we have more money, and that people without money are without value. We make countless compromises to our true values to get money, and then wonder why we aren't happy. We've gotten it quite backwards.

    1. Re:when you conflate value and money, you're lost by cowdung · · Score: 1

      It is that way because we let it be that way. But money doesn't need to be amoral.

      Money is not a god that society needs to bow down to. It is a tool that society uses to distribute resources and create a form of justice. So it follows that society should regulate money to serve its ends.. not be a slave to it. Just as you wouldn't want to create an army of warlord soldiers that reign free over humans, you don't want to let money reign free over humans.

      Presently economist and politicians have become too dogmatic about what should or should not be done with money. It serves only a small minority and eventually will bring upon ruin.

  32. Re:This is news? The stock market is a house of ca by sribe · · Score: 1

    By law, the corporation can only consider the interests of their shareholders. It is legally
    bound to put its bottom line before everything else, even the public good

    Pure bullshit. There is no such legal requirement.

  33. and front-running? by Chirs · · Score: 2

    The main thrust of the book "Flash Boys" is that the HFTs get advance notice of your trade on one exchange, and then beat you to all the other exchanges to do the trade before you. This is not normal "first come first served", but rather a form of front-running.

    1. Re:and front-running? by fredprado · · Score: 1

      It is part of the rules people who decide willingly to use the stock market accept. Therefore it is completely consensual.

    2. Re:and front-running? by fredprado · · Score: 2

      Furthermore "beating you to it" is only relevant to other high frequency traders and day traders. Long term investors are totally unaffected by any operation of the sorts.

    3. Re:and front-running? by plover · · Score: 1

      By continually extracting money from the exchange without injecting value, they reduce the overall value of the stocks. Even on the exchanges, value isn't created from trading; it's created only by the companies being invested in. Long term investors have the value of their shares reduced as a result.

      In other words, HFTs aren't gambling like everyone else.

      Given that your statement is correct, "it's a free market", the best solution would be for legitimate companies to not allow their stocks to be traded on exchanges that permit HFTs. It would keep their stock values higher, but of course those exchanges wouldn't have the same amount of capital or the same volume of actual investors.

      It will be interesting to watch. If regulators don't step in, will companies opt out?

      --
      John
    4. Re:and front-running? by fredprado · · Score: 1

      That is bullshit. They don't extract value continuously and actually they do not extract value necessarily at all. It is still gambling in the end, and they do increase liquidity in exchange.

      But that is besides the point it is consensual, and the legitimate companies can at any time choose not to allow their shares to be operated by HFT. The fact that they don't should speak for itself.

    5. Re:and front-running? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wrong.

      You don't get to decide willingly which stock exchange you trade on. The whole basis to this scam is that Reg NMS requires that orders be routed and matched to the lowest price exchange, regardless if that is the exchange you chose to deal with.

      There are no exchanges (that trade US stocks) that do not implement Reg NMS, because Reg NMS is law that all exchanges are forced to implement, regardless whether their customers want it or not.

      Your argument sounds like: so don't trade US stocks. Because there is no way to purchase stocks without using a stock exchange or by proxy through a broker.

      That's not a reasonable argument. It is every USians (and many non-USians) right to buy stocks in US companies. They should be allowed to do that without someone else commiting fraud through insider trading. Unfortunately today, the situation is that people are commiting insider trading through front-running and there is no way to opt-out because of Reg NMS.

    6. Re:and front-running? by gander666 · · Score: 1

      It is not gambling when the top HFT companies can boast to never having a down day in 5 years. They are parasites, steeling pennies, billions of times.

      --
      Suppose you were an idiot and suppose you were a member of Congress ... but I repeat myself. - Mark T
    7. Re:and front-running? by smellotron · · Score: 1

      By continually extracting money from the exchange without injecting value, they reduce the overall value of the stocks... the best solution would be for legitimate companies to not allow their stocks to be traded on exchanges that permit HFTs. It would keep their stock values higher...

      This is a weird analysis. HFTs are market-neutral, meaning they are trying to avoid taking any big directional bets. Because they are buying and selling symmetrically, they tend to have very little impact on long-term market prices. Instead, their profit comes from buying low and selling high on average, meaning that they are profiting at the expense of their trading counterparties. At the end of the day, the value of the stock should be unchanged by HFTs. Except when their systems go bonkers, a la Knight Capital.

    8. Re:and front-running? by fredprado · · Score: 1

      And what about all the other HFT companies and other day traders. Day trading exists since the stock market beginning and it is as much "parasitic" as HFT trading. Still no company decided that their stocks cannot be day traded. Therefore your judgment about what is parasitic and what is not may be a little off, my friend. You should rethink about it.

    9. Re:and front-running? by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      I don't understand this.

      HFT traders are middlemen. They arrange trades and take a cut. This cut is far smaller than brokerage fees used to be. Brokerage houses used to look quite opulent, and that was because of middleman fees. The fees are far smaller nowadays, so if the market more or less worked with old-style middleman cuts it should work with the current ones.

      I'm not going to say that the liquidity HFTs provide is worth what they make, because I really don't know. It seems to me that being able to execute a trade in a second rather than a millisecond is not a great hardship, but I could be convinced otherwise.

      What I do know is that, as a long-term investor, I don't give HFTs much money. Since they take very little of any particular transaction, it isn't clear to me that they're a problem for me.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    10. Re:and front-running? by alexander_686 · · Score: 1

      The point that Lewis makes is that HFT are not middle men. They "front run" (or step inbetween) the client and the middle men. They don't arrange trades and they don't provid liquidity.

      Now, can I think of classes of high speed trading that does what you suggest - Yes. Just not this particular case.

    11. Re:and front-running? by fredprado · · Score: 1

      And he is wrong in this point, as you are. They are as much middle men as day traders. And day traders exist for a long time and have a positive effect on trading and do provide liquidity. HFT does exactly the same thing day traders do just in a faster time scale.

  34. they don't take capital risk by Chirs · · Score: 2

    From the book "Flash Boys", one of the HFT companies mentioned that they were only ever "down" one day in five years. That's not actually taking risk. That's skimming a more-or-less guaranteed tax off the top.

    1. Re:they don't take capital risk by BitcoinBenny · · Score: 1

      There is nothing guaranteed about it. The market is entirely open in that regard. If you have the capital and the expertise then beat them at their game. If they didn't lose any money then they were just really good at it. Every time you place an order you are taking a capital risk, you may be on the wrong side of the trade, your systems may crash, or your competitors may be better than you, or any number of a thousand other things that could make you lose money. You don't win for five years straight by being a rent seeker, it is perhaps the most competitive technology sector in the world.

    2. Re:they don't take capital risk by alexander_686 · · Score: 1

      You need to read Lewis's book. I agree with you mostly but not in this particular case.

      High speed trading is supposed to be about wringing out inefficiencies in the market. If you figure out how to squeeze an extra penny out of the bid/ask spread you make the system more efficient so society wins and you make a profit. Win-Win. Incentives are properly align.

      In this particular case it is about introducing inefficiencies into the market and raking profit off of those increased inefficiencies. The trader makes a profit but everybody else is worse off – there should not be incentives to decreasing market integrity.

    3. Re:they don't take capital risk by BitcoinBenny · · Score: 1

      We are going to have to agree to disagree. I haven't read Lewis' book, but I do have a fairly significant background in trading. All you have to do is look at the bid/ask spread and tick data from the late 80' until now to see the massive change technology has introduced. You can also see how the banks have reacted to this competition by trying to take their business into sheltered exchanges where the market is more "fair" to their interests. You can execute a trade at a fraction of the cost and the spread is tighter than it has ever been, how can there be any argument that individuals aren't getting excellent pricing and liquidity. If anything I think the move into dark pools is far more insidious as it prevents public price discovery. The outcry over extremely well funded players who have invested tens of millions into people and technology in order to "win" versus the average person who gets a good price and can always fulfill an order for $5 on E-trade is silly. Normal people aren't competing with HFT companies in either scale or timeline, and in aggregate are reaping substantial savings due to the insane free market competition between them. I'll see if I can pick up that book, but experience tells me a very different story than the one people on slashdot keep touting.

    4. Re:they don't take capital risk by alexander_686 · · Score: 1

      We don't have to agree to disagree because we agree. I too believe that high speed, algorithmic, and other computerized forms of trading has brought depth and liquidity to the market. This is all good.

      Generally speaking – but here we have a particular case where this is not true. Under the current law, brokers must seek "best price", not "best execution". This flaw lets fleet footed trades to front run orders. They are gamming the system. For you, a small investor, these front running HFTs are skimming a few pennies for each trade. It is worse institutional players.

      As you say the current system is more efficient than the old system. That misses the point. There is a flaw in the current system that should be fixed. Note that I think the answer is to eliminate the flaw, not eliminate high speed trading.

      And hey, even if you don't pick up Flash Boys try picking up one of Lewis's other books. He has also written Liar's Poker (about his time as a trader), Blind Side, and Money Ball (one that I have not read yet.)

    5. Re:they don't take capital risk by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Doesn't sound all that competitive to me. If one company can do it for 5 years straight, must be pretty easy. Humans make mistakes. You show me a company that does not. So, either this is so easy that mistakes don't matter, or this one company has Jesus working for them. Which is more likely?

    6. Re:they don't take capital risk by alexander_686 · · Score: 1

      Arbitrage trading has a long history has a long history of finding inefficiencies in the market and squeezing money out of them. It tends to be a dull, low risk business. The end result is profit to the broker and a more efficient market. I don't know of any of these firms have a 5 year track record like that but I would not be surprised.

      HFT front running is different because they make a profit from the inefficiencies that they cause. They don't make the markets more efficient. They just game the system. I am not saying they don't bring talent and resources to the game but their game is to exploit a privilege position.

    7. Re:they don't take capital risk by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I've seen lewis's 60 minutes interview and it's clear from this that he has no idea what he's talking about.

      For example, he states that when you (a retail customer) send an order, the first place it goes is BATS. This is utter rubbish (it is unlikely to go to any exchange if it is, like most retail orders, a marketable order).

      He also claims that this so-called "front running" (stepping in front of intermarket sweeps) is "risk free". (without going into the details, this too is utter rubbish. I doubt it's even profitable)

      He also claimed (but then backed away from) the idea that retail orders were getting skimmed. If this so-called front running does occur on a large scale (he's so far off base with his other claims that I have no confidence that he is right here), the parties getting skimmed are financial intermediaries that are no good at their job (to execute orders for their clients). So good riddance to them.

      If there really are traders trying to step in front of sweeps, they are undermining the regulatory framework that US equity markets are founded on and really should be given a good public flogging.

    8. Re:they don't take capital risk by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      From the book "Flash Boys", one of the HFT companies mentioned that they were only ever "down" one day in five years. That's not actually taking risk. That's skimming a more-or-less guaranteed tax off the top.

      How many trades do they win on and how many do they lose on ?

      They collect a premium in return for being willing to take a position off your hands. The market place for that premium is brutally competitive and transparent. If anyone can be profitable quoting a tighter spread, they can step in and put this other outfit out of business. Pricing is accurate to about 0.1% Compare this with the housing market, the car market, the market for telecommunications services, etc.

      It's probably true that traders who take on small positions with shorter hold times don't require as much capital as those who put on big positions and hold for longer. You could also perhaps even argue that the service they provide is not that valuable (though investors who have seen spreads go from a quarter to a penny might disagree). But it's pretty hard to make the case that they are not battling this out in a very competitive market place.

  35. Re:This is news? The stock market is a house of ca by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Thank you. I don't know why everyone keeps repeating this thing.

  36. Re:This is news? The stock market is a house of ca by sribe · · Score: 1

    Thank you. I don't know why everyone keeps repeating this thing.

    Well, many of our bosses keep repeating it to us, because it is a convenient excuse for their anti-social behavior. The notion, as far as I know, was first championed by that degenerate geriatric sociopath Jack Welch back in the 1980s.

  37. Comment on the final paragraph by ocean_soul · · Score: 2

    I agree mostly with this article, but I have one comment on something said in the final paragraph: "But they're borne from a similar mindset: one in which financial returns are the priority, independent of whether they're associated with something innovative or useful in the real world." The main point of businesses is, and always has been and always will be, to make money. They're producing something people want or need only because that is the way to get money. Otherwise, it would be a governmental subsidy or a charity, rather than a company. I think, instead, the actual dichotomy is between short term and long term gains. The examples the author gives of CEOs that have been successful by resisting the pressure from the financial markets are of companies that did make money, lots of it. There is an interesting article by investor J. Kennon that summarizes it as impatience robbing speculators of much higher gains they could have earned by investing in the long run. So, I think it is more a problem of speculators trying to get rich quickly; investors trying to become rich, in itself, is not so problematic.

    1. Re:Comment on the final paragraph by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The main point of a business is to provide a good or service to a community. Making enough money to support the operation is part and parcel of that - but it is not the basis of a business. No society can hope to long endure when its structure encourages individuals to enrich themselves over enriching the community. That simply enriches the most selfish members of the society.

      And that's exactly the system that we have. In large part because people take it for granted that "the main point of a business is [...] to make money."

  38. Like Bitcoin by aNonnyMouseCowered · · Score: 1

    Independent of any real world value? Sounds like Bitcoin. Or maybe Bitcoin is merely a symptom of a larger problem that includes creating "value" out of so-called intellectual property like patents for obvious things and the latest media sensation. Which isn't bad as soon as we figure out how to eat bits and bytes.

    1. Re:Like Bitcoin by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You are exactly right. But I would add that bitcoin and HFT create value by destroying utility in the form of energy consumption.

  39. They're called Derivatives by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    And they're the reason for the 2007 mortgage crisis. They are abstract financial instruments that derive their value from the performance of another financial entity. Finance is getting increasingly distanced from real money and value, we people trade the idea of an idea of an idea of a thing.

    1. Re:They're called Derivatives by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, the reason for the 2007 mortgage crisis is that companies already anticipated that they wouldn't have to bear the losses from their risky lending. And of course, Obama came through for his buddies in big finance.

    2. Re:They're called Derivatives by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      And of course, Bush and Obama came through for their buddies in big finance.

      Fixed that for you. The big bailouts started under Bush and continued under Obama. We don't need to be partisan about this.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
  40. The title of my next stock market guide by paiute · · Score: 1

    Coming soon from Hardcourt and Knee Brace: "Buy If (i > 0 and j > 0 and F(i,j) == F(i-1,j-1) + S(Ai, Bj)) And Sell When (j > 0 and F(i,j) == F(i,j-1) + d)"

    --
    If Slashdot were chemistry it would look like this:Cadaverine
    1. Re:The title of my next stock market guide by TerranFury · · Score: 1

      I can't tell if these are arbitrarily chosen symbols meant to be a joke ("everybody is looking for an easy algorithm to get rich and there is none"), or an esoteric reference ("there is a standard formula used in finance, called..."), or maybe an idea you began to play with on your own... Are you being serious?

      I ask because it looks almost like a dynamic programming solution to some problem -- like your "F" is a Q-table or Bellman Value Function, and "d" is some instantaneous cost.... although I'd expect inequalities, not equalities... unless S(Ai,Bj) and d are slack variables(?).... and S even suggests "slack" -- but what are Ai, Bi?

      Your symbols are on the verge of making sense to me... Is this just pareidolia? Have I just had too much coffee? Or is there actually some (optimal control?) problem you're hinting at?

    2. Re:The title of my next stock market guide by bre_dnd · · Score: 1

      Buy low, sell high.

    3. Re:The title of my next stock market guide by paiute · · Score: 1

      Tis a joke, but your post is the inspiration for my next billion dollar idea:

      1. Search Wikipedia for a couple of lines from an obscure algorithm to make a joke post
      2. Realize that on Wall Street there is nothing too weird that some desperate suckers might not actually believe it
      3. Publish actual stock market guide filled with cut and paste sciency-looking stuff
      4 Profit!

      --
      If Slashdot were chemistry it would look like this:Cadaverine
    4. Re:The title of my next stock market guide by TerranFury · · Score: 1

      It could even work... (For some other authors, perhaps it already has...)

      (Oh -- and, off topic; I saw your signature -- respect for finishing a novel. That's cool.)

  41. Re:This is news? The stock market is a house of ca by khallow · · Score: 2

    By your idiotic drivel, hammers have more rights than people too. After all, when's the last time you saw a hammer sent to jail? (incidentally, this argument is chock full of irony since there probably have been hammers and corporations effectively "sent" to "jail" in the US - see below) The fundamental problem here is that corporations don't actually commit crimes any more than any other sort of property commits crimes.

    Now, I realize that the US legal system is rather dumb in this regard and actually have sent a variety of household items and assets to jail (here, seized in an illegal drug-related raid and auctioned off by the US Marshals or similar organizations) on the basis that the thing in question did commit a crime or was at least used in the commission of a crime.

    The legal fiction of corporate personhood is to protect the rights of the people involved in the corporation. In the Citizens United case, the only reason why people care about corporate personhood in the first place, the McCain-Feingold campaign finance law gave unaffiliated individuals special, unconstitutional privileges over those associated with a corporation. That's why the law was repealed.

  42. Re:This is news? The stock market is a house of ca by spiritplumber · · Score: 1

    Yeah. It was a few years ago, but the last person who told me that, I made him bleed, and dared him to do anything about it, and walked away. Mod me down if you like. Talk to the human being, never to the hat.

    --
    Liberty - Security - Laziness - Pick any two.
  43. American class warfare by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If a poor man creates wealth without real value he is prosecuted as a con artist.

    If a rich man creates wealth without real value he is called a genius.

  44. Re:Long-term capital gains? OK, then Capital Mkt by BoRegardless · · Score: 1

    Or at least a stock purchase must be held for at least 4 days and then any gains are 100% taxed if sold in under 4 months.

    This stops flipping and incentive to do short term ordinary income gains. Stocks after all are about long term investment.

    I know, I know, the BIG trading houses and HFT & DARK POOL guys would absolutely go on insane rants, but what we want is a "CAPITAL MARKET", not really a trading market.

  45. Most HFT's are in trouble, anyway by Antique+Geekmeister · · Score: 3, Interesting

    The creation of FPGA's to sit directly on the fiber leaving the stock exchanges has utterly corrupted high frequency trading. _No one_ in their remote office can get equal notice of small changes, and those FPGA's can flip transactions repeatedly as a stock rises to its new level, buying and selling and buying and selling to everyone else, and pulling their profits out of what normal traders would see. The transaction cost is much too low, and the forgiveness time to recall an unwise transaction is much too generous.

    Unfortunately, there are also inevitable phase delays and feedback loops in such systems that can destroy the value of companies, and investors, who get caught in the unplanned positive feedback. They can't be "programmed against" because programming against them would slow the transactions and lose the very profit that HFT is reaping.

    1. Re:Most HFT's are in trouble, anyway by m.dillon · · Score: 2

      That is total and complete nonsense. Ultimately the stock price is a reflection of the company, not the other way around. If a stock winds up being mis-priced due to an out-of-control trading program (and I've seen that happen plenty of times), it doesn't stay that way for long as investors pounce on it. You should count your blessings when it happens, because being able to buy a stock that an out of control trading program drops $10 in 60 seconds is virtually guaranteed profit.

      -Matt

    2. Re:Most HFT's are in trouble, anyway by Antique+Geekmeister · · Score: 1

      It's profit _for the other High Frequency Trading programs_, which are the only programs ready to sip the profits from each set of trades rapidly enough as the price shifts. And the wildly cycling prices rarely restore the price to the original value: this ruins employee stock options and frightens investors and banks away from companies that were not in any way responsible for the oscillation.

    3. Re:Most HFT's are in trouble, anyway by m.dillon · · Score: 1

      Where do you get this nonsense from?

      -Matt

    4. Re:Most HFT's are in trouble, anyway by Antique+Geekmeister · · Score: 1

      From the developers and stock personnel getting out of the business due to risks and low returns on their investments, especially as the FPGA driven technologies have replaced the extremely expensive datacenters with the "high-speed", "low latency" network links. It' has become a playpen for a few leading companies willing to invest tremendous capital in gaining microseconds of advantage over competitors.

    5. Re:Most HFT's are in trouble, anyway by evilviper · · Score: 1

      Ultimately the stock price is a reflection of the company, not the other way around.

      There is NO MECHANISM in (non-dividend) stocks, that forces the value to have any relation to the value of the company. When a company brings in more profits, the piece of paper is not magically changed. It's value is how much other buyers think it's worth, which is based on what they think they'll be able to sell it for.

      Think of it this way... If Apple got a huge windfall of cash that nobody knew about, AND THEY DIDN'T ANNOUNCE IT, how would it affect Apple's stock price??? Like MAGIC, Apple became more valuable, yet their stock price didn't change!

      All the damn time, a company's stock is highly overvalued. Calling it a rare event that is doomed to correct itself in short-order is nonsense. It will OVER-correct itself when the bubble gets too big and the entire sector necessarily crashes, but that's about all. Companies can counter this, by buying-back stock at a given price, and issuing more stock at a given price... Or they can offer dividends. But otherwise, it's all a hell of a lot of speculation, which isn't ever tied to any actual value, until/unless the company is liquidated to its stockholders.

      --
      Slashdot gets worse every day... Pipedot: News for nerds, without the corporate slant
  46. Re:This is news? The stock market is a house of ca by ultranova · · Score: 2, Interesting

    By your idiotic drivel, hammers have more rights than people too. After all, when's the last time you saw a hammer sent to jail? (incidentally, this argument is chock full of irony since there probably have been hammers and corporations effectively "sent" to "jail" in the US - see below) The fundamental problem here is that corporations don't actually commit crimes any more than any other sort of property commits crimes.

    Do hammers have agency? Would the sentence "A hammer builds a house" make sense? How about "Apple releases new iWhatever"? Or "US established a beachhead on D-Day"?

    We think and treat corporations, nations and other institutions as living beings because they are. We treat hammers as inanimate objects because they are inert matter. Yes, a corporation requires a human to act on its behalf to do anything, but similarly you require your muscle and neural cells to act on yours, and they in turn rely on molecular machines. And the difference between the US and USSR was not that one was made of different kinds of people than the other, but rather about the structures and values and even more importantly what the structures and values embodied - the "national spirit", so to say.

    Now, I realize that the US legal system is rather dumb in this regard and actually have sent a variety of household items and assets to jail

    The US legal system is no less fictitious than corporations are. Either they have existence and agency - effective personhood - or they don't. Which one is it?

    --

    Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

  47. It's arrived there ages ago by Opportunist · · Score: 3, Interesting

    The "value" of stock is by no means connected to real world revenue of the issuing corporations anymore. It's just dependent on expectations of stock traders and whether or not they have any "faith" in the paper.

    So, essentially, it's not really that different from any other religion. It's lost its roots in reality long, long ago, not just since the advent of HFT. If any doubt existed, the dot.com bubble with overhyped "values" of stock of companies that never earned a single dime should've dispelled that assumption that stock value has anything to do with the real world well over a decade ago.

    --
    We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    1. Re:It's arrived there ages ago by TheSync · · Score: 1

      The "value" of stock is by no means connected to real world revenue of the issuing corporations anymore. It's just dependent on expectations of stock traders and whether or not they have any "faith" in the paper.

      Actually equities price to earnings ratio (P/E) is highly correlated with 20-year annualized returns, (see graph here).

    2. Re:It's arrived there ages ago by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      You might want to review that link.

      And I never claimed that stock does not correlate with its own value. Just that it doesn't have anything to do with the real value of the underlying company.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    3. Re:It's arrived there ages ago by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The value of a stock depends on many factors, not just revenue. It is perfectly reasonable for the value of a stock to go through the roof even if it has no revenue, and companies with tons of revenue may reasonably not see any increase in stock value.

    4. Re:It's arrived there ages ago by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      Really? P/E ratio depends on both the stock market and the company performance. If those are correlated with stock price, then the stock price will heavily depend on corporate earnings.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
  48. Re:This is news? The stock market is a house of ca by complete+loony · · Score: 1

    There's a strong correlation between share price changes and margin loan acceleration. Most of the "growth" of the share market comes from people borrowing money to speculate, not because those companies are producing more value themselves. Of course, what goes up must come down.

    --
    09F91102 no, 455FE104 nope, F190A1E8 uh-uh, 7A5F8A09 that's not it, C87294CE no. Ah! 452F6E403CDF10714E41DFAA257D313F.
  49. Re:This is news? The stock market is a house of ca by khallow · · Score: 1

    We think and treat corporations, nations and other institutions as living beings because they are.

    If that statement were true (and it isn't), then there's your case for corporate personhood. But alas, corporations, nations, etc don't have agency.

  50. Stock brokers by tomhath · · Score: 1

    High frequency trading doesn't necessarily hurt investors. Without them individuals would still be paying the ridiculous commissions stock brokers used to charge; one can argue if more can be done, but I'm not convinced computer agents are worse than people.

  51. Economic activity is law for private economic gain by TheSync · · Score: 1

    one in which financial returns are the priority, independent of whether they're associated with something innovative or useful in the real world.

    Adam Smith pointed out in 1776...

    "It is not from the benevolence of the butcher, the brewer, or the baker that we expect our dinner, but from their regard to their own interest."

  52. In a similar vein to politics... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Sounds very much like it's heading in the same direction that politics went a couple of decades back.

  53. home-made problem by stenvar · · Score: 1, Interesting

    The reason high frequency trading is possible in the first place is because government regulations have created enormous barriers to entry for engaging in such trading. If anybody with a fast PC and fast network connection could make these trades in cheap, open exchanges, "finance" (i.e., rich political donors in New York) wouldn't be able to gain anything more than you would at home. In different words, high frequency trading would become like bitcoin mining, something for a large number of nerds each making a few bucks.

    I do hope "finance" will become irrelevant, and by "finance", I mean the group of protected and politically connected rich guys in New York. Let's not use the problems caused by regulation and government intervention to justify even more regulation and government intervention, in a vicious cycle. And don't make the mistake attributing this problem to one party or the other.

    1. Re:home-made problem by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If anybody with a fast PC and fast network connection could make these trades in cheap, open exchanges, "finance" (i.e., rich political donors in New York) wouldn't be able to gain anything more than you would at home.

      Don't forget that without at least 10k cash to spare, you can't even make enough profit off of a normal trade to pay the commission, if you're a regular folk. I don't know what socioeconomic status you are, but everywhere I look around, everyone is living hand-to-mouth, except a vanishingly tiny percentage who are actually able to live, and have the freedom to make choices (e.g. not rent vs food, shitty job versus worse job, etc.). The rest of us are just slaves, even if wage-slaves.

  54. Sounds a lot like by mark_reh · · Score: 2

    Bitcoin to me...

  55. Deeper problem: casino economy soaks up cash... by Paul+Fernhout · · Score: 1

    If everyone stuck all their cash and other non-cash funds into their mattresses, it is basic mainstream economics that we would have a huge financial depression from lack of currency for exchange. So, why do mainstream economists have trouble understanding that the same thing happens if take all that money and instead stuff it into computers in the digital equivalent of a casino frequented mostly by the wealthiest (the stock market, derivatives, currency speculation, etc.), where the money spends all its time in transactions have little relation to the real goods and services that most people spend all their money on?

    My take on that was from an idea I first saw a glimmering of in "Money As Debt II":
    http://paulgrignon.netfirms.co...
    "Today the largest volume of money by far is changing hands in what is best described as the gambling economy... the foreign exchange market, the derivatives market and the rest of the financial instruments being played by banks and investment funds for as much profit as possible. For example, the volume of trade on the world's foreign exchange markets, in just one week, exceeds the total volume of world trade in real goods and services during an entire year. This money is in continuous play by speculators looking to make windfall profits on currency fluctuations. It exists... but only in the gambling economy."

    Your tax on transactions could help with reducing the FIRE-sector casino economy by discouraging so much trading, but it does not get at the root of things like wealth concentration, since wealthy people could still just park money in cash or gold or real estate. A progressive income tax going up to 90%+ like we had in the USA decades ago, with the revenue redistributed as a basic income might help with wealth concentration. So might a wealth tax (but that is harder). Modest inflation also discourages hording money by forcing wealthy people to spend money, invest it, or lose it.

    Other alternatives to keep things going despite an absence of cash for the real economy due to it being stuffed into computers include more LETS systems (alternative currency that promotes community), making what little currency there is in the real economy move faster, expanding the gift economy, improved subsistence production, and better government planning using current tax dollars.

    So much of our wealth today is the product of generations of hard work by so many people including those creating inventions and other new ideas building on previous ideas, and in that sense is effectively a common inheritance. C.H. Douglas talked about with "Social Credit":
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/S...

    --
    A 21st century issue: the irony of technologies of abundance in the hands of those still thinking in terms of scarcity.
  56. Re:Wrong by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    niggers

  57. Re:This is news? The stock market is a house of ca by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    A legal person is an abstraction to enable entering into a contract. Many institutions, all corporations and natural persons, that is people, are all legal persons.

    By law, the corporation can only consider the interests of their shareholders. It is legally
    bound to put its bottom line before everything else, even the public good

    If the founding contract so stipulates. Otherwise, one can open any marketing text book and see the other reality.

  58. Re:Wrong by rhodium_mir · · Score: 1

    The government is just hating on your gains, bro.

    No homo.

    --
    You can't spell "oneiromancy" without "roman".
  59. Re:This is news? The stock market is a house of ca by Kaenneth · · Score: 1

    I've thought for a while there should be 2 classes of Corporation.

    1) Does real business (Manufacturing, Retailing, Services...); cannot own any part of other corporations.

    2) Owns parts of type 1's; cannot do other business aside from managing shares etc. (mutual funds/investment collectives/trust funds...)

    No complex ownership webs allowed. Two layers at most.

  60. Not very fascinating by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The article isn't any longer than the abstract here. There's no depth.

  61. Re:This is news? The stock market is a house of ca by ultranova · · Score: 1

    But alas, corporations, nations, etc don't have agency.

    Then your statement "I realize that the US legal system is rather dumb in this regard and actually have sent a variety of household items and assets to jail" is nonsensical, as only things that have agency can take action (by definition). For that matter, a lot of your other posts are too, for the same reason.

    Then again, you already ignored this once, so I suppose you'll do it again. It would be interesting to know what ulterior motives prompt making a claim that's at such odds with your actual demonstrated beliefs, though. Some kind of fear that agency might lead to demands of moral responsibility, perhaps?

    --

    Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

  62. The Cree already foretold this: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    When all the trees have been cut down,
    when all the animals have been hunted,
    when all the waters are polluted,
    when all the air is unsafe to breathe,
    only then will you discover you cannot eat money.

  63. Great Article!!! by alex.taylor084 · · Score: 1

    Yeah it's great article ..... but there are many people in trading who just to find out what other people wanted... like the author of the article said.

  64. Not so interesting by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So they are becoming like the academic world.

  65. Re:Long-term capital gains? - Sales tax by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If I buy something I have to pay a sales tax.
    Companies do not pay sales tax on items that they use to make other items.
    They charge a sales tax when they sell to someone.
    Stocks should be reclassified as a business expense, so each transaction has a sales tax on it.
    Then, you will only see trades where the expected profit is over the sales tax percentage.
    The HFT where they are jumping in front of a sale, and then reselling it at the slight price rise will get squeezed out.

  66. Final Destination? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The final destination? It will enter a world entirely of its own — a world in which it is fighting to capture value that is completely independent of whether any is created in the first place.

    I'm getting tired of these Bitcoin stories...

  67. Philip K Dick by ppentz123 · · Score: 1

    One of Dick's books, sorry I cannot remember the title, concerns an arms race involving entirely fictitious weapons. The financial industry seems to be approaching this level, where the activity in no way concerns real-life financial instruments.

    1. Re:Philip K Dick by dak664 · · Score: 1

      "The Penultimate Truth" http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/T...

  68. Pedantic misdirection by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Other than the fact that latency and frequency are different things, does this impact the validity of his main point - that front running is the real problem here?

    It sounds like you just said "latency != frequency. Also, here's the exact same argument against liquidity you've heard 1000 times."

  69. Re: by kurkosdr · · Score: 1

    As long as your deposits are bet on those fictonal products, and the fairy tale of national debt exists, finance will never be "irrelevant".

  70. Re:This is news? The stock market is a house of ca by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Many corporations that exist today have "make money for the owner(s)" as their primary if not only goal.

    There are however many that have other goals. They're typically nonprofits because if you're not planning to cut a check to the owner every quarter why not get tax exemption while you're at it.

    What there is not is any legal prohibition against a corporation that is not intended to make money for it's owner(s). Hell, a corporation could be legally established for the stated purpose of bleeding it's owners dry (good luck getting anyone to buy stock in it but it's not illegal).

    The root problem with corporate structure is the same fundamental issue that has always existed within civilization. When you put a person in charge of a thing, that person has every incentive to use that thing to their own best interests and not necessarily to the best interests of society at large. It's true of government, it's true of unions, it was true of trade guilds. It should be no surprise that it's true of corporations.

  71. Don't blame it all on the HFT's by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This phenomenon isn't just caused by HFT's, it is seen in regular traders as well. These traders have no knowledge about the companies they trade (and they quite frequently say as much, and how proud they are of this ignorance) and that they are "in it for short term gains" and not because they believe or support the companies themselves ... "Wall Street Athiests" is what I like to call them.

  72. It's all about algorithms ... by aces_of_clubs · · Score: 1

    trying to find the optimal prices on exchanges as soon as the quotes lives the order matching engine ... I like this video here worth 17 minutes of time ... talks about the limitations of how fast brain can process information .. and why machines now dominate the trade decisions ... https://www.youtube.com/watch?...

  73. It started in 1744 by NewYork · · Score: 1

    "Give me control of a nation's money supply, and I care not who makes its laws." --Rothschild in 1744.

  74. Re:This is news? The stock market is a house of ca by david_thornley · · Score: 1

    Hammers don't have the right of free speech; therefore, they don't have all the rights I do. Corporations have been granted free speech, and they (and their employees) are largely immune to imprisonment from what looks to me like criminal negligence. They diffuse responsibility to prevent employees from being convicted when they kill people, and don't go to jail themselves.

    Moreover, McCain-Feingold didn't give certain individuals special privileges. I can donate to a political campaign. Tim Cook can donate to a political campaign. That's fair. Thing is, the only money I can donate is mine. Cook, due to the Citizens United case, can donate Apple's funds to a political campaign (provided some other people acquiesce, of course). He's donating other people's money, and I don't see why not being able to do that gives me a special privilege over him.

    --
    "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
  75. Re:This is news? The stock market is a house of ca by david_thornley · · Score: 1

    Oddly enough, Mom invested in companies that were working for the common good, and that's why I inherited as much as I did. Her picks were largely due to moral reasons, and her stocks did quite well in the 2008 crunch. (Yeah, duelling anecdotes.)

    --
    "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
  76. Wall St. as the real Bitcoin? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    And "divorced from the real world"? After decades of propaganda telling ordinary people to invest in the market, why don't you ask folks who were in for retirement how "irrelevant" Wall St. and trading was to their retirement after the tech crash of 2000-2001, or after the crash of '08. How much of their savings or retirement got turned into nothing?

                    mark "time for the Defenestration of Wall St."

  77. Re:This is news? The stock market is a house of ca by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Even worse, if Cook wants to donate money, or fund a PAC, he could be doing with MY money.. If I, or my mutual funds are invested in Apple, he can use MY money to push for laws that REDUCE shareholder value and add to his own compensation.
    Yea' Yea' rules of governance, board of directors, shareholder votes and all that.
    But it is not really the same. Why should a publicly traded company be able to use shareholder funds at the direction of a CEO to influence politics in ways that some/many/majority/all shareholders disagree with?
    And when you add PAC's and the ability to donate to them without attaching a name, and some little bit of disclosure wording magic the shareholders/public wont even KNOW what he is spending shareholder money on.

  78. Re:This is news? The stock market is a house of ca by khallow · · Score: 1

    Then your statement "I realize that the US legal system is rather dumb in this regard and actually have sent a variety of household items and assets to jail" is nonsensical, as only things that have agency can take action (by definition).

    Ok, why is my statement nonsensical? Just because the law in a particular country might treat hammers as having agency doesn't mean that I do. I'm not US law. Examine your logic here.

  79. Re:This is news? The stock market is a house of ca by khallow · · Score: 1

    They diffuse responsibility to prevent employees from being convicted when they kill people, and don't go to jail themselves.

    The law is very definite on this point - beyond a reasonable doubt. And people aren't convicted of crimes merely because they kill other people. You have to show other things like a "callous disregard for human life".

    And the annoying thing is that removing corporate personhood does nothing to fix the problem of diffusion of responsibility. You're tilting at the wrong windmill.

    Moreover, McCain-Feingold didn't give certain individuals special privileges.

    Except that yes, it did. For example, from the majority opinion for Citizens United:

    "If the First Amendment has any force, it prohibits Congress from fining or jailing citizens, or associations of citizens, for simply engaging in political speech."

    So I can be fined and/or jailed for advocating the political views of my corporation under McCain/Feingold while the individual wouldn't be.

    Thing is, the only money I can donate is mine.

    No, that isn't the law. You could give me money and I could then donate it as an individual. That was still legal under the law. I suppose we could claim that the money is now "mine" which it technically is, though the obvious expectation here is that I would donate it to the appropriate causes.

  80. Re:This is news? The stock market is a house of ca by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    >It is legally bound to put its bottom line before everything else, even the public good

    This isn't true from a legal standpoint. Corporations use this excuse for their behavior, but they are not legally bound to behave the way.

  81. +10 BRILLIANT! by Optali · · Score: 1

    +10 BRILLIANT!

    --
    -- 29A the number of the Beast
  82. Re:This is news? The stock market is a house of ca by gzuckier · · Score: 1

    I've always understood the limited liability company to be an invention of the Europeans to facilitate the harvesting of the wealth of the Americas, after wealthy individuals and partnerships lost their fortunes in the attempt. They appear to still be successful at the task.

    --
    Star Trek transporters are just 3d printers.
  83. Re:This is news? The stock market is a house of ca by gzuckier · · Score: 1

    There is a "death penalty" for corporations when they are judged to be so rife with criminality that there is no hope that a new board of directors or something will straighten them out; however the only company that I know of ever to be thusly dismantled was IGFarben after WWII. And the irony is that even though all assets were stripped in 1952 and the financial entity was left to liquidate itself, pay off legal claims, etc, it continues to exist to this day, with stock still publicly traded, though it is nothing but a shell with no assets other than its stock value.

    --
    Star Trek transporters are just 3d printers.
  84. Re:This is news? The stock market is a house of ca by gzuckier · · Score: 1

    Exactly. This concept that a corporation is forbidden to do anything that might cost the stockholders is a conservative fairy tale. Nobody seems to object when a corporation sponsors a sports or entertainment event, for instance, even though it can often be questioned whether that is the most effective use of the money.

    --
    Star Trek transporters are just 3d printers.
  85. Re:This is news? The stock market is a house of ca by gzuckier · · Score: 1

    That is why stockholders are allowed to vote on company actions, etc. Since they have ultimate control over who makes decisions regarding corporate actions and what they do, there is no need for the government to judge whether the actions are in the stockholders' best interests or not.

    --
    Star Trek transporters are just 3d printers.
  86. Re:This is news? The stock market is a house of ca by ultranova · · Score: 1

    Ok, why is my statement nonsensical? Just because the law in a particular country might treat hammers as having agency doesn't mean that I do.

    It does, however, mean that the legal system is capable of holding positions on various subjects, such as the agency of hammers, and acting according to them. So do companies, countries etc: they have goals they are trying to reach, an agenda they're pushing. Which is pretty much the definition of agency.

    Your statement is nonsensical because if institutions have no agency, action cannot be ascribed to them, which you did.

    I'm not US law. Examine your logic here.

    Examine your own writing. You're ascribing actions to the US legal system, which implies it has agency. Indeed, an institution without agency would be completely pointless, since it couldn't do anything.

    --

    Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

  87. Re:This is news? The stock market is a house of ca by khallow · · Score: 1

    It does, however, mean that the legal system is capable of holding positions on various subjects, such as the agency of hammers, and acting according to them. So do companies, countries etc: they have goals they are trying to reach, an agenda they're pushing. Which is pretty much the definition of agency.

    No, it means the people who use the system do. The people remain the ones with agency.

    Your statement is nonsensical because if institutions have no agency, action cannot be ascribed to them, which you did.

    I did no such thing.

    You're ascribing actions to the US legal system, which implies it has agency.

    Again, I implicitly ascribe actions to the people who maintain the system. The rules in question were created by people and enforced by people.

  88. Re:This is news? The stock market is a house of ca by khallow · · Score: 1

    which you did.

    Reading through your previous posts, I see you admit (in the same sense that you claim I did) that corporations don't have agency.

    Yes, a corporation requires a human to act on its behalf to do anything, but similarly you require your muscle and neural cells to act on yours, and they in turn rely on molecular machines.

    That is not the same at all, unless you are trying to claim that muscle and neural cells have agency. In other words, humans act in both the macroscopic case of corporations "doing anything" or the microscopic case of peoples' muscle and neural cells "acting". It remains the same fallacy of blaming the inanimate object, be it a corporation or a hammer for the actions of the people who use the object.

  89. Re:This is news? The stock market is a house of ca by ewibble · · Score: 1

    What are you talking about? when was the last time a hammer owned assets, lobbied politicians for changes to laws. I am fine with the directors/owners of the companies being held personally liable, to the same extent as an individual is, (i.e. jail time) for the actions of their company . The problem is in most cases no one is, just a fine, to a company that makes more money in 1 an hour (apple makes about 4 million) than you will probably make in a lifetime.

    I assure you if you had a hammer, dog, sheep, whatever other entity that is considered, not human, that went around killing people, or destroying their property it would quickly be destroyed.

    I never said assets where not seized, that's a type of fine, isn't it basically if the whole organization isn't a criminal one, its not going to be destroyed. Yes directors do go to jail, but unless its the directly doing it its not likely.

    If we found out tomorrow, Apple was using say, slave labor (quite likely that it is) in china do you think it would anything more than a please stop doing it, and maybe a relatively small fine. What would happen to you if the police found you where using slave labor? Go directly to jail, do not pass go do not collect your 41 billion dollars per year.

  90. Re:This is news? The stock market is a house of ca by khallow · · Score: 1

    I am fine with the directors/owners of the companies being held personally liable, to the same extent as an individual is, (i.e. jail time) for the actions of their company .

    So how liable are you as an individual for the actions of Coca Cola or Exxon? There's a good reason we don't implement your idea. Because no one, not even a director can personally police all of the actions of the people who work for a company. Liability and responsibility without the capability for that level of liability and responsibility is not far to that person.

    And as I noted earlier, a company doesn't actually "act". This is a legal fiction.

    never said assets where not seized, that's a type of fine

    When one speaks of "jail" for an inanimate thing, this is the only way that makes sense.

  91. Re:This is news? The stock market is a house of ca by david_thornley · · Score: 1

    My point about killing is that, given some of the spills and explosions which occurred, I'd be looking at charges of negligent homicide at least, since many of those were due to negligence. Typically, in the accidents, nobody goes to jail and the company pays out money that typically isn't much of a deterrent. The reason doesn't matter. This isn't a matter of corporate personhood, but rather an illustration of a right that a corporation has that I don't.

    McCain-Feingold didn't give me any special privilege over any other natural human beings (the protoplasmic variety). You are perfectly free to advocate the political views of your corporation, and were for a long time. There are these life-forms called "lobbyists", and they have long advocated their employers' positions in the political arena. What it did was say that corporations themselves could not donate money to campaigns, not that the CEO couldn't donate.

    As I said, I can only donate my own money (in addition to money given me by others to donate, I suppose), while Tim Cook can donate his own money and Apple's money.

    --
    "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes