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Sentimental Humans Launch A Movement to Save (Human) Driving (freep.com)

Car enthusiast McKeel Hagerty -- also the CEO America's largest insurer of classic cars -- recently told a Detroit newspaper about his "Save Driving" campaign to preserve human driving for future generations. Hagerty said he wants people-driven cars to share the roads, not surrender them, with robot cars. "Driving and the car culture are meaningful for a lot of people," Hagerty said, who still owns the first car he bought 37 years ago for $500. It's a 1967 Porsche 911S, which he restored with his dad. "We feel the car culture needs a champion." Hagerty said he will need 6 million members to have the clout to preserve human driving in the future, but he is not alone in the quest to drum up that support. The Human Driving Association was launched in January and it already has 4,000 members. Both movements have a growing following as many consumers distrust the evolving self-driving car technology, studies show...

[S]ome people fear losing the freedom of personal car ownership and want to have control of their own mobility. They distrust autonomous technology and they worry about the loss of privacy... In Cox Automotive's Evolution of Mobility study released earlier this year, nearly half of the 1,250 consumers surveyed said they would "never" buy a fully autonomous car and indicated they did not believe roads would be safer if all vehicles were self-driving. The study showed 68 percent said they would feel "uncomfortable" riding in car driven fully by a computer. And 84 percent said people should have the option to drive themselves even in an autonomous vehicle. The study showed people's perception of self-driving cars' safety is dwindling. When asked whether the roads would be safer if all vehicles were fully autonomous, 45 percent said yes, compared with 63 percent who answered yes in 2016's study....

Proponents for self-driving cars say the cars would offer mobility to those who cannot drive such as disabled people or elderly people. They say the electric self-driving cars would be better for the environment. Finally, roads would be safer with computers driving, they say. In 2017, the United States had about 40,000 traffic deaths, about 90 percent of which were due to human error, Cox's study said.

Alex Roy, founder of the The Human Driving Association, is proposing a third option called "augmented driving" -- allowing people the option to drive, but helping them do it better.

"It's a system that would not allow a human to drive into a wall. If I turned the steering wheel toward a wall, the car turns the wheel back the right way," said Roy.

159 of 286 comments (clear)

  1. Will be as successful as the horse and cart club by xack · · Score: 1

    Most people will embrace self driving cars as they can Slashdot on the go.

  2. People like riding horses too. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Please don't ride a horse on the highway.

    1. Re:People like riding horses too. by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

      Horses and riders must abide by the same rules as bicyclists (hopefully they behave better than bikers). But they are allowed basically everywhere bikes are allowed.

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    2. Re:People like riding horses too. by JaredOfEuropa · · Score: 1

      The biker and driver populations both have a few rotten apples who behave badly. But going by Youtube, only bikers are proud of it and gleefully post videos of themselves acting like a douche.

      --
      If construction was anything like programming, an incorrectly fitted lock would bring down the entire building...
    3. Re:People like riding horses too. by sarren1901 · · Score: 1

      Ever look up street racing...no not the legal kind either.

    4. Re:People like riding horses too. by Calydor · · Score: 1

      There is a trend of filming your speedometer while going WAY over the speed limit on city roads. In cars, not on bikes.

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      -=This sig has nothing to do with my comment. Move along now=-
    5. Re:People like riding horses too. by Kernel+Kurtz · · Score: 1

      There is a trend of filming your speedometer while going WAY over the speed limit on city roads. In cars, not on bikes.

      Who needs a speedo?

      https://www.youtube.com/watch?...

    6. Re:People like riding horses too. by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

      The only group more sanctimonious than Earth Firsters are militant bikers...

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
  3. All that's needed by nukenerd · · Score: 3, Insightful

    All that is needed is stricter requirements for a driving licence, including psychological attitude tests as well as functional tests. I think that the driving test here in the UK is too lax, yet I understand that it is one of the strictest in the world. I have heard that in some countries you only need to show the examiner you can drive forwards a few yards and then back again.

    1. Re:All that's needed by hey! · · Score: 2

      The problem with people's self-assessment as drivers is they judge themselves as they are on a good day, when they are performing best. On his best days, an average driver performs considerably better than most of the other drivers on the road, who are having a typical day. This does not make him a good driver; to understand the risk a driver represents to others you have to evaluate his performance on his worst days, which nobody does, particularly to themselves.

      We can pretty much assume that when you take your driving test, you're performing the best that you can. So somebody who barely scrapes "acceptable" is going to be much less than acceptable on a typical day of driving. You suppress all your bad habits during the test: things like rolling into an intersection; changing lanes without signalling; cutting people off; driving with one or even (for short periods) no hands; tailgating; speeding; weaving, etc.

      I think self-driving car technology can in fact be used to improve human driving performance, because the inputs to the system can detect many of these bad habits. Every time you tailgate or cut someone off, the car would automatically chime an alarm; at the end of the year your alarms would be toted up and if you exceed an allowance you pay an insurance surcharge.

      The principle is simple: people behave better when they're being monitored. If the average driver consistently drove as well has he is capable of driving, then the roads would be much safer for everyone.

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    2. Re: All that's needed by cdwiegand · · Score: 1

      Yet itâ(TM)s the atypical day that scares me with automated driving. Can a car understand a cop waving you around an accident? Can a car see a frisbee about to fly into the street, with a kid (currently in the yard) running after it? Can a car understand snowy roads covered with ice and a truck kareening out of control on a cross street? Can it understand itâ(TM)s cameras are blinded and drive slower in a snowstorm, or does it assume nothing is there and go full speed? If you can control the entire environment, then automated driving makes a lot of sense. But in the real world, things are always more complicated, and I do not trust the computers have enough knowledge yet to navigate that.

      --
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    3. Re: All that's needed by hey! · · Score: 2

      The difference is that you can imagine all the tricky corner cases you want, and then engineer a robot so it will consistently handle them. You can train a human to handle them, but whether he does or not depends on how he feels that day.

      Now there may be combinations of factors that are unforeseen in testing that a robot might fail to handle properly, but the same can be said for humans. I very strongly suspect that most people's notion of how could they are in tricky, surprise driving situations is over-inflated by their sense of mastery over routine driving. You might even have successfully pulled off a few occasional emergency maneuvers in your life, but that might just have been dumb luck.

      What you really ought to do is go out on a track and practice things that are too dangerous to do on the road, over and over again until you *know* you can handle them. I wish this kind of training was routinely available to drivers.

      --
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    4. Re: All that's needed by RhettLivingston · · Score: 1

      Can a car understand a cop waving you around an accident?

      I can't remember the last time a cop waved me around an accident. It has been at least a couple of decades. Hasn't directing traffic around accidents been banned as a practice for safety reasons - as in theirs?

      Anyway, the least predictable thing in our environment is us. Just as that kid will run into the street, we can't look everywhere and often aren't really looking where our eyes are pointing because we're thinking about something. Everything from texting to simply driving while angry at somebody can lead to damage or death.

      Augmented driving will likely happen for a while, but eventually, few will want to pay for it. And as cars start collecting data that reveals how bad we really are at driving, not just tens of thousands of deaths but millions of accidents that cost money at some level and hundreds of millions of near accidents, we'll gladly give up the madness of driving ourselves.

    5. Re:All that's needed by epyT-R · · Score: 1

      The principle is simple: people behave better when they're being monitored. If the average driver consistently drove as well has he is capable of driving, then the roads would be much safer for everyone.

      Do you really want your entire life run by computer? This idea could be used to 'improve' nearly everything else, too, because, in theory, it would save all kinds of money and waste. However, it would end up being a be a life not worth living.

      Considering your UID, I'd expect you to have more wisdom than that shown in your post.

    6. Re:All that's needed by hey! · · Score: 1

      Do I really want to put my life in the hands of other people? There's a time and a place for everything. Monitoring behavior doesn't belong in the bedroom, but it certainly belongs on the road.

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    7. Re: All that's needed by MachineShedFred · · Score: 1

      There are many issues with your idea of insurance monitoring and overcharging - my wife and I are currently using a sensor tHing from our insurance company to get better rates, and it has criticised for stopping too fast when an upcoming traffic light turns yellow and we stopped instead of blowing through the red light. We were driving safer, yet we got dinged. So now we don't stop for yellows; a policy we refer to as "running red lights for better insurance rates."

      Oh, it also claims that I stopped too quickly while towing with a Land Rover - which is basically impossible.

      I get what you are trying to say, but the monitoring tech had better be vastly improved over what we have today. Once the 90-day period is done and we send the sensors back, we will go back to driving safer than without the electronic spy, but with better insurance rates.

      --
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    8. Re: All that's needed by MachineShedFred · · Score: 1

      Mandatory Autocross day, or yank their license. I like it!

      --
      Slashdot still doesnâ(TM)t support Unicode after it was added to the HTML standard in 1997.
    9. Re:All that's needed by Pentium100 · · Score: 1

      We can pretty much assume that when you take your driving test, you're performing the best that you can.

      I really doubt that the stress of the test makes anyone perform their best. Also, people gain experience over time, so, someone who has been driving for a while might be better than someone who may still have to think about how to shift gears.

      The principle is simple: people behave better when they're being monitored.

      Stick a camera behind me and I will perform worse, because I'll constantly think how to make it look better for the camera rather than drive normally.

    10. Re: All that's needed by Pentium100 · · Score: 1

      Intersections may still be human controlled in my country. I haven't seen a cop controlling traffic around an accident, but I have seen a cop control traffic after a basketball game.

    11. Re:All that's needed by Pentium100 · · Score: 1

      It seems to me that most people who work as programmers make software worse than someone drives while texting and with 0.2% BAC.
      Would you put your life in the hands of the programmers who produce Windows 10 updates?

    12. Re: All that's needed by Dutch+Gun · · Score: 1

      Everything you mentioned, I'd answer "yes... with enough time and refinement" And I should point out, humans are none too adept at picking up on all those things you mentioned either, as well as the general problem with inattention, distractions, sleepiness, misjudgments, and the fact that we can only point our eyes in one direction at a time.

      I think for the first generation of autonomous cars, the vehicle will only be able to drive itself in routine conditions. When you need to navigate a parking garage or drive in poor conditions, the human still will need to take over. But "typical traffic" accounts for the vast majority of travel time, meaning the autonomous driving functionality is still very useful. Additionally, those automated systems can help to augment vehicle safety even when driving "manually".

      I think the most compelling argument for automated cars, though, is that unlike with human drivers, improvements in autonomous driving algorithms will be a collective learning experience. That is, every situation and corner case experienced (and yes, there will still be accidents) will be a way to improve every other car from that same manufacturer - and even others, if they're smart about it. Eventually, cars are going to become much better at driving than humans, even when handling rare conditions and corner cases, because of the wealth of collective experiences to learn from.

      --
      Irony: Agile development has too much intertia to be abandoned now.
    13. Re:All that's needed by epyT-R · · Score: 1

      You'd do that with automated cars, too. Except those people aren't sharing the risk with you, right there on that road at that time with those conditions. I'm not sure that's a net win. The people with your life in their hands are sitting in cushy offices and/or poorly thought out 'open office' environments where they're driven to distraction..

      We can't even fully automate trains yet. Lets start with that one first. It's a much easier problem.

    14. Re: All that's needed by nukenerd · · Score: 1

      Can a car understand a cop waving you around an accident?

      I can't remember the last time a cop waved me around an accident. It has been at least a couple of decades.

      I don't know where you live, but not uncommon in the UK. I was waving myself recently because a stray dog was wandering in the road just past a blind bend, so I stopped on the verge and was slowing approaching drivers for a few minutes until the dog ran off across a field.

      we ... often aren't really looking where our eyes are pointing because we're thinking about something. Everything from texting to simply driving while angry at somebody can lead to damage or death.

      As someone else said, speak for yourself and drop the "we". I would not text while driving even in my wildest dreams.

    15. Re: All that's needed by nukenerd · · Score: 1

      ... Can a car see a frisbee about to fly into the street, with a kid (currently in the yard) running after it?

      Just in case the SD car isn't up to this situation, how about we put kids inside robotic enclosures, something like self powered and artificially intelligent small suits of armour. Then they wouldn't be able to run out into the road. Problem solved.

    16. Re: All that's needed by Cro+Magnon · · Score: 1

      Every so often we have runs or bike runs for some disease. Streets are blocked off, and officers are directing traffic around the mess.

      --
      Slow down, cowboy! It has been 4 hours since you last posted. You must wait another few hours.
    17. Re:All that's needed by yuriklastalov · · Score: 1

      Don't worry about it, it's 80% a startup funding scam. The vast majority of these projects will go under before they ever get a chance to endanger the general public with their shitty software. The brain trust in SV will throw money at any jackass who pitches some inane idea for "X but with AI" and "self-driving" cars. Luckily, most of these startups are either scammers, grossly incompetent, aiming at a $$$ payday getting bought out by some bigger fish, or some combination of all three.

      By the time SV admits it was all bullshit they'll be on to some other techno-fad and we can breath a sigh of relief that a brownout isn't going to send the whole fleet of self driving cars careening into each other at top speed or some other calamity the SV geniuses failed to conceive of.

  4. Re:Will be as successful as the horse and cart clu by JaredOfEuropa · · Score: 1

    That's probably what he is afraid of: people still drive horses and carts for fun, but they are relegated to minor roads. Like horses, humans will not be able to keep up with what comes next: self driving cars. Imagine a special "diamond lane" for autonomous cars: you could have those cars do 180km/h and follow each other really closely, but a human would have no business driving in that lane. Then, those lanes are expanded and highways may (or may not) be left with a single "slow poke" lane for human drivers. Then come intersections without traffic lights, etc... At some point it will be too dangerous or too disruptive to let human-driven cars onto the highways and major thoroughfares in town.

    With that said, I doubt he needs to worry much just yet. I'm fairly optimistic about self driving cars; I think we'll see production models appear within 10 years, but it will take much longer for them to become mainstream. And even when the majority of cars are self driving, it'll be another decade or 2 before all the older model cars are phased out. I doubt he'll see a ban on human driven cars in his lifetime.

    --
    If construction was anything like programming, an incorrectly fitted lock would bring down the entire building...
  5. Ok, but your responsibility increases by DalM · · Score: 4, Insightful

    This is fine by me. But it's about responsibility. If a person is behind the wheel in a world where there is a much much safer option and the person intentionally chooses the more dangerous option, then their responsibility should increase proportionally.

    1. Re:Ok, but your responsibility increases by houstonbofh · · Score: 1

      Bikers do this all the time. But what the OP is talking about is not allowing them to make the choice.

    2. Re:Ok, but your responsibility increases by JustNiz · · Score: 1

      As Car enthusiast that hasn't had a single accident in over 35 years of driving, I'm gonna claim that I'm a better driver than any Tesla with what is effectively beta software driving, and already has a documented record of killing people.
      The real risk on the road are idiots that cant put their fucking cellphone down, or keep focussed on anything for more than 2 minutes. Fix the REAL problem by taking proven distracted drivers licences away, (so they have to Uber or use the bus). Don't take away the rights of perfectly good drivers, or use technology to enable the bad ones..

    3. Re:Ok, but your responsibility increases by sarren1901 · · Score: 1

      You aren't the typical driver. You may also be more educated and more intelligent then the average driver. If everyone was as good as you, we wouldn't need self driving cars.

      Alas, you are not the average and pretending you are the average is deceitful.

      Though the appeal to self driving cars for most people is they won't have to drive. We can sleep. We can get ready for work. We can do all sorts of fun things that don't involve paying attention to driving. I can't wait.

    4. Re:Ok, but your responsibility increases by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      But they have to UNDERSTAND what they are sensing, regardless of the condition of the sensor. That seems to be the part that no company has scratched the surface of yet.

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    5. Re:Ok, but your responsibility increases by Solandri · · Score: 1

      Normally that's how it works. But accidents typically happen between two cars. So if human driving is more dangerous than automated driving, then one person choosing to drive increases the risk for everyone else including people driving automated cars.. An analogy might be someone choosing to rock climb El Capitan, vs someone choosing to climb a skyscraper where lots of people are walking on the sidewalk underneath. If he slips and falls from El Capitan, he only kills himself. If he slips and falls off the skyscraper, there's a good chance he'll also kill a pedestrian who deliberate opted for the safer option (not climbing the skyscraper).

    6. Re:Ok, but your responsibility increases by RhettLivingston · · Score: 2

      Everybody is an idiot at some point. Everyone drives distracted at some point in time, usually during some sort of emergency, while upset due to a fight, late for a date, etc. We are selfish and that doesn't mix well with the fact that choosing to drive is making a decision not just for yourself, but for everyone you interact with on the road. Most of those times, no problem. Every once in a while though, whammy.

      Maybe we can come up with a way to detect adrenaline and exhaustion and disable driving of the vehicle by drivers with either state. That would indeed stop a lot of accidents.

      If we could detect attentiveness to driving (we can't) and take over any time the driver isn't attentive for more than a few seconds, I'd bet 99%+ of people would have the wheel taken over at some point on every drive longer than a few minutes. The human mind is not truly able to multitask. If you ever talk to anyone while you're driving, think about any other portion of your day, get distracted by anything you pass, etc., you aren't truly paying attention. It isn't just about where your eyes are pointing.

      I had an accident earlier this year when a grandmother U-turned between barrels in a construction zone right into my path. Pinned by a 2 foot drop off into the torn up road to my right, there was nothing I could do but hit the brakes and let the airbags do their job. As I understood it, she had never had an accident. But her grandson was in the hospital after some emergency. So she was driving while distraught to a hospital she had never been to at night, had taken a wrong turn, and in her hurry to get to her grandson made a bad choice to turn around in the middle of a construction zone. Thankfully, nobody was hurt, but two vehicles were totalled.

      During personal emergencies is one of the times that we should always turn the driving over to others. But, we make bad choices in emotional times.

    7. Re:Ok, but your responsibility increases by BitterOak · · Score: 2

      So, no more good food for you then? (cause it's bad for you)

      Not a good analogy. Unhealthy food is potentially bad only for you, not for others around you. Driving a car manually, can increase risks not only to yourself, to the passengers in all the self-driving cars around you.

      --
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    8. Re: Ok, but your responsibility increases by MachineShedFred · · Score: 1

      How are you supposed to measure what didn't happen? This is why we use statistics. We know how many accidents do happen, and we know how many miles get driven each year, so we can figure accident rates per vehicle-miles driven. Now we can compare a boatload of human drivers to a boatload of autonomous vehicles and demonstrate improved safety even in a mixed environment.

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    9. Re: Ok, but your responsibility increases by MachineShedFred · · Score: 1

      Did you even read what the GP wrote? Do you think the average driver goes 35 years and counting without an accident?

      Statistics would put this at the far end of the curve, which by definition is not average.

      --
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    10. Re:Ok, but your responsibility increases by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      They have gone millions of carefully selected miles with safety drivers that have to interact about once every 1000 miles or so.

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    11. Re: Ok, but your responsibility increases by Cmdln+Daco · · Score: 1

      But all such study examines is the accidents. Obviously 'good driving' is difficult to define, but accidents are just artifacts. That is ALL that they are. Would you agree to assessing the quality of a software system by only examining any resultant core dumps?

    12. Re:Ok, but your responsibility increases by JustNiz · · Score: 1

      Sorry but I don;t subscribe to your lets-become-a-nanny-state mindset.
      That said, a biannual driving test for the over 70's to keep their driving licences would work wonders. Many countries in Europe already do this. I mean how clueless do you have to be to even try what she did?

  6. If he wants to save human driving. . . by quonset · · Score: 5, Insightful

    he should get states to require people to be able to drive a stick shift during their driver's license exam. Since he owns a 1967 Porsche 911S, he should be well aware of the joy of driving a stick shift compared to the numbing laziness of an automatic.

    1. Re: If he wants to save human driving. . . by DalM · · Score: 1

      I don't know that the requirement is necessary, but I imagine that the few enthusiasts that want to drive for their hobby will want to drive a stick.

    2. Re:If he wants to save human driving. . . by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      he should get states to require people to be able to drive a stick shift during their driver's license exam. Since he owns a 1967 Porsche 911S, he should be well aware of the joy of driving a stick shift compared to the numbing laziness of an automatic.

      I will never understand the romanticized attitude towards the mechanics of driving. Cars are a tool to get us to a destination. Maybe someone can explain it to me; can someone give me a car analogy?

      Requiring students to learn stick shift sounds terrorizing to me. The perverse enjoyment some people describe for such a wasteful activity reminds me of the gleam in the eye of the bully jocks who line up with the rest of gym class for dodge ball. Two people out of a hundred enjoy it, and the rest know it's medieval barbarism.

      Fully automated driving can't come fast enough. All the design work that goes into differentiating the aesthetic of cars can just go away. Building engines that would, for some reason, allow a vehicle to go upwards of 150 (100mph) can also go away. There'd be no reason for it, because everyone would see cars for what they are: moving platforms.

      also please stop splitting sentences between the subject and body, it makes no sense gdi

    3. Re:If he wants to save human driving. . . by jittles · · Score: 2

      he should get states to require people to be able to drive a stick shift during their driver's license exam. Since he owns a 1967 Porsche 911S, he should be well aware of the joy of driving a stick shift compared to the numbing laziness of an automatic.

      I would be happy if they forced them to demonstrate the ability to merge onto an interstate, back up in a straight line, parallel park, and other driving skills that 90% of the driving population of the US seems to lack.

    4. Re:If he wants to save human driving. . . by ArylAkamov · · Score: 1

      Yeah, there's more to being human than existing and doing things in the most efficient way possible.
      In fact, we have activities that do not contribute directly to our corporate overlords. Such activities include, but are not limited to:
      Hobbies, entertainment, recreational activities, sports.

      Driving a car or operating another piece of equipment is more than that though. It is the essence of being human. It is the culmination of thousands of years of evolution, of research and development to achieve something that is exclusive to mankind: using our brains to overcome our biological limitations and do things we were never designed to do. It's a display of our intelligence and force, of our strength and will.
      I will never understand why people what to remove that essence of our being.

      Fully automated driving can't come fast enough. All the design work that goes into differentiating the aesthetic of cars can just go away. Building engines that would, for some reason, allow a vehicle to go upwards of 150 (100mph) can also go away. There'd be no reason for it, because everyone would see cars for what they are: moving platforms. also please stop splitting sentences between the subject and body, it makes no sense gdi

      Do you also look forwards to the day where all the design work that goes into varying architecture can "just go away"?
      We can all just live in identical cubes.
      After all, there's no reason to desire anything besides the identical cube once we see homes for what they are: multi-person dwellings.
      Hell, why not go the same route with operating systems and web browsers, and cereal brands and clothing?
      Surely you see the issue here.
      Look at how inefficient choice and free will is! Why have any of it?
      It's not like that is what drives our ingenuity and creativity or anything.
      Nah, a mindless, interchangeable, human widgit that serves to be as efficient as possible in every activity.
      That's what peak performance looks like.
      Believe it or not, but not everybody desires to become soulless automatons.

    5. Re:If he wants to save human driving. . . by ArylAkamov · · Score: 1

      You've completely missed the point, anonymous strawman.

    6. Re:If he wants to save human driving. . . by quonset · · Score: 1

      The essence of being human is wasting mental energy to get from point A to point B to perform the things that actually matter to me.

      Then stop being a lazy human and develop transporters. That will get you to whatever lame activity you want to get to so you won't be sullied by enjoyment.

    7. Re:If he wants to save human driving. . . by Waccoon · · Score: 1

      Biggest advantage of owning a manual transmission is that you always know how fast you're going. I accidentally speed in automatics because the cars just seem to accelerate by themselves.

    8. Re: If he wants to save human driving. . . by hawk · · Score: 1

      That depends, of course, on the vehicle.

      While I strongly prefer a manual in general. a large Cadillac just wouldn't be the same without an automatic. (I have a '72 Eldorado Convertible in the garage)

      (whereas anyone that wants to buy an MG or Miata with an sutomatic or hard roof shouldn't be allowed to have one!)

      hawk

    9. Re: If he wants to save human driving. . . by DalM · · Score: 1

      But we are talking about a hypothetical future with self driving cars. In such a future, personal driving will be relegated to the world of hobbyist. That's fine. I have no problem with that. But I imagine that in such a world, no self-respecting driver/hobbyist will want to drive an automatic. If you are going to go through the hassle of owning and maintaining a traditional human-driven car, then you are going to want it to be a stick.

    10. Re: If he wants to save human driving. . . by hawk · · Score: 1

      That will still depend on the car . . . a three ton cadillac land yacht with a ride like a nice coach sitting on a cloud would be kind of silly with a manual . . .

      hawk

  7. Re:Will be as successful as the horse and cart clu by JaredOfEuropa · · Score: 4, Funny

    The thing to do is wait until it comes to a complete stop...

    --
    If construction was anything like programming, an incorrectly fitted lock would bring down the entire building...
  8. Re:Who pays for the infrastructure? by JustNiz · · Score: 1

    Yes they absolutely do. At least for now.

  9. Nostalgia by DarkFlite · · Score: 1

    33,000 people were killed by human driven cars in the US last year. Odds are, someone died in a human driven car while I was reading this article about the important of nostalgia.

    --
    -In space, it is very hard to rig lights.
    1. Re:Nostalgia by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      33,000 deaths is pretty good, considering humans managed to drive 3.22 TRILLION miles during that time. The human piloted automobile has an incredible safety rate that will not be matched mile for mile by self driving cars soon.

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    2. Re:Nostalgia by nukenerd · · Score: 1

      33,000 people were killed by human driven cars in the US last year

      And the US has a relatively "safe" road network. Worldwide the numbers are in the millions of deaths per year from human driving.

      I'm unimpressed by the USA record. In the UK there were "only" 1800 deaths in 2016, despite the UK poulation being a fifth of the USA's and the roads being far more crowded and urban. The USA needs to tighten up its driving laws and its driving test for quicker and more effective results than waiting for SD cars to match the hype.

      As for the worldwide numbers, those third world places where most of the deaths happen are not going to implement SD cars any time soon. Last time I checked, many of those places are still driving cars of basically 1950's design.

  10. Re:Will be as successful as the horse and cart clu by houstonbofh · · Score: 1

    But there is no self driving motorcycle... And that is NOT a small group.

  11. So many underlying presumptions by SlaveToTheGrind · · Score: 3, Insightful

    1. Autonomous cars will ever materially exceed the current range of safety/efficiency tradeoff where human drivers are now, or we as a society decide we're OK materially changing that range.

    2. Even if/when (1) appears to become true, we sufficiently address the single-point-of-failure issues in current systems such that a general failure of GPS, comm, traffic, etc. won't cause the entire transport system to grind to a halt until it's restored.

    3. Even if/when (1) and (2) appear to become true, we sufficiently address security issues in current systems to prevent malicious actors from causing catastrophic accidents from localized, regional, or broader disruptions.

    3. Even if/when (1), (2) and (3) appear to become true, we as a society decide we want to cede that level of control by moving to a system it's nigh unto impossible to walk back if future developments suddenly cause (1), (2), and/or (3) to no longer be true.

    Until then, s/sentimental/pragmatic/g.

    1. Re:So many underlying presumptions by Brett+Buck · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Right. The parent summary is a typical smug fanboi screed mocking anyone who doesn't see it his way. I am virtually certain that he has *no experience whatsoever" about AI or autonomous systems (which have been around a lot longer than the last few years in some fields of endeavor - like maybe 40 years before it became a cause célÃbre - in more life-critical situations that driving on the public roads). If he did, he would know that what he assumed was utter nonsense.

    2. Re:So many underlying presumptions by sarren1901 · · Score: 1

      If we waited until all that we would never have new technology.

    3. Re:So many underlying presumptions by SlaveToTheGrind · · Score: 1

      We have the new technology right now. The discussion was about adopting that new technology to such a pervasive extent that people still wanting to use older technology are termed "sentimental."

    4. Re:So many underlying presumptions by Amigori · · Score: 1
      Don't forget weather. It snowed here in Fairbanks today. Combine that with the icy roads and slush. Can self-driving cars handle such conditions? Or a downhill stop on a slick surface. Or an uphill start in the snow? Or lanes where the stripes are not visible? Or gravel and dirt roads? Or GPS maps that have our roads 20 ft off-center?

      Perhaps someday, but certainly not today, tomorrow, or anytime soon.

      --
      "The quality of life is determined by its activites."--Aristotle
  12. Re:Who pays for the infrastructure? by houstonbofh · · Score: 1

    Autonomous cars do need stripes. Stripe failure is the cause of at least one Tesla crash. Some can also catch speed signs. And are people no longer going to cross streets on foot?

  13. Re:Ban humans now by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    You don't have to worry. That generation is going to die off, and the younger people who aren't married to their automobiles are going to replace them and safety and overall capacity of the road network will win out.

    Not next year, maybe not even 10 or 20 years from now. It is an inevitability though that humans won't be allowed manual driving on public roads. You'll be able to do it on private roads. With self driving you can teach EVERY SINGLE car to avoid the last mistake, and they will remember forever. Humans make the same mistakes over and over and the death toll is too big to accept.

    People look at the current situation in the infancy of self driving and think that's how it will always be. It won't. In the early days of aviation airplane travel was super dangerous but now it's the safest way to travel long distances. Incremental changes and improvements will accumulate for self driving until it is such a vast win that only a few who are resistant to any change will object, and at that point human driving will be prohibited on public roadways.

    We're not there yet, but we will be.

  14. Re: Who pays for the infrastructure? by wolf12886 · · Score: 1

    What if the majority wanted to live on the couch and only go out in VR. And lets say you wanted to leave the house and go do stuff, but you werent allowed to do that because of the "waste" of providing sidewalks, and shop fronts and public bathrooms and all that? Would you still feel the same?

    I think you just dont care about this loss because you dont really like driving.

  15. Re: Who pays for the infrastructure? by wolf12886 · · Score: 1

    Sry, replied to wrong comment.

  16. Re:Will be as successful as the horse and cart clu by sarren1901 · · Score: 1

    By % it is a small group but I'm sure motorcycles will be allowed. Most people won't ride them though.

  17. This will sort itself out by nehumanuscrede · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Self driving cars will likely have near zero insurance premiums for the occupants of said vehicle since they are not actually driving it.

    This means the human driven counterpart will see ludicrous insurance requirements to drive it around on public streets.

    The cost alone will prevent all but the 1% from owning a âoe traditional âoe human driven vehicle once self drive becomes mainstream.

    1. Re: This will sort itself out by nehumanuscrede · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Additionally, since the person leading this charge is the CEO of an insurance company, it is likely he already sees the writing on the wall for the car insurance industry as a whole.

    2. Re:This will sort itself out by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      They have to be WAY better than a human for that, AND they need to have critical mass on the roads. That is many years down the line.

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    3. Re:This will sort itself out by SlaveToTheGrind · · Score: 1

      Self driving cars will likely have near zero insurance premiums for the occupants of said vehicle since they are not actually driving it.

      Coverage for accidents (which I presume you aren't suggesting will completely go away or even diminish all that much -- if so, that's a separate discussion) will have to come from somewhere. To the extent it falls on the manufacturers, they'll just pass the savings along via the sales price. And it would surprise me if we would suddenly decide to shift to a legal regime where the owners/operators of a device would be fully insulated from liability due to an accident caused by a machine they owned, maintained (or not), were currently causing to be out on the road when the accident happened, etc. If there's still a realistic potential for lawsuits, there will still be a healthy market for insurance.

    4. Re: This will sort itself out by raind · · Score: 1

      Of course he doesn't want change or go out of business.

      "For that reason, "We're putting ourselves in a position where, if driverless cars happen, we position ourselves differently than the horse crowd did a hundred years ago," where it saw horseback riding becoming a limited hobby for a select few, said Hagerty. "We want to do something about it now.""

      I say good ridance insurance salesman.

      --
      Get up!
    5. Re:This will sort itself out by ArylAkamov · · Score: 1

      Wonderful, the 1% get to experience even more things us mere peasants wouldn't dare dream of.
      All hail the ruling class, they know best.

    6. Re:This will sort itself out by Lije+Baley · · Score: 1

      Yes, and back in the day it also seemed like electricity would become too cheap to meter. Nice dreams, but the real world is unexpectedly complicated.

      --
      Strange things are afoot at the Circle-K.
    7. Re: This will sort itself out by mapkinase · · Score: 2

      I will never believe that the writer of this piece was able to call a head of insurance company a "sentimental" or "human"

      --
      I do not believe in karma. "Funny"=-6. Do good and forbid evil. Yours, Oft-Offtopic Flamebaiting Troll.
    8. Re: This will sort itself out by hawk · · Score: 1

      He's the CEO of a *classic car* insurance company, which is an entirely different kind of fish.

      I actually have two vehicles insured with them. $300k liability, no deductibles, rather extended towing, part concierge service, etc.

      I think one is for $8k, and the other for $10k--which includes replacement and search costs.

      My annual premium is something like $250 combined. . . . (so about an eighth of regular insurance here)

      Now.I also had to show them that I had another car, and provide pictures of the car *in* my garage to get the policy.

      Initially, I could only drive to and from car clubs, car eents, parades, and "pleasure driving."

      I asked about taking my wife to dinner and tha gal responded, "we'd rather you take her to a drivein." . . . (they've relaxed since then, and dinner and eve a "once in a blue moon" trip to work is now OK)

      They're not insuring transportation, they're insuring people's babies . . .

      hawk

    9. Re:This will sort itself out by Rolgar · · Score: 1

      You do realize that the cost of insurance will be included in the cost of your ride. If the owner can get rid of the insurance, we'll probably still end up paying some of that because that cost is included in the cost of the alternatives. Of course, when almost all the alternatives have no cost of insurance, this hidden cost will be reduced as the various companies cut prices to compete for market share.

  18. Re: Ban humans now by bondsbw · · Score: 1

    It really doesn't matter who drives or who programs. What matters is whether the system is better. For cars, self driving is objectively better in safety.

    --
    All my liberal friends think I'm a conservative, all my conservative friends think I'm a liberal.
  19. It's not just the freedom of the open road by Iamthecheese · · Score: 1

    Having a company track my every movement is unacceptable. I don't mind a driverless car, but damned if I'm willing to agree to send data about where my car is at all times to a company or to the government. That constitutes a warrantless search. What's worse, the government and the company get to decide whether to *allow* the car to go somewhere.

    --
    If video games influenced behavior the Pac Man generation would be eating pills and running away from their problems.
    1. Re:It's not just the freedom of the open road by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Having a company track my every movement is unacceptable.

      Yet everyone carries a smartphone.

      This ship has sailed. The public has spoken: it doesn't mind location tracking. Those who do mind will be pushed to the margins and be able to do less and less, eventually unable to drive or participate in mainstream society.

  20. Re: Ban humans now by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

    You day this despite the fact that there is no shred of demonstrable proof that any car has ever driven on its own safer than a human.

    --
    Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
  21. Germany here ... About that ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Over here, our view is, that: If you can't drive with a stick, ... then you just plain can't drive.
    There's a reason we have no speed limit: We're actually required to learn how to handle a car.

    Not saying Americans can't do that. But you're definitely not getting the training to do that. Let alone in a car for disabled people. It's just rather unfair, to expect it from you.

    IMHO, I'd prefer if everyone got an amazing education in the US. Including how to drift over ice with a car with no electronic assistants.
    But I'm the kind of guy, who would also prefer to remove all but the basic three rules (left yields to right, ...), and let the problem solve itself.

    1. Re:Germany here ... About that ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      American here. You are right: our driver testing is appalling trivial. More or less, if you don't run into anything and keep your speed under the posted limit, you pass. You don't have to demonstrate any control over the vehicle beyond the "not running it into any sold objects" bit.

      Some people here are good, safe drivers. Many have their heads buried in their phones half the time they are behind the wheel.

      Even worse, you can renew indefinitely, so as you get old, there is no re-testing mechanism in most places. Many old people who don't belong on the roads are still on the roads.

    2. Re:Germany here ... About that ... by quonset · · Score: 2

      Over here, our view is, that: If you can't drive with a stick, ... then you just plain can't drive.

      Funny story. A few years back I was asked to take some German folks to New York City and show them around. When they got into my car the guy in the passenger seat looked down and pointed to the stick shift. He was surprised I had one. I told him and the others in the car, "I'm not a lazy American."

    3. Re: Germany here ... About that ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      No, it wasn't a funny story.

    4. Re:Germany here ... About that ... by bkmoore · · Score: 1

      I lived in Germany for a decade and have the drivers license to prove it. The problem is about 10% of Germans think they're secretly an expert F1 driver, but they're not. It's usually some younger person in about a ten-year old two-door 3-series with spoiler, tuned exhaust, side skirts, etc. and he thinks he's real cool doing 200+ in traffic. When I see this, all I can think is euro-trash, which is about the same as white trash, or red neck in America.

  22. Driving will be as relevant as horseback riding by sandbagger · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Motor sports will survive but day to day driving will be eclipsed by robots. It's only a question of time. Driving will be taught to the police and to people in the military as necessary job functions but most people will eventually not need to drive when renting fleet time on robot cars.

    This will provide us with new opportunities, what I don't know, but car culture will become a thing of a past even though I love driving stick. What will be interesting is seeing what replaces the marker of transitioning to adulthood that the driver's licence has.

    --
    ---- The above post was generated by the Turing Institute. Maybe.
    1. Re:Driving will be as relevant as horseback riding by Rolgar · · Score: 1

      I wonder if they'll have to test whether the car can drive by itself, because computers will be able to drive better than humans (eventually). Of course, then there will have to be a hidden switch or mode, much like the German pollution test scandal, so the driver can allow the vehicle to operate in non-autonomous mode for testing, and the driver will have to act like he's driving because he'll be on camera (at least in NASCAR). Interesting thought.

    2. Re:Driving will be as relevant as horseback riding by strikethree · · Score: 1

      but most people will eventually not need to drive when renting fleet time on robot cars.

      Your entire premise is not really wrong; however, I would like to point something out to you: Autonomous cars will never actually be autonomous. What I mean by that is there will be places you can't go to. Maybe they will be restricted by time, maybe they will be restricted entirely by location.

      An example that I will never be a part of, but let's say that you organized a protest in Washington DC. Nobody shows up because none of the "autonomous" cars will bring people to that location. They could take a bus or a taxi... maybe buses will still be available but Taxis will be "autonomous" too. Screwed again.

      Want to go camping where there are no roads, just trails? Well, the "autonomous" vehicle might be able to take you within 20 miles of where you actually want to go and drop you off. Have fun hiking the rest of the way with your children and carrying all that water to last your family for a week.

      Farm/Ranch work? ROFLMAO.

      Removing the ability for the human to have non-overidable control of their vehicle is going to go over like a turd in a punch bowl. A horse gave power of mobility to humans way back when. Vehicles do that currently. Autonomous vehicles will try to take all that away.

      --
      "Someone needs to talk to the tree of liberty about its ghoulish drinking problem." by ohnocitizen
  23. This is lame. by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    How many have seen horses pulling wagons/carts in cities? Likewise, horses on rural roads? Iow, we developed our roads for cars, but still share. We do not let horses on highways, but that makes sense. No doubt our highways will give way to lanes that allow travel of 100+ mph, but will require being automated. Makes good sense. I suspect this guy is simply doing marketing.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  24. AI’s fundamentally overrated. by Hallux-F-Sinister · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Call me a crazy Luddite, but the pinnacle of AI will be a robot that is human-like in every respect, except where it’s better. The logical conclusion of AI research that it might one day reach if and when they can manage to make something as complex and flexible (complexible?) as the human brain, as a piece of hardware for an application as complex as the human mind to run on. (Remember, your consciousness is as APP, running on your brain, NOT the OS. Even if you’ve practiced yogurt or whatever and can influence your heart rate, you still don’t control it... you just have one app capable of providing input to another app that causes IT to do something unusual.)

    So whether it’s a humanoid robot, an android or gyneroid or whatever behind the wheel of a car, OR if it’s one built directly into a car, driving your fat, flabby, human ass around town, at BEST we’ll have created a race of slaves. At worst, we’ll have created a race of slaves that is better than we are at our own game and eventually we’ll become THEIR slaves, or pets, if you prefer, all so you don’t have to drive a car. We already have something like that, it’s called the BUS. If you don’t want to drive, take the damned BUS.

    I was watching this film about pastoral nomads in Iran, and let me tell you something: we are SPOILED. These guys, THEY have it rough. You may be like, “ugh, I have to drive to the post office and although I have a machine that makes coffee for me, and my washing machine scrubs my clothes with virtually no intervention from me, and then my dryer does everything else but folds and hangs ‘em up, I’m still going to have to, like, (ugh!) DRIVE... the car... myself. Oh me, oh my. My life is soo difficult!”

    Meanwhile, on the other side of the very same planet, they’re like, “today, we must cross this icy river with all our band or tribe, all 10,000 or so of us, or our cattle will starve, and then we’ll starve, freeze, and die. What? It’s my turn to take my shoes off and walk barefoot through this snow, so the heat from my bare feet will melt it and show the others where to step? Sure. No problem. I still have more than enough toes. Oh, what, that calf can’t walk on it’s own? That’s okay. I’ll jusy sling it across my shoulders. Give it here.”

    Those people are hard core, and our biggest problem seems to be that our cars can’t drive themselves yet.

    I see us as losing either way, whether we’re successful in creating AI to be our smart slaves, or whether they’re able to become so smart that they start to wonder why they’re taking orders from US. It’s all well and good to welcome our new synthetic overlords, as a joke, but this at some point will NOT be a laughing matter. We are in the process of slowly and inexorably working towards making a real-life allegory, putting man’s inhumanity to man, (as they say in literary critique circles,) on display in all its dark and ugly glory.

    --
    Our reign has gone on long enough. Indeed. Summon the meteors.
    1. Re:AI’s fundamentally overrated. by RhettLivingston · · Score: 1

      It's called evolution, and it has been going on for millions of years. We are here because of it, and, given its past success, odds are we will be replaced because of it.

      The true best we can hope for is to go cyborg and evolve ourselves as fast as the robots. We should clear all of the obstacles from people who choose to experiment to try to make themselves better. Humans are plentiful. Give us true freedom. We will compete and evolve faster than pure robots. Many will fail, many monsters will be created, but there will also be success and advancement.

    2. Re:AI’s fundamentally overrated. by Aphranius · · Score: 1

      What you're describing is generally called "strong AI", which is something that, for the time being, is a pipe dread. Self driving cars do not require it. A self driving car controller merely needs some way of telling where the road and other vehicles and pedestrians are relative to it, have a decent physical model of how various inputs like throttle and turning or breaking have on the car, and how to control these while getting the occupants to their destination. It's little more than a glorified PID (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/PID_controller). It does not require human level cognition to achieve this, and it can in fact do a better job than humans as it can have much better reaction time, light independent vision in every direction via radar, no chance of ever getting lost provided adequate maps and GPS systems, etc. Alternatively, if you claim that this constitutes enslavement, you can say the same about your appliances and computer equipment. Have you ever asked your computer if it _wants_ to render slashdot for you, you monster?

    3. Re:AI’s fundamentally overrated. by bkmoore · · Score: 1

      The hype surrounding AI reminds me of the scene from the Graduate, Mr. McGuire leads Dustin Hoffman's character outside and says, "Ben, I just want to say one word, are you listening?" "yes sir" "Just one word: Plastics." Just one word: AI.

  25. Re: Ban humans now by WindBourne · · Score: 2

    Yeah, it is not like dot/nhsta have crunched numbers about Tesla and found that they had fewer accidents and more lives saved under car control than under human control. Oh yeah wat. They did and have found that exact situation; Tesla auto pilot is saving lives.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  26. Re: Ban humans now by Cmdln+Daco · · Score: 1, Informative

    There isn't enough data yet.

    All present findings are statistically insignificant. The reality has to scale out to the entire population before it means anything.

    Yes. People for whom cars are an afterthought need to be included in the data, which at this point means many more people than current Tesla owners.

  27. Car Culture / Antique Vehicles by BigBlockMopar · · Score: 1

    That's probably what he is afraid of: people still drive horses and carts for fun, but they are relegated to minor roads. Like horses, humans will not be able to keep up with what comes next: self driving cars. Imagine a special "diamond lane" for autonomous cars: you could have those cars do 180km/h and follow each other really closely, but a human would have no business driving in that lane. Then, those lanes are expanded and highways may (or may not) be left with a single "slow poke" lane for human drivers. Then come intersections without traffic lights, etc... At some point it will be too dangerous or too disruptive to let human-driven cars onto the highways and major thoroughfares in town.

    Yeah, I think you're right.

    We will soon reach a point where human-driven vehicles are no longer allowed on roadways because we're not as good as the computer driving the car.

    The existing automobile is responsible for untold waste and pollution and deaths, but it is also responsible for much of the quality of life which allowed us to develop the technology to build autonomous vehicles. The horse and buggy had to be invented before the steel mill could be invented, before the car, before the TV set, before the computer, and therefore the autonomous car. One innovation fuels the next in some way.

    We did teach machines how to drive. They still only have their learner's permit, but with a little practice, they will exceed human drivers by any measure.

    Except one: only humans will understand the beauty of the machine under their direct control, the thrum of the engine, the instant response of thousands of pounds of steel to the touch of your finger or your foot on the pedal. It's visceral.

    I've lamented before that today's kids don't know about the tactile experience of choosing their music, putting a cassette in the deck and fast-forwarding to find it. Now, we click on the song we want to hear. Some people are resisting; look at the resurgence of vinyl. You appreciate watching television much more when this is how you watch 480i than you do by clicking a Netflix or YouTube video. Likewise, literally "going somewhere" will always require the human touch. Or else it will be no more special than clicking on a map.

    Human drivers will still be on the roadways for a long, long time. But machines will be dominant roadway users in ten years; they will be better than human drivers in every way.

    I think of the Humboldt Broncos bus crash and virtually every other car, truck, or bus accident as reason why autonomous vehicles will take over quickly. Once they're proven to be safe, everyone from MADD to every medical group to every government agency will be finding ways to promote the sales of autonomous cars over conventional cars.

    A baby born today might never know human-driven cars, like a person born in 1997 might not know "Be Kind, Rewind" stickers.

    --
    Fire and Meat. Yummy.
    1. Re:Car Culture / Antique Vehicles by BigBlockMopar · · Score: 1

      LOL... I hit send before I was ready. I think we'll see human-driven cars disallowed from some, maybe most, roadways.

      --
      Fire and Meat. Yummy.
    2. Re:Car Culture / Antique Vehicles by Pentium100 · · Score: 1

      There's also the liability issue. If I am not in control of the car, then I should not go to jail if the car runs over a pedestrian (and it WILL happen, at least once somewhere). But who will go to jail for that? The programmer? Would the manufacturer just have to pay a fine?

      Because if I am held accountable for something then I want to be in control of it. Why should I pay a fine or go to jail if the programmer fucks up?

  28. Re:Will be as successful as the horse and cart clu by b0s0z0ku · · Score: 1

    Or just move to a developing country that's 50 years behind the times. By the time it goes self-driving, you'll be dead anyway.

  29. Re:Will be as successful as the horse and cart clu by b0s0z0ku · · Score: 1

    Intersections without traffic lights (or something like them) are unlikely in places that are actually livable, not car-based US suburban hellscapes. Pedestrians and cyclists still need the ability to cross roads.

  30. Re:Ban humans now by b0s0z0ku · · Score: 1

    World's overpopulated anyway, though :)

  31. Re:Ban humans now by b0s0z0ku · · Score: 1

    In cities that are actually livable, humans will be allowed to cycle or walk, so cars will still be interacting with human "drivers."

  32. Re: Ban humans now by javaman235 · · Score: 1

    Itâ(TM)s not happening without big changes. A human at their best is going to be better than a machine for a long time. Humans arenâ(TM)t always at their best, while machines have a baseline of not screwing up they wonâ(TM)t go below, so things like crash avoidance are good for when humans drop the ball, but machines are worse drivers than people the rest of the time. To fix it you need to get rid of all the ambiguities out on the road, this means cm accurate local positioning, (not 5m accurate gps), cameras and sensors on road that map location of every car person animal and debris, and send data to all vehicles, etc. with low tech prices itâ(TM)s not that expensive to build, but it must be built, like a wireless trolley system self driving cars wirelessly attach to.

    --
    -The art of programming is the pursuit of absolute simplicity.
  33. Re:Will be as successful as the horse and cart clu by Joce640k · · Score: 1

    180km/h is about the average speed on German roads.

    --
    No sig today...
  34. Re:Will be as successful as the horse and cart clu by epyT-R · · Score: 1

    It is still fucking stupid to give up that much control over your autonomy.

  35. Re: Ban humans now by Joce640k · · Score: 3, Informative

    You day this despite the fact that there is no shred of demonstrable proof that any car has ever driven on its own safer than a human.

    No, apart from all those millions of miles clocked up by self driving cars.

    --
    No sig today...
  36. Re:Ban humans now by epyT-R · · Score: 1

    Fools believing this 'infinite safety' garbage are what will enable the next age of tyranny, this time assisted by technology.

  37. Re: Ban humans now by Calydor · · Score: 1

    It's been decades since the machines got a spellchecker able to correctly spell 'infallible'.

    --
    -=This sig has nothing to do with my comment. Move along now=-
  38. Re: Ban humans now by Calydor · · Score: 2

    Well sure, the computers are programmed by people with the time and resources to sit in a calm environment and set parameters for how to handle an emergency. It doesn't matter that those same people would panic and make split-second bad decisions in the actual emergency.

    --
    -=This sig has nothing to do with my comment. Move along now=-
  39. Re: Ban humans now by bondsbw · · Score: 1

    statistically insignificant

    has to scale out to the entire population before it means anything

    You really don't seem to know how statistics works.

    --
    All my liberal friends think I'm a conservative, all my conservative friends think I'm a liberal.
  40. Re:Will be as successful as the horse and cart clu by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

    I've been on an autonomous bus that was faster than that. Well, it was like a bus but longer and instead of running on a road it ran on two narrow ones.

    --
    Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
  41. Ban Bikes, Skates, Sports too. by MDMurphy · · Score: 1

    Might as well ban bicycles too. There's no way riding a bicycle is as safe as crumple-zoned, air-bagged, seat-belted vehicle with automatic 911 calling in an accident. Oh, and Johns Hopkins reports "More than 775,000 children, ages 14 and younger, are treated in hospital emergency rooms for sports-related injuries each year" Limit exercise to non-contact, indoor activities. Of course, for now, we still have a little freedom of choice. So sports could still exist for adults, but to protect the children, be illegal under aged 18. Want to compete? That's what video games are for.

  42. Re: Ban humans now by bondsbw · · Score: 1

    Not to mention the billions of miles in simulation. (Not saying simulation is a good substitute for real driving.)

    --
    All my liberal friends think I'm a conservative, all my conservative friends think I'm a liberal.
  43. Re:Will be as successful as the horse and cart clu by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

    There'll be an app for that.

    --
    Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
  44. Sentimental? Or more rational? by QuietLagoon · · Score: 1

    So far self-driving cars have shown that they cannot navigate the roads as well as humans can.

  45. Re: Ban humans now by Cmdln+Daco · · Score: 1

    You're apparently an expert in rhetorical argument, however.

    So very clever. Shall we pick apart and quote snippets from your comments?

  46. obRush by cascadingstylesheet · · Score: 2

    ... race back to the farm, to dream with my uncle at the fireside ...

  47. Re:Will be as successful as the horse and cart clu by epyT-R · · Score: 1

    The genie isn't out of the bottle yet.. People just talk like it is for political reasons. Right now, we've just got a few metalworkers competing over how the lamp should be shaped.

  48. Re:Fuck. That. by QuietLagoon · · Score: 1

    ...Every year in the USA, around 30K people are killed in traffic accidents. ...

    You assume that self-driving cars will have a lower "kill" rate. We won't know if that is a correct assumption until we can look at the full picture when all the cars on the road are self-driving. I remember when over-the-air digital TV was promised to be "either a perfect picture or no picture at all." Well, I see lots of blocking and pixelation in the picture at times. So the "perfect picture or no picture" promise was nothing more than technological marketing speak.

    .
    Technology always looks its best before it is widely implemented.

  49. Yerkes-Dodson meets Dunning-Krueger meets Miyagi by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

    Alex Roy, founder of the The Human Driving Association, is proposing a third option called "augmented driving" -- allowing people the option to drive, but helping them do it better.

    Then he's a pillock.

    A wise man once said: "Should drive yes or drive no, not drive guess so".

    --
    Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
  50. Re:Will be as successful as the horse and cart clu by PPH · · Score: 1

    as they can Slashdot on the go

    Like we don't do that alrea~{po ~poz~ppo\[NO CARRIER]

    --
    Have gnu, will travel.
  51. Re:Ban humans now by Cmdln+Daco · · Score: 1

    You're kidding, right? Human pedestrians allowed on the special pathways that only AI directed cars are allowed on? That would mess up the whole scheme!

  52. Re: Ban humans now by bondsbw · · Score: 1

    Go ahead. Please, please let me know if I make such a glaring error as confusing sampling vs. population. I want to correct it.

    --
    All my liberal friends think I'm a conservative, all my conservative friends think I'm a liberal.
  53. Re:Ban humans now by b0s0z0ku · · Score: 1

    Yes: humans won't be driving everywhere, so pedestrians will still need to cross streets and walk on sidewalks.

  54. Augmented driving by PPH · · Score: 1

    It's a system that would not allow a human to drive into a wall. If I turned the steering wheel toward a wall, the car turns the wheel back the right way

    But what if the wall swerved in front of your vehicle? Or ran through a stop sign/red light. And by 'wall' I mean bicycle.

    --
    Have gnu, will travel.
  55. Re: Will be as successful as the horse and cart cl by oobayly · · Score: 1

    I'd like to see the reaction of the police when they come across a horse rider on a UK dual carriageway which has a national speed limit (70 mph). Take the A34 (a road I know all too well), people doing 70+, no hard shoulder, just soft gravelly margins. I don't think I've even seen a cyclist (even though there are cycle crossings on some slip roads), and they don't have to worry about their mode of transport getting skittish.

  56. Finally, some sanity injected into this debate by Rick+Schumann · · Score: 2, Insightful

    So-called 'self driving cars' will not be the utopia some of you think it will, and I maintain that until IF and WHEN we understand how actual human brain cognition really works, none of the half-assed excuse for AI will produce a synthetic intelligence that is really 100% capable of handling the task of operating a vehicle under ALL conditions and circumstances. Period. Also I maintain that humans will not accept these machines as they will have ZERO control, and you fanbois somehow skip over the basic human nature that makes that statement true.

    I want to join this movement being created and I urge all of you who agree with me to do the same.

    1. Re:Finally, some sanity injected into this debate by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

      But humans on average are already far from 100% capable of operating a vehicle under all conditions, and very often place themselves in situations where they have zero control.

    2. Re:Finally, some sanity injected into this debate by camazotz · · Score: 1

      I don't agree with you but I'll still join the movement....I don't care if self-driving cars will be the future, I still enjoy driving myself for the experience and satisfaction of being in control.

  57. Re: Ban humans now by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    From what I have seen of human drivers, I would expect self driving cars to fair much better in icy and snowy conditions. They will become aware immediately of sliding and be able to detect icy patches in advance better than humans.

    Humans seem to have no clue whatsoever and slam randomly into things all the time in slick conditions.

  58. Re: Will be as successful as the horse and cart cl by MachineShedFred · · Score: 1

    Have you been to southeast Asia? In places like Vietnam there are far more scooters and motorcycles than cars.

    --
    Slashdot still doesnâ(TM)t support Unicode after it was added to the HTML standard in 1997.
  59. Re: Ban humans now by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

    Then let's immediately take every self driving car and let's let them go everywhere without safety drivers until they hit 3.22 trillion miles like humans do. If you think chaos would not ensue, you are crazy.

    --
    Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
  60. Re: Ban humans now by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

    Don't machines need to first know how to pick out a woman with a bike or a concrete barrier? Where does that fit in?

    --
    Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
  61. Re:Ban humans now by Pentium100 · · Score: 1

    Yes, so much better. You just get in your car and it automatically takes you to the gulag.

    If the self-driving cars have internet access or remote update capability, I would love to see (from far away) what the terrorists can do with them after hacking the update server.

  62. Re: Ban humans now by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

    You're talking about the accidents that the safety driver couldn't prevent; and it is questionable whether a human should be held responsible when the car is acting non-human. If a self-driving car slams on the breaks gets rear ended, it may legally be the fault of the driver behind but it is technically important that the car is going to cause accidents on an ongoing basis if they don't act human.

    --
    Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
  63. Re: Ban humans now by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

    Yes, millions of carefully selected miles with safety drivers. You people always forget that part.

    --
    Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
  64. Re:Ban humans now by goose-incarnated · · Score: 1

    Once computers can drive better than people (which has happened already or will happen very soon)

    Not only has it not happened, it doesn't look like it will in my lifetime unless all humans are off the road.

    --
    I'm a minority race. Save your vitriol for white people.
  65. Red Barchetta by TigerPlish · · Score: 1

    The sad truth is most people are Muggles, bereft of the ability to feel and enjoy the sensation of metal on oil on metal, the snick-snick of the shifter as it slides the next cog into place, the *bark* of a willing engine, the more cylinders the merrier... or hey, two spinning triangles..

    To most people, cars are but mere transport, bringing no joy, only expense and worry. They are cruel to their cars, neglecting them, treating them as mere appliances.

    Go ahead, you car-hating "visionaries", go ahead and sign away more of your autonomy. I hope you enjoy your perceived freedom. Be keenly aware that there are people who do not want the car to go away, to be replaced by only electric robots and we will use all means including political to make sure the car and the motorcycle live on for the forseeable future. Your vision of a utopia of people being passively shuttled around is myopic and misguided.

    Those few of us that truly love cars as art, as machinery, as engineering and design will sneak out, and illicitly fling a little car of many cylinders down a winding road, and pretend the world still makes somewhat sense. That is, if we can still get gas and oil and rubber and parts....

    Rush said it best:

    "I strip away the old debris
    That hides a shining car
    A brilliant red Barchetta
    From a better vanished time
    I fire up the willing engine
    Responding with a roar
    Tires spitting gravel
    I commit my weekly crime

    Wind
    In my hair
    Shifting and drifting
    Mechanical music
    Adrenaline surge...

    Well-weathered leather
    Hot metal and oil
    The scented country air
    Sunlight on chrome
    The blur of the landscape
    Every nerve aware"

    My idea of a proper Barchetta. 2 liters. 12 cylinders. Heart of a lion, this one.

    --
    The "Civilized World" jumped the shark ca. 1973.
  66. Re:Will be as successful as the horse and cart clu by demonlapin · · Score: 2

    Maybe on some. I drove from Prague to Stuttgart last year, plenty of uncontrolled speed sections, doing about 160, and I passed many more cars than passed me. A few doing about 180, a couple in the 200+ range, but most hanging out around 130-140.

  67. Re: Ban humans now by epiccollision · · Score: 1

    don't use apple maps, there fixed.

  68. Re:Ban humans now by epiccollision · · Score: 1

    Insurance will decide who and what gets to drive...if you can pay for the premium to drive manually then go ahead.

  69. Re:Fuck. That. by Greyfox · · Score: 1

    With the ability to not get drunk, always pay attention and communicate with every other car on the road, self-driving cars had better have a lower accident rate. In fact, I wouldn't be in the least bit surprised if the overall number of accidents a year drop into the single digits once self-driving cars are common.

    --

    I'm trying to teach myself to set people on fire with my mind... Is it hot in here?

  70. Re: Ban humans now by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    no
    There is not enough data for a FULL PROOF.
    But the fact is, there is plenty of data that leans heavily toward all of the autopilots being safer than human driving, under the conditions that they have been allowed.
    For tesla, it has been on highways. We own a 2013 Tesla, so we do not have AP. However, we have had loaners and I have seen that overall, it does a pretty good job. On the highway. Sure as hell though, I would not be driving a tesla through suburbia, or rural roads. For example, I would not trust Tesla to do small round-abouts.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  71. Re: Ban humans now by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    btw, love your signature. It is what happens for being centrist and honest.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  72. Who really wants to buy a level-5 driverless car? by bkmoore · · Score: 1

    The question that honestly needs to be asked is who really wants to own a driverless car? I'm not talking about driver assist, auto-pilot, etc. I'm talking about going down to the local dealer in order to purchase an SAE level-5 car that does not even have manual steering controls. Unless there is real demand, I expect that there will be no real market for this kind of technology. A lot of comments here are geared towards forcing demand, i.e. through insurance pricing. But we've been trying to force demand for EVs for many years and they're still a niche product. It won't work, because all it takes is one insurance company to not go along with the crowd and instantly gain all the customers who refuse to give up their manually-driven cars.

    Level-5 is probably most suited for ride sharing, taxi, or delivery services. It might make owning a car for optional for many people, especially those living in dense urban settings where a vehicle can show up within minutes of being ordered. But I personally don't see it catching on any time soon for most people, especially those in rural areas, or in poorer countries.

  73. Re: Ban humans now by oneunixguy · · Score: 1

    Apparently for a long time if you live in certain Chicago neighborhoods.

  74. Re: Ban humans now by Wycliffe · · Score: 1

    For cars, self driving is objectively better in safety.

    Even if you could show that a fully self driving car is safer than a human driven car, itâ(TM)s not a binary choice. Many of the features currently being used to make self driving cars safe could also be used in augmented systems and as in most modern systems, there likely exists a sweet spot where the combination of human and machine is better than either one by themself by using the strengths of computers and the strengths of humans together.

  75. The solution by Wizardess · · Score: 1

    C. M. Kornbluth "The Marching Morons" features a car perfect for those who feel they should remain in control.

    {^_-}

  76. A.I. is stupid by OrangeTide · · Score: 1

    "It's a system that would not allow a human to drive into a wall. If I turned the steering wheel toward a wall, the car turns the wheel back the right way," said Roy.

    Maybe I'm turning towards the wall because the bridge is out? Maybe I'm trying to slow down unconventionally because my breaks have overheated on a long descent. Maybe there is no wall and it's an optical illusion and I'm only trying to turn into my own driveway?

    --
    “Common sense is not so common.” — Voltaire
  77. Re: Ban humans now by Cmdln+Daco · · Score: 1

    Get out your red pen, dude.

    Maybe you can get a woodie from the feeling of power.

  78. Re:Will be as successful as the horse and cart clu by tinkerton · · Score: 1

    Hyperbole I guess.
    There are no highways where cars drive180 on average, even at night, and even for an individual car maintaining an average of 180 isn't easy. But you still get stretches where some people do 300 if the circumstances allow it.You use a lot of fuel above 200.

  79. Re: Ban humans now by bondsbw · · Score: 1

    Or maybe this is about you, not me.

    --
    All my liberal friends think I'm a conservative, all my conservative friends think I'm a liberal.
  80. Re:The Love of Driving by Pentium100 · · Score: 1

    Also, it seems that the self-driving car proponents really dislike owning stuff as usually the next proposal is no personal cars, but only rented time on state (or company) owned cars. So, almost like public transport.

    And I can tell you about this, as my country had something like this for 50 years. Personal cars were not common in the USSR, as they were expensive and you also usually had to wait in line for something like 10 years if you wanted to buy a new car (after getting the permission to do so from your workplace). We still see the echoes of that in the overcrowded tiny parking lots for old apartment buildings (at the time, it was expected that there would be one car per 3 - 10 apartments).

    And, I guess, people did not need cars. After all, you can take the bus to work and back and take the bus or the train if you wanted to visit some other city. You can even use a taxi if you can afford it. Why would you even want a car?

    After the USSR collapsed and cheap used cars from the West became available, everyone bought them.

    So, every time when someone brings up the "cars are bad, use public transport" in my country, they forget that that we already had that system and did not like it.

  81. Re:Fuck. That. by camazotz · · Score: 1

    I see a future with walled/fenced roads and overpasses and underpasses built in to avoid impeding the flow of traffic with human corpses.

  82. Re: Ban humans now by Cmdln+Daco · · Score: 1

    Don't kid yourself, mister statistic.

  83. Re: Will be as successful as the horse and cart cl by yuriklastalov · · Score: 1

    It feels like PROGRESS. The techo-bureaucracy has decreed that the serfs are not allowed to drive cars manually as it engenders an unhealthy sense of self-worth and self-sufficiency which is detrimental to the overall efficiency of the economy. Furthermore, by enforcing the complete reliance on automated cars, the techno-bureaucracy can ensure that all serfs will remain compliant with all future laws and regulations by taking them automatically to the nearest Happiness Center for psychological readjustment.

    Remember, serfs, economic efficiency is the only thing that matters, and we will gladly sacrifice every single one of you on the altar of Progress to squeeze 1/4% more economic output. Any quaint and outdated notions like liberty and independence must be eliminated from the population in order to maintain our glorious Economy. Docile serfs are good serfs. That's a good serf, take your meds and watch your shows. They're rebooting another beloved franchise for the 11th time, you wouldn't want to miss out because you've been taken away to a Happiness Center, now would you?

  84. Re:What about the nowadays rare *individual*? by yuriklastalov · · Score: 1

    They think they're creating the Star Trek utopia, but instead they're running headlong into Idiocracy. Don't need to think if the computer will do all your thinking for you. The automation craze is going to create some really dysfunctional culture when no one understands why they're doing something, they just know the Computer told them to.

  85. Re: Ban humans now by Joce640k · · Score: 1

    Disagree.

    The AI will progress much faster if you turn the simulators into puzzle games where people try to set up weird situations and make the car do something stupid.

    Driving aimlessly around the roads takes ages.

    --
    No sig today...