Basic Cable dropped from 188 in 2015 to 181 in 2016, up from 66 in '09. Not much of a drop. And separating those out doesn't really make sense - everyone is bidding on the same pitches from the same writers and production companies. Increased competition is driving up costs. It's not like there's a million brilliant writers with series ready to go. And even when you get an amazing show, that doesn't mean the next show/ season will be as good (True Detective, The Bastard Executioner, Mr. Robot). Ain't no sure things.
Nothing good on? Bullshit. Here are the show only on FX in the past year, with their RT ratings:
Atlanta 100% Fargo 98% Always Sunny in Philadelphia 97% Archer 97% People vs. OJ Simpson 97% The Americans 96% Better Things 94% You're the Worst 92% Man Seeking Woman 90% American Horror Story 77% Baskets 70%
That doesn't count all the great shows on HBO (GoT, Westworld, Insecure), AMC (Better Call Saul, Walking Dead), Netflix (Stranger Things, The Crown), Amazon (Fleabag, Good Girls Revolt), and many others.
Also, RTFA - 455 this year is counting only NEW, SCRIPTED (not reality) shows on TV and OTT services like Netflix and Amazon. There's even a chart. Landgraf knows what he's talking about.
Also, many of you are making his point for him. Nobody wants to pay for this (ie watch commercials or subscribe). Each hour of high end TV (not twitch, not pewdiepie, not unboxing, but real scripted TV that can compete in this landscape) costs roughly $2.5 million. So, I just mentioned roughy 170 hours of content above - that's 425 million dollars. Where is that money going to come from?
Does anyone else find it ironic that a site that is all about grabbing content from others (that may or may not actually own the content to begin with) going to court to defend a copyright on a standard english word?
The NBA is a private association with it's own governing charter. It's a billionaires club. If all of the other members of the club hate you because you have a LONG HISTORY of being a total racist, cheapskate, and litigious dick, it is within their right to throw you out. Additionally, his wife had him declared incompetent, so legality is even less of an issue.
As for the "baiting", even if we ignore his long history of bad behavior, he insulted Magic Johnson - one of the greatest players of all time, and the guy who's statue he walks by every time he enters the Staples Center - IN HIS APOLOGY. Yes, he said he was a bad influence him for HAVING HIV. Yes he said he could be "doing more" for the community - the guy who opened hundreds of new businesses in black neighborhoods across LA. Oh, and that apology took him a week, and in the meantime, he said he should have just "paid her off".
Also, BOTH teams (including his own) were going to refuse to play (in the playoffs) if the commissioner didn't act. NO ONE liked him, not even those who worked for him.
If you want to talk about freedom, how about the freedom to not have to deal with this jerk? I believe they always had the legal authority to kick him out, but his history of litigious dickishness would have cost them billions in legal fees and bad PR. Carpe Diem. And Ballmer (not famous for his likability) will be a HUGE upgrade.
In what I like to call "the real world" -ie, the place where no one has heard of commontag, Freebase, or Zemanta, and maybe not even gizmodo - the #tag is the closest you're ever going to get. People use it on twitter and instagram, and advertisers have embraced it. Do any of these giant companies want their users going to other sites? Hell no. Facebook brought back the walled garden, and open systems are going to suffer.
Now that we've realized it's unlikely to happen, would you even want it if it did? If you add an ubuntu link on pinboard, would you want to instantly see all the old ubuntu stories on slashdot? Tag a flickr picture with "hotdog" and see all the tweets about hot dogs? Or take a picture with some app that adds its own tag (#vsco or some such) and see all the other pictures taken with that app? Some of these things actually work, but why? I could see doing something like subscribing to only slashdot/bizarro or gizmodo/tv in your RSS reader, but take a look at the RSS market and no one really gives a shit about that either.
I think wide-area tagging is quasi-useless. Even in closed silos (twitter, instagram), it's a messy sea of miscategorization and gamification. If it helps out the sites search engine, great. If it helps your own organization in whatever tool, great. It may even be good in workgroups - i'm interested to see how it pans out in OS X Mavericks.
A lot of critics liked it, but quite a few, including Rex Reed and David Edelstein destroyed it. I'm with them, personally. It seems to be fairly polarizing.
If the NYT and Fox News are covering the same story, I want to read the NYT coverage and not Fox News. I don't trust FN, and I do trust NYT (at least I trust them more).
Or read both, and make up your own mind. Everything is slanted, and slimming your intake to just a few trusted sources is dangerous on either side of the political spectrum.
A couple months ago I saw a fire near my apartment. I search the name of the street on Twitter and there were tons of tweets describing what was going on with pictures....
This is the type of scenario that social media excels at, but most people don't have white house press credentials, or correspondents in kandahar, or the patience or experience to dig through piles of legal documents. Stories like enron, what caused the financial crisis, the CIA torture memos, etc all need experienced journalists who need to be paid.
That said, your point is totally valid. Why pay for something that is now free? Personally, I'm willing to pay for the increase quality, both of journalism and UI. But my cap is probably around $8-10/mo. And I'm a fanboy.
I totally agree. Still way to many animations and eye candy. UI designers should keep the focus on what works well and fast not what looks slick, but the slick looking designs are the ones that get picked in the meetings...
My favorite part is the "find people faster".... that's what you're selling? exactly how is that faster, or at all different from your competitors? My treo 300 could get to contacts quite quickly, and the iphone search is easy and works well - is this a still a problem?
If someone is curious about computer tinkering these days, I feel like their first toe in the water will be with HTML/JS/AJAX rather than BASIC/ResEdit/Etc. ipad will definitely have a text editor and file sharing... and as many have said, if you REALLY want to get under the hood, they can step up to a linux box (or any other desktop OS).
besides, jquery touch looks much, MUCH more fun than 10 PRINT "VOIDSTIN RULES!" 20 GOTO 10
So, if the revenue really comes from honestly entertained consumers trading money for an enjoyable experience, fine. Do that. Stop it with the text message scams and toolbar downloads..
But, since $9.99/mo in hidden text message charges > $1 for a tractor, it seems to me that the tractor is the red herring, in order to get you to the far more profitable malware. But Zynga can easily prove me wrong by stopping these practices....
Are any of these complaints about Mac OS X itself? Seems like a lot of bitching about iphoto, mail, acrobat, and itunes. Yes, all of those bite. Use aperture/lightroom, gmail, preview, and... well, you're stuck with itunes.
Dont like it? Enjoy your Treo 800 or Blackberry Curve.
Most software kind of sucks. I happen to think the iphone sucks the least of all the smart phones.
Safari is amazing. The subscription model is perfect for tech books.
-price is competitive with what I spent on books before. - always up to date - copy and paste code snippets - great for researching new technologies (esp with rough cuts) - no special hardware/software required. (if you're reading about programming, you're probably in front of a computer anyway. Youdon't really curl up with the Apache Cookbook at the beach) - and SEARCH. God bless search.
How they get people to pay thousands of dollars for this "research" is amazing. Can anyone ever remember someone saying "Damn! Forrester totally called it!"
The 4 new products they predict are:
* AppleSound universal music controller what, for the times when you are out of earshot of itunes, ipod or apple tv? or so you can sync them? I don't see the market here.
* Network-enabled gadgets like a chumby? or an ambient orb?
* In-home installation services apple geek squad? Ok, this may be true, but really... yawn...
* Apple home server product This is the only one that MAY be interesting, but that's probably just because they don't say much about it. isn't this what the mini is? or mini+drobo?
This is the thing that will kill the DVD and cable at the same time. The subscription model is great, but the only way this is going to kill cable and DVD is with the full support of the movie studios, who make an enormous portion of their revenue from... cable and DVD. And I'm pretty sure the studios have teams of accountants to figure out that a $9/mo Netflix subscription is less than a $70/mo cable TV subscription. Only 2 of the top 100 movies on Netflix are available to stream, and if the studios get irritated, allof a sudden this is competing with Joost and Jaman instead of blockbuster.
Also, if Cable TV, gets killed, the "triple play" pricing scheme goes away, and so does the cheap cable modem. I could see it working if Netflix cut a deal with comcast, or comcast improves on demand substantially... but i'm not holding my breath on that one.
I know they can't fix it (and I do know what DTrace is), I was just giving another example of apple screwing it's customers - and in the QT case, indefensibly screwing it's most loyal and free spending customers. In the QT case, it was probably ignorance rather than malevolence, but still. Maybe it was a bit OT, but thought it as relevant.
It's nice that Dtrace works again. But I'm betting a lot more people use After Effects or Premiere. The QT 7.4 update which enables movie rentals from iTunes breaks any render that takes longer than 10 minutes. Thank god DRM is here to protect me from the work I need to do. Wasn't apple supposed to me the machine for media professionals?
[quote]If someone upgrades a product you bitch about being an early adopter (The fucking machine is 2 years old, do you think this is the Atari 2600?) if they never upgrade it you scream "Where's the innovation?" [/quote]
When have consoles ever been updated? the PS2 got smaller and integrated IR, that's it. Short obsolescence cycles just piss people off. If these new features are so genius, sit on them and put them in the xbox 720.
All this is doing for mid-cycle adopters (like me), is making me wait. It's been like this all year. Wait for HDMI, wait for Falcon, wait for the price drop, now wait until 2009? If I buy now, will i have to put another ugly misshapen box like the hd dvd player next to my TV? Didn't you people learn anything from the Sega CD?
Ultimately, it's going to be about the games. If I wanted a $600 convergence box, I'd get a mac mini.
"This is regrettable, too, because there really are a number of strong titles coming out for the console this year."
Really? In 2007? Like What? Looking at the release dates, I don't see a decent exclusive before LittleBigPlanet or Killzone, both of which are in February.
The odds that the torrent is the same as the as-aired broadcast are slim to none. Local affiliates instert their own ads, as do cable and satellite providers, local and national.
So, if you watch the torrent rather than the broadcast, someone who paid to have their ad displayed to you (even though you can fast forward over it with Tivo) is not getting what they paid for.
Personally, I think internet distribution offers much more possibilities for advertisers, but I don't think NBC sees it that way.
Basic Cable dropped from 188 in 2015 to 181 in 2016, up from 66 in '09. Not much of a drop. And separating those out doesn't really make sense - everyone is bidding on the same pitches from the same writers and production companies. Increased competition is driving up costs. It's not like there's a million brilliant writers with series ready to go. And even when you get an amazing show, that doesn't mean the next show/ season will be as good (True Detective, The Bastard Executioner, Mr. Robot). Ain't no sure things.
Nothing good on? Bullshit. Here are the show only on FX in the past year, with their RT ratings:
Atlanta 100%
Fargo 98%
Always Sunny in Philadelphia 97%
Archer 97%
People vs. OJ Simpson 97%
The Americans 96%
Better Things 94%
You're the Worst 92%
Man Seeking Woman 90%
American Horror Story 77%
Baskets 70%
That doesn't count all the great shows on HBO (GoT, Westworld, Insecure), AMC (Better Call Saul, Walking Dead), Netflix (Stranger Things, The Crown), Amazon (Fleabag, Good Girls Revolt), and many others.
Also, RTFA - 455 this year is counting only NEW, SCRIPTED (not reality) shows on TV and OTT services like Netflix and Amazon. There's even a chart. Landgraf knows what he's talking about.
Also, many of you are making his point for him. Nobody wants to pay for this (ie watch commercials or subscribe). Each hour of high end TV (not twitch, not pewdiepie, not unboxing, but real scripted TV that can compete in this landscape) costs roughly $2.5 million. So, I just mentioned roughy 170 hours of content above - that's 425 million dollars. Where is that money going to come from?
Does anyone else find it ironic that a site that is all about grabbing content from others (that may or may not actually own the content to begin with) going to court to defend a copyright on a standard english word?
The NBA is a private association with it's own governing charter. It's a billionaires club. If all of the other members of the club hate you because you have a LONG HISTORY of being a total racist, cheapskate, and litigious dick, it is within their right to throw you out. Additionally, his wife had him declared incompetent, so legality is even less of an issue. As for the "baiting", even if we ignore his long history of bad behavior, he insulted Magic Johnson - one of the greatest players of all time, and the guy who's statue he walks by every time he enters the Staples Center - IN HIS APOLOGY. Yes, he said he was a bad influence him for HAVING HIV. Yes he said he could be "doing more" for the community - the guy who opened hundreds of new businesses in black neighborhoods across LA. Oh, and that apology took him a week, and in the meantime, he said he should have just "paid her off". Also, BOTH teams (including his own) were going to refuse to play (in the playoffs) if the commissioner didn't act. NO ONE liked him, not even those who worked for him. If you want to talk about freedom, how about the freedom to not have to deal with this jerk? I believe they always had the legal authority to kick him out, but his history of litigious dickishness would have cost them billions in legal fees and bad PR. Carpe Diem. And Ballmer (not famous for his likability) will be a HUGE upgrade.
In what I like to call "the real world" -ie, the place where no one has heard of commontag, Freebase, or Zemanta, and maybe not even gizmodo - the #tag is the closest you're ever going to get. People use it on twitter and instagram, and advertisers have embraced it. Do any of these giant companies want their users going to other sites? Hell no. Facebook brought back the walled garden, and open systems are going to suffer.
Now that we've realized it's unlikely to happen, would you even want it if it did? If you add an ubuntu link on pinboard, would you want to instantly see all the old ubuntu stories on slashdot? Tag a flickr picture with "hotdog" and see all the tweets about hot dogs? Or take a picture with some app that adds its own tag (#vsco or some such) and see all the other pictures taken with that app? Some of these things actually work, but why? I could see doing something like subscribing to only slashdot/bizarro or gizmodo/tv in your RSS reader, but take a look at the RSS market and no one really gives a shit about that either.
I think wide-area tagging is quasi-useless. Even in closed silos (twitter, instagram), it's a messy sea of miscategorization and gamification. If it helps out the sites search engine, great. If it helps your own organization in whatever tool, great. It may even be good in workgroups - i'm interested to see how it pans out in OS X Mavericks.
I went to New England Computer Camp. 8086 Assembly in the morning, Trapeze and Fire Eating in the afternoon. That was an awesome camp.
Thank you for proving the parent's point.
A lot of critics liked it, but quite a few, including Rex Reed and David Edelstein destroyed it. I'm with them, personally. It seems to be fairly polarizing.
If the NYT and Fox News are covering the same story, I want to read the NYT coverage and not Fox News. I don't trust FN, and I do trust NYT (at least I trust them more).
Or read both, and make up your own mind. Everything is slanted, and slimming your intake to just a few trusted sources is dangerous on either side of the political spectrum.
A couple months ago I saw a fire near my apartment. I search the name of the street on Twitter and there were tons of tweets describing what was going on with pictures....
This is the type of scenario that social media excels at, but most people don't have white house press credentials, or correspondents in kandahar, or the patience or experience to dig through piles of legal documents. Stories like enron, what caused the financial crisis, the CIA torture memos, etc all need experienced journalists who need to be paid.
That said, your point is totally valid. Why pay for something that is now free? Personally, I'm willing to pay for the increase quality, both of journalism and UI. But my cap is probably around $8-10/mo. And I'm a fanboy.
I totally agree. Still way to many animations and eye candy. UI designers should keep the focus on what works well and fast not what looks slick, but the slick looking designs are the ones that get picked in the meetings...
My favorite part is the "find people faster".... that's what you're selling? exactly how is that faster, or at all different from your competitors? My treo 300 could get to contacts quite quickly, and the iphone search is easy and works well - is this a still a problem?
If Seattle or Baltimore wins, I'd think about it. Seems like whoever wins will get a giant influx of nerds.
If someone is curious about computer tinkering these days, I feel like their first toe in the water will be with HTML/JS/AJAX rather than BASIC/ResEdit/Etc. ipad will definitely have a text editor and file sharing... and as many have said, if you REALLY want to get under the hood, they can step up to a linux box (or any other desktop OS).
besides, jquery touch looks much, MUCH more fun than 10 PRINT "VOIDSTIN RULES!" 20 GOTO 10
http://www.jqtouch.com/
So, if the revenue really comes from honestly entertained consumers trading money for an enjoyable experience, fine. Do that. Stop it with the text message scams and toolbar downloads..
But, since $9.99/mo in hidden text message charges > $1 for a tractor, it seems to me that the tractor is the red herring, in order to get you to the far more profitable malware. But Zynga can easily prove me wrong by stopping these practices....
Are any of these complaints about Mac OS X itself? Seems like a lot of bitching about iphoto, mail, acrobat, and itunes. Yes, all of those bite. Use aperture/lightroom, gmail, preview, and ... well, you're stuck with itunes.
Dont like it? Enjoy your Treo 800 or Blackberry Curve.
Most software kind of sucks. I happen to think the iphone sucks the least of all the smart phones.
Safari is amazing. The subscription model is perfect for tech books.
-price is competitive with what I spent on books before.
- always up to date
- copy and paste code snippets
- great for researching new technologies (esp with rough cuts)
- no special hardware/software required. (if you're reading about programming, you're probably in front of a computer anyway. Youdon't really curl up with the Apache Cookbook at the beach)
- and SEARCH. God bless search.
so the PDFs are a big "meh" for me....
Anyone who really loved them would never have forgotten the umlaut.
How they get people to pay thousands of dollars for this "research" is amazing. Can anyone ever remember someone saying "Damn! Forrester totally called it!"
The 4 new products they predict are:
* AppleSound universal music controller
what, for the times when you are out of earshot of itunes, ipod or apple tv? or so you can sync them? I don't see the market here.
* Network-enabled gadgets
like a chumby? or an ambient orb?
* In-home installation services
apple geek squad? Ok, this may be true, but really... yawn...
* Apple home server product
This is the only one that MAY be interesting, but that's probably just because they don't say much about it. isn't this what the mini is? or mini+drobo?
Also, if Cable TV, gets killed, the "triple play" pricing scheme goes away, and so does the cheap cable modem. I could see it working if Netflix cut a deal with comcast, or comcast improves on demand substantially... but i'm not holding my breath on that one.
I know they can't fix it (and I do know what DTrace is), I was just giving another example of apple screwing it's customers - and in the QT case, indefensibly screwing it's most loyal and free spending customers. In the QT case, it was probably ignorance rather than malevolence, but still. Maybe it was a bit OT, but thought it as relevant.
It's nice that Dtrace works again. But I'm betting a lot more people use After Effects or Premiere. The QT 7.4 update which enables movie rentals from iTunes breaks any render that takes longer than 10 minutes. Thank god DRM is here to protect me from the work I need to do. Wasn't apple supposed to me the machine for media professionals?
http://blogs.adobe.com/keyframes/2008/01/dont_update_to_quicktime_74.html
I prefer the Larry David Jamming method, as illustrated here:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TrXp1R1RPNU
[quote]If someone upgrades a product you bitch about being an early adopter (The fucking machine is 2 years old, do you think this is the Atari 2600?) if they never upgrade it you scream "Where's the innovation?"
[/quote]
When have consoles ever been updated? the PS2 got smaller and integrated IR, that's it. Short obsolescence cycles just piss people off. If these new features are so genius, sit on them and put them in the xbox 720.
All this is doing for mid-cycle adopters (like me), is making me wait. It's been like this all year. Wait for HDMI, wait for Falcon, wait for the price drop, now wait until 2009? If I buy now, will i have to put another ugly misshapen box like the hd dvd player next to my TV? Didn't you people learn anything from the Sega CD?
Ultimately, it's going to be about the games. If I wanted a $600 convergence box, I'd get a mac mini.
"This is regrettable, too, because there really are a number of strong titles coming out for the console this year."
Really? In 2007? Like What? Looking at the release dates, I don't see a decent exclusive before LittleBigPlanet or Killzone, both of which are in February.
The odds that the torrent is the same as the as-aired broadcast are slim to none. Local affiliates instert their own ads, as do cable and satellite providers, local and national.
So, if you watch the torrent rather than the broadcast, someone who paid to have their ad displayed to you (even though you can fast forward over it with Tivo) is not getting what they paid for.
Personally, I think internet distribution offers much more possibilities for advertisers, but I don't think NBC sees it that way.