Blu-Ray burners are currently retailing for 500$ and up; HD-DVD for 600$ and up, and the media is between 10$ and 25$ per disk. At those price points, I'd say we're still having issues getting to BR/HD-DVD, let alone beyond it. In five years these burners will be under 100$ and the media will be under 5$; at which point the technology in the article will hopefully be hitting the wild at a price point similar to where Blu Ray and HD-DVD are now - prohibitively expensive for consumers, but available for those who actually need it.
I'll wager with you that it will be less than 3 years, and that the media will be less than $3 a blank.
What is also different now is that people have backup hard drives - in the 90s almost no one had a spare hard drive, perhaps an extra one in the machine. But just a spare hanging around for backups? No. Now, they are in every store.
The humble CD-R,DVD-R has competition - those harddrives and flash drives it did not have 7 years back. And those devices are faster and more competitive in key areas. Especially cost - a 500 GB harddrives cost less than $90 on Pricewatch. That is about 106 4.7GB DVDs in capacity at only twice the cost. Figuring time involved burning - that is less expensive.
I don't even think Blu-ray or HD-DVD is that exciting from a capacity standpoint for back-ups. DVD-Rs are only convenient for me right now when I give data to friends - that's it.
Perhaps HVD will come out soon and that is the only thing I am looking forward to in the area of backing up on optical disks.
There are some joke schools and then there are real schools. Digipen CAN burn you out, but in that direction it is no different than MIT, Cornell, etcetera.
I find that CS majors at other schools tend to have spent very little time programming relative to what was (is) done at Digipen.
Why don't you try Gutsy Gibbon (available now but only as Alpha - Tribe 5, released in October) before waiting almost 7 months or more for Hardy Heron.
I would be happy with a "mere" 60-100GB flash drive for my notebook and have a Firewire Conventional drive to back things on.
But still, more space is more space. I'm sure in the future it could be used - 3d movies perhaps? Who knows.
In terms of conventional files, drives are big enough for almost any conventional file type - pictures, music, movies even (almost - I'd say 10TB on that). But the hunger will always be there.
is projected out in the future? Normal hard drive capacity growth has certainly seemed to level off lately and perhaps is stagnating (so it seems to me). Yes, flash has grown astronomically the past few years, but is it sustainable to the point of meeting and exceeding conventional drives?
If we had the rate of growth in conventional drives that we had a few years back, we would almost certainly be looking at multi-TB drives right now.
One of the reasons to get excited about the iPhone was, despite being a hybridization of devices is that it does its many tasks well unlike all the devices that came before it.
But this is not one of those tasks. It's hard to enjoy a game when the control is less than adequate. I think I rather play a game designed for touchstream (why not, DS has that too -- could be done for iPhone) than trying to clunk through a game designed with a physical controller in mind.
However, future entitlements have to be factored in, pensions which I think you are underestimating, and space. People don't work in the outdoors. They were in buildings that have to built and paid for, with airconditioning and maintenance, and do they use computers? A car?
I looked up the budget for the IRS in 2008, a little more than $11B. Divided by 100K employees, that is $9167 per employee per month to operate - so I guess I am correct.
The IRS has 100,000 employees! What a drag on the economomy! Imagine if each one costs $5-10K an average per month in salary, health care, space, pension -- what that all adds up to.
But I noticed that all the Ubuntu distros, which it is installed upon, get a range of problems with upgrading to the next release of Ubuntu.
Automatix is not as necessary as it once one, codecs are done by Ubuntu itself in the meantime - Automatix was good two years back when it was a PITA to get DVDs and mp3s to play without editing files and going crazy on the command line.
It still is nice to use to install some programs like virtualbox, but the problems it causes are not worth it.
One wonders what it will take to convince voting machine manufacturers not to do things like hard coding passwords as '12345678.'"
What it would take is for them to be punished in the marketplace, as in not buying the damned things.
I think we ought to go to other countries with a reputation of a good voting process and see how they do it, and with which, if any, machines they use. Because we obviously forgot how, and in some parts of the country they never had a fair voting process. No need to roll our own solution if one exists. Maybe Switzerland has something.
I'm beginning to believe that the average DIYer could build a better voting machine than Diebold.
That title will be lost fast the way we are tossing money around.
There's no reason for us to not do both.
Um, let me see. We are borrowing about $3 billion dollars a day, mostly from Chinese and Japanese investors, to do this nation building. Also, we are robbing our citizens to give to their citizens for some unfathomable reason. They hate us more and more every passing day. Our troops are getting killed. The longer we stay, the more entrenched Al-Queda becomes in Iraq. We are making the corporations with contracts (read: Haliburton) filthy fucking rich.
I would still be against nation building in any case, but at least it could have been done the correct way from the beginning. That would have been, in 2003, to secure Iraq by taking the entire existing army and keep them on the payroll to keep law and order. Slowly we could have de-baathtized the army by weeding out the undesirable commanders and political soldiers. (As opposed to telling them all to go home, put them out of work, and give Al-Queda a bunch of trained, young, disaffected, disillusioned, out-of-work military men to recruit).
Secondly, instead of bringing in US contracting companies to build up the country - charging an arm and a leg per contractor (as high as $25,000 per month) - we put the Iraq people to work building up their own country. These are people who would work for less than $1000 a year and be happy. Surely they know masonry, plumbing, and other trades. Afterall, there were buildings there when we bombed the shit out of that country!
With the army keeping the country secure, and people in work, insurgency would not have flourished, capitalism would be in full bloom, and maybe democracy too.
Now the best thing would be to get the hell out. The window of opportunity closed on us. Even if we are a superpower. (Rome was one too. It fell.)
Second point. The bridge problem was first spotted in 1990. That's 17 years ago. Also, (like New Orleans) the public infrastructure funding falls squarely at the state level, NOT federal.
I agree completely. People should be held accountable. But also, with lower federal taxes, we may be able to raise more local taxes (not that it should demolish the savings over federal tax) for these thing.
But first thing first, hold the responsible people accountable. They caused deaths.
Slashdot Mirror
I'll wager with you that it will be less than 3 years, and that the media will be less than $3 a blank.
What is also different now is that people have backup hard drives - in the 90s almost no one had a spare hard drive, perhaps an extra one in the machine. But just a spare hanging around for backups? No. Now, they are in every store.
The humble CD-R,DVD-R has competition - those harddrives and flash drives it did not have 7 years back. And those devices are faster and more competitive in key areas. Especially cost - a 500 GB harddrives cost less than $90 on Pricewatch. That is about 106 4.7GB DVDs in capacity at only twice the cost. Figuring time involved burning - that is less expensive.
I don't even think Blu-ray or HD-DVD is that exciting from a capacity standpoint for back-ups. DVD-Rs are only convenient for me right now when I give data to friends - that's it.
Perhaps HVD will come out soon and that is the only thing I am looking forward to in the area of backing up on optical disks.
In five years, you will have:
16 cores
10GB Ram
300 GB HVDs, burnable
5-10 TB disks
Aforementioned disks will be 90% full or pron
Carpal tunnel syndrome
Be happy with that.
There are some joke schools and then there are real schools. Digipen CAN burn you out, but in that direction it is no different than MIT, Cornell, etcetera.
I find that CS majors at other schools tend to have spent very little time programming relative to what was (is) done at Digipen.
assuming you live at all close to one. Sometimes it's listed under Physics.
Why don't you try Gutsy Gibbon (available now but only as Alpha - Tribe 5, released in October) before waiting almost 7 months or more for Hardy Heron.
Open Source can be used by anybody, that's part of the point.
Indeed, you are correct there.
I would be happy with a "mere" 60-100GB flash drive for my notebook and have a Firewire Conventional drive to back things on.
But still, more space is more space. I'm sure in the future it could be used - 3d movies perhaps? Who knows.
In terms of conventional files, drives are big enough for almost any conventional file type - pictures, music, movies even (almost - I'd say 10TB on that). But the hunger will always be there.
is projected out in the future? Normal hard drive capacity growth has certainly seemed to level off lately and perhaps is stagnating (so it seems to me). Yes, flash has grown astronomically the past few years, but is it sustainable to the point of meeting and exceeding conventional drives?
If we had the rate of growth in conventional drives that we had a few years back, we would almost certainly be looking at multi-TB drives right now.
I'm glad my tax dollar are so hard at work protecting the poor corporations. I was worried there for a second.
you can't have that trick! No, no no! I said you can't have it.
What, how much money? Well, only since you ask, much to expensive for you, these are only for the "pros." There, get it? You can't have it.
(We'll make a deal in the backroom.)
Yes, it's called German:) (Actually, English stems from it.)
I don't know, how does Verizon's FiosTV compare to it?
I know it's limited availability, but for those people who have it or can get it.
and did away with the aging x86 instruction set and came up with something new.
Yeah, I know, Intel tried with Itanium.
a little while (or am I dreaming?) back that said this movie was actually pretty good. What happened?
One of the reasons to get excited about the iPhone was, despite being a hybridization of devices is that it does its many tasks well unlike all the devices that came before it.
But this is not one of those tasks. It's hard to enjoy a game when the control is less than adequate. I think I rather play a game designed for touchstream (why not, DS has that too -- could be done for iPhone) than trying to clunk through a game designed with a physical controller in mind.
Looking at the video, I imagine the controls would absolutely suck.
Just buy a DS instead for games:/
Collections were 2.2T in 2006, not $40T. You can't base cost of collections on GNP, that's just stupid.
However, future entitlements have to be factored in, pensions which I think you are underestimating, and space. People don't work in the outdoors. They were in buildings that have to built and paid for, with airconditioning and maintenance, and do they use computers? A car?
I looked up the budget for the IRS in 2008, a little more than $11B. Divided by 100K employees, that is $9167 per employee per month to operate - so I guess I am correct.
when you start speaking with a Lisp.
The IRS has 100,000 employees! What a drag on the economomy! Imagine if each one costs $5-10K an average per month in salary, health care, space, pension -- what that all adds up to.
Ron Paul is right, get rid of that juggernaut.
Automatix is a really nice idea.
But I noticed that all the Ubuntu distros, which it is installed upon, get a range of problems with upgrading to the next release of Ubuntu.
Automatix is not as necessary as it once one, codecs are done by Ubuntu itself in the meantime - Automatix was good two years back when it was a PITA to get DVDs and mp3s to play without editing files and going crazy on the command line.
It still is nice to use to install some programs like virtualbox, but the problems it causes are not worth it.
I think we ought to go to other countries with a reputation of a good voting process and see how they do it, and with which, if any, machines they use. Because we obviously forgot how, and in some parts of the country they never had a fair voting process. No need to roll our own solution if one exists. Maybe Switzerland has something.
I'm beginning to believe that the average DIYer could build a better voting machine than Diebold.
I would still be against nation building in any case, but at least it could have been done the correct way from the beginning. That would have been, in 2003, to secure Iraq by taking the entire existing army and keep them on the payroll to keep law and order. Slowly we could have de-baathtized the army by weeding out the undesirable commanders and political soldiers. (As opposed to telling them all to go home, put them out of work, and give Al-Queda a bunch of trained, young, disaffected, disillusioned, out-of-work military men to recruit).
Secondly, instead of bringing in US contracting companies to build up the country - charging an arm and a leg per contractor (as high as $25,000 per month) - we put the Iraq people to work building up their own country. These are people who would work for less than $1000 a year and be happy. Surely they know masonry, plumbing, and other trades. Afterall, there were buildings there when we bombed the shit out of that country!
With the army keeping the country secure, and people in work, insurgency would not have flourished, capitalism would be in full bloom, and maybe democracy too.
Now the best thing would be to get the hell out. The window of opportunity closed on us. Even if we are a superpower. (Rome was one too. It fell.)I agree completely. People should be held accountable. But also, with lower federal taxes, we may be able to raise more local taxes (not that it should demolish the savings over federal tax) for these thing.
But first thing first, hold the responsible people accountable. They caused deaths.
Step 1: Stop nation building OTHER COUNTRIES
Step 2: Start nation bulding OUR COUNTRY
Step 3: No step 3. It doesn't have to be so complicated.
The biggest winners are always laywers, regardless of which side they represent.
Though, considering the amount of times Apple has been bitten in the ass (and will be in the future) I am surprised.