I need mod points because you hit it right on the nail. If you deal with illegal activities, you expect the chance to be burned. But when you deal with supposedly legal activities, you expect to get value in return and not be burned. We have federal organizations to deal with Taco Bell, but if there is no recourse to shady dealings from the legal source, then the RIAA should expect nothing less than severe backlash, whether it be pirated CDs, internet sharing, or what I suspect most people have done: stop buying new albums. I haven't done any downloading in years, mainly because I got the songs I wanted and there's nothing good coming out via the labels.
Re:Never happen - you'll fly E over Washington, DC
on
A Spaceport In Ohio?
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· Score: 1
The acceptable casualty rates for the FAA are 30E-6. There is currently no accepted fatality rates, though given an accident that is purely a debris event (instead of an explosion on the ground), a casualty expectation of 30E-6 will provide a fatality expectation around 5 - 25E-6.
There's little extra for a polar orbit to be further north, except that there's probably less population to fly over. A launch from the midwest flying east will bring many more cities into play, but the key is that it will have more velocity, reducing the time during the trajectory where the vehicle endangers large densities of population. Still, the risk is going to be higher than from Cape Canaveral, Vandenberg or Wallops.
The comparison is launches out of Florida that go over Europe. The Shuttle always launches that direction for the ISS. The good news is that the Shuttle has a lot of speed when the instantaneous debris field is over Europe and the dwell time is only a few seconds, similar to launches that go over Africa. This however is rarely true for expendable launch vehicles out of Florida heading north. Dwell times are typically an order of magnitude higher. The saving point is that the mass involved is much smaller than the shuttle making risks similar. Then it comes down to is the debris field over 5 big cities or just 2.
A midwest launch site could be done and without excessive risk, but it might require a lot of trajectory shaping and avoiding certain azimuths. Another concern is staging events. Canada rose a HUGE stink over planned drops of solid rocket boosters 20 miles away from their Hibernia oil platforms. Risks were EXTREMELY low (less than 10E-11) but Canadian public opinion was in an outrage over 'American hubris'. Imagine a midwest launch that intended to stage a drop 20 miles off the coast of DC. In the Canadian case, the concern was crossrange, which has much smaller uncertainty than downrange for drops. In a drop off the coast, downrange uncertainty is the greater concern.
In the end, Central US space ports may want to restrict themselves to polar orbits and leave lower inclinations launches to (southern) coastal sites, island sites or the Sea Launch idea.
A coworker of my wife was riding his bicycle home at 2am (IHOP restaurant) The road he was riding on had a bike lane, though at 2am it didn't mean much because a pickup truck driver hit him, dragged him for 150ft, got out, checked his pulse, didn't find any and got back in his car and drove off. He was caught because the accident damaged his truck enough to eventually disable the vehicle and the people he called to pick him up turned him in. This was Florida, not a third world country. Though at this point I expect the better behavior in a third world country.
I use Trillian and I get those spambots on Yahoo too. There's a couple of different lines, but all very similar. Also I use it to send links to my wife all the time (but on AIM). best way to send nice links.
More than 6, though I also have the DVD of the videos. And I would not have found out about the AOL release, but the slashdot news dragged me in faster than a black hole. Of course I went to watch the youtube. And I will be buying the CD when it comes out. I can't say that about any other music released these days. Now, what does that say about the typical music sales methods?
My best friend and I in high school chose two different paths. First off, I made the mistake of not asking for the AP versions of CHemistry, Physics, and COmputer Science in 10th grade and instead just took the regular honors versions of them. I did have AP Calc and AP American History that year. That's only because they wouldn't let me take AP Calc in 8th grade. I went to college the next year at age 16 at PSU on full scholarship, with 10 credits (of which only 7 actually counted towards the degree (Aerospace Engineering) and took it easy and graduated at age 19 after 4 years of college (birthday in the summer) with 145 credits. My friend ended up with 10 or 11 AP courses during high school (He skipped maybe 2 that the high school offered), went on a full ride to Carnegie Mellon, and finished with a Math/Comp Sci degree and a Music minor. Which way is better? Who knows? If it works out the way you wanted, it's the right way. By the way, with all those AP courses he was a lock for Valedictorian...until the school changed how the scoring went, late in his senior year, so that a Lawyer's daughter got Valedictorian and my friend got Salutatorian. If I had stayed in high school, the powers that be would have had a much tougher time trying to fix the results. Since I was poor, and the front runner when I left high school, it would have made for a very interesting senior year.
The proof that sqrt(2) is irrational, Age 14? Age 10 is more appropriate. Quadratic formula is age 8 material. So it's very similar to testing basic grammar and spelling. That test is usually the resume itself.
The way to derive the quadratic formula is to complete the square. Start with ax^2 + bx + c=0. You then get it into x^2 + (b/a)x = -c/a. You then complete the square on the left side. The square you are completing is (x + b/2a)^2. The square is x^2 +(b/a)x +b^2/4a^2. adding b^2/4a^2 to both sides results in (x + b/2a)^2 = (b^2-4ac)/4a^2. Taking the square root of both sides leaves x + b/2a = +/- sqrt(b^2-4ac)/2a since the square root is dual valued. The final result is the well remembered quadratic formula, an essential part of algebra. Cubic and quartic formulas are more complicated.
And in a group whose members are very familiar with binary, most would quickly say 8 (1,2,4,8,16,32,64 and 128) which of course is the obvious but wrong answer you mentioned. This test of course uses base 3 instead and 6 weights (1,3,9,27,81 and 243) Each weight of course can be used on either side of the scale, which allows three value (-1, 0, and +1) logic.
Well there is a difference between incompetence and corruption. Incompetence, particularly those that involve large losses should be caught quickly and the punishment is simple: firing or demotion--that's it. That's all that incompetence deserves. But corruption, thievery (particularly the type that requires a CEO to accomplish), and so on deserves swift, painful punishment. Forced repayment of entire wealth if necessary, large fines, long jail terms, and execution if deaths were involved.
As far as the illegal activities of Enron, the loss of a pension fund can cause severe psychological, and by extension, physical harm. So, yes the penalties for such crimes should be very severe. Because that pain doesn't just happen to one, it happens to many. And as you said, maybe the ones who hired them should be fired as well. And the ones who were supposed to track such items and prevent it as well. Also as you said, they tend to only do that which they think is safe and key is to not make those crimes safe.
I get NASA TV and 2 or 3 local channels ALWAYS cover Shuttle launches. Hmmm, probably because I live maybe 15 miles from the pad. Why watch it on TV when you can just walk outside and watch it?
No that would be random and less effective. Though honestly, it's pretty ineffective as is. A properly designed (say one that uses Bayesian statistics) would, given information about the traveler, would come up with a percentage that the individual is a terrorist. At that point, you could flag any over a certain level for inspection, but a better system would be to use a random number generator to determine whether to do the random inspection or not. Yes that could mean the person who scores '80%' could be let thru while the '0.1%' gets inspected. Doing such would begin to maximize the odds of actually succeeding in catching them, while remaining random. Now the biggest problem is that the actual history is rather sparse, so early on it would ineffectual unless the system was trained properly. Given that this would be under govt control, this is highly unlikely. Also, it would definitely key on Middle Eastern (primarily Saudi) Muslim males until more evidence/experience was found (once again, in control of govt, and probably suspect). As far as what you stated, yes you could then start to find out what makes you more likely to be profiled but does not guarantee you can avoid it. And eventually those things that are unimportant would mean less to the profiling.
NASA opens up 10,000 for the causeway. Tickets are done thru a contractor. There are also 3500 at the VIP site at Banana Creek. Just a warning about that site, if the winds are blowing west, an acidic cloud will come by about 15-20 minutes later. It's a minor irritant if you don't leave before it arrives; the state senator did not for STS-121 and got the full experience (July 2006) The KSC Visitor Center expects about 10,000 a launch and the Astronaut Hall of Fame typically sees about 4000. There's also the Press Site. After that, the river sites (as well as many others) mentioned in other posts and the beach are excellent sites for the thrifty. The Banana Creek site and the Press Site are about 3 miles away and the Causeway is about 6 miles away. If you want the best experience at least try to make it to the Causeway. Besides the sights and sounds, you get to feel a Shuttle launch, and it is more impressive the closer you get. But as seen by ths launch, hurricane season can be a significant delay. Plus, at any time of the year, weather and/or equipment problems cause delays about 50% of the time (all rockets at the Cape/KSC). So be prepared in case of a delay. A lot of people got upset when they couldn't see the launch the 4th of July weekend. Instead it launched the 4th of July...Not a bad way to celebrate the fourth, at least it didn't explode, but I didn't want to work the launch, just enjoy it.
The US was founded on social disobedience. Laws change when enough support for overturning (or ignoring) the laws occurs. Sometimes that change is in the form of action instead of speech. Downloading music has taken its place alongside speeding. Neither is presently legal, but it continues until an invidividual is caught **I know that there's plenty of legal downloads too--sometimes people actually drive the speed limit. Of course, money is also very effective at changing laws, at which the RIAA has been busy. How this one plays out I have no idea.
That's when I really got interested in DS9. When you HAD to watch each episode to know what was going on--the show became vastly better. Prior to that, each episode did stand neatly on its own and if you missed an episode, no big deal. Next Generation was very much like that.
http://www.planet4589.org/jsr.html though you'll have to count the launches yourself.
And Russian rocket results are comparable to US and European results. Each group has people who know what they are doing and people who don't, or are new. The new guys fail pretty regularly early on, but if they can survive the business long enough they tend to do well. The incompetents, well, that's what safety organizations are for (see for example the rocket involved in the Solar Sail experiment, a converted Russian sub missile). The guys knowing how to launch rockets still fail in the 1-3% range. Part of the problem is that one or two failures still keep you in that range unless you have hundreds of launches. and only the Russians have vehicles with more than 200 launches. Those were designed before even the Shuttle AND have more than 2 failures. Anything over about 95% success rate in the rocket business is doing alright.
Having worked a number of launches (though not in the weather office), weather criteria can go from red (no-go) to green fairly quickly. Just as often it works in the other direction. The Eastern Range also has the experience of launching a rocket into bad weather and triggered lightning destroying the vehicle. The weather folks at Cape Canaveral have pieces of the rocket to remind them of the importance of what they do. There are a lot of rules in place to avoid a repeat.
The Shuttle has a short window of opportunity for the ISS missions. The weather folks are pretty good, but even they don't know for sure what the weather will be like at a specific time of the day. They knew that during the day, storms would be in the general area. But storms don't cover the entire sky (except during the hurricanes) This is why the odds of a green weather were 40-60%.
What's wrong with you just not going to the movies? If you absolutely have to be connected to the rest of the world, spend your time somewhere where that's not a problem. We asking you to stop being rude, in advance. Just don't go to these places if your cell phone needs to be on for 2 hours. You need to see a movie? Rent one. You need dinner? Drive thru. You should be ashamed of yourself for seeing a movie while your child was in ICU.
It's proven that it works too. Clydesdale sales are always highest in February. Same with monkeys and boobs. That's pretty much the big 3 for Super Bowl commercials.
Your sig has problems. Especially for being on a techie board.
It is a statistical certainty (p < 10e-11) that there are innocent people being held at Guantanamo Bay.
A 'statistical certainty' would be 1-p < 10e-11, not what you wrote. Your statement would be in favor of the president, which I am pretty sure you are not.
Also, if you are so in favor of fixing injustices, there are innocent people being held in jails in every country. For one, just check the recent record of DNA evidence in capital punishment in the US. Not here to argue moralities, just statistics and probabilities and sorry state of mathematic knowledge.
Fortunately a Google search on my name shows B and C actors that share my name. I am in a technical field, but Googling with more technical terms still pull up a researcher in England that shares my name. I get to stay fairly anonymous on Google, which is a good thing unless you need to be known to be successful (like if you are a writer, actor, politician, musician...)
I had to get 3 cable modems replaced in about 2 years with RoadRunner in Central Florida. One was fried by lightning (a very common problem here) and the other two were within about 2 months, due to 'cable upgrades'. Hassles to have to worry about them, but when it was obvious the problem was at my end (and typically that was pretty easy--getting through the phone system to a rep took longer than the conversation with the rep), they sent out service techs each time, and just replaced the modem. The upgrades did at least double my download speeds, so I have been fairly happy with the service.
Exactly, you have heard of it before--it's a potentially VERY deadly consequence of immigration, ask the Native Americans--if you can find one. So it should come as no surprise that when some disease that is relatively unheard of in this country has an outbreak, the first thought should be that it was brought in from a foreign country. Not necessarily an illegal alien, it could have been a visitor. I haven't been paying attention lately, but the early guesses was that it came from someone visiting from England. That's the key for the initial vector. For how it spread, well, that's been talked about with regularity on this thread.
Now, among other things, this is one of the better reasons to be against illegal immigration--see Typhoid Mary for what could happen with a legal one. Heck, for some it may be a good enough reason for some to want to really restrict LEGAL immigration.
Shuttle NEVER flies flawlessly. It survives due to redundancy, the efforts of the people working on it, particular the foresight of some engineers, and in no small part, luck. When it fails, it fails due to lack of redundancy, a failure to be creative enough to foresee the failure mode, and an unforgiving environment.
So Elon was absolutely right but the true comparison is with software that may not be perfect but must at least handle problems gracefully (particularly with manned spaceflight) so that maybe the mission is degraded, but not finished. How do you get there? Shuttle still hasn't figured it out, so Elon can't really be faulted for a failure on the first try. He might even survive a second failure. Third time would be a death knell to commercial activity, even if he wanted to try further. It was mentioned elsewhere in the discussions that he'd stop if he got three failures and no successes--it'd be appropriate.
Our office (one of our jobs is to estimate rocket failure probability) pegged the likelihood of failure at 70%, so we weren't surprised. We were hoping he'd succeed, just realistic. Hopefully they'll learn from this one and succeed on the next one, but if you have an even money bet on his next launch, take failure.
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I need mod points because you hit it right on the nail. If you deal with illegal activities, you expect the chance to be burned. But when you deal with supposedly legal activities, you expect to get value in return and not be burned. We have federal organizations to deal with Taco Bell, but if there is no recourse to shady dealings from the legal source, then the RIAA should expect nothing less than severe backlash, whether it be pirated CDs, internet sharing, or what I suspect most people have done: stop buying new albums. I haven't done any downloading in years, mainly because I got the songs I wanted and there's nothing good coming out via the labels.
The acceptable casualty rates for the FAA are 30E-6. There is currently no accepted fatality rates, though given an accident that is purely a debris event (instead of an explosion on the ground), a casualty expectation of 30E-6 will provide a fatality expectation around 5 - 25E-6.
There's little extra for a polar orbit to be further north, except that there's probably less population to fly over. A launch from the midwest flying east will bring many more cities into play, but the key is that it will have more velocity, reducing the time during the trajectory where the vehicle endangers large densities of population. Still, the risk is going to be higher than from Cape Canaveral, Vandenberg or Wallops.
The comparison is launches out of Florida that go over Europe. The Shuttle always launches that direction for the ISS. The good news is that the Shuttle has a lot of speed when the instantaneous debris field is over Europe and the dwell time is only a few seconds, similar to launches that go over Africa. This however is rarely true for expendable launch vehicles out of Florida heading north. Dwell times are typically an order of magnitude higher. The saving point is that the mass involved is much smaller than the shuttle making risks similar. Then it comes down to is the debris field over 5 big cities or just 2.
A midwest launch site could be done and without excessive risk, but it might require a lot of trajectory shaping and avoiding certain azimuths. Another concern is staging events. Canada rose a HUGE stink over planned drops of solid rocket boosters 20 miles away from their Hibernia oil platforms. Risks were EXTREMELY low (less than 10E-11) but Canadian public opinion was in an outrage over 'American hubris'. Imagine a midwest launch that intended to stage a drop 20 miles off the coast of DC. In the Canadian case, the concern was crossrange, which has much smaller uncertainty than downrange for drops. In a drop off the coast, downrange uncertainty is the greater concern.
In the end, Central US space ports may want to restrict themselves to polar orbits and leave lower inclinations launches to (southern) coastal sites, island sites or the Sea Launch idea.
A coworker of my wife was riding his bicycle home at 2am (IHOP restaurant) The road he was riding on had a bike lane, though at 2am it didn't mean much because a pickup truck driver hit him, dragged him for 150ft, got out, checked his pulse, didn't find any and got back in his car and drove off. He was caught because the accident damaged his truck enough to eventually disable the vehicle and the people he called to pick him up turned him in. This was Florida, not a third world country. Though at this point I expect the better behavior in a third world country.
I use Trillian and I get those spambots on Yahoo too. There's a couple of different lines, but all very similar. Also I use it to send links to my wife all the time (but on AIM). best way to send nice links.
More than 6, though I also have the DVD of the videos. And I would not have found out about the AOL release, but the slashdot news dragged me in faster than a black hole. Of course I went to watch the youtube. And I will be buying the CD when it comes out. I can't say that about any other music released these days. Now, what does that say about the typical music sales methods?
My best friend and I in high school chose two different paths. First off, I made the mistake of not asking for the AP versions of CHemistry, Physics, and COmputer Science in 10th grade and instead just took the regular honors versions of them. I did have AP Calc and AP American History that year. That's only because they wouldn't let me take AP Calc in 8th grade. I went to college the next year at age 16 at PSU on full scholarship, with 10 credits (of which only 7 actually counted towards the degree (Aerospace Engineering) and took it easy and graduated at age 19 after 4 years of college (birthday in the summer) with 145 credits. My friend ended up with 10 or 11 AP courses during high school (He skipped maybe 2 that the high school offered), went on a full ride to Carnegie Mellon, and finished with a Math/Comp Sci degree and a Music minor. Which way is better? Who knows? If it works out the way you wanted, it's the right way. By the way, with all those AP courses he was a lock for Valedictorian...until the school changed how the scoring went, late in his senior year, so that a Lawyer's daughter got Valedictorian and my friend got Salutatorian. If I had stayed in high school, the powers that be would have had a much tougher time trying to fix the results. Since I was poor, and the front runner when I left high school, it would have made for a very interesting senior year.
The proof that sqrt(2) is irrational, Age 14? Age 10 is more appropriate. Quadratic formula is age 8 material. So it's very similar to testing basic grammar and spelling. That test is usually the resume itself.
The way to derive the quadratic formula is to complete the square. Start with ax^2 + bx + c=0. You then get it into x^2 + (b/a)x = -c/a. You then complete the square on the left side. The square you are completing is (x + b/2a)^2. The square is x^2 +(b/a)x +b^2/4a^2. adding b^2/4a^2 to both sides results in (x + b/2a)^2 = (b^2-4ac)/4a^2. Taking the square root of both sides leaves x + b/2a = +/- sqrt(b^2-4ac)/2a since the square root is dual valued. The final result is the well remembered quadratic formula, an essential part of algebra. Cubic and quartic formulas are more complicated.
And in a group whose members are very familiar with binary, most would quickly say 8 (1,2,4,8,16,32,64 and 128) which of course is the obvious but wrong answer you mentioned. This test of course uses base 3 instead and 6 weights (1,3,9,27,81 and 243) Each weight of course can be used on either side of the scale, which allows three value (-1, 0, and +1) logic.
Well there is a difference between incompetence and corruption. Incompetence, particularly those that involve large losses should be caught quickly and the punishment is simple: firing or demotion--that's it. That's all that incompetence deserves. But corruption, thievery (particularly the type that requires a CEO to accomplish), and so on deserves swift, painful punishment. Forced repayment of entire wealth if necessary, large fines, long jail terms, and execution if deaths were involved.
As far as the illegal activities of Enron, the loss of a pension fund can cause severe psychological, and by extension, physical harm. So, yes the penalties for such crimes should be very severe. Because that pain doesn't just happen to one, it happens to many. And as you said, maybe the ones who hired them should be fired as well. And the ones who were supposed to track such items and prevent it as well. Also as you said, they tend to only do that which they think is safe and key is to not make those crimes safe.
I get NASA TV and 2 or 3 local channels ALWAYS cover Shuttle launches. Hmmm, probably because I live maybe 15 miles from the pad. Why watch it on TV when you can just walk outside and watch it?
No that would be random and less effective. Though honestly, it's pretty ineffective as is. A properly designed (say one that uses Bayesian statistics) would, given information about the traveler, would come up with a percentage that the individual is a terrorist. At that point, you could flag any over a certain level for inspection, but a better system would be to use a random number generator to determine whether to do the random inspection or not. Yes that could mean the person who scores '80%' could be let thru while the '0.1%' gets inspected. Doing such would begin to maximize the odds of actually succeeding in catching them, while remaining random. Now the biggest problem is that the actual history is rather sparse, so early on it would ineffectual unless the system was trained properly. Given that this would be under govt control, this is highly unlikely. Also, it would definitely key on Middle Eastern (primarily Saudi) Muslim males until more evidence/experience was found (once again, in control of govt, and probably suspect). As far as what you stated, yes you could then start to find out what makes you more likely to be profiled but does not guarantee you can avoid it. And eventually those things that are unimportant would mean less to the profiling.
NASA opens up 10,000 for the causeway. Tickets are done thru a contractor. There are also 3500 at the VIP site at Banana Creek. Just a warning about that site, if the winds are blowing west, an acidic cloud will come by about 15-20 minutes later. It's a minor irritant if you don't leave before it arrives; the state senator did not for STS-121 and got the full experience (July 2006) The KSC Visitor Center expects about 10,000 a launch and the Astronaut Hall of Fame typically sees about 4000. There's also the Press Site. After that, the river sites (as well as many others) mentioned in other posts and the beach are excellent sites for the thrifty. The Banana Creek site and the Press Site are about 3 miles away and the Causeway is about 6 miles away. If you want the best experience at least try to make it to the Causeway. Besides the sights and sounds, you get to feel a Shuttle launch, and it is more impressive the closer you get. But as seen by ths launch, hurricane season can be a significant delay. Plus, at any time of the year, weather and/or equipment problems cause delays about 50% of the time (all rockets at the Cape/KSC). So be prepared in case of a delay. A lot of people got upset when they couldn't see the launch the 4th of July weekend. Instead it launched the 4th of July...Not a bad way to celebrate the fourth, at least it didn't explode, but I didn't want to work the launch, just enjoy it.
The US was founded on social disobedience. Laws change when enough support for overturning (or ignoring) the laws occurs. Sometimes that change is in the form of action instead of speech. Downloading music has taken its place alongside speeding. Neither is presently legal, but it continues until an invidividual is caught **I know that there's plenty of legal downloads too--sometimes people actually drive the speed limit. Of course, money is also very effective at changing laws, at which the RIAA has been busy. How this one plays out I have no idea.
That's when I really got interested in DS9. When you HAD to watch each episode to know what was going on--the show became vastly better. Prior to that, each episode did stand neatly on its own and if you missed an episode, no big deal. Next Generation was very much like that.
http://www.planet4589.org/jsr.html though you'll have to count the launches yourself. And Russian rocket results are comparable to US and European results. Each group has people who know what they are doing and people who don't, or are new. The new guys fail pretty regularly early on, but if they can survive the business long enough they tend to do well. The incompetents, well, that's what safety organizations are for (see for example the rocket involved in the Solar Sail experiment, a converted Russian sub missile). The guys knowing how to launch rockets still fail in the 1-3% range. Part of the problem is that one or two failures still keep you in that range unless you have hundreds of launches. and only the Russians have vehicles with more than 200 launches. Those were designed before even the Shuttle AND have more than 2 failures. Anything over about 95% success rate in the rocket business is doing alright.
Having worked a number of launches (though not in the weather office), weather criteria can go from red (no-go) to green fairly quickly. Just as often it works in the other direction. The Eastern Range also has the experience of launching a rocket into bad weather and triggered lightning destroying the vehicle. The weather folks at Cape Canaveral have pieces of the rocket to remind them of the importance of what they do. There are a lot of rules in place to avoid a repeat. The Shuttle has a short window of opportunity for the ISS missions. The weather folks are pretty good, but even they don't know for sure what the weather will be like at a specific time of the day. They knew that during the day, storms would be in the general area. But storms don't cover the entire sky (except during the hurricanes) This is why the odds of a green weather were 40-60%.
Well, I hope you put the police away first in your world, because they have guns! And guns are bad, mmm-kay.
What's wrong with you just not going to the movies? If you absolutely have to be connected to the rest of the world, spend your time somewhere where that's not a problem. We asking you to stop being rude, in advance. Just don't go to these places if your cell phone needs to be on for 2 hours. You need to see a movie? Rent one. You need dinner? Drive thru. You should be ashamed of yourself for seeing a movie while your child was in ICU.
It's proven that it works too. Clydesdale sales are always highest in February. Same with monkeys and boobs. That's pretty much the big 3 for Super Bowl commercials.
A 'statistical certainty' would be 1-p < 10e-11, not what you wrote. Your statement would be in favor of the president, which I am pretty sure you are not.
Also, if you are so in favor of fixing injustices, there are innocent people being held in jails in every country. For one, just check the recent record of DNA evidence in capital punishment in the US. Not here to argue moralities, just statistics and probabilities and sorry state of mathematic knowledge.
Fortunately a Google search on my name shows B and C actors that share my name. I am in a technical field, but Googling with more technical terms still pull up a researcher in England that shares my name. I get to stay fairly anonymous on Google, which is a good thing unless you need to be known to be successful (like if you are a writer, actor, politician, musician ...)
I had to get 3 cable modems replaced in about 2 years with RoadRunner in Central Florida. One was fried by lightning (a very common problem here) and the other two were within about 2 months, due to 'cable upgrades'. Hassles to have to worry about them, but when it was obvious the problem was at my end (and typically that was pretty easy--getting through the phone system to a rep took longer than the conversation with the rep), they sent out service techs each time, and just replaced the modem. The upgrades did at least double my download speeds, so I have been fairly happy with the service.
Exactly, you have heard of it before--it's a potentially VERY deadly consequence of immigration, ask the Native Americans--if you can find one. So it should come as no surprise that when some disease that is relatively unheard of in this country has an outbreak, the first thought should be that it was brought in from a foreign country. Not necessarily an illegal alien, it could have been a visitor. I haven't been paying attention lately, but the early guesses was that it came from someone visiting from England. That's the key for the initial vector. For how it spread, well, that's been talked about with regularity on this thread.
Now, among other things, this is one of the better reasons to be against illegal immigration--see Typhoid Mary for what could happen with a legal one. Heck, for some it may be a good enough reason for some to want to really restrict LEGAL immigration.
Shuttle NEVER flies flawlessly. It survives due to redundancy, the efforts of the people working on it, particular the foresight of some engineers, and in no small part, luck. When it fails, it fails due to lack of redundancy, a failure to be creative enough to foresee the failure mode, and an unforgiving environment.
So Elon was absolutely right but the true comparison is with software that may not be perfect but must at least handle problems gracefully (particularly with manned spaceflight) so that maybe the mission is degraded, but not finished. How do you get there? Shuttle still hasn't figured it out, so Elon can't really be faulted for a failure on the first try. He might even survive a second failure. Third time would be a death knell to commercial activity, even if he wanted to try further. It was mentioned elsewhere in the discussions that he'd stop if he got three failures and no successes--it'd be appropriate.
Our office (one of our jobs is to estimate rocket failure probability) pegged the likelihood of failure at 70%, so we weren't surprised. We were hoping he'd succeed, just realistic. Hopefully they'll learn from this one and succeed on the next one, but if you have an even money bet on his next launch, take failure.