Domain: amazon.com
Stories and comments across the archive that link to amazon.com.
Comments · 40,271
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Sounds oddly familiar
So if this parasite had an effect on the minds of humans, you could almost say that we were puppets and they puppet-masters. With this, and the fact that Slashdotters seem to be increasingly turning to libertarianism, the future looks oddly Heinlein-esque.
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Re:Interesting, although gamers already know this.
This exact point is covered in the extremely excellent "Everything Bad Is Good For You" which I'm sure Slashdot has reviewed...let's see. Yep.
It's an excellent book and well worth the time and money. Covers a huge range of topics from watching TV to playing Grand Theft Auto, and it does so in a well informed and enlightening way. -
The name's already taken
"I call dibs on using Toxoplasma as a name for my rock band."
Some Germans beat you to it by about 20 years. http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/tg/stores/artist /glance/-/208492/103-3548000-0475029 -
Re:I remember when Asbestos was just good insulati
The Spychips book http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/1595550208/sr=8-
1 /qid=1139498540/ref=pd_bbs_1/104-5929623-2290305?_ encoding=UTF8/ references a patent application for a deep organ implant complete with an electric cattle prod device and a microphone. The inventor talks about using them on "corporate campuses."
Resume:
Other information: Team player, mindless suck up, pre-chipped (VeriChip and deep organ) -
Deja Vu
Sounds like Deja Vu...
First, read Hard Drive: Bill Gates and the Making of the Microsoft Empire
(or for a quick peek, see http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0887306292/qid=11 39719304/sr=2-1/ref=pd_bbs_b_2_1/002-5567178-79712 61?s=books&v=glance&n=283155)
Now, fast forward to today...
In the early 2000's, Microsoft's Anti-Spyware lost out to Norton Anti-Virus in the marketplace. According to one Microsoft programmer, a few of the key people working on MS Anti-Spyware had a saying at the time that "Anti-Spyware isn't done until Norton won't run." They managed to code a few hidden bugs into MS Anti-Spyware that identified Norton as Spyware. Users would then remove parts of Norton unknowningly, causing Norton to breakdown when their PC was restarted. "There were as few as three or four people who knew this was being done," the employee said. He felt the highly competitive Gates was the ringleader. -
Re:money is money...
When in fact the Soviet Union was defeated with precisely the opposite approach.
No, the Soviet Union was defeated just by waiting for its massive internal corruption to catch up with it. Their poor industrial techniques meant that they simply had nothing good to offer the consumer markets of other countries, and therefore couldn't sit back and get rich in an export economy. Satter's Age of Delirium is a good look at how it was a dysfunctionality internal situation that brought the country down, not external pressure from the West.
You make it seem as if the USSR was trying to export quality materials and the US refused to import in the name of democracy, but the US really just didn't have much to do with it.
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No anti-gravity necessary with the ramjet
Why is an exotic solution involving anti-gravity even necessary, when there's the Bussard ramjet? While certain versions of this concept are infeasible, there's plenty of room for technical improvement. The ramjet has been a mainstay of science fiction for decades such as in Larry Niven's Known Space universe, precisely because it seems the solution closest to actual development.
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Resources on Jabber encryption?
Some here have mentioned Jabber encryption standards, which seem very interesting, but how old are they? Is there any mention of them in O'Reilly's Programming Jabber , or should I wait for a second edition?
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Bloom's Lucifer Principle
For a much more in depth look at this check out Howard Bloom's "The Lucifer Principle". It is an amazing new insight on how evolution really works, as competition between groups (superorganisms). He analyzes in depth the mechanisms that make drive this process. One of the main mechanisms is the pecking order, and the affect of an organism's (including a human) status in the pecking order on its biology is significant and surprising. I thought this book was amazing, revolutionary, and jam-packed with new ideas that ring true, supported by research from all corners of science.
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Re:I'm not convinced about internet radio...
I like internet radio. You need broadband to keep the stream smooth. Try it on Kanotix linux, that comes with streamripper, and you can collect some songs off the "broadcasts" and play them anytime you want. You never know ahead of time what will be played, but just listen a while, and then sort the songs out that are recorded by streamripper.
Very entertaining. I suppose they don't want you to rip songs off their streams, but you can do that with Kanotix.
I guess my all time favorite is I'm a disco dancer.
First heard that one on internet radio, now I'm hooked. -
Re:Food for thought
My short answer is, taking your assumptions, we are hosed. Not all of us, just the hundreds of millions of poor people who live near the equator or sea level.
The long answer is, we are already conducting one global climate experiment with very difficult to predict outcomes (and worse, we don't have a control with which to address the background variability problem). Conducting two or more global climate experiments, such as seeding parts of the ocean with iron, painting a lot of land white, sending barges to the North Atlantic to keep the ocean conveyer belt going, may have really interesting and unexpected results.
I recommend Why Things Bite Back : Technology and the Revenge of Unintended Consequences by Edward Tenner. Not a deeply insightful book; more of a catalog of how some of our perfect solutions have proved imperfect due to unexpected dynamics. -
EXACT same review on Amazon.com
Why didn't you just link to your Amazon.com review of this book? Then at least others would have the benefit of seeing multiple reviews to put yours in context.
http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0596007833/102-89 89233-4538533?v=glance&n=283155 -
Same as on Game Boy
Is this XBox offering just a downloadable version of the older game for Game Boy?
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Crichton's bibliography
Often when the subject of man-made global warming inevitably dooming civilization comes up, a good rebuttal are the references in Michael Crichton's State of Fear . It's a much more complicated affair than many believe.
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Re:I'm not convinced about internet radio...
Man, slashdotters can be so fucking annoying sometimes...
- Another defunct one: Turtle Beach Audiotron
- Yet Another: KiSS DP-500
- This one's actually for sale on Amazon: Roku Soundbridge M1000
- Also for sale: Slim Devices Squeezebox
- On the high ($2000) end, Denon AVR-4036 Receiver has streaming (among many other things.)
- And the winner of our "strangest item": sermonaudio.com internet radio. Though I suspect you'd have to hack it to get it to play anything other than their content
:) - Oh, I guess you don't have to hack it, you can just buy the un-sermonized version as Penguin Radio.
- D-Link has a DVD player with internet streaming radio called DSM-320RD Medialounge. It's even wireless. There's also a HD version, the DSM-520.
- Even Philips has a series called Boombox.
I'm sorry my initial example was poor. I just grabbed the first link and didn't look at it much. Nonetheless, there are umpteen fucking examples of streaming internet radio devices. Many of them are available on the shelf, even at places like Circuit Shitty. And I've seen several at Fry's, come to think of it.
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Save $0.99 by buying the book here!
Save yourself $0.99 by buying the book here: Time Management for System Administrators. And if you use the "secret" A9.com Instant Reward discount, you can save an extra 1.57%! That's a total savings of $1.25, or 7.24%!
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Save $0.99 by buying the book here!
Save yourself $0.99 by buying the book here: Time Management for System Administrators. And if you use the "secret" A9.com Instant Reward discount, you can save an extra 1.57%! That's a total savings of $1.25, or 7.24%!
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Re:Finally!
Has someone here read Real Ultimate Power: The Official Ninja Book by Robert Hamburger?
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Re:I'm not convinced about internet radio...
Also how do you listen to it on the move - I can't listen to it in the car or on my portable device.
Cellular internet is getting faster. Soon we should be able to listen to 128kbps streams while on the move. T-Mobile offers unlimited GPRS for $19.99/mo as do other providers; that's fast enough for a crap-quality stream
:)Then there's the problem whereby you can't go to your local comet (or other electronics store) and buy a radio for the office that has an ethernet port on the back
Sure you can, if you know where to shop. I haven't seen these in a meatspace store yet but I bet some of them carry them. And you can always order one. This is far from the only brand/model.
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Must-Read Book
It discusses more than just business plans, but I highly, highly recommend you read The Art of the Start: Battle-Hardened Guide for Anyone Starting Anything by Guy Kawasaki. ISBN# 1591840562, it's on Amazon for $17.79 (http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/1591840562/). Guy Kawasaki (http://www.guykawasaki.com/) has written several business books with a tech-focus, and was one of the first 'evangelists' at Apple for the Macintosh.
I'm right in the middle of (trying to, at least) following his advice with my own startup, and my girlfriend actually has a fairly successful online store and eBay business that after reading this book, I realized she started up much in the same way he recommends, and she's done well so far.
One interesting concept he pushes heavily in the book is bootstrapping - using your own resources to get the business up and running and generating some type of revenue, and then using that revenue to purchase the things you really need to generate the big revenue, etc. This model works really well for some types of online storefronts - it really all depends on how expensive your inventory is and how many different types/components/colors/sizes you have to stock, as well as how much inventory you need to keep on hand.
Before my girlfriend had enough money to buy a large inventory, she carefully purchased 2-5 of each item she thought she could sell well, up to whatever limit she had on how much money she could spend, and sold those. With the profits she made on those items, she started purchasing dozen-packs of the items that were selling well, and after those kept selling and generated even more revenue, she started using that money to branch out into new products. She's managed to start everything on her personal credit card, and after a pretty rough first year, she even manages to pay the credit card off each month and still have a good bit of money left over.
It's almost embarassing, actually, since the business I'm starting has yet to make a dime.
Obviously, if you have other resources such as a line of credit or bank-loan of some form that will charge lower interest than your credit cards, use that, but never underestimate how much you can do on your own, without needing investors. And once you do need investors, think angel investors, not VC's.
If you still think you'll need more capital than you can fund from personal resources or angels, think about bringing on a partner, someone you know who may be able to contribute some additional resources. Especially if it's someone who is a non-techie or has a more business-oriented background. I'm not talking about hiring an MBA, but it's important to balance your skills, strengths and weaknesses with someone else's, so that when you do hit a situation you don't know how to handle or need assistance with, that partner has a better chance of being able to see it from a different angle and help the business succeed.
Finally, about the business plan - Business Plan Pro is a pretty nice software package (Amazon.com sells it for $16 off the normal price, at $83.99 - http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/tg/detail/-/B000 9PF1QO/) that includes quite a few sample plans and other resources and guides for writing a business plan. You can write it on your own, using your favorite text editor, using the websites of SCORE and other organizations as a guide, but I found Business Plan Pro's help with the financials was worth the price of the software. Even though a majority of the numbers in the financials of a business plan are just best-guesses and often completely wild, random guesses, potential investors put a lot of weight into the numbers they see, they want to see that you know how to put together these tables and that they have some sort of reassuring numbers to look at.
And revise it. Plan to revise your business plan often. Write -
Must-Read Book
It discusses more than just business plans, but I highly, highly recommend you read The Art of the Start: Battle-Hardened Guide for Anyone Starting Anything by Guy Kawasaki. ISBN# 1591840562, it's on Amazon for $17.79 (http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/1591840562/). Guy Kawasaki (http://www.guykawasaki.com/) has written several business books with a tech-focus, and was one of the first 'evangelists' at Apple for the Macintosh.
I'm right in the middle of (trying to, at least) following his advice with my own startup, and my girlfriend actually has a fairly successful online store and eBay business that after reading this book, I realized she started up much in the same way he recommends, and she's done well so far.
One interesting concept he pushes heavily in the book is bootstrapping - using your own resources to get the business up and running and generating some type of revenue, and then using that revenue to purchase the things you really need to generate the big revenue, etc. This model works really well for some types of online storefronts - it really all depends on how expensive your inventory is and how many different types/components/colors/sizes you have to stock, as well as how much inventory you need to keep on hand.
Before my girlfriend had enough money to buy a large inventory, she carefully purchased 2-5 of each item she thought she could sell well, up to whatever limit she had on how much money she could spend, and sold those. With the profits she made on those items, she started purchasing dozen-packs of the items that were selling well, and after those kept selling and generated even more revenue, she started using that money to branch out into new products. She's managed to start everything on her personal credit card, and after a pretty rough first year, she even manages to pay the credit card off each month and still have a good bit of money left over.
It's almost embarassing, actually, since the business I'm starting has yet to make a dime.
Obviously, if you have other resources such as a line of credit or bank-loan of some form that will charge lower interest than your credit cards, use that, but never underestimate how much you can do on your own, without needing investors. And once you do need investors, think angel investors, not VC's.
If you still think you'll need more capital than you can fund from personal resources or angels, think about bringing on a partner, someone you know who may be able to contribute some additional resources. Especially if it's someone who is a non-techie or has a more business-oriented background. I'm not talking about hiring an MBA, but it's important to balance your skills, strengths and weaknesses with someone else's, so that when you do hit a situation you don't know how to handle or need assistance with, that partner has a better chance of being able to see it from a different angle and help the business succeed.
Finally, about the business plan - Business Plan Pro is a pretty nice software package (Amazon.com sells it for $16 off the normal price, at $83.99 - http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/tg/detail/-/B000 9PF1QO/) that includes quite a few sample plans and other resources and guides for writing a business plan. You can write it on your own, using your favorite text editor, using the websites of SCORE and other organizations as a guide, but I found Business Plan Pro's help with the financials was worth the price of the software. Even though a majority of the numbers in the financials of a business plan are just best-guesses and often completely wild, random guesses, potential investors put a lot of weight into the numbers they see, they want to see that you know how to put together these tables and that they have some sort of reassuring numbers to look at.
And revise it. Plan to revise your business plan often. Write -
An observation
Gwynner Dyer makes an intersting observation that it isn't Islam, per se, that is extremist, it is Arab Islam. The problem is likely the rut that Arab nations are in socially, economically, and politically, and have been in for centuries. This rut has arguably been held in place by the autocrats sponsored by Western nations as part of the after effects of colonialism and WW2. A group of extremists believe that this rut is due to losign favour with Allah, and the only way to make up for it is to go back to the traditional ways... Instead of looking emperically at the more likely culprit, this century anyway, of Arab leaders turning towards socialism/state control over free markets and capitalism.
The most populated Muslim countries are in the South Pacific (e.g. Indonesia, the Phillippines, etc.) -- certainly Muslims across the world are outraged by these cartoons, but the most extreme calls aren't coming from those areas, from what I can tell. It arguably is the Arab extremists that are trying to formet their rage into a broader religious struggle across nations. -
Translucent databases
Many concepts about designing databases that don't reveal all people's data to the database administrator are discussed in the book Translucent Databases
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The *competentest* business book I've ever found..
The Definitive Business Plan ( Richard Stutely )
That link has its "previous-history" tracking information ripped-out, BTW
The amazon.com "registry" link of this post has other books of similar excellence listed, as well as why I'm recommending 'em ( no address is attached to it, so no-one can buy 'em for me via the thing, it's posted there for everyone's information ),
but the book you NEED is Richard Stutely's.
I'd also recommend "Thinking Visually" and "The Power of the 2x2 Matrix", but immediate-need means I'm posting this now, not after working-over additions for hours. Cheerses, eh? -
The Art of the Start
Read The Art of the Start by Guy Kawasaki. It's a really good book about starting up a company from writing a business plan to recruiting to raising capital. I just read it because I'm in the process of starting up my own company. It's a great guide and a good read.
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From Experience
I recently started a business and a partnership. I googled for business plans and you can get samples for the SBA (Small Business Administration - US) probably au as well.
However after the rubber hit the road the document meant very little. That may not be the case for you since you will be looking for funding but until you have done it - it is difficult to know what you are doing.
I would suggest before you take on money and perhaps before you start your business that you read "The Partnership Charter".
http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0738208981/102-97 56474-8088941?v=glance&n=283155
It raises some good questions whether your partner is your brother (my case) or a vc company (your case).
Good Luck -
Well, there is roleplaying...
If you want to read a vision of hope sometime take a look at Bartle's Designing Virtual Worlds. He provides deep insight into why people get so obsessed with role playing games - what they get out of it, and why they keep coming back. If you buy into his theories the designer of a role playing game is more a therapist than an entertainer. Of course, most people who play "role playing games" these days don't actually do any role playing as such. They just run around and kill stuff. So there ya go.
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Bellwether
Connie Willis's novel Bellwether, which is about the science of fads, deals with this phenomenon in depth.
The title comes from a middle english word used describing a practice in sheep farming. Sheep tend to follow each other. But farmers would sometimes use a castrated ram with a bell around his neck to lead the rest of the flock. The ram would tend to move first, but in a very subtle, nearly undetectable way.
At the center of any cloud of popularity must be a seed of initial impulse - the bellwether. -
Re:Newsflash!Ahh, I see, you were just calling them on the bullshit factor. That's fair.
I'm reading a book you'd probably like: Laura Penney's "Your Call Is Important To Us: The Truth About Bullshit" She does a good number on all the various bullshitters out there, and makes an important distinction between "lying" and "bullshit" -- liars choose their lies. Clinton lied about Lewinsky, for example. But bullshit is more pervasive, and chronic bullshitters see no difference between telling people the truth or lying as long as they get their message out. Every White House press secretary for the past 20 years has been a bullshitter, for example. (Although Ari Fleischer wasn't very good at it. I think he wanted to simply be a liar only when absolutely necessary, but the job requires a flawless bullshitter.)
The other thing I'd point out is that "monopolies" and "cartels" are really just the corporate face of unionization. We've outlawed them locally, but they still exist in the real world. And they're just as subject to market pressures as any individual producer. OPEC is a great example. They could choose to sell oil at $500 a barrel if they wanted, but then their customer base would collapse and they'd have nobody to sell to at all. So they're still tied to supply and demand.
And OPEC is subject to infighting as well: Saudi Arabia frequently 'overproduces' to sell to the U.S., which is really just another way of undercutting the other members. If OPEC was taken over by Iran and they said "hey, let's collapse western civilization and stop selling oil to the infidels" the other members of OPEC would bail. They're as addicted to our money as we are to their oil.
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Re:Actually, ...
Orson Scott Card's "Pastwatch: The Redemption of Christopher Columbus" - Great book, deals with this same type of plot.
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Re:Shocking prediction.
I hate to prove you completely wrong but... wait, I don't have proving you completely wrong, it's kinda entertaining in an "I'm better than you" kind of way.
Here are 2 links to amazon.com. both for the movie "War of the Worlds" (the most resent version). On VHS the movie costs $28.49, on DVD the movie costs $19.99. Now, those are both mark down prices, and both "retail" (like anyone pays this value) for $29.99.
http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/tg/detail/-/B000 BCDV6M/ref=pd_sxp_grid_i_0_0/104-0805114-4803903?_ encoding=UTF8&v=glance
http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/B00005JNTI/ref=pd _sxp_grid_i_1_2/104-0805114-4803903?_encoding=UTF8 &v=glance&n=130
-Rick -
Re:Shocking prediction.
I hate to prove you completely wrong but... wait, I don't have proving you completely wrong, it's kinda entertaining in an "I'm better than you" kind of way.
Here are 2 links to amazon.com. both for the movie "War of the Worlds" (the most resent version). On VHS the movie costs $28.49, on DVD the movie costs $19.99. Now, those are both mark down prices, and both "retail" (like anyone pays this value) for $29.99.
http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/tg/detail/-/B000 BCDV6M/ref=pd_sxp_grid_i_0_0/104-0805114-4803903?_ encoding=UTF8&v=glance
http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/B00005JNTI/ref=pd _sxp_grid_i_1_2/104-0805114-4803903?_encoding=UTF8 &v=glance&n=130
-Rick -
HD without Blu-Ray or HD-DVD!
A Terminator DVD is available for $9.99.
And for the same price, you can get Terminator 2 at (Amazon.com).
And oh BTW, that version already has an HD version .
Red DVDRs with DiVX, MP4 or (ech!) WMV in HD, played using DVD players available from JVC, Iodata, Buffalo, Zensonic, etc. are the way to go!
Xesdeeni -
Re:Of course time travel is possible!
More than "some" doubt, actually....
"Fooled Again" Mark Crispin Miller -
Re:Shocking prediction.
And the average consumer wouldn't have much use for my car. It weighs less than a ton, barely holds two people (forget about luggage), and it cost $50K, despite the fact that it was built by the British, who are notoriously bad at building road-worthy vehicles. Sure, it does an amazing job of sticking to the road and gets me to 60 in about 4.5 seconds, but is that really important to the average consumer?
What the hell do you drive? One of the Two Fat Ladies http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0609603221/103-00 73803-9391855?v=glance&n=283155 after an all night Bubble&Squeek binge? -
Re:Cartoons
Minus the sarcasm, I agree with what you say: yes, it is time to rebel against big relegion. It has always been time to rebel against big religion. The best way to do this is by acknowledging that for any (big) religion it's much more important for this religion to promote itself than it is to promote religious values such as being friendly to your neigbour. What makes successful big religions so big and successful is that they value spreading the religion above all other values.
On the subject of why authoritarianism is always a bad idea, I highly recommend the book The Guru Papers: Masks of Authoritarian Power by Joel Kramer and Diane Alstad.
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Re:Cartoons
I agree with you. I'd like to add that in no way I wanted to imply that I do like Christianity. I dislike authoritarianism in all its many forms.
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Re:Provocation?
Don't worry -- I won't let the tinfoil hat mess up the microwave popcorn.
You can get your tinfoil hat from the Jiffy Pop popper. -
Re:Not just wikipedia
Perhaps you could use a little time in the Ministry of Love? They're very good at educating people to understand this kind of thing.
Please allow me to recommend a book. -
Get something like Russell & Norvig...
Artificial Intelligence: A Modern Approach
is a much better book. In fact when I was a CS undergrad it was the text for my 4th-year AI course. -
Re:Good News and Bad NewsIt is good and sensible that Christians should care about the environment. After all, it is God's creation.
However, the motivations, methods, and consequences of the environmental movement in the US as it is today are not compatible with Christian teaching, in my opinion. Environmentalists often lobby for tough restrictions not only on the US and other developed nations, but also to be placed on developing nations. The USA and its friends completely disregarded the environment during the industrial revolution, which resulted in a great mass of wealth and development. Now that we stand in a position of power, we will not allow other nations to do the same (i.e. burn unlimited coal and oil, stip-mine the earth bare, pollute the water, etc). Consequently, third world nations are stuck in a state of arrested development which has extremely negative effects (disease, malnutrition, crime) on the people of those nations. Read Eco-Imperialism if you would like to know more.
The bottom line is that Christians ought to protect the environment, but it should not come at the expense of harming other humans.
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Re:Good News and Bad News
Just one more battle in the Republican War On Science -
Save $0.99 by buying the book here!
Save yourself $0.99 by buying the book here: Smartbomb. And if you use the "secret" A9.com Instant Reward discount, you can save an extra 1.57%! That's a total savings of $1.25, or 7.24%!
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Save $0.99 by buying the book here!
Save yourself $0.99 by buying the book here: Smartbomb. And if you use the "secret" A9.com Instant Reward discount, you can save an extra 1.57%! That's a total savings of $1.25, or 7.24%!
-
Save some money by buying the book here!
Save yourself some money by buying the book here: Building Intelligent
.NET Applications. And if you use the "secret" A9.com Instant Reward discount, you can save an extra 1.57%! -
Save some money by buying the book here!
Save yourself some money by buying the book here: Building Intelligent
.NET Applications. And if you use the "secret" A9.com Instant Reward discount, you can save an extra 1.57%! -
Jamacian Bobsled Team in Space
If SETI makes contact anytime soon, I could see the Shuttle becoming a pop-culture phenomenon in alien societies. Of course, it would be popular in the same way that the Jamaican Bobsled Team and William Hung are. The shuttle and the ISS might be the least efficient fleet of spacecraft that will ever exist in this universe, which might be good in the long run as the aliens will take pity on us and hand over the Warp Engines so we can stop going in circles.
If we knew the shuttle would end up like this, I don't think we would have bothered. We've spent $145 billion on the shuttle for just over 1,000 days in orbit. This makes the math so depressingly simple even the president can do it in his head.
The lifetime cost of Voyager, Pathfinder, Spirit and Opportunity, Galileo, Cassini-Huygens, and the Hubble Space Telescope combined is about $10 billion, while the ISS alone has cost $35 billion so far. Why throw good money after bad, pull the plug already and rethink the strategy.
There's no point sending humans to the moon (or anywhere else for that matter) unless we plan to stay. There may be large deposits of Platinum-group metals (PGMs) on the moon, and PGMs will be a cornerstone of the hydrogen economy, since each fuel cell needs a few ounces. There isn't much on Earth, and mining/refining the quantity needed to run a full scale H2 economy might cancel out the environmental benefit of fuel cells.
Moonrush by Dennis Wingo is a great read on the subject - http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/1894959108/103-98 70913-1427800?v=glance&n=283155
Our only saving grace is the work being done by small entrepreneurs like Burt Rutan. It looks like the X Prize actually did a good job of jump starting the space economy. -
Re:Raised eyebrowsJust read the book "The $800 million Pill" by Merrill Goozner. And I have to say that the figure of $2.2 bn you quoted above doesn't jibe with research in that book at all.
Their high-end quote that industry uses is $800 million on average to develop a new drug (hence the name of the book). As I recall, this figure was from a drug-industry sponsored study from Tufts university, and included spiraling costs of clinical trials that somehow seem to cost private industry 10x more to do than government facilities. Maybe the fact that the trials are often expanded for the sole purpose of getting more doctors to use their product has something to do with that.
The low-end quote from Public Citizen/Congress Watch was $170 million per new approved drug. Let's say we settle in the middle at $500 million or so - still far off from $2.2 billion.
As far as pharm companies being business, I totally agree. From a business standpoint, would you rather have a steady income of $6.5 billion per year, or would you rather spend $500 million in R&D and make $10 billion for two years, then see sharply declining sales? Not much of a choice, is it?
Tie that into the fact that $6.5 billion is how much pharm companies make on non-curative HIV medication right now, and $10 billion is a rough estimate for sales (at still ongodly prices of $20k per year per patient) of an AIDS cure. Now you see why pharmaceutical companies have no incentive to actually cure diseases, they'd rather just make medicine that the ailing public has to take for the rest of their lives. After reading that book, this is one area where I think the government actually needs to get more involved.Why this product is better etc. etc. You can have the greatest medicine in the world, and if you don't market it you won't get it out there. If you don't get it out there, your 1 in 10 chance of success is wasted.
Or, you could spend inordinate amounts on marketing to press the public into asking doctors for the 'new and improved' medicines that aren't any better than older generic medicines. This is tied to the patent process - once the patent expires, generic manufactures sell the medicine at 1/10 the cost it used to be. The answer? Come out with a new medicine, and push it on the public whether or not it actually provides any benefits over the old version. Then switch your old medicine to be over the counter to stiff the generic manufacturers. Now I know why claritin is OTC, and why I pay 1/10 the cost of it for the generic equivalent at CostCo.
Non-affiliated link to book:
http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0520239458/103-89 64582-1100639?v=glance&n=283155 -
Re:It really depends on the work and the manager
While I run the chance of being "OffTopic", get your PMP from the PMI. Study via Rita's Guide to passing the PMP ( http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/1932735003/sr=1-
1 /qid=1139376634/ref=pd_bbs_1/103-6860889-0376656?_ encoding=UTF8 ).
When you pass, the mere fact of having the cert will move you in that direction.
The PM career is extremely young in IT and thus better paying while more difficult than in other industries. (I have 15+ years experience in IT and Manufacturing and a PMP and MCSE.) I'm trying to implement some of the methodologies that I have picked up in manufacturing to apply in the software projects that I am on now. It helps but ironically (or not) it's the lack of understanding of PM worth by the development staff that makes the introduction of good PM tactics more difficult.
The management consultants call it "Change Management."
Get the PMP, its worth it and won't ruin you (too much). -
Some observations
Just my chain of thoughts on the matter:
- The phrase "free lunch" is from Robert Heinlein's The Moon is a Harsh Mistress , a classic of libertarian fiction.
- Libertarianism loves free markets.
- Free markets allow one to choose one's provider of goods and services, giving the individual the power to reject firms which don't satisfy.
- Verizon is doomed.