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Blu-ray Discs Won't Be Cheap

frdmfghtr writes "Red Herring has a story on the forthcoming price of Sony Blu-Ray HD DVDs. At $23.45 wholesale, they aren't cheap. From the article: 'Some of the movies to be released in the first batch by Sony are The Fifth Element, Desperado, Hitch, House of Flying Daggers, Legends of the Fall, and Terminator. Sony's wholesale price of $23.45 for Blu-ray discs is 56 percent more than the $14.99 it costs to buy a new DVD of Hitch from BestBuy.com. A Terminator DVD is available for $9.99.' Another reader suggested a link to an Ars Technica article with more information.

531 comments

  1. Blast from the past! by Yocto+Yotta · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Hi, remember me? I'm the first DVD you ever bought. Back in 1997, I cost you $25 and had no extra features. I eventually went down in price.

    Would you like to meet my friend, VHS? He cost $25 a pop back in 1980, had no features, and was a linear format that degraded over each use. Maybe being from the past makes me naive (sorry no dots for you), but, it seems that the point of this article -- although factual -- is totally irrelavent.

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    1. Re:Blast from the past! by sammy+baby · · Score: 4, Informative

      You missed an important point. The $23.45 is a wholesale price. When the wholesale price of the item is about 60% more than the retail price of a competing item, there's enough of a difference to sit up and take notice.

    2. Re:Blast from the past! by Yocto+Yotta · · Score: 1

      For everyone's pleasure, here is a related story from Yahoo! News published yesterday rrrrrright heeeerrrre.

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    3. Re:Blast from the past! by Chris+Burke · · Score: 3, Insightful

      A very good point, and given how recently DVDs came out I'd be surprised if people didn't remember that they were much more expensive. Though what these same people will remember is that it was just 5-8 years ago that they were asked to re-purchase their entire video library. Now they're going to be encouraged to do so again. Now given that VHS was pretty craptacular, in particular in the longevity and reliability department, the advance to DVD was huge and perhaps necessary. What is going to drive me to whichever of the Sons of DVD survives? A little better picture? Room for more extra features, when they already have a hard time finding enough non-drivel to pad out a DVD?

      Price is really only part of the picture that makes Son of DVD not look so hot. The price for incremental improvement is a put off, being asked to run the format treadmill so soon after a previous switch is another.

      --

      The enemies of Democracy are
    4. Re:Blast from the past! by El_Muerte_TDS · · Score: 1

      The price went down?!
      New DVDs are about 20 euro here. And that doesn't mean it's a super special edition.

    5. Re:Blast from the past! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

      Actually new VHS movies were somewhere between $80-100 (CDN) for most titles. There were very few sell-through VHS titles in the $25 range. The cheaper copies were either used or old titles of which the distributers wanted to rid themselves.

      This didn't change much at all over the life of VHS.

      I do agree with your comment on dvds though. They have become cheaper since they were first released.

    6. Re:Blast from the past! by CastrTroy · · Score: 1

      But DVDs offered a lot over VHS, not just picture and sound improvements. With Blu-Ray there's a bunch of sound and video enhancements that you'll only notice if you have an expensive system. Kind of reminds me of SACD.

      --

      Anthropic principle: We see the universe the way it is because if it were different we would not be here to see it.
    7. Re:Blast from the past! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Informative

      What's the retail price for the average Xbox game versus wholesale on the average Xbox 360 game? How about the retail cost of a VHS _player_ versus the wholesale cost of a DVD player when DVD first debuted?

      Early adopters will cough up the money without taking notice. Late adopters won't ever have a price difference to notice.

    8. Re:Blast from the past! by JordanL · · Score: 1

      This article is such complete FUD. All new formats are slightly expensive and Phillips developed a method of pressing the disc in one 1.1mm polycarbonate layer, as opposed to two .6mm polycarbonate layers like DVDs, that offset the cost of using the Durabis 2 material, (which doesn't scratch, even from steel wool).

    9. Re:Blast from the past! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      So retail is going to be about $30.

      I paid $40 for Lawrence of Arabia on DVD in it's special edition that came out in 2002 or so. While I probably won't pay for Hitch, I might for Fifth Element.

    10. Re:Blast from the past! by Yocto+Yotta · · Score: 4, Informative
      Hi, my name is Inflation. Me and my buddy Bleeding Edge Technology are keeping DVDs and BDs (seperated by eight -- nay, nine -- years of economic and technological advance) at the same price when introduced. Our other kinda-friend (he's cool, but not much fun) the Inflation Calculator says:
      What cost $23.45 in 1997 would cost $27.64 in 2005.

      Also, if you were to buy exactly the same products in 2005 and 1997, they would cost you $23.45 and $19.90 respectively.
      Yes, I know it's 2006, but what do I look like? An inflation psychic?
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    11. Re:Blast from the past! by stinerman · · Score: 5, Funny

      Hi! I'm the first audio CD you ever bought back in the late 80s. I cost you $20. I eventually ... um ... well fuck you ... you're stuck with me!

    12. Re:Blast from the past! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Mod this dude up! High-larious AND true.

    13. Re:Blast from the past! by kilfire · · Score: 1

      Yeah, I remember you. You were expensive when you arrived, but when the competition was VHS and VCD your victory was assured.

      But HD-DVD and Blu-Ray have a real problem - and that problem is you. Go down to the markets of south-east Asia and take a look in the mirror. You're on sale at $2 a disc, and four movies on each disc. That's $.50 a movie, and the customer don't need a new TV. Quality's not what we're accustomed to from you (you must be wrinkling in your old age), but it's still streets ahead of your old friends.

      Don't get me started on online pirates, we'll be here all week...

    14. Re:Blast from the past! by dr_dank · · Score: 1

      Hi, remember me? I'm the first DVD you ever bought. Back in 1997, I cost you $25 and had no extra features. I eventually went down in price.

      Would you like to meet my friend, VHS? He cost $25 a pop back in 1980, had no features, and was a linear format that degraded over each use. Maybe being from the past makes me naive (sorry no dots for you), but, it seems that the point of this article -- although factual -- is totally irrelavent.


      Slashdot has now been visited by the Ghost of Media Past. Will the Ghost of Media Present show us Tiny Tim rocking out on an iPod?

      --
      Where does the school board find them and why do they keep sending them to ME?
    15. Re:Blast from the past! by Trelane · · Score: 1
      While your argument is quite true for video, it falls flat on its face for data purposes. The difference is between 5-12GB and 25GB per side--a rather large difference IMHO. These suckers would be great for backup purposes, or for distributing a full Linux distro, and I'm really looking forward to their introduction for that reason.

      On the video side, unless the encryption/DRM crap is broken on HD-DVD and Blu-Ray (or there is a full-featured player for Linux that I can use on my Myth boxen and desktops and either the price is decreased on the movies (expected for a significantly broken/less-featured product) or I can do everything but give copies to a friend (about the only thing I don't mind a DRM system requiring of me)), then I'll stick with plain DVDs, thanks.

      --

      --
      Given enough personal experience, all stereotypes are shallow.
    16. Re:Blast from the past! by c6gunner · · Score: 1

      It won't see nearly as much success as DVD did. Although once reasonably priced blue-ray recorders and recordable media come outyou're going to see a lot of geeks switching. Just imagine: ALL of your Battlestar Galactica episodes on ONE DISC!

    17. Re:Blast from the past! by javaxman · · Score: 5, Insightful
      5-8 years ago that they were asked to re-purchase their entire video library. Now they're going to be encouraged to do so again.

      Well, to be fair, it's unlikely that most of us will re-purchase our entire video library, even those of us who feel we can afford a several-thousand-dollar HDTV before much decent content for it is even available. I mean, I don't have an HDTV set yet so maybe I can't speak for those people, but there's not a very high probability that I'm going to ever buy a Blu-Ray copy of "Best in Show" or "A Mighty Wind" to replace my current DVD copies, even if I could. I'll buy HD versions of a subset of my collection, like the Lord of the Rings films - things where the detailed cinematic scenes are really spectacular.

      The high-end, early adopter crowd *is* going to replace much of their collection... don't forget these are the people you knew who had laserdiscs. Most of us will replace movies very selectively, buy only new movies, and wait for the price to come dow,... and it will. To be honest, I thought these things would start out at around $50, about the price of a new video game, and from this it looks like they may be cheaper than that, really sooon.

      Another thing that's different- I think you'll be able to sell your old DVDs pretty readily. The HD discs and DVD discs will live side-by-side for some time. Premium stuff does sell, though, and there's a lot of demand for HD content that currently isn't being met by the 10 or so HD TV channels most folks in the U.S. are currently limited to.

    18. Re:Blast from the past! by The-Bus · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The question is "Is it worth it?"

      When VHS/Betamax came out there weren't really any other widely available options for people seeing movies in their homes. Even at $25 (in those days), assuming you weren't talking about titles still in the rental window, that was a novelty.

      Laserdisc arrived but was cumbersome, with players pretty expensive in North America and titles not as widely available. There was good jump in technology but it was just not worthwhile for the average consumer.

      DVD had a similar jump in technology but actually increasing ease of use over VHS. When DVDs came out, they were at least $20 in stores. I still remember seeing a copy of Universal Soldier on sale for over $50 at Best Buy. But, if you looked online, especially during the .com years in 1998-1999, there were a lot of online retailers selling DVDs for $1 (or less) simply to drive market share and bring in consumers. And while standalone players were expensive, it was becoming more and more common to be able to view your DVDs on laptops or computers. Then the PS2 and Xbox came out and made it even more commonplace. There's at least six pieces of hardware in my house right now that could play a DVD, and not one of them is a stand-alone DVD player.

      I don't think the price of the discs is going to be this next generation's hurdle. TVs that properly display HD content are still at least $1000 even after dramatic price drops over the past couple of years. TVs where the average person can tell the difference between DVD and HD content are going to be even more expensive.

      But the main thing is plain and simple: What, besides video and audio quality, do BluRay and HD-DVD offer?

      Absolutely nothing. It doesn't make DVDs any easier to use. From what I have heard, I don't think they are scratch-proof. You can't easily record, like VHS or Tivo.

      There's been an endless parade of products which hawked higher quality without a change in convenience. If quality was everything that mattered, all movies would come with a DTS track, HD adoption would've spread like wildfire, and people would own SACD players and HD-VCRs. I don't think HD on DVD is going to fail. But what is going to happen is that people will only buy it after it's been out a few years and most new DVD players play the other two formats as well. Any studio exec that things that people are going to replace all of their exiting DVDs with BluRay titles should start acting a bit more logically before their unrealistic expectations bit them in the ass.

      --

      Small potatoes make the steak look bigger.

    19. Re:Blast from the past! by rainman_bc · · Score: 1

      Since we're on the topic of the past, let's not forget about Laserdisc and Minidisc formats.

      Recall Laserdisc had quality improvements over VHS (400 lines v 200 lines), and didn't stretch like VHS, and was more expensive. Kicker was the laserdisc was a 1980's technology, and it was released too close to VHS IMO.

      People took to DVD's because it had a lot of benefits - resolution, and likeliest the biggest factor, storage size was probably the biggest attraction. Retailers liked it too because they could store more DVD's in a warehouse than VHS, meaning that they had a lowever overhead per sq. ft.

      Blue ray players offer a higher resolution, but at a higher cost. IMO Blue Ray will go the way of Laserdisc, unless they encode one side in blue-ray and the other in regular DVD.

      If there's not transition, then the format's screwed.

      --
      09 F9 11 02 9D 74 E3 5B D8 41 56 C5 63 56 88 C0
    20. Re:Blast from the past! by mjpaci · · Score: 1

      Not entirely true. I do remember when VHS titles cost ~$60-$80 USD, but I also remember when wide-screen new releases on VHS were going for $20-$25 dollars (Gettysburg comes to mind). That's a big change I would say.

      --mike

    21. Re:Blast from the past! by hal2814 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      "DVD had a similar jump in technology but actually increasing ease of use over VHS"

      Hmmm. I don't what can be easier than putting the tape in and pressing play. Surely you're not suggesting that putting a disc in, waiting for the menu screen, and then fiddling with usually poorly-designed menus is easier?

      When it comes down to it, my grandmother has never had problems getting a VHS tape to play. I have had problems getting a DVD player to play (lost the remote and the disc wouldn't just play the $%$%#@ movie when I hit "Play" on the DVD player box).

      DVD made many advances over VHS. Ease of use is NOT one of them.

    22. Re:Blast from the past! by SetupWeasel · · Score: 1

      Hi! I'm Hitch for $30.

      Please buy me.

    23. Re:Blast from the past! by propagandize · · Score: 1

      Would you like to meet my friend, VHS? He cost $25 a pop back in 1980.

      Maybe for a blank tape. I remember VHS tapes being way more than that when they first came out (around $60, and that's in 1980 dollars). The fact that they were so expensive is, I believe, what spawned the whole Video Rental industry in the first place. It wasn't until a few years later that VHS tapes were "priced for sale" instead of for rental.

      Of course I also remember putting "Don't step near" signs on computers that were burning CDs to try to minimize problems.

    24. Re:Blast from the past! by jfengel · · Score: 1

      Back when I worked in a video store in the late 80s, new VHS tapes would be more like $50 to $80. That was them hitting up the heat-seekers and the rental places. They'd only come down to $20 or so after a few months. I'm actually a bit surprised (but happy) they don't still do that.

    25. Re:Blast from the past! by CastrTroy · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Just imagine, losing all the BattleStar Galactica episodes by scratching 1 disc. Can they not put some sort of protective casing on these things? I'm tired of lose discs to the sun and dropping.

      --

      Anthropic principle: We see the universe the way it is because if it were different we would not be here to see it.
    26. Re:Blast from the past! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      +1 insightful, had I the mod points.

    27. Re:Blast from the past! by Guysmiley777 · · Score: 2

      Yawwwwwnnnnnnn. Maybe when I have an HDTV sitting in my living room I'll care more. But since it's Sony, probably not.

      --
      Coding with assembly is like playing with Legos. Coding an application in assembly is like building a car with Legos.
    28. Re:Blast from the past! by stevey · · Score: 1

      When it comes down to it, my grandmother has never had problems getting a VHS tape to play.

      Whilst what you say is generally true I know that there were times when videos weren't so simple, that is when they were rented.

      With my parents old video player there were commonly problems with "tracking" on rented tapes. Whether that was due to their player, or the oldish tapes which had been viewed a lot I'm not sure.. but there were times when a rented tape was returned unwatched because it simply wouldn't work.

      By contrast I've never had a DVD that didn't work even after physical abuse. Non-skippable introductions and the mandatory "press play" aside DVDs are a lot easier and more reliable.

    29. Re:Blast from the past! by The-Bus · · Score: 3, Insightful
      Hmmm. I don't what can be easier than putting the tape in and pressing play. Surely you're not suggesting that putting a disc in, waiting for the menu screen, and then fiddling with usually poorly-designed menus is easier?


      As opposed to, putting the tape in, waiting for it rewind, then pressing play. Then adjusting tracking if necessary. No, wait, just a bit more, OK, now it looks good. Then pressing fast-forward to go over the commercials and trailers, then hit play again when the actual movie starts. Oh, you want to see the scene where hero loses the bad guy in a car chase. OK, I think that's about 25 minutes in... etc.

      Yes, I am suggesting it's easier.

      --

      Small potatoes make the steak look bigger.

    30. Re:Blast from the past! by JabberWokky · · Score: 1
      Are you kidding? Your friend VHS ran around $120 a pop in 1980. They dropped to $60 and hovered for awhile.

      By comparison, this is a very reasonable intro.

      --
      Evan

      --
      "$30 for the One True Ring. $10 each additional ring!" -- JRR "Bob" Tolkien
    31. Re:Blast from the past! by Sparr0 · · Score: 1

      +2 Insight Reply To Ignorant Post

    32. Re:Blast from the past! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Would some please write a website that would automatically take the the price inputed and then draw yearly (or quarterly) price comparisons based on the inflation index? I'm stupid when it comes to programming, but it would be most helpful. Or maybe I should just learn how to program. And um, think before I post eh?

    33. Re:Blast from the past! by poot_rootbeer · · Score: 1

      Would you like to meet my friend, VHS? He cost $25 a pop back in 1980

      More likely, he cost $199 a pop and was sold exclusively to rental places, which charged people $5 a day to borrow him to recoup their costs.

    34. Re:Blast from the past! by hal2814 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Even in my ancient late-70's Curtis Mathes top-loader (which is interestingly enough the tape player my aforementioned grandmother is using right now), we rarely had to mess with tracking on a decent quality tape but I'll go ahead and conceed the point for those who didn't cough up the money for a decent player at the time or who watch a lot of homemade or low quality movies.

      But "pressing fast-forward to go over the commercials and trailers, then hit play again when the actual movie starts" is FAR superior to having to sit through previews every time you pop in the DVD becasue the DVD can circumvent your fast-forward controls to prevent you from skipping the previews. (This is especially prevalent on rentals.)

      "Oh, you want to see the scene where hero loses the bad guy in a car chase."

      No, I just want to watch the f'ing movie. If anything, I'm exceedingly happy that VHS tapes are bad at that sort of thing becauses it keeps my friends and family from jumping into replay after replay instead of just watching the movie. Unlike CDs where I might want to pick out a particular song in an album, I rarely skip around during the movie. I'm guessing if you put random access of the movie through the grandmother test, she won't do it all that often either (even if it is easy to do). Now TV shows on DVD are another story...

      Like I said earlier, there are a LOT of advances DVDs made over VHS. I still stand by my statement that DVDs are harder to use for their typical use (watching movies) than VHS tape. It is very nice though not having to worry about if you're getting an SP, LP/EP, or SLP tape when you buy a movie in the DVD age.

    35. Re:Blast from the past! by woobieman29 · · Score: 1
      Maybe "ease of use" is the wrong term, but DVD's certainly have a lot more "convenience" of use. the major reason for this is that you can access any part of the content in a non-linear fashion. There is no rewinding, waiting for fast forward, etc - just jump to the point of the movie you want, and start watching.

      The problems that you mention above are remedied in order by:

      1: Getting a DVD player that has a well-designed interface and,

      2: DVD menu designers pulling their heads out of their collective asses.

      There are certainly some DVD's that have ill-designed menus, and I too have had discs that do not work by just hitting 'play' - you need the remote. Yes that sucks, but most DVD's don't have this problem, and the newer DVD's that I own don't seem to have this problem.

      --
      \/\/oobie
    36. Re:Blast from the past! by Jafafa+Hots · · Score: 3, Funny

      Exactly! DVD is much easier, because now you don't have to fast forward through the commercials, since they won't LET YOU! :)

      --
      This space available.
    37. Re:Blast from the past! by jmnormand · · Score: 1

      its also imporant to note that chains such as best buy and circuit city sell dvds at a minimal markup, even taking hits on popular titles to get customers into the stores. compare this to record stores who generaly price their dvds at $22-25 and the prices are not realy that high. you will likely see bluray disks priced at $25 or even less as most electronic stores will cut prices on media to promote hardware sales.

    38. Re:Blast from the past! by vertinox · · Score: 1

      Hi, remember me? Of course not! Because I am an 45" HDTV and you'll never see me because I'll cost more than your VHS, DVD, Blu Ray Player, used car, and house payment... COMBINED!

      And do you really think you'll see a difference between a DVD and a Blu Ray on my old man NTSC TV? Hah! That lazy bastard has hard enough time getting his S-Video up in the morning.

      --
      "I am the king of the Romans, and am superior to rules of grammar!"
      -Sigismund, Holy Roman Emperor (1368-1437)
    39. Re:Blast from the past! by hal2814 · · Score: 1

      "DVD menu designers pulling their heads out of their collective asses."

      I really think that this more than anything is the key. I realize that a DVD is not a VHS tape is not a DVD but from a user interface standpoint, DVD menu designers are treating DVDs too much like GUI software and not enough like controls for watching a movie.

      When DVDs and players follow these rules, I see no difference in ease of use between the two:
      Play should ALWAYS play the movie.
      Fast Formward should ALWAYS fast forward.
      Rewind should ALWAYS rewind.
      Stop should ALWAYS stop.
      Eject should ALWAYS eject.
      Fast forward and rewind should be clearly distinguishable from next chapter and previous chapter.
      If the DVD doesn't play the movie by default when inserted, then it should be the default option.
      There should be a default option for Letterbox vs. Fullscreen that can be changed in the menu but that shouldn't pop up every time I hit play.

    40. Re:Blast from the past! by GrievousMistake · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Hi, my name is Post From A Person Who Is Impersonating An Antromorphization Of An Object Being Discussed. I were funny the first time, but I get old really quick. I should be used in strict moderation.

      --
      In a fair world, refrigerators would make electricity.
    41. Re:Blast from the past! by Michalson · · Score: 1

      IMO Blue Ray will go the way of Laserdisc, unless they encode one side in blue-ray and the other in regular DVD.

      You can't do that, and it's one of the reason's Blue Ray disks are so much more expensive.

      Simply put, Blue Ray disks aren't the same "disks" as CDs and DVDs. They are physically bigger, making them impossible to produce on current CD/DVD production lines and requiring completely redesigned players (you can't just stick a new laser in an old player, and you require even more complex and expensive components if you want to play regular DVDs and CDs, since the player has to adjust to different thicknesses).

      By comparison, HD-DVD disks are physically compatible with CDs and DVDs. They can be produced on the existing production lines with minor changes to the punch (meaning you can ramp up HD-DVD production overnight instead of having the build an entire manufacturing base from scratch). Another benefit is that, as you suggested incorrectly for Blue Ray, HD-DVDs can be dual type disks - DVD edition on one side, HD-DVD edition on the other. Basically HD-DVD will be able to offer movies for about the same price as DVDs, in the same quantities, and the movie will be backwards compatible, so stores won't be giving up shelf space to a expensive new format - they can simply drop the DVDs overnight and replace them with hybrid [HD]-DVDs.

      Oh, and there is that little part where even Microsoft thought Sony's DRM on Blue Ray was insanely over restrictive and anti-consumer, leading them to drop support and back HD-DVD exclusively. So Blue Ray supporters can enjoy paying double to buy from a limited selection of movies that only play on your expensive new player when Sony feels like it.

    42. Re:Blast from the past! by Andy+Gardner · · Score: 1
      My sarcasm detector must be malfuntioning. I mean you were being sarcastic right? Unless my memory is also malfuntioning, DVD's come in a protective casing. You put the disc in this protective casing, to protect the disc when not in use. Infact I think it's called the case.

      Unless you're DVD player is situated over a belt sander and you keep accidentaly dropping discs directly onto it, I find it hard to believe you could permanently damage a disc by dropping it a few feet. Even severely scratched discs are recoverable with a cloth and some polishing compound.

      May i suggest relocating your belt sander.

    43. Re:Blast from the past! by wormbin · · Score: 3, Insightful

      You're missing a big point and that is: how much value do the new formats give you over the existing format?

      VHS vs. broadcast/cable:

      • watch the movie when you want to; no waiting for the next time the movie is on broadcast/cable
      • watch the movie many times
      • pause, rewind

      DVD vs. VHS:

      • better visual/audio quality
      • random access
      • longer life
      • commentary, deleted scenes, subtitles, other extras

      BLU-ray vs. DVD

      • better visual/audio quality on HD TVs

      Both VHS and DVD offered a lot of value over the existing options. Not so with BLU-ray.

    44. Re:Blast from the past! by cronot · · Score: 2

      You have some serious identity issues.

    45. Re:Blast from the past! by ksheff · · Score: 1

      Buy archive quality discs that have quality reflective layers, anti-scratch coatings on the top and dyes that are more stable than the generic recordables you find in a big box store. Install window blinds and/or curtains and always leave them closed.

      --
      the good ground has been paved over by suicidal maniacs
    46. Re:Blast from the past! by SpryGuy · · Score: 1

      We need a new mod-category for your post: "+2 Funny because it's insightfully true" :-)

      --

      - Spryguy
      There are three kinds of people in this world: those that can count and those that can't
    47. Re:Blast from the past! by Lumpy · · Score: 1

      Hi remember me. the First CD you bought that was more than the price of the Album and Casettes you were buying.

      Remember how the RIAA promised that the price would go down.

      Remember how it didnt?

      MPAA wants to raise prices, this is a way to do it without getting attention. The Sheep that equates the american public will simply continue going "Bahhhhh" at the store checkouts.

      Although, DVD took a liong time to get popular because people did not want to re-buy all their movies again. Then it was the same price, now we are looking at nearly $50.00 each retail? Joe Public will not be buying these like he is buying dvd's right now.

      --
      Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
    48. Re:Blast from the past! by 6*7 · · Score: 1

      I know nothing about the error correction mechanisms on DVD, but even the ancient redbook CD has a resonable mechanism.

      That is _IF_ you have decent hardware.

      When I wanted to rip my CDs to flac I found one with horrible scratches (even a couple of holes), the cheap DVD-ROM (JLMS XJ-HD166S) in my desktop couldn't read it without errors, the same for a Plexwriter (10/12/40A). An ancient PX-32TS had absolutely no problem. I would not be supprised is there is a similar huge quality difference in todays playback devices.

    49. Re:Blast from the past! by mooingyak · · Score: 1

      They'd only come down to $20 or so after a few months. I'm actually a bit surprised (but happy) they don't still do that.

      IIRC, that practice was stopped in efforts to counteract piracy, the assumption being that a reasonable price early in the market would reduce the number of people who would go and grab a pirated version instead. They haven't reverted, so it must be working at some level.

      --
      William of Ockham had no beard. The most likely explanation is that it was chewed off by squirrels every morning.
    50. Re:Blast from the past! by kimvette · · Score: 1
      I don't mention this to nitpick, but to reinforce your point about Laserdisc vs. VHS:

      Laserdisc was 1970s technology. See http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Laserdisc

      Pioneer Electronics, who entered the market almost at exactly the time DiscoVision titles were going on sale in 1978, began manufacturing players and printing discs under the name laser videodisc. By 1981, Laserdisc (first with intercaps as LaserDisc, then without) had become the common name for the format, and the Discovision label disappeared, simply becoming MCA or (later) MCA-Universal Laserdisc.


      See, consumer media technology has NOT come very far at all over the last 28 years, and I blame it to content producers' constant fear that "OMG the sky is falling!" every time a new consumer-friendly recordable format comes out, when in reality each recordable media introduced to date has prompted phenomenal and unprecedented growth for content producers.
      --
      The Christian Right is Neither (Christian nor right). See: Matthew 23, Matthew 25, Ezekiel 16:48-50
    51. Re:Blast from the past! by Guspaz · · Score: 1

      Only for new releases. The wholesale price of existing movies (to which people seem to be comparing prices) is $17.95, IIRC.

      This is also only Sony Pictures. Other studios may charge more or less for their movies.

      In addition, if HDDVD wholesales for less, BluRay prices might drop sharply to match it.

      New release DVDs retail where I am for about $22 USD retail. Some a bit more, some a bit less. Say they mark up blu-ray movies got new releases by $5 (I'm pulling this number out of my ass here). You get $22 vs $30. 36% more expensive.

      Now, there is one thing people are ignoring here. BluRay movies are HD. DVDs are not. People who own an HDTV may very well feel that 36% higher costs to get the much higher quality HD copy of the movie is worth it. I would pay the extra money to get a movie in HD; SD doesn't look very good on larger HD screens, as I have noticed by playing SD XBox games on a buddy's 50" DLP HDTV. After seeing the difference between SD and HD digital cable feeds, I'd certainly pay $8 more to get a movie in HD.

    52. Re:Blast from the past! by rainman_bc · · Score: 1

      Okay, in response to your nitpick, I raise you a variation on your nitpick :)

      Blue Ray perhaps is to DVD what MUSE was to Laserdisk.

      I can't see it lasting, especially if there's no backwards compatibility.

      Sony has another hit here, right after the Minidisc :)

      --
      09 F9 11 02 9D 74 E3 5B D8 41 56 C5 63 56 88 C0
    53. Re:Blast from the past! by stefanlasiewski · · Score: 1

      Would you like to meet my friend, VHS? He cost $25 a pop back in
      1980


      I seem to remember VHS tapes costing much more-- like $50 and above, at least for a new release.

      To put things in perspective-- You could rent the same movie for $2.50. I remember my family of 4 eating dinner at a fancy resturant for $50. I had friends who paid $250 a month for a nice 2 bedroom apartment in a small (but not poor) town. $50 from Grandma would buy you 10 Star Wars Action Figures, an X-Wing and 2 tickets to a movie, with popcorn and soda.

      People used the high pricetag of $50 to justify piracy--- most people couldn't afford to buy more then a handful of movies.

      Granted, I was pretty young in 1980 and maybe I'm remembering things wrong. But I remember video tapes being really expensive.

      --
      "Can of worms? The can is open... the worms are everywhere."
    54. Re:Blast from the past! by Pollardito · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Hi, my name is consumer. a lot of my population is already illegally downloading stuff for free over the internet rather than paying the current price. i'm predicting that the main inflation that you'll see is the inflated numbers of people that will illegally download this new content rather than paying the new, higher price.

    55. Re:Blast from the past! by RoadDoggFL · · Score: 1

      Actually, BluRay was claimed to be extremely sensitive to harmful scratching but Sony and (I think) Toshiba followed up those claims almost instantly with the announcement of a coating they developed that would significantly increase the discs' resiliance to scratching. Apparently they're more scratch-resistant than CDs and DVDs, but I can't help but wonder if the coating will be made available for HD-DVDs should BluRay not become the new standard.

      --
      "This is considered plagiarism."
    56. Re:Blast from the past! by TheRaven64 · · Score: 1
      I think the real thing that is going to cause BDs to suffer is the existence of services like NetFlix. Most people, after trying such services, stop buying DVDs. There are very few movies I actually want to watch more than once, and so the rental model works very well. Back in the VHS days, a service like NetFlix would not have been possible; shipping on VHS tapes would have been too high. Now it is easy. This makes rental significantly more convenient than having to go to a shop. The nearest rental store from me is about ten minutes walk away, and the days when I feel like watching a film are not the days when I feel like taking a stroll to the store.

      If I had the choice between DVD-quality and HD rentals then, all other things being equal, I would go for HD. If, however, I had the choice between DVD-quality video-on-demand rentals over IP, and HD rentals on physical media, then I would choose the former. Why? Because DVD Quality is Good Enough(TM), and the convenience would be worth more to me than the resolution.

      I am interested in BD as a backup medium, but for distribution I suspect it will lose out to diskless systems.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    57. Re:Blast from the past! by hal2814 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Hi, Inflation. My name is hal2814 and I buy stuff. Since I can't tell the difference between DVDs and BDs on my TV (which has the same resolution as almost everyone else's TV in the US), I'm not going to buy the $27.64 BDs whe I can get a perfectly good $15 DVD. In fact, if the movie is old or doesn't rely a whole lot on special effects, I'll go ahead and buy the bargain basement $3 VHS of it if available since it looks almost as good and costs a WHOLE lot less.

      "Also, if you were to buy exactly the same products in 2005 and 1997, they would cost you $23.45 and $19.90 respectively."

      And you're wrong here because you're assuming everything keeps its value over time. I just bought that EXACT SAME James Bond DVD they were selling for $30 back in 1997 (to be fair, it might've been 98) new for about $10 a few weeks ago. Now if you do your Inflation magic, I think that means I just spent like $.36 1997 dollars for it or something.

    58. Re:Blast from the past! by DrXym · · Score: 2, Insightful
      Would you like to meet my friend, VHS? He cost $25 a pop back in 1980, had no features, and was a linear format that degraded over each use. Maybe being from the past makes me naive (sorry no dots for you), but, it seems that the point of this article -- although factual -- is totally irrelavent.

      Except of course Blu ray will never be as cheap as the comparable DVD which will never be as cheap as the comparable VHS. Why? Because each time, the manufacturers take the opportunity to hike the prices as far as they think they can push them.

      At startup there may be high costs, but this all about brinkmanship - how high they can make the prices and still get people to buy them. I don't believe it has much at all to do with manufacturing costs or features and more with the knowledge that they can gouge early adopters for $$$. Then later they lower the prices to what they should have been to begin with.

      In their defence the manufactures only charge what people are prepared to pay - capitalism - but I think they are deluding themselves when there are two competing brand new formats with nothing particularly compelling about either of them. HD is nice and all but most DVDs look just fine at higher resolutions anyway. I think that most people, including a lot of videophiles will stick with DVD and wait to see which one "wins". Especially since there will be precious few HD titles for at least a year and most of them ill deserving of it.

    59. Re:Blast from the past! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Conversely, insightful comments can be funny...

    60. Re:Blast from the past! by COMON$ · · Score: 1

      Now if you are going to go that route I feel it is only appropriate to support the GP by informing you of a little known economic factor known as inflation. your $25 VHS in 1980 would be a considerable amound more now. I think you will find even with a 60% markup you are going to break even. How your post got modded informative is beyond me.

      --
      CS: It is all sink or swim...oh and did I mention there are sharks in that water?
    61. Re:Blast from the past! by greed · · Score: 1

      Back in the 80s, and early 90s, most VHS (and Beta) tapes came out at more than $100 per. 6 months to a year later they dropped to the $20-$40 range. This was for what they called "sell-through", the higher prices at initial release were to milk the most out of the rental shops. Some tapes never did hit sell-through until the mid-90s when the movie houses realized that there was something to this home-video thing after all. (And the big rental stores wanted 100s of each new movie for their guaranteed-available-new-release thing.)

    62. Re:Blast from the past! by QRDeNameland · · Score: 1
      Good point, wish I had mod points for you.

      A few folks are pointing out (correctly) that VHS/Betamax movie titles were often in the $70+ range in the early days of home video tape, but this neglects the fact that there was NO comparable home video technology to compete with it. The value of being able to watch movies at home when the alternative was *nothing* (OK, you had Super 8 for home movies and ur-porn) is far greater than a quality upgrade that is imperceptible on the vast majority of existing equipment.

      --
      Momentarily, the need for the construction of new light will no longer exist.
    63. Re:Blast from the past! by pilgrim23 · · Score: 1

      Two points here: First, do you remember Direct Master LPs? This was a bleeding edge LP tech that came out at the end of the LP era just when CDs were taking off. It died because the CD was the new tech, and it won that format war. Direct Master was as technically good as an LP could get but it wasn't good enough to win against CD.
      Now we have a Beta/ VHS war all over again with one small difference and that brings up the second part: with Tivo like devices, the internet and a computer in every house, fighting over Blue Ray vs. HD-DVD vs. whatever .. is moot. Movies are data. Data moves on the wire (or wireless). You want movie? Download.
          Sure DRM fights and other nonsense will stop this...for a while...Just as the Church blocked Guttenberg from printing when their quill written indulgences were making the good Fathers a bundle but eventually it will prevail.
      Regardless of how well you craft your buggy whip, if the world has moved beyond buggies, no matter how much PR, Legislation, Weasels in Suits (Lawyers) or just plain lies you tell, people just won't be buying buggy whips or New fangled DVDs

      --
      - Minutus cantorum, minutus balorum, minutus carborata descendum pantorum.
    64. Re:Blast from the past! by SuperQ · · Score: 1

      Except for inflation which makes $20USD in 1980 $50.79 right now.

    65. Re:Blast from the past! by drew · · Score: 1

      I seem to remember thinking that DVD prices were fairly reasonable when they first came out. I bought a first generation Sony DVD player for about $500, and as I recall, the movies tended to be in the $15-$20 range. It wasn't until almost a year later that the prices suddenly jumped to the point where $25 was common and a $20 for a movie was a good find. I'm not sure exactly when that was, but I seem to remember thinking at the time that the price jumps corresponded suspiciously closely to the initial announcement of DeCSS. Or maybe it was that Apex DVD player that allowed you to disable macrovision/region coding. Whatever it was, I think something happened that made the DVD consortium realize how ineffective their content protection mechanisms were.

      --
      If I don't put anything here, will anyone recognize me anymore?
    66. Re:Blast from the past! by SurgeonGeneral · · Score: 1

      Hi, my name is The Word Anthropomorphic, meaning the attribution of human characteristics to inanimate objects, animals or natural phenomena. Please spell me correctly, and note that Anthropomorphization is not a word.

      --
      -- "Man is born free, and everywhere he is in chains." Jean Jacques Rousseau
    67. Re:Blast from the past! by bobcat7677 · · Score: 1

      Mod parent UBER insightful. If people cannot obtain what they want reasonably through normal channels, they will resort to other means. That applies both to inflated prices AND onerous DRM type restrictions.

    68. Re:Blast from the past! by WolfZombie · · Score: 1

      Forunately (or not?) inflation isn't quite as strict for electronic "extras" that we buy as consumers, due to most of the products are being produced, or have competitors producing them in other countries where inflation occurs at a different rate.

    69. Re:Blast from the past! by cayenne8 · · Score: 2, Funny
      "With my parents old video player there were commonly problems with "tracking" on rented tapes. Whether that was due to their player, or the oldish tapes which had been viewed a lot I'm not sure.."

      A great example of this was the old rented VHS versions of Fast Times at Ridgemont High. If you rented a copy that had been on the shelves for awhile, the part where Phoebe Cates gets out of the pool (Cars playing Moving in Stereo in background) and she walks up to Brad undoing her top...

      That part of the tape was often unviewable due to so many people rewinding and watching it over and over and over....

      --
      Light travels faster than sound. This is why some people appear bright until you hear them speak.........
    70. Re:Blast from the past! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      fast-forward to go over the commercials and trailers,

      at least i could skip the commercials and trailers...

    71. Re:Blast from the past! by wolff000 · · Score: 1

      Hi I'm freaking annoying would everyone just drop this joke already. oh wait i just helped continue it. so after i shoot myself for posting yet another "hi i'm blah blah blah" would someone please go shoot all those that cam before me. except for the first one i say orginals are safe, but i guess it is up to the shooter if they live. although they might deserve death since they did start the whole sorted affair.

      --
      WTF?
    72. Re:Blast from the past! by GrievousMistake · · Score: 1

      Is too! http://dictionary.reference.com/search?q=anthropom orphization
      The spelling is duly noted, though.

      --
      In a fair world, refrigerators would make electricity.
    73. Re:Blast from the past! by akhomerun · · Score: 1

      You missed something very important.

      How much did Betamax cost compared to VHS? Hey, guess what, it was more!

      People don't care whether it's blu-ray or HD-DVD. They will buy whichever one is cheaper. Plus, HD-DVD has a better brand name by far. People know HDTV is better, what better accessory to their shiny HDTV than a DVD made just for HD! Hey, guess what, that would be HD-DVDs. DUH.

      Blu-ray...not so much.

    74. Re:Blast from the past! by mrcolj · · Score: 1

      Hi! I'm the first audio CD you ever bought back in the late 80s... I capriciously decided that buying me retroactively allowed the government and private companies to spy on all your activities. If you try to get rid of any of the 300 of my siblings that you now own, I'll get my father the RIAA to look through your garbage without a warrant in the name of artistic freedom. You agreed to a lifetime of harassment by giving me a home when you were 14.

      --
      --Colin Jensen
      colinandbethany.com
    75. Re:Blast from the past! by dfjghsk · · Score: 1

      uh... inflation makes money worth MORE??? I think you need a dictionary.

      --
      Help me take back Slashdot. When did 'News for Nerds' become 'FUD and Conspiracy Theories for Extremist Nutjobs'?
    76. Re:Blast from the past! by dfjghsk · · Score: 1
      nvm... apparently I need to improve my reading skills :)

      $7.88 in 1980 is worth $20 today.. so with inflation, the price for CDs has actually decreased.

      --
      Help me take back Slashdot. When did 'News for Nerds' become 'FUD and Conspiracy Theories for Extremist Nutjobs'?
    77. Re:Blast from the past! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      *Anthropomorphization*

    78. Re:Blast from the past! by Jugalator · · Score: 1

      Not until there are affordable BD-ROM writers for the masses, so shouldn't be inflating this introductory price for that reason. I also have to wonder if, without a tenfold increase in bandwidth the coming few years, people will be as willing to download about a tenfold increase in size for these discs. People still don't even want to spend the dough and time to download 9 GB discs, but usually stick with 4 GB, so there's no search for top quality and content there among pirates (yes, usually more than audio tracks are ripped + compressed further). Heck even XviD rips are insanely popular at their often 2x0.7 GB sizes. Not sure how many will just go ahead like nothing happened with ~20-50 GB on still common DSL connections, possibly capped, and it takes many to start seriously affecting movie sales revenues in large. It will surely happen, but I wonder on what scale, as that's the question one need to answer to tell if it'll actually seriously affect prices.

      --
      Beware: In C++, your friends can see your privates!
    79. Re:Blast from the past! by Eccles · · Score: 2, Informative

      My sarcasm detector must be malfuntioning. I mean you were being sarcastic right? Unless my memory is also malfuntioning, DVD's come in a protective casing.

      That's as maybe, but get a DVD from the library, used, Netflix, etc. Apparently some people do use belt sanders on their discs. I've often had to use DVD decrypter just to recover a playable copy of a disc I was legally entitled to view, and even that doesn't always work.

      --
      Ooh, a sarcasm detector. Oh, that's a real useful invention.
    80. Re:Blast from the past! by hairyfeet · · Score: 1
      And I personally think there is one other "feature" that is going to cause folks to avoid hd-dvd/blu ray,The kid factor.Everyone I know go out and buy their dvds then before they even watch it back it up and just watch the backup so they don't have to worry about one of their kids dropping or otherwise hosing their dvds

      In the repair shop that is what everyone asked about and the biggest seller of our dvd burner units.Not "piracy",or "passing out copies for free or sale" but a single easy made backup so they didn't have to buy it again if their five year old got ahold of it

      Now they are going to add so many DRM hoops your average home user will be hard pressed to back it up.The pirates won't have any problems what so ever.But most folks with kids (like me) are not going to bother when dvd looks Good Enough(TM) AND allows me to make an easy backup so I don't have to repurchase the same flick when my little nephews forget to put the disc in the box or drop it behind the tv,etc.

      --
      ACs don't waste your time replying, your posts are never seen by me.
    81. Re:Blast from the past! by a_nonamiss · · Score: 1

      I have a 50" DLP HDTV (Samsung) as well as a DVD with upconversion (also Samsung) and I have to say that regular, SD DVD's look pretty good with that combo. Not quite HD, but definitely a marked improvement over a standard analog signal. And I consider myself to have pretty good visual acuity. I'm not saying there isn't a market for HD DVD's, but they need to offer a lot more than just 240 lines of resolution if they plan to significantly increase the price.

      --
      -Arthur
      Cave ne ante ullas catapultas ambules
    82. Re:Blast from the past! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Any "forced" DVD commercials are usually found on really bad movies, like Lion King 2 or Meet the Parents. It mystifies me that a bunch of tech-y people can't figure out to do an 8x fast forward, hit next/skip, title, or menu, all of which get rid of the nuisance.

    83. Re:Blast from the past! by jfengel · · Score: 1

      Huh. Didn't know that. Thanks.

      I have to admit I'm a bit surprised to hear that it's working. I would have thought that people who pirate discs at $80 would still pirate them at $20.

      I'd have guessed that some bean counter figured that enough people would switch from renting to buying if the price were low enough. Especially with Blockbuster late fees, I'm sure that some people would be tempted to just buy something if they thought there was any chance they'd rent it twice.

    84. Re:Blast from the past! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Say that to the library of 720p/1080i full length movies I have gotten from the internet (at 5-10GB a pop, mpeg4). What's that, recording industry? Can't provide recordings of HD TV shows and films right now? Too bad. I don't see much of a reason to stick with inferior your DVD quality, especially at such absurd prices.

    85. Re:Blast from the past! by podperson · · Score: 2, Insightful

      First: the price quoted does not reflect underlying manufacturing costs, just what Sony thinks it can get for premium titles. I can't find any information on production costs, which is kind of how things were in the early days of CD and DVD where the companies with the big factories (e.g. Sony) were also content owners (e.g. Sony) and hid all their internal cost structures.

      You can make 500 DVDs, including packaging and inserts, for $1,395.00 -- that's $2.80 per unit in quantities of 500, e.g. http://www.digitalcdr.com/. To make 1000 CDs (including case and artwork) costs around $1,300.00, or $1.30 per unit in quantities of 1000.

      Blu-ray disks are, ultimately, supposed to be no more expensive to produce than DVDs.

      I would assume that Sony isn't going to compete with low-end titles (which will stay on DVD for the time being -- I assume that Blu-Ray players will be compatible with existing DVDs).

      Bill Gates has referred to the Blu-Ray / HD-DVD format as "the last format". It may turn out that dual layer DVD is the last format at this rate, and that neither these formats will ever successfully establish the volumes necessary to drive their prices down to the point where they sell. A $100 hard disk can currently hold the equivalent of eight FULL single layer blu-ray disks (25GB each -- http://www.blu-ray.com/). It's not unreasonable to expect that in three years a $100 hard disk will be able to hold the equivalent of 32 disks... Will there be any significant Blu-Ray penetration by then? Will 32 blank disks cost less than $100?

    86. Re:Blast from the past! by hchaput · · Score: 1
      Hi! I'm the first audio CD you ever bought back in the late 80s. I cost you $20. I eventually ... um ... well fuck you ... you're stuck with me!

      Hi, first audio CD. I'm an iTunes track. I come with album art, like you, but you can buy me for $0.99 and you don't have to pay for all of my annoying family. With me, and others like me, people can make as many of you as they want.

      And even if you don't like me, I have a cheap, slutty sister called MP3. Between the two of us, you're toast.

    87. Re:Blast from the past! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hi, Inflation.

      My name is Anonymous Coward and I rent dvd and rip it if I like it. I never buy DVDs

    88. Re:Blast from the past! by geminidomino · · Score: 1

      Dont forget the REALLY old units that weren't multi-speed. So best make sure you don't want to watch something on SLP.

    89. Re:Blast from the past! by mooingyak · · Score: 1

      It wasn't so much the pirating parties as the sales via street vendors. If you can get a copy of a brand new movie, but questionable quality for $5 off of a street vendor, or the real deal for $80, you'd might be willing to try the guy on the street. Even if half the copies are no good, it's still far cheaper. Bring that price down to $20 (or nowadays, $15 or less), and it's barely tempting at all.

      --
      William of Ockham had no beard. The most likely explanation is that it was chewed off by squirrels every morning.
    90. Re:Blast from the past! by DrWho520 · · Score: 1

      Hi hal2814, you can tell who I am by the name on my post. I was all about the cheap VHS tapes until I found the cheap DVDs. Walmart has a selection of $7 DVDs and sometimes has bins of $5 ones. You get bargain basement prices AND they rewind themselves instantly!

      --
      The cancel button is your friend. Do not hesitate to use it.
    91. Re:Blast from the past! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, just because you don't want to seek to a random position in the movie doesn't mean other won't. You're not the only user of DVDs...

      Besides, what about other common media for DVDs, like TV. Selling TV shows is a fast growing market which explains the sharp increase in production quality on television shows. It's because they will make more money than just their broadcast revenue. Surely, you're not going to have an episode a cassette? In which case, yeah, I do want to randomly seek to a specific episode...

      Hell, perhaps you just want to skip the openeing credits of your movie. Surely, that's fair enough?
      And the discs are smaller than casettes. That alone makes them "easier to use."
      I think it's fair to say that DVDs are easier to use than video casettes...

    92. Re:Blast from the past! by Caiwyn · · Score: 1

      Right on. I think it'll be interesting to see how this plays out. I have said before that audio formats like DVD-Audio and Super Audio CD are niche market products because the difference in quality is intangible -- even if I believed that the increased resolution was detectable by the human ear (I don't), it isn't enough to drive a successor to the compact disc. What drove the CD wasn't quality, but convenience -- not having to rewind tapes, or lug around big, fragile discs, was a major factor. The CD offered instant gratification in a portable package. Now we're seeing that the next big leap in audio formats, mp3, is again driven by convenience rather than quality -- in fact, people are willing to take a quality hit by converting to mp3, just to have the convenience of holding all their music on an iPod.

      DVD was driven by the same convenience factors as the CD. The only question is whether the quality improvements of the next-gen format will be enough to drive another revolution. I think it has a better chance than snake-oil next-gen audio discs, since it offers a visible and tangible improvement in quality, and because video, due to its immersive nature, requires less portability than audio.

      Regardless, it'll be interesting to watch.

    93. Re:Blast from the past! by M0b1u5 · · Score: 1

      Anthropomorphisation With an "s" please, you philistine! ;)

      --
      How many escape pods are there? "NONE,SIR!" You counted them? "TWICE, SIR!"
    94. Re:Blast from the past! by swilver · · Score: 1
      Actually, for DVD's it's more like

      1) Walk from couch to DVD tower

      2) Hunt through DVD's until you find desired one

      3) Insert DVD into player

      4) Walk back to couch

      5) Channel surf a bit while waiting for trailers to finish

      6) Watch movie

      Where as at my home it is more like

      1) Switch to SVHS input on TV (without getting up from couch)

      2) Select movie from list neatly indexed

      3) Watch movie

    95. Re:Blast from the past! by iamlucky13 · · Score: 1

      Cutting off with the annoying anthropomorphism crap, I am a slashdot poster, and I have something to say

      Since we're talking about Sony here, we can be assured that when these discs don't sell very well, they'll raise a fuss and holler about how piracy is killing their profits. Maybe this time around, though, we'll get lucky and Sony will go the way of Beta. Oh irony, how sweet is thy taste!

    96. Re:Blast from the past! by mybadluck22 · · Score: 1

      No. It's with a Z.

      --
      If I could rearrange the keyboard, I'd put U and I together.
    97. Re:Blast from the past! by Bing+Tsher+E · · Score: 1

      Just imagine, losing all the BattleStar Galactica episodes by scratching 1 disc.

      Whoo!

      . . .

      Oh! You mean, you like BattleStar Galactica??

    98. Re:Blast from the past! by Bing+Tsher+E · · Score: 1

      My DVDs all have one simple menu at the front. You click on the icon and view whatever video recording is behind it.

      At least that's the case on the videos we watch on the Television set. The ones on the DVD player plugged into a video capture card on my PC are sometimes more complicated. But since they're usually rented or from the library, I don't complain.

    99. Re:Blast from the past! by rob_squared · · Score: 1

      "Just imagine, losing all the BattleStar Galactica episodes by scratching 1 disc."

      I have that exact thing, all season 1 episodes on an 8.5GB DVD DL disk.

      You see, with the right player technology, we don't need a bigger format, just a better codec.

      --
      I don't get it.
    100. Re:Blast from the past! by Chris+Burke · · Score: 1

      The sad part is that DVDs are only harder to use due to decisions made by the people who create them.

      Unskippable previews and commercials? Demon-spawn, but also a choice made solely by the producer of the dvd.

      Difficult to navigate menus? Same thing. Some DVDs go directly into the main feature when you pop them in. This is the sane thing to do. Most however don't do this, and some, like the Memento dvd, are deliberately designed to frustrate your attempts to watch the movie.

      Like you say, DVDs have lots of advantages. The most infurating thing about them is that every disadvantage is unnecessary.

      --

      The enemies of Democracy are
    101. Re:Blast from the past! by Jozer99 · · Score: 1

      Hi hal2814. My name is Frank. Thats all...

    102. Re:Blast from the past! by Trogre · · Score: 1
      You're right, but it could have been so much better. If Sony etc were smart we'd have:

      BLU-ray vs. DVD

      • better visual/audio quality on HD TVs
      • players have language set up in NVRAM, so every disc doesn't have to ask the user - just query the player
      • doesn't treat customers like criminals - no region, CSS or Macrovision nonsense
      • people can skip/fastforward any damn track they want
      • diamond anti-scratch coating on both surfaces (cheap in a couple of years)


      --
      "Nine times out of ten, starting a fire is not the best way to solve the problem." - my wife
    103. Re:Blast from the past! by Anonymous+Brave+Guy · · Score: 1

      Ironically, I expect to spend a fairly large sum on a snazzy new HD TV this weekend. Sony make one of the boxes that easily made my shortlist on quality grounds, and I could order it on-line in thirty seconds, but I ruled them out on principle because of their corporate ethics. Instead, I will be buying from a reputable brand that makes good quality equipment that does exactly what it says on the tin.

      --
      If you disagree, post your argument. (-1, Overrated) isn't your personal censorship tool for views you don't like.
    104. Re:Blast from the past! by loraksus · · Score: 1

      Then pressing fast-forward to go over the commercials and trailers, then hit play again when the actual movie starts.

      With DVDs you don't have to worry about that, since the fast forward buttons are disabled when the commercials come on.

      Easier, right...
      Now sit and watch 10 minutes of commercials every time you put the dvd in. No, it won't let you bypass it. Sit and enjoy the commercials, whore.

      --
      1q2w3e4r5t6y7u8i9o0pqawsedrftgthyjukilo;p'azsxdcfv gbhnjmk,l.;/
    105. Re:Blast from the past! by Awptimus+Prime · · Score: 1

      Yeah, I remember getting chewed out by many o slashdotters by posting how the patent costs of Blu-Ray would make HD-DVD a more viable option. Anyway, those costs are not going to drop for a while. You might as well quit blindly supporting a closed format for whatever reasons.

      Also, DVDs didn't cost $25 back in 1997. They were about the same price they are today.

    106. Re:Blast from the past! by Zixia · · Score: 1

      Having different chapters for films may not be as appealing to you as the parent poster suggests. Where you may agree it makes a difference is for DVDs of TV programmes, with several episodes per disc. Having even 3 episodes on a VHS tape was a pain to try to get to the second or third episode. On a DVD you can skip right to the episode you want to watch. I consider this a great advantage over tape.

    107. Re:Blast from the past! by gordo3000 · · Score: 1

      wait now, I need an example of these bad menu's that you can't teach your grandmother to navigate. in every disk I have owned one of two things happen:
      1) pop in disk and after previews movie starts

      2) pop in disk, after it goes to the main menu just hit ok because the default choice is always "play"

      now , if your grandmother can't handle this but is ok with adjusting for tracking, fast forwarding and rewinding, it is a good thing that 99.999% of the population isn't so inhibitted with technology because then there would be no advances.

      The only thing I remember being easier wtih VHS tapes(and it still is by a long shot) was making copies of rentals so I could watch them later. This is impossible with standard equipment and a DVD. the funny thing was, I never knew it was copyright infringement back them because the FBI warning seemed to say that it was only illegal if you distributed copies or showed them in a public place. Built one hell of a VHS collection that way.

    108. Re:Blast from the past! by tbannist · · Score: 1
      "Oh, and there is that little part where even Microsoft thought Sony's DRM on Blue Ray was insanely over restrictive and anti-consumer, leading them to drop support and back HD-DVD exclusively. So Blue Ray supporters can enjoy paying double to buy from a limited selection of movies that only play on your expensive new player when Sony feels like it."


      This is not quite true. Microsoft may claim that is the reason they dropped support, but everyone with a clue knows it's because Sony refused to incorporate Microsoft's DRM and menu-scripting systems. Microsoft dropped support because they figured if they did, everyone else would follow them. It doesn't seem to have worked all that well this time around.
      --
      Fanatically anti-fanatical
    109. Re:Blast from the past! by hal2814 · · Score: 1

      "after it goes to the main menu just hit ok because the default choice is always "play""

      You've inadvertantly hit on the exact source of confusion on some of my grandmother's DVDs. Not being a user interface expert but having sat least taken a few classes on the subject, the "Play" button should be the button that causes the movie to play. The "Play" button affords the action of playing. Having to use the OK button to Play a movie is counterintuitive when there is actually a "Play" button on the remote that does NOT play the movie on all DVDs. (I'm pretty sure the newer "Willy Wonka" movie is an example of this. If not, just grab 20 random DVDs and I'll bet you run accross at least one.) Not only is this confusing but it also prevents you from playing the DVD without the use of the remote since most boxes do not have an "OK" button on the box. (Silly hardware guys. They probably expect you to use the "play" to play movies. What were they thinking?) It's not that my grandmother can't learn it. It's that she shouldn't have to learn that the "Play" button doesn't actually play the movie because the OK button does that. WTF?

      That's not even as bad as the discs that ask you if you want to view in widescreen or fullscreen right after you choose to play the movie and then when you pick the one that's not on that side of the disc, asks you to turn it over (at least one So I Married an Axe Murderer realease was like this and I'm pretty sure Snatch did the same thing). Why don't you just not waste my time and play the f'ing version I put in the player?

      VCRs aren't the greatest examples of user interface ever produced (in my introductory UI class the VCR was a constant example of what not to do in most cases), but the lack of abstraction kept everything relatively simple. There was a tracking knob for tracking, a play button for playing and so on. With the GUI aspects of DVDs, the DVD designers have trampled all over this simplicity and don't even seem to care. Play doesn't always play, fast forward doesn't always fast forward (check the Whoopi Goldberg intro for the Looney Tunes collection for this one), and depending on the remote the next chapter/previous chapter, and fast forward/rewind buttons are oriented differently and labeled such that it is not always obvious which one is which (Sony vs. Magnavox remotes).

      And don't even get me started on the DVD/VCR combo that requires you to manually specify which input you're wanting to see instead of doing the smart thing and just give the device that is actually playing the output.

    110. Re:Blast from the past! by gordo3000 · · Score: 1

      really, you should just simplify you complaints then. you hate the fact that DVD's give you more options.

      There is a fundamental flaw in your logic if you put a disk in on the full screen side and hten when asked, choose wide screen and then get pissed at the player for telling you to flip the disk. you were the idiot who didn't realize what side you put it in( or forgot what you wanted to do in the first place).

      DVD menus are a different beast all together. They are not supposed to be like a VCR. It's new. They are supposed to give you the flexibility to navigate around multiple options. Now it wouldnt' make much sense for me to hit play when wanting to go into the scene selection option, would it? Or hitting play to change the language settings? That would be a fundamental contradiction.

      I think VCR's had a great UI for their time. But technology allowed us to have much more flexibility in the UI. Now I will admit some DVD's are done in a horrible fashion(I can never figure out with the Ghostbusters DVD which side is for widescreen and which side is for full screen), but a well made DVD is levels above a Cassette in ease of use and functionality. I think tkhe real complaint is against foolish companies that can't make a decent menu system.

    111. Re:Blast from the past! by hal2814 · · Score: 1

      "really, you should just simplify you complaints then. you hate the fact that DVD's give you more options."

      No, I hate the fact that I can't do something as simple as watch a movie without selecting a series of options that don't really matter to most people.

      "you were the idiot who didn't realize what side you put it in( or forgot what you wanted to do in the first place)."

      You're assuming I cared. I just want to watch a movie. I don't care if it's widescreened or fullscreened or THX ro Dolby Digital. I just want the thing to play. Why not just play what's there? Why even ask if the other format isn't even available without getting up to flip the disc? I put in a disc and the player plays its content. I think that's a pretty reasonable expectation.

      "DVD menus are a different beast all together. They are not supposed to be like a VCR."

      Then why did they bolt a navigation control (arrows and a button) onto a standard VCR control system?

      "Now it wouldnt' make much sense for me to hit play when wanting to go into the scene selection option, would it? Or hitting play to change the language settings? That would be a fundamental contradiction."

      Nobody is asking for that. That's entirely the realm of an OK/confirm button. However, with all the extra options DVDs have, I find it odd that they took away the option of playing the main feature of DVD using the "Play" button. You can have both the OK button and the Play button play the movie. That's what most of the better menu designers do.

      The options are fine (Since you mentioned the movie, I LOVE the text commentary on Ghostbusters.) but I don't think it would've been a bad idea to set up and enforce some standards that go along with those options. Maybe next time...

    112. Re:Blast from the past! by Guspaz · · Score: 1

      They do offer a lot more than 240 lines of resolution. They offer 600 additional lines of resolution (1080 - 480), an increase of 225% in vertical resolution, and an increase of 600% in total pixel count.

      This is because BluRay discs support 1080p. In fact, the first BluRay movie announced to be finished authoring (IIRC, Charlie's Angels: Full Throttle) was done in 1080.

      Upconversion cannot create data from nothingness. You can use fancy filters for scaling up an image, but you're still only scaling up. Detail cannot be recreated. One day computer programs might be able to guess well enough to simulate that, but upconverters definately don't ;)

      Personally, I've only seen a 720p feed vs a 480p feed. The difference on my buddy's 50" Samsung DLP was enormous. Night and day. I can only imaging that the difference between 480p and 1080p (or 1080i) would be mind blowing.

    113. Re:Blast from the past! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If the VCR was such a wonderful example of clear, intuitive user interface design, why exactly did I have to press Play & Record simultaneously to record something?

    114. Re:Blast from the past! by mink · · Score: 1

      If I had points I would mod you up.
      This is exactly right.
      During this same time, Laser Disk would go for $40 a pop and be released at the same time as the $100 rental copies. So smart people who wanted movies fast went with that format back then.

      --
      Well I've wrestled with reality for thirty five years doctor, and I'm happy to say I finally won out over it.
  2. Newsflash! by plover · · Score: 5, Insightful
    Extry! Extry! Read all about it! People Pay More for Higher Quality Merchandise!

    Related Stories:

    • BMWs More Expensive Than Kias
    • Macs More Costly than PCs
    • Canon Cameras Sell For More Than Kodak Cameras

    But seriously, why wouldn't they be more expensive? You get a much, much nicer end product. Why would you pay $10 for a hamburger at Outback when you can get one for a dollar at Mickey D's? They both feed you (poorly!), but one is much more pleasant to eat than the other. How about a music file? Are you happy with a 64kbps encoding of a tune, or do you prefer a lossless encoded version?

    It's the same with an HD movie -- it's much more pleasant to look at HD than an NTSC quality movie.

    --
    John
    1. Re:Newsflash! by kfg · · Score: 1

      But seriously, why wouldn't they be more expensive? . . . Are you happy with a 64kbps encoding of a tune, or do you prefer a lossless encoded version?

      Did you buy Betamax or VHS?

      KFG

    2. Re:Newsflash! by Ucklak · · Score: 1, Funny

      I'd like to know where you can get a burger for a buck at any Mickey Property.
      Their Ice Cream bars alone are $3 and we paid $8 a pop for the cheap burgers in TommorrowLand.
      For my money though, the Captain America burger is much better at Universal.

      --
      if you steal from one source, that is plagiarism, if you steal from many, well, that's just research.
    3. Re:Newsflash! by AKAImBatman · · Score: 1

      Mickey D's is a nickname for "McDonald's". It comes from the "Mc D's" shortening that was eventually "cutsified" (hey, I invented a word!) into "Mickey D's".

    4. Re:Newsflash! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Both.
      Beta first though and it still served me well as a recorder till it died 6 years later.

    5. Re:Newsflash! by Jah-Wren+Ryel · · Score: 1

      But seriously, why wouldn't they be more expensive?
      You get a much, much nicer end product.


      Do you?

      For 90% of the population in the USA, you don't get a nicer product. These are the people with standard definition TVs. They've got no reason at all to spend the extra dollars on HD-BLU-DVD-RAY.

      For the other 10%

      The crucial "early adopters" who pay the big bucks and have esoteric systems are going to have problems, many of them still have non-HDCP displays. These guys are likely to be pissed about being left out in the cold despite the promises of the tv manufacturers at the time of purchase. They won't benefit from HD-BLU-DVD-RAY either because their HDTV sets won't be permitted to display the HD video from the discs.

      Some of these "early adopters" like to fiddle with their stuff, they build video jukeboxes, they have fancy home-grown av distribution systems, etc. So the people who said fuck it and bought ANOTHER HDTV set with HDCP are still neutered. All the copy-prevention built into HD-BLU-DVD-RAY does for them is make life harder, not much nicer. They can play the movies alright, but only in the way that hollywood wants them to, no tinkering allowed.

      The most recent purchasers of HDTV sets, the ones that do have HDCP, are also likely to own upscaling dvd players. Take a good quality DVD to begin with, run it through a good upscaler and you've got an image that's roughly 70-80% of the quality of an average HD transfer.
      That extra 30% of image quality is subjective, but isn't likely to be considered all that much nicer than what they are getting now with their current equipment.

      So, as I see it, the only chance HD-BLU-RAY-DVD has of gaining marketshare is if they significantly under-price DVDs. As a guy with 3 HDTVs in my house, 2 of them HDCP capable, I won't touch those discs otherwise. Unless their marketing strategy changes, I think there is a significant chance that these discs will go the way of DVD-SACD-AUDIO.

      --
      When information is power, privacy is freedom.
    6. Re:Newsflash! by krakelohm · · Score: 1

      I do believe he is talkin about The Golden Arches.

      --
      You are all a bunch of idots.
    7. Re:Newsflash! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hey, some of us happen to like (love) McDonalds....

    8. Re:Newsflash! by kfg · · Score: 1

      Then you are a likely customer for Blu-ray.

      KFG

    9. Re:Newsflash! by ZachPruckowski · · Score: 1

      Bingo. So for pretty much 95% of America, Blu-Ray is basically worthless. They need to buy a new, several hundred dollar to multi-thousand dollar TV. And a $200 player. And the majority of Americans aren't going to want to spend that for the slightly higher quality. Those of us who care about the resolution are a lot more likely to not want it due to the DRM.

    10. Re:Newsflash! by Kjella · · Score: 1

      The most recent purchasers of HDTV sets, the ones that do have HDCP, are also likely to own upscaling dvd players. Take a good quality DVD to begin with, run it through a good upscaler and you've got an image that's roughly 70-80% of the quality of an average HD transfer.

      Your vision must be sadly lacking. Upscaling a 720x480 DVD to 1920x1080 HDTV is like stretching a 320x180 vid to DVD-size. Yes, it won't matter much if you're converting grainy old film. But if you have seen any of the 1080p sample clips, they are vastly superior to DVD if you got the equipment. Only sad part is my LCD doesn't have HDCP. DVD-Jon, where aaaaaaaare you...

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
    11. Re:Newsflash! by xero314 · · Score: 1

      Your statistics, which are not only inaccurate, hide a bit of the facts behind the adoption of High Defenition video. Yes it is true that the majority of the population (US atleast) does not YET have an HD TV. But if you look at the more affluent of the population, those who tend to be early adopters and, the percentage owning HDTVs is much higher. Add to this the fact that HDTV sales increase each year as standard Defenition drops and you get a perfect environment for High Defenition Video formats.

      Also if you think upconverted/upscalled standard def video (or even 480p) is even close to true 1080i or 1080p you are really deluding yourself. I know you are probably like me and paid good money for your upconverting DVD player and really want to beleive it is as good as the sales man made it out to be, but trust me, it's not. True HD video is spectacular and well above any DVD, upscalled or not, that you could get today. And all that coming from someone who plays console games instead of PC games and argued for years that the difference in resolution was hardly noticeable.

    12. Re:Newsflash! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But I prefer the McNuggets (you insensitive clod!)

    13. Re:Newsflash! by rAiNsT0rm · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Except you miss the point of "Perceived" value. That $1 burger at McD is prolly worth close to a dollar, that $10 burger at Outback is prolly only really worth about $2.50... but the perception is that it is worth more through marketing and hype. Same for BMW, and the rest of your list.

      The cause for a bit of thought here is that there is no real perceived value to 98% of America and abroad who have not adopted nor will adopt HD for another 10 years when it is supposedly mandated but will continue to be pushed back as it has so far. If everyone owned HD gear and there were no HD media, then people would pay $40+ for a Blu-Ray... but that isn't the case and the natural reaction will be exactly the reactions seen here.

      --
      http://teasphere.wordpress.com - A little spot of tea
    14. Re:Newsflash! by Scooter's_dad · · Score: 1

      The crucial "early adopters" who pay the big bucks and have esoteric systems are going to have problems, many of them still have non-HDCP displays. These guys are likely to be pissed about being left out in the cold despite the promises of the tv manufacturers at the time of purchase. They won't benefit from HD-BLU-DVD-RAY either because their HDTV sets won't be permitted to display the HD video from the discs.

      Like me, for instance. I'm going to sit out this round. And I'm hanging onto my non-HDCP component-input-only 1080i HDTV for as long as I can get a picture out of it. (Fortunately it's only 32" so standard DVDs with anamorphic squeeze look just dandy.)

      --
      The road to hell is paved with Cat 5 cable.
    15. Re:Newsflash! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This explains why computers keep getting more and more expensive. Obviously as we've increased processor speeds from 60mhz to 3ghz prices have increased dramatically to match. The same applies for our hard drives which, because of their ever increasing size, speed and quality, have seen prices soar over the last 20 years.

      I think you make a bad analogy. In your analogy, instead of comparing a BMW to a Kia, the car should be compared to the same car of a previous year. Likely the 2005 model costs less in 2005 than a comparable 1955 model did in 1955 (inflation adjusted of course). The scene from Back to the Future where the family admires Marty's 2 TVs comes to mind.

      While one would expect Blu-ray DVD's to cost more on initial release than regular DVD's, people should be wary if their prices don't drop to match after a couple years. Costs of manufacturing and distribution dictate price more than does quality (BMWs do cost more to make than Kias). If they don't, then price fixing, collusion, monopoly, or something similar is present and should be eliminated. Dell is a great example of a company that offered a higher quality product for cheaper, and made a couple bucks doing it.

    16. Re:Newsflash! by Jafafa+Hots · · Score: 1

      This same argument was used when the music cartel refused to lower CD prices.
      An LP cost $1.50 to produce, and sold for $7.
      A CD cost 25 cents to produce and sold for $15.99.

      And how did the cartel respond to charges that it was using its virtual monopoly to artificially fix prices and gouge customers? "It sounds so much better and is so much more convenient, it's a much BETTER VALUE than the LP, so it's worth it."

      BULLSHIT. The intrinsic value of a product is the cost of production, period. Anything beyond that, quality, scarcity, is a relative thing, a percieved value and changes based on demand, competition, etc.
      The companies are only justified in charging MORE for a product that cost LESS to produce if even given competition, etc., the customer demand allows it.
      If the price is set because of monopoly control, then charging more for a cheaper item is just plain gouging.

      --
      This space available.
    17. Re:Newsflash! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This explains why computers keep getting more and more expensive

      Seriously? I can recall paying 4-5 grand for my first computer back in the 80s, now days that will get you one hell of a system.

    18. Re:Newsflash! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Except you miss the point of "Perceived" value. That $1 burger at McD is prolly worth close to a dollar, that $10 burger at Outback is prolly only really worth about $2.50... but the perception is that it is worth more through marketing and hype. Same for BMW, and the rest of your list.

      Huh? How are you calculating "worth"? Food cost, ie the cost of the actual food in the meal? Maybe there's 50 cents in the double cheeseburger on teh value menu because its a "loss leader", hoping you'll be buying a coke (food cost 3 cents, mostly in the cup) and some fries (food cost around 10%). But the Outback has to hire waitstaff, and they generally deal in smaller volumes, so each burger sold has more costs in rent, HVAC, and staffing to bear.

      You can play games with the value mix, sell higher quality meats in your fast food burgers, but even if they were better burgers than Outback you couldn't charge Outback's $10 because people weren't getting the sit down restaurant experience, etc. Similarly, people wouldn't pay $8 for a McDonalds burger in an Outback, they want a certain qulaity of food for their dollar. The reality is there is a curve that you can't stray too far from, a successful restaurant will stick too about a 25% food cost. Are you getting ripped off because Joe's is selling you $2.50 worth of food for $10? No, its quite possible Joe isn't generating enough traffic, can't pay his rent, and will soon be out of business. Does that mean You got a bargain because Joe wasn't charging enough for his food? Maybe, but very likely not.

      If only there was some universal measure we could use to express the value we received for goods and services we received, then we could in turn be compensated for the work we do in that measure. We could name this measure after the French Impressionist, Monet. So we would get paid with Monet, then in turn use this Monet to decide whether we would trade our Monet in return for somebody else doing the work, or doing it ourselves and trading our Monet for the raw materials, keeping in mind we wont get the volume discounts a specialist might receive. But that would never happen...

    19. Re:Newsflash! by plague3106 · · Score: 1

      Same for BMW, and the rest of your list.

      You've obviously never driven a BMW then. It most certainly is a higher quality car than a Kia.

    20. Re:Newsflash! by Fujisawa+Sensei · · Score: 1

      VHS, the superior technology because I don't like getting up in the middle of a movie to change tapes. :-P

      A problem Sony evetually fixed, but by that time it was to late.

      --
      If someone is passing you on the right, you are an asshole for driving in the wrong lane.
    21. Re:Newsflash! by The0retical · · Score: 1

      The only thing I care about seeing on HD-DVD or Blue-Ray is what I usually buy, anime. If anyone else has purchased any lately I know you would be happy to see that 23.00 dollar price tag since I usually get gouged for about 27-30 dollars per DVD that I buy retail. Of course since the price quoted is wholesale it will probably end up costing the same price anyway so in reality it changes nothing for me.

    22. Re:Newsflash! by nharmon · · Score: 1

      Perhaps you have never driven a Kia.

    23. Re:Newsflash! by moosesocks · · Score: 1

      the problem is that the things you mention are premium goods. There will always be BMWs and Kias.

      Blu-ray represents an advance in technology designed to replace the current technology. Although we can always expect higher early adopter prices, it seems like there's a huge price premium going on here.

      If there's some sort of technical hurdle keeping these discs expensive, it's going to be the death of the format. I don't like the direction the industry's taking one bit..... this is going to be betamax all over again

      --
      -- If you try to fail and succeed, which have you done? - Uli's moose
    24. Re:Newsflash! by plague3106 · · Score: 1

      I have; my wife owns one actually. Not nearly as nice as a BMW or an Acura.

    25. Re:Newsflash! by softspokenrevolution · · Score: 1

      I think that no matter what format it's in, Hitch, isn't going to look that good.

    26. Re:Newsflash! by plover · · Score: 1
      You said For 90% of the population in the USA, you don't get a nicer product. These are the people with standard definition TVs. and many of them still have non-HDCP displays

      You've made a completely pointless argument. It's like saying 90% of Americans won't buy BMW leather seat covers because 90% of Americans don't own BMWs.

      For those of us who have spent the money and who own the equipment capable of displaying HDTV from either a BLU-RAY or HD-DVD disc, the HD factor is worth it. For the rest of you, keep buying DVDs. It's not hard.

      --
      John
    27. Re:Newsflash! by plover · · Score: 1
      the things you mention are premium goods

      That's exactly correct. And HDTV is smack in the middle of the luxury category, too. NTSC-resolution televisions are going to be with us for many, many years, regardless of the switch from analog to digital.

      HD-DVD and BLU-RAY are luxury items. They're not going to replace DVDs for at least 10 years and probably more. And as such, they'll command a premium in the marketplace even if they cost only a dollar to produce.

      By the time HD-DVD or BLU-RAY becomes the "norm" over DVDs, the prices will have shrunk to reach the mass market.

      --
      John
    28. Re:Newsflash! by TetryonX · · Score: 1

      Newsflash!
      The majority of americans don't have hdtvs and quite frankly do not want to pony up $1000+ for a decent one that will commit suicide after 5 years of use! They'd rather stick with their 20 year old RELIABLE tv of ntsc goodness.

      So what if the media is HD quality? The likelyhood that the majority of us with older boxes will see no difference, or WORSE quality, than the current generation of dvds. Sure the government (sponsored by the entertainment industries) are going to force us to buy a downsampler/new tv in the next few years but again, not many of us care about this. We just watch tv with whatever device does it best for the longest time.

      Not to mention how much utterly useless crap they are going to shove onto a movie. Back in the day, we bought a movie to watch a movie; not see all the useless scenes they decided were not important enough to view. It was all just the feature presentation. Of course this didn't even last long in the VHS era (stupid previews), this whole nonsensical extra bloat on a disc is not needed or wanted most of the time. I say: Keep dvds around and also have the blue rays. DVDs with *JUST THE MOVIE*, and then the blue rays with all the extra crap people can waste more of their money on if they want it.

      --
      [!] No, I can't see my comments. They are not worthy of +3 moderation.
    29. Re:Newsflash! by plover · · Score: 1
      I don't understand your argument. The intrinsic value of an item is completely irrelevant to a free market (except in Wisconsin), regardless of whether or not you consider it fair. It all boils down to capitalism: the producers are free to charge whatever the market will bear. It doesn't matter if an LP cost more to produce than a CD. If the marketplace wants CDs for the convenience factor, they'll pay for them. If the marketplace wants CDs for the "better*" audio quality, they'll pay for them.

      * By "better", I mean that the labels are also free to advertise and sell us on whatever feature (or drawback) they've included. "CD audio is 'better' because it doesn't have skips and pops!" or "Apple iTunes is 'better' because it now comes with enhanced DRM!!!" If you pay a P.R. firm to say it with enough exclamation points, glossy in-store signage and slick monochromatic commercials, people will believe you that it's "better". They may even pay a premium for it!

      If they put BLU-RAY movies out for $100 each and labeled them "The Best Version Ever", and put out commercials featuring Donald Trump saying "I buy BLU-RAY because I buy only the best," thousands of idiot consumers will march into Best Buy and plunk down their $100 bills. If they then lower the price to $50, hundreds of thousands of consumers will see this as a "bargain" and buy them. The market will eventually reach equilibrium, but maybe not at the price you want to pay.

      The producers are under absolutely no obligation to sell you the movies for $20, $10, cost + 25% or any price you care to claim is "fair". That's the deal with a free market. They put it out at whatever price they want to get, and it's up to the marketplace to accept the item at that price or reject it. It's not like you'll die if you don't get to see HDTV.

      --
      John
    30. Re:Newsflash! by rAiNsT0rm · · Score: 1

      Not to go off topic, but let me explain something. Acura's are basically the European Honda, and Kia's from 2006 on are now fully Hyundai powertrains and some have Porsche tuned suspensions... Kia' snow are much different than Kia's of even a year ago.

      BMW also has had their share of dogs, and while they are "perceived" as a high quality brand they are not always so. This goes back to what I was saying.

      People's perceptions are not always gospel, and most often are based on imperfect data. Personal experience (just as yours with your wife's Kia), media, advertising, and hype to name a few.

      --
      http://teasphere.wordpress.com - A little spot of tea
    31. Re:Newsflash! by Jafafa+Hots · · Score: 1

      There are two things I was trying to point out. One, that they are not subject to market forces because they are an illegal cartel. Yes, you are right... they can set the price at $400 and as a consumer you can either take it or leave it, and there's nothing wrong, in a sense, with them deciding to charge $400 for a 25 cent non-necessity... I was just pointing out the utter bullshit and dishonesty in the response they give, that they are jacking up their profit margins by several orders of magnitude and charging MORE for a product than now costs LESS to make - because they are giving the consumer a BETTER VALUE. That is just plain BULLSHIT. The real reason is simply BECAUSE WE CAN. If it were legal for some cartel to virtually control the entire world banana market, and after gaining that control they lowered the cost of growing bananas by 75 percent while also decreasing blemishes on them, and then jacked up the price of bananas by 300%, it would NOT be a truthful justification of their massive price increase to say "Its because our NEW bananas are PRETTIER!"

      --
      This space available.
    32. Re:Newsflash! by joshsisk · · Score: 1

      If the BD wholesale price for currently-on-sale-for $10 DVDs like the Fifth Element is $23, expect titles that cost $30 to be marked up as well.

    33. Re:Newsflash! by plover · · Score: 1
      Ahh, I see, you were just calling them on the bullshit factor. That's fair.

      I'm reading a book you'd probably like: Laura Penney's "Your Call Is Important To Us: The Truth About Bullshit" She does a good number on all the various bullshitters out there, and makes an important distinction between "lying" and "bullshit" -- liars choose their lies. Clinton lied about Lewinsky, for example. But bullshit is more pervasive, and chronic bullshitters see no difference between telling people the truth or lying as long as they get their message out. Every White House press secretary for the past 20 years has been a bullshitter, for example. (Although Ari Fleischer wasn't very good at it. I think he wanted to simply be a liar only when absolutely necessary, but the job requires a flawless bullshitter.)

      The other thing I'd point out is that "monopolies" and "cartels" are really just the corporate face of unionization. We've outlawed them locally, but they still exist in the real world. And they're just as subject to market pressures as any individual producer. OPEC is a great example. They could choose to sell oil at $500 a barrel if they wanted, but then their customer base would collapse and they'd have nobody to sell to at all. So they're still tied to supply and demand.

      And OPEC is subject to infighting as well: Saudi Arabia frequently 'overproduces' to sell to the U.S., which is really just another way of undercutting the other members. If OPEC was taken over by Iran and they said "hey, let's collapse western civilization and stop selling oil to the infidels" the other members of OPEC would bail. They're as addicted to our money as we are to their oil.

      --
      John
    34. Re:Newsflash! by Jah-Wren+Ryel · · Score: 1

      I know you are probably like me and paid good money for your upconverting DVD player and really want to beleive it is as good as the sales man made it out to be, but trust me, it's not.

      I don't own a DVD player. I use PCs with HD tuners & firewire on which I play both HD and DVD. I have recorded a couple of terabytes of "true 1080i" - a lot of which can be reverse telecined to "true 1080p." I won't argue that full-bit rate, well mastered HD looks exceptional in comparison to even the highest quality DVD upscaled with high-quality algorithms. But such content is rare, and titles like "Hitch" aren't going to cut it. For the majority of movies, the level of improvement is not enough to justify all the downsides to the format.

      --
      When information is power, privacy is freedom.
    35. Re:Newsflash! by Jah-Wren+Ryel · · Score: 1

      For those of us who have spent the money and who own the equipment capable of displaying HDTV from either a BLU-RAY or HD-DVD disc, the HD factor is worth it. For the rest of you, keep buying DVDs. It's not hard.

      That's what the audiophiles said about DVD-A and SACD. Those formats haven't worked out so well with that kind of attitude. No reason to think over-priced, under-featured HD discs will either.

      --
      When information is power, privacy is freedom.
    36. Re:Newsflash! by ChildeRoland · · Score: 1

      It's going to be a long time before the players are down to $200.

      --
      The mark of a mature person is not creating arbitrary criteria for considering others mature.
    37. Re:Newsflash! by plague3106 · · Score: 1

      but let me explain something. Acura's are basically the European Honda

      No, Acura is Honda's 'higher end' line, much like Audi is from VW, Lexus is from Nissan, Mercury is from Ford, etc.

      For example (and yes, i know what i'm talking about, i researched both), my TLS has all the features of an Accord, but with a few nice extras. The S type adds even more (better traction control, suspension, etc).

      Kia's from 2006 on are now fully Hyundai powertrains and some have Porsche tuned suspensions... Kia' snow are much different than Kia's of even a year ago.

      This may be true; both of our cars are the '03 models. Kia launched a new model that is supposed to be more of a luxury / sports car. I'm trying to find it on their site, but it doesn't seem to load at the moment.

      BMW also has had their share of dogs, and while they are "perceived" as a high quality brand they are not always so. This goes back to what I was saying.

      This is true of any company, so I don't see how its relevent. As far as perception goes, overall BMWs are much higher quality than a Kia or Toyota counterpart. I belive the perception is well earned; I see alot of BMWs, Acura, and Audis which date back to the 80s. The bodies are not what they used to be, but they always appear to be running just fine. Other manufacturers I don't even see their 80s models still running, and if they are, they're usually burning oil, the muffler is about to fall, etc. I think that speaks alot to the level of quality.

      People's perceptions are not always gospel, and most often are based on imperfect data. Personal experience (just as yours with your wife's Kia), media, advertising, and hype to name a few.

      There's also hard facts. Check out resale values, reliablity of models over the years, and you'll see that Acura and BMW are rated much higher than a Chevy or Kia. I checked out the numbers in '02 when I was looking and did look at Kia; they seemed to pretty quickly degrade, while Acura (and Honda) had excellent reliablity.

    38. Re:Newsflash! by rAiNsT0rm · · Score: 1

      I'm not trying to get into a car thread here... but I am making a point. The FACT is that Toyota (Lexus) is #1 in reliability. Not BMW, but a BMW costs much more and is "perceived" to be the better buy and to warrant that extra cost... the simple fact is that it is not. It is a well made unit and it is reliable, but not #1. That is what I am saying.

      And BTW it is the Hyundai Azera.

      --
      http://teasphere.wordpress.com - A little spot of tea
    39. Re:Newsflash! by plague3106 · · Score: 1

      Not to get into a car thread either.. but quality (for me anyway) includes much more than reliablity. It also includes features, safety, etc.

      Does a Lexus has more features and fancy things than BMW? Maybe, I haven't compared the two side by side. I was pretty sure though that Lexus was in the same price range as a BMW. Again, its been a few years since I researched.

      I think my point still stands; I'd say a Lexus is a higher quality car (and much more deserving of its price) than a Ford.

  3. Shocking prediction. by Caspian · · Score: 5, Insightful

    1) They'll claim that in time, the price to the consumer will come down. (See also: "The history of compact disc pricing").
    2) It won't.
    3) People will continue to buy them in droves anyways.
    4) Profit!

    --
    With spending like this, exactly what are "conservatives" conserving?
    1. Re:Shocking prediction. by og_sh0x · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Movies haven't followed the same pattern as music. VHS got really cheap when DVDs became popular. DVDs are already becoming pretty cheap even before an alternative format is released. You can get movies as low as $5.00. Sure they're old movies, but I don't think you could get any DVD for under $25 when the format first became popular.

    2. Re:Shocking prediction. by RingDev · · Score: 2, Insightful

      What does a blue ray disk offer to a consumer that a DVD doesn't? If a DVD can provide 480i quality full length movies, why should I pay double for the same thing on a new disk that I have to buy a new player for?

      Nah, prices will come down because they will have to compete against standard DVDs for quite a few years (until HD TV penetration gets significantly higher).

      Right now they are on bleeding edge prices. Just like DVDs when they were new. I paid $160 for a DVD Player drive in 98, and $20+ for 'The Crow' with no extra features. My newest DVD player, a high speed progressive scan unit cost $65 and Serenity cost me like $12 with almost an hour of extra features (not including commentary).

      -Rick

      --
      "Most people in the U.S. wouldn't know they live in a tyrannical state if it walked up and grabbed their junk." - MyFirs
    3. Re:Shocking prediction. by cens0r · · Score: 1

      You're paying double for the movie in 1080i. So you aren't buying the same thing.

      --
      Jack Valenti and Orrin Hatch will be first up against the wall when the revolution comes.
    4. Re:Shocking prediction. by damsa · · Score: 1

      That's not entirely true. In 1998, you could buy DVDs cheaper than you could buy VHSs. Back in the day, VHS would cost 60-70 when a movie first came out, as the first adopters were the video rental places, but DVDs were around 20 to 25 dollars as DVDs in video stores were pretty much unheard of.

    5. Re:Shocking prediction. by Caspian · · Score: 1

      Irrelevant. The prices of brand new, new release movies are still artificially high, and when DVDs first came out, the $5 (or even $1) bargain-bin DVDs you refer to (yes, I too have seen the bins full of TV episodes from the 1950s/1960s for $1) were not economically feasible in any way.

      Ignore the bargain-bin stuff and look at new releases, and I think you'll find that retail prices have fallen a lot slower than production costs.

      The stuff about VHS tapes being cheap now is a red herring. I'm talking about the price pattern of a given technology over its relevant lifetime, not the price pattern of an older technology offset by a newer one.

      --
      With spending like this, exactly what are "conservatives" conserving?
    6. Re:Shocking prediction. by RingDev · · Score: 2, Insightful

      But my (and the vast majority of consumers) TV is only standard definition, so anything 480i or better is over kill. To me, the average consumer, there is no benefit.

      -Rick

      --
      "Most people in the U.S. wouldn't know they live in a tyrannical state if it walked up and grabbed their junk." - MyFirs
    7. Re:Shocking prediction. by Saeed+al-Sahaf · · Score: 1
      3) People will continue to buy them in droves anyways.

      Or, they might join Betamax up on the shelf.

      --
      "Who are in control, they are not in control of anything - they don't even control themselves!" - Glen Beck
    8. Re:Shocking prediction. by shark72 · · Score: 4, Informative

      "They'll claim that in time, the price to the consumer will come down. (See also: "The history of compact disc pricing")."

      For the benefit of our younger readers who might think CD prices have always been about the same: when I started buying them in 1984, I paid about $20 per CD, to play on my $250 CD player.

      That's the equivalent of a $37 CD playing on a $460 CD player, kids!

      By comparison, in 2003 the average price of a new CD was $13.42, and by the end of 2004, it was down to $12.95. In other words, CD prices have fallen by 2/3 in the time I've been buying them. I wish I could say the same thing about clothes, food and gas.

      The point is: just be glad you were born in the 80's or 90's. You're paying 66% less for CDs than I was at your age, and if you happen to be a fan of P2P, you can get all the music you want for free. The other point is that people who try to tell you that CD prices haven't gone down are, quite simply, lying to you.

      --
      Sitting in my day care, the art is decopainted.
    9. Re:Shocking prediction. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ignore the bargain-bin stuff and look at new releases, and I think you'll find that retail prices have fallen a lot slower than production costs.

      Ahhh, yet another person completely ignoring the costs associated with producing the material that gets put onto the disc. "I don't understand why a copy of Windows costs $200. The CD they press it onto costs less than 1 cent in bulk."

    10. Re:Shocking prediction. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "I wish I could say the same thing about clothes, food and gas."

      so let's not forget that your PC, iPod, DVD player, and other bits of technology are significantly cheaper today than a few years ago, mainly because there is competition in this area.

      Let's not kid ourselves that you're getting anything "more" over the existing DVD's sitting there at WalMart for $10.

    11. Re:Shocking prediction. by Carbonite · · Score: 1

      The definition of the "average consumer" will change as HD becomes mainstream. The prices of HDTVs have dropped dramatically in the past few years and this trend will continue until stores no longer sell standard def TVs. Sure, it will take a number of years, but 480i will eventually be seen as barely acceptable.

      --
      ich muß mehr Kuhglocke haben
    12. Re:Shocking prediction. by shark72 · · Score: 1

      And the average consumer wouldn't have much use for my car. It weighs less than a ton, barely holds two people (forget about luggage), and it cost $50K, despite the fact that it was built by the British, who are notoriously bad at building road-worthy vehicles. Sure, it does an amazing job of sticking to the road and gets me to 60 in about 4.5 seconds, but is that really important to the average consumer?

      Yet the company that makes them can't build them fast enough.

      The thing about marketing is that you don't always have to go for 100% of the market. Sometimes, 10% or even 1% will do you just fine.

      --
      Sitting in my day care, the art is decopainted.
    13. Re:Shocking prediction. by takotech · · Score: 1

      If a DVD can provide 480i quality full length movies,

      DVDs are 480p. They are also 720 wide if they are "enhanced for widescreens".

      This is the reason EDTV plasmas make a great choice for folks like me that mostly watch DVDs. They are cheaper and their native resolutions corresponds to DVD.

    14. Re:Shocking prediction. by MrFrank · · Score: 1

      Well then do f'ing buy one. Buy your movies on standard DVDs.

    15. Re:Shocking prediction. by RingDev · · Score: 1

      I understand where you are coming from (I drive a 2 seat mid engine automobile myself). But in this case, I wonder just how much pressure the MPAA is putting on the industry to get high penetration. The built in DRMs have to make the MPAA, and if everyone does upgrade to HD TVs and new disks, what effect will it have on media sharing? Will people still download low quality divx'd movies when their TVs are capable of so much more? Will broad band improve to the point that piping a 12gig movie P2P would be acceptable?

      Anyways, I think there is a strong motivation to get significant penetration.

      -Rick

      --
      "Most people in the U.S. wouldn't know they live in a tyrannical state if it walked up and grabbed their junk." - MyFirs
    16. Re:Shocking prediction. by RingDev · · Score: 1

      And that is exactly my point. For the next few years DVDs will still be a common item. Take a look at VHS, here it is, roughly 10 years after DVDs came out, and VHS decks are finally disappearing. And DVD's had a lot of easily definable benefits to the consumer. Better picture quality, no degradation, no eaten tapes, no demagnetizing, added content, etc... HDs and Blue Rays offer improved video quality that the majority of consumers can't currently use.

      So there is very little incentive for a consumer to buy a $24 HD-DVD instead of a $12 DVD if in order to get the sole added benefit of a better picture they are also required to buy a $200 deck and a $1500+ TV.

      I'm not saying HD's will NOT take off, I'm saying it's going to take time. And so long as they are not priced competitively with DVDs and provide an obvious improvement to the consumer, there sales will likely be slow.

      -Rick

      --
      "Most people in the U.S. wouldn't know they live in a tyrannical state if it walked up and grabbed their junk." - MyFirs
    17. Re:Shocking prediction. by RingDev · · Score: 1

      If I don't f'ing buy one, and 90% of consumers don't f'ing buy one, then it'll be an f'ing issue for the manufacturers.

      Not saying I won't EVER buy one, just that at the moment DVD's are a more economicly efficient means of entertainment for the average consumer.

      -Rick

      --
      "Most people in the U.S. wouldn't know they live in a tyrannical state if it walked up and grabbed their junk." - MyFirs
    18. Re:Shocking prediction. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually, I believe all content on an NTSC DVD is 720x480. If the material is widescreen, you have a higher density of lines vertically than you would if it was 4:3 material, which results in a sharper looking picture. Also, I believe the standard is to encode the material as interlaced on the disc, which is why you need progressive scan capable players or fancy line-doublers/deinterlacers to get the most out of your EDTV/HDTV.

    19. Re:Shocking prediction. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      And the average consumer wouldn't have much use for my car. It weighs less than a ton, barely holds two people (forget about luggage), and it cost $50K, despite the fact that it was built by the British, who are notoriously bad at building road-worthy vehicles. Sure, it does an amazing job of sticking to the road and gets me to 60 in about 4.5 seconds, but is that really important to the average consumer?


      What the hell do you drive? One of the Two Fat Ladies http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0609603221/103-00 73803-9391855?v=glance&n=283155 after an all night Bubble&Squeek binge?
    20. Re:Shocking prediction. by reedsr · · Score: 1

      only 4.5? for 50k you got ripped

      --
      "Is Sausage bad for printers?"
    21. Re:Shocking prediction. by plague3106 · · Score: 1

      Unless the law is changed though, ALL TV will be HD in a few years. I know, your set will not suddenly stop working, but I have a feeling there WILL be a big push to get HDTVs as that deadline gets closer, which should drive the price of a new set down.

    22. Re:Shocking prediction. by pyros · · Score: 1
      The other point is that people who try to tell you that CD prices haven't gone down are, quite simply, lying to you.

      They haven't gone down anywhere near as much as the cost to produce them has. I would venture a guess that the profit margins are as good or better than they were 20 years ago.

    23. Re:Shocking prediction. by RingDev · · Score: 1

      Not quite. All BROADCAST will be HD. The deadline has already past twice I believe, it just keeps getting extended anyways. Anyone who uses Cable or Satellite will be completely unaffected by the change. Even those people who do depend on OTA TV Broadcast will be able to get a HT->Standard adapter for next to nothing thanks to the government subsidies.

      It's going to be a while before HD TVs hold the majority of the market share.

      -Rick

      --
      "Most people in the U.S. wouldn't know they live in a tyrannical state if it walked up and grabbed their junk." - MyFirs
    24. Re:Shocking prediction. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      um yeah, who can forget the shocking advances in plastic production that have happened over the last decade

      and you do know where plastic comes from don't you? not like there's been any changes in the cost of crude right?

      just because something is true generally doesn't mean it applies to everything

    25. Re:Shocking prediction. by kidgenius · · Score: 1

      Sounds like one of two cars. Either an Elise, or something from TVR.

    26. Re:Shocking prediction. by plague3106 · · Score: 1

      True, they may extend the deadline again. I wasn't aware that USA network, for example, would not be required to send HD content; that doesn't make a whole lot of sense. I know, its the gov't..

      RE: HD -> SD converters, yes, they will have these for people that just don't want to throw away an existing set. But when it comes time to buy a new one, I think people will opt for the HD (especially if a lot of stations are now broadcasting in HD). Personally if most stations were HD and I had to buy a new set, i wouldn't get an SD, b/c I'd feel like I'm wasting my money on the cable (assuming most of its offering are then HD).

    27. Re:Shocking prediction. by 6*7 · · Score: 1

      480i isn't acceptable even today. Please stop buying that crap and thus giving distributors the incentive to release interlaced DVDs.

    28. Re:Shocking prediction. by 6*7 · · Score: 1

      There are enough crappy interlaced DVDs out there. I'd consider that 480i.

    29. Re:Shocking prediction. by shark72 · · Score: 1

      "They haven't gone down anywhere near as much as the cost to produce them has."

      Most of the price you pay for a CD (or most products, for that matter) goes towards salaries and overhead. Salaries have gone up in the past 20 years, as have overhead items such as electricity, shipping, and the like. You're correct that the manufacturing cost of the plastic has gone down, but that's a very small small slice of the pie. It's the old COG vs. NCOS, gross-vs-net thing that makes the retail business so fun.

      FWIW, based on my experience in buying pressed data CDs in qty and watching the pricing falling over the years, my educated guess is that the cost of the CD/jewel case/booklet has remained a constant of about 10% of the retail price of the CD. (Cue the "so they're making 90% margin!" idiots in three, two, one...)

      "I would venture a guess that the profit margins are as good or better than they were 20 years ago."

      Agreed, I think they're about the same. CD prices have been in freefall over the past couple of years, but I think that's a correction for overcharging during the late 90's boom, and the net margin over time is largely flat. Similarly, profit margins on cars, clothing, and lots of other products have also remained the same over time. Nothing wrong with that.

      --
      Sitting in my day care, the art is decopainted.
    30. Re:Shocking prediction. by evilviper · · Score: 1
      Not saying I won't EVER buy one, just that at the moment DVD's are a more economicly efficient means of entertainment for the average consumer.

      Actually, VHS is far more "economically effecient" (read: cheap), yet people are willing to pay more to get "DVD's" (read: better).

      --
      Slashdot gets worse every day... Pipedot: News for nerds, without the corporate slant
    31. Re:Shocking prediction. by evilviper · · Score: 1
      Take a look at VHS, here it is, roughly 10 years after DVDs came out, and VHS decks are finally disappearing. And DVD's had a lot of easily definable benefits to the consumer. Better picture quality, no degradation, no eaten tapes, no demagnetizing, added content, etc...

      And DVDs had a lot of easily definable drawbacks to the consumer as well. Easily scratched and destroyed, needs more careful handling, extremely expensive to backup/copy (for the first several years), forced FBI warnings/trailers. No easy method to cut-out those FBI warnings/trailers. etc.

      HDs and Blue Rays offer improved video quality that the majority of consumers can't currently use.

      Guess what, the vast majority of consumers don't need to demand a product. A solid minority can make a product vastly profitable quite well.

      So there is very little incentive for a consumer to buy a $24 HD-DVD instead of a $12 DVD if in order to get the sole added benefit of a better picture they are also required to buy a $200 deck and a $1500+ TV.

      Bullshit. HDTVs start at about $400 RIGHT NOW, and are getting cheaper all the time. 50"+ HDTVs are only $1,000, so you clearly pulled $1500 out of your ass.

      Also, as for features other than picture quality, you'll also have better sound (likely lossless), much more space for extras, far more advanced menu system, unscratchable discs, etc.

      Last but not least, it doesn't matter that HDTVs are more expensive. In a year or two, you won't be able to buy a NON-HD TV. Unless standard TVs last forever, the market for HD content will build itself, irrespective of Blu-ray/HD-DVD. Also, don't count the percentage of HDTVs vs standard TVs, count the number of households with HDTVs. Even if the TV in your den, kitchen, bedroom, et al., is standard, you've still got an HDTV in your living room. I'd dare say a large number of people are already capable of watching HD at home, whether one of their TVs in their homes, or on their computer monitor (most can display at least 1920x1080).

      I'm not saying HD's will NOT take off, I'm saying it's going to take time. And so long as they are not priced competitively with DVDs and provide an obvious improvement to the consumer, there sales will likely be slow.

      Congratulations, you've managed to backpedal enough that you've said absolutely nothing at all. That's what I call +5 Insightful!
      --
      Slashdot gets worse every day... Pipedot: News for nerds, without the corporate slant
    32. Re:Shocking prediction. by RingDev · · Score: 1

      Are VHSs cheaper at this point? It's getting harder to even find VHS gear. And the reason I wasn't including them in the comparison is that I've already explained how a DVD provides a significant improvement to the consumer with out a large investment.

      VHS - Crappy Quality - Tiny/No Investment (existing VHS deck and TV)
      DVD - Improved Quality and features - Minimum Investment (new $100 player)

      HD/BlueRay - DVD Quality, no new features - Moderate Investment (new $200 player and more expencive disks)

      HD/BlueRay - Higher Quality, no new features - Large Investment (new $200 player, new HD TV, and more expencive disks)

      So IF you already have a HD TV, it's not that bad of a deal, it's still more expencive then DVDs, but you get the better quality. If you don't have an HD TV (like the majority of consumers) then there is no advantage to HD/BlueRay over DVDs.

      -Rick

      --
      "Most people in the U.S. wouldn't know they live in a tyrannical state if it walked up and grabbed their junk." - MyFirs
    33. Re:Shocking prediction. by evilviper · · Score: 1
      Are VHSs cheaper at this point?

      Yes, by far. Generally almost half what the DVD costs.

      And the reason I wasn't including them in the comparison is that I've already explained how a DVD provides a significant improvement to the consumer with out a large investment.
      [...]
      If you don't have an HD TV (like the majority of consumers) then there is no advantage to HD/BlueRay over DVDs.

      Yes, and I've already explained how you're just simply completely wrong: http://slashdot.org/comments.pl?sid=176819&cid=146 81203
      --
      Slashdot gets worse every day... Pipedot: News for nerds, without the corporate slant
    34. Re:Shocking prediction. by MBGMorden · · Score: 1

      When VHS first came out that was the case, but VHS movies were on the shelves (and relatively cheap) for years before DVD's hit the scene. They were already down to $10-15 by the time DVD's were selling for $20-25. That "back in the day" where VHS tapes were $60-70 was closer to 1988 than 1998.

      --
      "People who think they know everything are very annoying to those of us who do."-Mark Twain
    35. Re:Shocking prediction. by tepples · · Score: 1

      Buy your movies on standard DVDs.

      Until new releases stop coming out on DVD. There are already quite a few new releases that you just can't get on VHS.

    36. Re:Shocking prediction. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Your argument in disingenuous. You're purposely comparing the bleeding-edge, new technology, 1983 price of CDs, and ignoring the history inbetween. When they became mainstream, they were *much* cheaper. CDs didn't hit department stores in my area until 1987. By 1990, they were typically $10 for a new release. A double disc set was about twice that.

      Then, quite suddenly, the prices fluctuated. I remember not re-buying Floyd's The Wall on CD, because I thought $19 was too steep. This is in the day when records were $10 and cassettes were $8. That particular title topped out at about $30 by the end of the 1990s. Now it's in the mid-$20 range.

      -

      You're also purposely misrepresenting the cost argument. The point they're making is that CD prices went up while the cost to produce them (including in the studio) went way down. I watched as the average price of a CD in my area went from $10 to $20. CDs are and were LOADS cheaper to mass produce than records or tapes, especially considering they were the dominant media format.

      Perhaps people cannot dictate what an RIAA member can charge, but consumers aren't so stupid that they can't make a value comparison and determine that something's amiss when a CD is $17, and a dual-layer, special-edition DVD is $15.

      And since you covered every item on your RIAA talking points checklist:

      * Compare the in-store price of new releases. When I say $10, I mean, a newly released, hot-selling title was $10.

      * My total budget for fuel dropped more that 2/3 when I bought a newer, more efficient car.

      * Food is about the same. Where are you shopping?

      * Clothes are actually cheaper now that they were in the late 80s. Where are you shopping?

    37. Re:Shocking prediction. by damsa · · Score: 1

      VHSs were 10 - 15 by the time it came out to Walmart. But if you remember, you were able to rent movies at Blockbuster before you can buy it at Walmart. That's because initial shipment of movies were much more expensive, and once the rental market was taken care of, then the distributors lowered the prices. I believe that's where the phrase priced to own came from.

    38. Re:Shocking prediction. by radish · · Score: 1

      No. All OTA broadcast TV will be digital.

      OTA != All TV
      Digital != HDTV

      --

      ---- Den ene knappen er powerknapp, den andre er Bender voice knapp "Bite My Shiny Metal Ass"

    39. Re:Shocking prediction. by RingDev · · Score: 1

      "Congratulations, you've managed to backpedal enough that you've said absolutely nothing at all. That's what I call +5 Insightful!"

      Okay Ass clown, remember way back up at the top of this thread where I said:

      "Nah, prices will come down because they will have to compete against standard DVDs for quite a few years (until HD TV penetration gets significantly higher)."

      That is not a freaking back pedal, that is a reiteration of the exact same damn point.

      "And DVDs had a lot of easily definable drawbacks to the consumer as well."

      Kind of, yes, they scratch relatively easy, but they come with cases. And they are significantly more resiliant to physical shock (like dropping) then VHS. And VHS was extremely expensive to copy to begin with also (similar to copying BlueRays in the near future I would imagine). And what happened? Over a period of 10 years, DVDs have (almost) completely replaced VHS.

      "Bullshit. HDTVs start at about $400 RIGHT NOW"

      True, you can get a bargain basement el-crapola 24" HD-TV with out a Tuner card. Jumping up a few inches and adding a tuner will get you into the $600-$700 range. A Cheap 48" + DLP projection is going to run you $1700+. A 42" LCD is going to be $2750+. And you won't find a 50" Plasma for under $3000. So I'm pretty sure it is your numbers that are coated in anal grease.

      "Also, as for features other than picture quality, you'll also have better sound (likely lossless), much more space for extras, far more advanced menu system, unscratchable discs, etc."

      My DVD has dts 7.1, if it is lossey my ears can't detect it. And what do I want advanced menus for? I want to be able to press play and watch my movie.

      "Last but not least, it doesn't matter that HDTVs are more expensive. In a year or two, you won't be able to buy a NON-HD TV."

      Which is exactly the point I started with. HD content WILL become the standard, BUT for now, it needs to compete against SD and DVDs, and for the majority of consumers, prices are too high. So prices will drop, that's the joy of supply/demand. Manufacturers are reving up production, but consumer interest will be low while the marginal cost is higher then the benefit they recieve.

      -Rick

      --
      "Most people in the U.S. wouldn't know they live in a tyrannical state if it walked up and grabbed their junk." - MyFirs
    40. Re:Shocking prediction. by swilver · · Score: 1

      As long as CD's are more expensive than their audio tape counterparts, I will continue believing that CD's are overpriced.

    41. Re:Shocking prediction. by evilviper · · Score: 2, Interesting
      Actually, I believe all content on an NTSC DVD is 720x480.

      Errr, ummm. Yeah, that's basically true. All DVDs an average person buys will be 720x480. However, the standard also allows for eg. 352x480 video in MPEG-1, PCM audio, etc. Still, you'll never see anything like that from a major studio, which is where most everyone buys DVDs.

      If the material is widescreen, you have a higher density of lines vertically than you would if it was 4:3 material, which results in a sharper looking picture.

      Not unless you've got a display that is higher-res than a TV. It really amazes me the number of television myths there are. A TV is low enough res that you can actually get close to a reasonably large one, and manually COUNT the pixels.

      Also, I believe the standard is to encode the material as interlaced on the disc,

      No, no, no. Just completely wrong. I'd say something like 95% of movies are just pure, 100% progressive. Nothing at all interlaced.

      which is why you need progressive scan capable players or fancy line-doublers/deinterlacers to get the most out of your EDTV/HDTV.

      Line-doublers have nothing to do with interlacing, and only to do with how well your TV upscales, versus how well your expensive progressive-scan DVD player upscales.

      Progressive-scan players are needed because:

      A) the circuitry in normal DVD players outputs each field seperately, one field after the other, rather than both fields together (even on fully progressive material).

      B) things like TV shows on DVD are encoded as interlaced, and need to be deinterlaced for progressive display. You really don't get any benefit to deinterlacing if your display is a CRT or something else that can natively display interlaced video. However, it makes all the difference on things like Plasmas, LCDs, etc (EDTV).

      C) some content is either fully or partially hard-telecined. That means while it is fully progressive, it's gone through the 3:2 pulldown process, and been encoded as interlaced fields. There's really no reason at all for studios to do this, but for some reason, they do... Because hard telecine patterns vary, it is very difficult to reverse, and very advanced hardware is needed.

      Actually, PROPER (motion adaptive) deinterlacing is harder than "inverse telecine"/"pulldown reversal"/"3:2 pullup", but truth is, proper deinterlacing is uncommon, and simple deinterlacing is quite easy, whereas even the most simple and glitchy inverse telecine process is difficult.
      --
      Slashdot gets worse every day... Pipedot: News for nerds, without the corporate slant
    42. Re:Shocking prediction. by RingDev · · Score: 1

      I hate to prove you completely wrong but... wait, I don't have proving you completely wrong, it's kinda entertaining in an "I'm better than you" kind of way.

      Here are 2 links to amazon.com. both for the movie "War of the Worlds" (the most resent version). On VHS the movie costs $28.49, on DVD the movie costs $19.99. Now, those are both mark down prices, and both "retail" (like anyone pays this value) for $29.99.

      http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/tg/detail/-/B000 BCDV6M/ref=pd_sxp_grid_i_0_0/104-0805114-4803903?_ encoding=UTF8&v=glance
      http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/B00005JNTI/ref=pd _sxp_grid_i_1_2/104-0805114-4803903?_encoding=UTF8 &v=glance&n=130

      -Rick

      --
      "Most people in the U.S. wouldn't know they live in a tyrannical state if it walked up and grabbed their junk." - MyFirs
    43. Re:Shocking prediction. by joshsisk · · Score: 1

      This won't happen as long as demand for DVDs is strong. Titles aren't released on VHS because the studios don't think enough people will buy them to make it profitable, not because the studios have a particular love for DVD.

      Once the majority of consumers start buying media on whichever new format "wins", DVD releases will start to become more rare. That will take several years, though.

    44. Re:Shocking prediction. by joshsisk · · Score: 1

      The price of making CDs has actually come down significantly in the last 10 years... probably by 75% or so. I probably get 3000 or so CDs made each year, and every time I get a batch made, they are cheaper for basically the same service.

      Mostly (I would assume) this is due to competition in the marketplace, and cheaper CD manufacturing equipment, not the raw materials.

    45. Re:Shocking prediction. by evilviper · · Score: 1
      Okay Ass clown

      Good. Get angry and start name calling. Wonderful approach. It doesn't matter than you're completely wrong, or that you have no facts to back up your claims. Just keep name calling. That will help you out a lot.

      True, you can get a bargain basement el-crapola 24" HD-TV with out a Tuner card.

      I wouldn't call Samsung/Toshiba/etc "el-crapola".

      Jumping up a few inches and adding a tuner will get you into the $600-$700 range.

      You don't need a tuner to watch DVDs, HD-DVDs, Blu-ray discs, etc. 95% (guestimate) of the TV watching public, have cable or satellite service, and will have no use at all for a tuner anyhow.

      And you won't find a 50" Plasma for under $3000.

      That's funny, because I just found a 50" plasma for $2,600, without even trying: http://www.bestbuy.com/site/olspage.jsp?skuId=7335 485&type=product&productCategoryId=pcmcat318000500 28&id=1118845474347
      Refresh my memory, 2600 is under 3000, correct?

      Also without trying, I found that Best Buy has a 52" RCA HDTV for $1,099, and their website prices are usually higher than in-store prices:
      http://www.bestbuy.com/site/olspage.jsp?skuId=7196 465&type=product&productCategoryId=pcmcat318000500 29&id=1112808997179
      Those spending more on ultra-flat LCD/Plasma screens, aren't doing so just so they can watch HD-DVDs/Blu-ray. Counting them is like saying that people need to buy a new $50,000 luxury car to drive to their job at McDonalds...

      My DVD has dts 7.1, if it is lossey my ears can't detect it.

      It certainly is, and I'm quite sure you haven't done any double-blind tests to see if the uncompressed PCM audio sounds better. So this is just a completely irrational, nonsensical statement.

      And what do I want advanced menus for? I want to be able to press play and watch my movie.

      DVDs have a lot of extra content, and better menus would make it more interesting, and easier to use. Besides, DVDs aren't just for movies. Think of Blu-ray encylopedias, educational discs with interactive content, games, and many many more possibilites.
      --
      Slashdot gets worse every day... Pipedot: News for nerds, without the corporate slant
    46. Re:Shocking prediction. by evilviper · · Score: 1

      Yeah, your single anecdotal case is wonderful proof.

      Amazon is a terrible comparison. You need to actually compare in-store prices, and not just when the movie has just been released.

      --
      Slashdot gets worse every day... Pipedot: News for nerds, without the corporate slant
    47. Re:Shocking prediction. by Lehk228 · · Score: 1

      have you ever taken a course in economics?

      tapes are cheap because many people don't even have cassette players anymore and even those that do have them don't want tapes

      --
      Snowden and Manning are heroes.
    48. Re:Shocking prediction. by swilver · · Score: 1
      So economically speaking, there are MUCH more CD's sold than tapes, so since CD's can be more massively produced, they should be cheaper, is that what you are saying?

      What I was saying however was that tapes have always been cheaper than CD's, even when tapes where still more popular than CD's, and still are today (even though they're alot less popular now). I find that odd since tapes are far more expensive to produce in mass quantities than CD's.

    49. Re:Shocking prediction. by RingDev · · Score: 1

      Okay, so no amazon, how about Walmart? Millions of people shop at Walmart. Surely the worlds largest retailer is an acceptable source of multiple pieces of anecdotal evidence.

      Polar Express
        DVD: 10.88 (16.97)
        VHS: 18.28 (22.99)

      Charlie and the Chocolate Factory
        DVD: 13.72 (20.98)
        VHS: 20.58 (22.95)

      The Constant Gardener
        DVD: 18.88 (29.98)
        VHS: 20.48 (29.98)

      Players: (from bestbuy)
        VHS: 66.99 (kinda hard to find just a stripped down VHS player)
        DVD: 39.99 (el cheap-o model)

      And just for fun(from BestBuy), Blanks
        VHS: 1.83 (10.99 for a 6 pack standard 120 minute)
        DVD: 0.80 (19.99 for a 25 pack 4x 4.7gb/120 minute)

      So yes, I can see how VHS tapes are half the cost of DVDs and anyone interested in saving money is still using VHS.

      -Rick

      --
      "Most people in the U.S. wouldn't know they live in a tyrannical state if it walked up and grabbed their junk." - MyFirs
    50. Re:Shocking prediction. by evilviper · · Score: 1
      Surely the worlds largest retailer is an acceptable source of multiple pieces of anecdotal evidence.

      Sure are! Take a digital camera when you walk over there and look at the prices.
      --
      Slashdot gets worse every day... Pipedot: News for nerds, without the corporate slant
    51. Re:Shocking prediction. by meringuoid · · Score: 1
      despite the fact that it was built by the British, who are notoriously bad at building road-worthy vehicles

      Now, come on. We can build cars just fine. We just can't run car companies. Once owned by foreigners (whether Japanese, German, or even the bloody colonials) British car manufacturing goes really well.

      --
      Real Daleks don't climb stairs - they level the building.
    52. Re:Shocking prediction. by RingDev · · Score: 1

      Yeah how about not. You see those prices in parenthesis, those are the actual retail list price, or the amount you would pay in a store with no incentives.

      I can show you prices from three of the largest retailers (Walmart, BestBuy, and Amazon.com), I can show you their full retail price, and I can show you their actual online price. What I can't show you is a single VHS tape that is cheaper then the same video on DVD. Sure, there may be a handful out there, but I haven't seen any.

      In any case, this is way off my original point, HD-DVDs will come down in price to be competitive with SD-DVDs. And it will take time for them to become the new standard medium.

      -Rick

      --
      "Most people in the U.S. wouldn't know they live in a tyrannical state if it walked up and grabbed their junk." - MyFirs
  4. not surprising ... by jest3r · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Nothings cheap when its first released. I remember buying 1x blank CD's for $13 a long long time ago ... give it a couple years and prices will drop.

    1. Re:not surprising ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ya, $13 coasters were always fun.

    2. Re:not surprising ... by NewStarRising · · Score: 1

      With a reliability rate of about 1 in 4!

      Blank DVDs £25 each. At least they tended to work.

      Want my prediction for the coming years?

      The price of blank media will fall, and its capacity and quality shall rise.

      Do I get my award now? Or a job in journalism?
      I've got more:

      CPU power will rise, but at a different rate to now.
      Storage capacity of home PCs will continue to outgrow actual usage.
      And for the finale':
      People will carry around devices that allow them to both talk to and see other people, even if they are very far away.

      --
      b3 4phr41d 0f my 4bov3-4v3r4g3 c0mpu73r kn0wI3dg3!
      MadDwarf
    3. Re:not surprising ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Storage capacity of home PCs will continue to outgrow actual usage.

      Meet my pr0n collection...

  5. In other news... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Insightful

    New things that are better than old things cost more than the old things! Quick, grab me some reporters, I've gots me a SCOOP!

  6. Hitch! by Radres · · Score: 5, Funny

    I can't wait to watch Hitch in High-Def! This type of movie is the exact reason why I bought an HDTV!!!

    1. Re:Hitch! by Amouth · · Score: 1

      I don't know if that post should be modded funny or sad.. but they don't give me the sad option

      --
      '...if only "Jumping to a Conclusion" was an event in the Olympics.'
    2. Re:Hitch! by Otter · · Score: 1

      Yup, Eva Mendes in HD! Anyone know when the 2 Fast 2 Furious disc is coming out?

    3. Re:Hitch! by Exit56 · · Score: 1

      Dude the Pizza Dance that Kevin James does in that movie is pure comedy gold..

    4. Re:Hitch! by dthulson · · Score: 1

      So... why exactly did you buy an HDTV?

    5. Re:Hitch! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0


      Didn't you read the previous post?!? Kevin James pizza dance in HD!!!

    6. Re:Hitch! by patmfitz · · Score: 1

      Yeah, you're right, I wouldn't want to see Eva Mendez in high def. Shudder!

    7. Re:Hitch! by generic-man · · Score: 1

      I saw I, Robot, another Sony picture, on HBO-HD recently. It really did look wonderful. With HDTV resolution you can see the sponsor logos reflected in other sponsor logos. It's quite Audi, if I may be so JVC Converse.

      --
      For more information, click here.
  7. Adult Film by SchrodingersRoot · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Judging from the wholesale price, I can only imagine that the retail price will be minimum of $30, depending on how high demand ends up. More likely $40-45, at least for new releases. Store cost for most DVDs when I worked at Circuit City was around $1-3 below retail, and it's been 10 years since DVD spec v1.0.

    I don't have an HD-TV quite yet, since I haven't had to buy a TV in years, but I'm not sure I'll be willing to buy these movies at these prices, had I one. Especially not until there's a much bigger library than the 50ish that are apparently expected this year.

    The real measure of success for the nextgen optical media will likely be the adult film industry (in addition to video game consoles). Everyone talks about gaming, but it would appear that there's going to be a pretty deep divide in consoles.

    And Blu-Ray very well may be the winner in the adult film realm.

    The adult film maker Digital Playground, which claims to control 40 percent of the US adult DVD market and is reported to have sales of $12.6bn in 2005, today told Adult Video News (AVN) that they've decided to support the Blu-ray format and release movies as soon as hardware becomes available.

    1. Re:Adult Film by kisrael · · Score: 1

      I thought I heard that many studios (and some mainstream stars) aren't happy about high-def... skin blemishes and other issues that aren't that visible at regular resolutions become problematic with that level of fine grain.

      Me, I don't care so much. I got a midrange video projector that only goes up to like 800 pixels across. But it still looks decent to me, even when projecting across the room. I'm more interested in the general content than the individual pixel perfectness anyway...

      --
      SO YOU'RE GOING TO DIE: The Comic for Dealing with Death
    2. Re:Adult Film by jimicus · · Score: 1

      The real measure of success for the nextgen optical media will likely be the adult film industry

      So you want to watch some ugly middle aged couple who can only claim to be teenagers because of lots of makeup, careful lighting and poor image quality in high definition with bags of detail?

      Sooner you than me.

    3. Re:Adult Film by drinkypoo · · Score: 2, Funny

      Actually, the next generation of video will be challenging for porn. You'll have enough resolution to see every pimple on every methhead pornslut's ass. They're going to have to do a lot of preprocessing they didn't have to do before to smooth 'em out. Actually, this is a problem with DVD, too; a lot of women who looked great naked on VHS look terrible on DVD.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    4. Re:Adult Film by SchrodingersRoot · · Score: 1

      Pleasepleaseplease, be very careful to note that I didn't say anything about my desires when it comes to adult film. I'm just saying that the industry has an AWFUL lot of money to throw around, and an awful lot of behind-the-scenes clout.
      I'm sure that the high-res format poses some interesting challenges for the adult film industry, too. But those are challenges that will likely have to be overcome at some point. And that's what makeup, digital processing, lighting, camerawork, other tricks that haven't been thought of yet, and yonger models are all about.

      And on the other side of the coin, don't you think there are people who'll want to watch their favorite stars in as excruciating detail as possible? Especially the younger, prettier ones? Even if they're not perfect? If there's one (non-chemical) industry that lends itself to obsession, it's the adult film industry (much like, I don't know, the gaming industry?).

      Plus, I don't know if any of you have noticed, but in my experience, a lot of people aren't particularly picky when it comes to pr0n, especially when it comes to their particular fetish.

      It may mean that standards in the adult film industry get raised. It may mean that people will see things they don't want to see. It may mean that there'll be a bigger divide between professional and amateur/budget quality. There are a lot of potentialities. But there'll be a demand for HD adult film. And it's a big money industry. In fact, if I've heard correctly, they had, I don't know, some influence when it came to the VHS/Beta fight?

    5. Re:Adult Film by djan · · Score: 1

      Solution:

      More vaseline on the camera lens!

    6. Re:Adult Film by nEoN+nOoDlE · · Score: 1

      And Blu-Ray very well may be the winner in the adult film realm.

      BluRay format seems like overkill for porn, since most porn is shot on NTSC res DV cameras these days. Unless a porn film is shot on HD or film cameras, which is a rarity now, there's no point to releasing porn on BluRay. I'm not saying BluRay isn't going to be supported, I'm just asking what's the point? Getting the cost lower has always been a goal of the porn industry, which is why they were early adopters of video in the first place.

      --
      Don't trust a bull's horn, a doberman's tooth, a runaway horse or me.
    7. Re:Adult Film by plover · · Score: 1
      I don't have an HD-TV quite yet

      Well, if you're planning to buy a 50" plasma TV for pr0n, you might want to rethink that decision anyway. A two-and-a-half-foot high picture of a vagina is exactly as appealing as it sounds.

      --
      John
    8. Re:Adult Film by AndreiK · · Score: 1

      I think quantity, not quality is the point here.

  8. Move On Nothing To See by masterpenguin · · Score: 3, Insightful

    What a surprise sony's upping the cost of movies. Perhaps if we're lucky they'll add some new and improved root kit that opens more holes in our systems. Seriously, sonys stratagy is: up price, make everyone rebuy everything for 3 times the price they paid before, screw consumers with stealth software. Yep. Nothing to see.

    1. Re:Move On Nothing To See by JordanL · · Score: 1

      Seriously, sonys stratagy is: up price, make everyone rebuy everything for 3 times the price they paid before, screw consumers with stealth software.

      Or maybe when a corporation is large the people that decide which DRM goes into their music aren't the same people wearing lab coats trying to bring people technology which makes their lives better and easier. :rolls eyes:

      Nah, that almost makes it sound like they aren't an evil-money-grubbing-out-to-cut-your-throat-rape-yo ur-wife-and-steal-your-belongings company.

    2. Re:Move On Nothing To See by GrievousMistake · · Score: 1

      But they all got a say in the disk design... I can't get myself to believe that people from Sony would stand up at content protection hearings and ask "But what about consumer rights?"
      Screw blu-ray. I'm waiting for Google GDisc.

      --
      In a fair world, refrigerators would make electricity.
    3. Re:Move On Nothing To See by JordanL · · Score: 1

      Sony wrote a brief in favor of the defense in MGM vs. Grokster, even though they had a signifigant interest in seeing piracy be squashed.

  9. In Other News: by acid_zebra · · Score: 4, Funny

    Blu-ray Discs Won't Be Bought.

    --
    -- No Sig is a Good Sig
    1. Re:In Other News: by utlemming · · Score: 1

      My thoughts exactly. Considering that quality won't initially be there until after new releases start to come out, why on earth would anyone want to run out and adopt Blu-Ray? I love a high-quality show, but honestly, I am thinking that I am going to wait and see who wins the battle. If I have to buy a new TV, a new DVD player, and then pay out the nose for DVD's, why would I want to adopt Blu-Ray early especially when it is going to battle it out with HD-DVD?

      The other thing I am wondering about is what will this do to the rental market? My wife and I don't like to buy too many movies unless we really like the movie. We rent about half the movies that we watch and buy the other half. But what will this do to rental prices? Is Blockbuster, Hollywood Video or the local video depot going to double their prices due to HD-DVD/Blue-Ray prices?

      I hate to say it, but if Sony, et al, are hoping for consumer adoption, price will be a huge determining factor. Sure quality is important. Entertainment is a nice part of life. But frankly when it comes to putting gas in the car or buying a DVD, I am going to gas in the car. Maybe I am not in the target demographic, but I am thinking that alot of people won't pony up the money when they look at how much the DVD's run. Especially when the older titles that they like aren't going to offer any benefit to them, but they are going to cost them more money.

      --
      The views expressed are mine own and do not express the views of my employer.
    2. Re:In Other News: by PFI_Optix · · Score: 1

      Kind of like HDTVs.

      $400 for an 27" HDTV monitor with no tuner.
      $150 for a comparable 27" analog.

      Those are actual best in-store prices after a day of shopping...there's always someone who has a link to show that there's an HDTV for $xxx cheaper than what I listed, but I couldn't have walked out of a store with it that day so it's not really relevant.

      Two months ago I bought an analog TV because it was cost effective. I have absolutely nothing in my entertainment center that justifies spending $250 more on a TV, as the picture won't be improved at all on my current hardware. I have no intention of running out and buying a new, more expensive video player just so I can buy movies on a new, more expensive video format. 480p looks perfectly fine to me.

      Yes yes, I know a lot of people really are running out and buying HDTVs, but did you notice the first cut-off date for the all-digital switch has come and gone? That's because your average consumer--NOT the ones who own multiple large screens--doesn't want to spend several hundred dollars they don't see a need to spend.

      I'm waiting for HDTV monitors to reach a more realistic price. I figure if I hold out for the same TV I looked at two months ago to get down to $250, I'll break even and have a spare TV. Early adoption is expensive...waiting til a technology is the mainstream standard is far more economical.

      --
      120 characters for a sig? That's bloody useless.
    3. Re:In Other News: by sconeu · · Score: 1

      And the MPAA will blame it on the Evil Content Pirates(tm), thereby demanding even more laws to protect their income.

      --
      General Relativity: Space-time tells matter where to go; Matter tells space-time what shape to be.
    4. Re:In Other News: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      My plan is to buy an HDTV adapter unit for the analog TV once the industry finds it's ass and gets things straightened out. I already have an RF modulator that converts RCA inputs and svideo to coax, so my 15+ year old TV works with my shiny new *DVD* player (that cost $35). RF modulator: less than $30. DVD player: less than $40. Old-ass TV: got it from in-laws plus cost of electricity. New HDTV rig....uh, probably more than $70 + HDTV adapter. Of course, if my old TV breaks...oh, yeah, I have another old TV in the spare bedroom.

      BTW, your comment about early adoption is funny, IMO, because how many more years can HDTV early adoption go on?

    5. Re:In Other News: by brandonbradley · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Another tactic that some are looking to is to play them on a computer monitor. This is especially attractive to those that use their computers for more than email and web surfing, as they are more likely to have hardware that will support HDTV resolutions already. And even if the monitor isn't as large as the big hdtv options out there, having it serve dual purposes makes justifying a upgrade more palletable. The big problem that Blue-Ray is going to have in convincing the computer using audience though is their built in DRM system. For that reason alone I can see many looking more towards the alternative.

    6. Re:In Other News: by Quikah · · Score: 1

      Which analog TV is capable of displaying 480p (especially the $150 price range)? All the lowend non-HD TVs are only 480i that I have seen. Haven't looked in a while though.

      --
      Q.
    7. Re:In Other News: by PFI_Optix · · Score: 1

      It was a Black Friday sale, so the price might be a fair bit lower than normal. It's a Magnavox that was listed as supporting 480p. Not that there's a significant visual difference between i and p to the casual viewer (me) in 99% of what will be seen on TV and in movies.

      --
      120 characters for a sig? That's bloody useless.
    8. Re:In Other News: by TheRaven64 · · Score: 1
      Somewhere inside Sony, this conversation took place:

      Marketroid: I'm not convinced that this BD stuff will take off. How many people actually have HDTVs?
      Tech: Well, a load of people have monitors that can push something close to HD, if not more. We could try pointing this out to people.
      Manager: Wait! We can't let people watch these things on their computer! If we do that, they might copy them! We should make it so you can only watch it on their computer if they buy a new monitor. And graphics card.
      Tech: You do know that you're an idiot, don't you?
      Manager: You're fired.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    9. Re:In Other News: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In Soviet Russia, Blu-Ray discs buy you!

  10. For comparison... by MikeSty · · Score: 0

    .. what is the price of an HD-DVD? Although blu-ray will drop in price, I think HD-DVDs will always be cheaper... or at least for the next few years.

  11. Amazon Star Trek Super-Combo by nmccart · · Score: 1

    "I canna take any moor of this" - (in my best Scotty accent) So, what am I going to have to pay Amazon to re-buy that $1700 Ultimate Star Trek collection, only now in Blu-Ray?? (And yes, I realize that Paramount is not Sony, so don't flame me on that. I am just saying that when the time comes, how pathetic will I have to be to re-buy that in Blu-Ray (possibly on many many less discs)

    --
    Funny sigs make your Karma go down.
    1. Re:Amazon Star Trek Super-Combo by Jerf · · Score: 1

      I am just saying that when the time comes, how pathetic will I have to be to re-buy that in Blu-Ray[?]

      Have you considered... not?

    2. Re:Amazon Star Trek Super-Combo by VIPERsssss · · Score: 1

      How much of that is recorded in HD quality?

      --
      We are eternal, all this pain is an illusion.
    3. Re:Amazon Star Trek Super-Combo by skyman8081 · · Score: 1

      Why? Star Trek is a television show, it was shot and mastered in NTSC, you won't get any appreciable difference with Blu-ray.

      The only place you would is the movies, and there are only four of those worth bothering with. (TWOK, TVH, TUC, FC)

      --
      Two Roommates and a Boyfriend, updates Monday, Wednesday, and Friday
    4. Re:Amazon Star Trek Super-Combo by spot35 · · Score: 2, Informative

      OK, let's do some maths...

      a DVD-18 double sided, double layer on both sides = 17.1 GB

      Ultimate collection comes on 212 discs = 1700/212 = $8 per disc

      Bluray discs (dual layer) are stated to be at least 46GB and at most 54GB

      so, 17*212=3604GB in total for the collection.
      54GB : 6404/54 = 119 discs * 23.45 = $2790.55
      46GB : 6404/46 = 140 discs * 23.45 = $3283

      So, in theory, it'll be way more expensive on BluRay. ** prepares to have maths shown to be wrong **

    5. Re:Amazon Star Trek Super-Combo by spot35 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Doh! I'll prove my own maths wrong

      so, 17*212=3604GB in total for the collection. 54GB : 3604/54 = 67 discs * 23.45 = $1571.15 46GB : 3604/46 = 79 discs * 23.45 = $1852.55

      So initially more expensive, but eventually less.

    6. Re:Amazon Star Trek Super-Combo by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      For Star Trek, the only plus to BluRay will be more episodes per disk. DVD already has four or more episodes per disk...do you really need to watch more than 3 to 4 hours of Trek at a time? Do you really really need the third season of TOS in high-def? Mmmm...dancing space hippies...

    7. Re:Amazon Star Trek Super-Combo by neuromancer2701 · · Score: 1

      Not unless I could get each season on a single Disc. 26 straight episodes of TNG w/o getting off the couch

      --
      "If you like Battlestar Galactica, you're probably a huge nerd." -Stephen Colbert
    8. Re:Amazon Star Trek Super-Combo by stringycheese · · Score: 1

      17*212=3604GB in total for the collection

      Unless they release the Bluray set with better resolution in which case it will take up a whole lot more than 3604GB and a whole lot more discs than you are talking about.

    9. Re:Amazon Star Trek Super-Combo by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The biggest flaw I can see is the assumption that the DVDs are double sided. I haven't bought any Star Trek DVDs because they range from being too expensive to far too expensive, but the only double sided DVDs I've seen are cheepo ones that put two movies on one disc.

      That isn't to say there is any chance they'll be any cheaper on Blu-Ray discs because the industry just doesn't work like that, they'll always charge more if they can.

  12. Solution to expensive DVDs by Colin+Smith · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Don't buy them...

    --
    Deleted
    1. Re:Solution to expensive DVDs by Bob3141592 · · Score: 1

      It's not just a question of will I pay more for BluRay, it's also a question of will I pay anything for a Sony product.

      That's an easy answer. No.

      --
      In theory, there's no difference between theory and practice. In practice, there is.
    2. Re:Solution to expensive DVDs by ZachPruckowski · · Score: 1

      That sounds like a plan, until the MPAA refuses to do DVD releases any more. If they only release on Blu-Ray or HD-DVD, people will switch or lose content (or pirate). Shortly there-after, they stop selling new DVD players at major stores, and you'll have a harder and harder time tracking one down on EBay. Then by 2015, it'll be almost impossible to find a stand-alone DVD player. And by then, most computers will be treating DVD drives like floppy disks. By that point, once your old computer or DVD player break down, you almost have to upgrade your collection to Blu-Ray.

    3. Re:Solution to expensive DVDs by owlstead · · Score: 1

      Rules of Movie Buying:
      Rule 1: Don't buy it.
      Rule 2 (for experts only): Don't buy it yet.

    4. Re:Solution to expensive DVDs by Fujisawa+Sensei · · Score: 1

      And watch the govt levy more taxes against recording/digital media.

      http://www.virtualrecordings.com/ahra.htm Section 1003 - Section 1008

      They may even levy internet connections, because of broadband being used to propagate piracy.,/p>

      These levies will be justified because sales couldn't possibly go down, it must be due to digital piracy. And Congress, being indebted to the entertainment industry will once again stick it to their constituants and side with business.

      --
      If someone is passing you on the right, you are an asshole for driving in the wrong lane.
    5. Re:Solution to expensive DVDs by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I wonder what kind of costs there will be to rent these disks? Probably > DVD, but how much? Will they even be available for rental anytime soon?

  13. Hitch!?!? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Redundant
    Some of the movies to be released in the first batch by Sony are The Fifth Element, Desperado, Hitch, House of Flying Daggers, Legends of the Fall, and Terminator.

    Hitch?!? Are you kidding me? Anyone who shells out $35 or $40 buck for Hitch deserves to have Sony's big old chubby pokin em in their nether regions. I mean if they offered you Dukes of Hazzard for $50 I bet you would bend over and take that one too.

    1. Re:Hitch!?!? by devilsadvoc8 · · Score: 1

      Same goes for 5th Element. Other than Terminator, what a lineup of CRAP. They must be desperate to try to break even on those steaming piles of dung. By only releasing those on Blu-ray at first, you are going to get sales of them over quality since that is all that is out there.

      Hmmm, I just bought my first Blu-ray at Best Circuit. Lets wander over to the Blu-Ray dvd aisle to pick up my first movie. Desperadoes? Pass. House of Flying what? Pass. Hmmm, Terminator sold out. 5th Element? Well the chick was hot, and I guess I could freeze frame it. OK.

      --
      B O R I N G
    2. Re:Hitch!?!? by Kuscheltier · · Score: 1

      > Well the chick was hot, and I guess I could freeze frame it. OK.

      Just saved myself 20 bucks :>
      http://www.iballer.com/divas/jovovich/images/j12_j pg.jpg

    3. Re:Hitch!?!? by geekoid · · Score: 1

      5th element will look great in HD.
      Of course, I liked it. No it wasn't a 'great' movie, but it was a great popcorn movie.

      I will be interesting to see what change Lucas makes to SW for this format.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    4. Re:Hitch!?!? by hunterx11 · · Score: 1

      Fifth Element was not only a good movie, but it was visually engaging enough to be a prime candidate for an HD release. In fact, the Superbit DVD release of Fifth Element is widely considered to have some of the best picture quality of any DVD.

      --
      English is easier said than done.
    5. Re:Hitch!?!? by eyepeepackets · · Score: 1

      Agree strongly with you on this.

      The Fifth Element has a good story line, is well written, is beautifully filmed and is serious/sad/funny and profound all at the same time. It's one of the very best "Action Films" ever made.

      And yes, the Superbit release is very high quality.

      --
      Everything in the Universe sucks: It's the law!
    6. Re:Hitch!?!? by Scooter's_dad · · Score: 1

      And I thought it was agonizing to sit through. Guess that's what makes the world go 'round (hey, I'm no physicist).

      --
      The road to hell is paved with Cat 5 cable.
    7. Re:Hitch!?!? by bohemian72 · · Score: 1

      House of Flying Daggers is a visually beautiful movie with a very rich color palette. I can understand this being a candidate for a HD format. It's a pretty good movie all around.

      --
      The greatest thing you'll ever learn is just to love and be loved in return.
    8. Re:Hitch!?!? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wholeheartedly seconded --
      House of Flying Daggers was a beatiful film.

      Then again, I'm a sucker for Kung Fu flicks (especially these new stylish ones) and Zhang Ziyi.

  14. why is slashdot promoting Verizon??? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Insightful

    Just the other day the community was blasting Verizon for thinking about extorting Google. Now Verizon is providing Slashdot readers with sneak previews of article postings. Is there an alternative to Slashdot?

    1. Re:why is slashdot promoting Verizon??? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
  15. superior tech VS very similar established tech by J-1000 · · Score: 0, Redundant

    I smell Betamax 2.0.

    1. Re:superior tech VS very similar established tech by J-1000 · · Score: 1

      I should correct myself. VHS VS Betamax might be better compared with DVD VS DivX, since the competing products were released around the same time. But I still smell something.

  16. So... by MaestroSartori · · Score: 0

    ...new technology costs more than old? Bigger disks cost less than smaller? What exactly is the news in this news?

    1. Re:So... by SchrodingersRoot · · Score: 1

      When I was scanning by this, I misread "Bigger disks cost less than smaller?"
      I was gonna ask you where, praytell, you shop.

      I think the news of the determined wholesale price is useful, however. It gives us info with which we'll be able to compare.

      I mean, there are predicted, apparently, 40-50 titles for Blu-Ray this year, and I think there were like, 86 announced for HD-DVD at CES. I haven't heard any price estimates for HD-DVD yet.

      And of course it's going to cost more for Blu-Ray than DVDs. However, the steep divide in price, with a potential doubling of price between a DVD copy and a Blu-Ray copy of a movie, is notable. I'm not sure how many people will think it's worth it.

  17. Summary drops some relevant info by Miraba · · Score: 5, Interesting

    According to TFA, new titles will receive the $23.45 wholesale price. Older (ie less popular) titles will have a $17.95 wholesale price.

    1. Re:Summary drops some relevant info by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 1

      In other words, the premium for new movies will be close to the cost of the movie on DVD.

      The price seems way too high to make it in the mass market. Anyone that buys one of these things is going to look like a gearhead/idiot when you can get 99% of the quality for a third of the price on DVD.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    2. Re:Summary drops some relevant info by cens0r · · Score: 1

      How is 480i 99% of the quality of 1080i?

      --
      Jack Valenti and Orrin Hatch will be first up against the wall when the revolution comes.
    3. Re:Summary drops some relevant info by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Blu-Ray encodes at 1080p not 1080i

    4. Re:Summary drops some relevant info by ZachPruckowski · · Score: 1

      >>How is 480i 99% of the quality of 1080i? How many people have HDTVs with the right content protection? Like no one. Besides, you need a really big screen to notice the difference anyways.

    5. Re:Summary drops some relevant info by cens0r · · Score: 1

      While that is true, there are very few TV's that accept a 1080p single, so I'm using 1080i as a much more likely scenerio.

      --
      Jack Valenti and Orrin Hatch will be first up against the wall when the revolution comes.
    6. Re:Summary drops some relevant info by cens0r · · Score: 1

      Almost every HDTV sold in the last few years has the right content protection, and I don't think you can buy one now that doesn't. I start to notice the difference at 27" and at 32" the difference is HUGE. That's why I'm buying a 32" HDTV to replace my 32" SDTV.

      --
      Jack Valenti and Orrin Hatch will be first up against the wall when the revolution comes.
    7. Re:Summary drops some relevant info by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 1

      Dude- I've looked at dvd side by side with HD.
      Sure- it's better. But it's not 1080/480 % better.

      DVD is good enough and it is a fraction of the price. The mass market is not going for something grossly more expensive.

      And comparing the prices $17.99 for an old movie vs $4.99 is a 400% price increase (not including the $790 player vs the $79 player). For first run $60 retail (likely) vs $20 retail is a 300% increase.

      Why should I be blowing thousands of dollars for a tv set and dvds (most of which I already own) when I could be going to Europe, taking -two- extra ski trips, buying a brand new state of the art gaming box with the savings?

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    8. Re:Summary drops some relevant info by PW2 · · Score: 1

      DVDs look ok (not great) on my 32" LCD TV and look worse on the projector I use. Luckily I get good use out of the LCD TV by using it as a computer monitor and for viewing the free over-the-air digital/HD content (~8 channels) in Atlanta. It is very easy to notice the quality issues of current DVD technology on non-CRT TVs. Luckily, persistance of vision kicks in and I don't notice as much after watching a DVD for 5 minutes. More people will care about DVD quality when these LCD TVs get cheaper and sold at Walmart.

    9. Re:Summary drops some relevant info by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "The price seems way too high to make it in the mass market. Anyone that buys one of these things is going to look like a gearhead/idiot when you can get 99% of the quality for a third of the price on DVD."

      People said the same when I bought my first dvd player. Most dvd movies retailed for $30-$35. VHS at that point was often $15-$20. This price isn't high at all and seems perfectly in line for a new product on day one. Heck, even if the discs were $5 it still wouldn't be mass market because a new player is required. It took dvd many years to become mass market (what, say 5-7 or something?) and that was one of the quickest technology adoptions ever; so I don't know how one could expect this to be mass market anytime soon.

  18. Great Strategy by rothic · · Score: 3, Funny

    Great strategy. Switch up the format every decade or so and obsolete the old hardware so that people have to keep buying the same movie over and voer again if they want tomaintain a viewable collection.

    On another note, I still buy VHS every chance I get. At least when a HVS tape gets a little worn out it just keeps on going with some blips and squiggly lines instead of just.......stopping and displaying a "Can't Read" error.

    1. Re:Great Strategy by Stripe7 · · Score: 1

      That is why we are supposed to be able to legally make backup copies of what we buy. A right DRM is taking away from us forcing us to repurchase what we already bought. Kind of odd, with software you buy it is a license to use not an actual purchase, which means if you lose the CD's with the DRM on it and you cannot play the game anymore is the game manufacturer required to supply you with another? You purchased a license to use the software but they made it so you cannot use it without the CD. With the DRM on these new disks, they can also limit your view time back to the days of the original Dvix. They go one more step further than Divx, they can not only expire your movie, they can expire your player!

    2. Re:Great Strategy by GeorgeMcBay · · Score: 1


      On another note, I still buy VHS every chance I get. At least when a HVS tape gets a little worn out it just keeps on going with some blips and squiggly lines instead of just.......stopping and displaying a "Can't Read" error.


      Yeah but the VHS tape is guaranteed to wear out eventually just from use whereas the DVD will last virtually forever if well maintained.

  19. HD-DVD vs Blu-Ray by FalconZero · · Score: 3, Informative

    I should point out that "Sony Blu-Ray HD DVDs" is probabyly a bad phrase to use, as the main competetor to 'Blu-Ray' is 'HD-DVD' (Yes, HD applies to Blu-Ray too).
    With regard to the competition, ZDNet has coverage of Blu-Rays expected cost compared to HD-DVD based on the retooling cost, which experts expect could be up to $1 billion worldwide for Blu-Ray, and one tenth of that for HD-DVD (Which relies on pretty simmilar technology to existing DVDs).

    One other point which may help out HD-DVD is the materiel cost. HD-DVD uses the the same materiels as DVD, whereas Blu-Ray uses a "high-tech film layer currently produced only by Sony."

    What might be most damaging for Blu-Ray however, is Microsoft's direct support for HD-DVD. They've already announced that Longhorn will support HD-DVD, and the XBox360 will be recieving an HD-DVD addon. (Its in various news sources that I won't ref here).

    This may be a Betamax type thing where the technically superiour device doesn't win due to corporate activity.

    Obligitory wikipedia links:
    Blu-Ray
    HD DVD
    Betamax

    --
    Windows in 6 Bytes (IA-32) : 90 90 90 90 CD 19
    1. Re:HD-DVD vs Blu-Ray by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Blu-Rays expected cost compared to HD-DVD based on the retooling cost, which experts expect could be up to $1 billion worldwide for Blu-Ray, and one tenth of that for HD-DVD"

      It should be noted that the "expert" is Richard Marquardt, a prominent member of the competing HD-DVD camp. His doom'n'gloom prediction for Blu-ray retooling cost is an absolute worst case scenario. Even if we use his obviously biased numbers that only equates to $0.23 cents per disc for the first year.

      "One other point which may help out HD-DVD is the materiel cost. HD-DVD uses the the same materiels as DVD, whereas Blu-Ray uses a "high-tech film layer currently produced only by Sony." "

      It looks like you got all of your information about Blu-ray VS HD-DVD from that one article. The "high-tech film layer" is called Durabis and was developed by TDK. It allows Blu-ray discs to be much more durable than DVDs.

    2. Re:HD-DVD vs Blu-Ray by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It might not be betamax all over again. With betamax vs. VHS you had to buy a player that would only support one. On the other hand, I see no reason why a hardware manufacturer out there can't come out with a device that supports both Blu-Ray and HD-DVD. At worst, they'd have to stick in two lasers (if they couldn't come up with a laser with an adjustable wavelength to support both formats). They'd also have to include a decoder for each format, but there's already players out there with multiple decoders anyway (you can get a player less than $50 that'll decode DVDs, MP3s, CDs, etc..).

    3. Re:HD-DVD vs Blu-Ray by FalconZero · · Score: 1

      I got that quote from the article. But I'm fairly sure ZDNet is a good news source. Plus I got simmilar information from other sources (I just didn't reference them). I'm not Blu-Ray bashing, I agree that it's technically superior, but it does require substantially different technology with a greater cost to re-tool.

      In the end content manufacturers will target their stuff for HD-DVD size, as it fits on both disks. The extra space on Blu-Ray will not be used, and the price point on HD-DVD combined with the fact that its backed by Microsoft and Intel, mean that HD-DVD will probably win out, despite the fact that it's inferior.

      Thanks for the Durabis link though - interesting read.

      --
      Windows in 6 Bytes (IA-32) : 90 90 90 90 CD 19
    4. Re:HD-DVD vs Blu-Ray by Doctor+Faustus · · Score: 1

      What might be most damaging for Blu-Ray however, is Microsoft's direct support for HD-DVD. They've already announced that Longhorn will support HD-DVD, and the XBox360 will be recieving an HD-DVD addon.

      I expect that's because the Blu-Ray spec calls for Java support in the players, to be used in building menus.

    5. Re:HD-DVD vs Blu-Ray by scronline · · Score: 1

      For me, it's not even a fact of superior product or better corperate activity. It's about Sony questionable business tactics. Regardless of the fact that it's 2 different divisions. The guys up top knew what was going on atleast to some degree and decided to go forward with it anyway.

      Sony has a history of developing "better" products but proprietary products that won't work with standards. People just want to use what they've got....period. Like some comments have stated "I just spent $1000 on the complete Star Trek collection....." People are going to want to play all of their media. They aren't going to care about the technicalities of it.

      Growing up we had both Beta and VHS. We bought the beta practically as soon as it came out. But tapes were so expensive (even rentals) that we hardly ever used it. VHS came out and changed that. All we wanted was inexpensive home entertainment. It was cheaper to go out and get a VHS player after the fact and save $4 on each tape rental than to pay more for harder to find beta formats. Of course, that decision was taken from us completely eventually. I truly believe the same will happen here. Sony's format is not going to go over well with the public. The public doesn't even like paying more for better DSL. They would rather spend 3 hours a month on the phone with SBC/AT&T, complain about it all the time, and save that $1-4 rather than to be able to forget about it and just use it.

    6. Re:HD-DVD vs Blu-Ray by MSFanBoi2 · · Score: 1

      Oh great not do I only have to worry about slow Java apps on my blackberry, computer and what not, now it's going to infect my DVD watching as well?

    7. Re:HD-DVD vs Blu-Ray by aanantha · · Score: 1

      But what you're missing is that most of the major studios back Blu-Ray exclusively, with a few backing both Blu-Ray and HD-DVD. Sony has an unfair advantage because they own movie studios. Nearly all the movies people watch come from these studios, so really the battle in Hollywood is over. Blu-Ray won. And Microsoft is not going to block the use of BluRay drives in Windows. Remember that Microsoft tried to push strongly for Firewire over USB2 but in the end it made no difference whatsoever. HD-DVD is only an add-on for the Xbox 360, with no games permitted to use it. On the other hand, Sony will ship with Blu-Ray and encourage/require its use in the Playstation 3. The Playstation 3 will outsell the Xbox 360 because Sony is simply better at marketting consoles.

      I mean, you are right that HD-DVD requires less retooling cost. But we're not dealing with a free market when it comes to Hollywood. The few studios that matter already took that into consideration but were still convinced to go with Blu-Ray. Now, the PC software market is more free but by the time anyone cares about producing PC software on Blu-Ray the price will have dropped. As it is, very little PC software even ships on DVD.

      In the past there was the issue with Divx (not the codec, the leased version of DVD). Major studios that backed Divx were forced to surrender to the will of the market. I don't think it will happen in this case unless Blu-Ray discs cost extraordinarily more than HD-DVD. But that's not going to happen. The problem with Blu-Ray is only from the fixed cost of retooling.

  20. price by jimbolauski · · Score: 2, Informative

    If this is the price for a single layer Blue Rray dish then the cost is about 1$ per gig. Even 7 years ago the price of DVD's was more than $5 for a single layer and cd's had more memory for the dollar but then, as with all things the cost to produce it dropped drasticly and now DVD cost about the same as a CD.

    --
    Knowledge = Power
    P= W/t
    t=Money
    Money = Work/Knowledge so the less you know the more you make
  21. That's wholesale, not the consumer price by Ezku · · Score: 2, Interesting

    $23.45? Ars Technica is saying the price will be from $23 to $39 for consumers, with newer releases tagged with the latter one. They'd better offer something major for me to be interested in paying that much.

    1. Re:That's wholesale, not the consumer price by bilbravo · · Score: 1

      Right. $39 is ridiculous. Also, something to point out, is that there is NO way a disc can cost $24 to produce. You know that thing is costing Sony probably $8, including the case and cover art.

  22. Perception by Colin+Smith · · Score: 1

    You missed out the word "percieved". I'm not saying that all of the items you mentioned aren't actually higher quality, but that's not what people pay for, they pay for the perception or belief that it's higher quality, whether it is or not in reality is entirely up for debate.

    Hence all the advertising, marketing, branding...

    --
    Deleted
    1. Re:Perception by alan.briolat · · Score: 1

      Ah yes, reminds me of the trick that supermarket chains pull. They often use the exact same product, branded and priced differently, and marketed to different slices of society. They may make very little profit on the 8p cans of beans, but when they are selling the others at 42p, they aren't doing too badly...

      --
      I swear we should be allowed to give mod points to sigs... "-1, Offtopic"
    2. Re:Perception by Total_Wimp · · Score: 1

      This is true, but perceptions can change. AMD has migrated from the "lesser quality" alternative to Intel for many people into a "high quality" alternative. Gas companies have been largely unsuccessful at convincing motorists that their additives make their gas superior, and thus worth the higher price.

      Perceptions also change because of, well, perception. If Bob buys his first Blue-Ray disc and can't tell the difference between that and a DVD, there's a good chance he won't continue to buy Blue-Ray. I was never able to perceive the difference with Superbit, so I saved my money. A guy was posting about headphones earlier in the weak, and it turns out my audio perception is much better than his because I'd have no problems buying $100+ headphones while he complained about spending more than $20.

      If Blue-Ray makes the difference I think it will (DVD does not look that great on modern HDTVs) then I think they'll have little difficulty convincing the public that it's the superior product and worth the money. But if their eyeballs cant tell the difference, that marketing campaign will only go so far.

      TW

    3. Re:Perception by plague3106 · · Score: 1

      I do notice a slightly better picture quality for SuperBits, but my main reason to buy the SuperBit version is that they use DTS, which to me is much better sound quality the Dolby Digital.

    4. Re:Perception by plover · · Score: 1
      I missed nothing. "Nicer" is a subjective word. "Quality" is subjective. "Perception" simply defines criteria used to make a subjective judgement, including experience, heuristics and information.

      Hence all the advertising, marketing, branding...

      Exactly. Just because you base a decision on some information you have doesn't make that original information factual or correct.

      --
      John
  23. Wow... great selection... by ChePibe · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    All they need to do is throw Plan 9 from Outer Space on that list and they'd have some of the best movies ever!

    Seriously, can't they find something a little bit better than these largely forgetable films? Terminator is something of a classic, I realize, and I have not seen House of Flying Daggers so I would exclude it from my list, but the rest of the list just doesn't excite me. Many of them don't even really show off the new format's higher resolution - I can't imagine Hitch has that much to show off.

    1. Re:Wow... great selection... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      and I have not seen House of Flying Daggers so I would exclude it from my list

      Are you serious? Exactly because you didn't see it is why you should add it to the list. Why the fuck do you want to buy films you've either (a) already seen tree metric shitloads of times or (b) not worth the celuloid they were shot on (Hitch? wtf?) ?


      I don't understand why people bother buying films they've seen dozens of times before, instead of buying new films they've never seen.

  24. Oh boy! by b1t+r0t · · Score: 1
    I can't wait to watch these along with my SACD and DVD-A discs!

    Oh wait, I don't have any SACD or DVD-A discs. I do have a couple of DTS CDs, but I've had those for six or seven years.

    --

    --
    "Open source is good." - Steve Jobs
    "Open source is evil." - Microsoft
  25. Ending price? by RyoShin · · Score: 1

    So it's $24 or so wholesale. What is the price going to be when it hits Best Buy? IIRC, movies, CDs, and games get a big markup so they make a lot of profit (hence the prices we have today.) So I'm guessing it will be about $30 or so for a new DVD. This really isn't too bad if you're into bleeding edge technology, until you bring in the price of a Blu-Ray player (which was, what, $1500?). Alternatively, you could get a PS3, which will only set you back somewhere between $300 and $500.

    How will this affect PS3 games? Storage media, be it on CDs and (now) DVDs has always been cheap. Microsoft is trying out $60 games (from the $50 norm); will Sony/publishers shoot for $70 or $80, so it won't eat into their profits?

    If so, it's a good way to make very few people interested in your console. Having worked in electronics departments, I know that most people are very iffy about buying a $50 game. About 3/4 wouldn't be interested if it wasn't under $40. How do you think they'll react to a $70 price tag?

    1. Re:Ending price? by Theaetetus · · Score: 1
      How will this affect PS3 games? Storage media, be it on CDs and (now) DVDs has always been cheap. Microsoft is trying out $60 games (from the $50 norm); will Sony/publishers shoot for $70 or $80, so it won't eat into their profits?

      Doubtful. Sony's market is potentially much bigger than Microsoft's (based on PS2 vs. XBox 1), so they can make it up in volume. Plus, if you've got an XBox360 and a PS3 sitting side by side, and the game for the XBox is $20 cheaper, it'll reduce demand for the PS3 version. Sony has many good economists and market analyzers on staff - I expect that both systems will hit the same price point for games... and that Sony will count on outselling Microsoft by 5:1.

    2. Re:Ending price? by TheRaven64 · · Score: 1
      So it's $24 or so wholesale. What is the price going to be when it hits Best Buy?

      If I were in charge of Sony sales, then it would be $25. If you are going to charge more than $25, then you don't get to sell BD at all. The quid pro quo for this would be that and reduction in manufacturing cost in the first three years would be accompanied by an equal reduction in wholesale cost (only applicable for those resellers who joined in at the start - everyone else gets to keep buying them at $24, or not selling them at all).

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    3. Re:Ending price? by DarkEdgeX · · Score: 1

      I get tired of this getting repeated as fact. The first Blu-ray Disc player will be cheaper than $1500 (try more like sub-$1000). The only reason people keep bringing up $1500 (or more) is because Pioneer's ELITE Blu-ray Disc player is going to cost $1800 (suggested retail). But Pioneer's ELITE line always has a price premium attached (nothing from their ELITE line sells for less than $1000; their ELITE DVD player retails for something like $1100 to put this in perspective).

      --
      All I know about Bush is I had a good job when Clinton was president.
  26. Who is talking about Blu-Ray? by m93 · · Score: 4, Insightful



    Only the Slashdot and like-minded crowd, that's for sure. Average Joe movie-watcher on the street knows nothing about Blu-Ray. When the DVD came along to be the next big format, it was quite clear to the consumer what the difference was between it and VHS. In this case the lines are a bit more blurry. Let's put it this way; I can explain to and show my 48 year old uncle why he might want to start watching DVD's instead of VHS; i'll have a much harder time telling him why he wants to buy a Blu-Ray movie as opposed to a cheaper DVD of the same title.

    1. Re:Who is talking about Blu-Ray? by geekoid · · Score: 1

      "Only the Slashdot and like-minded crowd, that's for sure."

      Damn straight! why doesn't that jerk go submit that story to Slashdot...oh wait.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    2. Re:Who is talking about Blu-Ray? by nocaster · · Score: 0

      Right, since your Uncle probably does not even have an HDTV you will have to explain to him what 1080i, HDMI/DVI, componant video is. And then try to convince him that he is not watching football in HD on his 60" 4:3 TV just because the announcers keep saying it and that the letterbox show he watched last night was not in HD.

    3. Re:Who is talking about Blu-Ray? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hey,

      > and show my 48 year old uncle why he might want to start watching DVD's

      As an ancient, grizzled old 47-year-old, I certainly do appreciate you young-uns explaining to us old folks how them movin' picture boxes work.

      Why, without your help, I probably wouldn't have finished my graduate degrees in computer graphics, made a living writing flight simulation graphics systems, or done research in image compression methodology.

      Hell, I probably couldn't even spell them hard words.

      Shore do wish I warn't so old and ignorant.

      Oh, well. Gotta go find my teeth.

  27. So what? by The+Rabid+Panda · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Bring me any consumer technology which doesn't have a higher price point when it first hits the public, and then lowers when demand increased. Let's try an easy one: DVD's. I got my player in 1998 and almost every DVD on the market cost upwards of $30. Did I still buy them? Yes! Why? Better resolution, amazing sound, no annoying tape winding, rewinding to find the spot I left off at!!!

    Seriously, even if Blu-Ray DVD's hit the consumer market at $30-40, people will STILL be buying them. There is a WHOLE lot to be said for the ability to say... have an ENTIRE season of StarGate or whatever show you want on ONE DISC! Or better yet, in 1080i HD, with HD-AUDIO IN 87 different languages, and all the damn bonus features you can shake a stick at!

    Yeah, it's a gamble initially; they're expensive to manufacture, Blu-Ray players are really expensive (although that New Shiny PS3 is going to be (maybe) less than $500: marketing plan anyone?) So the adoption rate will be slow at the get-go. But in 5 years, you, your mom, and your little nephews and neices are ALL going to be watching Blu-Ray. Quit complaining. I've got Super Nintendo to get back to.

    --
    --- Though lovers be lost, love shall not; And death shall have no dominion -Lem
    1. Re:So what? by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 1

      Do I want an entire season on one blue ray disk for $80 or an entire season on six DVD's for $45?

      The DVD's I can rip to DIVX AVI's- put an entire season on one DVD and take that on the road in my portable Toshiba DVD player that plays AVI's.

      Seriously- high quality HD format entire season on one DVD.

      If my copy gets destroyed (as one disk did during the trip), I just reburn it.
      If my blue ray disk is destroyed, stolen, or apparently even gets a minor scratch in the wrong place- I LOSE EVERYTHING.

      No thanks.

      ---
      Plus it's Sony and I havn't bought anything from them since 2000 due to a poor customer service incident.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    2. Re:So what? by man_eleven · · Score: 1

      I also bought my first DVD player in roughly 1998, and only rarely have I paid more than $19.99 for a DVD. In fact, early on, I recall a hyper-vigilance amongst my friends and myself with regards to DVD prices; we went crazy looking for good deals. I think I've probably paid an average of $11 to $12 per DVD in my collection (of roughly 300). To say that "every DVD on the market cost upwards of $30" when DVD was first introduced is a severe bit of misinformation - truthfully, most of us payed an average of about $14.99, whether they were purchased at full price at Fry's, or on the cheap via the internet.

  28. Prices by Call+Me+Black+Cloud · · Score: 1

    Sony's wholesale price of $23.45 for Blu-ray discs is 56 percent more than the $14.99 it costs to buy a new DVD of Hitch from BestBuy.com. A Terminator DVD is available for $9.99.

    DVDs have been around since 1996 in Japan and 1997 in the US (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/DVD/). Though I can't find the prices at which DVDs were originally released I'm sure most were more than $10. Note that Sony is not giving a suggested retail price. The company is letting the market determine that.

    1. Re:Prices by drinkypoo · · Score: 3, Interesting

      When VHS was still hot, a new release might cost as much as $80. DVD brought that down to about $40 at first IIRC and now it's sunk to about $25. I suspect this new format will dick around at $40 for a while and then come down to $25 a year or two later.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    2. Re:Prices by tuffy · · Score: 4, Informative
      When VHS was still hot, a new release might cost as much as $80.

      VHS movies had a rental window when they'd be sold to Blockbuster-style outfits for $80+ for a few months before dropping to $20-30 for everyone else to buy. DVDs never had rental pricing; they started at around $20-30 and went down from there as they got old and/or new "special editions" arrived on the shelves. I don't recall either format having an obscene initial cost for general consumption.

      --

      Ita erat quando hic adveni.

    3. Re:Prices by djan · · Score: 1

      I remember buying Dirty Harry for around $60 - $70 to play on my new $800 top-load RCA video player. At the time, there were NO rental places. You had to buy the movies.

      Of course, that quickly changed to the rental landscape that lead to Blockbuster's.

  29. doesn't seem wise by iknowrobocop · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Fully understanding that new/better technology is traditionally more expensive than old/lesser technology, I think this is a poor decision. If the next-gen dvds were marketed at a price closer to that of current-gen dvds, adoption would catch on quicker ("Why not pay $2 more?") and the format war would seem less important. As is, you're paying a huge entry fee to get into one of the two next-gen formats, then getting shafted again in price comparison to current generation dvds. Is the quality worth the extra $10-$15 bucks per dvd AND the price of the player? Not to me; not to many, i would guess.

    Maybe I'm wrong, but I know that I would be more willing to adopt a format in speculation of the final winner if the prices weren't so much more than current dvds.

  30. This Will Go Down Like CDs Did by eno2001 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    And I'm not talking about prices going down here. Consider this:

    In 1984 I could buy a brand new record with up to 40 minutes of music for $7.00. When CDs first came out they were around $36.00 a pop for the same album at my local retailers. Of course people griped saying "how are we ever going to afford to buy those"? But then the prices dropped until you could buy the same 40 minute album on a brand new CD for $15.00 in 1988. Since then the average price of CDs has gone up and you are typically paiying $19-21 per new CD. Of course none of the arguments that the industry used at the time ("we need to make up for the cost of retooling from making records to making CDs") hold any water today. They're just greedy fuckers. But, the buying public, while they might moan and groan about it are still going to pay the price when they want the latest pap that and RIAA conjured "artist" puts out. There is one thing missing in the original CD Audio spec. DRM.

    Enter BluRay and other DRM controlled forms of media. After reading the Slashdot article on CableCard and DCAS the other day (end-to-end encryption for cable television), you better believe devices to play HD DVDs will be no different. Not only will you be completely lubed up and owned by the MPAA, but if you really want to watch their products you'll have to pay the money they ask. No matter how high or unfair the pricing. Welcome to corporate fascism. The price today might be in the $25.00 neighborhood. They'll say, "we need to amortize our investment in this new technology and then the prices will come down as the market grows". And the prices will go down temporarily. But in ten year's time, you'll be paying $30 a disc and likely will just accept it instead of raging at these assholes like I do.

    Now, add to this element that the only people who read Slashdot that count (in my book) are the so-called hobbyists... and that we are targetted as "undesirable crackpots", well you see where this is going. The funny thing is that there was a time in America when the guy who built his own electronic equipment at home was looked at as a neighborhood hero or potential "genius". Today, we're looked at like the Unabomber. We're told by these corporations and their brainwashed customers, "Why don't you just do what any other normal person does and just buy a damn HD DVD player fer christ sakes"! We do't want to do this because the commercial products are typically lacking in base functionality that we would prefer to have. For example, you SHOULD be able to skip the advertisting at the beginning of the DVD and get straight to the film. However, the MPAA doesn't want you doing that so commercial players aren't supposed to be able to do this. It's not a technical limitation (although they might try to make it seem like one), it's an artificial limitation calculated to benefit them. And it's unfair. Fortunately, players like Xine and MPlayer allow you to bypass these tracks altogether since they usually add nothing to your viewing experience. That's just a single example of the crippling that the MPAA forces on consumer devices. And it's only going to get worse.

    --
    -"...bad old ideas look confusingly fresh when they are packaged as technology" - Jaron Lanier (Digital Maoism on Edge.o
    1. Re:This Will Go Down Like CDs Did by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Where in gods name are you buying cds for that much...

      I would literally have to go out ofmy way to even find them for $16 (and thats at a mall)

      go to a normal store, and if they cost more than $15 you are getting ripped off.

      so i call bullshit on this 20 dollar cd crap. they dont cost that much (dual discs rarely cost that much

    2. Re:This Will Go Down Like CDs Did by Doctor+Faustus · · Score: 1

      Since then the average price of CDs has gone up and you are typically paiying $19-21 per new CD.

      Stop buying your music at Borders. $14 is typical at Best Buy or Amazon.

    3. Re:This Will Go Down Like CDs Did by poot_rootbeer · · Score: 1

      then the prices dropped until you could buy the same 40 minute album on a brand new CD for $15.00 in 1988. Since then the average price of CDs has gone up and you are typically paiying $19-21 per new CD.

      Prices may vary by locale, but who pays ~$US20 for a single-disc CD? Amazon.com and its competitors have an average price somewhere around $14; brick-and-mortar record stores charge something like $16 for popular new releases and $18 for everything else.

      Keep in mind that while CD prices have risen since the late 1980s (though not even at the pace of inflation), so has the amount of content included on the disc. Early releases came in around 40 minutes because that's all that could reasonably fit on a standard LP. But as the Compact Disc has come into its own as a format in its own right, producers have begun putting more and more music on there. CDs with a running time of 1 hour are not uncommon, and many use the full 74- or 80-minute capacity of the disc.

    4. Re:This Will Go Down Like CDs Did by jratcliffe · · Score: 2, Insightful

      "Welcome to corporate fascism."

      You've really got a lot of rage working there. Just FYI, nobody's FORCING you to buy Hitch on DVD. The great thing is, you get to choose - if you don't think $30+/disc is worth it, you DON'T HAVE TO BUY IT. Jackbooted thugs from Sony are not going to break into your home at 2AM, grab $35 from your wallet, and force you, a la Clockwork Orange, to watch Hitch.

      I wish a lot of things were cheaper - I try not to translate that wish into hatred of those who won't sell them to me for less.

      BTW, re: your characterization of the media industry as "greedy fuckers" - well, they are. They're going to try to get you to pay as much as you're willing for DVDs. Doesn't the fact that you're trying to pay as little as possible for those same DVDs make you a "greedy fucker" too? Or was I napping while God descended from the heavens and assigned a morally appropriate price for DVDs?

    5. Re:This Will Go Down Like CDs Did by stanmann · · Score: 1

      And 11-12 for new releases is typically at wally world and target.

      --
      Food not Bombs is a nice platitude but it breaks down when you notice that the Bombees are usually well fed
    6. Re:This Will Go Down Like CDs Did by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 1

      I agree with most of what you say.

      But you do need to consider inflation.

      $7 in 1984 is basically $28 in today's dollars. So if it is $20 today, it's about 30% cheaper than those $7 records back in 1984.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    7. Re:This Will Go Down Like CDs Did by Doctor+Faustus · · Score: 1

      I'm always afraid I'll be getting some weird censored version at a general-purpose discount store.

    8. Re:This Will Go Down Like CDs Did by eno2001 · · Score: 1

      The fact is that while people will accept those prices it doesn't mean they can afford them. I have my limits and when certain thigs are out of my price range, I don't buy them. However, that means in certain cases I have to completely bypass something I actually want. My DirecTV subscription is an example. It's currently in the neighborhood of $46 a month. My limit is $50 a month because I think it's insane to pay that much for TV. So I will be pulling the plug on the DirecTV subscription should it hit that range (unless we're talking vastly expanded service like HDTV or a ton of new channels that appeal to me). Sadly, this means my life would be a little less brighter because I would no longer have access to BBC America which is about the only channel that has programs I enjoy these days. Sure, I could read a book, rent a movie, talk to my wife, post on Slashdot intead. But... I'd have one less option. One less option that is actually a very nice option when we're talking BBC America. Are we saying that it's OK that I'm "too poor" to be able to afford some simple entertainment because the industry keeps jacking up the prices with no justification other than lining their pockets?

      --
      -"...bad old ideas look confusingly fresh when they are packaged as technology" - Jaron Lanier (Digital Maoism on Edge.o
    9. Re:This Will Go Down Like CDs Did by eno2001 · · Score: 1
      $7 in 1984 is basically $28 in today's dollars.


      Holy crap that's frightening! I'm no economist, but that means we're in deep shit, right?

      --
      -"...bad old ideas look confusingly fresh when they are packaged as technology" - Jaron Lanier (Digital Maoism on Edge.o
    10. Re:This Will Go Down Like CDs Did by Run4yourlives · · Score: 1

      not really.

      If what you said was true, it would cost $5 for a can of coke. It doesn't.

      When manufacturing costs stay the same, or are reduced (as they have been in the CD market), the effects of inflation are reduced.

    11. Re:This Will Go Down Like CDs Did by plover · · Score: 1

      Wally world is the only major retailer that demands the producers censor their music. Target, Best Buy, etc., don't sell the censored versions. They'll sell them tagged with the "Tipper Gore Parental Warning label", but they don't sell only cut versions like WalMart.

      --
      John
    12. Re:This Will Go Down Like CDs Did by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      a can of coke in the mid to late eighties cost a quarter. meaning it would cost about a buck now. not $5.

    13. Re:This Will Go Down Like CDs Did by Run4yourlives · · Score: 1

      not where I live it didn't.

      Bare minimum, $.75... it was maybe a quarter in the sixties, but not the eighties.

    14. Re:This Will Go Down Like CDs Did by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 1

      I paid 50 cents for coke at a restaurant back then- I pay $2.00 now.

      I paid about 15 cents a can- I pay about 25 cents now- clearly coke has gotten a lot cheaper.

      Inflation is why you really want to buy a house.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    15. Re:This Will Go Down Like CDs Did by dr.badass · · Score: 1

      However, that means in certain cases I have to completely bypass something I actually want.

      Yes, actually, it does.

      In fact, that's kind of the way money works. You really should be used to it by now, or get used to it quick.
      If you're able, but unwilling to pay what someone is asking for a good or service, it's fair to say that you don't want it badly enough.

      the industry keeps jacking up the prices with no justification other than lining their pocket

      Prices go up because people will pay it. There are people willing to pay more than $50 a month for televison. To you or I, that's fucking insane, but to them, it's worth it.

      --
      Don't become a regular here -- you will become retarded.
    16. Re:This Will Go Down Like CDs Did by jratcliffe · · Score: 1

      Are we saying that it's OK that I'm "too poor" to be able to afford some simple entertainment because the industry keeps jacking up the prices with no justification other than lining their pockets?

      Yes.

  31. ... 6789? by senocular · · Score: 1

    23... 45? Are digits in sequential order more appealing? I tell you what, if it was 23.99, I sure's hell wouldn't buy them! Now, however... (ok, no, I'm still not buying them).

    1. Re:... 6789? by geekoid · · Score: 1

      I'll buy one for 23.99, but no way in hell would I buy one for 24.00!

      Does the .99 thing still work?

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
  32. Can someone please explain.... by Chineseyes · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Can someone please explain to me what is so superior about BLU-RAY that we just have to switch away from dvd. There were really obvious arguements to switch from VHS to DVD, but from dvd to blu-ray I just don't see a really compelling arguement to switch, unless they start selling writeable media, then the obvious selling point would be storage capacity. Mod me a troll if you must but is this more creating a market for a product that isn't needed or is there a legitimate reason for this shift in media???

    --
    I think the invisible hand of the market has its middle finger extended

    --A wise old fart named SC0RN
    1. Re:Can someone please explain.... by pl1ght · · Score: 1

      High Definition. May not matter to the average joe, but i am seriously looking forward to having my movies in HD.

    2. Re:Can someone please explain.... by PFI_Optix · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Why, it has more pixels of course!

      Seriously, that's the only benefit of blu-ray as a video format. it can give you orders of magnitude higher resolution. For those people who want to see the pores on Will Smith's nose in Hitch, it's quite impressive.

      I'm just not enough of a videophile to care. And with the upcoming format war (HD-DVD vs BLU-RAY) I'm going to sit back and wait either for a clear winner to emerge, or for someone to invent a dual-format player so that I don't have to care what format I'm buying.

      At least it's looking like both formats will have backwards-compatible players so that standard DVDs won't require a seperate player.

      --
      120 characters for a sig? That's bloody useless.
    3. Re:Can someone please explain.... by PFI_Optix · · Score: 1

      Oh, the average Joe would love it...I don't know anyone who has looked at an HD demonstration and not been impressed. The thing is, they aren't impressed enough to buy an HDTV, HD-DVD/BLU-RAY, and replace all their movies at a premium price.

      --
      120 characters for a sig? That's bloody useless.
    4. Re:Can someone please explain.... by Dan+East · · Score: 4, Informative

      "it can give you orders of magnitude higher resolution."

      That statement is inaccurate.

      NTSC DVD: 640x480=307200 pixels
      HDTV: 1920x1080=2073600 pixels

      2073600/307200=6.75

      That isn't even a single order of magnitude more pixels - just little more than half. If we were comparing PAL instead of NTSC the difference with HDTV would be even less.

      Dan East

      --
      Better known as 318230.
    5. Re:Can someone please explain.... by _avs_007 · · Score: 0

      Too bad most things aren't filmed in HD. For now, other than storage space, there isn't much benafit to Blu-Ray. It's like buying an HD-TV and just watching regular TV. There isn't much HD-Content out there. (Yet anyways)

    6. Re:Can someone please explain.... by PFI_Optix · · Score: 1

      Well crap. I was thinking it was 12 times, instead of ~7. That's what I get for being lazy and not doing the math.

      Can we just call it dramatic license then?

      --
      120 characters for a sig? That's bloody useless.
    7. Re:Can someone please explain.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      Or, in binary:

      111111010010000000000/1001011000000000000=110.11

      more than 2 orders of magnitude. :)

    8. Re:Can someone please explain.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      NTSC pixels are not 'square' and dvd resolutions are stored in resolutions including 720x480 and 704x480 and some others. The aspect ratio can be set to 4:3 and 16:9 depending if you are doing fullscreen or widescreen. When a 4:3 aspect ratio image is 'squared', it seem like 640x480. However, when playing video on a regular tv, you lose a good percent of the picture along all sides, sometimes around 10%. I do not know how much overscan hdtv has but I am pretty sure it is not as bad.

    9. Re:Can someone please explain.... by pclminion · · Score: 1
      2073600/307200=6.75 That isn't even a single order of magnitude more pixels - just little more than half. If we were comparing PAL instead of NTSC the difference with HDTV would be even less.

      No, the definition of the magnitude is the base-10 logarithm. Log10(6.75) = 0.83, which is closer to 1 than 0.5.

      Or he could have been talking about base-2 orders of magnitude (which are also commonly used), in which case this is about 2.75 orders.

    10. Re:Can someone please explain.... by evilviper · · Score: 2, Insightful
      That isn't even a single order of magnitude more pixels - just little more than half.

      I wouldn't call almost 7X "a little more than half"... That's a lot more than half. In fact, it's more than 2/3rds, and not far from 3/4ths (an order of magnitude).

      If we were comparing PAL instead of NTSC the difference with HDTV would be even less.

      Yes, but then you have to take into account the 20% higher refresh rate, then it all evens out to about the same ~6X improvement.
      --
      Slashdot gets worse every day... Pipedot: News for nerds, without the corporate slant
    11. Re:Can someone please explain.... by Kjella · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Log10( 2073600/307200 ) = 0.83 orders of magnitude.

      Anyway, what is important is how much the human eye is able to see. It is well tested that the limit for where humans can percieve more scanlines is about 8-9x screen size for SDTV, and 3-3.5x screen size for HDTV. Or if we want to express it in degrees, if you want a perfect image an SDTV screen should take up 6 degrees of your field of vision, a HDTV screen 20 degrees. Hell, we could double the resolution to 3840x2160 and still only cover about 60 degrees of your 180 degree field of view (though you vision is poorer towards the edges, so it's not entirely accurate).

      My point is, this isn't like the above-and-beyond CD formats where they can't tell them apart in double-blind studies. A healthy young eye should be able to see every pixel HDTV has to offer with plenty of room to spare. The difference is very real. That is much more important than technical pixel counts.

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
    12. Re:Can someone please explain.... by bazorg · · Score: 1

      I'm a bit lost in this debate, and I have a question: Are the pixels on these blue disk things better than the ones on hard disk drives?

    13. Re:Can someone please explain.... by wildcardj · · Score: 1

      Too bad most things aren't filmed in HD

      Right, just pretty much every commercial movie and modern network TV shows. That's all.
      (anything shot on film is high-def, and network tv/HBO/etc are all shooting almost everything in digital HD now). The great thing about film (which could be put into an even higher resolution format than 1080p) is that even things filmed decades ago can be converted to HD digital.

      Older TV shows, made-for-TV movies, and movies shot in standard-def digital are the only content not available for HD.

    14. Re:Can someone please explain.... by _avs_007 · · Score: 1

      Whatever. Just because it's shot on film doesn't mean it's captured or stored in high def. You work in the industry? I didn't think so. One of my clients is in the production business. Their filming equipment for HD productions is completely different than standard def productions.

      If "everything" was filmed in HD, then you'd see more programs aired in HD on tv. A LOT of the content that is aired in "HD" is actually just upsampled standard def content.

      If everything on film can be HD, than why do some people pay extra to get 70mm filming equipment vs 35mm or 50mm filming equipment?

      The truth of the matter is, that there is a lack of HD content today. Its almost a chicken/egg problem. People don't want to replace with HD equipment until there is more content to show. Content providers don't want to spend $$$ producing HD content until there is more equipment to display it.

    15. Re:Can someone please explain.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      I'm a bit lost in this debate, and I have a question: Are the pixels on these blue disk things better than the ones on hard disk drives?

      Well, mauve has the most RAM. Hope that helps!

  33. But whats the point? by Darkman,+Walkin+Dude · · Score: 1

    It reaches a stage when its very difficult to discern any real advantages "new media" has over older types. I mean, there is a limit to what resolution your eye can discern, just like in printing; There's no point in going any higher than 300 dpi (professional offset printing resolution). Once you don't have problems with blurriness or ghosting, it really can't get much better. They either need to produce an entirely different (immersive?) experience, or make bigger screens cheaper. I'd drop a grand on a 10 foot wide wallscreen, no problem. It seems to me like the executives at sony and the rest of them are stuck in an 80's gold rush mindset. The eighties are over boys - deal with it.

    1. Re:But whats the point? by Threni · · Score: 2, Interesting

      > I mean, there is a limit to what resolution your eye can discern

      Yes, but it's not been reached with DVDs - this also applies to red book CDs (ears, not eyes, obviously).

    2. Re:But whats the point? by JabberWokky · · Score: 2, Interesting
      I can easily tell the difference between 300dpi and 1200dpi or 2400dpi (which is the generally accepted limit of when the eye can't see a difference on a printed page). Look at the text in a 300dpi fax (i.e., a real 300dpi without resolution enhancement), and look at a printed hardcover book (roughly 2400dpi). If you can't tell the difference, please tell me you have nothing to do with any media business.

      Beyond that, when you're talking about printing, you have all sorts of colors, tints and effects that are outside of simple offset printing... and even simple offset printing is not in the home. Give me a printer that can do metallic gold gilt white letters on a deep red cardstock, emboss a crest into the page and then round the corners, sell it at a consumer price, and I'll be happy. But that's many many years away.

      --
      Evan

      --
      "$30 for the One True Ring. $10 each additional ring!" -- JRR "Bob" Tolkien
    3. Re:But whats the point? by jwlidtnet · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Whether the "saturation point" has been reached with CD is a bit more debatable. People have a surprising amount of difficulty distinguishing between the "next gen" formats and correctly-downconverted CD audio in double-blind tests.

      Anybody excercising a certain degree of perception, though, can see that DVD could easily stand to be bumped up a little bit. Would it necessary matter to most people? That's a different question entirely.

    4. Re:But whats the point? by cloudmaster · · Score: 2, Interesting

      You're in luck. A decent projector goes for about a grand now. Do you have a 10 foot wide wall?

      I dropped a tad over a grand a year ago for a 6 foot wall screen - it'd be bigger, but my viewing wall has an inconveniently-placed door...

    5. Re:But whats the point? by Moofie · · Score: 1

      That's a meaningless comparison, unless you also specify the distance from your eye to the media. I guarantee that you wouldn't be able to tell the difference between 300 dpi and 1200 dpi on a movie theater screen that you're sitting 30' from. (Yes, I know that nobody would ever try those absurdly ridiculously crazy high resolutions with video)

      I've seen large-screen presentations of modest-resolution data, and it looks pretty OK. Your brain interprets moving pictures differently from text.

      Is there a threshhold beyond which you can't discern? Absolutely. For video, it's a heck of a lot lower than 300dpi, even for home theater applications.

      --
      Why yes, I AM a rocket scientist!
    6. Re:But whats the point? by Milikki · · Score: 1

      ...and nobody will ever need more than 640k.....

      So lets do away with all those video cards that run the latest games at 70 FPS because the human eye can only resolve about 35FPS. And tell all the printers to get rid of their 2400DPI DTP machines because the cheepo 300DPI machines are good enough. Why bother with a new format for audio when MP3 encodes for sounds above the range of human hearing.

      The simple answer is, we live in an analog world and until our digital technologies become so good we cannot separate them from analog quality, we will need to get better, faster, larger, stronger, brighter.....

      Besides, Sony is evil with all their DRM and rootkits. Anyone who actually BUYS a restriction encrusted BluRay DVD deserves it when they can no longer watch what they want, when they want to on equipment they already paid for.

      Kevin

    7. Re:But whats the point? by JabberWokky · · Score: 1
      Yes, but the grandparent was specifically discussing physical print media (which is generally read at a distance of 14 to 24 inches under good lighting). To quote: "there is a limit to what resolution your eye can discern, just like in printing". He then when on to cite an incorrect metric: "There's no point in going any higher than 300 dpi (professional offset printing resolution)". In general, 300dpi is the absolute minimum resolution that offset printing can be done for something intended to be placed in front of you and read... and the vast bulk is done at a much higher resolution.

      For print media sitting in front of you (which is the domain being discussed) 300 dpi is not the maximum discernable resolution. If you wish to discuss other things such as video, that's fine. I'd agree that in that case you'd have to define distance to the media, framerate, luminosity, ambient light and several other factors. But that's not what was being discussed... unless you have a home theater system that uses offset printing to play movies. ;)

      --
      Evan

      --
      "$30 for the One True Ring. $10 each additional ring!" -- JRR "Bob" Tolkien
    8. Re:But whats the point? by Threni · · Score: 1

      > Whether the "saturation point" has been reached with CD is a bit more debatable.
      > People have a surprising amount of difficulty distinguishing between the "next
      > gen" formats and correctly-downconverted CD audio in double-blind tests.

      Yeah, I have a bias towards audio. I have perfect pitch, good ears and I listen to a lot of music. Conversely, I couldn't care less about DVDs and video quality, as I don't watch many films (they generally aren't worth the time spent watching them) and DVD seems good enough - all this home cinema/5.1/hd etc crap is lost on me.

      The greater storage time available to blu-ray or whatever is hardly needed - if Lord Of The Rings fits onto 1 cd, what exactly is the motivation? Are the studios going to start making movies that last 4,5 or 6 hours now? It doesn't bear thinking about! It appears to be more about forcing the consumer to spend yet more money on players and disks.

    9. Re:But whats the point? by Darkman,+Walkin+Dude · · Score: 1

      I can easily tell the difference between 300dpi and 1200dpi or 2400dpi

      Eh no you can't, and I seriously doubt you have ever seen seen print any higher than 300 dpi. A fax machine won't do 300dpi, not in a million years. You might be thinking of scan resolution, which is a different kettle of fish, or you may be confusing dpi with lpi, with is a messy concept to explain, and some of us have to get to work.

    10. Re:But whats the point? by Jah-Wren+Ryel · · Score: 1

      I dropped a tad over a grand a year ago for a 6 foot wall screen - it'd be bigger, but my viewing wall has an inconveniently-placed door...

      Dude - that's what pull-down screens are for. Get yourself a 92" wide Da-Lite Hi-Power pulldown for ~$300 and you will be rockin with an image that looks almost like a plasma.

      --
      When information is power, privacy is freedom.
    11. Re:But whats the point? by AaronLawrence · · Score: 1

      True, except that pull-downs have a rep for developing waves due to sagging. it's not usually objectionable but it does degrade the picture a bit.

      --
      For every expert, there is an equal and opposite expert. - Arthur C. Clarke
    12. Re:But whats the point? by Jah-Wren+Ryel · · Score: 1

      Hi-Power material is wave resistant due to being retro-reflective. In that even if it does get waves, they are very hard to see because of the way the light is reflected back to the viewer. The stuff is almost magic.

      --
      When information is power, privacy is freedom.
    13. Re:But whats the point? by cloudmaster · · Score: 1

      Well, the screen needs to be between my speakers, and the door is on the edge of the wall. So I have two problems. One is that I can't mount my right front speaker in the middle of the doorway. The other is that, if the screen covers the door, then I've gotta basically shut the TV off every time someone needs to get up to go to the bathroom, get more chips, etc. - because the rest of the house is on the other side of that door. The room is long and narrow, so that rules out two of the other walls, and the third wall is covered with windows. I can use blinds to darken the windows and that works well in the present configuration, but if I move the screen to the window'd wall I'll have annoying backlighting making the picture hard to see - both the light that comes around the sides of the screen and the light which possibly would come through the screen.

      Besides, a 6 foot wide screen (about 7 feet diagonal) really is big enough for the time being. I do need to build a proper screen, though, and Da-Lite's high gain screen material is what I'm planning to use, since the screen gets used during daylight fairly often and it could stand a little more power...

  34. HD Content by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    In order to exploit this great new technology, doesn't the content on the DVDs have to be filmed using special HD equipment?

    1. Re:HD Content by er824 · · Score: 0

      No. If it was originally shot on 35mm film there is more then enough resolution on the film stock to create a HD transfer.

    2. Re:HD Content by windowpain · · Score: 1

      Color 35mm film (not to mention 70 mm) is generally considered to be equivalent to roughly 4,000 x 5,300 pixels, which is way more than even 1,920 x 1,080. More info.

      This means that any TV show shot on film (vs. videotape) is a candidate for a New! High Definition Version! Can't wait to see teh Soup Nazi in HD.

      --
      Insert witty sig here.
  35. Re:Funny mod HOWTO by Psykechan · · Score: 1

    Yes, there is no specific "Sad" post modification (mod) but the "Funny" mod can be used for certain posts. Most situations where "Funny" is used is for modding amusing posts designed to incite laughter. This is commonly referred to as "Funny: Ha Ha". There is the lesser known "Funny: Uh Oh" that should be used in situations where a "Sad" mod would be preferred. Odd and perplexing posts would fall into this category.

    It should also be noted that the "Funny" mod grants the post creator no positive karma. If the post is interesting or insightful then other, better suited mods should be used instead. This lack of karma could explain why comedians generally live shorter and more traumatic lives despite the fact that they make many people laugh.

  36. I think I'll wait by NorbrookC · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Let's see if I get this right. I'm going to pay more money for a DVD that I can only play in a player that will cost $1800. Yeah, right. Oh, and it may not end up being the generally acceptable format? Ooookay!

    I've got a better idea! Why don't I just sit here and wait? That's right, I'm going to wait about five or so years. That way, the price will have dropped on the players, and the battle over formats will have settled out. I figure I can somehow struggle along without having seen the movies you're releasing in this format, probably because...well... I've already seen them.

    This is yet another repetition of the past. A NEW! HOT! TECHNOLOGY! which is supposed to IMPROVE! our ENTERTAINMENT! EXPERIENCE!. Ok, fine. But.. um, we have a couple of different formats and the prices are enormous! Betamax/VHS. DVD/VHS. Players running around one to two grand. Been there, done that, got the t-shirts. What I've learned is that there's no rush. Wait. Prices will come down on players. Format types will standardize. You won't feel scre^H^H^H^Hvictimized by the manufacturers/retailers.

    1. Re:I think I'll wait by sane? · · Score: 1
      Exactly, Sony et al are doing people a favour here.

      With such high prices for the disks and the players it will be at least three to five years before Blu-Ray makes enough of an impact for anyone to care. In the meantime there will be lots of people out there working to crack the DRM and make the content available to all using alternative transport technology (say two DVD-Rs). Given the future is downloadable content, probably stored on hard disk for playback, this is useful in giving more consumer friendly solutions a foothold in the public consciousness. The future is more likely to belong to the large hard disk PVR/digital TV receiver than the Blu-Ray player - its more flexible and better tuned to peoples actual needs.

      Neck-on-the-block prediction time, Blu-Ray will only ever be a bit player unless the content protection for writing onto Blu-Ray recordable disks is broken with about two years.

  37. Netflix by interiot · · Score: 4, Interesting

    So... 1) Netflix will probably have to charge a higher monthly fee for people who want HD discs, and 2) for companies like Netflix, HD is going to make them a ton of money.

    1. Re:Netflix by Grimster · · Score: 1

      Just make an HD disk count as 2 movies out instead of one, boom done and done.

      --
      --- www.f-theocean.com
  38. The only price that matters... by psgalbraith · · Score: 1

    The only price that matters is the rental charge at the corner video place. I suppose that will go up a bit too.

    I'm not buying those movies!

  39. the prices will come down by slackaddict · · Score: 2, Insightful
    The developers are going to have to recoup their development costs and as competition increases price wars will ensue.

    I remember how expensive CD's and CD players were at first, too. You will pay a premium for being an early adopter. For everyone else it means that non blue ray DVD's will drop in price.

    --
    ConsultingFair.com
  40. So why can't I trade in my DVDs? by seigniory · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Serious question here -

    I recall one of the biggest arguments against P2P sharing of movies, music, etc. is that I don't "own" the content - I license it. If I license the content by owning a copy of "Movie A" on DVD, why is it that I have to buy another license of "Movie A" on Blu-Ray at full price, instead of just the price of the new media?

    In the licensing model this makes sense, but it's not going to be available. The "ownership" model would support having to purchase new content when the format changes, but then I'd technically be able to put it on P2P or back it up to my HD, no?

    Why the catch-22?

    1. Re:So why can't I trade in my DVDs? by Carrot007 · · Score: 1

      I relaly hope for your sake that was a rhetorical question.

      --
      +----------------- | What is the question!
    2. Re:So why can't I trade in my DVDs? by danpsmith · · Score: 1

      Come on, you expect to only be fucked in the ass once?

      You don't own the content nor do you license it. It was okay to make tape-to-tape copies only because they couldn't really prevent it, now they think they can and so they will. The whole industry has gone apeshit and they use P2P as their excuse, when really, they had these ideas before Napster.

      You don't own a movie, the movie owns you. It's like George Carlin says, you have an owner.

      --
      Judges and senates have been bought for gold; Esteem and love were never to be sold.
    3. Re:So why can't I trade in my DVDs? by Tim+C · · Score: 1

      The "ownership" model would support having to purchase new content when the format changes, but then I'd technically be able to put it on P2P or back it up to my HD, no?

      Why the catch-22?


      No catch 22; whether you own a copy of Movie A or just a licence to access it is irrelevant. Copyright law says that you're not allowed to make unauthorised copies of it; unless the copyright holder says otherwise, you're not allowed to upload it to a P2P network. Backing it up to your HD is arguably fair use (it's a copy, but it's purely for personal use and you're not distributing it), but come off it, p2p is right out and you know it. I'd also love to see someone try to make a legal case out of back ups to HD; I really can't see a court giving that sort of thing much time.

      That said, any time any copyright holder starts to claim that you only have a licence for the content, then I think it's more than fair to make the "format shifts for the cost of the media only" argument. I've bought a lot of DVDs that I had on VHS; I'd like to not buy them all on the next format too... (although I don't see a compelling reason to to be honest, unlike the move to DVD)

  41. not in HD... so, no. by javaxman · · Score: 1
    am I going to have to pay Amazon to re-buy that $1700 Ultimate Star Trek collection... how pathetic will I have to be to re-buy that in Blu-Ray (possibly on many many less discs)

    Uhhhhh... was *any* of that shot in HD or a format that could even remotely be remastered to HD with any noticable improvement in quality over DVD ?

    Were you going for a funny mod there ?

    The question you need to ask is how pathetic you had to be to buy that in the first place, isn't it ?

    Sorry, that's a cheap shot. Anyway, my real point is that there's a whole bunch of content that won't make sense to re-release in HD. The DVD is not going away any time soon.

    1. Re:not in HD... so, no. by Fred+Or+Alive · · Score: 1

      Well, Star Trek Enterprise was made in HD, so that could easily be put onto a HD disc.

      Star Trek (the original series) could also be done, as it was entirely produced on film, you could just run it through a HD telecine, and you've got a HD master. I'm not sure if much would be gained from a HD version (it's not like it was made with HD in mind at the time), but I'm sure Paramount will do it at some point.

      The other three series were shot on film, but post produced on SD video, so if you wanted a HD version, you'd basically have to go back and reedit every episode from the raw footage, and redo any electronic effects, so it would probably be rather expensive.

      I think both HD disc formats also allow SD content on them, so you could theoretically use HD discs just as very large DVDs as well.

      --
      10 PRINT "LOOK AROUND YOU ";
      20 GOTO 10
    2. Re:not in HD... so, no. by SuiteSisterMary · · Score: 1
      Star Trek (the original series) could also be done, as it was entirely produced on film, you could just run it through a HD telecine, and you've got a HD master. I'm not sure if much would be gained from a HD version (it's not like it was made with HD in mind at the time), but I'm sure Paramount will do it at some point.

      Actually, at that point, you run into the fact that it was filed with NTSC in mind; they tried this, and were horrified to discover that you could see paint brush strokes on sets, coffee stains on uniforms, and the like.

      --
      Vintage computer games and RPG books available. Email me if you're interested.
    3. Re:not in HD... so, no. by javaxman · · Score: 1
      Star Trek (the original series) could also be done, as it was entirely produced on film

      You're crapping me. Really?

      Well... I was kinda kidding. I can see this giant multi-disc Star Trek set ( and many other multi-disc TV series and such ) being re-released as SD content on HD discs, just to replace 5 discs with 1. But you wouldn't re-buy your current DVDs to get that, unless you *really* need the convenience and space savings.

      I suppose for stuff like Star Trek where there's a real fanatical following, someone might remaster film from SD-produced film content into HD, but... you're going to have to be the guy who gets a kick out of seeing the flaws on the set props and makeup to really enjoy it.

  42. why its worth it by digitaldc · · Score: 1

    "Why does Blu-ray cost more than regular?"

    Because...the laserbeam that reads it is blue rather than the traditional red...trust me...it is much better.

    --
    He who knows best knows how little he knows. - Thomas Jefferson
    1. Re:why its worth it by NewKimAll · · Score: 1

      Because...the laserbeam that reads it is blue rather than the traditional red...trust me...it is much better.

      Wow! What a selling point.

      The blue laser has a smaller wavelength than the red laser, therefore you can pack more data onto the same area. However, this also makes the disc more susceptible to dust and imperfections such as scratches. I certainly hope the high definition discs use that special TDK Armor stuff to keep the discs scratch resistant, but I have a feeling they won't because that would mean less profits.
      --
      I won't buy a new HD device unless they can guarantee a purple laser because I love purple.

    2. Re:why its worth it by Timo_UK · · Score: 1

      I can hear the audio-voodoo-bunch scream already: OH NO! It sounds so much colder!!! I prefer the warm sound of CDs!

      --
      Timo's Audio Software http://www.esseraudio.com
  43. Ode to Blu-Ray... by skoaldipper · · Score: 1
    1. you can expect to pay anywhere from $23 to $39 for a movie on Blu-ray disc... Betamax vs. VHS ring a bell? game.

    2. Sony Pictures is going to limit distribution at first to retailers who also sell Blu-ray hardware... Retail chains typically stock these types by isolating them on obscure shelves, you know, for the sophisticated lot who fire up Cuban cigars with C notes. set.

    3. Pioneer said it plans to market its Blu-ray player in June for about $1,800. Samsung plans a similar machine in the spring for about $1,000. Toshiba, meanwhile, promised to have two HD-DVD-based models out by March at prices of $500 and $800. match.
    --
    I hope, when they die, cartoon characters have to answer for their sins.
    1. Re:Ode to Blu-Ray... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      3. Pioneer said it plans to market its Blu-ray player in June for about $1,800

      Leaving Pioneer puzzled as to why its not selling while those $300 - $400 PS3's are flying off the shelves.

    2. Re:Ode to Blu-Ray... by skoaldipper · · Score: 1

      Because one is a DVD player and the other a game console? And the xbox 360 sells for around $300, which is line with the competition (the PS3)?

      --
      I hope, when they die, cartoon characters have to answer for their sins.
    3. Re:Ode to Blu-Ray... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A game console _AND_ a Blu-Ray player. So instead of splurging $1800 on a player, you splurge $300-400 on a device that can not only read the damn discs, but also has the ability to play games. Win win, anyone?

    4. Re:Ode to Blu-Ray... by stanmann · · Score: 1

      And the PS3 is slated to have Blu-Ray

      --
      Food not Bombs is a nice platitude but it breaks down when you notice that the Bombees are usually well fed
    5. Re:Ode to Blu-Ray... by skoaldipper · · Score: 1
      Aha! I see the light! That is a win win scenario.

      What about my market though? Someone who's never played or owned a game console but currently owns a HD set and antennae. And as that consumer, I would still be inclined to purchase an HD-DVD set (movies and players) over pricier blu-ray alternatives. Maybe I'm old, but most people I know don't even have PS2(s) as their primary (or sole) DVD player in their home entertainment center. The kids occasionally play their DVD(s) in their room with it.

      I remember the old DVD-R+/- format mess. I put off purchases because of it. Maybe when dual format players come out, the industry standard will merge as well. Time will tell, and so will my wallet.
      --
      I hope, when they die, cartoon characters have to answer for their sins.
    6. Re:Ode to Blu-Ray... by jargoone · · Score: 1

      I remember the old DVD-R+/- format mess.

      Me too. It's not hard to remember, either, because it's still going on! It's not old at all, and is still a mess.

  44. Hehe ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Even at the theoretical maximum future capacity of Blu-ray, that will still be 10 disks.

    If you buy it right away ( dual-layer ) then it would still be around 40 !

    (I'm making the assumption that each disk is full, which probably isn't true, but oh well)

    1. Re:Hehe ... by nmccart · · Score: 1

      I think that was what I was thinking about. Having not actually purchased the $1700 set from Amazon (c'mon ... win that lottery), I would consider having 10 to 20 discs represent my entire Star Trek collection ... just a thought

      --
      Funny sigs make your Karma go down.
  45. What about recordable media? by NewKimAll · · Score: 1

    I personally don't care how much one of these new HD DVDs cost. All I care about is if I can get recordable media for no more than $5 a disc when they first come out and drop down to $1 a disc later on. Even then, I might not care because I think Blu-Ray is too little too late and will be crushed into the ground IF Holographic technology truly holds up to it's promise of being released at the end of 2006 with a reasonable consumer cost. Of course, that's a big "if" (in case you hadn't noticed).
    --
    What's this semi-clear, rectangular piece of junk? **TOSS** NOOOO! That was my entire movie/music collection on Holographic media!!

  46. Mod parent Funny! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's ironiriffic.

  47. Well, no sh|t! by Warlock7 · · Score: 1

    What were people expecting? The prices to be the same? This is a new and better technology.

    The original cost to buy a single DirecTV DSS receiver and dish when they came out was around $1200. They're now, several years later, giving them away to get people to subscribe to the service.

    Patience grasshoppers these prices will come down too.

  48. Yes by ModernGeek · · Score: 0, Troll

    Is there an alternative to Slashdot?

    Yes

    --
    Sig: I stole this sig.
  49. CD Class Action Settlement, redeux by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I'm remembering when the major labels were accused of price fixing on CD's when they were new to the market. Basically, they decided to artificially charge more for essentially the same content, even though the manufacturing costs were less than with other media like tape.

    Is there going to be a similar issue with new "HD" content being more expensive, even though the technology to produce MAY be similar in cost (no, I don't know the cost of manufacturing a BluRay DVD vs a standard DVD).

    In other words, does this cost more because it's more expensive, or cost more because the studios want to extract the most money possible?

    There's a website with more details on the DC case and settlement.

    1. Re:CD Class Action Settlement, redeux by u16084 · · Score: 1

      Consumers think "HD" automatically = higher prices... with the current trends of HD products falling.. shouldnt really be a case... Take for example ignorance of consumers who bought into the whole "Makes your windows/glass look like HD"

      --
      -- I Dont Deserve A Sig I Have Bad Karma
  50. Another shocking prediction... by CarpetShark · · Score: 1

    Microsoft will fund articles like this right up until Blu-Rays launch and beyond, until their preferred format is dominant, or until they outflank the issues Blu-Ray presents for them.

  51. When to buy an HD Blu-Ray disc of your fav movie.. by NewKimAll · · Score: 1

    Ever notice during a movie during the dark or particularly red scenes how it gets all pixelated and yucky? THAT is the movie I'd re-purchase to get a high definition copy of provided the HD discs solve that issue. If someone could post a link explaining why red colors don't seem to compress well I'd appreciate it.
    Other than that, if I can't see any visible flaws in the movie, I have no problems sticking with the WideScreen version on my regular DVD. Oh yeah, for those who didn't make sure to buy WideScreen DVDs whenever they could, well, you should consider repurchasing the HD version provided you truly love it.
    --
    Blu-Ray? No, he's not my uncle who can't seem to find a date, it's a video technology.

  52. New moderation needed... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Between this post, and the parent post for this thread that you made, I really wish we had a -1; Annoying tone mod.

    1. Re:New moderation needed... by vistic · · Score: 5, Funny

      Hi, remember me? I'm Annoying Tone... me and my buddy Repetition were just...

    2. Re:New moderation needed... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Please, go on. I'd like to hear what you have to say.

    3. Re:New moderation needed... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hi I don't what to contribute anything much. I just what to be on the ground floor if this turns into another slashdot meme. Like in soviet russia, beowulf cluster, hot grits or 3. profit.

  53. Re:Funny mod HOWTO by skoaldipper · · Score: 1
    > This lack of karma could explain why comedians generally live shorter and more traumatic lives despite the fact that they make many people laugh.

    ...and why as punishment, in their next life, they become cigarette smoking monkeys wearing tophats while grinding on accordians. And since they too make me laugh, even the cosmic irony of such a fate does not escape me.

    --
    I hope, when they die, cartoon characters have to answer for their sins.
  54. Early Adopters ALWAYS Get Screwed... by evilviper · · Score: 1

    This shouldn't be a surprise to anyone. Companies almost always take "early adopters" for granted, and introduce their products at a much higher price, to milk whatever extra money they can get out of them.

    If the price doesn't drop significantly within about 6 months... THEN perhaps it will be time to look at HD-DVD players once again, and compare.

    --
    Slashdot gets worse every day... Pipedot: News for nerds, without the corporate slant
  55. The only trouble is... by tkrotchko · · Score: 2, Interesting

    "What cost $23.45 in 1997 would cost $27.64 in 2005."

    Sure, but isn't the trend for hi-tech stuff to go down? Computers, mp3 plahyers, satellite radios are going down in price.

    This reminds me of when CD's were introduced. LP's were $8 and CD's were $16. They told us "Unfortunately, there are only 3 plants in the world that can make these disks. As soon as more production comes on line, these will be cheaper than LP's because they're cheaper to make".

    I guess they were lying.

    But on the plus side, Sony would never lie to do anything underhanded; their reputation is at stake. I'm sure the prices will go down later when more production is on-line.

    --
    You were mistaken. Which is odd, since memory shouldn't be a problem for you
    1. Re:The only trouble is... by thrillseeker · · Score: 1
      Sure, but isn't the trend for hi-tech stuff to go down?

      It does go down if you measure price vs. capability. Modern toys have more memory, speed, widgets, etc. vs old toys. Getting that capability in the old toys, if it was even possible, would have cost more than it does today.

    2. Re:The only trouble is... by shark72 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      "This reminds me of when CD's were introduced. LP's were $8 and CD's were $16. They told us "Unfortunately, there are only 3 plants in the world that can make these disks. As soon as more production comes on line, these will be cheaper than LP's because they're cheaper to make". I guess they were lying."

      Huh? That was back in the 80's, right? I was buying them, too. My recollection is that it was a few years before they came down to $16, but let's use your number.

      $16 in 1985 dollars is $28 in 2005 dollars. If prices hadn't gone down, you'd be paying $28 per CD today. The average price of a new CD is now less than $13. That's about $7 in 1985 dollars -- in other words, if CD prices hadn't gone down, as you claim, we'd have been paying $7 each for them back then.

      --
      Sitting in my day care, the art is decopainted.
    3. Re:The only trouble is... by Znork · · Score: 2, Insightful

      "As soon as more production comes on line, these will be cheaper than LP's because they're cheaper to make".

      Oh, the CD's were probably cheaper to make, but the recordings are state protected intellectual monopolies. Pricing is set as a function of what the customers can pay, not as a function of production cost enforced by competition. Revenue when you have monopoly control is maximized when a higher number of customers are unable to afford the product, so that the more surplus capital the consumers have, the higher the price will rise.

      See Wikipedia entry for Monopoly (specifically the monopoly pricing section) for further detail, and Deadweight_loss for the economic implications of it.

    4. Re:The only trouble is... by gfxguy · · Score: 1

      Yeah, but that doesn't answer the question about CDs, which basically haven't changed in capacity (well, there was a slight bump at one point).

      So when CD production went into overdrive, and they opened more plants, and CDs started outselling vinyl... instead of CD prices going down, they raised vinyl prices when, like he said, they were saying the format was so much easier to make that once they got the capacity the prices would go down.

      --
      Stupid sexy Flanders.
    5. Re:The only trouble is... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      As an aside, isn't it ridiculous that inflation over 20 years has been just under 100% in this case?

      Garbage noise peddled as music not withstanding, real prices for both DVD and CD have only very recently moved into closer range of VHS and audio tape. Yes, I remember paying over $20 for some VHS tapes, but it's trivial number compared to DVD. And you got that nigh unbreakable cassette that you could copy instead of a ludicrously fragile optical disc that's merely a license until the second you need the media replaced...

    6. Re:The only trouble is... by shark72 · · Score: 1

      "Oh, the CD's were probably cheaper to make, but the recordings are state protected intellectual monopolies."

      So is Coca-Cola. Only Universal (or whomever) can legally sell a Kelly Clarkson CD, and only the Coca-Cola corporation can sell the Coca-Cola formula. This is the case with innumerable brands and industries.

      "Pricing is set as a function of what the customers can pay, not as a function of production cost enforced by competition."

      You're correct that CD pricing is set according to the supply/demand curve (as are most things; notable exceptions being things like milk, which have government-induced price controls), but as these are semi-commodities, they're affected by competitive forces. Coke and Pepsi can get away with charging a little more than the competition, since they have an "intellectual monopoly" on the brand, as you've put it, but they don't have free reign. If they go too high, enough customers will decide that Royal Crown tastes just fine.

      "Revenue when you have monopoly control is maximized when a higher number of customers are unable to afford the product, so that the more surplus capital the consumers have, the higher the price will rise."

      True -- but only to a point. The law gives Universal (or whatever her record company is) and Kelly Clarkson a temporary monopoly on their work, but they are both beholden to the demand for Kelly Clarkson. The record companies, artists and songwriters also had legally granted temporary monopolies on lots of CDs that were complete and utter failures last year.

      --
      Sitting in my day care, the art is decopainted.
    7. Re:The only trouble is... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This temporary monopoly is currently 75 years after the death of the creator. At least until Steamboat Willie comes up for release into the public domain again.

    8. Re:The only trouble is... by mdwh2 · · Score: 1

      Sure, but isn't the trend for hi-tech stuff to go down? Computers, mp3 plahyers, satellite radios are going down in price.

      They do go down. You'll be able to get a Blu-ray disc for the same price in real terms as a DVD used to cost, and both of those items have been dropping in price.

      If you meant that price should go down and quality increase, then no, that has not been a trend in computers or anything else.

    9. Re:The only trouble is... by tbannist · · Score: 1

      Music CD price have remained high because of RIAA price fixing schemes.

      --
      Fanatically anti-fanatical
  56. The price is no surprise... by aibrahim · · Score: 2, Insightful
    it is basic economics.

    Right now, people are clamoring for HD content, and these movies are really the first taste. There is a HUGE demand relative to the available supply.

    I am utterly unsurprised at this pricing. It means we can expect retail prices about double DVD's for some time. The only good news there is that DVD prices will continue to fall as HD movies see increased competition and lower their prices.

    This will continue until two things happen:
    1. The HD format war is settled
    2. There are enough movies available so that simply being Blue-Ray HD isn't worthy of attention.

    This will allow volume effects to occur that allow for pricing reductions. Until then studio's will make more money from their "outdated" DVD sales pipeline than they could possibly generate from HD movies.

    So, give it a year or so. When there are a few million PS3's out there with BD-ROM's and people use them for watching movies (like they do PS2) then prices will tumble.

    Since I am in a predictive mood, I'll say that we'll get price breaks on per movie costs when we have two or more studios with 100+ titles released in HD format. We'll start to approach current DVD pricing when we have four or more studios with 1000+ titles available for purchase, and there are 200+ TV series for sale.

    If you think that is unreasonable drop by a Best Buy and count the number of titles they have on display.

    As an additional side effect, there will be a point when HD discs "take over" the market from SD video. WHen that happens DVD prices will tumble well below what we have seen VHS prices drop to- because DVD is much cheaper than VHS to replicate on a per disc basis. You can make a profit at retail on a $5 DVD, but you can't on a $5 VHS.

    Unlike the RIAA which depends on you buying a pice of music you are going to listen to time and again, the film industry depends on you buying LOTS of content you use infrequently and continuing to buy more and more. As a result of this difference the film/video folk will drive prices down for older products to clear inventory so they can get new product out the door.

    Remember that with time you'll be able to make a profit at retail on a $5 BD-ROM, so they have no qualms about dropping prices. They have already seen the value of volume sales.
    --

    Don't post innacurate information
    If you do, I swear by my pretty floral bonnet I will end you.
    1. Re:The price is no surprise... by danpsmith · · Score: 1
      Right now, people are clamoring for HD content, and these movies are really the first taste. There is a HUGE demand relative to the available supply.

      Who are these people? And how come I've never met a single one in my life?!?

      --
      Judges and senates have been bought for gold; Esteem and love were never to be sold.
  57. Actually, Quality isn't important. by Belial6 · · Score: 1

    I think we have gotten to the point that quality really isn't important anymore. Convenince is what people want. If people were first concerned about quality, you wouldn't see a single lossless audio format being used. Given that people will pay more for a lower quality audio track because they find it convenient says a lot.

    Unfortunatly for Blue-Ray, the new disks will not be more convenient. People moved from tape to disk because the move from serial access to (semi)random access was a huge convenince. Both the newer audio and newer video disks are not more convenient.

  58. Primarily driven by gaming... by Zantetsuken · · Score: 1

    Damn near all of the new "next gen" tech coming out such as the PS3's Cell, BD-ROMs, the Xbox360s (well, what superior tech does it use - add your own, just dont make my post the battlegrounds for a flamewar:(. The reason for the need for new high capacity optical discs is obvious - better graphics AND longer storylines (current gen DVDs have reached their limit and have to choose which the game values more). Most new console and PC games cost $50 or $40 bucks new, so personally I consider a mere $2x odd bucks nothing when it comes to buying optical discs (no, I dont buy a newly released game every week, its just that when I do, its a lot more than just a movie) so would you rather be able to fit the ENTIRE LOTR or Starwars saga on a SINGLE disc for only a (relatively) few bucks more or have 20 discs for one saga?

    1. Re:Primarily driven by gaming... by Lugae · · Score: 1

      Similarly, as the DVD format dramatically brought down the price of buying something like the LoTR, Star Wars, or television in packs, the reduced amount of media offered by HD will probably bring those costs down even further. That is, after the wholesale price goes down and adoption is more or less "complete."

  59. Re:When to buy an HD Blu-Ray disc of your fav movi by rocktonne · · Score: 1

    The red component of an image/movie frame is the most compressed, because the eye can't see contrast in this color well, but if an image is all red, this compression becomes obvious.

  60. Cheaper than DLT by Belisarivs · · Score: 1

    Cheaper, smaller, faster than DLT. While it might sound ludicrous to replace DVD media for entertainment and home use, it very well might be a better medium for backups, provided that RW media comes out soon at roughly the same price.

  61. nobody thinks about the bootleggers.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    what about the bootleggers that have to download a 28 GB ISO over bit torrent. I dunno about europe but here in the US our internet is way too slow for that. Its gonna drive my business way down yo.

  62. It's called "skimming the market". by mmell · · Score: 1
    First, only the "status" buyers (with plenty of cash to match their self-perceived status) will buy in (anybody here have any friends who bought LaserDisc back in the 80's? Five function LED digital watches that weighed about ten pounds and felt like you were wearing a brick on your wrist?).

    Then, the "keeping up with the jones'" buyers will buy in (with their budgets straining and groaning all the while). Now the price starts to drop, letting more of the "keeping up" crowd buy. Also, more robust, feature rich components start to become available until . . .

    Finally, at some magical "price point", Joe Sixpack a.k.a. everyman, starts buying the bloody things, even though he still needs an HD monitor (or at least an ED monitor) to actually see the quality improvement of this format over NTSC - you know, "never the same color". BTW, somebody oughtta warn ol' Joe before he plunks down his hard-earned, or there'll be hell to pay when he plugs this thing in and voila - no visible improvement over good ol' DVD.

    If you know any marketing 'droids, ask them about it. Also remember ancient wisdom - "Never buy anything new. Give it a year; see if anybody dies from it first!"

  63. Why would they release the episodes on fewer discs by highonlife · · Score: 1

    Am i the only one who thinks this? Isnt believing "Each disc will hold more, so they will release more episodes of my favorite show on each disc" very naive.
    The way they make money on these discs is by volume of discs sold. If they were to sell fewer discs, then even with a few dollars more per disc, it would be a major loss to the companies.
    An easy present example is the anime dvd's out there. Even with dual layer 18 GB DVD's out there, you are still stuck with 3 episodes per dvd. These anime cartoons probably dont even take up 1-2 GB.
    Which is probably why most of the hype only revolves around resolution and HDTV. Not about that amount of extra material you are going to get in the disc.

  64. Pointless Resolution? by miyako · · Score: 1

    It seems to me that lately the largest market for DVDs has been TV shows. I know that personally I've only bought 1 movie in the last several months, but I have purchased several television seasons on DVD. It's the same for most of my friends as well. The thing about it is that for this all that extra resolution is pretty much useless. None of the shows I watch are shown in HD (in fact, the majority of them were off the air before ANYTHING was shown in HD). It seems to me that if this trend continues, it will be several more years before most shows are in HD. Until then, it seems like this extra resolution is pointless even for people who have HDTVs.
    It seems to me like they are going about marketing the format in the wrong way. I have an HDTV and I know that I am not particularly excited by the prospect of being able to buy bluray movies. On the other hand, I think a lot of people would be excited about this as a new higher capacity backup media for PCs. I've just recently seen Dual Layer DVD burners becomming common, and it seems like there could have been a good market in selling BluRay has having more capacity than DLDVD burners. As hard drives get bigger, it gets to be more trouble to back up and restore from backups. I recently had a hard drive crash and ended up having around 20 DVDs worth of data to restore from backups.

    --
    Famous Last Words: "hmm...wikipedia says it's edible"
    1. Re:Pointless Resolution? by wildcardj · · Score: 1

      Actually, most new network shows are in HD. HBO's shows are all in HD too (probably Showtime and such as well, I only get HBO).

      Now, whether you like to watch those or not is another issue, but going forward most tv shows will be in HD (I'm sure cable will catch up soon enough, once cable/sat companies support a larger number of HD channels, right now they mostly just have networks+ESPN+HBO/etc).

  65. The real reason why they will be more expensive by n0w0rries · · Score: 0, Troll

    Movie theaters get more and more expensive--I refuse to go to them anymore. I have a big screen at home and a nice surround sound setup. I have a clean bathroom a short walk away. I can pause the movie. I have access to my kitchen, food and drinks (including adult beverages). and the best part--nobody else to disturb me! So why would I go to the theater? More and more people are staying home. They've been talking about releasing movies on DVD and in theater at the same time (or shortening the time to release). With more people renting DVDs and staying home, they need to figure a way to make more money off this. Enter BluRay and HD-DVD! Here's an idea, instead of buying the next steaming pile that hollywood shoves down your throat, GO OUTSIDE! WOW!! SUPER HD WITHOUT DRM! AND IT'S FREE!! We need to stop caring about hollywood. I wish people would get a clue. All the star gossip, all the awards shows--who cares what brad pitt did last night? Does he care what I did? Why isn't anybody disturbed that these actors get paid millions, and then ON TOP OF THAT we have big award parties and give them awards as well! Then they shove their agenda down your throat (like YAY! FOR HOMOSEXUALS AL LA BROKENBACK MTN) Oh wait, the rant light just came on my keyboard... I better sign off.

    1. Re:The real reason why they will be more expensive by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Then they shove their agenda down your throat (like YAY! FOR HOMOSEXUALS AL LA BROKENBACK MTN)

      Funny how no one complains about the agenda of propaganda like "Passion of the Christ"...

  66. Someone will buy it by aplusjimages · · Score: 1

    I never buy new technology when it first comes out anyways. There's always problems, it's too expensive, and I always know that 6 months or a year from now they will make it smaller, faster, and cheaper. Thanks to all you impulsive buyers and tech heads who have to have it right now because you help drive the cost down for those of us who buy later.

    --
    Can I bum a sig?
  67. Bad Link by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    403 Forbidden:
    Forbidden
    You don't have permission to access /divas/jovovich/images/j12_jpg.jpg on this server.

    Additionally, a 404 Not Found error was encountered while trying to use an ErrorDocument to handle the request.
  68. Re:Funny mod HOWTO by Amouth · · Score: 1

    oh man.. you read way to far into that comment.. i was waiting to get moded offtopic or troll..

    they like to do that to me..

    --
    '...if only "Jumping to a Conclusion" was an event in the Olympics.'
  69. No it won't. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    it can give you orders of magnitude higher resolution.

    No, it can't. I just paid a thousand bucks for a new 42" TV the year before last, and I expect to be watching it twenty years from now.

    It has 525 scan lines, and you're not going to get any better resolution than that with any tech save a new TV. It doesn't matter how many pixels it has, it's only going to show 525 vertical on my TV.

    AFTER the spectrum has gone digital, everyone os broadcasting in HD, and my $1,000 TV starts going on the fritz, THEN perhaps I'll think about shelling out for one of those puppies.

    Of course, by then my new TV will look like a rolled up window shade (or be directly painted on the wall), be four meters wide and three high, and cost maybe thirty bucks in today's money.

    And oh yeah, Blue-Ray will be obsolete by then, even if it doesn't get its lunch eaten by the other spec out today like Beta got eaten by VHS.

    I have one word for anybody who buys one of these...

    LOSER!!!

    -mcgrew
    (non-MRC="lucked")

    1. Re:No it won't. by _avs_007 · · Score: 1

      AFTER the spectrum has gone digital, everyone os broadcasting in HD

      That's not true. The new FCC rules will mandate broadcasts be digital, but it doesn't require it to be high-def.

  70. Price of Blu-Ray starts at $17.95 by doctor_no · · Score: 2, Informative

    The price of Blu-ray wholsales for $17.95 (which is the same price as when DVDs first launched), the $23.45 price point is for new-releases only.

    Being that the average profit for large retailer for DVDs is ~$4, I would expect Blu-ray disks to cost $20-$25 catalog titles, and $25-30 for new-releases depending on how agressively the retailer is trying to sell them. Many retailers (BestBuy, Walmart, etc) also also sell them close to cost to bring foot traffic into their stores.

    IMHO, seems like a resonable price for 1080p movies, the title of this thread should really say "Blu-ray Discs Won't Be Cheap (but not that expensive either)"

    Also correction for Zonk, the poster of this thread.

    >>Movies like "Hitch" and "Terminator 2", etc. are catalog releases, and won't be sold wholesale at $23.95.

    >>Also, for the statement "forthcoming price of Sony Blu-Ray HD DVDs", Blu-ray isn't HD-DVD. They are different formats.

    1. Re:Price of Blu-Ray starts at $17.95 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      OK, I'll bite at being the nazi for a moment...

      Also, for the statement "forthcoming price of Sony Blu-Ray HD DVDs", Blu-ray isn't HD-DVD. They are different formats.

      Sony Blu-Ray HD DVD is an appropriate term, because it is referring to High Definition Digital Versatile Disc, not HD-DVD. There is an ever so subtle difference.

    2. Re:Price of Blu-Ray starts at $17.95 by Aegis9975bb2 · · Score: 1

      "OK, I'll bite at being the nazi for a moment...

      Also, for the statement "forthcoming price of Sony Blu-Ray HD DVDs", Blu-ray isn't HD-DVD. They are different formats.

      Sony Blu-Ray HD DVD is an appropriate term, because it is referring to High Definition Digital Versatile Disc, not HD-DVD. There is an ever so subtle difference."


      No Anonymous Coward, you're wrong. "Digital Versatile Disk", "DVD", "HD-DVD", and "High Definition Digital Versatile Disc" are all trademarked and owned by the DVD consortium. Sony cannot call their Blu-ray format a HD-DVD, no more as they can call it a HD-VCD,or their Beta a VHS (or vis versa), or anything else that is trademarked. The proper term would be something akin to "High-definiton format" or "High-definition optical disk format".

      Hell, before the term "Digital Versatile Disk" was made-up, two formats "super-dencity disk"(SD) (Matsushita, Toshiba, Warner Bros, et al.) and "multimedia CD" (Sony/Philips) was merged into "digital video disk"(DVD) format. Sony/Philips tried to play off the ubiquotous nature of the the "Compact Disk" trade mark they own to lauch the MMCD, Sony would later use the CD brand to unsuccesfully lauch the SACD. Later, MMCD and SD did become DVD, but Blu-ray is NOT an HD-DVD. I'm sure Toshiba and the DVD consortium wouldn't like that either . .

  71. Porn by jaweekes · · Score: 1

    But when will the first Blu-Ray Porn movie be out?

  72. You're buying the extra bits by swb · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I think your argument would be valid if what was coming out on Blue-Ray was the exact same collection of VOB files that existed on the current DVD.

    But it's not; on the Blue-Ray disc you get the high definition version of the movie and this is a different product.

    The reverse question makes some sense, though -- if you buy a Blue Ray of some movie and it is otherwise identical content-wise to the DVD version of the same movie, shouldn't you be entitled to get a DVD copy of the movie for the cost of the media, or at least *make* a DVD copy yourself? Because in those cases, you're not getting a different product.

    1. Re:You're buying the extra bits by evilviper · · Score: 1
      your argument would be valid if what was coming out on Blue-Ray was the exact same collection of VOB files that existed on the current DVD.

      But it's not;

      Then apply the same question to scratched/broken discs. I've contacted companies and tried to get a replacement of an unplayable disc. Basically, they'll *only* charge you the full retail price of the movie for a new copy, if you send them the damaged disc...

      So, I have a grand total of about 5 DVDs, and no intention of ever buying more. If it wasn't for Netflix being a good solution, I wouldn't be paying for any movies at all, ever again.
      --
      Slashdot gets worse every day... Pipedot: News for nerds, without the corporate slant
    2. Re:You're buying the extra bits by swb · · Score: 1

      I've read that Disney will charge you some nominal fee (more than $3, less than full price) for a replacement disc.

      I don't disagree with your gripe about damaged discs, though, they SHOULD be willing to replace the media -- or just admit that they're selling me the movie and not a license.

  73. Money Money Money! by Cid+Highwind · · Score: 1

    1: DVD players and discs have gotten cheap. Sony isn't making as much profit on them as they used to, so it's time to introduce a new format that costs 3 times as much.

    2: Sony gets to license the patents related to blu-ray to all other electronics makers, so they get a cut of the action from everyone who sells a blu-ray player or blu-ray discs.

    3: Blu-ray DRM is much stronger than DVD CSS. It'll be harder for people to make backup copies or share Sony Pictures movies on P2P networks. Even if they don't sell any more discs, they'll get a warm fuzzy feeling about "solving" the piracy problem.

    4: Lack of HD content (especially movies) is holding back sales of HD monitors. If everyone buys into the HDTV craze, Sony stands to make lots of money selling new TVs.

    5: Once everybody buys a blu-ray player and HDTV, they'll re-buy a lot of movies in blu-ray format, and Sony stands to make a lot more money there.

    Or did you mean what's better for the customer? Well, there is the "more pixels" thing, but that's about it.

    --
    0 1 - just my two bits
  74. DTS and Pink Floyd by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Pink Floyd's discography is the only titles Ive ever considered buying a "special legit superdupercool version"

    But all that is available is that silly S-CD. Dumb dumb dumb. I want those mixed in DTS so badly. I would pay a premium for them.

    Yet another stupid choice that makes me not buy CDs. I havnt bought a new cd in more then 8 years now.

  75. Re:Funny mod HOWTO by stanmann · · Score: 1

    Yes, Funny like watching a 25 year old guy being mugged by a street gang of little old ladies who can't get by on their pensions

    --
    Food not Bombs is a nice platitude but it breaks down when you notice that the Bombees are usually well fed
  76. Would it be legal to download a "backup" copy? by rolfwind · · Score: 1

    Hmmm.... a purely academic question here as I am personally boycotting (not in not paying for, actually not viewing as well) any MPAA/RIAA content.

    But from the summary. "Some of the movies to be released in the first batch by Sony are The Fifth Element, Desperado, Hitch, House of Flying Daggers, Legends of the Fall, and Terminator."

    Let's say I already own Terminator (1 and 2) on DVD, would I be able to download the HD version legally and have it qualify as "Fair Use" back-up? (I don't care about the legal situation of the man distributing it for purposes of this question.)

    Why or why not? I already own the movie.

    Before you groan and tell me why I can't - let me put this in perspective - would you answer be different if someone owned a VHS copy of a movie and wanted a back-up on his harddrive, thus downloads the "higher" quality DVD off a P2P - after all, he justs wants a fair-use back-up of a movie he owns on his harddisk.

  77. already exists by Prince+Vegeta+SSJ4 · · Score: 1

    At least for CD's and DVD's, they are called D Skins. I have some, but have not tried them yet.

  78. Well if you have the TV.. by Tylerious · · Score: 1

    Why are the people complaining about DVD prices the same ones with the $2000 52-inch plasma HDTV?

  79. Sony has effectively killed Blu-Ray by dbfruth · · Score: 2, Insightful

    It won't matter how much better Blu-Ray is over HD-DVD if Sony can't get the prive down. Granted new technology is always more expensive when it is first released but in the end your average consumner is going to make a decision that is in some part based on price. If Joe Sixpack is looking to the upgrade his DVD player and he goes to Worst Buy and sees two options side by side, One is the Sony BDP-S1 Priced at $1000 (low end of most estimates) and the Toshiba HD-A1 Priced at $499.99 (Amazon) and they are both playing HD 1080i content. What do you think he is going to choose? Now you have to remember that Joe could give a shit that the Blu-Ray disk holds more content, all he sees is the fact that the disks and player both cost more. Joe just wants to play HD content on his new 64" HDTV. If Sony were smart they would swallow their pride and price Blu-Ray at $499.99 to compete with HD-DVD. The problem is this won't happen, and Sony's baby will fail because of it. You can't price something twice that of the competing offering and expect people to choose based soley on your technical merits. BetaMax was better than VHS but more expensive and remember what happend there? I guess Sony dosen't learn from their mistakes.

    1. Re:Sony has effectively killed Blu-Ray by TheSkepticalOptimist · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Wonder why "new technology" should cost so much?

      Lets face it, we were ripped off when DVD's first appeared on the market with $1000 DVD players. It was a cash grab by the industry to make a quick profit before the mainstream got a hold of them. They might cite that R&D costs make the original DVD players expensive, but get real. DVD technology is based on 20+ year old CD technology. It was adapted to work with higher capacity disks. Today you can get a DVD player for $30.

      Same goes for next gen DVD. I mean, what did they do? Used a different wavelength laser. You could probably take the same box of a regular DVD player, swap out a few components and controller card that cost a a total of $5.00 and make a Blu-Ray, HD-DVD player. Sony et al are simply going to charge a 1000% markup because they know there are going to be early adopters that will spend a fortune, only to find 3 years later the price of a next gen DVD player at $20.

      I won't be fooled this time.

      First, there is a definite format war going on, so I will wait until one format emerges as the winner.
      Second, when it comes to digital technology, the price of these players will plummet exponentially in the next 3 years. Something $1000 today will be available for $50 in a couple years with tonnes of new features. I mean, those $1000 original DVD players didn't even have progressive scan output.

      As for the actual movie prices, DVD was slow to catch on in the first little while because of the cost of movies. I remember seeing RoboCop movies selling for $45 Canadian. Then a movie like The Matrix came out selling for under $20, and it was the quickest and highest selling retail movie of all time. Then DVD movies sales skyrocketed. $40+ high definition DVD's won't sell, $20 ones will. The industry will figure that one out again quickly. If Sony doesn't realize that before HD-DVD promoters, then Sony's format will die again.

      --
      I haven't thought of anything clever to put here, but then again most of you haven't either.
  80. Nobody will buy them in Europe by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    In markets with less HDTV presence than the US nobody would give a damn for Blue Ray movies.
    This will probably follow the same way of DVD-Audio unless they totally replace DVDs out of the market (and it wont happen as long as there is not near 95% market share or HDTV setups).

  81. Ah, the memories by VisiX · · Score: 1

    I could never buy DVD-A discs. If you told your friend you got a new DVD-A disc and he had previously seen the movie "Orgasmo", he would either never speak to you again or, even worse, try to watch it with you.

  82. I'll wait for Non/Broken DRM by GodWasAnAlien · · Score: 1

    DRM allows the media industry to keep obsoleting media, similar to the analog model, to trigger consumer re-purchaces of the same media. Expiring media would be even better, but DIVX and fading-ink-DVDs did not work. Expiring by forced obsolecence is the next best thing.

    This combined with invinite copyright laws allow media companies to have a constant revenue stream with no new material.

    And this does not include stomping out fair-use and any ability to skip annoying commercials in purchased movies.

    I will wait for something that I can play in linux.

  83. DVDs were cheaper by evilninjax · · Score: 1
    I recall one of the reasons for early adopters to buy into DVD ($30) was that it was CHEAPER than Laserdiscs ($39.99 msrp) or VHS (mostly rental priced at $99.99 msrp).


    It will be a much tougher sell to get people to jump onto the BR bandwagon, i think.

  84. Not a slam-dunk for netflix by LunaticTippy · · Score: 1
    Most of the people I know who use netflix rip movies.

    I think unless there is an easy way to rip blu-ray/HD-DVD demand will grow pretty slowly. Not that I have any doubt that it will be done, but the MPAA will fight it.

    I almost forgot about how much they fought de-CSS until I had to install a dvd-rom on a new system and get it to play dvds. Non-trivial.

    --
    Man, you really need that seminar!
    1. Re:Not a slam-dunk for netflix by Phil+Wilkins · · Score: 1

      Most of the people you know are OCD hoarders. Most of the people I know who use NetFlix, watch the disc, then move on to the next thing. Life's too short.

    2. Re:Not a slam-dunk for netflix by LunaticTippy · · Score: 1
      heh, you're right.

      I personally like to skip the ads, but can't unless I play with my PC, using non-MPAA sanctioned drivers.

      --
      Man, you really need that seminar!
  85. Laser disk by Belseth · · Score: 1

    Everyone is using CDs as a price comparison. Anyone out there a former Laser Disk fan? Fifteen years ago the base price for new releases was $35, with some running much more. Feature heavy disks could run twice as much. There were also collector disk sets running in the hundreds. Why on earth pay that much when a VHS tape could be gotten for $20 or less? Quality. The picture was excellent and the sound blew away DVDs. Even with a cheap sound system the sound was excellent and resembled what you heard in a theater. Initially the HiDef formats will be aimed at the collectors. Would I pay $50 for a film I like? Absolutely. In adjusted dollars it's still cheaper than Laser was and the quality will be much higher. The experience of going to a theater has gotten to bad due to cell phones and rude obnoxious people that I can't wait for HiDef disks and opening day HD broadcasts of films. The day most films are broadcast on Pay Per View HiDef opening day is the day I buy a Good DLP projection system and never set foot in a theater again.

    1. Re:Laser disk by Run4yourlives · · Score: 1

      Anyone out there a former Laser Disk fan

      Talk about proving the opponent's point for them.

  86. If Only.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If only FMD-ROM hadn't sank under the weight of gullible nerds accepting money [backing] from unscrupulous people. For those of you who remember the hype with FMD-ROM, I'm sure that nobody would care about blu- this and HD- that.

    For those of you who never heard of FMD-ROM, it stands for Flourescent Multilayer Disk (FMD). Basically, back in 1999 a bunch of scientist came up with a way to make a disk that had many layers that could all be read at the same time (throughput of 1Gb/s). First generation hand-made disks contained roughly 100 GB of storage space (same size as a CD or DVD). It was estimated that manufactured disks would have roughly 120Gb of space and use of blue lasers (HD-DVD and Blu-Ray anyone?) would increase their storage to roughly 1TB per disk. I know many IT pros who would have beaten their bosses to death for not being an early adopter to replace tapes as the secure offsite storage medium. Manufacturing cost estimates were only 5-15% above the price of CDs (hardware and media) at the time, and the hardware could easily be reverse compatible.

    They had working prototypes and were on the verge of bringing the tech to the manufacturers when their bank loan came due and their money man vanished in the night. A few UK HDTV companies and I think two PC optical drive manufacturers secured the rights to build the hardware. Several of the media manufacturers had the specs for the discs but had not secured the rights to reproduce it before the company (Constellation 3D, C3D) went bankrupt and belly up. I'm not sure who holds the rights to the technology since the company that the patents and copyrights were registered under dissolved, but I bet HD-DVD and Blu-Ray would have a real hard time if FMD made a sudden comeback.

  87. FUCK YOU SONY - I'M STEALING IT by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    DVD Jon better get to crack-a-lackin - I lived with 30 minute MP3 downloads back in the day - I can live with day long HD movie downloads.

  88. Terminator DVD by dtfinch · · Score: 1

    I recently saw Terminator III DVD's for $5.50 at WalMart.

  89. Insightful? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    480i ISN'T overkill AT ALL! It's the absolute crappiest resolution - it IS standard definition, that's your shitty analog cable you're watching everyday. How's that overkill exactly? Looks like absolute garbage to me, and I don't even have a HDTV. Interlacing sucks. 480p is an ABSOLUTE BARE MINIMUM (still standard definition)!

  90. HD DVD Players by sl0cb · · Score: 0

    I thought HD DVD players would be a lot more expensive, but not so. http://hd-dvd.buy-on-sale.com/ Anyone know when HD-DVD players for PC will be available?

    --
    Ready for HD DVDs? http://hd-dvd.buy-on-sale.com
  91. Re:DTS CDs by UCFFool · · Score: 1

    Yeah, love DTS CD's. I have 2 of them because they play on ANY DVD player and home theater combo and sound amazing. DTS rocks. Just had to give you props for mentioning them.

    I care more about a DVD w/ DTS than I would a HDDVD with DolbyDigital.

    --
    "The more pity, that fools may not speak wisely what wise men do foolishly" - Touchstone,Shakespeare's "As You Like It"
  92. Phil Hartman? by antdude · · Score: 1

    Troy McClure, is that you? [grin]

    --
    Ant(Dude) @ Quality Foraged Links (AQFL.net) & The Ant Farm (antfarm.ma.cx / antfarm.home.dhs.org).
  93. Past - I don't think so by AviLazar · · Score: 1

    Sorry, no, according to this you do not exist. Go back you foul demon, back I say!!!!

    --

    I mod down so you can mod up. Your welcome.
  94. Sony - the One and Only by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 1

    This pricing is the result of a monopoly. At first it seems like movies on the home video rack represent a diversity of choices and alternatives - multiple movies, multiple distributors, all competing for your video dollar (euro/yen/peso - but probably not yuan ;). But each movie is a unique item. With "exclusive distribution" deals, there's only one vendor of each unique item. The demand for competition, met only by piracy, is the biggest enemy of the MPAA - bringing with it customer-punishing exaggerated lawsuits.

    Sure, most Hollywood movies are interchangeable in the same mass market. But somehow, they all cost the same, with huge profits and low risks. That is the fingerprint of either a monopoly, a cartel, or a price-fixing scheme.

    Of course, movies are made by a single entity, a producer, so some monopoly is always inevitable. But like any other "invention", America's property laws accommodate that monopoly by allowing a limited time in which inventors can recoup their investment. That time has also been exploded into perpetuity, also by the MPAA. Who can blame them for going after a perpetual monopoly? But we can blame the people's representatives in Congress, who defy the people and the Constitution when they give the MPAA that unlimited empire.

    Let the producers get a year, or 200% their dollar cost, or a second chance in any new medium under those same terms, in which to profit. After that, the limited temporary monopoly protection granted by the people to the inventors should expire. Even if we only get requirements for an open market for distributors with competitive bidding, it will be a useful "compromise".

    --

    --
    make install -not war

  95. DVHS Comparison by jimbo333 · · Score: 1

    I, for one am happy at the prices shown, they sound MUCH less than what I am currently paying for DVHS HDTV movies, which are averaging $40, somtimes over $60 (http://www.dvhsmovie.com/movies/trailerpark.asp)!

  96. well by FirstNoel · · Score: 1

    You have a license for the NTSC 640x480 version of movie X because you bought it.
    You do not have a license for the HD 1920x180 version of movie X.

    It's a minor difference yes. But one the MPAA would/could focus on.

    You technically get more info with the HD version. And by downloading it with out having bought the "Official HD Version of X", it could be considered Copyright Infringement.

    I personally think it's BS. So I probably won't be buy BD or HD disks any time soon.

    Sean D.

    --
    "Hmm. I am to metaphor cheese as metaphor cheese is to transitive verb crackers!"
    1. Re:well by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wow, 1920x180 resolution? you must REALLY like widescreen.

    2. Re:well by rolfwind · · Score: 1

      Interesting and valid.

      I'm purely wondering about this because a lot of people buy music at iTunes at whatever rate it's ripped at, and then in 10 years, will they have to buy it again because their single copy of it is on a harddrive that crashes (I don't think Apple allows redownloads, don't know). By then, the bit rate will have quadrupled (fiber becomes prevalent or something). The quality is higher, sure, but most people won't know the difference - especially on computer speakers......

  97. Well at least they got one release I want. by lowmagnet · · Score: 1

    "The Fifth Element, Desperado, Hitch, House of Flying Daggers, Legends of the Fall, and Terminator."

    Terminator has such a terrible print, that it would be worthless in HD. T5E is almost a 'reference' disc, especially in Superbit. It's about the only movie from that list worth getting in any form from that list, too. Everything else is a 'rent'.

    --
    Heute die Welt, morgen das Sonnensystem!
  98. My, what a convenient number by sn00ker · · Score: 1

    $23.45?! I mean, come on people, if you're going to pull a number out of your arse at least make it look semi-random!

    --
    "God, root, what is difference?" - Pitr, userfriendly
    1. Re:My, what a convenient number by pclminion · · Score: 1
      $23.45?! I mean, come on people, if you're going to pull a number out of your arse at least make it look semi-random!

      If certain numbers are forbidden to occur because they don't "look random" enough, then by definition the numbers are not random. 23.45 is just as likely as 14.88. You happened to notice this time because it was... noticeable.

      At Pomona College there is a myth that "47" is the most commonly occurring number. Working under this belief, you will surprisingly find that 47 does pop up everywhere. However, 46, 48, and every other two digit number also pops up everywhere, the difference being that you don't notice those because they aren't what you are looking for.

      This is one of the most common misunderstandings of "randomness" I've seen.

  99. :Pointless Multiple Discs? by acomj · · Score: 1

    Those 4-5 dvd tv show seasons could probably fit nicely on one hd-dvd disc.

    I would like that.

    -

  100. Featureitis meets media types by danpsmith · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I was just talking about this phenomenon last night. DVDs have already reached the good enough point for most consumers. Even some people who have HD-TVs (my brother for example) don't know that DVD isn't true HD quality, because let's face it, it looks just fine how it is.

    Why they would try to give this product to consumers when it is obviously too expensive to market as a real DVD alternative is beyond me. Especially since I know I get by just fine on a divx rip of a movie. That's just like when they release surround audio CDs. It's going to be hard to convince a generation that just underwent an upgrade to pay more for an even less significant transition to some "a little better looking than DVD" format. Why doesn't the technology market wait until a media has matured in the R&D department before releasing it?

    --
    Judges and senates have been bought for gold; Esteem and love were never to be sold.
    1. Re:Featureitis meets media types by sinewalker · · Score: 1
      Why they would try to give this product to consumers when it is obviously too expensive to market as a real DVD alternative is beyond me. Especially since I know I get by just fine on a divx rip of a movie.
      Well, you just hit it straight away: Sony beleive they have "good" DRM with BlueRay. That's why. Of course, whether Sony are correct is another issue.
      --
      “Our opponent is an alien starship packed with nuclear bombs. We have a protractor.” — Neal Stepnenso
  101. lol... by Run4yourlives · · Score: 1

    The fact is that while people will accept those prices it doesn't mean they can afford them.

    However, that means in certain cases I have to completely bypass something I actually want.

    Are we saying that it's OK that I'm "too poor" to be able to afford [X]

    Are people actually walking around with this sense of entitlment? Do you realize that most people on this earth can't get enough food to eat? You know, the food they need?

    And here you are worried about what you want!

    1. Re:lol... by eno2001 · · Score: 1

      Ummm... you totally misread that. You'll note I put "too poor" in quotes because this has nothing to do with me being actually poor. No "entitlement" as you put it. Yes there are people who need food. But what does this have to do with my point? It's idiotic to think that people should just start dropping conveniences from their lives for economic reasons that are being forced on them by artificially inflated prices. To support your line of thinking, one would have to actually justify what these companies are charging for their products. And now that they have gotten away with such highway robbery, they've blazed the trail for the utilities and foods industires to do the same thing. When you're paying $500 a week for groceries and $2500 a month for heating gas in the winter in a decade or two, will you still be defending the outrageous overinflation of product and service prices by these thieves?

      --
      -"...bad old ideas look confusingly fresh when they are packaged as technology" - Jaron Lanier (Digital Maoism on Edge.o
    2. Re:lol... by ElboRuum · · Score: 1

      It's idiotic to think that people should just start dropping conveniences from their lives for economic reasons that are being forced on them by artificially inflated prices.

      Uh, wha? You just basically said "I'm owed convenience (read luxury) and at a reasonable price". Artificially inflated or not, nobody is owed a goddamned thing in this universe, and least of all are they owed this "my poor life just got a little less bright because this new tech is too 'spensive for me. UNFAIR!" You want to know why the RIAA and the MPAA can get away with churning out crap, make millions on it, and use the proceeds to sue every file sharing nut out there? Because people REFUSE TO STOP BUYING. This gadgeteering and constant 'content' overload has got everyone addicted to the latest what-the-hell-ever. You want to kill DRM? You want to stick it to the man? BOYCOTT until they cave. The entertainment industry banks on your addiction to keep it afloat, and only a big fat slap to their coffers is ever going to back off this silly crusade against fair use. Also, your analogous statements regarding the junk turned out by recording industries and necessities like food and heat are either a bit demagogic, or very telling.

  102. Durability by failedlogic · · Score: 1

    According to this Wikipedia link http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Blu-ray#Hard-coating_ technologya , the Blu-Ray discs are supposedly coated with a scratch-resistant coating. Why wasn't something like this though of when DVDs and CDs came out. I have a few discs which are unplayable and I've been quite carelful with the discs. Think I'm going to buy Blu-Rays (esp when you can't easily copy the content for backup) because of this? Hell no!

    (As an aside there's a 16-DVD TV box set of a show I want to buy. Considering the investment, what protection is avaialbe for DVDs that can protect the disc?)

  103. And I still won't buy movies on DVD by InsaneProcessor · · Score: 0

    How many times do you watch a movie. Once, and I know it from end to end. The crime is solved, the mystery is over, the scare is gone, the joke is old. How many times do you read the same novel?

    Only those who truly have no life watch the same movie multiple times.

    Rent it once for $0.99 at the grocery store and watch it once. Any more than that and you are flushing your money down the toilet.

    --

    Athiesm is a religion like not collecting stamps is a hobby.
  104. George Lucus has a twinkle in his eye right now... by DarthVain · · Score: 1

    Mmmmm can't wait to add the 129$ Starwars Trilogy: Blue-Ray Edition... to my collection.

  105. Oh, I understand that... by tkrotchko · · Score: 1

    My point is that Sony will claim production costs of BluRay is higher justifying their cost when in fact the production costs are in line with a CD. They're getting higher prices because, well, they think they can.

    --
    You were mistaken. Which is odd, since memory shouldn't be a problem for you
  106. HD without Blu-Ray or HD-DVD! by Xesdeeni · · Score: 1

    A Terminator DVD is available for $9.99.

    And for the same price, you can get Terminator 2 at (Amazon.com).
    And oh BTW, that version already has an HD version .

    Red DVDRs with DiVX, MP4 or (ech!) WMV in HD, played using DVD players available from JVC, Iodata, Buffalo, Zensonic, etc. are the way to go!

    Xesdeeni

  107. Except sony has shown poor judgement on this by tkrotchko · · Score: 1

    UMD movies for PSP? Those should be $8 apiece. If they were, Sony would create an actual reason to buy a PSP player. So they price the player at $250 and the movies at $20-25 and after a burst of enthusiasm, I think the UMD format is headed for the crapper.

    Sony blew it big time with UMD movies, and they'll blow it again with BluRay movies.

    --
    You were mistaken. Which is odd, since memory shouldn't be a problem for you
    1. Re:Except sony has shown poor judgement on this by DrXym · · Score: 1
      I have a PSP and I haven't bought a single video UMD on principle. To my mind, I would have to be frigging stupid to buy a movie for 20 euros when the same movie is available at better quality with more features on DVD for substantially less. When they start flogging them at 8 euros they might be tempting but not for what they cost now. If I really want to watch a film on a PSP, I can rip one myself from my DVD collection and console myself with a slightly reduced framerate and an extra 20 euros in my pocket.

      UMD movies are very nice to watch and I reckon there is a niche there for portable devices that play them. But it's not going to take off while Sony is bending their customers over and raping them.

  108. BluRay goes beyond HDTV. by YesIAmAScript · · Score: 2, Informative

    DVD's max resolution is 720x480 30 interlaced frames per second. That's 720x240, 60 fields per second. That's 10,368,000 pixels/second.

    BluRay goes beyond HDTV (1080i or 720p) to 1080p. That is 1920x1080 60 frames per second. That's 124,416,000 pixels/second.

    That's about 1.1x, which is an order of magnitude. That comes in just under the wire as "orders of magnitude" more resolution.

    And before you say "my DVD does progressive", it may output progressive, but the data on the disc is interlaces, your DVD is doing an intelligent algorithm to turn 720x480 interlaced 60 fields per second into true 720x480 progressive 24 frames per second. But movie progressive reverse pulldown actually produces even LESS actual data than the DVD can carry, so your DVD player doing this doesn't increase the information carried, just presents it in a much more pleasing manner.

    --
    http://lkml.org/lkml/2005/8/20/95
    1. Re:BluRay goes beyond HDTV. by tepples · · Score: 1

      BluRay goes beyond HDTV (1080i or 720p) to 1080p. That is 1920x1080 60 frames per second.

      Movies run at 24 frames per second, and there's no use in storing the same frame multiple times in a row. I'd take an educated guess that just about the only signal that residential end users will see in 1080p 60Hz is the output of a video game console.

    2. Re:BluRay goes beyond HDTV. by swilver · · Score: 1

      Ah yes, and all this old movie footage was shot at 60fps?

    3. Re:BluRay goes beyond HDTV. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "the data on the disc is interlaces,"

      No, it isn't. Anything shot at 24fps (most movies, high budget TV drama, some TV documentaries) is stored as 24fps full frame video with MPEG 2 flags to tell the player to re-assemble it as an interlaced TV picture.

      If the target is PAL the DVD contains instructions to play the video at 50 fields per second, with interlaced fields generated in hardware and the audio track is pre-processed for the increased playback speed.

      If the target is NTSC the DVD contains 3:2 pulldown instructions. These tell the player to turn each full frame into an A field and a B field, and then play 1A 1B 1A 2B 2A 3B 3A 3B 4A 4B and so on... at 60 fields per second. There's no need to tweak the sound in this case but in my opinion NTSC resolution is a little low (hence the greater interest in HD over that side of the pond).

      Combined with a high quality progressive scan player, a PAL DVD is a perfectly good way to watch a movie. In small private theatres I've watched an ordinary commercial DVD version when the cans were shipped with an incomplete film or just the wrong film altogether. It's not as good as a new 35mm print, but it's damn good on a decent screen. I think Blu-ray and its competitor stand as much chance of revolutioning home viewing at 70mm film did of taking over the multiplexes and city center theatres. Which is to say, hardly any.

  109. 1024x768 and VGA, how will Blu-ray play? by tepples · · Score: 1

    I'd dare say a large number of people are already capable of watching HD at home, whether one of their TVs in their homes, or on their computer monitor (most can display at least 1920x1080).

    I have an LCD monitor on each of 3 computers, and each one of them is only 1024x768 pixels, you insensitive clod! Besides, given that the majority of existing monitors do not support HDMI, will BD players even have a VGA output?

    1. Re:1024x768 and VGA, how will Blu-ray play? by evilviper · · Score: 1
      I have an LCD monitor on each of 3 computers, and each one of them is only 1024x768 pixels, you insensitive clod!

      I suspect you bought all three of them several years ago. LCDs sold in the past couple years are almost always higher resolution than that (except for the VERY cheap ones), and even very OLD CRTs can do much better. Besides, 1024x768 would be good enough for 720p... Hope your (old/cheap) LCD's response time is fast enough to display @60fps material without too much blur...

      Besides, given that the majority of existing monitors do not support HDMI, will BD players even have a VGA output?

      No, I'm certain they won't... However, consider HD-DVD/Blu-ray ROM drives for PCs, and (heavily DRMed) software players.
      --
      Slashdot gets worse every day... Pipedot: News for nerds, without the corporate slant
    2. Re:1024x768 and VGA, how will Blu-ray play? by tepples · · Score: 1

      (except for the VERY cheap ones)

      Yeah, being either underqualified or overqualified for every job I've seen is a female dog.

      Besides, 1024x768 would be good enough for 720p

      Nope, it's a 4:3. A 16:9 source such as a movie would play at 1024x576, which is no better vertically than PAL DVD.

      Hope your (old/cheap) LCD's response time is fast enough to display @60fps material without too much blur

      It's a good thing actual movies are 24fps...

      However, consider HD-DVD/Blu-ray ROM drives for PCs, and (heavily DRMed) software players.

      Which will blur everything out to 480p unless you're using HDMI (or, equivalently, DVI with HDCP).

    3. Re:1024x768 and VGA, how will Blu-ray play? by evilviper · · Score: 1
      A 16:9 source such as a movie would play at 1024x576, which is no better vertically than PAL DVD.

      You could easily pan-and-scan the video (ie. crop off the extreme edges) and be able to use MOST of the resolution.

      It's a good thing actual movies are 24fps...

      Yes, yes. I wasn't just talking about movies here.

      Which will blur everything out to 480p unless you're using HDMI (or, equivalently, DVI with HDCP).

      I know they're concerned about that, but I doubt they'll be so strict when push comes to shove. There's really no practical way to capture uncompressed analog 1080 material, and they'll probably work out some macrovision-esque scheme for computer monitors.
      --
      Slashdot gets worse every day... Pipedot: News for nerds, without the corporate slant
  110. Not all DTV is HDTV by tepples · · Score: 1

    All BROADCAST will be HD.

    No, all broadcast will be digital. This could be anywhere from digital 480i to digital 720p or 1080i depending on choices made by each station and its network.

    1. Re:Not all DTV is HDTV by RingDev · · Score: 1

      Correct, I misspoke. All broadcast will be moved to a different frequency range where current SD tramission will no longer be possible.

      -Rick

      --
      "Most people in the U.S. wouldn't know they live in a tyrannical state if it walked up and grabbed their junk." - MyFirs
  111. BD is no more a Sony product than CD was by tepples · · Score: 1

    it's also a question of will I pay anything for a Sony product.

    Blu-ray Disc is a Sony/Philips product. CD Digital Audio and CD-ROM were also Sony/Philips products.

  112. Disney re-releases @7 years by peter303 · · Score: 1

    Disney used to repeat its animated movies back to the theaters about every seven years because there would be a new generation of kids then.
    Now they re-release a similar schedule because the technology changes: VHS, DVD, HD-DVD ...

  113. Paid $500 for my first DVD player... by bradleyland · · Score: 1

    and I wasn't considered an "early adopter" amongst my friends at the time.

    In other words, I agree.

  114. High initial prices: approximating an auction by clem.dickey · · Score: 1

    From a seller's perspective, an auction is ideal. You offer just one disc. The person who wants/needs the item most will pay the top dollar. Then you offer a second disc. And so on down until you sell one to the least willing customer, who will pay just over manufacturing cost.

    It's not practical to sell Blu-ray discs one by one, so Sony has to do the same thing in batches. This is the first batch. The second should cost less.

    They will leave some money on the table. The most willing buyers, who would have paid $100 for a disc, pick it up for maybe $50 like veryone else.

  115. blue ray? by wwmedia · · Score: 1

    many of us are more interested in the price of blank dvds

  116. Don't forget the play length and lifetime by MushMouth · · Score: 1

    The median play length of new releases have increased since the CD became the standard media. As well the lifetime of the actual disc has increased (a CD skip is much more annoying than a record skip) as pressed CDs don't actually wear out as a tape or vinyl record played with a non-laser stylus. When Tape/Albums where the format of choice we were stuck at just over 45 minutes as the standard. Now with CD's most new releases generally are longer than 50 minutes. Thus the price/minute skews this reduction of cost even further. You can say that there is now more filler, but there is no economic incentive for the record company to release filler, as they have to pay the Mechanical (songwriter's) royalty, which is paid on every track on every disc sold (it does not have to recoup any costs)

  117. WOW by Run4yourlives · · Score: 1

    It's idiotic to think that people should just start dropping conveniences from their lives for economic reasons that are being forced on them by artificially inflated prices.

    You know, it would convenient for me to have a private jet, and a condo in whistler, and one in Maui, and one in Rome while I'm at it. I could really get a lot more work done that way, with all the leisure time I'd have to de-stress. Damn those bastard corporations for making those things so artificially expensive!

    It's time for a little lesson in economics - mainly, supply and demand. If you want something, and so does everyone else, I will change you more. Simple as that. Want to stick it to me, "the man"?

    Don't "want" what I'm selling. Simple as that. Please tell me you aren't lacking this very basic understanding of how a capitalist system works...

    Ah hell, I must stop feeding the trolls

  118. Laziness and convenient by phorm · · Score: 1

    Hey Hal,

    I'd like to introduce you to two of my friends, laziness and convenience. While buying a HD-DVD version of what you can get for cheaper in normal DVD is silly, getting normal DVD-quality with the capacity of 5 discs stuffed into one blu-ray disc would not be.

    Seasons of episodes which come in a box of five discs, swapping discs when the current 3 episodes are done... how about a single disc and no swapping.

    *that* might be a reason for me to buy a new format (if not for the other concerns such as DRM and fragility etc), super-duper-wow-both-look-the-same-on-my-tv isn't...

    1. Re:Laziness and convenient by Yartrebo · · Score: 1

      You can already fit 1-2 seasons onto a single DVD using xvid format. On a normal TV with the standard 2 built-in speakers, you're unlikely to notice the difference. And that's a single-sided DVD (4.3GB).

  119. Hitch? by llZENll · · Score: 1

    "is 56 percent more than the $14.99 it costs to buy a new DVD of Hitch from BestBuy.com"

    thats no big deal as no one should be buying that movie

  120. HDTV adoption wi1ll drive Blu-Ray (& HD-DVD) s by daniel422 · · Score: 1

    I haven't seen this point made yet, but the adoption of HDTV sets will drive the sales of higher res recorded formats. I don't know how many of you have watched a standard definition picture (480i or 480p)on a large format capable device (1080i or better) but it looks TERRIBLE! Without using VERY good scalars it looks like crap. Example: take that computer monitor you're staring at now and blow up a standard def TV stream to full screen. Look good? No. Right now, it takes $10k+ scalars to achieve decent image quality -- and they still have artifacts. The question is: good enough? I suspect it will be for most, but there will be plenty of early adopters who want more -- and will pay the premiums. Higher-res formats are necessary -- scalars are more of a patch. I also welcome the higher data contents these discs will be capable of. $24 wholesale means these will sell for $30 -- certainly a premium price, but as evidenced by the surviving (albeit struggling) high-end audio market -- there will be adopters. Much more so with video, I think, because the differences are that much more striking.

  121. under $25 by phriedom · · Score: 1

    I clearly remember one of the first DVDs I bought was The Matrix for $13, brand spankin new.

    IMHO, this is because Warner was doing everything it could to make sure people didn't adopt the Divx standard that Circuit City and Disney were trying to get to critical mass. Warner was putting almost it's entire back catalog on DVD and old movies were cheap. Then Divx died, mostly because it wasn't supported by enough studios and wasn't sold in enough stores, and after it was pronounced dead, all the DVD prices went back up.

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    Don't moderate flamebait as Troll. Know the difference or you will be Meta-moderated.
  122. NTSC res a little low? by YesIAmAScript · · Score: 1

    Your movies change speed when you watch them and you take the opportunity to knock our video format?

    Then you say our reason for interest in HD is because our res is low? How about because people are buying huge houses now (not me, mind you, can't afford it) and have screens large enough that even 576 lines doesn't look great? I'm sitting in front of a TV that if I turned it edge-on would almost bop me in the nose (55" TV at about a 70" viewing distance), and I'm not alone. I've stopped buying DVDs nearly completely (about 3/year) because I don't see the point in owning a movie forever in a format that already looks poor on the TV I have that isn't even full HD res! (I would rent DVDs to watch them, but if I wait a bit longer, the movies will come on HD cable and look a lot better, so I end up watching very little DVD now.)

    How about we're interested in HD because we have lots of HD content available? I get 7 free network channels over the air in HD (no dupes), plus I pay for two movie channels which have HD versions and for $8/month a could get 4 more movie channels plus about 3 other channels (mostly sports). Our broadcasters didn't decide to sit HD out like the Beeb did. I don't think BSkyB even has HD yet. It's no mystery to me what HD isn't the same in the UK as in the US, you have very little to watch in it.

    Any, look at the excellent DVD FAQ on hometheaterhifi.com. The flags you say indicate to show something as progressive, or to slow it down aren't for that at all, they're for compression improvement. They can be used for such things as you speak of, although they are often missing or wrong, so they aren't used for such things by good players. Good players just reassemble the frames by using pattern matching (and alter soundtrack tempo for you PAL folks).

    PAL DVD is still only 720x576. You have increased vertical resolution? Good for you. You're still making 720 pixels stretch across the wide portion of the 1.79:1 aspect of your TV. Whereas with even the lowest form of HDTV you get 852 pixels (do you even consider the 852x480 format in ATSC HD? I don't) and with the lowest format used regularly you get 1280 (x720). That's a huge difference, and in any movie newer than the early 70s, you can see the difference without any effort. For older films, you have to hope they put some care into making the movie instead of shooting on cheap grainy film and blurring it every time it was duped from the master.

    Anyway, I've watched PAL (and not under NTSC lights which show the flicker more) and I have to say that I wanted to claw my eyes out. How did people remain sane before the popularity of double scan (100Hz) displays?

    Also, I understand why TV had to be 50Hz before, since TV formats were kind of tied to AC power frequencies. But it just seems like the largest form of spite or something to create new 50Hz HD formats. I can't imagine people really like their movies running 4% fast, do they? What was wrong with the original (60Hz) digital HDTV formats? I must be missing something here.

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  123. That's not true by tkrotchko · · Score: 1

    Computers and mp3 players have both dropped in price and increased in functionality.

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    You were mistaken. Which is odd, since memory shouldn't be a problem for you
    1. Re:That's not true by mdwh2 · · Score: 1

      No they haven't - not computers anyway.

      I bought an Amiga 500 15 years ago for £400, and slightly later than that, the Amiga 600 and 1200 were selling for under £300, yet computers since then have been selling at a price higher than that. And back in the 1980s, 8 bit computers were very cheap.

      There was a blip in the mid-90s when the PC became the dominant platform, but the price point machines were sold at was very high (probably because of high requirements for Windows, and lack of a decent graphics chipset in lower end machines), and since then the price point has fallen (mainly because PC performance has outstripped the increasing demands of Windows, and other software).

      But looking long term, whilst the average price point has fluctuated for various reasons, there most certainly has not been a downward trend.

    2. Re:That's not true by tkrotchko · · Score: 1

      Are you sure?

      I bought an Amiga 1000 with 2 floppies and 512K of RAM. It was about $1600. This was not considered high-end, even when the Amiga was released.

      Today, I can get a Dell for about $600 with more functionality.

      386 era machines were about $5000
      486 era machines were about $2500

      An Apple II was about $2000 when equipped with a floppy.

      A high-end macintosh was about $9000 ( Mac IIfx in 1990, reference http://www.lowendmac.com/ii/iifx.shtml) Today, I don't think you can spend more than $3K on a mac, even if you put your mind to it.

      Look at intel based laptop prices...they've fallen from about $2500-5000 10 years ago to about $1000 today.

      Typically, brand name PC's sell for about $600-800 today including LCD monitor. There simply was no equivalent to this just a few years ago at any price.

      Sorry, I just don't see where personal computer price have done anything but fall.

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      You were mistaken. Which is odd, since memory shouldn't be a problem for you
    3. Re:That's not true by mdwh2 · · Score: 1

      I bought an Amiga 1000 with 2 floppies and 512K of RAM. It was about $1600. This was not considered high-end, even when the Amiga was released.

      Today, I can get a Dell for about $600 with more functionality.

      Sorry, I just don't see where personal computer price have done anything but fall.


      Yes, of course prices have fallen!

      And, over 20 years, they've fallen to the extent that even by spending less money, you can get a better computer. However, you are wrong to claim that all computers are cheaper as well as better - clearly, I can still spend $1,600 on a computer if I so wish.

      And so it is with Blu-ray versus DVDs (versus CDs) - the new products are much better than the previous, but they may come out at the same price as the earlier product. Just as your $600 Dell once cost $1600, and just as indeed you can now spend $1600 on a new computer if you want.

      An Apple II was about $2000 when equipped with a floppy.

      A high-end macintosh was about $9000 ( Mac IIfx in 1990, reference http://www.lowendmac.com/ii/iifx.shtml) Today, I don't think you can spend more than $3K on a mac, even if you put your mind to it.

      Look at intel based laptop prices...they've fallen from about $2500-5000 10 years ago to about $1000 today.


      But here, you're selectively picking certain machines, and I already admitted that a downward trend was true in the last 10 years.

      Before then, I could pick up Amigas for under £300. And when the A1000 was selling for a lot, you could pick up 8 bits for very cheap also.

  124. The price of BDs by Elling · · Score: 1

    AS for me I think, right, maybe the prices would START at this, but as it is a completely unfair price, it would soon fall. If it didnt, it wouldt have a chance against the HD DVDs, follow me?