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How Songs Get Popular

An anonymous reader writes "Researchers created an artificial music market of 14,341 participants split into two groups to pick music from unknown musicians. In one group, the individuals had only song titles and band names to go on. The individuals in the other group saw how others had rated the songs. Turns out popularity bred popularity, which explains why there's so much crap on the radio."

316 comments

  1. Just like /. by Mrs.+Grundy · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I think we all understand this. For instance here on slashdot this is the way the moderation works--things either don't get mod points or get the extreme value (not that I am hinting, dear bearer of mod-points, the you in particular lack independent judgement) . Pretty soon somebody will come along and mod this post down -1 as a troll. Seeing this, the next person with mod points will quickly mod it down as well--a kind of kick in the ./ groin if you will. If, on the other hand, the first person with points happens to have a wit worthy of Falstaff he will see the genuine insightful nature of this post and graces it with a +1. The result will be an avalanche of +1 placing this post among the few of well-meaning ineptitude that rises to empyreal absurdity. I'll leave it to the reader to determine which case illustrates the "Britney effect" mentioned in TFA.

    1. Re:Just like /. by AK__64 · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      Welp, I have mod points, and I'm going to say..... LOL

    2. Re:Just like /. by od05 · · Score: 2, Funny

      If you were to post this ten times you'd get modded up.

    3. Re:Just like /. by drumist · · Score: 2

      Ah. That explains why your post has a score of 3 right now.

    4. Re:Just like /. by farrellj · · Score: 2, Interesting

      So, could one say that music, and Slashdot is a "social disease"?

      ttyl
                Farrell

      --
      CAN-CON 2019 - Ottawa's only book oriented Science Fiction Convention! October 18-20, Sheraton Hotel, Ottawa, Canada h
    5. Re:Just like /. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      -1, Overrated. Just for you!

    6. Re:Just like /. by rssrss · · Score: 2, Funny

      It is also just like middle school (shudder).

      --
      In the land of the blind, the one-eyed man is king.
    7. Re:Just like /. by Firehed · · Score: 2, Funny
      But do first songs always get rated at +5 or -1? I thought not.

      It's more like that stupid overly-popular bitch that everyone always does whatever she does likes a song, and the senseless trendfollowers are forced to like it, and it plagues out. *shudder*

      --
      How are sites slashdotted when nobody reads TFAs?
    8. Re:Just like /. by davedx · · Score: 0

      It's very true. When I get mod points I almost exclusively use them to mod down those "+5 funny" comments that really, quite honestly, aren't. It's not that I don't have a sense of humour, more that I think as TFA states, as soon as anything that provokes the slightest chuckle gets 1-2 mod points, it's then there to stay. And there's a hell of a lot of wannabe-nerd-comedians around here.

      --
      "This is your life, and it's ending one minute at a time."
    9. Re:Just like /. by zlogic · · Score: 2, Informative

      When I get mod points, I usually try to mod up unmoderated posts. There is often really insightful/interesting stuff hidden under (Score:1) and at the bottom of the page, which most moderators seem to ignore. Modding a (Score:4, Insightful) with lots of replies further up doesn't make sense to me. It's already perfectly visible, and that's the whole point of moderation: to identify good stuff and make it more visible that uninteresting stuff.

    10. Re:Just like /. by VoidCrow · · Score: 0

      > If, on the other hand, the first person with points happens to have a wit worthy of Falstaff Well, that worked. I'm amused.

  2. It's the Garmlich effect. by rothic · · Score: 5, Funny

    "It's the law of physics that states that if one girl screams for something, it will make other girls scream ... until all girls within a five-mile radius are screaming. Once you get girls screamin', you can't stop 'em! They're crazy!" --Chef, South Park

    1. Re:It's the Garmlich effect. by ackthpt · · Score: 1
      "It's the law of physics that states that if one girl screams for something, it will make other girls scream ... until all girls within a five-mile radius are screaming. Once you get girls screamin', you can't stop 'em! They're crazy!" --Chef, South Park

      Sorry, Chef, but Wilma And Betty had devised a method back in the 60's to counteract popular hysteria. Simply suggest the subject is, "you know", and draw a square in the air with your index fingers.

      --

      A feeling of having made the same mistake before: Deja Foobar
    2. Re:It's the Garmlich effect. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      Just as long as they're all screaming for sex, I have no problems with this domino effect. I'll knock 'em down.. or up as the case may be.

    3. Re:It's the Garmlich effect. by Overly+Critical+Guy · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Turns out popularity bred popularity, which explains why there's so much crap on the radio.

      Crap to whom? The nerds on Slashdot?

      I find Slashdotters' attitudes toward the other 98% of the mainstream population quite condescending. If you don't like popular music, that doesn't make it "crap."

      --
      "Sufferin' succotash."
    4. Re:It's the Garmlich effect. by jrockway · · Score: 5, Funny

      > If you don't like popular music, that doesn't make it "crap."

      True. The fact that it's crap is what makes it crap.

      --
      My other car is first.
    5. Re:It's the Garmlich effect. by shawn(at)fsu · · Score: 0

      Couldn't have said it better myself.

      --
      500 dollar reward for tip(s) leading to the arrest of the person(s) who stole my sig.
    6. Re:It's the Garmlich effect. by Kenshin · · Score: 2, Funny

      Ah. I see. They touched on a nerve.

      You must secretly sing the Black Eyed Peas' "My Humps" in the shower.

      --

      Does it make you happy you're so strange?

    7. Re:It's the Garmlich effect. by volvolus · · Score: 0

      OK, but... if this Garmlich effect is so robust as contributors demonstrate, why does the RIAA scream so loudly in support of DRM?

    8. Re:It's the Garmlich effect. by porcupine8 · · Score: 1
      But the study did show that songs' popularity was independent of the ratings given by the control group (which the test group could see). So crap songs *were* as likely to get popular as good songs - once a few people listened to them, more people would listen, despite a low rating.

      Which doesn't mean that everything on the radio is automatically crap, but it does mean that popularity (ie, making it onto mainstream radio) is no indication of quality, and that there likely IS as much crap as good stuff on there.

      --
      Warning: Apple/Nintendo fangirl. Likes her electronics cute & cuddly. May be rabid.
    9. Re:It's the Garmlich effect. by Overly+Critical+Guy · · Score: 1

      What nerve? I listen to non-mainstream music like Uni Vers and Sleepytime Gorilla Museum. I'm just tired of condescending attitudes from nerds.

      What's wrong with liking "My Humps" in the shower? Would that make me bad?

      --
      "Sufferin' succotash."
    10. Re:It's the Garmlich effect. by BungoMan85 · · Score: 1, Flamebait

      Sleepytime Gorilla Museum is terrible pretentious crap for people who like to claim they don't just listen to mainstream stuff. And I'm not just sayin that, I've had this conversation with someone else before. If you can even stand 5 seconds of "My Humps" you have bad taste. Condescending? Yes. True? Hell yes. Take what I say with a grain of salt. I listen to hardcore.

      --
      Bungo!
    11. Re:It's the Garmlich effect. by Overly+Critical+Guy · · Score: 1

      Bravo! I love that you ended with "I listen to hardcore." :)

      --
      "Sufferin' succotash."
    12. Re:It's the Garmlich effect. by pipingguy · · Score: 1


      "It's the law of physics that states that if one girl screams for something, it will make other girls scream ... until all girls within a five-mile radius are screaming. Once you get girls screamin', you can't stop 'em! They're crazy!"

      Are there any reliable, creditable stories of fans being paid to present an artificially-created, hype situation for emerging pop bands?

      If there are, could this have been the origin for the much-maligned laugh track?

    13. Re:It's the Garmlich effect. by localman · · Score: 1

      I haven't done a study, but it seems to me that everyone thinks there's mostly crap on the radio. And there's that law that says that 90% of anything is crap, but it's beyond that, because we're not just saying that there are lots of crap stations (anything we don't like) but also that there are dearth of good stations. The majority of people are underserved by the radio. This partly explains the massive success of iTunes and other music download services. Because most people can't find anything on the radio (for free) that they sufficiently enjoy, so they have to buy songs themselves.

      I guess my point is, radio really is crap. Not just because we potential audience members are condescending, but because the radio stations are.

      Cheers.

    14. Re:It's the Garmlich effect. by Vintermann · · Score: 1

      Apropos, have you heard "Amalie geht mit 'nem gummiklavier ins bad" by Max Raabe and the Palast orchestra?

      Thought not. Although Raabe even has been mentioned on BoingBoing, he doesn't seem to have taken off outside Germany.

      --
      xkcd is not in the sudoers file. This incident will be reported.
    15. Re:It's the Garmlich effect. by Dr.+GeneMachine · · Score: 1

      So, having a certain amount of taste and sticking with it, is considered "condescending" today? Listen, man, I do not care what you listen to. You can listen to all assorted popular crap as much as you like. I just reserve the right to name it what it is. And that is CRAP.

      --
      This comment does not exist.
    16. Re:It's the Garmlich effect. by ConceptJunkie · · Score: 1

      I listen to a lot of non-mainstream stuff, including plenty of prentious progressive crap that makes me feel superior to all those mouth-breathers fawning over Mariah Carey and Eminem ;-). However, I am of the opinion that a lot of the stuff I listen, could... and would be a lot more popular if the music industry was based on merit, i.e., what people would _really_ like if they were just exposed to it, than the marketing-driven, payola pap machine that it is. Manufactured taste in music has been around since the 50's, but until recently, you could always rely on great DJs and flexible programming directors to expose lots of cool stuff that _wasn't_ coming from the Pop Music Factories. Nowadays, DJ's seem to only exist to irritate you between commercials and programming directors are all playing off of the same script written by some corporate focus-group-weilding weenie with a bad hairpieces, a degree in communication, who spells the word pronounced "looz" as "loose" and who hasn't listened to any music since The New Kids on the Block.

      Is music fundamentally worse now than, say, in the 70's? Heck, no. There's more great music coming out now than in any time in my 30 years or so of listening to music, it's just that you don't hear about most of it. Is radio, and music marketing, fundamentally worse now than in the 70's? Absolutely. Newt Minow's "vast wasteland" (or Sideshow Bob's "bottomless chum bucket") is nothing compared to commercial radio since the early 90's.

      For homework, I want you to listen to the following songs about the radio and the music industry in general:

      Vinyl Kings - Bang Bang
      Dream Theater - Just Let Me Breathe
      XTC - Funk-pop-a-roll

      ConceptJunkie

      NP: Swedish Family (not just prententious self-indulgent 70's crap, but fake pretentious self-iundulgent 70's crap - I love it!)

      --
      You are in a maze of twisty little passages, all alike.
  3. "Nothing attracts a crowd..." by no_opinion · · Score: 3, Funny

    "... like a crowd."

    1. Re:"Nothing attracts a crowd..." by Aspirator · · Score: 5, Funny

      Obligatory Monty Python Reference

      Brian (Talking to crowd): You need to be independant minded.
      Crowd: We are! We are!
      Person in crowd: I'm not!

    2. Re:"Nothing attracts a crowd..." by ZachPruckowski · · Score: 1

      Very true. I work on the programming board at a university (I've mentioned it in previous posts, but won't here). Anyways, we often bring a certain act to the school, in the first or second week of school. It's a free event, and at most schools, it draws a relatively small crowd (a few hundred, making it somewhat worth the value). Here at my school, about 60-70 percent of the students go, and even camp out for it the whole day waiting. The act has been coming to our school for at least 20 years (we've actually lost the records that say how long, and that's as far as collective memory goes back), and we generally attribute that to its success.

    3. Re:"Nothing attracts a crowd..." by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      Obligatory correction of obliggatory MP misquote (Was this modded funny because it's innacurate?):

      BRIAN:
      Look. You've got it all wrong.
      You don't need to follow me. You don't need to follow anybody! You've got to think for yourselves. You're all individuals!
      FOLLOWERS:
      Yes, we're all individuals!
      BRIAN:
      You're all different!
      FOLLOWERS:
      Yes, we are all different!
      DENNIS:
      I'm not.

    4. Re:"Nothing attracts a crowd..." by Aspirator · · Score: 1

      Mea Culpa.

      I did think of referring to it as a quote, but I thought 'reference' more appropriate.

      Obviously I didn't check it.

      It was what came to mind given the topic and the reference to 'crowd'.

      Yet more evidence of the unreliability of one's memory.

    5. Re:"Nothing attracts a crowd..." by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "I was saying Boo-urns..."

  4. How else would we get by BillFarber · · Score: 3, Funny

    Air Supply?

    1. Re:How else would we get by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny
      I'm sensing that you're All Out Of Love. You should be Making Love Out Of Nothing at All. That way, you can be with The One That You Love and that will last Now and Forever.

      ... You better not give me One More Chance to make such an awful post...

    2. Re:How else would we get by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How else would we get Air Supply?

      Easy, out of nothing at all.

    3. Re:How else would we get by MechaShiva · · Score: 1

      Captain and Tenille?

      --
      After calming me down with some orange slices and some fetal spooning, E.T. revealed to me his singular purpose.
    4. Re:How else would we get by VENONA · · Score: 1

      What they really should have recorded is Making Money Out of Nothing at All.

      --
      What you do with a computer does not constitute the whole of computing.
  5. Would the Beatles have made it today? by yagu · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I wonder how much the degree to which today's world is "connected" compared to the days and emergence of the Beatles and Stones (much less Beethoven, et. al.) contributes to the "lesser quality" of today's popular music? I have to think this is a significant factor, and an unfortunate one.

    So, today stars are foisted, created, presented to the consuming public by fiat, not a great surprise. It's too bad though. I even wonder a group as good as the Beatles, or a composer as great as Beethoven (Ludwig, my opinion) would have much of a chance for recognition for their real talent -- probably not so much. Too bad.

    For those of this generation, food for thought. (and, sorry for all of the sentence fragments.)

    (Also, readers should visit the links at the bottom of the referenced article, there are some pretty interesting additional articles about human nature and music (and I have NO interest in that magazine).)

    1. Re:Would the Beatles have made it today? by BHennessy · · Score: 1

      There's probably great musicains currently that wouldn't have been sucessful back then, and there's also probably lots of great musicians that nobody knows about because they never made it.

      There hardly seems to have been a time where 'good' musicians all got recognised/whatever, I don't think it's just a trait of today's music.

    2. Re:Would the Beatles have made it today? by Kuvter · · Score: 1

      Well to me music is good based on couple things. One being the complexity and the other if it's catchy. Music being complex might make it catchy. So mainly that means music is good because it's catchy. If your mind heards the music and it pleases you in a way, and that soothing could be a lively dance energy or a relaxing laid back kind, then you'll like it at that time. Popularity, as the article adresses, did the research on just shows that if someone else things a peice is pleasing to them then people who come upon it later will test it out first, which makes sence, and if they find it pleasing then they will stick with it. This goes further though in my thoughts. If you've already found enough music that is pleasing and you're content then you'll stop looking. If you're not content then you'll stop looking. I've seen this many times with my friends. The more 'into' music they are the more they've searched for that pleasing music. A typical person would listen to the radio. If they find what they like on the radio then they'll stick with that. If they only like some of the music on the radio then they'll go search for music. In this day and age that could mean checking it out online or seeing what your friends like. Again we go though the gambit of what's liked by those people as a starting spot. If we're pleased with our first finding and the radio combine we'll stop searching. If we're not pleased we'll keep going. This leads us to the parent post. He has done these same steps in a sence. He landed on The Beatles and Beethoven. He liked them as he said for their talent. He was pleased and not is speaking on behalf od those bands effectively promoting what he's found to be great music. This concludes that since what's on the radio is the first, or easiest, place that people search for music that we have many people promoting Britney, because Britney is on the radio and enough people are content with that, and share their findings.

      --
      "To be is to do." --Socrates
      "To do is to be." -- Aristotle
      "Do-Be-Do-Be-Do..." --Sinatra
    3. Re:Would the Beatles have made it today? by drinkypoo · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      So, today stars are foisted, created, presented to the consuming public by fiat, not a great surprise. It's too bad though. I even wonder a group as good as the Beatles

      HAHAHAHAHAHA. HAaHaHaAHA! *snort*

      Let me let you in on a little secret, that no one in the world seems to know: The beatles fucking sucked. Off-tune, off-time. They became popular mostly due to their haircuts, and the fact that they were doing something new. Remember, 2 Live Crew became one of the best-selling rap groups of all time just because they were cussing a lot. The best part of the 2 Live Crew was the Mega Mixx tracks done by their truly excellent DJ...

      If you could listen to the beatles with ears unclouded with the idea of the beatles, as I did the first time I listened to them (and many times thereafter) you would recognize the truth of this statement. Oh, you might still like them - I like a lot of crappy music. But I know it's crappy.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    4. Re:Would the Beatles have made it today? by CowboyBob500 · · Score: 1

      Three words - Tomorrow Never Knows

      Bob

    5. Re:Would the Beatles have made it today? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "I wonder how much the degree to which today's world is "connected" compared to the days and emergence of the Beatles and Stones (much less Beethoven, et. al.) contributes to the "lesser quality" of today's popular music?"

      Interestingly enough, you wouldn't have had the Beatles or Rolling Stones if the world hadn't become more connected. They grew up listenin to Chuck Berry (and others) and ended up adopting the sound. This (admittedly only one) example seems to suggest that the connectedness of the world allows more people to find the "right" music for them (i.e. a recent story on NPR talked about Arab rappers).

      "So, today stars are foisted, created, presented to the consuming public by fiat, not a great surprise."

      If you're familiar with the history of the Beatles you're aware that there was massive marketing surrounding their arrival in America (pivotal Ed Sullivan show, classic images of them at the airport)... Many might describe this as "created, presented to the consuming public by fiat."

      I guess I'm trying to say that the music industry hasn't changed all that much since the time of the Beatles.

    6. Re:Would the Beatles have made it today? by ePhil_One · · Score: 1
      There's probably great musicains currently that wouldn't have been sucessful back then, and there's also probably lots of great musicians that nobody knows about because they never made it.

      No offense, but talented musicians are a dime a dozen. I'll take the raw power of early Clash over a perfectly performed piano concerto almost anyday. Bob Dylan, Bruce Springsteen, Guns and Roses, Nirvana; their ability to play their instruments are not what made them great, many would say its in spite of. Just being good at what you do is not a guarantee of success in any field.

      --
      You are in a maze of twisted little posts, all alike.
    7. Re:Would the Beatles have made it today? by Drishmung · · Score: 2, Informative

      George Starostin describes his introduction to the Beatles somewhat differently. As in someone really not exposed to them who now has very definite views.

      --
      Protoplasm. Quiet Protoplasm. I like quiet protoplasm.
    8. Re:Would the Beatles have made it today? by zen-theorist · · Score: 1

      probably not, for it was only yesterday when their troubles seemed so far away..

    9. Re:Would the Beatles have made it today? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Not to be a troll, but on what grounds do you claim that today's popular music is of "lesser quality"? I don't know a hell of a lot about music, but is popular crap really unique to this day and age? I would suggest that, in the 1800s and the 1960s and every other period of human history, there existed popular artists who weren't that talented and talented artists who weren't that popular.

      Maybe you have some recognizable measure demonstrating the declining quality of popular music. But I don't think you can get away with merely stating it as implicitly factual.

    10. Re:Would the Beatles have made it today? by NewKimAll · · Score: 1

      The Beatles may have made it today but probably not be as popular as they were back in the day. What would make them successful is something I like to call "The Darkness Factor", as in the band The Darkness. Most likely, they'd be perceived as a retro band. The Scissor Sisters sound kinda retro to me too, but maybe that's just me.

      --
      The real question is, if the Beatles were a band of today, would Charles Manson still have been a serial killer.

    11. Re:Would the Beatles have made it today? by mblase · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Would the Beatles have made it today?

      Of course not; the question is inherently absurd. Their music was popular mainly because it was radically different from anything that people were listening to on the radio at that time. Since then, they've influenced musicians thousands of times over on both sides of the Atlantic.

      But new styles still make it big now and then. Think of the fads of ska or swing dancing in the 1990s, or the gradual rise in popularity of rap from a niche in the early 1980s to the mainstream today.

    12. Re:Would the Beatles have made it today? by geekee · · Score: 1

      "I wonder how much the degree to which today's world is "connected" compared to the days and emergence of the Beatles and Stones (much less Beethoven, et. al.) contributes to the "lesser quality" of today's popular music? I have to think this is a significant factor, and an unfortunate one."

      Not another person claiming music today isn't as good as the stuff I heard growing up. Give me a break. Bands aren't manufactured today any more than they were in the 60's.

      --
      Vote for Pedro
    13. Re:Would the Beatles have made it today? by westlake · · Score: 2, Insightful
      today stars are foisted, created, presented to the consuming public by fiat, not a great surprise

      explain to me how this differs from (and is inferior to) a traditional patronage system in which an aristocratic elite gets to decide who performs in public at all.

    14. Re:Would the Beatles have made it today? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Agreed, by modern standards they're lame. Though I do like DJ Danger Mouse's "Grey Album" mix (Beatles + Jay-Z).

    15. Re:Would the Beatles have made it today? by superflyguy · · Score: 1

      No, being noticed being good at what you want to do is what guarantees success. What you do isn't as simple as whether you can play guitar. Those artists are good at performing music, because musicianship is the ability to use timbre, volume, pitch, and rhythm to communicate with an audience. If their music is horrible in every aspect except that it conveys the intended meaning well, they are better at making music then someone who can play something technically perfect but without feeling. Every example of someone you feel was successful despite their musical abilities was actually a very good musician because their songs were significantly more than just lines and dots on a page. They still needed some amount of technical knowledge to do that, and it did take a certain amount of luck, but in the end, they could not have made it if they were not good musicians. And this applies to whatever people do, excluding gambling and inheriting. Maybe they aren't good at what they say they're good at, but they have to be good at something to be successful.

    16. Re:Would the Beatles have made it today? by Joel+from+Sydney · · Score: 1

      Funnily enough, I've always been under the impression that the music of Beethoven's middle and late career generally wasn't well receieved by his contemporaries. His early work (eg the first and second symphonies) operate very much within the style of the times, whereas his later works were far more modern and unconventional. For example, his famous Ninth symphony was the first time anybody had thought to include a choir as part of a symphony orchestra.

      Beethoven paved the way for others to follow, and it was only as later musicians followed in his wake that he became recognised for the genius he was.

    17. Re:Would the Beatles have made it today? by BungoMan85 · · Score: 1

      If it has more than three chords and is longer than 45 seconds and doesn't make your ears hurt it sucks.

      --
      Bungo!
    18. Re:Would the Beatles have made it today? by damiam · · Score: 1
      No one said anything about "ability to play their instruments". That's technique, not musicianship. A musician is someone who creates music, which is a very broad category, including performers, writers, composers, etc. If you like the music of early Clash, than from your POV they were great musicians.

      One other note (this isn't really relevant, but it bugs me): there's no such thing as a perfectly performed piano concerto. If there were, we'd just have a computer generate the recordings and be done with it. There's a huge amount of emotion, personality and soul going into the performance of any good classical player; while any two professional classical musicians will both hit all the notes, they may have completely different interpretations of a piece. Nothing is ever perfect in such a subjective area as interpretation.

      --
      It's hard to be religious when certain people are never incinerated by bolts of lightning.
    19. Re:Would the Beatles have made it today? by Mistshadow2k4 · · Score: 1

      Interesting that someone should bring up the Beatles. When they first started out they sang the innocuous songs their record labal wanted them to, e.g., "I Wanna Hold Your Hand". When they got so popular they used their new-found power to sing the songs they wanted to, e.g,. "Taxman". None of the modern pop stars are doing that today though - as long as they get rich, they don't care. Music is just a product to sell. But the Beatles were already rich when they started writing the songs and making the music that meant something.

      That's why modern music is crap. I wish these people would follow their hearts and become used car salesmen or telemarketers instead of pretending to be musicians. They needn't worry about me pirating their music; if it's just a product to sell, they can keep it.

      --
      I dream of a better world... one in which chickens can cross roads without their motives being questioned.
    20. Re:Would the Beatles have made it today? by damiam · · Score: 2, Insightful
      The beatles fucking sucked. Off-tune, off-time.

      No one is saying that the Beatles played/sang with perfect technique. That's not necessarily the mark of a good band. Their technique was good enough for them to get their music across.

      They became popular mostly due to their haircuts, and the fact that they were doing something new.

      Exactly. They were doing something new. They were innovative and creative and they changed the face of music. Take a songwriting class sometime and you'll see how much of modern rock/pop is based on ideas introduced by the Beatles. Even if you don't listen to a lot of their stuff (and I don't), it's stupid to deny that Lennon/McCartney were musical geniuses.

      --
      It's hard to be religious when certain people are never incinerated by bolts of lightning.
    21. Re:Would the Beatles have made it today? by jibjibjib · · Score: 1
      Well to me Slashdot posts are good based on couple things. One being correct grammar and the other if it uses

      tags.

    22. Re:Would the Beatles have made it today? by jibjibjib · · Score: 1
      shit, that was supposed to say

      tags

    23. Re:Would the Beatles have made it today? by Bo'Bob'O · · Score: 2, Interesting

      They almost didn't. If a classically trained producer who just happened to hear 'something' in it that caught his ear in passing, they might never have gone anywhere.

      We might never have heard of Stravinsky or Picasso had they not established themselves as masters of the current form of art before they went in very new directions. Had Picasso started his carrier painting like that, I doubt we would have heard of cubism.

      I think the problem today is we have become so used to gloss that we are unwilling to except anything that isn't perfect. People find theater ridicules because it doesn't have edited perfection of film. We don't accept games that are a bit rough around the edges. Anything without the marketing and gloss of a big company is an "Off-Brand." Now, many, if not most, of us outgrow this, but I think few of us can say we are completely immune to it. It doesn't help that so often off brands really are crap.

      So we forget, we grab the "name we trust" or listen to that band we heard on the radio all the time. Fortunately though, we have places for musicians to start out in, clubs, schools, little places, or little theaters for actors to tune their craft. We aren't in a place where new stuff is imposable, but it takes a lot of work from the artists, and an open mind from the audience.

    24. Re:Would the Beatles have made it today? by Weedlekin · · Score: 1

      "Bands aren't manufactured today any more than they were in the 60's."

      An excellent example of a totally manufactured 60s band was the Monkees.

      --
      I'm not going to change your sheets again, Mr. Hastings.
    25. Re:Would the Beatles have made it today? by 16K+Ram+Pack · · Score: 1
      The problem is that most pop stars don't have the ability to do that. It's largely a result of how much more sophisticated the industry is about marketing. It's sad really.

      Where once, artists rose because of live performance on the basis of talent (and I include the talent to sell records - it's always been an industry), the marketing is about things like image and the artists being known commodities who can generate column inches at the point they are signed. Image is not the same thing as presence, though.

      Technology has also played a part. Vocal performances can be tuned and stars can be airbrushed.

      The pop star's musical talent or charisma is almost irrelevant. The most important parts to selling a pop song now are the songwriting, image, production and marketing campaign. The pop songs that are good are mostly because of good songwriting and production (like Toxic).

      The problem is that once the star puts on a few pounds, and after the media are bored with their various scandals that sell magazines, there's nothing left. They rarely have singing voices of either beauty or distinction. They can't write songs. They can't play. It's time to then bring on another new pop star.

      A lot of pop stars in the past "grew up". Madonna has changed and experimented. George Michael is respected as a songwriter. I don't see Britney or Justin Timberlake doing likewise.

    26. Re:Would the Beatles have made it today? by johansalk · · Score: 0, Troll

      The beatles are very overrated.

    27. Re:Would the Beatles have made it today? by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      So I read your link - or at least skimmed it...

      Fact is - it doesn't matter. The uniqueness and true greatness and innovation of the Beatles does not lie in the technical characteristics of their music. Yes, lots and lots of these technical elements were already present in music before the Beatles got around to them. But it took the Beatles, and nobody else, to make The People aware of these elements, to bring them home and make them seem generally acceptable where earlier they'd simply look like bizarre elitist novelty. It took the Beatles to make psychedelia spread like a "holy disease" all around the world instead of being locked up within the confines of Frisco or London's UFO club. It took the Beatles to make people believe pop music was more than just a form of shallow, temporary entertainment - here today, gone tomorrow. And it took the Beatles to make people believe, if only for a few years, that music could actually change the world.

      Note that he doesn't even say it's good. Just that it was a cultural influence :)

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    28. Re:Would the Beatles have made it today? by DorkRawk · · Score: 1

      I think that the Beatles were brilliant in their pop senseablity. I think they can be compaired to calculus. Most high school students are aware of the basics of calculus and know how do it (basicly), but it took a brilliant mind to come up with these basic ideas at one point. Most high school students (with any interest in songwriting) know the basics of music (early Beatles in INCREADIBLY basic), but it took someone to acctualy show the world these basics. Maybe the Beatles just happened to be the band that made it big by doing this (I'm sure there were other bands around the same time that were doing things that could have been equaly revolutionary, but just never got a break), but the fact is that they were the ones who did.

    29. Re:Would the Beatles have made it today? by Drishmung · · Score: 1
      It's a big site. He has a LOT of reviews. (2118 full album reviews, all written by himself). If you want to take the time to explore further you will find that he does think the Beatles are good. In fact, great. To quote from his introduction page,
      Class A (formerly - 5 stars). An ideal band; sure enough, some of its output might be flawed, but it's the highest standard by which I judge everything else. It must meet such an awful lot of selective criteria that only three of the bands in existence (the Beatles, the Rolling Stones and the Who) have received this rating; Bob Dylan also passed the plank, although it was a tough choice for me - he's put out quite a solid load of stinkers. Still, the very inhumane strength of his 1965-66 records alone managed to get him through.

      And from the rating page

      Never To Be Topped
      [15 albums]
      Go and buy this now. These are superalbums by the few really great and timeless masters of rock: the cream of the cream of the cream. These records set the highest standard for all those that follow them and they probably won't be superated by anybody, not in the nearest couple thousand years. And yes, maybe I'm a fool for giving the highest mark to five Beatles' albums in a row, but fifteen years of Beatle-listening haven't cured me of the attitude.

      I guess you could say he likes the Beatles, and thinks they are great. And this is from someone who stumbled over their work without peer pressure that 'hey, these guys are great.'

      --
      Protoplasm. Quiet Protoplasm. I like quiet protoplasm.
    30. Re:Would the Beatles have made it today? by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Well, it only proves that personal preference is more important than talent. "Some of its output might be flawed, but it's the highest standard by which I judge everything else." And about Dylan, "Bob Dylan also passed the plank, although it was a tough choice for me - he's put out quite a solid load of stinkers." I think we can all agree that Dylan can't sing. He sounds constipated, or wounded. So he admits that most of Dylan's music is crap, but gives him high marks anyway. I think that kind of blows his credibility in my book. Kind of like when I read a game reviewer who gives a crap game a good review, I know not to pay attention to him :)

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    31. Re:Would the Beatles have made it today? by Moekandu · · Score: 1

      Yes. The Beatles would be able to make it today.

      Now, granted they wouldn't sound like a band busy blowing the lids off of people in the sixties, but more like a band doing the very same thing in the 90's and 00's. They would probably sound more like Pearl Jam, Nine Inch Nails, Rage Against the Machine, Tool, The Crystal Method, Chemical Brothers, DJ Shadow, Thievery Corporation, Massive Attack, Tricky, Portishead, Marilyn Manson, Angelo Badlamenti, Danny Elfman (Boingo and beyond), etc and ad nauseum. And those are just the guys (well, mostly)! There are a lot of male and female "Mozart's" and "Beethoven's" running around today.

      And as for popular music, well, even in Mozart's day, only a small percentage of people went to Symphony concerts and Operas. Most spent their time hanging out in pubs singing baudy tunes at the top of their lungs. Which, admittedly, also has its own personal attraction and charm.

      --
      Mediocrity knows nothing higher than itself; but talent instantly recognizes genius. -- Sir Arthur Conan Doyle
    32. Re:Would the Beatles have made it today? by toddestan · · Score: 1

      One factor that makes this day and age unique from previous times is that we have a giant music cartel that has a huge influence over what is considered popular. Luckily, it seems that their power is dwindling.

  6. They probably violated RIAA, MPAA and TV Patents by ackthpt · · Score: 1, Funny
    Turns out popularity bred popularity, which explains why there's so much crap on the radio."

    I now sure there's a patent on a business process of promoting junk as solid gold.

    or does the tailor who sold the king his clothes have prior art?

    --

    A feeling of having made the same mistake before: Deja Foobar
  7. So much crap in the radio? by MikkoApo · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I blame the recording industry and its marketing. Popularity might breed popularity, but unfortunately marketing bypasses "real popularity". Unfortunately there are still artists making music which isn't spoiled by even if the system tries its best.

    1. Re:So much crap in the radio? by kfg · · Score: 1

      . . .unfortunately marketing bypasses "real popularity".

      Most people are little more than yammering apes. Apes like to yammer INXS and *NSYNC.

      Much beyond fire, pointy sticks and the wheel there is actually very little around you that has "real" popularity, i.e. is widely adopted because of its own innate desirable properties.

      You're an ape. You ape. Marketing just tells you what to ape. School taught you to ape what you are told.

      KFG

    2. Re:So much crap in the radio? by thej1nx · · Score: 1
      There is nothing all that surprising here. It has always been common nature to use others' experience as a guide. We see someone making money through something, and presto! Everyone is trying to ape the same to get similar results. That trend was responsible for the dot com bubble burst, when everyone was trying to have a success story by marketing really stupid ideas(at least one person had a portal to send doggie poo to your friends).

      On the other hand, this socially acquired experience mechanism is exactly how the civilization has developed.

      Except in the case of music industry, with the amount of marketing the studios do, something really crappy can be passed off as "popular". And it is entirely possible that a large number of folks possibly "convince" themselves that they like a particular kind of music, just because they are trying to fit in with the "popular opinion". Even if the said piece of "music" is just plain noise and completely crap.

      What would have been a far more interesting twist on the experiment(to make its inference more clearer) would be to have a two more groups. Let one group try and rank the songs as a group vote, without being provided any additional info about the songs. Then reverse the list thus arrived at, and present it to the second group. Misinform(market) to the second group that the songs actually voted the crappiest by the first group, were voted the best. And then let them vote for their favourite ones.

      The results of *that* would indeed be illuminating.

    3. Re:So much crap in the radio? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      School taught you to ape what you are told.

      By that logic, you are an ape as well. :P

    4. Re:So much crap in the radio? by kfg · · Score: 2, Insightful

      By that logic, you are an ape as well.

      I am not an ape by logic. I am an ape because that's what I am and cannot be otherwise.

      KFG

    5. Re:So much crap in the radio? by NewKimAll · · Score: 1

      Agreed. When all you are served is crap, you simply try to get the best crap possible. Those who are obsessed with it all being crap, decide to stop taking crap and make their own crap. In the end, it's all crap anyway, especially after enough time passes.
      --
      Perhaps there will be a day where we wake up and realize that obsessing over Hollywood celebrity is a complete waste of time.

    6. Re:So much crap in the radio? by dc29A · · Score: 1

      Yup! We live in the fast food version of the music world. The majority of people are happy listening to bands who play 1-2 riffs per song, use same song template over and over and lyrical content is either teenage girl's daydream or teenage angst. It's something the music industry saw and is now over producing.

      Where are the Pink Floyds of our days? Playing in small clubs of 900ish capacity because the major labels make 10 times as much money with regurgitated repetitive crap like Linkin Park.

    7. Re:So much crap in the radio? by NewKimAll · · Score: 1

      Umm, don't flame me, but I like Linkin Park. If I have to listen to rap of any kind, I'd rather listen to it via the way Linkin Park embeds it into their music.
      --
      It has a beat and I can dance to it. What more do I need?

    8. Re:So much crap in the radio? by k12linux · · Score: 1
      I blame the recording industry and its marketing. Popularity might breed popularity, but unfortunately marketing bypasses "real popularity".

      I blame the fact that in many areas today the carriers of content are also the producers. This gives them the ability to control access to content in a way that favors their own.

      The same problem is happening in telecom. Instead of making money as a neutral carrier the baby bells also sell phone service, web services, web access, etc. Now companies like Verizon want to charge other content providers extra to have their content distributed... putting it at a disadvantage compared to content/services provided by the carrier themselves.

      What should be seen as a conflict of interest is just considred normal business.

  8. Barriers to Entry Falling = More Freedom by Ritz_Just_Ritz · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Until relatively recently, the barriers to entry of the music business were sky high because of distribution costs. Now that distribution costs are going into a tailspin (iTunes & Bitorrent...Gracias!), the studios are scared out of their wits. Not because they're so worried about piracy, but because they can be cut out of the game entirely.

    So I'm quite content to have actual listeners help shepherd in popular bands rather than have mediocre cookie cutter crap foisted on me by megacorps.

    1. Re:Barriers to Entry Falling = More Freedom by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The next important step is to lower the costs of producing music. I would like to see local recording studios cropping up across America, to the extent that the only real barrier to entry into the music business is talent. Isn't that how it should be?

    2. Re:Barriers to Entry Falling = More Freedom by mattaholic · · Score: 1

      I was thinking that exact same thing. Additionally, I'd like to add that a lot of independent labels have been popping up the past few years and have been very successful... If you have been paying attention you have seen that indie bands have been showing up in major magazines and doing pretty well for themselves... not to mention all the music concerts that are doing VERY well... Coachella, Bonnaroo, Austin City Limits Festival, etc. I think shitty popular music will finally start to get drowned out by more worthwhile music as it starts finding itself more mainstream. The internet and, more specifically, mp3s and file sharing sparked a music revolution... a lot more people are exploring different kinds of music than ever before. Its just a matter of time. Kind of like how for a few years there it looked like the predictions of the internet changing our way of life was a joke comparable to the millenium bug but now its happening in a big way. Viva la internet!

    3. Re:Barriers to Entry Falling = More Freedom by kevin.fowler · · Score: 1

      for a mere $60 my band's CD will be on iTunes (through a distro deal my friend has). In theory, it will be just as accessible as Britney in terms of our fans searching and downloading. Granted, we had to sink money into starting a publishing company and registering our songs through BMI (OMG COPYRIGHT!). I have thoroughly enjoyed being part of the undermining of major labels via mp3 for the past (just about) decade.

      --
      Bury me in mashed potatoes.
  9. Makes sense to me by SsShane · · Score: 1, Insightful

    When I want a new book and don't know which one, I go to Amazon and read reviews from others who have bought. It works for the most part. Oh well.

    1. Re:Makes sense to me by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But you don't just buy a book based on the number of sales it has done. With the music if it's a top seller it's at the front of the store and there are millions of them there. I prefer to read reviews, even for music.

    2. Re:Makes sense to me by n54 · · Score: 1

      When I want a new book and don't know which one I go to a bookstore and browse. It works for the most part. A bit too well actually; I've taken to avoiding bookstores as I really can't afford the spending spree it usually triggers :)

      Yes, I can also go to Amazon and browse as well as read comments but I rarely do that. Something about the total of preferences of others not fitting that closely with my own, not that I should always trust my own taste in books either but I've only been disappointed by something like three books (which turned out to be completely worthless to me) and I own close to 3000.

      These days I mostly read freely (and legally) available short fiction and classics on the net (there's a lot of it out there).

      --
      this additional sig includes a portrait of Mohammed in support of freedom of expression, feel free to reproduce it

      --
      this comment is provided "as is" and without any express or implied legibility or congruity [...]
  10. People like to talk about music by AK__64 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Most people don't listen to music in a bubble, they talk to other people about the music and ideas get implanted in their heads. Also the way people talk about music makes a difference. If you say to me, that you LOVE this song and I HAVE to hear it, and download it and listen to it all the time, I'm going to look at you funny. But if you tell me in a laid-back, smooth and cool manner that this song is cool, I'll be more inclined to listen to you and less likely to write you off. It also works backwards. "I'm used to really like that song too, now I'm getting kinda sick of it..." Now you start to feel the same way, even just a little bit.
    There are some really interesting studies on how people react in certain situations, responding to peer pressure and all that. Good stuff.

  11. Uh duh.,.. by phaetonic · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Hence the Top 40 stations and lists

    1. Re:Uh duh.,.. by slowbad · · Score: 1
      For a few decades, the buying habits of 11-15 year old females totally determined "Top 40"


      Guys typically bought albums in much lower volumes than 45rpm singles that created the list.

  12. What? by robyannetta · · Score: 1, Insightful
    I don't need anyone's complex mathematical computations to give me algorithims to find what music will be popular and what won't.

    Has anyone actually listened to today's music? It sucks!

    --
    - Just my $0.02, take with a grain of salt, your mileage may vary.
    1. Re:What? by geekoid · · Score: 1

      I think there is some very good music today.

      OTOH, I don't judge music by it's genre.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    2. Re:What? by distributed · · Score: 1

      You are damn right about that... if only i could convince my younger sis about the same. She plainly refuses to sample any music written/performed by dead artists... whatever happened to cult music !!
      Its like most of the kids now have the same bland taste in music (i said most), they prolly are impressed more by what they see than hear too. And each generation seems to give its own definition of wat rock is !! Or maybe i am getting old. "Rock is dead" anyway.

      --
      [all generalizations are untrue except this one]
    3. Re:What? by tsotha · · Score: 1
      Its like most of the kids now have the same bland taste in music (i said most), they prolly are impressed more by what they see than hear too. And each generation seems to give its own definition of wat rock is !! Or maybe i am getting old. "Rock is dead" anyway.

      You gotta realize to her it's all new and different. That's what kept (keeps?) the boy bands going for so many years - every year there's a new crop of twelve-year-old girls that doesn't realize the "new" music they're listening to is just a mushy retread of last year's music. I call it "factory" music. The thrust is the selling, not the making.

  13. Really? by pinkstuff · · Score: 1

    We'll, like, oh my god, you didn't know that?

  14. GREAT! by Shuh · · Score: 4, Funny




    Now that I've posted, everyone is going to get in on this thread.


    1. Re:GREAT! by Rude+Turnip · · Score: 0

      OMG, how did I just appear as a reply to this guy's post?

    2. Re:GREAT! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This sure is a one great thread!

    3. Re:GREAT! by NoGuffCheck · · Score: 1

      i'll bite.

      --
      serenity now!
    4. Re:GREAT! by Mr.+Flibble · · Score: 2, Funny


      I refuse to become involved in this thread! Following the crowd is not my style.

      --
      Try to hack my 31337 firewall!
    5. Re:GREAT! by serialdogma · · Score: 1

      Me too, only thanks to the above comment have I become free of echoing the messages of those before me. And I urge you to do the same and reply to inform of such.

  15. Re:How ideas on Slashdot get popular by Spy+der+Mann · · Score: 1

    If they follow group think they get modded up. If the go against the grain they get modded down.

    Sorry to disagree with you, but I've seen many pro-Microsoft (particular cases of course, or maybe just points of view) or anti-Linux rants get a +5 Insightful.

    Of course, true statements often get moderated as insightful. Is it our fault that most statements against microsoft happen to be true?

    Disclaimer - I'm not a mod.

  16. the variable that was changed by blue_adept · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Although it's not spelled out, this study tested whether those songs highly rated by group A, would become more popular in group B, WHETHER OR NOT the ratings were actually true; in other words, the truthfullness of the ratings was the variable.

    The acticle doesn't really dwell on this, but if that's not what they were doing, then what's so surprising about the fact that both group A and group B found the same songs to be "good". (d-uh, they're actually better songs!)

    --

    "Is this just useless, or is it expensive as well?"
    1. Re:the variable that was changed by MutantHamster · · Score: 1

      From what I can gather in the article, it's not what they were doing. That in mind, I'd consider this experiment fundamentally flawed. It seems like a much more effective way of testing this effect would be to reverse the popularity of songs. Songs rated highly by the independent group would be shown as being rated lowly to the other group and vice-versa. Don't these researchers know anything about experiments?

      --
      My Greatest Heist - Muisc partly inspired by the unbeatable Qwantz
    2. Re:the variable that was changed by mattmacf · · Score: 2, Informative
      Not quite. From TFA:

      The social-influence group was further divided into eight separate, non-interactive "worlds." Members of each world could not see the decisions of the other seven. The idea behind this was to observe multiple outcomes for the same songs and bands.

      "If you look at Britney Spears, some people say she is really good. Others say she isn't good, she's just lucky," Salganik told LiveScience. "But by having just one argument, it's impossible to distinguish. However, if you have 10 worlds, and she's popular in all 10, then you can say she's actually good. But if she's only good in one, then you could say it was due to luck."

      Although different songs were hits in each world, popularity was still the deciding factor, although the "best" songs never did very badly and the "worst" songs never did very well.

      What you missed is the fact that "group B" was in fact subdivided into eight distinct, independent sub-groups. Rather than determining "WHETHER OR NOT the ratings were actually true" (Who is to decide whether a song is good? Critics? Fans? Other bands?) what the researchers did was take the same independent ratings (from group A) and give them to each subset of group B. It's not surprising that the "best" songs generally did well and the "worst" ones generally did poorly. What is notable is that different songs were hits in each "world," based (presumably) on the same set of independent data.

      --
      I only mod funny =D
    3. Re:the variable that was changed by blue_adept · · Score: 1

      right, what I should have said is that the song ratings were the independent variable in the experiment. Different "words" were exposed to different ratings, and lo and behold the songs rated highly by group A went on to be popular in group B.

      This is actually no different than making up "fake" ratings for the songs, since the researchers selectively dish out specifically rated songs to specific "worlds".

      --

      "Is this just useless, or is it expensive as well?"
  17. Seems a bit obvious... by jjeffrey · · Score: 1

    If all you had to go on when selecting music out of a massive list was the artist, title and ratings from other people - wouldn't you start by looking at what other people had rated most highly? I think almost everyone would.

  18. A key to music is the familiar. by jellomizer · · Score: 4, Interesting

    It took all the work to realize that. Just take some Music Theory Classes and it would make since. The key to Music and popularity is the familiar. It is brings up elements that are familiar then you tend to like it more then ones that bring up elements that are less familiar. So we grow up listening to music we tend to link it as familiar, to our ears so whenever we listen to other music we judge it based on what we know. So if you grow up listening to Pop, Pop is what sounds good and listening to classical will just feel wrong to you. Or even if you have a more broad range of music you enjoy there will be stuff from other cultures that will sound sour to you ears because they use a different key for music. So if you like listening to Brittany spears you will tend to like other Brittany spears songs because you connect to the music and her voice and other voices may not match. Because Brittany Spears is popular you will tend to listen to her more thus like it more, then say some lesser known band.

    --
    If something is so important that you feel the need to post it on the internet... It probably isn't that important.
    1. Re:A key to music is the familiar. by mischmasch55 · · Score: 1

      I disagree, I think what makes a song popular is the hook of the song. Throughout music history all the new fads have had hook, what makes that song different from others, what makes you want to hear that song over and over again. If it was the familiar we would not get new and different music that is out there. Many of the genres out there sound completely different from each other, but each of them had that one thing that made you want to listen more. In the early 90s, Gegorian Chant was considered popular music during the 90s what music was around that made it familiar so that someone would listen to it?

    2. Re:A key to music is the familiar. by prichardson · · Score: 1

      If you like pop (in a broad sense) music, don't take music theory. You'll realize how shitty most of it is and then you'll feel empty.

      --
      Help I'm a rock.
    3. Re:A key to music is the familiar. by chanrobi · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      It's hard to take someone seriously when there are spelling mistakes all over the place.

    4. Re:A key to music is the familiar. by prichardson · · Score: 1

      Gregorian (not Gregorian at all, that's a myth started by Charlemagne) Chant was not popular in the 90's. It may have gained an increased following, but it was not popular. It wasn't even popular when it was written. It was just church music.

      --
      Help I'm a rock.
    5. Re:A key to music is the familiar. by Eythian · · Score: 1

      I think you misunderstood the article. It's not saying "people found these styles good". It's saying "people found these tracks good if they thought others thought they were good". At least, that's what I got from it.

    6. Re:A key to music is the familiar. by ffflala · · Score: 1

      Just take some Music Theory Classes and it would make since.
      Your opinion has nothing to do with Music Theory. Music Theory != "what I think about why certain music is popular." Confusing, since plenty of "music theories" have been bantied around over bong hits, but that isn't Music Theory w/ a capital MT. Music Theory deals with the structure of the elements that create music. It is about structure, tones, organization, classification and combination of tone combinations (chords, scales), modulation, compositional techniques such as serial composition or 12 tone composition, that sort of thing. "What makes music popular" is a marketing topic, not a music theory one.

    7. Re:A key to music is the familiar. by happymedium · · Score: 2, Interesting

      If "the key" were actually this simple, we'd still be listening to Gregorian chants. Referencing a music theory class seals the absurdity of this argumnent. Where did the theory itself come from?

      In music, an element of familiarity is important, of course, especially for mass audiences, for whom music is little more than its social context. But familiar elements (chord progressions, instrumentation...) can be recombined endlessly. Combinations that once seemed incongruous become normal--e.g. OutKast's use of acoustic guitar in "Hey Ya!" New techniques are made to coexist with old ones, achieving substantially new effects--Radiohead's integration of electronic music into Kid A and Amnesiac, anyone?

      Moreover, innovation is the key to longevity. Think of how long Radiohead and OutKast have been popular, especially by comparison to [insert top 40 hack here].

      At the same time, derivative music sucks up market share like a crazed idiot teenager chugging energy drinks; by nature, it lends itself to intense but brief enjoyment. There's so much of it because the labels have to keep churning it out; all they can do is throw money at problems, and you can't buy creativity.

      --hm.

    8. Re:A key to music is the familiar. by Saxophonist · · Score: 1

      Music theory actually does have something to do with why popular songs are popular, but only in a very rudimentary way. For example, it is not terribly likely that serial atonality is going to be used to come up with the melody of a pop tune. Most popular songs today are in major keys. There might be a few in minor, but more "upbeat" and "happy" songs (those two words are the bane of every music appreciation teacher's existence) will please the general populace, hence the major keys. A lot of these tunes can be, and perhaps are, accompanied by no more than three chords. It's easy to listen to but does not hold much depth for anyone actually wanting interesting harmony. (According to [I think] Hugo Riemann, there really are only three types of harmonies in tonal music anyway. It's just that popular music seems only to use one variety of each type too often.)

      There are other formulaic aspects to popular music as well. Drop the proverbial record needle in the middle of a well-known pop tune, and see if anyone can figure out what it is. People tend to remember only the "hook" part of the tune. How many times is that hook repeated? Usually three times per time the "hook" shows up, with the hook showing up three times per song. How long are the songs? Anymore, it seems like about two and a half to three minutes. The length of popular songs has generally decreased over the past few decades. Shorter attention spans, maybe?

      Obviously, I have stated a lot of generalizations here, but these are some things one might try to notice about what actually makes popular music popular.

      And of course, marketing plays a huge role too.

    9. Re:A key to music is the familiar. by Joel+from+Sydney · · Score: 1

      You make a good point, but I feel slightly different about things. From listening to Australian commercial radio (my girlfriend likes it, so I have no choice), two things strike me about the music that becomes popular:

      1. The path of least resistance. The music that becomes really popular doesn't rely on being appealing to everyone, it does the inverse by being unappealing to less people. It's not so much a case of people "liking" the music, it's more that they "don't mind" it. Rather than making music that a small group of people absolutely love but nobody else can stand, the focus is on making music that is bland enough to not annoy people who don't particularly like it (so that they don't change station).

      2. They play it till you like it. Simply playing the same bland formulaic music over and over again works to familiarise the audience with the new act du jour, and hearing it so often means your resistance to it is gradually eroded. I've even been guilty of it myself, when My Humps by the Black Eyed Peas (which I absolutely hate with a passion) came on the other day, I turned the volume up and thought "awesome, I love this track! No, wait, I hate this track!". Repeating a small playlist also creates a false impression of longevity -- you think Jessica Simpson has been around for years and years because you've heard so much of her music on the radio, but she's only been recording for a short time. It's also a demonstrated fact that top-selling artists are having shorter and shorter careers.

    10. Re:A key to music is the familiar. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Exactly... As my theory professor told us the other day, "A lot of you are amateur composers... That's great. Every single person is capable of making music. A lot of the time, you all will put a note or a chord in 'because it sounds good'. Part of what makes a piece of music good is its respects paid to a lot of these rules you're learning. It's this underlying predictibility that will make that music satisfying to the ear."

      Basic concepts like harmonic rhythm laid on strong beats, advancing in the right direction around the circle of fifths and so on play a huge role in Western music to this day that connect popular music on the radio to JS Bach chorales of the 17th century.

    11. Re:A key to music is the familiar. by BiggerIsBetter · · Score: 1

      That's true, but what G.P is suggesting is that familiar songs will have an edge, and once the popularity snowball to roll starts it's all over. Media has a hard sell pushing anything new unless it has a catchy familiar hook that the masses can follow without thinking too hard.

      The thing he didn't mention was how familiarity affects the way radio introduces new music. They play a new/re-released song by a popular/over-the-hill/lagging artist... and they keep on playing it until it becomes familiar, regardless of whether anyone actually liked it in the first place! Then people like it for a while. Then they keep on playing it until people just want it to go away. Then it gets played on the Classic Hits and Rock stations.

      In fact, I heard a new one the other week, and even the DJs said it sucked. Yet they kept on playing it, and now it's "popular". It still sucks.

      --
      Forget thrust, drag, lift and weight. Airplanes fly because of money.
    12. Re:A key to music is the familiar. by VoidCrow · · Score: 0

      Mmm... Weird. I've always prized the unfamiliar. I like music that can surprise me. Britney Spears (note the spelling) will always send me reaching for the sick bag. I'm more inclined to think that a minority of people like music, and the majority are sheep.

    13. Re:A key to music is the familiar. by swillden · · Score: 1

      It's also a demonstrated fact that top-selling artists are having shorter and shorter careers.

      And it should be pointed out that's the way the record labels like it. A new, unknown artist is generally signed to a very one-sided contract, with low royalties, lots of deductions to the royalties, lots of defined recoupable expenses and a multi-year, multi-album commitment. The label makes huge amounts of money of of top-selling new acts. After the initial contract has run its course, the artist is now wiser, more confident and less desperate, so the next contract is somewhat better for the artist. At that point the label has less interest in promoting the artist, since there's another young idiot signed to a new rape-and-pillage contract. Ultimately, most artists that continue to be successful escape the whole issue by creating their own label which means no major label has *any* interest in promoting them.

      This approach increases marketing costs, but the labels have learned that it's more lucrative to spend money hyping a new artist who only has to be paid a tiny fraction of the take (if anything!) than to rely on the existing popularity of an established artist. To make it worse, the *most* lucrative contracts are those signed with "created" artists, because the performers are aware that the label is gifting them this opportunity. However, those "created" artists also generally have relatively little in the way of native talent, so the public tends to get bored with them fairly quickly. That means that by the time the first contract has run out, the artist just isn't selling all that well anyway. Ergo, on to the next creation!

      --
      Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
    14. Re:A key to music is the familiar. by Weedlekin · · Score: 1

      "Most popular songs today are in major keys"

      Most _popular_ Western music has always been in major keys, especially if it's meant for dancing to (e.g. waltzes, polkas, square dances, etc.). Same thing for Western folk music, with a few notable exceptions, often due to non-Western influences.

      "The length of popular songs has generally decreased over the past few decades"

      This is untrue. The standard length of a popular song has been around 3 minutes for a pretty long time, hence the fact that 78 RPM records playing for a maximum of 4 minutes per side of a 12" disk was not considered much of a limitation.

      33.33 RPM was first introduced for use with films in the late 1920s because they needed something that could hold the full length of a movie reel on each side (reels generally ran for 11 minutes); it was not however commercially available to the general public until 1947. 45 RPM singles were introduced a couple of years later, primarily to give juke-boxes a greater capacity / space ratio than was possible the older and much bigger 78 RPM disks. Their playing time was limited to around five minutes, which was again considered more than adequate for something aimed at popular music.

      --
      I'm not going to change your sheets again, Mr. Hastings.
    15. Re:A key to music is the familiar. by meringuoid · · Score: 1
      Moreover, innovation is the key to longevity. Think of how long Radiohead and OutKast have been popular, especially by comparison to [insert top 40 hack here].

      Consider here the most successful band there's ever been: The Beatles.

      Listen to, shall we say, Help!. Then listen to Revolver. Then listen to Sgt. Pepper's Lonely Hearts Club Band. Then listen to the White Album.

      The reason they're remembered so very positively is because they tried new things all the time. They only lasted, what, seven or eight years? Yet in that time, they covered so much ground. Everyone has at least something from the Beatles back catalogue that they like.

      Now, picture yourself on a boat on a river with tangerine trees and marmalade skies...

      --
      Real Daleks don't climb stairs - they level the building.
    16. Re:A key to music is the familiar. by soliptic · · Score: 2, Informative
      Not quite.

      The key to good music the balance between the familiar and the surprising.

      What is the soloist doing when he attempts to "build"? Actually the ideal process hardly ever takes place--that is, it is hardly ever the case that a conscientious soloist plays a thinking solo for a hard-listening hearer--but when this does happen, the key process is memory. The soloist has to establish for the listener what the important POINT, the motif if you like, is, and then show as much as he can of what it is that he sees in that motif, extending the relationships of it to the basic while never giving the feeling that he has forgotten it. In other words, I believe that it should be a basic principle to use repetition, rather than variety--but not too much. The listener is constatnly making predictions; actual infinitesimal predictions as to whether the next event will be a repetition of something, or something different. The player is constantly either confimring or denying these predictions in the listener's mind. As nearly as we can tell (Kraehenbuehl at Yale and I), the listener must come out right about 50% of the time--if he is too successful in predicting, he will be bored; if he is too unsuccessful, he will give up and call the music "disoganized."

      Thus if the player starts a repetitive pattern, the listener's attention drops away as soon as he has successfully predicted that it is going to continue. Then, if the thing keeps going, the attention curve comes back up, and the listener becomes interested in just how long the pattern is going to continue. Similarly, if the player never repeats anything, no matter how tremendous an imagnation he has, the listener will decide that the game is not worth playing, that he is not going to be able to make any predections right, and also stops litening. Too much difference is sameness: boring. Too much sameness is boring--but also different once in a while.

      -Richmond Browne

    17. Re:A key to music is the familiar. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Because Brittany Spears is popular you will tend to listen to her more thus like it more, then say some lesser known band.

      Oh hell no, I will not!

    18. Re:A key to music is the familiar. by 16K+Ram+Pack · · Score: 1
      There's a book written by Bill Drummond and Jimmy Cauty called "The Manual" which describes how to have a #1 single. Incidentally, they managed it with a band called The Timelords doing Doctoring The Tardis

      One piece of advice is about how they used a sample in a big way, because they knew it would be familiar to DJs.

      If you want to try and have a number 1, there's a lot of good tips in there.

  19. What else did you expect? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

    What about a group who picks music based on what is sounds like?

    Without that option, did anyone really expect people to pick music based on the names of the songs and artists?

    If people use either of these methods, it's lame.
    But, obviously, picking based on popularity makes about a billion times more sense that picking a song based on it's title. DUH!

    What a retarded measure of nothing.

    1. Re:What else did you expect? by kfg · · Score: 1

      If people use either of these methods, it's lame.

      That's ok. Another study has shown that most people are lame.

      KFG

    2. Re:What else did you expect? by Tx · · Score: 4, Insightful

      From the mouths of Cowards comes wisdom. You're absolutely right, people find it incredibly hard to be random. Deprived of more meaningful criteria to base a selection on, they will use less meaningful, or even totally meaningless criteria. Ask me to choose between two cocktails that I've never heard of, and I'll probably choose the one whose colour I like best - I know it has no bearing on how good it's going to tase, but you have to choose, right? (Actually I'd ask for a scotch instead, but you get the point).

      --
      Oh no... it's the future.
    3. Re:What else did you expect? by geekoid · · Score: 1

      actually color can tell a lot about Scotch.
      So if offered two scotchs you have never heard of, color might be a great way to get the superious one.

      A friend of mine's granddad used to tend bar in Reno. When every a man asked for a blended drink, he's just say "No, you want a scotch."

      A comedian who's name elludes me at the moment, based a character on him. I should remember the comedians name, big guy from the 40s or 50's often threaten to abuse his wife.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    4. Re:What else did you expect? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Jackie Gleason?

    5. Re:What else did you expect? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      From the mouths of Cowards comes wisdom. You're absolutely right, people find it incredibly hard to be random. Deprived of more meaningful criteria to base a selection on, they will use less meaningful, or even totally meaningless criteria.

      Reminds me of a quotation from Mae West:

      "When forced make a choice between two evils,
      I like to choose the one I haven't tried before."

  20. And... by RoscBottle · · Score: 1, Funny

    In other news, water is still wet.

  21. A person ... by Gaima · · Score: 1

    ... is smart. People are stupid, panicky, dangerous animals, and you know it.

  22. Re:They probably violated RIAA, MPAA and TV Patent by symbolic · · Score: 2, Funny

    I think the person that patented the method by which disease and pestilence are spread, beat them to it.

  23. Duh by Have+Blue · · Score: 1

    I don't see what's surprising about this. Every smart customer checks what other customers have had to say about a product before purchasing it, whether it's in-depth written reviews or a simple rating. A product most other users liked is more likely to be investigated further and purchased, and a product most other users didn't is likely to be avoided.

    1. Re:Duh by pla · · Score: 1

      Every smart customer checks what other customers have had to say about a product before purchasing it

      Except, that works well for physical objects, not matters of preference. My washing machine, I want to know does what it claims and won't break in three months. My newest CD, I literally expect most people have never even heard of the artist(1), and I don't really care if anyone but me enjoys their music.

      As for what surprises me about this study... It lacks a glaringly obvious "control" group - Namely, let people listen to the music in question and rate it according to preference, with no outside influence. Lacking that control, this study has almost no external validity.

      Though, I suppose that basically agrees with you - The findings have no meaning, and don't surprise me... Given an overwhelming number of choices and no better means of selecting from them, as a human, I will most likely find enjoyable the same things other humans (with whom I have shared cultural experiences) enjoyed. That strategy may not result in the optimal choice (by which I mean that, out of 10k songs, I might not ever listen to the one that would turn into my instant lifetime favorite), but I'll probably find enough tolerable material from which to derive some pleasure.



      1: Bitstream Dream. It you want to check them out, you can download their entire catalog FOR FREE, yet I still bought their newest release - Suck that, RIAA!. And no, I have no connection to them, other than as a listener.

    2. Re:Duh by newr00tic · · Score: 1

      You're damn right here, man.. -And.. if I were trying to "adjust" myself to the spirit of this specific thread, it doesn't help much to have Zappa blazing it the adjoining room..

      --
      A horse can't be sick, you know, even if he wants to.
  24. so much crap on the radio by Expert+Determination · · Score: 0

    Yet another condescending comment on /. on how geeks are so much superior to mere mortals - this time because their taste in music is so much better.

    --
    "The White House is not an intelligence-gathering agency," -- Scott McClellan, Whitehouse spokesman.
  25. I don't get it... by Eldorian1979 · · Score: 1

    I tend to go by user reviews quite a bit, especially if it's in something I'm not familiar with. If I want to listen a genre of music I'm unfamiliar with, I'll look around and see what other people think. If a lot of people listen to it and rate it high, then it has a good chance of being pretty good and I'll buy into it. I mean, I dunno how many times I've chosen a product over another on amazon.com solely because one had better user reviews/ratings. I don't see how this pertains to crap being played on the radio though. That's whoever has the more money to market their musician the better chance they have of getting played. The more it's played, the more people hear it. The more people hear something, the more likely they are to buy it. I find smaller stations, especially ones that are on a college campus are way better for finding better quality music. Because they select their tracks based on their own good tastes and not who is bringing more money into their station.

  26. Re:How ideas on Slashdot get popular by vidnet · · Score: 1
    Sorry to disagree with you, but I've seen many pro-Microsoft (particular cases of course, or maybe just points of view) or anti-Linux rants get a +5 Insightful.

    The trick is to open with "I'll probably be modded down for this" "Here goes my karma"

  27. so, peer ratings are more important than titles... by dhardisty · · Score: 1

    "Participants could then browse through a collection of unknown songs by unknown bands... In the social influence group, participants were provided with the same song list, but could also see how many times each song had been downloaded... They also found that as a particular songs' popularity increased, participants selected it more often."

    Is this really that surprising? Given a big list of unknown songs, you listen to the ones that other people thought were good. Kind of like reader reviews on Amazon. I would do the same thing.

  28. Does that mean..... by 8127972 · · Score: 0

    I can stop watching American Idol?

    --
    This is my opinion. To make sure you don't steal it, it's covered by the DMCA.
  29. Mod me up! by slart42 · · Score: 2, Funny

    Others will mod me up, too.

    1. Re:Mod me up! by tool462 · · Score: 1

      It's only funny 'cause it's true.

    2. Re:Mod me up! by i+kan+reed · · Score: 1

      'tis moderated funny. but I've seen that effect before. once moderated things keep getting moderated in the same direction.

    3. Re:Mod me up! by geekoid · · Score: 1

      well done.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
  30. Now Why Do We by boogahboogah · · Score: 1

    hear the same songs over & over & over & over & over ?

    Do people really not remember a song ( or never get sick of a song ) after they've heard it five thousand million billion times ?

  31. Not very surprising... by lordsid · · Score: 1, Insightful

    The results aren't very surprising considering their "virtual music market" consisted of teenagers.

    --
    IMAGE VERIFICATION IS EVIL!
  32. Why is this a bad thing? by miked1001 · · Score: 1

    This phenomenon is not surprising. Sure, Popularity begets popularity.

    I see several comments pointing to how this shows that popular music is doomed.

    Disillusionment about a musical era past aside, in general, why is this bad? Something (whether it's a song, vacuum cleaner, or graphics card) can't become immensely popular if it doesn't have some merit that has widespread appeal. That appeal is never based solely on marketing. In the case of a song, marketing helps, but it must be catchy to some people or it would never sell. Regardless of your own view of a popular song, enough people find it appealing to make it popular.

    So, can you blame people for trusting popularity as being one of the factors that affects what they pay attention to? They can always trust that there is some appeal of that item (be it product or song or whatever) if it's popular.

    1. Re:Why is this a bad thing? by dotzilla · · Score: 0, Troll

      That's right: an art piece is not "objectively" good, it depends on the context where it's consumed, and that context is largely defined by the popularity of that art piece among other people. Look at famous classical musicians that became appreciated only after they died, for example.

      ...or Van Gogh's self-portraits, for another example: they are thought of as masterpieces but only because lots of other people liked his other stuff; if all he ever painted were self-portraits, no one would ever pay attention to them (or him).

      Btw what would be an "objectively" -- standing in isolation from all else -- good music anyway?

  33. Crap Rock by HooliganIntellectual · · Score: 1

    There was some study years ago that found that "hit" records and popular artists were the result of a mostly arbitrary process. In other words, there are probably as many good artists, if not many more, than the popular ones that dominate the airwaves and music sales.

    There are other factors that account for popularity, of course, such as the concentration of the music industry, payola, real talent, sex appeal, and so on.

    What mystifies me is the popularity of classic rock stations on the radio. Why is the crap of the 1970 and 1980s considered "classic" today? Just because those bands and those songs were popular 25 years ago? Journey? REO Speedwagon? Come on. Much of that "classic" rock was crap. It was popular crap. And why are certain popular songs "classic" when there may have been better songs on those albums?

    1. Re:Crap Rock by vux984 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Why is the crap of the 1970 and 1980s considered "classic" today?

      The nostalgia trip; Regardless of whether the music was intrinsically good it still conjures up our past, at least for those of us who lived through it. We're all familiar with the example of being transported to childhood with the smell of baking bread, for example. Same with music.

      I have oddball memory associations with all manner 'utter crap' music. Friends, parties, dates, stags, road trips, summer vacation, concerts, etc etc...pop is the soundtrack to our lives. Listening to it we relive bits of it.

      Hell, its even true for songs I despised at the time. I hated "Don't Worry be happy" when it was big, but hearing it now is a nostalgia trip; I seem to have fond memories of hating it. ;)

    2. Re:Crap Rock by geekoid · · Score: 1

      because most people want to here the music from there youth. and there are a lot of baby bommers.

      Personally, I like finding new stuff as well as some classic stuffs.

      I think classic rock is 20 year or olders. when determinning what classic songs to play, they look at what were the popular singles 20 years ago. Thats what most people from the era want to hear.
      Not me, the stuff I like seldom gets played on classic rock stations. I guess thats why I mixed most of my cassettes myself.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    3. Re:Crap Rock by FLEB · · Score: 2, Insightful

      There's also the fact that 20-30 year old music has had quite a bit of time to let the cream rise to the top (or barring the cream, at least the most well known). I've found that I can probably sing along to 3/4 of the stuff on a classic-rock station, and that's probably not extraordinary. When you consider the sheer amount of music that was produced in those years, the classic-rock radio stations (or most other genre stations, for that matter) are only giving a sliver subset... there was much more "music of the times".

      --
      Information wants to be free.
      Entertainment wants to be paid.
      You just want to be cheap.
  34. A social experiment by Belseth · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Go to most any store, supermarkets especially. Now stand and stare at an item on the shelf. Even if the isle was empty before within a minute or so at the most some one will be looking at the same shelf. I've quite often had people muscle me out of the way or at least stand in front of me. They will tend to stand there as long as you do and quite often won't pick something from the shelf. It's pretty common to draw a crowd. Marketing companies have known about this effect for years and used it to market products by hiring people to stand and look at displays. Humans are very territorial and are by nature very concerned that they will miss out on something or some one else will get the bargin and not them. If you anounced on the radio that sales were exploding for an album by an unknown group and that the stores would be sold out before the end of the day people would line up so they wouldn't miss out knowing no more about the group than everyone else wanted the album. Advertising works for a reason. You create a craze by convincing people they are missing out. Remember Beanie Babies? People were desperate to get them yet they were nothing more than a small stuffed animal and effectively worthless.

    1. Re:A social experiment by garett_spencley · · Score: 2, Insightful
      "If you anounced on the radio that sales were exploding for an album by an unknown group and that the stores would be sold out before the end of the day people would line up so they wouldn't miss out knowing no more about the group than everyone else wanted the album."


      Yup that is also a very common marketing trick too. It is exactly why every single new movie that comes out is "The #1 Movie In America!!!" and why every single new book is "The Best Selling Book" etc.
    2. Re:A social experiment by brian0918 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      "Remember Beanie Babies? People were desperate to get them yet they were nothing more than a small stuffed animal and effectively worthless."

      Everything is worthless unless people want it.

    3. Re:A social experiment by gad_zuki! · · Score: 4, Funny

      >You create a craze by convincing people they are missing out. Remember Beanie Babies?

      People are mindless conformists! So what flavor of Linux do you run?

    4. Re:A social experiment by bxbaser · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I used the same trick when i used to sell at swap meets and shows. one person from the booth would stand in front of the table when it got slow, never failed to bring a few more people over.

    5. Re:A social experiment by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Go to most any store, supermarkets especially. Now stand and stare at an item on the shelf. Even if the isle was empty before within a minute or so at the most some one will be looking at the same shelf

      I prefer the 'going to the mall stareing at the ceiling' social experiment.

    6. Re:A social experiment by kjd · · Score: 1

      Seriously? At a supermarket? I can see this at a music store, a toy store, something like that, but it seems odd to me that anyone would care what brand of peas I'm staring at. Unless of course they needed peas, and I was standing right there in the way with my cart, steadfast and unwavering.

      In grocery stores people usually try to stay out of each other's way, in my experience.

    7. Re:A social experiment by oyenstikker · · Score: 1

      Like stocks. The value of the company is based on how much people want it. Major stockholder in company A, supposedly worth 100M, decides he wants to buy a 10M yacht.. He sells 10M in stock, and the stock price plummets.

      Lets review:
      Man buys a boat. "Value" of a company plummets.

      --
      The masses are the crack whores of religion.
    8. Re:A social experiment by Bitwaba · · Score: 1

      FreeBSD

  35. a couple of real-world examples by zuki · · Score: 5, Insightful

    This has become such a science, there is just too much at stake for people who routinely invest 6 and 7-figure sums of money into a new album. (And I am not necessarily speaking about record labels here, it could just as well be about the associated release tour, which by now generates far more income than the actual CD sales). Focus groups, endless studies of people's buying patterns, major pressure from the 'top' (i.e.: management) to conform to a predictable sound, etc...

    Here's a funny one, on a recent flight I was sitting next to the manager for some very well-known heavy metal and rock acts, who flatly declared that if U2 was a new band today, they wouldn't have a chance in hell of getting signed the way they did in 1983 when their breakthrough album propelled them into stardom. The people he deals with both at the label and promotion level would never take a chance on something that original.... Which of course means that after years of this kind of behavior, the general public's ears do not have a desire for anything new or unusual.

    I could very well see a broke Jimi Hendrix today, still playing $100 fill-in gigs at Cafe Wah in the Village (still around too) and no one giving a rat's ass about his life-changing guitar playing because it would be too strong and outside of the norm....

    Here's another example, last year a major game developer allegedly saw an increase of sales of their flagship PS2 game to the tune of 5,000 more units per week when they tweaked the music on their current TV campaign and featured background music that was more familiar to their target audience.....

    This if doesn't seem like a game of chance and talent anymore, that's because because it isn't. Like P-Diddy said, it's all about Da Benjamins.

    Still, it comes down to this: if you are going to do it, do it because you like it, not because of the expected returns.
    If you actually have talent, you might go a lot further on that than the empty promises and broken stardom dreams most end up shelving when they get their girlfriend pregnant.

    On another (closer) note, maybe someone should transpose this study to /. and do a research on what posts get rated and modded the highest, and how this does influence the writers to conform to a certain style that they know will get them modded? ... and does this make their style more boring and predictable?

    How Darwinian!! Z.

    1. Re:a couple of real-world examples by Locke2005 · · Score: 2, Funny
      you might go a lot further on that than the empty promises and broken stardom dreams most end up shelving when they get their girlfriend pregnant.

      You must be new here.

      --
      I've abandoned my search for truth; now I'm just looking for some useful delusions.
    2. Re:a couple of real-world examples by geekoid · · Score: 1

      Funny, I know people in music, and they take chances all the time.
      Maybe you should listen to more genre?

      U2 would be signed today because they became hugely popular before they were signed.
      If I started a band, sold out every small club, and people started clamoring to hear me on the radio, I'd be offered a contract.

      That guy makes it sound like someone just walked up to Bono and said, "start a band and we'll give you a contract" without doing any research.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    3. Re:a couple of real-world examples by Bostik · · Score: 1

      Here's another example, last year a major game developer allegedly saw an increase of sales of their flagship PS2 game to the tune of 5,000 more units per week when they tweaked the music on their current TV campaign and featured background music that was more familiar to their target audience.....

      You mean, like having a game ad use Requiem for a Dream's well-known and incredibly nerve-striking tune, when the game itself has no trace of the music in question? All credit to Clint Mansell and Kronos Quartet for doing the marvelous soundtrack, I like it. But to keep this post even slightly on topic, it certainly shows some kind of halo effect, only this time based on aural stimulation: use a good tune in your ad and the general sense the viewer gets is probably biased to positive side.

      --
      There is no such thing as good luck. There is only misfortune and its occasional absence.
    4. Re:a couple of real-world examples by elfin_spectre · · Score: 1

      I saw u2 on their 11 o'clock tick tock tour in 1980 and it was in a half empty back room of the General Wolfe pub in Coventry. They were already signed to Island at that stage. Not 'huge popularity' at that stage. They were very good though.

  36. Ob Futurama by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Death by Snoo Snoo!!

    1. Re:Ob Futurama by Scarletdown · · Score: 1
      Death by Snoo Snoo!!


      Or more appropriately...

      Death by Boonga Boonga!!! http://www.syberpunk.com/cgi-bin/index.pl?page=boo nga
      --
      This space unintentionally left blank.
  37. Re:How ideas on Slashdot get popular by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful
    Sorry to disagree with you, but I've seen many pro-Microsoft (particular cases of course, or maybe just points of view) or anti-Linux rants get a +5 Insightful.


    That is true, but, how many of those moderations are metamoterated as 'fair' as opposed to 'unfair'?

    Of course, true statements often get moderated as insightful. Is it our fault that most statements against microsoft happen to be true?


    Oh you mean statements like 'Microsoft is a monopoly because they were convicted as such' as well as 'Windows is so unsecure and unstable'?

    The first one, the have never really been a monopoly, as they have always had competition in the form of OS/2, Linux, and MacOS. Comparing OS/2 to Windows 95 or even Windows 3.11, it was much simpler to connect to the internet as OS/2 could not handle dynamic IP addresses, only static. Linux is only now maturing into a real product, and even then it's still in its early stages

    Microsoft also has competition in the form of Openoffice.org. They also had competition that wasn't nearly as good because wordperfect and lotus both wanted to stick with 'tried and true' dos. Netscape ended up going nowhere whereas Microsoft was continually improving their browser. The reason Microsft came up on top is they knew how to compete viciously in the market. That is what Capitalism is. Then when they thought they had little competition to worry about, the Mozilla project was building up underneath their radar, now they have competition in the form of Firefox, Thunderbird, Openoffice.org, and Various Linux distributions.

    As for the second statement, I haven't updated in a while and I have not had to reboot in a while and I have not had any security attacks on my system at all. The deal with security is mainly with attachments. I do not open unknown attachments and yes, I use Internet Explorer and Outlook Express.

    IMHO, I think there is moderations and metamoderations that are based on what a person believes rather than whether or not someone makes a good point. Maybe cmdrtaco could implement a metamoderation system where 8 users can metamoderate one moderation, and base whether it fair or unfair on the majority of metamods so that it can be a little more fair.

    On music, I have heard several song on the radio that I don't care for, but my taste is different than someone elses. I believe that there are some song that are popular just because it's popular, others are popular because it's good.
  38. Buying airtime by jd · · Score: 2, Interesting
    New York is investigating scams in which hundreds of millions of dollars have been spent in buying extra airtime for specific songs. I did not know this, but this is actually a crime. There are a lot of companies involved, apparently, but two very familiar names stuck out... Clear Channel and Sony. Sony has apparently settled, not sure if Clear Channel has.


    Part of the problem with media conglomerates is that you can buy a LOT of media outlets in a single transaction. Clear Channel, I believe, owns numerous radio stations in every State in the US. Cross-media ownership (eg: radio, TV and newspapers) rules have been relaxed, so the problem will likely get much worse before it gets better.


    The easy answer would be to limit media ownership. One outlet in a city and/or two outlets in a State (for the US) or County (for England) should be ample and would make it much harder for labels to purchase airtime. Or, at least, more expensive and more tedious. It would neither inhibit freedom of speech nor commercial viability if "playlists" were banned, as well. "Top 40" charts and emphasis on those songs is fine, but essentially banishing all others (or banning artists for political reasons, as has happened) has little to do with any definition of freedom I'm aware of.


    On the other hand, it might be easier to just clone the late John Peel and require all music stations to give him an hour's airtime per day. That would definitely work wonders for bringing the real talent out there to the listeners.

    --
    It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
  39. Re:How ideas on Slashdot get popular by SeattleGameboy · · Score: 1
    Not necessarily suggesting that you are full of B.S...

    ...but, care to link a just a few (say, 5 or 6) of these +5 Insightful pro-Microsoft rant?

    I don't mean those posts where people are taking lesser of two evils (say, MS vs Patents or MS vs Hollywood, etc.), I mean GENUINELY pro-Microsoft rant that is rated +5 Insightful.

    I just can't for the life of me, can remember a single one...

  40. Ordinary fucking people by Drunkulus · · Score: 5, Funny

    I hate 'em

    1. Re:Ordinary fucking people by rkanodia · · Score: 2, Funny

      Don't worry, we hate you too.

    2. Re:Ordinary fucking people by OutOnARock · · Score: 1

      You of course know that this is an obscure "Repo Man" reference, do you not???

  41. Our crap is as good as their crap by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Canada has Canadian content rules for music played on the radio. It has been in place since the 1970s and has worked very well. People hear Canadian music being played on the radio and buy the CDs. Canada thus has a very strong music industry. One of the founding assumptions of Canadian content was: "Most of the music on the radio is crap. We can make crap that is just as good as American crap." So, I have to agree. Most people have a poorly developed musical taste and respond largely to what the other sheeple are listening to. Bah. er baa

  42. big companies by bobtheowl2 · · Score: 1

    The Big music companies and Radio stations have been doing this for years.
    You really believe that Top 40, is the listeners Top 40? In some cases they might be close, but I listen to 20on20 (XM) frequently, and all of a sudden a new and unpopular song shows up as #20, and that's all it takes.

  43. Re:They probably violated RIAA, MPAA and TV Patent by ackthpt · · Score: 1
    I think the person that patented the method by which disease and pestilence are spread, beat them to it.

    Thinking of Good Omens?

    I did like the bit about " MEALS was CHOW with added sugar and fat."

    --

    A feeling of having made the same mistake before: Deja Foobar
  44. saves a lot of time by DeveloperAdvantage · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Following the crowd probably evolved as a pretty good way of shortening the decision making process. If someone else ate a berry or mushroom and didn't get sick or die, then there was a pretty good chance that I could eat it too and would be ok. This saves a lot of time and energy instead of having to sort through everything by yourself.

    --
    FREE - Java, J2EE and Ajax Audiobooks for Software Developers - www.DeveloperAdvantage.com
    1. Re:saves a lot of time by MurphyZero · · Score: 1

      Also saves learning how to sort through everything by yourself. Now if only those that do it to avoid learning would follow lemmings.

      --
      Our founding fathers removed the guys in charge. Be American. Vote incumbents out.
    2. Re:saves a lot of time by volfro · · Score: 1

      It was probably also a good way to figure out how to commit suicide, since there were no ropes back then.

    3. Re:saves a lot of time by sckeener · · Score: 1

      Following the crowd probably evolved as a pretty good way of shortening the decision making process. If someone else ate a berry or mushroom and didn't get sick or die, then there was a pretty good chance that I could eat it too and would be ok. This saves a lot of time and energy instead of having to sort through everything by yourself.

      It works really well for Buffalo right up to that point where they go over the cliff....

      --
      "Only one thing, is impossible for god: to find any sense in any copyright law on the planet." Mark Twain
  45. So much for nostalgia by NickFortune · · Score: 1
    Turns out popularity bred popularity, which explains why there's so much crap on the radio."

    So... has popularity not always bred popularity?

    Or are we to conclude that the radio has always been crap?

    I think this theory is missing something, somehow

    --
    Don't let THEM immanentize the Eschaton!
  46. what about the hepsters? by blhack · · Score: 0

    did they take into account the dyed black hair, dickies wearing non-conformists that only listen to the most obscure music they can find by searching though the blogs of 14 year old girls on myspce!? //POPCORN!

    --
    NewslilySocial News. No lolcats allowed.
  47. Bellwether by jbum · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Connie Willis's novel Bellwether, which is about the science of fads, deals with this phenomenon in depth.

    The title comes from a middle english word used describing a practice in sheep farming. Sheep tend to follow each other. But farmers would sometimes use a castrated ram with a bell around his neck to lead the rest of the flock. The ram would tend to move first, but in a very subtle, nearly undetectable way.

    At the center of any cloud of popularity must be a seed of initial impulse - the bellwether.

    1. Re:Bellwether by khallow · · Score: 1
      The ram would tend to move first, but in a very subtle, nearly undetectable way.

      Last I checked, there wasn't much subtle about rams. And with that bell, he's not going to be "undetectable". OTOH, the analogy is interesting, if you wish to create a bellwhether as many marketers do. If you insert the alpha male or female yourself with bell properly attached, then you have a good idea of where the flock is heading and can control it to some extent.

    2. Re:Bellwether by smellsofbikes · · Score: 1

      The parent didn't make it quite clear. You don't know which sheep is the bellwether unless you've been observing them for a looooooong time, and then you figure out which sheep is the one that the others are following, and you attach the bell for YOUR convenience, so that if you need them to go somewhere you can go encourage that specific sheep to do what you want, and the others will follow. They're not following the bell, they're following the sheep. YOU (as a shepherd) are following the bell.

      The point of the book is that humans probably act the same way, and in this particular case there was a stupid, annoying office clerk who was doing kind of dumb stuff that the protagonist of the book saw other people doing, later, so she realized that the person was a human bellwether. Unfortunately, by that time she'd quit and gone somewhere else without having been belled.

      It's a good book, like all the stuff she's written.

      --
      Nostalgia's not what it used to be.
  48. Nothing new here. by Onuma · · Score: 1

    This is how Bruce Springsteen's fame came about. He was pushed heavily and given false ratings by his record company (NBC iirc)...he was made popular because he essentially won a bet.

    The Boss, my ass.

    Sorry if you like his music, but it's the truth :P

    --
    What else can happen when an unstoppable force collides with an immovable object?
  49. Common sense? by noidentity · · Score: 1

    If you've got limited time to pick music from a large pool that likely contains a lot of crap, you're going to get more decent songs by making use of previous people's attempts to do the same. It's a pyramid scheme where you benefit from all the people who came before you.

  50. Familiarity breeds popularity by timshea · · Score: 1

    In my case, I found that since I switched to listening to "free" music (offered by unsigned artists to download for free), that after listening to what sounded "okay" started sounding great...even though my friends consider it to be garbage ("How can you listen to that off-key, under-produced cr.p?").

    After two years of listening to pretty much the same 40-50 songs, they sound pretty good to me - much more "real" than "commercial" music...I feel more like the artists are present rather than in a recording studio.

  51. If you like reading... by Javaman59 · · Score: 0
    These days I mostly read freely (and legally) available short fiction and classics on the net (there's a lot of it out there).
    Serious comment. How about using the local public library? The books are free, you get the pleasure of browsing, and you can find books which you would not normally encounter. You can also borrow commercial DVD's and music. For me, a Sunday afternoon at the local library is a treat.
    --
    I'm a software visionary. I don't code.
    1. Re:If you like reading... by n54 · · Score: 1

      Absolutely, a library is a great institution and well worth a visit as well as support.

      I used to visit a main library fairly regularily when younger (sometimes daily), but these days I don't have the opportunity to do so. As to finding unknown authors/books/writing I've made many discoveries on the net (short fiction is great for that purpose imo).

      --
      this additional sig includes a portrait of Mohammed in support of freedom of expression, feel free to reproduce it

      --
      this comment is provided "as is" and without any express or implied legibility or congruity [...]
  52. MOD PARENT UP EXTREME !!!!!1 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

    ...and mod this down ULTRATROLL

  53. Re:How ideas on Slashdot get popular by Spy+der+Mann · · Score: 1

    I mean GENUINELY pro-Microsoft rant that is rated +5 Insightful.

    I just can't for the life of me, can remember a single one...


    here is one. I agree, it took me a while to find it. Generally the pro-Windows comments modded insightful are about user-friendliness, and there aren't many stories on /. about that.

  54. Is this _really_ true? by writermike · · Score: 1

    I go to a gym and this gym plays a "90's and today" station over their loudspeakers. Now, I've been at this gym nearly two years now and the radio station is playing -- I kid you not -- nearly ALL OF THE SAME DAMN SONGS they were playing when I first started.

    What is this? Do people really like this much repetition? Really? I have so much trouble wrapping my head around this. Why on earth would anyone want to listen to something over-and-over again for years, never exploring new ideas, never poking at new tastes? This is really what normal people want?

    This study be damned. Have people become so fed up and stressed out with their lives that they just want anything that's familiar? They won't try anything new? They want "Since you been gone" over and over and over and over again?

    Sigh. Yet another example that I'm just not normal.

    People want to hear the same songs over and over again.
    People want their "geeks" to show up in uniforms, flashing badges (Geek Squad).
    People like computers that break within two years.
    People love wacky laws and think litigators are sexy.

    --
    If Nalgene water bottles are outlawed, only outlaws will have Nalgene water bottles.
  55. Yep, makes perfect sense. by Javaman59 · · Score: 1, Insightful

    The human brain does not have the capacity, or time, to properly process all the information it receives, so it uses all sorts of aids to free it from information overload. Thus it forms habits, learns from repetition, and relies on other peoples opinions. For the average person, finding the "best" music would be a mental task which is not worth the effort, (they've got other things to do) so they use public opinion to find music which is "good enough". Just like buying cars, or software, clothes, or food. Our brain uses "conformity" in most things, to free it to make personal decisions in the things which are most important to us, whatever they may be.

    --
    I'm a software visionary. I don't code.
    1. Re:Yep, makes perfect sense. by 16K+Ram+Pack · · Score: 1
      Have you ever tried to talk people into going to see a movie with no known stars?

      It's almost impossible. I remember seeing Reservoir Dogs and being completely blown away and telling people, and the first question was "who's in it?".

      It's why movie stars earn so much more than writers.

  56. Re:How ideas on Slashdot get popular by SeattleGameboy · · Score: 1
    C'mon you don't get away that easily:)

    The post you link is not pro-Microsoft, it is pro-graphics UI and it refers to Mac as well as Windows. And we all know that /. is DEFINITELY pro Mac. How about a truly pro-Microsoft post?

    Your contention was that there are "many" pro-Microsoft posts on ./ rated +5 Insightful. I am guessing there are at least a hundred or so +5 rated posts a day. If you were truly correct, you should be able to find at least 5 to 10 posts from just today.

    If not, I think that kinda proves my point...

  57. wrong inference by pH03n1X · · Score: 1

    "People are faced with too many options, in this case 48 songs. Since you can't listen to all of them, a natural shortcut is to listen to what other people are listening to" basically summarizes the article.

    I think the result is pretty obvious. The same is true for almost all other social networks. Take Slashdot Comments for example - higher rated comments are read more often. This does not imply that "crap" content can become popular - since most social networks have a "feedback" mechanism - which can be as simple as a user rating down the "crap" song. So if a crap song becomes popular initially, its popularity is controlled by sufficient number of "rate-downs".

    1. Re:wrong inference by porcupine8 · · Score: 1
      Okay, I'm only going to post this one more time, then y'all are on your own.

      They did not download songs that were highly rated. They downloaded songs that had already been downloaded more, regardless of the ratings.

      The end.

      --
      Warning: Apple/Nintendo fangirl. Likes her electronics cute & cuddly. May be rabid.
  58. People only read high-rated Slashdot Posts... by fujiman · · Score: 1

    Mod me up for proof!

  59. bad science by fermion · · Score: 1
    Truly and utterly bad science. Truly and utterly bad reporting. the first line says it all
    When Ashlee Simpson tops the charts while a critically acclaimed ex-Beatle's album fails to crack the top 200, eyebrows go up in the marketing world. This is called starting with you conclusion and finding evidence to match it. You take one of the most loved bands, that has stood the test of time, and arguable has some artistic merit, and compare it to what is arguable trash. Is every new artist trash? Were there any fewer trash artist 40 years ago? I think not. So much for bad reporting.

    The bad science is that music is intrinsically a social art, and always has been. Normal people in a society have the same expectations, and when those expectations are met normal people are satisfied. Those expectation change over time, but are rather consistant during short periods. So, what this study actually shows is that taste among normal teens is consistant, and they are more likely to enjoy songs that also enjoyed by thier peers, rather than a somewhat random collections of songs.

    The objective reality is that a suffently cultured person can enjoy a range of music, from classical, to jazz, to rock, to rap, to hip hop, to country. The fact that teens are not sophiticated is not surprising as they lack experience. The problem is that some so-called adults are not sophisticated either, and seem to be proud of that. On the flip side, the difference between bad music and good music, outside of they psuedo-intellectual world or music reviewing, is slight. Anything that is going to get recorded is going to basically meet some minimum standard. Anything that is going to be targeted to teens, even by an indie band, will meet certain expectations.

    A valid experiment could be designed. Take teens from distincly different culture, ask them to sample each others music, music that is already popular in the other culture, and see if there is statistically significant impact of the popularity factor.My guess is there might not be. I have seen total rejection of even different forms of hip hop, seperated by a scant few hundred miles. The issue is not whether we follow the herd, as we clearly in many cases do. The issue is whether we just follow any herd.

    --
    "She's a scientist and a lesbian. She's not going to let it slide." Orphan Black
  60. I have two things to say by MrNougat · · Score: 1

    One: How about a third group, where participants were paid money to generate the positive comments to be viewed by one of the other groups (payola)?

    Two: I think this hypothesis applies to everything, not just music. There's a lot of crap on the radio, yes; there's a lot of non-musical crap out there, too.

    --
    Web 2.0 == Giant Blogspam Circle Jerk
  61. Review anything, except new music by rustface · · Score: 1

    Movies and books have reviews and awards on the back cover, the poster, package, etc.

    You rarely see any kind of review or award mention on CD packaging.

    Except maybe some silly sticker, but come on.

  62. some examples by Phil+Urich · · Score: 1

    This one is arguably pro-MS (at least, strongly and intelligently supporting them on an issue). Indeed, in that article there were many random random other posts (example). Now, maybe this topic doesn't quite count (and okay, these aren't rabidly pro-MS rants, but you don't see many purely pro-anything rants per se that aren't modded off-topic, n'est pas?).

    There are more examples, but I suppose most of that page is critiquing the headline. There are some ones that are more forcefully on MS's side, but that's further down the page and thus less mod points.

    Things get a bit clearer with that Gates VS. Jobs article, now granted this is nothing to do with software. But then again, liking a company or not is hardly going to be 100% software, one way or another. Here's a good pro-Gates one.

    I don't really feel like spending time looking any further, but you can see that even from this cursory investigation (I just looked at some recent MS-themed articles for a few minutes) that people say pro-MS things and get modded up . . . yeah, none of these were simple, foundationless rants. But then, the format of slashdot discourages such! They were all topical, and topically they supported the MS side. Some of these cases it was even on a subject that slashdot is more likely to be biased for the opposing side, too (like, Steve Jobs versus Bill Gates, hmm, who do you think people on /. are more likely to be touting?).

    In other words, I think it's demonstrated that pure versions of the rants you're referring to are likely out there, awhile ago. Same way that fossils show that there were giant reptiles, yaknow? Not direct evidence, but I think proves the point anyways. Reasonable reason to believe, at least.

    --
    I remember sigs. Oh, a simpler time!
    1. Re:some examples by SeattleGameboy · · Score: 1
      If you may indulge me a bit...

      Let's go through so-called "pro-Microsoft" posts that you have linked here.

      1. http://it.slashdot.org/comments.pl?sid=175649&cid= 14601564 - You say this is arguably pro-Microsoft. And I would have to agree, that is arguable. This is basically calling out people for favoring both sides of the issue, not necessarily pro-Microsoft.

      2. http://yro.slashdot.org/comments.pl?sid=175579&cid =14597420 - How you could argue that this is pro-Micrsoft is beyond me. Just because it is not Anti-Microsoft does not mean it is pro-Microsoft.

      3. http://yro.slashdot.org/comments.pl?sid=175579&cid =14597688 - This one is not even rated...

      4. http://yro.slashdot.org/comments.pl?sid=175579&cid =14598309 - This is not rated +5 AND it is more of a ranting against hacking than pro-Microsoft.

      5. The examples with Gates is about his charitable foundations, NOT Microsoft. Not the same thing.

      Here is a GENUINE pro-Linux rated +5 post (http://linux.slashdot.org/comments.pl?sid=176890& threshold=0&commentsort=0&mode=thread&cid=14681954 ) and it took me one click to find it. Can you find an equivalent pro-Microsoft post rated so high?

      Like I said, such beast either does not exist, or it is so few that it will take you days to find it. Not that I am saying that is necessarily bad. ./ definitely has its biases and it is free to have it. But to deny that bias exist is bit naive.

      Thanks for proving my point, though...

    2. Re:some examples by Phil+Urich · · Score: 1

      Heh, looks like I managed to mis-link some of those posts somehow. Sloppy work on my part. (I don't even recall reading that post that wasn't moderated, heh, I'm pretty sure I inteded a different post)

      I do certainly recall reading some pro-MS ones, often frequently, but the more recent batch of articles hasn't seemed to breed much. I would argue that the Gates example sortof counts, though . . . I mean, it's people praising Bill Gates over Steve Jobs. On Slashdot. Really, now!

      I think the main difference is one of quantity, though. There are a hell of a lot more pro-Linux posts than pro-MS posts. Thus it's far more likely for there to be +5 Linux posts.

      And honestly, in my searching (through random recent pages for "5, I") I didn't actually see that many purely rant pro-Linux posts. Ones defending MS against *nix claims crop up relatively often, anyways. So what if there aren't many +5 rants? There are certainly +5 insightful defences, that's indeed what we should be looking for here.

      ('sides, not sure more pro-Linux versus pro-MS is a "bias" per se . . . we're so obsessed with biases these days, we forget that all "truths" are not created equally true, yaknow? ;) Even the ones from people who are MSCEs give moderate and complex views)

      I feel like I'm going crazy here, though, 'cause I could swear about a year back when I was reading /. alot more frequently I would see a lot of pro-MS rants at +5 fighting pro-Linux rants at equally maxed out moderation. But instead of fighting with Slashdot's search system, I'm going to actually study for my midterm like I should, so I concede the debate to you . . . for now ;)

      --
      I remember sigs. Oh, a simpler time!
  63. Problem of Testing Popularity by eruanno · · Score: 1

    I see some big problems with testing popularity this way because there is no way that I'd choose a song if it sucked. Maybe I missed the point, but isn't the idea to find out what's popular? Or are you trying to figure out how things gain popularity (without being listened to) or how the population will see if a song is any good based on previous user input?

    No matter, I will hate a popular song just as much as a non-popular song if it sucks. I don't think they are testing this appropriately.

    M.T.

    --
    "Support Bacteria - Its the only culture some people have" - Circa 1985
    1. Re:Problem of Testing Popularity by corngrower · · Score: 1

      I think that one of the results of the experiment was that no matter how much a bad song is artificically promoted, it still won't achieve the success of a good song.

  64. Rose Tinted Glasses by Jesapoo · · Score: 2, Insightful

    yeah... You realise that this is what people have always said?
    "Music in the [20's, 30's, 40's, 50's, 60's, 70's, 80's, 90's - select as appropriate] was way better than the nonsense nowadays"
    Think about how many songs from those eras are actually still popular today. 99% of music has ALWAYS been crap, and we only remember the good 1%.

  65. An interesting study, this... by ursabear · · Score: 1

    Seriously... the mob rules.

    However, people like music a lot, and it is important to most people in some way or another. (By the way, have you ever seen a movie you really liked that didn't have music in it?) Look at a bunch of folks (folks that were hidden in a jungle for centuries without outside contact) and you'll find that they make music in some way or another. Music seems to actually be something that is important - whether or not it is mainstream, popular or "pretty bad."

    I REALLY like B.B. King. My kids couldn't be bothered with him - they think he's good at what he does, but they'd rather listen to Ozzie or Green Day. They take their clues from many sources, mostly their peers. On a different tack, my 67-year-old mother likes Queen, Alan Parsons, and ABBA. Why? None of her peers are the same way, none of the radio stations to which she listens play that kind of mix. She listens to them because they bring back memories of her kids and her husband (in that order, believe me). She's not generally subject to mob rules.

    My point is, no surprise here, that some folks follow the crowd, while others could care less about the crowd's opinion. I like to listen to music from folks I've never heard - and I generally get my best (recent) music from the oddest places on the Internet. I don't, however, tend to listen to pop radio because it seems less genuine and from-the-heart to me.

    Now if we could just get the super-producers and studios to spend their time and money on music, and not album sales.

  66. How relevant are the results? by JourneyExpertApe · · Score: 1

    First, the research seems to assume that there is no connection between the band and song names and the music. You can get a pretty good idea of the type of music from the band's name (compare industrial rock bands like Skinny Puppy, Fear Factory, and Nine Inch Nails to boy bands like N*Sync and The Backdoor^H^H^H^Hstreet Boys).

    Second, songs get popular because they are played on the radio and MTV. Pop radio stations will mostly stick to playing songs from a list of the 50 most popular new songs, mixing in a few songs from the lists of previous years for variety. This list is compiled by paying a bunch of people to listen to a bunch of new songs and asking them to rate them. These will be songs they have never heard before, and they don't get to confer with anyone else to see what they thought about it.

    I think a better method would have been to rate the songs randomly and tell the second group (there wouldn't need to be a first group) that they were rated by others. If there was a high correlation between the random ratings and the subjects' ratings, that would provide evidence in support of the hypothesis.

    --
    If you can read this sig, you're too close.
    1. Re:How relevant are the results? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      First, the research seems to assume that there is no connection between the band and song names and the music.

      On the other hand, you would never think that a band named "The Killers" would actually be a bunch of wusses who let Eric Roberts steal their freaky blonde chick from them.

    2. Re:How relevant are the results? by JourneyExpertApe · · Score: 1

      "On the other hand, you would never think that a band named "The Killers" would actually be a bunch of wusses who let Eric Roberts steal their freaky blonde chick from them."

      Your post:    ---->  *WOOSH!!!*

                                 _____
                                /     \
                               | huh?  |
                     ____     O \_____/
                    /    \  o
      My head:     | o  o |.
                   |  ..  |
                   \  O  /
                    \___/

      --
      If you can read this sig, you're too close.
    3. Re:How relevant are the results? by glenstar · · Score: 1

      You, sir, are a comic genius. I am laughing so hard as I type this that my wife is almost concerned.

  67. False model by blair1q · · Score: 1

    They didn't prove what they say they proved.

    Humans tend to understand that popularity is determined by quality; we learn that good things are recommended and bad things are not. So, absent other quality information, we use popularity as an indicator of quality.

    Which means people are actually smart for making such an induction, not simply stupid for following the crowd.

    The record industry has known of this heuristic for decades. In launching an unknown product, they pretend it's already famous and popular, as well as insisting it's good.

    Of course, the only reason they even bothered with Ashlee Simpson is because they were paid to.

  68. No, that's different. by porcupine8 · · Score: 1
    The difference is, these people weren't basing it on reviews. They could see the ratings that the control group had given the songs - but they tended to download other songs that had been downloaded many times, not ones that were highly rated.

    So it's more like going to Amazon and buying based on the sales rank. Or, for that matter, buying whatever's on the "bestseller" shelf at Barnes & Noble or Borders - which I'm sure a lot of people do, too.

    --
    Warning: Apple/Nintendo fangirl. Likes her electronics cute & cuddly. May be rabid.
  69. "-1 troll" utterance gets +5 Insightful by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Everytime someone utters "This will probably get moderated -1 troll, but here I go anyway" ends up getting +5 Interesting or Insightful. I'm not trying to get off topic here, but I've seen this happen on numerous occasions.

    Oh well, this will probably get moderated -1, Troll but it had to be said.

    1. Re:"-1 troll" utterance gets +5 Insightful by bxbaser · · Score: 1, Troll

      and any replies to this will probably get modded -1 troll

    2. Re:"-1 troll" utterance gets +5 Insightful by phlosoft · · Score: 4, Interesting
      This is perhaps due to a psychological phenomenon whereby skilled people are more aware of their own shortcomings than are unskilled people, and in this case, are more likely to realize that their comments might be interpreted as trolling by others.

      A 1999 article in the Journal of Personality and Social Psychology entitled "Unskilled and Unaware of It: How Difficulties in Recognizing One's Own Incompetence Lead to Inflated Self-Assessments," studies this phenomenon: http://www.phule.net/mirrors/unskilled-and-unaware .html
      Across 4 studies, the authors found that participants scoring in the bottom quartile on tests of humor, grammar, and logic grossly overestimated their test performance and ability. Although their test scores put them in the 12th percentile, they estimated themselves to be in the 62nd. Several analyses linked this miscalibration to deficits in metacognitive skill, or the capacity to distinguish accuracy from error. Paradoxically, improving the skills of participants, and thus increasing their metacognitive competence, helped them recognize the limitations of their abilities.
    3. Re:"-1 troll" utterance gets +5 Insightful by BlueHands · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      It drives me nut to see that, because i am certain that many people do it merely to increase the chance of being modded up. Hence why I have the following sig:

      I mod everyone down who says "I'll get modded down for this." I hate to disappoint.

      The only thing that drive me more nuts is when a post is so good I just CAN'T bring myself to mod them down.

      --
      I mod everyone down who says "I'll get modded down for this." I hate to disappoint.
    4. Re:"-1 troll" utterance gets +5 Insightful by shoolz · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      This will probably get moderated as troll but... save as.

    5. Re:"-1 troll" utterance gets +5 Insightful by gavri · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Maybe it's only the ones that get +5 insightful/interesting that you see. The ones that say this will probably get moderated -1 troll and then actually do get modded down -1 Troll you don't see because they are "beneath your current threshold"

    6. Re:"-1 troll" utterance gets +5 Insightful by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      When I have moderation points I make an effort to find all comments that say "this will probably be moderated as a troll" and moderate them as a troll. However your point is well taken, because you have indeed been moderated +5 Insightful.

    7. Re:"-1 troll" utterance gets +5 Insightful by Fyz · · Score: 1

      Well, how often do you browse at -1 to see how many posts saying that got modded troll?

    8. Re:"-1 troll" utterance gets +5 Insightful by Timothy+Brownawell · · Score: 1

      So... unskilled people think they are skilled, and skilled people know that they are skilled. Maybe everyone just thinks they're skilled?

    9. Re:"-1 troll" utterance gets +5 Insightful by MonkWB · · Score: 0

      Shhh, Don't tell /. , its a secret!

      I shall now hide.

      Oh well, this will probably get moderated +5, Insightful but it had to be said.

    10. Re:"-1 troll" utterance gets +5 Insightful by bahgheera · · Score: 2, Funny

      I can't think about it. I'm still reeling over the word 'quartile'. I'm going to use it at least ten times today.

    11. Re:"-1 troll" utterance gets +5 Insightful by somersault · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I'm pretty sure I browse at -1, I dont get told any of the troll/insightful stuff..

      Also have been shocked at being modded a troll once in the past (or was that twice) when I thought I was just expressing my opinion *shrug* maybe I'm a troll. I should do that thing 'oh I'll probably get modded down for this but..'. I dont even know what the point of the whole mod points thing is, seems fairly arbitrary and hopefully most people like to read all posts, not just the ones that are deemed 'interesting'.. >_> otherwise we may all end up missing the posts where people actually spout facts instead of just hearsay and their opinion. My own opinion can swing wildly from one side of an argument to the other while reading /. , and we may never know in some cases which posters have the facts right..

      --
      which is totally what she said
    12. Re:"-1 troll" utterance gets +5 Insightful by TerminalWriter · · Score: 1
      "The only true knowledge lies in knowing that you know nothing."

      That's us dude!

    13. Re:"-1 troll" utterance gets +5 Insightful by dajak · · Score: 1

      I just discussed a similar phenomenon yesterday with a colleague: the people who ask the most moronic RTFM-type questions on open source mailing lists, also give the least informative descriptions of their problem, don't thank people for their attention, and then are most likely to start being abusive if they don't like the answer or don't get one.

      That this is not merely a kind of lazyness, or lack of interest, is proven by the length of the rants they can write. Antisocial behaviour is usually simply a manifestation of stupidity.

    14. Re:"-1 troll" utterance gets +5 Insightful by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This is perhaps due to a psychological phenomenon whereby skilled people are more aware of their own shortcomings than are unskilled people, and in this case, are more likely to realize that their comments might be interpreted as trolling by others.

      I personally find my best posts the ones that get moderated "Overrated", "Insightful", "Informative", and eventually down as "Flamebait" or sometimes "Troll".

      I get this when I talk about "controversial" issues often with 50+ years of data that illustrates things like human males are different than females, or that increased friction during centripetal acceleration increases car rollover, and other things. My conspiracy theory mind tells me that many of the negative mods come from the slashdot "editors" to keep "controversy" at a minimum or something. Who knows, maybe its just some young highschool or college kids doing it.

      I keep quotes about random things, so here are some that may be applicable:

      "Isn't it astonishing that all these secrets have been preserved for so many years just so that we could discover them!"

      -- Orville Wright

      "There are basically two types of people. People who accomplish things, and people who claim to have accomplished things. The first group is less crowded."

      -- Mark Twain

      "To announce that there must be no criticism of the President, or that we are to stand by the President, right or wrong, is not only unpatriotic and servile, but is morally treasonable to the American public."

      -- Theodore Roosevelt

      "In a closed society where everybody's guilty, the only crime is getting caught. In a world of thieves, the only final sin is stupidity."

      -- Hunter S. Thompson

      en receive violent opposition from mediocre minds."

      -- Albert Einstein

      "Knowledge shared is power lost."

      -- Aleister Crowley

      "I'm successful because I'm lucky. The harder I work, the luckier I get."

      -- Anonymous

      "Whatever you are, be a good one."

      -- Abraham Lincoln

      "A common mistake people make when trying to design something completely foolproof is to underestimate the ingenuity of complete fools."

      -- Douglas Adams

      "Winners compare their achievements with their goals, while losers compare their achievements with those of other people."

      -- Nido Qubein

    15. Re:"-1 troll" utterance gets +5 Insightful by Wolfger · · Score: 1

      Yeah, well, my reply will get modded -1 troll, because I am blatantly trolling for the mods here.
      :-D

    16. Re:"-1 troll" utterance gets +5 Insightful by IsoRashi · · Score: 1

      I've always looked at it as a sort of reverse-psychology thing. "Oh look how brave I am! Though I realize this is an unpopular opinion I shall nevertheless voice it. My karma may potentially suffer!" Perhaps not all the time, or maybe I'm just a little too cynical. :)

      --
      This is not the greatest sig in the world, no. This is just a tribute.
    17. Re:"-1 troll" utterance gets +5 Insightful by billcopc · · Score: 1

      I'd like to add my own twist: in my personal case, antisocial behavior is a REACTION to stupidity. I just don't give a !@#$ because 99.44% of humans aren't worth my time. I don't need nor want to befriend every single person on this planet, I'm quite content with a small group of respected peers.. there's only so much room on a colony ship to Mars anyway :P

      --
      -Billco, Fnarg.com
    18. Re:"-1 troll" utterance gets +5 Insightful by mjm1231 · · Score: 1

      That's enough to make the top quartile of quartile users. If you were slightly more docile, you could make the top decile.

      --
      Ideology: A tool used primarily to avoid the bother of thinking.
    19. Re:"-1 troll" utterance gets +5 Insightful by BlueHands · · Score: 1

      i just got modded down.

      strangely satisfying.

      --
      I mod everyone down who says "I'll get modded down for this." I hate to disappoint.
  70. No, no no, you've got it all wrong... by MayorDefacto · · Score: 5, Insightful

    That's not the way music gets popular. Here's how it happens:
    1. Hold auditions at local malls, car lots, county fairs, etc. to find hot young white jailbait
    2. Tart up aforementioned jailbait and teach them some slammin' dance moves
    3. Get a committee of marketing people together to craft some lyrics that are as sexualized as common decency (read: FCC) will allow. Bonus points if corporate sponsors can synergize their product into the lyrics somehow (if not, don't worry, the product placement people will cram as many soft drinks, cell phones, and designer handbags into the video as possible later)
    4. Get some underpaid, under-recognized sound engineers (read: geeks) to put together a cathcy little number on the sequencer. Don't worry about horrendous vocals, those can be corrected in the final mix.
    5. Shoot video. Don't worry about making it creative, just fill it with Bentleys, Prada, diamonds, and lots of writhing, Cristal-soaked booty. Bonus points if the video is so over-the-top that a controversy ensues (don't worry, MTV doesn't show full videos anymore anyway-- they'll just show the 20 seconds of the video that isn't offensive on TRL and we can make a mint by selling the "uncut" version on iTunes.)
    6. This is the most important part: PAYOLA, PAYOLA, PAYOLA! How will your song ever get popular unless all the top-40 stations play it once an hour, every hour? Make your check out to Clear Channel, and they'll take care of the rest.
    7. ???
    8. Profit!

  71. Seems obvious by tsotha · · Score: 1

    I began to suspect this might be the case when I realized (many years ago) record companies were flogging music from "hot" bands that didn't have any record of popularity, i.e. no record sales and no radio play. There are enough sheep out there to turn that into a self-fulfilling prophesy if they hype it enough.

  72. Whoever modded this up didn't RTFA by porcupine8 · · Score: 3, Interesting

    The point was, Group B didn't download the songs that Group A rated highly. They downloaded the ones that were downloaded the most times, regardless of how highly they were rated. Songs rated lower were just as likely to become popular as songs rated highly. And in different Group Bs (there were B.1-B.10), different songs became popular, always independent of the ratings given. There were a few songs that never did particularly badly or well, but no song was always really popular or always really unpopular, no matter the quality.

    --
    Warning: Apple/Nintendo fangirl. Likes her electronics cute & cuddly. May be rabid.
  73. Summary is misleading - gotta RTFA!! by porcupine8 · · Score: 2, Informative
    As I've had to point out to a couple people already, the summary is misleading. It makes it sound like highly-rated songs became popular. This was not the case. Songs that were downloaded more often kept getting downloaded more often and became popular - regardless of whether or not they were highly rated!

    The whole point is that the ratings (ie, quality) of the songs had little or nothing to do with their popularity - low-rated songs became popular as often as highly-rated songs! And in different test groups (there were 10), different songs became popular, still independent of ratings.

    --
    Warning: Apple/Nintendo fangirl. Likes her electronics cute & cuddly. May be rabid.
    1. Re:Summary is misleading - gotta RTFA!! by corngrower · · Score: 1
      What you're trying to say is that:

      A control group was used to determine the true quality of a song. This was done by having members of the control group choose songs soley by artist name and song title. They then rated the songs they listened to.

      For the other group, in addition to the Artist name and song title, they also got to see something called 'number of times downloaded'. The researchers would manipulate this number (i.e. the number of downloads was not actually what was indicated.) and they found that by manipulating these numbers, they could control which songs got downloded more. If they said a song was downloaded more often, then it tended to get downloaded more often. If they said a song was downloaded few times, then few people downloaded the song.

      This really isn't news. Fifty years ago, if a record company wanted a record to sell well, all it had to do was to get the song played a lot on the radio. (By various means, legal or illegal). Popularity breeds popularity. Why would things be any different these days?

    2. Re:Summary is misleading - gotta RTFA!! by porcupine8 · · Score: 1
      The second group ALSO got to see the ratings from the first group. So they could see whether they were downloading a 1-star or 5-star song. And yet they still downloaded 1-stars if that's what everyone else was downloading.

      I agree, there's nothing surprising about it. It's pretty obvious that this is the model the music industry depends on. But so many commenters have been getting it wrong, thinking that people were downloading highly rated songs rather than often-downloaded songs, I wanted to clarify.

      --
      Warning: Apple/Nintendo fangirl. Likes her electronics cute & cuddly. May be rabid.
  74. Actually, no. by porcupine8 · · Score: 3, Insightful
    It's more related to the fact that articles with lots of comments tend to snowball into even MORE comments, into the hundreds. While those that only get a couple dozen tend to stay in the low numbers.

    Because the mod ratings are (ostensibly) based on quality, which in this article was shown to have nothing to do with popularity. Group B did NOT download songs based on the quality ratings that Group A gave them - only based on the number of times the songs were downloaded. Popularity was totally independent of rating/quality.

    --
    Warning: Apple/Nintendo fangirl. Likes her electronics cute & cuddly. May be rabid.
    1. Re:Actually, no. by shawb · · Score: 1

      The article lacks details that would tell how much significance this study carries. 1)Was the second group aware of the ratings the first group gave? If they weren't aware of the ratings, then popularity would be the only thing they could go on. 2)Were members of the first group able to communicate with each other? The article says the members were pulled from a teen interest web site, so is this a community website of sorts? In that case members of the first group could have told their friends which songs were good and which weren't. 3)Was the second group aware of whether or not the first group could or couldn't talk about the bands, telling others which titles are good and bad? 4)How did they know that the bands were unknown to the population studied?

      --
      I'll never make that mistake again, reading the experts' opinions. - Feynman
    2. Re:Actually, no. by porcupine8 · · Score: 1

      Actually, the article does answer question #1 - yes, the second group could see the ratings that the first group gave. That was part of the point of the experiment. The second is an interesting question, I don't think it's answered. #3, I seriously doubt it - I'm not sure group b was even aware that group A existed except that *somebody* rated these songs already. I'm not really sure why it would matter, though, whether or not group B thought group A could talk about them with each other. And #4 would be pretty trivial for them to check - just ask potential subjects, have you heard of any of these? And don't take subjects who have heard of them. Unless it was *incredibly* poorly done, I don't see why they would claim that the songs were unknown to the subjects if they didn't know it.

      --
      Warning: Apple/Nintendo fangirl. Likes her electronics cute & cuddly. May be rabid.
  75. It's like Time Square by ThisIsForReal · · Score: 1

    I went to NYC a few years ago and, being my first time, decided to go to Time Square that evening. When I got there I thought I'd made a great choice, because the streets were teaming with people and it was packed. "Wow, this must be the place to go". As I slowly made my way around, and I mean very slowly because the crowd was just a lingering zombie akin to an early Chaplin movie about the worker, I began to realize that nobody was doing anything at all. Rather, it was just a crowd of people wandering around in a slow circle. But the impression left is that Time Square must be a place to hang out at night, because there's so many people there. And the cycle repeats itself ad naseum. Crowds beget crowds.

    --
    -THE END-
  76. Really? by PsychoBrat · · Score: 3, Funny

    Well... let's see if it works; somebody mod this +1 Funny!

    --
    Invisible to moderators.
  77. Overpopularity by SEWilco · · Score: 1
    "Turns out popularity bred popularity"

    Barry Manilow has now hit #1 on the charts with 1950s tunes.
    Really.

  78. Ouch by creative_Righter · · Score: 1
    Researchers created an artificial music market of 14,341 participants split into two groups ...

    I feel sorry for the last guy in the study. He just wanted to listen to some music and got split in half.

  79. Group think by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So, it's group think? Big surprise ...

  80. Not really... by MacDork · · Score: 3, Insightful
    It's just seems that way to you guys who only read +3's,+4's, and +5's. You never see the conflicted mods... For example, I made a recent post that defended an unpopular opinion around here. You never saw it because it only scored +1 informative. It got modded 50% informative, 30% Overrated, 20% Flamebait. At least 4 different mods there, -2, +2.

    I read +6 Troll, Flamebait, etc... A lot of mods don't know what the hell they're talking about and if it goes against groupthink, it goes down in Flamebaits. When it does, there are people there like me to pick it up and give it an informative, insightful, or interesting boost. Not everyone runs on default mod settings here at /. Genuine flamebaits and trolls are getting much rarer. I see a lot less GNAA and WIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIDDDDDDDDDDEEEEEEEEE crap here these days. (With the exception of Apple Trolls. They never go away. They even get Cover Storys in Forbes. "Likely to top 4 Million units" for iPods. Dipshits... they sold 14 Million) Most of the down mods go to people who simply think differently lately.

    Now, so that I'm not totally off topic... the article describes a system where one group could only listen, see track title, artist name, and download. The second group could see all that and could see download counts as well. Wow, the ones that were downloaded most got the most attention and additional downloads... Duh. That's not scientific. There's no F'ing experimental group! Why didn't they have a third group that could see everything group #1 saw, and *randomly generated* download counts? If I see a song has been downloaded numerous times, listen to it, and it's crap, I'm sure as hell not downloading a copy to save if it sucks. I don't care how many people listen to something, but I would consider download counts an indicator of what I should try first... At least until I realized the download counts were meaningless. If they repeat the experiment with the third group and that group downloads random crap like lemmings then maybe they have something worth reporting... Otherwise, they've proven nothing.

    1. Re:Not really... by HTL2001 · · Score: 1

      good going. True trolls are quite easy to tell, are very short, etc... Flamebaits just give unpopular opinions.

      you may want to +1 AC's as well, and set the "karma bonus" at 0.

      --
      By reading this, you have given me brief control of your mind.
    2. Re:Not really... by shawb · · Score: 1

      The Forbes story is only mentioning the number of video iPods sold. The Apple release seems to be total iPod sales.

      --
      I'll never make that mistake again, reading the experts' opinions. - Feynman
    3. Re:Not really... by MacDork · · Score: 1
      The Forbes story would have you believe that was the total iPod sales. Apple doesn't release numbers regarding how many of what model sold, so that number is a wild ass guess. The entire article is disingenious... R&D down from 8% of sales to 4%? Wow, Apple's making an ass load more in sales. Why doesn't he list the actual $$ spent on R&D? And then you know you're reading the opinion of a hater when you see
      Founder-evangelist Chairman Steve Jobs has a cult following among certain computer users and the mostly worshipful attention of the business press.
      So yeah, sticking to my guns here. That dude is cover story for Forbes, and he's an Apple troll. John Dvorak with Forbes' credibility. So much for Forbes' credibility...
    4. Re:Not really... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      With the exception of Apple Trolls. They never go away..... [snip] Most of the down mods go to people who simply think differently lately

      I thought it was the Apple Fanboi's that were doing the whole 'Think Different' thing??

    5. Re:Not really... by stry_cat · · Score: 1

      I just modded that other comment +1 Insightful. Somehow I missed it the first time I read that discussion.

    6. Re:Not really... by 1u3hr · · Score: 1
      Not everyone runs on default mod settings here at /. Genuine flamebaits and trolls are getting much rarer. I see a lot less GNAA and WIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIDDDDDDDDDDEEEEEEEEE crap here these days.

      If it wasn't slapped down quickly you would. It would only take a few industrious trolls to make the site unreadable. The main function of the mod system is to make trollng unrewarding. The positive mods are are very loosely related to quality; if I post something fairly sensible in the first 50 posts I usually get at least 2 + mods.

    7. Re:Not really... by radtea · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Why didn't they have a third group that could see everything group #1 saw, and *randomly generated* download counts? If I see a song has been downloaded numerous times, listen to it, and it's crap, I'm sure as hell not downloading a copy to save if it sucks. I don't care how many people listen to something, but I would consider download counts an indicator of what I should try first... At least until I realized the download counts were meaningless. If they repeat the experiment with the third group and that group downloads random crap like lemmings then maybe they have something worth reporting... Otherwise, they've proven nothing.

      False. The probability of a song becoming popular in the group that saw the download numbers was poorly correlated with the rating given the song by the group who did not see the download numbers. These two pieces of information are sufficient to untangle the relative importance of perceived quality vs popularity. Any competent statistical analyst would know that.

      Simply because you cannot see how to do something does not mean it cannot be done, or that that people who designed an experiment that you are not competent to analyze are stupid. This study has all the information required to show that we do exactly what you say you would never do: we tend to follow the crowd, regardless of the crowd's taste. I have no doubt I do this, and I am equally sure you do. This sort of group-think tendency is one of the fundamental aspects of human behaviour that makes us such successful animals, able to form large social groups and communities spontaneously on the most flimsy bases.

      Denial of a scientific result because it runs contrary to what you would like to believe about yourself is very popular in places like Syria and the Whitehouse just now, but it is no sort of behaviour for any self-respecting human being living in a secular age.

      --
      Blasphemy is a human right. Blasphemophobia kills.
    8. Re:Not really... by MacDork · · Score: 1
      The probability of a song becoming popular in the group that saw the download numbers was poorly correlated with the rating given the song by the group who did not see the download numbers.

      Then group 2 did not see ratings as the Slashdot write up suggests?

      Simply because you cannot see how to do something does not mean it cannot be done, or that that people who designed an experiment that you are not competent to analyze are stupid.

      It's hard to be competent to analyze the experiment when it appears the Slashdot write up of the article is wrong and the statistics dealing with the experiment don't appear to be available with the article. As for the rest of your venom, save it. When it comes to something totally subjective like music, favorite color, favorite flavor... I know what *I* like and I really don't care if the rest of the world loves Ween, Martha Stewart green, or sweet pickles. I don't and it doesn't matter how many people tell me how great it is... I still won't.

  81. Wine by Filthysock · · Score: 1

    This effect is much more obvious with wine.
    Numerous blind tests have shown that there is almost no correlation between expensive wines and taste.
    Yet the expensive brands keep winning the awards....

  82. does it explain why we have so much crap on the .. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    And does it explain why there's so much crap on the internet? Well, I mean PageRank.

  83. MOD PARENT SIDEWAYS by Carthag · · Score: 1

    Nobody has made this joke before! Also, nobody on slashdot is married, with children, or have otherwise even seen a girl!

  84. MOD PARENT SIDEWAYS (hit enter too early) by Carthag · · Score: 1

    Nobody has made this joke before! Also, nobody on slashdot is married, with children, or have otherwise even seen a girl! That is, can we stop the self-perpetuating stereotypes? I think it's pretty dumb, especially if you look at it in the context of this story.

    Note: I do in fact have a girlfriend. Also I know a guy who's actually pretty gross and even he has a girlfriend. For Christ's sake, just go talk to people. Fuck!

  85. The Lemming Effect... by ktakki · · Score: 2, Interesting
    Turns out popularity bred popularity, which explains why there's so much crap on the radio.


    True, up to a point. There's a network effect here, since groups of people use common cultural touchstones as a means of relating with each other (e.g., talking about a movie, an album, or a sports team). A teenaged girl will buy Britney's album because her friends bought Britney's album. A system administrator will rent Office Space and will understand the references to "PC LOAD LETTER" and the red stapler when they come up in conversation (or in posts on Slashdot).

    But none of these works would make it into the collective culture if they hadn't gotten past a gatekeeper.

    The gatekeepers of our culture are the people who manage movie studios, publishing houses, and record labels. Producers, editors, and A&R people are risk averse people in risky businesses. Every album that's recorded, every book that's published, every movie that's produced means that hundreds of thousands, millions, or tens or hundreds of millions are risked in a venture that might not even break even. And even if such a venture does break even or run a modest profit, these people look upon such a return as a lost opportunity for a best seller, platinum album, or blockbuster hit.

    So, they hew to the lowest common denominator. They play it safe. They run endless focus groups, listening parties, sneak previews. They catch the sequel disease: witness the Harry Potter phenomenon, the bidding war for Seattle grunge groups after Nirvana's breakout album Nevermind, multiple Lethal Weapon movies. Two movies about asteroids obliterating the Earth, two movies about monster volcanoes, two movies about Mars missions, all released within months of each other. Could the two Matrix sequels hold a candle to the first movie? Do I have to invoke the crawling horror of Star Wars I, II, and III?

    It's rare that a unique work emerges from our popular culture, something so distinctive that imitating it would be a sacrelige. A Schindler's List, a Don DeLillo novel (I'm hard pressed to find a major record label example, since I mostly listen to indie acts -- that's where the unique talent has fled).

    It's telling that Spielberg gets to make a work like Munich or Schindler's List because he's made billions for Hollywood. George Clooney said as much about Syriana and Good Night and Good Luck; after these films he'll owe the studio an Ocean's Thirteen. Sequelmania is Hollywood's answer to risk. Hence the crap that's clogging our culture.

    Twenty years in the music industry taught me a one of many hard lessons: the risk averse A&R guy loves to know that your band sounds like someone who's made money for them. "We wouldn't know how to market you guys" is not what you want to hear from them. "You're in the business of marketing bands. Fucking learn." is not what they want to hear from you.

    I ended up forming an indie label. It made all the difference.

    k.
    --
    "In spite of everything, I still believe that people are really good at heart." - Anne Frank
  86. Music is a business! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    At the end of the day, you have to remember that record companies are like venture capitalists. The money that is spent to record, produce, market, promote and distribute an album is fronted by the label as a loan to the artist who in turn has to pay that loan back to the label from his/her cut of the sales. So, in that light, the music industry, like any other venture capitalist firm, is very much concerned with ensuring that the money they dish out in advance has a reasonably good chance of coming back to them and later end up being tallied as fat profits. The real reason why popularity breeds popularity in the music business is because when one act becomes successful, record companies work hard to find other acts which exhibit similar traits so they can be quickly brought to market and capitalized on before the fad dies out.

  87. Popularity by Ekhymosis · · Score: 1
    I've noticed as most bands gain popularity, their quality drops. Granted, there are a few exceptions, but that is just my observation. I am keen on the so called "Northern Sons of Darkness" metal group, especially Scandinavian bands. For example, take Dimmu Borgir.

    I love their early stuff all the way to Enthrone Darkness Triumphant (my favorite album). After that, once they started winning Norwegian Grammys and the like they started forgetting their intial reasons, etc. for more popularity. A "selling out" perhaps?

    I've also noticed a one man band named Falkenbach who has some damn good tunes, and the guy isn't in it for the money. As he said, "The aim of Falkenbach is not to be popular, but relevant." If many other bands could only do the same.

    --
    Fighting over religion is like seeing whose imaginary friend is best.
  88. lastfm charts by comradevik · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I fully agree with the article but then i also think that thsi music gets pushed by producers and record companies. sometimes its "cool" because it keeps airing on MTV and the crowd will follow to watch. But I think that's only for a short time. what is popular sometimes doesnt correspond with what the majority actualy listens to. I was just lookign at the LastFM charts and bands like Radiohead and Beatles are always on top. Sure MTV might push Britney Spears on top but it will never replace the music that is better by quality. I will rush to download a song that's popular to hear it and listen to it for a while but if the music is bad it will eventualy get off my playlist and Beatles will stay.

  89. What are you complaining about? by KarmaOverDogma · · Score: 2, Funny

    I for one am thankful that no matter where I go in the nation, I can be sure that every station of the same genre (assuming there is more than one) will sound just like home. Thank goodness for consolidation of radio.

    I used to really get bent out of shape when I went up and down the radio dial and heard different music and different artists throughout the day. So much variety! It was so hard to figure out what was good and what to choose! Now, thanks to Clearchannel, Congress and the FCC, not only do radio stations sound the same up and down the dial, but they play the same songs all day long, day in and day out. Life is so much simpler this way; I no longer have to make decisions, since they can just tell me what is good by virtue of playing it all day long. Plus, all the commercials make for great content, too.

    Mega radio knows exactly what I like: Shake 'n bake/Cookie Cutter Radio. Play a song until it is *beyond* dead, and then only play what they think the public will like, based on what other radio stations just like them are playing. And then there is payola in its various guises, to keep the playing field "predictable and stable" (i.e safe) for the major labels.

    By the way, who are these "Sirius" people ayway?

    --
    uR iGn0ranc3, Their Power
  90. Just because *you* don't like radio... by NotQuiteReal · · Score: 2, Insightful
    Just because *you* don't like a radio station doesn't mean others don't like it. Maybe you are listening to the wrong radio station? Maybe your radio station doesn't exist.

    Some people like to listen to rock, some like country. Others like "contemporary" or whatever. Others still, listen to NPR and some listen to Rush Limbaugh. Not many listen to all of the above.

    Radio is not about pleasing you it is about making money by attracting enough listeners. MP3 downloads not withstanding, you are not entitled to free entertainment that you like.

    Just as there are not enough listeners for an all-opera-all-the-time station. Maybe there are not enough listeners to support your odd taste in music (maybe you want all-opera?). If you think most people have crappy musical tastes, what do you think most people will think of your choices in music?

    If you don't like the radio, buy your own music. If you don't like the normal labels, try "independent" sellers. I have purchased several albums from "cdbaby.com" - but, you know what? Much of the music is unremarkable... maybe the labels do know something about picking music that people will like?

    Sometimes you do find a gem; one indy album I bought was the www.solvingforx.com album. At least I like it, but that's the problem - there is no objective standard to test music. So, you are left with markets, marketers, hucksters and hype. People like what they like, or what they think they like; What's the difference?

    --
    This issue is a bit more complicated than you think.
  91. Think Bayesian... by brownian_module · · Score: 1
    One reasonable way of thinking about it is analogous to Bayesian stats. You have a song, and you don't know how much you'll like it - a good prior assumption is that you'll find it average. However, if you know that many other people have downloaded it, you'll upwardly revise your opinion, and vice versa. That much is pretty simple and obviosu; a little better is to extend the same rationale to view each individual listen as a data point and the parameter being estimated as your long-term appreciation for the song. Maybe you didn't like it on the first listen, and clearly you'd weight your own opinion far more heavily than others'. But if you've just listened to it once and many other people really, really like it, you might decide it's worth listening to more in case it grows on you with subsequent listens, or for whatever other reason your first time through "wasn't good."

    The implication is not really that the good bands will get most popular so much as that bands that reflect broader ranges of appeal and reflect the average person's taste get popular. Your own taste can be very uncorrelated (or even negatively correlated, though I think people too heavily negative are more likely snobs) with what is generally popular. And a relatively inoffensively acceptable song, that many people can listen to and think, "Yeah, I'll listen to that," can snowball in popularity once it catches on. There are also more factors at play in the real world, such as the greater difficulty in finding unpopular bands (anyone can turn on the radio and hear U2, but the Bad Brains are a bit harder to find).

    On a side note, I do think that people are way too disdainful about popular music being crappy. There's a serious survivor bias at work. I've listened to a decent amount of more obscure stuff and there sure are a lot of really bad obscure bands out there, unknown for good reason, applauded by some silly people even though they sound like a less-slickly-produced version of the Top 40.

    1. Re:Think Bayesian... by Ando[evilmedic] · · Score: 2, Funny

      You Bayesians sure are a pain in the ass.

      Raving lunatics.

  92. Great.....now all I have to do to get popular..... by the+real+manta · · Score: 1

    ....is get popular.

  93. The conclusion is bubcus by CandideEC · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The average intellegent person uses the work of others to build on when attacking a task. If I where presented with a ton of songs to download it would take quite an investment to download and listen to them all to find out whats good. I would use the songs number of downloads in an attempt to lighten the load. Of course I would prefer to sort by ratings...like I would at amazon or newegg...but if ratings are unavailable I would go with downloads. This has nothing to do with being affected "socially". I am using others time to lighten my work load. Unless there are a very limited number of songs I don't see any other way to go...who is going to base there pick on artist or song name? That correlation sucks compared to downloads. Not that I think downloads is perfect...but it makes a nice razor.

  94. Re:How ideas on Slashdot get popular by Spy+der+Mann · · Score: 1

    C'mon you don't get away that easily :)

    OK ok... mea culpa. I meant to say pro-Microsoft-Products (i.e. Windows), not pro-Microsoft per-se.

    And well, anti-Linux goes in the same way...

    HEY LOOK! is that a demonic duck over there? *runs away*

  95. Of course by HyoImowano · · Score: 0

    If you're looking at a list of songs, and some are rated as being very good whereas others are rated as not, which ones are you going to listen to? Will you listen to the lower rated songs simply for being low rated? Of course not, you're going to give the high-rated songs a shot first, because when a mojority of people like something, there's a good chance that peoploe will like them. Not that this has any bearing on the actual quality of the songs, which is based solely in opinion.

    --
    By now you should have guessed...I'm your magic negro.
  96. Popularity by vanyel · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Popularity breeds popularity because it's easy: someone else has done the work for you. If someone else likes something, there's a much better chance that it's good than a random sample of all the music (or whatever you're rating), because 90% of everything really is crap. It takes someone determined to find the jewels to wade through it all to find the new stuff that really is both original and good. If you think something is crap because it's popular, aside from the arrogance and elitist attitude that implies, the same principle still applies, because it scales down to the people who like the same type of that you do: when one of your subgroup finds something, you'll probably like it too (and the multitudes will probably think it's crap in return). And popularity will breed popularity in your subgroup.

  97. Woot Effect by artakka · · Score: 1

    This is a classical case of a Woot Effect. The reason people by stuff on woot.com is that they are afraid that others will buy all of it and they will face the dreaded 'out of stock' message.

  98. Well tell me how THIS HAPPENS?!?!?! by WheelDweller · · Score: 2, Funny

    A sure sign of the endtimes: Barry Manilow is back on top!

    WTF? He's not had a song in 20+ YEARS....and he's outselling rappers?

    Billboard has the story:
    http://www.billboard.com/bbcom/news/article_displa y.jsp?vnu_content_id=1001993401

    Now mark THIS an "off-topic"....

    --
    --- For a good time mail uce@ftc.gov
  99. What about unpopular? by SonicBlue · · Score: 1

    I've taken my precious time to study the reasons to why songs get unpopular. It has taken me very much effort and time to figure it out, but here it goes: They just simply suck. A very scientific moment.

  100. Plenny o' gems, mate by volfro · · Score: 1
    The Beatles were fantastic musicians, so they got popular. But, in their popularity, they unintentionally produced a paradigm that left record execs looking for another cash cow, and mainstream music suffered (and continues to suffer) horribly. An unfortunate side effect indeed.

    And, thank heavens, there are still people with taste in music these days; as such, good music gets popular. Just not mainstream--and yes, there is a distinct difference between what is popular and what is mainstream.

    Take, for instance, Clap Your Hands Say Yeah. Go 'head. Click the link and give them a listen. Truly a different sound (some have compared them to the Talking Heads). What's special about this band (besides their addictive rock and that singer with the crazy voice) is the fact that they are UNSIGNED. Totally unsigned. No label. They put out their debut themselves, to wild popularity and praise. They might not reach audiences of tens of millions the way mainstream musicians do, and they might not play shows to crowds of 20,000, but hey. They're making money--for themselves, not for a big label. They were in a blurb in Rolling Stone a few months ago that said that they produced their record for about $10,000, and at the time of that writing, had made $150,000--all of which they get to keep, instead of paying off some label. They just got back from a tour in Europe. I wonder how much they've made now.

    Point is, there's lots and lots of really great music out there that doesn't need the deep pockets of a huge record label to get heard--because of the Internet--and that music awaits listening ears. The good stuff acquires plenty of ears, which does NOT necessarily mean mainstream. A listener is a listener, and anymore, artists don't need labels to get them. You, the listener, just have to know where to look to find the good stuff; people are learning not to trust what's farted out by ClearChannel.

    (That said, the major labels have an aging and cracking business model. They're losing business to smaller, grassroots movements--fueled by easy (near-free) distribution of music and young people with specific sets of interests. I don't think the Internet is going to be the death of major label music any more than I think blogging is going to be the end of mainstream news, but there is something to be said for the popularity of grassroots media, and music is no exception. Kinda makes me wonder where those huge, multinational multiplatinum albums are going to be in, say, ten years, when the mainstream has the knowledge and skill to seek things specific to their interests and to reject the music that's fed to them over the airwaves.)

  101. This is just ... by dapho · · Score: 0

    More proof that stupid is as stupid does.

  102. Breast option, at last by milosoftware · · Score: 1

    I knew that one post would inevitable lead to a breast reference, and this is the one.

    Studies showed that we like "sweet and creamy" because it takes us back to drinking mother's milk.

    --
    Musicians don't die. They just decompose.
  103. Better ways to find good music by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Just use Pandora, it's an amazing service.

    If you don't know where to start, listen to Grooove http://www.pandora.com/?sc=sh12211603

  104. The worst thing with sheep mentality is... by master_p · · Score: 1

    ...when it exists in politics and religion. You can't make a more dangerous mix than that.

  105. In fact, no by Opportunist · · Score: 2, Funny

    Music gets popular 'cause it's made popular. Some music corp "discovers" (or, which is getting increasingly more likely, creates) a popstar or group, hypes him, her or them, stuffs them into shows like Top of the Pops where they are labeled the "newcomers of the year" or similar crap, then they sorta-kinda sing some song (which is 50% a cover version of a once-popular song nobody in the age range of 14-20 knows anymore, 30% some basic vanilla popcrap and 20%, depending on the song, mindless basedrum or the violin line of a classic song) and we got a new star.

    Now the CDs of this star are being sold (with this song being the only one on the CD worth listening, if at all), about 2-3 months later, before everyone forgets who that guy was the system gets repeated with the "new smash hit" (on another CD, with other fill-crap to boost the content of the coaster to about 30 minutes).

    After that, nobody ever hears from the guy anymore. Because we have a new "newcomer of the year".

    And all the mindless music drones buy the crap. Because they need it to be up to date with music. You don't know (insert singer drone)? Where are you from, some other planet? Ha ha ha.

    --
    We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
  106. This works on shoutcast too by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    A long time ago I tricked shoutcast into listing my station at about #7 on the charts no matter how many listeners there really were. After about a week I really did have that many and didn't need to cheat anymore.

    I felt kind of bad about it, but i knew that all i needed was to have a top 10 station for a small amount of time to gain traction, and it worked.

  107. "Perhaps" it isn't "quite" like that.. by newr00tic · · Score: 1

    ..Reading these "perhaps'es," I grow more-and-more assured of what are the most-probable reasons some people should cease "thinking" (so/too) much, and why "research" takes so bloody damn long in many aspects.

    ok:

    The reason people write "I'll prob. get mod'ed down.." etc., is because they assume everyone will fall for their quasi-psychopathic -schemes, and followingly, that every mod-point -holder is a bona-fide sucker, just because there's a massive (visible) precense of mee-too'ers on here, -think again; people aren't all idiots just because the idiots are the easier to spot.

    -It works _too often_, even though it obviously shouldnt. -That kind of "reward tactics" shouldn't _ever_ be rewarded, if for nothing else; in case the same scheme-maker applies this style to other aspects in life; which would suck for the real people caught up in the tide. -The "following the wind"-ism, when it comes to "hate MS", (etc.,) doesn't matter that much, but this kind of crap _really does_.

    --
    A horse can't be sick, you know, even if he wants to.
  108. Did they account for bias due to PAYOLA? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    did the researchers account for payola bias?
    Music Publishers have paid their ways to the airwaves for a long time....
    pay for airplay, get popular, sell more CDs, make a profit.
    If they dont execute these steps effectively, then no profit.

    No wonder CDs cost so much....

    -E

  109. Rap WAS dub poetry. What you hear now is by crovira · · Score: 1

    absolute shit.

    Most of the 'meteoric rise' is due to the facts that
    1) rap is extremely CHEAP to produce,
    2) most rappers are talentless youth,
    3) most rap audiences are in love with the throb of the bass line,
    4) it helps if they pay no attention to the lyrics.

    There's the occasional shooting of some unknown, who is immediately elevated to stardom, or some hanger-on, to keep the name of the studio/record company in the 'news' and to make some buzz with the advertisers.

    As long as it fills in the gaps between the commercials, you're caught in the crap trap with rap.

    --
    MSBPodcast.com The opinions expressed here are my own. If you don't like 'em... Think up your own stuff.
  110. Being just good at what you do guarantees you by crovira · · Score: 1

    a non-creative job. And that is fine for 99.9% of humanity 99.9% of the time.

    Success is so personal elusive and fleeting that if you don't happen to use the same metrics as everyone else, you can be a success and not even be noticed by anyone else.

    Jane Siberry is a prime example. She is a success writing an album for her dog if her dog happens to like it. If it doesn't sell, so what? She wasn't writing it for your wallet.

    --
    MSBPodcast.com The opinions expressed here are my own. If you don't like 'em... Think up your own stuff.
  111. It's the same old song by Boris_Lavoris · · Score: 1

    So there I was, a DJ at a pop station way, way, back, and the same issues and discussions would arise. There were the "elite" who listened to "progressive" rock and thumbed their nose at those who mindlessly listened to "pop". But I've realized that it's the same everywhere--those who attend Ivy League schools vs. the great unwashed, people from either coast vs. those in the "flyover" states, those who golf vs. those who bowl. It's class warfare! It's the generation gap! It's the human condition.

  112. A Poor Study by Se7enLC · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The study grouped people into two groups "Independant" and "Social Influence". The problem is, they have no control group, as BOTH groups are real people, and thus have social influence already.

    The way the study worked (from my understanding of the article) is that one group could pick songs by title and artist and the other could search by title, artist, and popularity. The results were that the same songs were popular in both groups! Wow, Amazing! All you did was prove that the outside influence on the study was the same! People don't need a list of "most recently downloaded songs" to know what they heard on the radio. I imagine that a lot of the people in the study (when given the opportunity to legally download as much as they wanted) went to another site to find what music is popular and looked all of them up. Or asked their friends "what should I download?" thus reproducing the same effect.

    What would have made an interesting test is to have NO artist or title information at all (Artist 123 - Song 6) and run the same test. The problem would still exist (when people recognize a song, they would rate it higher or download it more often), but you would have to listen randomly and rate songs based on actual quality, not on popularity. It would be like a radio station but random instead of being force-fed the popular songs 5 times per hour.

    1. Re:A Poor Study by corngrower · · Score: 1

      No, the article was not very clear on this. In fact I doubt if the article's author had a grasp of what was going on. The control group was the first group. The second group was divided into multiple sub groups. In addition to artist name and song title, they also got to see something called 'number of times downloaded'. This number was manipulated by the experimenters and differed between the subgroups of the second group. What they found was that by manipulating this 'number of times downloaded' number, they could affect the actual download frequency of the songs.

  113. Great link! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I found the link http://www.phule.net/mirrors/unskilled-and-unaware .html to be a great read.

    I hate to admit it but it really makes the scary people on American Idol start to make sense

  114. Payola Case by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The record companies are familiar with this. That is why they pay for play.
    They get people to hear the songs, the DJs say they love them, the sheep
    buy - Profit$. The companies only push the artists that they have
    favorable contracts with. The companies are run by accountants not music
    people.

  115. Simple - soft core pr0n videos. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I thought it was the soft-core pr0n masquerading as music videos that made c**p music popular. That's the only way I can explain the popularity of such tallentless individuals such as Britney Spears, Christina Agualera, and any number of other "pop bubblegum, appeal to 12-year-olds with raging hormones" artists.

    I could be wrong, but somehow I can't see many (any?) of the current popular artists having longevity in the same way that The Beatles, The Rolling Stones, Queen, and any number of others with actual tallent have managed.

  116. Liking my humps in the shower by SeanDuggan · · Score: 1

    What's wrong with liking "My Humps" in the shower? Would that make me bad?
    I dunno... a lot of religious groups would say so. Used to be they'd say it'd make you go blind and insane too.

    --
    This sig has absolutely no significance and serves only to take up screen space and waste the time of the reader.
  117. Radio as crap by SeanDuggan · · Score: 1

    I guess my point is, radio really is crap. Not just because we potential audience members are condescending, but because the radio stations are.
    There are still good radio stations. You just have to listen to the ones that a) still have some presence in the local community and b) play older music. I don't have a nice "law" to refer to, but I hold with the quote from Stranger in a Strange Land about how the reason classical music is, well, classic, is that they've spent a hundred years getting rid of all of the crap. Just go back thirty years and you'd be amazed.

    --
    This sig has absolutely no significance and serves only to take up screen space and waste the time of the reader.
    1. Re:Radio as crap by localman · · Score: 1

      BTW, the "law" I was referring to was Sturgeon's Law, and actually fits in nicely with what you're saying about the filter of time leaving us only the best.

      Cheers.

  118. In other news... by danpsmith · · Score: 1

    brand name clothes are cool because they are cool!

    --
    Judges and senates have been bought for gold; Esteem and love were never to be sold.
  119. Re:this again? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    this article has been posted on /. so many times ive lost count.
    great, so being skilled means i'm even more self-defeating.
    nuff said. now stop posting this.

  120. P.S. by kfg · · Score: 1

    > School taught you to ape what you are told.

    >>By that logic, you are an ape as well. :P

    I didn't go to school.

    KFG

  121. People are sheep. You need a study for that? by javaxman · · Score: 1
    Can I get a grant? I mean... any 12-year-old can summarize groupthink for you, even if they don't know to call it groupthink.

    C'mon, everyone else is doing it... you don't want to be a loner, do you? Don't be left out! It's the hot new thing!

    F'ing lemmings. Of course, the irony is that this is so ingrained in our behavior that it works even for counter-culture subgroups, too, people just end up picking small subgroups to conform to.

  122. It's called "mismatching" in neurolinguistics by Chagatai · · Score: 1
    My description of this may suck, but this phenomenon is called in neurolinguistic programming, "mismatching." It sets someone up to support an idea that would otherwise sound bad through the use of combining information that is not congruent. For example, if you had a house for sale that had been on the market for a long time that wasn't selling, and I believed it wasn't worth the $100,000 you are asking for it, if I said, "Your house is overvalued," you would reply negatively and defend your position. But if I said, "You probably turned down offers of $120,000 or more, right?" you would likely reply with the truth and the price of the house could be negotiated downwards.

    This is the same with comments on Slashdot. If you said, "This is the most insightful post you will read all day," you would get modded -1 Full of Yourself. But when you say, "This will probably be modded as a Troll," this allows the audience to say, "No, let's wait and see what he has to say."

    See if you caught my mismatch.

    --
    --Chag
  123. Incorrect Control Group? by Groovus · · Score: 1

    Maybe I read the article wrong, but it doesn't seem like there's a group in the study who just listened to songs straight without either being preempted by knowing the band/song name or what other people thought of it - ie. the group of people who listened to the song with no knowledge in any way about it before hand? Wouldn't the correct control group have been that one if you're interested in figuring out how the experience of a song's quality can be effected by external elements (title, other peoples' opinion)?

    I guess my assumption is that the people running the study are (or should be) interested in figuring out why songs which people thought actually sound good (in the absence of preconceived notions whatever they may be) aren't as popular and conversely why songs that people actually thought sound not so good are popular. Could be a wrong assumption on my part - of course how the song sounds is all that matters to me, I couldn't care less what its name is or what other people think of it.

    I suppose I'm not the target demographic of the study, but I find it ver y telling (and disturbing) that straight appreciation of how the song sounds doesn't even garner a mention in regard to why people liked the song for the purposes of this study.

    But since these "scientists" have figured this out, I'll now use an appeal to popularity. If you're looking for tunes you might not have heard before but that might be good (works for me anyway) try grabbing a podcast from www.kcrw.org. My favorite show is metropolis, but there's usually at least a nugget or two in each show. It's public radio, which doesn't hurt either.

  124. CD USA on DirectTV by EverlastingLife · · Score: 1

    Ok...so this point system thing...say i mention a site in parenthesis (http://cdusa.com/) - good show actually) and then in the title i mention the site...will i lose points? But what if i explain what the site/show is about? Like it has live performances (KoRn next week!) and interviews wit hpopular music artists (Kelly Clarkson...etc)...will i gain points?

  125. Band names are important by mei_mei_mei · · Score: 1

    Can't see any mention here of or in the article of the appeal of the fictional names used for the bands. A good name can make people like a band more. Names like Guns'n'Roses, Nirvana, Gorillaz etc can be appealing to some people but there are certain names that will put a lot of people off, like Creme Bule, Anal Cunt or Test Icicles (personal bias ahoy!) Some of the names in the test are: GO MOREDCAI, NOT FOR SCHOLARS, PARKER THEORY, RYAN ESSMAKER, DANTE, A BLINDING SILENCE, SELSIUS, SILVERFOX, HYDRAULIC SANDWICH. KNowing nothing else but that I have a bias already that 'Hydraulic Sandwich' are going to be bad. Hydraulic Sandwich? Shit sandwich.