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Why Linux is About to Lose

mpawlo writes "Wired ran an interesting piece by Russ Mitchell in the latest issue of the magazine. Mitchell focus on the so called war between Microsoft and Linux and why Linux will have a hard time winning such a war, and especially in respect of the desktops. The article was only available in the paper issue, but is now also available online."

208 of 654 comments (clear)

  1. How can they lose the war by night_flyer · · Score: 4, Insightful

    when Linus Torvalds says they arent even fighting them?

    --


    Thanks to file sharing, I purchase more CDs
    Thanks to the RIAA, I buy them used...
    1. Re:How can they lose the war by dmelomed · · Score: 2, Insightful

      It's important we do not participate in any techno wars. The time spent fighting can be used to enhance what we already have instead of competing with waste techonology like Windows. There's no desktop war, and there was none. There are _efforts_ to bring good desktop environments to _Unix_ instead of emulating Windows. Wars is MS' objective to eliminate other OS threats (Helloween documents?).

  2. What can we win here ? by Quazion · · Score: 3, Interesting

    No more MS Os's on the Desktop ?
    Or Linux Everywhere ?

    Both sound bad, what we want i guess is
    a competitive playing ground for OS designers.

    We dont want the best the greatest the fastest,
    we want something usefull and workable or atleast i do.

    Linux is usable for me at the moment,
    i dont care who wins or who is in war.

    Quazion.

    1. Re:What can we win here ? by Wolfier · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Microsoft Everywhere.
      Linux Everywhere.

      Both sounds bad, but one has to sound worse than the other.

  3. I guess he has good points. by JeremyYoung · · Score: 4, Insightful

    But he fails to acknowledge the reality that sometimes a linux desktop makes real business sense. Yes, that market is small, and yes if you're looking at it as a war, Microsoft has won. However, in the words of Phil Jackson, "You are only a success for the moment you achieve something."

    Users do want simplicity and ease of use. And it is also true that Linux can't give them this right now. But it's even more true that this can change.

    --

    Go Lakers!

    1. Re:I guess he has good points. by Yohahn · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I think that the press frequently misses on the point that Free software is glacial in how it is developed. It is huge and slow moving. To dismiss its effect because of how slow it moves is to miss the size.

      You can't bankrupt free software...

      The idea "information wants to be free" is more of a metaphor. Fact is, information tends to spread with little to no effort. This is what makes free software huge. It can slow down, it can stop for a bit, but.. if necessary, it can pick up again. So while it moves slowly, it never loses ground.

      This guy is impatient. Think more monk like. It may take a long time, but if we keep trying, we will eventually get there. Nothing can prevent that.

    2. Re:I guess he has good points. by ackthpt · · Score: 2
      The Xbox is an interesting foray, to be sure. Ironically, many video game console makers have attempted to wed the keyboard to their consoles in some effort to make it PC-like. Here we have the PC software maker attempting to sell a console. It would really be funny, IMHO, if they then tried to make it act like a PC, but I'm rather doubtful of that at this stage, but perhaps they will try to merge the desktop and console in Xbox II or later. It'll probably become their gateway for TV, Music, Games (of course), Internet (web, email, etc), Desktop, Telecommuting and give you an accurate EKG reading when your heart misses a beat when you see your monthly statement.

      IIRC the Linux game console is either dead or off on the back burner (note: Linux projects never die, they just go onto the back burner until their interest resurfaces.)

      --

      A feeling of having made the same mistake before: Deja Foobar
    3. Re:I guess he has good points. by Xoro · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Right, particularly wrt change. There's been a lot of talk about this recently: "Linux will never succeed on the desktop" and so on. What happened? Did a project deadline just slip? Did someone call out "Time's up, keyboards down, please"? Did we cross some finish line and I missed it?

      The articles and analyses remind me of a couple of years ago, when the wonks were all chattering about "linux just isn't ready for the enterprise". Now, from the article:

      In other words, in the enterprise, Linux has a real shot.

      And now that has become current accepted wisdom, and doubtless everyone says they knew it all along. If you think "linux just isn't ready for the desktop" then don't use it. But is that grounds for calling the game over? Sheesh. Today, linux desktops are fairly usable and improving. Until they stop being usable and stop improving, don't talk to me about "over".

      --
      Kill, Tux, kill!
    4. Re:I guess he has good points. by Frizzle+Fry · · Score: 2, Insightful

      This inertia (people not wanting to move to xp) does not work in linux's favor. What causes this inertia is that people are perfectly happy with win98 and don't see a reason to change. Even if XP is better, most people don't want to go through the effort of buying it and setting it up and getting used to a new OS. They will feel the same way about linux.

      --
      I'd rather be lucky than good.
    5. Re:I guess he has good points. by SCHecklerX · · Score: 2

      Users do want simplicity and ease of use. And it is also true that Linux can't give them this right now. But it's even more true that this can change.



      Can you explain this statement to me? How can't linux give simplicity and ease of use? What could be easier to use than a desktop that shows the user only the tools they need, doesn't require routine maintenance just to work, and has an interface that can be fully optimized to the way that person works? Oh yeah, and if you have more than one person using that particular computer, no worries about each one overwriting the other's data/desktop preferences/etc.


      I'm not talking system administration. I'm talking ease-of-use. Linux is easier to administer too, but I won't get into that here.

    6. Re:I guess he has good points. by Jason+Earl · · Score: 2

      Inertia is good for Windows marketshare, but Microsoft doesn't make any money off of their past releases.

      If no one buys Windows XP, then Microsoft makes no money, and unlike the Linux community, they need huge revenues to survive. If Windows XP doesn't sell, then Microsoft will miss their earnings expectations, their stock price will drop, their investors will leave, their developers will be left with a mediocre salary and worthless options, and their attempts to set new de-facto standards will be stymied.

      Make no mistake. Microsoft's biggest competitor isn't Linux, it's old versions of their own software. If no one upgrades to the new versions then Microsoft is just as screwed as if everyone switched overnight to Linux. Either way they make precisely the same amount of cash.

    7. Re:I guess he has good points. by mpe · · Score: 2

      But he fails to acknowledge the reality that sometimes a linux desktop makes real business sense. Yes, that market is small

      Actually once you move out of the home environment unix type workstations can make far moe sense than Windows...

    8. Re:I guess he has good points. by SurfsUp · · Score: 2
      Users do want simplicity and ease of use. And it is also true that Linux can't give them this right now.

      No, that's not true. Have you tried a recent Mandrake for example? Dead simple, right from the install through to the apps. I'd say Linux has the edge on install, because much of the hardware in the known universe is supported by default, no screwing around with driver disks.

      It used to be kind of esoteric, and the reward was, you'd get something stable. Now it's not esoteric, and, hmm, it's free, updates are free, support is free, so it looks like Windows is going to have a tough time competing, huh?

      StarOffice is really no different than Microsoft Office from the user's point of view, most really don't know or care what the differences are. These days you really have to stretch into nooks and crannies to find places where Linux's ease of use is any different from Windows. And Linux is still moving. Windows is kind of moving too, but not very fast, you need time-lapse photography to detect the motion. Now, most Windows development is aimed at finding new ways to restrict users, not ways to make their computers more more useful.

      --
      Life's a bitch but somebody's gotta do it.
    9. Re:I guess he has good points. by NutscrapeSucks · · Score: 2

      Very good point, but don't confuse Microsoft's loss for anyone else's gain.

      ESR once said that Linux will have "won" when Microsoft's stock price hits a certain level -- and this is a guy who's a professional Linux advocate.

      It's that sort of bizarre thinking that moshes the Windows Hater club in with the people who genuinely are trying to create something interesting. The truth is that goals of these two groups diverge significantly -- hackers hack because they their scratch itches and Linux Advocates advocate Linux because they envy/hate/want to replicate Microsoft.

      The end is that eventually people will realize that the hackers will never create something that can displace "M$" (no matter how poorly they are doing financially) and the Microsoft Haters will hitch their hopes to something else (just as they were all over IBM OS/2 before jumping on board Linux).

      --
      Whenever I hear the word 'Innovation', I reach for my pistol.
  4. Maybe in the short term... by egerlach · · Score: 4, Redundant

    ... but I think the 10- or 50-year outlook isn't so clear. Yes, for now Dell has dropped Linux from their computer line, but that may not stay that way. I personally think that the 'Ghandi-esqe' approach that open-source has (i.e. the passive resistance thing - not pushing to sell), not to mention the fact that there is no single company behind it, makes it an invincible force in the long run. Maybe Windows will stay ahead of Linux forever... but that will take a lot of running from a horse that will surely get tired.

    --

    "Free beer tends to lead to free speech"
    1. Re:Maybe in the short term... by acroyear · · Score: 4, Informative
      Dell has not dropped Linux totally. Dell has dropped linux for their cheap, low-end systems, your standard home desktop (so, yes, GNU/Gnome|KDE/Linux isn't "ready" to be a home desktop system...but in my opinion it wasn't meant to be and shouldn't be force-fed into that environment).

      Dell DOES still support and distribute RH7.1 on their workstation and server lines, and states they will continue to do so in the foreseeable future.

      People don't just casually go "I wanna use linux" -- people pick Unix or Linux systems because they want to get something done and have decided that Microsoft products will cost too much and get in the way of actually getting things done. And if you have stuff you "have to get done", generally, you need a high-end workstation or server to do it.

      --
      "But remember, most lynch mobs aren't this nice." (H.Simpson)
      -- Joe
    2. Re:Maybe in the short term... by Junks+Jerzey · · Score: 3, Insightful

      If you're talking a 50 year outlook, then *surely* there will be something mucb better than Linux by then? Linux is and has never been the pinnacle of computing technology. Even Linus freely admits that.

    3. Re:Maybe in the short term... by Black+Parrot · · Score: 3, Insightful

      > Maybe Windows will stay ahead of Linux forever... but that will take a lot of running from a horse that will surely get tired.

      And Microsoft has to run with a very heavy load on its back: profitability.

      MS has to develop and sell Windows in ways that maximize their share prices. Linux developers are bound only by what they actually want in an OS.

      Ultimately, profitability is in direct conflict with consumers' interests, so over the long haul the game would seem to be stacked against Microsoft.

      --
      Sheesh, evil *and* a jerk. -- Jade
    4. Re:Maybe in the short term... by TGK · · Score: 2

      I know this is a troll but I'm responding to it anyway. But not for the reasons the writer intends.

      The Soviet Union was not communist. It wanted to attain communism, but every leader, Lenin through Gorby, would admit that this never happened. Under Lenin the Soviet Union was first socialist, then capitalist (the NEP). Under Stalin, and every "communist party leader" thereafter, the State was Stalinist (think, despotic totalitarianism).

      The same goes, more or less, for the PRC.

      And on that note, these nations did have a single entity behind them. Lenin, Stalin, Khruschev, Bresniev (sp?), Andropov (sp?), Gorby. No, there was no head of state... not at all... why would we ever think there was a head of state?

      Christ, you people can't even troll properly.

      --
      Killfile(TGK)
      No trees were killed in the creation of this post. However, many electrons were inconvenienced.
    5. Re:Maybe in the short term... by oconnorcjo · · Score: 3, Insightful
      If you're talking a 50 year outlook, then *surely* there will be something mucb better than Linux by then?


      I expect "Linux" will not be "Linux" in 50 years or at least not the OS we use today. Linux is an evolving OS. The kernel is becomming more robust and the applications on top of it are becomming much better. It also has something few other OS's have at the moment: A large *community* of developers and users who have a personal AND commercial interest in seeing it thrive. Remember that when MS was 10 - 11 years into the PC OS bussiness, they were still peddling DOS and windows 3.1. Linux has had a much better progression when looked at that way.

      --
      I miss the Karma Whores.
    6. Re:Maybe in the short term... by Junks+Jerzey · · Score: 2

      I expect "Linux" will not be "Linux" in 50 years or at least not the OS we use today. Linux is an evolving OS.

      Again, this is still a short term view. In 1975 FORTRAN was a common teaching language. In 1985 is was Pascal. In 1995 it was C. In 2001 it is often Java. So you could take the peculiar view that Java is really just an evolved FORTRAN. Or you could admit that technology doesn't live forever.

      If Linux is around in fifty years it will be the OS/360 of operating systems.

    7. Re:Maybe in the short term... by acroyear · · Score: 2
      I would disagree. Yes, I can load Linux myself, but I don't want to. I'm a developer, not a sysadmin. I need a box where I can get the editor I want (emacs & joe), the compilers I need (java, and gnu C++ suffice), a browser for surfing for new libraries (mozilla, with netscape for pages that have broken old-standards javascript), and some media software (xcdroast/cdrdao, grip, xmms, and realplay).

      And then I need to get to work.

      I don't want to have to shop around for this or that hardware to constantly double-check that my hardware is supported by linux drivers (either OSS or vendor written). I don't have time.

      I pay Dell or Penguin (my home box) to make enough hardware options so I can trust that they and Linux will get along, because I have more important things to do than go surfing the HOWTOs and mailing list archives only to find out that X hardware like some sound or graphics card that I got from "Best Buy" isn't supported and will never be supported, thus wasting the purchase utterly. I pay Dell for the service of getting a box with linux on it so I can get to my work (with a box that doesn't BSOD on me every 2 hours), not so I have a hobby box to keep fidgetting with hardware and latest&greatest kernels and patches and stuff, hoping some combination of drivers finally gets my such-n-such hardware to finally work so I don't have to keep dropping back into windows to use it.

      --
      "But remember, most lynch mobs aren't this nice." (H.Simpson)
      -- Joe
  5. Desktop shipments? Article disqualified. by geschild · · Score: 5, Informative

    To use the paltry 1.5% of shipments of Linux for desktop environments to disqualify Linux as a contender for the desktop shows how little the writer knows about Linux. And the writer worked for Red Hat? Please, somebody hit her with a clue-bat. The amount of shipments tells nothing about the installed base and for desktops you can rest assured that the number of shipments should be multiplied by a _much_ larger amount than with server-shipments exactly _because_ of the reduced licensing cost it can bring for workstations! Don't bother to read the piece, it's useless and shouldn't even have been posted here especially since it's a day old.

    Karma? What's that again?

    --
    Karma? What's that again?
    1. Re:Desktop shipments? Article disqualified. by shanek · · Score: 2

      Where does it say the writer worked for Red Hat?

      Russ Mitchell (vortumnus@yahoo.com) , a former managing editor at Wired,most recently was editor in chief of Business 2.0.

      And I've never met a female named "Russ."

    2. Re:Desktop shipments? Article disqualified. by ichimunki · · Score: 5, Interesting

      The writer of the article was the boss of the woman with the laptop when they both worked at Red Hat's Wide Open News.

      The fact that they both worked at Red Hat means to me that she shouldn't have been running any Windows system to begin with. If she was having trouble with ApplixWare's spell-checker, maybe she should have investigated a Free Software solution or submitted it as a bug report to the development teams that work for the same company she does. Instead she uses (presumably) corporate funds to buy a competitors product instead of helping improve her own company's product?

      And the writer of this article sounds like he has an axe to grind... he stoops to insulting the offending tech based on his appearance, rather than his reluctance to support a major competitors' software. I'm surprised this woman even thought it was reasonable to expect tech support to work on her Windows machine. And her main argument for having a non-standard OS in the first place is spell-checking? Please.

      --
      I do not have a signature
    3. Re:Desktop shipments? Article disqualified. by Jason+Earl · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Imagine you worked at a company that had standardized on Windows for the desktop, and you went to the helpdesk because you couldn't get your KDE themes on your Linux laptop to work. Would you be surprised when the help desk folks simply formatted your hard drive and reinstalled Windows?

      If you are going to use non-standard software, then you are going to have to support it yourself, that's how every helpdesk I have ever heard of works. Now most aren't pricks about it. They wouldn't simply format the drive and tell the user to lump it, but they wouldn't help her out either.

      Users get stuck using software that doesn't do the job very well but is the "standard" all of the time. Why should RedHat be any different?

      Besides, switching your OS because the spell checker doesn't know the correct spelling of "web site" (which was the example the article gave) is ridiculous. Especially if you are the web master. Geez, if your webmaster doesn't know how to spell web site, then you truly are screwed.

      Besides, when preparing text for a web site (especially one that would be serving a lot of Linux users) you don't need a word processor, and you especially don't want to be using MS Word. Imagine how the "real" webmasters felt having to pass all of this lady's text through the demoronizer so that it would work with Netscape. And she wondered why they formatted her hard drive. A real BOFH would simply have allowed her to post stories that would be full of '?' for many of her users. Someone should have set up Emacs for her so that it would automatically load flyspell and told her to write her columns in plain text. Using Emacs for this sort of thing is no harder than Using MS Word. In fact, it would be easier.

      Besides, I haven't used Applixware for a while, but it's spellchecker worked fine for me (4 years ago). The whole premise is bogus.

      Either way, you can't expect the helpdesk to support non-standard software, and you can't expect RedHat to standardize on MS Word.

    4. Re:Desktop shipments? Article disqualified. by tmark · · Score: 2

      Even if the site is only 50% effective, it will be better than the estimate used in this article, since that estimate does not count

      Of course, at least the first two reasons you give for why Linux counts might be understated (which the author ADMITS is the case), hold true as well for Windows. There are PLENTY of people with Windows installed who did not pay for the license. THere are LOTS of offices who order clones or bare-bones machines and have their tech guys install the same copy of Windows on all of them.

    5. Re:Desktop shipments? Article disqualified. by ichimunki · · Score: 2

      I don't think I implied that I condoned the tech's actions. In fact, I think he should have been fired (assuming the facts are accurate and complete as stated in the article-- I don't feel like I have all the facts, personally).

      On the other hand, I'm equally suspicious of what kind of employees go spend a bunch of money of Red Hat's on Windows just because they think ApplixWare's spell-checker isn't good enough (and it seemed, from the report to be working fine to me-- it's not the software's job to always suggest the right word, the software is designed to find words not in the dictionary. If the writer can't spell the words they want to use that aren't in the dictionary, they shouldn't use those words).

      --
      I do not have a signature
    6. Re:Desktop shipments? Article disqualified. by crucini · · Score: 2

      But "web site" is a compound. Does this person expect a computer program to pass judgement on every possible combination of two words? Also, a brief search on the internet shows that there is no consensus on the correctness of "web site". The idea of a professional writer delegating such an issue to a computer program irritates me, especially when the program is written by Microsoft. What if she spell-checked "Linux" in MS word and it offered "Linsux"? Would she accept that as gospel?
      I am happy to see an individual like this separated from a Linux vendor. Let her spew her spellchecked, smartquoted pages elsewhere.

    7. Re:Desktop shipments? Article disqualified. by blang · · Score: 2

      Agreed. The Wired article is a poor excuse of an article. Not just is he trying to grab attention by bold statements such as "the [desktop] war is over, Microsoft won", he also manages to get the simplest things wrong. As someone who'd been an editor at a Red Hat web site, and someone who is paid to write a Linux article for Wired, one should expect a certain level of knowledge. He states that Linux is 10 years old and was written from scratch by Linus.

      Call me a nitpick, but Linus started by hacking on minix, which came with full source code in Andrew S Tannenbaum's text book "Operating systems".

      A great book, and the perfect christmas gift to young geeks who decide they want to write a unix like operating system for PC's.

      --
      -- Another senseless waste of fine bytes.
  6. Linux has not lost by GreenCrackBaby · · Score: 4, Redundant

    Here's a comment from my tech-illiterate wife: "Get that damn Linux installed -- I'm sick of this s**t from Microsoft!"

    If my wife, of all people, is asking for an alternative to M$'s stuff, then there really is some hope. Linux may never get beyond a 10% desktop share, but just giving up because there's no good spell checker for Linux is silly.

    --

    "The market alone cannot provide sufficient constraints on corporation's penchant to cause harm." -- Joel Bakan
    1. Re:Linux has not lost by quartz · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Heh. I like chicks who dig Linux. That's why I married a physicist. :)

      About the "hope" that you speak about, well, yes and no. Yes, Linux on the desktop will never "lose" as such 'cause there's nothing to lose. We write desktop software for Linux because *we* need it. If I want a native KDE Gnutella client and there isn't one available, I code myself one. That's how Linux software gets built. And that's why stupid "what ifs" like the one in the article (What if the Linux community put an end to all the desktop nonsense right now and built on its strengths in global enterprise computing) are pure nonsense. If I want a gnutella client, I will damn well code a gnutella client, not frickin' enterprise software for which I have no use. And no, Linux will never outdo Microsoft on the desktop market, pretty much for the same reason. When I design a program, I design it to fit MY needs. If others find it useful, that's OK with me. But frankly, I couldn't care less about Joe AOL and what he expects from a software package, therefore my software will never work for him.

      So I guess if for some strange reason you want all the world to run Linux, you'd better write commercial software for it. Not necessarily proprietary, but commercial. When the world finds a way to really make open source commercially successful, that's when Microsoft should start worrying.

    2. Re:Linux has not lost by pmz · · Score: 2, Informative

      ...just giving up because there's no good spell checker for Linux is silly.

      I have had pretty good luck with ispell. It can quietly ignore LaTeX markup and can be invoked within Emacs. Most ftp sites that distribute Linux/BSD/etc. packages have it.

      If your definition of "good" is something that is GUIfied, then perhaps StarOffice could satisfy you?

    3. Re:Linux has not lost by tenor · · Score: 4, Interesting

      That goes double for my wife. She uses her computer a lot more than I do, and I'm a programmer. She's an elementary school teacher with not enough time and too many students. Oh yeah, she's also a perfectionist.

      For her 12 classes (3yrs old to 8th grade), she needs to make lesson plans, test, quizzes, worksheets, handouts, study sheets, notes to parents, attendance rosters, gradebooks, etc.

      These documents are all done in Star Office with a lot of help from image manipulation tools.

      Linux supports all of her needs, has never crashed during any of her all-nighters, and networks well with all of the other machines in our SOHO.

      At school, however, she uses 98 and NT. NT she doesn't mind too much, except that she doesn't get to use the Gimp and Nautilus (which she adores). But 98 drives her insane.

      I have learned a lot about Linux by taking on administration of a busy woman's machine. Over the years I have had to do a lot of little hacks to get things just right. Now, however, I can take a default 7.1 install of RedHat and she is perfectly happy. All of the little workarounds I used to do myself are now part of a standard distrobution. This is immensely important. I used to worry that if I got hit by a truck my wife would not be able to find any of her files and would end up reverting to Windows in my absence. That is no longer true.

      She is now trying to find ways to introduce Linux to her students, as she thinks that Linux is a real choice for education. Considering that she works for a school that rations white chalk and pencils, the money to keep upgrading those Windows boxen is just getting too expensive. They have a nice computer lab at her school, but you can bet that the next upgrades of the hardware and software in that lab will coincide with Windows 2009.

      Linux has come a long way on the desktop, and that is fantastic. It has become a real server powerhouse, too, and that is fantastic. But for the author of that article to say that Linux should focus on the server is suicidal. We all know that a Sun server will beat the pants off a Windows server. Always has, most likely always will. So would a SCO, BSD, Linux, or any other *nix. But that has not saved their bacon. Why? Because nobody has the money to pay for a decent sys admin (as Microsoft even concedes). Command line tools and config files? Not for the average sys admin. Microsoft learned that it is easier to sell a lousy server machine running a nice desktop than it is to sell a nice server with a lousy/non-existant desktop.

      As programs like linuxconf evolve into highly usable administration tools, more people will give Linux the time of day.

      I personally look forward to a future with all-open source protocols and programs. Instead of trying to get the next version of SMBS to work with Linux, perhaps the open source community should put its energy into finishing promising alternatives like Coda, with both Linux and Windows clients (but only Linux servers - back at ya, Microsoft).

      I think that the war is over, but Microsoft just doesn't know it yet. Whether anybody buys Linux is irrelevant. So long as this mass of programmers continues to build better and better software, the user community can wait. And with all of the BS going on with the RIAA and MPAA getting in bed with Microsoft, it is only a matter of time before users are desperate for an alternative. By then Linux will be as good or better in the desktop realm as Microsoft.

      So hackers, keep working on those office suites, USB drivers and eye candy. The war IS over.

      --
      Opinions change daily as new information arrives. Stay tuned.
    4. Re:Linux has not lost by mickeyreznor · · Score: 2

      So I guess if for some strange reason you want all the world to run Linux, you'd better write commercial software for it. Not necessarily proprietary, but commercial. When the world finds a way to really make open source commercially successful, that's when Microsoft should start worrying.

      And that's what the distros are working on right now. RH and Mandrake, SuSe and the rest of the pack still have a bit to go before reaching the appeal of windows, but they've come a long way since they were started.

    5. Re:Linux has not lost by chrisatslashdot · · Score: 2

      I had only used MS OSes since the time of my first 386 running MS-DOS. I had never heard of Linux but I knew that if any product or service that I purchased performed as poorly as did my OS, I would find an alternative to said product or service. So I went to deja and searched on 'alternative operating systems'. TMALSS I ordered a RH6.0 CD from cheap-bytes.com and have been using Linux ever since. For about a year I used Linux without personally meeting a single human that even knew what Linux was. I didn't use Linux beacuse of open-source, GNU, or freedom. I was utterly oblivious to those causes. I used Linux cause it didn't crash; I could radically alter the appearance and usefulness of my desktop; and everything I wanted to do with linux had already been done, written down, and posted on the web. Then everytime I heard someone complain about their computer crashing I'd tell them about what I'd found. Now I hear people complaining not of thier computer crashing but about virii, forced upgrades, and cost. So I tell them too.

      I was truly a non-geek that was simply tired of crappy software so I tried an alternative. When I converted, Linux was totally obscure. I'd never heard the word Linux before the day I ordered my RH CD. Today Linux is all over the grocery store magazine rack, all over the web, and oftentimes in the media. Linux will win because people will get tired of MS trying to take thier money. They will seek an alternative and they'll find it.

      Thanks Linus, GNU guys and all the other countless developers.

      --


      Simple people talk of people, better people talk of events, great people talk of ideas.
  7. Fire the technician!!! by MatrixManiac · · Score: 2, Interesting

    The technician who didn't bother to backup her
    data files should have been fired on the spot!
    This is totally unacceptable behavior.________

    1. Re:Fire the technician!!! by Kamel+Jockey · · Score: 2, Insightful

      How can this possibly be a troll. If the data was important to the user it should have been backed up, firing might be a bit harsh but a reprimand at least.

      Absolutely not, the technician should be fired immediately. Whether or not the user backed it up before handing it over was not the issue here. Technicians with the kind of attitude mentioned in the article obviously have no understanding that people who work use their machines for *working*, not as toys. When people who are supposed to be helping you get your job done (such as IT people who are supposed to keep end-users' machines up and running) are obviously failing to do the task (or worse, deliborately hampering the effort), they should be fired and replaced with people who realize that the goal of IT in the enterprise is to help the company make money, not lose it.

      --
      In case of fire, do not use elevator. Use water!
    2. Re:Fire the technician!!! by Sethb · · Score: 2

      I make all of my users responsible for their own data. THey all have a network drive that we keep backed up, but they're taught to expect hard drive failure at anytime, and we're not going to pay to resurrect the data that's on there, so they'd better keep a backup of anything that's not stored on a network drive.

      That said, I might give someone a newer version of Windows without asking, but I would never switch a user from Linux to Windows without telling them first, mostly because I wouldn't want to deal with the next 250 questions from them as they try to learn how to do all the things they already knew how to do in Windows.

      --
      When in danger or in doubt, run in circles, scream and shout. --Robert A. Heinlein
  8. Should We Be Concerned? by grubby · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I don't see any reason to be concerned about what this individual is saying. We all know some people care about linux and some give it a bad name. Myself it is a great idea, a revolution if you will and I intend to use it regardless of the desktop numbers.

  9. Imminent Death of Linux predicted by EnderWiggnz · · Score: 2, Funny
    News at 11.

    --
    ... hi bingo ...
  10. Easy. by dave-fu · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Linux is written by geeks, for geeks.
    MS/Windows is written by geeks and business types, for business types... and geeks. Who controls the pursestrings in the enterprise?
    Which OS spends millions on UI design? As long as Linux continues to move ahead with fragmented windowing systems, it'll continue to fail to compete with Windows on the desktop.
    If you've learned nothing else from models, it's that sometimes it's better to be pretty than smart.

    --
    Easy does it!
    This comment has been submitted already, 276865 hours , 59 minutes ago. No need to try again.
    1. Re:Easy. by spacefem · · Score: 3, Informative

      I disagree.

      Yes, it was written "for geeks by geeks", but the number of geeks who care about the rest of the world is growing every day. I use Linux as on my desktop, I'm an electrical engineering student, not a computer geek. I'm also urging girls who live with me to do the same, and for one or two of them it's working quite well. Yes, we have our problems, but overall we're really happy with what's going on and feel a lot more invited into the "geek world" by just running linux than we ever did with Windows. The future includes the general population, hackers know that, and we're really appreciative.

    2. Re:Easy. by Error27 · · Score: 2

      People say that Microsoft spends millions on UI but I don't believe that.

      Perhaps I'm wrong and they do spend millions on UI but certainly none of that ever reaches their products.

      Take the "open file" applet for example.

      No one knows what all the little buttons do. People are constantly confused by where to find their files. From looking at the file applet you have no idea where in the filesystem a file is. The file applet hides most of the files in the directory anyways so that people always wonder, "HEY! WHO DELETED MY FILE!?!." Then you show them the little pull down menu and select to show "*.*" and they feel pretty stupid. But they're not stupid it's the monkeys at Microsoft who are on crack! And for experienced users it's just as bad. Openning any file seems to take an average of 8 different clicks and pull down menus to get to the @#$%@#%@# stupid directory where the file is.

      Perhaps that's your idea of user friendly but it's certainly not mine.

      (To be fair part of the problem is also the badly organized filesystem. Microsoft, for some reason, is completely opposed to planning and organization. I think they feel that planning things hurts their creativity).

      If you want to see a half decent user interface try OSX.

    3. Re:Easy. by poot_rootbeer · · Score: 5, Funny


      Yeah right, like I'm really going to believe that an EE student lives with girls.

      (+2, Funny)

    4. Re:Easy. by dasmegabyte · · Score: 2
      I'm an electrical engineering student, not a computer geek


      WHAT? Electrical Engineers are the worst type of computer nerd, what with their pripensity for tinkering with sickly 8088 processors in labs and using software that predates keyboards. As we said in college, you can't even spell geek without E.E.
      --
      Hey freaks: now you're ju
  11. Why Linux isn't on the desktop or never will be? by SmileyBen · · Score: 5, Insightful

    This was posted yesterday or the day before on Linuxtoday, and the thing I really didn't understand is not why people keep posting articles like this that claim to explain why Linux will never succeed, but why editors don't correct the headlines.

    Very, very little of this article is about why the author thinks linux won't succeed on the desktop - what it is about is why Linux isn't *currently* on the desktop.

    Sure, for example, we don't have an Office killer *currently*, but where exactly does he explain why we can never have one? Nobody can seriously be so conned by Microsoft as to believe that we'll always be playing catch-up. Obviously there will come a point (very soon, IMHO) when Linux word processors have every function most users could possibly want - just because Word adds new extraneous features every release doesn't mean those are necessary, and certainly doesn't mean people use them (or would miss them in a Linux equivalent).

    I'm just constantly bemused how people seem to make the inference from 'linux isn't currently on the desktop' to 'linux will never be on the desktop'. There may be some good reasons why this might be, but this article certainly doesn't offer any conclusive ones as far as I can see.

    Seems to me that there will come a point where a free operating system can do everything current OSes do, so the intuitive step is to ask 'Why when that happens will people pay for an OS instead?' - surely the burden is on people claiming linux will never win the desktop to answer that, even if that time is a year off or whatever.

  12. Too bad... by wrinkledshirt · · Score: 3, Insightful

    It seems that the article is motivated by an anger towards the fringe lunatics. This is too bad -- wiping a hard drive and installing linux on it isn't a linux problem, it's a stupid fucking employee problem.

    As for whether or not Linux is going to lose on the desktop, time will tell. It's staying on mine, but I don't do any word processing that other people need to see. I do find it funny that the writer considers the competition for the desktop a bad thing, and writes it off as duplication of effort. I suppose there's an argument for that, but you might as well say that Darwinism is a duplication of effort when it comes to evolution -- the only other recourse is to accept being stagnant or having your evolution determined for you. No thanks.

    --

    --------
    Bleah! Heh heh heh... BLEAH BLEAH!!! Ha ha ha ha...

  13. Death of Linux Imminent by karb · · Score: 5, Funny
    So, basically

    1. Tech zealot linux-head deletes windows (tech zealot windows-head would do same thing to linux) and makes the author mad.
    2. Since the linux desktop is behind, it will always be behind.
    3. Since linux on the server is behind, more work should be exerted to catch up.


    Unfortunately, I think the desktop is the passenger train of the golden age of railroads. You don't do it because it brings in the cash money. It's a mindshare thing. How else can you explain microsoft's now-dominance in the server market? They didn't do it by ignoring user-friendliness, that's for sure.

    --

    Jack Valenti and the MPAA are to technology as the Boston strangler is to the woman home alone

  14. There is no conflict by GunnarR · · Score: 2, Insightful

    between the desktop and the server.

    The way open source development works you scratch
    you own itch. If you need better server support
    you do that, if you need better desktop clients
    you do that.

    This is no crusade against Microsoft. It is a better way of developing software.

  15. So this means.... by scorp1us · · Score: 3, Insightful

    That since linux isn't there now, it can never be?

    If anything is to be learned from the last 5 years of OpenSource, is that it is very dynamic and can play catch-up very quickly, usually measured in weeks.

    We need an idiot version of linux. When you can fully run and configure a linux system without VI, Emacs, Pico, cat, grep - and do it all through a consistant well-thoughtout GUI will be the day that linux is ready for the corporate & home desktop.

    --
    Slashdot's rate-of-post filter: Preventing you from posting too many great ideas at once.
  16. Good reliability, below average usability by jshep · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Windows suffers in two areas: reliability and usability. Obviously, Linux is quite good w.r.t. the former, but not so good w.r.t. the latter. Windows seems to crash everytime I'm really doing something important. Linux has only crashed on me once in my entire life (remarkable, I'll admit).

    However, usability is king with users. Most users who have seen Windows for the first time simply can't figure it out because it doesn't map to their mental model of how the system should work. Double-clicking? Minimize a window? Right-click to bring up "hidden" actions? Click "Start" to find the "Shutdown" command? These things are counter-intuitive to any beginner, and even seasoned veterans are confused when a new version of Windows comes out due to MS's inability to adhear to their own standards. This is an area that Linux could have capitalized on, but unfortunately developers were too interested in developing GUI's for developers... not the average Joe.

    This is why Linux will "lose the battle." You can point to monopolies and such as long as you want, but in the end the user makes the decision what he or she wants, and the user will say that the switch to Linux doesn't offer enough benefits to justify a shift.

    --


    "Computer Science is no more about computers than astronomy is about telescopes." - E.W. Dijkstra
    1. Re:Good reliability, below average usability by night_flyer · · Score: 2

      But its not to late for a develpoer to make a GUI for the Average Joe... Linux has recieved much press, its name is becoming more and more recognized... now is the time to develop such a GUI *if* that is the direction they want to take, if *not* then there isn't a war to begin with

      --


      Thanks to file sharing, I purchase more CDs
      Thanks to the RIAA, I buy them used...
    2. Re:Good reliability, below average usability by FFFish · · Score: 2

      Most people who hop on a motorcycle for the first time simply can't figure it out, either. That doesn't prevent anyone from learning how to operate it, even if they take it up at a late stage of life (like my 70+yr old neighbour did!)

      I don't think it's accurate to say that Windows suffers a usability problem.

      And with the advent of Windows 2000 and, so I hear, Windows XP, the reliability is pretty good, too. Speaking for myself, my Win2K has never blue-screened, and has been seized-up-tight only by beta versions of Xxxxx.

      Linux loses the battle for my dollar in two areas:
      1) Applications -- it simply *does not* have the applications I use to make money. Period.
      2) Ease of Use -- I'm not going to dedicate days of hurdle-jumping to set up the damn system. Give me an easy, complete install and sensible, safe defaults. I've grown out of tweaking and geeking, having come to realize the importance in spending my time productively (ie. making money using my system).

      --

      --
      Don't like it? Respond with words, not karma.
    3. Re:Good reliability, below average usability by Genom · · Score: 2

      I agree with you - until the end of your second paragraph:

      due to MS's inability to adhear to their own standards. This is an area that Linux could have capitalized on, but unfortunately developers were too interested in developing GUI's for developers... not the average Joe.

      This quite simply misses the point of the way OSS GUI development has gone. Yes - in the beginning, it was all about the developers. Then, as more users came in, they started having individual itches to scratch, and due to the open nature of OSS, those with the programming skill to do so, could scratch their itch, and come out with a GUI of their own, that fixes their own problem. Then, by releasing it to the world, either in the form of a patch (for small itches) or a full-fledged fork of the source code (for broader-ranging itches), other users could benefit.

      As this process goes on, the GUIs become more and more usable and intuitive - not just for the people who have been using them - but for new users as well. Believe it or not, there are some developers who make changes to GUIs in the interest of making them "easier to use".

      Sure - there are about 40-50 different window managers out there - and some would say that "fragments" the linux "desktop experience". I disagree - I think it give the user *choice* of how they want their system to look/work/run. Maybe I don't want all those toolbars and taskbars and such that KDE/Gnome offers. I can run Blackbox or WindowMaker. Maybe I want a COMPLETELY customizable GUI. I can run Enlightenment. Maybe I want a UI very similar to one from Redmond. I can run FVWM95, or more realistically, KDE. Maybe I want the bare minimum. There's PWM, TWM, and a multitude of super-lightweight window managers out there to fit the bill. You can work in an environment that suits your productivity - without someone else dictating your interface to you. That's the key. Sure, it may take you a while to try out a few different ones to find one that fits you, but once you do, you won't want to go back to the strictly-enforced-by-someone-elses-idea-of-what-is -usable interface offered to you by MS.

      in the end the user makes the decision what he or she wants, and the user will say that the switch to Linux doesn't offer enough benefits to justify a shift.

      I disagree here as well. Often, the user is *not* given a choice - because of MS's marketing strategies, pretty much any home user desktop (or standard office desktop) will come with the latest version of Windows on it - whether you want it to or not. (This is part and parcel of the DoJ's conviction of MS for illegally leveraging their monopoly) Try ordering a laptop with Linux or FreeBSD from Dell or Gateway. Try picking one up at CompUSA loaded with *your* choice of OS. You won't be given that option. You're forced to buy a machine with WIndows, whether you will replace it with Linux/BSD/whatever or not. That sale will count towards the number of WIndows systems shipped - regardless of what OS you end up running on it.

      If you want the latest games, you have to run Windows, because hardware vendors don't release open specs to their hardware, and it takes the linux driver hackers time to reverse-engineer the interfaces. Game developers can't wait for 3rd parties to hack drivers together that probably won't perform as well as the ones written by the vendor (who has unfettered access to the specs) - and thus they develop their games for Windows. Places like Loki are trying to fill the void, but their choice of which games to port is rather lacking, IMHO.

      If you want to have full access to various multimedia files, you have to run Windows (or MacOS, but they're not in the x86 OS market). Most Quicktime formatted .mov files won't play under linux (or any other free OS) because the Sorenson codec is used, which is unavailable due to licensing. This is a key reason why my fiancee won't switch from Windows. She downloads and watches many videos from the 'net (we are blessed with a wonderful DSL connection, at least for the time being) - and is unable to watch them under linux due to the lack of codec support. To her, this is a fault of the OS, when in reality it's the fault of proprietary codecs.

      Want to play store-bought DVDs on your DVD-drive equipped linux system? Not withgout breaking US law! Windows 2000 (and thus I'm assuming XP as well) comes equipped with a software DVD player that plays *most* commercial DVDs (although it refuses to play my copy of "Storm Riders" which my component DVD player plays just fine) - and because you're forced to take Windows with most new systems, most users think the DVD player is "free". With linux, you have to find a copy of the CSS libs (which have been outlawed under the DMCA) and hook them up to one of the DVD-capable players out there. To many, this will seem a fault of the OS.

      I'm convinced that users would like to have choice, and they would like things to work. They don't care about who owns the copyright, or what codec things are encoded with. They want to play a movie file, or a dvd, or play a game. RIght now, they can have one, but not both. With WIndows, you can have these things work - but you give up choice. With linux, you get choice, but some things don't work. Of course, the other issue is stability - MS is admittedly working on it, but they're not there yet.

      As the linux desktop environments mature, they will get better and better. That's not the issue, and that's not why users are going with MS. They're going with MS because they're either not given a choice, or they want compatibility with proprietary standards.

      OK, rant mode off - I need caffeine!

    4. Re:Good reliability, below average usability by gorilla · · Score: 2
      I don't think it's accurate to say that Windows suffers a usability problem.

      I think it is accurate. However, we have become used to the usability problems and don't think of them any more. Going to 'Start' to shutdown a system is not logical. The difference in behaviour of ctrl-alt-delete between NT and 9x confuses people. There is no logic between which programs have full task bar buttons, which one have system tray icons, and which have none. Some programs use MDE, some don't. There are at least 4 different ways to have programs start automatically on boot. It's damm hard to change file associations. The close button is too easy to hit when you mean maximize. State is imperfectly saved between shutdown & startup - some programs restart as they were, some have to be manually restarted. There is no easy way to cut & paste between a DOS program and a Windows program. That's just a few I've thought of in the time to type this up. There are hundreds more.

    5. Re:Good reliability, below average usability by kirkjobsluder · · Score: 2, Insightful

      At this point, I've pretty much lost my faith in the ability of OSS development to create usable software. The problem with the "scratch the itch" model is that the primary groups that get their itches scratched are the power users and not the every-day appliance users. Granted, it took Microsoft a few years to pick up on usability testing, but once they did so, they did so with a vengance. Microsoft spends almost as much money on the very difficult problem of how human beings think, as they to telling computers what to think. The Open Source model currently does not support collaborative work between programmers, designers, psychologists and sociologists that leads to good interface design. The Open Source model doesn't have good mechanisms for paying a dozen users to sit down in front of a camera for a usability test. The Open Source movement doesn't have good mechanisms for paying technical writers and instructional designers to create clear and concise help and training systems.

    6. Re:Good reliability, below average usability by Genom · · Score: 2

      Note that I said "the average Joe." You insinuate that they can "scratch their itch" by "coming out with a GUI of their own." Why are you assuming that the average user A) has programming experience, and B) wants to go to the trouble of writing code or modifying configurations? I seriously doubt my friend the average Joe teacher or my uncle the average Joe farmer will want to write their own GUIs. I'm not sure I'm the one who missed the point here.

      Hrmm...maybe I wasn't clear enough - I'll punctuate:

      >>Then, as more users came in, they started having individual itches to scratch, and due to the open nature of OSS, those with the programming skill to do so, could scratch their itch, and come out with a GUI of their own, that fixes their own problem.

      Note the part where I said "...those with the programming skill to do so..." - I never insinuated that "the average Joe" could program - only that *some* of the new converts either could, or were willing to learn enough to do so.

      >>Then, by releasing it to the world, either in the form of a patch (for small itches) or a full-fledged fork of the source code (for broader-ranging itches), other users could benefit.

      ...and here's where "the average Joe" benefits. Those who *do* have the skill, and who *do* scratch their itches and contribute their modifications/additions back make it possible for the experience of those who *don't* have that skill to improve.

      Those who can't program to scratch their itches can always send a quick email to the developer (whose email addy is generally readily available in most cases through an About dialog or somesuch) with what they think should be changed. Of course, the change itself is at the developer's discresion, but if people who *can't* fix things themselves don't complain, their problems won't get fixed. Developers I've spoken with are generally VERY accepting of constructive criticism - of course, YMMV from project to project and developer to developer.

    7. Re:Good reliability, below average usability by Genom · · Score: 2

      At this point, I've pretty much lost my faith in the ability of OSS development to create usable software.

      Check out Evolution, GNOME, KDE, etc... Those are the projects that are getting to the point of having some *real* usability.

      The problem with the "scratch the itch" model is that the primary groups that get their itches scratched are the power users and not the every-day appliance users.

      I'll grant you that a power user, or someone with programming skills of their own is more likely to get their particular itch scratched - many times by doing the work themselves. But, I've also noticed that most developers I've spoken or exchanged email with are quite receptive to constructive criticism, particularly when it comes to GUIs. If you have a beef with the way something works, or if you think a certain feature absolutely *needs* to be added, in order to ensure usability -- email the developer (or the development mailing list, in some cases), and tell them about it. Generally they'll either put it on the TODO list, or they'll table it, generally explaining their reason for doing so.

      Granted, it took Microsoft a few years to pick up on usability testing, but once they did so, they did so with a vengance. Microsoft spends almost as much money on the very difficult problem of how human beings think, as they to telling computers what to think.

      ...and thus stereotyping the user experience to the way that either a) they perceive users to want to act, or b) the way they want users to act. This is where my biggest problem with MS's interface lies. If you don't think in their terms, you can't change things to work the way you'd like. You can't ditch the whole thing and go with another interface entirely (Litestep comes VERY close, though - but it breaks some things as well). With OSS, if you don't like the current interface, you can a) change it yourself, if you have the programming skill to do so, b) petition the developer for the changes you desire often with good results, or c) ditch the current interface entirely, replacing it with one that works more closely to the way you'd like it to.

      The Open Source model currently does not support collaborative work between programmers, designers, psychologists and sociologists that leads to good interface design.

      Most probably because the OSS community is fairly topheavy with developers. There are quite a few designers as well. What we lack are a lot of the last two - psychologists and sociologists. People who study the way people work. Most usability improvements in OSS are done through a more trial-and-error approach, or taking from an existing working model. The former works, but only over time - and leads to an evolving interface that may "break" existing paradigms over time. The latter leads to a more polished look, and quicker results, but little in the way of innovation.

      The Open Source model doesn't have good mechanisms for paying a dozen users to sit down in front of a camera for a usability test.

      No - but the OSS model does thrive on alpha and beta releases, most open to the public, with developers asking for comments and feedback. Sure, you might not have a camera watching people try to use it, but if they respond, you can get some good feedback nonetheless.

      The Open Source movement doesn't have good mechanisms for paying technical writers and instructional designers to create clear and concise help and training systems.

      No - the OSS movement relies on volunteers to write the documentation, for the most part. This is one area that is severely lacking right now, but hopefully will change in the future. THis is also one of the areas where non-programmers can really help out. Sure - they may not be able to code, but they can give feedback about what was easy for them to learn, and what was not - they may be able to write decent documentation. (note: I didn't say "great" docs, only "decent" ones - which are much better than nothing, and over time might evolve into "great" docs.) What is really needed is a bunch of beginners to sit down and learn how to use things - and to take notes on what they learn. Many of us have used things like Emacs or Vi for so long that it's like second nature - and it's hard for us to put ourselves back into the shoes of someone who has no experience with these things at all.

  17. I didn't know that the "War" has started by Christianfreak · · Score: 2
    Everyone talks about this supposed 'war' on the desktop. I don't really believe that a 'war' has started ... much less been won or lost.

    Sounds like this guy is just upset because some holier-than-thou tech deleted his data and rightfully so. The guy has a bitter taste in his mouth, thus the article

  18. Development Rate. by kkirk007 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    But what that article fails to take into account is the very rapid rate of development happening in the Linux desktop community. Very soon Gnome 2.0 and KDE 3.0 will be released, which are both major steps in their respective projects. What has Microsoft put out lately? Windows XP with the Luna interface, which after having played with, I can definitely say I'm not impressed (Mac OSX is still the best eye-candy).
    The point is, Linux is usable, but still in development. At the rate that support for linux is snowballing and more and more people get onboard, Linux will be as good or better than M$ in, I'd guess, about two years.

  19. Focus on the code! And the apps! by Green+Aardvark+House · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I do not understand this "war" for supremacy in the OS world. If Linux users are concentrated on winning, they should direct their energy on writing good, bug-free code, not only on the OS, but the apps as well!

    Address the complaint. Speedie's complaint was about the apps. The Linux kernel is relatively stable. Let's create some stuff to go with it.

    The way to win a thorugh a superior product, not saber-rattling.

  20. Re:How can they lose the war, Easy! by ackthpt · · Score: 5, Insightful
    Linus doesn't even have to be at war with Microsoft, since Microsoft by dint has declared a secret war (or sometimes not so secret in the case .. aha .. AOL) on anyone making any product which isn't in cahoots with them, and on occasion sqaushing their own business partners when it suits them. This would appear, IMHO, to be the foundation of everyone's bitch against Microsoft.

    I heartily advise anyone, who hasn't already, to listen to Bill Gates give a speech. He is a megalomaniac and a charismatic one, besides, buy you really have to pay attention to what he says between the lines. It is very intimidating to hear his version of the future, one in which there really is no competition, but a utopia run by your best and well meaning friends, microsoft.

    --

    A feeling of having made the same mistake before: Deja Foobar
  21. Well, of course he has a point... by emil · · Score: 2

    ...and we should immediately conclude with the question are we lacking in any way from a server operating system perspective?

    Linux as a server remains very strong; Samba can emulate a PDC, free Sybase is an MS-SQL Server 6.5 lookalike, complete replacements for an Exchange server are available, and Linux supports the whole family of UNIX server protocols. There is simply no excuse for Windows in the datacenter from a basic OS-functionality perspective.

    True, there have been significant weaknesses. ext2 has been a problem for some time, but this is (close to) getting fixed (it would really help if the distributions would coordinate some of their work). I wish ipfwadm/ipchains/iptables would stop changing. We still suffer from significant fragmentation, which is most dangerous, for it is fragmentation that severely damaged commercial UNIX.

    So is fragmentation the biggest danger in the server space? Are there even greater risks?

    As far as the desktop market goes, no one in Linux is serious about desktop market share unless and until a major distribution releases a "Win32" edition with layered WINE optimized for running Windows binaries.

    I do wish that we could get serious.

    1. Re:Well, of course he has a point... by Lumpy · · Score: 2

      ext2 is as much of a weakness as NTFS. It works is reliable for day to day use.

      ext3 will make a nice jump foreward and even surpass what Microsoft has to offer.

      The whole thing about the article is that the writer has no clue about how linux is now. They agin hve their mential snapshot from 8-12 months ago.... and linux now is very very different.

      It's funny how the doomsayers come out of the woodwork whenever linux makes huge inroads on windows turf. And the doomsayers are usually those users that cause the most grief to sysadmins because they constantly tinker with and blow up their laptop/desktop.... I think they're just mad that they will have to give up the ability to blow up the OS on their machine when Linux takes over.

      --
      Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
  22. Re:let me sum up the article - by x0n · · Score: 2, Interesting

    "Users are used to ms-windows. they are all old dogs and refuse to learn new tricks."

    From a pure desktop / application interoperability point of view, what "new tricks" can "old dogs" Gnome/KDE seriously teach Windows?

    Can I have a common clipboard, please? pretty please?

    --

    PGP KeyId: 0x08D63965
  23. From the article by shanek · · Score: 2

    Speedie needed to use Microsoft Word because the Linux word processors at her disposal were saddled with spellcheckers so abysmal they caused more problems than they solved, skipping over misspelled words and offering bizarre alternatives for words spelled correctly.

    Strange...that's my experience with the Microsoft spell checker. Or with any other spell checker. None of them are perfect; nor are they intended to be a crutch. They're just tools to help find typos.

    A decade later, Linux is lauded as a technical success. But as a business, it's a flop.

    Why do we insist on measuring everything by the dollar value?

    What if all the mental energy, the rage on Slashdot message boards had been concentrated on building solid business models in enterprise computing?

    That's strange; the impression I got from the whole article was that of some junkie posting a rant on a bulletin board. I don't see him out developing the next greatest platform, and yet he pans others for doing exactly what he does.

  24. M$ Shite by tonywestonuk · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Microsoft will beat Linux on the desktop because they control the way PC's are installed at the manufacturer. Linux will Never surpass Microsoft, unless their grip over the Major manufactures, with the secret OEM licence, is broken.

    Eg, hypothetically, Microsoft could just about to release a new OS, called M$ Shite - This will be worse than MSDOS, Take ages to boot, be non-gui, bugger up the HD's boot patition table so that only a Low Level format will put things right, and only run MS branded crippleware, and not allow any other software installs. Unfortunetely, they are also strongarming the Manufactures to preinstall this next generation software, so that every PC sold from BESTBUY, or PCWORLD, without exception, will come with it pre-installed.

    I wonder how many people will still stick with the OS their PC came with, in this situation regardless, 30%? 40%, maybe even 50%. Many people do not know the difference between the OS and the Computer, and don't even realise that they can change, and wouldn't even know if they would want to.

    1. Re:M$ Shite by pubjames · · Score: 2

      Microsoft will beat Linux on the desktop because they control the way PC's are installed at the manufacturer.

      This is currently true. But can you confidently say that this will always be the case?

      The reason that PC manufacturers haven't put Linux on the desktop before now is I believe simple - it hasn't been good enough. However, it is now very nearly good enough, give it just a few more months and it will be. All many people need is a web browser, email, basic office apps. Nearly all of these are now available for free OSS. It's only a matter of a relatively short time before they are good enough.

      Imagine you are a PC manufacturer. You have two options (I'm making these figures up):

      1) Sell a box for $500 dollars including all the basic software that most people will need. Configure it, brand it, do whatever you like with it. Your costs are $400, you make a profit of $100.

      2) Sell a computer for $650. $150 dollars of that goes to Microsoft. Your profit stays the same at $100. Microsofts profit is close to $150. You have to configure it how Microsoft tells you to.

      Which would you prefer? Of course, Microsoft will try to strong-arm manufacterers into not doing number 2, but to misuse someone elses words, you can do that to some OEMs some of the time, but you can't do it to all OEMs all of the time.

      It's just a question of time. Once the change starts, it will be like a damn bursting - it will start as a trickle but turn into an unstoppable flood.

    2. Re:M$ Shite by NutscrapeSucks · · Score: 2

      1) Sell a box for $500 dollars including all the basic software that most people will need. Configure it, brand it, do whatever you like with it. Your costs are $400, you make a profit of $100.

      2) Sell a computer for $650. $150 dollars of that goes to Microsoft. Your profit stays the same at $100. Microsofts profit is close to $150. You have to configure it how Microsoft tells you to.


      Nice analysis, but you are missing the biggest factor that goes into the OEM bottom line-- support costs.

      If it costs $100 in (1) to support a user, you've made no money, whereas with (2) you can get your support costs down to $50, and still come out ahead.

      Microsoft will not be displaced from the Home/SoHo OEMs until someone can produce a cheaper and easier to support alternative. My assertation is that will NEVER be an OS created by and for Unix-heads -- they've got far too much baggage and disdain for the end user.

      As much as I hate to do so, I have to disagree -- the Dam will hold until somebody can prove that the Total Cost (not just the licence cost) for Linux is cheaper than for Windows for the general market as a whole (not just your constrained x-terminal setup).

      --
      Whenever I hear the word 'Innovation', I reach for my pistol.
  25. war? this is retarded. by Atilla · · Score: 2
    It is simply idiotic to call this a "war" between linux and windows. Like Linus said in his recent interview, he doesn't really care about the competing OS's.... Linux is not about taking over the competition. Linux is in essence, a hobby, although it's proving itself to be quite strong in certain areas...

    Linux will most likely never die, because it is an excellent platform for development, and it makes a killer server box :)

    The desktop 'scene' will be mixed and quite possibly dominated by Windows products for a while, but as people become more aware of Linux and its advantages, and more developers choose to
    write code for Linux and other *nix clones, this situation might change.

    Yes, it's true that M$ officials bash Linux and free software in general every chance they get, but that just means that _they_ see it as a threat, esp. as more and more folks lose interest in MS software due to MS's inability to provide well-tested and secure software for mission-critical apps, such as web servers, etc..


    blarg.

    --
    --- sig moved for great justice.
  26. Think long-term by Stiletto · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Ten, twenty years?

    In the future when we think ``computer'' we won't picture a big beige box under the desk with wires running all over the place, and another big box with a beam scanning back and forth across a piece of glass.

    If Linux lost the desktop PC, that's fine, 'cause the days of the desktop PC dinosaurs are numbered.

    The computers of the future are smaller, faster, and cheaper--Three words NOT in Microsoft's vocabulary.

    1. Re:Think long-term by Commykilla · · Score: 2, Funny

      Yep. Who would have guessed 20 years ago that personal computers would turn out to be big beige boxes under a desks with wires running all over the place and a monitor today!

      Wait a minute.... IBM PC... I had one of those 20 years ago!

      --
      Communism was just a red herring.
    2. Re:Think long-term by Odinson · · Score: 2
      In the long term open kernel driver compatibility will be on a checklist for everything people buy/construct. Future computers will be more like smart switches with storage than pricy all in one boxes in the scale of things. How many (non-computer) cpu's are in your house now? 20?, 30?, 100?

      As...

      • Making distributed computing optimization choices becomes more automatic/mature
      • More programs come already built and compiled for parallel processing
      • Chips that run your dishwasher become more overpowered due to minimum power/cost when fabricating.
      • Wireless LAN bandwith speed/volume grows
      • Administration of encrytion between trusted machines and establishing that trust becomes trivial/automatic.
      Why buy a single expensive PC when you can add computing modules to a pool a little at a time. Sure this isn't the most effcient way to grow computing power, but ethernet isn't the fastest way to move packets either. Both are scalable, both are easy. We will begin to see people taking atvantage of all of their untapped computing potential.

      This will happen, but perhaps not in the USA. Companies like Microsoft will never allow it, as long as they call the shots, because it requires the software to be as flexible as the hardware. Flexible==No more monopoly.

      Being a part of the devlopment of these things is just one example of why US techs need to be able to use encryption and reverse engineer without fear of legal torture. The desktop is a worthwhile fight because it is a fight for standards everywhere. I know I don't want to live in a tech getto, because MS needs to dominate the desktop for their own goals.

  27. war? what, thought this was... by Ender+Ryan · · Score: 2

    War? What, I thought this was a relatively free market? Aren't we allowed to continue competing even if Microsoft has over 90% marketshare?
    </sarcasm>

    This is utterly stupid, of course Microsoft has "won" any supposed war, they have a friggin monopoly. By this logic of there being a "war", Microsoft had already won before Linux was even written.

    The point of Linux, however, isn't to break Microsoft's monopoly, it is to simply be a good operating system. IMO, it is that.

    Unlike a war, there is no beginning and there is no end. We can all keep trying as long as we want... barring some serious draconian legislation that makes open source software illegal.

    --
    Sticking feathers up your butt does not make you a chicken - Tyler Durden
  28. Why? No clue, that's why. by Azghoul · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The guy has no clue. On page 1 or 2, he says that you can't get drivers for linux. It's sooooo hard. (never mind the fact that any real distribution these days detects just about everything right on install).

    Then later (page 4) he says "Linux is effectively a commodity and can be made to work on any hardware system."

    Reconcile those two, if you can. I can't.

  29. Check back with us in a year by HMV · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I'd love to see if your "tech-illiterate wife" is happy with her choice.

    So she's fed up with Microsoft, but why does she want Linux? Would she know Linux from *BSD from OS X?

  30. The fight for the desktop is essential by jonabbey · · Score: 5, Insightful

    If we Linux folks give up on the desktop, we will eventually have to give up on the server, unless the states and the DOJ get really wise about remedies.

    As it stands now, the biggest single factor, by far, driving Microsoft server technology into the enterprise is the fact that Microsoft desktops want to talk to Microsoft servers. Jeremy Allison made this point on the LinuxToday talkbacks for this article, that the reason Exchange gets pulled into companies is because Outlook (part of office, and so bundled everywhere) has to talk to Exchange to do calendaring and scheduling. Exchange 2000, at least, needs to talk to ActiveDirectory. ActiveDirectory and Windows 2000 really, really want to absorb the DNS function (or else you're stuck with either a lot of manual overhead to manage the SRV records, or else you have to enable Dynamic DNS updates with a total lack of security because Microsoft doesn't support any open DDNS standards, they simply use the ActiveDirectory ACL's for security..)

    See how that works? It's like dominoes, and Microsoft is supremely willing to set them up and knock them down.

    Even though we spent 5+ years developing Ganymede, we're getting massive pressure on us to adopt ActiveDirectory because that's what Microsoft says Windows 2000 really needs, and because the protocols that Windows 2000 uses to talk to its directory services are proprietary and non-documented.

    Microsoft is like a cuckoo bird, that lays its eggs in the nests of other birds. The eggs hatch, and out pop the baby cuckoos, who then proceed to shove all the other eggs out of the nest.

    1. Re:The fight for the desktop is essential by Junks+Jerzey · · Score: 2

      The desktop market is growing more irrelvant each day. The future is in mobile devices, PDAs, game consoles, and so on.

  31. That dumb tech. by Bazman · · Score: 2

    If only he'd deleted her Microsoft applications, Windows, given her the $$$ cost of the apps and OS back, and most importantly NOT DELETED HER WORK FILES!!!

    Did she have a backup?

    Baz

  32. Re:Why Linux isn't on the desktop or never will be by Gaijin42 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Actually, what I got out of the article on Wired (print version) is that he works extensively with Linux (he worked at RedHat), and thinks it is technically superior. But he thinks that OS wars and flames, and (he specifically mentions) /. Rage are counter productive to the movement.

    He says that if Linux slowly eroded the MS base, it would win. But instead you have guerilla IT departments go through and trash peoples computers, and make linux-ites look like a bunch of freaks.

    He specifically mentions an incident at RedHat where a biz. person had some Excel documents. The documents had some heavy duty macros and whatnot which would not work under any of the linux competitors. She installed Excel. She had an issue with her drivers or whatnot, and when she got the computer back from IT, excel was gone, along with her documents. The IT guy said it was her fault for being a traitor to linux.

    Summary of article : Linux is great, but the long haired freaks are gonna make it lose.

  33. Re:let me sum up the article - by cloudmaster · · Score: 2

    The article was somewhat deceptive in titling, and the author did give the nod on the server side. But you're right, it essentially re-hashed the same thing we keep eharing (and doing nothing about), like the way developers will come up with a whole bunch of programs doing the same thing (KDE, gnome, etc, etc) instead of working together. I know, different goals, slightly different niche. I tend to write my own code when I need to do something, even if a program already exists to do pretty much what I want. Anyway, I'm not sure those points needed hashing out over the 6 or 7 pages that they gave to it. Then again, I don't think that the whole lord of the rings thing they did in that issue needed to be as long as it was either. Heck, I don't think the *magazine* needs to be so damned long.

    That reminds me, is anyone else who got 1 trial issue of "maximum linux" now apperently getting Wired for free? I've gotten the last 3 or 4 issues now, and have never even suggested that I'd like to subscribe...

  34. this is not war by evenprime · · Score: 3, Insightful

    open source is an alternative that gives users more power to control their computing environment than closed source software does, but it is *NOT* a war!

    We need to stop describing stuff in such combative terms. That's part of what turns businesses off and prevents them from trying open source software. Businesses view people who talk about software choices as war as a bunch of loons. If you want to get linux on the desktop, point out that it is a high quality, low cost alternative to the software they are currently using. Give specific examples that match their current products.

    Remember, this is not war, noone will die over this.

    --

    "Weapons should be hardy rather than decorative" - Miyamoto Musashi
    I think that goes for OS's too
  35. Why a war? by Snjit · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Why is the desktop and what's running on it always referred to as a "war"? And what does "Microsoft has won." mean? Does it mean that right at this point in time they dominate? Yes. Does it mean they will dominate next year? Maybe. 5 years? 10 years? It certainly doesn't mean that we've quit and gone home because there are still desktop environments that are being developed and improved continuously that Microsoft doesn't own or contribute to.

    To make broad statements like this seems a little silly to me when its applied to things like technology and open source. Technology (and the desktop) is always evolving and evolution implies a change both in what is dominating and how.

    Wars and battles are discrete things that refer to a point in time and imply that once its over its over. Technology wars can only be fought between corporations and are only won when one corporation gives up or goes under. When applied to open source that comparison just doesn't work. Stop equating the changes in desktop technology to a battle and lets discuss it in terms of where it should be going and how we're going to meet the needs of people using them tommorrow. Evolution will take over.

    1. Re:Why a war? by crucini · · Score: 2

      I think war is a reasonable metaphor. Victory for free software would mean that Microsoft's power is broken. They could still sell/rent software, but they would not be able to dictate standards. This is like the US goal in fighting Iraq - Saddam is still in power, but not in a position to invade neighbor countries. Victory for Microsoft would mean that free software development is essentially stopped. Their would still be maintenance of legacy code, and some free software in specialized areas like science, but free software would not be an active, challenging force exerting constant pressure on their profits and marketshare. Free software would become an irrelevant, technical/hobbyist area, with no connection to current hardware, protocols and consumer trends.

      Each side could accomplish its goal by cutting off the other side's air supply. Microsoft would like to use their proprietary protocols and formats to blockade the communication between Microsoft OS's and others. In other words, a siege. When they succeed, as with the British government web program, they win a battle. No matter how detached you may be from the fight, the fight affects you when you can't use your government's web sites, doesn't it? Or if the time comes when you cannot buy a computer that will boot Linux, will you realize that there was a war?

  36. Many desktop computers are dedicated to one task. by Futurepower(tm) · · Score: 2


    Some friends here run a server farm for a school district. They switched to Linux on ALL their servers. They say that the maintenance required with Linux is far less. And, of course, there is no software upgrade cost. A Microsoft sales person called and asked why they had not done any business recently.

    It seems to me that the reason for Microsoft's increased abusiveness is that every top Microsoft executive has plenty of experience seeing 5 years ahead. They know they don't have long. So, they want to gouge everyone as much as possible now.

    The referenced article says that Linux can compete in the server market. You can be sure that, if there are people on staff that know Linux, there will be constant attempts to put Linux on desks.

    The article said, Linux boosters insist that if free downloads and pass-arounds were counted, that figure would be even higher; and they're probably right.

    Probably??? Certainly.

    Conversely, Linux managed only 1.5 percent of shipments in the desktop market in 2000. And that sliver is unlikely to grow in 2001.

    Except, of course, the Chinese and Thai and maybe Indian governments are switching to open source software, partly because they are afraid of possible back doors in U.S. software. Only the governments of 2 billion people. And some state and city governments in the United States. And... And...

    Desktop computer users care about what they can do on their machines. They want reliability, simplicity, access to popular software, and the ability to communicate easily with other users.

    More nonsense. Many work users have computers dedicated to one task. If they don't want that one task to crash, if they don't want Bill Gates coming around and deciding on new ways of abusing them, they can do what?

    As for its programs, Windows and Word sometimes drive me nuts.

    Is that because they are buggy and quirky, and have numerous security risks due to low-quality source code?


    Secret U.S. hostile action tries to enhance oil profits. See the new section, "Avoid the common mistakes" in What should be the Response to Violence?

    --
    Bush's education improvements were
  37. No Choice by _johnnyc · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I read the print version of this article, and while I enjoyed it, it has serious problems.

    First, he suggests that everyone would be better off if Linux (or any other open-source alternative) just gave up on trying to create a competitive desktop to Windows. The situation with BE makes it clear that there can be no commerical alternative to Windows that can succeed because of the MS monopoly, so open source solutions are IMHO the only choice. He suggests that Microsoft's Windows is and will always be the only choice on the desktop for consumers, and that trying to work on alternatives is a waste of time. In other words, let's just accept that MS are a monopolist and not try anymore. Having seen where KDE has come from in the last 3 years, I beg to differ.

    He also states that "The Linux desktop offers very little that could be considered plug-and-play.". He goes on to talk about the lack of drivers for scanners and digital cameras, not exactly the kind of peripherals everyone has with their PC. At any rate, I've installed hundreds of Windows and Linux PCs, and I can say with confidence that Linux is in fact more plug and play on hardware it supports than Windows is. With the 2.4 kernel, this situation is improved.

    With Windows, I install the hardware, boot the machine, install the driver, reboot the machine. Hopefully it'll work, and to be fair usually does. With Linux, I install the hardware, boot the machine. No fiddling with obnoxious drivers, no reboots.

    I've been very impressed with a distro like RH 7.1 in this regard. In my experience, a standard networked office PC is far easier to install with RH 7.1 than any Windows PC. Less time less hassle. As for digital cameras, I know a few who would beg to differ on their ease of installation in an OS like Win 98.

    Anyway, the article hasn't convinced me it's time to cede to Windows. Since I've used and supported both, I'd say that Microsoft's success will continue depend on the bundling of software like Windows Media and IE, not on its superior hardware support.

    To all you desktop developers out there - keep up the great work!

  38. Evangelism, etc. by Alien54 · · Score: 5, Insightful
    The thing is that the most effective tool to promote Linux is stuff that works well and delivers the goods. Delivers the goods means delivering what people want. This may be very different from the needs of a programmer, for example.

    This is one thing that MS is still working on after 20 years, with occasional interferance from marketing, and which they occasionally get right. Of course, their marketing department has often shaped what people want, but that is another story.

    If Linux evangelists insult the people they are trying to convert, then people will not convert. If they ram it down the throat of someone, then they object, just like people object against MS.

    Remember, to do better than MS you do not have to be as good as MS. You have to be many times better.

    --
    "It is a greater offense to steal men's labor, than their clothes"
  39. Re:War is over? by EisPick · · Score: 5, Interesting

    I disagree. Yes, Microsoft has vanquished its enemies, but it may have more trouble protecting itself from its own greed.

    What happens when Win98, ME and 2000 Workstation (or whatever they were calling it) are no longer for sale? I think consumers' calculus will change when only WinXP and its successors are on the market

    As Mitchell writes, consumers want "reliability, simplicity, access to popular software, and the ability to communicate easily with other users." But in XP these virtues are tangled up with Microsoft's efforts to force its online services down your throat.

    Redirecting all mailto: links to Hotmail instead of the registered mail editor is an obstacle to communicating easily. Forcing customers to download a Java VM does not enhance access to popular software. Forbidding reinstallation of the OS without calling Microsoft and proving that you own it isn't what I'd call simplicity.

    We all know the full list, and we all know that both consumers and CIOs are balking.

    Don't get me wrong, Linux has a long way to go to offer a viable alternative for the average luser. But I wouldn't be surprised to see a lot of people take a second look at MacOS and Linux after tangling with XP.

  40. wasn't this in that book with the people in it? by iomud · · Score: 3, Funny

    In the end there will be a great battle between good and evil, and evil will probably win.

  41. Dow 25,000 by W.B.+Yeats · · Score: 2, Funny

    Yeah, a couple of years ago Wired crowed about the soaring stock market and how it would never end because things were "different now." I think you can almost take Wired pronouncements, reverse thm, and have a pretty good look at the future.

    --

    And what rough beast, its hour come round at last,
    Slouches towards Bethlehem to be born?

  42. Here here!! by OMrsirhal · · Score: 2, Interesting

    "You are only a success for the moment you achieve something."
    Phil Jackson

    "Seems to me that there will come a point where a free operating system can do everything current OSes do, so the intuitive step is to ask 'Why when that happens will people pay for an OS instead?' - surely the burden is on people claiming linux will never win the desktop to answer that, even if that time is a year off or whatever."

    Most people don't now what success entails!
    no word processor = rubish operating system

    1. Re:Here here!! by W.B.+Yeats · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The only problem with your argument lies in this question:

      Why do people by Rolex instead of Timex?

      Our society is almost entirely based on branding. Why do people by Tide instead of Cheer? It's the same stuff!

      Buckminster Fuller had a lot to say about the loss of innovation to marketing -- I think things have only gotten worse since he died.

      Best,

      Bob

      --

      And what rough beast, its hour come round at last,
      Slouches towards Bethlehem to be born?

  43. His point is stupid by smartin · · Score: 2

    Basically he says that people should stop working on the Linux desktop because it has no hope of replacing windoze. As a Linux desktop user, sure i'd like to see everyone switch, but even if they don't i still want a good high quality desktop on a real O/S. Just because we may never make windows go away, is no reason to stop working on alternative packages.

    --
    The difference between Canada and the USA is that in Canada healthcare is a right and gun ownership is a privilege.
  44. "Microsoft is like a cuckoo bird..." by Futurepower(tm) · · Score: 2


    "Microsoft is like a cuckoo bird..."

    Excellent points.

    --
    Bush's education improvements were
  45. The war is over. Microsoft has won. by msheppard · · Score: 2

    I don't like this statement one bit. An analogy I would present is PalmOS vs. WindowsCE. Palm clearly had "won this war", but it clearly wasn't "OVER." WindowsCE is making slow progress in market share, and will probably overtake PalmOS eventually (opinion! I own a Palm, love it)

    I think the Desktop fight is a good fight and can be won by Linux. Everyone loves an underdog, but not everyone will fund one.

    M@

    --
    Krispy Cream is people
  46. If I Were that Technician's Supervisor... by OmniGeek · · Score: 2

    Then his grin would have been answered with "Hit the street right now. You're FIRED."

    Issues of OS "treason" or "loyalty" are secondary to getting one's job done in ANY company, and vaping a user's OS and legitimate data files without authorization is NEVER an appropriate action for an IT support person. This isn't an example of Linux fascism, but rather one of a loose cannon of a technician who is a danger to the company.

    Any info on how that scene actually played out?

    --

    "My strength is as the strength of ten men, for I am wired to the eyeballs on espresso."
  47. Re:Why Linux isn't on the desktop or never will be by Salamander · · Score: 2
    Sure, for example, we don't have an Office killer *currently*,

    ...and they've been trying for years. Linux attempts to compete with Office have so far not given Microsoft any reason to take them seriously, but if the Linux apps ever did become a serious threat you shouldn't think for a moment that MS will continue to stand still (as I feel they've been doing since at least Office 97). Remember Netscape? MS is perfectly capable of ignoring something for a long time, then suddenly turning their massive firepower on it when they feel the time is ripe to do so. They just haven't felt that the so-called Linux alternatives to Word, Excel, etc. have been worth wasting bullets on...yet.

    --
    Slashdot - News for Herds. Stuff that Splatters.
  48. Well, gee, did I miss a meeting or something? by Cat+Mara · · Score: 2, Insightful

    We're at war with Microsoft?! Holy cow, no-one ever tells me anything!

    Free clue to all would-be Web journos: when Linux made that comment about "world domination" all those years ago: he was joking. Really. He was pulling your wire. Jerking your chain. Taking the Michael. Extracting the urine.

    'Kay? 'Kay.

    No doubt it's a waste of brains and time to even bother refuting this windy gibberish, I'd like to make a few points.

    No-one has made money out of Linux and everyone who tries goes to the wall. To paraphrase Bill Hicks: non-Linux businesses go to the wall every day. Bob Cringely has reckoned that 90% of all businesses fail. The Linux has no innate monopoly on business smarts.

    A sizeable population of Linux advocates are foul-mouthed social inadequates. Again, so what? I had invective-laden ZX Spectrum/ C64 flamewars with my mates when I was eight years old. While there is a human race, there will always be bigots. Is it impolite? Yes. Is it unprofessional? Surely. Does it amount to two tugs of a dead dog's mickey in the long run? Nope.

    It's a war between Microsoft and Linux out there. Oh get a grip, you solipsistic little nonentity. Try to see beyond the VDU on your desk for a minute; in the light of recent events, your inflation of a trend within the IT sector to the status of a war are laughable and tasteless. Sure, there are the windbags on both sides of this MS-vs-Linux thing who read earth-shattering importance into everything, who think installing Linux on their PCs is some sort of subversive act. Nonsense.

    I use Linux because it suits my needs. I also use Windows and MacOS. I don't feel any desire to conquer the world. I don't feel like I'm part of some "war for the desktop". No sane person does.

    One wonders why WiReD bothered printing this giddy nonsense in the first place. Could it be that no self-respecting techie reads WiReD even though it likes to think of itself as the official organ of tech culture? Is that acid green they favour in their layouts really the colour of sour grapes?

  49. Spell Checker is Isolated Issue by msheppard · · Score: 2

    Regarding the Spell Checker comment, I can remember the days before the spell checker, when you either learned to spell, or learned to 'grep dict' and find the correct spelling yourself. I hope Linux Desktop tools don't get hurt trying to kow-tow to user weeknesses produced by Microsoft Tools. Maybe there's a better way.

    I'm not saying a spell checker is an unnecessary crutch, just that in general too much emphesis is being placed on MS features, without understanding their real need. "Becuase MS has it" is not a need.

    [Whiney Voice]Oh! Oh! Where are the nested queries! This tool SUX because there are no nested queries![/Whiney Voice]

    M@

    --
    Krispy Cream is people
  50. It ain't open source, inc by rpg25 · · Score: 2, Insightful


    I'm so glad that this has been posted to Slashdot! I'd been meaning to write a letter to Wired about this but was too lazy to get it done before the next issue came out....


    The article has the Open Source movement all wrong. The author treats the Linux desktop issue as if it were IBM versus Microsoft, not Open Source versus Microsoft.The author spends most of the article lamenting that the Open Source movement is wasting its energies worrying about the desktop, when Microsoft owns it.


    To put things in more pompous terms, the author spends a lot of time bemoaning the opportunity cost of spending time on the Linux desktop, and claiming that this time should all be spent on the server market.


    This shows a total failure to understand the Open Source movement. The Open Source movement is not Open Source, Inc. Linus, Eric, RMS, or whoever is your pick for Open Source, Inc. CEO can't just say "yo! KDE-boy, toss in the towel on this desktop thing and spend more time on the server!" or "yo! I know you want to make a totally excellent system for tracking your MP3's, but you should be improving Apache, instead!"


    People write Open Source software because they want to improve the tools that they use all the time. People who use desktops will want to improve the desktops and people who use servers will want to improve servers. And those people are not fungible --- they can't just be reassigned. And I think ESR's spot-on in the book when he talks about the fact that a lot of the quality of good Open Source software comes from the fact that people can't be reassigned to projects they don't give a rip about. People are passionate about the software they write, so they try to make it good.


    The author's failure to understand this key fact about Open Source makes his whole perspective into nonsense.


    The article might make sense as an argument about what Open Source packagers should be doing, but even there, the packagers are largely driven by software producers.

  51. "popular" software by Kailden · · Score: 2

    All this work, and ... it doesn't matter. Desktop computer users care about what they can do on their machines. They want reliability,
    check
    simplicity,
    getting a heck of a lot better---linux is worlds simpler than it used to be
    access to popular software,
    This seems extremely short-sighted to me. How can linux desktop software become "popular" until linux desktops become more popular? cygwin, maybe?
    and the ability to communicate easily with other users.
    check.

    --
    I need a TiVo for my car. Pause live traffic now.
  52. Article was very flawed by pubjames · · Score: 5, Interesting

    I read the original article (bigger than the online version) and I can only say it was a very flawed piece.

    He started of recounting the story of some jerk tech. admin that deleted Windows and all other files off one of his companies staff laptops and installed linux. He then used this as one of his arguments as to why Linux wasn't going to succeed. How clever is that?

    These are the facts as far as I can see them:

    A new process has come in to the world. That process is called the open source development model. This allows commercial quality software to be developed by diverse entities around the world. These entities can be individuals, public bodies and governments or companies with an interest in the particular piece of software. Each can make a small contribution to a larger project. The software created is often distributed for free.

    Because of this, it is very unlikely that there will ever be an Open Source software company with Microsoft's level of turnover. However, Open Source Software is not dependent upon any particular company for its success and is not reliant on anyone making a particularly great profit from it. More important are the savings that people can make from it.

    The Open Source Development model has only really gained momentum over the last few years. In that time, some projects have demonstrated an increadible rate of development. Although it is true to say that many Open Source project still lag behind their commercial equivalents, the rate of progress of these projects suggests that this won't be the case for long.

    Microsoft makes the majority of its profits selling an office suite and several operating systems.

    It is now trying to change its licensing model to one of rental, rather than one-off payment, because the software is just about mature and there is increasingly little incentive for most businesses and organisations to upgade. The change makes Microsoft software an on-going cost for businesses, even though new releases do not add much in terms of essential new functionality for most busnesses.

    Therefore, Microsoft's core business - the products that make most of its profits - are under threat from a new process. Just as new processes during the industrial revolution completely destroyed certain previously profitable businesses, so will new processes, such as the Open Source Development model, destroy certain types of buiness. Microsoft is likely to be one of those buinesss. In the long term, it is impossible for any business to seriously compete with free equivalent products.

    Arguments like "Linux isn't ready for the desktop", "Dell decided not to ship Linux on the desktop", "What about support?" are all short term issues. Think big picture. Think long term. Think worldwide. Think fundamentals.

    Microsoft is doomed unless it can radically change its business to something completely different, and maintain it current turnover levels, which from where I'm sitting looks like a practically impossible trick to pull off.

    And hey, I'm typing this in IE on Windows 2000, I'm not a Microsoft hater. It's just I think the world is changing and there's not much Microsoft can do about it.

  53. Why does linux have to win? by Ars-Fartsica · · Score: 2
    My use and enjoyment of linux does not detract from the use and enjoyment of XP or OSX users. Linux developers are happily creating software for their own enjoyment - how is this enjoyment diminshed by someone else using another OS?

    I don't think anyone is disputing that Microsoft has won the majority of desktop users, but the issue is, who cares?

  54. Lose what? by jotaeleemeese · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Some people just don't get it: Linux is not about market share, Linux is not about wining anything, Linux is not about profits.

    Linux is about choice.

    The day one gets tired of MS you can try something else: it can or can't be what you want or need (I don't need an spell checker for instance, you people can suffer my English ;-) ) but it is there for you to try.

    Does it work for you? Great, you are welcome. It does not? Bad luck, let us know and we will try to help. Can you program? Can you translate? Can you write documentation? Then would you like to help improve the thing?

    And what is the brilliant alternative? Do nothing? Is this person suggesting to abandon the project of desktop computing in the hands of a company that has been deemed acted ilegaly? Uh, no thanks. In particular poor countries can't afford this alternative.

    If there are companies and individuals out there trying to make a living out of Linux, great. If they can't make money that means their busniess models are flawed, not that Linux is flawed.

    It is really an insult to the intelligence of many brilliant people to assume that the Open Source programmers will never manage to produce something "user friendly" (like if Windows was, all those "Windows for Dummies" or "Learn Office in
    24 hours" books are telling the real history: MS products are also difficult to use).

    Dismiss this thing as mostly nonsense. It has some marginal value for any company that
    wishes to make money with Linux in the user's desktop. For anybody else it amounts to little more than a rant written by somebody that is angry at an incompetent IT person in its company.

    --
    IANAL but write like a drunk one.
  55. My home is not an enterprise by Ars-Fartsica · · Score: 2

    I use linux with KDE at home as my primary desktop. When I am using that computer I am not thinking about what the CFOs of America think.

  56. Re:Why Linux isn't on the desktop or never will be by zulux · · Score: 5, Informative

    Were alrady there for some userse - I'm a consultant for a bunch of small businesses, and have been replacing the "front desk" computer operating systems with Mandrake 8.0 in KDE mode and AbiWord. The secretary types love it becuse they can't "break the computer" and they don't loose work. Just make sure your printer is supported with CUPS and away you go. Granted, the Linux desktop can't replace the whole MS-Office desktop, but in actuall use (for the correct type of user) I've had great sucuess with the above.

    --

    Moneyed corporations, non-working 'poor' and criminal prisoners are turning productive citizens into tax-slaves.

  57. Advocacy is killing us by Junks+Jerzey · · Score: 5, Interesting

    The simple, most basic fact of Linux on the desktop, is that that great majority of users fit a certain profile:

    1. College student or fairly recent college graduate.
    2. Strongly dislikes Microsoft.

    Now, now, this is a blatant stereotype, but there is truth to it (heck, I thought geeks would hate Star Trek and for being mass market, condescending, and that people _expect_ geeks to like it, but Star Trek threads on Slashdot can get more than a thousand postings).

    Students tend to use computers in fairly simple ways: browsing the web, playing MP3s, writing papers, doing programming assignments, playing games, exploring free software. Now keeping this in mind, when you see such a person zealously proclaim that The Gimp is superior to Photoshop for graphic arts work, you have to stop and wonder. So on the one side you have people with much passion but limited to no experience arguing that an open source program is just as good as a commercial offering. On the other side you have professional graphic artists who put The Gimp and Photoshop side by side and are stunned that they're even bothering which such a comparison.

    The bottom line, for me, is that we should be seeing much less Linux advocacy than we currently do. If I met someone who ran a small business and later found out he used Linux or some open source software for some tangible reasons, then this would be interesting food for thought. But when I see threads like this:

    A: I find it disturbing that a number of popular e-commerce sites don't work under Linux, either because Mozilla doesn't render them properly or because they require Windows-only tech, like ActiveX scripting.
    B: Bah! I don't _need_ to go to sites that that! F**k em!

    Then I realize that "B" isn't someone who uses computers. He's someone who dinks around and has a chip on his shoulder and shouldn't be listened to. Sadly, there's the impression that a majority of Linux users are like B.

    1. Re:Advocacy is killing us by MattW · · Score: 2

      I've been using Linux since 1996 as a server, but didn't switch my primary desktop use to it until 1999. (Enlightenment: too cool to pass up, and staroffice could spawn attachments from inside mutt). But there are more people that you know. I was on a flight a while back, from Austin to San Jose, maybe a year or 18 months ago, and some guy sitting next to me booted up...gnome! I started talking to him about it, and learned he was the founder of a EE firm that was doing advanced package design (package, in this parlance, being the EE work of designing a chip), and the whole firm was on Linux, using gnome, and doing their design in xfig, and he thought it was saving them a ton of money, not only in hardware (not buying win*, visio, etc), but in TCO, saying they had a lot less problems, etc.

      Is that typical? Probably not. Meanwhile, I love my linux box and its infinite flexibility. Because I interact with so many other heterogenous environments, the fact that I have all the power of the linux kernel (ever use iproute2?) at my fingertips, along with the security of not being constantly under assault by viruses and having built-in firewalling, means that I get more done in less time. One would figure that EE exec thought the same.

      The author of the original article complained about StarOffice -- but I'm the end user. I type on it, I print it or mail it, and I've never noticed any problems. The people I know maintaining high quality web sites don't do it with Word, that's for sure.

      Certainly, some things have a ways to go. The Gimp is cool, I use it, but I know photoshop is simply easier/more powerful, especially for a novice. And I have a $2000 windows box just so I can play games. If there was just one MUST HAVE game that only ran under linux, it would turn the whole PC market on its head. Everyone would be getting at least a dual boot running to play it, and then there would suddenly be a huge untapped market for linux apps -- if the OSS alternatives didn't meet the need, commercial developers might come in. Photoshop for linux anyone?

    2. Re:Advocacy is killing us by infiniti99 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Now keeping this in mind, when you see such a person zealously proclaim that The Gimp is superior to Photoshop for graphic arts work...

      First, I know a professional graphic artist, and the problem he has with the Gimp is mainly the UI. I'd imagine any "zealot" who recommends the Gimp is probably a fan of GTK and has no trouble getting around. Sorry, I don't use either program so I can't really can't elaborate. Second, how many people actually own Photoshop? Everyone recommending Photoshop is completely ignoring the fact that it costs hundreds of dollars. Maybe because no one pays for it? Hardly a fair comparison. It's funny how many people use Windows 2000 as their home desktop (and recommend it) yet did not pay for it. My theory is that it's a close second to Photoshop as the most pirated program. Folks, cost matters and should be part of your final decision. If someone can save hundreds of dollars by using the Gimp, then maybe they just might want to get used to the UI. Don't just toy with gimp for 30 seconds and say "ugh, I can't stand this. Time to reboot back to my pirated Win2k and Photoshop". Give it a chance.

      Phew. :) * End of rant *

      B: Bah! I don't _need_ to go to sites that that! F**k em!
      Then I realize that "B" isn't someone who uses computers.


      And what is a person supposed to do then? There are certain sites that you can't access if you're using a Mac. Should the person just throw the computer out and get a Windows box? People use what they use.

    3. Re:Advocacy is killing us by Junks+Jerzey · · Score: 2

      Everyone recommending Photoshop is completely ignoring the fact that it costs hundreds of dollars. Maybe because no one pays for it?

      Sure, and that's why Adobe was driven out of business (sarcasm).

    4. Re:Advocacy is killing us by Junks+Jerzey · · Score: 2

      Everyone recommending Photoshop is completely ignoring the fact that it costs hundreds of dollars. Maybe because no one pays for it?

      I should add that this is a _typical_ college student viewpoint. "I have no money, therefore no one else does either."

      The crux of my argument is that college students should not be vocal Linux advocates, because they have insufficient experience to advocate the use of one operating system over another for professional use.

    5. Re:Advocacy is killing us by sheldon · · Score: 2

      "I'm a university student at the moment"

      I think you just proved his point for him, rather than disputed it.

  58. It lost a long time ago by heroine · · Score: 2

    The last time anyone designed a board with the intention of supporting Linux drivers for it was 1998. There was a time we thought winmodems were bad. Not many slashdotters remember what a winmodem is but since 1998 every piece of hardware can be considered specifically designed for Windows. Not that not having desktops which can run Linux is bad. When was the last time anyone wrote a story about a desktop PC?

  59. What it boils down to... by sterno · · Score: 5, Insightful

    There are far too many applications companies who have a vested interest in a vendor neutral operating system. They all know that Microsoft has totally taken over the desktop and that they are slowly infiltrating the server market. And since Microsoft likes to bundle applications together, they slowly drive companies like Oracle, Sun, and IBM to the periphery.

    I'm certain that if any of those companies could have Microsoft's dominance of the O/S, they'd jump at it in a heart beat. But since they know that won't happen, having a standard that nobody dominates is a far cry better.

    --
    This sig has been temporarily disconnected or is no longer in service
  60. This From Wired by Greyfox · · Score: 2
    The undisputed masters of look and feel. I stopped reading their rag after about the third issue, but they still hurt my eyes when I spot them on the stands at the locak B&N.

    I've seen users use UNIX with a hell of a lot less desktop environment than you can get with Linux. Take away the nastiness of actually setting the system up and I find the level of Linux user friendliness to be about comparable to Windows. Given that, saving a couple of hundred million a year in Windows licensing fees should be pretty compelling to just about any CIO.

    --

    I'm trying to teach myself to set people on fire with my mind... Is it hot in here?

  61. Microsoft is Free Software by dilute · · Score: 2, Insightful

    For many if not most users in the world, Microsoft is free software. That is about to change, now that new MS releases are starting to enforce software that only works for the paid-for and registered installation.

    This is going to be a sea change in the economics, folks.

    When people find out that they really have to pay big bucks to have multiple copies (not to mention their OWN copies) of MS operating systems and applications on their various desktops, laptops, iPAQs, X-boxes, etc., and that they keep having to pay big bucks each time one of these is upgraded, they will quickly lose enthusiasm, no matter HOW user friendly and convenient Windows, MS Office, etc. seems to be. Maybe this gets moderated by reduced prices and incremental charges for services delivered over the Net, but it will still amount to a new and substantial drain of green dollars from the consumer to Microsoft.

    As interested as I am in what I read of Windows XP and Office XP, I can't justify spending the money when there are so many other and better ways I could spend the same money (e.g., hardware upgrades, or even non-computer purchases) and just use Linux, Mozilla and OpenOffice.

    I suspect many others will feel the same way, especially given the next year or so of relatively hard times that we all seem to be facing.

    The coming months, in fact, is the time for Linux really to make some major strides on the Desktop.

  62. Go down to the seashore by wirefarm · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Go down to the seashore and declare a war against the sea. Bill did that just as the tide began to recede, so it looked as though he was winning. But after a while, you realize that how matter how much you kick at the waves, it has no effect.
    It's a waiting game and we don't have that long to wait...

    Cheers,
    Jim

    --
    -- My Weblog.
    1. Re:Go down to the seashore by Gautama · · Score: 5, Insightful

      >Go down to the seashore and declare a war against the sea. Bill did that just as the tide began to recede, so it looked as though he was
      >winning. But after a while, you realize that how matter how much you kick at the waves, it has no effect.
      >It's a waiting game and we don't have that long to wait...

      Very nice. I have to admit that I like your metaphores.

      But,
      you really don't get it, do you?
      Applause for the form aside, you've missed a few key factors in your wishful thinking:

      Windows works. We may not like it, we may despise their business practices, and we may yearn for the desktop revolution, but the fact remains that Windows serves the purposes of the masses.

      Many of the more vocal Linux advocates are condecending and snotty. Not the majority, but by far, the all-to-yappy minority of Linux evangelists I've had to deal with did little more than alienate me.

      Yes, there are plenty of security problems with MS OS's; but remember, no OS is perfect. A system is only as secure as it's allowed to be, and exploits pop up quicker than boils on a whore's bum. If you do think your OS has no flaws, you most likely need to patch like crazy. Nothing with an OS is perfectly secure.

      Waiting game? What are you waiting for, exactly? Linux is not going to replace MS on the desktop ever. Don't get me wrong, I wouldn't mind it happening (I'm as disgusted by MS's heavy-handed strategies as the next guy around here.) but given their proprietary file formats and universal hardware support, it ain't gonna happen without some major paradigm shifts.

      Of course, these sentiments are going to get me modded down as "Troll", but I really don't care.
      As an IT worker that deals with both MS and *nix worksations and servers on a regular basis, I think my opinion counts for something.

    2. Re:Go down to the seashore by cylab · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Waiting game? What are you waiting for, exactly? Linux is not going to replace MS on the desktop ever.

      why do you think ? linux strength is its steady growth. but not in the market share, but in participant developers. the only thing that can stop linux is a breakdown of its idealism. only if the developers dont want to code for linux anymore, it can loose.

      but this wont happen, because of one thing: its fun! developers for linux feel a satisfaction by participating the movement. you have a change to get heard and to do things that matters.... and you wont be bashed by your boss if it doesnt work. you dont have the pressure to get things done. you can even stop coding and you are fine.... maybe another coder put your idea further.

      so how can a company with limited resources compete with a community with virtually infinite resources ? in the community a project wont stop because of lack of resources. a project stops only depends on personal interest. you cant hurt an enemy, that does not feel pain, thats what linus ment by saying he dont care...

      in the end you cant even compare windows and linux. windows is product and linux is way of life. you can hit some water molecules, but you cant hit the sea...

    3. Re:Go down to the seashore by ralmeida · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Linux is not going to replace MS on the desktop ever.

      I've been thinking about this lately. How many people do you know that changed from Windows to Linux, or other open OS? I can count at least three or four, directly influenced by me; and of one them is already making the minds of his students (he's a teacher). Besides these four, I know around 10 or so people that never used Windows again.

      Now count how many people switched from Linux to Windows. I mean switched, not gone back. I never heard of anyone who used Linux for a year at least and said "Well, I think I'll use this Windows OS, it's much better! No more Linux."

      What I mean is: the number of people who use Linux is growing; slowly, but steady. And Linux users, at least those that I know, talk about Linux to other people, and try to convince them so they will at least give a try.

      One problem arises: I don't have the figures, but I belive more newbies start using Windows than Linux. So, although the total number of Linux users keeps growing, I don't know if the proportion to Windows users is keeping the same step.

      Of course this means we should bring new users to Linux. Show them the new KDE 2.2, pretty apps, tell them that they are immune to virus/virii/viruses. Though I don't use it, I personally like KDE very much, specially for newbies. I've been wanting to install Linux for my family for a while, but the problem is always the same: my father receives MS Word documents all the time.

      I'll think I'll take a look at the latest OpenOffice beta. :)

      (WTF is an invalid form key?)

      --
      This space left intentionally blank.
  63. The guy is missing the point by rycamor · · Score: 2, Insightful

    KDE and Gnome are NOT Linux.

    When will people understand that the desktop is not the OS, and the applications are not the desktop? KDE and Gnome can work on any Unix-standardized computer. In fact, theoretically, KDE at least (not sure about Gnome) can even be the desktop on a Windows system.

    The real struggle here is not about whether Linux or Microsoft "gets" the desktop, but about what computing environment people will use in the future. I agree with many of Russ Mitchell's points about the lack of standardization and integration for desktop apps in Linux.

    There is a good possibility that all of this argument over a good Office clone such as Koffice will be a moot point in another few years. More and more companies are moving to web-based apps as their computing environments, because there are some clear advantages:

    1. The whole application can be controlled and updated from one central point; the server room.
    2. Glitches, crashes and bugs on individual users' computers are less problematic, and less likely to cause serious downtime.
    3. preventing loading of local files does away with trojan virus proliferation. (how many times have you chased a virus around a corporate network, because idiots keep downloading the same attachment)
    4. It is much easier to keep track of realtime company statistics.
    5. A clear case of separating presentation from business logic.
    6. The client OS can be anything with a valid web browser.
    7. The application can even scale to small devices such as handhelds.
    8. Tokens can be used to pass a users's application state from one client to another quite easily. Output a report at the office, finish editing your report at home, review it from your handheld on the subway, etc...

    There are many other benefits to consider; this is just the beginning. I know that there are both pros and cons to this argument, and not every app should be web-based, but a significant amount (majority) can and will be. The web browser will in a way "become" the desktop. Will Microsoft win this war? Maybe, but maybe my prediction for the future will come true:

    1. The browser will become ubiquitous. It will eventually be in everything, in some form or another, because it is such a usefull information tool. This means other devices besides what is traditionally called a computer. Microsoft will lose here, because most "net appliances" or web-connected devices do not run Windows.

    2. Maybe Netscape or Mozilla will not be giants of the web browser world, but the technologies they have made as Open Source will. Already the Gecko DHTML rendering engine (which is the core of mozilla) has been used in several other web browsers. It provides to any other browser developer the benefit of NOT having to re-invent the wheel. Gecko has been ported to just about any operating system you can imagine.

    3. The graphical user interface we have become used to will gradually merge with the browser. Most user interfaces on all operating systems now have some form of window/mouse interface, so it is just natural to follow this shift. Also, almost every computer or net device will run some sort of internal webserver, to handle its own GUI and to serve data out as defined by users and software.

    4. Eventually we will not think in terms of a thing called a "browser" but in terms of what type of information needs to be rendered in what way, with something like XHTML being the underlying basis for all other data rendered to human-readable format. Along with this we will be using XML, XSL, XML-RPC, SOAP, etc... And Javascript/ECMAscript will be the basis of client-side dynamic manipulation of data.

    5. During this time, Microsoft will repeatedly try to derail the open standards process by introducing minor changes into the way its XHTML rendering software or it's ECMAscript-parsing software works, but they will keep having to return to the standards as they are embraced by most other companies.

    6. In the end it won't matter who makes what browser, as long as it follows the open standards. The rendering of XHTML/Javascript will become as intrinsic a part of the operating system as the concept of "files" and "directories" are now. It will matter who makes the server, though. And here is where open source *nix (Linux/*BSD) will WIN.

    7. It will be a good life for those of us programmers who know scripting languages and open standards and ways to tie all this stuff together. It will also be a good life for the "heavy-duty" programmers who can advance the core server-side applications. VB/Delphi/{insert your IDE} programmers might not be so lucky.

    Whattaya think?

  64. I agree, but... by Futurepower(tm) · · Score: 2


    I agree with what you said, Jon, but some people are moving to Linux nevertheless. It's good to focus, not on what cannot be done now, but on what CAN be done.

    Check out this Linux success story: The "semi-official" distribution of the K12Linux Project. Here is a quote from that site:

    "The Multnomah Education Service District has successfully moved most of it's core network services to Linux. Linux powers dns, dhcp, mail relays, proxy servers, web filters, and directory services for the 45,000 administrators, teachers, and students within our agency and the school districts we support . For our agency and a couple of our districts, Linux powers the web, mail, ftp, and file servers. Tickled with our success, we have started work on putting Linux workstations in the classroom. More on that to come!" [my emphasis]

    Check out this site about putting Linux workstations in the classroom:

    K-12Linux Project.

    Here is a quote:

    "We have FREE Xeon and Celeron processors to give to schools participating in STRUT and K12LTSP. See the applications page for more information."


    U.S. government corruption: What should be the Response to Violence?

    --
    Bush's education improvements were
    1. Re:I agree, but... by jonabbey · · Score: 2

      Thanks, that cheers me up considerably. ;-)

      <tangent>

      I wish Luke Howard and his band of merry men every success in their Active Directory cloning work, Project XAD. Microsoft is genuinely pushing the state of the art of directory services and management forward (at least relative to the UNIX world, I haven't been much exposed to Novell's stuff), it would just be nice if they had the confidence in their stuff to document their protocols the way that Sun does.

      Of course, Sun sells big boxes with electronics stuff in them, and Microsoft doesn't sell anything but bits. (Sooper SECRET bits).

      </tangent>
  65. A Different View by SomeOtherGuy · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Saying that desktop installs (of Linux) will not grow in the future is a very big mistake. 1 Reason I will give is like this: More than 1/2 of "desktop" users are finding that most of their work is happening via a browser and email client. Up until recentlly it is a well known fact that linux lagged WAY behind in the Browser market....but anyone using Galeon, Konq, or even the commercial Opera....can see that the gap is closing FAST....It took a few years to get here...but in those few years the browser has taken over the desktop....now the main (not only) thing Linux needs to compete is a simple browser...and the time of a level playing field in rendering HTML pages is drawing near.

    --
    (+1 Funny) only if I laugh out loud.
  66. Re:War is for journalists - not for operating syst by Eimi+Metamorphoumai · · Score: 2
    Its kind of like saying "that great little restaurant on the corner is going to take out McDonalds".
    Actually, it reminds me a lot of that. I keep hearing people tell me "Why are you still eating there? Can't you see that the restaurant wars are over, and you've lost on the lunch? Stick to catering where you have a chance." And every day, I eat food that's immensely cheaper, healthier, and tastier than MSDonalds, and can't see why anyone else would willingly do any differently. Saying that Microsoft will win on the desktop is like saying that McDonalds is winning for lunch, and therefore all other restaurants should just give up.

    I use what works for me.

    --

    Visit me on #weirdness on the Galaxynet.

  67. Linux has declined for at least 4 years by Jeppe+Salvesen · · Score: 2

    if you have been paying attention in the media. Linux this, Linux that. Never gonna make it. Too hard. Not supported enough. Flawed business model. You know the drill by now.

    Folks - we should just do what we do best - continue to write great code. That is what has proven the critics wrong in the first place!

    --

    Stop the brainwash

  68. MS Stock Implosion by bryanbrunton · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The biggest weapon that will smite the mighty Microsoft corporate juggernaut is its own accounting practices.

    Microsoft's earnings declined from 6.5 billion two quarter's ago to the just released 6.1 billion results from the previous quarter. A decline from quarter to quarter in Microsoft's earnings hasn't occured in a VERY long time. Microsoft hasn't seen a decrease in earnings like this since their pre-DOS days. We have just witnessed the ebbing of the largest and fastest growing company that has ever existed.

    Now we all know that tech earnings across the board are down, but no other company depends like Microsoft on steadily increasing stock valuations. Even given the decrease in PC shipments, we have seen the launch of Microsoft's new licensing model and the launch of Office XP (many months ago) have a neglible affect on their bottom line.

    Look at their numbers in markets outside the US. In every market outside the US their earnings really tanked this quarter. Without the corporate US licensing market to prop it up, Microsoft wold be in even more serious pain.

    The simple fact of the matter is if Microsoft's stock doesn't keep going up, BAD things will happen to it. It will probably need to pay out three to four billion in ill advised put options. Microsoft is going to have a hard time retaining staff as they don't pay their people worth a SH*T. Its more than obvious to their staff and to the investment community that Microsoft is no longer a high growth company. If they finally are forced to pay their people what they are worth, their earnings will tank even further.

    What's really funny is that Microsoft predicted 7.1 billion revenue for the current, just started, quarter. This is clearly based on BIG sales of XP and XBox. If either of those products don't do well, and neither is looking like it can makes those numbers at this point, then no one will be wanting to hold MSFT stock come Dec. 30.

  69. Re:Why Linux isn't on the desktop or never will be by dvdeug · · Score: 2

    What can Microsoft do? They can't afford to give MS Office away. MS Office isn't standing still because they don't care (in all fairness, they've done amazing stuff on the Unicode/multilingualization side recently), but because MS Office 97 does everything most people could want. Once you've caught up to MS Office, where are they going to go? Add an AI to write your papers?

  70. Re:Why Linux isn't on the desktop or never will be by Cato · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The Red Hat techie who erased her files was irresponsible and stupid - you don't win people over by switching them without consultation, and particularly not by erasing people's data. However, it's unlikely that this would ever happen outside a Linux-only culture, so it's hardly applicable to the rest of the world. One idiot does not make a trend...

    Linux evangelism needs a lot of work on subtle and effective techniques (as opposed to flaming), but this is not really a good example.

    The biggest stimulus to Linux on the desktop is Microsoft's recent squeezing of its installed based for more revenue through changes to its licensing model - there are several local government and police organisations in the UK that are going to save millions of pounds through switching to Linux.

  71. Forget "winning"; Linux plays a vital role anyway by dcavanaugh · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Without Linux & OSS, just imagine how restricive M$ would be with their products and business practices. Some people think M$ can't get much worse, but I think it can. M$ would make XP a mandatory immediate upgrade AND enforce product registration COMBINED WITH the rentware provisions of "Software Assurance" were it not for the threat of Linux desktops.

    MS Office at $2000 per seat? Aside from Star Office and other OSS projects, what stops M$ from doing this?

    I think Linux/open source can dictate features that M$ must include to keep pace. In effect, Linux can prevent M$ from breaking out each "feature" into a distinct product and revenue stream. Example: If Linux was not already doing IP masquerade, you would not see "connection sharing" thrown in as a freebie with Windows.

    Linux & OSS do not have to "win" the game, they simply have to maintain pressure on M$.

    The article states that M$ has won the desktop battle. I see plenty of weakness in M$'s position. Consider their diminishing upgrade rate with each new product release. The XP licensing practices border on desperation to lock people into the upgrade treadmill. As I see it, XP is the beginning of the end for M$.

    Winning the battle and holding onto victory are two different concepts.

  72. Copy of an email sent to the writer by Trilaka · · Score: 2, Interesting


    Well, undoubtedly this email address is being flooded with a deluge of flame mail (unless this community has suddenly decided to mind their manners, which, frankly, I doubt), but I hope this message gets through to you.

    Now whether you posted this article merely as flamebait, or you actually believe the statements that you are making, I would like to present a very simple argument to the contrary.

    Basically, if I get the point of your article correctly (and please correct me if I am in error) you are making the claim that you want open source computing to succeed. And for open source computing to succeed it is important for Linux to concede defeat on the desktop. You make the claim that too much time and energy is going into desktop software for Linux when Linux still only has a 1.5% marketshare in desktop computer shipments. You say that the community should focus its efforts on the server side where they currently hold a 27% market share. You make the basic claim that by supporting an effort that is doing very dismal (and getting worse) in marketshare, they are risking their substantial marketshare in another market. Sure, that is a very valid argument for any corporation. By putting too much resources in a product that is dying, a corporation can sacrifice their flagship product. But the Linux, and the larger open source community isn't a corporation--its a community. Yes, there are companies that are betting their farms on making Linux grab more marketshare, and many, if not most, of these corporations are focusing on Linux on the desktop, but the Linux community doesn't need these corporations to survive. Granted, these corporations and the economic support they offer are a great boon to the community, and I have seen Linux take leaps and bounds forward in the last couple years, much farther than it would have gone without this support, but the community will not die with the corporations. The community isn't about market share, (granted, most people within the community seem to forget this very simple fact, leading to flamewars between the KDE/Gnome camps, etc) it's about choices.

    I use Linux. I have been an avid Linux user for over four years. I have only purchased a couple distributions of Linux in that time (most I purchased as gifts for other people). I have never purchased a desktop computer that came installed with Linux...heck, I've never even purchased a desktop computer. I've purchased motherboards, and DIMMs, and CPUs and cases, and fans and 3D graphics cards etc, and I have downloaded gigabytes upon gigabytes of free source code to build compilers, and GUIs, and utilities, etc. Why do I do this? Is it because I'm waging a war against Microsoft, and I am determined to send the company out of business and put Linux on every computer that ships from now on? No. I don't care about what happens to the majority of computers that are shipped. If someone wants to pay for and use Microsoft software, that is their choice. But I refuse, steadfastly refuse, to let the choice of whether or not to use Microsoft software be taken away from me. And there are others with me. Others that refuse to let their choices be taken from them. Others who don't want to accept the lesser of two evils. Others who would rather work on building something good. I want to work on building something good. And, when I am done building, I will give this away to my neighbors, so that they too may benefit from my hard work, and so that they may respect me for my generosity, and for the quality of work that I do. Or they may help me to improve the quality of my work, and allow me to benefit from theirs.

    Yes some develop server software, some develop OS software, but many, many these days are writing desktop software. Software meant only to help your average computer user use their computer more simply and effectively. You said all this work doesn't matter. I'm here to tell you it does. It matters to me. It matters to those with me who are doing the work. It enriches our community, opens its doors to new members, and helps free us all from the shackles of corporate doctrine. Will our community necessarily grow to dominate the world? Honestly, I hope so, but it isn't necessary. Whether the world joins with us or not, we will still be here.

    I refuse to let my choices be taken from me. I am willing to work to maintain my freedom of choice, and I am willing to allow others to benefit from my work, so that I too may benefit from theirs. But above all, I refuse to let Microsoft convince me that I need them more than they need me. They have no power over me. They are the corporation. They are the ones concerned with growing or shrinking market share. I could care less. I don't need market share. I have a community, and we are already a success.

  73. Unfortunately True ... by LoudMusic · · Score: 5, Interesting

    I have to admit that about 2/3 through the article I stopped reading, because I've heard it all before, and it's all very true. If I look at my friends around me I see them doing the same thing. A couple of them have removed Windows and installed a sloppy install of Linux on their parents' computers, and a few sysadmin friends that I have have even done the same at work (resulting in nearly getting terminated).

    If the Linux community as a whole would like to see Linux succeed in more than small shop servers and geek workstations, someone is going to have to spread the word that Linux can't be forced on those that don't want it.

    Lets relate it to the Christian movement. What do we call Christians that won't leave us along in elevators and in lines at fast food? Turbo Christian Bible Thumbers. They irritate the crap out of me, AND I'M A CHRISTIAN! They're going about it wrong. Christ didn't bug the crap out of people about "Hey look at me, I'm the son of God, w00t!". No, he meerly lead by example. Geeks can do the same quite easily, and I've seen a few examples.

    Run Linux on your computer, make it rock solid and bad ass. People will notice and want to give it a try, even if it's just surfing the web on your Linux Mozilla browser. Help them, but don't trash talk Microsoft or Apple in the processes. If they ask what you like about Linux (and they will), tell them the possitive things about Linux, but don't *compare* it to anything else. Just say what you like without trash talking something else. You might even want to point out a few of the problems it has, but mention that Linus and Alan are working on those things, *with help from the ENTIRE LINUX COMMUNITY*. Maybe that will light a bulb in their brain that shows them the difference between open source and ... ahem ... other operating systems that we all know have problems, but we have to sit and wait for an individual group to fix (:

    And yes ... Linux in its current incarnation is for the geek community. My Mom and Dad would be so pissed if I took their Windows away. Just about everyone where I work would be outraged if I took Windows/Office away and replaced it with Linux/OpenOffice. Right now it just doesn't get the job done like Windows can. Give it time, all good things come to those who wait. The geek community needs to chill for a little while and let the OS and software get up to 'desktop snuff' before we take on giants like Microsoft.

    ~LoudMusic

    --
    No sig for you. YOU GET NO SIG!
    1. Re:Unfortunately True ... by MtViewGuy · · Score: 2

      I think the biggest problem with Linux is the fact that with a few notable exceptions, Linux is not as easy to install, configure and update as Windows 95/98/ME/2000/XP is now.

      In my personal opinion, Linux needs right now to start gravitating towards a single unified API, GUI, web browser, etc.--in short, overall OS standardization. This saves a lot of headaches because programming for Linux becomes much easier for everyone involved.

      Also, Linux needs to support true automatic configuration like ACPI; that way, when you plug in new devices driver installation becomes automatic or very close to it using on-screen menus.

      Finally, I wish somebody at Sun or Oracle will just put up some serious money to open a research lab to do usability improvements in Linux akin to Microsoft's excellent Usability Lab. Think about it: the reason why Microsoft programs have for the most part a polished feel for its GUI is because Microsoft spends many, many hours in their Usability Lab with users of varying levels of computer expertise inside and outside Microsoft to determine how to set up the interface correctly. In a slightly lesser manner, Apple does pretty much the same thing with the MacOS GUI; I'm sure the MacOS X Aqua interface was refined over a couple of years of testing by Apple reseachers and outside testers.

      In areas when the GUI is not so important, Linux has made major inroads, primarily in servers where flexibility of administration and excellent security are a must. In fact, until the Linux crowd spends some serious money to improve the end user experience, Linux will primarily be an operating system for servers and high-end workstations.

  74. The War isn't *just* Linux vs. Microsoft by Melantha_Bacchae · · Score: 2, Interesting

    If it was, then Linux would have to win the war on every front, especially the desktop. But Linux is far from alone in this fight. It has allies.

    The strongest ally of Linux is the one taking the desktop front: OS X. Unlike Linux, it does successfully bring Unix to the average desktop (no dishonor to Linux there - before Apple, no one had managed that feat). Also, unlike Linux, it has commercial apps begging to be ported over. It can run existing Mac apps (with Classic), Windows (Virtual PC), Linux apps (Virtual PC and X on X with a recompile), and Java apps. Beautiful and powerful, OS X.1 was launched to rave reviews and a solar flare. Don't worry, Linux, OS X can hold the desktop front for you for now. It can also teach you how to get there yourself.

    Linux is no looser. It has gone from a college kid's pet project to being championed by no less a company than IBM itself. It's valiant deeds on the server side have even Microsoft worried. If the job of OS X is to slice into Microsoft's precious marketshare, then Linux' role is to block Microsoft from achieving its future monopoly: .Net. Only Linux can stop the Millenium monster from arising to soak up all our data!

    Linux may well have a role to play on the desktop as well. For now, that is confined to those enterprise desktops whose conversion to Linux would *not* impair the ability of the employee to do their work. (The cruel act of the Linux technician is a sterling example of how the Linux community should *not* be emulating Microsoft's cruel ways.)

    Later is another story. Given time, Linux can learn from OS X how to be a good consumer desktop. Apple is giving you a good example here. For the apps and the marketing, Linux needs to turn to the PC makers, and convince them that they need to drop Microsoft like a hot potato (or in this case, a hot bullet that is bleeding them to death). They don't have the profit margins to afford the Microsoft tax anymore, and XP is not going to come and save them. It's simple economic sense: who is the only one reporting millions of profit and billions of cash reserves? Apple. What are they putting on their systems? Open Source Unix. If the PC makers want to compete, they are going to have to dump Microsoft, embrace Linux, and go en masse to the software industry and tell them that all new computers will be running Linux next year. The easiest way to manage the massive port would be a OS X to Linux porting tool (made perhaps with some cooperation from Apple). War won.

    Then everybody (except MS) lives happily ever after. OS X and Linux can have friendly competition. The PC makers can actually make PC's that sell again. Microsoft is then reduced to an application company that has to figure out how to port Office to Linux. ;)

    If you like this lovely dream of a future, please work to make it happen. Just leave the cruel treatment of users to Microsoft.

    "Heart can reach, where hand cannot.
    Climb over any wall..."
    -Mothra (via Moll) "Mothra 3: King Ghidora Attacks"

  75. Microsoft won, no war? Both are bad. by Eibwen · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Many people are saying, "Linux cannot lose, because there is no war", or, perhaps, "Microsoft has already won." I would pray that these two statements not be proven true. I would pray Linux does everything in its power, and every other operating system, for that matter, to counter Microsoft's firm grasp on the computing industry. Monopolies are not only bad from a moral standpoint, but a much more consumer-related perspective. I'd have to say that competition is gods' gift to progression. Competition forces companies to create new and better products, it forces athletes to become faster and stronger, it urges supermodels to get larger and larger breast implants. If there was no competition, we'd never see a new version of windows, or PhotoShop, we'd never see a faster time for the.. uhh.. whatever dash they're doing in the Olympics these days. Without competition, we'd have a world full of idiots who are content with fitting the norm, not exceeding, nor challenging the current circumstances. I agree with the people who say there should be no winner to this war, or, in other words, the competition should never be run out so heavily that only one company is left standing. Every single operating system should compete with Microsoft as best they can. If a company can create a completely advanced, proficient, productive, stable, and all around excelling operating system, then Microsoft would have to do the same, which would inevitably help Microsoft users, and users of other operating systems who would see their own vendors attempting to improve. If Microsoft has already won the war, then we need not worry about the future, because it will be whatever Microsoft wants it to be, which I don't see happening, therefore I believe there is still a war running. Let's hope that Microsoft doesn't have the ability to cease all competition with foreign (competing) products, systems and software, then we'll have some light at the end of the tunnel.

    --
    "Better to light a candle than to curse the darkness."
  76. It's not the window manager that is a problem. by MongooseCN · · Score: 2, Redundant

    KDE and Gnome are doing good jobs at becoming good window managers for average computer users. It's the system that is the problem. Installing a harddrive in windows is easy, you just plug it in. In Linux you have to mount the drive and edit your fstab table. Is your average every day user going to be able to do that? What about configuring Xfree86 to use a newer video drive?
    "Goto a command prompt, load up vi, now open /etc/..."
    "Huh? What? Don't I just reboot now?"
    And your average joe compiling a new kernel? hahaha

    It's the hardware installation and configuration that needs work. Linux needs better plug and play support. I mean if Windows can do, why shouldn't Linux be able to do it better?

    1. Re:It's not the window manager that is a problem. by Asic+Eng · · Score: 2
      Installing a harddrive in windows is an absolute pain! I just did that on my dad's PC, both drives had two partitions. So originally he had C: D: on the first drive, after adding the drive he had:

      C: first D: second E: first F: second

      Can you imagine how much installed software broke over that?

      One of the programs handled the internet access, so I had to re-install an old version, then download the new connection software. With 28k instead of 56k because the old software didn't detect the modem properly. (Because the damn connection software won't let me download, it combines downloading and installing.)

      Anyway, your average users is not going to install a harddrive, the software part is easy compared with the BIOS upgrade for bigger drives and doing the physical installation.

      As far as XFree setup goes: at least SuSE let's you configure with a graphical tool - not all that more difficult than in Windows. (Most Windows installations have bad screen settings, btw, cause the users can't figure it out...)

      Kernel compilation hasn't been part of the installation of a long time either. Ok, you can do that to tweak your system, but that's comparable to registry editing.

      Linux needs better plug and play support.

      Just because I don't agree with your arguments doesn't mean I don't agree with your conclusion. :)

      I can't stop myself to commenting on KDE and Gnome: they *are* good window managers for average computer users. For the life of me, I don't see what could be missing.

      Unless you were thinking of desktop apps - the office applications are not as mature as the MS offerings.

  77. Back seat drivers by elflord · · Score: 2
    Don't you love those people who believe that it's their place to tell "the developers" what they "should be doing" ? The way he's ranting about what Linux "should focus on", you'd think he'd just appointed himself as the supreme commander of "the developers".

    Basically, he just doesn't get it. Linux is not supposed to have any particular policy or direction. It simply evolves with the needs of the users. Thus far, this appears to be one of the main reasons for its success. The idea that Linux "should focus" on a particular thing is not only completely unrealistic, it also reflects a lack of understanding as to how software on Linux actually gets written.

    1. Re:Back seat drivers by kin_korn_karn · · Score: 2, Interesting

      how can it evolve with the needs of the users when people like you are trying to build a wall between the users and "the developers?"

      Linux is becoming ELITIST. It's not 'of the people', unless the people are kernel developers, GNU junkies, or some other group with sufficient geek-cred to be taken seriously.

      OSS will only work like you're saying when the developers start taking ALL users seriously, not just the ones they go to LAN parties with and watch Monty Python with.

  78. Weird conclusions by Taurine · · Score: 2, Informative

    I read this in the print edition last month, so if this doesn't work out, perhaps they cut the web version.

    After the stuff about the desktop war, he goes on to conclude that because Linux is already succeeding in the server market, that is where open source developers should concentrate, abandoning further work on (specifically) KDE and GNOME. He completely misses the points that:

    1 - Developers are doing this for free. If there is money and market share in developing for the server market, that is where companies will (and do) develop their products for Linux. Open source developers don't often work on things that are specifically there to make money for someone else, and are of no use to themselves.

    2 - Its the desktop software that Linux is perceived to be weakest, so why does it make more sense to abandon it and work on the stuff that is already doing well? And how are people supposed to develop the server software without an adequate desktop environment? I get the impression that he wants people to use Windows on their workstation, writing code for Linux. Why would I be happy to give BillG $200 for a WinXP license, but love Linux so much that I did hundreds of hours of free work on stuff that made someone else money?

    Fundamentally, this guy has latched on to the current /. trend that you get more karma for slating Linux than you do for boosting it. He has applied this to getting paid for writing the article, and Wired has applied it to getting people to buy their 'zine.

    One more thing. The writer specifically says that Kodak digital cameras are not supported. Funny then that my Kodak DC200 works fine with gPhoto for the last year.

  79. In a famous quote... by Jace+of+Fuse! · · Score: 2

    "You can't win you know, but there are alternatives to fighting."

    Free software doesn't have a fighting chance.

    It does, however, have a very passive and almost viral way of spreading.

    Will it ever consume the whole? Probably not. But then, it doesn't have to as long as it never dies. As long as it still lives, it wins by default.

    --

    "Everything you know is wrong. (And stupid.)"

    Moderation Totals: Wrong=2, Stupid=3, Total=5.
  80. Re:HUH? by dbrutus · · Score: 2

    Well said, but wait, it's worse. The whole idea of linux is that the developers are in charge. The writer just engaged in one big rant that he wished that the developers would develop the way *he* wanted them to. They certainly will, as soon as he starts paying them.

    That's the real difference between Open Source/Free Software and Communism, the people are truly in charge and no self-appointed dictator for the proletariat can override their judgement.

  81. Americentric thinking by knobmaker · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Another point to bear in mind is that although Microsoft controls the American desktop market and to a large extent the market in other western democracies, most of the people in the world do not live here.

    That leaves a very large market unexploited. While it may be difficult to imagine your average camel driver as a computer owner, it was even harder 30 years ago to imagine the average American as a computer owner.

    At some point, international aid agencies are going to start distributing simple inexpensive computers to thirdworld villages. If the Linux community is alert, they'll see that these machines are running Linux, and it shouldn't be a hard sell. Linux will run on very inexpensive hardware, is free, and even more important, Linux users are not charged for upgrading their systems in the way that Windows users are.

    The consequences of developing a base of users several billion strong could be enormous. Bright kids are just as likely to be found living in mud huts as in gated communities, and if Linux recruits these kids into the Linux development fold, they will vastly outnumber the developers in the Microsoft camp. The most important asset in the OS wars is sheer brainpower. Microsoft may soon be overwhelmed by a tide of thirdworld coding geniuses.

    So, Linux zealots... join the Peace Corps and spread the Linux meme to the world.

  82. Not remotely over by einhverfr · · Score: 3, Insightful

    yes. Microsoft has won. Definitely. And the war is over. Anyone can see that. They won that war. But Linux was not their enemy, DR-DOS was.

    The problem is that the market is saturating and Microsoft cannot compete with Free Software (or Open Source, for that matter) as this futher develops. They will HAVE to charge subscription licenses, while we do not. So this war is not over so much as not begun. Both sides are mobilizing, but shots have yet to be really fired yet.

    This Wired article is pathetic. If he really is a former Red Hat employee, I would think that he would have some concept that Open Source is not a singlular business any more than proprietary software is. Open source can go every direction at least as well as proprietary software can. It is not a business, it is a business model.

    If we substitute "Proprietary Software" for "Open Source" everywhere it appears in this article, we can see how truly insane his point of view is. Should "proprietary software" companies all focus on building server-side software? What makes is appropriate that a much more diverse group of developers similarly restrict themselves.

    Again, have we lost? No. We have not begun to fight because the time is not ripe.

    --

    LedgerSMB: Open source Accounting/ERP
  83. The war is not the issue, man... by gdyas · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The perception of some silly "war" is in itself part of the problem.

    I like Torvalds' take on it. Just work on what you're working on -- make it better because then it'll be more useful to YOU, or your friends. They say in business that one of the surest ways to fail is to be always watching the competition. It turns you into a follower. A true leader, be it a CEO or an OS, works on making the best product possible. Though he's cognizant of the competition's moves, he doesn't make them his preoccupation, because then he'd be thinking about what THEY'RE doing, not what HE'S doing.

    Mr. Torvalds gets this. Most here don't.

    --

    The only tool you've got against psychosis is experience.

  84. Re:Why Linux isn't on the desktop or never will be by pubjames · · Score: 2

    Summary of article : Linux is great, but the long haired freaks are gonna make it lose.

    Yes, that's a good summary. Rubbish, isn't it?

    Wired has really gone down the toilet. I used to love it. Can anyone recommend a replacement?

  85. Another author who just doesn't get it. by mjh · · Score: 2

    I read this article yesterday on Linuxtoday, and I was immediately struck by how many people there are who think that GNU/Linux and other free software can be driven in the same way that proprietary software is drivin. Or that the goals of the creators of free software, are the same goals of the creators of proprietary software.

    This guys seems to think that the best way to push the development of GNU/Linux is to write an article about what does not work. This, I guess, is supposed to spread concern among the users of the software who will then, en masse, complain to the software creator and vote with their wallets on something that will do better. What this presumes is that the people who create the software are going to care about how users spend money.

    But, obviously, this is not the case with free software. Developers create free software for a single purpose: to accomplish something that they want done. They don't write it to get someone to spend money on it. They write it to get something done, and then they share what they've accomplished with others. So, if users don't spend their money on software, what do the developers care? That software still accomplished a task for the developer, and that's all that matters.

    I believe that this guy really does want to see free software succeed. What he doesn't understand is that the ways to do that have changed. Writing articles to incite users isn't as effective with free software as with proprietary software. The best tools to improve free software are an editor and a compiler and time.

    --
    Key to financial independence: Spend less than you earn. Save and invest the difference. Do it for a long time.
    1. Re:Another author who just doesn't get it. by MikeBabcock · · Score: 2

      They seem, more importantly, to think that Linux people in general (that's 80% of Linux people, for example) _care_ if it becomes a desktop OS for the masses.

      --
      - Michael T. Babcock (Yes, I blog)
  86. Wired Magazine is dying by sulli · · Score: 2

    We should all keep in mind this simple truth: Wired Magazine is dying.

    You don't need to be Rossetto to predict Wired's future. The hand writing is on the wall: Wired faces a bleak future. In fact there won't be any future at all for Wired because Wired is dying. Things are looking very bad for Wired. As many of us are already aware, Wired continues to lose market share. Red ink flows like a river of blood.

    Let's keep to the facts and look at the numbers.

    Famed Wired author Negroponte states that there are 7000 subscribers to Wired Magazine. How many readers of Wired News are there? Let's see. The number of Wired versus Wired News posts on Usenet is roughly in ratio of 1 to 4. Therefore there are about 7000*5 = 35000 Wired News readers. HotWired posts on Usenet are about half of the volume of Wired News posts. Therefore there are about 700 readers of HotWired. A recent article put Hotbot at about .008 percent of the search engine market. Therefore there are (7000/100)*.008 = .56 Hotbot users.

    Due to the troubles of Suck.com, abysmal click-through rates and so on, Wired went bankrupt and was sold to Conde Nast. Now Conde Nast is also dying and the corpse of Wired will soon be turned over to another charnel house.

    All major surveys show that Wired has steadily declined in market share. Wired is very sick and its long term survival prospects are very dim. If Wired is to survive at all it will be among tech magazine hobbyists, dabblers, and dilettantes. Wired continues to decay. Nothing short of a miracle could save it at this point in time. For all practical purposes, Wired is dead.

    --

    sulli
    RTFJ.
  87. Re:let me sum up the article - by Thomas+Miconi · · Score: 2

    Can I have a common clipboard, please? pretty please?

    You already have one. It's called "middle button" :o)

    Thomas Miconi

  88. People are forgetting an important principle. by mark-t · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Before the moderators give me -1 offtopic, hear me out - I do have a point to make. Further, some of what is about to follow may appear like I am judging certain types of people, but this is not my intent. I am simply stating things as they are.

    Linux is unix. This is not to say that Linux is Unix as in the registered trademark, but Linux is unix as in the mindset. It is reasonable to go so far as to say that Linux is truly a unix for the masses. Not masses as in appealing to everyone, but masses as in everyone CAN get it if they want it. Specifically, Linux was the first unix to that was low cost enough enough that anyone with the appropriate hardware (which itself was very affordable... this is VERY important) would have no financial reason to not use it.

    Now given that Linux is unix, why would a majority of people want to use it? Consider that the average desktop users are only interested in getting work done on time, or playing video games. Has unix ever been traditionally geared towards these crowds? No. Can it ever be, and still be unix? Think before you answer... remember, I'm not talking about Linux specifically here, but only the unix mindset. Rephrasing the question, can the unix mindset ever be geared towards the people who don't care about the mindset and still actually BE the same? If the answer is yes, then Linux (or some other low-cost unix) may someday achieve desktop dominance, but I'm pretty sure that the answer is no. In which case, Linux could not ever dominate unless it someday abandons the unix mindset - is this something that anyone who thinks Linux is a good thing wants?

    Unix will survive -- always in niches, always as an alternative, but always there. Linux may come and go, but the unix mindset is the single longest lived software paradigm in the history of computing, it has persisted for over 3 decades now, and is likely to continue to do so for the forseeable future.

    Now what was the point to all that? That MS has no reason to be at war with Linux in the first place because they are two entirely different paradigms. Further, unless Linux does a radical shift from the philosophy that created it, Linux cannot ever stand to achieve the status of Windows as long as a majority of people want to use computers for nothing more than a fancy typewriter, calculator, or arcade game console.

  89. Re:Why Linux isn't on the desktop or never will be by Salamander · · Score: 2
    Once you've caught up to MS Office, where are they going to go? Add an AI to write your papers?

    The only way that they'd have nowhere to go would be if they have already achieved the pinnacle of office-suite (not just word-processor) functionality, and I don't quite believe that's the case. Here are some fairly random ideas that we could use to start:

    • Add automatic translation.
    • Integrate with FrontPage to provide a UserLand-like web content management system.
    • Turn the current wimpy groupware stuff into full Groove-style collaborative workspaces.
    • Add deep statistical analysis and cutting-edge 3D data visualization to Excel.
    • Break out of the "text on a page" metaphor to allow creation of complete integrated presentations comparable to TV programs - text, graphics, computer animation, full-motion video, natural-sounding synthesized speech.
    • Provide hooks for WebDAV, backup systems, secure document storage, knowledge management, ...

    Maybe some of those ideas are just totally stupid, but at the same time others could lead to another leap ahead of would-be competitors. I'm sure other people, including those at MS, could think of more. This well is far from tapped out. My point remains that if MS actually perceived a threat they could do something about it...but there's no reason for them to bother yet.

    --
    Slashdot - News for Herds. Stuff that Splatters.
  90. Re:Why Linux isn't on the desktop or never will be by dachshund · · Score: 2
    The Red Hat techie who erased her files was irresponsible and stupid - you don't win people over by switching them without consultation

    I don't think that "irresponsible and stupid" is a good way to describe that person. That's outright sociopathic. Switching someone's OS without permission isn't a good thing to do, but it's a world apart from completely reformatting their drive without making a backup of their work.

    If I were that person's boss, I would want them out of the company immediately. The fact that this appears tIn a computerized company, it'd be a nightmare to employ somebody who erases company files if they happen to get in the way of the system configuration... Yikes. You might as well have an janitor going through your file cabinets and shredding all that dirty, messy paper.

  91. Why intelligent life is about to lose! by Kaz+Kylheku · · Score: 2

    Most planets in the visible Universe are probably lifeless rocks, not supporting any life at all, let alone intelligent life. It's obvious that life has lost the great battle for the planet surface. So we should do the honorable thing and just extinguish life on Earth, instead of continuining this pompous charade of assumed superiority. It will happen anyway; we are just delaying the inevitable.

  92. this guy's a jackass by EEEthan · · Score: 2, Insightful

    A story about a tech support guy hosing somebody's windows laptop is supposed to convince us that windows will forever own the desktop? Are you serious? I hope that guy was promptly fired.

    I do tech support and systems administration at a small company. I use linux on my desktop machine--which I was alone in doing until recently, when we brought on a new developer who's running linux. Now--I run blackbox, and don't do graphical file management or anything, but the new guy is using Gnome.

    Basically--this story is stupid. MS is great, like everybody knows--and also leaves a lot of people cold. Like me. Because it's monolithic, and hard to individualize. Basically, it's nothing special.

    The worst thing, as everybody knows, is that MS Windows is all about upgrading--upgrade your OS until they can figure out how to make the os upgrade require a new machine, at which point you have to buy a new machine, preferably with preinstalled WinXP2005Supertron or whatever.

    Also, win2k doesn't run worth a damn on a lot of machines--like anything before a pentium 200 or so, with less than 128 mb of ram.

    MS has already lost the 'war.' In a few years, the number of computers that don't have the specs for MS's new OS will be staggering, and there will be next to no reason to upgrade. My company, like a lot of others is already passing on the XP upgrade. Because there's no benefit.

    MS's dominance was the product of an incredible economic boom. But in a few years, when most pc's are 'obsolete' by MS standards, we'll see how high their stock price is.

    And you know what else? I hate it when people complain about linux business models. Linux isn't about business (although it is helping mine out quite a bit--it sure would have hurt us to have to use something like MS Adv. Server 2000 which is like $10k and would have required us to hire an MSCE just to make IIS work, or get Solaris boxes for the price of a luxury car).

    Linux is great because it's free dammit--Linux doesn't care if it 'defeats' windows. Linux isn't going anywhere when the funds dry up. To talk about this in terms of conflict is inherently looking at it from a corporate perspective, which Linux doesn't need or care about. Sure, a lot of companies are now using it because it's a great product, nearly for free, but Linux was doing great with just home users, smart hobbyists who liked to hack.

    You know what, I've said too much already--that article just really got my goat. I haven't seen too many articles that dumb in awhile. I thought the 'Will Linux conquer or will it die?' thing was done because people had realized how stupid it was.

    Linux is here. Deal with it.

  93. Linux is not a contender... by wfrp01 · · Score: 2

    Linux will not be deployed on corporate desktops until several things happen\.



    Two commonly mentioned deficiencies are (1) overall functional immaturity (e\.g. - the spellchecking deficiencies the article mentions) and (2) incompatibil\ity with existing file formats. I.E. - the filter problem. These deficiences \are well known, and are being addressed, albeit not always as quickly as we wou\ld like.



    However, there's another serious deterrant to corporate deployment of Linux \desktops that I never see mentioned: the complete lack of a sensible way of sha\ring centrally stored files. NFS (v2 or v3) is far too insecure to warrent ser\ious consideration for corporate desktops. Automounting SMB shares might work,\ if not for the necessity of storing authentication credentials in plain text c\onfiguration files. Again, unacceptable, both from a security and a management\ point of view.



    Perhaps automounting could be improved. The other alternative is NFSv4, the\ specification of which mandates strong security. There are two free NFSv4 imp\lementations under development: a kernel level version at citi umich, and a user-level client/server b\eing developed by no less than the samba team. Both\ implementations are still quite immature, however.



    Until Linux desktop users are able to easily and securely share files on a c\entral file server, it's difficult to envision widespread deployment in corpora\te environments.


    --

    --Lawrence Lessig for Congress!
    1. Re:Linux is not a contender... by wfrp01 · · Score: 2

      Boy, was that a sloppy cut and paste job. Sorry. Anyway, here are the relevant unbastardised URL's for the NFSv4 sites I mentioned:

      http://n4.samba.org/
      http://www.citi.umich.edu/projects/nfsv4/

      If you win the lottery, send these guys some money.

      --

      --Lawrence Lessig for Congress!
  94. Re:HUH? by JaBean · · Score: 2, Interesting

    ppl. don't realize it is the *direction* and not the talent that sometimes will put an OS at the forefront. What MS has and Linux doesn't is a vision.

  95. Re:How can they lose the war, Easy! by czardonic · · Score: 2, Informative

    the goal of a corporation in capitalism is not to become a monopoly, but to become profitable

    Actually, the goal is to MAXIMISE profits. In order to truly maximze profits, a corporation must eliminate competition which has a downward effect on profits. As such, monopoly is most certainly ultimate corporate ambition.

    --
    Takahashi Rumiko made beats! DON, taku, DON, taku. . .
  96. How can linux "Lose" by HanzoSan · · Score: 2, Insightful



    In order for something to lose, something must beat it. The loser must lose something, The winner must be the last man standing.

    However Linux cant lose because Linux is not a product. Linux is a technology. Saying Linux will lose to Microsoft, Is like saying Math will lose to Taco Bell.

    So lets set the record straight, Linux is a TECHNOLOGY, and a TECHNOLOGY cannot "Lose" or "Win"

    A technology is either useful, or its not.

    Linux has been proven useful for the server market. Linux is not yet useful for the Desktop market.

    Because Linux is a technology, Unless everyone plans to use Microsoft OS now and forever on every computer created until the end of time. Linux has a damn good chance of being useful to the desktop.

    Why? Because Linux is a technology, as computer technology changes, the needs for Linux will become more and more great. As Linux enhances, the usefulness of Linux will become more and more clear to the average user. As Linux becomes easier to use and works with more hardware, The people will begin to accept Linux more and more.

    Unlike Apple, and Microsoft, Linux is not a companies product, Linux from redhat goes down, Linux mandrake pops up, Mandrake goes down, Slackware pops up, then debian, the list will go on FOREVER because Linux is a technology.

    Example? Napster. Napster was stopped sure. But Napster technology simply advanced and now its at the point where its unstopable.

    The more people try to stop Linux, the more faster Linux will be enhanced, and the faster Linux will be accepted.

    Just like killing Napster made Gnutella and Morpheus and Aimster and Freenet pop up, If Microsoft beats Linux on the desktop this round, round two Linux will be back again under another company, and another and another until the industry accepts Linux as the industry was FORCED to accept peer to peer.

    Linux is going to take over, if its not in the next 5 years, then in the next 10 years, but its going to happen, because technology cannot be stopped.
    Microsoft cannot keep ahead of Linux forever, Linux is catching up in EVERY area, and its only a matter of time before Linux is better than Windows at everything, even playing games.

    When this time comes (and yes it will come)
    Windows will fade and Linux will become the new standard.

    And when this happens, if Microsoft doesnt try to make Linux illegal, Microsoft will attempt to create their own version of Linux in the same way the RIAA is creating their own peer to peer.

    Wait and see.

    --
    If you use Linux, please help development of Autopac
  97. You know what, you're absolutely right. by JeremyYoung · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I mistakenly equated configuration/installation with use. I apologize. It's all those years of working with windows boxes that have blurred that line for me, sorry.

    --

    Go Lakers!

  98. Less charitable summary: by Dr.+Spork · · Score: 2
    1. Desktop users don't want Linux because the spellcheckers suck.

    2. Linux developers are wasting their energy on desktop-oriented software, like office suites.

    I wonder why it never occured to the guy that maybe if more developers "wasted their time" fixing up a good open source spellchecker, his employee would have never needed a Windows partition.

  99. Re:Why Linux isn't on the desktop or never will be by NutscrapeSucks · · Score: 2

    Actually Microsoft only had about 80% compatibility with WordPerfect, and their support for macro-encrusted 123 sheets was even worse.

    When companies converted to Office, they generally hired a temp to spend a couple weeks going through all the documents on the fileserver to convert and reformat them. (Of course, this before widespread use of office docs in e-mail, so you didn't need to worry about new documents coming in all the time.)

    The Office Document Problem is a prime example of Linux-types having only a skin deep understanding of the problem. Hypothetically, let's say it's solved (or I want to switch to Macs and use MS Office there) --

    Then what? There's people using Visio and MS Project. There's people who RUN THE BUSINESS on crappy Access applications which would need to be rewritten. There's vertical software that we use that's only available on Windows (prime example being DB or CASE modeling tools for the developers). There's VB apps that people have hacked together over the years. There's still that wing of the company using Lotus Notes. There's the sales automation solution that you spent $10M for. The VP loves his business card scanner. Etc Etc Etc.

    From what I've seen, it's incredably difficult to even move the userbase from Win98 to Win2000 and verify that everything was tested and working. Linux? -- unpossible.

    --
    Whenever I hear the word 'Innovation', I reach for my pistol.
  100. put up by jafac · · Score: 2

    Okay, for THREE years now, I've heard the Linux people on this board whine and complain that if Linux could only get a truly simple user interface (and a decent Office substitute), that Linux would "take over the world and Microsoft would go away".

    Well, that's true. That would happen. But the point back then is the same point now:
    MOST home computer users, and a whole lot of business users (ie. 95% of the market) don't understand the concept of something as simple as a directory.

    Mac users are beginning to accept their niche-dom. Acceptance of niche-dom isn't very much fun, because you know that eventually, niche systems like Atari, Commadore, and Amiga were squeezed out by Microsoft.

    I think perhaps the Linux community needs to plan for a "post-Microsoft Apocolypse" world. (ie - what will users need on an OS once MS has taken over the world, and the internet.)
    Obviously, portability - we'll have to run on whatever hardware MS allows to be produced. Security, to prevent the RIAA from scanning your hard drives.
    AND - the ability to connect to an internet that, frankly, may not run true TCP/IP (but rather, a bastardized "innovative version" of MSTCP/IP).

    --

    These are my friends, See how they glisten. See this one shine, how he smiles in the light.
  101. Re:War is over? by flatrock · · Score: 3, Insightful

    As Mitchell writes, consumers want "reliability, simplicity, access to popular software, and the ability to communicate easily with other users." But in XP these virtues are tangled up with Microsoft's efforts to force its online services down your throat.

    The thing that made Windows 3.0 great for it's time was that it offered so many things in one easy to use package. Microsoft hasn't forgotton that lesson. They could bundle other people's products with Windows, but then they would have to deal with all the licensing hassles, and be responsible for bugs in other companies software. They've bundled stuff in the past, and probably will bundle some stuff in the future. I'll have to wait until I see it myself before I dedide if they are really forcing thier services down my throat or just making services I may find useful available to me without me having to download or purchase something seperately.

    Redirecting all mailto: links to Hotmail instead of the registered mail editor is an obstacle to communicating easily.

    Never heard of this one, but this would really piss off business customers, I believe it when I see it.

    Forcing customers to download a Java VM does not enhance access to popular software.

    SUN shares a lot of the blame on this one. If the JVM isn't exactly what SUN wants from it Microsoft would spend years in court. When two giants like SUN and Microsoft squabble, the users usually get screwed. Microsoft should make it clear that their extensions to Java are extensions, but SUN wasn't exactly playing fair either.

    Forbidding reinstallation of the OS without calling Microsoft and proving that you own it isn't what I'd call simplicity.

    Unless I misunderstand something the same activation code you used the first time will work when you reinstall. You can even upgrade several pieces of hardware. You just can't install it on a significantly different PC thant the one you first installed it on without proving you own it.

    We all know the full list, and we all know that both consumers and CIOs are balking.

    Yes, there are a lot of people who are complaining about Microsoft. Thera always are. A lot of these same people would bitch about Microsoft XP if it were a near perfect product. I've become numb to all the bitching and moaning. CIOs are blaking at the changes to the volume licensing, because it looks like it's going to cost them more. Microsoft appears to be yielding to the pressure, and those plans may be changed to make CIOs happier.

    Don't get me wrong, Linux has a long way to go to offer a viable alternative for the average luser. But I wouldn't be surprised to see a lot of people take a second look at MacOS and Linux after tangling with XP.

    I don't like to spend a lot of time patching my computer, or dealing with compatibility issues. Because of this I buy quality hardware and don't use beta drivers if I can avoid it. I use my home computer mostly for games, and its simply a lot easier for me to keep a windows gaming system running well than a Linux one.
    For web servers it seems Linux is the one that requires less patches and is simpler to keep running. Maybe that's why Linux does so well in that market.
    It's real simple for me. I value my time at higher that the price the Microsoft software cost me, and Microsoft's software suits my needs better. MacOS might be more appealing if the hardware weren't so expensive, and more games were available on it. After dealing with Linux on a Mac at work, I wouldn't recomend it to anyone who isn't very familiar with Linux. Linux on a PPC is still needs some time before it becomes a mature platform.

  102. Re:How can they lose the war, Easy! by LMCBoy · · Score: 2, Informative

    It's not illegal to be a monopoly; it's illegal to abuse your position as a monopoly.

    --
    Liberal (adj.): Free from bigotry; open to progress; tolerant of others.
  103. 5 Minute Analysis by docwhat · · Score: 3, Informative

    Okay, let's start with the beginning. Mr. Mitchell first (rightly) complains about someone at Red Hat wiping the contents of some worker's laptop to replace Windows with Linux. This is first, a straw-man argument (we can't argue against it, but it has nothing to do with linux, but with a stupid Tech).

    Likewise, his arguments about one peice of software (generalized into all Linux word processing software) at a point obviously somewhere in his past (but not current, he no longer works there) isn't terribly suprising, or valuable. It doesn't say anything except that some version of Applixware in the past, didn't do a great job of spell checking.

    Then Mr. Mitchell tries to gain our confidence in his ability to criticize all of linux by saying he appreciates Linux "Technically". The fact that Mr. Mitchell then says that the "Linux community is a muddled and unfocused lot" really shows that he doesn't understand how Linux is developed. This is an open source, anyone-can-play, large group of people who can (and usually) do what they want.

    Mr. Mitchell's claim that the "the war [for the desktop] is over" is also bizarre. This is something I have heard a lot, but it makes no sense. Was the "war" for department stores over after Sears? How about for the railroads? Nothing is over. The world keeps going. And, as I said above, people in the Linux Community can and will do what they want.

    The claim that one part of a community is distracting the community as a whole is also another fallacy. This is not provable and most likely doesn't reflect reality. People who work on the desktop do so because it's what they want to do. They may do desktop work elsewhere (maybe for Windows or Macs) if they didn't have Linux. You don't know.

    Of course, what Mr. Mitchell is really saying is that he doesn't think competition is worthwhile. Doing something for the thrill of doing it isn't worthwhile. I disagree. Every major advancement, and many minor ones had people who weren't motivated saying things like, "Who cares? Can't be done. No one will want it." and have been proven wrong.

    I'm going to wrap this up, because I got side tracked and have other things to do. But consider his final statements. Mr. Mitchell wants the Linux Community to give up because he wants Linux to succeed. This is defeatist and makes little sense. The Linux community should do what it wants to do.

    Finally, just because I have to say this. If you work for a company that sells an OS, you should make all efforts to use that OS. Period. The president of Ford does NOT drive a Toyota. The company cars are not Nissans.

    Well I don't know about you, but I feel beter.

    --
    The Doctor What (KF6VNC)
  104. Re:Forget "winning"; Linux plays a vital role... by dcavanaugh · · Score: 2

    You're right, in the short run. As you say, adding Star Office to the mix really hurt WP. Then again Star Office didn't do anything to WP that M$ wasn't going to do anyway.

    Having the choice of closed source MSO vs. closed source WP wasn't much of a choice. In the long run, WP (and Lotus) will go away. Star Office will compete mostly with MSO and will offer a real open source vs. closed source choice.

    Until XP came along, I would have agreed that the MS Office users would never abandon the product. Given the XP cost and upgrade hassles, many Office users may discover that their management has made the decision for them. In my organization, If I planned and budgeted for an Office XP upgrade and simultaneously offered Star Office as an alternative, I could abandon MSO today with full CEO and CFO support. My actual plan is to ignore XP for the time being. Either the licensing will change, or I will be planning a gradual phase-out of MSO. Every day I can postpone this, I improve my odds of getting a better deal from M$ or a better product from Star Office. I see nothing to be gained by upgrading now.

    Without a viable alternative to M$ products, we're all condemned to run like a bunch of rodents on the M$ hamster wheel.

  105. Re:Fire the dumb tech by Jason+Earl · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I agree. The tech was an idiot. Changing someone's OS, even if the software is unsupported is amazingly stupid, and almost criminally inept. He deserves to be fired.

    But his actions are completely irrelevant to the meat of the argument. That doesn't mean that RedHat's help desk should support MS Word, and more importantly it does not mean that Linux is not ready for the desktop.

    In fact, it illustrates how far Linux has come in a relatively short time, and how ridiculous the author's assumptions are. Applixware was really the only useable Office suite when I started using Linux, and now there are several Office suites that are much better. Saying that Linux isn't ready for the desktop because Applixware sucks is like saying that Windows wasn't ready for the desktop because WordPerfect 6.0 for Windows was so bad (after all Word for Windows was great). If Applixware doesn't cut it Linuxers can easily use OpenOffice, Abiword, or KWord, and if you don't mind using commercial software you can use WordPerfect. All of these will happily teach you to spell web site.

  106. I think he's missed the point by MrResistor · · Score: 2
    Linux is not a business!

    There are businesses trying to make money with Linux, but Linux is not a business! He says that there is too much focus on the desktop and that it robs developers from "Linux' real place in the world". What a bunch of crap. If Linux were a business, this arguement might hold water. You could go to the CEO of Linux Corp. and say "Why are you wasting all of these developers on developing desktop apps when your real strength is on the server?" Of course, there is no Linux Corp. There is no product strategy developed by market annalysts studying focus groups. There's just a bunch of folks who know how to write code working on what THEY want. I will continue to support Linux on the desktop because that's where I want it! I don't have a server, and if that's all Linux did it would be useless to me.

    Konquerer, an open source browser, doesn't even track market share figures.

    Of course it doesn't, because Linux is not a business!

    that doesn't take into account the ... steep learning curve for most desktop users.

    This is the anti-Linux arguement that I hate the most, because it's total BS. There is no steep learning curve for the Linux desktop. How do I know this? Because the 3 least technical people I know (my mom, wife, and sister) all managed to figure it out without any help from me. In fact my sister actually likes Linux better, she feels it's easier to use than windows. My wife is indifferent as long as she can surf the web and check her email. My mom feel's the same as my wife does about it, but she has the additional requirement of needing to process Word .docs for work (and no, I haven't tried StarOffice6 yet).

    ...real enemy is - Unix vendors like Sun

    Huh?!?!? How can you call someone your enemy when they've done so much to help you? Big Unix vendors, like Sun, IBM, Compaq, and SGI are all supporting Linux in some way. Sun and IBM especially. Why? It's hard to say sometimes, but I suspect that most of them see Linux as a great way to leverage their vast investment and experience in Unix for the future. I also suspect that they see Linux as the only way that true cross-vendor Unix compatability will ever really happen, something that has been tried a few times.

    Wouldn't a competent integrated development platform be more useful than an office suite?

    No, not really. If you're a developer, learn how to use the command line. Thanks to pipes, the developement platform is as integrate as you want it to be, and it's integrated in exactly the way you want it to be. How many of the "competent" IDEs can claim that? If you use one particular combination frequently, write a script.

    Wouldn't a graphical debugger be better than a whizzy file manager?

    Absolutely not. I'll take gdb over any graphical debugger any day of the week. gdb is so powerful precisely because it isn't hampered by a GUI. Don't get me wrong, GUIs have their place, like file managers for instance, but for things like debugging I far prefer the power and flexibility that only the command line has been able to provide. And how would you use this cool graphical debugger without a GUI desktop? Don't GNOME and KDE both offer graphical debuggers (or at least graphical front-ends to gdb)?

    Wouldn't a pro 3-D package be more targeted than an Outlook clone?

    Again, how are you going to use this pro 3-D package without all of this developement time being "wasted" on developing Linux as a graphical platform? Of course, pro graphics on Linux has already been discussed recently, so I won't go into it any firther. I will say, though, that without an Outlook clone to go with it, this Linux 3-D app doesn't have a snowballs chance at my company. We use 3-D apps for mechanical design, and if anyone knows of a Linux-based alternative to SolidWorks 2001 I would love to hear about it, but unless there are also alternatives to MS Outlook and Project as well, my bosses will never go for it.

    As if the lack of applications weren't enough of an obstacle, self-inflicted public relations problems - in the form of bad behavior by vocal Linux proponents - are casting a dark shadow over Linux.

    First he complains that there are too many apps for Linux, and now there are too few. Make up your mind. He makes a good point about Linux zealots, though.

    In short, Linux is not a business! And because of that, business annalasys will always fail on Linux. Red Hat is a business, annalize it till the cows come home, but don't make the mistake of thinking that Linux==Linux_Companies. There's only one thing that can be proved by that kind of comparison; that the person making it doesn't understand Linux.

    Linux can be all things to all people, that's the true beauty of Open Source. It's already a great server OS, everyone seems to agree on that point. I happen to think it's a great desktop OS, too. Some think it's a great realtime/embedded OS, and if I were into that I would probably agree. The closed source embedded OSs can be a real pain in the ass to work with. And as for scalability, how many of those "scalable" OSs can run on a wristwatch? The only thing really keeping Linux from scaling the other way is access to system specs.

    --
    Under capitalism man exploits man. Under communism it's the other way around.
  107. Linux and losing by ellem · · Score: 2

    I recently switched over to Ximian on two RH 7.1 boxes.

    Immediately I thought if this 'look' was available from the get go, and this Red Carpet thingy was available from the get go I could have sold my company on going Linux.

    3 years ago of course it was not.

    Now what? Well guys I know we have 500+ MS 98/NT4/2000 lics but what say we switch over to this beta-esque software.

    The "easy" desktop and the Office-like products still are not available. Abi Word and Star Office aren't even close. WINE and VMware are nice but you still need to buy lics. So bottomline is that Linux still ain't ready for the average AOL/ICQ/Word set.

    I think the servers rule (Mail/Apache/NFS/Samba) but the desktop needs help.

    OSX has made HUGE strdes in that direction. Hopefully Linux distros will take the hint. Looks and feel matter. OH and if you can can get MS to make Office for you that's good too.

    --
    This .sig is fake but accurate.
  108. Dell did not really offer Linux on the desktop by Skapare · · Score: 2
    Conversely, Linux managed only 1.5 percent of shipments in the desktop market in 2000. And that sliver is unlikely to grow in 2001. PC makers are concluding that consumer Linux is too small a market to mess with: Dell Computer recently dropped Linux from its desktops and notebooks.

    Dell did not actually offer Linux on their desktops or notebooks. I regularly get snail-spam from Dell, and not once was Linux mentioned for a desktop or notebook. Only occaisionally is it offered for servers. I also visited their web site 5 or 6 times over the past year. Again, no Linux for desktop or notebook. If Dell thinks it didn't sell, maybe Michael should have a talk with his VP of marketing. I find it hard to believe they slipped the entire duration of the Linux campaign in between my web visits.

    And you don't expect it to be a mass seller. This kind of thing takes time. XP will come out soon for retail sale (you can get it on whole systems now). That won't make people switch to Linux immediately, because they can just stay with the old version they are running. But eventually the old version won't be supported, and won't do well on new hardware, and the decision will have to be made to either upgrade Windows (to XP) or switch to Linux. As we are seeing in some places, the switch to Linux is starting to happen, in places like certain cities in Florida, and some countries like Thailand and potentially in Germany.

    I suspect Dell had other motives for not wanting to sell Linux. We might like to think that it is because of an under the table deal with Microsoft to kick out Linux. But that doesn't have to happen because there is more incentive elsewhere for Dell to not support Linux and pray for it to fail. This is because Linux allows people to keep on being productive with older slower hardware, and not upgrade the hardware as often. This means lost sales to vendors like Dell, and they are hurting a lot right now, even more so than losing Linux customers will do. They see the problem of lack of hardware growth, and see that Linux could only make it worse for them. If Linux were to catch on and be at least significant against Windows, like maybe 1/3 of the market, that would surely mean more lost hardware sales, and Michael understands this you can be sure. Maybe Bill wised him up about this, but I don't think that was even needed.

    --
    now we need to go OSS in diesel cars
    1. Re:Dell did not really offer Linux on the desktop by Skapare · · Score: 2

      I'm sure they did it as a business decision. I just think they didn't do it 100% smart. If all the reasons you point out are true and obvious, they shouldn't have attempted in the first place. Of course, it simply may not have been obvious to them at the start.

      What is the difference in the wholesale (e.g. the price Dell pays) of Linux plus Star/Open Office, vs Windows XP and Office XP? Just sell the Linux machines that amount less, and the absolute profit on the machine is the same. Of course, people like me would prefer buying the machine naked with the amount paid to Microsoft being deducted. But I do understand Dell wants to have some software they know about on the machine so they can support it without having to point fingers at whatever the end user installed. So for me, the Dell product may not even be appropriate. But for my dad, who lives 1000 miles away from me, who has expressed an interest in trying out Linux and getting online, I'd rather he have something a bit more generic, but with a name attached to it.

      --
      now we need to go OSS in diesel cars
  109. Linux needs highly automatic configuration by MtViewGuy · · Score: 2

    While I applaud your views, the problem with Linux now is what you want to do with the OS on that bulleted list requires the OS to automatically configure and update itself with as little user intervention as possible. Sad to say, Linux currently is not quite there yet.

    If the Linux programmers can support the Advanced Configuration and Power Interface (ACPI) natively, this could give Linux the automatic configuration ability Windows 98/ME/2000/XP now uses. I've read about the ACPI4Linux project but that needs much more support so all the major commercial Linux distributions will support it.

  110. Linux should not be trying to kill Microsoft by Skapare · · Score: 2

    I really don't care if Linux takes over against Microsoft Windows or not. It is not my goal to displace Windows in the market place. Instead, my goal is to make my Linux desktop experience complete. I know I can not ever accomplish what I want with Windows, so I use Linux. But I would still like to do a few of the things I cannot now do.

    Linux needs better applications. In some areas it has it. In some areas it does not. Consider Visio. There is nothing in Linux that even compares. Programs like xfig are a joke compared to Visio.

    Linux needs better hardware support. When a new kind of hardware comes out, driver support needs to be immediate. I want to be able to buy it now, and use it with Linux.

    Things like this are not really what we expect of Linus. These things need to be done by other people. Application developers need to do the killer apps, and cover more bases. Hardware manufacturers need to make open source device drivers for their new hardware available, and quit trying to shove their "innovation" into the drivers (I want innovative hardware). But to bring these things about, Linux does need to get some market share, including on the desktop. I want Linux to succeed at this, but not for the purpose of bringing down Microsoft, or Windows, but instead, to let me have what I want on the desktop, and add to it with what I want. Yeah, I'm selfish. But at least I'm honest about it.

    --
    now we need to go OSS in diesel cars
  111. The computer gods by extrasolar · · Score: 2
    Because GNU/Linux is win-win.

    Unfortunately, this author forgot to throw the rules of business sense out the window before writing about our favorite OS. From here...you guys can finish writing what I am about to say...you've already heard the arguments. You know...programming for the challenge...money doesn't really matter...without a centralized organization, the community can't loose money---MS can.

    Now for the meat. This article mentions focus quite a lot. Developers should focus on servers...developers shouldn't focus on Microsoft...blah blah. Again, he doesn't understand how things work in the Free Software Community...or ignores it.

    He thinks the way people have been trained to think since computers became commercially viable. Computers are new...still new. And any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic. People worship their computers for the good they do and when the computer messes up, they are willing to sacrifice anything to the gods to make it better again. Metaphor--of course. So over the years big companies like Microsoft and AOL (and IBM) have taken the role of information gods they have decreed certain assumptions that computer users take for granted today.

    • Users take it for granted that they need a fast computer to everything they need to do. They go into a computer sales place and the salesman constantly tries to get the customer to buy a more expensive (faster) computer. The customer does this thinking that the computer is some how enhanced in a meaningful way. When a computer messes up...they think its because the computer is choking because it isn't fast enough. This usually comes from the tech guy is supposed to know all about computers so makes up a reasonable reason for it messing up. He can't say the software is bad because everyone else is using the software and the user won't believe him anyway because the software was made by the computer gods and they are never wrong.
    • Users think they have to upgrade all the time or face incompatibility. This is the belief that eventually there is going to be software they need that will break if they don't upgrade. This used to be true but for the most part, isn't true anymore.
    • You have to keep up to day or be left behind. This usually means keeping up with the mainstream or something disasterous will happen. This means use Windows, Photoshop, Word, etc. Since most users have no idea what the difference between most software is they feel secure in using what everyone else uses. And they get used to using it so using any other kind of software feels strange to them and they like whichever software they use first. If Microsoft wrote another word processor that isn't called Word, I don't think a lot of people would buy it. But if they made this new word processor into an upgrade...a lot more people would use it.


    A lot of people won't use GNU/Linux because it doesn't have a god. Red Hat tries but fails. I would like to the whole Free Software Community become these computer gods that people rely on to make them feel comfortable using the software. But we often contradict each other and are not as inviting as the other gods.

    But the idea that companies are very big doesn't deter them. In fact, it makes them feel safe because bigger gods makes them feel safer and the gods won't go away.

    So this is my explanation about GNU/Linux on the desktop. They aren't interested so much to get their work done but rather they want to feel safe using the computer. So saying "Linux is stable" isn't nearly as effective as saying "Linux is nice". Even when their computers crash or their files don't open up, they will still stick with it because they believe the gods know of their struggles and will fix it in the next upgrade.

    This author and many tech writers have the same problem with computer gods. When they are talking about business sense they are saying how GNU/Linux doesn't have a big enough god. And when they use the software, they are aware that few people use this software for the desktop. So they come in not feeling secure. The warps their perceptions from the beginning.
  112. Ahem... by Wonko42 · · Score: 2

    Not to be a bastard or anything, but this article was in the October issue of Wired. The latest issue is the November issue.

  113. It is even worse by Pac · · Score: 2

    For a capitalist closed source competitor, Free Software is a nightmare came true. You can't out-invest it, you can't bankrupt it, you can't stop it.

    Worse of all, you can't even beat it by developing a better technology. Because we don't care.

    They tell us Word is at least two or three years ahead of StarOffice and we smile at them with a condescending look. They look into our eyes and slowly came to see the little bright spot in there. They leave quickly, because they know we must be mad. Because that little bright spot spells victory.

    You see, Free Software does not really have to care about marketshare in the small. Wall Street is not measuring us each quarter. And if I can't finish it, because I don't know how or don't have time, my eventual sucessor will. Or my sucessor's sucessor. Who cares?

    As for technology. we eventually catch up. We always had. Free software has already developed the best WebServer in the market and two or threee of the best operating systems. We can and will some day come up with the best Office suite. It is just a matter of time.

    1. Re:It is even worse by Andrewkov · · Score: 2
      Good post. But can Linux be all things to all people? The article raises a good point, Linux's streangth is in servers, not the desktop. Ease of use has a long way to go in Linux ... For instance, today I had to set up a Windows 2000 machine to accept incomming calls for MS Netmeeting. Having never done this before, I had it figured out, running and tested in under 15 minutes. The first time I did something similar in Linux, it took 15 minutes just to get half way through the PPP Howto, and probably close to a full day to get it set up so I was happy with it. Granted, Linux is way more configurable and secure, but it shoulnd't be as difficult as it is.

      I don't know what the solution is .. It would help if all developers could agree on a standard format for config files, and provide a GUI applet to set up their program (kinda like Windows Control Panel), but there are many other things about Linux that are too difficult.

      You're right about one thing, though, it is always improving. And like the turtle vs. the hare, slow and steady wins the race.

    2. Re:It is even worse by statusbar · · Score: 2

      For a capitalist closed source competitor, Free Software is a nightmare came true. You can't out-invest it, you can't bankrupt it, you can't stop it.

      Correct.... But you CAN lobby to make it ILLEGAL.

      --jeff
      --
      ipv6 is my vpn
  114. False Premise by Picass0 · · Score: 2

    If ever programmer working on KDE, Gnome, OpenOffice, Mozilla, and all of the programs/environments the article says are redundant efforts - if every programmer quit how far ahead would Linux be in the enterprise

    Not much further than right now.

    The article takes the false assumption that all of the creative energy aimed at the Linux desktop is a resource diverted from core development. Not so. There are programmers who wouldn't know how or have no interest in kernel programming. Not every developer would by default work on system library building, server-related issues, or hardening security.

    These so-called side projects and diversions are efforts that re-enforce, not detract from, the growth of Linux.

  115. Linux vs Windows by Felinoid · · Score: 2

    It's fairly easy to look at the defecentcys of Linux and see how it will never messure up to Windows.
    It's easy to look at the defecentcys of Windows and see how Linux must grind it into dust.

    But when you look at both the picture isn't so clear.

    Linux has many destros that provide diffrent behavures...
    This makes it hard for closed source develupers to make binarys than run on all Linux systems
    vs Windows

    However DLLs on Windows are installed automaticly. Even bug fixes threaton to cause all existing software to not function. Two computers in the same office don't behave the same simply becouse the software was installed in a diffrent order.

    In short it's a crap shoot eather way..
    The best bet for Linux is develup for the majority and for Windows is to work closely with Microsoft.
    Those tactics seem to work well.

    Linux isn't user friendly so staff must be trainned to use the system
    Windows staff need to be trainned to avoid doing what Windows experts consider stupid such as open e-mail with file attachments..
    [Sorry it seems perfictly reasonable that an e-mail program wouldn't offer an easy way to destory a system...]

    Trainning is unavoidable.. With Windows the person who sleeps through the trainning will destory the system with Linux the person who sleeps through the trainning won't be able to do a dam thing.
    Fire him...

    Windows is buggy and Microsoft tends to not want to release bug fixes for "features" [e-mail viruses again]
    Some Linux destros are worse and have even more insidious behavure.

    All the games are made for Windows...
    Well all the commertal ones.. the freebes are all Linux...
    The best ones are on game consoles.
    I play games on my palm...

    For every problem there is a counter issue..
    Windows servers can send raw HTML and image files realy fast.. but don't do dynamic content very well.
    Linux isn't that much slower but image files are big enough to make this an issue.

    Tit for tat...

    Linux was born as a desktop I think everyone is far to willing to forget this...

    It's all dependent on what you want and need.
    To expect one to crush the other is really nieve.
    I think Linux will reach equalibreum with MacOs and the two will crush Windows...

    --
    I don't actually exist.
  116. preferences, not differences by mj6798 · · Score: 2
    What people like this guy miss is that the MS Windows applications are not uniformly better. Word makes one set of tradeoffs, TeX/ispell/Emacs makes another set of tradeoffs. MS Word is easy to learn and that's why lots of people like it; but for advanced users, it gets in the way more than TeX and similar tools in my experience (I have used both).

    Many people in the US like to be able to do things without spending a lot of time learning stuff. Microsoft caters to that market. However, the market for the real UNIX/Linux desktop tools is large enough that it won't go away.

    One size doesn't fit all, not when it comes to cars, clothes, or operating systems.

  117. Urban legend candidate by rickmoen · · Score: 3, Interesting

    [Cross-post from the LinuxToday thread:]

    Just mulling over Russ Mitchell's anecdote about his former employee, Anne Speedie. That description of her files being deliberately clobbered by a smarmy, scrawny, black-t-shirted Linux technician has such a conveniently mythic quality about it, doesn't it? We have the stereotyped Linux geek. We have the unrepentant and gleeful callousness. We have the outraged but helpless everyday office workers, persecuted by the former.

    Seems tailor-made for Mitchell, doesn't it?

    The more I think about it, the more I suspect that the story has, to quote Tolkien, "grown in the telling". Or, more specifically, that crucial parts of the story have been strategically omitted.

    For instance: Mitchell (then Speedie's boss) says he confronted the scrawny, black-t-shirted technician about the deliberate mass-deletion when he was just supposed to "get some dial-up software installed", and the latter just stared back and smiled. And...? At that point, Mitchell and Speedie just dropped it? Why on earth would they do that? Wouldn't the logical next step be to escalate up the IS Dept. organisational foodchain? The account as written more than strains credulity; it leaves credulity in a body-cast.

    Could it be that Mitchell's assertion about "getting some dial-up software installed" is a fabrication, and that Red Hat's IS Dept. has a firm, well-publicised policy that company-issued laptops will be reloaded with the supported Red Hat Linux load, when sent in for service, unless the user makes specific arrangements to the contrary? Could it be that Mitchell knew that Speedie had no cause for complaint, but is just incensed that his former employer didn't let him override software policy on company-owned machines?

    Could it be that Speedie ignored company directives about data-file backups, or that her files were in fact backed up for safekeeping, but she and Mitchell are just steamed about losing her unauthorised and possibly bootlegged modifications?

    We don't know any of this, because telling the latter half of the story doesn't help Mitchell's polemical stance. But it's not difficult to guess what he doesn't want to tell us.

    Rick Moen
    rick@linuxmafia.com

  118. Re:Fire the dumb tech by Andrewkov · · Score: 2
    There are several aspects of this article that just don't seem right ... the tech installing Linux to fix her problem? It's funny, but hard to believe it would really happen.

    I wish I could do that to the next luser that walked into my office!! ;-)

  119. Rambling drivel by rickmoen · · Score: 3, Insightful
    [Cross-posted from the LinuxToday thread:]

    I strongly suspect that Russ Mitchell's whiney apologia for failure wouldn't have had a prayer of seeing print if he weren't -- let's see, isn't it brother-in-law of the managing editor?

    Anyhow: Mitchell was one of the lightweights brought aboard as part of the short-lived San Francisco Web operation. I suspect he was with Atomic Vision, the Web design house, when Red Hat acquired it and then tried and failed to get them to produce useful work: Wide Open News started out fairly pathetic, and never got better. And for that botched job, Mitchell got a hunk of San Francisco real estate? Hmmpf.

    Speedie needed to use Microsoft Word because the Linux word processors at her disposal were saddled with spellcheckers so abysmal they caused more problems than they solved, skipping over misspelled words and offering bizarre alternatives for words spelled correctly.

    Such drivel. Even the system's built-in ispell utility provides excellent spelling checking.

    Conversely, Linux managed only 1.5 percent of shipments in the desktop market in 2000.

    This is of course the time-honoured pastime of playing games with numbers. He's almost certainly quoting some uncredited source (if any) on preload sales, which tells you nothing at all about the amount of Linux actually in use on desktops.

    PC makers are concluding that consumer Linux is too small a market to mess with: Dell Computer recently dropped Linux from its desktops and notebooks.

    Actually, Dell never did support Linux in any meaningful way: You even had to pay a sizeable premium to get a Red Hat preload, compared to getting the much cheaper bundle with Win32 crud and then loading the Linux distribution of your choice. Smart people did the latter. All that's changed is that Dell dropped a basically worthless configuration option, and simplified the conversation scripts that their telephone support people are allowed to follow. And guess what? The number of Dells with Linux on them, despite vendor neglect, continues to climb.

    ...anti-Microsoft ranting...

    The charge is obligatory in this genre of article, but, honestly, the place you hear the overwhelming share of anti-Microsoft ranting is from that company's captive user base, not from those who've eluded its grasp.

    A decade later, Linux is lauded as a technical success. But as a business, it's a flop.

    Notice how, here, he completely changes the subject of conversation. The article was purportedly about why Linux cannot "win the desktop" (tra la), but now he's talking about the fortunes of companies. Not the same discussion at all. (Probably, the unstated assumption is that development of worthwhile software requires well-funded companies devoted to them. Which is not obviously the case.)

    What if all the effort that's gone into writing desktop drivers that peripheral outfits don't care to support were redirected toward drivers for corporate environments?

    There are no such thing as "desktop drivers". This passage is gibberish -- but it's obvious that Mitchell is entirely clueless about the technology.

    Linux has been on the industry's radar screen since the mid-'90s, yet the vast majority of applications available for Windows and Mac don't exist for Linux.

    The trick when you're making a non-sequitur argument like this is to carefully avoid stating it explicitly, but instead only imply it. Then, people probably won't notice that you've just pulled a fast one.

    To wit: Mitchell is implying that the only way productive and useful software comes into existence for Linux desktops is to be ported from Win32 or MacOS. Which is, of course, completely false. But he's preaching to the choir of people who've never heard of any other software, and who refuse to believe that such software exists unless they see it shrink-wrapped on the shelf at CompUSA.

    I would wager good money that, in the year that Mitchell impliedly attempted to use Linux, that he made no effort at all to truly attempt to acclimate himself to the thousands of packages that Red Hat's IS Dept. undoubtedly handed to him on a platter. Instead, I'll bet he sat back and whined about how much he wanted back his MS-Outlook, MSIE, and so on, not caring about the security exposure to his company or really anything else.

    [Michell has a passage where he complains about alleged lack of hardware support.]
    You'll note that Mitchell's idea of where to look for hardware support is, invariably, to visit the manufacturer's Web site. Consider: A full year of working for a Linux company, and it never dawns on him to start with the Linux Documentation Project or with Google. Simply amazing.

    Nontechnical users continue to have a hard time installing Linux.

    Guess what? Non-technical users continue to have a difficult time installing Microsoft operating systems, too. But I'll bet that Mitchell has never actually installed any OS in his life. He probably thinks he has, harking back to the day that he put his name and S/N into a preloaded Microsoft "welcome" screen, and then (of course) rebooted.

    Matthew Butterick, a former member of Red Hat management who ran Web operations from the company's 35-member San Francisco office, disagrees.

    Right: The Atomic Vision Web weenies are clearly expert on OS technology and strategy. {cough}

    Frankly, KDE 2.2.x strikes me as a good bit easier for naive desktop users to learn and become productive with, than are Microsoft Corporation's messy and inconsistent desktop offerings. But Mitchell and Butterick's yardstick is, predictably, people like themselves who will settle for nothing other than exactly what they're already useful, and will whine until they get it.

    Serious technical issues must be resolved, the biggest of which is scaling.

    Yet another subject in which Mitchell is clearly out of his depth. Scaling can occur in any of several ways, not just the SMP approach Mitchell discusses briefly. In the latter area, with the 2.4.x kernel's ability to scale well to around eight CPUs on a motherboard, Linux has surpassed all but a couple of OSes, without the sluggishness on uniprocessor systems typical of, say, Solaris. But one can also scale by switching to faster CPU architectures, or through one of a couple of different varieties of clustering. And guess what? Linux is a leader in both areas.

    Gartner's Weiss understands Linux's appeal to IBM.

    It's not surprising that Mitchell digs up quotations from Microsoft Corporation's chief shills in the IT industry, Gartner Group. (It's usually analyst George Weiss, these days. It's unclear where the formerly ubiquitous Rob Enderle has gotten off to.)

    So: You won't learn anything about Linux from this article, but Red Hat's early closure of its San Francisco Web office becomes suddenly much clearer.

    Rick Moen
    rick@linuxmafia.com

  120. Yes But by einhverfr · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The reason why the war has not begun is that the marketplace is changing. Microsoft's business model has historically been based around the idea that if they sell lots of copies of the software they can cut their prices AND provide greater profit. I am not bashing Microsoft here-- this was their greatest innovation and without it there might not be ANY open source software. Certainly the Intel platform would not have gained the ubiquity it did without a common OS marketed through a company that is not tied to a single hardware vendor (as is IBM).

    This market has been immensely successful but it only works when people are buying software regularly. This is breaking down as the hardware market saturates (and few people actually upgrade their software regularly outside of the /. crowd). So Microsoft will have to go to subscription licenses in order to maintain revenue.

    In other words, past performance is no guarantee of future profits.

    --

    LedgerSMB: Open source Accounting/ERP
  121. Worst advice ever. by DunbarTheInept · · Score: 2
    So someone claiming to have good business sense actually suggests that Linux advocates give up on the desktop altogether as an unwinnable battle and instead concentrate of Linux's strengths?

    Worst.. Advice.. Ever..

    Give up the desktop to MS and we end up giving up the server as well. It is MS's strategy to use their desktop dominance to take over the server side as well. And it can be done. What difference does it make that Linux can run a good server when MS continues to hijack the protocol standards, and MS has final say over what the OS on the client machines is?

    Lose the desktop, and then lose the server. And no, we don't need to *win* the desktop, per se - just have a respectable enough percentage that the world isn't totally MS desktops everywhere.

    --

    Don't label something "offtopic" unless you know the topic well enough to tell what's on topic.

  122. He also gave advice to get out of the desktop by DunbarTheInept · · Score: 2
    He also said that Linux should give up on the desktop because MS has already won there.

    As I've just posted in another thread further down - that's the worst advice ever. I agreed with his points about OS Bigotry getting in the way, but he's an idiot for suggesting that the desktop market should just be ignored. If MS gets 100% control of the desktop, then all other servers (not just Linux) on the market will die shortly after that. (Think "embrace and extend" - applied to network protocols.)

    --

    Don't label something "offtopic" unless you know the topic well enough to tell what's on topic.

  123. Open source people under-communicate. by Futurepower(tm) · · Score: 2


    Why Microsoft is About to Lose: The Slashdot story is called, Why Linux is About to Lose. Journalistic fairness demands that the other side get attention. DCE/RPC.net lists numerous projects that will replace Microsoft: Open Source Win 2000 directory services, an MS-Exchange clone for Unix, an MS SQL clone, a .NET logon service, and others.


    Jon, respectfully, it amazes me how much open source people under-communicate.

    I took your post above (#2451850) and re-wrote it, using exactly the same information. My version is 100 times stronger. You call your post a tangent. How can what you said be a tangent? It is EXTREMELY relevant. It changes everything.

    There are legitimate times to stand on the rooftops and shout. This is one of them, it seems to me.


    U.S. government corruption: What should be the Response to Violence?

    --
    Bush's education improvements were
    1. Re:Open source people under-communicate. by jonabbey · · Score: 2

      I called it a tangent because even if those projects achieve perfect, complete success (and patents and the like may well make such impossible), Microsoft's control of the clients will still allow them to push the client away from the (newly freed) protocols and standards towards something which they can and do control. Or at least towards something that will act as a network effect driver to keep their software relevant long enough while we chase them down.

      I posted the dcerpc.net link because I do think that it's fantastic work.

  124. Nope. by Chris+Johnson · · Score: 2
    (Slashdot ate a long involved essay- I can't exactly duplicate it and so I'm going to be a good little slashdotter and just present conclusions without supporting argument ;) )

    Nope.

    (well, maybe a _little_ more ;) ) The problem here is, the author of this article lives in an immediate-gratification world in which there is no possible reason to use some other software if the MS one has more features and has lock-in.

    It is quixotic to pick a solution that is known to be doomed to 'lose', if you care more about 'winning versus losing' than you do about meeting specific demands and accomplishing defined tasks.

    However, only through the quixotic does the world progress: inevitably you'll find there are other, hidden advantages to the 'loser' choice, that are being ignored by the 'win/lose' mentality.

    Instead of having a do-everything-for-you mail client, some choose immunity from Microsoft-hosted mail worms. Instead of defining a journalist as someone with a really GOOD spell checker, some define a journalist as someone who's read and written so much that they can spell all by themselves. (CmdrTaco is not necessarily a journalist- he is an essayist of links. We don't turn to him for skilled presentation of all information, we turn to him for quirky presentation of _his_ personal choices in information. He needs no spell checker to be valid- but he's not a journalist.)

    Insisting on maximum immediate gratification is a childish thing, and Microsoft's children are numerous- indeed, they outnumber all other computing factions. However, the question to ask is- when you want a bridge built, or an article written, or an educated opinion delivered on a subject such as the relevance of mass popularity to effectiveness as a desktop computer user- do you ask a child?

  125. The essential point is Freedom by Vryl · · Score: 2
    Which the author totally, absolutely missed.


    We have multiple desktops to escape micros~1 hegemony. If we win the desktop marketshare war, fine, if not, fine also. I now have choice, something gates & co would like to remove.

  126. Wired's fate. by Eric+E.+Coe · · Score: 2, Insightful
    Yeah, it went into the same toilet that Byte went into: on-target geeky magazine gets popular, bulks up, ad's are first targeted at geeks (and are actually worth reading) gets bigger and needs more money, starts aiming at the geek's managers and IT people with purchasing power, ads get slicker and start losing meaningful content, editorial policy (commentrary and article selection) becomes aimed at brown-nosing management, magazines lose revelancy for geeks, who stop buying/paying attention (Remember the "Push" issue of Wired? That's when I knew they had lost it). Magazine is no longer cool, loses readership; ad revenue starts drying up, magazine more desperately targets IT management in editorial policy (instead of returning to it's roots), becomes totally irrevalent, dies painful death.

    It's pretty sad.

    Replacements? Why, the web, of course - who needs dead-tree magazines any more?

    --
    An esoteric scratched itch:
    Homeworld Map Maker Tool
  127. Using Linux at work by RennieScum · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I read that article when it came out in Wired, and thought it was crap. That's been well-beaten here, so I won't get into it. But basially people are willing to accept a system that does everything, no matter how poorly, than something that does a few things very well, and somethings it can't do (yet)

    I run an ecommerce website, admin a dozen-ish desktop computers with vastly different needs (sales, accounting, shipping/warehouse, development). We use Linux for the server (always have) and that's how I cut my teeth using Linux. I had always been eye-ing it for the desktop, and about a year ago I tried it out, first on my ancient 586 laptop, then on my new tower at home, and now I keep it on my desktop at work. I've had a ton of problems with w2k, and I had to ditch it at home and go to 98 (had to ditch 95 too), but that' mostly a game system and TV/VCR.

    I've been studying the feasibility of switching the others at work to a Linux system.

    Less than half of the office staff has a computer at home. Those that do have gotten them in the past year. Many of them have terrible usage habits, mainly from lack of training. They save images as W*rd documents, browse the web in Outlook, and generally do things that I would never have thought possible until they actually do them. No matter what system these people are using, if they aren't taught how to use them, they will make silly mistakes.

    People also have this idea of computers that they will do all the work for them. They don't understand that, yes, even in the year 2001, computers have limited resources, people don't like spending 20 minutes downloading TIFF files, and the like. It has become so EASY to screw things up using a computer, that I'm about to scrap the mess and go back to Xerox, film, fax, and snail mail, since that's what these people understand. But even with all of the shortfalls, using computers saves lots of time and makes things possible that wouldn't be without them.

    Sadly, the possibilities for using Linux in our office are limited. Sales needs a good contact management system, something they can browse through while on the phone with people. instead, they use Outlook which, although it's a virus risk, it's easy enough for them to use, they all know it, and until someone points me to a similar system in Linux, I can't switch them. Everything else they do (email, basically) I've got covered.
    Accounting is hopelessly entrenched in Microsoft. We just got an expensive accounting package that's MS-only. I spent a lot of time looking for an industrial-strength accounting package that was open-source, or even just available for Linux...no dice. Same thing with our shipping department...carriers aren't getting anything out of developing software for more than one vendor's OS,

    The only way around this is go develop/extend web-like apps for CRM, which is in the long-range plan. phpGroupware is a nice package, but a little rough around the edges, but I'll help fix that when I get a little more time

    And as far as my department...I and my assistant both have Win2K and RH7 on our drives...and we have problems with both, surprisingly similar ones. One scanner we have only works in Linux, and vice versa with the other one. Printing/communication is fine in both (it was strange installing HP drivers on my Linux box).
    As far as the Gimp goes, it doesn't do what I want. I need to do heavy batch operations and corrections on whole rolls of film at a time, and according to everything I've seen, it's a limitation of Scheme/script-fu that won't allow this to happen. I'll look into using Python, again, when I get the time. But for now, we use Photoshop, which I have 50 scripts for already, and it takes no time for me to make more.
    So even while I stay in Linux 99% of the time, I still can get rid of that damned Microsoft OS. And although we;ve got an office full of people who are prime to learn any OS, I can't give them anything but MS. I'd also have to spent a lot more of my time training users, and less time doing what I enjoy

    As far as the future goes, Linux has got a lot more potential than people realize. It's always fresh (we just bought an OS from MS that was released in 1999!) and you can't get current without paying. And I find getting things done in Linux is much faster...UI wise. Find/replace in Windows is a sick joke.

    Oh, and this document was spell checked using ispell! Works fine for me, but when I tried to select the text to re-copy it into the browser, I got hung for 4 minutes in a stupid text-scrolling loop where it insisted on processing every scroll-up-line command, one-by-one, redrawing the screen -each time-, way back into the scroll buffer. Not a good thing to do to a Pentium with XMMS and Mozilla loaded and running...Gnome bug?

    --
    ...Time is the best teacher, unfortunately it kills all of its students.
  128. Linux wins today at work by theMissingLink · · Score: 2, Informative

    This author really missed the boat. I can't believe he worked at Red Hat and didn't understand that Open Source software is written because people want to write it. Not because they feel a need to make Linux win some war in some abstract sense. I'm not surprised he does not work at Red Hat anymore with a lack of understanding of Open Source shown in this article.

    On to a winning day for Linux at work. I am an IS manager for a fairly large semi-conductor company. I use a Linux Dell laptop for all my work. Today I watched my guys install 5 new Linux Athlon workstations and remove 5 Suns workstations from design engineer's desks. The 5 Athlons have 3 times the RAM, 10 times the disk and 1000 more CPU Hz than the Suns and cost about one 1/5 as much as Suns cost. Almost all of the design software needed is now supported in Linux. Within a year 100% is predicted to be. Due to the industry downturn we haven't bought a Sun in recent memory, but more Linux boxes keep showing up due to their much better value. Did I mention that most software runs at least twice as fast on a 1.4GHz Athlon than a 440MHz UltrasparcII?

    I also approved a dual 1.2GHz Athlon from Penguin Computing to replace an aging Sun E450 to run SAS statistical software. This dual system should run SAS about twice as fast as our 4 processor Sun. And the icing on the cake is our SAS license is about $20K less per year on the Linux server.

    Interesting development number 3. Due to the increase in MS license costs, the director of IS is interested in a proposal to use Linux on a pilot desktop project to replace Windows.

    So it doesn't matter what an out of touch commentator says. Linux will continue to move in where MS and Sun screw up by not beating the overall value of Linux.

  129. Open source people will find a way. by Futurepower(tm) · · Score: 2


    But Jon, you are not thinking like a marketing manager. You said, Microsoft's control of the clients will still allow them to push the client away...

    Your manner of looking at the future is helping something bad happen instead of something good. You and I both don't know what will happen. There are two steps: 1) open source gets the software, and 2) open source people find some way to keep Microsoft from being abusive.

    Yes, number 2 is difficult, but it is not impossible. Neither of us know what will happen. There are perhaps 30 legal cases against Microsoft now. I have heard that at least one of them is investigating Microsoft's secret file formats and protocols. It seems likely that what Microsoft is doing is so anti-competitive that it is against anti-trust law.

    It could happen that Microsoft is required by a court to publish all its secret protocols. If not, would you give $300 to support a case against Microsoft? I would. I think there are others who would give money also.

    The world does not handle abusiveness well. We should not let abusers run our lives.

    If you think like a marketing man, you will think positively. Eventually, open source will find a way.

    You have the same problem closer to home. Ganymede is being under-sold. This is VERY important!!!! It isn't only you. Most open source people are under-selling their work.

    Your said at the bottom of your first post, "Ganymede, a GPL'ed metadirectory for UNIX." There are a lot of people who don't know what a metadirectory is.

    You web site says, " GANYMEDE is a portable and customizable network directory management system

    Someone who thinks like a marketing manager will sell the benefit: Ganymede makes managing a large network far easier. Manage up to 20,000 computers remotely, from ONE computer.

    Jon, respectfully, you are too modest.

    --
    Bush's education improvements were
  130. Re:War is over? by hearingaid · · Score: 2

    Windows 3.x sucked hard for its time. Where were you then?

    Its competition was Desqview, MultiFinder, the Amiga OS... all vastly more usable.

    It won because M$ signed contracts with a large number of application providers to produce products exclusively for Windows 3.x. So, people bought Windows to run apps on then, just as they do now.

    --

    my old sig used to be funny, but then slashcode ate it and now it's not funny anymore

  131. Beginning of "Friend of the Court" brief. by Futurepower(tm) · · Score: 2


    Jon,

    The paragraph you wrote in the parent post gives you powerful legal standing. It is copied below, with improvements. Clean up the paragraph and send it to Congressmen and Senators. Send it to the courts!! File an amicus curiae (friend of the court) brief. The court clerks will tell you the necessary format. File the same brief at every court. There are more than 30. Offer to serve as an expert witness. (Ask to be paid expenses.)

    You'll meet interesting people. The governors of several states are bringing this case against Microsoft.

    The people in authority cannot do anything if no one is complaining. If you complain, you give them powerful help. You and your entire department are being hurt by Microsoft's anti-competitive methods. Five years of work hangs in the balance.

    _________


    Here is a re-written complaint. It is beginning to take the shape it would need to be filed as a friend of the court brief:

    As it stands now, the biggest single anti-competitive factor, by far, driving Microsoft server technology into businesses is the fact that Microsoft desktop operating systems communicate with Microsoft servers using a secret method.

    Microsoft Exchange, the mail server software, is forced into companies because Microsoft Outlook (part of office, and so bundled everywhere) must communicate with Exchange to do calendaring and scheduling.

    Exchange 2000 communicates in a secret way with Microsoft's ActiveDirectory. ActiveDirectory and Microsoft Windows 2000 are written in such a way as to force customers to use Microsoft software for DNS (or else a lot of hand work is necessary, or there is a lack of security). This is extremely anti-competitive.

    --
    Bush's education improvements were
  132. Re:War is over? by Karma+Sink · · Score: 2

    The reason this would be an obstacle is that you're thinking of dropping a grand on a piece of Apple hardware, which is where Steve makes all of his money.

    --

    When encryption is outlawed, ?o'AZ-,++o+i++##4AoA+-/-C++bI+/.+~
  133. Re:HUH? by dbrutus · · Score: 2

    Please don't confuse not having a vision and having a vision you don't like. Linux' vision is the creation of an operating system where the consumer is in charge. There isn't any manipulation, there isn't any politics in getting a functionality working in the OS. Nobody can tell you, you aren't important enough to have your changes in or that your patch is going to be delayed for months because not enough other people are having their business destroyed by the system failure. You can hire your own programmers and fix any mistakes. Have an itch? Scratch it! is a vision, just one you seem uncomfortable with.

    Have fun with your EULA!

  134. Skeptical by crucini · · Score: 2
    I agree. The tech was an idiot. Changing someone's OS, even if the software is unsupported is amazingly stupid, and almost criminally inept. He deserves to be fired.

    I see. You've convicted the tech of idiocy based on the testimony of two disgruntled ex-employees. Have you ever worked in tech support? Have you ever had to enforce an unpopular policy? If so, you should know that:
    1. Anyone who enforces policy will be hated by some users.
    2. Users do not generally hear the explanations given by tech support. They only hear that they will not get what they want. It's quite possible that this incident is part of a larger, companywide initiative, and that the user was quite clearly informed about what was going to happen to the notebook.
    3. Users lie. That is the single most important fact about tech support. Anything a user says about his past interactions with computers or tech support is suspect. They lie to conceal actions they should not have taken. They lie to keep their story consistent. They lie to present themselves as innocent, aggrieved parties in a dispute. They lie even when it should be obvious that logs or email will contradict their story.
    If you don't believe any of the above, please at least believe this: There are two sides to every beef.
    1. Re:Skeptical by Jason+Earl · · Score: 2

      Those are good points. I have worked tech support, and I agree that what you say is true. In fact, due to the flimsy nature of the rest of the article I must admit that I find this story hard to swallow. After all, I know for myself that Applixware's spell checker, while probably not the best example of a spell checker ever created, certainly worked well enough for anyone that writes for a living. Any user that wanted to switch from the company standard to something else with that sort of a flimsy excuse would get little sympathy and less support from me.

      So no, I am not convinced, but even if that part of the story was the literal truth, it still wouldn't lead to the conclusion that the writer proffered. The capabilities of Applixware as an office suite, or the actions of one lowly tech working at RedHat, are completely irrelevant when trying to argue that Linux isn't ready for the desktop. Applixware isn't the best office suite available for Linux, and the actions of one Linux user, no matter how egregious, do not change the fact that Linux has plenty of useful tools.

      In fact, for web publishing, it could easily be argued that it has better tools than the competition.

      Which is why I think that the article in question was a very poor one indeed. Even if you accept that the author isn't inventing the story from scratch, it doesn't make his premise true (and I personally don't buy the story).

  135. Don't stoop down to Embrace and Extend by driehuis · · Score: 2
    Hrrrmmmp. The idea to stoop down to M$'s level and create software that only runs on Unix is dangerous and self defeating.

    We've been their with web servers. A Unix based web server would beat an M$ based web server hands down. Guess what? M$ found it was an important market, and invested serious money into speeding up IIS, to the point where the "it runs better on Unix" argument broke down.

    Now don't get me wrong. I still think IIS sucks eggs, because of the opacity of the thing (do you know what your webserver is doing?), and its propensity for doing things the Microsoft Way. But I think it's dangerous to focus on "Linux only" server solutions.

    It's keeping the playing field level that counts. One thing that would help in new protocol development is to create mandatory compliance testing. Java's model, in this sense, is one I like, except I think it is a bit too lopsided in Suns favor.

    Being able to enforce standards compliance will provide the disincentive for an "embrace and extend" approach (and, if successful, will get M$ in "extinguish" mode -- the best thing M$ has done for open software lately has been their all-out attack on Linux and the GPL: ask any CIO in private about this war on Linux).

    --

    Bert Driehuis -- All I asked was a friggin' rotatin' chair. Throw me a bone here, people.

  136. So? by Pac · · Score: 2

    OK, it is a dead discussion by now, but let me take a chance.

    My answer to you implicit question is so what? Someone solved a problem and open sourced the code. You tried to use the same code to solve another problem. Whose faults is it that it crashed most of the time? Unfortunately yours.

    And as for process, most free software (take a look at SourceFourge) is indeed written by 3 or 4 people. Most good free software has code moderators to decide what goes in what doesn't (see Linux).

  137. Making money from the fall of Microsoft by Martin+S. · · Score: 2

    This is very true, and it's getting worse for M$, a recession looks set to help and bizarely the normal cost reduction should be good for the Open Source/Free Software.

    http://news.excite.com/news/ap/011022/06/earns-m ic rosoft

    This problem is going to cause M$ sever problems; The M$ share price will fall, they will cut investment, the share price will fall more, they will lose their 'famous names' the shares will fall further, it is a vicious feed back loop, before long the Microsoft Empire will be shadow of it's former self, like IBM in the 80's. We'll probably be really proud of our selves, "I defeated M$" we'll say, but it will have a hollow ring. We'll know in our hearts and minds that they where defeated by their own greed, lies and stupidity and not by Open Source/Free Software.

    However there is another way. I've been thinking about an idea for some time, waiting for the right moment, I happen to think that the time is soon, very soon. We'll be able to say "I [we] defeated M$" and it will be true. We take the Open Source approach, we help, help the share price fall that is. A little short here, a little put there, however we approach it on an open source scale, on the grounds that many bucks will make short work of M$ :)

    We short M$ on global scale.

    http://www.fool.com/FoolFAQ/FoolFAQ0033.htm

    Not only will we get to engineer the fall of Microsoft, we'll prove that open source community can make money, the delious irony of it :)

    Which brings me to one final question, is it ethical for an Open Source/Free Software advocate to make money from M$ stock?

    £$%^& ethics this is [Capitalism|Justice|Victory].

  138. Re:War is over? by flatrock · · Score: 2

    Actually, Microsoft had a hard time at first getting application developers to write Windows programs because doing so meant they had to rewrite too much of their applications. Microsoft went ahead and developed what became MS Office and ended up with the largest cash cow in the history of the software biz. There were plenty of now Windows apps available and many companies had both Windows and non-Windows versions of their software for years. I was there. I used it. It was buggy, but considering it's features, and the wide variety of software that was written for it, it was the best overall choice.

    I tried using Desqview, didn't like it. I use an Amiga some. There wasn't a wide enough variety of software available at reasonable prices for it to be a reasonable solution for me. Part of putting out a good OS/Operating environment is having good development tools so that people can develop for your product. Desqview didn't do that, they disappeared. Amiga never managed to managed to get a reasonable marketshare except in low end video applications, so no one would write software for them.