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Transforming Orbit Into A Wasteland

I found an article (Yes, the article is now 404) in the CNN Space section this morning, talking about a recent report at a UN Conference on space. The author of the reporter alleges that programs like Star Wars and the like would basically turn LEO ? into a "wasteland" for satellites for decades or even centuries. And the wonderful part is that NASA's Off ice for Orbital Debris will close in October, due to budget cuts, despite 10s of thousands of already existing debris. Yah. Have fun with space tourism!Update: 04/23 19:14 GMT by H : It appears that the CNN article was pulled - I can't seem to find it - but Space.com had another report on the subject. And Space.com has also the updated story that CNN was linking to - and the update may be why it was pulled, because it appears that the Office for Space Debris may have some salvation yet.

247 comments

  1. 404 by joedames · · Score: 1

    Page Not Found!

    1. Re:404 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Offtopic
      (Use the Preview Button! Check those URLs! Don't forget the http://!)


      Ahh, editors not following their own advice ... what are the odss ?

    2. Re:404 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      404
      Page Not Found!

      Since when is that going to stop any discussion on Slashdot?

    3. Re:404 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Incidentally, does anyone have anything to say about the fact that the 404 page is 40 kb. Where is the world of WWW going to?

      I am shocked.

  2. Nothing quite like... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

    a swarm of orbiting bolts around your planet to protect it against an alien invasion.

    1. Re:Nothing quite like... by spike+hay · · Score: 2, Insightful

      May I just remind everybody that LEO is a HUGE place. Way bigger than the earth.

      If you blow up a missile, the chance of a random space craft getting hit by a particle from the missile is very, very ,very slim.

      It's not going to be a scenario where a missile gets blown up, then the particles from the missile damage all these other spacecraft, causing more particles to go flying, and LEO is turned into a wasteland.

      Also, the vast majority of debris are small particles. These can cause damage, but they are unlikely to smash a spacecraft into tiny bits.

      This article's forecast is a little too grim. Don't worry about it.

      --
      If you don't understand any of my sayings, come to me in private and I shall take you in my German mouth.
    2. Re:Nothing quite like... by mrpotato · · Score: 2

      What about chain reaction? You blow a missile, some satellites get hit, get into tiny bits, blow up some others...

      The chances appears slim, but when you have thousands of fragments going tens of thousand km/h around, shit can happen quite fast.

      --

      cheers
    3. Re:Nothing quite like... by Psion · · Score: 2

      Yep, but every one of those collisions results in a loss of inertia. As orbital velocity drops, altitude drops. As orbital altitude drops, atmospheric drag rises.

    4. Re:Nothing quite like... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      yah whatever stick to the lambada world, buddy!!!! everyone knows that beta reduce to self is mastubatory!

    5. Re:Nothing quite like... by Xaoswolf · · Score: 1

      And let's not forget that the chance for re-entry would also rise, which would remove the debris from LEO altogether.

    6. Re:Nothing quite like... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It is OK. Don't worry. Global warming will cause the atmosphere to expand, which will slow the junk down, causing it to re-enter and burn up, following which, the smoke will cause global cooling, restoring everything to normal...

    7. Re:Nothing quite like... by JWSmythe · · Score: 1

      Your absolutely right.

      10,000 objects larger than 10cm
      100,000 objects larger between 1cm and 10cm
      > 10,000,000 below 1cm

      ...and most of it's contained in a debris field from 800km to 1500km in altitude

      http://orbitaldebris.jsc.nasa.gov/faq/faq.html
      Number 3 and 6

      10k objects larger than 10cm in a space larger than the size of the planet, and in a field that's 700km tall. I'd worry about objects like old satellites (visions of "Space Cowboys" coming to mind, hehe), but even then, it's like accidently driving your car into something like one of the great pyramids, but that's on a relatively flat plane, not a 700km space..

      --
      Serious? Seriousness is well above my pay grade.
    8. Re:Nothing quite like... by spike+hay · · Score: 1
      Blockquoth mrpotato:

      What about chain reaction? You blow a missile, some satellites get hit, get into tiny bits, blow up some others...

      The chances appears slim, but when you have thousands of fragments going tens of thousand km/h around, shit can happen quite fast.


      However, whenever somthing collides, it loses speed. Things in LEO are always moving the exact speed required for their altitude. Any deacrease in speed will cause altitude reduction. If you reduce speed enough, the fast-moving little bits will reenter.

      You don't have to worry about these horrible chain-reaction scenarios because collisions often mean the particles will go into reentry.

      Also, space is a goddam big place. If a misslile blows up, chances of a fragment large enough to do damage to a sattelite hitting somthing is very low. Remember, LEO encompasses a huge volume of space.

      Most space debris are tiny little things that weigh less than a milligram that don't do too much damage anyway. Large chunks are few and far between. I'd just say don't believe these disaster scenarios. They don't jive with the facts.
      --
      If you don't understand any of my sayings, come to me in private and I shall take you in my German mouth.
    9. Re:Nothing quite like... by krow · · Score: 2

      This is just a test

      --
      You can't grep a dead tree.
    10. Re:Nothing quite like... by mrpotato · · Score: 2

      cool, I agree, it seems quite logical.

      --

      cheers
  3. so what? by ZeroLogic · · Score: 0, Insightful

    I'm fairly convinced that if the military was planning on placing weapons in space, they would have thought this through enough to see this may be a problem. And, I'm also sure that they'll find a solution too.

    1. Re:so what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But what about the fact that much of the debris is from exploration and other peaceful endeavors, and that those types of things must and will continue, by all nations? Will they collectively find a solution? I'd like to think that about the stupidest usage of time and money is to put weapons into space.

    2. Re:so what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      We're talking about the same US military, right? From agent orange and depleted uranium causing cancer to unexploded land mines blowing children's legs off, to atomic fallout killing Pacific islanders, it's clear that the military often a) doesn't know or b) doesn't care about the long-term effects of its weapons. This is one of those cases where they could easily cause a problem that is insoluble with our current space technology, and may be for a hundred years to come.

    3. Re:so what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think the main objection to both spacebound weapon systems and anti-missle missle defense systems is that from looking at the military's proposals, they do not appear to have thought any aspect of things through at all to any serious extent, and certainly not thought it through enough to ensure efficiency or safety.

    4. Re:so what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      From agent orange and depleted uranium causing cancer to unexploded land mines blowing children's legs off, to atomic fallout killing Pacific islanders, it's clear that the military often a) doesn't know or b) doesn't care about the long-term effects of its weapons.

      I'd say it's (b). But then again, when you routinely have to deal with scenarios where your own people face sudden and permanent death at the hands of the enemy, the possibility of "someone else" having only the possibility of being "merely" injured doesn't seem such a bad price to pay for keeping your troops alive.

      In other news this evening, the latest division of U.S. Marines landed in Afganistan heavily armed with the latest advances in biodegradable pillows.

    5. Re:so what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Firstly, this is the military we are talking about. Secondly, even if the military thinks this through, the congerssmen with campain contributions from the manufacturers of these sattelites wont. There is a serious limit on how much faith I'm willing to place in any government to think.

    6. Re:so what? by hoggoth · · Score: 2

      > ... the military ... thought this through ... I'm sure they'll find a solution

      Don't be so sure. All the military cares about is padding their budget and a fat private sector job after they "retire".
      Read about how they faked the results of the missile defense tests.

      --
      - For the complete works of Shakespeare: cat /dev/random (may take some time)
    7. Re:so what? by danielobvt · · Score: 1

      Why would that be a waste? We are talking about a location from which you could employ weapons with a very low risk of the weapons platform being taken out (nobody has an active ASAT system in place right now..... Though if I really hated the US this would be my main goal...... US effectiveness would take a nosedive if someone ever nails our GPS, Spy and Comm satelites.... one might say that in a way we already have weapons out there, in the form of those satelites.)
      The best would be nothing more than guided steel beams(or the like) dropped from orbit. Maybe get the raw materials from the moon(from the earth is awefully expensive). This would be the ultimate kinetic kill weapon, and aside from the cost of getting it there (Could be mittigated by using lunar materials) it would also be very cost effective.

  4. Space Tourism.. by PopeAlien · · Score: 5, Funny

    ..and on your left you can thousands of chunks of space debris hurtling towards us. The smaller chunks burst into beautiful firework displays as they hit the windows of our touring craft.. the larger chunks? Well, lets just say thats why we had you sign all those forms before you took this tour.

    1. Re:Space Tourism.. by FortKnox · · Score: 2, Informative

      The smaller chunks burst into beautiful firework displays as they hit the windows of our touring craft.. the larger chunks?

      Read this
      The office closing only handles debris smaller than 1cm. Anything larger is handled by the US Space Command (military, not NASA).

      --
      Good quote, too many chars. Seriously, the slashdot 120 char limit sucks!
    2. Re:Space Tourism.. by Indras · · Score: 2

      And remember, in the case of a water landing, your seat may be used as a floatation device.

      --
      The speed of time is one second per second.
    3. Re:Space Tourism.. by Psiren · · Score: 2

      Geez, you only have to say "Shields up!" and problem solved. I've seen it on the TV so it must be true... ;)

    4. Re:Space Tourism.. by Peter+Trepan · · Score: 3, Interesting

      The U.S. Space and Rocket Center in Huntsville, AL has a display featuring a 1" or 2" crater that was put in the windshield of a Space Shuttle by an orbiting flake of paint.

      I'd hate to run into a 1/4" washer at 5 mi/sec.

      --

      Step into a huge movement. Don't Tread In Me.

    5. Re:Space Tourism.. by Omerna · · Score: 2

      And of course the military makes all the data they're collecting public, right?

      --


      No sig for you.
    6. Re:Space Tourism.. by scotch · · Score: 2

      Well, putting your alarmism aside for a second, the military (US Air Force in this case) will likely make catalogs of orbiting debris available when commercial spacecraft become a reality. They already make much of that information public, though I don't know if that includes information on all orbiting objects now.

      --
      XML causes global warming.
    7. Re:Space Tourism.. by nanoakron · · Score: 1

      That's because all of these orbiting bits are travelling at around 18000 miles/hour just to stay up there (freefall and all that). Otherwise gravity would bring them homeward much sooner.

      So imagine if you meet one of these bits that just happens to be orbiting in a different direction from yourself - about 36000 mph of impact energy pointed right at your shuttle window!

      That's where the problem comes in, we ain't talking about 10 or even 100mph crashes but 40000mph crashes...serious stuff.

      -Nano.

      p.s. I know that mph is speed and not momentum but couldn't be bothered to make my piece physically accurate.

    8. Re:Space Tourism.. by 56ker · · Score: 2

      I don't think you'd have long to think about it as all the air escaped from your space craft - but seriously - satellites/ space craft these days have shielding - similar in design to bullet proof vests but made of different materials. After all - if you spend x million putting a satellite up - you don't want it to stop working on day one!

    9. Re:Space Tourism.. by sharkey · · Score: 2
      Well, lets just say thats why we had you sign all those forms before you took this tour.

      • Just sit right back and you'll hear a tale,

      • A tale of a fateful trip.
        It started here in this Lunar port,
        Aboard this expensive ship.
      --

      --
      "Outlook not so good." That magic 8-ball knows everything! I'll ask about Exchange Server next.
    10. Re:Space Tourism.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hey, shouldn't you be whoring your website since you talked up the fucking 'boycott' like a drunk town crier? Do you understand fucking English, scab? Do you know what a boycott is? Are you a fucking slashdot addict that can't go two days without posting? Me thinks so.

  5. On the other hand by wiredog · · Score: 3, Insightful

    If someone launched several nukes at the US, and the US (lacking an interceptor system) launched a retaliatory strike, would we give a damn about the condition of low earth orbit?

    1. Re:On the other hand by brad.hill · · Score: 2
      Maybe we wouldn't care about LEO after a serious nuclear exchange, but the point to take away is that it's stupid to spend ALL THAT MONEY to build an interceptor system that is USELESS because the means and cost of disabing/destroying a satellite based interceptor system are trivial for those actually capable and intent on launching an ICBM based nuclear attack.


      This COMPLETELY IGNORES the EVEN MORE OBVIOUS fact that it is easy to mount a nuclear attack by means other than ICBM (and to possibly even avoid retaliation by doing so anonymously).

    2. Re:On the other hand by Stonehand · · Score: 2

      And if somebody makes an accidental launch, or if a false alarm causes a jumpy government to order a launch before the hotline rings? Would you like to be the one writing letters saying, "Well, we didn't think of that, so your relatives are all dead." ?

      Or if an SSBN or silo crew is bribed or seized by force? You do know that they're capable of autonomous launches for retalliatory strikes, right? And, unlike, say, "suitcase nukes", they're are quite a few, and you're not going to be able to lock 'em in a heavily secured warehouse anytime soon.

      --
      Only the dead have seen the end of war.
    3. Re:On the other hand by fermion · · Score: 1
      First, the notion of missile defense system as capable of destroying all warheads is a fallacy perpetrated by the pentagon and general media. Any attacker can use a variety of techniques (cryogenic cooling of the warhead, decoys, etc) to get a few warheads through. Rather, such a 'shield', as it has been inappropriately labeled, would be in place to minimize the damage from such an attack.

      This is also reason the system violates several treatises. Currently, the world has enough nuclear warheads to achieved mutual destruction. With the so-called shield in place, which, in our wildest dreams, might has an efficiency rate of 50%(remember we have not yet destroyed a single missile with the system in a fair test), this situation would no longer be the case. Of course, since missiles are much cheaper to build than a defense system, the enemy could just build more missles.

      Even in the case of the hypothetical rogue nation launching a single missile with several decoys (the cheapest way to attack), out ability to choose the real missile is a very difficult problem, which, as far as we know, has not been solved. It is easy to build and launch a large number of decoys. In fact, since we hope to intercept these thing in LEO, any additional junk will actually hinder our efforts.

      Secondly, as has been mentioned, detecting the real missle is a hard problem. If we introduce more junk into LEO, the place we hope to destroy the missles, tha problem becomes harder. From a defense point of view, a clean LEO is critical.

      Thirdly, such a sytem only protects against ICBM type delivery. It does little to prevent other forms of delivery.

      Given the US response on 9/11, I have little doubt of the response of nuclear attack, even if with no live missile penetration.

      As far as the importance of LEO in such a situation, see Fredik Pohl

      --
      "She's a scientist and a lesbian. She's not going to let it slide." Orphan Black
    4. Re:On the other hand by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If I was a "rogue nation" and had a nuclear weapon, the very last thing I would consider doing with it would be putting it on a missile.

      Why risk a launch failure when you can just put it in a shipping container on a boat bound for NYC.

    5. Re:On the other hand by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Here is one of the Air Force programs studing such a system

      http://www.specastro.com/ProgramsProducts/SBIRSL OW . sp

    6. Re:On the other hand by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    7. Re:On the other hand by gad_zuki! · · Score: 2

      lacking an interceptor system) launched a retaliatory strike

      Why would the US not retaliate after an failed ICBM strike? While that bird is still flying the US will already begin its relatiation with or without an interceptor missile. The interceptor, if it ever works, might minimize some the damage (depending on the attack), but WWIII has just begun.

  6. Bring back Salvage One! by saddino · · Score: 1

    It looks like it's high time for a return of my favorite series... ;-)

    http://www.geocities.com/CapeCanaveral/Launchpad /9 782/salvage1.html

    1. Re:Bring back Salvage One! by saddino · · Score: 1

      Errr....try this.

      Salvage One

  7. trash pickup is on thursday morning by mozkill · · Score: 1

    mabye someone should start thinking about developing a technology for picking up trash in orbit... or at least knocking it out of orbit selectively... sounds like well need it...

    --

    -- Betting on the survival of the media industry is a serious risk. I advise investing elsewhere.
    1. Re:trash pickup is on thursday morning by zaren · · Score: 1

      A few years back, someone created a web site based on the concept that after mankind moved into space, there were still homeless types who salvaged discarded satellite and rocket components and sold them for scrap.
      "The Bad Air and Space Museum", I think it was called...
      -----
      Is Dawin really an evolutionary OS?

      --
      Come to the University of Mars! Classes starting soon!
    2. Re:trash pickup is on thursday morning by Waffle+Iron · · Score: 2
      mabye someone should start thinking about developing a technology for picking up trash in orbit

      I wonder if you could make a solar-powered robot satellite that heads towards each piece of junk and snags it. It would vaporize the junk and feed it to an ion engine that propels it towards the next junk item. Kind of like Mr. Fusion without the fusion.

      I have no idea whether the minimal velocity changes between bits of junk would be too much to be powered by the junk itself. It would certainly require careful orbital plotting to work.

    3. Re:trash pickup is on thursday morning by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Sorry to post twice but...
      I strongly agree. Let's turn that space debris to raw materials. Clean up LEO, cut down the amount of stuff that needs to be hauled up the gravity well, and make money doing it.



      Build a system of robots that finds debris, cuts it up, hauls it to a refuse station, and reduces it to a reusable form.


      You use three types of robots.


      Many small mobile bots (solar powered and ion-engine driven) find space debris and boost it to collecting spots.


      The second type chops up debris and boosts it to stable higher orbits. More of the second type intersect at the higher orbit and bring debris to the third type, which


      vaporizes the debris (no big deal in space with unlimited solar power and no atmosphere), charges the vapor, and shoots the charged vapor down a long tube with a magnetic system designed to act like a big mass spectrometer, separating the vapor by composition and leaving hunks of iron, silicon, etc.


      Or use a low tech but more high maintenance design and spin the stuff to separate it. Either way you've got raw materials enough to say, triple the speed they're building the ISS with even the junk materials usable for shielding.


      Seems to me that this system could be built by graduate students from a school like Carnegie-Mellon for five or six million dollars, tops.


      Notes:If you think that solar power is too wimpy consider that with two or three hundred collectors in orbit it's no big deal if it takes a given collector six months to bring in a load. Also, the collectors can be programmed to keep a bit of debris and coat themselves in it, protecting them from radiation and prolonging their own useful life. Give the collectors swappable boards and perhaps a two year board replacement cycle and they should last for at least a decade each.


      As for how to get them up there armadillo aerospace and the like are more than capable of boosting plenty of small payloads to low earth orbit in the near future. Chances are the toughest issue would be the legal fooforah of who owns the abandoned gear. Guaranteed that as soon as people figure out that their dead telsat has market value LLoyds will be fighting the salvage declaration.

      So, if anybody wants to do this, look me up.
      Rustin H. Wright
      Information Geek, former inventor, founder and publisher, Reed&Wright


      pubgeek@netscape.net

  8. human = trash by rigur · · Score: 1

    Everywhere man goes, they literaly trash the place. sad.

    1. Re:human = trash by drDugan · · Score: 1

      trashing = profitable

      cleaning = not profitable

      In a world where money is more valueble than people, quality of life, and experience... this is not too surprising.

    2. Re:human = trash by JeanBaptiste · · Score: 1

      yeah. we should still live in caves. I think it was the harnessing of fire that started us on our path of world destruction. damn anti technology hippocrates. -yes I know thats probably not spelled right

    3. Re:human = trash by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What the PETA people, enviro-wackos, and other assorted nutcases out there want is for all of us to kill ourselves, because man is evil. That way the peace-loving animals can be free of man's oppression.

      Seriously, these nutjobs really think that way.

    4. Re:human = trash by JeanBaptiste · · Score: 1

      what bugs me the most is that all these environmental issues are somehow solved by a bigger government

    5. Re:human = trash by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0


      So what? We're also the only things
      around to care.

    6. Re:human = trash by jeeryg_flashaccess · · Score: 1

      ...and according to Slipnot...people = shit. So...if human = people then trash = shit. That means people = trash. Thus, and in a very confusingly circular fashion human = trash. You sir are correct.

      --
      Life is like pants... fit in or you don't fit in.
    7. Re:human = trash by JeanBaptiste · · Score: 1

      if it gets TRASHED enough then it suddenly becomes PROFITABLE to clean and not to trash

      Its called market driven economics, lefty... why doesn't 75% of the world understand the simple effects of supply and demand?

  9. not really by delphin42 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    "The author of the reporter alleges that programs like Star Wars and the like would basically turn LEO into a 'wasteland' for satellites for decades or even centuries."

    The article actually said that if other countries responded to programs like Star Wars by dumping tiny bits of space junk (gravel, marbles, or the like) to destroy satelites, causeing more space junk and destroying more satelites, etc, etc then the result would be a LEO wasteland. Putting a satellite in orbit doesn't necessarily increase space debris. Attacking satellites in orbit, on the other hand, does.

    --
    -- Adam
    1. Re:not really by SamIIs · · Score: 2

      if other countries responded ... by dumping tiny bits of space junk (gravel, marbles, or the like) ... the result would be a LEO wasteland

      I really like the idea of all the kosmonauts gathering together all their glassies and swirlies and launching them into space.

      Russian children are all forced to undergo the great marble-sacrifice, so their toys may be used to destroy the capitalist space weapons.

      Sam

    2. Re:not really by (startx) · · Score: 2, Insightful

      in other news, the cold war with russia ended 10 years ago, and random /. reads have no idea how you got modded up

    3. Re:not really by Porag_Spliffing · · Score: 1

      sending my massive army storming across your borders does not cause death and destruction. Your stupid peasants trying to resist are the problem :)

      --
      Maybe you live in interesting times
  10. Reread, Hemos by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    NASA's Off ice for Orbital Debris will close in October, due to budget cuts, despite 10s of thousands of already existing debris

    That office tracks particles LESS THAN 1cm large in space.

    Anything bigger is tracked by another office in the agency, and funding hasn't been cut on that office.

    1. Re:Reread, Hemos by skroz · · Score: 3, Informative

      That office being NORAD, located in Cheyenne mountain. So yeah, that one's covered budgetarily, methinks. You think they're going to pay for a door that big and let the thing close?

      --
      -- Minds are like parachutes... they work best when open.
    2. Re:Reread, Hemos by chaoticset · · Score: 1
      Particles that size can still cause significant damage; that's why NASA was tracking them. Read up on your low-gravity physics.

      Just because Senator Bumblehead thinks something is too small to hurt the shuttle doesn't make it so.

      --

      -----------------------
      You are what you think.
    3. Re:Reread, Hemos by MindStalker · · Score: 1

      Thats truly sick, (I assume anything less than 1cm isn't damaging??) To have an NASA office that sits around and surveys dust.

    4. Re:Reread, Hemos by skroz · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Your assumption is incorrect. A piece of dirt the size of a grain of sand could cripple the shuttle or any other orbiting body. Bullets (ok, small ones) are right around the 1 cubic centimeter range, and they kill people travelling only around 700 miles an hour. These pieces of debris are travelling in excess of 15000 miles per hour; they'll punch a hole through lots of things. Heat shielding, windows, astronauts...

      --
      -- Minds are like parachutes... they work best when open.
    5. Re:Reread, Hemos by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wrong, they dont track anything THAT small. Yes, b/c congressman from b.f. nowhere doesnt want all 'em nucular scientists getting all that $$$

    6. Re:Reread, Hemos by Caradoc · · Score: 1

      Bullets are in the 1cm range, and travel at considerably slower than orbital velocities, but don't seem to have much trouble disabling vehicles on Earth, as well as disabling the circulatory systems of various terrestrial creatures.

      How'd you like a .5cm hole through your body, in one side and out the other?

      With any luck, it'd be a clean hole.

      --
      Specialization is for insects. - R.A.H.
    7. Re:Reread, Hemos by DarkRabbit · · Score: 1

      My brother once hit me with a piece of orbital space debris ... once.

  11. Solution by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    NASA should build that giant hoover ship from Spaceballs and clean up a bit in orbit. Maybe one of the backstreet boys will volunteer to become Dark Helmet.

  12. A problem yes, but a military panacea? by ckaminski · · Score: 1

    For the military, why would this be a problem? Not every country has the radar network and detection equipment necessary to safely avoid this minefield of satellite debris. The kill ratio would still be unbelievably high, but in a war situation, confusing the playing ground with lots of tiny kill vehicles would be sure to raise hell with the opponents space platforms.

    This would play badly for humans in space, for sure... I'm not saying this is a good thing, only that it could be leveraged by a defensive or antagonistic military force. Drop a few marbles in an orbit liable to intersect a KH satellite, and whammo, less communication bandwidth over afghanistan.

    1. Re:A problem yes, but a military panacea? by Delight-Delirium · · Score: 1

      War is peace. Yay.
      love the way you prioritize......

  13. BAD idea by jrwillis · · Score: 1

    And the wonderful part is that NASA's Off ice for Orbital Debris will close in October, due to budget cuts, despite 10s of thousands of already existing debris.


    Maybe I'm a bit out of touch, but this seems like a REALLY bad idea to me. I mean shouldn't SOMEBODY be tracking all that junk?

    --
    Keep Austin Weird!
    1. Re:BAD idea by whoda · · Score: 1

      The US Air Force Space Command, and the US Naval Space Command do track space junk.

      The size of objects they track is around 4 inches diameter.
      That's the un-classified version, I'm sure they can track smaller items.

    2. Re:BAD idea by jrwillis · · Score: 1

      I had a feeling that this was true, but wasn't sure. Thanks.

      --
      Keep Austin Weird!
    3. Re:BAD idea by JeanBaptiste · · Score: 1

      I track all that stuff in my spare time


      and I vote lp!

  14. Page Taken Down? by ChenLing · · Score: 1

    The page does not seem to exists on CNN anymore. At least I could not find it on CNN or via Google in a 5 min search.

    --
    "You have the option of insanity. I do not. And that makes me crazy!" - Brian to Angela, My So-Called Life
    1. Re:Page Taken Down? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      www.spacedaily.com has the article

  15. The next X-Treme Sport by ackthpt · · Score: 1

    Spacewalking

    --

    A feeling of having made the same mistake before: Deja Foobar
  16. Down the Line by snowlick · · Score: 1

    This may not hurt us, but later generations will have one fat pickle on their hands. It's ironic that our government was considering opening up Anwar to oil drilling just in case, but won't take steps to lessen space debris. Space travel will be one of the biggest industries we've ever seen. We should do something to help it blossom. Maybe we should tell the higher-ups that there is oil on the moon. HUGE amounts of it filling the center like a big truffle. Then we'd have efficient space travel and a clean LEO in like, 24 hours.

    snow

    --
    Crystal Meth: Would you ingest somthing made from a poisonous gas and an explosive metal? You do it every day -- Salt!
  17. Given a Choice.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Given a choice between nuclear weapons hitting you
    and having a bunch of junk in LEO, which would you choose?

  18. Search for the "Westford Needles" project by mackerm · · Score: 1

    Yup... Space pollution began in earnest in 1961 when the Westford needles program INTENTIONALLY launched hundreds of thousands of short wires into Low Earth Orbit. It was an attempt to build a passive antenna for communication.

    Didn't work, but we still have lots of orbiting bits of wire from the Kennedy era.

    1. Re:Search for the "Westford Needles" project by Psion · · Score: 2

      Wait. If Westford Needles put up that much debris in 1961 (wasn't it '63?), then doesn't that argue against the threat of a debris cloud cutting off access to space? After all, we've been operating plenty of spacecraft in LEO all these years while the Westford junk has been up there.

    2. Re:Search for the "Westford Needles" project by angst_ridden_hipster · · Score: 2

      Actually, it looks like one of the cannisters that failed to deploy in the 60s did either deploy or get hit by something and pop open more than 20 years later.

      It'd be interesting to ask the LDEF and the Shuttle people if they've found any West Ford needles (or evidence of them) stuck in any of their gear...

      --
      Eloi, Eloi, lema sabachtani?
      www.fogbound.net
  19. On the otherer hand by Delight-Delirium · · Score: 1

    On the otherer hand, if they launch a few pounds of gravel into space before the nuclear attack, they will disable the "interceptior system" much the same way that the unmonitored debris will soon be disabling celphone sattelites.
    And who, in this modern world, is truly liable to launch "a few" nukes at the US??

    1. Re:On the otherer hand by Xaoswolf · · Score: 1

      It's not like we won't notice the Russians building a large missile with a gravel warhead. It's not like they can use a catapuly, can they?
      Also, a properly working interceptor system, should be able to take out the gravel missile before it has a chance to do it's damage.

    2. Re:On the otherer hand by brad.hill · · Score: 2
      Well, the ISS is pretty big. There's already speculation that if it were destroyed in a collision with space junk it would set off a chain reaction that would frag LEO. You could use an inertial gun to clandestinely launch stuff to destroy the ISS in a freakish "accident" that happens to also eliminate the interceptor system.


      And who's to say the gravel launch couldn't be disguised as a legitimate satellite launch. The deception wouldn't be apparent until too late. Only one missile has to make it up to disable the entire system, so such fraud is readily possible, where it is implausible with a full on attack.

    3. Re:On the otherer hand by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Uh yeah it destroys the interceptor that boots into orbit but not the attacking warhead? Hmm what are we missing here? This sounds like another "its impossible to shoot down an ICBM, don't confuse me with the facts"

    4. Re:On the otherer hand by Zoshnell · · Score: 1

      YEs, I can see it now...

      Evil Ex Commie Russian Commandant: Ready our Anti US Interceptor system! Time it with the launch of our devastatingly old 30 yr old ICBMs!!! ACHTUNG!!!!
      Ex Commie Assistant: Um, sir, we aren't German, and half of us aren't even communists. You're only talking to myself and a turtle you named Oktober.
      Commandant: SILENCE!!!! READY OUR GRAVEL MISSLE! We will show those capitalist pig dogs that Communism is foreversky! There are you happy???
      Assistant: Whatever sir. *Pushes red button* Missle deployed sir.
      Commandant: Good track it on the radar.
      Assistant: *Sigh* you mean the piece of paper with bad concentric circles drawn on it?
      Commandant: Thats the most sophisticated piece of surveilence hardware ever! It is completely undectable!
      Assistant: I'll just go look outside.
      *Assistant tracks missle as it reaches a height of about 40 feet then explodes. He then walks back in* Sir, it exploded about 40 feet into the air.
      Commandant: Good, now ready our nukes!
      Assistant: But they are only bottle rockets. Oh fine, whatever. *lights bottle rockets*
      Commandant: Have the Americans been destroyed yet?
      Assistant: Sure sir. The whole mile radius around us is yours for the taking.
      Commandant: Good, ready the troops!
      Assistant: grk! *Head explodes*

      --
      "Do you suppose that's why God lives in the Heavens? Because he lives in fear of His creations?" - Steve Buscemi
    5. Re:On the otherer hand by overunderunderdone · · Score: 2

      On the otherer hand, if they launch a few pounds of gravel into space before the nuclear attack

      Two points, 1) It's much more complex than simply launching gravel. 2) I would imagine that a space based weapon designed to shoot down missles would have a pretty obvious defense against a missile full of gravel.

      And who, in this modern world, is truly liable to launch "a few" nukes at the US??

      China, North Korea and Iran. It is depresingly easy to imagine a war between North and South Korea or between China and Tiawan where we face the real possiblity of a nuclear attack against the mainland US (China has implied EXACTLY that threat "Americans care more about Los Angeles than they do Tai Pei." - Lt. Gen. Xiong Guang Kai). You should perhaps take China of the list though because though they only have "a few" ICBM's capable of hitting us now they are already working to change that to "a lot". North Korea and Iran on the other hand will probably never have the capablity to have a very large number of nukes or ICBM's to deliver them so they would remain liable to launch "a few".

      Countries less likely to attack us but capable of it (in the future) are Pakistan and India. Like N. Korea and Iran they are countries that are unlikely to ever have huge arsenals of ICBM's capable of reaching us but are likely in the future to have "a few". I can't come up with a scenario where India is a threat but Pakistan is not the most stable country and a takeover by radical islamists is not very far-fetched.

      All that being said it is impossible to predict what the next several decades hold. History has not stopped: there will still be wars, revolutions, coups, dictators even the occasional insane demogogue. We don't really know who is "liable" to launch a few nukes at us but the list of who *could* keeps getting longer.

  20. You might. by brucmack · · Score: 1

    If the condition of low earth orbit is what caused the lack of an interception system, I would certainly care about its condition. I think the idea is that something should be done about it now rather than when the nukes start flying back and forth.

  21. NASA may be redundant here... by kbonin · · Score: 3, Insightful
    It should be noted that NORAD currently does a great deal of the work in this field, possibly making NASA's role redundant. I couldn't find a direct NORAD link, but here's one of their subcontractors that mentions they do some of the actual work at NORAD.

    There are also a number of reports of the shuttle having to maneuver away from debris, such as here, its worth noting that the warning came from "U.S. Space Command", i.e. NORAD, not NASA's orbital debris office.

    So some NASA PHB may think that NORAD's tracking is sufficient, and the money is better spent keeping the billion dollar dinosaur shuttle program flying...

    1. Re:NASA may be redundant here... by kbonin · · Score: 2

      oops, posted too soon. NORAD only tracks debris over 10cm, whereas NASA's program tracks everything else.

      I'd bet this funding will be restored, some PHB did as bad a job checking facts as I did... :)

    2. Re:NASA may be redundant here... by PhxBlue · · Score: 1

      I read an article similar to the one linked to at MSNBC's site this morning; the difference between the two agencies is that NORAD tracks anything over ten centimeters in diameter; whereas the NASA office is trying to track objects smaller than that.

      --
      !#@%*)anks for hanging up the phone, dear.
    3. Re:NASA may be redundant here... by martissimo · · Score: 3, Interesting

      you know, that report is slightly unsettling in some ways.

      What was expected to be a routine shuttle departure took on an uncharacteristic air late Friday when NASA mission managers scrambled to put together a plan to dodge the inbound chunk of Russian space junk

      so the International Space Station was going to possibly be struck by a 20 foot long piece of metal travelling at 25 times the speed of sound, but was moved successfully because the shuttle happened to be up there at the time. They discovered the possible collision 2-3 days before it was going to happen...

      Sounds to me that they were very lucky to have had the shuttle up there, if that's all the warning they can give, what will happen when a shuttle is not up in space and a threat is discovered?

    4. Re:NASA may be redundant here... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      NORAD does not track everything over 10CM. 10CM is actually roughly the lower limit of what they can track. In practice, NORAD tracks very little small debris. Basically it tracks live satellites, previously live satellites, rocket bodies, and chunks of debris that have an easily identified source. It's relatively rare that a new piece of debris is added to the NORAD catalog if it isn't easily associated with a launch or break-up. Basically, NORAD tries to track things that it already knows about. It doesn't put much effort into finding things it doesn't know about.

    5. Re:NASA may be redundant here... by angst_ridden_hipster · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Actually, I know someone who was doing research on this stuff using the radar systems out at Goldstone tracking station. Basically, you use two antennas - one transmitting a beam, the other pointing at some volumetric cross-section of that beam. The echo from stuff goimg through the beam gets detected by the other antenna, and you get phase information based upon the initial signal and the moving object's trajectory.

      The analog is shining a flashlight up into the dark and watching the light hitting dust motes.
      You can see very small stuff this way.

      And there's a lot more of it up there than you might think.

      The hazard, of course, is that if you run into some tiny fleck of crap that's in orbit, you may well be in trouble. Now, if it's in the same orbit as you (or nearly the same), you're OK, since the relative velocity is low. But if you're headed in the opposite orbit (worst case), you've got a very hgh energy kinetic weapon that will probably blow right through you... consider that a powerful rifle gives a bullet a muzzle velocity on the order of 4 k ft/sec, while orbital velocity is on the order of 25.5 k ft/sec (sorry for the US units, but you get the point). Since energy goes with the square of the velocity, you're looking at one wicked bullet, even if it is a lightweight fleck of paint!

      And historically, we've been pretty cavalier about spewing stuff around up there. Do a google search on the West Ford experiment, for example...

      --
      Eloi, Eloi, lema sabachtani?
      www.fogbound.net
    6. Re:NASA may be redundant here... by jo42 · · Score: 1
      > what will happen when a shuttle is not up in space and a threat is discovered?

      They're fooked, lad.

      If we where to launch JonKatz's butt plug into space, would it re-enter where it belongs?

  22. well by martissimo · · Score: 3, Funny

    you allready managed to /. yourself ;)

    1. Re:well by saddino · · Score: 1

      Oops! Alas, not my site, but that of another fervent fan. For those truly interested, google has a copy in its cache. Matlock in space!

  23. Space exploration is dead. by meepzorb · · Score: 5, Insightful

    It's a sad truth I have recently come to realize: Manned Space exploration as a major human endeavor is basically dead.

    The left has no interest in it, since space exploration has no apparent humanitarian value. The right has no interest (outside of defense) since it's a money pit. And the private sector has no interest in it since there's no obvious way to make a profit from it.

    If access to orbit somehow became cheap enough to be afforable to those who operate under different motivations and priorities, this might change, but given current aerospace and cultural trends I dont see that happening anytime soon.

    1. Re:Space exploration is dead. by PlaysWithMatches · · Score: 2

      Sadly I have to agree with you. When you look back at all the enthusiasm Americans (and indeed, the world) had for such things as setting foot on the moon, and when practically every friggin' launch was televised to eager audiences everywhere... Contrast that to today, and you realize just how much it's changed.

      The first thing that came into my mind when reading the parent post was Homer sitting at the TV, and a televised NASA launch comes on. He struggles to change the channel, the batteries fall out of the remote, etc. etc. I figure this is how a lot of people feel these days about NASA and space exploration. If it isn't warp drives, photon torpedos, and superintelligent androids, it's boring.

      --

      Mozilla's a nice operating system, but it needs a better browser.
    2. Re:Space exploration is dead. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "When you look back at all the enthusiasm Americans (and indeed, the world) had for such things as setting foot on the moon, and when practically every friggin' launch was televised to eager audiences everywhere..."

      That was only the case until Apollo 11. With the moon landing done, interest dropped like a stone, with only a brief blip due to Apollo 13's problems. One major reason for cancelling Apollo 18 and 19, when all the hardware had been built (and also meaning that Apollo 17 was the only mission that had a scientist on board).

      Believe me, by the time of Apollo 17 interest outside the geek community was stuff-all.

    3. Re:Space exploration is dead. by JHMartin · · Score: 1

      I have to agree for the short term. Space exploration proves that competition is a good thing. The simple problem is we have no competition at the moment. Our only real hope is the Chinese, they've been working on manned flights for some time and I think they're close to sending one up. Until we have competition the general public won't see any value in space exploration.

    4. Re:Space exploration is dead. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      > The left has no interest in it, since space exploration has no apparent humanitarian value - meepzorb

      Erm, big ass meteors?

      "Death is bad" - Sam Seaborn

  24. Small, but deadly by NickRob · · Score: 1

    Yes, they track things less than 1 CM, but if I went up, I'd be hoping they knew where it all ways- space debris travels at hundreds of miles an hour and could cous a tremendous amount of damage to any space craft it hits.

  25. A question to scientists. by interstellar_donkey · · Score: 2

    How long does it take for LEO orbits to degrade?

    Eventually, would'nt this junk just fall into the atmosphere and burn up?

    --
    The Internet is generally stupid
    1. Re:A question to scientists. by the_2nd_coming · · Score: 2

      there was a study done a bit ago. the earth atmosphere actualy expands from time to time and when it does, it pulls in some LEO Garbage. now, if that is a significant amount or not, I don't know, but its somthing.

      --



      I am the Alpha and the Omega-3
    2. Re:A question to scientists. by gorilla · · Score: 2

      Depends exactly where in LEO it is, and the size of the object. The higher you are in the exosphere, the lower the drag. The larger shape you present, the higher the drag. If you have a very large piece in a relativly low orbit, the answer seems to be about 5 years. For smaller objects, in higher orbits, it will probably be decades or centuries.

    3. Re:A question to scientists. by mmacdona86 · · Score: 2

      It's not the size, it's the ratio of surface area to mass. A high surface area to mass ratio will lose energy and come down faster. Smaller objects (in general) have a lot of surface area for their mass, and so will come down quicker.

    4. Re:A question to scientists. by jafac · · Score: 4, Interesting

      This is actually one of the reasons WHY LEO was chosen as the place for the ISS. It's "cleaner" space.

      The biggest threat (imo) is from polar-launched satellites (typically military surveillance), which produce debris which typically crosses the other orbits more frequently. Launch a satellite in a normal orbit, and all the space debris created will be generally moving in a similar orbit at a similar velocity. 17-20,000 mph. No space object is going to encounter another space object at 20,000mph because it's all going pretty much the same speed in the same direction at that altitude. Anything moving faster is going to gain altitude, and anything moving slower is going to lose altitude. It's the polar orbits that produce the danger.

      --

      These are my friends, See how they glisten. See this one shine, how he smiles in the light.
    5. Re:A question to scientists. by gorilla · · Score: 2

      I was going on the assumption that in space junk, the larger peices aren't going to be solids, they're going to be shells, which have a low mass, and therefore a low momentum.

    6. Re:A question to scientists. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Depends on a lot of things. Atmospheric drag in LEO kills you by slowing you down, making your orbit eccentric, sending you progressively deeper into the atmosphere, where you get still more drag.

      As an example, in the absence of any station-keeping propulsion, an object the size of one of the earlier manned spacecraft could remain in a 185km orbit for 50 hours. If it were at 370km, it would last about 5000 hours. Lifetime scales as 10**x

  26. covered by SpacePunk · · Score: 1

    "And the wonderful part is that NASA's Off ice for Orbital Debris will close in October, due to budget cuts, despite 10s of thousands of already existing debris"

    NORAD and Space Command will most likely continue tracking debris.

  27. what happened.... by Lumpy · · Score: 2

    To the AeroGel solution? create a gigantic (1KM square) "sponge" to sweep up the crap and then deorbit into a nice fireball?

    I remember hearing about that back in 1996-1997 on Beyond2000 on Discovery... a show that was the best they ever made and cancelled... Oh boy more fish/animal/cop shows.... yay...

    --
    Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
  28. The U.N and CNN? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    There goes two of the most reliable sources on the planet. i rank this one right up there with gobal warming and the plight of the palestinians.

    1. Re:The U.N and CNN? by JeanBaptiste · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      I hope your argument is sarcasm... CNN may as well run for a democrat senate seat they are so biased... dont forget about global cooling... maybe warming and cooling will combine for no effect... junk science at its best. Good science is generally not driven by political motives.

    2. Re:The U.N and CNN? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      CNN is Clinton News Network or Communist News Network.

      UN is filled with leftist, anti-american, ungrateful assholes

    3. Re:The U.N and CNN? by JimmytheGeek · · Score: 0, Troll

      You appear to be whining about an insufficiently rightward bias. CNN is right of center, FOX is right of loony-tunes.

    4. Re:The U.N and CNN? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      CNN IS RIGHT OF CENTER? Where can I get some of what you are on? What in the h3ll do you call left wing then?

    5. Re:The U.N and CNN? by JeanBaptiste · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      I dont know, CNN might be a bit to the left of communism...
      And the UN just wants a global government so some little fu(k country ending in -stan can tell the US what to do... at which point I hope the US has the sense to shut down this joke.

    6. Re:The U.N and CNN? by JimmytheGeek · · Score: 1

      They report on the Shrub planting a tree in a patently offensive attempt to appear pro-environment, and do not report on the wildly pro-polluter policies he's put in place since becoming Governor of Texas.

      They do virtually no labor reporting.

      They gave Ken Starr a free pass for 8 years. They are giving Kenny-boy Lay a free pass now. They are an active participant in Pentagon public relations and have been since the Panama invasion.

      I think the war in Afghanistan is the right thing for civilization. But reporting on it uncritically (civilian casualties, etc) is not.

      The ratio of right-wing interviewees to moderates is somewhere around 2 or 3 to 1, the ratio of right-wing to left wing is 20 -30 to 1.

  29. Sure! by Zen+Mastuh · · Score: 2

    Great idea! Why don't you (notice I said "you" and not "the Government" because I see you are a libertarian) just write a nifty lil' number-cruncher that runs behind a screen saver and tracks a finite set of space junk particles. If you aren't a coder, could you at least provide the $$$ or the organization skillz to make this a sourceforge project (imagine: spacejunk.sourceforge.net)? The server could run on some *n?x O/S so we won't lose all of our satellites every time someone gets a BSOD, but the particle matrix could be distributed to Win clients for greater coverage. Do you live in Europe? Maybe it could be 100% metric so we could avoid the rare problems that seem to plague NASA in the rightist media.

    --
    "What is the sound of one belly slapping?"
  30. yes really by sh0rtie · · Score: 2

    "Putting a satellite in orbit doesn't necessarily increase space debris"

    actually it does, the article at space.com says

    "Small junk, some of it created by rocket explosions, can rip holes in a spacecraft or disable a satellite by causing electrical shorts that result from clouds of superheated gas, called plasma, that are sometimes generated in an impact."

    so just the process of putting a satellite in orbit creates junk travelling at 22,000 mph

    1. Re:yes really by p3d0 · · Score: 1

      (I think 22,000mph is relative. Orbit speed is more like 11,000mph, so 22,000 comes from two things travelling toward each other.)

      --
      Patrick Doyle
      I mod down every jackass who puts his moderation policy in his sig. Oh, wait a sec....
  31. Re:what happened.... by the_2nd_coming · · Score: 1

    yeah, I realy enjoyed "Beyond 2000", "Next Step" and "invention" I wish they had not canceled them.

    --



    I am the Alpha and the Omega-3
  32. Fish-And-Chips by popeydotcom · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    Wouldn't the sentence 'I want to put a hyphen between the words Fish and And and And and Chips in my Fish-And-Chips sign' have been clearer if quotation marks had been placed before Fish, and between Fish and and, and and and And, and And and and, and and and And, and And and and, and and and Chips, as well as after Chips?

  33. Not Really A Problem....Yet by tarsi210 · · Score: 3, Interesting

    From the FAQ on the NASA Site:
    8). Does the U.S. Space Shuttle have to dodge orbital debris?
    Whenever a Space Shuttle is in orbit, the U.S. Space Command regularly examines the trajectories of orbital debris to identify possible close encounters. If another object is projected to come within a few kilometers of the Space Shuttle, the Space Shuttle will normally maneuver away from the object, even though the chances of a collision are only approximately 1 in 100,000. This occurs infrequently, about once every year or two.


    This seems to me to be a pretty small problem in the greater scheme of things, and if the Space Shuttle only has to dodge once or twice a year, we're doing pretty good so far.

    Of course, the point raised by NASA is just that we're doing ok provided that we continue to be aware of space junk and create our rockets and spacecraft and satellites in such manners as to reduce and/or prevent space debris. If the office closes, likely they'll keep someone at a radar somewhere to prevent the Shuttle and ISS and such from whacking a random chunk of hardware.

    1. Re:Not Really A Problem....Yet by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      1. The acceleration from even small manuevers can seriously disrupt microgravity experiments.

      2. Space Command's collision avoidance is for sh|t. They do not consider probability & object covariance in doing their checks. They just throw big "keep-out" zones around everything with no mathematical rigor.

  34. This again? by sunking2 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Stop being paranoid. You are far more likely to be run over by a stampeding elephant outside your house than you currently are of being struck by space debris (assuming you were in space).

    If you could collect all of the crap floating around in in orbit it probably wouldn't even fill a small landfill. You drive around in a car don't you? Rush hour traffic is a tad more congested than orbit is or will be in the distant future.

    Those are great scary little pictures that they put up showing all the garbage forming a ring around the Earth. Of course those dots are probably 1000000 times larger than they are in real life, but they do a good job of scaring people.

    Naturally these things need to be tracked but only for determining new orbits that need to be taken. By the time a cleanup is really needed technology will be able to present a viable solution. I don't see the point in spending millions/billions a year trying to solve it now and it certainly isn't worth losing sleep over.

    1. Re:This again? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Allright, and knowing that a sewing needle going at that speed could hit you like a speeding car, tear though an astronauts suit and seriosly damage any exposed systems on a sattelite, would you like to go for a space walk? Really? It would be like standing on a seemingly empty highway in the middle of the night, except there wouldnt be any noise headlights to warn you that a truck is speeding right at you. It sure looks good and empty here, but then again, people win the lottery, too..........

    2. Re:This again? by Psion · · Score: 2

      Thank you for preserving your wits in the face of alarmism. I wish I had some mod points for you!

    3. Re:This again? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There already has been 1 confirmed collision between tracked objects (google on cerise) and a few suspected. So much for big-skies.

      And then you have the possibility of a collision cascade. This is particularly of concern in geo and for operators of constellations of sattelites in similar orbits. Basically, if you have a collision you create more debris ... this debris makes it more likely that you will have more collisions ... more debris ... more collisions ... etc. The way orbital mechanics works, the products of any collisions will come back through the same point for quite a while. Perturbative effects will disperse them somewhat, but they still tend to pass though the orbit regimes of the original bodies.

      The odds are low, but a collision will almost always be catastrophic to the involved objects, and the long term problems created are serious.

      BTW, it would probably curl your hair to know how often operating satellites come withing 1 KM of each other. Sorry, I can't reveal my source on this one.

    4. Re:This again? by sunking2 · · Score: 1

      Are you the type of person afraid to go outside because an airplane may crash on your head? Or, all kidding aside, you are far more likely to be killed in your morning commute than an astronaut is to be struck be any sort of debris.

      And to add a bit to your analogy, that highway would be over 25,000 miles long, with a relatively few objects traveling on it. Those objects are also traveling on pretty much the same course as you with a pretty a fairly close velocity.

      As an aside, I happen to work for the company that makes the EMU and the studies have all been done. Suffice it to say there are alot of other more probable things that can go wrong than running into a fleck of paint off of an old booster.

  35. we never learn. by nooboob · · Score: 0

    it seems we have the same atitude towards space we had towards our waterways and oceans just a few years ago, i.e. it's a great big dump. If you can't see it, who cares? Wait until the shuttle cacthes a hunk of debris through the windshield, or when space tourism catches on (it will! it will!) and the area directly around Earth looks like Coney Island after a busy weekend. Charming.

  36. Fundamental Attribution Error by Zen+Mastuh · · Score: 2

    WRT Global Thermonuclear War, the only way to win is not to play.

    --
    "What is the sound of one belly slapping?"
  37. There's some real danger here by ramoth4 · · Score: 1

    There is some real danger here. Micrometorites and space debries hurdling at thousands of feet per second can punch a hole through an astronaught, the space shuttle, and a communications satilite without breaking a sweat. We need to protect our astronaughts and our communications network from further damage by cleaning up the Earth's orbit!

    On a side note...could we look at other planets for similar halos of space cr** to detect an intelligent race? Maybe.....

    1. Re:There's some real danger here by GutBomb · · Score: 1

      littering is not intelligent. :)

    2. Re:There's some real danger here by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, now we know why Saturn has rings. It must be the detritus of the comms network of the Greek/Roman gods. Evidently, it broke down roundabout the year 450AD, when Zeus/Jupiter was retired by Constantin at Nicea and the satellite network fell into disuse...

    3. Re:There's some real danger here by chainsaw1 · · Score: 2

      We can't even directly see other planets outside the solar system. The ability to see if there is crud floating around the planet which is approximately the size of a bolt would lead us to believe that we could probably see macroscopic man-made items on the surface first (similar to the Great Wall of China) before this stuff could be deteced (unless it cast some unique form of energy we could detect at very great distences. Most metals do not do this).

      Also, as the previous poster pointed out, you have to distinguish between generic and natural debris

      --
      - Sig
    4. Re:There's some real danger here by juank1 · · Score: 1

      That would only work if other intelligent life is as dumb as ours.

    5. Re:There's some real danger here by ramoth4 · · Score: 1

      Astronomers hope that the next generation of telescopes will be able to directly see other planets. There's an easy way to distinguish between aritficial and natural debris and satilites: the composition. You're most likely not going to find gold on an asteroid, but gold is used in satilites because it absorbs something like 98% of the radiation that hits it, and it's a good conductor as well (cf. gold plated astronaught helmets).

      To indirectly see these particles, you could look for flashes of light when they reflect the sun's rays, or you could look for a "darkening" of the light reflected by the planet in certain orbits (eg. geocentric, polar, and at Ell 1, 2, &c).

      There ARE ways to look at this, it's only a question of thinking in the right way to do so.

    6. Re:There's some real danger here by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If they think like you, don't count on them to be intelligent. Heck we can't see a damn foreign planet without walking a mile on our hands. And if they were intelligent, they're environment wouldn't be filled with trash like ours.

    7. Re:There's some real danger here by chainsaw1 · · Score: 1

      Actually, there are large amounts of heavy metals in some asteroids. this is why asteroid mining is discussed so much in "making space profitable" discussions.

      Granted it would *not* be pure... if it was it would have to have been refined, implying external, generic forces

      --
      - Sig
  38. Article text by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    (CNN) -- The use of weapons in space could fill the area near Earth with so much debris that satellites could not safely function for centuries or longer, warns a report to the United Nations.

    As part of the so-called "Star Wars" program, the U.S. military envisions powerful lasers and intercept missiles in orbit to protect against enemy missile attacks on Earth.

    But such high-tech defenses, as well as low-tech countermeasures, could transform low-Earth orbits into a veritable wasteland, according to physicist Joel Primack, who presented the report last week at a U.N. conference.

    "Even one war in space will [encase] the entire planet in a shell of whizzing debris that will thereafter make space near the Earth highly hazardous for peaceful as well as military purposes," wrote Primack and co-author Nancy Ellen Abrams.

    Moreover, even the prelude to such a battle could prove catastrophic, the two University of California, Santa Cruz, researchers said.

    And hundreds of billions of dollars' worth of futuristic military equipment could be rendered useless with a cheap and common material.

    "No actual space war even has to be fought," Primack and Abrams said. "Any country that felt threatened by America's starting to place lasers or other weapons in space would only have to launch the equivalent of gravel to destroy the sophisticated weaponry."

    A swarm of millions of floating rocks could disable helpless satellites, breaking down existing pieces of space junk and setting off an escalating chain of destructive collisions.

    Even tiny fragments could do serious damage. They can go as fast as 17,000 mph (27,000 kilometers per hour), 10 times faster than a rifle bullet. A marble at that speed could hit a satellite with as much force as a one-ton safe dropped three stories.

    The Bush administration would like to deploy some Star Wars weapons in low-Earth orbit, an already crowded zone between 200 to 500 miles (320 to 800 kilometers) above the Earth's surface, Primack said. Such systems would not be deployed until later this decade or beyond.

    Scientists estimate that debris higher than 500 miles (800 kilometers) will remain aloft for decades before falling into the Earth's atmosphere. Pieces more than 620 miles (1,000 kilometers) high will stay in orbit for hundreds of years, and those more than 930 miles (1,500 kilometers) indefinitely.

    The U.S. Space Command, part of the Air Force, monitors more than 9,000 pieces of space junk 4 inches (10 centimeters) in diameter or larger, many of them loose bolts and exploded rocket fragments.

    NASA's Orbital Debris Program Office tracks smaller pieces of debris, which can still pose risks to spacecraft and satellites. But according to United Press International, the office will close in October due to budget cuts.

  39. Re:what happened.... by WetCat · · Score: 1

    a Giant used all AeroGel for his shaving...

  40. Cascade Effect by Easy2RememberNick · · Score: 1

    The Canadian Discovery Channel had a program on about such a thing, in the show the referred to it as the "Cascade Effect." One piece of debris hit another that made three or more then those pieces hit more and so on.

  41. MacOS on i386! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Oh yes :)
    Install it now, its quick and fast

    Note : Its mac os classic and not os X

  42. While viewing CNN's homepage looking for the story by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Found another item to add to the duh folder:

    Gates: Penalties may hurt Windows

  43. Re:what happened.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Most of those "type" of shows would be on the Science Channel, formerly Discovery-Science, and Discovery Wings.

  44. Link to graphic from article by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
  45. Re:Sing this corrosion to me! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You really need to post gawth lyrics for your page widening posts. You know...like in zeee Temple of Love...of love...la la la!

    Anyways, keep up the good Sisters of Mercy page widening posts.

  46. Perhaps NASA doesn't want competition by Morris+Schneiderman · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Three points here.

    1. I was chairing an AAAS conference in Washington on Moving Industry Into Space, in January of 1982, and only 2 of the 5 speakers had shown up at 10 minutes before the start of the 3 hour session. The third was delayed in transit and the forth cancelled because both transponders had failed the night before on the communications satellite that was his business. The fifth turned out to be speaking at a conference in Europe and had not even told me he would not be coming.

    Sitting in the second row was someone I had never met but thought I recognized. I introduced mself, confirmed that he was whom I though he was, explained the situation and asked if he would speak. He agreed and gave a 15 minute adlib on the need for and value of a garbage collection business to clean up Low Earth Orbit. His name was Dr. Isaac Asimov. So, this is not a new issue.

    2. Years ago I studied the opportunities for space commecialization and came to the conclusion that Communications Satellites (given to us by Arthur C. Clarke, no patent applied for) and LEO Tourism were the only two that were practical in the forseeable future.

    Power transmission and manufacturing of pharmaceutical, etc have been talked about and even tried, but, much as I'd like to see them happen, they don't seem practical. Communications and Tourism still seem to be the only things with commerial potential for LEO.

    If NASA stops tracking the garbage, FUD will keep most people from considering a trip to LEO, even when the costs come down somewhat.

    3. NASA has never wanted competition. When they submitted the original tender for the original (post Skylab) Space Station, one of the firm provisions was that all items had to be transported via their Space Shuttle. Space is theirs and theirs alone. All others are NOT WELCOME.

    Twenty years ago I submitted a proposal to them that would give them a space station with 25,000 cubic foot of 'shirtsleeve living room', using only 2 Shuttle Launches. The "artist's sketch" (actually, an acrylic) still hangs on my wall and is dated 1982. I'm not expecting a call any time soon. When I tried to pay NASA to launch a "proof of concept", I was told, "We are not ready yet. Maybe some time in the future."

    1. Re:Perhaps NASA doesn't want competition by danielobvt · · Score: 2, Interesting

      #3 - Ah, the idea that I have seen in several SF stories. Instead of tossing the fuel tank so that it burns up, empty, clean and pressurize it to serve as additional space. I really like this idea. Ultimate in recycling.... we already paid to get it to where it is, why the heck should we throw it away. If not now, then later. Tether them to the ISS (which should have kept the name "Freedom", but apparently the name would have offended some of our foreign partners (though why we would want to partner with people who find freedom an offensive word I have no idea)) and use them sometime in the future. Not like it would have cost any extra.

    2. Re:Perhaps NASA doesn't want competition by TomRC · · Score: 1

      Interesting. Can you say more? Was it some sort of inflatable structure? I read somewhere that such structures could actually be safer against micro-collisions.

    3. Re:Perhaps NASA doesn't want competition by Morris+Schneiderman · · Score: 1

      Yes, it was an inflatable. Imagine six soccerballs, each 10 meters in diameter, arranged in a Benzine ring and connected by short tubes. Each 'soccerball' was a double wall of Kevlar fabric with foam-in-place closed cell foam sandwiched between the two walls.

      Strong, stiff, resiliant, but subject to degradation by UV radiation. That's why there's a layer of aluminium on the outside. Nothing stops the UV completely, but we slow it down.

      Eventually the space station degrades. Folks move next door to a new one and use the old one as a hydrocarbon raw material source. How long is it usable? No one knows. We have to experiment to find out.

      Morris

  47. bunk by medcalf · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I read the article this morning as well, and it was bunk.

    Let's say that missiles are inbound to the US. Right now, LEO would be fine, and the US would be toast. So let's say that the US builds a strategic ABM system - mostly if not completely land-based on the interceptor side - which can take out a warhead immediately prior to deorbit. Now let's say that the incoming missiles have countermeasures, so that they are spreading even more junk around. Well, the best possible result is that the ABM system is still capable of taking out the incoming warheads, preventing major US cities from becoming piles of radioactive debris. But LEO is now junked up? So what? It's preferable that we have to figure out how to clean up LEO - or even that we lose the use of LEO - than that we lose even one city. Moreover, that debris is on a path to deorbit quickly, so there is not even a likelihood of cluttering up LEO for a long period of time.

    Now let's take the other scenario presented: someone decides to deny LEO by spreading large amounts of gravel or similar in order to take out a space-based weapons platform. Any nation capable of doing that is also somewhat dependent on LEO and would thus be cutting off their noses to spite their faces. On top of that, if the intent is to take out a space-based defense in order to let the missiles through, wouldn't you want to do that in such a way that you didn't prevent the missiles from getting through? (Gravel sufficient to make LEO a "wasteland" is also sufficient to block practical use of ICBMs and probably also IRBMs, MRBMs and SLBMs.)

    Bunk, I tell you. Total bunk.

    --
    -- Two men say they're Jesus. One of them must be wrong. - Dire Straits
    1. Re:bunk by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      On your first point ... the incoming missile, and and countermeasures are definitely on a ballistic (ie. non-orbital) trajectory. The interceptor almost certainly is also. So, even if the interceptor does work (hits the target), the vast majoity of the debris will follow the original trajectories and reenter almost immedietely. Some might pick up enough velocity in the right direction to achieve orbit, but not much, and very likely in an orbit that will reenter soon.

      On the second point ... The US is MUCH more dependent on space then anyone else on earth. I think many countries with the ability to reach LEO , or even high ballistic, would be willing to make that trade. Think of Iraq throwing up a SCUD full of bb with a crude upper stage (big shotgun?) in the path of the space station. Also, this would not really deny space to transiting objects like ICBM. They only transit this are very briefly ... a few minutes at most. So the odds of getting hit are low. Now if you are orbiting in this area 24/7 it's likely that it will eventually get you.

    2. Re:bunk by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm pretty sure that would be the last act that Iraq ever commited as a sovereign nation.

    3. Re:bunk by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That doesn't seem to figure into the political calculus often enough. Just look at the Taliban/AlQuida

    4. Re:bunk by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      I think you're missing the point:

      Who exactly has enough missiles to toast the US?

  48. Re:what happened.... by p3d0 · · Score: 1

    Beyond 2000 wasn't cancelled until after they dumbed it down and made it extra flashy and shiny. That was too bad.

    --
    Patrick Doyle
    I mod down every jackass who puts his moderation policy in his sig. Oh, wait a sec....
  49. Re:what happened.... by Skuld-Chan · · Score: 1

    What would that do about existing phase 2 satellites? I mean there are lots of them up there that are still useful - like a lot of the amateur radio satellites (which I use once in a while), iridium and spy satellites.

  50. Im sure there is a solution with... by JeanBaptiste · · Score: 2, Funny

    ...using lunar power to create neutrino oscillations to destroy the junk... see, /. has all the answers...

  51. transcript from first space tourism flight by Apostata · · Score: 2

    "Hello, ladies and gentlemen. We've now entered Low Earth Orbit, and our pilot, Roberto, is just adjusting the horizontal lift for your comfort. You may soon order drinks from the steward once the pilot has given the proper signal. Outside your window on your left you'll see the- OH MY GOD!! NOOOOOOO!"

    --

    This wasn't just plain terrible, this was fancy terrible. This was terrible with raisins in it. - Dorothy Parker
    1. Re:transcript from first space tourism flight by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Except at a closing rate of up to 15 km/second there wouldn't be much time for the "OH MY GOD!! NOOOOOOO!" bit :)

  52. The Sky Road by AndyElf · · Score: 1

    ...is what this reminds me of. Do your search on Amazon, read it and you will see why.

    --

    --AP
  53. Terrorism and the End of Space by TomRC · · Score: 2, Insightful

    So was this article pulled because it pointed out that anyone with the ability to launch a big enough rocket could potentially eliminate a large portion of the US military's advantage?

    Just get an idea of the rough trajectory of LEO spy satellites, shoot up a rocket at the right moment, and blow up a modest charge to spray BB's into a wide swath of space.

    Figure if you could launch just 1 million BB's and spread them out with a velocity of maybe just 60km/hr - creating a sphere 2km across in one minute, with a surface area of 12MsqMeter, you've got 1 BB for every 12sq meters, and if the satellite goes through both sides of the sphere and has a profile of just 4sq meters, you've got a 2/3 chance of holing it, maybe a 1/3 chance of severe damage via internal spray of debris over sensitive components.

    And if you're a bit more sophisticated, you could launch those BB's into orbit. It might take days or weeks - but with that much new debris added to the same rough orbital altitude as a spy-sat, the chances of an encounter are pretty good.

    Yep, I'd be worried about Iraq getting this bright idea - except after they analyzed their last war and the sort of tricks that the Yugoslavians played on us, I'd bet they've already come up with it.

    I'd also hope the US is busily launching hardened spy satellites with enough internal armor and redundancy to take a couple of hits.

    It'll probably mean the end of Commercial use of Space if they really go at it - the insurance rates for launches will be too high. Another good thing brought to you by the fine foreign entanglement folks in Washington. I sure wouldn't want to be on the sitting station - I mean space duck - I mean space station if/when Bush decides to go into Iraq.

    1. Re:Terrorism and the End of Space by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Doesn't work like this, or nothing would ever have gotten into space (Do you think it's ever been clean up there?).

      A 2KM sphere out of say 10 trillion kiliometers isn't really very much space, now is it?

      I suggest you go study how ship to air launched missles knock down aircraft (No they don't blow them up). These idea's have been around longer then you and -are- used already. But it's not as easy as you obviously think.

    2. Re:Terrorism and the End of Space by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Do you think it's ever been clean up there?"

      Actually, there is very little debris orbiting the earth that is not man-made. The vast majority came from us.

      "A 2KM sphere out of say 10 trillion kiliometers isn't really very much space, now is it? "

      It is if you happen to be flying though it though, which is what the first poster suggested.

      And this problem is fundementally different from the ship-to-air missile case. The energies are fantasticlly higher.

    3. Re:Terrorism and the End of Space by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So you in fact have no idea how those missles work? The energies aren't that much different really, as a missle's mass is a lot more.

      As for 'flying thru it' I think history has pretty much proven the ineffectiveness of unguided missiles (which is what your cloud is).

    4. Re:Terrorism and the End of Space by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The kinetic energy of a space-to-space collision is up to 2 orders of magnitude higher then anything you'll get in an air-to-air collision. Of course, you have an explosive warhead adding some punch as well. This means that your orbiting marble will pack the same punch as a largish brick traveling at air-to-air speeds. Most certainly could be lethal.

      And where did the original poster say this was unguided? They stated that the launch would be directly in the path of the oncoming satellite. And even if it doesn't, your analogy to an unguided missile is wrong. An encounter with any single missile is generally a one-time thing, hit or miss, never to be repeated. This is thousands (tens of thousands) of missiles, each one potentially deadly. And you will encounter them over and over again, constantly.

    5. Re:Terrorism and the End of Space by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, it's not.
      Energy depends on MASS as well as velocity. A BB has notorious little mass.
      You didn't go to physic's class at all, did you? ;-)

    6. Re:Terrorism and the End of Space by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yea, the equation is of the form m*v^2
      So compare ... a bb @ 15 km/s and a missile at max, maybe 2 km/s ... now square those. It makes up for quite a bit of mass.

  54. Here you go. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    This should help out a little.

    (CNN) -- The use of weapons in space could fill the area near Earth with so much debris that satellites could not safely function for centuries or longer, warns a report to the United Nations.

    As part of the so-called "Star Wars" program, the U.S. military envisions powerful lasers and intercept missiles in orbit to protect against enemy missile attacks on Earth.

    But such high-tech defenses, as well as low-tech countermeasures, could transform low-Earth orbits into a veritable wasteland, according to physicist Joel Primack, who presented the report last week at a U.N. conference.

    "Even one war in space will [encase] the entire planet in a shell of whizzing debris that will thereafter make space near the Earth highly hazardous for peaceful as well as military purposes," wrote Primack and co-author Nancy Ellen Abrams.

    Moreover, even the prelude to such a battle could prove catastrophic, the two University of California, Santa Cruz, researchers said.

    And hundreds of billions of dollars' worth of futuristic military equipment could be rendered useless with a cheap and common material.

    "No actual space war even has to be fought," Primack and Abrams said. "Any country that felt threatened by America's starting to place lasers or other weapons in space would only have to launch the equivalent of gravel to destroy the sophisticated weaponry."

    A swarm of millions of floating rocks could disable helpless satellites, breaking down existing pieces of space junk and setting off an escalating chain of destructive collisions.

    Even tiny fragments could do serious damage. They can go as fast as 17,000 mph (27,000 kilometers per hour), 10 times faster than a rifle bullet. A marble at that speed could hit a satellite with as much force as a one-ton safe dropped three stories.

    The Bush administration would like to deploy some Star Wars weapons in low-Earth orbit, an already crowded zone between 200 to 500 miles (320 to 800 kilometers) above the Earth's surface, Primack said. Such systems would not be deployed until later this decade or beyond.

    Scientists estimate that debris higher than 500 miles (800 kilometers) will remain aloft for decades before falling into the Earth's atmosphere. Pieces more than 620 miles (1,000 kilometers) high will stay in orbit for hundreds of years, and those more than 930 miles (1,500 kilometers) indefinitely.

    The U.S. Space Command, part of the Air Force, monitors more than 9,000 pieces of space junk 4 inches (10 centimeters) in diameter or larger, many of them loose bolts and exploded rocket fragments.

    NASA's Orbital Debris Program Office tracks smaller pieces of debris, which can still pose risks to spacecraft and satellites. But according to United Press International, the office will close in October due to budget cuts.

    1. Re:Here you go. by pacc · · Score: 2

      If CNN didn't think they had the rights to put those lunatic plans in public maybe there's a real threat in them.
      My proposal for a 500 g science project in the spare space of the next Adriane Rocket is to fill it with grovel.

  55. Re:what happened.... by the_2nd_coming · · Score: 1

    oh realy!!! they have new ones on Discovery science!!!! cool

    --



    I am the Alpha and the Omega-3
  56. poof! by Thud457 · · Score: 0

    Hey, there's worse ways to go. On second you're sitting in orbit, the next, you're a cloud of ionized atoms.


    Nobody seemed to like my little word problem a couple weeks ago about Saddam wanting to get two tons of BB's into orbit. Eh. Good thing the Israelis snuffed Gerald Bull.
    "It was meant for long-range attack and also to blind spy satellites. Our scientists were seriously working on that. It was designed to explode a shell in space that would have sprayed a sticky material on the satellite and blinded it." -- The high-ranking Iraqi defector Gen. Hussein Kamel al-Majeed

    --

    the preceding comment is my own and in no way reflects the opinion of the Joint Chiefs of Staff

  57. Failed Dept. by xmod2 · · Score: 2, Funny

    The reason the office was closed is that their previous attempts to clean up had failed.

    Their plan involved using nanoships to blast the debris away. Unfortunately whenever they shot them, they broke into two smaller pieces. NASA claims that difficult controls and the offices inability to use hyperspace to evade debris were two of the main reasons for failure.

    1. Re:Failed Dept. by JimmytheGeek · · Score: 1

      Also, apparently hostile forces would periodically disrupt missions.

      Mod this up!

  58. Thanks... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I was wondering if someone had actually archived it before it got pulled. Is there a good resource for these type of things? I've got a few pages that are historically relevant that should go in a large archive somewhere. Yeah, archive.org is *way* to slow to get anything except slow moving pages. Google's much better, but it doesn't get the very fast pages, and I don't know a good way to search their cache for specific pages.

    Btw, AC, your image link doesn work :)

    -- Ender, Duke_of_URL

    1. Re:Thanks... by C4v3_7r0ll · · Score: 1

      When I something like this happens, I just grab it from my proxy cache. Granted not everyone has this available, but it is nice to be root on a Squid box :)

      Looks like the AC either had a stale browser open or pulled it from a cache too.
  59. LEO by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    LEO = Low Earth Orbit

  60. Actually... by EABird · · Score: 1

    Much of the missile defense efforts are currently going into ground and airborne defense systems. While not nearly as sexy as space-based systems, they will most likely be the only system that will be deployed in the short-term. These systems will be used to destroy theater ballistic missiles, similar to the Scud during the Gulf War '91.

  61. Learn some physics people!! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    Man I cannot believe the comments and arguments here!! Don't any of you know anything about orbital mechanic's and Low Earth Orbits? What did you do in school? SMoke dope all day? Or did you even go to class?

    1) LOE's are UNSTABLE, they decay without station keeping.

    2) The area of low earth orbits is CONSIDERABLY greater then the surface of the earth. You're talking about a miniscule amount of stuff spread over an area several times that of the earth's surface!

    3) They have already devised 'bumper' systems for small particle collisions.

    4) MOST particles are traveling in the same direction as you are, therefore relative velocies are low.

  62. And maybe we don't want to revive it.... by kaladorn · · Score: 2

    ... at least under the terms you mention.

    If access to orbit somehow became cheap enough to be afforable to those who operate under different motivations and priorities,

    Who had you in mind? NGOs or political or religious groups perhaps? People who put ideology first, often beyond well-being? Hmmm.... seems to me I might be fairly happy leaving space in the hands of on-going governments (who have some interest in not allowing too many destructive shenanigans to go on) and business (for whom a profit motive and public outcry are powerful controls).

    I'm not looking forward to the day that space becomes so accessible that any splinter group with an oddball ideology can get there. Something tells me our currently not terribly stable world will then become significantly less stable. And safe.

    --
    -- Mal: "Well they tell you: never hit a man with a closed fist. But it is, on occasion, hilarious."
    1. Re:And maybe we don't want to revive it.... by psamuels · · Score: 1
      Who had you in mind? NGOs or political or religious groups perhaps?

      Yeah - then people who want to catch a ride with Comet Hale-Bopp can actually do it!

      --
      "How can you claim that you are anti-crack, while still writing a window manager?" — Metacity README
  63. moreover, Star Wars doesn't work by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    And the funny thing is, Star Wars isn't even all that effective, according to some stories I've seen. No links right now, sorry.

  64. Im dumb by Junky191 · · Score: 1

    Could someone who knows more about this please explain to me why space debris is a problem? I know that there is a tremendous amount of drag from the upper upper atmosphere, especially in LEO, and I know that if you don't regularly keep pushing satellites up every now and then, they will eventually spiral in and burn up in the atmosphere. Isn't the same true for space debris? Even if it's a small object, those speeds mean drag and all this clutter should be falling back in and burning up. Is this not how it really is?

  65. Manmade vs.natural debris: Luna not our only moon? by GPS+Pilot · · Score: 2

    The recent space.com article says,

    NASA estimates there are 4 million pounds of junk orbiting Earth. More than half the impacting debris is manmade

    This implies that 40% or so of the debris in orbit is of natural origin.

    Which would mean that Earth has hundreds or thousands of tiny natural satellites (moons) that they never taught me about in school.

    Is this just simple misreporting? Or does Earth have little moons that went undiscovered until NASA started tracking space debris?

    --
    That that is is that that that that is not is not.
  66. Hmmm..... by kaladorn · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Whereas I don't entirely disagree with your point, I will say: 1) The only nuclear weapons ever delivered against a hostile nation were by plane. 2) That was a long time ago.

    You say it is quite easy to destroy a satellite interceptor system. That makes a number of assumptions such as their inability to defend themselves versus countermeasures, our inability to identify countermeasures launches and undertake alternate measures of our own, and the inability of said satellites to manouver. Also, it assumes we don't have a whacking lot of them up there, thus making degrading the system possible but not eliminating it. Right now, any and all opinion on how easy or hard this is all falls under the category speculation. No one has deployed an interceptor system and no one has demonstrated countermeasures to such a system. So we're all just shooting the breeze.

    As for the ease of deploying nuclear attacks other than ICBMs, I think you will find current developments in point, zone, and theatre defense will make plane and low-level missile attacks less effectual. And suitcase nukes, despite how allegedly easy they are to deploy, have NEVER been detonated in a population center or upon a military target to my knowledge. Perhaps this isn't as easy as you think?

    Not saying the money couldn't be spent elsewhere, nor that this isn't likely to be Pork Barrel city, but almost everything about space warfare is conjectural at this point. Only time and tactical deployment of some of these systems will truly prove the point.

    --
    -- Mal: "Well they tell you: never hit a man with a closed fist. But it is, on occasion, hilarious."
    1. Re:Hmmm..... by AvatarADV · · Score: 1

      The real problem with a suitcase nuke is that once turned loose, the carrier becomes one of the world's nuclear powers. ;p Even a fanatic might not be trustworthy with that leverage...

      And if the guy turns, or is intercepted, it's STILL a nuclear attack, and an open invitation to genocidal retaliation. A failed suitcase bombing attempt is the ultimate license for your opponent.

    2. Re:Hmmm..... by Maverick2219 · · Score: 1

      The former Soviet Union, and to an extremely lesser extent, the USA both deployed ABM systems.

      For the Soviets it started with the Griffon/Gammon system of which there are some 1000 sites still active and although it is believed to be relegated to an air defense role, it is also believed to have the same ABM capability of the Nike-Zeus system designed by the USA.

      A system that is all ABM built by the Soviets is the system protecting Moscow. First deployed in the mid-70's and recently upgraded this system is 100% operational.

      The USA never deployed the Nike-Zeus, and I'm pretty sure never deployed the Nike-X, and Sentinel systems. However they did deploy the Safeguard system near Grand Forks AFB, North Dakota..... although it was only effectively operational for a single day. Something I never understood about politicians. If you spend the money to build it, and least keep it open.

      --
      I try to make everyone's day a little more surreal.
    3. Re:Hmmm..... by KjetilK · · Score: 2

      And suitcase nukes, despite how allegedly easy they are to deploy, have NEVER been detonated in a population center or upon a military target to my knowledge. Perhaps this isn't as easy as you think?

      Being a physicist, I can't think of any difficulties...

      Assuming it is difficult is very dangerous. Do you really want to take that chance?

      However, I think the easiest of all would be to get the nuke on a ship and set it off when the ship is in harbor. Probably, it would be safest to assume that if somebody wants to nuke a US city, there is very little you can do to prevent it. Nothing.

      --
      Employee of Inrupt, Project Release Manager and Community Manager for Solid
    4. Re:Hmmm..... by kaladorn · · Score: 2

      I'll disagree. You're answering the question as a Physicist. That's not the way to look at it (entirely).

      Maybe our intelligence and covert operations agencies and the various monitoring agencies all (collectively) are more effective than we think. Or maybe the people who can get access to these things are more concerned with the impact of their actions and repercussions than we think.

      I don't think we should take the threat and treat it as a triviality, but _if_it_is_so_easy_, why_hasn't_it_happened?. The technology to do it is not all that new, and the US borders are quite penetrable especially from the Canadian side. Or so it *seems*. Maybe our 'men in black' do a better job than we suspect?

      As for the harbours, I'd bet almost every major harbour in the US now has an active harbour defense (many Canadian ones do with more coming on line) and they are making a real point to look at what is coming in. Won't stop everything, but might make this avenue of attack significantly less likely.

      And whatever the case, fearmongering, paranoia, and hysteria solve little. Yes the threat exists. It might kill a few thousand folks one day. OTOH, cancer, starvation, genocide are killing a hell of a lot of people worldwide today, so in perspective we shouldn't spend every $$$ we have to target these kind of threats... we've got other more pressing business. And life is and always has been full of risk. One good defence is not to piss off everyone else in the world....

      --
      -- Mal: "Well they tell you: never hit a man with a closed fist. But it is, on occasion, hilarious."
    5. Re:Hmmm..... by KjetilK · · Score: 1

      Yeah, I think your points are valid, especially the last one! In fact, that is the only true defence for the future. I think it can be done. :-)

      --
      Employee of Inrupt, Project Release Manager and Community Manager for Solid
  67. Saturn by Easy2RememberNick · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    I know! And that arrogant planet Saturn has the nerve to show off!! Those rings around it how long have they been there?? ...millions, billions of years??? Someone should put Saturn in it's place. Damn you Saturn!!!

    1. Re:Saturn by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeash, what an idiot. The rings ARE decaying, they're also being remade continuosly. Saturn's moons has a big effect on those rings, and last of all, those rings are NOT in a 'Low Earth Orbit'.
      Notice how they don't come close to the planet?
      Think before you post

  68. Cleanup by augustz · · Score: 3, Interesting

    It seems that having high powered lasers in space would be great for a space-junk cleanup. Turn the beam to wide angle, fire it up, and incinerate or knock down (heat up one side of an item, let it outgass on that side and it may go down) the little bits... voila, clean space.

    And the military would justify this by calling it weapons testing.

    - AZ

    1. Re:Cleanup by Porag_Spliffing · · Score: 1

      and fracture lots of it into smaller faster bits in all sorts of directions....

      --
      Maybe you live in interesting times
    2. Re:Cleanup by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If these space based weapons can take out ICBMS it would seem they would be capable of taking out dust.

  69. maybe you should rely on facts and not stories? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    'Star Wars' as a system doesn't work yet cause it hasn't been built. But the technology and capability do exist. Notice the people most oppsed to it are the one's pointing nuclear weapons at us?

    Don't forget, putting men in space, breaking the sound barrier, desktop computers, the internet, were all considered 'impossible' once!

  70. Private Sector Solution? by dfinney · · Score: 1

    The nice people at Autodesk, thinking far into the future back in 1987, invested in a project to commercialize orbitting space debris. After all, wouldn't the government attempt to solve the problem in the most expensive, least expensive way?

    http://www.fourmilab.to/autofile/www/chapter2_59 .h tml#3493

  71. But what I don't get.... by kaladorn · · Score: 2

    ...is this: Yes a bullet moving 15000 mph could do some damage (to the limit of the materials in the bullet). But isn't the shuttle (in the same orbit) moving at the same (or near same) speed, ergo no real differential?

    If so, isn't the danger window then only entering or leaving orbit, or changing orbit because of the delta vee between currently orbiting debris and the shuttle?

    Or am I missing something fundamental about how these debris are a menace?

    --
    -- Mal: "Well they tell you: never hit a man with a closed fist. But it is, on occasion, hilarious."
    1. Re:But what I don't get.... by MindStalker · · Score: 2

      Well if its travelling in the opposite orbit direction you are. WOW! and while I believe most all orbits travel west to east, you can have an orbit with many tilts and when where you cross the equator many of these orbits will cross, possibly at 90 degress, having two objects traveling that face at a 90 degree angle, thats dangerious. Not to mention trying to merge into traffic at 700 miles an hour! :)

    2. Re:But what I don't get.... by kaladorn · · Score: 2

      Thanks. I hadn't considered that Polar orbits will cross Equatorial ones in a rather ugly fashion. Yeah, no doubt about it.... you'd really want to time that one right.... a T-bone at 15K mph would leave a fair sized dent... "That's gotta hurt"...

      --
      -- Mal: "Well they tell you: never hit a man with a closed fist. But it is, on occasion, hilarious."
    3. Re:But what I don't get.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      DUH, could be traveling in opposite orbit or intersecting orbit of a high angle of impact maybe? At such orbital velocities a steel slug the size of a .22 caliber bullet could go right through the shuttle's hull, as the slug's kinetic energy rises as the square of its velocity.
      The "limit of the damage of the materials in the bullet" can be amazingly high. It could mean a ruptured fuel/O2 tank/line, electrical systems shorted or shorn away, not to mention a hull breach during reentry.

  72. Space Travel as an industry by kaladorn · · Score: 2

    Your assumption that space travel will be a huge industry assumes:
    1) There is any economic or political or military benefit to a manned presence
    2) The problems (risks) of space travel are overcome

    In both cases, you are talking about non-trivial cases.

    If UberCorps can't even find a way to make wireless or broadband pay off, then space is so far from being viable economically that it isn't funny. And as for tourism.... if a trip to orbit eats up a day or two, subjects me to multiple gravities of acceleration and has me vomiting in zero-G, plus exposes me to other health risks and other risks to life and limb (not all of us are astronaut material boys and girls!), then am I real likely to want to shell out $20K or more (assuming super cheap space transport) for it? I mean people other than us few Star Wars junkies?

    I don't think most of us will see affordable space tourism or economic exploitation of space within our lifetimes. I'd imagine the former is at least 40-75 years away, and the latter at least as long in any kind of large scale fasion.

    But it is nice to sit around and daydream about it, just like the guys in the 50s who predicted we'd be living on moon cities by 2000.... and about as likely....

    --
    -- Mal: "Well they tell you: never hit a man with a closed fist. But it is, on occasion, hilarious."
    1. Re:Space Travel as an industry by majorus · · Score: 1

      Space Travel can become profitable as an industry when we begin to realise and take advantage of the manufacturing possibilities that exist. Things such as semiconductor crystals and solar cells can be produced with a much higher quality in zero, or near zero g, than they can on earth. Having said that, the prospects of sapce manufacturing being profitable in the near future are very slim. Money cannot be made from space until there are markets on earth and beyond, which require significant investments of their own. One real barrier that seems to exist before space idustries start to take off is affordable and reliable reusable launch systems. All it really takes is one big thinker with alot of money and you will start to see results. Possibilities such as power satellites, gigawatt cables and manufacturing plant to harvest the asteroid ands comets. Sure huge investment, bigger return...

    2. Re:Space Travel as an industry by snowlick · · Score: 1

      It is 2002, we have a very limited space program, and few orbital outposts. Yet still the rich are trying to get a chance to go to the ISS. People have a natural interest in space. As costs go down tourists will flock to get their chance to get closer o the stars. Of course this is way on down the line, but preparations can start now. You see, in the years ahead new doors will be opened in the travel industry. The biggest one of all is space. Once space travel is possible going to the beach will seem trivial. Of course it will probably start as a luxury (as we are seeing), and then progress into a getaway for the throngs of middle-class underlings.

      As everybody knows, if there is demand, the act of supplying is lucrative. Now that both going to the ISS and low orbit travel are possible we are two steps closer to the "dream of the 50's".

      snow

      --
      Crystal Meth: Would you ingest somthing made from a poisonous gas and an explosive metal? You do it every day -- Salt!
  73. dudes? by Che+Guevarra · · Score: 2, Funny


    Che: "Couldn't you just launch a bunch of huge super powerful magnets into orbit to suck up all that debris? I mean, wouldn't a magnet have a really powerful effect on all those little metal bits in a vacuum?"

    Che's roommate: "dude, are you posting on slashdot stoned again?"

  74. Mod Parent UP by kaladorn · · Score: 2

    That's one of the most useful explanations of the danger I've seen yet. Kind of like the old Hot Wheels Criss-Cross-Crash track. Things moving in the same difference at the same speed are no threat, but junk crossing fast on an oblique course can really ruin your day. Merci buckets for the good post!

    --
    -- Mal: "Well they tell you: never hit a man with a closed fist. But it is, on occasion, hilarious."
  75. The secret to Sucess: here is how! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Follow Jon Katz' Example! Promote your cause on Slashdot now! And mod up this comment -- if Katz deserves free advertising, so does this comment!

    This FAQ is designed to give tips on trolling on Slashdot, created in celebration of Blackout Week. It is dedicated to all hard-working trolls and crapflooders.

    What are some good trolling tips?
    Trolling is all about making people think you care, and so winding up those who care for real. Think of it like shooting a deer in front of an anti-hunt protester, or eating a Big Mac in front of a vegan. Here are some ideas for making your troll work:

    1. To start off, make sure your post gets noticed -- log in, post early (after 50 +1 comments have been posted to an article, forget it), and make sure to use your +1 bonus.
    2. Ensure your posting history doesn't show a history of dubious posts. Some advise (incorrectly) to stagger your trolls, but this is in fact time wasting and only helps Slashdot in the long run. If you have a doubt, just create a new account, or even post anonymous -- an effective troll, posted early enough, will gain a +1 quickly.
    3. Learn from the marketing droids -- a mixture of truth and lies leaves the potential client without a clue as to which is which. Geeks smell pure bullshit, because it reminds them of their bedroom smell (see also "karma whoring" below).
    4. Follow up. Keep a window open on your troll, and reload to see if people bite. Perhaps post an AC reply agreeing or disagreeing with your own post. Reply to later posts referring to your earlier post to back up your point.
    5. If you get a dreaded (-1, Troll), don't be ashamed to post the well-known, "Mods on Crack!" rant. Explain, rationally, and not as yourself why you agree with the original post, and why it's a fair point.

    How do I crapflood?
    A crapflood is an (intentionally) content-free post. Here are some suggestions for the source of your crapflood -- remember to take care with repetition, odd characters, or repetition, to get past the lameness filter:

    1. your local dictionary file, e.g. /usr/share/dict/words on BSDs
    2. your local real names file, e.g. /usr/share/dict/propernames on BSDs
    3. a copy-paste part of a web page (for extra amusement, copy-paste from Slashdot itself)
    4. a UU-encoded newsgroup file
    5. some output from a lorem ipsum generator
    6. examples of your latest spams, particularly those in Korean
    7. allowing your cat to walk across the keyboard for a few minutes.

    How do I widen pages?
    A method is known and delivered to us by the beautiful Klerck which currently works in Internet Explorer alone. This will therefore ruin the browsing experience of by far the majority of Slashdot readers. Start with the text:

    http://www.eveeieyhfgfcdoosammgwsnboivvbsczxlzga bc /

    then repeat /ooieiabdcdjsvbkeldfogjhiyeeejkagclmieooion oepdk /
    several times, remembering to avoid the compression filter trap by using different random characters.

    How do I karma whore?
    "Karma whoring" is the practice of gaining moderation points for their own sake. It is particularly useful in techniques for defeating the moderation system. Some tips for karma whoring are:

    1. If the site containing the actual article is not on a fast server (i.e. is not a "big site"), re-post the article with subject, "the article -- in case the site gets slashdotted". Make sure this comes as early as possible in the list of comments, to avoid the dreaded (-1, Redundant).
    2. If any article pops up on Microsoft, write a stock two paragraphs explaining why Microsoft is immoral, and why the event described cannot happen with Free Software. I shall not supply text, because tests have shown that moderators are not completely stupid, and can identify duplicate posts (this is actually helpful in defeating the moderation system, see below).
    3. For any article discussing a particular company, state that you worked there, and offer your "inside knowledge". Note that geeks do visit Slashdot, so do not fall into the trap of being too obvious a fraud -- a mistake made by such amateur trolls as PhysicsGenius, who must now suffer a life of instant down-modding.

    How do I defeat the moderation system?
    The moderation system is far from flawless. Here are some ways to devalue it:

    1. If you have moderator points, for goodness sake abuse them! How about moderating up a First Post, a crapflood, or best of all, this very FAQ? It would be a crime to allow such an easily abused system to work.
    2. Copy the text of another person's post, and paste it as a reply to an earlier post. Most people read oldest messages first, so they will consider yours to be the first message, and the later message to be "redundant". This is great for annoying karma whores.
    3. Vote Troll posts as "underrated", thus increasing their exposure without running the risk of having your moderation rights revoked.

    How do I defeat authentication?
    Don't. The FBI will arrest you for being a terrorist. Instead, make an authoritative nick like CmdrTaco (editor). The majority of people are easily fooled, and will be likely to take notice of and respond to your post, and even moderate it up. Think of it like Lunix Turvalds walking into the room -- people listen to what he has to say, and don't dare disagree.

    How do I defeat the goatse link early warning system?
    Simple -- use one of the many foolishly implemented redirector URLs hosted on well-known sites. Here's an innocuous recent example which pretends to link to the highly informative about.com, but in fact links to a site of the popular 90's lesbian band The Spice Girls: Informative link which will get me karma [about.com]

    What are some excellent sites to sneakily link to?
    Mostly, you should link to gay porn. If you are reading this FAQ, you already know the URLs, so I don't need to supply them, except to say that it's almost an initiation ceremony in Slashdot trolling to link to goatse [goatse.cx].

    Administrativa

    How do I justify the existence of this FAQ?
    Slashdot is full of people who support unlicensed weapons ownership and dissemination of bomb creation documents -- in short, they support freedom, even when that freedom could cause harm. This document should be considered as that very freedom in action. Indeed, to disparage or moderate down this document would be un-American, and the FBI are likely to arrest you for being a terrorist.

    How do I add to or change this FAQ?
    Simply re-post the FAQ on Slashdot, adding an appropriate question, and incrementing the version number by 1. Before doing so, please try to ensure you have the latest version, and remember to keep this post W3C compliant!

    How else can I help with the Troll and Crapflooding Cause?
    Moderate this post up, re-post it, put it in your journal, and upload it on your website. Thanks!

  76. Of course it's dead. by ilyag · · Score: 0

    There is no point left in space for politicians, and no one else will supply the huge needed amount of money.

    For politicians, there are exactly two reasons to explore space:
    1) Military. You don't need anyone alive in orbit for this. The only things you need are lots of small satellites. Even if there is some exploration in this area, the public will rarely find out. Fortuanetly, there are a couple of exceptions (GPS, even though in no way exploration of space).

    2) Public opinion. All money NASA has are pumped into the Space Station. Why? It has very little scientific value - the only thing I can imagine doing there is biology without gravity. However, lots of people know about it as the Big Thing. So, they are willing to elect the politicians who support the ISS.

    The times of space needed for The Public Opiniton are passing, however, as well. Duting the Cold War, space was extremly important to both sides - show 'em we're better. Also, space was the New Big Thing for the people. So, both in the US and USSR space got as much money as it needed. Men were in space, and then on the moon. Shuttle and Proton were developed, and they still fly today. Nothing better was developed for 50 years (for Proton).

    Now however, the times have passed. As Cold War ended, space stopped being one of the first military priorities. People cooled down towards space, as it became explored enough for them. The great need of exciting people about their country has passed, too. Not being the first priority, space can't get the huge funds it needs. And people who can pay want it to pay back. How will a spacecraft to Pluto pay me my $n million?

    So, Pluto is passing by, but no one cares. I don't think there are going to be men on Mars in many years. To send men to Mars you need a cold war.

  77. Please give this chap a +1 by morbid · · Score: 0

    ...it's reasonably reasonable.

    --
    I'm out of my tree just now but please feel free to leave a banana.
  78. What we need by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    is a vacuum cleaner!

    Say, a multi-ply sphere about the size of the ancient Echo balloon/satellites, in a polar orbit.
    The multiple plies absorb impact energy and allow the debris to be caught within the sphere. By the time the shell of the sphere has disintegrated, the pile of accumulated debris will have lost enough speed for the whole thing to de-orbit.

    Maybe.

  79. Re:what .Aerogel link by ScrewTivo · · Score: 1

    to capture stardust
    http://stardust.jpl.nasa.gov/tech/aeroge l.html

  80. Umm... by ELCarlsson · · Score: 1

    How is using raw materials from space cheaper? You have to send humans or really high-tech machines to the moon. 1)Mine the materials 2)Create the steel beams 3)Launch the beams off the moon 4)Then put them in orbit directly for a satelite. This seems a little more expensive to me than buying steel beams right here on Earth.

  81. Come On, People... by dupper · · Score: 0

    ...would a single N'Sync member's corpse really make that much of a difference?

  82. The math doesn't work... by dijkstra · · Score: 1

    Let's see...

    The radius of the earth is 6.371e+6 m. The volume is therefore (4/3)*pi*R^3=1.0832e+021 m^3.

    If we calculate the volume of a sphere whose radius matches the upper boundary of the LEO and subtract the volume of a sphere whose radius matches the lower boundary of the LEO, we get:

    ((4/3)*pi*(6.371E6+5E5)^3)-((4/3)*pi*(6.371E6+1. 7E 5)^3)=1.8653e+020 m^3

    ...which gives us the volume of the LEO. Now, how much of this is currently occupied by debris?

    Let's assume there's 50,000 pieces of debris, and each one averages the volume of a 5m x 5m x5m cube. This gives a total debris volume of 6250000 m^3. Guess what? That amounts to exactly 3.3507e-014 of the total volume. That means we'd have to put up 15 trillion times more debris to full up HALF of the LEO. Nice try, guys, but I'm not going to start panicking yet.

    1. Re:The math doesn't work... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      Jeez your an idiot.
      You don't have to physically fill up leo space, it would be well beyond useless before you were even close.

      If you wan't to continue your flawed idea, calculate the volume swept out over the course of one day by all those objects (@ roughly 7 Km/sec). Each of your 5x5 meter object now sweeps out about 175,000 m^3/s x 86400 s/day = 1.512e+10 * 50000 objects = 7.56e+14

      Still a very small fraction of the space available, yet there has been at least one confirmed collision between tracked space objects (cerise).

      The sum volume of the objects is relatively negligible.

    2. Re:The math doesn't work... by dijkstra · · Score: 1

      I was simply trying to point out that any amount of garbage we throw up into orbit is infinitesimal compared to the astronomical volume of LEO space. Even with my overliberal 5m x 5m objects (which is probably huge compared to 99.99% of said objects), I would think the probability of seeing one, much less hitting one, is extremely, extremely small (order of 10^-14).

      If I am wrong, please enlighten me. I'm certainly not an expert on this subject.

    3. Re:The math doesn't work... by the+grace+of+R'hllor · · Score: 2, Insightful

      When it rains, the sky isn't even *close* to being 100% filled up with water (or we'd drown, obviously), nor half, nor a quarter. But step out into the rain for a few moments, and you will get wet.

      If you fire an Uzi in random horizontal directions on a crowded city square, the bullets take up an insanely small amount of space. I'd still be worried about getting hit, though.

      The only difference I can see here is a matter of scale. While the odds that any bit of junk will hit anything are much smaller, you simply don't want to take those chances. And doubling the amount of junk in space pretty much doubles your chances of getting your satelite/spaceship hit.

    4. Re:The math doesn't work... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I work in this field, but more in GEO space (which is even bigger). We regularly have tracked (ie. big) objects passing within 1 km of each other. Considering that the error volumes on these objects can easily be several Km in extent, it's really just a crapshoot at that point.

    5. Re:The math doesn't work... by dijkstra · · Score: 1

      With both your examples, the space being filled with water and with bullets (density) is still many, many orders of magnitude larger than these objects in LEO space. I think the problem is still the scale of the situation.

      When it rains, there are trillions of raindrops at any one time within a cubed meter of space. They probably account for up to 1% of the volume of space. With the bullet example, you're really only dealing with 2 dimensions so the relative density if even higher than with the raindrops.

  83. Re:Manmade vs.natural debris: Luna not our only mo by athmanb · · Score: 2

    They're probably talking about small (i.e. a few centimeters) asteroids which were caught by the earth's gravity well.
    So nothing exciting to see here, especially since the current orbiting asteroids will burn up in a few years and more come in every minute. Any celestial body has a lot of junk flying around it.

  84. Debris retrieval for fun, safety, and profit! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    Let's turn that space debris to raw materials. Clean up LEO, cut down the amount of stuff that needs to be hauled up the gravity well, and make money doing it.



    Build a system of robots that finds debris, cuts it up, hauls it to a refuse station, and reduces it to a reusable form.


    You use three types of robots.


    Many small mobile bots (solar powered and ion-engine driven) find space debris and boost it to collecting spots.


    The second type chops up debris and boosts it to stable higher orbits. More of the second type intersect at the higher orbit and bring debris to the third type, which


    vaporizes the debris (no big deal in space with unlimited solar power and no atmosphere), charges the vapor, and shoots the charged vapor down a long tube with a magnetic system designed to act like a big mass spectrometer, separating the vapor by composition and leaving hunks of iron, silicon, etc.


    Or use a low tech but more high maintenance design and spin the stuff to separate it. Either way you've got raw materials enough to say, triple the speed they're building the ISS with even the junk materials usable for shielding.


    Seems to me that this system could be built by graduate students from a school like Carnegie-Mellon for five or six million dollars, tops.


    Notes:If you think that solar power is too wimpy consider that with two or three hundred collectors in orbit it's no big deal if it takes a given collector six months to bring in a load. Also, the collectors can be programmed to keep a bit of debris and coat themselves in it, protecting them from radiation and prolonging their own useful life. Give the collectors swappable boards and perhaps a two year board replacement cycle and they should last for at least a decade each.


    As for how to get them up there armadillo aerospace and the like are more than capable of boosting plenty of small payloads to low earth orbit in the near future. Chances are the toughest issue would be the legal fooforah of who owns the abandoned gear. Guaranteed that as soon as people figure out that their dead telsat has market value LLoyds will be fighting the salvage declaration.

    So, if anybody wants to do this, look me up.
    Rustin H. Wright
    Information Geek, former inventor, founder and publisher, Reed&Wright


    pubgeek@netscape.net

  85. Hundreds?!?!? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    space debris travels at hundreds of miles an hour

    Baby, you're very lucky if it's only hundreds. Try thousands.

  86. Well by wiredog · · Score: 2

    The theory is that a missile defense system would (depending on the number of incoming warheads, it'd have to be less than 20 or so) stop most or all of the missiles, thus eliminating the need for a launch on warning response. This would keep a small exchange from escalating to a massive one.

  87. Star wars could make space unusable by Plasmadroid · · Score: 1

    New Scientist covered this story a while ago. See here.

  88. Nike-Herc by wiredog · · Score: 2
    Was a missile defense system that was briefly deployed. If you are ever in the DC area drive out to Great Falls Virginia. On the side of Springvale Rd there is a historical marker across the street from the old base. IIRC, George Mason University owns the base now.

    That system worked until MIRV came along.

  89. Re:Manmade vs.natural debris! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    "More than half the impacting debris is manmade, [Nicholas] Johnson [chief scientist and program manager for Orbital Debris at NASA's Johnson Space Center] says"

    Lies! All of it lies! Saying that that much of the impacting debris is manmade is as silly as saying some global warming is caused by humans! Or even that global warming exists! Or that the Earth is not flat, or that Darwin knows better than God!

    I am Jack's outrage!
    --
    Thermonuclear weapons don't kill people, people do!

  90. Weapons NEEDED To Open Space by SEWilco · · Score: 2
    I'm also sure that the military has thought about this, as it is their job.

    Weapons are needed in space so it can be better used.

    Until recently, only a few governments controlled the trickle into space. Private companies are now able to launch rockets, and even more will gain access as various launch technologies are completed.

    Military agencies want to protect their country. The military will want the ability to protect against malicious use of space. Space-oriented weapons are needed before governments will reduce restrictions on private access to space.

  91. Re:Manmade vs.natural debris: Luna not our only mo by darkonc · · Score: 2

    I wouldn't be surprised to see that that's the case... I think that a couple of million pounds a day falls to the earth as space dust/micrometeors, etc. Thing is that a lot of the man-made stuff is likely to be on the larger end of the scale... Even something like a dropped wrench is likely larger than much of the space dust that hits the earth daily.

    --
    Sometimes boldness is in fashion. Sometimes only the brave will be bold.